Urgent Care - TripleTree
Transcription
Urgent Care - TripleTree
TRIPLE TREE INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE Q4’15 Urgent Care Urgent Care is at the epicenter of transformative changes occurring in U.S. healthcare, helping solve cost and quality issues while enabling the shift to a more consumer-centric industry. TripleTree is a healthcare merchant bank focused on mergers and acquisitions, growth capital, initial public offerings and principal investing services. Since 1997, the firm has advised and invested in some of the most innovative, high-growth businesses in healthcare. We are continuously engaged with decision makers including best-in-class companies balancing competitive realities with shareholder objectives, global companies seeking growth platforms, and financial sponsors assessing innovative investments and first-mover opportunities. TRIPLE TREE INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE CONTENTS 2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 4 URGENT CARE 101 8 THE BROAD IMPACT OF URGENT CARE ACROSS THE CARE CONTINUUM 10 THE BUSINESS OF URGENT CARE 13 DRIVING DIFFERENTIATED CARE DELIVERY 16 THE IMPORTANT ROLE OF TECHNOLOGY 18 TRIPLE TREE’S PERSPECTIVE ON THE URGENT CARE REVOLUTION 22 GOING FORWARD: WHAT’S NEXT FOR URGENT CARE? TRIPLE-TREE.COM 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Urgent care today is a $16 billion incremental physicians needed to care for market that is expected to grow a larger insured base and the aging U.S. to nearly $20 billion by 2020,1 population. making it one of the strongest growing sectors in healthcare. This rapid growth is being driven by a convergence of market tailwinds, ranging from increased demand from more empowered healthcare consumers to a shortage of primary care physicians and a healthcare ecosystem that is undergoing unprecedented transformation. Urgent care stands at the epicenter of this watershed movement and has the opportunity to impact how healthcare is delivered and consumed in the United States for years to come, specifically by: Lowering costs and increasing convenience. Urgent care has recently garnered significant interest from the healthcare marketplace as the B2B model of past years has given way to a renewed focus on consumers. With the rapid shift in cost burdens and the rise of retail-oriented healthcare consumers, patients will look for new ways to receive lower cost care in more convenient settings. Closing coverage gaps and offsetting increased demand. The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) has expanded healthcare coverage to more than 30 million Americans. As a consequence, the growth in government-sponsored healthcare has amplified the shortage of primary care physicians, with an estimated 50,000 2 INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE | Q4’15 Enabling healthcare reform; helping payers, providers and patients. Urgent care not only helps lower the overall cost structure of care delivery, providing tangible benefits to stakeholders, but also empowers providers to navigate the transition from fee-for-service to value-based compensation. Differentiating service offerings that help segment care delivery and improve the patient experience. The definition of an urgent care provider is still being formed as urgent care players, big and small, are marketing a myriad of different service offerings. As a result, patient populations that historically sought care in higher-cost settings now have a more diverse set of options that appropriately address patient acuity, creating opportunities to free up emergency room capacity and to improve patient experiences and outcomes. Developing technologies to manage the business and improve care continuity. The evolution of clinical technologies designed specifically for the urgent care setting will help the industry improve the revenue cycle while preparing providers for the emerging realities of a more integrated health system. With the healthcare system now squarely aligned around the consumer, TripleTree believes urgent care will remain central to enhancing the patient experience as well as the delivery and costeffectiveness of healthcare services. In our view, the influx of payers and large delivery systems into the urgent care market will drive the continued integration of urgent care with the rest of the care continuum. This report will provide a comprehensive overview of the urgent care sector, while highlighting recent investment activity and secular trends as well as TripleTree’s perspectives on this large and growing market. “With the rapid shift in healthcare cost burden and the rise of retail-oriented healthcare consumers, patients will be looking for new ways to receive lower cost care in more convenient settings.” TRIPLE-TREE.COM 3 URGENT CARE 101 Despite arriving on the U.S. healthcare scene in the 1970s, urgent care has only recently begun to experience rapid, double-digit annual growth. FIGURE 1. URGENT CARE CENTERS GENERATE SIGNIFICANT COST SAVINGS TO THE HEALTHCARE SYSTEM Coverage expansion, resulting from healthcare reform, has driven annual patient visits to nearly 160 million. This growth has encouraged investment activity across the board as “momand-pop” providers consolidate and as de novo growth continues.2 With approximately two new urgent care facilities opening in the U.S. each week3 and intensified efforts from stakeholders to $228-$583 Estimated Savings Range (Urgent Care vs. ER visit) deliver cost-effective care, the market is reacting to anticipated urgent care volume growth in future years. Urgent care is a form of ambulatory care that is performed outside of an emergency room setting, primarily on a walk-in basis. Often mischaracterized as another form of primary 32 M Non-emergency visits to U.S. Emergency Rooms care, urgent care is filling a growing niche that sits between hospitals and emergency rooms, serving a patient population whose need goes beyond the scope of a primary care physician but may not be severe enough for an emergency room visit. Today, modern urgent care providers are well equipped with expanded capabilities, including x-rays and diagnostic lab services, to care for this $7-$18 B Potential annual cost savings patient population at a fraction of the time and cost, generating significant savings to the overall healthcare ecosystem. 