Enrollment Forecast - Fulton County Schools

Transcription

Tuesday, March 8, 2011
Administrative Center
Enrollment Projections &
Classroom Needs
Agenda
• Enrollment Forecast
– Methodology
M th d l
– Enrollment/Demographic trends
– FY11 Results
– Adjusted seven-year enrollment forecast
• Analysis of capacity needs
• Next steps
• Questions / Answers
Forecastingg Methodology
gy
• SchoolSiteTM Forecasting Model
– Used in over 160 school districts
– 11th year using the data model
– GIS-based forecasting model
• Research-based Forecasting Approach
– Cohort-based model
– Explicit consideration of residential development and land use
– Detailed demographic trends
FCSS Enrollment Trend
95,000
91,671
,
90,066
90,000
88,134
85,998
85,000
83 721
83,721
80,659
80,000
75 533
75,533
75,000
73,038
70,000
65,521
65,000
67,097
68,707
,
69,709
71,290
62,721
60,000
1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11
North Fulton Enrollment Trend
Housing Market Growing at Lower Rate
Data Source: MetroStudy
North Fulton Trend
Change in Enrollment Density Fall 2009 to Fall 2010
Enrollment Decline
Enrollment Increase
Sandyy Springs
p g Enrollment Trend
Sandy Springs Trend
Sandy Springs Enrollment Trend
Enrollment Decline
Enrollment Increase
South Fulton Enrollment Trend
Housing Market Growing at Lower Rate
Enrollment Decline
Enrollment Increase
Fall Projection Results
North Fulton
Elementary
Middle
High
Total
2010-11 First
Month
Enrollment
22,432
11 163
11,163
15,192
48,787
2010-11
Forecasted
Enrollment
22,515
11 150
11,150
15,085
48,750
Over/Under
Forecast
-83
13
107
37
% Over/Under
Forecast
-0.37%
0 12%
0.12%
0.70%
0.08%
South Fulton
El
Elementary
t
Middle
High
Total
16,158
16
158
7,637
9,447
33,242
16,535
16
535
7,889
9,472
33,896
-377
377
-252
-25
-654
-2.33%
2 33%
-3.30%
-0.26%
-1.97%
4,805
1,717
3,120
9,642
4,513
1,668
2,971
9,152
292
49
149
490
6.08%
2.85%
4.78%
5.08%
43,395
20,517
27,759
91,671
43,563
20,707
27,528
91,798
-168
-190
231
-127
-0.39%
-0.93%
0.83%
-0.14%
SSandy
d Springs
S i
Elementary
Middle
High
Total
System
Elementary
Middle
High
System Total
*Fo recasted enro llment is the midpo int o f the fo recasted range and is based o n the 20th Day - First mo nth enro llment co unt.
*Do es no t include o ther A lternative P ro grams (GA B aptist and So uth M etro P sycho Ed po pulatio ns)
Forecast Analysis of Highly Variable Schools
Elementary: Campbell, College Park, Feldwood, Gullatt, High Point, Hillside,
SL Lewis, Tubman
Middle: Paul D. West
•
•
•
•
Closure of public housing communities
Impact of new charter school openings
Influx of kindergarten
g
ppopulation
p
Redistricting notification
*Actual 2010-11 Enrollment +/- 10% of Enrollment Projections
Enrollment Future
North Fulton Housing Statistics
Housing Absorption
Active / Planned Residential Development
North Fulton
BLUE VALLEY ESTATES
KINGSLEY ESTATES
HICKORYCREST
MANOR, THE
CRABAPPLE BROOK
KENNEWICK PLACE
VALMONT
VICKERY CREST
HAYWOOD COMMONS
HENDERSON LANDING
DEERFIELD GREEN
OVERLOOK AT LITCHFIELD
GRANSLEY
KENDRIX PARK
DOUGLAS ROAD / PARK
HEYDON HALL
CRABAPPLE CROSSROADS
TH/CRABAPPLE STATION
HERITAGE AT ROSWELL
HAYNES PARK
TH/VICTORIA SQUARE
PRESERVE AT JOHNS CREEK, THE
JOHNS CREEK WALK
GATES AT JOHNS CREEK, THE
WESTWOOD PARK
TAVISTOCK
NEWHAVEN WALK
STONEGROVE
EATON MANOR
STONEWYCK
ABBERLEY TOWNESHIP
HEATHERTON
VICKERY FALLS
WINDFAIRE
MADISON PARK
INISFREE
KIMBALL ESTATES
WINTHROP PARK
HIGHLANDS AT CENTENNIAL
SANCTUARY AT RIVERMONT
TH/RIVERSIDE SUMMIT
