2Q15 - Newmark Grubb Knight Frank
Transcription
2Q15 - Newmark Grubb Knight Frank
2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Table of Contents 2 National Multihousing Market Overview 3 Market Overview 4 Historical Sales Volume 5 Development Pipeline 6 Vacancy Rates 7 Market Metrics: Average Price Per Unit 8 Market Metrics: Average Cap Rate 9 Top 20 Buyers and Sellers 10 International Capital Distribution: Invested Capital $50 + Million 11 International Capital Distribution: Heat Map 12 Largest Landlords by Units 13 Top Regional Buyers 14 Volume by Transaction Type 15 Supply Relative to Job Growth 16 Primary Market Fundamentals 17 Historical Rent Growth vs. Inflation 18 Volume Examination: By Property Type and Market Tier 19 Price Per Unit by Vintage 20 Buyer and Seller Distribution 21 Multihousing Debt Origination 22 Primary vs. Secondary Multihousing Markets 23 Market Insight: Student Housing 24 Significant Investment Sales 25 Properties on the Market 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 2 |2 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Market Overview ► Multihousing has remained in expansion mode throughout the first half of 2015 with $59.5 billion in transaction volume, representing a 29.6% increase from the first half of 2014 – Year-to-date, private and institutional investors have accounted for 89.4% of purchases ► National cap rates declined to 5.9% in 2Q15, while the average price per unit increased to $130,375 ► Although more than 230,000 units are expected to be delivered in 2015, the National Multihousing Council estimates nearly 300,000 to 400,000 units will be needed to meet annual demand ► Increased capital flow into secondary and tertiary markets is occurring as investors seek higher yield, with a preference for suburban Class A and Class B product ► Vacancies remained stagnant at 4.2% nationally, while asking and effective rents increased 1.1% in 2Q15 – The West region features the lowest vacancy rate and was the top performing rent growth region year-over-year. Rental rate advance is predominantly led by appreciation of 5% or greater in Seattle, Denver, Oakland, San Francisco and San Jose ► International Capital over the past 12 months was the strongest in the Southeast region, with both Raleigh-Durham and Atlanta seeing over $450 million of foreign investment ► As the apartment REITs continue to scale their business, the industry has undergone consolidation – Brookfield Asset Management recently acquired Associated Estates and Lone Star acquired Home Properties ► There has been a large influx of institutional investment in the student housing sector over the course of the past three years, highlighted by several new equity entrants 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 3 |3 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Historical Sales Volume United States (Billions) $40 Through the first two quarters of 2015, multihousing sales volume $35 increased 29.6% to $59.5 billion, compared with $45.9 billion during $30 the same period in 2014. $25 Sales volume of garden properties accounted for 69.1% of multihousing transactions in 2Q15. $20 $15 As investors seek higher yields, secondary markets have experienced considerable increases in volume $10 year-over-year: - Orlando +165.7% $5 - Charlotte +127.1% - Minneapolis +122.2% - Sacramento +118.2% $0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015-YTD 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 4 |4 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Development Pipeline Annually Completed Units (United States) According to the National Multifamily Housing Council (NMHC), 300,000 180,000 167,754 to 400,000 units will be needed to 160,000 meet national demand. 138,775 140,000 134,971 Reis expects 230,224 units to be delivered in 2015. 119,330 120,000 100,000 93,227 100,804 100,630 95,205 Houston continues to lead the country in new construction with 79,654 14,374 units expected to be 79,726 80,000 delivered in 2015, followed by New York City with 11,548 and Dallas 60,000 with 9,418. 43,016 40,000 Nashville is the top-ranked metro for forecasted inventory growth 20,000 at 15.6%. 