4 INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE | Q4’15 Source: UCAOA, The Case for Urgent Care. © 2015 TripleTree, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Urgent care providers also operate in a marketplace that is beginning to segment itself What is Urgent Care? based on service offerings within the overall care continuum. Similar delivery models, such as retail The marketplace has yet to adopt a standardized clinics, have emerged in an attempt to capitalize definition of what constitutes an urgent care on the continued consumer interest in cost- clinic. A single physician with limited medical effective, convenient care alternatives to primary staff delivering care in a small clinic with no lab or care; however, several notable characteristics radiology capabilities may be characterized as urgent distinguish urgent care providers from retail care just the same as a large center with multiple clinics. Although retail clinics provide relatively board-certified and advanced clinical life support analogous convenience and care access, the physicians with x-ray, laboratory, and emergency primary distinction between the two models is the room equipment.5 The Journal of Urgent Care level of care provided. Medicine (JUCM), in conjunction with the Retail clinics focus the majority of patient volume serviced on simple, acute conditions and preventative care that is typically delivered in high-traffic retail locations, such as CVS, Target, or Walgreens. With larger average facility sizes ranging from 3,600 – 12,000 square feet, urgent care providers are capable of offering Urgent Care Association of America (UCAOA) Benchmarking Committee, has developed a list of criteria to define urgent care. An urgent care clinic is one where: Care is provided primarily on a walk-in basis Office hours are Monday through Friday, a wider array of services to patients in a single including evening hours and at least one location, improving the consumer experience and weekend day establishing brand loyalty.4 Suturing is provided for minor lacerations Freestanding emergency room departments X-rays are provided on-site have also emerged as an extension of the urgent care model. Similar to urgent care, freestanding Based on this narrower definition of urgent care, the emergency room departments are walk-in medical JUCM and UCAOA estimate that roughly 8,000 – facilities that provide convenient and timely access 9,000 urgent care clinics exist in the U.S. today.6 to care. However, these facilities also possess the capabilities to stabilize, treat, and if necessary, transfer patients with high-acuity conditions, such as acute heart attack, stroke and major trauma to a hospital setting. TRIPLE-TREE.COM 5 URGENT CARE 101 CONTINUED Additionally, freestanding emergency room departments are typically 911 receiving and admit all patients regardless of insurance and ability to pay. Adeptus Health One company that is taking a leading role in the freestanding emergency room department market Urgent care also shares several additional is Adeptus Health Inc. (NYSE: ADPT). Backed characteristics with emergency rooms in terms by Sterling Partners since 2011, the Company of extended access, insurance billing, contracting operates the largest network of freestanding rates and staffing models. Once perceived as emergency rooms in the U.S. under the brand First calamitous to the urgent care business model, Choice Emergency Rooms (First Choice), and freestanding emergency room departments have delivers both major and minor emergency medical proven less of a threat to urgent care growth and services for adult and pediatric patients. Currently, profitability given the relative costs to both payers First Choice operates 68 facilities across Arizona, and patients.7 Colorado and Texas, and employs more than 260 Urgent care providers further differentiate themselves from retail clinics, primary care, and board-certified physicians. The Company went public in June 2014. freestanding emergency room departments by offering ancillary services, such as discounted point-of-care prescription dispensing, to provide the consumer with the most cost-effective, convenient experience possible. 6 INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE | Q4’15 Q4 4’15 FIGURE 2. SERVICE OFFERINGS ACROSS THE CARE CONTINUUM: URGENT CARE VERSUS OTHER CARE DELIVERY MODELS High Acuity Emergency Room Hospital-based facility with resources to provide care for the highest-acuity conditions, from acute heart attack to major trauma and stroke Freestanding Emergency Room 911 receiving facility that admits patients regardless of ability to pay; capable of stabilizing, treating or transferring high-acuity conditions Urgent Care Provides care for acute conditions while administering other services generally not available in a primary care setting (X-rays, diagnostic lab services, etc.) on a walk-in basis Primary Care Typically administered by a generalist physician, serving as a point of first contact into the healthcare system operating within normal business Retail Clinic Generally limited to addressing simple, acute conditions (bronchitis and vaccinations) or