DCP Midstream
Transcription
DCP Midstream
2013 DCP Midstream Evolving to Meet DJ Basin Growth 7th Annual Rockies Oil & Gas April 16, 2013 Forward-Looking Statements 2013 Under the Private Securities Litigation Act of 1995 This document may contain or incorporate by reference forward-looking statements as defined under the federal securities laws regarding DCP Midstream Partners, LP (the “Partnership”) and DCP Midstream, LLC (the “Company”), including projections, estimates, forecasts, plans and objectives. Although management believes that expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to be correct. In addition, these statements are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and other assumptions that are difficult to predict and may be beyond our control. If one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or if underlying assumptions prove incorrect, the actual results may vary materially from what management anticipated, estimated, projected or expected. The key risk factors that may have a direct bearing on the Partnership’s results of operations and financial condition are highlighted and described in detail in the Partnership’s periodic reports most recently filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its most recent Form 10-K and most recent Form 10-Q. Investors are encouraged to consider closely the disclosures and risk factors contained in the Partnership’s annual and quarterly reports filed from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission and in the Company’s annual and quarterly financial statements. The Partnership and the Company undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Information contained in this document is unaudited, and is subject to change. Non-GAAP Reconciliation This document may include certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined under SEC Regulation G. In such an event, a reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is included in this presentation. 2013 DCP Overview Perspective • Ownership • Market Position • Evolution 3 DCP “Enterprise” Overview 2013 ~$30B ~$35B Enterprise Value 50% 25% LP Interest 1% GP Interest 50% Enterprise Value Public Unitholders 74% Common LP Interest ~$3.5B Enterprise Value Enterprise value based on available market data; ownership interests as of 6/30/2012 DCP Midstream, LLC DCP Midstream Partners, LP 49 plants 6 fractionators ~57,000 miles of pipe 13 plants 6 fractionators ~6,000 miles of pipe 4 Integrated Assets with Scale & Scope #1 NGL producer, ~17% of U.S. NGL production ■ Top gatherer and processor ■ Super systems in key basins ■ Complementary NGL pipelines ■ DCP enterprise has an industry leading footprint in the liquids rich gathering and processing regions coupled with an expanding NGL pipeline position Gas processing plant Propane terminal Storage Shale gas formations 62 plants ~63,000 miles of pipeline NGL Production Front Range * Texas Express Or aw 2013 Processing Capacity DCP Midstream Enterprise Products Enterprise Products DCP Midstream Williams Company Inc. Williams Company Inc. * Southern Hills MarkWest Energy Sand Hills Targa Resources DCP ~400 MBPD Targa Resources DCP ~7.1 Bcf/d Crosstex Energy Source: Bentek June 2012 (18 month trailing average) 5 DCP Transformation 2013 DCP 2015 DCP 2012 2011-2015 Growth CapEx Opportunity Niobrara/Codell Niobrara/Codell Lucerne 2 LaSalle Plant 10 Mewbourn Wattenberg $5B to $7B ~$10B Assets $15B+ 62 # of plants 70+ 6.3 Processing volume (TBtu/d) * 7.0+ ~400 NGL production (MBPD) 500+ ~1,250 NGL pipelines (mi)* ~3,000 *Reflects partial ownership Top tier gatherer and processor Front Range Conway National Helium Mississippi Lime * Granite WashWoodford