1:30 PM - The Society for Risk Analysis (SRA)

Transcription

Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting
Denver, Colorado
“Risk Analysis: The Common Denominator”
Preliminary Program
Sheraton Denver
Denver, Colorado, 7-11 December 2014
Society For Risk Analysis Annual Meeting
2014 Preliminary Program
Join us in Denver, Colorado
Calling all authors and exhibitors
Risk Analysis Meeting
Got a late breaking abstract?
This year the SRA Annual Meeting will take place at the Sheraton Denver, in
Denver, Colorado. The theme of the meeting is Risk Analysis: The Common
Denominator, using the risk analysis framework and risk-related tools to evaluate and solve complex or divisive environmental and public health issues, such as
hydraulic fracturing, legalized marijuana use, and natural disasters (like the recent
Colorado floods). Special emphasis will also be placed on the better integration
of environmental, community, and occupational risk assessment methods and
approaches. There are many fantastic opportunities planned, some new and some
that we enjoy every year. Check us out at www.sra.org for more information on
the Annual Meeting and housing.
Join us for this year’s SRA Annual Meeting in Denver. The Society for Risk
Analysis is a remarkable association. Its members are scientists and practitioners
trained in multiple disciplines who come from around the world. They are employed by government, industry, consulting firms, NGOs, academic institutions,
and themselves. They seek one another’s company because they face problems
requiring such diverse perspectives. This diversity of disciplines and perspectives
is crucial for gaining better insights into the complex challenges of globalization
and can help policy makers to cope with the growing uncertainties and ambiguities of policy making.
At the SRA exhibition, attendees have a first-hand opportunity to examine,
discuss, and learn from the products and services on display. To request a booth
at the SRA exhibition, or information about displaying a book on the publications
table, contact Siobhan Tabor at SRA Headquarters, [email protected] or
go to www.sra.org and download the exhibit information.
Exhibit schedule:
Monday, 8 December 9:45 AM-3:30 PM
6:00-8:00 PM Poster Reception
Tuesday, 9 December 9:45 AM - 3:30 PM
Wednesday, 10 December 9:45 AM - 3:30 PM
You can submit a poster abstract until Friday, 15 November 2014, for consideration in the Monday evening poster session. Submit them to:
http://birenheide.com/sra/2014AM/lateposters.php.
Registration
On-site check-in and registration hours for the meeting:
Sunday 7 December
4:00 - 6:00 PM
Monday 8 December 7:00 AM - 5:00 PM
Tuesday 9 December
8:00 AM - 5:00 PM
Wednesday 10 December 8:00 AM - 4:00 PM
See it all
Make your plans to attend the entire meeting, from Workshops and the Opening Reception on Sunday (7 December, 6:00-7:30 PM) to the T-Shirt Giveaway
on Wednesday (10 December, 5:00-5:30 PM) and the Workshops on Thursday.
The meeting includes lunch all three days, three Plenary sessions, and the exciting
Poster Reception on Monday evening (6:00-8:00 PM).
Plenary Session on Monday begins
at 8:30 AM so plan to arrive early!
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Lunchtime Events
Sheraton Denver
MONDAY - 12:00-1:30 PM, Business Meetings for Specialty Groups All participants should pick up their box lunches (included in the registration fee)
and take them to the rooms designated for each of the specialty groups (or to a large open area where they can enjoy the opportunity to network). All of the
specialty groups will hold their business meetings during the Monday lunch break.
TUESDAY - Don’t miss the annual SRA Awards Luncheon and Business Meeting which will include the announcement of all SRA awards and the 5 Best
Poster Award winners from Monday’s Poster Reception! Luncheon is included in your registration fee.
WEDNESDAY - All participants should plan to attend the Plenary Luncheon included in the registration fee.
Evening Events
SUNDAY - Welcome Reception, 6:00-7:30 PM
MONDAY - Poster Reception, 6:00-8:00 PM
This year’s meeting will feature a Poster Reception on Monday evening from 6:00 to 8:00 PM, with food and cash bar. During this time, attendees will have
the opportunity to vote for the 5 Best Posters. Posters will be on display starting at 5:00 pm and poster presenters will be at their posters for questions and
discussion during the Reception. Don’t miss it!
WEDNESDAY - T-Shirt Giveaway, 5:00-5:30 PM
Registration Information
REGISTER!! All speakers must be registered in order to participate. Please register at: www.sra.org
REGISTER ONLINE: at www.sra.org
REGISTER BY FAX: Fax your completed form with credit card information
to (703) 790-2672 (Purchase orders not accepted for workshops).
REGISTER BY MAIL: Mail your completed form with payment to:
SRA Headquarters, 1313 Dolley Madison Blvd., Suite 402, McLean, VA 22101.
Mail completed registration form with check, purchase order or credit card information. You are considered registered when full payment or purchase order has
been received.
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CANCELLATION POLICY: All cancellations are subject to a 20% service
charge. Cancellations must be in writing to the SRA Secretariat.
Cancellation letters received by 12 November will be refunded total registration
fees minus the 20% service charge and will be refunded after the meeting. No
refunds will be issued on cancellations received after 12 November.
Please note - speakers will not receive a refund if they cancel.
DIETARY RESTRICTIONS: Please note any dietary restrictions on the
forms when you register.
Committee Meetings and Events
Workshops
Sunday, 12/7, Full Day - 8:30 AM-5:30 PM; Half Day Morning - 8:00 AM-12:00
PM; Half Day Afternoon - 1:00-5:00 PM.
SRA Council Meetings
Sunday, 12/7, Noon–5:00 PM and Tuesday, 12/10, 6:30-10:00 PM
SRA Welcome Reception – (Cash Bar)
Sunday, 12/7 – 6:00–7:30 PM
SRA World Congress Program Committee Meeting
Sunday, 12/7 – 8:00 AM-5:00 PM
New this year!
Wynkoop Brewery Tour – Sunday, 7 December
Join us for a tour of the Wynkoop Brewery from 3:00-4:00pm on Sunday,
where you will sample four different beers while strolling through the historic JS Brown Mercantile building. You can preregister online, but not onsite - register now!
SRA Ski Day – Thursday, 11 December
Join colleagues for a day of skiing, snowboarding or snowshoeing at Keystone Resort in Keystone, CO. The cost to join this fun adventure is $175
for skiing and snowboarding. This includes transportation to/from Keystone and lift tickets. The cost is $110 for snowshoeing which gives you
access to explore the area on your own. These costs include transportation
to/from the resort, but not equipment. Equipment can easily be rented at
the resort.
Resort information can be found here: http://www.keystoneresort.
com/ski-and-snowboard/ski-and-snowboard-explorer.aspx
All reservations for the ski trip must be made by Monday, December 1. We
will not be able to offer refunds after this date.
New Member, Student/Young Professional, International Members Breakfast
Monday, 12/8 - 7:00-8:00 AM - New format this year!
All SRA Fellows, International Attendees, Students and Young Professionals, as
well as 2013 and 2014 New Members (badges with a New Member ribbon) are
welcome to attend. Join us for coffee and breakfast and an opportunity to “meetand-greet” many of our current and former elected SRA Board and Council members, Specialty Group chairs, and esteemed SRA members and learn more about
SRA’s ongoing activities and ways to get more involved in SRA. We look forward
to seeing you there!
Specialty Group Meetings
Monday, 12/8 - 12:00-1:30 PM
All Specialty Group Meetings will take place during lunch time on Monday, 8 December 2014. Pick up your box lunch near the Registration desk and attend the
meeting(s) of your choice.
Poster Reception
Monday, 12/8 – 6:00–8:00 PM
Specialty Group Meetings
Monday, 12/8 - 12:00-1:30 PM
All Specialty Group Meetings will take place during lunch time on Monday 9 December 2013. Pick up your box lunch near the Registration desk and attend the
meeting(s) of your choice.
12:05-12:30 pm
1:05-1:30 pm
Dose Response
Applied Risk Management
Economics & Benefits Analysis
Decision Analysis & Risk
Occupational Health & Safety
Emerging Nanoscale Materials
Risk Communication
Engineering & Infrastructure
Security & Defense
Microbial Risk Analysis
12:35-1:00 pm
Ecological Risk Assessment
Exposure Assessment
Foundations of Risk
Risk, Policy & Law
Risk & Development
SRA World Congress Meeting
Monday, 12/8 – 5:15-7:00 PM
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Committee Meetings and Events (continued)
Hotel Reservations
Grad Student Breakfast
Tuesday, 12/9, 7:00-8:00 AM
Sheraton Denver
Networking Breakfast
Tuesday, 12/9, 7:30-8:15 AM
Back by popular demand- SRA’s Networking Breakfast of Champions~
All those interested in making business connections while attending SRA, come
prepared with your 30 second commercial. Each participant will have 30 seconds
to give their “commercial” to those in attendance. Make others aware of the type
of business you’re in, who your prospects are, and how those present can help you
make desired connections while attending SRA 2014. Make your SRA experience
pay off by attending. A continental breakfast will be available. Bring lots of business cards!
Specialty Group Mixers
Tuesday, 12/9 – 6:00–7:30 PM
Mixer 1 - DRSG, MRASG, EASG, ARMSG
Mixer 2 - SDSG, DARSG, EISG, FRSG
Mixer 3 - RCSG, OHSG, ERASG
Mixer 4 - EBASG, ENMSG, RPLSG, RDSG
Book Signing
Wednesday, 12/10 – 10:00-10:30 AM; 3:00-3:30 PM
Join us for book signings with the two Wednesday Plenary Speakers!
Kathleen Tierney, “The Social Roots of Risk: Producing Disasters, Promoting
Resilience”
Susan Cutter, “Hurricane Katrina and the Forgotten Coast of Mississippi”
T-Shirt Giveaway Registration Area
Wednesday, 12/10 – 5:00–5:30 PM
Everyone who attends will receive a free T-shirt!
Workshops
Thursday, 12/11, Full Day - 8:30 AM-5:30 PM; Half Day Morning - 8:00 AM12:00 PM; Half Day Afternoon - 1:00-5:00 PM.
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1550 Court Place
Denver, Colorado 80202
Phone: 303-893-3333
For reservations go to www.sra.org and follow the link from the annual
meeting page to make your reservation online using the group code, OR call 303893-3333. The daily room rate for this meeting is: single/double - $169.00. Room
rate for this meeting is available from 4-12 December 2014, subject to availability.
SRA has reserved a block of rooms at the meeting rate, but once this block of
rooms is sold out the hotel may offer any remaining rooms at the prevailing rate,
so reserve your room early. The cut off date for this rate is 14 November 2014, or
until the SRA room block is sold out.
From the airport: Super Shuttle offers service to and from Denver Airport,
for a cost of approximately $22 one way. Book directly with Super Shuttle.
Parking: Valet parking is $38.00 for overnight. Self Parking is $8.00 per hour
with a maximum charge of $28.00. Overnight Self Parking is $28.00.
The Sheraton is located in the center of downtown Denver and is perfectly located on by the 16th Street Mall, a mile-long pedestrian promenade of
outdoor bistros, microbreweries, shopping and entertainment. Hop on the free
shuttle and you’ll be whisked around the area which also includes some of Denver’s top attractions: The Denver Performing Arts Complex, Colorado Convention Center and the City’s major professional sports stadiums. The hotel is
located just 35 minutes from Denver International Airport. Click here to book
your room in the SRA block (group rate available until 14 November).
Workshops - Sunday, 7 December
Student Workshop Registration - when registering for the entire meeting, you
can elect to take ONE workshop at the reduced rate of $35. Limited to the
first five in each workshop. You MUST apply ONLINE for this reduced rate.
Sunday 7 December Full Day – 8:30 am-5:30 pm
(Lunch is on your own, 12:30-1:30 pm)
WK1S: Integrating Strategic Risk Communication with Risk Assessment to Achieve Targeted Risk Management Outcomes
Organizer(s): Gordon Butte, Decision Partners; Steve Ackerlund, Kleinfelder
Instructor(s): Gordon Butte, Decision Partners; Steve Ackerlund, Kleinfelder; Dan Kovacs,
Decision Partners
Preregistration Cost: $450; Onsite Cost: $500
Risk management plans often fall short of achieving outcomes because
those responsible do not effectively match the technical elements of the plan
with the values, needs, interests and priorities of the relevant stakeholders in and
outside their organization. The result is risk management plans are not implemented, despite their high intrinsic value.
This full-day workshop will explore the integration of risk communication
practices with risk analysis to avoid a mismatch between technical elements of
risk and stakeholder needs. Using a case study and class exercise format, facilitators will provide case examples from around the world of risk management
plans that successfully integrated risk communication and risk analysis. Mental
Modeling methodology will be discussed as a core technique for risk communication. In addition to lecture and instruction, the workshop will be a forum for
dialogue and problem-solving where participants will be encouraged to share
examples of their own risk challenges. Simple tools for risk analysis and communication design typical of those used in Mental Modeling will be provided for
participants to use in the workshop to develop solutions to selected issues that
can be applied in their organizations.
This workshop is designed for professionals responsible for the management or analysis of risks of all kinds affecting organizations of all types, including policy makers, regulators, industry or NGO managers, scientists, engineers,
and planners. Participants will leave the course able to design a risk management
approach that is appropriate to the nature of the risks and makes effective use of
risk communication methods and tools.
WK2S: Cumulative Risk Assessment: Addressing Combined Environmental Stressors
Organizer(s): Linda K. Teuschler, LK Teuschler & Associates
Instructor(s): Linda K. Teuschler, LK Teuschler & Associates; Rick Hertzberg, Biomathematics Consulting; Margaret MacDonell, Argonne National Laboratory; Moiz Mumtaz,
ATSDR; Jane Ellen Simmons, USEPA; Amanda M. Evans, Association of Schools of
Public Health Research Fellow; Michael Wright, USEPA; Glenn E. Rice, USEPA
Cumulative risk assessment (CRA) addresses the impacts of multiple
chemical and nonchemical stressors on real world individuals and communities,
resulting in complex exposures for individuals and populations with a variety of
vulnerabilities, in applications that range from environmental justice and community sustainability to individual health promotion and protection. Nonchemical stressors include biological and physical agents (e.g., microbes and noise) as
well as socioeconomic stressors and psychosocial conditions (e.g., associated
with natural disasters). Public concerns that can initiate CRAs include (1) elevated environmental measurements or biomonitoring data; (2) multiple sources
of pollutants or stressors; and (3) changes in disease rates or patterns (e.g., leukemia cluster) or ecological effects (e.g., loss of wildlife diversity). This workshop
focuses on human health and begins with an overview of three CRA elements:
analysis, characterization, and quantification (as feasible) of the combined risks
from multiple stressors. Teaching methods include lectures and hands-on exercises. Presentations highlight basic concepts, methods, and resources for conducting a population-based CRA. A central theme is integrating exposure and
dose-response information with population characteristics during planning and
scoping based on initiating factors. Vulnerability factors are addressed, e.g., diet/
nutritional status, behaviors, genetic traits, socioeconomic status, sensitivities,
and psychosocial stress. Methods for estimating human health risks are discussed
and applied, including epidemiologic approaches and assessing the joint toxicity
of chemical mixtures. In the exercises, participants develop chemical, biological
and physical stressor groups using exposure and toxicity factors, link them with
population vulnerability factors and conduct a risk characterization. Participants
are asked to bring a calculator.
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WK3S: An Introduction to Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment
(QMRA) for the Risk Professional
Organizer(s): Mark H. Weir, Temple University; Charles N. Haas, Drexel University
Instructor(s): Mark H. Weir, Temple University; Charles N. Haas, Drexel University; Patrick L. Gurian, Drexel University; Jade Mitchell, Michigan State University; John Scott
Meschke, University of Washington
QMRA is a growing field with increasing reliance placed upon it in policy
and engineering decisions. Risk analysis professionals have the requisite basic
skill set to complete and understand a QMRA. However, specialized knowledge
and skills are required for accurate and appropriate QMRA development and
use. This workshop will present an introduction to both the knowledge and
skills, as well as QMRA data and models online interface being developed by the
instructors. Basics of risk analysis will not be covered, rather, we will focus on
the microbiology, mathematics, decision analytics and characterization specific
to QMRA. The morning will be devoted to lectures that will introduce the
concepts and the online resource (www.qmrawiki.msu.edu) to be used in the
afternoon. In the afternoon the attendees will be led through case studies based
around specific scenarios in microbial risk assessment. The attendees are invited
to bring their own personal computers to develop their own QMRA models and
components, thereby, being able to retain these example models for future work.
Prior instruction or experience in risk analysis or probabilistic modeling
is encouraged. If you have questions regarding your capabilities please contact
workshop organizer Dr. Mark H. Weir ([email protected]).
It is recommended that you have a working knowledge of Excel (installed
on your machine) and an open mind to new computational tools. It is recommended that you have R installed as well for demonstration purposes. It is also
recommended that you visit the QMRA library to familiarize yourself with some
of the concepts (http://goo.gl/z8NrVj).
WK5S:Fundamentals of Risk Assessment & Toxicology at Contaminated Sites
Organizer: Michael P. Musso, HDR, Inc.
Instructor: Michael P. Musso, HDR, Inc.
The continuing education workshop “Fundamentals of Risk Assessment
& Toxicology at Contaminated Sites” provide an overview of the 4 Step process of Human Health Risk Assessment (HHRA) utilized to evaluate chemical
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contamination at hazardous waste sites, Brownfields, and other types of settings.
Environmental regulatory frameworks (e.g., Federal, State agencies) into which
HHRA is integrated for decision-making will be discussed. Examples and case
studies regarding hazardous waste sites, contaminated media, and exposure settings relevant to human health will be provided for illustration purposes by the
instructor, with opportunity for class participants to share experiences. Hazard
identification, including interpretations of environmental data, and Exposure
Assessment modules will be presented during the first half of the workshop.
Toxicological Evaluation and Risk Characterization will be presented in the afternoon. During the course, key reference documents and tools available to the
risk assessor, including updates that have been issued, will be discussed. In-class
exercises will also be administered during the day to demonstrate the HHRA
process (participants should bring a scientific calculator or laptop). The workshop is geared towards entry to mid-level environmental professionals working
on contaminated or hazardous waste sites (e.g., EPA – or State-led) who would
like to learn more about the fundamental 4-step HHRA process, or persons with
a general interest in applying HHRA at contaminated sites.
Sunday Half Day Morning – 8:00 am-Noon
WK6S: Introduction and Application of Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA)
Organizer(s): Alison Willis, Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment
Instructor(s): Dr. James H. Clarke, Vanderbilt University; Dr. Jim Rogers, West Texas
A&M University; Dr. Lucas Stephane, Florida Institute of Technology; Dr. Margaret MacDonell, Argonne National Laboratory
This workshop on Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) and its application plans to cover broad ground. The first half of the workshop will be
a background and introduction to EIA including related regulatory guidance,
design and conduct of EIA, impact analysis, risk assessment, remediation of
legacy contamination, and long term-environmental protection. Next, we will
cover a detailed review of complexity of environmental regulations and the differences between the States and Federal agencies with the goal of providing an
awareness of environmental regulations and the agencies that implement those
laws, contacts, references, and other information sources. This will be followed
by a theoretical look at three different types assessments: 1) environmental impact analyses; 2) remedial investigations, risk assessments, and feasibility studies;
and 3) transactional (property transfer) environmental audits. Following these
detailed lectures will be the presentation of 3-4 short case studies: 1) detailing the
process of implementing EIA under NEPA; 2) an international perspective of
EIA in France and the regulatory process; 3) a non-chemical application for the
Fukushima Daiichi disaster covering EIA for radioactivity releases; and potential
for a fourth. Students will take home a broad understanding of rules and regulations associated with the EIA process, a solid understanding of implementation
and techniques/tools available, and a look at the tailoring for site-specific EIA
assessments, international applications, and some solutions to anticipated problems.
WK7S: Eliciting Judgments from Experts and Non-Experts to Inform Decision-Making
Organizer(s): Aylin Sertkaya, Eastern Research Group, Inc. (ERG); Cristina McLaughlin,
Food & Drug Administration (FDA)
Instructor(s): Aylin Sertkaya, Eastern Research Group, Inc. (ERG); Cristina McLaughlin,
Food & Drug Administration (FDA); Frank Hearl, National Institute for Occupational
Safety and Health (NIOSH); David Cragin, Merck; Christy Powers , U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA)
Decision makers must frequently rely on data or information that is incomplete or inadequate in one way or another. Judgment, often from experts
and occasionally from non-experts, then plays a critical role in the interpretation
and characterization of those data as well as in the completion of information
gaps. But how experts or non-experts are selected and their judgments elicited
matters – they can also strongly influence the opinions obtained and the analysis
on which they rely. Several approaches to eliciting judgments have evolved. The
workshop will cover topics ranging from recruitment, elicitation protocol design, different elicitation techniques (e.g., individual elicitations, Delphi method,
nominal group technique, etc.) to aggregation methods for combining opinions
of multiple individuals. The role of judgment elicitation and its limitations, problems, and risks in policy analysis will also be addressed. The workshop will include presentation of two case studies that will include a discussion of the selection process; elicitation protocol development, elicitation technique utilized, and
the various issues that arose before, during, and after the elicitation process and
the manner in which they were resolved. The class will also include two handson exercises where participants will 1) learn about calibration of experts using
a mobile application and 2) apply the Delphi and nominal group techniques to
examine risk management issues associated with recreational marijuana.
