Intelligent Fund Management, LLC
Transcription
Intelligent Fund Management, LLC
Intelligent Fund Management, LLC Summary Ed Downs, founder of Nirvana Systems, Inc. (“Nirvana”), is forming a new limited liability company under the name Intelligent Fund Management, LLC (“IFM”) to address the needs of individual investors. The new product, OmniFunds, for which a software prototype currently exists, will be developed using initial funds raised from this offering. The recent introduction of automated investment management companies, aka “Robo Advisors” has created a funding phenomenon in the financial services space. We believe that the Nirvana team is in a unique position to apply the knowledge gained over 20 years of automated trading system development to create a new system that provides increased transparency and control for the user. The new fund management product will be developed in IFM. IFM will purchase the intellectual property rights in the OmniFunds product, and will license additional technology from Nirvana. It will enter into a services agreement with Nirvana to complete development of the product. It will then seek to market the product to individual investors, and through individual investment advisers. The Robo Advisors collectively have about $7 Billion in assets under management (AUM), and have received over $600M in funding from the financial services space, and from venture capital firms active in the space. However, the self-directed 401k and IRA companies have a collective $12 Trillion under management. There is already activity with respect to automated fund management in the 401k area (see Automated 401k Management). 1 We believe this represents an enormous opportunity. To address and engage these markets, IFM will engage a two-pronged approach: First, we will create a consumer product for automated ETF Switching. Then, according to the timeline in the Pro Forma, IFM will approach the IRA/401k space to tailor a system based on our switching technology, which is designed to meet the needs of these firms as we understand them. By executing this plan, Mr. Downs believes significant potential exists for IFM to create products of value in this fast-growing sector of the financial markets. The initial “seed” funding goal is $1 million in return for 20% of the company. Investors will potentially realize a return from several sources, including (a) a pro-rata share of income earned by IFM from net revenue from sales and license arrangements generated through marketing efforts, (b) personal profits from investing with the product, should the investor choose to use it for that purpose, and (c) proceeds from the acquisition of IFM by a large investor or outside firm. This investment involves a high degree of risk. While an early prototype exists, OmniFunds has yet to be developed in its final form, and yet to be marketed to individuals outside Nirvana’s customer base or presented to the financial community. Profits from investing with the product are not guaranteed, and IFM is not currently in discussions regarding an acquisition. Please see the Risk Disclosures on page 12. Background Information Ed Downs founded Nirvana Systems in June 1987 for the purpose of providing automated trading solutions to investors. Nirvana’s products include OmniTrader, first released in 1994, followed by VisualTrader, which was released in 2002. Traders have been managing their brokerage accounts using these and other Nirvana products for the past 22 years. 1 See: Automated Investment Management Products for the IRA/401k Space on page 5. 1 In 2009, Mr. Downs and his team began working on a way to use the Trading Strategies developed for these platforms. Omni Traders International, LLC (“OTI”) was formed to create OmniVest, a web-based product which leverages Nirvana’s Trading Strategy expertise. OmniVest was released through MB Trading and the TradeKing Securities Group in 2013 and 2015, respectively as part of a revenue sharing arrangement. The adoption of OmniVest by these brokers affirms Nirvana’s position in the field, and provides the experience base on which the Nirvana team can create additional products in the self-directed investment space. Over the past few years, investment companies have emerged that use an automated risk-adjusted selection of Exchange Traded Funds using a methodology called, “Modern Portfolio Theory” or MPT. The Nirvana Team believes it can create a new product that outperforms MPT, through Market State Switching and Strength-Based Ranking. The product will be called OmniFunds. Why OmniFunds? The Robo-Advisor Process The financial services market is undergoing substantive changes, challenging the traditional Investment Advisor approach. Over the past two years, a number of automated fund management companies have emerged that are commonly known as “Robo Advisors”. Here are some of the offerings that have emerged over the past few years, with funding rounds and recently published assets under management: Company Funds Raised 2 AUM 3 Wealthfront $129.5 M in 5 Rounds $2.5 Billion Motif Investing $126.5 M in 6 Rounds not published Betterment $105 M in 5 Rounds $2.5 Billion Personal Capital $102.3 M in 6 Rounds $1.7 Billion Learnvest Future Advisor SigFig 1. The investor is asked a series of questions: How much do you want to invest? What is your time horizon? How much risk can you afford to take? 2. An algorithm based on Modern Portfolio Theory is used to select different asset classes based on the user’s answers. $72.13 M in 5 Rounds not published $21.5 M in 4 Rounds $16 M in 2 Rounds $600 Million $60 Million The foundation of the approach that most of these companies take to manage client funds is commonly known as “Modern Portfolio Theory” 4 – a concept that was published in 1952 by Harry Markowitz. These companies offer an “advisor-like” approach by soliciting questions from the investor regarding such inputs as the amount to be invested, the customer’s income, risk tolerance, time to retirement, and other factors. Typical Mix of Asset Classes generated by Modern Portfolio Theory 3. The mixture of assets in each class is “rebalanced” periodically based on performance – essentially, the allocation to the lower performing assets is increased