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, U.S. Census Bureau, Reis 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015-YTD 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 5 |5 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Vacancy Rates United States 2005 5.7% In 2015, national vacancy rates remained unchanged and have 2006 5.8% 2007 contracted marginally since 2013. 5.7% 2008 At 3.4%, the West region continues to boast the lowest 6.7% vacancy rate in the country, 2009 8.0% followed by the Northeast at 3.5%. 2010 6.6% 2011 5.3% 2012 Year-over-year, vacancy rates have declined sharply in Memphis (140 basis points), Dayton (120) 4.6% and Las Vegas (100), while Austin 2013 4.3% 2014 4.2% 2015-YTD 4.2% and Boston have seen vacancy rates rise 100 and 110 basis points, respectively. 0% 1% 2% Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Reis 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 6 |6 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Market Metrics: Average Price Per Unit SEATTLE $205,143 MINNEAPOLIS PORTLAND $175,541 $147,957 BOSTON $286,786 DETROIT $92,162 SAN FRANCISCO MANHATTAN $312,152 $72,375 SAN JOSE $238,411 $167,831 LAS VEGAS $491,539 PHILADELPHIA CHICAGO WASHINGTON, DC INDIANAPOLIS DENVER KANSAS CITY $162,256 $63,619 $185,181 $295,893 $68,108 Additional Markets ST. LOUIS $84,484 LOS ANGELES NASHVILLE CHARLOTTE $108,066 $90,320 PHOENIX $219,269 SAN DIEGO $90,319 $202,025 DALLAS ATLANTA $92,380 $96,190 ORLANDO AUSTIN $138,718 $114,736 HOUSTON $82,477 TAMPA $94,021 MIAMI $208,656 Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics MSA Baltimore Cincinnati Cleveland Columbus Jacksonville Long Island Louisville Palm Beach Pittsburgh Raleigh-Durham Sacramento Salt Lake City San Antonio Stamford Westchester PPU $107,472 $80,870 $46,781 $60,032 $70,690 $139,205 $73,896 $139,973 $53,381 $104,269 $105,600 $133,207 $150,694 $125,448 $181,910 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 7 |7 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Market Metrics: Average Cap Rate SEATTLE 5.3% PORTLAND 5.5% MINNEAPOLIS 6.3% BOSTON 4.8% DETROIT 7.4% SAN FRANCISCO MANHATTAN CHICAGO 3.9% PHILADELPHIA 6.3% 7.2% DENVER SAN JOSE INDIANAPOLIS 5.3% 4.8% 4.0% 4.0% KANSAS CITY WASHINGTON, DC 7.2% 4.0% LAS VEGAS 6.0% Additional Markets ST. LOUIS 7.3% LOS ANGELES CHARLOTTE NASHVILLE 6.1% 6.2% 4.9% SAN DIEGO 5.1% PHOENIX ATLANTA 6.1% DALLAS 5.5% 6.6% AUSTIN ORLANDO 5.3% 6.9% HOUSTON 6.3% TAMPA 5.6% MIAMI 5.2% Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics MSA Cap Rate Baltimore Cincinnati Cleveland Columbus Jacksonville Long Island Louisville Palm Beach Pittsburgh Raleigh-Durham Sacramento Salt Lake City San Antonio Stamford Westchester 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 5.9% 7.9% 7.0% 7.0% 6.9% 5.7% 6.5% 5.1% 6.7% 6.1% 5.6% 6.5% 5.8% 5.9% 6.6% 8 |8 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Top 20 Buyers Top 20 Sellers Past 12 Months (Millions) Past 12 Months (Millions) BH Management Services $692 Invesco Real Estate $742 David Werner Real Estate $695 Related Companies $775 Kushner Companies $714 Capri $785 Invesco Real Estate $719 Bettina Equities $800 $806 Essex Property Trust $782 Alliance Residential Kennedy Wilson $788 City Investment Fund Rockpoint Group $799 Cortland Partners $910 Heitman $914 Brookfield Asset Management $917* Greystar Real Estate Partners $953 TIAA-CREF $982 Starwood Capital Group Maximus Real Estate Partners Thor Equities TruAmerica Multifamily $1,224 Guardian Life Insurance Co Blackstone Lone Star Blackstone $1,052 AvalonBay $1,068 Rockpoint Group $1,068 Fairfield Residential $1,084 Wood Partners $1,126 $1,208 $1,036 Urban American Management Corp $1,058 Strata Equity Group Fortress Greystar Real Estate Partners $1,004 Fannie Mae JP Morgan Praedium Group $1,348 DRA Advisors $1,488 Bell Partners $1,833* Clarion Partners $3,478 $917 Gables Residential $1,141 $1,198 $1,255 $1,328 $1,560 $1,679 $1,935 $2,179 $3,036 * Brookfield Asset Management’s acquisition of Associated Estates and Lone Star’s acquisition of Home Properties are scheduled to close by 4Q15; therefore, they are not calculated in our methodology at this time. Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 9 |9 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview International Capital Distribution United States (Past 12 Months) Singapore 2.1% Sweden 2.4% Kuwait 2.9% INVESTED CAPITAL $50 + MILLION Brookfield Asset Management Other 6.6% $1 B+ Bahrain 3.8% UBS Financial Services, Starlight Investments Investcorp, CPP Investment Board, Wafra $500 M - $999 M $250 M - $499 M Percentage Based Upon Dollar Volume of Properties Purchased UK 4.9% Canada 55.4% Mexico 6.3% Zurich Financial, Akelius Fastigheter AB, Balfour Beatty, H&R Retail, IDB Group, Mapletree Commercial Trust, Ruimy Family, Pure Multi-Family REIT, Ergas Group, Caisse de Depot, Grosvenor, Venterra Properties $100 M - $249 M Kenedix, Menora Mivtachim Holdings, Kaufu Properties LLC, Mitsui Fudosan, Belkorp Industries Inc, Olayan Group, Acro Group, Universal-Investment, Land & Houses PLC, Brass Enterprises, Retirement Concepts, Emma Capital, Polar Investments Ltd $50 M - $99 M Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics Israel 4.8% Switzerland 10.8% 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 10 | 10 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview International Capital Distribution Past 12 Month The top five metros for multihousing investment by international capital over the past 12 months were: New York City ($1.8 billion), San Francisco ($785.7 million), Dallas ($769.4 million), Washington, DC ($701.1 million), and RaleighDurham ($547.8 million). Regional Volume Analysis Midwest 10.0% Southeast 23.5% MidAtlantic 12.1% Northeast 20% West 14.2% Northeast 20.1% Southwest 20.1% Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 11 | 11 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Largest Landlords by Units United States and Regions Company Equity Residential MAA Clarion Partners Blackstone Essex Property Trust Greystar Real Estate Partners Aimco Fairfield Residential Westdale UDR Home Properties AvalonBay Communities GE Capital Weidner Apartment Homes Morgan Properties Starwood Capital Group General Investment & Development Morgan Stanley Fowler Property Acquisitions JRK Asset Management Goldman Sachs Bridge Investments DRA Advisors Ares Management Harbor International Group Total Units 110,552 80,411 63,834 51,848 45,275 40,770 39,876 38,444 37,034 35,065 34,618 34,204 33,479 31,786 31,361 30,289 29,906 29,862 28,491 28,482 28,433 25,953 25,861 25,823 25,314 Northeast Total Units Mid-Atlantic Total Units Cammeby’s International Group 18,375 Southern Management 24,468 RiverBay Corporation 15,372 Home Properties 22,789 CWCapital 12,514 Morgan Properties 21,552 Equity Residential 12,053 Sawyer Realty Holdings 17,329 Morgan Management 11,814 Equity Residential 15,108 Southeast Total Units Midwest Total Units MAA 51,614 Monarch 13,484 Cortland Partners 17,339 Mills Properties Inc. 9,539 Lindsey Management Co 16,939 Princeton Enterprises 9,240 Bell Partners 14,554 Apollo Property Management 9,235 Starwood Capital Group 13,976 K&D Group 9,041 Southwest Total Units West Total Units MAA 22,998 Essex Property Trust 44,893 Westdale 21,554 Equity Residential 30,936 CWS Capital Partners 18,958 Irvine Companies 22,940 Weidner Apartment Homes 18,251 Kennedy Wilson 19,710 Bridge Investments Group 14,719 AvalonBay Communities 17,916 * Brookfield Asset Management’s acquisition of Associated Estates and Lone Star’s acquisition of Home Properties are scheduled to close by 4Q15; therefore, they are not calculated in our methodology at this time. Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 12 | 12 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Regional Buyers YOY% Change of Top Buyers West Company Midwest Southwest Company YOY % Guardian Life Insurance Co 274% Clarion Partners 871% Heitman New Entry Lone Star New Entry TruAmerica Multifamily 289% Lone Star 562% Weidner Apt Homes 230% Clarion Partners Maximus Real Estate Partners 667% Olympus Property 661% Lone Star New Entry Essex Property Trust -83% Invesco Real Estate 84% Solomon Organization Kennedy Wilson 114% Fowler Property Acquisitions 248% Georgetown Company Company Northeast YOY % Company YOY % Dweck Properties Ltd New Entry Brookfield Asset Management New Entry New Entry David Werner Real Estate New Entry Kushner Companies 677% Cortland Partners 163% Redbrick Partners New Entry Cammeby’s International 367% New Entry Starwood Capital Group New Entry TIAA-CREF -23% Clipper Equity New Entry New Entry Blackstone 346% Pantzer Properties 42% HFZ Capital Group YOY % Company Mid-Atlantic YOY % Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics Company Southeast YOY % 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 7% 13 | 13 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Volume by Transaction Type 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Individual sales remain the core transaction type in the multihousing 2015-YTD sector, accounting for an average 72.9% of all transactions over the past ten years. 