Study on the Perspectives of the European Land
Transcription
Study on the Perspectives of the European Land
Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector Final Report (ref. E3779 v_03) 14th November 2012 Financed with support from the European Union Hoja de Aprobación y Control de Revisiones Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector Final Report (ref. E3779 v_03) Donostia-San Sebastián, 14th November 2012 Prepared by: Jessica DURAN, Iñigo ISUSI and Antonio CORRAL Signature: REVISIONS’ TABLE Version No date description 01 25/09/2012 Final Report (extended version), original version 02 31/10/2012 Final Report (extended version), second version 03 14/11/2012 Final Report (extended version), third version ISO 9002 ISO 14001 Financed with support from the European Union Index 1. Introduction .............................................................................................................................8 1.1. Objectives of the study.........................................................................................................................9 1.2. Definition of the Land Defence Industry..........................................................................................10 1.3. Methodology........................................................................................................................................11 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective.....................................13 2.1. The demand of Land armament products: The key role of European Governments ............14 2.2. Cooperation activities in the Land Defence sector amongst European governments .........20 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective ........................................25 3.1. Position of the sector in the world context......................................................................................26 3.2. General overview of the Land armament sector from an economic perspective ................27 3.3. Main Groups and Enterprises.............................................................................................................31 3.4. Main subsectors and products included in sector ........................................................................37 3.5. Main qualitative characteristics of the European land armament sector................................40 3.5.1. Specialisation of main sector enterprises in defence-related activities ...........................41 3.5.2. Fragmented production capacities .......................................................................................41 3.5.3. Positive profit levels of the ent enterprises .............................................................................43 3.5.4. Key role of internationalisation and external trade activities.............................................44 3.5.5. Process of concentration of the sector in the last twenty years........................................48 3.5.6. Restructuring processes of the sector in Eastern Europe.....................................................50 3.5.7. Collaborative activities between enterprises in the sector ................................................51 3.5.8. The particular ownership structure of the sector in some EU Member States..................53 3.5.9. Geographical concentration of the sector in some EU regions ........................................53 3.6. The role of SMEs and production chains in the sector ..................................................................55 3.6.1. The role of SMEs ..........................................................................................................................55 3.6.2. Production chains in the European Land armament sector ..............................................56 3.7. Research and Development and Innovation activities in the European Land armament sector .................................................................................................................................60 4. 3.7.1. Importance of R&D activities ...................................................................................................60 3.7.2. Current R&D and Innovation approaches within the sector..............................................61 3.7.3. Co-operation in R&D activities at European level................................................................64 The European land armament sector from an employment perspective.......................66 4.1. General Overview of the sector from an Employment Perspective ..........................................67 4.2. Main Employment Patterns in the sector.........................................................................................72 5. 4.2.1. Employment patterns: Gender, age, levels of education and main occupations................................................................................................................................72 4.2.2. Social Dialogue in the sector ...................................................................................................77 4.2.3. Qualitative changes in the sector’s employment in the last two decades.....................78 Country specific information on the Land armament sector............................................80 5.1. Introduction ..........................................................................................................................................81 5.2. France....................................................................................................................................................81 3 Index 5.3. Germany ...............................................................................................................................................82 5.4. Italy .........................................................................................................................................................83 5.5. Poland....................................................................................................................................................84 5.6. Spain ......................................................................................................................................................85 5.7. Sweden..................................................................................................................................................86 5.8. United Kingdom ...................................................................................................................................87 6. Industrial Outlook of the European land armament sector ..............................................88 6.1. Main Strengths and Weaknesses of the European Land Armament Sector.............................89 6.1.1. Strengths of the European Land armament sector..............................................................89 6.1.2. Weaknesses of the European Land armament sector ........................................................90 6.2. Main Factors of Change (Opportunities and Threats) for the European Land armament sector .................................................................................................................................92 7. 6.2.1. Opportunities for the European Land armament sector ....................................................92 6.2.2. Threats for the European Land armament sector ................................................................94 Drivers of change and future possible scenarios of the European Land Armament Sector .....................................................................................................................................97 7.1. Recapitulation of main Drivers of Change .....................................................................................98 7.2. Classification, Ranking and Selection of Key Drivers.....................................................................99 7.3. Building of Scenarios .........................................................................................................................100 7.4. Possible Future Scenarios of the European Land Defence Sector ...........................................101 8. Final conclusions and Recommendations .......................................................................107 8.1. Conclusions stemming from the research.....................................................................................108 8.2. Recommendations............................................................................................................................109 Annex A. Bibliography and Interviewed experts .................................................................111 A.1. Bibliography ..................................................................................................................................112 A.2. Interviewed experts .....................................................................................................................115 Annex B. Country Case Studies.............................................................................................118 B.1. FRANCE..........................................................................................................................................119 B.1.1. B.1.2. B.1.3. B.1.4. Mapping of the National Land Armament Sector (LAS) .................................................. 119 Employment ............................................................................................................................. 126 Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the national LAS .............................. 127 References ............................................................................................................................... 129 B.2. GERMANY......................................................................................................................................133 B.2.1. B.2.2. B.2.3. B.2.4. Mapping of the National Land Armament Sector (LAS) .................................................. 133 Employment ............................................................................................................................. 142 Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the national LAS .............................. 143 References ............................................................................................................................... 144 B.3. ITALY ...............................................................................................................................................147 B.3.1. B.3.2. B.3.3. B.3.4. Mapping of the National Land Armament sector (LAS) .................................................. 147 Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector (LAS). ......................... 153 Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS.............................. 154 Annexes .................................................................................................................................... 155 B.4. POLAND .........................................................................................................................................158 4 Index B.4.1. B.4.2. B.4.3. B.4.4. Mapping of the National Land Armament sector (LAS) .................................................. 158 Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector (LAS) .......................... 166 Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS.............................. 168 Annexes .................................................................................................................................... 169 B.5. SPAIN ..............................................................................................................................................172 B.5.1. B.5.2. B.5.3. B.5.4. Mapping of the National Land Armament sector (LAS) .................................................. 172 Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector (LAS) .......................... 182 Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS.............................. 184 Annexes .................................................................................................................................... 187 B.6. SWEDEN .........................................................................................................................................191 B.6.1. B.6.2. B.6.3. B.6.4. Mapping of the Land Armament Sector (LAS) in Sweden............................................... 191 Employment issues .................................................................................................................. 195 Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the sector ......................................... 196 References ............................................................................................................................... 198 B.7. UNITED KINGDOM ........................................................................................................................200 B.7.1. B.7.2. B.7.3. B.7.4. Mapping of the National LAS................................................................................................ 200 Employment Issues within the National LAS ........................................................................ 216 Qualitative Characterisation and Perspectives of the National LAS ............................. 221 References ............................................................................................................................... 224 5 Index TABLES Table 1.1. Table 2.1 Table 2.2 Table 2.3 Table 2.4 Table 2.5 Table 2.6 Table 2.7. Table 3.1 Table 3.2 Table 3.3 Table 3.4 Table 3.5 Table 3.6 Table 3.7. Table 3.8 Table 3.9 Table 3.10. Table 3.11 Table 3.12 Table 3.13 Table 3.14 Table 3.15 Table 3.16 Table 3.17 Table 3.18. Table 3.19. Table 4.1. Table 4.2. Table 4.3. Table 4.4. Table 6.1 Table 7.1 Table 7.2. Table 7.3. Table 8.1 Composition of the work team ............................................................................................................11 Article 346 of the TFEU (Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union) (ex Article 296 TEC) ...........................................................................................................................................................15 Main Defence expenditure data in EDA participating Member States, 2009 and 2010 ...........17 Main Defence Data in EDA participating Member States compared to the USA. 2006 to 2010 (billion Euros)...................................................................................................................................20 The Boxer Multi-Role Armoured Vehicle (MRAV)...............................................................................21 The European Defence Agency (EDA)...............................................................................................22 Brief explanation of Directives 2009/43/EC and 2009/81/EC ..........................................................23 The Ghent Framework ...........................................................................................................................24 Main enterprises and groups in the Land armament sector at world level, 2010 .......................27 Turnover and employment in the European Aerospace and Defence Industries, 2009 and 2010. .................................................................................................................................................28 “Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions” sector (NACE Rev 1 29.6), Structural profile, EU-27, 2004 to 2008....................................................................................................................28 Main economic indicators of the “Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions” sector, by EU countries, 2008 .............................................................................................................................29 Main economic indicators of the “Manufacture of weapons and ammunition” sector for a selection of EU Member States, 2010.........................................................................................30 Main European Land armament firms/groups, 2010 (*) ..................................................................32 The German Heeresinstandsetzungslogistik GmbH (HIL) company...............................................40 Main qualitative characteristics of the European Land Armament sector..................................40 Percentage of total sales obtained from arm sales amongst the main European Land armament firms/groups, 2010...............................................................................................................41 National Defence Industrial Strategies of the three big defence markets (UK, France and Germany) ........................................................................................................................................43 Total profits of main European Land armament firms/groups, 2008-2010 (US$ m)) ....................44 Arms trade in the EU-27. Exports, Imports and Trade Balance by country. Total for the period 2005-2010 (US$ Million) ..............................................................................................................45 EU-27 Extra Community Trade of Arms and Ammunition (891 SITC Code). 2001-2010 (Eur Million).......................................................................................................................................................46 The example of BAE Systems ................................................................................................................48 Importance of SMEs in the manufacture of weapons and ammunition sector, 2007................55 Main categories of existing defence suppliers in the new EU Member States ............................58 R&D ranking of main EU companies in Land armament related activities according to R&D/Net Sales ratio in 2010...................................................................................................................61 Future expectations per Land armament segment from ELDIG/ASD’s point of view ...............62 Key R&D subjects suggested by ELDIG for proposed European cooperation in the Land armament sector....................................................................................................................................65 Employment in the “Manufacture of weapons and ammunition” sector for a selection of EU Member States, 2010 ...................................................................................................................71 Employment in the “Manufacture of military fighting vehicles” sector for a selection of EU Member States, 2010 ........................................................................................................................71 BAE Systems’ Skills 2020 Strategy ..........................................................................................................75 Impact of context changes on skill needs in the Land armament sector....................................78 SWOT Matrix of the European Land Armament Sector....................................................................96 Main Drivers of Change.........................................................................................................................98 Classification of drivers of change ....................................................................................................100 Definition of future scenarios for the EU Land armament sector .................................................101 Main National Official Programmes and Strategies .......................................................................189 6 Index GRAPHS Graph 2.1 Graph 2.2 Graph 2.3 Graph 2.4 Graph 2.5 Graph 3.1 Graph 3.2 Graph 3.3 Graph 3.4 Graph 3.5 Graph 3.6 Graph 3.7 Graph 4.1 Graph 4.2 Graph 4.3. Graph 4.4. Graph 4.5. Graph 4.6. Graph 4.7. Graph 4.8. Graph 4.9 Graph 8.1 Percentage of European Defence Equipment Collaborative Procurement over total procurement, 2006-2010........................................................................................................................15 Amount of money directly spent by the UK Ministry of Defence (MoD) with UK industry and commerce broken down by industrial group, 2003/04-2009/10............................................16 Evolution of total public Defence expenditure in the EU (billion Euros) ........................................18 Total Defence expenditure and % of GDP: Comparison between USA and EU. 2006-10 .......19 Long-term evolution of Real Defence Spending per Capita for a number of selected countries, 1980-2010 ...............................................................................................................................19 Main contributing Member States to EU-27 added value in the “Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions”, 2008 (%) ..............................................................................................30 Turnover (Million Euro) of the “Manufacture of military fighting vehicles” sector for a selection of EU Member States, 2010 ..................................................................................................31 MBDA historical process of formation .................................................................................................49 Main Land armament industrial poles of employment....................................................................54 The Land armament sector’s tiered organisation.............................................................................57 Knowledge intensity in “Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions” and total manufacturing: Share of R&D expenditure in value added, selection of countries, 2007 ........60 European Collaborative R&T as a Percentage of Total R&T, 2006-2010 .......................................64 Recent evolution of employment in the European Land Armament Sector, EU27, EU 15 and EU12, 2001-2008 (thousands of people) .....................................................................................68 Trends in employment in the EU-27: comparison of total manufacturing and the manufacture of weapons and ammunition (Index for 2001=100), distinction between new and old Member States................................................................................................................68 Number of persons working in the European Land Armament Sector, by main Member States, 2008 ..............................................................................................................................................69 Trends in the Land armament sector’s employment in some selected EU Member States (Index for 2001=100) ...............................................................................................................................70 Percentage of male employment in the Land Armament sector, average 2008-2010 ............73 Distribution of employment by age groups in the Land Armament sector, average 20082010...........................................................................................................................................................74 Distribution of employment by level of education in the Land Armament sector, average 2008-2010.................................................................................................................................75 Distribution of employment by occupational groups in the Land Armament sector, average 2008-2010.................................................................................................................................76 BAE Systems Employment by Skills split...............................................................................................77 Spanish military industry network with the State and Financial Groups. .....................................191 7 1. Introduction Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 1. Introduction 1.1. Objectives of the study The current research, namely Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector, is intended to examine the medium and long term development prospects of the European land armament industry. In this regard, and as part of a larger EMF project entitled “Social dialogue on the perspectives of the European land armament sector”, the study is intended to provide information and analyses that will enable the participants in the project to reflect and discuss different perspectives regarding the future of the European land armament sector, with a view to facilitate dialogue in the land defence sector, the promotion of networking among workers’ representatives within the sector and the provision of useful input into the European Defence Partnership. With this general purpose, the study tries to fulfil the following specific goals, that is to say: Map the current situation of the European Land defence sector Anticipate the challenges for the land defence industry in Europe and the perspectives and possible realistic scenarios for the European Land defence sector, particularly in terms of employment developments in the near future. Provide useful information, consultation and participation of the social partners as the precondition for managing possible industrial change within the European Land defence sector. This project is supported by the EU PROGRESS programme (restructuring, well-being at work and financial participation). In this regard, this final report is structured amongst eight chapters, in addition to this first chapter. Thus, chapter 2 provides the demand perspective of the European Land armament sector, identifying the key role that European Governments and public authorities play in the sector as well as the extent and importance of current cooperation activities amongst European governments in the sector. Meanwhile, chapter 3 presents an industrial mapping of the European Land armament sector, stressing different elements such as the position of the European Land armament sector in the world context, a general economic overview of the importance of the sector, information on main groups/enterprises and subsectors/groups forming the European sector, a description of the main qualitative characteristics of the European Land armament sector, information on the role of SMEs and production chains in the sector or, finally, information on Research and Development and Innovation activities developed by the European Land armament sector. Chapter 4 provides detailed information on the European land armament sector from an employment perspective, including existing statistical information on the topic, the main employment patters of the sector (i.e. in terms of ender, age, levels of education or main occupations) and, finally, information on qualitative changes in the sector employment experienced in the last two decades. Subsequently, chapter 5 provides an industrial outlook of the European Land armament sector, identifying its main strengths and weaknesses as well as the main factors of change (opportunities and threats) for the European sector Meanwhile, chapter 6 identifies the main drivers of change and future possible scenarios of the European Land Armament Sector, whereas chapter 7 finalises the report identifying some main conclusions stemming from the research as well as a number of recommendations. The report is complemented with a number of annexes including the bibliography, the names of the experts interviewed in the context of the research and, finally, the national reports. 9 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 1. Introduction 1.2. Definition of the Land Defence Industry It is a well know fact that the European Defence industry in general and the Land Defence industry is particular is a strategic sector of the European economy, not only because of its contribution in terms of value added, high skilled employment, exports and innovations to other sectors1 but also because of its key contribution to the European and national defence and security policies. In this regard, the “Land Defence” sector can be characterised as a very complex manufacturing sector composed of an array of different sub-sectors and enterprises, often involved in the production of dual use goods and technologies, i.e. products and technologies that have both civilian and military applications (i.e. vehicles, lorries, electronics, etc). Thus, a recent position paper elaborated by the ELDIG (the European Land Defence Industry Group)2 has identified nine segments of activity within the European Land Armament sector, that is to say: – Vehicles – Weapons and ammunition – Soldier Systems – Sensors for C4I (Command, Control, Communication, Computers and Intelligence) – Protection equipment and systems – C4I equipment and systems – Logistic and support equipment and services – Simulation and training equipment – Complex and joint systems However, within this variety of segments, the study will be primarily focused on three concrete subsectors, that is to say, Armoured vehicles, Artillery and Ammunition, although it will also take into account the complexity of the sector as a whole and the changes that can be observed in its activities and technological components. Interestingly also, the statistical information provided by Eurostat and EU Member States’ official Statistical offices presented in this report defines the sector accordingly to the so-called Statistical Classification of Economic Activities in the European Community (NACE)3. In this regard, and according to NACEClassification Rev. 1.1, the activities of the sector are comprised under the NACE Rev 1.1. Code 29.6 “Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions”4. Meanwhile, and within the framework of the new NACEClassification Rev 2 adopted since 2009, two main groups related to the Land defence sector can be Further chapters of this report will provide in-depth information on this. ELDIG is a body of the Aerospace & Defence Industries Association of Europe (ASD). 3 NACE is derived from the French title “Nomenclature générale des Activités économiques dans les Communautés Européennes” (Statistical classification of economic activities in the European Communities). 4 This Code comprises: • The manufacture of tanks and other fighting vehicles • The manufacture of artillery material and ballistic missiles • The manufacture of small arms • The manufacture of war ammunition • The manufacture of explosive devices such as bombs, mines and torpedoes. 1 2 10 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 1. Introduction identified, that is to say, Code 25.4 “Manufacture of weapons and ammunitions”5 and Code 30.4 “Manufacture of military fighting vehicles”6. 1.3. Methodology The present report has been elaborated by IKEI Research and Consultancy from a combination of two main sources of information. On the one hand, an extensive review of existing written information on the issue of Land Armament Sector has been conducted (available materials, reports and documents), both at international and country level (specific national reports have been elaborated for France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spain, Sweden and United Kingdom, as well as three literature reviews conducted in Austria, Finland and Switzerland). On the other hand, in order to complement the already available information, a number of interviews with privileged informers on the research issue has been also carried out (the list with the interviewed experts can be found in Annexes). These interviews have tried to reflect as much as possible the different views of relevant sector stakeholders, so representatives of national trade unions, main business associations and representatives of the National Ministry of Defence/Industry have been interviewed. Also, a presentation of the project was made to representatives of the ELDIG Group Due to the key importance of reaching national sources of information, IKEI Research & Consultancy has collaborated with a network of national researchers, who have been engaged with the collection of all the information at national level, including the interviews and the literature reviews. Table 1.1. Composition of the work team Coordination of the project and European reports IKEI Research & Consultancy General direction Project manager Consultant Antonio Corral Iñigo Isusi Jessica Duran National contributions Country Austria Finland France Germany Italy Poland Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom 5 6 Institute/research organisation KMU Forschung Austria Turku School of Economics Consultingeuropa PCG-Project Consult GmbH Università IULM Entrepreneurship and Economic Development Research Institute, Lodz Academy of Management IKEI Research and Consultancy Oxford Research Sweden Schweizerisches Institut für Klein- und MittelUnternehmen, Universität St. Gallen Institute for Employment Studies Researchers Ingrid Pecher Niko Havupalo Nicolas Rode, Dominique Sellier Dr. Jörg Weingarten Professor Giuliano Mussati Paweł Czyż Iñigo Isusi, Jessica Durán Jan Persson Sandro Keller Kari P Hadjivassiliou This code includes: • Manufacture of heavy weapons (artillery, mobile guns, rocket launchers, torpedo tubes, heavy machine guns) • Manufacture of small arms (revolvers, shotguns, light machine guns) • Manufacture of air or gas guns and pistols • Manufacture of war ammunition • Manufacture of hunting, sporting or protective firearms and ammunition • Manufacture of explosive devices such as bombs, mines and torpedoes This Code includes: • Manufacture of tanks • Manufacture of armoured amphibious military vehicles • Manufacture of other military fighting vehicles 11 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 1. Introduction Additionally, several steering meetings have been held with sector representatives of IndustriAll European Trade Union, both at national and European level, as well as a workshop for the discussion of the Interim report (Roanne, France, 26-27 June 2012). In order to guide the information searching process, a methodological dossier was elaborated by IKEI Research & Consultancy in collaboration with IndustriAll European Trade Union. This methodological dossier was conceived as the basis for a mutual understanding of the objectives, methods and general concepts relevant for the study amongst all national members of the research team. The dossier also included a research guideline, to steer homogeneously the work of all partners, comprising the instructions as to how to conduct the research in practical terms. Finally, it is worth stressing that all the work (including data collection and drafting of documents) was carried out since February to November 2012. 12 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective 2.1. The demand of Land armament products: The key role of European Governments One of the most important specific features of the defence sector in general and the Land defence sector in particular refers to the key role that governments play in the sector. In this sense, and on the demand side, the market is characterised by the dependency on one customer (i.e. (national) government(s)), who at the same time not only procure the products and services but also regulate the market. This situation results in a monopsony position that deeply influences the ownership, size, structure, and performance of the national land defence industrial base (Europe Economics, 2009). From this demand side perspective, public Land defence markets in Europe are dominated by a number of additional characteristics that can be summarised as follows: 7 8 a. New requirements for the European Land defence industry: Due to the current multi-polar world situation and the end of the cold war, European military operations are nowadays part of international asymmetrical missions involved in peace keeping, crisis intervention, protection of population, policing and state rebuilding tasks or counter terrorism activities, usually under the United Nations mandate or under NATO command. Notwithstanding the key impact of airpower in these operations and missions, they are mainly performed by land forces acting together as part of a European or multinational force, resulting in profound need changes in most European Land Forces (Craig et al, 2011). First, this switch from cold-war type massive armies to international mission forces leads mostly to a cut-down in numbers, where these military operations often require methods and equipment very close to the security world. At the same time, international joint operations increasingly require interoperable technologies, equipment and systems as well as enhanced information networking and improved command and control amongst different national armies, as well as an increase in protection equipment and technologies. Also, global mobility is needed more than ever before, requesting a strong need for an efficient transport of troops and equipment to the operation areas (TNO, 2009). Finally, the Libya crisis has shown that decreasing military spending and spreading competition across European states do not constitute a sustainable approach for Europe’s global ambitions (Faleg & Giovannini, 2012). b. Persistent primarily national defence procurement strategies: European countries are traditionally favouring the principles of national sovereignty and comprehensive autonomy in defence-related issues, with a clear impact on free competition amongst producers. In this regard, and despite the existence of a “formally defined” European Common Security Defence Policy (CSDP) and the development of several common crisis management operations, Member States’ defence policies are still very much defined at national level and not always in line with a common European perspective. Amongst other consequences, this situation results in closed and fragmented national markets where public procurement practices usually favour national enterprises. A good example of this is given by the recourse to Article 346 of the TFEU (Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union)7, which prevents “de facto” the implementation of the Internal Market in the defence sector in general and the land defence sector in particular. As a result of this, Europe's defence sector remains mainly fragmented at national level, with 27 different customers. Just to give some data, only around one fifth of procurement is currently spent in collaboration projects in which at least two EU members participate (data referred for the whole defence sector), very far from the benchmark established in 2007 by the European Defence Agency’s Ministerial Steering Board that suggested that at least 35% of the European Defence Equipment Procurement should be related to European collaborative procurement8. This current Article 346 TFEU is the (ex) Article 296 TEC In the sense that at least two EU Member States Ministries of Defence collaborate with each other. 14 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective Table 2.1 Article 346 of the TFEU (Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union) (ex Article 296 TEC) 1. The provisions of the Treaties shall not preclude the application of the following rules: (a) no Member State shall be obliged to supply information the disclosure of which it considers contrary to the essential interests of its security; (b) any Member State may take such measures as it considers necessary for the protection of the essential interests of its security which are connected with the production of or trade in arms, munitions and war material; such measures shall not adversely affect the conditions of competition in the internal market regarding products which are not intended for specifically military purposes. 2. The Council may, acting unanimously on a proposal from the Commission, make changes to the list, which it drew up on 15 April 1958, of the products to which the provisions of paragraph 1(b) apply. Source: Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union Graph 2.1 Percentage of European Defence Equipment Collaborative Procurement over total procurement, 2006-2010 35,0 40 30 20,9 18,9 2006 2007 21,2 22,0 22,0 2008 2009 2010 20 10 0 Source: Benchmark European Defence Agency, 2011 c. Presence of specific public procurement designs (“Juste Retour” principle, Offset agreements): Public procurement activities in Europe (especially large contracts) are often subject to specific designs. A good example of this is given by the so-called “Juste Retour” principle, which implies that the total value of the contracts awarded to companies from a particular Member State should reflect the amount of money that this Member State has committed to the project (in the case of European collaborative projects). Meanwhile, offset agreements represent compensation to the national authority from the foreign defence contractor for purchasing equipment from a nondomestic company. These offset agreements may include subcontracting (with the aim of integrating domestic firms in the supply chain) or other forms such as technology transfer, training or credit assistance, and they may take also the form of direct offsets (relating directly to the purchased defence system and related services) or indirect offsets (which can either be related to defence or civil sectors). Offsets are no longer possible within the EU borders, although they are a relatively common practice in exporting activities to third countries. d. Relatively lower level of public procurement devoted to Land defence products: There is very limited information related to the importance of public purchases of land defence products and systems. In any case, information from the UK9 shows that the British Ministry of Defence (MoD)’ purchases of land systems (i.e. weapons and ammunition, motor vehicles and parts) represent approximately a 20-25% of total MoD purchases from UK defence industries, a percentage lower than other defence 9 The UK is one of the rare examples of a nation which provides data on the relative importance of land systems in total MoD procurement spending. 15 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective related sectors such as the military aerospace or the shipbuilding sectors, and an 8% of the total purchases of the UK Ministry of Defence10. Graph 2.2 Amount of money directly spent by the UK Ministry of Defence (MoD) with UK industry and commerce broken down by industrial group, 2003/04-2009/10 Figures exclude 'internal' UK Ministry of Defence expenditure such as pay and allowances Source: UK Ministry of Defence, 2011. e. Strong differences in defence expenditure amongst EU Member States: According to the available data for 2010, the major defence spenders in the EU were, in this order, the United Kingdom, France and Germany (43.4, 39.2 and 33.5 billion Euros, respectively, a 60% of the total EU military spending), followed by Italy and Spain (21.6 and 11.1 billion Euros, also respectively), whereas the defence expenditure in the remaining countries was lower than 10 billion Euros. Meanwhile, the Member States with the highest defence expenditures in Investment (Equipment Procurement and R&D) were again France, United Kingdom and Germany (11.9, 11.3 and 7.1 billion Euros, respectively, or 70.7% of the total European investment expenditure), followed by Italy, Poland, Netherlands and Spain (3.1, 1.6, 1.5 and 1.4 billion Euros, also respectively). The United Kingdom, Greece, Cyprus and France are the only countries that devote more than a 2% of their national GDPs to defence activities (data for 2010). Some consulted experts suggest that this percentage might be higher in other EU Member States with limited or nonexistent naval forces 10 16 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective Table 2.2 Main Defence expenditure data in EDA participating Member States, 2009 and 2010 Defence expenditure (Millions of Euros) Austria Belgium Bulgaria Cyprus Czech Republic Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden UK 2009 2010 2,401 4,048 659 339 2,262 256 2,686 39,190 36,180 6,023 1,068 988 21,946 227 289 179 43 8,733 5,428 2,671 1,609 967 571 12,196 3,510 39,596 2,430 3,951 629 361 2,016 249 2,707 39,237 33,492 4,756 1,022 911 21,637 194 246 201 44 8,472 6,392 2,782 1,575 853 583 11,132 4,265 43,403 Defence expenditure as a % of GDP 2009 0.87 1.20 1.95 2.00 1.65 1.86 1.57 2.04 1.50 2.54 1.15 0.60 1.44 1.21 1.08 0.47 0.74 1.53 1.75 1.63 1.39 1.53 1.63 1.16 1.22 2.53 2010 0.86 1.12 1.74 2.06 1.39 1.72 1.50 2.01 1.34 2.07 1.04 0.59 1.40 1.08 0.90 0.48 0.71 1.43 1.81 1.61 1.29 1.29 1.62 1.05 1.23 2.56 Defence Expenditure in Investment (Equipment Procurement and R&D) 2009 2010 301.6 342.6 92.3 39.7 456.1 67.8 780.2 10,575.0 6,286.4 2,132.8 138.2 61.0 2,544.7 11.4 48.6 68.1 0.4 1,554.2 1,095.9 363.7 151.8 143.7 60.0 2,208.1 940.6 10,451.6 310.8 265.0 96.9 71.8 196.2 58.2 736.4 11,852.0 7,112.4 1,148.2 123.6 84.4 3,140.7 23.9 25.9 90.0 2.2 1,449.4 1,556.4 296.1 121.3 84.3 112.7 1,427.5 1,142.8 11,338.1 Source: EDA, 2012a f. Decreasing levels of defence spending in Europe due to the current economic crisis and negative forecasts for the future: In 2010, total defence spending by the EDA 26 participating Member States11 reached a total of 194 billion Euros, which represented a 1.6% of the total EU GDP. Interestingly, and in comparison to previous years, the total amount of resources devoted to defence activities has experienced a remarkable downward trend since 2007 (-4,9%), when up to 204 billion Euros were devoted to these activities. If inflation is taken into account, this defence spending in real terms has experienced a much more remarkable reduction. By way of contrast, investment expenditures (equipment procurement and R&D) have experienced a more sustained behaviour in time. Meanwhile, available budgets in 2010 have been reduced in comparison to 2009 in nearly all Member States, with some exceptions such as UK, Poland or Sweden. In this regard, current pressures on debt reduction and maintenance of social welfare spending are adding an increasing pressure on public defence budgets, where existing expectations for coming years do not seem to be very positive in this regard (at least for a large majority of EU Member States). Meanwhile, existing economic and financial perspectives for coming years are very gloomy in nearly all EU coun- All EU Member States except Denmark participate in EDA. Data for Europe as a whole refers to these 26 Member States. 11 17 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective tries12. Just to give some examples coming from the big European defence spenders, the British budget will cut around a 10% over the next four years, with a significant reduction of 22,000 people in serving personnel by 2015. Meanwhile, and in Germany, the Ministry of Defence is supposed to save about 8.4 billion € until 2014, including reduction in procurement expenses and in personnel. In France, it is expected a reduction of at least 1.2% per year on the defence budget in the time period 2010-2014. Graph 2.3 Evolution of total public Defence expenditure in the EU (billion Euros) 250 204 201 200 201 194 194 150 100 50 39,0 42,0 42,0 41,0 43,0 0 2006 Source: g. 2007 2008 2009 Investment (Equipment Procurement and R&D) Total 2010 European Defence Agency, 2011 Lower levels of European defence expenditure in comparison to USA: In 2010, the governments of the 26 EDA participating Member States spent as a whole an equivalent to a 37% of the US total defence expenditure (this is 520 billion Euros (689 billion US$)). Also, US defence expenditure represented a 4.8% of the US GDP and 11.2% of overall government expenditure, whereas these ratios were 1.6% and 3.2% in the EU, respectively (data for 2010). Moreover, these important differences between EU and USA have been even exacerbated in the last years, in the sense that US expenditure has increased at an annual cumulative rate of 5.9% in the 2006-2010 time period in comparison to a decreasing annual cumulative rate of 0.9% in the EU total. Moreover, these differences in scale between the EU and the USA are even greater when more realistic comparisons between each EU nation state and the United States are carried out13. Thus, the United Kingdom, France or Germany (the EU Member States with the largest military defence budgets and the only ones that have any reasonable prospect of having a relevant defence market) spent between 6-8% of the US total defence expenditure in 2010, where the United Kingdom and France each spent only a 5-6% of US total defence R&D14, so important opportunities derived from economies of scale are lost. In this regard, it is increasingly complicated for any single EU Member State (even for the largest ones) to maintain a comprehensive national land defence industrial base, specially in the current context of decreasing national defence budgets and escalating development costs. Interestingly enough, the USA are also envisaging a reduction of $45.1 billion in the purchase of military equipment and in Research and Development funding for year 2013, with important negative effects in terms of job losses (both direct and indirect ones) (Fuller, 2012). By way of contrast, defence budgets in some of the emerging countries such as China, Brazil, India or Russia are expected to increase in the coming years. For instance, the Chinese defence budget is expected to rise from EUR 120 billion to EUR 250 billion by 2015 (European Economic and Social Committee, 2012). 13 In this sense, the EU total comprises all spending by each Member State and is not a genuine aggregate figure. 14 Indeed, the USA military expenditure was higher than the whole of the next 48 highest spending countries in the world (Craig et al, 2010), where this result shows that the USA is the only actor able to act independently with its military spending. 12 18 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective Graph 2.4 Total Defence expenditure and % of GDP: Comparison between USA and EU. 2006-10 Total defence expenditure (in billion Euros) 600 500 434 414 520 471 416 400 300 204 201 200 201 194 194 100 0 2006 2007 2008 EU 2009 2010 USA % of GDP 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 4,3 3,9 1,8 1,7 2006 2007 2008 EU Source: 1,7 1,6 4,8 4,6 4,3 2009 1,6 2010 USA EDA, 2012 Graph 2.5 Long-term evolution of Real Defence Spending per Capita for a number of selected countries, 1980-2010 Source: UK Ministry of Defence, 2011. 19 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective h. Different structure of the defence expenditures between US and EU as a whole: Another trait that gives an impression of the specificities of European military expenditure refers to differences between European and US in the structure of defence expenditure. Thus, and taking as a reference the year 2010, the EU spent half of its aggregated defence budget on personnel (civilian and military staff) (99 billion Euros), whereas in the US, personnel costs represented less than one third of total defence spending during the same year (166 billion Euros)15. By way of contrast, the expenditures on equipment procurement and R&D (investment) showed an even wider scale difference between the EU and the US, as a 23% of the total European military expenditure was devoted to equipment procurement in comparison to a 30% in the US case (43 billion and 159 billion Euros in total terms, respectively), whereas a 4.6% of total EU military expenses were devoted to R&D activities in comparison to 11.2% in the US case (9 billion and 58 billion Euros, also respectively)16. Table 2.3 Main Defence Data in EDA participating Member States compared to the USA. 2006 to 2010 (billion Euros) EU-Total Personnel Operations & Maintenance Investment (Equipment Procurement and R&D) Equipment Procurement R&D Other USA- Total Personnel Operations & Maintenance Investment (Equipment Procurement and R&D) Equipment procurement R&D Other 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 201 111 43 39 29 10 8 414 155 106 126 71 55 27 204 106 47 42 32 10 9 434 132 117 126 73 53 59 201 107 43 42 33 9 9 416 132 126 131 80 51 27 194 98 44 41 33 8 11 471 148 140 149 93 57 34 194 99 44 43 34 9 8 520 166 155 159 101 58 40 Source: EDA, 2012. 2.2. Cooperation activities in the Land Defence sector amongst European governments European governments have taken since the nineties a number of initiatives intended to foster cooperative activities amongst them in the defence industrial sector and market (Craig et al, 2011). To start with, initial relevant initiatives include the Western European Armaments Group/ Western European Armaments Organisation (WEAG/WEAO), the Organisation for Joint Armament Cooperation (OCCAR) and the Letter of Intent (LoI) Framework Agreement. The Western European Armaments Group (WEAG) was established as a forum for armaments cooperation in 1976 with the aim of creating a European Armaments Agency that gave way in 1996 to the so-called Western European Armaments Organization (WEAO), in practice focused on research and development and not on formal regulations17. Meanwhile, the Organization for Joint Armaments Cooperation (better known by its French acronym OCCAR) was created in November 1996 by France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom with the goal to provide more effective and efficient management of collaborative armament programmes. In 2000, defence ministers of the six major arms-producing countries in Europe (i.e. France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Sweden and the United Kingdom) This result implies that there are still many resources open to be liberated from personnel expenditure to other activities (procurement, R&D, etc) more interesting for the Manufacturing sector. 16 All data referred to 2010 17 The function both of the WEAG and the WEAO have been taken over by the EDA 15 20 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective signed the Letter of Intent (LoI) Framework Agreement, intended to cover six main areas of action (security of supply, export procedures, security of information, research and technology, treatment of technical information and harmonization of military requirements). However, and in practice, these initiatives have provided very limited results until now. Table 2.4 The Boxer Multi-Role Armoured Vehicle (MRAV) Within the OCCAR framework, the EU started several multinational development and procurement programmes. A good example of this is given by the development of the Boxer Multi Role Armoured Vehicle (MRAV), signed in November 1999 between national governments of UK and Germany for the collaborative development and initial production of a family of next generation armoured utility vehicles. The programme was known as the Multi-Role Armoured Vehicle (MRAV) in the UK, and as the Gepanzertes TransportKraftfahrzeug (GTK) in Germany. In February 2001, the Netherlands signed a memorandum of understanding to join the programme (the Dutch programme is called the Pantser Wiel Voertuig (PWV)). In December 2002, it was announced that the vehicle would be called the Boxer. In July 2003, the UK Ministry of Defence announced it would withdraw from the programme. An industrial group, ARTEC GmbH, consisting of Krauss-Maffei Wegmann (KMW) and Rheinmetall Landsysteme from Germany, and Stork of the Netherlands, was the prime contractor for the programme. The programme was managed by the European Armaments Agency, OCCAR (Organisation for Joint Armament Cooperation). Stork PWV became part of Rheinmetall in March 2008. In 2006, the Dutch Parliament approved procurement of 200 Boxer vehicles, whereas Germany approved the procurement of 272 vehicles. A production contract was signed with ARTEC on 19 December 2006. In September 2009, the first deliveries of series production Boxer vehicles were made to the German and Dutch Armies. Source: http://www.army-technology.com/projects/mrav/ Also, some European countries have established several ad-hoc bilateral/multilateral bottom-up agreements intended to foster cooperation amongst them in the armament sector in general and the Land armament sector in particular. Examples of these agreements include the so-called Nordic Defence Cooperation (NORDEFCO) (composed of Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden) or the so-called Visegrád Group (also called the Visegrád Four or V4) and composed of Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia with interests in cooperation in different domains (including defence issues). On a bilateral basis, Estonia and Finland have recently signed a defence cooperation framework document for 2012-2015. More importantly due to size considerations, France and the United Kingdom have reinforced a bilateral cooperation agreement last February 2012 touching upon different issues including Security and Defence18. In particular, this Treaty is intended to strengthen the operational bonds between the Armed forces of France and the UK, by applying the principle of “Pooling & Sharing” for the procurement of defence materials and equipment, developing joint facilities, contributing to mutual access to defence markets and ultimately increasing the technological and industrial cooperation between the two countries. In the particular domain of Land defence, both countries stress their joint interest in developing a 40 mm CTA cannon that will equip armoured vehicle platforms, as well as a shared interest to strengthen their bilateral cooperation on Counter-IED19, including a Joint action plan to be elaborated in order to cover cooperative opportunities in the operations/capability/R&T domains. Also, and in the Research and Technology domain, both countries have agreed to develop a joint “2025 Key Technologies” identification plan by end of 2012 to light up their common strategic vision, as well as conduct a detailed comparison of their common capability plans in four strategic areas, including Intelligence Surveillance & Reconnaissance, Command & Control Information Systems and Land Combat). As far as the activities conducted within the EU framework, and despite some previous initiatives (i.e. the POLARM group20), the most important development refers to the establishment of the European Defence For a full description of the results of the British-French Summit see http://www.elysee.fr/president/lesactualites/declarations/2012/declaration-conjointe-de-mm-nicolas-sarkozy-et.13006.html 19 IED stands for Improvised Explosive Devices 20 POLARM was established as an only formal forum for discussion on armaments in 1995 as an initiative within the EU Council, although its overall results have been blurred due to a lack of interest and consensus among member states. 18 21 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective Agency (EDA). The EDA focus on developing defence capabilities, promoting Defence Research and Technology, promoting armaments co-operation and creating a competitive European Defence Equipment Market and strengthening the European Defence, Technological and Industrial Base Table 2.5 The European Defence Agency (EDA) The European Defence Agency (EDA) was established in 2004 as an agency of the European Council, where its Steering Board meets at the level of Defence Ministers (with the only exception of Denmark). The EDA supports Member States’ efforts to improve European defence capabilities and it is regarded as a key facilitator in developing the capabilities necessary to underpin the Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP) of the Union. EDA runs two different types of projects, that is to say, “opt-out” projects (all Member States participate unless they choose not to), and the “opt-in” projects (formed by two or more Member States). The EDA covers the full spectrum of capability development, from upstream Research & Technology (R&T) to Operational Deployment. Source: EDA’s web site. To bring this about, the EDA has launched a number of relevant initiatives in these areas that can be summarised as follows: a. The European Defence Equipment Market (EDEM): The so-called European Defence Equipment Market (EDEM), set up in November 2005 by the EU Defence Ministers, is intended to open up to cross border competition the share of the defence market traditionally excluded from Internal Market rules on the basis of Article 346 TFEU, so to create an appropriate market size comparable to other major global competitors (i.e. USA). For this purpose, the EDEM Strategy has implemented several instruments such as the so-called Code of Conduct on Defence Procurement, the Code of Conduct on Offsets or the Code of Best Practice in the Supply Chain, Security of Information and Security of Supply. Also, the EDA has established the benchmark that at least 35% of the European Defence Equipment Procurement should be related to European collaborative procurement. In any case, and as already shown before, this benchmark is yet far from being achieved. b. The European Defence Technological and Industrial Base (EDTIB): In 2007, the European Defence Agency (EDA) Defence Ministers’ Steering Board agreed on a Strategy for the European Defence Technological and Industrial Base (EDTIB). This Strategy recognises that a fully adequate DTIB is no longer sustainable on a strictly national basis, so it needs to be more integrated, less duplicative and more interdependent at European level in order to provide full political, military and economic benefits as well as economic ones (EDA, 2007). This EDITB Strategy stresses that Europe’s defence industry should be firmly focused on the so-called three Cs, that is to say, Capability driven (i.e. capable of meeting the operational requirements of the Armed Forces whilst sustaining European and national operational sovereignty), Competent (i.e. able to exploit the best technologies) and globally Competitive (both within and outside Europe). In this sense, the EDA has developed several work lines in order to ensure that critical European Land defence industrial capabilities are preserved or developed to meet current and future military requirements in terms of manufacturing key defence equipment and retaining appropriate European independence. Interestingly, the EDA has recently initiated a process to review the EDTIB Strategy in order to ensure its continuous effectiveness21. c. The European Defence Research and Technology (EDRT): This strategy is focused on addressing the R&T needs of the Common Security and Defence Policy from a collaborative perspective22. This strategy currently identifies 22 Research and Technology priorities, including “Soldiers Systems (incl. integration into Systems of Systems and NEC)”, “Counter-mine (land), gap-crossing and counter-mobility sys- It is expected that the new Strategy will be presented later this year In this regard, European Ministers of Defence agreed in November 2007 collective benchmarks to increase Defence R&T spending to 2% of all defence expenditure and to bring European collaborative Defence R&T spending to a level of 20%. 21 22 22 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective tems”, “Ground Platform technologies (structure, mobility…) and mounted platform systems” or, finally, “Uninhabited land systems”. Finally, the EDA has undertaken a number of initiatives to encourage increased competition and fair opportunities for enterprises of the defence market, with an emphasis on the role of SMEs in government procedures or the facilitation of SMEs’ access to information. A good example of this is given by the so-called “Guidelines for facilitating SMEs’ access to the defence market”, which provide non-binding recommendations for possible measures to be implemented by national authorities to support SMEs operating in the defence market. Also, the EDA facilitates joint or harmonised acquisition of a wide range of defencerelated products and services23. Meanwhile, the European Commission has adopted since December 2007 the so-called “Defence Package”', designed to set out a modern policy and legislative framework to improve competitiveness, introduce greater transparency and cut unnecessary red tape24 in the European defence equipment market. This Defence Package has resulted in the Communication "Strategy for a Stronger and More Competitive European defence Industry" (COM (2007) 764), which outlines recommendations to support the competitiveness of the defence sector, including the promotion of common standards and fostering greater levels of coordination both within and between Member States. The Commission has developed the so-called European Handbook on Defence Procurement in the area of standardisation, which now is part of the EDA EDSIS system25. Also, two important Directives have been adopted in 2009 with a view to facilitate the development of a real European defence equipment internal market, that is to say, the “Directive 2009/43/EC on intra-EU transfers of Defence products simplifying terms and conditions of transfers of defence-related products within the Community” and the “Directive 2009/81/EC on the coordination of procedures for the award of certain works contracts, supply contracts and service contracts awarded by contracting authorities or entities in the fields of defence and security”. In any case, these Directives are subject to the existence of the article 346 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. Table 2.6 Brief explanation of Directives 2009/43/EC and 2009/81/EC Directive 2009/43/EC is basically intended to simplify the terms and conditions of transfers of defence-related products within the Community and hence to enhance cross-border trade, with the introduction of general licences for intra-Community transfers, so individual licenses will thus become the exception. This would include purchases by armed forces of other EU Member States and transfers to certified companies of components in the context of industrial cooperation. Meanwhile, Directive 2009/81/EC is intended to improve transparency and to promote greater intra- EU competition across Member States’ defence markets. This Directive sets Community procurement rules adapted to the specificities of the defence/security sectors, providing special provisions for security of supply and security of information. The impact assessment highlighted that the new rules set out in the proposal should lead to significantly lower administration costs for businesses and in particular SMEs. The rules apply to sensitive contracts in the field of non-military security also, as well as to contracts that concern the procurement of military equipment (i.e. arms, munitions and war material) and security equipment which is particularly sensitive and has similar features to defence equipment. Source: EU Commission 23 See EDA Electronic Bulletin Board (http://www.eda.europa.eu/ebbweb/). For instance, last 25th January 2012, three Member States have launched the EU Battle Group Logistic Services Pilot Case, which covers joint procurement of basic logistic services through the Agency acting as a Central Purchasing Body (prior information notice for the “Provision of logistic support to the EU Battle Group 2012/2: fresh food, catering, including drinking water, and sales goods” (2012/S 16024383)). 24 For a further discussion on the European industrial policy aimed at the Defence sector please see http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/sectors/defence/defence-industrial-policy/index_en.htm 25 The European Defence Standards Information System (EDSIS) is a single portal for wider-ranging European defence materiel standardization. For more information see http://www.eda.europa.eu/edsisweb/Introduction.aspx 23 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 2. The European land armament sector: the demand perspective Looking at the future, the Commission has set up recently in time a High Level Task Force on European Defence Industries and Markets. This Task Force is expected to be jointly chaired by DG ENTR and DG MARKT and will work closely with the European Defence Agency and the European External Action Service with the aim of improving the competitiveness of Europe’s defence industries and reinforcing the EDTIB. This Task Force is expected to have the following four main missions: Ensure that the EU defence procurement directive and the intra-EU defence products' transfer directive are transposed into member state legislation. Create a debate in industry on determining the strategic areas where Europe needs to keep an industrial base and thereby retain strategic autonomy, proposing concrete, practical & complementary actions within its competence. Exploit synergies between the security and defence industries, especially in the Research & Innovation domain. Ensure coherence on security of supply issues. Finally, the adoption of the Ghent Framework developed in the informal EU Defence Ministerial in December 2010 under the Belgian Presidency has implied a renewed impetus to foster cooperation activities within Europe in the defence sector under the so-called Pooling & Sharing concept (P&S) 26. Table 2.7. The Ghent Framework The adoption of the Ghent Framework explores the feasibility of intensified EU cooperation and Pooling & Sharing (P&S) regarding military capabilities in areas such as training, logistics, medical, transport and communication. In this regard, the Ghent Framework reengages the debate on defence budgets in Europe by reckoning that the answer to reduced national defence budgets is sought in creating better forms of cooperation, and hence going beyond previous ad hoc and circumstantial arrangement that did not solve the strategic shortfalls of the EU at their roots. The framework aims at identifying and assessing member states’ military capabilities according to three categories: i) capabilities to be maintained at the national level while at the same time ensuring increased interoperability, ii) capabilities that offer potential for pooling and iii) capabilities that can be considered for role- and task-sharing. In November 2011, EU Ministers of Defence endorsed a package of new areas of Pooling & Sharing that EDA will coordinate and facilitate, including Intelligence Surveillance Reconnaissance (ISR), Smart Munitions and Training, and last 22nd March 2012 the EU defence ministers adopted a political declaration at the EDA Steering Board on this issue. Source: Faleg & Giovannini, 2012 and IKEI The definition of P&S essentially relies upon three components: i) pooling of procurement of weapons and services, or joint research facilities; ii) sharing through the partial or total integration of force structures such as training facilities, or setting up joint units; and iii) specialisation. 