WAUDIT Book of Proceedings - Wind resource assessment, audit
Transcription
WAUDIT Book of Proceedings - Wind resource assessment, audit
Book of Proceedings WAUDIT Book of Proceedings Edited by Affiliation Address Telephone E-mail Document Type Version Date Dissemination Level Status Abstract WAUDIT Contract# 238576 Javier Sanz Rodrigo CENER C/ Ciudad de la Innovación 7, 31621-Sarriguren, Spain 0034 948 25 28 00 [email protected] Deliverable v1 5-07-2013 Public Draft This book of proceedings compiles a selection of publications from the WAUDIT network. CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 1/167 Book of Proceedings Preface The WAUDIT network (2009-2013) has gathered 23 Marie Curie fellows from 20 different nationalities working in 13 European institutions to develop a scientific and training programme under the wind resource assessment topic. A training programme, under the umbrella of the European Wind Energy Academy and with the contribution of 30 organizations, resulted in an excellent environment for early stage researchers to initiate a career in wind energy research with a common European collaborative working philosophy. Industry has also participated providing lectures at seminars and offering internship periods. On the scientific and technical level the network has contributed to the development of 15 PhD thesis and has published more than 100 contributions to journals, conferences and technical reports. A review of a wide range of state-of-the-art techniques for wind resource assessment has been carried out, from remote sensing with lidar systems to microscale modeling with CFD and wind tunnel and mesoscale modeling using numerical weather prediction. Focus research areas include offshore, forests, atmospheric stability, wakes, complex terrain, ensemble prediction and high resolution downscaling. Common to all model developments, the network has discussed on the standardization of model evaluation procedures as an effective way of quality assurance. This book of proceedings presents a selection of some publications of the Marie Curie fellows of the WAUDIT network. Javier Sanz Rodrigo Coordinator of the WAUDIT network WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 2/167 Book of Proceedings Contents [1] Barranger N (2010) Assessing wind energy potential using the high resolution meso-scale model RAMS. 6th EAWE PhD Seminar, NTNU, Trondheim, Norway, September 2011. [2] Borbón F, et al. (2011) Investigation of sources for lidar uncertainty in flat and complex terrain. EWEA-2011, Brussels (Belgium), March 2011. [3] Chávez R, Lozano S, Correia P, Sanz Rodrigo J, Probst O (2013) On the application of the Principal Component Analysis for an efficient climate downscaling of surface wind fields. Energy Procedia 40: 67-76. [4] Conan B, van Beeck J, Aubrun S (2012) Sand Erosion Technique Applied to Wind Resource Assessment. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics 104: 322-329. [5] Cuzzola F, Aubrun S, Leitl B (2012) Characterization of a wind turbine model. EWEA Special Topic Conference ‘The Science of Making Torque from Wind’. Oldenburg, Germany, October 2012. [6] Desmond C, Watson S (2012) A study of stability effects in forested terrain. Journal of Physics: Conference Series and Proceedings of The Science of Making Torque from Wind 2012, Oldenburg, 9-11 October 2012. In press for Journal of Physics [7] Duraisamy JV, Dupont E, Carissimo B (2013) Downscaling wind energy resource in complex terrain from mesoscale to microscale model and data assimilating field measurements at few locations. European Wind Energy Association, Vienna, Austria, February 2013. [8] Fitton G, Tchiguirinskaia I, Schertzer D, Lovejoy S (2011b) The Anisotropic Multifractal Model and Wind Turbine Wakes. 7th PhD Seminar on Wind Energy in Europe, 115–118. [9] Holmes H, Sanz Rodrigo J, Cabezón D, Schatzmann M (2013) Model evaluation methodology for wind resource assessment [10] Koblitz T, Bechmann A, Sogachev A, Sørensen N, Réthoré P-E (2013) CFD model of stratified atmospheric boundary-layer flow. Wind Energy, accepted for publication. [11] Muñoz-Esparza D, Canadillas B, Neumann T, van Beeck J (2012) Turbulent fluxes, stability and shear in the offshore environment: Mesoscale modelling and field observations at FINO1. J. Renewable Sustainable Energy 4, 063136, http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.4769201 [12] Stathopoulos C, Sanz J (2013) Evaluation of a meso-micro scale application over complex terrain for wind farm sitting. 9th Phd seminar of European Wind Energy Association, Conference proceedings, Gotland, Sweden, September 2013. [13] Volker PJH, Badger J, Hahmann AH, Hansen KS (2013) Wind-Farm Parametrisations in Mesoscale Models. ICOWES, 2013. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 3/167 Book of Proceedings Assessing wind energy potential using the high resolution meso-scale model RAMS Nicolas Barrangera,1 a University of Athens, Athens, Greece Presented at the 6th EAWE PhD Seminar on Wind Energy in Europe, NTNU, Trondheim, Norway, September 2011. Abstract The regional atmospheric model RAMS has been developed for meteorological purpose. It solves the unsteady dynamical equations governing the atmospherics physics from the synoptic scale down to mesoscale and microscales. Its last evolution include particle and pollutant dispersion as far as an elaborate parametrisation of cloud physics. The aim of this study is to use it as a tool for wind farm sitting and focus on the microscale physics of the so called atmospheric boundary layer. A special attention will be devoted to the interaction between the topography and the induced turbulence. A clear assessment of the turbulent scheme will be detailed and its limitations and improvement will be discussed. Keywords: Mesoscale model, turbulence, wind sitting. 1. Introduction Generally, advanced CFD is used as a model to study the flow structure over complex terrain [1]. The alternative proposed here is to use a meteorological model to catch the microscale effect such as turbulent flux and wind speeds near the surface. RAMS model is a regional meteorological model that can provide a complete description of the mesoscale effects of turbulence. The usual low resolution turbulence models(Mellor-Yamada) is often applied blindly at higher resolutions that does not fit to microscale turbulence characteristics [2]. Two equation turbulence model E-ε and one equation E-l has been implemented this last decade [3]. This last development enables the use of very high grid resolution (order of meters) and models very precisely particle dispersion in complex area such as urban canopy [4]. The effort that have been deployed to “tune” this mesocale model in order to solve turbulence on smaller scale is an asset in modelling wind speed and turbulent kinetic energy for wind sitting purpose. The advantages of using this model is a complete description of the thermodynamic equations and the study of interaction between mechanically forced wind over stable unstable or neutral conditions. A complete parametrisation of radiation and moisture processes allows a better description of the microscale physics. Several other capabilities are implemented such as data assimilation and nudging [5]. Models prediction can be significantly improved using stochastic methods such as Model output statistics [6] or recently developed Kalman filters [7,8]. 1 Corresponding author: Nicolas Barranger University of Athens, Department of Physics, Atmospheric Modeling and Weather Forecasting Group, University Campus, Bldg Phys-5, 15784 Athens, Greece, Tel. +30-210-7276835, e-mail: [email protected] WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 4/167 Book of Proceedings 2. Turbulent scheme and their implementation in RAMS RAMS allows the use of 4 different turbulent schemes which are or Yamada 2.5 Level [9,10], Deadorff [11], E-l and E-ε [12]. It solves the Navier Stokes equation using finite difference method and use a first order approximation to compute turbulent flux using K-theory. Mellor Yamada Level 2.5 scheme is aimed to calculate vertical diffusion coefficients and therefore horizontal diffusion terms are neglected. The diffusion coefficient is computed as follow: K m= S m l 2 E 1/ 2 where l is the master turbulent length scale, Sm is a function that depends on empirical constants related to shear stress. The master length scale is computed using the Blackadar [13] formulation. A prognostic equation is set up in order to calculate turbulent kinetic energy E in the boundary layer approximation. The diffusion coefficient for turbulent kinetic energy are computed in the same way as the momentum one, the two coefficients differs from a constant. The Deadorff scheme is a large eddy simulation model. It means that it solves the subgird scale model using subgrid filter. Here the filter is the grid itself. There we consider the turbulent length scale l to be the equal to the grid box length. In other words l= ∆x . The turbulent momentum coefficient is computed using the formula: K m= 0.1l 2 E 1/ 2 The prognostic equation for the TKE is the same as mentioned for the Mellor Yamada scheme. The shear production is now computed in all direction. The E-l scheme is also based on a complete TKE equation and the turbulence is also defined as anisotropic. It means that turbulent diffusion coefficients are the same in each directions. Practically, it has to be pointed out that this scheme represent well small scale turbulence and that the grid domain size must be equal in each direction. The E-ε scheme is a two equation turbulence scheme that use prognostic equation from turbulent kinetic energy and its dissipation rate. It is well adequate for small scale anisotropic turbulence for the same reasons mentioned in the two previous schemes. 3. Advantages of the model On smooth surfaces, the four schemes represent well the turbulent kinetic energy and wind speed and is coherent with data observations. However, on complex terrain each model gives significant deviation from data experiments [14]. The Mellor yamada Level 2.5 is generally used for low resolution simulation. It uses the boundary layer approximation that is not well suited for three dimension topography. However it has been pointed out that It catches well recirculation immediately down a hill and gives correct values of wind speed. The three other schemes better predict turbulent kinetic energy profiles in complex topography. The Deadorff scheme is very sensitive to the grid generation since the filter used (large eddy simulation theory) is the grid itself and assumes that over the grid scale the turbulence is developed by the bulk motion. For E-l model a correct boundary layer parametrisation is essential since it uses one equation for turbulent prognostic but its implementation into RAMS gives the best values of turbulent kinetic energy profiles. E-ϵ provide a complete equation system for turbulence closure and provide a good transport of turbulent kinetic energy towards higher level. 4. Conclusions This paper covers the state-of-the-art in using the regional model RAMS on high resolution. Details about turbulent parametrisation have been presented. It clearly shows that Mellor Yamada model has some limitation concerning high resolution simulation and is not appropriate for isotropic small scale turbulence. The E-ε scheme is the most advanced high resolution turbulent scheme available and still needs further development in its implementation into RAMS. E-l and Deadorff scheme have been demonstrated to be the most reliable schemes and are a good basis for validation purpose. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 5/167 Book of Proceedings The future works will be to improve the turbulent schemes and to assure that they are working in a large range of situation such as a multiple choice of topography in agreement with complex terrain diversity. In facts, E-ε model is highly influenced by topography and the closure hypothesis needs to be double checked for each case. Implementation of other turbulent schemes will be discussed as it could be better for comparison of high resolution turbulence. K-ω model will be an advantage. Even if this model is not common in atmospheric physics, it is often used in CFD models and seems to be more adequate than E-ε in modelling the atmospheric boundary layer. A step further will be to take advantage of RAMS possibilities such as running simulations in non-neutral conditions, use grid nesting and Lagrangian particle tracer for wind turbines wakes. References [1] Stangroom P., CFD modelling of wind flow over complex terrain, 2004, PhD thesis University of Nothingham. [2] Hara T., Trini-Castelli S., Obha R., Tremback C., 2009: Validation of turbulence closure schemes for high resolution in mesoscale meteorological models- A case of gas dispersion at the local scale, Atmosheric environements 43 3745-3753. [3] Trini Castelli S., Ferrero E. and Anfossi D., 2001: Turbulence closure in neutral boundary layer over complex terrain. Boundary layer Meteorology, n. 100, 405-419. [4] Trini Castelli S. and Reisin T. G., 2008, Application of a modified version of RAMS model to simulate the flow and turbulence in presence of buildings: the must COST732 exercise, International Journals of Environment and Pollution, in press [5] Trini Castelli S., Reisin T. G. and Tinarelli G., 2008, Development and Application of MicroRMS Modelling System to Simulate the Flow, Turbulence and dispersion in the Presence of buildings. Air Pollution Modelling and its Applications XIX, Ed., 81-89 [6] Alessandrini S., Decimi G., Palmieri L., Ferrero E.,2009: A wind power forecast system in complex topographic conditions, EWEC 2009 Marseille [7] Galanis G., Louka P., Katsafados P., Kallos G., Pytharoulis I., 2006: Application of Kalman filters based on non-linear functions to numerical weather predictions, Annales Geophysicae. [8] Von Bremen L.,2007: Combination of Deterministic and Probabilistic Metorological Models to enhance Wind Farm Power Forecasts: 2007, Journal of Physics: Conference Series 75. [9] Mellor G., Yamada T.,1982: Devellopement of a turbulent closure model for geophysical fluid problems, Rev. Geophysics. Space Physics. 20 , 851-875. [10] Mellor G., Yamada T.,1974: A hierarchy of turbulence closure models for planetary boundary layers, Journal of atmospheric Science 31, 1791-1806. [11] Deadorff J., 1980: Stratocumulus-capped mixed layers derived from a three-dimentional model, Boundary layer meteorology, 18, 495-527. [12] Trini Castelli S., Ferrero E., Anfossi D. and Ohba R., 2005: Turbulence closure models and their applications in RAMS. Environmental Fluid Mechanics, 5, 169-192. [13] Blackadar A., 1962: The vertical distribution of wind and turbulence exchange in a neutral atmosphere, Journal of Geophyscics 67, 3095-3102 [14] Ferrero E., Tritelli S., Anfossi D., 2003: Turbulence fields for atmospheric dispersion models in horizontally non-homogeneous conditions. Atmospheric environments. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 6/167 Book of Proceedings Investigation of sources for lidar uncertainty in flat and complex terrain Fernando Borbón Guillénaa,c,2, Paula Gómeza, Javier Sanz Rodrigoa, Michael S. Courtneyb, Alvaro Cuervac a b National Renewable Energy Centre of Spain (CENER), Sarriguren, Spain Risø DTU National Laboratory for Sustainable Energy (DTU), Roskilde, Denmark c Technical University of Madrid (UPM), Madrid, Spain Presented at the European Wind Energy Association Annual Event EWEA-2011, Brussels, Belgium, March 2011 Abstract The main sources of lidar uncertainty have been studied for two consecutive measurement campaigns in flat and complex terrain conditions. The same two lidar equipment have been used and compared to standard cup anemometry. It has been verified that non-uniform wind flow plays a very important role in lidar uncertainty. In this study, the non-uniform wind flows were caused by multi-MW wind turbine wakes at the flat terrain site and by orography properties at the complex terrain site. Under these conditions, lidar bias from standard anemometry showed values of up to 30% and 5% respectively. The presence of low clouds or foggy conditions has been found to affect the lidar availability and the measurements’ quality as well. Continuous wave lidars are in special more sensitive to these effects. The bias introduce by these conditions can be in an order of magnitude higher than those caused by the terrain conditions, which are the main interest of this article. For this reason, the effects of foggy conditions have been filtered out as much as possible. Keywords: Remote sensing, lidar, complex terrain, measurement uncertainty, wind resource. 1. Introduction The present work shows the results observed from two subsequent wind speed measurement campaigns using the same lidar equipment and compared to standard cup anemometry. The first campaign was performed at flat terrain conditions and the second one in complex terrain conditions. The main sources of lidar uncertainty are studied and special attention is paid to the sources of non-uniform wind flow, which has been accredited to play a major role on lidar uncertainty. Literature indicates that lidar technologies have close correlation to standard cup anemometer measurements in flat terrain conditions. However, in complex terrain, the performance is degraded. Bingöl et al. [1] have defined the vertical wind speed gradient as the main source of deviation in lidar measurements with bias in the mean wind speed in the order of 5% to 10%. Still, some considerable work has to be done in order to reduce the lidar uncertainty [2]. 2 Corresponding author: Fernando Borbón Guillén National Renewable Energy Centre (CENER), Ciudad de la Innovación, nº 7; 31621 Sarriguren (Navarra), Spain. Tel.: + 34 948 25 28 00, e-mail: [email protected] WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 7/167 Book of Proceedings 2. Measurement campaigns 2.1 Risø Høvsøre test site: Flat terrain conditions. Risø’s test site at Høvsøre is located in a flat terrain region, close to the coast line. It is surrounded by crop fields and two big water masses, as represented in the map of Figure 1 (left). There are few farm buildings in the surroundings and basically the biggest structures around are those of the six multi MW wind turbines and their corresponding met masts as seen in Figure 1 (center). The mast and turbine locations are indicated by two rows of colored points in Figure 1 (right). At the west side of the turbine and mast rows, the lidars and the reference mast locations are indicated. The lidar scanning discs at several heights are also represented in the latter figure. The reference met mast is instrumented with a top mounted cup anemometer at 91 meters height. Additional anemometers are installed on southern booms at 89, 71, 51 and 31 m. Moreover, two cup anemometers are installed on northern booms at 71 and 51 m. There is a wind vane at 89 m on the northern boom as the only wind direction reference. Furthermore, pressure and absolute temperature sensors are installed at 89 m. Finally, at 3 m there are installed relative humidity, rain and temperature sensors to complete the mast instrumentation. Figure 1. Høvsøre test site. Location map, aerial view and lidar sitting. Figure 2. CENER’s Alaiz test site. Lidars and met mast location indicated. 2.2 CENER Alaiz: Complex terrain conditions. The second measurement campaign is currently been performed at CENER’s Alaiz test site which is located at the top of a mountain of approximately 700 m height above surrounding plateaus. The WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 8/167 Book of Proceedings mountain has a uniform slope facing north which extends nearly parallel to the west-east direction. The remote sensing devices are installed on the ridge top, as seen in Figure 2. Towards the south-east end of the ridge, the orography becomes more complex. The met mast has been equipped with cup anemometers to sense the horizontal wind speed, propeller anemometers to sense the vertical wind speed and wind vanes to sense the horizontal wind direction at 78, 90, 102 and 118 m height. Also temperature, rain and atmospheric pressure sensors are present at several heights. Correspondingly, the lidars were programmed to sense the wind velocity at the four different heights coinciding with those from the met mast instrumentation. Measurements have been recorded during a period of approximately five months. 3. Theory Lidar devices measure wind velocity component parallel to the laser beam direction (so called radial or line of sight velocities). These measurements are spatially located in the perimeter of a horizontal circle situated at the desired height, as indicated by the points A and B in Figure 3 where the actual wind vectors are inserted. Based on these measurements, an internal algorithm estimates the wind velocity. In flat terrain conditions where the wind flow is supposed to be highly spatially homogeneous (see wind flow streamlines in Figure 3); the calculated wind vector (indicated by C in the same figure) is not so different from the measured wind vectors. Figure 3. Lidar and met mast located in flat terrain and complex terrain conditions. Wind flow streamlines are shown. The wind velocity vector is drawn in locations A and B at spatial points where the lidar scans the radial velocity component. The velocity vector calculated by the lidar is drawn at the circle centre marked as C. Conversely, the presence of big obstacles as a multi MW wind turbine can alter considerably the wind flow sensed by the lidar. Therefore, this can introduce more uncertainty in the measurements. For the case of complex terrain conditions, the uniform wind flow is disturbed by the irregular terrain orography or for instance by the presence of forest regions. Therefore, changes in direction, vertical tilt, turbulence, flow acceleration and wind profile changes are present. Subsequently, the measured vectors at points A and B can be considerably different both in direction and magnitude and do not necessarily represent properly the wind vector at the circle centre. As expected, the calculated wind velocity (based on the assumption of a homogeneous wind field) results in more discrepancy when compared to point measurements at the desired height; obtained with a cup anemometer installed in a met mast. Furthermore, lidars work emitting laser beams that find it difficult to propagate in air with strong humidity condensation. Rain and especially low clouds or ground fog can affect negatively the lidar performance and reduce its availability. The use of rain and cloud detectors like ceilometers can be of great benefit to filter out time periods with adverse atmospheric conditions. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 9/167 Book of Proceedings 3. Results 3.1 Correlation lidar cup and data filtering The present work summarizes the partial results from two measurement campaigns using the same two lidar equipments. As indicated above, the first campaign was performed in flat terrain and the second one is being performed in complex terrain conditions. In both cases, the reference wind speed is taken as the one given by the cup anemometer at the corresponding measurement height. From the two campaigns, the only coincident measurement height is at 90 m. Therefore, the inter-comparison has been done using measurements at this height, unless indicated otherwise. Firstly, the correlation of the horizontal wind speed (U) between cup anemometer and the lidars is presented in Table 1. As can be seen, the ZephIR and Windcube measurements for the horizontal wind speed are compared with those from cup anemometers for flat and complex terrain conditions. Notice that in the four figures, the correlation is generally good once some data quality filters have been applied. The sources of bias in the lidar measurements will be explained in section 3.2. Table 1. Correlation of the horizontal wind speed (U) between lidars and cup anemometer at 90 m height for flat and complex terrain conditions. The lidar data filters applied are indicated in the “Comments” column. Regarding the data filtering criteria, there are some variables in common and some others very specific for each kind of device. For the cup anemometer data, the first filtering criterion is that the ambient temperature must be higher than 2 ºC to avoid frozen or braked anemometers. Also, only wind speeds higher than 4 m/s are considered due to the calibration range of the cup anemometers. The higher limit of this calibration range is normally 16 m/s, however data above this limit was still considered in order to assess the lidar performance at these velocity values. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 10/167 Book of Proceedings For the case of lidar data, rainy periods are filtered out since rain affects lidar measurements (vertical wind speed component and data availability) [3]. Additionally, each lidar registers several signals apart from the measured wind speed. These signals offer the chance to filter out the data based on the device individual properties. For instance, at each 10-min period, the ZephIR records the number of circular scans at each height that are accomplished during each 10-min period. A minimum amount of scans is selected to assure that enough data was recorded and the 10-min period average is representative of the wind conditions during that period. This amount depends whether the ZephIR is scanning once (as in Alaiz) or three times per height (as in Høvsøre). Respectively, 28 or 50 scans-in-average are chosen as a quality filter. There is not a 3 factor difference since the scanning time increases but the lens focusing time between heights remains constant. Moreover, the average number of radial velocities retrieved at each circular scan is used as a filter since this allows determining whether there was enough backscatter from the atmosphere from all directions or whether there was any obstacle for the laser beam. This is important since the ZephIR’s processing algorithm performs a fit to a rectified cosine function based on the number of points-in-fit. If there are few points, the uncertainty of the fitted function is higher and that is why a minimum requirement of 35 (one scan per height) or 105 (three scans per height) is selected as a data filter. For the ZephIR, there is an additional parameter that helps to identify the goodness of the fitting function. The turb parameter indicates how much deviation was there in general from the measured points to the estimated function to be fitted. The turb parameter gives information with resemblance to what in statistics offers the sum of squared residuals. Consequently, higher values of the turb parameter can be an indication of considerable un-uniformity of the wind velocity field where the ZephIR was scanning. This can help to identify very turbulent wind flows. Additionally, the turb parameter can be an indicator of noise in the retrieved signal. For this study, only datasets where the turb value was 0.1 or less have been taken into account. Furthermore, the ZephIR’s scaling factor is a parameter related to the strength of the backscattered signal. It can be understood as the gain that has to be added to the incoming signal in order to detect it properly. A weaker signal would need a higher scaling factor. Normally, weak signals indicate very clear air where low aerosol concentration backscatters just a small part of the energy. On the other hand, a low scaling factor value indicates that the returning signal was strong enough to be easily detected. This can reveal the presence of higher aerosol concentration and most importantly for our interest, the presence of low clouds or fog at ground level. In general, a scaling factor higher that 25 or 50 from the lowest measuring height (38 m as default) can help to filter out periods with high presence of foggy conditions. For the case of Alaiz test site, since it is a considerably high mountain surrounded by flatter regions, ambient humidity frequently condensates around its top conducing to highly foggy conditions during winter months. In respect to the specific Windcube data filtering criteria, this is basically reduced to the device availability. This parameter indicates how much of the time during each 10-min period, the device was able to properly measure the signal backscatter and estimate an equivalent wind vector. In this study, only periods with 100% of lidar availability where chosen. The reasons of lower availability can be due to signal obstruction due to foggy conditions or low clouds. It is important to notice that the Windcube availability has been used as a filtering criterion for the ZephIR as well. The hope is that most of low availability periods are caused by the presence of fog or very low clouds and consequently this help us to filter out data that can negatively affect the ZephIR performance3. 3 Differently to continuous wave lidars as the ZephIR, the Windcube is a pulsed wave lidar. The main difference in the working principle is that continuous wave lidars sense the signal backscatter constantly. The main assumption is that the returning signal comes from the desired measuring height which is achieved by using lens to focus the laser energy there. If the signal is actually backscattered from a different height, there is no a direct way to detect it. Contrary, the pulsed lidar emit a signal pulse of a specific length and calculates the time necessary to reach and return from the desired measuring height. Then it opens a temporary sensing WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 11/167 Book of Proceedings As a final filtering criterion that in general affects the performance of all the devices is the presence of obstacles that obstruct the free wind flow and can produce wind acceleration or form wakes with considerable wind speed reduction and turbulence intensity. The first example is the presence of the met mast itself that directly affects the flow around with distortions that reach the cup anemometer location. It is necessary to filter out data based on the wind direction in order to reduce as much as possible the met mast effects. It has been seen that the mast wake effect differs depending on the mast structure. Additionally, for those wind directions where there is not direct wake incidence in any of the cup anemometers, the mast effects are still noticeable. For instance, if plotting the ratio of two cup anemometers (at the same height but at opposite sides of the met mast) as function of the wind direction, a kind of sinus wave shape reflects how the flow is disturbed by the mast presence. This information could be used to “correct” the cup anemometer measurements in order to reduce the mast effects [4]. Nevertheless, this approach has not been performed for the present study. Other aspect taken into account when selecting the wind direction sectors to be used for the lidar-cup correlation is the presence of any big structure nearby, or of especial terrain conditions. These structures can produce strong wind turbulence or flow obstruction at several scales affecting differently the cup anemometers and the lidars. This is explained with more detail in section 3.2. Despite applying the mentioned filters, still there exists some dispersion in the correlation graphs, especially at complex terrain conditions. A first attempt to identify the main lidar bias sources affecting the lidars in flat and complex terrain is introduced in section 3.2. As a final remark for this section, the present study is based on two early lidar units and therefore the results might differ to some extent if a different device would be used. Furthermore, second generation lidar devices of each brand are already available in the market and performance improvements can be expected. 3.2 Lidar bias sources When facing the task of comparing the lidar performance in flat and complex terrain conditions, it is necessary to identify what are the main sources of bias between lidar and cup anemometer measurements. It can result in a big challenge since diverse variables can affect cups and lidars differently and some others can affect them simultaneously. Ideally, it should be possible to identify the individual effect of each variable over each device, however some bias sources can appear simultaneously and therefore separating their influence becomes a difficult assignment. For the case of flat terrain as shown in figures from Table 2, there is a wind direction sector from which the lidar bias is more obvious (saw shape). It was identified that from this direction region, the presence of turbine wakes affected both the cup and lidar measurements. Depending on the direction angle, the wake could be impacting only the cup and not the lidar and vice versa, therefore the big positive or negative differences in the wind speed values sensed by them. Other issue is that the lidars are scanning a perimeter whose diameter length scale is comparable to the one of the turbine wake, while the cup anemometer can be considered as a point in space. As mentioned before, some variables are difficult to separate when studying the bias sources. During the measurement campaign at Høvsøre, it was found that most of the low cloud presence was precisely when wind was blowing from the sector with turbine wakes. Therefore, the influence of clouds in the lidar measurements (especially in the continuous wave lidar) was difficult to separate from the turbulence and speed deficit due to the turbine wakes. window to measure the backscatter. If the laser signal is blocked before reaching the desired height or if there is almost not backscattered at all due to very clear air, during the sensing window there is be nearly no signal at all to be measured and a “null” registry is recorded. These two sensing approaches have both advantages and disadvantages as have been previously discussed by other authors [5], [6]. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 12/167 Book of Proceedings Table 2. Lidar horizontal velocity bias vs. wind wane direction. The complex terrain graphs show that the lidars tend to underestimate the wind velocity from northern and southern sectors, precisely where the there is more tilt in the flow due to the alignment with the mountain slope. As the wind direction changes and the tilt angle is reduced as wind flows parallel to the mountain flatten top (eastern and western sectors), the lidar bias is reduced. At 270º there is a group of data revealing the mast effect. Here the cup anemometer might be sensing a reduced wind speed due to the wind flow obstruction caused by the mast. Additionally to the horizontal component of the wind vector, the lidars are also able to determine the vertical component (W). Unfortunately, at the flat terrain campaign there were no sensors at the met mast to measure the vertical wind velocity. For this reason, just the absolute value of the vertical component sensed by the lidars is presented in left figures from Table 3. Notice here the difference between the ZephIR and the Windcube measurements in terms of magnitude. The sinuous wave curve seen in the Windcube data is suspected to be caused by a mis-aligned internal mirror that was removed and replaced during a previous experiment. It is probably not typical of a standard Windcube. Though, this figure helps to highlight the importance of correct leveling (use an accurate level sensor) when installing any lidar. Notice again the saw shape in the curve due to the turbulence from the turbine wakes. At the complex terrain site in Alaiz, the mast has installed vertical propeller anemometers at several heights. The two graphs at the right of Table 3 show the lidar bias of the vertical wind velocity at 118 m height. The reason of using this height instead of 90 m as previously is that data availability from the propeller at 90 m is much reduced. In this set of graphs is difficult to identify a clear behavior due to the data dispersion in the plots. However, observed that when wind blows from south (180º) the lidars tend to overestimate the vertical component (with negative magnitude in this case). Contrary, when wind blows from north, the lidars seem to underestimate the vertical component, and therefore the bias is negative too. The gap in the data from around 25º to 145º is simply because there is almost no wind blowing from that sector at this site. The wind rose is very directional north/south for Alaiz. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 13/167 Book of Proceedings Table 3. Lidar vertical velocity bias vs. wind wane direction. Remember that the lidars and the mast are installed precisely at the mountain edge where the northern uniform slope gives place to a flatten hill top. So the lidar beams are sensing radial velocities above and incline surface at north and at a flat surface at south. This result in measuring different wind vectors assuming the flow follows the ground contour as in left figure from Table 4. Besides, it is important to mention that the Windcube vertical component is recorded with the opposite sign as the ones registered by the ZephIR and the propeller anemometers [3]. For this reason the Windcube value of –W has been used instead. Several authors have pointed out that the main lidar source of uncertainty in complex terrain conditions is the vertical wind speed gradient [1], [7]. To verify this hypothesis, the lidar horizontal velocity bias is plotted as function of the vertical velocity (not the gradient since it is not possible yet to estimate it from the available sensors at Alaiz) in figures from Table 4. As explained above, since the lidars are installed at the mountain edge, this is precisely the location where we expect the highest vertical speed gradient. The two graphs show very concise information about the effect of the vertical component at this siting for the lidar measurements. Very similar results are obtained if the tilt angle is used instead of W. It is clear that when the vertical component increases in magnitude, the lidars tend to underestimate the horizontal wind speed. Different slopes are observed whether the wind is blowing uphill or downhill. The reason of this behavior is not totally understood yet and further analysis is needed. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 14/167 Book of Proceedings Table 4. Lidar horizontal velocity bias vs. propeller vertical velocity. In previous paragraphs, the influence of wind turbulence was indicated to play an important role in lidar uncertainty. With that purpose the lidar bias is plotted as function of the turbulence intensity measured by the cups as shown in Table 5. Figures from flat terrain conditions show there is not a perfect correlation, but at least it is clear that the highest lidar bias occurs in periods when there is high turbulence intensity. The graphs include all the wind directions. Here it is important to mention that the definition of turbulence intensity is the wind speed variance divided by the mean wind speed during each 10-min period. Using this concept and based on cup anemometer measurements, it is not possible to know if the wind flow was for example very uniform and even uni-directional and the only parameter changing was the wind speed magnitude or if the flow was very spatially chaotic like that one inside a turbine wake. In the case of point measurements like the cup anemometers there is no a big impact but for volume measuring lidars this distinction should be more relevant to take into account. In the case of complex terrain conditions, there were no big structures in the surroundings and the wind turbulence can be considered as ambient and terrain contributions only. Here the correlation between lidar bias and turbulence intensity measured with the cups is once again not very clear and using another variable related to the wind flow uniformity might be more useful. A final variable studied for this work is the influence of the wind shear over the lidar bias. Since probe length can be of the order of several meters ate the studied heights, the wind shear might have an impact in what the lidar is measuring since the volume average of the wind speeds is at this region might differ from the actual speed at precisely the desired height. In Table 6, the lidar bias distribution at the lowest measuring height, for the two locations, is presented at the left column. Notice that in flat terrain the bias distribution is centred at zero while in flat terrain at a negative value. This means in the complex terrain site, lidars mostly underestimate the wind speed. The second column shows the lidar capability to sense the wind shear. In the flat terrain site the wind shear is in general very vertically straight but in the complex terrain site is possible to find higher (even negative) differences between the speed at higher WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 15/167 Book of Proceedings and lower heights. The two lidars in general show similar results to cup anemometers but still seem to be slightly less sensible to detect the wind speed differences at different height when they are in the range from 0 to 1.2 m/s. Table 5. Lidar horizontal velocity bias vs. turbulence intensity. Table 6. Lidar horizontal velocity bias at 40m as function of the wind shear properties. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 16/167 Book of Proceedings Fitting the measured wind profiles to the power law function U(z) = Ur (z/zr)α, we obtain the parameter that helps to characterize the wind profiles. Plotting the lidar bias as function of this α parameter can reveal how the wind shear affects the lidar bias. This is shown in the right column figures of Table . There seems to be a not a clear correlation for the flat terrain case, but for the complex terrain site, the lidar underestimation of the wind speed seems to be reduced as the α parameter increases, this means, when the wind speed is faster at higher heights than at lower heights. This insight gives an important motivation to further study the influence of the atmospheric stability over the results obtained so far. 4. Conclusions The performance of two different lidar systems has been compared to cup anemometer measurements at two different locations. The first measurement campaign was realized at flat terrain conditions while the second one at complex terrain conditions. Identifying the main sources of lidar uncertainty (assuming lidars and cups are properly calibrated) is a difficult task since the studied bias sources can affect the measurements simultaneously and identifying their individual contribution is sometimes not possible. Lidar measurements have shown to be sensitive to the wind flow uniformity (i.e. spatial wind velocity field variation). The origin of non uniform flows can be due to the presence of big structures like multi MW wind turbines or due to orography conditions like the presence of mountains, hills, forests, etc. It was shown that the variation of the vertical component of the wind velocity plays an important role in the lidar bias occurrence for the Alaiz campaign. It is still necessary to verify if this relationship is causal or if at the lidar siting (mountain edge) the vertical velocity gradient dW/dx scales with W. Since lidars work emitting a laser beam, the presence of low clouds or foggy conditions can be an issue that affects the availability of the device and the quality of the measurements. For the case of the continuous wave lidar used during the measurement campaign, the bias due to very low clouds of foggy conditions can reach an order of magnitude greater that the other bias sources. Therefore a proper methodology to identify the occurrence of these conditions is very important to assure the quality of the collected data. The continuous wave lidar has been recently upgraded with a new firmware version that is expected to reduce these effects. Yet, more data is necessary to be collected in coming months to asses its effectiveness. It is important to remember that comparing the lidar data to cup anemometer data, there is always uncertainty in both sensing devices and certain factors can affect their performance either separately or simultaneously. For the cup anemometer, it is of great significance to asses the influence of the met mast where it is installed, the response to the wind flow tilt angle and the effects of icing that can not only stop completely, but also slow down the normal anemometer rotation. Further lidar bias analysis is under development and new variables will be integrated, mentioning with special importance the influence of the atmosphere stability conditions. Furthermore, the use of fast data will be implemented in order to compare instantaneous lidar and cup anemometer data rather than 10min averages. The purpose of this study is the development of a lidar bias correction methodology for complex terrain conditions. Acknowledgements Thanks to the technician personnel at both CENER and Risø-DTU for their support setting up and keeping running all the referred equipment. The measurement campaigns are financially supported by the FP7 SAFEWIND project. The author is financially supported by the FP7 WAUDIT project. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 17/167 Book of Proceedings References [1] Bingöl, F. et al. Lidar performance in complex terrain modeled by WAsP Engineering. EWEC 2009 Proceedings. Marseille, March 2009 [2] Lindelöw, P et al. Wind shear proportional errors in the horizontal wind speed sensed by focused, range gated lidars. IOP Conf. Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1 (2008) 012023 [3] Antoniou,I. et al. Remote sensing (UPWIND WP6) six-month progress report. Risø National Laboratory for Sustainable Energy. Roskilde, November 2006 [4] Lindelöw, P et al. Flow distortion on boom mounted cup anemometers. Report number: Risø-R-1738 (E). Risø National Laboratory for Sustainable Energy. Roskilde, July 2010 [5] Jaynes, D. et al. Massachusetts Technology Collaborative: Final Progress Report: LIDAR. University of Massachusetts, July, 2007 [6] Wagner, R. Accounting for the speed shear in wind turbine power performance measurement. RisøPhD-58(EN) - Short version. Risø National Laboratory for Sustainable Energy. Roskilde, April 2010 [7] Boquet, M. Combination of Wind Lidar with CFD tools for improving measurements in complex terrain. LEOSPHERE SAS. Orsay, 2010 WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 18/167 Book of Proceedings On the application of Principal Component Analysis for accurate statisticaldynamical downscaling of wind fields Roberto Chávez-Arroyoa,b, Sergio Lozano-Galianab, Oliver Probsta,1 a b Tecnológico de Monterrey, Monterrey, Mexico National Renewable Energy Centre of Spain (CENER), Sarriguren, Spain From Energy Procedia 40: 67-76; European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2013 (EGU) Division Energy, Resources & the Environment (ERE); http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2013.08.009 Abstract A new methodology for the accurate statistical-dynamical downscaling of surface wind fields for long-term periods is described in this work. This new method is based on stratified sampling of long-term mean Sea Level Pressure fields combined with Principal Component Analysis for the determination of the most representative synthetic year. Validation is performed with 9 years of dynamically downscaled wind fields for the Iberian Peninsula obtained with the mesoscale model SKIRON. The results show that compared to the traditional method of dynamically downscaling random annual periods, the error in the predicted average wind speed is reduced by almost 30%. Keywords: Statistical-dynamical downscaling; long-term wind resource assessment; principal component analysis; mean sea level pressure 1. Introduction Methods providing an accurate estimation of the long-term wind resource are important for a range of applications including wind resource assessment, where an accurate knowledge of the long-term wind resource at mesoscale levels is required both in the early prospection and project development phases, as well as for financing and insurance. Since extended high-quality wind measurement records as suitable references are not always available in many parts of the world, mesoscale modelling or downscaling tools emerge as a natural alternative. The basic idea is the construction of regional wind maps derived from long-term large-scale data sets such as global reanalysis data sets. Three main approaches can be distinguished: (1) Dynamical , (2) statistical, and (3) statistical-dynamical. In the dynamical method (e.g. [1-4]) a large-scale data set is downscaled to the regional level by using a dynamical computational model of the atmosphere such as WRF-ARW [5] or SKIRON [6] based on temporal and spatial initialization by the global model. Available long-term global data sets are thereby translated into corresponding regional maps from which time series for the assessment of long-term averages and fluctuations can be extracted. Although the dynamical downscaling of either global or otherwise coarse numerical weather data is the most physically consistent and in principle most accurate method to simulate the wind characteristics at a regional level, the computational cost of downscaling a long-term global data set to the regional level is considerable, and the computing time achievable at standard facilities is often not acceptable. An alternative approach are statistical procedures (e.g. [7-10]) which attempt to establish statistical relationships between large-scale and mesoscale phenomena and use these relationships for the long-term prospection at the site of interest. A hybrid class of methods combining the strengths of both preceding methods at a reduced computational cost are statistical- 1 Corresponding author: Oliver Probst Physics Department, Tecnológico de Monterrey, Eugenio Garza Sada 2501, Monterrey 64849, MexicoTel.: +52-81-8358-2000, e-mail: [email protected] WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 19/167 Book of Proceedings dynamical methods [11-25]. The underlying idea in most statistical-dynamical downscaling (SDD) methods is the assumption that the climate of a region can be classified into several typical weather situations which should be sufficiently characteristic of the long-term behaviour of the phenomena under study. Afterwards, each group is integrated with a high-resolution numerical weather model to predict the local climate features [15]. Although several authors have described SDD methods, based on either stationary classification schemes [11-20] or on the classification of weather episodes of different duration using linear and nonlinear methods [21-26], it is worth noting that comparisons against purely dynamical procedures are scarce, in particular for the wind statistics important for wind power engineering such as the seasonal and daily wind profiles, wind frequency roses and average wind speed. SDD methodologies based on the stationary classification of synoptic-scale weather regimes are generally physically meaningful and often lead to a reasonably small number of classes. There are however several important downsides limiting their usefulness for wind prospecting purposes. First of all, the statistical treatment of the input data leads to a loss of time-dependent phenomena. Secondly, the simulation of daily or seasonal phenomena, required for a meaningful validation, is difficult because of the large number of classes required for such a distinction. An alternative are SDD methods based on algorithmic approaches that look for dynamical or quasi-dynamical weather episodes; such approaches allow for the simulation of entire weather cycles, and their predictions are easier to compare with measurements. Fuentes and Heimann [20] selected particular multi-day mesoscale episodes by hierarchical cluster analysis in combination with a spatio-temporal distance measure to aggregate consecutive dates with similar synoptic patters described by the first Principal Components of the geopotential at 500hPa. They then dynamically downscaled those representative episodes selected by the k-means cluster algorithm applied to the episodes with the same temporal length. Hagemann [21] proposed the use of Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) to select a representative continuous set of 365 days which were afterwards downscaled dynamically. The selection was based on the evaluation of those 365days sets that best matched the frequency of occurrence of each SOM node (clusters) compared to the long-term clusters’ frequencies. Similarly, Hahmann et al. [22] also proposed the application of SOM for the generation of wind speed atlases by using SOM as a synoptic classification tool to select representative samples of large scale wind forcing. Rife et al. [23] also identified representative periods and based their selection on testing the similarity between the long-term period and a random sample drawn from a large number of reduced daily sets. The similarity metric was based on wind speed and direction distributions obtained from the first native vertical level of the MERRA global reanalysis data set for the point that best correlated with the measurements. In a similar approach Tammelin et al. [24] dynamically downscaled 4 years of different monthly periods requiring the geostrophic wind components (winds at 850hPa) of each 48-month period to be as representative as possible of the wind speed and direction distributions of the reference 19-year long-term period. In a recent work, Martínez et al. [25] use Principal Component Analysis to determine the Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF) corresponding to the long-term large-scale climate and downscale them to the regional scale. By applying the Principal Component time series of the large-scale data set to the downscaled version of the corresponding EOF they were able to extract time series which could be compared to measured wind speed records. In the present work, a new methodology is proposed which is based on the determination of an optimal set of 365 daily episodes which best represents the long-term large-scale climate in a region of interest. Maps of the mean sea level pressure (SLP) field from the NCEP-DOE global reanalysis II project [27] are used as a proxy for the large-scale long-term climate. Once this optimal or representative 365-day largescale climate set has been determined, it can be used for dynamical downscaling for the creation of regional surface wind field data sets. The selection of this period is based on the following steps: (1) Creation of a large number of monthly data sets by randomly sampling the long-term data base using a technique similar to the one by Rife et al. [23]. This approach is also known as stratified sampling. (2) The Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF) both for the long-term fields and the random 365-day sample are calculated and compared to each other by calculating the Euclidean distance between the two EOF sets. The optimal or representative sample is chosen by the requirement that the distance between the EOF WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 20/167 Book of Proceedings sets should be minimal. (3) The results are validated by comparing the wind fields obtained from dynamically downscaling 9 years of NCEP/GFS (National Centers for Environmental Protection / Global Forecast System) global climate data for the Iberian peninsula using the SKIRON model [6, 27] against the wind fields extracted from the SKIRON results for the representative period determined in step (2). Since SKIRON runs were conducted on a daily basis (36-hour runs, discarding the initial 12 hours of each period to account for spin-up) this extraction procedure is equivalent to downscaling the 365-day representative period. Wind statistics relevant for wind resource assessment defined in section 2.3 are used for discussion. 