Market Study Report for the Municipality of Sioux Lookout

Transcription

Market Study Report
for the Municipality of Sioux Lookout
Prepared by:
March 31, 2011
Market Study Report
For the Municipality of Sioux Lookout
Prepared by:
McSweeney & Associates
900 Greenbank Road
Suite 201 Ottawa Ontario
CANADA K2J 1S8
Tel: (613) 825-2896
Or 1-866-304-2896
Fax: (613) 825-2889
Or 1-877-825-2889
E-MAIL:
[email protected]
WEBSITE:
www.mcsweeney.ca
Sioux Lookout Market Study
Table of Contents
4 Statistical Overview of Sioux Lookout.................................................................. 1 5 Demographic Analysis ........................................................................................... 3 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 6 Labour Force Analysis .......................................................................................... 16 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 7 Population and Age Structure Profile ................................................................................... 4 Sioux Lookout Incomes ...................................................................................................... 6 Education ......................................................................................................................... 9 Post-Secondary Field of Study........................................................................................... 11 Migration to Sioux Lookout ............................................................................................... 12 Knowledge of Official Languages ....................................................................................... 14 Dwelling Characteristics ................................................................................................... 15 Key Indicators ................................................................................................................. 17 Labour Force by Industry ................................................................................................. 18 Labour Force by Occupation ............................................................................................. 20 Commuting Patterns ........................................................................................................ 21 Net Import and Export of Labour Force ............................................................................. 22 Economic Base Analysis ....................................................................................... 23 7.1 7.2 Employment Profile .......................................................................................................... 24 Location Quotient Analysis................................................................................................ 26 7.3 Shift-Share Analysis ......................................................................................................... 32 7.2.1 7.2.2 7.2.3 7.2.4 8 Employer Structure Analysis ............................................................................... 36 8.1 Business Sector Analysis................................................................................................... 36 8.2 Business Pattern Analysis ................................................................................................. 38 8.1.1 8.1.2 8.1.3 8.1.4 9 Location Quotients Analysis by Sector ............................................................................................. 27 Dominant Sub-Sectors ....................................................................................................................28 Location Quotients Analysis by Industry Level ..................................................................................29 Location Quotients Compared to Benchmarks ..................................................................................30 Growth
Growth
Growth
Growth
in
in
in
in
Business
Business
Business
Business
Numbers .......................................................................................................... 36 Concentrations ................................................................................................. 37 Concentrations per Capita .................................................................................37 Concentrations by Sector...................................................................................37 Economic Development Trends Analysis ............................................................. 39 9.1 9.2 Site Selection Factors ....................................................................................................... 39 Economic Forecast ........................................................................................................... 42 Appendix A: Data Tables ............................................................................................ 44 Sioux Lookout Market Study
List of Tables and Figures
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1: Statistical Overview of Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010 .......................................................... 1 2: Statistical Overview of 2001-2006 Changes for Sioux Lookout ................................................. 2 3: Population Change from 1996 to 2006, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario ........................................... 4 4: Dwelling Characteristics, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2001, 2006 and 2010 ............................. 15 5: Where the Sioux Lookout Resident Labour Force Works, 2006 .............................................. 21 6: Place of Residence for Persons Working in Sioux Lookout, 2006 ............................................ 21 7: Net Import-Export of Labour Force for Sioux Lookout, 2006.................................................. 22 8: Employment Sub-sectors with High LQ, Sioux Lookout vs. Kenora, 2006 ................................ 31 9: Shift Share Analysis for Sioux Lookout Jobs by Sector, 2001-2006 ......................................... 33 10: Percentage Population by Age, Sioux Lookout, 2001, 2006 and 2010 ................................... 44 11: Percentage Population by Age, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010 .......................................... 45 12: Income Levels with % Change, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2000, 2005 and 2009.................. 46 13: Total Income Levels, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2009 ........................................................ 47 14: Total Income Levels, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2000, 2005 and 2009 ................................ 48 15: Family Income Levels, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2009 ...................................................... 49 16: Household Income Levels, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2009 ................................................ 49 17: Highest Level of Schooling, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2001 ............................................... 50 18: Education Attainment, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2006-2010 .............................................. 50 19: Education Attainment, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010 ...................................................... 51 20: Post-secondary Qualifications by Major Field of Study 2010, Sioux Lookout vs. ON ................ 51 21: Mobility Status, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010 ................................................................ 52 22: Knowledge of Official Language, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010........................................ 52 23: Key Labour Force Indicators, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2001-2006-2010 ............................ 53 24: Labour Force by Industry, Sioux Lookout, 2001-2006-2010 ................................................. 53 25: Labour Force by Industry, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010 ................................................. 54 26: Labour Force by Occupation, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010 ............................................. 54 27: Number of Business by Sector, Sioux Lookout, 2003-2007 .................................................. 56 28: Percentage of Local Business, Sioux Lookout, 2003-2007 .................................................... 57 29: Business Concentration per Capita, Sioux Lookout, 2003-2007 ............................................ 58 30: Business Concentration Sector Mix, Sioux Lookout, 2003-2007 ............................................ 59 31: Top 15 Sub-Sectors by Number of Employers for Sioux Lookout, June 2008 ......................... 59 32: Top 15 Industries by Number of Employers, Sioux Lookout, June 2008 ................................ 60 33: % Change of Total Number of Employers, SL vs. Ontario, June 2003 to June 2008 ............... 61 34: Canadian and Ontario Economic Indicators Outlook ............................................................ 62 35: Global Export Forecast by Sector (% Growth) .................................................................... 62 36: Ontario Merchandise Export Outlook ................................................................................. 62 37: Canadian Industrial Outlook – GDP by Industry .................................................................. 63 38: GDP by Industry Ontario .................................................................................................. 63 39: Canada and Ontario Employment Outlook by Industry – Q1/2011 ........................................ 64 Sioux Lookout Market Study
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1: Percentage Population by Age, Sioux Lookout, 2001, 2006, and 2010 ..................................... 4 2: Percentage Population by Age, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010 ............................................. 5 3: Total Median & Average Income, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2000, 2005 and 2009 .................. 6 4: Household Median & Average Income, Sioux Lookout & ON, 2000, 2005 and 2009 .................. 7 5: Total Income, Sioux Lookout, 2000, 2005 and 2009 .............................................................. 7 6: Total Income, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2009 ..................................................................... 8 7: Education Attainment Breakdown for Sioux Lookout, 2010..................................................... 9 8: Education Attainment, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010 ....................................................... 10 9: Post-Secondary Field of Study, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010 ........................................... 11 10: Mobility Status Breakdown, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 1 Year Ago ..................................... 12 11: Mobility Status Breakdown, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 5 Years Ago .................................... 13 12: Percentage of Official Language, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010 ...................................... 14 13: Average Dwelling Value, Sioux Lookout vs. ON, 2001, 2006 and 2010................................. 15 14: Labour Force Indicators, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2001, 2006 and 2010 .......................... 17 15: Unemployment Rate, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2001, 2006 and 2010 ............................... 18 16: Labour Force by Industry, Sioux Lookout, 2001-2006-2010 ................................................ 18 17: Labour Force by Industry, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010 ................................................ 19 18: Labour Force by Occupation, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010............................................ 20 19: Number of Jobs by Sector for Sioux Lookout, 2006 ........................................................... 24 20: Jobs Distribution, Sioux Lookout vs. Kenora, 2006............................................................. 25 21: Location Quotients by Employment Sectors, Sioux Lookout, 2006 ....................................... 27 22: Employment Sub-sectors with High Location Quotients, Sioux Lookout, 2006 ...................... 28 23: Sioux Lookout Employment Industries with High Location Quotients, 2006 .......................... 29 24: Location Quotients Compared to Kenora, Ontario, Canada, by Sectors, 2006 ....................... 30 25: Sioux Lookout Job Change by Sector, 2001-2006 .............................................................. 32 26: Employment Shift-Share Analysis by Sector, Sioux Lookout, 2001-2006 .............................. 34 27: Site Selection Factors ..................................................................................................... 40 28: Site Selection Factors – Combined Rating* of 2010 Factors ................................................ 41 Sioux Lookout Market Study
1 Statistical Overview of Sioux Lookout
The following table provides a profile of the Municipality of Sioux Lookout using 2010 estimates
of statistical data. These estimates are prepared based on 2006 Census data.
Table 1: Statistical Overview of Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 20101
Topic
Population
Labour
Force
Demographic Variable
Sioux Lookout
Ontario
Total population
5,423
13,293,008
Projected population 2015
5,345
14,211,555
Projected population 2020
5,307
15,196,416
Total population 15 years and over
4,354
11,045,903
In the labour force2
3,443
7,458,212
Participation rate3 (%)
79.1
67.5
Employment rate4 (%)
76.7
63.5
Unemployment rate5 (%)
3.0
6.0
Average total per capita income (2009) ($)
43,761
42,841
Median total per capita income (2009) ($)
39,370
30,822
Average household income (2009) ($)
90,065
85,814
Median household income (2009) ($)
79,076
67,246
Total number of private households
2,012
4,980,115
Average number of persons in private
households
2.65
2.6
Total number of occupied private dwellings
2,012
4,980,115
210,749
371,018
Income ($)
Households
Dwelling
Average value of dwelling ($)
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. Superdemographics 2010.
1
The content of the report is derived from Manifold’s proprietary postal code information. No confidential information about an
individual, household, organization or business has been obtained from Statistics Canada.
2
Labour force - Refers to persons who were either employed or unemployed.
3
Participation rate - Refers to the labour force expressed as a percentage of the population 15 years and over excluding
institutional residents.
4
Employment rate - Refers to the number of persons employed expressed as a percentage of the total population 15 years and over,
excluding institutional residents.
5
Unemployment rate - Refers to the unemployed expressed as a percentage of the labour force.
1
March 31, 2011
The following table provides an overview of statistical changes in Sioux Lookout between 2001
and 2006.
Table 2: Statistical Overview of 2001-2006 Changes for Sioux Lookout
Sioux Lookout
Compared to Ontario (ON)
Topic
Demographic Variable
2001 – 2006
2001
2006
Total Population
Population
Jobs6
Labour
Force
Income ($)
Households
Dwelling
Value
5,336
5,183
Children & Youth (0-19)
Decreased
Youth Adult (20-44)
Decreased
Segments 45 and up
Increased
Percentage Change 20012006
Total population 15 years and
over
17.1%
Decreased while increased in
ON
Segment % greater than ON
average
Segment % greater than ON
average
Segment % smaller than ON
average
Increased at a significantly
faster rate than ON
4,045
4,065
Increased slower than ON
In the labour force
2,870
3,190
Increased faster than ON
Participation rate (%)
71.0
78.5
Employment rate (%)
68.4
75.3
Unemployment rate (%)
3.8
4.2
Average total per capita
32,678
income ($)
Median total per capita
25,594
income ($)
Average household income
65,238
($)
Median household income
55,587
($)
Total number of private
1,925
households
Average number of persons in
2.7
private households
Average value of dwelling
151,399
($)
38,971
34,325
79,374
71,289
1,925
2.7
184,898
Grew significantly faster than
ON
Grew significantly faster than
ON
Grew faster but significantly
lower than ON
Increased at a faster rate than
ON
Increased significantly faster
than ON
ON
ON
Stable while increased in ON
Stable at a slightly faster rate
than ON
Increased at a significantly
slower pace than ON
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada 2001 and 2006 Census data.7
6
Throughout this report, the word “job” is used as a commonly accepted term to refer to the employed labour force declaring a usual
place of employment within Canada (or Ontario or Sioux Lookout as the case may be). It excludes those working in their home,
working outside of Canada, or not having a usual place of employment that they report to at the beginning of a work shift.
7
Census data 2001: Statistics Canada, 2001 Electronic Profile, 95F0495XCB01001-Ont, Profile for Canada, Provinces, Territories,
Census Divisions and Census Subdivisions, 2001 Census.
Census data 2006: Statistics Canada, 2006 Electronic Profile, 94-581-XCB2006001, Profile for Canada, Provinces, Territories, Census
Divisions and Census Subdivisions, 2006 Census.
2
March 31, 2011
2 Demographic Analysis
Highlights

In 2010, the Municipality of Sioux Lookout had a younger population than Ontario.

Between 2000 and 2009, all average and median incomes (total, family, household)
in Sioux Lookout rose, and are higher than those of Ontario. The largest segment of
total income earners was the $60,000+ income level.

The percentage of Sioux Lookout residents who have a college, CEGEP or other
non-university certificate or diploma is higher than the Provincial percentage in
2010.

The percentage of residents who studied Business, management and public
administration is the largest compared to other fields of study, and is higher than in
Ontario.

Residents in Sioux Lookout were less likely to have moved than Ontario residents;
and a smaller percentage of movers are from outside of the country in comparison
to Ontario.