to bring the ratios back in line with the original allocation. As a result of the answers to these questions, the Robo Advisor runs calculations and recommends a certain mix of ETFs that the 2 CrunchBase Inc. https://www.crunchbase.com/#/home/index http://www.investmentnews.com/article/20160115/FREE/160119956/which-robos-got-off-to-the-fastest-start-in2016 4 https://investorjunkie.com/35919/robo-advisors/ 3 2 client should hold. This process is discussed and illustrated above. These mixes are “re-balanced” occasionally based on performance of the ETFs. Modern Portfolio Theory: Not a Panacea Asset mix for a taxable account portfolio at Wealthfront. Typical published return expectation is 6% per year. But most of the marketing “pitch” on these sites has to do with cost savings to the investor. Costs incurred to the investor for placing their funds with a Robo Advisor firm are typically 0.35% to 0.5% of funds under management. But how important is saving money versus making a return? Our research indicates that for several of the Robo Advisor firms, this approach has generated losses for investors in the past year, as the market has changed character. To the left, we see a portfolio generated by Wealthfront for a taxable account application. The portfolio invests in six ETFs, spreading the account across six different asset types. WealthFront Portfolio Down 6.9% Jan1 to Oct1, 2015 From 1/1/2015 through 10/1/2015, this portfolio was down more than the general stock market. This chart from a mainstream Robo Advisor Ibbotson Associates, Inc. shows the MPT-based “Core” and “Momentum” Portfolios down from Q2 2014 to Q3 2015, the last quarter published. https://tradekingadvisors.com/perf_disclosure 3 While such an approach is clearly diversified, it does not eliminate most of the risk inherent in the market. An investment in this mix from January 1, 2015 through October 1, 2015 would have performed worse than a position in the S&P 500. The image at the bottom of the page shows historical (theoretical) and actual Portfolio Returns published by mainstream Robo Advisor firm, Ibbotson. All of them were down over 18 months. OmniFunds: Moving Beyond Modern Portfolio Theory Even with such lackluster performance, we see evidence that the Robo-Advisor concept has been wellreceived, with over $7B in assets under management in these companies according to publicly-available information. This indicates there could be a significant demand for automated investment management products that are diversified automatically, adjusted periodically, and that are available for a low cost. The question is, “How important are returns?” While saving on fees is important, IFM believes that returns and risk reduction have become more important to investors – especially given recent performance in many of their Robo Advisor accounts. As Ed and his team began to study this opportunity, they realized that recent research has the potential to improve performance over the MPT approach through the application of “Market States” and “Internal Ranking.” Market States offer a rational way to select an asset mix based on how the general market and internal sectors are behaving, rather than using a fixed allocation in all markets. One example is shown to the right. Once a mix of Assets is determined, specific ETFs can be selected by ranking the components of the ETFs using switching algorithms recently developed by Nirvana. An early outcome based on such an approach is shown to the right. Ed and his team believe that the addition of Market States and Internal Ranking to the ETF Switching problem has the potential to improve results for individual investors. These technologies are being employed now to further the development of the OmniFunds platform. It is important to note that IFM is being built as a technology provider. Users will be able to manage their own accounts using the technology for a fee. OmniFunds may be licensed or sold to Robo Advisors or other financial services companies who act as fiduciaries over customer accounts. Market State Concept. In a “Normal” market we can start with an MPT mix of assets. But when we detect a volatile market, we can switch into more conservative positions, as shown to the right above. Switching Test: This historical back test from January 1, 2013 through December 31, 2015 was generated using two Market States. In non-volatile markets, Sector ETFs were enabled. In volatile markets, Bonds and Inverse ETFs were used. This generated a theoretical annual return of 18% over the test period. 4 Automated Investment Management Products for the IRA/401k Space A September 11, 2015 article in Investment News5 opened with the following: “Breaking new ground in retirement planning, Betterment, one of the largest robo-advisers in the industry, will begin offering 401(k) plans to employers.” Jon Stein, CEO of Betterment said, "We think now is the moment the country is calling to us … it is past time for this to happen." This recent news from Betterment is significant for IFM. In June 2013, the American Benefits Council reported there were 74 million active participants in 401k plans, with an average investment of $91,000 each ($3.8T total investment)6. If Betterment (and other Robo Advisors) break ground in the 401k market, we believe they will (and probably already have) created interest in automated fund management technology in this space. As the 2nd part of our plan, IFM intends to leverage early results from its fund switching algorithms to approach the 401k space, meeting with principles and founders within the industry, telling our story and demonstrating what the OmniFunds technology can do. Part of this market research will take the form of working directly with these companies to re-configure our OmniFunds technology and web site into a format they can promote to clients. It is IFM’s belief that such market research will open doors in the space that could lead to a significant investment or a buy-out of the OmniFunds technology. In addition to the 401k companies and IRA companies, IFM plans to approach equity investors in the financial services industry that funded companies in the self-directed space.7 www.ici.org The table to the left from www.ici.org shows how the 24 Trillion dollars invested in all types of retirement plans is divided across the various categories, including IRAs and 401k plans. IRAs held $7.3 Trillion in 2015; 401k plans were in second place at $4.5 Trillion. Both groups represent large target markets for an OmniFunds investment approach. With “Robo Advisor” firms moving to service 401k plans, the market may be ready for an active, automated switching method that focuses on ways to minimize risk and maximize returns. 