TASK 4.0 – PURPOSE AND NEED STATEMENT
Transcription
TASK 4.0 – PURPOSE AND NEED STATEMENT
Mayagüez Transit Study TASK 4.0 – PURPOSE AND NEED STATEMENT Prepared For: Municipality of Mayagüez Economic Development Office archUD-AECOM February 2015 Table of Contents 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 2. Project Purpose .............................................................................................................. 1 Project History ................................................................................................................ 3 Project Setting ................................................................................................................ 3 1.3.1 Land Use ........................................................................................................... 3 1.3.2 Zoning ............................................................................................................... 6 1.3.3 Population and Employment............................................................................... 9 1.3.4 Traffic .............................................................................................................. 12 1.3.5 Transit Network ................................................................................................ 17 Problem Statement ...................................................................................................... 21 2.1 2.2 Goals and Objectives.................................................................................................... 22 Conclusion and Process Summary ............................................................................... 23 List of Tables Table 1: Average Daily Traffic and Heavy Vehicle Percent, PR-2 ........................................................... 13 Table 2: Average Daily Traffic and Heavy Vehicle Percent, PR-2R......................................................... 15 Table 3: Average Daily Traffic and Heavy Vehicle Percent, East-West Corridor...................................... 16 List of Figures Figure 1: Project Corridors ....................................................................................................................... 2 Figure 2: Existing Land Use Map ............................................................................................................. 6 Figure 3: Zoning Map............................................................................................................................... 8 Figure 4: 2012 Population Density by Census Tract ................................................................................. 9 Figure 5: 2012 Median Household Income by Census Tract................................................................... 10 Figure 6: 2000-2012 Labor Force and Employment Trends .................................................................... 11 Figure 7: 2012 Percent of Workers Living and Working in Mayagüez by Census Tract ........................... 12 Figure 8: Existing and Future No-Build LOS for AM and PM Peak Hours, PR-2...................................... 14 Figure 9: Existing and Future No-Build LOS for AM and PM Peak Hours, PR-2R ................................... 15 Figure 10: Existing and Future No-Build LOS for AM and PM Peak Hours, East-West Corridor .............. 17 Figure 11: TIM Downtown Routes .......................................................................................................... 18 Figure 12: TIM Rural Routes.................................................................................................................. 19 Figure 13: UPR Mayagüez Trolley Colegial Transit Routes .................................................................... 20 Figure 14: Alternatives Analysis Process ............................................................................................... 23 i Purpose and Need Statement 1. Introduction This document establishes the Purpose and Need for transportation investment in the Municipality of Mayagüez, Puerto Rico. An Alternatives Analysis (AA), entitled the Mayagüez Transit Study (MTS), has been initiated in a study area encompassing two corridors. The Purpose and Need Statement outlines the reasons for proposing a project and the underlying needs for a project. The Purpose and Need Statement acts as the foundation of the planning process. It provides the rationale and justification for undertaking an important transportation investment and forms the basis for the range of alternatives to be studied. This Purpose and Need Statement also includes Goals and Objectives, which focus on related issues reflecting environmental, community, and transportation values. The Purpose and Need Statement embodies observable and data-supported transportation conditions, as well as problems, opportunities, and needs articulated by the public, stakeholders, and the Municipality of Mayagüez. Public and stakeholder input regarding problems, opportunities, and needs will occur as an integral part of the public involvement process for this AA. This Purpose and Need Statement presents the purpose of the proposed project, documents the deficiencies in the existing transportation system, and the foreseeable long-term consequences of those deficiencies, and describes the needs arising from those deficiencies that support the project purpose. The Purpose and Need Statement serves as a cornerstone for the development and evaluation of alternatives proposed as potential solutions to identified deficiencies. 