Local Model Validation Report
Transcription
Local Model Validation Report
Transportation Walsall Metropolitan Borough Council SD2_Walsall BaFFB Darlaston SDA Local Model Validation Report September 2011 Prepared by: ................................... Adrian Hewitt Senior Consultant Approved by: Checked by: ........................................................................ Nick Secker Associate Director ............... Graham Powell Regional Director Rev No 1 2 Comments Draft submitted to DfT, pre-September Submission BaFFB Submission Checked by NS NS Approved by GP GP Date 12/08/11 09/09/11 Beaufort House, 94/96 Newhall Street, Birmingham, B3 1PB Telephone: 0121 262 1900 Website: http://www.aecom.com Job No: 60047104 Reference: Local Model Validation Report Date Created: September 2011 This document has been prepared by AECOM Limited for the sole use of our client (the “Client”) and in accordance with generally accepted consultancy principles, the budget for fees and the terms of reference agreed between AECOM Limited and the Client. Any information provided by third parties and referred to herein has not been checked or verified by AECOM Limited, unless otherwise expressly stated in the document. No third party may rely upon this document without the prior and express written agreement of AECOM Limited. f:\tp\project\transport planning - walsall transportation framework\60047104 dsda 2011\reports\lmvr\draft darlaston sda lmvr_v2_compressed.doc Table of Contents 1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................................................................... 3 1.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................ 3 1.2 Background to MSBC Modelling ............................................................................................................................ 3 1.3 Structure of this Report .......................................................................................................................................... 4 2 Overview and Model Characteristics ............................................................................................................................... 6 2.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................ 6 2.2 Modelling Package ................................................................................................................................................ 7 2.3 Modelled Base Year and Time Periods ................................................................................................................. 7 2.4 Vehicle Types and Journey Purposes ................................................................................................................... 7 2.4.3 Passenger Car Units.............................................................................................................................................. 8 2.5 Assignment Methodology ...................................................................................................................................... 8 2.5.1 Assignment Technique .......................................................................................................................................... 8 2.5.2 Generalised Cost Routeing Parameters ................................................................................................................ 9 2.6 Study Area ........................................................................................................................................................... 12 2.7 New Data Collection ............................................................................................................................................ 14 2.8 Existing Data Collation......................................................................................................................................... 14 3 Base Year Network Development .................................................................................................................................. 17 3.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................... 17 3.2 Local Model Area of Coverage ............................................................................................................................ 17 3.3 Network Development ......................................................................................................................................... 18 3.4 Zone Development .............................................................................................................................................. 23 4 Base Year Matrix Development ...................................................................................................................................... 31 4.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................... 31 4.2 The West Midlands PRISM Model ....................................................................................................................... 31 5 Model Calibration ............................................................................................................................................................ 36 5.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................... 36 5.2 Network Calibration ............................................................................................................................................. 36 5.3 Matrix Estimation ................................................................................................................................................. 36 5.4 Monitoring of the Matrix Estimation Process ........................................................................................................ 43 5.5 Model Calibration ................................................................................................................................................. 49 5.6 Summary ............................................................................................................................................................. 58 6 Model Validation.............................................................................................................................................................. 60 6.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................... 60 6.2 Validation Count Data .......................................................................................................................................... 60 6.3 Network Validation ............................................................................................................................................... 62 6.4 Link Flow Validation Results ................................................................................................................................ 62 6.5 Journey Time Validation ...................................................................................................................................... 76 6.6 Summary ............................................................................................................................................................. 77 7 Summary and Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................ 83 7.1 Summary ............................................................................................................................................................. 83 7.2 Conclusions ......................................................................................................................................................... 84 Appendix A .................................................................................................................................................................................... 85 Origin/Destination Routeing Patterns ................................................................................................................................ 85 Appendix B .................................................................................................................................................................................... 92 Zone Loader Locations...................................................................................................................................................... 92 North West Zone Loader Locations ................................................................................................................................... 93 North East Zone Loader Locations.................................................................................................................................... 94 South West Zone Loader Locations .................................................................................................................................. 95 South East Zone Loader Locations ................................................................................................................................... 96 Appendix C .................................................................................................................................................................................... 97 Link and Turning Flow Calibration Results ........................................................................................................................ 97 Appendix D .................................................................................................................................................................................. 104 Link and Turning Flow Validation Results ....................................................................................................................... 104 Link and Turning Flow Validation Plots ........................................................................................................................... 108 Appendix E .................................................................................................................................................................................. 115 Journey Time Results...................................................................................................................................................... 115 Introduction AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation 1 Introduction 1.1 Introduction AECOM was commissioned by Walsall Metropolitan Borough Council (WMBC) to develop a traffic model capable of a detailed assessment of traffic conditions in the Darlaston area. This report outlines the development and subsequent performance, at the base year, of three time period SATURN highway assignment models, constructed to support the development of the Major Scheme Business Case (MSBC) for the Darlaston Strategic Development Area (SDA) Access Project. The Access Project proposes a number of improvements to the highway network to form part of the overall regeneration strategy for the area; the aim of which is to improve accessibility, making the area more viable for inward investment. A Major Scheme Annex E was submitted, and provisionally approved, in 2003. However, since then, the Masterplan for the area has changed substantially and the proposed highway improvements have also been amended. The revised proposals for the area require a new traffic modelling exercise to be undertaken to inform the re-submission of the business case, as well as the Compulsory Purchase Orders required to deliver the scheme (and possible subsequent Public Inquiry). The traffic modelling will be used to inform the evaluation of improvement options for the Darlaston highway network. This Local Model Validation Report (LMVR) discusses the sources of data that were used for model development, describes the model development process and the subsequent model performance in terms of calibration and validation against observed data. The model has been developed in accordance with the latest web based Transport Appraisal Guidance ‘WebTAG’ issued by the Department for Transport (DfT) and the guidance contained within the ‘Design Manual for Roads and Bridges (DMRB) Volume 12a Section 4’. 1.2 Background to MSBC Modelling A traffic model was originally developed for Darlaston in 2003, as part of the Darlaston SDA Access Strategy Major Scheme Business Case (Annex E) submission, using VISSIM micro-simulation software. In 2005, the AM and PM peak VISSIM models were re-validated to test additional proposals developed by WMBC on an updated highway network. To conform to the latest WebTAG guidance for MSBC’s at that time, a 2005 base year Inter-Peak model was constructed in 2006. This used 2005 data for consistency across the three time periods. In 2009, it was considered necessary to develop a more strategic traffic model, to consider the impacts over a larger area. This larger, more strategic model, established the wider re-routeing impacts of the proposed schemes. Due to its more strategic nature, the modelling platform used was revised, with the model constructed in SATURN rather than in VISSIM. It was agreed with WMBC that the new SATURN models would retain a 2005 base year as this would eliminate the need for an extensive and expensive new data collection exercise. The new SATURN models were used in the scheme assessment which underpinned the MSBC Submission of March 2010. 3 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation In October 2010, the DfT issued the document ‘Investment in Local Major Transport Schemes’ which announced a Pre-Qualification Pool of 34 schemes, including the Darlaston SDA project, which required further assessment before they could join the Development Pool. In response to this, an Expression of Interest (EoI) was submitted to the DfT in January 2011 to provide additional information and evidence in support of the MSBC submitted in March 2010. On 4 February 2011, the DfT issued the document ‘Investment in Local Major Transport Schemes: Update’. This announced that the DSDA Access Scheme had been successfully promoted into the Scheme Development Pool and that further work was required in advance of the submission of a Best and Final Funding Bid (BaFFB) in September 2011. Feedback from the DfT on the modelling and appraisal aspects of the March 2010 MSBC submission highlighted some areas of concern which were: • The age of the data underpinning the assessment; • The area of model coverage; • The base model fit at a number of key junctions in some time periods; • The veracity of the trip patterns included in the demand matrix; and • The need to reforecast using the version of TEMPRO due to be released in April 2011 (subsequently announced as TEMPRO v6.2) and to follow the latest guidance on the treatment of developments in the future year forecasting. To overcome the issues identified above, a proposed methodology was prepared to update the existing 2005 base year SATURN local models. In summary, this involved: • rebasing the models to a new base year of 2011; • re-forecasting using TEMPRO v6.2 and the latest available development assumptions; and • allowing for variable demand responses by use of the strategic West Midlands PRISM model. Specific additional model update tasks included re-examining the local model area of coverage and carrying out a new data collection exercise. 1.3 Structure of this Report This report contains six further chapters which describe the development and subsequent performance of the base year time period highway assignment models. An overview of the methodology and key characteristics of the models is provided in Chapter 2. The development of the highway model network and zoning system is described in Chapter 3. The development of the local model travel demand trip matrices is presented in Chapter 4. Chapters 5 and 6 discuss the model calibration and validation processes respectively, whilst Chapter 7 presents a summary and conclusions. 4 Overview and Model Characteristics AECOM Local Model Validation Report 6 Capabilities on project: Transportation 2 Overview and Model Characteristics 2.1 Introduction This chapter provides an overview of the model development process and the general model structure, together with key model characteristics. Figure 2.1 gives an overview of the model development process from the data collection through to a final validated model. Figure 2.1 Model Development Methodology Update PRISM model to 2011 using TEMPRO 6.2 and latest completed local development and transport scheme data PRISM Cordon Network & Matrices for local model area Network Building Matrix Building 1. Enhance network coverage in local model 2. Add schemes completed between 2005 and 2011 3. Junction and link coding and checking 4. Definition of local model zones and zone loading points 1. Zone disaggregation to local model zoning system Local Model Assignment Matrix Estimation New Data Collection and Existing Data Collation 1. Link ATC and MCC 2. Turning counts at junctions 3. Journey times Model Calibration Model Validation AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation 2.2 Modelling Package The DSDA Access Project highway assignment model utilises version 10.9.24 of the SATURN suite of transportation planning software. 2.3 Modelled Base Year and Time Periods The modelled base year represents average weekday (Monday to Friday) traffic flows in April 2011. The highway network was developed to represent the infrastructure in place at this time. Three distinct one hour time periods are modelled: • AM Peak Hour (0800-0900); • An average Inter-peak (IP) Hour (Average hour between 1000 and 1600); and • PM Peak Hour (1700-1800). 2.4 Vehicle Types and Journey Purposes 2.4.1 Vehicle Types The model represents three main vehicle types: • Cars; • Light goods vehicles (LGV); and • Heavy goods vehicles (HGV). In addition to the three main vehicle types, timetabled bus services are assigned in the model as fixed flows on the network. 2.4.2 Journey Purposes The car vehicle type has further been subdivided into four journey purposes which are referred to as user classes. In total, there are six user classes that are ultimately assigned in the model, including: • Car Commute; • Car Education; • Car Other; • Car Business; • LGV; and • HGV. 7 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 8 Capabilities on project: Transportation Six user classes are modelled as each will exhibit different journey behaviour and characteristics and each will therefore need to be assigned using different generalised costs to reflect the differing importance they each attach to various elements of the journey such as time and distance. In addition, different growth factors can be attributed to each user class when developing forecast year trip matrices. 2.4.3 Passenger Car Units Passenger Car Units (PCU) are a unit of measure whereby large vehicles, i.e. HGVs, are converted to equivalent passenger cars using a conversion factor. This also allows a mixture of traffic flows to be modelled and analysed more accurately than if it was assumed all vehicles modelled were equal in terms of the road space they use. The DfT sets out various PCU factors to convert larger vehicles to passenger car units in WebTAG Unit 3.9.5 (Table B4) and Unit 3.12.2 (Table 10). The PCU factor for HGV’s in the DSDA model was obtained assuming that the ratio between rigid and articulated heavy goods vehicles is 61:39; this ratio was taken from the previous DSDA studies and was still considered appropriate for determining the weighted HGV PCU factor for use in this study. Table 2.1 shows the PCU factors to be used for the vehicle types modelled in the DSDA highway assignment model. Table 2.1 PCU Factors by Vehicle Type Vehicle Type WebTAG PCU Factor Car Lights Good Vehicle (LGV) Rigid Goods Vehicle (HGV) Arctic Goods Vehicle (HGV) Public Service Vehicles (PSV) 1.0 1.0 1.9 2.9 2.5 Darlaston PCU Factor 1.0 1.0 2.2 2.5 All traffic flows shown in the model calibration and validation chapters of this report are expressed in PCUs, unless otherwise stated. 2.5 Assignment Methodology 2.5.1 Assignment Technique The assignment model predicts the routes that drivers will choose and the way that traffic demand interacts with the available road capacity. The assignment technique chosen for the DSDA model is Wardrop’s Principle of Traffic (or User) Equilibrium. This method assumes that all drivers of the same journey purpose perceive journey costs in the same way. The method adjusts traffic flows on the network so that, once converged, no driver can reduce his or her (perceived) journey cost by changing route. It is an iterative procedure, in which the travel speed on each network link is recalculated according to the level of traffic assigned in each iteration. AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation The PASSQ option within SATURN is also utilised in the assignment procedure. AM and PM period PASSQ factors were derived from fifteen ATC counts obtained in 2011. A factor, representing the proportion of traffic travelling in the hour immediately prior to the modelled peak hour compared to that travelling within the modelled peak hour, was calculated and the average taken across all of the counts to generate the PASSQ factors, which are given in Table 2.2. Table 2.2 Peak Period PASSQ Factors AM PASSQ Factor 0.867 2.5.2 PM PASSQ Factor 0.975 Generalised Cost Routeing Parameters Generalised cost is a measure which takes into account the different components which contribute to the decision about making a journey. In the case of highway trips, the principal components are journey time and journey distance. These two elements can be combined using the Value of Time (VOT) and the Vehicle Operating Costs (VOC) appropriate for each user class. The VOT and VOC values are given in DfT WebTAG guidance, Unit 3.5.6, and the latest values from April 2011 have been used. In SATURN all assignments assume that individual drivers seek to minimise their travel cost, with travel cost being defined as their generalised cost as follows: K = PPM * T + PPK * D + M Where: • K is the cost in units of pence, • T is time in units of minutes, • D is distance in kilometres, • M is a monetary charge in pence (if applicable), • PPM is a user-defined parameter specifying ‘Pence Per Minute’ and • PPK is a user defined parameter specifying ‘Pence Per Kilometre’. The VOT and VOC are used to calculate the generalised cost parameters PPM and PPK, which differ depending on the drivers’ journey purpose and class of vehicle. The time of travel during the day also affects the PPM parameter. The PPM and PPK values for each user class and time period are summarised in Table 2.3. These values have been converted from the 2002 base year values to 2011 values using the relevant information and methodology given in the current guidance. It has been assumed that LGV trips are all work related trips; no non-work parameters have therefore been used to calculate the generalised costs for this vehicle type. 9 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 10 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 2.3 PPM and PPK Values for 2011 User Class AM Peak Value of Time (PPM) Value of Distance (PPK) Inter Peak Value of Time (PPM) Value of Distance (PPK) PM Peak Value of Time (PPM) Value of Distance (PPK) Car Commute Car Education Car Other Car Business LGV HGV 10.16 6.47 12.99 6.47 12.99 6.47 44.93 13.44 17.22 14.04 14.97 37.67 10.08 6.47 13.51 6.47 13.51 6.47 43.92 13.44 17.22 14.04 14.97 37.25 9.93 6.47 13.88 6.47 13.88 6.47 43.27 13.44 17.22 14.04 14.97 37.69 The derivation of these figures is perhaps best demonstrated by some worked examples, which are shown below. Table 2.4 considers the calculation of VoT for cars on business in the AM peak hour, Table 2.5 calculates the VoT for car commuting trips in the AM peak hour, Table 2.6 calculates fuel related VOC for cars on business and Table 2.7 calculates non-fuel VOC for car business trips. Table 2.4 Worked Example – 2011 Value of Time Car Business AM WebTAG Unit 3.5.6 Table Units Table 1 Perceived Cost 1 Car Driver 21.86 £/hr 2 Car Passenger 15.66 £/hr Table 4 3 Car Occupancy (2000) 1.23 Table 6 4 Year on Year % change -0.48 5 Car Occupancy (2011) 1.218 6 Car Driver (2011) 1 7 Car Passenger (2011) 0.218 Calculation - VoT Vehicle (2011) 8 Car Driver (1)x(6) 21.86 £/hr 9 Car Passenger (2)x(7) 3.42 £/hr 10 Vehicle (8)+(9) 25.28 £/hr 11 Conversion to pence/min 42.13 p/min Table 3 12 VoT Growth 1.066 Value of Time 44.93 p/min 13 PPM (2011) 2002 prices and 2011 values AECOM Local Model Validation Report 11 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 2.5 Worked Example – 2011 Value of Time Car Commute AM WebTAG Unit 3.5.6 Table Units Table 2 Perceived Cost 1 Car Driver 5.04 £/hr 2 Car Passenger 5.04 £/hr Table 4 3 Car Occupancy (2000) 1.16 Table 6 4 Year on Year % change -0.48 5 Car Occupancy (2011) 1.148 6 Car Driver (2011) 1 7 Car Passenger (2011) 0.148 Calculation - VoT Vehicle (2011) 8 Car Driver (1)x(6) 5.04 £/hr 9 Car Passenger (2)x(7) 0.75 £/hr 10 Vehicle (8)+(9) 5.79 £/hr 11 Conversion to pence/min 9.64 p/min Table 3 12 VoT Growth 1.053 Value of Time 10.16 p/min 13 PPM (2011) 2002 prices and 2011 values Table 2.6 Worked Example – 2011 Vehicle Operating Costs Fuel Car Business WebTAG Unit 3.5.6 Table Values Table 10 - Average Car (2011) 1 A 0.8071 2 b 0.0531 3 c -0.000271 4 d 0.00000317 5 Speed 28 Table 11 - Average Car (2011) 6 Resource Cost 33.1 7 Duty 45.9 8 VAT n/a 9 Fuel Cost 79 Table 12 – Car 10 Car Split Petrol (2011) 58 11 Car Split Diesel (2011) 42 Table 13 – Average Car 12 Efficiency Improvement Factor (2011) 0.888838 Fuel Cost 2 3 13 Fuel Consumption (1) + (2)x(5) + (3)x(5) + (4)x(5) x (12) / (5) 0.0683 5.39 14 Fuel Cost (9) x (13) (1) to (4) takes into account the change in the petrol / diesel split in 2011 Units kph p / litre p / litre p / litre % % p / km AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 2.7 Worked Example – 2011 Vehicle Operating Costs Non – Fuel Car Business Unit 3.5.6 April 2011, Table 15 Units 1 Parameter - a1 4.069 pence/km 2 Parameter - b1 111.391 pence/hr 3 Vehicle Speed - v 28 kph 8.05 p/km 4 Non-Fuel Cost (1) + ( (2) / (3) ) 2.6 Study Area The definition of the area to be covered and the level of detail required are important considerations in the design of a traffic model. The Design Manual for Roads and Bridges (DMRB) states that in general, the scheme study area should be as small as is consistent with the requirements of the economic appraisal, but large enough to reflect all likely reassignment due to the scheme in the future. As outlined in Chapter 1.2, one of the DfT concerns on the earlier modelling work related to the area of the model coverage. For the current model update, model coverage was revisited using the strategic West Midlands PRISM model and further detail is provided in Chapter 3.2. In summary, it was necessary to extend the modelled area from that considered in the previous modelling work which underpinned the March 2010 MSBC submission and the enhanced area of coverage for the 2011 model is shown on Figure 2.2. For completeness, Figure 2.2 also shows the previous (2005) SATURN model’s area of coverage together with the area of coverage of the detailed VISSIM microsimulation model originally developed in 2003. 12 AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 2.2 DSDA 2011 Model Study Area Local Model Validation Report 13 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation 2.7 New Data Collection Traffic count and journey time data were required to ensure that the models created are representative of the network conditions present within the modelled area in 2011. New traffic data were therefore collected in April 2011 to assist with the development of the new traffic model. The data collected included: • Automatic Traffic Counts (ATCs) undertaken for a one week period at 15 locations; • Manual Classified Turning Counts (MCTCs) and queue length surveys, undertaken for a twelve hour period on one day at nine junctions; and • Journey time surveys undertaken across the AM, Inter and PM peak periods for five routes across the study area. Given the time and financial constraints, the new data collection exercise was focused around the scheme junctions. This will ensure that the new model is fully up to date and robust in the vicinity of the scheme. The new data were collected in April 2011 by Nationwide Data Collection. The data were collected outside of the Easter school holiday period and further details are provided in the ‘DSDA Access Project – BaFFB, Data Collection Report, June 2011’. 