Here - Air Quality 2016
Transcription
Here - Air Quality 2016
Proceedings of Abstracts 9th International Conference on Air Quality Science and Application Garmisch-Partenkirchen, 24-28 March 2014 Editors Tonio Mitto, Joachim Fallmann, Urszula Mikolajczyk, Peter Suppan, Vikas Singh and Ranjeet S. Sokhi Proceedings of Abstracts 9th International Conference on Air Quality Science and Application Garmisch-Partenkirchen, 24-28 March 2014 Editors Tonio Mitto1, Joachim Fallmann1, Urszula Mikolajczyk1, Peter Suppan1, Vikas Singh2 and Ranjeet S. Sokhi2 1 Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-IFU) at the Karlsruhe of Technology (KIT) in Garmisch-Partenkirchen 2 Centre for Atmospheric and Instrumentation Research (CAIR), University of Hertfordshire, UK Organised by Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Germany University of Hertfordshire, UK Published by the University of Hertfordshire College Lane Hatfield AL10 9AB United Kingdom and Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-IFU) at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) Kreuzeckbahnstr. 19 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen Germany ISBN: 978-1-909291-20-1 Cover picture: Dr. Jörg Bodenbender Print: Cityprint Stephan Spindler Amselstrasse 9 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen Germany Phone: ++49 8821 52 7 53 e-mail: [email protected] All inquiries to: Professor Ranjeet S Sokhi Centre for Atmospheric Science and Instrumentation Research (CAIR) University of Hertfordshire College Lane, Hatfield, AL0 9AB, UK Tel: +44(0) 1707 284520 Fax: +44(0) 1707 284208 Email: [email protected] Acknowledgement of Supporting Organisations The support of the following organisations is gratefully acknowledged: Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Germany University of Hertfordshire, UK COST 728 Action on Enhancing Meso-Scale Meteorological Modelling Capabilities for Air Pollution and Dispersion Applications COST ES0602 Towards a European Network on Chemical Weather Forecasting and Information Systems The Aerosol Society, UK American Meteorological Society (AMS) Air & Waste Management Association (A&WMA) European Meteorological Society (EMS) World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) and the GAW Urban Research Meteorology and Environment (GURME) programme We are grateful for the attendance and support of the exhibitors: Europa Environmental/ENVILYSE, www.europaenvironmental.com, www.envilyse.de KISTERS AG, www.kisters.eu/air-quality MLU Messtechnik für Luft und Umwelt GmbH, www.mlu.eu Supporting U, www.WeCare4Air.co.uk TSI GmbH, www.tsi.com Conference Organising Committee Ranjeet S Sokhi (Chair), University of Hertfordshire, UK Peter Suppan (Chair of the Local Organising Committee), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT/IMK-IFU), Germany Vikas Singh, University of Hertfordshire, UK Joachim Fallmann (KIT/IMK-IFU) Matthias Lindauer (KIT/IMK-IFU) Urszula Mikolajczyk (KIT/IMK-IFU) Rongrong Shen (KIT/IMK-IFU) Stefan Emeis (KIT/IMK-IFU) Renate Forkel (KIT/IMK-IFU) Klaus Schäfer (KIT/IMK-IFU) Conference Secretariat, University of Hertfordshire Dr Vikas Singh Dr Aidan Farrow Dr Kevin Douglas Dr Charles Chemel Dr Xavier Francis Dr Xin Kong Dr Heather Price (University of Southampton) International Scientific and Advisory Committee Professor Ranjeet S Sokhi (Chair), University of Hertfordshire, UK Dr Peter Suppan, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Germany Professor Bernard Fisher (University of Hertfordshire, UK) Professor Nicolas Moussiopoulos, Aristotle University Thessaloniki, Greece Professor Zissis Samaras, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Greece Professor Alexander Baklanov, Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark Professor John Bartzis, University of West Macedonia, Greece Dr Matthias Ketzel, NERI, Denmark Professor Carlos Borrego, University of Aveiro, Portugal Dr Trond Bohler, NILU, Norway Professor Rainer Friedrich, IER University of Stuttgart, Germany Professor Eugene Genikhovich, Main Geophysical Observatory, Russia Professor Sue Grimmond, Kings College London, UK Dr S T Rao, North Carolina State University, USA Professor Greg Carmichael, University of Iowa, USA Dr Liisa Jalkanen, World Meteorological Organisation Professor Judy Chow, Desert Research Institute, USA Professor Jaakko Kukkonen, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Finland Professor Millán Millán, CEAM, Spain Professor Roberto San Jose, Technical University of Madrid, Spain Professor Michael Schatzmann, University of Hamburg, Germany Dr Andreas Skouloudis, JRC, ISPRA Dr Jacek Kaminski, York University, Canada Professor James Sloan, University of Waterloo, Canada Professor Selahattin Incecik, Technical University of Istanbul, Turkey Dr R.K.M.Jayanty, RTI International, USA Professor Hyo Choi, Gangneung-Wonju National University, Korea Welcome address by the Lord Mayor Ladies and Gentlemen, I would like to welcome you cordially to the “Air Quality Conference“, which will be held at our Congress Center in the heart of the climatic health resort Garmisch-Partenkirchen. European Guidelines do also have a great impact on the municipal level like in determining the judgment and control of the air quality within the scope of environmental compatibility. The excellent Garmisch-Partenkirchen mountain air has made our town internationally renowned besides our positive image as a winter sports resort. For this reason, I feel strongly attached to the concept of your conference, as it is also our aim to preserve the high air quality. We will therefore keep on our fight for bypass roads around our city. The enormous heavy transit traffic - with over 3.000 trucks daily - endangers our healthy air. I am glad that you have chosen Garmisch-Partenkirchen as site of your important event. So I would like to thank the local Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research which is in charge to organize the conference accompanied by the University of Hertfordshire in England. Finally I would like to wish all attendees the desired success in realizing their goals as well as pleasant and relaxing days within the Garmisch-Partenkirchen vacation area. Thomas Schmid 1. Bürgermeister Preface This 9th International Conference in Air Quality - Science and Application is being held in the beautiful town of Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany and is hosted by the Campus Alpine, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-IFU) of the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT). The meeting builds upon the series that began at the University of Hertfordshire, UK in July 1996. Subsequent meetings have been held at the Technical University of Madrid (1999), Loutraki, Greece (2001), Charles University, Prague (2003), Valencia, Spain (2005), Cyprus (2007), Istanbul, Turkey (2009) and Athens, Greece (2012). Despite increased control of air pollution, the quality of air that we breathe remains a key issue to reduce health impacts and for achieving sustainable development. The growth in urban areas is continuing in terms of population, transport, energy consumption and utilities. Science has shown that impact from air pollution is not restricted to local scales but occurs also on regional and global scales including interactions with climate change. Despite improvements in technology, users still demand robust management and assessment tools to formulate effective control policies and strategies for reducing the health impact of air pollution. The topics of papers presented at the conference reflect the diversity of scales, processes and interactions affecting air pollution and its impact on health and the environment. As usual, the conference is stimulating cross-fertilisation of ideas and cooperation between the different air pollution science and user communities. In particular, there is greater involvement of city, regional and global air pollution, climate change, policy and health communities at the meeting. Air Quality 2014 brings together scientists, users and policy makers from across the globe to discuss the latest scientific advances in our understanding of air pollution and its impacts on our health and environment. In addition to the scientific papers, the conference will also seek to highlight applications and developments in management strategies and assessment tools for policy and decision makers. This volume presents a collection of abstracts of papers presented at the Conference. The main themes covered in the Conference include: Air quality and impact on regional to global scales Air quality management and policy Emission models/inventories Environmental and health impact resulting from air pollution Environmental Meteorology - Processes and interactions Measurement of air pollutants and source apportionment Model development, evaluation and application studies Wind tunnel/physical modelling Use of remote sensing and satellite data for air quality research Special session - Air quality and climate/meteorology interactions and feedbacks Special session - Air quality forecasting and early warning systems Special session - Air pollution in cities Special session - Local and regional air quality services Special session - Transport related air pollution - science and impacts Ranjeet S Sokhi, University of Hertfordshire, UK Peter Suppan, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT/IMK-IFU), Germany March 2014 PART ONE: ORAL SESSIONS .............................................. 1 KEY NOTE SPEAKERS ...................................................................................... 2 WITHIN- AND BETWEEN-CITY CONTRASTS IN NITROGEN DIOXIDE AND MORTALITY IN 10 CANADIAN CITIES ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 3 D. L. Crouse (1), P. A. Peters (2, 3), P. J. Villeneuve (4), M.-O. Proux (2), H. H. Shin (1), M. S. Goldberg (5), M. Johnson (6), A. J. Wheeler (6), R. W. Allen (7), D. O. Atari (8), M. Jerrett (9), M. Brauer (10), J. R. Brook (11, 12), R. T. Burnett (1) ESTABLISHING NEW AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS FOR PM2.5: THE CHINESE EXPERIENCE ............... 4 J. C. Chow (1,2), J. G. Watson (1,2), J. J. Cao(2) AN OBSERVATIONAL PERSPECTIVE OF THE IMPACT OF ATMOSPHERIC WEATHER STATES ON CARBON MONOXIDE LEVELS IN THE FREE TROPOSPHERE OVER THE NORDIC COUNTRIES.............................................. 5 M. A. Thomas (1) and A. Devasthale (1) INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF POLICIES FOR REDUCING HEALTH IMPACTS OF AIR POLLUTION CAUSED BY TRANSPORT IN EUROPE ................................................................................................................................ 6 R. Friedrich, J. Roos, C. Schieberle DEVELOPMENTS IN REGIONAL AND LOCAL AIR QUALITY MONITORING AND FORECASTING – RESULTS OF PASODOBLE .................................................................................................................................................... 7 T. Erbertseder (1), D. Balis (2), C. Bergemann (1), L. Blyth (3), D. Carruthers (4), S. Choudrie (5), A. De Rudder (6), W. Di Nicolantonio (7), H. Elbern (8), H. Eskes (9), E. Friese (8), K. Ganev (10), T. Holzer-Popp (1), J. Kukkonen (11), O. Lesne (12), D. Melas (2), J. Meyer-Arnek (1), F. Prata (13), P. Sicard (12), N. Smeets (3), M. Sofiev (11), A. Stidworthy (4), R. Timmermans (14), N. Veldeman (3), H. Zelle (15) and the PASODOBLE consortium AIR QUALITY MANAGEMENT IN CITIES – A NEVER ENDING STORY? ..................................................................... 8 U. Reuter (1), R. Kapp (1) THE REVIEW OF AIR POLICY – WHAT IS IN FOR THE MEASUREMENT COMMUNITY ........................................... 9 A. Borowiak (1) and D. Buzica-Widlowski (2) ENVIRO-HIRLAM ONLINE INTEGRATED METEOROLOGY-CHEMISTRY MODELLING SYSTEM: STRATEGY, METHODOLOGY, DEVELOPMENTS AND APPLICATIONS .................................................................... 10 A. Baklanov (1), U. Korsholm (1), R. Nuterman (2), K. P. Nielsen (1), B. H. Sass(1), A. Mahura (1), A. Rasmussen(1), B. Sørensen (2), E. Kaas (2), I. González-Aparicio (3), A. Mažeikis (4), A. Kurganskiy (5), E. Morozova (5), S. Ivanov (6), Y. Palamarchuk (6), A. Zakey (1), J. Chenevez (1), A. Gross (1), K. Lindberg (1) EMEP MODEL SIMULATIONS OF PM LEVELS IN EUROPE UNDER THE GOTHENBURG PROTOCOLL AND MEASURES TO REDUCE FURTHER AMMONIA EMISSIONS FROM AGRICULTURE ............................................... 11 C. Guerreiro (1), M. Beauchamp, B. Bessagnet (2), S. Tsyro (3) USING REGIONAL AIR QUALITY MODELS FOR ASSESSING THE EFFICACY OF EMISSION CONTROL STRATEGIES IN MEETING THE RELEVANT AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS ............................................. 12 P. S. Porter (1), S. T. Rao (2), C. Hogrefe (3), and R. Mathur (3) AIRBORNE PARTICULATE MATTER AND ASSOCIATED HEALTH IMPACTS: NEW DEVELOPMENTS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR EUROPE............................................................................................................................................. 13 R. S. Sokhi and TRANSPHORM Partners AIR QUALITY AND IMPACT ON LOCAL TO GLOBAL SCALES ............ 14 GLOBAL MODEL SIMULATIONS OF THE IMPACT OF TRANSPORT SECTOR EMISSIONS ON ATMOSPHERIC AEROSOL AND CLIMATE ...................................................................................................................... 15 M. Righi (1), J. Hendricks (1), R. Sausen (1) ATMOSPHERIC NITROGEN DEPOSITION TO THE BALTIC SEA – NORMALISATION APPROACH ....................... 16 J. Bartnicki ASSESSMENT OF CONTRIBUTION TO PM10 CONCENTRATIONS FROM LONG RANGE TRANSPORT OF POLLUTANTS USING WRF/CHEM OVER A SUBTROPICAL URBAN AIRSHED ........................................................ 17 M. Gupta and M. Mohan MODELING HIGH AEROSOL LOADS IN CHINA IN JANUARY 2013 ............................................................................ 18 V. Matthias (1), A. Aulinger (1), J. Bieser (1), B. Geyer (1), M. Quante (1) AIR QUALITY AT THE STREET LEVEL IN CYPRUS ....................................................................................................... 19 I. Douros (1), L. Kalognomou (1), E. Chourdakis (1), N. Moussiopoulos(1) and S. Kleanthous (2) INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT USING OBSERVATIONS AND MODELLING FOR AIR QUALITY MANAGING IN SANTA CRUZ DE TENERIFE (CANARY ISLANDS) ......................................................................................................... 20 J. M. Baldasano (1,2) A. Soret (1), M. Guevara (1), F. Martínez (1), S. Gassó(1,2) i A STUDY OF OZONE CONCENTRATIONS AND TRENDS ACROSS EUROPE: 1996-2010.......................................... 21 T. Chatterton (1), E. Hayes (1), J. Barnes (1), J. Longhurst (1), D. Laxen (1) J. Irwin (1), H. Bach (2), J. Brandt (2), J. H. Christensen (2), T. Ellermann (2), C. Geels (2), O. Hertel (2), A. Massling (2), H. Ø. Nielsen (2), O. K. Nielsen (2), C. Nordstrøm (2), J. K. Nøjgaard (2), H. Skov (2), F. Pelsy (3) and T. Zamparutti (3) A MODELLISTIC STUDY OF THE INFLUENCE OF AN HARBOUR SHIP EMISSIONS ON REGIONAL AIR QUALITY IN A MEDITERRANEAN AREA ........................................................................................................................ 22 R. Cesari (1), A.Maurizi (2), F. Tampieri (2) MODELING TRENDS IN AIR POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS AND THEIR OPTICAL AND RADIATIVE PROPERTIES OVER THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE USING THE COUPLED WRF-CMAQ MODEL ....................... 23 R. Mathur, J. Xing, G. Sarwar, J. Pleim AIR QUALITY MANAGEMENT AND POLICY ............................................ 24 STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES OF THE EU AIR QUALITY STANDARDS FOR PARTICULATE MATTER ........ 25 K. D. van den Hout (1), C. Nagl (2), W. Spangl (2) and B. Conlan (3) CAN A STRINGENT REDUCTION IN EUROPEAN EMISSIONS HELP SWEDEN REACH NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY OBJECTIVES FOR ACIDIFICATION AND EUTROPHICATION? ............................... 26 S. Åström and M. Lindblad MODELLING REAL WORLD ROAD DUST ABATEMENT MEASURES: AN APPLICATION OF THE NORTRIP MODEL ................................................................................................................................................................................... 27 I. Sundvor (1) and B. R. Denby (1) THE IMPACT OF LOW EMISSION ZONE AND HEAVY TRAFFIC BAN IN MUNICH ON THE REDUCTION OF PM10 IN AMBIENT AIR ......................................................................................................................................................... 28 J. Cyrys (1,2), V. Fensterer (3), H. Küchenhoff (3), B. Bauer (3), H.-E. Wichmann (4), S. Breitner (1), A. Schneider (1), A. Peters (1) ATMO-IDEE: RHINE TRANSBOUNDARY ATMOSPHERIC PREVENTION IN THE EURODISTRICT STRASBOURG-ORTENAU AND IN THE UPPER RHINE ................................................................................................. 29 R. Deprost (1), H. Scheu-Hachtel (2), J. Kleinpeter (1), E. Herber (1), S. Mazurais (1), C. Schillinger (1), T. Leiber (2), F. Brocheton (3), C. Pesin (3), J. Galineau (3), L. Zilliox (4), G. Najjar (5) INVENTORY AND EFFECTIVENESS OF MEASURES TO IMPROVE AIR QUALITY IN GERMANY ........................ 30 F. Pfäfflin, V. Diegmann, H. Wursthorn AMMONIA AND NITROGEN OXIDES EMISSIONS REDUCTION INFLUENCE ON AIR QUALITY OVER THE PO VALLEY............................................................................................................................................................................ 31 E. Angelino (1), M. P. Costa (2), A. D’Allura (2), S. Finardi (2), G. Fossati (1), G. Lanzani (1), E. Peroni (1), P. Radice (2), C. Silibello (2) ASSESSMENT OF CO-BENEFITS FROM CLIMATE AND AIR QUALITY POLICIES WITH THE TM5-FASST TOOL ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 32 J. Leitao (1), R. Van Dingenen (1), F. Dentener (1), S. Rao (2) THE COMPARISON OF COSTS OF POLICIES AIMED AT REDUDING AIR QUALITY INDUCED HEALH RISKS, HEALTH BENEFITS AND PERCEIVED VALUES IN FINLAND ...................................................................................... 33 J. Kutvonen (1,2), A. Asikainen (1), P. Pasanen (2) and O. Hänninen (1) DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION OF AIR QUALITY AND RELATED MODELS ......................................................................................... 34 PLSR AND ANN APPROACHES TO ESTIMATE HEAVY METAL LEVELS IN AIRBORNE PM10.............................. 35 G. Santos, I. Fernández-Olmo and A. Irabien APPLICATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF THE OPERATIONAL STREET POLLUTION MODEL (OSPM) TO COMPLEX GEOMETRIES AND DRY CLIMATES ............................................................................................................. 36 T.-B. Ottosen (1,2) K. Kakosimos (1), M. Ketzel (2), O. Hertel (2) and R. Berkowicz (2) MULTIPHASE CHEMISTRY OF AMINES RELEASED FROM CCS TECHNIQUES: REACTIVITY EXPERIMENTS AND NUMERICAL MODELING .......................................................................................................................................... 37 C. J. Nielsen (1), C. Weller (2), A. Tilgner (2), R. Schrödner (2) R. Wolke (2) and H. Herrmann (2) IMPACT OF MERCURY CHEMISTRY ON REGIONAL CONCENTRATION AND DEPOSITION PATTERNS ........... 38 J. Bieser (1), V. Matthias (1), A. Aulinger (1), B. Geyer (1), I. Hedgecock (2), F. DeSimone (2), C. Gencarelli (2), O. Travnikov (3) MODELLING BLACK CARBON CONCENTRATIONS IN TWO BUSY CANYON STREETS IN BRUSSELS USING OSPMBC .................................................................................................................................................................... 39 O. Brasseur (1a), P. Declerck (1b), B. Heene (2) and P. Vanderstraeten (1a) REGIONAL MODELLING OF THE TROPOSPHERIC MULTIPHASE SYSTEM USING COSMO-MUSCAT: SENSITIVITY ON DETAIL OF CLOUD MICROPHYSICS AND CHEMICAL MECHANISM ........................................ 40 R. Schrödner, A. Tilgner and R. Wolke ii USE OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS FOR PM10 RE-ANALYSIS OVER NORTHERN ITALY ........................ 41 C. Carnevale (1), G. Finzi (1), E. Pisoni (2), A. Pederzoli (1), E. Turrini (1), M. Volta (1) USING WRF-CHEM WITH HIGH RESOLUTION EMISSION DATA TO MODEL THE EFFECT OF URBAN HEAT ISLAND MITIGATION STRATEGIES ON URBAN AIR QUALITY .................................................................................. 42 J. Fallmann (1), S. Emeis (1), P. Suppan (1), R. Forkel (1), G. Grell (2), S. McKeen (2) PM AIR QUALITY ASSESSMENT IN PMINTER – BRIDGING THE GAPS – A NEW INTEGRAL APPROACH ......... 43 U. Uhrner (1), R. Reifeltshammer (1), M. Steiner (1), B. Lackner (1), P. J. Sturm(1) and R. Forkel (2) CAN A SIMPLE INTERPOLATION MODEL PERFORM BETTER FOR AIR QUALITY ASSESSMENT THAN DATA ASSIMILATED DETERMINISTIC MODELS? ......................................................................................................... 44 S. Janssen (1), B. Maiheu (1), N. Veldeman (1), P. Viaene (1), K. De Ridder (1), D. Lauwaet (1), F. Deutsch (1), F. Fierens (2), E. Trimpeneers (2), L. Vancraeynest (3) and C. Mensink (1) EMISSION MODELS / INVENTORIES ........................................................... 45 REAL-WORLD VERSUS COMPLIANCE SOURCE TESTING: GETTING MORE INFORMATION FOR LESS MONEY ................................................................................................................................................................................... 46 J. G. Watson (1), J. C. Chow (1) A COMPREHENSIVE INVENTORY OF EMISSIONS FROM SHIP TRAFFIC IN EUROPE IN 2011 .............................. 47 J.-P. Jalkanen, L. Johansson and J. Kukkonen A MODEL FOR FEEDBACKS BETWEEN BIOGENIC EMISSIONS AND URBAN AIR QUALITY ............................... 48 R. Grote (2), G. Churkina (1), T. Butler (1), C. Morfopoulos (3) PREPARATION OF MODELLING EMISSIONS BASED ON RECENT RECOMMENDATIONS FROM UK NATIONAL ATMOSPHERERIC EMISSIONS INVENTORY STUDIES. ........................................................................... 49 A. Fraser (1), S. Beevers (2), X. Francis (3), N. Kitwiroon (2), T. P. Murrells (1), R. A. Rose (1), R. S. Sokhi (3) OPEN CHALLENGES IN LOCAL ATMOSPHERIC EMISSION INVENTORIES ............................................................. 50 E. Angelino, A. Marongiu, G. Fossati, M. Moretti THE SHIPPING EMISSIONS AND THE COSTS OF EMISSION REGULATIONS IN THE NORTHERN EUROPEAN EMISSION CONTROL AREA ............................................................................................................................................... 51 L. O. Johansson (1), J.-P. Jalkanen (1), J. Kalli (2) and J. Kukkonen (1) ENVIRONMENTAL AND HEALTH IMPACT RESULTING FROM AIR POLLUTION....................................................................................................... 52 AN INTEGRATED BAP (PAHS) APPROACH TO ESTIMATE CHILDREN AND ELDERLY EXPOSURE IN THE CITY OF ROME, ITALY ........................................................................................................................................................ 53 C. Gariazzo (1), M. Lamberti (1), C. Silibello (2), S. Finardi (2), P. Radice (2), A. D’Allura (2), M. Gherardi (1), A. Cecinato (3), D. Porta (4), F. Sacco (5), O. Hänninen (6), A. Pelliccioni (1) CARDIOVASCULAR HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS DUE TO MULTIPLE AIRBORNE EXPOSURES UNDER THE CONDITIONS OF SANTIAGO DE CHILE ........................................................................................................................... 54 U. Franck (1), A. M. Leitte (1), P. Suppan (2) ENHANCING PM EPIDEMIOLOGICAL CONCENTRATION-RESPONSE FUNCTIONS BY INCORPORATING LUNG DEPOSITION AND OXIDATIVE STRESS ............................................................................................................... 55 D. A. Sarigiannis, S. Karakitsios, M. Kermenidou HIGH-RESOLUTION MODELLING OF HEALTH IMPACTS FROM AIR POLLUTION USING THE INTEGRATED MODEL SYSTEM EVA .......................................................................................................................................................... 56 J. Brandt (1), M. S. Andersen (1), J. Bønløkke (2), J. H. Christensen (1), C. Geels (1), K. M. Hansen (1), S. S. Jensen (1), M. Ketzel (1), M. S. Plejdrup (1), T. Sigsgaard (2), J. D. Silver (1) SHORT-TERM EFFECTS OF AIR TEMPERATURE ON MORTALITY AND EFFECT MODIFICATION BY AIR POLLUTION IN THREE CITIES OF BAVARIA, GERMANY ............................................................................................ 57 S. Breitner (1), K. Wolf (1), R. B. Devlin (2), D. Diaz-Sanchez (2), A. Peters (1), A. Schneider (1) DETERMINANTS OF PERCEIVED AIR POLLUTION ANNOYANCE AND EXPOSURE-RESPONSE RELATIONSHIP FOR ANNOYANCE AND PARTICULATE MATTER ............................................................................ 58 M. Machado (1), J. M. Santos (2), N. C. Reis Jr.(2), V. A. Reisen (2) CARCINOGENIC RISK OF PAHS IN PARTICULATE MATTER FROM BIOMASS COMBUSTION ............................ 59 D. A. Sarigiannis (1,2), D. Zikopoulos (1), M. Kermenidou (1), S. Nikolaki (1,2), S. Karakitsios (1,2) EVALUATION OF AIR QUALITY IMPACTS WITH AN INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR SPAIN ........... 60 M. Vedrenne, R. Borge, J. Lumbreras and M. E. Rodríguez POWER PLANTS AND THE INDUSTRIAL EMISSIONS DIRECTIVE: AIR QUALITY-RELATED IMPACTS UNDER VARIABLE ENVIRONMENTAL AND TECHNICAL SETTINGS ....................................................................... 61 T. M. Bachmann, J. van der Kamp iii LAND USE REGRESSION MODELLING FOR AIR QUALITY EXPOSURE: A STEP IN THE WRONG DIRECTION . 62 B. R. Denby OUTDOOR AIR DOMINATES BURDEN OF DISEASE FROM INDOOR EXPOSURES.................................................. 63 O. Hänninen (1), A. Asikainen (1), P. Carrer (2), S. Kephalopoulos (3), E. de Oliveira Fernandes (4), P. Wargocki (5) PM ATTRIBUTED MORTALITY AND MORBIDITY DUE TO BIOMASS USE IN THESSALONIKI – ESTIMATION OF SOCIOECONOMIC COST ...................................................................................................................... 64 D.A. Sarigiannis (1,2), S. Karakitsios (1,2), M. Kermenidou (1) WAVELET ANALYSIS OF HEALTH EFFECT OUTCOMES ATTRIBUTRABLE TO AIR QUALITY AND ASSOCIATED VARIABLES .................................................................................................................................................. 65 V. Garcia (1), P. S. Porter (2), E. Gégo (2), S. T. Rao (3) and S. Lin (4) IMPROVED HEALTHCARE THROUGH NEW AIR POLLUTION RISK TOOL ............................................................... 66 P. Sicard (1), C. Talbot (1), O. Lesne (1), A. Mangin (1), R. Collomp (2), N. Alexandre (2), H. Zelle (3), A. Mika (3), D. Melas (4), D. Balis (4), A. Poupkou (4), Th. Giannaros (4), V. Costigliola (5) and D. Chloros (5) ASSESSING INDIVIDUAL EXPOSURE TO BLACK CARBON IN THE EUROPEAN DISTRICT IN BRUSSELS USING OSPMBC MODELLING AND MOBILE MEASUREMENTS ................................................................................... 67 P. Declerck (1a), O. Brasseur (1b), B. Heene (2) and P. Vanderstraeten (1b) ENVIRONMENTAL METEOROLOGY – PROCESSES AND INTERACTIONS ................................................................................................ 68 IMAGING OF NITROGEN DIOXIDE DURING AND AFTER AN ACTIVE LIGHTNING STORM................................. 69 R. R Graves1, R. J. Leigh1, E. Arnone2, J. P. Lawrence1, K. Faloon3 and P. S. Monks3 INLET AND OUTLET SHAPE DESIGN OF NATURAL CIRCULATION BUILDING VENTILATION SYSTEMS ....... 70 J. J. Swiegers, R. T. Dobson INFLUENCE OF SURFACE AND SUBSIDENCE THERMAL INVERSION ON PM2.5 AND BLACK CARBON CONCENTRATION ................................................................................................................................................................ 71 E. Gramsch (1), D. Cáceres (1), P. Oyola (2), F. Reyes (2), Y. Vasquez (2), M. A. Rubio (3) PERFORMANCE OF EUROPEAN CHEMISTRY-TRANSPORT MODELS AS FUNCTION OF HORIZONTAL SPATIAL RESOLUTION ....................................................................................................................................................... 72 C. Cuvelier (1), P. Thunis (1), D. Karam (1), M. Schaap (2), C. Hendriks (2), R. Kranenburg (2), H. Fagerli (3), A. Nyiri (3), D. Simpson (3), P. Wind (3), M. Schultz (3), B. Bessagnet (4), A. Colette (4), E. Terrenoire (4), L. Rouil (4), R. Stern (5), A. Graff (6), J. M. Baldasano (7), M. T. Pay (7) INTENSIVE RESEARCH-GRADE NETWORK FOR TURBULENCE OBSERVATIONS OVER HELSINKI .................. 73 C.R. Wood (1), R.D. Kouznetsov (1,2), A. Nordbo (3), S. Joffre (1), A. Hirsikko (1,4), A. Karppinen (1), L. Järvi (3), P. Ukkonen (1,3), T. Vesala (3), V. Vakkari (1), E.J. O'Connor (1,5), J. Kukkonen (1) MEASUREMENT OF AIR POLLUTANTS AND SOURCE APPORTIONMENT ........................................................................................... 74 PLUMES WITH ELEVATED MERCURY CONCENTRATIONS OBSERVED DURING CARIBIC FLIGHTS IN 2005 - 2013 ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 75 F. Slemr (1), A. Weigelt (2), R. Ebinghaus (2), C. A. M. Brenninkmeijer (1), T. Schuck (1), A. Rauthe-Schöch (1), M. Hermann (3), P. van Velthoven (4), D. Oram (5), A. Zahn (6) and H. Ziereis (7) A SYNERGIC APPROACH FOR PM2.5 SOURCE APPORTIONMENT THROUGH RECEPTOR MODELLING AND CHEMICAL TRANSPORT MODEL SIMULATIONS .......................................................................................................... 76 P. Brotto (1)(3), M. C. Bove (1)(3), F. Cassola (1)(3), E. Cuccia (1)(3), D. Massabò (1)(3), A. Mazzino (2)(3) and P. Prati (1)(3) SOURCE IDENTIFICATION OF TRACE METALS IN URBAN/INDUSTRIAL MIXED SITES OF THE CANTABRIA REGION (NORTHERN SPAIN) ..................................................................................................................... 77 I. Fernández-Olmo (1), C. Andecochea (1), S. Ruiz (1) and A. Irabien (1) BUILDING AND CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES: A SOURCE OF ULTRAFINE PARTICLES? .................................... 78 P. Kumar (1, 2), M. Mulheron (1) HIGHLY TIME- AND SIZE-RESOLVED MEASUREMENTS OF TRACE ELEMENTS DURING CLEARFLO, LONDON ................................................................................................................................................................................. 79 S. Visser (1), M. Furger (1), U. Flechsig (2), K. Appel (3*), R. Dressler (4), P. Zotter (1), J. G. Slowik (1), A. S. H. Prevot (1), U. Baltensperger (1) POLYCYCLIC AROMATIC HYDROCARBONS IN PM1: SEASONAL CHANGES AND SOURCES IDENTIFICATION USING DIAGNOSTIC RATIOS ............................................................................................................ 80 D. M. Agudelo-Castañeda (1). E. C. Teixeira (1,2), and H. Silveira (2) MOBILE MONITORING OF AIR QUALITY IN THE CITY OF ROTTERDAM ................................................................ 81 M. H. Voogt (1), P. J. van der Mark (1), A. R. A. Eijk (1), P. van Breugel (2) iv NEAR-ROAD PARTICLE NUMBER CONCENTRATIONS IN KUWAIT DURING SUMMERTIME.............................. 82 A. N. Al-Dabbous (1), P. Kumar (1) (2) MULTIPLE CH4 SOURCE IDENTIFICATION FOR A BIOGAS PLANT .......................................................................... 83 M. Piringer (1), M. Hrad (2) and M. Huber-Humer (2) MONITORING OUTDOOR AIR PARTICLE CONCENTRATIONS WITH THE PPS-M SENSOR ................................... 84 A. Järvinen (1), H. Kuuluvainen (1), A. Rostedt (1), J. V. Niemi (2), L. Pirjola (3), R. Hillamo (4), J. Keskinen (1) and T. Rönkkö (1) REAL-TIME MEASUREMENTS OF BIOAEROSOLS IN URBAN ENVIRONMENT ....................................................... 85 S. Saari (1), J. V. Niemi (2), T. Rönkkö (1), H. Kuuluvainen (1), A. Järvinen (1), L. Pirjola (3), R. Hillamo (4), J. Keskinen (1) QUANTIFICATION OF ORGANIC, ELEMENTAL AND BLACK CARBON IN THE RUHR AREA, GERMANY ........ 86 M. Küpper (1), U. Quass (1), H. Kaminski (1), A. John (1), T. A. J. Kuhlbusch (1), S. Leinert (2), J. Geiger (2), L. Breuer (2), D. Gladtke (2), A. Olschewski (2), T. J. Schuck and U. Pfeffer (2) CHARACTERIZATION OF SOURCES AND PROCESSES OF ORGANIC AEROSOLS SAMPLED AT REVIN, FRANCE, DURING THE EMEP 2012 SUMMER CAMPAIGN ........................................................................................... 87 A. Setyan (1,2), V. Crenn (1,2,3), V. Riffault (1,2), J.-L. Jaffrezo (4), A. Waked (4), S. Sauvage (1,2), J.-L. Besombes (5), J.-E. Petit (3,6), O. Favez (6), T. Leonardis (1,2), J. Sciare (3), N. Locoge (1,2) SOURCE IDENTIFICATION OF FINE PARTICLE EMISSIONS IN URBAN AIR BY MOBILE MEASUREMENTS .... 88 L. Pirjola (1), J. V. Niemi (2), A. Kousa (2), S. Saarikoski (3), S. Carbone (3), H. Kuuluvainen (4), A. Järvinen (4), T. Rönkkö (4), J. Keskinen (4), R. Hillamo (3) VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUNDS SOURCE APPORTIONMENT IN PARIS: FOCUS ON THE TRAFIC AND WOOD BURNING SOURCES ............................................................................................................................................... 89 V. Gros(1), A. Baudic(1), R. Sarda-Esteve (1), H. Petetin (2), O. Sanchez (2), A. Rosso (2), O. Perrusel (2), T. le Priol (3), J. F. Petit (3), J.-E. Petit (1), O. Favez (4) C. Kalogridis (1), N. Bonnaire (1), B. Bonsang (1), I. Xueref-Rémy (1), L. Ammoura (1), and J. Sciare (1) OBSERVATION OF TRACE GAS DISTRIBUTIONS WITH AN AIRBORNE IMAGING DOAS INSTRUMENT .......... 90 D. Pöhler (1), S. General (1), J. Zielcke (1), U. Frieß (1), P. Shepson (2), B. Stirm (2), W. Simpson (3), H. Sihler (1,4), K. P. Heue (1,4), D. Walter (1,4), K. Weber (5), C. Fischer (5) and U. Platt (1) SECONDARY POLLUTANTS IN THE LAKE TAHOE BASIN, USA................................................................................. 91 B. Zielinska (1), A. Bytnerowicz (2), A. Gertler (1), M. McDaniel (1) and J. Burley (3) EFFECTS OF WOOD COMBUSTION EMISSIONS ON THE AIR QUALITY IN RESIDENTIAL AREAS MEASUREMENTS AND MODELLING ............................................................................................................................... 92 G. Baumbach (1), M. A. Bari, (1), W. Juschka (1), M. Struschka (1), G. Scheffknecht (1), B. Kuch (2), W. Baechlin (3) SOURCE APPORTIONMENT OF URBAN FINE PARTICLE NUMBER CONCENTRATION DURING SUMMERTIME IN BEIJING.................................................................................................................................................. 93 Z. R. Liu (1), B. Hu (1), Q. Liu (1,2), Y. Sun (1) and Y. S. Wang (1) 5 YEAR MEASUREMENTS OF LUNG DEPOSITED SURFACE AREA CONCENTRATIONS AND PARTICLE NUMBER SIZE DISTRIBUTIONS AT AN URBAN BACKGROUND STATION IN GERMANY .................................... 94 J. Meyer (1), H. Kaminski (1), U. Quass (1), C. Nickel (1), M. Küpper (1), and T. A. J. Kuhlbusch (1) A NOVEL METHODOLOGY FOR ASSESSING THE SPATIAL REPRESENTATIVENESS OF AIR QUALITY MONITORING STATIONS IN EUROPE .............................................................................................................................. 95 E. Solazzo (1), O. Kracht (1), D. Carruthers (2), M. Gerboles (1), J. Stocker (2), S. Galmarini (1) CHEMICAL COMPOSITION OF PM2.5 AND PM10: IMPLICATIONS FOR SOURCE APPORTIONMENT STUDIES OVER EUROPE ..................................................................................................................................................... 96 H. Price (1), K. Douglas (1), R. S. Sokhi (1), M. Keuken (2), M. Kermenidou (3), D. A. Sarigiannis (3) ANALYSIS OF AN EPISODE OF HIGH PM POLLUTION IN THE PO VALLEY, ITALY OBSERVED IN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE SUPERSITO PROJECT ................................................................................................................. 97 V. Poluzzi1, D. Bacco2, G. Bonafè1, P. Ugolini1, C. Maccone1, S. Ferrari1, and I. Ricciardelli1 ANALYSIS OF ATMOSPHERIC AEROSOL (PM2.5) IN RIO DE JANEIRO CITY, BRAZIL........................................... 98 L. H. M. dos Santos (1), A. A. F. S. Kerr (1), T. G. Veríssimo (1), M. de Fatima Andrade (2), R. M. de Miranda (3), A. Fornaro (2), and P. Saldiva (4) COMPOSITION AND SOURCE APPORTIONMENT OF NON-METHANE VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUNDS (NMVOCS) IN BEIRUT, LEBANON ..................................................................................................................................... 99 T. Salameh (1,2,3), S. Sauvage (1,2), C. Afif (3), A. Borbon (4), N. Locoge (1,2) PARTICULATE MATTER SOURCE APPORTIONMENT IN THE AREA OF THESSALONIKI, GREECE. ................. 100 D.E. Saraga (1, 2), E. Tolis (1), E.M. Kougioumtzidis (1) and J.G. Bartzis (1) v MODEL EVALUATION STUDIES ................................................................ 101 EVALUATION OF THE ON-LINE NMMB/BSC-CTM MODEL GAS-PHASE RESULTS ON THE EUROPEAN DOMAIN FOR 2010 IN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE AQMEII-PHASE2 INITIATIVE ................................................. 102 A. Badia (1),O. Jorba (1) CAN WE EXPLAIN THE OBSERVED DECREASE IN SECONDARY INORGANIC AEROSOL AND ITS PRECURSORS BETWEEN 1990 AND 2009 OVER EUROPE USING LOTOS-EUROS? ................................................ 103 S. Banzhaf (1), M. Schaap (2), R. Kranenburg (2), A. Manders (2), A. Segers (2), A. Visschedijk (2), H. Denier van der Gon (2), J. Kuenen (2), C. Hendriks (2), E. van Meijgaard (3), L. van Ulft (3) and P. Builtjes (1/2) MODELLING THE SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL PATTERN OF AMMONIA OVER THE PO VALLEY...................... 104 V. Capiaghi (1,2), G. Pirovano (2), C. Colombi (3), G. Lonati (1), G. M. Riva (2), A. Toppetti (2), V. Gianelle (3), A. Balzarini (2) COMPARISON OF MEASURED DATA AND MODEL-RESULTS DURING PEGASOS-CAMPAIGN 2012 ................ 105 C. Ehlers, D. Klemp, A. Wahner, H. Elbern INVESTIGATING RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN MODEL PERFORMANCE AND MODELING OUTCOMES .......... 106 N. Kumar (1), B. Koo (2), O. Nopmongcol (2), T. Odman (3), A. G. Russell (3), E. M. Knipping (1), G. Yarwood (2) AIR QUALITY OVER ASIA, A MODELLING STUDY WITH WRF-CHEM ................................................................... 107 A. K. Petersen (1), G. P. Brasseur (1), R. Kumar (2) LOCAL-SCALE MODELLING OF ACCIDENTAL RELEASES IN BUILT ENVIRONMENTS – SELECTED RESULTS OF THE ‘MICHELSTADT’ MODEL EVALUATION EXERCISE IN COST ACTION ES1006 ..................... 108 K. Baumann-Stanzer (1), B. Leitl (2), S. Trini Castelli (3), M. Milliez (4), G. Rau (1) and all COST ES1006 Members TRANSNATIONAL MODEL INTERCOMPARISON AND VALIDATION EXCERSICE (JOAQUIN) .......................... 109 S. Adriaenssens (1), F. Fierens (1), E. Trimpeneers (1), E. Van der Swaluw (2), F. Deutsch (3) and H. Denier Van der Gon (4) APPLICATION OF NINFA/AODEM OVER NORTHERN ITALY: MODEL EVALUATION IN THE FRAMEWORK OF SUPERSITO PROJECT ................................................................................................................................................... 110 T. C. Landi (1,2), M. Stortini (2), G. Bonafè (2), P. Cristofanelli (1) and P. Bonasoni (1) EVALUATION OF THE MACC OPERATIONAL FORECAST SYSTEM WITH RESPECT TO GLOBAL REACTIVE GASES ................................................................................................................................................................................... 111 Annette Wagner (1), Harald Flentje (1), Werner Thomas (1) and the MACC Team SPECIAL SESSION - AIR POLLUTION IN CITIES ..................................... 112 SEASONAL VARIATION OF PAHS CONCENTRATION IN ROME METROPOLITAN AREA AND SOURCE ATTRIBUTION THROUGH DIAGNOSTIC RATIOS ANALYSIS .................................................................................... 113 S. Finardi (1), A. Cecinato (2), C. Gariazzo (3), M. Gherardi (3), P. Radice (1), P. Romagnoli (2) A FEASIBILITY STUDY OF MAPPING LIGHT ABSORBING CARBON USING A TAXI FLEET AS A MOBILE PLATFORM .......................................................................................................................................................................... 114 P. Krecl (1), C. Johansson (2,3), J. Ström (2), J.-C. Gallet (4) and B. Lövenheim (3) INDOOR PSYCHOTROPIC SUBSTANCES IN ROME, ITALY ........................................................................................ 115 A. Cecinato, P. Romagnoli, M. Perilli, C. Patriarca, C. Balducci ON THE EFFECT OF A PARK ON FLOW AND POLLUTANT DISPERSION IN THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT CFD STUDY FOR AN IDEALZED URBAN NEIGHBOURHOOD - ................................................................................. 116 C. Gromke (1), B. Blocken (1,2) PARTICLE SURFACE AREA SIZE DISTRIBUTIONS IN DIFFERENT URBAN AEREAS ........................................... 117 H. Kuuluvainen (1), A. Järvinen (1), L. Pirjola (2), J. V. Niemi (3), R. Hillamo (4), J. Keskinen (1) and T. Rönkkö (1) SYNCHRONOUS MOBILE MEASUREMENTS WITHIN A DENSE URBAN VALLEY ................................................ 118 E. R. Somervell (1), J. Salmond (2), I. D. Longley (1), K. Dirks (2), G. Olivares (1), S. Grange (2) MODELLED URBAN ACETALDEHYDE CONCENTRATION ASSOCIATED WITH BIOETHANOL FUELLED TRANSPORT ........................................................................................................................................................................ 119 S. López-Aparicio and I. Sundvor DEVELOPMENT AND ASSESSMENT OF TRAFFIC-RELATED EMISSION ABATEMENT MEASURES FOR THE MADRID CITY (SPAIN) THROUGH THE WRF-SMOKE-CMAQ MODELLING SYSTEM .......................................... 120 R. Borge, J. Lumbreras, D. de la Paz, J. Pérez, M. E. Rodríguez THE VERTICAL PROFILES OF PM2.5 AND O3 MEASURED IN AUTUMN AND WINTER FROM A 325-METERMETEOROLOGICAL TOWER IN URBAN BEIJING, CHINA .......................................................................................... 121 D. S. Ji, Y. S. Wang, Y. Sun MULTI-YEAR CHARACTERISATION OF METALS CONCENTRATIONS IN AEROSOL COLLECTED IN DIFFERENT SITES OF THE VENICE LAGOON ............................................................................................................... 122 E. Morabito (1), D. Cesari (2), D. Contini (2), A. Gambaro (3), P. Campostrini (4), C. Dabalà (4), F. Belosi (5) vi VALIDATION OF NEW PARAMETERISATIONS FOR THE OPERATIONAL STREET POLLUTION MODEL (OSPM) .................................................................................................................................................................................. 123 M. Ketzel (1), O. Hertel (1), T.-B. Ottosen (1,2), K. Kakosimos (2) and R. Berkowicz (1) HIGH RESOLUTION MAPPING OF ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTANTS IN URBAN ENVIRONMENTS UTILISING DATA FROM SENSOR NETWORKS ................................................................................................................................. 124 M. D. Mueller (1), C. Hueglin (1), D. Hasenfratz (2), O. Saukh (2), V. B. Bright (3), O. A. M. Popoola (3), R. Jones (3) IMPACT OF THE ECONOMIC CRISIS ON WINTERTIME AIR QUALITY IN THESSALONIKI, GREECE................ 125 Arian Saffari (1), Nancy Daher (1), Constantini Samara (2), Dimitra Voutsa (2), Athanasios Kouras (2), Evangelia Manoli (2), Olga Karagkiozidou (2), Christos Vlachokostas (3), Nicolas Moussiopoulos (3), Martin M. Shafer (4), James J. Schauer (4), Constantinos Sioutas (1) ASSESMENT OF ORGANIC COMPOUNDS AS VEHICULAR EMISSION TRACERS IN THE ABURRA VALLEY REGION OF COLOMBIA .................................................................................................................................................... 126 M. Gómez (1), E. Posada (2), V. Monsalve (2) OVERVIEW OF ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS OF VOC IN NORTHERN MID-LATITUDE CITIES INFERRED FROM INTENSIVE AND LONG TERM OBSERVATIONS .............................................................................................. 127 A.Borbon (1), A. Boynard (2), V. Gros (3), N. Locoge (4), J. de Gouw (5) ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION IN NORTH AFRICA. FACTS AND LESSONS IN THE SPANISH CITY OF CEUTA .. 128 S. García Dos Santos (1), R. Benarroch Benarroch (2), R. Fernández Patier (1), M.A. Sintes Puertas (1), A. Aguirre Alfaro (1), J.M. Cantón Gálvez (2), J. Alonso Herreros (1) and S. Guevara Hernández (1) CHEMICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF PM2.5 IN HAZE EPISODES IN BEIJING ............................................................. 129 R. R. Shen (1), K. Schäfer (1), P. Suppan (1), Y. S. Wang (2), J. Schnelle-Kreis (3), L. Y. Shao (4) SPECIAL SESSION - AIR QUALITY AND CLIMATE METEOROLOGY INTERACTIONS AND FEEDBACKS ............................................................ 130 DOWNSCALING OF MONTHLY PM10 CONCENTRATIONS IN BAVARIA BASED ON CIRCULATION TYPE CLASSIFICATIONS ............................................................................................................................................................. 131 C. Beck (1), C. Weitnauer (1) and J. Jacobeit (1) CHANGES TO THE EUROPEAN PARTICLE COMPOSITION DURING THE 21ST CENTURY ................................... 132 C. Andersson (1), M. Engardt (1) and C. Geels (2) AIR QUALITY PROJECTIONS OVER EUROPE UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE AND EMISSION MITIGATION SCENARIOS: HORIZONS 1971-2060 ................................................................................................................................. 133 P. Navarro (1), J. P. Montávez (1) and P. Jiménez-Guerrero (1) INVESTIGATING AEROSOL OPTICAL PROPERTIES USING WRF/CHEM ................................................................. 134 A. Balzarini (1), G. Pirovano (1), G. M. Riva (1) AIRBORNE SOURCE APPORTIONMENT FOR ULTRAFINE ATMOSPHERIC PARTICLES AND THE DEPENDENCE OF LOCAL SURFACE CONCENTRATIONS ON REGIONAL SCALE METEOROLOGY.................. 135 W. Junkermann WRF-CHEM SIMULATIONS ON THE EFFECT OF AEROSOL-METEOROLOGY FEEDBACK ON REGIONAL POLLUTANT DISTRIBUTIONS OVER EUROPE ............................................................................................................. 136 R. Forkel (1), A. Balzarini (2), R. Baró (3), G. Curci (4), P. Jiménez-Guerrero (3), M. Hirtl (5), L. Honzak (6), J. L. Pérez (7); G. Pirovano (2), R. San José (7); P. Tuccella (4), J. Werhahn (1), R Žabkar (6) REPRESENTATION OF COUPLING PROCESSES IN ONLINE COUPLED METEOROLOGY AND CHEMISTRY MODELS – AN EXPERT POLL SURVEY RESULTS ........................................................................................................ 137 X. Kong (1), M. Gauss (2), G. Tsegas (3), A. Baklanov (4), R. Forkel (5), P. Suppan (5), D. Brunner (6), R. S. Sokhi (1), K. H. Schlünzen (7) and the COST ES1004 EuMetChem team QUANTIFYING THE RESPONSES OF FUTURE AIR QUALITY OF EUROPE TO CHANGES IN CLIMATE AND EMISSIONS WITH WRF-CMAQ AND HADGEM ............................................................................................................. 138 X. Kong (1), R. S. Sokhi (1), X. Francis (1), C. Chemel (1), G. Folberth (2) and B. Collins (3) AIR QUALITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON URBAN HEAT ISLAND IN CENTRAL EUROPE................ 139 T. Halenka (1), P. Huszar (1), M. Belda (1), K. Zemankova (2) INFLUENCES OF METEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS AND MIXING LAYER HEIGHT UPON AIR POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS IN URBAN AREA .................................................................................................... 140 K. Schäfer (1), P. Wagner (2), H. Ling (1, 3), C. Münkel (4), S. Emeis (1), P. Suppan (1) DEVELOPING A NEW DATABASE FOR SOURCE FINGERPRINTS IN THE ASIAN REGION – AN OVERVIEW OF THE IAEA/RCA PROGRAMME ON AIR PARTICULKATE MATTER POLLUTION RAS0723.............................. 141 A. Markwitz (1), D. D. Cohen (2), B. A. Begum (3), B. F. Ni (4), G. G. Pandit (5), M. Santoso (6) , Y. S. Chung (7), S. Abd Rahman (8), D. Shagjjamba (9), S. Waheed (10), P. C. B. Pabroa (11), M. C. S. Seneviratne (12), T. B. Vuong (13) vii SPECIAL SESSION - AIR QUALITY FORECASTING AND EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS..................................................................................... 142 DO AIR QUALITY INFORMATION, FORECASTING AND EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS REACH VULNERABLE TARGET GROUPS? .................................................................................................................................. 143 M. Capellaro (1), D. Sturm (2), U. Reis (3) and H.-G. Mücke (4) IMPROVING AIR QUALITY MODELING FORECASTING SYSTEMS BY USING ON-LINE WILD LAND FIRE FORECASTING TOOLS: AN APPLICATION OF WRF/CHEM/FIRE MODEL OVER EUROPE ................................... 144 R. San José (1), J. L. Pérez (1), R. M. González (2) , J. Pecci (3) and M. Palacios (3) LOTOS-EUROS CONTRIBUTION TO MACC-II-REANALYSIS-2011 TO ASSESS THE AIR QUALITY OF EUROPE ................................................................................................................................................................................ 145 U. Kumar1, A. Segers2, R. L. Curier2, R. Timmermans2, H. Eskes1 AIR QUALITY FORECASTING AND INFORMATION TOWARDS PUBLIC DEMONSTRATED IN WUHAN, HUBEI PROVINCE, CHINA ................................................................................................................................................ 146 L. Liu (1), C. Hak (1), N. Chen (2) SPECIAL SESSION - LOCAL AND REGIONAL AIR QUALITY SERVICES ........................................................................................................ 147 THE PASODOBLE AIRSHEDS - BRIDGING THE GAP BETWEEN THE COPERNICUS ATMOSPHERIC SERVICE AND LOCAL FORECASTING SERVICES........................................................................................................ 148 R. Timmermans (1), D. Balis (2), H. Elbern (3), T. Erbertseder (4), H. Eskes (5), E. Friese (3), C. Hendriks (1), E. Katagrou (2), R. Kouznetsov (6),U. Kumar (5), O. Lesne (7), A. Poupkou (2), M. de Ruyter de Wildt (5), M. Schaap (1), A. Segers (1), M. Sofiev (6), and C. Talbot (7) SATELLITE BASED MAPPING OF PARTICULATE MATTER ....................................................................................... 149 M. Kosmale, D. Martynenko, T. Holzer-Popp AN INTEGRATED PLUME RISE MODEL FOR WILD-LAND FIRES ............................................................................. 150 J. Kukkonen (1), J. Nikmo (1), M. Sofiev (1), K. Riikonen (1), T. Petäjä (2), A. Virkkula (1,2), J. Levula (3), S. Schobesberger (2) and D. M. Webber (4) ON THE IMPACT OF AIR QUALITY ON HUMAN HEALTH: APPLICATION OF AN AIR QUALITY INDEX FOR THESSALONIKI, GREECE.................................................................................................................................................. 151 Th. Giannaros (1), P. Siropoulou (1), A. Poupkou (1), S. Dimopoulos (1), D. Melas (1) and D. Balis (1) AIR QUALITY FORECASTS FOR THE BLACK FOREST REGION ............................................................................... 152 C. C. Bergemann (1), T. Erbertseder (1) AIRINFORM: DEVELOPMENT OF AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND AWARENESS TOOLS FOR CHINESE CITIES ................................................................................................................................................................................... 153 N. Veldeman (1), L. Blyth (1), P. Viaene (1), B. Maiheu (1), S. van den Elshout (2), J. Hui (3), W. Shuying (3) SILAM OERATIONAL FORECASTS AT THREDDS SERVER ........................................................................................ 154 R. D. Kouznetsov, M. A. Sofiev, J. Vira, M. Prank, J. Soares, C. T. M. Silam INTERACTIVE WEBSITE FOR AIR QUALITY AT ADDRESS LEVEL IN DENMARK ............................................... 155 S. S. Jensen (1), M. Fuglsang (1), T. Becker (1), M. Ketzel (1), J. Brandt (1), M. Plejdrup (1), M. Winther (1), T. Ellermann (1), O. Hertel (1) THE COMBINED USE OF MEASUREMENT DATA AND MODEL RESULTS - THE DATA FUSION OF THE PESCADO PROJECT ............................................................................................................................................................ 156 A. Karppinen (1), L. Johansson (1), J. Kukkonen (1), K. Karatzas (2), L. Wanner (3) SPECIAL SESSION - TRANSPORT RELATED AIR POLLUTION SCIENCE AND IMPACTS .............................................................................. 157 IMPACT OF EMISSIONS FROM INLANDS SHIPPING ON AIR QUALITY AND HEALTH IN THE NETHERLANDS ................................................................................................................................................................... 158 M. P. Keuken (1), M. Moerman (1), S. Jonkers (1), J. Hulskotte (1) and G. Hoek (2) AN IMPROVED MODEL FOR EVALUATING THE URBAN POPULATION EXPOSURE ........................................... 159 J. Soares (1), A. Kousa (1), J. Kukkonen (1), L. Matilainen (1), L. Kangas (1), M. Aarnio (1), M. Kauhaniemi (1), K. Riikonen (1), J.-P. Jalkanen (1), T. Rasila (1), O. Hänninen (3), T. Koskentalo (2) and A. Karppinen (1) CAN THE PREDICTIONS OF ROAD DUST EMISSION MODELS BE DIRECTLY COMPARED WITH ON-SITE MOBILE MEASUREMENTS? ............................................................................................................................................. 160 M. Kauhaniemi (1), A. Stojiljkovic (2), L. Pirjola (3), A. Karppinen (1), J. Härkönen (1), K. Kupiainen (2), L. Kangas (1), M. A. Aarnio (1), G. Omstedt (4), B. R. Denby (5), J. Kukkonen (1) viii EVALUATION OF THE PRESENT AND FUTURE AIR QUALITY IN EUROPE BASED ON TRANSPHORM MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE .............................................................................................................................................. 161 M. Prank (1), M. Sofiev (1), B. Amstrup (2), A. Baklanov (2), H. Denier van der Gon (3), C. Hendriks (3), X. Kong (4), A. Mažeikis (2), R. Nuterman (2), S. Tsyro (5), S. Valiyaveetil (5), X. Vazhappilly Francis (4), J. Kukkonen (1), R. S. Sokhi (4) TRAFFIC-RELATED AIR POLLUTION AND THE ONSET OF MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION: DISCLOSING BENZENE AS A TRIGGER? A SMALL-AREA CASE-CROSSOVER STUDY ................................................................ 162 D. Bard (1), W. Kihal (1), C. Schillinger (2), C. Fermanian (1), C. Ségala (3), S. Glorion (1), D. Arveiler (4), C. Weber (5) HEALTH IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF LONG-TERM EXPOSURE TO PARTICULATE AIR POLLUTION WITHIN TRANSPHORM. (FOR SPECIAL SESSION ON TRANSPHORM PROJECT) .................................................................. 163 B. G. Miller (1), J. F. Hurley (1), R. S. Sokhi (2), M. Keuken (3) and B. Brunekreef (4) EUROPEAN PARTICLE NUMBER EMISSIONS FOR 2005, 2020 AND 2030 WITH SPECIAL EMPHASIS ON THE TRANSPORT SECTOR. ....................................................................................................................................................... 164 H. A. C. Denier van der Gon (1), A. J. H. Visschedijk (1), J. Kuenen (1), C. Schieberle (2), I. Vouitsis (3), Z. Samaras (3), J. Moldanova (4), A. Petzold (5) AIR QUALITY IMPACTS OF ELECTRIC VEHICLES IN BARCELONA ........................................................................ 165 A. Soret (1), M. Guevara (1), and J. M. Baldasano (1,2) CALCULATIONS OF PRESENT AND FUTURE EFFECTS OF DIFFERENT TRANSPORT MODES ON AIR QUALITY AND HUMAN HEALTH IN EUROPE .............................................................................................................. 166 J. E. Jonson(1), R. Friedrich (2), S. Tsyro (1), J. Roos (2) and V. S. Semeena (1) MODELLING OF PARTICULATE MATTER CONCENTRATIONS IN THE HELSINKI METROPOLITAN AREA IN 2008 AND 2010 ................................................................................................................................................................ 167 M. A. Aarnio (1), L. Kangas (1), M. Kauhaniemi (1), A. Karppinen (1), A. Kousa (2), T. Petäjä (3), C. Hendriks (4), J. Kukkonen (1) EMISSIONS FROM THE PORT OF RIJEKA (CROATIA) AND THEIR IMPACT ON AIR QUALITY .......................... 168 A. Alebic-Juretic (1), A. van Hyfte (2), K. Devoldere (2), I. Hladki (3) and V. Jelavic (3) REFINEMENT AND EVALUATION OF A STATISTICAL APPROACH FOR DETERMINING CONCENTRATION INCREMENTS IN URBAN AREAS .................................................................................................................................... 169 N. Moussiopoulos (1), S. Torras Ortiz (2), I. Douros (1), E. Chourdakis (1), R. Friedrich (2) MONITORING OF AIR POLLUTION BY TRANSPORT RELATED NITROGEN OXIDES ON ROADS AND HIGHWAYS OF ST. PETERSBURG ................................................................................................................................... 170 O. V. Lozhkina, V. S. Marchenko, V. N. Lozhkin ASSESSING THE HEALTH BENEFITS OF DECREASED POPULATION EXPOSURES VERSUS DISBENEFITS OF INCREASED DRIVER EXPOSURES IN AN 18 KM LONG HIGH-WAY ROAD TUNNEL BY-PASS IN STOCKHOLM ....................................................................................................................................................................... 171 H. Orru (1, 2), B. Lövenheim (3), C. Johansson (3, 4), B. Forsberg (1) INTERCOMPARISON OF URBAN SCALE AIR QUALITY MODELS ............................................................................ 172 S. Jonkers (1), E .W. Meijer (1), P. Y. J. Zandveld (1), B. R. Denby (2), I. Douros, (3), N. Moussiopoulos (3), V. Singh (4), R. S. Sokhi (4), A. Karppinen (5), L. Kangas (5) and J. Kukkonen (5) CONTRIBUTION OF EMISSION SOURCES TO CONCENTRATIONS OF FINE PARTICULATE MATTER (PM2.5) IN EUROPE ........................................................................................................................................................................... 173 X. Francis (1), R. S. Sokhi (1), C. Chemel (1) H. Denier van der Gon (2) URBAN AND TRAFFIC CONTRIBUTIONS TO PM2.5 IN LONDON ............................................................................... 174 V. Singh (1), R. S. Sokhi (1) and J. Kukkonen (2) ROADSIDE AND URBAN BACKGROUND MEASUREMENTS OF ULTRAFINE PARTICLES IN THESSALONIKI, GREECE – 7 YEARS LATER ................................................................................................................ 175 Ι. Vouitsis, S. Amanatidis, L. Ntziachristos and Z. Samaras USE OF REMOTE SENSING AND SATELLITE DATA FOR AIR QUALITY RESEARCH ................................................................................... 176 A REGIONAL SCALE NOX EMISSION INVERSION USING OMI OBSERVATIONS ................................................... 177 J. Vira (1), M. Sofiev (1) AIRBORNE MAPPING OF NITROGEN DIOXIDE CONCENTRATIONS IN URBAN ENVIRONMENTS ................... 178 R. J. Leigh (1), J. P. Lawrence (1), J. Vande Hey(1), R. R. Graves (1),and P. S. Monks (2) OBTAINING PM2.5 IN THE STOCKHOLM REGION FROM SPACEBORNE MEASUREMENTS............................... 179 M. Tesche (1), P. Glantz (1), and C. Johansson (1, 2) ix ON POSSIBILITY OF REMOTE-SENSING COMPLIANCE MONITORING OF SHIP-FUEL SULPHUR CONTENT: A MODELLING STUDY IN GULF OF FINLAND ............................................................................................................. 180 M. Sofiev (1), M.Prank (1), L.Johansson (1), J.-P.Jalkanen (1), T.Stipa (1) BOUNDARY LAYER AEROSOL INVESTIGATION WITH LASER CEILOMETER...................................................... 181 C. Münkel (1), K. Schäfer (2), S. Emeis (2) and P. Suppan (2) WIND TUNNEL - PHYSICAL MODELLING ............................................... 182 A COMPARISON OF NUMERICAL AND EXPERIMENTAL STUDIES OF THE WIND FLOW IN URBAN STREET CANYONS ............................................................................................................................................................................ 183 F. C. Cezana (1), E. V. Goulart (1), R. R. C. de Paula (2), J. C. F. Queiroz (2), L. B. Föeger (1) and D. Z. Matta (2) IMPACT OF URBAN-AREA GEOMETRY ON POLLUTION VENTILATION ............................................................... 184 L. Kukačka (1,2), V. Fuka (1), Š. Nosek (2), Z. Jaňour (2) EVAPORATION AND SORPTION OF TOXIC SUBSTANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW..... 185 K. Jurčáková (1), T. Dropa and M. Weisheitelová (2) DEVELOPMENT AND VALIDATION OF THE HYBRID WIND TUNNEL/NUMERICAL MODEL HYWINMOD..... 186 A. Beyer-Lout (1), R. L. Petersen (1) COMPARISON OF PIV EXPERIMENT AND LES ON STREET CANYON DYNAMICS ............................................... 187 R. Kellnerová (1,2), L. Kukačka (1,2), V. Fuka (2), V. Uruba (1), Z. Jaňour (1), Š. Nosek (1) PART TWO: POSTER SESSIONS ..................................... 188 AIR QUALITY AND IMPACT ON LOCAL TO GLOBAL SCALES .......... 189 MODELLING AND ANALYSIS OF THE ROLE OF MESOMETEOROLOGICAL PROCESSES ON TRANSPORT AND ACCUMULATION OF POLLUTANTS IN THE WESTERN MEDITERRANEAN AND THEIR INFLUENCE ON CHEMICAL DEGRADATION MECHANISMS ........................................................................................................... 190 J. L. Palau (1), M. Vázquez (1), F. Rovira (2), M. J. Sales (2), A. Muñoz (1), E. Borrás (1) T. Vera (1), F. Santa-Cruz (1), J. I. Roselló (1) and P. Sánchez (1) ROLE OF THE LONG-RANGE TRANSPORT IN THE AEROSOL CONCENTRATION FORMATION IN HUNGARY ............................................................................................................................................................................ 191 Z. Ferenczi LONG RANGE TRANSPORT OF PM10 TO MARMARA REGION................................................................................... 192 E. Oksuz (1), M. Kafadar (1) MEASUREMENT AND MODELING ACTIVITIES IN NEPAL IN FRAMEWORK OF THE SUSKAT PROJECT ........ 193 A. Mues (1), A. Lauer (1), M. Rupakheti (1), A. Panday (2,3) DETECTION OF FUKUSHIMA ORIGIN CEASIUM ISOTOPES AT POLISH POLAR STATION IN HORSUND (SPITSBERGEN) AND ITS EFFECTS TO ATMOSPERIC ELECTRICITY PARAMETERS ........................................... 194 B. Mysłek-Laurikainen (1), M. Matul (1), S. Mikołajewski (1), H. Trzaskowska (1), M. Kubicki (2), P. Baranski (2), A. Ozimek (2), S. Michnowski (2) ATTEMPT TO IDENTIFY OF EPISODES THE CONTRIBUTION OF STRATOSPHERIC OZONE IN THE GROUND LAYER OF THE ATMOSPHERE ...................................................................................................................... 195 E. Krajny (1), L. Osrodka (1), M. Wojtylak (1) and M. Pajek (2) REGIONAL EMISSION FACTORS OF CARBON DIOXIDE FROM AGRICULTURAL WASTE RESIDUES BURNING IN NORTHEASTERN REGION THAILAND ................................................................................................... 196 N. Khosavithitkul (1), N. Chuersuwan (2), and T. Wannasook (3) AIR QUALITY MANAGEMENT AND POLICY .......................................... 197 UFIREG PROJECT: ULTRAFINE PARTICLES - AN EVIDENCE BASED CONTRIBUTION TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONAL AND EUROPEAN ENVIRONMENTAL AND HEALTH POLICY ........................... 198 S. Lanzinger (1), A. Schneider (1), S. Breitner (1), R. Rückerl (1), A. Peters (1), S. Bastian (2), A. Zscheppang (3), J. Cyrys (1) (4) TEN YEARS OF WOODBURNER RESEARCH IN NEW ZEALAND: LESSONS LEARNED AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS ........................................................................................................................................................................ 199 G. Coulson (1), E. Wilton (2), E. R. Somervell (1), R. Bian (1) A DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING APPROACH FOR AIR QUALITY PLANNING AT REGIONAL SCALE................... 200 C. Carnevale (1), G. Finzi (1), F. Padula (1), E. Turrini (1) and M. Volta (1) A MULTI-STRESSOR, MULTI-MODAL APPROACH TO BRIDGE THE GAP BETWEEN CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL HEALTH STRESSORS IN URBAN AREAS ................................................................................................... 201 Ch. Vlachokostas (1), G. Banias (2), A. Athanasiadis (1), V. Akylas (1), Ch. Achillas (2) and N. Moussiopoulos (1) x HEALTH BENEFITS FROM TRANSPORT RELATED GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION POLICIES ........................... 202 D. A. Sarigiannis, P. Kontoroupis, S. Karakitsios, D. Chapizanis DEVELOPMENT - APPLICATION OF AIR QUALITY AND RELATED MODELS........................................................................................................... 203 SENSITIVITY OF THE SEMI-EMPIRICAL URBAN STREET (SEUS) MODEL TO VARIATIONS IN NO2/NOX EMISSIONS RATIOS ........................................................................................................................................................... 204 S. Vardoulakis (1), N. A. Mazzeo (2) and L. E. Venegas (2) DOWNSCALING MESOSCALE WIND FIELDS THROUGH A MASS-CONSISTENT MODEL TO DRIVE DISPERSION SIMULATIONS WITH ADMS ..................................................................................................................... 205 P. Brotto (1)(3), F. Cassola (1)(3), A. Mazzino (2)(3) and P. Prati (1)(3) TIME EVOLUTION OF OZONE PRODUCTION FROM VOCS ....................................................................................... 206 K. A. Mar (1), J. Coates (1), S. Zhu (1), T. M. Butler (1) MATCH-SALSA - MULTI-SCALE ATMOSPHERIC TRANSPORT AND CHEMISTRY MODEL COUPLED TO THE SALSA AEROSOL MICROPHYSCIS MODEL .......................................................................................................... 207 C. Andersson (1), R. Bergström, (1,2), H. Kokkola (3), C. Bennet (1), M. Thomas (1), H. Korhonen (3), K. Lehtinen (3) and L. Robertson(1) MEASUREMENTS AND MODELLING OF BLACK CARBON IN TWO CITIES IN SOUTH-WEST SPAIN ............... 208 C. Milford (1,2), R. Fernández-Camacho (1), A. Sánchez de la Campa (1), S. Rodríguez (2), N. Castell (3), C. Marrero (2), J. De la Rosa (1) and A. F. Stein (4) A METHODOLOGY TO ESTIMATE PM10 OUTDOOR URBAN CONCENTRATIONS USING GLM .......................... 209 J. M. Garcia (1), F. Teodoro (1), R. Cerdeira (1), L. M. R. Coelho (1), M. G. Carvalho (2)(3) IMPLEMENTATION OF THE ON LINE COUPLED MODEL WRF/CHEM OVER THE PO VALLEY ......................... 210 C. Carnevale (1), G. Finzi (1), E. Pisoni (2), A. Pederzoli (1), E. Turrini (1), M. Volta (1) IMPACT OF SHIPPING EMISSIONS FROM A MEDITERRANEAN PORT CITY BY COUPLING OF THE MESOSCALE MODEL BOLCHEM WITH THE MICRO-SCALE MODEL ADMS-URBAN ..................................................... 211 R. Cesari (1), R. Buccolieri (2), A. Maurizi (3), R. Quarta (2) and S. Di Sabatino (2) ADVANCED ODOUR DISPERSION MODELLING IN A NEW ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION SYSTEM ....... 212 U. Uhrner (1), G. Grosso (1), D. Öttl (2) MAKING AIR QUALITY INDICES COMPARABLE – ASSESSMENT OF TEN YEARS OF AIR POLLUTANT LEVELS IN WESTERN EUROPE ........................................................................................................................................ 213 H. Lokys (1, 2), J. Junk (1), A. Krein (1) EMISSION MODELS - INVENTORIES ......................................................... 214 RESIDENTIAL HEATING EMISSIONS OF PM2.5 AND NOX IN ESTONIA .................................................................. 215 M. Kaasik (1), M. Maasikmets (2;3), E. Teinemaa (2) CALORIFIC VALUES AND PARTICULATE EMISSION ESTIMATES OF DISTRIBUTED BIOMASS FUELS OVER RURAL WESTERN INDIA....................................................................................................................................... 216 Rohtash, A. Sen, T. K. Mandal, M. Saxena, S. K. Sharma USING TRACERS FOR ESTIMATION OF CO2 SOURCE IN THE URBAN ENVIRONMENT ..................................... 217 J. M. Necki, D. Jelen, M. Zimnoch MICRO AND MACRO MODELLING OF COLD START EMISSIONS FROM ROAD TRAFFIC: A CASE STUDY IN ATHENS ................................................................................................................................................................................ 218 C. Samara (1), E. Mitsakis (2), I. Stamos (2), J. M. Salanova-Grau (2), G. Aifadopoulou (2), L. Ntziachristos (1) and Z. Samaras (1) ENVIRONMENTAL AND HEALTH IMPACT RESULTING FROM AIR POLLUTION..................................................................................................... 219 AIR QUALITY MEASUREMENTS IN INDOOR ENVIRONMENT OF MODERN OFFICES IN ATHENS, GREECE (OFFICAIR PROJECT) ......................................................................................................................................................... 220 I.A. Sakellaris (1), D.E. Saraga (1,2), K.K. Kalimeri (1), E.M. Kougioumtzidis (1), V.G. Mihucz (3), R. Mabilia (4) and J.G. Bartzis (1) ANALYSING THE BIOLOGICAL INTERVENTION OF FINE PARTICULATE FRACTIONS IN HUMAN BODY ..... 221 I. Mukherjee (1), T. Chakraborty (2) CHEMICAL MECHANISM OF CU-TIO2/GF PHOTOCATALYST FOR DISINFECTION OF E. COLI IN AEROSOL UNDER VISIBLE LIGHT ..................................................................................................................................................... 222 T. D. Pham, B. K. Lee, C. H. Lee xi EXTERNAL COSTS OF AIR POLLUTION FROM ENERGY SUPPLY: REVIEWING METHODOLOGIES FROM EXTERNE TO NEEDS.......................................................................................................................................................... 223 J. van der Kamp, T. M. Bachmann A STUDY OF OZONE EXPOSURE ACROSS EUROPE: 2004-2010 ................................................................................. 224 T. Chatterton (1), E. Hayes (1), J. Barnes (1), J. Longhurst (1), D. Laxen (1) J. Irwin (1), H. Bach (2), J. Brandt (2), J. H. Christensen (2), T. Ellermann (2), C. Geels (2), O. Hertel (2), A. Massling (2), H. Ø. Nielsen (2), O. K. Nielsen (2), C. Nordstrøm (2), J. K. Nøjgaard (2), H. Skov, (2), F. Pelsy (3) and T. Zamparutti (3) MODELLING EXPOSURE AND LUNG DEPOSITION OF PARTICLE-BOUND POLYCYCLIC AROMATIC HYDROCARBONS (PAHS) ................................................................................................................................................. 225 O. Hänninen (1), P. Lipponen (1), R. Sorjamaa (1), M. Lamberti (2), C. Gariazzo (2) GREEN-AGRICHAINS PROJECT: INTERACTIONS BETWEEN AIR QUALITY, CLIMATE CHANGE AND AGRICULTURE.................................................................................................................................................................... 226 N. Moussiopoulos (1), K. Schäfer (2), E. Iakovou (3), E. Fragkou (1), E.-A. Kalognomou (1), G. Tsegas (1) and Ch. Achillas (4) AIR POLLUTION MODELING ON AN URBAN SCALE: CASE STUDIES FOR THE FUTURE HEALTH IMPACT ASSESSMENT UNDER DIFFERENT CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS ...................................................................... 227 U. Mikolajczyk (1), P. Suppan (1), S. Emeis (1), R. Forkel (1), A. Schneider (2) SIMULATED AIRWAY PARTICLE DEPOSITION IN AN URBAN ENVIRONMENT IMPACTED BY BIOMASS SMOKE .................................................................................................................................................................................. 228 A. C. Targino (1), P. Krecl (2), C. Johansson (3) ENVIRONMENTAL METEOROLOGY - PROCESSES AND INTERACTIONS .............................................................................................. 229 ASSESSMENT OF URBAN PARAMETERIZATIONS IN THE WRF MODEL FOR AIR QUALITY MODELLING PURPOSES IN MADRID (SPAIN) ....................................................................................................................................... 230 D. de la Paz, R. Borge, J. Lumbreras, M. E. Rodríguez MODIFIED MELLOR-YAMADA-JANJIC PLANETARY BOUNDARY LAYER SCHEME USED TO SIMULATE BOUNDARY LAYER HEIGHTS AND AEROSOL CONCENTRATION IN AUGSBURG, SOUTHERN GERMANY .. 231 R. J. Foreman (1), R. Forkel (1), S. Emeis (1) CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECTS ON URBAN AIR QUALITY ........................................................................................... 232 M. Piljek (1), V. Džaja Grgičin (1), A. Jeričević (1,2), S. Vidič (1), M. Patarčić (1), L. Srnec (1), I. Guettler (1) and Č. Branković (1) MEASUREMENT OF AIR POLLUTANTS AND SOURCE APPORTIONMENT ......................................................................................... 233 GIORDAN LIGHTHOUSE - A GAW STATION ON THE ISLAND OF GOZO IN THE CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN; SUMMARY OF RESULTS OBTAINED CONCERNING SHIPPING EMISSIONS, VOLCANIC PLUMES AND OTHER ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS ................................................................................................ 234 F. Azzopardi1, A. Smyth1, M. Saliba1, M. Azzopardi1, J. Azzopardi2, J. Sciare3, F. DuLac3, S. Scollo4, M. Prestifilippo4, J.-P. Jalkanen5, L. Johansson5 , P. Pribylova6 and R. Ellul1 MESUREMENTS OF TRACE GASES (NH3, NO, NO2 & SO2), PARTICULATES (PM2.5 & TSP) AND BLACK CARBON OVER THE WESTERN HIMALAYAN REGION, INDIA................................................................................. 235 T. K. Mandal (1), S. K. Sharma (1), C. Sharma (1), J. C. Kuniyal (2), Rohtash (1), A. Sen (1), H. Ghayas (3), N. C. Gupta (3), M. Saxena (1) and A. Sharma (1) NANOPARTICLES NUMBER CONCENTRATION AND SIZE DISTRIBUTION NEAR A HIGHWAY IN SOUTH BRAZIL ................................................................................................................................................................................. 236 I. L. Schneider (1), E. C. Teixeira (1,2), F. P. Norte (2), D. M. Agudelo-Castañeda (1), and L. F. S. Oliveira (1,3) AIR QUALITY SENSORS IN SCHOOLS: OPEN DATA FOR PUBLIC ENGAGEMENT ............................................... 237 R. R. Graves (1), R. J. Leigh (1) and J. J. Remedios (1) SECONDARY ORGANIC AEROSOL FORMATION IN THE OZONOLYSIS OF LIMONENE PERFORMED IN A LAMINAR FLOW REACTOR ............................................................................................................................................. 238 T. Braure (1,2), V. Riffault (1,2), A. Tomas (1,2), Y. Bedjanian (3) and P. Coddeville (1,2) ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY OF 3-METHYL-3-HYDROXY-2-BUTANONE: PHOTOLYSIS AND REACTION WITH OH RADICALS .......................................................................................................................................................... 239 H. Bouzidi (1,2), A. Tomas (1,2), P. Coddeville (1,2), C. Fittschen (3), C. Sleiman (4), G. El Dib (4), A. Canosa (4), E. Roth (5), A. Chakir (5) xii INFLUENCE OF WINTER AND SUMMER METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ON FORMATION OF OZONE FROM A RURAL AND URBAN TYPICAL VOCS/NOX RATIO: SIMULATIONS AT THE EUPHORE SMOG CHAMBER ............................................................................................................................................................................ 240 M. Vázquez (1), F. Alacreu (1), E. Borrás (1), E. García (1), T. Gómez (1), A. Muñoz (1), M. Ródenas (1), J. I. Roselló (1), P. Sánchez (1), T. Vera (1), J. L. Palau (1). METHANE HOT SPOT IN CENTRAL EUROPE – IDENTIFICATION OF CH4 SOURCES IN SILESIA, POLAND ..... 241 A. Jasek1, M. Zimnoch1, L. Chmura1,2, J. M. Necki1, R. Fisher3 and D. Lowry3 MODELLING THE SOURCE CONTRIBUTION OF PARTICULATE MATTER IN OSLO: COMPARISON BETWEEN MODELS AND OBSERVATIONS ................................................................................................................... 242 B. R. Denby and C. Hak NEW ADVANCES IN ENVIRONMENTAL AIR MONITORING ..................................................................................... 243 N. M. Watson (1), S. Koschinski (2), L. Pollack (2). SEASONAL VARIATION OF PB IN PM10 AEROSOLS AND BACKWARD TRAJECTORY ANALYSIS AT AN URBAN SITE IN NORTH INDIA ........................................................................................................................................ 244 S. Chandra, R. Singh & M. J. Kulshrestha SOURCE APPOIRTIONMENT OF PM10 ELICIT REACTIVE OXYGEN SPECIES AT AN URBAN BACKGROUND STATION............................................................................................................................................................................... 245 B. Hellack (1), M. Küpper (1), U. Quass (1), R. P. F. Schins (2) and T. A. J. Kuhlbusch (1) EMISSIONS FROM THE COMBUSTION OF COAL AND MIXTURE OF COAL AND WOOD PELLETS INDIVIDUAL PARTICLE ANALYSIS BY TEM/EDX ELECTRON MICROSCOPY ...................................................... 246 J. V. Niemi (1), A. Frey (2), K. Saarnio (3), L. Pirjola (4) A. Häyrinen (5), F. Mylläri (6), T. Rönkkö (6) and R. Hillamo (3) ESTIMATING THE ORIGIN OF BACKGROUND AEROSOL POLLUTION IN ESTONIA ............................................ 247 B. Laan, K. Komsaare, M. Kaasik, U. Hõrrak TRENDS OF ATMOSPHERIC PERSISTENT ORGANIC POLLUTANTS IN EUROPEAN SAMPLING STATIONS ... 248 I. García (1), P. Jiménez-Guerrero (1), N. Ratola (1) ANALYSES AND SOURCE IDENTIFICATION OF PM10 CONCENTRATIONS DURING EPISODES OF AIR POLLUTION IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN EUROPEAN AREA ...................................................................... 249 V. Dz. Grgicin (1), A. Jeričević (1,4) M. T. Prtenjak (2), S. Vidič (1), H. Bloemen (3) Α MODELLING APPROACH TO ASSESS THE CONTRIBUTION OF DOMESTIC WOOD BURNING ON AMBIENT PM2.5 LEVELS IN THE GREATER THESSALONIKI AREA, GREECE....................................................... 250 N. Moussiopoulos (1), C. Samara (2), G. Tsegas (1), Ch. Vlachokostas (1), D. Voutsa (2), G. Argyropoulos (2), A. Kouras (2), E. Manoli (2), I. Douros (1), A. Michailidou (1) HETEROGENEOUS ATMOSPHERIC PHOTODEGRADATION OF CHLORPYRIFOS ................................................. 251 A. El Masri (1), E. Roth (1) , A. Chakir (1) MEASURING REMOTELY THE SULPHUR CONTENT OF SHIP FUEL ........................................................................ 252 J. Balzani, B. Alfoldy, F. Lagler, J. Hjorth and A. Borowiak MODEL EVALUATION STUDIES ................................................................ 253 SOURCE APPORTIONMENT OF PM10 AND PM2.5 BY USING POSITIVE MATRIX FACTORIZATION.................... 254 S. K. Sharma (1), R. Masiwal (1,2), N. C. Gupta (2), T. K. Mandal (1), M. Saxena (1) and Rohtash (1) EVALUATION OF THE SEMI-EMPIRICAL URBAN STREET (SEUS) MODEL USING AIR QUALITY DATA FROM TWO STREET CANYONS IN THE UK .................................................................................................................. 255 L. E. Venegas (1), N. A. Mazzeo (1) and S. Vardoulakis (2) COMPARISON WIND-TUNNEL EXPERIMENT WITH LES MODELLING OF ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION OVER COMPLEX TERRAIN ............................................................................................................................................... 256 Š. Nosek (1), Z. Jaňour (1), V. Fuka (2), L. Kukačka (1,2), K. Jurčáková (1), R. Kellnerová (1,2), E. Gulikova (3) MEASUREMENT AND MODELLING OF CANADIAN FOREST FIRE EMISSIONS IN SUMMER 2013 WITH THE MACC OPERATIONAL FORECAST SYSTEM ................................................................................................................. 257 H. Flentje (1), A. Wagner (1), I. Mattis (1), W. Thomas (1), A. Benedetti (2), J. Kaiser (3) PERSONAL EXPOSURE................................................................................. 258 INDOOR AIR AT A SUBURBAN NURSERY: FINE PARTICLES ASSESSMENT ......................................................... 259 P. T. B. S. Branco, M. C. M. Alvim-Ferraz, F. G. Martins, S. I. V. Sousa INDOOR AIR AT A SUBURBAN NURSERY: GASEOUS COMPOUNDS ASSESSMENT ............................................ 260 P. T. B. S. Branco, M. C. M. Alvim-Ferraz, F. G. Martins, S. I. V. Sousa VARIABILITY OF PM LEVELS IN THE BARCELONA METRO SYSTEM ................................................................... 261 V. Martins (1), T. Moreno (1), M. C. Minguillón (1) and X. Querol (1) xiii SPECIAL SESSION - AIR POLLUTION IN CITIES .................................... 262 PSYCHOTROPIC SUBSTANCES IN LONDON, UK ......................................................................................................... 263 A. Cecinato (1), P. Romagnoli (1), M. Perilli (1), C. Balducci (1), D. Green (2) EFFECTS OF URBANIZED MODELLING IN FINE RESOLUTION EULERIAN AIR QUALITY SIMULATIONS ..... 264 J. Resler (1,2), J. Liczki (2), M. Belda (2,3), K. Eben (1,2), P. Jurus (1,2), J. Karel (4), R. Jares (4), O. Vlcek (5) and M. Kazmukova (6) SEASONAL VARIATIONS OF VOLATILE HYDROCARBONS IN THE METROPOLITAN AREA OF SÃO PAULO 265 P. A. Dominutti (1), T. Nogueira (1), A. Fornaro (1) and M. F. Andrade (1) STUDY OF THE SOURCES OF FINE PARTICLE MATTER IN SANTIAGO DE CHILE AND ITS CORRELATION WITH SOLAR RADIATION ................................................................................................................................................ 266 E. Gramsch (1), P. Oyola (2), F. Reyes (2), Y. Vasquez (2), M. A. Rubio (3) PM2.5 AND CARBONACEOUS SPECIES IN THESSALONIKI, GREECE DURING THE ECONOMIC RECESSION PERIOD ................................................................................................................................................................................. 267 C. Samara (1), D. Voutsa (1), A. Kouras (1), M. Petrakakis (2), A. Kelessis (2), and P. Tzoumaka (2) ASSESSING AIR QUALITY IN A MEDITERRANEAN COASTAL CITY: AN APPROACH FROM THE URBAN SUSTAINABILITY PERSPECTIVE .................................................................................................................................... 268 A. I. Domenech (1) and P. Jiménez-Guerrero (2) PORT-AU-PRINCE AIR POLLUTION FIRST CONCENTRATION MEASURES COMPARE TO EMISSION INVENTORY DATA ............................................................................................................................................................ 269 A. Antoine (1), F. Bade (1), P. Nuiro (2), J. Molinie (1) USING WRF/CHEM AND EULAG CFD MODELS TO PRODUCE VERY HIGH SPATIAL AIR POLLUTION SIMULATIONS OVER AN URBAN ENVIRONMENT: MADRID CASE STUDY .......................................................... 270 R. San José (1), J. L. Pérez (1) and R. M. González (2) SURFACE HCHO VARIATION IN URBAN AREA ........................................................................................................... 271 H. Ling (1, 2), Y. S. Wang (1) HOW IMPORTANT IS THE PM2,5 CARBONACEOUS FRACTION IN AMBIENT AIR IN MADRID (SPAIN)? ........ 272 P. Díez Hernández (1), C. Andrés Escrivá (1), M. A. Cristóbal López (2), S. García Dos Santos (1), R. Fernández Patier (1) ENHANCEMENT OF THE SECONDARY FRACTION OF PM2.5 IN THE UPPER PART OF SANTIAGO DE CHILE 273 F. Reyes (1),(2), Y. Vásquez (1)(2), J. P. Moraga (1), R. Donoso (1), M. A. Rubio (2), E. Gramsch (2), P. Oyola (1) INFLUENCE OF TRANSPORT ON SIZE DISTRIBUTION AND PARTICLE NUMBER IN SANTIAGO DE CHILE .. 274 Y. Vásquez (1,3), F. Reyes (1,3), R. Donoso (2), J. Moraga (3), P. Oyola (1), E. Gramsch (2), M. A. Rubio (3) LONG-TERM DYNAMICS OF THE AIR POLLUTION IN MOSCOW............................................................................. 275 M. A. Lokoshchenko (1), A. V. Trifanova (2) AEROSOL PROPERTIES IN BUENOS AIRES: LOCAL AND REGIONAL CONTRIBUTIONS .................................... 276 A. G. Ulke (1,3), B. M. Torres (1), G. Raga (2), D. Baumgardner (4) and B. Kucienska (2) COVENANT OF MAYORS INITIATIVE: REDUCING GHG EMISSIONS AT LOCAL LEVEL BEYOND THE 20% TARGET IN 2020 - AN EMPIRICAL STUDY .................................................................................................................... 277 S. Rivas et al. SPECIAL SESSION - AIR QUALITY AND CLIMATE METEOROLOGY INTERACTIONS AND FEEDBACKS ............................ 278 THE IMPACT OF CENTRAL EUROPEAN CITIES ON CLIMATE AND AIR QUALITY: PRELIMINARY RESULTS 279 P. Huszar (1), T. Halenka (1), M. Belda (1) CHANGES IN SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURE AND TRENDS IN INDICES OF TEMPERATURE IN BURGOS (SPAIN) FOR THE PERIOD 1997-2012 ............................................................................................................................... 280 R. Viloria, V. Tricio SPECIAL SESSION - AIR QUALITY FORECASTING AND EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS..................................................................................... 281 A WRF-EMEP FORECAST SYSTEM FOR THE HUBEI PROVINCE, CHINA ................................................................ 282 T. Svendby, S. Solberg, P. Schneider, L. Liu NEW DATA ASSIMILATION OF PM OBSERVATIONS APPROACH FOR IMPROVED PM FORECASTS ............... 283 A. Segers (1), A. Manders (1), R. Timmermans (1), and M. Schaap (1) FORECASTING THE INFLUENCE OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON EXTREME GROUND-LEVEL OZONE EVENTS IN THE TORONTO AREA, CANADA ................................................................................................................................ 284 K. H. Y. Leung (1) and W. A. Gough (2) xiv MODELLING OF DAILY AIR POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION PROFILES USING ASSOCIATION RULES ......... 285 R. Jasinski SPECIAL SESSION - LOCAL AND REGIONAL AIR QUALITY SERVICES ........................................................................................................ 286 WEAK SIGNALS AND AIR QUALITY: NETWORK OF SENTINEL PHARMACISTS .................................................. 287 R. Collomp (1, 2), T. Collomp (1, 2), C. Durand (2), C. Debail (1), A. Mangin (3), O. Lesne (3), P. Sicard (3), C. Talbot (3), A. Anziani (1), N. Alexandre (1) TOTUS – TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE URBAN FORMS .................................................................................................. 288 G. Olivares (1), E. R. Somervell (1) ATMOSYS, A GENERIC WEB PLATFORM FOR AIR POLLUTION HOT SPOTS IN EUROPE ................................... 289 N. Veldeman (1), D. Roet (2), P. Viaene (1), D. Lauwaet (1), W. Lefebvre (1), S. Vranckx (1), P. Vos (1), K. Decoene (2), E. Trimpeneers (3), B. Maiheu (1), G. Driesen (1), N. Smeets (1), W. Peelaerts (1), T. Op ’t Eyndt (1), K. De Ridder (1), L. Blyth (1), S. Janssen (1), E. Roekens (2) AIRDART – AIR QUALITY DATA ANALYSIS AND RETRIEVAL TOOL .................................................................... 290 A. Fraser, D. Brookes SPECIAL SESSION - TRANSPORT RELATED AIR POLLUTION SCIENCE AND IMPACTS .............................................................................. 291 EFFECT OF TRANSPORT POLICIES ON AIR QUALITY IN BIG CITIES OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION: PAST, PRESENT, FUTURE ................................................................................................................................................. 292 O. V. Lozhkina, V. N. Lozhkin IMPACTS OF HARBOUR ACTIVITIES AND SHIPPING EMISSIONS IN THE AIR QUALITY OF A MEDITERRANEAN COASTAL CITY ................................................................................................................................ 293 R. García-Cabañero (1) and P. Jiménez-Guerrero (1) UNCERTAINTIES IN HEALTH IMPACT ESTIMATES DUE TO EXPOSURE AND RESPIRATORY TRACT DEPOSITION PROCESSES ................................................................................................................................................. 294 O. Hänninen (1), J. Roos (2), S. Karakitsios (3), P. Kontoroupis (3), D. A. Sarigiannis (3), B. Miller (4) RESIDENTIAL LONG-TERM EXPOSURE TO PARTICULATE MATTER COMPONENTS AND CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE ENDPOINTS IN ADULTS ............................................................................................. 295 A. Peters (1), K. Wolf (1), R. Hampel (1), R. Beelen (2), F. Forastiere (3), I. Kooter (4), A. Jedynska (4), M. Keuken (4), B. Hoffmann (5), N. Künzli (6), T. Lanki (7), on behalf of the members of the ESCAPE work package 5 and TRANSPHORM AIR QUALITY IN COTONOU : PARTICULATE MATTER CHARACTERIZATION AND BIOLOGICAL EFFECTS ON HUMAN HEALTH ......................................................................................................................................................... 296 F. B. Cachon (1,2), A. Verdin (1,2), L. Ayi Fanou (3), S. Firmin (1,2), F. Cazier (1,4), S. Billet (1,2), P. J. Martin (1,2), F. Aïssi (1), D. Courcot (1,2), P. Shirali (1,2) and A. Sanni (3) TRANSPORT RELATED EMISSION ASSESSMENT FOR PRAGUE .............................................................................. 297 N. Benesova (1), M. Kazmukova (2), H. Kazmarova (3) MESMART – MEASUREMENTS OF SHIPPING EMISSIONS IN THE MARINE TROPOSPHERE .............................. 298 F. Wittrock (1), L. Kattner (1,2), B. Mathieu-Üffing (1,2), M. Chirkov (1), A. Meier (1), A. Richter (1), A. Schönhardt (1), V. Matthias (3), S. Schmolke (2), S. Weigelt-Krenz (2), N. Theobald (2), J. P. Burrows (1) USE OF REMOTE SENSING AND SATELLITE DATA FOR AIR QUALITY RESEARCH ................................................................................... 299 INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY OF TROPOSPHERIC OZONE DERIVED FROM SCIAMACHY LIMB-NADIR MATCHING OBSERVATIONS ........................................................................................................................................... 300 F. Ebojie, C. von Savigny, A. Ladstätter-Weissenmayer, A. Rozanov, M. Weber, K. Eichmann, S. Bötel, N. Rahpoe, H. Bovensmann, J. Burrows WIND TUNNEL -PHYSICAL MODELLING ................................................ 301 EFFECT OF ATMOSPHERIC CONDITION ON POLLUTANT DISPERSION OF BUILDING STACK EMISSIONS ... 302 M. F. Yassin (1,2) M. Abu-Kassem (2) WIND TUNNEL INVESTIGATIONS OF FLOW FIELD AROUND AN ISOLATED OBSTACLE .................................. 303 E. V. Goulart (1), F. C. Cezana (1), R. R. C. de Paula (2), J. F. Stocco (2), A. Burgo (2) and S. C. Zucoloto (2) xv xvi PART ONE: ORAL SESSIONS 1 KEY NOTE SPEAKERS 2 WITHIN- AND BETWEEN-CITY CONTRASTS IN NITROGEN DIOXIDE AND MORTALITY IN 10 CANADIAN CITIES D. L. Crouse (1), P. A. Peters (2, 3), P. J. Villeneuve (4), M.-O. Proux (2), H. H. Shin (1), M. S. Goldberg (5), M. Johnson (6), A. J. Wheeler (6), R. W. Allen (7), D. O. Atari (8), M. Jerrett (9), M. Brauer (10), J. R. Brook (11, 12), R. T. Burnett (1) (1) Environmental Health Science and Research Bureau, Health Canada, Ottawa, Canada; (2) Health Analysis Division, Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Canada; (3) Department of Sociology, University of New Brunswick, Fredericton, Canada; (4) Institute of Health: Science, Technology and Policy, Carleton University, Ottawa, Canada; (5) Department of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, Canada; (6) Air Health Science Division, Health Canada, Ottawa, Canada; (7) Faculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, Canada; (8) Faculty of Arts & Science, Nipissing University, North Bay, Canada; (9) School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, USA; (10) School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada; (11) Air Quality Research Division, Environment Canada, Downsview, Canada; (12) Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study investigated the effects of within- and between-city contrasts in exposure to ambient nitrogen dioxide (NO2) on mortality among subjects living in 10 of the largest cities in Canada. We assigned estimates of residential-level (i.e. withincity) and citywide mean (i.e., between-city) contrasts in exposure to NO2 for each year from 1984 to 2006 to a cohort of approximately 576,000 adults. We used historical fixed-site monitoring data to scale the exposure estimates, and residential histories allowed us to follow subjects annually during the study period. We found positive associations between the withincity exposure contrasts and mortality from non-accidental causes, cardiovascular, ischemic heart, and respiratory diseases, but not from cerebrovascular diseases. We also found positive associations with mortality and between-city exposure contrasts, but they were weaker, less consistent, and more sensitive to covariate adjustment. Introduction Previous cohort studies in Canada, the United States, and Europe have reported positive associations between long-term exposure to ambient air pollution and mortality rates from non-accidental causes and cardiovascular diseases. The independent and joint effects of within- and between-city contrasts in air pollution on mortality, however, have not been investigated adequately. Our primary objective, therefore, was to investigate associations between selected causes of mortality and exposure to NO2 from highly spatially resolved land use regression models in 10 Canadian cities. We compared the strength of associations between mortality and NO2 among subjects using both: a) within-city contrasts of exposure (i.e., residential exposures); and, b) between city contrasts in exposure (i.e., citywide mean exposures). Methodology Our cohort is a subset of the Canadian Census Health and Environmental Cohort (Crouse et al., 2012). We used city-specific land use regression models developed at different times between 2002 and 2010 to assign residential and city-wide mean exposure estimates of NO2 to cohort members for each year from 1984 to 2006. We used historical fixed-site monitoring data to temporally scale the exposure estimates, and used residential histories to track subjects annually during the study period. We used these data to calculate a seven-year moving window of exposure with a single year lag (e.g., for 1991, subjects were assigned the mean of their scaled exposures – both residential and citywide mean – during the years 1984 to 1990). We then calculated hazard ratios (HRs) per 5 parts per billion (ppb) adjusted for personal and contextual variables. Additionally we investigated different exposure windows, and tested for effect modification by selected personal characteristics (e.g., age, sex, income), which is of particular interest in the Canadian context where mean concentrations of pollution are relatively low. Results and Conclusions We found positive associations between within-city exposure contrasts and mortality from non-accidental causes, cardiovascular, ischemic heart, and respiratory diseases, but not from cerebrovascular diseases. We found the strongest associations among subjects who were less than 75 years of age during follow-up, and with death from ischemic heart disease (e.g., HR per 5 ppb in models adjusted for personal and contextual covariates: 1.06, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03-1.08) and respiratory diseases (HR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.00-1.10). We were less able to demonstrate consistent and robust associations with mortality and between-city exposure contrasts. Among subjects less than 75 years of age during follow-up, however, in models adjusted only for personal covariates, we found HR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.02-1.11 for death from ischemic heart disease and HR: 1.01, 95% CI: 0.93-1.09 for death from respiratory diseases. Overall, in this large cohort we found that exposure to long-term, within-city contrasts in NO2 was positively associated with several important causes of mortality. References Crouse D.L., Peters P.A., van Donkelaar A., Goldberg M.S., Villeneuve P.J., Brion O., Khan S., Atari D.O., Jerrett M., Pope C.A., Brauer M., Brook J.R., Martin R.V., Stieb D., Burnett R.T., 2012. Risk of nonaccidental and cardiovascular mortality in relation to long-term exposure to low concentrations of fine particulate matter: a Canadian national-level cohort study. Environmental Health Perspectives 120(5), 708-714. 3 ESTABLISHING NEW AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS FOR PM2.5: THE CHINESE EXPERIENCE J. C. Chow (1,2), J. G. Watson (1,2), J. J. Cao(2) (1) Desert Research Institute, Nevada System of Higher Education, Reno, Nevada USA 89512 (2) Key Laboratory of Aerosol Science and Technology, SKLLQG, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an, China Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Many countries have established ambient air quality standards, but they have often followed the lead of North America and Europe rather than customizing these to their specific situations. Following recommendations of a joint panel of National Academies (NRC, 2008), China has completed a process and adopted short-term and long-term limits for PM2.5 (Cao et al., 2013; Chow et al., 2012), particles in the size range that contain the most toxic species and can penetrate into the human respiratory system. Introduction Ambient Air Quality Standards (AAQS) were first established in the United States to protect public health and welfare, and the concept has been adopted in China and many other countries. For particulate matter (PM), the NAAQS indicator evolved from total particle mass concentration (TSP), to PM10 and PM2.5 mass concentrations as defined by the PM size-selective properties of the monitoring instrument and human inhalation characteristics. Several options for PM2.5 measurement and assessment are available to China and other developing countries as they implement new PM2.5 AAQS. Methodology and Results Table 1. Evolution of China’s AAQS for suspended particulate matter. Table 1 summarizes the Daily Averageb (μg/m3) Maximum Not to Exceedc (μg/m3) EPOa 1982 d e f evolution of China’s AAQS Class I Class II Class III Class Id Class IIe Class IIIf AAQS for PM which were TSP 150 300 500 300 1000 1500 first established in 1982. Airborne Particlesg 50 150 250 150 500 700 The approach was, and still SEPAa 1996 Daily Average (μg/m3) Annual Arithmetic Mean (μg/m3) is, to set different limits for AAQS Class Id Class IIe Class IIIf Class Id Class IIe Class IIIf different environments. TSP 120 300 500 80 200 300 Class I areas were Airborne Particlesg 50 150 250 40 100 150 designated by the a 2012 3) MEP 24 hr Average (μg/m Annual Arithmetic Mean (μg/m3) particles”, which were d h d h AAQS Class I Class II Class I Class II renamed “inhalable PM” TSP 120 300 80 200 (PM10) in 1996. The 1982 PM10 50 150 40 70 AAQS regulated daily PM2.5 35 75 15 35 average and maximum notaEPO: Environmental Protection Office; SEPA: State Environmental Protection to-exceed concentrations Administration; MEP: Ministry of Environmental Protection. bThe daily average for 1982 of TSP and PM10. A and 1996 was redefined as a 24-hr average in 2012. cReplaced by annual standards as of minimum sampling time of 1996. dApplies to national parks, conservation areas, and designated historical sites. one hour was required to eApplies to residential and commercial areas. fApplies to industrial and heavy traffic areas. determine the not-togDefined as airborne particles with d < 10 μm; redefined as inhalable particulate matter p exceed concentration. To (PM10) in 2011. hApplies to residential, commercial, cultural, industrial, and heavily compute a daily average, at trafficked areas. Previous Class III areas are included in Class II. least two intervals with total sample durations >6 hr were needed for TSP), and at least four intervals with each sample duration > 1 hr required for airborne particles. The 1996 AAQS replaced the 1982 approach with daily and annual arithmetic average limits for TSP and airborne particles. A sample duration of 12 to 24 hrs was required to compute a daily average. For the annual average, each month was represented by five or more daily averages, and these 12 monthly averages were averaged for the year, with the provision of at least 60 daily samples distributed throughout the year. The 2012 AAQS add PM2.5 as an indicator, requiring 20 to 24 valid hourly concentrations for the daily average and at least 324 daily averages with ≥27 per month each month (≥ 25 for February) to compute annual average. Conclusions Although much can be learned from the experience of the U.S. and Europe, China can leapfrog ahead in terms of PM2.5 monitoring and emission reduction technology. China-specific guidance documents should be created for network design, equipment selection and operation, quality control and quality assurance, database management, and interpretation. References Cao, J.J.; Chow, J.C.; Lee, S.C.; Watson, J.G. (2013). Evolution of PM2.5 measurements and standards in the U.S. and future perspectives for China. AAQR, 13(4):1197-1121. http://aaqr.org/VOL13_No4_August2013/5_AAQR-12-11-OA0302_1197-1211.pdf. Chow, J.C.; Cao, J.J.; Lee, S.C.; Wang, X.L.; Watson, J.G. (2012). A brief history of PM2.5 and its adverse effects (in Chinese). Journal of Earth Environment, 3(5):1019-1029. doi:10.7515/JEE201205001. http://dqhjxb.paperopen.com/Upload/PaperUpLoad/c7436a2c-4ca3-4487-8580-67e1169973bb.pdf. NRC (2008). Energy Futures and Urban Air Pollution Challenges for China and the United States. National Academies Press: Washington, DC. 4 AN OBSERVATIONAL PERSPECTIVE OF THE IMPACT OF ATMOSPHERIC WEATHER STATES ON CARBON MONOXIDE LEVELS IN THE FREE TROPOSPHERE OVER THE NORDIC COUNTRIES M. A. Thomas (1) and A. Devasthale (1) (1) Research department, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), Norrköping, Sweden Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary One of the major pathways of the inter-continental transport of pollution to the Arctic passes over the Nordic countries, wherein pollution is often carried from the continental European region. The pollution transport from the North American and Asian regions also reaches in the free troposphere (FT) of the Nordic countries. The transport component in the FT can sometimes amount to a significant fraction of the total column values. The short-term variability of the pollutant levels in the FT is very sensitive to the atmospheric weather state, which would eventually determine the fate of the pollutants. Therefore, it is of great importance that we understand and quantify the sensitivity of pollutants to the large-scale atmospheric circulation. Here, using a decade of satellite retrievals of carbon monoxide (CO), we examined this sensitivity over the Nordic countries. We focused major atmospheric states that occur over the Nordic countries and investigated variability in CO levels during different persistency periods of these weather states. Introduction Although atmospheric weather states and large-scale circulation have first order impact on the spatio-temporal and vertical distribution of pollutants locally, a little is known regarding sensitivity of pollutants to these weather states from an observational perspective. With the availability of data sets from advanced satellite sensors since nearly a decade, it is now possible to gain insights into these aspects. This is attempted in the present study. Methodology and results We first analysed mean sea level pressure (MSLP) and 850 hPa winds averaged over southern Sweden [55N-65N, 10E20E] to classify atmospheric weather states and large-scale circulation patterns. We then used retrievals from two completely independent satellite sensors, MOPITT and AIRS-Aqua, for the 10-yr period of 2003 till 2012 to compute CO mean concentrations during these different weather states. The data at three vertical levels, namely at 850, 500 and 300 hPa are analysed. The figure here shows CO from AIRS at 500 hPa under different atmospheric states. The top (bottom) row shows CO levels when MSLP over southern Sweden was greater (lower) than one standard deviation and this atmospheric state persisted for at least 3, 5 and 7 days. The elevated levels of CO are observed when stable conditions persist. An interesting feature is that when MSLPs is high, CO levels continue to increase as the high persists, while in the case of lower MSLPs atmosphere becomes cleaner. The latter is mainly due to advection of cleaner air and wet deposition. Conclusions Using satellite observations, we show that the CO levels in the FT over the Nordic countries are sensitive to atmospheric weather states and their persistency. Strong differences in CO levels are observed when MSLPs are high versus when they are low. More detailed investigations will be presented later considering wind directions and their persistency as well. These results are also useful to carry out process oriented evaluation of chemistry transport models. References Devasthale, A., and Thomas, M. A., An investigation of statistical link between inversion strength and carbon monoxide over Scandinavia in winter using AIRS data, Atmos. Environ, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2012.03.042, 2012. 5 INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF POLICIES FOR REDUCING HEALTH IMPACTS OF AIR POLLUTION CAUSED BY TRANSPORT IN EUROPE R. Friedrich, J. Roos, C. Schieberle Institute of Energy Economics and the Rational Use of Energy (IER), University of Stuttgart, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This paper describes a new methodology to assess polices for reducing environmental pressures of transport, that lead to health impacts and climate change. The assessment is Europe-wide, but nonetheless capable of dealing with polices for cities. The methodology is applied to assess 26 urban and non-urban transport policies and rank them according to their effectiveness and efficiency. Introduction Transport contributes considerably to emissions of air pollutants and greenhouse gases and thus to environmental health impacts in Europe. Further reduction of these pressures is necessary; a number of policies for reducing emissions is discussed. To be able to support decision making by finding the most effective and efficient policies, an assessment of the policies has to be made by estimating for each policy the avoided health impacts, the avoided greenhouse gas emissions and the costs. Methodology and Results The methodology for estimating health impacts follows the ‘impact pathway approach’ as presented in Fig. 1. First, the most promising policies for reducing health impacts and climate change caused by transport (all modes) are identified, this includes 13 measures to be implemented for road transport in cities (from a certain defined size on), 8 measures for all road transport, three policies for ship transport and two for air transport. Then Europe-wide reference scenarios are generated for the years 2005, 2020 and 2030, using updated emission factors provided by Samaras (2012) and updated transport activity data provided by Ypermann et al. (2012). Results show, that in 2005, road transport is the dominating source for emissions of air pollutants, however due to EU regulations (e.g. EURO 4, 5 and 6 standards), these emissions are largely reduced – with the exception of emissions from abrasion processes (tyre, break, road wear). Thus in 2030 maritime transport is the transport mode with the highest emissions. Then, for the identified policies, policy scenarios are prepared. A new methodology was developed to estimate the effects of the urban policies on the emissions in each of the relevant cities in the EU28+2. The next step is the estimation of concentrations of pollutants. The challenge here is, that on the one hand the calculation has to be done for the whole European domain, on the other hand it has to be detailed enough to take account of the specific situation in each of the major cities in Europe. In addition the large number of scenarios makes it unfeasible to use full runs of Eulerian models. We use here a two step approach. For regional modelling, we use a parameterized version of a European-wide Eulerian model, the Unified EMEP Model 2003. The parameterized version uses “Source-ReceptorMatrices” provided by the EMEP team, which describe the change in concentrations of an atmospheric pollutant in each of ca. 14 600 grid cells (with a size of 50km*50km), if the emission of a substance changes by one unit in one of 65 European regions. Releases from high stacks are treated differently from low releases. For the city modelling, a new approach for estimating urban increments described in Torras et al. 2013 is used. Using updated concentration-response functions prepared in TRANSPHORM, health impacts are estimated. The difference in health impacts and greenhouse gas emissions between the reference scenario and the policy scenario is then allocated to the policy. Results show, that especially improved tyres and brake pads, that are more durable, and tighter emissions limits for ships are the most effective of the analysed measures. Conclusions A new methodology for assessing the health impacts of policies for reducing transport related health effects has been developed. The methodology allows to rank policies according to their effectiveness and efficiency and thus contributes to achieving a more sustainable transport. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the EU 7'th framework project TRANSPHORM. References Samaras, Z. (2012), Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, personal commumication within TRANSPHORM Torras et al. 2013: Torras Ortiz, S., Friedrich, R.: A modelling approach for estimating background pollutant concentrations in urban areas, Atmospheric Pollution Research 4 (2013) 147‐156 Unified EMEP Model 2003: Unified EMEP Model Description, http://www.emep.int/index_model.html Yperman, I., de Ceuster, G. (2012), Transport & Mobility Leuven, personal commumication within TRANSPHORM 6 DEVELOPMENTS IN REGIONAL AND LOCAL AIR QUALITY MONITORING AND FORECASTING – RESULTS OF PASODOBLE T. Erbertseder (1), D. Balis (2), C. Bergemann (1), L. Blyth (3), D. Carruthers (4), S. Choudrie (5), A. De Rudder (6), W. Di Nicolantonio (7), H. Elbern (8), H. Eskes (9), E. Friese (8), K. Ganev (10), T. Holzer-Popp (1), J. Kukkonen (11), O. Lesne (12), D. Melas (2), J. Meyer-Arnek (1), F. Prata (13), P. Sicard (12), N. Smeets (3), M. Sofiev (11), A. Stidworthy (4), R. Timmermans (14), N. Veldeman (3), H. Zelle (15) and the PASODOBLE consortium (1) Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Germany; (2) Aristotle University Thessaloniki, Greece; (3) Flemish Institute for Technological Research (VITO), Belgium; (4) Cambridge Environmental Research Consultants, UK; (5) Ricardo-AEA, UK; (6) Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy (BIRA), Belgium; (7) Compagnia Generale per lo Spazio (CGS-OHB), Italy; (8) Rheinisches Institut für Umweltforschung (RIU), Germany; (9) Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), Netherlands; (10) National Institute for Geophysics, Geography and Geodesy, Bulgaria; (11) Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Finland; (12) ACRI-ST, France; (13) Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU), Norway; (14) Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research (TNO), Netherlands; (15) BMT-ARGOSS, Netherlands Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Within the framework of the European Earth Observation Programme Copernicus/GMES, PASODOBLE has developed information services and tools on air quality in more than 30 regions and cities throughout Europe. In close collaboration with local stakeholders and agencies existing user requirements were analysed to develop improved air quality monitoring, assessment and forecasting services (www.myair.eu). Innovative approaches were followed by combining space-based observations, in-situ measurements, chemical-transport modelling and information technology. This paper will present an overview of the PASODOBLE results that were achieved from 2010 to 2013. The results comprise new developments on health community support services, air quality modelling and forecasting including data assimilation, air quality model evaluation, compliance monitoring and assessment support as well as improved and harmonized web services and interfaces. Introduction Considering the adverse health effects of air pollution, monitoring, assessing and forecasting of air quality are fundamental to increase the quality of life particularly in air pollution hot spots. Air quality services play an important role in raising public awareness, advising people at risk, and in providing information to stakeholders and policy makers e.g. to comply with legislation and implement mitigation management plans. However, it has become evident that information gaps between existing data, methods and the requirements of different user communities need to be bridged. Recent research has clearly demonstrated the necessity for air quality information at regional and local scales. PASODOBLE sought to improve air quality information, introduce innovative services and develop a harmonized technical infrastructure. Methodology and Results Satellite-based observations, in-situ measurement networks, chemical-transport modelling and information technology have been combined to improve air quality monitoring, assessment and forecasting services in response to requirements of local and regional stakeholders. In collaboration with the health community, services have been developed to provide appropriate and timely information to hospitals, pharmacies and doctors to mitigate the potentially harmful effects of air pollution among vulnerable groups. Short-term exposure to a mixture of pollutants as well as different pathologies and age classes have been accounted for. Improved forecasting services further comprise a combination of chemical, physical and biological components. They were used for events like the Olympic Games in London in 2012 to provide health advice to the athletes. The regional and local scale models were subject to nesting into global and European scale forecasts of the Copernicus Atmosphere Service (MACC-II). Improvements in forecast skill and chemical analyses were obtained by additional assimilation of in-situ measurements at traffic sites at high spatial model resolution (1x1km) and by considering orographic effects in mountainous terrain. To enable a harmonized evaluation of the forecasting models, a comprehensive evaluation toolkit has been developed, which is now available to the community. Concerning air quality assessments, highly resolved traffic scenario services for cities have been developed. PASODOBLE introduced satellite-based information as complementary source for supporting compliance monitoring of particulate matter. New retrieval techniques enable the differentiation of natural and anthropogenic particulate matter contributions. All these developments where embedded in a technical framework aiming at a harmonized European infrastructure for air quality services. Conclusions Through its developments PASODOBLE has bridged gaps between existing data, methods and end user needs, by supporting key players with customized solutions. Building upon the Copernicus Atmosphere Service (MACC), PASODOBLE has linked satellite data, in-situ networks and air quality modelling to complementary downstream applications. By developing a generic technical infrastructure, interoperability and implementation efficiency have been significantly increased. Acknowledgement PASODOBLE was funded by the European Commission within the 7th Framework Programme for Research. References Erbertseder, T. and the PASODOBLE consortium: Take a deep breath with Myair Services - Window on Copernicus, p.4451, 2012, available from: http://copernicus4regions.eu/publications/window-on-copernicus-en/at_download/file 7 AIR QUALITY MANAGEMENT IN CITIES – A NEVER ENDING STORY? U. Reuter (1), R. Kapp (1) (1) City of Stuttgart, Office for Environmental Protection, Department of Urban Climatology, Gaisburgstraße 4, 70182 Stuttgart, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The EU limit values for air pollution are exceeded in many cities near streets with much traffic. This concerns nitrogendioxid (NO2) and small particles (PM10). Main source for the pollution is the traffic. So measures have to be concentrated mainly in the field of traffic. The consequence is, that air quality management has a lot of impacts on the traffic. Effective measures are traffic bans for heavy vehicles and the implementation of environmantal zones, where only cars with little emissions are allowed to drive. Speed reductions are especially effective, if they are combined with a better traffic flow (see Fig. 1). Also special street constructions with photokatalytic effects can reduce air pollution. All these measures are effective in reducing the air pollution. This is shown with a focus on the city of Stuttgart, where in the last years the highest air pollution concentrations in Germany have been registrated. Up to now the limit values are exceeded despite the measures, so other measures are necessary. It is discussed, what can be done. But is all this enough to reach the limit values? Introduction The air quality guidelines of the EU define limit values for different air pollutants. Especially for PM10 and NO2 the limit values are exceeded near streets with a lot of traffic. For both components there is an annual mean value of 40 µg/m3. Concerning PM10 a daily mean of 50 µg/m3 may be exceeded not more than 35 days a year. Concerning NO2 an hourly value of 200 µg/m3 may be exceeded not more than 18 times a year. If the limit values are exceeded, air quality action plans have to be implemented to reduce the pollution. Air Quality Measures and Results In many cities air quality strategies were implemented. Very effective measures are traffic bans for heavy Fig. 1 Dynamic speed limit (40 km/h) in Stuttgart reducing vehicles and environmental zones. For example in number of stops Stuttgart heavy traffic is only allowed if goods are delivered or picked up.in the city. In the whole city of Suttgart only cars with low emissions are accepted. They have to be identified by a green label which is defind by national law. Meanwhile also speed reductions to 40 km/h have been introduced in Stuttgart. According to scientific studies this measure is especially effective on uphill streets. Further measures concern the improvement of public traffic, a special management of car parking and efforts in the field of emobility. In Stuttgart a “Recharging infrastructure” for electricity was implemented and electric cars don’t have to pay parking fees. 450 small cars are available in a carsharing system (e-car2go). With a special mobile pass the mobility systems of public traffic, carsharing, bycicles and other public offers have been combined. By all these measures effective reductions of air pollution could be reached (see Fig. 2). For example at a hot spot measurement point in Stuttgart the NO2 hourly limit value was exceeded more than 800 times per year some years ago. In 2012 there were only 69 hours with concentrations above 200 µg/m3. Finally despite all thes effective measures the limit values for the air pollutants are still exceeded. Conclusions As with the measures up to now it is not possible to hit the limit values, new measures are necessary. But these have to be more restrictive than the ones up to now, perhaps an environmental zone Fig. 2 Exceeding of NO2 limit value without diesel vehicles or for cars only with low fuel consumption, in (one hour, not to be exceeded more than 18 times a order also to reduce the CO2 emissions? We have to suppose that the calendar year) at two sampling points in Stuttgart (near the street) development of e-mobility will advance too slowly to be an effective measure in the coming years. The question arises, wether or not the EU regulations concerning the car emissions and the air pollution immission regulations are a good match. References Council Directive 2008/50/EC on ambient air quality and cleaner air for Europe Council Directive 96/62/EC on ambient air quality assessment and management Luftreinhalte- und Aktionsplan für den Regierungsbezirk Stuttgart, Fortschreibung, Februar 2010 WHO Air quality guidelines for particulate matter, ozone, nitrogen dioxide and sulfur dioxide; global update 2005; Summary of risk assessment World Health Organization. Occupational and Environmental Health Team, 2006 8 THE REVIEW OF AIR POLICY – WHAT IS IN FOR THE MEASUREMENT COMMUNITY? A. Borowiak (1) and D. Buzica-Widlowski (2) (1) Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Air & Climate Unit, TP 441, 21027 Ispra, Italy (2) Environment Directorate-General, European Commission, Air & Industrial Emissions Unit, 1049 Brussels, Belgium Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Commissioner Potočnik has announced 2013 as the Year of Air. The European Commission is therefore carrying out a thorough review of European air policy to shape a new strategy to improve air quality in the EU. Major issues tackled are compliance and implementation of current regulations, protection of human health and the environment, promotion of cleaner products and processes and creating better coherence with other international initiatives and policies. Introduction The European Commission estimates that air pollution caused 420.00 people to die prematurely in the EU in 2010. The air pollutants of biggest concern are fine particles, ground level ozone and nitrogen dioxide. Latest studies from the World Health Organisations (WHO) show that long term exposure to fine particles is linked with cardiovascular and respiratory deaths and increased sickness. Further bad air quality causes significant damage to environment and ecosystems, by acidification, eutrophication or reducing plant growth rate. As air pollution ignores national borders it needs to be tackled through co-operation at European and international level. Methodology and outlook The basis for the starting of the review process are the international (UNECE convention and protocols) and the European policy frameworks (as ambient air quality directive, national emission ceiling and source regulations). Emission trends are not matched by air quality improvements. Air quality limit values are still exceeded and a significant percentage of European citizens is living in zones that are not complying with limit and target values for the protection of human health. The review of the Thematic Strategy on Air Pollution is comprising many elements: Reduction scenarios and sectoral analysis take place, synergies with other policies (e.g. climate) are explored, two public consultations have been arranged and evaluated, Member States and stakeholders meet and discuss regularly with the Commission, the WHO is advising on latest health evidence of air pollution, the scientific communities of European Research projects under FP 7 provided a review on important scientific results, as well as the networks AQUILA (National Air Quality Reference Laboratories) and Fairmode (Air Quality Modelling). The AQUILA Network comprises 37 institutes or laboratories that are responsible for the quality of air pollution measurements in their Member States. The Network was founded more than 10 years ago and is discussing and advising on issues related to measurements in European air policy. Meetings are dedicated to topics of special interest, as equivalence of methods, type approval of instrumentation, or accreditation requirements. The latest meetings have been dedicated to the recommendations that AQUILA has given to the review of air policy. Details of the recommendations and an outlook on the review process and its outcome will be given. 9 ENVIRO-HIRLAM ONLINE INTEGRATED METEOROLOGY-CHEMISTRY MODELLING SYSTEM: STRATEGY, METHODOLOGY, DEVELOPMENTS AND APPLICATIONS A. Baklanov (1), U. Korsholm (1), R. Nuterman (2), K. P. Nielsen (1), B. H. Sass(1), A. Mahura (1), A. Rasmussen(1), B. Sørensen (2), E. Kaas (2), I. González-Aparicio (3), A. Mažeikis (4), A. Kurganskiy (5), E. Morozova (5), S. Ivanov (6), Y. Palamarchuk (6), A. Zakey (1), J. Chenevez (1), A. Gross (1), K. Lindberg (1) (1) Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI), Copenhagen, Denmark; (2) University of Copenhagen, Denmark; (3) Vilnius University, Lithuania; (4) TECNALIA Research and Innovation, Derio, Spain; (5) Russian State Hydrometeorological University, St.-Petersburg, Russia; (6) Odessa State Environmental University, Ukraine Presenting author email: [email protected] Enviro-HIRLAM is developed as a fully online coupled numerical weather prediction (NWP) and Chemical Transport model for research and forecasting of joint meteorological, chemical and biological weather. The integrated modelling system is developed by DMI and other collaborators (Chenevez et al., 2004; Baklanov et al., 2008a, 2011b; Korsholm et al., 2008, 2009; Korsholm, 2009). It is the baseline system in the HIRLAM Chemical Branch and used in several countries. The development was initiated at DMI about 15 years ago. The first version was based on the DMI-HIRLAM NWP model with online integrated pollutant transport and dispersion (Chenevez et al., 2004), chemistry, deposition and indirect effects (Korsholm, 2009) and aerosol dynamics (Gross and Baklanov, 2004). To make the model suitable for chemical weather forecasting in urban areas the meteorological part was improved by implementation of urban parameterizations (Baklanov et al., 2008b; Mahura et al., 2008; González-Aparicio et al., 2012). The dynamic core was improved by adding a locally mass conserving semi-Lagrangian numerical advection scheme (Kaas, 2008; Sørensen, 2012; Sørensen et al., 2013), which improves forecast accuracy and speed of simulations. The latest developing version (Nuterman et al., 2013) is based on HIRLAM reference version 7.2 with a more sophisticated and effective chemistry scheme, multi-compound modal approach aerosol dynamics modules, aerosol feedbacks on radiation (direct and semi-direct effects) and on cloud microphysics (first and second indirect effects). Since 2004 the modelling system is used for different research studies, including since 2009 operational pollen forecasting for Denmark. Following main development strategy (Baklanov, 2008; Baklanov et al., 2011a) for the HIRLAM community, the Enviro-HIRLAM further developments will be moving towards the new HARMONIE NWP platform by incorporation of the developed chemistry modules and aerosol–radiation–cloud interactions into the future Enviro-HARMONIE integrated system. Different aspects of the online coupling methodology, research strategy and possible applications of the modelling system, and ‘fit-for-purpose’ model configurations for the meteorological, air quality and climate research communities are discussed. References Baklanov, A.: Integrated meteorological and atmospheric chemical transport modeling: perspectives and strategy for HIRLAM/HARMONIE, HIRLAM Newsletter, 53, 68–78, 2008. Baklanov, A., Korsholm, U., Mahura, A., Petersen, C., and Gross, A.: ENVIRO-HIRLAM: on- line coupled modelling of urban meteorology and air pollution, Adv. Sci. Res., 2, 41–46, doi:10.5194/asr-2-41-2008, 2008a. Baklanov, A., Mestayer, P. G., Clappier, A., Zilitinkevich, S., Joffre, S., Mahura, A., and Nielsen, N. W.: Towards improving the simulation of meteorological fields in urban areas through updated/advanced surface fluxes description, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 8, 523– 543, doi:10.5194/acp-8-523-2008, 2008b. Baklanov, A., Mahura, A., and Sokhi, R. (Eds.): Integrated Systems of Meso-Meteorological and Chemical Transport Models, Springer, 242 pp., doi:10.1007/978-3-642-13980-2, 2011a. Baklanov, A. A., Korsholm, U. S., Mahura, A. G., Nuterman, R. B., Sass, B. H., and Zakey, A. S.: Physical and chemical weather forecasting as a joint problem: two-way interacting integrated modelling, in: American Meteorological Society 91st Annual Meeting, 23–27 January 2011, Seattle, WA, USA, Paper 7.1 (Invited Speaker), AMS2011 paper 7-1 fv.pdf, 2011b. Chenevez, J., Baklanov, A., and Sørensen, J. H.: Pollutant transport schemes integrated in a numerical weather prediction model: model description and verification results, Meteorol. Appl., 11, 265–275, 2004. González-Aparicio, I., J. Hidalgo, A. Baklanov, U. Korsholm, R. Nuterman, A. Mahura, O. Santa-Coloma: Urban boundary layer analysis in the complex coastal terrain of Bilbao using Enviro-HIRLAM. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 01/2012; 110(4), 2012. Gross, A. and Baklanov, A.: Modelling the influence of dimethyl sulphid on the aerosol production in the marine boundary layer, Int. J. Environ. Pollut., 22, 51–71, 2004. Korsholm, U. S.: Integrated modeling of aerosol indirect effects – development and application of a chemical weather model, PhD thesis University of Copenhagen, Niels Bohr Institute and Danish Meteorological Institute, Research department, available at: http://www.dmi.dk/dmi/ sr09-01.pdf, last access: 28 April 2013, 2009. Korsholm, U. S., Baklanov, A., Gross, A., Mahura, A., Hansen Sass, B., and Kaas, E.: Online coupled chemical weather forecasting based on HIRLAM – overview and prospective of Enviro-HIRLAM, HIRLAM Newsletter, 54, 151–168, 2008. Korsholm, U. S., Baklanov, A., Gross, A., and Sørensen, J. H.: On the importance of the meteorological coupling interval in dispersion modeling during ETEX-1, Atmos. Environ., 43, 4805–4810, 2009. Kaas, E.: A simple and efficient locally mass conserving semi-Lagrangian transport scheme, Tellus A, 60A, 305–320, 2008. Mahura A., C. Petersen, A. Baklanov, B. Amstrup, U. S. Korsholm, K. Sattler, "Verification of Longterm DMI-HIRLAM NWP Model Runs Using Urbanisation and Builing Effect Parameterization Modules". HIRLAM Newsletter, vol. no.53, no. 11pp, 2008. Nuterman, R., Korsholm, U., Zakey, A., Nielsen, K. P., Sørensen, B., Mahura, A., Rasmussen, A., Mazeikis, A., Gonzalez-Aparicio, I., Morozova, E., Sass, B. H., Kaas, E., and Baklanov, A.: New developments in Enviro-HIRLAM online integrated modeling system, Geophysical Research Abstracts, vol. 15, EGU2013-12520-1, 2013. Sørensen, B.: New mass conserving multi-tracer efficient transport schemes focusing on semi- Lagrangian and Lagrangian methods for online integration with chemistry, PhD Thesis, University of Copenhagen, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark, 2012. Sørensen, B., Kaas, E., Korsholm, U.S.: A mass conserving and multi-tracer efficient transport scheme in the online integrated EnviroHIRLAM model. Geosci. Model Dev., 6,1029-1042, doi:10.5194/gmd-6-1029-2013, 2013. 