Residential projects - Vantage Development
Transcription
Residential projects - Vantage Development
Vantage Development S.A. 2Q15 results presentation 11 September 2015 CONFIDENTIAL Record sale of 110 apartments in 2Q15 (+150% YoY) Apartments sold at quarterly rate, 1Q13 – 2Q15 Commissioning of 20 apartments in 2Q15, mainly from the Promenady Wrocławskie project. 255 2015 2014 2013 51 2Q15 44 1Q15 53 4Q14 37 107 92 110 51 3Q14 36 57 2Q14 Planned increase in apartment sales to 450 in 2015 (+76% YoY), without taking into account the sales of the Dąbrowskiego 40 project to the Apartment Lease Segment Fund. 255 1Q14 +57% 4Q13 536 apartments from 3 projects planned to be put on sale in 2H15. 450 3Q13 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2Q13 A 150% YoY increase in apartment sales to 110 in 2Q15. 1Q13 Apartments commissioned at quarterly rate, 1Q13 – 2Q15 249 250 210 205 200 As of end of 2Q15, the company had sold 274 apartments that are still to be commissioned. 150 102 102 27 18 25 20 2Q15 1 1Q15 2 3Q14 2 3Q13 50 2Q13 CONFIDENTIAL 2 2014 2013 4Q14 1Q14 0 4Q13 An expected increase in the number of apartments commissioned in 2H15 due to planned finalisation of the Promenady Wrocławskie III (205 apartments) and Centauris (103 apartments). 1Q13 2Q14 100 Increase in value of commercial properties portfolio Finalisation of 2 retail projects in 2Q15: Galaktyka (5,174 m2) and Grona Park (3,932 m2). As of end of 2Q15, additional 812 m2 at Grona Park have been put to business use (increase in lease level to 52%). Finalisation of the Zita C office project (lease area of 6,340 m2) planned for 4Q15. Recognition of profit from revaluation of value of working investment properties in 2Q15 at PLN 1.2m. Increase in value of working properties portfolio to PLN 172m as of end of 2Q15 against PLN 119 m in 4Q14. Maintaining gross profitability at 72%. Lease segment revenues growth potential due to finishing of subsequent stages of the Zita office building (stage C and D+A). Lease area (m2) Lease level (%) Carrying value as of end of 2Q15 (PLN m) Promenady Epsilon 7,132 100% 53.3 Delta 44 4 213 88% 26.1 Zita B 5,690 81% 39.9 Grona Park 3,932 31% 20.9 Galaktyka 5,174 65% 32.2 Project 3,5 100% 3,0 80% 2,5 2,0 60% 1,5 40% 1,0 20% 0,5 0,0 0% 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 Revenues zfrom leasing (PLN M, oś) left axis) Przychody najmu (PLNm, lewa Lease segment profitability axis)oś) Rentowność segmentu najmu(%, (%,right prawa CONFIDENTIAL 3 Results due to low number of commissions in 2Q15 (PLNm) 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 2013 2014 YoY, % 53 44 51 107 92 110 181 255 41% Apartments commissioned 102 27 18 102 25 20 210 249 19% Revenues 22.9 5.5 4.8 28.6 10.4 10.1 44.8 61.8 38% 20.4 3.1 1.9 25.3 6.9 6.4 35.4 50.7 43% 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.6 3.0 3.0 6.0 8.2 37% 4.5 1.2 2.3 6.0 2.7 3.0 7.2 14.0 95% sales gross margin (%) 19.8% 21.9% 48.3% 20.8% 25.8% 30.2% 16.1% 22.7% - Development activity 16.7% 0.9% 24.4% 17.8% 14.9% 13.7% 9.0% 16.6% - Commercial activity 67.7% 75.1% 78.8% 78.1% 72.1% 71.9% 66.4% 75.2% - Revaluation profit 0.1 -1.1 0.0 8.1 -0.4 1.2 4.5 7.1 58% Operating profit Source: The Issuer 2.6 -2.3 0.3 10.8 -0.5 1.5 3.7 11.3 208% Net profit 1.4 -2.6 -0.7 11.8 -1.7 0.1 4.7 10.0 114% 6.3% -47.6% -13.8% 41.1% -16.1% 0.7% 10.4% 16.1% - Apartments sold Development activity Commercial activity Sales gross profit Net profit margin (%) In 2Q15 the company has reported revenues of PLN 10.1m (against PLN 5.5m in 2Q14). Smaller number of commissions attributable to the apartment projects' realisation schedule assuming a cumulation of sales by means of notarial deeds for 2H15. Increase in revenues from commercial activities as a result of commissioning of the ZITA B office building and the Grona Park and the Galaktyka retail properties. Profit from revaluation of pricing of investment properties was PLN 1.2m (against loss of PLN 1.1m in 2Q14). Net profit totalled PLN 0.1m, compared to net loss of PLN 2.6m in 1Q14. CONFIDENTIAL 4 Residential market in Wrocław Average apartment offer price on the Wrocław residential market in 2012-2014 (PLN)* Apartment sales volume in Wrocław in 2012-2014 (pcs.)