Decline of
Transcription
Decline of
1 A Life Course Framework for Improving the Lives of Boys and Men of Color ARNOLD CHANDLER FORWARD CHANGE CONSULTING Overview Why a Focus on Boys and Men of Color (BMOC)?: A Vicious Cycle of Male Disadvantage A Life Course Framework for Improving the Lives of BMOC: Interrupting the Cycle 2 3 Why Focus on Boys and Men of Color? Why Focus on BMOC? 4 Gross disparities in particular negative outcomes: Violence victimization and offending, crime and incarceration. Males of color are showing negative or stagnant trends in key opportunity outcomes relative to females: Employment and Earnings, High school graduation, college enrollment and completion A vicious cycle of intergenerational male disadvantage: Single parent families are significantly more damaging to male educational outcomes than females. Intergenerational Cycle of Male Disadvantage since the 1970s Declining Employ and Earnings Mass Incarceration and the War on Drugs Declining Educational Attainment Growth of SingleParent Families Rise in Concentrated Disadvantage 6 Declining Employment and Earnings Demand-Side Shifts in Employment Technological Change Declining Employment and Earnings Off-shoring of middle-skill jobs and import competition (China) Decline in Unions Suburbanization of low-skilled jobs (“spatial mismatch”) Autor and Wasserman, 2013 Legal discrimination against felons Illegal Employment Discrimination in Low-Wage Jobs Declining Male Employment 8 Joblessness among Native-Born Males Ages 18-61 Heavily 1950-2010 concentrated among those who didn’t attend college 13% 8% 42% 29% 22% 12% 8% 15% 10% 6% 21% 12% 7% 14% 7% 17% 10% 24% 17% 6% 1950 1960 1970 Black 1980 Latino 1990 White 2000 2010 Winters and Hirsch, 2012 Declining Male Earnings 9 Autor and Wasserman, 2013 Declining Male Earnings… 10 Real Median Earnings 2000 and 2010 (1999 Dollars) Native Born Men Ages 18-61 $33,000 $27,729 Lower than 1950 in real terms $17,900 $17,500 $15,405 $7,702 Black Men Latino Male 2000 2010 White Male Winters and Hirsch, 2012 11 Mass Incarceration and Declining Employment and Earnings Rise of Mass Criminalization Imprisonment increased by 430 percent between 1973 and 2010 largely because of changes in policy that increased prison admissions and sentence lengths, particularly for drugs in the 1980s (Travis and Declining Employment and Earnings Western, 2014) Felony conviction and/or imprisonment reduces lifetime earnings and employment by 10-30 percent. (Travis and Western, 2014) The explosion in the market for crack cocaine in the 1980s increased withdrawal from high school and the labor force, particularly among black males. Together cocaine, heroin, marijuana and meth comprised a $109 billion industry in 2010. Mass Criminalization (RAND, 2014) 2.3 million in prisons or jails (2012) BJS Explosion in the Drug Economy in the 1980s 13 14 Lifetime Risk of Imprisonment by Age 35 for Males in 2010 (by Education Level) 68% 27% 12% All 20% 28% 21% 9% 5% H.S. Dropouts Black 6% H.S./GED Latino 7% 3% 1% College White Western and Pettit, 2010 15 Change in Lifetime Risk of Imprisonment for Male H.S. Dropouts by Age 35 (1975 vs. 2010) 68.0% 28.0% 19.6% 14.7% 4.1% Black Latino 3.8% White H.S. Dropouts that reached 30s in 1975 H.S. Dropouts that reached 30s in 2010 Western and Pettit, 2010 16 Rise of Single Parent Families Rise of Single Parent Families Declining Employ and Earnings Mass Incarceration Growth of SingleParent Families Decline of “marriageable males” Declining economic returns to marriage for women Incarceration reduced and continues to reduce male parental involvement Children Living in