A Social Analysis of Bhutan`s approach to development
Transcription
A Social Analysis of Bhutan`s approach to development
THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM School of Public Policy International Development Department Gross National Happiness or Gross National Product? A Social Analysis of Bhutan’s approach to development A Dissertation for Master Science Degree in Rural Development Alberto Rognoni Supervisor: Robert Leurs 2003/2004 Word count: 11,721 (main text) THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM "There are in the heart of the vast Himalayas some strange market places where one can barter the whirlwind of life for infinite wisdom" Milarepa, 11th Century ii THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Acknowledgment First I would like to thank the People of Bhutan for their warm welcome and for their openness and co-operation, meeting them has been a life experience. The Centre for Bhutan Studies, as my host institute, has kindly accepted to support me in my field work, not only taking care of all formalities and logistics related to my trip to Bhutan, but guiding me in my understanding along this initial journey across Bhutan’s culture, tradition, perspective and development process. Special thanks also to Helvetas Bhutan, Michael Rutland and the association Amici del Bhutan for their support. The International Development Department (IDD) of the University of Birmingham has of course made this work possible, guiding me in my learning throughout the course, thanks to the contribution of the whole academic and post-graduate office staff. Nevertheless, the usual disclaimers apply, the responsibility for errors and omissions is solely mine. iii THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Executive Summary Bhutan is attracting a considerable amount of interest from the international development world. The country has recently been developing at quite a fast pace. In fact, forty years back, the social structure, value system and life style of the majority of Bhutanese did not differ very much from that of their ancestors around 1500. In addition, the country’s leadership have developed unique development strategies based on the concept of Gross National Happiness, as an alternative to conventional development approaches. The aggregate impact of nation building, low interdependence with other cultures, and absence of colonial domination, cannot be overemphasised. It resulted in a strong sense of identity, self-reliant traditions, self-confidence and a powerful vision that are at the basis of today policy making, thus leading Bhutanese to drive their own development process. While economic growth is essential, it is not an end in itself, but one amongst many means of achieving holistic development, which in turn is defined as a process where the key concept is “balance”. A particular challenge in Bhutan’s approach is the concept of being traditional and modern, static and dynamic at the same time. Recognizing that a wide range of factors contributes to human well-being and happiness, the country has identified four major areas as the main pillars: economic growth and development; preservation and promotion of cultural heritage; preservation and sustainable use of environment; and good governance. iv THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Gross National Happiness (GNH) is defined as the overarching philosophy and guideline of development, a bridge over the gap between values and development, the single unifying concept of development that does not reject material progress, rather takes it as a precondition. GNH starts where GDP ends, as a reflection of Bhutan’s vision on the purpose of human life. Regardless of any economic and development model, unlimited continuous growth and people happiness are two different things. Many dismiss the latter as romantic, wellmeaning but pointless idealism. Nevertheless, there is a clear need to re-place people and people’s needs at the core of any model. If people’s broad priority is happiness, that should be the wide objective of public policies, adapted to any different circumstances and context, and that seems to be exactly what GNH is all about. Bhutan is not primarily concerned with methodologies and measurements. On the contrary, attention is on principles and values, starting from a broad and shared vision and then deriving policies and strategies. Measurements are simply considered tools that can be devised and tuned once the main path is set. This is also reflected in GNH being a philosophy, a unifying principle, not a specific methodology. On the contrary, different methodologies could possibly be adapted to GNH. The concept goes beyond a conventional development state whose objective is precisely development, while justice and happiness are understood to be a consequence. In a GNH state, happiness is the objective while development is a means towards it. The GNH concept is not developed sufficiently to provide operational guidelines and an evaluative framework for policy formulation, policy assessment and implementation. v THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Nevertheless it is being operationalised by defining a commonly shared vision whose principles are to be kept central to the nation’s path. The country is going through a process of participatory development based on bottom-up policy-making with possibly no equal in both the developed and developing world, particularly because ordinary people are directly involved into policy making on a nation-wide scale. However, the process still presents both deeply participative and very top-down characteristics at the same time. Of course the process is ongoing and developing, nevertheless such contrasting aspects combined with a considerable level of achievements represent an interesting aspect to be underlined. The GNH concept is still being discussed and further defined, thus not being fully operationalised yet. Nevertheless, it represent Bhutan’s socio-cultural challenge, within an impressive participatory, empowering and democratisation exercise. vi THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Table of Contents Acknowledgment ................................................................................................................................... iii Executive Summary...............................................................................................................................iv Acronyms................................................................................................................................................ ix 1 Introduction.................................................................................................................................... 1 2 Methodology .................................................................................................................................. 3 3 Country Background and Modern Development Approach .................................................. 4 4 5 3.1 Economic Growth and Development............................................................................... 6 3.2 Preservation and Promotion of Cultural Heritage........................................................... 7 3.3 Preservation and Sustainable Use of Environment......................................................... 8 3.4 Good Governance................................................................................................................ 8 Gross National Happiness .........................................................................................................10 4.1 The Concept........................................................................................................................10 4.2 Rationale and Origins.........................................................................................................12 4.3 Operationalising GNH ......................................................................................................18 4.4 The GNH Challenge..........................................................................................................24 Gross National Happiness: A Social Analysis Perspective....................................................29 5.1 Bhutan: Key Social Units and Axes of Social Difference.............................................30 Household, family and extended family...................................................................................30 Society and nation state. .............................................................................................................30 Class...............................................................................................................................................31 Age .................................................................................................................................................31 Gender...........................................................................................................................................33 Ethnicity........................................................................................................................................33 5.2 GNH: Participatory Development...................................................................................34 Passive participation....................................................................................................................34 Participation for information giving and consultation...........................................................35 Participation for material incentives .........................................................................................35 Functional participation..............................................................................................................35 Interactive participation..............................................................................................................36 Self-mobilisation ..........................................................................................................................36 vii THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Discussion.....................................................................................................................................36 5.3 GNH: Professionalism, Processes and Organisations ..................................................38 Professionalism ............................................................................................................................39 Process ..........................................................................................................................................40 Organisation .................................................................................................................................42 Discussion.....................................................................................................................................43 6 Conclusions ..................................................................................................................................45 Bibliography...........................................................................................................................................48 Appendices ............................................................................................................................................58 A. Typology of participation.......................................................................................................59 B. Aggregate forms on professionalism, processes and organisations.................................61 C. Millennium Development Goals indicators ........................................................................66 D. Royal Government of Bhutan Statistics ..............................................................................71 E. Economic, Social and Environment Statistics....................................................................75 F. Poverty Monitoring Indicators and Targets........................................................................80 G. Human Development Indicators (UNDP 2003)................................................................82 H. Apparent quality-of-life in 67 nations in the 1990s (World Database of Happiness WDH 2003).......................................................................................................................................90 viii THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Acronyms ADB - Asian Development Bank GDP - Gross Domestic Product GNH - Gross National Happiness GPI - Genuine Progress Index HDI - Human Development Index HLY - Happy Life Years MDGs - Millennium Development Goals PD Participatory Development - RGoB - Royal Government of Bhutan WDH - World Database of Happiness WVS - World Values Surveys ix THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 1 Introduction The general aim of this dissertation is to discuss and analyse Bhutan’s approach to development and more specifically the concept of Gross National Happiness, which is at its core. The intent is to provide a Social Analysis perspective of the ongoing process, which is turning upside down some of the conventional approaches to development. Thus as a contribution to the debate and possibly to the process as a whole. Chapter two will describe the methodology applied. Chapter three will provide a concise country background, and will briefly define the four pillars of modern development approach: economy, culture, environment and governance. Chapter four will analyse and discuss the concept of Gross National Happiness, its rationale, origins, the present operationalising phase, and main challenge. Chapter five will assess Bhutan’s development process from a Social Analysis perspective. Peculiar key social units and axes of social difference will be underlined. The level of participation of the whole process will be assessed. Finally, the concept will be analysed against advocated paradigm shifts in terms of professionalism, processes and organisations. Chapter six will summarise a general conclusion. Two are the main challenges embedded in this research. On the one hand, the discussion and analysis of the process requires a broad understanding of Bhutan’s history and culture. On the other hand, the analysis may be useful and appropriate if 1 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM conventional development frameworks and tools are adapted to the concept and not the other way around. 2 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 2 Methodology The dissertation is based on a literature review integrated with field work in Bhutan. Secondary information has been drawn from the extensive literature available on the topic, which is mainly accessible from the Centre for Bhutan Studies’ website. Additional publications, both specific to Bhutan’s topic or concerning relevant development issues, have been collected from other different sources. Primary information have been collected during the field work that took place between 2nd and 16th September 2004 thanks to the hosting institute, the Centre for Bhutan Studies. People involved in Bhutan’s development process have been interviewed at different levels: ordinary people in both urban and rural settings; people’s elected representatives; local administrators involved in the operationalisation of the concept; researchers who are contributing to the process; and top leaders and members of Bhutan’s government who are amongst the group of thinkers who developed the Gross National Happiness concept. The Social Analysis perspective have been based on frameworks and tools which were part of the course material at the University. They are provided in appendices and are at the base of a call for paradigm shifts in today’s development debate. The whole review and analysis is based on qualitative methodology, which entails a degree of “personal best judgement”. 3 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 3 Country Background and Modern Development Approach Bhutan is described as the country moving from the feudalism of the Middle Age directly to the new millennium (Rutland 2002). In fact, forty years back, the social structure, value system and life style of the majority of Bhutanese did not differ very much from that of their ancestors around 1500 (Priesner 1999, 25). The country began to emerge from isolation, a result of deliberate strategies rather than formidable physical barriers (Priesner 199, 35), and enter the modern world after the 1950s, trying to go in few decades through a process, which took some centuries in Europe (Gupta 1999, 28-32; UNICEF 2004). Bhutan’s approach is not totally extraneous to what the World Commission on Culture and Development (UNESCO) defines as “endogenous development open to the outside” which fosters cultural values instead of being prejudicial to them, where culture is indeed the source and the ultimate goal of development (Aris and Hutt 1994, 9). One of the main reasons for Bhutan’s recent rapid development is the primacy of Bhutanese culture, which “has been a source of defining development strategies of one’s own choice and pace” (Karma Ura 2004). The aggregate impact of nation building, low interdependence with other cultures, and absence of colonial domination, cannot be overemphasised. It resulted in a strong sense of identity, self-reliant traditions, self-confidence and a powerful vision that are at the basis of today policy making, thus leading Bhutanese to drive the development process, with foreign “experts” strictly considered as advisors with no influence on decision-making, and foreign aid sought or welcomed only when it fits into local policies (Priesner 1999, 27 and 35-36). 