preventive care (flu shots) within high-traffic settings Low Acuity Note: Illustrative graphic to highlight the primary differentiators between care settings. © 2015 TripleTree, LLC. All Rights Reserved. TRIPLE-TREE.COM 7 THE BROAD IMPACT OF URGENT CARE ACROSS THE CARE CONTINUUM Urgent care providers find themselves in a unique for providers to shift low-risk patients to levels position along the care continuum to solve the of care with lower overhead costs. Managed care needs of multiple stakeholders. By improving contracting and capitated rates have also led care coordination and the end-to-end patient some multispecialty group practices to open their experience, urgent care provides welcome relief own urgent care clinics. Ultimately, for health to payers, providers and consumers seeking systems and large provider organizations seeking opportunities to increase access to care, improve to function as integrated networks, urgent care quality and reduce overall costs. represents a cost-effective delivery method that PAYERS With the continued transition towards value-based care delivery, payers are judiciously selecting department utilization but also improves care coordination and eliminates network leakage. care delivery partners and refining contracting Additionally, with patient experience driving models to reward outcomes, quality and efficiency. nearly one-third of value-based purchasing today, The integration and interoperability of urgent providers have an incentive to deliver consumers care electronic health records are expected to the best experience possible. reduce costs by helping payers identify at-risk populations and individuals with early-stage chronic conditions. With this, urgent care providers should expect to become active participants in payer networks, accountable care organizations and other risk-sharing models.8 Payers will also assess whether urgent care provides timely and convenient access to quality care for their members. CONSUMERS The growth in high-deductible health plans and migration away from defined benefits has left consumers increasingly liable for their healthcare costs. This has resulted in the emergence of the empowered healthcare consumer who pursues lower costs and greater convenience, demands price transparency and wants decision-support tools and a high level of engagement. Urgent PROVIDERS care is well positioned to meet these demands. As the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Further, these additional patient touchpoints Services (CMS) increases penalties for hospital afford providers the ability to anticipate consumer readmissions and the market shifts toward value- demand for adjacent service offerings such as based purchasing, providers of all sizes are looking sports medicine, commercial driver’s license for new revenue streams and ways to offset physicals and international travel preparation. increasing costs. Urgent care and hospital joint ventures have proven to be attractive avenues 8 not only reduces unnecessary emergency room INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE | Q4’15 PhysicianOne Urgent Care PhysicianOne Urgent Care, which has 10 locations in Connecticut, is one example of an urgent care model evolving to address the increasing consumer demand for “on-the-go” healthcare by offering services beyond the scope of traditional, episodic-based urgent care. The Company offers $15 prescriptions and medications for common ailments, as well as physicals for school, sports camp and commercial driver’s license at attractive, clear price points. Additionally, PhysicanOne offers international travelers individual healthcare assessments and preventive treatments specific to travel location needs. PhysicanOne Urgent Care is a portfolio investment of Pulse Equity and PineBridge Investments. “By improving care coordination and the endto-end patient experience, urgent care provides welcome relief to payers, providers and consumers seeking opportunities to increase access to care, improve quality and reduce overall costs.” TRIPLE-TREE.COM 9 THE BUSINESS OF URGENT CARE Over the past 50 years, urgent care has By one estimate, the baby boomer generation of evolved into a model defined by attractive unit 65+ year olds in the U.S. is expected to double, economics, favorable reimbursement trends and while the 85+ year old population is expected to a differentiated service offering focused on the triple by 2050.9 Studies based on estimates of consumer. With modest initial capital expenditure population growth, aging and increased coverage requirements, a flexible cost structure and multiple further indicate an approximate 2% growth rate revenue and expense levers to drive profitability, per year in the number of visits to primary care urgent care allows for a relatively short path to a physicians, which translates to 51% more visits positive return on investment. over the next 20 years.10 Increasing demand for care has been confronted by the secular trend of Growth also stems from healthcare reform ushering more than 30 million Americans into the healthcare system, many for the first time. The a diminishing number of graduating physicians entering primary care residencies. influx of newly insured exacerbates pressure to With the supply of primary care physicians, a system that is already reeling from a physician adjusted for age and gender, projected to grow shortage due to an aging population. only about 2%,11 team-based approaches to care delivery, such as the patient-centered medical FIGURE 3. URGENT CARE MARKET DISTRIBUTION 10,000 9,000 Other 2.3% Individual (Non-Physician) 8,000 4.4% Other Government 5% Workers’ Other 3% Compensation 5% 6-10 8.3% Hospital 25.2% 7,000 10+ 14.8% FIGURE 4. PAYER MIX 3-5 11.4% 6,000 Out-of-Pocket 10% 1-2 65.6% 5,000 Physician Owned 35.4% 4,000 3,000 Medicaid 5% Private Insurance 55% Franchise 2.2% 2,000 Corporation 30.5% 1,000 0 Number of Clinics Ownership Distribution Medicare 17% Market Distribution (Number of Clinics) Source: UCAOA, TripleTree Estimates. © 2015 TripleTree, LLC. All Rights Reserved. 