WK8S: Exposure Science: Exploring the Role of Exposure in Population Studies and Risk Assessment
Organizer(s): Dana Barr, Emory University
Instructor(s): Dana Barr, Emory University; Debra Kaden, Environ International Corporation; Jacob Persky, Environ International Corporation
Exposure science involves the study of human contact with chemical,
physical, or biological agents that are found in the environment. It serves as a
bridge between traditional environmental science and environmental health by
advancing our understanding of the mechanisms and alterations of events that
lead to adverse health outcomes. Exposure science is a critical component of
health studies and risk assessments. Without proper understanding and characterization of exposure, both environmental and occupational epidemiologic
studies and risk assessments would be hampered. This course will discuss the
evolution of exposure science, the primary ways of assessing exposure, and validation of exposure metrics. We will discuss exposure assessment using ecologic
methods and models, direct or personal exposure measurements and biomonitoring measurements and the advantages and limitations of using each tool. In
addition, we will discuss, compare, and contrast the exposure assessment methods most suitable for differing exposure scenarios (e.g., occupational vs. ambient, transient vs. continual). This basic level course will offer the participant a
guideline for evaluating the quality of and uncertainty associated with exposure
metrics. We will further describe important interpretation and communication
issues. Case studies will be described that will highlight different aspects of the
intricacies of using various exposure assessment tools. The incorporation of
these data into the risk assessment paradigm will be discussed.
Sunday Half Day Afternoon – 1:00-5:00 PM
WK10S: Field Trip to Rocky Mountain Arsenal National Wildlife Refuge
Organizer(s): Randall Ryti, Neptune and Company, Inc.
Instructor(s): Scott Klingensmith, Flatirons Toxicology, Inc.; Gary Drendel, Tetratech; Bruce
Hastings, USFWS
A unique field trip workshop is being offered to SRA members to see
firsthand a successful ecological restoration project. The former Rocky Arsenal
Site was restored as a collaborative effort among the U.S. Army, Shell Oil Co.,
and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Located just northeast of Denver, the
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Rocky Mountain Arsenal National Wildlife Refuge is a 15,000-acre expanse of
prairie, wetland and woodland habitat. We will start with a 30-minute overview
lecture at the auditorium located at the visitor’s center covering the site history,
human health and ecological risk assessments, and restoration work. After the
introduction, we will board the Refuge’s bus for a tour of some highlights of the
restoration work and places to view early winter wildlife. The land has a unique
story - it has survived the test of time and transitioned from farmland, to wartime manufacturing site, to wildlife sanctuary. It may be one of the finest conservation success stories in history and a place where wildlife thrives. The Refuge is
a sanctuary for more than 330 species of animals, including bison, deer, coyotes,
bald eagles and burrowing owls. In the fall, coyotes are well-camouflaged among
the rust and golden-colored grasses as they hunt from the edges of prairie dog
towns. Mule and white-tailed deer bucks display their impressive antlers as they
compete for does. Refuge lakes provide a haven for migrating waterfowl such as
northern pintails, northern shovelers, redheads, and ring-necked ducks.
evaluate the probability and severity of hypothetical process deviations. The
PHAs and HAZOPs are systematic analyses that evaluate process deviation risk
and possible protective measures are identified, as necessary, to reduce the probability of an adverse event, thus reducing the risk. PHAs are required under
OSHA 29 CFR 1910.119 Process Safety Management for Highly Hazardous
Chemicals. Demonstrations of the PHA and/or HAZOP evaluation will be
provided using typical industry software.
Workshop participants can expect to complete the course with a working
knowledge of risk assessment and the specific application of risk assessment to
infrastructure and industrial processes, an understanding of the risk assessment/
risk management continuum, a working knowledge of risk management and the
application of risk management to infrastructure and industrial processes, and a
working knowledge of PHA and HAZOP theory and application. Workshop
participants can also expect to have the ability to begin implementing risk assessment/risk management programs in their own organizations.
WK11S: Applying Risk Assessment and Risk Management to Engineering Processes
WK12S: Methods for Quantifying and Valuing Population Health
Impacts
Organizer(s): Justin Moses, Kleinfelder; Scott Dwyer, Kleinfelder
Instructor(s): Justin Moses, Kleinfelder; Scott Dwyer, Kleinfelder
The success of any organization depends largely on the ability of that organization to identify, understand, and manage risk. Nowhere are these abilities
more important than in capital-intensive industries that source, process, store,
and distribute chemicals and equipment. Such industries are too often in newspaper headlines and television news because of a catastrophic and tragic failure
in some aspect of their infrastructure – think Bhopal, Seveso, Texas City, Deepwater Horizon. In all cases, the causes of these tragedies can be traced to failures
in the risk assessment/risk management process that should be the cornerstone
of any industrial operation.
This workshop is an introductory course to the application of risk assessment and risk management for the process engineering activities that underpin
commercial industrial operations. Beginning with an introduction to risk assessment, including the identification of hazards, assessment and characterization of those hazards, and prioritization for management of those hazards, the
workshop will then focus on the risk management approach that informs Process Hazard Analyses (PHAs) and Hazardous Operability studies (HAZOPs)
performed during the design process and as part of periodic safety reviews to
Organizer(s): Kevin Brand, University of Ottawa
Instructor(s): Kevin Brand, University of Ottawa; Sandra Hoffman, USDA
The workshop reviews standard practices and emerging issues related to
the quantification of a population’s health state. Particular attention is paid to
the array of metrics available for this purpose, their use in quantifying population health impacts, and how these impact projections can be integrated into
economic valuations. Risk assessment typically couples exposure information
with an exposure-response relationship to estimate changes in incidence rates
(e.g., a mortality rate). Expressed in this fashion (along an incident rate scale)
these impact measures fall short. They do not capture the burden of disease,
are not readily interpretable, complicate the comparison of disease outcomes,
and are not suited to a single number summary. This workshop focuses on the
methods required to get readily interpretable, comparable, bottom-line, summaries of health impact.
A dizzying array of metrics can be used to quantify health impacts. Consider for example `àvoidable deaths,’’ PEYLLs, life-expectancy, lifetime risk,
HALEs, QALYs, DALEs, DALYs and àttributable-fractions’ to name just a
few. In this workshop we survey and bring order to these variants, classifying
the metrics into a couple of categories. A finer grained classification is provided
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based on how the metric is calculated; for example does it adjust for the size and
age structure of the population under study. The key choices and their influence
upon projected outcomes will be outlined. Finally, a survey of the key steps and
considerations that are required to map the health impacts, expressed in units
such as change in life-expectancy, into health-economic evaluations will be offered.
WK14S: Risk Analysis Scenario Set Design Workshop
Organizer(s): Steven S. Streetman, Data Architecture Solutions, Inc.
Instructor(s): Steven S. Streetman, Data Architecture Solutions, Inc.
The first of Kaplan and Garrick’s three risk questions is “what can happen?” Yet, many risk assessments fail to develop an adequate set of scenarios to
evaluate risk and, subsequently, may make invalid estimates of risk. This workshop will teach methods to ensure that the scenario sets developed correctly
represent the potential risks. Topics include:
• Differences between planning scenarios, exercise scenarios, and risk scenarios
• How to ‘tile the risk space’
• How to assess the quality of a scenario set using 7 key criteria
• How to generate scenarios from defined components
• How to identify a minimum cut set
• How to ensure consistency between scenarios within a scenario set
The workshop will use real world (sanitized) examples from different risk
analysis applications to show both good and flawed approaches through a combination of lecture, class discussion, and hands-on scenario exercises. The material is invaluable for risk analysts at all levels of expertise and experience, but
is also necessary for risk analysis program managers and decision makers who
must use risk analyses for prioritizing decisions. Participants in the workshop
will learn to identify and fix flaws in scenario sets, understand the tradeoffs necessary in designing new scenario sets, and be better able to defend their selections. With so much emphasis elsewhere on how to estimate likelihood and
consequences or solve systems of scenario equations, this workshop fills a vital
gap in risk analysis education: no matter how sophisticated your techniques for
estimation, a bad scenario set will lead to erroneous risk results.
Workshops - Thursday, 11 December
Thursday 11 December Full Day – 8:30 am-5:30 pm
(Lunch is on your own, 12:30-1:30 pm)
WK16T: Benchmark Dose Modeling
Organizer(s): Allen Davis, USEPA
Instructor(s): Allen Davis, USEPA; Jeff Gift, USEPA; Jay Zhao, USEPA
The objective of this full-day course is to provide participants with interactive training on the use of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA)
Benchmark Dose Software (BMDS) and its application to risk assessment. Use
of BMD methods addresses many of the limitations of the traditional No Observed Adverse Effect Level (NOAEL) approach. BMD modeling involves fitting mathematical models to dose-response data in order to identify points of
departure for use in human health risk assessments. In this interactive training
workshop, EPA instructors will present: the basic theory of BMD modeling (including selection of a benchmark response level, model fitting and comparison),
a demonstration of EPA’s BMDS 2.5, and individual and group modeling exercises. Instructors will focus on the use of the new Excel-based BMDS Wizard
templates that are provided with BMDS 2.5. The BMDS Wizard streamlines
BMD analyses by allowing users to build BMDS inputs, run models, and import
results in Excel. In addition to importing all results, it is capable of recommending best-fitting models using customizable decision criteria.
Participants are not required to have any previous BMD experience, but it
is recommended that they familiarize themselves with basic concepts through
the online tutorial and training materials provided on the EPA BMDS website
(http://epa.gov/ncea/bmds/training/index.html).
Participants need to bring their own laptops to the workshop with BMDS
2.4 installed. The latest version of the software program can be found at:
http://epa.gov/ncea/bmds/. In order to use the BMDS Wizard templates,
Microsoft Excel must be installed on the user’s laptops.
9
WK17T: Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulation for Exposure Assessments with Excel Tools
WK18T: Understanding and Application of Risk Assessment in
Food
Organizer(s): Tom Armstrong, TWA8HR Occupational Hygiene Consulting, LLC;
Fred Boelter, Environ International Corporation
Instructor(s): Tom Armstrong, TWA8HR Occupational Hygiene Consulting, LLC; Fred
Boelter, Environ International Corporation
The workshop provides background and experience with Monte Carlo
Simulation (MCS) methods with a focus on exposure modeling for consumer,
general population and environmental applications. MCS methods 1) define
calculation input probability distributions for a calculation, 2) generate random
values of the inputs from the defined probability distributions, 3) perform the
modeling calculations using random inputs and 4) aggregate and statistically
evaluate the results. MCS methods have use in exposure assessment practice
for estimating exposures, past, present or future. The results have utility in risk
assessment by comparison to metrics of acceptable exposure.
The workshop will review basic MCS methods, and provide a synopsis
of available software, both commercial and freeware. Instructors will provide
examples of the use of MCS methods in estimating exposures to toxic agents.
Following the examples, participants will have exercises designed for them to
learn the software, selection of input distributions, the calculations, and interpretation of results. Prior to the course start, participants will be asked to
provide scenarios to work through as in-class case studies. An understanding
of sensitivity analysis, as well as the difference of and need for additional uncertainty analyses will be developed. The relationship between variability and
epistemic uncertainty as it relates to the inputs, results and final analysis will be
covered in detail.
Participants will be expected to bring their own notebook PC with MS
Excel and ability to enable macros, in order to keep notes on the handouts, and
to run the software for the participant case studies.
Organizer(s): Abdel-Razak Kadry, USEPA
Instructor(s): Abdel-Razak Kadry, USEPA; Michael Bolger, Exponent; Matthew Lorber, USEPA, Michelle Catlin, Food Safety and Inspection Service-USDA
Risk Assessment plays a unique role in serving the needs of various international programs through incorporating, integrating and coordinating the
use of scientific information as a foundation for regulatory decision-making.
This course will offer hands-on training in the areas of risk assessment with
an emphasis on their application to food safety. In addition, the available databases on food safety will be reviewed, and case studies of food contamination
will be provided.
10
Thursday Half Day Morning – 8:00 AM-Noon
WK19T: Implementing Cumulative Risk Assessment: Applying
Tiered Methods via Case Studies
Organizer(s): Margaret MacDonell, Argonne National Laboratory
Instructor(s): Margaret MacDonell, Argonne National Laboratory; Rick Hertzberg, Biomathematics Consulting; Linda Teushcler, LK Teuschler & Associates; Glenn E. Rice,
USEPA
Cumulative risk assessment (CRA) approaches continue to evolve, and a
number of methods are being tested in practical applications that offer insights
for broader CRA implementation. These methods address specific elements
of the CRA process, beginning with planning and scoping and problem formulation and extending through integrated exposure and effect assessments
to risk characterization and uncertainty analysis. This workshop emphasizes
human health applications and illustrates a phased process that builds from
screening-level methods to qualitative and semiquantitative approaches. Lectures and hands-on exercises will illustrate CRA methods and tools for several
example applications: These applications range from community-based hazard ranking to assessments of urban air quality, pesticides, and produced water
from unconventional oil and gas development. Participants are asked to bring
a laptop &/or calculator.
NEW this year!
Wynkoop Brewery Tour
Sunday, 12/7 - 3:00-4:00 PM
$10 for a 40 minute tour of the Brewery, plus four samples!
Plenaries on Monday and Tuesday
Enjoy coffee and snacks accompaning the Monday and Tuesday morning Plenaries between 8:00-8:30 AM.
“Speed-dating” Breakfast - Calling all students, young professionals, new SRA members,
and SRA international members!
Monday, 12/8 - 7:00-8:00 AM
Come to the newly formatted special breakfast event - this will be done in “speed dating” format, giving you chance to
speak with SRA Board and Council members, Specialty Group chairs, and esteemed SRA members!
Come to the SRA Book Signing with two Plenary Speakers!
Wednesday, 12/10 - 10:00-10:30 AM and 3:00-3:30 PM
Kathleen Tierney
“The Social Roots of Risk: Producing Disasters, Promoting Resilience”
Susan Cutter
“Hurricane Katrina and the Forgotten Coast of Mississippi”
SRA Ski Day
Thursday, 12/11 - 7:00 AM-8:00 PM
$175 for skiing and snowboarding, $110 for snowshoeing. Transportation and lift tickets are included, but not equipment.
Registration for this event must be made by Monday 1 December.
Media Outreach to Local, Regional and International Reporters and Authors
See page 13 for more information
New Sponsorship Opportunities (like the Mobile Meeting App),
and a big THANKS to new sponsors and exhibitors!
11
Plenary Sessions
All Plenary Sessions will be held in the Sheraton Denver
Opening Plenary Session
Monday 8 December 8:30 – 10:00 AM
Coffee & snacks will be provided, 8:00-8:30 AM
“Technological Advances, Risk Tradeoffs, and Societal Concerns Associated With Hydraulic Fracking”
Bernard Goldstein, Emeritus Professor and Dean, University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health
Tisha Schuller, President & Chief Executive Officer, Colorado Oil & Gas Association (COGA)
Patty Limerick, Faculty Director and Chair of the Board, Center of the American West, University of Colorado
Governor Bill Ritter, Former Colorado Governor and Director, Center for the New Energy Economy, Colorado State University
Tuesday 9 December, Morning Plenary, 8:30 – 10:00 AM
Coffee & snacks will be provided, 8:00-8:30 AM
“Risks, Benefits, and Public Policy Issues Surrounding Legalized Marijuana Use”
Moderator: David Goff, Dean, Colorado School of Public Health
Tim Byers, Associate Dean for Public Health Practice, Colorado School of Public Health
Amanda Reiman, Manager, Marijuana Law and Policy, California Drug Policy Alliance
Wednesday 10 December, Plenary Luncheon, Noon – 1:30 PM
“Natural Disaster Risks: Strategies for Adaptation and Risk Management”
Kathleen Tierney, Director, Natural Hazards Center, University of Colorado
Susan Cutter, Director, Hazards and Vulnerability Research Institute, University of South Carolina
12
Mark your calendar!
Dates for the 2015 - 2017 Annual Meetings:
2015 - 6-9 December
Crystal Gateway Marriott, Arlington, Virginia
2016 - 11-15 December
Sheraton San Diego, California
2017 - 10-14 December
SRA Media Outreach
The SRA News Release Subcommittee of the Communications Committee has expanded its efforts to reach out to local,
regional and international reporters and authors to cover the compelling variety of topics that will be addressed at this year's
conference. Because SRA members address so many critical health, safety, engineering, decision-support and economic issues
as part of their daily work, the Society offers a lot to interested media to cover in their work. A November SRA news release
on wildfire transmission risks on Colorado's Front Range (the Eastern Rocky Mountains) creates synergies for the society in
terms of putting useful knowledge before the Colorado media even before this conference convened. This whetted the appetite of local media before SRA issued its news release on the conference itself highlighting fracking, marijuana and natural
disaster risks such as the recent Colorado floods.
Be on the lookout for media representatives at the annual meeting and you might have an opportunity to showcase your own
work, or offer an opinion!
13
Monday
Technical Program
Presenter’s name is asterisked (*) if other than first author.
10:30 AM - Noon
10:30 AM - Noon
10:30 AM - Noon
10:30 AM - Noon
10:30 AM - Noon
Plaza 1
Plaza Ballroom D
Plaza 6
Plaza Ballroom E
Plaza Ballroom F
M2-A Decision
M2-B Symposium: The
M2-C Complex
M2-D Symposium:
M2-E Food and Water
Approaches for
Costs of Inaction:
Challenges in Health
Aviation Security Risk
Microbial Safety
Chair: Peg Coleman
Infrastructure Resilience Estimating the Damages
Policy
Analysis
10:30
AM
M2-E.1
Chair:
Robin
Cantor
Chair:
Robin
Dillon-Merril
and Cyber Security
from Climate Change
Chair: Igor Linkov
10:30 AM
M2-A.1
A complex network-based approach for quantifying resilience
of critical infrastructure
Massaro E, Steen A, Gutfraind A,
Collier ZA, Kott A, Linkov I
US Army Engineer Research and
Development Center
Chair: Danya McLamb
10:30 AM
M2-B.1
Using scenarios for analyzing
future climate change impacts
van Ruijven BJ
National Center for Atmospheric Research
10:50 AM
M2-B.2
Estimating the economic dam10:50 AM
M2-A.2 ages from temperature related
On the value of cyber decoy
human health effects in the US
Abbas AE
Gilmore EA, Calvin KV, GreenUniversity of Illinois at Urbana- Barnes J, Hennig R, Puett R, SapChampaign
toka A, Schwarber A
University of Maryland
11:10 AM
M2-A.3
Quantifying resilience of critical 11:10 AM
M2-B.3
infrastructure systems
Climate risks over space and
Massaro EM, Ganin A, Steen A, time: prospects for improvCollier ZA, Kott A, Gutfraind A, ing estimates of global climate
Linkov I
change damages with detailed
US Army Engineer Research and physical projections and more
Development Center, Carnegie Mellon robust impact functions
University
Kopp RE, Hsiang SM, Jina AS,
Rising J, Rasmussen DJ, Delgado M,
11:30 AM
M2-A.4
Mohan S, Oppenheimer M
Framing critical infrastructure
Rutgers University, University of
resilience functional requireCalifornia-Berkeley, Columbia Uniments using model-based sysversity, Rhodium Group, Princeton
tems engineering
University
Montoya M, Mazzuchi T, Sarkani S
George Washington University
11:30 AM
M2-B.4
Projecting climate damages
Lemoine D
University of Arizona
14
10:30 AM
M2-C.1
Bayesian network analysis comparing human health risk values
across organizations
Holman E, Francis R, Gray G
George Washington University, US
Environmental Protection Agency
10:30 AM
M2-D.1
Determining risk thresholds for
TSA’s risk based security
Cox A, KegelMeyer P, Bauman L
Sandia National Laboratories
10:50 AM
M2-D.2
A new approach to aviation
10:50 AM
M2-C.2 security at TSA: enterprise risk
Causal modelling in regulatory management
contexts - the problem of struc- Edwards T, Edwards TS
ture altering interventions
Northcentral University
MacGillivray BH
11:10 AM
M2-D.3
Cardiff University
Commercial airline security:
11:10 AM
M2-C.3 public perceptions and commuAnalysis of barriers to clinical nication regarding TSA’s expetrials on drugs
dited screening procedures
Jessup A, Sertkaya A, Wong H
Burns WJ
US DHHS, Office of the Assistant Decision Research
Secretary for Planning and Evalua11:30 AM
M2-D.4
tion
Application of MAU to obtain
11:30 AM
M2-C.4 public trade-offs in aviation seWhat drives physician testing curity screening
for pain medication compliance- John RS, Nguyen K, Rosoff HR
risk or reward?
University of Southern California
Cantor RA, Meer S, Tyler C
Berkeley Research Group
10:30 AM - Noon
Governors Square 10
M2-F Symposium:
Characterization of
Occupational, Ecosystem and Environmental
Risks from Unconventional Natural Gas
Development
Is raw milk safe? Quantitatively
assessing the impact of raw milk
consumption changes in the US
Costard S, Groenendaal H, Zagmutt
Chair: John Adgate
FJ
10:30
AM
M2-F.1
EpiX Analytics LLC
Risks of unconventional shale
10:50 AM
M2-E.2 gas development: characterizaExploring disagreements re- tion and governance
garding health risks of raw and Small MJ, Stern PC
pasteurized human and bovine Carnegie Mellon University
milk
10:50 AM
M2-F.2
Coleman ME
Overview of exposure risks for
Coleman Scientific Consulting
chemical and mineral exposures
11:10 AM
M2-E.3 to workers during unconvenQuantitative risk assessment of tional oil and gas extraction eshuman toxoplasmosis through pecially hydraulic fracturing
consumption of pork products Esswein E
in the US
NIOSH
Guo M, Lambertini E, Buchanan
M2-F.3
RL, Dubey JP, Hill D, Gamble HR, 11:10 AM
Energy
development,
ecosysJones J, Pradhan AK
tem
services,
and
public
health:
a tamed or wicked problem?