* Green areas illustrate density of anticipated development
Sandy Springs Housing Statistics
Housing Absorption
Sandy Springs
HIGHLANDS OF SANDY SPRINGS
ALDERWOOD ON ABERNATHY
REGISTRY GLEN
MOUNT VERNON WALK
CITY WALK HEIGHTS
TH/LAFAYETTE SQUARE
SERRANO
PROMENADE AT NORTH PLACE
DUNWOODY ROW
ONE RIVER PLACE
HIGH POINT MANOR
WEST BELLE ISLE
MYSTIC RIDGE
South Fulton Housing Statistics
Housing Absorption
South Fulton County
Months of Supply
0.0
4Q10
0
2Q10
2.0
4Q09
500
2Q09
4.0
4Q08
1000
2Q08
6.0
4Q07
1500
2Q07
8.0
4Q06
2000
2Q06
10.0
4Q05
2500
2Q05
12.0
4Q04
3000
2Q04
14 0
14.0
4Q03
3500
2Q03
16.0
4Q02
4000
2Q02
Housing Inven
ntory
N
New
H
Home IInventory
t
/ Months
M th off Supply
S
l
South Fulton
SANDTOWN CENTER, THE ESTATES AT
THE VILLAGES AT SANDTOWN CENTER
RIVERSIDE PARK (ASTORIA)
WOLF CREEK COUNTRY CLUB
WATERFORD COMMONS
ANATOLE
FALLS AT CASCADE PALMS
PALMS, THE
VILLAGES OF EAST POINT
REGENCY OAKS
LEGACY AT PALMETTO FARMS
BROADSTONE
PITTMAN PARK
HAMPTON OAKS
LEXINGTON PARK
LAKESIDE PRESERVE
WAVERLY PARK
CREEKSIDE
PARKWAY VILLAGES
WILLIAMS BLUFF
MALLORY WALK
CEDAR GROVE VILLAGE
PARKS AT CEDAR GROVE, THE
LAKES OF CEDAR GROVE
RIVERTOWN MILL
MORNING CREEK
MADISON PLACE
CARRINGTON POINTE
SOUTH HILLS
BARRINGTON
OAKLEY STATION
OAKLEYTOWNSHIP/EST
PARKS AT DURHAM LAKE, THE
DURHAM LAKE GOLF AND COUNTRY CLUB
RENAISSANCE AT SOUTH PARK, THE
ASBURY PARK
Forecast Observations / Assumptions
North Fulton
– Elementary growth stabilizing in some areas
– Housing absorption rates continue to adjust and stabilize
– Housing
H i starts
t t are iincreasing
i
S d SSprings
Sandy
i
– Cohorts continue to grow at all levels based on more recent trends
– In
In-migration
migration of private school students; discontinuation of mandated transfer programs
– Staff will continue to work closely with the City of Sandy Springs to track redevelopment
activity
Forecast Observations / Assumptions
South Fulton
– Housing absorption rates remain constant but stable
– New home starts are adjusting
– Staff will continue to closely monitor changes in the housing supply and demand
– Staff will continue to work closely with municipal and county governments regarding
redevelopment
d l
andd ffuture closures
l
FCSS Updated Enrollment Forecast
2010-11
First Month
Enrollment
2011-12
Forecasted
Enrollment*
2017-18
Forecasted
Enrollment*
Projected
7-Year
Growth
North Fulton
Elementary
Middle
High
North Fulton Total
22,432
11,163
15,192
48,787
22,393
11,425
15,285
49,103
23,283
11,630
16,250
51,163
Sandy Springs
Elementary
Middle
High
Sandy Springs Total
4,805
1,717
3,120
9,642
5,103
1,847
3,280
10,230
5,619
2,567
3,946
12,132
South Fulton
Elementary
Middle
High
S th Fulton
South
F lt Total
T t l
16,158
7,637
9,447
33 242
33,242
16,223
7,775
9,487
33 485
33,485
18,855
8,693
11,120
38 668
38,668
Fulton County
Elementary
Middle
High
Fulton County Total
43,395
20,517
27,759
91,671
43,719
21,047
28,052
92,818
47,757
22,890
31,316
101,963
851
467
1,058
2,376
0
0
814
850
826
2,490
0
0
2,697
1,056
1,673
5 426
5,426
0
0
4,362
2,373
3,557
10,292
*Forecast is subject to change.
Enrollments includes charter and alternative schools
Capital Implications
Classroom Allocation Approach
S h l CCost-Center
School
C
Teacher Allocations
Planning for New
Classrooms
26
State Capacity vs. Classroom Allocation Model
Enrollment
SC
7
PK
0
Example Elementary School
KD
1st
2nd
3rd
135
143
131
136
4th
165
5th
154
Instructional Units
State Capacity
Unhoused students
Using State Capacity
(Elementary Prototype)