26 24 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective 3.1. Position of the sector in the world context There is very limited information on the position of the European producers within the world Land armament sector. In this regard, information provided by SIPRI on the main enterprises and groups engaged in the Land armament sector at international level27 shows a number of remarkable comparative traits that can be summarised as follows: The main European producers of Land armament (in terms of total arm sales and including other possible products) include enterprises such as the UK BAE Systems and Chemring Group, the Italian Finmeccanica, the French Thales and Nexter or the German Rheinmetall and Diehl. Meanwhile, the main American Land armament manufacturers include General Dynamics (with a very active presence in Europe), SAIC, Oshkosh Truck, Alliant Techsystems , Textron , Navistar , AM General , Esterline Technologies or Force Protection. The largest share of identified EU enterprises and groups combine activities in the three typical Land armament-related activities (Artillery, Military Vehicles and Small Arms/Ammunition) with activities in other sectors (i.e. Electronics, Missiles, Ships, engines, etc). US enterprises are larger than their European counterparts, in the sense that whereas up to six US enterprises had annual arm sales in 2010 over 2,000 US Million $, this is only the case of four European enterprises. Also, the EU main enterprises produce an average of four arms products compared with the main US enterprises’ average of two arms products. As a result of this, the larger US firms achieve greater economies of scale (larger output over fewer products). The EU Land armament manufacturers seem to be more defence-dependent with an average defence share of 71% compared with the US average share of 59% (percentage of arms share of total shares). Meanwhile, in Europe there are four enterprises with a defence-dependence of more than 90% of their total sales, whereas this is the case of only one US enterprise. In addition to European and American producers, it is possible to identify several competitors coming from other countries (Ecorys, 2010). Relevant examples include Mitsubishi Heavy Industries from Japan, Indian Ordnance Factories (India), ST Engineering (Temasek) from Singapore, Rafael (Israel), Samsung (South Korea) or Uralvagonzavod (Rusia). Generally speaking, these competitors are much smaller than their US counterparts, although relatively similar to the larger share of European manufacturers. Equally to the European manufacturers, they also produce an average of four arms products, although they have a lower defence-dependence (average defence share of 45%), with the only exception of Israelian Rafael, whose arm-related sales amounted more than 90% of the total sales. Enterprises and groups presented include those who develop activities in three concrete sectors (this is Artillery, Military Vehicles and Small Arms/Ammunition) 27 26 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Table 3.1 Main enterprises and groups in the Land armament sector at world level, 2010 Company Europe BAE Systems Finmeccanica Thales Rheinmetall Krauss-Maffei Wegmann Kongsberg Gruppen Nexter Diehl Chemring Group RUAG Patria Country UK Italy France Germany Germany Norway France Germany UK Switzerland Finland USA General Dynamics SAIC Oshkosh Truck Alliant Techsystems Textron Navistar AM General Esterline Technologies Force Protection Others Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Indian Ordnance Factories ST Engineering (Temasek) Rafael Samsung Uralvagonzavod Japan India Singapore Israel South Korea Rusia Sectors Arms sales ($US millions) Arms share of total sales (%) Ac, A, El, Mi, MV, SA/A, Sh Ac, A, El, Mi, MV, SA/A A, El, Mi, MV, SA/A, Sh A, El, MV, SA/A MV El, Mi, SA/A A, MV, SA/A Mi, SA/A SA/A Ac, A, Eng, SA/A Ac, MV, SA/A 32,880 14,410 9,950 2,660 1,590 1,500 1,430 1,210 890 830 660 95 58 57 50 94 58 100 34 96 48 88 A, El, MV, SA/A, Sh Ser, Comp (MV) MV SA/A Ac, El, Eng, MV MV MV Comp (A, Ac, SA/A, Sh) MV 23,940 8,230 7,080 2,870 2,740 2,410 1,900 690 660 74 74 72 59 26 20 .. 45 100 2,960 1,960 1,750 1,470 1,290 730 9 80 40 98 1 40 Ac, Mi, MV, Sh A, SA/A Ac, El, MV, SA/A, Sh Ac, Mi, SA/A, Oth A, El, Eng, MV, Sh MV Acronyms used for sectors: A = artillery; Ac = aircraft; El = electronics; Eng = engines; Mi = missiles; MV = military vehicles; SA/A = small arms/ammunition; Ser = services; Sh = ships; Sp = space; Oth = other; Comp= components, services or anything else less than final systems in the sectors within the parentheses—used only for companies that do not produce final systems Source: SIPRI ‘s database. 3.2. General overview of the Land armament sector from an economic perspective According to the data provided by ASD (the AeroSpace and Defence Industries Association of Europe)28, the European defence industry performed strongly in 2009 and 2010, despite the global recession resulting from the financial meltdown. Concerning specifically the Land armament sector, the number of workers was estimated in 113,000 in 2009 and 128,700 in 2010 (see Table 3.2). Moreover, the same source of information suggests that the revenues of the EU Land armament sector amounted to a total of 26.8 billion Euro in 2009, and 29.8 billion Euro in 2010, showing a positive evolution in comparison to previous years. It is interesting to notice that according to these figures the European Land armament sector represents about an 18% of the total Aerospace and Defence Industries. 28 ASD (AeroSpace and Defence Industries Association of Europe): http://www.asd-europe.org/site 27 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Table 3.2 Turnover and employment in the European Aerospace and Defence Industries, 2009 and 2010. 2009 Turnover (Billion EUR) Total Aerospace and Defence Industries Aeronautics (civil + military) Space Land Defence Naval Defence 2010 Employment 154.7 100.4 8.8 26.8 18.7 Turnover (Billion EUR) 696,000 468,500 31,400 113,000 82,000 Employment 162.9 106.6 9.4 29.8 16.9 704,200 458,400 33,800 128,700 83,200 Source: ASD ‘Facts and Figures Sheets’, 2009 and 2010. http://www.asdeurope.org/site/fileadmin/images/publications_thumbs/FF2010.pdf According to ASD data, approximately half of the European Land armament sector’s revenues comes from a very specialised and advanced supply of land systems with specialised versions, i.e. Main Battle Tanks (MBT), armoured tracked and wheeled tracked vehicles, C-RAM (Counter Rocket, Artillery, and Mortar) and artillery systems, supply of turrets, advanced ammunition, optronics and logistics. Also, emerging areas of interest include protection systems against mortar, rocket and artillery attacks. Meanwhile, the other half of the European Land armament sector’s revenues is linked to electronics, including embedded sensors for installation on platforms of Command & Control Navigation (C2N) systems, integration with autonomous C4I Network Enabled Capability (NEC) involving a spectrum of sensors, optronics, communication and systems for application at soldier, tactical and strategic levels. On the other hand, the Structural Business Statistics published by Eurostat provide statistical information on the European “Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions” sector (NACE 29.6, Rev 1). According to this source of information, this sector comprised a total of 1,282 enterprises, with a turnover of 15,477.3 million Euro and a generated value added of 5,472 million Euro (data for 2008)29. Meanwhile, turnover per person employed and the value added per person employed reached a total of 162.3 thousand Euro and 57.4 thousand Euro respectively, where all these figures have shown an upward trend in the time period 20042008. Finally, value added generated by the analysed sector reached almost 0.3% of the total value added in manufacturing as a whole (see Table 3.3). Table 3.3 “Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions” sector (NACE Rev 1 29.6), Structural profile, EU-27, 2004 to 2008 Variables Number of enterprises Turnover (Million Euro) Value Added (Million Euro) Employment (thousand people) Turnover per person employed (thousand Euro) Value Added per person employed (thousand Euro) Share of value added in manufacturing total (%) 2004 2005 2006 1,329 12,641.5 4,255.7 105.1 120.4 40.5 0.27 1,291 13,300.0 4,490.0 99.5 133.8 45.2 0.28 1,297 14,401.7 4,686.8 97.3 148.0 48.2 0.27 2007 1,348 15,187.7 5,347.6 96.3 157.9 55.6 0.29 2008 1,282 15,477.3 5,472.0 96.1 162.3 57.4 0.28 Data for 2008 are estimated Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics (SBS) From a country perspective, data for the year 2008 shows that the most important Member States in terms of turnover were the United Kingdom, Germany and France (3,840.5, 3,016.9 and 2,646.2 million Euro, respectively), followed by Italy and Sweden (1,586.6 and 1,070.5 million Euro, respectively), Poland and Spain (844.3 and 726.5 million Euro, respectively). Meanwhile, the Member States that obtained the highest value added were UK, Germany and France (1,458.2, 1,166.9 and 955.4 million Euro, respectively or 26.8%, 21.4% and 17.5% of the total European value added generated by the sector), followed by Italy, Sweden, Spain 29 Latest available year. 28 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective and Poland (497.8, 338.6, 249.7 and 184.0 million Euro, respectively or 9.1%, 6.2%, 4.6% and 3.4% of the total European value added generated by the sector, also respectively)30. Finally, the available data on labour productivity shows important differences amongst “old” and “new” Member States, in the sense that “old” have the highest productivity values. In any case, the “Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions” sector is always a small sector within the national manufacturing context. Table 3.4 Main economic indicators of the “Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions” sector, by EU countries, 2008 Number of enterprises Belgium Bulgaria Czech Republic Denmark Germany Greece Spain France Italy Cyprus Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Hungary Netherlands Austria Poland Portugal Romania Slovenia Slovakia Finland Sweden United Kingdom 33 24 55 14 159 81 68 168 132 13 1 2 2 39 7 45 75 21 26 23 13 45 104 140 Turnover (Million EUR) 417.5 147.8 209.8 33.4 3,016.9 104.1 726.5 2,646.2 1,586.6 9.3 n.a. 3.3 n.a. 30.2 n.a. 262.6 844.3 56.3 92.2 5.6 70.2 306.8 1,070.5 3,840.5 Value added at factor cost (Million EUR) 167.6 61.1 82.0 14.0 1,166.9 45.9 249.7 955.4 497.8 1.9 n.a. 0.4 n.a. 8.9 n.a. 81.4 184.0 18.3 24.2 23.6 19.4 73.1 338.6 1,458.2 Apparent labour proShare (%) of ductivity (Gross value sector value added per working added/total person, thousand Euros) manufacturing 93.2 4.7 18.3 69.9 81.8 20.8 72.3 92.3 78.8 45.1 n.a. 3.9 n.a. 14.4 n.a. 59.3 25.2 30.9 3.1 n.a 12.7 71.1 83.5 92.4 0.3 1.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 n.a. 0.1 n.a. 0.3 n.a. 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics (SBS) Notes: Czech Republic, Greece and Romania refer to 2007 data. / Lithuania: turnover, value added and apparent labour productivity refer to 2006 data. / France and UK, apparent labour productivity, 2007 data. These Eurostat figures are sometimes in contradiction with information coming from national sources (see national reports included in the annex of this report). For instance, the estimated 2008 turnover of the French Land armament sector was 4.16 billion euros (data provided by the French employers’ association GICAT). Meanwhile, the Spanish 2010 turnover for the sector was of 583.71 million euros (735.8 billion euros in 2008) (data provided by the Spanish employers’ association TEDAE), where these figures are relatively in line with the figures provided by the National Institute of Statistics (turnover of 713.3 millions euros in 2008). Meanwhile, and in Sweden, the Swedish employers’ association SOFF suggests that the estimated turnover of the Swedish land armament sector was approximately 2.31 billion euros in 2010. 30 29 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Graph 3.1 30 Main contributing Member States to EU-27 added value in the “Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions”, 2008 (%) 26,8 21,4 25 17,5 20 15 9,1 10 11 6,2 4,6 3,4 Spain Poland 5 0 United Germany France Italy Sweden Others Kingdom Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics (SBS). On the other hand, and concerning latest available data for the “Manufacture of weapons and ammunition” sector (NACE Rev 2, 25.4), in 2010 the main European Member States in terms of turnover generated by the sector were the UK, Germany and France (2,685.4, 2,486.2 and 2,190.1 million Euro, respectively), followed by Italy, Sweden, Belgium and Spain (1,645.9, 691.1, 332.1 and 313.5 million Euro, also respectively). Meanwhile, data concerning the “Manufacture of military fighting vehicles” sector (NACE Rev 2, 30.4) shows that France was the European countries with the highest turnover (1,058.2 million Euro) in 2010, followed by Germany (642.7 million Euro) and the UK (598.6 million Euro) (see Graph 3.2). Table 3.5 Main economic indicators of the “Manufacture of weapons and ammunition” sector for a selection of EU Member States, 2010 Number of enterprises Belgium Bulgaria Germany Greece Spain France Cyprus Italy Hungary Austria Poland Portugal Slovenia Finland Sweden United Kingdom Turnover (Million EUR) 28 23 141 69 54 162 5 245 13 48 39 9 20 25 85 126 332.1 226.9 2,486.2 97.1 313.5 2,190.1 16.7 1,645.9 15.1 247.7 196.1 45.1 29.9 83.6 691.1 2,685.4 Data refers to (NACE Rev 2 25.4). / Data for Greece refers to year 2008, and Italy to year 2009. Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics (SBS). 30 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Graph 3.2 1.200 Turnover (Million Euro) of the “Manufacture of military fighting vehicles” sector for a selection of EU Member States, 2010 1.058,2 1.000 800 642,7 598,6 600 266,7 400 200 0 France Germany United Kingdom Poland Data refers to (NACE Rev 2 30.4). / Data for UK refers to year 2009 Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics (SBS). 3.3. Main Groups and Enterprises. The EU Land armament sector has the capability for producing the whole range of products needed by European armies ranging from the basic items of equipment to complex sub-systems and systems (TNO, 2009; ASD, 2011). In this regard, the European Land armament sector is composed of three main type of enterprises, that is to say, i) a few multinational companies operating in other defence-related fields (i.e. air or sea) or in civilrelated products, ii) some nationally based prime land system integrators and, finally, iii) many Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs), either highly specialised in niche markets and/or involved as suppliers to these large final integrators. Examples of major large European manufacturers include the German companies “Krauss-Maffei Wegmann”, “Rheinmetall” and “Diehl”, the UK “BAE Systems”, the French “Nexter” and “Renault Defense Trucks” companies, the Italian “IVECO Defence Vehicles” and “OTO Melara” companies, the Swedish “Saab” company or the Finnish “Patria” company, as well as the US-based company “General Dynamics Europe”. Meanwhile, enterprises more specialised in Land armament-related electronics include the French “Thales” and “Safran” companies, the Italian Finmeccanica’s Selex Sistemi Integrati and Selex Galileo companies or the Spanish “Indra Systemas” company, without forgetting of course the role played by EADS’s Cassidian. Next table provides some quantitative information on the main European enterprises involved in Land armament activities. 31 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Table 3.6 Rank Main European Land armament firms/groups, 2010 (*) Company 2 BAE Systems 7 EADS (including Cassidian) Finmeccanica 8 11 16 S 28 31 45 52 55 63 74 75 77 84 96 Country UK Sectors A Ac El MV Mi SA/A Sh Ac El Mi Sp TransEuropean Italy A Ac El MV Mi SA/A Thales France A El MV Mi SA/A Sh Safran France El MBDA (BAE Systems, UK/ TransMi EADS, trans- European/ European Finmeccanica, Italy) Saab Sweden Ac El Mi Rheinmetall Germany A El MV SA/A Navantia Spain Sh Krauss-Maffei Wegmann Germany MV Nexter France A MV SA/A Diehl Germany Mi SA/A Chemring Group UK SA/A Ultra Electronics UK El RUAG SwitzerA Ac Eng land SA/A Indra Spain El Patria Finland Ac MV SA/A Arms sales Total sales (US$ m) (US$ m) Arms sales Total Profit Total emas share of (US$ m) ployment total sales (%) 32,880 34,609 95 1,966 98,200 16,360 60,599 27 732 121,690 14,410 24,762 58 738 75,200 9,950 17,384 57 60 63,730 4,800 3,710 14,252 3,709 34 100 673 219 54,260 10,010 2,780 2,660 3,390 5,283 82 50 63 230 12,540 19,980 2,010 1,590 1,430 1,210 890 880 830 2,102 1,693 1,425 3,609 923 1,097 1,722 96 94 100 34 96 80 48 -61 391 217 29 103 102 88 5,230 …. 2,700 13,570 4,280 4,150 7,720 780 660 3387 747 23 88 249 5 28,610 3,400 Acronyms used for sectors: A = artillery; Ac = aircraft; El = electronics; Eng = engines; Mi = missiles; MV = military vehicles; SA/A = small arms/ammunition; Ser = services; Sh = ships; Sp = space; Oth = other; Comp( ) = components, services or anything else less than final systems in the sectors within the parentheses—used only for companies that do not produce final systems An S denotes a subsidiary company. (*) Enterprises and groups presented include those who develop activities in three concrete sectors (this is Artillery, Military Vehicles and Small Arms/Ammunition) plus those enterprises that belong to ELDIG (European Land Defence Industry Group) Source: SIPRI ‘s database This section presents individual information on the main groups and enterprises operating in the Land armament sector in Europe. In this regard, a first group of enterprises belonging to the so-called ELDIG group31 will be presented. Subsequently, individual information on some additional important European groups and enterprises operating in the Land armament sector will be also presented. Thus, and as far as the main groups and enterprises belonging to the ELDIG group, they are the following ones (in alphabetical order): 31 ELDIG (European Land Defence Industry Group) represents the interests of the main European Land defence groups and enterprises. It formally operates under the umbrella of ASD (The AeroSpace and Defence Industries Association of Europe), the employers’ association representing the aeronautics, space, defence and security industries in Europe 32 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective BAE Systems plc (http://www.baesystems.com) is a British multinational defence, security and aerospace company headquartered in London, United Kingdom. BAE Systems plc is among the world's largest military contractors, where more than 95% of BAE Systems’ total sales are military related. BAE Systems plc has manufacturing locations in the UK, the United States, Australia, India, Saudi Arabia and Sweden. In fact, BAE systems is present in all core military domains (sea, land, air and defence electronics). Focusing on land-defence products supplied by BAE Systems, the business unit ‘Land and Armaments’ provides design, development, production, through-life support and upgrade of armoured combat vehicles, tactical wheeled vehicles, artillery systems and munitions. Moreover, BAE Systems provides other land defence-related products/services such as systems integration and electronics (e.g. C4ISR), throughlife support, Engineering and Manufacturing, Technology and Innovation, Homeland Security and Information Technology. World-wide, it employs about 90,000 staff, of whom approximately 40,000 are based in the UK. Indeed, BAE Systems is the UK’s largest manufacturing employer and employer of professional engineers, employing 18,000 engineers. Cassidian (http://www.cassidian.com) is the Defence and security subsidiary of the EADS (European Aeronautic Defence and Space Company) Group, and a major provider of global security solutions, lead system integration and joint systems. Cassidian's headquarters are located in Unterschleissheim (Germany), although the company has different offices located across Europe (Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Romania, Spain, UK), America (USA, Canada, Mexico, Brasil) and Asia (India, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates). Data available indicate that in 2009 Cassidian employed approximately 28,000 employees worldwide and achieved combined revenues of €5.4 billion. The portfolio of Cassidian includes products related to Detection, Missiles (MBDA), Electronic Warfare, Mission Support Systems, Engagement and Command, Protection & Surveillance, Command & Control, Intelligence, Mobile Hospital Solutions, Radio & Accessories or Soldier Modernisation products Diehl Defence Holding GmbH (www.diehl-defence.de) is a Corporate Division within the Diehl Group which concentrates all business activities in the fields of defence and security. The manufacturing locations of Diehl Defence are mainly located in Germany (with headquarters in Überlingen) but there are also 27 sites in eight countries (including Thailand, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, India or the United States). The main range of Land defence-related products includes ammunition (i.e. medium and large calibre ammunition, bunker busters, etc), sensor and security systems (i.e. active protection systems for armoured vehicles), system tracks/suspension components, customer support/training activities, vehicle maintenance and vehicle upgrade activities or components (infrared modules, ammunition fuzes, etc) EXPAL (http://www.maxam.net/es/expal) is responsible of the ‘defence’ business unit of the Maxam Group, a global organization with over 140 companies operating across the five continents, with industrial facilities in more than 40 countries. More precisely, EXPAL offers solutions for supporting and improving operational capabilities, including defence technological developments and protection of troops. EXPAL’s headquarters are located in Madrid, and there are production centres in Spain, Denmark, Italy and Bulgaria. As a whole, EXPAL employs 600 professionals. The range of products developed by EXPAL includes munitions (fuses, small arms ammunition, artillery, mortar system ammunition), weapons systems (anti-tank training mines, surface control systems, mortar systems), energetics (demolition stores, propellants and propellant systems) and Systems and Technology applications General Dynamics European Land Systems (GDELS) (http://www.gdels.com) belongs to the US General Dynamics Corporation and conducts its business through 11 European manufacturing sites located in Spain, Germany, Austria, and Switzerland (seven of them are located in Spain), with headquarters in Madrid. The group is the combination of four entities (GDELS-Germany, GDELS-Mowag (Switzerland)), GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas (Spain) and GDELS-Steyr (Austria)) that were unified as a single business unit under one European parent company in 2003. The product portfolio of GDELS includes protected Wheeled Vehicles, Tracked Vehicles (both Infantry Fighting Vehicles and Light Combat Vehicles), Mobile Military Bridge Systems, Artillery Systems, Arms and Ammunition (large/medium and small calibre). GDELS has currently around 3,500 employees in Europe. IVECO (http://www.iveco.com) is an Italian truck, bus, and diesel engine manufacturer, based in Turin and specialised in the design, manufacturing and marketing of a broad range of light, medium and heavy commercial vehicles, off-road trucks, city and intercity buses and coaches as well as special vehicles for applications such as fire fighting, off-road missions, defence and civil protection. In this sense, IVECO Defence Vehicles is dedicated to delivering innovative automotive and protection solutions to meet the needs of defence customers worldwide. It is based in Bolzano, Northern Italy, and offers a wide range of multi-role vehicles, light multi-role vehicles (LMVs), medium-protected vehicles (MPVs), MOTS, tactical trucks and armoured vehicles. In addition to its logistic and protected vehicle range, IVECO also manufactures two families of wheeled armoured vehicles, the Centauro family and the Puma family. 33 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Krauss-Maffei Wegmann GmbH & Co KG (http://www.kmweg.de) is a defence company based in Munich (Germany) but with locations in Germany, Brazil, Greece, the Netherlands, Singapore, the USA and Turkey. The enterprise’s product port-folio includes tracked vehicles (such as the ‘Leopard’ in its different versions/models), wheeled vehicles (such as the ‘Dingo’ in different versions/models), artillery (i.e. the PzH 2000 self propelled howitzer), armament systems, bridge layers, training and simulation (such as driving simulators), services, protection equipment and extended services. The company nowadays leads the European market for highly protected wheeled and tracked vehicles. Marshall Land Systems (MLS) (http://www.marshall-ls.com), headquartered in Cambridge (UK), is part of the Marshall Group, a large (£750M) family owned independent group of companies with nearly 4,500 employees and involved in the automotive, aerospace and land systems areas. As part of the Marshall Group of Companies, Marshall Land Systems (MLS) brings together in one grouping; Marshall Specialist Vehicles (MSV), Marshall Vehicle Engineering (MVE), Marshall SDG (MSDG) and Marshall Fleet Solutions (MFS). Products and services provided by Marshall Land Systems include protected workspaces, vehicle engineering, capability development, fleet solutions, capability support, consultancy, equipment regeneration, laboratories, load beds and flat racks, medical systems, fleet solutions, military shelters, project/programme management, regeneration, shelter based systems, unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs), and different vehicle systems MBDA (http://www.mbda-systems.com/) is a missile developer and manufacturer with operations in France, Britain, Germany, Italy, Spain and the United States. In 2010, the company had over 10,000 employees and a turnover of €2.8 bn. The three shareholders of MBDA include BAE Systems (37.5%), EADS (37.5%) and Finmeccanica (25%). MBDA works with over 90 armed forces worldwide. MBDA produces in the field of Land armament a number of surface-toair and anti-tank missiles as well as several ground based air defence systems Navantia (http://www.navantia.es/) is a Spanish public company primarily specialised in the design and construction of hi-tech military vessels and civil vessels, although Navantia also has a line of production around FABA Systems and specialised in the integration of complex high-tech combat systems, not only in different navy vessels but in other fields (for instance, FABA Systems has an increasingly significant presence in the Spanish Army). Also, the company builds several medium calibre howitzers under license. According to the latest available data, Navantia had 5,200 workers on its payroll in 2010, whereas around 320 workers are involved in FABA Systems, with a turnover of around 150 million euros Nexter Group (http://www.nexter-group.fr) is a French government-owned weapons manufacturer and the lead partner of the French army. According to 2010 data, Nexter Group had 2,700 employees, and sales reached €1.1 billion, with 9 production sites in France, offices in Canada, Spain, Thailand, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates, and with presence in more than 100 countries. The group distinguishes several business lines, that is to say, Systems (weapons & turrets, artillery, armoured vehicles, etc), Ammunition (tank and artillery ammunition, protection, pyrotechnics, etc), Electronics (e.g. instrumentation control & sensors), Mechanics (periscopes, diascopes, etc), NBC (Collective and individual protection, decontamination, etc), Shelters/Structures (shelters, tools, integration systems) and, finally, Virtual Training stystems. The NEXTER group is formed by different subsidiaries (Nexter Systems, Nexter Munitions, Nexter Electronics, Nexter Mechanics, Nexter Training, NBC-Sys, Optsys, and Euro-Shelter), each of them specialised in different market/products Oto Melara S.p.A. (http://www.otomelara.it) is an Italian defence company with factories in Brescia and La Spezia, and additional facilities in Spain and the USA. The company produces a wide range of state-of-the-art land armament products and technologies including turret land-defence systems, conventional and guided ammunition, combat vehicles, artillery, surveillance and battle management systems. Also, the Iveco Fiat - Oto Melara consortium (CIO), is the principal armoured vehicles provider of the Italian Army (Centauro, Ariete, Dardo, Puma, VBM), as well as important actor in the export market. Oto Melara's defence operations are part of the Italian “Finmeccanica” consortium (http://www.finmeccanica.it), with operations in seven sectors (Aeronautics, Helicopters, Space, Defence and Security Electronics, Defence Systems (Oto Melara belongs to this), Energy and Transportation). Examples of additional enterprises belonging to Finmeccanica includes DRS Technologies, SELEX Galileo, SELEX Elsag or SELEX Sistemi Integrati. Patria Oyj (http://www.patria.fi/) is a Finnish company which produces a wide range of defence, security, aviation and aerospace technology. The company is owned by the state of Finland (73.2%) and the European Aeronautic Defence and Space Company (EADS N.V.) (26.8%). According to 2010 data, net sales went up to € 564 million, whereas it had approximately 3,400 employees. Its main land-defence products include vehicles and mortar systems (i.e. the Patria AMV vehicles or the Patria Nemo), as well as the development and integration of systems for command and control and situational awareness. Patria is also active in the provision of life cycle support services for these vehicles and provides ammunition products 34 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Rheinmetall Defence (http://www.rheinmetall-defence.com) is an automotive supplier and a defence technology producer. The defence business has got a management structure organised around three divisions (i.e. Combat Systems, Electronic Solutions and Wheeled Vehicles). The company offers an extensive array of military products and technologies that include Combat Systems (armoured tracked vehicles, NBC protection systems, turret systems and weapon stations, medium and large calibre weapons and ammunition, self-defence systems, propellants and powder), Electronic Solutions (i.e. soldier systems, fire control units, sensors, land simulation) and, finally, Wheeled Vehicles (Logistical and tactical vehicles). Rheinmetall Defence operates at international level, with a broad network of branch offices and company representatives in Europe, North America, Asia, Australia and Africa, although major manufacturing facilities concentrated in Germany and Switzerland (the company is headquartered in Düsseldorf). In 2011 the total turnover of the company reached 4.45 billionn euro, where the defence division reached a total of 2.1 billion euros. Saab AB (http://www.saabgroup.com/en/Land/) is a Swedish aerospace and defence company, whose headquarters are in Stockholm (Sweden). Saab has around 13,000 employees worldwide, and annual sales amount to around SEK 24 billion. Major important markets for Saab include Europe, South Africa, Australia and the US. With regard to products/services related to ground forces, Saab offers C4I systems (Command, Control, Communication, Computers and Intelligence), Force Protection, ISTAR (sensors for Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition, and Reconnaissance), Training and Simulation services, Ground Based Air Defence, Weapon Systems (from anti-tank weapons, missile and mortar systems to integrated combat systems and network enabling solutions), as well as Support Solutions and Services. Saab also provides products/services related to Civil Security, in areas such as Critical Infrastructure Protection, Emergency Response, and Guard and Event. Thales (http://www.thalesgroup.com) is a French company delivering information systems and services for the aerospace, defence, transportation and security markets. Thales has operations in more than 50 countries. It currently has approx 65,000 employees all over the world. Through its ‘defence’ division, Thales designs and delivers systems for all four environments: air, land, sea and space. Thales ranks first in Europe and second worldwide in systems for land forces (including large-scale cooperative fighting systems and area control systems, electronic warfare, dedicated systems for surveillance, reconnaissance, command, control and combat (C4ISR products and solutions), defence communications and optronics, vehicle and soldier systems, weapon systems and munitions (mortar systems, precision-guided munitions and munitronics) and key equipment). Thales is now partially state-owned by the French State (Thales' major shareholders are the French state, 27.0%, and Dassault Aviation, 25.9%) SAGEM (http://www.sagem-ds.com/) is currently part of the Safran Group (http://www.safran-group.com/), a French conglomerate which resulted from a merger between the propulsion and aerospace equipment group Snecma and the defence conglomerate Sagem in 2005. The Safran Group is currently organized within three branches that correspond to its three core businesses, that is to say, Aerospace Propulsion, Aircraft Equipment and Defense – Security. Operating worldwide, the Group has nearly 55,000 employees (42,780 employees in Europe). Specifically on the Defence-Security branch, the Safran Group has got two main companies, that is to say, Sagem and Morpho. Within the ‘land’ section of defence, Sagem offers products for soldier modernization, Portable optronics, Drones, Tactical information systems (e.g. digitization kit for infantry combat vehicles), Navigation and guidance for artillery or, finally, Sights/fire control systems. Other relevant enterprises related to the Land armament sector but not belonging to the ELDIG Group include the following ones: Bumar sp. z o.o. (http://www.bumar.com/en/) is a Polish leading supplier and exporter of armaments and military equipment. Bumar is the dominant entity of the state-owned Bumar Group, which consists of 24 manufacturing plus two trading defence sector companies. All the Bumar Group companies are located in Poland, and the group employs a total of over 11,000 people. It was formed in 2002 as a result of the adoption of the Strategy for the Structural Transformation of the Defence Sector Capacity 2002-2005 by the Polish Government, where Bumar sp. z o.o. was appointed as the integrator of the newly formed Bumar Group. The market activities of the Bumar Group are concentrated around four product groups, namely Ammunition (shooting ammunition, artillery and missiles,); Soldier (individual equipment and armament of the soldiers); Electronics and IT (commandment systems, radars, sensors, anticraft and anti-missiles systems); and Land (wheel, caterpillar patforms, military vehicles, tanks, special vehicles, technical backup vehicles, bridges). Bumar also supplies civil industry products. 35 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Chemring Group (http://www.chemring.co.uk) is a UK producer of countermeasures for protecting air, sea and landbased platforms from threats. The company is headquartered in Fareham (UK), with manufacturing locations in USA and Europe (UK, Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Norway and Spain). The Group, structured around 17 companies, had a total revenue in 2010 of £597.1 million. The Group distinguishes 4 divisions, this is, pyrotechnics (safety systems, military training, screening, signalling and illumination applications), counter-IED (vehicle-mounted Ground Penetrating Radar detection systems, advanced technologies in other IED detectors and C-IED Electronic Countermeasures, high reliability detonators, etc.), munitions (energetic materials, components and subsystems), and countermeasures (advanced expendable countermeasures and countermeasure suites for protecting air/sea/land platforms) The Hellenic Vehicle Industy S.A (ELBO S.A) (http://www.elvo.gr) is a Greek vehicle manufacturer based in Thessaloniki. ELVO S.A. manufactures both wheeled and armoured military vehicles that cover all the needs of the Hellenic Armed Forces, as well as Busses and Trucks for the needs of the Civil Market. The production program of ELBO S.A. includes products for military purposes, such as both wheeled and armoured military vehicles, and special purpose vehicles, but it also includes buses and trucks for the needs of the Civil Market. Moreover, ELVO S.A. cooperates with well-known international companies (MERCEDES, OSHKOSH, etc). In 2009, the company had 441 employees. Indra Sistemas, SA (http://www.indracompany.com/en) is a Spanish information technology and defence systems company, with headquarters in Madrid. Indra offers solutions and services for 9 different sectors, including the socalled Security and Defence sectors. The company operates in more than 110 countries and it has offices in 30 countries in Europe, Africa, Middle East, Latin America, United States and Asia-Pacific. Concerning specifically the ‘Security and Defence’ industry, Indra provides products/services related to Security (security technology and solutions for public and private organizations), Command and Control (C4I, C3I and C2I Command, Control, Communications and Intelligence Systems, Battlefield Management System, etc), Electronic Defense (intelligence, surveillance, alert, defence, and countermeasure systems for all types of sea, land and air platforms), Radars (identification Friend or Foe systems), Unmanned Plataforms, CBRN programs (Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear), etc Panhard General Defence (http://www.panhard.fr/) is a French manufacturer of light tactical and military vehicles. Its current incarnation was formed by the acquisition of Panhard by Auverland in 2005 (Auverland purchased Panhard, but the fame of Panhard being greater, it was decided to retain the name). Since January 2006, the activities of the two firms have been combined to form the Panhard General Defense company which enables it to offer a full range of combat and support vehicles. Panhard manufactures a range of 4WD vehicules for civilian and military safety, logistics, and immediate tactical deployment for different purposes such as close support, combat support, close combat, intelligence, and weapons system. Renault Trucks Defence (http://www.renault-trucks-defense.com/) is a French truck manufacturer. Originally part of Renault, it has been owned by Volvo Group since 2001. Renault Trucks Defence division is wholly owned by Renault Trucks and is based in Versailles (France). Renault Trucks Defence designs and manufactures defence vehicles (armoured, tactical and logistic vehicles; strategic high mobility solutions; complete systems (armaments, command posts, NRBC, repairing equipments, etc.); and special equipments upon customers’ requirements). Also, Renault Trucks Defence provides full lifecycle support to these vehicles. Ruag (http://www.ruag.com/en/Group/Group_Home) is a Swiss technology company. RUAG employs around 7,800 employees in total, of which 5,000 are in Switzerland and production facilities in other countries such as (Germany, Austria, Sweden, Hungary and the USA). RUAG Holding AG's sole shareholder is the Swiss Confederation, and it is a strategic partner to the Swiss Armed Forces. RUAG focuses on two market segments: Aerospace (space and aviation) and Defence (security and defence technology). The group turnover is divided evenly between civil and military applications. Within the ‘Defence’ market segment, the “RUAG Defence” division develops and produces heavy weapon systems and armoured vehicles, ballistic protection systems, and mobile command posts. Meanwhile, the “RUAG Ammotec” division specializes in small-calibre ammunition for the military and government agencies, as well as high-quality pyrotechnic products for military and civil markets. Ultra Electronics (http://www.ultra-electronics.com/) is a UK based defence, security, transport and energy company specialised in electronics and structured around three main divisions (Aircraft & Vehicle Systems, Information & Power Systems and Tactical & Sonar Systems) and six main segments. The revenue of the Aircraft & Vehicle division was in 2011 of £166.1m, that gave employment to 1,042 employees. Within the vehicle segment, the company develops defence vehicle electronics including human-machine interface equipment to control remote weapons stations, complete control and interface solutions or local situational awareness and vetronic systems, as well as C4ISTAR systems and equipment 36 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Wojskowe Zakłady Mechaniczne (WZM) (http://wzms.pl/en/) is a leading Polish company which produces miliitary vehicles, primarily for the Polish Army. In 2010, WZMS reported record sales of 650 million zloty. WZMS is the leading company within the Wojskowe Przedsiebiorstwa Remontowo-Produkcyjne (WPRP), a Polish group of 11 state-owned defence Polish companies related to military equipment. With regard to the products manufactured, WZM produces the armoured modular vehicle 8x8 Rosomak, technological tools and instruments, stands of testing, special equipment and devices, and spare parts, as well as repairing and and upgrading activities. 3.4. Main subsectors and products included in sector Following the classification suggested by the European Land Industry Group (ELDIG)32, the European Land armament sector includes nine main segments of activity, that is to say: – Vehicles – Soldier Systems – Sensors for C4I (Command, Control, Communication, Computers and Intelligence) – Weapons and ammunition – Protection equipment and systems – C4I equipment and systems – Logistic and support equipment and services – Simulation and training equipment – Complex and joint systems A brief explanation of each one of these segments is provided next: a) Vehicles Europe has a very strong technological and market position in the vehicles sector, well reflected in existing European capabilities in vehicle technologies and Research & technology (R&T). This activity segment is characterised by the existence of several major manufacturers, spread all around Europe, as well as by a worldwide strong competition due to the relatively lower technological barriers to entry. Relevant European firms in this domain include Krauss-Maffei Wegmann and Rheinmetall in Germany; Nexter, Renault Trucks Defense and Panhard General Defense in France; Patria in Finland; Oto Melara (Finmeccanica Group) and Iveco in Italy; Bumar and Wojskowe Zaklady Mechaniczne (WZM) in Poland; BAE Land Systems in the United Kingdom, ELBO in Greece or the US General Dynamics European Land Systems, headquartered in Spain but with activities in other European countries. European manufacturers are involved in the production of different types of vehicles such as Combat vehicles (i.e. tanks), specific vehicles for combat support (ISTAR33, demining, CBRN34, etc), Multi-role vehicles (adaptable with different variants of weapon or electronic systems) and, finally, Logistic vehicles (used for the transport of goods and troops, and usually based on ruggedised civil vehicles)35. In all these subsegments of activity, European industry remains competitive in international markets. 32 33 34 35 ELDIG is a body of the AeroSpace & Defence industries association of Europe (ASD) ISTAR stands for Intelligence, Surveillance, Target Acquisition, Recognition. CBRN stands for Chemical, Biological, Radiological, Nuclear The costs of all these subsegments of vehicles may range from 200 KEuro to 8 MEuro per vehicle. 37 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective b) Soldier Systems The “Soldier Systems” Industrial Segment manufactures systems or subsystems that equip infantry soldiers. These soldier systems include five main subsegments, that is to say, C4I36 instruments (they provide access to battlefield information and communications between individuals, units and (sub)systems), lethality instruments (basically weapons, sighting systems and associated accessories), mobility instruments (e.g. navigational aids help inform soldiers of where they and their comrades and/or enemies are in the battle space), survivability instruments (e.g. protective clothing for different attacks, body armours, etc) and, finally, sustainability instruments (e.g. instruments that maintain a soldier's fighting capability for as long as possible such as novel power sources or weapon sights). European manufacturers remain competitive in this segment due to continuous R&T and innovation efforts in the five areas described before, although strong competition exists worldwide due to relatively lower technological barriers of entry. In Europe, there are several on-going soldier modernisation programmes. A good example of this type of systems is given by the Warrior21® program developed by CASSIDIAN or the French FELIN soldier modernization program developed by Sagem (in partnership with EADS, Sagem has also been selected for the Swiss soldier modernization program IMESS). c) Sensors for C4I (Command, Control, Communication, Computers and Intelligence) This industrial segment is mainly engaged with the manufacturing of sensors that provide the military user with information for different purposes (e.g. protection, surveillance, detection, recognition, identification, intelligence, firing, etc), including instruments to make this basic information easily understandable). There are two main technologies within the sector, this is, Radio Frequency sensors (including radars) and optronics. The technologies are usually shared between air, naval and land sectors but customised to specificities, where these technologies have also important applications in the civil domain. The sector is primarily dominated by large companies operating at European level (most of the large land defence sensor providers are also system providers), although there are also small and medium enterprises (SMEs) working on high technology-level niche markets. d) Weapons and ammunition This industrial segment is specialised in the development and production of sub-systems and/or components to be integrated on various platforms or as stand alone weapons and ammunition products. The sector as a whole is very varied and spans across families of small, medium and large calibre ammunition and systems as well as hand arms, grenades, pyrotechnics and demilitarisation of obsolete munitions or, finally, missiles (MBDA as the integrated European land missile company). In Europe there are approximately 10 main enterprises active in the weapons and ammunition sector (i.e. BAE Systems, Chemring Group, GDELS, Krauss-Maffei Wegmann, Nexter, Diehl Defence, Otomelara, Patria, Beretta, Heckler&Koch, FN Herstal, Walther, etc), usually in both domains and with a high technological level. There is a fierce international competition level amongst small calibres producers (usually considered as a commodity that many, but not all, EU Member States procure worldwide), whereas competition is relatively lower in the remaining product portfolio. Just to give some examples, there is international competition in land missile sector coming from USA and Israel, whereas in the large calibre (≥ 90mm) sector, all guns for both direct and indirect fire in land and naval applications are of European origin37. Intelligent ammunition is a rapidly developing sector and at the moment it is the only sector in which the USA is strongly competitive versus Europe. C4I stands for Command, Control, Communications, Computers and Intelligence. Calibres in this group are set to a large extent by international agreements which impose stringent restrictions on the design. 36 37 38 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective e) Protection equipment and systems This industrial segment is primarily focused on the development and production of materials and systems for protecting (in a wide sense) personnel and/or equipments (vehicles, materials, buildings and camps, etc) from very different threats such as bullets, fragments, IED/EODs38, CBRN, etc) and related to different methods (jammers, electronic warfare, pyrotechnics, decoys, stealth technologies, etc). The European segment is composed of many SMEs specialised in niche segments (i.e. IABG, GEKE Technologie, FAUN GmbH, Kärcher Futuretech GmbH ), although there are also several large companies in the segment (i.e. Nexter, Diehl Defence, Otomalera, etc). This segment is characterised by a medium/high level of competition in Europe, depending on different areas and products, where many products and applications of this segment can be also used in for civil purposes. f) C4I equipment and systems There a few European companies active in this field, where these companies usually operate in the “complex and joint systems” industrial segment to be later described. This sector can be described as very technology-based sector and it is primarily concerned with combat system networks and obtaining information superiority in the battle ground. Examples of enterprises involved in this segment include Thales, Saab, Selex Sistemi Integrati (Finmeccanica Group) or Ultra Electronics. g) Logistic and support equipment and services This industrial segment provides support services focused on defence related equipment (i.e. maintenance and support activity, other services, etc). This segment has got a strong dual orientation towards both civil and military markets. Interestingly, European national authorities are increasingly open to outsourcing some of the classical logistic and service activities (i.e. transport, health and medicine, fuel and catering, etc)39, whereas in the UK and USA it is a relatively common practice to outsource these activities through Public Private Partnerships40. Meanwhile, contractors are currently made responsible both for the supply of the equipment and its maintenance throughout its operational life repairing and maintenance activities, usually for cost reasons41. A good example of this is given by the German company Heeresinstandsetzungslogistik GmbH (HIL). In France, available data suggest that outsourcing expenses have increased from 592 million euros in 2001 to 1,695 million euros in 2008 (Cour des Comptes, 2010). Competition in Europe is low because maintenance, repair and engineering services are restricted to the companies that have produced the equipment (i.e. Krauss-Maffei Wegmann, Diehl, Patria, etc), so the industry is mainly segmented. Finally, there are important business opportunities linked to the modernization and increasing the sustainability and product life of the existing weapons systems and vehicles in use (TEDAE, 2010). IED/EOD stands for Improvised Explosive Devices/ Explosive Ordnance Disposal In France, outsourcing expenses have increased from €592 million in 2001 to €1.695 million in 2008 (Cour des Comptes, 2010). 40 In the UK there are a number of very important enterprises and groups specialised in the provision of specialised defence-related services such as Serco Group (http://www.serco.com/) or Babcock International Group (http://www.babcock.co.uk/). 41 For instance, and increasingly enough, manufacturers’ maintenance human teams are shifted to the operation scenarios (i.e. Afghanistan, Balkans, etc) in order to take care and keep the existing equipments operative and in good order. 38 39 39 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Table 3.7. The German Heeresinstandsetzungslogistik GmbH (HIL) company The German Heeresinstandsetzungslogistik GmbH (HIL) company was born in February 2005 to meet the requirements of maintenance of the Bundeswehr machines, at least for the following eight years. It is a collaboration between the federal government, that holds 49% of the shares, and the HIL Industrieholding GmbH, that holds 51% of the shares. The HIL Industrieholding GmbH is in equal possession of Industriewerke Saar (IWS), a company of the group VA-System of the Diehl Stiftung & Co. KG, Rheinmetall Landsysteme (RLS) and KraussMaffei Wegmann (KMW). In any case, it is important to stress that this company is currently under question by the German Federal Government, so it is not clear its future viability in the coming years. Source: Küchle, 2007 h) Simulation and training equipment This industrial segment is composed of several European companies that are capable of providing simulation and training military systems that reproduce military situations or military equipment to prepare soldiers for their behaviour in certain situations or the use of armament/vehicle systems. This industrial segment is characterised by a high level of competition but coupled also with some cooperation amongst manufacturers. Dual use products are present in this sector. Examples of companies involved in this industrial segment include, for instance, large manufacturers such as Nexter or Diehl Defence or small very specialised niche market SMEs (i.e. Antycip Simulation). i) Complex and joint systems A complex and joint system (i.e. a System of System (SoS)) can be defined as a set of systems characterised by several traits such as being cooperative (main objective is a coherent global working), autonomous (every system is designed to work alone), geographically distributed (not physically linked), asynchronous mode of development (existing, improved, designed systems) and, finally, generating an emergent behaviour (new functions created due to cooperation). A SoS obviously includes the eight other segments described before. In Europe there are a few companies which already operate using the SoS approach, since these companies have to master industrial alliance, transverse management, parallel programmes, R&T, prototyping, development and experimentation, Battle Labs for testing and evaluation. This sector is very technology intensive. 3.5. Main qualitative characteristics of the European land armament sector Generally speaking, the EU Land armament sector is characterised by a number of traits that can be summarised around the following main points: Table 3.8 • • • • • • • • • Main qualitative characteristics of the European Land Armament sector Specialisation of the most relevant enterprises in defence-related activities. Fragmented production capacities in the EU Land armament sector. Positive profit levels of the Land armament enterprises. Key role of internationalisation and external trade activities of the European Land armament sector to overcome small national markets. Increasing concentration of the European Land armament industry in the last twenty years. An increasing trend towards cooperation activities amongst European Land armament enterprises. A whole restructuring process of the Eastern European Land armament Industry since the nineties and linked to the dissolution of the Warsaw Treaty. The particular ownership structure of the Land armament sector in some EU Member States The high dependence of certain regions on Land armament activities. 40 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective 3.5.1. Specialisation of main sector enterprises in defence-related activities One of the main characteristics of the defence industries in general relates to the fact that, often, they actually produce dual use goods and technologies, i.e. products and technologies which have both defence and civilian related applications (TNO, 2009), though sometimes this potential use can be limited by confidentiality restrictions or by being too expensive for the open market. In this sense, European land armament enterprises seem to be much more oriented towards defence-related activities exclusively. Taking as a reference the 17 main European Land armament firms/groups in year 2010, the largest majority of them obtained more than 80% of their total sales from defence-related activities (that is to say, 11 enterprises/groups), where in two cases (i.e Nexter and MBDA) all their sales came from arm-related activities. By way of contrast, only in four cases (EADS, Safran, RUAG and Indra), arms-related sales represented less than 50% of the total sales. Only some concrete enterprises (i.e. Krauss-Maffei Wegmann, Nexter, Chemring Group) have a particular specialisation in specific Land armament related activities (armoured vehicles, artillery, ammunition, weapons), whereas other enterprises tend to combine these Land armament activities with other defence-related activities (i.e. aeronautics and space, electronics, services, missiles, etc). Finally, SMEs integrated in the supply chains of main prime Land defence contractors usually have a smaller specialisation in defence-related activities. Table 3.9 Percentage of total sales obtained from arm sales amongst the main European Land armament firms/groups, 2010 More than 80% BAE Systems MBDA Saab Navantia Krauss-Maffei Wegmann 50-80% Finmeccanica Thales Rheinmetall Diehl Less than 50% EADS (including Cassidian) Safran RUAG Indra Nexter Chemring Group Ultra Electronics Patria Source: SIPRI YearBook 2011 3.5.2. Fragmented production capacities Despite the existing consolidation efforts amongst the EU Land armament manufacturers, the sector is still characterised by the presence of nationally based prime land system integrators. This situation is explained by several reasons such as the desire of national Member States to keep national sovereignty and autonomy in defence-related issues or the relatively lower entry costs, lower development costs and larger production runs in comparison to other defence-related sectors (i.e. aerospace and/or naval). This situation results in fragmented production capacities in the land armament sector amongst a large number of EU countries as well as the presence of a relatively large number of small national manufacturers, especially in comparison to the US main Land armament counterpart firms (i.e. General Dynamics, SAIC, Oshkosh Truck, Alliant Techsystems). Thus, and compared to the USA Land armament sector, the EU has ‘too many’ smaller nationally based prime integrators producing the same type of products (TNO, 2009; Hartley, 2011)42. For instance, in Europe there are 6 and 12 manufacturers of 8X8 and 4X4 Armoured Infantry Fighting Vehicles (AFVs), respectively. Also, and in comparison with the USA, there are five manufacturers of main battle tanks in comparison to one in the USA, there are up to sixteen European manufacturers of Armoured Infantry Fighting Vehicles 42 This importance of the national element within enterprises has been stressed by several interviewed experts. 41 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective (AFVs) in comparison to three in the USA or, finally, there are five manufacturers of 155mm howitzers in comparison to one in the USA. A similar result is shown by a recent study carried out by the EDA on the Precision Guided Ammunition (PGA) sector, which shows that there are several PGA products and ongoing development programs within the EU, where these capabilities are dispersed around various EU Member States43. Interestingly also, the EU firms produce an average of four arms products compared with the US average of two arms products, and US large Land armament enterprises have larger arm sales than their EU counterparts. As a result, the US firms are achieving greater economies of scale (larger output over fewer products). This persisting lack of Europeanization of the industry (combined with a limited cooperation at EU level between enterprises) results in a number of undesired side effects from an aggregated European perspective in terms of unnecessary duplication of products, production structures and research and development efforts, shorter production runs (partially compensated by export activities), excess capacity as well as a lack of standardisation of military equipments (in the sense that each manufacturer pursues its own technology lines). Obviously enough, all these elements result in avoidable additional costs for the manufacturers, especially in comparison to the US Land armament industry (Hartley, 2011). The continued commitment of national governments44 to retain an independent industrial and technological capability in the Land armament industry is often suggested as one of the main reasons behind this presence of fragmented production capacities. However, it is important to recognise that some EU Member States (e.g. Sweden, Germany, United Kingdom) are moving from a biased sourcing strategy towards a more open and competitive procurement strategy seeking less ‘tailored’ products with specifications set from the start and with less/no bias towards national sourcing. For more information see http://www.eda.europa.eu/news/12-0307/roadmap_and_implementation_plan_on_precision_guided_ammunition 44 This situation is even exacerbated by the existing public ownership of several key Land defence manufacturers in several EU Member States (see a next section on this issue) 43 42 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Table 3.10. National Defence Industrial Strategies of the three big defence markets (UK, France and Germany) According to the existing national strategy papers (the 2006 German Defence White Paper, the 2012 British Government’s White Paper National Security Through Technology or the 2008 French White Paper on Defence and National Security), all the three countries stress their will to keep their strong and leading position in their key defence industry sectors and technologies. Thus, France and UK explicitly state in their defence white papers to nationally retain certain key technologies (i.e. nuclear arms, ammunition), and exclude them from foreign competition, where Germany’s defence industry policy puts emphasis on maintaining a national industrial base. At the same time all countries mention that in certain areas where specific capabilities cannot be mastered on the national level, procurement policies must also include the options for more openness and cooperation at European level. However, the existing financial and public budgetary constraints are putting this model under added pressure. Thus, a recent statement given by the German Minister of Defence last 27th May 2012 opens the possibility to purchase products from foreign manufacturers under the conditions that these systems are of high quality, available on the market within a short time period and are less expensive than German products. Also, the British government is adopting an open procurement principle as the chosen method for maximising value for money (VFM), in the sense that British companies will no longer have priority for MoD/government contracts, stressing the purchasing of “off-the-shelf” equipment and open procurement methods seeking less ‘tailored’ products with specifications set from the start and with less/no bias towards UK sourcing. Interestingly also, the UK Armoured Fighting Vehicles (AFV) Sector Strategy presented in 2009 suggests that the UK will operate as an ‘intelligent’ customer in the global AFV market, especially within the EU and NATO. In other words, it accepted that it was not necessary to retain industrial capabilities in the UK in order to achieve appropriate operational sovereignty. Also, the AFV strategy suggests that there is no absolute requirement to manufacture all of the constituent parts of an AFV in the UK, although it recognised the need to retain an onshore (UK) capability to i) understand and manage the structural integrity of the vehicles and ii) to repair and regenerate battle damaged or operationally time-expired vehicles. This has clear implications for the remaining manufacturing base in the UK which has been on a declining path for some time. Finally, France has become slightly more liberal, but access to the home market remains quite closed throughout the supply chain. Source: TNO, 2009 and national contributions. A good example of this is given by the recent awarding by the British MoD of the first phase of a £4bn contract to build the British Army’s next generation of tanks (Future Rapid Effect System/FRES) to the UK subsidiary of the US company General Dynamics. As a result, BAE Systems announced the closure of its Leicester and Leeds sites, while it was also thought that this development threatened the future of the firm's factory in Newcastle, involving the possible further loss of 600 jobs. General Dynamics UK Limited won the contract for an initial order of 580 vehicles on the proviso that 80% of the manufacture will be completed in the UK, with 70 per cent of the supply chain made up of UK-based companies. This contract is expected to create 200 new jobs at the company's plant in Newbridge, South Wales, while a further 250 existing jobs will also be safeguarded there. 3.5.3. Positive profit levels of the ent enterprises The main European enterprises/groups involved in Land armament activities have shown in the period 2008-2010 mostly positive profitable results. Thus, just focusing on the 2010 results, all the identified enterprises showed positive results, being the only exception to this the case of the Spanish Navantia. The existence of several public contracts still running in time, together with a good export behaviour of enterprises, explain this positive recent economic evolution and the availability of (still) full order books. However, it is not clear the evolution of this indicator in the coming years, due to the current economic crisis situation and the cuts in public expenditure expenses45. In September 2011, BAE Systems began consultation with unions and workers over plans to cut nearly 3,000 jobs, mostly in the company's military aircraft division 45 43 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Table 3.11 Total profits of main European Land armament firms/groups, 2008-2010 (US$ m)) Company BAE Systems EADS (including Cassidian) Finmeccanica Thales Safran MBDA Saab Rheinmetall Navantia Krauss-Maffei Wegmann Nexter Diehl Chemring Group Ultra Electronics RUAG Indra Patria 2008 3,250 2,302 996 952 375 206 -37 198 -82 … 145 21 76 3 47 266 3 2009 -70 -1,060 997 178 522 330 91 -72 -115 211 196 30 109 122 -98 272 24 2010 1,966 732 738 60 673 219 63 230 -61 391 217 29 103 102 88 249 5 Source: SIPRI, the arms industry database, several years 3.5.4. Key role of internationalisation and external trade activities Existing excess capacities beyond domestic demand make the large industrial players in the EU Land armament sector particularly dependent on export activities so to achieve viable economic output scales and longer production runs that compensate the limited size of national markets46. In this regard, the European Land armament sector has a number of important export success stories, for instance, the German Leopard tank or the sales of Thales communications and optronics products to the Middle East and AsiaPacific region. Public governments strongly support these export activities as a way of offsetting the fall in domestic demand. The analysis of existing foreign trade data confirms this heavy reliance of European manufacturers on international markets. Thus, and according to data available for the period 2005-2010 on exports and imports of armoured vehicles, artillery and total arms in general by country and provided by SIPRI (Stockholm international Peace Research Institute)47, the total exports of armoured vehicles and artillery together of the EU-27 countries reached a value of 7,941 million US$ in this time period, whereas imports had a value of 4,501 million US$, resulting into a positive trade balance of 3,440 million US$. Both EU-15 and EU-12 country groups show a positive trade balance in armoured vehicles and artillery products. Concerning the trade balance for the total of arms (which also includes other products such as aircraft, air defence systems, ships, engines, sensors, etc), it can be observed that the result for the EU-15 is positive in comparison to a negative result for the EU-12. For example, it is estimated that 55,000 of UK-based jobs are sustained solely on the strength of defence exports (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/industry/defence/8244152/UK-defence-industry-in-numbers.html). 