Brazil
Transcription
Brazil
Brazil: Upstream Oil & Gas M&A Investment Opportunities www.emis.com Page 1 CONTENTS Brazil Country and Economy 3 Upstream Oil & Gas Sector 4 Upstream Oil & Gas Sector M&A Activity 6 Potential M&A Targets HRT Participações em Petróleo S.A. 8 Petra Energia S.A. 9 PetroRecôncavo S.A. 10 Karoon Petróleo & Gás Ltda. 11 Ouro Preto Óleo e Gás S.A. 12 Barra Energia do Brasil Petróleo e Gás Ltda. 13 Lupatech S.A. 14 Odebrecht Óleo e Gás S.A. 15 BRAZIL Country and Economy COUNTRY OVERVIEW MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS Area Sovereign credit rating 8,515,767 km2 S&P: BBB- (Stable) Real GDP Growth 2.7% Moody's: Baa2 (Negative) Population Fitch: BBB (Stable) 202.8 million (2014) Selic official interest rate Labour Force 11% (Sep 2014) 107.3 million (2013) 2.3% 1.0% 2011 1.3% 2.0% 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 5.8% 5.9% 6.3% 6.0% 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 5.5% 5.4% 5.1% 5.0% 2012 2013 2014F 2015F Inflation (CPI) 6.5% Average FX rate GDP per capita, PPP USD/BRL 2.15 (2013) USD 15,034 (2013) International reserves Official language USD 379.4bn (Aug 2014) Portuguese 2011 Unemployment 6.0% Corporate tax rate Government type 25% (2014) Federal presidential constitutional republic Market Cap, São Paulo Stock Exchange Administrative division 26 States, 1 Federal District USD 1,204bn (Aug 2014) GDP composition, 2013 Investments 18.0% Agriculture 5.7% Government spending 22.0% Services 69.3% 2011 Current Account (% of GDP) -2.1% -2.4% -3.7% -3.4% -3.1% 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% FDI (% of GDP) 2.7% 2011 Industry 25.0% Household consumption 62.6% Net Exports -2.5% 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 33.6% 33.3% 32.9% 2013 2014F 2015F General Government Net Debt (% of GDP) 36.4% 2011 Source: CEIC, CIA, IMF, KPMG, UNCTAD, World Bank 2.7% 35.3% 2012 Brazil ranks seventh globally in terms of economic output and is the largest country in Latin America by both area and population. Brazil is one of the most resource-rich countries in the world (oil & gas, iron ore, bauxite, timber) with robust agricultural sector (corn, sugarcane, soybeans, coffee, citrus, cattle), diversified industry and thriving services sector. Local economy is projected to grow at an average rate of 3.1% for 2015-2019, boosted by strong consumer demand, improved business sentiment and higher government spending in urban and social development, and infrastructure. (IMF, Apr 2014) Stable political and economic environment, sound financial system, favourable external debt composition and large foreign reserves prevent significant currency depreciation or sovereign default. Brazil ranks in top five of prospective FDI host economies for 2014-2016, according to UNCTAD. Abundant investment opportunities remain in the construction, infrastructure and commodities sectors. FDI inflows will be driven by the country’s growing middle class, increasing disposable income, sector specific tax incentives, the development of the promising offshore oil reserves and the government’s USD 120bn infrastructure investment programme in light of hosting the 2014 FIFA World Cup and the 2016 Summer Olympic Games. Upstream Oil & Gas Sector ECONOMIC IMPORTANCE 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 H1 2014 Oil & gas extraction (% of real GDP) 1.12 1.04 1.03 1.02 0.99 0.99 FDI equity capital in sector (US D mn) 2,656 9,927 5,976 3,679 7,131 1,008 8.4 18.9 8.6 6.1 14.5 3.6 S ector share in total FDI (%) Oil exports (mmboe) 202.0 242.6 232.3 211.1 146.3 78.1 Oil exports FOB (US D mn) 9,370 16,293 21,785 20,306 12,957 6,814 Oil & gas imports (mmboe) Oil & gas imports FOB (US D mn) 196.5 202.8 186.7 195.9 251.3 114.5 10,914 13,252 17,382 18,697 23,425 10,659 PROVED OIL RESERVES (by location and state, Bboe), 2013 14.3 12.9 0.9 15.1 15.3 15.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 2009 14.4 14.7 2010 2011 2012 Offshore Onshore 2013 13.4 14.1 Brazil ranked 15th globally in terms of proved oil reserves with 15.6 Bboe (0.92% of world’s oil reserves) at the end of 2013. (BP) The country has approximately 7.5 million km2 of sedimentary areas, spread across 38 major basins, of which 2.5 million km2 are located along the coast. At present, Rio Grande do exploration and production concessions are granted for only 4.5% of these areas. Norte 2.4% More than 94% of the country’s oil reserves are located in offshore basins, the largest Bahia 2.1% of which are the Campos, Santos and Espírito Santo. The recently discovered pre-salt fields, rich in light hydrocarbons, are expected to Others 3.0% change the country’s reserve profile, which is currently largely composed of heavy oil, and reduce significantly the imports of foreign light oil and natural gas. The pre-salt is a geological formation with an area of over 122,000 km2, located at water depths of between 5,000-7,000 m under thick layers of rock and salt. Estimates of Brazilian pre-salt reserves indicate a potential for 50 to 100 Bboe, which could amount to 3-6% of world’s oil reserves. Espírito Santo 8.6% São Paulo 4.3% 0.9 11.9 Rio de Janeiro 79.6% PROVED GAS RESERVES (by location and state, Bm3), 2013 459.4 459.2 458.2 70.6 72.4 69.8 423.0 367.1 301.6 Amazonas 11.0% 68.8 São Paulo 12.3% 354.2 Espírito Santo 9.5% Bahia 5.8% 65.5 388.8 386.8 Others 5.3% 388.4 Rio de Janeiro 56.1% 2009 2010 2011 Offshore 2012 Onshore The oil & gas sector in Brazil has emerged as one of the country’s driving economic forces since 1997, when the monopoly of state-controlled Petróleo Brasileiro (Petrobras) was ended. Following the liberalisation, the sector’s share in Brazil’s GDP witnessed a four-fold increase to 13% in 2014, of which 1% accounts for extraction. Under the concession model adopted in the 1997 Petroleum Law, the regulatory body ANP held 13 bidding rounds for oil exploration and production rights. As a result, 39 local and 38 foreign companies entered the market. The vast oil reserve discoveries in the offshore pre-salt layer in 2006 have further increased the growth opportunities in the sector, boosting M&A and foreign investments to all-time highs. After weak investment activity in the last two years, 2013 proved to be a turning point for the sector due to the resumption of the concession rounds and the first auctions for development of pre-salt and unconventional gas areas. 