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Dept. Water, Soil & Atmosphere University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences Vienna Introduction to Water and Soil (816.335) Lecture Series in Water, Soil and Atmosphere (315.340) Unit 3 Hubert Holzmann 1 Organisation Schedule and Content Date Lecturer Content Basic level (introduction to water and soil) 4. 11.2011 Loiskandl Ertl Holzmann H: Organisation and administration H: Water balance and scale issues Processes Monitoring and Observation of water balance components Interaction Soil / Vegetation / Atmosphere Water quality and index class 11.11. Loiskandl Soil (Genesis, Type, Properties) soil – plant interaction evaporation / transpiration 18.11. Holzmann Runoff formation Rainfall excess, methods Model overview 25.11. Holzmann Runoff processes (drought, flood) Case studies Legislation 2.12. Loiskandl Argriculture and its impact to soil and soil water Soil erosion The courses of this template achieve the requirements for the course introduction to water and soil (816.335) 2 Organisation Schedule and Content (continuation for 815.340) Advanced level (Lecture series water, soil and atmosphere) 16.12. Loiskandl Soil remediation capacity Water scarcity and water harvesting 13.1.2012 Holzmann Application of rainfall runoff models (forecast, risk management) Spatial analysis, GIS 20.1.2012 Ertl Urban water and solute flow processes 27.1.2012 Ertl Urban drainage Sanitary engineering Case studies and indication The grading for the courses is based on written examinations, which will be held separately for 816.335 and 815340! Dates and locations will be announced in the course hompage (BokuOnline). 3 Outcome of Unit 1 Outcomes Gaining basic knowledge in • Formation of surface runoff • Concepts of runoff modelling - black box - conceptual - physically based • Measurement techniques (case studies) • Application of hydrological models - flood forecasting - climate change impact analysis Hydrological Processes Flow Routes and processes 5 Runoff Formation INF = R: - Initial phase of rainfall event - mean to high conductivity - high rate of subsurface drainage Rainfall R R INF Q: Temporal sequence of infiltration and surface runoff Zeitliche Abfolge von Infiltration und Oberflächenabfluss - mean phase of rainfall event - mean conductivity - mean rate of subsurface drainage R Q INF: - Final phase of rainfall event - mean to low conductivity - mean rate of subsurface drainage R=Q: Surface Runoff Q - Final phase of extreme rainfall event - low conductivity or impermeable - restricted subsurface drainage - saturation of soils Hillslope Infiltration INF 6 Runoff Formation Schematic of Rainfall Excess Components. (From Environmental Ecology) 7 Runoff Formation The process theory of runoff formation is as follows: Raindrops fall over the area and flow along hillslopes to the nearest stream and further towards the sea. For process modelling it is necessary to a) calculate the travel of a water drop from the hillslope to the stream and b) calculate the propagation of the water drop inside the stream. A water drop that falls close to the stream reaches the stream very fast but for a waterdrop that falls close to the water divide, it may take years to reach the stream. Thus to gain increased process knowledge field experiment at the hillslope scale are conducted. Saturation in zones of convergent topography Saturation Areas Extend of the stream network during a dry period (b, d) and during a rainfall event (c, e). (from Maidment, 1992 – Handbook of Hydrology) Discharge (m3/s) Rainfall / Excess (mm/Δt) Runoff Event Start of Rainfall Time Time Discretisation Start and end of Direct Runoff Hydrograph Direct Runoff Baseflow Intensity of Areal Precipitation Loss Rate Rainfall Excess Volume of direct runoff Volume of rainfall excess Basin area Only a part of the areal rainfall contributes to direct runoff! Key Question: Separation of rainfall excess and its temporal evolution Runoff Coefficient: Ratio of runoff depth to precipitation depth. Time Niederschlags-Abfluss Modelle / Rainfall Runoff Models (resp. Hydrological Models) Festlegung der Modellstruktur Design of Model structure Kriterien / Criteria • Ziele und Anwendungen / Objectives and Application (zeitliche u. räumliche Gliederung / temporal and spatial discretisation) • Charakteristik des hydrologischen Systems (dominierende Prozesse, Reaktionszeit / dominant processes, runoff