University of Bergen 5

Program for the 37th Meeting of the Norwegian Association for
Economists (Forskermøtet)
University of Bergen 5-6 January, 2015
Monday, January 5
9.00-9.45:
Registration & Coffee
9.45-10.00:
Welcome by Head of Economics Department, UiB, Jan Erik
Askildsen
«Egget»
10.00-10.45:
Tommy Stahl Gabrielsen: Can Price Fixing Improve Welfare?
«Egget»
11.00-13.00:
Parallel sessions I
Invited session: Work and Welfare
Contributed sessions:
Behavioral Economics
Political Economy I
Empirical Economics
Resource Wealth
Macroeconomics I
13.00-14.00:
Lunch
14.00-16.00:
Parallel sessions II
Invited session: Economic Development in China
Contributed sessions:
Human Capital
Microeconomics
Taxation and Public Economics
Agriculture
Environmental Economics I
16.15-17.00:
Trond Olsen: On the 2014 Nobel laureate in economics
18.30:
Turn out at Fløibanen – see information document
19.00:
Conference Dinner at Fløien Folkerestaurant
«Egget»
A
B
C
D
E
«Egget»
A
B
C
D
E
«Egget»
Tuesday, January 6
09.15:
Morning coffee
9.30-11.30:
Parallel sessions III
Invited session: Entrepreneurship and Innovation
Contributed sessions:
Development
Macroeconomics II
Environmental Economics II
Political Economy II
11.45-12.30: Shelly Lundberg: Inequality and Non-Cognitive Skills
«Egget»
A
B
C
D
«Egget»
12.30-13.30: Lunch
13.30-15.30: Parallel sessions IV
Invited session: Climate Economics
Contributed sessions:
International Economics
Industrial Organization
Empirical Labor Economics
Fisheries
«Egget»
A
B
C
D
Monday 5 January, 11.00-13.00
Invited Session I:
WORK AND WELFARE
Chair: Kjell Erik Lommerud
“Egget”
Gatekeeping versus monitoring: Evidence from a case with extended self-reporting of sickness
absence
Gaute Torsvik (with Kjell Vaage)
Promoting integration of immigrants: Effects of free child care on child enrollment and parental
employment
Kjetil Telle
Single mothers and their children: Evaluating a work-encouraging welfare reform
Kjell Erik Lommerud (with Katrine V. Løken and Katrine H. Reiso)
Contributed Sessions I:
BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS
Chair: Ingeborg Solli
A
Are Americans more meritocratic and efficiency seeking than Scandinavians?
Alexander W. Cappelen (with Ingvild Almås and Bertil Tungodden)
Discussant: Sigve Tjøtta
You’ll never walk alone
Sigve Tjøtta
Discussant: Mathias Ekström
Fairness in a Winner-Takes-all Society
Mathias Ekström (with Bjørn Bartling, Alexander W. Cappelen, Bertil Tungodden)
Discussant: Ingeborg Solli
Lagging behind the Joneses: The Impact of relative Earnings on Job Separation
Ingeborg Solli (with Mari Rege)
Discussant: Alexander W. Cappelen
POLITICAL ECONOMY I
Chair: Ole Henning Nyhus
Municipalities’ decision to care – at home or in a nursing home
Theis Theisen
Discussant: Fred Schroyen
Parallel sessions I, 11.00-13.00
B
Monday 5 January, 11.00-13.00
Optimal provider payment under rationing by random waits
Fred Schroyen (with Hugh Gravelle)
Discussant: Gjermund Grimsby
On the performance of direct lending programs. Evidence from Norway
Gjermund Grimsby
Discussant: Ole Henning Nyhus
Balanced budget regulations and local government production: More for less?