4 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM While economic growth is essential, it is not an end in itself, but one amongst many means of achieving holistic development, which in turn is defined as a process where the key concept is “balance”: balance between material and non-material needs of individuals and society (RGoB 2001, 4); balance between tradition and modernisation (UNICEF 2004); balance between economic development and environment conservation (RGoB 2000, 30); balance between capitalist and socialist models (Rizal 2002, 63); in short “The Middle Path”. Well-being cannot be measured by merely economic indicators, as observed by the World Bank: Bhutan should be considered one of the few countries where the quality of life of its people is higher than would be expected from traditional development indicators (RGoB 2000a, 16-17). Bhutanese people are just as preoccupied with material acquisition as most other people, but they balance that with a strong sense of the ideal of sufficiency inherent in their value system. The “awareness of sufficiency”, or “contentment”, or “satisfaction”, are fundamental to Buddhist teaching (Aris and Hutt 1994, 19). A particular challenge in Bhutan’s approach is the concept of being traditional and modern, static and dynamic at the same time, “Bhutan would be a beacon to the world relaying the message that it is possible to be the same while being distinctly different” (RGoB 2000b, 70). Recognizing that a wide range of factors contributes to human well-being and happiness, the country has identified four major areas as the main pillars (RGoB 2001, 4). 5 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 3.1 Economic Growth and Development The main developments in recent decades have been the tax reform in 1954; the land reform in 1979; the introduction of an environmental law; the liberalisation of trade; the promotion of industrial and hydropower projects (Aris and Hutt 1994, 37-38); thus gradually moving the country from a barter to a monetary economy (Ibid., 140). Notwithstanding a focus on people and a dominance of social and cultural values, the country started its own structural adjustment programme in the 1990s, generally characterised by liberalisation, privatisation and reforms in banking and financial sectors (Rizal 2002, 188). A series of measures were set to prevent extreme urban-migration: land reform; improvement of rural access starting with farm and feeder roads; moving basic services like health, education, capacity building, financial and marketing to rural areas instead of moving people; a safety net mechanism (RGoB 2001, 32-35). Investments in those industrial sectors having higher potential, hydropower above all, are care of the state. The development of a private sector is facilitated through provision of financial services, enhanced trade liberalisation (RGoB 2001, 44), policies supporting foreign direct investment, lowered tariff and reduced or abolished sales tax and custom duty (ADB 2003b, 4). Family planning and all related initiatives are the means for reducing the noticeable population growth rate (RGoB 2001, 40). Social sector spending, presently amounting at 26 per cent of government resources, is the highest in Southern Asia and surpasses the 20 per cent benchmark set by the World Summit on Social Development in 1994 (UNICEF 2004). 6 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM More statistical data are provided in the appendices. 3.2 Preservation and Promotion of Cultural Heritage A concept, interchangeably defined as “culture”, “religion”, “identity” or “tradition”, potentially accommodating a whole complex of spiritual, material, intellectual and emotional aspects and values, is at the base of Bhutan’s social, political and economic life (Aris and Hutt 1994, 17-18). Assimilating changes due to increasing exposure to the world, without losing the country’s intact and unique culture and identity is one of the main challenges facing the country today, which requires that the value of cultural heritage be interpreted in dynamic and development-oriented terms. The diffusion of trans-national global culture can set in motion forces of silent dissolution of local languages, knowledge, beliefs, customs, trades, institutions and communities. On the contrary, traditional values and the quality of social relations lie at the root of happiness, supporting as well positive social change and linking the individual and the society at large as an effective social security net (RGoB 2001, 28-29). Moreover, for Bhutan “lacking military might or economic strength, cultural identity is a means to give security”, and it is this perception which informs many of the policies for development planning and implementation (Rutland 2002). The government is promoting and protecting Bhutan’s cultural heritage by enforcing traditional lifestyle and behaviour, including a national dress, traditional building style, the ability to speak read and write Dzongkha, good knowledge of culture, 7 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM customs, tradition and history of Bhutan (Aris and Hutt 1994, 17-18), and strict conditions for acquiring citizenship (Ramakant and Misra 1996, 83-84). 3.3 Preservation and Sustainable Use of Environment Bhutan is one of the world's ten ecological 'hot spots' (Gupta 1999, 90), and that is due to the traditional reverence for nature, which has influenced the country’s environmental ethics and practice long before global concerns for environment were raised. Modern legislation may indeed weaken the informal arrangements built up in centuries by local communities, which often embody a profound understanding of local ecosystems (RGoB 2000b, 67). On the contrary, Bhutan is reaffirming the supremacy of a holistic approach to environment and conservation, based on traditional values, with the aim of turning biodiversity from a constraint into an opportunity. Moreover, national accounts system should be “greened” to include environmental satellite accounts (RGoB 2000b, 65). 3.4 Good Governance It was the third King (1952-1972), the “Father of Modern Bhutan”, who started a new development process, gradually establishing a National Assembly, a High Court, a Council of Ministers, abolishing serfdom and bonded labour, separating legislative, executive and judiciary powers, codifying the law, surrendering the King’s veto power to the National Assembly, taking Bhutan out of feudalism (Gupta 1999, 27-28). 8 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Under the actual fourth King, in power since 1972. The process continued with a systematic decentralisation of power based on the King’s personal understanding: “I do not believe that monarchy is the best system of government because the person who holds the high office of King does not reach that position because of merit” (Basu 2003, 113), and “the principles and ideals of democracy are inherently good, and a democratic system is desirable for Bhutan. If the lessons of some democracies are not encouraging, it is not because the concept of democracy is flawed: it is because of mismanagement and corruption by those who practice it” (RGoB 2001, 6). Bhutan’s system is based on a public administration supporting a three level form of people representation: the Block Development Committee, that is group of villages; the District Development Committee; and the National Assembly. Central principles, already in practice, therefore are: decentralisation; representation and participation; improved organisational culture; a shift from a sector approach towards a system based on Block needs; decreased central bureaucracy (RGoB 2001, 22-27). The process is ongoing, it represents a formidable challenge, the devolution of responsibilities and competencies has already gone a long way, but still under strict central control to guide it, nevertheless moving towards what Gupta (1999, 50) defined as a greater emphasis on participation than representation. 9 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 4 Gross National Happiness This chapter will introduce the concept of GNH, provide an insight into its origins and discuss the way it is being operationalised, including an analysis of its major challenges. 4.1 The Concept Overall happiness can be defined as feeling good, enjoying life and feeling it is wonderful, (Layard 2003a, 4), the sum of satisfaction with the life domains (Veenhoven quoted in Donnelly 2004, 388), a cognitive comparison between life as it is and how it should be (Veenhoven 2004, 331). Happiness is subjective, its defining characteristic being a feeling of inner satisfaction (Bracho 2004, 518). Going back to Aristotle, it could be argued that, once basic needs are satisfied, only the foolish derive happiness from merely material riches. On the other end melancholy is a characteristic of the genius (Angelino and Salvaneschi 1981). Within Bhutan’s approach, happiness is the ultimate thing all human beings want, while other things are wanted only as a means to its increase (Thinley 1999b, 13). Gross National Happiness (GNH) is defined as the overarching philosophy and guideline of development, a bridge over the gap between values and development, the single unifying concept of development that does not reject material progress, rather takes it as a precondition (Pankaj and Dorji 2004, 447-448). GNH starts where GDP ends (Bandyopadhyay 2004, 261), as a reflection of Bhutan’s vision on the purpose of human life (Bracho 2004, 535), thus emphasising that development should serve people and not the other way round (Hitata 2004, 568). 10 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM The broad concept of national or public happiness is not new. To give a few examples, in 1749 Muratori in his book titled “Della Pubblica Felicità” described the objective of public policy as seeking the best economic means to achieve public happiness (Dixon 2000, 239), a theory further elaborated in the 1760s by utilitarian Neapolitan economists like Genovesi and Palmieri (Ibid.). In the eighteen century Bentham and others proposed that the object of public policy should be to maximise the sum of happiness in society, so economics evolved as the study of utility or happiness, which was assumed to be in principle measurable and comparable across people (Layard 2003a, 2). Neoclassical economists of the late nineteenth and early twentieth century, Edgeworth, Jevons and Wicksteed amongst others, considered themselves utilitarians, elaborating a substantial mental state which may sometimes be measured (Dixon 2000, 239; Priesner 1999, 50). Even before the development of the concept of utilitarianism, Mill and Edgewoth defined society’s objective as the greatest happiness of the greatest number, objectively measurable through their “felicific calculus” (Whitehouse and Winderl 2004, 471). In diverse spiritual and native traditions terms such as “ananda”, “samadhi”, “nirvana”, “maripa” and “oriwaka”, have been referring to the greatest state of happiness as the yardstick of human realisation (Bracho 2004, 518). However, since World War II the notion of utility was rejected on the grounds that satisfaction, pleasure and happiness are purely subjective and not scientifically measurable (Dixon 2000, 239). Behaviourism was the intellectual and economic climate of the 1930s, neglecting the study of feelings (Layard 2003a, 3). Most probably, it was not the concept of public happiness in itself to be rejected, but the assumed difficulties or impossibility of measuring it led towards more practicable directions. 11 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Things are nevertheless changing. While for Bhutan putting GNH at the core of the country’s development approach seems to be perfectly in line with the traditional lifestyle and culture, in the West economists from different backgrounds believe that happiness should take a more central role in economics once again. More than 200 years after Muratori’s arguments, it may be time for economists to re-evaluate the foundations of their theories (Dixon 2000, 240). The change in economics, including a better integration with psychology, anthropology and social science, advocated for by the London School of Economics (Layard 2003a, b, c) is telling. The basic reasons for keeping, or re-placing, happiness at the centre of development theories are briefly discussed in the next chapter. 4.2 Rationale and Origins Development and economics models are increasingly under critique, from both perspectives of advanced societies and poor countries trying to develop. Economic growth and measurable indicators have become the ends of conventional development theories and practices, models have been developed by advanced societies and widely exported to poor countries, nevertheless no one seems to be happy with the resulting outcome. According to Galtung (2003), no government is doing what people are asking for or expecting, even the more democratic ones. Examples of development failures, especially within developing countries, are more frequent and widespread than successful cases (Hargens 2002, 25). In the West, societies have not grown happier as they have grown richer (Layard 2003b, 3). There is a general agreement on the often quoted Esterlin paradox stating 12 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM that once people’s basic needs are satisfied, further increases in income and purchasing power does not lead to increased satisfaction or happiness (Faris 2004, 151), on the contrary, moral vacuum, insecurity and more stress are frequent by-products (Layard 2003c, 7 and 16). Several recent studies support such arguments (Binswanger 2003). Classical economics’ base-concept of free competition for scarce and limited material resources has been taken beyond any limit, happy is the one who consumes more resources. Making money has become the objective regardless of values, forgetting Adam Smith’s argument that markets cannot function without ethics and morals (Tideman 2001). According to Noble Price economist Douglass North, economic theory is missing an understanding of human relationships (Ibid.). In addition, unlike ordinary capital, intellectual capital is not subject to physical limits, intangible values are stored in the mind, free of physical constraints and therefore potentially of unlimited supply, thus not requiring any competition (Ibid.). Moreover, beyond a certain threshold, markets can only grow by “problematising” present circumstances and delivering appropriate consumer products (Hershok 2004, 67). The debt-based financial system, shared by the majority of national economies, creates instability and pressure towards constant growth, regardless of needs and desires of the population. Its extension into the field of development has led to the disaster of the third world debt (Rowbotham 2004, 182). Agricultural land use, where food exports have priority over needs for local consumption, combined with food trade and transport policies, where near identical products criss-cross the planet in the name of “trade is good”, are damaging different ecosystems and producing incalculable wastes (Ibid. 184-185). 13 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Many advocate for development alternatives, or even alternatives to development (Ueda 2004, 634-635). While some argue for no alternative between capitalism and socialism, others define neoclassical economics as disregarding external reality and call for “real life economics” or “post-autistic economics” (Rowbotham 2004, 187 and 213). Even the concept of sustainability is ironically questioned: “… the world needs restoration first. After all, who really wants to sustain the mess we live in now?” (Cunninghan quoted in Bracho 2004, 520). Purely material aspects are just a part of the whole picture of development, thus calling for more attention on values, relationships and the intangible (Kaplan 1999), going back from today “I buy therefore I am” to the original “cogito ergo sum” (Sivaraska 2004, 497); or, in Erich Fromm language, from “having” to “being” (Tideman 2001, 7). After all, a long time ago Aristotle stated that wealth is not the good we are seeking, for it is merely useful for the sake of something else (UNDP 2001, 9). Regardless of any economic and development model, unlimited continuous growth and people happiness are two different things. Many dismiss the latter as romantic, well-meaning but pointless idealism (Bashi 2004, 207). Nevertheless, there is a clear need to re-place people and people’s needs at the core of any model. If people’s broad priority is happiness, that should be the wide objective of public policies, adapted to any different circumstances and context, and that seems to be exactly what GNH is all about. According to Thinley (1999b, 13-14), the academic community has not developed the appropriate tools to look at happiness, dismissing as an utopian and subjective issue, one of the primary human values and the primary goal of development. 