5 Investment News: http://www.investmentnews.com/article/20150911/FREE/150919985/betterment-to-becomefirst-major-robo-adviser-to-offer-401-k-plans (Betterment article) 6 American Benefits Council: http://www.americanbenefitscouncil.org/pub/e613e1b6-f57b-1368-c1fb966598903769 7 Motif Investing: Capital rounds from J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs, Ignition Capital, Balderton Capital, Foundation Capital, Wicklow and RenRen. https://www.motifinvesting.com/about/leadership-team. 5 Current Status In the Summer of 2015, the Nirvana team built the first working prototype of an OmniFunds application. This prototype is based on Nirvana’s VisualTrader (VT) trading platform, because VT has an embedded simulator and all the features required to calculate Market State. Prototype Application running in VisualTrader 11 Nirvana customers are currently using the prototype to develop their own switching algorithms. Determining which algorithms provide the best switching dynamics is part of the research that needs to be completed. Switching between ETFs can be done in many ways. Switching Algorithms currently being tested: • “Mean ETF Strength” – Measures the strength of the internal components of each ETF to determine if the ETF itself should be traded. • “Multi-Group Balancing” – Switches between multiple groups of ETFs, selecting the individual ETFs based on their technical signature or predicted strength using technical methods. • “Timing and Safety” – Rank all ETFs according likelihood of a rally (timing) and how volatile they are (safety). Selects the ETFs with the best timing and safety. • “Strong ETFs” – Trades symbols WITHIN a leading ETF by selecting the “laggards” within the strongest ETFs and trading them. These approaches and others will be tested to find the best mix and configuration for different OmniFund methods. These methods will be represented with more conventional names as we near release, like “Aggressive Growth” or “Global Balanced”. Funding from this offering will enable Nirvana to complete the OmniFunds Software Application (based on the Prototype) and provide it to the investor marketplace. From there, the Team will focus on building an early web version while it investigates the IRA/401k financial services space and the private equity investors who have been funding it. 6 Business Plan Business Structure IFM is structured as a Texas limited liability company (LLC), with Class A (voting) and Class B (nonvoting) Units. The securities offered in this Offering are Class A (voting) membership interests. Class A owners have the rights to certain distributions according to the provisions specified below under Investment in Intelligent Fund Management, LLC. There are no Class B Units currently outstanding, but they may be issued in the future. Funding Approach and Goals IFM will sell 20% of the LLC to investors in this first round at an initial stated valuation of $5 M ($1 M total). The proceeds of this initial “seed” funding will be used to fund Nirvana staff to focus on (a) the development of the OmniFunds software for sale to the public, (b) developing an initial web site that incorporates the same algorithms, (c) approaching the IRA/401k space and potentially developing revised web sites that reflects the knowledge gained. We believe that we may need additional capital, after this round, to complete the development and marketing of the product. Future investment may dilute all Members’ percentage ownership interests. Transfer of Intellectual Property Nirvana has invested nearly a year in the development of the initial OmniFunds Prototype Application. As part of the formation of Intelligent Fund Management, LLC, this intellectual property (IP) will be transferred to IFM for a one-time fee of $500,000. Part of this transaction will include an unlimited distribution license for VisualTrader, to be used as long as VisualTrader is the platform on which the OmniFunds software runs. This will provide VisualTrader to end-users that will run the OmniFunds “Plug-In.” Development Plan 1. OmniFunds Prototype (Version 1.0 Completed October 2015) A prototype of the OmniFunds methodology has been completed that uses Nirvana’s VisualTrader software as the core platform, as described on the previous page. The prototype is enabling the Team to test various concepts related to ETF switching before establishing the design for the OmniFunds web site. 2. OmniFunds Software Release The Prototype will be enhanced to realize an Application that is as user-friendly as possible and that runs simulations as quickly as possible. We intend that this will provide: (a) a good product to sell through marketing channels, and (b) a more robust test-bed to facilitate faster testing of fund-switching concepts. The software version may also serve as a way for potential investors to evaluate the concept by running it on their computer, ahead of the existence of the first OmniFunds web site. 3. OmniFunds on the Web The OmniFunds software will enable the Team to determine the best interface and approach to presenting the System to individuals on the web and on mobile apps. A web site will be developed that selects an approach that meets their risk profile, and simulates historical performance to provide a benchmark. Following an exploration of the IRA/401k space, a new version of the web site could be built that is tailored to the needs of that market. 