1.1 Project Purpose The Municipality of Mayagüez, as elucidated in its 2005 Plan de Ordenación Territorial (POT), desires to “transform Mayagüez into an accessible, livable city.” In support of this goal, the POT promotes the development of an efficient, dependable multi-modal transportation system, providing new facilities for pedestrian and bicycle activity and transit, with a particular focus on the aging population and population of students. The purpose of the MTS is to improve the travel speed, reliability, safety, and convenience of transit service in the metropolitan area, linking existing and emerging activity centers in the downtown area with established and emerging activity centers along the north-south PR-2 corridor. The project will better serve existing transit riders, attract new transit patrons, improve connections between different services, and support redevelopment and other economic development opportunities. Importantly, it will also serve to improve livability by increasing mobility and accessibility for all residents in communities throughout the study area. Two inter-related corridors have been identified for study within the context of this AA: a North-South Corridor, encompassing both PR-2 (a regional primary arterial/highway) and PR-2R (a local arterial), the two major north-south routes through the municipality, and an East-West Corridor, centering on Candelaria and Méndez Vigo Streets, the pair of one-way roads providing access to/from the town core (see Figure 1). Both of these corridors represent the historical access routes in and out of the municipality for the past century. The construction of PR-2 in the 1960s followed much of the alignment originally developed for the freight and passenger railroad which facilitated movement around Puerto Rico (“the island”), between San Juan on the north coast, Mayagüez on the west coast, and Ponce on the south coast. 1 Figure 1: Project Corridors 2 1.2 Project History In February 2005, a document entitled Existing Conditions Report was published by the Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority (PRHTA), at the behest of the Municipality of Mayagüez. As a result of this report, a planning and feasibility study for a transit corridor in the Mayagüez Central District was then completed. The results of this study, entitled Alternatives Evaluation Report, were finalized in July 2007. In 2010, the Central American Games were held in Mayagüez. A bus transit system was implemented during the two weeks of sports competition in order to mitigate projected traffic congestion, primarily as a result of spectators attending from all over Central America and the Caribbean. This system was deemed highly effective at mitigating traffic impacts. The success of the bus system during the Central American Games increased the awareness of and support for transit in the municipality. This, in turn, led to the reorganization and improvement over the last three years of the existing municipal bus system. This AA process furthers the development of the municipal transit system, building on the past studies and more recent operational experience. 1.3 Project Setting Over the past three years, the Municipality of Mayagüez has been dramatically improving its bus/van system, primarily in response to latent demand. The system currently consists of four routes (three loop routes operating in proximity to downtown and a fourth along the coast to the northwest). In addition to this municipal service, University of Puerto Rico (UPR) Mayagüez runs five shuttle routes, some of which extend beyond the campus to the downtown and other nearby areas. At present, UPR shuttle service is not consistently available, since the vehicles used for this service also have other responsibilities. In addition to these two services, a number of público routes operate in and around the municipality. Two routes extend between downtown Mayagüez to the barrios (large neighborhoods) to the east and southeast. However, the most well used público service operates without a fixed schedule, in a partially on-demand/curb-to-curb fashion within certain zones/subareas of the downtown and its surroundings. Additionally, long-distance público routes provide service to San Juan, Ponce, and other destinations outside the municipality. Público service operates under permit, issued by the Department of Transportation and Public Works (DTPW). Mayagüez’s geographic area covers 55.9 square miles, excluding the uninhabited offshore islands of Mona, Monito, and Desecheo. The following subsections describe the existing and expected future land use patterns, projected population and employment conditions, traffic conditions, existing transit services, and the state of transit system connectivity, which provide the context for the project need. 1.3.1 Land Use th The Municipality of Mayagüez experienced strong development activity in the second half of the 20 century, following the replacement of the long-distance railroad (north-south) and local trolley system (east-west) by the private vehicle. New suburban development presented an alternative to traditional urban settings, in many instances related to the availability of industrial job opportunities and commercial developments along primary highways and in the port zone. While the North-South and East-West Corridors overlap near the downtown core, outside this overlap area the two corridors generally present quite different land use patterns. Figure 2 presents a map of the existing land use within the study area. 3 North-South Corridor Centered along PR-2, the North-South Corridor is seven miles (11.3 kilometers) long, more than five times the length of the East-West Corridor. The corridor is essentially a suburban, auto-oriented area, evolving since the mid-1950s with an ambiguous, dual role: accommodating regional traffic through and into Mayagüez and providing access to the city’s suburbs beyond its traditional town limits. The corridor contains new subdivisions (urbanizaciones), as well as new satellite government centers and commercial developments, colonized agricultural land, and environmentally sensitive areas in a loose, fragmented pattern. PR-2 through the North-South Corridor can be divided into three segments, each with similar land uses: 1. North (Western Plaza shopping mall to UPR): This segment, in which PR-2 operates as a limited access highway, lies primarily in the barrios of Sabaneta, Algarrobos, and Miradero. It is characterized by an incomplete grid of streets, compared to the central and south segments. Commercial uses are sparsely distributed along fragmented frontage roads, with residential uses mostly sitting substantially back from PR-2. The fragmentation is due to existing topography, large forested areas, and historical development. In general, the eastern side of the segment is occupied by newer middle-class subdivisions, while the western side is generally older, working class or low-income communities. 