10 EMEP MODEL SIMULATIONS OF PM LEVELS IN EUROPE UNDER THE GOTHENBURG PROTOCOLL AND MEASURES TO REDUCE FURTHER AMMONIA EMISSIONS FROM AGRICULTURE C. Guerreiro (1), M. Beauchamp, B. Bessagnet (2), S. Tsyro (3) (1) Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU) 2027 Kjeller, Norway; (2) National Institute for Industrial Environment and Risks (INERIS), 60550 Verneuil-en-Halatte, France; (3) Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Met.no) 0313 Oslo, Norway Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Particulate matter (PM) prevails as the main air quality problem in Europe, as it continues to pose the greatest risk to human health. Exceedances of the European PM standards are widespread and the development in annual mean concentrations from 2002 to 2011 indicates a slow decrease in PM10 averaged across Europe, but a small increase in PM2.5 levels measured at regional and especially urban background stations (EEA, 2013). Simulations using the EMEP model combined with measurement data show that the emission reductions agreed under the revised Gothenburg protocol (GP) will contribute to reduce considerably PM levels across Europe, but will still be far from sufficient to achieve compliance. About one third of PM10 and half of PM2.5 in Europe is composed by secondary inorganic aerosols (SIA). Emissions of the SIA precursor gases NOx and SOx have decreased considerably over the last decade (27% and 50%, respectively), while NH3 emissions have only decreased by 7%. Agriculture was responsible for 93% of the ammonia (NH3) emissions in 2011 (EU27) and there are proven and feasible methods to control and mitigate ammonia emissions from agriculture which could cut ammonia emissions by about 30% on top of current legislation. Simulations of PM concentrations in 2020, with a reduction of 30% of NH3 emissions from agriculture beyond the GP, show that considerable reductions can be achieved in PM10 and specially PM2,5 concentrations, leading to further reductions in exceedances of PM standards in Europe. Introduction PM levels across Europe continue to cause significant negative impacts on human health. Although ammonium constitutes only a small fraction of the PM mass, it plays a decisive role in the formation of SIA, determining the amounts of ammonium sulphate ((NH4)2SO4)) and ammonium nitrate (NH4NO3) as PM constituents. Several studies point out the importance of agricultural NH3 emissions to PM concentrations in different European regions, highlighting the need to investigate the potential of NH3 emission reductions to reduce PM levels over Europe. We have therefore used the EMEP model to quantify the reductions in PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations due to reductions of agricultural NH3 emissions beyond the GP. Methodology and Results Simulations of PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations using the EMEP MSC--W model, with a resolution of 0.25° x 0.25° and 2009 meteorology, were undertaken for 5 scenarios: 2009 emissions, GP emissions in 2020, and further 10%, 20% and 30% NH3 agriculture emission reductions in EU27 beyond the GP. Results show that the GP alone will contribute to a 21, 28 and 30% reduction of the PM10 daily limit value (LV), PM10 annual LV and PM2.5 LV in 2020, respectively. Hence further measures are needed to achieve compliance. A further reduction of 30% of NH3 agriculture emissions may contribute to reduce the exceedances of the PM10 daily LV, PM10 annual LV and PM2.5 LV further by respectively 8, 5 and 11% in 2020, compared to the GP. Annual mean PM2.5 concentrations across Europe may also be considerably reduced, especially in Central and Central-Eastern Europe, reaching a 10% reduction in Belgium, Germany, the Czech Republic and Poland (figure 1). Conclusions The emissions reductions imposed by the revised GP for 2020 will not suffice to achieve compliance with PM standards in Europe; hence further European measures should be considered. NH3 emissions from agriculture can be further reduced, in order to reduce PM levels and their impacts on human health across Europe. Fig.1 Reduction of PM2.5 annual mean (%) due to 30% reduction in NH3 agriculture emissions, compared to GP Acknowledgement This work was founded by the European Environmental Agency and co-founded by the French Ministry in charge of Ecology for INERIS. All results are presented in Beauchamp et al (2013). References Beauchamp, M., Bessagnet, B., Guerreiro, C., Leeuw, F., Tsyro, S., Ruyssenaars, P., Sauter, P. et al, 2013, Sensitivity analysis of ammonia emission reductions on exceedances of PM air quality standards, ETC/ACM Technical Paper 2013/12. EEA (2013) Air quality in Europe — 2013 report, EEA Report No 9/2013, Office for Official Publications of the European Union, ISBN 978-92-9213-406-8. 11 USING REGIONAL AIR QUALITY MODELS FOR ASSESSING THE EFFICACY OF EMISSION CONTROL STRATEGIES IN MEETING THE RELEVANT AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS P. S. Porter (1), S. T. Rao (2), C. Hogrefe (3), and R. Mathur (3) (1) Porter-Gego, Idaho Falls, ID, USA, 83401; (2) NCSU, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA; (3) USEPA, ORD, RTP, NC, USA, 27711 Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In the United States, regional-scale photochemical models are being used to design emission control strategies needed to meet and maintain the relevant air quality standards as part of the attainment demonstration process. Four methods for assessing the efficacy of emission perturbation scenarios using modeled ozone concentrations were compared, including: the commonly-used relative reduction factor (RRF) approach, spectral decomposition adjustment of model estimates on daily time scales, spectral decomposition adjustments on hourly time scales, and Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) mapping. Ozone concentrations were simulated by the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model for the northeastern US domain for the year 2002. Factors for adjusting 2002 modeled ozone concentrations so that relevant statistical characteristics match those observed in 2002 were calculated and applied to 2005 model estimates. The adjusted 2005 model estimates were then compared to 2005 observations. Results reveal that it is important to not only reduce the bias in the model results but also reproduce other statistical properties (i.e., variability and extreme values) seen in the observations. Introduction In this paper, we present innovative approaches to correct for the model bias and error in order to provide greater confidence in the use of models for designing emission control strategies needed to meet the relevant air quality standards. Previous studies have shown that current models have large biases and errors in simulating the absolute levels of pollutant concentrations; nonetheless, it is thought that models might be useful for examining various "what if" scenarios on a relative basis (RRF approach). However, recent research has revealed that it is difficult to assess the credibility of models in reproducing even relative changes in air quality stemming from past changes in emissions because of uncertain emission inventories, boundary conditions, and inadequate representation of physics and chemistry in models. Even if the model input data and air quality models were perfect, there is an inherent uncertainty in the model results: because the state of the atmosphere is not known completely, its future state cannot be predicted perfectly. These issues suggest that model outputs constrained by the observations could yield more robust methods for using regional air quality models for policy analysis. Methodology and Results Temporal components representing intra-day, diurnal, synoptic and seasonal forcings were extracted from time series of observed and modeled ozone. Model components for the year 2002 were rescaled so that the mean and variance matched those observed. The same scaling was then applied to 2005 model outputs. Using simulated and observed ozone concentrations over the modeling domain for the years 1993-2005, the robustness of the proposed methodologies was evaluated. Conclusions This paper illustrates several methodologies for applying regional photochemical models in demonstrating the attainment of the ozone air quality standard from the regulatory perspective. Specifically, we introduce spectral decomposition and CDFmapping techniques to adjust for the bias and variance in the simulated ozone concentrations. When the model is replicating what is seen in observations, we can then test whether a given emission reduction scenario would lead to compliance with the ozone standard in the model domain. Subsequently, deterministic model results can be expressed in probabilistic form so that the chances of compliance with the relevant air quality standard associated with a given emission control case can be determined. Acknowledgement This research is supported by the Coordinating Research Council, Inc. contract A-89. 12 AIRBORNE PARTICULATE MATTER AND ASSOCIATED HEALTH IMPACTS: NEW DEVELOPMENTS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR EUROPE R. S. Sokhi and TRANSPHORM Partners Centre for Atmospheric and Instrumentation Research (CAIR) University of Hertfordshire, Hatfield, Hertfordshire, AL10 9AB, UK Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary As part of an extensive European collaboration, developments are reported of improved measurements, modelling and assessment approaches for quantifying the health impact of airborne particulate matter (PM) on city and continental scales. In addition to developing improved emissions, measurements of PM in European cities have been undertaken and analysed to determine contributions to PM2.5 from transport and other source sectors. An integrated approach for estimating population exposure and health impacts resulting from PM has been demonstrated for European applications. The presentation will highlight major outcomes from the TRANSPHORM project with particular emphasis on European air quality and implications for policy makers. Introduction Exposure to particulate matter (PM) is a key contributor to adverse health impacts. Quantification of health impacts resulting from air pollutants such as PM relies on a number of factors including reliable emissions, knowledge of their characteristics and composition and prediction of concentrations and exposure levels. Through the use of concentration response functions, estimates of health impacts can be made for different end points. TRANSPHORM (FP7 large scale project, www.transphorm.eu) has focussed on PM10, PM2.5 and other species such as EC and BaP. This presentation will provide new results of PM related health impacts in European cities and on regional scales. The importance of improved emission factors, reliable source apportionment and application of advanced city and regional scale models are discussed along with implications for European policy development. Methodology and Results Measurements of PM2.5 and PM10 for a number of European cities have been used for source apportionment to derive quantitative information on contributions from transport and other source sectors. Emission factors for shipping and road traffic have been updated and European wide emission inventories have been developed. Concentrations of PM species have been predicted for 2005 and 2020 with five regional scale models (WRF/CMAQ, SILAM, LOTUS-EURO, ENVIROHIRLAM and EMEP). Figure 1 shows the avoided Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALY) based on WRF/CMAQ predictions of PM2.5 over Europe. City scale models (e.g. OSCAR and URBIS) have used to predict 2008 and 2020 population weighted concentrations for Rotterdam, Helsinki, Oslo, Athens and London. Health impacts in terms of DALYs and attributable deaths have been calculated for PM10, PM2.5 and EC for selected cities and for Europe. Figure 1 Avoided DALYs over Europe for 2020 relative to 2005 using PM2.5 annual mean concentrations predicted with WRF/CMAQ. Figure 2 Urban increment due to traffic and other sources and regional contributions to PM2.5 at different location types over London for 2008 using OSCAR. Results indicate that for certain scenarios, attributable deaths in 2020 may be reduced by more than 30% across Europe compared to 2005 levels. Within cities, PM levels are sensitive to regional contributions and to local measures which affect near road and urban background concentrations. Figure 2 shows results from the OSCAR air quality assessment system for urban increments arising from road traffic and other sources compared to regional background affecting PM2.5 levels at different location types in London for 2008. Conclusions New results on measured and modelled PM concentrations and associated health impacts have been generated by the TRANSPHORM project for Europe and selected cities focussing on recent and future years. Contributions to PM levels across Europe from different source sectors have been quantified on city and regional scales. Predictions in PM related concentrations have resulted from improvements to models as demonstrated by detailed evaluation studies. The presentation will highlight key developments and new results as well as important implications for policy formulation. Acknowledgement: Funding from the European Community's Seventh Framework Programme for TRANSPHORM under the grant agreement no. 243406 is gratefully acknowledged. 13 AIR QUALITY AND IMPACT ON LOCAL TO GLOBAL SCALES 14 GLOBAL MODEL SIMULATIONS OF THE IMPACT OF TRANSPORT SECTOR EMISSIONS ON ATMOSPHERIC AEROSOL AND CLIMATE M. Righi (1), J. Hendricks (1), R. Sausen (1) (1) Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this work, we quantify the impact of emissions from the transport sectors (land-based transport, shipping, aviation) on global atmospheric aerosol and climate. We use a global aerosol model to characterize impacts on aerosol mass, number and size distributions, and the related aerosol radiative effects. We additionally perform sensitivity experiments to quantify the uncertainties resulting from the assumptions on the size of the emitted particles and to investigate the non-linearities in the aerosol response to emission perturbations. Introduction Emissions from the transport sectors are among the major sources of tropospheric aerosol. Aerosol particles can have a significant impact on climate and can affect air quality, particularly in urban, densely populated areas, resulting in adverse health effects. The emissions from the transport sectors are expected to grow in the near future, especially in the developing countries. At the same time, various mitigation strategies are being applied in order to reduce air pollution and climate impacts. In the present study, we investigate the global distribution of transport-induced particulate matter for present-day and possible future conditions. Methodology We use the EMAC general circulation model (Jöckel et al., 2006) coupled to the aerosol sub-model MADE (Lauer et al., 2007). We consider a present-day (2000) scenario and four future (2030) scenarios from the emission dataset developed in support of IPCC assessment report 5 (Lamarque et al., 2010). Number emissions are also included in the model and derived from mass emissions under different assumptions on the size distribution of particles emitted by the three transport sectors. Additional sensitivity experiments are performed to quantify the effects of the uncertainties related to such assumptions. The simulations are run over a 10-year period. Atmospheric dynamics is nudged to the ECMWF operational analysis data. Results The model simulations show that the impact of the transport sectors closely matches the emission patterns. Land transport is the most important source of black carbon pollution in the USA, Europe and the Arabian Peninsula (Fig. 1). Shipping strongly contributes to aerosol sulphate concentrations along the most-travelled routes of the northern Atlantic and northern Pacific oceans, with a significant effect also along the coastlines. The impact of aviation is mostly confined to the uppertroposphere (7-12 km), in the northern mid-latitudes, although significant effects are also simulated at the ground, due to the emissions from landing and take-off cycles. The simulations further reveal that transport-induced perturbations of particle number concentrations are Fig.1 Absolute impact of land transport on BC surface-level concentration for year 2000 very sensitive to the assumptions on the size distribution of emitted emissions. particles, with the largest uncertainties simulated for the land transport sector. The climate impacts, due to aerosol direct and indirect radiative effects, are strongest for the shipping sector, as a consequence of large effects of sulphate aerosol on low marine clouds. Significant non-linearities in the response of aerosol effects to emission perturbations are found, especially for the secondary aerosol compounds . Conclusions The transport sectors are among the major sources of pollution close to the surface, in the vicinity of major emission sources and in the upper troposphere (aviation). They have a large potential for affecting climate, mostly via aerosol-cloud interactions and modification of cloud reflectivity, which is projected to decrease in the future (2030), with the except of aviation. The non-linearities in the simulated effects for specific aerosol compounds might limit the applicability of the results to the evaluation of mitigation strategies. Acknowledgement This study has been conducted in the framework of the DLR project VEU and of the EU project TRANSPHORM. References Jöckel, P. et al., 2006. The atmospheric chemistry general circulation model ECHAM5/MESSy1: consistent simulation of ozone from the surface to the mesosphere. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 6, 5067-5104. Lamarque, J.-F. et al., 2010. Historical (1850-200) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 10, 7017-7039. Lauer, A. et al., 2007. Global model simulations of the impact of ocean-going ships on aerosols, clouds, and the radiation budget. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 7, 5061-5079. 15 ATMOSPHERIC NITROGEN DEPOSITION TO THE BALTIC SEA – NORMALISATION APPROACH J. Bartnicki Norwegian Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 43, Blindern, NO0313 Oslo Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary An approach to normalisation of atmospheric nitrogen deposition to the Baltic Sea basin is the aim of this study. The time series of normalised annual values of nitrogen deposition to the Baltic Sea basin were calculated for the period 1995-2011. The method for calculating normalised depositions, which involves annual source-receptor matrices from the EMEP MSC-W model, is presented. This method can be used, not only for estimating depositions from all sources, but also for estimating normalised individual contributions from the emission sources to nitrogen deposition. The normalised depositions will be used as a standard indicator by HELCOM. Introduction Eutrophication is one of the main environmental problems of the Baltic Sea. It is caused by the excessive input of mainly nitrogen and phosphorus both from riverine input and via atmospheric deposition. Nitrogen deposition from the air can account for 25-45% of the total annual deposition (Bartnicki et al., 2011), depending on the year, whereas atmospheric deposition of phosphorus in not larger than 4% of annual total deposition. Within the long-term cooperation between European Monitoring and Evaluation Program (EMEP) and Helsinki Commission (HELCOM), nitrogen depositions to the Baltic Sea and its sub-basins are computed every year using the EMEP MSC-W model and reported to HELCOM (Bartnicki et al., 2012). The results of these computations are used by HELCOM, mainly for the purpose of the Baltic Sea Action Plan (BSAP). The computed nitrogen deposition depend, first of all on emissions, but also on meteorological conditions and especially precipitation, which can be responsible for large variations in calculated annual depositions (Bartnicki et al., 2011). From the decision making point of view, it is very important to filter out the influence of meteorology on the computed depositions, so that nitrogen emission reductions are better reflected in the computed depositions. It is done by using the so called “normalised deposition” concept. Methodology and Results For calculating normalised nitrogen depositions, the source-receptor matrices from the EMEP MSC-W model are used for all years of the considered period. Then, for the year of interest, emissions from this year are multiplied by every source-receptor matrix and 17 different depositions are calculated representing 17 meteorological years. The median value from these depositions is defined as normalised deposition. These calculations are performed both for oxidised and reduced nitrogen deposition. The results for total (osidised+reduced) normalised nitrogen deposition are shown in Fig. 1. In addition, the minimum and maximum depositions for each year are shown, representing the best and the worst meteorological conditions. The actual annual values, calculated with the real meteorological conditions for each year are also shown in Fig. 1. They are oscillating between minimum and maximum values. The actual annual values show large variations from one year to another and no clear trend in the entire period. Contrary, the normalised depositions are more smooth and monotonic and indicate a decreasing trend in the considered period, which follows more closely nitrogen emission trends. It should be stressed here that normalised depositions are not replacing the actual depositions, but they are part of Fig.1 Normalised and annual depositions to the Baltic Sea important additional information for the decision makers, basin in the period 1995-2011. especially concerning uncertainty. Conclusion The concept of normalised deposition was shown for nitrogen and Baltic Sea basin as an example. This concept can be also used for other receptors and for calculating normalised contributions from individual emissions sources. It was decided by HELCOM that normalised depositions will be one of the standard annual indicators for the status of the Baltic Sea. Acknowledgement This work was initiated and supported by the Helsinki Commission. References Bartnicki J., Valiyaveetil S. and H. Fagerli (2011) Atmospheric deposition of nitrogen to the Baltic Sea in the period 1995 – 2006. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 10057-10069, www.atmos-chem-phys.net/11/10057/2011/ doi:10.5194/acp-11-10057-2011. Bartnicki J., Gusev A., Aas W. and Valiyaveetil S. (2012) Atmospheric Supply of Nitrogen, Lead, Cadmium, Mercury and Dioxins/Furans to the Baltic Sea in 2010. EMEP Centres Joint Report for HELCOM. EEMEP/MSC-W Technical Report 2/2012. Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway. 16 ASSESSMENT OF CONTRIBUTION TO PM10 CONCENTRATIONS FROM LONG RANGE TRANSPORT OF POLLUTANTS USING WRF/CHEM OVER A SUBTROPICAL URBAN AIRSHED M. Gupta and M. Mohan Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi-110016, India Presenting author email:[email protected] Summary This study simulates the PM10 concentration in order to study the impact of long range transport (LRT) over megacity Delhi with due consideration to different geographical domains extending upto entire Asia. A regional chemical transport model namely WRF/Chem version 3.2 is implemented. A highly satisfactory model performance is interpreted based on the several statistical parameters as per the current state of the science and their recommended values. Model simulations representing different geographical domains encompassing Asia, India, North India and Delhi and their corresponding emissions, it is clearly reflected that contributions due to emissions of the megacity Delhi alone is 11 % - 41 % and thus remaining (59%89%) proportion is expected to be contributed from the sources outside of the Delhi which is significant. This can serve as an important tool towards planning and implementing the regulatory policies for air pollution control for more effective outcome. Introduction PM10 can be transported in the atmosphere for hundreds or even thousands of kilometers, implies that pollutants emitted in one country can affect PM10 concentrations in neighboring countries and even countries far distant from the source (WHO, 2006). Intercontinental transport of Asian aerosols is considered as an important issue for air quality and climate concerns (Wuebbles et al., 2007). Considering this, contributions to PM10 due to LRT over megacity Delhi is studied using WRF/Chem model. This abstract is based on the study published by the authors Gupta and Mohan, 2013 recently. Methodology and Results Table 1 shows the statistical evaluation of model for Delhi at 4 locations Shadipur, Dilshad Garden, Dwarka and ITO which is highly satisfactory and promising to be implemented for LRT assessment. Simulations were carried out from 1-7 June 2010 when maximum Table 1: Statistical evaluation for PM10 concentration over values of PM10 of about 1000 μg/m3 were monitored. The Delhi (Gupta and Mohan, 2013) simulations consisted of a parent domain and three nested Statistical Dilshad domains with resolutions of 90 km, 30 km, 10 km and 3.3 km Shadipur Dwarka ITO Parameter Garden respectively. It was observed that when low concentrations were NMSE 0.11 0.28 0.03 0.19 simulated the % distribution due to Delhi was 41.5 %, 34.7 % due FB 0.32 0.57 0.14 0.41 to India and North India region together and remaining 23.8 % FAC2 0.72 0.29 0.72 0.72 was contributed from outside India. Whereas for days when high IOA 0.92 0.9 0.98 0.94 PM10 were simulated the contribution from Delhi changed to 11.2 MNGE 0.33 0.54 0.24 0.38 %, 69.2 % was due to India and North India combined; and 19.6 MNB -0.33 -0.54 -0.17 -0.38 % PM10 resulted from outside India. Thus contribution due to R 0.94 0.94 0.98 0.9 Delhi region ranged from about 11% to 41% and the remaining approximately 59% to 89% was estimated to be from outside the urban airshed depending upon the PM10 concentrations. However, sources contribution from outside India was assessed approximately in the range of 20% to 24%. It is interesting to note that % contribution due to Delhi decreases when high concentrations are observed and vice-versa indicating that there is greater degree of LRT from outside Delhi region during high concentrations and vice-versa. Conclusions Performance of model is good but there is marked underestimation in the simulated concentration which can be improved perhaps with better emission inventories. Further, it is stated that overcoming under-prediction may change these contributions; however relative percentage distributions may still be significant and may not vary substantially. Moreover, the model evaluation discussed above indicate by and large a reasonable model performance such that improving further model performance may not drastically undermine the importance of long range transport from outside the urban airshed and its usefulness to contribute towards planning and implementing air pollution control strategies. In megacity Delhi, particulate matter levels remain persistently high. It is therefore recommended that regulatory measures should duly incorporate regional and long range transport in policy formulations. References Gupta, M., Mohan, M., 2013. Assessment of contribution to PM10 concentrations from long range transport of pollutants using WRF/Chem over a subtropical urban airshed. Atmospheric Pollution Research, article in press, doi: 10.5094/APR.2013.046 W.H.O. (World Health Organisation), 2006. Health risks of particulate matter from long-range transboundary air pollution, European Centre for Environment and Health, Copenhagen, 113 pages. Wuebbles, D.J., Lei, H., Lin, J., 2007. Intercontinental transport of aerosols and photochemical oxidants from asia and its consequences. Environmental Pollution 150, 65-84. 17 MODELING HIGH AEROSOL LOADS IN CHINA IN JANUARY 2013 V. Matthias (1), A. Aulinger (1), J. Bieser (1), B. Geyer (1), M. Quante (1) (1) Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Institute of Coastal Research, Max-Planck-Strasse 1, 21502 Geesthacht, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In January 2013 exceptionally high levels of particulate matter (PM) concentrations were reported for the area around Beijing (40 N, 116 E) with maximum concentrations exceeding 500 µg/m³ and aerosol optical depth (AOD) values of more than 2 on several days. In order to analyze this high pollution episode PM concentrations in China were simulated with the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model for the period from 10 December 2012 to 31 January 2013. Emissions were taken from the EDGAR data base. The results were compared to ground based PM2.5 measurements taken at the US embassy in Beijing and to Aeronet sun-photometer observations. The model was generally able to reproduce the high PM levels measured in situ close to ground, however the largest peak on 12 January was not captured, because of an exceptionally strong temperature inversion close to ground that was not reproduced in the meteorological fields. Introduction In January 2013 exceptionally high levels of particulate matter (PM) concentrations were reported for the area around Beijing coinciding with low temperatures and calm winds in entire North East China. A model study has been set up at HelmholtzZentrum Geesthacht which aimed at answering the following questions related to this exceptional situation: Which emission sectors contribute most to the high aerosol concentrations? What is the impact of the meteorological situation on the high pollution level? How accurately can state of the art air quality models simulate extreme pollution events? Methodology and Results The regional atmospheric chemistry transport model CMAQ (Community Multiscale Air Quality) was set up on a 72 x 72 km2 grid for South East Asia with a nested 24 x 24 km2 grid covering mainly North East China. 30 vertical layers up to 20 hPa were implemented on the coarse grid, the finer grid contained 40 vertical layers. CMAQ was driven with meteorological fields from the mesoscale meteorological model COSMO-CLM (CCLM). The model was run for the period from 10 December 2012 until 31 January 2013. The most recent freely available emission data set is the EDGAR emission data from 2008 on 0.1 x 0.1 degrees. They were adapted for the current situation by extrapolating the emission increase between 2004 and 2008 until the year 2012. This was done on a grid cell basis in order to apply different growth factors in different areas. The emissions were then distributed in time according to temporal profiles determined in the SMOKE for Europe emission model (Bieser et al., 2012). The average PM2.5 concentration for the second week in January (7 – 13 January) was higher than 85 µg/m³ in large areas of North East China. The time series of the modelled PM2.5 concentration showed up to 500 µg/m³. No officially measured PM2.5 concentrations were available to the authors, however observations made at the US embassy in Beijing were reported in the internet. The corresponding PM2.5 concentrations were even higher than the modelled values. In particular on 12 January PM2.5 concentrations of more than 800 µg/m³ were reported . These values were not reproduced by the model. During the other periods, the model captured the pollution levels and their variability quite well. The model results were were also compared against aerosol optical depth (AOD) observations of gathered within the Aeronet sun-photometer network (Holben et al., 1998). The model typically underestimates the highest observations. There are two important reasons for this which are closely related to the meteorological situation. One is that extreme temperature inversions and very shallow boundary layers are not well simulated by the model. The second reason is that AOD depends critically on relative humidity (RH) at values above 80%. Such high values were frequently observed in Beijing, as was seen in data from radiosoundings. The model typically showed much lower RH in the boundary layer. An analysis of the modelled chemical species of the fine aerosol at Beijing (Figure 4) reveals that the aerosol is to a large extent composed of primary and secondary organics. These species have a particularly high share of 60 -70 % in the total emissions in the residential heating sector. Traffic emissions were found to be of minor importance for the aerosol formation. Conclusions The exceptionally high air pollution in China in January 2013 was simulated with the CMAQ model system using extrapolated EDGAR emission data from 2008 and COSMO-CLM meteorological fields. In general, the level of PM2.5 was matched well according to the few available observations. However, the highest PM2.5 concentrations were not adequately reproduced because the very shallow boundary layer could not be captured by the meteorological model. According to the CMAQ model, primary and secondary organics are the largest fractions in the chemical composition of the aerosol in Beijing. Emissions from residential heating contributed more than on average to the aerosol concentrations on those days with the highest aerosol load. Acknowledgement The authors thank US EPA for the development and distribution of CMAQ and the EDGAR community for the provision of emission data. We would like to thank the AERONET sun-photometer network and their PIs for their important observations. Special thanks to David Black and Ajay Pillarisetti for collecting the PM2.5 observations at the US embassy in Beijing. References Bieser, J.; et al. (2011), 'SMOKE for Europe - adaptation, modification and evaluation of a comprehensive emission model for Europe', Geoscientific Model Development 4(1), 47--68. Holben, B. N. et al. (1998), 'AERONET- A Federated Instrument Network and Data Archive for Aerosol Characterization', Remote Sens. Environment 66, 1-16. 18 AIR QUALITY AT THE STREET LEVEL IN CYPRUS I. Douros (1), L. Kalognomou (1), E. Chourdakis (1), N. Moussiopoulos(1) and S. Kleanthous (2) (1) Laboratory of Heat Transfer and Environmental Engineering, Aristotle University, Greece – University Campus, P.O. Box 483, 54124 Thessaloniki; (2) Department of Labour Inspection, Ministry of Labour and Social Insurance, Apelli 12, 1480 Nicosia Cyprus Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The main goal of the present study was the quantification of local anthropogenic contributions to the hotspot PM concentrations with a focus on the urban areas. For this purpose, the street scale air quality model OSPM (Berkowicz, 2000), was applied in order to describe the particulate pollution levels at street scale, as well as to describe the processes that govern the distribution of the pollutants inside typical Cypriot street canyons. Introduction This study provides an estimate of the street scale increment for PM, i.e. the contribution of local scale (mainly traffic) emissions and PM resuspension to the levels of PM concentrations at urban hotspots. Although only a few cases of Cypriot streets could strictly be classified as street canyons, it is important to investigate the upper levels of the street scale contribution for certain cases of streets where street geometry is clearly unfavourable for the dispersion of pollutants. Besides, a factor which decisively affects dispersion characteristics inside street canyons and thus dictates the levels of the street scale increment is meteorology, most importantly wind speed and direction. For this reason this report also explores the impact of different meteorological conditions during recent years, on the PM street scale increments. Methodology and Results In order to make accurate choice with respect to the representativity of the locations where the street scale application would take place, as a first step a preselection of areas was conducted. In this direction, existing transport and geometric data were used to select a first set of possible locations for the street scale model application in each one of the four major cities of Cyprus. These hotspots were chosen according to the availability of traffic measurements and the street geometry in the specific area. All areas are characterized by high activity levels, as they are located close to or within the economic centres of each city. As a result of a second stage of this process, two particular road segments, one in Makariou Ave. (Nicosia) and one in Afxediou Ave. (Larnaca), were chosen for the long term street scale application, as the geometric and traffic characteristics of these sites lead to the conclusion that they constitute typical Cypriot street canyons and, therefore, form the worst case scenarios in the framework of this study. Based on street scale model applications, we have been able to estimate an upper limit for the street scale increment regarding PM and NO2. These estimates reveal that for Makariou Avenue in Nicosia the street scale increment for PM10 can reach 18.5 μg/m3, while for PM2.5 it can reach 6.3 μg/m3. For Grigoriou Afxediou Avenue in Larnaca, the street scale increment for PM10 can reach 26.9 μg/m3, while for PM2.5 it can reach 9.9 μg/m3. For NO2, higher concentrations at the street level can reach 26.3 μg/m3 for Makariou Ave and 38.4 μg/m3 for Afxediou Ave. For all pollutants higher street scale increments are estimated for Afxediou Ave. due to the increased number of vehicles circulating in the specific street. Unfavourable wind conditions inhibit dispersion of air pollutants and lead to increased concentrations at street level. The increase depends on the number of vehicles circulating inside the street and for NO2 the increase is estimated to be 6.5 μg/m3 in Nicosia and 12.5 μg/m3 in Larnaca, for PM10 5.9 μg/m3 in Nicosia and 9 μg/m3 in Larnaca and for PM2.5 1.9 μg/m3 in Nicosia and 3.3 μg/m3 in Larnaca. Conclusions Due to the fact that both Makariou and Afxediou avenues cannot be strictly characterized as street canyons along the whole length of the streets, these are the upper limits for street level concentrations where multi storey buildings are present on both sides of the road. Nevertheless, it is clearly evident that pollutant levels inside street canyons can be significantly higher than the urban background, thus presenting more challenges as regards the attainment of the Air Quality Directive limit values. References Berkowicz R. (2000), OSPM - A parameterised street pollution model, Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 65(1-2): 323-331. 19 INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT USING OBSERVATIONS AND MODELLING FOR AIR QUALITY MANAGING IN SANTA CRUZ DE TENERIFE (CANARY ISLANDS) J. M. Baldasano (1,2) A. Soret (1), M. Guevara (1), F. Martínez (1), S. Gassó(1,2) (1) Barcelona Supercomputing Center – Centro Nacional de Supercomputación (BSC-CNS). Earth Sciences Department. Jordi Girona 29, Edificio Nexus II, 08034 Barcelona, Spain; (2) Technical University of Catalonia (UPC). Avda. Diagonal 647, Edificio H, Oficina 10.23, 08028 Barcelona, Spain Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to analyse the atmospheric dynamics of the Santa Cruz de Tenerife region (Canary Islands). The area is characterized by the presence of anthropogenic emission sources (refinery, port and road traffic) and by very specific meteorological and orographic conditions. These factors lead to specific atmospheric pollution episodes, particularly in relation to SO2 and PM10. We applied a methodology to study these dynamics based on two complementary approaches: 1) the analysis of observations and 2) model simulations. The results show that the refinery plume plays an important role in the maximum SO2 observed levels. The area of maximum impact of the refinery is confined to a radius of 3 km around this installation. In the case of particulate matter, Saharan dust intrusions result in episodes with high levels of PM10. Introduction The interaction between the synoptic and local dynamics in areas of complex topography has a significant effect on air pollution. The Tenerife Island is characterized by very specific meteorological and orographic conditions. It is a coastal area with a complex topography in which there is an interaction of regional atmospheric dynamics and a low thermal inversion layer. In the case of Santa Cruz de Tenerife, the combination of anthropogenic emission sources: refinery, port and road traffic, and the Islands’ singular meteorological and orographic characteristics lead to specific pollution episodes. This study aims to analyse the atmospheric dynamics of the area affecting the city of Santa Cruz de Tenerife to determine the impact of emissions on air quality. These results have helped air quality managers to identify main emission sources and the meteorological situations with limited dispersive conditions to plan future air quality strategies. Methodology and Results The analysis is conducted for the whole year 2011. A cluster analysis is performed to objectively identify dominant synoptic patterns affecting Tenerife Island. Six days of studio are selected, each one representing one of these synoptic patterns. The singular meteorological-emissions interactions are analysed combining two complementary approaches: 1) the analysis of the observations from the air quality network stations and 2) simulation of atmospheric dynamics using the WRFARW/HERMESv2/CMAQ/BSC-DREAM8b and WRF-ARW/HYSPLIT modelling systems with a high spatial resolution (1×1 km2). Detailed information of traffic, refinery and port activity has been collected as input information for the emission inventory. This methodology has allowed linking poor air quality levels with emission sources in an area of complex terrain. Fig. 1. Wind streams and SO2 levels caused by refinery emissions (µg m-3) for: January 24, 2011 (Western advection). From left to right: wind streams (U10) over Tenerife Island at 2UTC; detail of wind streams (U10) at Northeast Tenerife at 10 UTC; SO2 increases at 10 UTC (WRF-ARW/HERMESv2/CMAQ); SO2 increases at 10 UTC (WRF-ARW/HYSPLIT). Results show that SO2 air pollution episodes occur mainly in those situations with more limited dispersive conditions, such as the northeastern recirculation, the northwestern recirculation and the western advection (Fig.1), which represent 33.70%, 11.23% and 18.63% of the meteorological situations affecting Tenerife in 2011, respectively. Refinery emissions play an important role in the exceedances of the legal limits of SO2 levels. The oil refinery plume has a local effect in the vicinity of the installation (maximum influence located in a radius of 3 km). Air quality levels of NO2 do not exceed maximum legal levels; the main emission source is road traffic and is complemented by the refinery emissions. In the case of particulate matter, Saharan dust intrusions result in episodes with high levels of PM10; these episodes are favored when the synoptic situation is from the east (3.29% of the situations during 2011). Conclusions This study has analysed and evaluated the air quality in the area of Santa Cruz de Tenerife in 2011 to determine the impact of emissions in the area. This analysis has identified the main factors that lead to exceedances of air quality levels. These factors are very specific; meteorological and orographic conditions that hinder dispersive conditions in the area, and the presence of significant emission sources in the area. The results show an important role for refinery emissions in the exceedances of the legal limits of SO2 levels. With respect to particulate matter levels, the episodes of high concentration are related to episodes of Saharan dust intrusion. 20 A STUDY OF OZONE CONCENTRATIONS AND TRENDS ACROSS EUROPE: 1996-2010 T. Chatterton (1), E. Hayes (1), J. Barnes (1), J. Longhurst (1), D. Laxen (1) J. Irwin (1), H. Bach (2), J. Brandt (2), J. H. Christensen (2), T. Ellermann (2), C. Geels (2), O. Hertel (2), A. Massling (2), H. Ø. Nielsen (2), O. K. Nielsen (2), C. Nordstrøm (2), J. K. Nøjgaard (2), H. Skov (2), F. Pelsy (3) and T. Zamparutti (3) (1) Air Quality Management Resource Centre, University of the West of England, Bristol, BS16 1QY, UK; (2) DCE - Danish Centre for Environment and Energy, Aarhus University, Denmark; (3) Milieu, 15 rue Blanche, Brussels 1050, Belgium Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study reviews ozone concentrations from rural monitoring stations across Europe between 1996 and 2010 across a range of statistics with regard to the various objectives, target values and thresholds established by the 2008 Ambient Air Quality Directive 2008/50/EC. The findings reveal that whilst there have been complex and varied changes in patterns of ozone concentrations during the last 15 years, there are still extensive exceedences of the various regulatory standards and that while peak concentrations may have been decreasing, background concentrations are on the rise. Introduction The Air Quality Directive 2008/50/EC established two target values for ozone, one based on the protection of human health (120 µg/m3 as maximum daily 8-hour mean, not to be exceeded more than 25 days per year averaged over three years) and another for protection of vegetation (AOT40 (Accumulated Ozone over a Threshold of 40 ppb) 18,000 µg/m3-h averaged over five years. The directive also established a long-term objective of 120 µg/m3 as maximum daily 8-hour mean (no exceedences) and an AOT40 of 6,000 µg/m3-h (no achievement date defined). The 2008 Directive also set an information threshold of 180 µg/m3 and an alert threshold of 240 µg/m3 (both hourly averages). Methodology and Results Data were collected from the European Airbase database (v6) and following screening of the data, 286 rural background stations were selected for analysis over a 10-year period from 2001-2010, and 186 stations for a fifteen year period from 1996-2001. The analysis covered both absolute concentrations, as well as long-term trends in concentrations calculated using Theil Sen slope estimates, following a methodology established by Wilson et al. (2012). The findings of the analysis are that that there is no clear single trend in ozone concentrations. However, the following points can be noted: 1. Mean concentrations tended to increase over the period 19962005, whilst decreasing 2001-2010; 2. During this latter period, mean and 5th percentile (background) concentrations tended to reduce, but this pattern was less obvious for 95th percentile (peak) concentrations; 3. Monitoring stations recording the highest mean ozone concentrations (>60 µg.m-3) tended to show the greatest downward trends over the whole 15 year period; 4. Different spatial regimes exist for mean concentrations and trends, on the one hand and maximum 1-hour or 8-hour mean concentrations, on the other. 5. Any discernible downward trend in some of the exceedence statistics is relatively insignificant in the context of year-to-year variations due to changing meteorological conditions. 6. The extent to which trends are evident is highly dependent on the chosen measure, e.g. average concentrations or exceedences of particular thresholds. Fig.1 Mean ozone concentrations 2001-10 Fig.2 Trends in mean ozone concentration 2001-10 Conclusions Patterns of ozone pollution over Europe are complex, and the EU monitoring network is only coming to the stage where widespread spatial trends can be evaluated. What becomes clear from the analyses undertaken is that it is unlikely that a ‘one size fits all’ policy will be suitable for all Member States, and therefore better information on the nature of any region’s problem will be vital for effective management strategies. Acknowledgement This work was undertaken as part of a service contract for DG ENV, European Commission. The work as presented is from a report that has not yet been approved or published by the Commission. References Wilson, R. C., et al. (2012) Have primary emission reduction measures reduced ozone across Europe? An analysis of European rural background ozone trends 1996–2005, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 437-454, doi:10.5194/acp-12-437-2012. 21 A MODELLISTIC STUDY OF THE INFLUENCE OF AN HARBOUR SHIP EMISSIONS ON REGIONAL AIR QUALITY IN A MEDITERRANEAN AREA R. Cesari (1), A.Maurizi (2), F. Tampieri (2) (1) National Research Council, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, S. P. Lecce-Monteroni km 1.2, 73100, Lecce, Italy; (2) National Research Council, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, via Gobetti 101, 40100, Bologna, Italy Presenting author email:[email protected] Summary In this study we are interested in studying the effect of ship emissions from a port city located in a Mediterranean area on air quality level, over a regional domain. The on-line meso-scale atmospheric composition model BOLCHEM (Mircea et al., 2006) is used to simulate transport and dispersion of both gaseous and aerosols pollutants in a summer period (July 2010). Numerical results shows that over the simulation domain, monthly average ground concentration of both primary pollutants NOx and PM10, and secondary pollutant O3 are influenced by ship emissions, with an higher impact in the area that surrounds the harbor. Introduction Ship emissions represent an important and growing contribution to the total emissions from the transportation sector (Eyring et al., 2010) and they significantly influence air pollution level of both primary and secondary pollutants. This is confirmed by different studies that evaluate the contribution of shipping emissions on air quality in the Mediterranean Area (Marmer et Langmar, 2005). Environmental impact from ship emission has become a “hot” issue for air pollution and climate policy, and a large number of European projects are devoted to this topic. Among those, the European Territorial Cooperation Programme Grece-Italy 2007-2013 CESAPO (Contribution of Emission Sources on the Air Quality of the Port-cities in Greece and Italy - www.cesapo.upatras.gr) project has the general objective to study the contribution of emission from maritime transport and activity within the ports of Patras (Greece) and Brindisi (Italy) to the air quality and to propose actions for sustainable development in the Mediterranean Region. In this frame, we are interested in evaluate the impact of port of Brindisi on ground pollutants concentration levels over Apulia region, where Brindisi is located. Methodology and Results The model BOLCHEM comprises the meteorological model BOLAM (Buzzi et al., 1994), an algorithm for airborne transport and diffusion of pollutants, the photochemical mechanisms SAPRAC90 (Carter, 1990) and the aerosol dynamic model AERO3 (Binkowski et al. , 2003). In this study we use the model in a one-way nested grid configuration. The inner domain, with horizontal resolution of 0.06o x 0.06o (60 x 86 grid points) covers the spatial domain (14.50o E-18.975o E, 38o N-42.98o N) and includes the Apulia Region. The vertical grid has 40 σ layers for meteorology and 20 for the chemistry. The first vertical level is at about 20 m. The mother run is driven by initial and boundary conditions from ECMWF for meteorology. Simulations have been performed for the summer period July 2010. To investigate the impact of ship emissions on ground concentration pollutants level, the BOLCHEM simulations have been run with the inclusion of anthropogenic emissions from all the sources (base run) and then switching off the ship emissions. The difference between the two run output constitute the contribution of ship emissions on pollutant concentration. Conclusions Numerical results shows that monthly average ground concentration of primary pollutant NOx increases up to 5%, while O3 ground concentration decreases of about 2%. An higher impact is found in the area that surrounds the harbor, where NOx ground concentration increases up to 40% and O3 ground concentration decreases up to 20%. PM10 monthly average ground concentration increases of about 2% over the region, and about 15% very close to the port. Acknowledgement The authors thank the European Territorial Cooperation Programme Greece-Italy 2007-2013 CESAPO project for the financial support. References Binkowski F.S., Roselle S.J., 2003. Models-3 Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model aerosol component 1. Model description. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108 D6, 4183. Buzzi, A., Fantini, M., Malaguzzi, P., Nerozzi, P. 1994. Validation of a limited area model in cases of Mediterranean cyclogenesis: surface fields and precipitation scores. Meteor. Atmos. Phys, 53, 37153. Carter W., 1990. A detailed mechanism for the gas-phase atmospheric reactions of organic compounds. Atmospheric Environment 27A, 481-518. Eyring, V., Isaksen, I.S.A., Berntsen, T., Collins, W.J., Corbett, J.J., Endresen, O., Grainger, R.G., Moldanova, J., Schlager, H., Stevenson, D.S., 2010. Transport impacts on atmosphere and climate: Shipping. Atmospheric Environment 44, 47354771. Marmer E. and Langman B., 2005, Impact of ship emissions on the Mediterranean summertime pollution and climate: A regional model study, Atmospheric Environment, 39, 4659-4669 Mircea, M., D’Isidoro, M., Maurizi, A., Vitali, L., Conforti, F., Zanini, G., Tampieri, F. 2006. A comprehensive performance evaluation of the air quality model BOLCHEM to reproduce the ozone concentrations over Italy. Atmospheric Environment 42, 6, 1169-1185 22 MODELING TRENDS IN AIR POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS AND THEIR OPTICAL AND RADIATIVE PROPERTIES OVER THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE USING THE COUPLED WRF-CMAQ MODEL R. Mathur, J. Xing, G. Sarwar, J. Pleim Atmospheric Modeling and Analysis Division, National Exposure Research Laboratory, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711 Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Regional model calculations over annual cycles have pointed to the need for accurately representing impacts of long-range transport. Linking regional and global scale models have met with mixed success as biases in the global model can propagate and influence regional calculations and often confound interpretation of model results. Since transport is efficient in the freetroposphere and since simulations over Continental scales and annual cycles provide sufficient opportunity for “atmospheric turn-over”, i.e., exchange between the free-troposphere and the boundary-layer, a conceptual framework is needed wherein interactions between processes occurring at various spatial and temporal scales can be consistently examined. The coupled WRF-CMAQ model is expanded to hemispheric scales and model simulations over period spanning 1990-current are analyzed to examine changes in hemispheric air pollution resulting from changes in emissions over this period. Introduction Both observational and modeling studies have demonstrated that pollutants near the Earth’s surface can be convectively lofted to higher altitudes where strong winds can efficiently transport them from one continent to another, thereby impacting air quality on intercontinental to global scales. Thus, strategies for reduction of pollution levels of surface air over a region are complicated not only by the interplay of local emissions sources and several complex physical, chemical, dynamical processes in the atmosphere, but also hemispheric background levels of pollutants. To assist with the design of emission control strategies that yield compliance with more stringent air quality standards, models must possess the fidelity to accurately simulate ambient pollutant levels across the entire spectrum ranging from background to extreme concentrations. Consistent modeling frameworks that can represent the interactions between various physical and chemical atmospheric processes at the disparate space and time scales are thus needed. Methodology and Results Expansion of the coupled WRF-CMAQ modeling system to hemispheric scales is pursued to enable the development of a robust modeling framework in which the interactions between atmospheric processes occurring at various spatial and temporal scales can be examined in a consistent manner. The CMAQ modeling system was applied over a domain encompassing the northern hemisphere. The horizontal domain, set on a polar stereographic projection, was discretized using grid cells with a 108 km resolution, while the vertical extent ranging from the surface to 50 mb was discretized with 44 layers of variable thickness with a 20 m deep lowest layer. 3-D meteorological fields were derived from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) modeling system operating on the exact same projection and grid configuration as CMAQ. Observations from NCAR’s global upper air observation data set combined with the GFS 1-degree analysis provided the reanalysis fields for data assimilation in the WRF simulations. Emissions of NOx, SO2, CO, volatile organic compounds, and particulate matter from anthropogenic, biomass burning, and biogenic sources were derived from existing global inventories. Annual CMAQ simulations for multiple years spanning the 1990-2010 period and numerous associated sensitivity simulations (examining impacts of vertical layer structure, stratospheric O3 influences, representation of NOx recycling through organic nitrates, halogen chemistry in marine environments) have been conducted to establish the capability to exercise CMAQ over the Northern hemisphere. The ability of the model to represent long-range transport of pollutants is analyzed through comparisons with aircraft measurements from the 2006 INTEX-B field campaign, ozonesonde profiles, and remotely sensed observations of aerosol optical depth. Significance and Implications Changes in emission patterns over different regions of the world are likely to exacerbate the impacts of long-range pollutant transport on background pollutant levels in the U.S., which may then impact the attainment of local air quality standards. The successful expansion of coupled WRF-CMAQ to the hemispheric scales now provides a robust framework to examine interactions between atmospheric processes occurring at various spatial and temporal scales in a consistent manner and to characterize changes in regional background pollutant levels as well as the spatial heterogeneity in aerosol loading and associated radiative impacts over the Northern hemisphere. 23 AIR QUALITY MANAGEMENT AND POLICY 24 STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES OF THE EU AIR QUALITY STANDARDS FOR PARTICULATE MATTER K. D. van den Hout (1), C. Nagl (2), W. Spangl (2) and B. Conlan (3) (1) TNO, Utrecht, Netherlands; (2) Umweltbundesamt, Vienna, Austria; (3) Ricardo-AEA, London. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary An evaluation of the strengths and weaknesses of the EU air quality standards for particulate matter is presented. It is based on a consultation of EU member states and stakeholder associations and a subsequent analysis of the properties of the various PM standards. Possibilities for addressing weaknesses, by refinement of existing standards or by adding or withdrawing standards, were identified and assessed. Introduction The EU directive on ambient air quality and cleaner air for Europe 2008/50/EC has set air quality standards for PM and requires the Commission to review the PM2.5 standards by 2013. In support of the review, WHO has re-evaluated the health impacts of PM; its recent report emphasised the importance of all current PM air quality standards (WHO, 2013). The review activities also included an evaluation of the experiences of member states and other stakeholders with the air quality standards and an investigation of possibilities to improve the PM standards. Methodology and Results Using a questionnaire, an inquiry of views of EU member states and stakeholder associations was conducted. About half the member states and stakeholders that were invited responded. There was broad agreement with the overall approach of the directive, including the concepts of the air quality standards. The introduction of the new standards for the average exposure indicator, as instruments for driving down the average exposure of the general urban population in large cities, was welcomed. Many respondents emphasised, in view of the wide-spread exceedances of the PM standards, that the air quality standards need to be consistent with emission reductions under EU legislation. Another priority mentioned was the need to identify and address the most harmful PM fractions. Views on the flexibility arrangements (derogations, time extensions) and on the ambition level to be aimed at in a possible revision of the standards were divided. There was concern about the complexity of the set of PM standards. An analysis of the strengths and weaknesses of the PM standards and options for improvement was subsequently carried out. To do this systematically, a set of evaluation criteria was drawn up, such as health protection, attainability, scientific robustness, regulatory stability, redundancy, complexity. The properties of the PM standards were investigated: the fraction regulated (e.g. PM2.5), the binding nature (e.g. to be achieved as far as possible), the attainment date (e.g. 1-1-2020), other temporal aspects (e.g. averaging time; statistical definition such as 90th percentile of 24-hour means) and spatial aspects (e.g. where does the standard apply; averaging area; relation to exposure). In view of parallel scenario calculations for PM in Europe, led by IIASA, the numerical level of the standards was excluded from the analysis. Pros and cons of strengthening the binding nature of the standards were identified; for the national exposure reduction target strengthening was considered important to make it effective. For limit values – which have to be attained everywhere – a degree of flexibility was deemed necessary to make reduction of their levels to be attained feasible. It is questionable whether the added value of an additional 24-hour PM2.5 standard as proposed by WHO or a new standard for black carbon or ultrafine particulates as proposed by others would counterbalance the increase of complexity of the set of standards. Possibilities for withdrawal of one or several of the partially overlapping standards were investigated; this is however not possible without changing the spatial distribution of the protection provided by the set of standards. Many refinement options were considered, such as setting a long-term timeline for standards, differentiation of standards by area type, reduction of compliance fluctuations by three-year averaging for limit values. Conclusions Reduction of PM is likely to be effective for reducing the health impact at all concentration levels in the EU. To avoid that a fully binding level to be attained everywhere will only drive down levels at the most unfavourable locations, lower, more ambitious levels in combination with flexibility provisions for locations where the standard cannot be met should be considered. Several options for optimising the set of PM standards were identified, the expected improvement of which should be balanced against the merits of regulatory stability. Acknowledgement The presentation is based on work carried out in service contracts to DG Environment of the European Commission. References WHO, 2013. Review of evidence on health aspects of air pollution – REVIHAAP project. World Health Organization, Regional Office for Europe, Copenhagen. 25 CAN A STRINGENT REDUCTION IN EUROPEAN EMISSIONS HELP SWEDEN REACH NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY OBJECTIVES FOR ACIDIFICATION AND EUTROPHICATION? S. Åström and M. Lindblad IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute Ltd., P.O. Box 53021, SE-400 14 Göteborg, Sweden Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this study, scenario analysis was performed to determine if it is possible for Sweden to reach its environmental quality objectives for acidification and eutrophication by emission reductions in Europe by 2020 and 2030. The environmental impacts from emission reductions in 15 countries and three sectors were analysed in separate Ambition Scenarios. The results showed that given an already full implementation of all emissions control technologies, the countries will have low potential for further emission reduction of sulphur dioxide and nitrogen oxides, while the potential to reduce ammonia emissions would be larger. As a consequence, reduction in ammonia emissions becomes the most important way to improve the acidification problem in 2020. In the Ambition Scenarios, there was no significant improvement in acidification status in Sweden. For Eutrophication, the affected areas were reduced from 13% to 5% in the Ambition Scenarios. Based on the data and methods used in this study, the conclusions are that the Swedish environmental quality objective for acidification will be difficult to achieve even by implementing extremely stringent European emission reductions, but that achievement of the Swedish environmental quality objective for eutrophication will be aided by the corresponding emission reductions. Introduction The Swedish environmental quality objectives (SEQO) for acidification and eutrophication are currently not achieved, and are not expected to be achieved by 20201. Sulphur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), and ammonia (NH3) are acidifying compounds, while NOx and NH3 also are eutrophying. They are all transboundary pollutants, and Swedish problems with acidification and eutrophication are therefore caused by emissions in several other countries. Since 2020 is the target year for the SEQO:s, emission reductions are likely to be necessary. The purpose of this study was to analyse to what extent European emission reductions would contribute to the achievement of the SEQO:s for acidification and eutrophication by 2020 and 2030. Methodology Achievement of the SEQO:s was in this study defined as a zero exceedance of modelled critical loads for acidification and eutrophication. Analysis of the future European emissions that would enable Sweden to reach the SEQO:s was performed by comparing different emission scenarios and the resulting environmental impacts. The scenarios were based on scenarios used in the current EU policy process of revising the National Emissions Ceilings (NEC) directive2,3, and analysed using the GAINS model4. Given the high exceedance previously reported, the emissions in this study’s Base Scenario included a full implementation of available emission control technologies. The Ambition Scenarios represented additional sector-specific emission reductions for each of the countries of highest importance for acidification and eutrophication in Sweden. In these scenarios, emission reductions following a reduction of the emission precursor activities by 50% was assumed for the most important sectors: power plants; transport; and agriculture. A Combined Scenario was also analysed. Results Despite very sharp reductions in the emission precursor activities, the corresponding emissions would only be 16% / 12% (SO2), and 22% / 17% (NOx) lower in the Combined Scenario than in the Base Scenario emissions in 2020 and 2030, respectively. Emissions of NH3 would be 34% lower by 2020 and 2030. The acidification problem in Sweden improved most in the scenarios were NH3 emission were reduced. The model results showed that the improvement in the Combined Scenario corresponded to <1% of the acidified areas in Sweden by 2020 and 2030, a non-significant improvement. For Eutrophication, exceedance was reduced from 13% to 5% of the total ecosystem area considered in 2020 (from 11% to 4% in 2030). A sensitivity analysis for acidification 2020 showed that Swedish and shipping emissions alone would cause exceedance of critical loads for acidification on 17% of the areas considered. Conclusions & discussion The main conclusions are that by 2020 and 2030, given that all available emission control technologies are implemented, further reduction in impact on acidification in Sweden will be difficult to achieve by emission reductions in nearby countries. It will however be more feasible to reduce the impact on eutrophication by reduction of emissions from European countries. However, one should contemplate whether the current methods used for calculating critical loads for acidification and eutrophication needs further development and adaptation to the projected emission levels in 2020 and 2030. Acknowledgement This study was performed as a part of the CLEO programme, financed by the Swedish EPA. We would also like to thank the GAINS model experts at IIASA for support with the analysis. References 1. Swedish Environmental Protection Agency. 2012. Report 6500. 2. Amann M, et al. 2012. TSAP report #1. 3. Amann M, et al. 2013. TSAP report #10 - version 1.2. 4. Amann M. 2012. The GAINS Integrated Assessment Model. 26 MODELLING REAL WORLD ROAD DUST ABATEMENT MEASURES: AN APPLICATION OF THE NORTRIP MODEL I. Sundvor (1) and B. R. Denby (1) (1) The Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU). PO BOX 100, 2027 Kjeller, Norway. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this paper we present an application of the NORTRIP road dust emission model. The model is used to simulate actual road dust emission abatement measures implemented in Oslo including speed reduction, studded tyre reduction, dust binding and cleaning. The model successfully reproduces changes in concentrations observed over a three year period for a particular road in Oslo where a real world road dust mitigation experiment was carried out. Sensitivity analysis of the model to both meteorological and traffic conditions indicate that meteorology and the related road maintenance activities have as significant an impact on emissions as do changes in traffic speed and studded tyre share. The study provides confirmation that the model can be used to predict the impact of a range of road dust mitigation strategies. Introduction Non-exhaust traffic emissions are a dominant contributor to PM10 concentrations in many Nordic countries. A range of measures have been introduced to reduce these emissions but their impact needs to be better quantified if they are to be efficiently implemented. The NORTRIP road dust emission model is a process based model developed as a tool to quantify non-exhaust emissions and their dependency on meteorology, vehicle type, tyre types, studded tyre share, vehicle speed, road salting, dust binding and cleaning. The model is described and validated in detail in Denby et al. (2013a, 2013b). In this paper the model is applied to reproduce real world road dust emission abatement in Oslo. Methodology and results NORTRIP is applied over a three year period (2004-2006) in Oslo to one particular road (RV4). During this period an experiment was carried out where speed limit signage was reduced from 80km/hr, in 2004, to 60 km/hr in 2005 and 2006. In addition dust binding, using MgCl2, and road cleaning were only carried out in the year 2006. During this period studded tyre share decreased from 27% to 20% and meteorological conditions varied considerably. Using observed meteorological data, traffic counts and records of road maintenance activity for salting and cleaning, the model is applied to the three year period and compared to observations. In addition a range of sensitivity tests is carried out to assess the impact of meteorology and traffic on the emissions. The model correctly simulates the changes in observed concentrations resulting from changes in traffic conditions and meteorology over the three year period (Fig 1). It is found that meteorology, and associated road salting activities, affects concentrations as significantly as changes in traffic and studded tyre share during this period (Fig 2). Additional sensitivity tests with the model show that a reduction by half of cars and trucks using studded tyres on RV4 would lead to a reduction in net mean PM10 concentrations of 23% - 31% and a reduction in the number of exceedance days by 5 to 12 days. Fig.1 Comparison of modelled and observed net mean PM10 concentrations at the traffic station at RV4. Fig.2 Model sensitivity matrix for meteorology and traffic conditions. The diagonal represents the actual conditions, as in Fig 1. References Denby, B.R., Sundvor, I., Johansson, C., Pirjola, L., Ketzel, M., Norman, M., Kupiainen, K. , Gustafsson, M., Blomqvist, G. and Omstedt, G., 2013a. A coupled road dust and surface moisture model to predict non-exhaust road traffic induced particle emissions (NORTRIP). Part 1: road dust loading and suspension modelling. Atmospheric Environment, 77, 283-300, DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2013.04.069. Denby, B.R., Sundvor, I., Johansson, C., Pirjola, L., Ketzel, M., Norman, M., Kupiainen, K. , Gustafsson, M., Blomqvist, G., Omstedt, G., M., Kauhaniemi 2013b. A coupled road dust and surface moisture model to predict non-exhaust road traffic induced particle emissions (NORTRIP). Part 2: surface moisture and salt impact modelling. In press: Atmospheric Environment 2013. 27 THE IMPACT OF LOW EMISSION ZONE AND HEAVY TRAFFIC BAN IN MUNICH ON THE REDUCTION OF PM10 IN AMBIENT AIR J. Cyrys (1,2), V. Fensterer (3), H. Küchenhoff (3), B. Bauer (3), H.-E. Wichmann (4), S. Breitner (1), A. Schneider (1), A. Peters (1) (1) Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Epidemiology II, 85764 Neuherberg, Germany; 2) Environment Science Center, Universität Augsburg, 86159 Augsburg, Germany; (3) Statistical Consulting Unit, Department of Statistics, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, 80799 Munich, Germany; (4) Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Epidemiology I, 85764 Neuherberg, Germany; Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In our study we evaluate the effectiveness of a truck transit ban through the city area and implementation of Low Emission Zones (LEZ) on the reduction of PM10 mass concentrations in the ambient air in Munich, Germany. The analysis of the PM10 levels by a semiparametric regression model showed statistically significant reduction of PM10 levels both at an urban background site and a traffic site. The magnitude of the effect depends on the day of the week, time of day and location of the monitoring site. Introduction In the framework of the new EU-Project ACCEPTED (Assessment of Changing Conditions, Environmental Policies, Timeactivities, Exposure and Disease) the impact of the implementation of LEZs on traffic-related air pollutant levels will be estimated for three German cities (Berlin, Munich and Augsburg) applying advanced statistical method. We present here the preliminary results of the analysis for Munich. The analysis for Berlin and Augsburg are still ongoing. In Munich, a transit ban for heavy-duty vehicles larger than 3.5 tons was introduced on February 1, 2008. As a second measure, the first stage of the LEZ became operative on October 1, 2008, and the second stage was introduced on October 1, 2010 (Bayerisches Staatsministerium für Umwelt und Gesundheit, 2010). Methodology and Results A semiparametric regression model with a first-order autocorrelated error term was applied for modeling the hourly PM10 mass concentration, adjusted for the time of day, day of the week, measures taken, and further confounder variables, such as background pollution, public holidays and wind direction. The changes in PM10 were observed in relation to a reference station representing regional background concentrations. In the analysis we compared PM10 mass concentrations measured prior to the implementation of any air quality measures (January 2006 – January 2008) with those recorded after introducing them (October 2008 – September 2010 (LEZ I) and October 2010 – September 2012 (LEZ II)). In general, a reduction of mean PM10 mass concentration in ambient air was observed after air quality measures had been introduced in Munich (Table 1). Table.1 Changes of PM10 concentrations at an urban background (UB) and traffic (T) site in Munich (adjusted for exposure at the reference site, wind direction, day of the week, time of day and public holidays) Measurement site Summer Winter Effect Confidence interval p-value Effect Confidence interval p-value UB (LEZ I) -7.68% (-8.70%, -6.64%) <0.001 -6.27% (-7.48%, -5.04%) <0.001 UB (LEZ II) -18.08% (-18.90%, -17.26%) <0.001 -7.62% (-8.81%, -6.41%) <0.001 T (LEZ I) -7.13% (-8.02%, -6.23%) <0.001 -3.94% (-5.12%, -2.75%) <0.001 T (LEZ II) -18.94% (-18.23%, -19.64%) <0.001 -6.10% (-7.12%, -5.06%) <0.001 A significant reduction of PM10 concentrations was observed in the time period from October 2008 until September 2010 (compared to the years 2006 – 2007) when the traffic ban and first stage of LEZ had become effective. After implementing the second stage of the LEZ in Munich in October 2010, a further reduction of PM10 levels was achieved (October 2010 – September 2012). In general, the effects were stronger during summer than in winter. The magnitude of the effect depends on the time of day and the day of the week (data not shown). Conclusions The introduction of two measures for improvement of the ambient air quality in Munich resulted in a decrease of ambient PM10 concentrations. However, the evaluation of such measures by means of PM10 data remains difficult due to strong influence of meteorological conditions on PM10 levels. We recommend further particulate variables, such as PM2.5, Black Smoke, or particulate organic compounds to obtain more precise evaluations of LEZ effects. References Bayerisches Staatsministerium für Umwelt und Gesundheit, 2010. Luftreinhalteplan für die Stadt München. 4. Fortschreibung. http://www.muenchen.de/rathaus/Stadtverwaltung/Referat-fuer-Gesundheit-und-Umwelt/Luft und Strahlung /Luftreinhalteplan.html [last access September 2013] 28 ATMO-IDEE: RHINE TRANSBOUNDARY ATMOSPHERIC PREVENTION IN THE EURODISTRICT STRASBOURG-ORTENAU AND IN THE UPPER RHINE R. Deprost (1), H. Scheu-Hachtel (2), J. Kleinpeter (1), E. Herber (1), S. Mazurais (1), C. Schillinger (1), T. Leiber (2), F. Brocheton (3), C. Pesin (3), J. Galineau (3), L. Zilliox (4), G. Najjar (5) (1) ASPA Association pour la Surveillance et l’étude de la Pollution atmosphérique en Alsace, Schiltigheim, France; (2) LUBW Landesanstalt für Umwelt, Messungen und Naturschutz Baden-Württemberg, Karlsruhe, Germany; (3) NUMTECH, Aubière, France; (4) SPPPI Strasbourg-Kehl, Permanent Office for Industrial Pollution Prevention, Strasbourg, France ; (5) ICUBE, University of Strasbourg, UMR 7357, France. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary How to deal with public consultation and with the environmental impact assessment (EIA) of an authorization procedure in a transboundary context? The governance and technical proposals of the AtmoIDEE project should improve answers to this question, since it develops a local transboundary procedure and all necessary air quality databases for the Eurodistrict Strasbourg-Ortenau. Concerning consultation, the project aims at identifying schedules and instances for common transboundary debates and opinions. Concerning data, the project has already released a detailed emission inventory based on homogenised calculation methods between Alsace (ASPA) and Baden-Württemberg (LUBW). Then it produced homogenised fine scale air quality maps for the Eurodistrict using the urban model ADMS Urban (distributed in France by NUMTECH). The model was calibrated with air pollution and meteorology data from fixed measurement networks and from several fine scale measurement campaigns. Until its end in 2014, the project will still work on governance and on several modelling exercises like a sector apportionment study. Fig.1 NO2 annual averages for 2012, simulated and calibrated with homogeneous data and methods across the French/German border Introduction The question was initially raised by citizen associations for environmental defence that worried about the installation of new industrial sites or traffic infrastructures in the already polluted transboundary urban area of Strasbourg and Kehl. Even if the official way to proceed between French and German administrations is described in the “Guide for transboundary consultations” of the French-German-Swiss Upper Rhine Conference, the local SPPPI wanted to add a real transboundary governance of air quality in such cases, and furthermore, the ASPA demonstrated the need of homogeneous air quality data at fine scale to be integrated EIAs. Hence, the Atmo-IDEE INTERREG IV Upper Rhine project started in 2012. Methodology and Results Finding common primary data and calculation methodologies for each significant third level activity (SNAP code), a fine scale emission inventory was computed for SO2, NOX, CO, PMtot, PM10, PM2.5, NMVOC, CH4, N2O, NH3, HCl, C6H6, BaP and CO2. The road traffic sector, representing finally 56% of NOX, 46% of C6H6 and 38% of PM10 emissions of the Eurodistrict, was particularly highly investigated. The model ADMS Urban was set on an intelligent grid and calibrated with air pollution and meteorology data of fixed networks (ASPA, LUBW, METEO FRANCE, DWD), of 4 urban measurement campaigns during the summer 2012 and the winter 2012/2013 and of a specific urban climatology campaign of ICUBE. The NO2 (see Fig.1), PM10, PM2.5, C6H6 and SO2 annual concentration means were respectively in the ranges [16;140], [17;60], [14;46], [0.5;2.6] and [0.1;3.7] μg/m3, showing a good consistence with available measurements. Conclusions The Atmo-IDEE project has already delivered harmonized fine scale databases on emissions and concentrations for the Eurodistrict Strasbourg-Ortenau and is now developing the local procedure allowing a total compliance to the wished governance. The transferability of all developments to other Eurodistricts of the Upper Rhine will be investigated in 2014. Acknowledgement This work was co-financed by FEDER funds in the frame of the INTERREG IV Upper Rhine program, as well as the Urban Community of Strasbourg, the City of Kehl and the Eurodistrict Strasbourg-Ortenau. We also acknowledge other partners: SPPPI Strasbourg-Kehl, Lufhygieneamt Beider Basel (LHA), Regierungspräsidium Freiburg, DREAL Alsace, Landratsamt Ortenaukreis, Eurodistrict Trinational de Bâle, Eurodistrict Regio PAMINA, Eurodistrict Freiburg, Centre et Sud Alsace. References All technical reports are available under www.atmo-idee.eu and on Facebook. 29 INVENTORY AND EFFECTIVENESS OF MEASURES TO IMPROVE AIR QUALITY IN GERMANY F. Pfäfflin, V. Diegmann, H. Wursthorn IVU Umwelt GmbH; Emmy-Noether-Str. 2; 79110 Freiburg Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The status of air quality plans published in Germany is described by a thorough analysis. These plans offer an extensive overview of the current situation in Germany regarding air quality, different methodologies of assessment and proposed measures to improve the respective situations. Due to the long period in which plans and measures have been developed and put into action in Germany, there is the possibility to assess the effectiveness of measures after their respective implementation using comparative studies. Reduction potentials for three examples of measures concerning road traffic were analysed and the theoretical reduction potentials of Low-Emission-Zones (LEZs) were compared with published evaluations. Introduction Many cities in Germany still have problems to meet the limit values for NO2 and PM10 defined in Directive 2008/50/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council, especially at locations influenced by road traffic. Most likely, these problems will persist in the following years. Therefore, responsible authorities continue to publish or update air quality plans in Germany, in particular accompanying notifications of time extensions (postponements of attainment deadlines) based on Art. 22 of Directive 2008/50/EC. The study provides an overview and a detailed inventory of the plans and identifies and classifies measures in order to meet air quality limit values. In order to optimize further planning, a second part of the study analyses the effectiveness of selected measures. Methodology and Results A total of 242 air quality plans published in Germany up to 30.11.2012 were compiled, registered and analysed. Plans are expected to include source apportionments with respect to both spatial origin and different source groups and were, e. g. analysed with this respect. For NO2, pollution due to local road traffic at the respective sites causes, on average, 50 % of the total concentration and, on average, 64 % of the total concentration are caused by road traffic in the city. For PM10, local sources contribute 26 % to the total concentration and 54 % are attributed to regional background. The fraction of road traffic in the cities is, on average, 30 %. Some of the data of the plans were presented as thematic maps, showing, e. g., regional differences. A detailed scheme for classifying the measures (e. g. with respect to source groups or fields of action) was compiled as an analysis tool, currently containing 2588 measures. To ensure comparability of the measures, a compilation of standardized measures (currently 130) was developed. A statistical analysis shows that, in accordance with the results of the source apportionment, 80 % of the measures are aiming at road traffic. Industrial processes are targeted by 16 % of these measures. Due to the long period in which plans and measures have been developed and put into action in Germany, there is a possibility to assess the effectiveness of measures after their respective implementation using comparative studies and, thus, found the assessment of the effectiveness of measures on more information than the expected effects noted in the plans which are normally based on estimations and scenario calculations. To do so, reports of evaluations of measure that were carried out after the adoption of the plans and the implementation of the measures were compiled, analysed and documented. This research shows that there are relatively few such studies. A comparatively wide spectrum of evaluations does exist for LEZs however about half of these studies do not note a specific potential for the reduction of concentrations. The remaining studies give reduction potentials for the single measure LEZ of up to 10 % for NO2 7 % for PM10 and 10 % for PM2.5. Additionally, results for evaluations of the measures 'environmental traffic management', 'ban on transit of trucks' and 'speed limits of 30 or 40 km/h on major roads' have been compiled. Theoretical reduction potentials for three examples of measures concerning road traffic were assessed based on the 'Handbook of emission factors for road transport' (HBEFA, 2010) and studies for the air quality plans of Berlin and Kassel. These assessments predict, e. g., for an extension of the German vehicle classification regulation to include gasoline vehicles a significant increase of the NO2 reduction potential of a LEZ to up to 7 % in 2015. Higher reduction potentials can only be reached by intensified insertion of Euro-6/VI vehicles in the fleet. A comparison of the theoretical reduction potentials with published evaluations shows good agreement with most publications. Conclusions The study provides an extensive overview and analysis of German air quality plans and measures to improve air quality together with a tool to classify and analyse the measures. Reduction potentials of single measures are in general low and not all air quality problems in Germany will be solved by the measures planned. E. g., for NO2 in more than 60 % of the cases a local measure has to reduce the additional concentration by more than 50 % to allow for the possibility to comply with the air quality limit value. In three of the 80 cases analysed, a complete reduction of the additional concentration doesn't suffice for complying with the air quality limit value. Acknowledgement This work was funded by the Federal Environment Agency (Umweltbundesamt) of Germany (FKZ 3712 43 255). References HBEFA, 2010: Handbook Emission Factors For Road Transport 3.1. Quick Reference. INFRAS, Bern. 30 AMMONIA AND NITROGEN OXIDES EMISSIONS REDUCTION INFLUENCE ON AIR QUALITY OVER THE PO VALLEY E. Angelino (1), M. P. Costa (2), A. D’Allura (2), S. Finardi (2), G. Fossati (1), G. Lanzani (1), E. Peroni (1), P. Radice (2), C. Silibello (2) (1) ARPA Lombardia, via I. Rosellini, 17 - 20124 Milano, Italy; (2) ARIANET S.r.l., via Gilino 9, 20128 Milano, Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Fourteen different combinations of ammonia and nitrogen oxides emission reduction scenarios have been investigated through the application of a chemical transport model on two monthly periods characterised by significant measured levels of ammonia and particulate matter, respectively during spring and autumn 2011. The simulation domain covers the whole Po Valley (hereafter P-V) in Northern Italy. Results obtained considering the actual emissions simulation (base case) have been compared with observed levels of PM2.5, PM10, NH3, NOX and O3 at different monitoring stations located in P-V. The amount and combination of emissions reduction needed to effectively reduce secondary PM levels has been also estimated from the analysis of considered scenarios. The role of NOX and NH3 on PM2.5 mass and composition is confirmed, claiming for the implementation of proper emission control strategies. Introduction P-V is one of the air pollution hot spots of major concern in Europe where the EC air quality standards are presently not attained. It is characterised by peculiar topographic features, being surrounded on three sides by the Alps/Apennines chain, and by one of the most densely populated area in Europe, with a global population of about 20 million inhabitants. This area is characterised by very high emissions and concentrations of ammonia, whose role as aerosol precursor, together with NOX and SO2, is well known. Since PM composition analysis showed that: 1) a large fraction of aerosol has secondary origin; 2) SO2 emissions have significantly decreased during the last decades, leading to year-round low concentrations recordings; it is of major interest to understand the potential PM2.5 concentration reduction reachable through NOX and ammonia emission limitation policies. According to the Lombardia regional emission inventory, 96% of NH3 year emissions in the region comes from agriculture activities while the remaining portion (about 4%) is given, particularly in urban areas, by road traffic, from vehicles equipped with three-way catalytic converters. 16/9/2011-16/10/2011 80 70 -3 g m ] 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 7/10 5/4 7/4 9/4 15/10 5/10 3/4 13/10 3/10 1/4 11/10 1/10 9/10 29/9 27/9 25/9 23/9 21/9 19/9 17/9 15/9 17/3/2011-19/4/2011 80 70 -3 g m ] 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 17/4 15/4 13/4 11/4 30/3 28/3 26/3 24/3 22/3 Fig.1 20/3 18/3 Methodology and Results The atmospheric modelling system (AMS) used to simulate the chemical and physical processes involving the pollutants in the atmosphere is based on Flexible Air quality Regional Model (FARM). A description of FARM model and the modules that constitute the AMS can be found in Silibello et al. (2012). Following inventories have been used to apportion emissions to grid cells: Regional (www.inemar.eu), National (www.sinanet.apat.it/it/sinanet/serie_storiche_emissioni) and International (www.ceip.at). Simulations were performed on two one-month periods during 2011, lasting respectively from March 17th to April 19th and from September 16th to October 16th. Figure 1 shows an example of the performance of the AMS, at an urban background station located in Milano urban area, confirming its reliability for further emission scenarios studies. The fourteen scenarios have been selected to study the influence on PM2.5 levels of possible ammonia and nitrogen oxides emission reduction strategies over Lombardia Region and over the whole P-V domain. The impact of the two main ammonia emissions sources (manure/agriculture and traffic) has been also investigated. As an example in the following Figure 2 the evaluation of a 50% reduction of NH3 emissions from agriculture for the Spring period is given, evidencing an average reduction of about 1 g m-3 over a large portion of Lombardia region. Comparison between observed (black) and base-case (grey) PM2.5 concentrations Conclusions Results obtained allowed to derive a first estimation of the more effective strategies to reduce particulate matter levels over Lombardia region. Combined reductions appear to be more effective than higher reductions of individual species. Moreover, a careful analysis of emissions from surrounding areas is needed to set up proper emission control strategies at local administrative level. References Silibello, C., Calori, G., Costa, M.P., Dirodi, M.G., Mircea, M., Radice, P., Vitali, L., Zanini, G., 2012. Benzo[a]pyrene modelling over Italy: comparison with experimental data and source apportionment. Atmospheric Pollution Research, 3, 399-407. 31 Fig.2 Average reduction of PM2.5 levels during spring period due to a 50% reduction of NH3 emissions from agriculture ASSESSMENT OF CO-BENEFITS FROM CLIMATE AND AIR QUALITY POLICIES WITH THE TM5-FASST TOOL J. Leitao (1), R. Van Dingenen (1), F. Dentener (1), S. Rao (2) (1) European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Via E. Fermi 2749, I-21027 Ispra (VA) , Italy (2) IIASA Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg Austria Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study provides an assessment of co-benefits of combined climate and air pollution strategies in long-term integrated assessment scenarios. A set of air pollutant emission scenarios, delivered by 5 different integrated assessment models for a selection of combined climate and air quality policies within the LIMITS project, were used as input of the TM5-FASST global source-receptor model and impacts on human health, vegetation and radiative forcing were determined . The obtained results allowed for an identification of possible synergies and trade-offs of combined national policy that focus both on climate change and air pollution. Introduction National policies do not usually deal with air pollution control and climate mitigation as one single problem to be tackled. Nevertheless, the link between the two issues is becoming more evident even if their impacts and scales (time and spatial) are quite diverse. Some sectors, such as fossil fuel combustion, are sources of both pollutants (NOx and PM) and greenhouse gases (CO2). Additionally, the implementation of measures such as wood burning as biofuel to reduce climate impact may in fact deteriorate air quality. This linkage should not be disregarded in policy making and design of emission control strategies. A better understanding of these co-benefits and trade-offs is a prerequisite for a more efficient development of cross-policy schemes and supports as stimulation for the effective implementation of mitigation measures. Methodology Within the LIMITS FP7 project (http://www.feem-project.net/limits/index.html), five integrated assessment models (IAMs) provided greenhouse gas and pollutant emission scenarios within predefined constraints on climate change, socio-economic development, technological scenarios, accounting also for current and future climate and air quality policies. Three air quality scenarios based on the stringency and implementation of future global air pollution legislation were combined with 2 climate policy scenarios (no climate policy and 2.8 W/m2 target). Emission factors for relevant air pollutants by sector and region were harmonized between the IAMs. In the framework of this project the impact evaluation of the resulting emissions is done with a global air quality sourcereceptor model TM5-FASST that calculates in a first stage the pollutant concentrations. TM5-FASST is a linearized version derived from the full chemical transport model TM5-CTM (Krol et al., 2005). The model takes as input pollutants emissions from 56 source regions with global coverage, and calculates resulting pollutant concentrations and their associated impacts on human health and ecosystems, besides it also provides some climate metrics such as CO2eq of emitted short lived climate pollutants. The validity of the TM5-FASST tool has been demonstrated in several studies, such as the UNEP synthesis report addressing the control of short-lived climate forcers and co-benefits from climate policy (UNEP, 2011). Results and Conclusions The results show that stringent climate policies provide a significant air quality benefit compared to current legislation air quality policy, both in terms of reduced premature mortalities and improved crop yields. The air quality co-benefit of climate policies is more pronounced in polluted developing regions (Asia). These regional and near-term benefits provide a strong incentive for the implementation of climate policies. Acknowledgement The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union Seventh Framework Programme FP7/2007-2013 under grant agreement n° 282846 (LIMITS). References Krol, M., Houweling, S., Bregman, B., Van Den Broek, M., Segers, A., Van Velthoven, P., Peters, W., Dentener, F. and Bergamaschi, P., 2005. The two-way nested global chemistry-transport zoom model TM5: Algorithm and applications. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 5(2), 417-432. UNEP, 2011. Near-term Climate Protection and Clean Air Benefits: Actions for Controlling Short-Lived Climate Forcers, United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), Nairobi, Kenya, 78pp. 32 THE COMPARISON OF COSTS OF POLICIES AIMED AT REDUDING AIR QUALITY INDUCED HEALH RISKS, HEALTH BENEFITS AND PERCEIVED VALUES IN FINLAND J. Kutvonen (1,2), A. Asikainen (1), P. Pasanen (2) and O. Hänninen (1) (1) National Institute on Welfare and Health of Finland (2) University of Eastern Finland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Particulate matter is a serious threat to public health. This work evaluates the benefits achievable by restricting residential wood combustion and traffic speed limits in urban areas in Finland. The estimated costs and health benefits were compared with perceived values assessed by a questionnaire. Costs of policy implementation, gained health benefits and their monetary values and people´s values were estimated by an econometric model. The model showed that based on cost-benefit analysis, reduction of small-scale wood combustion to half by increasing the price of wood to € 140 per cubic meter and 35 kmh-1 speed limits in urban areas would be profitable policies. When people´s values were considered in cost-benefit analysis, reduction of small-scale wood combustion to half remained a profitable policy but 35 kmh-1 speed limits in urban areas did not. Introduction Outdoor PM2.5 is the most dangerous environmental agent in Finland causing annually nearly 2 000 deaths (Pekkanen 2010). Burden of disease caused by outdoor PM2.5 can be reduced by political decisions but implementation of policies causes expenses. Cost-benefit analysis can be applied in decision making to find out whether a political decision is profitable or not. Cost-benefit analysis, however, doesn´t consider people´s attitudes or values regarding political decisions. The aim of this work is to compare results of traditional cost-benefit analyses with perceived values of subjects affected by the policies. Methodology An econometric model was developed to quantify policy costs, health benefits and perceived values. Hypothetical scenario for PM2.5 emission reductions from small scale wood combustion and urban road traffic were developed including (i) total ban of small-scale wood combustion in urban areas, (ii): reduction of small-scale wood combustion to half by the price raise and (iii) 35 kmh-1 speed limits in urban area. People´s attitudes were measured from university students in Kuopio and Helsinki and employees of the Finnish National Institute on Health and Welfare in Kuopio and Helsinki (n =1946, 468 responses) with a value questionnaire based on willingness to pay technique (Le Gall-Ely 2009). Results Cumulative costs of policies observed for 50 years for small-scale wood combustion, reduction of small-scale wood combustion to half and 35 kmh-1 speed limits in urban area were €9.5 billion, €0.6 billion and €0.1 (0.05-1.3) billion, respectively. Reductions in burden of disease were 570 DALY, 285 DALY and 462 DALY per year. DALY was given a monetary value (€ 150 000, € 165 000 and € 180 000). Discounted (interest 3 %) monetary values observed for 50 years for these reductions were € 2.5 (2.3-2.7) billion, € 1.2 (1.1-1.3) billion and € 2.0 (1.8-2.2) billion, respectively. People´s attitudes were either positive or negative, i.e. positive value is found as a benefit and negative value if found as a disadvantage. 35 kmh-1 speed limits in urban areas were found very disadvantageous since the value measured in money was €-200 (-350– 359 billion). Surprisingly, people found policies aimed to reduce PM2.5 emissions from small-scale wood combustion advantageous. Values to total ban of small-scale wood combustion in urban areas and to reduction of small-scale wood combustion to half by increasing the price of wood to €140 per cubic meter were € 0.6 (-0.2-+1.4) billion and € 0.3 billion (0.1-+0.7), respectively. Based on the traditional cost-benefit analysis in which only costs and benefits are considered, reduction of small-scale wood combustion to half and 35 kmh-1 speed limits in urban areas are profitable since they yield a positive net sum of € 0.6 (0.5-0.7) and 1.2 (0.03-1.3) billion, respectively. When supplemented with the perceived values, reduction of small-scale wood combustion to half by increasing the price of wood to € 140 per cubic meter yields a positive net sum of € 0.4 (0.3-1.2) but 35 kmh-1 speed limits in urban areas yields a negative net sum of € -211 (-28–-350) billion. Conclusions It seems that when people´s attitudes are considered, reduction of small-scale wood combustion to half and 35 kmh-1 speed limits in urban area seem to be profitable policies. However, national actions (ban of small-scale wood combustion in urban areas and 35 km/h speed limits in urban areas) aimed to reduce outdoor PM2.5 exposure are not efficient enough since majority of the burden of disease of outdoor PM2.5 is caused by long-range transport that can only be reduced by international agreements. Acknowledgement This work was supported by Ministry of Social Affairs and Health of Finland. References Pekkanen J. 2010. Elin- ja työympäristön riskit Suomessa Ympäristö ja Terveys-lehti 3:2010, 41 vsk. p.4-5 Le Gall-Ely M. 2009. Definition, Measurement and Determinants of the Consumer’s Willingness to Pay: a Critical Synthesis and Avenues for Further Research. Recherche et Applications en Marketing 24(2): 91-112 Gynther L., Tervonen J., Hippinen I., Lovén K., Salmi J., Soares J., Torkkeli S. and Tikka T. 2012. Liikenteen päästökustannukset. Liikenneviraston tutkimuksia ja selvityksia 23/2012. p.152 33 DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION OF AIR QUALITY AND RELATED MODELS 34 PLSR AND ANN APPROACHES TO ESTIMATE HEAVY METAL LEVELS IN AIRBORNE PM10 G. Santos, I. Fernández-Olmo and A. Irabien Dpto. Ingeniería Química y Química Inorgánica, Universidad de Cantabria, Avda. Los Castros s/n 39005 Santander, Cantabria, Spain Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary According to the European Union (EU) Air Quality Framework Directive, ambient air quality in zones and agglomerations where the level of pollutants is below the lower assessment threshold can be assessed by means of objective estimation techniques. This is the case of some metals in some urban areas in Cantabria (Northern Spain). This work aims to estimate the annual mean levels of the EU regulated metals i.e. arsenic, cadmium, nickel and lead, in airborne PM10 by means of objective estimation techniques in two urban areas in Cantabria: Castro Urdiales and Reinosa. Partial Least Square Regression (PLSR) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) were used to develop the estimation models. The results show that the estimations developed in this work, based on PLSR and ANN, fulfill the EU uncertainty requirements for objective estimations techniques and, consequently, can be used for the air quality assessment. Introduction Detrimental effects of Particulate Matter (PM), which still remains one the most concerning air pollutants responsible for causing human health damages in urban areas, are due to its physical attributes as well as to its chemical composition. In this regard, the European Union (EU) has not only included limits for PM10 and PM2.5 in the air quality directive, 2008/50/EC, but also it has established a set of air quality targets for some trace metals in PM10: As, Cd, Ni (Directive 2004/107/EC) and Pb (Directive 2008/50/EC). The annual mean concentration of these metals is well below the lower assessment threshold in two urban areas of Cantabria (Northern Spain): Castro Urdiales and Reinosa (Arruti et al., 2011). Therefore, according to the EU regulation, objective estimation techniques are sufficient to assess the air quality in relation to heavy metals at these locations, which would allow to avoid making experimental measurements saving time, effort and resources. In the present work, the fairly broad term “objective estimation techniques” is understood as empirical modelling. Methodology and Results Empirical modelling techniques require measurements of the properties of the system output and of those variables believed to be representative of the process behaviour. Therefore, the input data set used in this study is divided into response variables and predictor variables. The former consist of PM10-bound regulated metal concentrations in Castro Urdiales and Reinosa. The latter are constituted by: qualitative or nominal variables taking into account the seasonal, the Saharan dust intrusion and the weekend effects; and quantitative or continuous variables, namely, meteorological data and major atmospheric pollutants concentration, which are measured automatically on real time at the Castro Urdiales and Reinosa monitoring stations of the Cantabria Regional Air Quality Monitoring Network. A previous work by Arruti et al. (2011) demonstrated the feasibility to apply multivariate regression techniques such as Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Principal Components Regression (PCR) to estimate the ambient air heavy metal levels. Nevertheless, there are other promising techniques which could lead to an improvement of the estimations. In this study, Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models have been developed. The models performance has been evaluated using some statistics including the correlation coefficient (r). In addition, two indexes of uncertainty have been used to validate the objective estimation techniques in the context of the Air Quality Directives: the relative maximum error without timing (RME) and the relative directive error (RDE). The results obtained at the two different sites show that PLSR models estimate the annual mean concentrations precisely. The r values are within the range of 0.5-0.8. On the contrary, ANN models provide less accuracy when it comes to estimate the annual mean values. Regarding the uncertainty indexes, both techniques provide a RME and a RDE below 100%, which is the maximum uncertainty allowed by the EU for objective estimation techniques. Hence, since the main objective of this work is to obtain a proper estimation of the annual mean concentrations of the EU regulated heavy metals fulfilling the EU uncertainty requirements, PLSR and ANN models can be considered valid approaches for this purpose. Conclusions Partial least squares regression (PLSR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) techniques were employed to develop empirical models to estimate the ambient air levels of the EU regulated metals i.e. arsenic, cadmium nickel and lead, from the airborne PM10 in two urban areas in Cantabria (Northern Spain): Castro Urdiales and Reinosa. Based on the results obtained, PLSR-based and ANN-based estimation models could be employed as an alternative to experimental measurements for the air quality assessment in relation to heavy metals in the studied areas with the consequent saving of time and resources. Acknowledgement This work was supported the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (MINECO) through the Project CTM201016068. Germán Santos also thanks MINECO for an FPI fellowship. References Arruti A., Fernández-Olmo I., Irabien A., 2011. Assessment of regional metal levels in ambient air by statistical regression models. J. Environ. Monit. 13(7), 1991-2000. 35 APPLICATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF THE OPERATIONAL STREET POLLUTION MODEL (OSPM) TO COMPLEX GEOMETRIES AND DRY CLIMATES T.-B. Ottosen (1,2) K. Kakosimos (1), M. Ketzel (2), O. Hertel (2) and R. Berkowicz (2) (1) Department of Chemical Engineering, Texas A&M University at Qatar, Doha, Qatar; (2) Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary One of the most widely applied models for predicting air pollution concentrations in street canyons is the Operational Street Pollution Model (OSPM). Recent findings have however suggested that the model underperforms in certain situations. It is the aim of the research to analyze the causes of the slightly poorer performance and suggest improved parameterizations. Results of the analyses of the model performance will be presented, and validation of new parameterizations against existing measurements and numerical models is performed. Background Due to the toxic nature of the compounds in car exhaust, emissions from vehicles is increasingly becoming a health concern in cities around the world. The Operational Street Pollution Model (OSPM, Berkowicz et al. 2000) is one of the most widely applied models in this area (Vardoulakis et. al., 2003). OSPM was developed in the early 1990’s and has since then successfully been applied to model air pollution concentrations in different types of street canyons around the world. However, recently a number of shortcomings in the model have been revealed. The shortcomings mainly relate to application of the model to street canyons characterized by either aspect ratio significantly different from one, tropical-dry climates and the thereof following atmospheric stability, or inhomogeneously distributed emissions (Kakosimos et. al., 2010). Methodology The model was originally developed for streets with aspect ratio (height to width ratio) of approximately one. Validation studies have shown that the model tends to underperform when applied to streets with either very high or very low aspect ratio plus streets with only buildings on one side of the street (Kakosimos et. al., 2010, Ketzel et. al., 2012). The model thus has to be adapted to more adequately describe the flows in these types of “irregular” street canyons. The adaptation will be based on existing measurements and wind tunnel data plus CFD-modeling of the flow in this type of street canyon. The model contains a simplified chemical scheme to describe the conversion of NOx to nitrogen dioxide. This scheme has shown to perform adequately for temperature and solar radiation conditions as found in Northern Europe, but underperforms for warmer climates, and new parameterizations for this chemical conversion thus have to be developed. In the original model the emission is evenly distributed from wall to wall in the street canyon as an approximation for the actual inhomogeneously distributed emission. A new modeling approach, where the emission is distributed into a number of uneven sized segments along the length of the street canyon, has been developed. A suggestion for a new parameterization of horizontal dispersion is also presented. Results The results of the new model will be compared to measurements and CFD modeling of a street canyon in Stockholm, Sweden. Moreover, the new model will be validated against long time series measurements from street canyons in Denmark. Preliminary results from application of the model to the conditions found in Doha, Qatar also highlight some of these problems. References Berkowicz, R., OSPM – a parameterised street pollution model. Environ. Monitor. Assess., 2000, 65, 259-267. Kakosimos K., Hertel O., Ketzel M., Berkowicz R., 2010. Operational Street Pollution Model (OSPM) – a review of performed application and validation studies, and future prospects. Environ. Chem. 7, 285-503. Ketzel M, Jensen SS, Brandt J, Ellermann T, Olesen HR, 2012. Evaluation of the Street Pollution Model OSPM for Measurements at 12 Streets Stations Using a Newly Developed and Freely Available Evaluation Tool. J. Civil. Environ. Eng. S1:004. doi:10.4172/2165-784X. S1-004 Vardoulakis S, Fisher B. E. A., Koulis P., Gonzalez-Flesca N., 2003. Modelling air quality in street canyons: a review. Atmos. Environ. 37, 155-182. 36 MULTIPHASE CHEMISTRY OF AMINES RELEASED FROM CCS TECHNIQUES: REACTIVITY EXPERIMENTS AND NUMERICAL MODELING C. J. Nielsen (1), C. Weller (2), A. Tilgner (2), R. Schrödner (2) R. Wolke (2) and H. Herrmann (2) (1) University of Oslo, Department of Chemistry, University of Oslo, 0315 Oslo, Norway (2) Leibniz-Institute for Tropospheric Research (TROPOS), Permoserstraße 15, 04318 Leipzig (Germany) Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The present study investigated the chemical fate and removal (deposition) of amines and other emitted or secondarily produced compounds related to amine-based solvent CCS technology. The dispersion model studies have revealed that the expected emissions from the use of a MEA-based solvent at CO2 Technology Centre Mongstad will result in nitrosamine and nitramine amounts well below the guidelines for drinking water and long-term exposure in air set by the Norwegian Institute for Public Health. Introduction The CO2 Technology Centre Mongstad (TCM) is the world’s largest facility for testing and improving technologies for CO2 capture. The knowledge gained will prepare the ground for full scale CO2 capture initiatives to combat climate change. TCM is a joint venture between the Norwegian state, Statoil, Shell and Sasol. It is located at the West coast of Norway, north of the city Bergen. The centre presently consists of two post-combustion CO2 capture demonstration plants and utility systems. One plant uses amine based technology, the other uses chilled ammonia technology. The main emitted component is NH3 from both plants. The amine plant additionally emits amines and various degradation products of which nitrosamines and nitramines are of particular concern. These compounds can also form in the atmosphere post-emission of amines. Methodology and Results To investigate the tropospheric chemical fate of emitted amines, the impact of the gas and aqueous phase needs to be considered (Nielsen et al., 2012). Thus, both reactivity laboratory experiments and chamber studies focusing on the gas and aqueous phase chemistry of amines and its oxidation products were performed. In detail, gas phase reactivity experiments focusing on nitrosamine photolysis as well as the NO3 and Cl radical chemistry of amines, nitramines and nitrosamines were conducted. Moreover, the aqueous phase reactivity of NO3 radicals and ozone with relevant amines and their corresponding nitrosamines as well as the aqueous phase nitrosamine formation and nitrosamine photolysis were investigated during lab experiments. These experiments implicate e.g. that aqueous phase photolysis can be an effective sink for nitrosamines and that ozone is unreactive towards amines and nitrosamines. Based on the performed lab and chamber studies, up-to-date tropospheric oxidation schemes were developed describing the gas and aqueous phase chemistry of amines and its oxidation products. The developed multiphase phase oxidation schemes were Fig.1 Monthly mean nitramine concentrations coupled to the existing multiphase chemistry mechanism and built into the for June 2007 for the explicit MEA mechanism scheme, modelled with COSMO-MUSCAT parcel model SPACCIM for detailed process model studies and the dispersion model (“expected” case). subsequent development of an reduced multiphase MEA mechanism. The modelling work was specifically designed to resemble characteristic conditions present at a planned CCS power plant site (Mongstad, Norway). Additonally, a simplified gas phase chemistry mechanism scheme for MEA and other emitted or secondarily produced compounds (amines, nitramines and nitrosamines) was developed. Both reduced gas phase mechanism schemes were used for regional scale dispersion modelling studies with the COSMO-MUSCAT model. Model simulations were performed for two different emission scenarios (“expected” and “worst” case). The dispersion studies have revealed that secondarily formed nitramines (from MEA) are in the same order of magnitude of their concentrations as the primarily emitted nitrosamines. Conclusions The studies have shown that both gas phase and aqueous phase processes are important for the atmospheric processing of amines. Amines are readily oxidized by OH radicals in the gas and cloud phase under summer conditions; amine oxidation is limited during winter conditions at Mongstad. The importance of the gas and aqueous phase depends strongly on the partitioning of the different amines. Model simulations showed that the aqueous formation of nitrosamines is not a relevant process under tropospheric conditions. The aqueous phase reduces substantially the formation of harmful compounds in the gas phase. The performed dispersion model studies revealed that both dry and wet deposition processes are equally important for the investigated compounds, and that the proposed guidelines for nitrosamines and nitramines in drinking water and for long-term exposure in air will not be exceeded from the use of a MEA-based solvent at TCM. Acknowledgement This work was financed by Gassnova and the CO2 Technology Centre Mongstad (TCM, http://www.tcmda.com). References Nielsen C. J., Herrmann H., Weller C., 2012. Atmospheric chemistry and environmental impact of the use of amines in carbon capture and storage (CCS). Chemical Society Reviews. 41(19), 6684- 6704 37 IMPACT OF MERCURY CHEMISTRY ON REGIONAL CONCENTRATION AND DEPOSITION PATTERNS J. Bieser (1), V. Matthias (1), A. Aulinger (1), B. Geyer (1), I. Hedgecock (2), F. DeSimone (2), C. Gencarelli (2), O. Travnikov (3) (1) Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, , Institute of Coastal Research, Max-Planck-Strasse 1, 21502 Geesthacht, Germany (2) CNR – Institut Inquinamento Atmosferico, U.O.S. Di Rende, UNICAL-Polifunzionale, 87036 Rende, Italia (3) Meteorological Synthesizing Center-East of EMEP, 2nd Roshchinsky proezd., 8/5 Moscow 115419, Russia Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Mercury is a toxic substance that is ubiquitous in the environment. In the atmosphere mercury exists in three forms: Gaseous Elemental Mercury (GEM), Gaseous Oxidized Mercury (GOM), and Particle Bound Mercury (PBM). GOM and PBM make up only 1 percent of the total. But deposition, which is the only sink for atmospheric mercury, is dominated by these two species. Therefore, oxidation processes are key to understand the behaviour of mercury in the atmosphere. However, in the scientific community a consensus on the importance of oxidizing reactants, namely ozone, hydroxy radicals, and halogens, has not been reached yet. This model study about the influence of chemical reactants on the regional transport of mercury is part of the European Union FP7 Research Project GMOS (Global Mercury Observation System). GMOS focuses on the improvement and validation of mercury models to assist establishing a global monitoring network and to support political decisions. In the course of this study the Chemistry Transport Model CMAQ was used to simulate the transport and deposition of mercury using different chemical oxidation mechanisms. The different chemical mechanisms were evaluated by comparison to a long term dataset of high resolution speciated mercury measurements (Weigelt et al., 2013). Introduction Mercury is a global pollutant that is known to have adverse effects on human health (UNEP 2013). Because of anthropogenic emissions from fossil fuel burning the amount of mercury available in the environment is steadily increasing. Recent studies have shown that the atmospheric mercury burden has increased by a factor of 7.5 since pre-industrial times (Amos et al. 2012). Methodology and Results The CMAQ model was set up on a 72x72km² domain over Europe with a 24x24km² nested domain over the North- and Baltic Sea region. To account for the uncertainty in input datasets the model was run with meteorological fields from COSMO-CLM and WRF. The outer domain was forced with 6 hourly boundary conditions from the global Hg CTMs ECHMERIT and GLEMOS. Hourly anthropogenic and biogenic emissions were created with the SMOKE-EU emissions model. Annual total mercury emissions were obtained from the AMAP 0.5x0.5° global emission inventory for 2005. Modelled concentrations of PBM and GOM, as well as wet deposition of mercury were compared with observations at the German measurement station Waldhof. At Waldhof for the years 2009 to 2012 hourly observations of GEM and three-hourly observations of PBM and GOM are available. The detection limit of the applied method is 0.4 pg/m³. Additionally, daily precipitation and weekly wet deposition measurements are available. Based on this dataset the capability of CMAQ to reproduce atmospheric concentrations of oxidized mercury and the removal of mercury out of the atmosphere was investigated. For this purpose several CMAQ scenarios were calculated, where the different sources of PBM and GOM (i.e.: atmospheric oxidation, inflow from the Atlantic boundary, and primary emissions) were removed from the input fields. Finally, the chemical reactions for mercury oxidation were evaluated. In the heavy metal version of CMAQ GEM can be oxidized by ozone, OH, H2O2, and chlorine. Bromine reactions are not implemented into the model. To evaluate the influence of the different reactions additional CMAQ runs were performed for each reactant and each product. Conclusions A comparison of high resolution speciated mercury and wet deposition measurements revealed that the reaction rates currently used in atmospheric CTMs overestimate the production of PBM and GOM. For PBM, the primary emissions lead to an annual cycle and PBM concentrations that were in accordance with observations, while the oxidation reactions resulted in an overestimation of PBM concentrations during summer. For GOM the model overestimated concentrations by a factor of 5. The modelled concentrations were inside a factor of 2 of observations if primary GOM emissions were completely neglected. In this case the model was also able to reproduce the strong annual and diurnal cycle of GOM. This leads to the assumption that the reaction rates for mercury oxidation need to be revised and that the current split of products overestimates the production of PBM. The best agreement between the model and observations at Waldhof was found for the ozone reaction. Moreover, the speciation of emissions in current inventories appears to overestimate the amount of GOM emitted by combustion processes. This could be explained by in-plume reduction of GOM. The results of this study are based on a single measurement station. With additional high resolution long-term speciated mercury measurements becoming available through the GMOS project, during the next years the presented findings will be evaluated for further observations in Europe and other regions. Acknowledgement This work was supported by European Commission under the FP7 project GMOS (Global Mercury Observation System). References Amos, H.M., Jacob, D.J., Holmes, C.D., Fisher, J.A., Wang, Q., Yantosca, R.M., Corbitt, E.S., Galarneau, E., Rutter, A.P., Gustion, M.S., Steffen, A., Schauer, J.J., Graydon, J.A., St. Louis, V.L., Talbot, R.W., Edgerton, E.S., Sunderland, E.M., (2011). Gas-particle partitioning of atmospheric Hg(II) and its effect on global mercury deposition Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 11, 29441-29477. UNEP (United Nations Environment Programme), (2013). Global Mercury Report, UNEP, Geneva, Switzerland, 2013. Weigelt, A., Temme, C., Bieber, E., Schwerin, A., Schuetz, M., Ebinghaus, R., Kock, H.H., (2013). Measurements of atmospheric mercury species at a German rural background site from 2009 to 2011 – methods and results. Environ. Chem., 10 (2) 102-110. 38 MODELLING BLACK CARBON CONCENTRATIONS IN TWO BUSY CANYON STREETS IN BRUSSELS USING OSPMBC O. Brasseur (1a), P. Declerck (1b), B. Heene (2) and P. Vanderstraeten (1a) (1a) Dept. Telemetric Network & IRCEL-CELINE; Brussels Environment, Gulledelle 100, 1200 Brussels, Belgium; (1b) Dept. Health, Chemistry Lab. & Indoor; Brussels Environment, Gulledelle 100, 1200 Brussels, Belgium; (2) Earth & Life Institute, Université Catholique de Louvain, Place de l’Université 1, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium Presenting author e-mail: [email protected] Summary This study aimed to simulate Black Carbon (BC) concentrations in two selected canyon streets in Brussels. The Danish Operational Street Pollution Model (OSPM) model, specifically adapted to BC and noted as OPSMBC, was used. OPSMBC validations were performed using temporal data from the fixed measurement network in Brussels. The model simulated very well the diurnal, daily (weekdays and weekends) and monthly evolutions of BC, meaning that it handles correctly the variation of traffic emissions as well as the meteorological conditions. Considering the dispersion, it should be noted that BC concentrations were better simulated under stable than under unstable conditions. OPSMBC appeared to accurately simulate BC concentrations in canyon streets provided that accurate input data related to traffic are available. Introduction High BC concentrations can be found in urban environments where the topography and microclimate create poor air dispersal conditions, resulting in pollutant hotspots. A well know example of this can be found in canyon streets where dilution of car exhaust is significantly limited by the presence of buildings at both sides of the road. In this framework, the aim of this paper was to model traffic related BC emissions in canyon streets. In order to do so, the Danish Operational Street Pollution Model (Berkowicz, 2000) was specifically adapted to BC and validated for two busy canyon streets in Brussels. Black Carbon concentration (µg/m³) 6 Observation (a) 5 Simulation (OSPM-BC) 4 3 2 1 0 6 Black Carbon concentration (µg/m³) Methodology and Results OPSMBC was validated using half-hourly data from the stations 41R002 (Crown Street) and 41B008 (Belliard Street) of the fixed measurement network in Brussels. Direct validations were performed for the Crown street, while model calculations for the Belliard street were validated indirectly using the linear relationship between BC and NOx. Concerning the Crown street, simulated and observed BC concentrations correlated in an excellent way for the period from 1 July 2011 till 30 June 2013. In particular, OPSMBC performed very well to simulate the diurnal and monthly evolutions of BC (Fig.1). The daily variation between weekdays and weekends was also very well reproduced. This means that the model correctly handled the variation in traffic emissions as well as the meteorological conditions. The correlation coefficient computed on the whole time series of half-hourly concentrations was 0.74, and ranged between 0.56 and 0.82, depending on the time of the day. Considering the dispersion, it should however be noted that BC emissions were better simulated under stable than under unstable conditions. This can be explained by the background contribution that is proportionally more important than local traffic under weak dispersion conditions. The same conclusions were obtained for the Belliard street, even if the correlation on half-hourly NOx concentrations was slightly less. This was due to an accuracy loss in using the relationship between BC and NOx. (b) 5 4 3 Observation (41R002) Simulation (OSPM-BC) 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Hour (UT) Fig.1 Comparison between simulated (dashed curve) and observed (solid curve) BC concentrations at the station of Ixelles (41R002) in Brussels. (a): monthlyaveraged data and (b): diurnal data. The period considered: 1 July 2011- 30 June 2013. Conclusions Based on our results, we can state that OPSMBC is suitable to accurately simulate BC concentrations in canyon streets of Brussels, under the following conditions: (i) accurate vehicle counting data is available to correctly estimate traffic emissions, and (ii) vehicle speeds are measured in order to better take into account the impact of the turbulence generated by vehicles on the local dispersion of BC. Acknowledgement This work was financed by the ExpAIR project (Assessment of the Individual Exposure of the Brussels Population to Urban Air Pollution), financed by the Brussels Region. References Berkowicz R., 2000. OSPM - A parameterised street pollution model. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 65, 323331. 