Over 90% of residents in Sioux Lookout speak English only. Less than 10% of
residents are bilingual (English and French).

The average value of dwellings in Sioux Lookout increased from $151,399 in 2001
to $210,749 in 2010. These values are lower than the provincial average.
3
March 31, 2011
2.1 Population and Age Structure Profile
Table 3, derived from 2001 and 2006 Census data, illustrates the population change in Sioux
Lookout from 1996 to 2006 in comparison to Ontario.
 According to the census data, the population in Sioux Lookout decreased between 2001
and 2006, while it increased in Ontario.
Table 3: Population Change from 1996 to 2006, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario
Sioux Lookout Population Count
% Change from Previous Census
Ontario Population Count
% Change from Previous Census
1996
5,165
10,753,573
2001
5,336
3.3
11,410,046
6.1
2006
5,183
-2.9
12,160,282
6.6
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2001, 2006
Figure 1 and Table 10 in the Appendix represent the changing demographics of Sioux Lookout
between 2001 and 2010. The following are some key observations:
 The fastest growing age segments are between 50-64 years of age.
 The 35-44 age segments declined sharply as a percentage of the total population.
 The 0-14 age segments also declined as a percentage of the total population.
Figure 1: Percentage Population by Age, Sioux Lookout, 2001, 2006, and 2010
12.0
Sioux Lookout 2001 %
10.0
Percentage
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
Age Group
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2001, 2006 and Manifold Data Mining Inc. Superdemographics
2010
4
March 31, 2011
Table 11 in the Appendix, and Figure 2 (below) indicate that in 2010:
 The 45-49 age segments are the largest of all age segments in both Sioux Lookout and
Ontario.
 Sioux Lookout’s population (as a percentage of the total population) aged 55+ years is
significantly less than that of Ontario.
 Sioux Lookout’s population (as a percentage of the total population) aged less than 49
years is larger than that of Ontario.
 Overall, Sioux Lookout’s age profile indicates a younger population than that of Ontario.
Figure 2: Percentage Population by Age, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010
10.0
9.0
ON 2010 %
8.0
Percentage
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
Age Group
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. Superdemographics 2010
5
March 31, 2011
2.2 Sioux Lookout Incomes
Based upon Figures 3 to 6, as well as Tables 12 to 16 in the Appendix, the following
observations8 can be made with respect to incomes:
 All average and median incomes (total, family, household) in Sioux Lookout increased
between 2000 and 2009.
 The Sioux Lookout median total income and median household income rose more quickly
than Ontario between 2001 and 2010. And it is now significantly higher than Ontario.
 In 2009, Sioux Lookout had a higher percentage of residents with incomes over $45,000
than did Ontario.
 With respect to total income changes from 2000 to 2009, the percentage of the
population making more than $60,000 was the largest income segment and has been
increasing since 2000.
Figure 3: Total Median & Average Income, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2000, 2005 and 2009
50,000
45,000
Sioux Lookout Average total income
Sioux Lookout Median total income
Ontario Average total income
Ontario Median total income
Incomes $
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
2000
2005
Year
2009
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2001 (2000 incomes) and 2006 (2005 incomes) and Manifold
Data Mining Inc. Superdemographics 2010 (2009 incomes)
8
Please note that Census data (2001 and 2006) is not exactly comparable to Superdemographics data (2009) estimates.
6
March 31, 2011
Figure 4: Household Median & Average Income, Sioux Lookout & ON, 2000, 2005 and 2009
100,000
90,000
Sioux Lookout Average household income
Sioux Lookout Median household income
Ontario Average household income
Ontario Median household income
Incomes $
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
2000
2005
Year
2009
Figure 5: Total Income, Sioux Lookout, 2000, 2005 and 2009
25.0
Percentage
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
Income levels
Data Mining Inc. Superdemographics 2010 (2009 incomes).
7
March 31, 2011
Figure 6: Total Income, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2009
Percentage
20.0
18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
ON 2009 %
Income Levels
Data Mining Inc. Superdemographics 2010 (2009 incomes).
8
March 31, 2011
2.3 Education
Figures 7 and 8, and Tables 17 to 19 in the Appendix, outline the education levels obtained by
Sioux Lookout’s residents (aged 25-64) for 2001, 2006 and 2010 as compared to Ontario
averages.9
The following figure provides a visual breakdown of the educational attainment levels of the
Sioux Lookout population aged 25-64 in 2010. Definitions may be found in the footnotes.
Figure 7: Education Attainment Breakdown for Sioux Lookout, 201010
Total population* (100%)
Certificate,
diploma or
degree (79.6%)
High school
certificate or
equivalent
(19.4%)
Apprentice ship
or trades
certificate or
diploma (10.5%)
No certificate,
diploma or
degree (20.4%)
College, CEGEP or
other nonuniversity
certificate or
diploma (28.9%)
University
certificate,
diploma or
degree (20.9%)
University
certificate or
diploma below
bachelor level
(3.7%)
University
certificate or
diploma (17.2%)
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. Superdemographics 2010. *Population aged 25 to 64 in Sioux
Lookout.
9
2001 Census data is not directly comparable to 2006 Census data.
10
'Highest certificate, diploma or degree' refers to the highest certificate, diploma or degree completed based on a hierarchy which is
generally related to the amount of time spent 'in-class.' For postsecondary completers, a university education is considered to be a
higher level of schooling than a college education, while a college education is considered to be a higher level of education than in the
trades. Although some trades requirements may take as long or longer to complete than a given college or university program, the
majority of time is spent in on-the-job paid training and less time is spent in the classroom. 'High school certificate or equivalent'
includes persons who have graduated from a secondary school or equivalent. Excludes persons with a postsecondary certificate,
diploma or degree. Examples of postsecondary institutions include community colleges, institutes of technology, CEGEPs, private trade
schools, private business colleges, schools of nursing and universities. 'College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma'
replaces the category 'Other non-university certificate or diploma' used in previous censuses. This category includes accreditation by
non-degree-granting institutions such as community colleges, CEGEPs, private business colleges and technical institutes.
9
March 31, 2011
Based on the following table, it can be concluded that:
 The percentage of Sioux Lookout residents who have a college, CEGEP or other nonuniversity certificate or diploma is higher than the Provincial percentage in 2010.
 The percentage of Sioux Lookout residents who have a university certificate or diploma is
lower than Ontario in 2010.
Figure 8: Education Attainment, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010
2010 Sioux Lookout %
University certificate or degree
2010 Ontario %
Education Attainment Level
University certificate or diploma below bachelor level
University certificate, diploma or degree
College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or
diploma
Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma
High school certificate or equivalent
Certificate, diploma or degree
No certificate, diploma or degree
0.0
20.0
40.0
Percentage
60.0
80.0
100.0
10
March 31, 2011
2.4 Post-Secondary Field of Study
For 2010 post-secondary qualifications of persons aged 25-64, the following observation can be
made from Figure 9 and Table 20 (in the Appendix)11:
 The largest field of study was in the Business, management and public administration
field.
 The Architecture, engineering, and related technologies and was also a large field of
study but not as large as in Ontario.
 The Health, parks, recreation and fitness field of study was significantly higher than in
Ontario.
Figure 9: Post-Secondary Field of Study, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 201012
Educational, recreational and counselling services
Fine and applied arts
Ontario 2010 %
Humanities and related fields
Field of Study
Social and behavioural sciences and law
Business, management and public administration
Physical and life sciences and technologies
Mathematics, computer and information sciences
Architecture, engineering, and related technologies
Agriculture, natural resources and conservation
Health, parks, recreation and fitness
Personal, protective and transportation services
Other fields of study
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
Percentage
11
Changes in census variables do not allow a direct comparison of 2001 and 2006 post-secondary fields of study.
'Field of study' is defined as the main discipline or subject of learning. It is collected for the highest certificate, diploma or degree
above the high school or secondary school level.
12
11
March 31, 2011
2.5 Migration to Sioux Lookout
The mobility (refers to whether or not people lived in the same dwelling unit either one year or
five years ago) of Sioux Lookout residents in 2010 can be seen in Figures 10 to 11, and Table 21
(in the Appendix).
The following figure is a visual breakdown of the mobility status in Sioux Lookout compared to
Ontario (2010 estimates data). Definitions may be found in the footnotes.
Figure 10: Mobility Status Breakdown, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 1 Year Ago 13
In 2010, the percentage of Sioux Lookout residents that had moved within the previous year
(16.8% movers) was more than the percentage of “movers” in Ontario. People moving to Sioux
Lookout were more likely to be relocating from other parts of Ontario as opposed to moving from
outside of the province.






13
Non-movers are persons who were living at the same address as the one at which they resided one year earlier.
Movers are persons who were living at a different address from the one at which they resided one year earlier.
Non-migrants are movers who were living at a different address, but in the same census subdivision (CSD) as the one they
lived in one year earlier.
Migrants are movers who were residing in a different CSD one year earlier (internal migrants) or who were living outside
Canada one year earlier (external migrants).
Intraprovincial migrants are movers who were living in a different CSD from the one at which they resided one year earlier,
in the same province.
Interprovincial migrants are movers who were living in a different CSD from the one at which they resided one year earlier,
in a different province.
12
March 31, 2011
Figure 11: Mobility Status Breakdown, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 5 Years Ago
Figure 11 compares the mobility of Sioux Lookout residents five years ago to that of Ontario. The
percentage of Sioux Lookout residents that had moved within the past five years was still larger
than the percentage of “movers” in Ontario. People moving to Sioux Lookout were still more
likely to be relocating from other parts of Ontario as opposed to moving from outside of the
province.
13
March 31, 2011
2.6 Knowledge of Official Languages
Figure 12 and Table 22 (in the Appendix) illustrate the official languages spoken in Sioux Lookout
compared to the averages for Ontario in 2010:
 Over 90% of residents in Sioux Lookout speak English only.
 Less than 10% of residents are bilingual (English and French) in Sioux Lookout. This
percentage is lower than in Ontario.
Figure 12: Percentage of Official Language, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010
100.0
90.0
Ontario 2010 %
80.0
Percentage
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
English only
French only
English and French
Official Languages
Neither English nor
French
In addition to official languages, over 10% of residents in Sioux Lookout are knowledgeable in
aboriginal languages:



Cree (1.9% of residents);
Ojibway (4.5% of residents);
Oji-Cree (3.1% of residents).
14
March 31, 2011
2.7 Dwelling Characteristics
Table 4 and Figure 13 present dwelling characteristics in Sioux Lookout for 2001, 2006 and
201014 as compared to Ontario:
 The total number of dwellings in Sioux Lookout increased from 1,925 in 2001 to 2,012 in
2010.
 The percentages of owned and rented dwellings in Sioux Lookout were stable during the
period between 2001 and 2010.
 The average value of dwellings in Sioux Lookout increased from $151,399 in 2001 to
$210,749 in 2010, and is lower than Ontario.
Table 4: Dwelling Characteristics, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2001, 2006 and 2010
2001
2006
2010
Sioux
Sioux
Sioux
Lookout
Ontario
Lookout
Ontario
Lookout
Ontario
Total number of
1,925
4,219,410
1,925
4,555,030
2,012
4,980,115
dwellings15
% of owned dwellings
70%
80%
70%
80%
70%
70%
% of rented dwellings
30%
20%
30%
20%
30%
30%
Average value of
151,399
199,884
184,898
297,479
210,749
371,018
dwelling16 ($)
2010
Figure 13: Average Dwelling Value, Sioux Lookout vs. ON, 2001, 2006 and 2010
400,000
Sioux Lookout
Average value of dwelling ($)
350,000
ON
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
2001
2006
Year
2010
2010
14
2010 Manifold Data Mining Inc. Superdemographics 2010 (based on the self-reported values of the 2006 census adjusted for
inflation).
15
Dwelling refers to a set of living quarters in which a person or a group of persons resides or could reside, and includes all forms of
rental units as well as single family homes.
16
Dwelling value is not the same as average home value.
15
March 31, 2011
3 Labour Force Analysis
Highlights

In 2010, the employment rate in Sioux Lookout (79.1%) was significantly higher
than Ontario (63.5%); the unemployment rate was significantly lower than Ontario
(3.0% vs. 6.0%).

Compared to Ontario, a higher percentage of the labour force in Sioux Lookout
worked in the following industries:
o Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting
o Transportation and warehousing
o Health care and social assistance
o Accommodation and food services
o Educational services
o Public administration.

The number of jobs in Sioux Lookout exceeded the number of labour force
participants, thus making Sioux Lookout a net ‘importer’ of at least 140 employees
from other communities (such as Dryden and Thunder Bay).

Almost all of Sioux Lookout’s labour force worked in Sioux Lookout.