47 SIPRI (Stockholm international Peace Research Institute) http://www.sipri.org 46 44 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Table 3.12 Arms trade in the EU-27. Exports, Imports and Trade Balance by country. Total for the period 2005-2010 (US$ Million) Exports Armoured Vehicles Trade balance (exports- imports) Imports Total Arms Armoured Vehicles Artillery Total Arms Armoured Vehicles 715 96 198 54 15,113 n.a. 5 36 3,661 10,492 3,518 n.a. n.a. n.a. 0 88 n.a. 4,674 239 598 133 46 n.a. 33 295 2,978 5,970 121 5 20 142 55 11 8 1,545 1,052 13 25 0 3 12 8 7 0 237 10 135 125 31 16 1 88 31 306 0 0 0 0 3 9 3 123 3 11 160 12 0 3 0 0 0 141 0 0 1 3 1 0 21 0 0 511 488 790 583 1,008 124 55 5,328 1,926 336 1,426 58 138 196 10 508 18 949 884 2,423 1,958 876 87 18 607 391 2,544 32 60 36 -142 3,869 n.a. -8 -1,509 -1,047 100 231 n.a. n.a. n.a. -8 81 n.a. 78 92 406 -125 -29 n.a. -1 62 496 -255 17 11 15 0 410 n.a. -3 -123 12 77 21 n.a. n.a. n.a. 0 0 n.a. -122 0 0 -1 -2 n.a. 15 -14 27 748 204 -392 -592 -529 14,105 n.a. -50 -5,292 1,735 10,156 2,092 n.a. n.a. n.a. -10 -420 n.a. 3,725 -645 -1,825 -1,825 -830 n.a. 15 -312 2,587 3,426 1515 47,883 3,766 466 18,516 1,866 42 1,059 241 28 5,724 511 1,557 48,942 4,007 494 24,240 2,377 Source: SIPRI Arms Transfers Database. http://armstrade.sipri.org/armstrade/page/values.php 1,049 14 1,063 29,367 -4,665 24,702 Belgium Bulgaria Czech Republic Denmark Germany Estonia Ireland Greece Spain France Italy Cyprus Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Hungary Malta Netherlands Austria Poland Portugal Romania Slovenia Slovakia Finland Sweden United Kingdom 153 65 56 0 3,924 n.a. 0 36 5 113 256 n.a. n.a. n.a. 0 88 n.a. 315 102 541 0 2 n.a. 0 150 527 51 Total EU-15 Total EU- 12 Total EU-27 5,632 752 6,384 Artillery 17 11 15 0 413 n.a. 0 0 15 88 181 n.a. n.a. n.a. 0 0 n.a. 19 0 0 0 1 n.a. 15 7 27 748 Artillery Total Arms Figures are SIPRI Trend Indicator Values (TIVs) expressed in US$ m. at constant (1990) prices. Figures may not add up due to the conventions of rounding. Exports and Trade Balance Data for EU-12 and EU-27 do not include Estonia, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta or Slovenia. With regard to data by country, the member States with the largest national markets also have the best exporting performance. Thus, Germany is the best performer, followed by countries such as Sweden, Poland, Italy or France, all of them with positive trade balances and good cover ratios for the 2005-2010 period). On the contrary, Ireland, Greece, Portugal, Spain or Romania are characterised by negative trade balances. Likewise, it is interesting to comment on the United Kingdom, with a negative trade balance concerning armoured vehicles but very well positioned concerning the artillery subsector. Alternatively, Poland, Austria or Finland have a good trade balance concerning armoured vehicles, but have no external trade registered for artillery products (Poland and Austria) or a negative one (i.e. Finland). It is interesting also to stress the key role that extra-EU markets play for the EU Land armament sector as a whole. Just to give the French example, France exports approximately a 51% of its land armament production to Asia, 22% within Europe and 12% in the Middle East, whereas the remaining percentage (approximately a 16%) is sold in France48. In this regard, data provided by Eurostat shows that, for the whole of the 48 Data obtained from the national French report. 45 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective EU-27, the extra-EU trade balance for the arms and ammunition sector has always been positive since 2001, with a high cover ratio (exports over imports). In this regard, it can be said that the EU-27 is selfsufficient regarding arms and ammunition provision, with a large part of the production being sold out of Europe. Main non-EU markets for the European sector include the South East Asia, India, Middle East countries, South America (especially Brasil), Australia or South Africa. To give some examples, the Polish Bumar group has recently signed in January 2012 a contract for the supply of 204 WZT-3 vehicles to India for a total value of 275 Million USD, where this contract has been one of the largest one in the Polish land defence industry for many years (Likowski, 2012). Meanwhile, Nexter has decided to establish a subsidiary in the key market of India (Nexter India), in 2012 in order to deepen the cooperation with local authorities and companies. In the case of the German Rheinmetall company, approximately one-third of the turnover goes to the German market (German army), one-third goes to European exports and one-third to non European countries. Table 3.13 EU-27 Extra Community Trade of Arms and Ammunition (891 SITC Code). 2001-2010 (Eur Million) Export 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1,450.3 1,503.2 1,196.4 1,319.7 1,472.5 1,534.0 1,658.9 1,826.6 2,126.4 1,850.4 Import 770.3 1,364.0 934.3 533.9 335.7 384.4 913.2 906.7 932.5 1,186.3 Trade Balance 679.9 139.2 262.1 785.8 1,136.8 1,149.6 745.7 919.9 1,193.9 664.0 Cover ratio % 188.3 110.2 128.1 247.2 438.7 399.1 181.7 201.5 228.0 156.0 Source: Eurostat (Comext). Statistics on External Trade. http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/external_trade/data/database 891 SITC Code includes: Armoured fighting vehicles and arms of war; Bombs, grenades, torpedoes, mines, missiles and similar munitions of war, and parts thereof; cartridges and other ammunition and projectiles, and parts thereof, including shot and cartridge wads; Non-military arms; Parts and accessories of articles of headings 891.12, 891.14 and subgroup 891.3. Not surprisingly, some EU Member States national authorities have developed very active support measures to help national defence exporters in general and land armament exporters in particular to win business overseas. Relevant examples include, for instance, the UK Trade and Investment Defence and Security Organisation (UKTI DSO)49, the Swedish ‘Försvarsexportmyndigheten’ (FXM)50 or the French ‘Direction Générale de l'Armement’ (DGA)51. In the case of Germany, every export of defence products is subject to supervision by a political committee52. By way of contrast, the Polish and Spanish national reports stress the need to improve the existing public support tools for promoting exporting activities of the national Land armament sectors. In this regard, Spanish public authorities have recently approved a new mechanism to support defence exports, according to the ‘Royal Decree on the Liberalization of Commerce and Particular Services’, of May 2012. More precisely, the legislation has been adapted so that the MoD can work as an intermediary in procurement programmes between foreign countries (buyers) and Spanish companies (providers). For more information see http://www.ukti.gov.uk/es_es/defencesecurity.html?guid=none For more information see: http://fxm.se/en/ 51 For more information see: http://www.defense.gouv.fr/dga/international2/exportations. Also, and since 2008, the interministerial Commission to Support International Contracts (Commission interministérielle d'appui aux contrats internationaux, CIACI) has been created. 52 If there is a non-democratic government or the possibility of human rights abuse in the importing country or region, it is likely that the political committee will not approve the export 49 50 46 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective In any case, this strong competitive position in international markets is currently challenged by a number of elements: First of all, the export market in Land armament products is getting more and more competitive both at home and abroad markets, with new emerging countries (i.e. India, Brazil, South Korea) specialised in less expensive products in addition to traditional ones (i.e. the USA, Russia or Israel). Second, military products are often “political” products, in the sense that export strategies are largely dependant on political decision-making, which adds an important risk element in export strategies. For instance, the recent developments in Arab countries, one of the strong weapon importing regions in the world, illustrates how volatile export strategies can be. Also, European defence export agreements outside the EU are usually subject to offsets agreements, very often including transfers of technology and Intellectual property rights, where this situation is less the case for the American manufacturers53. These agreements imply a medium/large term risk for the European companies due to the upgrading effects in competitors, at least for those countries with some industrial capabilities (i.e. India, etc). Some of the leading enterprises within the European Land armament sector are starting to develop new business models that allow them to work effectively across national borders. For instance, they are making acquisitions in other non-European markets, they are establishing production & research centres in other countries inside and outside EU or they are entering into alliances and partnerships with other non-European Land armament companies in order to have access to these foreign markets (Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, 2008), specially as far as the difficult but highly attractive US market54 or other attractive markets (i.e. Brasil55). The best example in this regard is probably the UK based multinational BAE Systems, who has got a clear strategy of expanding and developing its global land systems business (in fact, BAE Systems is currently one of the largest contractor of the US Department of Defence and its Land and Armaments division is currently headquartered in the United States). An open question refers to the future effects of all these developments in the European employment56. This situation is probably explained by the incentives of enterprise to export and the size of the home market In the particular US defence market case, existing trade arrangements (i.e. the US “Buy American Act”) make entry into this market (the largest of the world) very difficult for foreign firms in general and for European firms in particular. Thus, Americans only import around 2% of their defence needs from abroad (half from Europe), whereas Europe purchases about 12% of the defence materials it needs from the USA (including GPS-related products). Also, the existing International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR) regulations control the export and import of US defence-related articles and services abroad. 55 Just to give an example, Iveco has recently signed an agreement with the Brazilian government to produce a new platform of VBTP-MR. Interestingly, the Brazilian government wants the transfer not only of the products, but also of the production process and of the technology. 56 For example, and according to recent media reports, BAE Systems is considering moving more of its defence equipment business overseas as it attempts to offset extensive cuts in defence spending in both the UK and the US, its two main markets (see Daily Telegraph, (2012). BAE Systems may shift Expertise overseas, 12/2/2012, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/defence/9077806/BAE-Systems-may-shift-expertise-overseas.html) 53 54 47 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Table 3.14 The example of BAE Systems BAE Systems acquired in 2005 the US United Defence Industries (UDI) company (the largest acquisition of a US defence company by a non-US buyer for a value of $4,192 million)57. Subsequently in time, the group expanded with the acquisition of the US company Armor Holdings in 2007, a manufacturer of tactical wheeled vehicles and a provider of vehicle and individual armour systems and survivability technologies. Meanwhile, and in 2008, BAE Systems acquired Tenix Defence, a major Australian defence contractor, and making BAE Systems Australia the country's largest defence contractor. In 2010, BAE Systems and the Indian company Mahindra & Mahindra Limited did launch a joint venture (the so-called Defence Land Systems India Private Limited) intended to produce several combat vehicles specially adapted to the Indian conditions Source: http://www.baesystems.com/ 3.5.5. Finally, the current difficulties in public spending and reduction in government contracts are posing an additional difficulty for Land armament manufacturers to sell abroad, in the sense that foreign states want to see that European manufacturers and their products are trusted by their domestic government (reference customer) before they buy them. Process of concentration of the sector in the last twenty years The European Land armament sector large enterprises are identifying important incentives either to consolidate in larger groups or collaborate with each other. In this regard, the experience in the last two decades shows a non-stopping process of enterprise concentration and consolidation around larger groups since mid 1990s onwards, both within and across borders and amongst large enterprises and SMEs. This process has resulted in the emergence of several large European defence contractors, both at national level (i.e. BAE Systems, Thales, Krauss-Maffei Wegmann) or at EU level (i.e MBDA) and intended to successfully achieve economies of scale so to cope with the new requirements of the industry. It is possible to identify several factors behind this consolidation processes such as reduced public budgets due to the ending of the Cold War; rapidly rising production costs of defence equipment and systems and the increasing R&D and innovation costs; growing world competition from other European and nonEuropean manufacturers; need to upgrade and consolidate leading products in the world market; low profit margins; changes in national defence requirements and priorities, etc. Meanwhile, and in the case of suppliers, the need to have a minimum size to fulfil the increasing requirements derived from prime contractors has implied an additional stimulus towards concentration efforts (BIPE, 2007; Europe Economics, 2009; Hartley, 2011). Examples of relevant past concentration efforts are presented next: In the United Kingdom, and since mid nineties, the UK land sector has been reduced from five prime contractors (Alvis; GKN Defence; Vickers Defence; Royal Ordnance Factories; United Defence Industries (UDI)) to one prime, namely, BAE Systems Land and Armaments, so to become the dominant UK defence company with a monopoly in certain sectors including armoured vehicles58. Meanwhile, BAE retains sizeable interests in Sweden through its interests in the armoured vehicle maker Hägglunds& Söner and the artillery producer AB Bofors, both acquired before the 2000s and now part of BAE Systems. In September 2000 United Defense Industries (UDI) purchased Bofors Weapon Systems from Saab (the tube artillery interests), while Saab retained the missile interests. In 2005 BAE Systems purchased UDI and re-organised all its land systems businesses into BAE Systems Land and Armaments. As part of acquisition Bofors Defence was renamed BAE Systems Bofors. 58 It is interesting to stress also that in 1997 the British company Alvis plc acquired the Swedish Hägglunds Vehicle AB company to form Alvis Hägglunds AB. Alvis expanded its military vehicle business in 1998 with the purchase of GKN's armoured vehicle division in 1998 and Vickers Defence in 2002 to form Alvis Vickers. In 2004 BAE Systems acquired Alvis Vickers and merged it with its RO Defence ordnance division to form BAE Systems Land Systems. 57 48 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective In 1999, the defence activities of Krauss-Maffei AG and the Wegmann & Co. GmbH joined under the roof of Krauss-Maffei Wegmann GmbH & Co KG59. In 2000, Saab acquired the defence group Celsius. By acquiring Celsius, Saab brought a large part of Swedish defence industry history together and created Scandinavia’s dominant company in the field. Meanwhile, and in 2006, Saab acquired Ericsson Microwave Systems, which further strengthened Saabs’ position as one of the major companies in the Swedish Land armament sector In 2001, Renault V.I. joined the Volvo Group, becoming a business area within the Volvo Group and renamed Renault Trucks (Renault Trucks Defense is a division of Renault Trucks). Panhard General Defence’s current incarnation was formed by the acquisition of Panhard by Auverland in 2005 (Auverland purchased Panhard, but the fame of Panhard being greater, it was decided to retain the name). MBDA, the leading European missile developer and manufacturer was formed by a merger of Aérospatiale-Matra Missiles (of EADS), Finmeccanica and Matra BAe Dynamics in 2001. Subsequently in time, the German missile LFK (Lenkflugkörpersysteme GmbH) company (an EADS subsidiary) joined MBDA in 2006. Graph 3.3 MBDA historical process of formation Source: http://www.mbda-systems.com/about-mbda/mbda-at-a-glance/european-missile-industry/ In other cases, large manufacturers acquire smaller but highly specialised niche market EU and non-EU companies so to have access to new emerging key technologies and products. Examples include, for instance: BAE Systems has recently expanded its intelligence and security business with the purchases of the UK Detica Group in 2008 and the Danish cyber and intelligence company ETI 2011. Renault Trucks wholly acquired in 2006 Acmat (Ateliers de Construction Mécanique de L'Atlantique), manufacturer of all terrain military vehicles since 1948. The German company Rheinmetall seems particularly active in acquisition activities with other enterprises. To give some recent examples, in 2007 acquired a 51% majority of Chempro and majority stake in ADS Gesellschaft für Aktive Schutzsysteme, where the participation in this company has even further increased up to 74% in 2011. Meanwhile, The Wegmann Group did acquire in 2010 the 49% stake of Siemens in Krauss-Maffei Wegmann GmbH & Co. KG (KMW) from Siemens AG. Accordingly, Wegmann is currently the sole shareholder of KMW. 59 49 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective and in 2008, Rheinmetall Defence took over Dutch vehicle maker Stork PWV B.V. from its parent company Stork N.V. of Amsterdam. Also in the same year, Rheinmetall took over Norway's Simrad Optronics ASA, specialised in components for remote control weapon stations, electro-optical devices and weapon system upgrades for a global client base. Finally, and in 2011, Rheinmetall has increased its stake in Verseidag Ballistic Protection GmbH60 so to have a full control of the company. Thales acquired in 2006 the Australian Defence Industries, a major manufacturer of military equipment such as smokeless gunpowder and the Bushmaster IMV. In 2008, Finmeccanica purchased the US defence contractor DRS Technologies. In 2010, Cassidian has acquired the UK-based Regency IT Consulting, strengthening its cyber-security capabilities. In 2012, Krauss-Maffei Wegmann GmbH & Co has taken over WFEL Ltd, based in Stockport (Cheshire, United Kingdom) and specialised in mobile bridging systems in both military and civil applications. Obviously enough, these concentration strategies are different accordingly to enterprises. Thus, BAE has made many large acquisitions in the US, Europe and other countries (i.e. Australia) in the last decade, so to become one of the largest world actors in the sector, while at the same time has sold –off its non-defence production (i.e. Rover car company) so to concentrate on the defence sector in general. Meanwhile, Thales’ business has primarily grown through acquiring medium-sized companies and by expanding business through joint ventures, whereas Finmeccanica focuses on a strategy based on organic growth combined with international expansion activities, albeit several acquisitions. It should not be forgotten also that non EU Land armament companies are also acquiring European enterprises, in part to facilitate growing their share of the EU procurement market. The best example is given by the US company General Dynamics, which did acquire in the late nineties several technologically outstanding companies of the ground weapons and equipment industry so to create General Dynamics European Land Systems (GDELS), currently comprising four entities (GDELS - Germany, GDELS - Mowag, GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas and GDELS-Steyr) that were unified as a single business unit under one European parent company in 2003. Also, and in the field of cyber security and intelligence service companies, some US companies have acquired several EU enterprises (SIPRI, 2011). Finally, there are also a number of examples of concentration attempts that have not been reached. Thus, in 2009 there was an important debate in 2009 about a possible consolidation of the three main French manufacturers of Land armament vehicles, that is to say, Renault Trucks Defense, Nexter and Panhard. Also, there is an on-going discussion related to the introduction of Thales in the capital of Nexter. Meanwhile, the Finnish manufacturer Patria has shown in 2011 an interest in buying the Polish WZM company, representing the biggest privatization in the history of Poland’s defence industry. However, this possibility was not backed up by Bumar, the largest defence holding in Poland. 3.5.6. Restructuring processes of the sector in Eastern Europe The Eastern European defence industries in general and the Land armament sector in particular has experienced a dramatic restructuring effort since the early nineties onwards (BIPE, 2007; Europe Economics, 2009). In this regard, and before 1990, Eastern European Land armament industries were part of the military strategy of the Warsaw Treaty, so the location of production and tasks of the individual countries and enterprises were defined in the frame of the Warsaw Treaty’s military strategy, resulting in a high level of country specialisation in the production of products and systems and very often based on political reasons rather than economic or market factors. 60 The company now has been renamed Rheinmetall Verseidag Ballistic Protection GmbH. 50 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective This situation did dramatically change after the early nineties with the collapse of the Warsaw Treaty and the whole Soviet Union and the subsequent integration of these countries within NATO and the European Union. Indeed, these changes resulted in a situation where production capacities were by far too large for the diminished needs of the respective national defence structures, where this situation was reinforced by shrinking defence budgets, massive loss of orders and lack of competitiveness of most of the EU-12 Land armament industrial base and products. All these elements did result in an urgent need for restructuring of the EU12 Land armament industry. As a response to this situation, state authorities did take a number of measures, including the liquidation of several enterprises, privatization of the industry and reconversion to civilian production or state subsides for keeping the defence supplier-base in existence. Of course, this situation has led to important decreases in production, massive lay-offs of the manpower and, subsequently, to social problems. Just to give some figures, the Polish enterprises currently owned by the Bumar Group employed approximately 100,000 persons in the early 1990s, whereas currently they employ around 11,000 persons. Some countries have also adopted in recent years a very active industrial policy in the field. The best example is given by the Polish authorities who, following the adoption of the “Strategy for Structural Transformation of the Defence Sector Capacity 2002-2005”, developed a restructuring plan based on the creation of a large national holding around the newly formed Bumar Group. This strong industrial policy orientation has been recently reinforced with the publication of the “Strategy of Consolidation and Support to Development of the Polish Defence industry in 2007-2012”, approved on August 2007 and structured around the following three main points: Ensure that the state security requirements in the sphere of armament, army equipment and weapons are defined within the framework of the national security strategy and take into account EU membership obligations. Secure the participation of the national defence industry in EU and national R&D programs Increase exports to the world markets and achieve a significant position in the future European defence industry, based on a diversified supply of modern army equipment and weapons61. In this regard, one of the specialities of the Polish land armament industry refers to its ability to modernise equipment manufactured in the former Soviet Union, en element that has become a very interesting niche market by Polish companies (see Badowski, 2011). Finally, the EU12 defence industry is becoming increasingly connected to EU15 industries in the last years, usually based on cooperative production agreements based predominantly on the Western firms’ licenses. Also, the EU12 defence supplier-base has entered the European defence supply chain, usually at its lower end and based on the production of basic components based on cheaper labour. In any case, the restructuring process is not yet complete, and EU12 defence-related industries as a whole are not fully competitive in a European setting (PWC Polska et al, 2009). 3.5.7. Collaborative activities between enterprises in the sector In comparison to other military sector (i.e. the military aerospace sector), the European Land armament sector is less active in the development of collaborative projects amongst enterprises both at national or international level. The reason for these low levels of cooperation are a lower R&D intensiveness and a lower level of technological barriers, where both elements result in lower budgetary pressures to engage in large European or multinational development programs (Hartley, 2011). As a result of this, European coop- Currently, the Polish Land armament sector is characterised by some authors (Kogan, 2008) as the strongest in Eastern Europe. 61 51 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective eration in the Land armament industry is mainly focused on pre-competitive technology developments (TNO, 2009). In any case, and despite existing fragmentation of the EU Land armament industrial base, there is an increasing emphasis on cooperative programmes between existing enterprises, due partially to current public budget constraints and the need to face ever more costly and complex military programmes (i.e. in terms of R&D costs). In this regard, it is possible to identify several examples of collaborative projects amongst European land armament enterprises are working together in several collaborative projects. Examples include, for instance: Early in 1997, Giat Industries of France, Rheinmetall W&M of Germany and Royal Ordnance, UK, formed a joint venture company called RGR Armament GmbH based in Ratingen (Germany). RGR Armament GmbH was responsible for the development, marketing and eventual production of the 140 mm smoothbore gun and its associated ammunition (kinetic energy projectile and charge system) for the Future Tank Main Armament (FTMA). Nexter is working in collaboration with Thales and Sagem on the land-defence forces’ structural program, in the framework of the SOSI contract of SCORPION operation. This program aims to modernise the GTIA (combined arms team) of land forces in a coherent and optimized manner through a holistic approach. Within the SCORPION project, Nexter has also created a task force of about sixty engineers, working in teams, to develop solutions concerning acquisition and life-cycle. Nexter also has a 50/50 joint venture with BAE Systems called “CTA International” to develop and manufacture case telescoped weapon systems and ammunition The AMOS mortar system programmes are developed in co-operation between BAESystems Hägglunds and Patria’s 50% owned Patria Hägglunds. The Italian IVECO and Oto Melara have established since 1985 a Consortium (Consorzio IVECO OTOMELARA) on an equal participation 50/50 to design, develop and manufacture a new generation of military vehicles (MBTs, AFVs). Basically, Oto Melara designs and produces the weapon system while IVECO designs and produces the hull and all the automotive components. Within the consortium, Oto Melara has full responsibility for tracked vehicles and IVECO for the wheeled ones. Panhard and Sagem Défense Sécurité (SAFRAN Group) have together developed during the late nineties a new, remotely-controlled self-defence turret, the WASP (Weapon under Armour for Self-Protection), equipped with a light machine gun coupled with an observation and infra-red sight. Rheinmetall and Krauss-Maffei-Wegmann collaborate in the MBT Leopard II, where KMW is the general contractor and Rheinmetall supplies very important components like the 120mm gun (MTU builds the engine). Also, Rheinmetall and Krauss-Maffei-Wegmann have developed since 2001 the so-called AMPV (Armoured Multi Purpose Vehicle), specifically designed for out-of-area operations, meeting the full range of requirements for mobility and ruggedness. These two companies are currently developing in cooperation the Puma tracked armoured infantry fighting vehicle (AIFV), under the so-called Projekt Systems and Management (PSM) joint venture. This venture is based in Kassel (Germany) and both companies hold 50% of the shares. The Donar 155-mm self-propelled howitzer has been jointly developed by Kraus-Maffei Wegmann and GDELS. Rheinmetall AG and MAN Nutzfahrzeuge AG have set up in 2010 a joint venture company called Rheinmetall MAN Military Vehicles GmbH (RMMV) and intended to supply the world’s armed forces with complete solutions in the market for military wheeled vehicles, covering the entire range of armoured and unarmoured transport, command and 52 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective role-specific vehicles. Rheinmetall has a stake of 51% and MAN 49% in the new company, which is headquartered in Munich. However, it is also important to stress that some European companies are collaborating with other non-EU companies. A good example of this is given by the so called “Defense Munitions International (DMI), shared by the German Rheinmetall defence company and the American General Dynamics Ordnance and Tactical Systems (GD-OTS). This company is located in the US and develops and sells 120-mm-kineticenergy and multi-purpose ammunition so to improve the international market access of both companies, achieve synergies in production and realise joint developments. 3.5.8. The particular ownership structure of the sector in some EU Member States In some EU Member States and European countries, Land armament sector enterprises are still under (total or partial) public ownership, which give them the right to appoint representatives of the board or the CEO or a final decisive role (i.e. “golden share” mechanisms). Just to give some examples, the French Government wholly owns Nexter and 27.0% of Thales, the Italian government holds about 30% of Finmeccanica's shares and the Spanish government holds 100% of Navantia. Other examples include the Finnish Patria (where the government has got a 73.2% of shares), the Polish BUMAR Group (a state-owned company), the Swiss RUAG Holding AG (whose sole shareholder is the Swiss Confederation) or the Greek ELVO company (currently 100% state owned after being partially privatised in 2000). Moreover, in the Italian case of Finmeccanica Group, the Italian Government has got a veto power against changes in its ownership structure (via a “Golden share” mechanism). However, this presence of public ownership enterprises in these enterprises also co-exists with the availability of a large number of private enterprises (for instance, the Italian IVECO Defence Vehicles company is owned by the Fiat group). By way of contrast, all defence suppliers in Germany, the UK or Sweden are currently privately owned (although with important connections to the public sector), some of them quoting in the stock exchange market but other retaining a family business structure (i.e. the German Krauss-Maffei Wegmann). Interestingly also, there are a number of examples where private equity funds and groups have also entered the sector (BIPE, 2007), such as the case of the German MTU Friedrichshafen company62, which was bought in 2005 by the private equity group EQT (Sweden) to DaimlerChrysler (Germany). 3.5.9. Geographical concentration of the sector in some EU regions The Land armament sector is particularly concentrated in a number of geographical agglomerations in some concrete European regions highly specialised on Land armament activities and with a strong presence of local supply chains and networks, where this concentration is usually explained by historical and strategic reasons. Examples of these geographical agglomerations in the European Union include the following ones: 62 In Finland, Patria has got production facilities in Tampere, Hämeenlinna and Sastamala. In France, Nexter produces from Versailles, Bourges, Tulle and Roanne, with other facilities in Tarbes, Toulouse, Saint-Etienne and Rennes, amongst others. Meanwhile, Thales has operations amongst others in Toulouse and Paris In Germany, there are some specific geographical areas where LAS and other defence production plants are concentrated: Hessen (KMW, Rheinmetall), Northern Germany (Atlas Elektronik, Rheinmetall Defence,) and South/South-West of Germany (Diehl, MTU, Renk, KMW). In any case, most of the company headquarters and production sites are located in West- and South-Germany. In Italy, Oto Melara has production facilities in La Spezia and Brescia, as well as its headquarters in Rome. Meanwhile, the factory of IVECO Defence Vehicles is located in Bolzano. This company manufactures diesel-engines for several sectors including military vehicles. 53 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective In Poland, Bumar has production units in Warwaw, Tarnow, Gliwice Wroclaw and the Cracovia area. Recently in time (March 2012), there is an initiative to establish the first Polish cluster dedicated to development of scientific work and information exchange exclusively for the LAS sector. This cluster is to include the Warsaw Technical University, the Military Academy of Technology and the Bumar National Defence Concern (PARP, 2012). In Spain, Navantia has got Land-defence related activities located in Cadiz, whereas General Dynamics has production facilities in Asturias, Seville or Granada. In Sweden, the main cluster is probably around the city of Karlskoga, although there are also important production facilities in Örnsköldsvik, Karlsborg and Örebro, as well as around the cities of Stockholm, Linköping and Gothenburg. In the United Kingdom, the production of armoured vehicles is concentrated in the North/North East and Midlands, while the ammunition sub-sector is more widely dispersed. Meanwhile, BAE Systems has production units, amongst other places, in Newcastle, Abbeywood, Birtley, Bishopton, Farnborough, Filton, Glascoed, Radway Green, Ridsdale Range or Barrow-In- Furness63. Meanwhile, the Chemring Group has production facilities in Wiltshire, Derbyshire, Poole or Hampshire. Also, 57% of the UK weapons and ammunition manufacturing jobs are located in three local authorities, e.g. Birtley, Glascoed, and Radway Green (Sissons, 2011). Graph 3.4 Main Land armament industrial poles of employment Main production centres Production clusters Source: Eurostrategies, 2009 and IKEI This geographical spread has also significant employment implications in terms of dependency on land armament activities. Just to give some data, BAE Systems is responsible for 80% of all manufacturing related jobs in Barrow-in Furness, 70% in the Ribble Valley and 40% in Portsmouth. Interestingly also, the Swedish report suggests that the fact that some of the major manufacturing facilities are not located in central Interestingly, BAE Systems intends to move in the next 18 months all production capability related to the manufacture of the Challenger 2, Warrior and Terrier armoured vehicles to Sweden, with serious and negative employment implications for the UK workers. 63 54 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective areas implies an added difficulty for enterprises to attract competent workers to these less attractive areas. 3.6. The role of SMEs and production chains in the sector 3.6.1. The role of SMEs SMEs play also a very significant role within the Land armament industry, usually as different tier-level subcontractors or as specialised product suppliers operating in niche markets. Thus, available Eurostat data referred for year 2007 for the weapons and ammunition industry in six main EU Member States (i.e. Germany, France, Italy, Poland, Sweden and United Kingdom) shows that SMEs represent more than 89% of all sector enterprises in all analysed countries (with a share of more than 95% in countries such as Sweden, Italy or France), although the share of value added generated by SMEs is much lower, ranging from 9.9% in the case of France to 24.1% in the case of Sweden (around 22% also in the cases of Italy and the United Kingdom, much lower in the cases of Germany or Poland, ranging from 10% to 14%, respectively). Table 3.15 Importance of SMEs in the manufacture of weapons and ammunition sector, 2007 SMEs Number of enterprises Germany France Italy Poland Sweden United Kingdom 144 181 135 64 104 144 Turnover (milion €) 333,2 320,9 298,3 34,8 204,6 728,8 SMEs’ share (%) Value added (milion €) Number of enterprises 115,5 88,5 96,9 16 77,3 369,7 91,7 96,8 95,7 88,9 97,2 93,5 Turnover 11,8 12,1 23,2 6,6 21,8 16,0 Value added 10,7 9,9 22,2 14,1 24,1 22,5 Data refers to NACE Rev 1 29.6- Manufacture of weapons and ammunitions Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics The previous data can be complemented with some additional information coming from additional sources (Europe Economics, 2009; national reports): In France, there are many specialised suppliers, where approximately 96.8 of the French LAS companies are SMEs and are responsible of approximately 10% of the generated value added by the whole sector. In Italy, Land armament-related SMEs either act as subcontractors to larger companies or operate in niche markets as specialised suppliers in logistic support, special equipment and materials. Examples of relevant products supplied by Italian SMEs include, amongst others, the production of residential modules (COGIM and CORIMEC), variable-size shelters (Garofoli), decontamination systems (Cristianini), bullet proof vests (Sistema Compositi), individual equipment such as rucksacks, safety glasses, knives and baionets, etc (Ferrino, Extrema Ratio). Generally speaking, Italian Land armament SMEs are larger than the typical Italian SMEs, and the majority of them operate in both defence and civil markets with a small minority focusing exclusively on military applications. The main weaknesses of the Italian Land armament SMEs relate to their difficulties to have access to capital from financial institutions for implementing large scale projects (i.e. in R&D). Also, they often complain about the lack of information on the future military programs of the Italian Ministry of defence, as well as on the high cost of preparing bids for the Ministry. Finally, the current Italian public debt cutting efforts are also negatively affecting sector SMEs. In Spain, Spanish SMEs in the Land armament sector provide lots of specialized small components to main contractors. Normally, these SMEs have a “mixed production”, that 55 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective is, they are not exclusively devoted to defence components, but they also work for other industrial sectors. They are also responsible of a great part of the technology innovation in the sector. 3.6.2. In Sweden, the Swedish Security and Defence industry trade association (SOFF) has 61 members, of which 48 are small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). These SMEs act primarily as suppliers (subcontractors) to larger enterprises, although accordingly to interviewed experts, and in addition to the SOFF members, there are around 1,000 Swedish SMEs involved in defence subcontracting activities. Meanwhile, there is also a relatively minor share of SMEs or selling directly to end users and specialised in “niche” products. In the United Kingdom, SMEs are quite active actors in the defence industry either as prime contractors or subcontractors in the supply chain. For example, an estimated 42% of UK Ministry of Defence (MoD) contracts were placed directly with SMEs, representing some £953m or 13.2% by contract value, while many more contribute to MoD’s Defence and Security programmes as subcontractors (UK Ministry of Defence, 2012). Specifically, land armament-related SMEs tend to operate in both civil and defence markets, where they operate both as subcontractors to other defence firms and as direct contractors to the UK defence ministry. Significantly, the 2012 White Paper National Security Through Technology seeks to improve SMEs’ access to and participation in MoD contacts by, inter alia, streamlining its procurement and payment processes, reforming the framework agreement for technical support (FATS) arrangements, reducing its reporting and administration burden, providing expert advice to help them export, etc, so to ensure that 25% of contracts are placed with SMEs (Morrison, 2012). Production chains in the European Land armament sector Hundreds of European small and medium sized companies are engaged in the Land armament production, which constitute the supplier base of the large enterprises and groups. In this regard, supply chains are increasingly regarded as key elements for the prime contractors’ ability to compete in world markets since the competitiveness of some final products are highly dependant on the performance of critical subsystems. The figure below presents a simplified description of a tiered organisation64 of the European Land armament sector. In these tiered structures, prime contractors and lead system Land armament integrators (i.e. Nexter, Krauss-Maffei-Wegmann, BAE Systems, Oto Melara, etc) produce complete land weapon systems and are at the top of the pyramid with a large market power with respect to downstream suppliers. Most of these prime contractors are located in the old Member States, although there are a number of EU-12 prime contractors, although they are smaller than their EU-15 counterparts (PWC Polska et al, 2009). These prime contractors rely on many external suppliers, especially those systems which consist of many hightech electronic devices and are built as modular stations. The most typical situation includes an interlinking web of suppliers and relationships throughout the supply chain, where many suppliers operate concurrently at several levels of the supply chains for different defence contractors and on different projects (BIPE, 2008). 64 56 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Graph 3.5 The Land armament sector’s tiered organisation Source: BIPE, 2008 Tier 1 contractors produce complete sub-systems or major components, often on a risk-sharing basis with prime contractors. Usually, these enterprises (including SMEs) are large in size and they are either specialised systems producers (i.e. electronics) or producers of complete sub-systems or major components. Examples of these Tier 1 suppliers include the Groupe Safran (France) for tactical information and navigation systems, Indra (Spain) in electronics, ETYEM (Italy) for protection equipment and systems, Renk AG (Germany) for gear boxes, ESW-GmbH (Germany) for stabilizing systems, Rolls Royce for motors/engines or ZFFriedrichshafen (Germany) for guidance systems. In the new EU Member States, there are also examples such as Radwar in Poland (part of the Bumar group). Subsequently, Tier 2 contractors produce components and supply services in different domains (electrical & electronic equipment, mechanical engineering, metal working, casts & moulds, etc), as well as a variety of services. Usually, these Tier 2 contractors are either small and medium enterprises (SME) or subsidiaries of the major defence producers, and they are not always listed as defence producers since they often produce dual-use goods or services. Finally, Tier 3 contractors are commodity suppliers or suppliers of generalist services (communications, externalised training, etc), as well as capacity contractors. They are mostly small and medium enterprises that supply dual-use products. These enterprises are particularly exposed to economic downturns and tougher financial market conditions (TNO, 2009). 57 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Table 3.16 Main categories of existing defence suppliers in the new EU Member States Categories The Niche Competitor The Aspiring Prime The Intermediary The Flexible High-Tech Company The Logistics Service Provider The Low Cost Company Main Characteristics • This type of enterprise is often a SME, but may be also a large defence company. It provides systems and products in a small number of related taxonomy fields and, on occasion, may serve as lead system integrator. They may be state owned or fully private but, as a rule, there is no foreign ownership of company shares. They are particularly involved in R&D activities in order to pursue a ‘first to market’ strategy and preserve their competitive edge, and they have a recognised position in foreign markets, including EU-15 ones. As a rule, there are numerous potential customers for the company’s products and services. Examples of enterprises include Arcus Co (Bulgaria), Arsenal JSC (Bulgaria) or the Przemysłowy Instytut Telekomunikacji S.A. (Poland) • These enterprises act as primes, providing systems and products in a small number of related taxonomy fields. They are considered as ‘national champions’ and enjoy privileged relations with the national defence establishment. They are usually state-owned, but examples of private companies are also available, and they provide products and/or services that are innovative on the national market (but not necessarily on the global market). In this regard, products are sometimes also sold outside EU to developing countries. Examples of this type of enterprises include the Polish Bumar- Łabędy and RADWAR SA • Typically, this is a private medium, small or even micro company that, as an exception, may have foreign participation in its ownership structure. The “intermediary” is heavily dependent on the national defence environment, and can survive only as long as the defence establishment continues to invest in defence capabilities related to its area of expertise and maintains important specifics in its operational processes and the respective requirement. These enterprises can serve as primes that are critically dependent on the delivery of systems and sub-systems by other primes, or they may also be sub-contracted by other primes for the delivery of key technological expertise and/or know-how. An example of this type of enterprises refers to Samel 90 Plc (Bulgaria) • This is usually a medium-size or slightly larger company, usually private and attracts foreign capital. They usually act as Tier 1 or Tier 2 contractors, or both, and provide sub-systems, systems and products in several related technology fields. There are numerous potential customers for the company’s products and services both in the military and the civil domain. They invest considerable resources in R&D. An example of this type of company is WB Electronics (Poland) • These enterprises, actively involved also in civilian activities, are exclusively oriented in their defence business towards the needs of national security and defence forces. They can be of any size, and they do not rely on R&D. They rely on the advantages of geographical proximity, language and cultural compatibility, combined with competitive costs • These enterprises’ strategy is primarily based on costs, and they primarily supply commodity products and services or functions as part of the supply chains of primes, at tiers 2 and 3. They are oriented towards foreign markets, with only occasional sales to the country’s defence forces. The companies are usually private, often partially or fully owned by foreign companies. Obviously enough, the strategies of these enterprises do not rely on R&D, although they are introducing quality management systems Source: PWC Polska, 2009 Unfortunately enough, not much it is known about Land armament industry supply chains. In any case, a major study conducted some years ago showed the complexity of the supply chain for the UK Warrior AFV, in the sense that the study identified over 200 first tier suppliers (selling directly to the final assembler), although approximately 10 suppliers accounted for over 70% of the value of purchases and the top 42 suppliers accounted for 85%-90% of total purchases. Subsequently, the first level suppliers used an average of 18 suppliers (second tier) whilst these second tier firms had an average of 7 third tier suppliers (Hartley, 1997). Meanwhile, the German Leopard II tank on its own combines the efforts of approximately supplying 1,500 companies (Küchle 2007). Land armament sector supply chains seem to be defined to a greater extent along national boundaries in comparison to other defence sectors (i.e. aerospace and electronics). Complementing the previous information, the European Defence Agency has recently conducted a study on the existing defence suppliers in the new EU Member States. In this sense, this report provides a typology of these suppliers around the following six main categories: 58 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Supply chains are characterised in the last years by a number of emerging trends that can be summarised as follows (TNO, 2009; Europe Economics, 2009): National Ministries of Defence are moving towards more ‘partnering contracts’, in the sense that they prefer to contract with one prime contractor who then takes full responsibility for the development and delivery of the equipment accordingly to some previously defined time, costs and quality specifications. In this regard, systems integration is likely to become an even more important competence in the future as prime contractors will have greater freedom to organise the whole production process, including the extent to which they use SMEs in the development process, reinforcing the negotiating power of these primer contractors in relation to their suppliers. Having in mind the experiences in other defence-related sectors (i.e. military aeronautics), Land armament prime contractors and tier 1 suppliers are trying to rationalise and simplify their supplier base in order to reduce the number of the suppliers with whom they directly interact. At the same time, Land armament prime contractors and tier 1 suppliers are establishing tougher conditions (in terms of quality assurance mechanisms and higher technological demands) to their subcontractors. Subcontracting activities are increasingly based on the so-called “risk-sharing partner” concept, whereby the development costs of new systems or equipments is distributed across the prime contractor and its “partners”. Under this system, prime contractors delegate the responsibility for conceptualising, designing, developing and producing the new system, as well as the responsibility for financing the development costs, where these costs are paid back by the prime contractor to the risk-sharing partners as sales are fulfilled (the partnership implies also a commercial “risk sharing” and financial burden also for the supplier) (BIPE, 2007). Both current and expected difficulties in public national budgets are resulting in additional pressures on the large Land armament companies to reduce costs, where this pressure is “passed on” to the whole supply value chain. These cost pressures are forcing sector defence enterprises (both prime contractors and Tier 1/Tier 2 suppliers) to seek sources of inputs from lower cost countries, either within the new Member States or from other non-EU Member States, and therefore increasing international competition on traditional national suppliers. European national authorities are increasingly open to outsourcing to the private sector some of the classical logistic and service activities (i.e. transport, repair activities, health and medicine, fuel and catering, etc). This trend is also reinforcing the role and freedom of prime contractors to develop the equipments and products, including the extent to which they use SMEs in the development process (Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, 2008). Finally, some EU Member States have developed a number of interesting initiatives to foster existing supply chains in the Land armament sector. A good example of this is given by the UK SC21 (21st Century Supply Chains) Initiative. This initiative was launched in 2006 by the UK sectoral employer association ADS in order to improve the performance of suppliers and supply chains in the UK aerospace, defence and security industries. The SC21 programme is a key industry venture and is overseen, governed and managed by ADS on behalf of UK industry. In March 2011, over 580 companies had signed up to SC21, with about 100 companies joining the programme every year. 59 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective 3.7. Research and Development and Innovation activities in the European Land armament sector 3.7.1. Importance of R&D activities The defence sector as a whole is a very research-oriented sector due to the key importance of technological development in the performance of the military and the need to design and manufacture high quality products that are globally competitive. Certainly, technological development has an enormous impact on defence systems, as there is a clear correlation between an Army’s technology level and its effectiveness (Spanish Ministry of Defence, 2010). Also, these R&D activities result in many innovations and technologies with a “civil” use. Accordingly to information provided by the Aerospace and Defence Industries Association of Europe (ASD), the European Land armament sector devotes approximately a 6% of its total sector sales to R&D activities (data provided for 2005), well above the European manufacturing sector. This situation is also confirmed by data provided by Eurostat showing that the “Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions” sector is relatively more active in the R&D domain than the manufacturing sector as a whole for a selection of EU Member States where information is available (i.e. Germany, Slovakia, Spain, Poland, Czech Republic or Bulgaria) (data for the year 2007). Graph 3.6 Knowledge intensity in “Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions” and total manufacturing: Share of R&D expenditure in value added, selection of countries, 2007 4,5 Germany 9,6 0,7 Slov akia 9 2,5 Spain 7,3 0,5 Poland 6 2,5 Czech Republic 0,3 Bulgaria 0 4,1 2,3 2 4 6 Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions 8 10 12 Total Manufacturing Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics (SBS) In any case, the Land armament sector shows a less research orientation in comparison to other defencerelated sectors such as military electronics, aerospace or naval industries, which devote between 10% and 14% of their total sales to R&D activities (Eurostrategies, 2009)65. Not surprisingly, most EU public authorities have actively supported R&D in this industry. For example, The Spanish government did launch in 2010 the so-called Strategy of Defence Technologies and Innovation, an intended to facilitate the strategic prioritisation of technological capabilities and the planning required (Spanish Ministry of Defence, 2011). Also, In any case, it is important to have in mind that some enterprises are involved in different defence subsectors (i.e. the UK BAE Systems involved in aerospace as well as land and sea systems), so it is likely that this type of enterprises are also applying aerospace technologies to their land systems. 65 60 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective the UK MoD published in 2006 its Defence Technology Strategy (DTS) which set out its R&D priorities for the next 20 years (UK Ministry of Defence, 2006). Meanwhile, and from an individual enterprise perspective, the available information shows a very strong effort in R&D activities in some of the leading European Land armament manufacturers. In this regard, the innovation strategy of these large enterprises is primarily focused on achieving technology leadership rather than being technology followers as a way to assure the long-term competitiveness of enterprises, especially in international markets (i.e. companies have to invest in R&D in order to be competitive on an international basis). It is important to stress that it usually takes a long time period since a product is conceived and developed until it is finally placed on the market, which redounds in a high risk for companies. Also, it is important to stress that when it comes to major R&D programmes (e.g. the development of new system platforms), very few companies have the possibility to take on the financial risk themselves, which often results in cooperative approaches with the public sector (“public-private partnerships”) (Eurodefense España, 2008). Interestingly also, companies that are engaged in R&D activities need security of supply, i.e. long term public contracts, and security of information, i.e. that no information about the products are leaked. Table 3.17 R&D ranking of main EU companies in Land armament related activities according to R&D/Net Sales ratio in 2010. Company Finmeccanica Diehl EADS Ultra Electronics Rheinmetall Thales SAAB SAFRAN Nexter Chemring MBDA BAE Systems Patria R&D Investment 2010 (€m) 1,967.00 251.50 3,084.00 46.36 214.00 655.70 133.39 540.00 35.60 15.52 14.94 317.45 6.40 R&D/Net Sales Ratio 2010 (%) 11.6 9.2 6.7 5.6 5.4 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.0 2.2 1.8 1.3 1.1 2009 (%) 11.7 10.9 6.7 5.3 5.8 5.2 4.8 5.9 4.3 1.8 1.7 1.1 1.9 R&D per Employee 2010 (€K) 26.2 19.0 25.3 11.6 10.7 10.3 10.7 10.1 13.2 3.9 5.8 3.3 1.9 2009 (€K) 26.6 19.5 24.1 10.2 9.8 10.3 10.1 11.4 9.8 3.2 4.4 2.9 3.1 Source: The 2011 EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard (http://iri.jrc.es/research/docs/2011/vol_II_3.xls) Interestingly also, there are examples of collaborative activities between Land armament sector companies and universities. A good example is given by Finmeccanica, who has built up devised cooperation agreement on projects with more than 20 Italian universities (Parma, Turin, Puglia, Liguria, etc). 3.7.2. Current R&D and Innovation approaches within the sector Current innovation approaches within the European Land armament sector are intended to improve the effectiveness and efficiency of operations, improve the survivability of personnel and equipment and minimise possible collateral damages. In this regard, Land military requirements are likely to emphasise four main fields, that is to say (Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, 2008): Synergy, networking and interoperability (allowing land forces –often from different countries under coalition operations- to operate as a network with aerial/naval assets and other armed forces in joint overseas operations, as well as with non-military civilian actors), 61 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Agility, versatility and mobility (the ability to achieve rapidity of reaction and deployment and also the ability to reconfigure for optimum force size and balance and move quickly at the tactical level), Selectivity (meaning a wide range of capabilities and the means to ensure an informed and appropriate choice at each stage of the operation so to deliver military effects in a more discriminate way) and, finally, Sustainability (emphasising logistic support and theatre access), placing an emphasis on capabilities that enhance command, information, engagement, protection, deployment and sustainment. Examples of new technologies being applied by Land armament European enterprises include new intelligent munitions technologies, the development of lightweight armour protection systems and protection technologies (i.e. against mines, IEDs66 and guided ammunition), the development of technologically complex armoured vehicles with network enabled capabilities and equipments for intelligence (e.g. scanning of information, surveillance and data analysis), logistics, robotics/unmanned ground vehicles, new materials, vetronics and propulsion systems, mechanics, soldier and material protection systems, multiplatform integrated systems or modern field medicine (TNO, 2009). The European Land Industry Group (ELDIG)67 has identified a number of main future expectations within the nine segments of activity of the European Land armament sector that are expected to guide future R&D efforts in the sector and therefore result in new products and services: Table 3.18. Future expectations per Land armament segment from ELDIG/ASD’s point of view Segment Vehicles Soldier Systems Sensors for C4I (Command, Control, Communication, Computers and Intelligence) 66 67 Future expectations per segment • Controlling of maintenance and supply costs • Support and upgrade platforms and rapidly insert new technologies • In addition to the internal networking of electronic sub-systems (vetronics), need to network externally with other vehicles inside a combat unit, not only for communication purposes, but for intelligence and information management purposes as well • Intelligent convoying and UGVs (unmmaned ground vehicles), with a correspondingly reduced risk to military personnel and an expanded range of capabilities. • Interactions between UGVs and the future soldier systems. • Developments in protection technologies, allowing modular levels of protection and use of different assets, • Environmental protection, energy economy, full life recycling and antipollution standards; • Provide as many capabilities as possible but maintain the weight at manageable levels. • Minimise physical parameters and power demand of the subsystems without sacrificing operational capabilities • Extend battery lives and power requirements for handheld gadgets. • Increase data connectivity and avoid limitations imposed by short-range wireless communications, especially bandwidth challenge soldier modernisation in areas of dense vegetation or tall buildings reduce the range of radios. • Human Machine Interfaces to allow enhanced decision making. • Facilitate the use of extensive and optimised use of sensors to produce quick and more efficient effects (longer range, higher rate of accuracy, fewer false alarms, insensitivity to the external environment, quicker reaction time, lower weight, more intelligence) using expensive firing equipment in a scarce way • Enable these sensors to be included in any system, regardless of whether they are used at national or European level (interconnectivity) Improvised Explosive Devices ELDIG is a body of the AeroSpace & Defence industries association of Europe (ASD) 62 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Segment Weapons and ammunition Protection equipment and systems Future expectations per segment • • • • • • C4I equipment and systems • • • • • Logistic and support equipment and services Simulation and training equipment Complex and joint systems • • • • • • • • Smart (intelligent) ammunition and penetrators Innovative types of ammunition so to enable multiple forms of engagement. Emergence of new calibres driven by new scenarios and capability requirements Co-operative development and acquisitions in large calibre systems Reduction of the probability of being shot by reducing target signature (hide) and misleading enemy systems (jammers and other Electronic Warfare, pyrotechnics, decoys and application of stealth technologies) Increase protection against bullets, fragments, IED/EODs (Explosive Ordnance Disposal), snipers and CBRN Collaborative approaches to ground combat through the “association” of mission systems to form a system of systems (Network Enabled Capabilities) (NEC). Land combat architecture platforms around an infrastructure of exchange and interoperability between different national armies Development of common standards and the interoperability between different national systems. Evolution of the Battlefield Management System to integrate into it all the functions of the Command, Navigation, Surveillance, Combat and Auto-protection platforms. Extension of the traditional capacities of the combat systems in the field of multisystems land platforms, mastering of network tactical technologies. Increasing role of logistic support and supply so to maximize the availability of the forces and their equipment as well as to keep the costs reasonably low in view of current international (global) mobility needs. Outsourcing of logistics and services (maintenance of equipments, etc) Ability to deliver services in difficult conditions Increasing need to train national soldiers to co-operate amongst them in multinational units Training simulations and e-learning Unified European Battle Laboratories The SoS role needs a whole range of skills covering the understanding of technologies, sub-systems as well the global system and parallel processing of new and existing programmes. Definition, management and adoption of standards, shared by the community of SoS, especially at the interface between systems, sub-systems or components developed by different and sometimes competitive companies. Source: ASD, 2001. According to several experts’ opinions, in the future, a strong Land armament Industrial base will be dependant on a number of elements such as its capacity not only to generate new and disruptive technologies but also to build open innovation models for defence technology development, to create strong and sustainable networks of partnerships with suppliers of technological and industrial capabilities located everywhere in the world, and, finally, to generate new and innovative packages of outsourcing and services, new business models and innovative private financing mechanisms to meet customer requirements. Interestingly also, some of the consulted experts identify a higher role by manufacturers in proposing new products and ideas to the clients (armies) that it was the case twenty years ago. In any case, it is becoming clear that there is and will continue to be an increasing use of electronics in complex Land weapons systems, which may imply additional incentives for land sector firms to either merge with or acquire electronics capabilities (Hartley, 2011). Also, some experts suggest of the progressive blurring of the boundaries between the defence and the civilian security equipments and technologies, which will be mainly based on a common platform of core technologies (Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, 2008; TNO, 2009). Moreover, other experts reckon that in the near future the most revolutionary or disruptive technological advances for military capabilities will come from R&D and innovation developed in the civil sector, which will further encourage progressive convergence of civil and military R&D (Ministerio Español de Defensa, 2010), although subject to the fact that military parts have to be treated very confidentially and are too expensive for the open market. This blurring process is resulting in the opening-up of the Land armament sector to new actors and enterprises specialised in civilian products with a possible military use (Real Instituto Elcano, 2011). 63 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective 3.7.3. Co-operation in R&D activities at European level The European Land armament sector is little active in the development of R&D collaborative projects amongst enterprises at international level, where European cooperation in this industry is mainly focused on pre-competitive technology developments (TNO, 2009). In this regard, almost all R&D in the defence domain is organised at a national level. Just to give some data, approximately a 12% of the total R&T68 public expenditure carried out by EU EDA Members is done on an European Collaborative basis (in the sense that at least two EU Member States Ministries of Defence participate), whereas the benchmark established by the EDA’s Ministerial Steering Board is of 20%. Not surprisingly, the European defence Technological and Industrial Base (EDTIB) strategy paper calls for more, better and more cooperative spending on defence R&T as a key tool for strengthening the EDTIB (EDA, 2007).However, the currently existing 7th Framework Programme or the proposed “Horizon 2020 - The Framework Programme for Research and Innovation” only include security-related strategic elements, with no reference to defence-related issues, an issue that it is negatively regarded by the European land armament sector in general (military R&D is not eligible for public EU research funding). Graph 3.7 European Collaborative R&T as a Percentage of Total R&T, 2006-2010 25 20,0 20 16,6 13,1 15 12,8 9,6 10 11,8 5 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Benchmark Source: European Defence Agency, 2011. In any case, it is possible to identify several collaborative activities between Member States. The European Land Defence Industry Group (ELDIG) has recently identified several key R&D subjects for European cooperation support before market development at national or multinational level. This selection has been made according to the political / industrial ability to run successful projects. ELDIG recommends that these key priorities are supported at European level via two main ways, that is to say: Through pre-competitive research on critical topics to maintain European Land armament Industries on the leading edge for future National or European programs (Technological superiority and security of supply) By harmonisation of regulations and standards to enhance competition, increase security of supply and favour interoperability during operations carried out by European forces, Research and Technology (R&T) is a subset of R&D (expenditure for basic research, applied research and technology demonstration for defence purposes). 