2015 marks the highest level of entity-level transactions since 2007, primarily due to Brookfield Asset Management’s purchase of 56.3% 57.2% Associated Estates for nearly 62.4% $2.5 billion. 74.3% 22.1% 75.5% 79.2% 82.6% 16.4% 21.7% 22.9% 4.0% 20.7% Entity 2.8% 1.3% 80.2% 16.2% 20.2% 17.4% 0.0% Portfolio Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics Portfolio transactions have risen slightly in 2015, as volume was 36.6% 87.5% 11.2% 4.4% 23.0% 72.5% 74.3% boosted by UDR’s $908 million 19.3% purchase of 3,246 units previously 0.5% 11.2% 1.0% 4.3% 20.7% owned by Home Properties. Individual 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 14 | 14 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Supply Relative to Job Growth United States and Regions 85 1.30 9.00 75 8.50 2004 2006 2008 2010 Apartment Inventory 2.60 17 1.70 16 1.65 15 1.25 16 1.15 2004 2006 2008 2010 Apartment Inventory 21 1.80 Southwest 15 2012 2014 Total Employment 10 8 1.60 6 4 1.40 2 2.00 2004 2006 2008 2010 Apartment Inventory 18 2012 2014 Total Employment Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Reis 1.20 2004 2006 2008 2010 Apartment Inventory 1.60 2004 2006 2008 2010 Apartment Inventory 22.00 14 2012 2014 Total Employment West 3 0 2012 2014 Total Employment 3 20.00 3 19.00 3 18.00 2004 2006 2008 2010 Apartment Inventory Millions 19 17 21.00 Millions 2.20 Millions 20 Millions Millions 2.40 Midwest 1.20 70 2012 2014 Total Employment South Atlantic 1.75 Millions 80 18 Millions 9.50 Northeast Millions 1.35 Millions Millions 10.00 90 Millions United States Millions 10.50 3 2012 2014 Total Employment 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 15 | 15 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Primary Market Fundamentals Current Metrics vs. 5 Years Ago 2Q15 2Q10 $520,000 $470,000 $420,000 Price Per Unit $370,000 $320,000 $270,000 $220,000 $170,000 $120,000 $70,000 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% Cap Rate Manhattan Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics Boston Washington, DC Chicago Los Angeles San Francisco 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 16 | 16 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Historical Rent Growth vs. Inflation United States 6% National rents have outpaced inflation in four out of the past 5% five years. 4% 3% Rents in 2014 finished 290 basis points above the U.S. Consumer Price Index. 2% While national rent growth finished 1% 2Q15 up 3.6% year-over-year nationally, rent growth in Western 0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 cities has appreciated at a much -1% faster rate than inflation: - Seattle +5.3% -2% - Denver +5.8% -3% -4% - Oakland +6.2% - San Francisco +7.1% Effective Rent Growth Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Reis U.S. Consumer Price Index - San Jose +7.4% 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 17 | 17 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Volume Examination Volume by Property Type Volume by Market Tier $120 2011 $35 Year-to-date, 54% of transactions $13 $10 have been in primary markets, $100 compared with 27% in secondary $42 2012 $38 $80 $52 $21 and 19% in tertiary. $15 Billions Billions $33 $60 $21 2013 $61 $23 in the suburbs have become $17 more attractive in a lowyield environment. $19 $40 $64 2014 $71 $62 $28 $23 $55 $20 $38 $32 Class A and Class B product Despite the trend of building in urban infill locations, garden 2015-YTD $32 $16 $11 properties remain the dominant $0 player in transactions. 