7 Exit Strategy We expect IFM to grow subscribers over time and yield a return to investor from this effort. Projections for this activity are modeled in the Pro Forma. However, because of the leverage OmniFunds could provide to a financial services firm, IFM will begin working towards a public funding or acquisition by a financial services firm immediately after the Software Application is made available to the public. IFM will work to build subscribers for the product while it educates the financial community about the merits of the approach. As the story matures, IFM will decide which path provides the greatest return for the company and its investors. Regulation A+ Public Offering: In July 2015, the SEC approved the final rules for the Regulation A+ exemption. 8 IFM may elect to “Test the Waters” for interest in a Regulation A+ offering according to the provisions of the exemption. Promotion around the “Test the Waters” campaign could help educate financial firms about OmniFunds. If interest in the offering is sufficiently strong, IFM may elect to execute a “mini-IPO” by entering into the Regulation A+ offering process to raise up to $50 M. In the event such an offering is executed, it could create an Exit Strategy for investors because they may be permitted to sell their shares as a portion of such an offering. That opportunity would depend on market conditions, and on restrictions on the number of shares that may be sold by existing shareholders in such an offering. The Acquisition path, described next, could still be executed through sale of company stock to an acquiring firm. Acquisition by a Financial Services or Private Equity firm: We believe that recent fundraising events for the Robo Advisors imply there is significant investment interest and focus in this space. IFM will begin approaching companies that sponsor 401k plans and IRAs in addition to other financial services firms within six months of the Software Application being released. It is possible one of these firms will want to acquire the company in this early developmental stage. IFM would seek a sales price that is commensurate with recent fundings in the space. In the event of such an acquisition, investor positions would share in the net sales proceeds based on their percent ownership, after payment of creditors and a bonus plan. Hybrid Path: Assuming we can garner the attention of firms within the financial services space, another path would be to execute a Regulation A+ offering with the assistance of one of these firms, in which the firm purchases a substantial portion of the offering. There are many other scenarios, including partial acquisition or collaboration with one or more of these firms to provide OmniFunds to their customers (a multiple B2B model). The key for us will be to demonstrate performance in the OmniFunds concept, initiate the education process with these firms, and evaluate options. 8 For more information on Regulation A+ see Exhibit A 8 Marketing & Revenue Plan 1. Selling Early PC-based Versions An OmniFunds prototype has been completed, which was successfully sold in October 2015 to Nirvana customers (generating about $200k in revenue to Nirvana). We plan to sell the finished OmniFunds PCbased application to leads and customers when the OmniFunds Marketing Site is first opened (target: Summer 2016). The initial price of the OmniFunds Application (including the VisualTrader platform) will be discounted for these early sales, as well as the Crowd Funding promotion, described next. 2. Crowd Funding as Early Marketing OmniFunds (operating inside VisualTrader) can already trade an account with several brokers9. When the application is finished for commercial release, we plan a “Crowd Funding” effort that would be launched by placing OmniFunds on Crowd Funding web sites. Visitors to these sites will be able get the OmniFunds Software Application at a deep discount, with the benefits of (a) using it to manage their accounts today and (b) using the web facility at low or no cost when it is released. Projected revenue growth from Crowd Funding and Subscriptions are modeled in the Pro Forma. IFM may elect to “Test the Waters” for a Regulation A+ offering, as provided within the exemption. Industry articles claim that some companies use this provision to make the investment community aware of their product. Promotion around a Regulation A+ offering could also serve to attract potential customers to the OmniFunds web site, at which point they will learn about the OmniFunds Software Application. 3. Subscriptions of OmniFunds in the Consumer Market An initial OmniFunds web site will be developed according to the time line in the Pro Forma. The site will be marketed to investors in the consumer market. It is anticipated that a flat fee of $10 - $100 per month will be charged to use the platform, but other models may be employed, such as a technology fee for each order transmitted. It is anticipated that “up-sells” will be made available for the purchase of advanced algorithms not available at the subscription level. 4. OmniFunds Licensed to Financial Professionals In a similar process as that described in (4) above, IFM will approach individual Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs) to see if we can propose/tailor a version of OmniFunds to suit the needs of that market. Subscription sales to this group are modeled in the Pro Forma, which assumes that we create such a customized version, which could include additional (as yet undefined) features like multi-account management and customer tracking (for example). 5. The IFM IRA/401k Business-to-Business Initiative Nirvana will visit with principals of 401k companies and companies who sponsor IRAs as fiduciaries. The goal will be to (a) educate these firms on the benefits of OmniFunds to clients, (b) secure their ideas as to how to make the platform compatible with their other offerings, and (c) potentially license the technology to these firms so they can present the solution to their clients. Depending on the outcome of (b) IFM may create a web site version that meets the individual needs of one or more of those companies. 