2013 Source: ANP, BMI, BP, CEIC, IEA, Oxford Economics Brazil ranked 31th globally in terms of proved gas reserves with 458.2 Bm3 (0.24% of world’s gas reserves) at the end of 2013. (BP) Approximately 85% of the country’s gas reserves are located in offshore basins. The Campos, Santos and Espírito Santo basins hold the majority of gas reserves but sizable resources also exist in the interior of the country, mainly in the Amazonas, Parnaíba, Solimões and Potiguar basins. The pre-salt areas are estimated to also contain ample natural gas reserves, which could increase Brazil's total natural gas reserves by 50%, according to Petrobras. Brazil is the world’s 10th largest holder of technically recoverable shale gas resources with 245 Tcf (3.36% of world’s reserves) as of June 2013 (IEA). The most perspective shale gas basins are Amazonas, Paraná, Solimões, Parnaíba, Pareci, Recôncavo and São Francisco. Brazil took the first step towards shale gas exploration in November 2013, when ANP awarded 72 licenses for seven onshore basins with potential shale gas deposits. Upstream Oil & Gas Sector (cont'd) OIL PRODUCTION (by volume and concessionaire, mmbbl/d) 2.02 0.19 2.13 2.18 2.13 2.10 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.18 85.1% 3.0% 2.3% 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 2.05 1.83 1.94 1.99 1.95 1.91 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 H1 2014 Offshore Brazil was the 13th largest oil producer in the world in 2013, with a 2.7% share of global output. (BP) More than 92% of the country’s oil production is offshore in deep waters and consists of mostly medium and heavy grade oil. The Campos and Santos basins account for over 90% of the current oil output and contain the five largest active fields (Roncador, Marlim Sul, Marlim, Jubarte and Lula), which produce between 100,000 and 300,000 bbl/d. In June 2014, the pre-salt production hit a record high of 478,000 bbl/d, accounting for 20.6% of the country’s total oil output. In the period 2000-2011, Brazil witnessed a continuous increase in oil production at an average rate of 5%, transforming the country into a net exporter of crude oil. Since 2012, the oil production has been slowing, affected by falling output at maturing fields and delays in the development of certain pre-salt fields. However, with a number of offshore fields scheduled to come online by the end of 2014, oil production is expected to pick up over the next few years. 2.28 0.23 Onshore * June 2014 GAS PRODUCTION (by volume and concessionaire, Mm3/d) Brazil ranked 29th globally in terms of natural gas production in 2013, with a 0.6% share of global output. (BP) Approximately 73% of the country’s gas production comes from offshore fields, such as Mexilhão, Lula, Manati and Marlim Sul, which produce 5-7 Mm3/d. The largest onshore fields Leste do Urucu, Gavião Real and Rio Urucu are located in the Solimões and Parnaíba basins, and produce around 5-6 Mm3/d. In June 2014, the pre-salt production set a new record of 16.7 Mm3/d, accounting for 19.3% of total natural gas output. Since 2000, Brazil’s natural gas production has been growing at an average rate of 5.7%. However, the country remains a net importer of natural gas, primarily from Bolivia, Qatar, Trinidad and Tobago, and the United States. Petrobras is the dominant player in the sector, accounting for over 80% of Brazil’s oil & gas output. International oil majors such as BG, Shell, Statoil, Repsol and Sinopec also hold significant positions in the extraction of oil, while domestic companies like OGPar, Eneva, Queiroz Galvão, BPMP Parnaíba are active in the natural gas market. 84.9 77.2 57.9 16.6 62.8 16.5 65.9 16.9 70.6 16.7 20.6 24.2 81.3% 41.4 46.3 49.1 53.8 56.6 4.4% 3.2% 60.7 BPMB Parnaíba 2009 2010 2011 Offshore 2012 2013 Onshore 3.1% H1 2014 1.9% 1.1% * June 2014 FORECASTED MAIN INDICATORS 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F Oil & gas extraction (% of real GDP) 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.93 0.91 Oil & liquids production (mmbbl/d) 2.54 2.66 2.79 2.97 3.20 3.40 Oil & liquids production (% change y-o-y) Dry natural gas production (Bm3 ) Dry natural gas production (% change y-o-y) 7.5 4.8 4.8 6.6 7.6 6.5 18.7 19.4 20.6 22.2 24.2 26.4 4.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 9.0 9.0 Oil & liquids net exports (mmbbl/d) 0.39 0.44 0.50 0.62 0.73 0.81 Dry natural gas net exports (Bm3 ) -15.7 -16.5 -16.9 -17.0 -16.7 -16.4 Source: ANP, BNDES, BP, BMI, CEIC, EY, IEA, Oxford Economics Brazil’s oil & gas sector will drive the country’s growth in the coming years as the main target for FDI projects, mainly for the development of the pre-salt area. (EY) The sector is expected to receive USD 210bn in investments by 2017, of which 40% are likely to come from foreign capital. (BNDES) Petrobras alone will spend USD 147.5bn in exploration and production activities over the next five years. The demand for services and equipment in the oil & gas sector should reach USD 400bn by 2020, boosting production in the oil-related industries. (ANP) The pre-salt area is expected to place Brazil among the top ten countries with largest oil & gas reserves, nearly doubling current levels by year 2022. (ANP) Brazil’s oil output is projected to increase to 4.4 mmbbl/d by 2020, reaching as high as 6.5 mmbbl/d in 2035, when the country is expected to be the world's 6th largest producer. Natural gas production is likely to grow more than five times, enough to cover the domestic demand by 2030. (IEA) Upstream Oil & Gas Sector M&A Activity NUMBER AND VALUE OF DEALS (2013 - Q2 2014) REGION OF INVESTORS TOP 5 LEGAL ADVISERS Adviser 10 3,000 9 EMEA 21.6% 8 8 2,400 Asia 5.4% 6 6 1,800 2,305 5 4 4 786 650 3 520 South America 5.4% 1,200 North America 18.9% 1,068 2 600 0 Brazil 48.6% 0 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Number of deals (left hand scale) 1. Oct-13 2. Jan-14 3. Oct-13 - Q2 2014) Deal Value Target Deal Type Buyer Seller Block BC-10 Minority stake Oil and Natural Gas Corp Petróleo Brasileiro SA - 1,636.0 in Campos Basin purchase (35%) (India); Shell (Netherlands) Petrobras (Brazil) (Official data) Block BC-10 Minority stake Royal Dutch Shell Plc 1,000.0 in Campos Basin purchase (23%) (Netherlands) (Official data) OAS Óleo e Gás SA 4. Feb-13 Sete Brasil Participações SA 5. Apr-13 OSX Brasil SA Source: EMIS Professional DealWatch Qatar Petroleum Co (Qatar) Minority stake FI-FGTS, Caixa Econômica purchase (39%) Federal (Brazil) Minority stake FI-FGTS, Caixa Econômica purchase (7.7%) Federal (Brazil) Minority stake Eike Batista - private purchase (0.96%) investor (Brazil) 3,475.3 5 2= Ve irano Advogados 1,636.0 1 2= Norton Rose Fulbright 1,636.0 1 3= Bake r Botts 1,000.0 2 3= De mare st Advogados 1,000.0 1 3= NautaDutilh 1,000.0 1 4. Machado Me ye r Adv. 792.2 6 5. Mattos Filho Advogados 530.8 7 5 FINANCIAL ADVISERS Adviser n.a. n.a. n.a. (USD mn) 367.5 (Official data) 331.8 (Official data) 252.7 (Official data) Value ($mn) Deals 1,064.7 7 2. Banco Itaú BBA 547.4 3 3. Cre dit Suisse 497.2 2 4. Lake shore Partne rs 331.8 1 5. Banco Brade sco BBI 202.4 2 1. BTG Pactual Q2 2014 Total value of deals ($mn, right hand scale) TOP 5 LARGEST M&A DEALS (2013 Date Q1 2014 1. Souza, Ce scon Adv. TOP 113 Value ($mn) Deals Deal Status: Announced or Completed Market: M&A only Industry (NAICS): Oil and Gas Extraction (211), Support Activities for Oil and Gas Operations (213112), Oil and Gas Field Machinery and Equipment Manufacturing (333132) Excluded Deals: restructurings, joint ventures, IPOs, SPOs, privatisations, buybacks of shares and debt-to-equity swaps Deal Value: USD 1 million and above. When not clearly indicated, it is assumed that the reported deal value does not include debt. Announcement Date: 01 January 2013 - 30 June 2014 Upstream Oil & Gas Sector M&A Activity (cont'd) TOP 10 LARGEST M&A DEALS (2009 Date Target Company 1. Oct-10 2. Nov-11 Pe trogal Brasil SA 3. 4. 