2.8 Existing Data Collation The new data collection exercise provided excellent data coverage within the core study area. However, these data needed to be supplemented by other existing data to ensure a robust base model was developed across the wider study area. Additional traffic count data were obtained from the West Midlands Count Database, SPECTRUM, to cover the local roads in the study area, whilst trunk road count data were obtained from the Highways Agency’s TRADS traffic count database. SPECTRUM data from 2009, 2010 and 2011 were used in the model update process. Factors were developed, based on information from continuously monitored traffic count sites within the study area, to convert 2009 and 2010 data to the new model base year of 2011. All counts were factored to April 2011. The calculated factors used are provided in Table 2.8 below. Table 2.8 – Factors to Bring Count Data to a Common Base of April 2011 Time Period AM Peak IP Peak PM Peak 2009 – 2011 Growth 0.997 0.997 0.976 2010 – 2011 Growth 1.016 0.946 0.988 In total 138 counts were abstracted from the SPECTRUM database for use in the development of the updated traffic model. The counts used are shown in Table 2.9 by year and type. 14 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 2.9 SPECTRUM Counts by Year and Type Count Type ATC (59) Passage Counts (45) Turning Count (34) Year 2009 2010 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 No. Counts 36 23 22 22 1 21 13 TRADS is the Highways Agency’s traffic count database which provides traffic flow information collected from England’s motorway and trunk road network. TRADS data from a neutral month in 2009 were abstracted for the three M6 motorway links between junctions 8 and 9, 9 and 10 and 10 and 10a and adjusted to April 2011 levels using the factors given in Table 2.8 above. Data from 2009 were used as there were significant roadworks in 2010 and early 2011 which affected the counting sites. 15 Base Year Network Development AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation 3 Base Year Network Development 3.1 Introduction This chapter focuses on the development of the base year network for the DSDA 2011 SATURN model. However, the model zoning system is also discussed together with the review of the modelled area of coverage. 3.2 Local Model Area of Coverage There is currently no specific DfT guidance available regarding defining the area of coverage of local models based on their impact within a parent strategic model. However, as outlined in WebTAG Unit 3.10.2, paragraph 1.2.5, the Institution of Highways and Transportation’s (IHT) Guidelines on Developing Urban Transport Strategies suggests that “all roads that carry significant volumes of traffic” should be included and, more generally, that the network “should be of sufficient extent to include all realistic choices of route available to drivers”. An assessment was therefore undertaken based on the premise that all realistic and reasonable route choices and roads where flow changes occur which carry significant volumes of traffic, should be included. Since the original work was completed to examine model coverage, the strategic PRISM model has been revalidated to a base year of 2006 (from 2001) and updated forecasts are available for 2016 and 2026. However, these forecasts are based on TEMPRO version 5.4 growth predictions. The first stage, therefore, was to update the PRISM model reference case 2016 matrices to reflect the latest TEMPRO version 6.2 predictions. This was carried out for the AM, PM and Inter-peak hours. The matrices were then assigned first, to a 2016 DM network and secondly, to a 2016 DS network which represented the DM network with the DSDA scheme included. These tasks were undertaken by the PRISM team and loaded networks supplied for further interrogation. In order to take a pragmatic view of what is considered to be a significant impact with regards to a change in flow between a ‘with project’ and ‘without project’ scenario, a number of flow difference criteria were examined according to the overall level of flow modelled in the ‘with project’ situation. These criteria are as follows: • Criteria 1 – For roads with <500 vehicles per hour flow, include links where the difference in flow between the with and without project is +/-25 vehicles; • Criteria 2 – For roads with a flow >500 vehicles per hour, include links where the difference is >-5% or <5%; and • Criteria 3 – For roads with a flow >500 vehicles per hour, include links where the difference is >-10% or <10%. The same criteria were applied to all time periods and the flow differences used the ‘with project’ scenario as the basis for comparison. The 2016 PRISM model assignments for the with (DS) and without (DM) DSDA scheme scenarios were interrogated and flow difference plots produced to show the impact of the DSDA scheme. The scheme impact threshold criteria defined above were applied and the results are shown diagrammatically on Figures 3.1 to 3.3 for the AM peak, Inter-peak and PM peak hours respectively. 17 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation The diagrams are typical of those produced when using a strategic model to assess the impact of a local scheme in that, whilst there are a significant group of links in the scheme area showing an impact, there are also impacts shown much more widely across the strategic network. These wider impacts are often referred to as ‘model noise’ and they may, or may not, be determined reasonable by the practitioner. This is clearly a subjective area and a pragmatic approach is required to determine what is considered to be a reasonable area of impact for the scheme. Each of Figures 3.1 to 3.3 includes shaded areas. The small blue shaded area in the immediate vicinity of the scheme represents the area covered by the detailed microsimulation model that was originally developed to assist with scheme operational assessment in 2003. The orange area represents the coverage of the local SATURN model used in the economic assessment that supported the 2010 MSBC submission and subsequent EoI submission. The green shaded area represents the proposed local SATURN model area of coverage for the 2011 model update which will be used to underpin the BaFFB submission in September 2011. Examination of Figure 3.2 shows the impact of the scheme in the Inter-peak hour. This clearly shows that the previous area of coverage is now insufficient and that there are impacts due to the scheme both around the Walsall Ring Road in the north-east quadrant and within the Town Centre that were not previously being considered. This is due to the opening of the Town Centre Transport Package scheme in 2009. This involved upgrading the section of the Walsall Ring Road between the A461 in the east to the A454 in the west (i.e. the section around the north of Walsall Town Centre). This provides better access to the Darlaston area (amongst many others) and it is considered reasonable that the DSDA scheme impacts may well now legitimately extend to the north-east quadrant of the Ring Road. Figure 3.2 also shows some isolated links that are outside of the green shaded area, but these are considered to be due to model noise and have been ignored. Figures 3.1 and 3.3 show the scheme impact in the AM and PM peaks respectively. Model noise is now more widespread, particularly in the PM peak, but the green shaded area is considered to pick up those impacts which are genuinely attributable to the scheme. In conclusion, the enhanced area of model coverage used as the basis for the development of the 2011 local area SATURN model is shown in Figure 3.4 in terms of network links included. 3.3 Network Development 3.3.1 Model Network The network within the core study area has already been coded and validated as part of the development of the previous base year 2005 SATURN model. However, the wider area of coverage now required has resulted in an annulus of additional network which needs to be coded surrounding this core area. The additional model network was coded using the SATURN module PMAKE with bitmap images of the local road network combined with OS aerial photography data imported from MapInfo to ensure accurate coordinates were used. All additional model network was coded in simulation using standard SATURN procedures. Junctions were coded using Ordnance Survey (OS) base plans, aerial photographs and from information gathered from site visits within the study area. Signal timings were obtained from Walsall MBC. 18 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation The final step in the base year network development was to include schemes that had been competed since the previous base year of 2005. Only one such scheme needed to be included. This was the Walsall Town Centre Transport Package scheme, which involved re-aligning the existing northern section of the Walsall Ring Road, between the A454 and the A461, and upgrading it to dual two lane carriageway standard. A summary of the network attributes for the 2011 base year model network is given in Table 3.1. Table 3.1 Network Attributes Network Attribute Number in Model Links 7,168 Signalised junctions 74 Roundabouts 38 Priority Junctions 587 Zones – Internal 219 Zones – External 30 Zone Connectors 286 3.3.2 Speed Flow Curves In an urban area, the main delays to a journey result from the interaction of traffic at junctions. SATURN is structured to model these interactions, and it is usually assumed that traffic within the simulation network travels at a uniform speed between the nodes of the model, with delay occurring at the junctions. In rural areas the links are generally longer and much of the delay is experienced between junctions. This is usually related to the physical capacity of the road and there is a decline in speed as traffic volume increases. The effect of these link-based delays has been studied empirically and typical effects are set out in the form of speed-flow curves as defined in DMRB Volume 13, the COBA Manual. For the current study, the model coverage is mainly made up of urban roads. The effect of congestion on the network is most likely to be influenced by: • Junction-based calculations for local urban roads; • Link-based speed-flow relationships on strategic routes together with delays at junctions in the urban area; and • Link-based speed-flow relationships for rural routes. The speed-flow relationships used in the DSDA model, and their parameters, are taken from the COBA Manual and are shown in Table 3.2. The link capacities are in passenger car units (PCUs) per hour and it was assumed that HGVs constituted 15% of traffic on motorways and all-purpose roads in line with guidance criteria. 19 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 20 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 3.2 Speed-Flow Curve Parameters Road Description Rural D4 Motorway Rural D3 Motorway Rural D2 Motorway Rural D1 Motorway Rural D4 All-Purpose Road Rural D3 All-Purpose Road Rural D2 All-Purpose Road 2 Lane Slip Road Motorway Single Lane Slip-Road Rural S10 Good standard (Aroad) Rural S7.3 Typical standard (Aroad) Rural S7.0 Typical standard (Broad) Rural S6.5 Poor standard Rural / Unclassified Country Suburban D3 (slight development) Suburban D2 (slight development) Suburban D4 (typical development) Suburban D3 (typical development) Suburban D2 (typical development) Suburban D1 (typical development) Suburban Single (slight development) Suburban S3 - No Central Reservation Suburban S2 - No Central Reservation Suburban Single-Lane (typical dev.) Urban Non-central 3-Lane 50% dev. Urban Non-central 2-Lane 50% dev. Urban Non-central - 50% development Urban Non-central - 80% development Urban Non-central - 100% development Urban Central INT=2 Urban Central INT=4.5 Urban Central INT=9 Small Town 35% Development Small Town 60% Development Small Town 90% Development Give-way One Way Obstruction Free flow Speed (kph) Speed at capacity (kph) Capacity (PCUs/hr) Power Function 105 102 102 102 101 101 97 92 92 87 78 74 68 50 75 71 64 64 64 64 64 60 60 61 57 57 52 44 42 35 32 24 64 56 46 20 79 79 76 76 73 73 68 55 55 42 41 38 40 21 34 35 35 32 31 31 24 23 23 22 22 21 20 20 20 10 10 10 25 30 30 10 8760 6570 4380 2190 7600 6030 4020 3460 1730 1730 1640 1640 1640 1200 5100 3400 6565 5100 3400 1700 1700 4924 3283 1700 3283 1700 1640 1560 1480 740 630 450 1770 1000 880 450 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.7 2.35 2.35 2.05 2.35 2.1 1.35 2.15 2.3 1.15 3.75 3.8 1.75 1.75 2.6 1.45 1.45 1.5 0.75 0.8 1.67 1.56 1.48 1.83 1.73 1.55 3.06 3.39 2.45 1.55 In general speed flow curves have been applied to long links to represent realistic link delay in addition to the delay experienced at the junctions at each end. They have also been applied where friction from road side activity is deemed to be an issue or to discourage unrealistic rat running through the model. Where a speed flow curve has not been assigned a fixed speed is used based on road classification. AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 3.5 below shows the location and type of speed flow curve used on the model links. Figure 3.5 Speed-Flow Curve Locations 21 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation 3.3.3 Network Checks A series of checks were made on the network when it was completed to ensure its validity. These checks included: • • • Range Checks - The characteristics of all links were checked to ensure that they were appropriate for that type of link. Characteristics checked included speed/flow relationships and the number of lanes coded; Link Length Checks - The lengths of all links within the network were checked against distances measured on site visits and distances measured from Ordnance Survey (OS) maps; and Routeing Checks - The routes for all vehicles between a selection of origin and destination pairs were checked for reasonableness. All illogical routes were corrected. These re-routeing checks were revisited during the model calibration and validation stages. Routeing checks between a series of key origin and destinations zone pairs by time period are summarised below and provided in plot format in Appendix A. • Route 1 Route 1 travels from the south west to the north east of the model from SATURN zone 5018 to zone 5007. This is from the A4098 at Bilston to the A461 Lichfield Road in the north east. This route takes the most direct routeing pattern and follows local roads to access the Black Country Route. It then takes the Walsall Ring Road and accesses the A461 to the North East. This route is the same in all time periods. • Route 2 Route 2 travels from the south east to the north west of the model from SATURN zone 5011 to 5026. This is from the A34 at Great Barr to Wednesfield. The route is sensible taking the Walsall Ring Road, M6 Junction 9 to 10 and the Black Country route and a series of local roads to Wednesfield. The route is broadly similar across all time periods with some minor local variations. • Route 3 Route 3 travels from the centre of Walsall to the M6 Northbound. This is from SATURN zone 241 to 5000. Again the route is inherently sensible taking the nearest access to the M6 at Junction 9 and following the M6 north. The routes are identical in all time periods. • Route 4 Route 4 travels northeast to west from the A461 Lichfield Road to the A41 approaching Wolverhampton. This is from SATURN zone 5007 to zone 5023. This route is again sensible where the route takes the Walsall Ring Road and then accesses the Black Country Route. There is a local variation in the Black Country area where in the AM and Inter-Peak the route follows the A463 Black Country Route to the A41 whereas in the PM the A454 and some local roads. This may suggest some congestion on the Black Country Route westbound in the PM peak. These plots demonstrate the models are sensibly routeing traffic making strategic movements through the network. 22 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation 3.4 Zone Development 3.4.1 Internal Zone Structure The zoning system for the 2011 DSDA highway assignment model is based on the census super output area (lower layer) zoning system. However, some aggregation has taken place in order to reduce the overall number of zones where this is possible and where this is commensurate with the level of network detail in that area. In total, the model comprises 249 zones of which 219 are internal to the study area and 30 are cordon crossing zones representing external areas. The zoning system within the modelled study area is illustrated on Figure 3.6. 23 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 3.6 The DSDA 2011 Model Internal Zoning System 3.4.2 External Zone Structure The 30 external zones were created wherever a road was severed within the parent PRISM model when the local model cordoning process was undertaken. As such, these external zones represent the demand from hinterland areas that are likely to enter/leave the local model on these particular roads. The external model zoning system is illustrated on Figure 3.7 24 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 25 Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 3.7 The DSDA 2011 Model External Zoning System M6 North M54 Wolverhampton Birmingham External Zone Locations 3.4.3 Dudley M5 South M6 South Centroid Connectors Connecting links are required between each zone and one or more points on the highway network. These are known as centroid connectors and are the means of loading trip demand onto the modelled network. For the internal area of the model, each zone is connected to the network via spigot links, where a spigot link represents an actual road. The advantage of this is that the flows on the links within the simulation area can be more accurately represented. In the wider rural areas of the network, zones are connected to the network using centroid connectors across a simulation link. Plots showing the locations of the zone connectors in the model are provided in Appendix B. AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 3.1 Impact of the DSDA Scheme, AM Peak Hour Local Model Validation Report 26 AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 3.2 Impact of the DSDA Scheme, Inter-Peak Hour Local Model Validation Report 27 AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 3.3 Impact of the DSDA Scheme, PM Peak Hour Local Model Validation Report 28 AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 3.4 2011 DSDA Local Model Area of Coverage Local Model Validation Report 29 Base Year Matrix Development AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation 4 Base Year Matrix Development 4.1 Introduction This chapter describes the methodology used to develop the base year 2011 trip demand matrices for the DSDA highway assignment model. 4.2 The West Midlands PRISM Model The Policy Responsive Integrated Strategic Model (PRISM) has been developed for the seven West Midlands Local Authorities, CENTRO and the Highways Agency using the VISUM software package. VISUM is a strategic modelling package developed by PTG AG of Germany. The PRISM model comprises a highway assignment model, with a detailed simulation network modelling the delays at junctions, and a public transport network covering the entire West Midlands area. A four stage demand model sits above the highway and public transport models and handles trip responses such as mode choice, macro time period choice and trip redistribution based on the detailed trip costs passed to it by the highway and public transport models. The PRISM model has substantial coverage of the West Midlands conurbation with the surrounding shire counties represented at a coarser level. The model is validated for a 2006 base year and has forecasts available for 2016 and 2026. The forecasts are currently based on the DfT’s National Trip End Model TEMPRO version 5.4 growth predictions. TEMPRO version 6.2 was introduced in the WebTAG update of April 2011 and its use was subsequently confirmed for scheme appraisal on 19 July 2011. The first stage of the matrix development process for the local DSDA 2011 model was therefore to produce PRISM model reference case 2011 matrices to reflect the latest TEMPRO version 6.2 projections. This work was carried out by the PRISM team for the AM peak, Inter-peak and PM peak hours. 4.2.2 Production of PRISM Reference Case 2011 Networks and Matrices The starting point for the 2011 PRISM Reference Case 2011 networks and matrices was the validated 2006 models. The networks were updated to reflect schemes built between 2006 and 2011 and the list of schemes is provided below in Table 4.1. All of the schemes listed below are outside of the local model study area with the exception of the Walsall Town Centre Transport Package. Given the strategic nature of the PRISM model, however, it is relevant to ensure the wider network is as representative of 2011 conditions as possible. There was not a 2011 PRISM network readily available so it was agreed that the 2016 forecast network would be used as a starting point with key schemes, such as the managed motorway programme around parts of the West Midlands, removed from these forecast networks to leave a representative 2011 model network. 31 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 4.1 Schemes Included in the PRISM 2011 Networks A38 Northfield Regeneration scheme Coventry Bus Network (Primelines) Hagley Road Bus Showcase Outer Circle/Radial Routes Showcase Cradley Heath Town Centre Strategy scheme Red Routes Package 1 Wolverhampton Centre Access Interchange Selly Oak New Road Walsall Town Centre Transport Package Coleshill Multi Modal Interchange Owen Street Level Crossing Relief Road, Tipton Brierley Hill Sustainable Access Network M40 Junction 15 (Longbridge Roundabout) Hard Shoulder Running M42 Junctions 3a-7 Hard Shoulder Running M6 Junction 4-5 Controlled Motorway M40 Junction 16 to J3A M42 BIA/NEC Public Transport project A4123 Junction (Burnt Tree) Improvement, Dudley A41 Expressway / A4031 Junction, West Bromwich The 2011 trip matrices were developed using both TEMPRO v6.2 data and local development data already being used in the PRISM model as assumed to be in place in 2011. The PRISM team were not able to provide the specific details associated with explicit developments that were incorporated within PRISM as these were based upon information provided by local authorities. However, the project team reviewed the zonal growth between the 2006 PRISM base year and 2011 constrained (to TEMPRO v6.2) matrices at this stage, to ensure growth was taking place in locations where known development had occurred. 4.2.3 PRISM 2011 Assignments The reference case matrices were input to a full run of the PRISM model. This was to enable the full range of variable demand responses to be allowed for across the West Midlands conurbation and to ensure that the resulting highway trip demand matrices output from the process accurately represented conditions across the conurbation in 2011. In other words, the reference case matrices can be considered as being adjusted in order to ‘fit onto’ the available network capacity. This approach was supported by DfT at a meeting held on 17 March 2011 to discuss scheme specific modelling issues prior to undertaking the BaFFB work. The DfT view was that the need for variable demand modelling in the local DSDA model was previously found to be marginal and that the strategic PRISM model could cater for these responses and would reflect a reasonable situation across the modelled area in both 2011 and future year Do-Minimum situations. The resulting 2011 PRISM highway model assignments were then cordoned to reflect the area shown in Figure 3.4 and the resulting loaded highway assignment networks were supplied to AECOM for each of the 32 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 33 Capabilities on project: Transportation AM peak, Inter-peak and PM peak hours. The highway trip matrices contained therein formed the basis for the development of the DSDA 2011 local model trip matrices for each time period. 4.2.4 Development of the 2011 DSDA Local Model Trip Matrices The cordoned PRISM model matrices were disaggregated to reflect the zoning system shown on Figure 3.6. This disaggregation was undertaken based on the proportion of population within each super output area zone (or group of zones) that comprised the DSDA local model zone. Data were not available within our timeframes to allow disaggregation based on employment data for those zones where employment was the significant land use. On completion, the local DSDA model contained 219 internal zones with 30 cordon crossing zones to give a total of 249 zones. The 30 external zones represented the cordon crossing points taken from the PRISM model. In seven of these locations, observed count data were available. In these instances, where the demand was significantly different from the observed flows as measured by the GEH and flow difference statistics, the prior matrices were factored to match the counts to assist with the calibration process. Table 4.2 displays the factors applied at these crossing points. Table 4.2 DSDA 2011 Local Model Trip Matrix Totals by Time Period and User Class Zone 5000 5007 5009 5017 5024 5025 5026 Direction AM Factors PM Factors IP Factors Car LGV HGV Inbound 0.554 0.801 1.157 Car 0.539 LGV 0.842 HGV 1.254 Car 0.587 LGV - HGV - Outbound 0.669 0.629 0.812 0.631 0.690 0.806 0.666 0.613 0.738 Inbound - - - - 0.230 0.354 - - - Outbound - 0.211 0.330 - 0.143 0.381 - - - Inbound 1.173 - - - - - 2.074 0.041 0.300 Outbound 1.446 - 1.372 - - - 1.119 - - - - 0.959 0.664 1.105 Inbound 0.951 3.257 1.802 - Outbound 0.801 2.284 1.303 0.699 1.265 1.624 0.918 0.590 1.835 Inbound 0.988 0.429 1.194 0.938 0.275 0.297 0.966 0.081 0.599 Outbound 0.720 0.434 0.319 0.603 0.323 0.345 0.675 0.062 0.166 Inbound - - - 0.677 - - 0.689 - - Outbound 0.436 - 2.054 0.517 - - 0.625 - - Inbound 1.254 - 2.374 - - - - - - Outbound - - - 1.372 - 13.490 - - - The matrix trip totals for each of the six user classes, by time period, are shown in Table 4.3. These trip matrices formed the prior trip matrices for input to the matrix estimation process which is described in the next chapter. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 34 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 4.3 DSDA 2011 Local Model Trip Matrix Totals by Time Period and User Class User Class . AM IP Vehicle trips PM Vehicle trips % % Vehicle trips % Car Commute 29198 55% 5148 13% 30768 58% Car Education 4487 9% 1162 3% 1021 2% Car Other 5871 11% 19714 49% 10666 20% Car Business 5782 11% 6778 17% 4654 9% LGV 3599 7% 3832 10% 3122 6% HGV 3782 7% 2396 52,628 5% 52,719 3203 39,838 8% Total Model Calibration AECOM Local Model Validation Report 36 Capabilities on project: Transportation 5 Model Calibration 5.1 Introduction The model calibration procedure involved a number of tasks, each of which was designed to ensure that the model adequately reproduced observed traffic conditions in 2011 across the study area. The tasks included: • Checking network coding and adjusting link and junction operating parameters to better represent the observed existing situation; • Reviewing model speed/flow curves; and • Using matrix estimation to generate matrices which best ‘fit’ the prior trip matrices to observed traffic counts within the study area. Each of these tasks is described in more detail below. 