9 Brokers currently supported include Interactive Brokers, MB Trading, GXTrader, and TradeKing, 9 Investment in Intelligent Fund Management, LLC Nature of the Investment This Regulation D offering is designed to fund the Development and Marketing activities and other working capital needs. The securities offered are Class A Units, containing rights specified in the Company Agreement of Intelligent Fund Management, LLC (the “Company Agreement”). Investors from this first round will become Class A members of IFM and will be bound by the Company Agreement. This investment offering will be for up to $1,000,000, priced at $5,000 per unit, with a minimum purchase of 2 units for $10,000. IFM is asserting a current pre-money value of $5 Million. Use of Funds IFM will pay Nirvana $500,000 to acquire the full rights to its existing OmniFunds product and technology. The OmniFunds product includes the software and switching algorithms. This transfer of intellectual property to IFM includes a distribution license for VisualTrader, which is listed in the Professional Services and License Agreement. IFM will also pay Nirvana consulting fees amounting to substantially all of the proceeds of this Regulation D offering plus certain ongoing consulting fees. These are specified in the Services Agreement. The fees are subject to change from time to time by agreement between Nirvana and IFM. A portion of the offering proceeds also may be used for general working capital purposes. Conflicts of Interest Ed Downs owns and controls Nirvana Systems, Inc., and receives a salary from Nirvana Systems, Inc. Substantially all of the proceeds of this offering will be used to make payments to Nirvana Systems, Inc., in order to purchase intellectual property rights, and to pay Nirvana Systems, Inc. to provide services to develop the OmniFunds product. The fees to be paid under the services agreement, and the purchase price for the technology as between IFM and Nirvana, were determined by Ed Downs. We have not received an independent appraisal of the valuation of the technology, or the valuation of IFM. Certain employees of Nirvana Systems, Inc. also will provide services to IFM. They are paid by Nirvana. The allocation of these costs has been determined by Ed Downs. Certain employees of Nirvana may participate in the Bonus Plan that will pay a portion of the proceeds of the sale of IFM to participating employees. Ownership and Bonus Plan In order to incentivize key staff members, an Employee Bonus has been defined as 15% of the net proceeds in the event of a sale. This will reduce the proceeds payable to the Members, including the holders of the Class A Units offered in this offering. According to the Bonus Plan, employees participating must be employed by IFM or an affiliated company of IFM (such as Nirvana) at the liquidity event in order to realize these proceeds. Post-Offering ownership interests in IFM, and allocation of the proceeds of the sale, after payment to creditors, will be as follows (assuming the offering is fully subscribed). If additional Units are issued in the future, these percentages will decrease, including the 15% of the Bonus Pool. 10 The table on the left shows the number of units owned now and at the close of this offering (assuming all 200 units are sold). The table on the right shows allocation at time of sale, including the effect of the Bonus Pool. The Class B Units are shown as zero, since there are none currently owned or offered for sale. There may be Class B Units issued in the future. OWNERSHIP in the IFM LLC Pre-Money Post-Money Units 800 Percent 100.0% Units 800 Percent 80.0% Class A, new 0 0.0% 200 20.0% Class B 0 0.0% 0 0.0% 800 100.0% 1000 100.0% Class A ALLOCATION OF NET PROCEEDS AT TIME OF SALE Pre-Money Units 800 Percent 100.0% Units 800 Percent 68.0% Class A, new 0 0.0% 200 17.0% Class B 0 0.0% 0 0.0% Class A Bonus Pool Total Post-Money Total 0 0.0% 177 15.0% 800 100.0% 1177 100.0% Sources of Return to the Investor An investment in IFM through this offering includes several potential paths for return of principal and additional yield on the investment. 1) Revenue from Subscriptions, Sales, and Licenses of OmniFunds Technology. IFM will seek to grow subscriptions and sales of OmniFunds in the consumer market, and will also seek to license the technology to financial professionals. Investors will participate in IFM profits, if any, according to the terms of the IFM Company Agreement. The Company Agreement provides that “Available Cash” will be distributed to Members (including Class A and, if Class B Units are later issued, Class B Members) according to their pro-rata ownership interests, quarterly. “Available Cash” means the cash balance of the Company from time to time after the payment of, or provision for the payment of, all of the Company’s obligations then due and after the establishment of such reserves as the managers may think appropriate for all other debts and expense of the Company, and expressly including payments to Nirvana. The Company Agreement is subject to amendment in accordance with its terms and Texas law. The Company has not made distributions of Available Cash to investors to date, and its projections do not include cash distributions. 2) Proceeds from Merger or Acquisition. The technology and company may become an acquisition or merger candidate for a larger firm. In the event of acquisition, the investor will realize his pro-rata share of net proceeds in cash or security equivalents, based on his or her percentage position at the time the acquisition is made, after payment of the Bonus Plan. See Ownership and Bonus Plan above for Post-Acquisition Distribution percentages. Percentages may be diluted if the Company raises additional funds through the issuance of additional units in the future. 3) Shares from a Regulation A+ Offering. IFM may elect to “Test the Waters” on a potential Regulation A+ offering as part of its campaign to make potential investors (and acquiring companies) aware of its story. In the event sufficient interest exists for a Regulation A+ offering and IFM were to pursue such an offering, current owners of IFM may be able to include a portion of their shares in that offering, subject to market conditions and restrictions imposes by Regulation A+ and any applicable state securities laws. 11 Positive Factors Nirvana and IFM believe there are several factors that will contribute to the successful development of the OmniFunds product. 