39 REGIONAL MODELLING OF THE TROPOSPHERIC MULTIPHASE SYSTEM USING COSMO-MUSCAT: SENSITIVITY ON DETAIL OF CLOUD MICROPHYSICS AND CHEMICAL MECHANISM R. Schrödner, A. Tilgner and R. Wolke Institute for Tropospheric Research, Leipzig, 04318, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The 3D-chemistry transport model COSMO-MUSCAT consisting of MUSCAT (Wolke et al., 2004a) and the forecast model of the German Weather Service (DWD) COSMO (Schättler et al., 2008) was extended to consider size-resolved cloudchemical processes (chemical aqueous phase reactions and phase transfer processes). With the advanced model system, sensitivity-studies have been conducted for urban and remote cases and for different resolutions of the aerosol and cloud droplet size distribution. Also, the complexity of the used aqueous phase chemical mechanism was varied. For analysis, reaction fluxes were investigated. Introduction Clouds play a major role in the atmosphere due to their influence on the Earth’s radiative budget, on the hydrologic cycle and on the tropospheric chemical composition. Cloud lifetime is driven by the dynamics of the atmosphere at the synoptic scale and, in close interaction, by microphysical processes on the small scale. These processes depend on the chemical composition of particles and cloud droplets. In addition, microphysical processes redistribute chemicals among the various reservoirs: gaseous, particulate, liquid and ice phases. Clouds favor the development of “multiphase chemistry” since they are an ideal reaction medium for this: (1) clouds support very efficient photochemical processes inside droplets; (2) certain homogeneous chemical reactions within clouds can be usually faster than the equivalent reactions in the gas phase, and reactions such as those involving ionic species, can be important; (3) finally, interactions between the aqueous and solid phase can contribute additionally to chemical processes in clouds (for example dissolution of soluble particulate species). The evaluation of multiphase chemistry versus overall tropospheric chemistry and its role in the Earth’s radiative budget is challenging since microphysical and chemical processes occurring at different time scales within clouds are still poorly known. Methodology and Results Based on the increasing kinetic and mechanistic knowledge on chemical aqueous phase reactions in the last two decades, advanced aqueous phase chemical mechanisms such as the Chemical Aqueous Phase Radical Mechanism (CAPRAM) are continuously developed (Tilgner and Herrmann, 2010). CAPRAM is an almost explicit mechanism which describes relevant chemical aqueous-phase conversions of both inorganic and organic compounds. A reduced version of the mechanism, applicable for 3D chemistry transport models was created (Deguillaume et al., 2009). This mechanism was compared to a simple inorganic mechanism. A simple size-resolved microphysical scheme was introduced which shows the chemical partitioning in the different droplet-bins. Conclusions Fig. 1: Height profile in x-direction of the simulated mass of S(VI) The comparison of different chemical mechanisms have simulated with CAPRAM compared to the run with simple inorganic revealed agreements but also interesting differences for chemistry. The cloud is located left of the mountain (red and yellow important chemical subsystems e.g. in the modeled area). Species stream in from the left-hand side. multiphase HOx budget and pH whereas more simple mechanism (without organics) lead to less acidic cloud droplets than CAPRAM. Investigation of reaction fluxes show that this is mostly due to organic acidification in CAPRAM. The difference in pH leads consequently to different regimes for e.g. the S(IV)-oxidation and organic partitioning in the droplet bins. Acknowledgement This work was funded by the scholarship program of the German Federal Environmental Foundation (DBU). Furthermore, we thank the JSC Jülich for providing computing time. References Deguillaume, L., et al. (2010), Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry, 64(1), 1-35. Schättler, U., et al. (2008): A Description of the Nonhydrostatic Regional COSMO-Model Part VII: User's Guide. Tilgner, A. and Herrmann, H. (2010) Atmospheric Environment, 44(40), 5415-5422 Wolke, R., et al. (2004a) Parallel computing: Software technology, algorithms, architectures and applications, 363-370 40 USE OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS FOR PM10 RE-ANALYSIS OVER NORTHERN ITALY C. Carnevale (1), G. Finzi (1), E. Pisoni (2), A. Pederzoli (1), E. Turrini (1), M. Volta (1) (1) Department of Industrial and Mechanical Engineering (DIMI), University of Brescia, Via Branze 38, 25123 Brescia, Italy (2) European Commission – Joint Research Centre (JRC), Via Fermi, 2749 - 21027 Ispra (VA) - Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are used to link PM10 concentration from a deterministic air quality model and precursor scenario emissions to the PM10 concentration of a base case re-analyzed using PM10 surface observations. A case study over Northern Italy is presented. The goal is to show that ANNs are capable to model the nonlinear relationship between precursor emissions and PM10 re-analyzed concentrations, so they can be used for reducing the under-prediction of this pollutant by deterministic air quality models in scenario simulations. Introduction A high number of studies highlight how current deterministic air quality models are not capable to simulate the spatial and temporal distribution of PM10 surface concentration properly. In particular, most of air quality models tend to underestimate PM10, especially during winter time. This underestimation makes difficult the use of these models to define efficient emission control strategies on a certain area. A possible way for correcting the underestimation in PM10 modelled concentration is the use of off-line data assimilation techniques (i.e. optimal interpolation) which integrate model output and observations. Unfortunately, re-analysis techniques can only be applied when PM10 concentration measures are available, thus they become unhelpful for the evaluation of emission reduction impacts. In this work, the application of ANNs for linking emissions, deterministic simulation results (PM10 surface concentrations) and re-analyzed PM10 concentrations over Northern Italy is investigated. Methodology and Results ANNs are identified by processing the long-term simulation (1-year) output of a 3D deterministic Chemical Transport Model (TCAM) (Carnevale et al., 2008) on a set of emission reduction scenarios. This procedure is named Design of Experiments. The model domain is a 128x82 cells grid at 5x5 km2 resolution over Northern Italy. 22 emission scenarios have been considered (emissions values varying between the base case CLE 2010 and the Maximum Feasible Reduction scenario MFR), for 6 precursors. Emissions are from the POMI inter-comparison exercise (http://aqm.jrc.ec.europa.eu/POMI/). TCAM concentrations for the base case, re-analysed through optimal interpolation, are also used. Several tests have been carried out by varying number of epochs and number of hidden neurons. The optimal configuration (the one which minimize the Root Mean Square Error) is achieved with a number of neurons=20 and a number of training epochs=300. On a yearly basis, the correlation between ANNs output (corrected PM10) and TCAM PM10 concentrations for the validation dataset is 0.87. The Root Mean Square Error (rmse) is 0.041. Conclusions The present work aims to show that ANNs can potentially be used for describing the spatial distribution of PM10 concentration in scenario simulations, helping to reduce the underestimation of deterministic air quality models. Acknowledgments This study is carried out in the frame of the OPERA (Operational Procedure for Emission Reduction Assessment) LIFE+ project (www.operatool.eu). References C. Carnevale, Decanini, E., Volta, M. (2008) Design and validation of a multiphase 3D model to simulate tropospheric pollution. Science of the Total Environment, vol. 390, p. 166‐176. 41 USING WRF-CHEM WITH HIGH RESOLUTION EMISSION DATA TO MODEL THE EFFECT OF URBAN HEAT ISLAND MITIGATION STRATEGIES ON URBAN AIR QUALITY J. Fallmann (1), S. Emeis (1), P. Suppan (1), R. Forkel (1), G. Grell (2), S. McKeen (2) (1) Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) – Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research, Kreuzeckbahnstr. 19, 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen (2) NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL), 325 Broadway, Boulder, CO 80305-3328, USA Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In 2050 the global fraction of urban population will increase to over 69%, which means that around 6.3 billion people are expected to live in urban areas. Cities are the predominant places for human beings to settle down, thus becoming more vulnerable to extreme weather events aggravating phenomena like heat stress and decreasing air quality. Finding mitigation strategies to counteract future air quality related problems and ways to sustain development is of great importance. In this study, the mesoscale numerical model WRF-Chem is used on regional scale to investigate the effect and the potential of urban planning strategies to mitigate air quality problems caused by the Urban Heat Island (UHI). Introduction UHI describes the tendency for an urbanized area, because of its radiative and geometrical features, to remain warmer than its rural surroundings and thus generating its own microclimate (Oke 1982). Additional heat generated by fuel combustion, air conditioning or other human activities as well as roughness effects caused by building structures, help to ‘design’ specific atmospheric dynamics resulting in modified urban rural circulation patterns (Arnfield 2003). UHI’s raise demands of energy for air conditioning during summer periods and with power plants relying on fossil fuels, air pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions are increasing. Primary pollutants include SO2, NOx, PM or CO, which contribute to complex air quality problems such as ground level ozone (SMOG), fine PM or acid rain. Methodology and Results Tab.1 Urban Heat Island Intensity expressed as difference between Time period August 11-08 2003 is used for the modelling. average 2m temperature of urban area (Aug 13th 2003 6pm UTC) To account for 3 dimensional structures in WRF, different Scenario Albedo Density Many Big Real urban parameterization schemes are coupled to a land surface Parks Park Case model (Noah LSM) and results compared with observation Ɵ urban [°C] 31.5 32.4 32.5 32.3 33.1 data. A sensitivity study reveals the highest R^2 = 0.72 (2m Ɵ max [°C] 31.9 33 33.5 33.3 34.3 Tpot) for the multi-layer BEP approach, in turn used for Std dev. [°C] 0.32 0.48 0.5 0.43 0.6 further proceedings. By changing the land use UHI; delta Ɵ 0.84 1.32 1.47 1.19 2.52 characteristics, different scenario runs can be executed implying certain mitigation strategies. 4 case studies are presented: increasing of the albedo (Albedo; 0.7), decreasing of building density (Density; 20%) and replacing of urban land use by natural vegetation (Big Park/ Many Parks). Each scenario has an impact on UHI intensity, thus affecting the local surface- atmosphere exchange processes, as well as air quality. The albedo case offers the greatest potential with a decrease of urban-rural temperature difference of 1.7 °C (Tab. 1). Same scenario runs are executed with WRF-Chem, using 7km resolution emission inventory as chemical input data for a 3km resolution WRF-simulation. Correlation of modelling data (O3) with average of 5 observations for the time period reveal an R2= 0.72. Figure 1 shows a snapshot for difference of O3 concentration between the urban base case (BEP) and the scenario case ‘Big Park’, for Aug 13 2003, 6pm. The decrease of urban surface ozone of up to 8 ppb accounts for approx. 10% reduction (82.9 ppb O3). Conclusions The results of the study reveal, that certain urban planning strategies are able to mitigate to negative effects coming along with urban heat island formation, both in cases of temperature and urban air quality. For further investigations, improving the modeling results by using 1km emission data is scheduled. Fig 1:Difference of O3 between Base Case and ‘Big Park’ scenario for Aug 13 2003, 6pm Acknowledgement This work is funded by the EU- Project “UHI - Development and application of mitigation and adaptation strategies and measures for counteracting the global UHI phenomenon” (3CE292P3) – CENTRAL Europe. (2011-2014). References Arnfield, A.J., 2003: Two Decades of urban climate research: a review of turbulence, exchanges of energy and water, and the urban heat island. Int. J. Climatol., 23, 1-26. Oke, T. R., 1982: The energetic basis of the urban heat island. - John Wiley & Sons, Ltd; Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 108 (455): 1-24 42 PM AIR QUALITY ASSESSMENT IN PMINTER – BRIDGING THE GAPS – A NEW INTEGRAL APPROACH U. Uhrner (1), R. Reifeltshammer (1), M. Steiner (1), B. Lackner (1), P. J. Sturm(1) and R. Forkel (2) (1) Institute for Internal Combustion Engines and Thermodynamics, Graz University of Technology, 8010 Graz Austria, (2) Karlsruher Institut für Technologie, Atmosphärische Umweltforschung (IMK-IFU) 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to obtain a better quantified understanding of PM concentration levels in the program area comprising Styria, Carinthia and Slovenia during winter time. To resolve valley and basins located sources, emissions were computed or processed within PMinter on 1 km x 1 km resolution for the program area. A new combined model approach was developed and tested successfully using a sophisticated CTM WRF-Chem (Grell et al., 2005) on the regional scale and a Lagrangian particle model GRAL (Öttl et al., 2003) on the local scale. A detailed analysis and comparisons with measurements and regional/local scale scenario simulations were carried out in order to design integral air quality management plans (AQMP). Introduction Many areas located in southern alpine valleys and basins face unusual high particulate burden in particular during winter time. Due to the complex terrain and related complicated atmospheric processes air quality and exposure assessment is a difficult task. Although municipalities like Leibnitz (SE-Austria, pop. 8000), Maribor (NE-Slovenia pop. 95000) and Klagenfurt (S-Austria, pop. 90 000) have quite low population and no big industries, the national and EU air quality standards have been frequently and significantly exceeded within the last years at winter time. Using wood for residential heating is very popular in Austria and in Slovenia. To assess the contribution from wood smoke to the total PM burden and the impact of regional and large scale transport as well as the impact of secondary aerosols are major goals of PMinter. Methodology and Results In order to represent processes on various scales a combined modelling approach was utilized, using WRF-Chem, and the GRAMM/GRAL system for local/micro scale flow and dispersion. A multi nesting technique starting from Europe and at the end two small well resolved domains (1 km) representing the program area was utilized. These two smaller domains (approx. 100 km x 100 km each) comprise the three micro scale core investigation areas Klagenfurt, Maribor and Leibnitz (12 km x 8 km domain size). An important aspect of the modelling work was the pre-processing of base data and processing of the emission data; which involved distinguishing between sources and different scales represented by those two model systems, to account for various scales and to avoid double consideration of emissions. A good agreement was obtained for simulated total PM10 compared with measurements (see Fig. 1) located in the core domains. Comparisons with filter analysis and aethalometer measurements sampled at 6 sites indicate that the modelled PM10 composition is quite realistic. A comparison with a second base run where all emissions were set to “0” in the three micro scale core domains revealed that inorganic secondary aerosol is formed mainly outside the core domains and advected into these three core domains (see Fig. 2). In contrast, carbonaceous PM10 (EC/OC/SOAs) is dominated by wood smoke from residential heating mainly emitted and distributed within the three core domains (see Fig. 2). Various scenarios were computed. A “local” scenario which may reduce significantly individual heating facilities using solid fuels by district heating and a regional scenario which may reduce ammonia emissions from agriculture by 35% proved to be most effective. Fig.1 Simulated PM10 January means for 2010 vs. monitored values, * indicates differing periods indicated by * Fig.2 Mean Jan. PM10 contributions from outside (regional) and inside (local) micro scale core domains. Conclusions The integral air quality assessment which comprised the creation of a PMinter emission data base and the combination of two model systems enabled the replacement of an “unspecified PM background” level in micro scale simulations, a better specification of PM components and therefore a more specified health and environmental assessment. Moreover, the chosen approach enables an evaluation of measures on regional and local scale level. As a consequence measures affecting emissions from wood burning may prove successful on a local level, measures affecting precursor emissions from inorganic secondary formed PM should be implemented on a regional level. Residential heating using wood was identified as the major source and PM component dominant on the “local scale” (~10 km), secondary inorganic aerosol was the dominant PM component on the regional scale (~ 10 km – 150 km) and above. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the EU interregional SI-AT-2-2-047 programme and the provincial government of Styria 43 CAN A SIMPLE INTERPOLATION MODEL PERFORM BETTER FOR AIR QUALITY ASSESSMENT THAN DATA ASSIMILATED DETERMINISTIC MODELS? S. Janssen (1), B. Maiheu (1), N. Veldeman (1), P. Viaene (1), K. De Ridder (1), D. Lauwaet (1), F. Deutsch (1), F. Fierens (2), E. Trimpeneers (2), L. Vancraeynest (3) and C. Mensink (1) (1) VITO, Boeretang 200, 2400 Mol, Belgium; (2) Belgian Interregional Environment Agency (IRCEL), Kunstlaan 10-11, 1000 Brussel, Belgium; (3) Flemish Environment Agency, A. Van de Maelestraat 96, 9320 Aalst, Belgium Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Various regional scale air quality modeling techniques are evaluated. Three different models (an interpolation tool, a Eulerian and a Lagrangian model) with supporting data assimilation techniques were applied to produce concentration maps for PM10, PM2.5, NO2 and O3 over Belgium. The model intercomparison study pointed out that overall the simple interpolation technique produces most reliable results, both for the temporal as for the spatial validation. Introduction Detailed and reliable regional scale concentration maps are important in the framework of environmental assessment studies, preparing action plans and documents supporting EU infringement procedures, as well as a basis for negotiations with stakeholders such as federations, (industrial) sectors and local authorities. For national or regional environment authorities, it is therefore important to have the best possible set of air quality maps available. Within this study, the various options to produce such a set of maps were identified and evaluated. Methodology and Results We studied and compared different operational modeling techniques that are used to generate maps for PM10, PM2.5, NO2 and O3 concentrations over Belgium. The different techniques include (i) an intelligent interpolation technique for air pollutant observations based on land use characteristics (RIO model, Janssen et al., 2008); (ii) a deterministic Eulerian modeling approach (AURORA model, Van de Vel et al., 2010) taking into account four different data assimilation techniques (simple classical bias correction, simple bias correction according to orthogonal regression, data assimilation based on ‘Kalman Filtering’ and ‘Optimal Interpolation’); and (iii) a Lagrangian model calibrated for NO2 and PM10 (VLOPS model, based on van Jaarsveld, 2004). The various techniques and resulting maps were analysed, validated and compared aiming at identifying the best possible regional scale concentration map for each pollutant. Where measurement data was employed for interpolation, assimilation or bias correction, the validation was based on the ‘leaving-one-out’ technique. Both temporal as well as spatial aspects of the model performance were evaluated. The temporal analysis revealed that the RIO model in general performs best in capturing the temporal variability of air quality in Belgium for the investigated pollutants. The uncorrected, deterministic AURORA model scores the least. The AURORA model with different data assimilation techniques yields, not surprisingly, significantly better results than the uncorrected AURORA model, but not better than the RIO model. With the Lagrangian approach no time series can be generated due to technical model restrictions. From the spatial analysis it became clear that distinction between the considered pollutants should be made. For PM10 and PM2.5 the RIO model performs best in generating the spatial pattern of the observed annually averaged concentrations. The deterministic models AURORA and VLOPS remain far behind, even when corrected with different data assimilation techniques. The AURORA model corrected with ‘Optimal Interpolation’ performs best in reproducing the spatial pattern of O3. For NO2 the RIO model manages best in explaining the spatial variability of the observed annually averaged concentrations in Belgium, but when restricted to the region of Flanders, both RIO and VLOPS are competitive. Conclusions Overall, the rather simple spatial interpolation model RIO was identified as the most suitable tool to produce historic regional scale air quality assessment maps for Belgium. Despite the fact that the output of Eulerian and Lagrangian models significantly improved after the data assimilation procedure, they were not able to surpass the quality of the interpolation scheme. References Janssen, S., Dumont, G., Fierens, F., Mensink, C., 2008. Spatial interpolation of air pollution measurements using CORINE land cover data, Atmospheric Environment., 42, 4884-4903. Van de Vel, K., Mensink, C., De Ridder, K., Deutsch, F., Maes, J., Vliegen, J., Aloyan, A., Yermakov, A., Arytyunyan, V., Khodzher, T. and Mijling, B., 2010. Air quality modelling in the Lake Baikal region, Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 165, 665-674. van Jaarsveld, J., 2004. Description and validation of OPS-Pro 4.1, 2004, RIVM report 500045001. 44 EMISSION MODELS / INVENTORIES 45 REAL-WORLD VERSUS COMPLIANCE SOURCE TESTING: GETTING MORE INFORMATION FOR LESS MONEY J. G. Watson (1), J. C. Chow (1) (1) Desert Research Institute, Nevada System of Higher Education, Reno, Nevada USA 89512 Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Compliance testing of source emissions too often follows the U.S. EPA’s single pollutant measurement methods. These were developed in the 1950s and have been written into U.S. Law. The new International Standards Organization (ISO, 2013) procedure for dilution source sampling offers more flexibility for countries that are not bound by the U.S. Code of Regulations (U.S.EPA, 2013a; 2013b). Introduction Real-world emission rates from sources that affect ambient air quality are needed to drive air quality models and to provide accountability for air quality management strategies. Chemical source profiles for particulate matter and volatile organic compounds are needed for source and receptor modeling. Since the early 1960s, source characterization methods have been established that quantify emission rates to certify sources and determine their compliance over time. Unfortunately, these certification and compliance methods have not adapted to changes in emissions processes and controls nor have they incorporated advances in measurement technology. This results in source tests that are incompatible with each other and with ambient measurement methods. Source characterization methods need to be improved to better represent real-world hardware, operating conditions, and feedstocks and to obtain more information at lower costs. Methodology and Results Since the early 1960s stack flows have been removed through a buttonhook nozzle, drawn through a filter, and bubbled through gas absorbing solutions contained in cooled glass impingers. For PM, the sample is drawn isokinetically through a filter maintained at stack temperature, then through distilled water to collect condensible vapors. When in-stack PM levels were high, the impinger catch was a small fraction of that on the filter at the in-stack temperature. After PM controls however, the impinger catch dominates the front filter, and most of it is from dissolved SO2 and VOCs rather than condensible particles. No one would design a method today in which the stack is scaled again and again (once for each pollutant) with glass instruments, ice buckets, and easily-contaminated chemicals. A more reasonable approach is to extract a portion of the stack gases into a chamber where it can be diluted (Figure 1) with filtered air to near ambient temperatures, then draw air from this chamber through substrates and sensors comparable to those used at ambient air monitoring stations. Engine certification tests operate the engine through different cycles, dilute the exhaust to ~50 °C, draw air through CO, NO/NO2, and NMHC monitors, and sample PM onto filters. Smaller engines are tested within the vehicle on a chassis dynamometer while larger engines are tested outside the vehicle on an engine dynamometer. This is an improvement Fig.1 Example of a dilution sampling system for over the stack methods, but the cycles do not represent those of the realstationary source emission characterization. world. Current microsensor technology allows for portable emission systems that can be mounted on vehicles to obtain a much larger number of tests during real-world operations. Cross-plume and in-plume sensors can be located on roadways to determine emission distributions. These real-world tests have shown that ~20% of the on-road engines are responsible for ~80% of the emissions in a given airshed. The high-emitters are not detected by laboratory certification or compliance tests. Conclusions The new ISO procedure No. 25597:2013 offers substantial flexibility as a better way to obtain multipollutant measurements from stationary sources. The method can be extrapolated to better accommodate measurements from mobile sources with a smaller on-board dilution system. Governments that are not bound by U.S. laws should not copy the U.S. EPA’s old methods; they should be attempting to assess real-world emissions that affect public health and have other adverse environmental effects. References ISO (2013). ISO 25597:2013: Stationary source emissions -- Test method for determining PM2,5 and PM10 mass in stack gases using cyclone samplers and sample dilution. prepared by International Organization for Standardization, Geneva, Switzerland, http://www.iso.org/iso/home/store/catalogue_tc/catalogue_detail.htm?csnumber=43029. U.S.EPA (2013a). Title 40, Part 60-Standards of performance for new stationary sources. Code of Federal Regulations, http://www.ecfr.gov/cgi-bin/retrieveECFR?gp=&SID=58ca7d63cbd732624780bdb648af1159&r=PART&n=40y7.0.1.1.1. U.S.EPA (2013b). Title 40, Part 63-National emission standards for hazardous air pollutants for source categories. Code of Federal Regulations, http://www.ecfr.gov/cgibin/retrieveECFR?gp=&SID=58ca7d63cbd732624780bdb648af1159&r=PART&n=40y10.0.1.1.1. 46 A COMPREHENSIVE INVENTORY OF EMISSIONS FROM SHIP TRAFFIC IN EUROPE IN 2011 J.-P. Jalkanen, L. Johansson and J. Kukkonen Air Quality, Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, FI-00101 Helsinki, Finland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study presents a comprehensive, high-resolution inventory of the exhaust emissions of shipping and their geographical distribution in European sea areas in 2011. The ship activity data was obtained from the vessel navigation system called the Automatic Identification System (AIS); it is based on actual vessel movements recorded by the maritime authorities of the EU member states. Shipping emissions on a European scale have not previously been evaluated using an AIS-based system. This European inventory has been constructed on an unprecedentedly fine spatial resolution. According to our results for 2011, previous ship emission inventories (e.g., EMEP) would have substantially overestimated both the emissions of NOx from ships in the Mediterranean Sea and the North Sea Emission Control Area (ECA). The emissions of SOx and PM were substantially high in the Mediterranean Sea, compared with other sea regions in Europe. This has been caused by the use of higher sulphur content fuels in the Mediaterranean, compared with the European ECA’s, such as the North Sea and the Baltic Sea. Introduction We have compiled a high-resolution, European-wide ship emission inventory for 2011. This inventory is based on the vessel activity information, recorded by the AIS. This information was collected by the EU member states and archived at the European Maritime Safety Agency (EMSA). The AIS device typically reports vessel identification, its location and speed for several times a minute; the use of this system is mandatory for all ships heavier than 300 GT. The use of this data for ship emission modelling offers a unique possibility to construct emission inventories, which fully reflect the temporal and spatial variations of ship traffic. Methodology and Results Ship Traffic Emission Assessment Model (STEAM, Jalkanen et al 2009; 2012) was used to generate this inventory. The results were computed on an emission grid with a resolution of ~ 3.5 km by 4 km for annual totals. The CO2 emissions from (i) the Baltic Sea, (ii) North Sea and the English Channel, and (iii) the Mediterranean Sea were 14%, 25% and 36%, respectively, of the European annual total emissions of 131 million tons. The corresponding shares were 9%, 17% and 45%, respectively, for annual PM2.5 emissions. According to the computed results, the ship emissions in the Mediterranean Sea have previously been substantially overestimated, by approximately 40%. This issue has also been recently reported based on satellite observations of NOx (Vinken et al., 2013). Conclusions The use of the STEAM modelling system that uses AIS-based information in the construction of emission inventories for shipping has removed significant uncertainties, especially regarding the vessel activities and times spent at sea. Sulphur reduction from the marine fuels in the European ECA’s has had a substantial positive influence on the emissions of SOx and PM. The shipping in the Mediterranean Sea was responsible for 45 % and 36 % of the total European shipping emissions of PM2.5 and CO2. Fig.1 The spatial distribution of predicted PM2.5 emissions from shipping in 2011. Acknowledgement The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme FP/2007-2011 within the project TRANSPHORM, grant agreement no 243406. Support from the European Space Agency and the SAMBA project is gratefully acknowledged. References Jalkanen, J.-P. Brink A., Kalli J., Pettersson H., Kukkonen J. and Stipa T.,2009. A modelling system for the exhaust emissions of marine traffic and its application in the Baltic Sea area. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 9 9209-9223. Jalkanen J.-P., Johansson L., Brink A., Kalli J., Kukkonen J. and Stipa T., 2012. Extension of an assessment model of ship traffic exhaust emissions for particulate matter and carbon monoxide, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 2641-2659. Vinken G. C. M., Boersma K. F., van Donkelaar A. and Zhang L., 2013. Constraints on ship NOx emissions in Europe using GEOS-Chem and OMI satellite NO2 observations, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 13 19351-19388. 47 A MODEL FOR FEEDBACKS BETWEEN BIOGENIC EMISSIONS AND URBAN AIR QUALITY R. Grote (2), G. Churkina (1), T. Butler (1), C. Morfopoulos (3) (1) Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies, Potsdam, Germany (2) Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute for Technology, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany (3) Kings College, London Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Cities are characterized by elevated air temperatures as well as high anthropogenic emissions of air pollutants. Many cities have started urban greening programs in order to mitigate urban heat island effects and increasing pollutant deposition. However, high emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOC) from certain popular urban plants in combination with the elevated concentrations of NOx have the potential to increase ground-level ozone concentrations. To appropriately consider this effect in models requires a high spatial and temporal resolution as well as a high degree of mechanistic representation, because the influence of BVOC on air quality is not just one-way; poor air quality impacts physiological performance or vegetation and thus also BVOC emission. In order to estimate the magnitude of possible feedbacks under a range of conditions, a new mechanistic BVOC model has been implemented into a regional air chemistry model. The approach is described and first results are presented. Introduction Greening of cities in the form of urban parks, street trees, and vegetation on roofs and walls of buildings is intended to generally mitigate negative impacts on human health and well-being. However, some of the tree species used are high emitters of isoprene and monoterpenes. In combination with high concentrations of NOx these emissions have the potential to increase ground-level ozone concentrations - with negative impacts on health, agriculture, and climate. Policies targeting reduction of ozone in urban and suburban areas therefore must consider limiting BVOC emissions along with measures for decreasing NOx and VOC from anthropogenic sources. Emissions are driven by multiple environmental influences. Current models of urban climate and air quality 1) do not account for the feedback between ozone concentrations, productivity, and BVOC emission and 2) do not distinguish different physiological properties of urban tree species. Instead environmental factors such as light, temperature, carbon dioxide, and water supply are applied disregarding interactions between such influences. Thus we may not yet be able to represent the impacts of air pollution under multiple changed conditions such as climate change, altered anthropogenic emission patterns, and new urban structures. For this, we applied a new integrated climate/ chemistry model which considers the speciesspecific physiological responses of urban plants that in turn drive their emission behavior. Methodology and Results We present here the implementation of a new BVOC emission model (Morfopolous et al., in press) that derives BVOC emissions directly from the electron production potential and consumption from photosynthesis calculation that is already supplied by the CLM land surface model. The new approach has the advantage that many environmental drivers of BVOC emissions are implicitly considered in the description of plant photosynthesis and phenology. We investigate the tradeoff between vegetation driven ozone -reduction and -formation processes in dependence on temperature, radiation, CO2 and O3 concentrations. We have parameterized suitable plant functional types for different urban greening structures, currently focusing on central European vegetation. The modified CLM model is applied in a regional climate/ air quality model (WRFChem) to calculate realistic ozone concentrations in the influence zones of urban conglomerations. BVOC emissions and their impacts are also calculated with the standard MEGAN2.1 approach for comparison. Fig.1 Sensitivity of isoprene emission on temperature with species-specific photosynthesis parameteriszation (EUGL = eucalypt, LIST = yellow poplar, POTR = poplar) The simulation results are analyzed and discussed in view of the model’s suitability for air quality scenario estimates under simultaneously changing climate, anthropogenic emissions and plant species composition. References Morfopoulos, C., Prentice, I.C., Keenan T.F., Friedlingstein, P., Medlyn, B., Penuelas, J., Possel, M. (in press): A unifying conceptual model for the environmental responses of isoprene emission by plants. Annals of Botany, DOI: 10.1093/aob/mct206 48 PREPARATION OF MODELLING EMISSIONS BASED ON RECENT RECOMMENDATIONS FROM UK NATIONAL ATMOSPHERERIC EMISSIONS INVENTORY STUDIES. A. Fraser (1), S. Beevers (2), X. Francis (3), N. Kitwiroon (2), T. P. Murrells (1), R. A. Rose (1), R. S. Sokhi (3) (1) Ricardo-AEA, Fermi Avenue, Harwell IBC, Oxon, OX11 0QR, UK; (2) Environmental Research Group, King's College London , Franklin-Wilkins Building, 150 Stamford Street, London, SE1 9NH, UK ; (3) Centre for Atmospheric and Instrumentation Research (CAIR), University of Hertfordshire, Hatfield, Hertfordshire, AL10 9AB, UK Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Emissions are collated for regulatory reporting for international and European regulations. These annual data sets, maps and projections are used as the base to create the hourly emissions required by air pollution models such as CMAQ (Community Multiscalar Air Quality). During the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) model intercomparison exercise a number of questions were raised related to the consistency in emissions data used by the different participating groups. This resulted in a series of short studies by the UK National Atmospheric Emissions Inventory (NAEI) programme aimed at providing a core set of additional information for use with existing UK and European emissions inventory information for the purpose of air pollution modelling. The areas included: temporal profiles for different source sectors, recommended methodologies for estimating biogenic emissions, gridded UK and European emissions data for s defined year based on the most up-to-date methodologies, information on point sources and scaling factors for UK and European sources to derive emission estimates for other years on a consistent basis. This study looks at the effect of applying these recommendations to the preparation of emissions for CMAQ. Methodology This work brings together the emission datasets required to create model-ready emissions. This project incorporates the inclusion of new datasets being developed as part of the (NAEI) programme where the focus is on developing a range of supplementary data for the air pollution modelling community. For example this includes: recommendations on temporal profiles (including ammonia), biogenic VOC emissions, point source emissions. UK emissions are based on the NAEI maps and European emissions on the TNO-MACC II emissions (Pouliot, 2012). Fig. 1 – Hourly temporal profiles for road transport in the UK. The NAEI studies have made a series of recommendations an example of these are the recommendations for road transport temporal profiles as shown in Figure 1. The NAEI study recommended using separate profiles for Monday-Thursday, Friday and the Saturday-Sunday reflecting the traffic patterns. Previously the same profile had been used for every day of the week. The effect of this and other changes will be evaluated using CMAQ. The assumptions made through the emission preparation process were reviewed taking into account the NAEI studies, and feedback from other modelling groups. The full range of recommendations will be applied to a CMAQ simulation for 2006, evaluating the sensitivity of air quality pollutants to these changes. The information will eventually be made available to the wider air pollution modelling community. Acknowledgement This work was supported by UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs including the contributors to the individual NAEI studies. TNO-MACC European emissions were made available from TNO. The recommendations on biogenic emissions were provided by Professor Nick Hewitt and Emily House at the University of Lancaster. References Pouliot, G., Pierce, T, Denier van der Gon, H., Schaap, M., Nopmongcol, U., 2012. Comparing Emissions Inventories and Model-Ready Emissions Datasets between Europe and North America for the AQMEII Project. Atmospheric Environment (AQMEII issue) 53, 4–14. 49 OPEN CHALLENGES IN LOCAL ATMOSPHERIC EMISSION INVENTORIES E. Angelino, A. Marongiu, G. Fossati, M. Moretti Environmental Protection Agency of Lombardia Region, ARPA, 20124 Milano, Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The main goal of this paper is the description of the framework of activities for the compilation of the local emission inventory of Lombardy region. The overview on the activities in the updating of IN.EM.AR database (INventario EMmissioni Aria, www.inemar.eu) aims focusing methodology and current challenges in local emission inventory according to Lombardy experience. The mentioned implemented system was set up in 1998 and is managed since 2002 by Regional Environmental Protection Agency of Lombardy (ARPA). It is able to provide emission estimates deriving from a combination of more than 250 activities and 35 fuels for pollutants of main interest for air quality (SO2, NOx, NMVOC, CO, NH3, PM2.5, PM10, TSP) and greenhouse gases (CO2, CH4, N2O and F-gases) at municipality level. Emission inventories for Lombardy have been developed using INEMAR for several years (1997, 2001, 2003, 2005, 2007, 2008 and 2010) (ARPA Lombardia, 2012). Estimates on micro-pollutants like heavy metals and PAHs are also regularly updated. Introduction The estimation of the emissions passes through specific algorithms and methodologies according to the EMEP/EEA Atmospheric Emission Inventory Guidebook (EEA, 2013). The estimation is based on the collection of a huge number of information like activities indicators (i.e. fuel consumptions, traffic flows, industrial productions), emission factors and statistical data for the spatial and time-based distribution of the emissions. The periodic updating of the above-mentioned parameters and their level of details (defined as Tier) affects the overall level of uncertainty in emission calculations. Figure 1. Framework of activities in Lombardy regional emission inventory Framework in development of local emission inventory and challenges The system and methodologies implemented by ARPA Lombardy have been shared with other Italian regions increasing harmonisation in methods and estimates among regional local emission inventories (ARPA, 2012). This latter aim determines an increase in complexity managing local peculiarities. As a matter of facts, the implemented framework seems effective answering to different users’ request with a proper codification of standard algorithms and parameters. The implementation of an edition of the regional emission inventory passes by the collection of several data as input. As reported in figure 1, different tools have been developed in order to: insert emission data with the correct codification, manage input and metafiles in emission inventory and share the methodology with other partners in an open and common space such as Wiki pages. The Figure 2. Uncertainty level estimation in highest Tier algorithms have been implemented according to different modules emission inventory development. and welded to the database core and the publication policy according to a public review system that have been successfully used. The implemented system is able to identify the uncertainty level of the estimates as a combination of uncertainties of input data, algorithm level of implementation and emission factors. As implemented in different emission inventory editions (Marongiu, 2012) uncertainty level can be defined considering a factor varying between 10,5 and 2 (from low to high accurate estimates), determining the amplitude of uncertainties. In IN.EM.AR highest accuracy is performed defining point emission sources when data of concentration are available at stack exit (eg. large industrial plants). With a progressive increasing of uncertainties different algorithms are defined, obtained by the highest tier of AIEG, where the number of parameters can drastically increase (eg. traffic transport). When detailed data are not available or an emission source is characterised by a spread distribution in the territory (eg. domestic heating), a statistical approach is used defining average indicators and emission factors. Conclusions Regional emission inventory for Lombardy region is regularly updated considering activity data and new methodology improvements and has been assumed as a reference indicator in regional policy development (PRIA, 2013). The implementation of the system is shared with other local inventory improvements, allowing the development of common accepted methodologies and preserving local peculiarities. The methodology is defined in order to obtain the deepest level of estimation minimizing the uncertainty level. Classification of new and diffuse technologies (e.g. small cogeneration plants) and uncertainties in determination of indicators (e.g wood consumption in domestic heating) and relative fast updating in algorithm and emission factor are the current challenges for the emission inventory developments. References ARPA Lombardia (2012). INEMAR Inventario delle emissioni in Lombardia, www.inemar.eu/. EEA (2013). EMEP/EEA Air Pollutant Emission Inventory Guidebook 2013. A.Marongiu, S. Caserini, M. Moretti, F. Antognazza, A. Giudici, E. Angelino, (2012) IA Ingegneria Ambientale v. XLI n. 5 PRIA (2012) – Piano Regionale degli Interventi per la qualità dell’Aria 50 THE SHIPPING EMISSIONS AND THE COSTS OF EMISSION REGULATIONS IN THE NORTHERN EUROPEAN EMISSION CONTROL AREA L. O. Johansson (1), J.-P. Jalkanen (1), J. Kalli (2) and J. Kukkonen (1) (1) Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, 00101 Helsinki, Finland. (2) University of Turku, Centre for Maritime Studies, P. O. Box 181, 28101 Pori, Finland. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The exhaust emissions from shipping in the northern European emission control area (ECA) were evaluated using the Ship Traffic Emission Assessment Model (STEAM). The emission limitations from 2009 to 2011 have had a significant impact on reducing the emissions of both SOx and PM2.5 (Johansson et al., 2013). The predicted emissions of SOx originated from IMOregistered marine traffic have been reduced by 33 %, from 322 ktons to 217 ktons, in the ECA from 2009 to 2011. The corresponding predicted reduction of PM2.5 emissions was 20 %, from 74 ktons to 59 ktons. The highest CO2 and PM2.5 emissions in 2011 were located in the vicinity of the coast of the Netherlands, in the English Channel, near the South-Eastern UK and along the busiest shipping lines in the Danish Straits and the Baltic Sea. Based on simulations with 2011 data, there will be a reduction of 85% in SOx emissions and a reduction of 50% in PM2.5 emissions in 2015, compared with the corresponding shipping emissions in 2011 in the ECA. The corresponding relative increase in fuel costs for all shipping varied between 10% and 63%, depending on the development of the prices of fuels and the use of the sulphur scrubber equipment. Introduction It has been estimated in the recent literature that the upcoming Marpol Annex VI agreement will be costly for the shipping industry. However, the estimates of these costs have up to date taken into account neither (i) the increases of fuel costs for individual ships or ship categories nor (ii) spatially and temporally accurate activity data of ships. Methodology and Results The emissions presented in this paper were evaluated using the STEAM model (Jalkanen et al., 2012). This modelling approach uses as input values the position reports generated by the Automatic Identification System (AIS). The model requires as input also the detailed technical specifications of all fuel consuming systems onboard and other relevant technical details of the ships for all the ships considered. Such technical specifications were collected for over 50000 ships from various sources of information. Fig.1 The spatial distribution of predicted PM2.5 emissions Conclusions from shipping in 2011. The predicted SOx emissions originated from IMO-registered marine traffic have been reduced by 33 % in the ECA from 2009 to 2011. The corresponding predicted reduction for PM2.5 was 20%. The emission limitations from 2009 to 2011 have obviously had a significant impact on reducing the emissions of both SOx and PM2.5. A number of scenario computations simulating the past and forthcoming fuel sulphur regulations (between 2005 and 2015) were also performed. The simulations showed that significant SOx and PM2.5 emissions reductions are to be expected in 2015, while the direct fuel costs were estimated to increase by 10% to 63% Acknowledgement This work was supported the Finnish Transport Safety Agency (TraFi), the member states of the Marine Environment Protection Committee of the Baltic Sea (Helcom). Funding for the research was received from Seventh Framework Programme FP/2010-2013 within the TRANSPHORM project, and in co-operation with the BSR InnoShip project (project no #051 in the Grant Contract). References Johansson, L.O., Jalkanen, J-P., Kalli, J. and Kukkonen, K. The evolution of shipping emissions and the costs of recent and forthcoming emission regulations in the northern European emission control area. Atmos. Chem. Phys., accepted. 2013 Jalkanen, J-P., Johansson, L.O., Kukkonen, K., Brink, A., Kalli, J. and Stipa, T.: Extension of an assessment model of ship traffic exhaust emissions for particulate matter and carbon monoxide, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 2641–2659, 2012. 51 ENVIRONMENTAL AND HEALTH IMPACT RESULTING FROM AIR POLLUTION 52 AN INTEGRATED BAP (PAHS) APPROACH TO ESTIMATE CHILDREN AND ELDERLY EXPOSURE IN THE CITY OF ROME, ITALY C. Gariazzo (1), M. Lamberti (1), C. Silibello (2), S. Finardi (2), P. Radice (2), A. D’Allura (2), M. Gherardi (1), A. Cecinato (3), D. Porta (4), F. Sacco (5), O. Hänninen (6), A. Pelliccioni (1) (1) INAIL Research Center, Monteporzio Catone (RM), Italy; (2) ARIANET S.r.l., Milano, Italy; (3) CNR-IIA, Montelibretti (RM), Italy; (4) Department of Epidemiology, Lazio Region Health Service, Rome, Italy; (5) Lazio Environmental Protection Agency, Rome, Italy, (6) National Institute for Health and Welfare, Kuopio, Finland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The identification and quantification of population exposure of children and elderly people to PAHs in urban areas are the major goals of the EXPAH LIFE+ Project (www.ispesl.it/expah ). To reach these objectives, an integrated approach, based on measurements and modelling techniques, has been set up to: 1) reconstruct PAH levels in the Rome metropolitan area; 2) evaluate and correct model results; 3) estimate PAHs exposures according to the mean time spent in the main visited microenvironments using observation-derived outdoor/indoor infiltration factors and time activities data collected from a dedicated statistical survey. Results show that the integrated model is able to catch the mean exposure levels of the target population. Introduction PAHs are known to induce health effects on population due to the ability of airborne particles to absorb and transport these species in the lungs. Since some PAHs are potent carcinogens by a genotoxic mode of action, their levels in air should be kept as low as possible (WHO, 2013). Consequently, the assessment of PAHs exposure of the most sensitive populations living in urban areas, such as children and elderly people, represent a relevant issue, addressed by the EXPAH project. Methodology and Results In order to estimate PAHs exposure for the target population, a newer version of the three-dimensional Eulerian chemical-transport model FARM (Flexible Air quality Regional Model), which includes the PAHs reactions with hydroxyl radical and their partitioning between gas and aerosol phases, has been applied to an high spatial resolution (1x1 Km2) domain including the Rome conurbation. Simulations were carried out for one year period (June 2011-May 2012) to estimate gridded PAHs in both gaseous a aerosol phases. Experimental data (particulate PAHs and PM2.5), collected during field campaigns performed in different sites and microenvironments (homes, schools, cars, buses, offices) from December 2011 to July 2012, permitted: 1) to evaluate simulated PAHs concentrations; 2) to obtain microenvironments I/O infiltration factors necessary to estimate the indoor PAH levels; 3) to collect actual PAHs exposure data by means of personal exposure measurements. Modelled outdoor PAHs concentrations showed overestimation, particularly during colder seasons, that have been corrected, using observed values. Based on these results, a microenvironments exposure model was developed. It calculates exposures of children and elderly people according to the time spent in different environments (indoors (I), outdoors (O), in traffic and living ambient), by using observed outdoor/indoor infiltration factors and time-activities data. The latter ones were collected from a statistical survey carried out for the target population living in Rome, according to type of days (workday; weekend), season (autumn-winter; spring-summer) and microenvironment visited. Results show that the exposure model is able to reproduce the mean seasonal behaviour of PAHs exposure, with higher values during the domestic heating season and much lower ones during warmer periods. Agreement was found with personal exposure data, although the day-by-day variations were poorly reproduced. The yearly BaP exposure was found lower than legal limit, although during the colder seasons an exceedance is foreseen for most parts of the city. Fig. 1. Yearly BaP exposure for children. Fig. 2 Cumulative BaP exposure for children. Conclusions The integrated approach, developed within the EXPAH project, has demonstrated its capability to assess the impact of PAHs environmental exposures on children and elderly people. PAHs emissions and their spatialization were recognized as the most critical aspects in PAHs modeling at urban scale. Inclusion of uncertanties in both I/O infiltration factors and variations of population time-activities, can improve the exposure assessment. Acknowledgement The LIFE+ EU financial program is acknowledged for the provision of funding for EXPAH project (LIFE09 ENV/IT/082). References WHO, 2013. Review of evidence on health aspects of air pollution – REVIHAAP Project Technical Report. Available at http://www.euro.who.int/__data/assets/pdf_file/0004/193108/REVIHAAP-Final-technical-report.pdf 53 CARDIOVASCULAR HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS DUE TO MULTIPLE AIRBORNE EXPOSURES UNDER THE CONDITIONS OF SANTIAGO DE CHILE U. Franck (1), A. M. Leitte (1), P. Suppan (2) (1) Core Facility Studies, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Leipzig, Germany; (2) Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-IFU), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aimed to compare the health effects of different airborne pollutants under the meteorological and air pollution conditions of Santiago de Chile. We found adverse relationships between increasing pollution concentrations of all investigated pollutants except ozone and the risks for hospital admissions due to cardiovascular diseases. Adverse effects were strongest immediately up to a lag of two days. Exposure to ozone was not found to be associated with detrimental health effects. Introduction and aim of the study: Santiago de Chile, with more than 6 Million inhabitants, suffers from high contamination levels due to relatively high emissions and unfavorable atmospheric and geographic conditions. During winter, the main contamination is due to primary emissions: particulate matter, sulphur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2). A number of studies have demonstrated the detrimental effects of ambient air pollutants on cardiovascular health. High concentrations of various air pollutants have been associated with hospitalization due to development of cardiovascular diseases and exacerbation in people with preexisting conditions. Former investigations also suggested that air pollution arising from common emission sources for CO, NO2, and PM (e.g., motor vehicle exhausts) has significant associations with cardiovascular morbidity, also at air pollution concentrations below normal health guidelines. Study area, study cohort and statistics: Because of the unique geographic location of Santiago de Chile, ventilation and dispersion of air pollution is highly restricted. During the summer months, central Chile is generally under the influence of the subtropical anticyclone in the south-eastern pacific, resulting in clear sky and high temperatures in Santiago (Schmitz, 2005). Under such conditions, the formation of O3 through the photochemical oxidation of CO and volatile organic compounds (VOC) in the presence of high concentrations of nitrogen oxides (NOx, NO, NO2) is favored. The study was performed in the metropolitan area of Santiago de Chile during 2004-2007. Health data included all cases of hospital admissions (in total 75,303) which are registered by the Fondo Nacional de Salud de Chile (FONASA) and the Instituciones de Salud Previsional (ISAPREs). We applied a timestratified case-crossover analysis taking temporal variation, meteorological conditions and autocorrelation into account. We computed associations between daily ambient concentrations of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5 - particulate matter with aerodynamic diameters less than 10 or 2.5 µm, respectively) or ozone (O3) and hospital admissions for various groups of cardiovascular illnesses. Results During the study period, yearly mean values of air pollutant concentrations were high especially for PM10 (72.2 µg/m³) and PM2.5 (33.7 µg/m³) (Table 1). For only around 25% of the days, the PM10 concentration was below the European daily limit value of 50 µg/m³. In total 75,303 cases were included into the assessment. We found for CO, NO2, PM10 and PM2.5 adverse relationships to cardiovascular admissions while effect strength and lag depended on the pollutant and on the disease group. By trend, in 1-pollutant models most adverse pollutants were NO2 and particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5) followed by CO, while in 2-pollutant models effects of PM10 persisted in most cases whereas other effects weakened. In addition the strongest effects seemed to be immediate or with a delay of up to 2 days. Adverse effects of ozone could not be detectedDichotomous Conclusions Our results provided evidence for adverse health effects of combined exposure to airborne pollutants. Different pollutants accounted for varying adverse effects within different cardiovascular disease groups. Taking case numbers and effect strength of all cardiovascular diseases into account, mitigation measures should address all pollutants but especially NO2, PM10, and CO. Acknowledgement The authors very appreciated the support of the Departamento de Estadísticas e Información de Salud (DEIS) of the Ministerio de Salud de Chile. The health data were kindly provided by DEIS The study was funded by 'Initiative and Networking Fund' of the Helmholtz Association and was carried out under the umbrella of the Risk Habitat Megacity research initiative (http://www.ufz.de/risk-habitat-megacity). 54 ENHANCING PM EPIDEMIOLOGICAL CONCENTRATION-RESPONSE FUNCTIONS BY INCORPORATING LUNG DEPOSITION AND OXIDATIVE STRESS D. A. Sarigiannis, S. Karakitsios, M. Kermenidou Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Chemical Engineering Dept., Environmental Engineering Laboratory, Thessaloniki, 54124, Greece Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The current study provides a methodological framework for refining environment and health associations, through the derivation and use of a composite exposure metric called “region specific oxidative stress index”. The latter takes into account the size specific mass deposited to the Human Respiratory Tract (HRT) region as well as the size specific ROS generating potential of PM; thus, we surmise that it is a more relevant metric for PM exposure-health associations which are mediated by oxidative stress and chronic inflammation. Introduction PM is a well recognized health stressor as shown by several well established associations between ambient air PM and mortality or morbidity. However, there is still room for improving these associations by better understanding the intermediate mechanisms determining actual exposure to PM, internal dosimetry and elucidation of potential mechanisms between exposure and disease. Particulate matter through an oxidative stress mechanism causes a sevenfold increase in Nf-κB activation in human airway epithelial cells. Nf-κB is a transcription factor that can induce gene transcription in a variety of pro inflammatory cytokines, enzymes that generate mediators of inflammation and immune receptors. Oxidative stress mediated by particulate matter may result from direct generation of Reactive Oxygen Species (ROS) from the particle surface, where transition metals or organic compounds affect the mitochondrial function of inflammatory cells. The subsequent damage to DNA may explain how increased cancer risk is induced by particulate matter. Methodology and Results The study includes a set of PM measurements performed over a three month period (October-December) in 2012 (including PM10, PM2.5 and PM1), exposure modeling including deposition across respiratory tract and assessment of PM size specific oxidative potential through the determination of reactive oxygen species (ROS) using the DDT assay. The PM measurements were carried out in two urban sites in the city of Thessaloniki; the first one at the curbside of an intensively trafficked road (Egnatia Avenue, Venizelou square) and the second one at the suburbs of the city (Eptapyrgio), representing the urban background concentration. Internal exposure of PM in terms of deposition at different regions of the HRT was carried out using the Multiple-Path Particle Dosimetry (MPPD) model. The algorithms in MPPD calculate the deposition and clearance of monodisperse and polydisperse aerosols in the respiratory tract of rats and human adults and children (deposition only) for particles ranging from ultrafine (0.01 microns) to coarse (20 microns) sizes. Dithiothreitol (DTT) is commonly used as a cellfree measure of the oxidative potential of particles. In this assay, redox-active chemicals in particulate matter (PM) oxidize added DTT to its disulfide form and the linear rate of DTT loss is used as a measure of the oxidative capacity of the PM. Finally, based on the PM size specific oxidative potential and the deposition across HRT, the “region specific oxidative stress index” is calculated as the product of the size specific mass deposited to the HRT region, multiplied by the oxidative potential of this size specific PM. In the traffic station median concentrations for PM1, PM2.5 and PM10 were 25.7, 30.1 and 56 μg/m3, while for the urban background site the respective concentrations were 12.7, 20.3 and 31.4 μg/m3. From the ROS analysis it was found that PM from the traffic site was more reactive than the one from the urban background site; this is explained by the higher content of traffic emitted metals and organics adsorbed on the PM collected there. In addition, oxidative potential increases with decreasing particle size. This is due to the origin (smaller particles come from combustion processes) and the higher active surface per mass that characterizes particles of smaller aerodynamic diameter. HRT modelling results indicated that exposure between the two measurement sites corresponds to different HRT deposition patterns, and the overall daily deposition at the traffic site is almost twice as high as at the urban background site (493 vs 260 μg deposited respectively). Finally, the estimation of the region specific oxidative stress index elucidated significant differences between the two sites, since differences in deposition and toxic potency are both reflected in that metric. As a result, the differences in exposure for specific regions of HRT, are up to almost 4 times higher between the traffic and the urban background site. The regionspecific oxidative stress index has a much higher discriminating capacity than mass concentrations of PM. Conclusions The region specific oxidative stress index proposed abode, could serve as a starting point for re-evaluating environmental information (PM measurements and ROS analysis), providing an clear advancement compared to existing concentration response functions that mostly associate PM to mortality and morbidity. The proposed methodology, facilitates the exploitation of exposure and toxicity related differences that are not captured by single PM10 and PM2.5 measurements. The new index clearly reflects: differences in PMs size distributions across the sampling sites, and how these are translated into HRT deposition values differences in the oxidative potential of the different size PMs, and more specifically to specific regions of HRT. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the FP7 project TRANSPHORM. 55 HIGH-RESOLUTION MODELLING OF HEALTH IMPACTS FROM AIR POLLUTION USING THE INTEGRATED MODEL SYSTEM EVA J. Brandt (1), M. S. Andersen (1), J. Bønløkke (2), J. H. Christensen (1), C. Geels (1), K. M. Hansen (1), S. S. Jensen (1), M. Ketzel (1), M. S. Plejdrup (1), T. Sigsgaard (2), J. D. Silver (1) (1) Aarhus University, Department of Environmental Science, Frederiksborgvej 399, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark; (2) Aarhus University, Section of Environment, Occupation, and Health, Institute of Public Health, Bartholins Allé 2, Building 1260, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary A high-resolution assessment of health impacts from air pollution and related external cost has been conducted for Denmark using the integrated EVA model system. The EVA system has been further developed by implementing an air quality model with a 1 km x 1 km resolution covering the whole of Denmark. New developments of the integrated model system will be presented as well as results for health impacts and related external costs over several decades. Furthermore, the sensitivity of health impacts to model resolution will be studied. Introduction We have developed an integrated model system EVA (Economic Valuation of Air pollution), based on the impact-pathway chain, to assess the health impacts and health-related economic externalities of air pollution resulting from specific emission sources or sectors. The system is used to support policymaking with respect to emission control. In Brandt et al. (2013a; 2013b), the EVA system was used to assess the impacts in Europe and Denmark from the past, present and future total air pollution levels as well as the contribution from the major anthropogenic emission sectors. The EVA system was applied using the hemispheric chemistry-transport model, the Danish Eulerian Hemispheric Model (DEHM), with nesting capability for higher resolution over Europe (50 km x 50 km) and Northern Europe (16.7 km x 16.7 km). In this study an Urban Background Model (UBM) has been further developed to cover the whole of Denmark with a 1 km x 1 km resolution and the model has been implemented as a part of the integrated model system, EVA. Methodology and Results A schematic diagram of the impact-pathway methodology is shown in Fig. 1. The site-specific emissions will result (via atmospheric transport and chemistry) in a concentration distribution, which together with detailed population data, are used to estimate the population-level exposure. Using exposure-response functions and economic valuations, the exposure is transformed into impacts on human health and related external costs. In this study we have used a coupling of two chemistry transport models to calculate the air pollution concentration at different scales; the Danish Eulerian Hemispheric Model to calculate the air pollution levels with a resolution down to 5.6 km x 5.6 km and the Urban Background Model to further calculate the air pollution at 1 km x 1 km resolution using results from DEHM as boundary conditions. Both the emission data as well as the population density has been represented in the model system with the same high resolution. Fig.1 A schematic diagram of the impact-pathway methodology Conclusions Previous health impact assessments related to air pollution have been made on a lower resolution. In this study, the integrated model system, EVA, has been used to estimate the health impacts and related external cost for Denmark over a 20 year period (1990-2010) at a 1 km x 1 km resolution. Furthermore, a sensitivity study of the health impact using coarse and fine resolutions in the model system has been carried out to evaluate the effect of improved description of the geographical population distribution with respect to location of local emissions. References Brandt, J., J. D. Silver, J. H. Christensen, M. S. Andersen, J. Bønløkke, T. Sigsgaard, C. Geels, A. Gross, A. B. Hansen, K. M. Hansen, G. B. Hedegaard, E. Kaas and L. M. Frohn, 2013. Contribution from the ten major emission sectors in Europe to the Health-Cost Externalities of Air Pollution using the EVA Model System – an integrated modelling approach. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 13, pp. 7725-7746, 2013. Brandt, J., J. D. Silver, J. H. Christensen, M. S. Andersen, J. Bønløkke, T. Sigsgaard, C. Geels, A. Gross, A. B. Hansen, K. M. Hansen, G. B. Hedegaard, E. Kaas and L. M. Frohn, 2013. Assessment of Past, Present and Future Health-Cost Externalities of Air Pollution in Europe and the contribution from international ship traffic using the EVA Model System. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. Vol. 13, pp. 7747-7764, 2013. 56 SHORT-TERM EFFECTS OF AIR TEMPERATURE ON MORTALITY AND EFFECT MODIFICATION BY AIR POLLUTION IN THREE CITIES OF BAVARIA, GERMANY S. Breitner (1), K. Wolf (1), R. B. Devlin (2), D. Diaz-Sanchez (2), A. Peters (1), A. Schneider (1) (1) Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health (GmbH), Institute of Epidemiology II, Neuherberg, Germany; (2) United States Environmental Protection Agency, Environmental Public Health Division, National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, RTP, North Carolina, USA Presenting author email:[email protected] Summary We examined the effects of air temperature on cause-specific mortality in Munich, Nuremberg and Augsburg, Germany, during the period 1990 to 2006 using Poisson regression models combined with distributed lag non-linear models. Moreover, we investigated effect modification by age and ambient air pollution. The temperature-mortality relationships were non-linear for all cause-specific mortality categories showing U- or J-shaped curves. Overall, effects of high temperatures were immediate, whereas cold effects only became predominant with longer time lags. The elderly (≥ 85 years of age) were found to be more susceptible to heat effects. Temperature effects on mortality varied slightly across different levels of air pollution. Introduction The link between ambient air temperature and mortality has been well documented; however, only very few studies have been conducted in Germany. Further, only a few studies on temperature effects have considered air pollution as a confounder or effect modifier. This study examined the association between daily air temperature and cause-specific mortality in Bavaria, Southern Germany. Moreover, we investigated which age and gender groups are affected the most by heat or cold as well as if ambient air pollution modifies the temperature-mortality relationship. Methodology and Results We obtained data from Munich, Nuremberg as well as Augsburg, Germany, for the period 1990 to 2006. Data included daily death counts due to non-accidental causes as well as cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, mean daily meteorology and air pollution concentrations (particulate matter with a diameter < 10µm [PM10] and maximum 8-h ozone). We used Poisson regression models combined with distributed lag non-linear models adjusting for long-term trend, calendar effects, and meteorological factors to investigate the association between air temperature and different causes of mortality in each city. Further, for each city air pollutant concentrations were categorized into three levels, and an interaction term was included to quantify potential effect modification of the air temperature effects. City-specific estimates were then combined in a second stage using techniques based on multivariate meta-analysis. The temperature-mortality relationships were non-linear for all cause-specific mortality categories showing U- or J-shaped curves. An increase from the 90th (20.0°C) to the 99th percentile (24.8°C) of 2-day average temperature led to an increase in non-accidental mortality by 11.4% (95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 7.6%;15.3%), whereas a decrease in the 15-day average temperature from the 10th (-1.0°C) to the 1st percentile (-7.5°C) resulted in an increase of 6.2% (95% CI: 1.8%;10.8%). Regarding causes of deaths, largest relative risks were seen for respiratory mortality. The very old (≥ 85 years of age) were found to be most susceptible to heat effects. Results also suggested some effect modification by ozone, but not for PM10. Conclusions Results indicate that both very low and very high air temperature increase cause-specific mortality in Bavaria. Results also pointed to the importance of considering effect modification by age and ozone in assessing temperature effects on mortality. Acknowledgment This study was funded by the Bavarian State Ministry of the Environment and Public Health and by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) (PR-ORD-11-00199). We would like to thank the Bavarian State Office for Statistics and Data Processing, the Bavarian Environment Agency and the German Weather Service for providing data on mortality, meteorology and air pollution. The research described in this article has been reviewed by the U.S. EPA National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory and approved for publication. Approval does not signify that the contents necessarily reflect the views and the policies of the U.S. EPA, nor does mention of trade names or commercial products constitute endorsement or recommendation for use. The authors declare they have no competing interests relevant to the study. 57 DETERMINANTS OF PERCEIVED AIR POLLUTION ANNOYANCE AND EXPOSURE-RESPONSE RELATIONSHIP FOR ANNOYANCE AND PARTICULATE MATTER M. Machado (1), J. M. Santos (2), N. C. Reis Jr.(2), V. A. Reisen (2) (1) Instituto Federal do Espírito Santo (IFES), (2) Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo (UFES), Department of Environmental Engineering, Vitória, Brazil Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This paper deals with the annoyance caused by air pollution in the Metropolitan Region of Vitória, in Brazil. Surveys were conducted in eight regions, which correspond to the eight monitoring stations of air quality. The particulate matter concentration, levels of annoyance, air pollution perception, consequences of air pollution, health problems related to effects of air pollution and socio-demographic aspects were investigated in order to explore possible relationships. The logistic regression method was used to estimate exposure-effect relationships between annoyance and particulate matter concentration. The results show that variables, socio-demographics aspects, industrial risk perception, health problems, sources of air pollution and local play an important role in the annoyance perceived. Introduction Annoyance by air pollution is considered to be a public health problem, since it causes stress, affects the quality of life and may be indirectly related to a few diseases. Many authors have recently addressed this theme, such as Rotko (2002), Amundsen et al. (2008) and Blanes-Vidal, (2012). Nevertheless, little attention was given to study how and why human being perceives different air pollutants, reacts against their effects and what are the qualitative variables that can influence the perception of annoyance. In this context, this paper presents the correlation matrix between variables determining of annoyance and the exposure-response relationship that expresses different degrees of annoyance caused by particulate matter. Methodology and Results Two monitoring campaigns were performed: (i) winter of 2011 and (ii) summer of 2012, in order to incorporate the seasonal effect. During each campaign surveys were conducted at 8 locations distributed over the Metropolitan Region of Vitória-Brazil, where PM10 and Particle Deposition Flux (PDF) were continuously monitored. The sample size was determined by using a simple random sampling with proportional allocation method (Cochran, 1977), comprising 1028 individuals (over 16 years). The statistical analysis based on Spearman method (Lehman, 2005) showed that annoyance may be correlated with the qualitative variable: personal perception (individual assessment) of air quality (r=-0,49), industrial risk perception (r=0,47), air pollution perception (r=0,30), importance of air quality (r=0,26), and also with age (r=0,22) gender (r=0,14), occurrence of Fig.1 Curve estimated the relationship for of PM10 health problems (0,16) for α=0,05.The application of logistic regression and different degrees of annoyance helped to identify the relationship between annoyance and air pollution expressed by particulate matter concentration (PM10 or PTS). For example, in Fig.1 presents the relationship for of PM10 and different degrees of annoyance, where an exposure level of 30μg/m³ yields to approximately 10% of the population being extremely annoyed and about 60% would be at least a little annoyed. Although the Brazilian air quality standards are attained in the studied region, the results indicate that a considerable fraction of the population is significantly annoyed. Conclusions The study was capable of determine the current “annoyance level” of the population of the Metropolitan Region of VitóriaBrazil, and was able to identify the exposure-effect relationships between annoyance and particulate matter concentration for the region. In addition, the regression study suggests that the variables selected for this investigation play an important role in understanding the problem of air pollution and its effects on the quality of life of the population in the area. Acknowledgement This work was supported by FAPES and CAPES (Brazilian government agencies for technology development and scientific research). References Amundsen, A. H., Klaeboe R., Fyhri A. (2008). Annoyance from vehicular air pollution: Exposure–response relationships for Norway. Atmospheric Environment, Volume 42, 7679-7688. Blanes-Vidal, V., Suh H., Nadimi E. S., Løfstrøm P., Ellermann T., Andersen H. V., Schwartz J., (2012) Residential exposure to outdoor air pollution from livestock operations and perceived annoyance among citizens. Environment International, 40 44-50. Cochran, W.G. Sampling techiques. 3.ed. New York: John Wiley & Sons. 1977. 555p. Lehman, A. (2005) "JMP for Basic Univariate and Multivariate Statistics: A Step-by-step Guide"Local: Campus Drive, Cary, North Carolina, Editora SAS Institute. Rotko et al., (2002) Determinants of perceived air pollution annoyance and association between annoyance scores and air pollution (PM2.5, NO2) concentrations in the European EXPOLIS study. Atmospheric Environment 36, 4593–4602. 58 CARCINOGENIC RISK OF PAHS IN PARTICULATE MATTER FROM BIOMASS COMBUSTION D. A. Sarigiannis (1,2), D. Zikopoulos (1), M. Kermenidou (1), S. Nikolaki (1,2), S. Karakitsios (1,2) (1) Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Department of Chemical Engineering, Environmental Engineering Laboratory, Thessaloniki, 54124, Greece; (2) Centre for Research and Technology Hellas (CE.R.T.H.), Thessaloniki, 57001, Greece Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The current study deals with the assessment of the risk of cancer that is attributable to exposure to PAHs, in the light of increased use of biomass for space heating in Greece in the winter of 2012-2013. The study incorporated ambient air PM sampling in several sites in the city of Thessaloniki, as well as chemical analysis of PAHs and levoglucosan, used here as the most specific tracer of biomass combustion. To estimate the cancer risk attributed to PAHs, a refined methodology incorporating exposure, intake, Human Respiratory Tract (HRT) deposition of PM and the Toxicity Equivalent Quotient (TEQ) concept was developed and implemented. Significant variation in risk was observed among different age groups, much larger than variation due to geospatial attributes. The risk for children is four times higher than for adults. Only limited difference was found between traffic and urban background sites in the winter (mean cancer risk for both is close to 10-6); the latter indicates that biomass emitted PM (main PM source of the urban background site) are not significantly different in terms of carcinogenic potency compared to traffic ones. Introduction Since 2011 the use of biomass as heating source was allowed in Greece as a CO2-neutral means of space heating in the large metropolitan areas of Athens and Thessaloniki affecting more than half of the country’s population. Under this prism, it is interesting to evaluate the actual carcinogenic risks imposed by PAHs - which is mostly considered as a traffic originated component – within two distinct sites within an urban agglomeration, which are characterised by different PM emission sources profiles. Methodology and Results A six-month campaign (October 2012 - April 2013) of ambient air PM measurements was carried out, capturing the transition between the warm and cold period of the year. PM1, PM2.5 and PM10 particles were collected in Teflon filters using six low-flow air samplers, in two air pollution monitoring stations, representative of urban and traffic sites respectively. Nineteen individual PAHs were analysed by GC/MS and concentrations in the air were calculated. Levoglucosan levels were identified for the different PM fractions, so as to estimate the contribution of biomass on the overall exposure to PAHs and the associated cancer risk. Outdoor and indoor exposure and intake of PM and PAHs was estimated through the computational platform INTERA, taking into account time activity patterns, outdoor-to-indoor air penetration rates, locations encountered by the population during a typical week and inhalation rates associated to the activity intensity. Internal exposure to PAHs was estimated taking into account the deposition of the respective PM fractions across the human respiratory tract (HRT). Deposition at different regions of the HRT was carried out using the Multiple-Path Particle Dosimetry (MPPD) model. Potential cancer risk due to exposure to the mixture of urban ambient air PAHs was calculated using the toxicity equivalence factor (TEF) approach using as basis the benzo(a)pyrene (B[a]P) cancer potency. The BaP-TEQ (Toxicity Equivalent Quotient) (carcinogenic equivalent, in ng/m3) was calculated by multiplying the concentrations of each compound in the PAH mixture with the respective TEF for cancer potency relative to BaP. To estimate cancer risk the TEQ of the respective fraction of particulate matter deposited across HRT daily, was multiplied to a dose-response function, derived by the B[a]P Inhalation Unit Risk (the latter is equal to 0.88•10-6 (ng/m3)-1). Based on chemical analysis of the PM fractions, the respective TEQ was estimated to be equal to 4.2, 4.9, and 4.2 ng/m3 for PM1, PM2.5 and PM10 at the urban background site. At the traffic site, TEQ was 2.88, 2.89 and 2.88 ng/m3 for PM1, PM2.5 and PM10 respectively. The TEQ values per mass of PM for the urban background site were 11.3, 9.5 and 7.5 ng/g for PM1, PM2.5 and PM10, while for the traffic station TEQ values were 13.5, 10.4 and 7.5 respectively. Exposure to PM and PAHs varied significantly across age groups. Bodyweight normalised exposure to PM deposited across the HRT and consequently to PAHs was almost four times as high for children as for adults. This finding reflects the differences in child physiology compared to adults. These differences in PAHs exposure are translated into cancer risk. The latter varies between 3·10-5 and 0.5·10-6 (mean 1.55·10-6) for the urban background site, while for the traffic site ranges within 1.3·10-5 and 0.2·10-6 (mean 1.05·10-6). Finally, based on levoglucosan analysis, we estimated the risk attributable to biomass burning; the latter was found to amount to 36% of the total cancer risk for the urban background and 16% for the traffic site respectively. Conclusions Particles produced from biomass combustion do not have a lower cancer potency than the ones emitted from traffic sources. It is important to differentiate the PAHs intake estimate for different age groups, since children run significantly higher cancer risk compared to adults, due to the higher exposure to PAHs when the latter is normalised to bodyweight. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the FP7 projects TRANSPHORM and URGENCHE. 59 EVALUATION OF AIR QUALITY IMPACTS WITH AN INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR SPAIN M. Vedrenne, R. Borge, J. Lumbreras and M. E. Rodríguez Environmental Modelling Laboratory, Technical University of Madrid (UPM), José Gutiérrez Abascal 2, 28006 Madrid, Spain Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The present paper describes the advancement and evaluation of air quality-related impacts with the Atmospheric Evaluation and Research Integrated system for Spain (AERIS). In its current version, AERIS is able to provide estimates on the impacts of air quality over human health (PM2.5 and O3), crops and vegetation (O3). The modules that allow quantifying the before mentioned impacts were modeled by applying different approaches (mostly for the European context) present in scientific literature to the conditions of the Iberian Peninsula. This application was supported by reliable data sources, as well as by the good predictive capacity of AERIS for ambient concentrations. For validation purposes, the estimates of AERIS for impacts on human health (change in the statistical life expectancy-PM2.5) and vegetation (loss of wheat crops-O3) were compared against results from the SERCA project and GAINS estimates for two emission scenarios. In general, good results evidenced by reasonable correlation coefficients were obtained, therefore confirming the adequateness of the followed modeling approaches and the quality of AERIS predictions. Introduction The AERIS model was developed initially to quantify air quality levels (expressed as ambient concentrations or percentiles) resulting from percentual changes in emissions of 18 SNAP sectors, Portugal and international sea transit for NO2, SO2, PM10, PM2.5, NH3 and O3 (Vedrenne et al., 2013). The main advantage of AERIS is that it has been modeled specifically for the national scale, using consistent information from national inventories as well as a reliable modeling infrastructure that has been fully contrasted and published. Methodology and Results The quantification of impacts was carried out according to different modeling methodologies that are published in literature. Impacts on human health are only available for PM2.5 (change in the statistical life expectancy and years of life lost-YOLL) and O3 (mortality cases) (Mechler et al., 2002). Damages on crops and vegetation by O3 as a function of AOT40 can be quantified for grapes, maize, potato, rice, tomato, tobacco, watermelon and wheat (Mills et al., 2002). Demographic data and information on vegetal covers were obtained from the national ministries, WHO, and FAO. Validation of results was carried out by statistically comparing the estimates of AERIS against the same values obtained by reference models: the SERCA system and GAINS. The following indicators were evaluated: (i) loss of wheat crops (AERIS vs. SERCA) and (ii) change in the statistical life expectancy-PM2.5 (AERIS vs. GAINS). The chosen emission scenario was the Gothenburg Protocol Revision (Nat. Projections 2020) for the first Fig.1a. Relative yield for wheat (AERIS). 1b. Statistic comparison of AERIS vs. SERCA. 1c. Loss of life expectancy (AERIS). 1d. Statistic evaluation and a 2014 National Emission Scenario for comparison of AERIS vs. GAINS. the second one. The validation decision basically consisted in priming high correlation coefficients (r). Adequate correlations were observed for both comparisons: for the damage to wheat crops-O3, r=0.7043 and for the change in the statistical life expectancy-PM2.5, r=0.7204. The sources of discrepancy are basically related with the use of datasets, resolution and parent air quality models. Conclusions In general, the advancement of impact quantification to AERIS provided comparable results with those of reference air quality models such as SERCA or other Integrated Assessment models like GAINS Europe. The modeling approaches that were followed seem appropriate for having reliable estimates of the relevant impacts associated to pollutants (PM2.5 and O3). References Mechler, R., Amann, M., Schöpp, W., 2002. A methodology to estimate changes in statistical life expectancy due to the control of particulate matter air pollution. IR-02-035. IIASA. Laxenburg, Austria. Mills, G., Buse, A., Gimeno, B., Bermejo, V., Holland, M., Emberson, L., Pleijel, H., 2007. A synthesis of AOT40-based response functions and critical levels of ozone for agricultural and horticultural crops. Atmos. Environ. 41, 2630-2643. Vedrenne, M., Borge, R., Lumbreras, J., de la Paz, D., Rodríguez, M.E., 2013. Development and Implementation of an air quality integrated assessment model for the Iberian Peninsula. 15th HARMO Conference. ISBN 978-84-695-7353-5. 60 POWER PLANTS AND THE INDUSTRIAL EMISSIONS DIRECTIVE: AIR QUALITY-RELATED IMPACTS UNDER VARIABLE ENVIRONMENTAL AND TECHNICAL SETTINGS T. M. Bachmann, J. van der Kamp European Institute for Energy Research (EIFER), 76131 Karlsruhe, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to assess to what extent the proportionality of emission abatement options depends on different environmental and technical settings. Through a cost-benefit analysis, private costs of retrofitting and operating a DeNOx at a typical coal-fired power plant at varied Western European locations are confronted with associated monetised environmental benefits, quantified with the tool EcoSenseWeb. Results are shown to be sensitive to the environmental setting and the operating time per year. Further methodological development is needed to make the assessment more robust. Introduction In the European Union (EU), emissions from industrial installations are largely addressed by requiring that best available techniques (BAT) are implemented. The current Industrial Emissions Directive (IED, Directive 2010/75/EU) sets stricter emission limit values (ELVs) for existing combustion plants to be respected from 2016 onwards than previous regulation. As a new feature, plant operators can apply for less strict ELVs on the basis of the disproportionate cost principle, comparing environmental benefits to (private) costs. The case is made for installing a DeNOx retrofit at a hard-coal fired power plant unit investigated at three hypothetical sites, i.e. Brussels (BE), Cartagena (ES) and Helsinki (FI), varying in terms of population density, background emissions and meteorological conditions. The plant parameters remain constant. 1.4 Building materials Crops Ecosystems Human Health Climate Change Private costs 4500 h/a Private costs 2500 h/a 1.2 [€‐cent(2000)/kWh(el)] Methodology and Results Through a cost-benefit analysis (CBA), private costs are confronted with monetised environmental benefits (i.e. avoided external costs), following the net present value rule (cf. Pearce et al., 2006). While assessing private costs is common practice, external costs from NOx, SO2 and particles are quantified through a marginal damage cost approach with help of a tool for point sources in Europe, i.e. EcoSenseWeb (Preiss and Klotz, 2008). Using a Gaussian plume model (the Industrial Source Complex Model, ISC) as well as a parameterized version of a European Eulerian model (EMEP/MSCW), external costs respectively at the local and the regional scale are calculated for 2010 background emissions and a default meteorology while assuming equal toxicity of different primary and secondary 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Brussels Cartagena Helsinki ‐0.2 particles on human health. In a sensitivity analysis, the full load hours Fig.1 Environmental benefits (bars) and private of the power plant are reduced from 4500 to 2500 (e.g. due to an costs (lines) of a DeNOx retrofit at a coal-fired increasing share of fluctuating power generation). power plant located at three sites: default case (lower line); reduced full load hours (upper line) The DeNOx retrofit is generally assessed to be efficient at all investigated sites, i.e. the disproportionate cost criterion does not apply (Fig. 1, 4500 h/a case). Nonetheless, the environmental setting substantially changes the magnitude of quantified environmental benefits. When reducing the full load hours, the annualized private costs per kWh increase while the avoided external costs per kWh remain the same (Fig. 1, 2500 h/a case). For the location with the lowest environmental benefits (Helsinki), the result suggests that less full load hours combined with less impacted people may make the DeNOx investment disproportionate. Conclusions The CBA results are sensitive to the environmental setting and key technical assumptions (e.g. full load hours). Besides, the results are subject to limitations (e.g. insufficient coverage of impacts, and whether or not EcoSenseWeb can reliably estimate external costs from mid-load operation) and depend on methodological assumptions (e.g. particle toxicity) and other uncertainties as further discussed in Bachmann and van der Kamp (submitted). No EU-wide standard to calculate environmental benefits in CBA applications exists at present. Scientific progress is constantly made that should be considered accordingly. Finally, the IED is concerned also with emissions other than classical air pollutants. Related site-specific assessments are currently hardly available. References Bachmann T.M., van der Kamp J., submitted. Environmental Cost-Benefit Analysis and the EU Industrial Emissions Directive: comparing air emission abatement costs and environmental benefits to avoid social inefficiencies. European Commission, 2005. ExternE - Externalities of Energy: Methodology 2005 update. Pearce D., Atkinson G., Mourato S., 2006. Cost-Benefit Analysis and the Environment: Recent Developments. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Paris. p. 314. Preiss P., Klotz V., 2008. EcoSenseWeb V1.3. Technical Paper no. 7.4 - RS1b of the NEEDS project. Institute of Energy Economics and the Rational Use of Energy, University of Stuttgart. p. 63. 61 LAND USE REGRESSION MODELLING FOR AIR QUALITY EXPOSURE: A STEP IN THE WRONG DIRECTION B. R. Denby The Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU). PO BOX 100, 2027 Kjeller, Norway. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Land use regression (LUR) models are regularly used to assess exposure in health studies due to their simplicity and accessibility for health experts. In this study we compare dispersion and LUR modelling in Oslo and find poor spatial correlation between the two models, when used to calculate concentrations at cohort addresses. Despite this poor correlation both methods show similar correlation with observational data, the same data that are used to build the LUR model. This discrepancy is investigated and discussed. One investigation, using randomly generated datasets, shows that the LUR methodology intrinsically overestimates the degree of correlation when sampling sizes are limited and the number of available predictor variables is large. We recommend that more effort be placed in dispersion modelling, and its combination with observations, rather than LUR if best estimates of exposure are to be made for health and epidemiological studies. Introduction Land use regression (LUR) models are being used extensively in health studies to determine exposure to air pollution. The popularity of the methodology stems from its simplicity, relative ease of application and generality. This makes it accessible and attractive to health experts who require air quality exposure data for epidemiological studies. The method requires a (large) number of representative observations from which a linear data model is established based on a range of predictor variables, such as distance from road or population density. An alternative, and physically based, method to LUR is air quality modelling based on emissions and dispersion. Some studies have been undertaken to compare dispersion with LUR modelling (e.g. Beelen et al., 2010) and/or to determine the limitations of the LUR models. These studies have mostly been carried out for the traffic related pollutants of NOx or NO2 but have seldom been applied to particulate matter. In this study we compare dispersion model calculations (TRANSPHORM project) with LUR models (ESCAPE project, Eeftens et al., 2012), for the pollutants PM10, PM2.5, NOX and PMcoarse in the city of Oslo. We present the results of this analysis and a statistical investigation of the correlation artefact introduced in LUR when using a limited number of monitoring sites. Methodology and results Annual mean concentrations, calculated with both LUR and dispersion models, are compared at around 20 000 cohort member addresses, for the year 2009 in Oslo. We find that the coefficient of determination is highest for NOX (R2=0.29) and lowest for PM10 (R2=0.04). Despite the poor correlation found between the two models at home addresses, both models have comparable R2 when evaluated against ESCAPE monitoring data, which is the same data used to generate the LUR model. e.g. R2 for the dispersion and LUR models is 0.64 and 0.68 respectively for PM2.5 at these sites, where leave-one-out cross validation (LOOCV) is used for LUR. This result, that the dispersion and LUR models are poorly spatially correlated but still provide comparable correlation at the observational sites, is inconsistent and requires further investigation. To help understand this we investigate the impact of sample size and the number of available predictor variables on the LUR correlation by generating random and independent ‘observational’ and ‘predictor variable’ datasets and applying the LUR methodology to these. We find for example that LUR type models, using limited sample sizes (20) and a large number of available predictor variables (the 3 best selected from 100 possible), produce typically a LOOCV R2 = 0.28, but this can be as high as R2=0.7. This is despite the fact that the observations and predictor variables are randomly sampled and are uncorrelated. Increasing sample sizes and reducing the number of predictor variables will reduce this artefact. Conclusion We conclude that the limited number of sample sites, 20 for Oslo, and the large number of possible predictor variables overstate the correlation of the LUR model significantly, providing misplaced confidence in the LUR results. The statistical nature of the methodology, combined with the limited information used to generate the LUR models, can lead to significant errors when extrapolating beyond the original dataset used to build the LUR model, e.g. at home addresses. As a result LUR models may not be providing suitable spatial distributions of pollutants and this can have significant consequences for epidemiological studies. It is recommended that more effort be made to apply dispersion modelling for exposure estimates, and that observations be incorporated into these models to achieve the maximum benefit of the available information. References Beelen. R.,M. Voogt, J Duyzer, P. Zandveld, G. Hoek (2010). Comparison of the performances of land use regression modelling and dispersion modelling in estimating small-scale variations in long-term air pollution concentrations in a Dutch urban area. Atmospheric Environment 44, 4614-4621. Eeftens, M. et al. (2012). Development of Land Use Regression Models for PM2.5, PM2.5 Absorbance, PM10 and PMcoarse in 20 European Study Areas; Results of the ESCAPE Project. Environ Sci Technol. 46, 11195−11205. 62 OUTDOOR AIR DOMINATES BURDEN OF DISEASE FROM INDOOR EXPOSURES O. Hänninen (1), A. Asikainen (1), P. Carrer (2), S. Kephalopoulos (3), E. de Oliveira Fernandes (4), P. Wargocki (5) (1) National Institute for Health and Welfare, Finland, POB 95, 70701 Kuopio, Finland; (2) University of Milan, Italy, (3) EC Joint Reasearch Centre, Ispra, Italy; (4) University of Porto, Portugal; (5) Technical University of Denmark Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Both indoor and outdoor sources of air pollution have significant public health impacts in Europe. Based on quantitative modelling of the burden of disease the outdoor sources dominate the impacts by a clear margin. Introduction Ambient air pollution has been suggested to be the dominating source of environmental burden of diseases in Europe (Hänninen & Knol, 2011, 2013). However, indoor sources can generate extremely high exposure levels in poorly ventilated conditions. Globally it has been estimated that indoor PM exposures, especially due to combustion of solid fuels, dominate the burden of disease caused by air pollution (Lim et al., 2012). The aim of this work is to compare the magnitude of indoor and outdoor air pollution in European countries and further to evaluate their control potentials using ventilation, filtration and source elimination. Methods Burden of disease model developed in the IAIAQ-study (Jantunen et al., 2011) was complemented with a mass-balance component (Hänninen et al., 2004). Exposure data for PM2.5, VOCs, radon, CO, second hand smoke and dampness and mould were collected for 26 European coutries (EU27 except Malta). Burden of disease for the baseline at 2010 and for alternative control scenarios were evaluated. Results and discussion Total burden of disease from indoor exposures is estimated to be 2.1 million DALY in EU26. The burden is dominated by outdoor PM2.5 (62%) followed by indoor PM2.5, radon (8%) and dampness and mould (5%). PM2.5 burden is further dominated by cardiovascular diseases followed by respiratory diseases. Outdoor air burden can be controlled by either limiting ventilation or by filtration. However, the former approach increases the burden from indoor sources if they are not specifically controlled first. Most efficient reduction can be achieved by combining these strategies, providing an almost 50% reduction. As the energy efficiency demands are shaping the future building stocks strongly, it is essential to account for also for the indoor source control to protect public health. Conclusions Outdoor air remains the dominating source of burden of disease from indoor exposures. Improvement of outdoor air quality has the largest potential for public health improvements. Acknowledgement This work was funded by the EU Health Programme projects HEALTHVENT, Grant Nr. 2009 12 08, and IAIAQ, Grant Nr. 2009 62 02, EU FP6 project EnVIE, SSPE-CT-2004-502671, and Ministry of Social Affairs and Health and intramural funding for project EBoDE. References Hänninen O, Knol A (ed.), 2011. European perspectives on Environmental Burden of Disease; Estimates for nine stressors in six countries. THL Reports 1/2011, Helsinki, Finland. 86 pp + 2 appendixes. ISBN 978-952-245-413-3. http://www.thl.fi/thlclient/pdfs/b75f6999-e7c4-4550-a939-3bccb19e41c1 (accessed 2011-03-23). Hänninen, O, Knol A, Jantunen M, Lim T-A, Conrad A, Rappolder M, Carrer P, Fanetti A-C, Kim R, Buekers J, Torfs R, Iavarone I, Classen T, Hornberg C, Mekel O, and the EBoDE Group, 2013. Environmental Burden of Disease in Europe: estimates for nine stressors in six countries. Environmental Health Perspectives: Provisionnally accepted. Hänninen, O.O., Lebret, E., Ilacqua, V., Katsouyanni, K., Künzli, N., Srám, R.J., Jantunen, M.J., 2004. Infiltration of ambient PM2.5 and levels of indoor generated non-ETS PM2.5 in residences of four European cities. Atmospheric Environment 38 (37): 6411-6423. Jantunen M, Oliveira Fernandes E, Carrer P, Kephalopoulos S, 2011. Promoting actions for healthy indoor air (IAIAQ). European Commission Directorate General for Health and Consumers. Luxembourg. ISBN 978-92-79-20419-7. http://ec.europa.eu/health/healthy_environments/docs/env_iaiaq.pdf (accessed 2011-11-10) 63 PM ATTRIBUTED MORTALITY AND MORBIDITY DUE TO BIOMASS USE IN THESSALONIKI – ESTIMATION OF SOCIOECONOMIC COST D.A. Sarigiannis (1,2), S. Karakitsios (1,2), M. Kermenidou (1) (1) Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Department of Chemical Engineering, Environmental Engineering Laboratory, Thessaloniki, 54124, Greece; (2) Centre for Research and Technology Hellas (CE.R.T.H.), Thessaloniki, 57001, Greece Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The current study deals with the assessment of the seasonal variability of PM exposure and the related health and monetary impact in the city of Thessaloniki (Greece). A combination of measured and modelled data of outdoor and indoor PM10/PM2.5 were generated, feeding a composite integrative exposure assessment framework. Health impacts were assessed adapting well-established exposure-response functions; monetary cost of these impacts was calculated based on the valuation of the willingness-to-pay/accept (WTP/WTA). Overall the study indicated that biomass use for space heating contributed to a 40% PM attributed socioeconomic cost during the cold period. Introduction Over the last couple of years, the use of biomass as heating source was allowed in Greece as a CO2-neutral means of space heating in the large metropolitan areas of Athens and Thessaloniki affecting more than half of the country’s population. At the same time the use of light heating diesel was heavily taxed. In the same period Greece faces a financial crisis with significant repercussions on the average household income. This combination resulted in reduced traffic loads but excessive biomass use for domestic heating. In this context, the current study deals with the assessment of the seasonal variability of PM exposure and the related health and monetary impact in the city of Thessaloniki (Greece). Methodology and Results A combination of measured and modeled data of outdoor and indoor PM10 and PM2.5 were generated, feeding a composite integrative exposure assessment framework that takes into account indoor air quality modeling, time activity patterns and activity based inhalation rates. The measurement campaign included the assessment of outdoor and indoor air quality and the evaluation of biomass use for domestic heating in open fireplaces and woodstoves. Measured concentrations of PM10 and PM2.5 were used as input to the computational platform INTERA, for assessing population exposure. INTERA incorporates the combined effects of outdoor air penetration, presence of indoor sources, housing conditions, and the time activity patterns of the exposed population. Health impacts were assessed adapting well established exposure-response functions; monetary cost of these impacts was calculated based on the valuation of the willingness-to-pay/accept (WTP/WTA), to avoid/compensate for the loss of welfare associated with these health impacts. Outdoor measurements showed a significant increase of PM10 (from 30.1 to 73.1 μg/m3) and PM2.5 (from 19.4 to 62.7 μg/m3) concentrations during the transition from the warm to the cold period in 2012, in contrast to 2011, when this transition was accompanied by an increase of 12 μg/m3 for both PM10 and PM2.5. Between the two years, there is a significant variation in emission patterns. In 2012 the traffic component appears to be reduced, while during the colder period the component associated with biomass heating dramatically increases; the latter is verified by the positively correlated levoglucosan concentrations to ambient air PM concentrations. Indoor concentrations followed a similar pattern, while in the case of fireplace use, average daily concentrations rise up to 10 μg/m3 and 14 μg/m3 for PM2.5 and PM10 respectively. Regarding the estimated health impacts, the number of additional deaths attributed to PM exposure for 2011 are 1366, while the respective number for 2012 is 1284. What is significantly different between these two years is the distribution between the warm and the cold season. Despite the fact that the duration of the cold period is practically half than the one of the warm period, in 2012 the expected impacts are higher in the cold period (726/1284 deaths), while in 2011 most of the mortality is related to the warm period exposure (831/1366 deaths). Similar figures are derived for morbidity indexes, new cases of chronic bronchitis being dominant among them with about 2111 and 1831 new cases for 2011 and 2012 respectively, followed by respiratory hospital admissions (225 and 214 for 2011 and 2012 respectively) and cardiovascular hospital admissions (174 and 165 respectively). Monetary costs related to mortality are within the range of billions, while morbidity cost related to chronic bronchitis is one order of magnitude lower (hundreds of millions). Morbidity costs related to cardiovascular and respiratory morbidity are within the range of million euros. Conclusions The results indicated an increase in all-cause mortality of about 250 additional deaths (for a population of almost 900.000 inhabitants) for the cold period of year 2012 compared to the year 2011, corresponding to a socioeconomic cost of almost 250 million euro (up to 1.2 billions). Considering the high socioeconomic cost expected, specific financial measures, which have led to the transition towards biomass-fuelled space heating such as heavy taxation of light heating diesel should be reconsidered. Based on the results of the study, and taking into and taking into account the importance of public health and the related socioeconomic cost, specific interventions are recommended, including the uplifting of heavy taxation of light heating diesel, financial incentives for replacing light heating diesel by natural gas and rational and regulated use of biomass. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the FP7 projects TRANSPHORM and URGENCHE. 64 WAVELET ANALYSIS OF HEALTH EFFECT OUTCOMES ATTRIBUTRABLE TO AIR QUALITY AND ASSOCIATED VARIABLES V. Garcia (1), P. S. Porter (2), E. Gégo (2), S. T. Rao (3) and S. Lin (4) (1) US Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, National Exposure Research Laboratory, Research Triangle Park, NC, 27711, USA; (2) Porter-Gego, Idaho Falls, ID, 83401, USA; (3) North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, 27695, USA; (4) New York State Department of Health, Center for Environmental Health Empire State Plaza, Albany, NY 12222 Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Measures of health outcomes are collinear with meteorology and air quality, making analysis of connections between human health and air quality difficult. The purpose of this analysis was to determine time scales and periods shared by the variables of interest (and by implication scales and periods that are not shared). Respiratory-related hospital admissions, meteorology (temperature and relative humidity), and air quality (fine particulate matter < 2.5 microns in size (PM2.5) and daily maximum ozone) for New York City during the period 2000-2006 were decomposed into temporal scales ranging from two days to greater than two years using a complex wavelet transform. Health effects were modeled as functions of the wavelet components of meteorology and air quality using the generalized additive model (GAM) framework. This simulation study showed that the GAM is extremely successful at extracting and estimating a health effect embedded in a dataset. It also shows that, if the objective in mind is to estimate the health signal but not to fully explain this signal, a simple GAM model with a single confounder (calendar time) whose smooth representation includes a sufficient number of constraints is as good as a more complex model. Introduction In the context of wavelet regression, confounding occurs when two or more independent variables interact with the dependent variable at the same frequency. Confounding also acts on a variety of time scales, changing the PM2.5 coefficient (magnitude and sign) and its significance according to the amount of variability at non-confounding time scales. Removal of time scales that do not interact from an analysis of hospital admissions and PM2.5 has the potential for reducing bias and parameter uncertainty. A simulation using the GAM model as presented in epidemiological studies was designed to assess how collinearity between PM2.5 and four confounding variables (calendar time, ozone 8-hr daily maximum concentration, daily maximum temperature, and relative humidity), limits our ability to accurately quantify the health effect (β) of PM2.5 on daily counts of hospital admissions. Methodology and Results The expected value of the daily hospital admissions count (log value) was modeled as the sum of three main Fig. 1 Observed time series of hospital admissions in New York City (top components plus white noise: (1) background average panel) and two simulated time series (lower panel) with different ‘flu season’ number of hospital admissions, (2) the increase in hospital terms admissions due to PM2.5 pollution and (3) a zero-mean periodic signal mimicking seasonality and factors independent from PM2.5 requiring hospital admissions (flu season in winter, pollen flare up, etc; see fig. 1). In addition to this basic dataset, a factor variable indicating whether or not a given day coincides with the 3-month (June to August) ozone season was also integrated in the dataset to allow comparison of GAM results obtained when continuous time series or temporally unconnected seasons are utilized. In order for the results not to give precedence to the confounding variables, time series of all confounders were kept unchanged for all model runs while time series of PM2.5 and hospital admissions were systematically modified. The correlation coefficient increases with the number of knots in the time smooth function, supporting that the overall effect of PM2.5 pollution on hospital admissions is rather small in comparison to the effects of other factors such as seasonality. Increasing the number of knots, i.e., increasing the winding of the ‘time’ smooth factor, quickly causes the significance of the other confounders to vanish. The latter finding suggests that a very simple GAM model in which ‘time’ is defined as the only confounder but the number of knots in the smooth term is large would be more adequate than a more complicated model to tease out the health signal embedded in the data. Conclusions The objective of this simulation study was to assess the skills of the GAM model at teasing out the health factor hidden in the data, particularly in the presence of confounding variables. We found that other factors (e.g., seasonality) have a much larger effect than PM2.5 on respiratory-related hospital admissions in New York State and that sufficiently accounting for these larger effects in the time-varying term also accounts for the confounders we studied. Thus, a GAM model with a single confounder (calendar time) whose smooth representation includes a sufficient number of constraints is successful at extracting and estimating a health effect embedded in a dataset. 65 IMPROVED HEALTHCARE THROUGH NEW AIR POLLUTION RISK TOOL P. Sicard (1), C. Talbot (1), O. Lesne (1), A. Mangin (1), R. Collomp (2), N. Alexandre (2), H. Zelle (3), A. Mika (3), D. Melas (4), D. Balis (4), A. Poupkou (4), Th. Giannaros (4), V. Costigliola (5) and D. Chloros (5) (1) ACRI-ST, 260 route du Pin Montard, BP 234, 06904 Sophia Antipolis Cedex, France; (2) Centre Hospitalier Universitaire of Nice - 4, Avenue Reine Victoria, BP 1179, 06003 Nice Cedex, France; (3) BMT ARGOSS, P.O. Box 61, 8325 ZH Vollenhove, Voorsterweg 28, 8316 PT Marknesse, The Netherlands; (4) AUTH, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, campus Box 149, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece; (5) European Medical Association (EMA), Avenue des Volontaires, 19, 1160 Bruxelles – Belgique Presenting author email: [email protected] Theme(s): Air pollution, Environment and health, Risk assessment Summary Scientists have elaborated a new and easy-to-use tool that allows health professionals to monitor the day-to-day sanitary risks posed by short-term exposure to main urban air pollutants. The tool enables vulnerable groups, such as asthmatics, to take precautionary measures. It also increases the public awareness to health impacts of air pollution. Introduction It has been estimated that in a typical urban environment, citizens are exposed to multiple air pollutants. Among these pollutants, sulphur dioxide, fine particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide and ground-level ozone have been linked to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. Regional authorities are increasingly interested in monitoring air quality in line with the EU Air Quality Framework Directive. Various indicators of air pollution already exist; many are not accompanied by adequate health advices nor related to specific pathologies. Methodology and Results We have devised a rating system to predict whether the risk of an increase in a particular health defect (e.g., asthma, Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease or ischemic heart disease) is low, moderate, high or very high for a given location at a given time. We have tested this forecasting tool in Greece (Thessaloniki and Athens), the Netherlands and South-east of France (Provence Alpes Côte d’Azur). The chosen sites are known to be among the mostly affected cities by air pollution in Europe. The “Aggregate Risk Index” (ARI) tool is calculated from reference values (relative risk) for a given health endpoint, associated with an increase of each pollutant concentration, and are derived from health data collected during epidemiological studies. Relative risks are ideally computed for each specific region, and known as exposure-response functions, i.e. mortality rates and daily hospital admissions related to air pollution. For each measured pollutant, the result is expressed as risks of increasing the incidence for a given health defect. An estimate of the total risk for a given health defect, is then calculated from the sum of the individual risks for a mixture of pollutants. These are not only accounting for possible additive effects but also are allowing users to compare relative contributions of each pollutant. This risk is then converted into a simple numerical rating generally from 1 to 10 (1 = low risk, 10 = very high risk), and specific to the study area. Conclusions The ARI tool is intended to manage health responses to pollution events on a regional scale. The ARI rating scale can extend past a value of 10 in very highly polluted areas, which indicates that even healthy people may suffer negative health effects from short-term exposure. The ARI rating is accompanied by appropriate health advices for vulnerable people with heart or lung problems, such as reducing strenuous outdoor activity. Acknowledgement This study was financially supported by the European Commission under the FP7 project PASODOBLE (Contract No. 241557). References Sicard P. et al. (2012). The Aggregate Risk Index: An intuitive tool providing the health risks of air pollution to health care community and public. Atmospheric Environment, 46: 11-16. Sicard P. et al. (2011). Air Quality Trends and Potential Health Effects - Development of an Aggregate Risk Index. Atmospheric Environment 45: 1145-1153. 66 ASSESSING INDIVIDUAL EXPOSURE TO BLACK CARBON IN THE EUROPEAN DISTRICT IN BRUSSELS USING OSPMBC MODELLING AND MOBILE MEASUREMENTS P. Declerck (1a), O. Brasseur (1b), B. Heene (2) and P. Vanderstraeten (1b) (1a) Dept. Health, Chemistry Lab. & Indoor; Brussels Environment, Gulledelle 100, 1200 Brussels, Belgium; (1b) Dept. Telemetric Network & IRCEL-CELINE; Brussels Environment, Gulledelle 100, 1200 Brussels, Belgium; (2) Earth & Life Institute, Université Catholique de Louvain, Place de l’Université 1, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium Presenting author e-mail: [email protected] Summary Several scientific studies already suggested the use of Black Carbon (BC) as a valuable additional air quality indicator to evaluate health risks of air pollution dominated by primary combustion emissions. A first step in this evaluation process is BC exposure assessment, which was the subject of this study. Hereto, OSPMBC (Operational Street Pollution Model for Black Carbon) modelling and mobile measurements were performed. BC exposure of pedestrians and car drivers was determined for three canyon streets, representative for the European district in Brussels. Our results showed that both were exposed to an average BC increment of 4-10 µg/m3. Car drivers were generally more exposed to BC (1-3 µg/m3) compared to pedestrians. Introduction BC, commonly referred to as soot, is present in primary car exhaust and can induce respiratory and cardiovascular health problems, as well as premature death. Local BC concentrations can be very high during busy commuting periods, and among people walking, living, playing close to busy roads and/or canyon streets. These last ones are generally defined as narrow streets lined with tall buildings. Methodology and Results OSPMBC modelling (Brasseur et al., submitted) and mobile measurements were performed on the following assembly of canyon streets, representative for the European district in Brussels: the Law, Belliard and Joseph II street. In a first step of the exposure assessment, OSPMBC validation was performed using aethalometer measurements. Mobile data were obtained during five measurement campaigns performed in the period October 2012-March 2013 in the morning rush hour and at noon. Measured and simulated BC concentrations correlated well with a correlation coefficient ranging between 0.74 and 0.79. In a second step, exposure to BC concentration was modelled for both pedestrians and car drivers (Fig.1). Concerning the three canyon streets, pedestrians and car drivers are exposed to an Fig.1 BC exposure of (a) car drivers and (b) pedestrians in three canyon streets averaged increment in BC concentrations of 4-10 in Brussels. Exposures were simulated using OSPMBC for five measurement µg/m³. Car drivers were generally more exposed to campaigns. Concerning pedestrians, the results are presented for the left (L) and right (R) sides of the sidewalk. The circles represent the average BC BC (1-3 µg/m3) compared to pedestrians. concentrations; while the intervals represent the concentration range. Concerning the last ones, a difference was noted between the left and right sidewalks, with an averaged magnitude of 1-2 µg/m³. This is mainly due to a prevailing wind blowing from the South-West direction, which favours certain configurations for the recirculation of pollutants in the canyon street. BC exposure and the related health impact depend on numerous factors, in particular on traffic and meteorology. In this study, OSPMBC sensitivity was tested for the following input variables: traffic intensity, traffic speed, wind velocity, and wind direction. The most sensitive variables were traffic intensity (03000 vehicles/hour: BC increase of 7.9 µg/m3) and wind velocity (100.5 m/s: BC increase of 4.5 µg/m3). Conclusions Based on the comparison of simulated and measured BC concentrations, we can conclude that OSPMBC is able to accurately simulate individual BC exposures in canyon streets. Pedestrians and car drivers were exposed to enhanced BC concentrations that can induce on short or long term non-negligible health impacts. Acknowledgements This work was financed by the ExpAIR project (Assessment of the Individual Exposure of the Brussels Population to Urban Air Pollution), financed by the Brussels Region. Authors would like to acknowledge Dario Hamesse for his assistance during the different sampling campaigns and data analyses. References Brasseur O., Declerck P., Heene B., Vanderstraeten P. Modelling Black Carbon concentrations in two busy canyon streets in Brussels using the OSPM approach. Submitted to Atmospheric Environment. 67 ENVIRONMENTAL METEOROLOGY – PROCESSES AND INTERACTIONS 68 IMAGING OF NITROGEN DIOXIDE DURING AND AFTER AN ACTIVE LIGHTNING STORM R. R Graves1, R. J. Leigh1, E. Arnone2, J. P. Lawrence1, K. Faloon3 and P. S. Monks3 1Earth Observation Science Group, The Space Research Centre, The University of Leicester, University Road, Leicester, LE1 7RH, UK, 2 Istituto di Scienze dell'Atmosfera e del Clima (ISAC), Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR), Via Gobetti 101, 40129 Bologna, Italy 3The Department of Chemistry, The University of Leicester, University Road, Leicester, LE1 7RH, UK Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to assess the ability of an Imaging Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy (IDOAS) instrument, CityScan, to measure Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2) emissions during and after an active lightning storm. CityScan measurements will be used in conjunction with in situ monitors to attempt to quantify the additional NO2 which is measured in a city during a lightning storm. Introduction Nitrogen dioxide is an important air pollutant which is produced in all combustion processes and can reduce lung function; especially in sensitised individuals. A significant natural source of NO2 is lightning. The percentage of NOx emitted by lightning (LNOx) varies with latitude between 4 and 23%. In urban areas, where regulatory limits for NO2 are often exceeded it is important for local authorities to understand the contribution to emissions which is caused by natural sources as well as anthropogenic. Methodology and Results The measurement technique which will be used in this study is based upon the DOAS method. DOAS is now commonly used as an air quality measuring system; primarily through the measurements of NO2 both as a ground-based and satellite technique. CityScan has been optimised to measure concentrations of nitrogen dioxide. CityScan has a 95˚ field of view (FOV) between the zenith and 5˚ below the horizon. Across this FOV there are 128 resolved elements which are measured concurrently, the spectrometer is rotated Figure 2 NO2 imaged during an active lightning storm in Bologna, Italy on the 13th of June 2012. azimuthally 1˚ per second providing full hemispherical coverage every 6 minutes. CityScan measures concentrations of nitrogen dioxide over specific lines of sight and due to the extensive field of view of the instrument this produces measurements which are representative over city-wide scales. Two CityScan instruments were deployed in Bologna, Italy throughout June 2012 as part of the PEGASOS campaign. The imaging capability of the CityScan instruments allowed LNO2 to be imaged both in-cloud and beneath the cloud during the active part of a storm which occurred on the 13th of June 2012. Also imaged was the city-wide pollution which resulted after the storm had passed, which is hypothesised to be caused by emissions from the soil. Results from CityScan instruments in conjunction with the Bologna in situ monitors will be used to assess the contribution of LNO2 within a city during and after an active lightning storm. Conclusions This study has demonstrated the ability of the CityScan technique to monitor natural emissions of NO2 within a complex urban environment and to quantify the additional NO2 which can be measured owing to these natural processes. This will prove to be invaluable information for local authorities who have been tasked with emission reduction. Acknowledgments This work has been supported by grants from NERC (R8/H12/82), CEOI and the PEGASOS project. References Ulrich Platt and Jochen Stutz. 2008, Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy: Principles and Applications. Springer, Berlin, Germany. U. Schumann and H. Huntrieser, 2007, The global lightning-induced nitrogen oxides source. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 7(14):3823-3907. 