5.2 Network Calibration Matrix estimation assumes that any discrepancies between observed and modelled flows are entirely due to shortfalls in the demand matrix and not due to shortfalls in the network coding which in turn affects the way that the model determines route choice. It is essential, therefore, to develop a robust network before carrying out matrix estimation and, accordingly, a high degree of network calibration was undertaken. The initial stages of network calibration sought to improve the overall quality of the assignment by removing general network coding errors which were causing excessive delay or inappropriate route choice. Where necessary, this would also include adding in additional roads, for example some local residential roads, where these were needed to represent local ‘rat-running’ traffic. At this stage checks were also made of link lengths, link speed/flow curve allocation, junction coding to ensure correct layout against site visits or aerial photography and junction parameters such as signal timings for traffic signals and saturation flows etc. The allocation of centroid connectors (zone loaders) for internal zones was examined to verify that trips were loading onto the network at locations that were both sensible and realistic. Finally, model routeings were examined to ensure that traffic was being assigned along appropriate routes. 5.3 Matrix Estimation 5.3.1 Quality of Prior Matrices To demonstrate the veracity of the starting matrices for the AM and PM peak hours, we have presented in Table 5.1 and 5.2 the calibration and validation results following assignment of the prior matrices to the calibrated networks. This comparison has been undertaken against the final count dataset used in the calibration and validation of the models. The Inter-peak model uses prior matrices as final matrices i.e. no matrix estimation is undertaken for the inter-peak period. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 37 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 5.1 Prior Matrix Link and Turning Flow Calibration Summary Counts Modelled Flow (PCU's) Observed Flow (PCU's) Flow Diff (PCU's) % GEH % Flow % DMRB AM Peak 321 126,974 141,818 -14,844 52.4% 59.3% 62.3% PM Peak 321 140,189 144,588 -4,400 59.3% 62.3% 68.0% Time Period Table 5.2 Prior Matrix Link and Turning Flow Validation Summary Counts Modelled Flow (PCU's) Observed Flow (PCU's) Flow Diff (PCU's) % GEH % Flow % DMRB AM Peak 84 25,295 27,179 -1,885 59.5% 76.2% 76.2% PM Peak 84 27,021 29,590 -2,569 58.3% 72.6% 73.8% Time Period The prior matrices for both peak periods have over 50% of counts meeting either GEH or Flow difference calibration and validation criteria. For calibration 62% of flows against counts meet DMRB criteria in the AM peak and 68% in the PM peak. Against the validation counts, the prior matrix achieves a high 76% in the AM peak and 74% in the PM peak. This analysis demonstrates the veracity of the prior matrices for these time periods. 5.3.2 Prior and Post ME2 Regression Analysis Regression analysis has been undertaken on the prior and post ME2 demand matrices as a demonstration of the impact the matrix estimation process has had on trip demand. Regression analysis measures the overall ‘goodness of fit’ of the data set. The slope of the best fit regression line through the origin indicates the extent to which modelled values are over or under estimated. The correlation 2 coefficient (R ) gives a measure of goodness of model fit. The results of the regression analysis are shown in Table 5.3 and the regression graphs are shown on Figures 5.1 to 5.2 for the AM peak and PM peak hours. The results of the regression analysis confirm a close fit between the prior and post matrix estimation matrices for the AM and PM peak models. A value of 1.0 for both regression statistics represents a perfect fit. In both time periods the Y values are 0.99, the R2 values are also good at 0.97 in the AM peak and 0.98 in the PM peak. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 38 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 5.3 Prior and Post ME2: Regression Analysis Statistics Results Achieved (%) AM Peak PM Peak Hour Hour Criteria Slope of the Line, Y (between 0.90 - 1.10) 2 Correlation Coefficient R (should be > 0.95) 0.9951 0.9926 0.9732 0.9817 Figure 5.1 AM Peak Prior and Post ME2 Regression Plot AECOM Local Model Validation Report 39 Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 5.2 PM Peak Prior and Post ME2 Regression Plot 5.3.3 The Matrix Estimation Process Matrix Estimation by Maximum Entropy (ME2) is a procedure whereby a prior trip matrix, developed as described in Chapter 4, is adjusted such that, when the final adjusted matrix is assigned to the network, the flows will more closely replicate a given set of input traffic counts. The matrix estimation process requires a ‘prior’ trip matrix, a network and a count data set. The assigned network using the prior trip matrix produces a series of zone origin to destination movements for trips passing through each count site, which allows the matrix estimation process to adjust the relevant trip totals to match the observed count, thus producing the output estimated matrix. This estimated matrix is then used as the initial matrix in the next assignment iteration, which uses the revised flows to refine the congestion estimate which in turn refines route choice in order to produce the next iteration output matrix. This iterative process continues, with each successive estimated matrix producing assignments that feed into the next iteration, until model convergence is reached. Analysis of some of the early output assignments resulted in motorway trips (zones 5000, 5012 and 5013) being frozen. All movements to or from these zones were fixed in the matrix estimation process. This is because the matrix estimation process uses the pattern of trips in the prior matrix and adjusts trip volumes according to these trip patterns to match the counts. Trips to and from the motorway tend to be higher volumes than other trip movements at the count sites. Hence it is ‘easy’ for the matrix estimation process to make small adjustments to these movements in order to match the count at an individual site. However, the cumulative effect of all such adjustments at a number of sites around the network was to end up with motorway flows at levels both above its capacity and the observed motorway flows. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 40 Capabilities on project: Transportation 5.3.2 Calibration Count Data A primary input to model calibration were the traffic flows used as target counts within the matrix estimation process. A significant new data collection exercise was carried out in April 2011 and is documented in the DSDA Access Area Project BaFFB ‘Data Collection Report, June 2011’. This was supplemented by a data collation exercise where the West Midlands SPECTRUM database was interrogated together with the Highways Agency’s TRADS traffic count database and this is also documented in the ‘Data Collection Report, June 2011’. When applying matrix estimation techniques, care must be taken to ensure that the quality and consistency of the input count data is high. Checks were undertaken to ensure that this was the case, especially where counts on adjacent links were being used. This did result in some counts being removed from the dataset as the difference in observed flows could not be reconciled in the transport model. In summary some of the manual classified turning count data from the nine junctions that were surveyed in April 2011 were used in the matrix estimation process, together with 201 manual and automatic link and turning traffic counts in the AM and PM peak hours and 177 link and turning counts in the Inter-Peak peak hour. The reason there is a lower number of counts in the Inter-Peak is due to the fact some of the count data sets did not have Inter-Peak data available. Some of these link counts were organised into four screenlines; these are a ‘chain’ of counts across parallel roads, to ensure that calibration is achieved at a broader level across the model. The count data were input to the matrix estimation process in a certain order because of the sensitivity of the process to the location of the counts within the count data sets. The counts were input in order of importance, with the most important counts at the bottom of the count set, as follows: • Manual link passage counts; • Automatic link passage counts; • Screenline link passage counts; and • Manual turning counts at scheme junctions. The count locations used in the AM and PM peak hour matrix estimation process are shown on Figure 5.3, and the Inter Peak calibration count locations are displayed on Figure 5.4. AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 5.3 Location of Traffic Counts used in the AM and PM Matrix Estimation Process AM & PM Peak Calibration Count Locations 41 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 5.4 Inter Peak Calibration Count Locations Inter Peak Calibration Count Locations 42 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 43 Capabilities on project: Transportation Some link counts were held back and not used in the matrix estimation process. These independent counts were retained for model validation purposes and are discussed later, in the next chapter of this report. 5.4 Monitoring of the Matrix Estimation Process 5.4.1 Introduction The changes between the prior matrices and the output estimated (final) matrices were monitored to ensure the matrix estimation process was producing reasonable results and not significantly distorting the trip patterns compared to those in the prior matrices. The monitoring process involved: • Checking the total number of trips in the pre and post matrix estimation matrices; • Comparing trip movements at a sector level pre and post matrix estimation; and • Comparing trip length frequency distributions pre and post matrix estimation. The results of the monitoring process are discussed in subsequent sections of this chapter. 5.4.2 Pre and Post Matrix Estimation Trip Totals The effect of the matrix estimation process on the matrix trip totals is shown in Table 5.4. The table shows that there is no post matrix estimation information included for the IP. This is because the assignment of the prior IP matrices satisfied the DMRB criteria for calibration and validation, with screenline counts, journey times and turning and link counts all matching very closely. Table 5.4 Matrix Trip Totals Pre and Post Matrix Estimation AM User Class IP PRIOR % Post ME Car Commute 27961 57% 29198 55% Car Education 4113 8% 4487 9% Car Other 5500 11% 5871 Car Business 5728 12% LGV 2891 HGV Total PM % PRIOR % Post ME % 5148 13% 29280 59% 30768 58% 1162 3% 921 2% 1021 2% 11% 19714 49% 9894 20% 10666 20% 5782 11% 6778 17% 4374 9% 4654 9% 6% 3599 7% 3832 10% 3573 7% 3122 6% 2664 5% 3782 7% 3203 8% 2005 4% 2396 5% 48857 100% 100% 39838 100% 50047 100% 52720 % PRIOR 52628 100% The data in Table 5.3 show that the matrix estimation process has, overall, added 3,863 trips into the AM peak matrix (8%) and 2,581 trips into the PM peak matrices (5%). AECOM Local Model Validation Report 44 Capabilities on project: Transportation 5.4.3 Sector to Sector Analysis A sector system was developed to assist with this analysis and it is shown on Figure 5.5. Figure 5.5 Sector System Used to Monitor the Matrix Estimation Process Tables 5.5 and 5.6 below show the changes in the matrix on a sector by sector basis following the matrix estimation process. They only relate to the AM and PM peak as matrix estimation was not run on the IP hour matrices. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 45 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 5.5 – AM Peak Hour Sector Analysis To Sector 5 6 1,002 475 402 110 451 264 801 80 1,535 217 341 343 379 241 344 768 226 143 73 192 7 241 35 66 19 271 321 1,164 807 108 23 8 448 368 284 201 314 446 609 3,354 77 710 9 225 10 85 99 352 102 44 63 3,216 10 605 419 207 9 43 205 78 774 2,741 - 405 101 207 180 903 571 294 871 155 201 89 3,102 931 1,155 232 252 45 449 72 339 511 1,693 1,458 1,439 1,245 462 62 466 123 192 135 844 1,367 1,907 442 84 35 194 48 1 1,118 462 387 716 1,621 269 471 489 226 73 246 28 70 26 224 325 1,164 1,053 108 23 730 434 399 302 362 702 716 3,682 77 710 225 10 85 99 352 102 44 63 3,216 605 419 207 8 43 205 78 774 2,741 - From Sector 4 91 508 1,260 1,505 315 128 25 145 48 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 From Sector 3 257 2,104 1,335 1,522 622 278 61 352 123 192 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 From Sector 2 98 3,463 1,176 768 214 79 28 589 72 339 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 52 -80 50 -70 -62 88 73 211 0 0 -9 -361 -245 388 18 173 17 -140 0 0 254 -411 123 -83 623 184 0 114 0 0 44 336 107 402 127 -44 10 49 0 0 116 60 -64 -85 86 -72 92 145 0 0 -2 12 52 -10 -69 3 -3 218 0 0 5 -7 4 7 -47 4 0 246 0 0 282 67 115 101 48 256 107 328 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 From Sector 1 353 181 157 250 965 483 221 661 155 201 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 15% -44% 32% -28% -6% 18% 33% 32% 0% 0% -9% -10% -21% 50% 8% 220% 59% -24% 0% 0% 99% -20% 9% -5% 100% 66% 1% 32% 0% 0% 48% 66% 9% 27% 40% -34% 39% 34% 0% -22% 12% 15% -14% -11% 6% -21% 24% 42% 0% 0% -1% 11% 20% -13% -32% 1% -1% 28% 0% 0% 2% -21% 7% 38% -17% 1% 0% 31% 0% 0% 63% 18% 40% 50% 15% 57% 18% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Prior Matrix Post Matrix Absolute Diff. % Diff. 472 122 316 69 148 346 238 986 143 192 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 46 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 5.6 – PM Peak Hour Sector Analysis To Sector 5 6 697 334 270 311 574 328 340 137 1,582 380 174 301 241 457 663 749 253 160 134 213 7 135 31 50 5 533 190 1,152 462 19 38 8 553 389 575 341 851 810 1,002 2,941 96 802 9 311 47 213 106 423 484 93 121 2,911 10 458 466 587 11 55 169 18 711 2,867 - 99 2,460 1,657 851 296 282 24 246 19 593 331 888 1,278 1,310 738 250 39 313 54 171 311 1,023 1,946 1,519 861 160 148 149 113 13 1,109 204 313 275 1,458 236 242 561 253 134 454 330 428 118 687 334 489 755 160 213 240 41 110 6 410 191 1,152 680 19 38 810 455 697 181 738 688 749 3,809 96 802 311 47 213 106 423 484 93 121 2,911 458 466 587 11 55 169 18 711 2,867 - 413 -67 -261 -65 -124 62 2 -102 0 0 120 19 99 -19 307 33 32 7 0 0 105 10 60 2 -123 1 0 218 0 0 256 65 122 -160 -112 -122 -252 868 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 59% 36% 77% -25% 6% 33% -46% 30% 120% -19% -14% 39% -8% 81% -23% 36% 11% 1% 1% 7% 0% -15% 1% 47% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 46% 17% 21% -47% -13% -15% -25% 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% From Sector 4 259 829 1,694 1,187 822 139 90 206 113 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 From Sector 3 193 1,121 1,043 1,129 371 210 96 314 54 171 361 1 90 2 211 3 221 4 5 1,020 462 6 198 7 865 8 118 9 260 10 From Sector 2 155 2,646 1,920 929 392 269 36 333 19 593 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 141 -78 49 5 32 93 -6 188 0 0 -56 -186 -262 -78 -96 13 -12 -87 0 0 138 -233 235 181 368 40 -57 -1 0 0 52 195 252 332 39 21 58 -57 0 0 From Sector Prior Matrix 1 220 168 162 216 987 368 204 678 118 260 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 64% -46% 30% 2% 3% 25% -3% 28% 0% 0% -36% -7% -14% -8% -24% 5% -32% -26% 0% 0% 71% -21% 22% 16% 99% 19% -59% 0% 0% 0% 20% 23% 15% 28% 5% 15% 64% -28% 0% 0% Post Matrix Absolute Diff. % Diff. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 47 Capabilities on project: Transportation The analysis shows that the sector movements to and from Sectors 9 and 10 have not changed following matrix estimation. These two sectors represent the M5 South, the M6 motorway north and M6 south and, given that in calibration the prior matrices were closely matching the counts, the decision was made to freeze these movements. Past experience has shown that zones containing large amounts of trips tend to be used disproportionately in the matrix estimation process to balance flows across the network, often distorting the process. Overall the sector analysis shows that although there have been some difference between particular sectors the overall structure of the matrix has not changed significantly. This is further demonstrated below in the trip length frequency distribution analysis. There has been a requirement to expand the size of the network coverage, as outlined in Section 3 above, which has meant we have needed to include a significant amount of additional network and associated demand. There are some large absolute differences within the sector matrices but these represent relatively minor changes in percentage terms, and conversely the larger changes in percentage terms represent relatively small changes in absolute terms. We do not believe that the locations where ‘large’ changes are experienced will affect the representation of benefits or disbenefits, but this is examined further in the SD4 Economic Assessment Report. 5.4.4 Trip Length Frequency Distributions The change in trip length frequency distribution between the prior and post estimated matrices is shown on Figures 5.6 to 5.8 for the AM peak, Inter-peak and PM peak hours respectively. For the Inter-peak hour, only the prior distribution is shown as no matrix estimation was carried out in this time period. However, the prior (and hence also post) trip length distribution is shown for completeness. AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 5.6 AM Peak Trip Length Distributions Figure 5.7 Inter-Peak Trip Length Distributions 48 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 49 Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 5.8 PM Peak Trip Length Distributions As the figures above demonstrate, the prior matrices in all three time periods have a similar trip frequency distribution. There are two distinct peaks, one between 2-4km representing localised movements and a peak around 12km representing motorway through trips and external to external movements. The trip frequency distribution post matrix estimation for the AM and PM peak follows a similar pattern to their prior matrices, although there is a clear increase in the shorter distance trips, which is typical of matrix estimation. Despite this, the post ME2 distributions have a close relationship to their prior matrices demonstrating that matrix estimation has not substantially distorted original trip patterns. 5.4.5 Summary The analysis of the changes in trip volumes, sector to sector trip movements and trip length frequency distributions between the input and output matrices from the matrix estimation process has shown that the basic structure of the prior matrix has been maintained throughout the matrix estimation process. 5.5 Model Calibration 5.5.1 Introduction The model calibration was carried out in accordance with current WebTAG guidance and the recommendations contained in the Design Manual for Roads and Bridges (DMRB), Volume 12, Section 2. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 50 Capabilities on project: Transportation 5.5.2 Model Convergence The importance of achieving high levels of model convergence is related to providing stable, consistent and robust results. When the model outputs are being used to compare future year ‘Do-Something’ and ‘Do-Minimum’ scenarios and to estimate the economic benefits of a scheme, it is important to be able to distinguish real differences due to the scheme from those associated with different degrees of convergence (often referred to as model noise). Good convergence is therefore key to robust scheme economic appraisal. The recommended convergence measure is percentage relative GAP as set out in WebTAG Unit 3.10.4. This is also known as the ‘delta’ value. This is a measure of how far the current flow is from the equilibrium point and will be zero in a perfectly converged model. As convergence improves, the difference in trips between successive iterations decreases until the equilibrium point is reached. The WebTAG guidance states that a percentage relative GAP of around 0.1% is the benchmark, but if that cannot be reached then a convergence level of at least 0.2% is recommended. If convergence is over 0.2% then remedial measures should be taken by increasing the assignment accuracy. The convergence criterion set in the DSDA highway assignment model was 0.05% and the achieved output convergence statistics are shown in Tables 5.7 to 5.9 for the AM, IP and PM peak hours respectively. Table 5.7 AM Peak Convergence Statistics LOOP Ass. Sim. %FLOWS %DELAYS %GAP 26 0.0128/30 0.005/ 7 99.7 99.5 0.060 27 0.0163/30 0.003/ 7 99.7 99.5 0.033 28 0.0103/27 0.004/ 7 99.8 99.5 0.045 29 0.0141/30 0.003/ 7 99.8 99.5 0.036 30 0.0102/24 0.003/ 7 99.8 99.6 0.031 Table 5.8 Inter-Peak Convergence Statistics LOOP Ass. Sim. %FLOWS %DELAYS %GAP 13 0.0256/15 0.060/ 7 99.5 99.4 0.054 14 0.0277/ 7 0.060/ 7 99.5 99.5 0.036 15 0.0180/15 0.060/ 7 99.7 99.7 0.043 16 0.0193/15 0.060/ 7 99.7 99.6 0.033 17 0.0155/ 7 0.059/ 7 99.9 99.6 0.023 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 51 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 5.9 PM Peak Convergence Statistics LOOP Ass. Sim. %FLOWS %DELAYS %GAP 18 0.0442/21 0.005/ 7 99.5 99.3 0.083 19 0.0229/20 0.001/ 7 99.5 99.3 0.048 20 0.0259/21 0.004/ 7 99.7 99.3 0.049 21 0.0213/12 0.001/ 7 99.7 99.4 0.034 22 0.0199/21 0.003/ 7 99.8 99.5 0.039 The model convergence is excellent in all three time periods with %GAP values well below the recommended value of 0.1%. In addition, the %Flows and %Delays information indicate that over the final five model iterations, over 99% of flows and delays change by less than 5% between iterations indicating that the time period models can also be considered very stable. 5.5.3 Calibration Criteria Traffic model calibration criteria are given in DMRB and are reproduced in Table 5.10. Table 5.10 DMRB Guidelines for Screenline and Link Flow Calibration and Validation DMRB Criteria and Measures Acceptability Guideline Individual flows within 15% for flows 700-2700 vph Individual flows within 100 vph for flows <700 vph > 85% of cases Individual flows within 100 vph for flows >2700 vph Total screen-line flows to be within 5% Individual flows - GEH < 5 Screenline totals - GEH < 4 All (or nearly all) screen-lines > 85% of cases All (or nearly all) screen-lines A simple percentage difference between observed and modelled data sets can prove to be misleading given the relative value of the difference. Thus, whilst percentage difference criteria are specified in DMRB, a further measure is also given called the GEH statistic. This is a form of the chi-squared statistic, incorporating both relative and absolute errors. The GEH is a measure of comparability that takes account of, not only the difference between the observed and modelled flows, but also the significance of this difference with respect to the size of the observed flow. For instance, a difference of 50% compared to an observed flow of 10 is far less significant than a difference of 20% compared with an observed flow of 1000. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 52 Capabilities on project: Transportation The GEH statistic is calculated as follows: GEH = ( M − O) 2 0.5( M + O) where; M is the modelled flow and O is the observed flow. A GEH value of 5 or less indicates an acceptable fit. Although many transport models use solely the GEH statistic as the key indicator, the threshold criteria for flow differences in Table 5.7 are sometimes more stringent, hence it is possible to have a GEH value of less than five but to not satisfy the flow threshold criteria or vice-versa. For example at very low flows, less than 50, a GEH less than 5 is difficult to obtain. The tables presented in this chapter for calibration, and the subsequent chapter for validation, show the results achieved with respect to DMRB for the flow difference, GEH statistic and for both criteria. The model is deemed fit for purpose against DMRB if it meets the guidance for either the link flow or GEH statistic criteria. The guidance does not explicitly say which to use, if one statistic is better than the other, or if the comparison has to satisfy both or just one of the criteria and, if so, which. In previous discussions with DfT TASM or HA TAME on this issue, no-one seems to hold a definitive view, other than these criteria are there for guidance and that just because a model does not meet one or another does not necessarily meant it is ‘not fit for purpose’, just that the practitioner has put forward a view as to why they think the model is fit for purpose in these instances. 5.5.4 Screenline Calibration To check that traffic flows across the network were representative, screenlines were identified across the study area. Screenlines traverse the network capturing trip movements across an area of the model in a given direction. A total of four screenlines were used in model calibration and a summary of the results is presented in Tables 5.11 to 5.13 for the AM, IP and PM peak hours respectively. The calibration screenlines are illustrated on Figure 5.7. Table 5.11 AM Peak Hour Screenline Calibration Screenline 1 2 3 4 Direction No. of Counts Observed Flow Modelled Flow GEH Flow Difference % Flow Difference Inbound 3 1,385 1,491 2.8 107 8% Outbound 3 1,024 1,027 0.1 3 0% Inbound 3 2,201 2,158 0.9 -44 2% Outbound 3 2,453 2,650 3.9 196 8% Inbound 6 3,052 3,219 3.0 167 6% Outbound 6 3,900 3,885 0.2 -15 0% Inbound 5 5,838 5.852 0.2 14 0% Outbound 5 5,331 5,376 0.6 45 1% AECOM Local Model Validation Report 53 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 5.12 Inter-Peak Hour Screenline Calibration No. of Observed Screenline Direction Modelled Flow Counts Flow 1 2 3 4 2 3 4 Flow Difference % Flow Difference Inbound 3 1,031 999 1.0 -31 3% Outbound 3 1,096 1,066 0.9 -30 3% Inbound 3 1,875 2,001 2.9 126 7% Outbound 3 1,756 1,736 0.5 -20 1% Inbound 6 2,774 2,948 3.3 174 6% Outbound 6 2,735 2,572 3.2 -163 6% Inbound 5 4,062 3,851 3.4 -211 5% Outbound 5 4,094 4,186 1.4 92 2% Modelled Flow GEH Flow Difference % Flow Difference 1,181 2.2 74 7% Table 5.13 PM Peak Hour Screenline Calibration No. of Observed Screenline Direction Counts Flow 1 GEH Inbound 3 1,107 Outbound 3 1,502 1,497 0.1 -5 0% Inbound 3 2,468 2,658 3.8 190 8% Outbound 3 2,211 2,361 3.2 151 7% Inbound 6 4,203 4,178 0.4 -25 1% Outbound 6 3,366 3,460 1.6 94 3% Inbound 5 5,589 5,557 0.4 -32 1% Outbound 5 5,790 5,774 0.2 -16 0% Key: Screenline 1 : Darlaston North Screenline 2 : Darlaston East Screenline 3 : Darlaston South Screenline 4 : Darlaston West Figure 5.9 Location of Model Screenlines AECOM Local Model Validation Report 55 Capabilities on project: Transportation The data in Tables 5.8 to 5.10 show that screenline calibration is achieved across all screenlines in both directions in both time periods. Overall, screenline calibration is considered to be of an acceptable standard. 5.5.5 Link and Turning Flow Calibration The link and turning flow calibration is summarised below in Tables 5.14. The full results are included in Appendix C. The calibration count locations are shown on Figure 5.3 for the AM and PM peak hours and on Figure 5.4 for the Inter-peak hour. Table 5.14 Link and Turning Flow Calibration Summary Modelled Flow (PCU's) Observed Flow (PCU's) Flow Diff (PCU's) % GEH % Flow % DMRB 231 144,501 141,818 2,683 88.7% 90.9% 93.1% Inter-Peak 209 107,429 112,978 -5,549 76.1% 84.2% 86.1% PM Peak 231 147,797 144,588 3,209 87.8% 89.2% 90.5% Time Period Counts AM Peak The column headed % GEH shows the number of modelled/count comparisons satisfying the GEH statistic calibration criterion in each time period. The column headed % Flow shows the number of modelled/count comparisons satisfying the DMRB Flow criteria calibration criterion in each time period. Finally, the column headed % DMRB shows the number of modelled/count comparisons which satisfy either the GEH statistic or the % Flow calibration criterion in each time period. The data in Table 5.14 show that the % DMRB values meet or exceed the DMRB calibration criteria in all time periods and the model calibration is therefore considered acceptable. 