National Weather Service

2013 EM Resource Webpage and
the 2013 Hurricane Season
Steve Pfaff
Warning Coordination Meteorologist
NWS Wilmington, NC
EM Resource Web page
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Three Phases of the El Nino Southern
Oscillation (ENSO)
La Nina
El Nino
ENSO Outlook for Summer 2011
El Nino
Neutral
La Nina
ENSO Years
(Last 5 years for each phase)
El Nino Years
La Nina Years
Neutral Years
2009, 2006, 2004, 2002, 1997
2011, 2010, 2007, 2000, 1999
2012, 2008, 2005, 2003, 2001
Named:
54
Hurricane: 24
Major:
13
Named:
80
Hurricane: 41
Major:
19
Named:
93
Hurricane: 49
Major:
21
Storms of Impact
Storms of Impact
Storms of Impact
Charley
Ernesto
Frances
Ivan
Bonnie
Dennis
Floyd
Irene
Bertha
Fran
Ike
Isaac
Isabel
Katrina
Ophelia
Rita
Sandy
# of Named Storms
ENSO
EN
N
EN
N
EN
LN
N
EN
LN
LN
N
Outlook for 2013
Likely above normal - named storms (around 10 is normal)
Likely above normal - hurricanes (around 5 is normal)
Likely above normal - major hurricanes (around 2 is normal)
NOAA’s official outlook will not be issued until May
Regardless of the outlook, we always prepare/plan for
the worst – ALL IT TAKES IS ONE!!!!!
Live Demos
• SPC Tornado Environment Browser
– Courtesy of the Storm Prediction Center
– http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/envbrowser/
• NWS Enhanced Data Display
– Courtesy of NWS Charleston, WV
– http://preview.weather.gov/edd/
Nick Petro
Warning Coordination Meteorologist
National Weather Service, Raleigh, NC
Contact Information
• Steve Pfaff, Warning Coordination
Meteorologist, NWS Wilmington, NC
– [email protected]
• Nick Petro, Warning Coordination
Meteorologist, NWS Raleigh, NC
– [email protected]