american samoa tsunami study research topic #07 warning
Transcription
american samoa tsunami study research topic #07 warning
AMERICAN SAMOA TSUNAMI STUDY RESEARCH TOPIC #07 WARNING & EVACUATION October 2011 American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page i TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Research Topic #07: Warning & Evacuation ..................................................................................1 1.1 Executive Summary................................................................................................ 1 1.2 Study Overview ...................................................................................................... 1 1.3 Introduction............................................................................................................. 3 1.4 Methodology........................................................................................................... 4 1.4.1 Assessment Criteria .................................................................................... 4 1.4.2 Resources and Current Research ................................................................ 5 1.4.3 Consultation ................................................................................................ 6 1.4.4 Relationship to Other Papers ...................................................................... 9 1.4.5 Data Gap Analysis .................................................................................... 10 1.5 Synthesis and Analysis ......................................................................................... 32 1.5.1 Successes................................................................................................... 32 1.5.2 Target Areas for Improvement.................................................................. 32 1.5.3 Implementation Plan Implications ............................................................ 36 Resources .......................................................................................................................................37 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: American Samoa Location .............................................................................................. 1 Figure 2: American Samoa Villages on Tutuila and the Manua Islands ........................................ 2 Figure 3: PTWC and WC/ATWC Area of Responsibility............................................................ 10 Figure 4: Locations of Seismic Monitoring Stations in the Global Seismographic Network ...... 11 Figure 5: Illustration of DART Data Collection and Transmission.............................................. 13 Figure 6: Distribution of DART Buoys ........................................................................................ 14 Figure 7: Components of the Tsunami Warning System.............................................................. 15 Figure 8: Steps Involved in the Tsunami Warning System .......................................................... 15 Figure 9: Diagram of the Tsunami Monitoring and Warning Process.......................................... 16 Figure 10: American Samoa Warning System Process for Local Tsunami.................................. 17 Figure 11: Village Bells and Bullhorns for Early Warning .......................................................... 19 Figure 12: Evacuation Map for Maoputasi County ...................................................................... 23 Figure 13: Evacuation Map for Pago Pago Village ...................................................................... 24 Figure 14: Example Evacuation and Shelter Plan for Leone Midkiff .......................................... 29 Figure 15: Vertical Evacuation Planning...................................................................................... 30 LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Radio Stations in American Samoa (FCC, 2011)........................................................... 18 Table 2: Summary PTRTF Report Findings................................................................................. 21 Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page ii Table 3: Shelters Located in Potentially Vulnerable Areas .......................................................... 27 Table 4: Summary of Challenges and Recommendations ............................................................ 34 Table 5: Implementation Plan Scopes, Priority, ROM, Timeline................................................. 36 APPENDICES Appendix 7A: Gap Analysis Table for: Warning & Evacuation Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page iii LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS AA AAR AOR ASDHS ASDRO ASG ASPA ATEP CCR DART DHS DOC DOE DOGAMI DOH DPA DPS DPW EAS EOB EOC EOP FCC FEMA GIS GSN HMGP IOC IOTWS Assembly Area After Action Review Area of Responsibility American Samoa Department of Homeland Security American Samoa Disaster Recovery Office American Samoa Government American Samoa Power Authority Alaska Tsunami Education Program Coastal Community Resilience Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami Department of Homeland Security Department of Commerce Department of Education Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries Department of Health Department of Port Administration Department of Public Safety Department of Public Works Emergency Alert System Executive Office Building Emergency Operations Center Emergency Operations Plan Federal Communications Commission Federal Emergency Management Agency Geographic Information System Global Seismographic Network Hazard Mitigation Grant Program Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper IRIS ITIC LBJ NCS NDPTC NOAA NPS NTHMP NWR NWS OIA OSA PCS PTRTF PTWC SPT TAC TEB TEMCO TEOP UNESCO USACE USGS WC/ATWC WSO Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology International Tsunami Information Center Lyndon B. Johnson Tropical Medical Center National Communication System Natural Disaster Preparedness Training Center National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Park Service National Tsunami Hazard Preparedness Program NOAA Weather Radio National Weather Service Office of Insular Affairs Office of Samoan Affairs Pacific Services Center Post-Tsunami Review Task Force Pacific Tsunami Warning Center South Pacific Tsunami (9/29/2009 event) Tsunami Advisory Committee Tsunami Evacuation Buildings Territorial Emergency Management Coordinating Office Territorial Emergency Operational Plan United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization United States Army Corps of Engineers United States Geological Survey West Coast and Alaska Tsunami Warning Center Weather Service Office (Pago Pago, American Samoa) American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 1 RESEARCH TOPIC #07: WARNING & EVACUATION 1.1 Executive Summary The ability to effectively warn residents of a tsunami hazard and coordinate a safe and timely evacuation are critical components to withstanding such events. Resilient communities have comprehensive and redundant communication systems for transmitting warnings, practiced and well-coordinated emergency operations plans (EOPs), clear and known evacuation plans, easily identified evacuation routes, and adequate evacuation sites or shelters. The Warning & Evacuation paper provides an overview and preliminary assessment of existing warning systems involved in transmitting tsunami warnings and activating EOPs and issues related to evacuation planning. Prior to the September 29, 2009 South Pacific Tsunami (2009 SPT) the warning system in American Samoa was developed fairly well, but training and education were likely more effective in saving lives. Warning sirens have now been installed to provide an additional level of redundancy for emergency communications and to reach a wider portion of the general public. Improvements are needed in the documentation, awareness, and practicing of EOPs as well as outreach to special needs populations with higher vulnerability, including the elderly, disabled, caretakers, visitors, and migrants. Evacuation in 2009 was largely effective, but evacuation planning is being improved including the development of evacuation routes and installation of signage. Identification of and transportation plans for special needs populations are still needed. Evaluation of sheltering capacity and locations, and adequacy of public facilities at designated evacuation sites is needed. A major component of disaster management planning is the coordination of plan development and revision and practicing the protocol defined in EOPs. A new EOP coordinator position is needed to ensure EOP development, review, training, and revision are undertaken and sustained. 1.2 Study Overview American Samoa is located approximately 120 miles away from the Tonga Trench, one of the fastest moving subduction zones in the world. The 2009 SPT was generated by a series of earthquakes that took place at possibly the closest point of this trench to AS causing fatalities and regional devastation. This subduction zone, and more distant geological action throughout the Pacific basin, will continue to produce earthquakes and potentially damaging tsunamis, therefore there is a goal to improve knowledge, protocol, and Figure 1: American Samoa Location Source: Marks, K. (2009); with credit to USGS Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 2 infrastructure in order to maximize community resiliency following future tsunami events. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, (USACE) Honolulu District in cooperation with the American Samoa Government (ASG) is conducting the American Samoa Tsunami Study under USACE’s Planning Assistance to States program. The study’s goals are to identify areas that could be improved to strengthen American Samoa’s ability to prepare for, respond to, and recover from tsunami hazards. The study will also provide a resource base for organizations undertaking hazard mitigation efforts in American Samoa. The study is structured around twelve working papers to provide comprehensive coverage for assessing current tsunami resiliency. The content of eight of these papers (Risk Knowledge, Emergency Response, Land Use & Structural Design, Warning & Evacuation, Governance, Disaster Recovery, Coastal Resource Management, and Society & Economy) are based on the guidance provided in the Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System (IOTWS) Coastal Community Resilience (CCR) guide (IOWTS, 2007). The additional four topics (Geomorphology, Chronology of Events, Critical Infrastructure, and Case Studies) were added to provide reference information, a more detailed focus for key issues, and to develop additional key recommendations. Planning team research was based on questions from the CCR guide, additional inquires, and concerns that were raised in interviews and meetings or through research findings. These questions are being tracked throughout the study and will be compiled in an appendix to the final report. The research questions guide and categorize the issues addressed in each paper to ensure full coverage and avoid repetition. In some cases, issues logically related to more than one paper may only be addressed in one relevant paper, as determined by the planning team. Figure 2: American Samoa Villages on Tutuila and the Manua Islands Tau Source: EA/HHF Joint Venture In addition to the research papers, this project includes formalized meetings with critical AS stakeholders such as agency leaders and department heads as well as input received from the AS Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 3 Governor’s Tsunami Advisory Committee (TAC). A major effort of this study is to gather and document input on the issues that ASG officials and village leaders believe are important. TAC members provided information and direction to the study topics and recommendations. Based on the data gathered through research and in conjunction with the American Samoa-based TAC, the study will result in a set of lessons learned and recommendations for building community resilience for future tsunami events. Recommendations were generated in each of the applicable papers and include a preliminary scope of work, prioritization, and budgetary cost estimate. All recommendations and findings will be aggregated into a final summary report to provide further comprehensive guidance. The papers, resources, and other materials developed throughout the study are posted on the study website http://astsunamiresilience.org. This website will become part of the American Samoan Government website and used in the future to update and widely disseminate information to its users. 1.3 Introduction Basis of Thought: Warning & Evacuation was investigated to identify: 1. What are the extents and effectiveness of the existing tsunami warning system? 2. What is being done for evacuation planning? Scope of Work Definition: This paper reviews federal roles in tsunami monitoring and warning and current practices and new initiatives regarding warning and evacuation at the local level. Options for additional non-traditional warning mechanisms and opportunities for further planning and outreach will be explored. For the purposes of this paper, warning and evacuation include monitoring activities taken place before a tsunamigenic event occurs, the monitoring of the effects of that event, the communication that takes place including the warning when warranted, the transmission of that warning throughout American Samoa, evacuation plans and practices, and sheltering plans for the families who lose their homes. Topics addressed in this paper correlate with some topics addressed in the Governance and Emergency Response papers. When areas of overlap are encountered references to the paper that addresses the correlating topic are made. Work Plan Focus: Gather documentation of the current structure of local and federal warning systems and efforts regarding evacuation planning and highlight opportunities for additional outreach, training, planning, or projects. CCR Definition: The desired outcome of this element of resilience is a community that is capable of receiving notifications and alerts of coastal hazards, warning at-risk populations, and acting on an alert (IOTWS, 2007, p. 6-45). Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 4 1.4 Methodology This topic area was assessed through the identification and review of literature resources and websites, the development of region specific questions by the study team, and interviews with key officials and community leaders. Areas investigated include federal monitoring for tsunami and seismic events, communications practices between federal and local monitoring agencies, warning dissemination in American Samoa, and evacuation and sheltering practices. 1.4.1 Assessment Criteria Questions investigated are grouped as follows. Warning: 1. What agencies are participating in monitoring tsunami threats? 2. What systems are used for identifying regional tsunami threats? 3. What systems are used for local warning and evacuation notification? a. Do alert protocols define roles and responsibilities for authorities and media participating in disseminating warning information? b. Do the warning systems include human and technological backup components to ensure warning delivery? c. Are warnings multi lingual? 4. Are all aspects of the warning systems and evacuation notification procedures periodically tested and evaluated to identify system shortfalls? Evacuation: 5. Do established and publically available evacuation plans exist? a. Is there a need for village level planning for warning and evacuation? b. Are evacuation plans well publicized and practiced at schools and in business districts? c. Is the public well informed about tsunami risk and evacuation procedures? 6. Are there existing procedures for first responders to evacuate special needs populations (e.g. elderly, disabled, visitors, and migrants)? 7. What critical facilities need to evacuate and what impact does this have on operations? 8. Are tsunami hazard zones, evacuation routes, shelters, and safe areas clearly marked throughout the community with signs and/or maps? 9. Can shelters accommodate special needs of elderly, disabled, children, or pets? For a complete list of questions, answers identified, and resources see Appendix 7A – Gap Analysis Table for: Warning & Evacuation. The numbers to the above questions correlate with the numbered questions in Appendix 7A. Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 5 1.4.2 Resources and Current Research The following documents were particularly informative to the Warning & Evacuation working paper. The Tsunami Warning and Education Act of December 2006, PL 109-424, fortifies federal support for tsunami warning efforts and authorizes the agency roles in the Tsunami Forecasting and Warning Program including development and transfer of technology, reporting, and appropriations to support these efforts. The tsunami warning system used in the Pacific basin has been developed and is monitored and maintained by collaborative domestic and international efforts. Domestic systems are primarily developed and maintained by branches of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and International Tsunami Information Centre (ITIC), with support from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and the United States Geological Survey (USGS). The U.S. National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program (NTHMP) document, National Media Tsunami Guidebook (NTHMP, 2011), offers a clear description of tsunami monitoring systems and warning process. The NOAA document, The Tsunami Warning System – How Does It Work? (NOAA, N.D.), also provides insight into local and distant source tsunami risks and the actions are appropriate for each situation. The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) Frequently Asked Questions web page offers responses to tsunami related concerns including how the Tsunami Warning System works, PTWC responsibilities, how the PTWC evaluates earthquakes for tsunami potential, how the PTWC disseminates messages, and the difference between a tsunami warning, watch, advisory, and informational bulletin. ITIC websites provide extensive information on how the Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami (DART) program assists in tsunami monitoring and warning. The Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC)/ITIC information brochure, Tsunami Warning System in the Pacific (IOC, 2004), also provides concise descriptions on topical issues of the tsunami warning system used in the Pacific. American Samoa Department of Homeland Security’s (ASDHS) Territorial Emergency Operations Plan (TEOP), (ASDHS, 2010), outlines response protocol and responsibilities for all hazards. The TEOP Hazard Specific Annex C: Tsunami identifies the roles of organizations with primary responsibility for tsunami warning and evacuation actions and clarifies warning roles and sequencing of activities. Critical actions include dissemination of the tsunami warning to key agencies and the general public to ensure timely and effective evacuation. ASDHS, as the State Administrative Agency, is the primary ASG agency responsible for coordination of emergency response during a tsunami. The Domestic Travel Trip Report American Samoa, April 26-30, May 24-27 and June 14-15, 2010 (Kong, Yanagi, 2010) provides insight into the status and improvements to Emergency Alert System (EAS) practices. The ITIC initiated and facilitated a Chilean Tsunami After Action Review (AAR), attended by representatives of the local National Weather Service Weather Service Office Pago Pago (WSO) and ASDHS on May 24, 2010. This AAR helped identify warning and mitigation needs in American Samoa including stakeholder coordination, operations and communications, warning forecasting, education and outreach (and development of such materials), and other mitigation countermeasures. (Kong, Yanagi, 2010). The developments Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 6 noted in this record assisted in the planning team’s understanding of key roles and responsibilities in the tsunami warning system and provided a record of recommendations and needs related to executing timely and effective warning and evacuation. The Post-Tsunami Review Task Force (PTRTF) Report (PTRTF, 2009) provided the planning team with firsthand accounts of the warning and evacuation efforts made in response to the 2009 SPT. Summaries of findings provided in the report give attention to areas where such efforts were successful and to areas that could be improved. These findings come from interviews held by the PTRTF with Pulenuus, Department of Education (DOE) and Schools, Department of Administrative services/ Executive Office Building (EOB), American Samoa Department of Homeland Security, Department of Public Works, Office of Samoan Affairs, and the WSO. The findings of the PTRTF Report are summarized and discussed in Section 1.4.5 of this report. The planning team reviewed information from many sources to identify examples for evacuation planning. The Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries (DOGAMI)—working with NOAA, Oregon Emergency Management, and Oregon Graduate Institute of Science and Technology—is the primary agency responsible for the development of detailed tsunami inundation maps and evacuation route maps for most of the populated communities of the Oregon coast and aims to have new generation of tsunami inundation maps for Oregon by 2013. DOGAMI is also working with OEM, Oregon Department of Transportation, and the Oregon Parks and Recreation Department on signage along coastal roads and state parks. Oregon’s coastal communities are involved in the installation of warning systems and tsunami evacuation route signs. (Oregon Coastal Atlas, N.D.) In Earthquake and Tsunami Pre-Disaster Mitigation: Preliminary Recommendations (Heathman, C, and Y. Wang, 2005), Chris Heathman and Yumei Wang, of DOGAMI, offer considerations on site evacuation planning, signage and route selection that are applicable to American Samoa and were used as a basis for recommendations. 1.4.3 Consultation Interviews and inquiries were undertaken with American Samoa Government (ASG) agency heads, village mayors (Pulenu'u), and federal agency representatives in Hawaii and the mainland U.S. Individuals interviewed are listed alphabetically by last name. Interviews with ASG Agency Heads (March 29 – April 4, July 5 – 11, September 23 – 29): x American Samoa Government o Togiola Tulafono, Governor of American Samoa o Evelyn Langford, Governor’s Authorized Representative o Gaoteote Tofau, Senate President, American Samoa Senate o Savali Talavou Ale, House Speaker, American Samoa House x American Samoa Chamber of Commerce (COC) o Hobbs Lowson o David Whitby x American Samoa Department of Commerce (DOC), o Coral Reef Advisory Group: Hideyo Hatori o Coastal Zone Management/Land Use/Permits: Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 7 x x x x x x x x x x Nate Ilaoa Mohan Seetharam Charles Seitz Marvis Vaiagae Lauren Wetzel o Deputy Director: Lelei Peau o Economic Development: Lasiandra Hall Ma’u Leha o Geographic Information System (GIS) Office: Mataio King Cristin Reynolds Junior Sauni Mike (Kang) Sevao o Law: Sean Morrison o Statistical Office: Mine Timoteo, American Samoa Department of Homeland Security (ASDHS)/ Territory Emergency Management Coordinating Office (TEMCO) o Alefa Afalava, o Vinnie Atofau o Jacinta Brown American Samoa Department of Health (DOH): Siitia Soliai-Lemusu American Samoa Department of Port Administration, o Harbors: Tavita Fuimano Chris Soti o Airport: Peter Lefiti, o Water Transportation: Ioakopo F. Toilolo American Samoa Department of Public Works (DPW): Sina Voigt American Samoa Disaster Recovery Office (ASDRO): o Salu Tuigamala o Lima Fiatoa American Samoa Economic Stimulus & Recovery Office: Pat Galeai American Samoa Power Authority (ASPA): o Karen Kitiona o Kesi Kuki o Andra Samoa o Edward Setu o Ryan TuaTua o Aperila Tuufuli o Reno Vivao American Samoa Voluntary Organization Active in Disaster(ASVOAD): Phil Falema’o Department of Marine and Wildlife Resources (DMWR): Doug Fenner, Department of Interior Department of Interior, Office of Insular Affairs (OIA): Lydia Faleafine-Nomura Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 8 x x x x x x x Economic Advisory Council: David Robinson National Park Service (NPS): o Sara Bone o Mike Reynolds NOAA Pacific Islands Regional Office (Fisheries): Fatima Sauafea-Le’au Office of Samoan Affairs (OSA): o Paramount Chief Tufele Li’amatua o Muliagatele Sanele Tuiteleleapaga UH Sea Grant Extension: Ephraim Temple Unified Health Command/ Lyndon B. Johnson Tropical Medical Center (LBJ): Michael Gerstenberger WSO – Local office of the National Weather Service (NWS): Hans Malala Interviews with Pulenuu (Trip 2 and phone 8/2&8/4): x Aasu Village Mayor: Tafaifa Roberts x Aoloau Village Mayor: Vela Lefotu Interviews with Organizations in US (Hawaii and Mainland): x Federal Communications Commission: Dale Bickel x FEMA o Marilyn Shigetani o Colby Stanton x FEMA Federal Coordinating Officer (FCO) during the 2009 SPT: Kenneth Tingman x ITIC o Laura Kong o Brian Yanagi x Natural Disaster Preparedness Training Center (NDPTC) o James Burke o Grant Chartrand o Karl Kim o Justine Nihipali o Dean Sakamoto x NOAA, Fisheries: Chris Hawkins x NOAA, Pacific Services Center (PSC) o Steve Frano o Doug Harper o Jessie Huart, o Kristina Kekuewa o Penny Larin o Adam Stein o Bill Thomas x National Park Service (NPS): Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 9 x x x x x x x 1.4.4 o Vicki Ozaki PTWC o Gerard Fryer o Charles ‘Chip’ McCreery, o Stuart Weinstein, PTWC Pacific Disaster Center (PDC), Kihei, Hawaii: o Stanley Goosby o Lara Payne UH Manoa, Department of Urban and Regional planning: o Karla Filibeck o Dolores Foley o Luciano Minerbi o H. Ginger Porter o Pragya Pradhan UH Manoa, Pacific Business Center: Dr. Papalii Tusi UH Manoa, Social Science Research Institute: Cheryl Anderson UH Sea Grant, Coastal Storms Program: Dolan Eversole USGS: Michael Shulters Relationship to Other Papers The Warning & Evacuation working paper addresses the activities that take place immediately after a tsunami is potentially generated by a seismic event or once a tsunami is confirmed depending on the distance between the source of the tsunami and the population at risk. This includes the roles of federal and local agencies, the systems used by both to communicate information, the ability of the community to receive the information, and the ability of the community to understand the information and take the right action. The issues addressed in this paper relate to some of the issues discussed in the Governance, Emergency Response, Critical Infrastructure, and Geomorphology topics. Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 10 1.4.5 Data Gap Analysis Federal Agencies Involved in Tsunami Monitoring and Warning Official tsunami warning capability in the U.S. began in 1949, when the Tsunami Warning Center was est “NWS is responsible for the Beach, Oahu. After devastating tsunami impacts in 1960, the overall execution of the nations of the Pacific decided to coordinate efforts to prevent Tsunami Program. This tsunami losses in the Pacific Basin (PTWC, 2009). The ITIC includes operation of the Tsunami Warning was established in November 1965 by the IOC of the United U.S. Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization Centers as well as leadership (UNESCO) to mitigate the hazards associated with tsunamis of the NTHMP. NWS also by improving tsunami preparedness for all Pacific Ocean supports observations and nations (ITIC, 2011). Under the IOC, an International data management through the Coordination Group for the Tsunami Warning System in the National Data Buoy Center Pacific (ICG/ITSU) was established in 1968 (IOC/ITIC, (NDBC)” (NOAA, 2011, 2004) became the operational July 27). headquarters for the Pacific Tsunami Warning System and the facility was renamed the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC, 2009). The ITIC works closely with the PTWC and both are hosted by the NWS, and operate under the NOAA. PTWC works with regional centers to evaluate potentially tsunamigenic earthquakes (IOC/ITIC, 2004). NOAA's two Tsunami Warning Centers, PTWC and West Coast and Alaska Tsunami Warning Center (WC/ATWC), have separate areas of responsibility (AORs), shown in Figure 3. Responsibilities of each center within these geographical areas include the dissemination of messages and the provision of interpretive information to emergency managers and other officials, news media, and the public. PTWC provides warnings for distant tsunamis to countries around the Pacific Rim, Indian Ocean, and most Pacific island states. PTWC AOR: Figure 3: PTWC and WC/ATWC Area of Responsibility Samoa, Guam, Wake Island, Johnston Island, the Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas, the Federated States of Micronesia, the Republic of the Marshall Islands, and other U.S. interests in the Pacific located outside WC/ATWC's area of responsibility (PTWC AOR, 2009). Source: PTWC Responsibilities (PTWC, 2009) Seismic monitoring is the foundation of tsunami detection and warning. Sea level monitoring is also used to help track tsunami events across the ocean and improve the precision of warnings for potentially impacted regions. The PTWC explains that, “Because seismic waves travel about Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 11 100 times faster than tsunami waves, scientist can detect and study the earthquake much more quickly than the tsunami itself” (PTWC, 2009). The combination of monitoring seismic data and sea level data allows PTWC to give very accurate warnings for distant tsunamis. Systems Used for Identifying Tsunami Threats Tsunamis are most commonly caused by seismic events, which are monitored by a vast array of networks under several agencies around the globe comprising the Global Seismographic Network (GSN). Through the Earthquake Hazards Program, the USGS uses the GSN to monitor seismic activity. GSN “is a permanent digital network of state-of-the-art seismological and geophysical sensors connected by a telecommunications network, serving as a multi-use scientific facility and societal resource for monitoring, research, and education. Formed in partnership among the USGS, the National Science Foundation (NSF) and the Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology (IRIS), the GSN provides near-uniform, worldwide monitoring of the Earth, with over 150 modern seismic stations distributed globally” (USGS, GSN, 2011). Data collected from this network are archived at the IRIS Data Management Center. The GSN serves as a tool for research on global earthquake mechanisms and the geologic processes and provides alerts of areas threatened by earthquake hazards and possible tsunami threats. Locations of seismic stations used in the GSN are shown in Figure 4. Figure 4: Locations of Seismic Monitoring Stations in the Global Seismographic Network Source: IRIS GSN Maps, (IRIS, 2011) Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 12 The NWS explains that if an earthquake’s “hypocenter is under or near the ocean and not too deep within the earth, and if the magnitude is sufficiently large, then tsunami generation is possible. On the basis of this seismic evidence, the Center issues a regional tsunami warning to areas located near the epicenter. Because tsunamis move through the water in accordance with known physical laws, estimated arrival times are computed and given for key Pacific locations. Additional bulletins are issued at least hourly and the warning and watch areas expanded as needed” (NWS, 2004). Relaying information from a DART buoy warning takes too long to be useful for a local tsunami. Through consultation, the PTWC explained that DART buoys are intended to improve the quality of tsunami warnings from distant sources and that they are not exactly real-time devices in the sense that information arrives to the PTWC immediately after it is recorded at sea. It first takes the wave time to reach the DART, then another several minutes for the information to reach the PTWC, and then PTWC personnel have to watch the record for a few minutes to interpret the tsunami potential. When a large earthquake occurs in the Pacific Ocean area, PTWC personnel determine the earthquake's hypocenter, the initial rupture point of the earthquake, and its magnitude. On the basis of this seismic evidence, the Center issues a regional tsunami warning to areas located near the epicenter (NWS, Tsunami Warning System in the Pacific, 2004). Because seismic waves travel about 100 times faster than tsunami waves, scientist can detect and study the earthquake much more quickly than the tsunami itself (PTWC, Frequently Asked Questions, 2009). PTWC personnel state that “Even if you had a DART right on top of the earthquake, it would take at least five minutes to get a warning out—that is no better than what we can already do as a consequence of the new seismometers deployed in the SW Pacific.” This is the same situation experienced in the Pacific Northwest where local warnings are also based solely on interpretations from the earthquake data collected from seismometers. The IOC/ITIC notes that the Tsunami Warning System in the Pacific “makes use of hundreds of seismic stations throughout the world to locate potentially tsunamigenic earthquakes, and accesses nearly 100 water level stations throughout the Pacific to verify the generation and evaluate the severity of a tsunami. The system disseminates tsunami information and warning messages to well over 100 points scattered across the Pacific” (IOC/ITIC, 2004). As a part of this system NOAA placed DART stations at sites in regions with a history of generating destructive tsunamis to add precision to distant tsunami warnings. The NWS is responsible for the overall execution of the U.S. Tsunami Program. This includes operation of the U.S. Tsunami Warning Centers and leadership of the National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program (NOAA, 2011, July 27). Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 13 Figure 5: Illustration of DART Data Collection and Transmission DART systems consist of an anchored seafloor bottom pressure recorder (BPR) and a surface buoy for real-time communications. An acoustic link transmits data from the BPR on the seafloor to the surface buoy (NOAA, 2011, July 27). The system has two data reporting modes, standard and event. In standard mode, the system collects data every 15 seconds and transmits data at scheduled transmission times. In event mode, 15-second values are transmitted during the initial few minutes, followed by 1-minute averages (NOAA, 2011, July 27). Source: NOAA, DART Description, 2011 Second generation DART® systems (DART II), operational since 2005, have two-way communications between the BPR and the TWCs/NDBC, allowing the TWCs to set stations in event mode in anticipation of possible tsunamis or retrieve the high-resolution data for detailed analysis (NOAA, 2011, July 27). When potentially destructive tsunamis are confirmed by DART buoys, the PTWC issues a Pacific-wide tsunami warning, alerting all local EAS participants to the threat and estimated tsunami arrival times. The warning from the PTWC continues as long as the threat exists with at least hourly updates. “Messages are disseminated throughout the Pacific to the Member States in accordance with procedures outlined in the Communications Plan for the Tsunami Warning System in the Pacific. Dissemination agencies in the participating Member States have the ongoing responsibility for educating the public concerning the dangers of tsunamis and for developing safety measures to be taken to avoid the loss of life and reduce property damage” (NWS, 2004). It is important to note that there is not enough time between a local earthquake (within 200 miles) and the arrival of the first tsunami wave for a DART buoy to provide advanced warning. Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 14 Figure 6: Distribution of DART Buoys DART Station 51425 American Samoa DART Station 51426 Source: NOAA, Real-Time DART Data (NDBC), 2011 Currently, 41 DART buoys are located in the Pacific Ocean, 33 of which are maintained by NOAA. The two DART buoys closest to American Samoa are Stations 51425 and 51426. x Station 51425 is 370 nautical miles northwest of Apia, Independent Samoa, or approximately 750 miles northwest of American Samoa. x Station 51426 is 400 nautical miles southeast of Tonga, or approximately 625 miles south of American Samoa. The epicenter of the earthquake that generated the 2009 SPT was approximately 120 miles southwest of American Samoa. ITIC acknowledged that such an event is unlikely to occur any less than 100 miles southwest of American Samoa. The existing DART buoys in this area will not contribute early warning in the case of a locally generated tsunami. Maintenance of DART buoys is a major challenge: x Station 51425 began malfunctioning in March of 2011 and eventually went adrift. This station was re-established on 18 August, 2011—offline for approximately 5 months. x Station 51426 failed on 27 December, 2010 and was re-established 23 August, 2011— offline approximately 8 months. Due to constant weather and ocean exposure, and logistical difficulties for maintenance and replacement, the risk of failure for extended periods of time exists. Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 15 Figure 7 shows how all the Figure 7: Components of the Tsunami Warning System components of the warning system work in concert. The Tsunami Warning System in the Pacific communicates realtime information through the use of seismometers, tide gauges, DART buoys, and satellites to the Tsunami Warning Center. The Tsunami Warning Center then transmits information to regional NWS gateways (WSO for American Samoa), the State Emergency Operations Center (EOC) and Source: National Media Tsunami Guidebook (NTHMP, 2011.) Figure 8: Steps Involved in the Tsunami Warning System the U.S. Coast Guard. Figure 8 shows the typical warning transmission sequence of through this system. NTHMP notes that individuals should pay heed to natural warnings and official warnings. Natural Warning: Strong ground shaking, a loud roar from the ocean, water receding from the shore and exposing the sea floor, or the water level rising rapidly (NTHMP, 2010). Official Warning: TV and radio broadcasts, NWR, or announcements (emergency officials, aircraft, outdoor sirens, Emergency Managers Weather Information Network (EMWIN), or mobile devices) (NTHMP, 2010). Source: National Media Tsunami Guidebook (NTHMP, 2011.) Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 16 Figure 9 illustrates the Figure 9: Diagram of the Tsunami Monitoring and Warning Process tsunami warning system for Washington State. This diagram shows the steps taken from identification of the seismic event that causes the tsunami to the warning transmitted to the general public. Washington State also has a limited amount of time to evacuate if there is a major tsunamigenic earthquake on the Cascadian Subduction Zone, (an estimated 20-30 minutes). PTWC personnel acknowledge that the current monitoring and warning system is great for distant tsunami, but less effective for nearby events. NOAA’s document The Tsunami Warning System – How does It Work? states “if you feel violent shaking… head for higher ground. The Earthquake is your warning” (NOAA, N.D.). Source: The Tsunami Warning System – How Does it Work? (NOAA, N.D.) Local Roles in Tsunami Warning The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) Local Area Plan, as presented in the Governor’s Post-Tsunami Review Task Force Report (PTRTF, 2009), defines the EAS as “a warning system to provide the public with immediate messages that affect life and property” (FCC, 2006). As indicated in Figure 9, the EAS in American Samoa is comprised of the regional Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 17 NWS [WSO], emergency management officials [TEMCO, Department of Public Safety (DPS)], communication networks (telephone and two-way hand-held UHF radios) between key EAS agencies, individuals with NOAA Weather Radios (NWR) responsible for leading evacuations, agency heads with UHF radios, and TV, Radio, and Cable TV broadcasts, and the use of bells and bullhorns in villages. In addition to the EAS, American Samoa is now equipped with 44 warning sirens (two yet to be installed on Aunu’u and Ofu), a critical component of the current local warning system. Based on testimony provided to the U.S. Congress House Committee on Homeland Security by the ASDHS Director Tuala Mike Sala, key EAS agencies and personnel that are active and monitor the 2-way radios at all times for significant events include: NOAA regional NWS [WSO], EOC [TEMCO], Governor's Security, DPS (Police Dispatch), KKHJ (primary), KULA (secondary), KSBS, and Showers of Blessing Radio Stations, KVZK TV Station, and Blue Sky. (ReliefWeb, 2009) Figure 10, shows the initial points of the tsunami warning process used in American Samoa with an approximate timeline to show the time needed between steps. It is important to note that the fastest warning is the earthquake. If a strong earthquake is felt, the public should prepare to evacuate and seek guidance from the radio, TV, or public officials. Figure 10: American Samoa Warning System Process for Local Tsunami Source: Developed by EA/HHF JV through consultation with PTWC Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 18 The WSO is the Primary Entry Point (PEP) for earthquake and tsunami warnings. (PTRTF, 2009) When an earthquake occurs the PTWC makes a rapid earthquake assessment to determine potential tsunami generation. The level of information given to regional weather service stations is contingent on the amount of time that a locale has to evacuate. For near source warnings, immediate action is taken. When the threat of a local tsunami is possible, based on the magnitude and depth of an earthquake, the PTWC sends a tsunami warning to the WSO. When several hours are available, as is typically the case for a distant tsunami, the PTWC is able to give more precise information. The WSO is responsible for activating the EAS and TEMCO is responsible for sounding the warning sires. Warnings from the PTWC are reported to the TEMCO by the WSO. When immediate action is needed, TEMCO contacts the Governor’s Office, sounds the sirens, and activates primary response agencies. The EOC is activated and Response Agencies report to coordinate activities (ASDHS, 2010; Kong, Yanagi, 2010; PTRTF, 2009). The Territorial Emergency Operations Plan (TEOP), Hazard Specific Annex C: Tsunami, identifies the primary response agencies activated during a tsunami warning as the DPS police and