68 64 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 3. The European land armament sector: the supply perspective Table 3.19. Key R&D subjects suggested by ELDIG for proposed European cooperation in the Land armament sector Segment Future expectations per segment Vehicles Unmanned Ground Vehicles (UGV) & Intelligent Convoying Soldier Systems Standardisation of interfaces & critical functionalities Sensors for C41 Sensors networks Weapons and ammunition Precision guided ammunition Protection equipment and systems Direct Physical threat protection Hide and mislead C41 Identification Logistic and support equipment and services Maintenance support & services Training and simulation European battlelabs UGVs bring new operational capabilities and reduce the exposure of soldiers during dangerous missions such as observation and scouting for infantry operations (asymmetric conflicts and peace keeping). The UGV challenge lays mainly in the operational ability to move and localise in a complex environment without needing permanent soldier control. Technologies for UGVs will also enable the introduction of intelligent convoying. Intelligent convoying is a capability whereby many different vehicles (perhaps up to 50 or more) are coordinated via few platforms that are critically positioned within the convoy. These lead platforms as well as the convoy structure are intelligently re-configured to minimise threat and enhance survivability. In essence, intelligent convoying will enhance survivability by (i) reducing the crew numbers and (ii) enabling an “intelligent” (re)allocation of personnel within the convoy during a mission in order to mitigate against threats and/or attacks Soldier Systems modernisation programmes will be ongoing across NATO and its allies for the foreseeable future. They are driven not only by the endeavour for superiority but by the challenges of asymmetric warfare and the rapid development in the information- sensor- and communication domains Awareness is a prominent factor of the operation's success. Lots of sensor technologies (optical to radars and UAVs = Unmanned Aerial Vehicles) have been developed and are in operational use in all European nations. A goal for national and European operations is to get the appropriate information from these sensors for the right person at the right time. Sensor networking from the front line to the command centre and from ground to air is a key issue if vertical and horizontal interoperability is to be achieved. In order to reduce collateral damage, precision guided ammunition is a must for modern operations where military forces and civil populations are often very close. Due to the extremely stringent environment, precision guidance technologies are critical. Loss of European soldiers during any conflict is not accepted by society any more and is amplified by the media. Direct physical protection or indirect protection by means of hide and mislead technology is now one of the highest priorities. Identification is the last phase before use of weapons. In modern scenarios such as urban conflict the front line may be a complex mix of friends and enemies and of both regular troops and civilians. Reliable identification equipment and systems dramatically improve the operational efficiency of weapon systems All European nations are currently modernising their maintenance and support organisations in order to improve operational efficiency and to reduce cost. In-depth exchanges of information on this topic will be beneficial for each European nation (sharing best practice) and will pave the way to better interoperability. European military operations are still in the infancy stage but they will become more common in the future given the increase in European foreign affairs and they will benefit from this interoperability Battlelabs are key tools when defining headquarters doctrine. Building a European tool using existing national ones will enable the recently formed EUMS (European Military Staff) to develop doctrines that are tailored to European military operations. Source: ASD, 2001. 65 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective 4.1. General Overview of the sector from an Employment Perspective To start with, it is difficult to give an estimation of the total employment available in the whole European Land Armament sector. Thus, the AeroSpace and Defence Industries Association of Europe (ASD) suggests that the employment reaches a total of 128.7 thousand direct jobs in 2010, although these figures are a bit lower in the case of Eurostat (96.1 thousand direct jobs in 2008) through applying a more restrictive sector definition. It is important to underline that In addition to the sector’s direct employment, an important quantity of indirect employment exists due to multiplier effects, which account for secondary employment generated in other sectors associated with the activity of the own land armament industry. Diverse studies for the whole aerospace and defence sector69 evaluate this employment multiplier effect between 2.2 and 2.4 indirect jobs per direct job in the industry. If an intermediate ratio (2.3) is applied to the mentioned figures of direct employment in the European land armament sector, the result reflects a range from approximately 220,000 to 300,000 additional jobs which are somehow dependent on the activity of the sector. These figures show the important dimension of the sector activity in the European economic activity. Going into detail, and according to estimations by Eurostat’s Structural Business Statistics, the EU-27 “Manufacture of weapons and ammunition” sector (NACE Rev1 29.6) (code which includes also the manufacture of tanks and other fighting vehicles) provided employment to 96.1 thousand people in 2008. From a time dynamic perspective since the year 2001 onwards, the available information shows that the EU-27 sector employment has experienced a clear downsizing trend. Thus, and if in 2001 there were approximately 125.8 thousand people in the sector, in 2008 this figure was the previously commented 96.1 thousand people, which means that in the period nearly 1 job out of 4 has been lost in the European Land armament sector. However, the following graph shows that this negative evolution has been particularly the case in the new Member States (EU-12), whereas the situation in the “old” member States (EU-15) has been positive. Thus, the EU-12 sector employment has experienced a dramatic reduction from 72.1 thousand people in 2001 to 33.4 thousand people in 2008 (-53%, or 1 job out of 2), whereas EU-15 sector employment has experienced a positive upward trend from 53.8 thousand people in 2001 to 62.7 thousand people in 2008 (+17%, although it is worth stressing that in the last years the employment has shown a flatter evolution (see Graph 4.1)70. The need to adapt the employment structure to the real productive requirements (liquidation of unnecessary indirect or white-collar positions) as well as the need to rapidly integrate technical progress in the manufacturing processes are behind this dramatic evolution of employment in the new Member States. The Aerospace and Defense Industry in the U.S. A financial and economic impact study. Deloitte 2012; The economic contribution of BAE Systems to the UK in 2009 , Oxford Economics 2011 70 This information is also confirmed by data coming from national sources, in the sense that after dramatic employment reductions since the end of the Cold War, employment in most of the EU-15 Member States has experienced a more sustained evolution in the last 10 years, although the occupational profile of the workforce between workers and engineers has changed for the benefit of the last group in most cases. The sustained demand of land armament products, partially due to the more internationalised profile of companies, explains this positive development 69 67 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective Graph 4.1 140 Recent evolution of employment in the European Land Armament Sector, EU27, EU 15 and EU12, 2001-2008 (thousands of people) 125,8 117,5 120 110,6 105,1 99,5 97,3 62,1 60,8 61,7 62,5 62,7 43 38,7 35,6 33,8 33,4 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 100 80 72,1 60 40 63,3 55,1 53,8 54,2 55,5 2001 2002 2003 96,3 96,1 20 0 EU-15 EU-12 UE-27 Data refers to (NACE Rev 1 29.6, Manufacture of weapons and ammunition). Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics (SBS) This negative evolution of the EU-27 sector employment is better reflected when comparing the sector with the evolution of the whole EU-27 manufacturing sector. In this regard, and taking as a landmark the employment data for year 2001 (value=100), it is possible to identify that the evolution of the EU 27 “Manufacture of weapons and ammunition” sector employment has experienced a much more severe decline that the total manufacturing employment, which in any case has also experienced a decline in the analysed period 2001-2008 (see Graph 4.2). Graph 4.2 Trends in employment in the EU-27: comparison of total manufacturing and the manufacture of weapons and ammunition (Index for 2001=100), distinction between new and old Member States 130 115,4 120 110 100 100 100,7 96,7 87,9 93,4 90 116,2 116,5 103,1 96,6 95,6 93,9 93,3 83,5 79,1 76,5 87,9 80 114,7 113 77,3 93,7 76,5 92,6 76,4 70 59,6 60 53,7 49,4 50 46,8 46,4 2007 2008 40 2001 2002 2003 2004 Weapons and ammunition-EU 27 Weapons and ammunition-EU 12 2005 2006 Weapons and ammunition-EU 15 Total Manufacturing Data refers to (NACE Rev 1 29.6, Manufacture of weapons and ammunition). Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics (SBS) From a country perspective, in 2008 the United Kingdom had the highest number of persons employed in the Land armament sector, with a total of 17.8 thousand people (which means 18.2% of the total of per- 68 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective sons employed in the EU-27). After the UK, the most important countries in terms of number of persons employed were Germany and Bulgaria (14.3 and 13.0 thousand, respectively), followed by France, Romania and Poland (see Graph 4.3). Graph 4.3. Number of persons working in the European Land Armament Sector, by main Member States, 2008 Total numbers 20.000 17.781 14.267 15.000 13.029 9.716 10.000 7.720 7.298 6.318 5.000 4.481 4.053 3.452 Czech Sw eden Spain 0 United Germany Bulgaria France Romania Poland Italy Kingdom Republic In % 20 18,2 15 14,6 13,4 10,0 10 7,9 7,5 9,7 6,5 4,6 5 4,2 3,5 0 United Germany Bulgaria France Romania Poland Kingdom Italy Czech Sw eden Republic Spain Rest of M ember States Data refers to (NACE Rev 1 29.6, Manufacture of weapons and ammunition). Data for United Kingdom, France, Romania and Czech republic refer to year 2007. Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics (SBS). Meanwhile, from a time perspective, it is interesting to see the different evolution of employment in some selected EU Member States in the time period 2001-2008. This difference is particularly striking when comparing the situation of the most relevant old and new Member States. Thus, and whereas the evolution of employment in the most important old Member States (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Sweden or the United Kingdom) has been generally speaking positive in the analysed time period (specially consistent in Germany and the UK, and with a reversion in the last few years in Italy and Spain), in the case of the selected new Member States (Bulgaria, Poland, Romania) the evolution of employment shows a dramatic downward trend, where this seems particularly the case of Bulgaria and specially Romania, whereas in the case of Poland the employment is experiencing an slight recovery since 2004 onwards. 69 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective Graph 4.4. Trends in the Land armament sector’s employment in some selected EU Member States (Index for 2001=100) Selected Old Member States 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 2001 2002 Germany 2003 Spain 2004 2005 2006 France Italy Sweden 2007 2008 United Kingdom Selected New Member States 100 80 60 40 20 0 2001 2002 2003 Bulgaria 2004 2005 Poland 2006 2007 2008 Romania Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics (SBS) In addition to this, and according to the new NACE sector classification, there is also information available from Eurostat for the year 2010 at subsector level. On the one hand, for the subsector of “Manufacture of weapons and ammunition” (NACE Rev 2 25.4), the Table 4.1 shows a selection of countries among which Bulgaria has the greatest number of persons employed (13,351 persons in total), followed by United Kingdom and Germany (12,160 and 11,430 people). On the contrary, some of the countries with the lowest numbers of employees in the analysed sector include Slovenia (27) and Cyprus (29). 70 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective Table 4.1. Employment in the “Manufacture of weapons and ammunition” sector for a selection of EU Member States, 2010 Number of persons employed Belgium Bulgaria Germany Greece Spain Cyprus Italy Hungary Austria Poland Portugal Slovenia Finland Sweden United Kingdom 1,685 13,351 11,430 2,373 1,296 29 7,243 344 993 6,088 468 27 422 2,574 12,160 Data refers to (NACE Rev 2 25.4) Data for Greece refers to year 2008, data for Italy and Poland refer to 2009 Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics (SBS) Interestingly also, concerning the subsector of “Manufacture of military fighting vehicles” (NACE Rev 2 30.4), available information for the year 2010 shows that in Germany there were 3,489 persons employed working in that sector, whereas in Poland and in the UK there were 1,703 and 1,550 persons respectively (see Table 4.2). Table 4.2. Employment in the “Manufacture of military fighting vehicles” sector for a selection of EU Member States, 2010 Number of persons employed Germany Poland United Kingdom 3,489 1,703 1,550 Data refers to NACE Rev 2 30.4 Data for UK refers to year 2009 Source: Eurostat, Structural Business Statistics (SBS) The previous data coming from European sources can be complemented with information provided by own national sources71. In this regard: In France, and according to estimations provided by the French Industrial Federation for Land Armament (GICAT), the French Land armament sector has got approximately 20,000 direct employees, whereas it is possible to identify a relatively similar number of employees in the supply chain and other related services. All in all, the French land armament sector would employ between 40,000 and 50,000 employees. In Germany, Küchle gives an estimation that 7,000 employees are working for the leading system manufacturers, whereas 13,000 people are employed by the large suppliers (Küchle, 2007). In Italy, estimations collected amongst experts suggest that the there are approximately 1,600-1,700 people directly employed in the Italian Land armament sector, whereas the figure increases to 4,000 people if indirect employment is also taken into account. Very often, there are important differences between the data on employment depending on the source of information. 71 71 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective In Poland, and according to information obtained from the Central Statistical Office, employment in the Polish weapons and ammunition sector reached 5,500 people in 2009, whereas the previous year it amounted to 6,800 individuals. In Spain, the Spanish employers association TEDAE stresses that the Spanish Land armament sector employed a total of 2,777 persons in 2010 (approximately a 14% of the whole Spanish defence employment, out of which 2,130 were working in the ‘Armament, missiles and ammunition’ sector and the remaining 647 were employed in the terrestrial platforms. In Sweden, and according to data provided by the Swedish Security and Defence Industry (SOFF), the Swedish Land armament sector gave direct employment in 2010 to an estimated figure of 3,700 persons. In the United Kingdom, information coming from the British Labour Force Survey suggests that the total direct employment in the British Land armament sector in 2011 was approximately 13.7 thounsand people, where most of the employment is located in the manufacture of weapons and armaments (12.2 thousand people). However, these figures are likely to be higher due to the extensive use of supply chains and the presence of companies whose product portfolio is more varied, but which are also suppliers to the land armament sector. In this regard, estimations for the UK defence as a whole suggest that for every job created in the defence industry, 1.8 jobs are created elsewhere in the economy (Oxford Economics, 2011)72. 4.2. Main Employment Patterns in the sector 4.2.1. Employment patterns: Gender, age, levels of education and main occupations This section is interested in presenting some information on the main employment patterns of the European Land Armament sector (LAS). From a methodological perspective, this section is based on the information provided by Eurostat’s Labour Force Survey73, for two main relevant sectors, that is to say, the “Manufacture of weapons and ammunition” (NACE REV 2 25.4) and the “Manufacture of military fighting vehicles” (NACE Rev 2 30.4)74, as well as the comparison of these two sectors with the total manufacturing sector. In this regard, the current subsection presents information on gender, age, level of education and occupations, always referred to the whole EU-27 and for the average 2008-2010 figures. Estimations from the USA suggest an average employment multiplier of 2.36 for the US defence industry as a whole, where this multiplier effect is slightly higher (2.96) for the manufacturing of Military Land vehicles (Deloitte, 2012). 73 The information obtained from the Labour Force Survey of Eurostat has to be analysed with great care for a number of reasons: • The info is based on a representative but small sample of households. This means that there is an inevitably a margin of error surrounding the figures reported, specially if the industry being examined itself is relatively small or if job figures are broken down further in terms of their characteristics (sex, age, education) • Definitions used for occupations may vary according to national conventions, which leave scope for differences between countries • Disaggregated information for detailed economic sectors is not available for all EU countries. In any case, The Labour Force Survey (LFS) has a number of strong points that deserve their use, such as its up-to-date nature or the possibility to compare on an homogeneous basis all EU countries. 74 The limited size of the samples impedes the information to be disaggregated by Member States. Also, it is not possible to present data on time evolution patterns due to the changes in the definition of the sector accordingly to the new NACE Rev 2 used since 2008 onwards. 72 72 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective a) Gender considerations According to the available data provided by the Eurostat’s Labour Force Survey, both European LAS (the manufacture of weapons and ammunition and the manufacture of military fighting vehicles) can be defined as male-dominated sectors. Thus, up to 69.8% and 89.8% of the manufacture of weapons/ammunition sector and the manufacture of military fighting vehicles workforce are men, where this figures are in line (higher in the case of the manufacture of military fighting vehicles) with the average for the total European manufacturing sector (70.1%)75. Meanwhile, data from the United Kingdom shows that up to a 73% of the whole working population in the Land Armament sector are male. Interestingly, some enterprises have set up special measures in order to foster the hiring of women within the sector. Thus, the French Nexter group has created the so-called “Next’Elles” working group, intended to increase the presence of women within the group (in 2011, only 18% of the employees were women). Graph 4.5. Percentage of male employment in the Land Armament sector, average 20082010 EU 27 89,8 100 69,8 80 70,1 60 40 20 0 Manufacture of weapons Manufacture of military and ammunitions fighting v ehicles Total manufacturing Manufacture of weapons and ammunition (NACE REV 2 25.4) Manufacture of military fighting vehicles (NACE Rev 2 30.4) Source: Eurostat’s Labour Force Survey b) Age considerations From an age perspective, the most relevant characteristic of the European LAS refers to the very small presence of young people less than 24 years old, in the sense that only 3.3% and 3.0% of the workforce in the manufacture of weapons/ammunition sector and the manufacture of military fighting vehicles are younger than 25 years old, much less than the 8.6% in the case of the total European manufacturing sector. Meanwhile, the sector shows a presence of older workers (older than 55) very much in line with the European manufacturing (around 12.4%), although this presence is higher in the case of the manufacture of weapons/ammunition sector (16.6%). 75 Interestingly enough, individual evidence collected from other land defence related enterprises like BAE Systems confirms this strong presence of men within its workforce (indeed, approximately an 80% of the BAE workforce in the UK are men) (information obtained from Geoeconomics and Oxford Economics, 2011). 73 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective Graph 4.6. Distribution of employment by age groups in the Land Armament sector, average 2008-2010 EU 27 100% 16,6 80% 12,4 12,4 84,6 79,0 55+ 60% 80,1 40% 25-54 15-24 20% 3,3 3,0 8,6 Manufact ure of w eapons and Manufact ure of milit ary Tot al manufact uring ammunit ions fight ing v ehicles 0% Manufacture of weapons and ammunition (NACE REV 2 25.4) Manufacture of military fighting vehicles (NACE Rev 2 30.4) Source: Eurostat’s Labour Force Survey These results are also confirmed by other sources of information. Thus, average age of those working in the British LAS is 46 in 2001, which is slightly older than the general average for the economy as a whole (information obtained from the UK Labour Force Survey Statistics). Meanwhile, the average age in both Italian Oto Melara and Iveco companies is 40-45 years, very much in line with the average age of the German KMW workforce (42.5 years old). By way of contrast, the presence of older workers is more acute in countries such as Poland or Spain (for instance, it is estimated that the average age in the Spanish company ‘GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas’ is 52 years). These figures reflect the existence of a certain ageing problem within the European LAS, in the sense that a significant percentage of the workforce is expected to retire in the coming 10-15 years, resulting in significant skills and competence deficits. In order to overcome this situation, the incorporation of new young people in the sector is key for the future sustainability of the European defence industrial and technological base. In this regard, most relevant enterprises and countries are making important efforts to be attractive so to enrol highly qualified young individuals (engineers, technicians, welders, etc). In Germany, it is suggested that young engineers and technicians are interested in jobs in the sector because of high specialized work, new technologies and good incomes, although unclear future prospects of the defence-related activities compared to other manufacturing activities (i.e. aerospace) may result in difficulties to attract new young people to the sector. In the case of Poland, it is suggested that unattractive level of remuneration offered to new workers adds an added difficulty to the recruitment process whereas, in Spain, enterprises seem to be currently very reluctant to take on new employees due to the current economic crisis and the demand reduction. Some interviewed experts also suggest that some companies are sending high qualified personal up to six months into areas of war (i.e. Afghanistan) to secure service and maintenance, which results in added barrier for attracting new people into the sector. c) Levels of education Concerning the level of education of the European LAS sector workforce, the available data shows that it is characterised by higher levels of qualification and education than the manufacturing average. Thus, the high-tech and innovative products manufactured in the Land armament sector require expert staff to carry out very precise, meticulous, and sophisticated tasks for the production of extremely specialised and complex products. Just to give some data, only 15.5% and 4.5% of the workforce within the manufacture of weapons/ammunition and the manufacture of military fighting vehicles has got primary educational levels, re- 74 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective spectively, much lower than the 24.7% corresponding to the European manufacturing average. By way of contrast, the presence of people with tertiary education levels is higher in the manufacture of weapons/ammunition sector and the manufacture of military fighting vehicles (23.3% and 41.9%, respectively), higher in both cases than the EU manufacturing average of 18.9%. These data allow defining the European LAS as a highly-skilled sector, particularly in the case of the manufacture of military fighting vehicles. Graph 4.7. Distribution of employment by level of education in the Land Armament sector, average 2008-2010 EU 27 100% 80% 18,9 23,3 41,9 60% 40% 56,3 61,2 Secondary Primary 53,6 20% 0% Tertiary 15,5 Manufacture of weapons and ammunitions 4,5 Manufacture of military fighting vehicles 24,7 Total manufacturing Manufacture of weapons and ammunition (NACE REV 2 25.4) Manufacture of military fighting vehicles (NACE Rev 2 30.4) Source: Eurostat’s Labour Force Survey Examples of specialised skills required within the LAS include, amongst others, high level knowledge and skills in advanced manufacturing and engineering (systems, quality, integrated logistics support, software development, database, testing and integration, mechanical, electrical, advanced materials/composites); design; systems integration; test architecture/simulation; programme and proposal management; software development; contracts/subcontract and supply chain management; finance/pricing/cost engineering; ICTs, etc (Taylor and Campbell, 2011). Interestingly also, and due to the high level of specialisation required and the search for high-added value products, some skill needs are not fulfilled by general education programs, which require important efforts in additional (in-house) training. For instance, the German KMW company, in close cooperation with the skills and vocational training centre of the Bavarian Industry - BBW) developed in 2009 training courses for their employees to keep and strengthen skills and new competences. See also the comprehensive strategy of BAE Systems in the skill domain. Table 4.3. BAE Systems’ Skills 2020 Strategy The Skills 2020 is an integrated skills and education strategy that will touch every part of BAE Systems over the next 10 years. The strategy is BAE Systems answer to ensure the company has the right skills to remain competitive and operate successfully up until 2020, and beyond. The programme was launched in 2010, following a review by the Institute of Manufacturing at Cambridge University, which identified the key skills and challenges that BAE Systems and its peer group will need and face throughout the next decade. BAE Systems invests £79 million annually in its Skills 2020 strategy to address existing and future workforce issues. Activities conducted include partnership work with 30 UK universities to ensure maintenance of leading edge capabilities and technologies, multi-skilling, re-skilling and upskilling activities of the company’s workforce, or participation of young people in apprenticeship programmes and graduate training schemes (in fact, the BAE Systems Advanced Apprenticeship Programme is one of the largest such schemes in the UK). Source: BAE Systems 75 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective d) Distribution of occupations The relatively high presence of skilled and highly skilled workforce within the European LAS is also confirmed by the information provided by Eurostat’s European Labour Force Survey on the main existing occupations within the sector. Thus, data show that skilled workers and professionals/technicians represent the bulk of the workforce in the European LAS. The higher profile of occupations in the subsector of military fighting vehicles is again patent. In the case of the manufacture of weapons/ammunition sector, up to 35.8% and 28.8% of the workforce correspond to skilled workers and professional/technicians, respectively, whereas in the case of the manufacture of military fighting vehicles sector, the dominant group corresponds to professionals and technicians and followed by skilled workers (43.0% and 25.2%, respectively). By means of comparison, and taking as a reference the whole EU manufacturing sector, the presence of skilled workers and professional/technicians is lower (31.6% and 20.7%, respectively). Graph 4.8. Distribution of employment by occupational groups in the Land Armament sector, average 2008-2010 EU 27 100% 6,5 80% 28,8 60% 9,0 40% 11,8 7,1 20,7 43,0 7,3 10,2 31,6 35,8 14,6 0% Professionals and technicians Clerks, office and serv ice workers Skilled workers 23,3 Plant, machine operators - assemblers Elementary occupations 25,2 20% Managers 5,3 12,7 0,0 7,1 Weapons and Military fighting Total Manufacturing ammunition v ehicles Manufacture of weapons and ammunition (NACE REV 2 25.4); Manufacture of military fighting vehicles (NACE Rev 2 30.4) Source: Eurostat’s Labour Force Survey This information is also confirmed by other studies (i.e. Eurostrategies, 2009) which corroborate that the employment in the LAS (equally to other segments of the defence industries) is highly skilled and specialised, and characterised by a higher proportion of engineers and scientists and higher levels of qualification than for industry as a whole. Just to give some examples, at Germany’s Krauss-Maffei Wegmann, 25% of the workforce consists of development engineers, due to the importance of R&D within the company’s activities. In the case of the Italian IVECO defence company, up to 38% of the workforce are technicians (including engineers). Meanwhile, in the case of BAE Systems, up to 43% of the company employment in the UK is employed either as engineers or have some engineering backgrounds/competencies, and nearly a fifth are (nonexecutive) other professionals, in areas such as finance, ICTs and business development. Overall, 70% of UK employees at BAE Systems are either engineers, senior executives/managers or other professionals (Geoeconomics and Oxford Economics, 2011). Interestingly also, and in order to overcome the existing labour shortages in STEM (Sciene, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics) graduates within the United Kingdom, BAE Systems is attracting a great number of engineers from abroad. 76 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective Graph 4.9 18,8% BAE Systems Employment by Skills split Admin,Clerical and secretarial 1,0% 29,7% Other (including apprentices and tradesmen) Senior executives and managers Engineer-related 7,9% 42,6% Other professional Source: Geoeconomics and Oxford Economics, 2011. Some authors suggest that this remarkable presence of highly skilled occupational groups (especially researchers and engineers involved in R&D activities) is also probably explained by the fragmented nature of the sector and the subsequent duplication of programmes and R&D activities (Eurostrategies, 2009). Finally, most of the interviewed experts reckon that in the last twenty years there has been a change in the professional mix with a reduction of the number of employees and an increase in the number of new engineers and technicians. 4.2.2. Social Dialogue in the sector The qualitative information coming from interviews with experts (even if limited) suggests that, generally speaking, existing social dialogue practices within the European Land armament sector can be regarded as long-standing and well developed in nearly all countries, and especially in comparison to other economic sectors. For instance, in the case of Poland, it is possible to identify the so-called “Trilateral team for social and economic issues in the conditions of restructuring of LAS entities and LAS capacity”, composed of representatives of workers, employers and the Polish government. This Team meets several times a year to discuss and negotiate different issues related to the implementation of the defence directive and related fears, the consolidation and restructuring of the Bumar group or the issue of multi-year programming contracts, in addition to traditional social dialogue issues such as pay or working time. In Italy, and in the case of Oto Melara, consulted national experts reckon that social dialogue practices are more fluid and better in comparison to other companies of the Finmeccanica Group, where this social dialogue is perceived as a strong point for the sector. In Spain, it is suggested that trade unions’ influence was essential during the privatisation process of ‘Santa Bárbara Sistemas’, where the selection of GDELS depended on its promise to keep employment levels and working conditions. By way of contrast, there is no LAS-related social dialogue at sectoral level in the United Kingdom, although interviewed experts suggest that the degree of information sharing and consultation at company level (workplace) is extensive and growing. In this regard, UNITE (the biggest trade union in the UK which represents defence/LAS workers), is currently working towards creating a more formal social dialogue arrangements in the defence industry (including the Land armament sector). One of the typical topics related to social dialogue practices relates to the issue of “Anticipation of skills changes”. In this regard, it is interesting to stress the French experience, well reflected in the so-called “Gestion Prévisionnelle de l’Emploi et des Compétences” (GPEC) agreements (these agreements are compulsory for all French companies with over 300 employees). For instance, Nexter has recently agreed in its GPEC agreement to increase the proportion of employees over 55 years via the fostering of part-time practices. Furthermore, it was agreed that 5% of Nexter’s traineeships will be allocated to unemployed seniors. 77 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective 4.2.3. Qualitative changes in the sector’s employment in the last two decades The LAS sector, equally to other defence-related sector, is experiencing in the last two decades a number of trends within the skills domain that can be summarised as follows (BIPE, 2007; Eurostrategies, 2009): Table 4.4. There is an ongoing shift from manual workers to professionals and technicians of various types, as well as to engineers and specialists, where skilled workers nevertheless remain in high demand, for instance in the case of machine operators (as opposed to traditional unskilled blue collar workers). The previous situation is resulting in an increased average competency level required by the LAS at the recruitment stage. Due to the re-organisation of production in tiered structures and the consequent externalisation of activities, there is a reduction in the existing hierarchical levels within companies, which in turn results in a higher emphasis on teamwork structures and the polyvalence of the workforce, as well as on the management of several areas such as procurement, subcontracting or logistics. Impact of context changes on skill needs in the Land armament sector Context changes Reorganisation of production in a tiered structure and externalisation of activities Improvement in production and efficiency Increased internationalisation of operations Increased emphasis on upgrading and modernisation of existing equipments Technical and technological progress Consequences for employment and skills needs • Reduction in the existing hierarchical levels and shift towards matrix type organisations ==> emphasis on teamwork structures and the polyvalence of the workforce • Emphasis on areas such as procurement, subcontracting or logistics. • Marketing and sales • Cost and quality control skills. • Internationally-oriented competencies such as language skills, communication, ability to deal with intercultural environments, etc • Increased demand of geographically mobile workforce. • Systems integration, ability to integrate onto the platforms’ critical subsystems, including electronic architecture, sensors and integrated survivability solutions. • Skills relating to the repair and overhaul of AFVs onshore • increasing need of expert skills for the production, maintenance and handling of new materials and technologies (composites, robotics, ICTs and computer skills, numerical control machines, cold-forming processes, energy efficiency, introduction of electronics, etc.) Source: Eurostrategies, 2009 and IKEI The need to improve productivity and efficiency levels is resulting in an increased attention towards elements related to, for instance, cost and quality control skills, and for all layers of the organisation. The internationalisation strategies of most prime contractors lead to the emergence of a new set of internationally-oriented competencies such as language skills, communication, ability to deal with intercultural environments, etc. Also, and as a result of existing and future restructuring and consolidation processes, there is an expected increased demand of geographically mobile workforce. The increasing emphasis placed on upgrading and modernisation of existing equipments imply that skills to upgrade, maintain and manage military capability on a through life basis will become increasingly important. Examples of such relevant skills may include systems integration, ability to integrate onto the platforms’ critical subsystems, including electronic architecture, sensors and integrated survivability solutions. Moreover, skills relating to the repair and overhaul of AFVs onshore will become also vital. 78 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 4. The European land armament sector from an employment perspective Changes related to technological progress are resulting in an increasing need of expert skills for the production, maintenance and handling of new materials and technologies (composites, robotics, ICTs and computer skills, energy efficiency, introduction of electronics, etc) Interestingly also, and anticipating negative employment impacts of the reduction in public defence budgets, the United Kingdom has launched a number of initiatives with the explicit aim of retaining and redeploying highly skilled advanced manufacturing workers who may lose their jobs. To this end, last October 2010 it was announced the formation of the so-called “Skills and Jobs Retention Group (SJRG”), basically intended to ensure that possible redundant high value skills in the defence sector may be effectively retained and redeployed in other advanced manufacturing sectors (i.e. civil aerospace, automotive, energy and marine, etc) (Department for Industry, Innovation and Skills/BIS, 2010). Also, and since 2011, a new national web based system called “Talent Retention Solution (TRS)” has been launched in order to help match skilled employees facing redundancy to UK companies in growing sectors of advanced manufacturing and engineering which are recruiting. TRS is financed by enterprises and supported by trade unions (i.e. UNITE, Prospect), and it puts skilled individuals looking for work and companies searching for new employees in direct contact with each other through the web-based programme ‘CWeb’ (Department for Industry, Innovation and Skills/BIS, 2011). 79 5. Country specific information on the Land armament sector Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 5. Country specific information on the Land armament sector 5.1. Introduction This chapter is interested in presenting a summary of the present situation of the Land armament sector in seven main EU Member States, that is to say, France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Spain, Sweden and The United Kingdom. Detailed information per country can be obtained in the Annexes of this report. 5.2. France Mapping of the National Land Armament Sector Macroeconomic vision • The French land defence sector has a turnover of 17,5 billion euros and provides over 20.000 direct jobs in France (data 2011). Furthermore, the French armament industry exports equipment for the value €4 billion. • The French state remains the main client and a vital player when it comes to decision-making in the French land armament industry. France uses around 0.4% of its GDP for land defence expenses. • Drastic public saving measures are underway in France, so the government is seeking €5 billion savings in defence activities over the next three years. Enterprises fear that that these reductions will significantly affect equipment purchases. Groups and Enterprises • Main French LAS company is Thales. Thales has a turnover of over 7.5 billion euros of which around 2 billion euros come from LAS activities. Thales is partly owned by the French state. There seems to be a current consolidation process of French land armament sector around Thales • Another main LAS system integrator is Nexter (turnover of 792 million euros in LAS activities). GIAT-Industry and Nexter are 100% owned by the French state. The company Safran makes 2 billion euros in defence sector in total, of which only around 200 million euros come from LAS activities. Safran owns SAGEM, which produces military electronics. • Other relevant manufacturers of armoured vehicles include Renault TD (189 million euros turnover) and Panhard (turnover of 113 million euros). Panhard is currently a French manufacturer of light tactical and military vehicles. Products and value chain • The portfolio within the French LAS is large but also specialised along three product lines, that is to say, Armoured vehicles (with a €700 million turnover in 2010, largely Nexter and Panhard); Weapons, artillery and ammunition (with a turnover of €550 million in 2010 made mostly by Nexter, TDA and SNPE) and, finally; Equipment and terrestrial systems (turnover of over €6,5 billion made mostly by Cassidian, Thales and Sagem Defense). • External supply of services and maintenance activities represent growing markets for the French LAS sector, since armies are increasingly concentrating on core competences of the army (direct battle, security, etc). Markets • Current French stagnated LAS markets are compensated by strong exporting activities to third countries, especially to countries in Asia, Middle East and Europe. The French land armament companies are exporting nearly half of their production (€2.1 billion of the turnover is related to export from a total of €5 billion). India as an emerging market. • There are strong signs that the big players such as Thales adapt to a multipolar world by accepting offset deals and developing regional headquarters. • The French government is fully committed to promote the export rate of the French LAS. • French LAS companies are rarely involved in dual use products. Technology and innovation • R&D activities play a key role in the French LAS sector. Increasing role played by electronics in the sector. Specific R&D for the military sector is very important, but innovations often are created by other industries and are adapted to the LAS Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector • The French LAS has got approximately 20,000 direct employees and at least the same number of employees in the supply chain and other related services. • Sector employment is characterised by being both highly skilled and very specialised, with a higher proportion of engineers and scientists and very important efforts to train employees. Presence of an ageing working population. • The industry expects stability on employment with slightly reduction. The labour force is only slowly renewed, temporary and subcontracted company are increasingly involved in all areas Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS • Main strengths of the French LAS sector include the existence of a well developed sector, with multiple niches and submarkets as well as the strong involvement of the French state in the sector. Meanwhile, one of the main risks includes the increasing competition at international level 81 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 5. Country specific information on the Land armament sector 5.3. Germany Mapping of the National Land Armament Sector Macroeconomic vision • In 2010 the estimated German defence industry turnover amounts to 16 billion euro. There are no official statistics on the turnover of the German LAS sector. The German Association of the Defence and Security Industry (BDSV) estimates in October 2012 that more than 200.000 workers (in total - including companies of the supply chain) are employed in this branch and producing a turnover of around 22 bn Euros. • Until 2014 the Ministry of Defence is supposed to save about 8.4 billion euro, including large savings and changes in the procurement of the Bundeswehr. Also, the future German procurement strategy will include the possibility to purchase products from foreign manufacturers under pre-conditions (i.e. systems are of high quality, available on short term and are cheaper than German products Groups and Enterprises • The German LAS companies comprise System manufacturers (i.e. Kraus-Maffei Wegmann and Rheinmetall AG); Supplier and component manufacturers (i.e. Diehl Defence GmbH, ESW GmbH, MTU GmbH, Renk AG, Zahnradfabrik Friedrichshafen AG, ThyssenKrupp AG (with B+V Industrietechnik) and others); Weapons and ammunition industry (i.e. Rheinmetall Waffe Munition GmbH, Diehl BGT Defence GmbH & Co. KG, Junghans Microtec GmbH, Heckler & Koch GmbH, MBDA Deutschland GmbH); Protection systems and support vehicles (IABG mbH, TADANO FAUN GmbH, Iveco Magirus AG, Kärcher Futuretech GmbH among others). • Approximately 2,500 companies are involved in building armoured vehicles as part of the supply chain. The Leopard II tank on its own combines the efforts of approximately 1,500 companies. • Main geographical areas where LAS production plants are located in West- and South-Germany: important production centres include Hessen, Northern Germany and South/South West of Germany. Products and value chain • The LAS in Germany is very diversified, including armoured vehicles and tanks, infantry weapons, engines and aircraft technologies, production of missiles and ammunition, electronic systems and service activities. • “Dual-Use” products are not as important as it often is considered. Markets • Exporting activities play a key role in the German LAS industry, due to the high level and reliability of German LAS products. For instance, the turnover of KMW and Rheinmetall depends from 60% to 70% on their exporting activities. • German land armament products are in service by armies all around the world. Success stories include the Leopard tanks, the armoured personal carrier Fuchs, the Rheinmetall 120 mm gun or the small arms from Heckler & Koch Technology and innovation • The leading role in technology and armoured vehicles provide German companies quite a good advantage in comparison to other international competitors. • 20% of the Rheinmetall staff is engaged with R&D activities. 25- 30% of the total staff at KMW is involved in R&D activities. Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector • Available estimations suggest that 7,000 employees are working for the leading German LAS system manufacturers and 13,000 for the large suppliers • The announced savings on the defence budget in the next five years and the framework of structural reforms of the Bundeswehr – may threaten a large number of jobs in the German defence industry, unless exporting activities compensate reductions within the national markets. • The German LAS industry is facing more and more labour shortages in the future because of the demographic trend in Germany, the positive economic situation in Germany (the internal competition to get and keep skilled worker inside the industry will grow), success in exports and increasing cohorts of elderly people. • The character of jobs in the German LAS industry is becoming more high skilled and specialized in the last ten years. Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS • The German land armament industry offers a wide range of system capabilities, and has efficiency advantages in comparison to enterprises from other countries. • German companies have to face a reduction of chain operated vehicles in the next 10 years. A loss of knowledge and innovation capabilities is recognized as prospective danger. 82 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 5. Country specific information on the Land armament sector 5.4. Italy Mapping of the National Land Armament Sector Macroeconomic vision • Lack of detailed information on the Italian LAS • Main Italian LAS companies have orders for the next years due to programmes approved in previous years. Groups and Enterprises • Main Italian enterprises in the sector include OtoMelara (part of the Finmeccanica Group) and IVECO Defence Vehicles. OtoMelara is presently world leader in the design and production of small and medium calibre naval guns., Iveco Defence Vehicles is a private company, owned by the multinational Group Fiat Industrial S.p.A. Both of them are grouped under the CIO Consortium. • The national LAS is concentrated in several particular geographical areas, including La Spezia, Brescia, Bolzano and Rome Products and value chain • The product portfolio of the Italian LAS is very wide. • Otomelara portfolio of products ranges from naval guns to ammunition, from artillery guns and armoured vehicles to antiaircraft systems. Iveco is trying a diversification of products into the civil domain • The provision of defence-related services is an increasing important market for the Land armament sector. • 75% of the production value comes from third suppliers, usually (but not always SMEs) Markets • Italian national companies have a stable market for their products and services, with some international success stories such as the innovative wheeled vehicle called Lince, the 8x8 Wheeled Armoured Combat Vehicle Centauro or the light armoured vehicle Puma. For instance, Lince has been exported in 11 foreign countries (almost 3,600 produced vehicles and 4,000 ordered vehicles). Technology and innovation • Strong emphasis on R&D. For instance, Otomelara devotes 10% of the revenues in R&D activities. • Finmeccanica has built up devised cooperation agreement on projects with more than 20 Italian universities (Parma and Turin, Universities in Puglia and in Liguria, plus other Universities). Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector • The number of employees directly involved in the Italian LAS may be estimated in 1,600-1,700 people, and 4,000 people if indirect employment is also taking into account. Employment in the Italian LAS has decreased in the first half of the nineties, but after that it has remained more or less stable due to existing orders. The average age now is 40-45 years. • The majority of the Italian LAS employment is composed by technical workers and engineers. Also, there is a low level of employment turnover and a high level of employment loyalty in the Italian LAS, where the existing social dialogue is higher than in other metalworking industries. Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS • The Italian LAS shows a strong connection between Army and companies, with a strong R&D orientation and important presence in export activities. Meanwhile, the sector does not have a clear strategy related to what are the products and equipments to develop in the coming years • Likely reduction in investments in defence, counterbalanced by demand coming from other sectors such as security and Civil Protection • From the Italian perspective, likely integration of the Land defence model in Europe in the coming 5-10 years around the French, German and Italian major players. Open question about the role that Italian players can develop in this new scenario. 83 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 5. Country specific information on the Land armament sector 5.5. Poland Mapping of the National Land Armament Sector Macroeconomic vision • The value of production sold in the manufacturing of weapons and ammunition sector in 2010 reached 281 million EUR. • The financial and economic crisis has significantly affected LAS industries, with the reduction in the Polish MoD budget to acquire LAS products. This results in fewer purchases and even the mighty withdrawal of already signed contracts. • Along the last decade, the Polish LAS has undergone a restructuring process. In the period 2007-2012 the Polish government followed a “Strategy of consolidation and support to development of the polish defence industry” which led to the strengthening of the national capital group Bumar sp.z o.o., which acquired the LAS state-owned entities and was internally reorganised as the largest group in the LAS. Meanwhile, some companies within the Public Industrial Development Agency SA were either sold (some were bought by private national or foreign companies) or were closed. Groups and Enterprises • 130 different companies operate in the Polish LAS. The business fabric is mainly state-owned, but there are also a few private companies, mainly SMEs which cooperate by supplying components. • The state-owned business group BUMAR sp. Z o.o. leads the LAS. It is supervised by the Ministry of State Treasury. The group is sub-divided into four divisions: ammunition, soldier, electronics and land. • There are other state-owned enterprises and R&D entities. Some enterprises are associated under a capital group of the Industrial Development Agency, others are managed by the Ministry of State Treasury or the MoD, etc. Products and value chain • There are two main categories of specialisation: 1) products (e.g. radiolocation and communications system, Rosomak transporter) and modernisation services for foreign markets, and 2) services for the domestic market to modernise equipment for NATO standards. This last category includes Military Renovation and Manufacturing Companies (WPRP). • SMEs constitute a key element of the Polish LAS, and they normally act as subcontractors for large companies. Competition among suppliers is very high. Markets • The share of exports over Polish LAS sales has decreased over the last years, probably due to the lack of strategic management in LAS companies and the lack of state instruments to support export activities. Authorities should better support Polish LAS industries in exporting markets. Technology and innovation • The Polish government has stopped buying products of low-quality or for which there is no real demand. This has positively influenced products’ modernisation and technological level, and has increased R&D expenditure. • Public funding is the main source of financing of R&D activities. The Bumar group is the leader of R&D activities (in 2009 it spent approx. 45 M Eur on R&D). Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector • Currently, there are approx. 10,000 workers employed in the Bumar Group. It is expected that around 1,600 employees will leave the company under the ‘voluntary employment termination’ scheme. Negative employment forecasts are mainly due to: declining level of orders by the MoD and exports, advancing automation and new business requirements. • Ageing of Polish LAS workforce is noticeable; new young workers are not employed. Also, there is a lack of competences or high qualifications with regard to the new requirements of the sector (e.g. higher technological levels). Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS • The consolidation of Bumar group creates a single and strong player on the market. Some experts estimate that its strength protects Polish subcontractors (SMEs) from foreign companies with their own supply channels. • There is fierce competition from large foreign enterprise, with higher financial and technological capacities. • With the new EU legislation, leading to market opening, Polish LAS companies should stop focusing on domestic buyers and receive more support from Polish authorities to export. 84 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 5. Country specific information on the Land armament sector 5.6. Spain Mapping of the National Land Armament Sector Macroeconomic vision • Total turnover of the Spanish LAS decreased from 735.77 million Euros in 2008 to 424.4 millions of Euros in 2010. • Since 2009, drastic reduction in Spanish defence budgets (decrease by almost 70% of the Spanish public investment in defence between 2008 and 2011. Subsequent negative impact on companies’ capacities. Current defence demand predominantly related to the maintenance and modernization of already acquired products and materials. Groups and Enterprises • Limited number of major companies acting as main contractors (nevertheless small compared to their international counterparts). Largest Spanish LAS manufacturer in is GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas (part of the European Group GDELS). GDELS-SBS produces armoured vehicles, weapons and systems, and artillery and ammunition (defence sales reached 310 million Euros in 2010. Other relevant Spanish LAS companies include IVECO España and UROVESA (manufacturers of military fighting vehicles), and EXPAL (manufacturer of military ammunition and explosives). • Presence of a large group of small-scale suppliers. Products and value chain • Important competitive advantages in some niche markets. Progressive specialisation in a number of critical industries • SMEs are the basic industrial fabric of the LAS sector. They provide specialized small components to main contractors. • The provision of defence-related services is becoming increasingly important. As well as this, the new scenario is focused on equipment sustainability rather than acquisition of new weapon systems. Markets • There is not any institutional platform to support LAS companies’ exports. A common claim among industry representatives is the demand for support from the Spanish Government to help them access international markets. Technology and innovation • Traditionally, Spanish R&D efforts in the defence sector have been mainly supported by Public Administrations. Unfavourable current economic conditions raise fears of a reduction in innovation capabilities of the defence industry. • Polemic issue concerning public credits provided by the Ministry of Industry to defence companies to support R&D in the sector, to be reimbursed when the Spanish MoD would pay to the industries for the pre-agreed products. Current debt of the MoD to enterprises of 26,000 million Euros. Gloomy prospects to satisfy this debt. Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector • In 2010 the ‘Armament, missiles and ammunition’ sector employed a total of 2,130 persons, whereas the ‘terrestrial platforms’ sector employed 647. No current hiring of new employees, resulting into the ageing of the workforce. • The LAS workforce is highly qualified and specialised. It is estimated that there is a good training supply, adapted to the needs of the sector. Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS • Scale problems and weaker industrial capabilities of the Spanish LAS, derived from its smaller dimension and stronger dependence on National Public Authorities. • The decline in demand and the limited size of Spanish defence companies have serious implications for the technological development of the industry, affecting the ability to cooperate with other countries or companies. • The sector lacks an established and coordinated cooperation structure between Spanish defence industries and Public Authorities. Need to reform the current public acquisitions processes (e.g. by introducing ‘Public Private Partnerships’). • The following business opportunities have been detected in the Spanish LAS, basically the sustainability of the equipment purchased and the modernization of the weapons systems and vehicles in use; The security market is an appealing market with growing prospects; Important opportunities derived from export and internationalisation activities, despite increasing competition in international markets. 85 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 5. Country specific information on the Land armament sector 5.7. Sweden Mapping of the National Land Armament Sector Macroeconomic vision • The estimated turnover of the LAS is some SEK 19.6 billion. Swedish defence industry as a whole grew in the period 20042008, but since 2009 it has stabilised. The economic and financial crisis has not affected the Swedish LAS to any great extent, since product cycles are long and companies had full order books before the outbreak of the crisis. • The Swedish defence industry has gone through a major restructuring process since the end of the 1980´s, from being domestically orientated to being export orientated; and from being state-owned to being completely privatised. Moreover, the sector has been opened up for competition. Groups and Enterprises • One of the major companies in the Swedish LAS is the SAAB Group, specialised in command systems and support weapons. The British based group BAE Systems is another major player (it owns the former Swedish companies Hägglunds&Söner, specialised in military vehicles, and AB Bofors, specialised in weapon systems). A third major player is NAMMO, which is specialised in ammunition and has a joint Finnish and Norwegian ownership. Markets • The Swedish Government has actively worked to enhance the Swedish LAS reputation abroad in order to keep the competences of the industry. Export of Military Products and Services is important for the Swedish LAS. • Of the total sale of Military Products and Services some SEK 13.7 billion was exported abroad (2010 data). The biggest region for export of Military Products and Services is other European countries. Technology and innovation • All main companies have their own self-financed R&D programmes. As well as this, the Swedish Defence Materials Administration allocates funds and pays companies to finance R&D. Major R&D programmes must be supported by governmental means due to high risks and long product cycles. • The Swedish Government has recently changed its defence acquisition policies in favour of market based solutions. This can have negative consequences on the Swedish LAS, which may lose a major customer as well as R&D funds. Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector • The total number of employees in the Swedish security and defence industry was around 30,000 in 2010. Experts’ estimations for the LAS sector speculate the number of employees to be approx. 5,000. • The Swedish LAS has an ageing problem: a large portion of the employees are soon about to retire. The sector is also characterised by highly skilled workers. Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS • The Swedish LAS has a number of strengths: the technical level is extremely high, and the product base is very broad (so the sector does not depend on one or a few products). Moreover, the industry builds very cost- effective products, and it is very good at finding practical solutions to problems. • According to EU policies, all countries should open up their defence sectors and purchases for open competition. Swedish experts complain that Sweden has carried out this process thoroughly, but other European states have not, so markets’ situation is unbalanced (if other countries protect their own industries, disadvantages for Swedish LAS emerge). • One of the threats for the Swedish LAS is the lack of a Swedish Defence Industry Strategy. This means that the government does not articulate what R&D they will support, so companies lack this assurance. • The major opportunity for the Swedish LAS is to increase its market shares (i.e. exports) in both Europe and in emerging economies (e.g. Brazil and India). The Swedish LAS would need more State support for this. • The future of the Swedish LAS depends to a large extent on how the rest of the European countries act. The near future will, probably, result in mergers and in fewer employees in total. 86 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 5. Country specific information on the Land armament sector 5.8. United Kingdom Mapping of the National Land Armament Sector Macroeconomic vision • The UK defence industry generates over £35bn per year to the UK economy76. • As part of the 2005 “Defence Industrial Strategy” (DIS), the 2009 “Armoured Fighting Vehicles (AFV) Sector Strategy” established that there is no absolute requirement to manufacture all AFVs within the UK, and it just recognised the need to retain an onshore capability to repair and overhaul AFVs . Clear implications for the AFVs UK manufacturing base.The UK weapons and munitions sector is quite strong, and it is expected to remain stable in the near future. The 2005 DIS strategy sekks to retain many strategic capabilities in this domain. • The White Paper “National Security through Technology” adopted the open procurement principle, so British companies will no longer have priority for government contracts (the UK will buy off-the-self). Groups and Enterprises • The UK defence industry as a whole comprises about 9,000 defence companies, including a large number of SMEs. • The UK defence industry is dominated by BAE Systems, Bristish-owned. BAE Systems Land and Armament deals with the LAS sector, employing about 3,000 people in the UK. Meanwhile, the weapons and munitions sector marketplace is highly fragmented. Important players include BAE Systems, MBDA (UK) Ltd, Thales, Chemring (munitions) and Rolex (weapons). Products and value chain • The armoured vehicles subsector is highly specialised. In contrast, the munitions sub-sector has a more varied portfolio. • Important business opportunities derived from equipment refurbishment/upgrading and capability enhancement activities. • SMEs are quite active actors in the defence industry either as prime contractors or subcontractors in the supply chain. In 2011, an estimated 42% of MoD contracts were placed directly with SMEs. Typically, SMEs operate as niche suppliers. Markets • In 2011 UK retained its place as the world's second largest exporter of defence and security equipment. UK's most important non-EU markets are the Middle East, the Far East, the US and India. Exports are seen as counterbalance against the fall in domestic demand. Successive UK governments have actively supported the outward orientation of the defence industry, through export subsidies and a dedicated government sales organisation. Technology and innovation • The UK defence industry’s total R&D investment in 2010 amounted to £1.66bn. The defence industry is one of the most R&D intensive sectors in the UK, and successive governments have actively supported R&D in this industry. • The LAS, with some government support, has been quite active in R&D and has been part of the so-called technology trees which typically comprise large organisations, SMEs, research technology organisations (RTOs) and/or Universities. Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector • The UK LAS employs between 2,000-3,000 in the armoured vehicles sector, and about 10,000 in the weapons and ammunition sector). Budget cuts in the AFVs are having negative employment implications for workers in the sector • The defence industry requires high-tech specialised skills. The LAS sector has a long-standing tradition of investing in training and skills development. Both industry and trade unions have raised serious concerns about the consequences for employment and skills stemming from the decrease in major defence orders and the open procurement practices. Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS • The UK LAS industry is concerned about its future prospects within an environment of severe budget cuts and growing international competition, together with British policies’ focus on open procurement and off-the-shelf purchasing and coming to an end of several military operations (i.e. in Afghanistan). • Experts underline the need for the UK to develop a new defence industrial strategy with clear long-term objectives, so that the industry maintains its confidence in the domestic market. A good example of this is given by the Munitions Acquisition Supply Solution (MASS) programme, a 15-year programme which secures national UK supply. 76 Data from ADS (UK AeroSpace, Defence & Security Industries), published in its website in May 2012. 