5.5.6 Regression Analysis Regression analysis measures the overall ‘goodness of fit’ of the data set. The slope of the best fit regression line through the origin indicates the extent to which modelled values are over or under estimated. The correlation 2 coefficient (R ) gives a measure of goodness of model fit. In the main area of scheme influence the acceptable value for the correlation coefficient is above 0.95 and the slope of best fit line should fall between 0.90 and 1.10. A value of 1.0 for both statistics represents perfect fit. The results of the regression analysis are shown in Table 5.15 and the regression graphs are shown on Figures 5.10 to 5.12 for the AM peak, Inter-peak and PM peak hours respectively. The M6 motorway flows have been excluded from this analysis to avoid skewing the results. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 56 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 5.15 Model Calibration: Regression Analysis Statistics Results Achieved (%) Criteria Slope of the Line, Y (between 0.90 - 1.10) 2 Correlation Coefficient R (should be > 0.95) AM Peak Hour IP Hour PM Peak Hour 0.9542 1.0044 0.9604 0.9732 0.9756 0.9604 The results of the regression analysis confirm a close fit between the observed and modelled flows when all calibration comparison sites are considered in each time period. Figure 5.10 AM Peak Hour Calibration Regression Analysis AM Calibration 2,500 y = 0.9542x + 8.0635 R² = 0.9732 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 57 Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 5.11 Inter-Peak Hour Calibration Regression Analysis IP Calibration 6,000 y = 1.0044x + 21.063 R² = 0.9756 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Figure 5.12 PM Peak Hour Calibration Regression Analysis PM Calibration 2,500 y = 0.9604x + 9.8233 R² = 0.9604 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 58 Capabilities on project: Transportation 5.6 Summary The calibration results presented in Chapter 5.5 demonstrate the AM peak, Inter-peak and PM peak hour 2011 DSDA base year models have been calibrated to a standard which meets or exceeds the DMRB criteria. Model Validation AECOM Local Model Validation Report 60 Capabilities on project: Transportation 6 Model Validation 6.1 Introduction Model validation is a process independent to that of calibration. Validation provides an independent demonstration that the model truly reflects existing traffic conditions. This is particularly important in congested urban areas, where relatively small discrepancies in a trip matrix can have a disproportionate impact on junction delays and hence on the routes taken by traffic through the network. The validation checks presented in this chapter include: • Link flow validation, where modelled flows are checked against observed count data that were not used in the matrix estimation process but were held back specifically to provide an independent source of validation count data; and • Journey time validation, where the modelled journey times along specific routes are compared to observed journey times which have not previously been used in the model development process. Satisfactory performance by the model in these two areas, against data independent of that used in the model development process, gives confidence that the model is robust and operating in a sensible manner. 6.2 Validation Count Data A set of link passage counts were set aside from the calibration process to be used as an independent check of model performance so that any weaknesses in the model can be properly understood and suitable remedial action identified. In total 84 link and turning counts were used in the validation process and the location of these counts is shown on Figure 6.1. AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 6.1 Location of the Observed Traffic Counts used in the Model Validation Process All Time Period Validation Count Locations 61 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 62 Capabilities on project: Transportation 6.3 Network Validation The purpose of network validation is to ensure that the model overall provides a robust representation of reality. For example, it is consistent and reflects the relative attractiveness of various routes within the modelled area. As discussed in previous chapters, network validation was an ongoing process which involved network checks as part of the network assignment, matrix estimation, model calibration and model validation stages. The network was therefore continually checked throughout the model development and validation process to ensure it reflected realistic conditions and routeings. 6.4 Link Flow Validation Results The DMRB criteria for link flow validation are the same as for link flow calibration and were presented earlier in Table 5.5. The validation of the model was undertaken on both links and turns. In total 9 turning counts were undertaken in April 2011 to help re-validate the model. Of these 9 counts, 3 were used in model calibration with 6 included in validation to independently demonstrate the quality of the model in the location of the scheme junctions. In total there were 84 independent counts used in validation, using a mixture of link and turning count data. The model validation results are summarised below in Table 6.1. Figures 6.2 to 6.4 show geographically which links meet (green) or don’t meet (red) DMRB criteria. Notably the traffic flows validate around the scheme junctions. The full results along with detailed GEH and flow plots are included in Appendix D. Table 6.1 Link and Turning Flow Validation Summary No. Of Counts Modelled Flow (PCU's) Observed Flow (PCU's) Diff (PCU's) % GEH % Flow % DMRB AM Peak 84 28,570 27,179 1,391 71.4% 82.1% 86.9% Inter-Peak 84 22,033 23,123 -1,090 76.2% 85.7% 86.9% PM Peak 84 28,493 29,590 -1,096 72.6% 83.3% 85.7% Time Period The column headed % GEH shows the number of modelled/count comparisons satisfying the GEH statistic validation criterion in each time period. The column headed % Flow shows the number of modelled/count comparisons satisfying the DMRB Flow criteria validation criterion in each time period. Finally, the column headed % DMRB shows the number of modelled/count comparisons which satisfy either the GEH statistic or the % Flow validation criterion in each time period. The data in Table 6.1 show that the % DMRB values exceed the DMRB calibration criteria in all time periods and the model validation is therefore considered acceptable. When considering the GEH statistic alone, model performance does not appear to be so good. This is because of the number of turning counts included within the validation data set. DMRB notes that the validation criteria when applied to turns are particularly onerous. Turning count volumes are typically lower than link count volumes, indeed many turns may only be 100 pcu/hr or less and to achieve the GEH criterion at these flow levels is very difficult. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 63 Capabilities on project: Transportation However, the absolute flow differences in the turning count comparisons are likely to be small and these discrepancies will not unduly affect model performance as is demonstrated by the % flow values shown. To further demonstrate the validity of the model, a summary is provided in Table 6.2 of model fit at just the 9 junctions where turning count observations were taken in April 2011. In total there are 78 observed movements at these junctions and DMRB flow criteria are satisfied in all time periods. The turning count calibration and validation results are shown in Appendix C and D, alongside the other calibration and validation link count comparisons. Table 6.2 – Turning Count Calibration and Validation Summary Observed Turning count movements Meet criteria % Meet criteria % Meet criteria % AM 78 63 81% 75 96% 75 96% IP 78 56 72% 67 86% 67 86% PM 78 63 81% 73 94% 74 95% Time period GEH DMRB Flow DMRB DMRB AECOM Local Model Validation Report 64 Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 6.2 AM Peak Validation Links Results Key: Green links within DMRB criteria, Red outside AECOM Local Model Validation Report 65 Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 6.3 Inter-Peak Validation Links Results Key: Green links within DMRB criteria, Red outside AECOM Local Model Validation Report 66 Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 6.4 PM Peak Validation Links Results Key: Green links within DMRB criteria, Red outside AECOM Local Model Validation Report 67 Capabilities on project: Transportation 6.4.1 Scheme Junction Model Fit The model performance, in terms of a comparison of the modelled turning flows with observed turning counts, at the four scheme junctions is presented in this section. The four scheme junctions are: • Site 1. The junction of Bentley Road South with the local roads of The Green, Heath Road and Richards Street; • Site 2. The junction of Cemetery Road with the A4038 Darlaston Road; • Site 3. The junction of the A461 Bescot Road South with the A4148 Wallows Lane (Walsall Ring Road to the east) and A4148 Bescot Road North (Walsall Ring Road to the north); and • Site 4. The junction of the A4148 Bescot Road North with the A4038 Darlaston Road. Diagrams showing the junction layout at each site are presented below as follows: • • • • Figure 6.5 shows the layout at Site 1; Figure 6.6 shows the layout at Site 2; Figure 6.7 shows the layout at Site 3; and Figure 6.8 shows the layout at Site 4. Figure 6.5: Junction Layout at Site 1 NORTH A Bentley Road South The Green Heath Road Richards St. D C B AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 6.6: Junction Layout at Site 2 Figure 6.7: Junction Layout at Site 3 NORTH A Bescot Road B C 68 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 6.8: Junction Layout at Site 4 69 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 70 Capabilities on project: Transportation Tables showing the turning movement validation at each site are presented below. Table 6.3 shows the validation at Site 1. Table 6.3 Total Vehicle Base Year Turning Counts – Site 1 Bentley Road South/Heath Rd/Richards St./The Green Movement Obs. AM Peak Mod. Meets DMRB InterPeak Obs. Mod. Meets DMRB PM Peak Obs. Mod. Meets DMRB Bentley Rd South to Heath Rd Bentley Rd South to Richards St. Bentley Rd South to The Green Heath Rd to Bentley Rd South Heath Rd to Richards St. Heath Rd to The Green Richards St. to Bentley Rd South Richards St. to Heath Rd Richards St. to The Green The Green to Bentley Rd South The Green to Heath Rd The Green to Richards St. 253 295 57 105 153 154 178 93 5 0 228 129 125 154 15 1 24 0 185 172 377 478 21 0 Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y 226 195 Y 60 93 Y 131 134 Y 211 169 Y 7 1 Y 231 308 Y 54 144 Y 12 0 Y 32 0 Y 126 175 Y 250 252 Y 16 0 Y 253 264 Y 57 104 Y 153 143 Y 178 91 Y 5 0 Y 228 134 Y 125 235 N 15 0 Y 24 0 Y 185 232 Y 377 403 Y 21 0 Y Table 6.4 shows the validation at Site 2. Table 6.4 Total Vehicle Base Year Turning Counts –Cemetery Road/Darlaston Road Movement Obs. AM Peak Mod. GEH InterPeak Obs. Mod. GEH PM Peak Obs. Mod. GEH Cemetery Rd to Darlaston Rd (E) Cemetery Rd to Darlaston Rd (W) Darlaston Rd (E) To Cemetery Rd Darlaston Rd (E) to Darlaston Rd (W) Darlaston Rd (W) To Cemetery Rd Darlaston Rd (W) to Darlaston Rd (E) 158 185 Y 85 74 Y 125 113 Y 69 31 Y 90 88 Y 59 59 Y 92 80 Y 95 58 Y 171 203 Y 565 539 Y 504 634 N 648 665 Y 92 137 Y 132 121 Y 167 138 Y 859 933 Y 541 518 Y 717 777 Y AECOM Local Model Validation Report 71 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 6.5 shows the validation at Site 3. Table 6.5 2005 Total Vehicle Base Year Turning Counts – Bescot Road/ Wallows Lane Movement Obs. AM Peak Mod. Bescot Rd North to Bescot Rd South Bescot Rd North to Wallows Lane Bescot Rd South to Bescot Rd North Bescot Rd South to Wallows Lane Wallows Lane to Bescot Rd North 533 577 Y 501 497 Y 698 827 Y 287 313 Y 252 179 Y 318 304 Y 660 709 Y 414 433 Y 355 391 Y 610 590 Y 514 530 Y 656 727 Y 193 206 Y 252 221 Y 312 330 Y GEH InterPeak Obs. Mod. GEH PM Peak Obs. Mod. GEH Wallows Lane to Bescot Rd South 780 744 Y 604 648 Y 751 764 Y Table 6.6 shows the validation at Site 4. Table 6.6 2005 Total Vehicle Base Year Turning Counts – Site 4 Old Pleck Rd / Darlaston Rd / Bescot Rd / Wednesbury Rd Movement Obs. AM Peak Mod. GEH InterPeak Obs. Mod. GEH PM Peak Obs. Mod. GEH Old Pleck Rd to Wednesbury Old Pleck to Bescot Rd Old Pleck to Darlaston Rd Wednesbury Rd to Old Pleck Rd Wednesbury Rd to Bescot Wednesbury Rd to Darlaston Rd Bescot Rd to Old Pleck Rd Bescot Rd to Wednesbury Rd Bescot Rd to Darlaston Rd Darlaston Rd to Old Pleck Darlaston Rd to Wednesbury Rd Darlaston Rd to Bescot Rd 47 42 Y 58 19 Y 45 40 Y 384 455 Y 394 266 N 529 619 Y 104 123 Y 130 180 Y 151 180 Y 45 37 Y 50 19 Y 42 39 Y 169 182 Y 189 196 Y 238 258 Y 367 392 Y 293 322 Y 431 442 Y 545 561 Y 327 229 Y 325 342 Y 198 234 Y 146 181 Y 104 126 Y 121 96 Y 169 194 Y 210 216 Y 33 83 Y 57 78 Y 48 52 Y 499 510 Y 294 283 Y 430 470 Y 217 252 Y 170 168 Y 241 243 Y AECOM Local Model Validation Report 72 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 6.3 shows that the modelled turning movements have a close fit to observed counts with all 12 turning movements meeting DMRB criteria in the AM peak and Inter-peak, and 11 meeting the criteria in the PM peak. Table 6.4 shows that the turning movement fit at Site 2 is also very creditable. All movements in the AM and PM peak meet criteria, and only one is out in the Inter-peak period. Table 6.5 shows an excellent goodness of fit at site 3 with all 6 movements in the three peaks meeting criteria. Table 6.6 shows that the turning movement validation at Site 4 is excellent. Only one count falls outside DMRB criteria in the Inter-peak, whilst all movements are within accepted ranges in the two peak periods. 6.4.2 Modelled Traffic Flows Modelled traffic flows in the corridor around the scheme are provided below in Figures 6.9 to 6.11 for the three time periods. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 73 Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 6.9 AM Peak Traffic Flows 4855 4525 M6 1345 A454 B4464 M6 J10 1084 NB 545 SB 386 136 220 5874 5748 A4148 Pleck Road 292 1498 299 403 677 Bentley Road South 233 A454 1578 Willenhall Road 303 218 620 Bentley Mill Way 420 559 772 1135 A4038 655 1135 222 284 1087 636 Heath Road A462 636 587 930 905 944 A4148 829 1314 935 559 1336 M6 J9 A4038 6129 KEY: 1350 Base Flows are pcu/hr 1537 1354 A461 5620 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 74 Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 6.10 Inter Peak Traffic Flows 4430 4908 M6 984 A454 B4464 M6 J10 957 NB 256 SB 326 164 160 5830 5953 A4148 Pleck Road 199 754 181 Bentley Road South 210 325 181 A454 1310 Willenhall Road 265 164 466 Bentley Mill Way 493 426 447 609 A4038 433 609 478 447 657 709 709 Heath Road A462 740 670 691 805 A4148 449 978 857 496 1160 M6 J9 A4038 5849 KEY: 1350 Base Flows are pcu/hr 1268 1320 A461 5784 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 75 Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 6.11 PM Peak Traffic Flows 5342 4261 M6 1046 A454 B4464 M6 J10 1472 NB 364 SB 499 471 230 6268 A4148 Pleck Road 5325 439 1652 264 252 433 Bentley Road South A454 354 2140 Willenhall Road 237 199 840 Bentley Mill Way 561 516 667 907 A4038 639 907 215 280 933 885 885 A462 Heath Road 741 736 1146 1110 A4148 661 1132 1128 676 1607 M6 J9 A4038 5979 KEY: 1350 Base Flows are pcu/hr 1442 1304 A461 5793 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 76 Capabilities on project: Transportation 6.5 Journey Time Validation 6.5.1 Journey Time Validation Criteria An additional measure of the overall performance and robustness of the model is to consider particular routes through the network and compare observed travel times with those that are output by the model. Journey time validation ensures that the delays which are simulated at junctions along the route and the link delays arising from speed/flow curves defined on links across the network are being reflected accurately. The journey time validation criteria are set out in DMRB and are reproduced below in Table 6.7. Table 6.7 Journey Time Validation Criteria DMRB Criteria and Measures Acceptability Guideline Modelled journey times Compared with Observed Times: Times within 15% (or 1 minute if higher) 6.5.2 > 85% of cases Journey Time Routes Five journey time routes were surveyed in both directions in the AM peak, Inter-peak and PM peak periods in April 2011. Further information is provided in the ‘Data Collection Report, June 2011’. The five journey time routes are shown on Figure 6.12 and are described below: • Route 1: A4038 Darlaston Road between Wednesbury Road/Bescot Crescent junction and the junction of Pinfold Street/Walsall Road/Lawrence Way; • Route 2: Heath Road between Bentley Road South/Heath Road/Richards Street/The Green junction and the junction of Heath Road/Walsall Road; • Route 3: Bentley Mill Way between Bentley Mill Way immediately south of the Black Country Route and the junction of Cemetery Road/ Darlaston Road/Walsall Road; • Route 4: Bentley Road between Bentley Road North immediately south of the Black Country Route and the junction of Bentley Road South/Heath Road/ Richards Street/The Green; and • Route 5: A4148 Pleck Road between the intersection with the A454 Wolverhampton Road and the junction of Bescot Road and M6 junction 9. 6.5.3 Journey Time Validation Results The journey time validation results are summarised in Table 6.8. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 77 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 6.8 Journey Time Validation Summary DMRB Criteria Modelled Journey Times within 15% (or 1 minute if higher) of the Observed Times (DMRB Target > 85% of routes) Result Achieved (%) AM Peak Hour Inter Peak Hour PM Peak Hour 90% 90% 90% PASS PASS PASS The data presented in Table 6.8 show that the journey time validation is creditable with the DMRB criteria exceeded in all time periods. A more detailed breakdown of the journey time validation, by route, direction and time period is presented in Tables 6.9 to 6.11 for the AM Peak, Inter-peak and PM peak periods respectively. Journey time graphs are provided in Appendix E. These graphs show (for each route by direction) the modelled time and the mean observed time. 6.6 Summary The DSDA model validates well in all modelled time periods both in terms of link flows, turning flows and journey times. The model will provide a robust base from which to develop future year models to assess the highway options for the Darlaston study area. AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Figure 6.12 Journey Time Routes Local Model Validation Report 78 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 79 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 6.9 AM Peak Journey Time Results Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN AM Peak Journey Time Validation Darlaston_DSDA_2011_BY_V51_AM_Final.UFS Observed Difference Percentage Route Model (s) (s) Difference (s) 1EB 597 703 105.1 17.6 1WB 567 582 15.1 2.7 2EB 468 492 23.7 5.1 2WB 437 481 43.6 10.0 3NB 463 490 26.8 5.8 3SB 512 552 40.2 7.9 4NB 457 473 16.2 3.5 4SB 451 441 -10.5 -2.3 5NB 652 617 -34.3 -5.3 5SB 547 502 -45.2 -8.3 Total Pass Total Fail Overall 9 1 90% Total Observed Journey Time (s) Total Model Journey Time (s) Difference (s) Results Date: FAIL PASS PASS PASS PASS PASS PASS PASS PASS PASS Route 17.6 2.7 5.1 10.0 5.8 7.9 3.5 -2.3 -5.3 -8.3 Model faster 5151 5332 181 22 August 2011 Percentage Difference (Observed vs. Model) Criteria Model slower 1EB 1WB 2EB 2WB 3NB 3SB 4NB 4SB 5NB 5SB AECOM Local Model Validation Report 80 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 6.10 Inter-Peak Journey Time Results Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN IP Peak Journey Time Validation Darlaston_DSDA_2011_BY_V50_IP_Final.UFS Observed Difference Percentage Route Model (s) (s) (s) Difference 1EB 603 541 -62.0 -10.3 1WB 543 554 10.5 1.9 2EB 426 434 8.1 1.9 2WB 430 442 11.0 2.6 3NB 416 419 3.6 0.9 3SB 474 478 4.4 0.9 4NB 419 414 -4.6 -1.1 4SB 425 406 -19.7 -4.6 5NB 524 476 -47.6 -9.1 5SB 544 459 -84.7 -15.6 Total Pass Total Fail Overall 9 1 90% Total Observed Journey Time (s) Total Model Journey Time (s) Difference (s) Results Date: PASS PASS PASS PASS PASS PASS PASS PASS PASS FAIL Route -10.3 1.9 1.9 2.6 0.9 0.9 -1.1 -4.6 -9.1 -15.6 Model faster 4804 4623 -181 11 August 2011 Percentage Difference (Observed vs. Model) Criteria Model slower 1EB 1WB 2EB 2WB 3NB 3SB 4NB 4SB 5NB 5SB AECOM Local Model Validation Report 81 Capabilities on project: Transportation Table 6.11 PM Peak Journey Time Results Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN PM Peak Journey Time Validation Darlaston_DSDA_2011_BY_V54_PM_Final.UFS Observed Difference Percentage Route Model (s) (s) (s) Difference 1EB 591 582 -8.4 -1.4 1WB 627 614 -12.7 -2.0 2EB 439 500 61.7 14.1 2WB 575 541 -33.7 -5.9 3NB 497 584 86.6 17.4 3SB 542 591 49.9 0.1 4NB 494 475 -19.1 -3.9 4SB 454 433 -21.3 -4.7 5NB 754 827 72.7 9.6 5SB 602 514 -88.3 -14.7 Total Pass Total Fail Overall 9 1 90% Total Observed Journey Time (s) Total Model Journey Time (s) Difference (s) Results Date: PASS PASS PASS PASS FAIL PASS PASS PASS PASS PASS 11 August 2011 Percentage Difference (Observed vs. Model) Criteria Route -1.4 -2.0 14.1 -5.9 0.1 -3.9 -4.7 9.6 -14.7 Model faster 5573 5661 87 ADD IN DIAGRAM OF JOURNEY TIME ROUTES Model slower 1EB 1WB 2EB 2WB 17.4 3NB 3SB 4NB 4SB 5NB 5SB Summary and Conclusions AECOM Local Model Validation Report 83 Capabilities on project: Transportation 7 Summary and Conclusions 7.1 Summary AECOM were commissioned by Walsall Metropolitan Borough Council to develop a traffic model capable of a detailed assessment of the traffic conditions in the Darlaston area. This report has outlined the development and subsequent performance, at a 2011 base year, of three time period highway assignment models, constructed to support the development of the Best and Final Funding Bid (BaFFB) for the Darlaston Strategic Development Area Access Project. The Access Project proposes a number of improvements to the highway network to form part of the overall regeneration strategy for the area, the aim of which is to improve accessibility, making the area more viable for inward investment. The Access Project was successfully promoted into the DfT Scheme Development Pool in February 2011, following the submission of a Major Scheme Business Case in March 2010, but there were some areas of concern which needed to be addressed prior to BaFFB. These concerns were: • The age of the data underpinning the assessment; • The area of model coverage; • The base model fit at a number of key junctions in some time periods • The veracity of the trip patterns included in the demand matrices; and • The need to reforecast with the April 2011 version of TEMPRO (v6.2) and to follow the latest WebTAG guidance on the treatment of developments in the future year forecasting. To overcome the concerns identified above, a methodology was prepared to update the existing 2005 base year SATURN local models. In summary, this involved: • A new data collection and collation exercise, covering manual and automatic link passage counts, junction classified turning counts and journey time surveys; • Reviewing and subsequently extending the local model area of coverage compared to that in the 2005 model; • Rebasing the models to a new base year of 2011, using a cordon from the strategic West Midlands PRISM model. The PRISM model itself has recently been rebased to a base year of 2006 and new forecasts were produced for 2011 for use in this study using the latest TEMPRO v6.2 forecasts. A full run of the PRISM variable demand model was utilised in order that the highway matrices for use in the local model reflected network conditions in the study area; and • Calibrating (by means of matrix estimation) and then validating the local models to reflect observed conditions in 2011. The matrix estimation process was monitored to ensure the output matrices were not significantly distorting the trip patterns compared to those in the input matrices. The monitoring checked input and output matrix trip totals, trip movements at a sector to sector level and trip length frequency distributions. AECOM Local Model Validation Report 84 Capabilities on project: Transportation 7.2 Conclusions The models exhibit a high level of convergence in terms of both the proximity indicator (the % relative GAP criterion, delta) and the stability indicator (percentage of flows changing by less than 5% between each assignment iteration). Model screenline calibration is good in all three time periods and meets or exceeds the calibration criteria set out in DMRB. Model link flow calibration also meets or exceeds the criteria given in DMRB in all three time periods. Model link and turning flow validation against a set of independent counts, not used in the model development process, is creditable. DMRB validation criteria are exceeded in all three modelled time periods. Model journey time validation is also good with all journey time routes meeting DMRB validation criteria in each of the three modelled time periods. In conclusion, the model is considered to form a robust base from which to develop future year models to assess the highway options for the DSDA Access Project. AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Appendix A Origin/Destination Routeing Patterns 85 AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Route 1 AM Peak Route 1 Inter-Peak Local Model Validation Report 86 AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Route 1 PM Peak Route 2 AM Peak Local Model Validation Report 87 AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Route 2 Inter- Peak Route 2 PM Peak Local Model Validation Report 88 AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Route 3 AM Peak Route 3 Inter- Peak Local Model Validation Report 89 AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Route 3 PM Peak Route 4 AM Peak Local Model Validation Report 90 AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Route 4 Inter- Peak Route 4 PM Peak Local Model Validation Report 91 AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Appendix B Zone Loader Locations Local Model Validation Report 92 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation North West Zone Loader Locations 93 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation North East Zone Loader Locations 94 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation South West Zone Loader Locations 95 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation South East Zone Loader Locations 96 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Appendix C Link and Turning Flow Calibration Results 97 APPENDIX C AM PEAK LINK & TURN FLOW CALIBRATION TYPE CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI Version CLASS Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Darlaston_DSDA_2011_BY_V51_AM_Final.UFS A Node B Node Concatenate Location Direction 99 98 99-98 DUDLEY STREET East of Potters Lane EB 98 99 98-99 DUDLEY STREET East of Potters Lane WB 98 295 98-295 HOLYHEAD ROAD South of Meeting Street NB 295 98 295-98 HOLYHEAD ROAD South of Meeting Street SB 971 664 971-664 HALL GREEN ROAD East of Moorlands Road EB 664 971 664-971 HALL GREEN ROAD East of Moorlands Road WB 269 156 269-156 WALSALL ROAD West of Clarkes Lane EB 156 269 156-269 WALSALL ROAD West of Clarkes