14 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Consequently, social and economic policies have not been designed explicitly to address happiness which is not a direct concern of government and international agencies. That is sharply contrasting with the daily quest for happiness of each individual human being. Bhutan’s approach, on the basis of traditional values, culture and lifestyle, complemented with an analysis of world-wide empirical experience, turns upside down the conventional concept of development. Economic growth loses its centrality, it is not anymore the goal but an initial necessary precondition in order to satisfy human basic material needs. Once survival is assured it becomes then a tool, or one of the means, for achieving broad human development, for satisfying human basic spiritual or intellectual needs towards happiness, the ultimate end. Interestingly enough, this approach is in line with UNDP’s 1990 proposal to remove economic dimension from the centre to the means level (Priesner 1999, 47). From a western conventional perspective, once the primacy of cultural, moral, ethical, spiritual and intangible aspects of human development is accepted, the issue of measurement and indicators arise. It is a western linear way of thinking to measure where processes start, then monitor how far they are leading to, but reality is not linear, is whole, circular (Thinley 1999b, 19). Most used development indicators measure things that can be quantified by assigning monetary weightings, qualitative distinctions are then excluded (Tideman 2001), subjective aspects are by definition not considered, neither are equality and resource distribution (Bracho 2004, 520). Apart from a wide range critique concerning claimed scientific methodologies in data collection surveys, a more conceptual debate regards the appropriateness of the primarily used indicator for social well-being and economic growth, the Gross National Product (GNP). Such critiques 15 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM maintain that, not only the GNP is nothing more than the measure of the money that changes hands (RGoB 2000b, 11), or the measure of everything except what makes life worthwhile (Robert Kennedy quoted in Colman and Sagebien 2004, 298), but it counts many social negatives as positive, and also fails to count social services enhancing social well-being, as well as degradation of critical assets and intangible factors (Dixon 2004, 105). According to The Atlantic Monthly (quoted in Bracho 2004, 519) those shortcomings explain why “GDP is up and America is down”, and why by the curious standards of the GDP, the nation’s economic hero is a terminal cancer patient going through a costly divorce. The importance accorded to the GDP is explained by Marshall with the simple formula of ignoring everything that cannot be weighted and assuming common standards for all individuals, as to say that looking for something under the light is easier even if there is nothing to be seen there (Johnson 2004, 547-548). To sum up, Layard, at the London School of Economics defined the GDP as a hopeless measure of welfare (2003a, 2). The question therefore is: does this way of measuring human processes really help as a tool towards defined goals, or on the contrary it has become an end in itself, producing as well a misconceived picture of the reality? Bhutan’s approach once again turns the concept upside down. It does not just add qualitative variables to the list of quantitative ones (Hargens 2002, 29). Measurements and indicators are removed from the centre stage. Cultural, moral, ethical, spiritual and intangible aspects are not measurable, they have to be judged by the people according to their own specific understanding. By any decency it is for the owner of the emotion to decide the adequacy of definition and measurement (Galtung 2003). 16 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Moreover, if happiness is defined by outsiders or through a rigid framework, then some criteria that at least some people consider critical will inevitably be left out (Sivaraksa 2004, 501). Once again people are central and their values are the core, as Protagoras said, “man is the measure of all things” (Galtung 2003). There seems to be even a sense of genuine proud-ness in Bhutanese people talking about GNH as a non-quantifiable development objective (Thinley 1999b, 13), as a way to further underline the primacy of spiritual values on material aspects. After all, if indicators may be determined for intangible domains those are not intangible anymore. People may instead may well be able to make judgements on them. But one should be careful, that is not to say that GNH completely rejects the concept of measurements and indicators, as discussed below. In conclusion, the concept of GNH has been part of Bhutanese discourse since long time, as a component of local culture, history and lifestyle. It was formalised by the actual King in the late 1980s (Priesner 1999), and is being complemented through an analysis of the world’s development experiences, where it is not only the no-global movement to underline existing tensions between GNP and public broad well-being (Zucconi 2004). Bhutan went through a socio-political process, from middle-age feudalism to authoritarian monarchy, then to a development state within an enlightened monarchy, and is now moving from a development to a GNH state (Mancall 2004a, 2932). GNH then arises out of the very nature of Bhutanese history and polity, and it is at the same time a reflection of that historical experience and a description of the future path (Ibid., 36-37). The next chapter will, therefore, analyse how Bhutan is operationalising GNH. 17 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 4.3 Operationalising GNH As already mentioned, Bhutan is not primarily concerned with methodologies and measurements. On the contrary, attention is on principles and values, starting from a broad vision and then deriving policies and strategies. That is not to say that measurements are totally neglected. They are simply considered tools that can be devised and tuned once the main path is set. Priority is then given to where to go and particularly why, rather than how fast, or doing the right thing rather than doing anything right (Whitehouse and Winderl 2004, 469). This is also reflected in GNH being a philosophy, a unifying principle, not a specific methodology. On the contrary, different methodologies could possibly be adapted to GNH. In addition, Bhutanese culture is pervaded by values, spirituality, subjectivity and intangible aspects. Compared with most western cultures, the Bhutanese may be more accustomed to deal with such evasive aspects of life. They are therefore not disturbed by the un-quantifiable, neither do they need to precisely weigh everything. Subjective evaluation may well do, after all, happiness is a subjective value, scientific reductionism may not apply. Bhutan is building a GNH state on the basis of a vision ensuing from cultural values, thus requiring a specific set of tools and instruments because it means creating a kind of polity and economy which is different from socialist, liberal or free market states (Karma Ura 2004). The concept goes beyond a conventional development state whose objective is precisely development, while justice and happiness are understood to be a consequence. In a GNH state, happiness is the objective while development is a means 18 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM towards it (Mancall 2004a, 21). Moreover, the GNH state assumes primary responsibility for creating a society where disruptive conditions are minimised and progress towards happiness are not impeded by un-necessary suffering. Departing from conventional neo-liberal views, such a task is not left with the private sector or the market; they are only means to an end for which the state is ultimately responsible (Ibid., 35). This may be viewed as a step forwards compared to Sen’s capabilities approach, as to say that happiness could be explained as the ultimate capability, or the sum of all capabilities, a society has to provide to all individuals, for them then to make use of it. The process of building the GNH state is ongoing. Bhutanese planners and policy-makers continue therefore to reflect further, and one of their tasks is to challenge the value of accepted theories and practices of development world-wide (Karma Ura 2004). While, indeed, two main components of the GNH state are already in place and further developing, i.e. the institutions created during several decades of development and modernisation, and its personnel in the form of the Civil Service; specific operational aspects still need to be defined (Mancall 2004a, 34). The GNH concept is not developed sufficiently to provide operational guidelines and an evaluative framework for policy formulation, policy assessment and implementation (Wangchuk 2004b). Nevertheless it is being operationalised by defining a commonly shared vision whose principles are to be kept central to the nation’s path. Bhutan elaborated its own vision, and established a policy-making system, which produced related policies (RGoB 2000a and b). Consequent necessary strategies for the implementation of those policies are then defined through the five year plans (RGoB 19 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 2001), which are resulting from the aggregation of village, blocks and districts plans and priorities. An autonomous auditing department is in charge for monitoring and evaluation. Statistical data on conventional development indicators are also being collected in spite of the ongoing debate about their usefulness and appropriateness (RGoB 2000c and 2002b). The document “Bhutan 2020: A Vision for Peace, Prosperity and Happiness” (RGoB 2000a and b) is the main instrument for keeping GNH concept central at all levels. This document represents Bhutan’s vision statement. People in all sections of society such as academics, officials, lamas, monks, students, youth, teachers, industrialists, administrators, diplomats, NGOs, community leaders, businessmen and women, expatriates and villagers have participated in its formulation and review, so that it represents a balanced perspective of a shared vision (RGoB 2000a). The document addresses in particular the Bhutanese people, including youth or students, businessmen and women, farmers and villagers, as an informative and useful tool. In addition, the document is meant to be a consultation guide for civil servants in planning and implementing policies, as well as an instrument for Bhutan’s partners in development to make informed choices about their contributions (Ibid.). Under the guidance of the vision statement, the Bhutanese population as a whole participates in the policy-making process leading to the formulation of five years plans. People at village level define their priorities and local policies, which are combined into blocks plans, then district plans and finally into a national plan, the whole process facilitated by elected representatives at different levels. On such basis the National Assembly defines national policies, strategies, implementation plans and use of 20 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM available resources, thus meaning operationalising GNH on the basis of commonly shared and defined values, vision and priorities (RGoB 2000a and b). One of the key factors in building and developing such a system may have been the establishing of a multilevel network of relationships for sharing knowledge, experience, ideas and understanding. A learning network, connecting people from the remote villages of Bhutan, their representatives and administrators, Bhutanese planners, researchers and policy makers and finally the international community of academics and practitioners. Such a network, facilitates the discussion and analysis of principles and aspects of GNH at different levels, from the numerous and regular village meetings all over the country, to the various levels of civil administration, to the national institutions, to international seminars and events taking place in various countries and involving people and experiences from many different environments. GNH is therefore discussed at the same time by ordinary people within their families, at market places, through the media, up to the national and international organisations such as major universities and research institutes and the United Nations. It is then for Bhutan’s institutions to facilitate the flow of ideas and information in all directions, sharing, combining and reviewing them within a learning perspective, thus building on the basis of culture and values through the intangible tool of human relationships. The same network is now active in discussing possible operationalisation guidelines and methodologies. Another aspect, leading GNH planners to concentrate first on ways and direction towards the end of happiness, rather than on quantification of progress, is a perspective on the relation between means and ends which is different, compared with dominant western approaches to economic development. The concept of the “Dilemma 21 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM of Commons” is extraneous to Bhutanese culture; on the contrary, individual rational maximisation through socially destructive and irresponsible modes of conduct, in other words wrong means towards right ends, is considered absurd (McDonald 2004, 317). This is reflected in GNH emphasising the common benefit and not being the aggregate of individual happiness, within a perspective where the whole is greater than the sum of its components. That is precisely why any attempt to measure individual happiness contradicts GNH (Mancall 2004a, 31). In terms of operationalising GNH, an interesting suggestion comes from Ueda (2004, 641-642). The concept of GNH should be incorporated into any policy or development plan, by making reference to expected or possible effects on happiness. For example happiness could be incorporated into the process of formulating and evaluating projects and policies, thus making the connection between the concept and actual actions clear. Such constant reference to the concept of GNH would inevitably include donor agencies into happiness thinking. The persistent happiness of the altipiano (highlands), opposite in Galtung (2003) language to the temporary happiness of the peaks, could even replace or integrate the concept of sustainability. In other words, the combination of economic, technological, financial, social, and environmental sustainability has to lead to enduring and persistent “sustainable happiness”, to be found at stable middle levels. On the contrary, the peaks, although enjoyable, represent un-sustainability, because from there the only option is to go down. The above practical suggestions are taking the discussion back to measurement and indicators. In spite of basing their vision on the GNH concept, and building a 22 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM GNH state, Bhutanese planners do not consider measuring happiness a priority, just like any individual may have a personal definition of happiness, its measurement is also subjective. Nevertheless, the amount of research and data available world-wide on happiness is considerable. While most socio-economic indicators measure means (Thinley 1999b, 14), many argue that happiness is measurable and comparable (Veenhoven 2004), and there are several attempts to improve or substitute the GNP methodology. For example, UNDP’s Human Development Index (HDI) adds some non-economic, though quantitative, indicators (Tideman 2001, 11). The World Bank’s Wealth Index gives priority to human and environmental capital rather than built capital (Ibid.). The Genuine Progress Index (GPI) is based on equity and includes social, environmental and time variables, all from a qualitative perspective (Colman and Sagebien 2004). Both World Values Surveys and World Database of Happiness initiatives measure subjective happiness and compare national averages (Whitehouse and Winderl 2004, 475). Of particular interest could be the concept of Happy-Life Years (HLY) introduced by the latter as a qualitative measure of life and providing contrasting insights compared with conventional economic indicators. The Positive Psychology School is also contributing to the debate on happiness through a growing amount of research (Donnelly 2004, 386). “Happiness developed” and “happiness developing” countries may be completely different from conventional “developed” and “developing” countries (Ueda, 2004, 641). An interesting suggestion comes also from Johnson (2004, 561), who proposes not to measure “functioning”, but to measure what Sen calls capabilities, which, he 23 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM argues, may even be easier to measure and will leave to people the freedom to “not function”. Within such a view, the indicator is not how much people make actually use of capabilities, but the level of capabilities they are provided with, regardless of their choice of using or not using them. For example, the number of un-employed people should be replaced by the availability of jobs, leaving individuals with the choice not to work. In the same way, it is not people happiness to be measured but how much a society facilitates them in possibly being happy. How much easier that may be to measure remains to be seen. Bhutanese thinkers, researchers and planners are well in touch or active contributors to the initiative mentioned above, as part of the ongoing research and debate fostered by Bhutan’s institutions for operationalising GNH. Particularly, the ongoing and developing work of the Genuine Progress Index (see Colman and Sagebien 2004), and the peculiar experience concerning traditional culture and values of the Gorsebrook Research Institute (see Sable 2004), both from Nova Scotia in Canada, seem to be in close relation with the further progress of GNH and the development of a measurement approach alternative to the GNP. It is probably not by accident that the next international seminar on GNH will be held there sometime in 2005. 