87 6. Industrial Outlook of the European land armament sector Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 6. Industrial Outlook of the European land armament sector 6.1. Main Strengths and Weaknesses of the European Land Armament Sector 6.1.1. Strengths of the European Land armament sector The main strengths of the European Land Armament sector can be summarised as follows77: 1. Key role of Land armament in the current and future European military operations. Despite the impact of air and naval power in modern warfare, current and near term future European military operations are mainly performed by land forces often as part of a European or multinational missions. This means that there is a strong need for new and/or improved land armament technologies, equipments and systems for Euopean Land forces and soldiers, where this need is expected to continue in the coming years. 2. Commitment of European governments (both at national and at European level), to keep an independent and sovereign European Land armament capability. The information provided in this report has stressed the commitment of the national and supranational European authorities to keep a sovereign and comprehensive autonomy in defence–related capabilities in general and in Land armament capabilities in particular. This is a particular strong point for the sector that guarantees its activities in the coming years. 3. Comprehensive portfolio of Land armament products. Europe is specialised in the production of a whole range of highly competitive products, from low added-value to high value products. Examples include main battle tanks (MBTs), armoured tracked and wheeled tracked fighting vehicles, tactical and logistical trucks, large calibre guns, turrets, advanced ammunition and weapons, optronics, protection equipments and systems such as C-RAM78, soldier systems, sensors for C4I (Command, Control, Communication, Computers and Intelligence), C4I equipment and systems, simulation and training equipment or logistic and support equipment and services. 4. Strong historical tradition of the Land Armament sector in Europe. A close analysis of the main European Land armament enterprises shows that these enterprises have a long historical tradition that goes back in some cases to the XIX century and is deeply rooted to the country where the enterprise is located. This strong tradition redounds in a robust and solid knowledge base in Europe, well reflected in the existence of a large network of agents involved in the sector which positively contribute to its competitiveness. Notwithstanding this, these strong historical backgrounds can also result in additional difficulties to cooperate amongst enterprises, as these national/enterprise cultures are very different to be changed in short time periods. 5. Presence of a well sustained and profitable manufacturing fabric, from world leaders to subcontractors. Europe is characterised by the existence of a well sustained and profitable Land armament manufacturing fabric composed by three main types of actors, that is to say i) several world leading multinational companies operating in other defence-related fields (i.e. air or sea) or in civil-related products (BAE Systems, EADS, MBDA, Thales), ii) some nationally based prime land system integrators (Nexter, OTO Melara, Patria, Krauss-Maffei Wegmann, Rheinmetall, Saab, etc), often also specialised in civil-related activities and, finally, iii) many Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs), either highly specialised in niche markets/specialises knowledge and/or involved as suppliers in the existing supply chains of the final land armament integrators. 6. Strong position of European products in international markets. This report has shown that European land armament manufacturers and products are particularly dependant on internationalisation and export activities as a way to overcome the limited size of national markets or existing regulations that limit the achievement of a truly European internal market in the sector (i.e. Article 346 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union). In this regard, the data shows that This SWOT analysis is presented in a Pan-European perspective. Of course, these factors can have a different importance amongst European countries due to differences in country-specific conditions such as the structure of the industry in terms of the degree of concentration or the product markets in which companies operate. 78 Counter Rocket, Artillery, and Mortars systems 77 89 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 6. Industrial Outlook of the European land armament sector Europe as a whole has got a very strong competitive position in Land Armament international markets, better reflected in high levels of exports, positive trade balance accounts and the existence of several export success stories within the sector. 7. Stronger emphasis on R&D activities than the manufacturing average. The high competitiveness of the European Land armament sector is explained to a large extent by the sector’s continuous research and innovation efforts in new technologies and products, better exemplified by the 6% of total sales devoted to R&D activities and well above the European manufacturing sector. In this sense, the European main Land armament sector enterprises’ innovation strategy is focused on achieving technology leadership in their interest domains so to produce capability driven, competent and highly competitive Land armament innovative products and solutions. Moreover, this strong emphasis on innovations is seen within the sector as a key element for assuring the future sustainability of the European sector in a context characterised by global competition and the emergence of new competitors in the coming years. 8. Presence of a highly qualified workforce in the sector. Despite existing difficulties, the European Land armament sector benefits from a highly skilled workforce that is at the heart of the specialisation of the European industry on know-how dominated high-tech market segments. In this respect, this highly-skilled workforce is a key factor in turning knowledge into wealth and ensuring productivity, innovation and competitiveness within the sector. Of course, this also requires that sector enterprises need to recruit, retain and retrain quality workers to maintain their skills base and know-how. 9. Presence of good/fluid social dialogue practices in the sector. This study has shown that social dialogue practices with the Land armament sector can be characterised as active and fluid, facilitating the discussion and (possibly) agreements on different issues affecting the future development of the sector. 10. Existence of associative structures within the sector. The European Land armament sector enterprises are well represented by national and pan-European representative organisations that defend their interest before different public and private actors. In this regard, the recent set up of the so-called ELDIG Group (European Land Defence Industry Group) increases the public image and representative activities of the Aerospace and Defence Industries Association of Europe (ASD) in contrast to other defence-related activities. 11. Concentration of the Land armament sector in some concrete regions in Europe. The concentration of enterprises and employment in certain EU regions and areas reflects the existence of effective “clusters” where companies may share knowledge and resources and combine strengths in order to develop new products and applications, both for military but also for civilian applications (advanced communications technologies, new materials, etc). However, it worth stressing that in case of sectoral difficulties, this high concentration of enterprises and employment in certain regions is also a source of vulnerability and threat, especially on the social front. 6.1.2. Weaknesses of the European Land armament sector The main weaknesses of the European Land Armament Sector can be summarised as follows: 1. Preponderance of “small” captive national markets, fragmentation of both the customers and the industry base. Despite efforts made at some EU political levels, there is not a European-level Land armament market yet. In this regard, the situation is better characterised by the presence of national “small”79 captive markets where Member States governments favour some national “champions” in the name of national sovereignty and autonomy in defence-related issues. This situation, well explained by the recourse to the Article 346 of the TFEU (Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union), prevents “de facto” the implementation of the Internal Market in the Land armament sector in particular and results in a large number of different European custom- 79 The only relatively high defence spending markets correspond to UK, France, Germany and Italy, in any case much smaller than the US one. 90 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 6. Industrial Outlook of the European land armament sector ers with different regulatory frameworks and standards, unnecessary duplication of products, production structures and R&T efforts, higher pricing levels, shorter production runs (partially compensated by export activities), excess capacity as well as a lack of standardisation of military equipments (in the sense that each manufacturer pursues its own technology lines). Obviously enough, all these elements result in avoidable additional costs and inefficiencies for the manufacturers and for Europe as a whole, especially in comparison to the US Land armament industry. 2. Smaller and less specialised main European Land armament manufacturers in comparison to their US competitors. In comparison to the USA, the EU main land armament manufacturers are characterised by being smaller in size and more defence-dependent than their US counterparts, which obviously reduces their possibilities to compensate existing difficulties in the public defence budgets with civilian-related activities. Also, EU manufacturers achieve lower economies of scale since they produce a wider range of products in smaller batches, usually aimed at their “small” national markets or to export activities. Obviously enough, the presence of “small” captive national markets (previously explained) is at the root of this situation. 3. Weaknesses related to the land armament manufacturing SMEs. European land armament SMEs play an important role within the sector, especially in relation to their function as suppliers within the existing sector supply chains. Notwithstanding this, the European land armament SMEs have a number of weaknesses, better reflected in their limited access to capital for upgrading their position in value chains, difficulties in establishing positions in export markets or their limited access to national defence markets (due to their difficulties in accessing to key relevant information on procurement opportunities or in the higher cost (both in terms of time and resources) for them derived from preparing bids). 4. Lower involvement in R&D activities in comparison to other defence-related sectors. The available data shows that, despite the existence of important R&D activities within the European Land Armament sector, this sector shows a less research orientation in comparison to other defencerelated sectors such as military electronics, aerospace or naval industries. This situation is perceived to potentially hamper the EU industry’s future technological competitiveness, especially in the current context of accelerated innovations so to cope with the new defence and security risks. 5. Insufficient competitiveness levels of (some) Eastern European land armament enterprises. This report has shown that despite the fact that the EU12 defence industry has experienced a massive restructuring process in the nineties and early twenties, their level of competitiveness is still below the standards of the old Members States’ industries. This situation is better exemplified by the existing role that the EU12 defence supplier-base plays in the whole European defence supply chain, usually at its lower end with the production of elemental components based on cheaper labour differences. Notwithstanding this, some new Member States have a thorough industrial strategy to upgrade and reinforce their defence industries in general and the land armament sector in particular (i.e. Poland). 6. Presence of large and complex, less internationalised supply chains, at least in comparison to other defence related sectors (i.e. aerospace). The European Land armament sector is characterised by the existence of complex, larger and usually national-oriented supply chains, at least in comparison to other defence-related sectors (i.e. aeronautics). Notwithstanding this, it is possible to identify an increasing trend towards the creation of more structured and tiered-supply chains, with the reduction in the number of first-tier suppliers directly working with the prime contractors. 7. Limited presence of collaboration agreements amongst European manufacturers. In comparison to other military sectors (i.e. the military aerospace sector), the European land armament sector is little active in the development of collaborative projects amongst enterprises both within or amongst different European countries, especially as far as R&D activities are concerned. In this sense, this situation has got a negative effect on the competitiveness of the European Land armament technological and industrial base, specially having in mind the existing race for new and disruptive innovation or the increasingly complexity of technologies used by the sector. 91 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 6. Industrial Outlook of the European land armament sector 8. Reduction of employment in the last few years. The available data suggests that the employment within the European Land armament sector as a whole has experienced in the last years a downward trend, although this negative evolution is primarily explained by the restructuring process carried out in the new Member States in comparison to a more sustained evolution in the old Member States (or at least in the majority of them). 6.2. Main Factors of Change (Opportunities and Threats) for the European Land armament sector 6.2.1. Opportunities for the European Land armament sector The main opportunities for the future growth and competitiveness of the European Land armament sector can be summarised as follows: 1. Sustained demand of new and/or upgraded European land armament products. This report has shown that there are very important business opportunities for the European land armament industry in terms of new products and services, including increasing the inter-operability of existing products and components amongst different manufacturers so to better accomplish the requirements of European armies in international operations. Examples include interoperable technologies, equipment and systems amongst different armies, enhanced information networking tools, unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs), guided/precision ammunition, battle labs, protection equipments and technologies, soldier modernisation programmes, logistics services, etc. Also, it should not be forgotten the existing opportunities within the Land armament industry related to the high replacement and upgraded/modernisation needs for certain types of land equipment (i.e. tanks, vehicles, etc). 2. Opportunities derived from liberating more EU defence resources to procurement activities, multiyear perspective. This study has shown that additional resources could be liberated for the defence industry in general and the land armament industry in particular if the structure of the EU defence expenditure was more in line with the US one, resulting in less money spent on personnel (civilian and military staff) and more on equipment procurement and R&D (investment). Also, the availability of multi-year national contracts can be a good opportunity for the sector, as it may facilitate a more rational planning of the enterprises’ activities. 3. Existing business opportunities outside the European market of land armament products. There are important business opportunities for European land armament manufacturers in non-EU market countries, in the sense that these markets are growing faster than the currently shrinking home markets (“the Industry follows the money”). In this regard, European companies have to make good use of these large business opportunities, while at the same time assuring that national governments actively support their exporting activities80. Of course, an open question refers to the future effects of all these developments in the European employment. 4. Opportunities derived from a more intense international cooperation within the European borders. This report has put forward that a much stronger cooperation, not only amongst European manufacturers themselves but also amongst European manufacturers and European authorities, is a “must” for the European Land Armament sector in the coming years, due to the increasingly complexities involved with the development of new products in a public budget constrained environment. In this regard, there are a number of initiatives underway, both amongst European manufacturers themselves (i.e. the activities conducted by the ELDIG Group81 or some collaboration agreements amongst manufacturers) and amongst governments (the cooperative activities All in all, this situation is resulting in a tougher competition of European manufacturers amongst themselves in international markets 81 European Land Defence Industrial Group 80 92 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 6. Industrial Outlook of the European land armament sector promoted by the European Defence Agency (EDA)82 and the European Commission), the new defence concept of “pooling and Sharing” developed in the informal EU Defence Ministerial in Ghent 2010, and ultimately the full development of the Common Security and Defence Policy. All these activities must redound in a higher coordination of R&D and procurement efforts at EU level, avoiding duplication of efforts, facilitating standardisation of products, substantial savings and increasing, at the same time, the size of EU defence public procurement markets. 5. Changes derived from new regulatory/strategic framework, “Trivialisation” of the defence sector. Some public decisions are expected to radically influence the future developments of the European Land armament sector, facilitating the setting up of a real European internal defence market, the development of more open/competitive/less “biased” procurement practices at national level and, ultimately, the “trivialisation” of the defence sector so to make it more in line with any other manufacturing sector and not subject to so many exceptions. Examples of these new framework conditions include the so called “Defence Package”, the two Directives adopted in 2009 with a view to facilitate the development of a European defence equipment market, the activities conducted by the European Defence Agency (EDA) or, finally, some recent changes in the procurement strategy in some countries (i.e. the UK White Paper)83. 6. Opportunities linked to the dual use of defence technologies/products in civilian applications. One of the most important opportunities for the defence industry in general and the Land armament industry in particular refers to the possibilities derived from the “dual” use of goods and technologies, that is to say, products and technologies that have both military and civilian applications in the growing security-related market (i.e. C4I technologies, simulation/training products, vehicles adapted to civil security needs, etc). In this regard, there are important opportunities for further technological cooperation and collaboration between Defence and Security funding bodies at EU or at national level (i.e. EDA and the EC). Not surprisingly, some of the most important major companies within the European defence sector have created new “Security and Defence” business subsidiaries to respond to this increasing security-defence consolidation, although the extent of this integration is different amongst enterprises and armament sectors, where the Land armament sector is one of the sectors with more difficulties to benefit from these dual-market opportunities due to their product portfolio. 7. Outsourcing of (some) traditional military in-house services. European national authorities are increasingly open to outsourcing to the private sector some of the classical logistic and service activities (i.e. transport, repair activities, health and medicine, fuel and catering, ICT control, etc). This situation, relatively common in countries such as the UK or the USA, is currently being exacerbated by existing cost reasons, and results in added business opportunities for the Land armament sector. Notwithstanding this, this option represents a big conceptual change within some European national Armed Forces as it affects very sensitive issues such as security of supply or information security. 8. Increased collaboration with universities/research centres in the R&D domain. The European Land armament sector can benefit from further co-operation with universities and research centres that may allow for a better transfer of know how and technology from these research centres as well as from other sectors. 82 For instance, the EDA has recently published a report on the European Precision Guided Ammunition (PGA) sector, where this study provides a Roadmap and Implementation Plan that covers a ten years cycle of proposed activities and actions, including the foundation of a European PGA forum, discussions about European production of identified critical components and, the definition of a joint European PGA program. For more information see http://www.eda.europa.eu/news/12-03-07/roadmap_and_implementation_plan_on_precision_guided_ammunition. 83 It is interesting to stress that some interviewed enterprises also reckon that a more clear internal market in defence industries may also have negative consequences for them, specially if open procurement practices redound in additional price-related competition. 93 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 6. Industrial Outlook of the European land armament sector 6.2.2. Threats for the European Land armament sector The main threats for the future growth and competitiveness of the European Land armament sector can be summarised as follows: 1. Negative impact of the current economic crisis on public defence budgets. This report has shown that one of the major threats for the European defence industry in general and the European land armament in particular refers to the current public budget restrictions, resulting in stagnant or even lower defence budgets in the last 2-3 years. Moreover, rising production costs within land armament manufacturers84 exacerbate even more these defence budgets in real terms, resulting in overall reductions in defence equipment expenditures. This threat, expected to continue in the coming years for a relatively large share of European Member States, is expected to have a negative impact on the land armament manufacturers in terms of lower public demand and lower defence procurement figures, as well as the delays/postponements/cancellations of land armament programmes85, resulting in negative impacts on enterprises’ profitability and future competitiveness levels, additional cost pressures for suppliers, risks of mounting protectionism or skills depletion-risks. Specifically in the case of SMEs in the supply chains, some authors suggest that the current tightened credit conditions in some member States may result that some cashhungry SMEs could turn more easily to foreign financial investors to secure their survival, affecting therefore the future independence of the European Land armament supply chains. 2. Growing competition from traditional players coupled with the emergence of new entrants. The land armament sector (or at least some of its segments) is characterised by a strong competition worldwide, due amongst other elements to lower technological barriers to entry in comparison to other defence-related sectors (i.e. aeronautics, electronics, etc). In this regard, the European manufacturers (both prime manufacturers and suppliers) are being increasingly threatened not only by the US manufacturers but also by competitors coming from other price-competitive countries such as Japan, India, Israel, South Korea, Turkey or Russia. This situation is exacerbated both by the search of less expensive suppliers worldwide but also by the existing technological and knowledge transfers derived from the offsets agreements signed by European manufacturers with third countries. Finally, the current blurring of the boundaries between the defence and the civilian security equipments and technologies is resulting in the opening-up of the Land armament sector to new actors and enterprises specialised in civilian products with a possible military use. Against this background, European determination to keep an independent industry base can act as a barrier. 3. Threats derived from the coming-to-an-end of several current military operations. Another major determinant factor for the future of the European LAS is the current military involvement in several countries (Iraq, Afghanistan) which is coming to an end in the near future and which will likely mean a drop in the cost of operations and required equipment, as well as a rationalisation of intheatre equipment and logistic support. On the other hand, it can be expected an increase in logistic movement as military materiel is redeployed (opportunity for the logistic enterprises), as well as an enhanced tempo of equipment refurbishment/upgrading and capability enhancement (as opposed to production). 4. Possible downsizing of the land armament sector and need to further restructure the sector. The combination of tightened public defence budgets with growing competition may result in increasing needs to further restructure the European land armament sector, with important employment and skills implications. In addition to the social costs derived from further reductions in employment, there is a grave risk of losing cutting edge capabilities (e.g. in design, manufactur- 84 These rising production costs are better explained by the large variety, high technical content and increased complexity of Land defence equipment and systems. 85 In this regard, it should not be forgotten that many Land programmes are usually characterised by low/medium individual budgets (specially in comparison to airborne systems), so they are usually the first candidates when budget cuts are to be considered. Also, postponements resulting in final cancellations are particularly damaging for the industry, as they may involve investments by manufacturers that do not result in any final demand. 94 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 6. Industrial Outlook of the European land armament sector ing, etc), negatively affecting the future survival of the sector at the forefront of defence-related innovation. 5. Current and upcoming EU R&D main programmes do not take into consideration defence-related priorities. In this regard, the currently existing 7th Framework Programme or the proposed “Horizon 2020 - The Framework Programme for Research and Innovation” only include security-related strategic elements, with no reference to defence-related issues, an issue that it is negatively regarded by the European land armament sector in general. 6. Specific threats affecting SMEs in the supply chains. SMEs in the existing supply chains are currently confronted with a number of threats that may affect their future. Examples of these threats include the current trend towards strengthening the role that prime contractor play vis-à-vis the client, the current rationalisations in existing supply chains or the risk-sharing approaches, where all of them reinforce the role and negotiating power of prime contractors in relation to their suppliers 7. Significant presence of an old workforce within the European land armament sector that will have to be replaced in the coming years. The ageing process of the European workforce is currently posing a major challenge for the European land armament sector, in the sense that a significant share of European workers in the sector (approximately a 14%) are nearly to retire in the coming ten years. This situation requires a number of responses by the sector, amongst others, the replacement of these old workers by younger workers and, secondly, a successful transfer of existing knowledge and skills from old to young workers. Of course, the limited “positive” image of the sector amongst young people may imply added difficulties to successfully cope with this ageing process 8. Need for a highly qualified, skilled, trained and educated workforce; Loss of the existing skill base. From an employment perspective, the full realisation of the opportunities opened up by new technologies, innovations and existing high tech processes is directly dependant on the presence of a highly qualified, skilled, trained and educated workforce. This situation imposes a number of challenges to the sector in recruiting, training and retaining a quality skilled workforce for the industry, such as the need to streamline the existing education and training supply with the current and future new skills’ challenges and needs (skill demands) of the sector, the need to attract young people to the sector or, finally, the need to train in new skills demands identified by the sector. These challenges are increased in the current context of major public cuts in new orders and land programmes, which may imply a loss of the existing skill base. 95 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 6. Industrial Outlook of the European land armament sector Table 6.1 SWOT Matrix of the European Land Armament Sector STRENGHTS • • • • • • • • • • • Key role of Land armament in the current and future European military operations. Commitment of European governments (both at national and at European level), to keep an independent and sovereign European Land armament capability. Comprehensive portfolio of Land armament products. Strong historical tradition of the Land Armament sector in Europe. Presence of a well sustained and profitable manufacturing fabric, from world leaders to subcontractors. Strong position of European products in international markets. Stronger emphasis on R&D activities than manufacturing average. Presence of a highly qualified workforce in the sector. Presence of good/fluid social dialogue practices in the sector Existence of association structures within the sector. Concentration of the Land armament sector in some concrete regions in Europe. WEAKNESSES • • • • • • • • OPPORTUNITIES • • • • • • • • Sustained demand of new and/or upgraded land armament products. Opportunities derived from liberating more EU defence resources to procurement activities, multi-year perspective Existing business opportunities outside the European market of land armament products. Opportunities derived from a more intense international cooperation within the European borders. Changes derived from new regulatory/strategic frameworks Opportunities linked to the dual use of defence technologies/products in civilian applications. Outsourcing of traditional military functions. Increased collaboration with universities/research centres in the R&D domain Presence of “small” captive national markets, fragmentation of both the customers and the industry base. Smaller and less specialised main European Land armament manufacturers in comparison to their US competitors. Weaknesses related to the land armament SMEs. Lower involvement in R&D activities in comparison to other defence-related sectors. Insufficient competitiveness levels of (some) Eastern European land armament enterprises. Preponderance of large and complex, less internationalised supply chains, at least in comparison to other defence related sectors (i.e. aerospace). Limited presence of collaboration agreements amongst European manufacturers. Reduction of employment in the last few years. THREATS • • • • • • • • Negative impact of the current economic crisis on public defence budgets. Growing competition from traditional players coupled with the emergence of new entrants. Threats derived from the coming-to-an-end of several current military operations Possible downsizing of the land armament sector and need to further restructure the sector. Current and upcoming EU R&D main programmes do not take into consideration defence-related priorities Specific threats affecting SMEs in the supply chains. Significant presence of an old workforce within the European land armament sector that will have to be replaced in the coming years. Need for a highly qualified, skilled, trained and educated workforce; Loss of the existing skill base 96 7. Drivers of change and future possible scenarios of the European Land Armament Sector Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 7. Drivers of change and future possible scenarios of the European Land Armament Sector 7.1. Recapitulation of main Drivers of Change Taking into account the main threats and opportunities for the future growth and competitiveness of the European Land armament sector already presented in a previous chapter, next table presents the main drivers of change that are affecting the current and future developments of the sector. In this regard, these drivers of change can be grouped in five main blocks that are summarised as follows: Table 7.1 EU policy driving factors: These drivers include the policy trends that are developed within the political context of the EU and may impact the structure of the Land defence sector Relevant examples of these driving factors include the development of a real European Common Security Defence Policy (CSDP) (even if for the moment insufficient) or different initiatives taken to foster the development of a more European Internal market in land defence products (“Defence Package”, “Directives 2009/43/EC and 2009/81/EC”, Ghent Framework, several activities conducted by the EDA). Also, this group may also include the coming to an end of several current operations (i.e. Afghanistan) and the development of future military operations, most likely under cooperative umbrellas (UN, NATO). Main Drivers of Change European Political Drivers of change National Political drivers of change • Full development of • National a real European Common Security Defence Policy (CSDP) • Development of a more European Internal market in land defence products (“Defence Package”, “Directives”, Ghent Framework) • Coming to an end of several current operations (i.e. Afghanistan) and possible future military operations under co-operative umbrellas (UN, NATO) Source: IKEI elaboration. defenceindustrial policies and defence procurement strategies, resulting in increasing/decreasin g impetus to cooperation activities amongst EU Member States (“Pooling and Sharing”, activities via EDA, European coordination in R&D, ”off-the-shelf” approaches, etc) Economic driversDemand • Influence of the economic cycle and evolution of European national public defence budgets • Sustained global demand of land defence products ==> Changing military demands leading either to new products and services or demand for upgrading and modernisation of existing land armament products • Outsourcing traditional functions of military Economic driverssupply • Globalisation and Internationalisation of the European Industry • Growing competition from traditional and third countries • Defence industry ownership in some EU Member States • Dual use of products • Strategies of main groups and suppliers Technological drivers of change • EU technological advantage with third countries • New technologies as innovation drivers for new products and services • High skill content, need to upskilling the land armament sector employment; Need for replacement of older workers • Increasing cost of defence equipment • Public-private partnerships National (Member States) political driving factors: As it has already been extensively discussed in this report, the European Land armament sector is currently very much influenced by its national context. In this regard, possible drivers of change comprised in this category include the existing national defence-industrial policies and defence procurement strategies, which result in added/reduced impetus to cooperative activities amongst Member States (i.e. “Pooling and Sharing” approaches, collaborative activities amongst several EU Member States developed via EDA, European coordination in R&D, “off-the-shelf”/best “value for money” approaches, etc) Economic driving factors from the demand perspective: The economic drivers for change include both the demand and the supply perspective. In this regard, the main economic developments that exert pressure on the land armament sector from the de- 98 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 7. Drivers of change and future possible scenarios of the European Land Armament Sector mand perspective include, amongst others, the Influence of the economic cycle and the subsequent impact of the cycle on the evolution of European national public defence budgets or, secondly, a sustained global demand for land defence products (in the sense that new military demands are leading to the development of new products and services, as well as the upgrading and modernisation of existing land armament products). Interestingly also, there is an increasing trend amongst national European armies to increasingly outsource part of their traditional military functions to third parties, with a clear impact on the activities of the Land armament sector. Economic driving factors from the supply perspective: Meanwhile, the main economic developments that exert pressure on the land armament sector from the supply perspective include, amongst others, the current process towards the globalisation and Internationalisation of the European Industry in order to overcome the stagnating demand from national markets, the incorporation of non- European competitors not only from traditional but also from new third countries, issues related to the ownership of some of the most relevant enterprises in some EU Member States, as well as other defence-related factors such as dual use products or the own strategies of main European national groups and suppliers. Technological driving factors: One of the key elements sustaining the competitiveness base of the European Land armament sector refers to its technological base, which results in important competitive advantages vis-à-vis third countries. These technological drivers include both new technologies fostering the development of new products and services, the need to upgrade the existing skill base of the land armament sector employment (including the replacement of older workers) or the increasing use of public and private partnerships in order to face increasing resources required for developing new technologies and innovations within the Land armament sector. 7.2. Classification, Ranking and Selection of Key Drivers The following Table 7.2 presents all the previously identified drivers of change classified according to different characteristics: Certainty or uncertainty of their occurrence Their exogenous-to-the-sector or endogenous-to-the-sector nature Their level of importance for the next future of the sector. 99 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 7. Drivers of change and future possible scenarios of the European Land Armament Sector Table 7.2. Classification of drivers of change Drivers Uncertain/ Exogenous/ Certain Endogenous Very Important/ Less important • Full development of a real European Common Security Defence Policy (CSDP) U EX VI • Development of a more European Internal market in land defence products (“Defence Package”, “Directives”, Ghent Framework) C Ex VI • Member States’ defence-specific industrial policies related to the land armament sector U Ex VI • Coming to an end of several current operations (i.e. Afghanistan) and possible future military co-operative operations (UN, NATO) C Ex I • Influence of the economic cycle and evolution of European national public defence budgets C Ex VI • Sustained global demand of land defence products ==> Military demands leading to new products and services, demand for upgraded existing land armament products, outsourcing of traditional military functions C Ex I • Globalisation and Internationalisation of the European Industry C En I • Growing competition from traditional and third countries C Ex I • Defence industry ownership C En I • Dual use of products C En LI • Strategies of main groups and suppliers U En VI • EU Technological advantage with third countries, New technologies as innovation drivers for new products and services U En VI • High skill content, need to upskilling the land armament sector employment; Need for replacement of older workers C En I • Increasing cost of defence equipment C En I • Public-private partnerships U En/Ex LI Source: IKEI elaboration. 7.3. Building of Scenarios From the previous analysis, and according to the ranking of drivers of change previously described, two main drivers can be considered as having the deepest effect on the future development of the European Land armament sector, that is to say, The influence of the future economic cycle and therefore the evolution of available European national public budgets for defence and specifically for Land defence products and equipments The evolution of the current Member States’ land defence-specific industrial policies, which may result in the decision to increase/decrease existing cooperation efforts between EU Member States public authorities (“Pooling and Sharing”, activities via EDA). Concerning the influence of the future economic cycle, it is a very unlikely to expect that, in the coming years, Member States’ defence budgets are increasing. On the contrary, the future years are certainly to be characterised by less and less public resources for defence activities, including procurement and R&T activities, both resulting from current public debt reduction efforts, the needs derived from restructuring the financial sector and, finally, existing social pressures to devote available public resources to non-defence issues. 100 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 7. Drivers of change and future possible scenarios of the European Land Armament Sector Meanwhile, and as far as the evolution of the existing Member States’ land defence-specific industrial policies, two main hypotheses could be established regarding the mid-term evolution of these national land defence industrial policies: a. Increasing cooperation amongst national governments (“pooling & sharing”, activities via EDA) • National public governments opt for more cooperative efforts in the procurement and development of new land armament products/equipments (different degrees in the cooperation, from partially to fully interchangeable-between-countries products and equipments) • Availability of larger European markets: Important business opportunities for those enterprises/groups that have access to these larger procurement projects. Alternatively, lack of business opportunities for those contractors that are not selected. • Increasing emphasis on price and quality considerations versus national origin considerations. Impetus to a real European Internal Market for Land defence products/equipments, in line with “Defence Package” • Increasing emphasis on “off-the-shelf” products and equipments that can be used by several European countries/armies (inter-operability) • Possibly, more business chances (i.e. sale volumes) for larger manufacturers/groups than for smaller ones. b. Emphasis on national sovereignty and preservation of national industrial capacities (maintenance of the “status quo” • European national governments opt for keeping their current own sovereignty in land armament products, and their preservation of their own national manufacturing capacities. No emphasis on cooperative efforts in the procurement and development of new land armament products/equipments between countries. • No impetus to a real European Internal Market for Land defence products/equipments • Smaller national markets: National manufacturers/groups have an advantage, despite other considerations (quality of products, costs, etc). Less emphasis on price and quality considerations. Less sales volumes for national manufacturers/groups. • More emphasis on ad-hoc products requested by national armies that can only be used by them (less interoperability) 7.4. Possible Future Scenarios of the European Land Defence Sector Having in mind the former main discussions, two main scenarios can be envisaged for the European land armament sector. It must be stressed that these scenarios represent somehow two extreme options of the form the sector might take in the future, depending on the evolution of a series of variables. In this sense, the future of the sector will not surely be in reality as reflected in any of the two scenarios but somewhere in between. But the scenario analysis serves to illustrate the direction in which the sector would evolve depending on the course of action and policies that public and private stakeholders may follow. Table 7.3. Definition of future scenarios for the EU Land armament sector National land defence industrial policies Severe reduction of Member States’ public defence budgets Increased cooperation amongst national governments Maintenance of national sovereignty and industrial capacities Scenario 1 Scenario 2 101 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 7. Drivers of change and future possible scenarios of the European Land Armament Sector SCENARIO 1: • • National land armament industrial policies prioritising the Europeanisation of the sector, in a context of reduction of defence budgets Key assumptions Current orientation of the European military activities does not change: Involvement in international peace keeping asymmetric operations, under the NATO or the UN umbrella. No massive bilateral engagements foreseen. Renewed impetus to the European Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP). Increasing demands by national armies to have common solutions at equipment/subsystem/component level, so land armament platforms and systems are interoperable and make international operations easier and cheaper in terms of procurement, logistic and maintenance. The economic crisis keeps in the next 5-10 years, resulting in added difficulties in raising public incomes. Added efforts to reduce public expenses to keep public debts under control. Less and less public national resources for defence activities, including procurement and R&T activities, coupled with limited access to external credit, so National public governments opt for more cooperative efforts in the procurement and development of new land armament products/equipments with other European national partners. Strong impetus to the development of European programs and better identification by national Member States of the areas of national sovereign prerogative and essential for security (Application of the article 346 of the TFEU). Increasing role of the European Defence Agency and “Pool & Share” approaches in the procurement policies of national Member States. National procurement strategies increasingly stress cost and price considerations in addition to quality issues (“off-the-shelf”, best “value for money” strategies) Consequences Public national demand for new Land armament products and equipments decreases due to budget constraints, but this demand for new products is compensated by larger markets at European level. Impetus to the development of European programs and the development of a real European Internal Market for Land armament products/equipments, in line with the “Defence Package”. Emphasis on price and quality considerations in addition to quality in national procurement policies of land armament products (best “value for money”/”off the shelf” approaches). Increasing “banalisation” of the European Land armament industry, in the sense that the sector becomes much closer to the logic of the market economy. Better identification of the areas of sovereign prerogative and essential for security (Application of the article 346 of the TFEU) amongst EU Member States. Important business opportunities (larger sale volumes) for those enterprises/groups that have access to these larger procurement projects. Alternatively, lack of business opportunities for those contractors that are not selected. Strong impetus to the formation of larger pan-European groups (“European champions”), resulting from merging/acquisition of existing national groups and likely specialised in a large array of land defence activities. However, the setting up of these European champions would most likely require giving an answer to the incompatible (public) ownership structures of some of the key European companies. The formation of these “European 102 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 7. Drivers of change and future possible scenarios of the European Land Armament Sector champions” may be parallel to an increasing specialisation of smaller producers in “niche” markets where they have competitive advantages to successfully operate. Renewed impetus to own/collaborative R&T efforts and the development of new products, both amongst the large European champions and smaller enterprises specialised in niche markets, due to the existence of a higher market critical mass. Less emphasis on the upgrading and modernisation of existing products. Likely increase in the use of joint standards and open systems. Increasing emphasis on common solutions at equipment/subsystem/component level, so land armament platforms and systems are interoperable and can be used by different European countries/armies, especially as far as those equipments/products not regarded as “strategic” ones. This situation makes possible to control costs at a low level along the life cycle of products, as well as to enjoy an efficient and functional logistic support. Higher satisfaction levels amongst European armies engaged in international operations. Increasing Europeanisation of existing supply chains, based on cost but also quality/capability criteria (search for excellence) Strong probabilities for the large groups/enterprises and those very specialised manufacturers to become world “champions” in export markets, as the development of a large and stable European home market will make European tested products more attractive to foreign clients. Reinforcement of the international position of these large groups/enterprises/, and better possibilities to compete of these European world champions vis-á-vis other third countries competitors. Key importance of exporting activities for the smaller enterprises/groups specialised in “niche” markets and products. Possibilities for Land armament enterprises to diversify towards non-military sectors (i.e. homeland security issues, products based on dual use technologies, etc,) as a feasible option to compensate for lower national demand levels of land armament products Renewed impetus to the European land armament sector in the medium-long term. Employment effects: Negative effects on employment in the short run due to possible surpluses of employment and manufacturing facilities, both for the those countries/enterprises leading this scenario but especially for those ones not leading the scenario. Positive employment outlooks in the medium/long perspective from a European wide perspective. Larger employment opportunities amongst benefitted countries/enterprises from this scenario. High attention paid by the industry to upskilling, qualifications and continuous training activities of those workers/enterprises/large groups that keep on in the sector, especially on new materials and technologies and internationallyoriented skills. By way of contrast, negative long-term employment consequences for those countries/enterprises not benefitting from the scenario (including closures and bankruptcies), unless some kind of compensatory measures are introduced or some kind of diversification strategies towards non-military products are pursued. Loss of the relevant and critical skills, competencies, knowledge and experience to design, develop, assemble, support and upgrade complex land armament weapon in those countries/enterprises not leading this scenario. Very negative consequences in the long run for these enterprises/national industries if these skills, knowledge and experience are lost, as these skills and competencies are very hard to restore and recover in case of loss. Likely concentration of employment in fewer geographical locations 103 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 7. Drivers of change and future possible scenarios of the European Land Armament Sector National land armament industrial policies prioritising the maintenance of existing national sovereignty and industrial capacities, in a context of reduction of defence budgets SCENARIO 2: • • The negative effects of this scenario in terms of employment and skills (especially in the short run and for those enterprises/countries not leading the scenario) can be minimised if a European-wide public policy is effectively devised, well planned and shared by sector agents in the participating Member States (including military organisations, social partners, R&D institutes, etc) (orderly restructuring), rather than just letting pure market forces to shape the future of the sector (disorderly restructuring). Key assumptions Current orientation of the European military activities does not change: Involvement in international peace keeping asymmetric operations, under the NATO or the UN umbrella. No massive bilateral engagements foreseen. The European Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP) is not fully developed. Increasing demands by national armies to have common solutions at equipment/subsystem/component level are not attended by national governments. The economic crisis keeps in the next 5-10 years, resulting in added difficulties in raising public incomes. Added efforts to reduce public expenses to keep public debts under control. Less and less public resources for defence activities, including procurement and R&T activities, coupled with limited access to external credit. Without forgetting cost and price considerations, national public governments opt by all means to keep their own manufacturing sovereignty in land armament. Priority to purchase national Land armament products. Limited emphasis on cooperative efforts in the procurement and development of new land armament products/equipments between European countries. Little development of European programmes. No impetus to a real European Internal Market for Land defence products/equipments Consequences Public national demand for new Land armament products and equipments strongly decreases due to existing public defence budget cuts. Less sales volumes for national manufacturers/groups. Emphasis on national origin of Land armament products, in comparison to a lower emphasis on price and quality considerations. Increasing demand for upgrading and modernisation of Land armament products (including maintenance activities). Existing special relationships or strategic partnerships between domestic contractors and state customers are maintained over time. More emphasis on ad-hoc products requested by national armies that can only be used by them. Little interoperability of existing products/equipments amongst different manufacturers, resulting in added difficulties for European armies engaged in international operations. National manufacturers “benefit” in the short run from a protected national market despite other considerations (quality of products, costs, etc), although in the long run they 104 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 7. Drivers of change and future possible scenarios of the European Land Armament Sector are negatively affected by a demand that is not able to saturate the existing national production capacities, especially as far as “new” products are concerned. Likely reduction in turnover and profitability levels of enterprises, unless compensated by exporting activities. Paradoxically, this may result in more incentives for enterprises to cooperate between different manufacturers (both within countries but also at European and at international level) for developing common solutions at equipment/subsystem/component level and below platform level that cannot be developed on an individual basis. Likely reduction in the number of European Land armament manufacturing enterprises. More difficulties for national enterprises/groups to keep abreast with R&T efforts in a context of turnover and profitability reductions. Risk for manufacturers to position their products on a mid-rank and not high rank as before. Need to restructure existing national main enterprises/groups. Strong emphasis on the creation of “national” champions in the case of those countries where several national manufacturers are present. Need amongst the smallest enterprises/groups to focus on concrete “niche” markets where they have competitive advantages recognised by the markets. Strong cost pressures for suppliers in the national supply chains. Increasing emphasis on outsourcing at international (not European) level, resulting in an internationalisation of existing supply chains. Key role assumed by exporting activities as a successful way to overcome existing demand contraction at national level. Paradoxically, and in the medium-long term, enterprises/groups might be subject to important exporting difficulties, as clients do not trust products/equipments not sold to national reference clients. Strong public support for sustaining exporting activities of national enterprises. Negative effect in the long run of exporting activities for European manufacturers, as offset agreements upgrade manufacturing capacities of competitors in the long run. Higher incentives for Land armament enterprises to diversify themselves towards nonmilitary sectors (i.e. homeland security issues) as another possible option to compensate for lower national demand levels of land armament products. Likely disappearance in the medium/large run of those national main manufactures/groups particularly affected by shorter national production runs, unless they are very successful on international markets or they successfully diversify into other nondefence related sectors. Likely also, these national manufacturers particularly affected may be (partially/totally) absorbed/acquired by larger competitors, not only European but also, why not, international ones. Employment effects: Maintenance of employment levels in the short run, especially if exporting activities are maintained. Negative employment prospects on employment levels in the medium/long run at European level as a whole. Very distinctive evolution accordingly to the different competitiveness levels of national Member States/enterprises. Loss of the relevant and critical skills, competencies, knowledge and experience to design, develop, assemble, support and upgrade complex land armament products in those countries/enterprises particularly affected (negatively) by this scenario. Increasing difficulties to keep abreast with upskilling and continuous training activities of workers, due to financial difficulties of enterprises. Likely reduction in the number of European geographical locations specialised in land armament products. 105 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 7. Drivers of change and future possible scenarios of the European Land Armament Sector 106 8. Final conclusions and Recommendations Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 8. Final conclusions and Recommendations 8.1. Conclusions stemming from the research Strategic sector for Europe: The European Land armament industry is a strategic sector of the European economy, not only because of its contribution in terms of turnover, value added, high skilled employment, exports and innovations to other sectors but also because of its key contribution to the European and national defence and security policies. Economic importance of the sector: The EU land armament sector comprises a total of 1.3 thousand enterprises, a turnover of 15.5 billion Euro and a generated value added of 5.5 billion Euro (Eurostat estimations). Main producing Member States are the United Kingdom, Germany and France, followed by Italy, Sweden, Poland and Spain. According to ASD (the AeroSpace and Defence Industries Association of Europe), the EU Land armament sector’s revenues amounted to a total of 26.8 billion Euro in 2009, and 29.8 billion Euro in 2010 (ASD uses a wider definition of the sector). Typologies of existing European sector enterprises: The European Land armament sector comprises three main types of enterprises: i) a few multinational companies operating also in other defence-related fields (air or sea) or in civil-related products; ii) some nationally based prime land system integrators and, finally iii) many SMEs, highly specialised in niche markets and/or involved as suppliers to the large final integrators, and usually involved in both defence and civil markets. Some of these enterprises are under (total or partial) public ownership, whereas others are purely private enterprises. The main European Land armament sector enterprises are smaller than their US counterparts and produce a wider range of military products. Land armament industry supply chains seem to be very complex in terms of number of suppliers. Concentration process but still national-dominated sector: The sector has experienced a non-stopping process of concentration and consolidation around larger groups in the last two decades. This process has resulted in the emergence of several large European defence contractors, mainly at national level but also at EU and at international level. In any case, the sector is still characterised by a high presence of relevant nationally based prime land system integrators, resulting in a number of undesired side effects from an aggregated European perspective in terms of unnecessary duplication of products and research & development efforts or a lack of standardisation of military equipments. Less financial resources for land defence: The current and (expected) future cuts in Member States’ defence budgets represent a major challenge for the European Land armament industry that is likely to affect the structure of the sector, the relationships between companies and public national authorities, as well as the profile of companies themselves. Increasing (but still less dominant) trend towards cooperation: Despite existing fragmentation of the EU 27 defence procurement policies, European and national authorities have taken since the nineties a number of initiatives intended to foster cooperative activities amongst them (the activities of the European Defence Agency (EDA), the Ghent Framework, the so-called “Defence Package”', several Directives aimed at developing a real European defence equipment internal market, etc) Key role of exporting activities for the sector: Currently, export activities (especially to non-EU markets) are a key element for the large EU Land armament sector players so to compensate the limited size of national markets. Some national European governments strongly support these export activities. However, this strong competitive European position in international markets is currently challenged by a number of elements, including the emergence of new manufacturers in third countries or the presence of offsets agreements. Research orientation of th European land armament sector: The European Land armament sector devotes approximately a 6% of its total sector sales to R&D activities, well above the European manufacturing sector. Many of the outcome innovations and tech- 108 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 8. Final conclusions and Recommendations nologies also have a “civil” use. Public authorities, both at EU and national level, actively collaborate with enterprises in supporting R&D activities for the industry Employment quantitative perspectives: The European Land armament sector currently provides direct employment to a number between 96.1 and 128.7 thousand workers (according to estimations by Eurostat and the ASD (AeroSpace and Defence Industries Association of Europe), respectively). However, the real figures might be higher due to the presence of companies whose product portfolio is more varied and the extensive use of supply chains by the sector. Also, the defence industry has important multiplier effects, generating significant levels of indirect employment which several studies estimate in approximately 2.3 indirect jobs per direct job. However, the EU-27 sector employment has experienced a clear downsizing trend since early 2000s (1 job out of 4 has been lost), specially in the new Member States in comparison to a more stable evolution in the “old” Member States. The Land armament sector is particularly concentrated in a number of concrete European regions. Main sector employment patterns: The European Land armament workforce is characterised by a number of specific main employment patterns. Thus, it is a male-dominated and relatively ageing sector (specially in the coming 10-15 years). Also, sector levels of qualification and education are higher than the manufacturing average due to the high-tech and innovative products manufactured. The most dynamic European enterprises are currently involved in several initiatives in order to tackle the ageing problem (including the attraction of new young people to the sector) and the development of additional (in-house) training activities so to keep and strengthen skills and new competences. Existing social dialogue practices within the sector can be regarded as longstanding and well developed in nearly all countries. Recent qualitative changes in workforce: The European land armament sector workforce is experiencing in the last two decades a number of key changes that go in parallel to the increased technological content of processes and products, namely: an ongoing shift from manual workers to professionals, technicians and engineers of various types; a reduction in the existing hierarchical levels within companies; a higher emphasis on teamwork structures and the polyvalence of the workforce; an increasing need of expert skills for new materials and technologies; and, finally, an increased attention towards skills upgrading, including internationally-oriented skills for all layers of the organisation 8.2. Recommendations This report has analysed possible scenarios for the future development of the European Land armament industry and based on a different set of assumptions, where each scenario results in different economic, productive and social consequences for the future of the sector. In this regard, the research has identified two main possible scenarios related to the future evolution of the European Land armament sector. Basically, Scenario 1 suggests a situation where national Land armament industrial policies prioritise the Europeanisation of the sector, whereas Scenario 2 draws a situation where national land armament industrial policies prioritise the maintenance of existing national sovereignty and industrial capacities. According to these analyses, theauthors of this report suggest that the maintenance and future development of a sound and highly competitive Land armament sector in Europe requires advancing in the “Europeanisation” of the sector (Scenario 1), that is to say, the development of a stable European home market that clearly surpasses the current national market boundaries. Such a scenario is likely to produce several positive outcomes, including a reinforcement of the European defence independence, a more stable and larger market for enterprises, the reinforcement of the competitive position of the European products and enterprises both at home (European markets) as well as in third countries and, finally, the reduction of existing overlaps and inefficiencies. All in all, the Euro- 109 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report 8. Final conclusions and Recommendations peanisation of the sector can facilitate the medium/long term preservation of the sector in Europe and the maintenance of jobs and associated highly specialised skills and know how. However, the future resulting from this strategy is also subject to very important uncertainties. First of all, from a policy making perspective, a radical change in current Member States’ national defence and industrial policies is needed. Amongst other things, this scenario requires the full implementation of the Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP), as well as the common definition of the European defence doctrines and strategic interests within this framework. Also, this scenario is likely to have negative short-run effects on employment and loss of skills/know-how in those countries/enterprises which are not sector leaders, and coupled with possible employment surpluses resulting from the creation of the “European champions”. These negative employment prospects, a key worry for national Member States, could be diminished if an orderly consolidation process is foreseen rather than a disorderly one. In this sense, the timing of the Europeanisation process should be carefully studied, so that too rapid developments do not increase the short term negative impacts on employment. At the same time, the diversification of the sector should be given impulse, fostering companies’ strategies for the full exploitation of dual use technologies and products, for which the sector has an undeniable potential. This would also help to keep employment and skills. For this purpose, planning must be stressed, including consultations and coordination of programmes and projects between EU authorities (i.e. EDA and the Commission), national authorities (including of course armies and industrial policy responsible authorities), the Land armament industry itself, the representatives of workers and other stakeholders (including R&D and higher education institutes or other interested parties). In this context, a well-organised social dialogue at EU level represents a sine-qua-non condition for the development of a properly organised restructuring process. The Commission’ High Level Task Force on European Defence Industries and Markets, together with EDA and the social partners, can play a key role in fostering this process, optimising coordination and supporting cooperative actions amongst the different European and national actors involved. Meanwhile, Member States with the largest Land armament manufacturing capabilities (i.e. France, Germany, United Kingdom, etc.) should also be given a higher responsibility in this regard. 