立足本土 ,放眼全球 - 中微的发展道路
Transcription
立足本土 ,放眼全球 - 中微的发展道路
立足本土 ,放眼全球 - 中微的发展道路 China-Based with Global Thinking - AMEC Practice Michael Chu, VP and GM of Etch Product AMEC: Built in Pudong in Aug 2004 with total 380 employees and 28000m2 plant. Build 1 Build 2 • Build 1 (6,500 m2 ) was built in 2005 with 1,000m2 class 100 lean room for R&D Lab. • Build 2 (22,000m2 ) Phase 1 of 3000m2 clean room for production was put in use in Aug 2012. • Complete Build 2 plant will have 300 tools with $6 billion annual production capacity by E/2013. Market Opportunities IC Unit Growth Across most End Markets in 2014 Source: SIA, Goldman Sachs, Apr 2014 Longer-term End Market Trends Semiconductor Revenue by End Market Over Time By end market over the last decade, communications (including handsets) and industrial have grown the most as a percentage of the total. Source: SIA, Goldman Sachs, Apr 2014 Asia Pacific Rising Sharply Worldwide Semiconductor Market Billings Asia Asia Pacific’s market share keeps going up and exceeded all other regions in year 2011. Now the billings from Asia is over half of the global billings. Source: SIA, Feb 2013 China has Become the Largest IC Market Since 2005 Worldwide semiconductor market by region, 2003–2012 China’s semiconductor consumption market grew by 8.7% in 2012 to reach a new record of 52.5% of the global market. Source: PwC, Sep 2013 China’s IC Manufacturing Still at Week Position The Chinese IC market is forecast to have a 2012-2017 CAGR of 13%, five points higher than the 8% CAGR forecast for the total IC market during this same time period. However, most of the capacity are come from foreign companies. Source :World Fab Watch, Sep 2013 Greater China’s Has Been More and More Important Greater China Share in 2012 China, Hongkong, and Taiwan Source: CCID, Gartner Dataquest, ICI Insights, SEMI World Fab Watch, TSIA, WSTS, PwC, Sep 2013 2014 Could be a Recovery Year for Capex YoY Percentage Change in Capex Driven by NAND and foundry, 2014 capex will improve to show 11% growth. Source: SIA, Goldman Sachs, Apr 2014 Capex Breakdown NAND Capex DRAM Capex Foundry Capex Logic Capex Source: SIA, Goldman Sachs, Apr 2014 Challenges Number of Companies with Fabs is Dwindling The number of companies able to afford the cost of new advanced fab continues to dwindle, causing greater reliance on foundries for production capacity. Source: IC Insights, Jan 2013 Global IC Capacity Breakdown Installed Monthly Capacity of Each Region Capacity Leaders’ Share IC capacity in China mainland only represents 9.4% of global overall capacity. Taiwan region now has the biggest installed capacity. Source: IC Insights, Feb 2014 Wafer Capacity Leaders Capex is becoming more concentrated with a greater percentage of spending coming from a shrinking number of companies. As a result, IC industry capacity is also becoming more concentrated and this trend is especially prevalent in 300mm wafer technology. Source: IC Insights, Jan 2013 Top Capexer Samsung, Intel and TSMC are the big three entered into “$10 Billion Club” in year 2013. Source: Citi, Owen, Feb 2013 Top 7 Capexer Share Keep Growing Samsung, Intel, TSMC, Global Foundry, Toshiba, Hynix and Micron Top 7 Capex 100% Top 7 as % of Total 40,000 70% 30,000 75% 74% 77% 80% 60% 59% 49,085 20,000 10,000 41% 24% 30% 18,467 31,724 38,934 41,037 40% 40,184 24,054 20% Top 7 Capex as % of Total Capex (Million US Dollars) 50,000 9,235 0 0% 1995 Average Capex $1.32B 2000 2007 $2.64B 2010 $3.44B 2011 $4.53B 2012 $5.56B 2013E $5.86B 2014E $5.74B $7.01B Though the average capex for top 7 drops a little bit, their share as of total capex increase to 75% this year. Source: Citi, Owen, Feb 2013 The Business Cyclically Reach Bottom This Quarter Fab equipment spending saw a drastic dip in 2H12 and, accounting for seasonal weakness and near-term uncertainty, 1Q13 is expected to be even lower Source: SEMI, Nov 2012 Top Equipment Suppliers Total Wafer Fab Equipment After the merge of Applied and Tokyo Electron, the company represents over 30% of the total wafer fab equipment share. Source: Gartner, Morgan Stanley, Sep 2013 Top 4 Equipment Players Fiscal Year End on 10/27/2013 Fiscal Year End on 03/31/2013 Revenue: $12.32B Fiscal Year End on 06/30/2013 Fiscal Year End on 06/30/2013 Revenue: $7.27B Revenue: $3.59B Revenue: $2.84B Asset: $15.96B Asset: Fiscal Year End on 12/31/2013 $7.51B + $4.81B Asset: $19.55B R&D: $12.04B + $7.51B R&D: $2028M 1 USD=103.2350JPY $1319M+$709M $7.25B Asset: $684M R&D: $5.28B $465M R&D: $1163M 1 EUR=1.3862USD Exchange Rate Date: 2014/03/11 After the merge of Applied and Tokyo Electron, the new company’s annual R&D expense will exceed $2B. Following by ASML , which company’s annual R&D expense also exeed $1B. Source: Google Finance, AMEC, Mar 2014 Driving Factors of the Industry Growth Resource Investment Industry Evolution Creative Design Resource Investment Resource Large Font Indicates Main Driving Force Development Stage Industry players who can fulfill customers’ variously needs and deliver better ROI through creative design will prosper in the market at current stage. AMEC Practices & Learning Better Understanding for Customers’ Requirement On-Wafer Performance Software/Hardware Friendly Quality and Reliability Design for Zero Failure Easy Manufacturing Easy Assemble and Disassemble Easy Maintenance Fast Recovery Upgradability Minimize Changes during Upgrade Modulization Simplify Interface/Module Test Standardization Standard Parts and Interface Safety and EHS Requirement Meet Multi-National Needs Low System Cost and Running Cost Clear Cost target and Reduction Roadmap Customer Satisfaction Easy to Operate Customer Partners/Friends AMEC Build a Strong in-house R&D Team Gerald Yin CEO & Chairman Zhiyou Du SVP & MOCVD GM Michael Chu VP & Etch GM Andrew Chen VP & CFO Tom Ni VP & Etch DGM James Yang VP & GM of CM Matthew Ruby VP & General Counsel Steve Mak VP & Etch DGM KH Koh VP & Singapore GM KI Yoon VP & Korea GM Steven Lee VP & DGM of CM George Cao VP & China GM Vic Meksavan VP, GMO Henry Ho VP, MOCVD Eng. Janet Huang Mgt Dir., HR Pat Walsh VP & US GM Hirofumi Matsuo SD & Japan Act. GM Bryan Pu VP. Etch Tech Xingcai Su Sr. Dir. Etch App Songlin Xu Sr. Dir, TSV Ben Chen Taiwan Deputy GM More than 40 from Silicon Valley and more than 50 from Japan, Korea, Taiwan and Singapore with a total of 2500 years accumulated semi-equipment experience incl. process tech, product development, operation, MFG, material management, quality management, sales and service 24 Besides Technology Innovation, AMEC also Focus on Lower Cost of Ownership AMEC Practice Cost Reduction Design simple, reliable and easy-to-use products Simple mainframe and wafer transfer system Simple process chamber sub-system Single Compact Pci will switch to PC control 10% Design high throughput multi-wafer system Share major parts and components Increase throughput per unit cost 10% Low cost outsourcing material, and subassembly 50% material and subsystem outsourced to Asia manufacturer Only perform final assemble and test in house 10% Lower product operation cost Lower consumption of water, electricity and gases Increase life of consumables, lower their cost Tax and cost benefits in industry zone 5% Additional AMEC will offer 35% lower cost of ownership as compared to competitors AMEC D-RIE Etch Chamber Design Key Features Decoupled RIE Plasma Source VHF RF for plasma density control LF RF for ion energy control Patented fast tuning RF system Operate four different plasma regimes Single and Dual Wafer Processing Single wafer and dual wafer flexible Precise station matching Separate RF and endpoint control Dual Plasma Confinement Large window for plasma confinement In-situ clean fro near zero particle High Purity Chamber Materials Less erosion for low CoC Less contamination and defects Etch Uniformity Optimization Symmetrical process zone Gas distribution tuning Unique electrode edge design Asia Materials and Subassembly Suppliers AMEC has partnered with over 350 global suppliers to optimize its systems’ performance, as well as provides cost-cutting spare parts outsource services. Singapore China ENI (MKS) AEI ECC Flextronics/CZ Foxsemicon Kinergy/NT Saes Getters Mitsui-Ferrotec/HZ Technoquartz/HZ Volex Xian Aero-Engine Xian Aerocraft Sanyo/DL Robert Automation GD Technology View Tech Jiao Dai Nan Yang Korea Daewoo KSM CoorsTek HanYang Shinsong KoMiCo Tae Kwang Bend Lasemtec NPP MAT APEX Inocera Genesis Philips Norelco-UMS Kinergy Watlow Hup-Fat CEI Taiwan Gongin Foxsemicon MIC Ares Green Hiwin SIC SCH Contreal Japan Daikin Ebara Tech Fujikin Kawasaki Mitsubishi Cables Sanyo Denki Shimadzu JAL Ferrotec Mitsui V-Tek Fuji Film Indonesia PerkinElmer Belfab Tokai Carbon Shinko Oriental