Single Parent Families 18 In 2012, the percentage of children living in single parent families: • 20.7 percent of white children • 31.3 percent of Latino children • 55.2 percent of black children Vespa et al 2013 19 Gender-Specific Effects of Family Disadvantage on Educational Outcomes Gender-Specific Effects of Family Disadvantage on Educational Outcomes 20 Growing up in a single-parent family: Reduces (Jacob, 2002) college attendance for boys, but not for girls [Father absence] increases juvenile delinquency among boys, but not girls (Cobb-Clark, 2011) Increases behavior problems significantly more among boys than girls (Bertrand and Pan, 2011) Gender-Specific Effects of Family Disadvantage on Educational Outcomes 21 Father’s Education Matters a Lot for Boys A father who graduates from high school reduces juvenile delinquency for boys, but not for girls (Kalb and Williams, 2003) Boys are less likely to complete college than their sisters if their father is absent or less-educated than their mother (Buchman and Diprete, 2006) Father’s Incarceration Impacts Boys More Negatively than Girls Boys are twice as likely as girls to show an increase in aggressive behavior when their fathers are incarcerated (Wakefield and Wildeman, 2013) Gender-Specific Effects of Family Disadvantage on Educational Outcomes Growing up in a low-income family: Reduces boys expectations of college graduation significantly more than girls (Jacob and Wilder, 2011) 22 Gender-Specific Effects of Family Disadvantage on Educational Outcomes Declining Education Attainment Declining Employ and Earnings Mass Incarceration Growth of SingleParent Families Gender-Specific Effects: Disadvantaged Families Affect Boys More Negatively than Girls 24 Stagnant Male Educational Attainment High School Graduation Trends by Race & Gender 1970-2010, Ages 20-24 95% White Females White Males Black Females Black Males Latino Females 25 Latino Males 88.6% 90% 84.1% 85% 81.8% 80% 75% 74.0% 70% 72.0% 65% 60% 55% 50% Murnane, 2013 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 26 A Vicious Cycle of Intergenerational Male Disadvantage A Vicious Cycle of Male Intergenerational Disadvantage Declining Employ and Earnings Mass Incarceration and the War on Drugs Declining Educational Attainment Growth of SingleParent Families This cycle is now an intergenerational phenomenon as educational attainment shapes the employment prospects of the next generation Oakland, CA • • Poor neighborhoods are over-policed through aggressive street-level drug/harassment (“stop and frisk”) enforcement and under-protected from violence Mass incarceration is also concentrated Mass Criminalization (War on Drugs and Incarceration) Declining Employ and Earnings Rise of Concentrated Disadvantage Declining Education Attainment Declining Employ and Earnings Declining Education Attainment • The rise of concentrated poverty and jobless ghettos since the early 1970s • Concentration of negative factors associated with poverty like crime, violence, poor school quality, drugs, disinvestment Growth of SingleParent Families Growth of SingleParent Families Declining Employ and Earnings Declining Education Attainment Growth of SingleParent Families 29 A Life Course Framework for Improving the Lives of BMOC: Interrupting the Cycle Overview of Framework Components Ecological and Contextual Factors Dimensions of Human Development •What develops over people’s lives. Life Course Outcomes •School readiness •Incarceration •High School Graduation •Stable Full-Time Employment 30 Dimensions of Human Development 31 Physical Health: motor-visual-auditory dev, morbidity, brain