4.4 The GNH Challenge The challenge of the GNH approach, both in terms of achievements and shortcomings, resides with culture. The whole approach is based on, and originates from, cultural, ethics and moral values. As discussed in the previous chapter, it is by maintaining those same values well alive and central that the approach may succeed in 24 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM moving from the theoretical debate to its effective operationalisation. But that is not to say that culture should be protected to stay un-touched and immutable. On the contrary, as the core of a development process it has also to develop. So, the challenge is the direction towards which Bhutanese culture is going to develop, and of course it has to be viewed and evaluated from a Bhutanese perspective. Cultural changes may originate from internal processes or be influenced by external factors, and frequently the two mix into the same process. Internally, the development within the education sector may have relevant consequences on cultural aspects. In spite of considerable improvement thanks to Bhutan’s education development policies of the last few decades, the chain of teaching and passing cultural, traditional and moral values through generations has been somehow disrupted. Many young Bhutanese had a very limited experience of traditional life, as they were sent to school abroad or enrolled in boarding schools away from their parents, schools whose curricula were derived from western ones (Priesner 1999). In both cases the teaching of culture, particularly local culture, is not included, either by daily interaction between different generations within the society as it used to be, nor by the formal education system. In addition, the fast path of recent development in Bhutan may have further increased the cultural gap between generations. As a result, values of educated generations may differ, or even be in contrast, with those of more traditional people, thus calling for effective counter-measures within the education system. Successful modern societies depend upon educating each succeeding generation in the values that are at the core of the social life (Mancall 2004a, 35). GNH values and mental attitude need therefore to be integrated into the education system. The strength of the 25 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM concept being a reflection of a particular cultural consciousness rather than an academic construct, that is policy-makers having a strong consciousness of Bhutanese identity, may otherwise rapidly become a weakness once civil servants with primarily western education begin to lose this intuitive link to indigenous values (Priesner 1999, 45). Bhutanese thinkers and planners are the first ones to be well aware of such a challenge, the “Bhutanisation” of imported curricula, integrating both local tradition with modern knowledge, is therefore a priority in their understanding (RGoB 2000, 31). The call of spiritual leaders for more open and direct relationships with young generations is also telling (Zangmo 2004, 1018). Externally, both development and globalisation processes are having dramatic effects on local cultures. Some now speak about “cultural genocide” as the cultural cost of introducing socio-economic change (Mancall 2004a, 24). In today’s world it is not possible, neither desirable, to go back to isolation, the key to opening up yet retaining cultural integrity lies therefore in education (Tideman 2001, 12-13), and Bhutan is well aware of cultural identity being the key to avoid either excessive materialism of the West, or the poverty of other developing nations (Rowbotham 2004, 185-186). As Appadurai argues (quoted in Johnson 2004, 557), there is a basic mistake in perceiving culture as describing only the past and present, while future is a matter of economics and development discourse, thus leading to view culture and economics as antagonists, or culture and tradition opposite to development. Within his “aspirational capacities concept”, culture, or cultural capacity, determines instead the future direction of economic development. Education should, therefore, enhance traditional beliefs and 26 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM values, not oppose them as often happens in the western educational model (Aldwin 2004, 984). Culture is the main link between generations and amongst societies. Culture may be the only means to guide and direct modernisation and globalisation processes instead of subduing them. Within a broad and holistic approach to development, where the concept of richness includes spiritual and cultural aspects, the concept of poverty should as well include spiritual and cultural poverty (Mancall 2004b, 1278). Cultural development, through enhanced and inspired education, is then basic even for a society extremely rich in culture such as Bhutan’s. The challenge is not to oppose different or global cultures, but to enhance local culture, and Bhutan is not by any means alone. It is indeed part of the myth of western consumerism to believe that the whole world is in avid pursuit of its culture. A vast part of the world’s population actually live in societies that value their own culture, prize their independence and are seeking ways, like Bhutan, of preserving their inheritance and identity (Rowbotham 2004, 187). The cultural challenge becomes even more important in the process of operationalising the GNH concept. From the debate on GNH, it seems that the priority for Bhutanese planners is to maintain the concept’s centrality rather than the definition of methodological frameworks and procedures. Opposite to a conventional way of operationalising a concept, a philosophy of life may be operationalised by maintaining its centrality into all processes, so that cultural values are driving the processes and not the other way round. It is the primacy of values on methodologies. Of course, from a conventional development perspective, one could argue that that means GNH is not yet operationalised. It is simply discussed, and the related many challenges are not 27 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM confronted. From a Bhutanese perspective the primary challenge is cultural, because it is only through culture that Bhutan can achieve its defined overarching goal, which is maintaining identity, independence, sovereignty and security as a nation state, being in turn the pre-conditions for fulfilling all hopes and aspirations. GNH is exactly the single unifying concept for achieving such an overarching goal (RGoB 2000b), and broad participation in defining vision, policies and strategies is the key Bhutan is using to guarantee GNH centrality to the whole development process, in other words to operationalise it. After all, also western experience confirms the centrality of culture, as David Landes in his review of two millennia of economic history “The Wealth and Poverty of Nations” argues: “If we learn anything from the history of economic development, it is that culture makes all the difference” (quoted in Tideman 2001, 10). The GNH concept is turning many aspects of conventional development theories and approaches upside down, from perspectives and constructs to operationalisation, thus making its discussion, analysis and understanding interesting but demanding. The following chapter represents a tentative trial towards a deeper understanding of some GNH aspects. 28 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 5 Gross National Happiness: A Social Analysis Perspective This chapter analyses Bhutan’s development approach, with particular reference to GNH, from a social analysis perspective. The aim is not by any means to judge Bhutan’s process, institutions, organisations and people. It is instead to better understand their perspective and approach, in order to learn from them and evaluate possible lessons to be drawn. The chapter first discusses those social units and axes of social difference having peculiar and relevant aspects, then evaluates the level and typology of participation into the development process, and finally, analyses peculiarities of Bhutan’s approach against advocated paradigm shifts, namely new professionalism, learning processes and learning organisations. While the discussion on the GNH concept is resulting from the combination of the literature review and the field work, the final social analysis is mainly based on what was learnt from the field work. Particularly, while the literature rightly indicate a considerable level of participation in general terms, it was through the field work that very contrasting aspects emerged. As detailed below, the process still presents both deeply participative and very top-down characteristics at the same time, which are not visible through the aggregate. It was only trough the use of the frameworks part of the field methodology that each single characteristic emerged. Of course the process is ongoing and developing, nevertheless such contrasting aspects combined with a considerable level of achievements represent an interesting aspect to be underlined. 29 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 5.1 Bhutan: Key Social Units and Axes of Social Difference Household, family and extended family Traditionally, Bhutanese society is based on the household as the smallest social, legal and administrative unit, composed of an extended family including all those components living together for over ten years, and sharing all “loss and gain” equally. (Karma Ura in Aris and Hutt 1994, 39). While many traditional societies around the world are basd on a similar notion of extended family, Bhutan’s society shows a particular level of awareness and conceptualisation of values such as social capital and relationships. They are entailed in the household units and in the interaction between households, thus resulting in a strong interdependency between family members, naturally extended to non-blood relatives (Leaming 2004, 1063). Both, the single household and the households’ networks, represent the first level of social net in terms of mutual support and coping strategies. For example, in addition to traditional forms of occasional support between members of the same household or between different households, it is also quite common for people to move to other families where they may be of help, receive support in case of elderly persons, or have access to better education in case of youngsters (Ibid.). Society and nation state. Society and the state are both seen in Bhutan as an extension of the concept of family. Iindividual welfare and well-being must therefore be provided for by the society (RGoB 2001, 4). A view quite similar to the Aristotelian theory of social welfare, which 30 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM sees the state as a natural evolutionary development of the family, existing for the benefit of its members, which should exercise control whenever control results in the general welfare (Gupta 1999, 39), and contrasting with the notion of a civil society opposed to the state as originated during the French revolution (Mancall 2004a, 15). As already mentioned, such a concept of state entails ultimate responsibility in terms of public well-being, that is happiness, and social safety nets. Class While traditional social stratification consisted of a handful of aristocratic families having often religious eminence, some well-off but tax-paying families, the mass of tax-paying ordinary households, and serfs and servants, the country’s modernisation is bringing along some modifications (Aris and Hutt 1994, 29-31). A major social reform in 1956 abolished serfdom and servitude, both formally and in practice, and gradually redistributed agricultural land to include former serfs and servants (Ibid.). More recently, a new well-off middle class is emerging, comprising many people educated abroad or though the improved local education system, having a relevant role in translating the goals of development into reality, and possibly being the vanguard of a new social order resulting in tensions with traditional culture and society (Ramakant and Misra 1996, 50). Nevertheless, the democratic culture of Bhutanese society allows a high degree of equality hardly noticed in other countries (Gupta 1999, 49), thus being a possible softener for social and class tension. Age People’s age, in the broad sense of all ages, is seen in Bhutan as a value, and the relationships between different generations are considered a rich cultural heritage 31 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM (RGoB 2001, 5). The breadth and quality of social relations lie also at the root of people’s happiness throughout the life cycle: from childhood to old age; they provide a benign and supportive role to social change and development, a strong identity and a sense of values to all Bhutanese; that is why GNH comprises a commitment to the strengthening of social cohesion and unity (Thinley 1999b, 22). From a Bhutanese perspective, the separation of children and elderly people from their families, because admitted into boarding schools or relegated to care facilities, creates individual unhappiness and a loss in social and human capital (Ibid.); opposite to the western view, which considers the number of those facilities as an indicator of well-being of a society. The inter-generational contract (Kabeer 2000, 465) is viewed in a much broader perspective that goes beyond the inter-generational transfers. The bargain is not seen as linear, where the working generation makes transfers of human capital to the young and consumption to the old on the understanding that other generations will behave in similar way (Collard 2000, 453), but circular, where all generations make transfers to the others, and even within themselves, in different terms and at all times. Infants, children and older people are not only depending and demanding, their presence also enriches the whole family and increases satisfaction and happiness, mutually to all members. The concept goes beyond the values of investing in children for future pay-back or respecting older people for their accumulated wisdom or wealth, that is valuing present or future access to capitals, and also beyond the structure and social organisation of a typical extended family. It comprises all those intangible aspects which are basic to people’s relationships and represent primary values for “social synthesisers”, as Bhutanese define themselves (RGoB 2000a, 25). 32 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Gender Women in Bhutan have traditionally held a place of honour, they were expected to hold house and land property and customary rights of inheritance were by daughters. Today marriage and inheritance laws are de-genderised, even though women still own 60 and 45 per cent of rural and urban properties respectively. A Royal Decree established equality of wages between male and female labour in 1993 (RGoB 2001, 21 and 43). Female literacy used to be very low but is gradually improving. During the period 1990-2000 the girl/boy enrolment ratio for primary school increased from 69 to 82 (RGoB 2002b, 19). However, women have also been engaged in traditional bondages, have occasionally being victims of prejudice and the pressure of household and childbearing functions have limited their opportunities in other domains of public life (Ramakand and Misra 1996, 52-59). The government approach is to include women in the mainstream of development rather than supporting specific traditional women’s activities (Ibid.). Ethnicity Despite being a Buddhist Drukpa Monarchy, Bhutan is a multi-ethnic, multilingual and multi-religious country, influenced by a series of immigrations through the centuries. (Ramakant and Misra 1996, 45). Ethnicity has always represented a challenge to Bhutan’s national identity. Present tensions are due to a strong Nepali community and its claims towards a Gorkhas identity (Ramakand and Misra 1996, 94-95), and the presence of ULFA and Bodo militants taking refuge from Assam (Rutland 2002). Particularly, the numerous Nepalese community is opposing the imposition of the Drupkas’ national dress, the code of conduct, and the Citizenship Act, to the extent of 33 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM being described as anti-national (Basu 2003, 111). While there have been allegations concerning the violation of human rights and the forced eviction of a number of Nepalese (Gupta 1999, 113), such tensions may be due to the conscious efforts of a politicised community to challenge the social, ethical, territorial and cultural integrity of Bhutan, rather than to the repression of an ethnic community (Ibid., 197). Being the national identity a very critical issue for Bhutan, it is not surprising that local authorities are so concerned and active in protecting it from any possible challenge. Nevertheless, it has to be noticed that the approach they are taking, though very firm, may reflect a positive attitude towards peaceful solutions. 5.2 GNH: Participatory Development As already mentioned, participation is a key aspect of Bhutan’s approach, and the level and typology of participation may be distinguished according to periods and phases, over which participation developed through a learning process. Those typologies will be analysed against a set of definitions listed in Pretty et al (1995) as provided in appendix. Passive participation The reforms introduced through Bhutan’s modernisation process were not demanded by the people, characterised by political apathy, but accepted as enlightened and progressive by the aristocracy (Priesner 1999, 34), in some cases even slightly resisted as a form of reverence towards the King (Mancall 2004a, 8). Moreover, those initial reforms were based more on a leadership’s view of Bhutan past, present and possible ways forwards, rather than research, surveys and data collection. 