Mobilt Trådlöst Bredband HSPA och LTE

Mobilt Trådlöst Bredband
HSPA och LTE
Jan Färjh
Vice President
Head of Ericsson Research
1
Major trends - today
2
Full Service Broadband
Broadband services to a screen of your choice
3
Global cellular subscriptions
By system standard
Reported subscription forecast by standard
Reported Subscriptions (Millions)
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2005
2006
2007
Analogue & Other
Mobile WiMAX
LTE
2008
2009
TDMA
GSM/GPRS/EDGE
2010
2011
2012
CDMA
WCDMA/HSPA
Source: Internal Ericsson
4
Network traffic growth
Strong outlook
Fixed access traffic
Mobile access traffic
5 000 000
350 000 000
300 000 000
Terabyte
Terabyte
4 000 000
250 000 000
200 000 000
150 000 000
IPTV
3 000 000
2 000 000
Internet
100 000 000
50 000 000
TV/video
1 000 000
Internet
Voice
Voice
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: Ericsson and market estimate
Traffic growth driven by TV, video and internet
5
3G Mobile Broadband
2003/4
2005/6
2007/8
3GPP radio-access technologies
providing Mobile Broadband
an
b
ad
ro
B
ile
b
o
HSPA
M
G
3
2009/10
2011/12
d
3G LTE
evolution
HSPA
WCDMA
Mobile broadband is already here
LTE will further boost 3G Mobile Broadband
6
HSPA – High Speed Packet Access
2003/4
2005/6
2007/8
2009/10
2011/12
HSDPA and Enhanced Uplink
Downlink: 3.6 Mbps > 7.2 Mbps > 14 Mbps
Uplink: Up to 5.8 Mbps
3G LTE
HSPA
evolution
HSPA
WCDMA
In commercial use since 2005!
7
HSPA deployment
More than 100 commercial networks
in more than 50 countries
with 7.2 Mbps available today
Source: GSA and Ericsson
HSPA
8
Over 300 HSPA enabled devices*
ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
137 mobile phones
51 PC with HSPA embedded
87 PC cards and USB modems
32 wireless routers
3 Media players and 1 camera
*Commercially launched as of June 2007 (GSA)
Most popular device: HSPA USB module (Sweden, June 2007)
9
HSPA offerings on market
Some examples
Optimus, Portugal
Examples:
2GB/month USD 40
6GB/month USD 53
Maxis Malaysia offering fixed ’replacement’
Example: For RM 98/month = USD 30/month
Examples
USD 12/month - 25MB/day
3 Sweden example:
Unlimited 3.6 Mbps = USD 29/month
Formerly
Vodafone Mobile Connect Card 3G
Examples: 1Gb = USD 53/month
4Gb = USD 79/month
Examples:
USD 25/month 250 MB included
USD 53/month 1GB included
Cingular
First in the world
Examples: Unlimited USD 59,99
Projection: 50% of all sold Laptops/ Notebooks to have HSPA by 2011
10
World Average Traffic Mix per Month
WCDMA and HSPA
<2%
100%
90%
Video
38%
Percentage of total traffic
80%
CS 40%
Speech
70%
60%
19%
50%
40%
PS 60%
R99 Data
30%
41%
20%
HSPA
10%
0%
01-Sep-06
01-Oct-06
01-Nov-06
01-Dec-06
Sum of %PS_HS
01-Jan-07
01-Feb-07
Sum of %PS_DCH
01-Mar-07
Sum of %Speech
01-Apr-07
01-May-07
Sum of %CS64
01-Jun-07
01-Jul-07
Sum of %Others
01-Aug-07
Ctrl + Shift+ O
data is already now 60 % of the total WCDMA traffic
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Average traffic volume per RNC
Average of selected operators
40
Speech
35
Total
Packet
HSPA
30
Traffic
Gbit/RNC/h
25
20
15
10
5
0
01-Sep-06
01-Oct-06
01-Nov-06
01-Dec-06
01-Jan-07
01-Feb-07
Sum of Total traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
Sum of Packet (DCH+HS) traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
Sum of HS Packet traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
Sum of Others traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
