telekom slovenije group

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EU DIGITAL AGENDA FOR SLOVENIA
Optimal model for DAE broadband
targets fulfillment in rural areas of Slovenia
Vitel, 27th Maj 2013
Matjaž Pogačnik, MBA
Telekom Slovenije
© 2013 TELEKOM SLOVENIJE GROUP
SHORT FACTS ABOUT SLOVENIA
•
•
•
•
•
•
Area:
Population:
Settlements:
Cities over 10.000:
No. of households:
BB fix access:
* Source: APEK
20.273 km²
2.050.189
6.030
16 (2 over 50.000)
813.531
69% HH *
TELEKOM SLOVENIJE GROUP
Telekom Slovenije, d.d.
GVO, d.o.o.
100 %
IPKO Telecommunications d.o.o. (Kosovo) 93,11 %
AVTENTA.SI, d.o.o 100 %
Ipko Net Albania, d.o.o. 100 %
TSmedia, d.o.o. 100 %
Media Works, d.o.o. 100 %
POGODAK TRAŽILICA d.o.o. u likvidaciji (Hrvaška) 100 %
POGODAK DOO BEOGRAD – u likvidaciji (Srbija) 100 %
DSN, d.o.o. 50 %
ANEKS d.o.o. Banja Luka (BiH, Republika Srpska) 70 %
SOLINE, d.o.o. 100 %
PRIMO Communications d.o.o. (Albanija) 75 %
M-Pay, d.o.o. 50 %
Gibtelecom Limited (Gibraltar) 50 %
SIOL d.o.o. (Hrvaška) 100 %
SIOL B.V. in liquidation (Nizozemska) 100 %
ONE DOO Skopje (Makedonija) 46,01 %
ONE DOO Skopje (Makedonija) 53,99 %
DIGI PLUS MUTIMEDIA DOOEL Skopje (Makedonija) 100 %
SIOL d.o.o. Podgorica (Črna gora) 100 %
SIOL d.o.o. Sarajevo (Bosna in Hercegovina)
100 %
TELEKOM SLOVENIJE GROUP
STRONG INFRASTRUCTURE COMPETITION
4th Q 2012 situation
•
•
BB market share of TS is ~38,5 % (from 100% in 2004)
Market share per technology:
–
–
–
•
•
Market share fixed BB access
14,3%
51,7% DSL (62,2% TS)
28,6% Cable (2,2% TS)
17,3% FTTH (36,8% TS)
38,5%
11,7%
Cable operators going for FTTH implementation
TS has 36,8% FTTH market share
13,8%
BSA and LLU imposed on all Cu and FTTH infrastructure
17,4%
Telekom Slovenije
T-2
Telemach
Amis
Rotovž
Tušmobil
Others
FTTH in Slovenia: Telekom Slovenije is a follower
100.000
RS
54.358
50.000
62.500
64.584
37.325
25.919
30.687
85.627
89.505
32.265
32.906
32505
2007Q1
2007Q2
2007Q3
2007Q4
2008Q1
2008Q2
2008Q3
2008Q4
2009Q1
2009Q2
2009Q3
2009Q4
2010Q1
2010Q2
2010Q3
2010Q4
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
0
20.214
19.871 23.977
10.355
6.757
4.677
316 4.282
0
73.524 79.905
Source: APEK, 2013
THE GOALS OF THE DIGITAL AGENDA
• 2013:
- All Europeans have access to broadband connection
• 2020:
- All Europeans have at least 30 Mbit/s connection to internet
- 50% of households use at least 100 Mbit/s connection to internet
The current status of 30 Mbit/s
connections in Slovenia
TS network and OAN
The current status of 100 Mbit/s
connections in Slovenia
TS network and OAN
Possibility of achieving the goals of DAE
in Slovenia based on current BB situation
• 50% of households use at least 100 Mbit/s connection
to internet
Due to well developed TS fiber network in urban areas, as well as other
alternative operators and cable suppliers, this aim is likely to be achieved
by 2020.