11:30 AM
M2-E.4 Bourgeron PS, Campbell AS,
Quantifying and modeling the Adgate JL
effect of weather on the risk of University of Colorado
survival of microorganisms on
M2-F.4
oranges following application of 11:30 AM
Linking ecosystem services and
low microbial quality water
Mootian GK, Friedrich LM, Spann health risk assessment to adTM, Danyluk MD, Schaffner DW dress sustainability
Adgate JL, Bourgeron PB
Rutgers University
University of Colorado
Monday
Technical Program
Presenter’s name is asterisked (*) if other than first author.
10:30 AM - Noon
10:30 AM - Noon
10:30 AM - 12:10 PM
Governors Square 12
Governors Square 14
Governors Square 15
M2-H Symposium: UnderM2-I Household Exposures
M2-J Risk Communication
Chair: Richard Reiss
standing and Regulating
and Trust
10:30
AM
M2-I.1
Chair: Michael Siegrist
Risks From Perchlorate
10:30 AM - Noon
Governors Square 11
M2-G Symposium: Role of
Expert Elicitation in Helping
Make Better Risk Assessment
Chair: Gail Charnley
Decisions: Mode of Action
10:30
AM
M2-H.1
Debate Using Real Time
Impact of multiple goitrogen expoAudience Input
sures during pregnancy
Pearce EN
10:30 AM
M2-G.1
Boston University School of Medicine
Collective wisdom technology, queries
and demographics
10:50 AM
M2-H.2
Kirman CR
Concomitant exposure to multiple goiSummit Toxicology, LLP
trogens: implications for regulation
Steinmaus C
10:40 AM
M2-G.2
UC Berkeley School of Public Health
Peer engagement and transparency in
comparative WOE analysis for mode 11:10 AM
M2-H.3
of action
PBPK evaluation of the combined
Meek ME
effect of goitrogens and iodine from
University of Ottawa
food
Lewandowski T, Peterson M
10:55 AM
M2-G.3
Gradient
Weight of evidence of proposed
modes of action for tetrachloroethyl- 11:30 AM
M2-H.4
ene-induced liver tumors
Iodine supplementation and drinkingDeveau M
water perchlorate mitigation
Peterson M, Lewandowski T, Charnley G
Gradient, Health Risk Strategies LLC
11:35 AM
M2-G.4
Collective wisdom findings and discussion
Hays SM
Summit Toxicology
Chair: Sean Hays
Residential tap water sampling for disinfectant byproducts and atrazine to
assess exposure and human health risk
Parvez S, Sundararajan M
Indiana University, Fairbanks School of
Public Health
10:30 AM
M2-J.1
Arsenic and old mines: trust in risk
communication about the giant mine
remediation plan
Jardine C, Driedger M, Furgal C
University of Alberta, University of Mani10:50 AM
M2-I.2 toba and Trent University
The effect of disinfection by-product 10:50 AM
M2-J.2
exposures on risk of birth defects
Does trust or distrust persevere over
Wright JM, Rivera-Núñez ZZ
repeated events?: An extension of trust
US EPA
asymmetry research to homogeneous
11:10 AM
M2-I.3 event sequences involving manageCleaning product ingredient safety ini- ment of nano-medicines
tiative: exposure assessment for ingre- Johnson BB
Decision Research
dients
10:30 AM - Noon
Governors Square 16
M2-K Symposium: Risk
Communication and Energy
Chair: Bonnie Ram
10:30 AM
M2-K.1
Communicating risks and benefits of
shale gas development (‘fracking’)
Evensen D, Stedman R
Cornell University
10:50 AM
M2-K.2
A new approach to ‘public acceptability’ and the risks of energy system
change
Demski CC, Pidgeon NF, Parkhill KP, Butler C, Spence A
Cardiff University
11:10 AM
M2-K.3
Public opinion on energy development: the interplay of issue framing,
top-of-mind associations, and political
ideology
Clarke CE, Evensen DT, Jacquet JB, Schult
JP, Boudet HS, Hart PS, Stedman RC
George Mason University, Cornell University,
South Dakota State University, Oregon State
University, University of Michigan
Williams ES, Ciarlo M, Horne C, Greggs 11:10 AM
M2-J.3
B, DeLeo P, Brooks BW
Public perceptions of expert disagreeBaylor University
ment: expert incompetence or a com11:30 AM
M2-I.4 plex and random world?
Validation of a pesticide dietary expo- Dieckmann NF, Johnson B, Gregory R,
sure model with biomonitoring data - Mayorga M, Han PKJ, Slovic P
Oregon Health & Science University, Decicase study for chlorpyrifos
sion Research, University of Oregon, Maine
Reiss R, Tucker K, Weidling R
11:30 AM
M2-K.4
Medical Center
Exponent
Information divergence: the discon11:30 AM
M2-J.4 nection of reporting nuclear risk and
Citizen priorities for environmental crisis by the news media in the US
hazards: understanding rankings and Chavez M, Oshita T
exploring their origins in risk percep- Michigan State University
tion
Binder AR, Berglund EZ
North Carolina State University
11:50 AM
M2-J.5
Breaking the barriers: communication
networks for risk reduction in technological disasters
Zimmerman R
New York University
15
Monday
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Plaza 1
M3-A Symposium:
Sharpening 21st Century
Science to Support Risk
Assessment and Inform
Regulatory
Decision-Making
Chair: Jack Fowle
1:30 PM
M3-A.1
Shaping 21st-century science to
support risk assessment and inform regulatory decision-making introduction, opportunities
and challenges
Fowle JR III
Science to Inform, LLC
1:50 PM
M3-A.2
Regulatory application - promise and perils
Fitzpatrick SC
FDA
2:10 PM
M3-A.3
Legal/regulatory implications
of the new science
Elliott ED
Covington and Burling, LLP
2:30 PM
M3-A.4
Using adverse outcome pathways for regulatory applications
Willett CE, Antczak P, Burgoon
L, Falciani F, Gutsell S, Hodges G,
Kienzler A, Knapen D, McBride M,
Perkins EJ
The Humane Society of the United
States
16
1:30 - 3:10 PM
Plaza 5
M3-B Symposium:
Foundational Issues I
1:30 - 3:00 PM
1:30 - 3:10 PM
1:30 - 3:00 PM
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Plaza 6
Plaza 7
Plaza 8
Governors Square 10
M3-C Managing Risk M3-D Symposium: Risk
M3-E Symposium:
M3-F Roundtable: Disfor Energy Infrastructure
of Wildlife, Fishery,
Uncertainty in Microbial cussion of Regulation,
Chair: Terje Aven
Systems
Poaching and Improving Risk Assessment Part I Policy, and Community
1:30 PM
M3-B.1
Chair: Stanley Levinson
Chair: Moez Sanaa
Anti-Poaching Security
Issues Relating to HyA new SRA glossary for risk ter- 1:30 PM
M3-C.1
1:30
PM
M3-E.1
Strategies
draulic Fracking
minology
Aven T
University of Stavanger, Norway
Systems thinking in a regulated
Chair: Tambe Milind
world
1:30 PM
M3-D.1
Dister CJ, Wargo RK, Cunniff TM Effects of risk perceptions about
environmental insecurity on ex1:50 PM
M3-B.2 ReliabilityFirst
Defining emerging risk
1:50 PM
M3-C.3 ploitation of natural resources:
Flage R, Aven T
Systems risk assessment of a insight from Madagascar
University of Stavanger
Tokyo Bay oil storage terminal Gore ML, Ratsimbazafy JH, Lute
ML, Rajaonson A
2:10 PM
M3-B.3 Deng Q, Baecher GB, Marr WA
Michigan State University
University
of
Maryland
Can we define a concept of ‘risk
M3-D.2
tolerance’?
2:10 PM
M3-C.4 1:50 PM
Human
caused
extinction
risk
Bouder F
Evaluating induced seismicity
of
tiger
and
some
other
large
Maastricht University
and underground injection wells
mammals
2:30 PM
M3-B.4 Tymchak MP, Flewelling SA
Shrestha MK
Is the weight of evidence ap- Gradient
Smithsonian Conservation Biology Inproach in risk assessment ac- 2:30 PM
M3-C.5 stitute, Tiger Conservation Parthernsip
cording to REACH an applica- Is it always windy somewhere?
M3-D.3
tion of a general perspective on Occurrence of low-wind-power 2:10 PM
Of wildlife, fishery poaching,
risk?
events over large areas
and improving anti-poaching
Sahlin U, Vareman N
Rose SR, Handschy M, Apt J
security strategies
Lund University
Carnegie Mellon University
Tambe M
2:50 PM
M3-B.5
US Coast Guard
What is the difference between
2:30 PM
M3-D.4
risk-based, evidence-based and
Decision aids for protecting wildknowledge-based decision maklife and fisheries: using algorithing?
mic and behavioral game theory
Vareman N, Sahlin U
Tambe M, Ford B, Nguyen T, LeLund University
meiux A
Dealing with uncertainties in
risk assessment: uncertainty typology and NUSAP
Bouwknegt M, Van der Sluijs JP,
Evers EG, Havelaar AH
National Institute for Public Health
and the Environment
1:50 PM
M3-E.2
How to express the uncertainty?
Application to risk ranking
Sanaa M
French Agency for Food, Environmental and Occupational Health &
Safety
2:10 PM
M3-E.3
Reduction of uncertainty in
Middle Eastern Respiratory
Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS,
MERS-CoV) exposure assessments by direct survey of blood
donors
Walderhaug MO, Whitaker B,
Hinkins S, Anderson SA
US FDA, AABB and NORC
2:30 PM
M3-E.4
Uncertainty analysis and its use
at the food safety and inspection
service
Ebel E
Food Safety and Inspection Service,
2:50 PM
M3-D.5 United States Department of AgriSerious games for stakeholder culture
participation in environmental
management
Kurth MH, Wood MD, Bates ME,
Linkov I
Tufts University, USACE ERDC
Risk and Decision Science Team
Chair: John Graham
Panelists:
Risk Perception: Ragnar Lofstedt,
King’s College London
Risk Governance: Mitch Small,
Industry Perspective: Amy Emmert,
American Petroleum Institute
NGO Perspective: Scott Anderson,
Environmental Defense Fund
Regulatory Perspective: Tiffany Bredfeldt, Texas Commission on Environmental Quality
Monday
1:30 - 3:10 PM
Governors Square 11
M3-G Symposium:
Assessing the Risks of
Engineered Nanomaterials:
Lessons from Combustion
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Governors Square 12
M3-H Symposium:
Component Methods to
Assess Chemical Mixtures
Risks
Chair: Christian Beaudrie
1:30 PM
M3-G.1
Nanoparticles, respiratory-based injury
and the role of oxidant stress
Pinkerton KE, Carosino CM, Plummer
LE, Madl AK
University of California, Davis
Co-Chairs: Raymond Yang, Glenn Rice
1:30 PM
M3-H.1
Current controversies in the risk assessment of chemical mixtures
Hertzberg RC
Biomathematics Consulting and Emory University
1:50 PM
M3-G.2
Lessons from combustion particle
exposure assessment for engineered
nanoparticle exposure assessment
Breysse PN, Rule A
Johns Hopkins University
1:50 PM
M3-H.2
Considerations for analyzing risks
posed by mixtures of phthalates
Teuschler LK
LKT & Associates
2:10 PM
M3-G.3
Studies with diesel exhaust particulate:
implications for the potential human
health hazards of engineered nanoparticles
Hesterberg TH, Bunn WB, Berg M, Scribner K, Harrill J, Goad P
Center for Toxicology and Environmental
Health, Bunn and Associates Occupational
Health Consulting
2:10 PM
M3-H.3
Real-world chemical mixtures in ambient groundwater of the United States
Toccalino PL, Norman JE, Skach KA
US Geological Survey
2:30 PM
M3-H.4
Examining relative potencies of chemical mixture components from in vivo
studies using Benchmark Dose Software
Swartout JC, Rice G, Teuschler LK
2:30 PM
M3-G.4 US EPA
Sustainable management of nanomaterial containing wastes
Boxall ABA, Beaudrie C, Bruce N, Carlander D, Carter LJ, Chaudhry Q, Diamond
S, Doudrick K, Dudkiewicz A, Foss Hansen
S, Ghosal S, Hodson S, Lambert S, Lazareva A, Lynch I, Mathuru A, Nathaniel J,
Rudd M, Spurgeon D, Tellenbach M, Tiede K
Compass Resource Management Ltd
2:50 PM
M3-G.5
Nanotechnology: from harmful to
helpful?
Marchant G
Arizona State University
1:30 - 3:00 PM
1:30 - 3:10 PM
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Governors Square 14
Governors Square 15
Governors Square 16
M3-I Symposium: Assessing M3-J Symposium: Risk, PerM3-K Symposium:
the Worst Risks First:
ception, and Response, Part I Interdisciplinary Perspectives
Chair: Rich Canady
Bringing QRA to the Problem
on Climate Change
1:30
PM
M3-J.1
Chair: Bob O’Connor
of Workplace Toxicants
Risk assessment of risk perceptions:
health risk assessment tools for the
effects of information flow
Canady R
Center for Risk Science Innovation and Application, ILSI Research Foundation
1:30 PM
M3-K.1
Mindsets and climate change risk perceptions and action intentions
Böhm G, Bostrom A, Hanss D, OConnor
RE, Scharks T
University of Bergen, University of Washing1:50 PM
M3-J.2 ton, National Science Foundation
Reducing over-valuation of risk regula- 1:50 PM
M3-K.2
tions
with
highly
uncertain
benefits
Climate
change,
weather,
and
percep1:50 PM
M3-I.2
Cox
T
tion
of
the
risk
time
horizon
When using a risk based approach to
setting OELs will work and when it Cox Associates and University of Colorado Trumbo CW, Marlatt HL
won’t
2:10 PM
M3-J.3 Colorado State University
Paustenbach DJ
Risk literacy and transparent risk com- 2:10 PM
M3-K.3
Cardno ChemRisk
munication in health and medicine
Interdisciplinary approach to drought
risks in the context of social conflict
2:10 PM
M3-I.3 Garcia-Retamero R, Cokely E.T.
Hierarchy of OELs—a new organiz- University of Granada, Max Planck Insti- and climate change
tute
Towler EL, Lazrus H, PaiMazumder D
ing principle for risk assessment
Maier, A
2:30 PM
M3-J.4 National Center for Atmospheric Research
The Environmental Quality Organization, Value of improved hurricane warnings: 2:30 PM
M3-K.4
LLC
risk information and factors affecting Extreme heat risk and human health
Wilhelmi OW, Hayden MH, Boehnert J,
2:30 PM
M3-I.4 stated preferences
Lazo
JK,
Bostrom
A,
Morss
RE,
Demuth
Banerjee D, Gower S
Risk Lessons Learned
JL,
Lazrus
H
NCAR
Jayjock MA, Armstrong, T*
National
Center
for
Atmospheric
Research
Jayjock-Associates LLC, TWA8HR Occupational Hygiene Consulting LLC
2:50 PM
M3-J.5
Taking advantage of diffusion effects
in a network to increase effectiveness
of risk communication
Tago D
Toulouse School of Economics
Co-Chairs: Adam Finkel and Raymond
Yang
1:30 PM
M3-I.1
A structured plan for seeking consensus on inference options for occupational risk assessment
Finkel AM
University of Pennsylvania Law School
17
Monday
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Plaza 1
M4-A Symposium:
Development and Risk
Chair: Royce Francis
3:30 PM
M4-A.1
Demanded compensation for
environmental risks: it all depends on the economic sector
Gutierrez VV, Cifuentes LA, Bronfman NC
Universidad Diego Portales, Pontificia
Universidad Catolica de Chile
3:30 - 5:10 PM
Plaza Ballroom D
M4-B Symposium: Cost
of Illness Studies and
Beyond
Chair: Kevin Brand
3:30 PM
M4-B.1
Estimating health expenditure
by disease and injury, age, and
sex, for the United States, 1996
- 2010
Baral R, Bui A, Bulchis A, DeCenso B, Gabert R, Joseph J, Lavado
R, Nightingale N, Tobias M, Dieleman J*
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington
3:50 PM
M4-A.3
Environmental risk analysis in
steel industry development in
dry-land utilizing advaced risk
assessment methods
3:50 PM
M4-B.2
Jafari Nodoushan H, Khabiri SA The economic burden of illness
Yazd University
in Canada
4:10 PM
M4-A.4 Diener Alan
Willingness to pay to avoid envi- Public Health Agency of Canada
ronmental impacts of electricity
generation
De La Maza C, Aravena C*,
Cifuentes L, Rizzi L, Bronfman N
Fundacion Chile
18
3:30 - 5:10 PM
Plaza 6
M4-C Navigating
Shifting Regulatory
Landscapes
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Plaza Ballroom E
M4-D Symposium:
Cyber Security and
Privacy Risk
3:30 - 5:10 PM
Plaza Ballroom F
M4-E Symposium:
Uncertainty in Microbial
Risk Assessment Part II
Chair: Rick Reiss
3:30 PM
M4-C.1
Regulatory and quasi-regulatory
activity without OMB and costbenefit review
Graham JD, Liu CR
Indiana University
Chair: Robin Dillon-Merrill
3:30 PM
M4-D.1
Near-misses and the challenges
for cyber security decision making
Dillon-Merrill RL
Georgetown University
3:50 PM
M4-C.2
Genetic biomarkers of risk in
toxic tort litigation
Marchant GE, Hartley K*
Arizona State University and LSP
Group LLC
3:50 PM
M4-D.2
Modeling values and trade-offs
of cybersecurity stakeholders
Rosoff H, John RS, von Winterfeldt
D
4:10 PM
M4-C.3
Risk informed regulatory decisions - a review of case law in
Canada
Sridharan S, Mangalam S, Reid D,
Mulamootil L, Bharati R
Technical Standards and Safety Authority
4:10 PM
M4-D.3
Principal engineer
4:10 PM
M4-E.3
Frye FEH
Dose-response for vCJD transThe MITRE Corporation
mitted through blood transfusion
4:30 PM
M4-D.4
Yang H, Huang Y, Gregori L, AnA prescriptive multiattribute
derson SA, Asher DM
model of user preferences for
Food and Drug Administration
conflicting objectives related to
cyber security risk
4:30 PM
M4-E.4
Nguyen KD, Rosoff H, John RS
Development of a 2D simulaUniversity of Southern California
tion based method for dose response model optimization for
uncertain pathogens
Weir MH
Temple University
4:10 PM
M4-B.3
Health measures and health and
environmental policy, how does
what we measure fit with what
we need to measure?
4:30 PM
M4-C.4
Hoffmann SA
Recalibrating risk: crises, perUSDA Economic Research Service
ceptions and regulatory change
4:30 PM
M4-B.4 Wiener JB, Balleisen E, Bennear L,
Estimating the disease and eco- Krawiec K
nomic burden of arsenic in pri- Duke University
vate wells in the United States
4:50 PM
M4-C.5
Greco SL, Belova A, Haskell JM,
The informal European parliaFirlie B, Stedge G, Hunt DR
mentary working group on risk:
Abt Associates
next steps
4:50 PM
M4-B.5 Lofstedt R.
Health expectancy versus health King’s College London
gap measures: what difference
do at-risk population dynamics
make?
Brand K
Chair: Mark Powell
3:30 PM
M4-E.1
Separation of uncertainty and
variability in microbial food
safety risk assessment: what’s
new after 20 years?
Pouillot R
3:50 PM
M4-E.2
Considering variability and uncertainty in food safety risk assessment
Powell M
US Department of Agriculture
4:50 PM
M4-E.5
A spatiotemporal informatics
framework for modeling dengue
fever risk
Huang TL, Yu HL, Lin YC, Lee
CH
National Cheng Kung University
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Governors Square 10
M4-F Fracking Risks
and Perception
Chair: Steve Lewis
3:30 PM
M4-F.1
Human health-based framework for evaluating the safety
of drilling and fracturing fluid
additives
Wikoff DS, Fitzgerald LF, Haws
LC, Harris M
ToxStrategies, Inc.