2. Methods and Data 2.1 Selection of the most representative period As mentioned above, the new method presented in this work belongs to the field of statistical-dynamical downscaling of large-scale climate data. As a suitable variable representing the synoptic meteorology we use the mean sea level pressure (SLP) field from the R-2 which has been successfully related to the wind speed variability in literature [28, 29]. Following the approach proposed by Rife et al. [23] a large number N of samples, typically N=100,000, composed of 365-day daily time series are created by random sampling the long-term SLP data set, ensuring that each sample contains 28|30|31-days per month; this is referred to as a stratified sampling technique. Then, each month of the random sample is compared to the corresponding average month of the long-term period by using the procedure described below. j ij The monthly (j-th month) anomalies for the long-term period and i-th sample set, X and Y , respectively, are calculated by subtracting both the time average and spatial average from the sea level pressure (SLP) field (Lui et al. [31]) x1,1 ⋯ x1,S X ( t, s ) = ⋮ ⋱ ⋮ = SLP (t , s) − SLP (s) − SLP (t ) x T ,1 … xT ,S (1) Where T is the time and S the spatial dimension of the field X (t, s); X stands for either X j or Y ij. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is applied to both X j and Y ij, yielding an orthonormal base, commonly known as the set of Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOFs), for each field. We will refer to these bases as {e i, m X } and {e ij, m Y}, respectively. If {e m} is referred to as either set of EOFs, then the field X can be expressed as X ( t, s ) = P ∑ αm (t )em (s) (2) m =1 Where the coefficients or amplitudes α m(s) are usually referred to as the Principal Components (PC) of the field X. The basis {e m} is formally obtained from the eigenvalue problem of the covariance matrix Σ of X, and the corresponding eigenvalues λ m represent the variance associated with each EOF em. The idea behind the new method proposed in this work is to use the similarity between the sets {e i, mX} and {e ij, mY} as a criterion of the representativeness of the sample Y ij with respect to the long-term field Xj for a given month j. While in principle the full sets could be used for comparison, most of the variation of the field is contained in the first few eigenvalues of the covariance matrix Σ. This allows to significantly increase the computational efficiency of the procedure by limiting the comparison to the first M EOFs which capture a certain fraction of the total variance. In our case, we found 70% to be a convenient number, i.e. M S m =1 m =1 ∑ λm ≅ 0.7 ∑ λm = 0.7Tr ( Σ ) WAUDIT Contract# 238576 (3) CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 21/167 Book of Proceedings Where S, as before, is the spatial dimension of X and therefore the dimension of the covariance matrix. In the second equality we have expressed the fact that the trace of a (square) matrix is equal to the sum of its eigenvalues and invariant under changes of basis. Consequently, the total variance can be calculated without having to calculate the full set of EOFs. Once the reduced sets of EOFs have been determined, the sample Rj which is most representative of the long-term base is determined as the monthly sample that minimizes the Euclidean distance between the bases {ej, m X}’ and {e ij, m Y}’, where the apostrophe (’) indicates that only the first M EOFs of each original base have been considered: δ ij = M ∑ m =1 e jX,m − eijY,m 2 { } R j = X ij | δ ij = inf δ ij i (4) (5) An example of the results from the PCA decomposition method applied to the SLP fields is depicted in Figure 1 where the first two eigenvectors from the 33-years SLP anomalies for December are shown. These EOFs represent two of the most important SLP archetypes over Europe since their variance accounts for more than 40% of the total variance and from which we can find the well-known pattern associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation [32] in the first EOF and the Euro-Asian configuration for the second EOF [33]. Figure 1: First two EOFs from the 33-years SLP December anomalies with their corresponding eigenvalues indicated at the top. In order to compare the new method to standard wind industry practices for the estimation of the longterm wind resource (as described by Rife et al. [23]) a reference method was also implemented, where the representative period is obtained as a random sample drawn from the long-term period. In this approach each calendar day of the representative year is determined from randomly selecting among the corresponding set of repetitions of that calendar day within the long-term period, in this case for a 33-year period. In the following we will refer to this method as the traditional one (TRAD). WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 22/167 Book of Proceedings 2.2 Validation procedure –Iberian Peninsula case study. The performance of the proposed statistical-dynamical downscaling method is assessed by the comparison of the wind fields obtained with the regional weather model SKIRON for a domain covering the Iberian Peninsula for the selected (representative) 365-days sample and the full 9-year period modeled; the model domain is shown in Figure 2 (dotted area). The SKIRON model is currently developed and supported by the Atmospheric Modeling and Weather Forecasting Group (AM&WFG) at the University of Athens (NKUA) [28]. This regional model is based on the Eta/NCEP model which in turn is built over the eta coordinates system in the vertical and over the semi-staggered Arakawa E grid in the horizontal [6]. The SKIRON wind fields are obtained by dynamically downscaling the 12UTC cycle analysis from the NCEP/GFS data down to a horizontal resolution of 0.05° x 0.05° with 45 eta levels in the vertical. Additionally, daily SST (Sea Surface Temperature) information is used for model initialization. The temporal horizon for the SKIRON runs is 36 hours; the first 12 hours are discarded to avoid the spin-up of the model (see Gaston et al. [3] for more details). The results from the downscaling runs are postprocessed in order to obtain the wind values at 80m height by performing a power law interpolation from the eta levels. For the PCA methodology a wide enough domain from the R-2 SLP data that includes Europe, northern Africa and part of Middle East is used in order to account for the synoptic patterns affecting the Peninsular region (Figure 2). The SKIRON domain is limited to an area slightly larger than the Iberian Peninsula with the purpose of leaving a buffer zone than can be used for the transition needed to accommodate the dynamical and physical differences between the GFS data used for initialization and SKIRON. Figure 2: European window used for the PCA decomposition of the SLP fields from the R-2 data set, where grid points are represented by black dots. The dotted black rectangle represents the domain covered by the downscaling performed with the SKIRON model. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 23/167 Book of Proceedings 2.3 Validation metrics. Several metrics are used to compare the long-term (9-year) time series and the time series generated from the 365 selected days (representative sample R) for each point of the domain simulated with SKIRON. These metrics are inspired by wind statistics that are meaningful for wind resource assessment studies. The following metrics have been used in this work are described below: The first metric is the average wind speed difference: ε s = S LT − S RP (6) where SLT(x, y) and SRP(x, y) are the wind speed maps (80m) for the long-term and the representative period, respectively. The second, third, and four metrics are the mean absolute error (MAE) and the correlation coefficients (CC) for hourly and seasonal profiles, respectively: εT = ρT = 1 T ∑ SpLT − Sp RP T p =1 cov ST LT , ST RP ( ) σ (ST ) LT )σ (ST RP (7) (8) Where T = 12 (months) or T = 24 (hours) for the seasonal and hourly wind speed averages and correlation coefficients, respectively. The last metric considered in this study is the weighted compound frequency histogram defined as: D= nbins ∑ b =1 wb fbLT − fbRP fbLT (9) Where fbLT and fbRP are the relative frequencies for the long-term and representative period computed in a total number of bins given by nbins for the wind speed and the wb is a weighting factor which was defined as the long-term frequency i.e. wb = fbLT. The aforementioned validation procedure was carried out for the PCA method and then compared with the results obtained with the traditional method described above. 3. Results An example of the results of the PCA methodology in terms of the SLP patterns can be observed in Figure 3 where the leading EOF for May is depicted for a) the period 2003-2012 as well as for b) the final selection made by the PCA methodology and c) for a randomly selected period (industry standard method). Despite the expected differences, it can be noticed that the di-pole system between Greenland and the Azores Islands present in the long-term fields is well reproduced with the novel method proposed in this work, but degenerated by the traditional method. This difference is illustrated by a comparison of the Euclidean distance (equation 4) between the long-term and the sample set; this distance is 1.42 for the traditional compared to 0.5 for the new PCA-based method. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 24/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 3: First EOF for the SLP May anomalies for a) the long-term period, b) PCA the representative period selected by the new PCA-based method, c) the period selected by the industry-standard method (TRAD) . The associated Euclidean distance to the long-term EOF is shown in the lower right corner of figs b) and c). εS ρ12 |ε24| |ε12| D 0.8 1.2 ρ24 1 0.8 1 0.6 0.15 1 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.5 0 0.4 0.1 0.6 0 0.2 0.3 0.4 −0.4 −0.2 0.2 0.05 −0.6 0 −0.4 0.2 0.1 −0.2 −0.8 −1 0.2 0.4 −0.2 ↑ ↑ ↑ PCA TRAD PCA ↑ TRAD 0 ↑ ↑ PCA TRAD 0 ↑ ↑ PCA TRAD −0.6 ↑ ↑ PCA TRAD −0.8 ↑ PCA ↑ TRAD Figure 4: Resulting metrics (equations 6 - 9) from the comparison between periods selected by the PCA method and the traditional method (TRAD) for the different wind-based statistics described in section 2.3. The influence of this synoptic system on the surface winds is shown in the boxplots of Figure 4 which illustrate the overall results obtained for the 99051 grid points in the SKIRON domain for the metrics defined in section 2.3. In all cases, except for the correlation coefficients, the lower the values of the statistics the better the prediction of the long-term wind resource. The more significant improvements can be observed for the difference in average wind speed ε s and the monthly and daily wind cycle MAE (|ε 12| and |ε 24|) in which not only the dispersion is reduced but also the median of all points is drastically reduced by ~80% , ~25% and ~20% for ε s, |ε12| and |ε 24|) respectively. Figure 5: Wind statistics for the virtual time series generated for one SKIRON point with a) the wind speed frequency plot together with their Weibull distribution curves (dotted lines) where the corresponding scale (“c”) and shape (“k”) factors are shown in the legends. The right- hand figure b) shows the monthly (dotted lines) and the hourly (solid lines) profiles for the three time series. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 25/167 Book of Proceedings These differences are illustrated in Figure 5 for a single point time series within the SKIRON domain (coordinates [42.65 , -7.75]) in which the wind speed frequency is shown together with their corresponding Weibull probability density function curves (Figure 5a) for the long-term, the new PCAbased method and the traditional approach (TRAD); the new method clearly provides an improved prediction of the long-term Weibull parameters. Figure 5 (b) shows the monthly and hourly wind profiles for these three data sets; in both cases the PCA-based method provides an improved prediction with a noteworthy improvement in the daily profile which is very relevant for time-of-day generation of wind farms. Regarding the spatial distribution of the errors, it can be observed from Figure 7 that the new PCA-based method produces a far more homogeneous error map than the industry-standard approach. Higher wind error statistics are related to areas with higher wind variability as illustrated in Figure 6. This coincidence was expected since extra variability is highly related to both windy areas and sites with strong influence of local phenomena. Figure 6: Standard deviation (m/s) for the SKIRON 9-years wind map. 4. Conclusions A new approach for the statistical-dynamical downscaling for the generation of accurate long-term wind maps is presented in this work. The new method is based on the construction of a representative period of 365 daily episodes which best matches the long-term climate in a region of interest. The selection of this period is achieved through a method based on Empirical Orthogonal Function from a large number of sample candidates generated through a random process. As any statistical-dynamical downscaling method the new approach offers a very significant reduction of computing time and power over the direct downscaling of the long-term wind climate, while providing an accurate prediction not only of the average wind speed but also of wind velocity parameters relevant to wind resource assessment, including wind speed distributions and daily and monthly wind speed profiles. Compared to the industry-standard approach for the generation of long-term wind maps based on the downscaling of a randomly selected annual period very significant improvements in prediction accuracy have been achieved. A particularly noteworthy improvement of this methodology is a better representation of the temporal variability with WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 26/167 Book of Proceedings typical MAE values of 0.4m/s for the monthly and 0.15 m/s for the hourly profiles, which is around 30% better than the industry standard method and which can be considered small when compared to other important sources of uncertainties such as those related to the NWP physics. Figure 7: Spatial distribution of the Mean Absolute Errors in the monthly profiles of the proposed Principal Component Analysis method (left) and the traditional method (right) Acknowledgements The financial support of Tecnológico de Monterrey through funding of the research chair for wind energy (contract number CAT158) as well as the support from the Mexican Council for Science and Technology (CONACyT) is gratefully acknowledged. A late stage of this project also benefitted from financial aid from the Marie Curie training program through the WAUDIT project at CENER. References [1] Larsén XG, Mann J, Berg J, Göttel H, Jacob D. Wind climate from the regional climate model REMO. Wind Energy. 2010; 13:279–96. [2] Al-Yahyai S, Charabi Y, Gastli A. Review of the use of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) Models for wind energy assessment. Renew. Sust. Energ. Rev. 2010;14(9):3192–8. [3] Gastón M, Pascal E, Frías L, Martí I, Irigoyen U, Cantero E, et al. Wind resources map of Spain at mesoscale. Methodology and validation on. EWEC conference proceedings. Brussels, Belgium. 2008. [4] Hahmann AN, Rostkier-Edelstein D, Warner TT, Vandenberghe F, Liu Y, Babarsky R, et al. A Reanalysis System for the Generation of Mesoscale Climatographies. J. Appl. Meteorol. 2010; 49(5):954–72. [5] Skamarock WC, Klemp JB, Gill DO, Barker DM, Duda MG, Wang W, et al. A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 3. Atmospheric Research. Boulder, CO; 2008. [6] Kallos G, Nickovic S, Papadopoulos A, Jovic D, Kakaliagou O, Misirlis N, et al. The regional weather forecasting system SKIRON: an overview. Proceedings of the International Symposium on Regional Weather Prediction on Parallel Computer Environments 1997. pp. 109–122. Athens, [7] Zorita E, von Storch H. The Analog Method as a Simple Statistical Downscaling Technique: Comparison with More Complicated Methods. J. Climate. 1999; 12(8):2474–89. [8] Wilby RL, Wigley TML. Downscaling general circulation model output: a review of methods and limitations. Prog. Phys. Geog. 1997; 21(4):530–48 [9] Wilby RL, Charles SP, Zorita E, Timbal B, Whetton P, Mearns LO. Guidelines for Use of Climate Scenarios Developed from Statistical Downscaling Methods. Supporting material of the IPCC. 2004; p 1–27. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 27/167 Book of Proceedings [10] Pryor SC. Empirical downscaling of wind speed probability distributions. J. Geophys. Res. 2005; 110 p. D19109.1-D19109.12 [11] Wippermann F, Gross G. On the construction of orographically influenced wind roses for given distributions of the large-scale wind. Beitr. Phys. Atmos. 1981; 54, 492-501. [12] Heimann D. Estimation of regional surface layer wind field characteristics using a three-layer mesoscale model. Beitr. Phys. Atmosph. 1986;59(4):518–37. [13] Frey-Buness F, Heimann D, Sausen R. A Statistical-Dynamical Downscaling Procedure for Global Climate Simulations. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 1995;50:117–31. [14] Fuentes U, Heimann D. Verification of statistical-dynamical downscaling in the Alpine region. Climate Res. 1996;7:151–68. [15] Mengelkamp H. Statistical-dynamical downscaling of wind climatologies. J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn. 1997;67-68:449–57. [16] Bergström H. Wind Statistics Mapping Using a Higher-order Closure Meso-scale Model. EWEC conference proceedings 2007. [17] Mengelkamp H-T. Wind Climate Simulation over Complex Terrain and Wind Turbine Energy Output Estimation. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 1999 Aug 24;63(3-4):129–39. [18] Frank HP, Landberg L. Modeling the wind climate of Ireland. Bound. Lay. Meteorol. 1997;359–78. [19] Frank HP, Rathmann O, Mortensen NG, Landberg L. The Numerical Wind Atlas - the KAMM / W AsP Method. Riso report ris-r-1252, 2001 [20] Fuentes U, Heimann D. An Improved Statistical-Dynamical Downscaling Scheme and its Application to the Alpine Precipitation Climatology. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 2000; 19;65(3-4):119–35. [21] Hagemann K. Mesoscale Wind Atlas of South Africa. PhD thesis. University of Cape Town; 2008. [22] Hahmann AN, Vincent CL, Division WE. Applications of Self Organizing Maps in Wind Energy Meteorology. EMS Annual Meeting. Zurich, Switzerland; 2010. [23] Rife DL, Vanvyve E, Pinto JO, Monaghan AJ, Davis CA, Poulos GS. Selecting Representative Days for More Efficient Dynamical Climate Downscaling: Application to Wind Energy. J. Appl. Meteor. & Climatol. 2013;52:47–63. [24] Tammelin B, Vihma T, Atlaskin E, Badger J, Fortelius C, Gregow H, et al. Production of the Finnish Wind Atlas. Wind Energy. 2013;16(2011):19–35. [25] Martinez Y, Yu W, Lin H. A New Statistical–Dynamical Downscaling Procedure Based on EOF Analysis for Regional Time Series Generation. J. Appl. Meteor. & Climatol. 2013 Apr;52(4):935–52. [26] Otero-Casal C, Miguez-Macho G, López P, Canoura F. Calculating a high-resolution Wind Resource Map with WRF using SOM clustering techniques. 12th WRF Users’ Workshop. 2011. [27] Kanamitsu M, Ebisuzaki W, Woollen J, Yang S-K, Hnilo JJ, Fiorino M, et al. NCEP–DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2). B. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 2002 ;83(11):1631–43. [28] Pytharoulis I, Katsafados P, Kallos G. The Weather Forecasting System SKIRON - Model configuration and setup. Athens, Greece; 2005. [29] Conway D, Jones PD. The use of weather types and air flow indices for GCM downscaling. J. Hydrol. 1998 Dec;212-213:348–61. [30] Davy RJ, Woods MJ, Russell CJ, Coppin P a. Statistical Downscaling of Wind Variability from Meteorological Fields. Bound. Lay. Meteorol. 2010;135(1):161–75. [31] Liu Y, Weisberg R., He R. Sea Surface Temperature Patterns on the West Florida Shelf Using Growing Hierarchical Self-Organizing Maps. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol. 2006;23:325–38. [32] Hurrell JW, Van Loon H. Decadal variations in climate associated with the north atlantic oscillation. Climatic Change. 1997;36:301–26. [33] Barnston AG and Livezey RE. Classification, Seasonality and Persistence of Low- Frequency Atmospheric Circulation Patterns. Mon. Wea. Rev. 1987; 115, 1083–1126 WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 28/167 Book of Proceedings Sand erosion technique applied to wind resource assessment Boris Conana,b,5, Jeroen van Beecka, Sandrine Aubrunb a von Karman Institute for Fluid Dynamics, 1640 Rhode-Saint-Gènese, Belgium b PRISME Laboratory, Orléans University, France From J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn. 104–106: 322–329 (2012); doi.org/10.1016/j.jweia.2012.03.017 Abstract One of the major challenges of the wind energy sector is to accurately predict the wind potential. This task is especially difficult in mountainous terrains where the topography can imply complex relief-induced flows. Wind tunnel testing is one of the possibilities to simulate and predict the wind for wind turbine micro-siting. Most advanced quantitative measurement techniques can be used in the wind tunnel, however, measuring the whole terrain to find the highest wind potential zones is very time-consuming. This paper proposes to use a very simple, quick and cheap technique to detect and evaluate the high wind speed areas over an entire model. Commonly used for pedestrian wind comfort assessment, the sand erosion technique is here applied to wind resource assessment. The technique can provide valuable qualitative informations but can also give an order of magnitude of the local speed-up. It is first applied to a backward facing step flow and then on a mountainous terrain. An amplification factor and the fractional speed-up ratio (FSR) can be calculated over the entire mountain. For high speed positions results extracted from sand erosion appears to be comparable the one calculated by particle image velocimetry. The technique is repeatable, able to perform a detection of the high speed area, and capable of giving an estimation of the amplitude of the wind. The technique allows to restrict the use of quantitative measurements to the most interesting areas. Keywords: Sand erosion technique; PIV; Wind energy; Wind resource assessment; Wind tunnel test 1. Introduction In the fast development of wind energy, wind-farms tend to be more and more located in complex terrains. On a cliff, a hill or a mountain, the wind speed-up created at the top of the topography is an advantage for the wind farm productivity. However, the complexity of the terrain increases the difficulty of determining the wind characteristics (direction, mean speed, turbulence); therefore the prediction of the wind resource and the profitability of a wind farm becomes more challenging. The wind resource assessment in complex terrain and the determination of the local effect of a topography on wind characteristics can be performed by physical modelling in the wind tunnel. To measure the flow in the wind tunnel, measurement techniques like hot-wire anemometry (HWA) and Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) are used. The state-of-art PIV technique allows the determination of the mean wind speed and the turbulence level of the three velocity components in a volume (usually reduced to a few centimetres). However, for cost effective reasons, two velocity components in a two dimensional plane is the most common technique. Despite the very good spatial resolution, the frequency resolution of PIV is often a limitation for measuring the turbulence spectra (>10 kHz needed) that is an order of magnitude above the classical PIV possibilities. The hot-wire technique can complement the PIV measurements by a punctual measurement of the three velocity components with a very high frequency 5 Corresponding author: Boris Conan Environmental & Applied Fluid Dynamics Department, von Karman Institute for Fluid Dynamics, 1640 Rhode-Saint-Gènese, Belgium, Tel.: +32 2 359 97 60, e-mail: [email protected] WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 29/167 Book of Proceedings resolution (>10 kHz). This technique is used for computing the spectral density distribution and the turbulence length scales. Those two very accurate techniques can fully characterize the wind profile (Conan et al., 2011a). However, the installation and the use of these techniques require time, precision and a lot of precautions. A first estimation of the location of the speed-up areas is a very valuable information to save time by reducing the measurement zone. This paper presents a simple tool for a global approach of the wind over complex terrains: the sand erosion technique. For the assessment of pedestrian-level wind in urban areas, where computational techniques remain very difficult to use, erosion tests are ordinary carried out in a wind tunnel to predict the wind comfort: see Stathopoulos (2006), Plate (1999), Dezsö (2006) and van Beeck et al. (2009). Simple, quick and cheap, erosion techniques are commonly performed for studying urban flows. Based on this experience, the sand erosion technique is here tested in another application: wind resource assessment in complex terrain. The objective of this work is to evaluate the possibility of using the sand erosion technique as an initial qualitative vision of the potential wind park siting areas on a large domain. The technique allows to focus further investigations with more expensive quantitative measurement techniques. The study presents the technique, proposes a methodology to use it, assesses the reliability of the results, discusses its limitations and presents visualizations and quantitative measurements compared with proven techniques. Tests are performed first on a backward-facing step (BFS) and then on a mountainous terrain, the Alaiz mountain (Spain). 2. The sand erosion technique 2.1 Principle The sand erosion technique is commonly used for pedestrian-level wind assessment in urban area. It is based on the erosion of sand placed on a model. Different authors developed methodologies to use the technique for wind comfort assessment: Viegas and Borges (1986), Williams (1986), Livesey et al. (1992), Blocken and Carmeliet (2004); and Dezsö (2006). In practice, the model is placed in a wind tunnel and covered with a thin layer of 1 mm to 1.5 mm of sieved sand. The surface of the model is usually painted black and the sand used is either white or coloured to contrast with the background. The sand placed on a surface has the property to erode at a given friction-velocity called here threshold friction-velocity, U*th. The velocity of the wind tunnel is then increased step by step and a picture is taken after 1 min of exposition to a given free-stream velocity. At each velocity step, areas on the model are more and more eroded and contrast with the rest of the model still covered by the sand. Revealed sand contours are iso-friction-velocity contours and the frictionvelocity is close to the threshold friction-velocity of the sand (U*th). The relationship between the sand erosion patterns and the friction-velocity is still not completely understood, especially in detached zones. Dezsö-Weidinger et al. (2003) showed that the eroded area contours are linked to the mean frictionvelocity and the RMS. In regions with high turbulence level, the sand erodes for a lower mean frictionvelocity due to large fluctuations around the mean that are higher than the threshold friction-velocity of the sand (U*th). Another limitation of the technique is the easier entrainment of particles due to up-wind particle impacts, this is called "down-wind erosion" and discussed in Section 4.2.4. Sand contours are evolving at each velocity step and give a visualization of the locations of the high velocity zones. Different techniques (Section 2.3) allow to compute an amplification factor map or to retrieve the velocity at a higher altitude. Figure 1 presents an example of sand erosion patterns obtained on a large model of a mountain (details are given in Section 4). WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 30/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 1: Example of a model at the beginning of the test (left) after 1 min at 6 m/s (middle) and after 1 min at 7 m/s (right). 2.2 Sand characteristics The sand used is sieved and measured to be statistically mono-dispersed around a mean diameter of 400 µm. A friction velocity calibration is performed on a flat-smooth plate. To do so, a layer of sand is placed on a flat plate and the wind tunnel speed is raised step by step until the sand erodes, at that moment, the friction-velocity exceeds the threshold friction-velocity of the sand. For that speed, the velocity profile is measured by hot-wire anemometry (HWA), Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) or Laser Doppler Velocimetry (LDV). The friction-velocity is deduced from Bradshaw's method (Bradshaw and Huang, 1995). For the sand employed in this study, U*th = 0.27 m/s. Because the threshold friction-velocity is a property of the sand, it has to be calibrated only once and then it can be used in different set-up with different configurations. 2.3 Methodology To extract useful information from the sand erosion test, a specific methodology is followed. The model is first covered partially or completely with 1 mm sand layer as described in Section 2.1, the free-stream velocity of the wind tunnel, Ui, is then increased by steps of 0.5 m/s and an image is taken after 1 min of exposure to each velocity step. One minute is long enough so that sand contours are stable and do not depend much on the initial sand thickness non-uniformities, and short enough so that extreme gusts do not play an important role (see van Beeck et al., 2009; Dezs+o, 2006). At each step, at the sand contour, the friction-velocity is U*th. The free-stream velocity of every step (Ui) can be compared to the free-stream velocity (at the same height) for which the sand flies on a flat surface with an empty test section: Uref. This allows to define an amplification factor, A, giving the speed-up or the speed-down due to the model (see Blocken and Carmeliet, 2004): A= U ref Ui (1) Where the sand erodes for a free-stream velocity lower than the reference velocity (Ui<Uref), the model creates a local speed-up (A>1). At the contrary, if locations are not eroded for Ui>Uref, it means that those locations are speed-down zones (A<1). Thanks to the different velocity steps realized and an automatic detection of contours, a map of amplification factor can be drawn. The well known Fractional Speed-up Ratio (FSR) can also be computed. In this case, (Ui) is varying at each step and Uref is a constant: FSR = U ref − Ui = A −1 Ui (2) With this method, there is no need to know the threshold friction-velocity of the sand, however Eqs. (1) and (2) are valid under some major hypothesis (Blocken and Carmeliet, 2004): the flow is Reynolds number independent in the range of velocity used, the flow is fully developed, the flow near the wall follows the logarithmic law profile and the sand erosion occurs always at the same ground-level wind speed. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 31/167 Book of Proceedings Knowing the threshold friction-velocity allows to compute the velocity at a height, z, thanks to the universal log-law of the wall for turbulent flow over smooth wall (Bradshaw and Huang, 1995) z ⋅ U* th U (z ) = U* th ⋅ 5 + 2.5ln ν (3) with U(z): velocity (m/s) at altitude z (m) and ν: kinetic viscosity of the air (m2/s). The applicability of Eq. (3) is presented in Section 3. The methods presented allow to extract quantitative data like amplification factors or FSR. 2.4 Contour detection method All images taken at the different velocity steps are processed with an in-house MatLab code detecting the sand contours. In the wind tunnel, the contrast is increased by using white sand on black-painted model. The code transforms the image in black and white and then in binary. The contours are then smoothed and finally detected (Fig. 2). A full amplification factor or FSR map can be extracted. Figure 2: Post-processing steps: raw image (left), binary image (middle) and contours detection (right). 3. Validation test: the backward facing step For validation purposes, the technique is applied to a wellknown case study, the Backward Facing Step (BFS). The aim is to perform a sand erosion test as described in Section 2.3 and to compare the results with quantitative measurements. 3.1. Experimental set-up and quantitative measurements The experiment is conducted in a blowing type wind tunnel able to provide 20m/s with 0.3 % free-stream turbulence intensity. The test section (0.2 x 0.2 m2) is equipped with a 1000mm long wooden flat plate with a H = 20 mm height backward-facing step. A sand paper strip is placed at the start of the plate to trigger the development of a turbulent boundary layer (Fig. 3). The Reynolds number based on the step height and the wind tunnel free-stream velocity (U∞ = 17.1m/s) is: ReH = (U∞·H)/ν = 21,800. Figure 3: Wind tunnel set-up for the backward-facing step test case (Dezsö, 2006). WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 32/167 Book of Proceedings The flow downstream of the step is measured using particle image velocimetry (PIV) and a set of 500 images is used for computing the time-averaged flow field. The statistical error on velocity in the freestream is assessed to 2% at 98% confidence level. The single velocity measurement error is approximately 70.25 m/s. Presented in numerous literature papers like (Scarano et al., 1999) or (Le et al., 1997), the time-averaged flow field, shown in Fig. 4, is characterised by a clockwise recirculation area extending up to 5.5 H downstream of the step and a counter-clockwise corner vortex at the foot of the step. Figure 4: Time averaged velocity magnitude and velocity streamlines on the BFS at Re = 21,800 (Dezsö, 2006). Figure 5: Comparison of the FSR computed from PIV measurements and from sand erosion tests (top). Top view of the sand erosion pattern after 1 min at 17 m/s (bottom). (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article). WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 33/167 Book of Proceedings 3.2 Sand erosion tests and comparison of the results The downstream part of the step is covered with a thin layer of sand (Fig. 3). The amplification factor (A) and the FSR (Eqs. (1) and (2)) are computed at five free-stream velocities: 15.3 m/s, 16 m/s, 16.5 m/s, 17 m/s, and 17.6 m/s. To be comparable with sand erosion, the mean velocity of the PIV data is calculated as U = ( u ) . Fig. 5 presents the comparison of the FSR extracted fromsand erosion (dots) with the PIV results (full lines). Two curves are plotted from the PIV results: the mean velocity, U (in red), and the mean velocity plus the RMS, U + Urms (in blue). The sand erosion result has the same trend and falls between the two curves extracted from PIV. For low turbulence (x/H < 3), the sand gives rather good agreement (2%) with quantitative measurement. However, at the re-attachment zone (4 < x/H <6), the sand erosion gives values closer to U + Urms. Sand erosion contours are thus overestimating the mean velocity in regions with high turbulence intensity. This is conservative for wind comfort studies because uncomfortable zones are never missed. However, for wind energy assessment this is less favorable because a soon erosion can be due to a high mean velocity or a high turbulence level (see Section 2.1). Consequently, for application of the sand erosion technique to the wind energy sector, the high speed locations are never missed but the level of turbulence has to be assessed by other means in order to establish confidence in the mean velocity prediction from sand contours. 4. Aplication to complex terrain In this section, experiments are performed on a model of a mountainous terrain situated next to Pamplona in the North of Spain, the Alaiz mountain. Wind farms already exist on site and field measurements are currently being performed. CFD computations by Cabezón et al. (2007) and MunozEsparza et al. (2011) as well as wind tunnel experiments (Conan et al., 2011a,b) have already been carried out concerning this site. 4.1 Description of the experiment 4.1.1 The Alaiz mountain The mountain is 1130 m high and is stretching over 10 km in the W–E direction and over 8 km in the N–S direction (Fig. 6). The configuration tested in the wind tunnel is the dominant wind direction: North. Upstream the mountain, to the North, a 200 m high ridge is facing the incoming wind (X = 0.75 m in Fig. 6) and the wind tunnel mock-up is designed to include it because it is expected to affect the incoming flow. The area modelled is 16 km x 15 km. Giving the test section constraints, the scaling factor is 5300. The mock-up is the one used by Conan et al. (2011a), which was directly drilled in Necurons from the 3D topographic file with 1/10 mm precision. The finishing is of the order of 10 mm. As a first approach, the roughness of the terrain is not modelled. A line following the wind direction is defined to perform quantitative measurements (Fig. 6). Two main crests can be defined on the mountain: a first one, the main crest, is at the position of P4 and a second one just before the position P6. 4.1.2 Atmospheric boundary layer modelling Tests are performed in the VKI-L1 boundary layer wind tunnel. The test section is 15 m long, 3 m wide and 2 m high. This length allows the development of a neutral atmospheric boundary layer generated thanks to a grid and a step at the entrance of the test section, and roughness elements spread over 12 m on the floor. The boundary layer modelled represents both the velocity and the turbulence profile of a moderately rough to rough terrain with z0 = 2.2 m at real scale (see Conan et al., 2011a; VDI-guidelines, 2000; Eurocode, 2004). WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 34/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 6: Alaiz model: top view and profile of the terrain following the measurement line. Red area: sand erosion zone. Points R1 and R2 are reference positions and points P1 to P7 are measurement position. (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.) 4.1.3. Quantitative measurements: particle image velocimetry and hot-wire anemometry A quantitative assessment of the wind over the mountain is performed with particle image velocimetry (PIV) (Raffel et al., 1998) and hot-wire anemometry (HWA) (Bruun, 2002). Measurements are performed on the vertical plane presented in Fig. 6, between measurement points R1 and P7. PIV is performed between R2 and P7 with a free-stream velocity at 1 m above the floor of 14 m/s. The mountain height based Reynolds number is ReM = 105,000. The average velocity vector field is computed in the vertical plane (U, W) over 500 images taken at a sampling frequency of 3 Hz. The statistical uncertainty associated is assessed to 1.5% at 95% confidence level for the mean speed and 8% for the RMS at the same confidence level. Additionally, hot-wire measurements are performed at each of the positions at a sampling frequency of 5 kHz. The uncertainty is assessed to 1% for mean values and 5.7% from RMS at 95% confidence level. PIV and HWA profiles are in very good agreement, within less than 2%. For the assessment of the wind characteristics, the combination of PIV and hot-wire anemometry is very powerful: the PIV gives the mean velocity profile and the turbulence intensity on a 2D field with a very high spatial resolution and the hot-wire provides a punctual time series leading to turbulence length scale and turbulent spectra. The fractional speed-up ratio (FSR) is computed at 90 m real scale (common hub height) as FSR(90m) = U (90m) − Uref (90m) Uref (90m) (4) With Uref the reference velocity at 90 m for the position R1. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 35/167 Book of Proceedings This parameter gives information on the ratio of change of the wind at a given location with reference to the inlet condition. Results in Fig. 11 (red curve for PIV and red dots for HWA) show a speed-down before the hill and two major areas of high wind speed situated next to positions P4 and P6. 4.2 Sand erosion on a mountainous terrain 4.2.1 Sand erosion tests The sand erosion technique is tested on the Alaiz mountain in the area of interest indicated with a red square on Fig. 6. The reference velocity used for the FSR (Uref(90 m) in Eq. (4) is calculated at 90 m real scale in the wind tunnel from the threshold friction-velocity and the law of the wall (Eq. (3)): Uref(90 m) = 5.21 m/s. To verify it, the velocity at 90 m (real scale) is measured in the wind tunnel when the sand erodes without the model. This measurement gives Uref(90 m) = 5.28 m/s. Both estimations of the reference velocity agree. The technique is verified for a log-law profile. In this study, 13 velocity steps (Uref(90 m)) are performed in the range 3–7 m/s. Table 1 lists the velocities used. Table 1: Velocities, U(90 m), tested in the wind tunnel. Velocity at 90 m (m/s) 3.35 3.55 3.8 4.04 4.29 4.79 5.04 5.28 5.53 5.78 6.03 6.28 4.2.2. Visualisation Before trying to extract any quantitative values, the sand erosion is a very valuable technique for the visualisation of the high wind speed areas, the observation of the erosion contours illustrates the repartition of the high and low speed areas. Fig. 7 presents a set of pictures taken at different increasing velocities. The sand is cleared step by step from the mock-up surface. The technique allows a very quick visualisation of the highspeed areas that are eroded first. The two crests are quickly appearing to be the highest wind speed positions. They are clearly good candidates for deeper analysis to state their suitability for wind turbine siting. Figure 7: Example of an evolution of the erosion pattern with the free-stream velocity (red area on Fig. 6). (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.) 4.2.3. Repeatability study To assess the repeatability of the method, a set of five runs is performed in the same conditions and with the same sand spread over the same area of the model. Tests are conducted at different days and the sand is spread on the model by different people. Fig. 8 presents the superposition of the sand contours for the five independent runs at two velocities together with the elevation map. Generally speaking, contours are very similar, at low speed, the up-wind contour of the sand area is very well reproducible but more scatter is observed at the down-wind contour. In general, low friction-velocity gradients lead to higher variability of the sand contours and introduce more uncertainty on the position of the sand contours, but after a certain velocity, sand contours match. A quantification of the repeatability is performed by comparing the eroded surfaces for the different runs. At 3.8 m/s, there is around 7% of scatter between independent tests, this value decreases rapidly with increasing speed, it goes lower than 3%, at 5 m/s. The repeatability study corroborates the observations of (Dezsö-Weidinger et al., 2003) that the repeatability of the technique is good. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 36/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 8: Superposition of the sand contours of five independent runs performed at two velocity steps 4.29 m/s (left) with 6.5% scatter and 4.79 m/s (right) with 5.5% scatter. 4.2.4. ‘‘Down-wind erosion’’ study This phenomenon, described by Dezs+o-Weidinger et al. (2003) and Williams (1986), is observed when an important area is covered with sand, in this case, the downstream sand is more likely to erode. The two main explanations brought forward are: an easier erosion due to upwind sand impacts and the increase of the wall turbulence due to the surface roughness of the sand. To assess its importance in this particular case, tests are performed by covering partially the area of interest, first only the first ridge (area between the two red lines in Fig. 9) and in another test only the second ridge (area between the two green lines in the same figure) are covered. Results are compared with the fully covered test (black contours in Fig. 9). Figure 9: Effect of the area covered at two velocities: 4.29 m/s (left) and 4.79 m/s (right). Only first ridge covered (red), only second ridge covered (green) and all area covered (black). (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.) From the observations, the erosion is generally weaker when the area is not completely covered. At 4.29 m/s, for the first ridge, the sand contours are at the lower limit (less erosion) of the 7% of repeatability error. For the second ridge, the sand area before the ridge crest (down-wind contour of the sand area) is much less eroded, however, the sand contour at the crest (up-wind sand contour) is the same as in the reference case. At 4.79 m/s all sand contours falls in the repeatability error of 5%. The presence of sand upstream of the area of interest implies a sooner erosion upstream the second ridge crest, the data taken with local covering on the second ridge are the one used further in the paper to WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 37/167 Book of Proceedings extract the velocity speed-up at that position. For the first ridge there is no difference. Generally speaking, the upstream sand effect decreases rapidly with increasing speed. 4.3. Sand erosion compared with PIV and HWA More than a visualisation, the methodology presented in Section 2.3 allows to go further and can give an estimation of the over-speed on mountain tops. Fig. 10 is the FSR (Eq. (2)) map drawn on the elevation contours of the Alaiz mountain. All velocity steps tested are here superimposed. Red areas are related to high speeds and blue areas to low speeds. The map underlines the general speed-up created in a large part of the top of the mountain. Low winds are limited to the recirculation area (after to the second ridge x > 2.15 m) and to low elevation zones (x ≈ 2.08 m). At the first region cleaned, the second ridge, the FSR is the highest with more than 55 %; the sand contour follows the crest line. The second region affected by erosion is the crest line close to the position P4 (x ≈ 1.85 m). The FSR at this position is close to 50%. Similarly to a recovery from a perturbation (even without separation), the FSR is the lowest right after crest tops and gradually increases after it. Other places with low frictionvelocities are located in troughs of the relief like next to positions x = 1.97 m and x = 2.09 m. Figure 10: Amplification factor map on Alaiz mountain (Eq. (1)), the white dots on the image are reference positions (masts). Axis is in meter at the wind tunnel scale. (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.) To compensate the downstream erosion effect detailed in Section 4.2.4, the processing of the images with partial covering of the terrain is used for the calculation of the FSR at the top of the second ridge. The FSR extracted from sand erosion is compared with the PIV data in Fig. 11 and a scatter plot is presented. The scatter plot generally shows important discrepancies between the PIV results and the quantitative sand erosion data (R2 = 0.04). However, the two peaks are clearly appearing at a very similar position and with a comparable value, around 50%. A correlation coefficient of R2 = 0.81 is determined in the region of the two ridges, the highspeed regions detected by sand erosion are confirmed by the comparison with quantitative data. Discrepancies appear mainly on the downwind slopes of the two ridges, speed-down calculated with the sand erosion technique is overestimated. Unlike hot-wire and PIV, the sand erosion is a near wall evaluation of the velocity that is extrapolated upwards with a log-law. This assumption may not be fulfilled down-wind the ridges and can explain the discrepancies. If the near wall turbulence is high, the sand will erode earlier and that will lead to an over estimation of the speed at a higher altitude. Additionally, the technique is omnidirectional. These differences can explain the higher level of details given by the erosion technique in Fig. 11 and the bad WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 38/167 Book of Proceedings correlation with PIV measurements. As PIV results are here given at 90m above the surface, near-ground effects are smoothed. The FSR based on the sand erosion method gives coherent results with quantitative measurements in high speed-up areas, the high speed zones are detected very easily and the FSR is of the same order of magnitude as a quantitative measurement. However, the way the technique is here used does not allows a right determination of the wind speed in the downwind part of the ridge. For wind resource assessment, only high wind speed areas are of interest. Figure 11: (top) Comparison between the fractional speed-up ratio calculated by PIV and extracted from the erosion technique. The FSR is plotted over the line described in Fig. 6. (bottom). Scatter plot between the PIV results and the sand erosion results. (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.) WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 39/167 Book of Proceedings 5. Conclusions The sand erosion technique is an omnidirectional tool able to detect high speed zones on a large area. It is used to evaluate high wind speed spots on an unknown terrain. The implementation of the technique is very simple, fast and cheap. The image post-processing methodology is straight forward and does not require advanced tools. The repeatability error of the technique is below 7% and decreases with speed. This is very reasonable regarding the manner to spread the sand. One of the main limitations comes from the fact that the sand erodes more in the downstream part. This can be overcome by performing local sand erosion tests, i.e. putting sand only on hill tops. Qualitative results are very interesting and high wind speed zones are detected very fast. When a terrain is investigated for the first time, this is a great advantage that enables to select the areas where deeper measurements have to be carried out. For more qualitative data, the comparison with PIV and HWA measurements demonstrates that by a simple calibration, the technique can give meaningful estimations (by 10%) of the overspeed expected on a mountains top next to the surface as far as the log-law applies. Results obtained downstream the ridges are however far from reality. While evaluating an unknown complex terrain, the technique appears to be a very valuable tool to give quickly a global approach of high wind speed locations. Included in a global methodology, the sand erosion technique is a very interesting tool as a first approach. Detailed investigations with more delicate and expensive measurement techniques, like PIV, can be performed at detected locations to get the wind profiles and to assess with accuracy the suitability of placing wind turbines at these positions. Acknowledgments This study has been realised with the financial support of the European Commission within the WAUDIT Initial Training Network (Wind resource assessment audit and standardisation: http://www.waudit-itn.eu), a Marie-Curie action funded under FP7-People program. The authors gratefully acknowledge the support of G. Dezsö for providing experimental data for Section 3. References [1] Blocken, B., Carmeliet, J., 2004. Pedestrian wind environment around buildings: literature review and practical examples. Journal of Thermal Envelope and Building Science 28 (2), 107. [2] Bradshaw, P., Huang, G., 1995. The law of the wall in turbulent flow. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A 451 (1941), 165. [3] Bruun, H., 2002. Hot-Wire Anemometry. Oxford University Press. [4] Cabezón, D., Sanz, J., van Beeck, J., 2007. Sensitivity analysis on turbulence models for the ABL in complex terrain. In: Proceedings of the European Wind Energy Conference, May 2007, Milan. [5] Conan, B., Buckingham, S., van Beeck, J., Aubrun, S., Sanz, J., 2011a. Feasibility of micro-siting in mountainous terrain by wind tunnel physical modelling. In: Scientific Proceedings of the European Wind Energy Conference, March 2011, Brussels. pp. 136–140. [6] Conan, B., Carbajo, F., van Beeck, J., Aubrun, S., 2011b. Experimental parametric study of the influence of an idealized upstream ridge on the flow characteristics over Alaiz mountain. in: Proceedings of the PHYSMOD2011, August 2011, Hamburg, Germany. pp. 272–279. [7] Dezsö, G., 2006. On assessment of wind comfort by sand erosion. Ph.D. Thesis. Technidche Universiteit Eindhoven & von Karman Institute for Fluid Dynamics. ISBN: 2-930389-22-2. [8] Dezsö-Weidinger, G., Massini, M., van Beeck, J., 2003. Pedestrian wind comfort—approached by PIV and sand erosion. In: Proceedings of the PHYSMOD2003, Firenze. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 40/167 Book of Proceedings [9] Eurocode, C., 2004. Eurocode 1, 2004. en 1991-1-42: Actions on Structures. Parts 1–4: Wind Actions. [10] Le, H., Moin, P., Kim, J., 1997. Direct numerical simulation of turbulent flow over a backward-facing step. Journal of Fluid Mechanics 330 (1), 349–374. [11] Livesey, F., Morrish, D., Mikitiuk, M., Isyumov, N., 1992. Enhanced scour tests to evaluate pedestrian level winds. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics 44 (1-3), 2265–2276. [12] Muñoz-Esparza, D., Conan, B., Croonenborghs, E., Parente, A., van Beeck, J., Sanz, J., 2011. Sensitivity to inlet conditions of wind resource assessment over complex terrain using three CFD solvers and wind tunnel data. In: Scientific Proceedings of the European Wind Energy Conference, March 2011, Brussels. pp. 200–204. [13] Plate, E., 1999. Methods of investigating urban wind fields—physical models. Atmospheric Environment 33 (24–25), 3981–3989. [14] Raffel, M., Willert, C., Kompenhans, J., 1998. Particle Image Velocimetry: A Practical Guide. Springer-Verlag. [15] Scarano, F., Benocci, C., Riethmuller, M., 1999. Pattern recognition analysis of the turbulent flow past a backward facing step. Physics of Fluids 11, 3808. [16] Stathopoulos, T., 2006. Pedestrian level winds and outdoor human comfort. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics 94 (11), 769–780. [17] van Beeck, J., Dezs+ o, G., Planquart, P., 2009. Microclimate assessment by sand erosion and Irwin probes for atmospheric boundary layer wind tunnels. In: Proceedings of the PHYSMOD2009, RhodeSaint-Genése. [18] VDI-Guidelines, 2000. Vdi Guidelines 3783/12—Physical Modelling of Flows and Dispersion Processes in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer—Application of Wind Tunnels. [19] Viegas, D., Borges, A., 1986. An erosion technique for the measurement of the shear stress field on a flat plate. Journal of Physics E: Scientific Instruments 19, 625. [20] Williams, J., 1986. Aeolian entrainment thresholds in a developing boundary layer. Ph.D. Thesis. Department of Geography and Earth Science, Queen Mary College, University of London. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 41/167 Book of Proceedings Characterization of a wind turbine model Francesco Cuzzolaa,6, Sandrine Aubrunb, Bernd Leitla a b University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany PRISME Laboratory, Orléans University, France Presented at The Science of Making Torque from Wind conference, Oldenburg, Germany, October 2012. Abstract A model wind turbine has been designed at the University of Hamburg within the scope of the FP7 fundend project WAUDIT. The purpose of the experiment described in this paper is to characterize the performances of two rotors by means of measuring the thrust coefficient Ct. Ct is a similarity parameter for the wake and is thought to be the most effective one. Its value has been directly measured using a force balance and indirectly calculated from the velocity profiles measured three diameters downstream of the rotor with hot wire anemometry. Results show that, in order to reproduce the wake behaviour, the matching of the Ct, which is a quantitative achievement, has to be integrated with measurements such as velocity profiles in the wake. In fact the velocity deficit illustrates the mechanism of transforming the axial momentum into torque assuring qualitatively the proper reproduction of the wake. This latter information assures that the achievement of a certain thrust force acting on the rotor is due to its performances in transforming the axial momentum into torque and not an effect of other phenomena such as a stall at the blades. 1. Introduction A dimensional analysis of the wake of a wind turbine leads to the definition of four dimensionless similarity parameters that have to be matched when an experimental simulation of the wake of a wind turbine is intended to be carried out in conditions of similitude. These four parameters are the Reynolds number Re, the tip speed ratio λ, the power coefficient Cp and the thrust coefficient Ct. The latter is thought to be the most effective one [1]. At the geometric scale at which the next experiment will be carried out it is not possible to match Re and achieve conditions of full similarity. Thus, conditions of partial similarity have to be investigated in order to assess how to operate the wind turbine model appropriately. The systematic variation of parameters such as λ, the tunnel wind speed U∞ and the pitch angle θ allows the researchers to describe the dependencies of the Ct with respect to the operating conditions. Once U∞ and θ were set then λ was adjusted to the desired value and data have been collected. In this paper we present the results for the three configurations described in Tab.1. 2. Experimental set-up The experiment was carried out in the \Malavard" wind tunnel at the PRISME Laboratory of the University of Orléans. In this study, the main test section (2m high, 2m wide and 5m long) of the wind tunnel is used 6 Corresponding author: Francesco Cuzzola Meteorological Institute - University of Hamburg, Bundesstrasse 55, 20146 Hamburg, e-mail: [email protected] WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 42/167 Book of Proceedings to perform measurements in Homogeneous Isotropic turbulent flow by placing a turbulence grid at the entrance of the test section. The turbulence grid is made of metallic square section bars of diameter 25mm and mesh size 100mm. The upstream mean velocity is U0 = 10 ms-1 and the turbulence intensity is Iu0 = 3% (ratio between the standard deviation of streamwise velocity and its time average) at the rotor location. Table 1: Wind turbine configurations investigated U ∞ (m s-1) λ Wind turbine status 10 [0.2 - 2] active 2.5 7 active 10 2.5 passive Aerodynamic loads are measured with a 6-axis balance located below the test section. The mast of the model, 34 mm of diameter is used to link the balance to the model. The precision of the balance is estimated to be 0.16 N for the drag component and 0.48 N for the lift component. The sampling frequency is fixed to 500 Hz, and 25000 samples are acquired for each configuration. The measurement of the three components of velocity was carried out using a Dantec triple hot-fiber probe, connected to the Dantec StreamLine system. The probe was fixed on an automated traverse system. The architecture of the model also allows rotors and/or blades to be exchanged. Therefore two different blades were designed and manufactured, which are object of this investigation. The first blade, from now on called Optimal Blade was designed and optimized for highest power coefficient Cp. The second blade, from now on called Linear Chord blade, was designed in order to have a comparison element in assessing the importance of the chord distribution for models of such small scale. The blades share the same Jedelsky EJ85 airfoil, the length of 210 mm, the wet surface of 0.303 m2 and the twist angle distribution which is a linear approximation of the optimum distribution. The only geometric parameter which changes is indeed the chord distribution. The geometry of the blade is de_ned by means of a self implemented BEM code which does not take into account the tip-root losses [3]. This design procedure was previously used for designing a first blade which was tested in an experiment carried out in the open section wind tunnel at the University of Hamburg [2]. The choice of using the Jedelsky EJ85 airfoil was taken because of its performances at low Reynolds number and its geometry which can be easily manufactured. Figure 1: LC conguration and experimental set up. Figure 2: Model wind turbine with OB rotor. Fig.1 and Fig.2 show the experimental set-up and the model wind turbine with the two rotors. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 43/167 Book of Proceedings The model wind turbine is equipped with a Faulhaber DC motor 3268 G024 BX4 which allows the rotational velocity to be controlled using a power supply (active status). Disconnected from the power supply the motor can also be used as a generator if the turbine is driven by the wind only (passive status). Fig.3 shows the almost perfect linear dependency of the rotational speed with the increasing voltage supplied. Figure 3: RPM - Voltage curve for the model wind turbine. 3. Force balance measurements 3.1. Results at 10 ms-1 - active status Fig.4 and Fig.5 show the variation of the thrust coefficient for LC and OB. Figure 4: Effects of the pitch angle on the Ct - λ curve for LC, U∞ = 10 ms-1, active status. Figure 5: Effects of the pitch angle on the Ct - λ curve for OB, U∞ = 10 ms-1, active status. The OB keeps rotating up to θ = 70º while the LC rotor is unable to perform at pitch angles θ > 60º. This is due to the outer part of the optimum blade which does not block the flow as much as the linear chord blade. The LC configuration shows a Ct which is remarkably higher than that of the OB one (30% to 50%) for a given value of λ . Also, depending on the value of θ, the trend of the variation can be very different as can be seen in Fig.6 and Fig.7. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 44/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 6: C t - λ curve comparison at theta = 30º, U1 = 10 ms -1, active status. Figure 7: Ct - λ curve comparison at theta = 50º, U∞ = 10 ms -1, active status. From these measurements it is clear that the chord distribution has a very important influence on the Ct and on its dependency from the tip speed ratio. The graphs show furthermore that the maximum value of the thrust coefficient is found at higher tip speed ratios when the pitch angle increases. At higher θ, the trends suggest that the maximal value of Ct might be found in a range of λ higher than has been achieved with the present DC motor-power supply system. 3.2. Results at 10 ms-1 - passive status The disconnection of the power supply means that the rotational speed of the model depends on the wind speed and on the electrical load applied to the DC motor/generator. In fact, while in case of a short circuit the internal torque of the motor blocks the shaft and the turbine stops, the application of a resistance to the output lowers the internal torque until, if an infinite resistance is applied, it tends to zero. Fig.8 shows the Ct vs θ curves in this latter configuration. Both curves exhibit a change at θ = 40º where the thrust coefficient starts increasing with a steeper trend. Figure 8: Ct - θ curves, U∞ = 10 ms-1, passive status. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 45/167 Book of Proceedings 4. Velocity measurements Horizontal velocity profiles have been measured at a distance of 708 mm downstream of the rotor plane, which corresponds to three rotor diameters. 4.1. Results at 10 ms-1 - passive status The graphs of Fig.9 and Fig.10 show the velocity deficit along the blades for the two rotors. The abscissa is r = x/R where R is the radius of the rotor and x the radial distance. The velocity deficit increases with increasing pitch angle. Figure 9: Velocity deficit curves for LC. U∞ = 10 ms-1, passive status. Figure 10: Velocity deficit curves for OB. U∞ = 10 ms-1, passive status. Fig.11 and Fig.12 highlight the differences between the rotors. The wind speed recovers smoothly in the OB configuration showing a trend which is consistent with previous experiment such as [5], [6] and field experiment [7]. The LC configuration, which at θ = 50º delivers a remarkably high Ct, shows a different wake behaviour, with the maximum of the velocity deficit occurring in the outer part of the blade. Figure 11: Velocity deficit comparison at θ = 30º. U∞ = 10 ms -1, passive status. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 Figure 12: Velocity deficit comparison at θ = 50º. U∞ = 10 ms -1, passive status. CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 46/167 Book of Proceedings Fig.12 and Fig.13 present the root mean square curves of the U component of the velocity. From this graphs it is possible to interpret how the velocity deficit is created. The OB configuration has a fairly low turbulence intensity, although it shows a spike corresponding to the elbow of the blade where, from previous experiments [2], it is known that the vortex is shed. Figure 12: Turbulence intensity for LC. U∞ = 10 ms-1, passive status. Figure 13: Turbulence intensity for OB. U∞ = 10 ms-1, passive status. The LC configuration instead shows an increase of the turbulence intensity in the outer part (r = [0:6 - 1]) of the blade. At θ = 50º this increase is much higher than in the case of OB, as can be seen in Fig.14. Figure 14: Turbulence intensity comparison at θ = 50º. U∞ = 10 ms-1, passive status. 4.2. Results at 2.5 ms-1 - active status In order to investigate the wake with λ = 7, a value of the tip speed ratio in use also for commercial wind turbines, the wind speed was set to U∞ = 2:5 ms-1 and the rotational speed to Ω = 708 rpm. The result, see Fig.15, shows that the turbine does not extract energy from the flow field but it is accelerating the flow, the axial force acts in the opposite direction of the stream and the model is not behaving as a turbine but as a propeller. Thus, for this model wind turbine, the matching of the similarity parameter λ is inappropriate when conditions of similitude in the wake are intended to be achieved. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 47/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 15: Velocity deficit curves for LC at θ = 30º and λ = 7. U∞ = 10 ms-1, passive status. 4.3. Calculation of the thrust coefficient At the distance of three rotor diameters downstream of the wind turbine model, the V and W components of the velocity are less than 5% of U (see Fig.16) and can be neglected in the calculation of the thrust coefficient that, according to the blade element momentum theory [4], can be calculated using the relation: ∞ T = 2π ∫ ρUmean (r ) (U ∞ − U mean ( r ) ) r dr 0 (1) Figure 16: V and W dimension-less velocity components three diameters downstream of the LC rotor. U∞ = 10 ms-1, passive status. Tab.2 shows a comparison between the values of the thrust coefficient evaluated respectively from the force measurements and from the velocity ones. Summarizing, when the OB rotor is mounted the wind turbine model has a noticeably smaller thrust coefficient but the velocity measurements show a behaviour consistent with previous literature and with expectations. The opposite happens for the LC rotor. This suggests that the OB rotor is a better choice when the wake of a wind turbine is intended to be reproduced in a wind tunnel. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 48/167 Book of Proceedings Table 2: Thrust coefficient calculation - summary table Rotor LC OB Measurement type Force Velocity Force Velocity Tip speed ratio θ = 30º 1.6 θ = 30º 0.75 1.81 0.07 0.25 1.98 0.19 1.53 0.047 0.62 0.054 0.22 5. Conclusions A study of the aerodynamics and of the performances of a model wind turbine model has been carried out. In particular we tested two blade designs which differ with respect to the chord distribution only. The similarity parameter Ct has been calculated both directly using force measurements and indirectly using velocity profiles. This latter evaluation is carried out using the blade element momentum theory and overestimates the thrust force, but the trends are consistent with the direct calculation. Also, the velocity measurements allow the researchers to have a deeper insight in the understanding of how and where the thrust force is created. As expected, the chord distribution has a big influence in the performances and in the wake of the model. In particular the LC blade delivers a higher thrust coefficient than the OB one whereas this latter configuration only shows velocity profiles consistent with previous literature. Thus the main result of this investigation is that, for a rotor model wind turbine, the matching of the thrust coefficient needs to be integrated with velocity measurements that can assure the transformation of the axial momentum of the flow field into torque, thus harvesting energy. Also, operating actively the turbine in order to match a certain λ will obviously result in a change in the overall behaviour of the turbine which will add energy to the flow. Further development of this experiment focuses on the measurements of the power coefficient Cp applying different resistors to the electric output of the model wind turbine. References [1] Neff D, Meroney R, McCarthy E and Davis E 1990 Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics 36: 1405-1414 [2] Doerenkaemper M, Cuzzola F, Leitl B and Schatzmann M 2011 Physmod2011-International Workshop on Physical Modeling of Flow and Dispersion Phenomena [3] Cuzzola F, Doerenkaemper M, Leitl B and Schatzmann M 2011 Physmod2011-International Workshop on Physical Modeling of Flow and Dispersion Phenomena [4] Aubrun S, Devinant P and España G 2007 European Wind Energy Conference 1-8 [5] Chamorro L P and Porté-Agel F 2009 Boundary Layer Meteorology 129-149 [6] Sanderse B 2009 ECN-e-09-016 [7] Mann J 2010 Wind Energy 51-61 WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 49/167 Book of Proceedings A study of stability effects in forested terrain Cian J. Desmonda,7, Simon Watsona a Loughborough University, Loughborough, United Kingdom Presented at The Science of Making Torque from Wind conference, Oldenburg, Germany, October 2012. In press for Journal of Physics. Abstract Data from four well instrumented met masts located in heavily forested European sites in different locations and terrain types are examined. Seven stability metrics are applied to the data sets and a novel method is used to identify the metric which most consistently identifies stability events of importance for wind energy generation. It was found that the Obukhov length, as calculated by fast response sonic anemometer, provides the most reliable results in these highly complex sites. It was also found that non-neutral stabilities can be expected a significant portion of the time for wind speeds of less than 10 m/s at the considered sites. 1. Introduction Complex sites pose a significant challenge for the development of wind farms due to unpredictable flow patterns and increased levels of turbulence. In this era of financial rigor it is important to be able to understand these flows and their effect both on the energy capture and fatiguing of wind turbines. Forestry is a particular form of complex terrain in which wind farms are now being increasingly developed. To date, it has been common to use linearised flow models along with empirical and experience led corrections when predicting wind characteristics in such areas. More recently, the use of full computational fluid dynamics (CFD) solvers has become common. Whilst satisfactory results have been achieved using these codes, simulations are predominately limited to neutral atmospheric stabilities. The evolution of stability effects within the atmospheric boundary layer is an intricate process which depends on many factors such as wind shear, ambient turbulence levels, wind speeds, the Coriolis Effect, potential temperature gradients and vertical heat fluxes. Certain surface features present in complex terrain can severely alter some of these factors making it difficult to assess stability effects. For example, local thermal stratification can be significantly affected by forests as they act as large thermal masses which are slow to heat up and cool down as solar irradiance levels vary. Also, depending on the density of the canopy, forests act as a buffer between the underlying soil and the atmosphere which inhibits surface heat flux [1]. These factors result in characteristic thermal stratifications within and above forests which vary significantly over the diurnal cycle. Generalised profiles are displayed in Figure 1 which shows how mean potential temperature, , and vertical heat flux, , vary throughout the canopy height. Values are normalised to values at the top of the canopy, hc. 7 Corresponding author: Cian J. Desmond CREST, School of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, Loughborough University, Holywell Park, Loughborough, Leicestershire LE11 3TU, e-mail: [email protected] WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 50/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 1. Typical mean potential temperature and vertical heat flux profiles in and above a forest canopy for midday and night time conditions. Reproduced from [2] It has also been established that forests have a profound effect on both wind shear and ambient turbulence levels above and downstream of canopies [3]. The aggregated effect of these factors is an extremely complicated atmosphere in the vicinity of forests which makes the assessment of stability a non trivial task. However, it is important that we arrive at a satisfactory quantifiable measure as stability effects heavily influence how the wind interacts with the surface features present in such complex terrain [4,5]. Data sets are examined from four forested sites in various terrains and geographical locations. Seven stability metrics, which have been developed for various purposes, are investigated. The metric that consistently differentiates between stable and unstable events of consequence to wind energy generation is identified, critical values are established and the implications are briefly discussed. 2. Stability metrics As mentioned above, the evolution of stability effects within the atmospheric boundary layer is a complex process caused by many factors, an excellent introduction to which can be found in [6]. Here we will limit the discussion to a brief introduction to the metrics that have been devised to quantify stability effects. 2.1. Richardson Number Denoted as, Ri, this is a non-dimensional parameter which relates the importance of buoyancy and shear forces in creating turbulence. It requires measurements of both temperature and wind speed at two heights and is given by the equation below [2]. Ri = where, g g ( dθ / dz θ dU / dz ) (1) 2 = 9.81 m/s , = Average potential temperature (K) = rate of change of potential temperature with heights (K) The Richardson number is thus positive for stable atmospheric stratification, negative for unstable and zero for neutral. Near-neutral conditions can be assumed [9] for values of: -0.13 ≤ Ri ≤ 0.03. 2.2. Bulk Richardson Number This modified version of Ri appears in a variety of forms, such as [7]: Ri b = WAUDIT Contract# 238576 g θ2 z2 dθ (2) 2 U2 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 51/167 Book of Proceedings The symbols have the same interpretation as above with the subscript “2” referring to the higher measurement point. This metric again requires temperature measurements at two heights but only a single wind speed. 2.2. Richardson Bulk Number in Forestry This is a form of Rib which was devised specifically for investigating vertical mixing above forest due to stability effects [8]. It will be referred to in this paper as Rib2 : Ri b2 = 1 g dθ 2 U 2 θ 2 dz (3) Compared to Rib the main difference with this metric is that the higher measurements are taken above the canopy and the lower temperature measurement within the canopy at a height of 1-2 m above the ground. 2.3. Obukhov Length This is another important metric for the assessment of stability in the atmospheric boundary layer and is calculated from the equation [6]: g κ w 'θ ' 1 =− θ L u* where, w 'θ ' u* (4) = Von Kármán constant = 0.41 = = Average vertical heat flux (K m/s) Friction velocity (m/s) and, ( u* = u ' w ' where, u', v', w' u 'w ' ) ( 2 ) 2 + v 'w ' 0.25 (5) = Wind velocity turbulent fluctuations in x , y , z (m/s) = Covariance of both parameters (m2/s2) Conventionally, the Obukhov length has units of metres and can be taken as the depth of the mechanically mixed portion of the boundary layer. 1/L will be positive in stable conditions and negative in unstable. The following values are expected for near-neutral stability [9]: -0.07 ≤ 1/L ≤ 0.03 2.4. Kazanski-Monin parameter This is a slight variation on the Obukhov Lengh which includes the effect of the Coriolis parameter. It was devised for estimating the rate of plume growth for dispersion modelling and is given by the following equation [9]: µ= κ u* (6) fL where, f, is the Coriolis parameter: f = 2Ω sin , where is the latitude of the measurement location and Ω is the rotational velocity of the Earth which is approximately: Ω = 7.2921·10-5 rad/s 2.5. Environmental Stability Parameter This parameter focuses only on the potential temperature gradient [9]: WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 52/167 Book of Proceedings S= g dθ θ dz (7) This parameter has units of s-2 and is proportional to the rate at which the generation of turbulence is suppressed. Positive values are indicative of stable conditions; negative of unstable with values close to zero expected for near-neutral conditions. 2.6. Standard Deviation of Direction This measure was by proposed by the US Nuclear Regulation Commission [10] to assess atmospheric stability for the purposes of guiding emergency responses in the event of an incident. A high value of the standard deviation of wind direction turbulent fluctuations, , indicates unstable conditions; low values indicate stable conditions and near-neutral conditions are characterised by some intermediate value. Specific values will be highly site and measurement height dependant. For the purposes of comparison with the other metrics the inverse of this term, , will be used 3. Site data Data have been collected from four separate met masts located in forested terrain for the purposes of this analysis. 3.1 Norunda This mast is located in the middle of a heavily forested area in Sweden (60° 5’ N , 17° 28’ E) and was established for the purposes of studying fluxes of CO2. The mast is located in flat terrain in the middle of a dense coniferous forest with a mean canopy height of 30m. Data were available in 30 min averages for the period 7/7/06 – 18/09/06 from a 100 m met mast recorded by a series of sonic anemometers (Metek USA-1) and temperature sensors. Concurrent solar irradiance data were also available from a pyranometer located at the top of the mast. For additional information on the instrumentation please refer to [11]. It was possible to calculate values for all of the stability metrics discussed above at heights between 28 m – 36.9 m. Values of shear exponent α at 87m and turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) at 31.8 m were calculated as the parameters of interest for the purpose of resource assessment using the equations below: U2 U1 α = z log 2 z1 log TKE = ( 1 2 σ u + σ v2 + σ w2 2 (8) ) (9) refers to the standard deviation of wind speed turbulent fluctuations in the x, y, z where directions respectively. 3.2. Wetzstein This mast is located in Germany (50° 27'N, 11° 27'E) and data were available for the period of 12/04/05 – 19/08/05 as 30 min averages. As it was part of the same project as the Norunda site it is also located in the midst of a large coniferous forest. The mean canopy height is 20 m and the mast is located on the top of a slight hill. A pair of sonic anemometers (Gill R3) was located at 24 m and 32 m which again allowed most of the metrics to be calculated. However, data for were not available. No temperature data were available except for values of virtual acoustic temperature as calculated by the sonics. It was found that these data were not of sufficient quality despite application of a correction for the effects of humidity and pressure [12]. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 53/167 Book of Proceedings Solar irradiance data were again available from measurements made above the canopy. Values for α between 24 m and 32 m and TKE at 32 m were calculated as the metrics of interest for the purposes of resource assessment. 3.3. Sirta This site is located in the Palaiseau Ecole Polytechnique (48° 42' 50'' N , 2° 12' 39'' E). The mast is located in a semi-urban area with a large mixed forest located to the north-east at a distance of c. 55 m which extends a distance c. 560 m along a bearing of 37° from the meteorological mast. The instrumentation is comprised of sonic anemometers (Meter USA-1) and temperature sensors located at 10 m and 30 m. Additional information on the instrumentation can be found in [13]. Data were available between 04/05/07 – 18/05/09 as 10 min averages. These were filtered to examine directions of between 25°- 47° in order that the effect of the canopy could be assessed. All stability metrics were again calculated with the exception of due to a lack of available data and also Rib2 as it is not applicable outside of a canopy. For comparison purposes, α was calculated between 10 m and 30 m and TKE was calculated at 30m. Concurrent irradiance data were not available and so annual average data from the Meteonorm database were used [14]. 3.4. Vaudeville-le-Haut This mast is located in a wind farm in France (46° 26' 58''N , 05° 35' 02''E). There is an extensive mixed forest with a mean canopy height of 30 m located to the east at a distance of c. 130 m. Two operating turbines are located at a bearing of 69° and a distance of 234 m and 23° at a distance of 600 m from the mast. Data were available between 01/01/10 – 31/12/11 as 10 min averages from a series of sonic anemometers (Metek USA-1), temperature sensors and wind vanes on a 100 m mast [15]. , Ri and Rib have been calculated Due to a lack of access to the full data sets, only values for S, between heights of 40 m and 80 m. Values for α were calculated between 60 m and 80 m along with values for turbulence intensity (TI) at 80m defined as: TI = σu (10) U Unfortunately it was not possible to calculate values of TKE as per the other sites. Analysis was carried out for two direction sectors. One in which the wind will have travelled through the dense forest (“V- forest”), 240° - 260°, and the other over flatter terrain (“V-flat”) , 30° - 50°. Flow in this second direction sector will have been perturbed by the two turbines mentioned above; however, it will provide some comparison for the effect of the forestry. Solar irradiance data were again provided for the same period from a pyranometer on site. 4. Methodology The values of TKE or TI and α as outlined above were considered for each case. The spread in observed values was considerable as can be seen from the scatter plots for Norunda in Figure 2. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 54/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 2: Scatter plots of and TKE/ 2 against direction for Norunda. There are many possible causes of such a spread in values particularly in forested terrain where the drag which the canopy exerts on the flow changes seasonally. In order to identify α and TKE values that would be indicative of neutral conditions the Pasquill stability classes were used. In this method, classes are defined as: A- Unstable, D- Neutral, F-Unstable with C, E representing intermediate states. Table 1 indicates when such events are expected for certain irradiance levels and mean wind speed, , measured at 10m above ground level [9]. Table 1: Pasquill’s stability categories As we can see from Table 1 above, the prevailing stability conditions are sensitive to irradiance levels at low wind speeds but this relationship is removed for higher wind speeds when neutral conditions prevail. This trend was observed for Norunda as can be seen in Figure 3. Values for TKE have been normalised to the square of the mean wind speed for comparison. Figure 3: Scatter plots of TKE/ 2 against irradiance for low and high wind speeds. The reduced scatter of points at higher wind speeds, the trend of which is insensitive to irradiance levels, suggests that a value of TKE from 0.19 to 0.25 would be expected in neutral conditions. Bars indicating this range are included in Figure 3. A similar collapse of data was found for both TKE and α and for all five cases. Values expected for neutral events for each case are given in Table 2. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 55/167 Book of Proceedings Table 2: Expected neutral values There were some problems in identifying neutral conditions for α in the case of Sirta. This was due to the fact that two separate mean neutral values exist depending on the season. This was taken to be a consequence of increased foliage during the summer months in the mixed forest. Due to a lack of measurements these points were discarded. This problem was not found in the other cases, a fact likely due to less severe seasonal foliage variations. A scatter plot of values for α versus TKE/ the Norunda case in Figure 4. Figure 4: Scatter plot of TKE/ 2 2 was then produced. An example of such a plot is given for versus α for the Norunda case. The included bars, which create nine segments, indicate the neutral ranges of α and TKE/ 2 as given in Table 2. Segments located on the main diagonal are labelled A,D,F as per the Pasquill classification. It is taken that the three labelled segments represent stability effects of interest for the purposes of resource assessment. The classification of points in the other segments is less certain and so they are disregarded for the purposes of assessing the stability metrics. For the five cases investigated, on average 60% of points were retained following this stage. The next step was to indentify which stability metric was best able to differentiate between the Astable, D-neutral and F-unstable categories as identified by the method above. The scatter plots in Figure 5 show the level of this differentiation for Norunda using two of the stability metrics. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 56/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 5: Scatter plots of 1/L and Rib2 against wind speed for Norunda. As can be seen from the scatter plots in Figure 5, differentiation of the stability classes is more successfully achieved using 1/L rather than Rib2 for the Norunda case. However, in order to compare all metrics for all cases in a non-subjective manner, it is necessary to devise a measure of the level of differentiation. This was achieved by writing a short program which identifies the line of best fit to segregate stable-neutral and neutral-unstable cases. The program incrementally adjusts the positions of these dividing lines until a position which minimises categorisation error is achieved. For example, in the Norunda case, these dividing lines were identified as 1/L = 0.00198 m-1 and 1/L= -0.00692 m-1. Thus, if a stable point’s value of 1/L is greater than 0.00198 m-1 it is correctly categorised and is counted as a “hit”. Using this method, 89% of values were correctly categorised. The corresponding figure for Rib2 was 70%. This indicates that 1/L is more successful at identify stability events of interest for this particular case. Results for all metrics and for all cases are presented in Table 3 which can be found in the appendix. Data points for wind speeds of < 2 m/s have been excluded from this analysis as the ability to differentiate stability class is poor at such low wind speeds and they are not relevant for wind energy generation. 5. Discussion The ability of each metric to differentiate between stability events of interest is discussed below. 5.1. Obukhov & Kazanski-Monin The Obukhov length was the best performing metric for each case in which it could be calculated. The threshold values for neutral events are relatively consistent for each case, however, quite different from the expected values quoted in subsection 2.3. The superior performance of this metric may be due in part to the fact all measurements are performed by a single instrument, i.e. a sonic anemometer, which has a high level of accuracy. This eliminates the inherent potential error in the other metrics which rely on multiple measurement technologies to produce synchronous results. The Kazanski-Monin parameter performs comparably which would suggest that the Coriolis Effect is not an issue at the heights considered. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 57/167 Book of Proceedings 5.2. Richardson numbers The Rib outperforms the Ri for each case. This is particularly interesting as the former is devised as a crude approximation of the latter. This may be due to sensitivity of the Ri to the term in the denominator which produces unreliable results at low wind speeds or for low wind shear. As mentioned above, there is also inherent error in relying on up to four instruments to provide high quality synchronous data. Furthermore, it may be difficult to establish a sensible gradient of mean wind speed or indeed temperature in complex sites with turbulent flow. Comparing values for Ri and Rib in V-flat against Vforest would suggest that the metrics are more applicable in simpler terrain where the flow is less turbulent and meaningful averages of U and θ are more likely to exist. The results for Wetzstein highlight the need for accurate temperature measurements. Although this is not an issue for modern instrumentation it may be a problem when converting recorded temperatures to potential temperature values. This conversion depends on ambient humidity and pressure levels which introduces dependence on more instrumentation and hence increases potential error. In this paper we have used the dry adiabatic lapse rate of -0.0098 K/m for all conversions [6]. Results achieved using Rib2 are poor which is disappointing as, in [8], this metric proved successful in identifying stability effects within five forest canopies in complex terrain. This disparity is likely due to the fact that the cited research is in the area of CO 2 fluxes and so is focused on flow parameters and effects of stability which may not be directly relevant to the wind energy industry. 5.3. Environmental Stability Parameter This parameter produces results comparable to Ri and Rib. The quality of results is again reduced in more complex sites as can be seen from comparing results from the two Vaudeville-le-Haut cases and the flat Norunda against the hilly Wetzstein. This may be due to the lack of meaningful average values of θ in more complex terrain as discussed above, or the increased importance of shearing effects in such sites, which this metric ignores. It is also important to note that depending on the stratification above the surface layer, the effect of the local gradient in potential temperature may be insufficient to determine the full stability characteristics of the atmospheric boundary layer. This would require measurements of temperature at greater heights than are commonly achievable using a standard meteorological mast. This is explained by the series of graphs on p. 170 of [6] to which the reader is referred. 5.4. Standard deviation of direction This metric performs surprisingly well given the fact that it is by far the easiest to measure and relies on the reliable and well established technology of the wind vane. However, it is clear that threshold values of will not be sufficient for the purposes of resource assessment as they are site, height and direction sector dependant. Also, such data provide little information as to the structure of the boundary layer for the purposes of simulation. This metric may perhaps be best used alongside more comprehensive measurements, such as sonic can be correlated to stability categories. This data could then be used in anemometry, so that the event of failure or redeployment of the other instrumentation 6. Implications In order to gain an appreciation of the likely effect of stability on wind generation the most effective metric for each case was applied to the complete data sets. Wind speeds were scaled up to a realistic hub height of 100 m using the calculated α and the standard power law formula. Although this equation relies on a number of assumptions and may not be reliable in such complex sites, the derived values are more indicative of wind energy potential than those measured a few metres above the canopy. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 58/167 Book of Proceedings Data were binned into wind speeds and segmented by percentage occurrence of stability class as shown in Figure 6. A graph showing the number of data points in each wind speed bin is overlaid for information. Results for the Sirta are shown in Figure 6. Although it may be desirable for continuity to display results for Norunda, this is not the best case to consider for the effects of stability on wind energy potential due to the low wind speeds and the fact that it was found to have unusually stable nights [16]. Figure 6: Occurrence of stability events for different wind speeds at the Sirta case. This graph was produced using threshold values of 1/L given in Table 3. On inspection of Figure 6, and the other graphs in the Appendix, it is clear that non neutral stability events are common especially for wind speeds below 10 m/s. It is also interesting to note that there is only marginal difference in the occurrence of non-neutral events between V-flat and V-forest which may indicate that the presence of forestry has little effect on stability. However it is important to note that although the V-flat direction sectors contain considerably less forestry the entire site is characterised by pockets of trees. Also, flow in this direction sector is likely be perturbed by the operational wind turbines mentioned previously. Unfortunately, unobstructed direction sectors were not available for comparison at the other sites. It is important to understand how these non-neutral events affect the wind resource. In [17] it was noted that the effects of stability are specifically influential in the development of internal boundary layers in areas of abrupt roughness, temperature and moisture changes. This would indicate that stability effects will be particularly important when modelling the transition from forested to grassland or other less complicated terrain. It is desirable to quantify the effect that these non-neutral events have on the wind resource due to altered wind shear, levels of turbulence and the persistence of wakes. However, this is difficult to assess the without extensive modelling and so will not be considered here. There are methods that can be used to approximate the effect of, for example, wind shear on power generation, e.g. the equivalent wind speed for AEP method [18] and the cosine loss model for inflow angle [19]. However, these methods are highly technology dependant as some turbines are now being designed with the ability to adjust their operation to mitigate losses due to such effects [20] 7. Conclusions It is clear that the Obukhov Length, L, as calculated by a fast response sonic anemometer, provides the most consistent results in identifying non-neutral stability events in the highly complex sites considered. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 59/167 Book of Proceedings There is a significant level of differentiation that can be achieved between stable, neutral and unstable events by simply analysing data that are measured as standard at potential wind farm sites, such as α and TKE or TI. An analysis of such data was used in [21] to identify stability events in moderately complex terrain and it would appear from the present paper that a similar approach is also applicable in these highly complex sites. Although simple metrics do provide information on the effects of stability events they do not provide any information on the cause, such data will be required if realistic simulations are to be conducted. If we are to successfully model non-neutral events in complex terrain we will require information on thermal stratification, vertical heat flux and values for quantities such as U* in the surface layer. These data will be required to select appropriate boundary conditions and accurately describe buoyancy forces in computational simulations. Given the performance of the Obukhov length it would appear that these data are best collected with the deployment of 3D sonic anemometry. Acknowledgments Special thanks to Eric Dupont, Christian Feigenwinter and Oliver Texier for providing access to comprehensive data sets which have allowed the analysis in this paper to be conducted. This work has been carried out with funding from the EU FP7-PEOPLE program under Marie-Curie Initial Training Network. WAUDIT References [1] Belcher S et al. 2012 The Wind in the Willows. Flows in forest canopies in complex terrain Annual review of Fluid Mechanics 44 pp 479-504 [2] Kaimal J C and Finnigan J J 1994 Atmospheric boundary layer flows (Oxford: University Press) [3] Wylie S and Watson S 2011 A CFD study of wind flow around a model forest: Proc. EWEA (Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011) [4] Montavon C 2012 Modelling Of Wind Speed and Turbulence Intensity For A Forested Site In Complex Terrain: Proc. EWEA 2012 (Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012) [5] Desmond C J et al. Forest canopy flows in non-neutral stability: Proc. EWEA 2012 (Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012) [6] Stull R 1988 An introduction to boundary layer meteorology (Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers) [7] Irwin J and Binkowski F 1981 Estimation of the Monin Obukhov scaling length using on site instrumentation Atmospheric Environment 15 6 pp 1091-1094 [8] Burns S et al. 2011 Atmospheric stability effects on wind fields and scalar mixing within and just above a subalpine forest in sloping terrain Boundary Layer Meteorology 138 pp 231-262 [9] Mannan S and Lee F 2005 Lee's Loss Prevention in the Process Industries (London: Elsevier) [10] Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research 2007 Regulatory guide 1.23: Meteorological monitoring programs for nuclear power plants (Washington: US Nuclear regulatory Authority) [11] Feigenwinter C et al. 2008 Comparison of horizontal and vertical advective CO2 fluxes Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 148 pp 12-24 [12] Lanzinger E and Langmack H 2005 Measuring air temperature by using an ultrasonic anemometer: Proc. TECO (Bucharest, Romania, 4-7 May 2005) [13] Zaidi H et al. 2011 Evaluating the ability of two canopy models to reproduce the forested area effects using code saturn: Proc. ICWE 13 (Amsterdam, Netherlands, 10-15 July 2011) [14] Meteotest Meteonorm. Global Meteorological Database Version 7 Software and data for Engineers, Planners and Education (Bern: Meteonorm) WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 60/167 Book of Proceedings [15] Texier O et al. 2010 Integration of atmospheric stability in wind power assessment through CFD modeling: Proc. EWEC 2010 (Warsaw, Poland, 20-23 April 2010) [16] Feigenwinter C et al. 2010 Spatiotemporal evolution of CO2 concentration temperature and wind field during stable nights at the Norunda forest site Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 150 pp 692-701 [17] Garratt J R 1990 The internal boundary layer. Boundary Layer Meteorology 50 pp 171-203 [18] Wagner R et al. 2011 Accounting for the wind speed shear in power performance measurement Wind Energy 14 pp 993-1004 [19] Pedersen T et al. 2002 Wind turbine power performance verification in complex terrain and wind farms Risø-R-1330 (Risø: DTU) [20] Blodau T 2012 How appropriate are sales power curves on complex or forested sites?: Proc. EWEA Technology Workshop (Lyons, France, 2-3 July 2012) [21] Wharton S and Lundquist L 2012 Assessing atmospheric stability and its impacts on rotor disk wind characteristics at an onshore wind Journal of Wind Energy 15 pp 525-546 Appendix Table A1: Results the analysis of the stability metrics as presented in Section 4. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 61/167 Book of Proceedings Figure A1: Occurrence of stability events for different wind speeds at Norunda. This graph was produced using threshold values of 1/L given in Table 3 Figure A2: Occurrence of stability events for different wind speeds at the Wetzstein case. This graph was produced using threshold values of 1/L given in Table 3. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 62/167 Book of Proceedings Figure A3: Occurrence of stability events for different wind speeds for the V-forest case. This graph was produced using threshold values of given in Table 3. Figure A4: Occurrence of stability events for different wind speeds for the V-flat case. This graph was produced using threshold values of given in Table 3. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 63/167 Book of Proceedings Downscaling wind energy resource from mesoscale to CFD model and data assimilating field measurements into CFD model Venkatesh Duraisamy Jothiprakasama,1, Eric Duponta, Bertrand Carissimoa a EDF R&D, Chatou, France Presented at European Wind Energy Association Annual Event EWEA-2013, Vienna, Austria, February 2013. Abstract The main goal of this research work is to use operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model data as input to the Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) and assimilate the field measurements into the CFD solutions. To address the problem of high spatial variation of the topography on the domain lateral boundaries between NWP and CFD domain boundaries, 3 methods - translation, extrapolation and Cressman interpolation are tested to impose the NWP model data on the CFD domain lateral boundaries. Newtonian relaxation data assimilation technique is used to incorporate the field measurement data into the CFD simulations. These techniques are studied in a complex site located in southern France. Comparison of wind profiles between the CFD simulation, measurements and CFD simulation with data assimilation are discussed. This combination of state-of-the-art techniques in NWP, CFD, and field data assimilation will provide the basis of a more accurate wind resource assessment method. 1. Introduction The development of wind energy generation requires precise and well-established methods for wind resource assessment, which is the initial step in every wind farm project. During the last two decades linear flow models were widely used in the wind industry for wind resource assessment and micrositting. But the linear models inaccuracies in predicting the wind speeds in very complex terrain are well known and led to use of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD), capable of modeling the complex flow in fine details around specific geographic features. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) or mesoscale models use mathematical models of the atmosphere and oceans to predict the weather by assimilating observation of the current weather conditions to predict the flow characteristics and have been extensively used in weather prediction and forecasting. NWP are able to predict the hourly wind regime at resolutions of several kilometers, and cannot resolve the wind speed up and turbulence induced by the topography features finer than 1 km. However, CFD has proven successful in capturing flow details at smaller scales. Hence combining NWP and CFD models can result in a better modeling approach for wind energy applications. Linear model results showed identical flow fields for two opposite wind directions, while non-linear CFD model results are highly asymmetrical. [4] Emphasis the use of CFD in complex terrain for the improved accuracy of the simulation and for modeling features of the flow those are necessary in the classification of wind turbines. The disadvantage of linear model (WAsP) and CFD over the mesoscale modeling were highlighted in [12] for a complex terrain in western Norway. WAsP compared better than the CFD-models to the measurements and mesoscale simulation with a complete meteorological model indicated large wind variation with the site due to the local topographical features. The 1 Corresponding author: Venkatesh Duraisamy Jothiprakasam CEREA, Teaching and Research Centre in Atmospheric Environment, joint laboratory EDF R&D – Ecole des Ponts/Paris-Tech, 6 quai Watier, 78401 Chatou cedex France, Tel.: 33 6 08 55 81 41, e-mail: [email protected] WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 64/167 Book of Proceedings disadvantage of WAsP and CFD models was that mesoscale wind variations were not taken into account in the modeling. In recent years many different approaches in coupling of mesoscale (NWP) and microscale (CFD) models were carried out. The authors in [10] studied the impact of coupling a CFD (CFD-Urban) model with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) NWP model on urban scale for contaminant transport and dispersion. CFD model prediction was significantly improved when using the wind field produced by downscaling WRF output as initial and boundary condition. The key reason is that turning of lower boundary layer wind and pressure gradient are well represented in the time varying 3D WRF fields. The development of micro-to-mesoscale modeling capability for the urban regime in which WRF model is coupled to high resolution CFD (CFD-ACE+/CFD-Urban) using the Model Coupling Environmental Library (MCEL) was presented in [11]. [1] Proposed a methodology, using the field measurements as a link between the NWP (ALADIN) model data and CFD (Code_Saturne) model. This methodology previously developed at EDF R&D by coupling mesoscale and microscale model for wind resource assessment showed significant reduction in error in comparison with WAsP simulation. [3] presents an application of NWP model combined with CFD (VENTOS) model to improve wind power forecasting. CFD simulations for every sector allow to establish linear relations between the reference meteorological mast and the turbines of the park. Using the power curve and NWP outputs, [3] evaluate the wind speed and the direction at the reference mast and are able to predict the production up to 72 hours ahead. Methodology proposed by [2] provides high resolution wind mapping, by combining NWP (SKIRON) and CFD (CFDWind) model with straightforward link that relies on calibrated “geostrophic wind” and demonstrated on Granada region in Spain. The authors [13] placed weight on the need to have a valid link between mesoscale modeling and microscale modeling, and it is essential for application and verification of modeling results. Different route were proposed, ranging from direct application of mesoscale data to the recommended and more sophisticated approach involving corrections at mesoscale and microscale model. Data assimilation is a NWP concept encompassing method for combining observations of variables into numerical models, such an approach is not common in CFD simulation. In [8], the authors successfully implemented a multiscale weather model, which is designed for simulation of weather process from synoptic (WRF) scale to microscale (LES) with simultaneous nested grids along with data assimilation. In [7], the process of assimilating mesoscale model data into CFD simulation was done successfully and preliminary results of this study indicate that its possible to nudge the wind profile towards the WRF while retaining the mass consistency of the CFD model. It uses the spatially varying WRF data as inflow condition for CFD (Acusolve) model and assimilating vertical wind profiles of the fine-scale WRF data into the CFD model in order to nudge the CFD solution towards the WRF model data. In this research work, we use operational mesoscale model data as inflow condition for microscale grid and address the problem of topography variation at the border between mesoscale and microscale grid. Three methods (Translation, Extrapolation and Cressman interpolation) are developed to impose inflow condition on the microscale grid. Then we use Newtonian relaxation data assimilation technique to assimilate the field measurement inside the microscale grid. This is an ongoing research work performed in the framework of FP7/ITN Marie Curie WAUDIT project. It’s a consortium which aims at developing new methodologies of added value to the wind industry, such that they can contribute to new levels of standardization of wind assessment activities. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 65/167 Book of Proceedings 2. Methodology In this section we discuss the site selected for this application, field measurement campaign, inflow condition from the operational mesoscale model and microscale model used. 2.1. Description of the site The area of interest is located in southern France. The site is considered very complex with strong slopes (locally larger than 30°), valleys and forest (more than 80%). The average altitude of site is 700m. The site is located at the centre of the figure 1 (left), with plain in South-East, valley on the North-West and further to the North-West a plateau at altitude of 1100m is seen. Figure 1 shows the elevation map of the site (40x40 km2), inner simulation domain of (20x20 km2) and masts location. The digital elevation map and land use file have resolution of 25m and 50m respectively and are obtained from IGN (Institut Géographique National, France). M80 ● ● ● M FP M80 FP ● ● ● Figure 1: Topography and position of the 3 masts on the site (colour map in meters). Figure 2: Location of the simulation domain and operational ALADIN grid. Table 1. Description of wind measurements. 2.2. Experimental campaign A one-year field measurement campaign was led by EDF R&D and EDF Energies Nouvelles between June 2007 and June 2008 in order to provide input and validation data. The measurement set-up included 2 sodars, two 50m masts (M and FP) with cup anemometers and vanes, and a 80m mast (M80) with cup and sonic anemometers, vanes, temperature and humidity sensors. A Remtech PA2 sodar was installed besides the 50m M mast in order to provide the vertical profile of wind and WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 66/167 Book of Proceedings turbulence between 100 m and 600 m. A Scintec SFAS sodar, which provided the vertical profile of wind and turbulence between 30 m and 130 m, was located near the M80 mast. Four sonic anemometers installed on the M80 mast measured the three components of the wind averaged over 10 minutes, and their standard deviation. Table 1 shows the list of the measurement locations, instrument device used, height of measurement and period of measurement. Access to electricity network was not possible in this area, so an autonomous device of power supply has been used which included 10 batteries, 10 solar cells and 4 small wind turbines. The analysis of the sonic and sodar measurement data reveals that the SFAS sodar underestimated the wind speeds by about 12% in average when compared to the sonic anemometers. However, the ratio between sodar and sonic wind speed is highly dependent on the wind direction and is linked to the topography [16]. 2.3. ALADIN mesoscale model ALADIN (Aire Limitée Adaptation dynamique Dévelopement InterNational) is a mesoscale model developed and operated by several European and North African countries under the leadership of Météo-France. It maintains a NWP system for use on limited geographic areas, with small domains and high spatial resolution. The important meteorological events at fine scale (local winds, breezes, thunderstorms lines) are the main results of the dynamical adaptation to the characteristics of the earth's surface. It receives boundary data from the French global model-ARPEGE. The horizontal resolution of ALADIN grid is approximately 9 km with 31 vertical levels. In the present case, analyses are available at 0h and 12h and forecasts between 1h and 11h and between 13h and 23h with a one hour step. A new forecast is produced every 12 hours, while the longest range of the forecast is 48 hours (www.cnrm.meteo.fr/aladin/). Figure 2 shows the location of the simulation domain (20X20 km2) and surrounding operational mesoscale (ALADIN) grid. Météo-France provided the hourly wind speed and temperature profile for the year 2007, turbulent kinetic energy and dissipation are deduced from the mesoscale profile using theoretical relations. The operational ALADIN runs provide the initial and boundary condition for the CFD modeling. Since the beginning of 2012, ALADIN is no more used operationally at Météo-France, however, the methodology developed in this framework can be applied with any mesoscale model. 2.4. Microscale CFD modeling Microscale model used for this research work is an open-source CFD code, Code_Saturne developed by EDF R&D and CEREA [14]. It is a general purpose CFD code, which handles complex geometry and physics. The atmospheric module takes into account the large scale meteorological conditions and thermal stratification of the atmosphere. This module is used for wind energy engineering, urban canopy and pollutant dispersion modeling. It is a finite-volume code, robust for application of Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) and Large Eddy Simulation (LES) models. Although RANS is less accurate in comparison with LES, RANS is the most commonly used CFD model for simulation involving turbulent flow in industrial and engineering application because it is computationally less expensive. The turbulence in the simulation domain is parameterized by the standard k-ε turbulence closure model as in the previous work [1]. The atmospheric stability is not taken into account in the simulations. Inlet turbulent kinetic energy, k and dissipation ε, are generated using the frictional velocity, u* deduced from the ALADIN wind profile. A study was conducted to assess the grid resolution for this domain. The model applies no-slip boundary condition on the ground with roughness value deduced from land use file, velocity inflow condition is prescribed on the north and west face for the meteorological situation considered here, outflow condition on the east and south face and symmetry condition at the top. The simulations are run until a stationary state is reached in the domain. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 67/167 Book of Proceedings 3. Coupling and data assimilation In this section, methods developed for imposing mesoscale model wind profile on microscale grid and assimilating field measurement into the microscale grid are discussed. 3.1. Imposing mesoscale boundary condition on microscale grid The differences in horizontal (∆xy) and vertical resolution (∆z) between mesoscale grid (∆xy ≈ a few km and ∆z ≈ some tens of meters) and CFD grid (∆xy ≈ some tens of m and ∆z ≈ some meters) are very large, whereas the topography variations are strong at the border of the simulation domain. The reliefs seen by the mesoscale and microscale codes are different. In particular, there are some unavailable values of the model variables when the relief altitude is higher in the mesoscale grid than in microscale grid. Hence imposing the inlet boundary condition on the CFD domain is a difficult task and different strategies need to be implemented. Methods used to impose mesoscale data on microscale grid are: translation, extrapolation and Cressman interpolation (refer to Figure 3). Translation method was developed and implemented in [1]. In translation, the mesoscale wind profiles are translated along the absolute co-ordinates of the microscale terrain. In this method wind speed varies along the height above ground level which is not reliable far from the ground. In extrapolation, the mesoscale wind profiles are extrapolated between the lowest level of the mesoscale profile and the absolute altitude of the local ground level in the microscale grid. Thus, above a certain level, the inlet wind speed obtained in extrapolation method is function of height above sea level. Translation Extrapolation Cressman interpolation Figure 3. Methods of imposing mesoscale wind profile on microscale grid boundaries. Cressman interpolation is a method which is widely used in NWP [6]. Using the Cressman interpolation, the wind speed on a boundary face of the microscale grid is calculated as a linear combination of the values provided by the nearby mesoscale data. Figure 3 shows example of Cressman interpolation, the observations O1 and O2 influence the grid point P, O3 doesn’t. These values are weighted depending only upon the distance between the CFD grid point and the mesoscale grid points. Thus, the inlet horizontal wind components are calculated as combinations of mesoscale data following: Vint erpolate = naladin naladin i =1 i =1 ∑ ViWi ∑ Wi (1) Where naladin is the number of available ALADIN verticals, the weights Wi are functions of the distance between the CFD grid point where the wind speed is calculated (coordinates xvalue, yvalue, and zvalue) and the nearby ALADIN grid points (coordinates xi, yi,and zi): 0 r2 2 if i ≥ 700 Wi = ri 2 − e 4 else WAUDIT Contract# 238576 (2) CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 68/167 Book of Proceedings where 2 ri 2 2 2 x − xi yvalue − yi zvalue − zi = value + + rL rL rZ (3) rL and rZ are longitudinal and vertical radius of influence fixed at the beginning of the computation. Thus, Cressman interpolation is able to calculate the mesoscale model variables on the microscale grid. 3.2. Field measurement data assimilation into CFD model Data assimilation was originally developed for NWP, in which meteorological observations enter the models forecast and analysis cycles. Nudging, a Newtonian relaxation data assimilation technique is used to incorporate the measurement data into the CFD simulations. It consists in adding to the prognostic equation for the wind components a term that nudges the solution towards the observations [6, 15]. This term that has a negative sign "keeps" the calculated state close to the observations. For example, a primitive equation model, the velocity forecast equation is written as and similarly for all other equations. ∂τ ij uobs − us ∂ui ∂u 1 ∂p ∂ 2u i + uj i = − +v − + * W ( x, y , z, t ) ρ ∂xi τu ∂t ∂x j ∂ x j ∂x j ∂x j u u (4) τ where obs , s , u and W ( x , y , z, t ) are observed velocity, predicted velocity, relaxation time scale and cressman type spatial and temporal weighting function respectively. The relaxation time scale is chosen based on empirical consideration and may depend on the variables. Then we use Cressman type volumetric interpolation in the horizontal and vertical direction in order to calculate the observed −r / 2 R values on the grid points. A radial drop-off rate of e is used for W ( x , y, z , t ) , where r is the radial distance from observation point and R is arbitrarily set at 10m for a smooth drop-off. This type of function is used in NWP and it doesn’t vary in time since time integration is very small in CFD τ simulation. The relaxation time scale, u is set here to 50 s. This type of modeling approach is not common in CFD simulation and Code_Saturne is modified to incorporate this additional forcing term. 4. Results 4.1. Case description The case chosen for initial analysis is typical of the most dominant wind direction (North-Westerly) and is on 17th November 2007 and the specific time for the CFD simulation is 20:00 CET. The surface wind speed and temperature are 6 m/s and 10 °C respectively. Figure 4 shows the wind rose from the mast M80 location. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 69/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 4: Wind rose from the M80 mast location Figure 5: ALADIN u and v velocity components and Cressman interpolated velocities for all microscale inlet faces for rL=8500 m and rZ=100 m. 4.2. Coupling method CFD simulations are carried out for inflow conditions computed using 3 methods - translation, extrapolation and Cressman interpolation. For the translation and extrapolation methods, ALADIN profiles either upstream of the flow or at the centre of the domain are chosen to compute inflow conditions. Cressman interpolation method uses ALADIN profiles in and around the simulation domain to compute the inflow conditions. Sensitivity of the horizontal and vertical radius of influence are tested, for horizontal radii 2000, 4250, 8500 and 10000 m and for vertical radii 100, 200 and 500 m. Figure 5 shows u and v velocity components of all ALADIN grid points and Cressman interpolated u and v velocity components for all inlet microscale grid faces. For horizontal radius (rL) 4250 m and beyond no difference is seen in the imposed inlet velocities at the boundaries and horizontal radius (rL) 2000 m lead to use only the closest ALADIN vertical. Horizontal radius (rL) 8500 m and vertical radius (rZ) 100 m are chosen for any further simulations. The results of CFD simulations using translation, extrapolation and Cressman interpolation (as inlet boundary) were compared and they show Cressman interpolation performed better compared to translation and extrapolation. Translation and extrapolation use a single mesoscale profile as inlet boundaries and results vary depending on the chosen mesoscale grid point. Cressman interpolation uses combination of mesoscale grid points taking into account the altitude of the microscale grid and mesoscale grid. However, hourly mesoscale inlet data are unable to predict strong variations in velocities at the measurement locations. This variability cannot be reproduced by the CFD models, as the results of the simulation correspond to a stationary state for given boundary conditions. On the whole, using Cressman interpolation method to compute the inflow at lateral boundary seems to be the better option for initializing and maintaining the wind speed level over the topography. 4.3. Comparison of CFD simulation without nudging and with nudging Firstly we run CFD simulation using Cressman interpolated mesoscale wind fields as inlet boundary condition and see how they predicted wind flow fields over the complex terrain. We have very good data set at M80, M and FP mast location for this situation. Figures 7, 8 and 9 show the on-site field measurements plotted for masts M80, M and FP respectively. At M80 location, three consecutive 10 minutes average velocity of cup anemometer and sonic anemometer measurement and three WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 70/167 Book of Proceedings consecutive 20 minutes average velocity of short range sodar are plotted. Cup and sonic measurements are in good agreement with each other. The sodar measurements at M80 show the velocity profile until 100 m and are in good agreement with cup and sonic measurements. At M mast, three consecutive 10 minutes average velocity of cup anemometer are available but sodar data are not available for this situation. At FP location, three consecutive 10 minutes average velocity of cup anemometer are plotted. It is to be noted that we apply hourly mesoscale wind speeds at inlet boundaries and compare with 10 and 20 minutes average velocities at the three locations. Then CFD simulation with data assimilation (nudging) is carried out for the same situation. At M80 location three data sets are available and we choose to nudge a data set and validate with remaining data. Figure 6 shows the imposed Cressman weighting function at the M80 mast location, W ( x , y, z , t ) = 1 at exact location of M80 and it drops exponentially outwards to W ( x, y, z , t ) = 0 . We nudge M80 sonic measurements on 17/11/2007 at 20:00 CET for this situation and monitor the influence of nudging at the other 2 nearby mast locations. Figure 6: Cressman weighting function imposed at mast M80 location. Figure 7: Comparison with measurements at M80 of velocity profile calculated with and without data assimilation. Figures 7, 8 and 9 show the comparison of measurements, CFD (CFD simulations without nudging) and CFD+nudging (CFD simulation with nudging at M80) at mast M80, M and FP locations. At M80 mast location, CFD simulation predicted well and CFD+nudging simulation nudges the 4 levels of sonic measurements into the simulation and improvement is noticed in comparison with CFD simulation without assimilation. Also it is noticed that ALADIN mesoscale grid point closest to the masts location over predicted velocity, which leads also to an overestimation of the wind speed in the CFD simulation without assimilation. At M location, variability in three consecutive 10 minutes average is noticed, and CFD+nudging better compares to measurements at 20:00 than CFD simulation without nudging. At FP location, the improvement with assimilation is even more obvious, although there was not any FP measurement assimilated. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 71/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 8: Comparison with measurements at M of velocity profile calculated with and without data assimilation. Figure 9: Comparison with measurements at FP of velocity profile calculated with and without data assimilation. Figures 10 and 11 present the zoom-up of the velocity magnitude and vectors cross-section at mast locations for CFD simulation without nudging and CFD simulation with nudging respectively. They show the significant effect of data assimilation on the wind speed within all the zone of interest, but also an important effect on the direction, as a result of the separated assimilation on u and v components. Thus data assimilation may allow to correct at least partly some errors in wind speed and direction calculated by the mesoscale and CFD models. Figure 10: Zoom up of velocity magnitude and vector cross-section for CFD simulation without nudging. Figure 11: Zoom up of velocity magnitude and vector cross-section for CFD simulation with nudging. Simulations performed for other situations confirmed that assimilating data at M80 mast allows to improve the comparison with measurements not only at M80 but also at the two other masts locations. 5. Conclusions This research work implemented the operational mesoscale data into the microscale grid using 3 coupling methods and incorporated field measurement into the CFD model using nudging as data WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 72/167 Book of Proceedings assimilation technique. Cressman interpolation method better represented the velocities at the inlet boundaries compared to translation and extrapolation method. The results from the CFD with assimilation indicate that incorporation of the field measurement data into Code_Saturne can nudge the wind speeds and direction towards the measurements while keeping mass consistency of the model. The improvement is noticed not only at the mast where data have been assimilated, but also on the two other masts locations, leading to a more realistic wind field in the whole region concerned by wind turbines installation. In the future, thermal stratification, and forest canopy model will also be introduced. Annual energy prediction will then be calculated from the number of CFD simulations deduced from a clustering process. Acknowledgements This is an ongoing research work performed in the framework of FP7/ITN Marie Curie WAUDIT project. It’s a consortium which aims at developing new methodologies of added value to the industry, such that they can contribute to new levels of standardization of wind assessment activities. References [1] [Laporte L, Dupont E, Carissimo B, Musson-Genon L and Sécolier C 2009 Atmospheric CFD simulation coupled to mesoscale analyses for wind resource assessment in complex terrain Proc. European Wind Energy conf (Marseille, France) [2] Sanz Rodrigo J, Garcia B, Cabezon D, Lozano S and Marti I 2010 Downscaling mesoscale simulations with CFD for high resolution regional wind mapping Proc. European Wind Energy conf (Warsaw, Poland) [3] Rodrigues V, Santos S, Palma J, Castro F, Miranda P and Rodrigues A 2008 Short-term forecasting of a wind farm output using CFD Proc. European Wind Energy conf (Brussels, Belgium) [4] Politis E S and Chaviaropoulos P K 2008 Micrositing and wind turbine classification in complex terrain Proc. European Wind Energy conf (Brussels, Belgium) [5] Coirier W J, Kim S, Marella S, Mayes J, Chen F, Michalakes J, Miao S and Bettencourt M 2007 Progress towards coupled mesoscale and microscale modeling capability (Bettencourt Consulting, LLC, USA) (CFD Research Corporation - National centre for Atmospheric Research) [6] Kalnay E 2008 Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability (Cambridge University Press) [7] Haupt S E, Zajaczowski F J and Schmehl K J 2011 A preliminary study of assimilating numerical weather prediction data intp computational fluid dynamics model for wind prediction J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerod. 99 320-329 [8] Liu Y, Warner T, Liu Y, Vincent C, Wu W, Mahoney B, Swerdlin S, Parks K, Boehnert J 2011 Simultaneous nested modeling from the synoptic scale to the LES scale for wind energy applications J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerod. 99 308-319 [9] Yamada T and Koike K 2011 Downscaling mesoscale meteorological models for computational wind engineering application J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerod. 99 199-216 [10] Tewari M, Kusaka H, Chen F, Coirier W J, Kim S, Wyszogrodzki A A, Warner T T 2010 Impact of coupling a microscale computational fluid dynamics model with a mesoscale model on urban scale contaminant transport and dispersion Atmos. Res. 96 656-664 [11] Cionco R M, Luces S A 2002 Coupled Mesoscale-Microscale model to compute neighborhood scale wind fields 4th Symp. Urban Environment [12] Berge E, Gravdahl A R, Schelling J, Tallhaug L and Undheim O, 2006 Wind in complex terrain. A comparison of WAsP and two CFD-models. Proc. European Wind Energy conf (Athens, Greece) WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 73/167 Book of Proceedings [13] Badger J, Hahmann A, Larsen X G, Diaz A P, Batchvarova E, Gryning S E, Floors R and Jørgensen H E 2011 Comprehensive utilization of mesoscale modelling for wind energy applications Proc. European Wind Energy conf (Brussels, Belgium) [14] Code_Saturne 2.0.6, Theory and programmer’s guide, EDF R&D, http://research.edf.com/ research-and-the-scientific-community/software/code-saturne/download-code-saturne-80059.html [15] Warner T T 2011 Numerical weather and climate prediction (Cambridge University Press) [16] Dupont E, Lefranc Y and Sécolier C 2009 A sodar campaign in complex terrain for data quality evaluation and methodological investigations Proc. European Wind Energy conf (Marseille, France) WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 74/167 Book of Proceedings The Anisotropic Multifractal Model and Wind Turbine Wakes G. Fittona,1, T. Tchiguirinskaiaa, D. Schertzera, S. Lovejoya a Universitè Paris Est, Ecole des Ponts ParisTech, Marne-la-Vallée, France b McGill University, Physics Department, Montreal, Quebec, Canada Presented at the 7th EAWE PhD Seminar on Wind Energy in Europe, TUDelft, Delft, Netherlands, October 2011. Keywords: Universal Multifractals, Spectral Analysis, Wind Velocity Fluctuations and Power Estimation. 1. Introduction A typical routine in wind field resource assessment, at the most basic level, consists of first to third order statistics of times series data. The quality of the time series data can range between 0.05 to 600 seconds. More often than not the frequency of data will be the latter of the two since it is the cumulative power over long periods of time that define the financial return from turbines and thus highresolution data is deemed unnecessary. It is now evident that such coarse time series data are no longer sufficient for a representative assessment of the wind and that estimations based on such data are associated with inaccurate power curve prediction and turbine damage. In particular it has been suggested that such problems are due to a lack of understanding of the somewhat intermittent nature of the wind velocity fields and the small-scale fluctuations thus associated. In order to address this there has been a significant increase in research involving coupled mesoscale-microscale models and stochastic downscaling methods. Our contribution is a demonstration that a good knowledge of smallscale variability is essential for a better understanding of the atmospheric boundary layer. We discuss the applicability of the stochastic anisotropic multifractal model to the complex conditions of wind farm potential and operational sites. 1. Data Available to us is six-months of wind velocity and temperature measurements at the heights 22, 23 and 43m. Figure 1: Schematic of turbine positions and wake effect due to North-Westerly winds (map courtesy of Julien Richard). 1 Corresponding author: George Fitton Universitè Paris Est, Ecole des Ponts ParisTech, LEESU, 6-8 avenue B. Pascal, Cit`e Descartes, 77455, Marne-la-Vall´ee cedex 02, France; tel.: +33 1 64 15 36 07, fax: +33 1 64 15 37 64, e-mail: [email protected] WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 75/167 Book of Proceedings The measurements came from 3D sonic anemometers with a 10Hz data output rate positioned on a mast in a wind farm test site subject to wake turbulence effects (see Fig. 1). The quality of the data was of utmost importance so thorough pre-processing and verification was implemented to assure the reliability of the results. 3. Analysis 3.1. The Energy Spectrum and Scaling A typical first-step-method to determine the overall scaling behaviour is the transformation of the velocity field into Fourier space. We ‘should’ then be able to observe powerlaw behaviour of the spectrum such that E (ω ) = Aω −β (1) where ω is the frequency, E(ω) is the energy at a given frequency, A is a coefficient of proportionality and b is the scaling exponent. The review of [Marusic et. al., 2010] discusses the existence of a -1 power law sub-range over small frequencies, adjoined by a classical Kolmogorov inertial sub-range with β = 5/3. We will present shortly a more in-depth discussion on how our results compare to Kolmogorov’s predictions however before this we would like to discuss the fact that there is no unique scaling regime i.e. there are three common scaling features, instead of the predicted universal law (see Figs. 2 and 3 also), that are: • • • High frequency scaling range (RHF: ~0.1 secs to ~5 mins) in which all three velocity components, u, v and w, follow (approximately) the same scaling law. Mid-frequency w-component departure from scaling at ~5 minutes. Mid-Frequency, RMF, corresponds to the ranges ~5 mins to ~1 hour. Low frequency scaling reunification (RLF: ~1 hr to ~1 day) for all three velocity components at about an hour. The power law is not the same as that for small scales as will be discussed later. The focus therefore of our more in-depth analysis is the behaviour of the horizontal u- and vcomponents over the midfrequency-ranges i.e. ~5 mins to ~1 day. In fact what we found was that our data fell into two categories; days (i.e., independent samples of 219 measurements [≈14.5 hours] per day) without a mid-frequency perturbation (Fig. 2) and days with a mid-frequency perturbation (Fig. 3). In the next section we will consider the simpler of the two regimes that are the non-perturbed days. 3.2 Non-perturbed Days & The Anisotropic Multifractal Model The results from spectral analysis on non-perturbed days confirm a unique power law for all three velocity components over higher frequencies up to approximately 40 seconds at which the vertical wind w-component shows a clear scaling break followed by a -1 power law subrange as described in the previous section. Moreover, such a clear separation of power law subranges allows us to obtain an estimate of the integral length scale for the vertical wind component as suggested in [Monin & Yaglom, 1975], which in turn leads to an estimate of the Reynolds number of about 60,000. Thus, from dimensional analysis one may obtain a minimum Reynolds number of about 14,000. These estimates confirm that the investigated wind field exhibits fully developed turbulence. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 76/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 2: Averaged spectra for 11 non-perturbed days where the velocity component u is blue, v is green and w is red. The high-frequency range from ~0.1 sec to 5 mins has spectral slope ~1.4, less than the predicted 5/3. In addition we have highlighted the -1 adjoining range, from 5 mins to an hour, with the scale break being predictable based on the mast height (see [Fitton et. al., 2011] for more details). Low frequency scaling region is compatible with the -11/5 scaling law. Over the high-frequency range Fig. 3 displays spectral exponents that differ from Kolmogorov’s -5/3 law. The difference corresponds to an intermittency correction of spectral slopes and can be taken into account using the universal multifractal framework (Schertzer and Lovejoy, 1987), where: • • the energy density flux is a conserved (at any scale ratio λ ) multifractal field proportional to a power law with singularity, g, i.e. ελ ∝ λ γ , (2) the statistical moments of the energy density flux are defined by: ε λq ∝ λ K ( q ) , • (3) and the scaling moment function K(q) is defined by: C K (q ) = 1 q α − q . α −1 ( ) (4) Here, q, is the order of moment, C1 is the codimension of the mean singularity and a is the multifractal Lévy index. The spectral exponent of Eq. 1 now becomes β = 2H + 1 − K (2) . (5) where H = 1/3 quantifies the degree of non-conservation of velocity increments. For spectra (i.e. for second order statistics), we estimated K(2) = 0.27. Such high intermittency corrections are expected over high frequencies in areas with high Reynolds numbers and complex terrain. In addition we observed the Bolgiano-Obuhkov -11/5 power law at low frequencies illustrating the influence of largescale vertical motions specific to the topography of our wind farm test site [Faggio & Jolin, 2003]. To take into account the dominant role of the vertical motion of large scale atmospheric structures, one may consider that the buoyancy force variance flux, f, plays the same role as the energy flux, e, in WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 77/167 Book of Proceedings 3D turbulence but only along the vertical [Schertzer & Lovejoy, 1984]. This is contrary to the classical ‘buoyancy subrange’ that postulates an isotropic turbulence [Bolgiano, 1959, Obukhov, 1959] with two different (horizontal and vertical) scaling regimes. Thus we have the coupled sets of scaling equations [Schertzer & Lovejoy, 1984, Lazarev et. al., 1994]: ∆x1/ 3 d 1/ 5 3 /5 ∆ V ( ∆ z ) = (φ ( ∆ z ) ) ∆ x d ∆V ( ∆x ) = ( ε ( ∆x ) ) ⇒ ( ε ( ∆x ) ) 1/ 3 1/ 3 ≈ (φ ( ∆z ) ) 1/ 5 when ∆x1/ 3 ≈ ∆z3 / 5 (6) (7) where ∆V(∆x) and ∆V(∆z) denote the horizontal and vertical shears of the horizontal wind respectively d and the symbol = means equality in probability distribution. Because the scaling fluctuations of both fluxes are not neglected (due to their explicit scale dependency) we can define anisotropic scaling (as defined by the anisotropic multifractal model [Schertzer & Lovejoy, 1984]) at all significant scales instead of two isotropic regimes, separated by a scaling break (see [Fitton et. al., 2011] for more details). Figure 3: Averaged spectra for 11 perturbed days where the velocity component u is blue, v is green and w is red. The high-frequency range from ~0.1 sec to 5 mins has spectral slope ~1:6 which is much closer to the predicted 5/3. We have highlighted the fluttering for the horizontal components over RMF. We can also see the fluttering of the vertical component is accentuated to a plateau. The 11/5 low frequency scaling regime remains, although with a lower coefficient of proportionality A (Eq. 1). 3.3. Perturbed Days, Wakes and Power Estimation In [Fitton et. al., 2011] we put forward the argument that the non-perturbed days were a result of lack of influence of wind turbines justified by the low frequency power law (crossdiagonal mean wind) of the integrated cospectral analysis. The same argument allowed us to select days that were highly perturbed. By this we mean days where the midfrequency range, RMF, in which the scaling of horizontal velocity components remained the same as described in the previous section, now have significant fluttering (see below [Fig. 3]). WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 78/167 Book of Proceedings To see the effect of the turbines we can do a direct comparison of the integrated spectra, ωE(ω), in log-linear coordinates of perturbed and non-perturbed days (11 of each see Fig. 4). Figure 4: Comparison of perturbed and non-perturbed, u-component averaged integrated spectra, ωE(ω), in loglinear coordinates; blue is perturbed days with lightblue moving average, green is non-perturbed with red moving average and purple is the differences of the moving averages. This gives us a quantification of the energy per frequency increment making the overall evaluation of the energy gains and losses much easier. We have selected the horizontal u-component since there is no -1 adjoining range for nonperturbed days making it easier to make the comparison. Note the behaviour of the horizontal v-component is very similar (evidence of asymmetry at larger scales). From Fig. 4 we can draw the following intermediate conclusions based on the ranges defined in Section 3.1: • • • High frequency scaling range (~0.1 secs to ~5 mins) has an injection of energy since perturbed days (blue integrated spectra, light-blue moving average in Fig. 4) have more energy than the unperturbed days (green integrated spectra, red moving average in Fig. 4). This is confirmed by the positive difference of the moving average of the integrated spectra (purple curve of Fig. 4). If we consider the most basic approximation to a turbine, the actuator disc, then we can assume any eddy larger than the disc will be split into smaller eddies. This may explain the increase in high frequency energy. In fact, we can further confirm this idea since the transition of energy peaks at ~5 mins highlighted again in Fig. 4 correspond to the size of the wake shown in Fig. 1. Mid-frequency u-component (~5 mins to ~3 hours) shows evidence of energy pumping from the turbines for the perturbed days. This is more obvious when looking at the negative difference of the two integrated spectra over this range. Low frequency (~3 hours to ~1 day [mesoscales]) shows that although there is similar scaling behaviour the energy for the perturbed days (red curve) is greater than the non-perturbed (light-blue curve) since the difference of the two (purple line) is positive. In [Fitton et. al., 2011] we suggested this was because the two particular types of wind the site was typically subject were strong North-Westerlys and weak South-Easterlys. This meant only the stronger winds would interact with the turbines (see Fig. 1). WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 79/167 Book of Proceedings In addition we see at ~3 hours the energy of the nonperturbed days becomes greater than perturbed. In the previous section we discussed how topographical features can change the scaling power law over the lower frequency data. This suggests there are similar topographical influences causing the loss of energy e.g. higher mean winds dissipate more energy over complex terrain. Fig. 5 displays a schematic diagram that illustrates the corresponding inter-relations of different scaling ranges of the energy spectra. Over each of these ranges, two distinct power laws describe the corresponding scaling behaviour, with and without wake effects. Thus, from Eq. 5 we get: E1 ( ω ) = A1ω − β1 , (8) E2 ( ω ) = A2ω − β2 . (9) Since the estimates of the multifractality parameter, α, remain stable for both perturbed and nonperturbed fields, the ratio of the energy spectra is defined by the second order structure function: E1 ( ω ) E2 ( ω ) = A1 −ζ ∆ (2) ω A2 (10) where ζ ∆ = 2 ( ∆H ) − ( ∆C1 /(α −1) ) ⋅ ( 2α −2) from Eqs. 4 and 5. Figure 5: Schematic of the inter-relations of different scaling ranges of the energy spectra in a log-log plot. From Fig. 5, Eq. 4 and the above equation (Eq. 10) we see an empirical spectral exponent closer to the theoretical values of β = 5/3 (over small scales) or β = 11/5 (over large scales), correspond to a smaller intermittency correction K(2). Figs. 4 and 5 therefore suggest that by taking the energy over large scales, wind turbines create additional small-scale eddies and re-inject them as part of the energy over smaller scales, making the turbulence more homogeneous. 4. Conclusions The aim of this study was to explore the scaling behaviour of atmospheric velocity measurements in a wind farm test site subject to wake turbulence effects. Based on this study we can make the following conclusions: WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 80/167 Book of Proceedings • • • • • Using long time series, 10Hz data, we identified (depending on the direction of the mean wind) two or three scaling sub-ranges. Through spectral analysis we found possible relations between wind velocity scaling breaks and associated theories of fully developed turbulence in the atmospheric surface-layer and used the universal multifractal framework to deal with the strong intermittency of the field. We have discussed how the anisotropic multifractal model can be applied to near wall atmospheric turbulence over complex terrain how it can be fully validated for days with no interaction with the wind turbine wakes. We found empirical evidence of the influence of wakes and suggested reasoning and scaling techniques that enable us to quantify the loss of energy with the potential of taking this into account using the anisotropic multifractal model. And finally, we discussed how the pumping of energy from wind turbines over mid-frequency scales, creates additional small-scale eddies which are re-injected as part of the energy over smaller scales. This makes the turbulence more homogeneous over the smaller scales in an analogous way to grid-generated homogeneous turbulence. References [1] [Bolgiano, 1959] BOLGIANO, R. 1959 Turbulent spectra in a stably stratified atmosphere, J. Geophys. Res. 64, 2226. [2] [Faggio & Jolin, 2003] FAGGIO, G. & JOLIN, C. 2003 Suivi ornithologique sur le parc d`eoliennes dErsa- Rogliano (Haute Corse) - Rapport final-SIIF/AAPNRC-GOC, 100p. [3] [Fitton et. al., 2011] FITTON, G. F., TCHIGUIRINSKAIA, I., SCHERTZER D., & LOVEJOY, S. 2011 Scaling Of Turbulence In The Atmospheric Surface-Layer: Which Anisotropy?, Journal of Physics: Conference Series (in review) Warsaw, ETC13. [4] [Lazarev et. al., 1994] LAZAREV, A., SCHERTZER, D., LOVEJOY, S. & CHIGIRINSKAYA, Y. 1994 Unified multifractal atmospheric dynamics tested in the tropics: part II, vertical scaling and generalized scale invariance, 115-123. [5] [Marusic et. al., 2010] MARUSIC, I., MCKEON, B. J., MONKEWITZ, P. A., NAGIB, H. M., SMITS, A. J. & SREENIVASAN, K. R. 2010 Wall-bounded turbulent flows at high Reynolds numbers: Recent advances and key issues Phys. Fluid., 22, 065103. [6] [Monin & Yaglom, 1975] MONIN, A. S. & YAGLOM, A. M. 1975 Statistical Fluid Mechanics, Cambridge, MITPress, Vol. 2, pp. 874. [7] [Obukhov, 1959] OBUKHOV, A. N. 1959 Effect of Archimedian forces on the structure of the temperature field in a temperature flow, Sov. Phys. Dokl. 125, 1246. [8] [Pinus et. al., 1967] PINUS, N. Z., REITER, E. R., SHUR, G. N. & VINNICHENKO, N. K. 1967 Power spectra of turbulence in the free atmosphere, Tellus 19, 206. [9] [Schertzer & Lovejoy, 1984] SCHERTZER, D. & LOVEJOY, S. 1984 On the Dimension of Atmospheric motions. In: T. Tatsumi (Editor), Turbulence and Chaotic phenomena in Fluids, Amsterdam, Elsevier Science Publishers B. V., pp. 505-512. [10] [Yaglom & Kader, 1989] YAGLOM, A. M., KADER, B. A., & ZUBKOVSKII, S. L. 1989 Spatial Correlation Functions of Surface-Layer Atmospheric Turbulence in Neutral Stratification, Bound.Lay. Meteorol. 47, pp. 233-249. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 81/167 Book of Proceedings Model evaluation methodology for wind resource assessment Heather A. Holmesa,1, Javier Sanz Rodrigob, Daniel Cabezónb, Michael Schatzmanna a Center for Marine and Atmospheric Sciences (ZMAW), University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany b National Renewable Energy Centre (CENER), Sarriguren, Spain Keywords: Wind Resource Assessment; Wind Turbine Wake, Validation, Verification, Model Evaluation. Abstract Literature shows a large range of wind turbine power output predictability, with under and over prediction, from blind comparisons of numerical simulations with both field and wind tunnel test data. Standardized quality assurance procedures need to be developed to improve power output calculations, especially because the economic feasibility assessment for wind energy projects relies on these models. The intent is not to evaluate and rank individual models, but to work simultaneously with modelers and experimentalists in developing a consensus to establish quality assurance methods to be utilized in the wind energy community. Numerical models undergo evaluation by the developers to determine the reliability of the results. However, each modeler utilizes a different procedure, and has access to different experimental datasets. Model evaluation for wind energy assessment is difficult due to the complex processes that exist in the atmosphere, i.e., boundary layer stratification and non-stationary time series data. To improve the results obtained from wind energy models a database of quality checked experimental data, from physical models and field data, must be accessible to numerical modelers. The objective is to develop methods that provide guidance and outline quality check procedures for experimentalists and numerical modelers to ensure consistency and improve the modeled results. Due to the different scales being modeled, varying model applications and computational advancements several types of models are implemented to evaluate wind energy potential. It is expected that each type of model will require a separate evaluation procedure. However, a general evaluation procedure with purposed validation metrics is given and applied to examples for terrain flow and two wake flow cases. 1. Introduction Blind comparisons from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in the United States show a large range of power output predictability for the numerical modeling of wind turbines compared to wind tunnel test data. With a range of 60% underprediciton to 150% overprediction for the power output from a wind turbine with simple unyawed, unstalled operating conditions [1]. This is evidence that standardized quality assurance methods need to be developed for the numerical modeling of wind energy applications to improve power output calculations. The estimations from these models are used for economic justification, determination of wind farm locations and the siting of individual wind turbines within a wind farm. With such high uncertainty in the numerical models for the most idealized scenario (single turbine, simple operating conditions, neutral boundary layer and steady flow) a large amount of error exists in the economic predictability for wind energy assessment. 1 Corresponding author: Heather A. Holmes School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, e-mail: [email protected] WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 82/167 Book of Proceedings The application of quality assurance methods to wind energy assessment models is difficult because of the different scales and modeled output variables required. Due to the scale differences, a few meters up to more than 100 km, different types of models are used based on the application of the modeled results. The first type, wind flow models are the first assessment tool used to determine the economic viability of wind energy at a specific location. These are mesoscale models, also called micrositing models, that predict mean wind flow patterns to determine the potential wind energy extraction for a given location. Currently, the standard model being used is WAsP (Wind Atlas Analysis and Application Program), which estimates wind conditions at a specified location based on long term meteorological records collected at another location (reference location) [2]. While it is a useful tool, the WAsP model is often used outside of its recommended operating conditions, which requires neutral atmospheric stability and mild terrain with gentle slopes. With the advancement in computing capabilities the implementation of more detailed computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models for wind flow analysis are being used to address these limitations. Wake models are the microscale fluid mechanics models used to investigate the flow behavior behind a wind turbine (wake), and the interaction of the turbine wakes in wind farm situations. These models are used to investigate two wake ranges, near and far wake, with the separation between the two occurring approximately one to two rotor diameters downstream from the turbine [3]. The purpose of the near wake investigation is to study the performance and power output of the rotor design for an individual wind turbine, therefore airfoil aerodynamics are investigated. Where for the far wake, incident flow is modeled to determine wind farm layout for maximum power extraction based on topography, turbulence and turbine wake interactions [4]. Model developers must verify and validate the numerical model output, but currently a standardized procedure for this model evaluation in regard to wind energy does not exist. To improve the results obtained from wind energy models a common evaluation methodology and database of quality checked experimental data must be accessible to numerical modelers. The objective is to develop methods that provide guidance and outline quality check procedures for experimentalists and numerical modelers to ensure consistency, improve the modeled results and reduce uncertainties in wind energy predictions. The intent is not to evaluate and rank individual models, but to work simultaneously with modelers and experimentalists in developing a consensus to establish quality assurance methods. However, standardized quality assurance procedures are needed to improve the reliability of power output calculations, especially because the economic feasibility assessment for wind energy projects relies on these models. This work will focus on the methodology for model evaluation and the importance of establishing a common procedure for validation. Additionally, proposed quantities of interest and validation metrics will be given, including three examples using these metrics for terrain and wake flow test cases. The purpose is to present an initial framework of the validation processes as part of the evaluation methodology specific to wind energy to encourage the community to adopt a standardized procedure. Of primary importance for this validation procedure is the emphasis on blind comparison. The objective of model validation is not to use experimental data for model improvement, but to blindly test the outputs from numerical models with experimental data. Additional critical tasks for standardization are listed below, and will be used to guide the discussions in this paper and create an initial framework for the model evaluation procedure. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Develop guidelines for proper documentation and post-processing of field data Develop procedures for physical modeling to ensure quality data collection Create database with high quality test data from experimental studies Using the above database, design evaluation procedures for numerical models Implement a tool for evaluation to ensure accurate comparison and provide documentation Notice that this outline includes protocols to ensure proper data collection methods so high quality datasets will be obtained. Also, proper documentation for experimental studies (i.e., field and wind WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 83/167 Book of Proceedings tunnel) is required for the data to be useful for numerical model validation. Both will influence the quality of data used in each step of the model evaluation, and it is recommended that databases of models and experimental data be created to simplify the record keeping and documentation required for model evaluation. For the numerical models, this can be done in the format of a modeling inventory with information collected using a standardized questionnaire with all relevant model information documented. A data repository is suggested for the experimental data to keep the validation datasets in one location and to prevent manipulation of the datasets. The purpose of this paper is to provide model evaluation background information for model developers and end-users, state the intent to develop validation methods and initiate discussion within the wind energy community. In the following section background information is given that includes general terminology, and experimental and numerical background specific to wind energy research. Next, a general model evaluation methodology is presented based on previous studies that incorporated numerical modelers and experimentalists in urban fluid mechanics. The methodology is adapted for use in wind energy applications, with specific attention to the validation procedure. Three test cases for wind energy are shown to demonstrate the application of the validation procedures for terrain and wake flow situations. Finally, a discussion and summary are given to provide future recommendations for the wind energy community to consider when developing experimental databases and implementing a uniform model evaluation methodology. 