Sioux Lookout residents who commute to work outside of Sioux Lookout work in
the following industries:
o Mining and oil and gas extraction
o Utilities
o Real estate and rental and leasing
o Arts, entertainment and recreation
o Other services (except public administration).
This section examines the characteristics of the labour force that resides in Sioux Lookout,
regardless of work location.
16
March 31, 2011
3.1 Key Indicators
Figures 14 and 15, along with Table 23 in the Appendix, provide a comparison of key labour force
indicators for Sioux Lookout and Ontario from 2001 to 2010 (2010 estimates). The following
observations can be made17:
 In 2001, 2006, and 2010, the labour force participation rates and employment rates were
significantly higher in Sioux Lookout compared to the Provincial rate.
 Since 2001, the unemployment rate in Sioux Lookout has decreased and is significantly
lower than the Provincial rate.
Figure 14: Labour Force Indicators, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2001, 2006 and 2010
85.0
80.0
75.0
Percentage
70.0
65.0
60.0
55.0
Sioux Lookout Participation rate
50.0
Sioux Lookout Employment rate
Ontario Participation rate
45.0
Ontario Employment rate
40.0
2001
2006
Year
2010
2010
17
Participation rate %=labour force/total population 15+
Employment rate %= employed/total population 15+
Unemployment rate %=unemployed/labour force
17
March 31, 2011
Figure 15: Unemployment Rate, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2001, 2006 and 2010
8.0
Sioux Lookout Unemployment rate
Ontario Unemployment rate
7.0
Percentage
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
2001
2006
Year
2010
2010
3.2 Labour Force by Industry
Figure 16 and Table 24 (in the Appendix) indicate that the experienced labour force in the Health
care and social assistance industry had the largest percentage increase between 2001 and 2010,
with an estimated increase of 140 jobs.
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
Public administration
Health care and social
assistance
Arts, entertainment and
recreation
Accommodation and food
services
Other services (except public
administration)
Educational services
Real estate and rental and
leasing
Professional, scientific and
technical services
Management of companies
and enterprises
Administrative and support,
waste management and…
Finance and insurance
Transportation and
warehousing
Information and cultural
industries
Retail trade
Wholesale trade
Manufacturing
Construction
0.0
Utilities
5.0
Agriculture, forestry, fishing
and hunting
Mining and oil and gas
extraction
Percentage
Figure 16: Labour Force by Industry, Sioux Lookout, 2001-2006-2010
Industry
2010
18
March 31, 2011
25.0
Sioux Lookout%
20.0
Ontario %
15.0
10.0
Health care and social
assistance
Arts, entertainment and
recreation
Accommodation and food
services
administration)
Real estate and rental and
leasing
Professional, scientific and
technical services
Management of companies
and enterprises
Admin. and support, waste
mgmt and remediation services
Transportation and
warehousing
Information and cultural
industries
Retail trade
Wholesale trade
Manufacturing
Construction
0.0
Utilities
5.0
Agriculture, forestry, fishing
and hunting
Mining and oil and gas
extraction
Percentage
Figure 17: Labour Force by Industry, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010
Industry
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining’s Superdemographics 2010.
Figure 17 and Table 25 (in the Appendix) demonstrate the estimated percentage of the labour
force by industry in 2010 relative to Ontario.
In 2010, a larger percentage of Sioux Lookout’s resident labour force worked in the following
industries as compared to Ontario:

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting

Transportation and warehousing

Health care and social assistance

Accommodation and food services


Public administration.
A smaller percentage of Sioux Lookout’s resident labour force, as compared to Ontario, worked
in:

Construction

Manufacturing

Wholesale trade


Information and cultural industries

Professional, scientific and technical services

Admin. And support, waste management and remediation services

Other services (except public administration).
19
March 31, 2011
3.3 Labour Force by Occupation
Figure 18 and Table 26 (in the Appendix) compare the estimated percentages of the labour force
in Sioux Lookout and Ontario by occupation for 2010.
In comparison to Ontario, Sioux Lookout has larger percentages of its labour force working in:
 Trades, transport and equipment operators and related
 Social science, education, government service and religion
 Health.
In contrast, Sioux Lookout has smaller percentages of its labour force, as compared to Ontario,
working in:
 Management
 Unique to primary industry
 Business, finance and administration
 Arts, culture, recreation and sport
 Unique to processing, manufacturing and utilities.
Figure 18: Labour Force by Occupation, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010
Sioux Lookout %
25.0
Ontario %
20.0
10.0
5.0
Unique to
processing, manufacturing
and utilities
Unique to primary
industry
Trades, transport
and equipment operators
and related
Occupations
Sales and service
Art, culture,
recreation and sport
Social science,
education, government
service and religion
Health
Natural and applied
sciences and related
Business, finance
and administration
0.0
Management
Percentage
15.0
Source: McSweeney & Associates Manifold Data Mining Inc. Superdemographics 2010.
20
March 31, 2011
3.4 Commuting Patterns
The following two tables provide information on persons reporting a “usual place of work other
than in their home or outside of Canada”, and reveal the following regarding labour force
commuting patterns with respect to Sioux Lookout in 200618:
 Almost all the Sioux Lookout resident labour force worked in Sioux Lookout.
 The majority of the Sioux Lookout resident labour force who worked outside of Sioux
Lookout commuted to work in Thunder Bay.
 The largest number of non-resident labour force commuting to work in Sioux Lookout
travelled from Dryden and Thunder Bay.
 0.9% of the workers living in Sioux Lookout had a usual place of work outside of Sioux
Lookout.
 10.5% of workers declaring a usual place of work in Sioux Lookout lived outside of Sioux
Lookout.
Table 5: Where the Sioux Lookout Resident Labour Force Works, 2006
Total
2,655
25
2,680
Male
1,280
10
1,290
Female
1,375
15
1,390
Total resident labour force with a usual place of work outside of Sioux Lookout 25
0.9%
Percent of residents declaring a place of work outside of Sioux Lookout
10
0.8%
15
1.1%
Place of Work
Sioux Lookout
Thunder Bay
Total Resident Labour Force
Source: McSweeney & Associates, Statistic Canada, Commuting Flow Census Subdivisions: Sex (3) for the Employed Labour Force 15
Years and Over Having a Usual Place of Work of Census Subdivisions, Flows Greater than or Equal to 20, 2006 Census - 20% Sample
Data. http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2006/dp-pd/tbt/Rpeng.cfm?TABID=1&LANG=E&A=R&APATH=3&DETAIL=0&DIM=0&FL=A&FREE=0&GC=0&GID=3560034&GK=0&GRP=1&O=D&PID=
90656&PRID=0&PTYPE=88971,97154&S=1&SHOWALL=0&SUB=0&Temporal=2006&THEME=76&VID=0&VNAMEE=&VNAMEF=
Table 6: Place of Residence for Persons Working in Sioux Lookout, 2006
Place of Residence
Total
Sioux Lookout
2,655
Dryden
105
Thunder Bay
80
Lac Seul 28
50
Kenora, Unorganized
50
Ignace
25
Total workforce working in Sioux Lookout
2,965
Male
1,280
80
40
30
35
10
1,475
Female
1,375
25
45
25
15
20
1,505
Total non-resident workforce commuting to work to Sioux Lookout
Percent of workers (non-residents) commuting to work to Sioux Lookout
195
13.2%
130
8.6%
310
10.5%
Source: McSweeney & Associates, Statistic Canada, Commuting Flow Census Subdivisions: Sex (3) for the Employed Labour Force 15
Years and Over Having a Usual Place of Work of Census Subdivisions, Flows Greater than or Equal to 20, 2006 Census - 20% Sample
Data. http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2006/dp-pd/tbt/Rpeng.cfm?TABID=1&LANG=E&A=W&APATH=3&DETAIL=0&DIM=0&FL=A&FREE=0&GC=0&GID=3560034&GK=0&GRP=1&O=D&PID
=90656&PRID=0&PTYPE=88971,97154&S=1&SHOWALL=0&SUB=0&Temporal=2006&THEME=76&VID=0&VNAMEE=&VNAMEF=
18
Only 2006 year commuting data is available.
21
March 31, 2011
3.5 Net Import and Export of Labour Force
The next table highlights the industry sectors in which there is a net “export” or “import” of
labour. The net export/import calculation is simply the number of jobs in each Sioux Lookout
industry minus the number of Sioux Lookout residents working in that particular industry. It is
important to note that the export/import numbers indicated under-represent the actual numbers
of employees, as this calculation assumes all of the employed resident labour force in that
industry works in Sioux Lookout.
In 2006, the size of the Sioux Lookout the number of jobs (3,190) slightly exceeds resident
labour force (3,050) available in almost all industry sectors in Sioux Lookout, indicating that Sioux
Lookout was a net “importer” of at least 140 employees. The size of the Sioux Lookout resident
labour force exceeds the jobs available in the following industry sectors in Sioux Lookout: Mining
and oil and gas extraction; Utilities, Transportation and warehousing, Real estate and rental and
leasing, Arts, entertainment and recreation, and Other services (except public administration).
Table 7: Net Import-Export of Labour Force for Sioux Lookout, 2006
Employed Resident
Jobs in Sioux
Labour Force Sioux
Sectors (NAICS classification)
Lookout
Lookout
Total - Industry - North American Industry
Classification System 2002
Net export (-) or
import (+) of labour
3,190
3,050
140
105
0
25
45
350
65
330
265
60
70
25
90
0
85
10
30
40
300
65
320
300
60
65
40
90
0
20
-10
-5
5
50
0
10
-35
0
5
-15
0
0
40
250
780
25
250
60
355
40
235
750
30
220
70
300
0
15
30
-5
30
-10
55
Mining and oil and gas extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale trade
Retail trade
Real estate and rental and leasing
Management of companies and enterprises
Administrative and support, waste
management and remediation services
Arts, entertainment and recreation
Other services (except public administration)
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2006; Analysis support: Rural Development Division, Ontario
Ministry of Agriculture, Food, and Rural Affairs.
22
March 31, 2011
4 Economic Base Analysis
Highlights

Employment in Sioux Lookout is highly concentrated in the following sectors:
o Health care and social assistance
o Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting
o Public administration.

In Sioux Lookout, at the sub-sector level, the Forestry and logging sub-sector and
Aboriginal public administration sub-sector dominate employment levels.

Sioux Lookout experienced the largest job increases (145 jobs) between 2001 and
2006 in the Health care and social assistance sector as well as in manufacturing (115
jobs) and public administration (70 jobs).
This section uses the number of “jobs” in Sioux Lookout as input for the economic base analysis.
More specifically, by “jobs” we are referring to the employed labour force declaring a usual place
of work in Sioux Lookout (outside of the home), versus labour force by place of residence. The
employed labour force therefore includes Sioux Lookout residents and non-residents.
23
March 31, 2011
4.1 Employment Profile
The Statistics Canada “North American Industry Classification System” (NAICS) of classifying
industries is used for this report. The largest groupings or aggregations of industries categories
are called Sectors, which are broken down into Sub-sectors, which are then further broken down
into Industries. An example of this breakdown follows:
Sector Level
31-33 Manufacturing industries
Sub-sector Level
311 Food manufacturing
Industry Level
3111 Animal food manufacturing
The following figure illustrates that there were 3,190 jobs in Sioux Lookout in 2006. With 780
jobs in 2006, the Health care and social assistance sector was the largest industry sector
employer in Sioux Lookout.
Figure 19: Number of Jobs by Sector for Sioux Lookout, 2006
780
800
600
500
Jobs in Sioux Lookout by Industry Sector
60
25
administration)
40
0
90
Administrative/Waste Mgmt/Remediation
Services
25
70
Professional, scientific and technical
services
60
Retail trade
Wholesale trade
Manufacturing
0
65
25 45
Construction
0
105
Utilities
100
200
250
250
300
355
265
330
350
400
Number of Jobs
700
24
March 31, 2011
The following figure presents the percentage of jobs in each industry sector for Sioux Lookout
and Kenora District. Sioux Lookout, when compared to Kenora District, has a higher percentage
of jobs in the following sectors:
 Manufacturing
 Transportation and warehousing
 Health care and social assistance. Figure 20: Jobs Distribution, Sioux Lookout vs. Kenora District, 2006
30%
% Sioux Lookout
% Kenora
25%
Percentage
20%
15%
10%
administration)
Administrative/Waste
Mgmt/Remediation Services
Sectors
Retail trade
Manufacturing
Construction
0%
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and
hunting
5%
25
March 31, 2011
4.2 Location Quotient Analysis
An economic base analysis is an analysis of how the local economy functions. It does not
provide solutions to economic problems, but instead provides useful information required for
decision-making about economic strategies.
The economic base analysis helps determine which economic activities “bring money in”, and
where money might be “leaking out”. While the actual flow of money in and out of Sioux
Lookout would be the most accurate means of describing the economic base of the area,
however data or statistics for this form of cash flow analysis are not available. As such, a
surrogate for cash flow is required, and the most common substitute is employment which uses
an economic base analysis tool called “Location Quotient Analysis”. This method compares the
level of employment concentration (or specialization) in Sioux Lookout to the level of employment
concentration in one or more benchmark areas. In other words, does Sioux Lookout have
proportionately more or less employees in specific industries than the benchmark area?
“Benchmarking” employment in Sioux Lookout to Ontario and Canada provides information on:


