이젠 정말 안녕 QE~~ 

Transcription

이젠 정말 안녕 QE~~ 
 제이콥킴의 오늘의 미국 시장 (수요일, 10/29/14) 이젠 정말 안녕 QE~~ Indexes DJIA S&P 500 Nasdaq Russell 2000 VIX Close 16,974.31 1,982.30 4,549.23 1,146.37 15.15 Change (pts) ‐31.44 ‐2.75 ‐15.07 ‐3.08 0.76 Change (%) ‐0.18% ‐0.14% ‐0.33% ‐0.27% 5.28% YTD (%) 2.40% 7.25% 8.92% ‐1.48% 10.42% 
대망의 2014 년 10 월… 멀게만 느껴지던 그날이 오늘 우리위에 임하셨으니, 오늘이 바로 FOMC 연설문 발표! 
주된 내용은 모두들 알고 있었기에, 이미 주가에 다 반영된 사실: “지난 5 년간 지속된 QE 를 이번달로 끝내겠어욧!” 
모두들 알고 있었기에, 뭐 그리 크게 놀랄 일은 아니었지만… 근래 세계 경제 성장 저조와 디플레이션에 대한 우려 등으로 “혹시나 QE 계속인가” 라는 마음이 있었던지, 연준위 여왕께서 말씀을 하사 하시자 시장은 춤을 추더이다~~ 여왕님 한마디에 정신 못차리는 Dow 지수! (이병헌 왈 “부끄러운 줄 아시오!”) FOMC Action! 
그렇다고, Janet Yellen 이 “그냥 QE 계속 할께욧”이라며 변덕을 부렸다 하더라도… 아마 시장은 똑같이 반응했을거야… (“어머, 경제가 그렇게 안좋아? 팔자, 팔어~~”) 
어쨌든 전반적인 미국 경제에 대해 덕담(?)을 많이 해주셨는데… 이게 또 “이자율을 언제 올릴것이냐”의 문제와 더불어 “hawkish”하다고 해석되더이다 ㅋㅋ (Good‐news‐is‐bad‐news Syndrome 은 아직 끝나지 않았다!) This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument, or to participate in any trading strategy. This is not a research report as defined under NYSE Rule 472 or NASD Rule 2711. The indexes are unmanaged. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. They are shown for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments and services are offered through BridgeRock Securiteis LLC, member FINRA/SIPC. Copyright © 2014 BridgeRock Securities, LLC. 대체 이자율은 언제? 
FOMC 연설문에 아직도 살아남은 그 “considerable time”이란 한 단어… 지난달 연설문에는 3 번 나왔는데, 이번에는 딱 1 번 나왔는데… (이거이 어마무시하게 hawkish 한거라이요~~) 
어쨌든… 한번이든 세번이든 당분간 (“considerable time”) 단기 이자율은 밑바닥에 쫙~ 깔아주겠다고 말했지만… 사람들은 당췌 믿지 않더이다! (아무래도 단기채가 연준위의 단기이자율에 영향을 더 받을수 밖에 없으니까~) o
o
iShares 1‐3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) ‐0.13% iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) +0.23% 
지금까지 투자자들은 (그리고 연준위도 암시하기는)… 첫번째 이자율 상승은 내년 중순은 되어야 할것이라 했는데… 갑자기 수개월 후부터 이자율이 올라갈 것이라는 이야기들이 솔솔~ 나오기 시작하네~ 
아… 누구말을 들어야 하는거얌? (느낌 아시는 분~ 저한테 연락 좀 주세요~~) 내일(10/29)도 실적 발표는 계속된다! 
Market cap 이 $10 billion 이상되거나, 아니면 좀 유명한것으로 추려보았소~~ (어제와 그제는 “$10”라고 썼더이다. 죄송… 주가가 아닙니다, “주식시가총액”이어요~~) AMT IVZ HAR ABC APD BG BWA CAH CI CME COP EPD FIS HST JCI K MA American Tower Corporation Invesco Ltd. Harman International AmerisourceBergen Air Products & Chemicals Inc. Bunge Limited BorgWarner Inc. Cardinal Health, Inc. Cigna Corp. CME Group Inc. ConocoPhillips Enterprise Products Partners Fidelity National Information Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. Johnson Controls Inc. Kellogg Company MasterCard Incorporated Financial Financial Consumer Goods Services Basic Materials Consumer Goods Consumer Goods Services Healthcare Financial Basic Materials Basic Materials Technology Financial Consumer Goods Consumer Goods Financial REIT ‐ Diversified Asset Management Electronic Equipment Drugs Wholesale Chemicals ‐ Major Diversified Farm Products Auto Parts Drugs Wholesale Health Care Plans Investment Brokerage ‐ National Independent Oil & Gas Independent Oil & Gas Information Technology Services REIT ‐ Hotel/Motel Auto Parts Processed & Packaged Goods Credit Services This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument, or to participate in any trading strategy. This is not a research report as defined under NYSE Rule 472 or NASD Rule 2711. The indexes are unmanaged. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. They are shown for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments and services are offered through BridgeRock Securiteis LLC, member FINRA/SIPC. Copyright © 2014 BridgeRock Securities, LLC. MGM MO MOS MPC NI NOV PEG PGR TRI TWC XEL APO AVP CVI CCI EMN ESS EXPE FLR FLT LNKD MYL NEM PSA RSG SBUX GRPN GPRO TSO MGM Resorts International Altria Group Inc. The Mosaic Company Marathon Petroleum NiSource Inc. National Oilwell Varco, Inc. Public Service Enterprise Progressive Corp. Thomson Reuters Corporation Time Warner Cable Inc. Xcel Energy Inc. Apollo Global Management Avon Products Inc. CVR Energy, Inc. Crown Castle International Eastman Chemical Co. Essex Property Trust Inc. Expedia Inc. Fluor Corporation FleetCor Technologies, Inc. LinkedIn Corporation Mylan, Inc. Newmont Mining Corporation Public Storage Republic Services, Inc. Starbucks Corporation Groupon, Inc. Technology GoPro, Inc. Tesoro Corporation Services Consumer Goods Basic Materials Basic Materials Utilities Diversified Basic Materials Utilities Financial Services Services Utilities Financial Consumer Goods Basic Materials Technology Basic Materials Financial Services Industrial Goods Services Technology Healthcare Basic Materials Financial Industrial Goods Services Internet Consumer Goods Basic Materials Resorts & Casinos Cigarettes Agricultural Chemicals Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Utilities Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Diversified Utilities Property & Casualty Insurance Publishing ‐ Periodicals CATV Systems Electric Utilities Diversified Investments Personal Products Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Diversified Communication Services Chemicals ‐ Major Diversified REIT ‐ Residential Lodging Heavy Construction Business Services Internet Information Providers Drugs ‐ Generic Gold REIT ‐ Industrial Waste Management Specialty Eateries Information Providers Photographic Equipment & Supplies Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument, or to participate in any trading strategy. This is not a research report as defined under NYSE Rule 472 or NASD Rule 2711. The indexes are unmanaged. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. They are shown for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments and services are offered through BridgeRock Securiteis LLC, member FINRA/SIPC. Copyright © 2014 BridgeRock Securities, LLC.