Ole Henning Nyhus
Discussant: Theis Theisen
EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS
Chair: Øivind A. Nilsen
C
Nonlinearities in the oil price – NOK relation
Saskia ter Ellen
Discussant: Elias Braunfels
Taxes, Spending, and Economic Growth: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach
Elias Braunfels
Discussant: Xianwen Chen
Stated Preference Data Enrichment, Model Calibration, and Market Share Predictions
Xianwen Chen
Discussant: Øivind A. Nilsen
Producer’s Price Adjustments: Structural Micro Evidence of the Menu Cost Function
Øivind A. Nilsen (with Wilko Letterie)
Discussant: Saskia ter Ellen
RESOURCE WEALTH
Chair: Martin Seneca
D
Resource wealth and Ricardian equivalence
Klaus Mohn
Discussant: Lin Ma
Optimal Asset Allocation for Commodity Sovereign Wealth Funds
Lin Ma (with Alfonso A. Irarrazabal)
Discussant: Jan Morten Dyrstad
Resource curse avoidance: Governmental intervention and wage formation in the Norwegian
petroleum sector
Jan Morten Dyrstad
Discussant: Martin Seneca
Parallel sessions I, 11.00-13.00
Monday 5 January, 11.00-13.00
Notes on the Underground: Monetary Policy in Resource-Rich Economies
Martin Seneca (with Andrea Ferrero)
Discussant: Klaus Mohn
MACROECONOMICS I
Chair: Drago Bergholt
Oil and macroeconomic (in)stability
Vegard Høghaug Larsen (with Hilde C. Bjørnland)
Discussant: Theo Schewe
Monetary Policy Regimes and the Nordic Model
Theo Schewe
Discussant: Tommy Sveen
Immigration, Capacity Utilization and Monetary Policy
Tommy Sveen (with Gisle Natvig)
Discussant: Drago Bergholt
Oil Exports and the Reallocation Effects of Terms of Trade Fluctuations
Drago Bergholt (with Martin Seneca)
Discussant: Vegard Høghaug Larsen
Parallel sessions I, 11.00-13.00
E
Invited Session II:
Monday 5 January, 14.00-16.00
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN CHINA
Chair: Halvor Mehlum
“Egget”
The cost of a growth miracle -- reassessing poverty and inequality trends in China
Ingvild Almås (with Å. Johnsen)
Will China escape the middle-income trap: a politico-economic theory of growth and state
capitalism
Yikai Wang
China's savings multiplier
Halvor Mehlum (with R. Torvik, S. Valente)
Contributed Sessions II:
HUMAN CAPITAL
Chair: Sturla A. Løkken
A
Family dissolution and children’s educational outcomes. Correlation or causality?
Marie Husøy Sæther
Discussant: Trude Gunnes
Immigration and Student Achievement Assimilation: The Role of Source Country Characteristics
Trude Gunnes (with Jonas M. Kinge)
Discussant: Marie Husøy Sæther
Education Spending and Intergenerational Mobility
Sturla A. Løkken (with Audun Langørgen)
Discussant: Espen Bratberg
MICROECONOMICS
Chair: Olvar Bergland
A Trust Game in Loss Domain
Ola Kvaløy (with Miguel Luzuriaga)
Discussant: Øyvind N. Aas
Economic Governance, Incomplete Contracts and Search Frictions
Øyvind N. Aas
Discussant: Øivind Schøyen
Why do the powerful often fail to promote the morality of their authority?
Øivind Schøyen
Discussant: Olvar Bergland
Parallel sessions II, 14.00-16.00
B
Monday 5 January, 14.00-16.00
Benefit Transfer Without Apology A Decision Theoretic Approach
Olvar Bergland
Discussant: Ola Kvaløy
TAXATION AND PUBLIC ECONOMICS
Chair: Frikk Nesje
C
Should the Norwegian corporate tax rate be reduced?