1) Experience, Products, and Customer Base – Nirvana has over 25 years of experience in the development of investment analysis software, and has an estimated active customer base of approximately 5,000 users.10 2) Completed Prototype – A prototype of the OmniFunds concept was completed and sold to Nirvana customers from July-September 2015. These sales seem to indicate the demand for a fund-switching product like OmniFunds is there, especially given the fact that the first version was a prototype, and most of the development of the prototype was yet to be completed. (Note: The prototype has been completed and delivered since these sales were made.) 3) MB Trading & TradeKing Agreements – Omni Traders International successfully built and placed OmniVest with two mainstream brokers – MB Trading and TradeKing Securities Group. Each brokers’ commitment to the OmniVest product demonstrates their belief that OmniVest can serve a role in the development of revenues for their brokerages. The existence of this important relationship adds credibility to the Company’s ability to execute its development plans. Risk Disclosures An investment in IFM is subject to high risk and you may lose your entire investment, as the technology and application of technology are relatively new. Risks include but are not limited to: 1) Development – IFM has scheduled a number of key developments it believes are important to approaching the general market. As with all software development, there is risk of product delays or problems which could lead to delays. The indicated timelines in the Pro Forma are estimates based on the experience of the Company with its development staff. 2) Marketing – OmniFunds has been released to the Nirvana customer base, but it has not yet been released to the general public. It is difficult to project sales penetration to customers outside Nirvana’s loyal customer base. 3) Marketing OmniFunds to the 401k marketplace. One goal in the IFM business plan is to approach the 401k markets based on the recent announcement by Betterment cited on page 5. At this point, IFM has not performed this research or approached these companies (planned after the initial developments have been completed and the web site can be demonstrated.) Therefore, IFM cannot guarantee that these companies will take an interest in OmniFunds, and does yet not know if regulations would block the adoption of OmniFunds by these firms. 4) Future Returns – The OmniFunds concept is new. While we believe that the design approach to the product is sound and will yield an investment advantage over other methods, a track record has not yet been generated and future performance remains unknown. 5) Competition. There are many competitors in the robo-advisor market, both startups, some of which are very well funded, and much larger, well-established entities, such as Wealthfront and Betterment. 6) Trading Liquidity – At this point it is unknown how much capital can be effectively managed by the OmniFunds System. It is anticipated that if liquidity becomes a problem, execution controls can be added, but this has not as yet been determined or designed. 10 Customer count is estimated based on prior 3 years of upgrade and new sales of OmniTrader & VisualTrader. 12 7) System Errors – Every effort is being made to provide redundancy to guard against errors and omissions. However, with all computer hardware, servers, internet connections and trading systems, failures can occur that cause a loss in a user’s account. All users are required to sign liability waivers before they can use OmniFunds, but such waivers may not be sufficient to shield IFM from all possible events. 8) Regulatory Environment – Based on industry precedent related to investor-direction of automated trading systems, IFM believes it is exempt from federal regulations for Registered Investment Advisors or Fund Managers. However, there can be no guarantee that a regulation will not be applied at some point. In such an event, IFM would take the actions required by the regulating body, but this could delay or damage IFM’s ability to license the technology. In addition, the “robo advisor” companies have drawn some regulatory scrutiny as the SEC and FINRA attempt to determine how to regulate these new services. The SEC is currently considering its regulatory approach.11 9) Insufficient Offering Subscription – If this offering is not fully subscribed, we may not have sufficient resources to complete our Business Plan or to continue operations. There is no floor amount of subscriptions. The Company plans to use the proceeds of the offering as they are received, rather than to wait until a minimum amount of the offering is sold. 10) Potential for Dilution – It may be necessary to raise funds in the future, which would result in a dilution of your percentage ownership of the Company. 11) Nirvana Systems – In March of 2015, Nirvana entered into a contract with TradeKing Media to provide a private label version of OmniVest (now called “AutoVest”) to 500,000 TradeKing Clients. However, as a result of various delays at TradeKing (including the acquisition of MB Trading in 2015), we have so far only marketed the product to 4% of this base. At this time (February 2016) TradeKing is investing resources in web advertising deliverables for AutoVest, and because of this activity and the new marketing schedule from TradeKing, we believe marketing of AutoVest will resume in Q1 or Q2. This Regulation “D” offering is being executed so Nirvana can move forward on the OmniFunds agenda. Nirvana’s business model is substantially dependent on one or more of these revenue sources (AutoVest, OmniVest, OmniFunds, and sales of Nirvana products) maturing in the first half of 2016. Substantially all of proceeds of this offering will flow to Nirvana under the Services Agreement with IFM, so that it may complete various developments while at the same time funding the infrastructure required to do so. If net revenue to Nirvana from all sources (AutoVest, OmniVest, OmniFunds, sales of Nirvana product sales, etc.) is insufficient, Nirvana will need to reduce expenses, which could impact IFM’s ability to continue operation. 