The extent to which Sioux Lookout is producing all of the goods or services required for
consumption in Sioux Lookout (this potentially identifies opportunities to replace the
imports with locally provided goods and services).
Whether the Sioux Lookout economy is producing goods or services in excess of
quantities required for local consumption, indicating a high degree of development and
specialization (or industry concentration) that results from the goods or services being
consumed by non-residents.
The location quotient method is a “first cut” analysis that requires interpretation of the results,
but it will point to the economic sectors that deserve a more thorough and in-depth analysis and
“street-level” validation. A location quotient of between 0.75 and 1.25 generally indicates the
local economy is self-sufficient in that industry. A 1.0 would indicate the exact same proportion
of that industry’s jobs to all Sioux Lookout jobs as that of the benchmark, in this case, Canada. A
location quotient of less than 0.75 usually indicates a lack of self-sufficiency, requiring an
importation of goods or services, as there is insufficient local employment to produce the
required goods/services. A location quotient of greater than 1.25 usually indicates the industry
has more local employment than is required to sustain the needs of Sioux Lookout, and is
therefore exporting its goods or services, and is bringing money into the community.
26
March 31, 2011
4.2.1 Location Quotients Analysis by Sector
The next figure illustrates the location quotients for Sioux Lookout by employment sector
compared to Ontario and Canada as benchmarks.
Figure 21: Location Quotients by Employment Sectors, Sioux Lookout, 2006
4.0
Sioux Lookout LQ Ontario
3.5
Sioux Lookout LQ Canada
2.5
2.0
1.5
Normal Range
1.0
Sector
administration)
Professional, scientific and technical
services
Management of companies and
enterprises
Administrative/Waste Mgmt/Remediation
Services
Retail trade
Wholesale trade
Manufacturing
Construction
Utilities
0.0
0.5
Location Quotients
3.0
Sector location quotients for Sioux Lookout vary when compared to Ontario and Canada,
however most sectors are below the average. Employment in the Health care and social
assistance sector is the most highly concentrated sector in Sioux Lookout. Other highly
concentrated employment sectors in Sioux Lookout, compared to Ontario and Canada are:
 Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting
 Transportation and warehousing
 Public administration.
27
March 31, 2011
4.2.2 Dominant Sub-Sectors
The following figure illustrates the sub-sectors that have a significant number of jobs (percentage
of jobs exceeding 0.5%) and a significant concentration in Sioux Lookout (location quotient
exceeding 1.5 vs. Canada).
Figure 22: Employment Sub-sectors with High Location Quotients, Sioux Lookout, 2006
6.0
33.8
4.0
11.6
16.5
20.7
5.0
33.8
14.2
7.8
7.1
6.6
3.0
2.0
1.0
Aboriginal public administration
Provincial and territorial public
administration
Sub-Sector
Accommodation services
Social assistance
Hospitals
Ambulatory health care services
Broadcasting (except Internet)
Rail transportation
Air transportation
Health and personal care stores
Building material and garden
equipment and supplies dealers
Wood product manufacturing
Support activities for agriculture
and forestry
0.0
Normal Range
Forestry and logging
Location Quetients
11.9
11.7
Ministry of Agriculture, Food, and Rural Affairs
In terms of jobs at the sub-sector level, the Forestry and logging sub-sector (80 jobs) and
Aboriginal public administration sub-sector (80 jobs) dominate employment levels. Other subsectors with high concentrations compared to Ontario and Canada are as follows:
 Support activities for agriculture and forestry (20 jobs)
 Wood product manufacturing (325 jobs)
 Air transportation (140 jobs)
 Rail transportation (45 jobs).
28
March 31, 2011
4.2.3 Location Quotients Analysis by Industry Level
The figure below demonstrates the employment figures by industries that have a significant
number of jobs (percentage of jobs exceeding 1.5%) and a significant concentration in Sioux
Lookout (location quotient exceeding 1.5 vs. Canada). (LQ concentration indicated in boxes)
Figure 23: Sioux Lookout Employment Industries with High Location Quotients, 2006
7.0
37.7
5.0
4.0
76.0
12.0
25.9
53.2
33.1
9.8
33.8
9.7
14.3
8.8
7.4
3.0
Normal Range
2.0
administration (9121 to 9129)
Traveller accommodation
Individual and family services
Hospitals (6221 to 6223)
Out-patient care centres
Elementary and secondary schools
Non-scheduled air transportation
Scheduled air transportation
Building material and supplies dealers
0.0
Sawmills and wood preservation
1.0
Logging
Location Quetients
6.0
Industry
In terms of employment at the industry level, the following industries have high concentrations:
 Logging
 Sawmills and wood preservation
 Scheduled air transportation
 Non-schedule air transportation
 Individual and family services
 Aboriginal public administration.
29
March 31, 2011
4.2.4 Location Quotients Compared to Benchmarks
The next figure presents the location quotients by employment sectors for Sioux Lookout in
comparison to Kenora District, Ontario and Canada as benchmarks. This analysis compares the
employment structure of Sioux Lookout to the employment structure of Kenora, Ontario and
Canada. This analysis points out any particular employment concentrations of Sioux Lookout
compared to Kenora District that might not be evident when compared to the Ontario or
Canadian economies.
Figure 24: Location Quotients Compared to Kenora District, Ontario, Canada, by Sectors, 2006
Sioux Lookout LQ Kenora
4.0
3.5
Location Quotients
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
Normal Range
administration)
Sector
Retail trade
Manufacturing
Construction
0.0
hunting
0.5
In comparison to Kenora (as a benchmark area), employment in most sectors is below the
normal range. Employment in the Health care and social assistance sector is the most highly
concentrated in Sioux Lookout compared to Kenora.
Other



higher concentrations in comparison to Kenora include:
Public Administration.
30
March 31, 2011
An examination of the comparison of Sioux Lookout’s employment structure to that of Kenora
District at the more detailed level, or sub-sector level, follows. The following table illustrates the
sub-sectors that have a significant number of jobs (percentage of jobs exceeding 0.5%) and also
having a significant concentration in Sioux Lookout and Kenora District compared to Canada as
the benchmark (location quotient exceeding 1.5 to Canada). In the Sioux Lookout column, subsector concentrations that are not found in Kenora District are in bold. In other words, the
concentration is at least somewhat unique in Sioux Lookout when compared to Kenora District.
Table 8: Employment Sub-sectors with High LQ, Sioux Lookout vs. Kenora District, 2006














Sioux Lookout
Forestry and logging
Support activities for agriculture and
forestry
Building material and garden
equipment and supplies dealers
Air transportation
Rail transportation
Broadcasting (except Internet)
Ambulatory health care services
Hospitals
Social assistance
Accommodation services
administration




Kenora District
Air transportation
Rail transportation
Social assistance
Compared to Kenora, Sioux Lookout has higher concentrations in the following dominated subsectors (bold in the table):
 Forestry and logging
 Support activities for agriculture and forestry
 Building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers
 Health and personal care stores
 Broadcasting (except Internet)
 Ambulatory health care services
 Hospitals
 Accommodation services
 Provincial and territorial public administration
 Aboriginal public administration.
31
March 31, 2011
4.3 Shift-Share Analysis
Shift-share analysis compares local employment growth/decline of Sioux Lookout jobs by industry
to the employment growth/decline of that industry within Canada, as well as the job growth
overall for Canada. More specifically, this analytical tool examines the job growth/decline by
attributing growth, stability, or decline in particular industries over time to three distinct forces:



Canadian economic growth: regional job growth/decline that is attributable to growth,
stability, or decline of the entire Canadian economy.
Industry growth: regional job growth/decline that is attributable to the growth, stability,
or decline of that particular economic activity in the Canadian economy (with the
economic growth component removed).
Regional economic growth: regional job growth/decline that is attributable to the regional
economy because it is growing/declining more or less quickly than jobs in the larger
economy (with the Canadian economic and industry growth components removed).
This tool, when correctly interpreted, provides greater descriptive power than the location
quotient method. It has been applied to all NAICS Industry Sectors using place of work statistics.
Shift-share analysis allows examination of changes through time (trends) versus the static
snapshot of location quotients. To begin, the change in absolute job numbers between 2001 and
2006 by sector will be examined.
285
355
280
250
administration)
55
60
210
250
60
40
1
25
Retail trade
Sector
35
70
295
265
300
330
350
235
Manufacturing
25
45
Construction
0
0
80
105
hunting
Number of Jobs
Figure 25: Sioux Lookout Job Change by Sector, 2001-2006
800
Jobs in 2001
Jobs in 2006
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
635
780
The following chart illustrates changes in job numbers by sector in Sioux Lookout between 2001
and 2006.
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2001, 2006; Analysis support: Rural Development Division,
Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food, and Rural Affairs.
32
March 31, 2011
The above figure points out that the largest increase in jobs between 2001 and 2006 was in the
Health care and social assistance sector, which increased from 635 to 780 jobs. The largest
decline in jobs was in the Accommodation and food services sector, which decreased from 280 in
2001 to 250 in 2006.
Table 9: Shift Share Analysis for Sioux Lookout Jobs by Sector, 2001-2006
Sectors (NAICS classification)
Construction
Growth /
Decline
% Growth
/ Decline
Canada %
Growth /
Decline
25
31.25%
0
n/a
20
80.0%
National
Economic
Effect
Industry
Growth
Effect
-2.44%
7
-9
27
39.8%
0
0
n/a
22.0%
2
3
14
Regional /
Local
Effect
115
48.9%
-8.1%
20
-39
134
Retail trade
30
10.0%
10.9%
26
7
-3
-30
-10.2%
5.8%
25
-8
-47
35
100.0%
8.4%
3
0
32
24
2400.0%
15.2%
0
0
24
Administrative/Waste Mgmt/Remediation Services
-20
-33.3%
21.4%
5
8
-33
40
19.0%
12.5%
18
8
14
145
22.8%
14.6%
54
39
52
-30
-10.7%
8.5%
24
0
-54
5
9.1%
8.7%
5
0
0
Manufacturing
70
24.6%
8.2%
24
-1
47
Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food, and Rural Affairs
The shift-share analysis table above explains 2001-2006 job growth in Sioux Lookout for each
industry sector by attributing absolute changes in job numbers to national, industry and regional
growth effects.
An example of how to interpret the table follows:
 The Health care and social assistance sector experienced the largest increase of 145 jobs
between 2001 and 2006. This increase may be attributed to the following:
o Overall job growth in the national economy would have resulted in the growth of
54 jobs;
o Jobs in the Health care and social assistance industry in Canada increased during
this period as well, therefore job increases (39) can be contributed to the
industry’s overall positive growth;
o The Health care and social assistance job increase in Sioux Lookout was 145, of
which 54 can be attributed to the national economic growth and 39 attributed to
the growth in the Health care and social assistance industry therefore the local
effect was another 52 jobs..

With a loss of 30 jobs between 2001 and 2006, the Accommodation and food services
sector experienced the largest decrease between 2001 and 2006. This loss may be
attributed as follows:
33
March 31, 2011
o
o
o
Overall job growth in the national economy would have resulted in a growth of 24
Accommodation and food services jobs;
Jobs in the Accommodation and food services industry in Canada had no change;
There were more jobs lost in Sioux Lookout (-30) than can be attributed to the
growth in the national economy (24 jobs). Therefore, Sioux Lookout suffered a
job loss (-54) in excess of what can be attributed to national growth.
The following figure graphically depicts the preceding table for Sioux Lookout:
administration)
Growth / Decline attributable to Local Economic Growth
Growth / Decline attributable to Industry Growth
Growth / Decline attributable to National Economic Growth
-60%
-40%
-20%
Construction
0%
-80%
20%
Retail trade
40%
Manufacturing
60%
80%
hunting
Figure 26: Employment Shift-Share Analysis by Sector, Sioux Lookout, 2001-2006
100%
Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food, and Rural Affairs
The shift-share analysis reveals the following:
 The following sectors were growing at a more rapid rate than can be explained by
national and industry growths combined, and were an area of strength between 2001
and 2006.
o The Real estate and rental and leasing
o Construction
o Manufacturing
o Finance and insurance
o Public administration
 Employment in the following sectors in Sioux Lookout suffered local weakness after
considering both national and industry growth:
o Administrative/Waste management/Remediation services
34
March 31, 2011
o
o
Transportation and warehousing.
35
March 31, 2011
5 Employer Structure Analysis
Highlights

Sioux Lookout’s local businesses grew strongly from 2003 to 2007 in the following
sectors:
o
o
Management of companies and enterprises.

Between 2003 and 2007, the top two sectors with the highest concentration of
businesses in Sioux Lookout were Construction and Retail Trade.