fire and DPW (ASDHS, 2010). If WSO cannot contact TEMCO, WSO is responsible for sounding the sirens. Siren activation can be controlled from four sites: the EOC (primary), WSO, police/911 dispatch (back up), and remote wireless (Kong, Yanagi, 2010). If a tsunami causes damage and shelters are needed DOE, DHSS, Red Cross, OSA, DOA and the Office of Procurement are activated. In parallel, WSO activates the EAS, which transmits an automated emergency message through local FCC licensed broadcast stations and cable systems (ReliefWeb, 2009). The TEOP has identified two radio stations as part of the EAS—KKHJ FM is the primary and KULA is the secondary—and one television station, KVZK. As of October, 2011, the radio stations in American Samoa and listed on the FCC’s website are shown in Table 1. Table 1: Radio Stations in American Samoa (FCC, 2011) Call NEW NEW KMOA KPPO KIOE KSBS-FM KKHJ-FM* KULA** WVUV-FM KNWJ KJAL Service City Licensee/Permittee FM 88.1 TAFUNA LEONE CHURCH OF CHRIST FM 88.9 PAGO PAGO MARIANAS EDUCATIONAL MEDIA SERVICES, INC. FM 89.7 NU'UULI HORIZON CHRISTIAN FELLOWSHIP FM 90.5 MAPUSAGA SECOND SAMOAN CONGREGATIONAL CHURCH OF LONG BEACH FM 91.3 UTULEI LEONE CHURCH OF CHRIST FM 92.1 PAGO PAGO SAMOA TECHNOLOGIES, INC. FM 93.1 PAGO PAGO SOUTH SEAS BROADCASTING, INC. FM 95.1 ILI’ILI PACIFIC ISLANDS BIBLE SCHOOL FM 103.1 FAGAITUA SOUTH SEAS BROADCASTING, INC. FM 104.7 LEONE SHOWERS OF BLESSINGS RADIO AM 585 TAFUNA DISTRICT COUNCIL OF THE ASSEMBLIES OF GOD IN AS AM 630 HCNR3 AM 1420 LA VOZ DE HU * LP1 – Primary EAS Station **LP2 – Secondary EAS Station (not listed on FCC’s website) The PTRTF report notes that radio is the most effective way to reach the general public; however, NWR coverage is inadequate in Tula, Afono, and Fagasa. Radio reception on the Manua Islands was limited to radio stations in Independent Samoa (PTRTF, 2009). ASG is Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 19 considering the development of a new high powered AM station to improve coverage. Based on consultation with FCC official Dale Bickel, the development of a new high powered AM station is not the most effective course of action. The FCC official consulted noted that even the most powerful 50 kW AM station will not cover an adequate radius during the daytime (to Manua Islands) due to restrictive signal propagation conditions and might cause local interference (airport and other radio communications), as well as a significant drain on the local power grid. The FCC adds that construction of an AM station is more expensive and difficult to construct than an FM station and AM stations require a large dedication of land for the buried ground system. AM stations require international coordination. In response to an inquiry if a local FM station might be willing to develop an AM station to serve this need, the FCC official explained that existing FM station license holders are not likely going to cover the expense of building an AM station that would duplicate the coverage of their FM station or to solely relay emergency transmissions. The FCC official recommended utilizing more of the existing FM and AM stations (particularly KJAL) for relaying EAS emergency signals to ensure complete coverage. An in depth analysis of existing radio coverage and coverage improvement possibilities is needed to determine the most effective way to address warning communication deficiencies in the Eastern District. The press release for the U.S. House Committee on Homeland Security hearing (2009) states that “the Emergency Alert System (EAS) … specifically describes an automated emergency message relaying system that all FCC licensed broadcast stations and cable systems must participate in. It is a federally mandated system that facilitates automatically using radio, TV, and cable TV to quickly and simultaneously disseminate emergency messages to the public” (ReliefWeb, 2009). Based on this statement and statements made by the FCC, an assessment into which stations could be utilized to improve coverage and the infrastructure enhancements needed, in comparison to the commitment of resources required to develop a new AM station is warranted. Figure 11: Village Bells and Bullhorns for Early Warning Source: EERI, 2009 Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper In addition to electronic systems, American Samoa uses village-based warning practices including the traditional use of village or church bells to signal tsunami evacuation. In some cases, Pulenuu used bullhorns during the evacuation for the 2009 SPT, also highly effective. The examples shown in Figure 11 are from Samoa, but are also applicable for American Samoa, these are good practices and should be continued and promoted. American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 20 Evacuation Notes from the 2009 SPT Many sources note the invaluable contribution of tsunami awareness training undertaken—by agencies including TEMCO, NOAA (ITIC), and the DOE—in the months preceding the 2009 SPT in keeping the number of lives lost relatively low. Education and awareness initiatives were undertaken by various entities in both American Samoa and Independent Samoa. It is widely acknowledged that the timing of the tsunami—in the “The people of American Samoa morning as people were getting ready for work and and Samoa did the right thing after school—also contributed to the effectiveness of they felt the early morning evacuation during this event. earthquake—they self-evacuated from the coast to higher ground in However, differences in the number of fatalities and the the 10 to 15 minutes before the educational messages in Samoa and American Samoa are tsunami arrived. … This instance noteworthy. In American Samoa the outreach was clear of self-evacuation underscores that that evacuating by foot was the appropriate procedure education saves lives.” (Jaffe, (even though many did evacuate by car), but in 2009) Independent Samoa “only a month [before the 2009 SPT] they had been told that cars help with “Community-based education and evacuations…” (ScienceDaily, 2009) Particularly in awareness programs minimized the Independent Samoa, people were trapped on congested death toll from the recent Samoan small roads because of traffic or debris on the roads and, tsunami, though there are still because most roads run parallel to the beach, were ways to improve the warning and vulnerable to the tsunami. In response to this tragic evacuation process.” situation, one post-disaster researcher, Costas Synolakis, (ScienceDaily, 2009) stated that “misinformation kills.” (ScienceDaily, 2009) Another researcher discovered through approximately “The technical solution doesn't 170 interviews that “most people were educated about always work for coastlines near the tsunamis and knew how to react because of communityepicenter with less than 30 minutes based educational programs, not ancestral stories.” between earthquake and onslaught (ScienceDaily, 2009) of the tsunami. Earthquakes with durations of more than 30 seconds Synolakis acknowledged that education helped keep the number of lives lost low, but also pointed out that there is serve as a natural warning, still progress that can be made. On 7 October, 2009, resulting in a spontaneous selfSynolakis and the research team experienced a tsunami evacuation.” (Herman Fritz, cited in ScienceDaily, 2009) warning while presumably in American Samoa and “witnessed first-hand the tremendous confusion and disorganization that followed.” Synolakis notes that “although there are warnings signs along the beaches in American Samoa, there is no information about where the evacuation routes are,” and adds that “it’s also just as important to let people know when it's safe to come back as it is to warn them.” (ScienceDaily, 2009) The PTRTF report provided firsthand accounts of the warning and evacuation efforts made in response to the 2009 SPT and summaries of the findings of this information call attention to areas where such efforts were highly successful as well as to identify areas that could be improved. These findings come from interviews held by the PTRTF with Pulenuu, DOE, Department of Administrative Services/ Executive Office Building (EOB), ASDHS, DPW, OSA, and WSO. A review of these findings, divided by organization, is offered in Table 2. Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 21 Table 2: Summary PTRTF Report Findings ASDHS (TEMCO) Pros 1. Training helped many Pulenuu perform their responsibilities. 2. Community is aware of tsunami dangers and how to respond. 3. Utilizing village bells is an effective and understood way to signal evacuation for American Samoans. 1. DPW Pulenuu Source 1. 2. Department of Administrative Services/EOB 1. 2. WSO 1. OSA 2. 1. 2. TEMCO has a Territorial Emergency Operations Plan (TEOP) (2001) Training was given to Pulenuu and some schools prior to the tsunami Cleared roads and worked on Leone bridge Private construction crews responded quickly (Leone bridge). All ASG agencies are mandated by the governor to have an evacuation plan Cons 1. Contingency plans did not exist if the Pulenuu is not present or does not have time/physical capacity to respond (no one is designated to take action). 2. Distance of the Pulenuu’s house from village bells was a problem in some cases. In some villages, this problem was overcome by using church bells, yelling, and using bullhorns. In some villages, aumaga 3. Nearly half of the Pulenuu did not receive adequate training on response and evacuation practices because they were new to the position. 4. Access to evacuation sites is problematic in some cases 5. Radio signals are limited in some areas (could only get a station from Western Samoa). In some cases NOAA Weather Radios were not where they needed to be during the event 6. Phone lines jammed after the earthquake and phone lines went down during the tsunami cutting off many villages from communication with public officials. 1. TEOP under revision since 2004, but not yet approved or signed by the Governor. 2. Funding freeze limited ASDHS actions—training record not kept 3. ASDHS in floodplain near sea level 4. EAS activation was confused and responsibility in wrong hands (recommended to be put at DPS) 5. Jammed phone lines, officials couldn’t make needed calls 6. NWRs not in Pulenuu’s possession in some cases 7. Little ASDHS prep training since 2007 due to lack of funding and human resources 8. Training not reaching village level 9. Training materials are inadequate 10. TEMCO – No set training schedule 11. Training and workshops only for ASG officials 1. Experienced trouble with communication lines 2. Noted traffic congestion from high number of people fleeing for high ground by car. 1. 2. 3. All villages have Pulenuu Pulenuu receive regular emergency response training 1. All Pulenuu and schools were assigned NWRs Meteorologist in charge 1. Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper 2. 2. Most agencies outside the EOB don’t have evacuation plans. Many EOB employees did not exit as instructed in the evacuation plan, and many drove to the tramway. The tramway is an evacuation site, and this created congestion and conflicts between pedestrians (students) and motorists. A disconnect exists between ASDHS and OSA regarding Pulenuu training Not all Pulenuu have or know how to use NOAA Weather Radios or know what type of response equipment and supplies they should have at the ready. Response from the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center comes too late (warning sent 7:04, tsunami estimated to arrive 6:59) WSO experienced difficulty activating the EAS due to congestion of American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 22 Source Pros EAS gave a verbal warning to ASDHS to activate the EAS 1. EAS can be an effective way to transmit national and territorial messages Cons telephone lines; UHF radio was the only way to communicate between WSO and ASDHS 3. Tula, Afono, and Fagasa did not have good NWR reception 1. 2. DOE 3. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. DOE requires schools to establish and practice evacuation plans at least quarterly. Students were generally aware and educated about evacuation plans. Faculty and staff generally understand roles/responsibilities. Individuals involved in response generally were concerned with protocol and following a clear chain of command, with the ability to make decisions independently. Individuals showed resourcefulness in helping to evacuate special needs students and others. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. EOC/ASDHS did not have access to the EAS and had to rely on UHF and NWR A delay was experienced in determining which agency should take the lead in telephone line installation to link all concerned parties to the EAS. Official warning from the PTWC came after the first wave Several elementary schools were located in tsunami hazard areas. Most elementary schools interviewed are located at sea level and over 50% of schools interviewed are less than 100 yards from the shoreline. Schools stated need to revise evacuation/emergency plans. Seven schools interviewed stated their evacuation routes were unsafe or indirect. a. Coleman Elementary and Matafao Elementary experienced particular difficulty with their evacuation route due to roadway crossings and unyielding motorists. b. Mt. Alava (Vatia) and Le’atele’s students are evacuated towards the ocean for some distance before continuing to higher ground. In some cases, students, staff, and faculty were forced to evacuate by someone other than a school official because administrators did not receive an alert through the EAS. Contingency measures for evacuation protocol did not exist for situations where guidance from the EAS was not received. Plans did not exist for evacuating individuals with special needs. Student drop off time was unregulated resulting in no supervision, or someone to lead an evacuation, before school hours. Some teachers lack hazard training and education due to short time in position. Phone and radio communications are limited: Eastern District has little or no radio or cell phone coverage; Le’atele (Fagasa) Elementary has no emergency phone line. Many issues raised in the PTRTF report can be addressed through EOP development and training. Formally documented evacuation plans were not made available to the planning team. Through consultation, secondary sources, and because of the evacuation training undertaken by TEMCO at schools, government agencies, and for Pulenuu, it is clear that at least conceptual plans do exist and were largely successful during the 2009 SPT. Recommendations for EOP development and training will be discussed in the Governance working paper. More specific evacuation and sheltering issues are addressed herein. Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 23 Evacuation Planning in American Samoa Evacuation maps for all communities threatened by tsunami hazard zones in American Samoa are not yet available. Evacuation procedures and routes are being addressed through evacuation planning currently in progress by TEMCO with support from the Department of Commerce (DOC) and National Park Service (NPS). Reportedly, evacuation mapping is complete for Maoputasi County with village level maps available for Pago Pago, Fagatogo, and Utulei. Examples of these maps are shown in Figures 12 and 13. Figure 12: Evacuation Map for Maoputasi County Source: DOC, 2011 Large scale overview maps provide a quick look at hazardous areas over a greater distance and can help people easily see if they are located in an evacuation zone. This first level of awareness is critical to risk knowledge and being able to identify several safety zones throughout the area so evacuation can be undertaken effectively throughout the day. Large scale maps identify locations to evacuate to or Assembly Areas (AAs), but they don’t stand out on the map and cannot be easily identified. Capacity analysis of AAs should be undertaken to consider the populations that can be expected to utilize evacuation sites in the event of an evacuation during the night (residential) and during the day (labor force). Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 24 Figure 13: Evacuation Map for Pago Pago Village Source: DOC, 2011 Smaller scale maps are needed to show evacuation routes and site specific safety zones, as shown in Figure 13. This example village level evacuation map shows the determined safe evacuation area (to the 50 foot/15 meter elevation line), the inundation extents of the 2009 SPT (not available for all tsunami hazard zones), location specific routes that should be followed, and critical facilities/infrastructure. Village scale evacuation maps identify AAs, but they don’t stand out on the map and cannot be easily identified. The need for vertical evacuation structures should be investigated where there are great distances between population segments and safety zones. The NTHMP notes that tsunami evacuation maps need to be widely distributed to raise awareness and instill effective response behavior so individuals know how to react when a tsunami strikes. “The evacuation maps include the area at risk, the evacuation routes and the safety zones, as well as the evacuation sites. Consideration can also be given to using tall buildings for vertical evacuation.” (NTHMP, 2010) NTHMP is developing guidelines for evacuation map development and criteria for defining the evacuation routes, evacuation sites, vertical evacuation exercises, guidelines for inundation maps that help develop the evacuation maps, and guidelines for the approval and distribution of evacuation maps. The Warning & Evacuation working paper was composed after TAC #2 (28 September, 2011) in which TAC members identified evacuation routes as one of the highest priorities along with tsunami inundation modeling. Problems encountered with evacuation routes during the 2009 SPT include primary road way crossing by students, individuals evacuating to areas also heavily Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 25 utilized by automobiles, blockages to evacuation such as mangroves, rivers, or fenced in areas, impassible evacuation routes (footpaths), inadequate signage for and awareness of evacuation routes, and traffic congestion. Conflicts between pedestrians and automobiles should be reduced as much as possible. As evacuation routes are developed for each community the following should be investigated: 1. Do all individuals have ready access to evacuation maps? 2. Does adequate signage exist for evacuation routes and is the directional information clear? 3. Do blockages to evacuation exist in the most direct route from each house to the nearest evacuation route (e.g. mangrove, river, livestock pen, other)? 4. Are the path or roadway conditions adequate for pedestrian or vehicle passage? 5. Do chains, fences or other blockages prevent access at any time? 6. Do evacuation routes exist that can be accessed by vehicles assisting children or disabled individuals where needed? 7. Is roadway capacity adequate between areas with high residential or labor force populations and safe zones? Village level planning for evacuation procedures should clearly identify and provide signage for routes, destinations, and communication lines between shelters (with lateral transportation connections for responders [possibly to reconnect families]). Evacuation planning should consider transportation for the disabled to include individuals with mobility, visual, hearing, speech, and cognitive impairments. FEMA Developing and Maintaining Emergency Operations Plans, Comprehensive Preparedness Guide (FEMA CPG 101, 2010) offers detailed lists of considerations that should be addressed during evacuation planning. The following list highlights some considerations for Evacuation Support: 1. Does the plan identify the agency that has the lead role in coordinating an evacuation and ensuring children (and those with limited mobility) are incorporated into all evacuation considerations and planning? 2. Does the plan identify accessible transportation resources (including paratransit service vehicles, school buses, municipal surface transit vehicles, drivers, and/or trained attendants) that can provide needed services during an evacuation? 3. Does the plan include mechanisms or processes for providing safe evacuation/ transportation assistance to unaccompanied minors and limited mobility individuals? 4. Does the plan include affirmative recognition of the need to keep [children and adults] with disabilities with their support systems, mobility devices, other durable medical equipment, and/or service animals during an evacuation? 5. Does the plan identify means and methods by which evacuation transportation requests from individuals with disabilities and others with access and functional needs are collected, consolidated, tracked, and monitored as they are fulfilled? 6. Does the plan include mechanisms or processes for tracking children, especially unaccompanied minors, during an evacuation? 7. Does the plan address re-entry? (FEMA CPG 101, 2010) Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 26 The Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries (DOGAMI) has made great strides in preparing Oregon’s coastal communities for a local tsunami that could be generated by a large earthquake at the Cascadia Fault (similar to tsunami threats in American Samoa from the Tonga Tranch) and offer guidance on the development of evacuation routes, installation of signage, and the development of evacuation shelters. DOGAMI officials Chris Heathman and Yumei Wang offered guidance to the Oregon State University: Hatfield Marine Science Center for preparing an earthquake and tsunami pre-disaster mitigation plan in Earthquake and Tsunami Pre-Disaster Mitigation: Preliminary Recommendations (Heathman & Wang, 2005). This report offers important considerations in locating evacuation sites and shelters and preparing good evacuation routes and signage and is the basis for the following points on Assembly Area development (Adapted from Heathman & Wang, 2005): x It should be determined during evacuation planning that the gathering location has sufficient space to be comfortable for an extended period of time (>24 hours). x If the gathering place is located on someone else’s property, the owners should be notified ahead of time if the location will be used (e.g. for evacuation drills or distant tsunamis). x If a tsunami structure (e.g. tower) is constructed for additional safety, it should be able to accommodate the projected number of evacuees. Evacuation drills may help determine potential occupancy and other problems ahead of time. x Should consider roadways or pedestrian routes that may be blocked or unusable during an earthquake, (e.g. electrical lines that may be down). x Should consider proximity to gas storage tanks and lines that may be ruptured and burning and other hazardous materials. x Should consider the feasibility to deliver emergency supplies to the area and the availability of potable water sources. x Local community evacuation strategies should be developed through coordination with local agencies and businesses. x If the development of a long-term evacuation shelter is needed, then the ability of cost sharing amongst stakeholders should be pursued. x The evacuation route should be properly identified with standard signage. Guidance should be sought through the local Department of Transportation, local government agencies, and neighbors. x If possible, any roadways or paths identified as unusable during the hazard identification process should not be considered as part of the evacuation route. x Walking traffic should be able to easily utilize the route without causing significant traffic delays. Evacuation drills will be beneficial to determine potential problems with the chosen route(s). x Site-specific studies can help determine if roads, or access to the roads, are likely to be damaged during a large magnitude earthquake. Known and easily accessible safety zones (shelters, AAs) are a critical component in tsunami evacuations. The 2009 SPT caused total destruction or major damage to 538 homes. Having adequate shelters in safe locations are also critical to provide a place where people can feel safe, get rest, and take meals until other arrangements can be made. Through consultation, the Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 27 planning team learned that evacuation during the 2009 SPT resulted in large groups amassing in highland villages for up to three days, exhausting local resources and overwhelming facilities. This underscores the need for more comprehensive and coordinated evacuation planning and public awareness initiatives. Review of current DOC GIS data shows that there are 28 church shelters and 12 school shelters on Tutuila. The Land Use & Structural Design working paper identified seven of these located in areas that were heavily impacted by the 2009 SPT. Complete damage records and inundation lines were not available for all villages, but evidence suggests that damage was experienced in VE as well as AE flood zones (see Land Use & Structural Design working paper). Table 3 shows the number of shelters that are located in potentially vulnerable locations. Table 3: Shelters Located in Potentially Vulnerable Areas School Shelters in Church Shelters in areas impacted by areas impacted by the 2009 SPT the 2009 SPT 1. Masefau 1. Afono 2. Nua 2. Alao 3. Amanave 4. Fagasa 5. Tula School Shelters in potentially vulnerable areas 1. Aua 2. Fagaitua Church Shelters in potentially vulnerable areas 1. Amouli 2. Aoa 3. Auasi 4. Auto 5. Fagaalu 6. Fagamalo 7. Masausi 8. Nuuuli 9. Onenoa 10. Sailele 11. Utumea East 12. Vatia Over 50% of shelters may be located in vulnerable areas. The shelters in Table 3 are mainly located in the AE flood zone. Only four villages are known by the planning team to have suffered heavy damage in the AE zones, but these areas are potentially vulnerable to tsunami impacts. The findings in Table 3 indicate that more than 50% of church and school shelters are located in potentially vulnerable areas. An assessment of the capacity and accessibility of shelters outside of evacuation areas or possible inundations zones and the number of people in nearby villages that are to utilize these shelters is needed to identify areas that require safer or more accessible evacuation possibilities. Where sheltering facilities are inadequate, areas suitable for shelter development should be identified. These shelters could also be used for emergency sheltering during hurricanes and could be used as community centers or other public uses when not needed for emergencies. FEMA document 361, Design and Construction Guidance for Community Safe Rooms (FEMA 361, 2008), identifies criteria for developing shelters. The primary focus of FEMA 361 is to protect individuals and communities from tornado and hurricane risks. The feasibility for pursuing shelter development should be investigated further. FEMA provides examples of projects accepted or completed on the Public Safe Room Initiatives webpage. (FEMA, 2010) These shelters can be funded on a cost-share basis through FEMA programs and examples of this Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 28 are given on FEMA’s Safe Room Funding webpage. (FEMA, 2010) One possible source of funding is the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP). “HMGP funds may be used to fund projects that will reduce or eliminate the losses from future disasters. Projects must provide a long-term solution to a problem, for example, elevation of a home to reduce the risk of flood damages as opposed to buying sandbags and pumps to fight the flood. In addition, a project's potential savings must be more than the cost of implementing the project. Funds may be used to protect either public or private property or to purchase property that has been subjected to, or is in danger of, repetitive damage. Examples of HMGP funded projects include, but are not limited to: x Acquisition of real property from willing sellers and demolition or relocation of buildings to convert the property to open space use x Retrofitting structures and facilities to minimize damages from high winds, earthquake, flood, wildfire, or other natural hazards x Elevation of flood prone structures x Development and initial implementation of vegetative management programs x Minor flood control projects that do not duplicate the flood prevention activities of other Federal agencies x Localized flood control projects, such as certain ring levees and floodwall systems, that are designed specifically to protect critical facilities x Post-disaster building code related activities that support building code officials during the reconstruction process” (FEMA, 2010) FEMA document, Developing and Maintaining Emergency Operations Plans, Comprehensive Preparedness Guide (FEMA CPG 101), offers detailed lists of consideration that should be addressed during emergency shelter planning. The following list highlights a few of these considerations for shelter operations (FEMA CPG 101, 2010): 1. Does the plan include mechanisms or processes for handling of and providing for unaccompanied minors in shelters? 