5. Mar-10 De von Ene rgy's asse ts in Brazil 7. Oct-11 8. Jan-14 May-11 10= Apr-11 10= May-10 Buyer Minority stake China Pe troche mical Corp - purchase (40%) Minority stake Sinope c Group (China) China Pe troche mical Corp - purchase (30%) Sinope c Group (China) Acquisition (100%) Acquisition (100%) (USD mn) 7,111.0 n.a. (Official data) 4,797.5 n.a. (Official data) 3,600.0 De von Ene rgy Corp BP Plc (Unite d Kingdom) (Unite d State s) AP Molle r-Mae rsk AS (De nmark) Oil and Natural Gas (India); Block BC-10 in Minority stake Campos Basin 21 blocks in purchase (35%) Minority stake Solimõe s Basin Block BC-10 in purchase (45%) Minority stake Campos Basin 21 blocks in purchase (23%) Minority stake Solimõe s Basin Barra Ene rgia do Brasil purchase (45%) Minority stake Pe tróle o SA (Brazil) Rive rstone Holdings LLC Pe tróle o e Gás Ltda Barra Ene rgia do Brasil purchase (n.a.) Minority stake (Unite d State s) First Re se rve Corp Pe tróle o e Gás Ltda purchase (n.a.) (Unite d State s) OIL & GAS LICENSING ROUNDS (1999 Deal Value Seller Sinoche m Group (China) purchase (40%) De c-10 SK do Brasil Ltda Oct-13 Deal Type Minority stake May-10 Pe re grino oil fie ld 6. 9. Re psol Brasil SA - Q2 2014) She ll (Ne the rlands) TNK-BP (Russia) Qatar Pe trole um Co (Qatar) HRT Participaçõe s e m Statoil ASA (Norway) SK Ene rgy Co Ltd (Kore a) (Official data) 3,070.0 (Official data) 2,400.0 Pe tróle o Brasile iro SA - (Official data) 1,636.0 Pe trobras (Brazil) HRT Participaçõe s e m (Official data) 1,000.0 Pe tróle o SA (Brazil) Royal Dutch She ll Plc (Official data) 1,000.0 (Ne the rlands) (Official data) 708.3 Pe tra Ene rgia SA (Brazil) n.a. (Official data) 500.0 (Official data) 500.0 n.a. (Official data) - 2013) st Round Year Offered area (km²) Number of blocks Signature bonus (USD mn) Awarded companies 1 pre- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2013 2013 2013 54,660 48,074 48,629 25,289 21,951 39,657 194,651 - 45,614 48,030 100,372 1,548 47,428 675,902 12 21 34 21 101 154 251 - 117 54 142 1 72 980 180.9 261.7 240.8 33.9 9.2 222.1 484.1 - 1,140.7 37.9 1,407.6 6,924.9 165.2 11,108.8 11 16 22 14 6 19 30 - 36 17 30 5 12 - Source: ANP, EMIS Professional DealWatch salt 12 Total Since 2009, Chinese state-owned companies have been the most active buyers in the Brazilian oil & gas sector, in line with China’s “going-out” investment strategy to secure access to overseas raw materials and energy resources. In May 2010, Sinochem, the biggest Chinese supplier of chemical products, secured a 40% stake in the Peregrino offshore oil field with estimated recoverable reserves between 300 and 600 mmbbl for USD 3.1bn. At the time, this was the largest asset transaction during the past five years. Sinopec Group, Asia's biggest oil refiner, invested USD 11.9bn in the Brazilian subsidiaries of Iberian energy groups Repsol and Galp Energia to boost the development of their oil-rich offshore assets. Presently, Repsol-Sinopec and Petrogal rank among the top 10 largest oil & gas producers in Brazil. The largest PE deal in the sector was the acquisition of a majority stake in Brazilian oil & gas start-up Barra Energia by U.S. private equity firms Riverstone Holdings and First Reserve for a combined amount of USD 1bn. Another major transaction was the USD 400mn investment by Singapore's sovereign wealth fund Temasek in Odebrecht Óleo e Gás, the oil & gas arm of Brazilian industrial conglomerate Odebrecht, in late 2010. In May 2013, Brazil saw all-time high upfront signature bonuses in its first auction for exploration concessions in five years. A record number of 30 companies from 12 countries paid USD 1.4bn and committed USD 3.4bn in minimum exploration activities for 142 blocks. In Oct 2013, Brazil held its first auction for pre-salt oil licenses under a productionsharing regime. A consortium of Petrobras (40%), Total (20%), Shell (20%), CNPC (10%) and CNOOC (10%) paid USD 6.9bn to develop the Libra block. The area has estimated recoverable resources of 8 to 12 Bboe of oil and 120 Bm3 of natural gas. It will require an investment of USD 184bn over the 35-year concession period. (ANP) HRT Participações em Petróleo S.A. 4,980 % ma rgin Balance Sheet (cons) Total Assets - - 2012 2013 2,079,370 768,742 4.1% Half-year, Jun-2014 876,378 PP&E 192,409 59,243 65,215 Current Assets 480,181 286,690 297,966 18,372 14,300 158,633 291,691 149,330 208,932 1,580 29,970 0 of whic h Cash Total Liabilities of whic h Debt SHAREHOLDERS AND STOCK* HRT seeks investment and operating partners to turn its exploration assets in Solimões and Namibia into producing ones through a farm-out. The company also considers raising additional funds through a share offering or private placement to extend the lifetime of its sole operating field Polvo (est. USD 60mn) and to acquire other oil & gas producing assets in Campos basin. (Milton Franke, CEO, Sep 2014) The acquisition of the active Polvo field in early 2014 marked a turning point for HRT and led to positive cash flow generation for the first time in its history. A debt-free company, with high-potential portfolio of undeveloped traditional and unconventional gas assets. HRT has an ongoing USD 120mn programme to sell non-core assets, including its G&G services unit IPEX. The company has significant G&G and support services capabilities, and a qualified management team with 106 years of combined experience. RECENT TRANSACTION ACTIVITY * August 2014 Da te JG Petrochem 19.2% Au g - 14 Aventti Strategic Partners 6.4% Free Float 68.7% Morgan Stanley 5.7% 52wk Range: BRL 6.3 -16.0 1-Yr Rtn: -18.6% Mcap, Aug 2014: USD 185.2mn, P/E, (ttm): neg S ta ke 6 .4 1% De a l Va lu e $ 10 .1 mn Ta rg e t B u ye r S e lle r HRT Ave n tti S tra te g ic P a rtn e rs P riva te In ve s to rs HRT AP Mo lle rMa e rs k J u l- 14 4 0 .0 0 % n .a . P o lvo o il fie ld Ap r- 14 17 .5 5 % $ 2 1.7 mn HRT Mo rg a n S ta n le y, P riv. In ve s to rs Dis c o ve ry Ca p ita l Ma n a g e me n t J a n - 14 19 .2 5 % $ 2 7 .4 mn HRT J G P e tro c h e m P a rtic ip a ç õ e s P riva te In ve s to rs 16 J a n - 14 5 .11% $ 5 .0 mn HRT Ita ú Un ib a n c o Ho ld in g P riva te In ve s to rs De c - 13 6 .3 0 % $ 6 .1 mn HRT Dis c o ve ry Ca p ita l Ma n a g e me n t P riva te In ve s to rs No v- 13 19 b lo c ks in 6 .0 0 % $ 9 6 .0 mn th e S o limõ e s Ba s in Ro s n e ft HRT No v- 13 1.7 8 % Dis c o ve ry Ca p ita l Ma n a g e me n t P riva te In ve s to rs 12 8 Sep-14 Jul-14 4 Aug-14 Note: (1) DeGolyer & MacNaughton, Dec 2013 Source: Company, EMIS Professional 24.9% Jun-14 In Aug 2014, Rosneft closed the acquisition of an additional 6% interest in Solimões for USD 96mn, valuing the blocks at USD 1.6bn, and agreed to provide a USD 40mn loan to finance HRT’s investments in the basin. - (142,475) (1,039,491) Apr-14 In Jul 2014, HRT agreed to acquire the remaining 40% stake it did not already own in the Polvo oil field. 30,381 May-14 In Jul 2014, HRT signed a MOU with Rosneft and Petrobras for the study of viable alternatives for gas monetisation in Solimões, for which it seeks strategic partners (farm-out of a 25% interest). 5888.3% Mar-14 In Apr 2014, U.S. hedge fund Discovery Capital sold most of its shares in HRT, renouncing an alleged hostile take-over. Brazilian entrepreneur Nelson Tanure (JG Petrochem) remained HRT’s largest shareholder. -41.0% Feb-14 In Sep 2013, HRT concluded a USD 285mn drilling programme in Namibia without a commercial discovery, launching a farm-out process. The company posted total impairment losses of USD 1.1bn in 2013. -41.8% (189,191) (1,198,361) Jan-14 RECENT DEVELOPMENTS 2,041 - Net profit In Namibia, HRT holds interests in 10 offshore blocks in the Orange and Walvis sub-basins, with net risked Pmean prospective resources of 2.2 Bboe of oil and 10.3 Tcf of natural gas.