From 2003 to 2007, there are three sectors (Utilities sector, Accommodation and
food services sector, and Public Administration sector) that have a higher per capita
number of businesses compared to the provincial average. All sectors in Sioux
Lookout suffered decreases of concentration per capita from 2003 to 2007.

In 2008, the largest number of employers in Sioux Lookout was in the
Accommodation Services sub-sector. At the industry level, the largest number of
employers was in the RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Recreational Camps
industry.
Business structure analysis used Community Business Profile Data (2003 – 2007) from the
Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs, Rural Development Division, as well as
Business Pattern Data (June 2003 - June 2008) from Statistics Canada.
5.1 Business Sector Analysis
5.1.1 Growth in Business Numbers
Table 27 (in the Appendix) indicates the number of businesses in each industry from 2003 to
2007. It is important to note that in order for a business to be included in the Canadian Business
Register, a business must meet at least one of the following three criteria:
1. Have an employee workforce for which they submit payroll remittances to Canada
Revenue Agency (CRA); or
2. Have a minimum of $30,000 in annual sales revenue; or
3. Are incorporated under a federal or provincial act and have filed a federal corporate
income tax return within the past three years.
Businesses that are not registered are not included in this section’s data, the number of which
can be significant if they are small businesses.
36
March 31, 2011
Based on Table 27 (in the Appendix), the following are some key observations:
 Overall, more than half the sectors experienced growth in the number of local businesses
from 2003 to 2007.
 The sectors that had strong growth in the number of local businesses from 2003 to 2007
were:
o Real estate and rental and leasing
o Management of companies and enterprises.
 The accommodation sector experienced the largest decline in the number of local
businesses between 2003 and 2007.
5.1.2 Growth in Business Concentrations
Table 28 (in the Appendix) indicates the percentage of businesses by sector from 2003 to 2007.
The top two sectors with the highest concentration of businesses in Sioux Lookout were:
 Construction (increased from 2003 to 2007)
 Retail Trade (decreased from 2003 to 2007).
5.1.3 Growth in Business Concentrations per Capita
Concentration per capita is the ratio of local businesses per capita to provincial businesses per
capita, and indicates the relative concentration or specialization of businesses in different sectors
in the municipality. Any value higher than 1.0 indicates that the local economy has a higher per
capita number of businesses than the provincial ratio.
In Table 29 in the Appendix, we observe that from 2003 to 2007 there are three sectors (Utilities
sector, Accommodation and food services sector, and Public Administration sector) that have a
higher per capita number of businesses compared to the provincial average. All sectors in Sioux
Lookout suffered decreases of concentration per capita from 2003 to 2007.
5.1.4
Growth in Business Concentrations by Sector
Concentration by sector is a ratio indicating the relative specialization of businesses in different
industry sectors across a municipality. Values greater than 1.0 indicate that the local
concentration of businesses in a sector, relative to other sectors in Sioux Lookout, is higher than
the provincial average, indicating a relative local specialization in that sector.
As identified in Table 30 in the Appendix, the following businesses had a higher than average
concentration in Sioux Lookout:
 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting (increased)
 Mining and oil and gas extraction (increased)
 Utilities (decreased)
 Construction (increased)
 Retail trade (increased)
 Transportation and Warehousing (decreased)
 Health care and social assistance (increased)
 Accommodation and food services (increased)
 Other services (except public administration) (increased)
 Public Administration (increased).
37
March 31, 2011
5.2 Business Pattern Analysis
As an indicator of employer structure, business pattern data for Sioux Lookout was examined
up until June 2008, when the last available municipal level data was collected.
Business pattern data is available for both sub-sector and industry levels. Tables 31 and 32
demonstrate Sioux Lookout’s top 15 sub-sectors and industries by total number of employers
and by employee size range in June 200819.
 In 2008, the largest number of employers in Sioux Lookout was in the Accommodation
Services sub-sector. At the industry level, the largest number of employers was in the
RV (Recreational Vehicle) Parks and Recreational Camps industry.
Table 33 indicates the percentage change in total number of employers between June 2003 and
June 2008. The following observations can be made:
 The total number of employers in Sioux Lookout decreased (9%) over the two year
period, while Ontario experienced a 13.0% increase.
 Sioux Lookout experienced significant increases in the number of employers in the Real
Estate and Rental and Leasing sector.
 At the sub-sector level, growth occurred in the number of businesses in:
o Accommodation Services
o Specialty Trade Contractors
o Real Estate
o Securities, Commodity Contracts, and Other Financial Investment and Related
Activities
o Management of Companies and Enterprises
o Air Transportation
o Social Assistance.
 At the industry level, the most significant increases in the number of businesses were in
the following industries:
o Lessors of Real Estate
o Other Financial Investment Activities
o Management of Companies and Enterprises
o Individual and Family Services.
 Considerable decreases in the number of businesses occurred in:
o Logging
o Residential Construction
o Full-Service Restaurants.
19
June 2008 Canadian Business Pattern data is the latest data for CSD level, after this edition all CSD level data for Canadian Business
Pattern date are no longer available.
38
March 31, 2011
6 Economic Development Trends Analysis
6.1 Site Selection Factors
In 2010, the 25th Annual Corporate Survey [8] was conducted to rate site selection factors and
the impact these factors have on planning decisions.20 Highlighted points of the survey are as
follows:
 Highway accessibility and Labour costs are consistently the two most important site
selection factors.
 Occupancy and construction costs is the fourth-place factor, jumping from seventh place
in 2009 and receiving a combined 89.8% importance rating.
 Three related tax factors made the 2010 Corporate Survey respondents’ “top10” – tax
exemptions, state and local incentives and corporate tax rate.
 Availability of skilled labour is always of great importance as a site selector factor.
Interestingly, availability of unskilled labour, which is ranked in the 23rd spot for 2010,
showed the second largest drop in importance among all the site selection factors.
 Inbound/outbound shipping costs is ranked in 8th position in 2010.
 Energy availability and costs is ranked 9th in 2010, from 4th in 2009.
 Environmental regulations moved up five spots in the ranking, from 17th in 2009 to 12th
in 2010.
 Rounding out the top 10 site selection factors is availability of buildings, which received
a combined 81% importance rating from the 2010 survey.
 Availability of advanced ICT services factor showed the largest decrease in its
importance rating.
 In 2010, low crime rate, which is historically ranked as the primary quality-of-life
concern as borne out by the survey’s 25-year record, received an 84.6% importance
rating.
20
For more information about the survey please go to : http://www.areadevelopmentdigital.com/CorporateConsultsSurvey/24thAnnualCorporateSurvey#pg20
39
March 31, 2011
The following two figures provide more detailed results of the 2010 Corporate Survey.
Figure 27: Site Selection Factors
Source: The 25th Annual Corporate Survey & 7th Annual Consultants Survey, 2010
40
March 31, 2011
Figure 28: Site Selection Factors – Combined Rating* of 2010 Factors
Source: The 25th Annual Corporate Survey & 7th Annual Consultants Survey, 2009
41
March 31, 2011
6.2 Economic Forecast21
Table 34 in the Appendix provides the major economic indicators outlook for Canada and Ontario.
The following forecast can be observed:
Canada
 Canada weathered the financial and economic crisis better than most industrialized
countries. [9]
 In 2011, Canadian GDP has a positive forecasted outlook from all banks, especially RBC,
with a growth range of 2.2% to 3.2%. [10]
 Employment has a solid job market performance in 2010. Job creation has been focused
on part-time positions, lower-paying industries, and the public and self-employed
sectors. [9] The unemployment rate has an outlook of a range between 7.5% to 7.6% in
2011 and 7.2% in 2012.
 250,000 net new jobs are expected to improve gradually in 2011 with employers
continuing to meet moderate demand through increased productivity, rather than new
hires. [9]
 Relatively high unemployment rates and moderating wage gains will continue to tame
inflation pressures over the next two years. The Consumer Price Index is forecasted to
be 2.1 to 2.3 in 2011, and 1.9 to 2.0 in 2012.
 The interest rate is expected to remain steady at 2% in 2011. [10]
Ontario
 The pace of Ontario’s economic growth is moderating after a strong manufacturing lead
rebound in early 2010. [9] Ontario’s GDP growth rate is estimated at 2.4% to 3.1% in
2011 and 2.3% to 3.1% in 2012.
 The service sector will anchor most employment gains, with private-sector service
growth counterbalancing cautious hiring in manufacturing and the public sector. [9]
Employment growth is projected to be between 1.1% to 1.9% in 2011 and 1.2% to
2.1% in 2012.
 Ontario’s housing starts are estimated to decline 20.9% in 2011 and to grow 16.0% in
2012.[13] The completion of infrastructure projects accounted for nearly one-fifth of the
growth in real GDP, and will cause some drag, although it is expected to be more than
offset by stronger non-residential investment by business. [9]
Industrial Outlook
Tables 35 to 39 in the Appendix provide the Industrial Outlook for Canada and Ontario. The
following forecast can be observed:
 In Quarter 1 of 2011, Ontario employers report cautiously for a Net Employment Outlook
of +3% for all industries. The Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector and
Transportation & Public Utilities sector expect relatively high net employment with 10%
and 16% respectively. The net employment outlook in the Mining and Construction
sectors is forecasted to be significantly weaker with -12% and -16% respectively in 2011.
[4]
21
All references in the [] for this section are at the end of Appendix.
42
March 31, 2011