10 INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE | Q4’15 home, have emerged and may help alleviate or dialysis facilities, due to relatively favorable, capacity constraints over the short-to-medium primarily commercial payer mix. Further cost term. However, with lackluster support for savings generated by urgent care, relative to residency training and anticipated retirement of primary care or emergency departments, deliver nearly one-third of all physicians in the near future, welcome protection in the wake of recent and urgent care is poised to address a critical shortfall ongoing reimbursement scrutiny. in the healthcare delivery system.12 This supply and demand imbalance, coupled with focused efforts to deliver cost-effective care, will drive a significant increase in patient volumes towards urgent care as the market demands “just-in-time” care delivery services that lie in the void between primary care and the emergency department. Understanding the interplay between these revenue and expense levers is mission critical for urgent care operators. Successful urgent care providers tend to focus on one or two distinct areas, while intensely centering their strategy around the dimensions of service offerings and levels, convenience, experience and price. Reimbursement for urgent care services can Key levers also include site selection, patient be considered more stable compared to other acquisition and retention, staffing models and segments such as ambulatory surgical centers back-office management. FIGURE 5. ESTIMATED PHYSICIAN SHORTAGE: 2008 - 2025 950,000 130,600 Physician Shortage Projected 850,000 750,000 650,000 2008 2010 Physician Demand 2015 (E) 2020 (E) 2025 (E) Physician Supply Source: AAMC center for Workforce Studies. © 2015 TripleTree, LLC. All Rights Reserved. TRIPLE-TREE.COM 11 FIGURE 6. DRIVERS OF URGENT CARE PROFITABILITY URGENT CARE Revenue Levers POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES Offer a differentiated experience versus other providers Expense Levers LEVER LEVER POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES Visits Wages / Benefits ~60% of expenses Drive loyalty to increase repeat volume Occupancy EXAMPLES OF DIFFERENTIATORS ~15% of expenses Breadth of adjacent services “Concierge”- like services Flexible patient scheduling “Spa”- like patient experience ~10% Marketing ~5% of expenses EXAMPLES OF FLEXIBLE REIMBURSEMENT OPTIONS Additional services Volume discounts of expenses Re-negotiate with payers to increase reimbursement rates Pay-for-performance Assess real estate quality / cost trade-offs to optimize footprint Supplies Revenue Per Visit Increase self-pay pricing Bundling/ unbundling services Rely more heavily on physician extenders Lower reliance on traditional media to drive awareness Other ~10% Volume discounts Ancillary business expenses of expenses PROFIT Source: TripleTree Analysis. © 2015 TripleTree, LLC. All Rights Reserved. 12 INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE | Q4’15 DRIVING DIFFERENTIATED CARE DELIVERY The key to long-term sustainability of urgent choosing a hybrid model with physician extenders care providers amidst a volume-centric model playing a more active role in the delivery of care is how well they differentiate themselves and due to patient load and utilization fluctuations. develop brand equity, which has a direct impact on patient loyalty and retention. Consumer attraction is far more complicated than simply delivering immediate care over extended hours. The consensus among established urgent care providers is that long-term success has as much to do with patient experience and satisfaction as care and treatment. Staffing – Evaluating the Use of Physician Extenders: Physicians are typically the primary medical administrators in urgent care settings, with roughly 70% of practitioners holding a board certification in family practice or emergency medicine, and a smaller subset electing a fellowship in urgent care medicine.13 Recently, however, physician extenders have Below is an analysis of key components of the been increasingly tapped as nurse practitioners urgent care model that not only differentiates and physician assistants practice at the “top of providers from one another, but also contrasts their license” to alleviate capacity constraints other delivery models. and further reduce costs. Slightly less than SERVICE OFFERING Urgent care can define offerings by both breadth of services as well as staffing models. For example, many providers have chosen to provide ancillary services alongside traditional half of urgent care providers reported using mid-level practitioners either “frequently” or “almost always,” as this staffing trade-off is an important consideration in managing profitability.14 occupational medicine. Tangential services from In some cases, staffing models may serve as x-rays and diagnostic lab services to point-of- a point of differentiation for providers that care dispensing not only serve as additional are committed to physician-led care delivery. sources of revenue, but also enable providers to For example, MedExpress, an urgent care address a greater cross-section of patient needs. provider recently acquired by Optum with Urgent care providers have increasingly utilized locations across 12 states, relies on a physician- telemedicine as a means to establish frequent led approach with a full medical team to patient interactions, resulting in more