(1) In Oct 2010, HRT raised USD 1.6bn in its IPO in Brazil and used the proceeds to acquire 2D and 3D seismic data, and to drill 14 exploration wells. 3,463 (cumul) 122,251 % ma rgin Dec-13 Its exploration portfolio includes a 49% stake in 19 onshore blocks in the gas-rich Solimões basin (Rosneft, as operator, with 51%), with estimated net 3C resources of 352 mmboe.(1) 2013 % growth EBITDA INVESTMENT RATIONALE H1 2014 2012 (cons) Sales Nov-13 HRT is the 6th largest oil operator in Brazil, with a 60% stake in the offshore Polvo field in Campos basin, with average production of 10,093 bbl/d in June 2014 and gross proved reserves of 15 mmboe. Income Statement Oct-13 Founded in 2009, HRT engages in the exploration and production of oil & gas in Brazil and Namibia, and the provision of geological, geophysical and geochemical services. KEY FINANCIALS, USD thousands Sep-13 OVERVIEW $ 1.8 mn HRT Petra Energia S.A. OVERVIEW Founded in 2005, Petra is a pre-operational oil & gas company focused on exploration and development of onshore sedimentary basins in Brazil. The company is a pioneer in the exploration of unconventional shale gas. Petra’s portfolio includes a 100% stake in 25 onshore blocks in the São Francisco and Amazonas basins, a 100% interest in 15 onshore blocks in the Tucano Sul basin, and a 70% stake in four offshore blocks in the Pernambuco-Paraíba basin. In Africa, the company has interests in 11 onshore blocks in Sudan and Chad. Petra has an option to buy back its former 30% interest in seven gas producing blocks in the Parnaíba basin, operated by peer Parnaíba Gás Natural (70% stake). The company also controls 30% of three gas thermal power plants with installed capacity of 908 MW, fuelled by gas produced in the Gavião Real field in Parnaíba. The latter are part of the 3,722 MW gas thermoelectric power generation complex Parnaíba, developed by Brazilian energy group Eneva. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS Gas production at the Gavião Real field in Parnaíba started in Jan 2013 and reached an average of 6 Mm3/d in Q1 2014. The overall production in 2013 was 1.4 Bm3. In Jul 2013, Petra confirmed the discoveries of unconventional gas in 21 wells in the São Francisco basin, and launched an evaluation of their commercial viability, as part of its USD 450mn investment programme for the basin by 2015. In Nov 2013, Petra won interests in seven onshore blocks, covering an area of 20,000 km2 in the Paraná basin, with potential shale gas deposits. In Dec 2013, Petra transferred its 30% interest in seven onshore blocks in Parnaíba to Brazilian bank BTG Pactual in exchange for the settlement of debts worth USD 189mn, with a buy-back option in one year. In Apr 2014, Petra started the exploration programme in Tucano Sul basin with 2D seismic data acquisition. In Jul 2014, the oil & gas arm of Brazilian construction group Cowan reportedly made a bid to acquire certain assets or an equity stake in Petra. Source: Company, EMIS Professional KEY FINANCIALS, USD thousands Income Statement (cons) Sales INVESTMENT RATIONALE 2010 2011 2012 - - - % growth - - - EBITDA (43,012) 695,862 (182,693) % ma rgin - - - Net profit (42,975) 432,225 (186,022) - - - 2010 2011 2012 64,036 864,533 1,068,309 % ma rgin Balance Sheet (cons) Total Assets PP&E Current Assets of whic h Cash Total Liabilities of whic h Debt 385 5,291 183,921 40,416 485,934 61,316 33,403 174,413 24,005 50,257 446,254 582,768 0 185,339 318,165 SHAREHOLDERS AND MANAGERS Petra is controlled by Brazilian diversified mining and oil & gas group STR Projetos e Participações (99.6%) and Canadian banker Vincent Parkin (0.4%). STR’s shareholders are Brazilian energy consultant and former politician Roberto Viana Batista Junior (60%), Chinese diplomat and oil & gas expert Philip Yang (10%) and executive partners (30%). Petra’s management team has a strong financial, political and technical background. It is led by CEO Winston Fritsch (former Secretary of Economic Policy in the Ministry of Finance, and exmanager of Dresdner Bank, Lehman Brothers and Rio Bravo Investimentos), Bruno Guedes (ex-Managing Director at Citibank and Bank of Boston), Marcelo Fonseca (energy consultant and financier), and Pedro Mercadante Oliva (economist and energy consultant). Petra is allegedly seeking external funding to buy back its 30% interest in the gas producing blocks in Parnaíba, which would lead to improved operating results and positive cash flow generation. The company is also looking for strategic partners or PE funding to develop its high-potential exploration portfolio, with the prospect of becoming the first shale gas producer in Brazil. (Sep 2013) A private share placement or an IPO over the next five years are also considered. (Winston Fritsch, CEO, Nov 2012) Low indebtedness (LTD/Equity ratio of 0.28 as of Dec 2012) and large accounts receivable balance of USD 687.6mn by Dec 2012, formed from the sale of non-core assets, covered with bank guarantees. Successful vertically integrated strategy, based on longterm gas supply contracts with the Parnaíba complex, along with growing domestic demand for natural gas. A niche player with significant capabilities for hydraulic fracturing. RECENT TRANSACTION ACTIVITY Da te De a l Va lu e Ta rg e t B u ye r S e lle r $ 2 .2 mn 7 b lo c ks in th e P a ra ná b a s in P e tra En e rg ia Go ve rn me n t o f Bra zil S e p - 13 3 0 .0 % $ 18 8 .8 mn 7 b lo c ks in th e P a rn a íb a b a s in BTG P a c tu a l P e tra En e rg ia Ma y- 13 10 0 .0 % $ 2 4 .4 mn P e tra En e rg ia Go ve rn me n t o f Bra zil P e tra En e rg ia Go ve rn me n t o f Bra zil No v- 13 S ta ke n .a . 15 b lo c ks in th e Tu c a n o S u l b a s in 4 b lo c ks in th e $ 1.3 mn P e rn a mb u c o P a ra íb a b a s in Ma y- 13 7 0 .0 % No v- 12 3 0 .0 % $ 7 .4 mn MC2 No va Ve n e c ia TP P P e tra En e rg ia Be rtin En e rg ia , S ta r En e rg y S e p - 12 10 0 .0 % $ 2 1.6 mn 7 b lo c ks in Ch a d P e tra En e rg ia Go ve rn me n t o f Ch a d J u l- 12 10 0 .0 % n .a . 4 b lo c ks in S uda n P e tra En e rg ia Go ve rn me n t of S uda n PetroRecôncavo S.A. OVERVIEW KEY FINANCIALS, USD thousands INVESTMENT RATIONALE Founded in 1999, PetroRecôncavo specialises in the development and recovery of mature and marginal oil & gas fields in onshore basins in Brazil. Income Statement PetroRecôncavo operates 12 blocks in the Recôncavo basin, based on a long-term incremental production agreement with Petrobras until 2025, and owns and operates another five mature blocks in the basin. % growth 69.3% 11.8% 3.9% EBITDA 68,677 84,460 89,191 % ma rgin 57.3% 63.0% 64.0% Net profit 47,314 57,420 57,279 % ma rgin Balance Sheet 39.5% 42.8% 41.1% 2011 2012 2013 152,567 179,093 194,568 115,403 146,305 157,258 32,803 29,703 34,154 2,788 5,566 1,086 36,798 40,938 40,432 0 0 0 The company receives a fixed payment from Petrobras for the delivery of all oil & gas produced at the blocks, as well as a 15% share of the incremental product, paid in cash at market prices. Since 2000, PetroRecôncavo has increased by 340% the net proved reserves in Petrobras’ 12 blocks through primary, secondary and tertiary recovery projects. The company has 27 mmboe of 3P net reserves, of which 82% proved and 86.4% corresponding to oil; 60.3 mmboe of 3C net contingent resources, and 12.2 mmboe of net prospective resources.