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HOME OF THE FUTURE : SYSTEM OF THE FUTURE
HOME OF THE FUTURE : SYSTEM OF THE FUTURE BRUCE BEIHOFF, WHIRLPOOL CORPORATION MIT – SDM ANNUAL CONFERENCE “SYSTEMS THINKING” 10-21-2010 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 1 OUTLINE: THE PRESENTATION: S O o THE PURPOSE o THE PREMISE o THE PRIZE o THE PROBLEM o THE PROPOSAL o THE PITCH 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 2 THE PURPOSE OS o Make the Case for the evolution of the Home and of Systems … o Explain the Convergence of the two … o Propose the Challenge and the Opportunity … o Propose a Path Forward… 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 3 THE PREMISE S o The Vision of the Home is Changing: TO FROM • A Container • A Static Shelter • An A Edifi Edifice • A Flow • An Dynamic Environment • Adapting Ad ti E Entity tit o The Vision of Systems is Changing: TO FROM • Heuristic Functions • Document Centric • Dynamics by Inference • Static Interfaces • Causal Functions • Model Centric • Fully Dynamic • Extensible Interfaces 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 4 THE PREMISE S Convergence of an Opportunity Space and Solution Space “THE THE EVOLVING CONCEPT OF THE HOME HOME” TO FROM • A Container • A Shelter • An Edifice • A Flow • A Dynamic Environment • Adapting Entity “THE EVOLVING CONCEPT OF SYSTEMS” FROM • Heuristic Functions • Document Centric • Dynamics by Inference • Static Interfaces SYSTEMS BASED SOLUTION SETS TO • Causal Functions • Model Centric • Fully Dynamic • Extensible Interfaces 21Oct2010Rev2 “THE INNOVATION O O SPACE” MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 5 THE PREMISE S Home Systems : “Innovations Needed” SYSTEMS BASED SOLUTION SETS •ENERGY •ENVIRONMENT O •PERFORMANCE •COMFORT •ADAPTABILITY •SECURITY •NEIGHBORHOOD •BUILDING •SECTOR •CITY 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 6 Models of the Home provide solutions…but are Not Well integrated… 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 7 New Forces Connecting the Home as System Stretch Models Further 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 8 New Forces.. Demand Deeper and Broader System Understanding 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 9 Enterprises are beginning the journey …A Whirlpool Smart Grid Example… 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 10 THE PRIZE ( THE WHY …)) o 1.5 Billion Homes o 15 Million New Homes per Year o 200 M Homes under renovation per Year o People, Governments, Environments are redefining the Home Space… o Adjacent j Spaces p to home redefined : new trade offs and opportunities. pp o Large Energy, Environmental, and Performance Benefits … 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 11 THE PROBLEM O o Systems Models of the Home and Surrounding Environment insufficient … o The Depth and Breadth of Models have been non-predictive o Stochastic Methods and Deterministic Methods at odd’s … o The home and it’s environment understudied compared to other systems … 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 12 THE PROPOSAL O OS TO O SOLVE SO THE PROBLEM O o AN EXTENDED MODELING APPROACH • MULTI-DOMAIN • MULTI-DIMENSIONAL • CAUSAL o RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT BASED ON THE NEW MODEL 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 13 MASTER MODEL LAYERS … DIMENSIONS WE MUST HAVE … Systems Functional / Process Hierarchy Example E Example l P Process T Topology l Operator Actuator Process Master System Function Process Target Observer / Estimator Observer / Estimator Choose Garment Load Need for Garment Soil Condition Wrinkle Condition Fragrance Condition Start Unit Determine if Delay Cycle Selection Temperature Select Start Unit Wait Optional Sort Load Garment Type Soil Type Fabric Type Color Type Water Fill Load Garments Open Door/Lid Inspect Basket Load Unit Position Garments Option Close Door/ Lid Wash Fill Time Sump Water Pressure Flow Volume Inlet Temperature