Canada’s goods-producing sectors should outperform the service-producing sectors, as
well as the national economy, in 2010 and 2011. Scotiabank expected the output growth
in the goods-producing sectors to average 5.3% in 2010 and 4.9% in 2011. Much of the
anticipated rebound in production reflects the cyclical replenishing of depleted
inventories, and the strengthening of the primary sectors that are benefiting from the
increasing worldwide demand for energy, mineral, agricultural, and increasingly, forestry
products. [5]
A significant recovery in commodity prices will dominate the outlook for ores, metals and
industrial materials this year, while the weaker-than-expected growth in the US,
particularly in the residential and commercial construction sectors, poses a downside risk
to the forecast. [7]
The oil and gas development sector has increased the most due to the mega-projects
largely concentrated in western Canada. [5] A significant jump in prices for both oil and
gas products will be the main driver of growth in energy exports in 2010. [7] Mineral
exploration and production is on the rise in response to the increased demand and
higher prices for gold, iron ore, copper, zinc and coal. [5]
The Manufacturing sector is poised for the greatest gain [6] – the sector is forecast to
advance a robust 6.6% in 2010 before moderating to 3.6% in 2011. [5]
Canada’s services exports are recovering from a modest decline in 2009 and are posting
more tepid growth rates in 2011 and 2012. [7] Output in the large and diverse service
sector is expected to increase an average of 3.0% in 2010, and post a lower 2.2%
average advance in 2011, [6] while public services will slow significantly. [5] Momentum
has slowed for service sector employment in Ontario after rebounding strongly in
2009.The professional and technical services and financial services industry should be
growth leaders in 2011. [12]
Canadian agri-food exports will rebound in 2011. Lowered export volumes are driven
mainly by supply-side constraints, particularly in the area of grains and oilseeds because
of extreme wet weather conditions in Alberta, Manitoba and Saskatchewan[7]
The price jump seen earlier in the year for forestry products will be short-lived, and
conditions in the sector will soften in 2011 and 2012. [7]
43
March 31, 2011
Appendix A: Data Tables
Table 10: Percentage Population by Age, Sioux Lookout, 2001, 2006 and 2010
Sioux
Sioux
Lookout
Lookout
2001 %
2006 %
Total population by sex and age groups
5,335
5,180
Population age 0-4
7.2
6.8
Population age 5-9
7.5
6.9
Population age 10-14
8.5
7.3
7.9
7.6
6.3
6.5
7.3
7.2
7.5
7.5
9.1
7.2
9.7
9.0
7.9
8.8
5.7
7.4
3.7
5.4
3.0
3.3
2.3
2.3
2.5
2.0
2.0
1.7
1.3
1.5
Population age 85+
0.7
1.0
Sioux
Lookout
2010 %
5,423
6.6
6.4
6.8
7.3
6.7
7.3
8.2
6.9
7.8
8.8
7.7
5.6
4.3
2.8
2.1
1.6
1.7
1.5
2010
44
March 31, 2011
Table 11: Percentage Population by Age, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010
Total population
Population age 0-4
Population age 5-9
Population age 85+
Sioux Lookout
5,423
358
345
367
397
366
398
444
373
423
479
415
304
234
150
113
85
91
80
Sioux Lookout %
6.6
6.4
6.8
7.3
6.7
7.3
8.2
6.9
7.8
8.8
7.7
5.6
4.3
2.8
2.1
1.6
1.7
1.5
Ontario %
13,293,008
5.5
5.5
5.9
6.6
6.7
6.7
7.1
7.2
7.4
8.1
7.4
6.5
5.5
4.2
3.2
2.7
2.0
1.8
45
March 31, 2011
Table 12: Income Levels with % Change, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2000, 2005 and 2009
Total income of population
15 years and over
Sioux
Lookout
2000
Ontario
2000
Sioux
Lookout
2005
Ontario
2005
Sioux
Lookout
2009
Ontario
2009
4,045
9,048,040
4,065
9,819,420
4,354
11,045,903
0.5
8.5
7.6
22.1
38,971
38,099
43,761
42,841
19.3
15.9
33.9
30.4
34,325
27,258
39,370
30,822
34.1
9.8
53.8
24.2
1,470
3,347,610
1,603
3,727,755
-0.3
4.9
8.7
16.8
90,526
101,431
102,215
% change from 2000
Average income $
32,678
32,865
% change from 2000
Median income $
% change from 2000
Census family income of all
families
25,594
1,475
24,816
3,190,990
% change from 2000
Average family income $
72,320
73,849
89,526
23.8
22.6
40.3
38.4
63,109
61,024
83,223
72,734
86,276
84,173
31.9
19.2
36.7
37.9
1,925
4,555,025
2,012
4,980,115
-0.3
8.0
4.2
18.0
77,967
90,065
85,814
% change from 2000
Median family income $
% change from 2000
Household income of all
private households
1,930
4,219,410
% change from 2000
Average household income $
65,238
66,836
79,374
21.7
16.7
38.1
28.4
55,587
53,626
71,289
60,455
79,076
67,246
28.2
12.7
42.3
25.4
% change from 2000
Median household income $
% change from 2000
46
March 31, 2011
Table 13: Total Income Levels, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2009
Total income of population 15 years and over
Without income
With income
Under $1,000
$ 1,000 - $ 2,999
$ 3,000 - $ 4,999
$ 5,000 - $ 6,999
$ 7,000 - $ 9,999
$10,000 - $11,999
$12,000 - $14,999
$15,000 - $19,999
$20,000 - $24,999
$25,000 - $29,999
$30,000 - $34,999
$35,000 - $39,999
$40,000 - $44,999
$45,000 - $49,999
$50,000 - $59,999
$60,000 and over
Median Total Income ($)
Average Total Income ($)
Sioux Lookout
4,354
127
4226
84
118
135
135
138
121
153
362
269
276
365
259
253
376
371
812
39,370
43,761
Sioux Lookout %
2.9
97.1
1.9
2.7
3.1
3.1
3.2
2.8
3.5
8.3
6.2
6.3
8.4
5.9
5.8
8.6
8.5
18.6
Ontario %
11,045,903
4.7
95.3
4.0
3.3
3.1
3.3
5.4
3.9
5.6
8.4
7.0
6.2
6.3
5.7
5.0
4.2
6.7
17.1
30,822
42,841
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Manifold Data Mining Inc. Superdemographics 2010 (2009 incomes)
47
March 31, 2011
Table 14: Total Income Levels, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2000, 2005 and 2009
Sioux
Lookout
2000 %
Ontario
2000 %
Sioux
Lookout
2005 %
Ontario
2005 %
Sioux
Lookout
2009 %
Ontario
2009 %
4,045
9,048,040
4,065
9,819,420
4,354
11,045,903
Without income
4.6
5.0
3.3
4.9
2.9
4.7
With income
Total income of population
15 years and over
95.6
95.0
96.7
95.1
97.1
95.3
Under $1,000
2.6
4.1
2.0
4.1
1.9
4.0
$ 1,000 - $ 2,999
4.8
4.3
2.8
3.4
2.7
3.3
$ 3,000 - $ 4,999
3.0
3.6
2.7
3.2
3.1
3.1
$ 5,000 - $ 6,999
3.1
3.9
2.8
3.4
3.1
3.3
$ 7,000 - $ 9,999
3.7
5.4
3.7
5.5
3.2
5.4
$10,000 - $11,999
4.4
4.1
2.6
3.9
2.8
3.9
$12,000 - $14,999
7.0
6.4
3.7
5.7
3.5
5.6
$15,000 - $19,999
8.0
8.5
8.4
8.5
8.3
8.4
$20,000 - $24,999
9.9
7.4
6.0
7.0
6.2
7.0
$25,000 - $29,999
6.4
6.8
6.6
6.2
6.3
6.2
$30,000 - $34,999
4.9
7.1
7.9
6.3
8.4
6.3
$35,000 - $39,999
6.2
5.7
6.0
5.7
5.9
5.7
$40,000 - $44,999
8.4
5.2
5.7
5.0
5.8
5.0
$45,000 - $49,999
4.4
3.8
8.4
4.2
8.6
4.2
$50,000 - $59,999
7.2
6.2
9.1
6.6
8.5
6.7
$60,000 and over
11.1
12.5
18.1
16.5
18.6
17.1
48
March 31, 2011
Table 15: Family Income Levels, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2009
Census family income of all families
Under $10,000
$ 10,000 - $19,999
$ 20,000 - $29,999
$ 30,000 - $39,999
$ 40,000 - $49,999
$ 50,000 - $59,999
$ 60,000 - $69,999
$ 70,000 - $79,999
$ 80,000 - $89,999
$ 90,000 - $99,999
$100,000 and over
Median Family Income ($)
Average Family Income ($)
Sioux Lookout
1,603
11
49
62
87
112
109
140
144
181
130
577
86,276
101,431
Sioux Lookout %
0.7
3.1
3.9
5.4
7.0
6.8
8.7
9.0
11.3
8.1
36.0
Ontario %
3,727,755
2.4
3.8
6.6
8.4
8.7
8.5
8.4
8.0
7.4
6.4
31.4
84,173
102,215
Table 16: Household Income Levels, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2009
Sioux Lookout
Household income of all private households
Sioux Lookout %
2,012
Ontario %
4,980,115
Under $10,000
25
1.2
4.1
$ 10,000 - $19,999
171
8.5
8.4
$ 20,000 - $29,999
124
6.2
8.9
$ 30,000 - $39,999
181
9.0
9.7
$ 40,000 - $49,999
143
7.1
9.2
$ 50,000 - $59,999
187
9.3
8.4
$ 60,000 - $69,999
187
9.3
7.8
$ 70,000 - $79,999
144
7.2
7.2
$ 80,000 - $89,999
165
8.2
6.2
$ 90,000 - $99,999
93
4.6
5.3
$100,000 and over
592
29.4
24.7
Median Household Income ($)
79,076
67,246
Average Household Income ($)
90,065
85,814
49
March 31, 2011
Table 17: Highest Level of Schooling, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2001
Sioux
Lookout
Total population 20 years and over by highest level of
schooling
Sioux
Lookout %
Ontario
%
3,640
Less than grade 9
Grades 9 to 13
8,282,160
375
10.3
8.7
1,315
36.1
31.1
Without high school graduation certificate
745
20.5
16.9
With high school graduation certificate
565
15.5
14.2
Trades certificate or diploma
415
11.4
10.2
College
840
23.1
23.7
205
5.6
6.6
Without certificate or diploma
With certificate or diploma
University
Without degree
630
17.3
17.1
695
19.1
26.3
220
6.0
7.1
Without certificate or diploma
125
3.4
4.9
With certificate or diploma
95
2.6
2.3
475
13.0
19.2
With bachelor's degree or higher
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2001.
Table 18: Education Attainment, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2006-2010
Total population 25 to 64 years by highest certificate, diploma
or degree
diploma
2006
Sioux
Lookout
%
2006
Ontario
%
2010
Sioux
Lookout
%
2010
Ontario
%
2,905
6,638,330
3,071
7,436,263
20.1
13.6
20.4
13.3
79.9
86.4
79.6
86.7
19.6
25.0
19.4
24.9
10.3
8.8
10.5
8.6
28.7
22.0
28.9
22.1
21.2
30.7
20.9
31.0
3.8
4.7
3.7
4.6
17.4
26.0
17.2
26.4
9.1
15.9
10.5
16.4
2.6
3.2
2.5
3.1
0.3
0.7
0.0
0.7
4.6
5.3
4.2
5.3
0.5
0.9
0.0
0.9
Bachelor's degree
University certificate or diploma above bachelor level
Degree in medicine, dentistry, veterinary medicine or
optometry
Master's degree
Earned doctorate
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada Census data 2006 and Manifold Data Mining Inc. Superdemographics 2010.
50
March 31, 2011
Table 19: Education Attainment, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010
Sioux
Lookout
Total population 25 to 64 years by highest certificate,
diploma or degree
Sioux Lookout
%
3,071
Ontario
%
7,436,263
625
20.4
13.3
2,446
79.6
86.7
595
19.4
24.9
323
10.5
8.6
886
28.9
22.1
642
20.9
31.0
114
3.7
4.6
528
17.2
26.4
323
10.5
16.4
76
2.5
3.1
diploma
Bachelor's degree
University certificate or diploma above bachelor level
Degree in medicine, dentistry, veterinary medicine or
optometry
Master's degree
Earned doctorate
0
0.0
0.7
128
4.2
5.3
0
0.0
0.9
Table 20: Post-secondary Qualifications by Major Field of Study 2010, Sioux Lookout vs. ON
Sioux
Lookout
Total population with postsecondary qualifications by major field of
study
Sioux
Lookout %
Ontario
%
1,850
Educational, recreational and counselling services
151
8.2
6.5
Fine and applied arts
54
2.9
3.6
Humanities and related fields
41
2.2
5.6
Social and behavioural sciences and law
130
7.0
11.8
Business, management and public administration
414
22.4
22.0
Physical and life sciences and technologies
20
1.1
3.5
Mathematics, computer and information sciences
11
0.6
5.5
Architecture, engineering, and related technologies
351
19.0
21.7
Agriculture, natural resources and conservation
78
4.2
1.7
Health, parks, recreation and fitness
394
21.3
13.3
Personal, protective and transportation services
206
11.1
4.9
0
0.0
0.0
Other fields of study
51
March 31, 2011
Table 21: Mobility Status, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010
Sioux Lookout
%
Ontario %
4,513
83.2
86.5
Sioux Lookout
Total population 1 year and over by mobility status 1 year ago
Non-movers
Movers
5,423
910
16.8
13.5
Non-migrants
562
10.4
8.1
Migrants
348
6.4
5.4
337
6.2
4.4
249
4.6
3.9
Internal migrants
Intraprovincial migrants
Interprovincial migrants
External migrants
Total population 5 years and over by mobility status 5 years ago
88
1.6
0.5
12
0.2
1.1
5,423
Non-movers
2,839
52.4
57.7
Movers
2,584
47.6
42.3
Non-migrants
1,496
27.6
22.9
Migrants
1,088
20.1
19.5
1,012
18.7
14.4
Intraprovincial migrants
759
14.0
12.8
Interprovincial migrants
253
4.7
1.6
76
1.4
5.0
Internal migrants
External migrants
Table 22: Knowledge of Official Language, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010
Sioux Lookout
Total population by knowledge of official
languages
Sioux Lookout %
5,423
Ontario %
13,293,008
English only
5,047.0
93.1
86.1
French only