2. Central (UPR to Nenadich Street): This central segment encompasses the UPR campus and the town center. The primary government, institutional, and cultural uses of Mayagüez are also concentrated in this segment of the corridor. 3. South (Nenadich Street to Mayagüez Mall): The main activity generators in the south segment are the Mayagüez Judicial Center, the Dr. Ramón Emeterio Betances Hospital (Mayagüez Medical Center), and, at the southern end of the corridor, the Mayagüez Mall. Due in part to the presence of creeks, wetlands, and other sensitive environmental resources, this segment is characterized by a fragmented land use pattern, with limited north-south connections other than those provided by PR-2 itself and its incomplete frontage roads. Compared to the north PR-2 segment, the south segment has a more dense suburban fabric. PR-2R also traverses the North-South Corridor, east of PR-2 through the downtown core. This route diverges from PR-2 north of downtown at the San Juan Street intersection. South of PR-2R, opposite the UPR Mayagüez campus, land uses include the brewery, the northern part of the Barcelona district, and the Ensanche Vivaldi neighborhood. After passing the UPR campus, the route turns south across the Yagüez River into the downtown core. PR-2R runs north-south across the town center, intersecting Méndez Vigo/Candelaria (the spine of the East-West Corridor), De Diego, Nenadich, and other east-west streets, encompassing most of the central historic district’s commercial, institutional, cultural, medical, and mixed-use destinations. South of Nenadich Street to the PR-2R/Cabassa Avenue intersection, land uses fronting PR-2R are mostly commercial and light industrial, with some institutional uses set out in uneven distribution and density, including the Municipal Asylum, churches, and the historic municipal cemetery. The local street network offers only limited connectivity. On the east side of PR-2R are the Santurce neighborhood, the Urbanización Alemany subdivision, and Yagüez Public Housing; all are densely populated, transitdependent communities. Parts of this area, along the Majagual Creek, reflect great structural deterioration, due to poor soils and drainage conditions. PR-2R turns west on Cabassa Avenue, returning to PR-2 in the vicinity of the Medical Center. Along Cabassa Avenue, where PR-2R turns west, the main activity generator is the Mayagüez Judicial Center, near the PR-2/Cabassa Avenue intersection. The undeveloped property north of Cabassa Avenue is a protected wetland resource. Of particular importance is the Mayagüez Medical Center/Betances Hospital, on the west side of PR-2 at the first intersection south of Cabassa Avenue. 4 PR-64/PR-102 also runs through the North-South Corridor along the coastal edge of the municipality. This route passes a few key regional destinations, such as the Mayagüez Port Zone, Litoral Park, and the Centroamerican Sports Complex (Isidoro García and José A. Figueroa Freyre Stadiums). East-West Corridor The East-West Corridor includes the area surrounding the two arterial streets, Méndez Vigo and Candelaria, which run east-west across the traditional town center of Mayagüez (the central zone of Barrio Pueblo). Oriente Street (PR-105) lies at the eastern end of the corridor and PR-102 and Litoral Park sit at the western limit. The length of the corridor is approximately 1.3 miles (2.1 kilometers), bisected by the PR-2 viaduct (Eugenio María de Hostos Avenue). The area east of the viaduct comprises the historic core of the town: Plaza Colón, governmental/institutional buildings, and a series of traditional neighborhoods with varying combinations of uses (commercial, institutional, residential, and cultural). The area west of the viaduct remains predominantly a commercial/warehouse district. This area was the center of port and mercantile activities until 1932, when the Port of Mayagüez was relocated north of the Yagüez River. The street grid layout reflects a relationship with key geographical features, starting perpendicular to the coast in the former port zone, gradually shifting angles in response to the alignment of the river, as well as to the topographical narrowing of the valley created by the mountains. Consistent with the port’s historic commercial activities, block sizes are significantly larger west of the viaduct, and even east of the viaduct blocks retain long east-west dimensions compared to the traditional town center and its extensions. Presently, seven bridges (one limited to pedestrian use) connect the traditional town center to areas north of the river. The East-West Corridor is characterized in general by a commercial/mixed use zone along Candelaria and Méndez Vigo Streets, with residential neighborhoods and developments distributed north and south of this spine. The central spine lies at a higher elevation than the adjoining north and south areas and the waterfront. The East-West Corridor can be divided into three geographic segments, each with similar land use patterns: 1. East (Oriente Street to Martínez Nadal Street): This area contains several dense neighborhoods with a mix of residential and service-related uses (community support, workshops, recreation). 2. Central (Martínez Nadal Street to the PR-2 viaduct): The primary government, institutional, and cultural uses of Mayagüez are concentrated in this area. 3. West (the PR-2 viaduct to PR-102): Land uses along the spine of both Candelaria and Méndez Vigo Streets are mainly commercial and warehousing. Some of the structures are of historic significance, such as the US Customs House on Comercio Street. New uses, especially west of San Juan Street towards the former La Playa/La Marina warehouse district, are tourism-oriented, with a recent expansion of restaurant activity. West of PR-2, many formerly active commercial and/or industrial buildings remain vacant with small-scale commercial developments randomly sited in the area. As the East-West Corridor reaches the coast, more activity is present, mostly of a commercial nature. As of 2010, recreational uses were introduced, reactivating the coastline, attracting more regular use of the area. The only residential component present west of PR-2, along the edge of the East-West Corridor, is the medium-density, low-income community of Dulces Labios. 