Sump Temperature Water Fill Fill Time Sump Water Pressure Flow Volume Inlet Temperature Sump Temperature Pre-Treat Select Garment Select Areas Select Treatment Apply Treatment Rinse Rinse Time Soak Time (Sump Water Pressure) Flow Volume Inlet Temperature Sump Temperature Basket Speed Direction & Time (Power) Drain & Spin Wash Time (Soak Time) Sump Water Pressure Flow Volume Inlet Temperature Sump Temperature Basket Speed (Direction) & Time (Power) Load Chemistry Open Dispenser Inspect Chambers Select Chemistry Fill Chambers Close Dispenser/Lid Soil Removed implied by Cycle type, time, temp selected Drain & Spin Sub-Functions Final Clean State of Load Implied by Cycle type, time, Temp selected Drain / Spin Time Sump Temperature Dynamic Load Condition Motor Speed Direction & Time (Power) N Repeat=1 or 2 Storage Input Transport Functions Drain / Spin Time Sump Temperature Dynamic Load Condition Motor Speed Direction & Time (Power) Conversion Transport Output Function nal Example Functions • Wash Function • Dry Function • Spin/Drain Functions • Motion Functions • Energy Conversion Functions • Module Set Design Mechanisms Storage Unit Cell Interactions Ca ausal Example Mechanisms • Multi-Phase Mass Transport p • Crystalline- Amorphous Mechanics • Creep • Fluid Surface Contacting • Fiber Fabric Mechanics • Modal Mechanics • Process Chemistry Process Controller Product Controller Actuator Heuristic Example Functions • Control • Actuation • Process • User Interface • Communication • Module System Design Example Phenomenon • Enzymatic Catalysis • Hydrolyzation • Micelle Formation • Inter Surface Atomic Bonding • Molecular Kinetics • Molecular Mechanics • Electro Dynamics Phenomenon 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 14 PRODUCT LEVEL MULTI-DIMENSION MODELS ARE HAPPENING … …..BUT THEY NEED EXTENSION … TubeMid Sharp-Edge Sharp-Edge Sharp-Edge Sharp-Edge TubeTop Sharp-Edge Sharp-Edge Sharp-Edge Hydraulic System Nozzle flows Last21 Last1 Annular Feedtubetop RJT Wash system concepts Sharp-Edge Sharp-Edge Sharp-Edge Sharp-Edge Sharp-Edge Sharp-Edge Sharp-Edge TubeTop1 Air Dish Sides Sump interactions TubeBot Annular Feedtubebot Ell1 RJB AirRes DIshRes SideRes Level1 Level1 Pump Filt PUMP1 Sump Optimizing pump/plumbing Thermal System tY Function Mechanism Pump capacity analysis Phenomenon Dis hR H H1 ExWall1 Water ExWall3 ExWall ExWall4 ExWall5 ExWall2 Tub Dis h 4 273 K 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 15 Multi Dimensional Models are Changing all of Science and Engineering (as well) …..BUT THERE ARE LAYERS MISSING… 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 16 Multi Dimensional Models are Changing Science and Engineering What’s missing …… Environmental Additional Model Layers Layers…… Societal Economic Behavioral 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 17 System Models also need Both Dimensions & Domains Master System Model Design Model 1 Design Model 3 Design Model 2 Design Model n Assembly Model Value Model DFV QFD Value Function Analysis Functional Model Process Model Quality Model Manufacturing Model Process Model Presentation Model DFMA Model Bill of Process Performance Model Reliability Model Durability Model Target Costing DOMAINS Mechanisms DIMENSIONS S Sub-functions Phenomenon 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 18 SO WHAT AM I SELLING ….. THE PITCH C : FUTURE DIRECTIONS C O S FOR O SDM S & SEAri S … o MULTI-DIMENSIONAL /MULTI-DOMAIN MODELING o MODEL BASED ARCHITECTURES o OPEN STANDARDS FOR MODELS AND ARCHITECTURES o FUNDAMENTAL RESEARCH AND APPLIED ENGINEERING SCIENCE: • Alternative Architectures • Alternative Models • Alternative Innovation Sets o PREPARATION OF LEADERS TO MAKE IT HAPPEN … o (and ..) DON’T FORGET THE HOME AS A SYSTEMS OPPORTUNITY … 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 19 MANY THANKS TO THE AUDIENCE & MIT … WE HAVE REACHED THE END OF THIS BEGINNING … SO ………………ANY QUESTIONS ??? 21Oct2010Rev2 MITͲSDM2010Home/SystemofFutureͲ Whirlpool 20