response time) • Verfügbarkeit der Daten / Data availability (Zeitreihen, Gebietsparameter / Time series, spatial parameters) Klassifizierung von N-A Modellen: Classification of Rainfall Runoff Models Prozessorientiert process oriented Process Flächenaggregiert (lumped) deterministic Raum- und zeitorientiert space and time oriented Verteilt (distributed) stochastic Raum-/Zeitmaßstab space and time scale Raum / space Verteilt / Distributed Kleine EZG Small basins Hybride (gemischt) Zeit / Time Ereignisbezogen event based Mittlere EZG mean basins Kontinuierlich continuous Grosse EZG Large basins Klassifizierung von N-A Modellen – continuation Classification of Rainfall Runoff Models Nach Modelltyp: Model type Lösungsverfahren / solution technique numerical Finite Differences analogue analytical statistical Finite Element Differential equations e.g. Regression Nach Modellkonzept: Concept Model concept Black Box conceptual Physically based statistical Definitions: Black Box Models Black box models are based on transfer functions which relate inputs with outputs. These models, as the name suggests, generally do not have any physical basis. Conceptual Models Conceptual models occupy an intermediate position between the fully physically- based approach and empirical black box analysis. Such models are formulated on the basis of a relatively small number of components, each of which is a simplified representation of one process element in the system being modelled. Physically based models: The physically based models are based on our understanding of the physics of the hydrological processes which control the catchment response and use physically based equations to describe these processes. Also, these models are spatially distributed since the equations from which they are formed generally involve one or more space coordinates. This implies that these models can be used for forecasting the spatial as well temporal pattern of more than one hydrological variable. Such models require much of computational time and also require advance computers as well as a broad data base. From their physical basis such models can simulate the complete runoff regime, providing multiple outputs (e.g. river discharge, phreatic surface level and evaporation loss) while black box models can offer only one output. In these models transfer of mass, momentum and energy are calculated directly from the governing partial differential equations which are solved using numerical methods. As the input data and computational requirements are enormous, the use of these models for real-time forecasting has not reached the `production stage' so far, particularly for data availability situations prevalent in developing countries. Infiltration … Hydrologically, the infiltration process separates rain into two parts. One part stored within the soil supplies water to the roots of vegetation and recharges groundwater. The other part which does not penetrate the soil surface is responsible for surface runoff. Infiltration is therefore a pivotal point within the hydrological cycle. From (Kutilek & Nielsen (1994), Soil Hydrology) Infiltration / Excess Constant Conditions (Ks saturated hydr. conductivity) The shape of the infiltration curve is a function of soil physical properties (hydraul. Conduvtivity, drainage capacity, soil depth, vegetation cover, …) Scheme of Rainfall Excess Components. (From Environmental Ecology) Loss (Runoff Excess) computation Empirical concepts • Index Models Constant Loss Constant Runoff Coefficient • Horton Model • Time varying coefficient • Varying coefficient (due to accumulated rain) • Soil Storage Excess Rainfall Excess Neff = Na – y Neff ... Rainfall Excess Na ... Areal Rainfall y … Constant Loss Ia … Initial Abstration 6 Neff Rain (mm) Constant Loss: 4 - Easy to use y - 1 Parameter model - Not balanced with natural conditions 2 0 1 Neff = Na * RC RC ... Runoff Coefficient (0 – 1) 3 4 5 6 4 5 6 4 5 6 time 6 Rain (mm) Constant Runoff Coefficient: 2 4 2 0 1 2 3 time Neff = N - fp where fp = fc + (fo – fc)exp(-*t) - More realistic - 3 Parameter model 6 Rain (mm) Horton Model: 4 2 0 1 2 3 Rainfall Excess 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Niederschlag Rain (cm)(mm) 1.0 Verlustrate Effektivniederschlag Loss Rateund and Rainfall Excess 0 10 20 30 40 50 Zeit (h) 0.8 0.4 0.6 variabler,linearer Abflussbeiwert lognormalverteilter Abflussbeiwert 0.2 Saturated RC Initial RC 0.0 Abflussbeiwert