Cana Texas Southern Wolfberry Express Hills Midway Rawhide Black Avalon / Lake Bone Springs Mont Sand Belvieu Hills Eagle Seabreeze/ Eagle Goliad Wilbreeze Ford aw Leader in midstream logistics services 6 2013 DCP Gathering & Processing • • • • • G&P Footprint Commercial Overview NGL Economics Liquids Rich Drilling Growth Opportunities 7 Unmatched Footprint 2013 6.3 TBtu/d processing volume Lucerne 2 LaSalle Plant 10 Mewbourn • 62 plants • ~63,000 miles of Wattenberg pipeline National Helium Front Range * Texas Express Existing footprint enables growth * Southern Hills Or Midway Rawhide aw ~400 MBPD NGL production Super systems in high growth areas of Permian, Eagle Ford, DJ Basin and Midcon Black Lake Announced Growth Under Construction Sand Hills G&P Plant New Plant Expansion/Restart Seabreeze/ Eagle Wilbreeze Goliad Additional processing capacity ~15% Additional NGL production ~25% 8 Commercial Overview Diversified customer base 2013 Top customers ■ 70% of volume coming from liquids rich drilling (3+ GPM) ■ Top 10 customers make up ~30% of margin ■ G&P super system capability in all major basins Diversified contract portfolio ■ ~9,500 commercial contracts ― ~45% of contract volumes are fee-based ― ~45% POP ― ~10% keepwhole ■ Contract portfolio provides diversification benefit through commodity cycle 9 NGL Economics Support Infrastructure 2013 Composite MB Frac Spread Producer Value From NGL Uplift Growth * ** Area $/MMBtu $14 $12 $/MMBtu $8 $10 GPM Permian 5 – 10 DJ Basin 5–7 Eagle Ford 5-7 Granite Wash 4–6 $7 $8 $6 $6 $5 $4 $4 16% 32% 47% 61% 74% 86% 97% 108% 118% 127% $3 $2 $2 $0 $1 Jan 2013 Jan 2007 Composite Frac Spread 5yr Avg. Minus 1 stdev (2007-2011) Plus 1 stdev *DCP analysis, based on composite Mont Belvieu NGL and Houston Ship Channel gas prices $0 1 2 3 4 Gas Price 5 6 7 Inlet GPM 9 10 NGL Upgrade **DCP analysis, based on $1/gal NGL and $3/MMBtu gas prices Current NGL economics support continued liquids rich drilling * Frac spread is MB vs. Houston Ship Channel 8 10 * Uplift assumes $2.50 natural gas and $0.84 NGL (Source Barclays) 10 Liquids Rich Drilling MMcf/d 70,000 Rig Count and Gas Volume Jan 2007 to May 2012 Rig Count US Lower 48 G&P NGL Logistics 1,300 55,000 500 260 3,100 Eagle Ford 190 1,000 750 2013 60 Drilling based on crude and NGL economics Continued transition from dry gas to liquids rich drilling Oil and liquids rich rig counts continue to climb in all DCP focused areas DJ Basin 25 10 450 5,200 Permian Basin 425 4,800 Increased oil rig count + Improved technologies = Growth in liquids rich volumes 0 Gas Production MMcf/d Source: EIA, Smith Technologies, IHS Gas Rigs Oil Rigs 11 Growth in All Regions Niobrara /Codell Lucerne 2 LaSalle Plant 10 Mewbourn Wattenberg NGL Wattenberg Midcon Granite Wash Texas Express Wolfberry * Woodford * Cana Southern Hills NGL Avalon / Bone Springs Midway Rawhide Wolfcamp aw Eagle Ford Sand Hills NGL Eagle Goliad Existing Plant New Plant Expansion/Restart Processing Capacity Bcf/d Permian ~130 1.3 $850-$1,000+ South ~125 3.0 $500-$750 North ~40 0.9 $850-$1,000+ Midcon ~110 2.0 $750-$1,000 Processing Volume NGL Production (TBtu/d) (MBPD) 6.2 CAGR South Permian Black Lake Seabreeze/ Wilbreeze CapEx Opportunity $MM (2011-2015) YTD NGL Production MBPD North National Helium Mississippi Lime Front Range 2013 6.0 3% 402 6.3 5.9 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 383 CAGR 4% 369 2010 2011 H1‘12 Geographical diversification provides a well balanced portfolio of growth 12 2013 NGL Pipelines • NGL Super system • Front Range / Texas Express The Future – NGL Super System $2B - $3B CapEx 2011-2015 Niobrara/Codell Significant fee-based growth opportunity Lucerne 2 LaSalle Plant 10 Mewbourn