2. Background 2.1. Terminology The following is a list of recommended definitions for commonly used evaluation terms in numerical modeling. The purpose of this list is to provide clarity when model results are being discussed within the wind energy community. Defining terms associated with computational simulations is not unique and references for these definitions can be found in the literature [5, 6, 7, 8]. Note that the list is ordered alphabetically and a term that appears in a definition may be defined further down the list. Benchmark: Typically in literature this is defined as an analytical or highly accurate numerical solution for use in verification [6]. However, this term is often being used to describe experimental datasets for use in validation, therefore care should be taken when using this term to clarify the accurateness and purpose of the dataset. Blind Test: Comparison of numerical results with experimental data, where modelers are not allowed access to the experimental dataset. Error: Inaccuracy of the numerical model i.e., insufficient time-step resolution or spatial grid convergence. This can be known error due to limitations in implementing the mathematical equations (Acknowledged Error) or unknown error from mistakes (Unacknowledged Error). Evaluation (Scientific Evaluation): Determining the appropriateness of the conceptual model in describing the real world application, includes three parts: scientific review, verification and validation. Extrapolation: Using a numerical model to simulate a process outside the range of which it was previously validated. Conceptual Model: System of mathematical equations, governing laws, initial and boundary conditions that describe the physical process of interest in the selected real world application. Computational Model: Implementation of the conceptual model into computer code. Metric: Variable used to quantitatively compare results from a numerical model with experimental data, typically with specified criteria for validation. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 84/167 Book of Proceedings Numerical Calibration: Utilizing field measurements, ensuring the proper scaling and units, as input parameters to the numerical model that are not a priori known. Numerical Model: Another term for conceptual or computational model, this term is provided to distinguish between wind tunnel data and computer simulations. Physical Model: Non-numerical modeling of a real world process; i.e., using a wind tunnel or water tunnel to model a real world process to provide a high quality dataset for the validation of computational models. Prediction: The output from a validated numerical simulation, for a specific real world process that is within the modeling capabilities deemed acceptable from the numerical model validation. Quantity of Interest: Output variable from numerical model to compare directly with experimental data, the metric is used to quantitatively compare the two results. Real World: Determination of the physical process to be investigated, examples for wind energy applications include wind flow patterns and flow around a wind turbine. Scientific Review (Assessment): The first step in model evaluation, it is an investigation of the scientific basis of a numerical model, which physical processes are included, how they are modeled, assumptions, approximations, solution techniques and the interface and resources available to the user. Tuning: Making adjustments to parameters in the numerical model based on the comparison between the model output and field measurements, not considered orthodox validation since it is not a blind test. Uncertainty: Recognizable inaccuracies of the model that are not due to a lack of knowledge. This can be due to inherent variability in the physical process (Aleatory Uncertainty) or from a lack of scientific understanding (Epistemic Uncertainty). Epistemic uncertainty can be improved by increasing modeling skill or understanding. Validation: Ensuring the physical processes are accurately modeled, this involves a comparison of the computational results with experimental data. Variability: In this case of wind energy this is the aleatory uncertainty attributed to the irregularity of turbulent processes in the atmosphere. Verification: Ensuring the mathematical accuracy of the computational model, including accurate implementation of equations (Solution Verification) and checking the computer code for errors (Code Verification). 2.2. Experimental considerations Improving models for wind energy applications requires knowledge from several academic disciplines to study the properties of wind in the atmosphere. The mesoscale phenomena are necessary to evaluate the mean surface winds at a location to justify wind turbine siting, and the microscale physics are required to determine turbine power output and reliability of the turbine design. Thus, requiring several types of numerical models and experimental datasets to accurately describe and model the physical processes that occur in the real world application. Therefore, a fitness for purpose mentality should be followed to ensure that the model being used is accurate for describing the real world process. Accompanying this, is the fitness for purpose of the datasets used to compare with numerical simulations, where data requirements to validate a microscale model differ from those of a mesoscale model. As stated in Section 1, it is important to create a database of experimental data for the model evaluation process. This not only provides a consistent comparison, but also makes certain that the WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 85/167 Book of Proceedings same datasets are used for comparison and not manipulated prior to the model evaluation process. Given the complexity of the experimental data with regard to uncertainty, variability and differing requirements for the various types of numerical models, it is suggested that each dataset undergo rigorous consideration and justification for inclusion into the experimental database. It is recommended that the wind energy community set selection criteria to outline the requirements for accepting an experimental dataset as an evaluation test case. There are several obstacles that exist in the collection of atmospheric data, the first is the instrumentation limitations (spatial and temporal), also the post-processing steps required to interpret the data are not straight forward. To ensure quality datasets are collected during field studies a general methodology for these post-processing steps should be implemented, as well as guidelines for experiment documentation to accurately and completely record the field campaign. In addition to these post-processing and documentation methods, field experiments intended for model validation would benefit from an experimental design that incorporates numerical models from the beginning. Experiments designed in this manner will be more complete and therefore more useful for validation datasets, where several factors must be considered (i.e., experimental requirements, input and boundary conditions, measurement uncertainty, experiment documentation, etc.). In an effort to address the meteorological uncertainties associated with measurements for wind energy applications the European UpWind project designated a meteorology working group. The first deliverable reports state of the art measurement techniques and methods, including the required accuracies and sampling frequencies, and resulted in the development of a Meteorology Database [9]. This report also discusses data from wind farms for wake flow investigations, typically from the wind turbine Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) system collected operationally as a standard part of wind farm monitoring. The SCADA data is used for wake analysis because the number of meteorological sensors and towers in wind farms is limited, however several data filtering steps are required to use the data for model evaluation. Additionally, this data does not always include flow variables but monitors wind turbine performance (i.e., power and yaw position), requiring the implementation of two models (flow and turbine performance) before the numerical and experimental data can be compared, making it impossible to determine which model the uncertainties are coming from. While it is recognized that the data from wind tunnel experiments may only be applicable to idealized atmospheric scenarios, the information is still useful for numerical modelers. The microscale physics of atmospheric processes can be investigated with higher spatial and temporal resolution data if physical models are utilized. For example flow in complex terrain, where wake regions exist and separation can occur, can be modeled in a wind tunnel at a specified scale, to study the fundamental physics of the flow. This can then be modeled numerically, with simplified conditions (e.g., neutral stability, no Coriolis force) to verify that the flow physics are modeled accurately. In addition to complex terrain, wake flow behavior can also be modeled in the wind tunnel. Although, matching all similarity criteria is difficult and the results should be interpreted with caution since wake flows are generally Reynolds number dependent. To obtain a high quality dataset from wind tunnel experiments it is important to understand the difference between wind tunnel boundary layers and the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL). When using a physical model to represent real world scenarios, obtaining the correct approach flow is important. Typically, this is investigated with vertical profiles of the mean velocity. However, this does not provide an understanding of the turbulence in the approach flow which influences the physical behavior of the flow phenomena. When characterizing the inlet flow profile it is important to not only match the mean velocity, but to consider several additional turbulent boundary layer properties; i.e., turbulent kinetic energy, integral length scales of turbulence, wind direction fluctuations and spectral density. To accurately model a real world field study, the wind tunnel model must not only match the physical scale, but also the scale of the boundary layer turbulence. A good reference for these WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 86/167 Book of Proceedings considerations and their application to an urban environment can be found in Schatzmann and Leitl [10]. The approach flow characteristics are also important to quantify as they are used as inputs in numerical models. To properly model the ABL, vortex generators and surface roughness modifications are typically used to obtain known approach flow conditions obtained from field data. The dimensions of the wind tunnel will dictate the boundary layer scaling relationship, and the ability to properly model the scales of motion in an ABL flow. There are also difficulties in wind tunnel modeling when applying the proper geometric and dynamic scaling to physically model the real world process. This is especially difficult in wind energy applications when trying to model wind turbine wake behavior and power output. Due to these difficulties it is increasingly important to develop quality assurance methodologies for wind tunnel modelers to use in their experimental design. Not necessarily in regard to the exact setup of the experiment, but in the experiment documentation, justification for scaling and inlet flow considerations and quantification of the measurement uncertainties. 2.3. Numerical modeling The simplest of the numerical models used for wind condition assessment are linearized flow models, where the equations governing the physical process of the wind (flow) are assumed to behave linearly. While these models are extremely simplified in describing the physical processes, they allow for cheaper computational costs and for mean surface wind predictions over large areas, typically up to 10 km at 50 m horizontal resolution. The linearized flow model currently being used in the wind energy industry is WAsP, and has been used since the introduction of the European Wind Atlas in 1989 [2]. The WAsP model was inspired by the linear theory of Jackson and Hunt [11] and can be used reliably in neutral atmospheric conditions over mild terrain, with sufficiently gentle slopes to ensure fully attached flows. Nevertheless, due to its simple usage and the increasing experience of the users with the model, WAsP is often used out of its range of applicability. With the increase in computational capacity there have been several advancements in the use of CFD solvers to investigate the more complex processes in the real world. These CFD simulations account for the non-linear behavior of the flow equations and can be used to account for thermally driven effects in the atmosphere. While the application of these CFD models to atmospheric flows provides more detailed investigations of the complex processes, the model may not be accurately simulating the atmospheric behavior due to the simplifications and approximations necessary to solve the governing equations. Therefore, iterative steps for model development, that are constantly evolving to incorporate the best practice guidelines for CFD model development, are recommended to ensure the accuracy of using these complex fluid mechanics models to simulate atmospheric flow phenomena [12]. These models can be divided into the following categories: Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) which models ensemble statistics, Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS) which resolves all eddies and Large Eddy Simulation (LES) which is between RANS and DNS and requires a comparison of time series data and statistical means. Some LES studies have been done for wind energy, but in rather small sites and for academic purposes only [13, 14]. While the CFD models based on RANS [15, 16] are being developed for wind resource assessment to complement linear models in complex terrain and other complex flow situations (wakes, forests, obstacles, etc). Therefore, the application of CFD in wind resource assessment is still largely based on RANS turbulence models because LES remains far more costly. For both, the phenomena investigated is the wake behind wind turbines and flow in complex terrain, where LES requires a more detailed time resolved experimental dataset for validation. The operational use of CFD in wind resource assessment has occurred in the last 10 years, and there is currently a large variety of commercial and research models available. The transition from traditional linear models to CFD requires significant training and experience from the user due to the extended WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 87/167 Book of Proceedings degrees of freedom of the CFD solver, making the results highly dependent on the user. To overcome this difficulty, commercial CFD software developers are designing user friendly interfaces that can emulate, to some extent, the traditional way of working with linear models. On the contrary, research CFD models, based on generic commercial CFD solvers, in-house or open-source codes, are used by researchers for the ease of implementing site specific topographic and atmospheric conditions. This is especially useful when generating the mesh of the computational domain, a pre-processing step of utmost importance in any CFD simulation with complex geometries. As with the modeling for wind conditions, wake modeling for the flow behind wind turbines originated in the 1980s [17, 18]. These models, which are still widely used for wind farm layout today, are based on simple momentum and fluid dynamic similarity theories, or simplified solutions to the Navier-Stokes equations. The problem with these models is that they lack many of the required physical processes needed to predict wind turbine wake behavior, resulting in the under prediction of wake losses by 10% in many operational wind farms. Wake model development has focused on two areas that influence wake creation and propagation: turbine models and models for the surrounding atmospheric flow. The atmospheric flow models largely follow the list of models used to predict the wind conditions described above. There are many different varieties of turbine models, with a range of complexity for calculations at different scales. Thorough reviews of different turbine wake models can be found in Crespo et al. [19], Vermeer et al. [4] and Sanderse et al. [3]. The simplest model consists of a drag element (typically an actuator disk) that extracts momentum and injects turbulence over a few simulation grid points. These models are often used in mesoscale models with larger domains to determine macro influences of large wind farms. They are also the most widely used approach for far-wake modeling within wind farms due to the low requirements in terms of input data, all disclosed by the manufacturer. The next model in terms of complexity, is the blade element momentum (BEM) models that calculate blade forces and the wake influence using a global momentum balance. BEM methods require knowledge of the blade lift and drag coefficients, information which is typically not provided by the manufacturers. To overcome the lack of input data, reverse engineering methods are used to infer these coefficients by matching the power curve from flow modeling of a reference turbine model [20]. The forces in these models are then distributed around a disk, and the influence of axial and rotational momentum is propagated into the wake. Such a model can also be coupled with a wake meandering model that predicts the unsteady oscillation of the wake as it moves downstream. As turbine models get more complicated, the details of the blade aerodynamics become more prevalent. Recent calculations of multiple turbine interactions have used actuator line methods, where the blades are treated as airfoils distributed along rotating lines. Various other inviscid calculations of blade aerodynamics can also be used, such as panel methods and boundary element methods, that directly calculate the blade forces instead of using airfoil lookup tables. With the need to calculate viscous aerodynamics of the blades, researchers have moved toward CFD modeling. As with the models used for wind assessment, researchers have utilized RANS, unsteady RANS, DES (detached eddy simulations, a hybrid between RANS and LES) and full LES of the rotating blades. Researchers have also created computational domains where the rotor plane is treated as a viscous area and the downstream region treated as inviscid, which can lead to significant computational time savings. Although, typically the more detail contained in the turbine model, the smaller the simulation due to constraints of computing resources. 2.4. Literature Review of Existing Experimental Data Test cases for the evaluation of wind farm models comprise a wide variety of flow, topographic and wind farm layout and wind turbine conditions characteristic of the complex system of a wind farm. A hierarchy of increasing modeling complexity is required in order to approach model evaluation in a systematic way, trying to focus on unit and subsystem elements of the model chain before evaluating the full system. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 88/167 Book of Proceedings Tables 1 and 2 present a non-exhaustive but rather complete list of test cases for model validation that are documented in the literature. The dates refer to the publication of the reference, typically some years after the measurement campaign. The test case list is divided in two categories: Wind for wind turbine wake-free experiments where the objective is the characterization of the background wind conditions of the atmospheric boundary layer (Table 1), and Wake for the characterization of the flow conditions within wind turbine wakes and the associated power deficit in wind turbine arrays (Table 2). The test cases are subdivided in three classes: theory, wind tunnel and field experiments. Scaling theories for atmospheric boundary layer and wake flows is a good starting point in order to validate the fundamental physics of the system. Then, wind tunnel experiments are the logical choice for exploring unit elements of the model chain since they allow high temporal and spatial resolution measurements on idealized geometries within a controlled environment. Parametric testing in the wind tunnel is very useful for sensitivity analysis on key flow drivers like, for example, turbine spacing or hill geometry. This is used to characterize specific aspects of the model chain and allow a more comprehensive approach to field measurements, where the boundary conditions are not controlled and the experiments are more limited and costly. The wind test cases are generic to any boundary layer meteorology model and, in this context, they aim at characterizing the wind conditions in sites suitable for wind energy development. Hence, relevant topographic elements are: flat terrain onshore/offshore, complex terrain (hills and mountains), roughness changes and forest canopies. Concerning wake test cases, the aim is to reproduce the modified wind conditions behind a wind turbine or within a wind farm array embedded in an atmospheric boundary layer. Both wind and wake test cases are defined for a specific atmospheric stability class which determines the turbulence structure of the flow. The cases presented here are especially suited for the evaluation of wind resource assessment models. Aerodynamic models require further instrumentation of the wind turbine which is normally not included in operational wind farms. Resource assessment models typically simulate steady-state conditions which are then compared with ensemble averaged observations. Hence validation data is generated by binning meteorological data and wind turbine SCADA data versus wind direction, wind speed and atmospheric stability at a reference site where the velocity is undisturbed (free-stream velocity). Concerning wake models, the SCADA data from the wind farms is used to calibrate the operational power curve of each turbine and extract the power deficit with respect to a reference wind turbine which is not affected by wake effects. Unsteady models are used to reproduce some dynamical aspects of the wind conditions such as the diurnal cycle of atmospheric stability or the meandering of the wake behind a wind turbine. 3. Model Evaluation Methodology The procedure for this was adopted form the general findings from the COST Action 732, which determined model evaluation guidance and protocols for urban dispersion modeling [21, 22]. While the objectives for modeling wind energy differ from those of urban dispersion, a similar methodology is used to develop the physical and mathematical models. Therefore, the procedures outlined in COST 732 can be utilized as a starting point in the development of the quality assurance protocols for wind energy models. Examples of validation for air quality and urban dispersion models can be found in Chang and Hanna [23] and Schatzmann et al. [24]. In both cases, the validation procedure requires a high quality experimental dataset, including quantification of the uncertainty, for comparison and suggests that the computational result be within recommended quantitative criteria. These procedures provide a method for modelers to utilize that improves simulations and provides documentation for the reliability of the modeled results. A significant difference between the evaluation procedures for urban dispersion models and wind energy is the critical parameters being modeled. In wind energy scalar transport is not the process of interest. Instead, power generation from a wind farm or turbine is the variable of concern to determine WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 89/167 Book of Proceedings the cost associated with implementing wind energy in a specific scenario. The evaluation of models must be adapted appropriately for wind energy modeling and care should be taken when selecting the primary variables of interest. Therefore, it is critical that a consensus be made within the community to direct new research and ensure appropriate mathematical and physical models are being used. Table 1: Test cases for flow-over-terrain (wind) model evaluation. (V: virtual/theory; F: field; L: wind tunnel; U: unstable; N: neutral; S: stable; E: flat (empty); H:hilly; C: complex terrain; R: roughness/forest; T0: no wind turbines; T1: single rotor; T2: line of turbines; T3: several lines of turbines). Test Case Wind Stability Topography Wake s Reference Date Description V F L U N S E H C O R T0 T1 T2 T3 Exp Theory (Idealized) Classical theory for 1D Steady-state surface boundary layer models in flat terrain Stable ABL in flat terrain, 9hr of uniform surface cooling and gesotrophic forcing with no radiation. Verification with LES simulations Monin-Obukhov x x x x x x Monin and Obukhov [40] 1954 GABLS1 x x x x Cuxart et al. [41] 2006 x Kim et al. [42] 1997 2D sinusoidal hills with different slopesand heights Wind Tunnel POSTECH 2D isolated and doble hills x x CSIRO homogeneous canopy model x x x x x Brunet et al. [43] 1994 Model of waving wheat crop. X-wire measurements of statistical moments and spectra VKI 2D Forest Clearing x x x x x Sanz Rodrigo et al [44] 2007 2D forest clearing inside homogeneous 'foam' forest. 2D PIV measurements of the flow in the clearing for 3 different upstream canopy fetchs and porosities CSIRO 2D Furry Hill x x x x Finnigan and Brunet [45] 1995 EnFlo 2D Stratified Hill x x x x x Ross et al. [46] 2004 Field Leipzig profile Bradley's Roughness Change x Letau [47] 1950 Bradley [48] 1968 x Svensson et al. [49] 2011 x x x x x Verkaik and Holtslag [50] 2007 x x x x x x Gryning et al. [51] 2007 160m mast. ABL in flat terrain on a coastal site x x x x x Sanz Rodrigo [52] 2011 100m mast. ABL in offshore open-sea conditions Askervein smooth hill x x x x Taylor and Teunissen [53] 1987 Cooper's Ridge x x x x x x Coppin et al. [54] 1994 Bolund complex hill x x x x x Berg et al. [55] 2011 x x Chen et al. [56] 1995 x x Dellwik et al. [57] 2009 GABLS2 - CASES99 Cabauw onshore mast DTU Høvsøre coastal mast Alpha Ventus Fino1 offshore mast x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 2D polynomial hill with a slope of 0.36 covered by waving wheat crop model of Brunet et al. (1994). Vertical velocity/turbulence profiles along the hill 2D sinusoidal hill with slopes 0.3 and 0.7, covered with roughness elements, in neutral and stablystratified conditions UBC 2D Forest Edge Falster 2D Forest Edge x x x x x x WAUDIT Contract# 238576 x x x Classical reference for neutral 1D ABL in flat terrain Smooth (0.002m) to rough (0.25m) transition along an array of 8x1m masts over 15m Diurnal cycles for three days from the CASES99 campaign, no radiation 200m mast. ABL in flat terrain surrounded by heterogeneous roughness Isolated 126m-high gentle hill in neutral conditions. 50x10m mast along three arrays, 3x50m masts in upstream reference and hill-top Nearly-2D smooth ridge. Array of 7x4m and 2x30m masts along the windward side of the hill Isolated 12m-high and 150m-long hill with escarpment, 10x9m masts equiped with sonic and cup anemometers Measurements downwind of a homogeneous forest edge 2x45m masts and Lidar before and after a homogeneous forest edge with different winter/summer LAI profiles and stabilities CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 90/167 Book of Proceedings Table 2: Test cases for wind turbine wake (wakes) model evaluation. (V: virtual/theory; F: field; L: wind tunnel; U: unstable; N: neutral; S: stable; E: flat (empty); H:hilly; C: complex terrain; R: roughness/forest; T0: no wind turbines; T1: single rotor; T2: line of turbines; T3: several lines of turbines). Test Case Wakes Stability Topography Wake s Reference Date Description V F L U N S E H C O R T0 T1 T2 T3 Exp Theory (Idealized) Self-Similar Turbulent x Circular Wake x x x Wygnanski [58] 1986 Classic scaling laws of turbulent wakes x x x x Chamorro and Porté-Agel [59, 60] 2009 Model wind turbine of 0.15m diameter and tip-speedratio of ~4, X-wire measurements on vertical planes at x/D=[3,5,10,15], smooth and rough incoming boundary layer in neutral and stable conditions x x Chamorro and Porté-Agel [61] 2011 Model wind farm array of 0.15m diameter turbines in aligned and staggered configuration with x/D=4 and y/D=5 spacing. Measurements down to x/D=50 Wind Tunnel UMN Single wind turbine, full-rotor model x UMN Wind farm array, full-rotor model x x x x x PRISME Single wind turbine, actuator disk model x x x x España et al. [62] 2011 Model wind turbine of 0.1m in neutral ABL using porous mesh (no rotation). 2D LDV measurements of vertical planes at x/D=[2,4,6,8,10] for different mesh solidities x Cleijne [33] 1992 Onshore flat, 1x300kW, 30m diameter, 35m hub height, met masts at x/D=[-2.8,2.5,5,8] for velocity deficit and added turbulence intensity Machielse et al. [63] 2007 Onshore flat, 5 x Nordex 2.5MW/80, 80m hub height, 3.8D spacing, 2x100m + 1x108m met masts Politis et al. [64] 2010 Field Sexbierum single wake experiment x x x Wieringermeer Test Wind Farm (EWTW) x x x UpWind complex terrain wind farm x x Vindeby offshore wind farm x x Middlegrunden offshore wind farm x Horns Rev offshore wind farm x x x x x Nysted offshore wind farm x x x x Lillgrund offshore wind farm x Egmond aan Zee offshore wind farm x x x x 43 turbines, 48.4m diameter, 45&55m hub height, 5 lines ~13Dx1.5D, 1 met mast Offshore(coastal) 11 x Bonus 450kW/35.5, 38m hub height, 2 lines. 2 met mast + 1 coastal met mast + ship-mounted SODAR Offshore 20 x Bonus 2MW/76 in arc-layout, 64m hubheight, 2.4D spacing x x Barthelmie et al. [65] 2003 x x Barthelmie et al. [66] 2007 x Barthelmie et al. [35] Hansen et al. [67] 2010 Offshore 80 x Vestas 2MW/80, 70m hub height, 7Dx7D matrix, 1 upwind and 2 downwind met masts x x Barthelmie et al. [35] 2011 Offshore 72 x Bonus 2.3MW/82, 69m hub height, 10.5Dx5.8D matrix, 1 upwind and 2 downwind masts x x x Dhalberg et al. [68] 2009 Offshore 48 x Siemens 2.3MW/92.6, 65m hub height, 8 rows 3.3Dx4.3D with opening in the middle, 1 met mast x x x Eecen et al. [9] 2011 Offshore 36 x Vestas 3MW/90, 70m hub height,4 rows, 1 met mast. Study of added turbulence intensity from single to triple wakes for x/D = 4 to 24 The concept of comparing numerical simulation results with experimental data is not novel, and therefore it is advantageous to use previously developed evaluation procedures and apply them to wind energy modeling. The primary sources for this work, specific to fluid mechanics or air quality applications, include the following papers: American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA) guidelines [25], Oberkampf and Trucano [6], Schatzmann and Leitl [7] and Britter and Schatzmann [8]. Where a previously suggested six step methodology for model evaluation outlined in the findings from the COST Action 732 will be used as a starting point [21, 8]. Below the six steps are listed and briefly summarized, where the reference to model implies a numerical simulation. 1. Model Description Brief description of the model and the purpose for which the model was developed. The theoretical background of the model should be presented, including the limitations, assumptions and applicable range. If the model is derived from experimental data this should be mentioned, WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 91/167 Book of Proceedings explicitly stating the dataset used for development so it will not be used for evaluating the model performance. 2. Database Description Description and justification of the experimental datasets chosen to be compiled into an accessible database for numerical modelers. The datasets selected to make up the database should be of high quality, and must follow quality assurance methods for data collection and processing steps. The uncertainty and variability in the data should be estimated and included in the database. 3. Scientific Review Ensuring the equations used to describe the real world physical process are acceptable. This includes a description of the equations, explanation and justification of the numerical model and its limitations with respect to applications of use. 4. (Code) Verification Evaluation of the implementation of the equations into a computer model. This step is done to ensure there are no mistakes in the computer code or inaccuracies in the mathematical equations. 5. Model Validation Comparing the model outputs with experimental data in a quantitative statistical manner. This step is intended to determine how well the numerical model predicts the real world process. Quantities of interest should be chosen, along with the validation metrics to quantitatively determine the performance of the numerical simulation. 6. User-oriented Assessment Providing documentation and information on the numerical model so an individual user is able to read about the model development and applicability. This includes material that allows the user to install, setup and operate the numerical code or software. Additionally, training or best-practice guidelines for using the model are included in this step. All six of these steps are necessary for the proper evaluation of a numerical model. Of the six steps listed the most difficult and ambiguous is Step 5, Model Validation. This step does not have explicit requirements, and can be approached with several questions regarding the criteria and methodology to validate a numerical model. Determining the quantities of interest are the first priority, then deciding if these should be considered as time or space dependent quantities follows. Along with the space and time dependence, the question of averaging times and locations for the comparison arise. Once the quantity of interest is identified and the appropriate spatial, temporal and averaging method used for the comparison are selected the steps for statistical comparison are implemented. Again, this may seem straight forward, but there are several statistical methods to compare the different quantities of interest. These are the validation metrics, and are necessary to create a uniform method for comparing numerical results with experimental data. As part of a validation procedure these metrics must be clearly defined, and be accompanied with quantitative criteria for determining the success of the numerical simulation. These validation metrics and criteria should not be viewed as ranking or excluding numerical models, but rather as a way for the modeling community to compare the model outputs in a uniform manner. It is important to mention that there are several sources for error and uncertainty to arise throughout the evaluation methodology. In every step of the evaluation procedure uncertainties influence the accuracy of the model validation. The numerical model itself has uncertainty in the ability of the model to accurately describe a real world process. The data used to develop the models, as inputs to the model or for the model comparison, also have uncertainty due to limitations in the measurement equipment or experimental setup. Finally, uncertainties can come from the variability inherent in the physical process being modeled, for wind energy this is due to atmospheric processes and turbulence. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 92/167 Book of Proceedings 3.1. Validation Procedure A general validation procedure is presented in this section, with suggestions for each step specific to wind resource assessment models. Additionally, the use of numerical simulations in experimental design are expected to be incorporated into this procedure as shown on the right hand side of Figure 1 in the schematic illustrating the suggested validation path. To begin, it is important to define the quantities of interest and the proper metrics for validation so they are the most useful. This can be referred to as the validation objective, and should be clearly defined prior to conducting the model evaluation study. The quantities of interest and validation metrics given here are provided as an example. It is expected that once the wind energy community defines the validation objective the appropriate quantities of interest, validation metrics and acceptance criteria will be determined. The following is a brief summary of each step required to develop a model validation methodology, and an example for applying these steps to flow in complex terrain is given in the following section, as well as two examples of wake model validation. Figure 1: Suggested flow chart for model validation for turbulence models used in numerical simulations (CFD) for wind energy. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 93/167 Book of Proceedings Step 1. Determine Quantity of Interest • • • • • • • Wind Speed Wind Direction Turbulent Kinetic Energy Turbulence Intensity Power Output Mean Quantities Extreme Events Step 2. Important Considerations Required for Validation • • • • What time average should be used for comparison? If extreme events are considered, what frequency of occurrence should be considered? How many spatial locations are required for each case, where should they be? Vertical profiles are modeled, what should experimentalists measure (difficult in field with traditional instrumentation)? Note: These considerations will greatly influence experimental data collection and should be thoroughly considered when using experimental data as validation test cases. While limitations exist in wind tunnel modeling, the data for comparison allows for a better spatial and temporal resolution of experimental data. Therefore, these considerations should be evaluated in the context of both field and wind tunnel experiments. Step 3. Plot Quantities of Interest (Initial Comparison) While plotting the quantities of interest from the numerical output and experimental data for visual comparison is commonly used for validation and is a necessary tool for the first data comparison, this type of investigation has no statistical relevance. Step 4. Generate Plots to Visualize Comparison (Qualitative Comparison) Scatter Plot: correlation between experimental data and model outputs for a quantity of interest. Quantile-quantile Plot: correlation between the probability distributions of a quantity of interest Residual Plot: model performance (ratio of predicted to observed) as a function of independent variables (i.e., stability, time of day, wind speed) to investigate the influence of these variables on the results Step 5. Use Validation Metrics for Statistical Comparison (Quantitative Comparison) The following are commonly used validation metrics, where (P) denotes the output from a numerical model and (O) is the observed value from experimental data. Once quantities of interest are determined these equations should be reformulated to include the selected variables. The overbar represents an average of that quantity and σ is the standard deviation. Correlation Coefficient (R): R= (O − O )(P − P ) Fractional Bias (FB): FB = WAUDIT Contract# 238576 σ Pσ O (O − P ) 0.5 (O + P ) (1) (2) CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 94/167 Book of Proceedings Normalized Mean Square Error (NMSE): 2 O − P) ( NMSE = (3) OP Geometric Mean (MG): ( MG = exp lnO − ln P ) (4) Geometric Variance (VG): 2 VG = exp (lnO − ln P ) (5) Fraction of predictions within a factor of two of the observations (FAC2): P 0.5 ≤ ≤ 2.0 (6) O Hit Rate (HR): Normalized quantities of interest are compared, indicated by the subscript i in the equation below. Where, D is the allowed range from comparison data and accounts for data uncertainty and W a threshold value that describes the repeatability of the experimental data. Pi − Oi ≤ D or Pi − Oi ≤ W 1 n 1 for HR = ∑ Ni with Ni = (7) Oi n i =1 0 else A perfect model would have R, MG, VG, FAC2 and HR equal to one and FB and NMSE equal to zero. Also, the list presented here does not include all possible metrics and other measures that quantify model performance should be considered. Determining validation metrics is not a trivial task and several criteria must be established and met to ensure that the chosen metric is useful. Several key components of a validation metric can be found in Oberkampf and Barone [26]. Mainly, the metric should serve as a key variable in quantifying the agreement between the numerical simulation and experimental data for the particular real world process of interest. In addition, the metrics should take into account different sources of error and uncertainty that arise during the evaluation procedure. Just as the fitness for purpose method applies to the experimental data used for the comparison, a similar mentality should be applied to the selection of validation metrics. Each metric has a different physical meaning and therefore will be a different indicator of the error or uncertainty in the numerical model. For example, the FB and NMSE are representative of the mean bias and scatter of the data based on a linear scale, where the MG and VG represent the same errors but for a logarithmic scale. This implies that for datasets with extremely high or low values there will be a different influence on each of these metrics. The linear scale metrics (FB and NMSE) are strongly influenced by seldom occurring high values, while the logarithmic scale metrics (MG and VG) are influenced by low values and undefined for a value of zero. Therefore, when selecting the metric that determines the performance of a numerical model it is important to consider its physical relevance. The FAC2 metric is typically considered a robust measure of model performance because it is not influenced by these extreme high or low values [27]. Another metric that is not influenced by these extreme values is the HR, which also has a threshold criteria directly implemented into the definition of the metric (D and W in Equation 7). A similar strategy, based on the physical relevance and interpretation of the metric, can be applied to the visual metric plots (Step 4). These plots can be configured to include information about the variables of influence or trends that exist in the comparison between predicted and observed data. By plotting the residuals of scatter plot data points a structure or trend in the data can appear that was not previously seen by visual inspection [28]. Another, more detailed residual analysis can be done using box plots and plotting the residual data as a function of independent variables [27]. When plotted in WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 95/167 Book of Proceedings this manner the data comparison can be done in a way that allows for the visualization of how these independent variables influence the result. An example applicable to the wind energy community is ABL data, where an investigation can be done with respect to atmospheric stability. The residual box plot can be made to investigate the model performance as a function of boundary layer stability stable, unstable and neutral. This is important for wind energy where a significant amount of model development is done for the case of neutral ABL, but the next phase of research includes scenarios with more complex ABL stability. The final step in the selection of validation metrics is establishing criteria, or a threshold value that must be met for a numerical model output to be considered a prediction. While selection criteria are not yet recommended in this work, the physical interpretations of the metrics presented above are given in Table 3. The information in Table 3 shows that each metric provides a quantitative measure for different physical attributes of the data comparison. Again, the physical meaning of the validation metric criteria must be considered before establishing the threshold limit. Factors that play an important role in the criteria are the uncertainty and variability in the experimental data, validity of the threshold criteria to the real world application and realistic capabilities of the model application. Table 1: Interpretation of the quantitative values for validation metrics presented in Equations 2 through 7 4. Example Cases - Terrain and Wake Flow This section will illustrate the implementation of the Validation step in the model evaluation methodology presented in Section 3. The first four model evaluation steps, Model Description, Database Description, Scientific Review and Verification, will be discussed briefly. However, it should be noted that the purpose of this work is to demonstrate the need for a thorough, statistically relevant validation procedure, therefore the focus of this section is on the validation procedure and not the entire model evaluation methodology. In the following sections three validation examples will be given for three flow cases, terrain flow, single turbine wake and offshore wind farm wakes, where a blind comparison is done using experimental data and results form one to three numerical models. The references for the specific model used in each of the examples are given in the corresponding section, ideally the reference includes the Model Description, Scientific Review and Verification as it is part of the model development process. Where a more standardized documentation approach for these three steps is often used when conducting a large investigation that includes results from several numerical simulations [8, 22, 29]. The data used in each of these examples comes from field experiments with previously published data, therefore the Database Description in these cases is in the related reference. The importance of the quality of data used for validation is noteworthy, and it is necessary to quantifying uncertainties in the experimental data for an accurate validation. In the case of the terrain flow case, the purpose of WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 96/167 Book of Proceedings the field study was to collect data for comparison with numerical results, hence the data include error bars as a quantification of the measurement variability. While for the single turbine case there are no error bars making it an undesirable dataset for validation because it is impossible to determine whether or not the numerical results are within the limits of the measurement uncertainty or variability. It is still used in this work to provide an example of the validation procedure for wake flow behavior, however it is recommended that a dataset with error bars be used in the future. 