(1) RECENT DEVELOPMENTS In May 2011, PetroRecôncavo and its majority shareholder PetroSantander filed a request to sell shares through an initial public offering and a secondary share offering on BM&Fbovespa but economic uncertainty delayed the sale. In Dec 2012, the company announced intentions to expand in other Latin American and West African countries through acquisitions of exploration and production assets, partnering with sector peers. PetroRecôncavo invested USD 50mn to drill 13 wells during 2012, part of its USD 350mn investment plan to increase output to 7,900 boe/d by 2015. In 2013, the company’s total oil output (own and Petrobras blocks) averaged 6,200 bbl/d, compared to 5,100 bbl/d in 2012 and 4,100 bbl/d in 2011. (cons) Sales (cons) Total Assets PP&E 2011 2012 2013 119,922 134,097 139,326 Current Assets of whic h Cash Total Liabilities of whic h Debt A niche player, with proven track record of increasing production levels in mature onshore fields, which are often economically unviable for larger oil producers. PetroRecôncavo has substantial volumes of 3P certified reserves, mostly light crude oil (API gravity of 37°), which is less common in Brazil and primarily imported at higher prices from Africa and the Middle East. High growth potential - proved undeveloped resources of 12 mmbbl oil and 2.8 MMcf natural gas (Dec 2013). A debt-free company, with high gross margins, strong profitability (ROE of 34.1% in FY 2013) and solid topline growth (4-year CAGR of 24.4%). Tax incentives to reduce 75% of income taxes by 2019, and mandatory dividends at 25% of net income. SHAREHOLDERS* MANAGEMENT BOARD PetroRecôncavo is controlled by U.S. oil & gas company PetroSantander Inc, specialised in operating mature onshore basins in the U.S.A., Colombia and Romania, by Brazilian drilling & well services provider Perbras - Empresa Brasileira de Perfurações, and by Opportunity Holding FIP, the private equity arm of Brazilian investment bank Banco Opportunity SA. The company has an experienced management team with strong financial and technical background, and over 70 years of combined industry experience: Perbras 24.7% Opportunity Holding FIP 24.7% Managers & employees 1.2% In H1 2014, PetroRecôncavo produced from its own blocks on average 162 bbl/d of oil and 833 m3/d of natural gas, a 20% increase y/y.(2) Note: (1) Netherland, Sewell & Associates (NSAI), Dec 2010 (2) ANP Source: Company, EMIS Professional PetroRecôncavo seeks funding (PE, farm-outs, private share placement or an IPO) for its expansion plans. PetroSantander and Opportunity Holding are considering to reduce or completely sell their interest. PetroSantander 49.4% * December 2013 Marcelo Magalhães, CEO, financier and manager with 30 years of experience, former executive at IBM, associate at McKinsey, and vice-president of Brazilian Association of Independent Producers of Oil & Natural Gas. Rafael Procaci da Cunha, CFO, financier with MBA from Darden Business School, University of Virginia. Gabriel Enrique Archila Olarte, COO, engineer with 20 years of experience in the oil & gas industry. Karoon Petróleo & Gás Ltda. OVERVIEW Founded in 2008 as a wholly-owned subsidiary of Australian mid-sized explorer Karoon Gas Australia Ltd, Karoon is a pre-operational oil & gas company, focused on developing offshore blocks in Brazil. The company holds a 65% interest and is the operator of five offshore blocks in the Santos basin, with a total area of 549 km2 and average water depths of 400 m. Karoon has a 20% stake in a 50 km2 offshore block within the Bauna Sul (Marujá) light oil discovery in the Santos basin, partnering with Petrobras (80%). The company has completed a three-well exploration drilling campaign in the Santos basin, reporting oil discoveries in the Kangaroo-1 and Bilby-1 wells. The Kangaroo-1 discovery has estimated gross 3C contingent resources of 487 mmbbl of light crude oil (API gravity of 40°). The Bilby-1 well discovered a proven 320 metre oil column with API gravity of 28°. Estimated net un-risked P50 prospective resources of 330 mmbbl.(1) RECENT DEVELOPMENTS In Oct 2010, Karoon filed for an IPO to sell 31.9% of its Brazilian and Peruvian operations for around USD 773mn, aiming to raise funds for its exploration programme. The offering was consequently postponed due to economic uncertainty. In Dec 2012, Citigroup ranked Karoon among the 19 potential Australian takeover targets for 2013, naming BG Group, Petrobras and Sinopec as possible buyers. In Aug 2013, Macquarie Group estimated Karoon could get up to USD 250mn for 15% of its Brazilian operations, valuing the whole company at USD 1.7bn. In Dec 2013, Brazilian regulator ANP approved Karoon’s discovery appraisal plan. The company committed to drill two firm and four optional wells to assess the Kangaroo discovery, with first production estimated by 2018. The development of the other discoveries remains subject to further assessment. In Mar 2014, Karoon sold a 35% stake in its five blocks in the Santos basin to Canadian peer Pacific Rubiales, maintaining efforts to farm out an additional interest. Note: (1) Certified by Lino Barro, Karoon’s Engineering Manager, Apr 2014. Source: Company, EMIS Professional KEY FINANCIALS, USD thousands Income Statement (carve-out) Sales Jun-12 Jun-13 4,549 4,268 INVESTMENT RATIONALE Half-Year, Dec-2013 2,084 % growth - -6.2% 8.7% EBITDA (416) (1,998) (1,870) % ma rgin - - - Net profit (695) (2,275) (1,711) - - Jun-12 Jun-13 Half-Year, 122,289 405,903 % ma rgin Balance Sheet (carve-out) Total Assets PP&E Current Assets of whic h Cash Total Liabilities of whic h Debt Dec-2013 151,696 38 167 162 13,487 354,950* 81,003 1,172 98,709 52,194 3,987 283,681 36,259 0 13,906 0 Karoon’s Australia-based parent committed to farming out up to 20% equity interest in its Brazilian subsidiary to fund its exploration and development campaign through 2018, valued at USD 3bn. (Aug 2014) The company does not rule out other funding options in the medium term - a further stake sale, issue of new shares or an IPO of the South American assets. (Edward Munks, COO, Mar 2013) High-potential, undeveloped light and medium oil assets in shallow waters in the Brazilian pre-salt area, less than 100 km away from significant commercial discoveries such as Piracuca (550 mmboe), Tiro and Sidon (120 mmboe) and Guaiama (120 mmboe). Can provide fast entry point into Brazil’s oil & gas sector through early-stage, quality assets in proven basins, with a potential of large pre-salt discoveries. Strong and experienced JV partner of ConocoPhillips, PetroChina, Petrobras and Pacific Rubiales, with extensive geological & geophysical capabilities. * Includes Assets held for sale of USD 244.4mn. MANAGEMENT BOARD Robert Hosking, CEO, with 35 years of experience in the oil and steel industries, founder of Karoon and Nexus Energy. Mark Smith, Exploration Manager, with 30 years of experience in geology, former executive at BHP Petroleum. Edward Munks, South America Director and COO, with 31 years of experience at Anzoil and Discovery Petroleum. Brian Jon Luecke, Exploration Manager South America, with 40 years industry experience at Phillips Petroleum, IEDC, ARCO and Anzoil. Dennis Hining, Drilling Manager South America, with 40 years of experience in deepwater oil & gas exploration, former executive at ExxonMobil and Shell. José Coutinho Barbosa, geologist with 38 industry experience, former CEO of Petrobras, Braspetro and Lupatech. RECENT TRANSACTION ACTIVITY Da te S ta ke De a l Va