• All Europeans have at least 30 Mbit/s connection to
internet
Due to lack of commercial interest in the construction of broadband
networks in rural and suburban areas, this goal cannot be reached without
a clear state strategy and public investment
A major challenge for the country!
The current BB situation in rural and
suburban areas
• 97 % of Slovenian territory is rural and suburban
•
•
•
81 % rural (73% of settlements, 23% of households)
16 % suburban (24% of settlements, 29% of households)
3 % is urban (3% of settlements, 48% of households)
• 418 700 (52%) of 814 000 households* are located in rural
and suburban areas
• Current state of copper TS fixed network (length of LL)
tehcnichally not possible 260 000 households (62%) in
suburban and rural areas to get 30 Mbit/s connection (Digital
Agenda) at the moment
* Source: Statistical Office of Slovenia
How has Slovenia been solving this
issue until now?
• In rural and most suburban areas there is no
commercial interest for the construction of broadband
networks
The reasons are extremely low population density and difficult terrain
• Co-financing the deployment of broadband network
with public funds
OAN (Open Access Network) - project of constructing an open broadband
network of electronic communications in local communities:
the first tender in 2007, the second in 2011, technology neutral, BB
connections of at least 2 Mbit/s.
Results of OAN projects
•
•
•
•
Public Investment: EUR 82 million
The result: 29.000 planned connections
Building local, disconnected, mostly fiber optic networks
Operators do not have clear obligations regarding access to the network,
service quality, response times, the information system
• High entry barriers for network and service providers - in most cases
setting up their own equipment
• In some cases access for other operators is not technically possible (eg
GPON solutions)
• Construction of a parallel network to the existing copper network of TS
Possible technical solutions to achieve
the goal of DAE - 30 Mbit/s for all
• FTTx - adequate the implementation of P2P FTTH
•
FTTH (P2P, xPON)
•
FTTN, FTTC
•
VDSL2 - adequate (FL and FTTx)
•
MMDS - today's systems are not adequate due to splitting capacity
•
Satellite systems - potentially adequate
•
WiFi - limited adequacy - a shared capacity, QoS
•
Cable Coax – DOCSIS - limited adequacy - depending on the topology
•
Mobile (LTE 800 MHz) - suitable for sparsely populated areas with sufficient
density of BS
Optimal solution for achieving DAE goals:
•
Feasibility study analysed all technical solutions in sense of :
•
•
•
possibility of access at all levels,
equal treatment and
costs per BB connection.
• Optimal technical solution: A combination of FTTN, FTTH, LTE.
Assuring technological neutrality, implementation depends on the optimal
reuse of existing infrastructure at the lowest price, speed of construction.
• Low price solution: Reuse and upgrade of existing TS network in areas
without commercial interest for construction.
• Quick and accurate solution: Comprehensive BB problem solving on
national/regional level, open access, equal treatment under regulated
conditions, service / infrastructure / retail competition, the same wholesale
price across entire territory of Slovenia.
• Avoidance of main bottlenecks of current approach: high price, individual
problem solving, restricted access solutions for infrastructure operators.
Detailed optimal technical solution
• FTTN: By re-using the existing infrastructure and shortening the
copper local loop to 1km we can build almost 40% of missing DA
connections.
• FTTH: Solution for areas with acceptable dispersion of population
FTTH resolves too long copper loops. Re-use of existing backhaul
fiber network and access fiber infrastructure is taken into account.
• LTE at 800 MHz: Open base station principle, suitable for
geographical areas with lowest population density, limited / shared
bandwidth.
BEST OF EACH APPROACH!
FTTN, FTTH and LTE using the same (existing)
infrastructure of TS
• Starting point: Re-use of
existing network
• The individual household
addresses and accurate
infrastructure data have been
taken into account in the
analysis.
• Already existing infrastructure
is used for FTTN, FTTH and
LTE backhaul.