5 Figure 2: Existing Land Use Map 6 1.3.2 Zoning Figure 3 presents a map of existing zoning classifications. Zoning classifications along the existing and proposed transit corridors were developed with transit-oriented development (TOD) principles interwoven. However, basic TOD principles incorporated in the latest municipal planning regulations cannot quickly overturn the momentum that the private vehicle has sustained since the mid-20th century. North-South Corridor Along the North-South Corridor, residential districts predominate in the areas set back from the main roadway, while commercial districts are concentrated around principal intersections. The zoning map does not reflect formal or informal conversions from residential to commercial uses along PR-2 frontage roads. Areas zoned for Public Uses include the Mayagüez Airport, the Medical and Judicial Centers, and cemeteries, while the lands occupied by the Port of Mayagüez and several existing or proposed industrial parks are zoned Industrial. East-West Corridor For the East-West Corridor, the predominant zoning is commercial, as well as medium- and high-density residential. The commercial districts, with few exceptions, allow for combined residential uses, making them, effectively, mixed-use districts, concentrated along the main streets including Candelaria, Méndez Vigo, PR-102, PR-2R, Martínez Nadal, and Balboa. In the Ensanche Martínez area, the Public Use category is predominant, which mostly relates to the concentration of medical facilities, schools, and related support services. To the south, there are also Public Use districts comprising the Government Center, schools and parks, while along the Bay, Litoral Park and its associated sports facilities fall into the Public Use district. North of the town center, the extensive UPR campus and the Mayagüez Zoo are also zoned Public Use. Since Mayagüez is a university town, the amount of land zoned for education facilities (Public Use) is substantially more than in a typical Puerto Rican municipality. 7 Figure 3: Zoning Map 8 1.3.3 Population and Employment This section examines current conditions and historic trends in demographic, socioeconomic, and employment characteristics in the study area. Demographic Trends The Municipality of Mayagüez has exhibited a mixed pattern in its population dynamics over time. Except for small reductions in the 1920s and 1960s, up to the 1990s Mayagüez showed impressive growth rates in its population. However, starting in 2000, the population has trended downward. This trend is consistent with that observed for the entire population of Puerto Rico, resulting from lower birth rates and growing emigration.1 While extended projections to 2020 and 2040 indicate that population will continue to decline, the rate will decrease largely as a result of diminished emigration. The 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan (August 2013) projects that the population of Mayagüez will reach 82,051 in 2040. Correspondingly, between 2000 and 2010 the number of households in the Municipality of Mayagüez declined from 34,731 to 32,521 (a reduction of 6.4 percent). Simultaneously, the average size of households decreased from 2.83 persons in 2000 to 2.74 persons in 2010 (a reduction of 3.5 percent). Based on the 2010 Census, the municipality exhibits a population density of 1,664 persons per square mile, substantially higher than for Puerto Rico as a whole (1,088 persons per square mile). When looking at population density at a lower geographic level (census tract), it can be seen that a group of high density census tracts is clustered around the central core/intersection of the North-South and East-West Corridors (see Figure 4). Figure 4: 2012 Population Density by Census Tract Source: US Census; 2008-2012 Five - Year ACS. 1 Raúl Figueroa Rodríguez and Judith Rodríguez Figueroa, ACP Group, Estudio Demográfico y Poblacional, Municipio Autónomo de Mayagüez, February 2014. 9 Socioeconomic Trends Figure 5 examines median household income at the census tract level. In the study area core, median household income ranges between $2,800 and $12,200 annually. This concentration of lower income households is also reflected and reinforced by the distribution of population below poverty level by census tract and the distribution of zero-vehicle households (see Appendix C of the Existing and Future No-Build Facilities report for related figures). Figure 5: 2012 Median Household Income by Census Tract Source: US Census; 2008-2012 Five - Year ACS. Employment Trends Labor market dynamics in the Municipality of Mayagüez do not differ substantially from those observed for Puerto Rico as a whole during the last decade. The labor market in Mayagüez, as well as for Puerto Rico, has been characterized by both declining participation and declining numbers of jobs over the last 13 years. As a result of the declining participation, unemployment rates have remained relatively stable, even dropping, during the last few years. While total employment has dropped from 29,700 jobs in 2000 to 21,500 in 2013, a reduction of 27.6%, the unemployment rate has also lowered from a peak of 18.4% in 2011 to 16.6% in 2013. This reduction in the active labor force is the result of two factors interacting – limited employment opportunities and a reduction in the working population. The lack of existing employment opportunities discourages segments of the population of people 16 years old or more, the population potentially able to work, from participating in the labor market. Therefore, the overall participation rate and the absolute number of persons comprising the