69 INLET AND OUTLET SHAPE DESIGN OF NATURAL CIRCULATION BUILDING VENTILATION SYSTEMS J. J. Swiegers, R. T. Dobson Centre for Renewable and Sustainable Energy Studies (CRSES), University of Stellenbosch, Stellenbosch, 7600, South Africa Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to determine an optimised shape for inlet and outlet configurations for a Solar Chimney Augmented Passive Downdraught Evaporative Cooling (SCAPDEC) system for a wide range of environmental conditions (see Fig.1). A two dimensional theoretical model was built and used along with a CFD model to validate experimental results. Four inlet and four outlet configurations were tested with varying wind direction and intensity and varying SC or PDEC draft speeds. A good correlation was found between the theoretical and experimental data. The DSI-design (Dobson Swiegers Inlet) configuration was determined to be the optimised inlet configuration, as it was successful in funnelling wind into the PDEC tower and performed well in passive and start-up conditions. The optimised outlet configuration was determined to be the DSO-design (Dobson Swiegers Outlet) configuration. It was determined that kinetic energy from wind could be harnessed to increase fresh air flow through the ventilation system, if the set of installed configurations were designed to do so. Introduction Natural ventilated buildings can significantly reduce environmental emissions when compared with conventional airconditioned buildings (Martinez, 2000). In arid countries it can entirely avoid the need for air-conditioning. Sundell (2002) states that most people spend up to 90% of their time indoors. The most important environment in relation to our health, is the indoor environment. Natural ventilation can provide fresh air indoors, without the need for re-circulation. Biological pollutants and infectious diseases can be re-circulated into the same environment with normal air-conditioning systems. SCAPDEC systems draw in fresh air, humidifies it, forces it into the living space and flushes out the old air. Humidifying air does, however, increase the risk of fungi and bacteria exposure as declared by the World Health Organization: Indoor air pollution (2008). It is therefore vital that evaporative pads in the PDEC tower are regularly replaced. Developing inlet and outlet shapes that increase the flow rate of fresh air through the system could increase the efficiency of this system to challenge conventional air-conditioning systems on a global scale. Fig.1 Solar Chimney Augmented Passive Downdraught Evaporative Cooling (SCAPDEC) System Methodology and Results A scale model of the system, comprising of the SC and PDEC, was built along independent, full scale models of both the SC and the PDEC. A wind tunnel that can test configurations at low wind and system draft speeds was also build with points for measuring temperatures, pressures and relative humidity. The aim of testing these configurations was to determine an energy loss coefficient for each and to establish the best set of configurations to obtain maximum air flow through the system for most environmental conditions. The configurations were tested for transient and steady state conditions with and without wind present. The experimental results were then compared with the theoretical two dimensional and CFD models. The DSIdesign and the DSO-design configurations obtained the lowest loss coefficients for most of the tests administered. They were also the only set of configurations capable of providing the living space with fresh air in the tests where there was only wind present and no SC or PDEC draft speeds. The theoretical models also accurately predicted the measured data. Conclusions Optimised shapes for inlet and outlet configurations that are capable of providing fresh air to a living space for a wide range of environmental conditions were determined. Installing the DSI-design and DSO-design configuration on a natural ventilation system could increase the air flow through the system to meet the cooling load requirements while providing occupant thermal comfort. The two dimensional model is also accurate in predicting subtle changes and in conjunction with the CFD model is capable of predicting system temperatures and flow rates for most environmental and operating conditions. References Martinez, D., 2000. Thermal Simulation of Passive Downdraught Evaporative Cooling (PDEC) in non-domestic buildings. MCITI. July 2000. Sundell, J., 2002. Sustainable built environment. Vol. 1. Health and Comfort in Buildings. Technical University of Denmark, Lyngby. Denmark. World Health Organization, 2008. Training for the health sector: indoor air pollution. [pdf]. Available at: <http://www.who.int/ceh/capacity/Indoor_Air_Pollution.pdf > [Accessed 11 October 2012]. 70 INFLUENCE OF SURFACE AND SUBSIDENCE THERMAL INVERSION ON PM2.5 AND BLACK CARBON CONCENTRATION E. Gramsch (1), D. Cáceres (1), P. Oyola (2), F. Reyes (2), Y. Vasquez (2), M. A. Rubio (3) (1)Department of Physics, University of Santiago, Santiago, Chile; (2)Mario Molina Center, Santiago, Chile; (3)Faculty of Chemistry, University of Santiago, Santiago, Chile Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary A study of particulate matter and temperature in the atmosphere in several places in Chile along several years has been carried out with the objective to determine the influence of thermal inversion on PM2.5 and black carbon. Vertical temperature profiles have been measured in 2004 from airplanes, in 2005 in a hill, in 2009 from an airplane in Santiago de Chile and in 2011 in a hill in a rural site. These measurements were used to separate the days that had surface and subsidence inversion. The results indicate that in days with both types of inversion (subsidence and surface) the PM2.5 concentration was 98% higher than days without any type of inversion. In addition, the days with only surface inversion the concentration during the morning (1 – 10 AM) was higher than days with only subsidence inversion or without inversion. In the rural site, only the surface inversion was determined because temperature was measured only at three heights. In this site, on days with surface temperature inversion, higher concentration of black carbon was found only during the morning. Introduction In many urban centers there are hills that restrict wind speed and horizontal transport of pollutants. In such places, dispersion and dilution through vertical mixing is essential in reducing air pollution concentrations1. In central Chile, during winter, frequent temperature inversions lead to stable atmospheric conditions which constrain vertical airflow, trapping pollutants below the inversion cap leading to concentrations that are many times higher the WHO standards. 250 PM2.5, June 2004 Concentration (g/m3) Methodology and Results During winter of 2004, temperature profiles up to 10,000 m were measured from commercial aircraft departing from the main airport in Santiago de Chile. Data were collected from MADIS (Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System) depending from NOAA for the months of June, July and August. PM2.5 concentrations were measured in one of the stations of the Macam Network, which belongs to the Ministry of the Environment. Fine particle mass, PM2.5 was measured with a Tapered Element Oscillating Microbalance (TEOM). One hour measurements were taken in the station closest to the airport (Pudahuel). 200 Surface and subsidence inv. No Inversion surface Inversion 150 100 50 0 The temperature data were used to select days in which there were 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 surface and subsidence inversion, days in which there were only Hour of day surface inversion and days without inversion. The PM2.5 hourly average was calculated for these three situations and are shown in Fig. 1 Average PM2.5 in Pudahuel station in Santiago Figure 1. During days in which there is only surface inversion, PM2.5 de Chile in days with and without thermal inversion. concentration is higher during the morning (1 – 6 AM). During the evening or night, the concentration is similar to days without inversion. In contrast, in days in which there is surface and subsidence inversion, the concentration is higher during the morning, but much higher during the night. In a rural site, temperature and was measured in a hill during winter of 2011 at three heights. Black carbon (BC) was measured at the bottom of the hill. The site is located in a small town that uses wood burning for heating. As before, days with surface temperature inversion were separated from days without inversion. The results show that inversion only has influence on BC only during the morning, not in the evening or night. Similar measurements in a hill in Santiago de Chile in winter of 2005 also show that surface inversion only has influence in the morning PM2.5 concentration. Conclusions Temperature inversion measured in several places show that surface inversion influences PM2.5 or BC concentrations only during the morning. Subsidence inversion has influence during the whole day. References The effect of temperature inversions on ground-level nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) using temperature profiles from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS), J. Wallace, P. Kanaroglou, Science of the Total Environment 407 (2009) 5085–5095. 71 PERFORMANCE OF EUROPEAN CHEMISTRY-TRANSPORT MODELS AS FUNCTION OF HORIZONTAL SPATIAL RESOLUTION C. Cuvelier (1), P. Thunis (1), D. Karam (1), M. Schaap (2), C. Hendriks (2), R. Kranenburg (2), H. Fagerli (3), A. Nyiri (3), D. Simpson (3), P. Wind (3), M. Schultz (3), B. Bessagnet (4), A. Colette (4), E. Terrenoire (4), L. Rouil (4), R. Stern (5), A. Graff (6), J. M. Baldasano (7), M. T. Pay (7) (1) European Commission, DG Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, I-21020 Ispra (Va), Italy; (2) TNO Built Environment and Geosciences, Dept. of Air Quality and Climate, P.O. Box 80015, NL-3508TA Utrecht, The Netherlands; (3) Air Pollution Section Research Department, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 43, Blindern, N0313, Oslo, Norway; (4) INERIS, Institut National de l’Environnement Industriel et des Risques, Parc Technologique, ALATA, F-60550 Verneuil-en-Halatte, France ; (5) Freie Universität Berlin, Institut für Meteorologie und Troposphärische Umweltforschung, Carl-Heinrich-Becker Weg 6-10, D-12165 Berlin, Germany ; (6) Umweltbundesamt, Postfach 1406, D06813 Dessau-Roßlau, Germany; (7) Barcelona Supercomputing Center, c/ Jordi Girona 29, E-08034 Barcelona, Spain Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This systematic chemistry-transport model intercomparison study aims to quantify the impact of horizontal spatial resolution on the simulated concentrations of Ozone, NO2, PM10, and PM2.5, including PM components. Five modelling teams participated in this study by performing annual runs over Europe at four different horizontal resolutions (56, 28, 14, 7 km). All model results were analysed at central level, quantification of the intercomparison was based on various statistical parameters using the Fairmode DeltaTool (cf. Thunis et al. 2011). The complete study is published as an EMEP Technical Report (cf. Cuvelier et al. 2013). Introduction The EMEP MSC-W models have been instrumental to the development of air quality policies in Europe since the late 1970s. In the 1990s the EMEP models became also the reference tools for atmospheric dispersion calculations as input to the Integrated Assessment Modelling, which supports the development of air quality policies in the European Union. Since 1999, the EMEP model has been run on a resolution of 50x50 km2. However, the last years, modification of the EMEP grid has been discussed, an important aspect of which is the grid resolution. To support EMEP in this decision, an initiative was taken for a model inter-comparison exercise aimed at analysing the model performance of different chemical-transport models as a function of model horizontal spatial resolution. Methodology an Results Five modelling teams participated in the exercise: EMEP MSC-W, CHIMERE (INERIS), LOTOS-EUROS (TNO), RCGC (Berlin Freie Universität), and CMAQ (BSC). Each modelling team carried out four model simulations with different horizontal resolutions (56, 28, 14 and 7km). The simulations were performed for the year 2009 for the EC4MACS domain encompassing Europe. The horizontal spatial resolution ranges from a 1.0x0.5 degrees to 0.125x0.0625 degrees, which corresponds to 56x56 km and 7x7 km in the Northern part of the domain and to 88x56 km and 11x7 km in the Southern part of the domain, respectively. The model-to-model and model-to-measurements intercomparisons were performed at a central location (JRC) to ensure a harmonised evaluation procedure based.on various statistical indicators. For this purpose the DeltaTool, developed in the frame of the FAIRMODE activity, has been used. The study focused on the following pollutants: Ozone, NO2, PM10, and PM2.5 and PM components. Conclusions The analysis showed that the grid size does not play a major role for air quality model calculations which are targeted on the determination of the background (non-urban) air quality. Downscaling model resolution does not change concentration estimates and model performance at rural and EMEP sites. However, the grid resolution plays an important role in agglomerations characterized by high emission densities. The urban signal, i.e. the concentration difference between high emission areas and their surroundings, usually increases with decreasing grid size. This grid effect is more pronounced for NO2 than for PM10. This study clearly shows that increasing model resolution is advantageous and that leaving a resolution of 50 km in favour of a resolution between 10-20 km is practical and worthwhile. Other input data, notably emissions and meteorological data, are also available at this scale, but become more problematic at finer resolutions. Further improvements of resolution should go hand in hand with improved resolution of meteorological models, the improved representation of spatial and temporal variability in emission data as well as process descriptions. References Cuvelier C., Thunis P., Karam D., Schaap M., Hendriks C., Fagerli H., Nyiri A., Simpson D., Wind P., Schultz M., Bessagnet B., Colette A., Terrenoire E., Rouil R., Stern R., Graff A., Baldasano J.M., Pay M.T., 2013, ScaleDep - Performance of European chemistry-transport models as function of horizontal spatial resolution. EMEP Technical Report 1/2013. Thunis P., Georgieva E, Pederzoli A., 2011: The DELTA tool and Benchmarking Report template: Concepts and User’s Guide Version 1. P.. Fairmode report, http://fairmode.ew.eea.europa.eu/ 72 INTENSIVE RESEARCH-GRADE NETWORK FOR TURBULENCE OBSERVATIONS OVER HELSINKI C.R. Wood (1), R.D. Kouznetsov (1,2), A. Nordbo (3), S. Joffre (1), A. Hirsikko (1,4), A. Karppinen (1), L. Järvi (3), P. Ukkonen (1,3), T. Vesala (3), V. Vakkari (1), E.J. O'Connor (1,5), J. Kukkonen (1) (1) Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palménin aukio 1, FI-00101, Helsinki, Finland; (2) A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Moscow, Russia; (3) Department of Physics, University of Helsinki, FI-00014, Helsinki, Finland; (4) Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Institut für Energie-und Klimaforschung: Troposphäre (IEK-8), Jülich, Germany; (5) Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, RG6 6BB, Reading, United Kingdom. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Helsinki UrBAN (Urban Boundary-layer Atmosphere Network, http://urban.fmi.fi) is an intensive observational network to study the physical processes in the urban atmosphere. Helsinki has many unique science features worthy of study, such as a range of surface types (urban, sea, forest), strong seasonality and fairly frequently occurring extremely stable atmospheric conditions (Helsinki UrBAN is the world’s most poleward intensive urban research observation network). The network’s key purpose is for understanding the physical processes which affect fluxes of heat, momentum, moisture and other tracers such as aerosol and gases. A secondary purpose is to secure a research-grade database which can be used to validate and develop numerical models of air quality and weather prediction. Introduction To understand and predict concentrations of air pollutants, we need to know emissions, atmospheric processes and depositions. Here, we focus on physical processes in atmospheric boundary layer, such as transport and mixing. Most other international studies of atmospheric boundary layers (ABLs) above cities have focused on specific campaigns, often with less than one year of measurements. This has caused a lack of intensive research-grade long-term ABL observations over cities—particularly from highlatitude cities. Thus, Helsinki UrBAN’s (Wood et al., 2013a) major purposes are: (i) understanding the physical processes in urban ABL’s, (ii) validation and development of numerical models (weather prediction, air quality and chemical transport), and (iii) interaction with instrument developers to obtain best use of instrumentation. Fig.1 Helsinki UrBAN map with equipment locations marked Methodology (legend). EC is eddy covariance. HARMONIE grid points are We use a range of research-grade equipment: from the numerical weather prediction model. scintillometers, scanning Doppler lidar, ceilometers, sodar, eddy-covariance stations and radiometers. Those equipment are supplemented by a range of equipment whose primary purpose is not for studying the atmospheric boundary layer itself (mostly at the mesoscale), such as vertical soundings and the operational Doppler radar network. Conclusions Science examples include, e.g., (i) exceptional evidence of a stable boundary layer above an urban surface (Nordbo et al., 2012), and (ii) comparison of scintillometer data (temperature structure parameter) with sonic anemometry above an urban surface (Wood et al., 2013b). Parts of Helsinki UrBAN have been operating since 2004, with large expansion in 2010–2013. In addition we plan to develop this network’s equipment and collaborations. We invite other people to bring their instrumentation and/or expertise beside ours, and/or use the already available measured datasets, for the advancement of technology, science and applications. Acknowledgement EC FP7 ERC Grant No. 227915 “Atmospheric planetary boundary layers – physics, modelling and role in Earth system”. References Nordbo, A., Järvi, L., Haapanala, S., Moilanen, J. and Vesala, T.: Intra-city variation in urban morphology and turbulence structure in Helsinki, Finland, Boundary-Layer Meteorology, doi:10.1007/s10546-012-9773-y, 2012. Wood, C. R., Järvi, L., Kouznetsov, R. D., Nordbo, A., Joffre, S. M., Drebs, A., Vihma, T., Hirsikko, A., Suomi, I., Fortelius, C., O’Connor, E. J., et al.: An overview on the Urban Boundary-layer Atmosphere Network in Helsinki, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 11, 2013a. Wood, C. R., Kouznetsov, R. D., Gierens, R., Nordbo, A., Järvi, L., Kallistratova, M. A. and Kukkonen, J.: On the Temperature Structure Parameter and Sensible Heat Flux over Helsinki from Sonic Anemometry and Scintillometry, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 30, 1604–1615, 2013b. 73 MEASUREMENT OF AIR POLLUTANTS AND SOURCE APPORTIONMENT 74 PLUMES WITH ELEVATED MERCURY CONCENTRATIONS OBSERVED DURING CARIBIC FLIGHTS IN 2005 - 2013 F. Slemr (1), A. Weigelt (2), R. Ebinghaus (2), C. A. M. Brenninkmeijer (1), T. Schuck (1), A. Rauthe-Schöch (1), M. Hermann (3), P. van Velthoven (4), D. Oram (5), A. Zahn (6) and H. Ziereis (7) (1) Max-Planck-Institut for Chemistry, Hahn-Meitner-Weg 1, D-55128 Mainz, Germany; (2) Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Institute for Coastal Research, Max-Planck-Strasse 1, D-21502 Geesthacht, Germany; (3) Leibniz Institut für Troposphärenforschung, Permoserstrasse 15, D-04318 Leipzig, Germany; (4) Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), P.O.Box 201, NL-3730 AE De Bilt, Netherlands; (5) University of East Anglia, School of Environmental Sciences, Norwich NR4 7TJ, United Kingdom; (6) Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung (IMK), Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Weberstrasse 5, D-76133 Karlsruhe, Germany; (7) Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Institute for Physics of the Atmosphere, D-82230 Wessling, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Tropospheric sections of CARIBIC (Civil Aircraft for the Regular Investigation of the Atmosphere Based on an Instrumented Container) flights from December 2005 until June 2013 were investigated for the occurrence of plumes with elevated Hg and CO concentration ratios. Additional information on hydrocarbon, halocarbon, acetone, and acetonitrile mixing ratios combined with backward trajectories enable us to classify the plumes and to determine areas of their origin. Altogether 69 plumes with elevated Hg and CO concentrations were identified at 10 – 12 km altitude and Hg/CO emission ratios for 42 of them could be calculated. Most of the plumes were found over Far East, Equatorial Africa, South America regions and over South East Asia. The plumes over the Equatorial Africa and South America originate predominantly from biomass burning as evidenced by low Hg/CO emission ratios and elevated mixing ratios of acetonitrile, CH3Cl and CH3Br. Backward trajectories point to sub-Saharan regions and the Amazon basin with its outskirts as the source areas. The plumes encountered over the Far East and Pakistan and India are predominantly of urban/industrial origin, sometimes mixed with products of biomass/biofuel burning. Backward trajectories point mostly to source areas in China and northern India. Introduction Mercury in the aquatic environment can be converted to methyl mercury, a potent neurotoxin, which is bioaccumulated in the aquatic nutrition chain to levels harmful to humans and animals. Mercury is emitted by natural and anthropogenic processes and due to a lifetime of about 1 yr in the atmosphere it can be transported and deposited far away from its sources. Mercury emissions in the developed countries are being reduced by control measures while they are increasing in the developing countries with the increasing consumption of energy and materials. Regular CARIBIC flights over northern hemisphere and some regions of southern hemisphere reveal different types of mercury sources and their changing distribution and provide emission ratios which can help to quantify anthropogenic emissions. Methodology and Results Mercury is being measured during monthly intercontinental flights (Brenninkmeijer et al., 2007) by an instrument with a temporal resolution of 5-15 min (Ebinghaus et al., 2007; Slemr et al., 2009). Plumes were identified by concurrently elevated CO and Hg concentrations. Hg/CO emission ratios were calculated from their correlations within the plume. Altogether 69 plumes were identified and the Hg vs CO correlations were significant for 42 of them. Hg/CO emission ratios in plumes over Equatorial Africa and South America are usually <2.5 pg m-3 ppb-1 which is characteristic for biomass burning. This conclusion is supported by elevated CH3Cl, CH3Br, and acetonitrile concentrations. Hg/CO emission ratios for plumes over Far East and South East Asia vary between 2.28 and 18.24 pg m-3 ppb-1 (median 8.04 pg m-3 ppb-1) suggesting sources ranging from biomass/biofuel burning to urban/industrial, the latter ones with Hg/CO emission ratios usually larger than 5 pg m-3 ppb-1. Only two plumes were found in other regions: one over Eastern Europe and one over North America. Conclusions The results point to biomass/biofuel burning as a substantial mercury source not only in equatorial Africa and South America but also in Far East and the Indian subcontinent. However, urban/industrial emission, most probably from coal burning and mercury mining and use is the dominating source in Far East and the Indian subcontinent. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the European Commission as a part of the GMOS (Global Mercury Observation System) and by Fraport AG. We thank Dieter Scharfe, Klaus Koeppel, Stefan Weber, and many others from the CARIBIC team for carrying out the flights and providing the data. References Brenninkmeijer, C.A.M., et al., 2007. Civil aircraft for the regular investigation of the atmosphere based on an instrumented container: The new CARIBIC system, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 7, 1-24. Ebinghaus, R., et al., 2007. Emissions of gaseous mercury from biomass burning in South America in 2005 observed during CARIBIC flights, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L08813, doi:10.1029/2006GL028866. Slemr, F., et al., 2009. Gaseous mercury distribution in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere observed onboard the CARIBIC passenger aircraft, Atmos. Chem. Phys. 9, 1957-1969. 75 A SYNERGIC APPROACH FOR PM2.5 SOURCE APPORTIONMENT THROUGH RECEPTOR MODELLING AND CHEMICAL TRANSPORT MODEL SIMULATIONS P. Brotto (1)(3), M. C. Bove (1)(3), F. Cassola (1)(3), E. Cuccia (1)(3), D. Massabò (1)(3), A. Mazzino (2)(3) and P. Prati (1)(3) (1) Department of Physics & INFN, University of Genoa, via Dodecaneso 33, 16146, Italy; (2) Department of Civil, Chemical and Environmental Engineering & INFN, University of Genoa, via Montallegro 1, 16145, Italy; (3) PM_TEN srl, via Dodecaneso 33, 16146, Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Receptor Models and Chemical Transport Models are both widely adopted tools in source apportionment studies even if they require different expertise and are usually used separately. We discuss here the outcomes of an experiment, performed in the wider frame of the MED-APICE project, in which we used both methods to apportion the main PM2.5 (i.e. Particulate Matter with aerodynamic diameter lower than 2.5 µm) sources in the urban area of the city of Genoa (Italy). The different information provided by the two approaches where jointly used to draw a clearer picture of PM2.5 composition and origin and establishing the basis for a more general methodology. Introduction The characterization of emission sources is one of the most important issues with Particulate Matter (PM) pollution even to assess efficient abatement strategies and verify their effectiveness. Receptor models aim to reconstruct the contribution of emissions from different sources processing time series of PM compositional values measured at specific monitoring sites. Positive Matrix Factorization, PMF (Paatero and Tapper, 1994) has rapidly become a reference tool in this research field. Chemical Transport Models (CTMs) represent instead a different approach widely used for the investigation and assessment of ambient air quality at various spatial and temporal scales (Pirovano et al., 2012). Source apportionment tools are implemented in a number of models to help understanding the contributions to specific geographic receptor locations from particular emission sources, specific model processes, or individual chemical pathways. Receptor models and chemical transport models are both widely adopted even if rarely with a synergic approach. The research work here described aims to contribute to this general issue with the outcomes of a field experiment designed to allow a comparison and integration of receptor models and CTMs. Methodology and Results A PM2.5 sampling campaign was carried out collecting daily PM2.5 samples for about six month of year 2011 contemporarily in three sites throughout the urban area of Genoa selected according to the direction of prevailing winds. Subsequent compositional analyses included the speciation of single elements, major ions and Organic and Elemental Carbon and produced a large database for receptor modelling through Positive Matrix Factorization. Simulations by the mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model WRF (Skamarock, 2008) and the Eulerian CTM CAMx (ENVIRON, 2010) have been run over the whole monitoring period as well. Through subsequent nesting levels, meteorological and pollutant concentration fields were obtained up to resolutions of order of 1 km. Source apportionment for PM2.5 was evaluated by CAMx in the same period of the monitoring campaign through the specific Particulate Source Apportionment Technology (PSAT) tool. PSAT estimates the contribution from specific emissions source groups, emissions source regions, initial conditions, and boundary conditions to PM using reactive tracers. Conclusions Even if moving from different source categorizations (i.e. groups of time-correlated compounds in PMF vs. activity categories in CAMx), the PM2.5 source apportionment by PMF and CAMx produced a pretty comparable picture both in terms of number and impact of sources. Considering both primary and secondary components of PM, the main anthropogenic sources in the area turned out to be road transport, energy production/industry and maritime emissions, respectively accounting for 40% - 50%, 20% - 30% and 10% - 15%, of PM2.5. Acknowledgement We gratefully acknowledge Regione Liguria and Provincia di Genova for providing an updated emission inventory for the city of Genoa. Large-scale anthropogenic emission data have been provided by the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki. This work has been supported by European Program for Territorial Cooperation MED 2007/2013 through the APICE project. References ENVIRON, 2010. User's Guide, Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions (CAMx). Version 5.30, ENVIRON International Corporation, Novato, CA. Paatero P., Tapper U., 1994. Positive matrix factorization: a non-negative factor model with optimal utilization of error estimates of data values. Environmetrics 5, 111-126. Pirovano G., Balzarini A., Bessagnet B., Emery C., Kallos G., Meleux F., Mitsakou C., Nopmongcol U., Riva G.M., Yarwood G., 2012. Investigating impacts of chemistry and transport model formulation on model performance at European scale. Atmos. Environ. 53, 93-109. Skamarock W.C., Klemp J.B., Dudhia J., Gill D.O., Barker D.M., Huang X.Z., Wang W., Powers J.G., 2008. A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 3, Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado. 76 SOURCE IDENTIFICATION OF TRACE METALS IN URBAN/INDUSTRIAL MIXED SITES OF THE CANTABRIA REGION (NORTHERN SPAIN) I. Fernández-Olmo (1), C. Andecochea (1), S. Ruiz (1) and A. Irabien (1) (1) Department of Chemical Engineering and Inorganic Chemistry, ETSII y T, University of Cantabria, Santander, Spain Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study shows the source identification of trace metals in three urban/industrial mixed sites of the Cantabria region (Northern Spain) where daily PM10 limit value exceedances were relatively high (more than 35 per year). PM10 samples were collected over three years in Camargo, Torrelavega and Los Corrales sites and analysed for As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Pb, Ni, Ti, V, Mo, Mn, Fe, Sb and Zn. Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) was used to identify the main sources of the studied metals. The factors obtained from the PMF analysis represent potential emission sources and present a characteristic profile. The analyses revealed that the main sources at each site are: traffic in Torrelavega, iron foundry and casting industry in Los Corrales and ferro-manganese alloys industry in Camargo. The other possible sources identified were minor industrial sources, combustion and traffic mixed with the previous ones. Introduction Cantabria is a small coastal region located in the Northern Spain, where the number of exceedances of daily PM10 values in some areas was higher than that allowed in 2008/50/EC Directive (35 per year). For such reason, local air quality plans have been developed in three areas of Cantabria: Camargo, Torrelavega and Los Corrales. Those air quality plans should incorporate at least information related to the origin of the pollution, including the main emission sources. So, the use of receptor modelling may help in identifying the main pollutant sources in these sites (Reff et al., 2007). Among these pollutants, trace metals are considered as good tracers of the local sources and therefore they have been chosen in this study. Methodology and Results PM10 samples were collected by gravimetric samplers at the three studied locations by CIMA, which belongs to the Environmental Department of the Cantabria Government. These samples were analyzed by ICP-MS after microwave digestion. In total, 108 samples of airborne PM10 over the years 2008, 2009 and 2010 were analysed for As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Pb, Ni, Ti, V, Mo, Mn, Fe, Sb and Zn. PMF3.0 from EPA was used for the PMF analysis, which is based on a modified form of preconditioned conjugate gradient method. The analysis revealed three potential sources of metals in the studied sites: the most important factor found in Barreda (Torrelavega) was associated with high levels of Cu, Cr and Mo, and its contribution was about 43 %. These metals are usually associated with the wear of engines and brakes of vehicles, thus traffic is the source represented by this factor. Industrial and combustion sources were also identified in this site. In Los Corrales, the main factor represents more than 65 % of the metal contribution; it showed high levels of Fe, Zn and Mn. It was associated with a local iron foundry and casting plant. Traffic and combustion sources are less important in this site. % of species Conc. of species (a) As Ni Cd Pb Cu Cr Ti Mn V Mo (b) As Cd Ni Pb Cu Ti Mn V Mo Sb Fe Zn Cd Ni Pb Cu Ti Mn V Mo Sb Fe Zn (c) As Fig.1 Main factor profiles from the PMF analysis: (a) Barreda. (b) Los Corrales. (c) Camargo Finally, about 40 % of metal contribution in Camargo was associated with a ferro-manganese alloys plant; this factor shows high levels of Mn and Fe. A minor contribution of traffic, combustion and other industrial sources also arises from the PMF analysis. Conclusions The best PMF models developed in this work were able to associate more than 89% of the metals analysed in the PM sampled in all receptor points. The analyses revealed the importance of local industrial sources on the levels of trace metals in the studied sites, mainly in Los Corrales and Camargo; traffic and combustion sources were also important in Torrelavega. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (CTM2010-16068). The authors also thank the Regional Environmental Department of the Cantabria Government and CIMA for providing the PM10 samples. References Reff A., Eberly S.I., Bhave P.V., 2007. Receptor modeling of ambient particulate matter data using positive matrix factorization: review of existing methods. Journal of Air and Waste Management Association 57, 146-154. 77 BUILDING AND CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES: A SOURCE OF ULTRAFINE PARTICLES? P. Kumar (1, 2), M. Mulheron (1) (1) Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, and (2) Environmental Flow (EnFlo) Research Centre, Faculty of Engineering & Physical Sciences (FEPS), University of Surrey, Guildford GU2 7XH, Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Construction activities are known to produce coarse particulate matter (PM10; <10 µm) as airborne dust. What is less well understood is if such activities also produce ultrafine particles (UFP; <100 nm in diameter). To investigate this, levels of UFP arising from three simulated building activities (concrete crushing, impact demolition of concrete slabs, and recycling of concrete debris) were measured. A fast response differential mobility spectrometer (Cambustion DMS50) was used to measure particle number concentrations (PNC) and size distributions (PNDs) in the 5–560 nm range at a sampling frequency of 10 Hz. The measurements were carried out under controlled conditions such that near–steady background PNCs could be recorded. The sampling point was kept close to the source process. All the activities generated UFP in notable quantities. Introduction Over the past 50 years, the rate of growth of the urban population has been significant (2.7% yr-–1) with the total predicted to reach 5 billion out of the total ~8.3 billion by 2030 (Kumar et al., 2013). Urban development is an inevitable consequence of this growth and implies the need for both new construction and concurrent demolition or refurbishment activities. Urban infrastructure is constructed from a complex mixture of construction materials including concrete, metals, ceramics and plastics. The creation, demolition or refurbishment of such infrastructure requires building activities that are known to produce PM10, but less is known about the release of fine particles (PM2.5; ≤2.5 µm), and even less regarding the emission of UFP (Kumar et al., 2012a). Through field and laboratory studies the aims are to investigate the release of UFP dust from various building activities, understand their physicochemical characteristics, dispersion and transformation behaviour in outdoor environments, and assess the exposure levels of people working on, passing-by, or living near building activities. Methodology and Results The results show a tri–modal particle size distributions for all cases, with peak diameters in fresh nuclei (<10 nm), nucleation (10–30 nm) and accumulation (30–300 nm) modes. The measured background size distributions showed modal peaks at 13 and 49 nm with average background PNCs ~1.47104 cm–3. These background modal peaks shifted towards larger sizes during the experiments and the total PNCs increased between 2-17 times the background. Dry recycling produced the highest PNCs, followed by impact demolition, wet recycling and then concrete crushing. The PNDs were converted into particle mass concentrations (PMCs). Analysis indicated that majority of new PNC and PMC release was within and over the UFP size range, respectively. The measured net PNCs (adjusted for background) were comparable with, or up to an order of magnitude larger than, the levels of PNCs arising from road–tyre interactions. This suggests that building activities can be a significant source of UFP dust. Thus field measurements are needed to study the dispersion of UFP dust into the environment and quantify their contribution to airborne UFPs and exposure for different groups. Fig.1 Net release of PNC, after subtracting background (Kumar et al., 2012b). Conclusions The shapes of the PNDs for each activity were distinct. Modal peak analysis indicated relatively fine particles produced by cube crushing, followed by slab demolition, wet and dry recycling. The results confirm that the majority of particles by number were in UFP size range. The proportions of particles on a number (<100 nm) and a mass (>100 nm) basis were noted as ~95, 79, 73 and 90% of total PNCs, and ~71, 92, 93 and 91% of total PMCs, during crushing, impact demolition, “dry” and “wet” recycling, respectively. The total particle number concentrations during the activities were 2 - 17 times the background concentrations. The highest UFP contributions came from the ‘dry’ recycling operations and could be suppressed by the use of water spraying. Comparisons with typical roadside concentrations suggest that, unlike concrete crushing, the other three process produce ~1.4, 5.3 and 6.6 times larger concentrations close to the source when in continuous operation. Acknowledgement Authors thank P. Kunapalan, F. Auckland, T. Pagkalis and R. Packiyarajah for their help during the laboratory experiments. References Kumar, P., Mulheron, M., Fisher, B., Harrison, R.M., 2012a. New Directions: Airborne ultrafine particle dust from building activities - a source in need of quantification. Atmospheric Environment 56, 262-264. Kumar, P., Mulheron, M., Som, C., 2012b. Release of ultrafine particles from three simulated building processes. Journal of Nanoparticle Research 14, 771, doi: 10.1007/s11051-012-0771-2. Kumar, P., Jain, S., Gurjar, B.R., Sharma, P., Khare, M., Morawska, L., Britter, R., 2013. New Directions: Can a “Blue Sky” return to Indian megacities? Atmospheric Environment 71, 1-4. 78 HIGHLY TIME- AND SIZE-RESOLVED MEASUREMENTS OF TRACE ELEMENTS DURING CLEARFLO, LONDON S. Visser (1), M. Furger (1), U. Flechsig (2), K. Appel (3*), R. Dressler (4), P. Zotter (1), J. G. Slowik (1), A. S. H. Prevot (1), U. Baltensperger (1) (1) Laboratory of Atmospheric Chemistry, Paul Scherrer Institute, Villigen PSI, Switzerland (2) Swiss Light Source, Paul Scherrer Institute, Villigen PSI, Switzerland (3) DESY Photon Science, Hamburg, Germany; * now: European XFEL, Hamburg, Germany (4) Laboratory of Radiochemistry and Environmental Chemistry, Paul Scherrer Institute, Villigen PSI, Switzerland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The identification and quantification of particle sources has long proven challenging due to the complex composition of ambient aerosol. Measurements of trace elements provide unique source-specific information; e.g. barium and copper are emitted by traffic sources, while vanadium and nickel are linked to heavy oil combustion. Here we present highly time- and size-resolved measurements of trace elements as part of the ClearfLo (Clean Air for London) 2012 field campaign, a multinational collaborative effort to investigate boundary layer pollution in and around London, UK. Introduction The power of source apportionment by trace elemental analysis is greatly enhanced by simultaneous measurements of complementary aerosol species. Optimization of trace elemental data requires measurements with sufficient temporal resolution to distinguish sources with different characteristic diurnal patterns such as traffic and sea salt, while size-resolved measurements can help identify different source classes with similar composition, e.g. iron from resuspension appears in coarse mode particles while brake wear processes appear in the fine mode. Methodology and Results Sampling was performed at several sites in and around London during two Intensive Observation Periods (IOPs) in 2012. During the winter IOP particulate matter was sampled at a site with heavy traffic (Marylebone Road, MR) and an urban background site (North Kensington, NK) in London, and at a rural site in Detling, southeast of London. The summer IOP embraced the Olympic Games, and sampling took place at the two London sites. Rotating drum impactors (RDIs) collected particles in the three size bins PM10-2.5, PM2.5-1.0 and PM1.0-0.1 with a high time resolution of only 2 h (Bukowiecki et al., 2005). The elemental composition of the samples was analysed by synchrotron radiation induced X-ray fluorescence spectrometry (SR-XRF) at the Swiss Light Source (Paul Scherrer Institute, CH) and at HASYLAB (Deutsches ElektronenSynchrotron, DE). The RDI SR-XRF setup provides quantification of elements with atomic numbers 11 (sodium) to 82 (lead) with a detection limit close to a few pg (Richard et al., 2010). Fig. 1 shows the median diurnal variations of selected elements in PM10-2.5 (ng m3) during the winter IOP. The rush hour peaks for iron (Fe) and barium (Ba) (top panel) are commonly observed in a street canyon with stop-and-go traffic. Ba is typically related to brake wear (e.g. Furusjö et al., 2007) and elevated concentrations are thus likely at such a site (Ba at NK was below detection limit). Elevated concentrations during daytime for mineral dust elements like aluminium (Al) and calcium (Ca) (centre panel) occur from continuous resuspension at MR. NK shows lower levels due to dilution of air during transport from the traffic to the urban background site. Rather constant values were observed for e.g. sodium (Na) and magnesium (Mg) (bottom panel). These sea salt tracers are likely advected throughout the day, but the elevated values at MR indicate local emissions as well. Fig. 1 Median diurnal variations of PM10-2.5 trace elements (ng m-3) separated into three suggested source categories for a heavy traffic (MR) and an urban background (NK) site during ClearfLo 2012, winter IOP Conclusions Emission sources with characteristic diurnal patterns are identified with highly time- and size-resolved measurements of trace elements in London. Correlations with e.g. black carbon, nitrogen oxides and meteorological conditions will enhance the source separation of the trace elements. Acknowledgement This work was funded by the ClearfLo project (NERC grant NE/H00324X/1), the Swiss National Science Foundation (grant 200021_132467 /1) and the European Community’s Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013, grant n°312284). References Bukowiecki, N. et al., 2005. Environ. Sci. Technol. 39, 5754-5762. Furusjö, E. et al., 2007. Sci. Total Environ. 387, 206-219. Richard, A. et al., 2010. Atmos. Meas. Tech. 3, 1473-1485. 79 POLYCYCLIC AROMATIC HYDROCARBONS IN PM1: SEASONAL CHANGES AND SOURCES IDENTIFICATION USING DIAGNOSTIC RATIOS D. M. Agudelo-Castañeda (1). E. C. Teixeira (1,2), and H. Silveira (2) (1) Postgraduate Program in Remote Sensing and Meteorology, Geosciences Institute, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Av. Bento Gonçalves, 9500, 91501-970, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil; (2) Research Department, Fundação Estadual de Proteção Ambiental Henrique Luis Roessler, Rua Borges de Medeiros 261, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Samples of PM1 were collected on PTFE filters in the metropolitan area of Porto Alegre, in the sampling period: august 2011-march 2013. The study area has a large number of vehicles in circulation, which use a variety of fuels, especially gasoline, diesel (5% biodiesel) and flex. PM1 samples were extracted and analyzed 16 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) using gas chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry (GC-MS) according to the methodology U.S. EPA TO-13A. The objective of this study was to analyze the seasonal changes and identify the emission sources of PAHs in PM1. In winter the total PAHs concentrations were higher than in summer, with a reason winter / summer of ≈1.68 in the study area, thus showing their seasonal variation. The analysis of emission sources was performed by applying the analysis of diagnostic ratios concentration of PAHs. Results showed contributions from mobile sources (gasoline and diesel), especially for diesel emissions. Also wood combustion, lubricant oils and fossil fuels. Further studies will be performed to apply receptor models to know the contribution of each source. Introduction PAHs are organic compounds of carbon and hydrogen found in the atmosphere and formed during the incomplete combustion and pyrolysis of organic matter, such as coal, oil, wood, gasoline, diesel, between others. PAHs are highly dependent of the particles size and the highest concentrations are found in the finest fraction. Some PAHs are carcinogens and some are associated with acute and chronic health problems. Automobile exhaust has been recognised as the major PAH contributor in urban areas. Thus, the objective of this study was to analyze the seasonal changes and identify the emission sources of PAHs in PM1. Methodology and Results PM1 was sampled for 72-h over the sampling period: august 2011–march 2013 using PTFE filters (47 mm diameter). Sequential automatic sampler for particulate matter PM162M (16.7 L·min-1) equipped with a PM1 size selective inlet was employed in the two sampling sites: Sapucaia do Sul and Canoas in south Brazil. The study area is characterized by different industries and has a large number of vehicles in circulation, which use a variety of fuels, especially gasoline, diesel (5% biodiesel) and flex. 16 PAHs were analyzed according to EPA method TO-13A. The filters containing PM1 samples were extracted with dichloromethane in Soxhlet and the extracts were later analyzed in a gaseous chromatograph coupled to a mass spectrometer (GS/MS). Napthalene (Nap), acenaphthene (Ace), acenaphthylene (Acy), fluorene (Flu), phenanthrene (Phe), anthracene (Ant), fluoranthene (Flt), pyrene (Pyr), benzo[a]anthracene (BaA), chrysene (Chry), benzo[b+k]fluoranthene (BbkF), benzo[a]pyrene (BaP), indeno[1,2,3-cd]pyrene (Ipyr), dibenzo[a,h]anthracene (DahA), benzo[ghi]perylene (BghiP) were analyzed. The mean total PAH concentration was 0.91 ng·m-3 (summer) and 1.30 ng·m-3 (winter) in Canoas; and 1.17 ng·m-3 (summer) and 2.26 ng·m-3 (winter) in Sapucaia do Sul. Total PAHs mean concentrations were higher in winter and Student’s t-test for equal means was applied, showing significant differences. The winter total PAHs mean concentration were 1.93 times higher in Sapucaia do Sul than Canoas and 1.42 times in summer. Moreover, high molecular weight PAHs (BghiP, DahA, Ipyr, BaP and BbkF) showed the highest concentration profile values in both sites. This seasonal trend observed in this study has been reported in several works of measurements of PAHs associated to atmospheric particles in urban sites. Diagnostic ratios were used to identify PAHs sources: Flu/(Flu+Pyr), [Flt/(Flt+Pyr)], [IPyr/(IPyr+BghiP)], [BaA/( BaA+Chry)], [Phe/(Phe+Ant)], [BaP/BghiP], [BaP/(BaP+Chry)], [Flu/(Flu+Pyr)]. This analysis showed that PAHs in PM1 sources were principally diesel and gasoline emissions. Also wood combustion, lubricant oils and fossil fuels were found as sources. Conclusions PAHs associated to PM1 concentrations were significantly higher in winter than in summer for the study area, thus showing a seasonal trend. High molecular weight PAHs (BghiP, DahA, Ipyr, BaP and BbkF) showed the highest concentration profile values. Diagnostic ratios analysis confirmed that diesel and gasoline emissions were PAHs sources, also wood combustion, lubricant oils and fossil fuels. Gasoline Wood Coal/ coke 1.00 IPyr/(IPyr + BghiP) 0.90 Sapucaia Canoas Diesel 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 Wood Diesel Coal 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 0.00 Acknowledgement The authors are grateful to FAPERGS and CNPq for their financial support. 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 BaA/(BaA+Chry) References Saarnio, K.; Sillanpaa, M.; Hillamo, R.; Sandell, E.; Pennanen, A.; Salonen, R. 2008. Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in size-segregated particulate matter from six urban sites in Europe. Atmospheric Environment 42, 9087-9097. 80 MOBILE MONITORING OF AIR QUALITY IN THE CITY OF ROTTERDAM M. H. Voogt (1), P. J. van der Mark (1), A. R. A. Eijk (1), P. van Breugel (2) (1) TNO, P.O. 80015, 3508 TA Utrecht, The Netherlands; (2) DCMR, Environmental Protection Agency Rijnmond, P.O. 843, 3100 AV Schiedam, The Netherlands Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In winter 2013 a pilot project was performed to investigate whether 1) it is technically feasible to measure air quality using a public transport vehicle as a mobile platform and 2) mobile monitoring of air quality has added value to policy makers (complementary to the fixed monitoring network). During 1,5 month a mobile monitoring device (DUVAS D1000) was mounted on a tram in the city of Rotterdam. The instrument turned out to be able to measure concentrations of NO and GPS coordinates with sufficient accuracy and temporal resolution. Combining the mobile measurements with urban background measurements in a GIS, resulted in maps showing average local contributions to the concentration of NO along the tram routes. In this way, insight in spatial variation within a city is significantly enhanced with only a limited number of instruments. The collected information is helpful to policy makers in several ways: e.g. tracing local hot spots, monitoring the effectiveness of measures and trends in real world vehicle park emissions and increasing public awareness and involvement. Introduction Recently, the potential of mobile monitoring of air quality has been investigated in some pilot and research projects e.g. using a bicycle (Elen et al., 2012) or public transport (e.g. Saukh et al., 2013). This innovative way of monitoring air quality goes beyond monitoring in the framework of EU regulations (assessing compliances with limit values). Other devices need to be used that fit the requirements for mounting them on vehicles. Low cost sensors are upcoming, although the quality of these sensors is often not yet good enough. The added value of mobile monitoring to policy makers is subject of this pilot study. Methodology and Results During 1,5 month a mobile monitoring device was mounted on a tram in the city of Rotterdam. We used a DUVAS D1000 UV spectrometer that has been especially developed for mobile applications. Its size allows mounting on a tram and the gases it measures are indicators for pollution by local traffic (NO and NO2). The instrument turned out to be able to measure concentrations of NO and GPS coordinates with sufficient accuracy and temporal resolution (with a 10 sec rolling average the detection limit for NO was 3 ppb). For accurate measurements of NO2, the instrument needs (and will get) further development. In a GIS measured concentration data were assigned to predefined 100 m tracks of the tram routes and the averages for the tracks were calculated. To get a realistic visualisation of the spatial variation, it turned out to be necessary to correct the mobile data for the variation in the urban background level of NO. For this normalisation, we used real time monitoring data of the fixed monitoring network. The map in Fig.2 shows average local contributions to the concentration of NO along the tram routes. NO “hot spots” and “low spots” can be detected, indicating locations either with more/fewer emissions or streets with favourable/unfavourable dispersion circumstances. Conclusions The DUVAS D1000 instrument proved to perform well with respect to the NO and GPS measurements. The strength of mobile monitoring on a tram is that over a certain period, a high number of data points is acquired since the tram passes predefined routes many times. This results in reliable estimates of the average concentration. In this way, insight in spatial variation within a city is significantly enhanced with only a limited number of instruments. The collected information is helpful to policy makers for tracing local hot spots and deciding on measures to improve air quality and monitoring their effectiveness. Also, trends in real world vehicle park emissions over a longer period can be monitored. Finally, public awareness and involvement can be increased and the mobile data collection platform can be extended to deliver air quality and other information (temperature etc.) for smart city related services. Fig.1 Mounting of the instrument on the tram Fig.2 Visualisation of monitoring data Acknowledgement This work was supported by the City Region of Rotterdam and partly funded by TNO. We further acknowledge the RET (regional public transport company) for their cooperation. References Elen, B. et al., 2013. The Aeroflex: A Bicycle for Mobile Air Quality Measurements. Sensors, 13, 221-240. Saukh O., Hasenfratz D., Thiele L., 2013. Route Selection for Mobile Sensor Nodes on Public Transport Networks. Accepted by Journal of Ambient Intelligence and Humanized Computing (Springer). 81 NEAR-ROAD PARTICLE NUMBER CONCENTRATIONS IN KUWAIT DURING SUMMERTIME A. N. Al-Dabbous (1), P. Kumar (1) (2) (1) Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Physical Science (FEPS), University of Surrey, Guildford, Surrey, GU2 7XH, United Kingdom; (2) Environmental Flow (EnFlo), FEPS University of Surrey, Guildford, Surrey, GU2 7XH, United Kingdom Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The aim of this study is to understand the behaviour of particle number concentration (PNCs) and distributions (PNDs) in the range of 5-1000nm during summertime climatic conditions in Kuwait. The measured PNDs showed a large nucleation mode at around 12nm, exhibiting majority (80.5%) of the total PNCs below 30nm. Negligible PNCs (~0.5%) were observed above 300nm, leaving only ~19% between 30 and 300nm range. The highest daily average PNC in the 5-1000 nm range was found as 1.11105 cm-3 which is much larger than those found along roadside studies in European environments (see, for example, Kumar et al., 2010). The results presented here are based on the analysis of 8 days of data out of continuously collected one month long recent experimental campaign. Rest of the data is currently under analysis. Introduction Airborne nanoparticles (referred to those below 300nm to represent majority of PNCs) have attracted the scientific community, decision makers and planners attention due to their possible adverse impact on human health and the environment (Kumar et al., 2010). Road traffic is considered to be one of the main anthropogenic sources of nanoparticles. The metrological conditions have a strong effect on the dispersion of nanoparticles, but how do these particles behave in hot, dry and dusty environments are nearly known. For the first time, this study presents the nanoparticle measurements in any Middle-East country to understand their emission and dispersion behaviour under the novel meteorological conditions. Methodology and Results Particles measurement program was perpetuated in the State of Kuwait for a period of one month, starting from 27 may 2013. Fast response differential mobility spectrometer (Cambustion DMS500) was employed near a major highway in Kuwait in order to collect particle number and distribution data in the 5-10000nm range at a sampling frequency of 1 Hz. Meteorological and primary pollutant data were obtained from Kuwait Environmental Public Authority fixed station (EPA) for the same period. In parallel, PM10 and VOC samples were also collected and analysed (data not shown). The average wind speed (WS), temperature (T) and relative humidity (RH) during the analysed days was found to be 5.36±1.4m s-1, 35±1.9oC and 15±2.5%, respectively. The average traffic on the road was ~4350 vehicles per hour. Traffic was dominated by gasoline cars that contributed ~83% of the total vehicles. PNDs showed a large peak in the nucleation mode particles at around 12nm along with two minor modes at around 65nm and 150nm (see Fig.1). Given the dominance of gasoline driven vehicles in the vehicle fleet, a noticeable peak at ~12nm was expected. Total PNCs varied in the range 0.70-1.11×105 cm-3 (see Fig.2). PNC in the 5-30nm range found to dominate (80.5%) the total PNCs, followed by particles in the 30-300 and 300-1000nm range with 19 and 0.5%, respectively. Conclusions Our preliminary results have shown relatively larger PNCs in hot and arid climate of Kuwait compared with what is generally observed by studies in European environments. Unlike other freeway studies which had two dominant peaks at ~12 and 30nm (e.g., Zhu et al., 2002), the PNDs demonstrated a large peak at ~12nm due to the dominance of gasoline vehicles and much lower heavy duty vehicles. Particles below 100 nm dominated (~93%) the total PNCs. Here, initial finding for eight days are illustrated. Detailed analysis is currently under progress and thus may lead to new findings. Acknowledgement Abdullah Al-Dabbous greatly acknowledges the Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research (KISR) for supporting this PhD research. Thanks also to Kuwait EPA for providing the meteorological and gaseous pollutant data. References Kumar, P., Robins, A., Vardoulakis, S., Britter, R., 2010. A review of the characteristics of nanoparticles in the urban atmosphere and the prospects for developing regulatory controls. Atmospheric Environment 44, 5035-5052. Agus, E.L., Young, D.T., Lingard, J.J.N., Smalley, R.J., Tate, J.E., Goodman, P.S., Tomlin, A.S., 2007. Factors influencing particle number concentrations, size distributions and modal parameters at a roof-level and roadside site in Leicester, UK. Science of the Total Environment 386, 65-82. 82 MULTIPLE CH4 SOURCE IDENTIFICATION FOR A BIOGAS PLANT M. Piringer (1), M. Hrad (2) and M. Huber-Humer (2) (1) Department of Environmental Meteorology, Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics, A-1190 Vienna, Austria; (2) Institute of Waste Management, BOKU University, A-1190 Vienna, Austria Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary For a biogas plant NW of Vienna, Austria, CH4 source identification was undertaken by a combination of an Optical Remote Sensing Technique and a Lagrangian dispersion model resolving the complex building structure and incorporating different kinds of sources. For six experimental days with different meteorological conditions, the individual and total recovery ratios were calculated and interpreted with respect to the condition number and meteorological parameters. Source strength identification works best for higher emissions, larger wind speeds and neutral atmospheric stability. Introduction Greenhouse gas emissions and methane losses can arise from diverse parts of biogas facilities along the entire process chain of biogas generation and utilization. We try to quantify such emissions and losses in the frame of an on-going research project by combining an Optical Remote Sensing (ORS) technology (OP-TDLS) to detect the spatial and temporal behaviour of the plumes and Lagrange dispersion modelling to re-construct the emissions using an inverse dispersion technique. Methodology and Results The application of the method for a multi-source problem as in the current case is done with a set of linear equations as described in detail in Flesch et al. (2009) which requires at least as many concentration paths as sources. For two emission rates Q1 and Q2 and two receptors A and B, the appropriate equation in matrix notation is (CA,1 / Q1) sim (CA, 2 / Q 2 ) sim Q1 CA (CB ,1 / Q1) sim (CB , 2 / Q 2 ) sim Q 2 CB (1) We use two measures to quantify the performance of source identification. The so-called condition number κ is a measure of “ill-conditioning”, i.e. if the solution is extremely sensitive to changes in the input data (measurements or model estimates). According to Flesch et al. (2009), source decomposition is possible if 10 < κ < 20; for the total emission of all sources, κ < 50. The accuracy of the emission calculations is measured as so-called gas recovery ratio R, definable for each source (Ri) as well as for the sum of sources (Rtotal) investigated (total recovery ratio). A perfect calculation gives R = 1. Source identification was tried for six selected days with variable meteorological conditions. Of all meteorological parameters investigated, the dependence of the condition number on wind speed is strongest and given here as an example of the results achieved: large condition numbers indicating uncertainty in recovering the sources are found for wind speeds below 4 ms-1 only (Fig. 1). The latter are mainly associated with two experimental days on which wind speeds were lowest on average. Figure 5: Dependence of the condition number κ on wind speed for all experimental days More results will be presented at the conference. Conclusions The algorithm of source strength identification is based on investigations by Flesch et al. (2009) and was applied here for real-world case studies. The results are satisfactory for the six days selected for the investigation which are characterized by a large variety of wind directions, wind speeds and stability conditions. Acknowledgement These investigations were part of the research project “KLIMONEFF”, which was funded by the Austrian “Klima- und Energiefonds – Neue Energien 2020”. Reference Flesch, Th. K., L. A. Harper, R. I. Desjardins, Z. Gao, Z. and B. P. Crenna, 2009: Multi-source emission determination using an inverse-dispersion technique. Boundary-Layer Meteorol., 132, 11-30. 83 MONITORING OUTDOOR AIR PARTICLE CONCENTRATIONS WITH THE PPS-M SENSOR A. Järvinen (1), H. Kuuluvainen (1), A. Rostedt (1), J. V. Niemi (2), L. Pirjola (3), R. Hillamo (4), J. Keskinen (1) and T. Rönkkö (1) (1) Aerosol Physics Laboratory, Tampere University of Technology, P.O. Box 692, FI-33101, Tampere, Finland; (2) Helsinki Region Environmental Services Authority (HSY), P.O. Box 100, FI-00066 HSY, Finland; (3) Department of Technology, Metropolia University of Applied Sciences, Kalevankatu 43, FI-00180 Helsinki, Finland; (4) Air Quality, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palménin aukio 1, FI-00560 Helsinki, Finland; Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this study the capability of the Pegasor PPS-M particle sensor for outdoor air monitoring was tested in urban environment. A good correlation with the lung deposited surface area concentration was observed. Correlation with PM2.5 was found to be lower because the signal is weighted toward smaller particle sizes. The PPS-M was found to be especially suitable for monitoring vehicle based particle emissions in outdoor air. Results The PPS-M signal was found to correlate well with the total current of the ELPI. The PPS-M signal was 0.27 times the ELPI total current in both stationary measurements stations. A good correlation with the lung deposited surface area concentration (NSAM) was also observed, see Fig. 1. The correlation with PM2.5 was found to be lower. Depending on the environment, the PPS-M response to PM2.5 was between 7-30 fA/(μg m-3). The variation was caused by differences in aerosol i.e. the mean particle size affect the response. Thus the sensor response is not directly proportional to the particle mass but to a metric close to lung deposited surface area concentration. The PPS-M required practically no maintenance during over 2 week measurements. PPS current (fA) 1500 1500 y=0.27*x 1000 500 0 0 2000 4000 6000 ELPI total current (fA) y=5.9*x 1000 500 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 NSAM LDSA (m2/cm3) PPS current (fA) Experimental The PPS-M sensor was used to measure particle concentrations in three different environments in Helsinki area: (1) Stationary measurement in residential area, (2) Stationary measurement close to a major road, (3) On board a mobile laboratory in Helsinki city centre. The PPS-M signal was compared to reference data including PM2.5, NOx, ELPI total current, CPC number concentration and NSAM lung deposited surface area concentration. The sensor was installed inside measurement stations or inside the mobile laboratory and it was sampling outdoor air without any preconditioning. The sampling rate of 1 Hz was used for the PPS-M (100 Hz maximum), the ELPI and the NSAM. PPS current (fA) Introduction The most important motivation for air quality monitoring is the health effects of air pollutants. Outdoor air quality is typically analysed by measuring particle mass: PM10 and PM2.5 or gas concentrations: NO, NO2, SO2 and O3. However, in case of particles, it has been proposed that these mass based quantities PM10 and PM2.5 would not be the best metric to describe the health effects. The monitoring of particle surface area concentration (e.g. Oberdörster, 2001) has been indicated to correlate better with the hazardous effects of particulate matter than the monitoring of particulate mass concentration or number concentration, although the discussion related to topic is still continuing. The real time measurement of surface area requires different instruments than the PM measurement. The diffusion charging and electrical measurement produces a signal which is well proportional to the lung deposited surface area concentration (Fissan et al. 2007). The Pegasor PPS-M sensor is based on this type of construction. The sensor uses compressed air which is ionized and used to charge particles. This flow is also used to generate the sample flow through the device. The electric measurement signal is generated when the unipolarly charged particles are extracted from the sensor by the flow, principle introduced by Lehtimäki (1983). 1500 y=30*x 1000 500 0 0 10 20 30 40 PM2.5 (g/m3) Fig.1 The PPS-M response to reference instruments in measurement site 2 (close to a major road). Each point represents 1 h average. Acknowledgement This work was supported by CLEEN Ltd., the Cluster for Energy and Environment through the Measurement, Monitoring and Environmental Assessment (MMEA) research program. References Fissan H., Neumann S., Trampe A., Pui D.Y.H., Shin W.G., 2007. Rationale and principle of an instrument measuring lung deposited nanoparticle surface area. Journal of Nanoparticle Research 9, 53-59. Lehtimäki M., 1983. Modified Electrical Aerosol Detector in Aerosols in the Mining and Industrial Work Environments, Vol. 3, Marple, V.A. and Liu, B.Y.H. (Eds.), Ann Arbor Science Publishers, Ann Arbor, 1135-1143. Oberdörster G., 2001. Pulmonary effects of inhaled ultrafine particles. International Archives of Occupational and Environmental Health 74, 1-8. 84 REAL-TIME MEASUREMENTS OF BIOAEROSOLS IN URBAN ENVIRONMENT S. Saari (1), J. V. Niemi (2), T. Rönkkö (1), H. Kuuluvainen (1), A. Järvinen (1), L. Pirjola (3), R. Hillamo (4), J. Keskinen (1) (1) Department of Physics, Tampere University of Technology, P.O. Box 692, FI-33101 Tampere, Finland; (2) Helsinki Region Environmental Services Authority (HSY), P.O. Box 100, FI-00066 HSY, Finland; (3) Department of Technology, Metropolia University of Applied Science, Kalevankatu 43, FI-00180 Helsinki, Finland; (4)Air Quality, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palménin aukio 1, FI-00560 Helsinki, Finland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to determine health risks and climatic relevance of bioaerosols in urban environment. Two fluorescence based real-time instruments were used to measure bioaerosol concentrations and size distributions during winter, spring, summer and autumn. Supporting PM2.5, PM10, NOx and meteorological data were utilized to estimate bioaerosol sources. The results showed that there were typically two fluorescent particle modes in urban environment. The modes are probably originating from fungal spores and bacteria. The concentrations and ratio of the fluorescent particle modes varied between the seasons. Strong diurnal variation in the fluorescent particle concentrations indicates that local sources are significant in urban environment. Guidelines for bioaerosol concentration limits in outdoor environment do not exist yet, mainly due to limitation of the data. Introduction Bioaerosols such as bacteria and fungal spores can cause adverse health effects for people and animals both in indoor and outdoor environments. Atmospheric bioaerosols have been recognized to have important influence in the climate acting as CCN (Cloud Condensation Nuclei) and IN (Ice Nuclei) and thus contribute cloud formation and precipitation processes. Information of concentrations, particle size distributions and sources of bioaerosols is needed to estimate their health risks and climatic relevance. In urban environment, bioaerosol sources are close to people and population is typically dense, thus health risks are especially high there. However, only few source-tracked bioaerosol studies have been made in urban environment. The results showed that there were typically two fluorescent particle modes during the all seasons, except in the winter, when only one mode was detected. We assume that the modes are mainly originating from fungal spores and bacteria. The concentrations and ratio of the fluorescent particle modes varied between the season periods. Sometimes there was strong diurnal variation in the fluorescent particle concentrations (Fig. 1), which is indication of significant local sources. We found also that the BioScout had much higher fluorescent particle counting efficiency than the UV-APS. This is consistent with our laboratory results. 0 10 N [#/cm3] Methodology and Results LIF (Laser Induced Fluorescence) based instruments are modern tools for real-time bioaerosol detection (Saari et al., 2013a; 2013b). In this study, we used two LIF based real-time instruments, the BioScout (developed at TUT, manufactured by Environics Ltd.) and the UVAPS (TSI Inc.), to study bioaerosol concentrations and size distributions in urban environment at Helsinki region during winter, spring, summer and autumn. Real-time LIF data combined with PM2.5, PM10, NOx and meteorological data enables also to estimate bioaerosol sources. -2 10 FL >1µm ALL >1µm 24/10 26/10 28/10 30/10 01/11 Date Fig.1 Real-time data of the fluorescent and total particle concentrations measured by the BioScout. Conclusions Two LIF based real-time instruments were used to observe bioaerosols in urban environment. Preliminary results of outdoor measurements are promising. Real-time LIF technique seems to be suitable for atmospheric bioaerosol detection, but there are still many questions to answer and work to do. Investigation of the emission sources and transportation of bioaerosols needs meteorological data analysis and long term measurements with several instruments in various environments. Guidelines for bioaerosol concentration limits in urban environment have not progressed yet and the main reason is limitation of the data. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the Cluster for Energy and Environment (CLEEN Ltd) Measurement, Monitoring and Environmental Assessment (MMEA) Work package 4.5.2. References Saari S., Putkiranta M., Keskinen J., 2013a. Fluorescence spectroscopy of atmospherically relevant bacterial and fungal spores and potential interferences. Atm. Environment, 71, 202-209 Saari S., Reponen T., Keskinen J., 2013b. Performance of violet diode laser induced fluorescence based real-time bioaerosol detector. Submitted to Aerosol Sci. & Technology 85 QUANTIFICATION OF ORGANIC, ELEMENTAL AND BLACK CARBON IN THE RUHR AREA, GERMANY M. Küpper (1), U. Quass (1), H. Kaminski (1), A. John (1), T. A. J. Kuhlbusch (1), S. Leinert (2), J. Geiger (2), L. Breuer (2), D. Gladtke (2), A. Olschewski (2), T. J. Schuck and U. Pfeffer (2) (1) Institute of Energy and Environmental Technology e.V. (IUTA), Duisburg, Germany; (2) North Rhine-Westphalian State Agency for Nature, Environment and Consumer Protection, Essen, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this recently started study, two methods for carbon quantification in particulate matter (PM) are tested in terms of their convenience for quantification of carbon species emitted by biomass burning processes and traffic emissions: thermal analysis of elemental carbon (EC) and organic carbon (OC) as well as the optical determination of black carbon (BC) concentrations with multiple-wavelength aethalometers. Initial intercomparison of the new aethalometer devices has shown good agreement with slopes and regression coefficients close to one. Preliminary operation of the instruments at different sites (urban background and traffic) showed different BC levels with substantial temporal co-variation. Introduction Increased concentrations of PM in ambient air are commonly known to be associated with adverse health effects. Due to its carcinogenicity (e.g. WHO, 2012) and its ubiquitous emission, rising attention has been given to diesel soot during the last decades. However, in industrialized countries an increase in contributions from biomass burning to the PM burden, most notably caused by the introduction of low emission zones as well as by the prevalent use of stoves and fireplaces, has been observed recently. This tendency is also valid within the Ruhr area (e.g. Pfeffer et al., 2013). Therefore, determining the portion of both types of emissions, those from biomass burning and traffic emissions, in PM seems to be necessary to guide appropriate mitigation strategies. Recently developed aethalometer devices take advantage of the dependency between wavelength and the measured attenuation, which differs for the carbon species from different sources. Based on this principle, several algorithms for aethalometer data permitting the discrimination of BC deriving from biomass burning from BC emitted by traffic have been developed (e.g. Sandradewi et al., 2008). In this study the just described measurement technique as well as thermal EC/OC measurements will be applied in order to determine the contribution of the different carbon species emitted by biomass burning and traffic. Methodology and Results In total, a measurement period of 16 month starting by the 30th of August 2013 was chosen to detect seasonal variations, particularly with regard to the shift in carbon composition evoked during the heating period. The measurements are performed at two monitoring sites of the ambient air quality monitoring network in North Rhine-Westphalia - a traffic site (Duisburg) and an urban background site (Mülheim). Aethalometers (model AE-33, Magee Scientific, Ljubljana, Slovenia) measuring the attenuation at 7 different wavelengths are run at each site. For comparison, EC/OC-analyses will be performed applying the temperature protocols NIOSH 870 and Fig.1 BC concentrations at both sites measured in 2013 EUSAAR-2. In total, 150 filters from both sites will be analysed with the Sunset Dual-Optical Laboratory Carbon Analyser (Sunset Laboratory Inc., Tigard, USA). Correlation of BC, EC and OC with continuously measured data, such as PM10, NO2, NO, NOx, and meteorological data as well as with levoglucosan (a tracer substance for biomass burning in PM) and benzo(a)pyrene will be tested. Initial comparative measurements indicated the BC concentrations stated by the two different aethalometer devices to be in good agreement. Particularly, when both devices were connected to the same gas sampling unit and run for 5 days deviation varied between 5.7 and 3.7 % for different wavelengths. First aethalometer measurements at the two sites revealed distinct parallels in changes of BC concentrations over time (see Fig.1) despite quite unequal local environments and approximately 6.5 km linear distance between both sites. However, since the campaign just started, this might only be a temporary trend. Conclusions Based on our measurements (by March 2014 much more data will be available) it will be possible to evaluate the suitability of both measurement techniques for monitoring the share of emissions from biomass combustion and traffic emissions in PM. In case of good correlation, the substitution of the work intense filter analyses for EC/OC by BC measurements with aethalometers might even be considered with regard to future standardized measurements of ambient air quality networks. References Pfeffer U., Breuer L., Gladtke D., Schuck T.J., 2013. Contribution of wood burning to the exceedance of PM10 limit values in North Rhine-Westphalia. Gefahrstoffe - Reinhalt. Luft 73, 239-245. WHO, 2012: Health Effects of Black Carbon. Redaktion: Janssen N.A.H., Gerlofs-Nijland M.E., Lanki T., Salonen R.O., Cassee F., Hoek G., Fischer P., Brunekreef B., Krzyzanowski M. - ISBN 978 92 890 0265 3. Sandradewi J., Prévôt A.S.H., Szidat S., Perron N., Alfarra M.R., Lanz V.A., Weingartner E., Baltensperger U., 2008. Using aerosol light absorption measurements for the quantitative determination of wood burning and traffic emission contributions to particulate matter. Environ. Sci. Technol. 42, 3316-3323. 86 CHARACTERIZATION OF SOURCES AND PROCESSES OF ORGANIC AEROSOLS SAMPLED AT REVIN, FRANCE, DURING THE EMEP 2012 SUMMER CAMPAIGN A. Setyan (1,2), V. Crenn (1,2,3), V. Riffault (1,2), J.-L. Jaffrezo (4), A. Waked (4), S. Sauvage (1,2), J.-L. Besombes (5), J.-E. Petit (3,6), O. Favez (6), T. Leonardis (1,2), J. Sciare (3), N. Locoge (1,2) (1) Université Lille Nord de France, 59000 Lille, France; (2) Mines Douai, CE, 59508 Douai, France; (3) LSCE (CEACNRS-UVSQ), 91190 Gif/Yvette, France; (4) Université de Grenoble/CNRS, LGGE, 38402 Saint-Martin d’Hères, France; (5) Université de Savoie, LCME, 73376 Le Bourget du Lac, France; (6) INERIS, 60550 Verneuil-en-Halatte, France Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary A field campaign has been performed in summer 2012 at Revin, a remote site in northeastern France, in order to study the sources and processes of organic aerosols and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). The particle concentration was low, and non-refractory submicron particles (NR-PM1) were dominated by organics. Secondary organic aerosols accounted for 82% of the total organic mass, while primary emissions mainly from traffic accounted for 18%. Three periods of high mass loadings (June 28, night of June 28-29, and July 3-5) were observed during the study. Back-trajectory analysis showed that the site was mainly under the influence of long-range transport from the Paris megacity during these periods. Introduction Understanding the different processes governing PM concentration remains an important issue for air quality in Europe. Within the framework of the EMEP Program and in cooperation with the ACTRIS, ChArMEx and PEGASOS projects, two intensive measurement periods were held in summer 2012 and winter 2012/13. The main objective was to obtain high resolution and extended measurements of aerosols and their precursors in order to improve the knowledge regarding the temporal and spatial variability of PM speciation and to assess chemical transport models. Five monitoring sites in France were equipped with on-line and off-line instruments to measure particle chemical and physical properties, as well as precursor gases. We present here results obtained in Revin, a remote site in northeastern France, during the summer 2012 campaign. Methodology and Results The chemical composition of particles was determined with on-line (AMS, aethalometer) and off-line (LC/MS, LC/UV, IC, thermal/optical transmittance) methods. The average concentration of NR-PM1 was low (5.3 μg/m3), and the chemical composition was dominated by organics (56% of total NR-PM1) and sulfate (25%). Three organic factors were identified by positive matrix factorization (PMF), including two oxygenated organic aerosols (OOA) with different O/C ratios (more oxidized OOA: 0.94; less oxidized OOA: 0.41), and one hydrocarbon-like organic aerosol (HOA). Taken together, the two OOA factors accounted for 82% of the total organic mass (42% for the more oxidized OOA, and 40% for the less oxidized) and correspond to secondary organic aerosols (SOA), while HOA accounted for 18% of organics and corresponds to anthropogenic emissions. The organic-to-elemental carbon ratio (OC/EC) was 8.4 (±2.8) on average (±1σ). Three periods of high mass loading (18.6 μg/m3 on June 28, 15.0 μg/m3 during the night of June 28-29, and 16.3 μg/m3 on July 3-5) analyzed with back-trajectories showed that the site was mainly under the influence of long-range transport from the Paris megacity (~230 km from the site). Among all the VOCs measured, oxygenated species from both biogenic and anthropogenic oxidation products (methylglyoxal, formaldehyde, methacroleine, methylvinylketone, benzaldehyde) correlated best with organics. New particle formation and growth events were not observed during this study. Fig.1 Map of France, with the location of the sampling site (© GoogleMaps) and a wind rose plot for the entire campaign. Conclusions The concentration and chemical composition of particles sampled at Revin were typical for remote sites. Our results suggest that particles were mostly SOA formed during long-range transport. Acknowledgements The authors are grateful to Atmo Champagne-Ardenne for technical support and for providing some datasets for Revin and Reims, and to Airparif for providing some datasets for Paris. This study was funded by the French Agency of Environment and Energy Management (ADEME, grants 1262C0022 and 1262C0039) and the CaPPA project (ANR-10-LABX-005). 87 SOURCE IDENTIFICATION OF FINE PARTICLE EMISSIONS IN URBAN AIR BY MOBILE MEASUREMENTS L. Pirjola (1), J. V. Niemi (2), A. Kousa (2), S. Saarikoski (3), S. Carbone (3), H. Kuuluvainen (4), A. Järvinen (4), T. Rönkkö (4), J. Keskinen (4), R. Hillamo (3) (1) Department of Technology, Metropolia University of Applied Sciences, P.O. Box 4021, FI-00180 Helsinki, Finland; (2) Helsinki Region Environmental Services Authority HSY, P.O. Box 100, FI-00066 HSY, Finland; (3) Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palménin aukio 1, FI-00560 Helsinki, Finland; (4) Aerosol Physics Laboratory, Tampere University of Technology, P.O. Box 692, FI-33101 Tampere, Finland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to characterize winter aerosols in the hot spot areas of poor air quality in the Helsinki Metropolitan area. An advanced on-line measurement technique was installed into a mobile laboratory van to measure chemical and physical characteristics of fine particles. This study shows that the properties of particles from different sources can be distinguished. For example, the particles originated from residential wood combustion and traffic possessed most abundant concentrations of black carbon thus affecting the radiative properties of the atmosphere. Furthermore, the number concentration of particles from traffic was highest, and due to their small sizes they might be most harmful for human health. Introduction Particle emissions from traffic and wood combustion are known to significantly contribute to regional air quality and climate. Detailed monitoring of aerosol particle properties in urban and suburban areas is a challenging task, since their concentration, size, composition and sources vary strongly in time and space. As a part of the MMEA Programme (Measurement, Monitoring and Environmental Assessment, 2010-2014), a field campaign in street canyons and densely populated small house areas with local wood burning as well as on major roads was conducted in the Helsinki Metropolitan area. An advanced on-line measurement technique was used to monitor composition, size distribution and volatility of fine particles. Methodology and Results Two weeks intensive winter campaign by mobile laboratory ´Sniffer´ (e.g. Pirjola et al., 2012) was performed in the Helsinki Metropolitan area in February 2012. The particle number concentration and size distribution were measured by ELPI (diameter > 7 nm) and SMPS (diameter >3 nm), PM1 chemical composition by soot particle aerosol mass spectrometer SP-AMS and aethalometer, and mass concentrations PM1 and PM2.5 by DustTraks. Volatility properties of particles were studied by a thermodenuder. Also measured continuously were NO, NO2, NOx, CO, CO2, meteorological and geographical parameters. Four types of winter aerosol were recognized: (1) very clean period (CLEAN) at urban background site on seashore due to air flows from the Atlantic Ocean, (2) strong long-range transported pollution episode (LRT-EPI) at urban background site on seashore due to air flows from eastern Europe, (3) fresh smoke plumes from residential wood combustion (SMOKE) in suburban small house area mixed with LRT pollution, and (4) fresh emissions from traffic (TRAFFIC) while driving on a busy street in Helsinki city centre during morning rush hour. Fig.1 Averaged number concentration of particles for four sources Fig.2 PM1 bulk chemical composition As a result the characteristic physical and chemical properties of particles from the different sources were identified (Figs. 1 and 2). Particles of type 1 possessed low number and volume concentrations. Particles of type 2 and 3 were mostly in the accumulation mode and contained high organic and sulphate concentrations. Furthermore type 3 particles had high black carbon concentration, like traffic particles. Contrary to type 3 particles, the number concentration of type 4 particles was high and a major part of particles were in the nucleation mode. Conclusions The installed state-of-the-art instrumentation into the mobile laboratory van enabled us to obtain a comprehensive view on aerosol properties and sources in urban air. To better understand the characteristics of fine particles from different emission sources is important for air quality assessment and for climate models. Acknowledgement This work was partly funded by MMEA Programme. MMEA is supported by Tekes (the Finnish Funding Agency for Technology and Innovation) and coordinated by the Finnish energy and environment cluster - CLEEN Ltd. References Pirjola, L., Lähde, T., Niemi, J.V., Kousa, A., Rönkkö, T., Karjalainen, P., Keskinen, J., Frey, A., Hillamo, R., 2012 Spatial and temporal characterization of traffic emission in urban microenvironments with a mobile laboratory Atmos. Environ. 63, 156−167. 88 VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUNDS SOURCE APPORTIONMENT IN PARIS: FOCUS ON THE TRAFIC AND WOOD BURNING SOURCES V. Gros(1), A. Baudic(1), R. Sarda-Esteve (1), H. Petetin (2), O. Sanchez (2), A. Rosso (2), O. Perrusel (2), T. le Priol (3), J. F. Petit (3), J.-E. Petit (1), O. Favez (4) C. Kalogridis (1), N. Bonnaire (1), B. Bonsang (1), I. Xueref-Rémy (1), L. Ammoura (1), and J. Sciare (1) Presenting author email: [email protected] 1 Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (LSCE), unité mixte CNRS-CEA-UVSQ, Gif sur Yvette, France 2 AIRPARIF, 3 Paris, France DRIEA-CETE-IF, Trappes en Yvelines, France 4 INERIS, Verneuil en Halatte, France Summary One year measurements of selected Volatile Organic Compounds were performed in downtown Paris (2010-2011). A source apportionment study using PMF model was performed and suggested traffic related emissions as the main VOC source, in contradiction with the emission inventory. Introduction Volatile organic compounds (vocs) are key species in atmospheric chemistry as their oxidation lead to the formation of ozone and of secondary organic aerosols, pollutants which limit values are regularly overtaken in Paris in its region. Complementary to the measurements performed by the air quality network airparif (www.airparif.asso.fr), research programs are regularly organized with the aim to better characterize the variability and sources of the main pollutant sources. Following the EU project MEGAPOLI (intensive campaigns in Paris in summer 2009 and winter 2010), one year of selected Volatile Organic Compounds measurements was performed in downtown Paris. Methodology and results Measurements were performed in downtown Paris with a PTR-MS (Proton Transfer Mass Spectrometry) from March 2010 to March 2011. Methanol and acetone showed seasonal cycles with maxima in spring summer seasons in agreement with their dominating biogenic sources whereas benzene, a typical anthropogenic compound showed maximum values in winter. During the period where additional measurements of non-methane hydrocarbons by gas chromatography were available (April-October 2010), a source apportionment study using Positive Matrix Factorization approach was performed. Five sources (with two of them mixed) were identified and their respective contributions were determined (see Figure 1). The main source identified was linked with traffic activities (almost 50%), in disagreement with the local emission inventory (where the solvent source is dominating) but confirming results from a preliminary study (Gaimoz et al., 2011). To confirm the source profiles determined by the PMF model, additional measurements were performed (within a tunnel, from wood burning) and their corresponding source profile will be presented here (see for example the traffic source profile on Figure 2). Gasoline evpaoration 25% Vehicle exhaust 21% Solvent + bacgkround 26% Biomass combustion +natural gas 18% Biogenic 10% Fig. 1 Source apportionment of VOCs in Paris Fig.2 Mean source profile measured in tunnel (mass contribution in %) Conclusions Although VOC traffic emissions in European cities have significantly decreased over the last two decades, it still represents a main source of VOCs emissions (as shown here for Paris) which emission inventories may underestimate. More studies are needed to help further evaluating and improving emission inventories. Acknowledgments This program was funded by the French agency PRIMEQUAL. Additional financial support from CNRS, CEA and Ile de France region are acknowledged. References C. Gaimoz, S. Sauvage, V. Gros, F. Herrmann, J. Williams, N. Locoge, B. Bonsang, O. d’Argouges, R. Sarda-Estève, and J. Sciare, Volatile Organic Compounds Sources in Paris in spring 2007. Part II: Source apportionment, Environmental Chemistry, 8, 91-103, 2011. 89 OBSERVATION OF TRACE GAS DISTRIBUTIONS WITH AN AIRBORNE IMAGING DOAS INSTRUMENT D. Pöhler (1), S. General (1), J. Zielcke (1), U. Frieß (1), P. Shepson (2), B. Stirm (2), W. Simpson (3), H. Sihler (1,4), K. P. Heue (1,4), D. Walter (1,4), K. Weber (5), C. Fischer (5) and U. Platt (1) Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Heidelberg, Germany; Purdue University, Dept. of Chemistry, West Lafayette, IN Department of Chemistry & Biochemistry, University of Alaska, Fairbanks Max Planck Institute for Chemistry (Otto Hahn Institute), Mainz University of Applied Sciences, Düsseldorf, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Airborne measurements with the new imaging DOAS instrument Heidelberg Airborne Imaging DOAS Instrument (HAIDI) are presented. It can map the horizontal distribution as well as the vertical profile for a number of relevant trace gases, including NO2, BrO, HCHO, O4, SO2, IO, C2H2O2, H2O and O3 at the same time. All data are gained with just one overfly of the investigated area with the DOAS remote sensing technique. It can achieve a spatial resolution of better than 100x100m². Thus quantitative information about the spatial variability of the air quality can be achieved. We present the instrument and several measurements at urban sites (e.g. Indianapolis, USA; Johannesburg, South Africa), volcanoes and at oil fields in Alaska. The data are also used to derive total emission fluxes of NO2 from e.g. an urban area. Introduction In the troposphere many chemical processes are driven by the emission of trace gases. The emitters can thereby be of anthropogenic origin, like power plants and traffic or natural sources, such as volcanoes. The sources are often inhomogeniously distributed and the involved chemistry can be fast on scales of seconds. Thus the relevant chemical processes take place on a relative small spatial scale of several meters. In order to investigate the spatial variability of air quality, identify sources and sinks of trace gases, to further study chemical processes or to improve chemical transport models it is therefore necessary not only to measure the trace gas concentrations at one location, but to map the distribution of trace gases in two or even three dimensions with high spatial resolution. Here we present the new Heidelberg Airborne Imaging DOAS Instrument (HAIDI) which is capable to map the horizontal distribution as well as the vertical profile for a number of relevant trace gases. Methodology and Results The HAIDI system is based on the remote sensing technique DOAS (Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy) to observe the trace gas concentration of several components even far from the airplane itself. It measures the sunlight reflected at the ground or scattered in the atmosphere to the instrument located in an airplane. The sunlight is spectrally analysed to derive the trace gas signal. In the HAIDI system the optic scans with a high frequency to observe measurements of a wide area (Fig. 1). Thus maps of the trace gas distribution can be derived with just one over flight. The instrument can also observe the vertical trace gas distribution with an additional forward telescope. Also aerosol optical properties, which can be used to quantify aerosol concentrations, are measured. The instrument features several advantages and improvements in comparison to former airborne imaging DOAS instruments which will be presented. The system is relatively small, compact, versatile and has low power consumption. Therefore, it may be operated even on light weight aircrafts on which space, payload weight and power are limited. We report on flights showing NO2 emissions in the metropolitan area of Indianapolis (USA) (Fig. 2) and Johannesburg, South Africa. The data are also used to derive the total NO2 flux of these areas. Also emissions and chemical influence of oil fields in Alaska, USA will be presented. Measurements of a volcanic plume with SO2 and BrO at Mt. Etna (Italy) will be shown which can significantly influence the air quality locally. Fig.1 Measurement principle of the HAIDI system. Fig.2: Example of urban NO2 pollution measurements in Conclusions the metropolitan area Indianapolis, USA. From these The new airborne instrument HAIDI is presented to observe trace gas data also the total NO2 emission of the area is derived. distributions of several constituents. We demonstrate how unique such measurements are with results from several field campaigns. They are useful to increase our understanding of air quality monitoring and the involved chemical processes. The instrument will be used in the future on the new German research aircraft HALO e.g. to study trace gas distributions and chemical processes and also the air quality, in and around metropolitan areas. 90 SECONDARY POLLUTANTS IN THE LAKE TAHOE BASIN, USA B. Zielinska (1), A. Bytnerowicz (2), A. Gertler (1), M. McDaniel (1) and J. Burley (3) (1) Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV 89512, USA (2) US Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Riverside, CA 92507, USA (3) St. Mary's College, Moraga, CA, USA Presenting author e-mail: [email protected] Summary Primary objective of this study was to characterize the precursors and pathways of secondary pollutant formation, including ozone, secondary organic aerosol (SOA) and ammonium nitrate in the Lake Tahoe Basin, USA. Samples were collected during summer of 2012 to characterize diurnal concentrations of ozone, oxides of nitrogen, volatile organic compounds, organic and elemental carbon and speciated particulate organic compounds. The concentrations of photooxidation reaction products of isoprene and α-pinene, 2-methyltetrols and cis-pinonic acid, respectively, were significant. Introduction Lake Tahoe, located at 6,225 ft. (1,897 m) in the Sierra Nevada mountain range, is the largest alpine lake in North America. Known for the clarity of its water and the panorama of surrounding mountains on all sides, Lake Tahoe is a prime tourist attraction in the California – Nevada area. However, the Lake Tahoe Basin is facing significant problems related to an increasing trend in ambient ozone levels and declining water clarity. Methodology and Results During the period of July 21 - 26, 2012, we conducted a field study in the Basin designed to characterize the precursors and pathways of secondary pollutant formation, including ozone, secondary organic aerosol (SOA) and ammonium nitrate. Four sites were selected; two were located at high elevation (one each on the western and eastern sides of the Basin) and two were positioned near the Lake level. Ozone and NO/NO2 concentrations were continuously measured. With a resolution of several hours over a 6-day sampling period canister samples were collected for detailed speciation of volatile organic compounds (VOC), 2,4-dinitrophenylhydrazine (DNPH) impregnated Sep-Pak cartridges for analysis of carbonyl compounds, and honeycomb denuder/filter pack samples for measurement of concentrations of ammonia, nitrous acid, nitric acid, and fine particulate ammonium nitrate. In addition, PM2.5 Teflon and quartz filter samples were collected for determination of mass, organic and elemental carbon (OC/EC) concentrations, and speciation of organic compounds. Whereas the concentrations of lower molecular weight (mw) C2 – C3 hydrocarbons were generally the highest at all sampling sites, ranging from 25 to 76% of the total measured VOC (over 70 species from C2 to C10), the concentrations of biogenic hydrocarbons, isoprene and α-pinene were significant, ranging from 1.4 to 26% and 1.5 to 30%, respectively, of the total VOC. For comparison, the sum of benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene and xylenes (BTEX) constituted from 2.5 to 37% of the total VOC. The photooxidation reaction products of isoprene and α-pinene, 2-methyltetrols and cis-pinonic acid, respectively, were measured in combined PM2.5 day and night samples from four sampling sites and their concentrations ranged from 16 to 47 ng/m3 for 2-methylthreitol, from 34 to 87 ng/m3 for 2-methylerythritol and from 14 to 42 ng/m3 for cispinonic acid. Organic carbon (OC) constituted from 87 to 99.9% of total carbon. All four sites showed maximum ozone concentrations in the range of 60 ppb. However, the lower sites show a pronounced diurnal pattern (i.e. maximum concentrations during the daytime hours, 0900 to 1700, with minimum values at night and in the early morning hours), whereas the upper sites shows much less variability over the 24-hour diurnal period. 91 EFFECTS OF WOOD COMBUSTION EMISSIONS ON THE AIR QUALITY IN RESIDENTIAL AREAS MEASUREMENTS AND MODELLING G. Baumbach (1), M. A. Bari, (1), W. Juschka (1), M. Struschka (1), G. Scheffknecht (1), B. Kuch (2), W. Baechlin (3) (1) Institute of Combustion and Power Plant Technology, Department of Air Quality Control, University of Stuttgart, Pfaffenwaldring 23, 70569 Stuttgart, Germany; (2) Institute of Sanitary Engineering, Water Quality and Solid Waste Management, University of Stuttgart, Bandtaele 2, 70569 Stuttgart, Germany; (3) Ing. Company Lohmeyer, An der Rossweid 3, 76229 Karlsruhe, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this study, results of measurements of particulate matter, PAHs and tracer compounds in wood combustion exhaust gases and as well in ambient air of a residential area are presented. The results of both compartments are compared by PAH and tracer compound fingerprints. Thus, the contribution of wood smoke to the air pollution situation in residential areas could be determined and the health effects estimated. During winterly inversion conditions the contribution of the local domestic emission sources is much higher than under windy conditions with remote transport of pollutants.. Based on this project a tool was developed with which communities can calculate the additional pollution load when the heating systems in the area shall be changed to more biomass combustion units. Introduction In Germany wood combustion for heating purposes in residential areas is permanently increasing. On the one hand, the use of wood as renewable energy is desired. On the other hand, the combustion in small scale firings is often running incompletely which causes annoyances by odours and negative health effects by toxic substances like PAHs. That is a serious problem for air quality efforts in Germany. Therefore, investigations about the pollution load in residential areas caused by wood combustion in domestic facilities are requested. Due to this public concern about the need of emission reduction and to justify the evidence, we investigated wood smoke emissions from old and modern wood stoves as well as from ambient measurements in residential areas in Southern Germany. Methodology and Results Emission samples were collected from a manually fed wood stove and a modern pellet stove. Ambient PM10 samples were collected during winter time in the village Dettenhausen located in a forest area near the city of Stuttgart. The collected emission and ambient samples were analysed by gas chromatography mass spectrometry (GC-MS). Twenty-one polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) were detected and quantified as well as tracer compounds like levoglucosan, dehydroabietic acid and others. The results of both compartments are compared by fingerprints as shown in Figure 1. The emission factors were calculated under different combustion conditions. They were higher in log wood stoves than in pellet firings and higher during incomplete than during complete combustion. The Pm10 concentrations were simulated for a residential area, see Fig. 2, and validated by ambient air measurements. Fig. 1 Emission and ambient air wood combustion tracer profiles Fig. 2 PM10 simulation for a residential area the exhaust gases and in ambient air Conclusions The results underline the importance of controlling wood smoke emissions in residential areas and suggest using good wood combustion technologies to improve the air quality. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the Umweltbundesamt, Germany, and Alfred Teufel Foundation, Germany 92 SOURCE APPORTIONMENT OF URBAN FINE PARTICLE NUMBER CONCENTRATION DURING SUMMERTIME IN BEIJING Z. R. Liu (1), B. Hu (1), Q. Liu (1,2), Y. Sun (1) and Y. S. Wang (1) (1) State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry (LAPC), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China; (2) Beijing Weather Modification Office, Beijing 100089, China Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Continuous particle size distribution (15nm-2.5µm), particle chemical composition, gaseous species and meteorological variables were collected at an urban site in Beijing to investigate the source apportionment of ambient fine particles. Hourly data sets were analyzed using the positive matrix factorisation (PMF) which indentified a total of eight factors: cooking, two traffic factors, secondary nitrate factors, secondary sulfate + secondary organic aerosol (SOA), coal-fired power plant, fugitive dust and regionally transported aerosol. Traffic, cooking and regionally transported aerosol were found to be the most important sources for particle number concentration, which cumulatively accounting for as much as 71.4% of the apportioned concentrations. Local and remote sources were distinguished using size distributions associated with each factor. Overall, the introduction of combination of particle size distribution and chemical composition data in PMF model is successful at separating the components and quantifying relative contributions to the particle number and volume size distributions in a complex urban atmosphere. Introduction Evidence from many studies has indicated that the particle number concentration (PNC, mainly ultrafine particles, diameter <100 nm) may be a cause of adverse health effects, especially cardiovascular diseases (Liu et al., 2013). However, conventional source apportionment studies typically use chemical composition (PCC) data from filter sampling to provide information on particle matter sources, obscuring the dynamic changes of particle size, number, and chemical composition. Considering this, combined PNC and PCC data were include in the PMF analysis to more clearly identify and apportion contribution from those sources that contribute more to the particle numbers than to the particle mass concentrations. Methodology and Results Particle counts and size distributions (PSD, 14.5nm-20µm) were determined using a scanning mobility particle sizer (SMPS) and a TSI aerosol particle sizer (APS). Hourly means of particle chemical composition and size distribution (PCC, organic matter, sulfate, nitrate, ammonium and chlorine) during the study period were measured using an Aerodyne high-resolution time-of-flight aerosol mass spectrometer (HR-ToF-AMS). Combining PSD and PCC data sets were used in the PMF model, and eight sources were successfully identified from the size distribution, diurnal variation and their relationship to chemical composition and gaseous pollutants (Fig.1). The aforementioned analysis results in the obtaining of specific emission sources such as cooking (22.8%), traffic (37.5%), secondary nitrate (8.9%), secondary Fig.1 Source profiles and diurnal pattern sulfate + SOA (7.9%), coal-fired power plant (6.8%), fugitive dust (2.3%) and regionally transported aerosol (13.8%) (Fig.2). Local and remote secondary aerosols were also successfully distinguished: local sources were generally characterised by unimodal or bimodal number distributions consisting mostly of particles less 0.1 µm in diameter. The regional source was defined by mostly accumulation mode particles. Conclusions The majority of the apportioned particle number concentrations were attributed to local sources, especially for traffic emissions. As traffic volume continues to increase in Beijing, our country needs urgent and effective air pollution abatement strategies since the health risks of air pollution are more evident every day. Fig.2 Source apportionment of fine particle number concentrations Acknowledgement This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41230642) and the Science and Technology Project of Beijing (D09040903670902). We acknowledge G. R. Liu, W. K. Gao and W. Zhang for their cooperation during the intensive observation periods. References Liu, L Q, Breitner, S, Schneider,A, Cyrys,J, Brüske, I, Franck, U, Schlink,U, MarianLeitte, A, Herbarth, O, Wiedensohler, A, Wehne, B, Pan, X. C, Wichmann, H. E., Peters, A., 2013. Size-fractioned particulate air pollution and cardiovascular emergency room visits in Beijing, China. Environ. Res. 121, 52-63. 93 5 YEAR MEASUREMENTS OF LUNG DEPOSITED SURFACE AREA CONCENTRATIONS AND PARTICLE NUMBER SIZE DISTRIBUTIONS AT AN URBAN BACKGROUND STATION IN GERMANY J. Meyer (1), H. Kaminski (1), U. Quass (1), C. Nickel (1), M. Küpper (1), and T. A. J. Kuhlbusch (1) (1) Air Quality & Sustainable Nanotechnology, Institute of Energy and Environmental Technology e.V. (IUTA), Duisburg, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Here we report on results from ongoing measurements of particle size distributions and surface area concentrations, carried out over a five year period at an urban background station in Mülheim-Styrum in the Ruhr area in North-Rhine Westphalia, Germany. First analysis of the data set revealed distinct variations; one interesting being an increase in diurnal particle number concentration and lung deposited surface area concentration (LDSA) every day of the week at night which is as high as or even exceeds the morning traffic peak. First results obtained using positive matrix factorization (PMF) indicates road traffic and wood combustion in winter as possible key factors. Introduction Epidemiological studies have indicated a potential link between ambient particles and adverse health effects (Dockery et al. 1993; Oberdörster et al., 2001). The exact exposure-response functions are yet unknown though and the particle parameter best used to estimate the potential human risk is controversially debated. Two particle properties being discussed are the surface area of particles deposited in the lung system and the particle number concentration of ultrafine particles (UFP). Consequently, the determination and monitoring in ambient air quality networks of these metrics as well as the determination of their source regions seems to be reasonable. Methodology and Results In this study we use particle measurements which were obtained between September 2008 and December 2013 at an urban background station (situated in a light traffic residential zone) in Mülheim-Styrum. The measurements encompass ambient particle size distributions (PSD) measured with a scanning mobility particle sizer (SMPS Model 3936, TSI Inc., Shoreview, USA) and LDSA measured with a nanoparticle surface area monitor (NSAM Model 3550, TSI Inc., Shoreview, USA). Figure 1 exemplarily shows the average diurnal variation. Most noticeable is the increase in particle number concentration (Figure 1 top) and LDSA (Figure 1 bottom) on weekday mornings which most likely results from commuter traffic. The evening traffic rush hour peak is not seen in these average diurnal variations. Interestingly, a night time maximum in both metrics is observed every day which even seems to exceed the weekday morning peaks. In this study we will present diurnal as well as seasonal variations in particle number concentration and size distribution as well as LDSA measured over a five year period in a highly populated urban surrounding. The source apportionment results will be presented in view of the main influencing sources and factors. This will be further exploited in view of the development of efficient abatement strategies. The general use of such data for future ambient air quality monitoring will be discussed. Fig.1: Diurnal variations of total particle number and lung deposited surface area concentrations at the urban background station Mühlheim-Styrum. Conclusions The diurnal and seasonal variations show expected behaviour with the exception of a night time concentration maximum which will be further investigated. The yearly averages do not show any significant long term trends. First PMF analyses showed significant influences of combustion sources, e.g. traffic and wood burning, on the PSD and LDSA concentrations. Anyhow, the monitoring of further parameters, such as elemental carbon, to better discriminate sources is recommended. Acknowledgement The support of this work by the North Rhine-Westphalian State Agency for Nature, Environment and Consumer Protection, Essen, Germany is gratefully acknowledged. References Dockery D.W., Pope C.A., Xu X., Spengler J.D., Ware J.H., Fay M.E., Ferris B.G., Speizer F.E., 1993. An association between air pollution and mortality in six U.S. cities. N. Engl. J. Med. 329, 1753–1759. Oberdörster G., 2001. Pulmonary effects of inhaled ultrafine particles. Int. Arch. Occup. Environ. Health, 74, 1-8. 94 A NOVEL METHODOLOGY FOR ASSESSING THE SPATIAL REPRESENTATIVENESS OF AIR QUALITY MONITORING STATIONS IN EUROPE E. Solazzo (1), O. Kracht (1), D. Carruthers (2), M. Gerboles (1), J. Stocker (2), S. Galmarini (1) (1) European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for the Environment and Sustainability, Ispra (Italy) (2) Cambridge Environmental Research Consultants (CERC), Cambridge (UK) Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The assessment of spatial representativeness of air quality monitoring stations is an outstanding issue that impinges on several areas relevant to risk assessment and population exposure as well as on the design of monitoring networks, model development, evaluation and data assimilation. There are several approaches proposed in the literature that try to define the area of representativeness of a monitoring station as “a similar area” or “spatial homogeneous field of pollution” (e.g. Bobbia et al.2008). Such a definition cannot fit the intrinsic anisotropy of the atmospheric flow and dispersion, and is limited in time. To overcome these shortcomings we propose a modified geostatistical procedure which has been adopted for climatological data by Janis and Robeson (2004). We use the procedure with modelled concentration values of NO2, O3, and PM10 on a high resolution grid, which serves as a dense explicative variable for the field of pollutant in the neighbourhood of a monitoring station. Introduction So far, a quantitative definition of the spatial representativeness of monitoring stations is still missing. Our proposal is to use the area within which the level of confidence is 95 % that the true pollutant value is included in the interval xi ± V, where xi is the monitoring station measurement value and V combines the contributions of the measurement uncertainty and uncertainty arising from the spatial variability within the area. The latter contribution is calculated from spherical models fitted to pointcentered variograms and their directional evolution over time. To build this type of variograms, the pairs of values shall consist of one monitoring station value and one value of a densely known explicative variable. In our case, the explicative variable consisted of modelled concentration values of NO2, O3, and PM10. The application is novel for two reasons: 1) it was never applied before to air quality monitoring stations, and 2) it is used for spatial outputs of a city-scale dispersion model. Methodology and Results The Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling System ADMS (Carruthers et al. 2001) developed by CERC has been run with a high resolution output grid over the city of London for the years 2008 and 2011, with a model domain exceeding 50 km by 50 km. Annual average hourly concentrations of NO2, O3, and PM10 were calculated at each grid node. The locations of eleven air quality receptors from the AIRBASE network have been overlaid on a contour plot showing NO2 concentrations (Figure 1); these have been used as the origins of a point-centred kriging semi-variance analysis discussed above. Relevant model parameters (nugget, sill, range) have been extracted for a number of spatial directions, hour of the day, different species, and years. This rich collection of parameters obtained have been used to draw some initial considerations about the range of representativeness of stations positioned in some of the world’s most polluted hotspots, such as Marylebone Road in London. Fig.1 ADMS contour map of annual averaged NO2 concentration and the AIRBASE monitoring stations analysed in this study (year 2008). Conclusions Initial results indicate an area of representativeness of a few hundred meters for stations within highly polluted regions which correspond to high emissions, large traffic volumes and highly populated areas of the city. The range of spatial representativeness increases up to 2 km for stations in less polluted areas. These values, however, are affected by the hour of the day and by the directionality, more so for stations whose range is larger. The uncertainty associated to the model fitting and the model variance is more pronounced for dense urban stations. Current investigations concentrate on the trend of ranges and uncertainties for all the pollutants available. We further aim to extend the analysis to urban areas where topographic influence is of importance. References Janis, M.J., Robeson, S.M., 2004. Determining the spatial representativeness of air-temperature records using variogram nugget time series. Physical Geography 25, 513-530. Bobbia, M., Cori, A., De Fouquet, C., 2008. Représentativité spatiale d’une station de mesure de la pollution atmosphérique. Pollution Atmosphérique N°197. Carruthers D.J., and et al. 2001. Determination of compliance with UK and EU air quality objectives from high resolution pollutant concentration maps calculated using ADMS-Urban. Int. J. Environment and Pollution, 16, no. 1-6, 460-471. 95 CHEMICAL COMPOSITION OF PM2.5 AND PM10: IMPLICATIONS FOR SOURCE APPORTIONMENT STUDIES OVER EUROPE H. Price (1), K. Douglas (1), R. S. Sokhi (1), M. Keuken (2), M. Kermenidou (3), D. A. Sarigiannis (3) (1) Centre for Atmospheric and Instrumentation Research (CAIR), University of Hertfordshire, Hatfield, Hertfordshire, AL10 9AB, UK; (2) TNO, Netherlands Applied Research Organisation, PO Box 80015, 3508 TA Utrecht, The Netherlands; (3) Aristotle University of Thessaloniki (AUTH), School of Engineering, Building D, University Campus, Thessaloniki, GR-54124, Greece. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this paper we present results from a detailed source apportionment (SA) campaign carried out within the EU project TRANSPHORM (http://www.transphorm.eu/). The identification and quantification of sources of PMx in different cities is vital to target air pollution reductions effectively. We chemically analysed PM2.5 and PM10 at four sites (rural, urban background, traffic, shipping) in two cities in Europe (Rotterdam and Thessaloniki) to investigate the source variability within cities as well as between cities. The study has shown that suitable campaign design is vital to ensure meaningful SA results. Introduction PM10 (Particulate matter 10 μm and under) is formed of a cocktail of different particle types including particles from traffic exhaust, non-exhaust, biological material, domestic heating, industry, crustal material and road wear. Due to the variability of these sources, source apportionment carried out at a single location is unlikely to capture the spatial and temporal diversity within a city. This chemical analysis of PM campaign was designed to provide the temporal/spatial resolution and sample sizes required for in depth SA analysis of a city. Methodology and Results PM2.5 and PM10 were collected at rural, urban background, traffic and shipping sites in Rotterdam, Netherlands and Thessaloniki, Greece during winter 2012 (October-December). Twenty four hour samples were collected onto Teflon filters using 16.7 l.min-1 instruments with size-selective inlets. On average 54 filters were collected for each size fraction and site in Rotterdam and 66 filters were collected for each size fraction and site in Thessaloniki. Including blanks, over 1000 filters were collected over the course of the campaign. Filters were analysed using photometric detection, EDXRF, IC, GC-MS and HPLC for black carbon (converted to elemental carbon), inorganic species, ions, organics and levoglucosan respectively. Chemical data feed into source apportionment analysis using receptor modelling (USEPA PMF). Figure 1: Photo of the street sampling site in Rotterdam, Netherlands. Rotterdam Thessaloniki Rural UB Traffic Shipping Rural UB Traffic Shipping PM10 (μg/m3) 17.0 18.4 22.5 19.8 26.7 46.4 62.4 62.3 PM2.5 (μg/m3) 12.6 11.2 14.4 13.3 17.1 36.0 41.0 43.0 EC PM2.5 (μg/m3) 1.0 1.1 2.6 1.7 0.96 2.5 5.8 2.8 Table 1: Comparison of mean values of selected variables at the four sites in Rotterdam and Thessaloniki (UB=Urban background). 70 a) 50 40 30 20 10 Rs = 0.82** 7 Nickel (ng/m3) Titanium (ng/m3) 8 Rs = 0.73** 60 b) 6 Figure 2: Correlation diagrams (and associated Pearson’s correlation coefficients) comparing elemental concentrations at street site in Rotterdam for PM2.5; a) Correlation between Ca and Ti, b) V and Ni over the campaign. 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 200 400 600 800 Calcium (ng/m3) 1000 1200 0 2 4 6 Vanadium (ng/m3) 8 10 Concentrations of PM10, PM2.5 and EC were generally higher in Thessaloniki compared to Rotterdam (Table 1). However, there was also a large amount of variation within-cities. For PM10, concentrations in both cities were ordered from highest to lowest concentration traffic>shipping>urban background>rural. The results have shown that there are relationships within the data that suggest specific source origins, e.g. the correlation between calcium and titanium (Figure 2a) is characteristic of a crustal origin, and vanadium and nickel (Figure 2b) is characteristic of residual oil combustion. These relationships should continue through the source apportionment work. Conclusions Source apportionment is an important tool in the abatement of air pollution issues. By understanding more about the spatial variation of PM sources, more targeted PM reduction plans can be put in place. This study is one of the first to simultaneously investigate the sources to PMx at different sites within a city. First results have highlighted the chemical variability not only between cities but between different sites within cities. Comparison with other available datasets has highlighted the importance of campaigns designed for source apportionment, rather than analysis of residual chemical composition datasets. Acknowledgement: The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Community's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) project TRANSPHORM under the grant agreement no. 243406. 96 ANALYSIS OF AN EPISODE OF HIGH PM POLLUTION IN THE PO VALLEY, ITALY OBSERVED IN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE SUPERSITO PROJECT V. Poluzzi1, D. Bacco2, G. Bonafè1, P. Ugolini1, C. Maccone1, S. Ferrari1, and I. Ricciardelli1 (1) ARPA, Agenzia Regionale per la Prevenzione e Ambiente, Via Rocchi 19, 40138, Bologna, Italy (2) Università di Ferrara, Dipartimento di scienze chimiche e farmaceutiche, Via Fossato di Mortara 17 – 27, 44121 Ferrara Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary An exceptional pollution episode interested the Po Valley (Northern Italy) from 15th to 19th February 2012, and was responsible for very high PM concentrations principally in its western and southern parts. In particular in Parma and Milan, PM10 concentrations reached about 250 µg/m3. Analysis of meteorological and chemical parameters has been carried out to understand the complexity of the event. Introduction The Regione Emilia-Romagna and its Environmental Agency (Agenzia Regionale per la Prevenzione e l’Ambiente, ARPA) has approved and financed the Supersito project to better understand the sources of the aerosol atmospheric pollution and its conncection with the health. A lot of measure has been carried out in the 2012 in the framework of this project. The Po Valley region, in the north of Italy, has been identified as one of the Europe areas where pollutant levels are often problematic. It is characterized by a high density of anthropogenic emissions and by the frequent occurrence of stagnant meteorological conditions, being between the Alps in the north and west and the Apennines in the south. High pollution events are often the result of the concomitant occurrence of low-mobility atmospheric conditions, that tend to trap pollutants, and aerosols formation processes. During the 2012 wintertime measures of the Supersito project, from the meteorological point of view, the Po Valley was interested by heavy snowfalls from 1st to 12th February in particular in its southern area. The chemical analyses of the species was performed on PM1 and PM2.5 samples collected at urban and rural background sites in southern Po Valley and the aerosol mass closure was calculated. Methodology and Results An analysis of meteorological parameters and chemical species observed on the PM samples collected in the framework of Supersito project has been carried out to understand the dynamics and the chemical processes of the event. From the meteorological point of view the Po Valley was interested by heavy snowfalls from 1st to 12th February in particular in its southern area. A period characterized by atmospheric stagnation followed until 19th, but it was interrupted from an outbreak of northerly dry winds on the lee side of the Alps (foehn) on 15th and 16th. Observed PM concentrations started to increase from 15th February, reaching a maximum on 19th February. Starting from 20th February, PM concentrations significantly decreased in the entire Po Valley due to the rainfall. A gradual accumulation of aerosols progressed from 15th to 19th February mainly due to lowering of mixing height, while the factors responsible for the second maximum observed after 16th February are more complex. The chemical composition in this second period was characterized by a large fraction of ammonium nitrate particles (up to 70%) suggesting that chemical processes beside the meteorological factors came into play. To investigate the origin of air masses in the Po valley during the event it has been used a probabilistic back trajectories lagrangian particle model (Lapmod_SA, Enviroware srl). Conclusions The following possible explanation for the high peak concentrations of PM has been investigated: a) contribution of transboundary transport of pollutants, b) manure spreading on agricultural land and consequent increase of ammonia concentration in atmosphere, c) snow melting and releasing of aerosol precursors in the atmosphere. Acknoweledgents This research was conducted as part of the "Supersito" Project, which was supported and financed by Emilia-Romagna Region and Regional Agency for Prevention and Environment under Deliberation Regional Government n. 428/10. References Bock J., Jacobi H.W., J. Phys. Chem. A, 114, 1790-1796, 2010; Helmig D., Seok B., Williams M.W., Hueber J., Sanford R., Biogeochemistry, 95, 115-130, 2009; Stanier C., Singh A., Adamski W., Baek J., Caughey M., Carmicheal G., Edgerton E., Kenski D., Koerber M., Oleson J., Rohlf T., Lee S.R., Riemer N., Shaw S., Sousan S., Spak S.N., Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12 11037-11056, 2012; Jacobi H.W., Hilker B., J. Photochem. Photobiol. Chem., 185 (2-3), 371-382, 2007; Tugnoli S., Rumberti V., Atmospheric Emissions Inventory in Emilia-Romagna region, Agency for Prevention and Environment (ARPA-ER), 2010. 97 ANALYSIS OF ATMOSPHERIC AEROSOL (PM2.5) IN RIO DE JANEIRO CITY, BRAZIL L. H. M. dos Santos (1), A. A. F. S. Kerr (1), T. G. Veríssimo (1), M. de Fatima Andrade (2), R. M. de Miranda (3), A. Fornaro (2), and P. Saldiva (4) (1) Instituto de Física da Universidade de São Paulo (USP), São Paulo, Brasil; (2) Instituto de Astronomia, Geofísica e Ciências Atmosféricas - USP, São Paulo, Brasil; (3) Escola de Artes, Ciências e Humanidades - USP, São Paulo, Brasil; (4) Faculdade de Medicina - USP, São Paulo, Brasil. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The PM2.5 (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter <2.5 µm) in Rio was analysed in the context of a main project designed to evaluate the automotive sources contribution to the PM2.5 atmospheric concentrations, and its impacts to human health in six Brazilian metropolitan areas. Concentrations of chemical elements, Black Carbon, and total mass of PM2.5 samples were measured. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) were used, and confronting the results of these methodologies, and using meteorological data as well as local sources mapping, the main source of PM2.5 impacting the sampling site could be identified. Introduction Rio de Janeiro city has 6.3 million inhabitants, while the population of all the 28 cities in the metropolitan area (RMRJ) arrives to 11.8 million people. It is internationally known as the "Marvellous City" due to the "exceptional urban setting encompassing the key natural elements that have shaped and inspired the development of the city: from the highest points of the Tijuca National Park’s mountains down to the sea", as says UNESCO when introducing Rio as a Cultural World Heritage. But it is well known that the city faces major social problems. Although less divulged, the RMRJ undergoes else environmental problems of a major metropolis with high industrialization level, intense commercial activities, and a vehicular fleet with 4.61 million unities (by 2008). There are other research analysis of the PM in Rio. But this analysis of the local PM2.5, focus on obtaining its specific source contribution to the local PM2.5. This knowledge will play an important role in the context of the simultaneous experiments conducted in the other 5 Brazilian metropolis, directed to study the PM2.5 health impact. Methodology and Results Figure-1 shows the RMRJ area with the sampling site, important sources and urbanized area. The sampling period was from May 2007 to September 2008, providing 325 samples of 24 hr. The PM2.5 was collected on 37 mm polycarbonate filters (0.4 µm pore size) using Harvard samplers with a flow rate of 10.0 L/min. A volume integrator gave sampled volumes. The filters were weighted before and after sampling using a microbalance and following standard procedures. The filters were analysed by Energy Dispersive X-ray Fluorescence (XRF-ED) to determine the concentrations of the elements with atomic number (Z)>11. Black Carbon (BC) concentrations were obtained by light reflectance, using an inter-calibration with thermal/optical transmittance (TOT) equipment. Figure 1: Metropolitan Region of Rio de Janeiro. UFRJ is the sampling site The PM2.5 mean concentration was 17.5 µg/m³, (22º50'29”S; 43º14'08”W, 9 m amsl) at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro. exceeding the WHO guide lines for the annual The Gray colour indicates urbanized areas. Main roads are in yellow and some important sources are signed in. average (10 µg/m³). The BC average concentration was 1.6 µg/m³. Five components were extracted when applying Principal Component Analysis (PCA), identifying the following sources: 1) Oil combustion (Ni, V, Cr, S); 2) Soil dust (Ti, Al, Si, Fe); 3) Biomass Burning (Total Mass, BC, K, Br); 4) Light Vehicles (Zn, Cu, Pb); Sea Spray (Cl, Ca). The 5 factors obtained by PMF provided a similar source identification, although the light vehicles and sea spray were blended and the model identified a new factor associated to metallurgical activities. PMF source apportionment gave: 1) Oil combustion explaining 44% of the mass; 2) Soil dust with 6%; 3) Biomass Burning with 31%; 4) Light Vehicles/Sea Spray with 15%; and 5) Metallurgy with 4%. The oil combustion may be from the port (that has an average traffic of 5 ships day), ~5 km upstream the prevalent wind direction in the area (135º). The intense traffic of heavy duty vehicles in the main roads around the sampling site could also give a contribution, as well as the main Oil Refinery called Reduque (~14 km at ~330º). Biomass burning may even come from accidental fire along the nearby Rio Petrópolis road, as from the usage of wood by low income population nearby the same road (coming with the wind around 310º). Conclusions This analysis of the local PM2.5, gives a valuable contribution to the local PM2.5 source knowledge in Rio. It can help the air quality control actions in an area of the RMRJ, plenty of air contamination sources and densely populated. Further, the results will play an important role in the context of the simultaneous experiments conducted in the other 5 Brazilian metropolis, directed to study the PM2.5 health impact. 