The level of investment in the optimal technical
solution - a combination of FTTN, FTTH and LTE
number of
connections
The total number of
connections /
average Capex
(weighted value)
260.000
The estimated
investment
CAPEX in
EUR
1.800 €
470 MIO €
• 260.000 connections need to be
built.
• Estimated optimal investment
to achieve 100 % coverage of
households with 30 Mbit/s is
470 million €.
•Average cost per connection is
1.800 €.
Comparing the OAN investment and
suggested solutions
CAPEX in EUR
Upgrading the
network of TS
(with no active
equipment)
• The investment into TS
network upgrade is more
than 50% lower than
existing OAN
approach(combined public
and private part).
OAN
investment
Capex / connection
(weighted value)
1.800 €
4.200 €
The estimated
investment
470 MIO €
1.092 MIO €
• With the same amount of
public funds, 2.3 times more
broadband connections can
be built by re-using network
of TS.
• Technological solution that
guarantees speed, open
access to infrastructure,
equal treatment, increasing
competition.
FTTN technical solution taking into account the
use of new technology - vectoring
• Without vectoring solution:
– halving the coverage
– doubling the number of FTTN
– 50% greater investment in FTTN
•Precondition to use vectoring is the removal of SLU obligations where
FTTN is implementing
•Operators use connections with BRO model from FTTN or LLU from CO
Vectoring: „alien“ cross-talk has significant
impact
• A vector control entity has control of the individual line entities that
implement the vectoring technology on each pair
• Vectoring can be achieved for downstream or upstream or both flows on each
line
• Maximum performance is achieved when all lines in a cable group are
managed; below 90%impact reduced dramatically by the non controlled
„alien“ cross-talkers
1000m
Telekom Slovenije solution also affects to achievement
of the 100Mbit/s goal:
„50% of households use at least 100 Mbit/s“
Possibility of 100 Mbit/s broadband speed
will be achieved for approximately 120.000
connections (15% of all households)
– 20.000 households (20% of FTTN solution) short
local loops with vectoring
That substantially increase chance to reach
100Mbit/s goal:
„50% of households use at least 100 Mbit/s“
Results of the analysis of financing
possibilities
• Building a network with TS’s own resources
No return of investment in the observed period of 50 years.
• The only feasible option for reaching the goals of DAE by upgrading TS’s
network is partial financing with public funds.
• Available sources of funds:
• Directly from EU - an instrument of Europe integrations (CEF: Connected
Europe Facility)
• Structural Funds - National tenders: Financial Perspective 2014-2020
• Private funds - Telekom Slovenije has the capability of private investment.
What can Telekom Slovenije offer
• Solution on State level (economy of scale of building a broadband network in a
larger area is better than in small municipalities).
• Keeping best practice from previous OAN tender national level planning,
priorities setting
• Eliminating previous OAN tender problems such access, communication,
network development, IT support, management (obligations on relevant markets 4
and 5).
• Significantly lower investment compared to the previous way of OAN
financing (at least 50%).
• Speed and quality of construction.
• Long-standing experience assure the quality of managing and maintaining.
Conclusions
• The Digital Agenda Europe is a big challenge and opportunity for Slovenia
• Slovenia is small and mainly rural country, practically no commercial interest on
the rural areas
• The majority of households’ in rural areas are connected to TS copper network.
• Result of Feasibility Study: neutral, technologically and economically optimal
solution, is re-use of TS network with combination of different technologies FTTN, FTTH and LTE (open base stations).
• Upgrading current TS network would mean equal treatment, equal conditions for
access to the network at all levels to all players.
• The price of upgrading TS network would be 470 MIO EUR, with average price
per BB connection 1.800 EUR (vs 4.200 EUR).
• Partial public funding is required
• The goals are achievable in the case of a State level solution
• Appropriate legislative and regulatory environment is required
Telekom Slovenije proposal can resolve digital divide
between urban and rural areas
Thanks for your attention!
Questions?

telekom slovenije group

Transcription

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