local labor force drop. Figure 6 depicts the behavior of labor participation, employment, and unemployment rates in the Municipality of Mayagüez for the years 2000 to 2012 (US Census, American Community Survey). As observed with the labor participation rate, as well as the employment rate, a descending trend started in the 2005-2007 reporting period. This negative growth 10 trend for both variables, illustrated by the lighter colored trend lines, remains unchanged through reporting years 2010-2012. Figure 6: 2000-2012 Labor Force and Employment Trends 50.0% 45.0% Participation Rate 40.0% 35.0% Employment Rate 30.0% Unemployment Rate 25.0% 2 per. Mov. Avg. (Participation Rate) 20.0% 2 per. Mov. Avg. (Employment Rate) 2 per. Mov. Avg. (Unemployment Rate) 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% In addition to declining labor participation, a second factor influencing these dynamics is the change in the age structure of the local and island-wide population during the last two decades. Puerto Rico’s population is undergoing an aging process that progressively subtracts resources from the stream that feeds its labor market. This trend is aggravated by the significant emigration observed during the last few years, composed in substantial proportion of the younger working population in their most productive years. 11 Labor Mobility The US Census 2008-2012 5-year American Community Survey (ACS) included data indicating municipality of residence and work (see Figure 7). Of the total 22,209 work force participants 16 years and older, 17,524 (78.9 percent) both live and work in Mayagüez. Figure 7: 2012 Percent of Workers Living and Working in Mayagüez by Census Tract Source: US Census; 2008-2012 Five - Year ACS. 1.3.4 Traffic This section discusses traffic analyses for Existing and Future (defined as Year 2018) No-Build conditions for the North-South (PR-2 and PR-2R) and East-West (Méndez Vigo/Candelaria Streets) Corridors. A traffic model was developed for assessing Existing intersection delay, vehicle queuing, and level of service (LOS). This model was then modified to calculate delay queuing and LOS for 2018 Future NoBuild Conditions. Future No-Build Conditions are an approximation of what traffic conditions would be like when proposed bus rapid transit (BRT) service resulting from the MTS might begin service. Additional approach and methodology information and detailed tables of results can be found in the Existing and Future No-Build Facilities report and appendices. Larger increases in delay are experienced where intersections are at or over capacity. Vehicle delay at most of the study intersections would increase from Existing to Future No-Build conditions as a result of traffic volume increases. Level of Service (LOS) at most study intersections would remain in the same range for Existing and Future No-Build conditions: LOS A-D (acceptable conditions); LOS E or F (deficient conditions). In concert with the level of service analysis, the length of the backup of vehicles (queue length) on approaches to the study intersections was also analyzed. Larger increases in queue length are experienced where intersections are at capacity or over capacity. Vehicle queue lengths at study intersection approaches would increase from Existing to Future No-Build conditions as a result of traffic volume increases. At study intersections below capacity, queue lengths would generally increase by 200 feet or less between Existing and Future No-Build conditions. Queue lengths at intersections over 12 capacity would generally increase in the range of 200 to 300 feet. Intersections where queue lengths would extend back to the adjacent intersection in the Future No-Build condition are listed in the following sections. North-South Corridor (PR-2) PR-2 in the North-South Corridor includes 20 signalized intersections over its seven mile (11.3 kilometers) length. Two additional signalized intersections, Intersections 10 and 11, are part of the North-South corridor, but are at-grade, level with the East-West Corridor below the viaduct. Based on the available 2010 data provided by PRHTA, the AM peak hour occurs between 7:15-8:15 AM with an average traffic volume of 5,303 vehicles per hour (vph) through each of the twenty intersections in the corridor. The PM peak hour of traffic occurs between 4:00-5:00 PM with an average traffic volume of 5,404 vph per intersection. From the profile it can be seen that midday traffic volumes tend to decrease somewhat from the peak periods. Table 1 shows the Existing average daily traffic (ADT) at the study corridor PR-2 intersections, divided into four segments. The ADT of the secondary roads is also provided in the same table. Percent of heavy vehicles (HV%) on PR-2 in different areas of the North-South Corridor was computed, which was then averaged for use in the traffic network model. The average HV% was four percent during the AM peak hour of traffic and three percent for the PM peak hour. Overall, PR-2 in the North-South Corridor carries an ADT of 45,946 vpd, while the section of PR-2 between Dunscombe Avenue and PR-114 exhibited the highest ADT of 57,329 (vpd). Table 1: Average Daily Traffic and Heavy Vehicle Percent, PR-2 Primary Road HV% Intersection ADT Number Segment SB (%) NB (%) (vpd) AM PM AM PM 1 2 3 PR-2 37,709 3.39 2.98 6.00 2.96 4 5 6 7 8 PR-2 42,006 3.12 3.49 4.29 3.03 9 12 13 14 15 PR-2 57,329 3.89 2.45 2.61 2.78 16 17 18 19 20 PR-2 46,740 4.20 2.60 2.71 2.81 21 22 Average ADT PR-2 45,946 3.65 3.02 3.84 2.89 Secondary Road Segment ADT (vpd) PR-64 Western Plaza Algarrobo Avenue Los Maestros PR-102 PR-3108 Chardon Street PR-2R San Juan Street Nenadich Street Dunscombe Avenue Cabassa Street Opalo Street Centro Medico Carolina Street PR-114 Los Velez Street Mayagüez Mall North Mayagüez Mall South PR-343 ----- 5,908 7,763 6,598 1,913 10,630 5,038 3,526 6,013 24,274 10,182 16,184 2,234 2,624 7,415 7,267 15,315 6,788 12,232 4,922 12,137 ----- Under Existing conditions during the AM peak period, eight of the 22 intersections (36% of the intersections), operate at LOS F (breakdown conditions). In addition, four intersections (18%) operate at 13 capacity with LOS E. In terms of overall delay, results show that motorists would have to wait between 55 and 265 seconds/vehicle at each of 12 of the 22 intersections (55%) on PR-2 in the North-South Corridor during the AM peak hour. Under Existing conditions during the PM peak period, 10 of the 22 intersections (45%) operate at LOS F and two operate at LOS E. Under Future No-Build conditions, the number of LOS F and LOS E intersections both increase. Figure 8 shows the change in LOS between Existing conditions and Future No-Build conditions for the AM and PM peak hours. Figure 8: Existing and Future No-Build LOS for AM and PM Peak Hours, PR-2 Number of Intersections 12 10 Existing AM Peak Hour 8 6 2018 No-Build AM Peak Hour 4 Existing PM Peak Hour 2 2018 No-Build PM Peak Hour 0 A B C D E F Level of Service For Future No-Build conditions, 11 intersections have queue lengths extending back to the next adjacent intersection in both the AM and PM peak periods along PR-2 in the North-South Corridor. North-South Corridor (PR-2R) PR-2R in the North-South Corridor is approximately 2.3 miles (3.7 kilometers) in length. Traffic counts were collected at 12 intersections along this route. Table 2 shows the ADT at the intersections evaluated along PR-2R. Overall, this corridor carries an ADT of 10,016 vpd. However, there are segments of the corridor that may experience higher traffic volume than others based on local traffic behavior. For example, Intersections 56 and 57 are located in a segment of PR-2R that functions as a major arterial, with an average ADT of 17,290 vpd. Meanwhile, Intersections 58, 32 and 46, in the Mayagüez downtown core area, exhibit a much lower average ADT of 5,947 vpd. A third segment of PR-2R, between Intersections 59, 61, 62, and 63, presents an average ADT of 9,268 vpd. These variations in ADT result from particular characteristics of each segment and local traffic behavior, such as the location of important trip generators. 14 Table 2: Average Daily Traffic and Heavy Vehicle Percent, PR-2R Primary Road PR-2R ADT Intersection Cluster ADT Number Segment Average (vpd) (vpd) 56 PR-2R 19,290 17,615 57 PR-65 15,940 58 Betances Street (PR-2R) 4,675 32 Betances Street (PR-2R) 6,485 5,947 46 Betances Street (PR-2R) 6,680 59 Betances Street (PR-2R) 7,405 61 Betances Street (PR-2R) 6,940 9,268 62 Betances Street (PR-2R) 9,290 63 Betances Street (PR-2R) 13,435 31 3,505 Méndez Vigo Street 47 4,335 ----Candelaria Street 60 Muñoz Rivera Street 2,910 Average ADT 7,844 10,016 Secondary Road Segment San Juan Street PR-2R De Diego Street Méndez Vigo Street Candelaria Street Muñoz Rivera Street San Vicente Street Nenadich Street Cabassa Street Basora Street Basora Street Basora Street ADT (vpd) 15,280 9,480 2,475 1,784 4,360 2,415 1,170 3,875 8,170 1,340 940 1,035 1,105 Under Existing conditions during the AM peak hour, three intersections operate near capacity (LOS D) or worse (LOS E and F). Under Existing conditions during the PM peak hour, one intersection operates at LOS D and one at LOS F. The LOS would worsen slightly in the Future No-Build condition. Figure 9 shows the change in LOS between Existing conditions and Future No-Build conditions for the AM and PM peak hours. No study intersections would have vehicle queue lengths that extend back to the next adjacent intersection during the AM and PM peak hours in the Future No-Build condition. Figure 9: Existing and Future No-Build LOS for AM and PM Peak Hours, PR-2R Number of Intersections 5.0 4.0 Existing AM Peak Hour 3.0 2018 No-Build AM Peak Hour 2.0 Existing PM Peak Hour 1.0 0.0 2018 No-Build PM Peak Hour A B C D E F Level of Service 15 East-West Corridor The East-West Corridor, centered on Méndez Vigo Street (PR-106) and Candelaria Street (PR-105), contains 35 intersections along its length of approximately 1.3 miles (2.1 kilometers). Nine of these intersections were evaluated based on data from on-site traffic counts. Of these nine intersections, four are controlled by traffic signals, while five are controlled by typical two-way stop control. Table 3 shows the ADT at the intersections evaluated along the one-way pair in the East-West Corridor. Overall, the East-West Corridor carries an ADT of about 3,380 vpd through Méndez Vigo Street (westbound) and 4,001 vpd through Candelaria Street (eastbound). However, certain segments of the corridor experience higher traffic volumes than others, based on local traffic behavior. Table 3: Average Daily Traffic and Heavy Vehicle Percent, East-West Corridor Primary Road Secondary Road Intersection Number Segment ADT (vpd) Segment 31 32 37 370 380 38 11 & 111 46 47 Average ADT Méndez Vigo Street Betances Street Comercio Street PR-102 PR-102 Comercio Street Candelaria Street Betances Street Candelaria Street 3,505 6,485 8,145 14,585 15,075 10,140 7,473 6,680 4,335 3,380 Basora Street Méndez Vigo Street Méndez Vigo Street Aduana Street Candelaria Street Candelaria Street Frontage PR-2 SB & NB Candelaria Street Basora Street ADT (vpd) 1,340 1,784 4,850 2,805 2,090 1,745 6,503 4,360 940 4,001 Under Existing conditions during both the AM and PM peak hours, the performance of the entire corridor fluctuates between LOS A and LOS B, except for Intersection 11, which operates at LOS E. Intersections 11 and 111 represent one compound intersection under the PR-2 viaduct, which has the highest traffic interaction of the East-West Corridor. Consequently, significant control delays occur at this location during both AM and PM peak hours. While analysis of Existing LOS shows reasonable operations at intersections in the East-West Corridor, overall operating speed along the corridor is quite slow, in particular at Intersections 32 and 46 in the downtown core. The slow operating speeds result from a number of issues, including two adjacent schools with substantial drop-off/pick-up activity, large amounts of illegal parking, and trucks loading and unloading. While overall LOS remains acceptable for these two intersections, there are times within the peak hours (and off-peak times) when delay, and consequently LOS, can be much worse due to