Geir H. M. Bjertnæs
Discussant: Frikk Nesje
Optimal taxation of investors and workers
Arnaldur Solvi Kristjansson
Discussant: Steinar Vagstad
Discounting Disentagled: An Expert Survey on the Determinants of the Long-Term Social Discount
Rate
Frikk Nesje (with Moritz A. Drupp, Mark C. Freeman, Ben Groom)
Discussant: Geir H. M. Bjertnæs
AGRICULTURE
Chair: Anna Milford
An age-structured bioeconomic model continuous in time and age
Stein Ivar Steinshamn (with Peter Golubtsov)
Discussant: Klaus Mittenzwei
Hot Cognition in agricultural policy preferences in Norway
Klaus Mittenzwei (with Stefan Mann, Karen Refsgaard, Valborg Kvakkestad)
Discussant: Anders Skonhoft
Livestock and disease spreading. An integrated epidemiological and economic analysis
Anders Skonhoft
Discussant: Anna Milford
Achieving Emission Reduction Targets by Changing Eating Habits in Norway
Anna Milford (with Ibon Galarrage, Luis Maria Abadie, Geir Wæhler Gustavsen)
Discussant: Stein Ivar Steinshamn
Parallel sessions II, 14.00-16.00
D
Monday 5 January, 14.00-16.00
ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS I
Chair: Alessia Russo
E
How does survey mode affect preference elicitation for a complex good? Comparing a valuation
workshop and an internet panel
Erlend Dancke Sandorf (with Margrethe Aanesen, Ståle Navrud)
Discussant: Torben Mideksa
Conservation Contracts
Torben Mideksa (with Bård Harstad)
Discussant: Margrethe Aanesen
Willingness to pay for unfamiliar public goods: Preserving cold water coral in Norway
Margrethe Aanesen (with Claire Armstrong, Micolaj Czajkowski, Jannike Falk-Petersen, Nick Hanley,
Ståle Navrud)
Discussant: Alessia Russo
Compliance Technology and Self-Enforcing Agreements
Alessia Russo (with Bård Harstad, Francesco Lancia)
Discussant: Erlend Dancke Sandorf
Parallel sessions II, 14.00-16.00
Invited Session III:
Tuesday 6 January, 09.30-11.30
ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND INNOVATION
Chair: Eirik Gaard Kristiansen
“Egget”
Innovation by University Employees
Hans Hvide (with Benjamin Jones)
The engines of growth - An empirical examination of growing and shrinking firms
Knut Røed (with Helge Berglann, Rolf Golombek)
Innovation and technology markets
Eirik Gaard Kristiansen (with Richard Gilbert)
Contributed Sessions III:
DEVELOPMENT
Chair: Lars Ivar Oppedal Berge
A
Girl’s Empowerment – A Randomized Field Experiment
Lars Ivar Oppedal Berge (with Vincent Somville, Bertil Tungodden, Kjetil Bjorvatn, Tausi Kida, Linda
Helgesson Sekei)
Discussant: Nina Bruvik Westberg
Exchanging fertilizer for votes?
Nina Bruvik Westberg
Discussant: Cathrin Fløgstad
Domestic Bond Markets in Emerging Economies: The Crowding Out Effect
Cathrin Fløgstad
Discussant: Lars Ivar Oppedal Berge
MACROECONOMICS II
Chair: Kahyati Zahiri Sepideh
B
Bubbles and crises: The role of house prices and credit
Frank Hansen (with André Anundsen, Karsten Gerdrup, Kasper Kragh-Sørensen)
Discussant: Ørjan Robstad
House prices, credit and the effect of monetary policy in Norway: Evidence from Structural VAR
Models
Ørjan Robstad
Discussant: André Anundsen
Did US consumers save for a rainy day before the Great Recession?