110 Annex A. Bibliography and Interviewed experts Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex A. Bibliography and Interviewed experts A.1. Bibliography ASD (Aerospace and Defence Industries), Facts and Figures, Brussels, several years. 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Available on the Internet at: http://eurlex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2009:146:0001:0036:EN:PDF European Parliament, Directive 2009/81/EC of 13 July 2009 ‘on the coordination of procedures for the award of certain works contracts, supply contracts and service contracts by contracting authorities or entities in the fields of defence and security’. Available on the Internet at: http://eurlex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2009:216:0076:0136:EN:PDF Eurostrategies, A comprehensive analysis of emerging competences and skill needs for optimal preparation and management of change in the EU defence industry- Final report, May 2009. Faleg G and A Giovannini, The EU Between Pooling & Sharing and Smart Defence Making a Virtue of Necessity?, CEPS, May 2012. 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Bibliography and Interviewed experts Hartley, K, et al, AFV Supply Chain Analysis, A study of Warrior and Piranha, DTI, London, 1997 Hartley K, Creating a European Defence Industrial Base, in Security Challenges, vol7, n3, pp 95-111, 2011. Kogan E, The State of Eastern European Defence Industries, Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) Defence Systems, Acquisition Issues, pages 102-104, February 2008 Küchle, H, Die deutsche Heeresindustrie in Europa. Perspektiven internationaler Kooperationen und industriepolitscher Handlungsbedarf. Edition der Hans-Böckler- Stifung Nr. 200, 2007 Likowski, WZT – 3 dla Indii, Raport Wojsko – Technika – Obronność, nr 2/2012 Manchester Institute of Innovation Research with Centre for Defence Economics and CNRS-GREDEG, Study on How to measure Strengths and Weaknesses of the DTIB in Europe-Final Report, report for the EDA, 2008. Ministerio Español de Defensa, ‘Estrategia de Tecnología e Innovación para la Defensa: ETID -2010’. 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Available in Internet at: http://www.mod.uk/NR/rdonlyres/4EA96021-0B99-43C0-B65E-CDF3A9EEF2E9/0/cm8278.pdf Valasek, T, Surviving Austerity: The case for a new approach to EU military collaboration, Centre for European Reform, London, 2011 A.2. Interviewed experts EU stakeholders • • • • Mr Jan-Olov Blix, Future Products Manager, BAE Systems and acting president of the European Land Defence Industry Group (ELDIG)86 Mr James Copping, Policy Officer, European Commission, Directorate-General for Enterprise and Industry Dr Burkard Schmitt, Defence Expert, DG Internal Market and Services (DG MARKT) Mr Vassilis Tsiamis, Senior Officer for Defence Industry, European Defence Agency (EDA) Experts in France • 86 Frederic Bouty, NEXTER - Vice President Strategy, Strategy Department Nexter Systems Additionally, the research team made a presentation of the project to a group of representatives of ELDIG. 115 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex A. Bibliography and Interviewed experts • • • • • • Jean-Albert Epitalon, Managing director international markets, GICAT (Groupement des Industries de l’Armement Terrestre) Eric Brune, CGT - Employee representative NEXTER GROUP Sylvain Delaitre, CGT -THALES Employee representative for the defense sector, Thales Reseach and Technology France, Optics and Optronics Department Luc Scappini, CFDT - Employee representative for the defense sector André Golliard, CFDT (FEAE) - NEXTER Employee representative Dominique Sellier, SECAFI - expert aerospace and defence sector Experts in Germany • • • • • Mr. Heinz Josef Kruse, Rheinmetall Defence Rheinmetall AG, UB Defence Strategische Unternehmensentwicklung Mr. Karsten Lepper, BDSV Mr. Ralf Bergschneider, Betriebsratsvorsitzender, Krauss-Maffei-Wegmann GmbH & Co. KG Mr. Jürgen Bühl – IG Metall Vorstand Mr. Werner Frank, Referatsleiter Angelegenheiten Rüstungswirtschaft, BMVG, Bundesministerium der Verteidigung Abteilung Politik - Referatsleiter Experts in Italy • • • • • Dr. Michele Nones, Head of Department “Security and Defence” and at IAI (Istituto Affari Internazionali) Dr. Gianni Alioti, Responsible International Office FIM- CISL (Federazione Italiana Metalmeccanici) Ing. Carlo Nucci, Coordinator of Defence Activities of AIAD (Italian Industries Federation for Aerospace, Defence and Security) Dr. Fabrizio Braghini, Head of Associations Relations of Finmeccanica Dr. Roberto Matteucci, Senior Adviser CIO (Consortium Iveco- Otomelara) Experts in Poland • • • Colonel (ret,) Mr Sławomir Kułakowski President of the Polish Chamber of National Defence Manufacturers Mr Jerzy Szpecht, President of the National Section of Polish LAS at Trade Unions for Electromechanical Industry (Hedquater – Bumar Żołnierz). Correspondece with an official (Press Spokesperson) at Polish Ministry of Defence (Inspektorat Uzbrojenia – body responsible for supply of the equipment for the Polish Army). Experts in Spain • • • • Mr. Miguel Ardaiz Martínez, Regional Sales Director, GDELS General Dynamics - European Land Systems Ms. Clara Tebar, International Coordinator in TEDAE (Spanish Association for Defense, Aeronautics and Space Technologies) Mr. Raúl Alvarez, Defence section of the Industry Federation in CC.OO. (Comisiones Obreras Trade Union) Mr. Lorenzo Abad, New Programmes Manager, Sistemas FABA, Navantia Mr Juan Manuel García Montaño, General Directorate of Armament and Material, Spanish Ministry of De-fence. Experts in Sweden • • Mr Jan Pie, Secretary General at the Swedish Security and Defence Industry (SOFF). Mr Conny Holm, President of the local workers union IF Metallat Electronic Defence Systems, Saab AB, Jonkoping 116 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex A. Bibliography and Interviewed experts Experts in the United Kingdom • • • • • Prof Trevor Taylor, Emeritus Professor (Cranfield) & Professorial Fellow (RUSI) in the Department of Management and Security (Cranfield Uni) & Defence Management (RUSI) Ian Waddell, National Officer for Aerospace & Shipbuilding, incl Defence Industry in UNITE Dr Colin Roberson, Company Director of Advanced Defence Materials Ltd. Mark Phillips, Research Fellow on Land Operations and Capabilities Programme in the Royal United Services Institute/RUSI Gordon Lane, Managing Director, Defence & Director Land ADS(Trade organisation for Aerospace, Defence, Security & Space industries) 117 Annex B. Country Case Studies Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies B.1. FRANCE B.1.1. a) Mapping of the National Land Armament Sector (LAS) Macroeconomic Vision According to the French industrial federation for land armament GICAT, the French land defence sector has a turnover of €17,5 billion and maintains over 20.000 direct jobs in France. Furthermore the French armament industry exports equipment for the value €4 billion and acquires an added-value of €2,7 billion in 2011. Thus France is the fourth exporter in armament and represents 8% of global export in arms. The French state remains the main client and a vital player when it comes to decision-making in the French land armament industry. France uses around 1.6% of its GDP for defence expenses. For the land armament sector, the level is approximately 0,4% of total GDP. In 2011, €31.25 billion were spent on defence, including equipment accounts for €16.0billion and research for €880 m. This budget is measured without pension cost (€7bn), further € 1 billion for current international missions. Until 2013 another €3.5 billion will be saved by delaying parts (mainly the production of new armoured vehicles by two to five years) of the large modernisation program SCORPION and further reduction of military staff estimated at 54000 persons. This decade is marked primarily by the economic crisis in Northern countries and the phasing out of large operations in Afghanistan and Iraq and more short term interventions without ground troupes (i.e. Libya). The 2008 “White Paper on National Defence and Security” created the strategic framework for the French state and the industry. It shows clearly that land armament capacities have to adapt to new threats. The main objectives mentioned in the white paper were the anticipation of new conflicts (including terrorism and cyber-attacks) and the strategic shift from national defence to national security, therefore more policing, and international missions. In order to fulfil these new duties, the army has to be more interconnected with civil, air and naval units. Another aspect is the necessary increase of protection for vehicles and soldiers which will be guaranteed through the comprehensive R&D program SCORPION. However the investment in research and development has dropped from €1,7 billion in 1990 to €700 million in 2011. This clearly affects the sustainability of the sector. The military threats are changing, budgets are changing, and consequently markets evolve. New threats are leading to new requirements for the armed forces: modularity (multiple weapon systems on the same vehicle (VBMR), battlefield digitization, interoperability, network-centric warfare (NCW), etc. The increasing technical complexity of systems (tanks, VBCI87 ) and digitalisation lead to strong growth in development costs, which weigh increasingly heavy on industrial projects which are less and less funded by State contractors. Budget cuts have changed the behaviour of customers. The state as customer does no longer order a specific tank in many copies like in the 1980s; instead a strategic contract is defined for a longer period of time. This is the case of the SCORPION program in France88 . These large framework contracts include: architecture production of a complete system (several types of vehicles) communication systems interoperability Véhicule Blindé de Combat d’Infanterie (armoured vehicle for infantery). The Scorpion program is a multibillion euro transformation effort by the Army, Direction Général de l’Armement (DGA) procurement office and Chief of Defense Staff to acquire a multirole troop carrier, a light tank, and a common command and control system and intends to reduce ownership cost. However, budget cuts could shutter the program.Christian Mons, chairman of the industrial federation “Groupement des Industries Françaises de Defense Terrestre” (GICAT), has called for a doubling to 100 million euros ($132 million) of government spending on research and technology in land systems, with a focus on robotics, force protection and aeromobility. http://www.defensenews.com/article/20120211/DEFREG01/302110001/France-Schedule-Scorpion-Exercise-June-Source 87 88 119 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies These types of large projects are typically adapted to system manufacturers and consortiums, which have extensive expertise, sufficient technical and financial resources. These contracts are often structuring the reorganization of the sector, they involve a high risk for the potential "losers". Consequently, a strong « rapprochement » can be observed between Thales-DCNS, Safran-SNPE and Thales-Sagem in order to stay ahead of the game. Suppliers, which are not part of these industrial partnerships, risk their own marginalization or total eviction from the market. The SCORPION project has created a long term framework for R&D, production and distribution of new technology but now budget restrictions are looming. Drastic saving measures are underway in France, the government is seeking €5 billion in savings over the next three years and industrialists fear that this will significantly affect equipment purchases rather than the operating budget cost. In France, primary budget constraints are forcing to modify the law for military planning (LPM - Loi de programmation militaire) and to considerably reduce military expenses. Calculating in constant euros and without changes in the law for military planning, the budget will decrease from €17 billion in 2010 to €16 billion in 2014, a decrease of at least 1.2% per year. This target is even likely to be revised downward, given the budgetary situation of France. The change of parliamentary majority can further influence these forecasts in one or another direction. A new law for the defence programme is expected to be published after the 2012 presidential elections89. Table B.1. Expenses of the three military branches as well as common services (French defense ministry 2012) Air 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1.132 1.311 1.279 1.380 1.307 1.444 Land 991 941 1.009 996 957 1.014 Naval 1.176 1.348 1.345 1.446 1.258 1.265 Common services 11.576 11.558 11.701 14.064 13.522 12.292 Total 14.875 15.158 15.334 17.887 17.044 16.014 Furthermore, there are other economic factors that have generated significant additional costs. The settlement of a legal dispute with Taiwan named “Tango” on irregularities in the sale of six frigates “La Fayette” in 1991 forces the French state to pay a total of at least € 460 million in 2011. € 170 million will be paid by Thales. The total costs with interest are € 630 million. A direct effect of this scandal is the cut of the military budget by € 260 million. Further revenue provided in the White Paper on National Defence and Security, published in 2008, seem also extremely unrealistic. The sales of 800 MHz frequencies for € 450 million, sales of real estate property with € 150 million and sales of satellite Syracuse for € 400 million have not yet been concluded. At the end of 2011, the French parliament has decided to update the White Paper on National Defence and Security in order to reflect these additional costs and shortfalls90. b) Groups and Enterprises Economic patriotism has a long tradition in the defence sector, this is also the case in the French LAS. Thales, GIAT and now Nexter were always programmed to be national champions, but now the economic crisis accelerates the will to cooperate between Thales-DCNS, Thales and Safran-SNPE-Sagem. There seems to be a consolidation process of French land armament sector around Thales. Thales has a turnover of over € 7,5 billion of which around € 2 billion are made in LAS. Thales, partly owned by the French state, 89 90 Presentation SECAFI 04/2012 The debate in the French Senat can be found under: http://www.senat.fr/rap/r11-207/r11-207_mono.html 120 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies owns the equipment supplier TDA Armament with 320 employees and a turnover of €100 million TDA has lost around half of its staff since the beginning of the 21st century. Thales might acquire shares of Nexter. Another main LAS system integrator is Nexter. Created by GIAT in 2006, Nexter has reached a turnover of €792 million in LAS. GIAT-Industry and Nexter are 100% owned by the French state. The company Safran makes 2 billion € in defence sector in total, of which only around €200 mil. are produced in LAS. It also owns SAGEM which produces military electronics. Other relevant manufacturers of armoured vehicles are Renault TD making €189 million and Panhard making €113million turnover in LAS. Panhard is currently a French manufacturer of light tactical and military vehicles. Its current incarnation was formed by the acquisition of Panhard by Auverland in 200591. The four categories of players in France The "consolidators" who have previously absorbed the "consolidated companies" have mastered in the past both the integration of systems (LSI is called "large scale integrators") and the latest technology (defence electronics and communication) that are considered central elements in modern combat systems. Consolidators have more financial resources to support development costs which are less and less funded by state. They are in a position to answer "big contracts" such as FRES or Scorpion. These consolidators are in France Thales, Safran, and EADS. The “consolidated” are enterprises which were bought in the 2000s, still influential in their domestic markets, but henceforth they are without strategic autonomy. The "vulnerable" are independent actors or non-fixed (known to be easily transferable for their shareholders), which are marginalized by the current trends. Thales might buy shares of other companies such as Nexter in exchange for parts of it ammunition suppliers TDA. This may also involve divisions of "consolidators" (Thales - Safran optronics - MBDA missiles). This could lead to deeper technical cooperation and perhaps even to joint production. In the past, this has enabled the creation of EADS and MBDA. The "isolated" are SME whose sales of land armaments are relatively low (up to hundred million Euro), but that are protected by their position in a niche or a weak dependence on this activity (predominantly civil products). Vertical mergers are more likely in the short and medium term, given the predominant role of "consolidators" mastering defence electronics. Further integration between horizontal actors in the same segment is not excluded, however it seems less likely and if it happens, it is to be expected to destroy more jobs in the short term. Further “national" consolidation is the most likely option. The "losers" will be further destabilized and marginalized. They are either too small or positioned solely on their domestic market, either on mature technologies, or capabilities of R & D are limited, either all at once. These are mostly SME that have lost the SCORPION competition. Consolidation of French land armament around Thales According to insiders, the scenario of Thales acquiring Nexter is becoming more and more realistic. From the perspective of Nexter, the integration with a global player in electronics and mechanical engineering is not considered the best choice because it means less choice in terms of electronic equipment suppliers. The state policy of strengthening the role of major systems suppliers by framework programs and the arrival of Thierry Vigneron as new CEO of Thales, tend to prioritize the cooperation Thales-Nexter. The French state and the General Directorate for Armament (DGA) have been promoting this cooperation by 91 designating Thierry Vigneron as President of Thales. backing the operation via the Agency for State Participation. Sellier, Dominique (2012) report Point de situation de l’industrie d’armement en Europe, Secafi Paris 01/2012, p.12. 121 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies giving the consortium Thales-Nexter-Sagem the first phase (architecture) of its major program of land armament, Scorpion, which amounts to € 10 billion until 203092. The technical cooperation will result out of this project and it is one condition for closer cooperation in the future. The scenario is consistent with the strategy of Thales, which supports the development through takeovers of platform companies like Nexter. Resistance remains though; Dassault Aviation, which owns 26% of Thales, seems reluctant to support this operation because it seems to be an activity which is insufficiently profitable. The advantages that this new entity would have are a critical mass and the possibility to deliver more parts of the overall supply. It would benefit from the Thales sales and procurement network and it would guarantee the continuity for the ammunition suppliers Nexter, TDA and Junghans. It would probably double the activity of Nexter Munitions. The consolidation would be positive vis-à-vis the DGA93 in the Scorpion program. Thales would be the general prime contractor. The question remains if Sagem would accept this new dominance. The disadvantages would be the loss of strategic autonomy especially in terms of equipment choices and it might lead to restructuring process of industrial sites because of the differences in the industrial model and duplicates, including engineering activities. This scenario might be the starting point of privatizing Nexter. The next step could be the acquisition of the majority of shares by Thales (51%). The privatisation could question the status of “workers under decree”. Workers under this contract scheme profit from historically acquired benefits during the time when these companies were in public ownership. Furthermore the realization of this scenario could increase the competition with German competitors and create a race for size through further acquisitions. Until now there has not been any successful cooperation with foreign leaders such as KMW (D) or Rheinmetall (D) or BAE (GB) on tanks. France decided to launch the long term project Scorpion on its own without integrating other European member states. Small and Medium Enterprises working on ICT and integrated warfare will probably create more opportunities for cooperation and an internationalisation of French companies in the future. Most restructuring processes already happened in the tank division In this sector many jobs have been destroyed since the end of the Cold war. The previous military strategy, based on high numbers of tanks in order to oppose a possible Russian assault has become totally outdated. Starting 1992 onwards the volume of Leclerc tanks fell considerably from 1.500 (for which the group GIAT was dimensioned) to 300 vehicles. Only one country, the United Arab Emirates, has ordered 150 tanks94. Due to this, the workforce has dropped sharply from 18.000 in 1992 to 6.500 in 2000. Faced by mounting losses, a second wave of restructuring has affected the GIAT group in 2003 and led to the reduction the workforce to 2,500 employees. Since 2006 the numbers in the French LAS have been stabilized. Nexter, the main unit of GIAT created in 2006, counts around 2.700 employees in 2011. The numbers have been stabilized also because of the more international profile of most LAS companies. c) Products and Value Chain The portfolio within the French LAS is large but also specialised on modular armour vehicles, artillery and surveillance. The sector produces mostly along three product lines: Armoured vehicles create over €700 million turnover in 2010, largely Nexter and Panhard http://www.lefigaro.fr/societes/2010/06/13/04015-20100613ARTFIG00272-thales-retenu-comme-l-architecte-de-scorpion.php Direction Général de l’Armement (DGA). 94 According to the annual report only 17% of the turnover are produced in export markets, 92 93 122 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Weapons, artillery and ammunition with a turnover of €550 million in 2010 made mostly by Nexter, TDA and SNPE Equipment and terrestrial systems is the largest domain with a turnover of over €6,5 billion made mostly by Cassidian, Thales and Sagem Defense As an exemple, one of the major players, Nexter, delivers a large range of products from integrated weapons systems, armoured vehicles, munitions to equipment such as shelters, NBC-systems and electronics. 67% of the orders in 2011 are integrated systems, 28% are large and medium munitions and 5% additional equipment (NBC-Systems, shelters, etc.). External supply services and maintenance represent growing markets since outsourcing is part of the costs saving strategy of the French army. The ministry of defence is concentrating on core competences of the army (direct battle, security, etc.) (Cour des Comptes 2010:109). Only specific maintenance in high security areas will remain in the hands of army professionals. Most interviewees, both from employer and employee side, consider that in areas of non-military activities (administration, clothing, recycling, transport, studies, etc.) external service providers are entering the market. In fact, the Ministry of Defence states that outsourcing expenses increased from € 592 million in 2001 to € 963 million in 2006 to €1.695 million in 2008.This means a significant of 186% within this timeframe (Cour des Comptes 2010:8). In fact 47.8% of maintenance is externalised (ibid. 13). In total the army has externalised already 27.8% of its activities. External maintenance is more and more needed due to budget constraints, the long lasting use of equipment and the integration of ITC technologies. This indicates a strong demand for outsourcing support. In France, the DCMAT95 raises most of the operational maintenance (MCO- Maintien en condition opérationnelle) of land armament. An issue is the opposition of interests between the maintenance and control of it by the armed forces and the related employment and the accounting logic of cost reduction and job cuts included in the French General Review of Public Policies (RGPP) and the White Paper. There are many specialised suppliers in France, however the sector is very fragmented96. The land armament market includes 213 companies of which 85% are SMEs with a total employment of 20 000 employees in 2010. This means that French LAS companies employs on average 100 employees. In the overall defense sector around 400 SMEs are active. The French land armament companies are exporting nearly half of their production: €2.1billion of the turnover is related to export from a total of €5 billion. There are cooperation agreements with Canada (artillery), Sweden (canons), Great-Britain (drones), etc. d) Markets The European markets darkens but the export markets remain buoyant Some French companies worry about the widening gap between Europe, which is reducing most its defence budgets, and the rest of the world including India, Russia or China and Brazil. There is no strategy for European consolidation, the French companies are pursuing the general trend towards more export. France exports 51% of its armament to Asia, 22% within Europe and 12% in the Middle East. The three main client countries in the period 2007-2011 were Singapour (20%), Greece (10%) and Marocco (8%). 95 96 Direction Centrale du Matériel de l'Armée de Terre (Central Directorate of Army Equipment) According to GICAT – French Lande Defense Manufactors Association. 123 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Furthermore commercial partnerships with countries outside of Europe are based on specific products and agreed under specific conditions (local production in countries such as India and Brazil, etc.). The French market is in stagnation. The last French Le Clerc tank, out of 406, has been delivered to the French army in 2007. The Le Clerc tank will be in service until 2040 and updated through the SCORPION program. The first updated versions will be delivered in 2019. Nexter is exporting its modern and truck mounted artillery system “Caesar” to Cyprus, Thailand and Saudi-Arabia. Parts of the Leclerc tank are produced in Czech Republic and China. The Leclerc tank is sold in the United Emirates (388). The deal for 40 tanks with Colombia in 2010 was not concluded, but there are currently negotiations with Qatar. The armoured ERC developed by Panhard has been sold to Argentina, the Ivory Coast, Gabon, Iraq, Mexico, Nigeria and Chad. The light armoured vehicle VBL by Panhard is exported to 15 countries. The AMX-10p by GIAT has been exported to Greece, Indonesia, Mexico, Morocco, Saudi-Arabia, Singapore, United Emirates and Qatar. Panhards’ small armoured vehicle were exported to Chile (15) and Togo (6). The VAB, built by Renault Trucks in cooperation with GIAT, has been exported to Brunei, Cyprus, Morocco, the democratic republic of Congo, Central African Republic, Ivory Coast, the United Arab Emirates, Indonesia, Lebanon, Mauritania, Oman and Qatar. The French army uses French vehicles, but in terms of infantry armament, weapons from Belgium (FN Herstal) and Germany (Heckler&Koch) are in use. Small ammunition is imported from Turkey, Brazil and Israel. France army forces uses the Swedish all-terrain carrier Bandavgn 206. Graph B.1 4,5 4 3,5 3 2,5 2 1,5 1 0,5 0 Evolution of turnover of French land armament companies 1999- 2008 ( bn€ - Source GICAT)97 3,8 3,2 2,2 2,1 1,7 1,1 1999 2000 3,6 2,0 1,5 2001 Chiffre d'Affaires total 3,3 2,2 1,2 2002 3,4 2,5 3,0 4,2 3,8 4,0 2,5 2,7 2,9 1,3 1,2 1,3 2006 2007 2008 3,1 2,1 2,2 0,9 0,9 0,9 2003 2004 2005 Chiffre d'Affaires exportation Chiffre d'Affaires France India is a very important market for French military providers. Since 2004, Nexter is participating in DEFEXPO in India, exhibiting its equipment and showing its know-how in advanced-combat systems. In fact Nexter is ready to deepen the cooperation with Indian companies (Transfer of Technology, Joint Ventures, Sale of Components etc.) in order to remain a main provider for ballistic weapons for the Indian army. Therefore Nexter Systems has decided to establish a subsidiary, Nexter India, in 2012. Thales, MBDA, Renault and Nexter are all exhibiting their products in Asia. It is clear that the increasing dominance of China and Russia increases the pressure on other Asian countries to invest in their defence capacities. There are strong signs that the big players such as Thales adapt to a multipolar world by accepting offset deals and developing regional headquarters. 97 Red: turnover in France, blue: turnover through exports, black: total turnover). 124 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies But compared to other European competitors, up to now most French suppliers are less internationalized. A special emphasis is now given to the SME in the LAS by the ministry of Defence and the agency for armament (direction générale de l'armement –DGA). The French government has increased its efforts to promote the export rate of the French LAS. In 2008 the interministerial commission to support international contracts (in French Commission interministérielle d'appui aux contrats internationaux CIACI) was created. The French ministry for Defence also helps companies and federations to network and be present on international fairs and conferences. Dual use is not an option to remain competitive French LAS companies are rarely involved in dual use products. Most of the time, the products are very different and therefore there is no transfer of technology from the defence area to the civic or vice versa. It is rather the technologies of the civil sectors which are transferred and adapted to the needs of the military clients. Thales – separate branches, little dual use Renault Trucks- defence and civil transport, separated entities SAGEM well separated branches Panhard – only military, private vehicles in the past Nexter: only military - The branch Nexter Electronics tried to extend its portfolio to serve civil clients in transport, energy and aerospace industry, but with little success. The defence market is strategic for each country of EU and as far as the interlocutors can tell, it seems that there are little incentives to avoid economic patriotism. The European defence package does not seem to trigger more cooperation; there are only few European projects. The London or Lancaster agreement of November 2nd, 2010“98 has little impact on the military sector, except for drones, but it increases the cooperation between France and Great Britain, thereby reducing the incentive to find European solutions. In the past, two attempts to build armoured vehicles with first German and then British companies failed, so there is little interest to relaunch similar projects. Nevertheless there seems to be a tendency of closer cooperation based on developments in the ICT sector. e) Technology and innovation Electronics play an increasing part in the LAS. Particularly the anticipation of threats through sensors is in high demand. Electronics are driver of change in all three defence sector (aerospace, naval, land). The agreement and its programme is to be delivered through an overarching defense co-operation Treaty, a subordinate treaty relating to a joint nuclear facility, a letter of intent signed by defense ministers and a package of joint defense initiatives, further information can be found under http://www.number10.gov.uk/news/uk%E2%80%93francesummit-2010-declaration-on-defense-and-security-co-operation/ 98 125 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Graph B.2 Evolution of Costumer demands in the defense sector Research is very important in France and higher ranked than in other European countries. The Scorpion project is in its first phase primarily a R&D project. Nevertheless, many interview partners consider that the funds allocated to R&D are insufficient. From their point of view, manufacturers tend to reduce their level of research on new technologies to reduce costs and position their products on a mid-rank and not high rank as before. These experts are worried that France defence industry is sacrificing its research and development activities to maintain production capacity. Companies risk to lose irreversibly their industrial and technical skills. Specified R&D for the military sector is very important, but innovations often are created by other industries and are adapted to the LAS. Electric vehicles are developed within the private sector, because the market volume of the military sector is far too small. But the LAS companies follow the path of innovation by adapting necessary parts and integrating useful civic technology. B.1.2. Employment In the French Land armament sector there are 20.000 direct employees and at least the same number of employees in the supply chain and other related services. So, overall the LAS employs around 40.000 to 50.000 employees. As regards to employment in the French LAS, there is a high average age of the working population in the industry. One might therefore think that there is a strong need to recruit, but the reality is likely to contradict this thesis. In fact the labour force is only slowly renewed, temporary and subcontracted company are increasingly involved in all areas. The departures of employees hired in the 70-80 years could lead to significant deficits in skills essential to the sustainability of European defence industrial and technological base. Labor force declining or only slowly renewed Between 1993 and 2009, France has seen a decline of 30% in employment in the defence sector (BIPE 2009:19). Generally speaking, the employment in the industry is both highly skilled and very specialised. In particular, one finds a higher proportion of engineers and scientists, and higher levels of qualification in defence sectors than in the general economy. The recruitment is often made in the army in order to acquire practical knowledge. 126 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies The industry expects stability on employment with slightly reduction. An increase on company level is only occurring because of mergers and acquisitions, there is no organic growth and fierce international competition within the defence sector. The next 18 months are told to be important to assess the impact of the European crisis on the sector. Getting specific qualifications through internal careers paths The search for added-value products forces companies to train their employees in order to reach a higher level of internal quality. The recruitment for technical staff is orientated regional and the companies are trying to be attractive in order to attach university students to the defence market. The sector produces and strengthens its competences mostly internally. In France all companies have to give 0.4% of salary cost into a regional training fund. The employee can ask for further training and can not be send away because of lack of financial resources. Nexter increased the number of apprenticeships by 45% in two years and this trend will continue. The land armament sector is not considered to be attractive for French students. The staff is composed of engineers and also a lot of apprenticeship for electricians in order to catch the necessary talents that are marked by the sector. These persons evolve to defence specialist and cannot be compared to civilian engineers. They have to handle very dangerous products and often in very dangerous environments like Afghanistan. The LAS is also a very male dominated sector, for example in 2011, only 18% of the staff within the Nexter group was female. In order to engage more woman, the working group “Next’Elles” was created. Since 2005, the French law forces French companies with over 300 employees to anticipate skill gaps through an internal agreement called “Gestion Prévisionnelle de l’Emploi et des Compétences” (GPEC). So far over 200 agreements have been signed. In general, the management of an LAS company has to plan the transition of generations with the company and communicate with employee representatives about their objectives and tools. Nexter, for example, agreed in its GPEC agreement to increase the proportion of employees over 55 years. The company will increase at constant rate the percentage of workers over 55 years, so that this part of the workforce will reach 28% in 2012, 32% in 2013 and 33% in 2014. This will made possible through a number of instruments such as halt-time work. Furthermore 5% of Nexter’s traineeships will be allocated to unemployed seniors. However French companies consider that the demographic change is less manifest than in Germany. B.1.3. Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the national LAS Strength of the national LAS Complexity of some systems (operational networks, fire control, guns ...) which restricts the entry of new entrants Multiple niches and submarkets Active market opportunity for old equipment, accompanied by a modernization of systems. The strong involvement of the French state can be recognized as a strength of the national LAS, but it might be a weakness in the long term, because the French players might not be available for European cooperation projects, especially with and for the German industry. 127 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Opportunities Governments are now placing orders in the form of major long term contracts (FRES SCORPION) to structure the market. There are increasing needs in terms of troop protection through Light Armoured Vehicles. The development of a "smart" battle dress for infantry, the C4ISR99 programs The need of new protections against current threats by asymetric warfare. Renewal phase of the equipment, focused on material more easily deployable => light armoured multi-role Weaknesses and risks There is little interaction with civil markets 'equivalent', compounding the cost of developing (low-duality). The development of new products takes a long time and is sometimes at odds with the needs of military operations. The global competition is strong and opportunities on export markets are limited due to similar strategies driven by other LAS producers Stronger cooperation between Rheinmetall and KMW and between Thales and Nexter would increase the competition on French and German export markets (which is already the case in the naval sector). It could also be a prerequisite for a European consolidation. This is not very likely given the political context and in the absence of new cooperative programs (all major land armament programs are launched). Such kind of European consolidation process could also have painful social consequences because of the many duplicates of activities within Member States. The Franco-German rapprochement could precipitate the consolidation of European platformists which are currently rather isolated Ammunition: A dilemma arises for European countries, they have to chose between the will to guarantee the security of supply (this means sufficient quantity and quality for military operations, especially on small calibers) and the increasing interest to buy at lower cost on the international market. Over time, the reinternalisation of ammunition production will become an issue (similar to the case of the UK companies MOD / BAE). In France, the ministerial position on the unexpected relaunch of the domestic manufacturer of cartridges Famas has been quietly adjourned. Some companies (including Patria and Nexter) have proven activities and skills in "ammunition". A scenario of convergence around this activity is theoretically possible but very unlikely in the short term. The same dilemma persists for pyrotechnic activities; they are strategic but not very profitable (case of SNPE / Eurenco). The French state remains decisive for the cooperation with German companies. The State-ownership of the big French players excludes French-German cooperation, because German managers are told not to be open to have state owned shareholders in their company. 99 Aviations' Avionics & Command, Control, Computers, Communications, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance. 128 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Mostly likely solution to remain competitive: further French-French consolidation Meaning a closer cooperation between French players, around Renault Trucks with the dismantling of Nexter. In this case, it seems likely that a closer cooperation only concerns single systems. Such scenario requires that the current shareholder, Volvo, has a medium term strategy for its subsidiary. There is a high uncertainty in this case, for the fate of the ammunition production and other activities. Such an operation would precipitate a consolidation involving Panhard (totally marginalized in this case) in France and probably a company from Germany. This scenario does not exclude a subsequent stake of Thales in the pair RTD-Nexter systems. A closer cooperation between EADS and Renault is a less advantageous solution in terms of size, but it could be also conceivable. In the case of a French–German cooperation (EADS / RTD / KMW for example), this scenario could be a response to the formation of the "champion" Thales / Nexter – Rheinmetall. A new Franco-German attempt implies a prior privatization of the French companies. This is a scenario which is discussed within Nexter, but the German state and the shareholders of German groups (mainly KMW and Rheinmetall) indicated that they would not accept an alliance with a company which is largely owned by a State. This leads to two prerequisites, which highly depend on the French State: privatization of Nexter, accompanied by a joint contract with its German partner. The social consequences of this FrenchGerman cooperation would probably be severe. B.1.4. a) References Bibliography COUR DES COMPTES (2010) Communication à la Commission des finances, de l’economie générale et du contrôle budgetaire de l’assemblée nationale http://www.ccomptes.fr/fr/CC/documents/CCFP/58_2_59265_externalisation_ministere_ defense.pdf CAUZIC, François; Hélène COLAS; Nathalie LERIDON; Sofiène LOURIMI; Elisabeth WAELBROECK-ROCHA (2009) A comprehensive analysis of emerging competences and skill needs for optimal preparation and management of change in the EU defense industry, BIPE. MASSON, Hélène (2010) Industries de défense et soutien public à la R&D en Europe, n°7, fondation pour la recherche stratégique MINISTERE DE LA DÉFENSE (2008) Défense et Sécurité nationale - Le livre blanc, Odile Jacob/ documentation française, Paris. SELLIER, Dominique (2012) report Point de situation de l’industrie d’armement en Europe, Secafi Paris. SELLIER, Dominique; Marlène TOUZET; François SABRIÉ (2011) Point de situation de l’armement terrestre. Online articles by : Le Figaro (www.lefigaro.fr/) http://www.defense.gouv.fr/dga/international2/exportations/un-dispositif-de-soutien-auservice-de-l-export Further on : 129 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies http://www.senat.fr/rap/r11-207/r11-207_mono.html http://clesdusocial.com/france/fr03-emploi/accord-entreprise-relatif-emploi-des-seniorschez-nexter.htm http://www.usinenouvelle.com/article/la-france-a-vendu-5-12-milliards-d-euros-darmement-en-2010.N161629 http://www.ixarm.com/-Opportunites-et-aides-a-l-export- http://www.number10.gov.uk/news/uk%E2%80%93france-summit-2010-declaration-ondefense-and-security-co-operation/ b) List of Interviews • Frederic Bouty NEXTER - Vice President Strategy Strategy Department Nexter Systems 13, route de la Minière – 78034 Versailles, France Tel.: +33 1 30 97 35 35 [email protected] • Jean-Albert Epitalon Managing director international markets GICAT (Groupement des Industries de l’Armement Terrestre) 3, Avenue Hoche, 75008 Paris France [email protected] • Eric Brune CGT - Employee representative NEXTER GROUP, formerly GIAT Industries CGT 263, rue de Paris, 93 516, Montreuil cedex Tel. : +33 6 15 26 69 32 • Sylvain Delaitre CGT -THALES Employee representative for the defense sector Thales Reseach and Technology France Optics and Optronics Department 45 rue de Villiers, 92200 - Neuilly-sur-Seine, France Tel. :+ 33 6 07 13 04 68 E-mail: [email protected] • Luc Scappini CFDT - Employee representative for the defense sector 2-8, rue Gaston Rébuffat - 75019 PARIS Tel : +33 15 64 15 680 [email protected] • André Golliard CFDT (FEAE) :NEXTER Employee representative Tel : +33 4 77 44 70 81 or +33 6 80 30 45 88 [email protected] • Dominique Sellier SECAFI - expert aerospace and defense sector SECAFI - BP 72081 31019 Toulouse cedex2 Tel:+33607624703 E-mail: [email protected] 130 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies c) Other relevant information that partners may want to include Insys ANGLETERRE Euroshelters 50% Rolls-Royce FRANCE Auverland Volvo Vickers 100% Alvis BAE Systems 100% Panhard 50% R.O. CTA Inc. Renault trucks 100% Nexter 50% NBC-Sys 100% Sagem SNPE Optsys ex-STN (terre) Rheinmetall 100% TDA EADS Thales GIWS Etat Norvège Diehl 26.8% 50% 50% Wegmann&Co B&V (terre) 51% Nammo Patria Hagglunds Oy 50% Krauss-Maffei W 100% Demag Krauss-Maffei 49% 100% Raufoss tech. Siemens PAYS SCANDINAVES Patria Industrie 50% Hagglunds Vehicle 50% HB Utveckling 50% 15% Saab ALLEMAGNE Bofors Defense AB 35% 100% Oerlikon Contraves United Defense RUAG Mowag 100% General Dynamics Oerlikon Bührle SUISSE 100% Pays-Bas Autriche Belgique 25% DAF Trucks Finmeccanica 100% FN Herstal Alenia Difesa Otomelara 100% Steyr-Daimler RDM Otobreda 100% Espagne - Portugal Fiat 100% Iveco Spel Santa Barbara Indep ITALIE 131 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Boulevard du Roi Albert II, 5, office 332 B-1210 Brussels Tel: +32(0)22016571 Fax: +32(0)2.217.59.63 132 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies B.2. GERMANY B.2.1. a) Mapping of the National Land Armament Sector (LAS) Macroeconomic Vision In 2010 the estimated German defence industry turnover amounts to 16 bn. € (equal to around 0.7% of the GDP)100. Currently there are 80,000 employees in this branch (0.2% of total employees in Germany). The German Association of the Defence and Security Industry (BDSV) estimates in October 2012 that more than 200.000 workers (in total - including companies of the supply chain) are employed in this branch and producing a turnover of around 22 bn. €. The average share on R&D covers 19%, in comparison to this figure the average of the industry spend 2% of their turnover on it101. About 65% of the employees are working for SMEs, where these SMEs have a share of sales about 50% of the total turnover in this branch. According to the PWC database, 86 German companies have core activities in this sector. A quarter and up to a third of the companies and employees of the German defence industry are told to be working in the branch of land defence technologies (IG Metall 2009 and interviewee). There exists no official statistics on that branch in Germany. A lot of companies which provides land armament equipments offer civilian products as well. Küchle 2007 gives an estimation that 7.000 employees are working for the leading system manufacturers and 13.000 for the large suppliers. Apart from these figures, approximately 2,500 companies are involved in building armoured vehicles as part of the supply chain (Küchle 2007). The Leopard II tank on its own combines the efforts of approximately 1,500 companies. 356 216 A 23 55 18 27 RO E 69 30 ay Ru ss ia n Sp ai n Sw ed en Uk ra in e Uk ra in e 71 18 ly 30 or w 17 Ita 27 129 86 us tri a Be lg iu m Bu lg ar C ia ze ch Re p. Fr an ce G er m an y Hu ng ar y 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Companies with core activities on the defence market N Graph B.3 Amount Source: PWC 2010: Challenges for the German defence industry. The employment in land armament technologies (production of tanks, armoured vehicles, Ammunition etc.) has decreased rapidly after the end of the cold war. In the past (1985) around 50.000 employees worked for the German system manufacturers, this figure decreased to 44.000 in 1990 and declined to 15.000 in 1997. As mentioned before the experts estimate that today approximately 7.000 employees are working for the leading system manufacturers. The German army technology companies can be divided into different categories: System manufacturer – the main providers are Kraus-Maffei Wegmann and Rheinmetall AG. 100 BDSV 2010: Sicherheit made in Germany. Berlin 101 “Parlamentarischer Abend” of the BDSV on the 18th of October 2012 133 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Supplier and component manufacturers – among them, there are Diehl Defence GmbH, ESW GmbH, MTU GmbH, Renk AG, Zahnradfabrik Friedrichshafen AG, ThyssenKrupp AG (with B+V Industrietechnik) and others. Weapons and ammunition industry – Rheinmetall Waffe Munition GmbH, Diehl BGT Defence GmbH & Co. KG, Junghans Microtec GmbH, Heckler & Koch GmbH, MBDA Deutschland GmbH. Protection systems and support vehicles – IABG mbH, TADANO FAUN GmbH, Iveco Magirus AG, Kärcher Futuretech GmbH among others. The German manufacturers in the land armament sector (LAS) have developed an accredited technical expertise over the years. This is reflected in systems like the main battle tank Leopard or the armoured transport vehicle Fuchs that are on high demand in export markets.102 Armoured and modular vehicles from Germany are worldwide recognized as the technically most developed systems in their class. Concerning the requirements for “Protection in Action” the German manufacturers are also ahead of the competition game.103 On the one hand, these factors lead to success in export markets but on the other hand this success leads to a strong dependence on external markets (share of 70%)104. The Budget and Procurement framework gets tighter The Bundeswehr and the defence industry mourn for years about the scarce resources of the national procurement budget. The current decisions make these concerns even more acute. Until 2014 the Ministry of Defence is supposed to save about 8.4 bn. €. Besides the reduction of personnel, the proposed plans include large potential savings and changes in the procurement of the Bundeswehr. Just to give some information, the increase of the procurement budget from 5.49 bn. € to 6.51 bn. € in 2014, mentioned in the Bundeswehrplan 2010, is not feasible. Instead there will be significant reductions. Due to that the prospective German procurement programs will probably no longer be focused only on national manufactures. As mentioned in different strategic governmental papers105 and also in a statement given by the German minister of defence - Thomas de Maizière on Mai 27th 2012 - the procurement strategy will include the possibility to purchase products from foreign manufacturers. The pre-conditions are that these systems are of high quality, available on the market within a short time period and are less expensive than German products (Strategy: Best-Value-for-Money). Table B.2. Distribution of expenditure Bundeswehr In bn. € Supply Personnel Material maintenance Other operation Sum operation Operator contracts c Research, development, test Military procurements Military facilities Other investments Sum investments Investment rate Sum spending 2010 4.51 11.98 2.30 3.72 22.51 1.68 1.21 5.49 0.95 0.16 7.81 28% 32 2011 4.60a 11.97a 2.25 3.74 22.56 1.75 1.11 5.66 0.97 0.16 7.89 29% 32,2 2012 4.65a 11.88a 2.26 3.78 22.56 1.84 1.08 5.99 0.97 0.16 8.20 29% 32,6 2013 4.70a 11.89a 2.26 3.81 22.66 1.91 1.01 6.28 0.97 0.16 8.42 30% 33 2014 4.75a 11.90a 2.29 3.83 22.76 1.91 1.08 6.51 0.97 0.16 8.72 30% 33,4 Source: BMVG 2010 RP-Online 2011: Warum Militärs den „Leo“ lieben von Gregor Mayntz – last update: 12.07.2011 – 15:31 A Canadian Leopard II tank crew survived a heavy explosion in Afghanistan without casualties. This was reported recently in the German press 104 BDSV and confirmed by interviewees 105 Weißbuch (2006), p. 79-83; Verteidigungspolitische Richtlinien (2011) 102 103 134 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies In September 2012 the Federal Government announced to increase the budget for the Ministry of Defence in 2013 up to a total amount of 33,3 bn € taking into account rising salaries and being able to spend money for 5.000 voluntary conscripts. 0.93 bn. € will be spend on R&D. But in the medium-term the budget will decrease106 - in particular due to the reduction of staff within the armed forces- over approximately 33.0 bn. € in 2014 to around 32.5 bn € in 2015 and 2016 Expectations and strategies of the company management Significant lower personnel strength, less units and the purchase of commercially available foreign products107 may result in lower employment volumes and e.g. less maintenance and modernisation contracts with negative consequences for local economies and employment. All the large-scale projects (armoured personnel carrier Puma, Boxer) are in the testing phase or about to be delivered. Based on current information, there are – on the short-term – no large-scale projects in the planning (e.g. no substitute for the battle tank Leopard II, but constant upgrades). This point can indicate a long term under-utilization of the industrial capacities that will first affect R&D activities and then production capacities. Consequently the volume of new acquisitions on domestic markets will decrease compared to the last years. The management of the main German companies in the defence industry react differently to these new challenges. The strategies vary from increasing cooperation level with companies from other countries (e.g. from the U.S.A., see next chapter) or to a decrease of armaments capacity. Even a diversification of products towards non-military sectors (but with focus on homeland security)108 or new forms of cooperation and joint ventures are possible. Increased effort to be successful in export markets outside the established alliance systems is a strategy but can be seen critically by the public opinion.109 And those efforts on export markets are restricted due to legal boundaries in Germany (Exportrichtlinien, Kriegswaffenkontrollgesetz) and a decision taking committee of the Federal Parliament (Bundessicherheitsrat). Some companies like the manufacturer of optical systems “Carl Zeiss” separate their whole activities on the defence sector110. After a profit collapse on their defence and security branches, these activities were offered to investors and acquired in July 2012 by Cassidian and operates now as Cassidian Optronics • Jeopardizing jobs The announced savings on the defence budget till 2016 and the framework of structural reforms of the Bundeswehr – may threaten thousand of jobs in the German defence industry111. These numbers have to be recognized as rough estimation. No precise assessments on the employment perspectives on the LAS were given by the interviewed experts. Actually the trade union IG Metall announced to start a survey in order to collect deeper information and estimations regarding the perspectives of this branch.112 106 107 BMVG: Bundestag berät über Verteidigungshaushalt (Einzelplan 14), Berlin 13.09.2012 Like the Eagle IV of General Dynamics European Land Systems 108 Rheinmetall Defence developed a synthetic fog production system to hide naval ships which one can be used for terrestrial infrastructures when they are threat by terror alerts. 109 There are critical discussions in Germany if to deliver more than 600 Leopard II tanks to Saudi-Arabia http://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2011-12/leopard-panzer-saudi-arabien The business's products include night vision binoculars, military laser pointers and satellite optics and has around 160 million Euros in sales http://www.ftd.de/unternehmen/industrie/:ausstiegsplaene-carl-zeiss-verkauft-militaeroptik/70056389.html 110 111 Said by Bernhard Stiegel (IG Metall) on 30.11.2011 http://www.igmetall-cassidian.de/Newsansicht.162+M550e44f9455.0.html 112 Positionspapier der IG Metall zur Wehr- und Sicherheitsindustrie. July 2012 135 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies • Impact of the financial crisis The financial crisis had no short term impacts on the defence procurement producers, defence divisions stabilized during the crisis. In 2008 Rheinmetall AG has achieved a total turnover of 4 bn. €. The defence division of Rheinmetall with around 7,200 employees has achieved an annual turnover of 1.8 bn. €. These earnings stabilized the result of Rheinmetall AG after the market break down in the automotive sector due the financial crisis (Rheinmetall). In the medium term financial bottlenecks in public budgets will not lead to an increase in procurement budgets in Europe. Therefore the necessity of efficient and unified procurement and cost savings will grow. • Changes in demand by new requirements The military requirements change based on the strategy to develop an “Army of the Future”. In fact, the focus changes from strategic land warfare scenarios with “battles” between armoured land forces to agile, intelligent, light armoured troops in different conflict areas around the globe. This prospective mission profile will change the demand in army technology in the medium term (IG Metall 2009: 13-14 and BMVG 2012). Since the eighties the German army technology industry has produced over 15,000 armoured vehicles, with a remarkable export rate. A big chunk of the cake has been exported to NATO Member States and a smaller part has been delivered – based on export licenses – to third countries. Added to the pure production value, future deals on maintenance and support guarantee a steady turn-over. In the light of a potentially policy-driven Europeanization of the branch113 and delimited national procurement budget of the Bundeswehr, the companies will probably act in Europe and on international markets to maintain their position. This can be displayed on the two German system manufacturers Rheinmetall and KMW. b) Groups and Enterprises Four major companies (Rheinmetall, KMW, MTU, Diehl) are all 100% in national (but not state) ownership. They are either family owned or organized as holdings. For the moment, there is no sign that foreign investors try to acquire German companies. However, some German and European companies with German cooperation took over non-European companies in the last few years. Rheinmetall absorbed some smaller ammunition factories in South Africa. Another way of investment is the selling of product licences to other countries, so they are able to build the product on their own (manufacturing in licence). Especially Rheinmetall and KMW are, as system producers, national champions which cooperate in a lot of projects (armoured carrier Puma, patrol vehicle AMPV, etc.). The national consolidation in the area of weapon and ammunition has progressed. During 1990, there were still many German provider with approximately 16,000 employees, this industry is now focused on Diehl, Rheinmetall, MBDA, Heckler & Koch and Bayern-Chemie, as daughter of MBDA who sold their activities on explosives to ROXEL, which together have less than 6,000 employees. There are some specific geographical areas where LAS and other defence production plants in Germany are concentrated: Hessen (KMW, Rheinmetall), Northern Germany (Atlas Elektronik, Rheinmetall Defence,) and South/South-West of Germany (Diehl, MTU, Renk, KMW). In any case, most of the company headquarters and production sites are located in West- and South-Germany. 113 Considering the political declarations on a Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP), on the European Security and Defence Policy (ESDP) and the political rhetoric on joint European projects in defence procurement, a neutral observer might gain the impression that the Europeanization of the LAS Industry is a plausible option. Furthermore, in the light of limited national budgets on the one hand and the demand for armies` modernisation on the other, there is theoretically a strong in-built trend towards further Europeanization in the LAS sector, mirroring that already partly experienced in other defence industry sectors such as aircraft, missiles, helicopters and electronics. The rationale behind such a process could be identified in its political relevance and its economic logic. In addition, as mentioned above, the sequencing of procurement orders, the partly conflicting mission requirements of weapon platforms and the incompatible ownership structure of companies represent major barriers to a “European scenario”. Nevertheless, changes in the political or industrial environment could facilitate a process of Europeanisation. decision-making. 136 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Rheinmetall (http://www.rheinmetall-defence.com/index.php?lang=3) Rheinmetall AG, based in Dusseldorf, is an automotive supplier and a defence technology producer with worldwide 21,516 employees in 2011. In the last years Rheinmetall accomplished a number of strategic positions in the market. The “Clear Line Strategy” – agreed in 2000 – demands a concentration on the core competences of defence technology and automotives. Based on this agenda, civilian parts of the company were sold and other military provider acquired. In the meanwhile, the former majority holder on Rheinmetall the Röchling Industrieverwaltung GmbH sold their shares in 2004. The stock options were bought by about 75 institutional investors. In 2011 Rheinmetall AG has achieved a total turnover of 4.45 bn. €. The defence division of Rheinmetall with around 9,200 employees has achieved an annual turnover of 2.1 bn. €. These earnings stabilized the result of Rheinmetall AG after the market break in the automobile branch due the financial crisis. Some products of the Rheinmetall are the Wisent, the Yak and the Fuchs in different types. A special feature of the German land armament sector is that competing companies work together to develop different weapon systems and platforms. For the development of the armoured vehicle Puma for the Bundeswehr, Rheinmetall Landsysteme and Krauss-Maffei Wegmann founded the joint venture PSM GmbH. Both of them hold 50% of the shares. This type of cooperation is not new as the Panzerhaubitze 2000, the Boxer and the AMPV are based on similar cooperation models. Diehl BGT Defence GmbH & Co. KG, RAFAEL Ltd. (Israel) and Rheinmetall Defence Electronics operate the joint venture EuroSpike GmbH which is the prime contractor for the EuroSpike missile family. Rheinmetall Landsysteme became copartner of the new founded Heeresinstandsetzungslogistik GmbH (HIL) in 2005. For eight years this company is responsible for the maintenance of selected vehicles and weapon systems and provides employees in operation areas till February 2013. The Ministry of Defence will probably not sign a new contract and announced to operate the businnes of HIL in future on its own114. New EU procurement directives and the initiation of a divesture process are the main arguments. The operating figures of Rheinmetall’s defence division in the last two years indicate a positive and solid result with a profit-turnover ratio before taxes and investment costs of 9.1% alternatively 10.7%. This implies that there is no pressure on side of Rheinmetall to work on a European solution unless Rheinmetall is an equal partner. Under these circumstances a special problem is that possible partners and competitors are state-owned or they already have formed bigger units like the BAE in Great-Britain. Today the major customer Bundeswehr is responsible for 30% of the turnover of Rheinmetall. The announced IPO of the automotive division of Rheinmetall AG, (the KPSG AG) which was officially postponed (cancelled?) in September 2012 arguing on of the current Euro crisis implies that the company will be seen as more as a defence procurement company and not only as a diversified group (focusing on this core activity to strengthen the external perception as one leader on the international defence markets). At the end of August 2012 Rheinmetall AG has announced to restructure its activities on Rheinmetall Landsysteme within a “Three Plants Concepts” and to concentre its activities in Unterlüß (near to a military training ground). The three plants Kiel, Kassel and Gersthofen will be probably affected by this decision and may loose more than hundred of jobs115. Krauss-Maffei Wegmann (http://www.kmweg.de/de/) Krauss-Maffei Wegmann (KMW) is the other very important German provider for armoured wheeled and tracked vehicle in Europe. Around 3,200 employees develop and build combat vehicles in Munich and Kassel for international consumers in over 30 countries. Source: Tagesschau 15th of August 2012 Source Handelsblatt 28th of August. http://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/laut-ig-metall-rheinmetallwill-hunderte-jobs-streichen/7064634.html 114 115 137 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Products of KMW are the Leopard II, the new armoured transport vehicle Puma, but also vehicles like the Dingo, Mungo, GTK Boxer and artillery systems like MARS and the Panzerhaubitze 2000. In a consortium KMW is an assigned maintenance partner and spare parts producer for the armoured weapon systems of the German ARV Büffel and the mine thrower Skorpion. KMW was founded in 1999 via an amalgamation of the defence activities of the Krauss-Maffei company (locomotive, plastics technology) located in Munich, a subsidiary company of Mannesmann AG, and Wegmann & Co. located in Kassel, which the majority was in possession of the family Bode. Siemens finally sold 49% of the shares in 2010 to the WegmannGroup. A possible merger of Rheinmetall and KMW was cancelled because of the agreement between Siemens and Wegmann. The sale of shares from Siemens to Rheinmetall could not be realized because Wegmann intervened via their purchase option and veto right. According to reports the purchasing price was around 400 Million € and KMW now has a complete family-owned business structure. The turnover ascended from 2007 (1.25 bn. €) till 2008 (1.4 bn. €) but in 2009 the turnover declined (1.2 bn. €). At the same time the profit increased from 109 million € (2008) to 158 million € (2009). However in 2010 KMW has suffered the greatest decline in sales in the history of the company. The revenue has fallen by a quarter to 0.9 bn. €. According to a company spokesman and the German newspaper “Handelsblatt” the cause of this decline is a major contract with Greece for Leopard II tanks that is phasing-out in combination with a difficult market environment after the financial crisis116. As a consequence, KMW downsized the number of employees over the last three years by around 10 to 15%. All concerned employees were sent into early retirement or normal pension. There were no enforced redundancies117. KMW tries to expand through smaller national takeovers in the defence sector. KMW and Rheinmetall are both involved in the current largest project of the European land armament sector. The German Bundestag gave the green light for the purchase of 405 IFV Puma amounting to 1.5 bn €, which KMW and Rheinmetall jointly produce. Aside the purchase of 200 Boxer by the Dutch armed forces, there are increased efforts for cooperation in emerging defence markets, for example India. New subsidiary companies were founded in Brazil and Turkey. According to those new markets the company expects a perpetuation of the current turnover and growth levels. Diehl Defence (http://www.diehl.com/de/diehl-defence.html) By the aggregation of all defence sector activities of the Diehl-Group, Diehl Defence was founded in 2007. The company is divided into two subdivisions: On the one hand, Diehl BGT Defence GmbH & Co. KG concentrates on ammunition, sensors and guided missiles. Meanwhile, Diehl Defence Land Systems GmbH concentrates on maintenance and modernization of military vehicles. Furthermore there are participations in AIM Infrarot-Module, Diehl & Eagle Picher, Junghans microtec, Diehl Iberia Sistemas, S.A., Diehl Raytheon Missile Systeme GmbH (RAMSyS). The company is headquartered in Überlingen (Baden-Württemberg). Overall, the company has 27 sites in 8 countries. During the last few years the company focused on a strategy of internalisation. Therefore representations were founded in Bangkok (Thailand), Ankara (Turkey), Abu Dhabi (United Arabian Emirates) and New Delhi (India). In addition, Diehl Defence takes part in defence technology fairs in Chile, Qatar and India. In 2010 Diehl Defence had 3,097 employees and a turnover of 729 million €. This represents 27% of the total turnover of the Diehl-Group (in 2010: 2,725.1 million €) and about 23% of the total employees. Since 2004 Diehl BGT Defence GmbH cooperates with the US-company General Atomics Aeronautical Systems to develop and produce unmanned aerial vehicles. Additional partner in this cooperation is Rheinmetall. Together they will provide the model “Predator”. Furthermore Diehl cooperates with Atlas Elektronik, Alliant Techsystems, Alenia Marconi Systems, Avio and many others. 