Lane WB 209 331 209-331 WALSALL ROAD West of All Saints Road EB 331 209 331-209 WALSALL ROAD West of All Saints Road WB 90 423 90-423 MIDLAND ROAD East of Willenhall Street EB 423 90 423-90 MIDLAND ROAD East of Willenhall Street WB 168 191 168-191 WOLVERHAMPTON ROAD WEST West of Armwood EBClose 285 144 285-144 BILSTON LANE East of Hartill Street EB 144 285 144-285 BILSTON LANE East of Hartill Street WB 550 161 550-161 SOMERFORD PLACE East of School Street EB 161 550 161-550 SOMERFORD PLACE East of School Street WB 372 75 372-75 OLD PARK ROAD North of Birmingham Street NB 75 372 75-372 OLD PARK ROAD North of Birmingham Street SB 382 126 382-126 WOLVERHAMPTON STREET North of Park Road NB 126 382 126-382 WOLVERHAMPTON STREET North of Park Road SB 46 41 46-41 BESCOT CRESCENT South of Milton Street NB 41 46 41-46 BESCOT CRESCENT South of Milton Street SB 2 869 2-869 WOLVERHAMPTON STREET East of Blue Lane West EB 869 2 869-2 WOLVERHAMPTON STREET East of Blue Lane West WB 867 635 867-635 HATHERTON STREET North of Albert Street NB 635 867 635-867 HATHERTON STREET North of Albert Street SB 103 102 103-102 BLACK COUNTRY NEW ROAD East of Dangerfield Lane EB 102 289 102-289 BLACK COUNTRY NEW ROAD East of Dangerfield Lane WB 318 95 318-95 DARLASTON ROAD North of Short Street NB 95 318 95-318 DARLASTON ROAD North of Short Street SB 205 65 205-65 PARK LANE North of Hawthorn Road NB 65 205 65-205 PARK LANE North of Hawthorn Road SB 117 977 117-977 CRANKHALL LANE East of Woden Road East EB 977 117 977-117 CRANKHALL LANE East of Woden Road East WB 470 46 470-46 BESCOT CRESCENT South of Wallows Lane NB 46 470 46-470 BESCOT CRESCENT South of Wallows Lane SB 144 152 144-152 Bilston Lane, south of Gipsy Lane NB 152 144 152-144 Bilston Lane, south of Gipsy Lane SB 577 307 577-307 Willenhall Rd, just south of Black Country Route NB 307 577 307-577 Willenhall Rd, just south of Black Country Route SB 213 593 213-593 Bentley Mill Way, south of river NB 593 213 593-213 Bentley Mill Way, south of river SB 180 12 180-12 Wolverhampton Road, west of Primley Ave EB 12 180 12-180 Wolverhampton Road, west of Primley Ave WB 78 278 78-278 Old Park Road, south of Hawthorn Road NB 278 78 278-78 Old Park Road, south of Hawthorn Road SB 129 130 129-130 A463 Black Country Route: between A463/A4444 & A463/A454 NB junctions 130 246 130-246 A463 Black Country Route: between A463/A4444 & A463/A454 SB junctions 138 133 138-133 A454 The Keyway: between A463/A454 & A463/Bliston EBRd junctions 133 138 133-138 A454 The Keyway: between A463/A454 & A463/Bliston WB Rd junctions 297 124 297-124 OXFORD STREET WEST OF GREAT BRIDGE ROAD WB DTP 124 297 124-297 OXFORD STREET WEST OF GREAT BRIDGE ROAD EB DTP 33 408 33-408 WEDNESBURY ROAD EAST OF CALEDON STREET WB 408 33 408-33 WEDNESBURY ROAD EAST OF CALEDON STREET EB 204 184 204-184 M6 BETWEEN 10A AND 10 TP SB 184 204 184-204 M6 BETWEEN 10A AND 10 TP NB 94 228 94-228 MOXLEY ROAD EAST OF SANDWELL AVENUE TP WB MOXLEY ROAD EAST OF SANDWELL AVENUE TP EB 228 94 228-94 943 731 943-731 MOSELEY ROAD NEAR POOL DTP WB 731 943 731-943 MOSELEY ROAD NEAR POOL DTP EB 335 38 335-38 CORPORATION STREET WEST AT RAILWAY BRIDGE WB 38 335 38-335 CORPORATION STREET WEST AT RAILWAY BRIDGE EB 118 546 118-546 CRANKHALL LANE NEAR FREEMAN ROAD TP SB 546 118 546-118 CRANKHALL LANE NEAR FREEMAN ROAD TP NB EDINBURGH AVENUEWEST OF KENT ROAD TPWB 479 481 479-481 481 479 481-479 EDINBURGH AVENUEWEST OF KENT ROAD TPEB 213 212 213-212 KENDRICKS ROAD WEST OF RAILWAY BRIDGE WB TP 212 213 212-213 KENDRICKS ROAD WEST OF RAILWAY BRIDGE EB TP 1004 638 1004-638 FROM MELLISH RD WB 638 1004 638-1004 FROM MELLISH RD EB 156 155 156-155 Crescent Road SB 155 156 155-156 Crescent Road NB 964 155 964-155 Wolverhampton WB 155 964 155-964 Wolverhampton EB 307 155 307-155 The Crescent NB 155 307 155-307 The Crescent SB 154 155 154-155 Shepwell Green EB 155 154 155-154 Shepwell Green WB 50 47 50-47 FROM WALSTEAD RD WB 47 50 47-50 FROM WALSTEAD RD EB 782 47 782-47 FROM WEST BROM RD S NB 47 782 47-782 FROM WEST BROM RD S SB 783 47 783-47 FROM WALSTEAD RD WS EB 47 783 47-783 FROM WALSTEAD RD WS WB 9 42 9-42 FROM BRIDGEMAN ST E WB 42 9 42-9 FROM BRIDGEMAN ST E EB 454 42 454-42 FROM QUEEN STREET NB 42 454 42-454 FROM QUEEN STREET SB 80 81 80-81 FROM WALSALL RD WB 81 80 81-80 FROM WALSALL RD EB 380 81 380-81 FROM PINFOLD ST EB 81 380 81-380 FROM PINFOLD ST WB 635 633 635-633 FROM LITTLETON ST E WB 633 635 633-635 FROM LITTLETON ST E EB 1001 1004 1001-1004 FROM LEIGH RD SB 1004 1001 1004-1001 FROM LEIGH RD NB 1003 639 1003-639 FROM LICHFIELD RD N SB 639 1003 639-1003 FROM LICHFIELD RD N NB 174 173 174-173 FROM CHURCHILL RD E SB 173 174 173-174 FROM CHURCHILL RD E NB 357 173 357-173 FROM QUEEN ELIZABETH WB 173 357 173-357 FROM QUEEN ELIZABETH EB 966 173 966-173 FROM CHURCHILL RD W NB 173 966 173-966 FROM CHURCHILL RD W SB 623 628 623-628 FROM STAFFORD ST N SB 628 623 628-623 FROM STAFFORD ST N NB 1009 628 1009-628 FROM PROFFITT ST WB 628 1009 628-1009 FROM PROFFITT ST EB 1013 628 1013-628 FROM STAFFORD ST S NB 628 1013 628-1013 FROM STAFFORD ST S SB 221 164 221-164 Marshland Way SB 164 165 164-165 Marshland Way NB 355 164 355-164 Bentley Road North WB 164 355 164-355 Bentley Road North EB 363 164 363-164 UnNamed Road NB 164 363 164-363 UnNamed Road SB 580 164 580-164 Bentley Road South EB 164 580 164-580 Bentley Road South WB 571 91 571-91 Bentley Road South (North) SWB 91 571 91-571 Bentley Road South (North) NEB 421 85 421-85 Heath Road WB 85 421 85-421 Heath Road EB 210 85 210-85 Richard Street NB 85 210 85-210 Richard Street SB 86 85 86-85 The Green NEB 85 86 85-86 The Green SWB 213 92 213-92 Cemetry Road SB 92 213 92-213 Cemetry Road NB 448 92 448-92 Darlaston Road WB 92 448 92-448 Darlaston Road EB 211 92 211-92 Walsall Road West NEB 92 211 92-211 Walsall Road West SWB 351 72 351-72 Walsall Road South WB 72 351 72-351 Walsall Road South EB 388 72 388-72 Park Road NB 72 388 72-388 Park Road SB 576 73 576-73 Steelmans Rd EB 73 576 73-576 Steelmans Rd WB 400 34 400-34 Wednesbury Road WB 34 400 34-400 Wednesbury Road EB 398 34 398-34 Bescot Road NB 34 398 34-398 Bescot Road SB 520 34 520-34 Darlaston Road EB 34 520 34-520 Darlaston Road WB 46 393 46-393 Wallows Lane East WB 393 46 393-46 Wallows Lane East EB 394 393 394-393 Dickinson Drive NB 393 394 393-394 Dickinson Drive SB 396 44 396-44 Bescot Road North SB 44 396 44-396 Bescot Road North NB 391 44 391-44 Bescot Road South NB 44 391 44-391 Bescot Road South SB 648 650 648-650 SUTTON ROAD West of Greaves Avenue EB 650 648 650-648 SUTTON ROAD West of Greaves Avenue WB 914 616 914-616 CAVENDISH ROAD East of Edison Road EB 616 914 616-914 CAVENDISH ROAD East of Edison Road WB 951 933 951-933 MONMER LANE North of Thorne Road NB 933 951 933-951 MONMER LANE North of Thorne Road SB 683 682 683-682 FIBBERSLEY South of Waddens Brook Lane NB 682 683 682-683 FIBBERSLEY South of Waddens Brook Lane SB Modelled Flow 1,485 1,238 232 279 386 347 384 316 834 565 499 189 705 375 433 540 390 173 147 319 303 287 309 264 118 116 304 1,538 928 396 412 378 312 582 675 378 377 514 837 186 322 232 218 1,328 1,066 164 188 1,848 2,030 1,620 1,522 842 1,006 641 725 4,525 4,855 463 472 532 298 250 270 501 530 28 92 2 16 614 372 751 531 595 531 215 356 639 782 467 46 800 537 199 428 186 317 112 145 511 821 692 562 1,285 1,094 48 64 1,159 656 318 261 259 375 339 280 762 471 361 298 495 849 386 545 398 131 32 137 294 298 272 238 222 772 154 105 650 279 216 217 619 1,118 1,069 570 724 458 619 709 35 22 611 781 883 889 845 608 935 944 72 28 890 915 1,299 1,321 975 1,371 124 142 245 607 327 800 Observed Flow 1,481 1,330 227 569 379 328 270 272 669 458 453 239 579 356 419 518 323 170 146 375 345 333 340 252 78 133 319 1,716 983 377 390 276 282 592 600 588 456 516 747 151 265 167 231 1,202 945 138 153 1,809 1,988 1,539 1,453 832 927 668 749 4,764 5,057 489 418 497 340 262 243 478 452 28 47 54 23 590 331 940 607 654 579 235 364 605 883 516 210 828 489 255 506 187 310 203 252 476 753 616 518 1,266 1,007 60 83 1,095 539 376 266 180 394 319 215 678 438 382 298 453 777 245 323 440 156 19 128 167 274 243 142 342 719 96 106 580 376 226 184 657 1,016 951 634 590 461 627 542 17 6 581 744 864 771 749 664 928 930 80 30 820 853 1,270 1,313 901 1,348 106 62 236 567 323 773 GEH 0 3 0 14 0 1 6 3 6 5 2 3 5 1 1 1 4 0 0 3 2 3 2 1 4 2 1 4 2 1 1 6 2 0 3 10 4 0 3 3 3 5 1 4 4 2 3 1 1 2 2 0 3 1 1 4 3 1 3 2 2 1 2 1 3 0 5 10 2 1 2 7 3 2 2 1 0 1 4 2 14 1 2 4 4 0 0 7 8 2 2 3 2 1 3 2 2 2 5 3 0 5 1 1 4 3 2 1 0 2 3 8 11 2 2 3 1 8 1 2 7 7 2 5 0 3 5 1 2 2 3 4 3 5 0 0 7 4 4 1 1 1 4 3 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 1 0 2 1 2 8 1 2 0 1 Statistics 88.74% 90.91% Flow Diff Flow Range GEH DMRB Flow DMRB 3 222 1 1 -92 199 1 1 5 100 1 1 -291 100 0 0 7 100 1 1 19 100 1 1 114 100 0 0 44 100 1 1 165 100 0 0 107 100 1 0 45 100 1 1 -50 100 1 1 126 100 1 0 19 100 1 1 14 100 1 1 23 100 1 1 67 100 1 1 3 100 1 1 1 100 1 1 -56 100 1 1 -42 100 1 1 -45 100 1 1 -31 100 1 1 12 100 1 1 40 100 1 1 -17 100 1 1 -15 100 1 1 -179 257 1 1 -55 147 1 1 19 100 1 1 22 100 1 1 102 100 0 0 31 100 1 1 -10 100 1 1 76 100 1 1 -210 100 0 0 -79 100 1 1 -2 100 1 1 90 112 1 1 35 100 1 1 57 100 1 1 65 100 1 1 -13 100 1 1 126 180 1 1 122 142 1 1 26 100 1 1 35 100 1 1 39 271 1 1 42 298 1 1 81 231 1 1 70 218 1 1 9 125 1 1 79 139 1 1 -27 100 1 1 -24 112 1 1 -239 400 1 1 -202 400 1 1 -26 100 1 1 54 100 1 1 35 100 1 1 -42 100 1 1 -12 100 1 1 27 100 1 1 23 100 1 1 77 100 1 1 -0 100 1 1 45 100 0 1 -53 100 0 1 -7 100 1 1 24 100 1 1 40 100 1 1 -189 141 0 0 -77 100 1 1 -59 100 1 1 -48 100 1 1 -20 100 1 1 -8 100 1 1 35 100 1 1 -102 132 1 1 -49 100 1 1 -164 100 0 0 -28 124 1 1 48 100 1 1 -56 100 1 1 -78 100 1 1 -1 100 1 1 8 100 1 1 -90 100 0 1 -107 100 0 0 34 100 1 1 68 113 1 1 77 100 1 1 45 100 1 1 19 190 1 1 87 151 1 1 -12 100 1 1 -19 100 1 1 63 164 1 1 117 100 1 0 -58 100 1 1 -5 100 1 1 79 100 0 1 -19 100 1 1 21 100 1 1 65 100 1 1 84 100 1 1 32 100 1 1 -21 100 1 1 0 100 1 1 42 100 1 1 72 117 1 1 142 100 0 0 222 100 0 0 -42 100 1 1 -26 100 1 1 13 100 1 1 8 100 1 1 127 100 0 0 24 100 1 1 29 100 1 1 96 100 0 1 -120 100 0 0 53 108 1 1 59 100 0 1 -1 100 1 1 71 100 1 1 -97 100 0 1 -10 100 1 1 33 100 1 1 -39 100 1 1 102 152 1 1 119 143 1 1 -64 100 1 1 135 100 0 0 -3 100 1 1 -8 100 1 1 167 100 0 0 18 100 1 1 16 100 1 1 30 100 1 1 37 112 1 1 19 130 1 1 119 116 1 0 96 112 1 1 -56 100 1 1 6 139 1 1 13 140 1 1 -8 100 1 1 -2 100 1 1 70 123 1 1 62 128 1 1 29 190 1 1 8 197 1 1 74 135 1 1 23 202 1 1 18 100 1 1 80 100 0 1 10 100 1 1 40 100 1 1 4 100 1 1 26 116 1 1 93.07% DMRB 2 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 0 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 1 0 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 Counts: 231 V/C Based on: Log Duplicates Modelled Observed Difference Count ID 1 1 44% 44% 0% L4036 1 1 36% 39% -3% L4036 1 1 0% 0% 0% L4037 0 1 0% 1% 0% L4037 1 1 0% 0% 0% L4136 1 1 0% 0% 0% L4136 0 1 0% 0% 0% L4192 1 1 0% 0% 0% L4192 0 1 1% 1% 0% L6057 1 1 1% 0% 0% L6057 1 1 32% 29% 3% L6062 1 1 12% 15% -3% L6062 1 1 48% 39% 9% L6081 1 1 24% 23% 1% L6083 1 1 28% 27% 1% L6083 1 1 32% 30% 1% L6085 1 1 0% 0% 0% L6085 1 1 12% 11% 0% L6144 1 1 10% 10% 0% L6144 1 1 22% 25% -4% L7056 1 1 20% 23% -3% L7056 1 1 39% 45% -6% WL10 1 1 42% 46% -4% WL10 1 1 36% 34% 2% WL15 1 1 16% 11% 5% WL15 1 1 0% 0% 0% WL18 1 1 0% 0% 0% WL18 1 1 2% 2% 0% L4026 1 1 27% 29% -2% L4026 1 1 25% 24% 1% L4027 1 1 26% 25% 1% L4027 0 1 26% 19% 7% L4040 1 1 21% 19% 2% L4040 1 1 1% 1% 0% L4130 1 1 1% 1% 0% L4130 0 1 0% 1% 0% L6108 1 1 0% 0% 0% L6108 1 1 33% 33% 0% 13 1 1 54% 48% 6% 13 1 1 13% 10% 2% 14 1 1 44% 36% 8% 14 1 1 31% 23% 9% 6 1 1 48% 51% -3% 6 1 1 39% 35% 4% 15 1 1 31% 28% 4% 15 1 1 11% 9% 2% 10 1 1 13% 10% 2% 10 1 1 54% 53% 1% 11 1 1 60% 58% 1% 11 1 1 48% 45% 2% 12 1 1 45% 43% 2% 12 1 1 1% 1% 0% PCR3433 1 1 1% 1% 0% PCR3433 1 1 41% 43% -2% PCN2050 1 1 46% 48% -2% PCN2050 1 1 69% 73% -4% PCR554 1 1 74% 77% -3% PCR554 1 1 30% 31% -2% PCR1550 1 1 30% 27% 3% PCR1550 1 1 1% 0% 0% PCR2234 1 1 0% 0% 0% PCR2234 1 1 34% 35% -2% P6R7519A 1 1 36% 33% 4% P6R7519A 1 1 1% 0% 0% PCR8444 1 1 1% 0% 0% PCR8444 1 1 0% 0% 0% PCR8514 1 1 0% 0% 0% PCR8514 1 1 0% 12% -12% PCR16072 1 1 4% 5% -2% PCR16072 1 1 1% 1% 0% N2056 1 1 0% 0% 0% N2056 0 1 44% 55% -11% N2069 1 1 31% 36% -5% N2069 1 1 38% 42% -4% N2069 1 1 34% 37% -3% N2069 1 1 15% 16% -1% N2069 1 1 24% 25% -1% N2069 1 1 41% 39% 2% N2069 1 1 50% 57% -7% N2069 1 1 28% 31% -3% N2074 0 1 0% 0% 0% N2074 1 1 47% 49% -2% N2074 1 1 1% 0% 0% N2074 1 1 0% 0% 0% N2074 1 1 0% 1% 0% N2074 1 1 25% 25% 0% R6876 1 1 43% 42% 1% R6876 1 1 15% 27% -12% R6876 0 1 20% 34% -15% R6876 1 1 1% 0% 0% N2063 1 1 1% 1% 0% N2063 1 1 44% 39% 5% N2063 1 1 36% 33% 3% N2063 1 1 76% 74% 1% N2135 1 1 32% 30% 3% N2135 1 1 0% 0% 0% R1257 1 1 0% 0% 0% R1257 1 1 1% 1% 0% R1981 1 1 1% 1% 0% R1981 1 1 20% 24% -4% R7484 1 1 17% 17% 0% R7484 1 1 17% 12% 5% R7484 1 1 25% 27% -1% R7484 1 1 22% 20% 1% R7484 1 1 18% 14% 4% R7484 1 1 1% 1% 0% N2012 1 1 0% 0% 0% N2012 1 1 0% 0% 0% N2012 1 1 0% 0% 0% N2012 1 1 0% 0% 0% N2012 1 1 1% 1% 0% N2012 0 1 0% 0% 0% Site 7 0 1 1% 0% 0% Site 7 1 1 27% 30% -3% Site 7 1 1 9% 11% -2% Site 7 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 7 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 7 0 1 20% 11% 9% Site 7 1 1 20% 19% 2% Site 7 1 1 37% 33% 4% Site 6 1 1 32% 19% 13% Site 6 0 1 15% 23% -8% Site 5 1 1 52% 49% 4% Site 5 1 1 25% 15% 9% Site 5 1 1 17% 17% 0% Site 5 1 1 44% 39% 5% Site 5 1 1 19% 25% -7% Site 5 1 1 48% 50% -2% Site 3 1 1 29% 25% 4% Site 3 1 1 38% 40% -2% Site 3 1 1 68% 62% 6% Site 3 1 1 65% 58% 7% Site 3 1 1 35% 39% -4% Site 3 0 1 49% 40% 9% Site 4 1 1 31% 31% 0% Site 4 1 1 40% 40% -1% Site 4 0 1 45% 35% 11% Site 4 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 4 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 4 1 1 39% 37% 2% Site 2 1 1 50% 48% 2% Site 2 1 1 1% 1% 0% Site 2 1 1 57% 49% 8% Site 2 1 1 54% 48% 6% Site 2 1 1 39% 43% -4% Site 2 1 1 27% 27% 0% Site 9 1 1 28% 27% 0% Site 9 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 9 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 9 1 1 1% 1% 0% Site 1 1 1 59% 55% 4% Site 1 1 1 38% 37% 1% Site 1 1 1 39% 39% 0% Site 1 1 1 1% 1% 0% L6093 1 1 1% 1% 0% L6093 1 1 0% 0% 0% L6134 1 1 8% 4% 5% L6134 1 1 0% 0% 0% L6148 1 1 1% 1% 0% L6148 1 1 0% 0% 0% L6086 1 1 1% 1% 0% L6086 Year 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 Car 1,171 1,051 180 450 309 268 248 251 598 410 405 214 533 328 386 477 297 139 119 306 281 272 278 206 63 109 260 1,357 777 337 349 255 259 483 489 480 372 458 664 130 227 145 206 925 738 133 147 1,352 1,518 1,193 1,107 605 729 570 627 2,450 2,884 380 341 441 288 239 213 395 348 23 44 42 12 524 276 774 477 570 466 156 269 513 788 447 178 719 430 214 426 156 258 151 201 398 644 529 450 988 756 48 64 936 396 282 221 146 309 268 166 598 386 321 239 401 705 149 204 362 115 9 98 84 187 181 85 227 545 65 82 438 267 162 138 536 809 739 490 458 317 452 378 5 2 484 618 664 547 597 497 763 692 74 21 594 629 892 991 830 1,241 86 50 192 463 298 712 LGV 156 140 24 60 42 36 4 4 29 20 19 10 9 6 7 8 5 19 16 42 38 37 38 28 9 15 35 181 104 16 17 4 4 66 66 65 51 38 38 17 28 19 18 59 76 6 4 171 152 134 113 146 119 67 79 697 783 72 57 49 47 8 10 67 71 5 3 10 8 25 13 37 23 10 8 21 37 25 38 61 24 35 21 29 58 21 35 21 27 19 31 25 22 132 101 7 9 45 19 39 30 20 42 37 23 10 7 44 33 7 12 38 40 54 34 3 11 16 37 36 23 41 95 14 19 65 44 26 15 71 104 94 72 86 60 65 85 2 2 49 68 82 82 70 49 91 164 4 9 111 104 217 159 14 21 12 7 26 63 5 12 HGV 154 138 24 59 28 24 17 17 42 29 29 15 37 23 27 33 20 12 11 27 25 24 25 18 6 10 23 178 102 24 25 18 18 43 44 43 33 19 45 4 10 4 6 218 131 0 2 286 318 212 233 81 79 31 43 1,617 1,390 37 20 7 5 15 20 17 34 0 0 2 2 41 41 129 108 74 105 57 57 67 57 7 7 74 38 12 22 10 17 31 24 59 78 61 46 146 151 5 10 115 124 55 14 14 43 14 26 69 45 17 26 45 60 58 79 24 7 7 19 67 50 26 34 74 79 17 5 77 65 38 31 50 103 118 72 46 84 110 79 10 2 48 58 118 142 82 118 74 74 2 0 115 120 161 163 57 85 8 5 17 41 20 49 TYPE CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CLASS Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard TYPE TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC A Node 396 396 391 391 393 393 435 435 435 400 400 400 398 398 398 520 520 520 592 592 592 46 46 46 394 394 394 44 44 44 A Node 847 647 1069 841 827 825 788 989 698 681 686 691 718 680 717 680 990 654 655 654 786 654 649 650 994 650 642 1005 1007 1005 645 1005 201 189 203 202 315 61 62 61 B Node 647 847 841 1069 825 827 989 788 681 698 691 686 680 718 680 717 654 990 654 655 654 786 650 649 650 994 1005 642 1005 1007 1005 645 189 201 202 203 61 315 61 62 Concatenate 847-647 647-847 1069-841 841-1069 827-825 825-827 788-989 989-788 698-681 681-698 686-691 691-686 718-680 680-718 717-680 680-717 990-654 654-990 655-654 654-655 786-654 654-786 649-650 650-649 994-650 650-994 642-1005 1005-642 1007-1005 1005-1007 645-1005 1005-645 201-189 189-201 203-202 202-203 315-61 61-315 62-61 61-62 Location Direction THE CRESCENT East of Boscobel Road EB THE CRESCENT East of Boscobel Road WB BIRMINGHAM ROAD North of Broadway North NB BIRMINGHAM ROAD North of Broadway North SB BROADWAY NORTH North of Lincoln Road NB BROADWAY NORTH North of Lincoln Road SB BIRMINGHAM ROAD South of Queens Road NB BIRMINGHAM ROAD South of Queens Road SB NEACHELLS LANE SOUTH OF PHOENIX ROAD DTP NB NEACHELLS LANE SOUTH OF PHOENIX ROAD DTP SB LUCKNOW ROAD SOUTH OF MARTIN DRIVE TPSB LUCKNOW ROAD SOUTH OF MARTIN DRIVE TPNB Total traffic from arm 2 (2047) WILLENHALL RD into0junction Total traffic to arm 2 (2047) WILLENHALL RD out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 3 (2277) MOSELEY ROAD into0junction Total traffic to arm 3 (2277) MOSELEY ROAD out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 1 (1000) LAKE AVENUE into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 1 (1000) LAKE AVENUE out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 2 (2005) BIRMINGHAM RD into0junction Total traffic to arm 2 (2005) BIRMINGHAM RD out of 0junction Total traffic from arm 3 (1000) RAVENDALE GDNS into 0 junction Total traffic to arm 3 (1000) RAVENDALE GDNS out 0of junction Total traffic from arm 1 (3082) SUTTON ROAD E into0junction Total traffic to arm 1 (3082) SUTTON ROAD E out of 0junction Total traffic from arm 2 (1000) GREAVES AVENUE into 0 junction Total traffic to arm 2 (1000) GREAVES AVENUE out 0of junction Total traffic from arm 2 (1000) BUTTS ROAD E into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 2 (1000) BUTTS ROAD E out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 3 (1000) BUTTS STREET into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 3 (1000) BUTTS STREET out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 4 (1000) BUTTS ROAD W into 0 junction Total traffic to arm 4 (1000) BUTTS ROAD W out of junction 0 J9-10 0 J10-9 0 J8-9 0 J9-8 0 WODEN ROAD EAST WB WODEN ROAD EAST EB WOOD GREEN ROAD NB WOOD GREEN ROAD SB B Node 44 44 44 44 44 44 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 C Node 391 393 396 393 396 391 400 398 520 435 398 520 435 400 520 435 400 398 46 394 44 592 394 44 592 46 44 592 46 394 Concatenate 396-44-391 396-44-393 391-44-396 391-44-393 393-44-396 393-44-391 435-34-400 435-34-398 435-34-520 400-34-435 400-34-398 400-34-520 398-34-435 398-34-400 398-34-520 520-34-435 520-34-400 520-34-398 592-393-46 592-393-394 592-393-44 46-393-592 46-393-394 46-393-44 394-393-592 394-393-46 394-393-44 44-393-592 44-393-46 44-393-394 Bescot Road North Bescot Road North Bescot Road South Bescot Road South Wallows Lane Wallows Lane Old Pleck Road Old Pleck Road Old Pleck Road Wednesbury Road Wednesbury Road Wednesbury Road Bescot Road Bescot Road Bescot Road Darlaston Road Darlaston Road Darlaston Road Morrison's Store Morrison's Store Morrison's Store Wallows Lane East Wallows Lane East Wallows Lane East Dickinson Drive Dickinson Drive Dickinson Drive Wallows Lane West Wallows Lane West Wallows Lane West From Link To Link Bescot Road South Wallows Lane Bescot Road North Wallows Lane Bescot Road North Bescot Road South Wednesbury Road Bescot Road Darlaston Road Old Pleck Road Bescot Road Darlaston Road Old Pleck Road Wednesbury Road Darlaston Road Old Pleck Road Wednesbury Road Bescot Road Wallows Lane East Dickinson Drive Wallows Lane West Morrison's Store Dickinson Drive Wallows Lane West Morrison's Store Wallows Lane East Wallows Lane West Morrison's Store Wallows Lane East Dickinson Drive Modelled Flow 115 222 505 475 990 842 687 1,062 739 863 670 229 1,343 1,276 774 474 264 91 880 1,020 43 39 1,342 1,040 248 154 164 64 34 205 150 79 5,874 5,748 5,620 6,129 525 309 828 1,126 Observed Flow 136 120 608 477 1,038 842 645 959 698 851 677 236 1,281 1,174 689 539 256 87 789 888 39 15 1,299 981 245 160 166 188 33 238 151 94 6,199 5,362 5,770 6,221 456 302 821 1,057 GEH 2 8 4 0 2 0 2 3 2 0 0 0 2 3 3 3 1 1 3 4 1 5 1 2 0 0 0 11 0 2 0 2 4 5 2 1 3 0 0 2 Flow Diff Flow Range GEH DMRB Flow DMRB -22 100 1 1 103 100 0 0 -103 100 1 0 -2 100 1 1 -48 156 1 1 0 126 1 1 41 100 1 1 103 144 1 1 41 100 1 1 12 128 1 1 -7 100 1 1 -6 100 1 1 62 192 1 1 103 176 1 1 85 100 1 1 -65 100 1 1 8 100 1 1 5 100 1 1 91 118 1 1 132 133 1 1 4 100 1 1 24 100 1 1 43 195 1 1 59 147 1 1 4 100 1 1 -6 100 1 1 -1 100 1 1 -124 100 0 0 1 100 1 1 -33 100 1 1 -2 100 1 1 -14 100 1 1 -325 400 1 1 385 400 0 1 -150 400 1 1 -92 400 1 1 69 100 1 1 7 100 1 1 8 123 1 1 70 159 1 1 DMRB 2 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 Log 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Duplicates Modelled Observed Difference Count ID 1 0% 0% 0% WL04 1 0% 0% 0% WL04 1 1% 1% 0% WL06 1 30% 31% 0% WL06 1 63% 67% -3% L6016 1 54% 54% 0% L6016 1 1% 1% 0% L6001 1 1% 1% 0% L6001 1 1% 1% 0% PCR3612 1 1% 1% 0% PCR3612 1 1% 1% 0% PCR8275 1 0% 0% 0% PCR8275 1 1% 1% 0% N2230 1 1% 1% 0% N2230 1 1% 1% 0% N2230 1 0% 1% 0% N2230 1 0% 0% 0% R6396 1 0% 0% 0% R6396 1 56% 51% 6% R6396 1 65% 57% 8% R6396 1 0% 0% 0% R6396 1 0% 0% 0% R6396 1 1% 1% 0% R7392 1 1% 1% 0% R7392 1 0% 0% 0% R7392 1 0% 0% 0% R7392 1 0% 0% 0% R16102 1 0% 0% 0% R16102 1 0% 0% 0% R16102 1 0% 0% 0% R16102 1 0% 0% 0% R16102 1 0% 0% 0% R16102 1 89% 94% -5% 546 1 87% 82% 6% 547 1 86% 88% -2% 245 1 6% 6% 0% 246 1 1% 0% 0% N1628 1 0% 0% 0% N1628 1 49% 48% 0% N1628 1 66% 62% 4% N1628 Modelled Flow 577 313 709 590 206 744 42 455 123 37 182 392 561 234 96 83 510 252 55 0 68 60 13 861 0 52 20 51 838 15 Observed Flow 533 287 660 610 193 780 47 384 104 45 169 367 545 198 121 33 499 217 98 7 86 75 13 840 6 55 19 91 777 10 GEH 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 7 0 2 5 4 2 2 0 1 3 1 0 5 2 1 Flow Diff Flow Range GEH DMRB Flow DMRB 45 100 1 1 25 100 1 1 49 100 1 1 -19 100 1 1 13 100 1 1 -37 117 1 1 -6 100 1 1 71 100 1 1 20 100 1 1 -8 100 1 1 13 100 1 1 25 100 1 1 17 100 1 1 37 100 1 1 -25 100 1 1 50 100 0 1 11 100 1 1 35 100 1 1 -43 100 1 1 -7 100 1 1 -18 100 1 1 -15 100 1 1 0 100 1 1 21 126 1 1 -6 100 1 1 -4 100 1 1 1 100 1 1 -41 100 1 1 61 117 1 1 5 100 1 1 DMRB 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Log 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Duplicates Modelled 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 144,501 141,818 Average GEH 576 2 2,683 Observed Difference Count ID Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Year 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,004 2,004 2,004 2,004 Year 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Car 111 98 496 390 928 753 577 857 484 615 580 200 1,073 930 650 519 252 86 741 809 39 14 1,225 886 241 153 165 171 31 238 146 90 3,357 2,904 3,125 3,369 405 268 653 859 LGV 15 13 67 53 45 36 28 41 95 131 90 33 54 42 14 12 1 1 15 7 0 1 15 14 1 5 1 7 1 0 5 1 933 807 868 936 20 21 23 36 HGV 10 9 44 35 65 53 41 60 120 105 7 2 154 202 24 7 2 0 34 72 0 0 60 81 2 2 0 10 0 0 0 2 1,908 1,651 1,776 1,915 32 14 144 162 Car LGV HGV 371 73 89 223 38 26 470 87 103 422 130 58 159 17 17 620 86 74 41 4 2 269 41 74 86 8 10 37 3 5 129 14 26 318 32 17 419 49 77 152 24 22 93 9 19 23 3 7 425 40 34 149 27 41 84 14 0 4 3 0 69 15 2 64 11 0 12 1 0 687 79 74 6 0 0 51 2 2 17 2 0 83 6 2 557 148 72 5 5 0 APPENDIX C INTER PEAK LINK & TURN FLOW CALIBRATION TYPE CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI Version CLASS Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Darlaston_DSDA_2011_BY_V50_IP_Final.UFS A Node B Node Concatenate Location Direction 99 98 99-98 DUDLEY STREET East of Potters Lane EB 98 99 98-99 DUDLEY STREET East of Potters Lane WB 98 295 98-295 HOLYHEAD ROAD South of Meeting Street NB 295 98 295-98 HOLYHEAD ROAD South of Meeting Street SB 971 664 971-664 HALL GREEN ROAD East of Moorlands Road EB 664 971 664-971 HALL GREEN ROAD East of Moorlands Road WB 269 156 269-156 WALSALL ROAD West of Clarkes Lane EB 156 269 156-269 WALSALL ROAD West of Clarkes Lane WB 209 331 209-331 WALSALL ROAD West of All Saints Road EB 331 209 331-209 WALSALL ROAD West of All Saints Road WB 90 423 90-423 MIDLAND ROAD East of Willenhall Street EB 423 90 423-90 MIDLAND ROAD East of Willenhall Street WB 168 191 168-191 WOLVERHAMPTON ROAD WEST West of Armwood Close EB 285 144 285-144 BILSTON LANE East of Hartill Street EB 144 285 144-285 BILSTON LANE East of Hartill Street WB 550 161 550-161 SOMERFORD PLACE East of School Street EB 161 550 161-550 SOMERFORD PLACE East of School Street WB 372 75 372-75 OLD PARK ROAD North of Birmingham Street NB 75 372 75-372 OLD PARK ROAD North of Birmingham Street SB 46 41 46-41 BESCOT CRESCENT South of Milton Street NB 41 46 41-46 BESCOT CRESCENT South of Milton Street SB 2 869 2-869 WOLVERHAMPTON STREET East of Blue Lane West EB 869 2 869-2 WOLVERHAMPTON STREET East of Blue Lane West WB 103 102 103-102 BLACK COUNTRY NEW ROAD East of Dangerfield Lane EB 102 289 102-289 BLACK COUNTRY NEW ROAD East of Dangerfield Lane WB 318 95 318-95 DARLASTON ROAD North of Short Street NB 95 318 95-318 DARLASTON ROAD North of Short Street SB 205 65 205-65 PARK LANE North of Hawthorn Road NB 65 205 65-205 PARK LANE North of Hawthorn Road SB 117 977 117-977 CRANKHALL LANE East of Woden Road East EB 977 117 977-117 CRANKHALL LANE East of Woden Road East WB 470 46 470-46 BESCOT CRESCENT South of Wallows Lane NB 46 470 46-470 BESCOT CRESCENT South of Wallows Lane SB 144 152 144-152 Bilston Lane, south of Gipsy Lane NB 152 144 152-144 Bilston Lane, south of Gipsy Lane SB 577 307 577-307 Willenhall Rd, just south of Black Country Route NB 307 577 307-577 Willenhall Rd, just south of Black Country Route SB 213 593 213-593 Bentley Mill Way, south of river NB 593 213 593-213 Bentley Mill Way, south of river SB 180 12 180-12 Wolverhampton Road, west of Primley Ave EB 12 180 12-180 Wolverhampton Road, west of Primley Ave WB 78 278 78-278 Old Park Road, south of Hawthorn Road NB 278 78 278-78 Old Park Road, south of Hawthorn Road SB A463 Black Country Route: between A463/A4444 & A463/A454 junctions NB 129 130 129-130 130 246 130-246 A463 Black Country Route: between A463/A4444 & A463/A454 junctions SB 138 133 138-133 A454 The Keyway: between A463/A454 & A463/Bliston Rd junctions EB 133 138 133-138 A454 The Keyway: between A463/A454 & A463/Bliston Rd junctions WB 297 124 297-124 OXFORD STREET WEST OF GREAT BRIDGE ROAD DTP WB 124 297 124-297 OXFORD STREET WEST OF GREAT BRIDGE ROAD DTP EB 33 408 33-408 WEDNESBURY ROAD EAST OF CALEDON STREET WB 408 33 408-33 WEDNESBURY ROAD EAST OF CALEDON STREET EB 204 184 204-184 M6 BETWEEN 10A AND 10 TP SB 184 204 184-204 M6 BETWEEN 10A AND 10 TP NB 94 228 94-228 MOXLEY ROAD EAST OF SANDWELL AVENUE TP WB 228 94 228-94 MOXLEY ROAD EAST OF SANDWELL AVENUE TP EB 943 731 943-731 MOSELEY ROAD NEAR POOL DTP WB 731 943 731-943 MOSELEY ROAD NEAR POOL DTP EB 335 38 335-38 CORPORATION STREET WEST AT RAILWAY BRIDGE WB 38 335 38-335 CORPORATION STREET WEST AT RAILWAY BRIDGE EB 118 546 118-546 CRANKHALL LANE NEAR FREEMAN ROAD TP SB 546 118 546-118 CRANKHALL LANE NEAR FREEMAN ROAD TP NB 479 481 479-481 EDINBURGH AVENUEWEST OF KENT ROAD TP WB 481 479 481-479 EDINBURGH AVENUEWEST OF KENT ROAD TP EB 213 212 213-212 KENDRICKS ROAD WEST OF RAILWAY BRIDGE TP WB 212 213 