* 2Q15 1Q15 4Q14 3Q14 2Q14 1Q14 2Q15 1Q15 4Q14 3Q14 2Q14 1Q14 4Q13 3Q13 2Q13 1Q13 4Q12 3Q12 2Q12 1Q12 5 600 4Q13 5 700 3Q13 5 800 2Q13 5 900 1Q13 6 000 4Q12 6 100 3Q12 6 200 2Q12 6 300 1Q12 2 000 1 800 1 600 1 400 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 0 6 400 A 21% YoY increase in number of apartments sold in 2Q15 to 1800. A stabilisation of average apartment asking prices at PLN/m2 6,000-6,100. Current residential offer at almost 7,444 apartments (including ca. 1,539 in finished investments). Average period of selling off offer at ca. 16 months. We expect that in the coming calendar quarters the apartment sales volume will stabilise itself along with equally stable average asking price level. * Data based on Emmerson reports CONFIDENTIAL 5 Residential market in Mokotów Average apartment offer price on the Mokotów residential market in 2012-2Q15 (PLN)* Apartment sales volume in Mokotów in 2012-2014 (pcs.)* 10 500 600 500 10 000 400 300 9 500 200 9 000 100 2Q15 1Q15 4Q14 3Q14 2Q14 1Q14 4Q13 3Q13 2Q13 1Q13 4Q12 3Q12 2Q12 2Q15 1Q15 4Q14 3Q14 2Q14 1Q14 4Q13 3Q13 2Q13 1Q13 4Q12 3Q12 2Q12 1Q12 1Q12 0 8 500 A 86% YoY increase in number of apartments sold in 2Q15 to 552. A drop in asking prices by 8% to PLN/m2 8,750. Current residential offer of ca. 2,475 apartments, including almost 400 apartments available in already finalised investments. Average period of selling off offer at less than 5 calendar quarters. We expect that in the coming calendar quarters the apartment sales volume will grow and the average asking price level will stabilise itself at PLN/m2 8,500-9,000. * Data based on Emmerson reports CONFIDENTIAL 6 Further increase in residential offer The residential offer of the end of 2Q15 was 313 apartments (compared to 380 at the end of 4Q14). Remainingoferta offer Pozostała 500 About 20% of the offer is located in finalised projects. 400 By the end of 2015, the company plans on launching 300 Currently, the company owns land holdings allowing realisation of ca. 68k m2 UFA and ca. 70k m2 of lease area. In 2Q15, the company has bought a land in Wrocław at Żegiestowska street for PLN 14.5m, with plans to build ca. 270 apartments there (average land price at PLN 940/m2UFA). Additionally, the company is currently looking for land for new investments in, among others, Warsaw and Wrocław. Centauris IV-V Patio House 100 2Q15 1Q15 4Q14 3Q14 2Q14 1Q14 4Q13 3Q13 2Q13 1Q13 4Q12 3Q12 0 1Q12 (Promenady Wrocławskie IV, WUWA 2 and Living Point Mokotów I). Centauris III 200 2Q12 another 3 investments of ca. 540 apartments Promenady II+III Potential apartment UFA possible on land holdings (k m2, as of end 2Q15) 15.3 34.0 15.5 Promenady Wrocławskie (cz. mieszkaniowa) residential part Promenady Wrocławskie (cz. office part biurowa) 3.0 WUWA 2 Żegiestowska Konstruktorska 70.0 CONFIDENTIAL 7 Residential projects Promenady Wrocławskie UFA m2 Number of apartments Number of apartments sold Utility system service area m2 Date of finalisation Date of settlement II 11,380 222 159 157 4Q 2014 1Q 2016 III 9,200 205 141 1,918 3Q 2015 2Q 2016 IV 15,400 307 0 - 4Q 2016 2Q 2017 Centauris UFA m2 Number of apartments Number of apartments sold Utility system service area m2 Date of finalisation Date of settlement III 5,944 103 69 0 4Q 2015 2Q 2016 IV-V 7,725 134 38 0 2Q 2016 1Q 2017 UFA m2 Number of apartments Number of apartments sold Utility system service area m2 Date of finalisation Date of settlement 2,980 