34 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Participation for information giving and consultation Bhutan was considered a “data free land” (Simoni 2003, 605) until 1960, while very few data are available for the period 1960-1980 (RGoB 2000c, 18). A data collection system was then established, involving ordinary people as information givers and including also a consultation exercise, a system which is still developing even though already quite effective. People moved from the role of passive receivers to that of passive contributors. Participation for material incentives This aspect of participation may not apply to Bhutan, but not surprisingly it may be adapted into “participation for spiritual incentives”. Traditionally, Bhutanese people of any social strata or group contribute to the maintenance of public, especially religious, structures in terms of finance, services and manpower, against personal inner gratification and maybe social appreciation (RGoB 2001, 29). This practice is present all across the past as well as the modernisation periods, and is still supported and encouraged by the administration (Ibid.). Functional participation While community groups are part of Bhutanese tradition, specific development committees have been established in the early phase of development following the initiative of the central administration (Karma Ura 2004). Particularly, development committees at village, block and district level were initially directed and their activities facilitated from the centre, having therefore a functional role. 35 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Interactive participation As already mentioned, on the one hand people were widely involved in the discussion and formulation of a nationally shared vision statement (RGoB 2000a, 5), thus including also a sort of “conscientisation” process. On the other hand, a bottomup policy making system was established by empowering the development committees described above, with decision and management power gradually being shifted to the periphery under the guidance of the same vision statement (Karma Ura 2004; RGoB 2001, 22-24; Gupta 1999, 48-49). In addition, people’s representatives at all levels are not anymore civil servants, but elected by and responsible to their constituencies on the basis of their record of service to the society and moral and ethic integrity (Ibid.). The gradual but extensive devolution of power and responsibilities to the very grass roots of village communities, including also considerable influence into national policy, represents a first step of an impressive people-empowering process. After all, people are central to GNH. Self-mobilisation This typology of participation, except for very traditional self-help subsistence groups, has no record in recent development history. Nevertheless, it may not be excluded that the emerging new educated middle class could develop such form of action in the near future. Discussion In conclusion, the country is going through a process of participatory development based on bottom-up policy-making with possibly no equal in both the developed and developing world, particularly because ordinary people are directly 36 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM involved into policy making on a nation-wide scale as government partners, not only within localised examples that may not be generalised. Within such a process, participation may be seen as a means because it provides a considerable contribution to the policy-making system of the nation in terms of effectiveness and sustainability. It can also be seen as an end because it facilitates empowerment of ordinary people. Despite few contrasting opinions: because the country did not switch over to a democratic form of government (Ramakant and Misra 1996, 50), because of usual elite domination, as well as frequent popular endorsement of leaders’ decisions (Rizal 2002, 196 and 200), or because sovereignty resides with a polity defining policies not chosen by the people (Mancall 2004a, 15); still there is wide and consistent appreciation. The form of government is defined as a monarchical democracy moving from people representation towards participation, where the latter stresses the substance of democracy which is sharing of power (Gupta 1999, 50 and 154). Furthermore, Bhutan’s leadership is considered one of the few who understood the complex concept that powers of an institution can be expanded by sharing it (Leo Rose quoted in Gupta 1999, 57). According to an UNICEF official “it is not till we see it in Bhutan that we know what community participation means” (UNICEF 2004). Nevertheless, in this initial stage of the process, people participation is limited to definition of priorities and policy-making, with the local administrations in the role of enabling institutions. Implementation of policies and actions is performed by local representatives under the supervision of the administration without active participation of people. Accountability and reporting is still upwards from local representatives to government institutions, and monitoring and evaluation is performed by the government only. Of course the process need time and is ongoing, nevertheless, is 37 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM seems that instead of gradually empowering people at all stages the government approach is to proceed by stages, presently people have been empowered and participate in planning, next step should therefore be implementation and so on. Also to be noted that local administrators and representatives have in general undergone a short intensive training on participation, thus they are now speaking the participatory language, but they are not yet able to internalise the concept and master the methodologies. However, because of their strong commitment, probably due to their believing in what they are doing and their confidence in their leadership, they are already capable of considerable achievements. Given the results accomplished, the potential shown and the scale of the challenge, it could be worthwhile to think about further specific research on the process, even confronting it with major critiques on participation. 5.3 GNH: Professionalism, Processes and Organisations This section analyses the GNH process against advocated paradigm shifts at three different levels: (a) individual, “new” versus “normal” professionalism (based on Chambers 1986, 1993 and 1997); (b) process, “learning” versus “blueprint” approaches (based on Korten 1981, Chambers 1986 and Oakley 1991); and (c) organisation, “learning” versus “bureaucratic” (based on Korten and Uphoff 1981 and Korten 1984). On one side, the aim of the analysis is to provide a deeper understanding of Bhutan’s development process, through the underlining of peculiar characteristics, possibly including strengths and weakness in a learning perspective. On the other hand, it would also be challenging to test and adapt bi-polar linear models within a holistic, 38 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM whole, circular context such as Bhutan’s. In other words, the polar opposite models have to be reinterpreted shifting from a Cartesian either-or dualism to a complementary both-and logic (Galtung 2003). The analysis has been performed by means of pre-drafted and adapted tables, tested and finalised through semi-structured and informal interviews in the field. Within a qualitative approach, a degree of “personal best judgement” is also part of the methodology. By no means this study has to be considered exhaustive or final, but a sort of tool for better understanding and fostering further discussion. Hereafter is a summary of the findings, while more details in graphic form are provided in appendix. Professionalism In terms of contacts, the traditional respect for high status and education is quite influential, but all contacts are equally important thus allowing them a very proactive role in spite of a high degree of dependency and resistance to changes, particularly from the low social strata. However, professionals still tend to hold more the role of teaching rather than learning. The approach is totally holistic, experiential and subjective, with prevalence of qualitative and intangible aspects regardless of the methods that are seen as purely means. Definition of priorities tends to increasingly involve users within a noticeable empowering process, evaluation of achievements is instead very much centralised. Modern technology packages, promoted by very conventional extension agents opposite to the newly advocated role of change agent, are seen as the tool for 39 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM development of traditional sectors such as agriculture. Particularly surprising is the limited concern for concepts like appropriateness and environment preservation shown by some extension agents, even though such behaviour cannot be generalised. Preferences in terms of values denote a degree of balance, but totally based on people’s centrality. In addition, trends seem to be slightly from rural to urban, from agricultural to industrial, but probably to a lesser degree compared with other developing countries. Comprehensively, the analysis denotes a well balanced and stable mid-way, thus being in line with local customs based on Buddhism tradition. Nevertheless, the progress in the participatory and people empowering process will probably enhance a trend towards new professionalism. Another aspect to be underlined is the guiding role of the King, never distant from his people. He travels extensively within the whole country and participates in both local processes as well as national debate, making sure that perspectives and priorities he heard from the people, including poor and those living in remote areas, are considered (Gupta 1999, 149). Process As discussed in previous sections, Bhutan’s modernisation and development process originated from the very top-leadership, the third King, while the present monarch still represents its inspiration, guide and control (Mancall 2004a, 8-9). Nevertheless, the process is based on contrasting characteristics. Key aspects are appropriate scale and timing, planning through experience, flexible evolution within a 40 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM learning framework. Despite external pressure to speed up, the nation leadership tend to slow down the developing process in order to keep it at people’s pace. Knowledge and resources are mainly externally drawn. Decision-making is being decentralised following people’s growing capacities, leadership is shifting from positional to personal (elected representatives), all participants are partners. In spite of upwards accountability and centralised evaluation, the general effect is a gradual and noticeable people’s empowerment. The process presents both blueprint and learning aspects, generally balancing within a neutral position. At policy level, the main example of learning process is represented by the reversal of the top-down decision-making system, because the leadership understood it was compromising and eroding the communities’ structure and people’s knowledge in terms of resources management (Thinley 1999, 21). Furthermore, the leadership does not wish to rush the process of development by allowing more foreign investment than Bhutan could digest. (Gupta 1999, 47). At implementation level, through monitoring and lesson learned practices it was understood that modern legislation may indeed weaken the informal arrangements built up over centuries by local communities, which often embody a profound understanding of local ecosystems (RGoB 2000b, 67). Some of the measures taken to protect and preserve the environment and biodiversity may instead have contributed to its erosion. For example it was recognised that the introduction of protected areas separates people from their environment (RGoB 2000b, 62), in addition, a reforestation method based on few specific species, and the 41 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM introduction of better yielding crop varieties, were acknowledged to reduce biodiversity despite other positive aspects (RGoB 2000b, 63). Organisation The term organisation refers here to Bhutan’s administration system, which is based on a very clear, although broad, and shared mission as defined by the vision statement, which in turn originates from a wide consultation and participatory exercise (RGoB 2000a and 2000b). All aspects of such organisation, apart from a very hierarchical structure typical of government departments, and a centralised monitoring and evaluation mechanism, denote a balance between neutral and learning characteristics, the latter being emphasised by the level of participation, strategic and long term view, and learning culture. In addition to the mentioned process of defining the nation’s vision, the National Assembly is formally transferring to the periphery greater administrative and financial powers, through an extensive participatory and consultative process involving all 20 districts and 201 blocks development committees (ADB 2003b, 1). Furthermore, the national constitution draft, commanded by the King in 2001 (RGoB 2001, 6), is also going to be discussed at all levels down to the blocks for its final revision (ADB 2003b, 1). The general trend is also towards an increasing of the learning components. It is being favoured by government’s initiative such as effective performance evaluation system, rewards, improved organisational culture, training, better post retirement schemes, etc. that are included within the actual five year national plan, and are expected 42 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM to generate a renewed sense of responsibility, job enrichment and satisfaction (RGoB 2001, 22). On the contrary, the extensive decentralisation process will further decrease bureaucratic aspects, even though it flows from the centre to the periphery and was not forced on the centre by the periphery, as happened in other societies (Mancall 2004a, 34). Discussion Out of the three levels of analysis, emerges a country whose professionals, processes and organisation denote very contrasting characteristic not underlined by the general aggregate balance within the advocated shifts in development paradigm, from normal-blueprint-bureaucracy towards new professionalism and learning processes. At the same time, it is a country deriving values, vision and way forwards from tradition. Thus, comparing such a situation with the continuous rise and fall of development theories (Leys 1996) and paradigm shifts in western environments, one reflection may arise. Is the continuous run from one theory, methodology, framework, format, etc. to the next one, sometimes even re-inventing the wheel, really the way to overcome unsatisfactory development achievements? Why does a process like Bhutan’s, based on tradition, values and people which are all not new concepts, seem to be achieving so much, thus attracting so much interest and generating so much debate? During a training session, a facilitator explained the difference between methods and values with the example of a machete (Southern context) or a gun (Northern context). One can be used for harvesting staple food or killing people, the other may be used to commit a crime or to arrest that same criminal, it depends upon the hands holding them. The audience concluded that focus should be on the hands rather than the tools. According 43 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM to the facilitator that was still concentrating on means, the values representing both origins and ends, reside with the minds in control (or not in control) of those hands, and that is were a development worker should start from. As mentioned, the capacity building process for Bhutanese officers have just started, such exercise is a long process and experience shows that continuous support is basilar, the institution of facilitators within the local administration, may be at district level, seems therefore to be a necessary step. In Bhutan’s case it could be a new role of “GNH facilitator”, with the function of enabling administrators, representatives and people to assimilate and internalise both GNH and participation concepts and master participatory methodologies. After all, GNH and participation concepts have many similar and complementing aspects, while differing features are never contrasting. An additional but fundamental role of the GNH facilitator would be to insure that the whole process goes slow enough to remain at people pace. Another possible future step in Bhutan development process could be the inclusion of a GNH component in each project, programme or action, particularly when promoted by an external international organisation not having the socio-cultural Bhutanese background, so that each development project would become a GNH project. In such a context there could also be a formidable challenge for Bhutanese researchers, a challenge that a conventional perspective would term as impossible, that of defining a new methodology for assessing achievements, alternative to conventional monitoring and evaluation methods, not based on any measurement mechanism or indicator but purely qualitative. 