André Anundsen (with Ragnar Nymoen)
Discussant: Kahyati Zahiri Sepideh
Parallel sessions III, 09.30-11.30
Tuesday 6 January, 09.30-11.30
Commodity Futures Markets and Commodity Currencies Forecasting
Khayati Zahiri Sepideh (with Tommy Sveen, Francesco Ravazzolo)
Discussant: Frank Hansen
ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS II
Chair: Gunnar S. Eskeland
C
Pareto Improving Climate Policies: Distributing the benefits across generations and regions
Sverre A. C. Kittelsen (With Michael Hoel, Snorre Kverndokk)
Discussant: Eirik Romstad
Nonpoint Source Pollution Contracts – Emission Based Regulations Through Models
Eirik Romstad
Discussant: Eric Nævdal
Inertia risk: Accounting for delayed impacts in catastrophic risk structures and implications for policy
Eric Nævdal (with Anne-Sophie Crépin))
Discussant: Gunnar S. Eskeland
Agglomeration and the Commute
Gunnar S. Eskeland
Discussant: Sverre A. C. Kittelsen
POLITICAL ECONOMY II
Chair: Rune Jansen Hagen
Local favoritism in at-large proportional representation systems
Askill Harkjerr Halse (with Jon H. Fiva)
Discussant: Arne Wiig
Diversification and democracy
Arne Wiig (with Ivar Kolstad)
Discussant: Matteo Alpino
The electoral payoff of fiscal populism: evidence from the 2006 Berlusconi’s campaign
Matteo Alpino
Discussant: Rune Jansen Hagen
Gatekeeper? The IMF, Aid Flows, and Policymaking in Low-Income Countries
Rune Jansen Hagen
Discussant: Askill Harkjerr Halse
Parallel sessions III, 09.30-11.30
E
Invited Session IV:
Tuesday 6 January, 13.30-15.30
CLIMATE ECONOMICS
Chair: Knut Einar Rosendahl
“Egget”
Reciprocal Climate Negotiators: Balancing Anger against Even More Anger
Karine Nyborg
From fossil fuels to renewables: The role of electricity storage
Linda Nøstbakken
How to mitigate carbon leakage
Knut Einar Rosendahl
Contributed Sessions IV:
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
Chair: Carsten Martin Syvertsen
A
Optimal trade policy with monopolistic competition and heterogeneous firms
Jan I. Haaland (with Anthony J. Venables)
Discussant: Hans-Martin Straume
Duration and temporary trade
Hans-Martin Straume (with Frank Asche)
Discussant: Ragnhild Balsvik
Rent sharing with footloose production: Foreign ownership and wages revisited
Ragnhild Balsvik (with Morten Sæthre)
Discussant: Carsten Martin Syvertsen
The Norwegian ice exportation and the Kondratieff curve
Carsten Martin Syvertsen
Discussant: Jan I. Haaland
INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION
Chair: Steffen Juranek
Implications of music subscriptions
Sigbjørn Hjelmbrekke
Discussant: Chen Qu
Endogenous coalition of Intellectual Properties: A Three-Patent Story
Chen Qu
Discussant: Peter Aalen
Parallel sessions IV, 13.30-15.30
B
Tuesday 6 January, 13.30-15.30
Do shopping malls suppress local retail? Empirical evidence from Norwegian counties
Peter Aalen (with Jens Fredrik B. Skogstrøm)
Discussant: Steffen Juranek
The Determinants of litigation investments
Steffen Juranek
Discussant: Sigbjørn Hjelmbrekke
EMPIRICAL LABOR ECONOMICS
Chair: Øystein Hernæs
C
Fathers’ Multiple-Partner Fertility and Children’s Educational Outcomes: Estimates from Norwegian
Data
Astrid Louise Grasdal (with Donna Ginther, Robert Pollack)
Discussant: Astrid Kunze
Women Helping Women? Evidence from private sector data on workplace hierarchies
Astrid Kunze (with Amalia R. Miller)
Discussant: Kristin Dale
Digital exams in introductory courses in economics
Kristin Dale
Discussant: Øystein Hernæs
The effects of activation for welfare – evidence from local social insurance offices
Øystein Hernæs (with Simen Markussen, Knut Røed)
Discussant: Astrid Lousie Grasdal
FISHERIES
Chair: Sturla Kvamsdal
Resource Rent of Norwegian Fisheries – Trends and policies
Lars Lindholt (with Mads Greaker, Kristine Grimsrud)
Discussant: Asle Gauteplass
Conflict and cooperation in an age structured fishery
Asle Gauteplass (with Anders Skonhoft)
Discussant: Duy Nguyen
Economic performance and technical efficiency with different measures of fish stock indices
Duy Nguyen (with Ola Flaaten, Long Kim Le)
Discussant: Sturla Kvamsdal
A Structural Model of Technical Change in a Fishery
Sturla Kvamsdal
Discussant: Lars Lindholt
Parallel sessions IV, 13.30-15.30
D