Example Elementary School
SC
PK
KD
1st
2nd
3rd
Enrollment
7
0
135
143
131
136
Student: Teacher Ratio
20
21
21
21
Classrooms
7
7
6
6
Using Classroom Allocation M odel
4th
165
28
6
5th
154
28
6
Total
871
53
850
21
Total
871
Total Spaces available
53
1
54
General Ed Classrooms K-G5 Needed
38
Cl
Classrooms
for
f Enhanced
E h
d Instructional
I t ti
l Programs
P
17
Instructional Units
S ll IInstructional
Small
t ti
lS
Space
21 Students
or
<1 CR need
PK, EIP, ESOL, TAG, Title I, Special Ed
Flexible Instructional Space (Labs, Media, Specials)
8
Comp. Lab , T. Plng, Media, Art, Music, PE
Total Classrooms Required:
Additional classrooms needed beyond the building
63
9 classrooms
9 CR need
or
4.5 portables
27
Prototype Elementary
9 Additional Classrooms Needed
8 Constants
18 Instr.
I t P
Programs
40 Gen. Ed CRs
28
Capital III Projects
B d approvedd construction
Board
t ti since
i FFallll 2007
Oakley ES – Complete Fall 2007
Renaissance MS – Complete Fall 2007
2007*
Woodland MS Replacement – Complete Fall 2007*
Lake Forest ES – Complete Fall 2008*
W tl k RReplacement
Westlake
l
t HS – Complete
C l t Fall
F ll 2008
Ison Springs ES – Complete Fall 2009
Birmingham Falls ES– Complete Fall 2009
Cliftondale ES – Complete Fall 2009
Johns Creek HS – Complete Fall 2009
Langston Hughes HS – Complete Fall 2009
2009*
Ridgeview MS – Complete Fall 2009
Feldwood ES – Complete Fall 2010
B th Bend
Bethany
B d HS Site
Sit – Anticipated
A ti i t d Fall
F ll 2012
Banneker HS Replacement Site – Anticipated Fall 2012
* SPLOST II Project
Capital III Projects
B d approvedd construction
Board
t ti since
i FFallll 2007
Roswell HS Addition – Complete Fall 2007
Mimosa ES Addition – Complete Fall 2008
Roswell North ES Addition – Complete Fall 2009
Mountain Park ES Addition – Complete Fall 2009
Bethune ES Addition – Complete Fall 2009
Love T. Nolan ES Addition – Complete Fall 2009
Barnwell ES Addition – Complete
p Fall 2010
Alpharetta ES Addition – Complete Fall 2010
Science Addition Chattahoochee HS – Complete Fall 2010
Science Addition Centennial HS – Complete Fall 2010
Band Addition Chattahoochee HS – Complete Fall 2010
Band Addition Centennial HS – Complete Fall 2010
Band Addition Creekside HS – Complete Fall 2010
* SPLOST II Project
Analysis of Classroom Needs
North Fulton
North
2010*
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Elementary
Enrollment
GA DOE
+ Over / - Under
CR Need
21,621
23,325
-1,704
14 0
14.0
21,624
23,325
-1,701
18 0
18.0
21,548
23,325
-1,777
23 0
23.0
21,685
23,325
-1,640
25 0
25.0
21,803
23,325
-1,522
34 0
34.0
22,014
23,325
-1,311
41 0
41.0
22,321
23,325
-1,004
54 0
54.0
22,514
23,325
-811
62 0
62.0
Middle
Enrollment
GA DOE
+ Over / - Under
CR Need
10,538
11,050
-512
47.3
10,712
11,050
-338
56.8
10,912
11,050
-138
61.8
10,943
11,050
-107
64.3
10,990
11,050
-60
64.8
10,931
11,050
-119
63.3
10,898
11,050
-152
63.3
10,917
11,050
-133
60.8
High
Enrollment
GA DOE
+ Over / - Under
14,601
14
601
13,700
901
14,700
14
700
13,700
1,000
14,905
14
905
13,700
1,205
15,008
15
008
13,700
1,308
15,120
15
120
13,700
1,420
15,407
15
407
13,700
1,707
15,553
15
553
13,700
1,853
15,665
15
665
13,700
1,965
* Figures
g
based on first-month counts while subsequent
q
years
y
based on projected
p j
enrollment
Enrollments include Pre-K but do not include charter or alternative schools
Projected CR Need based on Superintendent's recommended class size
N th Elementary
North
El
t 2017
2017-18
18
Classroom Need
greater than 8
BIRMINGHAM
FALLS ES