2. Does the plan include mechanisms or processes for ensuring that general population shelters are accessible and have planned to fully address the physical, programmatic, and communications accessibility requirements of individuals with disabilities and others with access and functional needs? 3. Does the plan include mechanisms or processes for ensuring Americans with Disabilities Act Accessibility Guidelines govern the shelter site selection and operation? 4. Does the plan address necessary staff, medicines, durable medical equipment, and supplies that would be needed during an emergency for individuals with disabilities and others with access and functional needs? 5. Does the plan identify the agency responsible for coordinating shelter operations? 6. Does the plan provide for the care and maintenance of each facility while in use as a shelter? Sheltering should not only account for the adequate provision of shelter, but should also consider potable water, a sufficient number of restrooms for the anticipated number of users, security, and accommodating pets. Once determined, the locations of public emergency shelters should be published in resources everyone has access to such as phonebooks, informational brochures, Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 29 website information, or other locally relevant sources. One common oversight in an emergency situation is that officials neglect to open the emergency shelter during an evacuation. Planning for evacuation procedures should include protocol for an official to check shelters to ensure evacuees can make use of the facilities. As a contingency measure, it is advisable to have a number posted that people can call if they cannot access a shelter. Schools It is very important to note that, in the case of a local tsunami, schools outside of the evacuation zone should not allow students to leave the school premises. School officials should have all staff and students shelter in place. All students should be accounted for so families can confirm the safety of their children. Since 2009, evacuation planning and awareness on procedures has improved at schools through outreach efforts. One example evacuation and sheltering plan for tsunami developed by Leone Midkiff Elementary is shown in Figure 14. Figure 14: Example Evacuation and Shelter Plan for Leone Midkiff Source: Leone Midkiff, 2010 Evacuation plan development has reportedly been undertaken by every school in American Samoa. The Leone Midkiff tsunami evacuation plan (Figure 14) is the only one available on the American Samoa Department of Education website and the only one identified by the planning team. The Leone Midkiff tsunami evacuation plan identifies routes for vertical evacuation. Even though this school is outside of the tsunami evacuation zone they presumably elected to plan for vertical evacuation as an additional precautionary measure. This is an important concept to consider in areas with limited possibilities for evacuation but with building tall and strong Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 30 enough to withstand tsunami forces. Buildings developed with intended purpose to be used as a tsunami evacuation site are referred to as Tsunami Evacuation Buildings (TEBs). Vertical Evacuation Planning TEBs have been investigated in the Pacific North West’s Cascadia region in anticipation of a major earthquake and tsunami from the Cascadia Fault. DOGAMI has undertaken research into how to design and locate TEBs. In A preliminary white paper on Tsunami Evacuation Buildings: A New Risk Management Approach to Cascadia Earthquakes and Tsunamis (Raskin et al., 2009), DOGAMI personnel and other authors discuss the need for TEB as new approach to risk management. The concept is based on the strategies discussed in FEMA P646, Guidelines for Design of Structures for Vertical Evacuation from Tsunamis (FEMA-646A, 2009), and looks at how this conceptual approach would work for rebuilding the Cannon Beach City Hall as a TEB. “Preliminary design, technical and social issues are considered, including tsunami dissipater to deflect wave energy away from the TEB and geotechnical and structural design to survive a magnitude 9 earthquake and near field tsunami.” This document does not determine tsunami evacuation scenarios, foundation conditions, or funding challenges (Raskin et al., 2009). The FEMA document, Vertical Evacuation from Tsunamis (FEMA P646A, 2008), notes that for complete coverage of the population, the following questions must be considered (FEMA-646A, 2008): Figure 15: Vertical Evacuation Planning x How many people need vertical evacuation? x What is the capacity of the vertical evacuation structures? x What is the topography of the community? x How far apart will the vertical evacuation structures be? x How much space is needed for each occupant within the refuge? FEMA P646 provides guidance on spacing and sizing of vertical evacuation structures. The circles indicate reasonable walking distance. Answers to the population coverage questions can help determine the appropriate number and location of vertical evacuation structures needed. Source: FEMA P646, 2008 Examples of vertical evacuation structures are offered in the Land Use & Structural Design paper. Figure 15 an example analysis for locating vertical evacuation structures in a coastal community. In considering evacuation possibilities in densely populated coastal areas it is important to note the need for evacuation plans at hotels and other tourist focused facilities. Appendix C of the Pacific Island Tsunami Resilience Planning Guide, offers guidance on such planning in the Tsunami Preparedness Guide for Oregon Lodging Facilities (DOGAMI, 2003). Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 31 Communications Regional communications systems are often problematic during emergencies regardless of location. Communications refers to the ability of responding agencies to exchange information in order to take appropriate action, the ability of those with leadership roles during emergencies to make the general public (especially visitors or migrants) aware of what is happening and what they should do, and the ability of family members to make sure other members are safe or learn more about what is happening. The ability of responding agencies to exchange information and respond is covered in the discussion on the EAS. Providing leadership to the general public during evacuation and wider scale communication are separate issues. Hawaii was noted in Planning magazine as providing good leadership during a tsunami evacuation in March 2011, by effectively providing information to visitors on a large scale (Stromberg, 2011). This comment was made in reference to the mobile group of information providers established by the Waikiki Business Improvement District Association known as the Aloha Ambassadors. The development and sustainment of such a group is only feasible in an area densely populated with tourists that provided adequate revenue to support this service. Regardless, the concept and function could be recreated during emergencies by volunteer responders. Due to the limited capacity of telecommunications utilities in American Samoa, it is common that phone lines become overwhelmed during emergency situations. This is problematic for emergency responders and concerned families. Local radio stations play a major role in keeping the public informed during emergencies and can also help responders communicate. During response efforts for the 2009 SPT, responders used the National Communication System’s (NCS) “SHAred RESources High Frequency Radio Program to contact an amateur radio operator on [Tutuila], who passed information on to other emergency responders” (NCS, 2009). NCS also “successfully used the Government Emergency Telecommunications Service (GETS) to contact local carriers and the local broadcast station responsible for Emergency Alert System capabilities to help coordinate the deployment of generators and fuel until commercial power was restored” (NCS, 2009). In Telecommunications Infrastructure in Disasters: Preparing Cities for Crisis Communications, Townsend & Moss note that the U.S. DHS has recognized amateur radio operators as the first of first responders “yet there are no programs or funding sources dedicated to modernizing the services provided by hams in disaster response efforts.” (Townsend & Moss, 2005). Townsend & Moss extend the question, “How can the amateur radio emergency service link to the growing hobbyist and community network movement around unlicensed wireless technologies such as Wi-Fi, which offer much great data transmission capabilities?” Even though this question was raised over six years ago, the notion is still relevant. There are several internet based media possibilities that could be used to deliver information. In the case of voice and electronic communication, capacity enhancements are needed. The possibility for funding telecommunication enhancements through public and private sources should be pursued. Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 32 1.5 1.5.1 Synthesis and Analysis Successes Despite problems encountered with the warning system during the 2009 SPT, warning dissemination and evacuation was successful largely due to the training key people received on tsunami risk and emergency protocol and the initiative they took to act appropriately. The vast majority of residents recognized the natural warnings and evacuated safely due to the training and education efforts provided to Pulenuu, schools, and responding officials by TEMCO and ITIC. The recognition of natural warning signs and decisions to evacuate were bolstered by the use of village bells and bullhorns by Pulenuu to signal evacuation. This practice is a tried and proven low-tech fail-safe method that saves lives and should continue to be considered a primary emergency alert system. Studies have shown that, in general, people need to receive a warning or notice to evacuate from two sources of information to confirm their decision to evacuate. The village bells offer a primary, or at least secondary, source and can instill a greater level of confidence because the person delivering the message is known and trusted. School officials and responding agencies took the appropriate actions needed to get people to safety and provide basic needs. Since the 2009 SPT, warning sirens have been installed and tested—completion pending the installation of two sirens on Ofu and Aunu’u. Many agencies and organizations have taken steps to improve EOPs. DOE and other agencies have streamlined policies on who declares an emergency and has delegated this responsibility to individual school administrators. (PTRTF, 2009) Public outreach was highly effective, and is widely recognized as the single most important action that can be undertaken to reduce disaster related losses. These activities require education on risks, warning signs, and the appropriate actions that should be taken. The foundation for the instruction is emergency operations and evacuation planning. Practicing the procedures that are detailed in the plans is the best way to identify and fix shortfalls in the plans and to ensure that the procedures are known by relevant persons. A tsunami warning was issued in March of 2009, and EOPs were largely ineffective because they had not been adequately vetted, taught, or practiced. It was fortunate that this situation occurred because it gave response personnel a chance to improve practices before the arrival of the tsunami in September. This situation underscores the need to practice and revise EOPs regularly. Incorporating hazard risk and emergency procedure education throughout grade school will help sustain natural hazard risk reduction efforts over time. 1.5.2 Target Areas for Improvement Based on the review of issues related to Warning & Evacuation, the most important action that should be undertaken is the documentation, coordination and training of EOPs for all agencies and organizations involved in tsunami warning and response. Such efforts should also incorporate the tracking of EOP development, review, coordinating tabletop exercises to practice Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 33 and test procedures, and coordination of EOP revisions. This effort would require a full time position and is likely best to be taken on by TEMCO. Presently TEMCO does not have available staff that can take on these responsibilities. A new position is needed to oversee EOP and evacuation plan development and training. EOP training should be delivered immediately to all new personnel assigned to positions that may require them to lead emergency evacuation procedures. This should include OSA, Pulenuu, school officials and teachers, and relevant agency officials. This should also occur with any major change in ASG administration such as after an election. All Pulenuu and teachers should have NWRs. Pulenuu should also be equipped with emergency equipment (e.g. bullhorns). Equipment standards should be determined by the TEMCO in cooperation with OSA, Pulenuu, and DPS officials. Education at schools has been highly effective and it is recommended that tsunami risk awareness education be incorporated in the regular public school curriculum to assist in the sustainment of tsunami risk awareness and risk reduction efforts. The Alaska Tsunami Education Program (ATEP) provides an example of how to incorporate traditional knowledge and science instruction with “hands-on, standard-aligned classroom lessons, interactive multimedia, and mapping projects for grades K through 12.” (ATEP, 2011) The development of this program was funded by the U.S. Department of Education. A similar program could be considered for American Samoa. The PTRTF stated that