212-213 KENDRICKS ROAD WEST OF RAILWAY BRIDGE TP EB 1004 638 1004-638 FROM MELLISH RD WB 638 1004 638-1004 FROM MELLISH RD EB 307 155 307-155 The Crescent NB 155 307 155-307 The Crescent SB 9 42 9-42 FROM BRIDGEMAN ST E WB 42 9 42-9 FROM BRIDGEMAN ST E EB 454 42 454-42 FROM QUEEN STREET NB 42 454 42-454 FROM QUEEN STREET SB 80 81 80-81 FROM WALSALL RD WB 81 80 81-80 FROM WALSALL RD EB 380 81 380-81 FROM PINFOLD ST EB 81 380 81-380 FROM PINFOLD ST WB 635 633 635-633 FROM LITTLETON ST E WB 633 635 633-635 FROM LITTLETON ST E EB 1001 1004 1001-1004 FROM LEIGH RD SB 1004 1001 1004-1001 FROM LEIGH RD NB 1003 639 1003-639 FROM LICHFIELD RD N SB 639 1003 639-1003 FROM LICHFIELD RD N NB 174 173 174-173 FROM CHURCHILL RD E SB 173 174 173-174 FROM CHURCHILL RD E NB 357 173 357-173 FROM QUEEN ELIZABETH WB 173 357 173-357 FROM QUEEN ELIZABETH EB 966 173 966-173 FROM CHURCHILL RD W NB 173 966 173-966 FROM CHURCHILL RD W SB 221 164 221-164 Marshland Way SB 164 165 164-165 Marshland Way NB 355 164 355-164 Bentley Road North WB 164 355 164-355 Bentley Road North EB 363 164 363-164 UnNamed Road NB 164 363 164-363 UnNamed Road SB 580 164 580-164 Bentley Road South EB 164 580 164-580 Bentley Road South WB 571 91 571-91 Bentley Road South (North) SWB 91 571 91-571 Bentley Road South (North) NEB 421 85 421-85 Heath Road WB 85 421 85-421 Heath Road EB 210 85 210-85 Richard Street NB 85 210 85-210 Richard Street SB 86 85 86-85 The Green NEB 85 86 85-86 The Green SWB 213 92 213-92 Cemetry Road SB 92 213 92-213 Cemetry Road NB 448 92 448-92 Darlaston Road WB 92 448 92-448 Darlaston Road EB 211 92 211-92 Walsall Road West NEB 92 211 92-211 Walsall Road West SWB 351 72 351-72 Walsall Road South WB 72 351 72-351 Walsall Road South EB 388 72 388-72 Park Road NB 72 388 72-388 Park Road SB 576 73 576-73 Steelmans Rd EB 73 576 73-576 Steelmans Rd WB 400 34 400-34 Wednesbury Road WB 34 400 34-400 Wednesbury Road EB 398 34 398-34 Bescot Road NB 34 398 34-398 Bescot Road SB 520 34 520-34 Darlaston Road EB 34 520 34-520 Darlaston Road WB 46 393 46-393 Wallows Lane East WB 393 46 393-46 Wallows Lane East EB 394 393 394-393 Dickinson Drive NB 393 394 393-394 Dickinson Drive SB 396 44 396-44 Bescot Road North SB 44 396 44-396 Bescot Road North NB 391 44 391-44 Bescot Road South NB 44 391 44-391 Bescot Road South SB 648 650 648-650 SUTTON ROAD West of Greaves Avenue EB 650 648 650-648 SUTTON ROAD West of Greaves Avenue WB 914 616 914-616 CAVENDISH ROAD East of Edison Road EB 616 914 616-914 CAVENDISH ROAD East of Edison Road WB 951 933 951-933 MONMER LANE North of Thorne Road NB 933 951 933-951 MONMER LANE North of Thorne Road SB 683 682 683-682 FIBBERSLEY South of Waddens Brook Lane NB 682 683 682-683 FIBBERSLEY South of Waddens Brook Lane SB Modelled Flow 1,141 1,137 167 140 212 203 344 298 445 506 269 324 413 351 302 680 356 177 128 123 213 260 205 796 1,035 340 144 345 314 315 445 196 188 496 531 304 202 181 164 966 939 133 108 1,367 1,262 1,058 1,318 437 854 446 442 4,908 4,430 269 280 255 300 167 218 271 406 39 32 1 2 319 222 309 208 283 341 12 49 515 326 283 365 976 1,033 12 19 581 548 183 202 230 146 137 201 326 256 205 159 77 109 176 260 245 193 478 447 145 94 428 442 163 179 692 592 639 722 403 430 640 576 45 50 536 483 603 630 528 696 857 805 17 12 676 655 963 1,145 686 683 292 267 445 358 452 297 Observed Flow 1,144 1,043 196 286 304 254 378 270 496 486 420 356 501 340 407 597 427 151 131 231 248 352 293 818 904 367 321 350 328 420 462 394 389 506 506 213 206 203 172 942 968 102 98 1,408 1,301 1,171 1,149 795 705 538 502 5,020 4,659 333 325 354 308 197 230 391 391 34 37 59 32 280 345 348 283 343 340 183 240 522 597 479 562 1,070 989 30 39 657 620 279 255 212 221 178 193 248 210 192 202 54 44 198 241 209 182 448 487 98 83 392 394 175 228 599 626 673 594 451 446 613 470 34 7 532 498 642 753 520 591 845 809 35 36 752 1,003 928 1,104 786 671 111 96 363 371 358 350 GEH 0 3 2 10 6 3 2 2 2 1 8 2 4 1 6 3 4 2 0 8 2 5 6 1 4 1 12 0 1 5 1 12 12 0 1 6 0 2 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 3 5 14 5 4 3 2 3 4 3 6 0 2 1 7 1 1 1 11 7 2 7 2 5 3 0 17 16 0 13 10 9 3 1 4 4 3 3 6 4 1 6 3 1 5 3 1 3 3 7 2 1 2 1 1 2 4 1 2 2 1 3 4 1 1 5 2 1 1 5 2 8 0 1 2 5 0 4 0 0 4 5 3 12 1 1 4 0 13 13 4 1 5 3 Flow Diff -3 94 -29 -146 -92 -51 -34 28 -51 20 -151 -32 -88 11 -104 83 -71 27 -3 -107 -35 -91 -89 -22 131 -27 -176 -6 -14 -105 -17 -198 -201 -10 24 92 -4 -21 -8 25 -28 31 10 -41 -39 -113 169 -358 149 -92 -59 -112 -229 -65 -46 -99 -8 -30 -12 -119 16 5 -5 -57 -29 39 -123 -39 -75 -60 2 -170 -191 -7 -271 -196 -197 -94 43 -18 -20 -76 -71 -96 -53 18 -75 -41 8 78 46 13 -43 23 65 -22 19 36 11 30 -40 46 10 36 48 -12 -48 93 -34 -34 128 -48 -16 27 106 11 43 4 -15 -39 -123 8 104 12 -5 -18 -24 -76 -348 35 41 -100 12 181 171 81 -13 94 -53 Statistics Flow Range 172 156 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 123 136 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 141 145 100 100 211 195 176 172 119 106 100 100 400 400 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 160 148 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 113 100 100 127 121 100 100 113 150 139 166 118 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 76.08% GEH DMRB 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 84.21% Flow DMRB 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 86.12% Counts: 209 DMRB Log Duplicates 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 V/C Based on: Modelled Observed 34% 34% 33% 31% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 17% 27% 21% 23% 28% 34% 23% 22% 19% 26% 40% 35% 0% 0% 12% 10% 9% 9% 17% 31% 29% 34% 35% 48% 28% 40% 1% 1% 30% 27% 22% 24% 9% 21% 23% 24% 21% 22% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 32% 32% 34% 32% 21% 14% 27% 28% 25% 27% 36% 38% 28% 28% 28% 28% 9% 7% 7% 7% 40% 41% 37% 38% 31% 34% 39% 34% 0% 1% 1% 1% 29% 35% 28% 32% 75% 76% 67% 71% 17% 21% 18% 21% 0% 0% 0% 0% 23% 27% 29% 31% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 13% 1% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 21% 24% 14% 19% 38% 46% 46% 46% 2% 25% 7% 32% 1% 1% 0% 1% 18% 31% 23% 36% 57% 63% 30% 29% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 12% 18% 13% 16% 16% 14% 10% 15% 9% 11% 13% 12% 0% 0% 0% 0% 14% 13% 11% 14% 0% 0% 0% 0% 12% 13% 18% 16% 33% 28% 26% 25% 32% 30% 30% 33% 23% 16% 15% 13% 29% 26% 30% 27% 36% 39% 24% 31% 42% 37% 36% 38% 39% 41% 44% 36% 27% 30% 29% 30% 41% 39% 37% 30% 0% 0% 0% 0% 34% 34% 31% 32% 1% 1% 40% 48% 34% 33% 45% 38% 25% 25% 24% 24% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 42% 64% 28% 27% 34% 32% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 16% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Difference 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -10% -2% -6% 1% -7% 5% 0% 2% 0% -14% -5% -12% -12% 0% 4% -2% -11% 0% -1% 0% 0% 0% 0% -1% 2% 6% -1% -3% -2% 1% -1% 2% 1% -1% -1% -3% 5% 0% 0% -6% -4% -2% -3% -4% -3% 0% 0% -4% -2% 0% 0% 0% 0% -13% -7% 0% 0% -3% -5% -8% 0% -23% -26% 0% 0% -13% -13% -6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% -6% -3% 1% -5% -3% 1% 0% 0% 1% -3% 0% 0% -1% 1% 5% 1% 2% -3% 7% 2% 2% 3% -3% -7% 6% -2% -2% 8% -3% -1% 2% 7% 0% 0% 0% -1% 0% -8% 1% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -22% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% Count ID L4036 L4036 L4037 L4037 L4136 L4136 L4192 L4192 L6057 L6057 L6062 L6062 L6081 L6083 L6083 L6085 L6085 L6144 L6144 WL10 WL10 WL15 WL15 L4026 L4026 L4027 L4027 L4040 L4040 L4130 L4130 L6108 L6108 13 13 14 14 6 6 15 15 10 10 11 11 12 12 PCR3433 PCR3433 PCN2050 PCN2050 PCR554 PCR554 PCR1550 PCR1550 PCR2234 PCR2234 P6R7519A P6R7519A PCR8444 PCR8444 PCR8514 PCR8514 PCR16072 PCR16072 N2056 N2056 N2069 N2069 R6876 R6876 R6876 R6876 N2063 N2063 N2063 N2063 N2135 N2135 R1257 R1257 R1981 R1981 R7484 R7484 R7484 R7484 R7484 R7484 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 6 Site 6 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 L6093 L6093 L6134 L6134 L6148 L6148 L6086 L6086 Year 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Car 861 785 148 215 247 206 327 233 419 410 355 301 432 293 351 516 368 122 106 187 201 285 238 616 680 310 271 303 283 340 374 319 315 435 438 181 173 180 146 688 725 94 89 934 851 816 785 568 503 471 398 2,329 2,429 256 258 277 244 190 216 325 322 29 33 43 22 214 273 250 197 267 280 136 171 377 484 385 425 747 664 24 30 480 451 222 195 163 176 143 157 125 104 135 142 31 27 113 132 134 122 288 314 65 61 269 252 121 166 449 467 493 430 334 333 423 309 22 3 418 395 441 518 394 447 660 649 30 31 523 720 628 763 679 579 90 78 294 301 309 302 LGV 145 132 25 36 38 31 11 8 30 29 25 21 15 10 12 18 13 19 16 29 31 44 36 104 114 22 19 11 10 52 57 49 48 44 38 21 24 17 17 95 104 8 7 198 177 159 149 143 129 39 72 727 728 55 49 64 56 5 9 46 54 4 4 9 5 15 19 39 30 41 43 21 26 27 34 27 30 126 112 4 5 34 32 34 30 25 27 22 24 31 29 33 33 6 7 23 29 31 32 58 61 11 12 46 49 19 23 72 77 82 72 70 54 72 65 3 2 58 56 79 88 55 64 108 90 4 4 102 163 136 167 24 20 14 12 45 46 11 11 HGV 138 126 24 35 20 17 40 29 47 46 40 34 53 36 43 64 45 10 9 15 16 23 19 99 109 35 31 37 35 28 30 26 26 27 30 11 9 5 9 159 139 0 2 276 272 196 216 85 73 29 31 1,964 1,501 22 18 13 8 2 6 20 14 0 0 7 5 50 53 59 56 35 17 26 42 119 79 67 108 197 213 2 5 143 137 22 30 24 18 13 12 92 78 24 26 17 11 62 80 44 28 102 112 23 10 78 92 35 38 78 82 99 92 47 59 118 96 10 3 56 47 122 147 72 80 78 71 1 1 127 120 164 175 84 71 7 6 24 24 38 37 TYPE CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CLASS Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard A Node 847 647 1069 841 827 825 788 989 698 681 686 691 718 680 717 680 990 654 655 654 786 654 649 650 994 650 642 1005 1007 1005 645 1005 201 189 203 202 315 61 62 61 B Node 647 847 841 1069 825 827 989 788 681 698 691 686 680 718 680 717 654 990 654 655 654 786 650 649 650 994 1005 642 1005 1007 1005 645 189 201 202 203 61 315 61 62 Concatenate 847-647 647-847 1069-841 841-1069 827-825 825-827 788-989 989-788 698-681 681-698 686-691 691-686 718-680 680-718 717-680 680-717 990-654 654-990 655-654 654-655 786-654 654-786 649-650 650-649 994-650 650-994 642-1005 1005-642 1007-1005 1005-1007 645-1005 1005-645 201-189 189-201 203-202 202-203 315-61 61-315 62-61 61-62 Location THE CRESCENT East of Boscobel Road THE CRESCENT East of Boscobel Road BIRMINGHAM ROAD North of Broadway North BIRMINGHAM ROAD North of Broadway North BROADWAY NORTH North of Lincoln Road BROADWAY NORTH North of Lincoln Road BIRMINGHAM ROAD South of Queens Road BIRMINGHAM ROAD South of Queens Road NEACHELLS LANE SOUTH OF PHOENIX ROAD DTP NEACHELLS LANE SOUTH OF PHOENIX ROAD DTP LUCKNOW ROAD SOUTH OF MARTIN DRIVE TP LUCKNOW ROAD SOUTH OF MARTIN DRIVE TP Total traffic from arm 2 (2047) WILLENHALL RD into junction Total traffic to arm 2 (2047) WILLENHALL RD out of junction Total traffic from arm 3 (2277) MOSELEY ROAD into junction Total traffic to arm 3 (2277) MOSELEY ROAD out of junction Total traffic from arm 1 (1000) LAKE AVENUE into junction Total traffic to arm 1 (1000) LAKE AVENUE out of junction Total traffic from arm 2 (2005) BIRMINGHAM RD into junction Total traffic to arm 2 (2005) BIRMINGHAM RD out of junction Total traffic from arm 3 (1000) RAVENDALE GDNS into junction Total traffic to arm 3 (1000) RAVENDALE GDNS out of junction Total traffic from arm 1 (3082) SUTTON ROAD E into junction Total traffic to arm 1 (3082) SUTTON ROAD E out of junction Total traffic from arm 2 (1000) GREAVES AVENUE into junction Total traffic to arm 2 (1000) GREAVES AVENUE out of junction Total traffic from arm 2 (1000) BUTTS ROAD E into junction Total traffic to arm 2 (1000) BUTTS ROAD E out of junction Total traffic from arm 3 (1000) BUTTS STREET into junction Total traffic to arm 3 (1000) BUTTS STREET out of junction Total traffic from arm 4 (1000) BUTTS ROAD W into junction Total traffic to arm 4 (1000) BUTTS ROAD W out of junction J9-10 J10-9 J8-9 J9-8 WODEN ROAD EAST WODEN ROAD EAST WOOD GREEN ROAD WOOD GREEN ROAD EB WB NB SB NB SB NB SB NB SB SB NB 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WB EB NB SB Direction TYPE TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC A Node 396 396 391 391 393 393 435 435 435 400 400 400 398 398 398 520 520 520 592 592 592 46 46 46 394 394 394 44 44 44 B Node 44 44 44 44 44 44 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 393 C Node 391 393 396 393 396 391 400 398 520 435 398 520 435 400 520 435 400 398 46 394 44 592 394 44 592 46 44 592 46 394 Concatenate 396-44-391 396-44-393 391-44-396 391-44-393 393-44-396 393-44-391 435-34-400 435-34-398 435-34-520 400-34-435 400-34-398 400-34-520 398-34-435 398-34-400 398-34-520 520-34-435 520-34-400 520-34-398 592-393-46 592-393-394 592-393-44 46-393-592 46-393-394 46-393-44 394-393-592 394-393-46 394-393-44 44-393-592 44-393-46 44-393-394 From Link Bescot Road North Bescot Road North Bescot Road South Bescot Road South Wallows Lane Wallows Lane Old Pleck Road Old Pleck Road Old Pleck Road Wednesbury Road Wednesbury Road Wednesbury Road Bescot Road Bescot Road Bescot Road Darlaston Road Darlaston Road Darlaston Road Morrison's Store Morrison's Store Morrison's Store Wallows Lane East Wallows Lane East Wallows Lane East Dickinson Drive Dickinson Drive Dickinson Drive Wallows Lane West Wallows Lane West Wallows Lane West To Link Bescot Road South Wallows Lane Bescot Road North Wallows Lane Bescot Road North Bescot Road South Wednesbury Road Bescot Road Darlaston Road Old Pleck Road Bescot Road Darlaston Road Old Pleck Road Wednesbury Road Darlaston Road Old Pleck Road Wednesbury Road Bescot Road Wallows Lane East Dickinson Drive Wallows Lane West Morrison's Store Dickinson Drive Wallows Lane West Morrison's Store Wallows Lane East Wallows Lane West Morrison's Store Wallows Lane East Dickinson Drive Modelled Flow 105 107 288 375 589 447 576 621 562 510 289 362 981 1,099 477 328 81 72 652 707 54 50 677 675 56 62 119 74 30 46 108 136 5,830 5,953 5,784 5,849 397 277 698 934 Modelled Flow 497 179 433 530 221 648 19 266 180 19 196 322 229 181 194 78 283 168 105 0 12 5 5 846 0 5 12 7 695 7 107,429 Observed Flow 80 72 392 432 600 567 535 533 586 666 359 352 980 1,027 468 416 59 92 693 630 13 17 776 802 122 112 57 117 23 31 102 45 6,117 5,842 6,116 6,202 323 272 728 898 GEH 3 4 6 3 0 5 2 4 1 6 4 1 0 2 0 5 3 2 2 3 7 6 4 5 7 5 7 4 1 3 1 10 4 1 4 5 4 0 1 1 Flow Diff 24 34 -104 -57 -11 -120 41 88 -24 -155 -70 10 1 72 9 -88 22 -20 -41 77 41 34 -99 -127 -66 -51 62 -42 6 16 6 91 -287 111 -331 -353 74 5 -30 35 Observed Flow 501 252 414 514 252 604 58 394 130 50 189 293 327 146 169 57 294 170 184 6 163 154 17 674 6 16 12 125 609 12 GEH 0 5 1 1 2 2 6 7 4 5 0 2 6 3 2 3 1 0 7 4 16 17 4 6 4 3 0 15 3 2 Flow Diff -4 -73 19 16 -30 45 -38 -128 50 -32 6 29 -98 34 25 21 -11 -2 -79 -6 -151 -149 -12 172 -6 -11 -1 -118 86 -6 112,978 Average GEH 770 4 -5,549 Flow Range 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 147 154 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 116 120 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 400 400 400 400 100 100 109 135 Flow Range 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 GEH DMRB 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Flow DMRB 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 DMRB 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 GEH DMRB 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 Flow DMRB 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 DMRB 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 0 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 2 Log 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Log Duplicates 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Modelled Duplicates 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 Modelled 0% 0% 0% 24% 38% 29% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 42% 45% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 89% 91% 88% 6% 0% 0% 41% 55% 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Observed 0% 0% 0% 28% 38% 36% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 44% 40% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 93% 89% 93% 6% 0% 0% 43% 53% Observed Difference 0% 0% 0% -4% -1% -8% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -3% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -4% 2% -5% 0% 0% 0% -2% 2% Difference Count ID WL04 WL04 WL06 WL06 L6016 L6016 L6001 L6001 PCR3612 PCR3612 PCR8275 PCR8275 N2230 N2230 N2230 N2230 R6396 R6396 R6396 R6396 R6396 R6396 R7392 R7392 R7392 R7392 R16102 R16102 R16102 R16102 R16102 R16102 546 547 245 246 N1628 N1628 N1628 N1628 Year 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2004 2004 2004 2004 Count ID Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Year 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Car 65 59 318 350 507 479 452 450 393 432 301 320 770 792 423 382 55 89 598 550 12 16 691 693 120 110 54 107 22 30 94 43 3,009 2,874 3,009 3,051 284 241 547 674 LGV 10 9 49 54 36 34 32 32 108 120 54 29 42 42 16 12 1 1 14 13 0 0 16 14 2 1 2 8 1 1 6 2 920 879 920 933 11 16 24 40 HGV 5 5 26 29 57 54 51 51 85 114 4 3 168 193 29 23 3 2 82 67 0 0 69 95 0 2 1 2 0 0 2 0 2,187 2,089 2,187 2,218 28 15 157 185 Car LGV HGV 310 76 114 213 26 13 244 70 100 384 66 64 203 28 20 453 91 60 43 7 7 259 50 85 93 17 20 38 6 7 141 23 26 239 29 24 214 45 68 112 17 18 115 18 36 37 7 13 240 32 22 118 16 36 173 10 1 5 1 0 142 16 4 146 8 0 15 2 0 499 98 78 6 0 0 13 2 1 11 2 0 113 8 3 463 78 69 11 1 0 APPENDIX C PM PEAK LINK & TURN FLOW CALIBRATION TYPE CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI Version Darlaston_DSDA_2011_BY_V54_PM_Final.UFS CLASS A Node B Node Concatenate Location Direction Standard 99 98 99-98 DUDLEY STREET East of Potters Lane EB Standard 98 99 98-99 DUDLEY STREET East of Potters Lane WB Standard 98 295 98-295 HOLYHEAD ROAD South of Meeting Street NB Standard 295 98 295-98 HOLYHEAD ROAD South of Meeting Street SB Standard 971 664 971-664 HALL GREEN ROAD East of Moorlands Road EB Standard 664 971 664-971 HALL GREEN ROAD East of Moorlands Road WB Standard 269 156 269-156 WALSALL ROAD West of Clarkes Lane EB Standard 156 269 156-269 WALSALL ROAD West of Clarkes Lane WB Standard 209 331 209-331 WALSALL ROAD West of All Saints Road EB Standard 331 209 331-209 WALSALL ROAD West of All Saints Road WB Standard 90 423 90-423 MIDLAND ROAD East of Willenhall Street EB Standard 423 90 423-90 MIDLAND ROAD East of Willenhall Street WB Standard 168 191 168-191 WOLVERHAMPTON ROAD WEST West of Armwood Close EB Standard 285 144 285-144 BILSTON LANE East of Hartill Street EB Standard 144 285 144-285 BILSTON LANE East of Hartill Street WB Standard 550 161 550-161 SOMERFORD PLACE East of School Street EB Standard 161 550 161-550 SOMERFORD PLACE East of School Street WB Standard 372 75 372-75 OLD PARK ROAD North of Birmingham Street NB Standard 75 372 75-372 OLD PARK ROAD North of Birmingham Street SB Standard 382 126 382-126 WOLVERHAMPTON STREET North of Park Road NB Standard 126 382 126-382 WOLVERHAMPTON STREET North of Park Road SB Standard 46 41 46-41 BESCOT CRESCENT South of Milton Street NB Standard 41 46 41-46 BESCOT CRESCENT South of Milton Street SB Standard 2 869 2-869 WOLVERHAMPTON STREET East of Blue Lane West EB Standard 869 2 869-2 WOLVERHAMPTON STREET East of Blue Lane West WB Standard 867 635 867-635 HATHERTON STREET North of Albert Street NB Standard 635 867 635-867 HATHERTON STREET North of Albert Street SB Standard 103 102 103-102 BLACK COUNTRY NEW ROAD East of Dangerfield Lane EB Standard 102 289 102-289 BLACK COUNTRY NEW ROAD East of Dangerfield Lane WB Standard 318 95 318-95 DARLASTON ROAD North of Short Street NB Standard 95 318 95-318 DARLASTON ROAD North of Short Street SB Standard 205 65 205-65 PARK LANE North of Hawthorn Road NB Standard 65 205 65-205 PARK LANE North of Hawthorn Road SB Standard 117 977 117-977 CRANKHALL LANE East of Woden Road East EB Standard 977 117 977-117 CRANKHALL LANE East of Woden Road East WB Standard 470 46 470-46 BESCOT CRESCENT South of Wallows Lane NB Standard 46 470 46-470 BESCOT CRESCENT South of Wallows Lane SB Standard 144 152 144-152 Bilston Lane, south of Gipsy Lane NB Standard 152 144 152-144 Bilston Lane, south of Gipsy Lane SB Standard 577 307 577-307 Willenhall Rd, just south of Black Country Route NB Standard 307 577 307-577 Willenhall Rd, just south of Black Country Route SB Standard 213 593 213-593 Bentley Mill Way, south of river NB Standard 593 213 593-213 Bentley Mill Way, south of river SB Standard 180 12 180-12 Wolverhampton Road, west of Primley Ave EB Standard 12 180 12-180 Wolverhampton Road, west of Primley Ave WB Standard 78 278 78-278 Old Park Road, south of Hawthorn Road NB Standard 278 78 278-78 Old Park Road, south of Hawthorn Road SB Standard 129 130 129-130 A463 Black Country Route: between A463/A4444 & A463/A454 junctions NB Standard 130 246 130-246 A463 Black Country Route: between A463/A4444 & A463/A454 junctions SB Standard 138 133 138-133 A454 The Keyway: between A463/A454 & A463/Bliston Rd junctions EB A454 The Keyway: between A463/A454 & A463/Bliston Rd junctions WB Standard 133 138 133-138 Standard 297 124 297-124 OXFORD STREET WEST OF GREAT BRIDGE ROAD DTP WB Standard 124 297 124-297 OXFORD STREET WEST OF GREAT BRIDGE ROAD DTP EB Standard 33 408 33-408 WEDNESBURY ROAD EAST OF CALEDON STREET WB Standard 408 33 408-33 WEDNESBURY ROAD EAST OF CALEDON STREET EB Standard 204 184 204-184 M6 BETWEEN 10A AND 10 TP SB Standard 184 204 184-204 M6 BETWEEN 10A AND 10 TP NB Standard 94 228 94-228 MOXLEY ROAD EAST OF SANDWELL AVENUE TP WB Standard 228 94 228-94 MOXLEY ROAD EAST OF SANDWELL AVENUE TP EB Standard 943 731 943-731 MOSELEY ROAD NEAR POOL DTP WB Standard 731 943 731-943 MOSELEY ROAD NEAR POOL DTP EB CORPORATION STREET WEST AT RAILWAY BRIDGE WB Standard 335 38 335-38 Standard 38 335 38-335 CORPORATION STREET WEST AT RAILWAY BRIDGE EB Standard 118 546 118-546 CRANKHALL LANE NEAR FREEMAN ROAD TP SB Standard 546 118 546-118 CRANKHALL LANE NEAR FREEMAN ROAD TP NB Standard 479 481 479-481 EDINBURGH AVENUEWEST OF KENT ROAD TP WB Standard 481 479 481-479 EDINBURGH AVENUEWEST OF KENT ROAD TP EB Standard 213 212 213-212 KENDRICKS ROAD WEST OF RAILWAY BRIDGE TP WB Standard 212 213 212-213 KENDRICKS ROAD WEST OF RAILWAY BRIDGE TP EB Standard 1004 638 1004-638 FROM MELLISH RD WB Standard 638 1004 638-1004 FROM MELLISH RD EB Standard 156 155 156-155 Crescent Road SB Standard 155 156 155-156 Crescent Road NB Standard 964 155 964-155 Wolverhampton WB Standard 155 964 155-964 Wolverhampton EB Standard 307 155 307-155 The Crescent NB Standard 155 307 155-307 The Crescent SB Standard 154 155 154-155 Shepwell Green EB Standard 155 154 155-154 Shepwell Green WB Standard 50 47 50-47 FROM WALSTEAD RD WB Standard 47 50 47-50 FROM WALSTEAD RD EB Standard 782 47 782-47 FROM WEST BROM RD S NB Standard 47 782 47-782 FROM WEST BROM RD S SB Standard 783 47 783-47 FROM WALSTEAD RD WS EB Standard 47 783 47-783 FROM WALSTEAD RD WS WB Standard 9 42 9-42 FROM BRIDGEMAN ST E WB Standard 42 9 42-9 FROM BRIDGEMAN ST E EB Standard 454 42 454-42 FROM QUEEN STREET NB Standard 42 454 42-454 FROM QUEEN STREET SB Standard 80 81 80-81 FROM WALSALL RD WB Standard 81 80 81-80 FROM WALSALL RD EB Standard 380 81 380-81 FROM PINFOLD ST EB Standard 81 380 81-380 FROM PINFOLD ST WB Standard 635 633 635-633 FROM LITTLETON ST E WB Standard 633 635 633-635 FROM LITTLETON ST E EB Standard 1001 1004 1001-1004 FROM LEIGH RD SB Standard 1004 1001 1004-1001 FROM LEIGH RD NB Standard 1003 639 1003-639 FROM LICHFIELD RD N SB Standard 639 1003 639-1003 FROM LICHFIELD RD N NB Standard 174 173 174-173 FROM CHURCHILL RD E SB Standard 173 174 173-174 FROM CHURCHILL RD E NB Standard 357 173 357-173 FROM QUEEN ELIZABETH WB Standard 173 357 173-357 FROM QUEEN ELIZABETH EB Standard 966 173 966-173 FROM CHURCHILL RD W NB Standard 173 966 173-966 FROM CHURCHILL RD W SB Standard 623 628 623-628 FROM STAFFORD ST N SB Standard 628 623 628-623 FROM STAFFORD ST N NB Standard 1009 628 1009-628 FROM PROFFITT ST WB Standard 628 1009 628-1009 FROM PROFFITT ST EB Standard 1013 628 1013-628 FROM STAFFORD ST S NB Standard 628 1013 628-1013 FROM STAFFORD ST S SB Standard 221 164 221-164 Marshland Way SB Standard 164 165 164-165 Marshland Way NB Standard 355 164 355-164 Bentley Road North WB Standard 164 355 164-355 Bentley Road North EB Standard 363 164 363-164 UnNamed Road NB Standard 164 363 164-363 UnNamed Road SB Standard 580 164 580-164 Bentley Road South EB Standard 164 580 164-580 Bentley Road South WB Standard 571 91 571-91 Bentley Road South (North) SWB Standard 91 571 91-571 Bentley Road South (North) NEB Standard 421 85 421-85 Heath Road WB Standard 85 421 85-421 Heath Road EB Standard 210 85 210-85 Richard Street NB Standard 85 210 85-210 Richard Street SB Standard 86 85 86-85 The Green NEB Standard 85 86 85-86 The Green SWB Standard 213 92 213-92 Cemetry Road SB Standard 92 213 92-213 Cemetry Road NB Standard 448 92 448-92 Darlaston Road WB Standard 92 448 92-448 Darlaston Road EB Standard 211 92 211-92 Walsall Road West NEB Standard 92 211 92-211 Walsall Road West SWB Standard 351 72 351-72 Walsall Road South WB Standard 72 351 72-351 Walsall Road South EB Standard 388 72 388-72 Park Road NB Standard 72 388 72-388 Park Road SB Standard 576 73 576-73 Steelmans Rd EB Standard 73 576 73-576 Steelmans Rd WB Standard 400 34 400-34 Wednesbury Road WB Standard 34 400 34-400 Wednesbury Road EB Standard 398 34 398-34 Bescot Road NB Standard 34 398 34-398 Bescot Road SB Standard 520 34 520-34 Darlaston Road EB Standard 34 520 34-520 Darlaston Road WB Standard 46 393 46-393 Wallows Lane East WB Standard 393 46 393-46 Wallows Lane East EB Standard 394 393 394-393 Dickinson Drive NB Standard 393 394 393-394 Dickinson Drive SB Standard 396 44 396-44 Bescot Road North SB Standard 44 396 44-396 Bescot Road North NB Standard 391 44 391-44 Bescot Road South NB Standard 44 391 44-391 Bescot Road South SB Standard 648 650 648-650 SUTTON ROAD West of Greaves Avenue EB Standard 650 648 650-648 SUTTON ROAD West of Greaves Avenue WB Standard 914 616 914-616 CAVENDISH ROAD East of Edison Road EB Standard 616 914 616-914 CAVENDISH ROAD East of Edison Road WB Standard 951 933 951-933 MONMER LANE North of Thorne Road NB Standard 933 951 933-951 MONMER LANE North of Thorne Road SB Standard 683 682 683-682 FIBBERSLEY South of Waddens Brook Lane NB Standard 682 683 682-683 FIBBERSLEY South of Waddens Brook Lane SB Modelled Flow 1,437 1,117 347 314 484 344 363 321 649 676 566 294 582 692 468 719 463 245 151 453 405 234 370 255 335 258 110 1,082 1,629 493 369 546 361 579 684 363 523 774 661 370 276 354 199 1,029 1,455 175 117 1,784 1,927 1,501 1,464 765 798 775 587 4,261 5,342 287 497 504 388 196 307 427 554 55 75 27 13 326 602 674 815 507 668 491 288 808 707 355 116 636 464 400 398 274 203 104 180 646 699 611 676 1,257 1,272 28 45 785 835 361 289 494 282 166 449 619 760 345 572 1,004 636 499 364 247 466 98 41 259 232 260 202 215 667 235 104 634 275 172 341 868 890 915 724 566 580 576 803 48 16 738 636 684 1,119 764 838 1,128 1,110 60 61 1,131 721 1,117 1,592 1,403 1,044 128 176 595 395 690 387 Observed Flow 1,345 973 288 315 486 333 349 219 562 571 525 423 629 422 434 722 456 171 160 406 372 245 385 262 280 276 109 1,020 1,540 395 408 498 359 583 674 567 555 794 621 316 230 357 201 913 1,422 176 101 2,293 1,899 1,478 1,589 927 804 740 528 4,317 5,352 328 375 457 351 203 301 419 572 55 54 67 40 312 607 711 841 574 722 493 270 773 718 427 356 625 425 439 465 371 221 237 210 652 735 527 911 1,162 1,304 30 45 694 786 375 291 336 309 188 298 567 703 317 584 976 573 391 318 265 456 91 27 268 215 262 196 411 646 165 83 583 477 185 338 818 843 884 707 548 553 638 672 46 5 711 580 640 1,009 719 793 1,078 1,022 61 79 1,017 666 1,011 1,449 1,367 824 123 135 653 373 701 379 GEH 2 4 3 0 0 1 1 6 4 4 2 7 2 11 2 0 0 5 1 2 2 1 1 0 3 1 0 2 2 5 2 2 0 0 0 9 1 1 2 3 3 0 0 4 1 0 2 11 1 1 3 6 0 1 2 1 0 2 6 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 6 5 1 0 1 1 3 2 0 1 1 0 4 16 0 2 2 3 5 1 10 2 0 1 4 8 3 1 0 0 3 2 1 0 8 2 2 8 2 2 2 0 1 3 5 3 1 