4.1 Validation Example: Terrain Flow The following is an example of how to apply the above procedure to a test case using data from the Bolund blind comparison study [29]. The Bolund study site was chosen by researchers at the Technical University of Denmark (DTU)-Wind Energy to provide field data to improve flow modeling in complex terrain, therefore flow over an isolated hill was the focus of the investigation. The east-west elevation profile of the Bolund hill is shown in Figure 2, with the numbers along the top denoting the locations of meteorological towers for measurements. For the validation example discussed here only westerly winds are investigated, or flow moving from left to right in the figure. Figure 2: Profile of Bolund hill showing elevation and monitoring locations for meteorological data, more detail regarding the locations and Bolund experiment can be found in Berg et al. [55] and Bechmann et al. [29]. Step 1: Identify quantities of interest In this case the mean wind speed and turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) are considered because they were the quantities of interest chosen for the Bolund blind comparison. The mean wind speed in this example is represented as the total mean wind speed obtained from vector scaling (S = (U2+V2+W 2)1/2, where a capital letter denotes an average) and accounts for the wind speed in all three directions. Step 2: Important considerations For the Bolund example these considerations were already selected by the researchers conducting the blind comparison: 10-min averaged field data and only time periods with a neutral atmospheric boundary layer. The 10-min periods that met the criteria for wind direction (westerly, 270º ± 8º) and stability were ensemble averaged for the comparison, therefore the focus is on a comparison of mean data and not extreme wind events. Data collected at two heights from four meteorological masts located on the hill centerline, with respect to westerly winds, were used for the comparison (M7, M6, M3 and M8 in Figure 2). Additional towers, not on the same westerly center line, were determined to be representative of the free wind conditions (M0 and M9) providing two additional points for comparison. Thus, the spatial resolution for the data comparison is nine data points, where the two measurements at M0 are used as reference data for input to the numerical model, hence they are not considered validation data. Step 3: Plot quantities of interest Two quantities of interest are plotted for this analysis, shown in Figure 3 for the mean wind speed represented as the fractional speed-up ratio (FSR = (S-S0)/S0) and in Figure 4 for the TKE. The data point in front of the hill (x=-180m) is from the reference mast (M0), and the measurements at all locations are normalized by data at this location (denoted with subscript 0). Two heights are shown in the figures, 5 m in the top figure and 2 m in the bottom figure. For this analysis data from sonic anemometers are utilized to allow for an investigation of the turbulence using TKE as the quantity of WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 97/167 Book of Proceedings interest. For the wind speed comparison, data from three numerical models are shown, two computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models and one linearized flow model. The CFD models are both from the same model, with two different versions, one was developed as a surface layer model (CFDWind 1.0, [30, 31]) and the other for the ABL (CFDWind 2.0, [30, 32]). The linearized flow model is WAsP, where meteorological records are used at one location to predict the mean surface wind speed at another specified location [2]. The WAsP model is considered suitable for modeling flow in mild terrain, without flow separation, and is currently the standard model used in the wind energy industry, therefore the results are included here for comparison purposes. Figure 3: Quantity of interest plot showing the fractional speed-up ratio (FSR = (S - S0)/S0) for the Bolund field data and three numerical simulations, top: z = 5m and bottom: z = 2m. Figure 4: Quantity of interest plot showing the turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) for the Bolund field data and two numerical simulations, top: z = 5m and bottom: z = 2m. Note: The top and bottom axis are plotted on different TKE ranges for the y-axis. For the mean wind speed (Figure 3) it appears that both CFD models give similar results for the flow in front of and over the hill, while in the wake region the two models differ. A visual inspection of the WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 98/167 Book of Proceedings model output compared to experimental data indicates that the model outputs for the 5 m height are better than for 2 m, however in the region just behind the hill there are no experimental data points for comparison. While WAsP seems to give reasonable values of wind speed for the incoming flow, once the Bolund hill is encountered the numerical results differ significantly from the experimental data. All models give a similar profile for the mean wind speed, with the speed up and wake regions occurring at similar locations. The TKE plot (Figure 4) does not show data from WAsP because it does not solve turbulence in the simulation. Where the CFD models use a model for the turbulence to replace the parameterizations typically used in linearized flow solvers. Note, that the y-axis scale used to represent the TKE in the figures is different and can be misleading when comparing data between the two plots. It appears that the numerical models give TKE values similar to the experimental data just in front of the hill (x ~ -80 m) at both heights, behind the hill (x ~ 100 m) at the 5 m height and does not match well with the experimental data at all other locations. This investigation is important to ensure that the model outputs are at least somewhat reasonable to the observations, and it allows for a spatial investigation of where the simulation over or under predicts. However, a visual inspection does not provide quantitative information required for a precise model validation. Figure 5: Scatter plot comparing mean wind speed (S) for Bolund field data with three numerical simulations, the correlation coe_cient for linear regression (R2) is also shown for each numerical model at two heights. Step 4: Plot the visual metrics The next step provides a more statistical comparison between the numerical output and experimental data, as shown in the scatter plot (Figure 5) for the total Bolund mean wind speed (S). The first thing to notice in the plot is the low number of data points, meaning that the statistical significance of the comparison is low. This is a result of using field data for the comparison, here only nine data points can be directly compared for the numerical output and experimental data. Next, the correlation coefficient (R, R2) can be used as insight into how well the linear regression fits between the model and observations, with one being a perfect correlation. In the case of wind speed, both CFD models WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 99/167 Book of Proceedings indicate good linear correlation with high values for R2, while the R2 values for WAsP are low. This is a good first step to statistically compare the information, but the correlation coefficient does not give detailed information about the spread of the data and should not be used as a sole determination of how well a numerical model performs. Plotting the quantities of interest (Step 3) and this type of scatter plot are the two most often used tools currently being utilized for model evaluation. These two plots alone are not enough to ensure an accurate comparison and provide minimal statistical basis for the model evaluation. Additionally, when more data points are used visual plots with more statistical detail can be used to investigate the differences between the numerical model and observations (see Section 3.1, Step 4). Step 5: Compute the validation metrics For a quantitative statistical comparison between the numerical models and experimental data, validation metrics are computed. Not only does this allow for a model to observation comparison, it also provides a uniform way of comparing the models so they can be evaluated side by side in the same context. Five validation metrics are computed for the three numerical models, using two different quantities of interest, shown in Table 4. These metrics show the importance of selecting the proper quantity of interest and metric for a specific application. For example, both CFD models behave similarly based on the metrics for S, but for TKE the CFDWind1 model performs better according to the FB and NMSE, while according to the FAC2 the CFDWind2 model is better. Therefore, the selection of these quantities of interests and validation metrics is not a trivial task, and it is critical to reach a consensus for the selection of both in the wind energy community. Table 4: Validation metrics to quantitatively compare the performance of three numerical models with data from the Bolund field experiment. While the results for the two CFD models are similar to each other, the metrics for WAsP are significantly different from those of the CFD models when calculated for the mean wind speed. By comparing the validation metrics calculated for the CFD and WAsP models an example is provided that shows how the statistical quantities can improve the validation analysis and go beyond a visual comparison. Based on the metrics calculated for S (Table 4), the two CFD models have a mean bias of ~15 % based on a linear scale (FB) and ~10 % for the logarithmic scale (MG). With random scatter significantly less than a factor of 2 of the mean for both scales (NMSE and VG) and a perfect metric calculated for FAC2. The WAsP model, as expected from the visual inspections in Steps 3 and 4, does not perform as well according to the metrics with 35\% and 27\% mean bias for the linear and logarithmic scales. The scatter for both scales is still within a factor of 2 of the mean, but the percentage of numerical results within a factor of two of the observations is only 89 % based on FAC2, and not 100 % like the CFD models. Validation Example: Single Wind Turbine Wake Moving from terrain flow to a smaller scale of investigation, the following example will follow the same validation procedure for the flow in the wind turbine wake, measured at three locations downstream of the turbine. The purpose of the Sexbierum field experiment was to analyze the near and far wake behavior downwind of a three-bladed, 300 kW wind turbine with a hub height of 35 m and rotor diameter of 30 m [33]. The data was processed and binned to be used for comparison with numerical WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 100/167 Book of Proceedings simulations for wake behavior, however there are no data uncertainties or quantification of the variability. Step 1: Identify quantities of interest For the case of a single wind turbine the mean wind speed (U) and the added turbulence intensity (TI) are used to investigate the flow behavior in the wake behind the turbine. Unlike the Bolund example shown above, the mean wind speed in this example is not from vector scaling, but is the longitudinal wind component (U) normalized by the undisturbed velocity (U0). This is typically used as an indicator of the wake deficit and measured at several locations downstream of the wind turbine and normalized by the undisturbed values measured upstream of the turbine, indicated by the subscript 0. Step 2: Important considerations Again, as this case was chosen for a comparison in a previous study these considerations were already selected by the researchers conducting the experiment: 3-min averaged field data and only time periods with a neutral atmospheric boundary layer. The 3-min periods were selected based on undisturbed wind speed and wind direction criteria established by the researchers, resulting in 873 samples which were then binned according to wind speed and wind direction. These 873 records were combined to create an ensemble average, therefore this dataset is indicative of mean data and not extreme wind events. Data were collected at one location upstream (x = -2.8D) and three locations downstream (x = 2.5D, 5.5D and 8D) from meteorological masts at varying positions in the wake with sensors at three to five heights. In the case of wake flow investigations, the wind direction is used to bin the data, effectively creating a lateral profile of U and TI, or wind speed deficit and added turbulence intensity. Figure 6: Quantity of interest plots showing the velocity ratio (U/U0) and added turbulence intensity (TI) at Left: 2.5D and Right: 8D downwind from the Sexbierum wind turbine, numerical results using two wake models are shown. Step 3: Plot quantities of interest Two quantities of interest are plotted for this analysis, shown in Figure 6 (top) for the wind speed deficit (U/U0) and (bottom) the added turbulence intensity (TI) in the wake. Data are shown for two downstream locations, 2.5D and 8D, and two models are shown for the comparison with experimental data. Both models are wake models based on the same atmospheric surface layer model (CFDWind WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 101/167 Book of Proceedings 1.0) [31], with the differences between the two wake models being the model used for turbulence. One uses the standard isotropic k-ε model (CFDWake k-ε), while the other uses additional equations to solve all terms in the Reynolds stress tensor, hence it is referred to as the anisotropic Reynolds stress model (CFDWake RMS) [30, 34]. For the wind speed deficit (Figure 6, top) it appears that the CFDWake RMS model does a better job of predicting the deficit behind the turbine than the CFDWake k-ε. Closer visual inspection shows that for the near wake behavior (2.5D) the CFDWake RMS model does not match the observations as well as the far wake (8D), however since there are no error bars for the data there is no way of knowing if the numerical result lies within the uncertainty of the observations. Both models appear to have problems simulating the added TI in the wake of the turbine (Figure 6, bottom), especially in the near wake location where they both over predict the added TI at the rotor center (WD = 0º) and under predict as the wind direction indicative of the rotor tip is reached. Figure 7: Scatter plot comparing the velocity ratio (U/U0) calculated using the CFDWake k-εε and CFDWake RMS models at two locations (2.5D and 8D) downwind from the Sexbierum wind turbine, the correlation coefficient for linear regression (R2) is also shown. Step 4: Plot the visual metrics While the previous step of visually comparing the quantities of interest is insightful, this step begins the process of statistical comparison between the numerical output and experimental data, in the form of a scatter plot shown in Figure 7 for the normalized mean wind speed (U/U0). Like the terrain flow case shown above, the scatter plot for the wake flow case has limited data points for comparison, with a maximum of 25 points for each location analogous to a low statistical significance. The correlation coefficient (R, R2) can still be useful to compare the numerical results, in addition to a visual inspection to determine if the linear regression has a slope of one and an intercept of zero. For the CFDWake WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 102/167 Book of Proceedings RMS model the slopes of the two linear regression lines (2.5D and 8D) are close to one, and the R2 for the near wake is high, while the R2 for the far wake is low. These correlation coefficients can be misleading, and should not be the only metric used for validation. For example, the CFDWake k-ε linear regression shown in Figure 7 shows a high R2 for the near wake and a R2 higher than the CFDWake RMS model for the far wake. If only R2 is used to determine model performance CFDWake k-ε is better than CFDWake RMS, but closer inspection of Figure 7 shows that the slopes of both CFDWake k-ε regression lines are much less than one and the intercepts are larger than zero, and the plots in Step 3 visually show that CFDWake RMS predicts better than CFDWake k-ε. Therefore, it is necessary to calculate more metrics for comparison prior to determining which model performance is better. Step 5: Compute the validation metrics For a quantitative statistical comparison between the numerical models and experimental data, validation metrics are computed. Five validation metrics are computed for the two numerical models, using two different quantities of interest, shown in Table 5. For the case of modeling wake flow using two CFDWake models, the performance metrics for each of the models are similar for the mean wind speed and turbulence intensity. The CFDWake RMS model performs slightly better than the CFDWake k-ε model in the case of the wind speed deficit (U/U0) for four of the five validation metrics listed in the table (FB, NMSE, MG and VG), and in the case of FAC2 the two models both achieve 100% of the numerical results being within a factor of two of the observations. Again, the importance of selecting the proper validation metrics and quantity of interest for the application is stressed here. If only the correlation coefficient is considered the CFDWake k-ε model performs better, but close visual inspection of the quantity of interest and scatter plots show better results for the CFDWake RMS model. The validation metrics computed in Table 5 for U/U0 confirm that the CFDWake RMS model performs better than the CFDWake k-ε. Table 5: Validation metrics to quantitatively compare the performance of two numerical models for single turbine wake ow with data from the Sexbierum field experiment. Validation Example: Offshore Wind Farm Wakes The next step in wake flow investigations is to determine the effect of the turbine wake on the wind turbine performance for turbines located downstream in a wind farm. Typically, there are limited meteorological measurements located in warm farms, therefore SCADA data is used for the wind farm wake analysis. In the following example, SCADA data is collected operationally for an offshore wind farm and provides power data for each wind turbine in the Horns Rev wind farm. In the case of Horns Rev, the objectives for the data processing were to obtain datasets for model evaluation and to better understand wake behavior in a wind farm. There were 80, 2 MW wind turbines in the offshore wind farm, with a hub height of 70 m, 80 m rotor diameter and arranged in a 10 (E-W) x 8 (N-S) array with 7D spacing in both directions [35]. Step 1: Identify quantities of interest In this case there is limited data available, therefore the selection of the quantity of interest is simplified. There is one meteorological measurement mast located upstream to characterize the incoming flow conditions, while the SCADA data measures the turbine power and yaw conditions, WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 103/167 Book of Proceedings hence there is no data available to characterize the wake flow behavior. For this reason, the power deficit (P/Pref, turbine power normalized by the turbine power in the first row or free-stream power) or turbine performance is typically used to investigate wake behavior in a wind farm, requiring the implementation of two numerical models prior to the validation process. Even though a flow model is not being shown, the power of a turbine is directly influenced by the wake behavior of the turbines located upstream and when using the power deficit as the quantity of interest the errors in the flow model will propagate through to the power deficit, but are not distinguishable. Step 2: Important considerations There are ten rows of turbines with eight turbines in each row at the Horns Rev wind farm, where the predominant winds are from the west, researchers for the study set strict data binning and selection criteria for the wake flow investigations [35]. The 10-min SCADA data were used to select periods with a wind direction where the flow was down an exact row (westerly, 270º ± 2.5º) and a free-stream velocity close to maximum rotor load (6 ms-1 ± 0.5 ms-1) to achieve the maximum wake signal. Events with reduced power levels (i.e., idling, starting, etc.) and when the five upwind turbines were not operational were excluded. The records remaining after implementing the data selection criteria were combined to create an ensemble average of the mean power data for a row of ten turbines, computed as the average power deficit of all eight turbines in each row. Step 3: Plot quantities of interest The quantity of interest plot is shown in Figure 8 (left), where the normalized power deficit (P/Pref) is compared to the results from one numerical simulation that utilizes CFDWake k-ε as the wake model for the power deficit calculation [30]. All of the numerical results appear to be within or close to the range of uncertainty in the observational data. Due to the limited meteorological measurements taken in the wind farm, the datasets selected for this analysis do not account for atmospheric variability caused by stability or turbulence, thus resulting in a large range of variability in the measurement data [35]. Figure 8: Left: Quantity of interest plot showing the normalized power de_cit (P/Pref ) for each row of turbines in the Horns Rev offshore wind farm (270º wind direction case, 7D spacing). Right: Scatter plot comparing the normalized power deficit calculated using the CFDWake k-εε model, the correlation coefficient for linear regression (R2) is also shown. Step 4: Plot the visual metrics WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 104/167 Book of Proceedings The scatter plot for the normalized power deficit is shown on the right hand side of Figure 8. The statistical significance is low, due to the limited amount of data being used for the comparison. However, the linear regression results show a line with a slope and intercept near one and zero, respectively, and a high R2 indicating that the numerical model performs well. Still, the validation process is continued to provide quantitative performance measures. Step 5: Compute the validation metrics For the quantitative comparison between the numerical model and experimental data five validation metrics are computed, shown in Table 6. All of the metrics are near perfect, with a perfect FAC2 meaning that all of the predictions are within a factor of two of the observations. These metrics confirm what was seen in the previous two validation steps, where the qualitative analysis using the quantity of interest plot and scatter plot for visual validation illustrate good model performance for the power deficit calculated in the Horns Rev wind farm using the CFDWake k-ε flow model results for wake effects. Table 6: Validation metrics to quantitatively compare the performance of one numerical model for a wind farm with data from the Horns Rev offshore wind farm. 5. Discussion The three validation examples shown provide a starting point to develop a validation methodology for wind energy applications. However, due to the limited amount of data and limitations in the spatial and temporal resolution of the field studies, the use of wind tunnel data for these investigations arises. While the atmospheric stability is difficult to capture in wind tunnel investigations, modeling of neutral ABL processes can be done to obtain experimental datasets with high spatial and temporal resolution. A scatter plot (Figure 9) taken from the work done in COST 732 shows a comparison of mean wind speeds (U) from a numerical simulation with wind tunnel data, using 566 data points for the comparison. While there appears to be a significant amount of scatter in the data and at first glance the validation metrics (Table 7) appear to perform worse with more data points, particularly for the FAC2 for U compared to FAC2 for S in the Bolund CFD model example. The better spatial resolution ensures a better estimation of the small scale flow physics, therefore considerations for metrics that include the use of more data points should be included to weight the incorporation of flow complexity in the model evaluation. Table 7: COST 732 Validation metrics to compare numerical model performance with wind tunnel data. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 105/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 9: Left: Locations for comparing wind tunnel data (black closed circle) and numerical output (gray open circle), each point has up to 29 vertical locations. Right: Scatter plot and correlation coefficient (R2) comparing mean wind speed from wind tunnel data with a numerical simulation, using 566 data points. The implementation of a unique validation of metric of this type would be beneficial to the wind energy community because of the economic and political demand on results obtained with numerical models. Due to these sociological factors the numerical model development and improvement in the wind energy community not only have a scientific motivation, but also hinge on fast paced progress to assist in the development of wind farms and economic planning. An example for a novel visual validation metric is shown in Figure 10 for the COST 732 example presented above. Here, the percentage of data points with a positive Hit Rate (HR = 1) is calculated as a function of the total number of data points for both U and TKE. To generate the plot data points where removed from the dataset based on values of TKE, where those with higher TKE were removed first. This figure shows that for minimal data points, less than 30 in this case, when selected at locations with minimal turbulence effects the HR for both U and TKE are perfect. Therefore, if only these 30 points were used for validation it would result in metrics that indicate a seemingly accurate model that realistically performs poorly for particular flow scenarios. Figure 10: Suggestion for new validation metric that incorporates the number of data points used in the model validation. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 106/167 Book of Proceedings Another consideration for wind energy applications is to modify the validation flow to include two validation paths, one for a general flow model evaluation and the other for the applicability of the model in operational scenarios, thus incorporating the fitness for purpose mentality into the validation process. The terrain flow case presented in Section 4.1 evaluates the overall quality of the flow model, it includes all measurement points and uses wind speed and TKE to assess the model performance with the aim to improve the scientific understanding of the fundamental flow physics. This can be modified for an operational validation in the selection of the quantities of interest and important considerations, by including only the relevant measurement data for wind energy assessment. In the case of terrain flow, specifically Bolund, this can be done by choosing the mean wind speed measured at the 5 m height as the quantity of interest and only considering the locations on top of the hill. Where in the context of wind energy assessment the most important quantity of interest is the mean wind speed (related to the annual energy production), and for turbine placement the critical locations are the hill top and the wind speed representative of hub height. Therefore, the operational validation flow would only consider these limited data points because they are the most crucial to the assessment of wind energy potential at a given location. This is also important in the context of wake modeling where two numerical models, wake flow and turbine power, are implemented prior to the final validation step. The single wake validation in Section 4.2 is representative of the first type of validation where the flow physics are investigated, while the wind farm case in Section 4.3 is a direct example of the operational validation, where the power deficit from the SCADA system is used to evaluate the numerical results from a combined flow and turbine power simulation. 6. Summary Currently several types of numerical models and statistical processes are utilized in wind energy assessment. Initially, a wind atlas is used to identify locations with high energy potential, where a regional wind map is calculated over an area with a 1 km spatial resolution. Then, micrositing studies are done to provide more site specific information regarding the expected power output from wind turbines placed at the location. Typically, this is done with one to five years of measurements taken from one meteorological mast and a microscale model, with resolutions of 10-100 m, to extrapolate the measurement data to other locations within a reasonable distance. This process assumes that the locations for extrapolation and the mast measurements are located in close enough proximity so that the wind climate is similar. The numerical tools used for this micrositing process are WAsP and steady state CFD models. Future research aims to improve the numerical tools by implementing models that couple the scales of motion, which can be accomplished by using a mesoscale model at high spatial resolution coupled with an unsteady CFD model. In its current state, this type of modeling is too advanced for the wind energy industry to be used in practice. Although, it is important to understand the research progress of numerical modeling to know where validation efforts should be focused. There is currently no standardized procedure for model evaluation in regard to wind energy assessment, and to improve power predictions a common evaluation methodology and database of high quality experimental data is needed. Implementing a database of experimental data not only provides a consistent comparison, but also makes certain that the same datasets are used for comparison and not manipulated prior to the model evaluation process. Given the complexity of the experimental data with regard to uncertainty, variability and differing requirements for the various types of numerical models, it is suggested that each dataset undergo rigorous consideration and justification for inclusion into the experimental database. Another consideration when trying to reduce the uncertainty of numerical models to within a certain percentage is whether or not the data for comparison is within a similar uncertainty range. The numerical models can not provide predictions that are better than the experimental measurements, this includes data from both field and the wind tunnel experiments. For future wind energy projects, where a sufficient community of wind energy WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 107/167 Book of Proceedings researchers is established, it is recommended that selection criteria be developed to outline the requirements for accepting an experimental dataset as an evaluation test case. Along with outlining criteria for the acceptance of experimental data as validation data and establishing a common model evaluation methodology, the wind energy community can benefit from a collaborative working environment to design future experiments. This can be in the case of field studies or physical modeling investigations where the needs of the numerical modeler can be addressed in the experimental design and setup. For example, the inlet and boundary conditions required for the numerical models can be properly measured in the experiment if the criteria are known beforehand. The numerical models can also be used in the design of large scale field studies to aid in the location selection for measurement towers, which are limited due to the cost of the equipment and tower installation. In the case of the Bolund field experiment, CFD modeling with a RANS solver was used to determine the placement of the meteorological instrumentation [36]. Additionally, because the CFD model can calculate the turbulence intensity in a spatial domain, the determination of the type of measurement sensor also came from the numerical simulation data. Specifically, cup anemometers versus sonic anemometers, where for Bolund the placement of the sonic anemometers was found to be most beneficial up to a height of 5 m, because this is where the simulation showed the greatest deviation of wind speed and turbulence values from the upstream flow. Another application of using a model to develop a more comprehensive field experiment can be found in Kastner-Klein et al. [37] and Leitl et al. [38], where wind tunnel data was used to design a large scale urban dispersion study in the United States. In their study, a 1:300 scale model of the central business district of Oklahoma City was made and measurements were taken in the atmospheric boundary layer wind tunnel (WOTAN) at the University of Hamburg, Meteorological Institute. Care was taken to properly model the ABL at the 1:300 scale using turbulence generators and floor roughness elements. The results from the wind tunnel study were useful in the design of the large scale field study because it showed that two distinct dispersion regimes exist depending on the wind direction and source location, which dictated the final location selection for concentration measurements. In addition to providing useful information for the design of field experiments, it has been found that wind tunnel data significantly enhances the capability of field data to serve as validation data for numerical models [10]. This is due to the ability of the wind tunnel experiments to be conducted with precisely controlled steady state flow characteristics that do not exist in the real world because of atmospheric variability. While wind tunnel data was not available for the analysis presented in Section 4, the benefit of incorporating wind tunnel data into the model evaluation procedure for wind energy applications was discussed. This type of building block investigation, using wind tunnel data, would be useful to the wind energy community to investigate microscale flow phenomena occurring during periods of neutral ABL stability. A specific example, is to make a physical model of Bolund and use wind tunnel measurements to investigate the flow physics to better understand the wind behavior in the wake of the hill. The data presented in Figure 3 shows a discrepancy in the results from the two CFD models for the flow behavior behind the hill. Since field measurements are not available at that location it is not possible to determine which numerical result is more accurate. This paper gives a brief background of terminology and procedures used for model evaluation in engineering applications, outlines procedures for validation and provides example validation procedures for three scales of flow typical in wind energy applications. While the focus for this work was on validation, it is also important that the other five steps in the model evaluation methodology (Section 3) not be overlooked. Considerations specific to validating numerical models used in wind energy assessment were given to provoke discussion among the wind energy research community. Current and future international projects, such as the International Energy Agency (IEA) Task 31 WAKEBENCH [39] are considering establishing a protocol for an evaluation methodology specific to WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 108/167 Book of Proceedings wind energy. Establishing a consensus among modelers in the wind energy community for the development of these methods is desired, and input from researchers is critical to ensure the use and applicability of the quality assessment protocols that will be developed. In addition to outlining the methods for model evaluation, the final objective for the wind energy community should be to establish threshold criteria for model validation and define best practice guidelines that can ultimately lead to industry standards. 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A systematic validation procedure for wind farm models in neutral atmospheric conditions. 13th International Conference on Wind Engineering (ICWE), Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 2011. [31] Sanz Rodrigo J, Cabezón D, Martí I, Patilla P, van Beeck J. Numerical CFD modelling of nonneutral atmospheric boundary layers for o_shore wind resource assessment based on MoninObukhov theory. EWEC-08 scientific proceedings, Brussels, Belgium, 2008. [32] Sanz Rodrigo J, Cabez_on D, Lozano S, Martí I. Parameterization of the atmospheric boundary layer for o_shore wind resource assessment with a limited-length-scale k-_ model. EWEC-09 scientific proceedings, Marseille, France, 2009. [33] Cleijne J. Results of the Sexbierum wind farm: Single wake measurements 1993. TNO Report C19.3. [34] Cabezón D, Migoya E, Crespo A. Comparison of turbulence models for the computational fluid dynamics simulation of wind turbine wakes in the atmospheric boundary layer. Wind Energy 2011; 14:909-921. [35] Barthelmie R, Pryor S, Frandsen S, Hansen K, Schepers J, Rados K, Schlez W, Neubert A, Jensen L, Neckelmann S. Quantifying the impact of wind turbine wakes on power output at offshore wind farms. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 2010; 27:1302-1317. [36] Bechmann A, Johansen J, Sörensen NN. The Bolund experiment: Design of measurment campaign using CFD December 2007. Riso-R-1623(EN). WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 110/167 Book of Proceedings [37] Kastner-Klein P, Leitl B, Pascheke F, Schatzmann M. Wind tunnel simulation of the Joint Urban 2003 tracer experiment. 84th AMS Annual Meeting, Seattle, USA, 2004. [38] Leitl B, Pascheke F, Schatzmann M, Kastner-Klein P. Wind tunnel experiments within the scope of the Oklahoma City tracer experiments. International Workshop on Physical Modelling of Flow and Dispersion Phenomena (PHYSMOD2003), Prato, Italy, 2003. [39] Sanz Rodrigo J, Moriarty P. WAKEBENCH: Benchmarking of wind farm ow models 2010. Proposal for Task 31 of the IEA-Wind Implementing Agreement. [40] Obukhov ASMAM. Basic laws of turbulent mixing in the surface layer of the atmosphere. Tr. Akad. Nauk SSSR Geo_z. Inst. 1954; 24:163-187. [41] Cuxart J, Holtslag A, Beare R, Bazile E, Beljaars A, Cheng A, Conangla L, Ek M, Freedman F, Hamdi R, et al.. Single-column model intercomparison for a stably stratified atmospheric boundary layer. Boundary Layer Meteorology 2006; 118:273-303. [42] Kim H, Lee C, Lim H, Kyong N. An experimental and numerical study on the ow over twodimensional hills. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics 1997; 66:17-33. [43] Brunet Y, Finnigan J, Raupach M. A wind tunnel study of air ow in waving wheat: singlepoint velocity statistics. Boundary Layer Meteorology 1994; 70:95132. 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[49] Svensson G, a M Holtslag A, Kumar V, Mauritsen T, Steeneveld GJ, Angevine WM, Bazile E, Beljaars A, De Bruijn EIF, Cheng A, et al.. Evaluation of the diurnal cycle in the atmospheric boundary layer over land as represented by a variety of single-column models: The second GABLS experiment. Boundary Layer Meteorology 2011; 140:177-206. [50] Verkaik JW, a M Holtslag A. Wind profiles, momentum fluxes and roughness lengths at Cabauw revisited. Boundary Layer Meteorology 2007; 122:701-719. [51] Gryning S, Batchvarova E, Br ummer B, Jorgensen H, Larsen S. On the extension of the wind profile over homogeneous terrain beyond the surface layer. Boundary Layer Meteorology 2007; 124:251-268. [52] Sanz Rodrigo J. Flux-profile characterization of the o_shore ABL for the parameterization of CFD models. EWEC scientific proceedings, The Netherlands, 2011. [53] Taylor P, Teunissen H. The Askervein hill project: Overview and background data. Boundary Layer Meteorology 1987; 39:15-39. [54] Coppin P, Bradley E, Finnigan J. Measurements of ow over an elongated ridge and its thermal stability dependence: The mean _eld. Boundary Layer Meteorology 1994; 69:173-199. [55] Berg J, Mann J, Bechmann A, Courtney MS, Jörgensen HE. The bolund experiment, part i: Flow over a steep, three-dimensional hill. Boundary Layer Meteorology 2011; DOI:10.1007/s10546-0119636-y. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 111/167 Book of Proceedings [56] Chen J, Black T, Novak M, Adams R. A wind tunnel study of turbulent air flow in forest clearcuts. Wind and Trees, Coutts MP, Grace I (eds.). Cambridge University Press: London, 1995. [57] Dellwik E, Bing ol F, Mann J, Sogachev A. Wind and turbulence at a forest edge. EWEC scientific proceedings, Marseille, France, 2009. [58] Wygnanski I, Champagne F, Marasli B. On the large scale structures in two-dimensional, smalldeficit, turbulent wakes. Journal of Fluid Mechanics 1986; 168:31-71. [59] Chamorro L, Porté-Agel F. A wind-tunnel investigation of wind-turbine wakes: Boundary-layer turbulence effects. Boundary Layer Meteorology 2009; 132:129-149. [60] Chamorro L, Porté-Agel F. Effects of thermal stability and incoming boundary-layer flow characteristics on wind-turbine wakes: A wind-tunnel study. Boundary Layer Meteorology 2010; 136:515-533. [61] Chamorro L, Porté-Agel F. Turbulent ow inside and above a wind farm: A wind-tunnel study. Energies 2011; 4:1916-1936. [62] España G, Aubrun S, Loyer S, Devinant P. Spatial study of the wake meandering using modelled wind turbines in a wind tunnel. Wind Energy 2011; 14:923-937. [63] Machielse L, Eecen P, Korterink H, van der Pijl S, Schepers J. ECN test farm measurements for validation of wake models. EWEC scientific proceedings, Milan, Italy, 2007. [64] Politis E, Prospathopoulos J, Cabezón D, Hansen K, Chaviaropoulos P, Barthelmie R. Modelling wake effects in large wind farms in complex terrain: the problem, the methods and the issues. Wind Energy 2012; 15:161-182. [65] Barthelmie RJ, Folkerts L, Ormel F, Sanderho_ P, Eecen P, Stobbe O, Nielsen NM. Offshore wind turbine wakes measured by SODAR. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 2003; 20:466-477. [66] Barthelmie R, Frandsen S, Nielsen N, Pryor S, Rethore P, J_rgensen H. Modelling and measurements of power losses and turbulence intensity in wind turbine wakes at Middelgrunden offshore wind farm. Wind Energy 2007; 10:217-228. [67] Hansen K, Barthelmie R, Jensen L, Sommer A. The impact of turbulence intensity and atmospheric stability on power deficits due to wind turbine wakes at Horns Rev wind farm. Wind Energy 2012; 15:183-196. [68] Dhalberg J, Norling J, Loman G, Thor S. Assessment of the Lillgrund windfarm power performance wake losses 2009. Lillgrund Pilot Project Report, Vattenfall Vindkraft AB. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 112/167 Book of Proceedings CFD model of stratified atmospheric boundary-layer flow Tilman Koblitza,1, A. Bechmanna, A. Sogacheva, N. Sørensena and P.-E. Réthoréa a DTU Wind Energy, Roskilde, Denmark From Wind Energ. doi: 10.1002/we.1684, published online 15 Nov 2013. Abstract For wind resource assessment, the wind industry is increasingly relying on Computational Fluid Dynamics models of the neutrally stratified surface-layer. So far, physical processes that are important to the whole atmospheric boundary-layer, like the Coriolis effect, buoyancy forces and heat transport, are mostly ignored. In order to decrease the uncertainty of wind resource assessment, the present work focuses on atmospheric flows that include stability and Coriolis effects. The influence of these effects on the whole atmospheric boundary-layer are examined using a RANS k-ε model. To validate the model implementations, results are compared against measurements from several large-scale field campaigns, wind tunnel experiments, and previous simulations and are shown to significantly improve the predictions.. Keywords: Atmospheric Boundary-Layer; k-E turbulence model; Coriolis effect; Atmospheric Stability; CFD; RANS. 1. Background Wind flow modeling software is widely used for wind resource assessment, and mostly based on either the Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) approach or the linear WAsP approach [1]. They focus primarily on modeling of the neutrally stratified atmospheric surface-layer (ASL) which typically covers the bottom 10% of the atmospheric boundary-layer (ABL). In the ASL the logarithmic wind profile is a justified approximation and the models account for the effects of roughness and topography changes. Atmospheric stability and Coriolis effects are mostly ignored, or like in WAsP are treated as small perturbations to the neutral background flow that can be added after solving the model equations. In order to decrease the uncertainty of predictions, especially in complex terrain, stability and Coriolis effects on the whole atmospheric boundary layer should be included in such models. Turbulence within the ABL covers a wide range of scales (from less than a cm up to several km [2]). Since the solution of the full Navier-Stokes equations is not computationally feasible, high Reynolds number flows can be based on the solution of the Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations. Recently, Sogachev et al. [3] developed an atmospheric model for flows over flat terrain that accounts for stability and Coriolis effects: the energy equation in terms of the potential temperature is solved in parallel to the RANS equations and a consistent two-equation turbulence model is used to close the equations. Using a two-equation closure method to describe the whole ABL allows the flow to be computed at a much lower computational cost than e.g. using large-eddy simulations (LES) [4]. The aim of the present work is to develop and validate a RANS ABL model framework describing the whole ABL that can be applied for flows over complex terrain. The starting point is the DTU Wind Energy CFD solver EllipSys3D [5, 6, 7]. The solver was initially developed for 1 Corresponding author: Tilman Koblitz DTU Wind Energy, Technical University of Denmark, Department of Wind Energy, DTU Risø Campus, Frederiksborgvej 399, Building 115, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark: Tel.: +45 51801495; e-mail: [email protected] WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 113/167 Book of Proceedings simulating the near-ground surface-layer flow inside a neutrally stratified domain (from now on referred to as the ASL model) and has under these conditions been validated against field experiments [8, 9]. To model ABL flows more appropriately the solver is modified (from now on referred to as the ABL model) and the two-equation turbulence closure from Sogachev et al. [3] is used. To get a better understanding of the physical processes involved in ABL flows and to validate ABL models, more data sets from atmospheric experiments on full scale are necessary. Various experiments that focus on neutral flow over complex terrain are available, e.g. the Askervein Hill experiment [10], or more recently the Bolund experiment [11, 8]. Existing benchmark literature for nonneutral ABL flows mostly focuses on flat terrain [12, 13, 14, 15], and test cases for complex terrain are scarce. Ross et al. [16] present a wind-tunnel study of neutral and stably stratified boundary-flow over a steep hill. The wind-tunnel experiment was designed to represent a realistic non-neutral ABL flow and analyses stability effects over terrain under controlled conditions. Although not real ABL flow at full scale, this test case was chosen to test the applicability and performance of the ABL model for flows over well defined but steep terrain. The central goal of the present study is to examine how well the ABL model performs in representing neutral and non-neutral ABL flows, and to set the starting point to apply the ABL model for flows over complex terrain. In section 2 the modeling approach is presented, followed by section 3 where implementation aspects (3.1) and the simulation methodology (3.2) are described. In section 4 MoninObukhov Similarity Theory (MOST) is briefly described. Section 5 presents results from four test cases that are used to validate the ABL model. The simulations are divided in three parts. First, sections 5.1 and 5.2 focus on neutral ABL flow over rough flat ground. Simulation results are compared against experimental data from the Leipzig wind profile [17] and the Cabauw site [18]. Second, non-neutral ABL flow over rough flat ground is considered in section 5.3. Experimental data from the GABLS2 test case [15], that analyses a diurnal cycle in the ABL, is used to validate the ABL model for non-neutral conditions. Additionally, MOST is used to compare simulation results against experimental data from several large scale field campaigns [12, 13, 14]. Third, in section 5.4 the wind-tunnel experiment analysing stratified boundary-layer flow over a steep hill [16] is used to assess the applicability of the ABL model for non-neutral flows over terrain. Concluding remarks are given in section 6. 2. Modeling ABL flows 2.1. Goberning equations The high Reynolds number atmospheric flows considered in this study are based on the solution of the RANS equations. The continuity and momentum equations read: ∂ ρU j = 0 , ∂x j ( ) (1) ∂U ∂ U j ∂ρUi ∂ρUi U j ∂ + − ( µ − µ t ) i + ∂x j ∂t ∂x j ∂x j ∂xi ∂ Pˆ + = Sv , ∂xi (2) where xi (x1 = x, x2 = y, x3 = z) are the longitudinal, lateral and vertical directions. Ui is the mean velocity component along xi, P̂ is the pressure and µt is the turbulent eddy viscosity. Since the unsteady term is retained in equation 2 it is possible to simulate transient phenomena with RANS. This is based on the assumption that time averaging of the RANS equations is performed on a time scale similar to the turbulent fluctuations, while the low frequency variations of the mean flow (e.g. diurnal simulations of stratified flows in the ABL, as considered in this study) can be properly WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 114/167 Book of Proceedings resolved by the unsteady RANS equations. Transient RANS allows to simulate the unsteady phenomena of a diurnal cycle in the ABL, and is basically the only option besides the more computationally expensive LES approach. 2.2. Basic RANS turbulence closure for ASL flows The RANS equations are used to describe the air flow in the lowest part of the ABL where the logarithmic wind profile a justified approximation. To close the given set of equations the popular k-ε turbulence model is used [19]. The eddy-viscosity is obtained by solving the two differential transport equations for the turbulent kinetic energy k and the dissipation rate ε : ∂k ∂k ∂ +Uj − ∂t ∂x j ∂xi ∂ε ∂ε ∂ +Uj − ∂t ∂x j ∂xi µt ∂k = Pk − ε , σ k ∂xi µt ∂ ε ε = (Cε 1Pk − Cε 2ε ) , σ ε ∂xi k (3) (4) where σk and σε are the Schmidt numbers for k and ε respectively and Pk is the rate of shear production of k. Cε1, Cε2 are model coefficients. The resulting mixing length l and the eddy viscosity µt are expressed in terms of k and ε as: l = Cµ3 / 4 µt = ρCµ k2 ε k3 / 2 ε , (5) = ρCµ1/ 4k 1/ 2l . (6) 2.3. Adaptation of RANS Turbulence Closure for ABL Flows When modeling the full ABL, thermal stratification and Coriolis effects (caused by the rotation of the earth) should be included. These effects are introduced into the RANS equation system via additional source/sink terms on the right hand side of the momentum equations 2: Sv = gi ( ρ − ρ0 ) + ε i fc ρU j + Svol , (7) where gi is the gravitational acceleration giT = (0, 0, g), ρ is the varying density and ρ0 is a reference density. εiT = (−1, 1, 0) and fc = 2Ωsinλ is the Coriolis parameter (with the earth’s rotation rate Ω and the latitude λ), and are added explicitly to the momentum equations as an external force. The Coriolis force in vertical direction is neglected since it is small compared to the gravitational acceleration. To include buoyancy effects an equation for the potential temperature is solved in addition to the RANS equations: ∂ ∂ ∂ µt ρU jθ − ( ρθ ) + µ + ∂t ∂x j ∂x j σθ ( ) ∂θ ∂xi = Sθ . (8) The potential temperature equation couples with the momentum equations via vertical buoyancy forces gi(ρ − ρ0) that act in the direction of the gravitational acceleration. Density variations as a result of pressure variations are assumed to be small so that the flow is treated incompressible. Hence, the density is not a function of pressure, and temperature and density vary linearly as required by the Boussinesq approximation: WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 115/167 Book of Proceedings ρ= M , RT (9) where M = 29 g/mol is the molar mass and R =8.313 J/molK is the universal gas constant. To close the given set of equations Sogachev et al. [3] recently developed a consistent closure method for the two-equation turbulence model given above by considering the behavior of the ε equation in homogeneous turbulent flow when using a source/sink term associated with stability. The potential temperature equation now couples with the turbulence model via an additional source/sink term B that is added to the two turbulent transport equations [20, 21]: ∂k ∂k ∂ +Uj − ∂t ∂x j ∂xi µt ∂k = Pk − ε + B , σ k ∂xi (10) ∂ε ∂ε ∂ µt ∂ ε ε * +Uj − = Cε 1Pk − Cε 2ε + Cε 3B + D . ∂t ∂x j ∂xi σ ε ∂xi k ( ) (11) Cε1* is a modified Cε1 coefficient (see section 2.3.1) and D is an additional diffusion term (see section 2.3.2). The buoyancy source/sink term B is added to the turbulent kinetic energy equation and also appears in the dissipation equation together with the coefficient Cε3 and depends on the eddy viscosity µt, the gravitational acceleration gi and the density gradient: B = µt g i ∂ρ . ∂xi (12) In unstable conditions B is positive and supports the generation of turbulent kinetic energy in the k equation, while B turns negative in stable conditions and suppresses turbulence. Details about the specification of the coefficient Cε3 are given in section 2.4.2. 2.3.1. Length-scale limitation The standard k-ε model, when applied to ABL flows, is known to be too diffusive, leading to a strongly overestimated turbulent length scale l that grows continuously with height and results in a very large ABL height [22, 23]. In real ABL flows the maximum size of turbulent eddies is limited e.g. by the finite ABL height or by stratification (see also [24]). Using a length-scale limiter, as initially proposed by Apsley and Castro [23], allows to reduce the maximum mixing length in the model and the resulting ABL height is effectively reduced. The modified Cε1* coefficient in the length scale determining equation 11 is described by: Cε*1 = Cε 1 + (Cε 2 − Cε 1 ) l . le (13) Apart from the maximum global mixing length le no additional coefficients are introduced. When the local mixing length l reaches the specified global maximum mixing length le, Cε1* equals Cε2 and the production and destruction terms in the dissipation equation are in balance, which limits the local length scale l to le. On the other end, when l << le, Cε1* equals Cε1 and the modification still satisfies the logarithmic wind profile in the surface-layer close to the ground. For neutrally stratified ABL flows over a flat rough surface, le is estimated by an expression from Blackadar [25]. To provide a suitable solution for stratified flows an expression from Mellor and Yamada [26] is used that depends on the vertical distribution of turbulent kinetic energy k in the ABL, and reflects variations in ABL depth induced by thermal stratification: WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 116/167 Book of Proceedings G l0 = 0.00027 , constant in neutral ABL fc ∞ lε = , z kdz ∫ 0 l =α ∞ , reflecting variable ABL depth MY kdz ∫0 (14) where G is the geostrophic wind. The coefficient α is chosen so that both length scales are identical for a neutrally stratified ABL flow (lMY = l0). For several test cases an empirical value of α =0.075 results in both length scales to agree reasonably well (lMY ≈ l0) [3]. To calculate lMY with the above expression the turbulent kinetic energy k needs to be integrated over the domain height. For horizontally homogeneous flow it is sufficient to perform this integration every time step at one location since the flow is horizontally homogeneous. For complex terrain domains with a curvilinear grid this integration would have to be performed at every location individually. This is computationally not feasible, and instead a precursor simulation over flat terrain can be used to determine the time varying values of lMY that are then used within a complex terrain domain. 2.3.2. Diffusion term An additional diffusion type term D is introduced into the dissipation equation 11 of the k-ε model as proposed by Sogachev et al. [3]. Numerical experiments have shown some differences in the behavior of the standard k-ε model of Laundner and Spalding [19] and the k-ω model of Wilcox [27]. Sogachev and Panferov [28] reported that for example in forest canopies the k-ω model is performing slightly better than the k-ε model. The ABL model in the present study is developed using the k-ε model, but to obtain consistent results between the two closures the k-ε model can be transformed to behave similarly to the k-ω model, by including an additional diffusion term: 1 1 ∂2 k 1 1 k ∂ε ∂k 2 ∂k ∂k . D = Cµ − + + k 2 − σ k σ ε ∂x j σ k σ ε ε ∂x j ∂x j σ k ∂x j ∂x j (15) 3. Model coefficients 2.3.1. Specification of general constants The model constants Cε1 and Cε2 in equations 4 and 11 are chosen to be consistent with experimental observations for decaying homogeneous, isotropic turbulence. To ensure that the model solution agrees with the constant-stress logarithmic wind profile near the ground the relation below has to be satisfied, which follows from considering constant-flux flow with ∂k/∂z =0 [20]: σε = κ2 Cµ1/ 2 (Cε 2 − Cε 1 ) . (16) For neutral flows the constant Cµ is typically adjusted to set a desired turbulence level and Cµ =0.09 is a typical value for industrial flows [19] while in atmospheric research a value of Cµ =0.03 is often used [29]. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 117/167 Book of Proceedings 2.4.2. Specification of stability related coefficients The additional coefficient Cε3 in the dissipation equation 11 has to be specified, and an optimal value is unknown [30]. Using the recently developed consistent closure method for two-equation turbulence models from Sogachev et al. [3], Cε3 is modeled using a stability-related coefficient αB (see table 1): Cε 3 = (Cε 1 − Cε 2 )α B + 1 . (17) αB is specified based on the standard coefficients Cε1 and Cε2 of the production and destruction terms in the ε equation respectively: l 1 − l MY αB = 1 − 1 + Cε 2 − 1 l Cε 2 − Cε 1 lMY for Rig > 0 , with Rig = B / Pk . (18) for Ri g < 0 αB now depends on the local gradient Richardson number Rig and on the local ratio of l/lMY , and hence is a function of stability. Table 1: Typical values for the coefficients in the k-ε turbulence model for industrial flows (Cµ = 0.09) and for atmospheric flows (Cµ = 0.03). In the model the turbulent Prandtl number σθ in equation 8 is approximated as a function of a slightly modified gradient Richardson number RiG: for Ri g > 0 0.74 σθ = 0.74 (1 − 15RiG ) −1/ 4 for Rig < 0 , α with RiG = B Pk + B B . σθ (19) The additional term in the denominator of the gradient Richardson number RiG is used to stabilize equation 19: RiG and the resulting σθ are now limited during convective cases where Pk approaches zero. Sogachev et al. [3] have shown numerically that the developed model framework is suitable for three flow regimes: grid turbulence, wall-bounded flow and homogeneous shear flow. In contrast to an earlier proposed description of Cε3 [30] the form given in equation 18 is universal and needs not to be specified for each case. Compared to the ASL model no additional coefficients are introduced into the ABL model that need to be calibrated. The formulation does not allow for any tuning of the model and only depends on the closure coefficients given in table 1. 3. Simulating ABL flows 3.1. Implementation into EllipSys3D solver To simulate ABL flows the EllipSys3D solver is modified using the ABL model equations presented above. To solve the convection-diffusion equations, the third-order accurate QUICK differencing scheme is used. All equations are transformed into general curvilinear coordinates. This allows the model to be WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 118/167 Book of Proceedings applied to complex geometries, like ABL flows over terrain, where the use of Cartesian or rectangular coordinates is often not possible. The buoyancy forces gi(ρ − ρ0) in the momentum equation 2 are added explicitly as external volume forces. When implemented into the solver this can create numerical problems: the implementation via a discrete body force generates a numerical decoupling between the pressure and the velocities. This problem was identified to cause oscillations in the solution, especially close to boundaries and under strongly stratified conditions. To avoid this, an algorithm for allocating discrete forces is used following Réthoré and Sørensen [31]. This approach solves the problem by spreading the buoyancy forces on the neighbouring cells and by applying an equivalent pressure jump at the cell faces. In order to improve convergence for small mixing lengths, ambient floor values for the turbulence variables are imposed. Especially during strongly stable conditions the mixing length l and the eddy viscosity µt approach values close to zero, or even negative values. This typically occurs within the stable temperature layer (inversion) in the upper part of the ABL. To avoid numerical convergence issues, k and ε are not allowed to drop below a predefined limit. The ambient values kamb and ε amb are defined a priori and set a minimum turbulent mixing length via equation 5. They are set using a minimum limiter on the turbulence variables: ε = max(ε ,εamb) and k = max(k, kamb). Values below the ambient level are simply overwritten. For the present study the ambient turbulence values are chosen to be kamb =1 · 10−4 m2/s2 and ε amb =7.208 · 10−8 m2/s3. Together with the model constants in table 1 and equation 5 this leads to a minimum turbulent mixing length of 1 m. The modification is only active in the upper part of the ABL where the turbulence variables approach their predefined ambient levels. 