evacuation drilling was not strictly enforced. Evacuation drilling should be planned for and executed regularly so staff and students are well aware of procedures. The PTRTF also noted that some schools experienced problems with evacuation routes during the 2009 SPT including: Matafao Elementary, Coleman Elementary, Tafuna High School, Mt. Alava, Le’atele, and Leone High School. School evacuation plans and safety zones should be reevaluated and revised as needed to address some of the problems encountered during the 2009 SPT including the safety of the evacuation sites and routes, acceptability of the evacuation site location, highway crossings or other conflicts between pedestrians and vehicles, or other potential problems. If highway crossings are necessary, they should have crossing signs and be publicized as evacuation routes so drivers are aware that pedestrians (students) may be crossing the roadway. Police officers should be deployed to these locations to ensure safety. Evacuation drills should be required regularly at all private institutions and encouraged at commercial enterprises, especially hotels. The PTRTF notes that student drop-off time was unregulated. In tsunami evacuation zones, at least, there should be an established time that students can be dropped off with the provision that a school official, with EOP training, be present. Programmatic transportation possibilities should exist at all schools with special needs students during any hours the students may be present. NPS is working with villages, TEMCO, and DOC on the development of evacuation routes. In some cases evacuation routes are inaccessible, impassible, or nonexistent. The overall strategy for determining the sufficient number and location of evacuation routes, where footpaths are needed in addition to existing roadways, is unknown to the planning team, although both NPS and TEMCO staff indicated that they are working on the coordination of this effort. NPS is providing their trail crews to work with the villages to map out these evacuation routes. An analysis of day and nighttime populations should be undertaken to determine the numbers and Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 34 locations or large populations that will need to evacuate to ensure that evacuation routes are adequate. When footpath development is needed, new and existing routes should be inventoried and responsibility for maintaining and overseeing the maintenance of these trails should be clearly assigned. While NPS trail crews are able to assist in the development of these foot paths, their maintenance should rest with the village. A traffic study is also needed, accounting for day and night populations separately, to identify critical points where roadway improvements might be warranted. The recommendation for a traffic study does not discredit the guidance that people should evacuate by foot, not by automobile, but evacuation planning must consider the possibility that many cars will be on the road when evacuation is necessary. Reducing the interference and potential conflicts between cars and pedestrians is an important consideration. The PTRTF report also notes that phone and radio communications are limited in the Eastern District and Le‘atele Elementary had no emergency phone line at the time of the 2009 SPT. Increasing telecommunications capacity is strongly recommended. Regarding the tsunami warning process, PTWC is aiming for a two to three minute turnaround time for earthquake assessment and warning dissemination when local tsunamis may occur. The feasibility of increasing telecommunications capacity, increasing radio coverage, and using text messaging or internet based applications to help disseminate early warnings should be pursued. The availability and adequacy of evacuation sites and shelters should be investigated. A mapping exercise between OSA and the Pulenuu and TEMCO staff could help uncover where large populations are and where they are likely to go at different times of the day when evacuation is needed. Sites for new shelters should be identified in areas where the location or capacity of shelters is inadequate. Where existing shelters are suitable, the availability and development of adequate restroom facilities should be considered. Federal funding sources may be available for shelter development and should be pursued in this investigation. Table 4: Summary of Challenges and Recommendations Challenge Recommendation Inadequate EOP development, training, Create an EOP coordinator position to ensure EOP development, and awareness between agencies. review, training, and revision. Confusion about evacuation procedures Regulate EOP development and enforce evacuation drills at public and responsibilities. institutions and encourage evacuation drills at vulnerable commercial enterprises (e.g. hotels). Tsunami risk awareness throughout the Develop a DOE tsunami risk awareness program and incorporate into general population. the K-12 public school curriculum. Safety of schools evacuation routes. School evacuation plans and safety zones should be reevaluated and revised as needed. Improve unsafe evacuation routes at: 1. Matafao Elementary 2. Coleman Elementary 3. Tafuna High 4. Mt. Alava Elementary 5. Le’atele Elementary 6. Leone High Transporting special needs students. Program transportation possibilities for special needs students. Unsupervised students at schools. Regulate earliest drop of time and assign an EOP trained staff member Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 35 Challenge Unavailable or inadequate evacuation routes. Roadway congestion during evacuation. Evacuating special needs populations. Adequacy of existing shelters or assembly areas (AAs). Restrooms at major designated AAs Telecommunication systems overwhelmed during emergencies. Inadequate radio coverage in eastern villages Rapid warning transmission to a large audience. Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper Recommendation to be present. Undertake adequacy analysis of evacuation routes. Inventory routes and assign responsibility for trail maintenance. A traffic study should be done to identify areas where roadway improvements might be warranted to improve evacuations. Office of Protection Advocacy for Disabled could develop registries to help responders assist or evacuate individuals with special needs faster An assessment of the capacity and accessibility of shelters/AAs outside of evacuation areas or possible inundations zones should be undertaken to identify where new shelters should be developed. Informational material should be published and outreach undertaken so all populations know where to go during evacuation. Lateral pathways could be developed to connect evacuation sites and shelters. The use of federal funds for pursuing shelter development based on risks in American Samoa should be investigated further. Identify major evacuation areas and the likely number of evacuees, and build public restroom facilities at major AAs. Telecommunications capacity should be increased. Identification of public and private funding sources is needed. An in depth analysis of existing radio coverage and coverage improvement possibilities is needed to determine effective solutions for addressing warning communication deficiencies. The feasibility of using text messaging or internet based applications to help disseminate early warnings should be pursued. American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 36 1.5.3 Implementation Plan Implications The following table provides scopes and preliminary priority rankings for follow-on projects. The final report may refine or reprioritize the project list. Table 5: Implementation Plan Scopes, Priority, ROM, Timeline Scope EOP coordinator position: regulate EOP development, exercises, and revision Develop DOE tsunami education program Regulate school evacuation planning and drills Improve unsafe evacuation routes at: 1. Matafao Elementary 2. Coleman Elementary 3. Tafuna High 4. Mt. Alava Elementary 5. Le’atele Elementary 6. Leone High Inventory evacuation routes, and assign maintenance responsibility. Traffic study for roadway evacuation improvements. Emergency shelter location and capacity assessment. Build restroom facilities at major designated AAs Radio coverage analysis for warning communication improvements Identify funding sources for telecommunications capacity improvements. Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper Priority (High/Med/Low) ROM Timeline High TBD TBD Med TBD TBD High TBD TBD High TBD TBD Med TBD TBD Med TBD TBD High TBD TBD High TBD TBD TBD TBD High High American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 37 RESOURCES Alaska Tsunami Education Program (ATEP). (2011, July). Welcome. Retrieved October 17, 2011, from Alaska Tsunami Education Program: http://www.aktsunami.com/ American Samoa Department of Homeland Security (ASDHS). (2010). Territorial Emergency Operations Plan. Pago Pago: American Samoa Department of Homeland Security. American Samoa Post-Tsunami Review Task Force (PTRTF). (2009). Post-Tsunami Review Task Force Report. Pago Pago: Office of the Governor. Department of Commerce (DOC). (2011). GIS Users Group, GIS Layers: Critical Facilities, Elevation, and Flood Zones. Retrieved October 19, 2011, from Department of Commerce: http://gis.doc.as/ Department of Geology and Mineral Industries (DOGAMI ). (2003, October 17). 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Gelfenbaum, M.L. Buckley, S. Watt, A. Apotsos, A.W. Stevens, and B.M. Richmond. (2010, February 18). The Limit of Inundation of the September 29, 2009, Tsunami on Tutuila, American Samoa. Retrieved October 19, 2011, from U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2010-1018: http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2010/1018/ Kong, L., B. Yanagi. (2010, August 3). Domestic Travel Trip Report. American Samoa, April 26-30, May 24-27 and June 14-15, 2010. Honolulu, Hawaii: International Tsunami Information Centre (ITIC). Kong, L., C. McCreery. (2009, July 27). Foreign and Domestic Travel Report. American Samoa, June28 - July 2, 2009. Honolulu, Hawaii: International Tsunami Information Centre (ITIC) and Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC). Leone Midkiff. (2010). Evacuation plan for Tsunami Leone Midkiff SY 2010-11. Retrieved October 15, 2011, from American Samoa Department of Education : http://www.doe.as/ourpages/auto/2010/12/2/54537199/evacuation%20plan%20mapTsunami%20 _2_.pdf Meinig, C., S.E. Stalin, A.I. Nakamura, F. González, H.B. Millburn. (N.D.). Technology Developments in Real-Time Tsunami Measuring, Monitoring and Forecasting. Retrieved October 7, 2011, from NOAA Center for Tsunami Research: http://nctr.pmel.noaa.gov/Dart/Pdf/mein2836_final.pdf National Communications System (NCS). (2009). Fiscal Year 2009 Report. Retrieved September 29, 2011, from National Communications System: http://www.ncs.gov/library/reports/ncs_fy2009.pdf National Communications System (NCS). (2009). Fiscal Year 2009 Report. Retrieved October 17, 2011, from National Communications System: http://www.ncs.gov/library/reports/ncs_fy2009.pdf National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). (2011, July 27). Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunamis (DART) Description. Retrieved October 4, 2011, from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/dart/dart.shtml National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). (2011, April 20). Real-Time DART Data (NDBC). Retrieved October 3, 2011, from NOAA National Data Buoy Center: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/dart.shtml National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). (2011, September 30). Real-Time DART Data; Staiton 51426. Retrieved October 5, 2011, from NOAA National Data Buoy Center: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=51426 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). (2011, September 30). Real-Time DART Data; Station 51425. Retrieved October 5, 2011, from NOAA National Data Buoy Center: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=51425 Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 40 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). (N.D.). The Tsunami Warning System – How Does It Work? Retrieved October 6, 2011, from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Tsunami: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sew/TheTsunamiWarningSystem.pdf National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program (NTHMP). (2010, June 21). National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program 2009-2013 Stategic plan. Retrieved October 12, 2011, from National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program: nthmp.tsunami.gov/documents/NTHMPStrategicPlanvf062110.doc National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program, NTHMP. (2011, March 23). Exercise PACIFEX 11 Participant Handbook. Retrieved September 30, 2011, from National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program, Warning Coordination Subcommittee: http://nthmp.tsunami.gov/documents/PACIFEX11Final.pdf National Weather Service (NWS). (2004, November). Tsunami Warning System in the Pacific. Retrieved October 4, 2011, from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/brochures/twsp_brochure_jan05.pdf Oregon Coastal Atlas. (N.D.). Tsunami hazards. Retrieved October 12, 2011, from Oregon Coastal Atlas: http://www.coastalatlas.net/index.php?Itemid=9&id=13&option=com_content&task=view Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) . (2011, October 14). Message pacific.TIBPAC.2011.10.14.0342. Retrieved October 15, 2011, from Pacific Tsunami Warning Cente: http://ptwc.weather.gov/ptwc/?region=1&id=pacific.TIBPAC.2011.10.14.0342&msg Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC). (2009, November 25). Frequently Asked Questions. Retrieved July 28, 2011, from Pacific Tsunami Warning Center: http://ptwc.weather.gov/ptwc/faq.php Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC). (2009, November 25). PTWC History. Retrieved October 4, 2011, from Pacific Tsunami Warning Center: http://ptwc.weather.gov/ptwc/history.php Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC). (2009, November 25). PTWC Responsibilities. Retrieved October 4, 2011, from Pacific Tsunami Warning Center: http://ptwc.weather.gov/ptwc/responsibilities.php Raskin, J., Y. Wang, M.M. Boyer, T. Fiez, J. Moncada, K. Yu, and H. Yeh. (2009, March 20). Preliminary White Paper on Tsunami Evacuation Buildings (TEBs): A New Risk Management Approach to Cascadia Earthquakes and Tsunamis. Retrieved October 10, 2011, from The Geological Society of America : http://www.geosociety.org/news/pr/0910_CBTEB.pdf ReliefWeb. (2009, December 9). American Samoa: Gov. Togiola said Homeland Security making positive progress in disaster education. Retrieved October 7, 2011, from ReliefWeb: http://reliefweb.int/node/337050 Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Page 41 Samoa News. (2011, October 15). Wave of panic sweeps over the territory following tsunami warning. Retrieved October 15, 2011, from Samoa News: http://www.samoanewsonline.com/publicviewstory.php?storyid=4755&newspaperid=189 ScienceDaily. (2009, November 11). Community Education And Evacuation Planning Saved Lives In Sept. Retrieved October 13, 2011, from ScienceDaily: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/11/091105092611.htm Stromberg, M. (2011, May/June). News: "We Have a lot to Learn," Experts Say. Planning Magazine, p. 5. Townsend, A.M. & M.L. Moss. (2005, April). Telecommunications Infrastructure in Disasters: Preparing Cities for Crisis Communications. Retrieved October 17, 2011, from New York University Publication Archive: http://www.nyu.edu/ccpr/pubs/NYU-DisasterCommunications1Final.pdf United States 109th Congress. (2006). H.R. 1674: Tsunami Warning and Education Act. Retrieved October 10, 2011, from govtrack.us: http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=h109-1674 United States Geological Survey (USGS). (2011, March 14). Global Seismographic Network. Retrieved October 4, 2011, from United States Geological Survey, Earthquake Hazards Program: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/monitoring/gsn/ Weather Service Office, Pago Pago (WSO). (2011). Tsunami Warning System Workshop. Tafuna: The National Weather Service, Weather Service Office, Pago Pago. Weather Service Office, Pago Pago (WSO). (2011). WSO Pago Pago Home Page. Retrieved October 4, 2011, from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service, Weather Service Office, Pago Pago, American Samoa: http://www.prh.noaa.gov/samoa/ Western States Seismic Policy Council (WSSPC). (2011). Tsunami Hazard Mitigation and Preparedness, A Perspective from State and Territory Tsunami Programs in the High Tsunami Risk Pacific Region. Retrieved October 19, 2011, from Western States Seismic Policy Council: http://www.wsspc.org/Reports/WSSPC_Report_2011-01.pdf Warning & Evacuation Draft Working Paper Appendix 7A Gap Analysis Table for: Warning & Evacuation 7A-1 The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) monitors seismic activity and sea level stations across the Pacific region and is the highest authority in issuing tsunami warnings. PTWC is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Weather Service (NWS). The NWS Weather Service Office (WSO) in American Samoa is the primary entry point for tsunami warnings in American Samoa and is responsible for activating the Emergency Alert System (EAS). The WSO has the authority to issue tsunami warnings if the PTWC in Hawaii cannot be reached. The WSO communicates with the American Samoa Department of Homeland Security (ASDHS)/Territorial Emergency Management Coordinating Office (TEMCO), who oversee Emergency Operations Center (EOC) operations, on warning issuance. ASDHS is responsible for sounding the sirens, but the WSO can sound the sirens if the ASDHS cannot be reached. Tsunamis are most commonly caused by seismic events, which are monitored around the globe. Through the Earthquake Hazards Program, the United States Geological Survey (USGS) uses the Global Seismographic Network (GSN) to monitor and record seismic activity (USGS, 2011). The PTWC issues regional tsunami warning to areas located near the epicenter on the basis of seismic evidence (NWS, 2004). The Tsunami Warning System in the Pacific also accesses nearly 100 water level stations throughout the Pacific to verify the generation and evaluate the severity of a tsunami. DART Buoys help confirm tsunamis and estimate arrival time of distant tsunamis across the Pacific. (IOC/ITIC, 2004) 1. What agencies are participating in the monitoring of tsunami threats? 2. What systems are used for identifying regional tsunami threats? Findings Consultation: ITIC, Kong, Laura ITIC, Yanagi, Brian PTWC, Fryer, Gerard PTWC, McCreery, Charlels PTWC, Weinstein, Stewart Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC), International Tsunami Information Centre (ITIC). (2004, November). Tsunami Warning System in the Pacific. Retrieved October 4, 2011, from National Weather Service: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/brochures/twsp_brochure_jan05.pdf National Weather Service (NWS). (2004, November). Tsunami Warning System in the Pacific. Retrieved October 4, 2011, from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/brochures/twsp_brochure_jan05.pdf United States Geological Survey (USGS). (2011, March 14). Global Seismographic Network. Retrieved October 4, 2011, from United States Geological Survey, Earthquake Hazards Program: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/monitoring/gsn/ Consultation: ASDHS/TEMCO (EOC), Brown, Jacinta ITIC, Kong, Laura ITIC, Yanagi, Brian PTWC, Fryer, Gerard PTWC, McCreery, Charlels PTWC, Weinstein, Stewart WSO, Malala, Hans Weather Service Office, Pago Pago (WSO). (2011). WSO Pago Pago Home Page. Retrieved from: http://www.prh.noaa.gov/samoa/ National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). (2011, April 20). National Data Buoy Center. Retrieved from: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/dart/dart.shtml References Appendix 8A - Gap Analysis Table for: Warning & Evacuation Evaluative Criteria American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 What systems are used for local warning and evacuation notification? a. Do alert protocols define roles and responsibilities for authorities and media participating in disseminating warning information? b. Do the warning systems include human and technological backup components to ensure warning delivery? c. c. Are warnings multi lingual? Are all aspects of the warning systems and evacuation procedures periodically tested and evaluated to identify system shortfalls? 3. 4. Evaluative Criteria 7A-2 EOP documentation, coordination, training, practicing, evaluation, and revision are not adequately undertaken presumably due to the lack of staff available to coordinate this effort. The planning team was not able to review any EOPs, other than the Terrotorial Emergency Operations Plan, and was also not able to determine which agencies had current EOPs or the existing protocol for development, training, and revision. It is recommended that a new position be developed at the TEMCO to oversee the documentation, review, training, and revisions of EOPs for all components of American Samoa’s tsunami warning system. Consultation: ASDHS, Brown, Jacinta ASG, Langford, Evelyn ITIC, Kong, Laura ITIC, Yanagi, Brian OIS, Faleafine-Nomura, Lydia TEMCO, Vinnie Atofau Consultation: ASDHS, Brown, Jacinta ITIC, Kong, Laura ITIC, Yanagi, Brian PTWC, Fryer, Gerard PTWC, McCreery, Charlels PTWC, Weinstein, Stewart WSO, Malala, Hans AS Village Chiefs Weather Service Office, Pago Pago (WSO). (2011). Tsunami Warning System Workshop. Tafuna: The National Weather Service, Weather Service Office, Pago Pago. Kong, L., B. Yanagi. (2010, August 3). Domestic Travel Trip Report. American Samoa, April 26-30, May 24-27 and June 14-15, 2010. Honolulu, Hawaii: International Tsunami Information Centre (ITIC). PTWC: http://ptwc.weather.gov/ WSO, Malala, Hans References Appendix 8A - Gap Analysis Table for: Warning & Evacuation The PTWC transmits local tsunami warnings to the WSO through six modes of communication: EMWIN, PTWC website, WCATWC website, fax, email, CISN, and the direct phone hotline. After the PTWC sends a local tsunami warning to the WSO, the WSO is then responsible for contacting the EOC to sound the warning sirens. The EOC contacts the Governor’s Office, the Department of Public Safety, Police, and the Department of Public Works to coordinate response. After contacting the EOC, the WSO initiates the EAS by contacting local radio and TV stations responsible for transmitting the warning. The warning is broadcast in English and Samoan. Telephones are primarily used, but UHF radios are used when phone lines are inoperable. Authority roles are fairly well defined, but documentation and training need to be improved. Human and technological backups do exist. The most helpful component of the tsunami warning system was the use of village and church bells to alert villages of the danger and signal evacuation. This is a model practices and should be continued and promoted. Findings American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 Signage for some tsunami hazard zones is in place, but this is not complete. Signage for evacuation routes, shelters, and safe areas is non-existent or inadequate. 8. Are hazard zones, evacuation routes, shelters, and safe areas clearly marked throughout the community with signs and/or maps? 9. Do existing tsunami evacuation routes provide adequate and traversable paths, and are there adequate and maintained assembly areas at the upper limits of the routes? 7A-3 NOAA and the University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Urban and Regional Planning (DURP), are undertaking a community resilience study that will focus first on Leone and Pago Pago. A team of DURP students and professors visited Leone and tried to identify evacuation routes. They reported that these routes were not easily recognizable and in some cases nearly impassible. Through consultation the planning team Western States Seismic Policy Council (WSSPC). (2011). Tsunami Hazard Mitigation and Preparedness, A Perspective from State and Territory Tsunami Programs in the High Tsunami Risk Pacific Region. Retrieved October 19, 2011, from Western States Seismic Policy Council: http://www.wsspc.org/Reports/WSSPC_Report_2011-01.pdf The TEMCO is developing large scale evacuation maps for the Island of Tutuila. Based on consultation and references made in informal documents it is assumed that at least conceptual plans exist for institutions or village level evacuation, but these are not well known. Businesses do not have evacuation plans and locally relevant evacuation plans are not yet publically available. The level to which evacuation planning and drilling at school is taking place is not known, but is reportedly taking place. Public outreach and training, largely undertaken by the TEMCO, has been effective in informing the public about tsunami risk. Public Service Announcements (PSA), focusing on earthquake/tsunami awareness, are broadcasted through local radio stations in seven languages: English, Samoan, Fijian, Philippine, Chinese, Korean and Tongan (WSSPC, 2011). No such plans or procedures were made available to the planning team. It is assumed that individual responsibility is taken to care for family/village members. It could be possible that the Office of Protection Advocacy for Disabled develop registries to help responders assist or evacuate elderly or disabled people faster. Outreach to migrants and tourism based businesses should be undertaken. The LBJ Hospital, EOC, and WSO have to evacuate during tsunami warnings. These facilities have reported that EOPs are in place to accommodate evacuation with manageable disturbances to operations. 5. Do established and publically available evacuation plans exist? a. Is there a need for village level planning for warning and evacuation? b. Are evacuation plans well publicized and practiced at schools and in business districts? c. Is the public well informed about tsunami risk and emergency procedures? 6. Are there existing procedures for first responders to evacuate special needs populations (e.g. elderly or disabled persons, transients: tourists, migrants)? 7. What critical facilities need to evacuate and what impact does this have on operations? Consultation: ASDHS, Atofao, Vinne ITIC, Kong, Laura ITIC, Yanagi, Brian NPS, Bone, Sarah NPS, Richards, Mike Consultation: DURP, Filibeck, Karla DURP, Foley, Dolores DURP, Minerbi, Luciano DURP, Porter, Ginger DURP, Pradhan, Pragya NPS, Bone, Sarah Consultation: ASDHS, Brown, Jacinta LBJ Hospital, Gerstenberger, Mike WSO, Malala, Hans NA Consultation: ASDHS/TEMCO, Brown, Jacinta DOC GIS, King, Mataio DOC GIS, Reynolds, Cristin DOC GIS, Sauni, Junior DOC GIS, Sevao, Mike (Kang) References Findings Appendix 8A - Gap Analysis Table for: Warning & Evacuation Evaluative Criteria American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011 10. Can shelters accommodate special needs of elderly, disabled, children, or pets? 7A-4 NPS, Richards, Mike learned that this case is similar in many tsunami hazard areas. NPS is developing and improving evacuation routes, but the planning team is not aware of any assessment of the adequacy (capacity and condition) of assembly areas. As evacuation planning moves forward, an assessment of assembly areas should be undertaken. Emergency sheltering possibilities for tsunami evacuation and temporary sheltering are inadequate based on availability of facilities reported through consultation and locations of existing shelters based on GIS analysis of critical facilities with regard to reported 2009 SPT inundation and evacuation maps currently under development. When sheltering needs and locations are identified, the ability to accommodate the needs of elderly, disabled, children, and pets should be considered during planning, design, and development. Jaffe, B. (2009, December). Surprises from the Deadly September 29, 2009, Samoa Tsunami. Retrieved October 13, 2011, from United States Geological Survey, Soundwaves Monthly Newsletter: http://soundwaves.usgs.gov/2009/12/ Department of Commerce (DOC). (2011). GIS Users Group, GIS Layers: Critical Facilities, Elevation, and Flood Zones. Retrieved October 19, 2011, from Department of Commerce: http://gis.doc.as/ References Findings Appendix 8A - Gap Analysis Table for: Warning & Evacuation Evaluative Criteria American Samoa Tsunami Study October 2011