development, biological embedding (epigenetic) of social and toxic substance exposures: chronic adversity, allostatic load/toxic stress, environmental toxin exposure (e.g. air pollution, lead poisoning, etc.), basal cortisol levels Socioemotional Skill Development: Emotion and Behavior regulation; Autonomy; Determination; Self-monitoring/Meta-cognition Cognitive Development: Intelligence, Information processing, Language, Numeracy, Literacy, Executive functions (e.g. memory, attention, reasoning, problem solving), Communication skills Mental Health and Sense of Well-Being: Identity Development: Self-concept, Self-Awareness, Mindset, Self-efficacy, Gender identity, Sexual identity, Cultural orientation/attachment Moral Development: attachment, trauma, happiness/contentment, hope, selfesteem/mastery, stigma stress, mood disorders, schizophrenia, psychosis Conscience and Moral agency, Moral judgment, Moral reasoning, Altruism, Empathy, Moral action/behavior (Prosocial behavior), Moral emotion, Moral character (i.e. virtue, ethics) Personality Openness, Conscientiousness, Agreeableness, Neuroticism Dimensions of Human Development Protective Factor Physical Health Risk Factor Cognitive Dev. Mental Health Socioemotional Identity 32 Etc. Society Peers and Networks Place Schools and Public Systems Family OFF TRACK ON TRACK 0-5 6-11 Physical Health 19-25 12-18 Cognitive Dev. Mental Health Socioemotional 26-35 Identity Etc. Society Peers and Networks Place Schools and Systems Family 0-5 Ecological Factors 6-11 Life Course Outcomes 12-18 19-25 26-35 ON TRACK STABLE HOUSING SCHOOL READY Cog. & Soc. Skills (Kinder) PROFICIENT 4th Gr. Math & Reading STABLE FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT @ 300% FPL H.S. GRADUATION PROFICIENT, GOOD GRADES 8th Gr. Math, Reading, Middle-School Grades COLLEGE ENROLLMENT OFF TRACK CRIMINAL OFFENDING (ESP VIOLENT) ARREST, FELONY CONVICTION, INCARCERATION NOT SCHOOL READY Cog. & Socioemot. Skills (Kinderg) NOT PROFICIENT 4th Gr. Math & Reading JUVENILE ARREST, DETENTION NOT PROFICIENT, FAILS MATH OR ENGLISH TH 8 Gr. Math & Reading BEHAVIOR PROBLEMS & DISCIPLINE Behavior problems (antisocial behavior; violence), Suspensions, Expulsions H.S. DROPOUT COLLEGE COMPLETION (4-year college) STABLE FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT COLLEGE DROPOUT HOUSING INSTABIITY OR HOMELESSNESS LONG-TERM UNEMPLOYMENT OR UNDEREMPLOYMENT (>6 Months) UNTREATED SUBSTANCE ABUSE OR BEHAVIORAL HEALTH PROBLEMS EARNING BELOW FPL POSITIVE NET WORTH Society Peers and Networks Place Schools and Public Systems Family 6-11 0-5 Life Course Outcomes 12-18 19-25 26-35 OFF TRACK ON TRACK STABLE HOUSING SCHOOL READY Cog. & Soc. Skills (Kinder) PROFICIENT 4th Gr. Math & Reading NOT SCHOOL READY Cog. & Socioemot. Skills (Kinderg) NOT PROFICIENT 4th Gr. Math & Reading PROFICIENT, GOOD GRADES 8th Gr. Math, Reading, Middle-School Grades +22 percentage points JUVENILE ARREST, DETENTION NOT PROFICIENT, FAILS MATH OR ENGLISH TH 8 Gr. Math & Reading +13 percentage points BEHAVIOR PROBLEMS & DISCIPLINE Behavior problems (antisocial behavior; violence), Suspensions, Expulsions STABLE FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT @ 300% FPL H.S. GRADUATION COLLEGE ENROLLMENT COLLEGE COMPLETION (4-year college) STABLE FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT CRIMINAL OFFENDING (ESP VIOLENT) ARREST, COLLEGE DROPOUT FELONY CONVICTION, INCARCERATION HOUSING INSTABIITY OR HOMELESSNESS H.S. DROPOUT +47 percentage points LONG-TERM UNEMPLOYMENT OR UNDEREMPLOYMENT (>6 Months) UNTREATED SUBSTANCE ABUSE OR BEHAVIORAL HEALTH PROBLEMS EARNING BELOW FPL