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01-Mar-07
01-Apr-07
01-May-07
Sum of Speech traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
Sum of DCH Packet traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
Sum of CS64 traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
01-Jun-07
01-Jul-07
Average traffic volume per RNC
Aggressive operator
70
Speech
60
Total
Packet
Traffic
Gbit/RNC/h
50
40
30
HSPA
20
10
0
01-Oct-06
01-Nov-06
01-Dec-06
01-Jan-07
01-Feb-07
Sum of Total traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
Sum of Packet (DCH+HS) traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
Sum of HS Packet traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
Sum of Others traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
13
01-Mar-07
01-Apr-07
01-May-07
01-Jun-07
Sum of Speech traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
Sum of DCH Packet traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
Sum of CS64 traffic (GBit/RNC/h)
01-Jul-07
Live WCDMA R99 + HSDPA, One carrier
HSDPA 7.2 Mbps performance
Good Coverage
Median bitrate
3.8 Mbps
Mobile
Bad Coverage
Median bitrate
1.9 Mbps
Median bitrate
1.8 Mbps
High field performance in downlink
14
Live WCDMA R99 + HSDPA, One carrier
Enhanced Uplink 1.4 Mbps mobility
100
Mobile
1200
90
80
Median bitrate
1.0 Mbps
Average bitrate
Mobile
1000
70
800
60
50
600
40
30
400
20
200
1330
1400
1260
1120
1190
980
1050
910
770
840
700
630
560
490
350
420
210
280
140
0
70
10
0
0
no soft softer
soft
High field performance in uplink
15
3w soft soft- 3w softer
softer
HSPA evolution
2003/4
2005/6
2007/8
2009/10
2011/12
To ensure long-term HSPA competitiveness
3G LTE
HSPA
evolution
HSPA
• Downlink: 14 Mbps > 42 Mbps
WCDMA
• Uplink: Close to 12 Mbps
• Improved user experience
16
HSPA evolution
Higher-order modulation
modulation
•• Higher-order
¾ Downlink
Downlink––64QAM
64QAM
¾
¾Uplink
Uplink--16QAM
16QAM
¾
MIMO, 2x2
2x2 downlink
downlink
•• MIMO,
3
3
Specifications
finalized
3
"Continuous Packet
Packet Connectivity”
Connectivity”
•• "Continuous
Enhanced Broadcast/Multicast
Broadcast/Multicast
•• Enhanced
• Higher data rates
• Higher capacity
• Reduced user-experience latency / faster access
Enhanced system performance and end user experience
17
3G Long Term Evolution
2003/4
2005/6
2007/8
2009/10
2011/12
• Further boost 3G Mobile Broadband
• Provide a smooth transition towards
4G radio access (IMT-Advanced)
3G LTE
HSPA
evolution
HSPA
• Expansion to wider bandwidth
WCDMA
• Both paired and unpaired spectrum
• New radio access
18
GSM and 3G data evolution
1000 x Higher Peak Rate in 10 years
3G LTE
HSPA Evolved
HSPA
3G
GPRS
Peak rate
40 kbps
384 kbps
3.6 Mbps
28/42 Mbps
>100 Mbps
Ericsson
1998
2002
2005
2008
2009
1000 x Higher Peak Rate in 10 years
19
Digital TV evolution – three phases
Content industry
Digital broadcast
IPTV 1.0
”Networked TV”
Networked TV - a new dimension of the TV user experience
20
Making Web 2.0 mobile
Web 2.0 services
Mobile Phone
Camera
Address
book
mp3
player
Network
Location
Broker/
exchange
Presence
Make the phone the main source of User Generated Content
21
Summary
• Mobile broadband is here with good performance
• Data traffic has surpassed voice traffic
• Performance will increase even further
• Excellent oppurtunity to introduce new services
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