116 http://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/ruestungsindustrie-im-europaeischen-ausland-geht-fast-nichtsmehr/6202548-3.html 117 Interviewee 138 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies In the last two years Diehl BGT Defence GmbH & Co. KG scored two big deals. First the delivery of ammunition to British and Australian armed forces amounts to 120 Million € plus the delivery of special ammunition to French armed forces. Second an order of the US Marine Corps has a volume of 1.7 Million $. The company also participates in some EU research programs. In the case of the “Networked Multi-Robot Systems”, the Diehl BGT Defence occurs as prime contractor. The EU research programs are not limited to the military sector; a civilian part is for example the safety on airports. The company provides solution for public authorities (e.g. police), but the core business remains the procurement of armed forces. To stabilize the position in the defence market the company intends to deepen the cooperation with medium-sized companies (i.e. innovative SME that produce sub-components such as screws, nuts, light metals, wheels, plastic parts, electronic components, etc). Cooperation in Germany Especially Rheinmetall and KMW, the two German system integrators, are national champions which cooperate successful in a lot of projects (Schützenpanzer Puma, Patrouillenfahrzeug AMPV, etc.). The most important project of cooperation is of course the MBT Leopard II. KMW is the general contractor and Rheinmetall supplies very important components like the 120mm gun, MTU builds the engine. Currently Rheinmetall tries to strengthen its position in this cooperation. So they develop packages such as modifications and upgrades for the Leopard II tank on their own and offer it to clients on the export markets while the Bundeswehr uses the modernisation packages from KMW. This leads to some misunderstandings between both companies even if there exist a long lasting trend of cooperation on single procurement projects. In this way the partners are able to use the expertise of each other and they avoid pressure of competition. According to their point of view, the industry has no wish to form only one big national champion from the major companies. According to them most of the European competitors are national champions and often subsidized or state-owned. A German “national champion” would be the number four under the biggest European defence company. One single German champion would not have a stronger position in terms of market share, technology and competition than nowadays due to the fact that a close cooperation already exists. European Perspective Within a European scenario model, two variants might be discussed: a Franco-German solution (Nexter and Rheinmetall/KMW) and an extended European solution of the consolidation (with the involvement of BAE Land Systems, Nexters and the two German companies). But both German system providers are not in an acute economic distress and probably they will accept new path of cooperation only if they gain a leading role inside such a European scenario. The German part evaluates the governmental participation in Nexter as negative (IG METALL 2009: 12). Furthermore no European political initiatives or large joint projects that could push towards a European industrial champion are expected by the representatives of the industry. Collaborative development of tanks or future vehicles and joint-ventures are, according to experts118, not useful for the German side. This is caused by the leading role of German companies in some areas. They fear that their know-how could be drained by “cooperating partners”. In addition, companies in other European countries have to deal with overcapacities, especially in the market of infantry combat vehicles. According to our interviews, German companies don’t have to fear similar problems at the moment due to their leading role inside the German and European market and their success in foreign markets. With regard to the production costs of land vehicles and tanks, they are not comparable to the complex programs for combat aircrafts or satellites. In this area Germany proves only sub-competencies and the 118 Küchle 2007 and confirmed within our interviews 139 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies high level of costs forces all partners to joint projects. According to representatives from the industry, development and production of land vehicles will remain in the hand of the national system integrators. One reason is the complicated, expensive and time-consuming collaborative development of new products (due to different needs of armies and different time frames to replace e.g. older vehicles). A current example for a more transatlantic than European approach can be seen in the cooperation between Rheinmetall and General Dynamics Ordnance and Tactical Systems (GD-OTS), a business unit of General Dynamics which bundles efforts in the area of tank ammunition. The so called “Defense Munitions International (DMI)” is located in the US and develops and sells 120-mm-kinetic-energy and multi-purpose ammunition. By aggregating their activities into DMI both Rheinmetall and GD-OTS intend to improve their international market access, achieve synergies in production and realise joint developments. The IG Metall expects a stronger Europeanization for the mid-term future. Further cooperation on European level will probably be based on financial aspects and not due to political willingness under a short-term of view. Europe is still facing a big financial crisis and the defence budgets of European states are not turning upward in the next years. Despite all political and military avowals, no real projects for using the same military products or structures (logistic, ammunition, vehicles) are foreseen, because the requirements for military equipment differ till today considerably across countries and armies. However, it is expected that European military cooperation will grow and the interviewee from IG Metall identified a stronger approach towards the Europeanization under a mid- and long-term perspective. May fiscal problems could be a first driver. Because of the quite badly financial situation in most of the European countries, a consolidation of military competence, skills and equipment is likely. This prospective situation is evaluated neutral with a tendency towards a positive estimation given by the German manufactures we interviewed. The leading role in technology and armoured vehicles provide German companies quite a good advantage. But there is no question about, that within a consolidated European defence market the competition will be grow. c) Products and Value Chain The LAS in Germany is very diversified. There are major companies for armoured vehicles and tanks (Rheinmetall, KMW), infantry weapons (Heckler & Koch, Walther), engine technologies (MTU) and production of missiles and ammunition (Diehl). A lot of companies deliver as first tier supplier important components. (Renk AG – gear boxes, ESW-GmbH - stabilizing systems, ZF-Friedrichshafen - guidance systems). The suppliers are active as well in civil as in military markets, the share on military products is up to 75% (like ESW). In the past most of the very well known Germany military products were produced in the vehicle sector (like the Leopard I and II tank, which is used by many nations or the wheeled armoured vehicle “Fuchs” to detect NBC fallout). Nowadays, the German LAS is more and more involved in high technology developments like electronic systems and also remains focused on the production of armoured vehicles. A clear signal towards this trend is the joint venture of Rheinmetall and the truck producer MAN, called RMMV Rheinmetall MAN Military Vehicles119. Service is also becoming more and more important for the German LAS. In February 2005 the Heeresinstandsetzungslogistik GmbH (HIL) was born to meet the requirements of maintenance of the Bundeswehr The new company is an important provider of complete solutions in the market for military wheeled vehicles, covering the entire range of armoured and unarmoured transport, command and role-specific vehicles for the international armed forces. Rheinmetall has a stake of 51 percent and MAN 49 percent in the new company, which is headquartered in Munich. When the integration and merger has been completed the company will have around 1,300 employees, whose annual turnover will amount to more than a billion Euros. They probably will benefit both from the MAN Nutzfahrzeuge AG research facilities and Rheinmetall's comprehensive military knowledge. RMMV offers a range of military trucks for all assignments, with exceptional lifecycle costs, performance – and most importantly – crew protection. Sources: http://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/joint-venture-mit-man-rheinmetall-schmiedet-neuenruestungsriesen/3343720.html http://www.rheinmetall-defence.com/index.php?fid=5305&lang=3 119 140 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies machines, at least for the following eight years. It is a collaboration between the federal government, that holds 49% of the shares, and the HIL Industrieholding GmbH, that holds 51% of the shares. The HIL Industrieholding GmbH is in equal possession of Industriewerke Saar (IWS), a company of the group VA-System of the Diehl Stiftung & Co. KG, Rheinmetall Landsysteme (RLS) and Krauss-Maffei Wegmann (KMW) (KÜCHLE 2007:18). As mentioned before, the Ministry of Defence will probably not sign a new contract due to changing legal backgrounds and announced to operate the HIL on its own. On the case of partly privatisation and outsourcing is mostly managed by trained soldiers of the Bundeswehr. Nowadays Rheinmetall and KMW provide voluntary mechanics and technicians, who pursue the maintenance of vehicles in areas of conflicts and wars like in Afghanistan or the Balkans. Since 2002 another civilian service company adds to the operation of the armed forces, the BwFuhrParkService GmbH. This municipal company is hold by Deutsche Bahn (24.9%) and the Ministry of Defence (75.1%). Everyday vehicles (also ones including military equipment), construction machinery and trucks are rented as “leased vehicles” to the Bundeswehr. This improves cost control and the vehicles may be returned on an ideal cost-benefit point. Typically prime contractors rely on many external suppliers. Especially those systems which consist of many high-tech electronic devices and are built as modular stations. So from the perspective of the contractors, there is a high request for special components from different civilian and military sectors. The increasing importance of electronical and high technological devices forces the main companies either to form connections to companies which are specialized in such products, or to establish own “In-House” departments, to fulfil the high security standards and to ensure a long term capability for producing those products. An example showing how important these new co-operations are can be identified by the new company RMMV established by Rheinmetall and MAN. “Dual-Use” is told to be not as important as it often is considered. Most of the companies got own divisions e.g. for the automotive industry. The use of products in each of the other divisions seems logical. But just to mention one example an interviewee explained, Rheinmetall can only use 10% of its automotive products for its own defence division. Similarly there are no large “spin out” effects from defence technologies and products to the civilian sector of the company. Most of the parts and technologies are not useful for civilian products. The military parts have to be treated very confidentially and are too expensive for the open market. d) Markets Export oriented providers such as KMW and Rheinmetall must consider how they can achieve a comparable technical and industrial competitive position vis-à-vis worldwide acting groups such as BAE and General Dynamics. Nowadays the export of defence technology plays an important role for the industry. The turnover of both German system providers depends from 60% to 70% on their export. The suppliers also rely on the export. This applies to whole systems, components and licenses (IG METALL 2009: 11). Land armament products from German manufactures are in service by armies all around the world, especially armoured vehicles and small arms. Leopard I and II are active in over 20 states.120 The Rheinmetall 120 mm gun on the Leopard II is used by even more armies and those have different tanks than the Leopard II. A lot of German armoured vehicles were sold into other countires 121, some of them are developed and built with partners. Products like the armoured fighting vehicle Boxer, reconnaissance vehicle Fennek (both Germany and Netherlands) or armoured personal carrier Fuchs (operated by up to six countries). Small arms from Heckler & Koch are used or built in license in nearly all western countries and their allies. 120 121 e.g. Brasil, Chile, Denmark, Finland, Greece, Canada, Norway, Austria, Turkey, Singapur, Poland, Switzerland, Spain Like the „Dingo“ in Belgium, Austria, Czech Republic or Luxemburg 141 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Impact of new EU legislation (defence package) The German industry expects that the “Defence Package” will not have a negative short-term impact on their markets. Similar to arguments on P. 13 competition is expected to grow in Europe but due to the high level and reliability of German LAS products negative consequence are not expected by the German Industry. e) Technology and innovation In 2010 German companies sold military electronic equipment in the value of 453,629,138 € (, technology in the value of 218,808,009 € and military software in the value of 26,684,876 €. Source: BMWi 2011: 26). To get further information about R&D activities of the single companies see chapter B.1.1.b). B.2.2. Employment According to the interviews realized in spring 2012 the large companies within the German Land Armament Sector did not expect a further reduction of employment figures within the next years. Compared to the budget cuts at the end of the Cold War and also compared to other NATO and EU countries, the cuts nowadays were estimated as relatively limited and were told not have a strong negative effect in terms of employment. Meanwhile (autumn 2012) the employees of Rheinmetall Defence are affected by the announced restructuring process (p.9). In the past the loss within the national market during the last period could be compensated by companies´ approaches to increase sales on the export markets. Today the business of Rheinmetall is divided into one-third inner-state production (German army), one-third for European exports and one-third for other countries (mainly USA). According to the interviews with representatives from the industry, it was estimated by them that it is important to establish new markets and to secure the success on export markets otherwise a significant reduction of employment could become a threat in a couple of years ahead again. But as mentioned before the efforts to export products and technologies depend significantly on the political will in Germany. In Germany every export of defence products is subject to supervision by the political committee (Bundessicherheitsrat). If there is a non-democratic government or the possibility of human rights abuse in the importing country or region, it is likely that the political committee will not approve the export. Similar to the defence industry in other European countries, the entire German defence industry faces considerable change in the coming years. This is mainly caused by two trends. First, the financial crisis of the public authorities leads to cuts in the budget of the Bundeswehr. Mostly affected are the acquisition and operation of LAS. Second, based on financial bottlenecks and a security policy reorientation, the Bundeswehr has to face a transformation process. These structural reforms include a reduction of the staff level of the Bundeswehr and the suspension of the compulsory military service. Export customers like the Netherlands also restructure their armed forces and waive for example chain-driven battle tanks. In order to face these developments, the LAS in Germany is struggling to keep technological core competences. Adjustments and changes threaten the level of employment and the level of qualification in the long term. Another important challenge could be identified within the research. For the next years the German industry is facing more and more labour shortages because of the demographic trend in Germany, the positive economic situation in Germany (the internal competition to get and keep skilled worker inside the industry will grow), success in exports and increasing cohorts of elderly people. Right at the moment the average age in the industry is still on a lower (younger) level than other branches of the industry. E.g. KMW workers are on average 42.5 years old. But things are expected to change within the next 15 years. The character of jobs in the armament industry is becoming more high skilled and specialized. Since the last decade the typical employee is very qualified and good trained. Beside the fact of labour shortage, the recruitment of trained and skilled personnel is becoming a challenge because of the unstable situation in the internal 142 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies market connected with an uncertain order situation. KMW (in close cooperation with the skills and vocational training centre of the Bavarian Industry - BBW) developed in 2009 training courses for their employees to keep and strengthen skills and new competences.122 Young engineers and technicians are interested in jobs in the sector because of high specialized work, new technologies and good incomes. But if they notice that a long-term engagement is doubtful, some of them realign their specialization. Due to this fact many qualified workers like armour steel welders change into other high paid branches like the oil or aerospace industry. Another concern is that companies are sending high qualified personal up to six months into areas of war like Afghanistan, to secure service and maintenance. This kind of job requires a lot of skills (as well specialized as broadly based to deal with a lot of different technical problems) and a strong mental character as well. Coming back to Germany these service men often need psychological support like soldiers do. If high risk operation fields like Afghanistan end and/or the system platform, on which these people were working on, is going out of service, people might lose their jobs, for which they sacrificed a lot. As a result, it will be nearly impossible to gain new employees for those kinds of jobs as one interviewee estimates. In the land armament industry temporary employment does not have a big value. At KMW around 10% of the employees are under temporary employment schemes. Due to new labour rights and working contracts temporary employment is becoming much more expensive for companies than it was in the past decade. Even in a situation of labour shortage, high level requirements and standards in the armament industry make it nearly impossible to take over temporary employees into permanent contracts. It was said that in some jobs, there will be ten self trained permanent workers and only one is able to achieve the highest qualifications in his career. B.2.3. Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the national LAS The German land armament industry offers a wide range of system capabilities. It has a technological leading role; particularly armoured vehicles like Leopard II, artillery systems and the 120-mm gun can be mentioned. Despite poorer conditions compared to other countries, e.g. a more restrictive export and offset policy in Germany, the national LAS industry still has efficiency advantages in comparison to enterprises from other countries. A successful market penetration of Western and Middle Europe is a result of the strong system capabilities and technological efforts by the German LAS industry. Based on traditions, extended over decades, the market position in the field of land armament systems, in comparison to both the U.S.A. and European competitors is excellent. American companies attempt to reduce the German advantage by designing heavy battle tanks or artillery system through a huge increase in resources for research and development (IG Metall 2006: 5). German companies have to face a reduction of chain operated vehicles in the next 10 years. But not the lack of prospective products and a decrease of companies´ turnover in this field is viewed as a problem by the representatives of industry. A loss of knowledge and innovation capabilities is recognized as prospective danger. Geostrategic and geopolitical circumstances will not lead to new orders and R&D activities to develop new chain operated systems like MBT and heavy tank guns (like the 140mm gun as once discussed for a prospective follow up tank of the Leopard II). Some German companies are particularly affected by the process because research measurements are largely founded by contracts. In fact Rheinmetall, although more than 20 % of their staff are engaged with research and development, spends only 4% of its turnover for company financed research and technology activities. So some companies are not able to spend a higher share of their turnover on research because there is no guarantee for a return of this investment. According to that, research, development and production are to a majority customer financed within a contract. A German expert we interviewed ex122 KMW Press Release 2009: “Geförderte Fortbildung in der Spritzgießtechnik“ 143 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies pects that by 2017/2018 the lack of research could lead to a loss of knowledge. However KMW has its own department for research and strategic analysis of prospective needs of the German Bundeswehr and other customers. This department is financed by KMW itself. 25 to 30% of the total staff at KMW is involved in development and research. This rate would only be around 10% if KMW would finance research and development only contract founded and not by own investments an interviewee informed us. The reason for this can be seen in the traditional orientation and efforts as a family-owned company. According to representatives of the German industry, it is in the interest of all companies to achieve a stronger homogenization concerning the different national requirements of defence products. Global missions which are taking place at the moment or expected in the future are more and more designed as multinational military operations. Therefore the same military equipment (e.g.: armoured vehicles, weapons, rockets, IT-Systems) by participant states or allies would make missions easier and cheaper in terms of procurement, logistic and maintenance. Furthermore the strategic and tactical requirements of the armed forces differ from country to country. Even the branches within national armed forces are often not able to unify their own requirements for a special product. For example there are more than ten different versions of the NH-90 Helicopter for different national armies and their branches (e.g.: naval forces need another version than air force or army branch do). But there are still a few examples for multinational cooperation like the Airbus M400 or the Eurofighter (Typhoon) or as mentioned before (see P.15) products like Boxer or Fennek. Between the NATO partners there is already a program for further teamwork in this field. It’s called “NATO owned and operated” and consist of programs like the AWACS, Ground Surveillance or the future National Missile Defence System. What is needed? A European military doctrine and a well functioning political authority on European level, which is able to take measures on its own could be an important step towards a European solution. This would be an important step to achieve an approach in terms of military requirements and to develop joint projects and products. B.2.4. a) References Bibliography BDSV 2010: Sicherheit made in Germany. Berlin BMWi, Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Technologie (Hrsg.) (2011): Bericht der Bundesregierung über ihre Exportpolitik für konventionelle Rüstungsgüter im Jahre 2010. Rüstungsexportbericht 2010, München. BMVG 2006: Weißbuch zur Sicherheitspolitik Deutschlands und zur Zukunft der Bundeswehr. Berlin BMVG 2011: Verteidigungspolitische Richtlinien. Berlin BMVG 2012: Bewertung des neuen Ausrüstungs- und Nutzungsprozesses der Bundeswehr durch das Gremium externer sachverständiger Rüstungsexperten. Berlin BMVG 2012: Wehrwissenschaftliche Forschung. Jahresbericht 2011. Berlin KÜCHLE, Hartmut (2007): Die deutsche Heeresindustrie in Europa. Perspektiven internationaler Ko-operationen und industriepolitscher Handlungsbedarf. Edition der Hans-Böckler- Stifung Nr. 200. IG METALL (2006): Kasseler Erklärung zur Lage der heerestechnischen Industrie in Deutschland des Arbeitskreises „Wehrtechnik und Arbeitsplätze in der IG Metall“, Frankfurt am Main. IG METALL (2009): Heerestechnik. Europäische Perspektiven der heerestechnischen Industrie in Deutschland. Eine Bestandsaufnahme. Kurzreport 03/2009, Frankfurt am Main. PWC PriceWaterhouseCoopers (2010) : Challenges for the German defence industry. Development of the markets – strategies for the industry, Frankfurt a.M. 144 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies CALEPIN INTERNATIONAL, Ministère de la défense et des anciens combattants (Hrsg.) (2012): Calepin international des principales entreprises travaillant pour la défense. Édition Mars 2012. Direction Générale de l’Armement. EUROPÄISCHE STRATEGIE UND TECHNIK: Jahrgang 2012 STRATEGIE UND TECHNIK : Jahrgänge 2009-2011 WEHRTECHNIK (wt) : Jahrgänge 2010-2012 Online articles by : Rheinische Post, (www.rp-Online.de) Das Handelsblatt, (www.handelsblatt.com) Die Zeit, (www.zeit.de) Die Süddeutsche Zeitung (www.suedeutsche.de) http://www.sipri.org/yearbook/2011/files/SIPRIYB11summaryDE.pdf http://www.rusi.org/downloads/assets/201203_RDS_Heidenkamp.pdf http://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/152204/umfrage/entwicklung-derruestungsexporte-aus-deutschland-seit-dem-jahr-2000/ http://www.rheinmetall.de/de/media/editor_media/rheinmetallag/group/publications_1 /annualreports/2011_4/GB_2011_d.pdf http://www.rheinmetall.de/de/media/editor_media/rheinmetallag/group/publications_1 /annualreports/2011_4/Presentation_2021-03-21_e.pdf Further on : b) List of Interviews • Mr. Heinz Josef Kruse, Rheinmetall Defence Rheinmetall AG UB Defence Strategische Unternehmensentwicklung Rheinmetall Platz 1 40476 Düsseldorf Telefon: 0211-473 4150 • Mr. Karsten Lepper BDSV Friedrichstraße 60 10117 Berlin Tel.: 030-206189900 • Mr. Ralf Bergschneider Betriebsratsvorsitzender Krauss-Maffei-Wegmann GmbH & Co. KG Krauss-Maffei-Straße 11 80997 München Tel.: 0089/8140-5599 • Mr. Jürgen Bühl IG Metall Vorstand | VB 06 Wilhelm-Leuschner-Str. 79 60329 Frankfurt am Main Tel. 069-6693-2416 145 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies • Mr. Werner Frank Referatsleiter Angelegenheiten Rüstungswirtschaft, BMVG Bundesministerium der Verteidigung Abteilung Politik - Referatsleiter Pol II 4 - Wirtschaft, Industrie, Markt, Export Fontainengraben 150 53123 Bonn Tel.: 0228 - 12 5855 c) Other Relevant Information 146 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Boulevard du Roi Albert II, 5, office 332 B-1210 Brussels Tel: +32(0)22016571 Fax: +32(0)2.217.59.63 B.3. ITALY B.3.1. Mapping of the National Land Armament sector (LAS) This section is interested in mapping the Land Armament Sector in Italy. Defining the sector is not easy, in the first place because there is a lack of data, secondly because only few of the enterprises involved are specialized just in Land Armament sector. The main structure and production system involves two firms. The first one is OTOMELARA S.p.A. (Finmeccanica Group). Almost half of the production of OTOMELARA S.p.A. is linked to the Land Armament Sector. The second enterprise involved is IVECO Defence Vehicles S.p.A. (IVECO Group, branch of the multinational Group Fiat industrial S.p.A.), which also manufactures special vehicles. Although these two enterprises have separate activities, together they cofounded CIO (Consorzio Iveco Otomelara), which produces most of the tracked vehicles manufactured in Italy. The production of land armament involves other enterprises and sectors (such as mechanic, electronic, textile, gum and chemical industries), although it is not easy to identify which part of the production of these industries is directly involved in Land Armament Sector. According to the identification of ELDIG (the European Land Defence Industry Group), we identified some other companies which are not only producers, but also suppliers (for more details see also annex 3, elements provided by the interviewed expert Dr Alioti): Armoured Vehicles – Otomelara, Iveco Defence Vehicles, ARIS, CMD, Curti, INIS Soldier Systems (related to portable electronic equipment) - SELEX Sistemi Integrati (Finmeccanica Group), LARIMART, TELEGI Sensors for C4I (Command, Control, Communication, Computers and Intelligence) – SELEX Galileo (Finmeccanica Group) as far as optical sensors fare concerned, ELETTRONICA, INIS Weapons and ammunition – Otomelara (mainly artillery), Beretta (mainly small arms and ammunition), ARIS, Curti, EUROCONTROL, INIS, TELEGI Protection equipment and systems – Otomelara, Aerosekur (all military protection systems), ARIS, Curti, ETEM C4I equipment and systems - SELEX Sistemi Integrati (Finmeccanica Group), ELETTRONICA, EUROCONTROL, LARIMART 147 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Logistic and support equipment and services – SELEX Elsag (Finmeccanica Group), ARIS, ETEM, OMP Engineering, TELEGI Another enterprise which produces radars and land based sensors (anti-aircraft defence) is Rheinmetall Italia (branch of the German Rheinmetall Defence). a) Macroeconomic vision For the Italian Land Armament Sector, there is a lack of study on the specific sector. Most of the analysed studies are on aerospace and naval industry. There are no field data on Land Armament Sector. The importance of the defence industry in Italy is showed in the two graphs presented here. The first graph above explains the military expenditure in Italy, which is often involved in international missions. According to SISPRI, the percentage of military expenditure on GDP in Italy has decreased in recent years. Graph B.4 Military expenditure in Italy Military expenditure in Italy 30000 25000 M. Euros 20000 15000 10000 5000 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 0 Years Source: www.sispri.org 148 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Graph B.5 Military expenditure in Italy as percentage of GDP Military expenditure in Italy as percentage of gross domestic product 1988-2010 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 2,6 2,4 2,2 2,0 1,8 1,6 1,4 1,2 1,0 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0,0 Years Source: www.sispri.org In Italy, the Land Armament Sector is not relevant. According to the interviewed expert Nones, for instance, Italy has not a significant LAS. However, AIAD, the Italian Industries Federation for Aerospace, Defence and Security, claim that Italian national companies have a stable market for their products and services, with some success stories such as the innovative wheeled vehicle called Lince, sold directly by Iveco Defence Vehicles, without the consortium CIO. Nowadays, it is very hard to foresee the effects of the present crisis on this sector. As far as LAS is concerned, main companies in the sector have still orders for the next years. At the moment, cuts in the Defence budget for the future refer to combat aircrafts and to the number of the people now employed by the Ministry of Defence (civil servants, soldiers and especially officers, whose number in the shift from the draft system to the professional army has somehow managed to stay at a level higher than the needed one). By way of contrast, there are currently several priority-level public programmes with a positive impact on the Italian LAS. A good example is given by the so-called “FORZA NEC” Programme, intended to connect all soldiers with the decisional centre and to all database, in order to get all information in real time. b) Groups and Enterprises As already mentioned, the sector is very concentrated. Referring to vehicles and heavy weapons, two enterprises are both involved in the construction of tracked vehicles (within the consortium CIO). The consortium CIO was founded in 1985 by IVECO Defence Vehicles (www.iveco.com) and OtoMelara (www.otomelara.it), each holding a 50% share, and it was intended for the design, development and production of main battle tanks and armoured vehicles that are currently achieving a significant international success (AIAD, 2012). OtoMelara and Iveco have been the first companies to understand that a consortium would have been the right solution after 1989. OtoMelara, which belongs to Finmeccanica Group, resulted from the merging with Breda Meccanica Bresciana, that took place in 1994. Its products have been sold in more than 50 countries and it is presently world leader in the design and production of small and medium calibre naval guns (AIAD, 2012). It has revenues for 414 million Euro (data 2010). However, its production is not exclusively on land armament 149 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies sector, which is 53% of the total revenue123. Approximately 30.2% of Finmeccanica Group is owned by Italian Economic and Finance Ministry, 23.8% by Italian and Foreign Institutional investors and 46% by individual investors (www.finmeccanica.it). For what concerns the geographical distribution of Institutional Investors (the 23.8% of the ownership), see the figure below. As it can be seen, Finmeccanica Group is indirectly under State control. According to the interviewed expert Dr Nones, this type of ownership is very important for the implementation of the company strategies, since it is not clear whether the same positive company performance would be possible with no state ownership. Graph B.6 Geographical distribution of Institutional investors (23.8% of the total ownership)– Finmeccanica Group 7,3% 14,5% North America UK/Ireland Italy 7,3% 54,9% Rest of Europe Rest of the world 16,0% Source: www.finmeccanica.it Iveco Defence Vehicles is a private company, owned by the multinational Group Fiat Industrial S.p.A.. Iveco Defence Vehicles is completely dedicated to Land Armament Sector. The factory is located in Bolzano, where it was founded in 1985. Iveco Defence Vehicles represents more or less 5% of the revenue of Iveco Group (according to the interviewed expert Dr Alioti). Referring to the other enterprises partially involved in Land Armament Sector, Rheinmetall Italia is a branch of the German group which acquired Oerlikon Contraves (Switzerland) in 2009, while Selex Sistemi Integrati, Selex Galileo and Selex Elsag are part of Finmeccanica Group. Referring to mergers and acquisitions, the main experience of joint venture is the collaboration in the Consortium between Otomelara and Iveco DV. There are no cooperation experiences amongst Italian and other European Land Armament Sector enterprises. The only known experience is the acquisition of licences to produce weapons (e.g. Otomelara produces a cannon with a German licence). On the other side, the only relevant acquisition is the already quoted one of Oerlikon Contraves by Rheinmetall, that in Italy took the name Rheinmetall Italia. The national LAS is concentrated in particular geographical areas: La Spezia (Otomelara and suppliers)124 Brescia (Otomelara) 123 Another 44% of OtoMelara’s total revenue is dedicated to naval systems, ammunition and launchers. The remaining 3% to airborne armaments. 124 In the Liguria region there are also naval building sites (Genova), together with electronics and telecommunication for the navy. In the same region there is also production of air force armaments. 150 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Bolzano (Iveco. Its suppliers are not concentrated in the surrounding area, but are instead are located all around Italy)125 Rome (Selex Sistemi Integrati and Rheinmetall), Electronics and Logistics Selex Galileo’s activity is not concentrated but there are three main geographical points (Turin, Milan and Florence). Optical and optoelectronics is placed in Florence. Artillery, light weapon and electronics are also in Milan and Brescia. At the moment, there are no processes on their way of restructuring and delocalization in the Italian national Land armament sector. According to the interviewed expert Dr Matteucci, the presence of a single national enterprise (the old national-champion idea) is important in order to offer a wide range of products which may be used also by other States. The case of CIO and of the two enterprises in Italy helps to understand that this solution is sustainable, because the returns on investments are good and, in the land armament sector, products are cheaper than in other military sector. Finmeccanica and Iveco have products which satisfy the requirements of the demand and they may also compete at European level. However, the two main enterprises are also involved in possible future plans under this respect. Finmeccanica group and Fiat group are facing restructuring processes. In Finmeccanica there will be the selling of part of the enterprises of the group. For example, Nexter is looking for alliance in the sector looking also with Otomelara, in order to face competition vis-à-vis USA but also vis-à-vis emergent States. Otomelara is looking for new alliances in Europe in order to face new competition. c) Products and value chain The product portfolio of the national Land armament sector is very wide. Interestingly, and within the Consortium CIO, there is a wide range of uniformity together with the standardization of subsystems and components. This situation makes possible to control costs at a low level along the life cycle of products, as well as to enjoy an efficient and functional logistic support. Enterprises produce all goods linked to the LAS. Otomelara’s main products are Hitrole Light e Hitfact. The main products are: The VBC Freccia vehicle, produced by CIO for the Italian and the Spanish army; The Light Multirole Vehicle or LMV/VTLM (called Lince for the Italian army), produced by IVECO DV for peace-keeping operations and with high performances. In December 2010 there was the agreement for the first VTMM ambulances between the Administration and the Defence Ministry. This product comes from a cooperation agreement with the German company Krauss Maffei Wegmann (AIAD, 2012). Otomelara portfolio of products ranges from naval guns to ammunition, from artillery guns and armoured vehicles to antiaircraft systems. Iveco is trying a diversification of products into the civil domain. The provision of defence-related services is an increasing important market for the Land armament sector, due to the update of equipment for international operations. Moreover, products’ quality and quantity have to be changed in the future. According to the interviewed expert Dr Alioti, in Otomelara more ore less 75% of the production value comes from third suppliers (e.g. electronic equipments from USA and plate from Finland). Especially for IVECO there are external suppliers. Iveco and Otomelara are integrators of parts of external suppliers. Otomelara produces turret, the remaining part of the vehicles are made by Iveco (including motors). Iveco Defence Vehicles is in Bolzano since 1985. Before the factory was owned by Lancia (an automotive company, subsequently acquired by the FIAT Group) and military vehicles were produced in Turin. 125 151 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies SMEs are not important in the Italian Land Armament sector. However they are suppliers of the two main companies. d) Markets The national market is closed to foreign competitors. There are some products which are exported abroad. For example, Lince has been exported in UK (where is named Panther CLV) and also in Russia, where it will be produced under Italian licence. The whole Italian Land armament sector in the past exported three products (according to the interviewed expert Dr Alioti): Centauro (8x8 Wheeled Armoured Combat Vehicle), produced by CIO, Puma (light armoured vehicles with low profile, available in 4x4 or 6x6 versions), produced by CIO and Lince (Light Multirole Vehicle), produced by Iveco. Generally speaking, Italian defence products are very well positioned in some world market segments (e.g. helicopters, cannons, Lince, electronics for the defence). However, there is a weakness in the space and aircraft sectors. For instance, Lince has been exported in 11 foreign countries (almost 3,600 produced vehicles and 4,000 ordered vehicles – Matteucci quoted). It has been a successful product also because of the Italian armed forces’ experience in international operations, creating a new segment of the market, in which it has become the leader. The success of this product is due to the close relationship between the enterprise and the client. There is also an agreement between Iveco and Brazil, to produce a new platform of VBTP-MR126. Interestingly, the Brazilian government wants the transfer not only of the products, but also of the production process and of the technology. New EU legislation promoting a common market for defence products is expected. However, there is no clear idea of what is likely to be expected. e) Technology and innovation Otomelara declares that 10% of the revenues are spent in Research and Development activities. According to the interviewed expert Dr Alioti, a large part of Iveco’s employees are involved in R&D activities. Interestingly, electronics have a large impact and is implementing the innovation process in the sector. According to the interviewed expert Dr Nones, the two main drivers for innovation moving towards more electronic Land Armament Sector refer to the qualitative (more than the quantitative one) role of the Army in the wars nowadays and the need of a greater protection of soldiers, both allied and local forces, in NATO international operations. All developments move in this direction, for example looking for greater control of the situation on the battlefield with the help of visors and sensors, larger capacity of data elaboration and greater security. According to the interviewed expert Dr Braghini, companies have to invest in high tech, in order to be reliable on an international basis. The investments in innovation have to be continuous in technological applications between civil and military (there are technologies which are in common also with other military industries). Moreover, R&D is often a sequential process, but the different phases sometimes may be simultaneous as well. For example the guided weapons, firstly developed for sea warfare needs, subsequently underwent a large application increase also in the land armament sector. In this field different parts of the system may have different life cycles. Therefore an harmonized system may create efficiency, but sometimes also the re-engineering of the process has to be done in the same way. The supply is of 2.044 units of the new family of vehicles (worth about € 2,5 billions). The start will be in 2012 and the end should be in 2030. 126 152 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Finmeccanica has built up devised cooperation agreement on projects with more than 20 Italian universities (Parma and Turin, Universities in Puglia and in Liguria, plus other Universities – Braghini dixit). B.3.2. Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector (LAS). As far as the employment in the Land Armament sector is concerned, unfortunately there is a lack of studies and surveys. The only data we have been able to get are from FIM- CISL and the interviewed expert Dr Alioti. Graph B.7 Employment and Tournover in the military sector Source: Alioti, 2012. For the number of employees, the number of employees directly involved in the LAS may be estimated in 1,600-1,700 people. In the sector, work about 4,000 people, numbering also the short-term contractors. Otomelara has 1,168 employees, Iveco DV 1,068 employees. Otomelara in La Spezia has 1,040 employees (after the selling of the missile division of the cormpany), while in Brescia, where Breda Meccaniche Bresciane127 operates in the light artillery sector, employees started around 350 units and in recent years decreased till 150. In November 2011, 40 of them were released and 20 has been hired. Employment in the Land Armament sector has decreased in the first half of the Nineties, but after that it has remained more or less stable due to existing orders. In fact, and according to the interviewed expert Dr Alioti, in the past 15 years the two enterprises remained stable in the number of employee, decreasing the average age and changing the mix between workers and engineers. Both in Otomelara and in Iveco, there has been a hiring process in order to substitute people who got retired. The average age now is 4045 years. The majority of the employment of the two enterprises is composed by technical workers and engineers, a situation which may facilitate the re-collocation of the eventually fired employees. According to the interviewed expert Dr Alioti, there has been a change in the professional mix with a reduction of the number of 127 Breda Meccaniche Bresciane has been acquired by Otomelara. 153 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies employees and an increase in the number of new engineers, getting to an higher percentage of technicians (38% in Iveco DV and 78% in Oto Melara).128 According to the interviewed expert Dr Alioti, there is a low level of employment turnover and a high level of employment loyalty in the Italian LAS, where the existing social dialogue is higher than in other metalworking industries. Just to give some examples, relationships with trade unions in IVECO Defence Vehicles are good and better than in other companies belonging to the FIAT Group, where this social dialogue is a richness also for managers in the sense that workers representatives are involved also when risks have to be faced. Also in Otomelara, social relationships are different (and better) with respect to other companies of the Finmeccanica Group. According to the interviewed expert Dr Alioti, there are no instruments for successfully anticipating changes in skills and jobs within the sector. Indeed, both companies work on orders, so enterprise flexibility is fundamental. B.3.3. Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS. Italy plays an important role into the foreign policy realm, especially as far as international operations are concerned. About the future, there is an important need to understand and reflect where this involvement may have for the Italian LAS and the implications in term of policy and investments (Matteucci dixit). According to the interviewed expert Dr Braghini, notwithstanding the present crisis, the world LAS sector is stable129. Thus, this expert forecasts an increase in the demand of LAS products in the future, because many technologies used in the sector are multi-sectoral as the defence sector is developing also in the direction of the security sector [e.g.: Carabinieri and Policy (which both employ light armoured vehicles in anti-riots operations) Civil Protection, Firemen]. Borders are not clear-cut between the two sectors, as far as technology and solutions are concerned, especially with regard of electronics and satellite communications. Also, and with the increase of international operations, the importance of the Italian Army grows again, together with the need of LAS-related products (AIAD, 2012b). Table B.3. SWOT analysis of the Italian LAS Strengths A consortium of two companies Strong connections between Army and Companies • Strong analysis of Army’s needs and solutions basing on experience • • Weaknesses Lack of independent studies on which ones are the excellence points, strenghts and weaknesses. • Lack of big European centres of research • Opportunities • • • • Valorisation of niche excellences Exporting also in non-EU countries Dual production (civil and military) Innovation in electronics and satellite communications Threats Competition in Europe with standardised products • Standardization of specific national needs. • Source: Own ellaboration Notwithstanding this, Dr Braghini suggests a likely reduction in investments in defence. However, this will be likely counterbalanced by other sector such as security and Civil Protection. Moreover, Dr Matteucci suggests that the reduction of investments in Defence will force investment in efficiency and operative capa- 128 129 In Otomelara 346 employees have a bachelor level and 595 have a high school diploma. In some foreign countries the budget dedicate to defence has increased. 154 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies bilities with more quality, in cooperation with foreign Army Forces. Dr Alioti suggests about the possibility to increase public investments in R&D at the expense of reduction in the employment costs of soldiers. Looking at the future, interviewed experts Dr Alioti and Dr Matteucci forecast that in the next 5-10 years there will be an integration of the Defence model in Europe, despite the fact that every State is currently interested in maintaining its land defence manufacturing sovereignty, especially for social issues. As a consequence there will be a surplus of employment and manufacturing facilities. In this context where demand will not be able to saturate all this productive capacity, it will be needed a rationalization process with mergers and acquisitions, but for this there are two main obstacles: There are no European programs which push towards the rationalisation of this sector (e.g. common vehicle in the whole of Europe or push factors to favour collaborations and groups); There is no European central institution for defence in order to create unique products. According to the interviewed expert Nones, a scenario in which there are less European producers is desirable for two main reasons: Army leaders of different European countries need to have common products as a target, in order to get closer each other and in order to have a kind of inter-operability (especially in international military operations); European Land armament enterprises need to be more competitive in comparison with US producers. Dr Matteucci suggests that a feasible solution might be to integrate available systems and the development of common European projects which may grant their interoperability. Meanwhile, production facilities could be disseminated in different assembly centres that could develop technical and technological capabilities. However, and at the current moment, there is a lack of proposal of this type of joint European projects in the LAS. According to the interviewed expert Dr Alioti, the re-organization of the Italian Land Armament sector will be done in collaboration with France and Germany B.3.4. a) Annexes Bibliography AIAD - Federazione Aziende Italiane per l’Aerospazio, la Difesa e la Sicurezza (2011), Relazione esercizio 2010. AIAD - Federazione Aziende Italiane per l’Aerospazio, la Difesa e la Sicurezza (2012a), Members Directory. AIAD - Federazione Aziende Italiane per l’Aerospazio, la Difesa e la Sicurezza (2012b), Relazione esercizio 2011. Alioti, G. (2012), L'industria aerospaziale e della difesa in europa tra integrazione e cambiamenti struttural, in OPAL (Osservatorio Permanente sulle Armi Leggere), Affari di armi. Percorsi di pace. Attualità, ricerca e memoria per la pratica della nonviolenza, Emi. ASD – AeroSpace and Defence Industries Association of Europe (2011), Facts and Figures 2010. ASD – AeroSpace and Defence Industries Association of Europe (2010), Facts and Figures 2009. Briani, V. (2009), L’industria della difesa italiana, Osservatorio di Politica Internazionale, IAI. 155 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies b) Caruso, R. e Locatelli, A. (2010), Some recent development in Italian defence industry (with a special focus on Finmeccanica group), working paper Quercia, P. (2012), Quale difesa per la Repubblica? Sicurezza nazionale, Costituzione, scenari internazionali ed industria della Difesa, Edizioni Strateitaly. www.aiad.it www.finmeccanica.it www.otomelara.it www.sispri.org Interviewed experts Î including name of the expert, role and function, address, phone/fax/e-mail 1. Dr. Michele Nones, Head of Department “Security and Defence” and at IAI (Istituto Affari Internazionali) Address: Via Angelo Brunetti, 9, Rome Phone: +39.06.3224360 Fax: +39.06.3224363 E-mail: [email protected] 2. Dr. Gianni Alioti, Responsible International Office FIM- CISL (Federazione Italiana Metalmeccanici) Address: Corso Trieste, 36, Rome Phone: ...... - Fax: …. E-mail: [email protected] 3. Ing. Carlo Nucci Coordinator of Defence Activities of AIAD (Italian Industries Federation for Aerospace, Defence and Security) Address: Via Nazionale, 54, Rome Phone: +39 064880247 Fax: +39 064827476 E-mail: [email protected] 4. Dr. Fabrizio Braghini Head of Associations Relations of Finmeccanica Address: Piazza Monte Grappa 4, Rome Phone: +39 0632473646 Fax: +39 0632657187 E-mail: [email protected] 5. Dr. Roberto Matteucci Senior Adviser CIO (Consortium Iveco- Otomelara) Address: Via Poma, 2, Rome Phone: +39 011502963 E-mail: [email protected] 156 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies c) Supply chain in the Land Armament sector Tier 1 contractors 157 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Tier 2 contractors Tier 3 contractors B.4. POLAND B.4.1. Mapping of the National Land Armament sector (LAS) Polish statistical services (Central Statistical Office) do not perform studies concerning manufacturing activity under the group “Manufacture of military fighting vehicles”130. However, the Polish public statistics gathers and makes the data for the following group of products available: “Manufacture of weapons and ammunitions”131. The results of an analysis performed within the past 10 years indicate that the value of products sold for this group in the values of products sold under the whole section of “Production” has not exceeded 0,2 % (Graph B.8). NACE 30.4: tanks, armoured amphibious military wehicles and other military combat vehicles. By 2008 incl. - NACE 29.6; until 2009; until 2009 - 25.4: The group comprises: heavy weapons, small arms, air or gas guns and pistols, war ammunition, hunting, storting or protective firearms and ammunition and explosive devices. The data is available for the whole 25.4 group, and it is not possible to distinguish its sub-groups. 130 131 158 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Graph B.8. The value of products sold within the group “Manufacture of weapons and ammunitions” in the total industry sold value in Poland in the period 2002-2010 (in %) 0,25% 0,20% 0,15% 0,10% 0,17% 0,17% 2005 2006 0,20% 0,20% 0,19% 0,15% 0,13% 0,09% 0,08% 0,05% 0,00% 2002 2003 2004 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Author’s own compilation based on the data of the Central Statistical Office (2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010). In monetary terms, the value of production sold in EUR in this group in the study period of 2002–2010 has not exceeded the amount of 400 million EUR (Graph B.9). Graph B.9 The value of products sold within the group “Manufacture of weapons and ammunitions” in the period 2002-2010 (current prices in million EUR) 500 360 400 254 300 200 100 151 126 2003 2004 83 400 283 340 281 0 2002 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Author’s own compilation based on the data of the Central Statistical Office (2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010). The phenomenon of financial crisis which started at the end of the past decade, has significantly affected the LAS entities. It was mainly indicated by reducing allocation by the Ministry for National Defence to purchase the LAS products by 5.2 billion PLN (approx. 1.25 billion EUR) in the Budgetary Act for 2009. The risks involving withdrawal of the Ministry for National Defence from the contracts already commissioned and the limited scale of purchases, constituted an immediate consequence of that decision132. For 2008 and 2009, the outlays on Ministry for National Defence amounted to 19,6 billion PLN and 22,78 billion PLN, what stated respectively 1,67% and 1,79% of total GDP in these years. This situation was in contradiction with the statements of “„Ustawie o przebudowie, modernizacji technicznej i finansowaniu Sił Zbrojnych RP” act, which commit the State to finance the National Defence budget no less than in amount of 1,95% of GDP (BBN, 2010). 132 As indicated by one of the IDIs, consequences of this condition have been alleviated – due to an initiative taken by Trade Unions, which included such measures as transfers payable to contractors to whom the Ministry for National Defence awarded contracts in other form (e.g. by activities of the Industrial Development Agency – Agencja Rozwoju Przemysłu). 159 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies a) Groups and Enterprises Several sub-sectors may be differentiated in the structure of the Land Armament Sector in Poland while the entities operating in the Land Armament Sector in Poland may be subdivided into the following groups in particular (Nowak, 2012, see Lewandowski, 2011:177): Enterprises grouped around BUMAR sp. z o.o., a state-owned company, supervised by the Ministry of State Treasury due to its ownership structure, Enterprises associated under a capital group of the National State Agency - the Industrial Development Agency (Agencja Rozwoju Przemysłu SA), also supervised by the Ministry of State Treasury due to their ownership structure, Other state-owned enterprises supervised by the Ministry of State Treasury due to its ownership structure, Military Renovation and Manufacturing Companies supervised by the Ministry for National Defence due to their ownership structure, State-owned R&D entities (operating in the form of enterprises or research institutes), supervised by the Ministry for National Defence, Ministry of Economy and Ministry of Interior (3 of these entities are within the structure of the BUMAR group mentioned in item 1). Private enterprises, including the ones: – based exclusively on the Polish capital, – privatised enterprises, particularly the ones operating in the aviation industry, which are currently held by foreign capital providers (USA). Almost 130 different companies with various profiles of operations and level of turnover operate within the Land Armament Sector in Poland. Detailed information concerning names of the companies operating in the groups from a) to f) may be found in the publication by E. Nowak (2012)133 quoted above. The Polish Chamber of National Defence Manufacturers 134 is the largest sectoral organisation which associates 132 entities operating within the defence sector in Poland. Analysis of membership of this organisation performed based on the data published at http://www.przemysl-obronny.pl/ (PIPROK, 2012), shows the distribution of these entities operating in this sector in the context of the subject of their operations135 (See table below). Publication available for general use, published at http://www.bumar.com/polski-przemysl-obronny/ppo/polskiprzemysl-obronny/ 134 This means that the Chamber associates almost all LAS entities in Poland. Estimates by A. Nowak (Nowak, 2012) indicate that approx. 100 entities operate in this sector. Detailed data on all the members of the Chamber may be found on its website (PIPROK, 2012). 135 A database presented in Annex 1 has been developed for the needs of drafting the report. 133 160 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Table B.4. Structure of the Polish defence sector regarding the company profile (Members of the PChNDM) Activity Aviation Warships and its equipment Military vehicles (incl. tanks) Weapons, ammunitions and explosives Optoelectronics, IT and command systems Logistics Soldier's equipment R&D bodies Military infrastructure Policy equipment Trade Others TOTAL Number of enterprises/bodies 9 4 19 12 24 12 9 12 6 4 10 11 132 Source: Author’s own compilation based on the data of PIPROK (2012) Concerning the issue of mergers and acquisitions, for a number of years the Land Armament Sector in Poland was dispersed, however starting in 2007, as a result of implementation of a government strategy focused on this sector, i.e. “Strategy of Consolidation and Support to Development of the Polish Defence Industry in the Period 2007-2012”, similarly as it was the case in the western countries, this sector started to be consolidated (Nowak, 2012). That measure was to facilitate development of a national capital group with Bumar sp. z o.o as its core, and its goal included acquisitions by Bumar sp. z o.o. of the LAS entities controlled by the State – both of the enterprises and research units. Interviews held demonstrate that integration of the “Military Renovation and Manufacturing Companies” category with the Bumar group still remains an open issue. Interestingly, the Bumar group can be sub-divided into four groups (known as Divisions) for which Bumar sp. z o.o. acts as the parent company. The Divisions include (Bumar, 2012a; Bumar 2012b; Nowak, 2012): Bumar Amunicja Division (Ammunition), in which Bumar Amunicja SA (former MESKO SA company) dominates. This Division currently includes 9 entities136. It is responsible for manufacturing of ammunition and missiles (small arms ammunition and artillery ammunition, SPIKE anti-tank guided missiles, GROM and FENIKS missiles), Bumar Żołnierz Division (Soldier), in which Przemysłowe Centrum Optyki S.A. (Industrial Center of Optics) in Warsaw dominates This Division currently includes 5 entities. It is responsible for manufacturing of small arms ammunition and individual equipment for soldiers (protective vests, side arms, sights, optoelectronic systems, helmets, gas masks), Bumar Elektronika Division (Electronics), in which Radwar SA from Warsaw dominates. This Division currently includes 3 entities. It is responsible for manufacturing of electronic systems radiolocation (command systems, radars, sensors, anti-aircraft and anti-missile systems), Bumar Ląd Division (Land), in which Bumar Łabędy SA in Gliwice will play the key part (this division is under organisation process). This Division currently includes 3 entities, which manufacture armoured vehicles and platforms (tanks, special-use vehicles and technical support vehicles). 136 Detailed information on the names of enterprises operating within the specific Divisions may be found at the Bumar website and in the compilation by E. Nowak (2012). 161 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies At the time of performance of this survey (May 2012), 24 enterprises137 belonged to this capital group, including, apart from the above mentioned entities, two companies involved in special sales (Nowak, 2012). Concerning the geographical location of the Polish land armament sector, the following table present geographic distribution of the members of the PIPROK Chamber – entities of the Polish defence sector, by Polish geographical areas. Table B.5. Geographical prises/bodies distribution Geographical areas Dolnośląskie Kujawsko-pomorskie Lubelskie Lubuskie Łódzkie Małopolskie Mazowieckie Opolskie Podlaskie Podkarpackie Pomorskie Śląskie Świętokrzyskie Wielkopolskie Warmińsko-mazurskie Zachodniopomorskie TOTAL of the Polish LAS enter- Number of enterprises/bodies 3 8 3 1 4 3 63 0 0 7 15 14 2 5 0 0 128 Source: Author’s own compilation based on the data of PIPROK (2012) In the geographic perspective, it is possible to identify the phenomenon of geographic concentration of entities operating in specific LAS branches, as well as organised forms of cooperation between numerous entities from the sector of enterprises and R&D sector. In this case, primarily the concentration of localisation of LAS entities, in the Mazowieckie region (with capital in Warsaw) in particular, should be indicated. Another example (in a smaller scale) concerns an initiative of March 2012 to establish the first Polish cluster dedicated to development of scientific work and information exchange exclusively for the LAS sector. This cluster is to include the Warsaw Technical University, the Military Academy of Technology and the Bumar National Defence Concern (PARP, 2012). Interestingly, the current cooperative links in the Polish LAS are mainly capital-focused, although there is also cooperation within the meaning of the logistics chains. In this context, the Polish LAS (state-owned) cooperates with SME enterprises (private) in the field of supply of components in such branches as communications and electronics. However it should be emphasised that this situation is also characteristic for other markets, as it has been declared by one of the respondents. Within the past several years, the LAS structure has undergone many changes, mainly due to two restructuring strategies for this sector, adopted by the government. The first strategy was planned for the period 2002-2007. It anticipated setting up two groups of manufacturers operating in this sector: the first one was to be focused on Bumar Sp. z o.o., while the other on the Industrial Development Agency SA. The other strategy was signalled earlier and it was focused on the period of 2007-2012. It anticipated that the idea of 137 Detailed list of entities within the Bumar Group broken into the above-mentioned four Division may be found at Bumar (2012b) http://www.bumar.com/o-firmie/spolki-w-grupie-bumar/ 162 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies establishing two groups should be given up, and one group, i.e. the Bumar-based one, was to be the target. At the same time the strategy proposed that the Bumar group should be reorganised, several product-focused divisions were to be created (Badowski, 2011) and, finally, consolidation-related efforts around the ARP group were to be given up through selling its members to foreign entities (via privatisation) or announcing their bankruptcy; Badowski, 2011)138. It should be emphasised that these strategies mainly concerned the state-owned sector, however they resulted in a significant concentration of the production, reduction in the number of companies (the number of cases of duplicating the same types of production in several companies was decreased), staff reductions, which lead to a greater competitiveness of the entities operating in this sector. It is worth adding that the above restructuring processes induced a significant decline in the number of staff. One of the interviews indicated that over 20 companies currently owned by Bumar group, employed approx. 100000 persons in the early 1990s; in 2000 – approx. 30000, and now – approx. 