12) Market Research – IFM has identified two markets that are included in the Pro Forma and Time Line – the Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) market and the Self-Directed IRA/401k space. While IFM believes these areas of the financial industry are excellent target markets to pursue, actual interviews with firms in this market are not planned until IFM has a product that can be demonstrated. Until that market research is performed, acceptance of the technology within these market segments is unknown and may not result in actual product sales, investment, or acquisition by one of these firms or other investment companies. 13) Government Regulation of the Robo Advisors. The SEC and FINRA recently issued an “Investor Alert” advising investors to exercise caution with respect to the use of the Robo Advisors to manage their funds. While this bulletin was advisory in nature as opposed to regulatory, the potential exists for a governmental organization to begin imposing additional regulations in this space. It is unknown how such regulations, if issued, would affect the IFM business plan or exit strategy. 11 See, for example, remarks of Commissioner Kara M. Stein in a speech at Harvard Law School on Nov. 9, 2015, “Riding the Wave: Technology, Innovation, and Competition, Remarks at Harvard Law School’s Fidelity Guest Lecture Series.” 13 14) Additional Risk Factors. – Please also see certain other risk factors in the Subscription Agreement, and associated with the Pro Forma projections. 14 Exhibit A Regulation A+ Public Offering The Jobs Act ushered in several new exemptions to make it easier for small companies to raise capital. In 2015 a modification to Regulation A, called Regulation A+ was issued. Information on Regulation A+ is being included here so potential investors are aware that this investor exit strategy is being considered. The following article excerpt is not a complete description of Regulation A+. Those interested in the exemption should read the entire rule.12 “Regulation A+: Final Rules Offer Important Capital Raising Alternatives” 13 “On March 25, 2015, the Securities and Exchange Commission voted unanimously to adopt final rules to implement the rulemaking mandate of Title IV of the JOBS Act by adopting amendments to Reg A. “ “The final rules create two tiers: Tier 1 for smaller offerings raising up to $20 million in any 12-month period, and Tier 2 for offerings raising up to $50 million. The new rules also make the exemption available, subject to limitations on the amount, for the sale of securities by existing stockholders. “ “The new rules modernize the existing framework under Regulation A by, among other things, requiring that disclosure documents be filed on EDGAR, allowing an issuer to make a confidential submission with the SEC, permitting certain test-the-waters communications, and disqualifying bad actors. The final rules impose different disclosure requirements for Tier 1 and Tier 2 offerings.” [emphasis added] Additional information can be found in other recent articles.14 If IFM can demonstrate value in the financial services marketplace, such assessment may lead us to consider one of the newer capital raising strategies now available to small businesses, including, for example, the issuance of a Regulation 506(c) offering, which permits sales to accredited investors using public solicitation and advertising (but still results in restricted securities), outright or partial sale to firm in the financial services space, or a “mini-IPO” through Regulation A+. A Regulation A+ offering may make sense in our business because our clients are familiar with trading stocks, and may desire to hold a position in a company that showcases our technology. Importantly, the new exemption includes a test the waters provision which could be used to measure interest ahead of a Regulation A+ offering, by surveying customers and leads. These are some of the capital raising strategies that we may consider. Whether we are able to successfully use them, and on what terms, will depend on our success in creating value in our company, and on market conditions at the time that we seek to raise capital. 12 13 SEC Announcement on Regulation A+: https://www.sec.gov/news/pressrelease/2015-49.html http://www.mofo.com/~/media/Files/ClientAlert/2015/03/150326RegulationA.pdf 14 Recent Articles: a. http://www.businesslawpost.com/2015/06/new-regulation-will-it-get-a-from.html b. http://www.forbes.com/sites/mraneri/2015/05/26/testing-the-waters-and-filing-a-regulation-a-offering-with-thesec/3/#3cd404b4f4e7 c. http://documents.jdsupra.com/ab294568-5572-4d4a-98e2-0e74132b0ae4.pdf 15 Pro Forma and Projected Time Line ASSUMPTIONS: Monthly Marketing Increments Months 2 ‐ 5, 10 ‐ 12 $10,000 Months 6 ‐ 9 $15,000 Software Sales (start in month 2) Web Site Subs (start in month 6) DIRECT MAIL Active Investor Population CPC WEB ADVERTISING & TELEVISION 2,000,000 $295 $2.00 20% 15% Sales Price Average cost per piece (DM) Lead Response Conversion Rate First Year (months) Software Sales (crowd funding) Web Site Subs Software Sales to Web Users Up‐sells of Advanced Algos Placement w RIAs Total Sales Services Fee Marketing Budget Net Revenue Nirvana Participation (3) Distributable to Investors (4) 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Passive Investor Population (1) Average Monthly Fee: Average cost per impression Lead Response Conversion rate Up‐Sells of Advanced Algorithms Sales to Existing Web Subscribers 90,000,000 Population: All Web Subscribers $60.00 Sales Price $0.025 Cost of Sales 0.50% Lead Response 15% Conversion Rate 2 44,250 3 88,500 4 132,750 5 177,000 0 6 177,000 27,000 7 0 153,000 13,275 67,500 44,250 (125,000) (10,000) (90,750) 0 0 88,500 (125,000) (20,000) (56,500) 0 0 132,750 (125,000) (30,000) (22,250) 0 0 177,000 (125,000) (40,000) 12,000 (1,800) 10,200 204,000 (125,000) (55,000) 24,000 (3,600) 20,400 233,775 (125,000) (70,000) 38,775 (5,816) 32,959 8 0 306,000 61,950 315,000 0 682,950 (125,000) (85,000) 472,950 (70,943) 402,008 Time Line Year 1 Placement with RIAs (start in 8th) DIRECT MAIL Advisor Population (2) $3,000.00 Clients | Cost $0.000 Average cost per piece (DM) NA Lead Response $10.00 $2.00 10% 15% 5% Conversion Rate 9 0 396,000 75,225 382,500 187,500 1,041,225 (125,000) (100,000) 816,225 (122,434) 693,791 10 0 495,000 44,250 225,000 393,750 1,158,000 (125,000) (110,000) 923,000 (138,450) 784,550 Estimated Estimated Start Up Prototype Sales Application Development RIA Professional Research CrowdFunding