5 to 8
-2 to 4
SUMMIT
HILL ES
-5 to -3

less than -5
COGBURN
WOODS ES

CRABAPPLE
CROSSING ES

ALPHARETTA ES

MOUNTAIN
PARK ES
MANNING
OAKS ES

CREEK
VIEW ES

SWEET
APPLE ES

LAKE
WINDWARD ES

FINDLEY
OAKS ES
HEMBREE
SPRINGS ES

ABBOTTS
HILL ES
NEW
PROSPECT ES
OCEE ES

SHAKERAG ES

ROSWELL
NORTH ES

MIMOSA ES
WILSON
SO
CREEK ES
DOLVIN ES

NORTHWOOD ES

STATE BRIDGE
CROSSING ES

ESTHER
JACKSON ES

RIVER
EVES ES

MEDLOCK
BRIDGE ES
HILLSIDE ES

BARNWELL ES

N th Middle
North
Middl 2017
2017-18
18
Classroom Need
greater than 10
FREEMANVILLE
MS SITE
6 to 10

-4 to 5
-9 to -5
less than -9
HOPEWELL MS
NORTHWESTERN MS

WEBB
BRIDGE MS

ELKINS
POINTE MS
TAYLOR
ROAD MS

CRABAPPLE MS

HAYNES
BRIDGE MS

AUTREY
MILL MS

HOLCOMB
BRIDGE MS

RIVER
TRAIL MS
N th High
North
Hi h 2017
2017-18
18
Above/Below
State Capacity
greater than 500
151 to 500
-50 to 150
-299 to -51
BETHANY/COGBURN
HS SITE

less than -299
MILTON HS

ALPHARETTA HS

ROSWELL HS

CHATTAHOOCHEE HS

NORTHVIEW HS

JOHNS
CREEK HS

CENTENNIAL HS

Does not include impact of Bethany Bend HS Site Opening 2012
Sandy Springs
Sandy Springs
2010*
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Elementary
Enrollment
GA DOE
+ Over / - Under
CR Need
4,805
5,600
-795
-6.0
5,103
5,600
-497
6.0
5,284
5,600
-316
12.0
5,409
5,600
-191
16.0
5,547
5,600
-53
20.0
5,617
5,600
17
22.0
5,612
5,600
12
18.0
5,619
5,600
19
21.0
Middle
Enrollment
GA DOE
+O
Over / - U
Under
d
CR Need
1,717
2,075
-358
358
-7.0
1,847
2,075
-228
228
-2.5
1,834
2,075
-241
241
-3.0
1,976
2,075
-99
99
2.0
2,110
2,075
35
6.5
2,274
2,075
199
12.5
2,420
2,075
345
12.5
2,567
2,075
492
24.0
High
Enrollment
GA DOE
+ Over / - Under
3,120
3
120
3,100
20
3,280
3
280
3,100
180
3,296
3
296
3,100
196
3,361
3
361
3,100
261
3,323
3
323
3,100
223
3,510
3
510
3,100
410
3,738
3
738
3,100
638
3,946
3
946
3,100
846
* Figures based on first-month
first month counts while subsequent years based on projected enrollment
Sandy Spring Elementary 2017-18
2017 18
ISON SPRINGS ES

DUNWOODY SPRINGS ES

WOODLAND CHARTER ES

SPALDING DRIVE CHARTER ES

Classroom Need
greater than 8
5 to 8
HEARDS FERRY ES

-2 to 4
LAKE FOREST ES

-5 to -3
less than -5
HIGH POINT ES

Sandy Springs Middle 2017-18
SANDY SPRINGS MS

Classroom Need
greater than 10
6 to 10
-4 to 5
-9 to -5
less than -9
RIDGEVIEW MS

Sandy Springs High 2017-18
NORTH SPRINGS HS

Above/Below
Ab
/B l
State Capacity
greater than 500
RIVERWOOD HS

151 to 500
-50 to 150
-299 to -51
less than -299
South
2010*
2011
Elementary
Enrollment
GA DOE
+ Over / - Under
CR Need
15,543
18,550
-3,007
-48.0
Middle
Enrollment
GA DOE
+ Over / - Under
CR Need
High
Enrollment
GA DOE
+ Over / - Under
South Fulton
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
15,513
18,050
-2,537
-21.0
15,516
18,050
-2,534
-14.0
15,849
18,050
-2,201
-11.0
16,209
18,050
-1,841
11.0
16,695
18,050
-1,355
28.0
17,404
18,050
-646
56.0
18,145
18,050
95
88.0
6,733
7,775
-1,042
1 042
-41.5
6,876
7,775
-899
899
-35.0
7,030
7,775
-745
745
-29.5
7,009
7,775
-766
766
-30.0
7,018
7,775
-757
757
-29.0
7,067
7,775
-708
708
-28.0
7,418
7,775
-357
357
-28.0
7,794
7,775
19
0.5
8,788
9,400
-612
8,717
9,400
-683
8,844
9,400
-556
9,065
9,400
-335
9,389
9,400
-11
9,747
9,400
347
10,009
9,400
609
10,350
9,400
950
* Figures based on first-month counts while subsequent years based on projected enrollment
South Elementary 2017-18
Classroom Need
greater than 8
5 to 8
-2
2 to 4
RANDOLPH ES