touch points support care delivery, follow-up and care through follow-up visits that often address higher- coordination. States individually regulate the acuity conditions. Aside from the diversity of use of extenders, which contributes to the wide service offerings, variability exists among staffing variation in staffing models deployed across the models across urgent care, with some providers space. In all cases, however, physicians serve utilizing a physician-only approach, and others an important role in supervising and managing care delivery. TRIPLE-TREE.COM 13 DRIVING DIFFERENTIATED CARE DELIVERY CONTINUED Occupational Health – the Concentra Approach to Market Leadership: CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE Occupational health is another growth channel healthcare decisions and more care options than and differentiator for urgent care providers. ever before, patients are rapidly transitioning Corporate and government clients negotiate into healthcare consumers with many of the these services prior to delivery for a reduced same expectations they have for the retail price or under a cost-plus arrangement in industry and other consumer-centric industries. which the provider is compensated for service Convenience, price and loyalty have emerged as delivery while receiving a fixed price to cover essential components in establishing a meaningful operational expenses. Although occupational relationship with patients. Faced with increasing ownership over their health may prove an additional source of Convenience: In urgent care, convenience revenue growth, the margin varies across no longer solely pertains to flexible hours providers. Providers must consider several and reduced wait times. Today, convenience factors in determining the attractiveness of also concerns location and regional density. delivering occupational health, such as patient Location serves as a major differentiator in volume and service mix as well as costs specific driving patient loyalty and retention as seen to the geographic area. Concentra has found with Target’s or Walmart’s retail strategy. occupational health advantageous, as the As with other consumer-focused verticals, Company has established a strong footprint the ability to influence consumer perception for both worksite facilities and offsite clinical toward believing “it is always there when you locations. need it” delivers a key advantage to urgent care networks and chains. FIGURE 7. AVERAGE WAIT TIME TO RECEIVE CARE PRIMARY CARE EMERGENCY ROOM URGENT CARE 3+ Hours 6 Day Wait vs. 247 Minute Wait Saved using Urgent Care over an Emergency Room vs. 14-27% 45 Minute Wait ER visits that could have been handled by Urgent Care Source: UCAOA, The Case for Urgent Care. © 2015 TripleTree, LLC. All Rights Reserved. 14 INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE | Q4’15 Price: Price transparency is one of the most experience through messaging, delivery, influential factors for consumers when transparency and ambiance, which may considering an urgent care provider and is incorporate a consistent layout, workflow or especially prevalent for patients responsible service features. In almost all cases, providers for their own healthcare and covered under curate a personal experience that is prevalent high-deductible health plans. Consequently, across consumer-oriented verticals. Acute care urgent care providers are acutely aware of their providers often tailor this approach to meet price levels in comparison to other competing the specific needs of the geographic area or options, and actively leverage potential savings patient population in focus. An example of as part of their marketing efforts. FastMed, for this is Urgent Care for Kids, which has carved example, notes the average bill at its clinics is out a niche within several major metropolitan one-seventh the cost of an average visit to the markets in Texas by delivering an approach emergency department. exclusively focused on the “21-years-and under” demographic. Loyalty: A happy, loyal patient translates into long-term recurring revenue for urgent care providers. Providers can enhance patient FIGURE 8. ESTIMATED TREATMENT COST COMPARISONS AND POTENTIAL SAVINGS EMERGENCY ROOM URGENT CARE Urinary Tract Infection $108 Urinary Tract Infection $940 Acute Bronchitis $123 Acute Bronchitis $795 Influenza $128 Influenza $804 Acute Sinusitis $105 Acute Sinusitis $589 Middle Ear Infection $94 Middle Ear Infection $467 Conjunctivitis $101 Conjunctivitis $390 vs. POTENTIAL SAVINGS Urinary Tract Infection 89% Acute Bronchitis 85% Influenza 84% Acute Sinusitis 82% Middle Ear Infection 80% Conjunctivitis 74% Source: CareFirst Blue Cross Blue Shield. © 2015 TripleTree, LLC. All Rights Reserved. TRIPLE-TREE.COM 15 THE IMPORTANT ROLE OF TECHNOLOGY In addition to a differentiated service offering and outcomes-oriented approach, urgent care FastMed & MD Now providers are focusing on transparent billing and technology support for patients seeking care An ABRY Partners portfolio company, FastMed continuity. has achieved rapid growth across Arizona and North BILLING As patients now have the option to choose amongst multiple urgent care providers, the market has grown increasingly cognizant of the importance of billing and collections to sustain margins and earn patient satisfaction. As a result, consumer-friendly approaches to the billing process have emerged. As described with FastMed, mentioned on the right, some of the most effective innovations have occurred by developing consumer-friendly payment portals designed to improve cost transparency and convenience. In addition, many providers have also focused on calculating the patient-responsible portion of the bill upon check-in to improve the revenue