98 COMPOSITION AND SOURCE APPORTIONMENT OF NON-METHANE VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUNDS (NMVOCS) IN BEIRUT, LEBANON T. Salameh (1,2,3), S. Sauvage (1,2), C. Afif (3), A. Borbon (4), N. Locoge (1,2) (1) Université Lille Nord de France F-59000, Lille France ; (2) Mines Douai, Département Chimie et Environnement, F59508 Douai Cedex, France ; (3) Centre d'Analyses et de Recherche, Faculty of Sciences, Saint Joseph University, Beirut, Lebanon ; (4) Laboratoire Interuniversitaire des Systèmes Atmosphériques (LISA), Universités Paris 12 et Paris 7, France Presenting author email: [email protected]; [email protected] Summary Based on a large database of NMVOC observations obtained in Beirut, the capital of Lebanon, the overall objective of the present study is to apportion the sources of NMVOCs encountered in Lebanon (a small developing country in the Middle East region, located in Western Asia on the eastern shore of the Mediterranean Sea). First, source profiles were determined with field measurements close to the main potential emitters namely the road transport, gasoline vapour, power generation and solvent uses. The results obtained are compared to other studies held in other regions and are used to assess the emission inventory developed by Waked et al, 2012. Secondly two intensive field campaigns were held in a receptor site in Beirut during summer 2011 and winter 2012 in order to determine the contribution of the main sources. The comparison with other studies showed the consistency of our results. Introduction NMVOCs, emitted from various sources, are of particular interest since they contribute to the formation of tropospheric ozone, PAN and secondary organic aerosols. Air pollution is still a major problem in the Middle East region, where data related to NMVOC are sparse or nonexistent, reductions of emissions are necessary. To identify abatement measures, a profound knowledge of emission sources and their composition is a prerequisite. Though, air pollution in the MEA region remains difficult to assess and understand because of a lack of ground-based measurements and the limited information on NMVOC chemical speciation and source apportionment. Nevertheless, for a successful development of air pollution control strategies, these information are crucial to support model implementation as well as to assess the emission inventory established for Lebanon for the year 2010 by Waked et al. 2012 according to the EEA/EMEP guidelines because of the lack of Lebanon-specific emission factors. Methodology and Results The chemical composition of emissions from several major NMVOC anthropogenic sources in Lebanon was established including: road transport, gasoline vapour (hot soak, refueling vapour in service stations and emissions from fuel storage facilities), power generation and solvent use from architectural coatings, furniture paints and auto paints. These profiles are then compared to those obtained by PMF receptor model. In fact, the source apportionment receptor modelling PMF was run for a large dataset of NMVOC collected in two campaigns during summer 2011 and winter 2012 in Beirut. Near field samplings have been carried out in Beirut city and in the suburban area by canisters and the analyses were performed by the gas chromatograph equipped with a flame ionization detector (GC-FID, Perkin Elmer). Around 67 NMVOC of C2 – C9 were identified and quantified. The same analytical method was used with an on-line sampling system during the summer and winter measurement campaigns. Characteristic features of the roadway emission profile included high concentrations of isopentane (13.5%), butane (11.5%), toluene (10.5%), xylenes (6.8%), ethylene (2.9%) and ethyne (2.8%). Gasoline evaporation profiles included high concentrations of the C4-C5 saturated hydrocarbons. For instance, isopentane accounted for 23.1% in refueling cars, 17.2% in fuel storage facility and 14.2% in hot-soak profile. As per the power generator emissions, the main compounds are related to combustion (ethane, ethylene, propylene and toluene). Toluene and C8-C9 aromatics were found to be the most abundant species in emissions from paint applications. Toluene accounted for 69% in paint solvents for furniture profile and for 23% in automobile paint use. Comparisons with other similar studies in different regions showed that the source profiles obtained are consistent. Then, the obtained profiles are used to identify source factors determined with the PMF v3.0 applied to summer and winter campaign databases. In both seasons, combustion (Road transport and power generation) and gasoline evaporation were the main sources contributing to the NMVOCs in Beirut. Conclusions Reduction of NMVOCs emission should be prioritized in the air pollution control efforts. This unique work is of high importance for the MEA region where available information on NMVOC measurements and speciation is scarce but essential for air quality modeling and abatement strategies. The identification analyses of the emissions of NMVOCs from various sources in Beirut and the assessment of the contribution of the sources to ambient levels of the NMVOCs will help in validating the emission inventory established for the year 2010 by Waked et al. 2012 according to the EEA/EMEP guidelines. Acknowledgement This work was supported by Mines Douai Institution, the Lebanese National Council for Scientific Research, the Saint Joseph University (Faculty of Sciences and the Council for Research) and CEDRE. References Waked A., Afif C., Seigneur C., 2012. An atmospheric emission inventory of anthropogenic and biogenic sources for Lebanon. Atmospheric Environment 50, 88-96. 99 PARTICULATE MATTER SOURCE APPORTIONMENT IN THE AREA OF THESSALONIKI, GREECE. D.E. Saraga (1, 2), E. Tolis (1), E.M. Kougioumtzidis (1) and J.G. Bartzis (1) (1) Environmental Technology Laboratory, University of Western Macedonia, UOWM, Kozani, Greece (2) Environmental Research Laboratory, INRASTES, National Center for Scientific Research "DEMOKRITOS", Aghia Paraskevi Attikis, P.O.B. 60228, 15310 Athens, Greece Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The present study aimed to identify and quantify the contribution of particulate matter (PM) sources in the port city of Thessaloniki, in Northern Greece. In the frame of APICE project (Common Mediterranean strategy and local practical Actions for the mitigation of Port, Industries and Cities Emissions), PM2.5 measurements were conducted in five large Mediteranean cities. In the city of Thessaloniki, PM2.5 concentration measurements were conducted at two sites, one in the centre of the city and one in the nearby port. A total of 322 samples, 161 from each site, were collected during two seasons. The samples were analysed for 25 chemical compounds (Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons, ions, metals, elemental and organic carbon). A source apportionment study using Positive Matrix Factorization v3.0 model was conducted for both sampling sites of Thessaloniki (city center and port) in order to identify the pollutant sources. PMF application results indicated six PM2.5 sources in both sampling sites. Introduction Harbors represent a significant potential for the economic development, although having a potential negative environmental impact. Port activities mainly include emissions from shipping (passenger ships, ferries, fishing boats, cargo ships etc) and other local activities as (un)loading and transport of dusty loose materials as far as exhaust emissions from vehicles moving in the port areas, comprising important particulate matter and gaseous pollutant sources. The present study aimed at identifying and quantifying the contribution of particulate matter (PM) sources in the port city of Thessaloniki (northern Greece), through a receptor model application (Positive Matrix Factorization-PMFv3.0). Methodology and Results For the purpose of the study, two low volume samplers (Derenda LVS 3.1) were used for the PM2.5 samples collection at the two sampling sites: the city center and the port of Thessaloniki. PAHs, ions and metals analysis were conducted using gas chromatography, ion chromatography and atomic spectrometry while elemental and organic carbon were analysed using the NIOSH 5040 method. An input concentration matrix of 322 samples and 25 species was created. A corresponding matrix of sample-specific uncertainty values was also injected in the model (EPA PMFv3.0). Concentration data below the detection limit was substituted with one-half of the detection limit and missing concentration data were substituted with the median value. From the data included, none of the species presented high percentage of data below the detection limit. Finally, Ζn and Ni species which presented low signal-to-noise ratio (<2) were characterized as "weak". The model was run for 3 to 12 factors and a random seed. The optimal number of factors was determined by examining the Q values for PMF solutions resulting from a range of the -number of factors- values without excluding the solution’s physical validity. The optimal number of factors in this analysis was six for both sampling sites. The two final steps were the bootstrap and Fpeak runs in order to examine the stability and the rotational ambiguity of the solution, respectively. PMF analysis lead to a solution of six factors, which correspond to six sources or groups of sources for both sites. For the Thessaloniki’s city center, the following sources were identified: a traffic (vehicle exhausts) source (23.7% contribution to PM2.5), an industry/mineral source (7.5%), a source of marine (mixed sea+ships emissions) origin (4.1%), a road dust-source (12.8 %), a combustion/central heating source (9.3%) and a source connected to secondary aerosols (24.6%). The unapportioned fraction of PM2.5 was 18%. For the port site the following sources were identified: a mixed traffic-origin source (vehicle exhausts + road dust) (22.7% contribution to PM2.5), an industry/mineral source (19.6%), a sea-origin source (4.1%), a fuel oil combustion (possibly ships emissions)- related source (15.6%), a combustion/central heating source (7.2%) and a source connected to secondary aerosols (19.5%). The unapportioned fraction of PM2.5 was 11.2%. Conclusions Two traffic-related sources are presented at the city center: one related to vehicle exhausts and one to road dust. These two sources are combined and presented as one source for the case of the port. Additionally, a marine-origin source with rather low PM2.5 contribution is presented at the city center. The same source is split to two different sources for the port site: a natural sea origin source and a fuel oil combustion (ships emissions) source. The combustion-related source presents seasonal variation, being more intense during the cold season (October to March), therefore it can be connected to central heating emissions. The mineral/industry source contribution is stronger at the port site, without presenting significant seasonal variation. Acknowledgement The APICE project (Common Mediterranean strategy and local practical Actions for the mitigation of Port, Industries and Cities Emissions) is financed by the European program for territorial Cooperation MED 2007/2013. 100 MODEL EVALUATION STUDIES 101 EVALUATION OF THE ON-LINE NMMB/BSC-CTM MODEL GAS-PHASE RESULTS ON THE EUROPEAN DOMAIN FOR 2010 IN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE AQMEII-PHASE2 INITIATIVE A. Badia (1),O. Jorba (1) (1) Earth Sciences Department, Barcelona Supercomputing Center – Centro Nacional de Supercomputación (BSC-CNS). Barcelona, Spain. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The Air Quality Model Evaluation International Initiative (AQMEII) Phase-2 aims to inter-compare on-line couple regional-scale models over North America and Europe. In this contribution, the evaluation of 2010 air quality simulations for gas-phase of the integrated model NMMB/BSC-CTM contributing to the European domain simulations of AQMEII-Phase2 initiative is presented. Introduction It is well known that weather conditions influence air quality. Moreover, numerous studies show that meteorological processes such as boundary layer turbulence, precipitation, radiation budget, are a key drivers for accumulation of chemical pollutants in the atmosphere. On the last decades due to the complexity and the computer resources limitation, air quality and meteorological models had been developed as separate fields. However, with the huge increase of the computational power during the last years, several on-line coupled meteorology-chemistry global and regional-scale models have been developed for research and forecasting applications. The COST Action ES-1004 European framework for online integrated air quality and meteorology modelling (EuMetChem - http://eumetchem.info) reviews those integrated models developed or applied in Europe. In this framework, a model intercomparison effort is designed within the Action ES-1004 and is coordinated with the AQMEII-Phase2 international initiative, that focuses inter-comparison of on-line coupled regional-scale models. Methodology and Results AQMEII-Phase2 exercise defines a common model configuration suite: chemical boundary conditions from MACC re-analysis data, anthropogenic emissions from TNO database for the year 2009, forest fires emission by FMI (http://is4fires.fmi.fi/data/data_main.htm) and domain configuration over Europe and North America with a horizontal resolution of 0.25◦ x0.25◦. Data from different observational networks, available on the AQMEII-Ensemble system, is used in this study to carry out the model evaluation. Under this framework, the NMMB/BSC-CTM (Jorba et al., 2012) is applied over the European domain for the year 2010. NMMB/BSC-CTM is a fully on-line integrated system for meso-to global scale applications. The meteorological driver is the multiscale NCEP/NMMB meteorological model and the gas-phase chemical mechanism used is the CBM-05. The model has been configured with 24 and 48 vertical layers. Results show that there is a good performance from May-November for O3 (Fig.1), with a good correlation over central EU and Iberian Peninsula (0.60.8) and lower over North and East EU and UK (0.1-0.4). The best correlation for NO2 is produced over central EU (0.4-0.7) and lower Fig.1 O3 hourly May-Nov mean concentration values are obtained over the Mediterranean areas (0.1-0.4). A general (ug/m3) for all stations. Model results are in black trend to overestimate in central and North EU and underestimate closer line/ grey bar and observations in red line/orange bar to Alps and Pyrenees regions is identified. Conclusions The obtained results have shown a general trend to overestimate O3 but good agreement is found from May to November. As illustrated in Fig.1, the model hourly results reproduce properly the observed hourly variability. A larger correlation is found in central EU for NO2 and model skills are lower for CO and SO2. Acknowledgement The authors wish to thank the initiative of AQMEII-Phase2 for providing an automatic evaluation system with a large set of observations. We also want to acknowledge the support from projects CGL2010/19652 and CSD2007-00050 of the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness, and support of the grant SEV-2011-00067 of Severo Ochoa Program, awarded by the Spanish Goverment. BSC simulations were performed with the Marenostrum Supercomputer at BSC. References Jorba, O., Dabdub, D., Blaszczak-Boxe, C., Pérez, C., Janjic, Z., Baldasano, J. M., Spada, M., Badia, A., and Gonçalves, M.: Potential Significance of Photoexcited NO2 on Global Air Quality with the NMMB/BSC Chemical Transport Model, Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, 2012. 102 CAN WE EXPLAIN THE OBSERVED DECREASE IN SECONDARY INORGANIC AEROSOL AND ITS PRECURSORS BETWEEN 1990 AND 2009 OVER EUROPE USING LOTOS-EUROS? S. Banzhaf (1), M. Schaap (2), R. Kranenburg (2), A. Manders (2), A. Segers (2), A. Visschedijk (2), H. Denier van der Gon (2), J. Kuenen (2), C. Hendriks (2), E. van Meijgaard (3), L. van Ulft (3) and P. Builtjes (1/2) (1) Freie Universitaet Berlin, Institute of Meteorology, Germany; (2) TNO, The Netherlands; (3) KNMI, The Netherlands Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this study we investigate the ability of the Chemistry Transport Model (CTM) LOTOS-EUROS to explain the observed decrease in secondary inorganic aerosol (SIA) and its precursors between 1990 and 2009 over Europe. The model explicitly accounts for cloud chemistry and aerosol thermodynamics. The results have shown that the model largely captures the observed trends in SIA and its precursors’ concentrations while it underestimates the interannual variability. Using a sourceapportionment module the amount of SIA formed per unit emission was traced for 4 regions. The results show 20-50% more efficient SO42- formation in 2009 compared to 1990, whereas the change in NO3- formation per unit NOx emission changed less (-10% to +20%) over the same time period. Introduction SIA forms a substantial fraction of PM, which has adverse impact on public health (Pope et al., 2006). Moreover, sulphur and nitrogen deposition fluxes damage ecosystems by eutrophying and acidifying soils and fresh water. In the last two decades emission abatement strategies have been implemented all over Europe targeting the adverse effects of SIA and its precursors on human health and the environment (e.g. NEC Directive). The implemented mitigation measures have led to significant emission reductions. However, the responses of the pollutants’ concentrations to the emission changes are not one to one but show non-linear behaviour. CTMs are used to analyse potential emission reduction strategies and quantify their effectiveness. Modelling the non-linear relationships between gas- and particle-phase i.e. modelling secondary species is still challenging for state of the art CTMs. Thus, analysing the ability of CTMs to capture non-linear responses and interannual variability of the last 15-20 years is fundamental before the models can be used to analyse future emission strategies. In this study we compare concentrations of SIA and its precursors of a 20 years LOTOS-EUROS model run to observations to investigate if the model is able to explain the observed decrease in SIA and its precursors between 1990 and 2009 over Europe. Methodology and Results Observational data for the years 1990-2009 have been provided by EMEP and the AirBase database. Using the off-line 3D CTM LOTOS-EUROS a model run of 20 years (1990-2009) has been performed on a domain covering Europe (grid resolution approx. 25km x 25km). The meteorological data set was obtained from RACMO2. Emissions were generated using IIASA RAINS/GAINS output. Figure 1 shows the mean 60 days moving average for NO2 (upper panel) and TNO3 (lower panel) at several stations spread over Europe. The model underestimates concentrations and interannual variability for NO2 while for TNO3 both features are captured well. As the upper plot indicates the model overestimates the negative trend in NO2 concentrations. It was found that the model reproduces the observed relative trends better than the absolute trends for all investigated components. A source apportionment module has been applied to trace the amount of SIA formed per unit emission of SO2, NOx and NH3 for 4 different regions over Europe. The results reveal an increase in SO42- formation efficiency by 20-50% from 1990-2009 for all regions. The NO3- formation per unit NOx emission shows a slight increase for the region Netherlands/Belgium (+20%) whereas the formation efficiency slightly decreases for Romania (-10%). Conclusions The results of the study have shown that the model captures the observed relative trends in SIA and its precursors’ concentrations better than the absolute trends. Applying a source-apportionment module the results have revealed changes in SIA formation efficiency from 1990-2009. This nonlinear effect seems to also exist in the observations. The latter is induced by shifts in the partinioning between aerosol- and gas-phase and changes in oxidant levels due to changes in the emission regime following emission reductions over Europe. Fig.1 Mean 60 days moving average for NO2 (upper panel) and TNO3 (lower panel) at 57 and 9 European rural background stations, respectively. Acknowledgement This work was funded by TNO within the framework of the R&D Project 3712632401-PINETI II (Umweltbundesamt, GER). References Pope C.A., Dockery D.W., 2006. Health Effects of Fine Particulate Air Pollution: Lines that Connect. Journal of Air and Waste Management Association 56, 709-742. 103 MODELLING THE SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL PATTERN OF AMMONIA OVER THE PO VALLEY V. Capiaghi (1,2), G. Pirovano (2), C. Colombi (3), G. Lonati (1), G. M. Riva (2), A. Toppetti (2), V. Gianelle (3), A. Balzarini (2) (1) DICA Politecnico di Milano, P.za L. da Vinci 32, 20133 Milano, Italy; (2) RSE Spa, via Rubattino 54, 20134 Milano, Italy; (3) ARPA Lombardia Settore Monitoraggi Ambientali, via Juvara 22 – 20129 Milano, Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The CAMx chemical transport model (CTM) has been applied over the Po Valley (Northern Italy) to investigate the spatial and temporal pattern of ammonia, the gas phase precursor of ammonium particulate. Model results have been compared with systematic ammonia measurements of the Air Quality Network. CAMx proved to be skilful in reproducing the temporal evolution of ammonia concentration at receptors located in the most emitting areas, while it underestimated ammonia levels in urban and remote areas. Nevertheless, Particulate Matter (PM) concentration has been correctly reproduced at most sites. Model results suggest that the annual emission burden of ammonia is correctly quantified. Conversely, the underestimation taking place outside the high emission areas is probably related to an incorrect hourly modulation profile of ammonia emissions as well as to a poor reconstruction of the Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL), both contributing to dampen the effect of ammonia transport at basin scale. Conversely, the good performance in reproducing the PM concentration suggests that those effects are less relevant for secondary pollutants, the main fraction of PM in the Po Valley during these episodes. Introduction Reduced nitrogen is one of the key factors driving the development of PM concentrations over the Po Valley, due to the presence of a large amount of agricultural and livestock activities. A reliable reconstruction of the spatial and temporal pattern of ammonia in the atmosphere represents an inescapable aspect in order to investigate its role as aerosol precursor and then to design and asses air quality policies aiming at reducing PM pollution and dealing, among the others, with the agricultural sector. This study represents one of the first attempts to evaluate ammonia modelled concentrations against observed data in the Po Valley. Methodology and Results The CAMx model has been applied over a computational domain covering the whole Po Valley and adopting a 5 km grid step size. The analysis has covered two periods (summer and fall) of 2010 characterized by different emissions and meteorological features. Meteorological fields have been derived from WRF. Emissions have been arranged in CAMx ready format by applying the SMOKE emission model. Regional high resolution emission inventories have been used for the Po Valley area; additionally, the Italian emission inventory and the EMEP inventory have been used for the leftover part of the Italian domain as well as outside Italy. Results have been compared with observed ammonia concentrations at four sites of the Lombardy, characterized by different emission strength: two in South Lombardy (the most ammonia emitting area), Milan, and a prealpine valley. Additionally, 244 meteorological and 202 air quality stations belonging to the operational regional networks have been considered too. Figure 1 displays the results obtained at one of the rural sites (Bertonico, left panels), and at Milan site (right panels) for a fall episode. NH3 concentration has been well reproduced at the rural site, with the exception of a strong episode taking place on September 22th. Differently, at Milan site ammonia concentration has been clearly underestimated. As for PM, CAMx concentration levels are in a good agreement with the observations, particularly during the second half of the period, where the model has been able to reconstruct the development of both episodes. Fig.1 Daily series of CAMx (red) and observed (black) concentrations of NH3 (top) and PM (bottom) at Bertonico (left) and Milano (right). Conclusions The good results obtained at rural sites suggest that the annual emission burden of ammonia is correctly quantified. Conversely, the underestimation taking place outside the emission areas is probably related to an incorrect hourly modulation profile of ammonia emissions as well as to a poor reconstruction of the PBL, both contributing to dampen the effect of ammonia transport at basin scale. Conversely, the good performance in reproducing the PM concentration suggests that those effects are less relevant for secondary pollutants, representing the main fraction of PM in the Po Valley during these episodes. 104 COMPARISON OF MEASURED DATA AND MODEL-RESULTS DURING PEGASOS-CAMPAIGN 2012 C. Ehlers, D. Klemp, A. Wahner, H. Elbern Forschungszentrum Jülich, Institut für Energie und Klimaforschung – IEK-8 Troposphäre Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Mobile ground-based measurements with a mobile lab (MOBILAB) yield a dataset with a high temporal and spatial resolution and a large areal coverage. Evaluating the forecast quality of the EURAD-model this dataset gives the opportunity to determine the effects of the input values and the processes on which the model calculations are based. Introduction In the Forschungszentrum Jülich a mobile Lab (MOBILAB, see figure 1) has been developed to perform mobile Measurements with a high temporal resolution in rural background regions as well as in highly polluted urban areas. The MOBILAB has been used for various campaigns (e.g. [Ehlers, 2013]). During the west campaign of the PEGASOSproject the MOBILAB was used as a mobile ground station as well as a tool for mapping the concentrations in the rural background regions in the Netherlands. In the framework of the PEGASOS-project high resolution day by day forecasts have been calculated. The forecast quality is based on the atmospheric chemistry and transport processes as well as the consistency of the emission inventories. The values calculated in the EURAD-model represent average values for the corresponding 1x1 km grid-cells of the model. For comparison with the mobile ground-based measurements the lowest layer from the model has been used. Based on the GPS-track recorded from MOBILAB the corresponding model-results were derived via a web interface provided by EURAD. Results As the MOBILAB has been measuring while driving along the roads, the effects of local emissions from single cars were eliminated from the data using a 5%-percentile filter with a 180 seconds time base. For the model-evaluation an example was chosen where the measurements covered a wide range from urban areas, motorways as well as rural agricultural areas and a large forest. CO is often used as a marker for an anthropogenic influence. Here the model results are in good agreement width the background values calculated from the measurements (see figure 2). A comparison of the ozone values (see figure 3) shows a significant overestimation of the ozone values in the EURADmodel. In contrast to this the ozone production rates estimated from the EURAD-model and from the measurements are in good agreement. A box-Model (MCM 3.2) calculation based on the measured precursor concentrations showed the same ozone production rate, indicating, that the chemical processes in the EURAD-model are in good agreement with the measurements. Figure 1: MOBILAB - schematic view Figure 2: CO-concentration Figure 3: Ozone-concentration Conclusions The results shown above indicate that the model can predict the concentrations for CO very well while the nitric oxides are significantly underestimated by a factor of two. As transport and mixing processes would affect both species in the same way, the results indicate that deviations of the emission inventories are the most probable explanation for the underestimation found for the nitric oxides. Furthermore, the detailed analysis on the ozone concentrations showed that the chemical processes in the atmosphere that lead to ozone formation are represented very well by the model, whereas the absolute concentrations showed a significant discrepancy. References Ehlers, C., 2013, Mobile Messungen – Messung und Bewertung von Verkehrsemissionen, thesis, University of Cologne PEGASOS, Pan-European Gas-AeroSOls-climate interaction Study, http://pegasos.iceht.forth.gr/ EURAD, 2013, H. Elbern, http://db.eurad.uni-koeln.de/de/vorhersage/eurad-im.php 105 INVESTIGATING RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN MODEL PERFORMANCE AND MODELING OUTCOMES N. Kumar (1), B. Koo (2), O. Nopmongcol (2), T. Odman (3), A. G. Russell (3), E. M. Knipping (1), G. Yarwood (2) (1) Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), 3420 Hillview Ave, Palo Alto, CA 94536, USA; (2) Environ International Corp, 773 Bel Marin Keys Blvd Novato, CA 94998, USA; (3) Georgia Institute of Technology, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 790 Atlantic Drive,Atlanta, Georgia 30332-0355 USA Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this study we conduct modelling experiments to investigate how use of different regional air quality models in a way that is prevalent in the user community could affect various policy outcomes. The outcomes investigated are: Response to emission reductions (e.g., effectiveness of control strategy demonstrations) Source/regions contribution assessments Setting standards or nonattainment area boundaries The purpose of the study is to show how in the absence of any guidelines for evaluating air quality models, one may obtain very different policy outcomes depending on the model being used in spite of the models meeting the commonly accepted model performance criteria. Introduction Air quality models are the primary tools used by regulators, states, industry, and other agencies for a variety of applications, including the development of regulations, design of air quality control strategies and implementation plans, and short-term operational air quality forecasting. Recently their use is also being extended to establishing air quality standards when the monitoring data are unavailable. Given the widespread use of air quality models for a variety of applications, these models need to be rigorously evaluated to ensure that one can reliably use the modelled results. Currently, no guidelines exist on how to evaluate such models before they are used for regulatory or other applications. Most practitioners conduct minimum evaluation by comparing modelled quantities against measurements averaged over space and time such that one may not get a true picture of the model’s ability to accurately predict the observed concentrations. In this study, we conducted modelling experiments to see how use of different models in a way that is prevalent in the user community could affect various policy outcomes. Methodology and Results We ran two regional air quality models predominantly used in the United States, the CAMx (Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions) and the CMAQ (Community Multiscale Air Quality) model for an annual simulation for the Year 2005 using available modelling inputs (emissions and meteorology). The model evaluation was performed using commonly used statistical measures (normalized bias and error) averaged over an annual period and for different monitoring networks. Both the models were shown to perform adequately based on commonly “acceptable criteria” used by the air quality community. We then ran the two models for a future year (2014) with proposed air quality control policies in the United States and determined the response (i.e., change in concentrations of ozone and particulate matter concentrations) of the models to those control strategies. We also conducted source apportionment studies to determine contributions of different source regions to air quality at different receptor sites using both the models using brute force methods (i.e., by zeroing out the anthropogenic emissions from a given source region). In this paper we present the results from the different control strategy simulations and the emissions sensitivity simulations (i.e., zeroing out of emissions). The results show that even though the two models used showed model performance that would be deemed acceptable based on commonly used criteria by the air quality community, the response of the models to control strategies was quite different. In addition, the contribution of the different source regions was also significantly different at certain downwind receptors. The next step would be to conduct diagnostic simulations to improve the performance of the models at different spatial and temporal scales and redo the sensitivity simulations to examine if the two models converge in the response to those sensitivities. Conclusions The results from this study suggest that running the existing air quality models in a manner prevalent in the community, i.e, showing model performance using statistical measures averaged spatially over long periods, may not give robust results that can be reliably used to make policy decisions. A better approach may be to develop a stricter set of criteria that the models must pass for a particular application before they can be used for policy decisions. 106 AIR QUALITY OVER ASIA, A MODELLING STUDY WITH WRF-CHEM A. K. Petersen (1), G. P. Brasseur (1), R. Kumar (2) (1) Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany (2) National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder/Colorado, USA Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this study, the WRF-Chem model was run for a domain covering 60°E to 150°E, 5°S to 50°N at a resolution of 60kmx60km for January and July 2006 with the Maccity emission inventory. The model results are compared with observations to evaluate the its capability for simulating air pollution over the Asian domain, especially the chemical species related to ozone formation. In addition, a run with increased NOx emissions by a factor of 1.5 for January 2006 has been performed to get an insight of the consequences of ongoing increasing emissions on the air quality in Asia. Introduction The degradation of air quality in Asia resulting from the intensification of human activities, and the related impacts on the health of billions of people have become an urgent matter of concern. A prerequisite for air quality improvement is the development of a reliable monitoring system with surface instrumentation and space platforms as well as an analysis and prediction system based on an advanced chemical-meteorological model. WRF-Chem model is a regional chemical dynamical model designed to serve both for operational forecasting and atmospheric research needs. In order to use the WRF-Chem for the forecast of air pollution over Asia, the model performance needs to be evaluated. Methodology and Results The Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem), version 3.4.1, has been used in this study, with the chemistry module based on MOZART and the aerosol module based on GOCART. Global boundary conditions are provided by the global chemistry transport model MOZART-4 driven by NCEP/NCAR reanalysis meteorology at 2.8x2.8 deg horizontal resolution at 28 levels. The WRF-chem model was driven by NCEP FNL (Final) Operational Global Analysis meteorology fields. The time step of the model was set to 240s. The model domain is defined on Mercator projection, covering the domain 60°E to 150°E, 5°S to 50°N at a resolution of 60x60 km with 51 vertical levels and 4 soil levels. The Yonsei University (YSU) scheme has been used for the planetary boundary layer parametrization. The resolved-scale cloud physics are represented by the Thompson microphysics scheme, while sub-grid scale effects of convective and shallow clouds are parameterized according to the Kain-Fritsch convective scheme. The WRF-Chem model was run for January 2006 and July 2006 with the Maccity emission inventory. In addition, a run with increased NOx emissions by a factor of 1.5 for January 2006 has been performed in order to study the effects of further increased emissions. The model simulations have been compared with observations from ground and from space. Different methods of determining if ozone is under NOx or VOC limitation have been applied in order to understand the ozone formation in Asia. Figure 1: WRF-Chem simulation of surface NO2 (log-scale) for January 2006. Figure 2: WRF-Chem simulation of surface ozone [ppbv] for January 2006. Conclusions The results show that the WRF-Chem model is able to simulate the general distributions of air pollutants over Asia. The ozone formation is strongly under VOC limiting conditions over areas with high human activities, such as East Central China and North India. In East Central China, with very high NOx emissions and very low solar radiation in winter, ozone is titrated, leading to very low ozone levels at the surface. A further increase of NOx emissions during winter would extend areas where ozone is under VOC limitation, expecially over India, and results in higher ozone over Asia, apart from areas with very high NOx as in North India and East Central China, where ozone would further decrease due to titration. 107 LOCAL-SCALE MODELLING OF ACCIDENTAL RELEASES IN BUILT ENVIRONMENTS – SELECTED RESULTS OF THE ‘MICHELSTADT’ MODEL EVALUATION EXERCISE IN COST ACTION ES1006 K. Baumann-Stanzer (1), B. Leitl (2), S. Trini Castelli (3), M. Milliez (4), G. Rau (1) and all COST ES1006 Members (1) Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics (ZAMG), Hohe Warte 38, 1190 Vienna, Austria (2) Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (ZMAW), Bundesstr. 53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany (3) Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (ISAC) of the Italian National Research Council, Corso Fiume 4, 10133 Torino, Italy (4) Centre d'Enseignement et de Recherche en Environnement Atmosphérique (CEREA), 6-8 avenue Blaise Pascal, Cité Descartes Champs-sur-Marne 77455 Marne la Vallée Cedex 2, France Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary COST Action ES1006 focuses among other objectives on the evaluation of local-scale hazmat dispersion modelling in complex built-up environments. Appropriate data-sets are identified and methodologies for quality assessment in the light of practical use are developed. Experiences from a first model evaluation exercise conducted as non-blind and blind tests based on the comparison to wind tunnel measurements of continuous and puff releases are presented. Introduction COST Action ES1006 "Evaluation, improvement and guidance for the use of local-scale emergency prediction and response tools for airborne hazards in built environments" (http://www.elizas.eu) has been set up to improve, assure and evaluate the quality of local-scale hazmat dispersion modelling with a particular focus on the needs of end-users in responding to releases in complex urban and industrial environments. CBRN threats in cities may result from accidents, or as a consequence of criminal or malevolent activities. Although these events are quite different in nature, effective emergency response to them requires similar atmospheric dispersion modelling and health impact assessment tools. In an emergency situation, the model must be able to predict the transient dispersion process associated with a continuous (leakage, fire) or a short duration (puff) release. Furthermore, the dispersion of the agent in an urban or industrial environment is strongly influenced by small scale obstacles, and the resulting concentrations are therefore highly inhomogeneous in space and intermittent in time. Main objectives of the action are to establish scientifically and practically justified methods for the assessment of local-scale airborne hazard dispersion model performance and to prepare reference data sets qualified for model evaluation. Methodology and Results The “Michelstadt” wind-tunnel experiment (Fischer et al., 2010) is chosen as first test case. A non-blind and a blind test are conducted. Both continuous and short-term (puff) releases are considered in this model evaluation exercise. Different modelling methodologies are applied, from the simple parametric models to advanced CFD, with an applicationoriented approach. In this way, not only the physical reliability of the models is considered, but also their applicability in terms of run-time and response speed, simplicity to use and computational costs and for purpose adaptability. Aspects of data selection for hazard model evaluation are addressed in this presentation and the approach for inter-comparison of models and measurements developed within COST ES1006 (Stern and Milliez, 2013) as well as selected results are presented. Conclusions Fig.1 Measured near-ground air concentrations Major differences are found between models that explicitly account for from source 2 (continuous release, non-blind test) the presence of buildings and those that do not resolve the obstacles. This aspect is particularly important for correctly describing the pattern of the plume in such complex geometries. As expected, more advanced models in general better reproduce the observed plume structure but are also more expensive in terms of required effort in setup and computing time. Acknowledgement The European Cooperation in Science and Technology (www.cost.eu) is acknowledged for supporting the cooperations essential for the presented work within the COST ESSEM framework. References Fischer R., Bastigkeit I., Leitl B. and Schatzmann M., 2010. Generation of Fig.2: Simulated near-ground air concentrations spatio-temporally high resolved datasets for the validation of LES-models from source 2 (continuous release, Langrangian simulating flow and dispersion phenomena within the lower atmospheric model LASAT) boundary layer. Proc. 5th International Symposium on Computational Wind Engineering (CWE2010), Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA. Stern M. and Milliez M., 2013. Developing tools for comparison of physical measurements and results of numerical simulations. Scientific Report. COST Action ES1006 – STSM. 108 TRANSNATIONAL MODEL INTERCOMPARISON AND VALIDATION EXCERSICE (JOAQUIN) S. Adriaenssens (1), F. Fierens (1), E. Trimpeneers (1), E. Van der Swaluw (2), F. Deutsch (3) and H. Denier Van der Gon (4) (1) Belgian Interregional Environment Agency (IRCEL), 1210 Brussels, Belgium (2) National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), 3721 Bilthoven, Netherlands (3) Flemish Institute for Technological Research (VITO), 2400 Mol, Belgium (4) Netherlands organization for Applied Scientific Research (TNO), 3584 Utrecht, Netherlands Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Although air quality has improved considerably in Europe in recent decades (EEA, 2012), airborne fine particles still have a significant impact on our health and life expectancy (Amman et al., 2005). Recent research shows that other pollutants, such as the smaller ultra fine particles (UFP) and “Elemental Carbon (EC)” are more likely to be linked to health problems, than the current parameters of NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) and PM10 (PM with a diameter less than 10μm) (Janssen et al., 2011). At present there is no clear understanding of the presence of these particles, especially at local and regional level. Since air pollution, especially of the current parameters, is by its nature a truly transnational problem, a jointly identified and implemented transnational approach is therefore an essential requirement for a successful reduction of air pollution. Such approach is complicated by the use of different models and emission inventories within and between countries. The aim of this study is to compare the four currently used regional models Chimère, BelEUROS, Aurora and LotosEuros used by Belgium and the Netherlands with a unified emission inventory. Introduction The aim of the Joaquin project is to support health-oriented air quality policies in the Northwest European Region (NWE). To achieve this, the project is broken up in three work packages. The first work package consists of capacity building, in which innovative knowledge will be gained by e.g. setting up a novel monitoring infrastructure for UFP and EC. In the second work package, measures are assessed to identify, pilot and evaluate the most efficient and cost-effective measures to reduce exposure. In the third work package, communication is set-up between the involved policy levels, stakeholder groups and the general public. Within the second work package a transnational assessment of health relevant parameters will be conducted. Currently there is no insight in the relative importance of health relevant pollutants across the NWE region and no maps of UFP and EC emissions and concentrations exist. Methodology and Results The first part, which comprises this study, is the comparison of four currently used regional models with regard to EC and PM10 concentrations, i.e. Lotos-Euros, BelEuros, Chimère and Aurora. Model simulations are performed for base year 2009 and for the same domain, which comprises Belgium, the Netherlands, WestGermany, North-France, and a large part of the UK. Model resolutions are also comparable and approximately 7x7 km². Emissions are based on the TNO MACC inventory adapted with high resolution bottom-up emissions for Flanders, The Netherlands and the UK. The effect of meteorology on the model intercomparison exercise was assessed by repeating the model simulation with meteorology of 2009, 2010 and 2011. The results of this exercise are validated with available EC/BC and PM10 measurements from the telemetric monitoring networks of each participating country. Fig.1 EC annual mean 2009 (µg/m³) Conclusions The core goal of the Joaquin project is to provide health-oriented air quality information to support air quality policies in the Northwest European Region. Since modelling exercises are complementary to measurements in this regard, it is important to provide a good agreement of information at national boundaries and to highlight problems and possible causes for discrepancies. This model intercomparison exercise will contribute to this purpose. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the European Union through the Interreg IV-B NWE program. References Amman M., Bertok, I., Cofala, J., Gyarfas, F., Heyes, C., Klimont, Z., et al., 2005. Baseline Scenarios for the Clean Air for Europe (CAFE) Programme , IIASA, Austria EEA 2012. Air quality in Europe 2012, European Environment Agency, Denmark. Janssen N., Hoek, G., Simic-Lawson, M., Fisher, P., van Bree, L., et al., 2011. Environ. Health Perspect. 119,1691-1699. 109 APPLICATION OF NINFA/AODEM OVER NORTHERN ITALY: MODEL EVALUATION IN THE FRAMEWORK OF SUPERSITO PROJECT T. C. Landi (1,2), M. Stortini (2), G. Bonafè (2), P. Cristofanelli (1) and P. Bonasoni (1) (1) National Research Council, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (ISAC-CNR), via Gobetti 101, 40129, Bologna, Italy (2) ARPA-SIMC, Agenzia Regionale per la Prevenzione e Ambiente, Viale Silvani 6, Bologna, Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary A comprehensive evaluation of 3-D air quality modeling system NINFA/AODEM has been carried out over northern Italy for the year 2012. Simulated meteorological variables, particulate matter concentrations and aerosol optical properties are compared with both ground-based and satellite measurements. Basic statistics were calculated for pointing out model's strength and weakness. Introduction Po Valley region (Northern Italy) has been identified as one hot spot place where pollutant levels remain problematic in spite of the application of the current European legislation (2008/50/EC) devoted to air pollution control. It is characterized by a high density of anthropogenic emissions and by the frequent occurrence of stagnant meteorological conditions, being between two mountain ranges, the Alps in the north and west and the Apennines in the south. In recent literature is reported that large fraction of aerosol is from local sources, even if there is a contribution from a regional origin (Saarikoski et al., 2012). Generally, high pollution events are the result of the concomitant occurrence of low-mobility atmospheric conditions, that tend to trap pollutants, and aerosols formation processes. Investigations based on both ground-based and satellite measurements and air quality modelling are needed to shed light on air pollution and related health issues as well as on understanding of the origin of pollution. A comprehensive evaluation of 3-D air quality modelling system implemented by ARPA Emilia Romangna over northern Italy is reported in this work. In particular, model's skills in representing the formation and cycling of aerosols on hourly basis and over the variation in the boundary layer height has been evaluated by using data collected during 2012 at SuperSito sampling sites (i.e. 3 in urban areas, 1 in rural area, and 1 in remote area). Methodology and Results Emilia Romagna Environmental Agency (Agenzia Regionale per la Prevenzione Ambientale, ARPA) has implemented an operational air quality modeling system, called NINFA, for both operational forecasts and long-term analysis. NINFA is based on the chemical transport model CHIMERE (Bessagnet et al., 2008), driven by COSMO-I7, the meteorological Italian Limited Area Model, (Steppeler et al., 2003). Boundary conditions are provided by Prev'air data (www.prevair.org), and emission input data are based on regional, national and european inventory. The simulations domain cover the northern Italy, with an horizontal resolution of 5km. Basically, predicted mass concentrations of aerosols and traces gases for the first vertical level are compared with ground-based measurements. In addition, a post-processing tool for aerosol optical properties (AOP) calculation, called AODEM (Landi T. C. 2013), was implemented. Thus, ground-based and satellite measurements of Aerosol Optical Depth, aerosol extinction coefficient and single scattering albedo can be also used for 3-D model assessment. For the year 2012, predictions of gaseous, particulate matter, and AOP have been compared with widely used observational datasets, such as regional ground level measurements, AERONET, MODIS/terra and MODIS/aqua, and CALIPSO. Besides, for this experiment, NINFA/AODEM has been evaluated by using measurements of size-segregated aerosol samples, number particles concentration and aerosol optical properties collected on hourly or daily basis at 3 sites in urban areas (Bologna, Parma and Rimini), 1 in rural area (San Pietro Capofiume) and 1 in remote area (Monte Cimone). Therefore, acute pollution episodes were deeply investigated. Conclusions Despite a underestimation of about factor 2 remains, operational air quality modeling system NINFA well reproduces the seasonal trend of aerosols levels over northern Italy, in terms of spatial variability as well. Compared with observations, predictions of particulate matter both at ground level and of columnar load present a likely behaviour on seasonal basis. Even if limitation in capturing vertical distribution of aerosols was diagnosed, model simulates maxima of PM10 concentrations and AOD during winter and summer, respectively. References Bessagnet, Bertrand, Laurent Menut, Gabriele Curci, Alma Hodzic, Bruno Guillaume, Catherine Liousse, Sophie Moukhtar, Betty Pun, Christian Seigneur, and Michaël Schulz (2008). "Regional modeling of carbonaceous aerosols over europe—focus on secondary organic aerosols." Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry 61, no. 3 : 175-202. Landi Tony Christian (2013). AODEM: A post-processing tool for aerosol optical properties calculation in the Chemical Transport Models. Book published by LAP - Lambert Academic Publishing ISBN: 978-3-659-31802-3. Saarikoski, S., S. Carbone, S. Decesari, L. Giulianelli, F. Angelini, M. Canagaratna, N. L. Ng et al (2012). "Chemical characterization of springtime submicrometer aerosol in Po Valley, Italy." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 12, no. 18 : 8401-8421. Steppeler, J., G. Doms, U. Schättler, H. W. Bitzer, A. Gassmann, U. Damrath, and G. Gregoric (2003). "Meso-gamma scale forecasts using the nonhydrostatic model LM." Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 82, no. 1-4 : 75-96. 110 EVALUATION OF THE MACC OPERATIONAL FORECAST SYSTEM WITH RESPECT TO GLOBAL REACTIVE GASES Annette Wagner (1), Harald Flentje (1), Werner Thomas (1) and the MACC Team (1) Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) Dept. Research and Development, Hohenpeissenberg Meteorological Observatory, AlbinSchwaiger-Weg 10, 82383 Hohenpeissenberg. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The MACC-II (Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate- phase II) project is the current pre-operational Atmosphere Service of the European earth observation program Copernicus. MACC-II combines state-of-the-art atmospheric modelling with earth observation data to provide information services covering European air quality, global atmospheric composition, climate forcing, the ozone layer, UV and solar energy, and emissions and surface fluxes in Near-Real-Time. The sub group “VAL” of the MACC-II project is focusing on the evaluation of modelled reactive gases, thus, stratospheric and tropospheric ozone as well as its precursors and aerosols. Here, we will give an overview on some results of the NearReal-Time (NRT) evaluation of the global MACC forecast system based on O3 and CO observational data of the Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) network. Our contribution will also contain an assessment and discussion of the potential and the limitations of modelling reactive gases globally with the MACC model. Examples of model behaviour will be presented in single representative case studies. Introduction MACC-II uses a comprehensive global monitoring and forecasting system that estimates the state of the atmosphere on a daily basis, combining information from models and observations. The global modelling system is also used to provide the boundary conditions for an ensemble of more detailed regional air quality models. We focus on the MACC_osuite, which is the pre-operational coupled IFS-MOZART modelling system with assimilation, which is the Near-Real-Time Analysis production run for MACC Aerosol and Global Reactive Gases. Methodology and Results For the validation of MACC_osuite, 6-hourly model values (0, 6, 12, 18 h) have been matched with hourly observational GAW station data. In order to compare modelled and observed reactive gas mixing ratios, model values at the stations’ location have been interpolated linearly from the model data in the horizontal. In the vertical, modelled gas concentrations have been extracted at the model level which matches the GAW stations’ real altitude. Evaluation metrics include the simple bias, the MNM bias, the RMSE and correlation coefficients. Time series plots for all stations serve as an additional means for the interpretation of validation results. Bullet plots enable a spatial investigation of results (see Fig.1). Results show that the MACC_osuite model run is able to reproduce the seasonal cycle of CO and O3 mixing ratios as observed by GAW stations in most cases. However, observed O3 mixing ratios are globally slightly overestimated, except for in the Polar regions. CO mixing ratios are systematically underestimated for Europe. Effects in the observations that go back to local processes are not captured by the global model. The model has been able to improve over time. Fig.1 MNM bias in % of the MACC_osuite model run between Conclusions 09/2009 and 12/2012 in comparison with GAW observational MACC-II is the current pre-operational atmospheric service of the data European Copernicus (formerly GMES) programme, that provides analysis and daily 5-day forecasts of global reactive gases, combining information from models and observations. The evaluation of the MACC_osuite Near-Real-Time model run between 2009 and 2012 revealed that: the MACC model (MACC_osuite) is able to reproduce the annual cycles of O3 and CO correctly. However, observed O3 mixing ratios are globally slightly overestimated, except for in the Polar regions. There is a systematic underestimation of observed CO surface mixing ratios for Europe. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the NRT GAW observational data providers : Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (ISAC) of the Italian National Research Council (CNR), South African Weather Service, National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS, Cape Verde), National Air Pollution Monitoring Network (NABEL) (FOEN and EMPA), Atmospheric Environment Division Global Environment and Marine Department Japan Meteorological Agency, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (CAMS), Alfred Wegener Institut, Umweltbundesamt (Austria), National Meteorological Service (Argentina), Umweltbundesamt (UBA, Germany) References Stein, O., Schultz, M.G., Flemming, J., Inness, A., Kaiser, J., Jones, L., Benedetti, A., Morcrette, J.-J.: MACC Global air quality services – Technical Documentation. MACC project deliverable D_G- RG_3.8, 2011. 111 SPECIAL SESSION AIR POLLUTION IN CITIES 112 SEASONAL VARIATION OF PAHS CONCENTRATION IN ROME METROPOLITAN AREA AND SOURCE ATTRIBUTION THROUGH DIAGNOSTIC RATIOS ANALYSIS S. Finardi (1), A. Cecinato (2), C. Gariazzo (3), M. Gherardi (3), P. Radice (1), P. Romagnoli (2) (1) ARIANET S.r.l., Milano, Italy; (2) CNR-IIA, Montelibretti (RM), Italy; (3) INAIL Research Center, Monteporzio Catone (RM), Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Atmospheric concentrations of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH) have been measured in different locations in Rome metropolitan area during EXPAH LIFE+ project (www.ispesl.it/expah) field campaigns. The large number of samples gathered from November 2011 to July 2012 allowed to quantify a seasonal variation of more than one order of magnitude for heavy PAH congeners concentration, with B[a]P varying between min/max values of 0.01-3.0 ng/m3 recorded during summer and winter months. The comparison of PAHs diagnostic ratios with emission profiles suggests the concurrent contribution of different sources on a yearly basis, with prevalence of traffic during the summer and heating emissions during the winter. Introduction The population exposure to PAHs in urbanised areas is of great concern for the possible health impact of these carcinogenic substances. The routinely available measurements performed to fulfil the EC Air Quality Directives requirements are limited to B[a]P and do not allow a clear insight of space and time variability of concentrations over the whole Rome conurbation. The extensive measurement campaigns realised by EXPAH project allowed to analyse the seasonal concentration variability, investigate the possible sources contribution and verify sources profiles included in emission inventories. Data Analysis and Results EXPAH field campaigns have been carried out from November 2011 to July 2012 in both indoor and outdoor environments. The monitoring involved 17 locations (nine houses, six schools and two offices), together with three stations of the urban air quality network. All outdoor measured PAH congeners show a large time variation spanning more than one order of magnitude from winter maximum to summer minimum values. Figure 1 shows B[a]P, B[b]F, B[k]F and IP average concentrations for each sampling period. The time variation of PAHs concentration is much larger than that of PM2.5 mass concentration of the corresponding samples indicating the possible contribution of different sources along the year. A large variation of concentrations is observed even for contiguous winter sampling periods, when B[a]P average concentrations ranges between 2-3 ng/m3 during polluted periods, and 0.5 ng/m3 during “clean” periods. The space variability of PAHs concentrations, evaluated by the ratio of the standard Fig. 1. PAHs average concentrations deviation to the mean for each sampling period, is larger during summer than in winter, with average values of 0.4 and 0.2 for B[a]P. The identification of specific sources footprint has been attempted by analysing the ratios of individual PAH concentrations with the approach indicated by Ravindra et al. (2008). In particular, we analysed the seasonal variation of B[a]P/B[ghi]P, IP/(IP+B[ghi]P), B[b]F/B[k]F, B[a]P/(B[a]P+CH) and B[a]A/(B[a]A+CH). All the diagnostic ratios show a continuous variation from winter to summer with values indicating the presence of multiple sources influencing the Rome area, with different relative contributions during the year. The sources contribution variation is synthesised in Figure 2 by the cross plot B[a]A/(B[a]A+CH) vs. IP/(IP+B[ghi]P), which indicates the relevance of biomass burning connected to house heating during winter and the prevailing contribution of petroleum combustion and road traffic during summer. The mentioned sources influence is confirmed by the comparison of diagnostic ratios with emission profiles measured during the latest years in Italy by CNR/IIA for mobile and industrial sources, and by some of the emission profiles available in literature (see e.g. Ravindra et al., 2008). Conclusions EXPAH field campaigns allowed to quantify PAHs concentration variability in Rome. The seasonal behavior of PAH diagnostic ratios permitted to identify different sources contributions better than long term average values, highlighting the influence of winter house heating and, in particular, of biomass burning in determining high values measured in wintertime. Acknowledgement The LIFE+ EU financial program is acknowledged for the provision of funding for EXPAH project (LIFE09 ENV/IT/082). References Ravindra K., Sokhi R.S., Van Grieken R., 2008. Atmospheric polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons: Source attribution, emission factors and regulation. Atmos. Environ. 42, 2895-2921. 113 A FEASIBILITY STUDY OF MAPPING LIGHT ABSORBING CARBON USING A TAXI FLEET AS A MOBILE PLATFORM P. Krecl (1), C. Johansson (2,3), J. Ström (2), J.-C. Gallet (4) and B. Lövenheim (3) (1) Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Brazil; (2) Department of Applied Environmental Science (ITM), Atmospheric Science Unit, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; (3) Stockholm Environment and Health Administration, Stockholm, Sweden; (4) Norwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø, Norway. Presenting author e-mail: [email protected] Summary This work reports on the first mobile measurements of light-absorbing carbon mass concentrations (MLAC) conducted in Stockholm using taxis as rolling platforms with no selected route. Concentrations were higher during daytime and showed a large geographic variability along the different roads with maxima levels inside road tunnels, followed by main roads and street canyons. There is a clear relationship between MLAC and traffic rates values, with higher concentrations for highlytrafficked roads. The present study shows that this novel approach is a very cost-effective way to gather spatially-resolved air pollution data. Introduction Carbon-containing particles are associated with cardiopulmonary morbidity and mortality (e.g., Janssen et al., 2012), and its light-absorbing fraction was recently estimated to be the second largest contributor to global warming after carbon dioxide (Bond et al., 2013). Detailed knowledge on the spatiotemporal variability of light absorbing carbon particles in urban areas is relevant for air quality management and to better diagnose the population exposure to these particles. Considering this, we mapped the MLAC values in Stockholm by combining measurements on-board taxis and at fixed sites on 7-17 Nov. 2011. Methodology and Results Micro-Aethalometers model AE51 (Magee Scientific, USA) with no pre-cut size device were used to gather ambient 1-min MLAC concentrations on-board four taxis. Vehicle speed and geographical position were recorded with portable global positioning system (GPS) data loggers every 6 sec. Simultaneous MLAC measurements were conducted at two fixed sites in Stockholm using custom-built Particle Soot Absorption Photometers (PSAP) and logged every 15 min. Daily mean traffic rates (TR), based on annual average counts, were determined for each GPS position. Mobile MLAC measurements were classified according to road characteristics (tunnels, street canyons, inner city, local and main roads) and also TR categories (very low: <3600, low: 3600-10700, moderate: 10700-23100, high > 23100 vehicles day-1). Individual datasets per taxi captured the grand statistical pattern made up by the drive-by composite measurements, with median and median absolute deviation MLAC concentrations ranging from 1.4 to 1.7 µg m-3, and from 0.7 to 1.0 µg m-3, respectively. On average at night (21:00-05:00), mobile measurements presented similar concentrations as the ones monitored at the urban background fixed site (median of 0.9 µg m-3). Mobile measurements showed a large geographic variability along the different roads with maxima levels inside road tunnels (median and 95th percentile of 7.6 and 40.7 µg m-3, respectively). Main roads presented the second highest concentrations (median and 95th percentile of 1.9 and 9.0 µg m-3, respectively) associated with highest vehicle speed (median of 70 km h-1), TR (median of 65000 vehicles day-1), and diesel vehicles share (7-10%) when compared to inner city, street canyon and local roads. There is a clear relationship between MLAC concentrations and TR values as depicted in Fig. 1. Fig. 1 MLAC concentrations, TR and vehicle speed classified according to different TR categories. Represented are P5, 1st quartile, median, 3rd quartile, and Conclusions Using taxis as measuring platforms proved to be a time- and cost-effective approach to map out the MLAC concentrations in Stockholm and more research is required to represent the distribution in other periods of the year. Simultaneous monitoring of NOx concentrations, closely correlated to MLAC levels in traffic-polluted environments, and including video recording of road and traffic changes would be an asset. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the Environmental Fund of the Stockholm County Administration, the Norwegian Research Council and the Arctic Earth Observatory project. Taxi Stockholm is acknowledged for providing the four taxis. References Bond, T.C., Doherty, S.J., Fahey, D.W., Forster, P.M., Berntsen, T., co-authors, 2013. Bounding the role of black carbon in the climate system: A scientific assessment. J. Geophys. Res. DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50171. Janssen, N.A.H., Gerlofs-Nijland, M.E., Lanki, T., Salonen, R.O., Cassee, F. co-authors, 2012. Health effects of black carbon. World Health Organization, Regional Office for Europe. ISBN: 978 92 890 0265 3. 114 INDOOR PSYCHOTROPIC SUBSTANCES IN ROME, ITALY A. Cecinato, P. Romagnoli, M. Perilli, C. Patriarca, C. Balducci National Research Council of Italy, Institute of Atmospheric Pollution Research (CNR-IIA), I-00015 Monterotondo Stazione RM, Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Experiments performed at schools, homes and offices in Rome, Italy, demonstrated that psychotropic substances (PSs), both licit and illicit, affect the indoor environments. A new test conducted in winter 2013 included a shop (bar) and a new school, none of sites being known as frequented by illicit substance addicts. Measurements at two homes were also replicated. Indoors, the psychotropic substances’ burdens often exceeded the corresponding levels detected in open air. Introduction Important data bases of PSs occurring in the air are restricted to Italy, whilst only spotty measurements have been carried out in Spain and the rest of the world. By contrast, the concern on indoor PSs was overall restricted till now to nicotine, as component of tobacco smoke; the first extensive investigation on indoor PSs was conducted in the frame of EXPAH Project (1). Nicotine and caffeine were investigated as licit drugs, cocaine and three cannabinoids ( 9-THC, cannabinol and cannabidiol) among the illicit ones. A new test was conducted in winter 2013, when two new sites, i.e. a bar shop and a school, were investigated. Methodology and Results Low-volume samplers equipped with PM2.5 inlets and running at 10 L min-1 were adopted to collect indoor particulates; outdoors, twin devices (homes, office) or medium-volume samplers (schools, ARPA stations) were used in parallel. PM was accumulated daily, then two-, three- or five-day pools were gathered to perform chemical characterization. PM2.5 and PAHs were also evaluated, as markers of pollution. The sample pools were extracted with organic solvent, purified through column chromatography and analysed through CGC-MSD using perdeuterated congeners as reference compounds. Fig. 1 shows the concentrations reached by PSs at IGM school and BSP bar shop. Concentrations detected (outdoors) at BEL Fig.1. Airborne nicotine, caffeine, cocaine and cannabinoids station are also reported. It is worth noting that all (ng/m3) at IGM school, BSP bar shop and BEL station. environments were drug-contaminated, although formally lived by no-consumers except for coffee-based beverages. In particular, in the school all substances were more abundant than at BEL, whilst PAHs were less (2.3 vs. 3.1 ng/m3 as average). Both at BSP and IGM all PSs were more abundant in weekdays than in weekends. This behaviour was not respected at BEL by nicotine and cocaine. The concurrent values of PSs detected at HCB and HPR homes are reported in Fig.2. At HCB two environments were investigated, namely the bedroom (B) and the dining room (D). Nicotine was very high (≈500 ng/m3) in the home frequented by tobacco smokers (HCB), while outdoor values were “normal” <100 ng/m3). Caffeine, cocaine and cannabinoids were higher in HCB than in HPR, and all indoor values exceeded the corresponding outdoor ones. The bedroom in HCB was less drug-contaminated than dining room. Similar behaviours showed PAHs and PM2.5. All concentration patterns were in agreement with the tobacco smoking at HCB. Worth to note, indoor PAHs exceeded the outdoor ones at HCB (in/out ratio 1.2÷3.6), whilst the reverse was observed at HPR (ratio ~0.6). Fig.2 Airborne nicotine (A), caffeine (B), cocaine (C) and cannabinoids (D) at homes. HCB B: bedroom; HCB D: dining room 115 ON THE EFFECT OF A PARK ON FLOW AND POLLUTANT DISPERSION IN THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT - CFD STUDY FOR AN IDEALZED URBAN NEIGHBOURHOOD C. Gromke (1), B. Blocken (1,2) (1) Building Physics and Services, Eindhoven University of Technology, Eindhoven, 5600 MB, Netherlands (2) Building Physics Section, Leuven University, Heverlee, 3001, Belgium Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Traffic pollutant dispersion in a completely built-up urban neighbourhood and alternatively in one with a park in place of the central building block was investigated. In comparison to the completely built-up neighbourhood, the park was found to lead to a general improvement in air quality in particular in its immediate vicinity and at downwind locations. For the entire neighbourhood, reductions of 19% in the average concentration and of 34% in the maximum concentration were obtained at pedestrian level. However, some spots with increased concentrations were also found. Introduction Densely built-up cities frequently suffer from bad air quality caused by traffic emissions which get trapped within the building canopy. Wide open areas or green spaces are two possibilities to increase the natural ventilation and hence to facilitate the dispersion and escape of pollutants from within the building canopy. The aim of this study is analyse to what extent an intelligent urban design with green spaces can contribute to improved air quality. Methodology The neighbourhood consisted of a 5 x 5 square array with 90 m long and 18 m broad streets. Two configurations were studied: (i) building blocks of height h = 30 m in each sector, and (ii) a park in the central sector instead of a building block. The park consisted of trees with medium dense crowns of leaf area density LAD = 1 m2m-3 forming a closed canopy from 6 to 18 m above ground. Steady-state Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations were performed for a neutral atmospheric boundary layer with Uh = 10 ms-1 at building height and a homogeneous emission rate Q of traffic pollutants from the streets. The simulations were performed with a Reynolds Stress Model (RSM) extended with terms to account for the effects of trees on flow and turbulence (Ayotte et al., 1999). The extended RSM was validated against wind tunnel experiments of Gromke and Ruck (2012) and a grid sensitivity study was performed. For the dispersion calculations of pollutant c, a turbulent Schmidt number of Sct = 1.0 was used. Second order discretizations were employed and boundary conditions and computational settings were specified according to Blocken et al. (2007), Franke et al. (2007) and Tominaga et al. (2008). Normalized concentrations c+ = c∙Uh/Q Results The central park resulted in comparison to the completely built-up configuration in lower concentrations at downwind locations in the central wind-parallel street canyons (G4, I4). In particular the high concentrations in street G4 were considerably reduced. Decreased concentrations were also present in the street next to the park (E4), however, immediately windward, in street D5, higher concentrations were observed. The traffic emissions enter the park at its windward side where concentration levels were similar to those in the street network and escape from the urban canopy at the leeward park side. Conclusions The results of this study suggest that parks are an effective measure for warranting or improving air quality in urban areas. A distributed arrangement of parks increases the natural ventilation within the building canopy and results in decreased traffic pollutant charges. In particular hot spots with high concentrations are defused. Acknowledgement The research was supported by a Marie Curie Intra European Fellowship within the 7th European Community Framework Programme. References Ayotte, K.W., Finnigan, J.J., Raupach, M.R., 1999. A second-order closure for neutrally stratified vegetative canopy flows. Boundary-Layer Meteorology 90, 89-216. Blocken, B., Stathopoulos, T., Carmeliet, J., 2007. CFD simulation of the atmospheric boundary layer: wall function problems. Atmospheric Environment 41, 238-252. Franke, J., Hellsten, A., Schlünzen, H., Carissimo, B., 2007. Best practice guideline for the CFD simulation of flows in the urban environment. COST Action 732, pp52. Gromke, C., Ruck, B., 2012. Pollutant concentrations in street canyons of different aspect ratio with avenues of trees for various wind directions. Boundary-Layer Meteorology 144, 41-64. Tominaga, Y., Mochida, A., Yoshie, R., Kataoka, H., Nozu, T., Yoshikawa, M., Shirasawa, T., 2008. AIJ guidelines for practical applications of CFD to pedestrian wind environment around buildings. J. of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics 96, 1749-1761. 116 PARTICLE SURFACE AREA SIZE DISTRIBUTIONS IN DIFFERENT URBAN AEREAS H. Kuuluvainen (1), A. Järvinen (1), L. Pirjola (2), J. V. Niemi (3), R. Hillamo (4), J. Keskinen (1) and T. Rönkkö (1) (1) Tampere University of Technology, Department of Physics, P.O. Box 692, 33101 Tampere, Finland (2) Department of Technology, Metropolia University of Applied Sciences, P.O. Box 4021, 00180 Helsinki, Finland (3) Helsinki Region Environmental Services Authority HSY, P.O. Box 100, 00066 HSY, Helsinki, Finland (4) Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, 00101 Helsinki, Finland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The size distributions of the lung deposited surface area were measured in different urban areas in the metropolitan area of Helsinki. The electrical low pressure impactor (ELPI) was calibrated and used in these measurements. The average surface area size distributions from different urban environments clearly show different sources for the lung deposited surface area, from which the traffic seems to be most significant. Introduction Numerous of studies are reporting particle mass and number concentrations in urban areas (e.g. Putaud et al., 2004). However, it has been argued that none of these metrics describes properly the negative effect of particles on human health. In this respect, particle surface area concentration is more relevant (Oberdörster, 2001). Some surface related quantities, as the lung deposited surface area or the active surface area, have been proposed to be the metric for the negative health effects. Common for these surface related quantities is that they are rather close to the response of a diffusion charger. For example, the nanoparticle surface area monitor (NSAM) is based on diffusion charging and it measures the lung deposited surface area concentration. In this study, an electrical low pressure impactor (ELPI) is calibrated and used to measure the lung deposited surface area concentrations in different urban areas in Helsinki. The advantage of the ELPI is that, in addition to the total concentration, also the surface area size distributions can be analysed. Thus, the previous knowledge of the number size distributions, the chemical composition and the morphology of the particles can be compared to the lung deposited surface area. Experimental Measurements were carried out during two different measurement campaigns in the metropolitan area of Helsinki. The first campaign was held in February 2012 and the second campaign in October 2012. Both campaigns included stationary measurements at different measurement sites and on-road measurements with a mobile laboratory ‘Sniffer’. One of the measurement stations was located at a residential area in Espoo, the second in a park close to the city centre representing urban background and the third next to a busy main road. On-road measurements represent the variety of different routes in the metropolitan area including the city centre, main roads and residential areas. In order to use the ELPI for surface area measurements, the instrument was calibrated by comparing the output of the instrument to the signal of an NSAM and to the size distributions given by a differential mobility particle sizer (DMPS). In all the experiments, an ELPI was used to measure particle surface area size distributions. The results were also compared to simultaneous PM2.5, PM10 and particle number measurements. Results The average surface area size distribution from three different measurement stations and on-road measurements are shown in Fig. 1. It is seen that the shape of the distributions varies and the surface area is emphasized in different size ranges at different environments. The total surface area concentration is clearly higher in the on-road and road side measurements compared to the results from urban background and residential area, as expected. Especially, the soot mode and non-volatile particles from traffic seem to dominate in the surface area distribution. In the residential area, the surface area distribution was highly affected by the amount of long range transported background aerosol. Acknowledgement This work was supported by CLEEN Ltd., the Cluster for Energy and Environment through the Measurement, Monitoring and Environmental Assessment (MMEA) research program. References Oberdörster G., 2001. Pulmonary effects of inhaled ultrafine particles. Int. Arch. of Occup. and Environ. Health 74, 1-8. Putaud J.-P. et al., 2004. A European aerosol phenomenology - 2: chemical characteristics of particulate matter at kerbside, urban, rural and background sites in Europe. Atmos. Environ. 38, 25792595. 117 Fig. 1: The average surface area distributions from different environments. The distributions are normalized but comparable to each other. SYNCHRONOUS MOBILE MEASUREMENTS WITHIN A DENSE URBAN VALLEY E. R. Somervell (1), J. Salmond (2), I. D. Longley (1), K. Dirks (2), G. Olivares (1), S. Grange (2) (1) National Institute for Water and Atmosphere (NIWA), Auckland, New Zealand; (2) University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The PENAP study sets out to determine the Personal Exposure to Noise and Air Pollution within the central business district of Auckland, New Zealand. Particle number, carbon monoxide (CO) and noise levels were measured on a per second basis along streets with varying traffic dynamics to determine the range of air quality and ambient noise that the public are exposed to in downtown Auckland. Preliminary results indicate differences that may be connected to traffic volume and the proportion of heavy duty vehicles, in particular, buses. This has implications for future planning of public transport routes into and around the CBD. Introduction Auckland is New Zealand’s largest city both in area and population, with a small dense urban central business district (CBD). The main street – Queen Street (shown in red in Figure 1) runs along the floor of a narrow valley channel approximately 1.5 km long and 300 m ridge to ridge. The channel outflows to the harbour. At the bottom of the valley is Auckland’s central bus and train station. Queen St has the highest pedestrian counts in the Auckland region. Along with adjacent streets it is also where high volumes of cars and diesel buses converge. Slow moving traffic, particularly diesel buses, can produce high levels of air pollution which, along with noise, have huge effects on public health, amenity and subjective wellbeing. The aims of PENAP were to: 1) Characterise levels of traffic-related air pollutants in the Queen Street valley, 2) Determine the contribution of bus emissions to levels of traffic-related air pollutants in the Queen Street valley, and 3) Characterise the nature of the noise in the Queen Street Valley and assess peoples’ perceptions of the urban soundscape. It was expected that large differences would be observed in pollutants and noise levels between heavy trafficked routes and more pedestrianised streets. However, a number of physical factors might also influence this relationship. The predominant wind direction in the area is South-east, running almost parallel to Queen Street, and building heights and configurations are not uniform, with smaller roads having a more “classic” canyon structure than larger streets. In addition, the cross roads are at gradient, which leads to additional vehicle emissions. Methodology and Results Multiple routes were devised for researchers to traverse on foot at 15 minute intervals. The routes included Queen Street and streets running parallel and crossways from Queen Street and were chosen to represent pedestrianised, low and high traffic volumes with diesel buses. The routes were walked from 08:30 to 09:30 during morning peak traffic and from 12:30 to 13:30 during lunchtime on week days of late winter/early spring (September 2013). Along each route a researcher carried a dosimeter to record frequency and intensity of noise, a CO monitor (T15N, Langan Inc) and a portable CPC (Ptrak, TSI Inc) counting particle number at one second resolution. If a peak in the realtime particle count could be attributed to a source, then a note was made. Sources observed included buses, municipal trucks, smokers and eating establishments. In total, 129 runs were completed over eight different routes. Preliminary results indicate differences in routes can be discerned in the data. Figure 2 shows the distribution of CO along two main streets. The x axis shows the concentration recorded by the Langan and the y axis the number of records with that concentration. Queen Street has peak concentrations at approximately 1.0 ppm, whilst Wellesley Street, a cross street with more bus traffic shows a much lower peak near 0.5 ppm. N Fig.1 3-D map of Auckland CBD (Queen Street in red) from the National Business Review, http://www.nbr.co.nz/article/a-3dview-auckland-super-city-112320 accessed 19/09/2013 Conclusions PENAP extends the knowledge base around environmental quality within the Auckland CBD, and will enable greater engagement with this knowledge base by interested stakeholders, including the public. The results will inform planning decisions regarding transport in the CBD (e.g. vehicle numbers, technologies, routes and operating patterns). Acknowledgement This work was supported by the Heart of the City, the Auckland Council, The University of Auckland, NIWA and Auckland University of Technology. We acknowledge the invaluable assistance of all those who talk part in the sampling during the campaign. 118 Fig.2 Distribution of CO concentrations (in ppm/100 along Queen and Wellesley Streets MODELLED URBAN ACETALDEHYDE CONCENTRATION ASSOCIATED WITH BIOETHANOL FUELLED TRANSPORT S. López-Aparicio and I. Sundvor NILU – Norwegian Institute for Air Research, Instituttveien 18, Kjeller 2027, Norway Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The use of bioethanol fuelled vehicles has increased worldwide and may create new undesired pollution effects. This study shows the preliminary results obtained from air dispersion modelling of acetaldehyde concentration in Oslo associated with the circulation of bioethanol vehicles. Different scenarios, both realistic and hypothetical, have been considered such as 1) a realistic baseline scenario where one bus line is running with bioethanol (E95; 95% ethanol - 5% gasoline); 2) a hypothetical scenario where all heavy duty vehicles are running with E95; and 3) a hypothetical scenario with an entire E95-fleet. Introduction A previous study carried out in Oslo (López-Aparicio and Hak, 2013) showed that the use of bioethanol as fuel for transportation can have adverse impact on urban air quality. Acetaldehyde and acetic acid were identified as of concern based on ambient and on-line measurements. Acetaldehyde was 1) measured at very high concentration in the exhausts of an E95-bus (> 150 ppm), 2) measured at higher ambient concentrations at locations exposed to the E95-buses than not expose, and 3) estimated to be above the threshold limit value at close distance to the bus. Air dispersion modelling has been applied to estimate acetaldehyde concentration in the urban area (i.e. Oslo) and associated with combustion from bioethanol vehicles considering different scenarios. Methodology Ambient urban concentration of acetaldehyde has been modelled with the Air Quality Information System, AirQUIS, which performs emission-, dispersion- and exposure calculations. The applied dispersion model (EPISODE) is an Eulerian finite difference grid model for area sources with embedded sub-grid models for the treatment of line and point sources. Modelled Acetaldehyde (µg m -3) Results Acetaldehyde is harmful to human health and contributes to the formation of O3 and peroxyacyl nitrates (PAN), harmful photochemical oxidants. The increased chance of developing cancer is one-in-a-hundred thousand for an individual breathing air containing 5 µg m-3 of acetaldehyde during the entire life. The modelled gridded results for a baseline scenario show average acetaldehyde concentrations in winter below 1.5 µg m-3. For the worst case scenario however, the model results show that winter average acetaldehyde levels reach values well above 5 µg m-3 for a large part of the highly populated areas in Oslo. Figure 1 shows the comparison of modelled results in the baseline (acetaldehyde levels < 10 µg m-3) and E95-fleet scenarios (acetaldehyde levels < 65 µg m-3) at street side in one of the streets in Oslo along the E95-bus line. 70 60 50 40 70 Baseline Scenario 60 10 50 40 5 30 30 20 0 20 10 10 0 E95-fleet Scenario Oct’09 Nov’09 Dec’09 Jan’10 Feb’10 Mar’10 0 Oct’09 Nov’09 Dec’09 Jan’10 Feb’10 Mar’10 Fig. 1: Modelled hourly acetaldehyde concentration at a roadside in Oslo (Sannergate) in the baseline, one E95-bus line (left) and entire E95-fleet (right) scenario. Conclusions The modelled acetaldehyde concentration supports the conclusions from previous study based on measurement data, indicating that the use of bioethanol as fuel for transportation can have adverse impact on urban air quality and therefore on human exposure. This study shows an example of how climate change policies, as changing from fossil fuels to biofuels, need to be carefully assessed as their consequences may involve a worsening of the local air quality. Acknowledgement This study was made possible thanks to the financial support of the Norwegian Research Council (208275/F40). References López-Aparicio S., Hak C., 2013. Evaluation of the use of bioethanol fuelled buses based on ambient air pollution screening and on-road measurements. Science of the Total Environment 452-453, 40-49. 119 DEVELOPMENT AND ASSESSMENT OF TRAFFIC-RELATED EMISSION ABATEMENT MEASURES FOR THE MADRID CITY (SPAIN) THROUGH THE WRF-SMOKE-CMAQ MODELLING SYSTEM R. Borge, J. Lumbreras, D. de la Paz, J. Pérez, M. E. Rodríguez Laboratory of Environmental Modelling. Technical University of Madrid, (UPM). C/ José Gutiérrez Abascal 2, 28006 Madrid, Spain Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The achievement of the limit values established in the European legislation pose an important handicap for large urban areas with intense road traffic, such as Madrid (Spain). Despite permanent measures included in air quality plans it is important to assess additional measures that may be temporally applied under unfavourable conditions. This paper reports on the simulation of different traffic restriction strategies in Madrid for high-pollution episodes. Introduction As environmental standards become more stringent (e.g. European Directive 2008/50/EC), more reliable modelling tools are needed to simulate measures and plans that may effectively tackle air quality exceedances, common in large cities across Europe, particularly for NO2. Besides a consistent and robust multi-scale modelling system, comprehensive and flexible emission inventories are needed. This paper discusses the application of the WRF (Skamarock and Klemp, 2008)-SMOKE (Institute for the Environment, 2009)-CMAQ (Byun and Schere, 2006) system to the Madrid city (Spain) to assess the impact of the local strategy to improve air quality and meet the legal requirements in the near future. Methodology and Results A detailed emission inventory and a future-year scenario were compiled for the development of an urban air quality plan for Madrid. The inventory relies on bottom-up methods for the most important sources. It is coupled with the regional traffic model and it makes use of an extensive database of industrial, commercial and residential combustion plants. The future-year scenario takes into account the expected result of a package of 70 measures included in the Madrid Air Quality Plan (AQP). According to Borge et al. (2014), this AQP would cut down NOX emissions by 31% and would allow the fulfilment of NO2 limit values in Madrid by the end of 2014. Nonetheless, this paper explores the complementary effect of additional, temporal measures to be applied during highpollution episodes. The effect of road traffic access restriction under a 10-day high pollution episode to the city centre (LEZ) are modelled and discussed. The effect of limiting the access of 20% and 50% of passenger cars, both including and excluding residents in the LEZ as well as specific limitations to taxis was modelled. The results show that under unfavourable meteorological conditions and high NO2 concentration the effects of temporal restrictions to road traffic in central area of Madrid have a limited effect except for rather stringent limitations (50% of passenger cars including residents) that would bring about reductions in the peak hour up to 25 µg/m3 (Fig 1). Fig.1 Effect of traffic restrictions (maximum 1-h NO2 concentration) Conclusions Road traffic is the main responsible of air quality issues in Madrid. Temporal traffic restrictions may help to avoid very high pollution levels but only if strong measures are applied in relatively large areas. It was found that traffic restrictions turn out in a net reduction of traffic although redistribution may produce slight increases of emissions in the LEZ surroundings. The experiments also indicate that the effect diminishes rapidly with distance, so the reduction in the city outskirts may be negligible depending on meteorological conditions. Acknowledgments The Madrid City Council provided the traffic model outputs and funded this study. References Borge, R., Lumbreras, J., Pérez, J., de la Paz, D., Vedrenne, M., de Andrés, J.M., Rodríguez, M.E., 2014. Emission inventories and modeling requirements for the development of air quality plans. Application to Madrid (Spain). Science of The Total Environment 466–467, 809-819. Byun, D.W., Schere, K.L., 2006. Review of the governing equations, computational algorithms and other components of the models-3 community multiscale air quality (CMAQ) modeling systems. Applied Mechanics Review 59 (2), 51–77. Institute for the Environment, 2009. SMOKE v2.7 user's manual.University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC (2009). Skamarock, W.C. and Klemp, J.B., 2008. A time-split non-hydrostatic atmospheric model. Journal of Computational Physics 227, 3465–3485. 120 THE VERTICAL PROFILES OF PM2.5 AND O3 MEASURED IN AUTUMN AND WINTER FROM A 325METER-METEOROLOGICAL TOWER IN URBAN BEIJING, CHINA D. S. Ji, Y. S. Wang, Y. Sun State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100191, PR China Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary To gain a better understanding of the complex interactions between air pollutants and meteorological variables, and influence on the air quality of a polluted megacity, simultaneous measurements of near-surface O3, PM2.5 and meteorological parameters were conducted at 325-m meteorological tower in the urban areas of Beijing. Vertical profiles of O3 (8m, 47m, 120m and 280m) and PM2.5 (8m, 80m and 240m) were investigated at a 325-m meteorological tower from Sep. 1, 2004 to Feb. 28, 2005 and from Sep. 1, 2009 to Feb. 28, 2010. The results showed the O3 concentrations increased with altitude in both the autumn and the winter. Unlike O3, the PM2.5 concentrations were very similar at 8-m and 80-m levels while the PM2.5 concentrations at 280-m level were lower than those at 8-m and 80-m levels. Moreover, the clearly defined vertical O3 and PM2.5 gradients were found at night except at around 0:00. However, the vertical PM2.5 and O3 gradients were less evident or were negligible when a well-mixed convective layer developed. Introduction Increasing amounts of gaseous pollutants are emitted into the atmosphere on local, regional and global scales, resulting in damage to human health and the environment. Especially, air pollution attributed to PM2.5 and ozone (O3) has caused great concern. With the development of urbanization, the space of human activity gradually expands from the ground to high altitude. Wide attention is paid to vertical distribution of air pollutants in planetary boundary layer (PBL) and the complicated processing driven by interplay between chemistry and vertical mixing. Considering this, this present study aimed to obtain a detailed and comprehensive data set for use in understanding the chemistry of air pollutants in complex meteorological conditions in the urban Beijing and for use in the testing of an upcoming modeling study. Methodology and Results Four O3 monitoring stations were built at platforms located at heights of 8, 47, 120 and 280m on the tower. Three PM2.5 monitoring stations were built at platforms located at heights of 8, 80m and 240m on the tower. Early morning and later night profiles show very structured vertical distributions of all parameters indicating as expected, limited vertical mixing under the nocturnal inversion. The ozone concentrations were higher than at 280 m because of the lack of vertical exchange, thus avoiding the titration of NO. The urban site experienced more influence because of the high NO emissions near the ground. Once the NBL breaks up, ground-based measurements of O3 and PM2.5 are similar at different heights. The diurnal variation of the PM2.5 concentration shows two peaks, one in the early morning and the other during the evening at 8-m and 120-m levels. While an obvious peak of PM2.5 was observed from 9:00 to15:00 at 280-m level. The measurement with a flat vertical gradient and low surface O3 and PM2.5 concentrations is found in type-1(strong wind days); a gradual increase of O3 with altitudes and modest surface O3 and PM2.5 concentrations is found in type-2 (clear days); a weak vertical gradient with low surface. O3 and PM2.5 concentrations is found in type-3 (rainy days); a sharp vertical gradient (NOx and O3 being strongly Fig.1 Sampling location in Beijing 325-m Meteorological Tower. depressed in the PBL) with high surface O3 and PM2.5 concentrations is found in type-3 (hazy days). The results showed detailed vertical distributions of O3 and PM2.5 are very important for assessing the impacts of atmospheric stability on O3 and PM2.5 chemistry. Conclusions The results showed detailed vertical distributions of O3 and PM2.5 are very Fig.2 The vertical distribution of O3 and PM2.5 important for assessing the impacts of atmospheric stability on O3 and PM2.5 during the autumn and winter. chemistry. This study provided a complete and detailed analysis of meteorological and chemical data in the lower boundary layer of an urban environment. Therefore, understanding these features will provide a significant challenge for coupled meteorological-chemical models. The measurements may be applied to improve the results of models. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the Key Project of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (XDB05020200) and the Key Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China (Y312011801). References Tang, G., Wang, Y., Li, X., Ji, D., Hsu, S., Gao, X., 2012. Spatial-temporal variations of surface ozone and ozone control strategy for Northern China. 121 MULTI-YEAR CHARACTERISATION OF METALS CONCENTRATIONS IN AEROSOL COLLECTED IN DIFFERENT SITES OF THE VENICE LAGOON E. Morabito (1), D. Cesari (2), D. Contini (2), A. Gambaro (3), P. Campostrini (4), C. Dabalà (4), F. Belosi (5) (1) CNR-IDPA, Venezia, Italy; (2) ISAC-CNR, Lecce, Italy; (3) DAIS Dep., Ca’Foscari University, Venezia, Italy; (4) CORILA, Venezia, Italy; (5) ISAC-CNR, Bologna, Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This work presents and discusses the results from measurements of PM10 concentrations and of its content in metals obtained in different sites of the Venice lagoon area where the construction of the mobile gates (MOSE) is going on. Measurements were taken between 2007 and 2013 and were statistically analysed, using correlation with local meteorology. The objective of the analysis was to characterise the spatial and seasonal variability in concentrations getting information on probable aerosol sources. Multi-year trends in absolute and relative concentrations will be discussed in relation to air quality in the lagoon area. Introduction The Venice Lagoon is exposed to atmospheric pollutants emitted by a number of sources such as industrial activities, thermoelectric power plants, petrochemical plants, incinerator plants, domestic heating, ship traffic, glass factories and vehicular emissions transported from the mainland (Prodi et al, 2009; Stortini et al., 2009). Concentration(ng/m3) Methodology and Results The PM10 samples were collected using low volume sequential aerosol samplers (Skypost PM-TCR Tecora). The filters employed were in quartz (Sartorius, diameter 47 mm) were 50 Chioggia carefully decontaminated in an atmosphere-controlled 45 P.Sabbioni laboratory, using a procedure described elsewhere (Stortini 40 Malamocco al., 2009). Inorganic elements (V, Cr, Fe, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, As, 35 Mo, Cd, Sb, Tl, and Pb) in PM10 samples were measured by 30 Inductively Coupled Plasma-M Quadrupole Mass 25 Spectrometer (ICP-QMS, Agilent 7500). In cases of 20 concentrations below the LOD, or not detectable above the 15 average variability of the field blanks, a threshold 10 concentration equal to the maximum between the LOD and 5 B was assumed. Particularly, the thresholds (in ng) were: V 0 (10.9), Cr (346.6), Fe (3839.7), Co (7.0), Ni (435.1), Cu V Cr Co Ni Cu Zn As Mo Cd Sb Pb (105.8), Zn (3349.0), As (17.1), Mo (2922.9), Cd (1.4), Sb Fig.1 Average metals concentrations in PM10. (93.4), Tl (6.2) and Pb (148.8). Recovery and accuracy was evaluated using standard reference material (NIST®1684). Figure 1 shows the average concentrations and the standard errors for different metals in PM10 collected at three sites: Punta Sabbioni (199 daily samples), Malamocco (190 daily samples) and Chioggia (168 daily samples). Samples were collected in different measurement campaigns between 2007 and 2013. Conclusions The statistical comparison of the measurements of the inorganics elements in the different years showed limited differences in the concentrations measured at the three sites indicating a relatively homogeneous spatial distribution of metals in PM10 in the Venice lagoon area. This was probably due to the presence of the specific meteorological circulation, which mixes air masses arriving from different directions, favouring the re-circulation and spread of pollutants in the lagoon area. The evaluation of the crustal enrichment factors (EFs) indicated significant enrichment for Pb, Cd, Sb, As, Zn, Cu and Ni, while elements mainly of crustal origin were Tl, and Co. V and Cr are enriched but the values of EFs are lower than the threshold of 20 so that it is not possible to exclude also a contribution of crustal nature. The EF of V is larger at Malamocco and this is compatible with a possible contribution of ship traffic emissions (characterised by V and Ni) at the Malamocco site, which is located near the path of commercial shipping. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the Italian Ministry of Infrastructure and Transport - Venice Water Authority – through its dealer Consorzio Venezia Nuova. The authors wish to thank the Venice Water Authority for permission to use the data and CORILA (Consortium for Managing the Research Activities Concerning the Venice Lagoon System) for the valuable assistance and logistic support during the sampling campaigns. References Prodi F., Belosi F., Contini D., Santachiara G., Di Matteo L., Gambaro A., Donateo A., Cesari D., 2009. Aerosol fine fraction in the Venice Lagoon: particle composition and sources. Atmos. Res. 92(2), 141–150. Stortini A.M., Freda A., Cesari D., Cairns W.R.L., Contini D., Barbante C. et al., 2009. An evaluation of the PM2:5 trace elemental composition in the Venice Lagoon area and an analysis of the possible sources. Atmos. Environ. 43(40), 6296– 6304. 122 VALIDATION OF NEW PARAMETERISATIONS FOR THE OPERATIONAL STREET POLLUTION MODEL (OSPM) M. Ketzel (1), O. Hertel (1), T.-B. Ottosen (1,2), K. Kakosimos (2) and R. Berkowicz (1) (1) Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark; (2) Department of Chemical Engineering, Texas A&M University at Qatar, Doha, Qatar Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The formulations within the Operational Street Pollution Model (OSPM) have been widely applied in the air pollution community for more than two decades. In the presented work some of the paramerisations used by OSPM have been revised and tested against several street datasets. One of the parameters concerns special cases with variable height of the buildings along the street canyon including one-sided street canyons as often observed under practical applications. The so-called “general building height” that is now estimated by the program, while it was not clearly defined earlier, leading to arbitrary results. This issue has been pointed out by several OSPM users and is of interest for a wider community. Introduction OSPM is a semi-empirical parametrised model (Berkowicz, 2000 or: www.au.dk/OSPM) and frequently used for local- or street-scale assessment of air pollution. OSPM is a present state of the art model and has undergone more evaluations than any other model (Kakosimos et al. 2010). As one of the most often used street pollution models, OSPM is part of many air pollution forecast systems (e.g. Danish THOR, Swedish SIMAIR, Norwegian VLUFT) and single air pollution models (e.g. UK-ADMS, Belgian IFDM model). For the last 10 years most of the work on OSPM was focused on the development and improvement of the health impact assessment and of the functionality of the graphical user interface (Kakosimos et al. 2010). An on-going comprehensive review of OSPM (Ottosen et al. 2013) is addressing some shortcomings of the original model and extending the applicability of the model. In connection with this review, we present here some improvements in OSPM e.g. concerning the definition of the general building height that has previously led to incorrect model results (Ketzel et al. 2012) and the formulation of the recirculation. Methodology and Results In OSPM the building configuration of an “ideal” street canyon is defined by the parameters: default building height and street width. In real world applications the buildings along the street usually don’t have the same height. To account for this, exceptions of the building height for relevant wind direction intervals can be defined including zero height for missing buildings or openings in the street canyon. -Fig. 1 shows an example for a street with variable building heights with respect to wind direction seen from the receptor point (H_upwnd_bldg, blue line). The suggested procedure sorts all the building sectors (including the width of the buildings) for all directions 0…360 deg according to the building height in descending order (H_up_sort in Fig.1). The Figure 1. Example of a street with variable building height and implementation of new general building height (GBH) new general building height is now defined as the weighted average over the building heights in the range 0…180. This procedure is consistent with the simple definition in the special case of no exception (uniform building height) or uniform buildings on one side of the canyon. Another change in the OSPM parameterisation presented concerns the calculation of the recirculation component of the pollution for wide street canyons where the recirculation zone is not covering the full canyon, see Fig. 2. Conclusions The new formulation of the “general building height” in OSPM solves the problem of ambiguous results in cases of variable building height. Figure 2. Sketch of the principle assumptions for calculation of recirculation component within OSPM References Berkowicz, R., OSPM - A parameterised street pollution model. Environ. Monit. and Assessment, 2000. 65(1-2): p. 323-331. Ketzel M, Jensen SS, Brandt J, Ellermann T, Olesen HR, et al. (2012) Evaluation of the Street Pollution Model OSPM for Measurements at 12 Streets Stations Using a Newly Developed and Freely Available Evaluation Tool. J Civil Environ Eng S1:004. doi:10.4172/2165-784X. S1-004 Kakosimos K., Hertel O., Ketzel M., Berkowicz R., 2010. Operational Street Pollution Model (OSPM) – a review of performed application and validation studies, and future prospects. Environ. Chem. 7, 285-503. Ottosen T-B, Kakosimos K., Ketzel M., Hertel O., Berkowicz R., 2013. Application and Development of the Operational Street Pollution Model (OSPM) to Complex Geometries and Dry Climates, This Volume. 123 HIGH RESOLUTION MAPPING OF ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTANTS IN URBAN ENVIRONMENTS UTILISING DATA FROM SENSOR NETWORKS M. D. Mueller (1), C. Hueglin (1), D. Hasenfratz (2), O. Saukh (2), V. B. Bright (3), O. A. M. Popoola (3), R. Jones (3) (1) Empa, Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology, Duebendorf, Switzerland; (2) ETH Zurich, Computer Engineering and Networks Laboratory, Zurich, Switzerland; (3) Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary We present first results of statistical models for real-time mapping of atmospheric pollutants with high spatial and temporal resolution in urban environments utilising data obtained from low-cost sensor networks. Introduction Current knowledge between concentrations of atmospheric pollutants and health effects is to a large extent based on epidemiological studies. Such studies require accurate estimates of the personal exposure of the participating individuals. However, high quality exposure estimates are difficult to obtain, especially for pollutants with high spatial and temporal variability such as nitrogen dioxide (NO2), soot (or black carbon, BC) and ultrafine particles (UFPs). Epidemiological studies at present are either based on data from the existing monitoring networks or on dedicated measurement campaigns with sampling designs that allow for an improved (but still limited) representation of the spatial variation of air pollutants (e.g. Beelen et al., 2013). Possible approaches to improve exposure estimations are dispersion modelling and spatially much denser air pollutant measurements than existing conventional networks can provide. Sufficiently dense networks have become viable with the recent development of small and inexpensive sensors for the measurement of trace gases or aerosols in ambient air. These devices have typically a low power consumption and can easily be deployed in a large number to form a wireless sensor network. These networks offer new opportunities for the mapping of pollutant concentrations in cities with high temporal and spatial resolution and therefore for personal exposure estimation and other applications in air quality assessment. Methodology We use the data obtained from two sensor networks together with land-use information (GIS data) for statistical modelling of the spatial distribution of air pollutants in cities. One of the networks is the OpenSense mobile sensor network consisting of 10 sensor nodes installed on top of 10 streetcars operating since 2012 on a regular schedule in Zurich, Switzerland (www.opensense.ethz.ch). The second sensor network is a static one consisting of 46 sensor nodes deployed for two months in 2010 in Cambridge, UK (Mead et al., 2013). We investigate the potential of statistical models such as land-use regression (LUR) models and classification approaches for the generation of air pollution concentration maps with high spatio-temporal resolution. Sensor performance together with the spatial and temporal variability of the pollutants are quantified. Spatio-temporal characteristics of pollutant concentrations are analysed in order to determine suitable predictor variables which are then incorporated into the statistical models. Limits for the minimum temporal and spatial resolution of maps derivable from the available data set are assessed. Conclusions Low-cost, high density sensor networks provide a unique opportunity for the assessment of the small-scale variability of air pollutants in cities. In order to fully exploit this opportunity, further research on the design of sensor networks (e.g. number and siting of sensor nodes), their operation (e.g. quality assurance and quality control) and the use of sensor data for high resolution mapping of air pollutants in cities is needed. Acknowledgement Support from the Nanotera.ch (projects OpenSense and inUse) is gratefully acknowledged. References Beelen, R., G. Hoek, D. Vienneau, M. Eeftens, K. Dimakopoulou, et al., 2013. Development of NO2 and NOx land use regression models for estimating air pollution exposure in 36 study areas in Europe – The ESCAPE project. Atmospheric Environment 72(0): 10-23. Mead, M. I., O. A. M. Popoola, G. B. Stewart, P. Landshoff, M. Calleja, et al., 2013. The use of electrochemical sensors for monitoring urban air quality in low-cost, high-density networks. Atmospheric Environment 70(0): 186-203. 124 IMPACT OF THE ECONOMIC CRISIS ON WINTERTIME AIR QUALITY IN THESSALONIKI, GREECE Arian Saffari (1), Nancy Daher (1), Constantini Samara (2), Dimitra Voutsa (2), Athanasios Kouras (2), Evangelia Manoli (2), Olga Karagkiozidou (2), Christos Vlachokostas (3), Nicolas Moussiopoulos (3), Martin M. Shafer (4), James J. Schauer (4), Constantinos Sioutas (1) (1)University of Southern California, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 3620 South Vermont Avenue, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USA; (2)Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Department of Chemistry, Environmental Pollution Control Laboratory, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece; (3)Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Department of Mechanical Engineering, Laboratory of Heat Transfer and Environmental Engineering, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece; (4)University of Wisconsin-Madison, , Environmental Chemistry and Technology Program, Madison, WI, USA Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary A wintertime sampling campaign of PM2.5 was conducted in Thessaloniki during winters of 2012 and 2013, in an effort to quantify the extent to which the ambient air was impacted by the increased wood smoke emissions. The results indicated a 25-fold increase in the concentration of wood smoke tracers in 2013 compared to 2012. Concentrations of fuel oil tracers, on the other hand, declined by 20-30% during 2013 compared to 2012. Moreover, a distinct diurnal variation was observed for wood smoke tracers, with significantly higher concentrations in the evening compared to the morning. Correlation analysis indicated a strong association between reactive oxygen species (ROS) activity and concentration of levoglucosan, galactosan and potassium, underscoring the potential impact of wood smoke on PM-induced toxicity. Introduction and Methodology During the period of Greek financial crisis, switching from fuel oil burning for domestic heating to uncontrolled biomass burning has caused significant air quality deterioration in Thessaloniki. In this study, urban PM2.5 samples were collected in Thessaloniki during the wintertime of 2012 and 2013 along with a subset of morning and evening samples to determine the diurnal variations. Chemical composition including metals and elements, ions, carbonaceous species and speciated organic compounds were quantified using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICPMS), ion chromatography (IC), NIOSH EC/OC method and gas chromatography mass spectrometry (GC-MS), respectively. Redox activity was also assessed by the biological reactive oxygen species (ROS) assay. Results and Discussion PM2.5 mass concentration increased by 2-fold during the evening compared to the morning (see Fig. 1) likely due to the increased emissions from residential heating sources. PM2.5 mass concentration in 2013 has also increased by 30% compared to 2012. Organic matter (OM) was the dominant PM constituent with higher evening-time contribution to the total mass compared to the morning (74% compared to 58%), which is mostly due to the increased wood smoke emissions in the evening time. Concentrations of V and Ni (tracers of residual/fuel oil combustion) dropped by 30-50% in 2013. The concentration of K, on the other hand, increased by 2-fold in 2013 suggesting that the residential heating method in Thessaloniki is changing from the conventional fuel oil burning to the less expensive Fig.1 Mass reconstruction of PM2.5 particles. wood and biomass combustion. Concentrations of levoglucosan, mannosan and galacsosan (organic tracers of wood smoke) (Nolte et al., 2001), are considerably (4-6 fold) higher in 2013 compared to 2012, which implies a significant increase in wood and biomass burning in 2013 compared to 2012 (see Fig. 2). Concentrations are also 3-4 times higher in the evening compared to the morning. Moreover, positive correlations were observed between ROS activity and water-soluble potassium, levoglucosan and galactosan (R=0.74, 0.72 and 0.75, respectively), which indicates a potentially significant effect of wood smoke emissions on the redox activity of PM2.5. Conclusions The increase in total PM2.5 mass, OC, and tracers of biomass combustion in 2013 compared to 2012 as well as association of wood smoke tracers and PM-induced redox activity altogether imply the deterioration of Thessaloniki’s air quality during the period of economic recession. Active involvement of public authorities is thus required to implement effective air pollution control strategies in the area. Fig.2 Variation of organic wood smoke tracers Acknowledgements We would like to thank the staff at the Wisconsin State Laboratory of Hygiene for their assistance with the chemical analyses as well as the support of USC’s Provost and Viterbi fellowships. The authors also acknowledge the assistance of Mr. Apostolos Kelessis from municipality of Thessaloniki for facilitating the sampling campaign. 125 ASSESMENT OF ORGANIC COMPOUNDS AS VEHICULAR EMISSION TRACERS IN THE ABURRA VALLEY REGION OF COLOMBIA M. Gómez (1), E. Posada (2), V. Monsalve (2) (1) Politécnico Colombiano Jaime Isaza Cadavid, Carrera 48 # 7-151, Medellín, Colombia; (2) INDISA S.A. Carrera 75 # 48 A 27, Medellín, Colombia Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The Aburrá Valley region in Colombia, with Medellín as its main city, is an urban centre with about three million people. An investigation was carried on to determine a set of baseline concentrations for n-octane, n-decane, n-pentadecane and methylnaphtenes as vehicular emission tracers in the region. The VOC measurement campaigns based on TENAX tube sampling and analysis according to TO-17 EPA method were done in areas of low and high vehicular flow as well as onboard measurements covering major Medellín road networks during a 24 hour period. The results show that there is a relation between VOCs concentrations and vehicular activity. The diesel fuel sulfur content was detected as an important factor on aliphatic hydrocarbon formation.. Introduction VOCs tend to be highly polluting both from their inhalation effects and as a source of secondary pollutants. For the present study they were classified into two (2) groups: polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and aliphatic hydrocarbons (AH). These contaminants play an important role in today's environmental problems by their accumulation and persistence in the environment (Wiederkehr et al, 1998). Some VOCs, especially those of high molecular weight, resists oxidation processes and become persistent, being adsorbed on particles and transported over long distances (Guo et al., 2007), powering the global greenhouse effect. So far no studies of these compounds have been done locally, so it was deemed important to carry an exploratory work, in parallel with the fact that S content of diesel fuel was undergoing changes at the time, from 2000 to 5 ppm and it was desired to correlate those changes with the said VOCs concentrations. Methodology and Results A measurement campaign was conducted in three sites, two of them with heavy traffic, the other one with low or inexistent traffic, from July to August 2011, with sampling periods of 24 hours. Each zone was evaluated during a week. Additional samples were taken in the discharge of a diesel motor working under standardized laboratory conditions with diesel fuel of variable S content. Another sample was taken sampling during 24 hours continuously within a vehicle moving through designed zones in the city. The method applied was EPA TO-17 using 90 mm length, 5 mm dia. stainless steel TENAX adsorption tubes filled with appropriate sorbent materials. Table 1 S content in VOCs in emisions, diesel,ppm μg/m3 1832 50 2155 500 3869 2100 Fig 1 Average results for the 4 zones Figure 1 shows the results found for the zones. It was found that the higher concentrations of the studied tracers, correspond to pentadecane and naphthalene. The On Board sample shows higher VOC´s concentration. The study of the diesel motor emissions showed a clear effect of the S content of the fuel on the emissions of the studied VOC´s, see (table 1) Conclusions The region atmosphere is clearly polluted by VOC emissions generated by the diesel fuel and VOC concentrations are related to vehicular traffic. An initial baseline has been established which should be useful for future work and public policy in relationship to vehicle related pollution control. Reducing S content on diesel fuel has been a beneficial step in this direction. Acknowledgement This work was supported by POLITÉCNICO COLOMBIANO JAIME ISAZA CADAVID and ECOPETROL. We acknowledge the DRI Institute for the analytical and sampling assistance and the University of Antioquia, GIMEL group, for the work done in the laboratory motor testing. References Wiederkehr, P. et al, 1998. Urban Air Pollution. European Aspects. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, pp. 403-418. Guo, H., et al, 2007. C1-C8 volatile organic compounds in the atmosphere of Hong Kong: Overview of atmospheric processing and source apportionment. Atmospheric Environment, 41, 1456-1472 126 OVERVIEW OF ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS OF VOC IN NORTHERN MID-LATITUDE CITIES INFERRED FROM INTENSIVE AND LONG TERM OBSERVATIONS A.Borbon (1), A. Boynard (2), V. Gros (3), N. Locoge (4), J. de Gouw (5) (1) Laboratoire Interuniversitaire des Systèmes Atmosphériques, CNRS UPR7583, IPSL, UPEC & UPD; (2) LATMOS, IPSL, CNRS, UPMC Uni. Paris 06; UVSQ; (3) LSCE UVSQ, CEA, CNRS, Gif sur Yvette, France (4) Mines Douai, DCE, Douai, France (5) NOAA, CIRES, Boulder, CO, USA Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This presentation provides an overview of the spatial variability of the composition of anthropogenic Volatile Organic Compound (VOC) emissions and the evaluation of regional emission inventories in urban areas of Europe and North America with a special focus on Paris and Los Angeles megacities. First, we show that VOC urban composition is usually consistent within a factor of 2 between all cities with no industrial influence. An exception is the atmosphere of Paris, which shows an enhancement in C7-C9 aromatics by a factor of 3 compared to other cities. These results suggest that the emissions of gasoline-powered vehicles still dominate the distribution for many hydrocarbons in northern mid-latitude urban areas, which disagrees with the most recent emission inventories. However, regional characteristics like the gasoline composition could affect the composition of hydrocarbon emissions. Secondly, the evaluation of emission inventories from observations shows that there are still large discrepancies by a factor of 3 to 4 between observations and reference emission databases. Introduction VOC affect urban air quality and regional climate change by contributing to ozone formation and the build-up of Secondary Organic Aerosols (SOA). Quantification of VOC emissions is a first critical step to design effective abatement strategies and to predict VOC environmental impacts. However, commonly used bottom-up approaches are highly uncertain due to source multiplicity and their great variability in time and space. Field observations of VOC from field campaigns and monitoring programs can provide valuable constraints to evaluate emission inventories at the urban scale. Methodology and Results This work is based on hourly, in-situ observations collected during intensive field campaigns in summertime (CalNexin Los Angeles, 2010 and MEGAPOLI in Paris, 2009) at ground level and on aircraft and by Air Quality Monitoring Networks. VOCs were measured by state-of-the-art on-line techniques: a PTRMS and GCFID/MS. Two independent methods that take into account the effect of chemistry were used to determine the emission ratios of anthropogenic VOCs relative to acetylene and carbon monoxide (CO). Emission ratios from both methods agree within ±20% showing the reliability of our approach. Emission ratios are fairly consistent within a factor of 2 between all urban areas (Figure 1). One exception is Paris where the fraction of C7-C9 aromatics, and to a lesser extent alkanes >C4, is 3 times higher than LA and other French and European urban areas. Large discrepancies of a factor of 4 between observed emissions ratios and those calculated from the inventories were revealed. Finally, changes in the seasonal composition of urban air suggest that emission ratios determined on a seasonal basis is an added value to constraint temporally resolved emission inventories for different seasons. Conclusions Emissions of gasoline-powered vehicles still dominate the distribution for many hydrocarbons in northern mid-latitudes urban areas despite efficiency control emission measures at exhaust pipe, which disagrees with the most recent regional emission inventories. Acknowledgement EU-FP/2007-2011 within the project MEGAPOLI, grant agreement n°212520MEGAPOLI, ANR-MEGAPOLI-Paris, INSU/LEFE, NOAA, CIRES, AASQA (AIRPARIF, ASPA, ATMOPACA, ATMO-RH). Figure 1: Comparison of NMHC Emission Ratios relative to acetylene in Los Angeles and Paris to previous published studies in the US [Warneke et al., 2007] and Europe [Borbon et al., 2003; Dollard et al., 2007], respectively. References Borbon, A., J.B. Gilman, W. C. Kuster, N. Grand, S. Chevaillier, A. Colomb, C. Dolgorouky, V. Gros, M. Lopez, R. SardaEsteve, J. Holloway, J. Stutz, O. Perrussel, H. Petetin, S. McKeen, M. Beekmann, C. Warneke, D.D. Parrishand J.A. de Gouw, Emission ratios of anthropogenic VOC in northern mid-latitude megacities: observations vs. emission inventories in Los Angeles and Paris, J. Geophys. Res., 118, 2041-2057, 2013. Boynard A., A. Borbon, T. Leonardis, B. Barletta, S. Meinardi, D.R. Blake, N. Locoge, Spatial and seasonal variability of measured anthropogenic non-methane hydrocarbons in urban atmospheres: implication on emission ratios. Accepted for publication in Atmos. Environ. (September 2013). 