3:50 PM
M4-F.2
Social responses to unconventional fossil fuels (fracking)
Renn O
University of Stuttgart
4:10 PM
M4-F.3
Human health risk evaluation
for hydraulic fracturing fluid additives
Flewelling SA, Sharma M
Gradient
4:30 PM
M4-F.4
Role of cognitive biases in perception of risks related to fracking
Jovanovic AS, Renn O, Schneider R
ZIRIUS University of Suttgart
Monday
3:30 - 5:10 PM
Governors Square 11
M4-G AOP for 21st Century
Risk Assessment
3:30 - 5:10 PM
Governors Square 12
M4-H Symposium: CRA
Methods for EPA CRA
Guidelines
3:30 - 5:10 PM
3:30 - 5:00 PM
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Governors Square 14
Governors Square 15
Governors Square 16
M4-I Symposium:
M4-J Symposium: Risk,
M4-K Risk Communication
Retrospective and Prospective
Perception and Response,
and Climate change
Chair: Richard Becker
Chair: Craig Trumbo
Risk Characterization,
Part II
3:30 PM
M4-G.1
3:30
PM
M4-K.1
Chair: Beth Brewer
Chair: Jeff Lazo
Application and
Increasing scientific confidence in AOPs: 3:30 PM
Public
understanding
of
ocean
acidifiM4-H.1
3:30 PM
M4-J.2
Communication
tailoring the Bradford Hill considerations
for evaluating weight of evidence
Becker RA, Ankley G, Barton-Maclaren T,
Kennedy S, Meek ME, Sachana M, Segner H,
Edwards S, Villeneuve D, Watanabe H
American Chemistry Council
Cumulative risk assessment for pesticides: lessons learned on scoping and
problem formulation
Lowit AB, Smith CW, Perron MM, Wilbur D, Holman ES*
Environmental Protection Agency
Workers’ perceptions of risk and occu3:30 PM
M4-I.1 pational injuries
Hiding in plain sight: analyzing a signif- Galizzi M, Tempesti T
icant, yet previously unidentified work- University of Massachusetts Lowell
place exposure risk during hydraulic 3:50 PM
M4-J.3
fracturing
Extrapolating understanding of food
3:50 PM
M4-H.2 Esswein EJ, Snawder JE, King B, Breiten- risk perceptions to emerging food
stein M, Alexander-Scott M, Kiefer M
Phthalates case study
safety cases
Anitole K, Aylward L, Lorber M*, Blake- National Institute for Occupational Safety Kaptan, G, Fischer, ARH, Frewer, LJ
and Health (NIOSH)
Hedges L, Brewer B, Olsen M
University of Leeds, Wageningen University,
US EPA
3:50 PM
M4-I.2 and Newcastle University
3:50 PM
M4-G.2
A quantitative weight of evidence model
for assessing Adverse Outcome Pathways (AOPs)
Linkov I, Ankley G, Barton-Maclaren T,
Kennedy S, Meek ME, Sachana M, Segner H,
4:10 PM
M4-H.3
Edwards S, Villeneuve D, Watanabe H
Cumulative
risk
assessment
for comUS Army Corps of Engineers
bined air toxics and criteria pollutants
4:10 PM
M4-G.3 MacDonell M, Hertzberg R, Chang YS,
The adverse outcome pathway for he- Rice G, Yurk J, Martin L
patic toxicity and tumorigenesis in ro- Argonne National Laboratory, US EPA
dents by sustained activation of the aryl
4:30 PM
M4-H.4
hydrocarbon receptor
Trying
to
do
it
all
for
cumulative
risk
Budinsky RA, Simon T, Patlewicz G
assessment:
the
feasibility
of
the
MultiDow Chemical Company
criteria Integrated Resource Assess4:30 PM
M4-G.4 ment (MIRA) approach
Integration of environmental and com- Stahl C, Martin L, Brewer B
munity risk factors into an adverse out- US Environmental Protection Agency
come pathway: an example with inor4:50 PM
M4-H.5
ganic arsenic
Planning,
scoping,
and
problem
forPowers CM, Lee JS, Joca L, Sacks J, Jones R,
mulation
for
community-based
cumuTurley A, Mendez W, Cowden J, Sams R
US EPA, ORISE, ICF International, NC, lative risk assessments
Barzyk TM, Martin L, O’Shea S
Washington DC
US Environmental Protection Agency
4:50 PM
M4-G.5
Applying mechanistic modelling to human health risk assessment: a skin sensitisation case study
MacKay C, Cubberley R, Dhadra S, Gellatly
N, Pendlington R, Pickles J, Saib O, Sheffield
D, Stark R, Maxwell G
Unilever - Safety and Environmental Assurance
Centre
Chair: Fred Boelter
Application of hazard and control
banding concepts and risk matrices to
prospective and retrospective chemical
risk assessments
Altemose BA
SafeBridge Consultants, Inc
4:10 PM
M4-I.3
Reconstructing exposures for the semiconductor industry to assess risks of
hematological malignancies
Torres CW
ENVIRON International Corporation
cation and implications for risk communication
Pidgeon NF, Capstick SB, Corner A, Pearson P, Spence E
Cardifff University
3:50 PM
M4-K.2
The influences of symbolic and practical cues on climate change decisions
Wong-Parodi G, Fischhoff B
4:10 PM
M4-K.3
From
here
to
there,
her
to
me:
using
4:10 PM
M4-J.4
psychological
distance
to
explore
perThe antecedents of enhancing behavceptions
of
climate
change
ior following mandatory motorcycle
Yang ZJ, Rickard LN
helmet legislation
SUNY at Buffalo
Lee J
East Carolina University
4:30 PM
M4-K.4
4:30 PM
M4-J.6
Communicating public health advice
during a chemical attack involving sarin: results from a live decontamination
exercise in the UK
Rogers MB, Krieger K, Jones E, Amlot R
4:30 PM
M4-I.4 King’s College London, Public Health EngPhysiology of risk: grounding retro- land
spective risk characterization in terms
that resonate with various stakeholders
O’Reilly MV
SUNY School of Public Health at Albany
and ARLS Consultants, Inc.
Untangling the various effects of psychological distance
Zwickle A, Wilson RS
Michigan State University, The Ohio State
University
4:50 PM
M4-I.5
Prospective and retrospective risk characterizations: obverse and reverse accounts
Boelter FB
ENVIRON International
19
Monday
6:00-8:00 PM
Plaza Ballroom A, B, C
P Poster Session
P.8
Health and quality of life of
people living near a chemical industrial
area
Daniau C, Wagner V, Salvio C, Bérat B,
Decision Analysis and Risk
P.1 Risk perception in determining Stempfelet M, Kermarec F, Ricoux C, Empereur-Bissonnet P
scientific problem choices
Institute of Public Health (InVS)
Sarathchandra D
University of Idaho
P.2
Values, beliefs, norms and
identity: assessing the place of identity
in perceptions of risks and benefits associated with new energy technologies
Whitley C
P.3
Fast-running chemical dispersion model development for the nonscientist to support risk analysis
Arimoto CW, Howard PM, Lepofsky M,
Randolph MA
ABSG Consulting Inc.
P.4
Improving emergency response notification effectiveness leveraging newer technologies
Howard PM, Kuck J, Taylor T
ABS Consulting Inc.
P.5
Development and application
of simplified damage charts for chemical containers
Howard PM, Kuck J, Taylor T, Shope R
ABS Consulting Inc.
P.6
Improving risk prediction
models using PGA, LASSO and SVM
in prostate cancer prediction
Pirasteh F, Liu J, Sanei M
Pukyong National University
P.7
Multidimensional injury pattern analysis: a study of children’s product injury in Japan
Zhang K, Mikami Y
Henan Polytechnic University
20
P.16 The use of cross-species and
cross-disciplinary evidence in support
of causality determinations in the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency’s integrated science assessment for lead
Lassiter MG, Kirrane E, Patel MM, Owens EO, Madden MK, Richmond-Bryant J,
Hines E, Davis A, Vinikoor-Imler L, Dubois JJ
US Environmental Protection Agency, Oak
Ridge Institute for Science and Education Research Participation Program, Critical Path
Services LLC
P.9
Alternative approaches for
evaluating and providing risk context
for water contaminants with minimal
toxicity data
Goeden H, Suchomel A, Gavrelis N, Bertelsen L, Heiger-Bernays W, Hattis D
Minnesota Department of Health, East- P.17 Application of inhalation
ern Research Group, Inc., Boston University toxicology concepts to risk and conseSchool of Public Health
quence assessments
Hawkins BE, Winkel DJ, Wilson PH,
P.11 The value of information for
Whittaker IC, Gooding RE, Skinner L,
managing contaminated sediments
Cox JA
Bates ME, Sparrevik M, Linkov I
Battelle Memorial Institute, Department of
US Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer ReHomeland Security Chemical Security Analyseach and Development Center
sis Center
P.12 Healthcare risk assessment: a
P.18 Development of an interspepatient safety intervention
cies nested dose response model for
Elmontsri ME, Banarsee R, Majeed A
mycobacterium avium subspecies paraImperial College London
tuberculosis
P.13 Value of information analysis Breuninger K, Weir MH
on the tiered occupational exposure as- Temple University
sessment for organic solvent in Japan
P.19 Potential health risks associYamaguchi H, Iwai T, Tokai A
ated with energy drink consumption
Osaka University
and characterization of individual susP.14 The Risk Assessment Infor- ceptibility factors
mation System (RAIS) informative Banducci AM, Nelson ML, Novick R,
tools addressing hydraulic fracturing
Tvermoes BT
Galloway LD, Dolislager FG, Stewart DJ, Cardno ChemRisk
Tucker KB
P.20 Oral two generation reproducUniversity of Tennessee, Knoxville
tive and prenatal developmental toxicDose Response
ity studies of Tetrabromobisphenol a
P.15 Hormesis = Pre-conditioning (TBBPA) in Cd Sprague-Dawley rats
= Adaptive Response
Dourson M, Kacew S, Cope R
Calabrese EJ, Mothersill C
Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment;
University of Massachusetts Amherst
Institute of Population Health - University of
Ottawa, Australian Government Regulatory
Agency
P.21 Study design and physiochemical data considerations for a subacute
inhalation study of a UVCB
Dube, EM, Sullivan, K, Brynczka, C
Gradient
P.22 Application of the margin of
exposure approach to benzene, a tobacco smoke toxicant
Fiebelkorn SA, Cunningham FH, Dillon D,
Meredith C
British American Tobacco, UK
P.28 Continuous-time
particle
tracking for modeling the migration of
90Sr released from superficial nuclear
disposal facilities
Tosoni E, Cadini F, Zio E
Politecnico Di Milano
P.29 Impact of air pollution and
statins use on stroke among hypertension patients: a population-based cohort study in Taiwan
Wu TT, Pan ZC, Ho WC, Lin MH, Fan
KC, Chen PC, Lin CC, Wu TN, Sung FC,
P.23 The assessment of air polLin RS
lution exposure and paracetamol use
China Medical University
related to children allergic disease: a
population-based cohort study in Tai- P.30 Toxicokinetics of perfluoriwan
nated compounds in rodents
Ho WC, Lin MH, Fan KC, Wu TT, Kao Wu CH, Liu CY, Wu KY
HC, Chen PC, Lin CC, Wu TN, Sung National Taiwan University
FC, Lin RS
P.31 Drinking water risk assessment
in the developing countries
P.24 High throughput dose re- Njan A
sponse analysis reveals unique mode University of Ilorin, Nigeria
of toxicity of Cu nanoparticles
P.35 Heavy metals in sections of
Kaweeteerawat C, Chang C, Liu R, Godwin H
the Nile River
University of California Center for EnvironEl-Tawil O
mental Implications of Nanotechnology (UCCairo University, Egypt
CEIN)
P.36 Distributions of autocorrelatP.25 Public health implications of
ed first order kinetics: cumulative dosethe effect of covariates on food allerresponse assessment
gen dose response model
Englehardt JD
Kwegyir-Afful EK, Zhu J, Brookmire L,
University of Miami
Luccioli S
US Food and Drug Administration
Ecological Risk Assessment
P.37 Environmental risk compariP.26 Naphthalene research proson of laboratory photo-induced toxgram: working hypotheses and reicity benchmark values to field levels of
search results
ultraviolet radiation and photo-reactive
LeHuray AP, Sunn T-J, Beatty P, Reitman F
contaminants
Naphthalene Council
Willis AM, Oris JT
P.27 A probabilistic approach to es- Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment;
timating acrolein risk
Miami University
Lynch ML, Hattis D
Abt Associates, Inc.
Monday
Economics and Benefit Analysis
P.39 Assessment of risk mitigation
measures effectiveness: application to
natural risks in mountains
Carladous S, Tacnet JM, Batton-Hubert M,
Curt C
Irstea - Snow Avalanche Engineering and
Torrent Control Research Unit
P.45 Efficiency, equity and environmental protection: a real world case
from standard setting for thermal power plants
Cifuentes LA, de la Maza C, Donoso F
P. Universidad Católica de Chile
P.52 Sectioning of transport pipelines for liquid hydrocarbons based on
the minimization of costs related to
enviromental remediation as a consequence of accidental releases
Cano NA, Fontecha JE, Muñoz F
Universidad de los Andes
P.58 Assessing doses from external
radiation using a personal dosimeter in
areas affected by the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant accident
Naito W
National Institute of Advanced Industrial
Science and Technology
P.65 Probabilistic aggregate assessment of health risk on nonylphenol for
Taiwanese population with bayesian
statistics MarKov chain Monte Carlo
simulation
Yeh H, Wu KY
National Taiwan University
Exposure Assessment
P.53 A probabilistic analysis of
seafood consumption in the Gulf of
Mexico
Charles MKS, Brumback B, Kane AS,
Stuchal LD
University of Florida, Emerging Pathogens
Institute and the Center for Environmental
P.48 Risk perception of urban and
and Human Toxicology
transportation systems and its impacts
on travel patterns and residential loca- P.54 Air dispersion modeling by
tion preferences
using Bayesian statistics with MarKov
Chikaraishi M, Fujiwara A
Chain Monte Carlo simulation to estiHiroshima University
mate an emission rate from a complex
of emission sources
P.49 Contrasting electricity generaChuang YC, Wu KY
tion methods for disaster resilience
Cuvilliez AL, Fischer M
Stanford University
P.55 Timing is everything. Shortterm action levels for TCE in indoor air
P.50 Identifying interdependent isGray DL, Vaughan PH
sues and resource limitations for modStantec Consulting Services, Inc.
eling post-earthquake recovery duration of critical infrastructures: the case P.56 Exposure assessments for
of 3.11 earthquake in Japan
contaminants of emerging concern
Yuyama A, Kajitani Y
Greene CW, Shubat PJ
Central Research Institute of Electric Power Minnesota Department of Health
Industry
P.57 A comprehensive evaluation
P.51 Researching causes in 2003 of inorganic arsenic in food and conAlgiers (Algeria) earthquake disaster: siderations for dietary intake analyses
a new multidisciplinary approach to Lynch HN, Greenberg GI, Pollock MC,
learn lessons from disasters (Forensic Lewis AS
Investigations of Disasters (FORIN) ): Gradient
Benouar D
University of Science and Technology Houari
Boumediene (USTHB)
P.59 Exposure factors interactive
scenarios tool
Overton AJ, Cawley M, Hartman P, Turley
A, Phillips L, Moya J
ICF International, US EPA
P.66 PCB homolog in data comparison
Julias C, Luke N
CDM Smith
Engineering and Infrastructure
P.47 New statistical approaches to
P.40 Cost-benefit analysis of the modeling post-earthquake fire risk uscountermeasures for agricultural prod- ing data from the Tohoku, Japan earthucts against contamination with radio- quake and tsunami
active substances
Anderson D, Davidson RA, Himoto K,
Oka T
Scawthorn C
Fukui Prefectural University
University of Delaware
P.41 Disaggregating the costs to
human health from changing temperatures in the US
Schwarber A, Calvin K, Green-Barnes J, Hennig R, Puett R, Saptoka A, Gilmore EA
Joint Global Change Research Institute and
P.42 Greenhouse gas emissions
from corporate average fuel economy
alternative fuel vehicle incentives
Jenn A, Azevedo I, Michalek J
P.43 SEA (socio-economic analysis) system for replacement of hazard
chemical substances in Korea
Lee YJ, Lee GW, Yang JY, Lee HS, Shin
DC
Yonsei University College of Medicine
P.44 Indirect cost of damages to
underground infrastructures due to excavation
Peignier I, De Marcellis-Warin N
CIRANO and Ecole Polytechnique de Montréal
P.60 Pharmacokinetics and excretion balance of morpholine and its
main metabolite, N-Nitroso (2-hydroxyethyl) glycine, in rats
Piotrowski A, Ronga S, Aubert N, Boize
M, Cabanes PA
Electricity of France (EDF)
P.67 Sources of fine particles in
Kuwait City
Alolayan M, Brown K, Evans J, Bouhamra
W, Koutrakis P
Kuwait University
P.68 A quantitative assessment of
risks of heavy metal residues in laundered shop towels
P.61 Health risk assessment of Magee BH, Connor KH
DDT and DDE applying Bayesian Sta- ARCADIS
tistics to multimedia CalTOX model in
P.69 Cancer mortality and quantitaOpenBUGs
tive oil production in the Amazon reShi-Jung C, Pei-Ting C, Kuen-Yuh W
gion of Ecuador, 1990-2010
Moolgavkar SH, Chang ET, Watson HN,
P.62 Methodology for the quantifi- Lau EC
cation of dermal contact with water at Exponent, Inc.
recreational beaches using videography
P.70 Groundwater statistics for enStuchal LD, Roberts CB, Denslow ND,
vironmental project managers
Roberts SM
Ryti RT, Chang N, Templin H, Stubbs C,
University of Florida
Simmons L, Wilson LH
P.63 Health risk assessment of Interstate Technology and Regulatory Council
nickel via dietary exposure for general GSMC Team
population in China
P.72 Overview of research on resiWang W, Zhang Z, Yang G, Wang Q
dential wood smoke-associated health
Zhejiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences
effects in economically developed reP.64 Probabilistic assessment of gions
saccharin exposures with bayesian sta- Kadlec MC
tistics markov chain Monte Carlo simu- Washington Department of Ecology
lation
Yang YR, Wu KY
21
Monday
P.73 Air dispersion model for estimated emission rate from petroleum
plant source by using Bayesian Statistics with MarKov Chain Monte Carlo
simulation
Chuang YC, Wu KY
P.81 Evaluation of quantitative microbial risk assessments for salmonella
and campylobacter in poultry meat
Pang H, Biswas D, Pradhan AK
P.88 Assessment of commercial
fishing risk with respect to extratropical cyclones in Atlantic Canada
Rezaee S, Pelot R
Dalhousie University
Miscellaneous
P.83 Risk of synthetic biology and
Foundational Issues
nanotechnology for environmental
P.75 On the spatio-temporal di- remediation: integrating data and judgmensions of socio-technical risk analy- ment
sis
Trump BT, Bates E, Grieger K, Plourde K,
Pence J, Mohaghegh Z
Keisler J, Linkov I
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
Univeristy of Michigan, US Army Engineer
Research and Development Center, RTI, UniP.76 Weight-of-evidence evaluation
versity of Massachusetts
of short-term ozone exposure and cardiovascular biomarkers
P.84 Characterizing ambient backSax SN, Pizzurro DM, Zu K, Lynch HN, ground nanoparticle distributions in
Prueitt RL, Goodman JE
workplaces
Gradient
Gernand JM, Ilci F
Penn State University
Microbial Risk Analysis
P.77 Quantitative risk assessment Occupational Health and Safety
for listeria monocytogenes in canta- P.85 Development and application
loupe
of a framework for the selection of
Wang M, Lambertini E, Micallef SA, an appropriate occupational exposure
Pradhan AK
limit
University of Maryland, College Park, MD Deveau M, Krewski D, Maier A
University of Ottawa, University of Cincinnati
P.78 Microbial risk assessment
needs specific exposure factors
P.86 Development of an “easy-toPeyronnet A, Wallet F, Charton-Bissetta J, conduct” risk assessment method for
Cabanes PA
occupational accidents in small and
EDF
medium-sized enterprises
Makino R, Matsukura K, Wada Y
P.79 Quantitative microbial risk
AIST
assessment model for antimicrobial
resistant Salmonella spp. and Verocyto- P.87 Practices and enhancements
toxin-producing E. coli associated with of the Workplace Environmental Exconsumption of raw milk
posure Level (WEEL) development
Cao H, Lambertini E, Mishra A, Pradhan for chemicals: an initiative of the OcAK
cupational Alliance for Risk Science
(OARS)
Parker AL, Nance PM, Maier A
Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment
(TERA), University of Cincinnati
P.89 Human health risk assessment
of organophosphorus pesticide Methidathion
Chiang SY, Wu KY
22
P.96 Experiencing flood evacuation and its impact on risk perception,
stress, PTSD, and coping strategies
López-Vázquez E, Marván ML, Dorantes
G
Morelos Universidad Autónoma del Estado
P.103 Preliminary survey on public
acceptance of hydrogen fueling station
in Japan
Ono K, Tsunemi K
National Institute of Advanced Industrial
Science and Technology (AIST)
Risk Communication
P.97 Floods, communication, and
climate change: examining social media
posts about climate change during the
2013 Colorado floods
P.90 Have gun - will travel. Lead
Anderson AA
contamination and health risk assessColorado State University
ment in public buildings that previously
housed indoor firing ranges
P.98 Antecedents to electronic cigaWernke MJ, McGee RD, Frantz R, Wurzel K rette use
Phronesis Scientific Consulting, A.L.M. Trumbo CW, Kim S
Consulting, Indoor/Outdoor Environmental, Colorado State University
NewFields Companies
P.99 Expectations of expert foreRisk Potpourri
cast uncertainty across domains
P.91 The risk based sustainability Dieckmann NF, Johnson B, Gregory R,
project - the project based learning ap- Mayorga M, Han PKJ, Slovic P
proach
Oregon Health & Science University, DeciMiller, Thomas A TM
sion Research, University of Oregon, Maine
ZMassociates Environmental Corporation
Medical Center
P.104 The timing of the ticks: the effect of temporal framing of Lyme disease messages in a New York state park
Rickard LN, Folta EE, Chock TM
SUNY College of Environmental Science &
Forestry and Syracuse University
P.93 Understanding the channels
of contagion: a game between borrower and lender countries
Welburn J, Hausken K, Bier VM
University of Wisconsin - Madison
P.94 Societal risk criteria and risk
aversion
Abedinisohi F, Baecher G.B.
P.95 Estimation of the tumor size
at cure threshold among aggressive
non-small cell lung cancers (NSCLCs):
Evidence from SEER.