Carolina. Driven by an impressive track record of de novo growth in their core markets, the Company has emerged as a leading example of the new-age urgent care delivery model. In addition to location density, FastMed has invested in an array of consumer-facing technologies to improve the patient experience. For example, ZipPass is a unique scheduling tool developed by FastMed to reduce patient wait times by providing visibility into the earliest available appointment times. To support this application, the Company has developed an online registration tool to streamline check-in and care delivery. FastMed has also developed similar consumer-friendly technologies that allow for online bill presentment and payment. cycle through upfront or onsite payment services Similarly, MD Now, a South Florida-based with discounts for paying cash. Revenue cycle provider, has achieved growth following a private management continues to be a crucial area of equity investment in early 2012. Today, MD Now investment for urgent care providers. operates more than 22 chains across Broward, Miami-Dade, and Palm Beach counties in South Florida. The Company’s growing footprint has provided it with separation from other providers across these highly competitive markets by delivering an easily accessible resource for consumers seeking access to care options. 16 INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE | Q4’15 TECHNOLOGY Opponents of the urgent care model argue that Urgent Care Accreditation the transactional nature of care delivery may contribute to fragmentation, citing the fact that Urgent care facilities, unlike hospital emergency providers have little incentive to manage patient rooms, are not authorized by insurance companies care beyond resolution to immediate health to receive a facility fee, which is typically a payment problems. This is an increasingly timely concern made to cover supplementary resource use that as the traditional delivery system evolves with occurs in addition to the services and procedures payers and providers seeking greater management provided by physicians.15 With most urgent care of patient conditions at all stages across the facilities reimbursed at primary care rates or flat care continuum. Large health systems such rates with negotiated carve-out payments for x-rays as Northwell Health (f/k/a North Shore-LIJ) and other procedures, the financial viability of many have already begun to form partnerships and facilities is questioned when administering complex acquire urgent care providers to deliver care levels of care. and increase interoperability. The evolution of clinical technologies designed specifically for the urgent care setting have further helped prepare providers for emerging realities associated with a more integrated delivery system. Specifically, the development of electronic medical record technologies eases the transfer and sharing of patient information with clinics, hospitals and other entities. New technologies developed specifically for the urgent care sector, such as those delivered by CodoniX, DocuTAP or Practice Velocity, create an effective medium for the efficient communication of patient records across an integrated network. Today, the Joint Commission, an independent not-for-profit organization that accredits and certifies more than 20,500 healthcare organizations and programs in the U.S., accredits urgent care in its ambulatory care accreditation program. The accreditation of urgent care facilities may be the key to insurers’ willingness to pay a facility fee in addition to the professional fees for services rendered in a clinic.16 Before accreditation criteria can be tailored for urgent care, there must first be a clear definition that is universally accepted by all stakeholders. Within urgent care, separate voluntary accreditation processes are overseen by the Urgent Care Association of America and the American Academy of Urgent Care Medicine.17 TRIPLE-TREE.COM 17 TRIPLE TREE’S PERSPECTIVE ON THE URGENT CARE REVOLUTION TripleTree believes that the urgent care revolution In addition to private equity, large healthcare is still in its early innings, as the market remains organizations such as payers and large delivery highly fragmented. As one estimate suggests, the systems have emerged as a growing presence in top 10 urgent care providers operate only 20% of urgent care, primarily driven by efforts to stymie the clinics, while another notes that the largest rising healthcare costs and establish new revenue four urgent care players account for only 1% of the opportunities following healthcare reform. Payers industry’s revenue.18 Under either estimate, only are intrigued as urgent care supports the effort to a handful of providers have achieved regional, reduce medical cost and better manage member let alone national, scale and profitability. Much health. Early partnerships and acquisitions made of the recent growth has been driven by private by payers in the urgent care market provide a equity activity as the unit economics create glimpse into what the future may hold, as payers a strong case for investment, and the private have leveraged urgent care as a tool to manage equity model provides a vehicle for established emergency department overutilization and shift urgent care chains to fund rapid expansion that members to lower-cost settings. allows providers to bypass the typical cash flow constraints created by new clinic development and the ramp time required to reach profitability. THE PARTNERSHIP PLAYBOOK FOR URGENT CARE MinuteClinic, a retail clinic operator owned by TripleTree believes that private equity will CVS Health, has launched a series of innovative continue to play a leading role in future market partnerships with 40+ leading health