44 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 6 Conclusions This dissertation has described, discussed and analysed Bhutan’s development approach and the concept of Gross National Happiness. The whole process originates from Bhutan’s history, culture and tradition, whose background is fundamental in order to understand and internalise it. At the same time, it represents the way forwards. The GNH concept is still being discussed and further defined, thus not being fully operationalised yet. Nevertheless, it represent Bhutan’s socio-cultural challenge, within an impressive participatory and empowering exercise based on the four pillars: economic growth, cultural heritage, environmental sustainability and good governance. As described, the process turns upside down many aspects of conventional development theories. Not surprisingly and because of the uniqueness of Bhutan’s environment, it also presents peculiar characteristics in term of social aspects and quality and level of participation. On such basis, some further considerations may be appropriate. Opposite to an “unthinking” development sector (Kaplan 1999), Bhutan’s approach is characterised by a thinking environment. It is through a thinking process that Bhutanese create awareness leading to a sort of learning network, in turn resulting in a clear and shared vision based on people and their values. GNH does not introduce any new methodology or framework, it provides a clear direction where means are means and the ultimate end is commonly understood. According to the “chief” of an extended nomadic group moving across East African countries, though without having a clue of what a passport is: “the amount of 45 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM knowledge you, white men have is amazing, and that means incommensurable power, but you do not have a clear direction, you keep turning around idly. Here, in our environment, if we loose our direction we may survive one week” (personal comments). Interestingly enough, by concentrating on main directions, values and concepts, the Bhutanese may seem to be neglecting speed and quantitative aspects, but surprisingly Bhutan is one of the fastest developing countries amongst the low income ones (ADB 2003b). Furthermore, the Bhutanese do not base sustainability on future generations’ rights alone, sustainable development is basic for the present generation as well, for every being every day (Thinley 1999b, 19), and surprisingly again the country is one of the few regions where humans live at or near a sustainable level (Dixon 2004, 113). Elaborating Milarepa’s statement inserted at the beginning of this paper, wisdom may be in limited supply, but people and values do not need a market to be found, they are widely and freely available within every single community on the planet even though they may differ, thus resulting in the GNH concept, based on values and people, being possibly adaptable to all different environments. While Bhutan’s planners are rightly developing the concept for their own country and society, GNH has a validity beyond Bhutan because it raises questions that have not been central to political and social discourse, the concept has therefore applicability in the broader worldwide reflection of both developing and developed societies (Mancall 2004, 25 and 37). Nevertheless, it has to be acknowledged that a rich resources endowment combined, unlike many other developing countries, with a low population density, are a powerful cause of Bhutan’s performance (Karma Ura 2004; Priesner 1999, 26). 46 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM As a conclusion, GNH may be working, it may even be transferable. Or, on the contrary, it may be an utopia that might be realized only when the whole humanity reaches the necessary spiritual and material degree of development, a real utopia even in Buddhist terms (Stehlik 1999, 58). 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Thinley Minister Of Foreign Affairs, Kingdom Of Bhutan 57th Regular Session Of The United Nations General Assembly 17 September 2002, New York, accessed on 23-01-04, [http://www.un.org/webcast/ga/57/statements/020917bhutanE.htm] 109. Upreti B.C. (2004), Bhutan’s Strategy for Development and Self-Reliance: The Objectives and Operationalisation of Gross National Happiness, proceedings of the International Seminar on 'Operationalizing the Concept of Gross National Happiness', February 18-20, 2004, Thimpu: the Centre for Bhutan Studies 110. van Willenswaard H. (2004), Will 'Middle Way Economics' Emerge from the Gross National Happiness, proceedings of the International Seminar on 'Operationalizing the Concept of Gross National Happiness', February 18-20, 2004, Thimpu: the Centre for Bhutan Studies 111. Veenhoven R. (2004), Happy Life Years: A Measure of Gross National Happiness, proceedings of the International Seminar on 'Operationalizing the Concept of Gross National Happiness', February 18-20, 2004, Thimpu: the Centre for Bhutan Studies 112. Wangchuk N. (2004a), Globalization: A Challenge to Gross National Happiness, accessed on 23-01-04, [http://www.rim.edu.bt/rigphel/rigphel1/globalization.htm] 113. Wangchuk N. (2004b), Gross National Happiness (GNH): Practicing the Philosophy, accessed on 23-01-04, [http://www.rim.edu.bt/rigphel/rigphel2/gnh.htm] 56 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 114. Whitehouse C. and Winderl T. (2004), National Happiness: Universalism, Cultural Relativism, or both? An Assessment, proceedings of the International Seminar on 'Operationalizing the Concept of Gross National Happiness', February 18-20, 2004, Thimpu: the Centre for Bhutan Studies 115. Worcester T. (2004), Operationalising Gross National Happiness, proceedings of the International Seminar on 'Operationalizing the Concept of Gross National Happiness', February 18-20, 2004, Thimpu: the Centre for Bhutan Studies 116. Zangmo T. (2004), Literacy For All: One of the Means to Achieve Gross National Happiness (GNH)?, proceedings of the International Seminar on 'Operationalizing the Concept of Gross National Happiness', February 18-20, 2004, Thimpu: the Centre for Bhutan Studies 117. Zucconi G. (2004) Il segreto della felicità, L’Espresso, accessed on 2/06/04 at [http://www.espressonline.it/eol/free/jsp/detail.jsp?idCategory=4821&idCon tent=393020&m2s=c] 57 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Appendices A. Typology of participation (Pretty et al 1995) B. Aggregate forms on professionalism, processes and organisations C. Millennium Development Goals indicators (RGoB) D. Royal Government of Bhutan statistics (RGoB) E. Economic Social and Environment Statistics (ADB) F. Poverty Monitoring Indicators and Targets (ADB) G. Human Development Indicators (UNDP) H. Apparent quality-of-life in 67 nations in the 1990s (World Database of Happiness WDH 2003) 58 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Appendix A. Typology of participation Source: Adapted from Pretty el al (1995) 59 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 60 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Appendix B. Aggregate forms on professionalism, processes and organisations Source: Adapted from: Table 1 – Chambers (1986) Table 2 - Korten (1981), Chambers (1986) and Oakley (1991) Table 3 - Korten and Uphoff (1981) 61 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 62 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 63 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 64 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 65 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Appendix C. Millennium Development Goals indicators Source: RGoB (2002b), Millennium Development Goals, Progress report 2002 – Bhutan, Thimphu: The Royal Government of Bhutan 66 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM KEY DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS Indicator Value Year Population Population growth rate (%) Life Expectancy at birth (yrs) GDP per capita PPP Human Development Index (value) Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births) U5 Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births) Underweight U5 children (%) Stunted U5 children (%) Maternal Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births) Access to safe drinking water (%) Sanitation coverage (%) Adult Literacy Rate (%) Gross Primary Enrollment (%) Total land area under forest cover (%) 678,000 2.5 66.1 1,534 0.551 60.5 84 19 40 2.55 77.8 88 54 72 73 2000 2000 2000 1998 1998 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 Fig 1.0 S o u r c e s : Statistical Yearbook of Bhutan 2001, Bhutan National Human Develo pment Report 2000 and National Health Survey 2 0 0 0 . 67 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM MD Goal 1 - Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger TARGET 1 Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than $1 a day Indicators 1990 2000 Percentage of Population living below lower poverty line - 25%* Average GDP per capita income in US$ PPP 620 (1991) 1534 (1998) HDI** 0.427 (1991) 0.550 (1998) 2015 Will Goal be met by 2015 ? Insuff icient Data Fig 1.1 *Estimate used from pilot HIES 2000,CSO **Bhutan National HDR 2000 TARGET 2 Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger / malnutrition Indicators Percentage of population below minimum level of dietary energy 5 consumption 1990 2000 2015 n.a n.a n.a Will Goal be met by 2015 ? Percentage of under-weight children 38% (1989) 19% 19% Achieved Prevalance of height/age for under-5 children 56% (1989) 40% 28% Potentially Fig 1.3 MD Goal 2 - Achieve Universal Primary Education TARGET 3 Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling Indicators 1990 Gross Primary Enrolment rate 55% Proportion of pupils starting grade 1 who reach grade 5 73% (1991) Proportion of pupils starting 6 grade 1 who reach grade 7 35% 2000 2015 Will Goal be met by 2015 ? 72% 100% Probably 86% (1998) 100% Probably 69.3% 100% Potentially Fig 1.6 68 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM MD Goal 3 - Promote gender equality and empower women TARGET 4 Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education preferably by 2005 and to all levels of education no later than 2015. Indicators 1990 2000 2015 Will Goal be met by 2015 ? Girls in primary schools (for every 100 boys) 69 (1991) 82 100 Probably Girls in secondary schools (for every 100 boys) 43 (1991) 78 100 Potentially Girls in tertiary schools (for every 10 0 boys) 12 (1991 ) 41 100 Unlikely Fig 1.10 MD Goal 4 - Reduce child mortality TARGET 5 Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five mortality rate Indicators 1990 2000 2015 Will Goal be met by 2015 ? 41 Potentially 60.5 30 Potentially 85% 95% Potentially Under-five mortality rate (per 1000 live births) 12 3 7 84 Infant mortality rate (per 1000 live births) 90 Proportion of one-year-old children covered under immunization programme 84% Fig 1.13 MD Goal 5 - Improve maternal health TARGET 6 Reduce by three-quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality ratio Indicator Maternal mortality ratio per 100,000 live births 1990 2000 2015 560 255 140 Will Goal be met by 2015 ? Prob ably Fig 1.17 69 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM MD Goal 6 - Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases TARGET 7 Have halted by 2015, and begun to reverse, the spread of HIV/AIDS Indicator HIV cases detected 1990 2002 2015 0 38 - Will Goal be met by 2015 ? Insufficient Data F ig 1 . 2 0 TARGET 8 Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the incidence of malaria and other major diseases Indicators 1990 2000 2015 Will Goal be met by 2015 ? Number of reported malaria cases 9,497 5,935 - Probably Number of reported tuberculosis cases 4,232 1,140 - Probably Fig 1.22 MD Goal 7 - Ensure environmental sustainability TARG ET 9 Integrate the principles of sustainable development into co untry policies and programmes and reverse the loss of environmental resources Indicators 1990 2002 2015 Will Goal be met by 2015 ? Proportion of land area covered by forest 73% 73% - Probably Proportion of land protected through soil, moisture, water and forest conservation to protect biological diversity 23% 26%* - Probably Fig 1.26 o TARGET 10 Halve, by 2015, the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water Indicator Percentage of population without access to safe drinking water source 9 1990 2000 55% 22% 2015 27% Will Goal be met by 2015 ? Achieved Fig 1.28 70 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Appendix D. Royal Government of Bhutan Statistics Sources: RGoB (2000b), Bhutan 2020: A Vision for Peace, Prosperity and Happiness Part II The Path Forward: Goals, Objectives, Strategies and Milestones, Thimphu: Planning Commission, The Royal Government of Bhutan And RGoB (2000c), Bhutan National Human Development Report 2000, Thimphu: Planning Commission, The Royal Government of Bhutan 71 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Table 1: Selected estimates(MRE) Development Indicators, 1977 and 1977 Most recent MRE(1999) Crude birth rate( per thousand) 43.6 39.9 Crude death rate (per thousand) 20.5 9.0 Life expectancy (years) 46.1 66.1 Immunization coverage (%) n.a. Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) n.a. 70.7 Maternal mortality rate (per 100,000 live births) n.a. 3.8 Under five mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 162 90 96.9 Number of hospitals 10 Number of dispensaries 38 Number of Basic Health Units 31 145 Number of doctors 52 101 Number of primary schools 92 250 Number of junior high schools 14 44 6 18 Number of tertiary and training institutions n.a. 10 Primary school enrollment rate (%) n.a. 72 Number of high schools 28 Number of students in school 14,553 Students in tertiary education 866 2004 Number of teachers 922 2785 Adult literacy rate (pilot) (%) 17.5 46 Population served with electricity n.a. 31,639 Population (rural) with access to potable water (%) 31 58 Population(rural) with access to safe sanitation (%) n.a. 80 Number of telephone exchanges 15 26 Number of telephone lines 1,00,198 9314 GDP per capita (US$) 100 Human Development Index n.a. Source: Royal Government of Bhutan 72 551 0.510 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Table 1: Bhutan's Human Development Index 1998 Combined 1st, Adult Life Life 2nd & 3rd Real GDP Education GDP expectancy literacy level gross per capita expectancy rate index index at birth enrolment index (PPP$) (%) (years) ratio( % ) 1998 1998 1998 66 54 44 Human Development index (HDI) 1998 1534 0.683 0.600 0.460 0.550 Adult literacy rate (%) Combined 1st 2nd 3rd level gross enrolment ratio Real GDP per capita Life expectancy index Education index GDP index Sum of the indices Human Development Index (HDI) 1984 1991 1994 1998 Life expectancy at birth (years) Table 2: Trends in Bhutan’s Human Development Index 1984 – 1998 47.4 56.0 66.0 66.0 23.0 35.2 47.5 54.0 24.5 33.2 39.0 44.0 901 1,235 1,338 1,534 0.373 0.517 0.683 0.683 0.235 0.345 0.447 0.600 0.367 0.420 0.433 0.460 0.975 1.282 1.563 1.743 0.325 0.427 0.521 0.550 73 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Tabel 3: Composition of GDP (% of real GDP) 1980 1990 1998 Agriculture, livestock, forestry & fishing 55.7 42.7 36.7 Mining and quarrying 0.6 0.9 2.4 Manufacturing 3.2 8.1 11.1 Electricity, water and gas 0.2 7.8 11.0 Construction 7.9 8.1 10.6 10.9 6.6 7.0 4.3 7.1 7.5 6.3 7.7 5.1 10.8 11.0 8.6 Wholesale & retail trade, Restaurant & hotels Transport, storage & communications Financing, insurance & real estate Community, social & personal services (Govt) Values of the HDI indicators for 1997: Global 1999 Human Dev el opmen t Life expectancy at birth (years) Adult literacy (%) Combined enrolment ratio Real GDP per capita (PPP$) Human Development Index 60.7 44.2 12.0 1,467 0.459 Royal Government Report of Bhuta n 66.1 54.0 72.0 1,534 0.550 The difference in life expectancy is due to the different sources being used for estimation. The RGoB estimate is based on the most recent demographic survey carried out in Bhutan, whereas the UN’s estimate is based on demographic projections. A big difference also occurred in the combined enrolment rate. The UN figure of 12% is unrealistically low; this is due to the population total of 1.9 million used for the calculation. 74 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Appendix E. Economic, Social and Environment Statistics Sources: ADB (2003b), Country Strategy and Programme Update 2004-2006, (August), Manila: Asian Development Bank (Tables A.1.2, A.1.3, A.1.4) And ADB (2003a), Country Economic Review: Bhutan, (September), Manila: Asian Development Bank (Table A.8) 75 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Table A1.2: Country Economic Indicators Item A. Income and Growthc 1. GDP per Capita ($, current) 2. GDP Growth (%, in constant prices) 3. Agriculture 4. Industry 5. Services 1998 629.0 7.0 4.0 10.0 6.2 1999 683.0 6.4 5.0 6.6 7.7 Fiscal Year 2000 2001a 2002b 708.0 5.9 3.8 7.8 8.0 777.0 7.2 2.8 12.6 7.3 855.0 7.7 2.5 12.1 8.0 B. Saving and Investment (current and market prices) 1. Gross Domestic Investment 41.8 2. Gross Domestic Saving 13.1 46.2 15.4 (% of GDP) 48.9 19.2 46.5 19.5 48.0 20.0 C. Money and Inflation c 1. Consumer Price Index 2. Total Liquidity (M2) 9.0 41.7 9.2 21.4 (annual % change) 3.6 3.6 21.4 5.5 2.7 17.6 D. Government Finance 1. Revenue and Grants 2. Expenditure and Net Lending 3. Overall Fiscal Surplus (Deficit) 40.0 41.7 (1.8) 39.6 43.4 (3.9) (6.8) (15.3) (12.8) 12.0 E. Balance of Payments 1. Merchandise Trade Balance (% of GDP) 2. Current Account Balance (% of GDP) 3. Merchandise Export ($) Growth (annual % change) 4. Merchandise Import ($) Growth (annual % change) F. External Payments Indicators 1. Gross Official Reserves (including gold, $ million) (weeks of current year’s imports of goods) 2. External Debt Service (% of exports of goods and services) 3. Total External Debt (% of GDP) G. Memorandum Items d 1. GDP (current prices, Nu billion) 2. Exchange Rate (Nu/$, average) e 3. Population ('000) (% of GDP) 38.5 34.1 49.6 39.6 (11.1) (5.4) 32.5 37.4 (4.8) (16.7) (21.2) (18.3) (25.9) (5.9) 6.1 9.2 0.2 (12.9) (0.1) (1.0) 3.7 19.3 14.0 6.1 (4.1) 217.0 259.0 293.0 294.0 317.0 73 80 84 78 78 6.8 10.2 4.8 4.6 5.0 36.9 42.8 40.9 52.1 58.4 17,311 38.4 618.0 19,853 42.6 637.0 22,549 43.6 656.0 25,733 48.4 675.0 29,282 48.2 690.0 GDP = gross domestic product. a Provisional. b Estimate or budgeted. c Annual perc e ntage change (period average). d On a fiscal year (July-June) basis e Based on a 1996 estimate of 600,000, and a growth rate of 3.1%. The figures for the later years were obtained from Bhutan's 2000 National Health Survey. Sources: Central Statistical Organization. 2001. National Accounts Statistics Repo r t , and update received on 22 May 2003; Depar t ment of Budget and Accounts, Ministr y of Finance; Royal Monetar y Authority of Bhutan. 2002. Annual Repo r t 2001/2002, Bhutan, and staff estimates. 