-5 to -3
HAMILTON E HOLMES ES

CONLEY HILLS ES

less than -5
OAK KNOLL ES

STONEWALL TELL ES

MOUNT OLIVE ES

CLIFTONDALE ES

HAPEVILLE ES

BROOKVIEW ES

DERRICK ROAD ES SITE

HARRIET TUBMAN ES

SEABORN LEE ES

RENAISSANCE ES

HERITAGE ES

LIBERTY POINT ES

FELDWOOD ES

BETHUNE ES

GULLATT ES

S L LEWIS ES
EVOLINE WEST ES

CAMPBELL ES

OAKLEY ES

PALMETTO ES

PARKLANE ES

LOVE NOLAN ES

South Middle 2017-18
Classroom Need
greater than 10
6 to 10
-4 to 5
SANDTOWN MS
-9
9 tto -5
5

PAUL D WEST MS
less than -9

WOODLAND MS

CAMP CREEK MS

RENAISSANCE MS

MCNAIR MS

BEAR CREEK MS

South High 2017-18
Above/Below
State Capacity
greater than 500
151 to 500
-50 to 150
-299 to -51
less than -299
WESTLAKE HS

TRI-CITIES HS

LANGSTON HUGHES HS

BANNEKER HS

CREEKSIDE HS

Does not include impact of Banneker HS Replacement Opening 2012
Next Steps
• March
M h Board
B dM
Meeting
ti
– Master Plan
• April Work Session
– Renovation
R
ti PProgram
• Mayy Board Meetingg
– Capital IV
Q i / Comments
Questions
C
/ IInput
Fulton County School System Historic Enrollment / Updated Seven-Year Projections
North Fulton
Centennial / Roswell Clusters
Hembree Springs ES
Hillside ES
Jackson, Esther ES
Mimosa ES
Mountain Park ES
Northwood ES
River Eves ES
Roswell North ES
Sweet Apple ES
Elementary Totals
schnum
608
604
243
288
330
662
158
372
155
2007-08
783
713
660
803
799
883
705
794
903
7,043
2008-09
823
716
693
855
823
885
743
851
894
7,283
2009-10
743
805
642
1,043
901
727
759
958
833
7,411
2010-11
795
740
638
1,089
879
719
772
1,006
779
7,417
2011-12
793
760
668
1,145
859
736
786
1,050
758
7,555
2012-13
805
771
681
1,168
878
728
796
1,082
758
7,667
2013-14
810
783
688
1,198
877
719
781
1,110
738
7,704
2014-15
822
811
698
1,210
871
737
788
1,112
746
7,795
2015-16
850
798
699
1,224
876
736
781
1,118
760
7,842
2016-17
851
794
694
1,219
879
742
785
1,119
761
7,844
2017-18
852
796
686
1,212
880
739
776
1,122
765
7,828
GADOE
Capacity
(SPLOST)
850
850
625
1,000
1,000
800
775
1,000
950
7,850
Portables
2
2
5
2
0
0
0
0
4
15
2017-18
CR Need
7
3
16
16
-5
1
7
4
-1
48
14
1
6
6
27
Crabapple MS
Elkins Pointe MS
Haynes Bridge MS
Holcomb Bridge MS
Middle Totals
686
700
688
690
853
906
654
669
3,082
866
899
672
651
3,088
770
891
625
669
2,955
794
890
645
704
3,033
832
918
644
735
3,129
877
977
665
730
3,249
888
1,054
678
759
3,379
930
1,092
683
755
3,460
971
1,078
710
810
3,569
999
1,088
681
821
3,589
990
1,102
691
862
3,645
1,000
1,175
1,000
1,000
4,175
4
0
0
1
5
Centennial HS
Roswell HS
High Totals
Cluster Area Totals
866
852
2,036
2,517
4,553
14,678
2,026
2,428
4,454
14,825
1,931
2,381
4,312
14,678
1,940
2,463
4,403
14,853
1,902
2,434
4,336
15,020
1,892
2,443
4,335
15,251
1,944
2,467
4,411
15,494
1,966
2,516
4,482
15,737
2,000
2,602
4,602
16,013
2,118
2,758
4,876
16,309
2,091
2,874
4,965
16,438
1,925
2,000
3,925
15,950
7
7
14
34
Portables
1
3
2
1
2
2
1
2
1
15
2017-18
CR Need
-3
-2
-2
-4
-7
-2
2
1
-2
-19
3
6
-2
6
Chattahoochee / Johns Creek / Northview Clusters
Abbotts Hill ES
Barnwell ES
Dolvin ES
Findley Oaks ES
Medlock Bridge ES
Ocee ES
Shakerag ES
State Bridge Crossing ES
Wilson Creek ES
Elementary Totals
601
42
150
160
270
606
520
532
607
2007-08
767
723
925
835
707
785
827
718
899
7,186
2008-09
791
729
972
816
680
793
809
730
861
7,181
2009-10
836
751
967
794
681
796
792
758
890
7,265
2010-11
764
769
952
753
668
751
805
757
868
7,087
2011-12
751
780
927
725
648
737
795
773
845
6,981