lu e n.a . Ta rg e t S - M- 1166 bloc k Ma r- 13 35.0% S e p- 12 35.0% $40.0 mn 4 bloc ks in the S a ntos ba s in Aug- 10 20.0% $29.4 mn S - M- 1352 bloc k B u ye r P a c ific Rubia le s Ene rgy Corp P a c ific Rubia le s Ene rgy Corp Ka roon S e lle r Ka roon Ka roon P e trole o Bra s ile iro S A P e trobra s Ouro Preto óleo e Gás S.A. OVERVIEW Founded in 2010 by former executives of energy major Petrobras and sector firm OGX, Ouro Preto is an exploration stage oil & gas company, focused on acquisition and development of sedimentary basins in Brazil. Its exploration portfolio includes a 100% interest in four onshore blocks in the Parnaíba basin with a total area of 12,054 km2 and one offshore block in the Barreirinhas basin with an area of 192 km2. The company also holds interests in seven onshore blocks, covering 194 km2 in the Recôncavo basin, with potential shale gas deposits. Ouro Preto has a team of 25 geologists, geophysicists and engineers with extensive experience in state-owned and privately held oil & gas companies. The company is controlled by Angel FIP, an investment vehicle of Brazilian entrepreneur Rodolfo Landim, and Julio Bozano, the 34th richest man in Brazil. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS In Nov 2013, Ouro Preto raised equity funding of USD 107mn from local investors Turim and Cia Bozano. In Jan 2014, the company launched its exploration programme with the acquisition of 2,500 km of 2D seismic data in the Parnaíba basin. A minimum of USD 55mn will be invested over the next five years. In Aug 2014, Ouro Preto closed the acquisition of the Brazilian assets of U.S. oil & gas company EP Energy for an estimated amount of USD 100mn, becoming the 18th largest oil & gas producer in Brazil. The deal involves equity interests in ten gas-rich blocks in the Camamu-Almada, Espírito Santo and Potiguar basins, with average production of 5,000 boe/d in 2013, and net proved reserves of 11.6 mmboe as of Dec 2013.(1) In Sep 2014, the company started the development programme of the newly acquired fields in the Camamu-Almada basin, Pinaúna (estimated reserves of 50 mmboe) and Camarão (adjacent to Manati, one of the largest gas producing fields in Brazil, average production of 6 Mm3/d in H1 2014). Note: (1) 2013 Annual Report of EP Energy Corp. Source: Company, EMIS Professional KEY FINANCIALS, USD thousands Income Statement (cons) Sales INVESTMENT RATIONALE 2011 2012 2013 - - - % growth - - - EBITDA (4,435) (3,798) (9,404) % ma rgin - - - Net profit (4,142) (3,956) (4,900) - - - 2011 2012 2013 7,404 12,734 128,997 % ma rgin Balance Sheet (cons) Total Assets PP&E Current Assets of whic h Cash Total Liabilities of whic h Debt 89 75 72 4,829 10,883 108,677 4,805 10,776 106,829 197 170 312 0 0 0 SHAREHOLDERS AND MANAGERS* * December 2013 Cia Bozano 27.1% Ouro Preto seeks strategic partners for the development of its exploration portfolio and PE funding for boosting its growth strategy through participation in new bidding rounds, assets purchases and farm-ins. (Apr 2014) The acquisition of the low risk, fully developed and cash flow generating assets of EP Energy transformed Ouro Preto into an independent E&P player with diversified assets and attractive upside potential. Based on a conservative approach, the company has build a high-potential portfolio of traditional and unconventional gas assets, adjacent to producing fields of Petrobras, BP, BG Group, OGPar and Petrogal. A debt-free company, with proven track record in attracting capital from strategic and financial investors. Qualified management team with combined experience of 150 years in the discovery and development of oil & gas producing formations in Brazil. RECENT TRANSACTION ACTIVITY Da te Apr- 14 Angel FIP 51.5% Turim 21 Investimentos 14.5% Nov- 13 Managers 6.9% S e p- 13 Rodolfo Landim, President, 32 years sector experience at Petrobras, Smith International and Wellstream, co-founder of OGX, current Director of Cameron International and energy-focused PE firm Mare Investimentos (USD 340mn AUM). Sergio Possato, Executive Director, 40 years sector experience, former executive at Petrobras and the Brazilian National Petroleum Agency (ANP). Marcos Leme, Technology Director, 10 years experience at Petrobras, IBM, PGS, Halliburton and Gaia. J ul- 13 Ma y- 13 S ta ke De a l Va lu e 31.85% $106.7 mn Ta rg e t B u ye r S e lle r Ouro P re to Cia Boza no, Turim 21 Inve s time ntos n.a . Ouro P re to Gove rnme nt of Bra zil Ouro P re to Gove rnme nt of Bra zil Ouro P re to EP Ene rgy Ouro P re to Gove rnme nt of Bra zil 7 bloc ks in the Re c ônc a vo ba s in P N- T- 114 a nd 100.0% $4.5 mn P N- T- 137 bloc ks EP Ene rgy 100.0% $100.0 mn P e s c a da , EP Ene rgy do Bra s il P N- T- 165, P N100.0% $7.4 mn T- 151, BAR- M387 bloc ks n.a . $2.2 mn J a n- 13 0.48% $21.7 mn Ouro P re to Cia Boza no n.a . Oc t- 12 14.0% $9.9 mn Ouro P re to Cia Boza no n.a . Barra Energia do Brasil Petróleo e Gás Ltda. OVERVIEW ASSET PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT RATIONALE Founded in 2010, Barra Energia is an exploration stage oil & gas company, focused on development of proven offshore sedimentary basins (Santos, Campos and Espírito Santo) and emerging pre-salt areas in Brazil. The post-salt BS-4 block includes the ultra-deep fields Atlanta and Oliva, with 2.1 Bboe in place and estimated recoverable volume of 260 mmboe of heavy oil (14° API). According to financial adviser Rothschild, Barra’s stake could be worth as much as USD 326mn. Barra Energia is not ruling out raising additional investments to fund its growth plan through asset purchases, farm-ins, participation in bid rounds and strategic partnerships with oil field operators. (Renato Bertani, CEO, Apr 2014) In the period 2010-2013, Barra Energia received USD 1.2bn in funding commitments from major energyfocused private equity firms and invested some USD 500mn in acquisitions of concession blocks and exploration programmes. In Santos basin, the company has a 30% interest in the BS-4 block, partnering with OGPar (40%) and Queiroz Galvão (30%) as operator, and a 10% stake in the BM-S8 block along with Petrobras (66%) as operator, Petrogal (14%) and Queiroz Galvão (10%). Barra Energia is controlled by U.S. private equity firms First Reserve (57%) and Riverstone Holdings (26.3%), and a team of Brazilian entrepreneurs led by João Carlos de Luca and Renato Bertani (16.7%). RECENT DEVELOPMENTS In May 2013, it was rumoured that China National Petroleum Corp had offered USD 2bn for a 100% interest in Barra Energia. First Reserve and Riverstone suspended the sale due to “contract difficulties and complicated conditions”, and due to the improving business environment in the oil & gas sector in Brazil. In Aug 2013, Barra Energia received regulatory approval for the development of the Oliva field, with first production estimated by 2021. In Feb 2014, local media reported that First Reserve has put up for sale a minority interest in Barra Energia, with U.S. oil major ConocoPhillips having already made a bid for a 25% stake. In May 2014, Barra Energia completed the drilling of a second well in the Atlanta field, with first oil expected by 2016. The area has total 3P reserves of 269 mmbbl of oil and 311 Mm3 of natural gas.