congestion related to these issues. Under Future No-Build conditions, two intersections would degrade to LOS D in the AM peak hour and one intersection would degrade to LOS C in the PM peak hour. Figure 10 shows the change in LOS between Existing conditions and Future No-Build conditions for the AM and PM peak hours. Due to increased vehicular volumes under Future No-Build conditions, travel speed would be expected to diminish further. In the Future No-Build condition, the backup for the eastbound approach at Intersection 38 would extend back to the next upstream intersection during the AM peak hour. No study intersections would have queues that extend back to adjacent intersections for the Future No-Build PM peak hour. 16 Figure 10: Existing and Future No-Build LOS for AM and PM Peak Hours, East-West Corridor Number of Intersections 7 6 5 Existing AM Peak Hour 4 2018 No-Build AM Peak Hour 3 Existing PM Peak Hour 2 1 2018 No-Build PM Peak Hour 0 A B C D E F Level of Service 1.3.5 Transit Network There are currently three distinct transit services operated in the Mayagüez area: the TIM (Transporte Integrado de Mayagüez) public bus service, the “Trolley Colegial” services connecting the UPR Mayagüez campus with surrounding areas, and the various público services connecting Mayagüez with parts of its surrounding area. TIM System The TIM system is currently a fare-free public bus service operating four routes, using rubber-tired trolley vehicles, centered on downtown Mayagüez (see Figure 11): Route 1 – Downtown- UPR loop service Route 2 – Downtown-Government office center loop service Route 3 – Downtown-PR-2 connector (via Méndez Vigo/Candelaria one-way pair) loop service Route 4 – Downtown-PR-102 northern waterfront corridor service (via the Méndez Vigo/Candelaria one-way pair) Span of Service – Currently, the span of service for three of the TIM bus routes – Route 1, Route 2, and Route 3 – is 7:00 AM to 6:30 PM Monday through Friday. Span of service on Route 4 (El Maní) is Monday through Friday 7:00 AM to 10:30 AM and 2:30 PM to 6 PM. There is currently no TIM service on Saturday or Sunday. Frequency of Service – Frequency of service for the TIM routes is: Route 1 – Approximately every 20 to 34 minutes Route 2 – Approximately every 25 minutes Route 3 – Approximately every 27 minutes Route 4 – Approximately every 30 minutes 17 Ridership – Daily boardings have been estimated for three TIM bus routes: Route 1 – Approximately 1,076 daily boardings Route 2 – Approximately 710 daily boardings Route 3 – Approximately 328 daily boardings Route 4 – No data available At present, boarding and alighting information at the stop level is not available. Future Plans – Proposed service additions/modifications to the existing TIM system include (see Figure 12): A new southern waterfront route operating between downtown, using Méndez Vigo/Candelaria, and PR-102 to the south as far as the Guanajibo Homes neighborhood. Four rural routes (RR) into the mountainous areas east of the town center: o RR-108 as far as the PR-108 intersection with PR-352/PR-354. o RR-106 as far as the municipal border with Las Marías. o RR-105 to Montoso. o RR-348 to the vicinity of PR-3349. Figure 11: TIM Downtown Routes 18 Figure 12: TIM Rural Routes University Trolley System UPR Mayagüez operates the Trolley Colegial system within the UPR campus and into surrounding areas. Service, using passenger vans of different sizes, is fare-free and available to the UPR community. Interviews with staff indicated that UPR started to provide the trolley service several years ago in order to reduce the need to provide parking within the campus and to reduce congestion. Students who own cars while living in surrounding neighborhoods are encouraged to use the Trolley Colegial system and leave their cars at home. Service is provided on five trolley routes (see Figure 13): Route 1 (Palacio) – Operates between a park-and-ride facility at the nearby sports stadium and the campus library Route 2 (Zoológico) – Operates between the parking facility at the Mayagüez Zoo and the UPR campus Route 3 (Interno) – Operates on a loop essentially within the UPR campus Route 4 (Terrace) – Connects the UPR campus with the Mayagüez Terrace residential area Route 5 (Darlington) – Connects the UPR campus with the Darlington residential area of Mayagüez Span of Service – Currently, the span of service for all Trolley Colegial routes is 7:00 AM to 9:30 PM Monday to Friday. There is no Trolley Colegial service on Saturday or Sunday. 19 Frequency of Service and Ridership – No data are available regarding either frequency of service or ridership on any Trolley Colegial transit routes, although interviews with staff indicated that approximately 1,000 to 1,200 UPR students use the Trolley Colegial system on a regular basis. However, it should be noted that due to budgetary restrictions, Trolley Colegial vehicles are not used exclusively for this service, but also have other transportation responsibilities. As a result, reliability of Trolley Colegial service is reduced. Future Plans – Interviews with staff indicated that there are no documented plans to modify the Trolley Colegial system at this time. Figure 13: UPR Mayagüez Trolley Colegial Transit Routes 20 Local and Long-Distance Público Service In addition to these two services, a number of público routes also operate in and around the municipality. Two routes extend between downtown Mayagüez to the barrios (large neighborhoods) to the east and southeast. However, the most well used público service operates without a fixed schedule, in a partially on-demand/curb-to-curb fashion within certain zones/subareas of the downtown and its surroundings. Additionally, long-distance público routes provide service to San Juan, Ponce, and other destinations outside the municipality. Público service operates under permit issued by the PRHTA. Typically, this service is provided using passenger vans of different sizes, although automobiles are sometimes used as well. At this time, there is very limited information regarding span of service, frequency, and ridership of these services. 