systems maturation as financial sponsors have the ability across the country in which health system- to provide the necessary capital to fund rapid affiliated physicians serve as medical directors to clinic and geographic expansion. Given the current manage the provision of care delivery in clinics pace of growth among many leading urgent care across a geographic area. Medical directors also providers, it will not be long before more urgent collaborate on patient education and disease care chains achieve greater scale and brand management initiatives delivered through the recognition. However, the current number of clinic network. The clinical affiliation encourages opportunities to acquire urgent care platforms collaboration among affiliated physicians and with scale and profitability is somewhat limited, MinuteClinic clinical staff to improve coordination making the case for de novo market entry and of care for patients seen at these locations. As part further consolidation of smaller players. of the partnership, MinuteClinic is working with partners to electronically share medical histories and visit summaries to improve care coordination and delivery. This partnership model, with the 18 INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE | Q4’15 FIGURE 9. SELECT PRIVATE EQUITY INVESTMENTS IN URGENT CARE COMPANY FIRM(S) CURRENT SIZE MARKET(S) WCAS, Ferrer Freeman, Others (1999) Humana (2010) Cressey, WCAS, Select Medical (2015) 330 National Altaris (2010) Dignity Health (2012) 171 National Excellere Partners (2007) General Atlantic, Sequoia (2010) Optum (2015) 141 National Enhanced Equity (2008) 107 AZ CO KS MO NC OH OK TX VA WV NM Comvest Partners (2010) ABRY (2015) 87 WCAS (2007, 2011) 58 Summit Partners (2011) Fresenius Medical (2014) 34 TX IL MA LLR Partners (2012) 34 IL IN NE Shore Capital Partners (2012) 29 Ridgemont Partners (2012) Co-Founder (2014) 26 OH MI TPG (2014) 26 NY OR Brockway Moran (2012) 22 SV Life Sciences (2012) 20 Source Capital, LLC (2012) MSouth Equity Partners (2015) 18 Pulse Equity, PineBridge Investments (2011) 10 CT Friedman, Fleischer and Lowe (2011) 9 GA AZ FL KS NC MO TN TX TN FL AR MS GA TN AL Source: TripleTree Analysis. © 2015 TripleTree, LLC. All Rights Reserved. TRIPLE-TREE.COM 19 TRIPLE TREE’S PERSPECTIVE ON THE URGENT CARE REVOLUTION CONTINUED ability to drive routine care towards retail settings Providing a broader, but more integrated level that physicians monitor, is well suited for future of care within the community will enable HCA’s accountable care collaboration efforts. emergency departments to get back to the MinuteClinic’s reach has further expanded with CVS Health’s acquisition of 1,600 Target pharmacies and the rebranding of 80 Target clinics. The Company has publicly announced plans to operate 1,500 MinuteClinics nationwide by 2017. opposed to the wrong venue of choice for primary care. Dialysis provider Fresenius Medical Care has also entered into the urgent care space through its acquisition of MedSpring Urgent Care. This transaction, coupled with the acquisition of Sound Dignity Health, one of the nation’s largest Inpatient Physicians, a hospitalist and post- health systems, entered the market through acute staffing provider, signals the drive to offer the acquisition of U.S. HealthWorks and has adjacent, but complementary services to the core continued to build on this platform inorganically. dialysis business. Dignity Health has been at the forefront of efforts made by large health systems to function as integrated delivery networks by entering new ancillary care settings beyond the hospital. U.S. HealthWorks provides Dignity with a platform to drive primary care services, while recent partnerships with United Surgical Partners International (USPI) and SimonMed Imaging create avenues to deliver ancillary care services as part of an integrated network. 20 provision of care for truly emergent needs as Another recent market entrant, Optum, initially elected to pursue a more targeted expansion strategy, launching de novo clinics and opportunistically acquiring urgent care providers in markets where high emergency room utilization and primary care physician shortages exist. The Company has since emerged as a national player in the urgent care market following the 2015 acquisition of MedExpress. These expansion efforts serve as an extension of Optum’s current Hospital systems HCA Holding, Inc. and consumer-centric healthcare initiatives, which Tenet Healthcare, alongside other provider have included efforts to improve transparency organizations such as Fresenius Medical Care, and navigation for consumers. In select markets, have increased their presence in the urgent care Optum’s approach appeals to those who have space through acquisitions and de novo market elected to shop for affordable care services, as entry. HCA’s 2014 acquisition of CareNow and well as those in need of immediate attention recent acquisition of Urgent Care Extra’s Nevada or care outside of traditional primary care operations provide the Company with nearly 40 physician hours. The strategy also supports care facilities in the Dallas-Fort Worth and Las Vegas coordination efforts as clinical staff can connect markets, complementing its growing network patients with the appropriate downstream medical of hospital, emergency and outpatient services. services to ensure proper follow-up care. INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE | Q4’15 FIGURE 10. STRATEGIC INFLUENCE IN THE URGENT CARE MARKETPLACE COMPANY INVESTMENT STRATEGIC RATIONALE Entered into strategic partnership in 2012 that included a minority investment to support growth in North Carolina Entered market through 2012 acquisition; plans to expand nationally and enhance surgical and imaging services