Goldwasser DL
Rice University
P.105 Shooting, fast and slow: how
gun-crime duration affects support for
gun policy reforms
Sungjong Roh SR, Jonathon P. Schuldt JPS
Cornell University
P.106 Social media presence and reputational threat of companies involved
in toxic spills
Swain KA
University of Mississippi
P.107 Community engagement and
risk perception in disaster preparedness
P.100 Factors predicting surgeons’ in Canada: a systemic approach
preferred and actual roles in interac- Yong AG, Lemyre L, Pinsent C, Krewski D
tions with their patients
GAP-Santé, University of Ottawa
Garcia-Retamero R, Cokely ET, Wicki B,
P.108 A method of comparing a
Hanson B
public health risk between surveillance
University of Granada and Max Planck
data and mass media report: using
Institute
state-level fatal occupational injury as
P.101 Americans’ stereotypes of so- an example
cietal institutions: an exploratory inves- Zhang H
tigation
Colorado State University
Johnson BB
P.110 Public participation: opportuDecision Research
nities and limitations to manage emergP.102 Religiosity and policy support ing risks
to mitigate climate change
Schroeter RS, Scheel OS
Kim HK, Ho S, Detenber BH
Nanyang Technological University
Monday
P.112 Utilizing need for affect and
cognition: measuring environmental
policy preference by experimental design studies
Kim S-J
P.113 Structural models of Japanese
public perception regarding the risk of
radioactive substances in food
Kito Y, Niiyama Y, Kudo H
Kyoto University
P.114 Creating the right formula
through weaving feeling with thinking:
communicating the starfish wasting
disease with emotional frames
Lu H
Cornell University
P.120 Evaluating the success of sci- P.127 #Hurricane Sandy: an analysis
ence festivals
of instagram photos using the CAUSE
Oshita T, Yuan S, Besley JC
model to determine risk communicaMichigan State University
tion practices
Kowalek DK
P.121 Climate of doubt: media and
Howard University
elite framing in North Carolina’s passage of House Bill 819
P.128 Experimental risk communiKoffman KA
cation regarding functional foods in
Japan
Kudo H, Kito Y, Niiyama Y
P.122 Understanding, communicatKyoto University
ing and mitigating risk through motivation
P.129 Wireless telecommunications
Snekkenes Einar
facilities - risk assessment, perception,
Gjøvik University College
and communication
Musso MP
P.123 Review of tools used by NaHDR
tional Regulatory Authorities and international chemicals management au- P.130 The risk management workthorities to communicate chemical risk space for geospatial display of risk
information to the general public
analysis data
Nance P, Cockrell G
Arimoto CW, Howard PM, Lepofsky M,
Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment; Randolph MA
Health Canada
P.115 Influence of community structure on environmental communication:
a content analysis along the local newspapers of the Hudson River Valley
Tallapragada M, Eosco GM, Deline MB,
Scherer CW
P.124 Common language: an analyCornell University
sis of communicating children’s health
P.117 Clean water, dirty water: ex- risks to the public
amining water quality issues in farming Nance P
trade magazines
Toxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment
Walkner TJ
P.125 Understanding risks and conUniversity of Iowa
text uncertainties: the CIB approach in
P.118 Resilience vs. adaptation: fram- energy systems analyses
ing and action
Scheele R
Wong-Parodi G, Fischhoff B, Strauss B
University of Stuttgart Germany
Carnegie Mellon University and Climate
P.126 The influence of self-other relCentral
evancy on perception of proportions
P.119 A perspective of international of different PM2.5 sources
climate policies through the lens of Zhou Y, Broomell SB, Florig HK, Casman
mass media
E, Xu J
Wu T, Xu JH
Peking University and Carnegie Mellon UniPeking University
versity
Risk and Development
P.131 Can data science inform environmental justice and community risk
screenings for type 2 diabetes?
Davis JA, Burgoon L
National Center for Environmental Assessment, US Environmental Protection Agency
P.134 Probabilistic risk assessment
of 3-MCPD via Bayesian statistics
MarKov Chain Monte Carlo simulation
Ming-Yen,Chien , Kuen-Yuh,Wu
National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
P.136 A spatial risk assessment for
dengue fever incidences by accounting
for environmental and socioeconomic
factors
Yu HL, Chiu CH
Risk, Policy and Law
P.137 Risk assessments algorithms
and the legitimacy of public policy
Losada Maestre R
Carlos III of Madrid University (Spain)
P.138 Health risk perception of wind
turbines and opposition in Ontario
Baxter J, Walker C
Western University
P.139 Effect of probabilistic methods on human health ambient water
quality criteria
Buonanduci MS, Anderson PD
ARCADIS
P.140 Evidence integration for
systematic review made easier with
DRAGON
P.132 Natural hazards in Chile: as- Turley A, Overton R, Burch D, Ross P, Clesessing risk perception and social trust land J, Henning C
on governmental and non-governmen- ICF International
tal institutions
P.141 Development of an updated
Bronfman NC, Cisternas PC, Jimenez RB,
societal-risk goal for nuclear power
Lopez-Vazquez E, Cifuentes LA
safety
Universidad Andres Bello
Roh C, Bier V, Corradini M, Liu S
P.133 Toxicology-based cancer cau- University of Wisconsin-Madison
sation analysis of CoCr-containing hip
P.142 Analyzing risks of urban
implants: a quantitative assessment of
roaming dogs
in vitro genotoxicity studies
Gore MG, Mauer B, Pizaro J, Reese L,
Christian WV, Oliver LD, Kreider ML,
Wilkins M
Finley BL
Cardno ChemRisk, LLC
P.143 An empirical study of the toxic
capsule crisis in China: risk perceptions
and behavioral responses
Feng T, Keller LR, Wu P, Xu Y
University of California, Irvine
P.144 A quantitaive risk assessment
of US cigarette products, 2012 and
2013
Marano KM, Morgan W, Ogden MW,
Swauger JE
RAI Services Company, R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company
P.145 Quality of care. Is public information the solution?
Eisinger F
INSERM and Paoli Calmettes Institute
P.146 Addressing potential risks of
emerging technologies: a comparative
study on responsible innovation
Kishimoto A
The University of Tokyo
P.147 Systematic review meets risk
assessment and DRAGON manages
the data
Henning C, Overton R, Burch D, Ross P,
Cleland J, Turley A
ICF International
P.148 Taking a risk: using clustering
to prioritize literature search results
Turley A, Blain R, Stevens C, Cawley M
ICF International
Security & Defense
P.150 Phase I Impact Assessment
Results for 2,4-Dinitroanisole (DNAN)
and n-Nitrosodimethyamine (NDMA)
Rak A, Bass N, Vogel CM
Noblis, US Army Public Health Command
P.151 Risk assessment of a chemical
dispersed by an explosion
Mandel A, Stern E
Tel Aviv University and Center for Risk
Analysis, Israel
23
Monday
P.152 Perception and action in a conflict zone: a study of rural economy
and rural life amidst Narcos in Eastern
San Luis Potosi, Mexico
Verteramo Chiu LJ, Turvey CG
Cornell University
P.160 Modeling of chlorine inactivation in municipal water contaminations
Richter BP, Middleton JK
Battelle Memorial Institute
Late Breaking Posters
P.161 Methodology and applicaP.153 Predicting likely deployment tion for health risk classification of
environments for mobile shelters: an chemicals in foods
input for total lifecycle cost analysis for Pingping Z, Zhaoping L, Lei Z, Aidong L,
military and disaster relief shelters
Yan S, Ling Y, Ning L
Murphy PM
China National Center for Food Safety Risk
Notre Dame
Assessment
P.154 Modelling terrorism risk exposure: the frequency conundrum
Johnson S, Holt C, McMinn C
Cranfield University
P.162 Geo-centric risk and decision analysis for emergency response
and disaster management: from
open data to open analysis
Hamilton MC, Bates ME, Nedza JA, FoxP.155 Holistic cyber security risk asLent C, Doody PC, Voyadgis DE, Brachsessment framework
man ML, Bauer NL
Cains MG, Henshel DS, Camp JL, BertenUS Army Engineer Research and Developthal A, Alexeev TDK, Abbott JE
ment Center
Indiana University
P.163 Risk-based groundwater and
P.156 Optimizing resource allocation
surface water investigation to evaluin adversarial contexts: a nuclear secuate potential environmental impact
rity application
of coal ash management practices at
Ward RM, Schneider EA
coal-fired power plants
The University of Texas at Austin
Bradley LJN, Haddock M, Cipriano R
P.157 Perceptions of Homeland Haley & Aldrich, Golder Associates, Schiff
Security risk: comparing responses of Hardin
a nationally representative survey to a
P.164 Application of quantitative
deliberative risk ranking
decision analytics in nanotechnology
Lundberg RP, Willis HH
Subramanian V, Semenzin E, Hristozov
Sam Houston State University and Rand
D*, Linkov I, Marcomini A
Corporation
University Ca’ Foscari Venice
P.159 Inclusion of biological agent
P.165 Interactive effects of n-TiO2
decay and microbial growth in the
and Cd2+ in marine invertebrates
terrorism risk assessment food conseBalbi T, Smerilli A, Fabbri C, Ciacci C,
quence model
Grasselli E, Brunelli A, Hristozov D*,
Middleton JK, Richter BP
Marcomini A, Gallo G, Canesi L
Battelle Memorial Institute
University Ca’ Foscari Venice
24
P.166 Predictive model of failure
by punching of a slab-column
Kharchi F, Hafidi M, Lefkir A
State University USTHB
P.171 Spatial data analysis of animal feeding operations and surface
water quality in Iowa
Gernes RA, Beresin GA, Wright JA, Rice
GE
P.167Integrating strategic risk
Association of Schools and Programs for Pubcommunication with risk assessment
lic Health, National Center for Environmento achieve targeted risk management
tal Assessment, US Environmental Protecoutcomes
tion Agency, Cincinnati, OH
Seena AS
Norwegian Afghanistan Committee (NAC) P.172 Probabilistic quantitative microbial risk assessment model with
P.168 A tale of two storms: recallgene copies and fecal indicator ratio
ing the risk of “hurricane” versus
conversion of norovirus from waste“superstorm” Sandy
water irrigation vegetables in Ghana
Schuldt JP, Eosco GM, Rickard LN, DaOwusu-Ansah EDJ, Sampson A, Tine IH,
ziano R, Scherer CW, Schuldt, JP, Eosco,
Amponsah SK, Abaidoo RC, Dalsgaard A
GM, Rickard, LN, Daziano, R, Scherer,
Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and
CW
Technology, Technical University of DenSUNY ESF, Cornell University
mark, University of Copenhagen
P.169 Assessment of the impact
P.173 How dose response curves
of the federal order in reducing the
derived from clinical ozone exporisk of exposure of live freshwater
sures can inform public policy
fish species in the United States to
Lange SS, Rhomberg L, Dourson M, Tao
Viral Hemorrhagic Septicemia Virus
G, Goodman J, Honeycutt M
(VHSV-IVb)
Texas Commission on Environmental QualMlakar J, Johnson R, Gustafson L, Thometz
ity, Gradient, TERA
E, Losapio C
USDA APHIS Veterinary Services
P.174 Ongoing meta-analysis on
the association between disinfection
P.170 Proposed methods for asby-product exposure and small for
sessing green space and neighborgestational age births
hood indicators as influential factors
Beresin GA, Summerhayes RJ, Rahman B,
for childhood respiratory health in
Morgan G, Wright JM
the CCAAP study
Association of Schools and Programs of PubGernes RA, Beresin GA, Wright JM, Rice
lic Health, Southern Cross University, AusGE, Ryan PH
tralia, University of Sydney School of Public
National Center for Environmental AssessHealth, US Environmental Protection agency
ment, Office of Research and Development,
US Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati OH, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital
Medical Center
P.175 Data derived extrapolation
factors: improving the quantitative
basis for human health risk assessment
Lipscomb JC, Lowit AB, Kenyon E, Moser
V, Foos B, Galizia A, Schoeny R*, Broder
M
Risk Analysis: The Common Denominator Economics and Benefit Analysis Risk Analysis Engi
neer
Emerging Nanoscale Materials Risk Analysis ing &
Risk Infrastru
Anal
ysis cture Micr
ob
Risk ial Risk Anal
ysis Ecological Risk Assessment Risk Analysis Occupa:o
nal Health
& Safety Risk Analys
is Applied Risk Management Risk Analysis 25
Tuesday
10:30 AM - Noon
Plaza 1
T2-A Symposium: Global
Catastrophic Risk
10:30 AM - Noon
Plaza Ballroom D
T2-B Benefit-Cost
Analysis for
Environmental
Applications
Chair: Anthony Barrett
10:30 AM
T2-A.1
Analyzing current and future
Chair: TBD
catastrophic risks from emerg- Co-sponsored by Economics and
ing-threat technologies
Benefits Analysis Specialty Group
Barrett AM
(EBASG), and Society for Benefit
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute,
Cost Analysis (SBCA)
ABS Consulting
10:30 AM
T2-B.1
Valuing
the
ozone-related
health
10:50 AM
T2-A.2
benefits
of
methane
emission
Placing global catastrophic risks
in the framework of unintended controls
Sarofim M, Waldhoff ST, Anenberg
consequences
SC
Tonn B, Stiefel D
Pacific Northwest National LaboraUniversity of Tennessee-Knoxville
tory
11:10 AM
T2-A.3
T2-B.2
Feeding everyone: solving the 10:50 AM
food crisis in event of global Air quality social costs: developcatastrophes that kill crops or ing a better model
Heo J, Adams PJ
obscure the sun
Denkenberger DC, Pearce JM
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute 11:10 AM
T2-B.3
10:30 AM - Noon
Plaza 6
T2-C Investing for
Resilience in Complex
Systems
10:30 AM - Noon
Plaza Ballroom E
T2-D Symposium:
Pushing Forward:
Continued Identification,
Assessment, and Management of the Risks
Associated with
Chemicals and
Materials in the
Department of Defense
Chair: Jim Lambert
10:30 AM
T2-C.1
Assessing and improving resilience of infrastructures to
both “worst case” and “most
likely”events
Alderson DA, Carlyle WM, Ross
Chair: Andrew Rak
JD
10:30
AM
T2-D.1
Naval Postgraduate School
How life cycle assessment can
10:50 AM
T2-C.2 reduce risks. Really!
Allocating resources to enhance Yaroschak PJ
resilience
Office of the Secretary of Defense
MacKenzie CA, Zobel CW
10:50 AM
T2-D.2
Navals Postgraduate School
Early engagement for positive
11:10 AM
T2-C.3 lifecycle impacts
Exploring the resilience of the Gestautas SM
US aviation sector via graph Raytheon
theoretic approaches
T2-D.4
Tavakkoli S, Khanna V, Chopra S* 11:10 AM
Using
expert
elicitation
and
University of Pittsburgh
group
decisions:
lessons
and
11:30 AM
T2-A.4 Benefit-cost analysis of calimethods
from
DoD’s
impact
A novel risk-based approach to fornia’s hexavalent chromium
assessment process
drinking water standard
inform food safety decisions
Rak A, Bass N
Mokhtari A, Beaulieu S, Little K, Belzer R
Noblis; US Army Public Health
Good Intentions Paving Company
Oryang D
Command
RTI International
26
10:30 AM - Noon
Plaza Ballroom F
T2-E Symposium:
Evolving Environment:
Produce-Related Food
Safety Risk Modeling
10:30 AM - Noon
Governors Square 10
T2-F Symposium:
Evaluating the Public
Health Risks of
Marijuana: Scientific
Evidence and Data
Needs
11:30 AM
T2-E.4
Quantitative Produce Risk Assessment Model (QPRAM):
modeling enteric pathogen exchange between the environment
and the fresh produce we eat
Oryang D, Dennis S, Mokhtari A,
Beaulieu S
US Food and Drug Administration,
and RTI International
na from exposure during pregnancy & breast feeding
Borgelt L
University of Colorado Anschutz
Medical Campus
Chair: Regis Pouillot
10:30 AM
T2-E.1
Cracking the nut: salmonella tree
Chair: Tim Byers
nut risk assessment
10:30 AM
T2-F.1
Hoelzer K, Pouillot R
The effects of marijuana on the
mental health of adolescents
10:50 AM
T2-E.2 Riggs P
Risk assessment of radioactive University of Colorado School of
cesium via consumption of Medicine
leafy vegetables after an envi- 10:45 AM
T2-F.2
ronmental contamination (e.g. The role of marijuana in cancer
Fukushima)
development
Sy MM, Simon-Cornu M
Bowles D
Aix Marseille University, French University of Colorado School of
Institute of Radiation Protection and Medicine
Nuclear Safety
11:00 AM
T2-F.3
11:10 AM
T2-E.3 Marijuana use and traffic safety
The Farm Location and Animal Brooks-Russell A
Population Simulator (FLAPS): University of Colorado Denver
macrosystems approaches to
T2-F.4
modeling the role of livestock and 11:15 AM
wildlife in produce contamination Decriminalization of marijuana
Burdett CL, Kraus B, Garza SJ, and impact on unintentional peBjork KE, Miller RS, Oryang D, diatric exposures
Wang GS
Farnsworth ML, McClure M
Colorado State University, USDA/ University of Colorado Anschutz
APHIS/Center for Epidemiolgy and Medical Campus, Children’s HospiAnimal Health, FDA/Center for tal Colorado
Food Safety and Applied Nutrition, 11:30 AM
T2-F.5
Conservation Science Partners
Latent health effects of marijua-
11:45 AM
Discussion
Tuesday
10:30 AM - Noon
Governors Square 11
T2-G Symposium:
Foundational Issues II:
Confronting the Unforeseen
and Black Swans
10:30 AM - Noon
10:30 AM - Noon
10:30 AM - Noon
10:30 AM - Noon
Governors Square 12
Governors Square 14
Governors Square 15
Governors Square 16
T2-H Symposium: Regulatory
T2-I Symposium:
T2-J Multimedia Session: Risk T2-K Risk Communication
Risk Analysis Part I
Communication Challenges in Communications for Design
and Health Issues
Chair: Jannavi Srinivasan
Chair: Michelle Driedger
the Occupational Setting
Analysis, Framing and
10:30 AM
T2-H.1
10:30
AM
T2-K.1
Chair: Paul Esposito
Language Issues
Regulatory approaches to synthesis of
Chair: Seth Guikema
10:30 AM
T2-G.1 scientific evidence in decision-making
Unknown (Un)Knowns: a problem Nachman K
formulation and approaches for risk- Johns Hopkins University Center for a Livable Future
informed decision-making
Damnjanovic I
10:50 AM
T2-H.2
Texas A&M University
International exposure assessment
10:50 AM
T2-G.2 based on national survey: good pracAre adaptive strategies feasible and use- tices and limits
Arcella D
ful in confronting extreme risks?
European Food Safety Authority
Goble R
Clark University
11:10 AM
T2-G.3
Reflections on black swans and emerging risks
Renn O
11:30 AM
T2-G.4
The complexity of critical infrastructures and the risk of black swans: some
foundational reflections
Bjerga T, Zio E, Aven T
University of Stavanger, Ecole Central ParisSupelec and Politecnico di Milano
11:50 AM
T2-G.5
Can model simulations be used to reduce the domain of black swans?
Berner CL, Flage R, Guikema S
University of Stavanger and Johns Hopkins
University
10:30 AM
T2-I.1
Risk assessment communication challenges at the organizational level
Esposito, PA
American Society of Safety Engineers
Chair: Anne-Marie Nicol
T2-J.3 Examining the formation
and public response to ephemeral organizations during a public health crisis
Wickline MC, Sellnow TL, Sutton JN
10:50 AM
T2-I.2 University of Kentucky, University of ColoRisk assessment communication chal- rado: Colorado Springs
lenges for the occupational risk man- T2-J.4 How can Europe achieve the
ager
California standard of vehicle emisDoe JB, Newberry JL
sions?
American Society of Safety Engineers, Risk McLoughlin M
11:10 AM
T2-H.3 Assessment Institute
Lifestage physiologically-based phar- 11:10 AM
T2-I.3 T2-J.6 Framing, priming and remacokinetic models
Risk communication challenges at the cency effects in risk communication:
Fisher J, Doerge D
worker level - making it personal
exploring opinion formation of “postUS Food and Drug Administration Nation- Doe JB, Daigle KJ
normal” science
al Center for Toxicological Research
American Society of Safety Engineers, Risk Cacciatore MA, Yeo SK, Scheufele DA, Corley EA, Brossard D, Xenos MA
11:30 AM
T2-H.4 Assessment Institute
Exposure modeling: interpreting re- 11:30 AM
T2-I.4 University of Georgia, University of Wisconsults for regulatory risk assessments
Risk communication challenges at the sin-Madison, Arizona State University
DiNovi MJ
executive level-effective use of data
T2-J.7 The priming effects of FuUS FDA
Esposito PA, Newberry J, Daigle KJ, Wood- kushima Nuclear Disaster and Tokyo
hull D
2020 Olympic Games on the country
American Society of Safety Engineers, Risk image of Japan
Assessment Institute
Yuan S, Besley JC
Understanding protective behaviour
and information seeking regarding the
risks of Lyme disease to one’s child
Kuttschreuter M
University of Twente, Netherlands
10:50 AM
T2-K.2
Perception of risk factors for cancer.
A clear lesson from the Edifice Melanoma survey: bad is bad
Eisinger F, Morere JF, Pivot X, Grange F,
Lebbe C, Mortier L, Robert C, Saiag P, Sassolas B, Viguier J
INSERM UMR912/Paoli-Calmettes Institute Marseille, France
11:10 AM
T2-K.3
Nuancing an effective message: what
happens when the evidence changes?