2012-13
733
796
903
713
630
721
767
768
818
6,849
2013-14
738
778
897
717
621
723
769
790
830
6,863
2014-15
710
777
867
731
615
728
798
790
821
6,837
2015-16
704
782
878
717
644
716
819
789
827
6,876
2016-17
733
781
901
740
649
726
856
791
846
7,023
2017-18
748
781
915
744
655
725
894
793
866
7,121
GADOE
Capacity
(SPLOST)
850
850
1,050
875
825
850
875
800
850
7,825
Autrey Mill MS
River Trail MS
Taylor Road MS
Middle Totals
703
701
698
1,178
1,509
958
3,645
1,165
1,510
955
3,630
1,247
1,573
939
3,759
1,314
1,486
926
3,726
1,355
1,485
923
3,763
1,350
1,462
986
3,798
1,347
1,431
942
3,720
1,367
1,348
952
3,667
1,313
1,289
929
3,531
1,292
1,262
931
3,485
1,256
1,274
904
3,434
1,200
1,175
1,100
3,475
0
9
0
9
Chattahoochee HS
Johns Creek HS
Northview HS
High Totals
Cluster Area Totals
880
741
751
2,189
2,232
2,685
4,874
15,705
2,796
5,028
15,839
1,858
1,219
2,133
5,210
16,234
1,734
1,624
1,893
5,251
16,064
1,747
1,909
1,712
5,368
16,112
1,779
2,036
1,678
5,493
16,140
1,785
2,053
1,648
5,486
16,069
1,799
2,083
1,636
5,518
16,022
1,839
2,131
1,629
5,599
16,006
1,821
2,102
1,543
5,466
15,974
1,815
2,132
1,509
5,456
16,011
1,875
1,900
1,875
5,650
16,950
1
0
5
6
30
Historic and forecasted enrollments are based upon 1st month enrollment counts. The enrollment totals include pre-k and south and north metro programs.
**CR Need based on the Classroom Allocation Model
Operational Plng_3/3/2011
Milton / Alpharetta Clusters
Alpharetta ES
Birmingham Falls ES
Cogburn Woods ES
Crabapple Crossing ES
Creek View ES
Lake Windward ES
Manning Oaks ES
New Prospect ES
Summit Hill ES
Elementary Totals
24
617
611
380
609
654
580
182
414
Hopewell MS
Northwestern MS
Webb Bridge MS
North Middle School Site
Middle Totals
699
682
695
Alpharetta HS
Milton HS
Bethany Bend HS Site
High Totals
Cluster Area Totals
754
804
916
869
975
880
949
601
1,039
6,931
2009-10
711
765
1,007
757
960
851
756
612
794
7,213
2010-11
684
737
916
736
946
870
826
571
831
7,117
2011-12
677
720
933
741
929
857
860
545
826
7,088
2012-13
666
715
925
742
914
846
878
531
815
7,032
2013-14
669
743
946
763
915
838
901
529
814
7,118
2014-15
672
743
965
788
923
819
916
528
817
7,171
2015-16
690
757
983
819
941
826
926
525
829
7,296
2016-17
692
787
994
828
989
830
934
535
865
7,454
2017-18
693
808
993
834
1,026
841
937
532
901
7,565
GADOE
Capacity
(SPLOST)
900
850
850
800
850
875
850
825
850
7,650
1,068
1,205
1,337
1,115
1,233
1,364
1,151
1,247
1,357
1,187
1,262
1,330
1,206
1,281
1,333
1,246
1,327
1,292
1,246
1,310
1,288
1,291
1,292
1,280
1,321
1,255
1,255
1,336
1,298
1,190
1,341
1,354
1,143
1,175
1,075
1,150
0
4
6
1
22
5
3,610
3,712
3,755
3,779
3,820
3,865
3,844
3,863
3,831
3,824
3,838
3,400
10
28
2,207
2,244
2,169
2,336
2,254
2,542
2,321
2,626
2,291
2,705
2,305
2,772
2,260
2,851
2,205
2,915
2,204
3,002
2,205
3,006
2,273
2,971
2,175
1,950
0
12
4,451
15,059
4,505
15,148
4,796
15,764
4,947
15,843
4,996
15,904
5,077
15,974
5,111
16,073
5,120
16,154
5,206
16,333
5,211
16,489
5,244
16,647
4,125
15,175
12
43
Portables
0
3
2017-18
CR Need
-1
6
2007-08
723
2008-09
702
942
852
1,010
880
945
631
1,015
6,998
Portables
2
0
4
1
4
5
1
0
4
21
2017-18
CR Need
2
-2
6
0
7
11
6
-6
9
33
South Fulton
Banneker / Tri-Cities Clusters
Bethune ES
Brookview ES
College Park ES
Conley Hills ES
Feldwood ES
Hapeville ES
Heritage ES
Holmes, Hamilton E. ES
Lewis, S.L. ES
Mount Olive ES
Nolan, Love T. ES
Oak Knoll ES
Parklane ES
Tubman, Harriet ES