127 ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION IN NORTH AFRICA. FACTS AND LESSONS IN THE SPANISH CITY OF CEUTA S. García Dos Santos (1), R. Benarroch Benarroch (2), R. Fernández Patier (1), M.A. Sintes Puertas (1), A. Aguirre Alfaro (1), J.M. Cantón Gálvez (2), J. Alonso Herreros (1) and S. Guevara Hernández (1) (1) Área de Contaminación Atmosférica. Centro Nacional de Sanidad Ambiental, Instituto de Salud Carlos III. Crta. Majadahonda a Pozuelo km 2, 28220 Majadahonda (Madrid). Spain. (2) Servicio Sanidad Ambiental. Consejería de Sanidad y Consumo. San Amaro s/n. 51001 Ceuta. Spain Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Ceuta is a 65 000 inhabitants Spanish city located on the North African shore line of the Gibraltar strait. Because of its location and its special administrative status no an air quality network, with continuous monitoring, has been established yet. Moreover, the local authorities have not a clear idea about the quality of the city ambient air pursuant to the provisions of EU legislation. So, since 2010 to 2013 three field work campaigns were performed to determine the concentration of NO2, O3 and VOC (benzene, toluene, etilbenzene, m+p-xilene and o-xilene) and PM10 and PM2,5. Therefore, for first time the analysis showed the high importance of these pollutant concentrations especially for ozone, data which may be extrapolated to the North Morocco nearby cities. Using those findings Ceuta local authorities decided to set a local air quality network for year 2014 and the Environmental Health Department obtained its first hint of the population exposure levels and their associated health effects. Introduction Air pollution is one of the main environmental problems of the European cities. In this contest, due to the lack of an air quality network in the City of Ceuta, a number of field campaigns were scheduled for the period 2010 to 2013, for some of main pollutants cover by EU Directive 2008/50/EC. So, the levels of gaseous pollutants and particle matter were quantified to know if these concentrations will be high enough to be a risk for the exposed population. Figure 1 – Map of NO2 levels (4-11/07/13) Methodology and Results Three campaigns were performed in fall-winter (2010/2011), spring (2012) and summer (2013). Gaseous species were sampled by radial diffusive samplers during 7 days for NO2 and VOC and 15 days for O3, in 55 points of a net (200 m x 200 m) which covered all Ceuta territory. While NO2 was analyzed by espectrofotometry O3 was measured by ion chromatography and VOC by gas chromatography Figure 2 – Map of O3 levels (4-18/07/13) PM10 and PM2,5 particles were sampled in a site in the middle of the city using European reference samplers set by EN PM10 PM2,5 12341 and EN 14907 standards. Both gas and particle days > 50 days > 25 3 3 year days µg/m days µg/m 3 3 analysis were performed under a quality system, based on µg/m µg/m 31 ± 11 (max 63) 14 ± 8 (max 63) the requirements of EN ISO/IEC 17025 standard. In fact, 2010‐11 89 3 66 6 29 ± 16 (max 76) 2012 89 7 90 13 ± 12 (max 68) 13 ACA is accredited for NO2, PM10 and PM2,5 analyses, 29 ± 7 (max 47) 17 ± 7 (max 47) 2013 65 0 69 7 using either and internal procedure or its specific EN standard by ENAC (Spanish Accreditation Body), since Table 1 - PM10 and PM2,5 (maximum) and days > 2000. The campaigns showed, for gaseous species, a different pollutant behavior and higher spatial distribution. While NO2 and O3 have presented very high levels the VOC resulted in relative low ones. As an example, daily NO2 (see figure 1) had a mean level (50 sampling points) of (11 ± 8) µg/m3 with a maximum value of 48 µg/m3 as a 7 days mean value in the city center. On the other hand, the ozone (see figure 2) had a mean level (50 sampling points) of (114 ± 68) µg/m3 with a maximum valium of 549 µg/m3 as a 7 days mean value in a urban area East of the city center. This could mean the O3 alert level of 240 µg/m3 was commonly exceeded, by larger. Finally, as expected PM10 and PM2,5 (see table 1) were strongly dependent of Saharan episodes. PM10 and PM2,5 levels could meet in Ceuta the required EU limit value. Also, the PM10 levels exceeded the WHO guideline value of 10 µg/m3. Conclusions Gases species analyzed in Ceuta showed high spatial and concentration variability. Ozone is producing an important health risk on the population of Ceuta and this fact should be extrapolated to the all nearby North African cities. NO2 and particles show levels closed but below of the EU limit values. PM10 levels, which were higher than the WHO guideline, are mainly due to Saharan dust intrusions. The VOC levels are lower and they are not so important. So, Ceuta Environmental Health Authorities have decided to improve the measurements and a continuous monitoring of O3, NO2 and particles will be on place, next year. References EU Directive 2008/50/EC of 21 May, on ambient air quality and cleaner air for Europe 128 CHEMICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF PM2.5 IN HAZE EPISODES IN BEIJING R. R. Shen (1), K. Schäfer (1), P. Suppan (1), Y. S. Wang (2), J. Schnelle-Kreis (3), L. Y. Shao (4) (1) Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-IFU), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), 82467, GarmischPartenkirchen, Germany; (2) Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), 100029, Beijing, P. R. China; (3) Joint Mass Spectrometry Centre, Comprehensive Molecular Analytics, Helmholtz Zentrum München, 85764 Neuherberg, Germany; (4) Department of Resources and Earth Sciences, China University of Mining and Technology (CUMTB), 100083 Beijing, P. R. China Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to investigate the chemical characteristics of PM2.5 during haze episodes in Beijing in 2013 spring and to find out the differences between haze days and non-haze days as well as the possible sources of chemical compounds during haze episodes. Analytical techniques like ICP-MS, IC and thermal/optical carbon analyzer were used to identify the inorganic compounds, inorganic water-soluble ions, EC and OC of PM2.5, respectively. This study shows that major chemical species of PM2.5 which affect human health are originated from anthropogenic sources. Introduction Haze episodes becomes much more frequent in Beijing (Wang et al., 2006) and received much more attention during the past decade because of its influences on visibility and human health (Sun et al., 2006). Because the chemical characteristics and sources of haze are different from the normal urban aerosols, studies of haze pollution are important for the control of air pollution in Beijing. 1000.00 150 100.00 50 05.06.2013 29.05.2013 22.05.2013 15.05.2013 08.05.2013 01.05.2013 24.04.2013 17.04.2013 0 Non‐haze Haze 10.00 1.00 0.10 0.01 0.00 PM2.5 TC OC EC Cl‐ NO3‐ SO42‐ Na+ NH4+ K+ V Cr Ni Cu Zn As Cd Sb Ba Pb 100 Mass concentration (µg m‐3) 200 10.04.2013 PM2.5 mass concentration (µg/m3) Methodology and Results Two sequential High-Volume Samplers (HVS, Digitel DHA-80, Hegnau, Switzerland) were used to collect PM2.5 samples automatically. Three obvious accumulation processes of haze episodes were found (see Fig. 1), from 18th April to 25th April, 3rd May to 9th May, 1st June to 8th June, respectively. The average PM2.5 mass concentration during haze days was 129 µg m-3 but during in non-haze days it was 65 µg m-3 only. An obvious increase of secondary inorganic pollutants (NO3-, SO42and NH4+) in PM2.5 was observed (see Fig. 2). NO3-, SO42- and NH4+ in the atmosphere are basically formed by a gas-toparticle process as a result of chemical reactions of precursor gases. The acidities of PM2.5 during haze days were higher than during non-haze days. The higher concentrations of pollutants during haze episodes were mainly from anthropogenic sources. Sampling date Fig.1: Daily PM2.5 mass concentration. Fig.2: Comparison between haze days and non-haze days. Conclusions Haze pollution is becoming a frequent phenomenon in Beijing and enhances the pollution of the urban air. Furthermore, the main compounds of haze aerosols have several influences on human health. Therefore, there is need to do further research on formation mechanisms and sources of haze in order to improve the urban air quality. Acknowledgement This work is supported by the China Scholarship Council (CSC) and the KIT Center for Climate and Environment. References Sun, Y. L., G. S. Zhuang, et al., 2006. Chemical characteristics of PM2.5 and PM10 in haze-fog episodes in Beijing. Environmental Science & Technology 40 (10), 3148-3155. Wang, Y., Zhuang, G., Sun, Y., An, Z., 2006. The variation of characteristics and formation mechanisms of aerosols in dust, haze, and clear days in Beijing. Atmos. Environ. 40, 6579–6591. 129 SPECIAL SESSION AIR QUALITY AND CLIMATE METEOROLOGY INTERACTIONS AND FEEDBACKS 130 DOWNSCALING OF MONTHLY PM10 CONCENTRATIONS IN BAVARIA BASED ON CIRCULATION TYPE CLASSIFICATIONS C. Beck (1), C. Weitnauer (1) and J. Jacobeit (1) (1) Institute of Geography (IGUA), University of Augsburg, Alter Postweg 118, 86135 Augsburg, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this contribution different downscaling approaches for linking monthly indices of local PM10 concentrations to atmospheric circulation and weather types are applied to PM10 data from different sites in Bavaria and varying circulation type classifications. A leave one out cross validation procedure and several skill metrics are used to evaluate and compare the skill of all downscaling approaches. Remarkable skill is generally achieved in winter and spring while model performance is worse in summer and autumn. In most cases multiple linear regression models using occurrence frequencies of daily circulation types as predictors outperform alternative approaches that estimate monthly PM10 by aggregating type specific daily mean values. Comparable model skill is reached for monthly means and extremes indicators (no. of days exceeding a certain threshold). Introduction Large-scale atmospheric circulation features have distinct effects on local PM10 concentrations (e.g. Buchanan et al. 2002). E.g. via the prevention of air mass exchange during anticyclonic conditions or through the long-range transport of PM10 related to specific synoptic scale wind directions. Therefore it can be expected that frequency changes of particular circulation types that will probably occur under possible future climate change conditions will also bring about respective variations in PM10 concentration levels. Against this background it is intended to develop statistical downscaling approaches for the estimation of climate change induced variations in local PM10 concentrations from corresponding changes in frequencies of circulation types. Methodology and Results Varying circulation type classifications (e.g. different classification methods varying spatial and temporal domains and atmospheric input variables) are applied to daily gridded atmospheric reanalysis data for the North Atlantic European region. Resulting circulation types are utilised in two different approaches for the estimation of monthly PM10 data. Firstly monthly frequencies of circulation types serve as predictors in multiple linear regression analyses for estimating monthly predictand values (monthly PM10 indices). Secondly type specific (daily) mean values of the target variable – determined for a calibration period – are used to estimate aggregated monthly predictand values. All variants of both modelling approaches are tested via a leave one out cross validation procedure for the period 1980 to 2011. The skill of all models is quantified with different skill metrics (e.g. reduction of variance, Pearson R). Fig. 1 shows exemplary the observed and (best) modelled time series of monthly mean PM10 concentrations in winter (DJF) at station Nürnberg/Ziegelsteinstrasse. Model skill varies between seasons (highest skill in winter and spring, distinctly lower skill in summer and autumn), between stations and as well depending on the specific configuration of the classification and downscaling approach. Beside the spatial and temporal domain used for the classification the choice of the downscaling approach appears to have the greatest effect on model skill. In the overwhelming number of cases the highest model skill is achieved with the downscaling approach based on multiple regression using monthly type frequencies as predictors. It is furthermore worth mentioning that the downscaling of indices for extreme PM10 levels (number of days exceeding a certain threshold) reaches Fig.1 Observed and (best) modelled time series of monthly mean PM10 for comparable skill as the downscaling of Nürnberg/Ziegelsteinstrasse in winter (DJF). Additionally the squared Pearson correlation coefficient between observed and modelled series is indicated. monthly mean values. Conclusions Results achieved so far in general prove the capability of classification based approaches for downscaling of local PM10 concentrations on a monthly time scale. Accordingly future research objectives will focus on the application of the here presented approaches to varying scenarios of CMIP5 climate models for the 21st century. Acknowledgement The work presented here is supported by the German Science Foundation (DFG) under contract BE 2406/2-1. References Buchanan C.M., Beverland I.J., Heal M.R. 2002. The influence of weather-type and long-range transport on airborne particle concentrations in Edinburgh, UK. Atmospheric Environment 36, 5343-5354. 131 CHANGES TO THE EUROPEAN PARTICLE COMPOSITION DURING THE 21ST CENTURY C. Andersson (1), M. Engardt (1) and C. Geels (2) (1) Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, SE-60176 Norrköping, Sweden; (2) Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus university, Denmark Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Models have been employed to simulate future particulate matter (PM) concentration over Europe, also investigating for sensitivity to future climate realisation and chemistry-transport models. Emission decrease over Europe causes decreased PM concentration, whereas climate change seems to modulate the change, causing lower decrease than expected. Introduction Change in climate and emissions are expected to affect future concentration of particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10 and its chemical constituents) over Europe. Only a few studies have focused on the effect of climate and emission change on future PM concentration over Europe. In this study we employ a regional, off-line, chemistry-transport model, MATCH, to simulate present and future particle concentration in Europe, in a number of scenarios to assess the respective impacts of climate and emission change. We also conducted simulations assessing for the sensitivity in future change due to different global and regional climate models, and global, hemispheric and regional chemistry-transport models, and for different anthropogenic emission scenarios. Methodology MATCH (Robertson et al., 1999) has previously used in studies of climate change and surface ozone and nitrogen deposition in Europe (e.g. Langner et al., 2012). The model is driven by meteorological data from a state-of-the-art regional climate model in two versions, RCA3 and RCA4. The regional climate model is driven by data from a coarser resolution global climate models (ECHAM5, ECEARTH) on its boundaries and increasing greenhouse gas concentration (RCP4.5, SRES A1B). The global climate models are also used to simulate global (INCA) or hemispheric (DEHM; see setup in Fig 1) particle and chemical trace specie concentrations. These are used as lateral and top boundary concentration to MATCH. The regional particle simulations were performed by simulating windows in the beginning, middle and end of 21st century. Fig.1 Modelling set up of one set of MATCH simulations. Results and Conclusions Our results show decreases are expected in both mid-century and end-of-the-century PM10 concentrations across Europe (see Fig. 2). However, climate change will act to increase PM10 concentrations, causing smaller decrease than expected. Acknowledgement This study was supported by the Nordic Council of Ministers (Future Nordic Air), the European network ERA-ENVHEALTH and its partner organizations ANSES, ADEME, BelSPO, UBA and the Swedish EPA (ACCEPTED, agreement no 219337), the EU (FP7 project IMPACT2C, agreement no 282746) and the Swedish EPA (CLEO). Fig.2 Current (left) and change in PM10 concentration due to climate and emission change to mid-century (middle) and end of the century (right) modelled with MATCH (top row) and DEHM (bottom row). References Langner et al., 2012. European summer surface ozone 1990-2100. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 12, 10097-10105. Robertson, L. et al., 1999. An Eulerian limited-area atmospheric transport model. J. Appl. Meteor. 38, 190–210. 132 AIR QUALITY PROJECTIONS OVER EUROPE UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE AND EMISSION MITIGATION SCENARIOS: HORIZONS 1971-2060 P. Navarro (1), J. P. Montávez (1) and P. Jiménez-Guerrero (1) (1) Department of Physics, University of Murcia, Ed. CIOyN, Campus de Espinardo, Regional Campus of International Excellence ``Campus Mare Nostrum'', University of Murcia, 30100 Murcia (Spain) Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The main objective of this work is to show the situation of air quality in Europe by using air quality-climate simulations from 1971-2060. This simulation database was compared with target and limit values of the European Directive 2008/50/EC in order to assess present and future air quality over Europe. Since climate change alone may influence air pollution levels through changes in certain variables that govern air quality, concentrations were studied in the decades of the 2020s, 2030s, and 2050s under the SRES A2 scenario of climate change and compared to present situation. Finally, we explore the efficacy of implementing mitigation measures of emissions of atmospheric pollutants for the same decades as aforementioned. Introduction The definition of air quality management strategies based on emission abatement is one of the predominant factors for controlling regional air pollution, which will be aggravated under climate change scenarios due to the impacts of climate variation on the dispersion and removal of air pollutants. Climate change alone will play a part in future air quality through modifications of gas-phase chemistry, transport, removal and natural emissions (Jacob and Winner, 2009). Considering this, we quantified the variation of future European air quality under two scenarios: considering only the influence of climate change (SRES A2) and this climate change scenario when emission management strategies are implemented. Methodology and Results The methodology includes the use of a climate version of the MM5EMEP-CHIMERE modeling system. Experiments span the periods 1971-2000, taken as a reference, and 2001-2060, as a future enhanced greenhouse gas and aerosol scenarios (driven by SRES A2). Present-day air qualiy climatologies have been compared to three time slices: 2021-2030 (2020s), 2031-2040 (2030s) and 20512060 (2050s). The simulations have an horizontal resolution of 25 km. Another hypothetical scenario of emission control has been implemented -as stated in the EC COM (2011) 102-, involving reductions up to 80% in several pollutants. We performed a comparison between those years and the present, to see how the spatio-temporal patterns of air pollution vary under these future scenarios and how the exceedances of the thresholds set in the European Directive 2008/50/EC are modified in the future. The results indicate a present widespread non-attainment of air quality objetives with respect mainly PM10 and sulphur dioxide (SO2) (Fig. 1). If climate-change alone scenario is implemented, the simulations indicate a general increase of air pollutants (especially PM10 and PM2.5 levels) both in maximum and mean levels. These pollutants will increase their concentrations for 2020s, 2030s and 2050s mainly in all Europe due to the temperature increase, reduced precipitation in more southern areas, diminished cloud cover –enhancing secondary pollutants- and an increase in solar radiation. Not only the levels of pollutants will increase, but also the area covered by those zones where the limit values of the European Directive 2008/50/CE are not met. Considering the scenario with reduction in the emission of regulatory pollutants, a noticeable and general decrease with respect not only to SRES A2 scenario, but also with respect to present-day levels (1971-2000) is found, mainly for particulate matter and sulphur dioxide (Fig. 2). Fig.1 PM10 climatological levels (g m-3) for 1971-2000. Fig.2 Variation of PM10 levels in 2051-2060 (2050s) with respect to 1971-2000. Influence of climate-change alone. Conclusions Emission control policies of regulatory pollutants can not only overcome the increases in air pollutants caused by climate change alone, by also may lead to concentrations lower than those simulated for the 1971-2000 period. It also reduces the area (number of cells) with exceedances of the limit values set by Directive 2008/50/EC. Acknowledgement This work was funded by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (project CGL2010-22158-C02-02) and the “Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional” (FEDER). Dr. Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero thanks the Ramón y Cajal programme. References Jacob, D.J., Winner, D.A., 2009. Effect of climate change on air quality. Atmos. Environ. 43, 51-63. 133 INVESTIGATING AEROSOL OPTICAL PROPERTIES USING WRF/CHEM A. Balzarini (1), G. Pirovano (1), G. M. Riva (1) (1) Research on Energy System (RSE S.p.A.), via Rubattino 54, 20134, Milano Italy. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to investigate the relationship between the outcome of the traditional model performance evaluation and the reconstruction of the aerosol optical properties. The analysis has been performed through the application of the WRF/Chem model in the framework of the AQMEII modeling initiative. Results show that PM10 and PM2.5 general pattern is well reproduced by the model, but it underestimates the maxima daily episodes during winter months. AOD analysis indicates a significant model difficulty in reconstructing optical properties. Introduction Online-coupled meteorology and chemistry models are becoming more and more popular in air quality modeling applications as they allow achieving a significant reduction of inconsistency in the interaction between meteorological and chemical processes. However, even recent air quality modeling studies highlight significant difficulties in correctly reproducing such interactions, e.g. the effects of particulate matter on radiation budget, whose estimation relies on the correct reconstruction of the optical aerosol properties. Till recent times, model performance evaluation (MPE) has been widely based on the comparison of modeled concentration of the aerosol bulk mass and main chemical compound against observed data. Differently, less consideration has been devoted the evaluation of model performance in reproducing aerosol optical properties, mainly due to reduced availability of experimental data. This study aims to investigate the relationship between the outcome of the traditional MPE and the reconstruction of the aerosol optical properties. The analysis has been performed through the application of the WRF-Chem model in the framework of the AQMEII modeling initiative. Methodology and Results WRF/Chem model has been applied over Europe for the calendar year 2010, adopting a horizontal resolution of 23 km. The model has been driven by the input data set provided in the framework of the exercise, including the TNO-MACC anthropogenic and FMI biomass burning emission inventory, and by archiving ECMWF meteorological fields. Model configuration adopted the following physical parameterization: YSU PBL scheme, Noah LSM, Morrison microphysics, RRTMG radiation schemes, and G3 cumulus scheme. As for chemistry, the model implemented CBM-Z gas phase mechanism and MOSAIC aerosol module. Traditional MPE have been performed against ground level observed at around 500 Airbase sites as well as PM composition data provided by EMEP network. Differently, model ability in reproducing aerosol optical properties has been investigated against AERONET network observed data. As an example, Fig.1 shows PM10 and PM2.5 daily time series at Avignon Airbase site. Mean modeled concentrations of PM10 stay around 15.2 μg/m3, while observed data reach up to 25.1 μg/m3. As far as PM2.5 is concerned, average modeled and observed concentrations are 11.9 μg/m3 and 18 μg/m3, respectively. The overall pattern is well reproduced by the model, but it underestimates the maxima daily episodes during winter months. The current study has also focused on aerosol optical properties, namely the aerosol optical depth (AOD). Simulated and observed AOD values varied between 0.004-1.518 and 0.021- 0.475 respectively, indicating model difficulties in reconstructing optical parameters. In the study, the causes of model biases are investigated as well as the different impact of anthropogenic and natural aerosol loads is discussed. Fig.1 Time series of modelled (red) and observed (back) data of PM10 (left) and PM2.5 (right) at Avignon Airbase station. Conclusions This study aims to investigate the relationship between the outcome of the traditional model performance evaluation and the reconstruction of the aerosol optical properties. The analysis has been performed through the application of the WRF/Chem model in the framework of the AQMEII modeling initiative. The PM10 and PM2.5 general pattern is well reproduced by the model, but it underestimates the maxima daily episodes during winter months. AOD analysis indicates a significant model difficulty in reconstructing optical properties. Acknowledgement This work has been financed by the Research Fund for the Italian Electrical System under the Contract Agreement between RSE S.p.A. and the Ministry of Economic Development - General Directorate for Nuclear Energy, Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency in compliance with the Decree of March 8, 2006. We also gratefully acknowledge the contribution of various groups to the second air Quality Model Evaluation international Initiative (AQMEII) activity. 134 AIRBORNE SOURCE APPORTIONMENT FOR ULTRAFINE ATMOSPHERIC PARTICLES AND THE DEPENDENCE OF LOCAL SURFACE CONCENTRATIONS ON REGIONAL SCALE METEOROLOGY W. Junkermann Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study uses airborne investigations of ultrafine and fine particles for source apportionment of climate and health relevant particulate matter. A strong dependence of the distribution of local emissions on transport and advection as well as on the diurnal variability of the planetary boundary layer can be documented which is controlling the levels of particulate matter of all size fractions both on the ground (for health impact) and below cloud base (for climate impact). Introduction Atmospheric pollution is significantly controlled and affected by transport and convection processes. That way urban pollution is exported into remote rural areas or strong sources of extraurban pollution can contribute to urban pollution levels. An example is particulate mass, PM2.5/PM10. PM exceedance is often related to long range transport from Saharan dust. Similar to the fine particulate mass ultrafine particles can be transported even more efficiently as dry deposition in the main transport layers aloft for the smaller particles is probably less significant. Thus in case, large sources of ultrafine particles are located upwind of urban agglomerations, innerurban the number concentrations of health relevant ultrafine particulate matter might be affected and even dominated by regional scale transport processes. Methodology and Results Airborne measurements of ultrafine and fine particle size distributions and concurrent in situ wind and turbulence measurements were used to characterize major single sources and source regions for ultrafine particles. Source apportionment of ultrafine particles is based on particle size distributions and in-situ wind data. Transport, turbulence, convection and vertical mixing intensity can be derived from the in situ turbulence measurement. Combined with HYSPLIT backtrajectories these measurements allow a detailed 3-dimensional analysis of regional scale transport and vertical pollution distribution. We investigated both, rural nucleation events affected by extraurban nanometer size particle emissions that we were able to follow over more than 1000 km and the effect of extraurban sources on urban nucleation mode particle size distributions and their temporal behaviour. Particle number concentrations and their physico-chemical properties in these studies were well in ranges considered to be either climate or health relevant. Conclusions Climate and health relevant ultrafine particle concentrations on ground based stations are dependent on long range transport and vertical mixing of the planetary boundary layer. Local or regional scale nucleation events Fig. 1:Development of particle size can be traced back to upwind strong single particle sources in distances of distributions within a power plant plume up to several hundred km. Plumes of ultrafine particles were detected within the first 2 hours or ~ 40 km of even 1500 km downwind of single sources. Also these plumes travelling transport (Junkermann et al, 2011). in the upper layers of the PBL affect the surface concentrations after vertical mixing. Thus interpretation of local diurnal variability of UFparticle concentrations and their temporal development cannot be simply derived from a local box model but have to take into account at least regional, possibly even larger scale three dimensional meteorology. References Junkermann, W., Hagemann, R., and Vogel, B., Nucleation in the Karlsruhe plume during the COPS / TRACKS - Lagrange experiment, QJRMS, 137, 267-274, 2011 135 WRF-CHEM SIMULATIONS ON THE EFFECT OF AEROSOL-METEOROLOGY FEEDBACK ON REGIONAL POLLUTANT DISTRIBUTIONS OVER EUROPE R. Forkel (1), A. Balzarini (2), R. Baró (3), G. Curci (4), P. Jiménez-Guerrero (3), M. Hirtl (5), L. Honzak (6), J. L. Pérez (7); G. Pirovano (2), R. San José (7); P. Tuccella (4), J. Werhahn (1), R Žabkar (6) (1) Karlsruhe Inst. of Technology, IMK-IFU, Garmisch-Partenkirchen; (2) RSE, Milano; (3) University Murcia, MAR-UMU; (4) University L’Aquila, CETEMPS; (5) ZAMG, Vienna; (6) University Ljubljana, SPACE-SI; (7) Technical Univ. of Madrid, ESMG Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Results of one-year simulations with different configurations of WRF-Chem are analyzed with respect to the effect of the aerosol radiative impact on meteorological fields and pollutant concentrations. Introduction Simulated feedback effects between aerosol concentrations and meteorological variables and on pollutant distributions are expected to depend on model configuration and the meteorological situation. In order to quantity these effects the second phase of the AQMEII (Air Quality Model Evaluation International Initiative; http://aqmeii.jrc.ec.europa.eu/) model intercomparison exercise focused on online coupled meteorology-chemistry models. Among others, several of the participating groups contributed simulations with WRF-Chem (Grell et al., 2005) for Europe, which differ by the chosen chemistry or boundary layer options, and by the degree of aerosol feedback that was considered. The results of this small ensemble are analyzed with respect to the effect of gas phase chemistry, aerosol module, and liquid phase reactions. Methodology and Results Simulations with WRF-Chem were performed for Europe for the entire year 2010 within AQMEII by seven groups. According to the common simulation strategy for AQMEII phase 2, the year was simulated as a sequence of 2-day time slices. For better comparability, the seven groups applied the same grid spacing of 23 km and shared common processing of initial and boundary conditions as well as anthropogenic and fire emissions. With exception of a simulation with different cloud microphysics, identical physics options were chosen while the chemistry options were varied (Table 1). 2 3 4 5 6 7 Case 1a,b Microphysics Morrisona Morrison Morrison Morrison Linb Morrison Morrison Gas phase chem.. RADM2 c RADM2mod RADM2 RACMd RADM2 CBMZe CBMZ Inorg. aerosol MADEf MADE MADE MADE MADE MOSAICg MOSAIC Org. aerosol SORGAMh SORGAM SORGAM VBSi SORGAM Aq. chem., grid scale WTk FPl WT FP FP Aerosol direct effect a: no, b: yes yes yes yes yes no yes Aerosol indir. effect no yes yes yes yes no yes Table 1: Configuration of the different WRF-Chem simulations ( aLin et al 1983, bMorrison et al.2008, cStockwell et al., 1990, dStockwell et al.1997, eZaveri & Peters 1999, fAckermann et al. 1998, gZaveri et al.2008, hSchell et al., 2001; iAhmadov et al, 2012, kWalcek & Taylor 1986, lFahey & Pandis 2001, for complete references please see http://ruc.noaa.gov/wrf/WG11/Users_guide.pdf ) A first analysis for July 2010 indicated only a small impact of the direct aerosol radiative effect on monthly mean temperature and ozone concentrations (ca. 1 ppb). Mean differences between simulated aerosol concentrations for cases 1a and 1b were below 1 g m-3 except for North Africa and North of Moscow (–4 g m-3). The additional inclusion of the aerosol indirect effect (cases 2-5, and 7) resulted for areas with low aerosol concentrations in a more than 50 W m-2 higher global radiation for cloudy conditions than in the cases 1 and 6. The choice of the chemical mechanism and aerosol module on simulated pollutant concentrations obscures sometimes the effect of the aerosol feedbacks on pollutant concentrations. Mean ozone for cases 2, 4, and 6 (different mechanisms) differed from case 1 by ±10 ppb over large areas, while the difference between cases 3 and 1a was below 2 ppb. The differences of the mean PM2.5 concentrations over Central Europe between cases 3 and 1a (same aerosol module) were -6 to 0 g m-3, and -6 to 4 g m-3 between case 6 and case 1a. Conclusions and Outlook For the applied horizontal resolution, the impact of aerosol feedbacks on pollutant distributions was frequently smaller than the effect of the choice of the chemistry mechanism and aerosol module. As a next step, a more systematic analysis, also for other seasons, is necessary in order to identify the episodes and regions with more pronounced feedback effects. Acknowledgement We gratefully acknowledge the contribution of various groups to the second air Quality Model Evaluation international Initiative (AQMEII) activity: TNO (anthropogenic emissions database); ECMWF/MACC project & Météo-France/CNRMGAME (chemical boundary conditions), FMI (fire emissions). Joint Research Center Ispra/Institute for Environment and Sustainability provided its ENSEMBLE system for model output harmonization and analyses, and evaluation. References Grell, G.A., Peckham, S.E., Schmitz, R., McKeen, S.A., Frost, G., Skamarock, W.C., Eder, B., 2005. Fully coupled online chemistry within the WRF model. Atmos. Environ. 39, 6957-6975. 136 REPRESENTATION OF COUPLING PROCESSES IN ONLINE COUPLED METEOROLOGY AND CHEMISTRY MODELS – AN EXPERT POLL SURVEY RESULTS X. Kong (1), M. Gauss (2), G. Tsegas (3), A. Baklanov (4), R. Forkel (5), P. Suppan (5), D. Brunner (6), R. S. Sokhi (1), K. H. Schlünzen (7) and the COST ES1004 EuMetChem team (1) University of Hertfordshire, Hatfield, UK; (2) Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Norway; (3) Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Greece; (4) Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark; (5) Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Germany; (6) EMPA, Switzerland; (7) Meteorological Institute, University Hamburg, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary An expert survey has been conducted in COST Action ES1004 to get an expert judgement on which meteorology and chemistry coupling processes might be most relevant and how well they are represented in the current online coupled models. The survey results are presented together with some supported case studies and provided guidance on how to improve the representation of meteorology and chemistry coupling processes in numerical models. Introduction The COST Action ES1004 - European framework for online integrated air quality and meteorology modelling (EuMetChem; http://eumetchem.info/) - is focusing on a new generation of online integrated Atmospheric Chemical Transport and Meteorology modelling with two-way interactions between different atmospheric processes including chemistry, clouds, radiation, boundary layer, emissions, meteorology and climate (Baklanov et al., 2013). Co mpared with traditional offline models, online coupled meteorology and chemistry modelling system is a new and emerging area. Which meteorology and chemistry interactions are the most important and how well they are implemented in the current model system are not well documented in the literature. Therefore, an expert survey has been conducted in COST Action ES1004 to get an expert judgement on which coupling processes might be most relevant. Methodology and Results The survey questionnaire includes 24 meteorology-chemistry interactions for three different modelling communities: numerical weather prediction (NWP), chemical weather forecasting (CWF) and climate models (listed in Table1). The survey was sent to different experts in these communities in Europe and beyond, and the results of its analysis (based on 30 responses) are shown in Figure 1. The original data collected from survey are including a) rates the importance of the interactions and b) rates how well they are represented in current online models. Two indicators are derived from the weighted mean of original data: ‘score1’ – importance of the interaction for models and ‘score2’ adequacy of the representation of the interaction in models. The results show that the perceived most important interactions differ from one model category to another. In general, most of the meteorology and chemistry interactions are more important for CWF models than NWP and climate models, and those interactions are represented better in CWF models than in NWP and climate models (see figure 1). 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Table 1 List of meteorology-chemistry interactions Temperature reaction rates Radiation reaction rates Temperature biogenic emissions Radiation photosynthesis biogenic emissions Temperature volatility of species Temperature aerosol dynamics Liquid water wet scavenging, concentrations Temperature & humidity gas/particle partitioning Precipitation (frequency/intensity) concentrations Soil moisture dust emissions Soil moisture dry deposition (biosphere and soil) Wind speed dust & sea salt emissions Temperature vertical gradients vertical diffusion Lighting NOx emissions Water vapour OH radicals ozone AerosolsSW scattering/absorption, LW absorption Radiatively active gases radiation Aerosol haze Soot deposition ice albedo Aerosol cloud droplet/crystals cloud O.D. Aerosol cloud morphology (e.g., reflectance) Aerosol precipitation (initiation, intensity) Climate change forest fire emissions Changes in land surface BVOC emissions Future Research and Recommendations Based on survey results, we have made some recommendations for the science community and model developers. Primary attention needs to be given to the interactions with high rank of importance (score1) together with low score in the model representation (score2), such as Figure 3 COST ES1004 expert survey results “improvement of aerosol indirect effects” for both NWP and climate models, “liquid water wet scavenging and atmospheric composition” and “improvement of wind speed dust/sea-salt interactions” for CWF models. As the survey itself is somewhat subjective due to different individual opinions, a few supported case studies on evaluation of coupled processes have been included to assess the survey results. Acknowledgement This work was realized within and supported by the COST Action ES1004 EuMetChem. References Baklanov et al., 2013. Online coupled regional meteorology-chemistry models in Europe: current status and prospects. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. 184 p (in discussion in ACPD, doi:10.5194/acpd-13-1-2013). 137 QUANTIFYING THE RESPONSES OF FUTURE AIR QUALITY OF EUROPE TO CHANGES IN CLIMATE AND EMISSIONS WITH WRF-CMAQ AND HADGEM X. Kong (1), R. S. Sokhi (1), X. Francis (1), C. Chemel (1), G. Folberth (2) and B. Collins (3) (1) University of Hertfordshire, Hatfield, UK; (2) Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK; (3) University of Reading, UK. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this study, the regional WRF-CMAQ modelling system, driven by the global climate model HadGEM2-ES (RCP 8.5 scenario), has been applied for base year 2000s and future year 2030s over Europe at 54km horizontal resolution. The climate and emission change effects on particulate matter (PM) and ozone have been examined respectively over the European domain. The sensitivity of the simulated surface PM to changes in climate between 2000s and 2030s are relatively small compared with the changes due to emission reductions, but with substantial spatial heterogeneity. Climate change effects on ozone are stronger, with annual mean increasing exceed 1 ppbv in 2030s in most area over Europe. Introduction The importance of interactions between climate change (CC) and air quality (AQ) has been widely recognised (e.g. IPCC 2007). As a result of these interactions, changes in climate could potentially also affect air quality which has implications for associated health effects. This study demonstrates the use of WRF-CMAQ interfaced to HadGEM global scale model to quantify the influence of climate change on future concentrations of PM and ozone. Methodology and Results The global climate data HadGEM2-ES (Collins et al., 2011) provided by the UK Met Office are representing the decade mean of 2000s and 2030s under the RCP8.5 scenario (driven by decadal means of sea surface temperature, sea ice concentration and emissions). These data have been interfaced into the regional WRF-CMAQ modelling system and applied for base year 2000s and future year 2030s over Europe at 54km horizontal resolution. In order to reduce the effects from inter-annual variability, the regional model was run in ten ensembles to represent the decadal mean of 2000s and 2030s. Four model experiments have been carried out for base year and future year with and without climate/emission changes. The effects of climate change (delta_C) and emission change (delta_E) on PM and ozone have been calculated respectively: delta_C = 2030Met_2000Emiss – 2000Met_2000Emiss; and delta_E = 2000Met_2030Emiss - 2000Met_2000Emiss. The results (see Figure 1) from this study indicate that climate effects generally reduce the surface PM concentration in 2030s by 0.1μg/m3 on domain average. However, they exhibit substantial spatial heterogeneity with some locations could either increase or reduce up to 5 μg/m3. The climate change effects on PM reduction are between 5 to 10 times smaller than the reduction brought about by emission changes between 2000s and 2030s. Climate change effects on ozone are much stronger due to effects of increased temperature on ozone photochemistry, with annual mean increasing exceed 1 ppbv in 2030s in most area over Europe. Conclusions and Future work The results from this study indicate that climate effects generally lead to an increase in ozone concentrations. While the effects on PM2.5 and PM10 are weaker, they exhibit substantial Figure 4 change in mean surface PM10 and Ozone concentration 2030spatial heterogeneity. A long-term modelling 2000 simulation study is needed in order to be able to extract robust signals of climate change impacts. The ongoing work is to look at the climate change effects on each PM species (such as sulphate, nitrate, ammonia and black carbon components) and examine which species are most sensitive to climate change. On a time scale beyond the implementation of expected emission reduction strategies, it is possible that climate change effects on air quality will become relatively more significant. This is an off-line modelling study and there may be effects of online coupled feedbacks that have not been taken into account. Acknowledgement The research leading to these results has received funding from the EU FP 7 MEGAPOLI and TRANSPHORM. References Collins, W.J. et al., 2008. Evaluation of the HadGEM2 model, Hadley Centre technical note 74, the UK Met Office. IPCC 2007. Forster, P. M., et al., Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing, in Climate Change 2007. 138 AIR QUALITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ON URBAN HEAT ISLAND IN CENTRAL EUROPE T. Halenka (1), P. Huszar (1), M. Belda (1), K. Zemankova (2) (1) Department of meteorology and environmental protection, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Charles University in Prague, 18000 Prague 8, Czech Republic, (2) LATMOS, IPSL, Paris, France Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary To include the effect of urbanized areas into regional climate model RegCM, the surface parameterization based on Single Layer Urban Canopy Model (SLUCM) has been adopted. Preliminary tests of the urban parameterization have been performed on Central Europe region in 10 km resolution with 1 km resolution of SUBBATS scheme in 10-years simulation. Results clearly show urban heat island (UHI) patterns for most the big cities or urbanized areas in the region. The effect of air quality and climate change on the intensity of urban heat island is studied in the similar simulations under different conditions. Introduction The primary reason for temperature increase and other changes within the cities, is the effect of urban heat island (UHI, Oke, 1973). The surface of urban elements clearly differs from natural surfaces which affects the properties of the atmosphere, especially in canopy layer. Moreover, the cities with their emissions of pollutants are major source for adverse conditions of air quality. Thus, the effect of air quality on UHI and the interaction with UHI are of interest in this study, as well as the climate change, which is bringing the temperature and other changes with potential to contribute to UHI. Methodology and Results We are using the model RegCM4.3 (ICTP) by Giorgi et al. (2012). The SLUCM model by Chen et al. (2010) has been implemented into RegCM4.3 with 10 km resolution for Central Europe by linking it to the BATS surface scheme, applying SUBBATS at 1 km sub-grid resolution (Pal et al., 2007), where SLUCM is called whenever urban or sub-urban land-use categories are recognized. We have performed the experiments with the RegCM4.3 both with SLUCM switched on and off in period of 2005-2009 driven by boundary conditions from ERA-Interim reanalysis (Simmons et al. 2007). Fig. 1 presents the UHI for Vienna and Prague where the effect of SLUCM parameterization can be seen. We have analized the changes of selected meteorological parameters between experiments SLUCM (the urban canopy model turned on) and NOURBAN (urban canopy not considered). The effects are the strongest in summer, for temperature, there is an evident increase with urban canopy introduced of 1K over urbanized areas (effect of cities like Budapest, Vienna, Prague, Berlin is well seen), but it is statistically significant elsewhere with up to 0.4K increase even over non-urban areas. The simulations of the couple of RegCM and CAMx (Huszar et al., 2011) are used to assess the effect of air quality changes on the UHI effect. For climate change experiment, boundary conditions from the simulation of CNRM model for CMIP5 are used for near future. The changes with respect to the control period 2005-2009 are studied. Fig.1Urban heat island (temperature) of Vienna (above) and Prague (below) Conclusions The effect of air quality can be splitted to the gaseous pollutants which can contribute to the UHI, especially the short lived species, while aerosols effect is less clear due to the less uncertainty of the aerosol impact processes parameterization. Climate change conditions, at least for the near future, contribute slightly moving the UHI on the temperature scale, but the changes in intensity of UHI are not so clear. Acknowledgement The presented work was funded by the project of Czech Grant Agency No. 13-19733P, as well as by the project UHI founded in the framework of EC OP NN (No. 3CE292P3). References Giorgi, F., E. Coppola, F. Solmon, F., L. Mariotti, M. Sylla, X. Bi, N. Elguindi, G. T. Diro, V. Nair, G. Giuliani, S. Cozzini, I. Guettler, T. A. O’Brien, A. Tawfik, A. Shalaby, A. Zakey, A. Steiner, F. Stordal, L. Sloan and C. Brankovic, 2012: RegCM4: Model description and preliminary tests over multiple CORDEX domains, Clim. Rev., 52, 7–29. Huszar, P., K. Juda-Rezler, T. Halenka, H. Chervenkov and others, 2011: Effects of climate change on ozone and particulate matter over Central and Eastern Europe, Clim. Res., 50,51–68. Oke, T.R., 1973: City size and the urban heat island. Atmos. Environment (1967) 7(8):769–779. Pal, J. S., F. Giorgi, X. Bi, N. Elguindi, F. Solomon, X. Gao, R. Francisco, A. Zakey, J. Winter, M. Ashfaq, F. Syed, J. L. Bell, N. S. Diffenbaugh, J. Karmacharya, A. Konare, D. Martinez, R. P. da Rocha, L. C. Sloan and A. Steiner, 2007: The ICTP RegCM3 and RegCNET: Regional Climate Modeling for the Developing World, B. Am. Meterol. Soc., 88, 1395–1409. Simmons, A., S. Uppala, D. Dee and S. Kobayashi, 2007: ERA - Interim: new ECMWF reanalysis products from 1989 onwards. Newsletter 110, Winter 2006/07, ECMWF, Reading. 139 INFLUENCES OF METEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS AND MIXING LAYER HEIGHT UPON AIR POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS IN URBAN AREA K. Schäfer (1), P. Wagner (2), H. Ling (1, 3), C. Münkel (4), S. Emeis (1), P. Suppan (1) (1) Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Department of Atmospheric Environmental Research (IMK-IFU), 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany (2) University of Duisburg-Essen (UDE), Faculty of Biology, Applied Climatology and Landscape Ecology, 45127 Essen, Germany (3) State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry (LAPC), Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), 100029, Beijing, P. R. China (4) Vaisala GmbH, 22607 Hamburg, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Ceilometers are applied by KIT/IMK-IFU to detect layering of the lower atmosphere continuously. This is necessary because not only wind speeds and directions but also atmospheric layering and especially the mixing layer height (MLH) influence exchange processes of ground level emissions. It will be discussed how the ceilometer monitoring information can be used to interpret the traffic-related air pollution near the ground. The information about atmospheric layering is continuously monitored by uninterrupted remote sensing measurements with the ceilometers which are eye-safe commercial mini-lidar systems. Air pollutant concentrations are measured as pathaveraged concentrations (NO, NO2 and HCHO) with a DOAS (Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy) as well as by in situ methods (NO, NO2, CO and PM10). Benzene, Toluene and Isoprene concentrations are measured by an on-line gaschromatograph. Meteorological data from ground-based station and radiosonde measured by German National Meteorological Service (DWD) are taken. It is found that MLH determines not only urban background but also traffic-related air pollutant concentrations. Introduction Wind speed and direction and MLH are important factors which influence exchange processes of ground-level emissions and thus high air pollutant concentrations. This is generally known (Schäfer et al., 2006) but the detailed understanding of processes directing certain air pollutant concentrations like PM10, gases and VOC is not complete. To study these processes campaigns in Augsburg and Essen, Germany, were performed in 2012. Methodology and Results Ceilometers LD40, CL31 and CL51 from Vaisala which are eye-safe commercial mini-lidar systems are applied by KIT/IMK-IFU to detect layering of the lower atmosphere continuously. Special software for these ceilometers with MATLAB provides routine retrievals of lower atmosphere layering from vertical profiles of laser backscatter data (Emeis et al., 2006). In the absence of low stratus clouds and precipitation ceilometers can estimate the MLH fairly well. The concentrations of NO, NO2 and HCHO are measured with a DOAS from OPSIS in Augsburg across main traffic roads by KIT/IMK-IFU. NO, NO2, CO and PM10 concentrations in Essen and Augsburg are measured by state environmental agencies of North Rhine Westphalia (LANUF) and Bavaria (LfU) as well as KIT/IMK-IFU (Schäfer et al., 2011). Benzene, Toluene and Isoprene concentrations are measured by an on-line gas-chromatograph GC 955 of Synspec b.v. by UDE (Wagner, 2013). Meteorological data from ground-based station (Airport Augsburg, Essen) and radiosonde (Oberschleißheim, Essen) measured by German National Meteorological Service (DWD) are taken. Correlation analyses are applied to show that the daily variations of NO, NO2, PM10, HCHO, Benzene, Toluene and Isoprene concentrations are coupled with MLH and wind speed. Conclusions Mainly the maximum concentration of air pollutants is affected by MLH. A significant part of the variance of the observed NO, NO2, CO, PM10, HCHO, Benzene, Toluene and Isoprene concentrations is caused by MLH. Isoprene which is emitted from both anthropogenic and biogenic (during summer time, not shown here) sources shows a significant correlation for maximum concentration with MLH. References Emeis, S., Schäfer, K.: Remote sensing method to investigate boundary-layer structures relevant to air pollution. Boundary Layer Meteorology 121 (2006), 377-385. Schäfer, K., Emeis, S., Hoffmann, H., Jahn, C.: Influence of mixing layer height upon air pollution in urban and sub-urban area. Meteorol. Z. 15 (2006), 647-658. Schäfer, K.; Emeis, S.; Schrader, S.; Török, S.; Alföldy, B.; Osan, J.; Pitz, M.; Münkel, C.; Cyrys, J.; Peters, A.; Saragiannis, D.; Suppan, P.: A measurement based analysis of the spatial distribution, temporal variation and chemical composition of particulate matter in Munich and Augsburg. Meteorol. Z. 21 (2011), 47-57. Wagner, P.: Influence of isoprene on ozone formation in an urban environment. IAUC Newsletter 47 (2013), 33-37. 140 DEVELOPING A NEW DATABASE FOR SOURCE FINGERPRINTS IN THE ASIAN REGION – AN OVERVIEW OF THE IAEA/RCA PROGRAMME ON AIR PARTICULKATE MATTER POLLUTION RAS0723 A. Markwitz (1), D. D. Cohen (2), B. A. Begum (3), B. F. Ni (4), G. G. Pandit (5), M. Santoso (6) , Y. S. Chung (7), S. Abd Rahman (8), D. Shagjjamba (9), S. Waheed (10), P. C. B. Pabroa (11), M. C. S. Seneviratne (12), T. B. Vuong (13) (1) Department of Ion Beam Technologies, GNS Science, Lower Hutt 5010, New Zealand; (2) Australian Nucl Sci and Technology Organisation, Div Phys, Menai, NSW 2234, Australia; (3) Dhaka AECD, Atom Energy Ctr, BAEC, Dhaka, Bangladesh; (4) China Natl Nucl Corp, CIAE, Beijing 102413, Peoples R China; (5) Bhabha Atom Res Ctr, Bombay 400085, Maharashtra, India; (6) Natl Nucl Energy Agcy BATAN, Ctr Nucl Technol Mat & Radiometry, Bandung 40132, Indonesia; (7) KAERI, Hanaro Ctr, Taejon 305600, South Korea; (8) Malaysian Nucl Agcy, Waste and Environm Technol Div, Kajang 43000, Selangor, Malaysia; (9) National University of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar Mongolia; (10) PAEC, Div Nucl Chem, PINSTECH, Islamabad, Pakistan; (11) PNRI, Quezon City 1101, Philippines; (12) Atom Energy Author, Orugodawatta, Wellampitiya, Sri Lanka; (13) Inst Nucl Sci and Technol, Ctr Radiat Protect, Hanoi, Cau Giay, Vietnam Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In 2012, a new programme was started at the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Vienna, Austria to bring together scientists from 15 countries in Australasia to develop a new database for fingerprints from local, regional and transboundary sources of natural and anthropogenic sources. Participants in the programme use nuclear based techniques to obtain elemental information for fine and coarse particulate matter by using GENT samplers and twice weekly filter changing regimes (e.g. Santoso, 2013; Ancelet, 2013: Begum, 2013; Waheed, 2012; Hopke, 2011). In the regional cooperative agreement in Australasia (RCA), a large number of organizations operate in the environment and health sectors benefit from this project. For the first time ever, a regional source receptor inventory database based on fine and coarse particles is under development and will be made publicly available by the end of the programme. This data is of significant importance for local, national, regional and world-wide operating end-users complementing the first ever database of fine and coarse particle concentration in Asia provided by RAS/07/15. End-users from environmental protection agencies are directly involved in this project. Outcome of the programme is “Enhanced recognition of applicability and end-user use of nuclear analytical methods for air particulate matter monitoring using source apportionment and fingerprinting techniques in urban areas.” Four outputs have been identified: (1) Effective project management and coordination at both a regional and national level; (2) Regional air pollution database of source fingerprints and source contributions with time series spanning 2012-2015 inclusive established; (3) Identification of long range transport of air pollution preliminarily associated with: power generation, windblown soil, biomass burning, sea salt and volcanic emission and (4) A preliminary assessment of impact of APM on cultural heritage objects in the region. This presentation provides an overview of the programme and progress to date. Acknowledgement This work is supported by the International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna, Austria (RAS0723) and by internal funding from all associated government organisations and institutes across the Asia Pacific Region. References Santoso M, Lestiani D.D., Markwitz A., 2013. Characterization of airborne particulate matter collected at Jakarta roadside of an arterial road. J. of Radioanalytical and Nucl. Chem. 297, 165-169. Ancelet T., Davy P.K., Trompetter W.J., Markwitz A., Weatherburn, D.C., 2013. Carbonaceous aerosols in a wood burning community in rural New Zealand. Atmospheric Pollution Res. 4, 245-249. Begum B.A., Hopke, P.K., Markwitz, A., 2013. Air pollution by fine particulate matter in Bangladesh. Atmospheric Pollution Res. 4, 75-86. Waheed S., Siddique S.N., Arif M., Daud M., Markwitz A., 2012. Size-fractionated airborne particulate matter characterization of a residential area near Islamabad airport by IBA methods. J. of Radioanalytical and Nucl. Chem. 293, 279-287. Hopke P.K. et al, 2011. Urban air quality in the Asian region. Science of the Total Env. 409, 4140-4140. 141 SPECIAL SESSION AIR QUALITY FORECASTING AND EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS 142 DO AIR QUALITY INFORMATION, FORECASTING AND EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS REACH VULNERABLE TARGET GROUPS? M. Capellaro (1), D. Sturm (2), U. Reis (3) and H.-G. Mücke (4) (1) Marcus Capellaro - Konzeption & Evaluation kommunikativer Maßnahmen, Steilshooper Str. 211, 22307 Hamburg, Germany; (2) HBF – Unabhängiges Institut für hausärztliche Bildung und Forschung Dr. Sturm GmbH, Richterweg 29b, 09125 Chemnitz, Germany; (3) Kantar Health GmbH, Landsbergerstr. 284, 80687 München, Germany; (4) Umweltbundesamt/UBA, Dept. of Environmental Hygiene, Corrensplatz 1, 14195 Berlin, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary How do we approach vulnerable population groups, which suffer from environmental burden, for example extreme air pollution events, and how can we improve their individual resilience as well as their adaptation capacity? Do we reach these groups of people at all? To answer these questions, we recently started a two years research investigation (2012-2014) to evaluate existing air quality and climate change associated information systems (for tropospheric ozone, solar UV radiation, pollen and heat) in Germany. Hence, a first German-wide representative telephone survey among 4,000 residents has been carried out during late summer 2013 in cooperation with local physicians. The project results should give guidance to improve the public’s understanding of published information and to modify current communication ways and concepts. Background For more than a decade air quality forecasting and early warning systems have been established in Germany. Their aim is to inform the general population and vulnerable groups (e.g. elderly, one-person household) on the current and predicted situation to prevent health damages by better individual adaptation. Recently these systems were expanded by the heat health warning system. From environmental health viewpoint it is of utmost interest to know if, when and how the information reaches the people. Important is also, whether the information is sufficient and understandable. For effective adaptation people need adequate information. Due to the fact that information about the reception of the air quality information systems already existing is missing, the Ministry for the Environment (BMU) and the Federal Environment Agency (UBA) launched in 2012 a research investigation to evaluate selected information systems in Germany: (1) tropospheric ozone forecasting, (2) solar UV radiation index, (3) pollen forecasting, and (4) heat health warnings. The project also aims at optimizing current communication strategies and concepts. Methodology and first results The study investigation has started with a baseline search on established information channels, multipliers and applied measures and scientific studies. In an additional unrepresentative pre-test survey among representatives (n=77) of the national, state and local German public health sector the usefulness and relevance of air quality information and warning systems has been estimated in spring 2013. Strong or some benefit is expected by the majority of asked representatives (75 % heat health warnings, 67 % solar UV radiation index, 56 % tropospheric ozone forecasting and 44 % pollen flight information). The rest of the respondents anticipate “no effect” or does not know. No public health body expects any harmful unintended effects of air quality warnings. Following the reflections to the pre-test study, one main project module is a representative telephone survey of the general German population (20 minute interviews of up to 4,000 German residents, aged 14 years and older; about 250 per Federal State), which was has been carried out during late summer 2013. The questionnaire used for the survey was pretested to assure understanding. A further project module will investigate the knowledge of local physicians/medical practitioners about air quality information and warning systems and their access to it. This part is supported by both National and Regional Associations of Statutory Health Physicians. First analyses and results of both survey modules are expected by the end of 2013, and will be presented at Air Quality 2014. Conclusion To prevent public health damages and to strengthen individual health resilience of the population it seems to be essential to adapt an approved strategy appropriate to cope with (extreme) events of air pollution and changes of human bioclimate. Acknowledgement As part of the National Environment Research Programme the study is financially granted by the German Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (UFOPLAN2012; FKZ 371262207). The two years project is conducted by the consortium M. Capellaro and partners in co-operation with the Federal Environment Agency (UBA). References Sperk C. and Mücke H.-G., 2009 Klimawandel und Gesundheit: Informations- und Überwachungssysteme in Deutschland. ‚Umwelt & Gesundheit‘, 03/2009, ISSN 1862-4340. Hrsg. Umweltbundesamt, Dessau-Roßlau, Germany. 143 IMPROVING AIR QUALITY MODELING FORECASTING SYSTEMS BY USING ON-LINE WILD LAND FIRE FORECASTING TOOLS: AN APPLICATION OF WRF/CHEM/FIRE MODEL OVER EUROPE R. San José (1), J. L. Pérez (1), R. M. González (2) , J. Pecci (3) and M. Palacios (3) (1) Environmental Software and Modelling Group, Computer Science School, Technical University of Madrid, Campus de Montegancedo, Boadilla del Monte, 28660 Madrid, Spain. (2) Department of Meteorology and Geophysics, Faculty of Physics, Ciudad Universitaria, 28040 Madrid, Spain. (3) Indra S.A., C/ Mar Egeo, 4, Pol. Industrial 1, 28830 San Fernando de Henares, Madrid (Spain) Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This paper presents how to estimate wildfire emissions in on-line mode into the regional air quality model WRF/Chem. The developed system links the mesoescale air quality and meteorological model WRF/Chem, with the fire model Sfire and remote sensing data (MODIS fire products) to know the ignition point and date for each fire. WRF-Fire was employed to simulate the spread and behaviour of the real fires occurred. The system has been applied for one week, in July 2010 for Europe. All fires have been simulated from the starting and ignition point derived from MODIS data with 20 meters resolution. On-line emissions have been aggregated to the European domain with 23 Km grid as input to the WRF/Chem model every time step. Results from the simulations with and without simulated fire emissions have been compared with air quality data from the Airbase datasets. Introduction Emissions from wildland fires remain one of the largest uncertainties from modelling pollution. Obtaining detailed and accurate emissions data for forest fires for application in air quality simulations is especially difficult. Hourly emissions are required, so fires behaviour have to be known every hour. In order to predict emissions from forest fires, it is first necessary to estimate fires behaviour, including date and time that the fire ignition starts, fire spread contours and fire end time for all fires above a selected size criterion based on the final burnt area observed from a satellite. Wildland fire spread and behavior are complex phenomena due to both the number of involved physical and chemical factors, and the nonlinear relationship between variables. After fire activity, data are collected, this information plus fuel information are combined with appropriate emission factors to predict the emissions. There are several other satellite-based methods that estimate biomass burning emissions for air quality applications but these techniques are limited to provide the final total emission based on the final burnt area. The tool presented in this paper differs from those other techniques since we are using a fire behaviour model to know the fire evolution (contours) every hour. We are using satellite information to set the ignition point and start date. The fire model provides enough information to refine the spatial and temporal characterization of biomass burning emissions. Methodology and Results The global monthly fire location product (MCD14ML) contains the geographic coordinates of individual fire pixels (1 km spatial resolution approx.) for all Terra and Aqua MODIS fire pixels in a single monthly ASCII file. The MODIS active fire product detects fires that are burning at the time of overpass using infrared data. The burnt area product (MCD45A1) contains the date (day) of burning with 500 m spatial resolution. The first step was to identify the start date and ignition point for each fire event. For that purpose the active-fires and burnt areas data sets were combined and matched. The core of the system is the WRF-Fire model, which is a two-way coupled fire atmospheric model. It provides forecasts of the fire spread based on the local meteorological conditions, taking into account the feedback between the fire and the atmosphere. The fire model is also coupled with WRF-, so the smoke emitted from the fire is added at the location of the simulated fire and transported within the atmosphere, and undergoes chemical reactions resolved by WRF-Chem. Coupling with WRF-Chem is implemented by inserting the smoke intensity and air pollution emissions in the WRF-Chem arrays at the ground layer. The amount of the chemical species released into the atmosphere is computed from the amount of fuel burnt directly by emissions, table (g/kg fuel or mol/kg fuel for each of the 13 Anderson´s fuel categories used). Emissions are computed at the fire model resolution (in this experiment 20 meters) and aggregated to the 23 km European spatial resolution model. The fire simulation is only active when a 23 Km grid cell contains a fire ignition point. A new Fuel Moisture Content (FMC) model has been developed and integrated into the WRF-Chem-Fire system. The new module allows each time step to calculate the fuel moisture content of the dead (1hr, 10hr, and 100hr) and live fuels The tool presented in this study was applied to the European fires in one week period of July 2010. We have run the model over the European domain with and without fire emissions (calculated as presented in this work). The selected domain covers all Europe with 279 by 225 grid cells and 33 vertical levels. Conclusions The combined use of satellite derived burnt perimeters, active-fires and fire model provide a realistic picture of the complex spatial temporal distribution of wild land fires. The use of satellite data within the fire behaviour model provides valuable information to improve the forecasting forest fire emissions. The methodology presented in this work can be applied to any region of the globe. We demonstrate with a case study how this system can be a useful approach for improving air quality model predictions when extremely limited information is available. In this work we need only a start point and date. 144 LOTOS-EUROS CONTRIBUTION TO MACC-II-REANALYSIS-2011 TO ASSESS THE AIR QUALITY OF EUROPE U. Kumar1, A. Segers2, R. L. Curier2, R. Timmermans2, H. Eskes1 1. KNMI-Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, The Netherlands 2. TNO, Climate Air and Sustainabilty Unit, The Netherlands Summary: One year reanalysis of regional air quality data of Europe for the year 2011 was constructed using the chemical transport model LOTOS-EUROS as part of the regional cluster of “Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate (MACC) – II” project. The model was run at (0.5o x 0.25o) resolution. The reanalysis provides for the surface as well as column analyzed fields for the air pollutants O3, NO2 ,PM10 and PM2.5. The surface observations of O3, PM10 and PM2.5 from AIRBASE stations and the satellite observations of OMI NO2 were assimilated into the model using the Ensemble Kalman Filter technique. The assimilation of O3, PM10, PM2.5 and OMI NO2 were carried out simultaneously. The comparison of model, assimilated and the observations reveal that the assimilated O3 concentrations are closer to observations than the model for all the three categories of stations. The PM10 assimilation has its impact to move assimilated PM10 concentrations closer to the observed, however, the peaks of PM10 episodes are not captured well but the trends are indeed captured. The simultaneous assimilation of all the four pollutants also provide an opportunity to look if this has any adverse impact on the pollutants output, however, in this experiment rather favorable impact has been observed. Introduction: The importance of air quality forecasts is increasingly being recognized and various air quality models are being used for this purpose. However, due to nonlinearly coupled equations, it is almost inevitable to use observations into the model by data assimilation technique not only in order to make good forecasts but also to create reanlaysis. The present work is part of MACC-II Regional cluster (EVA) project. LOTOS-EUROS is one among seven air quality models that contribute to this cause. The present study is focussed to create the air quality reanalysis data for the year 2011 using LOTOS-EUROS and the data assimilation technique Ensemble Kalman Filter. Methodology In this study, the LOTOS-EUROS v1.9 (Segers, 2013) in association with Ensemble Kalman filter has been used to create the 2011 reanalysis for the Europe by assimilating AIRBASE surface observations O3, NO2 ,PM10 and PM2.5.and satellite OMI NO2 data. About 1/3th of the total surface observation stations for each pollutant were kept for the validations. The three categories of observation stations (background-rural, background urban and background suburban) were assimilated in the model. The assimilation of O3, PM10, PM2.5 and OMI NO2 were carried out simultaneously. The assimilation system used in this study is well described in Curier et al, 2012. An ensemble of 12 members is used and each member is created by applying random noise to emissions and the boundary conditions. The noise factors are assumed to follow a normal distribution with a mean of 1 and a standard deviation of 0.5. Results and Conclusion The correlation for assimilated O3 concentration has increased by a factor about 10-15% and RMSE has decreased by a factor of about 15-20%, though at some stations it has increased too. This works well both in the summer as well as winter season. The PM10 is known to be normally underestimated by chemical transport models, hence, assimilation of surface observations is expected to benefit the results. The correlation has increased from about 0.3-0.4 to 0.6-0.65 at some stations, though at few other stations it has remained the same. RMSE has slightly decreased. These results are valid both for the summer as well as winter season. Similar assimilation impact on PM2.5 concentrations are also observed. The surface assimilated NO2 concentrations were observed to be underestimated Fig : Time series of observed, model and assimilate O3 (July), NO2, for many of the stations though for some other PM10 and PM2.5(Dec) rural/suburban background stations it does capture the peak episodes, especially, during the winter. The simultaneous assimilation of surface O3, PM10, PM2.5 and OMI NO2 has no adverse impacts rather each pollutant concentration output has significantly improved in one single assimilation run. Acknowledgement This work is supported by MACC-II project funded by European Community's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7 THEME [SPA.2011.1.5-02]) under grant agreement n° 283576. References: Curier, R. L., Timmermans, R., Calabretta-Jongen, S., Eskes, H., Segers, a., Swart, D., & Schaap, M. (2012). Improving ozone forecasts over Europe by synergistic use of the LOTOS-EUROS chemical transport model and in-situ measurements. Atmospheric Environment, 60, 217226. Elsevier Ltd. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2012.06.017 Segers, A., 2013. LOTOS EUROS v1.9.000 user guide. http://www.lotos-euros.nl/doc/LOTOS-EUROS-v19-user-guide.pdf 145 AIR QUALITY FORECASTING AND INFORMATION TOWARDS PUBLIC DEMONSTRATED IN WUHAN, HUBEI PROVINCE, CHINA L. Liu (1), C. Hak (1), N. Chen (2) (1) Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU), Instituttveien 18, PO Box 100, 2027 Kjeller, Norway (2) Hubei Environmental Monitoring Center (HBEMC), Bayi Road 338, Hongshan District, Wuhan, Hubei province, China Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary “Hubei air quality information and early warning system, complementing Hubei “1+8” city cluster haze monitoring project” (Hubei-AQ.info) is an EU funded ongoing project in China. The project is aiming to establish an air quality (AQ) information system to make air quality (concentrations and Air Quality Index), both for present and for the near future (48-72 hours), accessible to the public. The project will establish an AQ information system for Wuhan and its surrounding cities, so called “1+8” city cluster (Figure), and the air quality forecasting system will be made for Wuhan only. The established system can be expanded to other cities in Hubei with the same methodology provided that emission data are collected in these cities. Introduction People in China have been suffering from severe air quality problems in many areas. The air quality problem has been recognised by the Chinese government and many measures are taken to understand the present situation, to reduce the emission, and to prevent impact on human health and ecosystem. The public also has strong desire for more air quality information, especially for people living in cities. Air quality forecasting became an important demand by the public to the government. Among all air quality issues, the “haze” problem has become an increasing public concern in China and in Hubei. Several events with extremely high particle concentrations have been experienced in Wuhan in 2012, more studies are needed to identify sources, conditions, to predict and to provide warning to the public to reduce the impact on human health. These tasks are addressed by the project Hubei-AQ,info with the objective of developing AQ forecasting and providing forecasting results to the public in Wuhan. Methodology and Results The project is carried out by applying the integrated AQ management and information system, AirQUIS, developed by NILU. The AirQUIS system contains four modules, including a GIS module, a measurement module, an emission module and a modelling module. The forecasting system is a comprehensive multi-scale modelling system (right-hand panel of the figure below). A similar system has been applied in Oslo as an operational AQ forecasting system. Expected results are: 1. Establish an integrated AQ monitoring database and emission inventory for the 9 cities. 2. Develop a demonstration case for Wuhan to provide early warning to the public for prediction of pollution episodes. 3. Provide more AQ information based on the desire for sufficient AQ information of the public. 4. Training and capacity building. Conclusions The project complements the large ongoing infrastructure-building and monitoring project “Hubei “1+8” city cluster haze monitoring” in Hubei, and will substantially extend its capacity and range of achievements. The developed methodology for air quality forecasting will build up an emission inventory applying both top-down and bottom-up approach, and the knowledge of the methodology, model tools and database that is applied the project will be transferred to the local partner. The local government will for the first time provide AQ forecasting to public in Wuhan, and apply the tools and knowledge to expand it to other cities in Hubei province. Acknowledgement This work is supported by EuropeAid, EU-China environmental Government Programme (EGP). 146 SPECIAL SESSION LOCAL AND REGIONAL AIR QUALITY SERVICES 147 THE PASODOBLE AIRSHEDS - BRIDGING THE GAP BETWEEN THE COPERNICUS ATMOSPHERIC SERVICE AND LOCAL FORECASTING SERVICES R. Timmermans (1), D. Balis (2), H. Elbern (3), T. Erbertseder (4), H. Eskes (5), E. Friese (3), C. Hendriks (1), E. Katagrou (2), R. Kouznetsov (6),U. Kumar (5), O. Lesne (7), A. Poupkou (2), M. de Ruyter de Wildt (5), M. Schaap (1), A. Segers (1), M. Sofiev (6), and C. Talbot (7) (1) Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research (TNO), Utrecht, The Netherlands; (2) Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece; (3) Rheinisches Institute für Umweltforschung an der Universität zu Köln (RIUUK), Köln, Germany; (4) Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany; (5) Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), de Bilt, The Netherlands; (6) Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Helsinki, Finland; (7) ACRI-ST, Sophia-Antipolis, France Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary To bridge the gap between the high-resolution local/urban air quality forecasting services developed with the EU project PASODOBLE and the lower resolution services on the European scale provided by the Copernicus Atmosphere Service (MACC-II), five operational systems have been set up. These provide air quality forecasts of a.o. PM, O3 and NO2 at an intermediate resolution of approximately 6 km for different regions over Europe, the so-called airsheds. The systems are developed by five different teams using different chemistry transport models driven by the boundary conditions from the European scale MACC core service air quality forecasts. The airsheds forecasts are subsequently used as boundary conditions and initialization for local/urban scale services defined within the PASODOBLE project. But also new services are able to use the airsheds forecasts. This is one of the important advantages of PASODOBLE: a generic and harmonized infrastructure allowing easy application of new services. Introduction Within the frame of the European Earth Observation Programme Copernicus, PASODOBLE has considerably improved information and tools on air quality in more than 30 regions and cities throughout Europe. This has been achieved through the development of local services in close interaction with users. Local/urban services which provide air quality forecasts at high resolution (of 1-2 km) do rely on larger scale models with a lower resolution for the provision of background pollutant concentrations. To bridge the gap between the local high resolution services and the lower resolution core service from the EU MACC II project on the European scale, five operational systems (so-called airsheds) have been set-up. Methodology and Results The location of the five airsheds have been defined in such a way that they cover most of the downstream services developed within the PASODOBLE project (see Figure 1): Central, Western and Southern Europe (~3W-20E; 41-59N). Central and Southern Europe (4-18E; 41-51N). Northern Europe (4-33E; 54-71N). South-East Europe (~13E-30E; 35N-48N). Joint airshed (2W-30E; 35-62N). The nesting within the MACC ensemble service, which provides forecasts for 6 species on a limited number of levels, has been evaluated. Results show that the set of required boundary species depends on airshed location, airshed size, the used model and it’s chemistry scheme, the species that is computed, and possibly also the time of the year (de Ruyter de Wildt et al., 2012). In the final operational set-up two airsheds are using the MACC ensemble data in combination with one of the ensemble models for missing species. The other three airsheds use data from one of the ensemble models or from the global MACC product (Mozart) as the MACC European forecasts coverage was not sufficient. Conclusion The five air quality forecast services at an intermediate resolution of 6-7 km have been made available within the PASODOBLE project for use by local/urban forecasting models over Europe. Some of these airsheds forecasts will remain available after the project depending on availability of resources and users. Fig.1 Location of 5 airsheds (white boxes) overlapping most of the PASODOBLE services Fig.2 Ozone forecast example by the joint airshed. Acknowledgement This research was funded by EU FP7 project PASODOBLE. References De Ruyter de Wildt M.S., Eskes H., Timmermans R., Sofiev M., Prank M., Vira J., Erbertseder T., 2012, Report on Common standards and interfaces for nesting of air quality models, PASODOBLE report, D_IC-AIRSHEDS_2.1. 148 SATELLITE BASED MAPPING OF PARTICULATE MATTER M. Kosmale, D. Martynenko, T. Holzer-Popp Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Oberpfaffenhofen, 82234 Wessling, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary SYNAER, a DLR developed retrieval technique for aerosol optical depth and aerosol composition from satellite measurements, enables the differentiation of natural and anthropogenic particulate matter contributions. PASODOBLE1 introduced satellite-based information as complementary source for supporting compliance monitoring of particulate matter. Introduction The EU air quality directive 2008/50/EC permits only 35 exceedances of daily mean PM10 above 50μg/m3 per station per year to safeguard the population from adverse health effects. The directive allows the subtraction of exceedances caused by natural origin. It was the goal of this dedicated PASODOBLE service to demonstrate support to compliance monitoring by satellites with their comprehensive view on a region as complementary tool to in-situ measurements for regional authorities. Individual satellite-based PM2.5 observations typically show errors of 30% and reach correlations up to 0.6 with root mean square error (RMSE) up to 10µg/m3. This uncertainty is inherent to all methods, which convert aerosol optical depth (AOD) into PM with the most critical unknowns being vertical profile shape, varying aerosol properties and horizontal smoothing in large satellite pixels versus in-situ observations2. Methodology and Results A synergetic method (SYNAER3,4) developed at DLR for a radiometer spectrometer combination on board polar orbiting satellites such as ENVISAT and MetOp allows the retrieval of aerosol optical depth (AOD) and aerosol composition, which serves as basis for deriving PM. Information on aerosol type in SYNAER tackles one of the critical issues lined out above, so that the method can be applied all over Europe without any need for local tuning. To overcome the latter aspect of large satellite pixels, the product of choice is mapping annual mean PM values under the assumption of a well-mixed boundary layer. The aerosol type offers the innovative possibility to produce maps of so-called “local PM”, after subtracting coarse mode aerosols like sea salt and mineral dust from the total particulate matter load. Satellite-based PM results are dependent on the underlying AOD retrieval: Limited temporal coverage and individual pixel AOD uncertainties determine the quality of the annual mean PM maps. The transition of SYNAER from ENVISAT to MetOp (with much better temporal coverage) and their radiometer/spectrometer instruments AATSR/SCIAMACHY to AVHRR/GOME-2 showed the need for extra efforts to adapt the parameterization of surface brightness to broader radiometer channels. Annual mean maps of PM2.5 and PM10 together with “local PM10” were produced from ENVISAT and METOP covering entire Europe and selected regions such as Northrhine-Westphalia and the Po basin. The data were validated against annual mean PM concentrations calculated from in-situ measurements of ambient air operated by LANUV (Environmental Agency of Northrhine-Westphalia) and EMEP (European Monitoring and Evaluation Programme). This satellite derived product is unique for air quality monitoring according to the core user LANUV and could become valuable complementary information for regional authorities all over Europe. This however, depends on the evolution of the European air quality directives and the threshold levels and margins therein. With an RMSE of 5µg/m3 against rural LANUV stations the annual METOP product shows a better performance than individual satellite PM pixels. It must be noted that validation is difficult due to limited station representatives for the satellite pixel size (60x30 km2), as well as the matching of a satellite snapshot around 10:30 local time with daily mean in situ data. Conclusions This work showed the possibility for customizing satellite-based measurements of aerosol optical depth for a user specific application on particulate matter. The calculations were implemented as post-processing to the aerosol retrieval from satellite data, and were validated against in-situ measurements at ground level. As complementary information to ambient air monitoring stations, SYNAER’s specific retrieval of aerosol type allows deduction of natural sources of aerosol, and monitoring particulate matter in compliance with duties of environmental authorities. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the European Commission within 7th framework. References 1. Erbertseder, T. and the PASODOBLE consortium: Take a deep breath with Myair Services - Window on GMES, p.4451, 2012, available from: http://copernicus4regions.eu/publications/window-on-copernicus-en/at_download/file 2. Hoff Raymond M., Christopher Sundar A., 2009. Remote Sensing of Particulate Pollution from Space: Have we reached the promised Land? Air & Waste Management, 59, 645-675. 3. Holzer-Popp T., 2002. Monitoring of aerosol properties from space for air quality studies, Air Pollution X, WIT Press, 423-433. 4. Holzer-Popp T., Schroedter-Homscheidt, M., Breitkreuz, H., Klüser, L., Martynenko, D., 2008. Improvements of synergetic aerosol retrieval for ENVISAT, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 8, 7651-7672. 149 AN INTEGRATED PLUME RISE MODEL FOR WILD-LAND FIRES J. Kukkonen (1), J. Nikmo (1), M. Sofiev (1), K. Riikonen (1), T. Petäjä (2), A. Virkkula (1,2), J. Levula (3), S. Schobesberger (2) and D. M. Webber (4) (1) Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palménin aukio 1, FI-00101, Helsinki, Finland; (2) Department of Physics, University of Helsinki, FI-00014, Helsinki, Finland; (3) Hyytiälä Forestry Field Station, University of Helsinki, FI-35500, Korkeakoski, Finland; (4) Integral Science and Software Ltd, 484 Warrington Rd., Culcheth, Warrington WA3 5RA, UK Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary A crucial near-fire process for dispersion from wild-land fires is the initial plume rise that determines the injection height of the fire plume. We have presented an overview of a mathematical model, called BUOYANT, the original version of which was described by Martin et al. (1997) and Kukkonen et al. (2000). The model addresses the variations of the cross-plume integrated properties of a buoyant plume in the presence of a vertically varying atmosphere. The model also includes a treatment for a rising buoyant plume interacting with an inversion layer. We have compared the model predictions with the data of two prescribed wild-land fire experiments. These are the “Smoke, Clouds and Radiation – California” experiment, SCAR-C, in Quinault in the U.S. in 1994 and an experiment in Hyytiälä in Finland in 2009 (Virkkula et al., 2013). Comparison of the model predictions with these data provided more confidence that the BUOYANT model can be used to fairly good accuracy for evaluating the dispersion from wild-land fires. Introduction Pollutant plumes from wild-land fires may cause substantial health effects to populations. The pollutants may be transported to the upper part of the atmospheric boundary layer, to the free troposphere and in some cases even to the stratosphere. Methodology and Results For the SCAR-C experiment in Quinault (U.S.) in 1994, the predicted vertical extents of the plume at maximum plume rise were between 500–800 m and 200–700 m, using two alternative meteorological datasets. The corresponding observed injection heights of the aerosol particles measured using an airborne LIDAR ranged from 250 and 600 m. For the prescribed burning experiment in Hyytiälä (Finland) in 2009, the model predictions were compared with plume elevations and diameters, determined based on particulate matter number concentration measurements on board an aeroplane. The agreement of modelled and measured results was good, provided that one assumes the measured maximum convective heat fluxes as input data for the model. Conclusions The results demonstrate that in field experiments on wild-land fires, there are substantial uncertainties in estimating both (i) the source terms for the atmospheric dispersion computations, and (ii) the relevant vertical meteorological profiles. The results provide more confidence that cross-plume integrated mathematical models, such as the BUOYANT model, could be used with a fairly good accuracy for evaluating the dispersion from major wild-land fires. Fig. 1. The predicted altitudes of fire plumes as a function of downwind distance, compared with aircraft-based measured particle number concentrations (grey and black dots, corresponding to two ranges of concentrations) for the Hyytiälä prescribed burning experiment. Two modelling options were used (cases 1 and 2). Acknowledgement We wish to thank Jörg Trentmann (Deutscher Wetterdienst) for the availability of the measured aeroplane data, and support of the EU-funded projects PEGASOS and PASODOBLE, the Academy of Finland project ASTREX, and the Fire Protection Fund in Finland. References Kukkonen, J. et al., 2000. Dispersion from strongly buoyant sources. In: Gryning, S.-E. and Batchvarova, E. (eds.), Air Pollution Modeling and its Application XIII, Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers, pp. 539-547. Martin D. et al., 1997. Near- and intermediate-field dispersion from strongly buoyant sources, AEA Technology Report AEAT/1388, Warrington, 277 pp. Virkkula A. et al., 2013. Overview of a prescribed burning experiment within a boreal forest in Finland, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 13, 21703-21763, 2013. 150 ON THE IMPACT OF AIR QUALITY ON HUMAN HEALTH: APPLICATION OF AN AIR QUALITY INDEX FOR THESSALONIKI, GREECE Th. Giannaros (1), P. Siropoulou (1), A. Poupkou (1), S. Dimopoulos (1), D. Melas (1) and D. Balis (1) (1) Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, 54 124, Greece Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In this study, we present the implementation and evaluation of an advanced air quality index for the coastal Mediterranean city of Thessaloniki, Greece. The selected index, namely the Aggregate Risk Index (ARI), was integrated into an operational air quality forecasting system, comprised of the meso-scale meteorological WRF model and the air quality CAMx model. Results from the operational implementation of the coupled WRF/CAMx modelling system for a six-month period in the year 2012 were used for evaluating the respective ARI estimates. The evaluation process was carried out using health data provided by a major hospital in the greater Thessaloniki area. Several different scenarios were investigated in order to verify the presence of any correlation between the predicted ARI values and the number of either hospital admissions or examined patients. This analysis revealed the existence of a time lag between the ARI forecasts and health data. In particular, it was found that the health data of the current day correlate better with the simulated daily maximum ARI values of the previous two to three days. This study suggests that ARI is a promising tool for assessing the impact of air quality on human health. Introduction Extensive research over the past decade has shown that exposure to air pollutants is strongly connected to health endpoints such as increased hospital admissions for respiratory and/or cardiovascular diseases, and mortality. Further, there is a profound relation between human health and well being from the one side and air pollution levels from the other. Therefore, it is not surprising that the impact of deteriorated air quality on human health has become a critical component in relevant policy discussions. Taking this into consideration, we implemented an advanced air quality index as part of an operational air quality forecasting system. The goal of this study is to evaluate the suitability of the selected index as a tool for assessing the impact of air quality conditions on human health. Methodology and Results The air quality modelling system employed consists of the meteorological WRF model off-line coupled with the photochemical air quality CAMx model (see Fig. 1). The air quality index integrated into the WRF/CAMx modelling system is ARI, described in detail in Sicard et al. (2011). The modelling system was implemented operationally over a high resolution (2 km) domain, focused on the city of Thessaloniki, during a six-month period spanning January through June 2012. Domain-averaged values of the predicted daily maximum, minimum and mean ARI, classified per targeted pathology, were compared to health data acquired from the “Georgios Papanikolaou” General Hospital of Thessaloniki. The conducted analysis focused on examining potential associations between the predicted ARI values and the health data. At a first stage, the health data of the current day were contrasted to the forecasted ARI data for the same day, revealing the absence of any statistically significant correlation. At a second stage, Fig.1 Flow chart of the WRF/CAMx modelling the health data of the current day were compared against the modeled system. ARI data of the previous N days. This particular time lag scenario revealed the existence of statistically significant correlations between ARI and the health endpoints represented by the provided medical data. It was found that the forecasted daily maximum ARI of the previous 2-3 days correlates with the hospital admissions of the current day. For instance, the correlation coefficient between the daily maximum value of ARI of the previous 2 days and daily hospital admissions for cardiac diseases was found to equal 0.40 (statistically significant at the α=0.05 level). Similar results were also obtained for other pathologies, such as for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. Conclusions The current study has shown that ARI can be exploited as a tool for assessing the impact of deteriorated air quality on human health. The conducted preliminary analysis revealed that forecasts of this particular index might be of great usefulness to authorities involved in the health sector. Acknowledgement This work was funded by FP7-PASODOBLE (Contract No.: 241557). Model simulations have been conducted using the EGI and HellasGrid infrastructures and support has been provided by the Scientific Computing Centre of A.U.Th. References Sicard P., Lesne O., Alexandre N., Mangin A., Collomp R., 2011. Air quality trends and potential health effects – Development of an aggregate risk index. Atmos. Environ. 45, 1145-1153. 151 AIR QUALITY FORECASTS FOR THE BLACK FOREST REGION C. C. Bergemann (1), T. Erbertseder (1) (1) Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Rural areas may still be strongly influenced by anthropogenic air pollution from sources located in neighbouring urban or industrial areas. For the modeller, simulating regions away from the emissions poses additional complexities as the uncertainty caused by largely unknown emission rates is further increased by longer transport pathways through complex terrain. Besides adding complexity to the transport process, in mountainous areas a single model grid cell covers a large range of terrain heights leading to large subgrid variability asking to be addressed. Within this work, we present the POLYPHEMUS/DLR air quality model that is used for routine forecasts of air pollution for the Black Forest, Germany. Introduction Monitoring of atmospheric pollutants using in-situ observations by automatized instruments is routinely performed in the larger cities of Europe and at some more remote locations. These areas are often visited by people travelling there for the supposedly clean and healthy air. The touristic importance of rural areas asks for improved, i.e. reliable and area-wide air quality assessments. Without or only few observations at hand, this is best done using numerical chemical dispersion models. Furthermore, model forecasts can provide additional value for tourists, aiding them in their desire to spend a healthy holiday. Model description The POLYPHEMUS/DLR model (Bergemann and Baier, 2013) is based on the POLYPHEMUS air quality system (Mallet et al. 2007). Input meteorology is computed using the WRF-ARW model (Skamarock et al. 2008) with GFS input data. Within the Black Forest region, a resolution of 2km is achieved. Emissions are based on the inventory by TNO (Denier van der Gon et al., 2010) and are further downscaled using information about land cover, population density and road distribution. Even at high model resolutions, high mountains and steep valleys cause high subgrid variability within the orography. As a consequence, large deviations between model results and observations are detected at the mountain tops. A correction procedure has been implemented that allows diagnosing the resulting variability in trace gas concentrations. A reference simulation was performed for the year 2011. Observations from AirBase are used for model evaluation. Results Figure 5 shows the annual mean distribution of surface ozone as determined by POLYPHEMUS/DLR and the height correction procedure. We can clearly see the elevated ozone concentrations at the mountain tops. This is especially important, when the boundary layer drops below the mountain tops such as during inversion periods or at night. In this way the model is able to better reproduce station observations during such periods. Conclusion An operational forecasting system for the Black Forest has been developed. Forecast quality has been improved by accounting for subgrid variability of terrain height. Acknowledgements This work was supported by the European Commission in the framework of the project PASODOBLE. Figure 5: Average concentration of surface ozone through the year 2011 in the study region. References Bergemann, C.C., Baier, F., 2013. Particle filter based data assimilation into an air quality model. Submitted to Nonlin. Processes Geophys. Denier van der Gon H. A. C., Visschedijk A., van der Brugh H., Dröge R., 2010. A High Resolution European Emission Data Base for the Year 2005. Report TNO-034-UT-2010-01895_RPT-ML, TNO, Utrecht, 2010. Mallet V., Quélo D., Sportisse, B., Ahmed de Biasi M., Debry É., Korsakissok I., Wu L., Roustan Y., Sartelet K., Tombette M., Foudhil, H., 2007, Technical Note: The air quality modeling system Polyphemus. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 5(7), 1855-1877. Skamarock W. C., Klemp J. B., Dudhia J., Gill D. O., Barker D. M., Duda M. G., Huang X.-Y., Wang W., Powers J. G., 2008. A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 3. Technical Not TN-475+STR, NCAR. 152 AIRINFORM: DEVELOPMENT OF AIR QUALITY INFORMATION AND AWARENESS TOOLS FOR CHINESE CITIES N. Veldeman (1), L. Blyth (1), P. Viaene (1), B. Maiheu (1), S. van den Elshout (2), J. Hui (3), W. Shuying (3) (1) VITO, Boeretang 200, 2400 Mol, Belgium; (2) DCMR Environmental Protection Agency Rijnmond, PO Box 843, 3100AV Schiedam, the Netherlands; (3) LIBOVITO Environmental Technology Co. Ltd, 18 Zhong Guan Cun East Road, Hai Dian District, Beijing, China (100083) Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary With China’s fast economic development and the increasing expectations from the general public for a better living environment, ways to enhance public access to environmental information and environmental governance are pressing for the Chinese government at all levels. Especially in recent years, there has been significant criticism from the scientific community and general public regarding the fact that the air quality reported by the government has not seemed to be consistent with the actual state of the air quality. This presentation focuses on the implementation (including challenges thereof) of state-of-the-art web based air quality information systems such as those developed in Europe, that are improving the capabilities of local Chinese Environmental Protection Bureaus (EPBs) in assessing and providing reliable and timely air quality information to their citizens. Introduction AirINFORM is one of fifteen component 1 Partnership Projects taking part in the Environmental Governance Programme (EGP), which is a key priority of the EU-China environmental cooperation co-financed by the European Commission. The overall objective of the project is to improve air quality information and communication and awareness tools in pilot cities of China to enhance public access to environmental information and environmental governance. The pilot cities are Yangzhou, Taiyuan and Urumqi. Methodology and Results In 2012, a new Ambient Air-Quality Standard was released in China. This standard outlines a newly developed Air Quality Index (AQI) system which includes the pollutants PM2.5 and Ozone (O3). In AirINFORM we are undertaking a comprehensive review of this revised AQI scheme, comparing it with international AQIs, whilst also considering the newly regulated pollutant PM2.5. Alongside this, in close co-operation with our Chinese partners and local stakeholders, state-ofthe-art web-based atmospheric modelling tools, based on those in Europe, are being implemented in each of the pilot cities. Not only will these tools provide the air quality information needed to generate the AQI for each city, they will also provide valuable information to our pilot cities to assist them in assessing their air quality. Ensuring that they can provide timely and reliable air quality information to their citizens. During the stakeholder consultations, it was found that Near Real Time (NRT) Air Quality (AQ) information, rather as maps than as tables, and the preference for statistical forecasting models (rather than deterministic models) might be considered as the most important user requirements. Furthermore, the tools should help the pilot cities to provide air quality information to their citizens which cover both variability in time and space as well as providing alerts. It was therefore decided to build a framework (OPAQ) for operational NRT and statistical AQ predictions in an operational context, meaning that the tools provided within the framework can serve as the calculation kernels of any larger operational AQ service, both spatially (AQ maps) and temporally (NRT and forecasts). The OPAQ framework provides the functionality for AQ mapping via interpolation models and statistical forecasting models based on any number of techniques (neural networks, multiple regression, pattern matching etc…). The development of this AQ framework in the context of an EU-China capacity building project and the first results of the tools established in the pilot cities shall be demonstrated. Fig. 1 AQ information tool developed for Yangzhou, China Conclusions In early September 2013 China released its most stringent ‘Action Plan on Air’. The overall goal, is within 5 years to improve the overall air quality of the country and substantially reduce the days with heavy pollution. The primary focus is on the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta regions, where the AirINFORM pilot cities are located. It states further that the “central government shall disclose the list of ten cities with the best air quality and ten cities with worst air quality on a monthly basis”. This plan clearly emphasizes the relevance of projects such as AirINFORM, in helping Chinese cities to quantify and address the AQ problem in China. Acknowledgement AirINFORM is being funded by the European Commission as part of the EU-China Environmental Governance Programme (EGP, www.ecegp.com). 153 SILAM OERATIONAL FORECASTS AT THREDDS SERVER R. D. Kouznetsov, M. A. Sofiev, J. Vira, M. Prank, J. Soares, C. T. M. Silam Finnish Meteorological Institute, PL 503, 00101 Helsinki, Finland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Within the MACC and PASODOBLE projects the operational air-quality forecasting has been set up at FMI for three nested domains in Europe. The data are publicly available via interfaces provided by Unidata THREDDS server. The talk introduces the SILAM forecasting products and data interfaces to them, and discusses the applicability of OGC standards to operational forecasting data. SILAM AQ forecasts The operational air-quality forecasting has been set up at FMI for three domains: Europe, including Iceland, eastern Russia ans North of Africa (25W-45E,30N-74N; 0.15°x0.15°), driven by ECMWF meteorological model, Regional, including Scandinavia, Finland, and Baltic States, also covering parts of North-Western Russia, Poland and Germany (4E-33E; 54N-71N; 0.12°x0.07°), driven by Hirlam regional model HiRes, covering Gulf of Finland region (17.3E-31.25E, 57.5N-62.75N; 0.04°x0.022°), Driven by Arome model The simulations performed daily with TNO anthropogenic emission inventories and custom sources for volatile organic compounds, sea-salt and desert-dust aerosols. The European-domain forecast is performed within the MACC-II project and uses its standard setup and boundary conditions from Mozart model. Service availability and means of distribution The SILAM dissemination service uses Uniata THREDDS data server set up at http://silam.fmi.fi/thredds (Fig. 1). The server provides flexible interface to the data according to user demands. It can provide the data via several protocols including OpenDAP, NetCDFsubset and WCS. The NetCDF files with full output of model runs can be downloaded from the server with plain HTTP protocol. On the user request, the server can extract individual variables, for a subdomain or a geographic point, and/or needed time intervals. Along with the data interface, the server provides the maps and animations for the data. Maps and animations can be accessed either via Godiva2 web interface at the SILAM web site, or remotely via WMS protocol. There are several views on the operational forecast runs. Most used views are “Best timeseries” and “Forecast model run”. The “Best timeseries” view provides a tailored data set of forecasted fields with minimum available forecast times, combining available data into a single timeline. Individual forecasts and their subsets can be accessed with “Forecast model run” view. Besides that the server provides “Fixed forecast time” and “2D time” views. The latter allows for a uniform representation of the whole forecast chain. The service contains rolling archives of operational forecasts over three nested domains and provides access to hourly data on pollutant concentrations and depositions. Fig. 1 shows the input data flows for the FMI THREDDS setup. Figure. 1 FMI operational AQ forecast data served with thredds. Current Uses The FMI AQ forecasting service provides universal means to access the data of operational AQ information. Basic datasets outlined above are available directly from the Web site. Upon request, FMI also provides users with URL templates and/or simple scripts to extract the needed data. This significantly simplifies the dissemination procedure and eliminates the need of custom pre-processing to meet most of user demands. Currently, the setup is used to serve AQ-forecast data for PASODOBLE user interface, and boundary conditions for local-scale forecasts produced by NIMH Bulgaria, University of Tartu, and city of Vilnus. Acknowledgement EU FP7 MACC-II and PASODOBLE projects 154 INTERACTIVE WEBSITE FOR AIR QUALITY AT ADDRESS LEVEL IN DENMARK S. S. Jensen (1), M. Fuglsang (1), T. Becker (1), M. Ketzel (1), J. Brandt (1), M. Plejdrup (1), M. Winther (1), T. Ellermann (1), O. Hertel (1) (1) Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary We developed, tested and demonstrated an internet-based and interactive website for predicted air pollution at street level which gives all citizens an easy and quick opportunity to get information about air pollution levels anywhere in Denmark. The website also presents a brief popular interpretation of the data related to health risk together with a description of models and data used, as well as the uncertainty on the data presented. Introduction The public has a general interest to know how much air pollution is where they live, where they may move to, where they work or where their children go to school etc. Authorities also want to get information about air pollution at address level e.g. in relation to urban planning or complains in relation to air pollution. Methodology and Results Air quality calculations are carried out with a coupled model system consisting of a regional long-range transport model (DEHM) (Brandt et al. 2001), an urban background model (UBM) (Berkowicz 2000) and a street air quality model (OSPM) (www.au.dk/ospm) with associated meteorology and emissions data (SPREAD) (Plejdrup & Gyldenkærne, 2011), as well as the AirGIS system for generating input about traffic and street geometry for OSPM (Jensen et al. 2001;Ketzel et al. 2011). Calculations are presented for PM10, PM2.5 and NO2 as annual means for urban background concentrations and street concentrations for 2012 and 2020. An internet based interactive interface presents air quality data using open source WebGIS and background maps. The interface features GIS functions like navigate, zoom in and out, identify, and search for user specified postal addresses. Fig.1 Background concentrations visualised for Denmark Fig.2 Street concentrations visualised as dots at address level on background map Fig.3 Popup of street concentrations for a specific address (in Danish) Conclusions An internet-based and interactive website for air pollution at street level has been developed for Denmark based on webGIS. Acknowledgement Supported by DCE - Danish Centre for Environment and Energy, Aarhus University under a contract for 2012-13. References Berkowicz, R. 2000. A Simple Model for Urban Background Pollution. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Vol. 65, Issue 1/2, pp. 259-267. Brandt, J., Christensen, J.H., Frohn, L.M., Palmgren, F., Berkowicz, R., Zlatev, Z. 2001. Operational air pollution forecasts from European to local scale. Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 35, Sup. No. 1, pp. S91-S98, 2001. Jensen, S. S., Berkowicz, R., Hansen, H. S. and Hertel, O. 2001. A Danish decision-support GIS tool for management of urban air quality and human exposures. Transportation Research Part D-Transport and Environment 6, 229-241. Ketzel, M., Berkowicz, R., Hvidberg, H., Jensen, S.S., Raaschou-Nielsen, O. 2011. Evaluation of AirGIS - A GIS-Based Air Pollution And Human Exposure Modelling System. Int. J. of Environment and Pollution. Vol. 47, Nos. 1/2/3/4, 2011. Plejdrup, M.S. & Gyldenkærne, S. 2011: Spatial distribution of emissions to air – the SPREAD model. National Environmental Research Institute, Aarhus University, Denmark. 72 pp. – NERI Technical Report no. FR823. http://www.dmu.dk/Pub/FR823.pdf 155 THE COMBINED USE OF MEASUREMENT DATA AND MODEL RESULTS - THE DATA FUSION OF THE PESCADO PROJECT A. Karppinen (1), L. Johansson (1), J. Kukkonen (1), K. Karatzas (2), L. Wanner (3) (1) Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palménin aukio 1, FI-00101, Helsinki, Finland; (2)Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Dept. of Mechanical Engineering, Informatics Systems and Applications Group, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece. (3) Dept. of Information and Communication Technologies Pompeu Fabra University, Barcelona, Spain Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The PESCaDO system (Personal Environmental Service Configuration and Delivery Orchestration) is designed to receive environment related queries from end users, to discover reliable environmental data in the web, to process these data in order to convert them into knowledge and to use this knowledge for the provision of human-centered information. In this paper, we concentrate on the fusion methodology developed for PESCaDO and demonstrate how this approach could be utilized to overcome one of the major problems in air–quality assessment and modeling: optimizing the use of information originating from heterogeneous sources (measurements, models) operating in different temporal and spatial scales. Introduction The number of various freely accessible services providing environmental information is continuously increasing, the INSPIRE directive being one of the driving factors behind this rapid development in Europe. The challenge with this growing amount of available information is simply “information overload”: the amount of available information is beyond the capabilities of any single users to reliably assess and process to provide a simple and reliable answer to user-specific practical needs. Thus, there is a strong demand for automatic provision of accurate and reliable user need- and profile-tailored environmental information. The PESCaDO system is designed to solve the problem: to receive environment related queries from end users, to discover reliable environmental data in the web, to process these data in order to convert them into knowledge and to use this knowledge for the provision of human-centered information Methodology Studies in Human-Computer Interaction have shown that both the satisfaction of the users with an application and the objective performance of a service increases if the users can take an active role in the system. Based on this premise, we have built and demonstrated an interactive environmental information acquisition and generation framework, which has been realized in the FP7 project PESCaDO. The service involves the experts in four central tasks: (i) determination of criteria for the search of environmental nodes in the web; (ii) assessment of the relevance of the identified nodes; (iii) assessment of the quality of the data provided by the nodes, and (iv) selection of the content to be communicated to the user. In this paper, we focus on the sub-task of post-processing and fusion of the data into a coherent information corpus. By utilizing a novel fusion method based on statistical regression modeling, which uses as input environmental measurements data (e.g. meteorology, airquality), model results, land use masks and population density information, we are able to demonstrate that the service can provide its users reliable information e.g. about local air pollution in the form of highresolution concentration maps over urban and rural landscapes. We also present evaluation results of the system based on two different types of datasets on pollutant concentrations and ambient temperatures. Conclusions Although the fusion module is originally built as an integral part of the PESCaDO system with much wider scope and greater ambitions than just numerically fusing data from various sources, it has also already opened up new possibilities related to traditional air-quality modeling. One of the major challenges with air quality assessment and modeling has been the effective utilization of measurement data and model results in extremely varying temporal and spatial scales. This has been tackled, for instance with 2-way nesting of models, data-assimilation, empirical scaling coefficients, urban increments, land-use regression models and other semi empirical models – just to name a few proposed and demonstrated solutions. The methodology proposed and demonstrated in this paper, can be seen to offer an alternative, and a very general way out of the multitude of varying solutions currently implemented. Acknowledgement EU PESCaDO (FP7-ICT-249584) References Johansson, L.O., Karppinen, A. and Wanner, L. Fusion of environmental information for orchestrated services.Proceedings of the FUSION2013 conference. Istanbul, Turkey, July 2013. Karatzas, K. and Kukkonen, J., COST Action ES0602: Quality of life information services towards a sustainable society for the atmospheric environment, ISBN: 978-960-6706-20-2, Thessaloniki: Sofia Publishers, 2009. Wanner L., Vrochidis S., Rospocher M., Moßgraber J., Bosch H., Karppinen A., Myllynen M., Tonelli S., Bouayad-Agha N., Casamayor G., Ertl Th., Hilbring D., Johansson L., Karatzas K., Kompatsiaris I., Koskentalo T., Mille S., Moumtzidou A., Pianta E., Serafini L. and Tarvainen V. (2012), Personalized Environmental Service Orchestration for Quality Life Improvement, 8th IFIP WG 12.5 International Conference, AIAI 2012 Workshops, IFIP AICT 382 (L. Iliadis et al., eds), Proceedings, Springer, pp.351-360 156 SPECIAL SESSION TRANSPORT RELATED AIR POLLUTION SCIENCE AND IMPACTS 157 IMPACT OF EMISSIONS FROM INLANDS SHIPPING ON AIR QUALITY AND HEALTH IN THE NETHERLANDS M. P. Keuken (1), M. Moerman (1), S. Jonkers (1), J. Hulskotte (1) and G. Hoek (2) (1) Netherlands Organization for Applied Research (TNO), Utrecht, the Netherlands (2) Institute for Risk Assessment Sciences (IRAS), University of Utrecht, the Netherlands Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to quantify the contribution of inland shipping on the air quality of black carbon, expressed as elemental carbon (EC) near inland waterways in the Netherlands. Based on the concentration-response function for EC, the health impact on the population living near these waterways was estimated. Measurements of particle number concentrations and elemental carbon were performed to establish emission factors of EC for inland shipping. These emission factors were combined with data on the volume of inland shipping, the plume height of shipping exhaust plumes and meteorology. A line source model was applied to derive the contribution of inland shipping on the annual average EC concentration up to 200 m near waterways with intense inland water transport. In this area live 140 000 people in the Netherlands. The results showed that most of this population is exposed to additional EC concentrations in the order of 0.1 to 0.3 µg EC per m3. About 10% of this population is exposed up to 1 µg EC per m3 which may reduce their life expectancy up to 6 months. In view of the envisaged growth of water transport, there is urgent need for measures to reduce the soot emissions from inland shipping. Introduction The link between exposure to combustion or soot particles and adverse health effects has been established (e.g. WHO, 2012), 2012). Soot particles in ambient air may be characterized by the concentration of “ black or elemental” carbon. Inland shipping has three times lower CO2 emissions per ton transported goods compared to road transport. European transport policy is therefore directed at the increase of the volume of water transport the coming years. However, the emission standards for inland ships are still lagging far behind the strict standards for road traffic. In this study, the impact of inland shipping on air quality and health with emphasis on elemental carbon was estimated near waterways with intense water transport in the Netherlands. Methodology and Results On-line measurements of particle number concentrations and elemental carbon were employed near two waterways in the Netherlands alongside shipping monitoring and meteorological measurements. Emission factors for EC were established by inverse modelling. These factors were about 15 to 60% of PM10 emissions from inland shipping. This information was combined with data from the national emission inventory of PM10 emissions from inland shipping to estimate EC emissions from the water ways in the Netherlands. The modelled contribution of shipping emissions to annual average EC concentrations up to 200 m from the water ways were linked to the population density. The results showed that the additional exposure to EC was less than 0.1 µg/m3 EC for 60% of the population, in the range of 0.1-0.3 µg/m3 EC for 30% of the population and more than 0.3 µg/m3 EC for 10% of the population. Exposure up to 1 µg EC per m3 may reduce populations life expectancy up to 6 months. The largest health impact is envisaged for the population in river towns with residential areas along the waterway front. Conclusions Emission standards for shipping are still lagging far behind the strict standards for road transport. Shipping emissions contribute significantly to elemental carbon concentrations near water ways with intense water transport. This may have considerable local health impacts. In addition black carbon emission contributes to climate forcing as well The expected growth of water transport underlines the need for emission reduction measures in this sector. Figure 1: Additional EC (µg/m3) near water ways in the Netherlands Acknowledgement This work was supported by the Netherlands Ministry of Infrastructure and Environment. References WHO, 2012. Health Effects of Black Carbon. World Health Organization, Regional Office for Europe, Copenhagen, Denmark. http://www.euro.who.int/pubrequest. 158 AN IMPROVED MODEL FOR EVALUATING THE URBAN POPULATION EXPOSURE J. Soares (1), A. Kousa (1), J. Kukkonen (1), L. Matilainen (1), L. Kangas (1), M. Aarnio (1), M. Kauhaniemi (1), K. Riikonen (1), J.-P. Jalkanen (1), T. Rasila (1), O. Hänninen (3), T. Koskentalo (2) and A. Karppinen (1) (1) Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palmenin aukio 1, P.O.Box 503, FI-00101 Helsinki, Finland (2) Helsinki Region Environmental services Authority P.O.Box 521, FI-00521 Helsinki, Finland (3) National Institute for Health and Welfare, P.O.Box 95, 70701 Kuopio, Finland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study presents a substantially improved version of a previously developed mathematical model EXPAND (EXposure model for Particulate matter And Nitrogen oxiDes; Kousa et al., 2002). The model combines predicted concentrations, information on people’s activities and location of the population to evaluate the spatial and temporal variation of average exposure of a population in different microenvironments. Numerical results have been presented on the population exposures to PM2.5 in the Helsinki Metropolitan Area in 2008 and 2010. The results show the contributions to population exposure from long-range transport, urban vehicular traffic and shipping. The model could also be applied in other major cities worldwide, if the required model input data, such as activity and concentration data will be available. Introduction Most of the epidemiological studies have been conducted based on pollution concentrations (i) measured at fixed ambient air quality monitoring sites or (ii) predicted using land-use regression models. However, exposure in an urban area is known to vary substantially from one microenvironment to another, and it depends on the movements and time use of the population. Methodology and Results This paper describes a new model version that includes: (i) an improved treatment of the emissions and dispersion of both fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and respirable particulate matter (PM10), (ii) a detailed treatment of the time-use of population in various traffic modes, including cars and buses, trains, trams, metro, pedestrians and cyclists, (iii) an improved treatment of the infiltration coefficients from outdoor to indoor air, and (iv) a treatment of various population sub-groups. The revised model version can also be used to compute intake fractions for the available pollutants, and applied using several alternative coordinate systems. The highest total population exposures (originated from all sources and addressing the whole population in all microenvironments) to PM2.5 occurred in the centre of Helsinki, in regional population centres and along major traffic routes (Figure 1). The exposures at homes and at workplaces were higher than exposures while in traffic and in recreational activities, partly caused by the longer times spent at home and at work. The population exposure while in traffic varies temporally most significantly. The contribution of shipping emissions to the total population exposure can be up to 20% in the vicinity of the major harbour areas. Figure 1: The total exposure of population to PM2.5 originated from vehicular sources in the Helsinki Metropolitan Area in 2010 (µg/m3*people). Conclusions A substantially improved population exposure model is presented. The model was used to compute example results on the exposure of population to PM2.5 in 2008 and 2010. The highest total population exposures occurred in the centre of Helsinki, in some regional centres and along major traffic routes. The contribution of shipping emissions can be up to 20 % in the vicinity of the major harbour areas. The model can be used for evaluating source-category –specific population exposures separately in four selected microenvironments, for selected population subgroups. The model could also be applied in other major cities worldwide, if the required activity and concentration data will be available. Acknowledgements The study was supported by the EU-funded TRANSPHORM EU Contract FP7-ENV-2009-1-243406; and jointly funded by the European Regional Development Fund, Central Baltic INTERREG IV A Programme within the project SNOOP. References Kousa, A., Kukkonen, J., Karppinen, A., Aarnio, P. and Koskentalo, T., 2002. A model for evaluating the population exposure to ambient air pollution in an urban area. Atmos. Environ. 36, 2109-2119. Loh, Miranda M., Joana Soares, Ari Karppinen, Jaakko Kukkonen, Leena Kangas, Kari Riikonen, Anu Kousa, Arja Asikainen and Matti J. Jantunen, 2009. Intake fraction distributions for benzene from vehicles in the Helsinki metropolitan area. Atmos. Environ., 43, 301–310. 159 CAN THE PREDICTIONS OF ROAD DUST EMISSION MODELS BE DIRECTLY COMPARED WITH ON-SITE MOBILE MEASUREMENTS? M. Kauhaniemi (1), A. Stojiljkovic (2), L. Pirjola (3), A. Karppinen (1), J. Härkönen (1), K. Kupiainen (2), L. Kangas (1), M. A. Aarnio (1), G. Omstedt (4), B. R. Denby (5), J. Kukkonen (1) (1) Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Air Quality, P.O. Box 503, 00101 Helsinki, Finland; (2) Nordic Envicon Oy, Huopalahdentie 24, 00350 Helsinki, Finland; (3) Metropolia University of Applied Sciences, Department of Technology, P.O. Box 4021, 00180 Helsinki, Finland; (4) Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), 60176 Norrköping, Sweden; (5) The Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU), P.O. Box 100, 2027 Kjeller, Norway Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The predictions of two road dust suspension models were compared with the on-site mobile measurements of suspension emission factors. Such a quantitative comparison has not previously been reported in the reviewed literature. The models used were the Nordic collaboration model NORTRIP (NOn-exhaust Road TRaffic Induced Particle emissions, Denby and Sundvor, 2012) and the Swedish-Finnish FORE model (Forecasting Of Road dust Emissions, Kauhaniemi et al., 2011). An experimental measurement campaign was conducted using a mobile laboratory called SNIFFER (Pirjola et al., 2009), along two selected road segments in central Helsinki in 2007 and 2008. Both models reproduced the measured seasonal variation of suspension emission factors fairly well, during both years at both measurement sites. However, both models substantially under-predicted the values of the emission factors. The results indicate that road dust emission models can be directly compared with mobile measurements. However, more extensive and carefully planned experimental datasets in various climatic and street maintenance conditions will be needed in the future, for the evaluation of road dust emission models. Introduction Road suspension emission models have previously been evaluated either (i) by combining these with atmospheric dispersion models or (ii) using NOx concentration measurements and emissions as tracers, and subsequently comparing the predicted concentrations with measurements. However, using either of these methods is not totally satisfactory, as the evaluation method itself causes substantial additional uncertainties. The aim of this study was to evaluate, whether the predictions of road dust emission models could instead be evaluated more directly, by comparison with field-scale measurements. Methodology and Results The mobile laboratory SNIFFER was used to measure non-exhaust particle concentrations behind a tyre under real driving conditions. The instrumentation has been set in a Volkswagen diesel van. Both the FORE and NORTRIP models describe particulate matter generated by the wear of road surface due traction control methods and processes that control the suspension of road dust particles into the air. The predicted suspension emission factors for the whole traffic fleet were converted to suspension emission factors for a van. The measured hourly average suspension emission factor for van varies from 37 to 1860 µg/veh/m depending on the year and location. The corresponding modelled values varied from 4 to 893 µg/veh/m by NORTRIP model and from 7 to 759 µg/veh/m by FORE model. Conclusions The comparison of mobile measurements and model predictions showed an encouraging agreement regarding the seasonal variation of suspension emission factors. However, the model predictions were significantly lower than the measurements. One reason that causes uncertainty to the measured values is the modest temporal representativity of the mobile measurements. Despite the limitations of the experimental dataset, this study was able to provide for the first quantitative results on the comparability of these two key sources of information regarding suspension emissions. Acknowledgement We acknowledge the funding from the Nordic Council of Ministers (NORTRIP project), the European Community (TRANSPHORM and LIFE+ REDUST), and the Academy of Finland (APTA). References Denby, B.R., and Sundvor, I., 2012. In collaboration with: Johansson, C., Kauhaniemi, M., Härkönen, J., Kukkonen, J., Karppinen, A., Kangas, L., Omstedt, G., Ketzel, M., Pirjola, L., Norman, M., Gustafsson, M., Blomqvist, G., Bennet, C., Kupiainen, K., Karvosenoja, N. NORTRIP model development and documentation: NOn-exhaust Road TRaffic Induced Particle emission modelling. Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU OR 23/2012). URL: www.nilu.no Kauhaniemi, M., Kukkonen, J. Härkönen J., Nikmo J., Kangas L., Omstedt G., Ketzel M., Kousa A., Haakana M., Karppinen A., 2011. Evaluation of a road dust suspension model for predicting the concentrations of PM10 in a street canyon. Atmos. Environ. 45, 3646-3654. Pirjola, L., Kupiainen, K.J., Perhoniemi, P., Tervahattu, H., Vesala, H. 2009. Non-Exhaust Emission Measurement System of the Mobile Laboratory SNIFFER. Atmos. Environ. 43, 4703-4713. 160 EVALUATION OF THE PRESENT AND FUTURE AIR QUALITY IN EUROPE BASED ON TRANSPHORM MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE M. Prank (1), M. Sofiev (1), B. Amstrup (2), A. Baklanov (2), H. Denier van der Gon (3), C. Hendriks (3), X. Kong (4), A. Mažeikis (2), R. Nuterman (2), S. Tsyro (5), S. Valiyaveetil (5), X. Vazhappilly Francis (4), J. Kukkonen (1), R. S. Sokhi (4) (1) Finnish Meteorological Institute, (2) Danish Meteorological Institute, (3) TNO, (4) University of Hertfordshire, (5) Met Norway Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Within TRANSPHORM project five regional dispersion models were applied to evaluate the air quality for present and future emissions in Europe. The present-state estimates were compared with air quality observations to evaluate the reliability of individual models and ensemble predictions. Future-emission scenarios were analysed with respect to the present situation and the agreement between the models was evaluated. Special attention was given to chemical composition of particulate matter and the models ability to reproduce the specific components. Introduction According to the experience of both meteorological and air quality modelling, even limited size ensembles have routinely shown better skills in comparison with observations than the individual simulations. The spread between the individual ensemble members indicates the range of uncertainties in the simulation results, which is especially important for future scenario simulations, where no observations exist to verify the simulations. Methodology and Results The regional dispersion models participating in the ensemble were CMAQ, EMEP, HIRLAM-CAMx, LOTOS-EUROS and SILAM. The European emission inventory for 2005, including improved traffic emissions and the future projections developed within TRANSPHORM project, were used for the current-state analysis and the baseline future scenarios for 2020 and 2030. All simulations were made with the same meteorological data for 2005, i.e. only the effect of the most-probable future emission developments was evaluates. The present-state estimates of each dispersion model, as well as ensemble median and average were compared with European air quality observations stored in AIRBASE and EMEP databases (Fig.1). It was found that the models tend to agree with each other for the well-observed pollutants, whereas the divergence for the species with smaller observational networks was larger. The ensemble median and average usually are closer to measurements than any individual model or, at least, at the level of the best model. The trends in concentration and deposition of the primary pollutants (Fig.2) were constrained by the emission changes, while for the secondary species, the spread between the models was much wider. There were significant differences between the representations of PM composition by the models. Fig.1 Histogram of the number of EMEP stations against the correlation coefficient of predictions and measurements, for the daily concentrations of PM2.5 in 2005 for individual models and the mean and median of the ensemble. Fig.2 Difference in predictions for the annual mean surface concentrations of NO2, 2030 - 2005, for five chemical transport models and the ensemble median. Blue colours indicate decrease in time of the concentrations, red colours increase of concentrations. Conclusions The results demonstrate the use of multi-model ensemble for the model studies of emission- and climate-related trends in the air quality in Europe. Model inter-comparison, in addition to comparison with observations, proved to be instrumental for model improvement. Acknowledgement This work was performed within FP7 TRANSPHORM project. 161 TRAFFIC-RELATED AIR POLLUTION AND THE ONSET OF MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION: DISCLOSING BENZENE AS A TRIGGER? A SMALL-AREA CASE-CROSSOVER STUDY D. Bard (1), W. Kihal (1), C. Schillinger (2), C. Fermanian (1), C. Ségala (3), S. Glorion (1), D. Arveiler (4), C. Weber (5) (1) EHESP, Rennes and Sorbonne Paris Cité, Paris, France; (2) Association pour la Surveillance de la Qualité de l’Air en Alsace-ASPA, Schiltigheim, France; (3) SEPIA-Santé, Baud, France; (4) Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, EA 3430, University of Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France; (5) LIVE UMR7362 CNRS, University of Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Exposure to traffic is an established risk factor for the triggering of myocardial infarction (MI). Particulate matter, mainly emitted by Diesel vehicles, appears to be the most important stressor. However, the possible role of benzene from gasolinefuelled cars has not been explored so far. We conducted a case-crossover study from 2,134 MI cases recorded by the local Coronary Heart Disease Registry (2000-2007) in the Strasbourg Metropolitan Area (France). Nitrogen dioxide, particles of median aerodynamic diameter <10 µm (PM10), ozone, carbon monoxide and benzene air concentrations were modeled on an hourly basis at the census block level over the study period using the deterministic ADMS-Urban air dispersion model. We have found a positive, statistically significant association between concentrations of benzene and the onset of MI: per cent increase in risk for a 1 µg/m3 increase in benzene concentration in the previous 0, 0-1 and 1 day was 10.4 (95% confidence interval 3-18.2), 10.7 (2.7- 19.2) and 7.2 (0.3-14.5), respectively. The associations between the other pollutants and outcome were much lower and in accordance with the literature. Benzene emissions from gasoline-fuelled cars may be an important trigger of MI. Introduction The effects of traffic-related air pollution on cardiorespiratory mortality have been consistently established since the late 1980s and further studies specifically investigated the association between exposure to traffic and the onset of myocardial infarction (MI), one of the most frequent causes of death. PM10, mainly emitted by Diesel engines, is the air pollutant most consistently associated with MI onset. However, some components of traffic exposure remain ill-defined. In particular, gasoline-fuelled benzene emissions have never been tested for this specific outcome. For exploring such an association, we carried out a time-stratified case-crossover study, using a very small area as the statistical unit. Methodology and Results Cases (n = 2,134) were all MI events (ICD-9: 410) either fatal or non-fatal, occurring in the age group 35-74 years between January 1, 2000 and December 31, 2007, in the Strasbourg (France) Metropolitan Area, ascertained by the local Bas-Rhin Coronary Heart Disease Registry. Available individual data were age, gender, previous history of ischemic heart disease, and address of residence (to which subjects were geocoded) at the time of the event. NO2, PM10, O3, CO and benzene air concentrations were modeled on an hourly basis at the census block level over the study period using the deterministic ADMS-Urban air dispersion model. Model input data comprised of emissions inventories, background pollution measurements and meteorological data. We have found a positive, statistically significant association between incremental concentrations of benzene and the onset of MI for our study population (base model), for all lags tested (lag 0 = average air pollution indicators’ concentrations of the day of the event; lag 0-1 = average of the day of the event and the 1st previous day; lag 1 =average of the previous day), slightly more marked for the first two lags studied (Table 1). The associations between the other individual pollutants and outcome were similar in size and direction to those reported in the literature. Table 1. Exposure to air pollution and the onset of a myocardial infarction in the Strasbourg (France) Metropolitan Area, 2000-2007.a Lag 0 Lag 0-1 Lag 1 Pollutant eOR (95%CI) eOR (95%CI) eOR (95%CI) Benzene 10.4 (3.0-18.2)* 10.7 (2.7-19.2)* 7.2 (0.3-14.5)‡ PM10 2.6 (-2.7-8.2) 3.5 (-2.3-9.7) 3.1 (-2.0-8.5) NO2 4.7 (-0.2-9.9) 5.4 (-0.1-11.2) 3.6 (-1.0-8.5) CO 3.2 (-6.1-13.3) 4.4 (-6.6-16.7) 3.0 (-6.2-13.1) O3 -1.3 (-3.8-1.3) -2.7 (-5.5-0.2) -3.1 (-5.7- -0.5)‡ aAssociations observed for different lag times; excess odds ratios (eOR) are expressed as per cent (95% confidence interval) increase for i) a 1 µg/m3 increase in benzene concentrations; ii) a 10 µg/m3 in NO2, O3 and PM10 concentrations and iii) a 100 µg/m3 increase in CO concentrations. Adjusted for the previous day maximum atmospheric pressure, same day minimum temperature and influenza epidemics. *p<0.01; ‡p<0.05 Conclusion We have observed a benzene-associated risk for the triggering of myocardial infarction, using a very precise characterization of cases and of exposure. This association has not been documented in previous literature. In addition, the strength of the association was much greater for benzene as compared to traffic-related pollutants usually investigated, such as particulate matter. References Peters A, et al. Exposure To Traffic And The Onset Of Myocardial Infarction. N Engl J Med 2004;351(17):1721-1730. 162 HEALTH IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF LONG-TERM EXPOSURE TO PARTICULATE AIR POLLUTION WITHIN TRANSPHORM. (FOR SPECIAL SESSION ON TRANSPHORM PROJECT) B. G. Miller (1), J. F. Hurley (1), R. S. Sokhi (2), M. Keuken (3) and B. Brunekreef (4) (1) Institute of Occupational Medicine, Riccarton, Edinburgh EH14 4AP, United Kingdom; (2) Centre for Atmospheric and Instrumentation Research (CAIR), University of Hertfordshire, Hatfield, Hertfordshire, AL10 9AB, United Kingdom; (3) Nederlandse Organisatie Voor Toegepast Natuurwetenschappelijk Onderzoek, P.O. Box 80015, NL-3508 TA Utrecht, Netherlands; (4) Institute of Risk Assessment Sciences, Universiteit Utrecht, P.O. Box 80178, NL-3508 TD Utrecht, Netherlands Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Quantitative Health Impact Assessment (HIA) is an integral part of the EU project TRANSPHORM, quantifying and comparing the health impacts of pollution changes associated with future transport policies. We highlight the methodological advances made in adapting to the project’s specific requirements, by estimating impact as a change in per annum burden of mortality or disease; and show provisional results of HIAs for mortality in five European cities selected as case studies. Introduction Quantitative Health Impact Assessment (HIA) aims to create predictions of the impacts on health of changes in the human environment. Within TRANSPHORM, the aim of HIA is to predict changes in health in the populations affected by pollution from transport sources; and, specifically, to compare impacts in future years across different policy options and additional measures. This has required new and adapted approaches to HIA quantification; a secondary objective is to illustrate these here with provisional results from case studies in five cities with different pollution concentrations. Methodology In the TRANSPHORM project, the focus is on impacts of future policies, but air quality predictions modelling those policies are available only for a current baseline and selected future years. We therefore predict the impact of the changes in pollution as the change in mortality burden for those specific years, expressed as an amount per annum. Burdens of disease from air pollution are dominated by mortality. Concentration-response functions (CRFs) linking change in mortality rates to change in concentrations of PM2.5, elemental carbon (EC) and particle number (PNC) are applied to the modelled population-weighted mean concentrations to produce relative risks; these are applied to background all-cause mortality statistics for those aged 30+ to estimate numbers of attributable adult deaths, and age-specific life expectancies are used to convert these to life-years lost. Future burdens are predicted by proportionality in the relative risks, and the policy impacts as reductions in burdens. A similar approach is applied to non-mortality health outcomes, integrating the results via DALYs. The methods are being piloted in case studies on mortality data and modelled pollution concentrations from five cities (London, Rotterdam, Athens, Helsinki and Oslo), and will be extended to all urban areas of Europe. Once proven, they will be incorporated into an Integrated Assessment Tool for others to use. Results Models for London predict that measures already agreed, designed to reduce emissions from transport sources, will reduce mean PM2.5 concentrations by about 25% by 2020. We provisionally estimate that this will reduce attributable deaths from a current 3,200 to 2,400. Additional transport policy measures, such as increasing numbers of electric cars or creating lowemission zones, are predicted to further reduce concentrations little or not at all. The other case-study cities show similar patterns, albeit with different degrees of reduction in PM2.5 (Rotterdam 44%, Oslo 7.5%, Athens 16%, Helsinki 4%). HIAs using CRFs for EC or PNC tend to predict smaller gains in mortality. Future developments The approaches developed can be tailored to many different scenarios and sets of assumptions, with varying levels of uncertainty. One principal concern for any HIA is to have a reliable (set of) concentration-response function(s). EU projects REVIHAAP and HRAPIE have been reviewing the available literature, and the result will be authoritative recommendations on what health outcomes should be included in an HIA, and what CRFs to use for them. We anticipate that those recommendations, to be reported soon, will guide final decisions on elements of HIAs within TRANSPHORM. Acknowledgement Our methods have been developed within EU-funded projects such as CAFE, HEIMTSA and TRANSPHORM, and work funded by the UK Department of Health to inform the COMEAP committee; see their report (2010). References COMEAP. (2010). The Mortality effects of long-term exposure to particulate air pollution in the United Kingdom. A report by the Committee on the Medical Effects of Air Pollution, prepared by the QUARK II subgroup. Chilton, Oxfordshire, UK: Health Protection Agency. http://comeap.org.uk/images/stories/Documents/Reports/comeap%20the%20mortality%20effects%20of%20longterm%20exposure%20to%20particulate%20air%20pollution%20in%20the%20uk%202010.pdf 163 EUROPEAN PARTICLE NUMBER EMISSIONS FOR 2005, 2020 AND 2030 WITH SPECIAL EMPHASIS ON THE TRANSPORT SECTOR. H. A. C. Denier van der Gon (1), A. J. H. Visschedijk (1), J. Kuenen (1), C. Schieberle (2), I. Vouitsis (3), Z. Samaras (3), J. Moldanova (4), A. Petzold (5) (1) TNO, Princetonlaan 6, 3584 CB Utrecht, The Netherlands; (2) IER, University of Stuttgart, Heßbrühlstrasse 49a, 70565 Stuttgart, Germany; (3) Laboratory of Applied Thermodynamics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, GR - 541 24, Thessaloniki, Greece; (4) IVL, Swedish Environmental Research Institute, Box 5302, 40014 Gothenburg, Sweden; (5) DLR, 82234 Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany; now at Forschungszentrum Jülich, IEK-8, GmbH, 52425 Jülich, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary PN emissions are the most accurate measure to characterize ultrafine particle (UFP) emissions. A new particle number(PN) inventory for UNECE Europe was made for 2005 and the projection years 2020 and 2030. The new inventory focuses on the contribution of the transport sectors. The aim of this new inventory was 1) to use the new TRANSPHORM emission factors, 2) to make a preliminary calculation of the PN emissions in 2020 and 2030 and 3) to provide input for regional scale PN modelling. The results show the importance of the transport sectors for UFP emissions but also suggest strong reductions in the future due to decreasing sulphur content of the fuels and improving engine technologies including end-of-pipe measures. Introduction Epidemiologic data have provided indirect evidence that ultrafine particles from fossil fuel combustion are important in explaining cardiovascular hospital admissions and mortality due to outdoor air pollution (e.g. Delfino et al, 2005). UFP emissions are best based on PN emission data because the mass fraction of UFP in PM is too small. A first European sizeresolved anthropogenic PN emission inventory was made in the frame work of FP6 EUCAARI (Denier van der Gon et al., 2010). Here we present a new PN inventory based on the previous work with new assessments for each transport mode. Methodology and Results For each transport sector a new bottom-up calculation was made, including gap-filling for unknown technologies or activities. For modelling all source sectors need to be present. To approximate the future year emissions for the non-transport sectors, scaling factors were used based on the IIASA primes baseline scenario for PM2.5 (http://gains.iiasa.ac.at/). Hence we assumed that PN emissions for the non-transport sectors would follow the trend in PM2.5 emissions. Total PN emissions by country group are presented in Fig. 1. PN emissions are projected to halve in the future. International shipping is a dominating source in 2005, but is expected to decline due to the introduction of low sulphur fuels. Shipping is more dominant in the new inventory but the Fig.1 Total particle number emissions for 2005, 2020 and 2030 by country group (Sea is international shipping) data are limited and clearly warrant additional research. In 2005 the transport sectors contribute ~60% to total land-based PN emission in UNECE-Europe. The emissions of land-based transport change significantly over time, especially road transport declines strongly (Fig. 2). In the new inventory aviation is now recognized as a significant source of (semi-volatile) PN. Conclusions PN emissions due to fuel combustion in road transport and shipping may change significantly as a consequence of motor and fuel modifications such as low-sulphur fuels and particulate matter filters. This impact is reflected in our 2020 and 2030 projections. Another remarkable change compared to the previous inventory is that we believe that aviation is a stronger source of UFP than previously assumed, most of these are not Fig.2 Transport sector total particle number emissions solid PN and may have escaped attention in previous emission factor in 2005, 2020 and 2030 excluding International measurements. The EU 15 emissions decline strongly in future years, due to shipping. (Aviation = airport LTO’s upto 1000 m) implementation of emission standards in road transport and the phase-out of the older vehicles with less stringent emission limits. Both inland shipping and coastal shipping are expected to decline. Acknowledgement This work was partly funded by EU Seventh Framework Programme - (ENV.2009.1.2.2.1) project TRANSPHORM. References Denier van der Gon, H.A.C., Visschedijk, A., Johansson, C., Ntziachristos, L., Harrison, R.M., (2010): Size-resolved PanEuropean Anthropogenic Particle Number Inventory , International Aerosol conference, 29/8-3/9 2010, Helsinki. Delfino R.J., Sioutas C., Malik S., 2005. Potential role of ultrafine particles in associations between airborne particle mass and cardiovascular health. Environ Health Perspect. 113, 934-946. 164 AIR QUALITY IMPACTS OF ELECTRIC VEHICLES IN BARCELONA A. Soret (1), M. Guevara (1), and J. M. Baldasano (1,2) (1) Barcelona Supercomputing Center – Centro Nacional de Supercomputación (BSC-CNS). Earth Sciences Department. Jordi Girona 29, Edificio Nexus II, 08034 Barcelona, Spain; (2) Technical University of Catalonia (UPC). Avda. Diagonal 647, Edificio H, Oficina 10.23, 08028 Barcelona, Spain Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study applies the WRF-ARW/HERMESv2/CMAQ model system to analyse potential reduction in traffic emissions and related urban air quality improvement as a result of the electric vehicle (EV) introduction. The studio is performed in Barcelona city (Spain) which presents several air quality problems, mainly related to NO2 and particulate matter. Results show that the introduction of EV offers potential air quality benefits, especially for NO2 and CO. Even considering overnight electric generation emission associated with EV charging in a power station located in Barcelona, significant air quality benefits are observed. However, the gradual EV introduction cannot be considered as a single solution. Its implementation may be complemented with other strategies to further reduce traffic emissions. Introduction The largest contribution of atmospheric pollutant emissions in urban areas today comes from on-road transport. There have been significant efforts to study the effects of strategies that are utilized to reduce on-road traffic emissions and the subsequent impacts of these emissions on air quality. Currently, the main objectives of these strategies are targeted by: 1) reducing the emission per vehicle by adopting lower polluting fuels and technologies or 2) adopting mobility management strategies in order to reduce either the vehicle kilometre travelled (VKT), or the speed circulation. The EV introduction represents one of those strategies under consideration. EV are particularly suitable to improve urban air quality where short distances are prevalent. The main objective of this work is to analyse how EV would reduce urban air pollution. It has focused on the improvement of air quality due to the abatement of urban traffic emissions taking also into account electric generation emission associated with EV charging. Methodology and Results The study is conducted in the coastal area of Barcelona city, where the presence of sea breezes and the development of a thermal boundary layer involve layering and accumulation of pollutants. A critical episode of air quality pollution has been selected (3-5 October, 2011). The WRF-ARW/HERMESv2/CMAQ model system is applied at high spatial (1x1 km2) and temporal (1 h) resolution to assess air quality analysis at urban scales. Detailed information of urban traffic and power generation has been collected as input information for the emission inventory. The model performance has been evaluated against available air quality observations (Fig. 1). Base case scenario has been compared with three EV introduction scenarios (low: 10% of VKT in electrical mode; medium: 19%; and high: 29%), taking also into account electric generation emission associated with EV charging. Fig.1 Observations and modelled NO2 levels for the four EV scenarios at Poblenou station. Fig.2 NO2 maximum differences for the more ambitious scenario. Results show that the more ambitious scenario would reduce 10.7% of NOx emissions in Barcelona. Those emissions reductions may involve air quality improvements of around 7-13%% in the NO2 daily levels, while for the maximum levels would be a little bit higher: 8-16% (Fig. 1 and 2). Air quality impacts of using overnight electricity generation to charge EV would not imply significant NO2 hourly increases (<2 µg/m3). The highest potential air quality improvements are observed for NO2 and CO levels, for the other pollutants the impact is lower. Regarding particulate matter, the potential air quality improvements are under 5%. This is because exhaust emissions represent ± 30% of the total on-road traffic emissions, the rest cannot be reduced by the EV (resuspension and brake, tyre and road abrasion). Conclusions Despite EV presents potential air quality benefits, some consideration may be taken into account. First that EV introduction may involve all the vehicle categories (two-wheelers, heavy duty vehicles) not only light-duty vehicles. Second, that the percentage of EV required (20-30%) to acquire a significant NO2 levels improvement suggest that all the stakeholders may work together in order to assess such paradigm shift. Finally it should be noted that EV introduction cannot be considered as a unique solution and may be complemented with other traffic and mobility strategies, especially regarding particulate matter. 165 CALCULATIONS OF PRESENT AND FUTURE EFFECTS OF DIFFERENT TRANSPORT MODES ON AIR QUALITY AND HUMAN HEALTH IN EUROPE J. E. Jonson(1), R. Friedrich (2), S. Tsyro (1), J. Roos (2) and V. S. Semeena (1) (1) Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway; (2) Institute of Energy Economics and the Rational Use of Energy (IER), University of Stuttgart, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The EMEP/MSC-W chemical transport model is used to calculate the effects of emissions from transport sources on European air quality. The effects of present (2005) and future (2020 and 2030) emissions on air quality in Europe have been compared. A new bottom-up emission set for transport modes, developed under the EU FP7 TRANSPHORM project, is integrated in the TNO-MACC European emission data base (Kuenen et al., 2010). Future emissions is projected using the scaling factors developed for the EU FP7 project MEGAPOLI (Theloke et al, 2010) combined with newly calculated within the TRANSPHORM future emissions for the transport sectors. In a second step, the health damage caused by the modelled concentrations is estimated. Updated concentration-response relationships are used developed in the TRANSPHORM project based on the findings of the ESCAPE project. Introduction Despite a considerable progress in improving air quality air pollution still poses threat to people health, causing unnecessary premature deaths and cancer, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, with associated human suffering (WHO, 2013). Recent studies provide considerable support the earlier scientific conclusions regarding PM adverse health effects (WHO, 2005) and suggest additional health outcomes associated with long-term exposure to PM2.5 (WHO, 2013). Transport sources represent considerable contribution to air pollution and the assessment of present and future health effects of transport pollution is thus of much importance. Methodology and Results For a detailed description of the EMEP model see Simpson et al. (2012) and references therein. Air pollution levels have been calculated on a European domain with a 1/4 x 1/8 degrees longitude-latitude resolution for the meteorological conditions of the year 2005. The effect of transport has been segregated for different transport modes, including aviation, rail, sea transport and road transport. In addition to the Baseline emission reduction scenarios, the effects of possible mitigation options have been explored. To estimate the exposure to PM2.5 in cities, a newly developed model for estimating the urban increment is used (Torras et al., 2013). The calculations of air pollutants are supplemented by estimation of health effects. Conclusions. Results show that the health impacts stemming from road transport are declining due to the EU regulations (e.g. EURO 5 and 6 standards), while the impacts of maritime ship transport decline less and thus become the largest contributors to transport related health impacts, especially in certain areas in Southern Europe. The aircraft emissions are shown to have a small contribution to the surface PM2.5 and thus to people health effects. Figure 1: Model calculated PM2.5 levels in Europe for year 2020: top – Baseline, bottom - including further mitigation options, mainly affecting ship emissions. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the EU 7'th framework project TRANSPHORM. References Kuenen, J. H. Denier van der Gon, A. Visschedijk, H. van der Brugh, High resolution European emission inventory for the years 2003 – 2007, TNO report TNO-060-UT-2011-00588, Utrecht, 2011. Simpson, D., A. Benedictow, H. Berge, R. Bergström, L. Emberson, H. Fagerli, G.D. Heyman, M. Gauss, J.E.Jonson, M.E. Jenkin, A. Nyíri, C. Richter, V.S. Semeena, S. Tsyro, J.-P. Tuovinen, A. Valdebenito and P. Wind (2012) The EMEP MSC-W chemical transport model – Part 1: Model description, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 12, 3781-3874, doi:10.5194/acpd-12-3781-2012, 2012. Theloke J., M.Blesl, D. Bruchhof, T.Kampffmeyer, U. Kugler, M. Uzbasich, K. Schenk, H. Denier van der Gon, S. Finardi, P. Radice, R. S. Sokhi, K. Ravindra, S. Beevers, S. Grimmond, I. Coll, R. Frie-drich, D. van den Hout, (2010): European and megacity baseline scenarios for 2020, 2030 and 2050. Deliverable D1.3, MEGAPOLI Scientific Report 10-23, MEGAPOLI-26-REP-2010-12, 57p, ISBN: 978-87-92731-04-3 Torras Ortiz, S.;R. Friedrich: A modelling approach for estimating background pollutant concentrations in urban areas; Atmospheric Pollution Research 4 (2013) 147‐156. WHO (2006): WHO Air Quality Guidelines for particulate matter, ozone, nitrogen dioxide and sulphur dioxide. WHO (2013): Newsletter, No. 51, June 2013. 166 MODELLING OF PARTICULATE MATTER CONCENTRATIONS IN THE HELSINKI METROPOLITAN AREA IN 2008 AND 2010 M. A. Aarnio (1), L. Kangas (1), M. Kauhaniemi (1), A. Karppinen (1), A. Kousa (2), T. Petäjä (3), C. Hendriks (4), J. Kukkonen (1) (1)Finnish Meteorological Institute, Erik Palménin aukio 1, FI-00101 Helsinki, Finland; (2) Helsinki Region Environmental Services Authority (HSY), Opastinsilta 6 A, 00520 Helsinki, Finland; (3) University of Helsinki, FI-00014 Helsinki, Finland.(4) Netherlands Applied Research Organization, Princetonlaan 6, 3584 CB Utrecht, The Netherlands. Presenting author, email: [email protected] Summary We have evaluated a refined urban scale modeling system including the road dust suspension model FORE, the road network dispersion model CAR-FMI and the chemical transport model LOTOS-EUROS, against PM2.5 and PM10 measurement data from the Helsinki Metropolitan Area (HMA) from the years 2008 and 2010. We have taken into account the long-range transport and urban vehicular sources, including separately exhaust emissions and suspended road dust. Source contributions of these source categories have also been evaluated for 2008. Street and urban increments were also evaluated, based on both measurements and modelling. We have also tentatively modelled total particle number concentration (PNC) for the HMA, assuming for simplicity it to be an inert species, and compared the results with the measurements, which were available only at one location. Introduction Earlier work by Kauhaniemi et al. (2011) has reported on the development and evaluation of road dust suspension model included in the street canyon model OSPM for PM10 in a street canyon. In this study, we have modelled PM2.5 and PM10, including also road dust suspension modelling for the first time for the whole metropolitan area. Methodology and results Traffic volumes and average travel speeds were estimated using the EMME/2 Traffic Assignment model. Cold start and cold driving emissions were included based on laboratory measurements for PM. Emission factors of PM for suspension of road dust were modelled using the ‘Forecasting of Road Suspension Emission’ model (FORE)(Kauhaniemi et al., 2011). For the PNC calculations for 2008, we have used the exhaust emission factors provided by Denby et al. within the TRANSPHORM project. The dispersion modeling of these emissions was done with the CAR-FMI model. The regional background PM concentrations were estimated by LOTOS-EUROS model for 2008, and with Luukki regional background measurement site measured values for 2010, but regional background estimate for PNC was not available. Hourly measurement data from the Helsinki Region Environmental Services Authority (HSY) was used for the evaluation of the mass-based PM fractions, and integrated number concentration from DMPS data from the University of Helsinki SMEAR III site was used for the PNC comparison. For instance, for 2008, the IA for the comparison of PM2.5 was about 0.72 at all 3 stations regarded, while FB was between -0.16 and -0.22. The modelled source contributions of LRT for PM2.5 were between 99.84% (Luukki) and 83% (Mannerheimintie), while for PM10 the corresponding estimates were between 99.5% and 66%. Conclusions Underprediction of mass-based PM at all sites is mostly explained by the underestimation of regional background PM concentrations by the LOTOS-EUROS model. We did not include the contributions from domestic wood combustion, shipping or stationary sources; however, these are known to be lower than those for LRT and vehicular traffic. PM2.5 was estimated better than PM10 by our modeling system, probably due to a higher fraction of PM2.5 being from LRT and also caused by uncertainties in determining suspension emissions for PM10. As expected, the use of observed data from a regional background measurement site significantly improves the predictions of PM2.5. The modelled PNC’s from local sources were lower than measured concentrations; it was not possible to make quantitative comparisons due to lack of regional background concentration data. Acknowledgements This study has been a part of the EU-funded research project TRANSPHORM. References Kauhaniemi, M., Kukkonen, J. Härkönen J., Nikmo J., Kangas L., Omstedt G., Ketzel M., Kousa A., Haakana M., Karppinen A., 2011. Evaluation of a road dust suspension model for predicting the concentrations of PM10 in a street canyon. Atmos. Environ., 45, 3646-3654. 167 EMISSIONS FROM THE PORT OF RIJEKA (CROATIA) AND THEIR IMPACT ON AIR QUALITY A. Alebic-Juretic (1), A. van Hyfte (2), K. Devoldere (2), I. Hladki (3) and V. Jelavic (3) (1)Teaching Institute of Public Health/ School of Medicine, University of Rijeka, 51000 Rijeka, (2) ARCADIS Belgium nv/sa, B-9000 Gent, Belgium; (3) EKONERG, HR-10000 Zagreb, Croatia Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The first emission inventory (with adequate measures for further reduction) within the port area and its impact on air quality is done for the year 2008. The emission comprised those from vessels, cargo handling equipment (CHE), truck and trains at four different locations: Rijeka, Susak and Omisalj (island of Krk), as well as dry bulk handling in the Bakar area. The total emission from the port activity was estimated to 849 t y-1 of NOx, 424 t y-1 of SO2 and 117 t y-1 of PM10. Application of ISCST3 dispersion model indicated the affected areas in the Rijeka Bay during two dominant wind events: bora and sirocco. The highest impact of port on air quality is found with ship hotelling mode affecting two monitoring stations just opposing the port area, particularly during south winds (sirocco). Though, impact of port emissions to urban air quality is minor relative to industrial sources (SO2) and traffic (NOx). Introduction Due to second cycle of industrialization during late sixties and seventies (new petroleum refinery facilities, oil fired power plant, coke plant), the city of Rijeka became one of the most polluted cities in Croatia during the eighties. In order to reduce the air pollution, four emission inventories were done in the last 25 years (Alebic, 2008), but none of these took into account emissions from the port activities. The first emission inventory (with adequate measures for further reduction) within the port area and its impact on urban air quality was estimated for the year 2008. Methodology and Results The emission comprised those from vessels, cargo handling equipment (CHE), truck and trains at three different locations: Rijeka, Susak and Omisalj (island of Krk), as well as dry bulk handling in the Bakar area (Figure 1) 20 15 10 5 SW SSE Bora SW SSE Bora SW SSE Bora SW SSE 0 Bora NO2 concentration (ug m‐3) 25 Rijeka‐1 Rijeka‐2 Kresimirova Trogirska Figure 1: The Rijeka Bay area with Rijeka/Sušak terminals, Omišalj, a petroleum port and Bakar with dry dust handling. cruising maneuvering hotelling on anchor Figure 2: Contribution of different port activities to ground level NO2 concentrations at urban monitoring sites The study area for emission calculation comprised everything north from the island of Cres (Figure 1) on the water side, and everything in-between the water and the terminal gates on the landward side. The emissions for the port maritime traffic were calculated according to ENTEC study (2007) and Rijeka Port Authorities register on ships calling the port, taking into account ships’ technical characteristics and sailing mode within the port boundaries (cruise, reduced speed, manoeuvring and hotelling). Emission from land based sources comprised mobile sources from CHE and port related traffic (rail and road transport) as well as diffuse source due to dry bulk handling. In addition, the emission inventory was updated, and impact of port in relation to overall emission to air quality in the Rijeka area was estimated with ISCST3 dispersion model. Conclusions The total emission from the port activity was estimated to 849 t y-1 for NOx, 424 t y-1 of SO2 and 117 t y-1 of PM10, , i.e. 14.9, 2.0 and 8.0 % relative to total emissions of these pollutants. The major impact on air quality is due to SO2 and NO2 (Figure 2) at two closest monitoring sites. Though, impact of port emissions to air quality was minor relative to industrial sources (SO2) and traffic (NOx), but can be rose according to planned expansion of cargo handling. References Alebic-Juretic A., 2008: Airborne Ammonia and Ammonium within the Northern Adriatic Area, Croatia, Environ Pollut, 154 (3), 439-447 ENTEC UK Limited, 2007: Ship emission Inventory- Mediterranean Sea, Final report to Concawe, April 2007. 168 REFINEMENT AND EVALUATION OF A STATISTICAL APPROACH FOR DETERMINING CONCENTRATION INCREMENTS IN URBAN AREAS N. Moussiopoulos (1), S. Torras Ortiz (2), I. Douros (1), E. Chourdakis (1), R. Friedrich (2) (1) Laboratory of Heat Transfer and Environmental Engineering, Aristotle University, Greece – University Campus, P.O. Box 483, 54124 Thessaloniki; (2) Institute of Energy Economics and the Rational Use of Energy (IER), University of Stuttgart, Heßbrühlstr. 49a, 70565 Stuttgart, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In order to have a better insight into the complicated and multivariate problem of the contribution of local emissions to the urban pollution levels, the use of computational methods is essential. The Urban Increment (UI) method is a computational tool for the assessment of the pollutant concentration increment caused by traffic, as well as other local sources. The method operates by establishing a functional relationship between the concentration increment and the local meteorological situation, city morphology, urban emissions and background concentrations (Moussiopoulos et al., 2011; Torras Ortiz and Friedrich, 2013). The method has already been tested by taking into account atmospheric stability and in the frame of this work, it is evaluated by utilising alternative meteorological variables such as the mixing height and precipitation. Introduction The statistical method presented here aims at the determination of an urban concentration increment on top of the regional background. This is especially relevant for the purposes of air pollution management and health impact assessment of various pollutants. However, it is here demonstrated specifically for PM10 and NO2. The presented approach attempts to define a functional relationship on the basis of measured increments at a number of sample locations. This functional relationship is then applied and tested either to different urban areas or for different time periods in the same urban area. Special care is taken during the selection of sampling locations in order to ensure geographical representativeness and adequate measurement data availability. Methodology and Results The overall procedure for determining the urban increment can be described as a sequence of three main processing stages, namely spatial sampling, multiple regression analysis and generalisation of the method. More specifically, in the stage of the spatial sampling a selection of representative rural-urban measurement station pairs takes place in representative urban areas, while in the stage of multiple regression analysis a functional relationship between the urban concentrations and the meteorological, morphological and emission parameters is calculated (calibration). Finally, in the generalisation stage the estimation of urban increments for the areas or years of interest is carried out. In the frame of this work, enhancements in the main computational procedures are introduced and validated. In this direction, modelled estimates for two additional meteorological variables, namely mixing height and precipitation, were introduced in order to examine the possibility of replacing the atmospheric stability classification in the application of the method, aiming at a more robust and scientifically sound approach, accounting for the atmospheric mixing and its effects on pollution concentrations. This new implementation of the method is validated and found to outperform earlier versions of the method which incorporated a classification of the atmospheric stability. On the other hand, precipitation was found to have modest correlation with the urban concentration increment and was thus finally not incorporated in the method. Conclusions An urban increment was determined based on a functional relationship scheme which allows for a correction of regional background concentrations inside areas with significant urban density by establishing an operational correlation between the observed concentration increment and the local meteorological parameters, the city characteristics, the urban emissions and background concentrations. The introduction of the mixing height as a variable that accounts for the development of the boundary layer was found to improve upon the previous implementations of the method. References Moussiopoulos N., Douros J., Tsegas G., Chourdakis E. and Ortiz S.T., 2011. An approach for determining urban concentration increments. 14th Conference on Harmonisation within Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling for Regulatory Purposes – 2-6 October 2011, Kos, Greece Torras Ortiz S. and Friedrich R., 2013. A modelling approach for estimating background pollutant concentrations in urban areas, Atmospheric Pollution Research 4, 147-156 169 MONITORING OF AIR POLLUTION BY TRANSPORT RELATED NITROGEN OXIDES ON ROADS AND HIGHWAYS OF ST. PETERSBURG O. V. Lozhkina, V. S. Marchenko, V. N. Lozhkin St. Petersburg University of State Fire Service of EMERCOM of Russia, 196105, Moskovsky 149, St. Petersburg, Russia Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The aims of the present study were: 1) to investigate NOX emissions from passenger cars depending on speed (from 0 to 120 km/h), emission class (Euro 0 - Euro 5), engine type (gasoline, diesel); 2) to determine NOX emission factors for different types of vehicles in dependence on the speed; 3) to evaluate the level of air pollution by exhaust NOX near main roads and highways in St. Petersburg by means of an appropriate calculating methodology with "real life" NOX emission factors. The study shows that high NOX emissions relate to old Russian cars, Euro 1 - Euro 2 Russian and foreign cars and to Euro 2- Euro 4 diesel cars. The estimation of NO2 level near main roads of St. Petersburg revels that there are still short-term periods when the concentration of NO2 in the air surpasses acceptable limit at 2-10 times. The propriety of the results is proven by the data of road-side air quality monitoring. The study is useful for the development of engine technologies, for the optimization of urban planning and for the management of air quality. Introduction The problem of excess pollution of the air by transport related nitrogen oxides is still significant for St. Petersburg. The analysis of statistics on vehicle fleet structure showed that: 1) the number of vehicles in St. Petersburg has reached 1,8 mln. units by 2013 mostly due to the growing of light vehicle fleet (about 90% of the total fleet number) 2) the fleet of passenger cars has been renovated over the last decade, the share of cars corresponding to Euro 3 - Euro 5 standards has risen to 41 % by 2013; 3) the structures of HDV and buses fleet have not undergone a significant change in 2003-2013. The estimation of "real life" NOX emissions from passenger cars (which fleet structure has been considerably changed in the last decade) in real traffic was very important for the correction of NOX emission factors and for the assessment of air pollution by exhaust NOX near roads and highways in St. Petersburg by means of an appropriate calculating methodology. Methodology and Results Ten gasoline and diesel powered passenger vehicles corresponding to Euro 0 - Euro 5 emission classes were engaged in the on-board monitoring of NOX exhaust emissions in real traffic. The investigations were carried out on urban roads to get emission data at low speed (0-60 km/h) and on St. Petersburg Ring Road (SPbRR) to receive emission data at high speed (60-120 km/h). The concentration of NOX in exhaust emissions was measured using Testo-300 portative gas analyser (Testo, Germany). The calculating assessment of NOX concentrations near main urban streets and highway was done using Methodology for the definition of emissions of harmful substances related to traffic flows on roads and streets of St. Petersburg (Committee on Environment Management, Environmental Protection and Ecological Safety of the Government of St. Petersburg, Russia, 2010) & software ECOLOG-3 (Integral, Russia) using "real life" NOX exhaust emission factors for passenger cars. It was established that the highest level of NOX emission was inherent to old national gasoline cars (> 10 years) without catalytic converter, the emissions of NOX from Euro 1 and Euro 2 gasoline cars changed Fig. 1. Map of air pollution of the areas within 0,15-0,9 g/km. The lowest emissions of NOX (0,003 to 0,08 g/km) near SPbRR by exhaust NО2 at adverse were observed for the Euro 3 - Euro 5 gasoline vehicles equipped with traffic and weather conditions three-component catalytic convertor. Diesel vehicles satisfying Euro 3 and Euro 4 emission standards demonstrated 3-5 times higher emissions of NOX than gasoline cars of the same type and emission class. The minimum emissions of NOX were observed at uniform movement of the cars without stops and accelerations at speed ranging from 40 to 90 km/h independentely on vehicle type, age and emission class. The received NOX emission factors were used for the evaluation of NOX exhaust emissions and for the determination of NOX level near main roads and highway (St.PbRR) by means of the Methodology and software mentioned above. It was determined that even HDV-free large streets (Nevsky and Moskovsky prospects) are sometimes exposed to the enhanced levels of NО2 exceeding national health-based ambient standards by 2-5 times at adverse traffic and weather conditions. The areas near St. Petersburg Ring Road is exposed to 5-10 multiple excess of limit value of NО2 in single cases (Fig. 1). The obtained results were in good correlation with the data of road-side monitoring of air quality in St. Petersburg. Conclusions The study of NOX emissions from vehicles in real traffic under different weather conditions as well as the estimation of links between NOX exhaust emissions and the level of NO2 on roads and near roads will contribute to the development of engine technologies, to the optimization of urban planning and to the improvement of air quality management. 170 ASSESSING THE HEALTH BENEFITS OF DECREASED POPULATION EXPOSURES VERSUS DISBENEFITS OF INCREASED DRIVER EXPOSURES IN AN 18 KM LONG HIGH-WAY ROAD TUNNEL BY-PASS IN STOCKHOLM H. Orru (1, 2), B. Lövenheim (3), C. Johansson (3, 4), B. Forsberg (1) (1) Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umea University, Umea, SE-901 87, Sweden; (2) Department of Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, 50411, Estonia; (3) Environment and Health Administration, Stockholm, SE-104 20, Sweden; (4) Department of Applied Environmental Science, Stockholm University, Stockholm, SE-106 91, Sweden Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary To meet increased traffic in Stockholm, a 21 km long by-pass (18 km in a tunnel) is planned. The by-pass is expected to reduce traffic emissions in central Stockholm but at the same time tunnel users could be exposed to high concentrations of vehicle exhaust and road dust. The main objective of this study is to estimate the expected health benefits for the general population associated with improved ambient air quality and the expected adverse effects for tunnel users from additional exposure. Health risks were calculated based on health impact assessment principles using established methodsand AirQ software. It appeared that the calculations were highly sensitive to the assumptions regarding the tunnel exposure, thus the health impact can be beneficial or adverse. Introduction The Stockholm bypass – Förbifart Stockholm – will be a new motorway linking southern and northern Stockholm, which is divided by water. This bypass should meet the growing transport needs due to the increased population in the region. More than 18 km of the total of 21 km of the bypass are going to be road tunnels. By 2035, it is estimated that Förbifart Stockholm will be used by approximately 140,000 vehicles per day. The by-pass is expected to reduce traffic emissions in central Stockholm but at the same time tunnel users could be exposed to high concentrations of vehicle exhaust. Methodology For the exposure reduction, the change in annual ambient NOX and PM10 levels were modelled using 100x100 m grids and the population (1 628 528 inhabitants) average exposure was calculated for Greater Stockholm area. The tunnel exposure was estimated based on annual average NOX and PM10 levels, time spent in tunnel and number of persons using the tunnel. Health risks were calculated based on health impact assessment principles and AirQ software. In calculations the following E-R coefficients for non-external mortality were used: 8% per 10 μgm-3 increase of NOX (Nafstad et al., 2004) and 1.68% per 10 μgm-3 increase of coarse (non-exhaust) PM10 (Meister et al., 2012). Results It appeared that for the general population there would be annually 23.0 (95% CI 17.2–31.3) premature death less; mainly from traffic exhaust (indicated by NOX) and somewhat from coarse particles (indicated by PM10), contributing 22.5 and 0.5 fewer deaths, respectively. At the same time, tunnel users (daily 55 219 cars each way) will be exposed to NOX concentrations up to 1957 μgm-3 during rush-hours. Passing the whole tunnel daily would correspond to an additional annual NOX exposure of 9.6 μgm-3 and PM10 exposure of 4.1 μgm-3. Assuming there would be 1.3 persons in car from the age group 30–74, this exposure would result in 22.9 (95% CI 17.2–31.3) preterm deaths. If there would be more persons per car or older people travelling, the estimate becomes bigger. Conclusions The analysis showed that depending on the in-vehicle exposure of tunnel users, age (and sensitivity) of tunnel users and number of persons in the vehicle, the total impact on health of the changes in air pollution exposure driven by the bypass project can be beneficial or adverse. The calculations were highly sensitive to assumptions that have to be included. First of all, the higher the concentrations of harmful pollutants in the tunnel and vehicles are, the bigger the increase in risk will be. Moreover, the longer the time spent in the tunnel (especially during more congest situations during rush hours), the higher dose will become. Second, if we expect older more vulnerable people using the tunnel users, this would increase the mortality risk. As older people probably will work and commute in the future, this exposure of elderly will likely increase. Third, the more persons in the car, the larger number of people will be exposed and the larger the impact will become. Acknowledgement This work was supported by a grant from The Swedish Transport Administration. References Nafstad P., Haheim L.L., Wisloff T., Gram F., Oftedal B., Holme I., Hjermann I., Leren P., 2004. Urban air pollution and mortality in a cohort of Norwegian men. Environmental Health Perspectives 112, 610-615. Meister K., Johansson C., Forsberg B., 2012. Estimated Short-Term Effects of Coarse Particles on Daily Mortality in Stockholm, Sweden. Environmental Health Perspectives 120, 431-436. 171 INTERCOMPARISON OF URBAN SCALE AIR QUALITY MODELS S. Jonkers (1), E .W. Meijer (1), P. Y. J. Zandveld (1), B. R. Denby (2), I. Douros, (3), N. Moussiopoulos (3), V. Singh (4), R. S. Sokhi (4), A. Karppinen (5), L. Kangas (5) and J. Kukkonen (5) (1) Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research (TNO), Utrecht, Netherlands, (2) Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU), Kjeller, Norway (3) Aristotle University of Thessaloniki (AUTh), Thessaloniki, Greece, (4) University of Hertfordshire, Hatfield, Hertfordshire, United Kingdom (UH); (5) Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Helsinki, Finland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study compares the performance of five urban scale air quality models with diverse approaches. The models involved were Urbis Real-Time (TNO), Episode (NILU), MEMO/MIMO (AUTh), OSCAR (UH), and UDMS (FMI). The comparison is based on modelled and observed concentrations in the Rijnmond area, an urban-industrial region in the Netherlands. The comparison focusses on near-road increments of species nitrogen oxide and elemental carbon. Modelled concentrations are compared to observations. Analysis shows that 4 out of 5 models resolve the near-road concentration increments reasonably well (R2 over 0.5 and NRMS of 0.3 or lower). Furthermore, 2 out of 5 models follow the observed concentration patterns during low wind speed episodes rather well. One out of 5 models performs well in resolving both spatial and temporal variances. Introduction Urban air pollution is identified by the United Nations’ World Health Organization as a ‘key priority environment and health risk’ (http://www.who.int/heli/risks/en/). Epidemiological studies such as Hoek et al., 2002 have demonstrated the adverse health effects of traffic emissions of particulate matter in particular. Uncertainty assessment in air quality studies is of high importance. This study compares 5 urban scale dispersion models and assesses their uncertainty, when compared to observations. These models are all operated by participants in the TRANSPHORM project. Methodology and Results The models involved in this study are Urbis Real-Time (TNO), Episode (NILU), MEMO/MIMO (AUTh), OSCAR (UH), and UDMS (FMI). The models cover a wide range of approaches and complexity. The same set of input values was available for all models; however, the models use these input data in various ways. For instance, some dispersion models are used in connection with meteorological pre-processors that use data from sounding stations, while some other models use simpler treatments for meteorology. The regional background concentrations were calculated with the regional scale model LotosEuros. The area of interest is the Rijnmond area, an urban-industrial region of about 25x15 km, in the west of the Netherlands. We strongly focus on the local increment of nitrogen oxide (NOx) and elemental carbon (EC) due to road traffic. Figure 1 shows modeled and observed NOx concentrations at 8 locations in the Rijnmond area. Figure 1: Modelled and observed NOx concentration at 8 - equal colour indicated -monitoring locations (motorway, street or background). Results from MEMO/MIMO will be added later on. Conclusions From the models among the ensemble, 4 out of 5 resolve the near-road concentration increments reasonably well (R2 over 0.5 and NRMS of 0.3 or lower). Another experiment within this study shows 2 out of 5 models follow the observed concentration patterns during low wind speed episodes rather well. Other models are rather insensitive to low wind conditions. This is still commonplace in most dispersion models and an interesting issue for future work as concentrations during these episodes can exceed the tenfold of the long term average concentrations. Acknowledgement This work was performed within the framework of the EU FP7 project TRANSPHORM (ENV.2009.1.2.2.1 e Transport related air pollution and health impacts). References Hoek G., Brunekreef B., Goldbohm S., Fischer P. And van den Brandt P.A.,2002. Association between indicators of traffic-related air pollution in the Netherlands: a cohort study. Lancet 360, 1203-1209. 172 mortality and CONTRIBUTION OF EMISSION SOURCES TO CONCENTRATIONS OF FINE PARTICULATE MATTER (PM2.5) IN EUROPE X. Francis (1), R. S. Sokhi (1), C. Chemel (1) H. Denier van der Gon (2) (1) Centre for Atmospheric and Instrumentation Research (CAIR), University of Hertfordshire, Hatfield, Hertfordshire, AL10 9AB, United Kingdom, (2) TNO, dept. Climate, Air and Sustainability, Princetonlaan 6, 3584 CB Utrecht, The Netherlands Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to assess the relative importance of specific emission sources and their impact on surface concentrations of PM2.5 by “zeroing” out emissions sources. The regional chemical transport model, WRF-CMAQ modelling system has been employed to study the impact of different sources of emission on European air quality. The model simulations conducted including emissions from all the sources as well as excluding specific sources. The spatial distribution of monthly mean percentage contribution show that emissions from industrial as well as non-industrial combustions contribute more to concentration of PM2.5 over Europe as compared to other emission sources. The calculation of monthly-mean domain wide contribution to concentrations of PM2.5 shows that transport sector contributes ~5 % in January and ~11 % in July. Non-road transport sector contribute more to concentration of PM2.5 as compared to the road-transport sector in July. Introduction In recent times considerable attention has been paid on atmospheric particulate matter (PM) because of its adverse effects on human health, environment, and its influence on climate change. Therefore it is essential to understand the main emission sources that contribute PM2.5 concentrations over Europe. The approaches widely used in the source apportionment studies are based on the receptor modelling and sensitivities of emissions sources in dispersion models. In this study we have applied Brute Force Method (BFM) in WRF-CMAQ modelling system to determine the impacts of different emission sources in Europe. percentage contribution (%) Methodology and Results The Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) 35 January July modelling system version 4.7.1 was used for this 30 study. CMAQ was applied on horizontal grid 25 dimension with 18 km grid resolution. The chemical boundary conditions for CMAQ simulation were 20 derived from the EMAC and MATCH models. The 15 meteorological inputs were generated from the 10 Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model version 5 3.2.1. The hourly emission data of primary pollutants 0 used in CMAQ modelling system were prepared with Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions system (SMOKE) version 2.6. As a part of EU FP7 Transport related Air Pollution and Health impacts - Integrated Methodologies for Assessing Particulate Matter (TRANSPHORM, http://www.transphorm.eu), the annual total anthropogenic gridded emission inventory for Europe was provided by Netherlands organisation for applied scientific research (TNO). In total, there Fig.1 Domain-wide monthly-mean percentage contributions to the were 19 CMAQ model simulations were conducted for concentrations of PM January and July 2005, which includes simulations 2.5 with all emissions, without industrial combustion, nonindustrial combustion, industrial process, fossil fuel and geo-thermal, road transport, non-road transport, waste treatment and disposal, agriculture, and biomass burning emissions. biomass burning agriculture process waste treatment and disposal non‐road transport road transport Fossil fuel and geothermal Industrial process Non‐Industrial Combustion Industrial Combustion Conclusions This study found that industrial combustion and non-industrial combustions are the two important sources in January with contributions of 20 % and 19 %, respectively to the surface monthly-mean concentration of PM2.5 over Europe. Industrial combustion is the most important source in July, with a contribution of 31% to surface monthly-mean PM2.5. Biomass burning and agriculture process are the two next largest sources in July with contributions of 14 % and 8 %, respectively. Due to increase in number of international shipping and other related activities in summer, non-road transport sector contribute more to concentration of PM2.5 in July than in January. Generally, source apportionment studies help in defining the control strategies to reduce PM concentrations and this study will support to identify the main emission sources that contribute to concentrations of PM in Europe. Acknowledgement This work was supported by EU FP7-Transport related Air Pollution and Health impacts - Integrated Methodologies for Assessing Particulate Matter (TRANSPHORM, http://www.transphorm.eu). 173 URBAN AND TRAFFIC CONTRIBUTIONS TO PM2.5 IN LONDON V. Singh (1), R. S. Sokhi (1) and J. Kukkonen (2) (1) CAIR, University of Hertfordshire College Lane, Hatfield, AL10 9AB, UK; (2) Air Quality Research, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Sahaajankatu 20 E, Helsinki, Finland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This paper reports on the analysis of contributions from urban and road traffic sources to PM2.5 concentrations within London for 2008 with the OSCAR Air Quality Assessment System. Modelling analysis shows that the urban traffic contributes approximately 1 µg/m3 of PM2.5 to the urban background across London, however its distribution is spatially heterogeneous. The urban increment was evaluated to be varying from 20% at suburban environments to 50% near busy roads where the total concentrations can be almost three times the regional background. The total urban increment close to busy roads was around 7-8 µg/m3 in which the estimated traffic contribution is more than 2 µg/m3. Introduction Road transport is one of the most important sources of particulate matter (PM). Numerous studies have shown that the traffic emissions are particularly associated with short to long-term health effects. This is especially of concern in urban areas, where large numbers of people spend significant amount of time at the immediate vicinity of the roads. Moreover the spatial extent of exposure to certain specific components and size fraction of PM are different. The aim of this paper is to examine the spatial extent of the PM2.5 concentration across London in 2008 and focuses on the importance of the PM2.5 originating from urban road transport sources. Methodology and results OSCAR Air Quality Assessment System (Singh et al., 2013, Sokhi et al. 2008) has been used to calculate the concentrations originating from traffic emissions in London. The study area covers greater London including the M25 motorway (Figure 1). The dispersion equations are based on the Gaussian finite line source model and include dry deposition. The dispersion parameters are modelled as function of the Obukhov length, the friction velocity and the mixing height. Traffic emissions are calculated for over 63000 road links in London. The concentrations originating from traffic have been modelled at higher resolution receptor points near roads, then have been added to the Defra background concentration (Grice S et al., 2009) to obtain the total concentration. We estimate the spatial distribution of the contribution of traffic to total PM2.5 concentrations, and compare it to contributions from other urban sources and regional backgrounds derived from measurement stations. Figure 1 shows the spatial distribution of the calculated traffic increment for PM2.5 in London. Figure 2 shows the predicted median urban traffic increment and median urban increment from all other urban sources except for urban traffic, and regional background at different categories of sites. Figure 1. Spatial map of the urban traffic percentage increment of PM2.5 in London. Conclusion This study shows that the urban increment including the traffic contribution in London is very significant and spatially heterogeneous across London. The total concentrations can be up to three times the regional background near urban major roads. The increment is higher near the busy roads, and lower at urban Figure 2. Urban and traffic increment at different locations. background and suburban locations. The information on highly heterogeneous distribution of PM2.5 can be used to quantify health impacts resulting from specific sources of PM2.5 such as traffic emissions to aid city and national decision makers when formulating pollution control strategies. Acknowledgement This work was supported by 7th Framework Programme project TRANSPHORM (Grant agreement: 243406) and the APTA project funded by the Academy of Finland. References Grice S. et al 2009. UK air quality modelling for annual reporting 2007 on ambient air quality assessment under Council Directives 96/62/EC, 1999/30/EC and 2000/69/EC. Sokhi et al. 2008. An integrated multi-model approach for air quality assessment: Development and evaluation of the OSCAR Air Quality Assessment System. Environ. Model. Softw. 23, 3 (March 2008), 268-281. DOI=10.1016/j.envsoft.2007.03.006. Singh V., Sokhi R.S. and Kukkonen J., 2013, PM2.5 concentrations in London for 2008 - A modelling analysis of contributions from road traffic. Journal of air waste management association. Accepted 174 ROADSIDE AND URBAN BACKGROUND MEASUREMENTS OF ULTRAFINE PARTICLES IN THESSALONIKI, GREECE – 7 YEARS LATER Ι. Vouitsis, S. Amanatidis, L. Ntziachristos and Z. Samaras Laboratory of Applied Thermodynamics (LAT), Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, GR 541 24, Thessaloniki, Greece Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The goal of this study is to provide detailed information on the physical characteristics of airborne material in the atmosphere of Thessaloniki. To this aim, measurements were conducted at a busy roadside and at a nearby urban background site of the city. Particle characteristics measured included mass, number and active surface concentration as well as particle volatility and size distribution. Good correlation was observed between airborne particle concentration particles characteristics and change in traffic volume and domestic heating. Comparison with measurements conducted 7 years ago showed, in most cases, a significant reduction in particle pollution which is attributed to the reduction of car usage by Greeks consumers. Introduction Several studies suggest that Thessaloniki is one of the most polluted cities within Europe, especially with respect to airborne particles. The situation is expected to differentiate due to several reasons, such as the construction of metro and the financial crisis which forced Greek consumers to seek out alternative ways of heating their homes (demand for wood and pellets has soared) and to reduce car usage. Considering the above, several particle characteristics were measured at two different sites and the results were compared with those of similar measurements conducted 7 years ago (Vouitsis et al, 2008). Methodology and Results Measurements were conducted at two different sites (one in the centre of the citytraffic affected (site 1) and one in the urban background-not traffic affected (site 2)) during two different periods: February 2013 (winter period) and June 2013 (summer period). Instrumentation used included: a Dekati Mass Monitor for airborne PM2.5 mass concentration, a CPC for number concentration, an SMPS for size distributions, a diffusion charger for active surface concentration and a thermodenuder for particle volatility (Fig. 1). Working days average mass concentration at site 1 during the winter period was 49 μg m-3 (SD=15), about 38% lower than 2006, while weekends value was 70 μg m-3 (SD=26), about 10% higher than 2006. Corresponding values for the summer period were 24 μg m-3 (SD=8) in working days and 22 μg m-3 (SD=6) in weekends. Working days average mass concentration at site 2 during the winter period was 13 μg m-3 (SD=6), 35% lower than 2006, while weekend value was 21 μg m-3 (SD=7), 35% lower than 2006. Corresponding values for the summer period were 10 μg m-3 (SD=3) in working days and 8 μg m-3 (SD=3) in weekends. Working days average number concentration at site 1 during the winter period was 32035 cm-3 (SD=6780), about 57% lower than 2006, while weekends value was 27600 cm-3 (SD=8860), about 60% lower than 2006. Corresponding values for the summer period were 16200 cm-3 (SD=4640), working days and 17500 cm-3 (SD=3780), weekends. Working days average number concentration at site 2 during the winter period was 14450 cm-3 (SD=6045), 6% higher than 2006, while weekend value was 19300 cm-3 (SD=8950), 6% lower than 2006. The values for the summer period were 8020 cm-3 (SD=2435), working days, and 7600 cm-3 (SD=2170), weekends. During the winter period both particle mass and number concentrations were significantly increased during the evening at both sites, which could be attributed to wood-based domestic heating. Active surface concentrations showed a very good correlation with mass concentrations. Particle volatility fluctuated during the day and increased with traffic volume. It was higher during winter working days and lower during summer weekends. The size distribution of particles exhibited a pattern which depended on the time of the weekday and differed over weekends. This was observed both at the busy roadside and at the background site. Fig.1 Measurement set-up Fig.2 Average size distributions monitored in two sites during winter and summer period (working days) Conclusions As traffic volume decreases in Greece due to financial crisis, particle pollution reduces correspondingly. Domestic heating seems to contribute more to airborne particles in comparison with previous years, probably due to increased use of wood and pellets. Acknowledgement This research was co-financed by the European Social Fund and Greek national funds - Program: THALES. References Vouitsis, I., Ntziachristos, L., Samaras, Ζ. Roadside and urban background measurements of ultrafine particles in Thessaloniki. European Aerosol Conference 2008, Thessaloniki, Greece, 25-29 August 2008. 175 USE OF REMOTE SENSING AND SATELLITE DATA FOR AIR QUALITY RESEARCH 176 A REGIONAL SCALE NOX EMISSION INVERSION USING OMI OBSERVATIONS J. Vira (1), M. Sofiev (1) (1) Finnish Meteorological Institute Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This paper discusses results of an inverse modelling study aiming to estimate European scale NO2 emissions using satellite observations by the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI). The observations are assimilated into the chemistry transport model SILAM, and a variational technique is employed to obtain an optimized emission distribution. The inversion is performed for July 2011 using the 2007 background emission inventory, which allows comparing the inversion results with the reported emission trends. The results are consistent at several areas, however, some features in the optimized emissions cannot be explained by the reported changes. Introduction The availability of remote sensed observations of atmospheric composition has made satellite-based, top-down emission estimates technically feasible. Such estimates could supplement the existing emission inventories for sources or areas where traditional emission inventories are not available. However, assessing the quality of the satellite-based estimates is not straightforward, since emission fluxes are not observed directly. This work aims to evaluate the capabilities of an emission inversion scheme for NO2 emission in European scale. Methodology and Results This study employs the 3D chemistry-transport model SILAM and the NO2 column observations by the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) on board the Aura satellite. The simulated area is shown in Fig 1. The initial (a priori) pollutant emissions were given by the 2007 TNO-MACC emission inventory. A variant of the 4D-Var data assimilation method was used in the inversion. The method adjusts the daily emission fluxes iteratively to optimize the agreement between the observations and their modelled counterparts. The a priori emission inventory is used as an additional constraint to keep the solution fully determined. Compared to the observations (Fig. 1, panel a), the a posteriori NO2 columns show clearly improved agreement in many areas including Britain, northern Spain, and parts of southern Scandinavia. Although the results for a single month cannot be directly generalized to yearly level, some of the changes are qualitatively consistent with reported emission reductions (EEA 2013, ~30% for UK, ~25% for Spain) between the inventory base year 2007 and the simulated year 2011. The inversion results show relatively strong positive NOx emission increments for south-eastern Europe, where the a priori NO2 columns were significantly underestimated. This is not explainable by changes in the reported emissions but may indicate a deficiency in the initial estimates or the model itself. In addition to NOx emissions, due to chemical coupling, the inversion results in adjusted emissions of VOCs, mainly isoprene. This highlights the role of the chemical mechanism in the inversion process. Conclusions The inversion was technically successful, and the refined emission field is consistent with reported emission reductions especially in Western Europe. In parts of South-Eastern Europe, a low bias in the a priori simulation results in enhanced a posteriori NOx emissions, which is not attributable to reported changes in yearly emissions. Acknowledgements This work has been supported by the projects SAMBA (ESA) and MACC-II (EU). We acknowledge the free use of tropospheric NO2 column data from the OMI sensor from www.temis.nl. References European Environment Agency, 2013. European Union emission inventory report 1990–2011 under the UNECE Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution (LRTAP). a) OMI b) A priori c) A posteriori d) scaling Figure 1. From left: the average observed, a priori and a posteriori NO2 columns (1015 molec/cm-2) for July 2011. Panel d: the average emission scaling (a posteriori / a priori). 177 AIRBORNE MAPPING OF NITROGEN DIOXIDE CONCENTRATIONS IN URBAN ENVIRONMENTS R. J. Leigh (1), J. P. Lawrence (1), J. Vande Hey(1), R. R. Graves (1),and P. S. Monks (2) (1) Earth Observation Science Group, Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE1 7RH, United Kingdom; (2) Atmospheric Chemistry Group, Department of Chemistry, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE1 7RH, United Kingdom; Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Remote sensing of nitrogen dioxide from space has been widely exploited to explore regional and continental trends and spatial patterns in urban air quality. This project employed a satellite breadboard demonstrator within a light aircraft to map nitrogen dioxide concentrations over an urban environment at 20 x 80 m resolution. This fine-scale mapping of NO2 concentrations provides a valuable insight into small-scale variability at street scales, with indications of small-scale industrial emission sources, traffic emissions, dynamics and chemistry. Introduction Remote sensing of NO2 has been previously demonstrated from ground-based DOAS and MAX-DOAS systems, and employed in a range of satellites starting with GOME in 1995, and continuing through the Sentinel missions. The range of applications of remotely-sensed NO2 is increasing, with notable milestones including the assessment of regional trends over China in Richter et al. 2005, and the use of inversion modelling to assess emission inventories by Mijling et al. in 2013. In this project, an imaging spectrometer was employed from 900 m altitude in a light aircraft, to explore the information content of relatively high spatial resolution remotely-sensed maps of nitrogen dioxide concentration. Methodology and Results The CompAQS instrument is a concentric spectrometer designed by Dan Lobb of Surrey Satellite Technologies Ltd, and described in Whyte et al. 2009. For these experiments, CompAQS was configured to image 128 across-track pixels along a 600 m swath, recording spectra from 420 – 590 nm at 1-2 nm resolution. On 28th February 2013, this instrument was flown in a light aircraft over the city of Leicester in the United Kingdom from 12:30 to 14:00 GMT. A flight pattern was used to produce gridded measurements over the entire city centre, and some suburban areas. From these measurements, nitrogen dioxide slant column concentrations can be derived using the traditional technique of differential optical absorption spectroscopy. A map of retrieved nitrogen dioxide slant columns is shown in Figure 1. The technique was Fig 1. Nitrogen Dioxide concentrations mapped over Leicester on 28th demonstrated to reliably retrieve NO2 concentrations at Feb 2013. 20 x 80 m resolution, and provide a number of novel perspectives on urban emission and chemistry. Significant spatially-constrained (<400m) features were identified around busy transport junctions, car parks, some industrial locations, and densely vegetated areas. The flight path also retrieved high NO2 concentrations around the regional coal-fired power station. Conclusions Airborne mapping of nitrogen dioxide has not been widely used to address operational and scientific requirements for air quality measurements. These results provide some direct information on emissions, chemistry and dynamics in the urban environment, and illustrate the potential use of such data in model assimilation and future air quality services. Acknowledgement This work was funded under the UK’s Centre for Earth Observation Instrumentation, and has received significant support under the Natural Environment Research Council’s Knowledge Exchange scheme. The optical design for the CompAQS spectrometer was provided by Surrey Satellite Technology Ltd, and flight logistical support was provided by Bluesky International Ltd. References Mijling, B., van der A, R. J., and Zhang, Q.: Regional nitrogen oxides emission trends in East Asia observed from space, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 13, 17519-17544, doi:10.5194/acpd-13-17519-2013, 2013. Richter, A., Burrows, J. P., Nüß, H., Granier, C, Niemeier, U., Increase in tropospheric nitrogen dioxide over China observed from space, Nature, 437, 129-132, doi: 10.1038/nature04092, 2005 Whyte, C., R. J. Leigh, D. Lobb, T. Williams, J. J. Remedios, M. Cutter, and P.S. Monks, Assessment of the performance of a compact concentric spectrometer system for Atmospheric Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 2, 789-800, 2009 178 OBTAINING PM2.5 IN THE STOCKHOLM REGION FROM SPACEBORNE MEASUREMENTS M. Tesche (1), P. Glantz (1), and C. Johansson (1, 2) (1) Department of Applied Environmental Science, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; (2) SLB-Analys, Environment and Health Administration, Stockholm City, Box 8136, SE-10420 Stockholm, Sweden Presenting author email: [email protected] Introduction The aim of this study is to deduce surface concentrations of PM2.5 for the region of Stockholm from satellite observations of aerosol optical thickness (AOT). Previous studies showed the potential for using spaceborne AOT observations for air-quality monitoring (Hoff and Christopher, 2009) – especially for tracking the exceedance of threshold values. It is yet to be explored if similar methods can also be applied in a rather clean environment. Following Glantz et al. (2009), we intended to obtain an AOT–PM2.5-relationship representative for the clean conditions that prevail over the region of Stockholm. Methodology and Results We use AOT at 555 nm from the MODIS collection 5 Atmosphere and Land product for MODIS-Terra (since 1999) and MODIS-Aqua (since 2002). AOT is provided with a spatial resolution (pixel size) of 10×10 km2 at ground. MODIS AOTs were compared to measurements at the AERONET stations Gotland, Gustav Dalen Tower, Palgrunden, and SMHI. MODIS AOT was found to be within the expected uncertainty of ±0.05±0.05×AOT over land, if median values of the pixels adjacent to the ground stations were used. Using the mean value of these pixels causes MODIS to underestimate AERONET measurements by about 20%. It was also found that periods with AOT higher than 0.2 were scarce. In the next step, spaceborne AOT was related to PM2.5 measurements at stations in the Stockholm region that are representative for regional Fig.1: AOT–PM2.5-relationships at different stations for cases with at least 5 pixels around a site, AOT bins and urban background conditions: Aspvreten (rural, 70 km south of of 0.05, and 5-h PM2.5 means around an overpass. Stockholm), Norr Malma (rural, 65 km north of Stockholm), Lilla Essingen (kerb site), Torkel Knutssonsgatan (urban background), Uppsala (kerb side, 65 km north of Stockholm), and Vavihill (rural, 500 km south of Stockholm). AOT–to–PM2.5 relationships were obtained for cases in which AOT for at least 7 of the 9 pixel adjacent to a ground site were available. We use the binning approach of Wang and Christopher (2003) to account for the wide spread in the data of both insitu and MODIS observations. Furthermore, the AOT–to–PM2.5 relationship was obtained by using the median values for bins of 0.05 AOT rather than the mean values, which reduces the impact of extreme values. Meteorological parameters (i.e., relative humidity, wind speed and direction) were also measured at the in-situ stations. Additional AOT–to–PM2.5 relationships were inferred for cases in which these parameters showed values above and below their respective median values to investigate effects of meteorological conditions on the median AOT–to–PM2.5 relationship and to assess the error of the PM2.5 retrieval. Few cases were associated with PM2.5 > 30 µg/m3 or AOT > 0.45. Summary and Conclusions The validity of an AOT–to–PM2.5 relationship depends on an assumption of homogeneous aerosol conditions in the planetary boundary layer and an absence of elevated aerosol layers. Lidar observations at Stockholm and of the CALIPSO satellite show a small influence of elevated aerosol layers. The relationship between AOT and PM2.5 showed little variation for the sites in the Stockholm region. Preliminary findings suggest that the obtained AOT–PM2.5 relationship allows us to reproduce ground observations, in particular of pollution episodes, with an estimated error of ±25-40%. MODIS collection 5 AOT is provided with a pixel size of 10×10 km2. The upcoming release of collection 6 with a resolution of 3×3 km2 will be applied to test the obtained AOT–PM2.5 relationship on a higher resolution for a more detailed view on air quality in the Stockholm region. In selected cases, another aerosol retrieval algorithm (Glantz et al., 2009) could be applied to MODIS measurements of spectral radiances (1 km2 pixel size) to compile PM2.5 maps with finer spatial resolution. This would enable a more detailed investigation of local sources and the impact of pollution events on surface PM2.5. Acknowledgement This investigation was financed by Formas contract 216-2010-910. We thank also like to thank the colleagues at ITM and SLB for maintaining the in-situ instruments at the stations used in this study. References Glantz, P., A. Kokhanovsky, W. von Hoyningen-Huene, and C. Johansson (2009), Estimating PM2.5 over southern Sweden using space-borne optical measurements, Atmos. Environ. 43, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.05.017. Hoff, R. M. and Christopher, S. A. (2009), Remote sensing of particulate pollution from space: Have we reached the promised land?, J. Air & Waste Manage. Assoc. 59, doi:10.3155/1047-3289.59.6.645. Wang, J. and S. A. Christopher (2003), Intercomparison between satellite-derived aerosol optical thickness and PM2.5 mass: Implications for air quality studies, Geophys. Res. Lett. 30, doi:10.1029/2003GL018174. 179 ON POSSIBILITY OF REMOTE-SENSING COMPLIANCE MONITORING OF SHIP-FUEL SULPHUR CONTENT: A MODELLING STUDY IN GULF OF FINLAND M. Sofiev (1), M.Prank (1), L.Johansson (1), J.-P.Jalkanen (1), T.Stipa (1) (1) Finnish Meteorological Institute Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Stricter regulations are being imposed on sulphur content of ship fuel on Baltic Sea. Within ESA-SAMBA project, a modelling study was conducted to figure out whether ships violating the regulations could be identified from currently available satellite observations of SO2 column amounts and, if not, what are the instrument parameters required for such task. The study concentrated on the relation between the spatial resolution and sensitivity of the instrument used to observe the SO2 content in plumes coming from ships. The modelling results demonstrated that currently available devices lack both resolution and sensitivity for the task – by at least an order of magnitude. Introduction Presently, the allowed sulphur content in fuel of ships ceiling in Baltic Sea is 1%, down from 2.7% in the past, and is expected to go down to 0.1%. However, strict regulations only have an effect if a control mechanism exists to ensure compliance. Monitoring ships in open sea is possible only via remote sensing, which raises the problem of sufficient instrument resolution and sensitivity to measure the plumes coming out of individual ships. The resolution and sensitivity limitations come from partly independent technical reasons, which sometimes compete. Therefore, within ESA-SAMBA project, a modelling study was conducted to understand the necessary sensitivity and resolution for recognising the difference between the low- and high0sulphur emitting ships. Methodology and Results STEAM ship emission model, which processes the information on actual position of every ship in Baltic Sea to the emission estimates, was applied to provide two emission scenarios. The first case is when all ships follow the regulation of 0.1% sulphur limit, wherease the second case included 10% of ships using the cheaper fuel with 2.7% sulphur content. For both scenarios, sulphur emission in April 2011 were generated. Model horizontal resolution was 1 km and temporal resolution 6 minutes; domain covered the Gulf of Finland. The STEAM data were supplied to SILAM, which was used to compute the dispersion and chemistry of the emitted SO2. The key output quantity included SO2 column amounts – a typical quantity observed visible from satellites (example Fig. 1). SILAM was run with the same horizontal and temporal resolution as STEAM. The SILAM output was averaged to 2, 4, 8, 16 and 32 km resolutions and the distributions of the differences in column SO2 between the two scenarios were analysed (Figs 2 and 3). Conclusions The results demonstrate that there is no way of detecting the ships using high-sulphur fuel with current observational devices. However, a low-orbit satellites with <1 km pixel size would need to recognise 0.02 DU to be able to explore the rule-breaking ships. Acknowledgement This work was performed within ESA-SAMBA project. Fig.1 SO2 column amount, baseline scenario, example 2011.04.21 20:00 Fig.2 Example of SO2 columns, difference between the scenarios, 2011.04.21 20:00 1 0.1 0.01 0.001 1km 2km 0.0001 4km 8km 0.00001 16km 32km 0.000001 0.0000001 0.00000001 0.000000001 0.1 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.005 0.002 0.001 0.0005 0.0002 0.0001 5.00E-05 2.00E-05 1.00E-05 0 -1 Fig.3 Differences between the scenarios - fraction of grid cells with difference in SO2 column amounts exceeding the given value. 180 BOUNDARY LAYER AEROSOL INVESTIGATION WITH LASER CEILOMETER C. Münkel (1), K. Schäfer (2), S. Emeis (2) and P. Suppan (2) (1) Vaisala GmbH, 22607 Hamburg, Germany (2) Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Department of Atmospheric Environmental Research (IMK-IFU), 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Laser ceilometers are backscatter lidars designed for continuous operation in all meteorological situations. One lens design systems with overlap already in the lowest range gate are a good choice for accurate monitoring of aerosol structures in the lower boundary layer relevant for air quality applications. This study evaluates backscatter data from ceilometers installed in environments ranging from arctic sites to megacities, in respect of mixing layer height determination, monitoring of local particle emissions, and discrimination of stable, convective, and residual layers. Introduction The main purpose of eye-safe laser ceilometers is regular reporting of cloud base height, vertical visibility, and cloud cover. These instruments operate unattended in harsh weather conditions. The application of state-of-the-art electronics increases the quality of backscatter profiles and thus qualifies modern ceilometers for applications beyond cloud base detection. These include the automated characterization of the boundary layer structure, determination of the height of the mixing layer, and monitoring of elevated aerosol layers like dust and volcanic ash clouds. Methodology and Results The Vaisala ceilometer CL51 is a one lens system that uses the inner part of its lens for transmitting and the outer part for receiving light (see Fig.1). This provides sufficient overlap of the transmitter light cone and the receiver field-of-view over the whole measuring range and allows reliable monitoring of near range boundary layer structures below 200 m not seen by other instrument types (Münkel et al., 2009). Interpretation of near-range attenuated backscatter profiles with 10 m height resolution and signal averaging intervals ranging from 0.5 s to 60 s is done in respect of mixing layer height determination with an enhanced gradient method (Emeis, Schäfer, Münkel, 2008, Emeis et al., 2012), monitoring of local particle emissions, and discrimination of stable, convective and residual layers with special emphasize on the morning hours (see Fig.2). The examples presented include a variety of environments ranging from clear arctic atmospheres to densely populated megacities. Fig.1 Vaisala ceilometer CL51 and its optical setup Conclusions Based on enhanced near range performance, one lens ceilometers provide valuable additional information for air quality monitoring. Environmental agencies show increased interest in these novel applications; there are plans under way to add ceilometers to air quality monitoring station instrumentation in large and densely populated urban areas. References Emeis S., Schäfer K., Münkel C., 2008. Surface-based remote sensing of the mixing-layer height - a review. Meteorologische Zeitschrift 17, 621-630. Fig.2 CL51 ceilometer attenuated backscatter density plot covering morning hours Emeis S., Schäfer K., Münkel C., Friedl R., Suppan P., 2012. Evaluation of the interpretation of ceilometer data with RASS and radiosonde data. Boundary-Layer Meteorology 143, 25-35. Münkel C., Emeis S., Schäfer K., Brümmer B., 2009. Improved near-range performance of a low-cost one lens lidar scanning the boundary layer. Proceedings of the SPIE, Volume 7475. 181 WIND TUNNEL PHYSICAL MODELLING 182 A COMPARISON OF NUMERICAL AND EXPERIMENTAL STUDIES OF THE WIND FLOW IN URBAN STREET CANYONS F. C. Cezana (1), E. V. Goulart (1), R. R. C. de Paula (2), J. C. F. Queiroz (2), L. B. Föeger (1) and D. Z. Matta (2) (1) Energy Laboratory of Mechanic Technical Department, Federal Institute of Technology of Espirito Santo, Vitoria, Brazil (2) Environmental Engineering Department, Ufes, Vitoria, ES, Brazil Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Results of a numerical simulation of flow around a group of obstacles have been compared with experimental data obtained in an atmospheric boundary layer wind tunnel. The idealized urban street canyon was formed by six cubical building models of the same size which were arranged in a symmetric configuration with two aspect ratios. External flow was parallel to the buildings. Results were compared to numerical simulations of the same configurations using the standard - turbulence model from commercial program CFX 13.0. The numerical results give a good estimate of the wind flow in an urban street canyon. Introduction Understanding of the flow pattern and mechanism over a group of obstacles are of particular interest for environmental engineers and meteorologists Knowledge of these processes can provide information to be used in guidelines for optimizing of ventilation systems, reducing heat island effects and for risk assessments of hazardous materials emitted to the atmosphere in urban regions (Kim and Baik, 2004). In the present study, the incompressible and viscous and stationary Navier-Stokes equations were solved using - turbulence model from the Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) ANSYS CFX. Methodology and Results The flow field considered in this work was investigated in an open return wind tunnel with test section of (2.0 0.5 0.5) m located at the Energy Laboratory of IFES, Vitoria, Brazil. Smoke flow technique was used to visualize the wind flow around the six cubical buildings (H = 0.08 m) in the urban street-canyons. Fluid from a smoke machine was generated and emitted into the wind tunnel. A green laser light (500 mW) passing through a semi-cylindrical lens was used to illuminate the vicinity of the buildings. A commercial CFD code (ANSYS CFX 13.0) was used to calculate the flow field around a group of buildings. The code solves three-dimensional Reynolds-average Navier-Stokes (RANS) equation using a second order scheme. Data from both numerical and experimental simulations showed a standing vortex near the ground and below the stagnation point (see Figs. 1 and 2) at H/W=2.0, in front of the first building. Wind tunnel results showed that the flow field was defined by interaction between both buildings forming two vortices, one near the ground level and other in the upper region. From flow visualization was also possible to capture the vortex-shedding phenomenon behind upwind buildings. In the numerical velocity field it was observed that between building near the ground, flow was predominantly outward (see Fig. 2). Due to the smaller space between buildings the wakes were disturbed, resulting in a skimming flow as described by Oke (1988). The flow patterns on the plane x-y at H/W = 1.0. Within the canyon space near the street bottom level, flow was horizontally outward. One main features of the plan view was two large vortices which form in the wake behind the last building (see Fig. 3). Conclusions By the use of numerical and experimental data it was possible to investigate the wind field in an idealized urban street canyon. The pictures of flow visualization showed that with the increasing canyon space, different vortices systems occurred with positive and negative vorticity. Fig.1 Flow visualization x-z plane for H/W =2.0. z x Fig.2 Numerical velocity field x-z plane for H/W=2.0 y x Fig.3 Numerical and experimental flow x-y plane for H/W=1.0 Acknowledgement The authors would like to acknowledge the financial support from CNPq and Vale. References Kim, J. and Baik, J., 2004. A numerical study of the effects of ambient wind direction on flow and dispersion in urban street canyons using the RNG - turbulence model. Atmospheric Environment, 38, 3039-3048. Oke, T.R., 1988. Street design and urban canopy layer climate. Energy and Buildings, 11, 103-113. 183 IMPACT OF URBAN-AREA GEOMETRY ON POLLUTION VENTILATION L. Kukačka (1,2), V. Fuka (1), Š. Nosek (2), Z. Jaňour (2) (1) Charles University in Prague, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, Department of Meteorology and Environment Protection, V Holešovičkách 2, Prague, 180 00, Czech Republic; (2) Institute of Thermomechanics AS CR, Dolejškova 1402/5, Prague, 182 00, Czech Republic Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In order to quantify the influence of building geometry on the vehicle pollution ventilation within street canyons, a wind tunnel experiment and a large eddy simulation (LES) was performed. A model of an idealised urban area with a line source was designed with different building arrangements. Concentration, horizontal and vertical advective and turbulent pollution fluxes were computed from the measured data as ventilation characteristics. A domination of advective pollution transport was determined within street canyons. The turbulent transport was significant in vertical direction within as well as above the built-up area. The ventilation intensity was evaluated for each model arrangement separately. Introduction Vehicle traffic became often a dominant pollution source in large cities all over the world (e.g. Fenger, 1999). Air quality improvement in urban areas is necessary to avoid risk for human health (e.g. Hoek et. al., 2000). The geometry of the streets and buildings in a city plays an important role in the pollution dispersion (Carpentieri et al., 2012). In this study, we follow our recent research (Kukacka et. al., 2013) and we have focused on vertical advective and turbulent pollution transport above a finite street canyon within the idealised urban area. The aim of the present work is to quantify the effect of varying urban geometry complexity on turbulence and pollution dispersion using the wind tunnel modelling with the large eddy simulation. Methodology and Results For the wind tunnel experiment, a model was designed as an idealised typical European inner city urban-area formed by apartment houses with pitched roofs arranged in courtyards. We used several types of geometry with different building height variation and approach flow direction. A line source of passive scalar was placed into the model simulating vehicle traffic emissions. We assembled an experimental set-up for a simultaneous measurement of the flow velocity and the tracer gas concentration based on laser Doppler anemometry and fast flame ionisation detector. A numerical part was computed by LES numerical model CLMM - Charles University Large-eddy Microscale Model, (Fuka and Brechler, 2011). Longitudinal and vertical velocity components with pollutant concentration were evaluated for different model geometries in several horizontal and vertical planes. The advective and turbulent pollution fluxes were computed from the data as ventilation characteristics (see Fig. 1). Conclusions The results of the LES and the wind tunnel experiment, aimed to air Fig.1 Advective pollution flux within the street canyon with a line source situated perpendicular to approach pollution dispersion in the idealized urban canopies with a different flow – LES and wind tunnel comparison. geometry complexity, showed a domination of advective pollution transport within the street canyons of the investigated built-up area. However, the turbulent transport with an opposite direction to the advective one, played a significant role within and above the canopy. Further, we determined a significant influence of the geometry variation on the pollution dispersion. A building arrangement with the most ventilation intensity was found. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the Charles University in Prague (project GAUK No. 535412), the Czech Science Foundation GACR (project GAP101/12/1554) and the institutional support RVO: 61388998. References Carpentieri M., Hayden P., Robins A.G., 2012. Wind tunnel measurements of pollutant turbulent fluxes in urban intersections. Atmospheric Environment 46, 669–674. Fenger J., 1999. Urban air quality. Atmos. Environ. 33, 4877–4900. Fuka V., Brechler J., 2011. Large Eddy Simulation of the Stable Boundary Layer. Finite Volumes for Complex Applications VI - Problems & Perspectives, Springer Proceedings in Mathematics 4, Heidelberg, Germany, 485–493. Hoek G., Brunekreef B., Verhoeff A., Wijnen J., Fischer P., 2000. Daily Mortality and Air Pollution in the Netherlands. Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association 50, 1380-1389. Kukačka L., Nosek Š., Kellnerová R., Jurčáková K., Jaňour, K., 2013. Quadrant analysis of turbulent pollution flux above the modelled street intersection. EPJ Web of Conferences 45, 01053. 184 EVAPORATION AND SORPTION OF TOXIC SUBSTANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW K. Jurčáková (1), T. Dropa and M. Weisheitelová (2) (1) Institute of Thermomechanics, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Prague, Czech Republic; (2) The National Institute for Nuclear, Chemical and Biological Protection, Kamenná, Czech Republic Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to improve understanding of evaporation of toxic substances into a fully turbulent atmospheric boundary layer and of sorption of these substances on various materials. Very toxic gases such sarin, were considered and an appropriate substituent was found (pentyl acetate). The whole study was conducted in the atmospheric boundary layer wind tunnel and the model scale was 1:50. First the evaporation rate of pentyl acetate from the free surface was measured, than the concentration field around a building and a cylinder (a model of a person), and the sorption of the substance to the surfaces of the building and the cylinder. The surface materials varied from an external wall plaster to different tissues using for protective suit manufacturing. The sorption is significantly influenced by the air moisture, but general behaviour like no sorption on the airproof materials (e.g. teflon) and best sorption on the active carbon tissue were recognised. Introduction There is growing need of protection against toxic agents. Emergency responders such firemen are usually equipped with protection suits, which can be made by different materials. The material can be airproof (e.g. Teflon, tyvak), which is impenetrable by most of the agents, but very uncomfortable to wear for a longer time. Materials, which can breathe is not suitable for wearing for longer periods. These materials easily absorb toxic agents and release them afterwards. Moving firemen can cause contamination in much larger area than a simple dispersion into air flow. This phenomenon is called secondary contamination and this study should help to understand and quantify it. Methodology The study was conducted in the Environmental wind tunnel of the Institute of Thermomechnics in Novy Knin, Czech Repulic. The wind tunnel consists of an inlet chamber with dust filters, flow straighteners, vortex generators, a flow establishment section, a test section, and a centrifugal fan, which can be continuously controlled and is working in suction mode. A control system maintains test-section wind speeds ranging from 0 to 15 m/s. The effective working section is 1.5 m high, 1.5 m wide and 4 m long. A boundary layer is generated typically in the scales 1:50 to 1:1000, it is about 0.4 m thick that means about 80 to 400 m in the full scale. The vertical velocity distribution may be described by a power law or a logarithmic law in the region where the boundary layer is turbulent and fully developed. Pentyl acetate was avaporated from shallow pool of constant temperature 55°C and area size 0.0079 m2. The evaporation ratio was 9.5•10-5 m3/s/m2 for undisturbed boundary layer with free stream velocity 2.5 m/s and temperature 16°C and 8.4•10-5 m3/s/m2 if the source was placed 150 mm in front of the model building (cube, size of 158 mm) for the same free stream conditions. The concentration field was measured by Photo Ionisation detectors (PID), which were regularly calibrated and have precision of 0.01 ppm. The sorption on surfaces was judged from measurements of weight of the expose material before and after exposition inside the wind tunnel. The checking model was always placed upstream to characterize humidity effects. Materials were weighted on the analytical balance with precision 0.00001g. Results The visualization of the flow by glycerine smoke and laser light sheet showed that the source was placed inside the recirculation zone in front of the building. The toxic substance was therefore lifted on the front face of the building to the roof level very quickly. Part of the vapours streamlines on side of the building entered the wake behind the building. Thus the whole building surface was exposed by concentration about 10 ppm. The situation was similar with cylindrical structure, only there was no recirculation area in front of the cylinder, therefore weaker lift of the vapour on the front face. The materials on the surfaces (external wall plaster, Teflon, tyvek, active carbon tissue) were exposed to the flow for 10 to 60 minutes. There was always checking surface exposed only to the humid air in the wind tunnel (temperature 16°C, humidity about 65%). The weight difference of the checking surface was due to captured air humidity. This was subtracted from the difference measured on the exposed surface. External wall plaster easily absorbed humidity as well as pentyl acetate, but we were not able to reach the saturation state. Teflon and tyvek materials are airproof and they absorb only very small amount of air humidity and pentyl acetate. The absorbed amount was proportional to the time of exposure. The active carbon surface was the best absorbent for the pentyl acetate. The absorbed amount was increasing with the exposure time, but not proportionally. Conclusions The wind tunnel modelling is useful tool for studying processes within atmospheric boundary layer. The evaporation rate from free surface was constant; the concentration field around the cube building and cylinder follows the well-known pattern. Sorption processes were much influenced by ambient humidity, but we were able to take this to account. Evaporation and sorption within the turbulent boundary layer are still not very well parameterised to be computed by standard computational fluid dynamics model and further investigation is needed. Acknowledgement This work was supported with institutional support RVO:61388998 and project VG20102014049 by the Ministry of the Interior of the Czech Republic. 185 DEVELOPMENT AND VALIDATION OF THE HYBRID WIND TUNNEL/NUMERICAL MODEL HYWINMOD A. Beyer-Lout (1), R. L. Petersen (1) (1) CPP, Inc., 1415 Blue Spruce Drive, Fort Collins, CO, USA Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary HYWINMOD is a theoretical merging of wind tunnel model predictions and AERMOD (Cimorelli et al, 2005) plume rise and dispersion algorithms to allow for accurate concentration estimates for any averaging time for direct comparison with health limits, odour thresholds and/or national ambient air quality standards (NAAQS). The method is ideally suited for complex building or terrain configurations where AERMOD, the US EPA recommended and approved model, is not appropriate (i.e., urban area, very complex building configuration, upwind terrain wakes, etc.). Currently in the US, AERMOD is used for these complicated modelling situations regardless of the fact that it was only developed to handle simple solid buildings and elevated downwind terrain. This paper discusses the HYWINMOD methodology and the validation against two field databases. Introduction In the past wind tunnel modelling has not been used directly to obtain hourly concentration estimates for assessing regulatory compliance. The primarily reasons for this are: 1) the time and expense to evaluate all meteorological conditions in the wind tunnel; 2) the wind tunnel cannot accurately simulate buoyant plume rise at a reasonable model scale and hence will significantly overestimate maximum concentrations; 3) the wind tunnel has not been shown to adequately simulate the stable or convective boundary layer; and 4) the wind tunnel has not been evaluated against EPA field data bases. This paper describes a hybrid approach where wind tunnel modelling combined with the latest dispersion and boundary-layer theory can be used to overcome these problems. Methodology and Results The HYWINMOD approach consists of three parts: 1) measurement of concentration in the wind tunnel under neutral conditions; 2) data post processing and correction; 3) prediction of hourly concentrations incl. plume buoyancy for all stabilities. A scale model of the facility to be evaluated is constructed and placed in the wind tunnel. The appropriate approach mean wind speed and turbulence profiles are set up and the model operating conditions assuming a neutral atmosphere and neutrally buoyant plume are specified. The concentration is measured as a function of wind speed and wind direction at each receptor location of interest. The concentration data is then used to define a fit function at each receptor location. The fit function is used in conjunction with hourly meteorological data that is appropriate for the site (hourly wind speed, wind direction and temperature close to or at stack height, as well as Monin-Obukhov length) as well as hourly source data (emission rate, temperature, flow rate, exit velocity) to predict the hourly concentrations. Stability and plume rise adjustment factors are applied. HYWINMOD was evaluated using the two data bases: 1) the US EPA Bowline Point data base (EPA, 2003) and 2) hourly SO2 measurements near an industrial facility (SO2 monitor 600 m downwind of stack which is located near a tall boiler building). Wind tunnel tests were carried out for both sites, the Bowline Point Power Plant and the industrial facility, as described above. The HYWINMOD predicted concentrations were compared to AERMOD predicted concentrations using QQ plots. In addition, the difference between HYWINMOD and AERMOD was assessed using the robust highest concentration, or RHC (EPA, 2003). The 26th Table 1. Summary of HYWINMOD Evaluation Results highest concentration values were used to characterize the upper end of the concentration Ratio of Modelled/Observed Robust Highest distribution for determining the RHC. Concentrations Data Base Table 1 shows the ratio of modelled over AERMOD HYWINMOD Receptor/Scenario observed robust highest concentrations for 243241-hr 3-hr 1-hr AERMOD and HYWINDMOD for the two hr hr hr data bases discussed above. The best results for Bowline Point each concentration averaging time are 1 0.76 1.14 1.47 0.88 0.83 0.61 highlighted in green 3 0.85 1.12 1.62 1.44 1.26 0.58 Industrial Facility Conclusions 2009 average sulphur 0.40 0.52 0.53 0.80 0.63 0.70 The results of this evaluation show that 2009 high sulphur 0.47 0.62 0.63 0.96 0.74 0.81 HYWINMOD agrees as well with field observations as AERMOD, and in some case better than AERMOD. The results confirmed that HYWINMOD should be considered an alternate approach for situations where AERMOD is not appropriate. References Cimorelli, A.J.; S.G. Perry; A. Venkatram; J.C. Weil; R.J. Paine; R.B. Wilson; R.F. Lee; W.D. Peters; and R.W. Brode. “AERMOD: A Dispersion Model for Industrial Source Applications. Part I: General Model Formulation and Boundary Layer Characterization,” JAM, 44, 682-693. American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA. 2005. EPA. AERMOD: Latest Feature and Evaluation Results. EPA-454/R-03-003, June 2003 186 COMPARISON OF PIV EXPERIMENT AND LES ON STREET CANYON DYNAMICS R. Kellnerová (1,2), L. Kukačka (1,2), V. Fuka (2), V. Uruba (1), Z. Jaňour (1), Š. Nosek (1) (1) Institute of Thermomechanics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic; (2) Department of Meteorology and Environment Protection, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The paper deals with comparison between experimental data and numerical simulation concerning street canyon dynamics. Experimental data were obtained in the wind channel with Time-Resolved Particle Image Velocimetry (TR-PIV). By PIV, two components of velocity were measured in a vertical plane. The almost identical boundary conditions were simulated by LES. The wind dynamics inside the street canyon was then analysed by Fourier analysis, Wavelet analysis, Quadrant Reynolds decomposition, spatial and temporal correlation and Proper orthogonal decomposition (POD). Consequently, these methods were used for the mutual comparison between LES and experimental data. Although, some discrepancies were found out in the time-mean values between LES and PIV, the spectrum, momentum flux and especially POD yielded very similar results what suggests that dynamics in terms of variance was properly modelled by LES. Introduction The model of series of street canyon represented a very rough surface, which generates a very turbulent flow that is difficult to describe due to whole complexity of the nature of turbulence. Thus, two challenges in comparison between experimental and numerical data arise. Firstly, it is important to choose representative flow characteristics to capture both the complexity and the non-stationarity of the dynamics. The mean values, time-mean moments of higher orders and spectra are often used but they do not capture the spatial information of the structures in the flow. Therefore, Wavelet analysis (as an extension of Fourier analysis) and spatial-temporal correlation were utilized in this paper. Second problem is to find an easilyimplemented and fast-applicable method that enables to effectively compare huge amount of data from PIV and LES in order to avoid very tedious and time-consuming work. Herein, POD was used to reveal if the structures modelled by LES have similar shape, dimension, turbulent kinetic energy and frequency of appearance as the ones from PIV record. Methodology and Results Experiment was conducted in the wind channel with floor covered by 30 rows of street canyons with unity aspect ratio. The dimension of street was 50 mm. The two shapes of roof were used – triangle and flat. The 2D velocity information was obtained by PIV with frequency sampling of 500 Hz and 1000 Hz. Spatial resolution of PIV in 50 mm high street canyon reached 1.2 mm x 1.2 mm. Identical wind-channel and street canyons were simulated by LES, only the number of rows was reduced down to 6 due to computational demands. The LES was performed with temporal sampling of 1000 Hz and spatial resolution was 1.5 mm x 2 mm. Primarily, the mean values were compared. Surprisingly, in the case with triangle roofs, the vertical profile yielded by LES deviates from the measured one. This was lately improved by implementation of free-slip top configuration. Notwithstanding, the momentum flux and spectral analysis showed similar results for both geometrical arrangements. Very nice match was found with help of POD for the triangle roof case (Figure 1). The shape of the modes, the turbulent kinetic energy contained inside of them or the statistics of the expansion coefficients, all were in agreement with the experimental data. Unfortunately, essential dissimilarity between POD modes from LES and PIV was found out in the flat case, where slight variation in the flat-building heights caused by manufacturing in experiment possibly introduced difference between measured and simulated flow. Conclusions LES proved to be a reliable method for simulation of a complex turbulent flow above large obstacles. To overcome difficulties with processing of a large bank of data coming from LES and PIV, POD confirmed to be a useful tool for comparison purpose. Acknowledgement The authors kindly thank the Czech Science Foundation GACR (project GAP101/12/1554) for their financial support. Project was also done with institutional support RVO 61388998. 187 Fig. 1: The most dominant mode in terms of TKE for triangle roof case. Upper: LES. Lower: Experiment. PART TWO: POSTER SESSIONS 188 AIR QUALITY AND IMPACT ON LOCAL TO GLOBAL SCALES 189 MODELLING AND ANALYSIS OF THE ROLE OF MESOMETEOROLOGICAL PROCESSES ON TRANSPORT AND ACCUMULATION OF POLLUTANTS IN THE WESTERN MEDITERRANEAN AND THEIR INFLUENCE ON CHEMICAL DEGRADATION MECHANISMS J. L. Palau (1), M. Vázquez (1), F. Rovira (2), M. J. Sales (2), A. Muñoz (1), E. Borrás (1) T. Vera (1), F. Santa-Cruz (1), J. I. Roselló (1) and P. Sánchez (1) (1) Fundación Centro de Estudios Ambientales del Mediterráneo; C/ Charles R. Darwin-14, 46980 Paterna (Valencia); Spain (2) MODELIZA, S.L.; Parque Científico Universitat València; C/ Catedrático Agustín Escardino-9, 46980 Paterna (Valencia); Spain Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary With the aim of characterizing the main air pollutants (anthropogenic, biogenic and secondary reaction products) present in the Mediterranean coast of the Iberian Peninsula under different meteorological conditions (summer and winter) two field campaigns (February and June 2011) were performed in the context of the MODELISMOS project (Modelling and analysis of mesometeorological processes on transport and accumulation of pollutants in the Western Mediterranean and their influence on chemical degradation mechanisms). Introduction The atmospheric flow regime in the Turia Basin (Eastern of Spain) favours the accumulation of water vapour and atmospheric pollutants during much of the year. This accumulation can determine not only the rainfall but also, due to a change on the oxidative capacity of the atmosphere (variations of the OH, HO2 and H2O2 concentrations) the prevailing chemical mechanisms under those weather conditions (Millan et al., 2009). The study presented in this communication deepens on the knowledge of the seasonality of meso-meteorological processes responsible of the transport and accumulation of air pollutants, and its influence on the predominant chemical degradation mechanisms under different weather conditions (winter/summer) on the Mediterranean coast of the Iberian Peninsula. Methodology Two intensive field campaigns (21-25/February 2011 and 20-24/June 2011) have been carried out around the city of Valencia (Spain) evidencing how under sea breeze conditions the anthropogenic emissions coming from the city are driven inland through the Turia River Basin. Measurements were performed using two instrumented (mobile) vehicles; one radiosounding system; three chemical sampling sites, the Regional Air Quality Surveillance network and three meteorological towers. For the chemical analysis of the air masses, samples were taken at three locations along the Turia river basin: Valencia (at the coast, Altitude 7m), Paterna (14 km inland from Valencia, Altitude 122m) and Villar del Arzobispo (51 km inland from Valencia, Altitude 430m). Air samples were collected by triplicate with three different types of cartridges; C18 (Waters, Spain) for the analysis of alcohols, acids, aldehydes and ketones, DNPH (Waters, Spain) for aldehydes and ketones and XAD-2 (Supelco, USA) for VOCs with more than five carbon atoms. To study the different atmospheric dispersive conditions along the day, different daily sampling periods were selected. In total 297 cartridges in winter and 396 in summer were collected and analyzed afterwards by GC-MS and LC-MS (Thermo-Fisher Sci., USA). To analyse the origin of sampled pollutants and the seasonality of atmospheric pollutant accumulation processes, we used the mesoscale model RAMS coupled to the Lagrangian particle dispersion model HYPACT to simulate backward trajectories from the sampling sites. Results and Conclusions In this contribution we present the main findings related to the impact that different weather conditions (summer and winter) have on the dynamics of the advection and diffusion of measured atmospheric pollutants around the Valencia conurbation. From the modelling analysis we analysed the origin of airmasses and the apportionment of anthropogenic and biogenic sources responsible of the pollutants sampled during the fields campaigns. Regarding air quality, different C2-Cn hydroxyl carbonyl compounds were also determined in the three sampling points. Trends between them and their VOCs precursors have been observed. Pinonic acid, nonanal, glyoxal, methylglyoxal, 2,3 butanedione, glutaraldehyde, formaldehyde, acetaldehyde and acetone among others were detected. VOC’s/NOx ratios obtained confirm that Valencia and Paterna can be considered as urban environments and Villar del Arzobispo as rural (VOC’s/NOx limit 8:1); this ratio was higher in summer than in winter at the three locations. Differences in chemical composition between winter and summer were also observed. The impact of the emissions from the city of Valencia (coastal city) was observed in the detections of secondary pollutants such as ozone in Villar del Arzobispo. Average of percentage concentration of aldehydes and aromatic compounds was very similar in winter and summer, but in the case of acids, alcohols, alkanes, ketones and monoterpenes differences were observed. Impact on ozone and other secondary products depends more on the chemical nature of the compound (rate constants) than on its concentration, i.e., aromatics were the most important species in terms of reactivity but not in terms of concentration in air during winter and summer campaigns. Acknowledgement The Instituto Universitario CEAM-UMH is partly supported by Generalitat Valenciana. This work was supported by the Spanish research projects MODELISMOS (CGL2010-17623/CLI), GRACCIE (CSD2007-00067) and FEEDBACKS (Prometeo Program- Generalitat Valenciana). 190 ROLE OF THE LONG-RANGE TRANSPORT IN THE AEROSOL CONCENTRATION FORMATION IN HUNGARY Z. Ferenczi Hungarian Meteorological Service 1024-Budapest Kitaibel P. u.1., Hungary Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In recent years it was demonstrated that the air pollution has harmful effects on human health, therefore systems providing information on the actual and expected air quality are increasingly required by the city dwellers, who are most affected by air pollution. One of the most important background information of these early warning systems is the long-range transport of the air pollutants, and without this information accurate predictions cannot be made, especially for pollutants which have long atmospheric residence time. The EMEP chemical transport model calculations were used to determine the role of the long-range transport in the aerosol concentration in Hungary. The results of this examination are important not only to refine the PM10 predictions, but provide important basic information to the action to reduce the PM pollution in Hungary. Introduction In recent years, the PM10 episodes, which in many cases are associated with extreme weather situations, caused the most critical air quality problems in Budapest and Hungary. The first step before developing a successful air quality forecast system is a detailed analysis of the meteorological background of the PM10 high-level situations and the effect of the longrange transport on the PM concentration. In this work only the yearly average of the long-range transport was analysed. In some cases the effect of long-range transport can be negligible but sometimes it can be responsible for the episode situation. Methodology and Results The effect of the long-range transport on the PM10 concentration was determined by the EMEP chemical transport model (Simpson et al., 2012). Determining the long-range transport of the particulate matter, the effect of the national emission from all countries in the EMEP model calculations area and the natural resources in the region were taken into account. Our study was carried out for five years (2006-2010) in order to filter the variability of the weather as much as possible. Since the emission values show considerable variability from year to year (not only in case of Hungary), it is difficult to separate the effects of the weather from the effect of the emissions in the results. During the studied five years trend, change in the impact of the long-range transport could not be observed, the difference between the years mainly explained by changes in the PM10 emissions of Hungary. In the years when the emission of Hungary was decreased significantly the proportion of the long-range transport increased slightly. Besides the PM10 situation the main contributor countries were also determined, which have significant effect on the PM2.5 pollution formation in Hungary. Among the European states, Romania and Poland are the greatest polluters of Hungary's atmosphere. Conclusions In Hungary the contribution of the long-range transport to the PM air pollution is 70-80%. The effect of the long-range transport shows significant spatial variability, the most important area is the western frontier of Hungary, and the smallest is in the central part of the country. 37% of the particulate matters emitted by Hungary remain in the country and 63% cross the border of Hungary increasing the PM contaminations of other countries. In case of Hungary the aerosol particles arrive to the area of Hungary from outside sources are 30% more than the particles emitted by the country in all. The results of this investigation can be summarized as follows: the long-range transport is very determinant in Central Europe, and could not be neglected in the transport model calculations. References Simpson, D., Benedictow, A., Berge, H., Bergström, R., Emberson, L. D., Fagerli, H., Flechard, C. R., Hayman, G. D., Gauss, M., Jonson, J. E., Jenkin, M. E., Nyíri, A., Richter, C., Semeena, V. S., Tsyro, S., Tuovinen, J.-P., Valdebenito, Á., and Wind, P., 2012: The EMEP MSC-W chemical transport model – technical description, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 78257865, doi:10.5194/acp-12-7825-2012. 191 LONG RANGE TRANSPORT OF PM10 TO MARMARA REGION E. Oksuz (1), M. Kafadar (1) (1)Eurasian Institute of Earth Sciences, Istanbul Technical University, Maslak, 34469, Istanbul, Turkey Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The aim of this study is identifying contributions to high particulate matter with diameter of 10 micrometres or less (PM10) concentrations and its important transfer pattern that affect PM10 levels in Marmara Region during the period of 2008-2010. High PM10 days for 11 cities of Marmara Region, which are defined based on results of R Statistical Software analysis, and 6 March 2009 selected as episode. HYSPLIT(Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory) model has been run to observe vertical atmospheric structure and how the atmospheric transport behave in this period. By taking into consideration 5 days backward trajectory of air masses results and meteorological conditions for the episode, it is determined that the air masses commonly originated from Sahara Desert and comes to Marmara Region by long range transport. Introduction The studied area, Marmara Region, include 11 cities ( Istanbul, Balikesir, Kirklareli, Kocaeli, Tekirdag, Bilecik, Bursa, Edirne, Yalova, Canakkale, Sakarya) and while 4 of them in Europe, 7 of them is in Asia. Since the region of the Marmara is highly urbanized, there faces significant air pollution problem today. Particulate matter is one of the most challenging air pollution problem of the cities that has serious effects on public health such as decreased lung function, increased respiratory morbidity and cardiopulmonary disease mortality (Unal, A., et. al, 2010, Donaldson, K., et. al.,2005). Although air pollution causes from local emission, long range transport of air pollution also has a great impact on regional air quality when the emission sources at upwind regions are intensive and the meteorological conditions are available to transport the pollution. Methodology and Results The hourly PM10 concentrations during the period of 2008-2010 were obtained from the 25 stations for 11 cities in Marmara Region. . Using statistical software R, concentrations were studied as a function of time and episode of increase in PM10 concentrations were determined. It was identified that the PM10 concentration over Marmara Region peaked only on March 6, 2009 for all cities at the same time during the period of 20082010. As a result of statistical % PM10 Increase analyses for the episode it was ISTANBUL 251 observed that, PM10 values EDIRNE 259 KIRKLARELI 364 significantly increased with respect TEKIRDAG 145.5 to average values of the three years CANAKKALE 406 KOCAELI 135 (see Fig.1). For the selected episode, YALOVA 232 HYSPLIT model was applied to SAKARYA identify contributions that cause BILECIK 72 BURSA 86 high PM10 concentrations in air over BALIKESIR 304 all cities in Marmara Region. 24 hourly intervals, 5 days backward trajectories for all cities were computed using HYSPLIT model. As the model outputs showed Fig 2. HYSPLIT model output of Istanbul for 6 March that there was long range PM10 transport from Saharan Desert 2009 (see Fig.2). In order to ensure dust originating from the desert stayed over Marmara Region and influenced concentrations of daily PM10, meteorological data (mean wind speed and pressure) taken for Marmara Region were analyzed. As a result of analysis meteorological conditions were observed as stable that causes dust originating from the desert to become trapped near ground level in studied area. Fig 6. PM10 concentration increment (%) Conclusions Results show that the Saharan Dust is the main contributing PM10 source for the cities of Marmara Region during the studied episode. In conclusion, local emission management is not enough to handle with air quality problem of a regional area, an integrated management scheme covering local, regional, and global air quality is needed. References 1.Unal, A., Kindap, T., Im, U., Markakis, K., Mihalopoulos, N., Gerasopoulos, E., Kocak, M., Mangir, N., Kubilay, N., Kana kidou, M. (2010). Megacity and Air Pollution in the Eastern Mediterranean : Istanbul Case Study, 12, 11402. 2.Donaldson, K., Mills, N., MacNee, W., Robinson, S., Newby, D. (2005). Role of inflammation in cardiopulmonary health effects of PM. Toxicology and Applied Pharmacology, 207, 483–8. 