Driedger SM, Brouwers MC, Annable G
University of Manitoba, McMaster University
11:30 AM
T2-K.4
Addressing the challenges of risk communication - The CTRA Medical Mitigation Model
Winkel DJ, Hawkins BE, Gooding RE,
Cox JA
Battelle Memorial Institute and Department
T2-J.8 Reporting radon risks: a his- of Homeland Security Chemical Security
torical analysis of the media coverage Analysis Center
of radioactive gas in Canada
Nicol AM, Ryan A, Tunbridge S, Okocha B
Simon Fraser University
27
Tuesday
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Plaza 1
T3-A Symposium:
Adaptive Risk
Governance: Integrative
Facts and Values in
Decision Making
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Plaza Ballroom D
T3-B Roundtable:
Challenges &
Opportunities for
Economic Analysis of
Risk Policy
Chair: Pia Johanna Schweizer
Chair: Lisa Robinson
1:30 PM
T3-A.1
Co-sponsored by Economics and
Challenges to adaptive risk gov- Benefits Analysis Specialty Group
ernance
(EBASG), and Society for BenefitDietz T, Henry AD, Schweizer PJ*,
Schweizer P
Panelists:
Amber Jessup, US Department of
1:50 PM
T3-A.2
Health and Human Services
Uncertain and changing science,
Clark Nardinelli, US Food and
uncertain and changing values:
Drug Administration
how can assessments be made
Elizabeth Ashley, US Office of
more useful for adaptive risk
Management and Budget
governance?
Tony Cheesebrough, US Department
Goble RL
of Homeland Security, National ProClark University
tection and Programs Directorate
2:10 PM
T3-A.3 Aaron Szabo, Nuclear Regulatory
Challenges to integrating facts Commission
and values in adaptive risk man- Sandy Hoffman, USDA
agement
Dietz T, Henry AD
2:30 PM
T3-A.4
Multi-criteria decision analysis:
a tool for stakeholder engagement
Wood MD, Collier ZA, Bates ME,
Linkov I
US Army Engineer Research & Development Center
28
1:30 - 3:10 PM
1:30 - 3:00 PM
1:30 - 3:00 PM
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Plaza 6
Plaza Ballroom E
Plaza Ballroom F
Governors Square 10
T3-C Symposium: Risk
T3-D Symposium:
T3-E Quantitative
T3-F Roundtable: Meet
Hazard and the Business
Perspectives on Risk
Methods in Microbial
the Editors (Part 1):
Value Chain from
Management in National
Risk Analysis
Where Can I Publish My
Chair: Martijn Bouwknegt
Manufacturers to
Security
Risk Related Research?
1:30
PM
T3-E.1
Chair:
Katherine
Guzman
Chair: Tony Cox
Retailers
Chair: Anne LeHuray
1:30 PM
T3-C.1
Understanding and interacting
with the value chain
Schmidt K
1:50 PM
T3-C.2
A consumer’s guide to chemical
risk
Logomasini AM
Public Policy Group
2:10 PM
T3-C.3
Substitution of chemicals in
the European union based on
assessment of hazard, risk and
impact
Öberg T
European Chemicals Agency
2:30 PM
T3-C.4
Hazard v. risk, product deselection and relevant law
Kurfirst LS, Kanter, D*
Surdyk & Baker, Swanson, Martin
& Bell
2:50 PM
T3-C.5
Improving risk assessment and
management in Nigeria’s oil and
gas industry: a psychometric approach
Idehen EC
Coventry University West Midlands
United Kingdom
Comparing and integrating
quantitative microbial risk assessment and epidemiology
Bouwknegt M, Knol AB, Teunis
PFM, Van der Sluijs JP, Evers E
National Institute for Public Health
1:50 PM
T3-D.2 and the Environment
Risk metrics for chemical facility
1:50 PM
T3-E.2
security
Cost,
quality
and
safety:
a nonMiller TH, Paap SM*, Wyss GD,
linear
programming
approach
Guzman KD
to optimize the temperature for
the supply chain of leafy greens
2:10 PM
T3-D.3 Mishra A, Lambertini E, Pradhan
Useful approaches to evaluating AK
adversary behavior in national University of Maryland
security risk assessment
2:10 PM
T3-E.3
Streetman SS
Considering the design of threeData Architecture Solutions, Inc.
class sampling plans for process
2:30 PM
T3-D.4 control
Increasing the use of risk-rele- Powell M, LaBudde R
vant information for security at US Department of Agriculture and
the Nuclear Regulatory Com- Least Cost Formulations, Ltd.
mission
T3-E.4
Rivers JD, Siu NO, Nakoski JA, 2:30 PM
Transfer
of
zoonotic
pathogens
Lee PS, Cervera MS, Gordon D
US Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the household environment
by direct surface contact
Lambertini E, Buchanan RL, Narrod C, Pradhan AK
University of Maryland, College
Park
1:30 PM
T3-D.1
Challenges of risk management
in national security
Guzman K, Wyss G
Panelists:
Tony Cox: Vision and Scope for Risk
Analysis: An International Journal
Roger McClellan: Vision and Scope
for Critical Reviews in Toxicology
Sam Kacew: Vision and Scope for
Journal of Toxicology & Environmental Health
Jamie Wardman: Vision and Scope
for Journal of Risk Research
Katherine von Stackelberg: Vision
and Scope for Human and Ecological
Risk Assessment
Tuesday
1:30 - 3:10 PM
Governors Square 11
T3-G Cancer Dose
Response
Chair: Richard Belzer
1:30 PM
T3-G.1
Application of cancer dose-response
assessment in EPA’s Integrated Risk
Information System (IRIS) Program:
considerations for conducting lowdose extrapolation
Flowers L, Birchfield NB, Chiu WA, Jinot J,
Scott CS, Hogan KA, Cogliano VJ
National Center for Environmental Assessment, US EPA
1:50 PM
T3-G.2
Bayesian probabilistic dose-response
analysis using epidemiological data
Shao K, Allen BC, Farrar D, Chiu W,
Cowden J, Gift JS
Indiana University Bloomington, Independent
Consultant, US EPA
2:10 PM
T3-G.3
The case against LNT
Broughel J, Calabrese E, Shamoun D, Williams R
Mercatus Center at George Mason University
2:30 PM
T3-G.4
A real-world refutation of a precautionary cancer risk assessment
Belzer RB
Good Intentions Paving Company
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Governors Square 12
T3-H Symposium: Regulatory
Risk Analysis Part II
Chair: Jannavi Srinivasan
1:30 PM
T3-H.1
Infant toxicology: state of the science
and considerations in evaluation of
safety
Neal-Kluever AP, Aungst J, Gu Y, Hatwell
K, Muldoon-Jacobs K, Liem A, Ogungbesan
A, Shackelford M
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Governors Square 14
T3-I Symposium:
Foundational Issues III:
Uncertainties in Risk Analysis
Chair: Roger Flage
1:30 PM
T3-I.1
Some reflections on uncertainty treatment in risk analysis
Aven T
University of Stavanger, Norway
1:50 PM
T3-I.2
Risk analysis under deep uncertainty: a
1:50 PM
T3-H.2 methodological comparison
The GRAS process: an industry con- Shortridge JE, Aven T, Guikema SD
sultant’s perspective
Tran N, Barraj L
2:10 PM
T3-I.3
Industry
Model uncertainty in risk analysis
2:10 PM
T3-H.3 Droguett EL
Climate change impacts on food and Federal University of Pernambuco
water safety: a quantitative microbial
2:30 PM
T3-I.4
risk assessment framework
Risky
accounts:
uncertainty
as
a reSmith BA, Ruthman T, Sparling E, Auld
source
for
safety
H, Comer N, Young I, Lammerding AM,
Haavik TK
Fazil AM
Public Health Agency of Canada; Risk Sci- NTNU Social Research
ences International
1:30 - 3:00 PM
2:30 PM
T3-H.4
Governors Square 15
Panel discussion
Nachman K, DiNovi M, Fisher J, Sriniva- T3-J Multimedia Session: Risk
Communication Potpourri
san J, Arcella D, Barraj L, Neal-Kluever A
Chair: Audrey Turley
T3-J.1 Risk information seeking be2:50 PM
T3-G.5
havior and patient-provider interaction
Unification of cancer and non-cancer
Evans C
human health risk estimation: a case
study of di-n-butyl phthalate and male
T3-J.2 The unification and identireproductive development
fication of Bosnian expatriates during
Wells EM, Woodruff TJ, Axelrad DA,
the flood disaster in the Balkans
Lam J
Herovic E, Sellnow TL*
Purdue University, University of California
University of Kentucky
at San Francisco, US Environmental Protection Agency, Johns Hopkins University
T3-J.3 Talking about lone-offender
extremist events: the challenges and
benefits of communicating about low
probability high impact risks
Pearce JM, Rogers MB
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Governors Square 16
T3-K Risk Communication
and Food Issues
Chair: Margot Kuttschreuter
1:30 PM
T3-K.1
T3-J.4 On social value of risk infor- Communicating about contaminants in
mation in risk communication
country foods: challenges and lessons
Wang Y, Cha EJ
learned from work in three Arctic comGeorgia Institute of Technology, University of munities
Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Boyd AD, Furgal C
Washington State University, Trent UniverT3-J.5 Determinants of food pursity
chasing behavior and risk perception
Aoyagi M (Presented by Brooks)
1:50 PM
T3-K.2
National Institute for Environmental Studies Online purveyors of raw meat, poultry,
and seafood products: delivery policies
T3-J.8 Need for affect and cogniand available consumer food safety intion as antecedents to risk perception,
formation
information processing, and behavioral
Hallman WK, Senger-Mersich A, Godwin
intent
S, Berman H
Kim S-J, Trumbo CW
Rutgers University
2:10 PM
T3-K.3
T3-J.9 A new risk attribute in risk
Do people want to understand about
perception of air pollution: examinafood safety risk? Three years after Fution of self-other relevancy factor
kushima incident
Zhou Y, Broomell SB, Florig HK, Casman
Hosono H, Kumagai Y, Iwabuchi M,
E, Xu J
Sekizaki T
Peking University and Carnegie Mellon UniThe University of Tokyo
versity
2:30 PM
T3-K.4
T3-J.10 Chemical contamination at
Application of food defense software
school and at play - challenges for astools for the purposes of informing insessing and communicating risks
tervention strategies
Musso MP
Kubatko AL, Hawkins BE, Gooding RE,
HDR
Brevett C, Cox JA
T3-J.11 Social capital and disaster Battelle Memorial Institute, Leidos, and the
preparing behaviors and perception in Department of Homeland Security Chemical
the US
Security Analysis Center
Tsuchida S, Shiotani T, Tsujikawa N, Nakagawa Y
Kansai University, Kyoto Sangyo University,
and Kobe Shinwa Women’s University
29
Tuesday
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Plaza 1
T4-A Environmental
Risks and Decisions:
Airborne Chemicals,
Radiation, and Big Data
3:30 - 5:10 PM
Plaza Ballroom D
T4-B Symposium:
Innovations in Benefit
Cost Analysis
Chair: Daniel Herrera
3:30 PM
T4-B.1
The value of risk reduction: new
tools for an old problem
Crainich D, Eeckhoudt LR, Hammitt
JK
3:50 PM
T4-A.2 Harvard University
Generic model for socio-ecoT4-B.2
nomic evaluation of atmospher- 3:50 PM
Development
of
a
benefit
transic decontamination plans
fer
function
to
value
reductions
Cifuentes L, Cabrera C, Borchers N,
in morbidity risk for health and
Dittborn R
Pontificia Universidad Católica de safety regulations
Chile and Ministry of Environment Hammitt JK, Haninger K, Robinson
LA
of Chile
US Department of Health and Hu4:10 PM
T4-A.3 man Services
Environmental monitoring and
4:10 PM
T4-B.3
risk assessment
Using Kaldor-Hicks tableaus
Zemba SG, Palma-Oliveira JM
CDM Smith, University of Lisbon for distributional accounting in
regulatory impact assessment
4:30 PM
T4-A.4 Krutilla KM, Piña G, Zhang Y
Quantifying uncertainty in ra- Indiana University
diation dose conversion factors
T4-B.4
for probabilistic performance 4:30 PM
Understanding
the
distribution
assessments
Perona R, Lee R, Tauxe J, Black P of regulatory costs and benefits:
methods and case studies
Neptune and Company
Robinson LA, Hammitt JK
Harvard University
Chair: Myriam Merad
3:30 PM
T4-A.1
A methodological and practical
contribution to air quality policy
analytics - two practical examples in France
Myriam Merad , Laurence Rouil
INERIS
30
4:50 PM
T4-B.5
Measuring the impact of regulations on the survival of small
business: a probabilistic approach
Sertkaya A, Nardinelli C, Kirby L,
Franz C, Forsell T
Eastern Research Group, Inc., Food
and Drug Administration (FDA)
3:30 - 5:10 PM
Plaza 6
T4-C Symposium:
Infrastructure
Management and
Investment
Chair: Shital Thekdi
3:30 PM
T4-C.1
Framework for a comprehensive assessment of a city’s natural disaster risk with a case study
for earthquake risk in Padang,
Indonesia
Brink S, Davidson RA
University of Delaware
3:50 PM
T4-C.2
How risk analysis should influence priorities in infrastructure
management and investment
Lambert JH
University of Virginia
4:10 PM
T4-C.3
Analysis of drought risk management strategies using dynamic inoperability input-output
modeling and event tree analysis
Santos JR, Pagsuyoin SAT, Herrera
LC, Tan RR, Yu KDS
George Washington University
4:30 PM
T4-C.4
Risk analysis methods as roadmap for engineering innovations
Connelly EB, Lambert JH, Clarens
AF, Colosi LM
University of Virginia
4:50 PM
T4-C.5
Weather risk management and
decision analysis for technological facilities protection: a new
approach
Caruzzo A, Belderrain MCN, Fisch
G, Young GS, Hanlon CJ, Verlinde J
Instituto Tecnologico de Aeronautica,
Instituto de Aeronautica e Espaco,
Pennsylvania State University
3:30 - 5:10 PM
Plaza Ballroom E
T4-D Symposium:
Dermal Exposure
Assessment
3:30 - 5:10 PM
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Plaza Ballroom F
Governors Square 10
T4-E Bayesian Networks T4-F Roundtable: Meet
and Other Probabilistic
the Editors (Part 2):
Methods Applied to
What are the Current
Chair: Jennifer Sahmel
Ecological Risk
Issues Facing Scientific
3:30 PM
T4-D.1
Chair: Wayne Landis
Publishing?
Dermal risk assessment for
phalates and dermal absorption
potential
Capshaw Z, Ferracini T
Cardno ChemRisk
3:30 PM
T4-E.1
The role of risk analysis in species conservation
Ayre KK, Stinson JS, Landis WG
Western Washington University
3:50 PM
T4-D.2
Dermal absorption of benzo[a]
pyrene: assessment of flux from
weathered soil, and application
to risk assessment of contaminated sites
Bunge AL, Peckham TK, Kissel JC,
Shirai JH, Lowney YW, Ruby MV
Colorado School of Mines, University
of Washington, Exponent Inc., and
Integral Consulting Inc.
3:50 PM
T4-E.2
Ecological risk of the tuna fishing industry to a relevant shark
population in the South Atlantic
Ocean: a probabilistic modelbased assessment
Duarte HO, Droguett EL, Carvalho
F
Center for Risk Analysis and Environmental Modeling
4:10 PM
T4-D.3
Dermal risk assessment and
hand to mouth transfer efficiencies
Hsu E
Cardno ChemRisk
4:30 PM
T4-D.4
Investigation of the efficacy of
skin decontamination by washing
Kissel JC, Bills EK, Shirai JH
University of Washington
4:10 PM
T4-E.3
Evaluating non-indigenous species eradication options in a
Bayesian network derived adaptive management framework
Herring CE, Stinson J, Landis WG
Western Washington University
4:30 PM
T4-E.4
Determining the performance
of instream eDNA sampling
for monitoring the presence of
invasive Asian carp
Song JS, Small MJ
4:50 PM
T4-D.5 Carnegie Mellon University
Dermal risk decision making for 4:50 PM
T4-E.5
dermal exposure scenarios
Challenges in deriving causal reSahmel J
lationships from field observaCardno ChemRisk
tional data: a case study in West
Virginia headwaters
Menzie CA, Kashuba RO, Cerreto
KM, Palmquist KR, Kessel CM
Exponent
Chair: Roger McClellan
Roger McClellan: Editor’s Perspective
from Critical Reviews in Toxicology
Sam Kacew: Editor’s Perspective from
Journal of Toxicology & Environmental Health
Tony Cox: Editor’s Perspective from
Risk Analysis: An International
Journal
Jamie Wardman: Editor’s Perspective
from Journal of Risk Research
Elizabeth Anderson: Editor’s Perspective from Human and Ecological
Risk Assessment
Tuesday
3:30 - 5:10 PM
3:30 - 5:10 PM
Governors Square 11
Governors Square 12
T4-G Symposium:
T4-H Symposium:
Nanoinformatics: Enabling
Implementing NRC
and Applying the Linkage of
Recommendations: IRIS
Chair: Julie Goodman
Nanomaterials Datasets to
3:30
PM
T4-H.1
Inform Decisions Related to
Understanding the elements of systemNano Risks
Co-Chairs: Christine Ogilvie Hendren,
Stacey Harper
3:30 PM
T4-G.1
Data exchange standards and predictive modelling platforms to inform
nanotechnology risk decisions
Harper SL
Oregon State University
3:50 PM
T4-G.2
Emerging methods in nanoinformatics: the nanomaterial registry’s approach to a sustainable resource
Mills K
RTI International
4:10 PM
T4-G.3
Nanotechnology: risk communication
and stakeholder involvement in Germany
Renn O
4:30 PM
T4-G.4
The goodnanoguide promotes sciencebased good practices for nanomaterial
safety in laboratories and in the workplace
Hoover M
National Institute for Occupational Safety
and Health
4:50 PM
T4-G.5
Decision analysis for nanotechnology
risk assessment: moving theory into
practice
Bates ME, Plourde KJ, Collier ZA, Thomas
T, Linkov I
US Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center
3:30 - 5:10 PM
Governors Square 14
T4-I Symposium: Advancing
Cumulative Risk Assessment:
Addressing the Challenges
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Governors Square 15
T4-J Microbial Risk
Assessment
Chair: Francoise Le Guyader
3:30 PM
T4-J.1
Listeria monocytogenes dose-response
revisited - incorporating adjustments
for variability in strain virulence and
host susceptibility
Pouillot R, Hoelzer K, Chen Y, Dennis SB
Chair: Scott Dotson
3:30 PM
T4-I.1
Cumulative risk assessment: bridging
atic review and evidence integration
the gap between well-being and occuBeck NB
pational safety and health
Dotson GS, Niemeier RT
CDC/National Institute for Occupational
3:50 PM
T4-H.2
Safety and Health/Education and Informa- 3:50 PM
T4-J.3
New approaches for human health risk
tion Division
Quantifying the relationship between
assessment: inorganic arsenic as a case
study
3:50 PM
T4-I.2 hemagglutination inhibition (HI) titer
Cowden J, Rooney A, Lee J, Jones R, Sams R Considerations for aggregate exposure and protection against influenza
US Environmental Protection Agency, Na- assessment and cumulative risk in set- Huang Y, Anderson SA, Yang H
FDA
tional Institute for Environmental Health ting workplace exposure limits
Sciences
Lentz TJ
4:10 PM
T4-J.5
CDC/National Institute for Occupational Development of a quantitative food
4:10 PM
T4-H.3
Safety and Health/Education and Informa- supply vulnerability tool exploring pubDefining the range of the reference
tion Division
lic health risks
dose: imprecision versus uncertainty
Dourson ML, Gadagbui B, Pfau E, Thomp- 4:10 PM
T4-I.3 Hartnett E, Paoli G, Schaffer D, Haas C
son R, Lowe J
Considering environmental and oc- Risk Sciences International, Rutgers UniverToxicology Excellence for Risk Assessment cupational stressors in cumulative risk sity, Drexel University
assessments
4:30 PM
T4-H.4
Rice G, Teuschler LK
A case study of the application of sysUS Environmental Protection Agency/Natematic review to toxicology: the zetional Center for Environmental Assessment
brafish embryo test as a predictor of
mammalian pre-natal developmental 4:30 PM
T4-I.4
toxicity
Paving the way: research to practice in
Stephens ML
cumulative risk analysis for occupationJohns Hopkins University
al health professionals
Maier A
4:50 PM
T4-H.5
University of Cincinnati/Department of
Risk-of-bias analysis: case study of
Environmental Health
pleural plaques and lung function
Goodman JE, Kerper LE, Zu K, Lynch 4:50 PM
T4-I.5
HN
Assessing nonchemical factors in CuGradient
mulative Risk Assessment (CRA): a
case study of the association between
lower heart rate variability and particulate matter
Evans AM, Rice GE, Wright JM
Oak Ridge Institute of Science and Education, US Environmental Protection Agency
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Governors Square 16
T4-K Risk Communication
and Genetically Modified
Food and Organisms
Chair: Cindy Jardine
3:30 PM
T4-K.1
Support for labelling of genetically
modified foods: how you ask matters
Cuite CL, Hallman WK, Morin X
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey
3:50 PM
T4-K.2
The influence of procedural justice on
support for labeling GM foods
Dixon GN, McComas K, Besley J
Washington State University, Cornell University, Michigan State University
4:10 PM
T4-K.3
The affect heuristic influences perception of probability information
Siegrist M, Sütterlin B
ETH Zurich, Switzerland
31
Tuesday
5:00-6:00
5:15-7:00
Governors Square 10
Governors Square 12
T5-F Roundtable: Risk &
T5-H Symposium: IRIS Cafè:
Transparency: Learning from
Open Space Discussion
Co-Chairs: Nancy Beck,
Research and Practice
Chair: Ragnar Lofstedt
Panelists:
Ann Bostrom
Bob O’Connor
Dominic Way
Frederic Bouder
James Hammitt
Katherine McComas
Lisa Robinson
Nancy Beck
The goal of this roundtable is
to stimulate lively discussion and further state-of-the-art thinking on risk
& transparency. Many academics and
practitioners have strongly argued
for enhancing transparency in the assessment, management and communication of risk, especially in policy
domains related to health, the environment and safety. Advocates often state
that transparency is a positive good
that can, for instance, (re)build trust,
promote accountability, improve safety,
or even prevent crises. Yet, others have
challenged these claims stressing that
the concept and policies need much
more careful and critical examination,
often citing potential unintended or
counterintuitive outcomes. By reflecting and reappraising a wealth of experience from research and practice, panelists with a range of disciplinary/ policy
backgrounds will debate issues around
risk & transparency. Each panelist will
present for 10 minutes with the intention of stimulating discussion from the
audience.