60 0 - 2016 2017 UFA m2 Number of apartments Number of apartments sold Utility system service area m2 Date of finalisation Date of settlement 3,385 65 9 - 1Q 2016 3Q 2016 UFA m2 Number of apartments Number of apartments sold Utility system service area m2 Date of finalisation Date of settlement 7,560 169 0 - 4Q 2016 2Q 2017 WUWA 2 I Patio House I Living Point Mokotów I CONFIDENTIAL 8 Residential project realisation agreement for BGK - 40 Dąbrowskiego St In May 2015 the Company has signed a preliminary agreement with a special purpose vehicle of a fund run by the BGK TFI regarding realisation and sale of a residential project located in Wrocław at 40 Dąbrowskiego St. The investment will include 133 apartments with a total usable floor area of 6,550 m2. The transaction value has been set down to no less than PLN 41.6m. Realisation date: not later than 30 November 2016. Value UFA (k m2) The realisation of the project for BGK will allow for reduction of financial costs and increase in project profitability. 6,550 Planned number of apartments (pcs.) 133 Average apartment area (m2) 48.2 Transaction value (PLN m.) 41.6 Transaction value/apartment UFA (PLN/m2) CONFIDENTIAL 6,351 9 Land purchase at Żegiestowska street in Wrocław Jesionowa 40 In 2Q15, the company has entered into a preliminary agreement on purchasing of land located at 13 Żegiestowska street in Wrocław. Projected investment Innova/Modern o Zakątek Piękna Oaza Centauris The price of transaction was PLN 14.5m (land value at PLN 935m2 UFA). Di Trevi Plans for construction of 15,500 apartments) in two stages. Projected PLN 6,500/m2. average m2 UFA (ca. 270 Puszczykowska 3 price Cichy Gaj at Value Acquiring construction permit and commencement of realisation of the first stage planned of 4Q15. UFA (k m2) 15,500 Planned number of apartments (pcs.) 270 Average apartment area (m2) 57.4 Land purchase value (PLN m) 14.5 Land value/UFA (PLN/m2) 935 Expected average price (PLN/m2) 6,500 CONFIDENTIAL 10 Key Wrocław project: Promenady Wrocławskie Land area: developed 3,62 ha (675 apartments and 12,822 m2 retail UFA) under development 3,27 ha (781 apartments and 16,540 m2 retail UFA) to be developed 8.14 ha (715 apartments and ca. 70k m2 retail UFA). Accounting valuation of the non-developed land: PLN 105.9m as of end of 2Q15. Valuation of reserves at PLN 117.3m as of end of 2Q15. Planned finalisation of the projects in stages by 2020. Stage III — start of commissions planned for 3Q15, Stage IV — start of construction planned for 3Q15, Zita B — commission planned for 4Q15, Zita D+A — start of construction planned for 4Q16. Average gross apartment prices: PLN 5,800 – 6,000/m2. Average rent for office projects: EUR 12/m2. CONFIDENTIAL 11 Office projects Promenady Epsilon UFA m2 UFA m2 leased Number of parking places Date of finalisation Date of settlement Carrying value (PLN m, 30.06.2015) Debt (PLN m, 30.06.2015) LTV (%) 7,132 7,132 114 finalised settled 53.3 40.6 76% Promenady Zita UFA m2 UFA m2 leased Date of finalisation Date of settlement Carrying value (PLN m, 30.06.2015) Debt (PLN m, 30.06.2015) LTV (%) I 5,690 4,628 finalised ~2Q 2015 39.9 25.1 63% II 6,340 - ~4Q 2015 ~2Q 2016 26.0 9.8 38% III 10,200 - ~4Q 2016 ~2Q 2017 14.1 0.0 0% Delta 44 UFA m2 UFA m2 leased Number of parking places Date of finalisation Date of settlement Carrying value (PLN m, 30.06.2015) Debt (PLN m, 30.06.2015) LTV (%) 4,213 3,708 34 finalised settled 26.1 20.0 77% CONFIDENTIAL 12 Retail projects Grona Park retail UFA [m2] office UFA [m2] leased UFA [m2] Date of finalisation Date of settlement Carrying value (PLN m, 30.06.2015) Debt (PLN m, 30.06.2015) LTV (%) 2.932 1,000 1,220* 2Q 2015 2Q 2015 20.9 6.0 29% As of end of 2Q15, additional 812 m2 have been put to business use (current lease level at 52%). Galaktyka Park retail UFA [m2] office UFA [m2] leased UFA [m2] Date of finalisation Date of settlement Carrying value (PLN m, 30.06.2015) Debt (PLN m, 30.06.2015) LTV (%) 5,174 - 3,351 2Q 2015 2Q 2015 32.2 15.3 48% CONFIDENTIAL 13 Growth potential for 2015-16 Introduction of additional 3 projects with ca. 520 apartments to the retail offer planned by the end 2015. Commencement of commissions within the scope of the 2 residential projects planned for 2H15 (total of 308 apartments for commission). Expansion of the commercial real estate holdings portfolio with subsequent stages of the Zita office building and further commercialisation of retail projects. Number of premises 1Q 2015 2Q 2015 3Q 2015 4Q 2015 1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 start of commissions Centauris III 103 Centauris IV + V 134 Promenady III 205 Promenady IV 307 Promenady V 190 Patio House 65 WUWA 2 60 40 Dąbrowskiego st 133 startof construction start of commissions Living Point I 169 start of construction start of commissions Living Point II 175 start of construction Żegiestowska I 135 start of construction start of construction start of commissions start of commissions start of construction start of commissions start of construction start of commissions start of construction finalisation of realisation Zita C finalisation of realisation Zita D+A Galaktyka finalisation of realisation Grona Park finalisation of realisation CONFIDENTIAL 14 Interest bearing debt Debt structure as of end of 2Q15 (PLN m) Debt settlement schedule (as of end of 2Q15, PLN m) Leasing; PLN 40.8m 70 Long-term loans; PLN 77.1m Short-term bonds; PLN 0.8m 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Long-term bonds; PLN 99.8m Doto1 1roku Up year Short-term loans; PLN 23.2m Over 2 Over 5 Over 1 1 Powyżej Over 3 3 Powyżej Over 4 4 Powyżej Powyżej 2 Powyżej 5 years up years year up years up years up roku do 2 lat do 3 lat lat do 4 lat lat do 5 lat lat to 3 to lat 2 to 4 to 5 years years years years Kredyty Loans Value as of end of 2Q15 (PLN m) (PLNm) Interest rate (%) Issue date Series D 19.9 WIBOR3M+5.5% 09.08.2013 09.08.2016 Series E 13.1 WIBOR3M+4.95% 10.06.2014 16.06.2018 Series F 23.2 WIBOR3M +4.3% 10.06.2014 16.06.2017 Series G 10.1 N/D 03.02.2015 03.02.2018 Series H 24.5 N/D 02.04.2015 02.04.2018 9.8 N/D 12/05/2015 12/05/2018 Financial bonds Seria I Redemption date Obligacje Bonds Credit indicators (PLN m) 2012 2013 2014 2Q15 Gross debt 64.4 101.3 191.6 241.7 Net debt 52.8 49.9 156.4 183.5 Net debt/EBITDA (x) -7.0 12.9 13.6 14.9 Net debt/assets (x) 0.14 0.11 0.28 0.29 Net debt/equities (x) 0.18 0.16 0.48 0.57 Equities/assets (x) 0.76 0.67 0.59 0.51 Interest cover ratio (x) -2.3 1.2 3.2 2.8 CONFIDENTIAL 15 2Q15 — another calendar quarter of high apartment sales 2Q15 financial results Revenues at PLN 10.1m (compared to PLN 5.5m in 2Q14). Sales gross margin improvement from 21.9% in 2Q14 to 30.2% in 2Q15. Profit due to reevaluation of working investment properties to fair value at PLN 1.2m. Increase in sales costs and overhead costs by 52% YoY to PLN 3.4m resulting from the increase in the scope of activities. Net profit in the amount of PLN 0.1m resulting from low number of commissioned apartments. Residential segment 110 apartments sold (against 44 in 2Q14). 20 apartments commissioned (against 27 in 2Q14), mainly from the Promenady Wrocławskie project. May 2015 — signing a preliminary agreement with a special purpose vehicle FIZ of the Apartment for Lease Sector Fund concerning realisation and sale of a residential property located at 40 Dąbrowskiego street in Wrocław (133 apartments), for a price not lower than PLN 41.6m. 313 apartments on offer for the end of 2Q15. Lease segment Increase in working investment properties portfolio to PLN 172m for 2Q15 from PLN 119m for the end of 4Q14 as a result of commissioning of the Galaktyka and the Grona