LAPORAN PROJEK KAJIAN PEMBANGUNAN RANGKAIAN

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LAPORAN PROJEK
/
KAJIAN PEMBANGUNAN RANGKAIAN NEURAL UNTUK PERAMALAN
PASARAN NIAGA HADAPAN
KIIAIRIL ISZUDDIN ISMAIL
Laporan projek ini dikemukakansebagaimemenuhisebahagiandaripada
syaratpenganugerahan
ljazah SarjanaMuda SainsKomputer
FAKULTI SAINS KOMPUTER DAN SISTEM MAKLUMAT
UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MAI,AYSIA
IV
ABSTRAK
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t
Kajian ini adalah satu kajian terhadappembangunanrangkaian neural untuk
peramalanpasaranniaga hadapan.Ianya melibatkanpembangunanbeberapamodel
rangkaian neural yang berbeza dafi segi jumlah nod input dan dan kaedah prapemprosesan.Prototaip ini kemudiannya dilatih. Kerana tujuan pembangunan
rangkaian noural untuk peramalan,set data untuk ujian adalahberbeza denganset
data latihan. Hasil, semuanyaakan dibezakan rnelalui graf statistik untuk
mengenalpastihasil yang terbaik.Hasil terbaik adalahhasil.darisegi kombinasi
parameter-parameter
yang terbaik dapatditemui sepanjangkajian. Kajian ini
mengkhususkankepada data pasaranniaga hadapankelapa sawit tempatanyang
diniagakan di COMMEX.
ABSTRACT
This is a researchon developinga neuralnetwork
i
for the purposeof
forecastingthe futuresmarket.This will involve
in developinga number of neural
network models that will be differentiatein the
numberof input nodesand in the
way dataare preprocessed.Models will be trained.
For the purposeof forecasting,
thesemodelswill be testedon a different set of
datathan the one usedfor training.
Resultswill then be analysisthrough statisticalgraphs
to identify
the best output.
The bestresult is definedin the best combination parameters
of
that is found through
out the research.This researchwill be using data
from the crude palm oil market
tradedin COMMEX, Malaysia.
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