Wattenberg Mississippi Lime Granite Wash * Woodford Cana * Wolfberry Texas Express Midway Rawhide aw Avalon / Bone Springs NGL super system to premium priced markets Provide wellhead to market solution: ― Increase capacity to ~550 MBPD ― Improved value to DCP and customers ― Bolt on opportunities Conway National Helium Front Range 2013 Southern Hills NGL Capacity Growth (MBPD) ~500+ Texas Express Front Range Black Lake Southern Hills ~400 Sand Hills Mont Belvieu Seabreeze/ Eagle Wilbreeze Eagle Ford Goliad Sand Hills DCP Legacy 3rd DCP DCP Party Production Production Production Growth Future Capacity 14 Front Range & Texas Express Update Strategic Importance Niobrara/Codell Connects Rockies producers to Mont Belvieu market Capitalize on DJ Basin growth Lucerne 2 LaSalle Plant 10 Mewbourn Wattenberg NGL Conway National Helium Granite Wash * Woodford Cana * Wolfberry Texas Express r Avalon / Bone Springs Midway Rawhide aw Long-term fee-based income Front Range Mississippi Lime Front Range 2013 Southern Hills NGL Black Lake 435 mile pipeline 33% DCP Midstream interest Initial 150,000 Bbl/d capacity Expandable to 230,000 Bbl/d In-service Q4 2013 Texas Express Mont Belvieu Seabreeze/ Eagle Wilbreeze Eagle FordGoliad Sand Hills NGL 580 mile pipeline 10% DPM Ownership Initial 280,000 Bbl/d capacity Expandable to 400,000 Bbl/d In-service by Q2 2013 15 2013 D-J Basin Expansion • • • • Continuing Growth via Niobrara Shale Capacity Build-Out Execution Creation of a DJ Basin G&P Super System Investing in our Key Stakeholders Niobrara Focus on Crude Oil 2013 WELD COUNTY, COLORADO - MONTHLY OIL & GAS PRODUCTION Data Source: IHS Energy 1200 120 1000 100 800 80 600 60 400 40 Impressive Production Growth: Crude Oil @ 112 MB/d - CAGR 1Y: 137% / 3Y: 75% Gas @ 771 MMcf/d – CAGR 1Y: 109% / 3Y: 46% 200 0 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 MBopd MMcfd 85% of Rigs Hz 20 0 Jan-13 17 Jan-09 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 Jan-12 Mar-12 May-12 Jul-12 Sep-12 Nov-12 Jan-13 Key Producers Adding Hz Niobrara to DCP 2013 Horizontal Production on DCP as a Percentage of the Total 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 18 DCP G&P Expansion to Meet Demand 2013 Lucerne 200 800 MMcf/d LaSalle 160 Mewbourn 125 355 MMcf/d Mewbourn 160 600 MMcf/d 440 MMcf/d 405 MMcf/d 19 Project 1: Mewbourn Plant (2011-13) 2013 Phase 1: 2Q11 Replaced 75 MMcfd refrig plant with cyrogenic turbo-expander plant Initial capacity 125 MMcfd Phase 2: 3Q12 – 2Q13 Expand to 160 MMcfd Increase field HP and gathering Plant modifications • propane refrigeration • liquid handling 20 Project 2: LaSalle Plant (2012-14) 2013 Phase 1: In-service 3Q13 • New cryogenic turbo-expander plant initially 110 MMcfd; 15 MBpd NGLs • Includes 55 miles of high pressure gathering and residue gas pipelines Phase 2: In-service 1Q14 • Adds 50 MMcfd capacity • Produce 20+ MBpd NGLs 21 Project 3: Lucerne 2 Plant (2H 2014) 2013 (DCP Eagle Plant) In-service 2H14* • 200 MMcfd Processing Plant • Adds 60-80 miles of HP P/L • 3-4 new compressor stations • 25+ MBpd NGLs * Subject to permit timing 22 Plant Connectivity / Super System a Key 2013 23 Meeting Capacity Needs Driven by Niobrara WY ’11 – ’16 Opportunities $1B + NE 2013 Expectations by 2016 CO DCP region capacity expected to more than double - 1 Bcf/d with 90+ MBPD of NGL Mewbourn expanded to 160 MMcf/d LaSalle adds 160 MMcf/d in 2013-14 Developing Lucerne 2 and Plant 10 to add 400 MMcf/d capacity in 2014-16 DCP could spend well over $1B by 2016! Existing Plant New Plant Expansion/Restart Plant Name In-service Capacity Cost Mewbourn 2 2011 160 $250 M LaSalle 2013 160 $365 M Lucerne 2 2014/15 200 $450 M Plant 10 2015/16 200 $450 M 24 2013 25