2011 2012 Garden 2013 2014 2015-YTD Mid/Highrise Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics $0 $50 Primary $100 Secondary $150 Tertiary 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 18 | 18 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Price Per Unit by Vintage United States and Regions UNITED STATES 1970-1979 1980-1989 1990-1999 2000-2009 2010-2015 $93,884 $117,680 $132,418 $180,762 $268,482 Mid-Atlantic Midwest Northeast Southeast Southwest 1970-1979 $97,433 $51,520 $178,963 $46,986 $53,399 1980-1989 $136,351 $85,687 $212,478 $69,816 $68,449 $133,303 1990-1999 $145,555 $83,378 $227,264 $92,397 $115,200 $130,714 2000-2009 $182,074 $115,217 $347,826 $113,420 $127,082 $198,952 2010-2015 $315,251 $226,330 $395,480 $175,867 $172,625 $325,339 West $135,005 * Based on transactions in the past 24 months. Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 19 | 19 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Seller Distribution Buyer Distribution 100% 7.0% 1.6% 4.9% 2.1% 5.2% 2.5% 5.1% 3.2% 5.7% 1.5% 100% 4.1% 3.2% 4.3% 3.8% 12.5% 3.4% 5.1% 3.3% 23.6% 80% 32.2% 23.6% 34.9% 29.5% 80% 23.0% 26.0% 26.6% 38.5% 27.7% 60% 3.0% 1.8% 60% 49.2% 40% 48.0% 40% 60.0% 58.5% 59.9% 50.4% 20% 56.4% 67.0% 43.7% 51.2% 20% 19.5% 11.3% 8.1% 7.7% 0% 2011 Public/REITs 2012 Private 2013 Institutional 2014 User/Other Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics 3.3% 2015-YTD International 8.2% 5.3% 2011 2012 0% Public/REITs Private 9.7% 8.5% 2013 2014 Institutional User/Other 5.2% 2015-YTD International 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 20 | 20 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Multihousing Debt Origination Origination Volume Index 400 Boosted by strong sales, originations continue to surge in 2Q15. 350 In 1Q15, conduit lenders provided additional liquidity with over 20% of 300 multihousing originations. At 20% of the market, CMBS 250 remains a critical source of capital. 200 In May, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) ruled that 150 agencies could finance an additional $15 billion. As a result, the GSEs will 100 likely be more active in the market. 50 Between 2015 and 2017, $40.5 billion in legacy multihousing CMBS 0 2010 is set to mature. 2011 2012 Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Mortgage Bankers Association, Trepp 2013 2014 2015-YTD 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 21 | 21 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Primary vs. Secondary Multihousing Markets Cap Rates Price Per Unit $246,341 $250,000 8% Over the past 24 months, cap rates in the primary markets have compressed by 50 basis points, while secondary markets have 7% 6.5% $200,000 compressed by only 10 basis points. primary markets increased by 76.4% $150,000 6% The average price per unit in the over the past decade, more than $98,971 5.0% 5% $100,000 4% double the rate of increase in the secondary markets (34.6%). $50,000 2005 2007 2009 Primary 2011 2013 2015-YTD Secondary 2005 2007 2009 2011 Primary 2013 2015-YTD Secondary * The six primary markets defined by Real Capital Analytics are New York, Boston, Washington, DC, Chicago, Los Angeles and San Francisco Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 22 | 22 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Market Insight: Student Housing United States Historical Cap Rates increased 87.8% from 2010 to 2014, Over the past 12 months, cap rates have compressed 70 basis points 10.0% 9.0% 8.6% 7.6% 8.0% Student housing sales volume while the number of properties sold grew by 45.9%. 7.0% The sector has institutionalized tremendously over the past 36 6.0% 6.0% months, with many new entrants. 5.0% 1Q02 1Q03 1Q04 1Q05 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 1Q11 1Q12 1Q13 1Q14 1Q15 In 2014, the student housing REITs came under pressure and were Number of Properties Sold 200 184 100 them are looking to deploy capital 178 143 137 150 largely sellers, but in 2015, many of New Equity Entrants Sandlapper Capital 50 Kayne Anderson 89 88 and/or invest in their pipeline. Candlebrook Properties Blue Vista Since 2012, 216,645 beds have been delivered, only 7,000 less than Starwood Capital Group the total number of beds delivered from 1980 to 2006. 