coefficient Runoff 1.0 Variable Coefficient Variable Runoff Abflussbeiwerte 0 5 10 Akkum. Niederschlag Accumul. Rain(mm) (cm) Initial Abstraction 15 20 Applied Model Types Antecedent Rain Index ARIi t n 1 t n a i ( a i Pi ) (1) i t i t were i a P n … Time index (in days) … coefficient (=0.88) … Precipitation (plus snowmelt … optional) in mm/d … memory length in days (=28) 2 Parameters n ... Memeory length a ... Recession coefficient P2 t-j t P1 t-i time Direct Runoff Estimation API – Storage Concept for flood peak estimation • Peak runoff depends on soil-moisture in the catchment • Characterise moisture in the catchment by an index API (Antecedent Precipitation Index) • Relationship between API and runoff • Rainfall losses were considered by a linear storage • Aim: Good correlation between API and runoff Qcomp ,i 36.44 47.80 ARI i , RAIN SNOWMELT Direct Runoff Estimation API – Storage Concept Peff ,t Pt ( S max S act ,t ) S act ,t S act ,t 1 * e 1 Sval API t ( API t 1 Peff ,t ) * e 3 Parameter model Qcomp ,i 36.44 47.80 ARI i , RAIN SNOWMELT P Peff Smax Sval Sact akvri dt API i 1 24*dt *akvri precipitation effective precipitation maximum storage capacity retention factor actual storage content API coefficient factor for temporal resolution (1 for hourly calculations) Antecedent Precipitation Index timestep Direct Runoff Estimation API – Storage Concept 26.05.1999 26.05.1999 Q 26.05.1999 API 36.44 47.80 ARI 06.07.1999 17.08.1999 Date 28.09.1999 28.09.1999 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 P [mm] API 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Precipitation 18 20 Discharge P [mm] API 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 17.08.1999 28.09.1999 60 Date 50 comp , i i , RAIN SNOWMELT 06.07.1999 17.08.1999 28.09.1999 40 30 Date 20 06.07.1999 17.08.1999 10 Date 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Precipitation 18 20 Discharge P [mm] 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 06.07.1999 30 20 10 0 Q [m³/s] / API [mm] 26.05.1999 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 2 4 170 - Hofstetten 6 8 Precipitation 10 Catchment 173 - Siegersdorf 12 Discharge 14 API 16 Precipitation 18 Discharge Catchment 173 - Siegersdorf 20 P [mm] Catchment Q [m³/s] / API [mm] 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Q [m³/s] / API [mm] Q [m³/s] / API [mm] Catchment 170 - Hofstetten Unit Hydrograph Concept Runoff Transformation The Unit Hydrograph Method transforms the Rainfall Excess into a Direct Runoff component at the stream gauge site. The Unit Hydrograph is a runoff response function of the unit rainfall excess. The volume of the areal unit rainfall corresponds with the runoff volume of the unit hydrograph. Methods Unit Hydrograph Model Principles of UH-Method - Linearity - Superposition - Time invariance Black Box Model Methods Triangular Unit Hydrograph Effective Precipitation 1 mm Transformation Time tc qmax Discharge m3/s tc (n 1)tc qmax area rain 2 2000 area qmax 3600 (n 1)tc n . tc 1 mm = 1 l/m2 = 106 l/km2 = 1000 m3/km2 Unit Hydrograph Example of triangular UH application with varying runoff coefficient Parameter Estimation The Loss parameters are generally estimated by model calibration (comparison of simulated and observed event data) - Lack of physical interpretation - Different event types (classification required) - Limited transferrability to ungauged basins - Difficult estimation of initial state conditions Continuous Models Model calibration Model / parameter calibration Calibration is the process of modifying the input or model parameters until the output from the model matches an observed set of data. Model calibration The goodness of fit is defined by the Objective Function. It is defined with regard to the specific requirements and aims of the model application. Each parameter set leads to a specific value of the objective function. It can be possible, that different sets can lead to similar results (Equifinality). Z X X1 X2 X3 Objective Function Zielkriterien (Objective Function) Angestrebt wird eine möglichst genaue Anpassung der Modellberechnungen an die Beobachtungsgrößen, wobei anwendungsorientierte Vorgaben berücksichtigt werden können. Physically based concepts Pros: - Good spatial and temporal resolution - physically based Cons: - High data demand - Spatial data required - Overparameterisation Schematic of MIKE SHE (modified from Refsgaard and Knudsen, 1996). Soil Water Model SVAT: Soil – Vegetation - Atmosphere Soil parameter state condition boundary condition precipitation Surface ETpot fluxes state condition t+1 ETact ponding Root depth Capillary rise Gravel layer Groundwater level Scheme of soil water balance model BOWA recharge Conceptual Models Linearer Speicher / Linear Storage Conceptual Models Modell 1: Modell 2: Linearer Einzelspeicher Nichtlinearer Einzelspeicher QO QO Modell 1: Single linear storage (with soil retention) (Surface Flow) QI Modell 2: Nonlinear Storage (Surface Flow and Interflow) Modell 3: Modell 4: Nichtlinearer Einzelspeicher Mit Infiltrationsmodul Mehrfachspeicher mit Bodenrückhalt und Grundwasser QO Modell 3: Nonlinear Storage with Infiltration Module (Surface Flow and Interflow) QI QI QO ... Oberflächenabfluss QI ... Zwischenabfluss QG ... Basisabfluss Model 4: Multiple Storage with Infiltration Module (Surface Flow, Interflow and Baseflow) QG Conceptual RR-Model Evapotranspiration Rainfall Direct Runoff (Melt) Surface Storage SurfacRunoff Runoff f(bw1, h1, k1) Quick PV Mobile Soil Water h1 bw1 Plant Available Soil Water Interflow FC f(bw1, h2, k2) h2 Stress WP Residual Soil Water Percolation bw2 f(bw1, h2, k3) Baseflow f(bw2, k4) Runoff Model Conceptual Rainfall Runoff Model - Lumped Model - Consideration of quick (surface) flow, interflow and base flow. - Used for continuous rr-modeling and soil moisture accounting - Applied for areas between 100 – 10 000 km2 - Implemented in an integrated runoff forecast system Soil Depth Impact 0 20 10 30 40 10 20 30 20 0 Abfluss [m3/s] 10 0 Akt. Verdunstung 40 / Total runoff Abfluss gesam t Oberflaechen(naher) Abfluss/ Surface runoff / Interflow Interflow / Baseflow Basisabfluss Aktuelle Verdunstung / actual ET Niederschlag / Precipitation 0 10 20 30 Zeit [d] 40 50 60 Niederschlag / Schmelze [mm/d] 50 Shallow Soil Boden Seichtgruendiger Soil Depth Impact 0 20 10 30 40 10 20 30 20 0 Abfluss [m3/s] 10 0 Akt. Verdunstung 40 / Total runoff Abfluss gesam t Oberflaechen(naher) Abfluss/ Surface runoff / Interflow Interflow / Baseflow Basisabfluss Aktuelle Verdunstung / actual ET Niederschlag / Precipitation 0 10 20 30 Zeit [d] 40 50 60 Niederschlag / Schmelze [mm/d] 50 Deep Soil Boden Tiefgruendiger Temporal Scale Effect 5 Precipitation 3 2 0 1 Precip. (mm) 4 hourly rainfall daily rainfall 0 50 100 150 Time (h) 2 4 hourly runoff daily runoff 0 Spec. Discharge (mm) 6 Total Hillslope Runoff 0 50 100 Time (h) 150 Conclusions • Runoff formation is an areal heterogeneous process • It is affected by soil (physical) properties, land use and cover, slope, etc. • The detailed physical processes of infiltration are sparseley known for the catchment scale. • Therefore a conceptualisation (model) substitutes the real system processes. • Areal classification (distribution) of Hydrological Response Units (HRU) improves the physical meaning and the parameterisation. • Land use change may have an (local) impact to the system. Outcomes Unit 3 You should be able to answer the following questions: • • • • • • • • • • • • • • What are Rainfall Runoff Models and what are they used for? Which runoff component contributes more significantly to the streamflow during flood event? (1) Subsurface Interflow or (2) Saturation Overland Flow – Comment your answer! What is the runoff coefficient? Describe the terms Areal Rainfall, Rainfall Excess, Baseflow, Direct Runoff! Describe at least two methods for estimating the runoff excess! What describes the Antecedent Rain (Precipitation) Index API? Rainfall will form higher runoff peaks under (1) dry or (2) moist antecedent rain conditions? Comment your answer! What is the Unit Hydrograph? You have an area of 5 km2 and a rainfall event with 16 mm rain depth. The runoff coefficient of the basin is 25%. How big is the direct runoff volume of this event in m3. What is the aim of parameter (model) calibration? What is an objective function with respect to model calibration? Give one example of an objective function for model calibration (fitting of hydrographs) How can Rainfall Runoff Models be classified? Which soils allow higher peak runoff: (1) shallow or (2) deep soils? Comment your answer! Specialisation courses Follow up courses • • • • • Possible impact of climate change on water resources (816.342) Flood forecasting and flood protection (816.325) Application of GIS in Hydrology and Water Management(816.323) Seminary surface hydrology (816.305) Integrated flood risk management (816.336)