0.0
0.0
0.4
English and French
366.0
6.7
11.4
Neither English nor French
10.0
0.2
2.2
2010
52
March 31, 2011
Table 23: Key Labour Force Indicators, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2001-2006-2010
Sioux Lookout
Ontario
Characteristic
Total population 15 years and over
by labour force activity
2001
2006
2010
4,045
4,065
In the labour force
2,870
3,190
Employed
2,765
110
Not in the labour force
1,175
Participation rate (%)
71.0
78.5
79.1
67.3
67.1
67.5
Employment rate (%)
68.4
75.3
76.7
63.2
62.8
63.5
Unemployment rate (%)
3.8
4.2
3.0
6.1
6.4
6.0
Unemployed
2001
2006
2010
4,354
9,048,040
9,819,420
11,045,903
3,443
6,086,815
6,587,575
7,458,212
3,060
3,340
5,713,900
6,164,245
7,013,603
135
103
372,915
423,335
444,608
875
911
2,961,220
3,231,840
3,587,691
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada 2001, 2006 Census data and Manifold Data Mining Inc.
Superdemographics 2010.
Table 24: Labour Force by Industry, Sioux Lookout, 2001-2006-2010
Total labour force 15 years and over by industry - 1997 North
American Industry Classification System
Sioux
Lookout
2001 %
Sioux
Lookout
2006 %
Sioux
Lookout
2010 %
2,875
3,190
3,443
Industry - Not applicable
0.7
0.8
1.0
All industries
99.3
99.4
99.0
5.6
2.8
3.1
11 Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting
21 Mining and oil and gas extraction
0.0
0.5
0.3
22 Utilities
1.0
0.9
1.0
23 Construction
1.6
1.4
1.4
31-33 Manufacturing
6.8
9.6
9.4
41 Wholesale trade
0.9
2.0
1.9
44-45 Retail trade
10.6
10.5
10.6
48-49 Transportation and warehousing
11.1
9.7
9.8
51 Information and cultural industries
1.6
2.0
1.3
52 Finance and insurance
1.0
2.0
2.5
53 Real estate and rental and leasing
1.0
1.3
1.1
54 Professional, scientific and technical services
3.1
2.8
2.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.9
1.9
1.7
55 Management of companies and enterprises
56 Administrative and support, waste management and
remediation services
61 Educational services
7.7
7.4
7.3
62 Health care and social assistance
23.1
23.8
23.4
71 Arts, entertainment and recreation
1.2
0.8
1.5
72 Accommodation and food services
9.0
7.4
7.7
81 Other services (except public administration)
2.3
2.2
2.2
91 Public administration
9.2
9.7
9.8
53
March 31, 2011
Table 25: Labour Force by Industry, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010
Sioux
Lookout %
Sioux Lookout
Total labour force 15 years and over by industry - 1997 North
American Industry Classification System
Industry - Not applicable
All industries
3443
Ontario
%
7,458,212
36
1.0
1.6
3407
99.0
98.4
107
3.1
1.7
11
0.3
0.4
Utilities
34
1.0
0.7
Construction
48
1.4
5.9
Manufacturing
325
9.4
14.0
Wholesale trade
65
1.9
4.7
Retail trade
366
10.6
11.0
337
9.8
4.7
44
1.3
2.6
86
2.5
4.8
37
1.1
1.9
101
2.9
7.3
0
0.0
0.1
Administrative and support, waste management and
remediation services
58
1.7
4.7
253
7.3
6.6
805
23.4
9.3
51
1.5
2.1
266
7.7
6.2
75
2.2
4.5
339
9.8
5.3
Table 26: Labour Force by Occupation, Sioux Lookout vs. Ontario, 2010
Sioux
Lookout
Total labour force 15 years and over by occupation - 2006
National Occupational Classification for Statistics
Occupation - Not applicable
All occupations
A Management occupations
Sioux
Lookout %
3,443
Ontario %
7,458,212
25
0.7
1.6
3,418
99.3
98.4
289
8.4
10.2
A0 Senior management occupations
25
0.7
1.3
A1 Specialist managers
A2 Managers in retail trade, food and accommodation
56
1.6
3.0
134
3.9
2.8
73
2.1
3.2
537
15.6
18.4
services
A3 Other managers, n.e.c.
B Business, finance and administration occupations
B0 Professional occupations in business and finance
11
0.3
2.8
B1 Finance and insurance administration occupations
58
1.7
1.2
B2 Secretaries
69
2.0
1.4
54
March 31, 2011
Sioux
Lookout
Sioux
Lookout %
Ontario %
B3 Administrative and regulatory occupations
47
1.4
2.2
B4 Clerical supervisors
12
0.3
0.5
B5 Clerical occupations
C Natural and applied sciences and related occupations
C0 Professional occupations in natural and applied
sciences
C1 Technical occupations related to natural and applied
sciences
339
9.8
10.4
238
6.9
6.9
39
1.1
4.2
198
5.8
2.8
304
8.8
5.1
52
1.5
1.1
D1 Nurse supervisors and registered nurses
54
1.6
1.5
D2 Technical and related occupations in health
114
3.3
1.1
84
2.4
1.3
495
14.4
8.2
185
5.4
2.3
163
4.7
4.0
D Health occupations
D0 Professional occupations in health
D3 Assisting occupations in support of health services
E Occupations in social science, education, government
service and religion
E0 Judges, lawyers, psychologists, social workers,
ministers of religion, and policy and program officers
E1 Teachers and professors
E2 Paralegals, social services workers and occupations
in education and religion, n.e.c.
147
4.3
2.0
63
1.8
2.9
45
1.3
1.3
19
0.6
1.6
798
23.2
23.2
29
0.8
0.8
32
0.9
2.3
G2 Retail salespersons and sales clerks
77
2.2
4.5
G3 Cashiers
60
1.7
1.8
G4 Chefs and cooks
28
0.8
1.2
F Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport
F0 Professional occupations in art and culture
F1 Technical occupations in art, culture, recreation and
sport
G Sales and service occupations
G0 Sales and service supervisors
G1 Wholesale, technical, insurance, real estate sales
specialists, and retail, wholesale and grain buyers
G5 Occupations in food and beverage service
G6 Occupations in protective services
G7 Occupations in travel and accommodation, including
attendants in recreation and sport
G8 Child care and home support workers
G9 Sales and service occupations, n.e.c.
H Trades, transport and equipment operators and related
occupations
H0 Contractors and supervisors in trades and
transportation
H1 Construction trades
H2 Stationary engineers, power station operators and
electrical trades and telecommunications occupations
H3 Machinists, metal forming, shaping and erecting
occupations
H4 Mechanics
55
0
0.0
1.4
21
0.6
1.6
90
2.6
0.8
64
1.9
1.4
396
11.5
7.7
464
13.5
14.0
14
0.4
0.7
22
0.6
2.3
25
0.7
1.0
37
1.1
1.3
110
3.2
2.1
March 31, 2011
Sioux
Lookout
Sioux
Lookout %
Ontario %
23
0.7
0.7
11
0.3
0.4
180
5.2
3.2
H5 Other trades, n.e.c.
H6 Heavy equipment and crane operators, including
drillers
H7 Transportation equipment operators and related
workers, excluding labourers
H8 Trades helpers, construction and transportation
labourers and related occupations
43
1.2
2.4
I Occupations unique to primary industry
I0 Occupations unique to agriculture, excluding
labourers
I1 Occupations unique to forestry operations, mining, oil
and gas extraction and fishing, excluding labourers
96
2.8
2.4
12
0.3
1.5
70
2.0
0.2
I2 Primary production labourers
J Occupations unique to processing, manufacturing and
utilities
14
0.4
0.7
135
3.9
7.0
J0 Supervisors in manufacturing
18
0.5
0.4
J1 Machine operators in manufacturing
35
1.0
2.5
J2 Assemblers in manufacturing
6
0.2
2.4
J3 Labourers in processing, manufacturing and utilities
76
2.2
1.7
Source: McSweeney & Associates Manifold Data Mining Inc. Superdemographics 2010.
Table 27: Number of Business by Sector, Sioux Lookout, 2003-2007
Industry (NAICS)
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
# Bus. in sector (local)
2003-2007
Change
11 - Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
24
24
24
19
22
-2
21 - Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
1
1
1
1
1
0
22 - Utilities
2
2
2
2
2
0
23 - Construction
43
43
42
40
43
0
31-33 - Manufacturing
11
10
9
6
7
-4
41 - Wholesale Trade
6
9
9
7
7
1
44-45 - Retail Trade
48
47
51
47
46
-2
48-49 - Transportation and Warehousing
31
32
33
33
32
1
51 - Information and Cultural Industries
3
4
4
5
5
2
52 - Finance and Insurance
11
11
8
12
12
1
53 - Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
20
21
20
23
24
4
54 - Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
16
15
15
18
17
1
55 - Management of Companies and Enterprises
56 - Administrative and Support, Waste
Management and Remediation Services
5
11
10
8
9
4
12
11
10
11
13
1
61 - Educational Services
7
5
6
6
4
-3
62 - Health Care and Social Assistance
18
20
19
19
21
3
71 - Arts, Entertainment and Recreation
5
5
5
5
5
0
72 - Accommodation and Food Services
54
52
46
47
44
-10
81 - Other Services (except Public Administration)
36
36
38
35
36
0
91 - Public Administration
4
5
5
5
6
2
56
March 31, 2011
Table 28: Percentage of Local Business, Sioux Lookout, 2003-2007
Industry (NAICS)
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
% of local businesses
2003-2007
Change
6.723
6.593
6.723
5.444
6.18
-0.543
0.28
0.275
0.28
0.287
0.281
0.001
22 - Utilities
0.56
0.549
0.56
0.573
0.562
0.002
23 - Construction
12.045
11.813
11.765
11.461
12.079
0.034
3.081
2.747
2.521
1.719
1.966
-1.115
1.681
2.473
2.521
2.006
1.966
0.285
13.445
12.912
14.286
13.467
12.921
-0.524
8.683
8.791
9.244
9.456
8.989
0.306
0.84
1.099
1.12
1.433
1.404
0.564
3.081
3.022
2.241
3.438
3.371
0.29
54 - Professional, Scientific and Technical
Services
5.602
5.769
5.602
6.59
6.742
1.14
4.482
4.121
4.202
5.158
4.775
0.293
1.401
3.022
2.801
2.292
2.528
1.127
3.361
3.022
2.801
3.152
3.652
0.291
1.961
1.374
1.681
1.719
1.124
-0.837
5.042
5.495
5.322
5.444
5.899
0.857
1.401
1.374
1.401
1.433
1.404
0.003
81 - Other Services (except Public
Administration)
15.126
14.286
12.885
13.467
12.36
-2.766
10.084
9.89
10.644
10.029
10.112
0.028
1.12
1.374
1.401
1.433
1.685
0.565
57
March 31, 2011
Table 29: Business Concentration per Capita, Sioux Lookout, 2003-2007
Industry (NAICS)
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Concentration per capita
2003-2007
Change
1.337
1.32
0.667
0.582
0.656
-0.681
1.642
1.705
0.906
0.984
0.878
-0.764
22 - Utilities
5.858
5.511
2.656
2.496
2.306
-3.552
23 - Construction
0.969
0.893
0.439
0.447
0.471
-0.498
0.583
0.26
0.248
0.179
0.207
-0.376
0.274
0.396
0.212
0.175
0.171
-0.103
1.261
0.587
0.655
0.658
0.633
-0.628
1.991
0.935
0.943
0.85
0.768
-1.223
0.531
0.643
0.327
0.424
0.398
-0.133
0.554
0.53
0.224
0.306
0.294
-0.26
0.67
0.648
0.308
0.361
0.345
-0.325
54 - Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
0.276
0.236
0.118
0.149
0.136
-0.14
0.376
0.66
0.323
0.344
0.329
-0.047
0.655
0.557
0.26
0.304
0.348
-0.307
1.936
1.236
0.724
0.745
0.459
-1.477
1.2
1.268
0.608
0.64
0.658
-0.542
0.718
0.663
0.333
0.357
0.347
-0.371
2.854
2.638
1.248
1.392
1.299
-1.555
81 - Other Services (except Public Administration)
1.349
1.292
0.697
0.688
0.687
-0.662
8.296
8.925
4.769
5.092
6.174
-2.122
58
March 31, 2011
Table 30: Business Concentration Sector Mix, Sioux Lookout, 2003-2007
2003
Industry (NAICS)
2004
2005
2006
2007
2003-2007
Concentration, sector mix
Change
1.231
1.276
1.277
1.08
1.42
0.189
1.511
1.648
1.735
1.826
1.902
0.391
22 - Utilities
5.391
5.326
5.086
4.631
4.992
-0.399
23 - Construction
0.891
0.863
0.84
0.829
1.019
0.128
0.536
0.251
0.474
0.333
0.449
-0.087
0.252
0.383
0.406
0.324
0.37
0.118
1.161
0.567
1.254
1.221
1.37
0.209
1.832
0.904
1.804
1.576
1.664
-0.168
0.489
0.621
0.626
0.787
0.861
0.372
0.51
0.513
0.428
0.568
0.636
0.126
54 - Professional, Scientific and Technical
Services
0.617
0.627
0.59
0.669
0.747
0.13
0.254
0.228
0.225
0.277
0.295
0.041
0.346
0.638
0.618
0.638
0.713
0.367
0.603
0.538
0.498
0.563
0.753
0.15
1.781
1.194
1.385
1.382
0.993
-0.788
1.104
1.225
1.165
1.187
1.425
0.321
0.66
0.64
0.637
0.663
0.752
0.092
81 - Other Services (except Public
Administration)
2.626
2.549
2.389
2.583
2.811
0.185
1.241
1.249
1.335
1.277
1.486
0.245
7.634
8.624
9.13
9.446
13.368
5.734
Table 31: Top 15 Sub-Sectors by Number of Employers for Sioux Lookout, June 2008
Total
(A)
Indeterminate22
(B)
Subtotal
(A - B)
1-4
5-9
10-19
2049
5099
100199
200499
500
+
Total
721 - Accommodation
Services
238 - Specialty Trade
Contractors
325
127
198
85
57
26
20
2
4
3
1
32
13
19
5
5
5
4
0
0
0
0
26
15
11
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
531 - Real Estate
113 - Forestry and
Logging
541 - Professional,
Scientific and Technical
Services
722 - Food Services
and Drinking Places