Motors TDK Techno Quartz THK Yasakawa Seiko Seiki CKD Aitech SMC Pearl Aera (AEI Co.) Hirata Rorze Kyocera NGK NSK Shibaura Toshiba Ceramics Vietnam Vietnam Bingo Asuzac Global CyberSoft Rorze AMEC ETCH-Related Patents (E/2013) Processing / Pending Granted China 233 72 Taiwan 103 33 JP 9 4 KR 2 9 US 13 9 PCT filing 0 0 Sub-total 360 127 Total 487 AMEC has been granted 127 patents worldwide since 2005. This includes patents for important system innovations like a VHF de-couple RF system, CVD SiC showerhead, High pumping confinement ring, etc.. AMEC MOCVD-Related Patents (E/2013) Processing / Pending Granted China 27 33 Taiwan 28 18 JP 3 4 KR 7 4 US 12 4 PCT filing 2 0 Sub-total 79 63 Total 142 AMEC has been granted 63 patents worldwide since 2005. This includes patents for important system innovations like a gas distribution system and heater rotation system that can be used for novel MOCVD tool features. AMEC Legal Partner US (Corporate legal consultancy) (Patent prosecution & legal opinion) (Patent prosecution & legal opinion) Herald McElhinny ( IP consultancy & IP agreement review ) (Litigator) (US top 10 attorney on patent lawsuit) あいわ内外特許事務所 Japan (Patent prosecution) (Patent prosecution) China (Corporate legal consultancy) (Patent prosecution) ( IP consultancy) Taiwan (Patent prosecution & legal opinion) (Patent prosecution) (Patent prosecution) (Patent prosecution) Korea (Litigator) Diversified Product Offerings AMEC Products Dielectric Etcher TSV Etcher MOCVD 65nm to 1xnm Dielectric Etch MEMS, CIS package , Interposer & 3D IC, LED, Dicing LED Chips AMEC has various product offerings that cover IC manufacturing, IC assembly & testing as well as LED chips with a main focus on Etch and CVD technology. AMEC D-Etch and TSV Install Base (E/Jan of 2014) AMEC Etch Products Install Base Summary (E/2013) Region Business Tech Node # Systems # Stations Foundry 65/40/28/20nm 21 94 Memory 58/46/30nm 4 14 Packaging CIS 2 8 Foundry 65/40/28nm 13 52 Packaging CIS, MEMS, 3DIC, BSI 13 48 Foundry 65/45/40nm 3 12 Packaging MEMS 1 6 Korea Memory 26/20/15nm; VNAND 2 16 Japan Packaging Dicing 1 4 Taiwan China Singapore D-RIE 17 Systems / 60 Stations 17 60 TSV 45 Systems / 194 Stations 45 194 Total 62 Systems / 254 Stations 62 254 Over 10.3M wafers processed with stable yield running 65/40/28/26/20nm devices Qualifications in-progress for 1xnm Memory, 1Xnm Foundry application AMEC Etch Install Base Growth Momentum In 2014, Install base of 376 Stations in 22 Customer Production Sites (30 Fabs) Est. YOY Growth > 55% for 2012 to 2014 and > 50% for 2009 thru 2014 33 Wfs Pass Summary – Total Etch All Regions (E/Jan’2014) 2013 2014 All regions total wfs pass over 10.3M (D-Etch- 9.9M; TSV: 0.4M) by end of Jan 2014 N40/45 is the major output and <=N30 running >100K WSPM MEMS and CIS output >35K WSPM since Aug 2013 34 BetaMOCVD Evaluation AMEC ProductUpdate Positioning Customer Evaluation Status Customer 1 (2” LED) 1. Evaluation tool (1 CH) shipped in Feb of 2013 2. Production proven with twice ~100 continual runs without open chamber 3. Total > 250run (2” x 12500 wfs) Customer 2 (2” LED) 1. 1st evaluation tool (1 CH) shipped in Aug of 2013 and completed Tier 3. Will plan to run production for repeatability test. 1. 2nd evaluation tool (1 CH) shipped in Oct of 2013 and Tier 2 completed Customer 3 (2” LED) Customer 4 (4~6” Power Device) Customer 5 (4” LED) Customer 6 (4” LED) 1. Evaluation tool shipped in Dec. of 2013 2. Will complete Tier 1 in March 1. Evaluation tool shipped in Dec. of 2013 2. Will complete Tier 1 in March 1. Live demo. completed 2. Chip process test is ongoing 3. Subsidy support is important for JDP 1. Demo is on going 2. Customer plan to visit AMEC HQ in May 35 Summary The industry we are in is very fantastic with steady growth potential With its huge consumer base and growing manufacturing base, Asia is now capable of self-sustainable electronics supply chain from product design to system integration, but still lack of high-end micro-fabrication equipment IC and LED equipment industry is emerging in China, will get fast growth with the increase of local demand and strong government support AMEC is well-positioned and dedicated to contribute to the development of the ever growing micro-fabrication equipment industry and we welcome you to join us in this endeavour! Visit us at http://www.amec-inc.com Thanks!