3.2. Model Setup All presented calculations use the set of consistent closure coefficients for ABL flows stated in table 1. Specific simulation parameters like roughness length z0, geostrophic wind G, Coriolis parameter fc and surface temperatures θ0 are summarized in table 2. Table 2: Values for the simulation parameters associated with each model run: geostrophic wind G that is used to specify the pressure gradient to drive the flow, roughness length z0, Coriolis parameter fc, maximum global mixing length scale le and potential surface temperature θ0. Four test cases are presented covering neutral ABL flow over flat terrain (Leipzig, Cabauw), non-neutral ABL flow over flat terrain (GABLS2) and neutral and stable wind-tunnel flow over a steep hill (here le and fc are not applicable). To simulate ABL flows over flat terrain, initial conditions are typically specified by the logarithmic wind profile over flat terrain according to a specific surface roughness z0. However, since cyclic boundary conditions are used for the present simulations the final results do not depend on their initial conditions. To drive the flow in the ABL simulations a pressure gradient is applied that results in the desired geostrophic wind G. The Coriolis force balances the pressure gradient force at the ABL top, where friction by definition is zero: G = −1/ρfcδp/δy. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 119/167 Book of Proceedings 3.2.1. Computational domain For all flat terrain simulations the same computational domain is used: it is 6 km high and uses a grid of 384 stretched cells in vertical direction. The bottom cell is equal to the size of the roughness length z0 at the wall, and the mesh is stretched hyperbolically towards the top resulting in cell heights of about 70 m at the top boundary. In horizontal directions the domain is 1 x 1 km long with a grid of 32 evenly distributed cells. However, as the modeled flow over flat surfaces is horizontally homogeneous, the horizontal grid structure is irrelevant and the flow variables are therefore functions of the height z alone. Rough wall boundary conditions are used at the bottom of the domain [9], and a symmetry condition (no-gradient) is used on top. All vertical boundaries are cyclic. Note that grid independent results could already be obtained using a grid of around 100 cells in the vertical direction. The wind-tunnel experiments of Ross et al. [16] were conducted at the Environmental Flow Research Laboratory (EnFlo), University of Surrey, U.K. The wind tunnel has a working section of 20 m length, 3.5 m width and 1.5 m height and the shape of the two-dimensional steep hill is given by: H cos2 ( π x / l ) z= 0 for − l / 2 ≤ x ≤ l / 2 elsewhere , (20) where H = 0.229 m is the maximum hill height, x is the distance from the centre of the hill and l =1 m is the width of the hill. The computational domain covers 10 m of the wind-tunnel test section, and is 1.5 m high and wide and the hill is placed 2.5 m behind the upstream boundary. The wind-tunnel flow is solved by the EllipSys3D solver and therefore the domain is 3-D, although the model hill and the resulting flow is 2-D. The grid has 192 grid points in the horizontal, 24 in the lateral and 96 in the vertical direction. Stretched cells are used in the vertical direction with a height of 0.27 mm at the wall and 5 cm at the top of the domain. In horizontal direction the mesh is refined on top of the hill with cells of 1.5 cm length and is stretched towards the inlet and outlet where cells are about 10 cm long. In lateral direction the mesh is equally spaced with the cells being 6 cm wide. At the inlet and upper boundary inlet conditions are used and at the downstream boundary outlet conditions are used. 4. Monin-Obukhov similarity theory Monin-Obukhov Similarity Theory [32] expresses the vertical structure of the horizontally homogeneous ASL as dimensionless universal functions and is often used to validate ABL models. Based on dimensional analysis, all nondimensionalized mean flow properties within the ASL only depend on a reduced set of key scaling parameters: the friction velocity u∗, the height above ground z, and the vertical turbulent heat flux H: H ≡ w 'θ ' ≈ µt ∂θ . σθ ∂z (21) From these parameters a universal length scale, the Obukhov length L, can be formed that describes the exchange processes in the surface-layer: L=− u*3θ0 , κ gH0 (22) where θ0 is the potential temperature at the surface and H0 is the near-surface value of the vertical turbulent heat flux H. L is proportional to the vertical potential temperature gradient and describes the height at which buoyant production of turbulence first exceeds mechanical production due to shear. The dimensionless height ζ = z/L is used as a stability parameter and has the same sign as the Richardson number Ri: positive in stable conditions and negative in unstable conditions. Based on the assumptions that the flow within the surface-layer is stationary, horizontally homogeneous, and that WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 120/167 Book of Proceedings fluxes are independent of height, ζ is now constant throughout the surface-layer (in contrast to Ri) and the normalized wind speed depends on the universal function ζ alone: φm ( ζ ) = ∂U κ z . ∂z u* (23) For ideal conditions of stationary and horizontally homogeneous flow MOST is valid in about the lowest 10% of the ABL where the Coriolis effect is negligible. The forms of the stability function φm are not known from dimensional analysis and is obtained empirically from field experiments over flat terrain: measurements for different values of ζ are substituted into equation 23 and curves are fitted to the resulting data. Despite numerous field experiments there are still discrepancies in the literature for the exact forms of φm. The forms chosen here are widely used and known as the Businger-Dyer relations [12, 33]: 1 + δ m ζ −1/ 4 (1 − γ m ζ ) φm = for ζ ≥ 0 for ζ < 0 . (24) In the literature the coefficient δm ranges from 4 to 10, and γm ranges from 15 to 28 (see e.g. [34, 13]). During ideal conditions the relation 23 between dimensionless wind shear and dimensionless height ζ is valid for any wind speed, height, roughness and stability condition in the surface-layer. Ideally vertical profiles will then collapse on one line. Integration of equation 23 for the velocity gradient yields a modified logarithmic wind profile for the wind speed U: U= u* z ln − ψ m (ζ ) , κ z0 (25) where Ψm is a stability function. Using the Dyer stability functions [35] Ψm is defined as: ψm −5ζ = 1 + x 2 ln 2 for ζ ≥ 0 1 + x 2 π − 2atan ( x ) + 2 2 for ζ < 0 , with x = (1 − 16ζ ) 1/ 4 . (26) 5. Results and discussion 5.1. Neutral ABL -Leipzig test case In this case the Leipzig wind profile is modeled [17] with the ASL and the ABL model both run steadystate. The necessary simulation parameters are shown in table 2 and the computational grid is described in section 3.2.1. Results are shown in figure 1 together with measurements [17]. Comparison of the ASL and ABL model results shows the influence of the Coriolis effect: the additional body force in the ABL model induces a velocity component v perpendicular to the direction of the geostrophic wind G and causes the wind to veer with height. In the ABL model also the height of the ABL is now limited to about 1300 m, due to the applied length-scale limiter (seen in the middle of figure 1, where the velocity component v approaches zero). With the chosen value of l0 = 41.8 m the ABL height is however slightly overpredicted. This length scale is slightly larger than the one suggested by Apsley and Castro [23] who used l0 = 36 m for their simulation. It is generally accepted that the Leipzig experiment was actually conducted in slightly stable conditions [24], and when using a lower length scale of l0 = 28 m the measured and simulated profiles agree perfectly (not shown here). However, the goal was not to match the simulation to a single observation, and the ABL model WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 121/167 Book of Proceedings predicts the flow reasonably well and simulated results are significantly improved compared to the ASL model. Figure 1: Results of the Leipzig test case using the ASL model (dashed blue) and the ABL model (solid red) shown together with the Leipzig wind profile (grey symbols) [17]. Left: wind component u parallel to geostrophic wind G plotted over height; Middle: wind component v perpendicular to geostrophic wind G plotted over height; Right: turbulent mixing length scale l (see equation 5) plotted over height. Figure 2: Results of the Cabauw test case using the ASL model (dashed blue) and the ABL model (solid red) shown together with anual averages of the Cabauw site (grey symbols) [18] for three classes of geostrophic wind speeds (5, 10 and 15 m/s). Bars denote standard deviations. Left: dimensionless wind components (U − U g)/u∗ and (V − Vg)/u∗ plotted over non-dimensional height zfc/u∗ ; Right: turbulent mixing length scale l (see equation 5) plotted over height. 5.2. Neutral ABL -Cabauw test case The neutral ABL over flat terrain at the Cabauw site in the Netherlands is simulated [18] with the ASL and ABL models run steady-state. The necessary simulation parameters are shown in table 2 and the computational grid is described in section 3.2.1. Results are shown in figure 2. The non-dimensional geostrophic wind components (U − Ug)/u∗ and (V − Vg)/u∗ are shown as functions of the nondimensional height zfc/u∗, plotted with a logarithmic scale. Anual averages from the Cabauw site [18] are shown for three classes of the geostrophic wind (G = 5, 10, 15 m/s) at heights 10, 80 and 200 m, WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 122/167 Book of Proceedings together with simulation results using G = 10 m/s. When plotted using above non-dimensional form the simulation results for other geostrophic winds collapse on the same line. As for the Leipzig test case, the turning of the wind with height induced by the Coriolis force and the limitation of the ABL height by the length-scale limiter can be seen when comparing the simulated profiles of the ABL model with the ASL model. Results from the ABL model agree well with the measurements [18] and the chosen modifications prove applicable. 5.3. Non-neutral ABL -GABLS2 test case This section focuses on assessing how well the ABL model performs in representing non-neutral ABL flows. Observations from the GABLS2 test case held in Kansas, USA [15] with a strong diurnal cycle are chosen to validate the ABL model. In the study of Svensson et al. [15] the observational dataset is compared against simulation results from 30 different models and simulating the described diurnal cycle has shown to represent a challenging test case for ABL models. Figure 3: Diurnal evolution of flow properties. a: surface temperature θ0 (black line) that is given as input to the ABL model and the resulting potential temperature field within the first 300 m ; b: wind speed at 10 m (green) and friction velocity u∗ at the surface (blue). Symbols and lines denote measurements and simulation results respectively; c: wind profiles of the ASL model (dashed blue) and ABL model (solid red) compared against analytical profiles from MOST (equation 25) for different times of the day. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 123/167 Book of Proceedings The simulation uses the computational grid from section 3.2 and the ABL model is run transient, where non-neutral conditions are induced by a prescribed time-varying ground temperature. A time step of 1 s is used. The initial conditions for the simulation of the diurnal cycle are given in [15]. Results are shown in figure 3. Figure 3a is showing the time varying ground temperature that is used as a model input together with the resulting diurnal evolution of the computed potential temperature field that adopts to the changing surface conditions. The surface stability conditions are influencing the generation of turbulence and the turbulent mixing. Figure 3b shows the friction velocity u∗ at the surface (on the left axis) and the velocity variation at the 10 m level (on the right axis) over one diurnal cycle together with measurements (symbols) and the spread of the different model results from the model intercomparison study of Svensson et al. (shaded region) [15]. In both plots, 3a and 3b, a clear transition between day-and nighttime is visible after sunrise around 8:00 and after sunset around 18:00. Stable nighttime conditions before 8:00 are characterised by small turbulence levels and a low ABL depth of around 100 m. The stable stratification suppresses the generation of turbulence and results in small values for the friction velocity as shown in figure 3b. The air close to the ground is colder then the air above, and due to the small amount of mixing, only penetrates up to heights of about 100 m, where a steep temperature gradient is visible in figure 3a. During daytime between 12:00 and 18:00 unstable conditions are induced by the heating of the ground. Large amounts of convective turbulence lead to a well mixed ABL with a greater depth. Due to convection warm air is rising upwards and penetrates the strong stable temperature gradient that is capping the ABL during night. After 12:00 the stable gradient is not existent anymore and the ABL continues to grow in height. It is during this period that the turbulent length scales and the friction velocity at the surface reach their maximum values. At around 14:00 the maximum temperature is reached, and before returning to the stable nighttime regime, the ABL flow is close to neutral at around 18:00 where the potential temperature is nearly constant with height. Also shown in figure 3b is the evolution of the wind speed at the 10 m level. Higher wind speeds are observed during daytime, where the increased turbulence is effective at mixing momentum downward close to the ground and vice versa. The shaded areas indicate the model spread of the 30 models that were intercompared within the study of Svensson et al. [15]. Computed results generally are within the observed range and a clear diurnal pattern is visible. Svensson et al. [15] report that all models underestimate the 10 m wind speed after the morning transition and tend to overestimate the wind speed towards the end of the day. One obvious reason for this is that the geostrophic wind during the simulation was kept constant in space and time, while both, observations and mesoscale simulations shown in [15] show a decrease of the geostrophic wind during the observational period. Also note that the measured turbulent kinetic energy shows a sudden increase at about 3:00 which was reported to be a local disturbance not included in the model forcing, and therefore not present in the computed results. Figure 3c shows the computed wind profiles in the first 100 m at different times of the day compared against the observations and the standard logarithmic profiles from the ASL model. Also shown are the theoretical profiles from MOST [36] where the computed surface heat flux H0 together with equations 22 and 26 is used to determine the Obukhov length L and the modified logarithmic wind profile. Stable conditions at night result in smaller wind speeds close to the ground and higher wind speeds above, when compared against the logarithmic solution of the neutral ASL model. During unstable conditions the wind speed increases rapidly over the first few meters while it is almost constant with height above. The agreement is good, and the developed model captures the observed and theoretical non-neutral behavior. In figure 4 MOST (see section 4) is used to assess the performance of the ABL model. Theoretical φm functions from equation 24 are shown together with simulation results and experimental data from several field campaigns [12, 13, 14]. To decrease the spread of the experimental φm values, the data WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 124/167 Book of Proceedings needs to be selected carefully. Especially during transitional periods in the morning and evening the assumptions underlying MOST (stationary and horizontally homogeneous flow with constant ζ over height) are violated in real ABL flows. The shown simulation results are therefore selected accordingly: only cases for fully developed flow away from the transitional periods are shown. MOST was derived for the range |ζ| < 2 [12] and for higher values it can be seen that experimental and simulation results start to deviate from MOST. Figure 4: φ m from observations (grey symbols: Businger et al. [12], Li et al. [13], Klipp and Mahrt [14]), analytical expression from equation 24 with δ m = 5 and γm = 15 (solid black) and for the range of analytical solutions where δm varies from 4 to 10 and γ m varies from 15 to 28 [3] (shaded area), and results from the ABL model. Note that results during transitional regimes around 8:00 (sunrise) and 18:00 (sunset) are omitted, since during these conditions z/L is not constant with height which is a necessary assumption for MOST to be valid. Note that in this case the ABL model is run for several days, cyclically repeating the surface temperature from the GABLS2 test case, until a cyclical soultion is reached. This ensures that the whole flow field is in equilibrium with the model equations, and that the solution is independant of the initial conditions. For the GABLS2 model intercomparison the spin-up time of the models given in [15] (time before numerical and observational data is compared) is only 8 h. We find that the solution in this case is still significantly dependant on the initial temperature field (also given in [15]), and when compared against MOST, the agreement is not as good as for the fully converged results. This indicates that the flow field in the ABL after 8 h of spin-up time is not yet in equilibrium with the surface forcing at the ground. In a recent study, Sogachev also found [30] that a spin-up time of several days is needed, depending on the initial conditions. In summary, we find model results to agree best with MOST when allowing the solution to fully converge to a cyclical solution. Results for the GABLS2 test case are best, when following the instructions from Svensson et al. [15]. This indicates that if information on a large scale (like the geostrophic wind or the vertical temperature profile) is available from measurements, those conditions should be used in the model to compare numerical and observational data. However, conditions in the real ABL are often non-stationary and horizontally nonhomogeneous, and are therefore not necessarily in agreement with empirical theories like MOST or with the model equations of numerical models. 5.4. Non-neutral flow over a steep hill In this test case neutral and stably-stratified boundary-layer flow over a steep hill is simulated and compared against simulations and wind-tunnel measurements [16, 37]. The wind-tunnel experiment was designed to represent realistic ABL flow over a two-dimensional steep hill. Wind-tunnel flows cannot fully resemble real ABL flow at full scale and the Coriolis effect is negligible. However, this test case allows to study stability effects under controlled conditions, and is chosen to test the applicability and performance of the ABL model for flows over well defined terrain. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 125/167 Book of Proceedings The hill is steep enough to induce flow separation and represents a challenging test case for the developed ABL model. The simulation is run in transient mode with a time step of 0.1 s. Figure 5: Contour plots of non-dimensional streamwise velocity U/Uf in a vertical plane across the hill for neutral (left column) and stable flow (right column). Simulation results are shown along with measurements and RANS results from Ross et al. [16] and LES results from Wan et al. [37]. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 126/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 6: Contour plots of momentum flux u'w' (in m2s-2) in a vertical plane across the hill for neutral (left column) and stable flow (right column). Simulation results are shown along with measurements and RANS results from Ross et al. [16] and LES results from Wan et al. [37]. Due to the small scale of the wind-tunnel the Coriolis effect is neglected in the model, hence equation 14 to determine a maximum length scale le cannot be applied, and no length-scale limitation is used. The necessary input parameters to simulate the wind-tunnel flow are summarized in table 2. Two cases are simulated: neutral and stably stratified flow with a relatively weak stratification of about 10 WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 127/167 Book of Proceedings K/m in the lowest 0.5 m and a much stronger stratification of about 40 K/m above. The neutral simulations are solved steady-state and the stable simulations are run transient for 150 s of model time (equivalent to 15 tunnel flow-through times) after which the computed flow has reached a quasisteady state. The initial conditions for the neutral simulation are specified by the logarithmic wind profile with a surface roughness of z0 =0.23 mm (see table 2). For the stably stratified flow the inlet profiles at the upstream boundary are generated by running a precursor simulation: the experimental velocity and temperature profiles from the wind-tunnel given in [16] are run through the ABL model using the wind tunnel specified below in absence of the hill. This ensures that the inlet profiles are in equilibrium with the model equations. Computed wind speed and turbulence properties of the neutral and stably stratified flow are compared against experimental results [16] and simulation results [16, 37]. Figure 5 shows contour plots of the streamwise velocity u in a vertical plane perpendicular to the hill and figure 6 shows contour plots of the momentum flux u'w'. Results for neutral flow are shown in the left column, and results for stable flow are shown on the right. In both cases flow separation occurs at the lee side of the hill. For the stable case, the depth of the wake region is slightly increased because the stable stratification acts to suppress vertical motion. Above 0.5 m the strong temperature gradient of about 40 K/m is effectively capping the flow and turbulence is limited to the lower part of the domain and is significantly reduced when compared to the neutral case where the momentum fluxes are an order of magnitude larger. The ABL model captures the general effects induced by stratification, although the size of the wake is different. For both, neutral and stably stratified flow the recirculation region in the lee side of the hill is significantly overpredicted compared to the wind-tunnel experiment, while it agrees well with the LES results [37]. The velocity above of the hill is generally predicted well. The u'w' values in figure 6 are generally predicted well and agree with both wind-tunnel and LES results from [37]. However, for the neutral case the u'w' values upstream of the hill are found to be too high when compared to the wind-tunnel values. Similar findings were reported by Wan et al. [37]: the model is found to be too dissipative in this region which leads to an increased upwards deflection of the flow induced by the hill and leads to a slower velocity recovery downstream of the hill and hence an overestimated wake region. Since the ABL model was developed for ABL flows at full scale, we cannot expect the model to reproduce the wind-tunnel measurements. Due to the small scale of the wind-tunnel the Coriolis effect is neglected and the length-scale limiter is not applied. The implemented turbulence closure has been developed for steady ABL flows, and it cannot be expected that the unsteady wake region in the lee of the hill is predicted correctly, and it is not the aim of the ABL model. The wake region has shown to be sensitive to changes in the model constants. No coefficients were adjusted and all test cases are run with the same set of constants from table 2. Although this test case is of limited value to verify the developed ABL model, it is shown that the model can be applied on curvilinear grids without any modification, and that general effects of stratification on the flow are captured correctly. 6. Conclusions The present work presents an ABL model that aims at describing the wind flow within the whole ABL. The model is successfully validated using four test cases. For neutral ABL flow, two test cases over flat terrain are considered and the implemented Coriolis effect and the length-scale limited k-ε model prove applicable. Computed profiles for the velocity components agree well with measurements from the Leipzig and the Cabauw test case [17, 18]. For non-neutral ABL flow a diurnal cycle is simulated, where a time varying surface temperature reflects different stability conditions that typically occur within the ABL throughout one day. The implementation of the k-ε model developed by Sogachev et al. [3] and of the potential temperature equation proved applicable and the ABL model that now accounts for stability effects performed well. Finally a wind-tunnel test case is used to validate the ABL model for stably stratified flow over a steep hill. Although this test case is of limited value to validate the ABL model, the applicability for flows over WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 128/167 Book of Proceedings terrain using curvilinear grids was shown. For all test cases the computed velocity, potential temperature and turbulence values compare reasonably well. The advantage of the presented RANS model framework is its general applicability. All implementations in the ABL model are tuning free, and except for the simulation parameters in table 2, no additional model coefficients need to be specified a priori the simulation. In summary the test cases show that the developed ABL model is applicable and gives significantly improved predictions for neutral and non-neutral ABL flow compared to the ASL model. It presents a promising approach to also applying the ABL model to complex topography. Acknoledgements This work has been carried out within the WAUDIT project (Grant no. 238576). This Initial Training Network is a Marie Curie action, funded under the Seventh Framework Program (FP7) of the European Commission. Computations were made possible by the use of the PC-cluster Gorm provided by DCSC and the DTU central computing facility. We would also like to thank the Danish energy agency (EFP07-Metoder til kortlægning af vindforhold i komplekst terræn (ENS-33033-0062)), the Center for Computational Wind Turbine Aerodynamics and Atmospheric Turbulence (under the Danish Council for Strategic Research, Grant no. 09-067216). 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(+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 129/167 Book of Proceedings [15] Svensson G, Holtslag A, Kumar V, Mauritsen T, Steeneveld G, Angevine W, Bazile E, Beljaars A, de Bruijn E, Cheng A, Conangla L, Cuxart J, Ek M, Falk M, Freedman F, Kitagawa H, Larson V, Lock A, Mailhot J, Masson V, Park S, Pleim J, Sderberg S, Weng W and Zampieri M 2011 Boundary-Layer Meteorol. 140 177–206 ISSN 0006-8314 10.1007/s10546-011-9611-7 URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10546-011-9611-7 [16] Ross A N, Arnold S, Vosper S B, Mobbs S D, Dixon N and Robins A G 2004 Boundary-Layer Meteorol 113 427–459 ISSN 0006-8314, 1573-1472 URL http://link.springer.com.globalproxy.cvt.dk/ article/10.1007/s10546-004-0490-z [17] Lettau H 1950 2 125129 ISSN 2153-3490 URL http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com.globalproxy. cvt.dk/doi/10.1111/j.2153-3490.1950.tb00321.x/abstract [18] Ulden A P V and Holtslag A A M 1980 The wind at heights between 10m and 200m in comparison with the geostrophic wind vol 1 ed E C commission L (Proceedings: Seminar on Radioactive Releases) pp 83–92 [19] Launder B E and Spalding D B 1974 Comp. Meth. Appl. Mech. Engineer. 3 269–289 [20] Pope S B 2000 Turbulent flows 1st ed (UK: Cambridge University Press) [21] Pielke R 2002 Mesoscale meteorological modeling (Academic Press, San Diego) ISBN 9780125547666 [22] Spalart P R and Rumsey C L 2007 AIAA Journal 45 2544–2553 [23] Apsley D D and Castro I P 1997 Boundary-Layer Meteorol. 83 75–98 ISSN 0006-8314 [24] Zilitinkevich S S and Esau I N 2002 Boundary-Layer Meteorol. 104 371–379 ISSN 0006-8314 [25] Blackadar A K 1962 J. Geophysical Research 67 3095–3102 [26] Mellor G L and Yamada T 1974 J. Atmos. Sci. 31 1791–1806 WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 130/167 Book of Proceedings Turbulent fluxes, stability and shear in the offshore environment: WRF mesoscale modelling and field observations at FINO1 D. Muñoz-Esparzaa,1, B. Cañadillasb, T. Neumannb and J. van Beecka a von Karman Institute for Fluid Dynamics (VKI), 1640 Rhode-Saint-Gènese, Belgium b DEWI GmbH - Deutsches Windenergie-Institut, Wilhelmshaven, Germany From Renewable Sustainable Energy 4: 63-136 (2012), doi.org/10.1063/1.4769201. Abstract This paper is focused on the evaluation of five Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) schemes in the Weather Research and Forecasting model for offshore wind energy purposes. One first order scheme: Yonsey University and four one-and-a-half order schemes: Mellor-Yamada-Janić, Quasi-Normal Scale Elimination, Mellor-Yamada-Nakanishi-Niino and Bougeault-Lacarrère, are considered. Turbulent flux measurements from the FINO1 platform in the North Sea are used to estimate the Obukhov length, allowing the sorting of the data into different stability classes. In addition, wind LiDAR measurements are used to analyze wind profiles up to 251.5 m, encompassing the heights where today’s wind turbines operate. The ability of the different PBL schemes to forecast turbulent fluxes of heat and momentum and surface stability is evaluated. Obukhov length results show that in general, PBL schemes forecast more moderated stable stratifications and a reinforcement of the instability for neutral and convective conditions, compared to FINO1 observations. The vertical structure of the wind speed profile is thoroughly analyzed for stable, near-neutral, unstable and very unstable conditions by using total shear stresses, eddy diffusivities and wind speed shears. The Mellor-Yamada-NakanishiNiino scheme presents the best agreement with measurements considering the different atmospheric stabilities analyzed. Stable conditions are the most complicated scenario for the PBL schemes to reproduce due to their overdiffusive formulations, which effect is to lower the vertical wind shear. Under such conditions, Quasi-Normal Scale Elimination and Yonsey University outperform the rest of the PBL schemes, the latest using a revised diffusion formulation. Keywords: Atmospheric Boundary-Layer; k-E turbulence model; Coriolis effect; Atmospheric Stability; CFD; RANS. 1. Introduction To date, there are approximately 4 GW of offshore wind power capacity installed in Europe, almost 6 GW under construction, 17 GW consented by EU Member States and future plans for a further 114 GW. Therefore, it is expected that during this decade, offshore wind power capacity will grow tenfold to reach an estimated installed capacity of 40 GW by 2020 [1]. In order to help with such a development, numerical models can be used for both the optimization of the location of wind farms (wind resource assessment) and estimation of the daily energy production once the wind farm is in operation (short term forecasting). Microscale numerical models are currently used for wind resource assessment purposes. In the case of Reynolds Averaged Navier Stoke models (RANS), they can go up to spatial resolutions in the order 1 Corresponding author: Domingo Muñoz-Esparza Environmental & Applied Fluid Dynamics Department, von Karman Institute for Fluid Dynamics, 1640 Rhode-Saint-Gènese, Belgium, Tel.: +32 2 359 97 60, e-mail: [email protected] WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 131/167 Book of Proceedings of 1 m which can be achieved with a relatively low computational cost [2]. However, these models have two main limitations. Firstly, the conditions of the site are required as a model input. Thus, the boundary conditions have to be obtained from onsite measurements which are normally acquired from a meteorological mast. Therefore, their use becomes unfeasible in the case of lack of on-site measurements. Secondly, these models cannot be used to forecast the expected wind/power production a few days ahead. Numerical Weather Prediction models (NWP) are designed for weather forecasting purposes [3, 4]. However, they have a strong potential to be applied by the wind energy community as they reproduce the time evolution of atmospheric processes using realistic boundary and initial conditions. Moreover, they can simulate across multiple spatial scales by use of nesting techniques (dynamic downscaling). On the other hand, they parameterize all the microscale processes due to the coarse horizontal resolution used (∼1 km). For wind energy applications, where the boundary layer processes are crucial, the Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) parameterization has to be analyzed in detail. Vertical turbulent fluxes of momentum are the main driver of wind speed gradients in the PBL. Zängl et al. [5] simulated an Alpine foehn with the mesoscale model MM5 in order to investigate the influence of PBL parameterization. They found that vertical momentum eddy diffusivities, Km, can present notable differences and that first-order closure schemes provide larger values than turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) based schemes (1.5 order), particularly in strong wind conditions. Hu et al. [6] compared three PBL schemes from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model: Yonsey University (YSU), Asymmetric Convective Model (ACM2) and Mellor-Yamada-Janić (MYJ), against surface and boundary layer measurements of temperature and wind speed. They observed that the 1.5 order scheme (MYJ), provides too weak mixing under convective conditions whereas YSU and ACM2, which are non-local schemes perform better. The main focus of the analysis was on the potential temperature results and so the influence of vertical mixing on the wind speed was not sufficiently analyzed. However, it was shown that the strong mixing of YSU was unable to simulate low level jet events, as these are damped partially or even totally. Shin and Hong [7] performed a more detailed analysis of five PBL parameterizations in WRF (YSU, ACM2, MYJ, Quasi-Normal Scale Elimination (QNSE) and Bougeault-Lacarrère (BouLac)), for a one day period of onshore measurements. Surface properties were evaluated from six 10 m high masts while profiles were provided by radiosoundings up to 1.5 km. Higher biases of surface fluxes were found during nighttime (stable conditions) than during daytime, providing similar results for all schemes. Regarding PBL structures, they attributed the better performance of the YSU scheme under convective conditions to its non-local formulation. None of the PBL schemes were able to properly simulate stable boundary layer features. However, the TKE based schemes were in better agreement with measurements. All these studies focused on the physical modelling of the entire boundary layer but, in the case of wind energy applications, a particular evaluation needs to be performed with a focus on the lower part of the PBL, where wind turbines operate. In the last years, some research has started to be done on the use of WRF for wind energy purposes. Storm and Basu [8] carried out a one year wind resource analysis with the YSU PBL scheme. The wind speed distribution at 100 m was in a good agreement with tower observations at Sweetwater (Texas), as was the mean wind shear based on 50 m and 100 m heights. However, when the shear was averaged daily, it was shown that it was underestimated (overestimated) during nighttime (daytime) hours. The effects of initial and boundary data on the estimation of the wind shear exponents were found to be minimal among the four datasets used. Draxl et al. [9] evaluated forecast results from seven PBL formulations in WRF at the onshore site Høvsøre during a one month period. They found that all the schemes tend to underestimate the wind at hub height during nighttime and overestimate it during daytime. The characteristics of the diurnal cycle and their transitions were in general well captured. They noticed that TKE based schemes provided better results. A tendency WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 132/167 Book of Proceedings within the YSU scheme to always reproduce neutral wind profiles was observed, which is in agreement with previous results from Storm and Basu [8]. So far, contributions dealing with offshore wind energy applications are restricted due to a lack of high quality data for validation. Suselj and Sood [10] studied the influence of a new formulation of the master length scale (as used in Mellor-Yamada-Nakanishi-Niino (MYNN)) for the MYJ scheme on the wind speed shear. Data from two offshore sites were used: the FINO1 mast in the North Sea and the Östergarnsholm tower in the Baltic Sea. At the measurement heights of FINO1 (41.5-81.5 m), the new formulation did not show any substantial improvement. Wind turbines rated at 5 MW have been in operation since 2010 at the Alpha Ventus wind farm close to FINO1, in the North Sea. Thus, the ability of mesoscale models to forecast “tall” wind profiles needs to be properly addressed. In addition, special attention has to be paid to the role of atmospheric stability, the effect of which is to significantly alter the wind shear. This causes a variety of velocity distributions across the rotor swept area, which dramatically influences the power production and fatigue loads on the wind turbine. The paper is structured as follows. In Section 2 we describe the FINO1 test site and its instrumentation. In Section 3 an optimum averaging time for turbulent fluxes is determined and a stability classification of the data is made. The WRF setup is described in Section 4. Surface fluxes of momentum and heat are evaluated in Section 5.1., together with Obukhov length results. Section 5.2. addresses the vertical structure of the wind profile, with a discussion for each stability class in terms of wind shear, eddy diffusivities and profile fluxes. Finally, Section 6 is devoted to the conclusions. 2. Test site and instrumentation The German research platform FINO1 is located 45 km North of the Borkum Island (lat. 54°0.87’N, lon. 6°35.24’E) in the North Sea (Fig. 1) and has been in operation since 2003 [11]. The mean water depth of the platform is about 30 m. The platform is equipped with a tall meteorological mast up to about 100 m, performing continuous multilevel measurements within the lower part of the atmospheric boundary layer. Figure 1: General view of the FINO1 mast. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 133/167 Book of Proceedings In the present work, a one year period is investigated (January 2010 - December 2010). Measurements from the sonic anemometers at 41.5 m, 61.5 m and 81.5 m (10 Hz) were used as the primary source of data while slow response sensors (wind direction, relative humidity, air pressure and temperature) are used mainly for data post-processing and/or comparison. The three ultrasonic anemometers are located on north-westerly oriented booms. In order to minimize the influence of the mast structure on the measurements of the sonic anemometers and to avoid the wakes of the nearby Alpha-Ventus wind farm, we have selected wind conditions with directions comprised within the sector (240º, 360º). This sector corresponds to open-sea conditions. In addition, a ground-based pulsed wind LiDAR system, WindCube v1, developed and manufactured by the French company Leosphere has been used in this study. The wind LiDAR system was positioned on a container roof at approximately 10 m distance to the north-west of the FINO1 mast. It performed continuous measurements from July 2009 to February 2011, scanning the atmosphere up to a height of 251.5 m. This wind LiDAR has been proven to be applicable for wind speed and wind direction measurements by comparison against mast-based sensors [12]. 3 Turbulent flux measurements and stability 3.1 Calculation of turbulent fluxes Before proceeding with further calculations, the quality of the data from all the sensors was verified using a similar methodology to the one of Vickers and Mahrt [13]. To calculate the turbulent fluxes of momentum and heat we use the eddy-covariance method, as in Cañadillas [14]. The natural wind coordinate algorithm was used to remove the mean vertical wind component [15]. The choice of the averaging time for the eddy-covariance method, taver, influences the magnitude of the averaged turbulent flux. This has been shown by several investigations [16-18]. In addition, taver can vary with several factors: location, wind speed, measurement height and atmospheric stability. An optimum value of the averaging time should be used in order to include the low frequency contribution to the flux. Oncley et al. [19] applied the Ogive function to determine the amount of low frequency content that was included in the turbulent flux measured with the eddy-covariance method. The Ogive function is the cumulative integral of the cospectrum, Co, from the highest to the lowest frequencies: Ogw ',x (fi ) = ∫f Cow ',x (f ) df , fi (1) N where fN is the Nyquist frequency and fi is the lowest computed frequency. In our case x is one of the following fluctuating magnitudes: alongwind velocity, u', crosswind velocity, v', or potential temperature, Θ'. In all the cases w' stands for the fluctuating vertical velocity. We chose a time series length of 120 min, as a characteristic time where the largest turbulent structures could contribute to the turbulent flux and the time series is detrended. The Ogive function analysis was focused on two months which are representative of the stabilities occurring at FINO1. This method allowed a robust time averaging period to be estimated. Sensitivity tests were performed by varying taver: 5, 10, 20, 30 and 60 min. In Fig. 2a, the Ogive function for different taver is plotted versus its maximum (i.e., the maximum turbulent flux) on each time series. It can be observed that reduced taver, 5 or 10 min, deviates more from the 1:1 slope, whereas for 30 and 60 min the agreement is almost perfect. However, the observed scatter introduces some error on the flux calculation. To quantify the error obtained for each taver, the integrated error distribution is shown in Fig. ¡Error! No se encuentra el origen de la referencia.b, being the error calculated as the difference with respect to the maximum of the Ogive function for each time series. For a cumulative frequency of 80% the error is about -45% and -25% for taver of 5 and 10 min, respectively. For the rest of taver (20, 30 and 60 min), the error falls below -10%. By comparing the Ogive function results with the flux errors and the correlations, we can conclude that 30 min is an accurate time averaging interval to compute turbulent fluxes at FINO1. Moreover, our optimum value of taver is consistent with other sea-air flux studies [20-23]. Larger time intervals WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 134/167 Book of Proceedings increase the risk of including non-steady effects without reducing the errors and shorter intervals will produce a dramatic increase of the error. Similar conclusions were obtained for <w'v'> and <w'Θ'> and other heights (61.5 and 81.5 m). Figure 2: (a) Ogive function values for different taver vs. maximum of the Ogive function and linear regression. (b) cumulative frequency of occurrence as a function of the flux error. Results correspond to <w'u'> at 41.5 m for the two selected months. 3.2 Turbulent fluxes and stability The total shear stress, τm, can be directly calculated from the alongwind, <w'u'>, and crosswind, <w'v'>, kinematic momentum flux components: τ m = ρ u*2 = ρ ( − w ' u ' ) + (− w 'v ' ) 2 2 1/ 2 , (2) where ρ is the density and u* is the friction velocity. Figure 3: Momentum flux components as a function of wind speed at 41.5 m. (a) Alongwind momentum flux, <w'u'>41.5. Dashed line represents the solution from the logarithmic wind profile equation under neutral conditions. (b) Crosswind WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 135/167 Book of Proceedings momentum flux, <w'v'>41.5. Data is sorted by <w'u'>41.5 < 0 and <w'u'>41.5 > 0. Bin median values and correlation are plotted. A quadratic dependency of <w'u'>41.5 with the wind speed at 41.5 m, U41.5, was found (Fig. 3a). That tendency agrees well with the expression derived from the logarithmic wind profile equation, where the roughness length, z0, is parameterized using Charnock’s equation [24]: z0 = α cu*2/g, being g the acceleration due to gravity and adopting α c = 0.016 [25]. The crosswind component, <w'v'>41.5, remains close to zero, with an almost zero slope. Observations where <w'u'>41.5 > 0 occur mainly for low velocities (U41.5 < 5 ms-1) and seem to be due to the uncertainty in the flux calculation and/or strong swell conditions which could dominate the total shear for light winds where the turbulence contribution to the flux is reduced. Observations where <w'u'>41.5 > 0 are discarded from further calculations, representing 7.34% of the dataset. The Obukhov length, L, can be directly estimated from the turbulent fluxes as: L=− u*3θ , g κ w ' θ 'v (3) where θ'v is the potential temperature, <w'θv'> is the kinematic virtual potential heat flux and κ is the von Kármán constant (= 0.40). The sonic heat flux is used instead of <w'θv'>, which is slightly lower (<w'θv'> -0.1 <w'q'>), and partly includes the contribution of the humidity flux, <w'q'>. The Obukhov length is used to perform a detailed atmospheric stability classification. Different stability classes for the offshore environment are considered according to van Wijk et al. [26], which propose the classification presented in Table 1. The data correspond with the wind sector (240º, 360º), so that the number of occurrences for each stability class collected in Table ¡Error! No se encuentra el origen de la referencia. does not represent the overall conditions prevailing at FINO1. More weight is given to unstable atmospheric stratification due to the fact that air masses advected from the North-West are usually cooler than the sea surface temperature and so convective scenarios would be expected to dominate. Table 1: Stability classification based on the Obukhov length, L. In Fig. ¡Error! No se encuentra el origen de la referencia.a the dimensionless wind speed profiles, U/u*,41.5, corresponding to the predominant conditions on each stability class are plotted. The stability classification method used sorts the profiles satisfactorily, showing an increase in the shear from unstable to stable conditions. Under VS conditions, the boundary layer height is very shallow and geostrophic conditions are reached above ∼180-200 m in some of the cases. For VS and some of the S cases our reference sonic anemometer (41.5 m) is positioned very close to the top of the surface layer. However, the stability classification remains consistent with the expected behaviour of the wind speed profiles, as is shown in Fig. ¡Error! No se encuentra el origen de la referencia.a. In Fig. ¡Error! No se encuentra el origen de la referencia.b the probability distribution on the U-zL-141.5 plane is presented. The competition between mechanical and thermal turbulence is evident. For higher wind speeds, u* dominates and the stability tends to be neutral. Only for lower velocities, with an important contribution of <w'θ'>, the stability/instability starts to dominate. Strong stabilities (both VUN and VS) are not possible to develop for U41.5 > 15 ms-1. We found that this pattern is bounded by WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 136/167 Book of Proceedings symmetric elliptical curves (black solid lines in Fig. ¡Error! No se encuentra el origen de la referencia.b). Figure 4: (a) Dimensionless wind speed profiles, U/u*,41.5, corresponding with the predominant conditions of each stability class. (b) Two dimensional histogram of the U-zL-141.5 plane. Colorbar indicates the number of samples on each 2D bin. Figure 5: WRF domain configuration. The horizontal resolutions of the three domains are 27 km, 9 km and 3 km, from the parent to the innermost domain, respectively. Color bar indicates surface elevation in meters. 4. WRF mesoscale modelling We use the Numerical Weather Prediction model of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in USA (NCAR): Advanced Research WRF (ARW) v3.2, to perform mesoscale simulations of the WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 137/167 Book of Proceedings conditions at the FINO1 platform. The ARW dynamics solver is a conservative finite differences code that integrates the non-hydrostatic compressible Euler equations [27]. Our computational domain is composed of 3 domains centered over the FINO1 platform. The parent domain has a horizontal grid spacing of 27 km and covers an approximate surface of 3300 x 3300 km2, including most of Europe. Grid spacing is refined progressively by a factor of 3 through two nested domains until 3 km resolution is achieved for the inner most domain, which covers approximately 350 x 350 km2 (see Fig. 5). On the vertical coordinate, 60 levels are placed. Grid spacing is of 10-20 m up to 300 m height to accurately resolve the lower part of the boundary layer. Above 300 m, grid spacing is progressively stretched in order to reduce the computational cost. Interactions of the meteorological fields between the domains are accounted for by one-way nesting. The domain configuration is shown in Fig. 5. The time step is consistently reduced from the parent domain to the most inner domain in order to respect numerical stability constraints (the Courant-Friedrichs-Lewy (CFL) number was limited at every time step to CFL<1). Single-Moment 3-class simple ice scheme microphysics [28], rapid radiative transfer in the longwave [29], the Dudhia shortwave scheme [30], NOAH surface scheme [31] and cumulus KainFritsch scheme [32] (not applied into the innermost domain) were used. Horizontal eddy viscosities are calculated using a first-order Smagorinsky closure, based on horizontal deformations. The role of such diffusion is to introduce the effect of large scale two-dimensional turbulence structures present in the atmosphere, while the vertical mixing due to small unresolved scales is accounted for by the PBL scheme. The effect of sub-grid scale turbulent fluxes in the vertical coordinate is accounted for by the solution of the 1D diffusion equation. Five PBL formulations are analyzed; one first order scheme: YSU [33] and four one-and-a-half order schemes: MYJ [34], QNSE [35], MYNN [36, 37] and BouLac [38]. We implemented the explicit calculation of the turbulent fluxes for each of the PBL schemes analyzed. We used a first-order centered finite difference scheme to discretize the vertical gradients, in the same way that the implementation of the diffusion equation is performed in the code. w 'ξ ' i ξ −ξ = −Kξi i +1 i − γ ξi − w ' ξ ' ∆zi 3 zI , h h (4) where ξ is a generic prognostic variable (u, v or θ), ∆z is the distance between two neighboring nodes, Kξ is the eddy diffusivity and h is the PBL height. The subscript i refers to full-levels whereas the subscript I means half-levels in the vertical coordinate. Note that the contribution due to the flux at the inversion layer (second term of the right hand side) and the non-local contribution to the flux, γξi, are only considered in the case of the YSU scheme. For the rest of the schemes, only the local part of the turbulent flux is computed. In addition, we implemented the revised YSU scheme for stable conditions proposed by Hong [39]. This scheme keeps the original K-profile formulation from Hong et al. [33] but changes the definition of the mixied-layer velocity scale (now only dependent on the mechanical forcing) and removes the non-local contribution for stable stabilities. Each PBL scheme is tied to a different surface layer formulation [27], being all based on the application of the Monin-Obukhov similarity theory [40] at the first vertical grid point. A summary of the PBL and surface layer schemes considered on this paper is presented in Table 2. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 138/167 Book of Proceedings Table 2: Summary of the of the five PBL schemes analyzed and their respective surface layer options. The parent domain is initialized and 6-hourly forced at the boundaries by meteorological fields derived from the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis data, CFSR [41], with a horizontal resolution of 0.5º x 0.5º. Sea surface temperatures are updated every 6 h from interpolation of daily reanalysis over a 0.25º x 0.25º grid (AMSR-AVHRR [42]). The first 24 hours are discarded as spin-up time of the model to generate the proper energy content on the mesoscale wavelengths [43]. Grid nudging is applied in the parent domain and is switched off in the boundary layer not to influence the behavior of the PBL schemes. 