76 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Table A1.3: Country Poverty and Social Indicators Latest 1985 1990 Item Year A. Population Indicators 547.0 (1993) 600.0 (1996) 690.0 (2002) 1. Total Population (‘000) a 2.0 (1985) 3.1 (1994) 2.5 (2000) 2. Annual Population Growth Rate (% change) B. Social Indicators 1. Total Fertility Rate (births/woman) (1984) 5.6 (1994) 4.7 (2000) 5.9 Maternal Mortality Rate (per 100,000 live births) 770.0 (1984) 380.0 (1994) 255.0 (2000) Infant Mortality Rate (below 1 year/1,000 live births) 142.0 (1984) 70.7 (1994) 60.5 (2000) 4. Life Expectancy at Birth (years) 47.5 (1984) — 66.1 (2000) — 66.2 (2000) Female 49.1 (1985) Male 45.8 (1985) — 66.0 (2000) — 54.0 (2000) 5. Adult Literacy (%) 23.0 — — — Female 6. Primary School Enrollment (%) — — 72.0 (1998) Female — — 62.0 (1998) — — — 7. Secondary School Gross Enrollment (%) Female — — — — 37.9 (1988) 18.7 (2000) 8. Child Malnutrition (% below age 5) — — — 9. Population below Poverty Line (International, %) b 10. Population with Access to Safe Water (%) — — 78.0 (2000) c — — 88.0 (2000) 11. Population with Access to Sanitation (%) d 3.6 (1986) 3.1 (1990) 6.4 (2000) 12. Public Education Expenditure (% of GDP) 0.2 (1987) 0.2 (1990) 0.5 (2000) 13. Human Development Index Rank 119 (1987) 159 (1990) 140 (2000) — — — 14. Gender-Related Development Index Rank — — — a C. Poverty Indicators 1. Poverty Incidence f — — 25.3 (2000) Lower Poverty Line (Nu612.1 per month) g — — 36.3 (2000) Upper Poverty Line (Nu748.1 per month) 2. Percent of Poor to Total Population Lower Poverty Line — — 2.4 (2000) Urban Rural — — 29.0 (2000) Upper Poverty Line 6.4 — — (2000) Urban Rural — — 41.3 (2000) 3. Poverty Gap Lower Poverty Line — — 0.07 (2000) Upper Poverty Line — — 0.11 (2000) 4. Poverty Severity Index Lower Poverty Line — — 0.03 (2000) Upper Poverty Line — — 0.05 (2000) 5. Inequality (Theil L Index) — — — 6. Human Poverty Index — — — Rank — — — "—" = not available, GDP = gross domestic product. a The figure for the latest year was obtained from Bhutan's 2000 National Health Survey. b Refers to population with access to safe drinking water. c Refers to population with latrines. d GDP based on data from the Central Statistical Organization; expenditure data are for the fiscal year and GDP data are for the calendar year. e The information is a result of a pilot study and should be treated as preliminary. f The lower poverty line is defined by considering those households whose total expenditure is just enough to reach the food poverty line. Anything that these households spend on nonfood goods is considered a minimum allowance for basic nonfood goods. The lower poverty line is obtained by adding such amount to the food poverty line. Nu612.1 per month is equivalent to about $0.45 per day. g The upper poverty line is defined by considering those households whose food expenditure is equal to the food poverty line. The level of nonfood spending found among those who reach the food poverty line (rather than those who can merely af ford to do so if they cut all nonfood spending) provides the allowance for basic food needs. The upper poverty line is obtained by adding this allowance to the food poverty line. Nu748.1 per month is equivalent to about $0.56 per day. Sources: Statistical Yearbook of Bhutan. 1999; Eight Five Year Plan, 1997–2002; United Nations Development Programme. 2000. Human Development Report; Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific. 1996. Statistical Yearbook for Asia and the Pacific; United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization. 1998. World Education Report; World Resources. A Guide to the Global Environment 1998–99 and Past Issues; Central Statistical Organization (CSO). 2001. Official Communication; 1998. Key Indicators of Developing Asian and Pacific Countries; Central Statistical Organization, Planning Commission, Royal Government of Bhutan. 2001. Household Income and Expenditure Survey 2000 (Pilot). Thimphu; and staff estimates. 77 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Table A1.4: Country Environment Indicators 1980 Latest Year Indicator A. Energy Efficiency of Emissions 1. GDP/Unit of Energy Use (PPP$/kgoe) 2. Traditional Fuel Use (% of total energy use) 3. Carbon Dioxide Emissions Tons per capita — — — — — 0.2 (1998) B. Water Pollution: Water and Sanitation 1. % Urban Population with Access to Safe Water 2. % Rural Population with Access to Safe Water 3. % Urban Population with Access to Sanitation — — — 78 58 82 (2002) (1998) (1998) 29.8 (2002) C. Land Use and Deforestation 1. Forest Area (million hectares) 2. Average Annual Deforestation Square kilometers (km2) % change 3. Rural Population Density (people/km2 of cultivated land) 4. Cultivated Land (% of total land) 5. Permanent Cropland (% of total land) D. Biodiversity and Protected Areas 1. Nationally Protected Areas Hectares (Million) % of total land 2. Biological Corridors Hectares (Million) % of total land 3. Mammals (number of threatened species) 4. Birds (number of threatened species) 5. Higher Plants (number of threatened species) 6. Reptiles (number of threatened species) 7. Amphibians (number of threatened species) E. Urban Areas 1. Urban Population Thousands % of total population 2. Per Capita Water Use (liters/day) 3. Wastewater Treated (%) 4. Solid Waste Generated Per Capita (kg/day) 27.6 — (1980–90) 0.6 — — — — — 150 7.8 2.0 (2002) (2002) — — 1.2 26.0 (2001) (2001) — — — — — — — 0.4 9.0 22.0 12.0 7.0 0.0 — (2000) (2000) (2002) (2002) (2002) (1996) 50.0 4.0 — — — 138.0 21.0 — — 2.0 (2000) (2000) 42000) “—“ = not available, GDP = gross domestic product, kg = kilogram, kgoe = kilograms of oil equivalent, km2 = square kilometer, PPP = purchasing power parity. Sources: Ministry of Finance. 2003. Official Communication; Government of Bhutan. Statistical Yearbook of Bhutan; World Bank. World Development Report, 1999–2000; World Resources: A Guide to the Environment, 1998–99. 78 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Table A.8: Public External Debt and Debt Service Item FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 (in $ million) Total Public External Debt 118.8 135.1 161.2 173.8 236.9 291.8 Convertible Currency Debt Concessional Debt Asian Development Bank World Bank, I D A IFAD Kuwait Fund Other Commercial Debt 84.1 80.7 36.3 21.3 11.4 10.9 0.8 90.4 89.3 40.4 22.1 12.2 9.6 5.0 98.2 98.2 43.2 24.0 12.7 7.9 10.4 98.7 98.7 43.2 24.0 12.7 7.9 10.9 107.0 107.0 47.4 27.6 12.5 6.5 13.0 129.9 129.9 55.4 33.2 13.7 5.1 22.5 3.4 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Nonconvertible Currency Debt 34.7 44.7 63.0 75.1 129.9 161.9 Debt Service Payments Convertible Currency Debt Principal Interest b Nonconvertible Currency Debt Principal Interest 10.4 6.1 4.4 1.7 4.2 0.4 3.8 10.0 5.9 4.7 1.2 4.1 2.5 1.7 14.2 4.9 3.8 1.1 9.3 7.9 1.3 6.6 3.7 2.6 1.0 2.9 2.0 0.9 6.3 3.7 2.6 1.0 2.6 1.9 0.7 6.4 4.0 2.7 1.3 2.4 1.8 0.6 39.7 38.2 48.7 54.7 a 0 (in percent of GDP) Total Public External Debt Convertible Currency Debt Concessional Commercial Nonconvertible Currency Debt Memorandum Items: Debt Service Ratio (% of merchandise Exchange Rate (Nu per $, end of period) 33.5 34.5 23.7 22.7 1.0 23.1 22.8 0.3 24.2 24.2 0.0 21.7 21.7 0.0 22.0 22.0 0.0 24.3 24.3 0.0 9.8 11.4 15.5 16.5 26.7 30.3 8.2 35.8 8.2 38.4 11.9 42.6 4.9 43.6 4.6 46.4 5.0 48.2 GDP = gross domestic product, I DA = International Development Association, I F A D = International Fund for Agricultural Development. a Converted to dollars using the end of period exchange rate. b Converted to dollars using the fiscal year average exchange rate. Note: Fiscal year variables are divided by the second year GDP in the period to calculate shares used by other IFIs such as International Monetary Fund. Thus, external debt-to-GDP ratios may vary from these using GPD data on calendar year basis. Source: Derived from Royal Monetary Authority. 2002. ry Authority. 2002. Annual Report . December; and staff estimates. 79 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Appendix F. Poverty Monitoring Indicators and Targets Source: ADB (2001), Poverty Reduction Partnership Agreement between the Royal Government of Bhutan and the Asian Development Bank, Manila: Asian Development Bank 80 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Poverty Reduction Partnership Agreement INDICATORS/ TARGETS—MONITORING AND EVALUATION FRAMEWORK Priority Area • Personal income tax • Average monthly rural incomes • Financial Sector • Legislative and regulatory environment • Share of manufacturing in GDP • Share of tourism in GDP • Population growth rate • Primary school enrollment rate • Maternal Mortality Rate • • • • Rural coverage of safe sanitation Provision of potable water Adult literacy rate Average life expectancy • Post office for all villages and settlements • Percentage of rural population within a half-day’s walk from the nearest road • Rural population with electricity Indicators/ Targets Income • Undertake necessary actions and measures to introduce personal income tax in January 2002 • Nu3,000 per head from around Nu1,000 per head Private Sector Development • Maintain effective regulation of the financial system • Maintain an effective legislative and regulatory framework • 30% from about 10% • 25% from about 2% Social Development • 2.1% from 2.5% 1.6% 1.3% • 100% from 72% • Less than 2 per 1,000 live births from 2.5 per 1,000 live births • 90% from 88% • 90% from 78% • 100% from 54% • 77 years from 66 years Physical Infrastructure • 100% from 65% • 75% from 50% • 50% from 22% 75% Governance • Decentralization and local participation • Preparation of five-year plans at all local levels through community consultations from currently 50% Environment • Forest cover • No less than 60% • Environment Assessment Act, 2000 • Enforce/ implement environment and its regulations legislation and regulations • Vehicle emission standards • Introduce and establish vehicle emission standards • Introduce baseline water and air • Water and air quality standards quality standards Monitoring and Evaluation Arrangements • Indicators/ targets for priority areas • Assess progress and achievement • Household Living Standard Survey • Undertake a comprehensive survey or another rapid assessment. Timeframe Monitoring Source Immediate MOF, DRC 1999-2012 PCS, CSO Immediate RMA, MOF Immediate RMA, MOF, MOT I 1999-2012 1999-2012 CSO, MOTI CSO, MOTI 2000-2002 2007 2012 2000-2007 2000-2007 MOHE, DOH 1999-2007 1999-2007 1999-2012 1999-2012 MOHE, DOH MOHE, DOH MOHE, DOE MOHE, DOH 1999-2002 MOC, Bhutan Post 1999-2012 MOC, DOR, MOA 1999-2012 2020 MOTI, DOP 2000-2007 MOHA, PCS Immediate Immediate NEC NEC 2002 NEC 2007 NEC Annual 2004 MOHE, DOE MOHE, DOH ADB, DADM, PCS ADB, DADM, PCS ADB-Asian Development Bank; CSO-Central Statistical Organization; DADM-Department of Aid and Debt Management; DBA-Department of Budget and Accounts; DOE-Department of Education; DOH-Department of Health; DOP-Department of Power; DRCDepartment of Revenue and Customs; DUDH-Department of Urban Development and Housing; MOAMinistry of Agriculture; MOCMinistry of Communication; MOF-Ministry of Finance; MOHA-Ministry of Home Affairs; MOHE-Ministry of Health and Education; MOTI-Ministry of Trade and Industry; NEC-National Environment Commission; PCS-Planning Commission Secretariat; and RMARoyal Monetary Authority 81 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Appendix G. Human Development Indicators (UNDP 2003) Source: UNDP (2003) Human Development Report 2003, New York: Oxford University Press - Classification of countries in the human development aggregate - Classification of countries in the income aggregate - 1 Human Development Index - 2 Human Development Index Trends - 8 Survival: progress and setbacks - 16 Flows of aid, private capital and debt 82 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Classification of countries Countries in the human development aggregates High human development (HDI 0.800 and above) Australia Austria Bahamas Bahrain Barbados Belarus Belgium Brunei Darussalam Canada Chile Costa Rica Croatia Cuba Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong, China ( S A R ) Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea, Rep. of Kuwait Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Qatar Saint Kitts and Nevis Seychelles Medium human development (HDI 0.500–0.799) Singapore Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Trinidad and Tobago United Arab Emirates United Kingdom United States Uruguay ( 5 5 c o u n t ri e s o r a r e a s ) Albania Algeria Antigua and Barbuda Armenia Azerbaijan Bangladesh Belize Bhutan Bolivia Bosnia and Herzegovina Botswana Brazil Bulgaria Cambodia C ape Verde China Colombia Comoros Congo Dominica Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt El Salvador Equatorial Guinea Fiji Gabon Georgia Ghana Grenada Guatemala Guyana Honduras India Indonesia Iran, Islamic Rep. of Jamaica Jordan Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Lao People’s Dem. Rep. Lebanon Lesotho Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Low human development (HDI below 0.500) Macedonia, TFYR Malaysia Maldives Mauritius Moldova, Rep. of Mongolia Morocco Myanmar Namibia Nicaragua Occupied Palestinian Territories Oman Panama Papua New Guinea Paraguay Peru Philippines Romania Russian Federation Saint Lucia Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Samoa (Western) Sao Tomé and Principe Saudi Arabia Solomon Islands South Africa Sri Lanka Sudan Suriname Swaziland Syrian Arab Republic Tajikistan Thailand Togo Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan Ukraine Uzbekistan Vanuatu Venezuela Viet Nam Angola Benin Burkina Faso Burundi Cameroon Central African Republic Chad Congo, Dem. Rep. of the C6te d’Ivoire Djibouti Eritrea Ethiopia Gambia Guinea Guinea-Bissau Haiti Kenya Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mozambique Nepal Niger Nigeria Pakistan Rwanda Senegal Sierra Leone Tanzania, U. Rep. of Uganda Yemen Zambia Zimbabwe ( 3 4 c o u n t ri e s o r a r e a s ) (86 countries or areas) a. Excludes the following UN member countries for which the HDI cannot be computed: Afghanistan, Andorra, Iraq, Kiribati, the Democratic Republic of Korea, Liberia, Liechtenstein, the Marshall Islands, the Federated States of Micronesia, Monaco, Nauru, Palau, San Marino, Serbia and Montenegro, Somalia, Timor-Leste, Tonga and Tuvalu. 83 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Countries in the income aggregate High income (GNI per capita of $9,206 or more in 2001) Andorra Australia Austria Bahamas Bahrain Belgium Brunei Darussalam Canada Cyprus Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Hong Kong, China (SAR) Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea, Rep. of Kuwait Liechtenstein Luxembourg Monaco Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Qatar San Marino Singapore Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Arab Emirates United Kingdom United States Middle income (GNI per capita of $746–9,205 in 2001) Albania Algeria Antigua and Barbuda Argentina Barbados Belarus Belize Bolivia Bosnia and Herzegovina Botswana Brazil Bulgaria Cape Verde Chile China Colombia Costa Rica Croatia Cuba Czech Republic Djibouti Dominica Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt El Salvador Estonia Fiji Gabon Grenada Guatemala Guyana Honduras Hungary Iran, Islamic Rep. of Iraq Jamaica Jordan Kazakhstan Kiribati (39 countries or areas) Latvia Lebanon Libyan Arab Jamahiriya Lithuania a. World Bank classification (effective as of 1 Nauru and Tuvalu because of lack of data. Macedonia, TFYR Malaysia Maldives Malta Marshall Islands Mauritius Mexico Micronesia, Fed. Sts. Morocco Namibia Occupied Palestinian Oman Palau Panama Paraguay Peru Philippines Poland Romania Russian Federation Saint Kitts and Nevis Saint Lucia Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Samoa (Western) Saudi Arabia Serbia and Montenegro Seychelles Slovakia South Africa Sri Lanka Suriname Swaziland Syrian Arab Republic Thailand Tonga Trinidad and Tobago Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan Uruguay Vanuatu Venezuela Low income (GNI per capita of $745 or less in 2001) Afghanistan Angola Armenia Azerbaijan Bangladesh Benin Bhutan Burkina Faso Burundi Cambodia Cameroon Central African Republic Chad Comoros Congo Congo, Dem. Rep. of the C6te d’Ivoire Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Ethiopia Gambia Georgia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau Haiti India Indonesia Kenya Korea, Dem. Rep. of Kyrgyzstan Lao People’s Dem. Rep. Lesotho Liberia Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Moldova, Rep. of Mongolia Mozambique Myanmar Nepal Niger Nigeria Pakistan Papua New Guinea Rwanda Sio Tomé and Principe Senegal Sierra Leone Solomon Islands Somalia Sudan Tajikistan Tanzania, U. Rep. of Timor-Leste Togo Uganda Ukraine Uzbekistan Viet Nam Yemen Zambia Zimbabwe (66 c ountries or areas) (86 countries or areas) Nicaragua July 2002) based on gross national income (GNI) per capita. Excludes 84 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM development index GDP Combined 1 Human Adult Life expectancy at birth (years) 2001 Human primary, GDP literacy secondary and rate tertiary gross per capita (% age 15 and above) 2001 enrolment (PPP US$) 2001 ratio Life expectancy index development Education index (PPP US$) GDP index index (HDI) rank value minus 2001 ( % ) 2000-01 b HDI rank a per capita HDI rankc 101 Uzbekistan 69.3 99.2 d 76 h 2,460 0.74 0.91 0.53 0.729 21 102 Kyrgyzstan 103 Cape Verde 104 China 105 E l Salvador 68.1 69.7 70.6 97.0 p,q 79 80 e 64 e,g 2,750 5,570 l 4,020 0.72 0.75 0.76 0.91 0.77 0.79 0.55 0.67 0.62 0.727 0.727 0.721 16 -18 -2 70.4 79.2 64 5,260 0.76 0.74 0.66 0.719 -17 106 107 108 109 69.8 77.1 64 0.75 0.73 0.68 0.719 -29 69.2 68.5 68.6 67.8 99.0 92.7 71 e 61 64 6,000 6,090 l 2,150 2,070 0.74 0.72 0.73 0.69 0.86 0.83 0.69 0.51 0.51 0.704 0.700 0.688 -31 21 21 0.58 Iran, Islamic Rep. of Algeria Moldova, Rep. of Viet Nam 74.9 85.8 110 Syrian Arab Republic 71.5 75.3 59 g 3,280 0.77 0.70 111 112 113 114 115 50.9 85.6 78 11,290 l 0.43 0.83 66.2 68.3 63.3 87.3 99.3 d 86.0 64 e 71 84 e 2,940 1,170 2,300 0.69 0.72 0.64 68.8 75.6 62 e 2,830 0.73 0.71 49.0 84.2 58 g 15,073 g,y 0.40 0.76 63.3 56.6 65.3 98.5 71.0 p,q 69.2 64 83 e 57 e 1,740 5,990 4,400 0.64 0.53 0.67 116 117 118 119 120 South Africa Indonesia Tajikistan Bolivia Honduras Equatorial Guinea Mongolia Gabon Guatemala Egypt 0.80 0.90 0.85 0.685 -1 0.79 0.684 -64 0.56 0.41 0.52 0.682 0.677 0.672 2 41 12 0.56 0.667 1 0.84 0.664 -78 0.87 0.75 0.65 0.48 0.68 0.63 0.661 0.653 0.652 25 -40 -22 0.63 0.59 0.648 -12 68.3 56.1 76 e,h 3,520 0.72 121 Nicaragua 122 Sao Tomé and Principe 123 Solomon Islands 69.1 66.8 65 e,g 2,450 g,l 0.73 0.66 0.53 0.643 2 69.4 68.7 83.1 m 76.6 m 58 m 50 m 1,317 g,r 1,910 l 0.74 0.73 0.75 0.68 0.43 0.49 0.639 0.632 28 13 124 47.4 82.7 74 g 7,120 l 0.37 0.80 0.71 0.627 -59 125 Botswana 44.7 78.1 80 7,820 0.33 0.79 0.73 0.614 -65 126 127 128 129 130 Morocco India Vanuatu Ghana Cambodia 68.1 49.8 51 g 3,600 0.72 0.50 0.60 0.606 -19 63.3 68.3 57.7 58.0 34.0 m 72.7 56 e,g 54 g 46 2,840 3,190 l 2,250 l 0.64 0.72 0.54 0.57 0.41 0.64 0.56 0.58 0.52 0.590 0.568 0.567 -12 -17 -1 57.4 68.7 55 1,860 0.54 0.64 0.49 0.556 9 Myanmar Papua New Guinea Swaziland Comoros Lao People’s Dem. Rep. 57.0 85.0 47 1,027 g,u 0.53 0.72 0.39 0.549 28 57.0 38.2 60.2 64.6 80.3 56.0 41 g 77 g 40 g 2,570 l 4,330 1,870 l 0.53 0.22 0.59 0.57 0.79 0.51 0.54 0.63 0.49 0.548 0.547 0.528 -12 -34 4 10 131 132 133 134 135 Namibia 53.9 65.6 57 1,620 l 0.48 0.63 0.46 0.525 136 Bhutan 137 Lesotho 138 Sudan 139 Bangladesh 62.5 47.0 p,q 33 h 1,833 o 0.62 0.42 0.49 0.511 5 38.6 55.4 60.5 83.9 58.8 40.6 63 34 g 54 2,420 l 1,970 1,610 0.23 0.51 0.59 0.77 0.51 0.45 0.53 0.50 0.46 0.510 0.503 0.502 -13 -4 7 140 48.5 81.8 57 e 970 0.39 0.73 0.38 0.502 22 50.3 58.4 67 g 1,650 0.42 0.61 0.47 0.501 3 72.4 42.9 44.0 89.3 48 e,g 144 Pakistan 145 Zimbabwe 48.0 59.1 60.4 35.4 1,680 1,310 1,890 2,280 0.38 0.57 0.59 0.17 0.64 0.50 0.41 0.79 0.47 0.43 0.49 0.52 0.499 0.499 0.499 0.496 1 8 -7 -18 146 46.4 83.3 52 980 0.36 0.73 0.38 0.489 14 147 Uganda 44.7 68.0 71 1,490 l 0.33 0.69 0.45 0.489 1 148 Yemen 59.4 47.7 52 g 790 0.57 0.49 0.34 0.470 21 149 Madagascar 150 Haiti 151 Gambia 53.0 49.1 67.3 50.8 41 g 830 1,860 l 0.47 0.40 0.58 0.51 0.35 0.49 0.468 0.467 17 -11 Congo 141 Togo Low human development 142 Cameroon 143 Nepal Kenya 53.7 37.8 64 36 59 e 52 h 47 e 2,050 l 85 0.48 0.41 0.50 0.463 -20 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 2 Human development index trends HDI rank 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2001 101 Uzbekistan .. .. .. 