21
15
6
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
17
5
12
5
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
15
5
10
6
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
14
4
10
2
2
2
4
0
0
0
0
22
The establishments in the "Indeterminate" category do not maintain an employee payroll, but may have a workforce which consists
of contracted workers, family members or business owners. However, the Business Register does not have this information available,
and has therefore assigned the establishments to an "Indeterminate" category. This category also includes employers who did not
have employees in the last 12 months.
59
March 31, 2011
Total
(A)
Indeterminate22
(B)
Subtotal
(A - B)
1-4
5-9
10-19
2049
5099
100199
200499
500
+
13
2
11
8
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
11
3
8
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
8
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
10
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
7
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
3
6
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
9
4
5
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
2
5
2
2
0
813 - Religious, GrantMaking, Civic, and
Professional and Similar
Organizations
811 - Repair and
Maintenance
523 - Securities,
Commodity Contracts,
and Other Financial
Investment and Related
Activities
551 - Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
236 - Construction of
Buildings
481 - Air Transportation
561 - Administrative and
Support Services
445 - Food and
Beverage Stores
624 - Social Assistance
7
0
7
2
2
0
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistic Canada, Canadian Business Pattern June 2008.
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
Table 32: Top 15 Industries by Number of Employers, Sioux Lookout, June 2008
Total
(A)
Indeterminate23
(B)
Subtotal
(A - B)
1-4
5-9
10-19
2049
5099
100199
200499
500
+
Total
7212 - RV (Recreational
Vehicle) Parks and
Recreational Camps
325
127
198
85
57
26
20
2
4
3
1
24
10
14
4
5
3
2
0
0
0
0
1133 - Logging
5311 - Lessors of Real
Estate
2382 - Building
Equipment Contractors
5239 - Other Financial
Investment Activities
5511 - Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
2361 - Residential
Construction
2383 - Building
Finishing Contractors
7221 - Full-Service
Restaurants
7211 - Traveller
Accommodation
4812 - Non-Scheduled
Air Transportation
17
5
12
5
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
13
10
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
10
5
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
8
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
10
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
7
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
7
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
2
7
2
1
1
3
0
0
0
0
8
3
5
1
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
7
2
5
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
23
The establishments in the "Indeterminate" category do not maintain an employee payroll, but may have a workforce which consists
of contracted workers, family members or business owners. However, the Business Register does not have this information available,
and has therefore assigned the establishments to an "Indeterminate" category. This category also includes employers who did not
have employees in the last 12 months.
60
March 31, 2011
Total
(A)
Indeterminate23
(B)
Subtotal
(A - B)
1-4
5-9
10-19
6241 - Individual and
Family Services
6
0
6
2
1
0
8134 - Civic and Social
Organizations
6
2
4
3
1
0
4441 - Building Material
and Supplies Dealers
5
1
4
2
0
0
5617 - Services to
Buildings and Dwellings
5
2
3
1
2
0
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistic Canada, Canadian Business Pattern June 2008.
2049
5099
100199
200499
500
+
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Table 33: % Change of Total Number of Employers, SL vs. Ontario, June 2003 to June 2008
Sub-Sector
Sioux Lookout Total
Change from
June 2003 to
June 2008 %
Ontario Total
Change from
June 2003 to
June 2008 %
-9.0
13.0
3.2
-3.2
13.0
8.6
40.0
30.6
-19.0
-25.2
-6.3
12.4
-39.1
Total
721 Accommodation
Services
238 - Specialty
Trade Contractors
531 - Real Estate
113 - Forestry and
Logging
541 - Professional,
Scientific and
Technical Services
722 - Food Services
and Drinking Places
813 - Religious,
Grant-Making, Civic,
and Professional and
Similar
Organizations
811 - Repair and
Maintenance
523 - Securities,
Commodity
Contracts, and Other
Financial Investment
and Related
Activities
551 - Management
of Companies and
Enterprises
236 - Construction of
Buildings
481 - Air
Transportation
561 - Administrative
and Support
Services
445 - Food and
Beverage Stores
Sioux Lookout
Total Change from
June 2003 to June
2008 %
Ontario Total
Change from
June 2003 to
June 2008 %
Total
-9.0
13.0
7212 - RV (Recreational
Vehicle) Parks and
Recreational Camps
0.0
-8.6
-19.0
-26.9
30.0
25.3
0.0
3.9
Industry
1133 - Logging
5311 - Lessors of Real
Estate
2382 - Building
Equipment Contractors
66.7
37.9
-3.3
5239 - Other Financial
Investment Activities
5511 - Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
100.0
42.0
0.0
7.7
2361 - Residential
Construction
-25.0
4.8
-26.7
-1.3
2383 - Building Finishing
Contractors
12.5
16.2
66.7
38.3
7221 - Full-Service
Restaurants
-30.8
0.5
100.0
42.0
14.3
-1.2
-35.7
4.4
-12.5
-3.2
12.5
4.3
50.0
6.5
-10.0
3.9
20.0
0.4
-30.0
9.2
-16.7
10.5
7211 - Traveller
Accommodation
4812 - Non-Scheduled
Air Transportation
6241 - Individual and
Family Services
8134 - Civic and Social
Organizations
4441 - Building Material
and Supplies Dealers
61
March 31, 2011
Sub-Sector
Sioux Lookout Total
Change from
June 2003 to
June 2008 %
Ontario Total
Change from
June 2003 to
June 2008 %
Sioux Lookout
Total Change from
June 2003 to June
2008 %
Industry
Ontario Total
Change from
June 2003 to
June 2008 %
624 - Social
5617 - Services to
Assistance
16.7
7.2
Buildings and Dwellings
-16.7
Source: McSweeney & Associates from Statistics Canada, Canadian Business Pattern June 2003 and June 2008
9.8
Table 34: Canadian and Ontario Economic Indicators Outlook
Annual average percent
change
Real GDP
Employment
Unemployment (%)
CPI
Retail Trade
Housing Starts
Existing home sales
Average Existing Home
Price
Canada
2011f
2.6-3.2
1.2-1.9
7.5-7.6
2.1-2.3
4.0-4.4
-16.1
-7.6
-0.8
2010f
2.9-3.1
1.6
8.0
1.7-1.8
4.5-4.8
28.2
-2.3
6.8
2012f
2.5-3.1
1.3-2.2
7.2
1.9-2.0
3.8-4.6
5.9
-4.8
-1.4
2010f
3.0-3.3
1.7-1.8
8.7-8.8
2.4
4.4-4.7
18.6
1.6
8.7
Ontario
2011f
2.4-3.1
1.1-1.9
8.1-8.2
2.1-2.3
3.9-4.2
-20.9
-7.0
-1.5
2012f
2.3-3.1
1.2-2.1
7.7-7.9
1.7-2.1
3.8-4.3
16.0
-5.1
-1.2
Source: McSweeney & Associates from TD Economics, 2011 Prospects lifted as Commodity-Heavy Provinces Retake the Growth LEAD
– Dec. 17, 2010 and BMO Provincial Economic Outlook Jan. 7, 2011 and BMO Provincial Economic Outlook, December, 2010 and BMO
Economic Forecast Detail-Canada – December 2010
Table 35: Global Export Forecast by Sector (% Growth)
Main Sectors
Agri-food
Energy
Forestry
Chemicals, plastics,
Fertilizers
Ores, metals and Other industrial products
Aircraft & parts
Rail and Other Transportation Equipment
Advanced Technology
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
Motor Vehicles and Parts
Consumer Goods
Special transactions*
Total Goods Sector
Total Services Sector
Total Exports
% Share of Total
Exports (2009)
9.6
20.3
6.1
7.6
1.3
12.1
2.8
0.5
3.8
5.8
9.9
1.9
1.5
83.3
16.7
100.0
Export Outlook (% growth)
2009
2010(f)
2011 (f)
-9.4
-6
4
-39.1
21
5
-21.8
14
5
-17.1
9
7
-39.2
14
30
-29.9
19
4
5.2
-15
-1
-10.0
-13
3
-20.0
-16
5
-20.1
-5
8
-27.9
38
10
-8.0
-6
6
-21.6
-20
5
-26.5
12
6
-4.7
4
3
-23.6
12
6
Source: EDC Global Export Forecast Fall 2010, p. 33
*2009 is actual data while 2010 and 2011 are forecast. Special transactions* – mainly low-valued transactions, value of repairs to
equipment and goods returned to country of origin.
Table 36: Ontario Merchandise Export Outlook
Main Sectors
Industrial Goods
Motor Vehicle
M&E
Agri-Food
% Share of
Exports(2009)
32.4
28.8
17.0
7.0
62
Global Outlook (% growth)
2009
2010(f)
2011 (f)
-25.1
15
4
-29.0
43
10
-20.3
-10
7
-5.5
-6
3
March 31, 2011
Forestry
Consumer Goods
All others
Total
Total excl. energy
3.6
3.2
8.1
100.0
97.8
-22.9
0.1
-20.1
-23.3
-22.8
12
-6
-14
14
15
4
6
3
7
7
Source: EDC Global Export Forecast Fall 2010, p. 56
Table 37: Canadian Industrial Outlook – GDP by Industry
% change (Y/Y)
Industry
2010
2.8
3.4
-0.2
-0.4
-1.6
0.7
4.2
6.5
28.4
-11.4
3.8
2.3
7.9
11.5
11.7
0.3
5.9
5.0
1.6
2.4
1.2
1.3
2.6
6.4
5.0
4.5
0.6
3.5
0.8
1.2
1.7
0.8
All industries (GDP)
Good Industries
Primary Industries
Oil & Gas
Agriculture
Non-energy Mining
Forestry, Logging & Other Primary
Manufacturing
Autos & Parts
Aerospace & Other Transport.
Wood & Paper Products
Food Products
Chemicals
Plastics & Rubber
Computer & Electronics
Machinery
Metal Products
Other Manufacturing
Construction
Residential
Non-res. & Engineering
Utilities
Service Industries
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation & Warehousing
Information & Cultural Industries
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
Professional Services
Accommodation & Food Services
Public Administration
Other Services
2011
3.0
5.2
6.0
6.7
2.2
8.7
9.3
6.2
9.2
2.5
8.2
2.6
5.0
7.9
5.0
7.4
7.0
6.1
3.3
-0.3
4.9
2.1
2.1
3.8
2.7
3.4
1.5
1.8
3.5
2.8
0.6
1.6
Source: TD Economics Industrial Outlook, January 19, 2010, p.5
Table 38: GDP by Industry Ontario
Percentage change
Agriculture
Forestry
Fishing & trapping
Mining
Manufacturing
Construction
Utilities
Goods-producing industries
2009
-2.4
-30.5
8.8
-21.6
-13.9
-6.0
-8.8
-11.7
63
2010f
2.5
17.8
2.9
20.3
10.3
6.3
1.7
8.6
2011f
2.8
18.5
4.8
11.2
3.7
3.1
2.8
3.7
March 31, 2011
Transportation, warehousing & information
Wholesale & retail trade
Finance, insurance & real estate
Community, business & personal services
Public administration & defence
Service-producing industries
All industries
-2.0
-3.4
1.7
0.3
2.3
0.0
-3.1
2.3
8.1
3.3
1.2
4.2
3.3
4.5
1.9
3.7
2.6
2.9
2.6
2.8
3.0
Source: McSweeney & Associates from CBC Fall Provincial outlook Summer July 20, 2010, p.47
Table 39: Canada and Ontario Employment Outlook by Industry – Q1/2011
Industry
Canada
Net Employment
Outlook (%)
5
-6
6
12
3
0
12
7
6
12
6
All Industries
Construction
Education
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
Manufacturing - Durables
Manufacturing – Non-Durables
Mining
Public Administration
Services
Transportation & Public Utilities
Wholesale & Retail Trade
Ontario
Net Employment Outlook
(%)
3
-12
2
10
3
-2
-16
0
5
14
3
Source: Manpower Employment Outlook Survey – Q1/2011
References:
The Conference Board of Canada, Metropolitan Outlook 1 Autumn 2010
TD Economics, Quarterly Economic Forecast December 15, 2010
RBC Economic Research, Provincial Outlook December 2010
Manpower, Employment Outlook Survey – Q1/2011
Scotiabank Group, Industry Trends June 2010
TD Economics, Industrial Outlook January 19, 2010
EDC Economics, The Moment of Truth – Global Export Forecast Fall 2010
The 24th Annual Corporate Survey & 6th Annual Consultants Survey – 2009
The Canadian Chamber of Commerce, 2011-2012 Economic Outlook: Canada’s Economic
Engine Is Chugging Along but Not at Full Steam – December 2010
10. Economy Outlook 2011, Financial Post – Jan. 7, 2011
11. TD Economics, National and Provincial Job Markets in 2010 behind the Scenes – Jan. 6,
2011
12. Scotiabank Group, Provincial Trends-Regional Economic Outlook – Nov. 17, 2010
13. TD Economics, 2011 Prospects lifted as Commodity-Heavy Provinces Retake the Growth
LEAD – Dec. 17, 2010
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
64
March 31, 2011

Market Study Report for the Municipality of Sioux Lookout

Transcription

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