(1) In Aug 2014, the company raised USD 100mn for its Atlanta field in the first reserves-based loan in the Brazilian offshore sector. Note: (1) Gaffney, Cline & Associates (GCA), Mar 2014 Source: Company, EMIS Professional The pre-salt BM-S-8 block has five prospects covering an area of 2,089 km2: Bem-Te-Vi, Bigua, Abaré, Guanxuma and Carcará (estimated resources of 1 Bboe). In 2012, a three-well drilling campaign showed a high-potential thick column of at least 471 metres of 31°API oil at the Carcará prospect. Its recoverable volume is subject to an appraisal campaign in Q1 2015. According to market estimates, it could rival those in the nearby oil fields Lula (8.3 Bboe) and Sapinhoá (2.1 Bboe). MANAGEMENT BOARD João Carlos de Luca, co-founder and Executive Chairman, president of the Brazilian Petroleum, Gas and Biofuels Institute, 40 years of industry experience at Petrobras and Repsol YPF. Renato Bertani, co-founder and CEO, President of the World Petroleum Council, 33 years of experience in E&P projects, former CEO of Thompson & Knight and director at Petrobras. Cesar Cainelli, VP Exploration, geologist, with 32 years of experience at Petrobras. Brian Byrne, CFO and VP Business Development, 18 years industry experience at Citigroup, Wasserstein Perella and Atlantic Richfield. Abilio Arruda, Senior Geophysicist, with 35 years of experience in geological and geophysical interpretation in Petrobras. Shiniti Ohara, Drilling Manager, with 25 years sector experience. PE exit of Barra Energia’s majority shareholders is also considered in the short and medium term. High-potential undeveloped assets in the promising pre-salt oil frontier in Santos basin. A debt-free company, with remaining guaranteed funding commitments of USD 700mn. The funds will be used to meet the exploration costs for Barra Energia’s blocks over the next three years. Established strategic partnerships with Petrobras, Queiroz Galvão and Petrogal. Management team with a combined experience of over 300 years in building and developing E&P portfolios in Brazil and abroad. RECENT TRANSACTION ACTIVITY Da te S ta ke De a l Va lu e Ta rg e t B u ye r S e lle r S e p - 11 3 0 .0 % $ 15 7 mn BS - 4 b lo c k in S a n to s b a s in Ba rra En e rg ia Ro ya l Du tc h S h e ll; Ch e vro n J u l- 11 10 .0 % $ 17 5 mn BMS - 8 b lo c k in S a n to s b a s in Ba rra En e rg ia Ro ya l Du tc h S h e ll Ma y- 11 n .a . $ 2 0 0 mn Ba rra En e rg ia Un d is c lo s e d P E firms n .a . Ap r- 11 n .a . $ 5 0 0 mn Ba rra En e rg ia Rive rs to n e Ho ld in g s LLC n .a . Ma y- 10 n .a . $ 5 0 0 mn Ba rra En e rg ia Firs t Re s e rve Co rp n .a . Lupatech S.A. -11.2% -8.9% -19.6% EBITDA (cont.op.) 10,954 8,130 7,620 % ma rgin 3.8% 3.1% 6.7% Net profit (287,807) (175,947) (94,363) - - 2012 2013 Half-year, 762,417 609,030 Jun-2014 582,475 PP&E 303,919 243,039 234,984 Current Assets 225,391 160,941 152,830 % ma rgin Balance Sheet (cons) Total Assets of whic h Cash Total Liabilities of whic h Debt 648,728 637,520 722,056 Advised by BofA Merrill Lynch, Lupatech seeks funding to strengthen its working capital and to invest in business development, after the completion of the debt restructuring process. A possible creditor exit is considered in the short and medium term. Significant turnaround potential once a solution to the cash shortage is found, which would enable the completion of the backlog (USD 438mn as of Jun 2014) and higher revenue generation in 2015. Strong business fundamentals and potential for improving gross margins by selling non-core assets and focusing on the more profitable Services segment, which has been rapidly growing with 3-year CAGR of 36.3%. Positive outlook due to increased requirements for the share of local equipment and services contractors in the development of new oil frontiers in Brazil. Long-term support from main creditor and shareholder Brazilian Development Bank (BNDES), in line with its policy to promote the local oil & gas supply chain. RECENT TRANSACTION ACTIVITY Da te Free Float 28.5% BNDES 31.1% GP Investments 15.9% Fundação Petros 24.5% 52wk Range: BRL 0.26 - 1.81 1-Yr Rtn: -36.7% Mcap, Aug 2014: USD 20.4mn, P/E, (ttm): neg 2 S ta ke De a l Va lu e 1 Sep-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 S e lle r 10 0 .0 % J u n - 13 10 0 .0 % Ma y- 12 10 0 .0 % De c - 11 10 0 .0 % No v- 11 10 0 .0 % $ 2 6 .7 mn S a n An to n io Bra s il Lu p a te c h GP In ve s tme n ts No v- 11 3 7 .4 % $ 12 5 .4 mn Lu p a te c h BNDES , P e tro s , GP In ve s tme n ts n .a . S te e lin je c t In je ç ã o d e Aç o s Fo rja s Ta u ru s Lu p a te c h Oc t- 11 Oct-13 B u ye r Au g - 14 0.5 0 Ta rg e t Arg e n tin e S o p h ia Ca p ita l $ 3 2 .0 mn o p e ra tio n s o f P a rtn e rs Lu p a te c h Tu b u la r $ 2 7 .0 mn Va llo u re c s e rvic e s a s s e ts In d ú s tria $ 2 2 .7 mn Me ta lú rg ic a Du ra te x J a c a re i Mic ro in o x Hid ro J e t $ 17 .5 mn Fu n d iç ã o d e Eq u ip a me n to s P re c is ã o Hid rá u lic o s 1.5 Sep-13 Source: Company, EMIS Professional 2,572 947,841 * August 2014 In Jun 2014, Lupatech’s reorganisation plan was approved by the competent Brazilian and U.S. Bankruptcy Courts. In Aug 2014, Lupatech agreed to sell its operations in Argentina for USD 32mn, raising a total of USD 112mn from its divestment programme started in 2011. 8,804 848,982 SHAREHOLDERS AND STOCK* In Nov 2013, Lupatech announced a pre-packaged reorganisation plan, subsequently approved by 85% of its bondholders. The plan involves debt reprofiling in addition to swapping 85% of the perpetual and convertible bonds (est. USD 460mn) for new equity. In Jul 2014, Lupatech announced a capital increase of up to USD 595mn to be subscribed by its creditors and current shareholders by the end of Sep 2014. Brazilian banks Itaú Unibanco and Votorantim agreed to convert all their loans into new company shares. 15,560 856,602 Jun-14 In Feb 2013, Lupatech announced the election of a new Board of Directors. Ricardo Doebeli, an economist with over 18 years of experience in corporate restructurings and performance improvement projects, became CEO. % growth May-14 RECENT DEVELOPMENTS 262,577 Apr-14 The financial crisis led to a decrease in Lupatech’s backlog, low capacity utilisation and deterioration of its financial standing. In 2011, the company began restructuring its debts and selling non-core assets. 288,231 (cumul) 113,632 Mar-14 The company was floated during 2006 in an IPO worth USD 217.8mn. The proceeds were used for acquiring 17 firms in the oil & gas support services sector. 