Elementary Totals
252
54
48
120
626
210
602
610
260
324
354
396
420
248
2011-12
736
496
2012-13
721
489
2013-14
730
486
2014-15
744
484
2015-16
752
480
2016-17
760
484
2017-18
768
488
741
906
647
728
529
810
609
485
506
8,070
2010-11
747
499
331
488
789
733
738
455
552
514
756
587
419
546
8,108
GADOE
Capacity
(SPLOST)
825
550
503
668
665
726
737
548
608
724
467
457
563
7,898
496
697
676
704
734
521
603
711
478
465
570
7,865
485
743
681
709
725
528
595
701
494
456
573
7,906
487
774
698
687
724
540
605
713
491
461
576
7,984
490
813
706
684
726
557
608
721
498
459
590
8,084
497
837
723
692
728
579
608
737
498
460
593
8,196
501
871
741
697
739
594
611
748
500
464
596
8,318
700
875
825
875
950
675
725
850
575
625
675
9,725
0
0
1
2
0
4
0
0
4
0
0
14
-4
4
0
6
-6
5
-2
-8
0
-5
1
-4
-6
-16
-10
-31
2007-08
690
577
364
602
2008-09
695
642
380
543
2009-10
694
532
355
528
661
948
633
731
503
766
570
462
478
7,985
693
1,024
649
721
532
782
593
460
529
8,243
McNair, Ronald MS
West, Paul D. MS
Woodland MS
Middle Totals
687
694
693
836
943
995
2,774
884
874
1,027
2,785
847
843
1,033
2,723
824
765
1,066
2,655
854
765
1,070
2,689
894
760
1,056
2,710
889
772
1,043
2,704
842
746
1,053
2,641
833
766
1,056
2,655
832
769
1,047
2,648
872
790
1,054
2,716
1,025
1,175
1,200
3,400
0
0
0
0
Banneker HS
Tri-Cities HS
Banneker HS Replacement (additional capacity)
High Totals
Cluster Area Totals
740
894
1,683
1,793
1,799
1,847
1,309
1,899
1,308
1,849
1,375
1,778
1,469
1,690
1,566
1,606
1,686
1,621
1,728
1,552
1,735
1,577
1,760
1,576
1,475
2,000
8
4
3,476
14,235
3,646
14,674
3,208
14,001
3,157
13,920
3,153
13,740
3,159
13,734
3,172
13,782
3,307
13,932
3,280
14,019
3,312
14,156
3,336
14,370
3,475
16,600
12
26
Creekside / Langston Hughes / Westlake Clusters
Campbell ES
Cliftondale ES
Gullatt ES
Lee, Seaborn ES
Liberty Point ES
Oakley ES
Palmetto ES
Randolph, A.P. ES
Renaissance ES
Stonewall Tell ES
West, Evoline ES
Derrick Road Area ES Site
Elementary Totals
672
164
188
255
605
615
410
492
620
525
648
Bear Creek MS
Camp Creek MS
Renaissance MS
Sandtown MS
Highway 138 Area MS Site
Middle Totals
696
685
706
697
Creekside HS
Langston Hughes HS
Westlake HS
High Totals
Cluster Area Totals
870
742
914
542
614
722
833
547
572
1,082
1,094
892
2009-10
863
834
560
602
713
889
524
680
684
814
894
2010-11
890
845
268
535
690
754
516
653
702
827
755
2011-12
803
881
466
502
666
753
513
655
759
871
746
2012-13
776
884
466
487
664
777
535
631
789
898
744
2013-14
802
922
463
484
675
831
557
655
837
933
784
2014-15
799
925
459
477
684
889
578
676
913
1,002
823
2015-16
813
964
452
483
689
935
618
692
1,016
1,099
850
2016-17
824
1,004
459
496
708
1,002
789
701
1,135
1,194
896
2017-18
832
1,052
473
506
743
1,063
957
709
1,258
1,298
936
GADOE
Capacity
(SPLOST)
900
850
525
575
850
875
625
675
850
850
750
7,581
7,790
8,057
7,435
7,615
7,651
7,943
8,225
8,611
9,208
9,827
8,325
23
92
985
791
1,023
983
1,002
716
1,113
1,020
983
804
1,186
1,131
1,037
785
1,154
1,102
1,098
812
1,173
1,104
1,137
773
1,255
1,155
1,115
727
1,308
1,155
1,118
704
1,359
1,196
1,170
689
1,380
1,173
1,342
713
1,477
1,238
1,492
705
1,581
1,300
1,075
950
1,175
1,175
0
4
3
0
12
7
14
-1
3,782
3,851
4,104
4,078
4,187
4,320
4,305
4,377
4,412
4,770
5,078
4,375
7
32
2,481
2,633
2,065
4,546
15,909
2,351
4,984
16,625
1,376
2,186
1,954
5,516
17,677
1,301
2,239
2,091
5,631
17,144
1,438
2,016
2,110
5,564
17,366
1,621
1,903
2,161
5,685
17,656
1,810
1,814