OmniFunds Web Site #1 Funding Round #2 Approach 401k, IRA firms OmniFunds Web Site #2 285,000 50 11 0 603,000 48,675 247,500 618,750 1,517,925 (125,000) (120,000) 1,272,925 (190,939) 1,081,986 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 12 0 720,000 53,100 270,000 862,500 1,905,600 (125,000) (130,000) 1,650,600 (247,590) 1,403,010 1,403,010 19,807,200 29,710,800 Seed Funding Continued sales of Prototype to Nirvana Customers Enhance Prototype: Create a "Release" version. Market the "Release" version (software). Research RIA market Crowdfunding (Prototype II) Specification Web Site Enhancements (RIA) Sell into RIA Market (pending outcome of investigation & dev.) Crowdfunding shifts to the "Release" version (software) Web Site Development Market the "web" version (Web Site #1) Potential 506c Reg D Offering Financial Services space research (players, contacts, generate list) Approach identified 401k and IRA firms Specification (1) Passive Investor Population: An estimated 90 million people owned mutual funds in mid‐2014 in all age and income groups, bought and sold mutual funds through four principal sources: investment professionals, employer‐sponsored retirement plans, fund companies directly, and fund supermarkets. Investment Company Fact Book. http://www.icifactbook.org/fb_ch6.html (2) Registered Investment Advisors: There were roughly 285,000 financial advisers in 2014. Reuters. http://www.reuters.com/article/wealth‐cerulli‐advisor‐headcount‐idUSL1N0VL23920150211 (3) Nirvana Participation: 15% of Intelligent Fund Management LLC Net Revenue above $125,000, as defined in the Professional Services and License Agreement. (4) Distributable to Investors: Actual distributions will be made in accordance with the terms of the LLC Agreement. Web Site Development per 401k research Potential Early Equity Firm Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements/Pursuant to the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 FORECASTED AND ESTIMATED FINANCIAL RESULTS SET FORTH IN THE PRO FORMA ARE BASED ON ESTIMATES AND ASSUMPTIONS THAT ARE INHERENTLY UNCERTAIN AND, THOUGH CONSIDERED REASONABLE BY THE MANAGER, ARE SUBJECT TO SIGNFICANT BUSINESS, TECHNICAL, ECONOMIC, AND COMPETITIVE UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES, ALL OF WHICH ARE DIFFICULT TO PREDICT AND MANY OF WHICH ARE BEYOND THE CONTROL OF THE MANAGER AND THE COMPANY. THE PROJECTIONS ARE BASED ON INFORMATION AVAILABLE TO THE MANAGER AS OF JANUARY, 2014, AND THE MANAGER IS UNDER NO OBLIGATION TO UPDATE OR SUPPLEMENT SUCH PROEJCTIONS. ACCORDINGLY, THERE CAN BE NO ASSURANCES THAT THE FORECASTED RESULTS WILL BE REALIZED OR THAT ACTUAL RESULTS WILL NOT BE SIGNIFIANTLY LOWER OR HIGHER THAN AS SET FORTH HEREIN. This private placement memorandum, including the pro-forma financial projections, contains, and our officers and representatives may from time to time make, "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements can be identified by words such as: “believes,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “intends,” “may,” “likely,” “plan,” “goal,” “should,” “target,” “could,” “will,” and similar references to future periods. Examples of forward-looking statements include, among others, statements we make regarding: Expected operating results, such as future sales, revenue growth and earnings. Strategy for customer retention, growth, product development, market position, financial results and reserves. Strategy for risk management. Expected new relationships with brokers or resellers. Required regulatory approvals. Forward-looking statements are neither historical facts nor assurances of future performance. Instead, they are based only on our current beliefs, expectations and assumptions regarding the future of our business, future plans and strategies, projections, anticipated events and trends, the economy and other future conditions. Because forward-looking statements relate to the future, they are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict and many of which are outside of our control. Our actual results and financial condition may differ materially from those indicated in the forward-looking statements. Therefore, you should not rely on any of these forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause our actual results and financial condition to differ materially from those indicated in the forward-looking statements include, among others, the following: The effectiveness of our marketing campaigns in acquiring new customers. Changes in customer demand. The results that our customers actually obtain in trading with our software. Projected uptake on Crowd Funding sites. The extent to which we are successful in gaining new long-term relationships with customers or retaining existing ones and the level of service failures that could lead customers to use competitors' services. The extent to which we are successful in gaining new long-term relationships and agreements with additional business partners and/or brokers and the level of revenue anticipated from those agreements. The adequacy of our cash flow and earnings and other conditions which may affect our ability to fund the business during the period until the company’s products are profitable, or to distribute Available Cash. Developments and changes in laws and regulations, including increased regulation related to investor-direction of automated trading systems, and regulation of brokers’ sales of products to clients. Disruptions to our technology network including computer systems and software, as well as natural events such as severe weather, fires, floods and earthquakes or man-made or other disruptions of our operating systems, structures or equipment. Such other factors as discussed in the Subscription Agreement and the Business Summary. Any forward-looking statement made by us in this pro forma and the accompanying private placement memorandum is based only on information currently available to us and speaks only as of the date on which it is made. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statement, whether written or oral, that may be made from time to time, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise. 2
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