32
Vincent Cogliano
This session should be categorized as a Roundtable, with one main
speaker, Dr. Ken Olden. The rest of
the session will be facilitated discussion. In May 2014 the National Academies released another report providing
EPA and stakeholders with constructive feedback to help the IRIS program
continue on its path of continuous
improvement. Many enhancements
have been seen since 2011 and they
have focused primarily on improving
the process, openness, and stakeholder
engagement. However there are still
more important decisions about approaches and methodologies that need
to be made and recent advice from the
NAS helps to inform the path forward.
Recent SRA IRIS symposiums have
focused on process changes, including
stakeholder engagement. This session
will be slightly different and allow for
a more participatory dialogue among
IRIS leaders and stakeholders. After
presentation of an overview and future
vision by Dr. Ken Olden, the director
for the National Center for Environmental Assessments (NCEA), this session will consist of a facilitated discussion focusing on gathering input and
feedback from all participants to inform how the IRIS program can continue to enhance its scientific approach
to weighing and integrating evidence.
Based on the status of implementation
in December 2014, the facilitated discussion will focus participants on specific areas where feedback and input
would be most timely and helpful. This
will likely include topics such as criteria for identifying evidence, judging the
quality and relevance of data, and approaches for integrating evidence from
all data streams, including mechanistic
information, using a transparent and
systematic framework. Notes will be
taken in real-time and displayed for all
participants to ensure that the key recommendations are captured and prioritized for future discussions.
Resumes and Job Opportunities
The Annual Meeting offers an opportunity to connect Jobs with Job
Seekers. Please send your available job postings via email to Jennifer Rosenberg at [email protected]. If you would like to submit a blind
resume, please request a form by emailing Jennifer Rosenberg at [email protected].
Job postings and blind resumes will be posted at the meeting and will be
held at SRA headquarters for 6 months after the meeting.
Sponsorship Opportunities
To have your Company’s logo in the Final Program, and to be a part of
the SRA Exhibits, contact Siobhan Tabor by email at STabor@BurkInc.
com.
Mark your calendar!
Dates for the 2015 - 2017 Annual Meetings:
2015 - 6-9 December
2016 - 11-15 December
Sheraton San Diego, California
2017 - 10-14 December
33
Wednesday
8:30 - 10:00 AM
Plaza 1
W1-A Safety Decisions:
From Transportation to
Medical and Consumer
Products
8:30 - 10:00 AM
8:30 - 10:00 AM
8:30 - 10:00 AM
Plaza 6
Plaza Ballroom E
Plaza Ballroom F
W1-C Symposium:
W1-D Symposium: Mod- W1-E Microbial Risk
Assessing and
eling and
Analysis Tools
Managing Risks of
Validating AttackerSupporting Decision
Chair: Laura Bakkensen
Indigenous
Defender Games Part I
Analysis
8:30 AM
W1-B.1 Communities Displaced
Chair: Christine Beaudrie
Chair: Jun Zhuang
Chair: Naomi Cogger
8:30 AM
W1-A.1 Radioactive futures: the prob- by Climate Phenomena 8:30 AM
W1-D.1 8:30 AM
W1-E.1
Preferences for saving lives: an
empirical study of small-scale
accidents
Olivola CY, Rheinberger CM, Hammitt JK*
Carnegie Mellon University, Toulouse
School of Economics, Harvard University
8:50 AM
W1-A.2
RIMAS: a risk analysis methodology for aviation safety
Herraiz E, Elvira V, HernándezCoronado P, R’os Insua D, Alfaro
G, Gomez J
Spanish National Aviation Authority (AESA), Royal Academy of Sciences and SKITES
9:10 AM
W1-A.3
Network analysis for the safety
surveillance of medical products
Botsis TB, Scott JS, Ball RB, Forshee
RF
and University of Tromsø
9:30 AM
W1-A.4
Evaluation of the risks of unfinished recalls
Mikami Y, Zhang K
Nagaoka University of Technology
34
8:30 - 10:00 AM
Plaza Ballroom D
W1-B Advances in
Managing Risk Using
Economics
lem with intergenerational raChair: Mervyn Tano
dioactive waste disposal compli8:30 AM
W1-C.1
ance periods
Managing risks to climateLee RC, Black PB, Crowe BM
threatened cultural landscapes
Neptune and Company, Inc.
of indigenous peoples
8:50 AM
W1-B.2 Tano MT
Flood risk reduction benefits International Institute for Indigenous
and costs in Louisiana’s 2012 Resource Management
Coastal Master Plan
8:50 AM
W1-C.3
Fischbach JR, Johnson DR, Groves
The roles of culture and science
DG, Sharon C
in climate change related migraRAND Corporation
tion decisions
9:10 AM
W1-B.3 Lazrus H
Revealing the willingness to pay National Center for Atmospheric Refor income insurance in agricul- search
ture
9:10 AM
W1-C.4
Pérez-Blanco CD, Gómez CM
Assessing and managing risks to
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and
the social and cultural integrity
Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Camof climate-displaced indigenous
biamenti Climatici
communities
9:30 AM
W1-B.4 Harris S
Risk and adaptation incentives: Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla
evidence from global hurricane Indian Reservation
damages and fatalities
9:30 AM
W1-C.5
Bakkensen LA, Mendelsohn RO
The social-cultural context of
University of Arizona, Yale Univerrisk in rural Nepal
sity
Sherry J., Curtis A., Laird S., Toman E.
Charles Sturt University
Calibration of expert judgments
in counter-terrorism risk assessment
BIer VM, Shin J, Kosanoglu F
University of Wisconsin-Madison
8:30 - 10:10 AM
Governors Square 10
W1-F Air Pollution
Exposure
Chair:
8:30 AM
W1-F.1
Carcinogenic air toxics exposure
and their health impacts in the
United States
Zhou Y, Li C, Mumtaz MM
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
The FDA-iRISK® tool: new
features and case studies on
chemical and microbial hazards
Chen Y., Dennis S., Pouillot R.,
Carrington C., Paoli G.
8:50 AM
W1-F.2
Food and Drug Administration, Indoor and outdoor health risk
8:50 AM
W1-D.2
Risk Sciences International
assessment of inhalable particuValidation of adversary models,
a gaming perspective
8:50 AM
W1-E.2 late matter phase PAHs during
Lathrop JF, Ezell BC
Evaluation of the performances heating season in Beijing, China
Innovative Decisions, Inc.
of the existing methods for Yin HY, Xu LX
public health-based risk ranking Beijing Normal University
9:10 AM
W1-D.3
of microbial hazards in the food 9:10 AM
W1-F.3
Optimal allocation of defensive
chain
2013
air
monitoring
results
and
resources in countering terrorSanaa M
risk-based
action
levels
for
arseism: modeling and validating
French Agency for Food, Environ- nic at giant mine
Zhang JZ, Zhuang JZ
mental and Occupational Health & Magee BH, Halbert BE, Phillips H,
University at Buffalo, the State UniSafety
Kirkaldy J, Campbell BE, MacDonversity of New York
9:10 AM
W1-E.3 ald S
9:30 AM
W1-D.4
Risk based surveillance good in ARCADIS
Adversary modeling in Stackeltheory but how do we find the 9:30 AM
W1-F.4
berg security games
risky group?
Exploring
inequalities
in
enviCui J, John RS
Cogger N, Jaros P
ronmental
hazard
exposure:
the
Massey Univeristy
case of Santiago, Chile
9:30 AM
W1-E.4 Jimenez RB, Blazquez C
An assessment of prevalence- Andres Bello University, Chile
based models for predicting the
public-health effects of microbial food-safety policies
Ebel ED, Williams MS
Food Safety and Inspection Service,
USDA
9:50 AM
W1-F.5
Biomonitoring as a tool for risk
analysis for industrial emissions:
the case of cement production
Augusto S, Pinho P, Santos A,
Botelho M, Palma-Oliveira J, Branquinho C
Universidade de Lisboa
Wednesday
8:30 - 10:10 AM
Governors Square 11
W1-G Foundational Issues IV
Chair: Ullrika Sahlin
8:30 AM
W1-G.1
Can policy be risk-based? A reality
check based in the cultural theory of
risk.
Duckett DD
The James Hutton Institute
8:30 - 10:00 AM
Governors Square 12
W1-H Symposium:
Implementation of EPA’s
HHRA Framework, Part I
Co-Chairs: Julie Fitzpatrick, Rita Schoeny
8:30 AM
W1-H.1
EPA’s framework for human health risk
assessment to inform decision making
Fitzpatrick JW, Schoeny R, Gallagher K,
8:50 AM
W1-G.2 Ohanian E
Methodological foundations for in- US Environmental Protection Agency
tegrating socio-technical risk analysis 8:50 AM
W1-H.2
with big data analytics
IRIS and EPA’s framework for human
Pence J, Mohaghegh Z
health risk assessment
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
Cogliano VJ
9:10 AM
W1-G.3
Risk assessment report card
Shamoun DY, Calabrese EJ
Mercatus Center at George Mason University
9:30 AM
W1-G.4
Case studies of acceptable risk: paving
the way for the risk-specific dose
Fox MA, Baksh S, Lam J
8:30 - 10:00 AM
Governors Square 14
W1-I Symposium:
Retrospective Exposure
Methods, Utility, and
Challenges (Part I)
Chair: Fred Boelter
8:30 AM
W1-I.1
Development and validation of pharmacokinetic modeling for a new occupational lead exposure standard in
California
Kosnett, M
University of Colorado, Denver
8:50 AM
W1-I.2
Strategies for analyzing censored dataUS Environmental Protection Agency
sets
9:10 AM
W1-H.3 Hewett P
EPA’s framework for human health risk Exposure Assessment Solutions, Inc.
assessment for informed decision: risk 9:10 AM
W1-I.3
assessments informing air quality deci- Evaluation of retrospective exposure
sions
assessment validity: stochastic analysis
Murphy DL, Pekar Z*
estimates of sensitivity and specificity
from inter-rater kappas and exposure
9:30 AM
W1-H.4 prevalence
EPA’s framework for human health risk Armstrong TW
assessment to inform decision making: TWA8HR Occupational Hygiene Consulting, LLC
an industry perspective
8:30 - 10:00 AM
Governors Square 15
W1-J Symposium: Natural
Hazards Risk Perception and
Response
8:30 - 10:00 AM
Governors Square 16
W1-K Rick Communications
and Social Media
Chair: Nathalie de Marcellis-Warin
8:30 AM
W1-K.1
Print media framing of risk perception: the case of chronic cerebrospinal
venous insufficiency/liberation therapy
procedure
Dassah E, Driedger SM
University of Manitoba
Chair: Michael Lindell
8:30 AM
W1-J.1
Risk perception and affect as determinants of immediate behavioral response to earthquakes in Christchurch
New Zealand and Hitachi Japan
Lindell MK
Texas A&M University and University of 8:50 AM
W1-K.2
Washington
Spilled chemicals and new media in
8:50 AM
W1-J.2 Appalachia: the role of social media in
Moving beyond “Have you experi- the Elk River chemical spill
enced a tornado?” Developing a valid Simis MJ
scale of past experiences for tornado University of Wisconsin-Madison
risks
9:10 AM
W1-K.4
Demuth JL
Risk perception and social media
NCAR and Colorado State University
De Marcellis-Warin N, Hosseinali Mirza
9:10 AM
W1-J.3
The role of risk perception and other
drivers in adaptation to weather and
climate-related hazards at the municipal
scale in the US Mountain West
Dilling L, Berggren J, Ravikumar A, Andersson K
University of Colorado Boulder
V, Warin T
Ecole Polytechnique de Montreal and CIRANO and HEC Montreal
9:30 AM
W1-K.5
Anti-social
media:
public
perception
9:50 AM
W1-G.5
of computer-mediated risk commuMultiple elicitations: the internal inconnication using locative media and
sistency of everyday decisions
government open data
Lewis
RJ,
Beck
N
9:30 AM
W1-I.4
Bessette DL, Arvai JL
Wardman JK, Garbett A, Linehan C,
ExxonMobil
Biomedical
Sciences,
Inc.,
9:30
AM
W1-J.4
Development of metamodels for preUniversity of Calgary
Kirman B, Lawson S
How
do
people
perceive
and
respond
dicting aerosol dispersion in ventilated
The University of Hong Kong, Newcastle
to
flash
flood
risks
and
alerts?
Survey
spaces
University, University of Lincoln
findings
from
Boulder,
Colorado
Haas CN, Hoque S, Farouk B
Morss
RE,
Lazo
JK,
Mulder
KJ,
Demuth
Drexel University
JL
National Center for Atmospheric Research
35
Wednesday
10:30 AM - Noon
Plaza 1
W2-A Predictive
Decision Tools for
Chemical and Microbial
Hazards and Mortality
Estimates
Chair: Margaret MacDonnell
10:30 AM
W2-A.2
Managing chemical risk through
alternatives assessments: case
studies and current initiatives
Brown L, Connor E
Abt Associates, Inc.
10:50 AM
W2-A.3
Modeling emergency response
notification tool in response to
chemical releases
Howard PM, Kuck J
ABS Consulting Inc.
11:10 AM
W2-A.4
The application of chemical dispersion models to indoor and
outdoor populations
Thomas T, Arimoto CW, Howard
PM, Randolph MA
11:30 AM
W2-A.5
Predictive model for baseline
mortality rates in the United
States
Belova A, Haskell JM, Corrales MC
Abt Associates Inc.
36
10:30 AM - Noon
Plaza Ballroom D
W2-B Symposium:
Assessing the Impact
of Risk Management
Strategies
Chair: Aylin Sertkaya
10:30 AM
W2-B.1
Estimating benefits and costs
for pedestrian crash-imminentbraking systems
Good D.H., Li L, Chien S, Krutilla
K, Chen Y
Indiana University
10:30 AM - Noon
Plaza 6
W2-C Managing Risk for
Transportation Networks
10:30 AM - Noon
Plaza Ballroom E
W2-D Symposium:
Modeling and
Chair: Eva Andrijeic
Validating Attacker10:30 AM
W2-C.1 Defender Games Part II
10:00 AM - Noon
Plaza Ballroom F
W2-E Symposium: Risk
Assessments Through
Lens of Interactions
Among Assessors,
Estimating the effects of cliChair: Jun Zhuang
Manager, and
mate change on highway infra- 10:30 AM
W2-D.1
Constituents
structure flood damage
Defensive resource allocations
Camp JS, Abkowitz MD
for an assembly occupancy sysVanderbilt University
tem in a sequential defender10:50 AM
W2-C.2 attacker game
Exploring game-theoretic ap- Li SY, Zhuang J, Shen SF
proaches for modeling trans- Tsinghua University
portation network security risks 10:50 AM
W2-D.2
Chatterjee S, Perkins CJ, Oster MR, Game theory in the field: evaluBrigantic RT
ation of deployed decision aids
Pacific Northwest National Labora- Tambe M, DelleFave F, Ford B,
10:50 AM
W2-B.2 tory
Zhang C
Regulation of chemical risks: 11:10 AM
W2-C.3 University of Southern California
lessons for TSCA reform from Probability analysis of multiple11:10 AM
W2-D.3
Canada and the European tank-car release incidents in railAdversarial risk analysis models
Union
way hazardous materials trans- of opponent behavior
Abelkop A, Graham J
portation
Rios Insua D, Rios J, Banks DL
Indiana University
Liu X, Saat MR, Barkan CPL, Duke University
11:10 AM
W2-B.3 Liu X
11:30 AM
W2-D.4
The timing of health and lon- University of Illinois at UrbanaA multiple-target defensive reChampaign
gevity impacts associated with
source allocation game with
exposure to coal mine dust
11:30 AM
W2-C.4 quantal-response attacking stratAshley EM
Understanding resilience of egies
Office of Management and Budget
metro systems in polycentric Wang Y, Zhuang J
11:30 AM
W2-B.4 megacities: a case study of Delhi University of Michigan, University at
Examining the social value of metro rail system
Buffalo
Chopra SS, Khanna V, Chopra S
antibacterial drugs
University of Pittsburgh
Sertkaya A, Jessup A, Wong H
Eastern Research Group, Inc., HHS
Office of the Assistant Secretary for
Planning and Evaluation
Co-Chairs: Wendy Fanaselle,
Y. Chen
10:30 AM
W2-E.1
FDA/CFSAN framework for
risk analysis: challenges and opportunities for interactions
Dennis S, Chen Y
10:50 AM
W2-E.2
Case studies: different risk assessments and lessons learned
from interactions
Fitzpatrick S, Van Doren JM,
Pouillot R, Fanaselle W
Center for Food Safety and Applied
Nutrition, Food and Drug Administration
10:30 AM - Noon
Governors Square 10
W2-F Roundtable: A
Discussion on Risk
Reduction from the
Disaster Management
Perspective
Chair: Deborah Thomas
Panelists:
Kimberly Brinker, CDC/NIOSH:
Occupational Risks in Disasters
Bill McCormick, State of Colorado:
Dam Safety: Moving Beyond Consequence Analysis
Carole Walker, Rocky Mountain
Insurance Information Association:
Insurance Perspectives on Reducing
Disaster Risk
Olga Wilhelmi, National Center for
Atmospheric Research: Adaptive Capacity and Disasters
Deborah Thomas, University of Colorado: Social Vulnerability Reduction
Wednesday
10:30 AM - Noon
Governors Square 11
W2-G Symposium: Advancing
Alternative Testing Strategies
for Emerging Nanoscale
Materials: A Workshop Report
Chair: Jo Anne Shatkin
10:30 AM
W2-G.2
Advancing in vitro testing of nanomaterials with human-relevant exposure
conditions
Clippinger AJ
PETA International Science Consortium,
Ltd.
10:50 AM
W2-G.3
A gap analysis of the hazard knowledge available for nanomaterials
Stone V, Balharry D, Johnston H
Heriot Watt University
10:30 AM - Noon
Governors Square 12
W2-H Symposium:
Implementation of EPA’s
HHRA Framework, Part II
Co-Chairs: Julie Fitzpatrick, Rita Schoeny
10:30 AM
W2-H.1
Use of the framework for human
health risk assessment by EPA’s waste
and cleanup programs
Foster SD, Gallagher S, Raffaele K, Scozzafava M
USEPA
10:50 AM
W2-H.2
Application of the framework for human health risk assessment to inform
decision making in conducting chemical risk assessments under the toxic
substance control act
Henry TR, Anitole K, Austin K, Barone
S*, Baier-Anderson C, Benson A, Camacho
I, Eisenreich K, Laessig S, Oxenidine S
11:10 AM
W2-G.4
Alternative testing approaches using
bacteria to assess manufactured nanomaterial environmental hazards
11:10 AM
W2-H.3
Holden PA, Godwin HS, Nisbet RM
University of California, Santa Barbara, The use of a structured design approach for risk assessment in the reguUniversity of California, Los Angeles
latory context - the example of EPA’s
national-scale Hg risk assessment for
electric generating units
Pekar Z, Fann N, Hubbell B
11:30 AM
W2-H.4
EPA’s framework presenter discussion
panel
Fitzpatrick JW, Schoeny R
10:30 AM - Noon
Governors Square 14
W2-I Symposium:
Retrospective Exposure
Methods, Utility, and
Challenges (Part II)
10:30 AM - Noon
Governors Square 15
W2-J Natural Hazards and
Disasters
10:30 AM - Noon
Governors Square 16
W2-K Visual Communications
Chair: Carmen Keller
10:30 AM
W2-K.1
10:30 AM
W2-J.1 Why use pictorial formats for risk comHealth impacts of long-term displace- munication? Information processing
Chair: Fred Boelter
strategies by high and low numerates
10:30 AM
W2-I.1 ment following Hurricane Sandy
Keller C, Kreuzmair C, Siegrist M
Greenberg
MR
Quantitative cancer criteria for inorETH Zurich
Rutgers
University
ganic arsenic exposure via inhalation: a
non-linear approach
W2-K.2
10:50 AM
W2-J.2 10:50 AM
Lewis AS, Beyer LA, Zu K
The
influence
of
interactive
maps
and
Do I stay or do I go? Exploring preGradient
data
sufficiency
on
risk
beliefs,
ambigudictors of behavioral decision-making
ity, and behavioral intentions for maps
10:50 AM
W2-I.2 during Hurricane Sandy
depicting water test results for private
Recreating a historical product and de- Rickard LN, Eosco GM, Scherer CW
residential wells
signing testing methods to characterize SUNY College of Environmental Science
Severtson DJ, Roth R, Sack C, Mead R
and Forestry, Cornell University
exposures retrospectively
Persky JD
11:10 AM
W2-J.3
ENVIRON International Corp.