0.728 0.712 0.729 102 Kyrgyzstan .. .. .. .. .. 0.727 103 Cape Verde 104 China 105 El Salvador .. 0.521 .. 0.554 0.593 0.591 0.632 0.624 0.683 0.679 0.727 0.721 0.595 0.595 0.614 0.653 0.692 0.719 106 107 108 109 0.562 0.566 0.607 0.646 0.690 0.719 0.510 .. .. 0.559 0.718 .. 0.609 0.739 0.582 0.648 0.756 0.603 0.668 0.704 0.646 0.704 0.700 0.688 Iran, Islamic Rep. of Algeria Moldova, Rep. of Viet Nam 110 Syrian Arab Republic 0.536 0.578 0.612 0.632 0.664 0.685 111 South Africa 0.660 0.676 0.702 0.734 0.741 0.684 112 0.464 0.526 0.578 0.619 0.659 0.682 113 Tajikistan 114 Bolivia .. 0.511 .. 0.546 0.736 0.573 0.736 0.598 0.665 0.631 0.677 0.672 115 0.522 Indonesia Honduras 0.571 0.603 0.626 0.648 0.667 116 Equatorial Guinea 117 Mongolia .. .. .. .. .. 0.664 .. .. 0.647 0.655 0.634 0.661 118 .. .. .. .. .. 0.653 Gabon 119 Guatemala 120 Egypt 121 Nicaragua 122 5ao Tomé and Principe 123 Solomon Islands 124 Namibia 125 Botswana 126 Morocco 127 India 128 Vanuatu 129 Ghana 130 Cambodia 131 Myanmar 132 Papua New Guinea 133 Swaziland 134 Comoros 135 Lao People’s Dem. Rep. 136 Bhutan 0.514 0.551 0.563 0.587 0.617 0.652 0.433 0.480 0.530 0.572 0.605 0.648 .. .. .. .. .. 0.643 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 0.639 0.632 .. .. .. .. 0.677 0.627 0.509 0.573 0.626 0.674 0.666 0.614 0.427 0.472 0.506 0.538 0.567 0.606 0.416 0.443 0.481 0.519 0.553 0.590 .. .. .. .. .. 0.568 0.444 0.474 0.487 0.515 0.537 0.567 .. .. .. 0.512 0.543 0.556 .. .. .. .. .. 0.549 0.428 0.510 .. 0.450 0.541 0.485 0.470 0.567 0.503 0.487 0.611 0.507 0.527 0.606 0.515 0.548 0.547 0.528 .. .. 0.422 0.449 0.485 0.525 .. .. .. .. .. 0.511 137 Lesotho 0.477 0.517 0.542 0.565 0.558 0.510 138 0.351 0.378 0.399 0.431 0.465 0.503 Sudan 139 Bangladesh 0.336 0.352 0.384 0.414 0.443 0.502 140 Congo 0.462 0.506 0.553 0.538 0.517 0.502 141 Togo 0.402 0.450 0.449 0.480 0.491 0.501 Low human development 142 143 Cameroon Nepal 0.402 0.445 0.495 0.510 0.498 0.499 0.287 0.326 0.368 0.413 0.451 0.499 144 Pakistan 0.344 0.370 0.403 0.440 0.472 0.499 145 0.544 0.570 0.626 0.614 0.567 0.496 146 Kenya 0.440 0.487 0.510 0.535 0.519 0.489 147 Uganda 148 Yemen .. .. 0.402 0.403 0.412 0.489 149 Zimbabwe Madagascar 150 Haiti 151 Gambia .. .. .. 0.392 0.429 0.470 0.397 0.431 0.424 0.431 0.438 0.468 .. 0.446 0.461 0.457 0.456 0.467 0.291 .. .. .. 0.426 0.463 86 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 5 Demographic trends Total population Urban population Annual population growth rate (millions) (as % of total)a HDI rank 2001b 1975 101 Uzbekistan 14.0 102 Kyrgyzstan 3.3 103 Cape Verde 104 China 105 El Salvador 0.3 927.8 25.3 5.0 0.4 d 1,285.2 d (as % of total) (as % of total) (per woman) 2015b 19752001 30.7 2.3 39.1 36.7 38.4 35.4 26.2 4.8 5.0 5.9 1.6 1.2 37.9 34.4 36.0 33.3 26.4 6.1 5.9 4.7 0.6 1.8 1.9 21.4 63.3 73.5 40.9 32.6 4.5 3.5 7.0 3.3 17.4 36.7 49.5 24.3 19.4 7.0 9.4 4.9 1.8 41.5 61.3 73.2 35.4 29.4 5.2 6.5 6.1 2.9 45.8 64.7 73.2 33.9 26.8 4.5 4.9 6.4 2.3 1,402.3 d 1.3d 200115b Population Population Total fertility under age aged 65 rate and above 15 1.4 0.6 d 6.3 200005b 2.4 2.6 4.1 6.3 7.6 1.6 106 Iran, Islamic Rep. of 33.4 67.2 81.4 2.7 107 Algeria 16.0 30.7 38.1 2.5 1.5 40.3 57.7 65.2 34.3 27.4 4.2 4.9 7.4 2.8 3.8 4.3 4.2 0.4 -0.1 35.8 41.7 45.2 22.1 16.5 9.6 10.9 2.6 1.4 2.3 108 Moldova, Rep. of 1.3 1975 2001b 2015b 2001b 2015b 2001b 2015b 197075c 1.4 109 Viet Nam 48.0 79.2 94.7 1.9 1.3 18.8 24.5 31.6 32.6 25.3 5.4 5.5 6.7 110 Syrian Arab Republic 7.5 17.0 23.0 3.1 2.2 45.1 51.8 57.9 39.1 32.2 3.0 3.6 7.5 3.3 111 South Africa 25.8 48.0 57.6 67.2 33.6 29.2 3.8 6.0 5.4 2.6 44.4 44.3 2.1 (.) 112 Indonesia 134.4 214.4 250.4 1.8 1.1 19.4 42.0 55.0 30.4 25.3 5.0 6.4 113 Tajikistan 3.4 6.1 7.3 2.2 1.2 35.5 27.6 29.6 38.5 28.5 4.7 4.6 6.8 3.1 114 Bolivia 4.8 8.5 10.8 2.2 41.3 62.9 69.9 39.3 4.4 5.3 6.5 3.8 1.7 32.8 5.2 2.4 115 Honduras 3.0 6.6 8.8 3.0 2.0 32.1 53.6 64.3 41.2 33.5 3.6 4.5 7.1 3.7 116 Equatorial Guinea 0.2 0.5 0.7 2.8 2.5 27.1 49.2 61.4 43.5 43.0 3.8 3.6 5.7 5.9 117 Mongolia 1.4 2.5 3.1 2.1 1.3 48.7 56.7 59.5 3.8 4.1 7.3 2.4 118 Gabon 0.6 1.3 1.6 2.9 1.8 40.0 82.1 88.9 41.3 35.0 4.5 4.3 5.3 4.0 119 Guatemala 6.0 11.7 16.2 2.6 2.3 36.7 40.0 46.2 43.3 37.4 3.6 3.9 6.5 4.4 39.3 69.1 90.0 2.2 1.9 43.5 42.7 45.8 35.7 31.7 4.5 5.4 5.7 3.3 56.5 62.6 120 Egypt 34.2 26.6 121 Nicaragua 2.5 5.2 7.0 2.8 2.1 48.9 42.2 34.9 3.1 3.8 6.8 3.7 122 Sao Tomé and Principe 0.1 0.2 0.2 2.4 2.3 27.0 47.6 56.4 41.2 36.4 4.6 3.8 5.4 4.0 0.6 3.3 123 Solomon Islands 124 Namibia 125 Botswana 126 Morocco 127 India 0.2 0.9 0.5 1.9 2.6 2.2 2.8 0.9 9.1 20.2 28.6 43.3 36.5 2.7 3.4 7.2 4.4 20.6 31.4 39.4 43.2 37.5 3.7 4.6 6.6 4.6 12.8 49.4 56.0 40.0 37.4 2.6 4.5 6.7 3.7 37.8 32.3 27.9 4.3 5.1 6.9 2.7 5.0 6.3 5.4 3.0 4.1 0.8 1.7 1.7 2.9 -0.2 17.3 29.6 36.5 2.1 1.5 620.7 1,033.4 1,246.4 2.0 1.3 21.3 27.9 32.2 33.7 27.7 56.1 64.4 128 Vanuatu 0.1 0.2 0.3 2.7 2.2 15.7 22.1 28.6 129 Ghana 9.9 20.0 26.4 2.7 2.0 30.1 42.4 40.6 130 Cambodia 7.1 13.5 18.4 2.5 2.2 10.3 17.4 131 Myanmar 3.5 4.0 6.1 34.9 3.3 4.1 6.9 4.1 42.5 37.4 2.9 3.6 5.5 4.8 30.2 48.2 55.8 1.8 28.2 36.7 32.7 26.8 4.6 5.9 5.8 2.9 2.9 5.5 7.2 2.5 1.9 11.9 17.6 22.3 41.4 34.0 2.4 2.8 6.1 4.1 133 Swaziland 0.5 2.8 0.1 1.1 23.9 26.1 41.6 34.9 132 Papua New Guinea 1.1 1.0 36.4 14.0 26.7 32.7 44.0 39.7 3.2 4.6 6.9 4.5 134 Comoros 0.3 0.7 1.0 3.2 2.6 21.2 33.8 42.6 42.7 38.5 2.3 3.0 7.1 4.9 135 Lao People’s Dem. Rep. 3.0 5.4 7.3 2.2 2.1 11.1 19.7 27.1 42.4 36.8 3.5 3.7 136 Bhutan 1.2 2.1 3.0 2.3 2.6 3.5 7.4 11.6 42.3 37.8 4.3 4.5 5.9 137 Lesotho 1.1 1.8 1.7 1.8 -0.3 10.8 28.7 38.9 40.2 38.2 4.6 5.4 5.7 3.8 138 Sudan 16.7 32.2 41.4 2.5 1.8 18.9 37.0 48.7 39.9 34.8 3.5 4.4 6.7 4.4 139 Bangladesh 3.5 6.2 4.8 5.0 75.2 140.9 181.4 2.4 1.8 9.9 25.5 34.4 38.8 31.9 3.2 3.8 6.2 140 Congo 1.5 3.5 5.2 3.2 2.8 35.0 66.0 72.6 46.6 46.2 3.0 2.8 6.3 6.3 141 Togo 2.3 4.7 6.4 2.8 2.2 16.3 33.9 42.7 44.1 40.3 3.2 3.5 7.1 5.3 18.9 2.7 Low human development 142 Cameroon 7.6 15.4 143 Nepal 13.4 24.1 32.0 144 Pakistan 70.3 146.3 204.5 145 Zimbabwe 6.1 12.8 13.0 2.3 1.4 2.0 26.9 49.6 42.7 37.8 3.6 4.1 5.0 12.2 17.9 40.5 35.6 58.9 3.7 4.2 6.3 5.8 4.6 4.3 2.8 2.4 26.4 33.4 39.5 41.8 38.1 3.7 4.0 6.3 5.1 2.8 0.2 19.6 36.0 45.9 43.5 3.4 4.2 7.6 3.9 39.6 146 Kenya 13.6 31.1 36.9 3.2 1.2 12.9 34.3 47.2 42.7 36.5 2.9 3.4 8.1 4.0 147 Uganda 10.8 24.2 39.3 3.1 3.5 8.3 14.5 20.7 50.0 49.7 2.6 2.3 7.1 7.1 148 Yemen 6.9 18.7 30.7 3.8 3.6 16.6 25.0 31.2 48.9 47.2 2.3 2.2 8.4 7.0 149 Madagascar 7.9 16.4 24.0 2.8 2.7 16.3 30.1 39.4 44.7 41.7 3.0 3.1 6.6 5.7 9.7 1.9 150 Haiti 4.9 8.1 151 Gambia 0.6 1.4 1.9 3.4 87 1.3 2.3 36.3 45.6 39.8 35.1 3.9 4.5 5.8 4.0 17.0 31.2 21.7 40.5 41.1 36.6 3.5 4.4 6.5 4.7 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 8 Survival: progress and setbacks Life expectancy at birth (years) Infant mortality rate Under-five mortality rate Probability at birth of surviving to age 65 a (per 1,000 live births) (per 1,000 live births) Female Male (% of cohort) (% of cohort) HDI rank 1970-75 b 2000-05b 1970 2001 1970 2001 2000-05 b 2000-05 b Maternal mortality ratio reported (per 100,000 live births) 1985-2001c 64.2 69.7 .. 52 .. 68 76.9 65.7 21 63.1 68.6 111 52 146 61 77.2 61.5 65 Cape Verde 57.5 70.2 .. 29 .. 38 79.5 68.1 35 China 63.2 71.0 85 31 120 39 81.3 72.7 55 105 El Salvador 58.2 70.7 111 33 162 39 77.6 67.3 120 106 Iran, Islamic Rep. of 55.3 70.3 122 35 191 42 79.5 71.8 37 107 Algeria 54.5 69.7 143 39 234 49 76.9 72.8 140 108 Moldova, Rep. of 64.8 68.9 46 27 61 32 76.4 60.2 28 109 Viet Nam 50.3 69.2 112 30 157 38 77.2 68.8 95 110 Syrian Arab Republic 57.0 71.9 90 23 129 28 80.0 74.7 110 111 South Africa 53.7 47.7 80 56 115 71 37.4 24.9 .. 112 Indonesia 49.2 66.8 104 33 172 45 72.5 64.2 380 113 Tajikistan 63.4 68.8 78 114 Bolivia 46.7 63.9 144 115 Honduras 53.8 68.9 116 31 170 38 116 Equatorial Guinea 40.5 49.1 165 101 281 153 117 Mongolia 53.8 63.9 .. 61 .. 76 67.4 118 Gabon 48.7 56.6 .. 60 .. 90 52.0 48.6 520 119 Guatemala 53.7 65.8 115 43 168 58 70.5 59.0 190 120 Egypt 52.1 68.8 157 35 235 41 78.0 67.9 80 121 Nicaragua 55.1 69.5 113 36 165 43 75.2 66.5 150 122 Sao Tomé and Principe 56.5 69.9 .. 57 .. 74 79.1 68.9 .. 123 Solomon Islands 55.6 69.2 71 20 99 24 76.0 70.2 553 124 Namibia 49.9 44.3 104 55 155 67 30.8 24.7 270 125 Botswana 56.1 39.7 99 80 142 110 21.7 17.3 330 126 Morocco 52.9 68.7 119 39 184 44 77.1 69.4 230 127 India 50.3 63.9 127 67 202 93 67.5 61.9 540 128 Vanuatu 54.0 68.8 107 34 160 42 73.1 66.3 .. 129 Ghana 49.9 57.9 112 57 190 100 55.8 50.1 210 130 Cambodia 40.3 57.4 .. 97 .. 138 56.9 47.6 440 131 Myanmar 49.3 57.3 122 77 179 109 58.9 47.7 230 132 Papua New Guinea 44.7 57.6 106 70 147 94 51.5 45.0 370 133 Swaziland 47.3 34.4 132 106 196 149 15.2 11.0 230 134 Comoros 48.9 60.8 159 59 215 79 61.8 55.3 .. 135 Lao People’s Dem. Rep. 40.4 54.5 145 87 218 100 52.9 47.8 650 136 Bhutan 43.2 63.2 156 74 267 95 66.1 61.1 380 137 Lesotho 49.5 35.1 125 91 190 132 19.2 8.5 .. 138 Sudan 43.6 55.6 104 65 172 107 54.6 48.3 550 139 Bangladesh 45.2 61.4 145 51 239 77 61.1 57.9 400 140 Congo 55.0 48.2 100 81 160 108 37.5 31.1 .. 141 Togo 45.5 49.7 128 79 216 141 42.6 36.9 480 101 Uzbekistan 102 Kyrgyzstan 103 104 53 e 60 111 243 72 e 77 75.4 66.2 65 68.0 60.0 390 73.4 65.4 110 44.2 39.2 .. 57.6 150 Low human development 142 Cameroon 45.7 46.2 127 96 215 155 36.8 31.7 430 143 Nepal 43.3 59.9 165 66 250 91 57.6 56.4 540 144 Pakistan 49.0 61.0 117 84 181 109 61.9 60.0 .. 145 Zimbabwe 56.0 33.1 86 76 138 123 8.3 9.2 700 146 Kenya 50.9 44.6 96 78 156 122 30.6 26.1 590 46.2 110 79 185 124 33.5 30.6 510 Uganda 46.3 148 Yemen 39.8 60.0 194 79 303 107 60.0 54.5 350 149 Madagascar 44.9 53.6 109 84 180 136 51.5 46.7 490 150 Haiti 48.5 49.5 148 79 221 123 36.1 34.5 520 151 Gambia 38.0 54.1 183 91 319 126 51.3 45.8 .. 147 88 f f f f THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM 16 Flows of aid, private capital and debt Official development a s s i s t a n c e (ODA) received Net foreign direct investment inflows a (net disbursements) (as % of GDP)b Total (US$ millions) 2001 HDI rank 121 Nicaragua 122 123 Sao Tomé and Pi i Solomon Islands 124 Namibia 125 126 127 India 128 129 Vanuatu Total debt service Other private flows (as % of GDP)b , c As % of exports of goods and services As % of GDP Per capita A s % o f G D P (US$) 2001 1990 2001 928.3 178.4 32.9 .. 1990 0.0 2001 .. 1990 2.0 37.9 248.2 95.0 80.8 0.0 11.7 4.9 -1.9 2001 1990 2001 .. 1.6 -0.2 0.0 4.9 -1.5 -1.3 58.8 130.7 21.7 22.2 109.1 56.5 4.4 3.5 .. .. .. Botswana 29.1 16.6 3.9 0.6 2.5 1.1 Morocco 516.5 17.5 4.1 1.5 0.6 7.8 1990 .. 2001 2.3 8.5 i 22.2 i 28.7 21.3 2.7 e 5.5 .. 11.3 .. .. .. .. -0.5 (.) 2.8 1.0 4.4 1.7 0.7 -0.1 6.9 7.7 27.9 21.9 12.6 .. 1,705.4 1.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.7 0.5 (.) 2.6 1.9 29.2 31.6 156.5 32.6 14.8 8.6 8.5 -0.1 0.0 1.6 0.8 1.6 Ghana 651.8 32.5 9.6 12.3 0.3 1.7 -0.3 2.9 6.3 6.0 34.9 i 130 Cambodia 408.7 30.3 3.7 12.0 0.0 3.3 0.0 0.0 2.7 0.6 3.8 f 131 Myanmar 126.8 2.6 .. .. .. .. .. .. 8.8 2.8 132 Papua New Guinea 203.1 37.2 12.8 6.9 4.8 2.1 1.5 -2.1 17.2 9.1 18.4 7.1 133 Swaziland 29.3 27.6 6.1 2.3 3.4 1.7 -0.2 1.1 5.3 2.2 5.6 2.5 134 27.7 38.1 17.3 12.5 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.4 5.6 243.3 45.0 17.3 13.8 0.7 1.4 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.5 8.5 9.0 136 Comoros Lao People’s Dem. Rep Bhutan 59.2 27.9 16.5 11.1 0.6 0.0 137 Lesotho 54.0 30.1 22.8 6.8 2.7 14.7 138 Sudan 0.0 4.6 139 Bangladesh 0.2 140 141 135 .. -0.9 .. 1.1 i 89 1.1 0.0 1.8 1.2 5.3 3.3 -0.5 3.7 8.6 4.2 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 4.8 3.2 0.2 0.5 2.5 1.4 37.5 9.0 (.) 171.8 5.3 6.2 1.4 1,023.9 7.3 7.0 2.2 Congo 74.8 21.1 7.8 2.7 0.2 2.1 -3.6 0.0 19.0 3.4 32.2 3.3 Togo 46.6 9.9 16.0 3.7 1.1 5.3 (.) 0.0 5.3 2.6 11.5 5.9 (.) Low human development i 142 Cameroon 397.7 25.8 4.0 4.7 -1.0 0.9 -0.1 -1.1 4.7 4.0 14.7 143 Nepal 388.1 16.1 11.7 7.0 0.2 0.3 -0.4 (.) 1.9 1.6 14.7 99 6.2 144 145 Pakistan 1,938.2 13.2 2.8 3.3 0.6 0.7 -0.2 -1.2 4.8 5.0 25.1 21.3 Zimbabwe 159.0 12.5 3.9 1.8 -0.1 0.1 1.1 -0.4 5.4 1.5 19.4 3.4 146 Kenya 452.6 14.6 13.9 4.0 0.7 (.) 0.8 -0.4 9.3 4.1 28.6 11.4 147 Uganda 782.6 32.3 15.5 13.8 0.0 2.5 0.4 (.) 3.4 0.9 56.9 148 Yemen 425.9 22.8 8.4 4.6 -2.7 -2.2 3.3 -0.1 3.5 3.1 7.1 149 Madagascar 353.9 21.5 12.9 7.7 0.7 0.2 -0.5 (.) 7.2 1.5 150 Haiti 165.8 20.4 5.9 4.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.7 151 Gambia 50.9 37.7 31.3 13.0 0.0 9.1 -2.4 0.0 11.9 2.7 21.8 152 Nigeria 153 Djibouti 154 1.6 0.9 0.4 55.1 80.9 46.4 9.6 Mauritania 261.8 96.1 23.3 26.0 155 Eritrea 280.1 72.8 .. 40.7 156 Senegal 418.9 43.5 14.4 157 Guinea 272.3 33.0 158 Rwanda 290.5 36.0 159 Benin 273.2 160 Tanzania, U. Rep. of 161 C6te d’Ivoire i 44.4 7.1 9.7 i 6.3 i 3.4 i h 4.5 i 13.8 i 2.7 -0.4 -0.4 11.7 6.2 22.3 0.6 -0.1 0.0 3.6 1.8 4.4 0.7 3.0 -0.1 -0.3 14.3 8.9 28.8 .. 5.0 .. 0.0 .. 1.0 0.0 9.0 1.0 2.7 -0.3 0.9 5.7 4.6 10.4 9.1 0.6 0.1 -0.7 (.) 6.0 3.5 19.6 i 9.2 i 11.3 17.1 0.3 0.3 -0.1 0.0 0.8 1.1 10.6 i 7.6 i 42.8 14.5 11.5 3.4 5.5 (.) 0.0 2.1 2.1 9.2 i 1,233.4 34.7 27.5 13.2 0.0 2.4 0.1 -0.3 4.2 187.0 11.6 6.4 1.8 0.4 2.4 0.1 -1.0 11.7 184.8 2.1 i (.) 89 k 1.6 k 5.9 i, j 5.4 16.5 e i, j f 4.5 i 9.3 i 18.3 31.3 11.5 f i, k 19.1 i 10 0 7.3 i, k 8.1 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Appendix H. Apparent quality-of-life in 67 nations in the 1990s (World Database of Happiness WDH 2003) Source: Veenhoven R. (2004), Happy Life Years: A Measure of Gross National Happiness, proceedings of the International Seminar on 'Operationalizing the Concept of Gross National Happiness', February 18-20, 2004, Thimpu: the Centre for Bhutan Studies 90 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Apparent quality-of-life in 67 nations in the 1990s Nation Enjoyment of life (scale 0 - 1) Length of life (in years) Happy Life Years Argentina 6.8 72.6 49.1 Armenia 3.7 70.9 26.2 Australia 7.3 78.2 56.9 Austria 6.1 76.7 47.0 Azerbaijan 4.9 71.1 34.7 Bangladesh 6.0 56.9 34.2 Belarus 4.4 69.3 30.3 Belgium 7.3 76.9 56.4 Bolivia 6.2 60.5 37.5 Brazil 7.0 66.6 46.3 Britain 7.2 76.8 55.4 Bulgaria 4.3 71.2 30.5 Canada 7.7 79.1 60.6 Chile 6.9 75.1 52.0 China 6.7 69.2 46.7 Colombia 8.1 70.3 57.1 Costa Rica 7.9 76.6 60.8 Croatia 5.5 71.6 39.6 Czecho-Slovakia 5.9 71.7 42.3 Denmark 8.0 75.3 59.9 Dominican Rep. 6.8 70.3 47.9 Ecuador 6.4 69.5 44.5 El Salvador 7.4 69.4 51.7 Estonia 5.0 69.2 34.6 Finland 7.5 76.4 57.1 France 6.4 78.7 50.5 Georgia 4.1 73.2 29.7 Germany 6.7 76.4 51.4 Ghana 7.7 57.0 43.9 Greece 5.3 77.9 41.4 Guatemala 7.2 66.1 47.3 Honduras 7.0 68.8 48.0 Hungary 5.6 68.9 38.6 Iceland 7.8 79.2 61.8 India 6.2 61.6 38.5 91 THE UNIVERSITY OF BIRMINGHAM Ireland 7.6 76.4 58.4 Italy 7.0 78.0 54.6 Japan 6.3 79.9 50.0 Latvia 4.8 68.0 32.5 Lithuania 5.0 70.2 35.1 Luxembourg 7.8 76.1 59.2 Macedonia 5.2 71.9 37.6 Mexico 7.3 72.1 52.5 Moldavia 3.0 67.8 20.5 Netherlands 7.5 77.5 58.3 Nicaragua 7.6 67.5 51.2 Nigeria 6.3 51.4 32.6 Norway 7.4 77.6 57.5 Panama 7.1 73.4 52.3 Paraguay 6.8 69.1 46.7 Peru 6.0 67.7 40.4 Philippines 6.5 67.4 43.7 Poland 6.2 71.1 43.8 Portugal 6.7 74.8 50.5 Romania 5.4 69.6 37.7 Russia 4.2 65.5 27.8 South-Africa 5.7 64.1 36.7 South-Korea 6.3 71.7 45.3 Slovenia 6.0 73.2 43.8 Spain 6.5 77.7 50.8 Sweden 7.6 78.4 59.9 Switzerland 8.1 78.2 63.0 Turkey 5.9 68.5 40.4 Ukraine 3.3 68.5 22.5 Uruguay 6.7 72.7 49.0 USA 7.4 76.4 56.9 Venezuela 6.4 72.3 46.0 92