Park shopping centres. Increase in revenues from commercial space leasing by 62% YoY to PLN 3.0m in 2Q15. Maintaining QoQ gross profitability from lease segment sales at 72%. CONFIDENTIAL 16 APPENDIXES CONFIDENTIAL 17 Appendix 1: Financial data (PLN m) Profit and loss account Revenues Sales gross profit sales gross margin EBITDA Amortisation EBIT Financial revenues including interest Financial costs including interest Net profit net margin 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 22.9 4.5 19.8% 2.7 0.0 2.6 0.2 0.2 1.5 0.8 1.4 6.3% 5.5 1.2 21.9% -2.3 0.0 -2.3 0.2 0.2 1.1 0.7 -2.6 -47.6% 4.8 2.3 48.3% 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.0 0.6 -0.7 -13.8% 28.6 6.0 20.8% 10.9 0.1 10.8 0.0 0.1 1.9 1.3 11.8 41.1% 10.4 2.7 25.8% -0.4 0.1 -0.5 0.2 0.1 1.4 1.0 -1.7 -16.1% 10.1 3.0 30.2% 1.6 0.1 1.5 0.4 0.4 1.9 1.4 0.1 0.7% Balance Working investment properties Non-working investment properties Reserves Cash Total assets Equity Long-Term debt Short-Term debt Total liabilities 127.7 180.6 60.3 36.8 442.8 317.4 83.0 10.7 442.8 136.1 180.6 75.6 63.2 493.6 314.0 115.9 19.7 493.6 151.5 181.0 85.3 23.2 483.0 313.1 115.7 13.2 483.0 180.8 182.0 101.0 35.2 549.2 323.4 176.4 15.1 549.2 192.2 175.8 113.8 33.4 560.7 324.7 183.6 16.0 560.7 212.4 135.3 173.9 58.1 627.7 323.2 215.9 25.7 627.7 -2.6 -2.8 -9.1 -8.3 -5.2 22.5 -21.0 -10.6 -8.4 -24.4 -22.5 59.0 -2.2 -7.7 8.1 0.5 -12.8 37.0 Cash flow statement Cash flow from operational activity Cash flow from investment activity Cash flow from financial activity CONFIDENTIAL 18 Appendix 2: Structure of assets Valuation for 2Q15 (PLN m) % of assets Working investment properties Promenady Epsilon 53.3 8.5% Delta 44 26.1 4.2% Zita B 39.9 6.4% Grona Park 20.9 3.3% Galaktyka Park 32.2 5.1% Zita C 26.0 4.1% Zita D+A 14.1 2.2% Working investment properties consist of the realised commercial properties that generate revenues from lease Predicted investment expenses for realisation of commercial projects in 2015 at ca. PLN 41m. Land allotted for realisation of subsequent stages of the Promenady Wrocławskie project, remains the company's key asset (PLN 147 m, almost 17% of assets). Working investment properties under construction Non-working investment properties Promenady Wrocławskie 105.9 16.9% Property Serock near Warsaw 1.5 0.2% Gamma Office 9.6 1.5% Słoneczne Sady 11.6 1.8% 6.3 1.0% 16.6 2.6% Reserves 173.9 27.7% TOTAL 627.7 100.0% Investment plot, 116/2 Ślężna St Valuation of Centauris shares CONFIDENTIAL 19 Reservations The above document is intended to serve only as an information and should not be considered an attempt at persuading to buy or sell any financial instruments. This document is not a advertisement, offer or proposition to buy financial instruments. Vantage Development S.A. considers the information sources used herein to be credible and precise, however, no guarantee exists that they are comprehensive and represent the actual status in full. This document can contain statements about the future that should be considered an investment risk and source of uncertainty and that can differ substantially from the actual results. Vantage Development S.A. is not responsible for results of decisions that were made based on this document. This document should not be considered a source of knowledge sufficient enough to make a decision about investment. The person using this document shall be solely responsible for the method of use of the information contained herein. This document is protected by the Copyright and Related Rights Act. It's duplication, publication and distribution requires a written consent by Vantage Development S.A. CONFIDENTIAL 20 Contact Iwona Kowalska [email protected] phone. (71) 786 00 70 Dariusz Pawlukowicz [email protected] Dąbrowskiego 44 street 50-457 Wrocław www.vantage-sa.pl CONFIDENTIAL 21