POSITIVE NET WORTH Life Course Outcomes Society Peers and Networks Place Schools and Public Systems Family 6-11 ON TRACK 0-5 SCHOOL READY Cog. & Soc. Skills (Kinder) PROFICIENT 4th Gr. Math & Reading OFF TRACK NOT SCHOOL READY Cog. & Socioemot. Skills (Kinderg) NOT PROFICIENT 4th Gr. Math & Reading BEHAVIOR PROBLEMS & DISCIPLINE Behavior problems (antisocial behavior; violence), Suspensions, Expulsions • Earlier life outcomes affect later ones COLLEGE ENTRY COLLEGE COMPLETION (4-YEAR COLLEGE) CRIMINAL OFFENDING (ESP VIOLENT) ARREST, FELONY CONVICTION, INCARCERATION, RECIDIVISM JUVENILE DELINQUENCY ARREST, DETENTION NOT PROFICIENT, FAILS MATH OR ENGLISH TH 8 Gr. Math & Reading Key Themes: 26-35 H.S. GRADUATION PROFICIENT, GOOD GRADES 8th Gr. Math, Reading, Middle-School Grades CHRONIC ABSENCE PRE-TERM BIRTH/LOW BIRTHWEIGHT 19-25 12-18 H.S. DROPOUT TEENAGE FATERHOOD POSITIVE NET WORTH • “Causal Density”: Everything is related to everything else which makes “siloed” approaches ineffectual COLLEGE DROPOUT • There are “sensitive” developmental periods for CHILD SUPPORT ARREARS intervention LONG-TERM UNEMPLOYMENT OR UNDEREMPLOYMENT (>6 Months) • There is a need for interventions across the life course, not just early ones DISCONNECTED FROM SCHOOL AND WORK UNTREATED BEHAVIORAL HEALTH PROBLEMS PREMATURE DEATH FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT EARNING 300% FPL EARNING BELOW FPL Generationally Linked Life Courses: 37 Adopting a TwoGeneration Approach Father’s Life Course While these are later life course interventions, they have early life course implications for the next generation. Roughly 65% of black and Latino fathers have their first child before age 25. By age 30, roughly 85% of these fathers have had their first child. These fathers have 2 or fewer kids on average less than 5 years apart. Thus, by age 35, most of the next generation has been born. [Martinez et al, 2012] Child’s Life Course 38 Ecological & Contextual Factors Society Peers and Networks Place Schools and Public Systems OFF TRACK ON TRACK Family 0-5 SCHOOL READY Cog. & Soc. Skills (Kinder) NOT SCHOOL READY Cog. & Socioemot. Skills (Kinderg) FAMILY (and kinship networks inc. “fictive kin”) •Race/Ethnicity •Pre-natal and neo-natal care 6-10•Parental 18-24 11-14 25-35 15-17 Income and Wealth •Parental Education PHYSICALLY AND BEHAVIORALLY HEALTHY •Family structure and instability •Parental attention PROFICIENT, GOOD Ecological and POSITIVE H.S. GRADUATION PROFICIENT GRADES FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT NET COLLEGE COMPLETION •Parental age at child’s birth (meeting A-G 4th Gr. Math 8th Gr. Math, Reading, EARNING 300% FPL (4-YEAR COLLEGE) Contextual Factors WORTH Requirements) & Reading •Parental Expectations Middle-School Grades •Parenting skills, practices and beliefs can be : •Parental Social Support (e.g. social networks, extended family) ARREST, FELONY CONVICTION, CHRONIC ABSENCE 1. Risk Factors •Incarcerated Parent INCARCERATION •Child Neglect/Abuse (physical, emotional, sexual) 2. Protective Factors NOT JUVENILE ARREST, DETENTION •Documentation Status PROFICIENT CHILD SUPPORT ARREARS H.S. DROPOUT Protective Factor 4th Gr. Math •Genetics & Reading •Health NOT insurance PROFICIENT, FAILS LONG-TERM UNEMPLOYMENT Physical Health MATH OR ENGLISH Gr. Math & Reading 8TH TEENAGE FATERHOOD Cognitiv e Dev. Mental Health Socioe motiona l Ide ntit y E t c . OR UNDEREMPLOYMENT (>6 Months) DISCONNECTED FROM SCHOOL AND WORK Risk Factor BEHAVIOR PROBLEMS & DISCIPLINE Behavior problems (aggression & violence), Suspensions, Expulsions NON-COLLEGE PREP TRACK UNTREATED SUBSTANCE ABUSE