2013 Feb-14 Lupatech is renowned in the Mercosur market for industrial valves, automation systems and natural gas compression equipment, and has 31 units in Brazil, Colombia and Argentina, with some 2,900 employees. INVESTMENT RATIONALE H1 2014 2012 (cons) Sales Jan-14 The company manufactures anchoring ropes for production platforms, valves, completion tools, gas compressors and fibre optic sensors, and also provides drilling rigs and workover, well intervention, coating and pipe inspection services. Income Statement Dec-13 Founded in 1980, Lupatech is the largest equipment and services supplier to Petrobras in Brazil. KEY FINANCIALS, USD thousands Nov-13 OVERVIEW 10 0 .0 % $ 7 .9 mn Lu p a te c h Lu p a te c h Lu p a te c h Lu p a te c h Odebrecht Óleo e Gás S.A. OVERVIEW KEY FINANCIALS, USD thousands INVESTMENT RATIONALE Founded in 2006 as a spin-off of the oil & gas division of Brazilian industrial conglomerate Odebrecht, OOG specialises in shallow and deepwater offshore drilling, production & logistics, subsea construction, offshore maintenance, well services and E&P management in Brazil, Angola, Mexico, Venezuela and Argentina. Income Statement Since 1997, the unit has been providing platform chartering and operation services in the North Sea, partnering with Danish conglomerate Maersk. The parent Odebrecht has been active in the sector since 1953, when it established a strategic partnership with Petrobras, subsequently becoming the first private Brazilian company to offer offshore drilling services. % ma rgin 8.0% - 10.7% Net profit (5,048) (47,071) (42,150) - - - 2011 2012 2013 1,099,948 1,299,544 1,418,258 OOG has the largest ultra-deepwater fleet in Brazil of three semi-submersible rigs and four drill ships with water depth capacity of up to 3,000 m, two FPSOs with combined production capacity of 156,000 bbl/d, and two PLSVs operating at water depths of up to 2,500 m. PP&E OOG is also active in the exploration sector, with a 15% stake in the oil-rich Block 16, offshore Angola. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS In Feb 2013, the Cidade de Itajaí FPSO, chartered to Petrobras for nine years, produced its first oil, marking OOG’s entry into Brazil’s platform chartering market. In 2013, OOG signed two new contracts with Petrobras for a backlog of USD 930mn over eight years, upping its oil drilling platforms under management to 21. OOG ended 2013 with consolidated EBITDA of USD 423mn on revenues of USD 936mn (up 57.2% y/y). In Jul 2014, OOG raised additional USD 550mn in a perpetual notes offering (BBB-/stable, S&P), part of its successful bank-to-bond model for financing investments in offshore oil & gas infrastructure. In Jul 2014, the company chartered a third PLSV to Petrobras, in partnership with sector peer Ceona, reinforcing its positions in the subsea equipment and services market. OOG plans to launch a new ambitious investment cycle by early 2015, comparable to its USD 5.5bn investment programme throughout 2007-2015. Source: Company, EMIS Professional (non-cons) Sales 2011 2012 2013 130,114 265,634 349,802 % growth 120.7% 104.2% 31.7% EBITDA 10,440 (18,846) 37,343 % ma rgin Balance Sheet (non-cons) Total Assets Current Assets of whic h Cash Total Liabilities of whic h Debt 13,007 13,166 13,878 147,273 197,443 217,428 35,753 30,287 60,266 140,505 394,701 490,874 3,896 217,600 290,699 OOG does not rule out raising external capital to meet the increasing domestic demand for oil & gas services, to fund international expansion in Latin America and Africa, to diversify its clients and to develop integrated service offering for the upstream oil & gas market. (Roberto Simões, CEO, Jul 2014) A possible IPO is considered in the medium term. (Marcelo Odebrecht, CEO of Odebrecht, Sep 2012) Integrated business model for Brazilian deepwater and pre-salt oil & gas exploration, including design engineering, project management, operation and chartering of offshore rigs, subsea units and FPSOs. Long-term contracts with oil & gas majors, including Petrobras, Shell, Statoil, Total and ConocoPhillips. Positive outlook due to increased requirements for the share of local equipment and services contractors in the development of new oil frontiers in Brazil. Aggressive top-line growth, 4-year CAGR of 143.8%. TRANSACTIONS AND SHAREHOLDERS* MANAGEMENT BOARD OOG is controlled by Brazilian diversified holding company Odebrecht (81.4%), active in the engineering, infrastructure, construction, naval, petrochemicals, transportation, real estate, energy and water supply sectors. OOG’s management has a combined industry experience of over 130 years: In Oct 2010, OOG received an equity funding of USD 400mn from Temasek Holdings, the sovereign wealth fund of the Government of Singapore, in exchange for a 14.3% stake. Hélcio Colodete, Senior Officer Specialised Well Services, chemical engineer with 35 years of experience in Companhia Petroquímica Camaçari and Braskem. In Oct 2011, Brazilian investment management firm Gávea Investimentos (USD 6.9bn AUM) acquired a 5% stake for an undisclosed sum. Temasek Holdings 13.6% Odebrecht SA 81.4% *December 2013 Gávea Investimentos 5.0% Roberto Simões, CEO, mechanical engineer with 35 years of experience, ex-manager of Santo Antônio Energia, Braskem, Construtora Norberto Odebrecht. Herculano Barbosa, Senior Officer Engineering and Technology, engineer with 30 years of experience in offshore oil drilling. Jorge Mitidieri, Senior Officer Integrated Services, engineer with 30 years of experience, former executive at North Sea Production Company (joint venture of OOG and Maersk). Pedro Mathias, Senior Officer Drilling Operations, oceanic engineer, former executive at Transocean. ABBREVIATIONS bbl mmbbl /d boe mmboe Bboe 3 Mm 3 Barrel Million Barrels Per Day Barrels of Oil Equivalent Million Barrels of Oil Equivalent Billion Barrels of Oil Equivalent Million Cubic Meters Bm MMcf Tcf Billion Cubic Meters ANP AUM BNDES CAGR CPI D/E E&P FDI FPSO FX rate G&G GDP IEA IMF LTD/Equity Mcap MOU P/E ratio PE PLSV PPP ROE S&P Selic rate UNCTAD Brazilian National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels Assets Under Management Brazilian Development Bank Compound Annual Growth Rate Consumer Price Index Debt-to-equity Ratio Exploration and Production Foreign Direct Investment Floating Production, Storage and Offloading (vessel) Foreign Exchange Rate Geological and Geophysical Gross Domestic Product International Energy Agency International Monetary Fund Long-term debt-to-equity Ratio Market Capitalisation Memorandum of Understanding Price-Earnings Ratio Private Equity Pipe-Laying Support Vessel Purchasing Power Parity Return on Equity Standard & Poor's Special Clearance and Escrow System Rate, Brazil's Central Bank Overnight Rate United Nations Conference on Trade and Development Million Cubic Feet Trillion Cubic Feet ABOUT US EMIS EMIS delivers deep, rich company and industry information, alongside the relevant proprietary and multi-source news, research, analytics and benchmarking tools that allow professionals to make profitable decisions faster. EMIS Professional version additionally includes sophisticated analytical tools such as DealWatch, the leading emerging markets M&A information solution. The EMIS DealWatch service combines proprietary M&A and ECM news created by its expert financial journalist team, over 85,000 M&A and ECM deals, research, company valuations and deal forecasts with sophisticated screening, analytics and public information to help users quickly and easily create targeted pipelines to complete more deals in less time. This product is designed to help investors and business owners quickly identify future M&A deals and ECM activities, trends and opportunities in emerging markets. Learn more at www.emis.com Author Svetoslav Mladenov, EMIS DealWatch analyst [email protected] Disclaimer The material is based on sources which we believe are reliable, but no warranty, either expressed or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the information. The views expressed are our best judgment as of the date of issue and are subject to change without notice. EMIS and Euromoney Institutional Investor PLC take no responsibility for decisions made on the basis of these opinions. Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2014 EMIS, all rights reserved. A Euromoney Institutional Investor company.