2. Problem Statement The previous sections help to establish the need for expanding public transit service in the study area. The need for improved transit service has four main components: 1) to serve actual and latent demand, including transit-dependent population segments; 2) to provide service between key activity centers in the study area; 3) to improve connectivity between existing transit services and between existing and planned services; and 4) to serve local government policies and initiatives for a more accessible, livable city. Key transportation problems in the study area include: Substantial transit dependent population – Demographic analysis of the study area indicates that a substantial amount of the existing population remains highly transit dependent, related particularly to low income levels and high unemployment. Demand for work- and service-related travel outside the town center – There is significant workrelated travel to areas outside the municipality of Mayagüez and the Mayagüez town center, including the UPR campus and other important employment and service centers. This pattern is reflected in the high level of work-related travel by people that both live and work within the municipality. Extensive use of existing UPR shuttle service – Anecdotal evidence indicates that UPR-operated shuttle service carries large numbers of students both within campus, as well as to/from downtown. Lack of integration among existing and proposed services – UPR and municipal transit services are somewhat duplicative and could provide better service with improved coordination. Improved coordination with the público system could also enhance overall transit service for system patrons. Coordination of east-west and north-south transit service – With the development/enhancement of north-south transit service, the need for coordination with east-west service to and from downtown will increase. Slow and unreliable transit travel times – Traffic congestion along PR-2 (north-south), particularly during morning and evening peak hours, presently obviates any benefit that might accrue from using PR-2 for existing transit service. Along the spine of the East-West Corridor, traffic congestion occurs randomly throughout the day, which negatively impacts current transit operations. Limited mobility options for older people, a rapidly growing segment of the population that makes heavy use of medical and social services in the town center and the Medical Center area. 21 Inability to support redevelopment efforts in a struggling economy – While current transit service provides a mobility option for patrons, it has not yet achieved the efficiency level necessary to support municipal redevelopment goals. Inability to reinforce existing TOD regulations – While current zoning regulations incorporate a variety of TOD principles, the lack of an existing transit system in the North-South Corridor, in particular, results in continuing reinforcement of a dispersed development pattern. 2.1 Goals and Objectives The following goals and objectives of the Mayagüez Transit Study complement the purpose and need, and focus on related transportation, economic, and environmental issues. Goal 1: Enhance mobility options for travel by developing alternatives responsive to corridor needs. Objectives: a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. i. j. k. Provide an attractive and reliable transit alternative to the private automobile. Coordinate existing and proposed transit service with existing and proposed north-south service. Increase transit speeds. Coordinate with municipal efforts to improve pedestrian and bicycle mobility and access. Seek cost-effective solutions that attract new riders and better serve current riders. Improve access to the transit system. Better connect the UPR Mayagüez campus with important destinations in the municipality. Provide improved access to jobs and other opportunities for transit dependent travelers. Increase accessibility to major activity centers for all users (residents, employees, students, visitors, and shoppers). Mitigate the rate of growth in traffic congestion by increasing transit ridership. Make accommodations for transit improvements in proposed roadway projects. Goal 2: Minimize environmental impacts. Objectives: a. b. c. d. Focus on improved transit operations using existing roadway corridors. Improve regional air quality. Reduce energy consumption. Avoid or minimize adverse impacts to farmland, historic, archaeological, and other sensitive natural resources. e. Avoid or minimize adverse impacts to neighborhoods and communities. f. Avoid or minimize adverse impacts to businesses. Goal 3: Stimulate and support economic growth. Objectives: a. b. c. d. e. Support municipal growth initiatives and policies. Encourage sustainable development and land use patterns, including transit-oriented development. Plan development and redevelopment in concert with transportation investments. Help meet the municipal goals and measures contained in the Mayagüez Vision 2032 plan. Improve livability by providing increased access to facilities, such as medical and other governmental services, food shopping, retail shopping, entertainment, etc. 22 2.2 Conclusion and Process Summary As shown in this Purpose and Need Statement, based on an assessment of Existing and Future 2018 NoBuild conditions in the MTS study area, a major investment to develop a BRT system in the Municipality of Mayagüez is highly justified. The need for this investment is well-supported by the analysis of land use, socio-economic, traffic, and other data presented herein. An overall summary of the AA process is shown in Figure 14. While the Purpose and Need Statement is initially drafted toward the beginning of the process, it is typically not finalized until late in the game, allowing for continued refinement as technical analyses and on-going public involvement progress. Ultimately, the Purpose and Need Statement ties the entire process into a cohesive whole, coordinated directly with the selection of a Locally Preferred Alternative. Figure 14: Alternatives Analysis Process 23