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 11 1 5 2 2 10 1 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 3 5 0 3 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 0 2 4 2 3 4 1 7 1 3 2 1 0 0 Statistics 87.88% 89.18% Flow Diff Flow Range GEH DMRB Flow DMRB 92 202 1 1 144 146 1 1 59 100 1 1 -1 100 1 1 -2 100 1 1 11 100 1 1 14 100 1 1 102 100 0 0 87 100 1 1 105 100 1 0 41 100 1 1 -130 100 0 0 -47 100 1 1 270 100 0 0 34 100 1 1 -2 108 1 1 7 100 1 1 74 100 0 1 -8 100 1 1 47 100 1 1 33 100 1 1 -10 100 1 1 -15 100 1 1 -7 100 1 1 54 100 1 1 -19 100 1 1 2 100 1 1 61 153 1 1 89 231 1 1 98 100 1 1 -39 100 1 1 48 100 1 1 2 100 1 1 -5 100 1 1 9 100 1 1 -204 100 0 0 -32 100 1 1 -20 119 1 1 40 100 1 1 54 100 1 1 46 100 1 1 -3 100 1 1 -2 100 1 1 116 137 1 1 33 213 1 1 -1 100 1 1 16 100 1 1 -509 344 0 0 28 285 1 1 23 222 1 1 -125 238 1 1 -163 139 0 0 -6 121 1 1 35 111 1 1 58 100 1 1 -55 400 1 1 -11 400 1 1 -41 100 1 1 123 100 0 0 47 100 1 1 37 100 1 1 -7 100 1 1 6 100 1 1 8 100 1 1 -18 100 1 1 -0 100 1 1 21 100 1 1 -40 100 0 1 -26 100 0 1 14 100 1 1 -5 100 1 1 -37 107 1 1 -26 126 1 1 -67 100 1 1 -54 108 1 1 -2 100 1 1 18 100 1 1 35 116 1 1 -11 108 1 1 -71 100 1 1 -240 100 0 0 11 100 1 1 38 100 1 1 -40 100 1 1 -67 100 1 1 -97 100 0 1 -17 100 1 1 -133 100 0 0 -30 100 1 1 -6 100 1 1 -36 110 1 1 84 100 1 1 -236 137 0 0 95 174 1 1 -33 196 1 1 -2 100 1 1 -0 100 1 1 91 100 1 1 49 118 1 1 -14 100 1 1 -2 100 1 1 158 100 0 0 -27 100 1 1 -22 100 1 1 150 100 0 0 52 100 1 1 58 105 1 1 28 100 1 1 -12 100 1 1 28 146 1 1 63 100 1 1 109 100 0 0 46 100 1 1 -18 100 1 1 10 100 1 1 7 100 1 1 14 100 1 1 -9 100 1 1 17 100 1 1 -2 100 1 1 6 100 1 1 -195 100 0 0 21 100 1 1 70 100 1 1 20 100 1 1 51 100 1 1 -202 100 0 0 -13 100 1 1 4 100 1 1 49 123 1 1 47 126 1 1 31 133 1 1 17 106 1 1 18 100 1 1 28 100 1 1 -62 100 1 1 132 100 1 0 2 100 1 1 10 100 1 1 27 107 1 1 57 100 1 1 44 100 1 1 110 151 1 1 45 108 1 1 45 119 1 1 50 162 1 1 88 153 1 1 -1 100 1 1 -19 100 1 1 115 152 1 1 54 100 1 1 107 152 1 1 143 217 1 1 36 205 1 1 220 124 0 0 6 100 1 1 41 100 1 1 -59 100 1 1 21 100 1 1 -11 105 1 1 7 100 1 1 90.48% DMRB 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 1 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 1 2 0 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 Counts: 231 V/C Based on: Log Duplicates Modelled Observed Difference Count ID 1 1 42% 40% 3% L4036 1 1 33% 29% 4% L4036 1 1 0% 0% 0% L4037 1 1 0% 0% 0% L4037 1 1 0% 0% 0% L4136 1 1 0% 0% 0% L4136 1 1 0% 0% 0% L4192 0 1 0% 0% 0% L4192 1 1 1% 1% 0% L6057 1 1 1% 1% 0% L6057 1 1 36% 34% 3% L6062 0 1 19% 27% -8% L6062 1 1 39% 43% -3% L6081 0 1 44% 27% 17% L6083 1 1 30% 28% 2% L6083 1 1 42% 42% 0% L6085 1 1 0% 0% 0% L6085 1 1 17% 12% 5% L6144 1 1 10% 11% -1% L6144 1 1 31% 27% 3% L7056 1 1 27% 25% 2% L7056 1 1 32% 33% -1% WL10 1 1 50% 52% -2% WL10 1 1 34% 35% -1% WL15 1 1 45% 38% 7% WL15 1 1 0% 0% 0% WL18 1 1 0% 0% 0% WL18 1 1 1% 1% 0% L4026 1 1 48% 45% 3% L4026 1 1 32% 25% 6% L4027 1 1 24% 26% -3% L4027 1 1 37% 34% 3% L4040 1 1 24% 24% 0% L4040 1 1 1% 1% 0% L4130 1 1 1% 1% 0% L4130 0 1 0% 1% 0% L6108 1 1 1% 1% 0% L6108 1 1 50% 51% -1% 13 1 1 42% 40% 3% 13 1 1 25% 21% 4% 14 1 1 37% 31% 6% 14 1 1 48% 48% 0% 6 1 1 44% 45% -1% 6 1 1 30% 27% 3% 15 1 1 43% 42% 1% 15 1 1 12% 12% 0% 10 1 1 8% 7% 1% 10 0 1 52% 67% -15% 11 1 1 57% 56% 1% 11 1 1 44% 43% 1% 12 1 1 43% 47% -4% 12 0 1 1% 1% 0% PCR3433 1 1 1% 1% 0% PCR3433 1 1 50% 47% 2% PCN2050 1 1 38% 34% 4% PCN2050 1 1 65% 66% -1% PCR554 1 1 81% 81% 0% PCR554 1 1 18% 21% -3% PCR1550 0 1 32% 24% 8% PCR1550 1 1 1% 0% 0% PCR2234 1 1 0% 0% 0% PCR2234 1 1 27% 27% -1% P6R7519A 1 1 42% 41% 1% P6R7519A 1 1 0% 0% 0% PCR8444 1 1 1% 1% 0% PCR8444 1 1 0% 0% 0% PCR8514 1 1 0% 0% 0% PCR8514 1 1 6% 15% -9% PCR16072 1 1 3% 9% -6% PCR16072 1 1 0% 0% 0% N2056 1 1 1% 1% 0% N2056 1 1 40% 42% -2% N2069 1 1 48% 49% -2% N2069 1 1 32% 37% -4% N2069 1 1 43% 46% -3% N2069 1 1 33% 33% 0% N2069 1 1 19% 18% 1% N2069 1 1 52% 50% 2% N2069 1 1 45% 46% -1% N2069 1 1 22% 26% -4% N2074 0 1 0% 0% 0% N2074 1 1 37% 37% 1% N2074 1 1 0% 0% 0% N2074 1 1 0% 0% 0% N2074 1 1 0% 0% 0% N2074 1 1 37% 50% -13% R6876 1 1 27% 30% -2% R6876 0 1 14% 32% -18% R6876 1 1 24% 28% -4% R6876 1 1 1% 1% 0% N2063 1 1 1% 1% 0% N2063 1 1 39% 34% 5% N2063 0 1 43% 58% -15% N2063 1 1 74% 68% 6% N2135 1 1 37% 38% -1% N2135 1 1 0% 0% 0% R1257 1 1 0% 0% 0% R1257 1 1 1% 1% 0% R1981 1 1 1% 1% 0% R1981 1 1 23% 24% -1% R7484 1 1 19% 19% 0% R7484 0 1 33% 23% 11% R7484 1 1 19% 21% -2% R7484 1 1 11% 12% -1% R7484 0 1 29% 19% 10% R7484 1 1 1% 1% 0% N2012 1 1 1% 1% 0% N2012 1 1 0% 0% 0% N2012 1 1 1% 1% 0% N2012 1 1 1% 1% 0% N2012 1 1 1% 1% 0% N2012 0 1 0% 0% 0% Site 7 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 7 1 1 17% 18% -1% Site 7 1 1 32% 31% 1% Site 7 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 7 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 7 1 1 18% 18% -1% Site 7 1 1 16% 15% 1% Site 7 1 1 35% 35% 0% Site 6 1 1 27% 27% 1% Site 6 0 1 15% 28% -13% Site 5 1 1 45% 44% 1% Site 5 1 1 37% 26% 11% Site 5 1 1 16% 13% 3% Site 5 1 1 43% 39% 3% Site 5 0 1 19% 32% -14% Site 5 1 1 38% 41% -3% Site 3 1 1 46% 46% 0% Site 3 1 1 53% 50% 3% Site 3 1 1 54% 51% 3% Site 3 1 1 56% 54% 2% Site 3 1 1 44% 43% 1% Site 3 1 1 38% 37% 1% Site 4 1 1 39% 37% 2% Site 4 1 1 37% 41% -4% Site 4 1 1 52% 43% 8% Site 4 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 4 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 4 1 1 47% 46% 2% Site 2 1 1 41% 37% 4% Site 2 1 1 1% 1% 0% Site 2 1 1 72% 65% 7% Site 2 1 1 49% 46% 3% Site 2 1 1 54% 51% 3% Site 2 1 1 33% 32% 1% Site 9 1 1 33% 30% 3% Site 9 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 9 1 1 0% 0% 0% Site 9 1 1 1% 1% 0% Site 1 1 1 46% 43% 3% Site 1 1 1 33% 30% 3% Site 1 1 1 47% 43% 4% Site 1 1 1 1% 1% 0% L6093 0 1 1% 1% 0% L6093 1 1 0% 0% 0% L6134 1 1 10% 8% 2% L6134 1 1 1% 1% 0% L6148 1 1 0% 0% 0% L6148 1 1 1% 1% 0% L6086 1 1 0% 0% 0% L6086 Year 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 Car 1,179 853 252 277 443 303 336 211 526 534 491 396 605 407 418 695 439 156 145 370 339 223 351 238 255 252 99 895 1,350 370 382 480 345 531 614 516 505 759 572 289 216 343 193 762 1,218 169 97 1,971 1,609 1,322 1,313 805 699 681 485 2,597 3,628 289 333 423 324 192 291 378 513 53 46 60 27 292 576 625 748 521 670 440 232 716 664 315 323 583 398 398 361 326 199 216 178 568 696 497 808 1,032 1,040 28 42 601 719 341 263 306 288 173 269 520 682 285 531 947 523 326 269 232 405 81 12 217 170 197 165 332 546 137 69 504 337 165 299 724 736 772 626 488 493 521 569 40 3 636 526 536 876 638 689 940 947 60 70 878 570 877 1,230 1,316 793 112 123 595 340 675 365 LGV 95 69 20 22 32 22 4 2 15 15 14 11 6 4 4 7 5 11 11 27 25 16 26 17 19 18 7 72 109 10 11 5 4 39 45 38 37 22 16 19 11 15 6 44 46 6 3 115 96 65 77 108 87 55 34 577 589 37 40 29 27 2 5 34 59 2 8 7 13 8 16 18 21 5 7 32 17 20 19 23 24 16 11 29 26 24 15 16 13 16 20 14 23 83 84 2 3 17 20 25 19 22 21 13 20 5 7 21 39 10 5 31 20 26 39 3 3 20 19 24 24 38 52 18 12 50 106 15 29 68 78 81 57 48 43 62 57 1 0 56 44 56 63 55 70 97 65 1 7 81 58 88 130 14 8 8 9 44 25 7 4 HGV 71 51 15 17 11 7 10 6 21 22 20 16 17 12 12 20 13 4 4 9 8 5 9 6 6 6 2 54 81 15 16 14 10 13 15 13 12 12 34 9 2 0 2 106 158 2 1 207 193 91 199 14 19 5 9 1,142 1,135 2 2 5 0 9 5 7 0 0 0 0 0 12 14 68 73 47 44 21 21 37 35 89 9 26 16 12 77 21 7 5 19 69 19 17 81 47 180 0 0 76 47 9 9 7 0 2 9 42 14 12 14 19 44 34 29 7 12 7 12 31 26 41 7 41 48 10 2 29 34 5 10 26 29 31 24 12 17 55 46 5 2 19 10 48 70 26 34 41 10 0 2 58 38 46 89 37 23 3 3 15 8 19 10 TYPE CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CALI CLASS Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard Standard A Node 847 647 1069 841 827 825 788 989 698 681 686 691 718 680 717 680 990 654 655 654 786 654 649 650 994 650 642 1005 1007 1005 645 1005 201 189 203 202 315 61 62 61 B Node 647 847 841 1069 825 827 989 788 681 698 691 686 680 718 680 717 654 990 654 655 654 786 650 649 650 994 1005 642 1005 1007 1005 645 189 201 202 203 61 315 61 62 TYPE TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC A Node 396 396 391 391 393 393 435 435 435 400 400 400 398 398 398 520 520 520 592 592 592 46 46 46 394 394 394 44 44 44 B Node C Node 44 391 44 393 44 396 44 393 44 396 44 391 34 400 34 398 34 520 34 435 34 398 34 520 34 435 34 400 34 520 34 435 34 400 34 398 393 46 393 394 393 44 393 592 393 394 393 44 393 592 393 46 393 44 393 592 393 46 393 394 Concatenate 847-647 647-847 1069-841 841-1069 827-825 825-827 788-989 989-788 698-681 681-698 686-691 691-686 718-680 680-718 717-680 680-717 990-654 654-990 655-654 654-655 786-654 654-786 649-650 650-649 994-650 650-994 642-1005 1005-642 1007-1005 1005-1007 645-1005 1005-645 201-189 189-201 203-202 202-203 315-61 61-315 62-61 61-62 Location Direction THE CRESCENT East of Boscobel Road EB THE CRESCENT East of Boscobel Road WB BIRMINGHAM ROAD North of Broadway North NB BIRMINGHAM ROAD North of Broadway North SB BROADWAY NORTH North of Lincoln Road NB BROADWAY NORTH North of Lincoln Road SB BIRMINGHAM ROAD South of Queens Road NB BIRMINGHAM ROAD South of Queens Road SB NEACHELLS LANE SOUTH OF PHOENIX ROAD DTP NB NEACHELLS LANE SOUTH OF PHOENIX ROAD DTP SB LUCKNOW ROAD SOUTH OF MARTIN DRIVE TP SB LUCKNOW ROAD SOUTH OF MARTIN DRIVE TP NB Total traffic from arm 2 (2047) WILLENHALL RD into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 2 (2047) WILLENHALL RD out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 3 (2277) MOSELEY ROAD into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 3 (2277) MOSELEY ROAD out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 1 (1000) LAKE AVENUE into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 1 (1000) LAKE AVENUE out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 2 (2005) BIRMINGHAM RD into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 2 (2005) BIRMINGHAM RD out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 3 (1000) RAVENDALE GDNS into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 3 (1000) RAVENDALE GDNS out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 1 (3082) SUTTON ROAD E into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 1 (3082) SUTTON ROAD E out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 2 (1000) GREAVES AVENUE into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 2 (1000) GREAVES AVENUE out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 2 (1000) BUTTS ROAD E into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 2 (1000) BUTTS ROAD E out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 3 (1000) BUTTS STREET into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 3 (1000) BUTTS STREET out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 4 (1000) BUTTS ROAD W into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 4 (1000) BUTTS ROAD W out of junction 0 J9-10 0 J10-9 0 J8-9 0 J9-8 0 WODEN ROAD EAST WB WODEN ROAD EAST EB WOOD GREEN ROAD NB WOOD GREEN ROAD SB Concatenate 396-44-391 396-44-393 391-44-396 391-44-393 393-44-396 393-44-391 435-34-400 435-34-398 435-34-520 400-34-435 400-34-398 400-34-520 398-34-435 398-34-400 398-34-520 520-34-435 520-34-400 520-34-398 592-393-46 592-393-394 592-393-44 46-393-592 46-393-394 46-393-44 394-393-592 394-393-46 394-393-44 44-393-592 44-393-46 44-393-394 Bescot Road North Bescot Road North Bescot Road South Bescot Road South Wallows Lane Wallows Lane Old Pleck Road Old Pleck Road Old Pleck Road Wednesbury Road Wednesbury Road Wednesbury Road Bescot Road Bescot Road Bescot Road Darlaston Road Darlaston Road Darlaston Road Morrison's Store Morrison's Store Morrison's Store Wallows Lane East Wallows Lane East Wallows Lane East Dickinson Drive Dickinson Drive Dickinson Drive Wallows Lane West Wallows Lane West Wallows Lane West From Link To Link Bescot Road South Wallows Lane Bescot Road North Wallows Lane Bescot Road North Bescot Road South Wednesbury Road Bescot Road Darlaston Road Old Pleck Road Bescot Road Darlaston Road Old Pleck Road Wednesbury Road Darlaston Road Old Pleck Road Wednesbury Road Bescot Road Wallows Lane East Dickinson Drive Wallows Lane West Morrison's Store Dickinson Drive Wallows Lane West Morrison's Store Wallows Lane East Wallows Lane West Morrison's Store Wallows Lane East Dickinson Drive Modelled Flow 137 95 420 552 709 840 893 691 745 735 328 317 1,173 1,337 702 545 79 140 866 910 28 38 1,140 1,356 92 235 86 232 55 56 226 80 6,268 5,325 5,793 5,979 551 503 784 1,028 Observed Flow 148 102 427 565 859 819 865 670 775 725 325 311 1,110 1,240 642 615 77 139 816 875 9 18 1,107 1,227 90 234 81 237 55 54 201 50 5,870 5,600 4,766 6,193 595 478 999 999 GEH 1 1 0 1 5 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 2 3 0 0 2 1 5 4 1 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 4 5 4 14 3 2 1 7 1 Flow Diff Flow Range GEH DMRB Flow DMRB -11 100 1 1 -7 100 1 1 -7 100 1 1 -12 100 1 1 -150 129 0 0 21 123 1 1 28 130 1 1 21 100 1 1 -29 116 1 1 11 109 1 1 3 100 1 1 6 100 1 1 62 167 1 1 97 186 1 1 60 100 1 1 -70 100 1 1 2 100 1 1 1 100 1 1 49 122 1 1 35 131 1 1 20 100 1 1 21 100 1 1 33 166 1 1 130 184 1 1 2 100 1 1 1 100 1 1 5 100 1 1 -5 100 1 1 -1 100 1 1 1 100 1 1 24 100 1 1 29 100 1 1 398 400 0 1 -275 400 1 1 1,027 400 0 0 -215 400 1 1 -44 100 1 1 25 100 1 1 -216 150 0 0 29 150 1 1 DMRB 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 Log 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 Duplicates Modelled Observed Difference Count ID 1 0% 0% 0% WL04 1 0% 0% 0% WL04 1 0% 0% 0% WL06 1 35% 36% -1% WL06 1 45% 55% -10% L6016 1 54% 52% 1% L6016 1 1% 1% 0% L6001 1 1% 1% 0% L6001 1 1% 1% 0% PCR3612 1 1% 1% 0% PCR3612 1 0% 0% 0% PCR8275 1 0% 0% 0% PCR8275 1 1% 1% 0% N2230 1 1% 1% 0% N2230 1 1% 1% 0% N2230 1 1% 1% 0% N2230 1 0% 0% 0% R6396 1 0% 0% 0% R6396 1 56% 52% 3% R6396 1 58% 56% 2% R6396 1 0% 0% 0% R6396 1 0% 0% 0% R6396 1 1% 1% 0% R7392 1 1% 1% 0% R7392 1 0% 0% 0% R7392 1 0% 0% 0% R7392 1 0% 0% 0% R16102 1 0% 0% 0% R16102 1 0% 0% 0% R16102 1 0% 0% 0% R16102 1 0% 0% 0% R16102 1 0% 0% 0% R16102 1 95% 89% 6% 546 1 81% 85% -4% 547 1 88% 73% 16% 245 1 6% 6% 0% 246 1 1% 1% 0% N1628 1 1% 0% 0% N1628 1 46% 59% -13% N1628 1 60% 59% 2% N1628 Modelled Flow 827 304 391 727 330 764 40 619 180 39 258 442 342 126 216 52 470 243 194 0 41 65 31 1,033 0 39 21 137 883 30 Observed Flow 698 318 355 656 312 751 45 529 151 42 238 431 325 104 210 48 430 241 211 15 173 178 34 865 11 30 20 147 781 30 GEH 5 1 2 3 1 0 1 4 2 0 1 1 1 2 0 1 2 0 1 5 13 10 1 5 5 2 0 1 4 0 Flow Diff Flow Range GEH DMRB Flow DMRB 129 100 1 0 -15 100 1 1 36 100 1 1 71 100 1 1 18 100 1 1 14 113 1 1 -4 100 1 1 89 100 1 1 29 100 1 1 -3 100 1 1 20 100 1 1 11 100 1 1 17 100 1 1 22 100 1 1 5 100 1 1 4 100 1 1 39 100 1 1 1 100 1 1 -17 100 1 1 -15 100 0 1 -133 100 0 0 -113 100 0 0 -4 100 1 1 167 130 0 0 -11 100 1 1 9 100 1 1 1 100 1 1 -10 100 1 1 102 117 1 1 0 100 1 1 DMRB 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 Log 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 Duplicates Modelled 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 147,797 144,588 Average GEH 534 2 3,209 Observed Difference Count ID Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 1 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 2 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Site 9 Year 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,004 2,004 2,004 2,004 Year 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Car 134 92 389 514 804 766 809 627 656 637 289 287 1,007 1,160 624 605 76 139 774 846 9 18 1,089 1,179 88 233 81 232 55 54 199 50 3,752 3,579 3,046 3,958 576 464 927 874 LGV 10 7 29 38 23 21 23 18 67 55 36 8 13 11 11 5 1 0 10 13 0 0 4 13 2 1 0 5 0 0 3 0 716 683 581 756 13 7 12 26 HGV 3 2 10 13 33 31 33 25 52 33 0 16 90 69 7 5 0 0 33 16 0 0 14 35 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,402 1,338 1,138 1,479 5 8 60 99 Car LGV HGV 579 64 55 299 17 2 288 33 34 589 55 12 282 25 5 651 66 34 38 2 5 461 30 38 132 12 7 39 3 0 210 16 12 387 37 7 271 28 26 95 7 2 170 21 19 40 3 5 393 35 2 205 17 19 204 7 0 15 0 0 163 8 2 167 11 0 28 4 2 745 82 38 11 0 0 29 1 0 20 0 0 135 7 5 714 57 10 27 3 0 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Appendix D Link and Turning Flow Validation Results 104 APPENDIX D AM PEAK LINK & TURN FLOW VALIDATION Version TYPE VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI TYPE TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC Darlaston_DSDA_2011_BY_V51_AM_Final.UFS CLASS A Node B Node Concatenate Standard 178 179 178-179 Standard 179 178 179-178 Standard 180 175 180-175 Standard 175 180 175-180 Standard 245 78 245-78 Standard 78 245 78-245 Standard 266 219 266-219 Standard 219 266 219-266 Standard 667 124 667-124 Standard 124 667 124-667 Standard 1060 642 1060-642 Standard 642 1060 642-1060 Standard 361 569 361-569 Standard 569 361 569-361 Standard 34 435 34-435 Standard 435 34 435-34 Standard 44 393 44-393 Standard 393 44 393-44 Standard 1038 206 1038-206 Standard 206 1038 206-1038 Standard 32 33 32-33 Standard 33 32 33-32 Standard 796 48 796-48 Standard 48 796 48-796 Standard 156 487 156-487 Standard 487 156 487-156 Standard 168 190 168-190 Standard 190 168 190-168 Standard 366 190 366-190 Standard 190 366 190-366 Standard 775 660 775-660 Standard 660 775 660-775 Standard 788 660 788-660 Standard 660 788 660-788 Standard 115 320 115-320 Standard 320 115 320-115 A Node 213 213 448 448 211 211 211 211 211 84 84 84 72 72 72 576 576 576 91 91 91 421 421 421 210 210 210 86 86 86 571 571 85 85 572 572 221 221 221 355 355 355 363 363 363 580 580 580 B Node 92 92 92 92 92 92 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 91 91 91 91 571 91 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 C Node 448 211 213 211 213 448 84 72 576 211 576 72 576 211 84 211 84 72 421 210 86 91 210 86 91 421 86 91 421 210 85 572 571 572 568 85 355 363 580 363 580 165 355 580 165 355 363 165 Concatenate 213-92-448 213-92-211 448-92-213 448-92-211 211-92-213 211-92-448 211-73-84 211-73-72 211-73-576 84-73-211 84-73-576 84-73-72 72-73-576 72-73-211 72-73-84 576-73-211 576-73-84 576-73-72 91-85-421 91-85-210 91-85-86 421-85-91 421-85-210 421-85-86 210-85-91 210-85-421 210-85-86 86-85-91 86-85-421 86-85-210 571-91-85 571-91-572 85-91-571 85-91-572 572-571-568 572-91-85 221-164-355 221-164-363 221-164-580 355-164-363 355-164-580 355-164-165 363-164-355 363-164-580 363-164-165 580-164-355 580-164-363 580-164-165 Location Direction BLOXWICH LANE North of Bentley Lane NB BLOXWICH LANE North of Bentley Lane SB BLOXWICH LANE North of Wolverhampton Road NB BLOXWICH LANE North of Wolverhampton Road SB WHITLEY STREET North of Park Street NB WHITLEY STREET North of Park Street SB STRINGES LANE West of Barcroft EB STRINGES LANE West of Barcroft WB OXFORD STREET East of Loxdale Street EB OXFORD STREET East of Loxdale Street WB CAR26014 LICHFIELD STREET North Of Butts Street NB CAR26014 LICHFIELD STREET North Of Butts Street SB Bentley Road South, south of roundabout, just past the bridge NB Bentley Road South, south of roundabout, just past the bridge SB Old Pleck Road, north of Wednesbury Road NB Old Pleck Road, north of Wednesbury Road SB Wallows Lane, west of Morrison's Store EB Wallows Lane, west of Morrison's Store WB Wood Green Road, south of Hobbs Road NB Wood Green Road, south of Hobbs Road SB WEDNESBURY ROAD NORTH OF BESCOT CRESCENT SB TP WEDNESBURY ROAD NORTH OF BESCOT CRESCENT NB TP WESTON STREET SOUTH OF TAME STREET SB WESTON STREET SOUTH OF TAME STREET NB FROM CLARKES LA S NB FROM CLARKES LA S SB Bentley Way North SB Bentley Way North NB Bentley Way South NB Bentley Way South SB Total traffic from arm 3 (1000) WALSTEAD ROAD into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 3 (1000) WALSTEAD ROAD out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 4 (2006) BIRMINGHAM RD into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 4 (2006) BIRMINGHAM RD out of junction0 BRUNSWICK PARK ROAD South of Rooth Street NB BRUNSWICK PARK ROAD South of Rooth Street SB Modelled Flow 494 755 792 974 377 423 192 323 890 701 1,299 1,433 294 298 677 620 903 950 788 953 491 583 191 472 655 868 184 806 292 220 255 462 1,102 733 15 54 Observed Flow 435 858 709 973 490 506 225 293 888 825 869 1,320 163 259 573 545 890 925 922 893 463 611 373 408 516 741 249 397 197 329 279 462 904 610 63 88 GEH 3 4 3 0 5 4 2 2 0 4 13 3 9 2 4 3 0 1 5 2 1 1 11 3 6 4 4 17 6 7 1 0 6 5 8 4 Flow Diff 58 -103 83 1 -113 -84 -34 30 2 -124 429 113 131 39 103 75 13 24 -134 60 28 -28 -182 63 139 127 -66 409 94 -109 -24 0 198 123 -49 -34 Statistics Flow Range 100 129 106 146 100 100 100 100 133 124 130 198 100 100 100 100 134 139 138 134 100 100 100 100 100 111 100 100 100 100 100 100 136 100 100 100 71.4% GEH DMRB 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 82.1% Flow DMRB 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 86.9% DMRB 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 1 0 2 0 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 0 1 2 0 1 0 2 2 0 1 1 2 Counts Log 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 84 Duplicates From Link Cemetry Road Cemetry Road Darlaston Road Darlaston Road Walsall Road West Walsall Road West Walsall Road North Walsall Road North Walsall Road North Heath Road Heath Road Heath Road Walsall Road South Walsall Road South Walsall Road South Steelmans Rd Steelmans Rd Steelmans Rd Bentley Road South Bentley Road South Bentley Road South Heath Road Heath Road Heath Road Richard Street Richard Street Richard Street The Green The Green The Green Bentley Road South (North) Bentley Road South (North) Bentley Road South (South) Bentley Road South (South) Willenhall Road Willenhall Road Marshland Way Marshland Way Marshland Way Bentley Road North Bentley Road North Bentley Road North UnNamed Road UnNamed Road UnNamed Road Bentley Road South Bentley Road South Bentley Road South Modelled Flow 185 31 80 539 137 933 0 357 7 0 3 249 12 542 244 18 1 16 295 105 154 93 0 129 154 1 0 172 478 0 264 9 238 177 31 291 127 69 191 64 100 235 1 8 24 3 5 287 Observed Flow 158 69 92 565 92 859 90 456 15 22 16 363 27 614 269 2 4 10 267 73 156 135 10 197 62 11 22 116 441 23 226 17 126 165 15 266 76 77 91 36 177 227 0 3 16 80 6 80 GEH 2 5 1 1 4 2 13 5 2 7 4 7 3 3 2 5 2 2 2 3 0 4 4 5 9 4 7 5 2 7 2 2 8 1 3 1 5 1 8 4 7 1 1 2 2 12 1 15 Flow Diff 28 -38 -12 -26 45 74 -90 -100 -8 -22 -13 -114 -15 -72 -24 16 -3 6 28 32 -2 -42 -10 -68 92 -11 -22 56 38 -23 38 -9 112 12 16 24 51 -8 99 27 -77 8 1 5 8 -77 -1 206 Flow Range 100 100 100 100 100 129 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 GEH DMRB 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 Flow DMRB 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 DMRB 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 0 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 0 Log Duplicates To Link Darlaston Road Walsall Road West Cemetry Road Walsall Road West Cemetry Road Darlaston Road Heath Road Walsall Road South Steelmans Rd Walsall Road North Steelmans Rd Walsall Road South Steelmans Rd Walsall Road North Heath Road Walsall Road North Heath Road Walsall Road South Heath Road Richard Street The Green Bentley Road South Richard Street The Green Bentley Road South Heath Road The Green Bentley Road South Heath Road Richard Street To Bentley Road South (South) Willenhall Road To Bentley Road South (North) Willenhall Road To Bentley Road South (North) To Bentley Road South (South) To Bentley Road North To UnNamed Road To Bentley Road South To UnNamed Road To Bentley Road South Marshland Way North To Bentley Road North To Bentley Road South Marshland Way North To Bentley Road North To UnNamed Road Marshland Way North 28,570 27,179 Average GEH 354 4 1,391 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 V/C Based on: Modelled Observed Difference 32% 28% 4% 1% 1% 0% 48% 43% 5% 59% 59% 0% 25% 33% -8% 29% 34% -6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 38% 26% 13% 84% 78% 7% 40% 22% 18% 40% 35% 5% 43% 37% 7% 40% 35% 5% 27% 26% 0% 28% 27% 1% 46% 54% -8% 61% 57% 4% 66% 63% 4% 79% 83% -4% 26% 50% -25% 64% 55% 9% 42% 33% 9% 56% 48% 8% 12% 17% -4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 30% 44% -15% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Modelled 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Observed Difference Count ID L6137 L6137 L6138 L6138 L4096 L4096 L6128 L6128 L7001 L7001 R26014 R26014 8 8 4 4 2 2 9 9 PCR2612 PCR2612 PCR5847 PCR5847 R2615 R2615 Site 8 Site 8 Site 8 Site 8 N2005 N2005 N2005 N2005 L4134 L4134 Year 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2009 2009 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2009 2009 2009 2009 2011 2011 Count ID Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 6 Site 6 Site 6 Site 6 Site 6 Site 6 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Year 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Car 355 701 579 795 451 466 184 239 794 738 777 1,180 103 211 494 455 755 802 747 767 384 538 334 366 403 604 200 267 144 246 266 448 838 518 52 72 LGV 48 95 79 108 8 8 25 32 38 35 37 57 24 20 38 51 66 49 103 56 53 50 27 28 19 29 30 48 27 42 10 7 14 16 7 10 Car LGV 130 18 32 8 78 7 458 64 60 8 679 86 69 7 349 57 10 0 4 6 16 0 246 62 13 2 478 69 177 39 1 1 1 1 3 0 194 42 61 12 106 24 72 20 6 4 149 17 46 9 7 2 12 3 79 11 344 51 15 3 170 32 11 4 80 15 114 25 5 8 180 43 49 25 58 2 42 11 34 0 143 22 185 32 0 0 2 1 7 2 66 9 6 0 12 6 HGV 32 62 52 71 31 32 16 21 56 52 55 83 35 28 41 39 69 74 72 70 26 24 12 14 94 108 19 82 26 41 2 7 53 77 5 6 HGV 10 29 7 43 24 94 14 50 5 12 0 55 12 67 53 0 2 7 31 0 26 43 0 31 7 2 7 26 46 5 24 2 31 26 2 43 2 17 38 2 12 10 0 0 7 5 0 62 APPENDIX D INTER PEAK LINK & TURN FLOW VALIDATION Version TYPE VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI TYPE TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC Darlaston_DSDA_2011_BY_V50_IP_Final.UFS CLASS A Node B Node Concatenate Standard 178 179 178-179 Standard 179 178 179-178 Standard 180 175 180-175 Standard 175 180 175-180 Standard 245 78 245-78 Standard 78 245 78-245 Standard 266 219 266-219 Standard 219 266 219-266 Standard 667 124 667-124 Standard 124 667 124-667 Standard 1060 642 1060-642 Standard 642 1060 642-1060 Standard 361 569 361-569 Standard 569 361 569-361 Standard 34 435 34-435 Standard 435 34 435-34 Standard 44 393 44-393 Standard 393 44 393-44 Standard 1038 206 1038-206 Standard 206 1038 206-1038 Standard 32 33 32-33 Standard 33 32 33-32 Standard 796 48 796-48 Standard 48 796 48-796 Standard 156 487 156-487 Standard 487 156 487-156 Standard 168 190 168-190 Standard 190 168 190-168 Standard 366 190 366-190 Standard 190 366 190-366 Standard 775 660 775-660 Standard 660 775 660-775 Standard 788 660 788-660 Standard 660 788 660-788 Standard 115 320 115-320 Standard 320 115 320-115 A Node 213 213 448 448 211 211 211 211 211 84 84 84 72 72 72 576 576 576 91 91 91 421 421 421 210 210 210 86 86 86 571 571 85 85 572 572 221 221 221 355 355 355 363 363 363 580 580 580 B Node 92 92 92 92 92 92 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 91 91 91 91 571 91 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 C Node 448 211 213 211 213 448 84 72 576 211 576 72 576 211 84 211 84 72 421 210 86 91 210 86 91 421 86 91 421 210 85 572 571 572 568 85 355 363 580 363 580 165 355 580 165 355 363 165 Concatenate 213-92-448 213-92-211 448-92-213 448-92-211 211-92-213 211-92-448 211-73-84 211-73-72 211-73-576 84-73-211 84-73-576 84-73-72 72-73-576 72-73-211 72-73-84 576-73-211 576-73-84 576-73-72 91-85-421 91-85-210 91-85-86 421-85-91 421-85-210 421-85-86 210-85-91 210-85-421 210-85-86 86-85-91 86-85-421 86-85-210 571-91-85 571-91-572 85-91-571 85-91-572 572-571-568 572-91-85 221-164-355 221-164-363 221-164-580 355-164-363 355-164-580 355-164-165 363-164-355 363-164-580 363-164-165 580-164-355 580-164-363 580-164-165 Location Direction BLOXWICH LANE North of Bentley Lane NB BLOXWICH LANE North of Bentley Lane SB BLOXWICH LANE North of Wolverhampton Road NB BLOXWICH LANE North of Wolverhampton Road SB WHITLEY STREET North of Park Street NB WHITLEY STREET North of Park Street SB STRINGES LANE West