OR MENTAL ILLNESS EARNING BELOW FPL Society Peers and Networks Place Schools and Public Systems OFF TRACK ON TRACK Family 0-5 6-10 11-14 SCHOOLS AND PUBLIC SYSTEMS (POLICIES & 18-24 15-17 AGENCIES) 25-35 PHYSICALLY AND BEHAVIORALLY HEALTHY SCHOOL READY Cog. & Soc. Skills (Kinder) NOT SCHOOL READY Cog. & Socioemot. Skills (Kinderg) PROFICIENT 4th Gr. Math & Reading NOT PROFICIENT 4th Gr. Math & Reading •School System: resources, peer effects, teacher PROFICIENT,quality, GOOD institutional practices (i.e. administration, H.S. GRADUATION GRADES COLLEGE COMPLETION (meeting A-G climate 8th Gr. Math, discipline), Reading, (4-YEAR COLLEGE) Requirements) Middle-School Grades •Juvenile Justice Systems: Referral, Detention, Community Supervision •Criminal Justice System: Incarceration (state sentencing policies and practices),Prosecutorial ARREST, FELONY CONVICTION, CHRONIC ABSENCE INCARCERATION policies and practices, Community Supervision policies and practices JUVENILE ARREST, DETENTION NOT PROFICIENT, FAILS MATH OR ENGLISH TH 8 Gr. Math & Reading BEHAVIOR PROBLEMS & DISCIPLINE Behavior problems (aggression & violence), Suspensions, Expulsions H.S. DROPOUT TEENAGE FATERHOOD NON-COLLEGE PREP TRACK FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT EARNING 300% FPL CHILD SUPPORT ARREARS DISCONNECTED FROM SCHOOL AND WORK LONG-TERM UNEMPLOYMENT OR UNDEREMPLOYMENT (>6 Months) UNTREATED SUBSTANCE ABUSE OR MENTAL ILLNESS EARNING BELOW FPL POSITIVE NET WORTH Society Peers and Networks Place Schools and Public Systems OFF TRACK ON TRACK Family 0-5 SCHOOL READY Cog. & Soc. Skills (Kinder) NOT SCHOOL READY Cog. & Socioemot. Skills (Kinderg) PLACE 6-10 18-24 and Metros 25-35 11-14 15-17 •Neighborhoods, Places of Routine Activities PHYSICALLY AND BEHAVIORALLYand HEALTHY •Concentrated Disadvantage Concentrated Affluence •Violence and Crime •Racial Segregation/Social Isolation PROFICIENT, GOOD H.S. GRADUATION PROFICIENT GRADES FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT COLLEGE COMPLETION •Employment opportunities/Labor Markets th (meeting A-G 4 Gr. Math 8th Gr. Math, Reading, EARNING 300% FPL (4-YEAR COLLEGE) Requirements) & Reading Middle-School Gradesquality/Neighborhood •Housing Deterioration (e.g. uncollected garbage, abandonment) •Neighborhood institutional infrastructure (e.g. CBOs, Nonprofit service providers, organizers) ARREST, FELONY CONVICTION, CHRONIC ABSENCE •Social capital and community involvement INCARCERATION •Neighborhood collective efficacy NOT JUVENILE ARREST, substance DETENTION •Toxic exposure PROFICIENT CHILD SUPPORT ARREARS H.S. DROPOUT th 4 Gr. Math •Policing: law enforcement practices and tactics (e.g. aggressive & Reading street FAILS drug enforcement, racial profiling, stop-and-frisk ) UNEMPLOYMENT NOT PROFICIENT, LONG-TERM MATH OR ENGLISH OR UNDEREMPLOYMENT TEENAGE FATERHOOD DISCONNECTED FROM •Church TH 8 Gr. Math & Reading (>6 Months) •Day care/After School Programs SCHOOL AND WORK •Shopping Centers EARNING BELOW FPL UNTREATED SUBSTANCE ABUSE OR •Metro-level segregation, inequality and intergenerational mobility NON-COLLEGE PREP TRACK BEHAVIOR PROBLEMS & DISCIPLINE MENTAL ILLNESS Behavior problems (aggression & violence), Suspensions, Expulsions POSITIVE NET WORTH Society Peers and Networks Place Schools and Public Systems ON TRACK Family 0-5 SCHOOL READY Cog. & Soc. Skills (Kinder) 6-10 PROFICIENT 4th Gr. Math & Reading PEERS and NETWORKS •Social and Emotional Support (e.g. relationship with a caring adult outside the family; strong and weak 15-17 ties) 18-24 11-14 •Negative PHYSICALLY peer socialization AND BEHAVIORALLY HEALTHY •Social Capital (bridging and bonding) PROFICIENT, GOOD GRADES 8th Gr. Math, Reading, Middle-School Grades H.S. GRADUATION (meeting A-G Requirements) OFF TRACK NOT PROFICIENT 4th Gr. Math & Reading JUVENILE ARREST, DETENTION NOT PROFICIENT, FAILS MATH OR ENGLISH TH 8 Gr. Math & Reading BEHAVIOR PROBLEMS & DISCIPLINE Behavior problems (aggression & violence), Suspensions, Expulsions COLLEGE COMPLETION (4-YEAR COLLEGE) FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT EARNING 300% FPL ARREST, FELONY CONVICTION, INCARCERATION CHRONIC ABSENCE NOT SCHOOL READY Cog. & Socioemot. Skills (Kinderg) 25-35 H.S. DROPOUT TEENAGE FATERHOOD NON-COLLEGE PREP TRACK CHILD SUPPORT ARREARS DISCONNECTED FROM SCHOOL AND WORK LONG-TERM UNEMPLOYMENT OR UNDEREMPLOYMENT (>6 Months) UNTREATED SUBSTANCE ABUSE OR MENTAL ILLNESS EARNING BELOW FPL POSITIVE NET WORTH Society Peers and Networks Place Schools and Public Systems ON TRACK Family 0-5 SCHOOL READY Cog. & Soc. Skills (Kinder) 6-10 PROFICIENT 4th Gr. Math & Reading SOCIETY •Market-based racial discrimination: 18-24 11-14 15-17 •labor market PHYSICALLY AND BEHAVIORALLY HEALTHY •housing •retail PROFICIENT, GOOD •financial H.S. GRADUATION GRADES•Implicit bias and explicit bias COLLEGE COMPLETION (meeting A-G 8th Gr. Math, Reading, OFF TRACK NOT PROFICIENT 4th Gr. Math & Reading JUVENILE ARREST, DETENTION NOT PROFICIENT, FAILS MATH OR ENGLISH TH 8 Gr. Math & Reading BEHAVIOR PROBLEMS & DISCIPLINE Behavior problems (aggression & violence), Suspensions, Expulsions FULL-TIME EMPLOYMENT EARNING 300% FPL ARREST, FELONY CONVICTION, INCARCERATION CHRONIC ABSENCE NOT SCHOOL READY Cog. & Socioemot. Skills (Kinderg) (4-YEAR COLLEGE) Requirements) Middle-School Grades 25-35 H.S. DROPOUT TEENAGE FATERHOOD NON-COLLEGE PREP TRACK CHILD SUPPORT ARREARS DISCONNECTED FROM SCHOOL AND WORK LONG-TERM UNEMPLOYMENT OR UNDEREMPLOYMENT (>6 Months) UNTREATED SUBSTANCE ABUSE OR MENTAL ILLNESS EARNING BELOW FPL POSITIVE NET WORTH Key Takeaways from the life course framework 44 The vicious intergenerational cycle described is not inevitable, but rather is the product of both policy decisions and structural forces: At every step, policy and resource decisions were and are being made that can either amplify or dampen the impact of big, impersonal forces like structural shifts in the economy this vicious cycle requires a “two-generation approach” that involves both : 1) changing conditions in which BMOC find themselves through policy and systems change; as well as 2) helping BMOC be more resilient to bad conditions through programmatic interventions Interrupting Key Takeaways from the life course framework 45 It’s unlikely that we can interrupt this intergenerational cycle without directly addressing employment and earnings and mass criminalization among men of color – in both generations Education outcomes are crucial – the protective effect of educational attainment for negative life outcomes is profound Place matters and the impact of living in neighborhoods of concentrated disadvantage must be addressed in gender specific ways. Changing approach population-level outcomes requires a life-course Contact Arnold Chandler [email protected] 46 Citations 47 Anna Aizer and Joseph J. Doyle Jr. (2013) “Juvenile Incarceration, Human Capital and Future Crime: Evidence from RandomlyAssigned Judges.” Working Paper 19102, National Bureau of Economic Research. Available online at http://www.nber.org/papers/w19102. David Autor and Melanie Wasserman (2012) Wayward Sons: The Emerging Gender Gap in Labor Markets and Education, The Third Way. Available at http://www.thirdway.org/publications/662 Sandy Baum, Jennifer Ma and Kathleen Payea (2013) Education Pays 2013: The Benefits of Higher Education for Individuals and Society. The College Board Marianne Bertrand and Jessica Pan (2011), The Trouble with Boys: Social Influences and the Gender Gap in Disruptive Behavior, NBER Working Paper No. 17541, National Bureau of Economic Research. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w17541 Claudia Buchman and Thomas A. DiPrete (2006) “The Growing Female Advantage in College Completion: The Role of Family Background and Academic Achievement,” American Sociological Review, 71 (4), pp. 515–541. Deborah A. Cobb-Clark (2011) “Fathers and Youth’s Delinquent Behavior,” Working Paper 17507, National Bureau of Economic Research. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w17507. Citations 48 Centers for Disease Control (2010) "Homicide Rates Among Persons Ages 10–24 Years, by Race/Ethnicity and Sex, United States". Available at http://www.cdc.gov/violenceprevention/youthviolence/stats_at-a_glance/hr_age-race.html Candace Hamilton Hester, Chris Meyer, and Steven Raphael (2012) “The Evolution of Gender Employment Rate Differentials within Racial Groups in the United States”, The Journal of Legal Studies, Vol. 41, No. 2 (June 2012), pp. 385-418 http://www.jstor.org/stable/10.1086/667578 . Brian A. Jacob (2002) “Where the Boys Aren’t: Non-cognitive Skills, Returns to School and the Gender Gap in Higher Education” Economics of Education Review, 21: 589–598. Brian L. Jacob and Tamara Linkow Wilder (2011) “Educational Expectations and Attainment,” in Greg J Duncan and Richard J Murnane, eds., Whither Opportunity, Russell Sage Foundation, pp. 133–162. Rose M. Kreider and Renee Ellis (2011) “Living Arrangements of Children: 2009," Current Population Reports, P70-126. Washington, DC: U.S. Census Bureau. Citations 49 John M. Leventhal, Julie R. Gaither and Robert Sege (2014) "Hospitalizations Due to Firearm Injuries in Children and Adolescents", Pediatrics; originally published online January 27, 2014: Available at http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/early/2014/01/22/peds.2013-1809 Gladys Martinez, Kimberly Daniels, and Anjani Chandra (2012), Fertility of Men and Women Aged 15–44 Years in the United States: National Survey of Family Growth, 2006–2010, National Health Statistics Report Richard J. Murnane (2013) U.S High School Graduation Rates: Patterns and Explanations, NBER Working Paper No. 18701. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w18701 Derek Neal and Armin Rick (2014) The Prison Boom and the Lack of Black Progress after Smith and Welch, NBER Working Paper No. 20283. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w20283 Jeremy Travis and Bruce Western (2014) Growth of incarceration in the United States: The Growth of Incarceration in the United States: Exploring Causes and Consequences. National Academies Press. Available at: http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=18613 Citations 50 Guyonne Kalb and Jennny Williams (2003) "Gender and Delinquency", Applied Economics Letters, 2003, 10, 425–429 Jonathan Vespa, Jamie M. Lewis, and Rose M. Kreider (2013) America’s Families and Living Arrangements: 2012 Population Characteristics. U.S. Census Bureau Sara Wakfield and Christopher Wildeman (2013) Children of the Prison Boom: Mass Incarceration and the Future of American Inequality. Oxford University Press John Winters and Barry T. Hirsch (2013) “An Anatomy of Racial and Ethnic Trends in Male Earnings.” Review of Income and Wealth. Available online at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/roiw.12064/abstract