via partnerships with USPI and SimonMed Imaging Entered market through 2014 acquisition of CareNow; recently acquired Las Vegas operations of Urgent Care Extra. Complements growing network of hospital, emergency and outpatient services in Dallas-Fort Worth and Las Vegas areas Entered market in 2014 with acquisition of MedSpring Urgent Care; footprint in Illinois, Massachusetts and Texas 2014 strategic partnership with TPG-backed Access Clinical Partners reflects the health system’s desire to offer an additional portal of entry to other services Targeted market strategy focused on markets where high emergency room utilization and primary care physician shortages exist 2014 de novo market entry with national network of clinics to expand into faster-growing, less capital intensive, higher margin businesses Source: TripleTree Analysis. © 2015 TripleTree, LLC. All Rights Reserved. TRIPLE-TREE.COM 21 GOING FORWARD: WHAT’S NEXT FOR URGENT CARE? As consumers continue to learn to urgent care when seeking preventive care services shop and navigate the healthcare will create awareness regarding the effectiveness system similar to how they behave of the urgent care model. with other industries, the proliferation of urgent care clinic volumes will continue to accelerate. In addition, the expected shift of employers to defined-contribution benefit programs will provide consumers with more control over their coverage and care decisions. This will create millions of new care purchasing decisions each day and drive increasing demand for urgent care in the coming years. Furthermore, the expansion of healthcare coverage sending more lives into a disjointed care delivery system will shed light on a healthcare system that is woefully underprepared to handle the massive influx of the newly insured. Urgent care Finally, cost continues to be top of mind for all industry stakeholders, including consumers. The continued quest amongst healthcare stakeholders to solve cost and quality issues will drive new opportunities in urgent care. These opportunities will be created because of the effectiveness of the model both in terms of delivering preventive care and in addressing immediate attention to common medical needs. In future years, TripleTree fully expects that healthcare access will be delivered through the most convenient and cost-effective channels, which will include urgent care. providers will be essential to keep pace with the increased demand for care, and furthermore, to appropriately address resulting physician shortages. The influx of payers and large delivery systems into the urgent care market will drive continued integration with the rest of the care continuum. As this occurs, urgent care chains will play a larger role in managing patient transitions and directing follow-up care. Similar to Optum’s approach, communication with clinic staff will become integral to the traditional urgent care experience. In addition, the overall impact of efforts made by these organizations to drive patients towards 22 INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE | Q4’15 “Urgent care stands at the epicenter of this watershed movement and has the opportunity to impact how healthcare is delivered and consumed in the United States for years to come.” TRIPLE-TREE.COM 23 ENDNOTES 1. Turk, Sarah. Urgent Care Centers in the U.S. IBISWorld. 2015. 2. Urgent Care Association of America. White Paper: The Case for Urgent Care. 3. Stern, David. Status of Urgent Care in the U.S. – 2005. Business Briefing: Emergency Medicine Review. 4. Kaissi, Amer. Flipping Health Care through Retail Clinics and Convenient Care Models. IGI Global, 2015. 5. Weinick, Robin; Bristol, Steffanie; Marder, Jessica; DesRoches, Catherine. The Search for the Urgent Care Center. The Journal of Urgent Care Medicine. 2009. 6. Weinick, Robin; Bristol, Steffanie; Marder, Jessica; DesRoches, Catherine. The Search for the Urgent Care Center. The Journal of Urgent Care Medicine. 2009. 7. McGuireWoods. 2019 and Beyond: Perspectives of 15 Urgent Care Leaders. 8. McGuireWoods. 2019 and Beyond: Perspectives of 15 Urgent Care Leaders. 9. U.S. Census Bureau, National Projections 2012. 10. Green, Linda. The Primary Care Physician Shortage. Uris Hall Auditorium, New York. 2014. Lecture. 11. Green, Linda. The Primary Care Physician Shortage. Uris Hall Auditorium, New York. 2014. Lecture. 12. Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC). Physician Shortages to Worsen Without Increases in Residency Training. 2015. 13. National Association for Ambulatory Care. 2012. 14. Key, Dale. Benchmarking Your Urgent Care. Urgent Care Association of America Conference. 15. Weinick, Robin; Betancourt, Renee. No Appointment Needed - The Resurgence of Urgent Care Centers in the United States. California Healthcare Foundation. 2007. 16. Weinick, Robin; Betancourt, Renee. No Appointment Needed - The Resurgence of Urgent Care Centers in the United States. California Healthcare Foundation. 2007. 17. Weinick, Robin; Betancourt, Renee. No Appointment Needed - The Resurgence of Urgent Care Centers in the United States. California Healthcare Foundation. 2007. 18. Merchant Medicine. 2013. 24 INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVE | Q4’15 HEALTHCARE MERCHANT BANKING TRIPLE-TREE.COM NO PA RT O F T HI S P U B L I CATIO N MAY BE PRO DU C E D O R TRANSMITTED IN ANY FORM OR BY ANY MEANS, ELECTRONIC OR MECHA N I C A L, W I T H OU T PE RM ISS I O N I N W R I T I N G FRO M TRIPL E TRE E . TH E IN FO RMATION CONTAINED HEREIN HAS BEEN OBTAINED FROM SOURCES BELIEVED TO B E R E LI A B LE , B U T TH E ACCU RACY A N D CO M P L E TE N E SS O F TH E IN FO RMATIO N , A ND THAT OF THE OP INIONS BASED THEREIN, ARE NOT GUARANTEED. 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