192 MEASUREMENT AND MODELING ACTIVITIES IN NEPAL IN FRAMEWORK OF THE SUSKAT PROJECT A. Mues (1), A. Lauer (1), M. Rupakheti (1), A. Panday (2,3) (1) IASS Potsdam; (2) International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD), Nepal; (3) University of Virginia, USA, Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Kathmandu in Nepal has been rapidly growing over the last two decades, and now experiences one of the worst air pollution problems in Asia. The SusKat project (Sustainable Atmosphere for the Kathmandu Valley) has been designed to be an endto-end project aimed at understanding and addressing air pollution in Nepal focusing on the Kathmandu Valley and its surroundings. The main activities include an intensive measurement campaign as well as a set of different modeling studies. Measurement results from the recent field campaign highlight the severe air pollution and the necessity to better understand the emissions as well as the meteorological and chemical processes leading to high pollution levels in the valley. As an example black carbon (BC) concentrations of up to 50µg/m3 were frequently measured at Bode, a site slightly downwind (in winter season) of the two major cities Kathmandu and Patan in the Kathmandu Valley. The analysis and interpretation of these measurement data will be complemented by experiments using WRF/Chem (Weather Research and Forecasting Model/Chemistry) model (Grell et al., 2005) to get better insights into the relevant processes and impacts. Because of the complex topography of the Himalayan mountains near the Kathmandu Valley, modeling this region is very challenging and requires a careful evaluation of both meteorology and air quality. Introduction Air pollution is a major environmental and health concern in Nepal and particularly in the capital city Kathmandu. Large parts of South Asia including this region are among the most polluted and at the same time among the least studied regions in the world in terms of air quality. In Nepal particularly, there have only been a few past studies, which were not sufficient for designing and assessing effective mitigation measures. The SusKat project implemented by the Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies (IASS Potsdam) and the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD) addresses specifically the main gaps and aims at a better understanding of the observed severe air pollution in the Kathmandu Valley and its surroundings. Here the background of the project, the set-up and first results of the measurement campaign as well as the design of the model studies are introduced. First modeling results focusing on meteorology and black carbon are presented. Methodology and Results In collaboration with 40 plus scientists representing 19 research institutions from nine countries, including Nepal, an unprecedented atmospheric characterization campaign (SusKat-ABC) was conducted in Nepal from December 2012 through June 2013. Different atmospheric chemical compounds (e.g. BC, O3, CO, speciated VOCs) and meteorological parameters were measured at seven major sites in the Kathmandu Valley and several sites in other parts of Nepal. This measurement campaign is unique for Nepal in its temporal and spatial resolution as well as in its complexity in view of the measured chemical compounds. First results show very high levels of BC and a well-defined diurnal pattern with prominent peak around 9 am and less pronounced Figure 7: Diurnal pattern of BC concentrations measured at peak around 7 pm influenced by both emissions and Bode, Kathmandu valley during Jan-March 2013. The top meteorological conditions. Model studies with WRF/Chem help to end and bottom end of whisker represents 95 percentile and 5 better understand the physical processes and mechanisms relevant percentile respectively while the box represents 75 percentile to meteorology and air pollution in the Kathmandu Valley and the and 25 percentile. broader region. They also help to assess the impact of air pollution on health, agriculture and climate. The state-of-the-art WRF model is online coupled with a chemistry model (WRF/Chem) and set-up over South Asia with a resolution of 15x15km2 and a higher resolution of 3x3km2 over the Nepal region. So far only few modeling studies were conducted for Nepal and surrounding region, and thus a thorough evaluation of the model is needed. Reanalysis data and air pollution measurements from the SusKat campaign as well as relevant data available from other stations in South Asia are compared to the WRF/Chem results to assess the model performance in this region. Conclusions The first results of the measurement campaign show exceptionally high levels of air pollution in the Kathmandu Valley and clearly show the need for actions aimed at better understanding of the air pollution that leads to mitigation actions. Model studies bring more insight into physical and chemical processes leading to such high pollution events. Due to the complexity of the topography and meteorological conditions in this region, a logical first step is to understand and simulate the meteorological processes and then look into air quality related questions. References Grell GA, Peckham SE, Schmitz R, and McKeen SA, Frost G, Skamarock WC, and Eder B. 2005. "Fully coupled 'online' chemistry within the WRF model." Atmos. Environ., 39:6957-6976. 193 DETECTION OF FUKUSHIMA ORIGIN CEASIUM ISOTOPES AT POLISH POLAR STATION IN HORSUND (SPITSBERGEN) AND ITS EFFECTS TO ATMOSPERIC ELECTRICITY PARAMETERS B. Mysłek-Laurikainen (1), M. Matul (1), S. Mikołajewski (1), H. Trzaskowska (1), M. Kubicki (2), P. Baranski (2), A. Ozimek (2), S. Michnowski (2) (1)National Centre for Nuclear Research (NCBJ)Otwock ,(2)Geophysical Observatory, Institute of Geophysics Polish Academy of Science Warsaw,Poland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The Polish high –volume air sampler AZA-1000 in Hornsund(77 00 N, 15 33, E) is one of the radionuclide monitoring stations positioned close to the polar pole and most to the North of all. The measurements of radioactive pollution of ground level air present in atmospheric aerosols started in July 2002 when in the fjord Hornsund stationAZA-1000 was assembled (at the premises of the Polar Station of Institute of Geophysics of the Polish Academy of Science).The ceasium isotopes were detected after Fukushima accident and its influence to electric conductivity is discussed in comparison with Polish Geophysical Observatory at Świder near Warsaw. Introduction Ions in atmosphere are generated by cosmic rays Radioactive aerosols of ground level air contain numerous natural radioisotopes formed by cosmic origin ions, as well as man made which appears as standard release of nuclear facilities, nuclear weapon tests (in the past) and nuclear power plants accidents like Chernobyl or lately Fukushima . The migration with air masses transport of this contamination caused that they spread all over the North Hemisphere where the most of releases took place. This radioactivity gives significant contribution to ionizing phenomena and electric field changes in particular electric conductivity is sensitive to this contamination. Observation of this phenomena in not polluted regions , far from industrial pollution bringing up great amount of dust forming aerosols is possible in Polar region. Methodology and Results The Polish high –volume air sampler AZA-1000 in Hornsund(77 00 N, 15 33, E) is one of the radionuclide monitoring stations positioned close to the polar pole and most to the North of all. The measurements of radioactive pollution of ground level air present in atmospheric aerosols started in July 2002 when in the fjord Hornsund stationAZA-1000was assembled (at the premises of the Polar Station of Institute of Geophysics of the Polish Academy of Science). The station was built as air aerosol sampler to be installed at the Polish Polar Station in Hornsund, so the instrument was designed to operate in allweather condition of the cold polar region. In order to avoid the influence of extremely low temperature and severe snow precipitation, this device was not installed in open air, but in a container where temperature inside does not drop below 00 C . The station is accommodated for continuous operation in different meteorological conditions. The sampling part which collects aerosol from the air inlet is placed at a roof about 3m above the summer season ground level when snow disappears. The high air flow rate about 400m3/h through a chlorinated vinyl polychloride filter or a polypropylene filter allows to take representative aerosol air samples. Collection of aerosol from about 10 000-60 000 m3 enables accurate spectrometric measurements of radionuclides in wide range of their concentration with detection sensitivity above 0.5-1.0mBq/m3. Detailed description of air sampler and technology of measurements are in ref.[1]. The origin and concentration of radionuclides in air are described in numerous publications, among them[2] Manmade radionuclides in Earth atmosphere appeared as a result of nuclear weapon tests and use in Hiroshima and Nagasaki and latter as the result of releases in nuclear industry and nuclear reactors accidents. The most often the ceasium isotopes 137 Cs and 132 Cs are detected. Seasonal variation of natural and antropogenic radionuclides at Hornsund are presented and two ceasium isotopes are analyzed. The presence of 132 Cs is evident proof of Fukushima origin , and this isotope was not observed in any of air filters since 2002 year up to this event where the ratio of 137/132 Cs is typical for Fukushima origin detected in numerous places in Poland and in the World. References 1.Bogumła Mysłek-Laurikainen et al. Air aerosol sampling station AZA-1000 at Polish Polar Station in Hornsund, Spitsbergen. NUKLEONIKA 2006;51(2):137-140 2.B.Mysłek-Laurikainen et al . Radionuclides in ground level air in Poland. NUKLEONIKA 43 NO.4 439-448 1998 194 ATTEMPT TO IDENTIFY OF EPISODES THE CONTRIBUTION OF STRATOSPHERIC OZONE IN THE GROUND LAYER OF THE ATMOSPHERE E. Krajny (1), L. Osrodka (1), M. Wojtylak (1) and M. Pajek (2) (1) Department of Monitoring and Modelling of Air Pollution, Institute of Meteorology and Water Management National Research Institute (IMWM-NRI), Branch in Cracow, Bratkow 10, 40-045 Katowice, Poland; (2) Department of Satellite Remonte Sensing, Institute of Meteorology and Water Management National Research Institute (IMWM-NRI), P. Borowego 14, 30-215 Krakow, Poland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The aim of this study was to identify a situation of intense exchange of air masses STE, and then answer the question whether the 7Be can be a good marker of stratospheric ozone origin in ground layer of the atmosphere. Ten sets of data covering the 2005-2009 period are examined: weekly concentration of 7Be and hourly O3 measured in the ground layer of the atmosphere. The measuring were carried out at several measuring points located at different latitudes in Poland area. The data obtained were statistical and Fourier analyzed. The Fourier analysis is applied to eliminate the periodicity associated with the annual variability of solar radiation incoming to the Earth's surface. Subtracting the component of the annual enabled analysis of variability the non-periodic concentrations of beryllium. On this basis, were selected weekly periods during which the concentration of beryllium significantly exceeded the average of its value. The selected periods were then analyzed in terms of synoptic assessment of the impact of meteorological conditions on indexed elevated levels of 7Be. For the selected case of such a phenomenon, a detailed analysis of weather conditions by using, inter alia, remote sensing, data aerological, actinometric and air quality in the surface layer of the atmosphere. Introduction Beryllium-7 (7Be) is a radioactive element about half-life 53.3 days, produced by cosmic rays in spallation processes, in the lower stratosphere (~70%) and the upper troposphere (~30%). Beryllium gets into the surface layers of the atmosphere boundary layer (ABL) as a result of stratosphere to troposphere exchange mass air (STE). Stratosphere to troposphere mass transport (STT) can sometimes be accompanied by stratospheric ozone (O3) origin. Methodology and Results Airborne particle sampling was carried out in the surface air (1.5 m above ground level) using a sampler pump ASS-500 (Aerosol Sampling Station). Airborne aerosols samples were collected weekly in Petranowa filters type FPP-15-1.5 with a high collection efficiency, filter surface area was 0.2 m2. The average weekly volume range from 50 000 to 90 000 m3 (at the nominal air flow rate of 500 m3/h). Radioactivity in the filters was measured in laboratory with high-efficiency gamma ray spectroscopy. Ozone ground level is measured using a UV absorption spectrophotometer. Ozone analyzer measures with norm ISO 13964:1998. We can draw the following conclusions: (1) 7Be exhibited a seasonal behaviour, with exception in spring/summer and agree with results obtained at other locations in the world, particularly located on the same latitude. (2) The correlation coefficient between 7Be and average O3 generally is significant correlation in autumn, which implies that their concentrations are driven by the same processes, and not very significant correlation in winter. (3) Analysis the relationship between of monthly or weekly concentrations of 7Be even with 1-hour ozone ground-level does not allow unambiguous identification of contribution of stratospheric ozone in the its total concentration in the surface layer of the ABL. Daily and hourly values 7Be are more appropriate for this research. and a more detailed study should be performed. (4) Study monthly or weekly 7Be/O3 ratio only allows to identify potential situations of air mass exchange stratospheretroposphere (STE) and the appearance of stratospheric ozone origin in surface layer of the ABL. Conclusions In summary, 7Be can be one of the indicators of stratospheric ozone in the surface layer of the ABL, but as the only is not a very good indicator. Due to the, not all typed on the basis of STE situations are then confirmed in the course of the synoptic situation, satellite remote sensing, upper atmospheric sounding, back trajectories, and meteorological conditions. Stratosphere to troposphere air mass transport is a temporary phenomenon and sometimes in local scale in vertical column of atmosphere. In the study of phenomena STE the important role of data, to be the best short-term data (hourly, daily). On the other hand, it is difficult to determine the existence of a situation STE without upper airborne observations and measurements. Acknowledgement This study has been supported by the National Science Centre through the research project No. N N523 564838. The authors wish thank for making data 7Be, that were elaborated basin upon the investigations performed by the Central Laboratory for Radiological Protection. The authors thank for sharing O3 concentrations by Main Inspectorate of Environmental Protection. References Dutkiewicz V.A., Husain L., 1979. Determination of stratospheric ozone at ground level using 7Be/O3 ratios. Geophysical Research Letters 6, 3, 171-174. Feely H.W., Larsen R.J., Sanderson C.G., 1989. Factors that cause seasonal variations in beryllium-7 concentrations in surface air. Journal of Environmental Radioactivity 9, 223-249. 195 REGIONAL EMISSION FACTORS OF CARBON DIOXIDE FROM AGRICULTURAL WASTE RESIDUES BURNING IN NORTHEASTERN REGION THAILAND N. Khosavithitkul (1), N. Chuersuwan (2), and T. Wannasook (3) (1) The Center for Scientific and Technological Equipment; (2) School of Environmental Health, Institute of Medicine, Suranaree University of Technology; (3) Regional Environment Office 11, Office of Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment, Nakhon Ratchasima, 30000, Thailand Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Agricultural residue (137 samples), taken from forty sub districts in twenty districts of ten provinces in the Northeastern (NE) region of Thailand, were analyzed for major physical and chemical properties and subjected to simulated burning. Rice straw had the highest dry weight and bagasse the lowest. Bagasse had the highest moisture and carbon contents. Sugarcane leaf emitted more CO2 than the other residues. Weight loss on combustion was in the range of 75-92 %, The simulated burn of agricultural residues showed CO2 emission values at 67% of the IPCC values. Introduction The longest-running continuous-monitored atmospheric CO2 concentration data (Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawaii) indicates that atmospheric CO2 concentration has steadily increased since 1958 [1]. Several scientific models indicate possible negative impacts of rising global temperatures, ‘global warming’, as a result of increased CO2 and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. While the rise in average temperature might date to the end of the so-called ‘Little Ice Age’ in the late 19th century, temperature data (NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies) indicates that the earth's mean surface temperature has increased by about 0.8 °C since the early 20th century with about two-thirds of the increase occurring since 1980. Other data indicate a long-term cooling trend over the last 2000 years with periods warmer than today during Roman and Medieval times [2]. The coincident increases in CO2 levels and in average temperature during the last century heighten concern that the raising global temperature may in part be caused by greenhouse gases released into the atmosphere as a result of human activities such as deforestation, burning of fossil fuels, and even biomass burning [3]. The concerns led to 195 governments ratifying the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change which entered into force March 21, 1994, with the objective of stabilizing atmospheric CO2 concentrations and preventing ‘dangerous anthropogenic interference with the global climate’, and most of those ratifying the subsequent Kyoto Protocol that actually sets mandatory limits on emissions. Methodology and Results The study was carried out at the Center for Scientific and Technological Equipment in Nakhon Ratchasima, Thailand. One hundred and thirty seven waste residue samples were collected from randomly selected areas in the Northeastern region of Thailand based on a stratify sampling method. The waste included rice straw, sugarcane leaf, bagasse, grass leaf, leaf, and eucalyptus bark. All waste residues were air dried prior to the experiment. The physical and chemical properties of the waste residues were analyzed according to standard method ASTM D1762-84 and ASTM D5373 Combustion experiments were carried out to simulate the conditions of waste burning. Results from simulated burning found that sugarcane leaf emitted more CO2 than other residues, 4.25±0.46 mg/m3 while other residues emitted less than 3 mg/m3. However, ranges of CO2 emission were 0.44-7.30 mg/m3. Loss of weight after combustion was about 75.90-92.49%. CO2 emission of each residue are the following: rice straw 1,111.25 g CO2/kg, bagasse 1,322.75 g CO2/kg, sugarcane leaf 1,075.75 g CO2/kg, leaf 1,171.25 g CO2/kg, dry grass 1,100.75 g CO2/kg, eucalyptus bark 1,187.25 g CO2/kg. Average CO2 emission of residue burning reported by the IPCC was 1,515±177 g CO2/kg. Simulated burn of residues showed lower values of CO2 emissions. Average emission rate of the IPCC of the activities associated with various kinds of incineration residues arising from agricultural activity was 1,515±177 g/kg which is higher than the average emissions observed here. CO2 values obtained from the experiments are lower than the values obtained from IPCC. However, the IPCC values may include the burning of biomass in the forest. Conclusions Spatial estimation of CO2 in the Northeastern region was performed using data from satellite hotspots coupled with land use classification by the Department of Land Development, and agricultural statistics. From March through December 2008, hotspots accounted for 1,141 areas resulting in the estimation of CO2 emission of 0.04-1.60 million tons compared to IPCC emission factor of about 1.8-1.9 million tons. Rice and sugarcane in the area had the potential to generate 11.4-11.6 million tons of CO2 emission in 2008 but other plants with limited data on burning practices, e.g., cassava and corn, cannot be reliably estimated. Not all residues were subjected to burn, if the burning occurred for 1 and 5% of rice and sugarcane growing areas, CO2 emission was about 0.1 and 0.6 million tons, respectively. Acknowledgement Financial support by the National Research Council of Thailand. References 1 Keeling, C.D. and Whorf, T.P., 2000. Atmospheric CO Concentrations-Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawaii, 1958-1997 2 (revised Aug. 2000) NDP-001, CO2 Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge TN. 2 Esper, J., Frank, D.C., Timonen, M., Zorita, E., Wilson, R.J.S., Luterbacher, J., Holzkämper, Fischer, S.N., Wagner, S., Nievergelt, D., Verstege, A., and Büntgen, U., 2012. Nature Climate Change. 2, 862-866. 3 Andreae, M.O. and Merlet, P.,2001. Glogal Biogeochemical Cycles. 15(4), 955-966. 196 AIR QUALITY MANAGEMENT AND POLICY 197 UFIREG PROJECT: ULTRAFINE PARTICLES - AN EVIDENCE BASED CONTRIBUTION TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONAL AND EUROPEAN ENVIRONMENTAL AND HEALTH POLICY S. Lanzinger (1), A. Schneider (1), S. Breitner (1), R. Rückerl (1), A. Peters (1), S. Bastian (2), A. Zscheppang (3), J. Cyrys (1) (4) (1) Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health, Institute of Epidemiology II, 85764 Neuherberg, Germany; (2) Saxon State Office for Environment, Agriculture and Geology, 01326 Dresden, Germany; (3) Technische Universität Dresden, 01307 Dresden, Germany; (4) University of Augsburg, Environment Science Center (WZU), 86159 Augsburg, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Information on health effects of ultrafine particles (UFPs) is still limited because UFP ambient concentrations are not routinely monitored in most locations. Most monitoring in previous studies relies primarily on measures of total particle number concentrations (PNC). Moreover, European research activity on UFPs is concentrated mostly in Western European countries and studies are rare. Accordingly, no directives exist for regulation of UFP measurements in ambient air. Hence, within the framework of the UFIREG project, UFP measurements are conducted in five European cities in order to provide an evidence-based contribution to the development of environmental and health policy. Introduction Measurements of UFP are currently conducted in the five European cities: Dresden and Augsburg (Germany), Prague (Czech Republic), Ljubljana (Slovenia), and Chernivtsi (Ukraine). The specific objectives of the project are: (a) to prepare a cost-efficient UFP measurement strategy applicable in all European regions, (b) to demonstrate the applicability of the measurement strategy in the involved cities, (c) to investigate the short-term effects of size-fractioned UFP on mortality and morbidity in the five cities and (d) to integrate results into the regional political decision-making and concrete local measures by developing differentiated solutions to the respective regional settings. Methodology and Results UFP measurements within UFIREG are performed using Differential or Scanning Mobility Particle Sizer. In addition, two Ultrafine Particle Monitors, recently developed within the former EU project UFIPOLNET, are operated in Prague and Augsburg. An extensive quality assurance program is an essential part of UFIREG comprising of staff training, an initial intercomparison of the instruments and frequent on-site comparisons against reference instruments. Preliminary results of 2012 indicate no large differences between annual averages of UFP in the size range between 20 and 200 nm at all stations (except Chernivtsi). The annual means range between 6.000 and 6.500 particles per cm³. However, more pronounced differences were observed for weekly and monthly variation of UFP. Conclusions On the basis of the measured air quality data, epidemiological studies will be carried out in all participating cities. These studies shall contribute to the environmental policy in Europe and concrete local measures by developing differentiated solutions to the respective regional settings. Therefore, the results will be passed on to local and national policy makers, environmental and health authorities, health insurance providers, as well as city citizens. 198 TEN YEARS OF WOODBURNER RESEARCH IN NEW ZEALAND: LESSONS LEARNED AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS G. Coulson (1), E. Wilton (2), E. R. Somervell (1), R. Bian (1) (1) National Institute for Water and Atmosphere (NIWA), Auckland, New Zealand; (2) University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand; (3) Auckland University of Technology, Auckland, New Zealand Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Woodburning is the dominant source of PM10 in most of New Zealand over the winter season, and the principal cause of exceedances of the National Environmental Standard (NES) for PM10 – a 24 hour mean concentration limit of 50 µg/m-3. Since 2005 New Zealand researchers have used multiple techniques to characterise woodburner emission factors, and exposures to woodsmoke in ambient and indoor air. This work reviews a decade of woodburning research, highlighting significant findings and remaining knowledge gaps. PM10 emission factors from in situ tests exhibit a log-normal distribution with a geometric mean of 9.8 g/kg (±2.4 g/kg) and 3.9 g/kg (±3.8 g/kg) (dry wood) for older and low-emission woodburners respectively. The ‘user’ appears to be a significant variable which introduces substantial variability in woodburner emissions. Associating combustion efficiency with particular households or locations remains a challenge. Introduction Research into the air quality impacts of burning wood for domestic heating has been carried out for some ten years in New Zealand as a response to this being one of the primary sources of pollutant emission. Source apportionment studies, census data and home-heating surveys, mobile monitoring of woodsmoke dominated ‘airsheds’ and in situ measurements of woodburning emissions are all methods that have contributed to an understanding of woodsmoke in New Zealand. Interest has principally been in emissions of particulates measured as PM10 for regulatory purposes. Consequently much of the work carried out has been to measure PM10 emissions from woodburners under a variety of conditions. Management plans have been predicated upon estimates of the number and type of burners in an area and what emissions can be expected from them. Many of the worst affected regions limit the installation of new woodburners to NES compliant burners that have been certified through laboratory testing to an emission standard of 1.5 g/kg. Targeting homes with older burners for swap out programmes and natural attrition as older burners are replaced with lower emitting NES compliant woodburners or alternative heating has achieved some improvements, but in many places, not as much as expected. Methodology and Results Measurements have often been made in situ, that is, in volunteers’ homes, using the woodburner as they would normally. Figure 1 shows the range of emission factors as grams of PM10 emitted per kilogram of wood burned calculated daily for 39 houses that have NES compliant woodburners over four different studies with comparable methodology. A wide Fig.1 Daily PM10 emissions factors per household from in situ testing. Each box and whisker variation of emissions can be seen in plot represents one house with mean, upper and lower quartiles and 1st and 99th centiles some houses compared to others. On a “per burn” basis, the emissions behave as if they are essentially random, although there is insufficient data to determine if they genuinely are random. The sampling methodology is intensive and reliant upon public goodwill and so necessarily constrained. However, without understanding the long-term variation in emissions of individual burners it will not be possible to identify or predict “gross emitters”. The same burner may be “clean” one day and a “gross emitter” the next. When compared to older, non-compliant burners there has been a definite improvement in emissions. Figure 2 shows the distribution of daily emission factors from NES compliant and older burners. Both have lognormal distributions and although the geometric mean has gone down (9.8 g/kg for older vs. 3.9 g/kg for compliant burners, the variance has increased, with the geometric standard deviation for older burners being 2.4 g/kg and ±3.8 g/kg for compliant burners. This indicates that although ultra-low emissions may be achieved with compliant burners, high emissions are possible with older or NES compliant burners. Conclusions Research carried out to date can describe the variation in emissions from compliant and older woodburners, but is not able to explain that variation. It indicates that the make and model of burner is not a key factor in the emissions measured, however, one of the key variables may be behaviour. New research to investigate the causes of the variation observed so far will require different methodologies. Fig.2 Distribution of daily emissions factors for old and NES compliant woodburners Acknowledgement This research summarised here has been funded by NIWA, Auckland Council and Environment Canterbury. 199 A DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING APPROACH FOR AIR QUALITY PLANNING AT REGIONAL SCALE C. Carnevale (1), G. Finzi (1), F. Padula (1), E. Turrini (1) and M. Volta (1) (1) Department of Mechanical and Industrial engineering, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This work presents a technique to plan a cost-effective optimal control policy over a finite time horizon to improve air quality. The air quality improvement problem is first formalized as an optimal control problem and then addressed using dynamic programming. Clearly, in order to plan a feasible solution, the control problem is both constrained, both from the technical and the economical side. Examples of the application of the proposed methodology over northern Italy testify the effectiveness of the proposed solution. Introduction In order to define efficient air quality plans, Regional Authorities need suitable tools to evaluate both the impact of emission reduction strategies on pollution indexes and the costs of such emission reductions. Due to difficulty to cope with the complexity of environmental models, decision support systems are essential tools to help Environmental Authorities to plan air quality policies that fulfill EU Directive 2008/50 requirements in a cost-efficient way. Thus, in order to improve air quality, it appears to be of main concern to search policies capable of take into account both the environmental problem and the economical one. Emission reduction policies should be implemented in order to improve air quality. Clearly, the cost/benefit ratio of each decision must be also taken into account during the strategy planning. Dynamic programming [Luenberger, 1979] offers a powerful tool to approach this problem. It allows an iterative formalization of the environmental problem as a constrained optimal control problem. Here, an objective function has to be minimized along a given finite time horizon. In order to obtain a feasible reduction policy, the optimization problem must be constrained. A set of dynamic varying constraints on the applicability thresholds of emission reductions (control variables) is considered. Finally, aimed at reducing the computational burden, artificial neural networks are used to describe the nonlinear relations between the control variables and the output variables (air quality indexes) over a given domain. Methodology and Results Given a set of technologies, a model relating an air quality index (e.g., PM10) and the application levels of those technologies is first defined. Then, an objective function to be minimized is defined (e.g. average PM10 over Lombardia), as well as a set of constrained over the model inputs (i.e., the technologies application levels). In particular, when minimizing the objective function, the non-increasing property of each precursor emission and the maximum feasible reduction levels have been constrained. Starting from this formalization, the problem is first addressed using dynamic programming. In order to face the computational complexity of the problem, an heuristic is defined in order to find a quasi-optimal solution [Carnevale et al., 2013]. Finally, the quasi-optimal air quality improvement plan is proven to be indeed optimal via simulation, comparing the global optimal solution (unconstrained) to the quasi-optimal one. Fig.1 PM10 over Lombardia, northern Italy at the beginning and at the end of the AQ improvement policy Conclusions Air quality and EU directive non-compliance are critical problems in some regions in Europe. The proposed dynamic programming approach is a viable solution to assess and select effective policies on a finite time horizon in a computationally efficient way. References Luenberger D. G., 1979. Introduction to Dynamic Systems, John Wiley and Sons. Carnevale C., Finzi G., Padula F., Pederzoli A., Pisoni E., Turrini E.,Volta M., 2013.The Selection of Efficient Air Quality Control Strategies: A Dynamic Programming Approach.ACCENT-Plus Symposium, Urbino (I). 200 A MULTI-STRESSOR, MULTI-MODAL APPROACH TO BRIDGE THE GAP BETWEEN CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL HEALTH STRESSORS IN URBAN AREAS Ch. Vlachokostas (1), G. Banias (2), A. Athanasiadis (1), V. Akylas (1), Ch. Achillas (2) and N. Moussiopoulos (1) (1) Laboratory of Heat Transfer and Environmental Engineering, Aristotle University, Greece – University Campus, P.O. Box 483, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece; (2) School of Economics and Business Administration, International Hellenic University, 57001, Thermi, Greece Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary In a modern urban environment, individuals are often exposed to several health stressors simultaneously, while the variations between different modes of transport and activities add to the complexity of an already difficult to study thematic area such as personal exposure. The Combined Environmental Stressors’ Exposure (CENSE) software, was developed (see Fig. 1) in order to assess combined exposure in urban areas in an integrated and easy-to-comprehend manner. Introduction Urban areas often present high levels of environmental health stressors (physical and chemical) while they are often densely populated by citizens (who either work, live or commute through those areas). As a result, there is a need to address combined exposure in a more integrated way (Vlachokostas et al., 2012), since simultaneous exposure to multiple health stressors possibly represents an increased risk to public health. The temporal and spatial variation of air quality, and ultimately, the direct and indirect responses to human health, highlight the need to characterize an urban space according to its environmental quality, especially if it is densely populated or usually crowded. This study demonstrates the use of the CENSE tool, in an attempt to characterize a Greek city’s centre regarding its environmental quality. Methodology and Results Thessaloniki’s city centre was selected due to high stressor concentration levels and high population density. Concentration data for ten stressors (PM10, CO, O3, NO2, VOCs, noise and BTEX) and for different modes of transport was provided for two sampling periods, representing the morning and evening rush hours. In addition to the concentration data, stressor parameters such as weighting factors and limit values for each stressor were defined. Finally, after defining the desired activities and their corresponding respiration rates and typical durations, the Combined Exposure Indicator (CEI), Combined Exposure and Dose Indicator (CEDI) and Normalised Combined Exposure and Dose Indicator (nCEDI) were calculated. The area was then characterized regarding its exposure levels according to the above indicator values. The characterization deriving from the CEDI and nCEDI values highly differs than the one deriving from the CEI value and is in fact, in most cases that are related with intense physical activities and/or activities with high duration, worse. Conclusions As population density in urban centres continues to increase, Fig.1 CENSE work flow diagram the exposure levels as a result of human activity will continue to deteriorate. Given the fact that citizens spend a substantial amount of time in areas where stressor concentrations are often elevated, the need for personal exposure studies is emphasized. The CENSE tool can be useful for decision makers in various aspects such as urban planning, transportation infrastructure and sustainability issues as it incorporates the local characteristics into a well identified interface. It is designed to provide a holistic and easy-to-comprehend co-exposure assessment to several chemical and physical stressors, in negligible time. Furthermore, the tool’s flexibility derives mostly from exploiting the co-exposure indicator concept, which has significant potential in decision making. However, combined exposure presents complexity, mainly because of the knowledge gaps in stressor synergies and scarcity of data in transport modes and population exposure patterns. In any case, CENSE can be useful in an effort to bridge the gap between chemical and physical stressors in urban areas, when a multistressor, multi-modal framework is under consideration. References Vlachokostas Ch., Achillas Ch., Michailidou A.V., Moussiopoulos N. 2012. Measuring combined exposure to environmental pressures in urban areas: An air quality and noise pollution assessment approach. Environment International 39, 8-18. 201 HEALTH BENEFITS FROM TRANSPORT RELATED GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION POLICIES D. A. Sarigiannis, P. Kontoroupis, S. Karakitsios, D. Chapizanis Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Department of Chemical Engineering, Environmental Engineering Laboratory, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The objective of this work is to investigate the co-benefits to urban air quality and public health from the introduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction policies in the city of Thessaloniki. A number of traffic related policies are implemented, including the introduction of underground rail in the city centre and changes in transportation modes. Traffic pollution is assessed for the baseline scenario in year 2010 and two future scenarios in year 2020, a business-as-usual (BAU) and a GHG emission reduction scenario (CO2 scenario). Introduction Using an integrated methodological framework, GHG emission reduction policies related to traffic are investigated, taking into account for the year 2020, the presence of underground rail in the city centre and changes in transportation modes including a higher share of diesel-fuelled, hybrid and electrical vehicles. The proposed methodological framework is data intensive, requiring a variety of type of data including geo-referenced road geometry and building footprints, building heights, population data per building block, traffic composition per vehicle class (passenger cars, lorries, buses, motorcycles, mopeds and bicycles) per road, hourly traffic flow per road for typical days, hourly urban background concentration (PM10, PM2.5, NO2, NOX, O3 and CO) and meteorological data from stations in the city centre, as well as across the Greater Thessaloniki Area (GTA). Methodology and Results The aforementioned integrated methodological framework is composed of a series of interconnected models and repeated for the years 2010 and 2020. Specifically, it includes (a) SIBYL, used to project vehicle stock numbers; (b) VISUM, utilized to simulate traffic flow as a result of changes in travel demand; (c) COPERT IV, used to compute the pollutant emission (PM10, PM2.5, NO2, NOX, O3, CO and benzene) per vehicle engine and type; (d) OSPM, utilized to compute pollutant concentrations in traffic corridors; and (e) CALPUFF, used to compute pollutant concentrations on motorways and urban/peri-urban roads. Exposure to the entire population is assessed via the inhalation pathway and its health impact is estimated by well established concentration response functions on high resolution population data (differentiated by age and gender). The health end points computed include the annual number of deaths attributable to PM10 and NO2 exposure and the leukaemia lifetime expected cases due to benzene exposure, at 100x100m grid and then aggregated at the municipality level. For the baseline year 2010, results show that the annual number of deaths for the municipality of Thessaloniki is 150 per 105 and 189 per 105 of population attributed to PM10 and NO2 and 3 per 105 of population lifetime expected cases attributed to benzene exposure. In comparison, in suburban Panorama the computed health impacts are 65 per 105 of population and 91 per 105 of population deaths due to PM10 and NO2 exposure and 1.3 per 105 of population lifetime expected cases due to benzene exposure. For the business-as-usual (BAU) and the Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission reduction scenarios, changes in traffic flow as a result of the underground rail introduction are significant. Simulations show that traffic flow will decrease by 33% on roads in direct proximity to the metro line (e.g. Monastiriou, Egnatia, Nea Egnatia, Delfwn), by 44% on roads within the historic center and by 22% decrease in all adjacent roads to the historic centre. These reductions in flow are further amplified by changes in the traffic mode, where diesel, hybrids and electric cars will constitute 22%, 7.7% and 2% respectively, to the total vehicle fleet. Furthermore, for the municipality of Thessaloniki, the expected % decrease in the annual number of deaths for the GHG scenario are 8% and 11% attributed to the PM10 and NO2 and 27% to the leukaemia lifetime expected cases due to Benzene. In comparison, for the municipality of Panorama, the expected % decrease in the annual number of deaths for the GHG scenario are 1% and 23% from PM10 and NO2 respectively and 33% to the leukaemia lifetime expected cases due to benzene. Conclusions It is shown that GHG emission reduction policies will improve the air quality in the city of Thessaloniki. Specifically, the introduction of an underground rail system will reduce PM10 concentration in the city centre, changes in vehicle composition in favour of diesel and hybrid passenger cars reduce the NO2 and benzene concentrations in the GTA. No significant changes in air quality are credited to the electric passenger cars since their projected market penetration is small within the time frame of the analysis. Acknowledgement This work was funded partially by the European Commission through the TRANSPHORM and URGENCHE projects (EC FP7). We acknowledge the Hellenic Institute of Transport (HIT) in CERTH, Greece for their help providing the necessary VISUM transportation data. 202 DEVELOPMENT APPLICATION OF AIR QUALITY AND RELATED MODELS 203 SENSITIVITY OF THE SEMI-EMPIRICAL URBAN STREET (SEUS) MODEL TO VARIATIONS IN NO2/NOX EMISSIONS RATIOS S. Vardoulakis (1), N. A. Mazzeo (2) and L. E. Venegas (2) (1) Centre for Radiation, Chemical and Environmental Hazards, Public Health England, U.K. (2) CONICET, National Technological University, Avellaneda, Buenos Aires, Argentina Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This paper explores the response of the Semi-Empirical Urban Street (SEUS) model to different input NO2/NOx emissions ratios (f). Hourly NO2 concentrations are modelled in two street canyons in the UK, Marylebone Rd. (MR) in London and Stratford Rd. (SR) in Birmingham for different f. The statistical evaluation of the model results indicatesthat the best agreement between modelled and observed NO2 concentrations is for f of 15-20% in MR and 10-15% in SR. The higher NO2/NOx emissions ratio in MR is consistentwith the higher fraction of heavy duty vehicles in this street compared to SR. Introduction Long-term exposure to ambient concentrations of NO2, which arehigher near busy roads (Vardoulakis et al., 2011), has been associated with all-cause mortality (Hoek et al., 2013). Dispersion modelling studies of ambient NO2 in urban areas in the UK, usually take into account a fraction of NOx directly emitted by vehicles as NO2 of approximately 5-10%. However, recent studies have indicated that the increasing number of diesel engines and heavy duty vehicles may result in higher NO2/NOx emissions ratios. Diesel cars have higher NO2/NOx emissions ratios compared with petrol cars. Also, higher f=NO2/NOx emissions ratios have been observed at low vehicle speeds. Therefore, f generally varies with fleet composition and traffic flow conditions. The Semi-Empirical Urban Street (SEUS) model (Mazzeo et al., 2012) includes a simple photochemistry algorithm between NO, NO2 and O3 which accounts for the fraction f, which is user defined. SEUS has been applied to estimate NO2 hourly concentrations in two street canyons in the UK, Marylebone Rd. (MR) and Stratford Rd. (SR) for varying f values. Model estimates are statistically evaluated to determine the range of f that gives the best agreement with observations for each site. Methodology and Results One year of NO2hourly concentrations are modelled in MR and SR using Table 1. Evaluation of the agreement between SEUS with f(%)=NO2/NOx=5, 10, 15, 20, 25.MR is a busy dual observed and estimated hourly NO2 concentrations carriageway road in central London and SR is a busy street with two traffic for different fractions of primary NO2 lanes in Birmingham. Annual average daily traffic was 76,000vehicles/day MARYLEBONE Rd. Mean FA2 in MR and 22,000vehicles/day in SR over the assessment period. NMSE R FB (ppb) (%) The average vehicle speed was 10-30km/h in MR and10-25km/h in SR, Observed 54.48 while the fraction of heavy duty vehicles was around 12% in MR and 5% in 43.09 0.27 0.58 84.8 0.234 SR. Permanent air quality monitoring stations are operated in both streets f: 5% f:10% 47.85 0.20 0.61 88.5 0.130 and therefore observed NOx and NO2 hourly concentrations are available. f:15% 52.59 0.17 0.63 90.1 0.035 Model estimates for different f values are compared with observations at f:20% 57.32 0.17 0.64 89.8 -0.051 both streets. The statistical evaluation of model results (Table 1) includes f:25% 62.02 0.20 0.64 88.3 -0.129 the comparison of (Chang and Hanna, 2004): mean concentrations; STRATFORD Rd. normalised mean square error (NMSE); correlation coefficient (R); fraction Observed 25.65 of model predictions within a factor two (FA2) and fractional bias (FB). f: 5% 24.03 0.17 0.79 91.5 0.065 25.62 0.15 0.80 91.7 0.001 There is generally a good agreement between calculated and observed NO2 f:10% 27.21 0.16 0.80 91.1 -0.059 hourly concentrations at both sites, with the best agreement between SEUS f:15% f:20% 28.79 0.17 0.79 90.3 -0.115 results and observations for f=15-20% in MR and f=10-15% in SR. 30.36 0.20 0.79 89.1 -0.168 Taking into account that annual mean background ozone concentrations in f:25% London and Birmingham were quite similar (19-20 ppb), the differences in f(%) giving the best fit with the observations at each site are likely to be due to the difference in the fraction of heavy duty vehicles using the two streets. Conclusions SEUS estimates of NO2 hourly concentrations are sensitive to variations in input NO2/NOx emissions ratios. This sensitivity has been used to explore the NO2/NOx emissions ratio in Marylebone Rd. (London) and in Stratford Rd. (Birmingham). The higher f for MR than for SR is consistent with the higher fraction of heavy duty vehicles in MR. Acknowledgement This work was supported by CONICET-PIP 0304. The authors wish to thank the British Atmospheric Data Centre for data used in this study. References Chang J.C., Hanna S.R. 2004. Air quality model performance evaluation. Meteor. Atmos. Physics 87, 167-196. Hoek G., Krishnan R., Beelen R., Peters A., Ostro B., Brunekreef B., Kaufman, J. 2013. Long-term air pollution exposure and cardiorespiratory mortality: a review. Environ. Health 12, 43. Mazzeo N.A., Dezzutti M.C., Venegas L.E. 2012. A Semi-Empirical Urban Street Canyon Model. Proc. 8th Int. Conf. on Air Quality-Science and Appl., 825-828. Vardoulakis S., Solazzo, E., Lumbreras J. 2011. Intra-urban and street scale variability of BTEX, NO2 and O3 in Birmingham, UK: Implications for exposure assessment. Atmos. Environ. 45, 5069-5078. 204 DOWNSCALING MESOSCALE WIND FIELDS THROUGH A MASS-CONSISTENT MODEL TO DRIVE DISPERSION SIMULATIONS WITH ADMS P. Brotto (1)(3), F. Cassola (1)(3), A. Mazzino (2)(3) and P. Prati (1)(3) (1) Department of Physics & INFN, University of Genoa, via Dodecaneso 33, 16146, Italy; (2) Department of Civil, Chemical and Environmental Engineering & INFN, University of Genoa, via Montallegro 1, 16145, Italy; (3) PM_TEN srl, via Dodecaneso 33, 16146, Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary We discuss here the outcomes of an experiment, in which we used the high-resolution wind field obtained by coupling the mesoscale meteorological model WRF with the diagnostic mass-consistent code WINDS to drive pollutant dispersion simulations with the ADMS model in a very complex topography area. The obtained concentration fields have been compared with a reference case, in which the wind field is reconstructed from point values by the ADMS meteorological preprocessor. This kind of approach is a significant step towards the realization of an integrated multiscale air quality forecasting system. Introduction At present, Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models can provide wind forecast information on scales up to a few kilometres but for several applications, like in particular simulation of pollutant dispersion, wind prediction on scales smaller than 1 km is desirable. In principle, increasing the NWP model resolution might provide considerable improvement in the representation of smaller-scale flows. Nevertheless, an open question remains as to whether the increasing computational requirements for running very high-resolution NWP models are compensated by a corresponding improvement of the forecast skill. In order to overcome these drawbacks, diagnostic models can be used to simulate three-dimensional wind fields over complex terrain. Such models can be nested in a NWP model to obtain higher-resolution wind fields on a smaller integration domain. Moreover, thanks to their simplicity, the computational effort needed by diagnostic codes is considerably reduced. The downscaling methodology proposed here is based on the diagnostic mass-consistent model WINDS (Wind-field Interpolation by Non Divergent Schemes), cascaded to the state-of-the-art non-hydrostatic mesoscale model WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting; Skamarock et al., 2008). WRF is currently operational at the Department of Physics (DIFI) of the University of Genoa in a three-grid configuration and provides atmospheric fields forecasts with resolutions up to about 1 km over the territory of Liguria Region. Methodology and Results WINDS is a diagnostic mass-consistent code developed at DIFI to perform three-dimensional wind flow simulations over complex terrain (Ratto et al., 1994; Burlando et al., 2007). This model performs the simulation in two steps: a first guess wind field is built by both horizontal and vertical interpolation of measured or assumed data of various kinds (wind speed upon the ground, aloft wind, vertical wind profiles, etc.); the final field is then calculated by imposing the constraint of mass conservation. In order to downscale the WRF wind fields, defined on a 1.1 km-spaced horizontal grid and on constant pressure surfaces, essentially flat, along the vertical, a specific procedure has been implemented in WINDS. The interpolation is applied not only to the wind velocity components, but also to all the variables of interest in the description of the PBL physics, such as surface heat flux, Obukhov length and friction velocity. Then, the meteorological information provided by WRF can be combined with the WINDS topography and roughness data, in order to build the initial wind profiles on every node of the WINDS horizontal grid. In particular, the profiles in the surface layer are constructed starting from classical profiles derived from the Monin-Obukhov similarity theory under the constraint of a minimal modification of the original WRF profiles. The final field is then obtained by imposing to the first-guess wind field the mass conservation. A validation of the proposed downscaling methodology, through a comparison with anemometrical data on the Ligurian territory, indicated a significant improvement in the prediction of wind speed, especially for strong wind events over complex topography. The downscaled wind fields can then be used to drive air quality simulations. In particular, we used the high-resolution (about 200 m) wind fields provided by WINDS to simulate the dispersion from a given point source with the ADMS model and compared the results with a reference case, in which the wind field was reconstructed from values in a given point by the ADMS meteorological pre-processor (based on the linearized FLOWSTAR model). Conclusions A downscaling methodology has been developed to provide high-resolution wind fields to drive air quality simulations with the ADMS model. Through this kind of approach an integrated multiscale air quality forecasting system is planned to be implemented, using ADMS to refine the concentration fields provided by the mesoscale Eulerian chemical transport model CAMx, already operational at the Department of Physics. References Burlando M., Georgieva E., Ratto C.F., 2007. Parameterisation of the planetary boundary layer for diagnostic wind models. Bound. Layer Meteor. 125(2), 389–397. Ratto C.F., Festa R., Romeo C., Frumento O.A., Galluzzi M., 1994. Mass-consistent models for wind fields over complex terrain: the state of the art. Environ. Software 9, 247-268. Skamarock W.C., Klemp J.B., Dudhia J., Gill D.O., Barker D.M., Huang X.Z., Wang W., Powers J.G., 2008. A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 3, Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado. 205 TIME EVOLUTION OF OZONE PRODUCTION FROM VOCS K. A. Mar (1), J. Coates (1), S. Zhu (1), T. M. Butler (1) (1) Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies e.V. (IASS Potsdam), Berliner Strasse 130, D-14467 Potsdam Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study attributes tropospheric ozone formation to emissions of VOC precursors by tagging the chemical mechanisms in a box model and in a 3-D regional model over a European domain. We find that alkanes, in comparison to other VOCs, have a high potential to form ozone over longer (multiple-day) timescales. The extent to which this delayed reactivity leads to ozone production downwind of VOC emission sources will be explored. These results may be relevant for designing strategies to reduce ambient ozone concentrations. Introduction Achieving air quality standards for ozone in Europe continues to be a challenge, in large part due to the complex relationship between ambient ozone concentrations and the emissions of its precursor gases, in particular nitrogen oxides (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). While emissions of NOx and total VOCs in Europe have shown robust decreases since the 1990s, concentrations of ozone, which is formed from reactions of VOCs and NOx in the presence of sunlight (Atkinson, 2000), have either remained stable or increased (Colette et al., 2011). In this study we use a box model and a 3-D regional model to probe the detailed pathways for ozone formation from VOC precursors. In particular, we attribute production of odd oxygen (Ox, which represents ozone and the family of molecules that rapidly interconvert with ozone including NO2, oxygen atoms, and reservoir species) to emissions of specific VOCs. Further, we investigate how the reactivity of emitted VOCs evolves over time. This type of detailed understanding of VOC reactivity is necessary to inform emission reduction strategies aimed at reducing ozone levels in Europe. Methodology and Results We attribute modeled production of Ox to emissions of primary VOC using a tagging approach (Butler et al., 2011), in which VOC oxidation intermediates are tagged with the identity of the primary emitted compound, allowing the formation of Ox to be directly traced back to an emitted VOC. Using this approach in a photochemical box model, we calculated daily Tagged Ozone Production Potentials (TOPPs), which represent the maximum potential of an emitted VOC species to result in the production of Ox over the course of a day (Butler et al., 2011). As shown in Fig. 1, we find that the multi-day TOPP profiles are noticeably different for different types of hydrocarbons. In particular, the TOPP of alkanes remains significant over multiple days and doesn’t peak until the second day of photochemical processing, whereas for alkenes, the TOPP peaks on the first day and drops sharply thereafter. This suggests that alkanes in particular could continue to significantly affect ozone production downwind of the original emissions source. To quantitatively investigate this question, we set up the WRFCHEM model over Europe for tagging implementation. With this regional model we aim to evaluate the degree to which the TOPP of VOCs is reached under realistic atmospheric conditions and evaluate the geographical extent to which VOC emissions affect ozone production in the region surrounding the emissions source. Conclusions Despite successful efforts to reduce precursor emissions, ozone pollution remains a problem in Europe. Understanding this problem demands a better understanding of the complex chemical and meteorological processes leading to ozone formation. In this study we explored the detailed, time-dependent photochemical evolution of VOCs and presented work towards examining how this chemistry impacts ozone formation downwind of emission sources. This analysis could inform new approaches to air quality management. References Atkinson, R., 2000. Atmospheric Chemistry of VOCs and NOx. Atmos. Environ. 34, 2063-2101. Butler, T. M., Lawrence, M. G., Taraborrelli, D., and Lelieveld, J., 2011. Multi-day Ozone Production Potential of Volatile Organic Compounds Calculated with a Tagging Approach. Atmos. Environ. 45, 4082-4090. Colette, A., Granier, C., Hodnebrog, Ø., et al., 2011. Air Quality Trends in Europe Over the Past Decade: A First MultiModel Assessment. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 11, 11657-11678. 206 MATCH-SALSA - MULTI-SCALE ATMOSPHERIC TRANSPORT AND CHEMISTRY MODEL COUPLED TO THE SALSA AEROSOL MICROPHYSCIS MODEL C. Andersson (1), R. Bergström, (1,2), H. Kokkola (3), C. Bennet (1), M. Thomas (1), H. Korhonen (3), K. Lehtinen (3) and L. Robertson(1) (1) Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, SE-60176 Norrköping, Sweden; (2) University of Gothenburg, Department of Chemistry, SE-41296 Göteborg, Sweden; (3) Finnish Meteorological Institute, Kuopio Unit, P.O. Box 1627, FI-70211 Kuopio, Finland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The aerosol dynamics module SALSA (Kokkola et al., 2008) has been implemented in the regional scale chemistry transport model MATCH (Robertson et al., 1999) and the resulting model, MATCH-SALSA (Andersson et al., 2013), has been evaluated. The new part of the model describes particle number size distribution and growth processes. Introduction The demand for improved representation of aerosols in atmospheric models has increased during recent years; more accurate and detailed description on aerosol size distribution and chemical content is needed both for estimating impact of particles on radiative forcing and in health impact investigations. For this reason aerosol dynamics was introduced in the MATCH-model, and the resulting model was evaluated and tested for sensitivities to different parameterisations and input data. Methodology and Results The model was evaluated using measurement data from EBAS (http://ebas.nilu.no) of particle number size distribution, particle mass and chemical species. The new model underestimates the total particle number concentration (PNC) at northerly sites, and overestimates at K-Puszta. The modelled total PNC is very sensitive to the fractions of SOx emitted as different oxidated states of sulphur (sulphur dioxide, sulphuric acid, sulphate). Further, the growth by condensation seems to be underestimated. This is expected since the new model does not yet include coupling between particle growth and nitrogen partitioning between the gasand solid phase. The new model does includes simplified secondary organic chemistry coupled to the aerosol dynamics. Future development of this should improve the model performance. The new model includes coupling between cloud dynamics and wet scavenging of particles. The results indicate that such advanced handling of particle wet scavenging does not improve the model performance on PNC. Conclusions A new model called MATCH-SALSA has been developed. Sensitivity test using the new model indicates that coupling of particle activation in clouds to wet scavenging has little effect on ground level concentrations. The model needs to be further improved in terms of condensation processes in order to describe particle growth more accurately. The distribution of SOx emission on oxidative state of sulphur strongly affects the PNC. Acknowledgement This work was conducted within the Swedish Clean Air Programme, SCARP, funded by the Swedish EPA. References Andersson, C. et al., 2013. MATCH-SALSA – Multi-scale atmospheric transport and chemistry model coupled to the SALSA aerosol microphysics model. SMHI report and manuscript to be submitted to Geophys. Model Develop. Discuss. Kokkola, H. et al., 2008. SALSA – a sectional aerosol module for large scale applications. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 8, 2469-2483. Robertson, L. et al., 1999. An Eulerian limited-area atmospheric transport model. J. Appl. Meteor. 38, 190–210. 207 MEASUREMENTS AND MODELLING OF BLACK CARBON IN TWO CITIES IN SOUTH-WEST SPAIN C. Milford (1,2), R. Fernández-Camacho (1), A. Sánchez de la Campa (1), S. Rodríguez (2), N. Castell (3), C. Marrero (2), J. De la Rosa (1) and A. F. Stein (4) (1) University of Huelva, Joint Research Unit to CSIC “Atmospheric Pollution”, Huelva, Spain; (2) Izaña Atmospheric Research Center, AEMET, Tenerife, Spain; (3) Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU), Kjeller, Norway; (4) Earth Resources and Technology on assignment to Air Resources Laboratory, NOAA, MD, USA. Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary Black carbon (BC) has been measured and simulated for two city sites in south-west Spain with high temporal resolution (1 h). The daily variation at each site and the spatial variation between sites were captured by the modelling system. The parallel measurement and modelling of BC constitutes a useful tool to characterise and quantify the behaviour and dynamics of this species. Introduction Black carbon has been identified as one of three key short-lived climate forcers (SLCFs) for which emission reduction measures would contribute to slowing near-term climate change while having the additional benefit of improving air quality and thereby reducing the adverse health effects of air pollution (UNEP and WMO, 2011). In addition, BC has been identified as a more sensitive indicator to vehicle exhaust related air pollution compared with other regulated pollutants such as PM10 and PM2.5. A BC measurement program with high temporal resolution was initiated in two cities in south-west Spain in 2012 to characterise the behaviour of this species. In addition, the three-dimensional air quality model (CAMx) was implemented to investigate the dynamics of this primary aerosol and its spatial and temporal resolution. This study presents measurements and modelling of BC for a winter period from this measurement dataset. PM2.5 EBC (g m-3) PM2.5 EBC (g m-3) 16 Methodology and Results a) Seville Meas 14 Sim Black Carbon was measured in two cities, Seville (700,000 12 inhabitants) and Huelva (150,000 inhabitants), in the south-west of 10 Spain. Hourly measurements of black carbon in PM10 were conducted 8 with a Multi-Angle Absorption Photometer and these were converted to 6 equivalent black carbon (EBC) measurements for each site by 4 comparing with PM10 samples collected in a high volume sampler (68 2 0 m3 h-1) analysed for EC in the laboratory using the Thermo Optical 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Transmittance technique (see Fernandez-Camacho et al., 2010). The 16 b) Huelva Meas site specific mass absorption cross sections obtained were 9.79 and 14 Sim 10.31 m2 g-1 for Seville and Huelva, respectively. The mean 12 PM2.5/PM10 BC ratio (0.74 ± 0.025) was utilised to determine the PM2.5 10 8 BC concentration (Fernandez-Camacho et al., 2010). Primary 6 Elemental Carbon (PEC) was simulated using CAMx driven by the 4 MM5 meteorological model, both models used three nested domains 2 with 18 x 18 km, 6 x 6 km and 2 x 2 km horizontal resolution. 0 Emissions of PEC include those from on-road traffic and from large 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Day (Jan 2013) industrial sources. Results of the measured and simulated PM2.5 EBC concentrations at the two sites are shown in Fig. 1 for 2-17 January Fig.1 Measured PM2.5 EBC and simulated PM2.5 PEC 2013. This demonstrates that the modelling system is capable of concentrations at a) Seville and capturing both the temporal variation at each site and the spatial b) Huelva, 2-17 Jan 2013. variation between sites. The mean and maximum PM2.5 EBC concentration observed at the Seville site were 1.8 μg m-3 and 10.9 μg m-3 during this winter period. At the Huelva site the observed concentrations were lower; the mean concentration was 0.7 μg m-3 and the maximum 5.7 μg m-3. The modelling system tended to overestimate the peak concentrations at the Seville site (Mean Bias = 0.6 μg m-3) while slightly underestimating the concentrations at the Huelva site (Mean Bias = -0.1 μg m-3). Conclusions A measurement and modelling program has been initiated in south-west Spain to characterise the concentrations and behaviour of black carbon in two different cities. This will aid us in understanding the dynamics of this primary aerosol and as regulatory pressure continues to reduce particulate emissions from vehicle traffic, the parallel measurement and modelling of BC constitutes a useful tool to both guide and monitor any proposed traffic emission reduction measures. Acknowledgement The authors gratefully acknowledge funding from the Department of Environment, Andalusian Regional Government (project: 168/2011/C/00) and the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (POLLINDUST: CGL2011-26259). References UNEP and WMO, 2011. Integrated Assessment of Black Carbon and Tropospheric Ozone, United Nations Environment Program and World Meteorological Organization, Nairobi, Kenya, 2011. Fernández-Camacho, R., Rodríguez, S., de la Rosa, J., Sánchez de la Campa, A. M., Viana, M., Alastuey, A. and Querol X., 2010. Ultrafine particle formation in the inland sea breeze airflow in Southwest Europe. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 10, 9615–9630. 208 A METHODOLOGY TO ESTIMATE PM10 OUTDOOR URBAN CONCENTRATIONS USING GLM J. M. Garcia (1), F. Teodoro (1), R. Cerdeira (1), L. M. R. Coelho (1), M. G. Carvalho (2)(3) (1) Escola Superior de Tecnologia de Setubal, Instituto Politécnico de Setúbal, Campus do IPS, 2910-761 Setúbal, Portugal (2) Instituto Superior Técnico, Portugal, (3) European Parliament Brussels, Belgium Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study presents a methodology that uses Generalized Linear Model (GLM) to predict PM10 concentrations based in the previous study of the relations between PM10 air concentrations and CO, NO2, NOx, VOCs, SO2 atmospheric concentrations, but also meteorological variables as air temperature, relative humidity and wind speed. The study is applied to a particular city (Barreiro, Portugal) and the model uses data from the monitoring air quality stations Portuguese network, and meteorological data. The developed GLM consider as dependent variable (or response variable) PM10 outside air concentrations, and considers as explanatory independent variables or covariates the air concentrations of pollutants NO2, NOx, CO, O3 but also meteorological variables, air temperature, relative humidity and wind speed. A logarithmic link function was considered with a Poisson probability distribution. The studied model includes detailed inspection for cases with maximum air temperature below 25ºC and maximum air temperature above 25ºC. Results indicate that best performance is achieved for model considering only data with maximum air temperature values above 25ºC (R2=0,649) when compared with model considering all data (R2=0,386) and also when compared with model that considerers only data with maximum air temperature below 25ºC (R2=0,149). The best performance model was tested with data from other Portuguese city (Oporto) showing reasonable fit results. Introduction In past recent, the concern about air quality has growth mainly due to the increasing knowledge of relations between respiratory problems, especially in children’s and air pollution. In the case of PM, is known that airborne particulate matter has its origin in a wide variety of natural and anthropogenic sources. Some particles are directly emitted into the atmosphere and others may be formed in the air as a result of the chemical reaction of gases. Articles dedicated to study the contribution to air pollution from different sources, conclude that there is a strong relation between gaseous air pollutants and atmospheric PM. Methodology and Results General Linear Model (GLM) (Nelder et Wedderburn, 1972) was used to building a methodology to estimate PM10 outside concentrations, based on known values of other outside gaseous air pollutant concentrations. GLM are based in the assumption that there are K independent values Y1, ..., YK, from a variable of interest or response variable (effect) that follows an exponential family distribution with expected value E (Yi) = μi [Conceição et al, 2001]. Considering K vectors xi = (1 xi1 x12 … xip)t, i=1, ..., K, containing the values of p explanatory variables, independent or covariates. A link logarithmic function was considered and Yi has a Poisson distribution, the model results in a Poisson regression model and each term βi is the effect of variable Xi in g (μi). In fact, βi represents the “effect” of variable Xi in the function g(µi). In this case the objective is to estimate PM10 concentration values based on other variables, which are gaseous air pollutant concentrations namely CO, NO2, NOx, O3 and SO2 but also meteorological variables namely temperature (T,ºC), relative humidity (RH,%) and wind velocity (WV, m/s). Statistical Package software for Social Sciences SPSS 10.0 for windows was used to build and analyse the model. Conclusions Results show that model considering all data predicts, poorly results for PM10 concentrations (R2=0,386) but when two sub models were developed, considering only data with the criteria of maximum temperature of air i) above 25ºC and ii) below 25ºC results improved substantially. Comparisons of the three models show that best performance results are achieved for model with values of Tmax air>25ºC (R2=0,649) showing the importance of air temperature in the formation of the secondary particles in air. Acknowledgement The authors wish to acknowledge Comissão de Coordenação e Desenvolvimento Regional de Lisboa e Vale do Tejo (CCDRLVT) and Instituto de Metereologia (IM) by the information provided. References Nelder J.A., Wedderburn R.W.M. (1972). “Generalized linear models”. J R Stat Soc A; 35: pg 370-84. Conceição G.M.S, Saldiva P. H. N.,Singer J. M., (2001). “Modelos MLG e MAG para análise da associação entre poluição atmosférica e marcadores de morbi-mortalidade: uma introdução baseada em dados da cidade de São Paulo”. Rev. Bras. Epidemiol. 206 Vol. 4, Nº 3, pp 206-219. 209 IMPLEMENTATION OF THE ON LINE COUPLED MODEL WRF/CHEM OVER THE PO VALLEY C. Carnevale (1), G. Finzi (1), E. Pisoni (2), A. Pederzoli (1), E. Turrini (1), M. Volta (1) (1) Department of Industrial and Mechanical Engineering (DIMI), University of Brescia, Via Branze 38, 25123 Brescia, Italy (2) European Commission – Joint Research Centre (JRC), Via Fermi, 2749 - 21027 Ispra (VA) - Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study presents the preliminary results related to the implementation of the on line coupled atmospheric model WRF/Chem over the Po valley. O3 surface concentrations over a 6x6 km2 resolution domain are compared to observations provided by approximately 300 monitoring sites distributed across the area. Introduction The Po Valley, one of the most industrialized and highly populated areas in Northern Italy, is characterized by very high levels of ozone and particulate matter concentrations, which often exceed the European air quality standards. This is due to high urban and industrial emissions as well as frequent stagnant meteorological conditions (low wind speed and temperature inversions) associated to the complex topography of the area. In order to provide a good estimate of the air quality state in this region, a detailed description of both meteorological and air quality conditions is therefore required. This work aims at describing both the meteorology and the spatial and temporal distribution of particulate and ozone concentrations over the Po Valley through the application of an on-line atmospheric coupled model (WRF/Chem). Methodology and Results The fully coupled ‘‘on-line’’ Weather Research and Forecasting/Chemistry (WRF/Chem) model, developed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), simulates the emission, transport, mixing and chemical transformation of trace gases and aerosols simultaneously with the meteorology. The model is used for air quality and weather forecast as well as for studying interactions between meteorology and chemistry (i.e. aerosols feedback). The air quality component of the model is fully consistent with the meteorological one, given by the non-hydrostatic model WRF; they both use the same transport scheme (mass and scalar preserving), the same grid (horizontal and vertical components), and the same physics parameterizations. Several chemical schemes can be selected in WRF/Chem, including the Regional Acid Deposition Model (RADM2, Stockwell et al., 1990) and the Carbon Bond 4 (CB-4, Gery et al, 1988). The chemistry package also includes dry deposition (‘‘flux-resistance’’ method), biogenic emission treatment and the MADE/SORGAM aerosol parameterization scheme. The model has been installed on a parallel machine at University of Brescia. A monthly run was carried out on a 6x6km2 resolution grid covering Northern Italy. Emissions at at 6x6 km2 resolution for CO, NH3, NOX, SO2,VOC provided by the POMI exercise (http://aqm.jrc.ec.europa.eu/POMI/index.html) have been used. Emissions have been temporally speciated by using temporal profiles from the POMI website. The VOC chemical speciation has also been preformed for the RADM chemical scheme. NCEP operational data at 1 degree resolution (http://da.ucar.edu) were used as input for WRF. BC and initial conditions were extracted from the global model MOZART. An example of WRF/Chem output is given in figure 1. Output modeled concentrations have been compared to observations provided by monitoring stations across Northern Italy (figure 2). Fig.1. Example of WRF/Chem output. Map of O3 hourly ozone concentration. Units:ppmV Fig 2. Scatter plot of observed versus modelled surface O3 hourly concentration. Units:gm-3of WRF/Chem output. Map of O3 hourly ozone Conclusions The aim of this study is to describe in detail the temporal and spatial distribution of O3 and PM concentrations over the Po Valley, through the use of the on line model WRF/Chem. A comparison with observations from 300 monitoring sites has been carried out. Future sensitivity tests will be performed in order to indentify the best model configuration to be used for emission scenarios studies over the area. References Gery, M. W., G. Z. Whitten, and J. P. Killus (1988): “Development and Testing of the CBM-IV For Urban and Regional Modeling,”, EPA-600/ 3-88-012, January. Stockwell, W. R., Middleton, P., Chang, J. S., and Tang, X., 1990: The second generation regional acid deposition model chemical mechanism for regional air quality modeling, J. Geophys. Res. 95, 16343–16367. 210 IMPACT OF SHIPPING EMISSIONS FROM A MEDITERRANEAN PORT CITY BY COUPLING OF THE MESO-SCALE MODEL BOLCHEM WITH THE MICRO-SCALE MODEL ADMS-URBAN R. Cesari (1), R. Buccolieri (2), A. Maurizi (3), R. Quarta (2) and S. Di Sabatino (2) (1) National Research Council, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, S. P. Lecce-Monteroni km 1.2, 73100, Lecce, Italy; (2) University of Salento, Dipartimento di Scienze e Tecnologie Biologiche ed Ambientali, S.P. Lecce-Monteroni km 1.2, Lecce, Italy; (3) National Research Council, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, via Gobetti 101, 40100, Bologna, Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to evaluate the contribution of shipping emissions to local concentration in a port city located in southern Italy, using a numerical approach based on the off-line coupling of the meso-scale model BOLCHEM (Mircea et al., 2006) with the micro-scale advanced-Gaussian model ADMS (CERC Ltd). The potential benefit of this coupling is tested. Simulations are performed during summer and winter period in the year 2010. Overall, a larger contribution to the total concentration levels is found for NOx (with peaks up to 40%), while for PM concentration the contribution is below 10%. Introduction Maritime transport represents a major source of air pollution in the world (Mueller et al., 2011). In this context, the project CESAPO (Contribution of Emission Sources on the Air Quality of the Port-cities in Greece and Italy – www.cesapo.upatras.gr), implemented in the frames of the European program INTERREG “European Territorial Cooperation Programme Greece-Italy 2007-2013” has the objective to quantify the impact of maritime activities of the port of Patras (Greece) and Brindisi (Italy) on air quality. Here we present some numerical results obtained in the area of port of Brindisi, one of the main port city on the south Adriatic coast of Italy, in Apulia region, characterized by a traffic volume of over 2,000 ships/year. Numerical simulations, using ADMS dispersion model coupled with the meso-scale model BOLCHEM, for both NOx, O3 and primary PM concentrations are presented and the impact of maritime activity is evaluated. Methodology and Results BOLCHEM simulations have been performed over the Apulia region domain with the inclusion of anthropogenic emissions from all the sources with the exclusion of the shipping emissions. The meso-scale model is then used to calculate meteorological input variables and background concentrations which were then fed into the micro-scale model. Shipping emission inventory used as input in ADMS has been built according to the MEET methodology (Trozzi and Vaccaro, 1998) on the basis of the knowledge of local maritime traffic volume and specific parameters of the ships available from the Avvisatore Marittimo (http://www.porto.br.it/bpi/index.php) of the Brindisi port. Numerical simulations were evaluated using data from monitoring stations (managed by the Regional Agency for Environmental Protection ARPA-Puglia). Analyses of numerical results show that, in line with findings in several Italian ports, shipping emissions and associated concentrations are dependent on seasonality, as summer emissions are about 10% larger compared to the winter ones and are also associated to low wind speed. A larger contribution to the total concentration levels is found for NOx (with peaks up to 40%), while for PM concentration the contribution is below 10%. Predictions obtained by coupling of a meso-scale model to a micro-scale dispersion model are improved when using wind fields and background concentration produced by downscaling BOLCHEM output as initial and boundary conditions. Conclusions As ship emissions are expected to continue to increase in future years and since numerical results in the area of Brindisi put into evidence that their impact on air quality concentration levels is not negligible, there is a need to account for NOx and PM emissions in the assessment of air quality in port cities. This study is also the first attempt of coupling BOLCHEM with a microscale dispersion model. Results are encouraging which further suggest the usefulness of such approach. Acknowledgement This work was supported by European Territorial Cooperation Programme Greece-Italy 2007-2013 CESAPO (Contribution of Emission Sources on the Air quality of the Port-cities in Greece and Italy) project. The authors wish to thank CERC Ltd for making available ADMS model, ARPA Puglia for concentration data, Avvisatore Marittimo of Brindisi port for traffic maritime data and the Italian Air Force for meteorological data. References CERC Ltd. ADMS model. Available from Cambridge Environmental Research Consultant, Cambridge, UK. http://www.cerc.co.uk Mircea, M., D’Isidoro, M., Maurizi, A., Vitali, L., Conforti, F., Zanini, G., Tampieri, F. 2006. A comprehensive performance evaluation of the air quality model BOLCHEM to reproduce the ozone concentrations over Italy. Atmospheric Environment 42, 6, 1169-1185. Mueller, D., Uibel, S., Takemura, M., Klingelhoefer, D., Groneberg, D.A., 2011. Ships, ports and particulate air pollution – an analysis of recent studies. Journal of Occupational Medicine and Toxicology, 6:31. Trozzi, C., Vaccaro, R., 1998. TECHNE report MEET RF98, Methodologies for estimating air pollutant emissions from ships, August 1998. 211 ADVANCED ODOUR DISPERSION MODELLING IN A NEW ENVIRONMENTAL INFORMATION SYSTEM U. Uhrner (1), G. Grosso (1), D. Öttl (2) (1) Institute for Internal Combustion Engines and Thermodynamics, Graz University of Technology, 8010 Graz Austria, (2) Dep. 15 Housing, Energy and Engineering, Provincial Government Styria, 8010 Graz Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This work aims to present the development of a new specific odour dispersion model which is embedded in a communitybased environmental monitoring and information system using citizen’s information. A specific odour dispersion model will be developed to obtain interrelated spatial odour exposure levels due to the release by the sources. First promising results using the new dispersion model were obtained in transient simulations for PM10 within the EU project PMinter. Introduction Odours from industry or livestock breeding are a great deal of annoyance for neighbours in rural and urban locations and they are listed as the second source of complaints by ADEME in France and the Environmental Policy in Wallonia (Belgium). The EU RP7 project OMNISCIENTIS brings together state of the art technologies and open communication capabilities to mitigate odour annoyance. Odour cannot be monitored or regulated like a pollutant: its perception is linked to a human sense and it must be evaluated in terms potential annoyance on people (Nicolas et al., 2010). The level of the annoyance depends in a complex way on the release and strength of odour emissions, their dispersion under ambient conditions and finally on the exposure and perception of citizens. Particular care has to be devoted to one peculiar characteristic of odour human perception: few minutes above the perception threshold are enough to give the impression of odour annoyance. Such a phenomenon, which was demonstrated by several studies and researches, cannot be neglected for a proper modelling of odour impact. So far, dispersion models use hourly or half hourly meteorological data and if available simple temporal cycles (e.g. diurnal cycles based on hourly values) to describe the temporal emission behaviour. Consequently, they provide hourly or maybe half hourly mean concentrations and are not able to capture odour fluctuations due to turbulent perturbations of the flow motion (see Fig. 1). Methodology and Results In the OMNISCIENTIS solution, the neighbours (citizens) can use a mobile device (Smartphone, Tablet) to provide information and get direct feedback. The information provided from the mobile devices will be used calibrating the measuring equipment, developing and validating a new odour dispersion model. The system performances will be tested and validated on the field, using two distinct pilot cases: a pig fattening farm in Austria and a major industrial site in Belgium. The new improved odour modelling system will use information on wind and turbulence as well as time-varying behaviour of emissions (electronic noses and flow measurements) in order of minutes. The odour dispersion model must operate on time scales order of minutes to provide citizens and other stakeholder’s immediate feedback. At this aim, the “GRAL-System” (Öttl & Uhrner, 2011) is employed and modified to be applied for odour simulations. Main parts of the GRAL-System are transferred so that they can run on GPUs (Graphical Processing Units) instead of CPUs. First test simulations for winter time PM10 using emission inventories established during the EU project PMinter (see companion paper by Uhrner et al.) indicate promising results of the new model under development. Fig.1 Peak above the perception threshold cause annoyance even if the mean concentration is below the threshold Fig.2 Test-run with the transient model simulating total PM10 for Leibnitz/Austria First Conclusions First test runs with the new model system revealed promising results for complicated air pollution simulations during winter time for PM10. Acknowledgement This work is supported by FP7-ENV.2012.6.6-1 OMNISCIENTIS (308427). References Nicolas, J., Cors, M., Romain, A.-C., Delva, J., Identification of odour sources in an industrial park from resident diaries statistics, Atmospheric environment, 44, 13 (2010) 1623-1631. Öttl D., Uhrner U. (2011), “Development and evaluation of GRAL-C dispersion model, a hybrid Eulerian-Lagrangian approach capturing NO-NO2-O3 chemistry”, Atmospheric Environment 45, 839-847. 212 MAKING AIR QUALITY INDICES COMPARABLE – ASSESSMENT OF TEN YEARS OF AIR POLLUTANT LEVELS IN WESTERN EUROPE H. Lokys (1, 2), J. Junk (1), A. Krein (1) (1) Department Environment and Agro-biotechnologies (EVA), Centre de Recherche Public - Gabriel Lippmann, 41 rue du Brill, L-4422 Belvaux, GD Luxembourg; (2) University of Münster, Climatology Working Group, Heisenbergstr. 2, D-48149 Münster, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary We present a new method to directly compare air quality indices based on the current valid WHO recommendations for NO2, O3 and PM10. Using the new normalization method we compared three air quality indices based on the current valid European guidelines, related them to another air quality index based on the relative risk (RR) concept and used them to assess the air quality and its trends in northwest central Europe. The new method allows a direct comparison of the air quality indices as it does not change the structure and the ten-year trends in air quality. The average air quality in the area of investigation is below the index values recommended by the European guidelines. The majority of index values exceeding this threshold are caused by PM10, which is also, in most cases, responsible for degrading trends in air quality. Overall more than 50 % of all stations show a trend of decreasing index values. Introduction Air quality indices differ in many aspects like the purpose of the index, health-relatedness and calculation methods. The variety of indices, even if well suited to the original location, complicates a direct comparison of air quality via these indices. To address this incomparability we propose a new normalization method that is suited to directly compare the air quality indices “Daily Air Quality Index” (DAQx) (Mayer et al. 2004), the “Common Air Quality Index” CAQI (van den Elshout et al. 2008), and the “Multi Pollutant Index” (MPI) (Gurjar 2008) - all based on European air quality guidelines. Methodology and Results A two-stage normalization was chosen to make the air quality indices directly comparable. Stage one normalized the range from zero till the index value correspondent to the WHO guideline value. On stage two the index values from the guideline value up to the maximum index value were also normalized. This approach does not change the structure of the air quality indices as well as their trends, and is therefore well suited for direct index comparisons. It could be shown, that the non-aggregating air quality indices DAQx and CAQI indicate in general inferior air quality (higher index values) than the aggregating index MPI at all stations. In addition, we compared the health impact relation of the three indices by comparing them to the RR based index ARI (“Air Risk Index”, Sicard et al. 2011). Results of this correlation indicate that the MPI is most consistent with the relative risk approach (R=0.81), while both non-aggregating indices (DAQx (R=0.63), CAQI (R=0.48)) suffer from problems to indicate the health outcome as described by the RR. To assess the air quality in the “Greater Region” we analysed emission data of 29 stations. Beside index calculations, we performed the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test for monotonic annual trends as well as the Sen’s method to estimate the linear slope of the linear trend. The average air quality in the area of investigation is below the index values recommended by the European guidelines. Overall more than 50 % of the stations exhibit trends of improving air quality, most of them are rural background stations. The urban and suburban background stations as well as industry and traffic ones show similar amounts of stations with increasing or decreasing air quality. Conclusions According to the correlation with the ARI we conclude that the non-aggregating air quality indices might be less suitable to investigate relationships between morbidity and mortality levels and the current air quality. Nevertheless, they can serve as good indicators of the air quality for policy makers and stakeholders. End users must be aware of these facts and must carefully choose an air quality index appropriate for the relevant purpose or research question, e.g. in order to either focus more on average pollution via aggregating indices or on peaks of at least one pollutant via non aggregating air quality indices. Acknowledgement We gratefully acknowledge the financial support of the National Research Fund in Luxembourg for the PhD scholarship of Hanna Lokys (4965163). Parts of the work have been done in the framework of the “Small Particles - environmental behaviour and toxicity of nanomaterials and particulate matter” (SMALL) project. References Directive 2008/50/EC of the European Parliament and of the council of 21 May 2008 on ambient air quality and cleaner air for Europe, 2008. Off J Eur Union. Gurjar, B.R., et al., 2008. Evaluation of emissions and air quality in megacities. Atmos Environ 42, 1593-1606. Mayer, H., et al., 2004. Air stress and air quality indices. Meteorol Z 13, 395-403. Sicard, P., et al., 2011. Air quality trends and potential health effects – Development of an aggregate risk index. Atmos Environ 45, 1145-1153. van den Elshout, S., Leger, K. and Nussio, F., 2008. Comparing urban air quality in Europe in real time a review of existing air quality indices and the proposal of a common alternative. Environ Int 34, 720-726. 213 EMISSION MODELS INVENTORIES 214 RESIDENTIAL HEATING EMISSIONS OF PM2.5 AND NOX IN ESTONIA M. Kaasik (1), M. Maasikmets (2;3), E. Teinemaa (2) (1) University of Tartu, Ülikooli 18, 50090, Tartu, Estonia. (2) Estonian Environmental Research Centre, Marja 4D, 10617 Tallinn, Estonia. (3) Estonian University of Life Science (EULC), Institute of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, Kreutzwaldi 5, 51014 Tartu, Estonia Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary A questionnaire-based investigation and combustion experiments were carried on to quantify the PM2.5 and NOx emissions from residential heating in Estonia. Although relatively low emission factors were found, the residential emissions cause PM2.5 episodes due to sharp annual and diurnal cycles. Wood combustion is highly dominating in these episodes. Introduction This investigation was carried out to quantify the PM2.5 and NOx emissions from residential heating in Estonia and aimed to create an up-to-date input dataset for modelling the air quality in urban and regional scales. Particular attention is paid to diurnal cycle of emissions that is expected to play a major role in urban peak levels of particulate matter. Methodology and Results Wood burning PM2.5 and NOx EF measurements were carried out in EERC stove test laboratory. PM2.5 measurements included both filter sampling (10 l/min, Dekati PM10 Impactor, PM10, PM2.5, PM1, PM<1) and online (30 l/min ELPITM) methods. Simultaneously gas samples (O2, SO2, NO, NO2, CO, CO2, VOC), temperature (°C), relative humidity (%) and gas flow (m/s) were measured during the whole burning process. Samples for the gas analyses were taken through an insulated, externally heated (up to 180 °C) sample line and through the filter units to the gas analyser (Testo 360, Testo AG). Conifer and hardwood logwood with different humidity were used. Each log batch was weighed, heating value was measured and the RH of each log was measured separately. All samples were taken from the hot flue gas. Samples were taken during the startup phase (up to 20 min) and during the constant flaming process (up to 30 min). The survey of local heating, carried out in 2013, includes 200 households questioned about fuels and their quantities used for heating. Upscaling the data to entire country was based on 1 km gridded data from population census. The emission factors (EF) from burning of wood (Teinemaa et al., 2013) and fossil fuels (EMEP/EEA…, 2013) were applied to estimate the gridded emissions of PM2.5 and NOx. Compared to earlier studies, 1998 – 2004, the use of log wood and pellets has become even more dominating. In new suburbs, built in recent 20 years, natural gas and electric heating (incl. heat pumps) are spread. Formerly rather wide-spread fossil fuels (coal, fuel oil, peat products) have become marginal yet. As a result, the emissions from local heating are decreasing. A sharp maximum appears in diurnal cycle of emissions during evening hours (17 – 21) and a secondary maximum in morning hours (8 – 12), Fig. 1. The average measured concentrations in residentialdominated Tartu monitoring station have similar diurnal cycle with 2 – 3 hour shift and gentle smoothing. Fig.1. Average diurnal cycle of PM2.5 emissions and .concentration in Tartu monitoring station, heating season 2011/12. Conclusions As a result of combustion experiments, it was found that PM2.5 emission factors from traditional stoves in Estonia are 1.5 – 3 times lower than confidence limit supposed by EEA (EMEP/EEA…, 2013). Even lower emission factors have been reported for Finland (Karvosenoja, 2001). Despite that, the emissions in certain urban areas induce high PM2.5 concentrations due to intense heating in cold and calm wintertime anticyclonic weather, during evening hours in particular. Acknowledgement This work was supported by the Estonian MoE and by the Estonian Science Foundation project BioAtmos. Partial funding was provided by Estonian Research Council, grant 7895. References EMEP/EEA Air pollutant emission inventory guidebook 2013. 1.A.4. Small combustion, Technical report No 12/2013. Karvosenoja, N., 2001. Primary particulate emissions from stationary combustion processes in Finland, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Publ. No. 232. Teinemaa, E., Maasikmets, M., Vainumäe, K., Heinsoo, A., Arumäe, T., Lehes, L., 2013. Fulfilling the requirements of Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution (Geneva) Convention. Estonian Environmental Research Centre, (report), contract No. 4-1.1/178, 64 p. (in Estonian). 215 CALORIFIC VALUES AND PARTICULATE EMISSION ESTIMATES OF DISTRIBUTED BIOMASS FUELS OVER RURAL WESTERN INDIA Rohtash, A. Sen, T. K. Mandal, M. Saxena, S. K. Sharma CSIR-National Physical Laboratory, Dr. K S Krishnan Marg, New Delhi, India – 110012 Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary We have determined calorific value of residential fuels (n=624 samples) used for cooking purpose in rural western India (Rajasthan, Gujarat and Maharashtra) using Bomb calorimeter. In addition, we have also determined the distribution, humidity as well as emission factor of particulate matter (PM) emitted during burning of biomass. It has been noticed calorific value has been varied substantially with types of fuels such as fuel wood, agricultural residue and dung cake and it is negative correlated with humidity and emission factor of particulates. Introduction Biomass fuel is a major component of total energy use in rural residential sector of India. Heat of biomass from all these sources is well known to be associated with the emission of smoke which is consists of particulate and gaseous species (Andreae and Merlet, 2001). Due to lack of energy efficient processes the fuels are not burnt completely. The emitted species and their concentrations depend on the type of biomass and other factors including physical parameters associated with consumption of the biomass. The fate of initial fire emissions strongly depends on their composition, calorific value (CV) and the regional state of the atmosphere. Emission factor of various biomass fuel used in rural Indian household could be evaluated by determining their calorific values which is affected by humidity. Comprehensive efforts have been made to evaluate calorific values of biomass and its correlation with emission factors (EF) of particulate matter (PM) emitted during burning of biomass fuels. 80 % Distribution 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Acacia nilotica Dung cake Azadirachta indica Gossypium arboreum Cajanus cajan Prosopis juliflora Brassica campestris Richinus communis Zea mays Tectona grandis Mangifera indica Acacia Karoo Sesamum indicum Eucalyptus cinerea Tamarindus indica Saccharum officinarum Acacia catechu Cactus Spp. Pistacia Integerrima Abelmoschus esculentus Madhuca latifolia Ipomoea carnea Prunus persica Sesbania bispinosa Sorghum vulgare Anogeissus latifolia Artocarpus hirsutus Butea monosperma Albizzia lebbek Cocos nucifera Phyllostachys aurea Salvadora oleoides Ficus glomerata Camel dung Shorea robusta Citrus reticulata Terminalia paniculata Ziziphus mauritiana 0 Sample Type of Western Region Fig. 1 % Distribution of Biomass Sample EF (g/kg) of Particulates Methodology and Results Biomass samples were collected from 624 sites (Rajasthan, Gujarat and Maharashtra) of western India, used in rural sector and small industries for energy purpose. These samples were analyzed for CV (MJkg-1) using Bomb Calorimeter and biomass burning sampler for finding emission factor (gkg-1) of particulate. Biomasses evaluated for CV were then burned in the biomass burning sampler. Emissions from biomasses collected on the 47mm quartz filter paper were evaluated for emission factor of PM (T. Saud et. al. 2011). Distribution of bio-fuel varies spatially and seasonally shown in figure 1. The Calorific value of residential fuels ranged from 12.99 MJ/kg to 24.58 MJ/kg in the rural western India. It has been observed that fuel wood (Av: 19 MJ/kg) has higher calorific value than agriculture residue (Av: 17.34 MJ/kg) and dung cake (Av: 14.36 MJ/kg).The calorific value of biomass was found to be negatively correlated with humidity (r = -0.88) in biomass as well as with emission factor of particulates (r = -1.0) shown in figure 2. 5 4 Du ng Ca ke Ag ric ult ure Re sid ue 3 2 Fua l wo od Conclusion Calorific Value (MJ/kg) We have analyzed of residential fuels used in rural sector of western rural India for Fig.2 Relation Between CL And EF energy purpose. Spatial variability of calorific values of the residential fuels is also noticed in the present study. In earlier reported study, it has been that cow dung and agricultural residues shows higher emission of pollutants due to lower calorific value. Briefly, this study alludes towards the usage of dried biomass by the people living in the rural areas, as these biomasses will be having the higher CV and consequently less emission of particulates. It would make the combustion process more economically and energetically efficient 1 14 15 16 17 18 19 Acknowledgement Authors are grateful to Director, National Physical Laboratory for support. This work is sponsored by Department of Science and Technology, India. We thank Mr. R.P. Bhatnagar and Mr. Rishu Gautam for constant support of collecting biomass samples used in this study. References Andreae, Meinrat O., and P. Merlet. "Emission of trace gases and aerosols from biomass burning." Global biogeochemical cycles 15.4 (2001): 955-966. T. Saud, T.K. Mandal, Ranu Gadi, D.P. Singh, S.K. Sharma, M. Saxena, A. Mukherjee “Emission estimates of particulate matter (PM) and trace gases (SO2, NO and NO2) from biomass fuels used in rural sector of Indo-Gangetic Plain, India”Atmospheric Environment 45.32 (2011): 5913-5923. 216 USING TRACERS FOR ESTIMATION OF CO2 SOURCE IN THE URBAN ENVIRONMENT J. M. Necki, D. Jelen, M. Zimnoch AGH-University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Physics and Applied Computer Science al. Mickiewicza 30, 30-059 Kraków, Poland Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary However CO2 is not defined as a pollutant influencing air quality, it plays important role in the Earth radiation budget. Anthropogenic emission of carbon dioxide connected with fossil fuel combustion is usually accompanied by release of trace gases (e.g. CO and PAHs). Simultaneous measurement of these gases in the air of Kraków city may lead to estimation of fossil fuel input to atmospheric carbon balance. Radiocarbon analyses were performed in weekly accumulated samples and used for direct estimation of the average fossil fuel CO2 constituent (CO2ff). For the calculation of high frequency anthropogenic source efficiency observation of CO2 concentration in free troposphere is required and data were delivered by Kaslab remote station. Excess of CO, PAH and CO2 concentrations accumulated in the lower troposphere were continuously measured and correlated. Even more than 100 ppm of CO2 can originate in fossil fuel combustion during the winter season and 10ppm in summer. Introduction The observation of carbon dioxide concentration in urban air may wrongly be misinterpreted. Its highest values observed at Kraków station (Poland, Europe) located over the roof of the building approx. 50m from the street traffic are far over the 500ppm while free tropospheric concentration oscillates around 400ppm. The station represents urban averaged level of concentrations. Only part of added “by the city” carbon dioxide originates from fossil fuel combustion. Large fraction comes also from heterotrophic respiration processes. This work was aimed at high frequency observation of CO2 partition budget. Methodology and Results Carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide concentrations were measured chromatographically with time resolution 15min while PAHs concentration were determined using UV spectrophotometer. CO2 and CO samples were dried cryogenically before analysis and their concentration were expressed in WMO scale via secondary calibration mixtures. Records of both gases reveals similarities as both gases have partly common source (combustion of fossil fuel) and their concentration increase simultaneously during evening rush hours. CO might be useful tracer exactly during that time and its excess may indicate amount of carbon dioxide emitted to the atmosphere. Additionally, assuming invariable ratio of CO/CO2 in calculation of sources efficiency, balance might be extended to other periods of the day resulting high frequency values. Although assumption is not always fulfilled, it gives at least estimates of traffic during the summer season and “low emission” during winter. Weekly or bi-weekly samples were collected in aluminium bags and measured subsequently with gas chromatograph. Average values of CO2, CO concentration as well as measured activity of radiocarbon in CO2 was base for the calculation of average fossil fuel constituent of carbon dioxide. PAH concentration was determined with highest resolution 1min. Free tropospheric air level was measured at Kasprowy Wierch mountain station (2000m a.s.l.). In case of Kraków background level was calculated as lowest value during sunny periods in winter or early afternoon hours in summer season. Its excess in urban air was also calculated and included into the balance. The simplified balance of CO2 was calculated for 3 years record of data from AGH University station data (fig.1). Additionally CO concentrations were compared with city CO monitoring network for better characterisation of CO source used in the balance. 160 140 CO2 ff [ppm] 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2007-03-01 2008-03-01 2009-03-01 2010-03-01 Fig.1 Carbon dioxide originated from fossil fueldcombustion(CO2ff) record from Kraków city. Conclusions Carbon monoxide and PAH monitoring network might be applied for partitioning of carbon dioxide as an indicator of fossil fuel combustion. High frequency balance basing on tracer method plays only indicative role, however information is valuable for proper construction of the urban carbon balance. Acknowledgement This work was supported by statutory funds of the AGH University of Science and Technology - project No.11.11.220.01). 217 MICRO AND MACRO MODELLING OF COLD START EMISSIONS FROM ROAD TRAFFIC: A CASE STUDY IN ATHENS C. Samara (1), E. Mitsakis (2), I. Stamos (2), J. M. Salanova-Grau (2), G. Aifadopoulou (2), L. Ntziachristos (1) and Z. Samaras (1) (1) Laboratory of Applied Thermodynamics (LAT), School of Engineering, Aristotle University, 54124, Thessaloniki, Greece; (2) Centre for Research and Technology Hellas (CERTH), Hellenic Institute of Transport, 6th km Charilaou-Thermis str., 57001, Thessaloniki, Greece Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims to quantify the contribution of cold start emissions on the overall emissions from the transport sector of Athens. The developed bottom-up methodology was based on the combination of PTV VISUM and COPERT Micro for traffic and emissions modelling respectively. The hourly and daily CO, CO2, NOx and VOC emissions from passenger cars were calculated for both hot and cold start conditions and for every traffic link of a typical weekday of October 2010. The study focuses on passenger cars only, since they constitute the main category of the Athens vehicle fleet. The calculated trip length distribution (percentage of trips finished within given length categories) highlights the importance of cold start emissions on the overall emissions estimation. The results indicating that for specific areas and for specific traffic links cold start emissions can be the major contributor on CO and VOC total emissions. Introduction During the cold-start phase of vehicles, the exhaust emissions of regulated pollutants are high, since the engine, catalyst, drive train and tyres haven’t reach their operating temperatures. Several studies have been carried out trying to identify the impact of various parameters, such as vehicle technology, average speed, ambient temperature, travelled distance and parking duration, on the cold start emissions from passenger cars (André and Joumard, 2005). Several methodologies have been developed, each of which having its own advantages and limitations (Boulter and Latham, 2009). Considering that passenger cars are a major contributor in transport emissions we tried to quantify the impact of cold start emissions on micro (per traffic link) and macro level (entire city) using measured traffic data and applying traffic and emissions modelling. Methodology and Results The Athens network used in this study consists of 81880 directed links and 36725 nodes. The links contain information about the number of lanes, the road type and its hierarchy in the network, width, length, free flow speed, design and effective capacity, direction, allowed transport systems. The demand side is comprised by 24 hourly Origin-Destination (OD) matrices which were corrected using the hourly volume data measured by inductive loop detectors installed at 557 locations across the city. The output traffic data from PTV VISUM – traffic volume, average speed and vehicle fleet composition pet link, as well as the trip length distribution per hour, along with the parking time distribution were inserted to COPERT Micro, a specially developed version of COPERT IV software (Ntziachristos, 2009). COPERT Micro calculates both hot and cold start emissions per traffic link following an approach similar to COPERT IV and ARTEMIS project (André and Joumard, 2005) respectively. The results indicating that for CO and VOC cold start emissions constitute the major contributor on overall road transport emissions (over 70%), whereas their impact on NOx and CO2 emissions is relatively smaller (around 20%). In certain traffic links, which are closer to locations where the majority of trips start, the contribution of cold start emissions is even higher. Conclusions Cold start emissions can be a significant contributor to the total emissions from urban areas. Moreover, in specific traffic and ambient conditions they seem to be more important than hot emissions. Hence, during emissions inventories and new transport policies assessments should be taken seriously into account. References André, J.-M. and Joumard, R., 2005. Modelling of cold start excess emissions for passenger cars. INRETS. Boulter, P. G. and Latham, S., 2009. Emission factors 2009: Report 4 – a review of methodologies for modelling cold-start emissions. TRL. Ntziachristos, L., Gkatzoflias, D., Kouridis, C., and Samaras, Z., 2009. COPERT: A European Road Transport Emission Inventory Model. 4th International ICSC Symposium on Information Technologies in Environmental Engineering. Thessaloniki. 218 ENVIRONMENTAL AND HEALTH IMPACT RESULTING FROM AIR POLLUTION 219 AIR QUALITY MEASUREMENTS IN INDOOR ENVIRONMENT OF MODERN OFFICES IN ATHENS, GREECE (OFFICAIR PROJECT) I.A. Sakellaris (1), D.E. Saraga (1,2), K.K. Kalimeri (1), E.M. Kougioumtzidis (1), V.G. Mihucz (3), R. Mabilia (4) and J.G. Bartzis (1) (1) University of Western Macedonia (UOWM), Department of Mechanical Engineering, Environmental Technology Laboratory, Sialvera & Bakola Street, 50100 Kozani, Greece; (2) Environmental Research Laboratory, INRASTES, National Center for Scientific Research "DEMOKRITOS", Aghia Paraskevi Attikis, P.O.B. 60228, 15310 Athens, Greece; (3) Department of Analytical Chemistry, Institute of Chemistry, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, 1117, Hungary; (4) CNRIIA, National Research Council, Institute of Atmospheric Pollution Research, Rome, Italy Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The present study presents the status of the indoor air quality at the work environment of modern office buildings. In particular, five buildings were investigated in Greece, during two seasons (summer 2012 and winter 2013). Measurements involving passive and active sampling of VOCs, aldehydes, O3, NO2 and particulate matter as well as temperature, relative humidity and air exchange rate were conducted during weekdays. Indicative results from summer period show that toluene and formaldehyde concentration presented the highest level in all buildings. PM2.5, O3 and NO2 concentration was higher outdoors than indoors. All measured pollutants levels were found to be lower than the proposed guidelines, except for PM2.5 outdoor concentration in one building. Further data analysis will be conducted in the frame of OFFICAIR project. Introduction Exposure of office occupants to compounds emitted from potential sources in modern offices can be quite substantial and might significantly affect comfort and human health. OFFICAIR, a European research project, titled "On the reduction of health effects from combined exposure to indoor air pollutants in modern offices" takes place in eight European countries: Greece, Italy, France, Hungary, Portugal, Netherlands, Spain and Finland. In total, 167 office buildings participated in a questionnaire-survey and 36 of them took part in a detailed air quality survey. One of the objectives of the project, is to investigate and verify causes (mechanisms, events and sources) that have been identified as possible sources of indoor air quality issues in European modern offices, via a field investigation (questionnaires, checklists, air pollutants’ monitoring and ventilation measurements) during two seasons. This study presents the results of the OFFICAIR summer and winter campaign in Greece, which took place in five modern office buildings during July – September 2012 and December 2012February 2013. Methodology and Results Targeted measurements of chemical and physical parameters were conducted in five modern office buildings located in urban and suburban area of Athens. Specifically, in each building, sampling took place at four indoor (office rooms) and one outdoor site. Each sampling period lasted for five weekdays (Monday to Friday). In particular, measurements included passive sampling of VOC (Volatile Organic Compounds), Aldehydes, O3 (Radiello passive samplers) and NO2 (GRADKO passive sampling tubes). Additionally, PM2.5 samples were collected with low volume samplers on quartz fiber filters. Physical parameters (temperature, relative humidity, visible and UVA radiation, wind speed, ultra-fine particles) were also monitored. Finally, ventilation was estimated by the passive PerFluorocarbon Tracer (PFT) technique as well as the mechanical flow rate was measured actively using a TSI flow meter. Preliminary indicative results (from the summer campaign) show that the indoor concentration of benzene ranged from 1.9 to 4.4 μg/m3, toluene from 13.9 to 19.4 μg/m3, xylenes from 5.9 to 9 μg/m3 while the outdoor concentrations ranged respectively from 0.6 to 1 μg/m3, from 4.8 to 5.3 μg/m3 and from 2.7 to 3.7 μg/m3. Formaldehyde concentrations were found to be from 10.4 to 26 μg/m3 indoors and from 3.2 to 3.9 μg/m3 outdoors. Focusing on PM2.5, the 5-day average concentration ranged from 8.7 to 15.7 μg/m3. The indoor ozone concentration levels reached up to 30.4 μg/m3 and the nitrogen dioxide up to 20.9 μg/m3. The rooms’ air exchange levels ranged from 0.45 to 2.3 ACH. Conclusions This study presents the preliminary results of the targeted measurements of chemical and physical parameters that took place in five Greek modern office buildings participating in OFFICAIR project campaigns. The concentration values found to be below the proposed guidelines limits. Among the VOCs, toluene presented the highest levels in all buildings. Also, among aldehydes, formaldehyde presented the highest level in all buildings. PM2.5, O3 and NO2 outdoor concentration was found higher outdoors than indoors in all buildings (except for NO2 in one building). Further data analysis will be conducted in the frame of OFFICAIR project. Acknowledgement The OFFICAIR project (On the reduction of health effects from combined exposure to indoor air pollutants in modern offices) is funded by the European Union 7th Framework (Agreement 265267) under the Theme: ENV.2010.1.2.2-1. 220 ANALYSING THE BIOLOGICAL INTERVENTION OF FINE PARTICULATE FRACTIONS IN HUMAN BODY I. Mukherjee (1), T. Chakraborty (2) (1) Civil Engineering Department, Techno India College of Technology (Affiliated to West Bengal University of Technology, Govt. of West Bengal & Approved By All India Council for Technical Education, Govt. Of India) Netwown, Rajarhat, Kolkata-700156, West Bengal, India; (2) Environmental Engineering & Management, Indian Institute of Technology, Kanpur, PIN-208016, India Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary The present study happens to not only present a review of the various studies conducted to positively correlate the occurrences of high fine particulate concentrations with adverse complications to human health but also presents some findings on the occurrences of fine particulate concentrations for an unique mangrove ecosystem over a substantial period and their effects on human health. The study is important from the perspective of its reporting ambient concentrations of fine particulate fractions over a substantial period for the highly vulnerable mangrove ecosystem and thereby to ascertain the probable impact of the concentrations on these two types of inhabitants. In addition, the seasonal variations in the occurrence of the fine particulate fractions have been also reported in the study. The study also reported the possible sources of the particulate fractions in the area along with the probable health complications. As for the mangrove ecosystem, the study reported high occurrences of finer fractions compared to the coarser fractions which makes the matter worse considering the vulnerability and susceptibility of the mangrove ecosystems to intense pollution loads. Lastly, the study tries to draw a correlation of the occurrences of the fine particulate exposures with special emphasis on early incidences of mortality in adults and increased frequency of complications in infants in the area. Introduction Sustainable development is very much desirable. However, over the years, a reverse trend has resulted in serious complications to the environment and to human beings, being inherent parts of the environment. Pollution is the direct consequence of “development” and researchers (Hauck et al,2004), (Neuberger et al,2004) have attributed finer particulates to be the most lethal of all the pollutant types. In fact, the need to carry out further studies to correlate the occurrences of the fine particulate fractions with severe complications to human health is indeed very vital considering the ever so increasing atmospheric pollution. Moreover, the need to carry out assessment of pollution load for populations of varying type is also very important considering their immunity type and also to the type of area they reside and its susceptibility to the atmospheric pollution. This has been well reflected in the study by reporting the concentrations for the population residing in the mangrove ecosystem. Methodology and Results Fine Particulate Sampler and Respirable Dust Samplers were used to monitor the finer fractions (PM2.5) and the PM10 fractions respectively. The PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations varied between (57-118) μg/m3 and (35-80) μg/m3 respectively over the period of study as reported in the paper. The seasonal fluctuations influenced by the meteorological parameters were also studied. The study has indeed reported occurrences of relatively high concentrations of PM2.5 with reference to PM10, and thereby the need to adopt suitable mitigation strategies to address this. Household surveys conducted in the area have truly reflected the prevalence of respiratory diseases in conjunction to the occurrence of the finer fractions. Lastly, an attempt was also made in the paper to ascertain the probable sources of the particulate fractions so that the remedial strategies can be formulated. Conclusions As the mangrove ecosystems are highly sensitive, so the need to reduce the fine particulate pollution for the area is a must. This is also required to address the adverse complications in human health reported for the area due to these finer fractions predominantly. Acknowledgement This work was funded by CSIR (Council of Scientific & Industrial Research, Govt. of India) and carried out in active co operation from Jadavpur University. References Hauck, H., Berner, A., Frischer, T., Gomiscek, B., Kundi, M., Neuberger, M., Puxbaum,H., Preining, O., AUPHEP-Team, (2004), “AUPHEP-Austrian Project on Health Effects of Particulates-general overview”, Atmospheric Environment, 38, pp 3905-3915. Neuberger, M., Schimek, Michael G., Horak (Jr), F., Moshammer, H., Kundi, M., Frischer, T., Gomiscek, B., Puxbaum, H., Hauck, H., AUPHEP-Team, (2004), “Acute effects of particulate matter on respiratory diseases, symptoms and functions: epidemiological results of the Austrian Project on Health Effects of Particulate Matter (AUPHEP)”, Atmospheric Environment, 38, pp 3971-3981. 221 CHEMICAL MECHANISM OF CU-TIO2/GF PHOTOCATALYST FOR DISINFECTION OF E. COLI IN AEROSOL UNDER VISIBLE LIGHT T. D. Pham, B. K. Lee, C. H. Lee School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Ulsan, Daehakro 93, Namgu, Ulsan 680-749, Korea Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study investigated the chemical mechanism of Cu to enhance photocatalytic activity of TiO2. Cu acted as a doping agent to enhance photocatalytic activity of TiO2.The sol-gel method was applied to immobilize TiO2 and Cu-TiO2 on glass fiber to synthesize a flexible material working well for air purification purposes. The synthesized photocatalysts were applied to disinfect E. coli in aerosol under visible light irradiation. As compared to TiO2/glass fiber (TiO2/GF), the Cu-TiO2/glass fiber (Cu-TiO2/GF) exhibited a very high photocatalytic disinfection activity even under visible light. Under visible irradiation, the E. coli disinfection efficiencies by TiO2/GF and Cu-TiO2/GF were 2.27 and 87.61%, respectively. Introduction It has been well documented that TiO2 could be acted as a disinfectant when it is excited by UV irradiation, which requires energy that is equal to or higher than its band gap energy (3.2 eV). However, in practical systems using light sources, such as a white light fluorescent lamp and solar light, where UV radiation intensity for photo-exciting TiO2 is very weak, the TiO2 exhibits low photocatalytic disinfection activity. Therefore, a large number of studies have been carried out to improve photocatalytic activity of TiO2 and to expand its application in practical system using visible light as excitation source. In this study, Cu, a relatively abundance and low cost metal, was used as a doping agent to enhance photocatalytic activity of TiO2. Methodology and Results CuO contained in Cu-TiO2/GF is a semiconductor with a band gap energy around 1.7 eV. Therefore, TiO2 and CuO created a suitable semiconductor–semiconductor system increasing electron-hole separation efficiency (Fig. 1). The recombination of electrons and holes of TiO2 is also prevented due to the migration of photo-generated electrons to the conduction band and the valance band of CuO, hence increasing the photocatalytic activity of Cu-TiO2/GF photocatalyst. The formation of Ti3+ in CuTiO2/GF was due to the reduction of Ti4+ (Fig. 2). The reduction of Ti4+ into Ti3+ could be attributed to the presence of Cu species in the formation process of TiO2 (Nair et al., 1999). Because of the similarity in ionic radius of Cu2+ (0.73 Å) to that of Ti4+ (0.64 Å), Cu2+ enabled to substitutionally replace Ti4+ in the titanium lattice during the calcinations process where TiO2 particles are formed from the ionic state in TIOT sol solution. The substitution of Ti4+ by Cu2+ increased the oxygen vacancy concentration leading to the reduction of Ti4+ into Ti3+. The formation of Ti3+, which contains one more electron than Ti4+, might promote electron generation from TiO2. Therefore, the electron separation capacity of Cu-TiO2 could be higher than that of TiO2. In CuTiO2/GF, the electron-hole pairs could be easily generated when the photocatalyst was irradiated by even visible light, and then the generated electron-hole pairs reacted with water and molecular oxygen absorbed on the photocatalysis surface leading to more oxidized the species to form hydroxyl radicals (.OH) and superoxide radical anions (.O2) (Sunada et al., 2003). These oxy radicals attack organic components of E. coli, including outer membrane, DNA, RNA and lipid, to oxidize or decompose them resulting in bacterial death (Sunada et al., 2003). Conclusions Cu in the Cu-TiO2/GF photocatalyst acted as an intermediate agent for the transfer of photo-generated electrons from the valance band to the conduction band of TiO2, which aimed to increase the electron-hole pair separation efficiency and inhibit their recombination. Cu also defected into the TiO2 lattice, resulting in formation of Ti3+ ions, which increase electron generation capacity of the prepared photocatalyst. Therefore, the photocatalytic activity of Cu-TiO2/GF was enhanced resulting from increasing separation capacity and separation efficiency of electron-hole pair. Acknowledgment This work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) grant funded by the Ministry of Education (2013R1A2A2A03013138). Fig.1 Electron-hole pair separation mechanism of CuO-TiO2 system Fig.2 High-resolution XPS spectra of Ti 2p of TiO2/GF and CuTiO2/GF References Nair J., Nair P., Mizukami F., Osawa Y., Okubo T., 1999, Microstructure and phase transformation behavior of doped nanostructured titania, Material Research Bulletin 34, 1275-1290. Sunada K., Watanabe T., Hashimoto K., 2003, Bactericidal Activity of copper deposited TiO2 thin film under weak UV Light illumination, Environmental Science and Technology 37, 4785-4789. 222 EXTERNAL COSTS OF AIR POLLUTION FROM ENERGY SUPPLY: REVIEWING METHODOLOGIES FROM EXTERNE TO NEEDS J. van der Kamp, T. M. Bachmann European Institute for Energy Research (EIFER), 76131 Karlsruhe, Germany Presenting author email: [email protected] Summary This study aims at looking back on more than 15 years of external cost quantification in Europe and discusses the main methodological evolutions from the 1990s until recently. The focus is on the variability of human health costs caused by classical air pollutants (mainly NOx, SO2, particles). Using a case from the energy sector, major influencing parameters are identified: exposure modelling is shown to lead to variations in results of up to 30% between different assessment frameworks. Concerning risk functions and monetary valuation, changes in assessing mortality risks due to long term exposure together with assumptions on particle toxicity explain most of the observed variability. Introduction “Getting the prices right” through internalising external costs is a regularly expressed intention of EU environmental policy making. The revision of key European air quality policies in 2013 contributes to this objective. It is supported by scientific impact assessments, including the monetary valuation of environmental and health damages. For over 20 years now, related methodological developments have taken place in the Externalities of Energy (ExternE) project series and follow-up activities. Against this backdrop, the methodological evolution and the major influencing parameters have been reviewed. 6 5.21 [€-Cent(2000) / kWh(el)] 5 4 2.78 3 1.77 2 1 0 Morbidity Mortality ExternE 1998 0.88 4.33 NewExt 2004 0.59 1.18 NEEDS 2009 0.93 1.85 Fig.1 Development of marginal external costs of an exemplary power plant due to changes in the assessment framework 8 7 [€‐Cent(2000) per kWh(el)] Methodology and Results The evolution of exposure modelling, health risk assessment parameters as well as of the monetary values has been reviewed. Their influence is illustrated for an exemplary coal-fired power plant unit, relying on published and self-produced results at the local and regional scale. Published external costs are taken from European Commission (1999, 2004). The results relating to the NEEDS 2009 methodology are calculated with EcoSenseWeb (Preiss and Klotz 2008). All assessment frameworks used a Gaussian Plume model for assessing air quality at the local scale but partly different models at the regional (i.e. European) scale (parameterized version of a European Eulerian model (EMEP/MSC-W) in NEEDS 2009 vs. Windrose Trajectory (Lagrangian) Model earlier). Also, population data have been updated. The quantified marginal health-related external costs vary between 1.77 (NewExt 2004) and 5.21 (ExternE 1998) €-cent2000 per kWh of electricity produced (Fig. 1). The share of mortality varies between 67% (NewExt 2004 and NEEDS 2009) and 87% (ExternE 1998). When using the exposure model from EcoSenseWeb (NEEDS 2009) instead of the original models, the quantified health-related external costs are around 29% and 21% higher for the ExternE 1998 and the NewExt 2004 framework, respectively (Fig. 2). Assuming EcoSenseWeb exposure modelling results for all frameworks would increase the overall variability (blue versus green bars in Fig. 2). 6 5 4 6.73 3 5.21 2 1 1.77 2.15 2.78 2.78 0 ExternE 1998 Original exposure modelling NewExt 2004 NEEDS 2009 EcoSenseWeb exposure modelling Fig.2 Marginal health-related external costs of an Conclusions exemplary power plant under different exposure Relying on a case study and using partly simplified assumptions, the modelling frameworks findings on methodological developments in this study are indicative rather than conclusive. Notably, the overall influence of exposure modelling and the evolution of marginal external costs over time depend on the source emission profile. Nevertheless, through a detailed review of assessment parameters (cf. van der Kamp and Bachmann, in preparation), major influencing factors are identified. These are the risk function and monetary valuation of long-term (chronic) mortality risks as well as assumptions on particle toxicity. Given that the methodology frameworks have been used to support the design of air quality policies, efforts to further increase the robustness of the scientific assessment approach should be pursued. Referen