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015-YTD Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, Real Capital Analytics, Axiometrics 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 23 | 23 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Significant Investment Sales Recently Completed Transactions by ARA Newmark Farrington Lake Chapel Hill, NC Inman Quarters Atlanta, GA Randall Highlands Aurora, IL Broadway Square Houston, TX Horizons at Rock Creek Superior, CO Woodland Villas Pleasanton, CA Address: Address: Address: Address: Address: Address: 6123 Farrington Rd 299 N Highland Ave 1241 N Ritter St 8751 Broadway St 2200 S Tyler Dr 4320 Valley Ave Buyer: Buyer: Buyer: Buyer: Buyer: Buyer: Resource Real Estate TriBridge Residential Steadfast Companies Easy Park Bell Partners Greystar Real Estate Seller/Client: Seller/Client: Seller/Client: Seller/Client: Seller/Client: Partners Sterling Equities South City Partners Marquette Companies Post Investment Group Simpson Housing LLLP Seller/Client: Price: Price: Price: Price: Price: MCERA/Woodmont $46.8 million $72.5 million $32.1 million Confidential Approximately $250 million Price: Price Per Unit: Price Per Unit: Price Per Unit: Price Per Unit: Price Per Unit: $53 million $113,747 $247,000 $219,966 Confidential Approximately $207,297 Price Per Unit: Units: Units: Units: Units: Units: $353,333 411 200 146 2,470 1,206 Units: Year Built: Year Built: Year Built: Year Built: Year Built: 150 1990 2014 2013 1976 1997 Year Built: 1982 Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 24 | 24 2Q15 National Multihousing Market Overview Properties on the Market Currently Available via ARA Newmark Crescent Alexander Village Charlotte, NC Ravaudage Orlando, FL ALARA at Summerfield Aurora, IL Cortona Lofts & Gardens Fairview, TX Waterline Portland, OR Enso San Jose, CA Units: Units: Units: Units: Units: Units: 320 288 368 420 243 183 Year of Completion: Year of Completion: Year of Completion: Year of Completion: Year of Completion: Year of Completion: 2015 2017 (Expected) 1999/2002 2008 2015 2014 Acres: Acres: Acres: Acres: Acres: Acres: 18.6 4.0 25.7 17.7 1.8 3.2 Quick Facts: Quick Facts: Quick Facts: Quick Facts: Quick Facts: Quick Facts: Best-In-Class Amenities and Proven Developer in Florida, Excellent Value-Add Superior Location, Quality Class A Riverfront Location, Premium Class A Unit Finishes, 40,000 Jobs Located Near Orlando’s Opportunity, Institutionally- Construction, First-Class 2015 LEED Gold Community in the Heart of Within 3 Miles Largest Employment Centers Owned Class A Property Interior Finishes Construction Silicon Valley Lead Broker: Lead Broker: Lead Broker: Lead Broker: Lead Broker: Lead Broker: Blake Okland Patrick Dufour Susan Lawson Brian Murphy Gail Neuburg Mark Leary [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research 2Q15 NATIONAL MULTIHOUSING MARKET OVERVIEW 25 | 25 New York City HEADQUARTERS 125 Park Avenue New York, NY 10017 212.372.2000 James Kuhn President 212.372.2200 [email protected] Blake Okland Vice Chairman 704.926.4431 [email protected] Jonathan Mazur Managing Director, Research 212.372.2154 [email protected] Michael Wolfson Capital Markets Research Analyst 212.372.2453 [email protected] Newmark Grubb Knight Frank has implemented a proprietary database and our tracking methodology has been revised. With this expansion and refinement in our data, there may be adjustments in historical statistics including availability, asking rents, absorption and effective rents. Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Reports are also available at www.ngkf.com/research All information contained in this publication is derived from sources that are deemed to be reliable. However, Newmark Grubb Knight Frank (NGKF) has not verified any such information, and the same constitutes the statements and representations only of the source thereof, and not of NGKF. Any recipient of this publication should independently verify such information and all other information that may be material to any decision that recipient may make in response to this publication, and should consult with professionals of the recipient’s choice with regard to all aspects of that decision, including its legal, financial, and tax aspects and implications. 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