5. Comparison of simulations and observational data As shown in Section 3, wind speed profiles vary greatly depending on the atmospheric stratification. In order to have statistical representativeness in our analysis, we selected 380 samples (30 min averages) from each stability class and simulated their corresponding periods with WRF. The wind speed is evaluated using 10 min averages for the same periods (1140 samples). Very stable conditions are a challenging scenario for numerical models. They present low turbulence levels where intermittent episodes of relaminarization take place. In addition, extreme events such as low-level jets occur. These aspects are particularly difficult for mesoscale models to handle and thus need a specific analysis. Therefore, we focus on the remaining stability classes ranging from very unstable to stable conditions. 5.1. Surface turbulent fluxes Figure 6 (first column) shows the 2D histograms of u*,s from WRF and u*,41.5 measured at the lowest sonic anemometer at FINO1. The subscript s refers to surface conditions in WRF, i.e., surface fluxes calculated from the surface layer scheme. The first vertical grid point for wind speed is located at z1 ∼ 12 m, but it slightly varies during the simulation time due to the σ-coordinate formulation. WRF predicts systematically higher values of u*,s with respect to the measurements at 41.5 m (Fig. 6, first column). Both u*,s from WRF and u*,41.5 from FINO1 are well correlated for all the PBL schemes (r2 ∼ 0.83-0.86, where r is the linear correlation coefficient between observations and model results). Part of the overestimation of u* by WRF comes from the fact that the top of the surface layer height is dictated by the height of the first grid point, z1 ∼ 12 m, whereas in the atmosphere it varies depending on the stability. Above z1, the PBL formulation controls the turbulent mixing and produces a decrease of the vertical fluxes that vanish at the PBL height. In order to have a fair comparison, u*,41.5 derived from the vertical flux of momentum is presented in Fig. 6 (second column). The mean u* difference with respect to observations was reduced by 0.05 ms-1 for YSU, by 0.03 ms-1 for QNSE and MYNN, and by 0.02 ms-1 for the rest of the schemes when u*,41.5 was used instead of u*,s. It has been shown for an onshore case by Shin2012 that the location of z1 can influence surface properties such as u* and <w'θ'>. In terms of u*, they found little dependency on z1 during daylight hours whereas during nighttime, u* from the TKE schemes decreased and YSU showed an opposite behaviour when z1 was lowered. Since the influence under unstable conditions is negligible, we adopted a value of z1 ∼ 12 m which is a rather good representative of the surface layer height in stable conditions. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 139/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 6 (third column) compares observations of <w'θ'> to WRF results at 41.5 m. The discrepancies between WRF and the sonic heat flux increase with the magnitude of <w'θ'>41.5 for positive values (upward heat flux) for all the PBL schemes. As for u*,s, greater overpredictions were found when <w'θ'>s was considered (not shown). For stable stratifications (negative <w'θ'>41.5), the agreement is better for all the schemes due to the tendency of WRF to neutralize the stable stability for reduced values of <w'θ'>41.5. Another contributing factor to this phenomenon is the reduced magnitude of the heat flux for stable conditions compared to convective stability. Similar results were obtained by Suselj and Sood [10] for a more stable case at FINO1 using a MYJ-type of PBL scheme with a modified length scale. Also, Peña and Hahmann [47] obtained equivalent results using the YSU scheme for another location in the North Sea, when comparing to a sonic anemometer at 50 m above mean sea level. Two recently published articles highlight the problem of the overprediction of the surface heat flux magnitude by the WRF model also over land [46, 48]. They both observed the same effect that we WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 140/167 Book of Proceedings are reporting on <w'θ'>, using measurements at 10 m and 5.37 m above ground surface, respectively. Figure 6: Two-dimensional histograms of : u*,41.5 at FINO1 with u*,s WRF (first column), u*,41.5 at FINO1 with u*,41.5 WRF (second column), <w'θ'>41.5 at FINO1 with <w'θ'>41.5 WRF (third column) and L41.5-1 at FINO1 with L41.5-1 WRF (fourth column). Colorbar indicates the number of samples on each 2D bin. The scale of the figures in the first three columns (fourth column) is shown on the left (right) colorbar. The PBL scheme is pointed out on top of every figure. In our measurements, the uncertainty on the calculation of the heat flux is about 15% (sonic anemometer of the type SOLENT 1210R3-50 [49]), which cannot be the only factor contributing to the mismatching of the results. Moreover, the use of sonic heat flux instead of sensible heat flux for the measurements tends to reduce/increase the values of <w'θ'>41.5 during stable/convective conditions, WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 141/167 Book of Proceedings which effect is to diminish the differences with respect to the WRF results depending on the magnitude of the humidity flux. Obukhov length results are compared in Fig. 6 (fourth column). Under unstable atmospheric stratification (L-1 < 0), the overestimation of both momentum and heat fluxes by the numerical model has opposite effects on L41.5-1. Simulated values of u*,41.5 tend to reduce the magnitude of L41.5-1 whereas <w'θ'>41.5 contributes to enhance it. This competition between u*,41.5 and <w'θ'>41.5 results in an underestimation of L41.5-1 by all of the PBL schemes, due to the overprediction of <w'θ'>41.5. For near-neutral conditions, the predicted heat flux is positive most of the time (Fig. 6, third column), producing negative values of L41.5-1. In the case of stable stability (L-1 > 0), the overestimation of <w'θ'>41.5 by WRF is much lower, since it depends on the magnitude of the heat flux. This gives more weight to u*,41.5 and thus, L41.5-1 is underpredicted. This effect is more pronounced for MYJ and BouLac. However, QNSE, MYNN and YSU agree better with the observations. There is a cold bias of 1-1.5 K for the range of observed temperatures between FINO1 measurements and WRF results at 41.5 m. Since it has a maximum contribution to L41.5-1 of 0.0037%, the influence of the θ41.5 bias is negligible. In general, we found that WRF forecasts more moderated stable stratifications compared to measurements whereas a reinforcement of the instability for neutral and convective regimes is predicted. The above described effects displace the probability density function of L41.5-1 from positive towards negative values. 5.2 Vertical shear and profile fluxes Sonic anemometer data are used for the lowest three levels of comparison (41.5, 61.5 and 81.5 m) in terms of wind speed and momentum fluxes, while the rest of the wind speed profile up to 251.5 m is covered by the wind LiDAR. In order to analyze the vertical change of wind speed, the results for the mean wind speed shear, ∂U/∂z, are collected in Fig. 7 (left column) for each of the stability classes under consideration. Table 3: Root-mean-square errors for wind speed difference, ∆U [ms -1], and wind speed U [ms-1]. Subscript indicates the height and p stands for profile average (using 9 heights: [61.5:20:201.5, 251.5] m). Results are presented for each PBL scheme and grouped by stability class. The two PBL schemes with best skills for ∆Up [ms -1] are emphasized in bold whereas the worst one is underlined. The calculation of statistics is based on 1140 samples (10 min averages) for each stability class. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 142/167 Book of Proceedings Figure 7: Mean profiles of wind shear, ∂U/∂z (left column), total shear stress, τ m (middle column) and vertical momentum diffusivity, KM (right column).The stability class is shown on the top of every figure. Dashed line is a linear interpolation between sonic and LiDAR wind shear measurements. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 143/167 Book of Proceedings For stable conditions (Fig. 7a), QNSE outperforms the other schemes but the shear is underestimated below 100 m. YSU, MYNN and MYJ produce a more moderated shear whereas BouLac shows a similar shear distribution to the expected for neutral or even unstable conditions. In order to quantify the differences with respect to the FINO1 field observations, the root-mean-square error (RMSE) at four heights and the average of the entire profile (9 heights from 61.5 to 251.5 m) are collected in Table ¡Error! No se encuentra el origen de la referencia. for each stability class (hereafter RMSE is also referred simply as error). Instead of directly using the wind shear, ∂U/∂z, we calculated an equivalent magnitude, the wind speed difference, ∆U=U(z)-U41.5, which represents the variation of the wind speed with height. We consider this magnitude more convenient since it is expressed in ms-1 and an interpretation of the results can be easily performed. The previous comments are confirmed in Table 3. QNSE and YSU have the lowests ∆Up (0.985 and 0.987 ms-1, respectively), closely followed by MYNN. Further insight into the behaviour of PBL schemes can be achieved by examination of the shear stress profiles. For stable conditions (Fig. 7b), there is an overestimation of measured total shear stress, τm , which is maximum for BouLac. This is a consequence of a high level of eddy diffusivity, Km (Fig. 7c). The BouLac scheme produces the largest level of Km, which yields to a high level of shear stress. This induces an enhancement of the turbulent mixing in the lower part of the boundary layer and thus, the suppression of the wind speed shear. This problem of the BouLac scheme seems to be partly due to the formulation of Km which uses a constant value (=0.4) for the stability-dependent term, φ (Km = φ⋅l⋅q0.5, being l the turbulent length scale and q the turbulent kinetic energy). This lack of a link with stability makes it fail under stable conditions. Storm and Basu [8] pointed out that YSU provides enhanced diffusion during stably stratified conditions. Similar behavior was found for YSU in another onshore study carried out by Draxl, forecasting neutral conditions most of the time independent from the observed atmospheric stability. In our case, we obtained low levels of mixing and shear distributions that are more similar to observations thanks to the special treatment of stable diffusion that we use [39], compared to previous results using the original version of the YSU scheme [8, 9]. Under near-neutral conditions all the schemes satisfactorily reproduce the wind shear pattern except for BouLac (Figs. 7d-f). The profiles of Km show a strong mixing of BouLac (also the lowest rate of wind shear) while MYNN has the highest mixing among the others. From these results we would expect MYNN to be the second most diffusive scheme. However, the wind speed shear depends also on the level of total shear stress, τm, as it can be seen from Eq. ¡Error! No se encuentra el origen de la referencia., and consequently, both parameters need to be analyzed simultaneously. MYNN and QNSE have the lowest errors under near-neutral stratification (∼0.53 ms-1) with YSU also providing satisfactory results (0.55 ms-1). To have an overall view of the performance of the different PBL parameterizations, the RMSE of the mean wind speed profile, Up, has been also included in Table 3. In this case, BouLac has the smallest Up, 2.05 ms-1, and the highest ∆Up, 0.77 ms-1. This evidences the fact that Up can hide the error on the wind speed shear when the WRF-PBL profile crosses the FINO1 measured profile, which may account for the bias between simulated profiles and observations. Nonetheless, Up is a good complementary metric in order to determine the ability of the model to follow observations. A general good agreement is found for the unstable regime (Fig. 7g). Despite the fact that the PBL schemes’ total stress is higher than the sonic measurements, the predicted wind shear is slightly higher than the FINO1 observations. Similar distributions of Km are obtained (Fig. 7i), which explains the overlapping of the different schemes in terms of wind speed shear. For convective scenarios, BouLac minimizes the error (0.31 ms-1). We attributed this improvement to the fact that the constant used for the stability-dependent term in Km seems to be more suited for convective regimes. MYNN has a similar performance to BouLac, with a ∆Up of 0.32 ms-1. The worst results are obtained with MYJ. Under very unstable conditions the wind shear is extremely low. All the PBL schemes have more pronounced gradients below 100 m, as it can be seen from Fig. 7j. In relation to the total shear WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 144/167 Book of Proceedings stresses, FINO1 results reveal a quasi-uniform τm. This is a signature of the presence of the surface layer, where the fluxes are expected not to vary with height. However, τm from the PBL schemes decreases with height, as it occurs above the surface layer until the boundary layer height is reached. This is a consequence of the physical model applied in mesoscale and generally in numerical models. Forcing conditions in terms of fluxes of heat and momentum are imposed at the lowest level, which are based on the Monin-Obukhov similarity theory. Hence, the top of the surface layer is forced to be at the height of the first vertical grid point, while above, the PBL schemes provide the turbulent mixing by distributing fluxes that linearly decrease with height. However, the surface layer extension can be about 100 m in the case of a strong convective forcing. This issue would explain the lower wind shear observed at FINO1, even if the rate of mixing decrease obtained by the PBL schemes is much reduced than for any other stability regime. This effect has more importance for very unstable conditions, where the surface layer is thicker. The shape of the τm profile of YSU (Fig. 7k) is due to the non-local contribution (Eq. ¡Error! No se encuentra el origen de la referencia.), which becomes more important for strongly convective conditions and produces a very uniform wind speed profile above 100-120 m. MYNN provides the lowest error (0.22 ms-2), YSU and BouLac showing similar results. From the momentum diffusivity profiles presented in Fig. 7l, a more irregular Km profile is observed for MYJ. Such irregular Km profile originates from a numerical instability which arises for extremely convective regimes. Numerical instabilities of the MYJ scheme have already been observed by Pagowski\s\do5(2)004 in simplified one-dimensional studies of convective conditions. In our computations, this instability causes sudden drops to the minimum allowed threshold for TKE in the MYJ scheme (0.1 m2s-2) and consequently, in the turbulent length scale. The eddy diffusivity drops and the shear stress gives extremely low values. This instability is difficult to see directly from the wind speed, however, it can be observed in the wind speed shear (irregular profile in the upper part, Fig. 7j). The effect of the numerical instability is partly hidden when mean profiles are considered and mostly affects the turbulent kinetic energy and eddy diffusivities. We tried to stabilize the computations by reducing the time-step to extremely low values and to initialize MYJ with results from other schemes but the numerical instability developed in any case. MYJ results presented in Sec. 5.1. where the instability showed up were not included. 6 Conclusions In the present paper, the ability of five vertical turbulent flux parameterizations in the Advanced Research WRF (ARW) v3.2: YSU, MYJ, QNSE, MYNN and BouLac, to account for the effects of atmospheric stratification has been thoroughly evaluated at the offshore platform FINO1 for wind energy purposes. Mesoscale simulations were performed using three nested domains and fine vertical resolution in the lowest part of the boundary layer (∆z ∼ 10-20 m below 300 m). A comprehensive validation based on turbulent fluxes, surface stability and wind profiles (up to 251.5 m) was carried out. A spectral analysis of high frequency sonic anemometer measurements in terms of the Ogive function revealed that 30 min is an appropriate averaging time, taver, to compute turbulent fluxes of heat and momentum at FINO1. Larger intervals increase the risk of including non-steady effects without reducing the errors and shorter intervals produce a dramatic increase of the error since they do not properly account for low frequency structures, especially during convective stabilities. Turbulent fluxes of momentum and heat allowed a detailed classification of stability based on the Obukhov length. Surface friction velocity, u*s, is overpredicted by all the PBL schemes when the surface layer bottom boundary condition is considered (z1 ∼ 12 m). The bias is nearly constant for the whole range of u*s and the correlation is good for the five PBL schemes (r2 ∼ 0.83-0.86). The error is reduced by 0.020.05 ms-1 when u*41.5 is computed from the PBL momentum fluxes. This effect is due to the fact that the FINO1 measurements are at 41.5 m and a decrease of the vertical flux is expected with height. Regarding the sensible heat flux, the differences with respect to the FINO1 measurements grow with the magnitude of <w'θ'>41.5. Under stable conditions there is a better agreement with the observations. In general, we found that WRF-PBL schemes tend to forecast more moderated stable stratifications WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 145/167 Book of Proceedings compared to measurements and a reinforcement of the instability under neutral and convective regimes. However, QNSE, MYNN and YSU improve the stability prediction for stable conditions. Stable conditions are the most complicated scenario for the PBL schemes to reproduce due to their overdiffusive formulations. QNSE handles stable forcings better since it was developed for stable stratification [51]. YSU with a revised stable PBL parameterizarion [39] provides also good results, considerably improving the original performance of the scheme (not shown). More difficulties are found in this regime for BouLac, even though this is also a TKE based scheme. We partly attribute this issue to the use of a constant stability-dependent coefficient in the formulation of the eddy diffusivity. For near neutral conditions the observed shear pattern is well reproduced by all the schemes with the exception again of BouLac (highest Km and τm profile distributions). Under very unstable conditions, the almost uniform wind speed profile proves difficult to reproduce by any of the formulations. In these conditions, MYNN and YSU provide the best agreement, the latter due to its non-local formulation. Differences below 100 m are partially due to the height of the surface layer in the simulations, imposed by the first vertical grid point. Turbulent fluxes start to decrease from the second vertical grid point, allowing wind speed gradients to appear. However, the uniform τm profile observed at FINO1 (41.581.5 m) produces a uniform wind speed profile. We have observed that the MYJ scheme develops a numerical instability when strongly convective scenarios take place. Based on all of the validation results and analysis, we found that MYNN provides the best results among the PBL schemes evaluated here for the four different stability classes considered at the FINO1 offshore platform. As a final remark, we want to emphasize the importance of a correct PBL formulation in order for mesoscale models to be meaningful for the wind energy community. Even if the same formulation for the surface layer could not be used, its influence was found to be minor. This can be clearly seen form the results of MYJ and BouLac, for which a common surface layer formulation was used. As it has been demonstrated here, stability effects are particularly important and cannot be properly evaluated if measurements from a single height are considered. Profile measurements encompassing the rotor swept area of operating wind turbines are a must, together with multi-height turbulent flux measurements to adequately evaluate PBL formulations. Acknowledgements DME wants to acknowledge the support from the Marie Curie FP7-ITN-WAUDIT Project # 238576 and from the Deutsches-Windenergie Institute during his research stay at DEWI Wilhelmshaven. The FINO1 platform is one of three offshore platforms of the FINO Project, funded by the Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU). The authors thank Cian Desmond and Richard Foreman for the advice with the English language. 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(+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 148/167 Book of Proceedings [46] Shin H. H. and S. Y. Hong, “Impacts of the lowest model level height on the performance of planetary boundary layer parameterizations,” Mon. Weather Rev. 140, 664 (2012). [47] Peña A. and A. Hahmann, “Atmospheric stability and turbulence fluxes at Horns Rev—An intercomparison of sonic, bulk and WRF model data,” Wind Energy 15, 717 (2011). [48] Steeneveld G. J., L. F. Tolk, A. F. Moene, O. K. Hartogenesis, W. Peters, and A. A. M. Holtslag, “Confronting the WRF and RAMS mesoscale models with innovative observations in the Netherlands: Evaluating the boundary layer heat buget,” J. Geophys. Res. 116, D23114, doi:10.1029/2011JD016303 (2011). [49] Mauder M., C. Libethal, M. Gckede, J. P. Leps, F. Beyrich, and T. Foken, “Processing and quality control of flux data during LITFASS-2003,” Boundary-Layer Meteorol. 121, 67 (2006). [50] Pagowski M., “Some comments on PBL parameterizations in WRF,” in Joint WRF-MM5 Users Workshop, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, 2004. [51] Sukoriansky S., B. Galperin, and I. Staroselsky, “A quasinormal scale elimination model of turbulent flows with stable stratification,” Phys. Fluids 17, 085107 (2005). WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 149/167 Book of Proceedings Wind-Farm Parametrisations in Mesoscale Models P.J.H. Volker a,1, J. Badgera, A.N. Hahmanna and K.S. Hansena a DTU Wind Energy, Roskilde, Denmark Germany Presented at the International Conference on Aerodynamics of Offshore Wind Energy Systems and Wakes ICOWES 2013, Copenhaguen, Denmark, June 2013. Abstract In this paper we compare three wind-farm parametrisations for mesoscale models against measurement data from the Horns Rev I offshore wind-farm. The parametrisations vary from a simple rotor drag method, to more sophisticated models. Additional to Volker [5] we investigated the horizontal resolution dependency of the considered approaches. 1. Introduction The offshore wind-farm technology has matured significantly in the past decade. The current largest installed wind farm, the London array phase I, with a nominal capacity of 630MW, is almost four times larger than the Horns Rev I (160MW) wind farm, which began to operate in 2005. The North Sea area, which is at the moment the most lucrative region for offshore wind farms, is however limited. Therefore it will become increasingly important to study the effect of large wind farms on the atmosphere from an economical (wind farm efficiency, wind farm interaction), as well as from an ecological point of view. We use in this study the mesoscale model for it’s ability to take atmospheric conditions into account, which can influence the wake extension. Its drawback is the lack in resolution compared to Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) models, implying that it is not possible to simulate single turbine wakes. Instead a wind farm parametrisation should model the average effects of wind turbines inside a mesoscale grid cell. Three wind farm schemes will be analysed. The first approach, hereafter ROTOR-DRAG, adds only a drag force to the flow, which is proportional to the turbine blade area intersection with the model grid level. The second parametrisation, hereafter referred to as WRF-WF, is included in the Weather Research and Forecast Model (WRF) [4], a publicly available open source model written in Fortran. It applies a drag and a Turbulence Kinetic Energy (TKE) source term to the flow at each rotor intersecting vertical grid level. The third wind farm scheme, Explicit Wake Parametrisation (EWP) [5], has been developed at the DTU Wind Energy Department. Similarly to the other approaches, in the EWP approach also a drag force is added to the momentum budget. However, it accounts for the unresolved wake expansion. Here we assume that the unresolved wake expansion can be described by a turbulence diffusion process [6]. The parametrisation has been implemented in the WRF model. In a previous study [5] we analysed the WRF-WF and EWP approach against long term measurements from the offshore wind farm Horns Rev I. We found that the additional TKE in the WRF-WF approach caused an intensive mixing zone, leading to a too fast velocity deficit recovery close to the wind farm. Furthermore, the scheme was found to be vertical resolution dependent, 1 Corresponding author: Patrick J. H. Volker DTU Wind Energy, Technical University of Denmark, Department of Wind Energy, DTU Risø Campus, Frederiksborgvej 399, Building 115, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark: Tel.: + 45 46775066, e-mail: [email protected] WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 150/167 Book of Proceedings consequently the energy extracted from the flow will vary with vertical resolution. In this article we extend the previous study by analysing the horizontal dependence of both parametrisations. This is done by simulating the same wind farm size with a 1.12 km, 1.68km and 2.24km horizontal resolution. We verify the wind farm parametrisations against long term in-situ measurements from the Horns Rev I wind farm. The mesoscale model was run in the idealised case mode with 40 vertical layers. The vertical resolution was in the planetary boundary layer (PBL) in the order of 10m (the five lowest mass points were on 10, 30, 50 ,71 and 92 meters respectively). 2. Mesoscale Model Mesoscale models are designed to forecast weather phenomena with typical length scales down to around 10 km. Therefore, to limit computational costs, a relatively coarse horizontal resolution in the order of kilometres is required. The model’s vertical resolution is in the Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) typically in the order of decametres to allow the vertical temperature and moisture structure to be resolved sufficiently. Mesoscale models are intended to resolve, similarly to Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models, only the mean flow, whereas the turbulence part of the spectrum is completely modelled. The basic assumption is that there is a the scale separation between the resolved mesoscale processes and the unresolved turbulent ones, since no explicit filtering is applied. This means that the solution will not converge to the expected value with horizontal grid refinement, since from a certain horizontal resolution onwards, double counting will take place. Mesoscale models are generally non hydrostatic and fully compressible. This means that they contain a prognostic equation for each of the three wind velocity components and a complete continuity equation. Furthermore, they contain a prognostic equation for the temperature as well as for all moisture components. Finally, the pressure is obtained via the equation of state. The time step used in the prognostic equations is determined by the Courant number, which is a function of the advection velocity and the horizontal grid size. The lower boundary values are, over land, provided by soil (diffusion) models and over water they are generally obtained from reanalysis data. 2.1 Parametrisation of Wind Turbines All unresolved processes need to be parametrised. Examples are local and non-local (convection) turbulent transport, turbulent surface fluxes, moisture phase changes and radiation. Since D0 << x, where D0 is the wind turbine diameter and x the horizontal grid spacing, the effect of wind turbines is also unresolved. On the other hand, since D0 > z, where z is the vertical grid spacing, the vertical turbine-induced wake structure can be described. Due to the coarse horizontal resolution we will typically find several turbines in one mesoscale grid cell. It is therefore not possible to resolve single turbine wakes and hence the interaction between single turbines is not accounted for in the model. Instead the parametrisation should apply a grid cell averaged deceleration, accounting for the average impact of all the grid cells containing turbines. After that point, the mesoscale model is intended to simulate the wind farm wake. We aim of describing the grid cell average deceleration as accurately as possible, since the wake expansion within a mesoscale grid-cell is expected to be considerable. The energy extracted from a single turbine can be modelled by adding an additional force in the opposite flow direction to the velocity balance equation. For a compressible fluid, neglecting viscous effects, the most general form of the RANS equation reads ∂U i ∂U i ∂ui u j +Uj + = Fi . ∂t ∂x j ∂x j (1) Here, we use capital letters for mean quantities and lower-case letters for the fluctuations. The index i represents the x; y and z direction. All the forcing contributions are incorporated in the force (per mass) term Fi on the right hand side, such as the pressure gradient force or Coriolis force. Also the turbine induced drag force, FDi , is part of the forcing term Fi. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 151/167 Book of Proceedings 2.2. Rotor Drag In this approach, a drag force is applied to the horizontal components of Eq. (1) at every turbine blade intersecting model level k. The additional thrust force in the horizontal direction i reads FDi ( k ) = CT N A( k ) Ui ( k ) U (k ) 2 ( ∆ x ) ∆ z (k ) 2 , (2) where CT is the thrust coefficient, N the number of turbines per grid cell, Ak the turbine blade area intersecting with model level k and Ui(k) the horizontal wind velocity component in the direction i = x; y. The absolute horizontal velocity at level k is U ( k ) = U (k )2 + V (k )2 , where U(k) and V(k) are the horizontal velocity components in the x and y direction, respectively. ∆x and ∆zk denote the horizontal and vertical grid spacing at level k. In this way the sub-grid velocity deficit expansion in the vertical direction is neglected, since the vertical velocity deficit is restricted to the turbine blade extension. 2.3. WRF-WF The WRF-WF scheme is from version 3.2.1 included in the WRF model. This parametrisation applies the drag force from Eq. (2), as well as an additional source term of TKE, to the flow. The total TKE applied to the model level k reads ui fDi = Ce N ∑ k A(k ) U ( k ) 2 ( ∆x ) ∆z (k ) 2 3 . (3) Here we used Ce for the factor of proportionality, which is equal to CT - Cp, where CP is the power coefficient. The additional TKE will lead to an increased turbulence (diffusion) coefficient for momentum K m = q l S( m ) , where q = 2TKE is the turbulence velocity, l the turbulence length scale and S(m) a stability correction for momentum. In this way the vertical sub-grid-scale wake expansion is obtained implicitly. 2.4. Explicit Wake Parametrisation In the Explicit Wake Parametrisation (EWP) [5], it has been assumed that the directed turbine-bladeinduced turbulence is small compared to the shear production in the wake flow. The downstream subgrid scale velocity deficit development is described explicitly by a turbulence diffusion process. The velocity deficit is assumed to be approximately Gaussian shaped and it is described by a characteristic length and velocity scale. From a one dimensional diffusion equation we obtain the characteristic length scale, 2K m U0 σ2 = 2 x +σ0 , (4) where σ0 is the initial length scale and U0 the hub height velocity. The one dimensional diffusion has a Gaussian distribution as analytical solution. If this is used, we obtain for the velocity deficit ∆U ( z) = Us 1 z− h − 2 l e 2 = U s f (z,σ ), consequently U = U0 − Us f ( z,σ ) , (5) where h is the turbine hub height and Us the maximum velocity deficit. The function f(z, σ) ≡ f expresses the velocity deficit distribution. The maximum velocity deficit Us can be obtained from the total thrust equation. This gives 1 ρCT π R02U02 = ρ ∫ dy 2 ∆y WAUDIT Contract# 238576 zmax ∫ U 0 (U0 − U ) dz , (6) 0 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 152/167 Book of Proceedings where ρ is the atmospheric density, R0 the turbine blade radius, y the horizontal direction perpendicular to the flow and ∆y the model grid spacing in the y direction. Combining Eq. (5) and Eq. (6), integrating over the domain height zmax gives for the maximum velocity deficit Us = π CT R02U0 . 2 ∆y σ (7) Where σ is the grid-cell averaged length scale. Eq. (7), the right hand side of Eq. (6) and Eq. (5) describe the velocity deficit completely. 3. Measurement Data For the model evaluation we used the measurements from the Horns Rev I wind farm, see Fig. ??. The Horns Rev I wind farm consists of 80 2MW wind turbines, each with a blade diameter of 80m and a hub at 70m above sea level. The turbines are arranged in 10 columns from East to West and 8 rows from South to North. The turbine spacing is 560m in the West to East direction. Two masts are installed to the East of the wind farm. The masts M6 and M7 are located 2000m and 6000m downstream, see Fig.1. The masts contain cup anemometers at 70m height A full description of the wind farm layout is given in [1]. For the model validation only measurements from the year 2005 to 2009 under neutral atmospheric conditions have been selected. The wind direction interval is from 255º ≤ θ ≤ 285º and the wind speed interval from 7.5ms-1 to 8.5ms-1. The Northerly wind direction is defined to be at 0º and the rotation is in the clockwise direction. The neutral conditions are defined for Monin-Obukhov lengths |L| > 500 m. Figure 1: Location of the Horns Rev I wind farm and the meteorological masts. 4. Model Set-Up We used the WRF model in idealised case mode with open boundaries and no surface heat fluxes. The model is initialised with a constant Geostrophic wind, which converges to U = 7.97ms-1 and V = 0.09ms-1 (θ = 269.4º) at hub-height. In this model configuration the Coriolis force acts on the velocity perturbation from the initial condition. The dry atmosphere converges to a neutral temperature profile with an inversion height at around 700 m. The cloud micro-physics, as well as the convection scheme, were turned off. For all simulations the MYNN (1.5) PBL turbulence diffusion scheme [3] has been used as required by the WRF-WF parametrisation. The model was set-up with 80 x 30 grid cells in the WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 153/167 Book of Proceedings horizontal direction. In the vertical direction we used 40 layers. The lowest layers were at 10, 30, 50, 71 and 92m respectively. To study the horizontal dependence of the three wind farm parametrisations, we ran the WRF model with a 1120m (R1120), 1680m (R1680) and 2240m (R2240) horizontal grid spacing, respectively. The model set-up is summarised in Table 1. Table 1: WRFV3.4 simulation set up In the evaluation the velocities from a single model simulation are evaluated, against the wind direction averaged wind speed of the met masts. 4.1. Wind-Farm Layout The wind farm’s layout for the three simulations is depicted in Fig. 2. The number of turbines for all simulations is equal to 80, distributed in 8 rows and 10 columns. The number of turbine-containing grid-cells is 20, 12 and 6, for the R1120, R1680 and R2240 simulation, respectively. Figure 2: In this figure the different wind farm layouts are plotted. From the left side to the right side we plotted the wind farm layout for the R1120, R1680 and R2240 simulation. We use the dotted lines for the grid cells with an unchanged turbine density. The turbine density per grid-cell is constant in the R1120 simulation. However, it is not constant for the R1680 and R2240 simulations. 4.2. Wind-Farm Scheme Adjustments WRF-WF scheme The WRF-WF scheme uses by default an empirical power curve for obtaining the power coefficient CP. The thrust coefficient is afterwards derived by the empirical relationship CT = min(7Cp/4; 0.9). To guarantee a scheme independent thrust, we use the thrust coefficient from the Vestas V80 thrust curve as in the EWP scheme. Thereafter, the inverse relationship from above is applied to obtain the power coefficient, Cp = CT/1.75. In this way the ratio between the thrust and power coefficient remains unchanged in the WRF-WF parametrisation. EWP scheme The initial length scale has been set to l0 = 1.5R0. Here we included viscous effects and vertical meandering to the inviscid fluid solution l0 = R0. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 154/167 Book of Proceedings 5. Wind Farm Evaluation In Sect. 5.1 we evaluate the model hub-height velocity field for the different approaches and horizontal resolutions, against the wind direction averaged velocities obtained from cup anemometers mounted at 70 m. In Sect. 5.2 we analyse quantitatively the horizontal resolution dependence of the modelled wind farm wake velocity field. In this study we use the near and far wind farm wake for a 10% and 5% velocity reduction, respectively. This definition was made for terminology convenience only. Figure 3: Normalised velocity recovery plot for the ROTOR-DRAG, WRF-WF and EWP scheme. The mast measurements are represented by the diamonds. a) ROTOR-DRAG, b) WRF-WF and c) EWP approach. The error bars represent the standard deviation σ of the measurements. 5.1. Near Wind-Farm Wake In Fig. 3 we show the normalised hub-height velocity for the three approaches. We use Uh for the downstream grid cell averaged hub height velocity and U0h for the wind farm upstream velocity at hub height. The model upstream velocity is obtained from the reference run without wind farm, whereas the measured up-stream velocity is from the upstream reference turbine. The bars indicate the wind speed standard deviations. The normalised velocity within the wind farm has been obtained by WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 155/167 Book of Proceedings averaging over all turbine containing grid-cells in the cross-stream direction, i.e. for the R1120, R1680 and R2240 simulation we averaged over 4, 3 and 2 rows respectively (Fig. 4). Figure 4 shows the normalised velocity field for the ROTOR-DRAG, WRF-WF and the EWP approach. From Fig. 4a we find that in the wind farm wake, the modelled normalised velocity has a low bias compared to the longterm averaged measurements, when a drag source is applied. Furthermore, we find a horizontal gridsize dependence. The hub-height velocity fields for the R1680 and R2240 simulations are similar. Whereas the velocity field for the higher resolution run shows a slightly lower normalised velocity field at the end of the wind farm, at a distance of around 5000m and a higher normalised velocity in the near wind farm wake. The maximum difference in normalised velocity is 3% at the end of the wind farm, at mast 7 the difference between the simulations is reduced to less than 1%. From Fig. 4b, we find that for the WRF-WF approach the simulated normalised velocity at hub-height has a positive bias, compared to the measurements. We notice also that the velocity field is less sensitive to a variation in horizontal resolution. Similarly to the ROTOR-DRAG approach, the velocity fields for the lower resolution runs are almost identical within the wind farm and in the near wake. The velocity field with the higher horizontal resolution is again slightly lower within the wind farm and slightly higher closely after mast M6. The differences are always less than 1%. Figure 4c shows for the EWP approach a higher modelled normalised velocity at mast M6 and a slightly lower one at mast M7. Regarding the horizontal resolution dependence we find within the wind farm that the velocity deficit increases with in increase in the resolution. Between M6 and M7 the velocity fields become horizontal resolution independent. The difference in normalised velocity between the R1120 and R2240 simulation is slightly higher at the end of the wind farm. Figure 4: Velocity deficit recovery plot for the ROTOR-DRAG approach. For the R1120, R1680 and R2240 simulation respectively. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 156/167 Book of Proceedings 5.2. Wind-Farm Wake In Fig. 3a, Fig. 3b and Fig. 3c, we plotted the normalised velocities at hub-height for the ROTORDRAG, WRF-WF and EWP approaches, respectively. The velocity from the wind farm simulation is again normalised by the velocity from the reference simulation. We show always from the top to the bottom panel, the results from the R1120, R1680 and R2240 simulations. 5.3. ROTOR-DRAG Approach From Fig. 4 we find that the near wake extends to around 7km downstream in all simulations. The far wind farm wake extension becomes resolution dependent. This results from the decreasing wake width in the cross-wind direction, which can not be resolved anymore with a lower model resolution. WRF-WF Scheme In Fig. 5, where the normalised velocity for the WRF-WF has been plotted, we see that the near wake velocity reduction varies almost 40% (around 1.7km in the R1680 run and around 2.8km in the R2240 simulation). Although the maximum velocity reduction in the WRF-WF approach is around 15%, which is around 10% less than with the ROTORDRAG approach, we find that the wind farm induced wake extends further downstream for the WRF-WF approach. This implies that the velocity restoring mechanisms differ for both approaches. Similarly to the results from the ROTOR-DRAG approach we find that the wake width in the far wake is not resolved anymore in the lower resolution simulations. Figure 5: Identical to Fig. 4, this time for the WRF-WF approach. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 157/167 Book of Proceedings EWP Scheme We find from Fig. 6 that the near wake extension varies by circa 6%, between the R1120 and R2240 simulation (around 8.0km in the R1120 compared to 7.5,km in the R2240). The contour lines for a 2% velocity reduction are almost identical to those one of the WRF-WF scheme. The wake orientation differs however, see [5]. Figure 6: Identical to Fig. 4, this time for the EWP scheme. 6. Discussion & Conclusion We analyse three wind farm approaches (ROTOR-DRAG, WRF-WF and EWP) against long term averaged measurements from Horns Rev I. For the near wind farm wake, Fig. 3, we found that compared to mast measurements the velocity reduction was overestimated in the ROTOR-DRAG approach and underestimated in the WRF-WF approach. For the EWP approach we found an underestimation of the velocity reduction at mast M6, 2000m downstream from the wind farm and a slightly overestimated velocity reduction at mast M7, 6000m downstream. Furthermore, we found that the ROTOR-DRAG approach was the most sensitive to the horizontal resolution variation within the wind farm. The near wake extension was however almost horizontal resolution independent. The EWP scheme is shown to be sensitive to a horizontal resolution variation within the wind farm (1% difference). In the wind farm wake, between M6 and M7, the normalised velocity converged. The near wake extension varied around 6% between the R1120 and R2240 simulation. The horizontal resolution sensitivity within the wind farm was the smallest for the WRF-WF. However, the near wind farm wake extension differed by around 40% between the WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 158/167 Book of Proceedings R1680 and R2240 simulation. Regarding the far wake extension, we found that the wake width in the horizontal cross-stream direction becomes too small to be resolved with a decreasing horizontal resolution. This leads to a reduced wind farm wake extension in the R2240 simulation for all the schemes. Acknowledgements Research has been funded in by the FP7-WAUDIT project, no 238576, and the EERA-DTOC FP7ENERGY-2011-1/no 282797, and we would like to acknowledge Vattenfall AB and DONG Energy A/S for using data from the Horns Rev offshore wind-farm. References [1] Hansen, K. S. Presentation of Horns Rev offshore wind farm and the Vestas V80 Wind turbine. Report: Eera-Dtoc, 2012. [2] Tennekes, H., and Lumley J. L.. A First Course in Turbulence. The MIT Pess, 1972. [3] Nakanishi, M., and Niino, H.. Development of an improved turbulence closure model for the atmospheric boundary layer. J of the meteorol Soc of Jpn, 87:895-912, 2009. [4] Skamarock, W., Klemp J., Dudhia J., Gill, D., Barker, D., Duda M., Huang X., Wang W., and Powers, J,. A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 3. NCAR Technical note, 2008. [5] Volker, P. J., Badger, J., Hahmann, A. N., Ott, S. Implementation and evaluation of a wind farm parametrisation in a mesoscale model. Sumitted, 2013. [6] Wyngaard, J. C. Atmosheric Turbulence. Cambridge Press, 2010. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 159/167 Book of Proceedings Other publications from the WAUDIT network Journal papers [1] Badger J, Volker PJH, Prospathospoulos J, Sieros G, Ott S, Rethoré P-E, Hahmann AN, Hasager C (2013) Wake modelling combining mesoscale and microscale models. Submitted to Renewable Energy. [2] Borden Z, Koblitz T, Meiburg E (2012) Turbulent mixing and wave radiation in non-Boussinesq internal bores. Physics of Fluids 24(8): 82-106. [3] Chávez R, Lozano S, Correia P, Sanz Rodrigo J, Probst O (2013) On the application of the Principal Component Analysis for an efficient climate downscaling of surface wind fields. Energy Procedia 40: 67-76. [4] Conan B, van Beeck J, Aubrun S (2012) Sand Erosion Technique Applied to Wind Resource Assessment. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics 104: 322-329. [5] Desmond C, Watson S (2012) A study of stability effects in forested terrain. Journal of Physics: Conference Series and Proceedings of The Science of Making Torque from Wind 2012, Oldenburg, 9-11 October 2012. In press for Journal of Physics [6] Desmond C, Watson S, Aubrun S, Avila S, Hancock P, Sayer A (2013) A study on the inclusion of forest canopy morphology data in numerical simulations for the purpose of wind resource assessment. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, Under review. [7] Duraisamy JV, Dupont E, Carissimo B (2012) Downscaling wind energy resource from mesoscale to microscale model and data assimilating field measurements. Journal of Physics: Conference Series and Proceedings of The Science of Making Torque from Wind 2012, Oldenburg, Germany, October 9-11. Accepted for publication. [8] Fitton G, Tchiguirinskaia I, Schertzer D, Lovejoy S (2011a) Scaling Of Turbulence In The Atmospheric Surface-Layer: Which Anisotropy? Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 318(7), 072008. doi:10.1088/1742-6596/318/7/072008. [9] Koblitz T, Bechmann A, Sogachev A, Sørensen N, Réthoré P-E (2013) CFD model of stratified atmospheric boundary-layer flow. Wind Energy, accepted for publication. [10] Muñoz-Esparza D, Canadillas B, Neumann T, van Beeck J (2012) Turbulent fluxes, stability and shear in the offshore environment: Mesoscale modelling and field observations at FINO1. J. Renewable Sustainable Energy 4, 063136, http://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.4769201 [11] Santos-Alamillos FJ, Pozo-Vázquez D, Ruiz-Arias JA, Lara-Fanego V, Tovar-Pescador J (2013) Analysis of WRF model wind estimate sensitivity to physics parameterization choice and terrain representation in Andalusia (Southern Spain). Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 52(7): 1592–1609. [12] Sanz Rodrigo J, Borbón Guillén F, Gómez Arranz P, Courtney MS, Wagner R, Dupont E (2013) Multi-Site Testing and Evaluation of Remote Sensing Instruments for Wind Energy Applications. Renewable Energy 53: 200-210. [13] Sanz Rodrigo J, Lozano Galiana S, Fernandes Correia PM, Cantero Nouqueret E, García Hevia B, Stathopoulos C, Borbón F, Chávez Arroyo RA, Gancarski P, Koblitz T, Barranger N, Conan B (2013) Benchmarking of wind resource assessment flow models. The Alaiz complex terrain test case. To be submitted to Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 160/167 Book of Proceedings [14] Stathopoulos C, Kaperoni A, Galanis G, Kallos G (2013) Wind power prediction based on numerical and statistical models. Journal of Wind Energy & Industrial Aerodynamics. 112 (2013) 25-38. [15] Volker PJH, Badger J, Hahmann AH, Ott S (2013) Implementation and evaluation of a wind farm parametrisation in a mesoscale model. Submitted to Boundary-Layer Meteorol. [16] Volker PJH, Huang H-Y, Capps SB, Badger J, Hahmann AH, Larsén X (2013) Lower Marine Atmosphere Response to a Large Offshore Wind Farm. To be submitted to J. Geophys. Res. [17] WAUDIT (2013) WAUDIT Book of Proceedings. Edited by J. Sanz Rodrigo, CENER. To be published [18] Yeow TS, Cuerva A, Pérez-Alvarez J (2013) Reproducing the Bolund Experiment in Wind Tunnel. Wind Energy, accepted for publication. Technical Reports [19] Borbón Guillén F, Courtney M, Dupont E, Lefranc Y, and Girard R (2012) Results of the measurement campaign in complex terrain - Assessment. Safewind deliverable Dc-2.3. Technical report, CENER, Spain, June 2012. [20] Holmes H (2011) Quality Assurance of Wind Resource Assessment Models Part 1: Background Information, WAUDIT “Standardization” Workshop, University of Hamburg, 19 May 2011. [21] Holmes H (2011) Quality assurance of wind energy assessment models: Part I. Verification & Validation Background. WAUDIT Guidance Report WP6-D24, May 2011. [22] Santos-Muñoz D, Martin ML, Pascual A, Valero F (2013) Probabilistic wind speed forecast based on multi-physic ensemble prediction systems. Join SRNWP Workshop Physical Parmetrizations and Ensemble Predictions Systems. Madrid, Spain, June 2013. [23] Sanz Rodrigo J (2010) State-of-the-Art of Wind Resource Assessment. Results of the WAUDIT questionnaire. Deliverable D7 of the FP7-WAUDIT project, grant agreement number 238576, 24 pp, January 2010. [24] Sanz Rodrigo J, Lozano Galiana S, Fernandes Correia PM, Cantero Nouqueret E, García Hevia B, Stathopoulos C, Borbón F, Chávez Arroyo RA, Gancarski P, Koblitz T, Barranger N, Conan B (2013) Benchmarking of wind resource assessment flow models. The Alaiz complex terrain test case. Deliverable D26 of the FP7-WAUDIT project, grant agreement number 238576, 35 pp, October 2013. Conference/Workshop Reports [25] Albuquerque I (2010) Forest Winds in complex terrain. 6th PhD Seminar on Wind Energy in Europe, Trondheim, Norway, September 2010. [26] Albuquerque I, Sanz Rodrigo J, Landberg L, Watson S (2011) Exploring Several Turbulent Closure Methods for Simulating Forest Winds in Complex Terrain. EWEA-2011, Brussels, Belgium, March 2011. [27] Albuquerque I, Sanz Rodrigo J, Landberg L, Watson S (2011) Comparison between k-epsilon and Baseline turbulence closure models simulating forest winds in complex terrain. PhD Research Conference, Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, Loughborough University, UK, May 2011. [28] Barranger N (2010) Assessing wind energy potential using the high resolution meso-scale model RAMS. 6th EAWE PhD Seminar, NTNU, Trondheim, Norway, September 2011. WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 161/167 Book of Proceedings [29] Barranger N (2011) Evaluation of turbulence scheme of the mesoscale model RAMS for high resolution wind resource assessment. 7th EAWE PhD Seminar, TU Delft, Delft, Netherlands. [30] Barranger N, Kallos G (2012) The use of an atmospheric model to solve wind forcing turbulent flows over complex terrain for wind resource assessment. Energy meteorology session of the EMS general assembly, Łódź. [31] Barranger N, Stathopoulos C, Kallos G (2013) Dynamical downscaling in complex terrain using the Mesoscale Model RAMS. EWEA-2013, Vienna. [32] Barranger N, Stathopoulos C, Kallos G (2013) High resolution topography and land cover databases for wind resource assessment using mesoscale models. EGU assembly 2013, Vienna. [33] Barranger N, Stathopoulos C, Kallos G (2013) A power spectrum analysis of turbulent flows in complex terrain: evaluation of RAMS-LES model against tall mast measurements. Energy meteorology session of the EMS general assembly, Reading (UK). [34] Berg J, Bechmann A, Courtney M, Koblitz T, Hristov Y (2012) In the wake of Bolund: Benakanahalli - Stratification and complex terrain. European Wind Energy Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, April 2012. 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WAUDIT Contract# 238576 CENER National Renewable Energy Centre C/Ciudad de la Innovación 7 Tel. (+34) 948 25 28 00 31621-Sarriguren - Spain Fax. (+34) 948 27 07 74 Pag. 163/167 Book of Proceedings [63] Fitton G, Tchiguirinskaia I, Schertzer D, Lovejoy S (2012) Torque Fluctuations In The Framework Of A Multifractal 23/9-Dimensional Turbulence Model. Presented at the EUROMECH Colloquium 528. [64] Fitton G, Tchiguirinskaia I, Schertzer D, Lovejoy S (2013) Multifractal Statistical Methods And Space-Time Scaling Laws For Turbulent Winds. Euromech 2012. [65] Fitton G, Tchiguirinskaia I, Schertzer D, Lovejoy S (2013) Scaling Anisotropy And Extremes In The Wake Of A Turbine. 21eme Congres Francais de Mecanique: Journal of Mechanics and Industry. [66] Gancarski P, Sanz Rodrigo J (2013) Windbench. WAUDIT Network meeting, Pamplona, Spain, January 2013. [67] Gancarski P, Sanz Rodrigo J (2013) Windbench. 9th EAWE PhD seminar in Wind Energy in Europe, Visby, Sweden, September 2013. 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