of Barcroft EB STRINGES LANE West of Barcroft WB OXFORD STREET East of Loxdale Street EB OXFORD STREET East of Loxdale Street WB CAR26014 LICHFIELD STREET North Of Butts StreetNB CAR26014 LICHFIELD STREET North Of Butts StreetSB Bentley Road South, south of roundabout, just past theNB bridge Bentley Road South, south of roundabout, just past theSB bridge Old Pleck Road, north of Wednesbury Road NB Old Pleck Road, north of Wednesbury Road SB Wallows Lane, west of Morrison's Store EB Wallows Lane, west of Morrison's Store WB Wood Green Road, south of Hobbs Road NB Wood Green Road, south of Hobbs Road SB WEDNESBURY ROAD NORTH OF BESCOT CRESCENT SB TP WEDNESBURY ROAD NORTH OF BESCOT CRESCENT NB TP WESTON STREET SOUTH OF TAME STREET SB WESTON STREET SOUTH OF TAME STREET NB FROM CLARKES LA S NB FROM CLARKES LA S SB Bentley Way North SB Bentley Way North NB Bentley Way South NB Bentley Way South SB Total traffic from arm 3 (1000) WALSTEAD ROAD into 0junction Total traffic to arm 3 (1000) WALSTEAD ROAD out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 4 (2006) BIRMINGHAM RD into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 4 (2006) BIRMINGHAM RD out of junction 0 BRUNSWICK PARK ROAD South of Rooth Street NB BRUNSWICK PARK ROAD South of Rooth Street SB Modelled Flow 558 567 770 668 386 397 47 87 863 476 863 849 176 260 325 466 709 870 618 790 392 384 194 233 634 485 52 538 199 160 155 298 645 602 16 69 Observed Flow 585 587 707 608 427 383 219 190 680 796 757 718 184 215 401 558 762 800 766 777 617 478 358 264 664 566 148 559 319 314 216 173 584 592 54 58 GEH 1 1 2 2 2 1 15 9 7 13 4 5 1 3 4 4 2 2 6 0 10 5 10 2 1 4 10 1 7 10 4 8 2 0 6 1 Flow Diff -27 -20 63 60 -41 14 -172 -103 183 -320 107 131 -8 45 -76 -93 -54 70 -148 13 -225 -95 -163 -31 -30 -81 -96 -21 -121 -155 -61 125 61 11 -37 10 Statistics Flow Range 100 100 106 100 100 100 100 100 100 119 113 108 100 100 100 100 114 120 115 116 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 76.2% GEH DMRB 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 85.7% Flow DMRB 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 86.9% DMRB 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 1 2 0 0 2 0 2 2 1 2 Counts Log 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 84 Duplicates From Link Cemetry Road Cemetry Road Darlaston Road Darlaston Road Walsall Road West Walsall Road West Walsall Road North Walsall Road North Walsall Road North Heath Road Heath Road Heath Road Walsall Road South Walsall Road South Walsall Road South Steelmans Rd Steelmans Rd Steelmans Rd Bentley Road South Bentley Road South Bentley Road South Heath Road Heath Road Heath Road Richard Street Richard Street Richard Street The Green The Green The Green Bentley Road South (North) Bentley Road South (North) Bentley Road South (South) Bentley Road South (South) Willenhall Road Willenhall Road Marshland Way Marshland Way Marshland Way Bentley Road North Bentley Road North Bentley Road North UnNamed Road UnNamed Road UnNamed Road Bentley Road South Bentley Road South Bentley Road South Modelled Flow 74 88 58 634 121 518 0 461 21 0 7 247 21 364 383 18 5 22 195 93 134 169 1 308 144 0 0 175 252 0 237 8 193 296 18 185 107 73 146 20 100 85 9 14 54 43 16 117 Observed Flow 85 90 95 504 132 541 47 447 13 26 14 316 24 445 318 12 10 12 226 60 131 211 7 231 54 12 32 126 250 16 182 27 155 239 27 238 91 27 127 11 103 77 11 9 34 93 6 96 GEH 1 0 4 5 1 1 10 1 2 7 2 4 1 4 3 2 2 2 2 4 0 3 3 5 9 5 8 4 0 6 4 4 3 3 2 4 2 6 2 2 0 1 1 2 3 6 3 2 Flow Diff -10 -2 -38 130 -11 -23 -47 14 9 -26 -6 -69 -3 -81 65 6 -6 10 -31 33 2 -42 -6 78 90 -12 -32 50 2 -16 54 -18 38 57 -10 -53 15 46 19 9 -3 8 -2 5 20 -50 10 21 Flow Range 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 GEH DMRB 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 Flow DMRB 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 DMRB 2 2 2 0 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 Log Duplicates 316 4 -1,090 To Link Darlaston Road Walsall Road West Cemetry Road Walsall Road West Cemetry Road Darlaston Road Heath Road Walsall Road South Steelmans Rd Walsall Road North Steelmans Rd Walsall Road South Steelmans Rd Walsall Road North Heath Road Walsall Road North Heath Road Walsall Road South Heath Road Richard Street The Green Bentley Road South Richard Street The Green Bentley Road South Heath Road The Green Bentley Road South Heath Road Richard Street To Bentley Road South (South) Willenhall Road To Bentley Road South (North) Willenhall Road To Bentley Road South (North) To Bentley Road South (South) To Bentley Road North To UnNamed Road To Bentley Road South To UnNamed Road To Bentley Road South Marshland Way North To Bentley Road North To Bentley Road South Marshland Way North To Bentley Road North To UnNamed Road Marshland Way North 22,033 23,123 Average GEH 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 V/C Based on: Modelled Observed Difference Count ID 36% 37% -2% L6137 1% 1% 0% L6137 47% 43% 4% L6138 41% 37% 4% L6138 26% 29% -3% L4096 27% 26% 1% L4096 0% 0% 0% L6128 0% 0% 0% L6128 1% 1% 0% L7001 0% 1% 0% L7001 25% 22% 3% R26014 50% 42% 8% R26014 24% 25% -1% 8 35% 29% 6% 8 21% 26% -5% 4 30% 36% -6% 4 21% 22% -2% 2 26% 24% 2% 2 36% 45% -9% 9 51% 50% 1% 9 53% 83% -30% PCR2612 52% 65% -13% PCR2612 26% 48% -22% PCR5847 31% 36% -4% PCR5847 41% 43% -2% R2615 31% 36% -5% R2615 4% 10% -6% Site 8 1% 1% 0% Site 8 0% 0% 0% Site 8 22% 42% -21% Site 8 0% 0% 0% N2005 0% 0% 0% N2005 1% 1% 0% N2005 1% 1% 0% N2005 0% 0% 0% L4134 0% 0% 0% L4134 Modelled 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Observed Difference Count ID Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 6 Site 6 Site 6 Site 6 Site 6 Site 6 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Year 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,009 2,009 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,011 2,011 Year 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Car 474 476 573 493 369 331 178 154 574 672 639 606 131 148 325 460 644 670 596 603 532 413 320 228 503 412 116 391 253 241 204 161 492 488 44 47 LGV 73 73 88 75 13 12 27 24 41 47 45 43 29 31 45 58 59 60 89 95 71 44 33 31 35 29 17 82 37 34 7 6 13 17 7 7 Car LGV 64 10 57 9 77 9 373 63 90 14 403 68 28 8 335 53 5 1 12 3 6 1 203 47 6 2 343 63 194 40 7 1 8 0 7 1 141 32 44 10 89 19 133 27 6 1 149 29 43 8 8 1 14 2 92 17 165 28 12 1 116 27 18 5 107 25 159 30 15 7 157 30 59 15 15 4 50 13 8 1 76 16 50 16 9 1 5 1 18 4 73 12 3 2 35 9 HGV 39 39 47 40 45 41 14 13 65 76 72 69 24 36 31 40 59 70 81 79 14 22 4 5 126 125 15 87 29 38 5 6 78 87 4 4 HGV 11 24 10 68 28 70 11 60 8 10 8 66 16 38 84 4 2 4 53 7 24 50 0 52 4 2 17 18 56 4 40 4 23 50 6 51 18 8 65 2 12 11 1 3 13 8 1 52 APPENDIX D PM PEAK LINK & TURN FLOW VALIDATION Version TYPE VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI VALI TYPE TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC Darlaston_DSDA_2011_BY_V54_PM_Final.UFS CLASS A Node B Node Concatenate Standard 178 179 178-179 Standard 179 178 179-178 Standard 180 175 180-175 Standard 175 180 175-180 Standard 245 78 245-78 Standard 78 245 78-245 Standard 266 219 266-219 Standard 219 266 219-266 Standard 667 124 667-124 Standard 124 667 124-667 Standard 1060 642 1060-642 Standard 642 1060 642-1060 Standard 361 569 361-569 Standard 569 361 569-361 Standard 34 435 34-435 Standard 435 34 435-34 Standard 44 393 44-393 Standard 393 44 393-44 Standard 1038 206 1038-206 Standard 206 1038 206-1038 Standard 32 33 32-33 Standard 33 32 33-32 Standard 796 48 796-48 Standard 48 796 48-796 Standard 156 487 156-487 Standard 487 156 487-156 Standard 168 190 168-190 Standard 190 168 190-168 Standard 366 190 366-190 Standard 190 366 190-366 Standard 775 660 775-660 Standard 660 775 660-775 Standard 788 660 788-660 Standard 660 788 660-788 Standard 115 320 115-320 Standard 320 115 320-115 A Node 213 213 448 448 211 211 211 211 211 84 84 84 72 72 72 576 576 576 91 91 91 421 421 421 210 210 210 86 86 86 571 571 85 85 572 572 221 221 221 355 355 355 363 363 363 580 580 580 B Node 92 92 92 92 92 92 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 91 91 91 91 571 91 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 164 C Node 448 211 213 211 213 448 84 72 576 211 576 72 576 211 84 211 84 72 421 210 86 91 210 86 91 421 86 91 421 210 85 572 571 572 568 85 355 363 580 363 580 165 355 580 165 355 363 165 Concatenate 213-92-448 213-92-211 448-92-213 448-92-211 211-92-213 211-92-448 211-73-84 211-73-72 211-73-576 84-73-211 84-73-576 84-73-72 72-73-576 72-73-211 72-73-84 576-73-211 576-73-84 576-73-72 91-85-421 91-85-210 91-85-86 421-85-91 421-85-210 421-85-86 210-85-91 210-85-421 210-85-86 86-85-91 86-85-421 86-85-210 571-91-85 571-91-572 85-91-571 85-91-572 572-571-568 572-91-85 221-164-355 221-164-363 221-164-580 355-164-363 355-164-580 355-164-165 363-164-355 363-164-580 363-164-165 580-164-355 580-164-363 580-164-165 Location BLOXWICH LANE North of Bentley Lane NB BLOXWICH LANE North of Bentley Lane SB BLOXWICH LANE North of Wolverhampton Road NB BLOXWICH LANE North of Wolverhampton Road SB WHITLEY STREET North of Park Street NB WHITLEY STREET North of Park Street SB STRINGES LANE West of Barcroft EB STRINGES LANE West of Barcroft WB OXFORD STREET East of Loxdale Street EB OXFORD STREET East of Loxdale Street WB CAR26014 LICHFIELD STREET North Of Butts Street NB CAR26014 LICHFIELD STREET North Of Butts Street SB Bentley Road South, south of roundabout, just past the bridge NB Bentley Road South, south of roundabout, just past the bridge SB Old Pleck Road, north of Wednesbury Road NB Old Pleck Road, north of Wednesbury Road SB Wallows Lane, west of Morrison's Store EB Wallows Lane, west of Morrison's Store WB Wood Green Road, south of Hobbs Road NB Wood Green Road, south of Hobbs Road SB WEDNESBURY ROAD NORTH OF BESCOT CRESCENT SB TP WEDNESBURY ROAD NORTH OF BESCOT CRESCENT NB TP WESTON STREET SOUTH OF TAME STREET SB WESTON STREET SOUTH OF TAME STREET NB FROM CLARKES LA S NB FROM CLARKES LA S SB Bentley Way North SB Bentley Way North NB Bentley Way South NB Bentley Way South SB Total traffic from arm 3 (1000) WALSTEAD ROAD into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 3 (1000) WALSTEAD ROAD out of junction 0 Total traffic from arm 4 (2006) BIRMINGHAM RD into junction 0 Total traffic to arm 4 (2006) BIRMINGHAM RD out of junction 0 BRUNSWICK PARK ROAD South of Rooth Street NB BRUNSWICK PARK ROAD South of Rooth Street SB From Link Cemetry Road Cemetry Road Darlaston Road Darlaston Road Walsall Road West Walsall Road West Walsall Road North Walsall Road North Walsall Road North Heath Road Heath Road Heath Road Walsall Road South Walsall Road South Walsall Road South Steelmans Rd Steelmans Rd Steelmans Rd Bentley Road South Bentley Road South Bentley Road South Heath Road Heath Road Heath Road Richard Street Richard Street Richard Street The Green The Green The Green Bentley Road South (North) Bentley Road South (North) Bentley Road South (South) Bentley Road South (South) Willenhall Road Willenhall Road Marshland Way Marshland Way Marshland Way Bentley Road North Bentley Road North Bentley Road North UnNamed Road UnNamed Road UnNamed Road Bentley Road South Bentley Road South Bentley Road South Direction To Link Darlaston Road Walsall Road West Cemetry Road Walsall Road West Cemetry Road Darlaston Road Heath Road Walsall Road South Steelmans Rd Walsall Road North Steelmans Rd Walsall Road South Steelmans Rd Walsall Road North Heath Road Walsall Road North Heath Road Walsall Road South Heath Road Richard Street The Green Bentley Road South Richard Street The Green Bentley Road South Heath Road The Green Bentley Road South Heath Road Richard Street To Bentley Road South (South) Willenhall Road To Bentley Road South (North) Willenhall Road To Bentley Road South (North) To Bentley Road South (South) To Bentley Road North To UnNamed Road To Bentley Road South To UnNamed Road To Bentley Road South Marshland Way North To Bentley Road North To Bentley Road South Marshland Way North To Bentley Road North To UnNamed Road Marshland Way North Modelled Flow 547 480 1,179 713 231 382 217 112 767 642 1,451 937 259 232 433 840 1,031 1,095 747 855 687 390 222 309 1,030 741 168 925 439 230 620 231 720 941 110 61 Observed Flow 727 509 865 547 717 362 326 209 829 984 1,322 1,019 267 222 353 713 971 958 925 880 1,025 475 406 278 1,085 635 190 893 499 289 405 405 681 981 67 81 GEH 7 1 10 7 22 1 7 8 2 12 3 3 0 1 4 5 2 4 6 1 12 4 10 2 2 4 2 1 3 4 9 10 1 1 5 2 Flow Diff -180 -29 315 166 -486 20 -109 -98 -61 -342 129 -81 -8 10 80 127 60 136 -178 -25 -337 -84 -184 31 -55 106 -22 32 -60 -59 215 -174 40 -40 43 -21 Statistics Flow Range 109 100 130 100 108 100 100 100 124 148 198 153 100 100 100 107 146 144 139 132 154 100 100 100 163 100 100 134 100 100 100 100 100 147 100 100 72.6% GEH DMRB 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 83.3% Flow DMRB 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 85.7% DMRB 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 2 Counts Log 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 84 Duplicates Modelled Flow 113 59 203 665 138 777 0 471 3 0 4 488 9 568 171 17 2 29 264 104 143 91 0 134 235 0 0 232 403 0 244 16 202 355 9 267 352 22 125 14 83 150 21 25 52 93 5 162 Observed Flow 125 59 171 648 167 717 49 551 4 29 7 461 22 570 244 14 16 15 253 57 153 178 5 228 125 15 24 185 377 21 222 40 196 287 0 237 279 11 100 6 102 156 22 13 56 155 8 105 GEH 1 0 2 1 2 2 10 4 1 8 1 1 3 0 5 1 5 3 1 5 1 7 3 7 8 6 7 3 1 6 1 5 0 4 4 2 4 3 2 2 2 0 0 3 1 6 1 5 Flow Diff -13 -0 32 17 -28 60 -49 -80 -1 -29 -3 27 -13 -2 -73 3 -15 14 11 46 -10 -87 -5 -94 110 -15 -24 47 25 -21 22 -24 6 68 9 29 73 11 25 7 -20 -6 -1 12 -4 -62 -4 56 Flow Range 100 100 100 100 100 108 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 GEH DMRB 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 Flow DMRB 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 DMRB 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 0 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 Log 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Duplicates 28,493 29,590 Average GEH 329 4 -1,096 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 V/C Based on: Modelled Observed Difference Count ID 35% 47% -12% L6137 0% 1% 0% L6137 72% 53% 19% L6138 43% 33% 10% L6138 16% 48% -33% L4096 26% 24% 1% L4096 0% 0% 0% L6128 0% 0% 0% L6128 1% 1% 0% L7001 1% 1% 0% L7001 43% 39% 4% R26014 55% 60% -5% R26014 35% 36% -1% 8 31% 30% 1% 8 28% 23% 5% 4 54% 46% 8% 4 30% 29% 2% 2 32% 28% 4% 2 44% 54% -10% 9 55% 56% -2% 9 46% 69% -23% PCR2612 26% 32% -6% PCR2612 30% 55% -25% PCR5847 42% 38% 4% PCR5847 66% 70% -4% R2615 48% 41% 7% R2615 11% 13% -1% Site 8 1% 1% 0% Site 8 0% 0% 0% Site 8 31% 39% -8% Site 8 1% 0% 0% N2005 0% 0% 0% N2005 1% 1% 0% N2005 1% 1% 0% N2005 0% 0% 0% L4134 0% 0% 0% L4134 Modelled 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Observed Difference Count ID Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 3 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 4 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 5 Site 6 Site 6 Site 6 Site 6 Site 6 Site 6 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Site 7 Year 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,010 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,009 2,009 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,011 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,009 2,011 2,011 Year 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Car 662 464 788 499 690 349 297 191 775 921 1,237 953 233 199 326 655 889 872 836 777 981 432 388 253 974 569 173 733 442 261 403 400 656 924 61 74 LGV 49 34 58 37 7 4 22 14 22 26 35 27 16 13 19 26 27 28 44 49 44 33 18 23 27 16 12 90 45 18 2 3 4 13 4 5 Car LGV 110 13 55 2 153 13 571 55 146 16 626 65 37 5 491 48 2 2 16 6 6 1 389 36 12 0 504 54 184 22 13 1 14 0 13 0 202 25 48 7 126 15 141 18 3 2 188 18 103 15 11 2 23 1 153 22 333 25 18 3 171 20 26 4 165 24 232 26 0 0 191 27 248 24 8 1 70 6 3 1 89 11 140 14 22 0 11 2 48 1 135 15 1 0 81 5 HGV 16 11 19 12 20 10 7 5 32 37 50 39 18 10 9 32 54 58 46 54 0 9 0 2 84 50 5 70 12 10 0 2 21 44 1 2 HGV 2 2 5 22 5 26 7 12 0 7 0 36 10 12 38 0 2 2 26 2 12 19 0 22 7 2 0 10 19 0 31 10 7 29 0 19 7 2 24 2 2 2 0 0 7 5 7 19 AECOM Local Model Validation Report Capabilities on project: Transportation Link and Turning Flow Validation Plots 108 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 109 Capabilities on project: Transportation AM Peak Validation GEH Results Key: Green links within GEH, Red outside AECOM Local Model Validation Report 110 Capabilities on project: Transportation AM Peak Validation Flow Difference Results Key: Green links within flow difference, Red outside AECOM Local Model Validation Report 111 Capabilities on project: Transportation Inter Peak Validation GEH Results Key: Green links within GEH, Red outside AECOM Local Model Validation Report 112 Capabilities on project: Transportation Inter Peak Validation Flow Difference Results Key: Green links within flow difference, Red outside AECOM Local Model Validation Report 113 Capabilities on project: Transportation PM Peak Validation GEH Results Key: Green links within GEH, Red outside AECOM Local Model Validation Report 114 Capabilities on project: Transportation PM Peak Validation Flow Difference Results Key: Green links within flow difference, Red outside AECOM Capabilities on project: Transportation Appendix E Journey Time Results Local Model Validation Report 115 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 116 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN AM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 1EB Results Date: 22 August 2011 700 600 500 s)c 400 e s( e im T 300 200 Modelled 100 Observed 0 8 2 -2 7 2 2 4 -9 8 2 2 3 -9 4 9 0 8 -3 3 9 1 -8 0 8 3 0 -8 1 8 9 6 -9 0 8 9 -7 9 6 9 5 -7 9 7 9 0 -2 5 7 1 3 -3 9 0 2 7 2 -3 1 3 3 4 -7 7 2 3 1 5 -3 4 7 2 -7 1 5 3 3 -7 2 7 1 1 -2 3 7 2 -9 1 1 2 8 4 -4 2 9 8 6 -3 8 4 4 3 3 -4 8 6 3 0 1 -4 3 3 4 3 1 -4 0 1 4 9 -3 3 1 4 4 0 -4 9 3 0 2 -5 4 0 4 4 -3 0 2 5 0 0 -4 4 3 8 0 -4 0 0 4 3 -3 8 0 4 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN AM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 1WB Results Date: 22 August 2011 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 im T 200 Modelled Observed 100 0 6 5 0 1 8 2 2 3 6 5 0 1 3 3 2 3 8 0 4 3 3 0 0 4 8 0 4 4 3 0 0 4 0 2 5 4 3 4 0 4 0 2 5 9 3 4 0 4 3 1 4 9 3 0 1 4 3 1 4 3 3 4 0 1 4 8 6 3 3 3 4 8 4 4 8 6 3 2 9 8 4 4 1 1 2 2 9 3 7 1 1 2 2 7 3 7 1 5 3 2 7 4 7 1 5 3 7 2 3 4 7 1 3 3 7 2 3 9 0 2 1 3 3 5 7 9 0 2 9 7 5 7 9 6 9 9 7 0 8 9 6 9 1 8 0 8 0 8 3 1 8 3 9 0 8 3 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 117 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN AM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 2EB Results Date: 22 August 2011 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 m Ti 200 Modelled Observed 100 0 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN AM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 2WB Results Date: 22 August 2011 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 im T 200 100 Modelled Observed 0 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 118 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 im T 200 Modelled 100 Observed 0 3 9 -3 6 4 4 -4 3 9 3 6 9 -3 4 4 0 -4 6 9 3 8 9 -3 0 4 4 -3 8 9 3 4 0 -4 0 2 5 0 2 -5 4 3 9 -3 4 0 4 3 1 -4 9 3 0 1 -4 3 1 4 3 3 -4 0 1 4 8 6 -3 3 3 4 8 4 -4 8 6 3 2 -9 8 4 4 3 9 -5 3 1 2 3 1 -2 2 9 5 6 -5 3 9 5 6 6 -5 5 6 5 5 9 -5 6 6 5 7 9 -5 5 9 5 9 4 -4 7 9 5 6 6 -3 9 4 4 0 9 -1 6 6 3 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN AM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 3SB Results Date: 22 August 2011 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 im T 200 100 Modelled Observed 0 9 9 1 8 8 1 0 0 2 9 9 1 0 9 1 0 0 2 6 6 3 0 9 1 9 4 4 6 6 3 7 9 5 9 4 4 5 9 5 7 9 5 6 6 5 5 9 5 5 6 5 6 6 5 3 9 5 5 6 5 3 1 2 3 9 5 2 9 3 1 2 8 4 4 2 9 8 6 3 8 4 4 3 3 4 8 6 3 0 1 4 3 3 4 3 1 4 0 1 4 9 3 3 1 4 4 0 4 9 3 0 2 5 4 0 4 4 3 0 2 5 8 9 3 4 3 0 4 8 9 3 6 9 3 0 4 4 4 6 9 3 3 9 3 4 4 6 4 3 9 3 8 6 -1 0 9 1 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 119 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN AM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 4NB Results Date: 22 August 2011 500 450 400 350 )s 300 c e s( e 250 m Ti 200 150 100 Modelled 50 Observed 0 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN AM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 4SB Results Date: 22 August 2011 500 450 400 350 300 s)c e s( e 250 m iT 200 150 100 Modelled 50 Observed 0 7 6 -1 8 6 1 5 5 -3 7 6 1 4 6 -1 5 5 3 0 8 -5 4 6 1 0 7 -5 0 8 5 9 6 -5 0 7 5 1 6 -3 9 6 5 7 6 -5 1 6 3 8 6 -5 7 6 5 1 7 -5 8 6 5 1 -9 1 7 5 5 -8 1 9 6 -8 5 8 7 4 -3 6 8 7 -8 7 4 3 8 -8 7 8 2 -8 8 8 9 3 -4 2 8 1 -8 9 3 4 0 -8 1 8 7 7 -3 0 8 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 120 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN AM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 5NB Results Date: 22 August 2011 700 600 500 )s 400 c e s( e im T 300 200 Modelled 100 Observed 0 5 4 2 5 1 9 3 5 4 4 4 1 9 3 6 9 3 4 4 0 4 6 9 3 8 9 3 0 4 4 3 8 9 3 5 3 4 4 3 6 0 4 5 3 4 9 9 5 6 0 4 6 2 9 9 5 7 2 6 2 5 4 4 7 2 3 1 5 4 4 6 5 4 3 1 8 6 5 4 1 9 5 8 5 1 9 5 7 5 9 2 4 1 1 1 1 7 2 1 9 2 4 0 8 1 2 1 1 8 1 0 8 1 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN AM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 5SB Results Date: 22 August 2011 600 500 400 s)c e s( e 300 m iT 200 Modelled Observed 100 0 0 8 -1 1 8 1 2 -1 0 8 1 9 2 -4 2 1 1 -1 9 2 4 -7 1 1 -5 7 1 9 -5 5 -8 1 9 5 6 5 -4 8 3 -1 6 5 4 5 4 -4 3 1 7 -2 5 4 4 6 -2 7 2 9 9 -5 6 2 6 0 -4 9 9 5 5 3 -4 6 0 4 4 -3 5 3 4 8 9 -3 4 3 0 -4 8 9 3 6 9 -3 0 4 4 -4 6 9 3 1 9 -3 4 4 5 -4 1 9 3 2 -5 5 4 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 121 Capabilities on project: Transportation Inter Peak Individual Journey Times Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN IP Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 1EB Results Date: 19 August 2011 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 im T 200 100 Modelled Observed 0 8 2 2 7 2 2 4 9 8 2 2 3 9 4 9 0 8 3 3 9 1 8 0 8 3 0 8 1 8 9 6 9 0 8 9 7 9 6 9 5 7 9 7 9 0 2 5 7 1 3 3 9 0 2 7 2 3 1 3 3 4 7 7 2 3 1 5 3 4 7 2 7 1 5 3 3 7 2 7 1 1 2 3 7 2 9 1 1 2 8 4 4 2 9 8 6 3 8 4 4 3 3 4 8 6 3 0 1 4 3 3 4 3 1 4 0 1 4 9 3 3 1 4 4 0 4 9 3 0 2 5 4 0 4 4 3 0 2 5 0 0 4 4 3 8 0 4 0 0 4 3 3 8 0 4 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN IP Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 1WB Results Date: 19 August 2011 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 m iT Modelled Observed 200 100 0 6 5 0 1 8 2 2 3 6 5 0 1 3 3 2 3 8 0 4 3 3 0 0 4 8 0 4 4 3 0 0 4 0 2 5 4 3 4 0 4 0 2 5 9 3 4 0 4 3 1 4 9 3 0 1 4 3 1 4 3 3 4 0 1 4 8 6 3 3 3 4 8 4 4 8 6 3 2 9 8 4 4 1 1 2 2 9 3 7 1 1 2 2 7 3 7 1 5 3 2 7 4 7 1 5 3 7 2 3 4 7 1 3 3 7 2 3 9 0 2 1 3 3 5 7 9 0 2 9 7 5 7 9 6 9 9 7 0 8 9 6 9 1 8 0 8 0 8 3 1 8 3 9 0 8 3 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 122 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN IP Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 2EB Results Date: 19 August 2011 500 450 400 350 )s 300 c e s( e 250 m Ti 200 150 100 Modelled 50 Observed 0 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN IP Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 2WB Results Date: 19 August 2011 500 450 400 350 )s 300 c e s( e 250 im T 200 150 100 Modelled 50 Observed 0 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 123 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model 450 400 350 300 )s c 250 e s( e m iT 200 150 Modelled 100 Observed 50 0 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN IP Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 3SB Results Date: 19 August 2011 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 m Ti 200 100 Modelled Observed 0 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 124 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN IP Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 4NB Results Date: 19 August 2011 450 400 350 300 )s c 250 e s( e m 200 Ti 150 100 Modelled 50 Observed 0 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN IP Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 4SB Results Date: 19 August 2011 450 400 350 300 )s c 250 e s( e 200 im T 150 100 Modelled 50 Observed 0 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 125 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN IP Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 5NB Results Date: 19 August 2011 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 m Ti Modelled Observed 200 100 0 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN IP Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 5SB Results Date: 19 August 2011 600 500 400 s)c e s( e 300 im T Modelled Observed 200 100 0 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 126 Capabilities on project: Transportation PM Peak Individual Journey Times Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN PM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 1EB Results Date: 24 August 2011 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 m iT Modelled Observed 200 100 0 8 2 2 7 2 2 4 9 8 2 2 3 9 4 9 0 8 3 3 9 1 8 0 8 3 0 8 1 8 9 6 9 0 8 9 7 9 6 9 5 7 9 7 9 0 2 5 7 1 3 3 9 0 2 7 2 3 1 3 3 4 7 7 2 3 1 5 3 4 7 2 7 1 5 3 3 7 2 7 1 1 2 3 7 2 9 1 1 2 8 4 4 2 9 8 6 3 8 4 4 3 3 4 8 6 3 0 1 4 3 3 4 3 1 4 0 1 4 9 3 3 1 4 4 0 4 9 3 0 2 5 4 0 4 4 3 0 2 5 0 0 4 4 3 8 0 4 0 0 4 3 3 8 0 4 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN PM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 1WB Results Date: 24 August 2011 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 im T Modelled Observed 200 100 0 6 5 0 1 8 2 2 -3 6 5 0 1 3 -3 2 3 8 0 -4 3 3 0 0 -4 8 0 4 4 -3 0 0 4 0 2 -5 4 3 4 0 -4 0 2 5 9 -3 4 0 4 3 1 -4 9 3 0 1 -4 3 1 4 3 3 -4 0 1 4 8 6 -3 3 3 4 8 4 -4 8 6 3 2 -9 8 4 4 1 1 -2 2 9 3 -7 1 1 2 2 -7 3 7 1 5 -3 2 7 4 -7 1 5 3 7 2 -3 4 7 1 3 -3 7 2 3 9 0 -2 1 3 3 5 -7 9 0 2 9 -7 5 7 9 6 -9 9 7 0 -8 9 6 9 1 -8 0 8 0 8 -3 1 8 3 -9 0 8 3 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 127 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN PM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 2EB Results Date: 24 August 2011 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 m Ti 200 Modelled Observed 100 0 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN PM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 2WB Results Date: 24 August 2011 700 600 500 )s c 400 e s( e im T 300 Modelled Observed 200 100 0 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 128 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model 700 600 500 )s 400 c e s( e im T 300 Modelled Observed 200 100 0 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN PM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 3SB Results Date: 24 August 2011 700 600 500 )s c 400 e s( e m iT 300 Modelled Observed 200 100 0 AECOM Local Model Validation Report 129 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN PM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 4NB Results Date: 24 August 2011 600 500 400 )s c e s( e 300 m Ti Modelled Observed 200 100 0 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN PM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 4SB Results Date: 24 August 2011 500 450 400 350 )s 300 c e s( e 250 m iT 200 150 100 50 0 Modelled Observed AECOM Local Model Validation Report 130 Capabilities on project: Transportation Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN PM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 5NB Results Date: 24 August 2011 900 800 700 600 )s c 500 e s( e m 400 Ti Modelled Observed 300 200 100 0 Darlaston Strategic Development Area SATURN Model SATURN PM Peak Journey Time Validation - Route 5SB Results Date: 24 August 2011 700 600 500 )s c 400 e s( e im T 300 Modelled Observed 200 100 0
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