2,269
5,893
18,141
1,991
1,773
2,318
6,082
18,684
2,124
1,907
2,436
6,467
19,490
2,264
1,985
2,448
6,697
20,675
2,420
2,158
2,436
7,014
21,919
1,850
2,150
1,925
5,925
18,625
0
0
0
0
30
Portables
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
7
2017-18
CR Need
2
5
4
-3
8
3
2
21
10
15
24
2007-08
918
2008-09
892
564
600
791
781
528
622
966
1,004
807
Portables
2
0
2
5
0
2
4
0
0
3
5
2017-18
CR Need
4
9
0
1
-1
12
21
5
13
17
11
Sandy Springs
North Springs / Riverwood
Dunwoody Springs Charter ES
Heards Ferry ES
High Point ES
Ison Springs ES
Lake Forrest ES
Spalding Drive Charter ES
Woodland Charter ES
Elementary Totals
981
216
228
618
444
980
996
601
706
872
4,083
2009-10
664
483
638
653
639
416
796
4,289
2010-11
737
558
724
696
741
468
881
4,805
2011-12
736
614
774
705
830
508
936
5,103
2012-13
752
665
794
715
860
531
967
5,284
2013-14
774
673
796
717
881
560
1,008
5,409
2014-15
780
706
837
711
900
577
1,036
5,547
2015-16
787
719
854
704
912
601
1,040
5,617
2016-17
784
712
863
704
903
600
1,046
5,612
2017-18
782
709
876
703
896
600
1,053
5,619
GADOE
Capacity
(SPLOST)
850
625
850
850
850
575
1,000
5,600
2007-08
842
588
815
2008-09
889
398
617
692
896
3,833
Ridgeview MS
Sandy Springs MS
Middle Totals
974
692
594
717
1,311
631
753
1,384
743
822
1,565
821
896
1,717
924
923
1,847
912
922
1,834
1,041
935
1,976
1,136
974
2,110
1,238
1,036
2,274
1,311
1,109
2,420
1,414
1,153
2,567
1,200
875
2,075
0
4
4
North Springs HS
Riverwood HS
High Totals
Cluster Area Totals
816
845
1,297
1,237
2,534
7,678
1,339
1,362
2,701
8,168
1,312
1,461
2,773
8,627
1,460
1,660
3,120
9,642
1,622
1,658
3,280
10,230
1,580
1,716
3,296
10,414
1,573
1,788
3,361
10,746
1,573
1,750
3,323
10,980
1,588
1,922
3,510
11,401
1,608
2,130
3,738
11,770
1,681
2,265
3,946
12,132
1,775
1,325
3,100
10,775
0
4
4
15
Start-up Charter, Open Enrollment, & Alternative
Schools
Amana Academy Charter ES
Amana Academy Charter MS
Connected Academy
Fulton Science Academy MS
Fulton Sunshine Academy
Hapeville Charter MS
Hapeville Charter Career Academy
Independence HS
Kipp Charter ES
Kipp Charter MS
Main Street Academy ES
Main Street Academy MS
McClarin HS (Alt)
North Crossroads MS
North Second Chance HS
South Second Chance HS
South Crossroads MS
TEACH Charter
Totals
Fulton County School System Totals
987
990
995
928
988
982
938
994
986
926
927
936
962
972
971
961
989
2007-08
306
74
94
435
2008-09
362
66
39
460
2009-10
361
92
0
506
313
26
72
78
47
260
3,085
2010-11
393
98
0
508
418
573
353
305
93
235
522
48
241
19
54
65
48
232
4,205
2011-12
380
148
0
548
389
526
517
315
94
230
616
98
210
17
41
43
45
229
4,446
2012-13
380
148
0
548
389
526
517
315
94
230
616
98
210
17
41
43
45
229
4,446
2013-14
380
148
0
548
389
526
517
315
94
230
616
98
210
17
41
43
45
229
4,446
2014-15
380
148
0
548
389
526
517
315
94
230
616
98
210
17
41
43
45
229
4,446
2015-16
380
148
0
548
389
526
517
315
94
230
616
98
210
17
41
43
45
229
4,446
2016-17
380
148
0
548
389
526
517
315
94
230
616
98
210
17
41
43
45
229
4,446
2017-18
380
148
0
548
389
526
517
315
94
230
616
98
210
17
41
43
45
229
4,446
420
0
350
84
222
543
0
286
89
235
548
137
330
90
225
265
36
85
95
81
187
2,734
303
23
80
110
54
205
2,855
85,998
88,134
90,066
91,671
92,818
93,615
94,751
95,955
97,708
99,819
101,963

Enrollment Forecast - Fulton County Schools

Transcription

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Executive Chris Veator 202-736-3347 [email protected]