Megalopolis and Transportation Corridors: What it Means for our
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Megalopolis and Transportation Corridors: What it Means for our
Megalopolis and Transportation Corridors: What It Means For Our UDUTC Michelle Oswald Rebekah Gayley Sue McNeil David Ames University Transportation Center 1 Overview Purpose Research Questions Transportation Planning for mega-regions – Northeast transportation corridor Background on Megalopolis Significance of Megalopolis Definition of Resiliency Resiliency Measurements Mapping Resiliency of Megalopolis Transportation Networks from 1890-2006 Future Tasks 2 Purpose UTC’s focus: resiliency of transportation corridors Project goal: to understand the current transportation characteristics of the BosWash corridor and to research its resiliency and responsiveness to external changes. Final result: to build a strategic database for future research and identify the key factors in resiliency analysis and modeling for transportation corridors. 3 Research Questions Current: – What is the BosWash Megalopolis corridor and why is it significant? – How can transportation planning for mega-regions such as Megalopolis be improved? – How has the Megalopolis transportation networks (rail, auto) adapted over time? Future: – How resilient are the Megalopolis corridor transportation networks to internal and external changes? – How will this information benefit our UDUTC transportation corridor research? 4 Transportation Planning for mega-regions Dilemma- how to effectively manage mega-regions from a transportation network perspective? Results of failure due to lack of collaboration: – – – – Traffic Congestion Environmental Degradation Structural Impairment Social Injustices due to Limited Mobility 5 Transportation Impacts Rail companies formed the initial “spine” of the Northeast corridor Highway networks formed the “skeleton” of the corridor Urban sprawl led to overlapping suburban areas 6 Northeastern Corridor Commutersheds (Miller, 1975) 7 Duration of Northeastern Corridor Commutes (Regional Plan Association, 2007) 8 Socioeconomic Clustering within the Northeastern Corridor (Short, 2006) 9 Background on Mega-regions Jean Gottmann (1961) – Megalopolis: “large city” – Based on overlapping suburban clusters – “string of cities” – 455 miles (Short, 2007) 10 Megalopolis: No longer unique Researchers extend Megalopolis thinking to other regions of the country. – 10 Megapolitan areas will grow to 20 in the next two decades (Dhavale and Lang, 2005) 11 Background on Mega-regions Regional Plan Assoc. 1967 Report – Atlantic Urban Region – “New fact of life for planners and policy makers” Richard Morrill – Update to Gottmann’s maps on population growth Robert Lang – Presently 10 regions in US – 20 regions in 2040 (Morrill, 2006) 12 US Census Statistical Designations Metropolitan statistical area (MetroSA’s) Micropolitan statistical area (MicroSA’s) Combined Statistical Area (CSA) Megapolitan Region: – – – – – – At least two, contiguous CSA’s “Organic” cultural region - distinct history and identity. Similar physical environment. Linkages through major transportation infrastructure. Functional urban network via goods and service flows. Usable geography that is suitable for large-scale regional planning. 13 Combined Statistical Areas (US Census, 2004) 14 National Megapolitan Regions (Dhavale and Lang, 2005) 15 Significance of Mega-regions Interconnectivity between metropolitan areas (Dhavale and Lang, 2005) 16 Background on Megapolitans Projected National Growth vs. Projected Megapolitan Growth (Dhavale and Lang, 2005) 17 Background on Mega-regions: Northeast Corridor Historical (Dhavale and Lang, 2005) Population Change from 1950 to 2000 18 Definition of Resiliency What is resiliency?? Adaptability of a system to adjust under stress Responsiveness to internal and external changes Measure of persistence and sustainability of systems and relationships between – Land use – Environmental changes – Unexpected events – Transportation Short and Long Term Disturbances ADAPT SYSTEM RESPOND RECOVER 19 Resiliency Measurements Traffic oriented measurements – Episodic Traffic accidents Construction Weather – Continual Traffic congestion Travel time reliability Route redundancy Irreversibility Connectivity Continuity 20 Mapping Resiliency of Transportation Networks – Four Time Periods Pre 1900 1920 1947 2006 – Analysis of resiliency Urbanized growth- increased population throughout corridor Redundancy in routes- line density – 3 Steps: Population Density Network Density (railway and highway) Comparison between population and network 21 Population Growth 1890 RAILWAY NETWORK 2006 HIGHWAY NETWORK 22 Rail Line Density 1890 2006 23 Highway Density 1920 2006 24 Comparison 1890 2006 25 Future Tasks Complete the Discussion Paper: Background of the BosWash Megalopolis Corridor Research the topic of “resiliency” and how it relates to the Megalopolis corridor Focus on land use changes within the corridor Evaluate future projections (+2040) in population, employment, and affects on transportation for the corridor 26 References DeCerreno, Alison L. C. (2007) The Future of Transportation in the Northeast Corridor, 2007-2025: Rail Transportation. New York: NYU Wagner Rudin Center. Dhavale, Dawn and Robert E. Lang. (2005). Beyond Megalopolis: Exploring America’s New “Megapolitan” Geography. Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech Census Report 05:01. Gottmann, Jean. (1961) Megalopolis: the Urbanized Northeastern Seaboard of the US. Cambridge: MIT P. Houk, Randy. (2006). Railroad History. Retrieved on November 4, 2007 from http://www.sdrm.org/history/timeline/. Lang, Robert E. and Arthur C. Nelson. (2007) Beyond the Metroplex: Examining Commuter Patterns at the “Megapolitan” Scale. Lincoln Institute of Land Policy. Morrill Richard. (2006). "Classic map revisited: The growth of Megalopolis." Professional Geographer. 58.2 155-160. Regional Plan Association. Northeast Megaregion: 2050. Retrieved on December 15, 2007 from http://www.rpa.org/pdf/NortheastReport.sm.pf Short, John Rennie, Bernadette Hanlon and Thomas J. Vincino. (2007) Megalopolis 50 Years On: The Transformation of a City Region. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research 31.2 344-367. 27 Questions?? How does the concept of Mega-regions as a unique urban form stimulate new perspectives when viewing your own research, especially when pertaining to the BosWash Corridor? In reality, what is the potential of mega-region planning to reorganize governance structures, private-sector involvement, and/or grass-roots action in the future? How does one define and measure resiliency in a way that has meaningful implementation for researchers? 28
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