W2-K.3
Earthquake risk perceptions in a U.S. 11:10 AM
Communicating multidimensional risk
East
Coast
urban
area
11:10 AM
W2-I.3
data to a diverse set of stakeholders usComputational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) Friedman SM, Egolf BP
ing the interactive risk visualization tool
Lehigh
University
modeling as a tool in retrospective exWilson PH, Fuhry M, Davidson A,
posure assessment: application, value, 11:30 AM
W2-J.4 Hawkins BE, Gooding RE, Cox JA
validation, and limitations
Public perceptions of extreme heat Battelle Memorial Institute and Department
Rasmuson J, Hall D
vulnerability in the US
of Homeland Security Chemical Security
Chemistry & Industrial Hygiene, Inc.
Howe PD
Analysis Center
11:30 AM
W2-I.4 Utah State University
11:30 AM
W2-K.4
Improving qualitative exposure judgVisualization in macroprudential risk
ment accuracy in retrospective expoanalysis & decision making
sure assessment
Paddrik M, Flood M
Arnold SF, Ramachandran G, Stenzel M,
Office of Financial Research, US Treasury
Drolet D
University of Minnesota, Division of Environmental Health Science
Chair: Friedman
37
Wednesday
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Plaza 1
W3-A Decision Making
for Natural Disasters
1:30 - 3:00 PM
1:30 - 3:10 PM
1:30 - 3:10 PM
1:30 - 3:00 PM
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Plaza Ballroom D
Plaza 6
Plaza Ballroom E
Plaza Ballroom F
Governors Square 10
W3-B Symposium:
W3-C Symposium:
W3-D Symposium:
W3-E Synthetic Biology W3-F Climate Change:
Advances in Economic
Sustainability
What’s that Smell? The
and Risk Assessment
Expert Judgment and
Chair: Henry Willis
Chair:
Nateghi
Roshanak
Co-Chairs:
Adam
Finkel,
Consequences: Analysis
Elk River Crude MCHM
Public Perception
1:30 PM
W3-A.1
1:30 PM
W3-C.1
Katherine von Stackelberg
Chair: Ortwin Renn
of Terrorism and
Spill
Information imperfection asAchieving urban sustainability in
1:30 PM
W3-E.1 1:30 PM
W3-F.1
Chair:
Jacqueline
Patterson
Natural Disasters
sessment in decision-aiding
methods: application to risk
management in mountains areas
Tacnet JM, Dezert J, Curt C, Richard D
Irstea - Snow Avalanche Engineering
and Torrent Contol Research Unit
1:50 PM
W3-A.2
Scenario analysis of Japanese society after the 2011 earthquake,
tsunami, and nuclear disaster
Maeda Y, Seo K, Motoyoshi T
Shizuoka University, Aoyama
Gakuin University, Kansai University
2:10 PM
W3-A.3
Characterizing national vulnerabilities from infrastructure disruptions by natural disasters
Willis HH, Fischbach J, Warren D,
LaTourrette T, Narayanan A, Stelzner C, Wilder G, Loa K
RAND Corporation
2:30 PM
W3-A.4
Flexible design to increase resilience to natural disasters
Read LK, Fox-Lent C, Bates M,
Vogel RM, Linkov I
Tufts University, Environmental
Laboratory, US Army Engineer
Research and Development Center,
Environmental Laboratory
38
disaster-prone regions - why risk
analysis is critical
Guikema SD
1:30 PM
W3-D.1
Short term health advisories for
Elk River crude MCHM spill
Patterson J
1:50 PM
W3-C.2 Toxicology Excellence for Risk AsAll-hazard approaches to infra- sessment (TERA)
structure risk reduction: effective 1:50 PM
W3-D.2
investments through pluralism
Expert evaluation of chemi1:50 PM
W3-B.3
Reilly AC, Guikema SD, Nateghi R cal spill of crude MCHM into
A framework for estimating the
the Elk River, the West Virginia
impact of cyber threats to the
US economy
2:10 PM
W3-C.3 Testing Assessment Project
Cheesebrough AJ
Constructing rainfall projections (WV TAP)
US Department of Homeland Se- to guide municipal wastewater Rosen JS, Whelton AJ
curity
management: an approach for Corona Environmental Consulting
operationalizing IPCC scenarios 2:10 PM
W3-D.3
2:10 PM
W3-B.4
using local data
Establishing
an
odor
detection
Advances in the Center for
Saber-Freedman N, Schmitt K, Fran- threshold for crude MCHM and
Risk and Economic Analysis of
cis R
design of larger sampling plan
Terrorism Events (CREATE)
Concordia University, George Wash- Rosen JS
framework for economic conseington University
Corona Environmental Consulting
quence analysis
Rose AZ
2:30 PM
W3-C.4 2:30 PM
W3-D.4
People’s decisions and hurricane Understanding tap water chemiwind damages: an Agent-Based cal levels in affected homes: deModel (ABM) approach
tection limits, breakdown prodZhu L, Guikema SD, Igusa T, Ba- ucts, in-home locations
nerji T
Whelton AJ
University of South Alabama
Chair: Adam Rose
1:30 PM
W3-B.1
Understanding and mitigating
the impacts of massive relocations from disasters
Bier VM
2:50 PM
W3-C.5
Risk-informed investment decision frameworks to mitigate the
impacts of disasters on power
systems
Nateghi Roshanak
2:50 PM
W3-D.5
Licorice and lessons learned
Whelton AJ, Rosen JS, Patterson J
University of South Alabama
Channeling synthetic biology
through “solution-focused risk
assessment”
Finkel AM, Maynard A, Bowman
D, Trump B
University of Pennsylvania Law
School, University of Michigan
School of Public Health
1:50 PM
W3-E.2
Toward a risk analysis framework for synthetic biology
Greidinger SJ, Greidinger S
Predictive Health Solutions
2:10 PM
W3-E.3
Shaping ecological risk research
for synthetic biology
Kuiken T, Oye K, Collins J
Woodrow Wilson Center
Representing expert judgments
about climate damages using
imprecise probabilities
Gerst MD, Rinderknecht SL,
Reichert P, Kuensch HR, Borsuk
ME
Dartmouth College
1:50 PM
W3-F.2
Climate change scepticism and
adaptation - a fresh start
Sposato RG, Pidgeon N, Whitmarsh
L, Ballinger R
Cardiff University
2:10 PM
W3-F.3
Forecasting a definitive future
with global warming widens the
partisan divide regarding existence beliefs
2:30 PM
W3-E.4 Roh S, Schuldt JP
Multidimensional risk profiling: Cornell University
a scenario-based evaluation of
synthetic biology applications
from a multidisciplinary expert
Delphi study
Cummings CL, Kuzma J
Nanyang Technological University
Wednesday
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Governors Square 11
W3-G Symposium: Data
Emerging Technologies,
Part I
1:30 - 3:00 PM
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Governors Square 12
Governors Square 14
W3-H Symposium: Relatively
W3-I Symposium:
New Frontiers in Regulatory Examining the Integration of
Science: Tobacco
Environmental and
Co-Chairs: Kenneth Olden, Abdel Kadry
Chair: Raymond Yeager
Occupational Data to Inform
1:30 PM
W3-G.1 1:30 PM
W3-H.1
Human Health Risk
Complexities of environmental risk Tobacco product regulation is a multiAssessment
factors and public health
Olden K
factorial scientific process: an overview
of the CTP regulatory framework
Benson KA
US Food and Drug Administration Center
1:50 PM
W3-G.2
for Tobacco Products
Big data: the role of the federal government in transforming environmental 1:50 PM
W3-H.2
health information into knowledge
Dose-response in tobacco product
Dearry A
regulation: considerations in toxicology
National Institute of Environmental Health and risk
Sciences, National Institutes of Health
Yeager RP
2:10 PM
W3-G.3
Use of epigenetic information in risk
assessment
2:10 PM
W3-H.3
Devlin RB
Diversity in research to support tobacUS Environmental Protection Agency
co product regulation
van Bemmel DM
2:30 PM
W3-G.4
Assessment of inter-individual variabilfor Tobacco Products
ity in chemical safety testing: replacing
defaults with scientific evidence
2:30 PM
W3-H.4
Rusyn I
Question and answer session for relaTexas A&M University
tively new frontiers in regulatory science: FDA Center for Tobacco Products
Benson KA, Yeager RP, van Bemmel DM
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Governors Square 15
W3-J Symposium: Evidence
Based Transparency
Chair: Frederic Bouder
1:30 PM
W3-J.1
Factors affecting propensity to follow
government advice in a flu outbreak
Evensen D, Way D, Bouder F
C0-Chairs: Kevin Teichman, Douglas Johns Cornell University, King’s College London,
1:30 PM
W3-I.1 Maastricht University
Occupational health data and their role
W3-J.2
in the development of the Integrated 1:50 PM
Why do the French seem to like their
Science Assessments
medicines so much?
Johns DO, Sacks JD
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Bouder F
and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Maastricht University
1:50 PM
W3-I.2
The best available data: considerations
in incorporating environmental studies
and risk assessments into occupational
risk assessment
Whittaker Sofge C, Park R
NIOSH
2:10 PM
W3-I.3
Use of occupational data in deriving
health effects reference values for the
IRIS and AEGL Programs - can we do
better?
Woodall GM
US EPA, National Center for Environmental Assessment
2:30 PM
W3-I.4
Occupational health data for environmental exposure decisions
Abadin HG, Wheeler JS
Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease
Registry
1:30 - 3:00 PM
Governors Square 16
W3-K Mental Models
Chair: Ann Bostrom
1:30 PM
W3-K.1
Applying mental modeling technology™ to support stakeholder engagement for the Census Bureau’s
American Community Survey through
research with individuals who work
closely with ACS Stakeholders
Kovacs D, Thorne S, Butte G
Decision Partners
1:50 PM
W3-K.2
Informing climate risk management
strategy decision tools using the mental
models approach
2:10 PM
W3-J.3 Mayer LA, Loa K*, Cwik B, Gonnerman
Transparency and trust in the Euro- C, Lempert R, Tuana N, Keller K
pean pharmaceutical sector: outcomes RAND Corporation
from an experimental study
2:10 PM
W3-K.3
Lofstedt R, Way D
Mental models research with tobacco
retailers in support of FDA Retailer
2:30 PM
W3-J.4 Education Communications
Communicating about diseases in the Thorne S, Tessman G, Kovacs D, Butte G*,
ocean: the effect of message frames on Johnson RD
marine policy support
Decision Partners, United States Food and
McComas KA, Roh S, Schuldt J, Burge C Drug Administration, Center for Tobacco
Cornell University, University of Washington Products
2:30 PM
W3-K.4
Perceptions of climate risks and adaptation strategies in the New York Metropolitan Area after Superstorm Sandy
Miller S, Kidd G, Montalto FA, Gurian
PL, Worral C, Lewis R
Department of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental Engineering, Drexel University
39
Wednesday
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Plaza 1
W4-A Decision Analysis
For Energy Options
3:30 - 5:10 PM
Plaza Ballroom D
W4-B Symposium: Risk
Regulation and the
Chair: Shitel Thekdi
Economic Value of
3:30 PM
W4-A.1
Mortality Risk
Intergrated risk framework and
Reductions
offshore wind energy in Europe
and the US
Ram B
University of Delaware, Danish
Technical University
Chair: Nellie Lew
W4-B.1
3:50 PM
W4-A.2 3:30 PM
Probabilistic maximum-value The comparative cost of regulawind prediction for offshore en- tory risk reduction
Krutilla K, Graham J, Zhang Y,
vironments
Piña G, Good DH
Staid A, Pinson P, Guikema SD
Indiana University Bloomington
JHU and DTU
4:10 PM
W4-A.3
Estimation of human health
risks associated with Cadmium
Telluride (CdTe) thin-film Photovoltaic (PV) panels at end-oflife: landfill disposal and recycling
Cyrs WD, Avens HJ, Capshaw ZA,
Kingsbury RA, Sahmel J, Tvermoes
BE
Cardno ChemRisk
3:50 PM
W4-B.2
Respondent heterogeneity in
stated preference matters: a latent class analysis
Hammitt JK, Herrera DA
Toulouse School of Economics and
LERNA
4:10 PM
W4-B.3
The relationship between the
value of statistical life and the
value of monetary time
4:30 PM
W4-A.4 Gooptu A
Development of a multi-attri- Indiana University
bute decision support frame4:30 PM
W4-B.4
work for energy system planPreferences for life-expectancy
ning
gains: sooner or later?
Doluweerawatta G, Arvai J*,
Hammitt J, Tuncel T
Marceau DJ, Bergerson JA
Toulouse School of Economics
University of Calgary
4:50 PM
W4-B.5
Valuing mortality risk reductions from traffic accidents and
air pollution abatement in Chile.
Can we get an ‘official’ value?
Rizzi L, Cifuentes LA, Cabrera C,
Browne M, Iglesias P
Universidad Católica de Chile
40
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Plaza 6
W4-C Symposium: Risk
Analysis: Adaptive
Management: Complex
World of Administrative
Law: Decision-Making
for Environmental and
NR projects
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Plaza Ballroom E
W4-D National and
International Military
Issues
Chair: TBD
3:30 PM
W4-D.1
When (in)action speaks louder
than words: the collapse of
humanitarian values in foreign
policy decisions
Slovic P, Gregory R, Frank D, Vastfjall D
Decision Research and University of
Oregon
Chair: Sally Kane, Charlie Menzie
3:30 PM
W4-C.1
Enhanced adaptive management: methods and application
for natural resource and environmental projects
3:50 PM
W4-D.2
Foran C, Linkov I
Risks
and
national
security;
The
US Army ENgineer R&D Center
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs
3:50 PM
W4-C.2 Risk Assessment and impacts
Adaptive management and gov- of sequestration
ernance challenges
Rouse JF
Kane SM
Arete Associates Supporting the Joint
Independent Consultant and Univer- Staff, J5
sity of New South Wales
4:10 PM
W4-D.4
4:10 PM
W4-C.3 Overseas piracy
The varieties of adaptive man- Trump J
agement and their ties to admin- East Carolina University
istrative law: experiences from
the Department of the Interior
Runge MC
USGS Patuxent Wildlife Research
Center
4:30 PM
W4-C.4
Evolution of collaborative networks for adaptive risk management
Henry AD, Dietz T
University of Arizona
3:30 - 5:10 PM
3:30 - 5:10 PM
Plaza Ballroom F
Governors Square 10
W4-E Symposium:
W4-F Multimedia Session:
Understanding and
Understanding &
Communicating Hazard Adapting to the Impacts
Assessment
of Climate Change
Chair: George Gray
3:30 PM
W4-E.1
Making uncertainty analysis “fit
for purpose”
Gray G
GWU Milken Institute School of
Public Health
Chair: Wayne Landis
W4-F.2 Urban park use, incidental exposure to ozone, and
dimensions of livability and
well-being: informing socioecological resilience in urban communities at risk
Winter PL, Padgett PE
3:50 PM
W4-E.2
USDAFS Pacific Southwest ReUnpacking toxicity assessments
search Station
to understand and improve confidence
W4-F.3 Adaptation of US
Lewis RJ, Grant R, Santos S, Dour- agricultural yields and producson M, Shirley S, Erraguntla N
tion to drought and climate
ExxonMobil Biomedical Sciences, Inc, change
Texas Commission on Environmental Woodard JD, Verteramo Chiu LJ,
Quality, Focus Group and Rutgers, The Miller AP
State University of New Jersey, Toxicol- Cornell University
ogy Excellence for Risk Assessment
W4-F.4 Impact analysis of
4:10 PM
W4-E.3 high-intensity natural disasters: a
Presenting uncertainty in the
computable general equilibrium
context of biological monitor- approach
ing and exposure information
Yu KDS, Tan RR, Santos JR
Nance P, Farland W, Simon T, La- De La Salle University
Kind J
W4-F.5 Incorporating the reToxicology Excellence for Risk Asality of climate change into risk
sessment
assessment, remediation, and
4:30 PM
W4-E.4 the long-term management of
Evaluating and expressing un- ecosystem services
certainty in hazard characteriza- Landis WG
tion: a new WHO/IPCS guid- Western Washington University
ance incorporating probabilistic
W4-F.6 How climate change
approaches
risk has been framed in China’s
Chiu WA
policy discourse?
Fan S, Xu J, Xue L
4:50 PM
W4-E.5 Tsinghua University, Peking UniverImproving transparency in haz- sity, Tsinghua University
ard value development
Kirman CR, Meek ME, Gray GM
Summit Toxicology, LLP
Wednesday
W4-F.7 Climate adaptation in Phoenix: gap analysis of cooling center accessibility
Uebelherr J
Arizona State University School of Public
Affairs, Center for Policy Informatics
W4-F.8 Evaluating economic benefits
from abating black carbon and carbon
dioxide
Zheng JM, Gilmore EA, Sarofim MC
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Governors Square 11
W4-G Symposium: Data
Emerging Technologies,
Part II
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Governors Square 12
W4-H Symposium: Beyond
Science and Decision
Workshop Series
Co-Chairs: Oliver Kroner, Kimberly Wise
3:30 PM
W4-H.2
Comparative weight of evidence approach for limited toxicity data chemicals
Bredfeldt TG, Lee JS, Grant RL, Jones RE
Texas Commission on Environmental Quality
3:50 PM
W4-H.3
Practical guidance on the development
of a non-cancer hazard range for effective risk assessment and risk management of contaminated sites: a case
Co-Chairs: Kenneth Olden, Abdel Kadry study with trichloroethylene and other
3:30 PM
W4-G.1 chemicals.
Tox21: implications for toxicity testing Pfau EJ, Thompson R, Gadagbui BK, Gillay
D, Lowe J, Dourson M
DeVito MJ
National Toxicology Program; National In- Hull &Associates, Inc., Alliance for Site
Closures, TERA, Barnes & Thornburg,
stitute of Environmental Health Sciences
LLP, CH2M-Hill, TERA
3:50 PM
W4-G.2
W4-H.4
Potential new approaches to risk as- 4:10 PM
Interpretation of 24-hour sampling
sessment
data: methods for developing 24-hour
Cote I
ambient air quality criteria based on
toxicological and implementation con4:10 PM
W4-G.3 siderations
Addressing human variability in human Jugloff D, Schroeder J
health risk assessments of environ- Ontario Ministry of the Environment
mental chemicals using emerging data
streams
Zeise L, Bois FY, Chiu WA, Hattis D,
Rusyn I, Guyton KZ
California Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assesment
3:30 - 5:10 PM
3:30 - 5:00 PM
3:30 - 5:00 PM
Governors Square 14
Governors Square 15
Governors Square 16
W4-I Symposium:
W4-J Symposium: The Art
W4-K Professionalization of
Development and Application of Thinking (Fast and Slow)
Risk Communication and
of Advanced Risk Assessment
about Emerging Risks
Training
Chair: Ortwin Renn
Chair: John Besley
for Lung Cancer with
3:30 PM
W4-J.1 3:30 PM
W4-K.1
Asbestos
Chair: Jim Rasmuson
3:30 PM
W4-I.1
Can tumor morphology and molecular pathology assist in identifying and
quantifying risk parameters in lung
cancer when there is more than one
‘exposure’?
Case BW
McGill University, INRS-Institut ArmandFrappier Research Centre
3:50 PM
W4-I.2
Review of epidemiological studies of
lung cancer risk from cigarette smoking: sorting out the important determinants
Rasmuson EJ
4:10 PM
W4-I.3
Application of a multiplicative model
for assessment of lung cancer risks
associated with asbestos exposure and
smoking: resolving relative risk confusion
Rasmuson J, Korchevskiy A*
4:30 PM
W4-I.4
Asbestos and smoking in human lung
cancer: toxicological modes of action
and threshold issues
Kaden DA, DeMott RP
ENVIRON International Corp
Foresight tools for responding to cas- The survey of best practices in risk
cading effects in a crisis
education: an overview
Sellke P
Andrijcic E
Dialogik Non-Profit Institute
Rose-Hulman Institute of Technology
3:50 PM
W4-J.2
The distincition between risk and hazard: understanding and use in stakeholder communication
Scheer D, Benighaus C, Benighaus L, Renn
O, Gold S, Röder B, Böl GF
3:50 PM
W4-K.2
Scientists’ perceptions of public engagement and the need for theory development
Besley JC, Dudo AD
Michigan State University, University of
Texas
4:10 PM
W4-J.3
SECURITY2People - functionality of
the final demonstrator
Ulmer FU, Raskob WR
Non Profit Organisation DIALOGIK
4:10 PM
W4-K.3
The professionalization of risk and crisis communication: training, skills, and
outcomes
Petrun EL, Madden SL, Liu BF, Izsak KW
University of Maryland National Consor4:30 PM
W4-J.4
tium for the Study of Terrorism and ResponsPerception of water-related risks: a
es to Terrorism (START)
‘value expertise’ as a participatory approach
4:30 PM
W4-K.4
Wachinger G, Renn O
Anticipatory translation: scientists, geUniversity of Stuttgart
netically-modified trees, and conceptualizations of technological, regulatory,
and cultural futures
Rivers L, Delborne J, Robinson M
4:50 PM
W4-I.5
Evaluation of lung cancer risk associated with take-home asbestos exposure
Sahmel J
Cardno ChemRisk
41

1:30 PM - The Society for Risk Analysis (SRA)

Transcription

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