10000 (detailed key data on employment is presented in section 2 of this report). b) Products and value chain The available information shows that that it is possible to identify two main categories of specialisation of LAS enterprises. On the one hand, the first category includes products offered on foreign markets, including Radiolocation systems (e.g. Radwar); Automated battlefield systems (e.g. PCO); Rosomak transporter (licenced by Patria, Finland; WSM Siemianowice Śląskie); Communications system. As well as this, it is worth stressing several modernisation activities commissioned by developing countries, which instead of purchasing new products, significantly modernise their existing resources, should also be mentioned. On the other hand, the other category includes services mainly addressing domestic market. In this context the following fact needs emphasising: an ability to modernise equipment manufactured in the former Soviet Union to reach NATO standards has become a Polish specialty, which has been accomplished at a very high level; this element may be indicated as a certain market niche that has been filled by such Polish companies (see Badowski, 2011) as the Military Renovation and Manufacturing Companies (WPRP). Concerning the importance of the provision of defence-related services market for the Polish Land armament sector, and in the perspective of the results obtained from one of the interviews, two categories should be differentiated. The first one covers operations of the above-mentioned WPRP, which focus on rendering modernisation services for used equipment, which in many cases are not limited to service provision, but practically involve making of significantly improved products upgraded with new functionalities, based on the used products. The other category includes outsourcing of general management services provided by LAS entities to external market (e.g. accounting or IT services), and these practices are in line with the tendencies occurring in other countries and branches. Concerning the role of SMEs in the national Land armament sector, SMEs constitute a key element of the Polish LAS. In this context it should be reported that these entities decide upon implementation of the tasks that are unprofitable to “large” entities (due to high overheads), and which are necessary to accomplish the final products by the “large” LAS companies. Moreover, this trend (which involves subcontracting increasingly growing number of semi-products, and which ultimately contributes to production of the final product) has been growing in the consecutive years. An ability of flexible adaptation to changing technological requirements is another advantage offered by SMEs. Competition amongst suppliers is very high. 138 Comprehensive description of restructuring processes of the Polish defence industry, including summary of the measures delivered under the strategies mentioned above, is presented in an article by S. Głowacki “Restrukturyzacja przemysłu obronnego w latach 1999-2008” (Głowacki, 2009), and T. Badowski “Polski Przemysł Obronny po 2012 roku” (Badowski, 2011). 163 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies c) Markets As regards the issue of presence of Polish companies on the international markets, it should be stated that the share of export in the structure of Polish LAS’s revenues and its scale have been declining in the last years. According to one of the respondents, this situation results from the lack of strategic management in large Polish LAS, as well as the lack of the state intervention instruments that could support this type of export activities. As it has already been mentioned in this paper, the key Polish export products currently include radiolocation systems (e.g. Radwar – Bumar Elektronika139), automated battlefield systems (e.g. PCO140 – Bumar Żołnierz), Rosomak transporter (licence by Patria, Finland; WSM Siemianowice Śląskie141), and communications systems. It should be also emphasised that at the beginning of this year (January 2012), Bumar signed (jointly with Indian BEML) a contract for supply of 204 WZT-3 vehicles of the value of 275 MUSD, where this contract has been one of the largest one in the Polish land defence industry for many years (Likowski, 2012). Detailed information on Polish LAS products, their manufacturers and purchasing countries for the period of the last 20 years are presented in a publication developed by a team of journalists of Raport – Wojsko – Technika – Obronność magazine (Raport MSPO, 2011). This report indicates that the directions of export of Polish LAS cover a large set of countries in Europe (e.g. Germany, United Kingdom, Spain, France, Italy, Sweden, Latvia, Lithuania, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Georgia, Ukraine), America (USA, Venezuela), Africa (Algeria, Nigeria), Middfle East (Iraq, Iran, UAE, Yemen, Saudi Arabia) or Asia (South Korea, Birmania, Vietnam, Phillipines, Nepal, Malaysia, Indonesia, India). It should also be added that the subject of analysis of the directions of the Polish LAS export was addressed by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Poland (Ministerstwo Spraw Zagranicznych, 2010). However, reviews of this report indicate (see: Łuczak, 2011) that being based on a methodology whose starting point includes the number of export licences granted by the MFA of RP which also cover cooperative export, i.e. export of products of Polish subsidiaries to their parent companies, it only demonstrates this single aspect of export activities. In this perspective, the USA and Canada are the top buyers of Polish equipment. Analysing links of Polish LAS with foreign enterprises it should be stated that the Polish LAS are not active in this field, both in the aspect of cooperation or capital acquisitions in foreign companies. One of the interviews indicated the period which was favourable to activities of the second type (acquisition of foreign companies) expired about 10 years ago, and was mainly used by large foreign companies. In this context there is a need to establish a large Polish player, i.e. Bumar group, which will be the national LAS main enterprise and will be important in the field of international contacts. Otherwise, foreign companies will prevail, which will ultimately result in liquidation of Polish subcontractors as the foreign producers will “introduce” their own supply channels from their countries of origin. Thus it will result in liquidation of Polish SMEs whose production meets the needs of this sector. Concerning the role of non-defence (dual use) markets, the crisis has affected Polish LAS badly. A “lesson” learnt from this experience is the fact that Polish LAS enterprises have identified important opportunities offered by the transformation of purely defence-related products to products with a civilian use. This will help them to survive during periods when no orders for defence-related products are submitted. This tendency has re-appeared recently, after a long-lasting break, which started at the fall of the former economic system (each LAS company also manufactured civil equipment). Corporate website: http://www.bumar.com/elektronika/?from_link=http://www.pit.edu.pl/ Corporate website: http://www.bumar-zolnierz.com.pl/ 141 Corporate website: http://wzms.pl/pl/ 139 140 164 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Finally, and as far as the actual/expected impact of new EU legislation on the Polish Land armament sector, the survey performed indicates that the plans of implementing a new EU directive have caused two types of reactions. On the one hand, there are worries whether the Polish LAS is ready to such market opening and participation in the international competition. On the other, there is a view stating that implementation of the directive – with appropriate strategic measures delivered in the Polish LAS – may be translated into benefits. However this approach requires that management systems used by large Polish LAS should be re-modelled, the philosophy focused on concentration of domestic buyers given up and, finally, a clear support by Polish authorities to the export efforts of national enterprises. d) Technology and innovation Referring to the issues of modern technologies and innovation, an important change has occurred on the Polish LAS market in the recent years, that is to say, the government has stopped buying the products for which there is no real demand and which are not characterised by appropriate quality. Poland’s involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan was the main contribution to this change. Due to participation in these actions, Polish government has become interested not just in purchases “as such”, but in products which will ensure appropriate level of safety to Polish soldiers and prove realistically useful to them. This approach had a positive impact on the sector and has become a catalyst to processes of modernisation, which may be exemplified by new types of weapons and, in general terms, increased R&D expenditure and change in approach to management. It should also be added that importance of these elements to LAS production is increasing, which mainly results from a high (and increasingly growing) pressure of foreign markets. R&D activities of Polish LAS are commanded by the Bumar group, who should be identified as the leader. Thus, and in 2009, it spent approx. 45 M EUR on R&D (Wilewski, Wróbel, 2011), while other LAS entities demonstrated weak activity in this field (Łuszczyk, Chorążka, 2010). Meanwhile, there are former R&D units (e.g. PCO, OBRUM) that currently continue in time. Public funding is the main source of financing of this type of activities. The following sources of financing for Polish LAS should be reported in this context (Łuszczyk, Chorążka, 2010): Budget of the Ministry for National Defence (including funding received under research programmes of the European Defence Agency (EDA) and NATO’s Organisation of Research and Technology (NATO R&TO), Budget of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education, in this case funding is allocated under the “Programme of Scientific Research and Development Work for Industrial Defence Capacity”142 and the “National Programme of Scientific Research and Development Work”. EU (e.g. grants under the Innovative Economy Operational Programme financed under the ERDF)143. In case of projects implemented under EDA, Łuszczyk and Chorążka (2010) report that in 2010, Polish LAS entities took part in two programmes, implementing 20 projects with the Polish contribution reaching 10% of their value (approx. 22 M EUR). 142 Under the programme for the years 2007-20011, the amount of approx. 440 M PLN was allocated for research, development and special purpose projects in the following fields: “Information and Network Technologies; Sensors and Observation; Precise arms and weapons; Crewfree Platforms (autonomous); Protection and Survival on the Battlefield; Modern Materials, including energy-saving and smart materials) (Łuszczyk, Chorążka, 2010). 143 For more information see Wilewski (2011a) and Wilewski (2011b). 165 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies B.4.2. a) Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector (LAS) Main employment figures Key indicators for the employment level in the Polish LAS entities in the course of the recent years are presented next (below). Data presents the employment of the sector involved in manufacturing of arms and ammunition. Table B.6. Key figures for employment and related issues for the Polish weapons and ammuniton manufacturers Year Number of economic entities Sold production in mln PLN (1 EUR = 4 PLN) Average employment in thousands Average monthly gross wages and salaries in PLN 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 15 1.128,1 6,4 1.976,27 14 1.270,4 6,4 2.174,05 14 1.642,5 6,5 2.458,65 15 2.479,3 6,8 2.822,33 13 1.531,9 5,5 2.862,39 Source: Author’s own compilation based on the data of the Central Statistical Office (2005b, 2006b, 2007b, 2008b, 2009b, 2010b) Analysing the situation in terms of employment in the perspective of Bumar group, it should be reported that in the recent years, no major labour redundancies have been implemented in this group. However, and looking into the future, It is anticipated that approx. 1600 employees will leave the company in the period of 2011-2012 under this scheme, mainly implemented under the “voluntary employment termination” scheme that has been negotiated by trade unions, and which is a certain solution to the problem of employment restructuring at Bumar. This scheme covers 16 out of 23 entities which compose today “Bumar group”. There are a number of reasons underpinning these negative employment forecasts: b) Declining level of orders by the Ministry of Defence caused by a poor offer of Bumar in terms of its high-tech aspects, Crisis-effected budgetary reductions for purchases by the Ministry of Defence in 2009 Declining export by Bumar group (low competitiveness), Necessity to adapt the structure of employment to the real needs (liquidation of unnecessary indirect or white-collar positions) Technical progress resulting from advancing automation and declining demand for labour force. Characterisation of employment Ageing of Polish LAS workforce is noticeable. The necessity to deliver restructuring processes (including group redundancies in the last decade of the 20th century) resulted in non-employment of young workers. One of the interviews indicates that currently the share of employees with many years of service (over 20 years of employment) as well as aged 50+ is very high (among blue collar workers in particular). Phenomena of employing new young workers occur, however they are marginal in comparison to the number of staff terminating their employment. Unattractive level of remuneration offered to new workers mainly contributes to this phenomenon. Employing foreign workers is not observed either, which is due to the strategic nature of this sector. On the other hand, the survey results indicate that jobs in LAS mainly require high qualifications, both on the part of production staff and other staff working in the sector (the so-called support staff involved in such operations as service). A competence gap is a key problem noticeable in this sector. On the one hand, there are high expectations of the employers of this sector in terms of qualifications, and there are problems to prepare the staff adequately to meet these expectations, on the other. In this context, available training programmes (EU 166 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies funded) for staff aspiring to enhance their qualifications, language courses in particular, should be emphasised, which has also been reported during one of the interviews. The practices used many years ago, involving such companies as Bumar to subcontract secondary vocational schools to develop courses for required vocational profiles, or to sponsor scholarships for gifted students to become its employees, are slowly regaining their popularity, however they are used to a small extent. In this context, negative consequences of a Polish reform implemented in the previous decade to liquidate vocational education, become visible. As a result, schools are not prepared to supply the market with candidates holding required qualifications. c) Anticipation of changes in skills and jobs within the sector In Poland there are three main trade unions (Solidarity /Solidarność/, OPZZ and Trade Union Forum /Forum/), where the first two dominate in the Polish LAS sector. They mainly observe plans and changes in the LAS, and actively take part in these processes and in the negotiations of agreements. The scheme of the “voluntary employment termination” is an example of such actions in Bumar, which contributed to a great success of the trade unions. The interviews also indicate that the trade unions not only perform monitoring and negotiation-related function. They also emphasise certain directions that should be adopted in order to increase employment and improve competitiveness of the sector. For instance they take care to ensure that staff enhance their qualifications. Due to their initiative, the funds unused for the scheme of voluntary employment termination have been re-allocated to pay for staff training. d) Social dialogue in the Polish Land Armament sector Social Dialogue in the LAS in Poland is dynamic and its stakeholders are very easy to identify. On the one hand there are trade unions (Solidarity and Electromechanical Industry Trade Union) that represent the workers’ interests. Meanwhile, employers are represented by the association of the LAS employers (Związek Pracodawców Przedsiębiorstw Przemysłu Obronnego i Lotniczego - ZPPPOiL), which is chaired by the head of PZL Świdnik. Finally, government is represented by representatives of the Ministries of Economy, Finance and National Defence. One of the respondents claimed that the case of Poland was a good practice of having social dialogue in the LAS. The so-called “Trilateral team for social and economic issues in the conditions of restructuring of LAS entities and LAS capacity” has operated in Poland for over a decade. It was established to facilitate this dialogue. The Team is very active and it is ranked highly and includes representatives of workers, employers and the Government. The team meets several times a year. The results of the inetrviews indicate that representatives of Trade Unions do not find it hard to discuss issues being important in their opinion, nor request the meetings (parties respond immediately). The dialogue is held at a high level, although, as one of the respondents reported, the party representing government not always meets its obligation (which however is not perceived as a controversial issue). It may be stated that the dialogue is harmonious, there are no significant omissions and the team is willing to cooperate. The subject of this trilateral dialogue includes such issues as implementation of the defence directive and related fears; consolidation and restructuring of Bumar, which results from the modernisation strategy adopted for the LAS in the period 2007- 2012, or the issue of contracts for multi-year programmes. Currently, there are no significant social conflicts have been recorded for the sector. In any case, and in 2009, major issues occurred at Bumar Łabędy, which underwent in that year group redundancy due to the financial crisis and reduced scale of orders submitted by the Ministry of Defence. Nevertheless, as one of the respondents declared, also in case of reductions in the State Budget, which resulted in smaller orders for Polish LAS, the negative phenomena were alleviated significantly due to the efficient dialogue. 167 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Social dialogue-related measures taken by the Polish LAS are enhanced and strengthened, which is demonstrated by such actions, as an EU funded project entitled “Strengthening mechanisms of consultations and cooperation of social partners under the sectoral social dialogue in the LAS” (Electromechanical Industry Trade Union). Project participants included representatives of trade unions and organisations of employers. They learnt methods and ways of delivery of social dialogue through workshops, seminars and lectures delivered by experts. Participants listed the possibility of informal exchange of views and information as a key project value (ZZPE, 2012)144. B.4.3. a) Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS Main SWOT of the Polish LAS This research has identified the strengths/weaknesses and opportunities/threats of Polish LAS, which are presented in the following Table (Table 7). Table B.7. SWOT of the Polish LAS Strengths • Weaknesses Experience in LAS transformation in Poland, including • No / slow implementation of modern management maintaining the capacity of this industry, without its methods in all LAS companies (including such asliquidation within the past 20 years. pects as insufficiently fast implementation of modern IT systems, which results in low efficiency) • Faults in management – cases where persons without appropriate sector-related experience and appropriate qualifications were nominated as managers of LAS companies. Opportunities Threats Consolidation of Bumar group creates a single and strong player on the market, which will facilitate greater export-related opportunities and a greater range of products. • Competition from large foreign enterprises (financial and technological capacity) • Risk of dumping prices on the part of foreign competition • Maintenance of a significant supply with a great capacity, which however must be developed and modernised; • • Deliveries of Polish equipment do not depend on complying with political conditions (for Poland) • Limitations (protectionism) to access to foreign markets – the issues of stability of multi-year programmes. Currently these programmes are unstable (they may be terminated, renegotiated, or annexed, which results in a high degree of uncertainty of orders by the Ministry of Defence) Increased R&D expenditure in the companies. Modernising Polish LAS products, which will stimulate their • Implementation of the EU “defence” Directive and greater competitiveness potential similar threat in contacts with the USA. • Source: Author’s own compilation b) Expected future expectations on the sector in the next 5-10 years Development perspective of this sector during the next 5-10 years involves further consolidation of the enterprises that currently duplicate their production output. It will also be necessary to change the LAS companies management systems, including introduction of the principle of strategic management (the need to adopt multi-year perspective). Moreover, the phenomenon of market shrinkage will be observed. Employment in the LAS will decline as the technological level is improving, which ultimately requires fewer employees to work in the sector. On the other hand, the demand for people holding relevant qualifications, competence level and foreign language skills will be growing, as a result of such issues as offset programmes or manufacturing licensed products which require specific knowledge and skills in order to meet 144 Detailed information on the project: http://www.zzpe.org.pl/dialog/opis.html 168 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies the production-related requirements. It should also be emphasised that the information obtained from the services of the Ministry for National Defence responsible for purchases for the army of the Republic of Poland indicates that the value of the orders should reach the average level of 1 billion EUR / a year. On the other hand, the key expectations of this sector concern not only maintenance of the adequately high level of orders submitted by the government, but also the quality of the contracts (which are significantly amended during their term which causes disturbances for producers delivering orders laid down in these plans). The second key issue concerns expectations related to political dimension, which includes a more intensive engagement on the part of authorities and political decision makers to support Polish LAS producers in exporting markets. B.4.4. a) Annexes Bibliography Badowski T. (2011), Polski Przemysł Obronny po 2012 roku, Armia, 11/2011 Biuro Bezpieczeństwa Narodowego (2010), Zagrożenia dla procesu modernizacji technicznej Sił Zbrojnych RP, Warszawa, luty, 2010 Bumar (2012), Strona “O firmie”, http://www.bumar.com/o-firmie/ (30.04.2012) Bumar (2012), Strona „Spółki w Grupie Bumar”, http://www.bumar.com/o-firmie/spolki-wgrupie-bumar/ (30.04.2012) Central Statistical Office (2003), Production of industrial products in 2003, http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_produkcja_wyrobow_przemyslowych_w_2003 .zip Central Statistical Office (2004), Production of industrial products in 2004, http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_produkcja_wyrobow_przemyslowych_w_2004 .zip.zip Central Statistical Office (2005), Production of industrial products in 2005, http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_produkcja_wyrobow_przemyslowych_w_2005 .zip Central Statistical Office (2006), Production of industrial products in 2006, http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_produkcja_wyrobow_przemyslowych_w_2006 .zip Central Statistical Office (2007), Production of industrial products in 2007, http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_produkcja_wyrobow_przemyslowych_w_2007 .zip Central Statistical Office (2008), Production of industrial products in 2008, http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_pbs_produkcja_wyrobow_przemyslowych_20 08.zip Central Statistical Office (2009), Production of industrial products in 2009, http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_pbs_produkcja_wyrobow_przemyslowych_w_ 2009.zip Central Statistical Office (2010), Production of industrial products in 2010, http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_pbs_produkcja_wyrobow_przemyslowych_w_ 2010.xls Central Statistical Office (2005b), Statistical Yearbook of Industry – Poland, 2005 Central Statistical Office (2006b), Statistical Yearbook of Industry – Poland, 2006 169 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies b) Central Statistical Office (2007b), Statistical Yearbook of Industry – Poland, 2007 Central Statistical Office (2008b), Statistical Yearbook of Industry – Poland, 2008 Central Statistical Office (2009b), Statistical Yearbook of Industry – Poland, 2009 Central Statistical Office (2010b), Statistical Yearbook of Industry – Poland, 2010 Głowacki S. (2012), Restrukturyzacja polskiego przemysłu obronnego w latach 1999-2008, http://www.bumar.com/polski-przemysl-obronny/ppo/s-glowacki-restrukturyzacja-przemysluobronnego-w-latach-1999-2008/ (30.04.2012) Hypki T. (2009), W czasach światowego kryzysku, Raport Wojsko – Technika – Obronność, nr 9/2009 Hypki T. (2011), Przed wielkimi zmianami. Przemysł lotniczo-zbrojeniowy 2010, Raport Wojsko – Technika – Obronność, nr 9/2011 Likowski (2012), WZT – 3 dla Indii, Raport Wojsko – Technika – Obronność, nr 2/2011 Lewandowski W. (2011), Polski przemysłowy potencjał obronny w dobie konsolidacji, Bezpieczeństwo Narodowe, I-2011/17, www.bbn.gov.pl/download.php?s=1&id=7022 Łuczak W. (2011), Eksportowe manipulacje, Raport Wojsko - Technika - Obronność, nr 5/2011 Łuszczyk M., Chorążka P. (2010), Wybrane problemy związane z prowadzeniem badań naukowych i prac rozwojowych w sektorze obronnym - szanse i zagrożenia dla rozwoju przedsiębiorstw przemysłowego potencjału obronnego - przyczynek do dyskusji; opracowanie na zamówienie Związku Zawodowego Przemysłu Elektromaszynowego; Warszawa – Baranów Sandomierski 16.06 - 18.06.2010r. Ministerstwo Spraw Zagranicznych (2010), Eksport uzbrojenia i sprzętu wojskowego z Polski. Raport z lat 2008–2009; Report aveiable in English: http://www.msz.gov.pl/files/docs/DPB/polityka_bezpieczenstwa/newsy_docs/20110207RAPO RT/exports_arms_en_1.pdf Nowak E. (2012), Konsolidacja Polskiego Przemysłu Obronnego, Raport Wojsko - Technika - Obronność, nr 2/2011 PIPROK (2012), Strona Polska Izba Producentów na Rzecz Obronności Kraju “Członkowie”, http://www.przemysl-obronny.pl/ (30.04.2012) PARP (2012), Polska Agencja Rozwoju Przedsiębiorczości, Klaster szansą dla przemysłu obronnego 30.03.2012, http://www.pi.gov.pl/PARP/chapter_86197.asp?soid=5B12432E4EF44562BCB4E01A489EAE84 (29.04.2012) Raport MSPO (2011), Poish Defence and Law Enforcement Equipmend Worldwide (last 20 years), nr 05.09.11 Wilewski K. (2011a), By armia rosła w siłę, Polska Zbrojna. Prezentuj Broń, nr 3/2011 Wilewski K. (2011b), Jak zarobić na wojsku, Polska Zbrojna. Prezentuj Broń, nr 4/2011 Wilewski K., Wróbel T., (2011), Bumar a sprawa polska, Polska Zbrojna. Prezentuj Broń, nr 2/2011 ZZPE (2012), Dialog społeczny w zbrojeniówce, http://www.zzpe.org.pl/dialog/opis.html (29.04.2012) Interviewed experts In depth Interview - Colonel (ret,) Mr Sławomir Kułakowski President of the Polish Chamber of National Defence Manufacturers (biggest organization in Poland in this aspect, about 100 armament sector producers/providers/etc as members) 170 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies c) In depth Interview - Mr Jerzy Szpecht, President of the National Section of Polish LAS at Trade Unions for Electromechanical Industry (Hedquater – Bumar Żołnierz). Correspondece - An official (Press Spokesperson) at Polish Ministry of Defence (Inspektorat Uzbrojenia – body responsible for supply of the equipment for the Polish Army). This body exist since 2011 and it is former part of Ministry of Defence RP responsible for such topics and still is controlled by MoD. Other relevant information that partners may want to include 171 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies B.5. SPAIN B.5.1. a) Mapping of the National Land Armament sector (LAS) Macroeconomic vision The ‘Industrial Companies Survey’145, published by the INE (‘Instituto Nacional de Estadística’, the National Institute of Statistics of Spain) provides information on the turnover of the Land Armament Sector (from now on named LAS), which includes the ‘Manufacture of Weapons and Ammunitions’ (NACE Rev2 25.4), and the ‘Manufacture of military fighting vehicles’ (NACE Rev2 30.4). According to this source of information, the total turnover of the LAS reached 713.3 millions of Euros in 2008, and diminished to 662.4 millions of Euros in 2009. Focusing on 2009 data, the LAS turnover represents just 0.17% of the total turnover of the whole Spanish Manufacturing, which reflects the small size of the sector in comparison the entire collection of manufacturing activities. On the other hand, and according to the ‘Central Directory of Companies’146, LAS companies mean just 0.03% of the total number of companies in the Spanish Manufacturing. More precisely, in 2011 there were 64 companies registered in the LAS (i.e. NACE Rev2 25.4 and NACE Rev2 30.4). In any case, according to some experts, these figures associated to the LAS lack a number of SMEs which are partly involved in the sector as small providers. On the other hand, according to the information available in the Annual Report of TEDAE147 (Spanish Association for Defence, Aeronautics and Space Technologies), the turnover of the ‘Armament, missiles and ammunition’ subsector has increased from 225.8 millions of Euros in 2008 to 424.4 millions of Euros in 2010. Conversely, the turnover of the ‘Terrestrial Platforms’ subsector has decreased from 509.9 millions of Euros in 2008 to 159.3 millions of Euros in 2010 (see Table B.8). As a whole, the total turnover of the LAS (i.e. ‘Armament, missiles, ammunition’ plus ‘Terrestrial Platforms’) has followed a downward trend, from 735.77 millions of Euros in 2008 to 583.71 millions of Euros in 2010. Table B.8. Evolution of turnover in Defence and Security, by subsector. 2008-2010. Subsectors Armament, missiles, ammunition Terrestrial Platforms TOTAL TURNOVER LAS TOTAL TURNOVER DEF./SEC. 2008 225.82 509.95 735.77 3,830.90 2009 279.57 405.44 685.01 5,363.85 2010 424.40 159.31 583.71 5,431.05 Unit: Millions of € Source: TEDAE, 2010. Concerning the weight of each subsector over the total sales of the Spanish Defence and Security Market in 2010, the following chart shows that the ‘Terrestrial platforms’ sector is the smallest subsector, representing only 2.9% of the total Defence and Security Sales (TEDAE, 2010). Meanwhile, the ‘Armament, missiles and ammunition’ sector appears as the second smallest sector, as it just represents 7.8% of the total sales (see Graph B.10). In contrast, it is unquestionable that the aerospace sector is the defence subsector with greatest turnover and employment figures, followed by the naval sector. 145 For more information, see the website for the ‘Encuesta Industrial de Empresas’, or the ‘Industrial Companies Survey’: http://www.ine.es/inebmenu/mnu_industria.htm 146 For more information, see the website for the ‘Directorio Central de Empresas’, or the ‘Central Directory of Businesses’, published by the INE: http://www.ine.es/jaxi/menu.do?type=pcaxis&path=/t37/p201/&file=inebase 147 For more information see: www.tedae.org 172 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Graph B.10 Proportion of sales by Subsector over total sales in the Defence and Security Market. Spain 2010. Aerospace Platforms: 53,0% Others (sensors, eng, etc.): 8,6% Armament, missiles, ammunition: 7,8% Naval Platforms: 27,7% Terrestrial Platforms: 2,9% Source: TEDAE, 2010. On the other hand, and from a historical perspective, it is necessary to explain that in the mid-nineties the European Union (including Spain) gave a boost to the military market. At that time, the Spanish Government started numerous projects for new armament, aimed at modernising the Armed Forces, which lead to the implantation of major procurement programmes. Thus, in 1996 the Spanish MoD, in collaboration with the Ministry of Industry, approved a ‘Modernization Plan’ which included the acquisition of new and modern aeronautic, naval and terrestrial equipments. This was a direct consequence of the access of Spain to NATO, given that this organisation imposed many military requirements to Spain (Delàs, 2012). In this context, the Spanish MoD progressively increased its production demand for the Spanish military industry, which benefited from large contracts. Thus, these new armament programmes originated growing military expenses. However, since 2009, the economic and financial crisis has lead to a drastic reduction in Spanish defence budgets, resulting in the contraction of direct domestic demand. More precisely, Spanish public investment in defence has decreased by almost 70% between 2008 and 2011 (from 2,039 millions of Euros in 2008 to 654 millions of Euros in 2011; see Table B.9) (Martí Sempere, C., 2011). Table B.9. Evolution of Defence Investment. Public Budget. Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Investment in Defence (Millions of Euros) 2,038 1,733 1,202 1,005 654 Source: Martí Sempere, Carlos, “Los retos de la Industria de Defensa en la nueva década”, Instituto Español de Estudios Estratégicos, Madrid, 2011. Diverse sources indicate that at the present time the Spanish defence expenditure means approximately 0.65% of the GDP (2012 data), the lowest percentage in the NATO. Concerning the 2012 Public Budget, data from the Ministry of Finance and Public Administrations shows that the funds allocated to the Defence Policy for the year 2012 reach the amount of 6,261.3 millions of Euros, which is 8.8% lower that the funds for the previous year (6,868.2 millions of Euros in 2011). In particular, individually considering all the items included in the Defence Policy, available data indicate that the worst affected item refers to the ‘Special Modernization Programmes’, followed by the ‘Modernization of Armed Forces’, which are closely related to the technological development of the defence industry (see Table B.10). 173 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Table B.10. State Budget for the Spanish Ministry of Defence. 2011 and 2012. DEFENCE Administration and General Services Staff Training (Armed Forces) Reverse Personnel Modernization of Armed Forces Special Modernization Programmes Operative expenses of the Armed Forces Logistic Support TOTAL % (2012) % Variation 2011/2012 Budget 2011 % (2011) Budget 2012 1,234.3 18 1,217.5 19.4 -1.4 485.6 546.6 383.1 204.5 2.362.7 7.1 8 5.6 3 34.4 418.9 550.9 268.9 4.9 2,289.1 6.7 8.8 4.3 0.1 36.6 -13.7 0.8 -29.8 -97.6 -3.1 1,651.2 6,868.2 24 100 1,510.9 6,261.3 24.1 100 -8,5 -8.8 Source: UGT (Unión General de Trabajadores), based on data from the Ministry of the Finance and Public Administrations The reduction of defence budgets has a head-on impact on companies’ capacities, which had a high percentage of purchases from the MoD guaranteed (TEDAE, 2010). Companies will probably find that most of the demand originated from the MoD will be now predominantly related to the maintenance and modernization of already acquired infrastructure. The question here is if this lower level of demand will be enough to keep the military industry’s capacities, including LAS, especially bearing in mind its high fixed costs. Table B.11. Some concrete examples of the consequences of budget cuts • The public budget particularly allocated to the Army has decreased by 167 millions of Euros between 2011 and 2012 (6.2%). More precisely, maintenance costs have been cut by 10%. As a consequence, 30% of armoured and mechanized vehicles and campaign and antiaircraft artillery have been paralysed. In this sense, as a curiosity, one of the measures applied by the Spanish Land Army in order to save costs consists of leaving tanks in hibernation. This is done through a process known as ‘dehumidification’, which implies storing the tanks without their batteries, oil or any other element that might deteriorate them. • Another current issue derived from budget cuts refers to the need of the Spanish Armed Forces for replacing the old BMR vehicles for new 8x8 vehicles. The Spanish company GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas presented its proposal (offering the Piranha model), whereas other foreign companies from Switzerland and Italy have also presented their own models. Santa Bárbara is strongly fighting to get this project, and the company defends its proposal by highlighting two strong points: the excellent qualification of the workforce and the fact that the whole production would take place in Spain (the whole vehicle and its components, such as engine, electronic systems, etc. would be entirely developed by Spanish firms). Furthermore, Santa Barbara has even proposed a ‘self-financing’ system, by which the factory would initially obtain the funds from the US headquarters, so that the MoD does not have to start its payments until 4-5 years later. However, even if the Spanish MoD is aware of the need for modernization of 8X8 vehicles, its high debt and the budget cuts do not let it advance in this process. Source: Interviews with experts. b) Groups and Enterprises MAIN ENTERPRISES Spanish enterprises with a presence in Defence, Aeronautics and/or Space are integrated within the Spanish Association for Defence, Aeronautics and Space Technologies, TEDAE148. This Association was set up in Madrid in 2009, in order to assume the representation and promotion of its members (including small, me- 148 For more information see: www.tedae.org 174 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies dium and large enterprises) both nationally and internationally. The constitution of TEDAE is the consequence of a general trend all over Europe, where, over the last years, defence and aerospace industries’ organisations have progressively merged into a single representative organisation in each country. In fact, TEDAE was created after the dissolution of Atecma, the previous employers’ association of the aeronautics sector, and Afarmade, the employers’ association of the defence sector. With regard to the main national enterprises and the level of concentration of the Spanish defence sector in general, and the LAS in particular, it can be said that the industry is characterised by a limited number of major companies which act as the main contractors (and which are nevertheless small compared to their international counterparts), and a large group of small-scale providers or suppliers, normally positioned in the private sector (TEDAE, 2010). In fact, there are products with a sole national supplier, either due to the exclusivity of the products or because there is only one entity or large company with the capacity to channel and manage the necessary resources to supply the products. On the other hand, in most cases the Spanish Ministry of Defence appears as the sole national consumer. More precisely, the General Directorate of Armament and Materiel (DGAM) is the organisation responsible for the preparation, planning and development of armament and materiel policy as well as the oversight and administration of its execution. Thus, the role of the Government in the defence industry in general, and in the LAS in particular, is critical (TEDAE, 2010; MoD, 2010). Focusing now on the largest Spanish defence companies, there are four main companies in the whole Spanish defence industry, which represented in 2009 75.4% of the total defence turnover, and 74% of the total employment. Each of these companies basically monopolises its corresponding defence subsector (EADS-Casa, in the aerospace sector; Navantia, in the naval sector; Indra, in the electronics and communications sector; and General Dynamics Land Systems-Santa Bárbara Sistemas, in the LAS sector). With regard to the LAS specifically, and as already mentioned, the largest manufacturer in the Spanish LAS is GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas, which produces armoured vehicles (wheeled and tracked), as well as weapons and systems, and artillery and ammunition. The company has seven production sites in Spain, and its defence sales reached 310 millions of Euros in 2010. Table B.12. GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas. Company fiche. General Dynamics European Land Systems (GDELS) • • • • • General Dynamics European Land Systems (GDELS) is a business unit of the American multinational General Dynamics Corp. The Spanish public-owned ‘Santa Bárbara Sistemas’ was the first company that General Dynamics Corp bought in Europe, in the year 2001. After that, the American multinational progressively acquired other defence factories throughout Europe, in Switzerland (European Land Systems Mowag), Austria (European Land Systems- Steyr) and Germany (European Land Systems- Germany). All production sites were unified as a single business unit under one European parent company in 2003. In 2011 the headquarters of GDELS (General Dynamics European Land Systems) were set in Madrid. As one of the European leaders in the land combat systems sector. GDELS has focused itself on four specific divisions with the aim of producing greater synergies and coordination between its 12 plants. These four divisions are: Tracked Vehicles, Wheeled Vehicles, Bridges, and Artillery & Ammunition, plus a network of R&D centres, and logistic and customer relations activities. At the present time, GDELS is a global leading designer, manufacturer and integrator of tracked and wheeled armoured vehicles, tactical vehicles, ammunition and weapons systems. Moreover, GDELS provides Integrated Logistic Support (ILS) services to a variety of Costumers for all product range through the entire life cycle. 175 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies GDELS Santa Bárbara Sistemas (Spain) The Spanish public-owned ‘Santa Bárbara Sistemas’ was the first company that General Dynamics Corp bought in Europe. It was acquired in the year 2001, and one of the reasons for the Spanish Government to sell it to General Dynamics was that they agreed to keep employment levels and working conditions for at least 5 years. • According to 2010 data, GDELS Santa Bárbara Sistemas had 1,634 employees, whereas the sales for that year reached a value of 310M€. This data make the Spanish production sites the largest within the GDELS Group. Moreover, GDELS Santa Barbara Sistemas is the most important vehicle manufacturer among all of them and it enjoys porwerful manufacturing capacities and a great adaptability. • GDELS Santa Bárbara Sistemas has 7 different production sites in Spain, and each one of them is specialised in a number of particular products: Trubia: armoured vehicles (wheeled and tracked), howitzers, turrets, etc. Oviedo: medium and light armament Sevilla: armoured vehicles (final assembly and tests) Madrid: headquarters and R&D Palencia: artillery systems, arms, ammunition Granada: gunpowder • The main products and programmes developed by GDELS Santa Bárbara Sistemas are the following: • 1. Weapons and systems • • • Light weapons (CETME, AMELI, CETME L, LAG 40) Artillery (155/52 APU SBT howitzer) Turrets (TC-25, TC-13, TC-3, TC-7, TC-19, TC-9) 2. Ammunition, gunpowder and explosives 3. Armoured vehicles • • Tracked vehicles (Pizarro) Wheeled vehicles (BMR, Dragoon, VEC) 4. Modernization Programmes • • Tanks: AMX-30E, M60 Patton Armoured Vehicles: BMR 2 In addition to the above, GDELS Santa Bárbara Sistemas manufactures also products of foreign patent, for example, the Armoured Vehicles Leopard 2E (German patent) and AMX30E vehicle (French patent), or the Spike missile (Israeli patent). • Concerning cooperation agreements, an interesting example is the DONAR, a 155mm advanced artillery system which was developed by the German Krauss-Maffei Wegmann (KMW) and GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas together. Moreover, GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas also collaborates with European manufacturers such as the French Nexter or with the Norwegian Namo. At Spanish level, they frequently cooperate with Spanish companies such as Navantia (which manufactures, for example, engines) or Indra (which normally provides electronic systems). • GDELS Santa Bárbara Sistemas is making huge efforts to open foreign markets. The company has recently won a tender for the UK, by which the UK MoD has placed an order of Ascot SV vehicles (the modern version of the Pizarro model). • Source: Interviews with CCOO Trade Union and GDELS-Santa Barbara Sistemas representatives. Additionally, other main Spanish companies which manufacture military fighting vehicles are the following ones (Delàs, 2009): IVECO España (www.iveco.com), which manufactures both commercial vehicles (e.g. trucks and buses) and military transport vehicles. Its defence sales reached 53.6 millions of Euros in 2009. UROVESA (www.urovesa.es/), which manufactures platforms for the transportation of heavy armament and armoured vehicles. Its defence sales reached 42.8 millions of Euros in 2009. Einsa (www.einsa.es), which produces missile pallets and diverse tools for planes. Its defence sales reached 14.8 millions of Euros in 2008. 176 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies SAPA Placencia, SA, (www.sapaplacencia.com) which manufactures light weapons and systems, and has lately specialised in mechanical transmissions for heavy vehicles. Its defence sales reached 8.8 millions of Euros in 2009. Cohemo (www.cohemo.com), which manufactures diverse components for armoured vehicles and battleships and provides maintenance (e.g. maintenance of Leopard, Pizarro, Centauro or BMR vehicles). Its defence sales reached 4.7 millions of Euros in 2009. As well as this, it is worth citing Santana Motor, SA, an important vehicles manufacturer which closed in February 2011 (Delàs, 2009). Moreover, it is necessary to mention that Navantia, the largest manufacturer in the naval sector, also produces engines for military vehicles (for instance, General Dynamics and Navantia have often collaborated in the manufacturing of some vehicles). Likewise, through the ‘Faba Systems’ activity line, Navantia manufactures products such as CDS Systems, DORNA Fire Control System and Communication Systems. On the other hand, and also with regard to the Spanish manufacturers in the LAS, the following list includes the main companies which manufacture Weapons and Ammunitions (Delàs 2009): Explosivos Alaveses (EXPAL) (www.maxam.net/es/expal) which manufactures explosives, mines, ammunition, bombs, clusters, etc., and integrates systems and services for the defence and security industry. Its defence sales reached 64.7 millions of Euros in 2009. Fabricaciones Extremeñas (FAEX) (www.maxam.net/es/expal), which manufactures explosives, mines, cluster bombs, etc. Its defence sales reached 25 millions of Euros in 2009. S.A. Electrón.Submarina SAEs (www.electronica-submarina.com), which manufactures sea mines, sonar and sensors. Its defence sales reached 16.1 millions of Euros in 2009. Explosivos de Burgos (EDB) (www.maxam.net/es/expal), which manufactures explosives, mines, rockers and fuses. Its defence sales reached 11.4 millions of Euros in 2009. OWNERSHIP QUESTIONS The past 25 years have seen radical changes in the industrial structure of the Spanish defence sector, including the LAS. Thus, a couple of decades ago the sector was mostly owned by the public sector. However, nowadays it has been almost entirely privatised (with the notable exception of Navantia, the leading manufacturer in the naval sector, which is still 100% Government-owned). In any case, defence industries, both public and private, are highly dependent on the Ministry of Defence, given that for most defence products the National Government is basically the sole consumer (TEDAE, 2010). In this sense, during the nineties, many public companies in the defence sector were privatised (completely or partly). With regard to the main companies in the LAS sector, currently most of them are private. It is interesting to look at the case of GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas, the largest manufacturer in the Spanish LAS. This company, initially known as ‘Empresa Nacional Santa Bárbara S.A’, was constituted in 1960 as a company 100% owned by the Spanish Government, with the main objective of manufacturing armament for the Spanish Armed Forces. In 2000, the Government decided to privatize it. Three different companies presented their proposal to buy ‘Santa Bárbara’: the American General Dynamics, the German Group Krauss Maffeei & Rheinmetall, and the Spanish Explosivos Alaveses. Finally, in July 2001, the company was bought by General Dynamics, one of the world leaders of armament manufacturing. The reason for this choice was the Industrial Plan presented by General Dynamics which guaranteed that employment levels and working conditions would be kept at least until 2006 (Delàs, 2012). Concerning other vehicle manufacturers, IVECO España is part of an Italian private business group (subsidiary of Fiat Industrial S.p.A.), whereas UROVESA is a Spanish privately-owned company. On the other hand, the case of Santana Motor is particularly interesting: the company was totally owned by the Regional Government of Andalucía, but in 2010 they decided to close it, due to its huge losses. 177 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Finally, with regard to the ammunitions sector, it must be explained that MaxamCorp (known as ‘Unión Española de Explosivos, UEE’ until the year 2006) is a global private business holding with over 140 companies operating across world. EXPAL, whose headquarters are located in Madrid, is responsible for the ‘defence’ business unit of the Maxam Group. With regard to the Spanish companies, the Maxam Group gathers three companies aimed at the manufacturing of military ammunition, as follows: Explosivos de Burgos, Fabricaciones Extremeñas y Fabricaciones Metalúrgicas de Albacete, which all together cover a very large size of the whole Spanish ammunitions sector (Delàs, 2012). Annex 3 at the end of this national report includes a figure showing the Spanish military industry network with the State and Financial Groups. COOPERATION EXPERIENCES According to TEDAE, cooperation processes among defence companies are relatively slow, and even scarce. For this reason, some experts recommend that it is convenient to create a context which stimulates collaboration among companies, so that they gain more competitiveness and capacity to influence the market (Cortes Generales, TEDAE, 2009). As well as this, some military industries claim the need for creating a ‘national pole’ in the defence sector, with the largest companies included, and with the support of the Government, so that Spanish industries can compete in better conditions with foreign competitors. Certainly, this is seen as a very convenient way for Spain to react against the restructuring process in the European defence industry. On the other hand, it is interesting to mention some cooperation examples cited by our informants from GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas, who stated that the company is open to collaboration. Thus, for instance, there is a strong collaboration among the different European production sites that comprise ‘General Dynamics European Land Systems’. According to interviewed representatives, the different factories support and help each other, and in some cases the workload is shared according to the needs or interests of each of them. Moreover, cooperation between different enterprises is also relatively frequent. For example, the DONAR is a 155mm advanced artillery system which was developed by the German Krauss-Maffei Wegmann (KMW) and GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas together. Additionally, GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas also collaborates with the French Nexter or with the Norwegian Nammo, whereas, at national level, they frequently cooperate with Spanish companies such as Navantia (which manufactures, for example, the engines) or Indra (which normally provides electronic systems). In our informants’ opinion, the overall assessment is that collaboration agreements between companies turn out to be very advantageous for all participants, which makes this type of agreements relatively common for GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas. c) Products and value chain Spain has made great efforts to develop a powerful defence industry which has achieved important capacities for manufacturing defence material and equipment. Although not all the implemented programmes have reached the success expected, in some cases the Spanish defence industry has managed to develop important competitive advantages in some niche markets (Martí Sempere, C., 2011). Concerning LAS product specialisation, the Spanish defence industry in general has progressively specialised in a number of critical industries, partly due to the small size of the domestic market. The most notable areas of excellence are (TEDAE, 2010): Armoured combat vehicles and personnel carriers Artillery Electronic Equipment, Sensors and Electronic Warfare Munitions and Explosives 178 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies As a curiosity, it is worth mentioning that vehicles and heavy armament programmes are so sophisticate and specialised that their manufacture lasts for a relatively long period of time. However, ammunition is a more basic good, and it is produced quicker; thus, it is more a utility-type product where cost factor has more weight. In line with this, it is remarkable that the large defence programmes implemented years ago by the Spanish MoD result in workload for several years, so at present, there are still many LAS companies whose current production derives from those large orders placed before the budget cuts. Finally, it is also interesting to highlight that the provision of defence-related services is becoming increasingly important for the defence industry in general, and for the LAS in particular. In this sense, nowadays the sustainability concept is already an essential element in any procurement process for weapons systems and equipment. Moreover, in a context of budgetary constraints, and having left behind the period of major weapons systems acquisitions, the new scenario is focused on equipment sustainability (TEDAE, 2010). ROLE OF SMES Spanish LAS SMEs constitute a large group of small-scale providers or suppliers, normally positioned in the private sector. In fact, SMEs constitute the basic industrial fabric of the defence sector, and they are closely connected to the region where they are located, facilitating products’ embeddedness in local areas. For this reason, one of the objectives of the Industrial Policy is to achieve the maximum participation of SMEs in production processes, due to their ability to develop a national industrial base with strong military capacities (MoD, 2010). According to our informants, SMEs in the LAS provide lots of specialized small components to main contractors. Normally, these SMEs have a “mixed production”, that is, they are not exclusively devoted to defence components, but they also work for other industrial sectors. Significantly, many experts working in the LAS remark that a great part of the technology innovation in the sector comes from SMEs. Thus, it is estimated that much of the R&D investment takes place small and medium “seed companies”. For this reason, it is necessary to keep these lower size companies, which represent the “specialist niche” in the defence market. Finally, according to our informants, a current extended trend among main contractors is the reduction in the number of SMEs which constitute the value chain, in order to keep just the best performers. Certainly, the work developed by SMEs in the value chain is a key component for the success of the final product, and factors such as the quality of the components, costs, delivery times, etc. are strictly considered by final manufacturers. Defence products are particularly complex and the technology required is very sophisticate, so the whole process must be extremely precise. d) Markets EXPORTS According to data published by TEDAE for the defence and security market, the exports of ‘Armament, missiles, and ammunition’ reached a value of 80.7 millions of Euros on 2010, which meant 19% of the total sales (i.e. domestic demand plus exports) in this subsector. Meanwhile, concerning ‘Terrestrial Platforms’, exports had a value of 60.7 millions of Euros in 2010 (which meant 38.1% of the total demand in this subsector) (see Table B.13). It can be observed that the percentage of exports over total sales in the Total Defence and Security Market is higher than in the LAS specifically, mainly due to the large export figures of the aerospace and naval sectors. 179 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Table B.13. Evolution of Exports. LAS and Defence and Security Market. (2008-2010) 2008 Subsectors Armament, missiles, ammunition Terrestrial Platforms Defence and Security Market Total 2009 Exports % Exports/ Exports (millions €) Total Sales (millions €) 85.1 84.5 1,708.4 37.7% 16.6% 44.6% 92.2 80.1 2,892.5 2010 % Exports/ Total Sales 33.0% 19.8% 53.9% Exports % Exports/ (millions €) Total Sales 80.7 60.7 2,946.8 19.0% 38.1% 54.3% Note: ‘Total Sales’ refers to domestic demand plus exports. Source: TEDAE, “Informe Anual de Defensa y Seguridad”, Annual Report, Madrid, 2010. On the other hand, concerning Spanish LAS companies’ access to international markets, TEDAE explains that there is not any institutional platform to support defence exports. In other words, Spain lacks an institution similar to the’ Defence Exports Support Group’ (DESG) of the United Kingdom, the Swedish ‘Försvarsexportmyndigheten’ (FXM)149, or the French ‘Direction Générale de l'Armement’ (DGA)150. In fact, a common claim among industry representatives refers to the demand for support from the Spanish Government to help them access new markets, increasing its weight in international offerings. Likewise, it is estimated that exports is an issue which should be supported by the Spanish Government as a whole; thus, not only the Ministry of Defence, but also the Departments of Industry, Economy, Foreign Affairs and Interior should be actively involved (TEDAE, 2010). Nowadays, exports are seen as a future business opportunity for the LAS, and GDELS Santa Bárbara Sistemas is making huge efforts to open foreign markets. An example of an important achievement in this field is that Santa Bárbara has recently won a tender for the UK, by which the UK MoD has placed an order of Ascot SV vehicles (the modern version of the Pizarro model). DUAL MARKETS Concerning the involvement of defence industries, including LAS, in dual markets, it can be said that technologies are more and more applied in both civil and military sectors without distinction, and there is a growing industrial diffusion between both sectors (MoD, 2010). However, some experts observe that defence products are not really characterised by a great duality. In other words, defence products do not always have a civil application, or turn out to be too expensive to be used in the civil market (normally, defence products are much more sophisticated). Thus, getting military products to be a success in civil markets can turn to be more complicated that it appears to be initially, as in most cases defence products must undergo an adaptation process to make them accessible and useful for civil customers (Martí Sempere, 2011). On the other hand, with regard to the involvement of LAS companies in non-defence markets, available data for the year 2009 shows that military vehicles manufacturers are more likely than weapons and ammunition manufacturers to work in both defence and civil markets. Although GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas devotes 100% of its production to the defence market, IVECO, the Spanish second largest military vehicles manufacturer, only devotes 4.9% of its total production to military products. Likewise, 70% of the production of UROVESA, the third largest military vehicles manufacturer, refers exclusively to military products (whereas the remaining 30% covers non-defence goods). In contrast, with regard to the main Spanish manufacturers of weapons and ammunitions, it should be remarked that the largest manufacturers (e.g. EXPAL, FAEX, SAES, EDB) devote 100% of its production to defence products (Delàs, 2012). For more information on the Swedish Defence and Security Export Agency see: http://fxm.se/en/ For more information on how the French General Directorate of Armament supports defence exports see: http://www.defense.gouv.fr/dga/international2/exportations 149 150 180 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies IMPACT OF EU LEGISLATION (DEFENCE PACKAGE) The EU is promoting a more integrated and open defence market, which will bring important changes for the industry. This new context derives into a contradictory position for LAS companies: on the one hand, openness facilitates the access to new markets and generates new business opportunities; but, on the other hand, it brings more competition into own domestic markets (Martí Sempere, 2011). e) Technology and innovation The defence sector as a whole is considered to be a strategic sector from a technological point of view, as it has contributed significantly to Spain’s technological and industrial development (TEDAE, 2010). Certainly, technological development has an enormous impact on defence systems, as there is a clear correlation between an Army’s technology level and its effectiveness (MoD, 2010). For this reason, technological requirements in the defence sector, including LAS, are very high and entail large capital investments. Unfortunately, these requirements are not compatible with the relatively small size of the Spanish market. Thus, although large companies such as GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas can afford investing their own resources in R&D activities, the smallest companies in the LAS business fabric can not easily innovate without public support. Hence, traditionally, Spanish R&D efforts in the defence sector have been mainly supported by Public Administrations, and most of the technological development investment carried out by defence industries has traditionally derived from public customers’ specific orders (TEDAE, 2010). That said, the unfavourable conditions of the current economic situation and the consequent public budget cuts raise fears of a backward trend in the innovation capabilities of the defence industry in general, and the LAS in particular (MoD, 2010). In particular, according to our informants, at the present time R&D public funds would be more likely to be achieved basically just for two main purposes: soldiers’ safety (development of protection systems and more secure material and infrastructures) and environmental protection. In addition to this, the question here is that even if Spanish defence companies have made great R&D investment efforts, leading European countries are still much more advanced in this field (TEDAE, 2010). In addition to the above, and when referring to technology and innovation issues in the defence industry, including LAS, it is necessary to comment of the classic problem of ‘Industrial Offsets’, which can be defined as more or less visible compensations, demanded by customers from suppliers. The EU's efforts to suppress them and improve transparency only act on the European internal market. In contrast, the buying countries in international markets, demand off-sets in the contract packages or have laws which impose them (TEDAE, 2010). Given the high value of technological knowledge in the defence industry, companies try to protect and keep for themselves key technological issues for the manufacturing of strategic products, as a way to maintain their competitive advantage. On the other hand, it is worth mentioning that in an increasingly greater proportion, scientific and technological advances are coming from R&D conducted in the civil domain. In this sense, it is estimated that in the near future the most revolutionary or disruptive technological advances for military capabilities will come from R&D and innovation developed in the civil sector, which will further encourage progressive convergence of civil and military R&D (MoD, 2010). Moreover, when looking at R&D budget evolution in Spain, the comparison between military research budget and civil research budget shows that over the last years the civil budget has increased much more than the military budget. More precisely, civil research budget increased from 2,627 millions of Euros in 2003 to 8,214 millions of Euros in 2009 (i.e. the available amount more than tripled in that period), whereas military research budget increased just from 1,373 millions of Euros to 1,459 millions of Euros. For this reason, the path for the future in the defence sector, including the LAS, must facilitate synergies between the private and public sector, both civil and defence, collaborating to maximise resources in the most efficient manner possible (MoD, 2010). 181 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Finally, having said this, it is necessary to explain a polemic issue that has affected the Spanish defence industry over the last years, in relation to public credits to support R&D in this sector. Before the outbreak of the crisis, during the early-mid 2000’s, the Spanish MoD signed an agreement with the Spanish Ministry of Industry which would facilitate the development of large defence procurement programmes. In particular, the Ministry of Industry provided zero interest loans to defence industries as a way to develop R&D programmes. Then, these loans would be reimbursed to the Ministry of Industry when the MoD would progressively pay to the companies for the corresponding defence products, as they were manufactured and delivered. This financing system facilitated payment delays, and at the same time derived in the false impression that the MoD could face more projects than real, which derived in huge debts (Delàs, 2012; Martí Sempere, 2011). According to several sources of information consulted, at the present time the Spanish MoD owes around 26,000 millions of Euros to the Spanish defence industry for the large defence procurement programmes agreed years ago. This amount should be progressively paid to companies until 2025. The question here is that this situation will be even more complicated in the near future, given that defence public budgets are not increasing accordingly to the amounts owed to defence industries. Against this background, the MoD is trying to revise and update the defence procurement programmes signed to reduce their expenses, as a consequence of the lack of funds. The situation is so gloomy that it is estimated that it will be virtually impossible for the MoD to place new orders in the next 20 years, and even to pay for maintenance costs of previously acquired material; hence, paradoxically, previous acquisitions for the modernization of the Armed Forces may cause their future operational inability. With the aim of soothing the situation, the MoD has proposed three possible ways to follow: the extension of deadlines (from 2025 to 2030); the cancellation or reduction of some of the contracts agreed, when possible; and finally, the relief of the 14,000 millions of Euros debt that defence companies owe to the Ministry of Industry for zero interest loans. Some of the revised procurement programmes include the following products: Eurofighter, NH-90 helicopter, leopard vehicle, countermine armoured vehicles and unmanned aerial vehicles.151 B.5.2. Employment issues within the National Land Armament Sector (LAS) Concerning employment figures, the TEDAE Annual Report on Defence and Security shows that in 2010 the ‘Armament, missiles and ammunition’ sector employed a total of 2,130 persons, which doubles the 2009 amount (1,026 employees). Meanwhile, the terrestrial platforms sector has experienced a downward trend since 2008, with an especially remarkable fall between 2009 and 2010 (1,807 employees in 2009 and 647 in 2010) (see Table B.14). As it can be expected, in both cases employment trends go in line with turnover evolution. Table B.14. Evolution of employment (number of employees) (2008-2010) Subsectors Armament, missiles, Ammunition Terrestrial Platforms TOTAL EMPLOYMENT IN THE LAS TOTAL EMPLOYMENT IN DEFENCE AND SECURITY 2008 1,037 2,398 3,435 17,581 2009 2010 1,026 1,807 2,833 20,147 2,130 647 2,777 19,270 Unit: persons. Source: TEDAE, 2010. Concerning the proportion of employment which each subsector means over the total of the defence and security markets, and according to 2010 data, ‘terrestrial platforms’ is the defence subsector with the 151 See El País, 11 October 2011 and 9 April 2012 http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2011/10/11/actualidad/1318366983_404307.html and http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2012/04/09/actualidad/1334000027_666264.html 182 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies lowest employment percentage, with only 3.4% of the total. On the other hand, the ‘armament, missiles and ammunition’ sector covers 11.1% of the total defence employment. Therefore, it can be said that the LAS (i.e. ‘terrestrial platforms’ plus ‘armament, missiles and ammunition’) means 14.4% of the total defence employment. Once again, ‘aerospace’ and ‘naval’ sectors boast the highest percentages (47% and 30.9% respectively) (TEDAE, 2010). According to the information provided by interviewed ‘GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas’ representatives, and with regard to age issues, the workforce in the LAS is aging. As an example, it is estimated that the average age in ‘GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas’ is 52 years. In particular, as explained by the interviewees, during the mid-2000s (after the privatisation process), many of the oldest workers opted for early retirement, which led to the hiring of several young workers. However, over the recent years, and as a consequence of the economic crisis and the demand reduction, it is not common anymore to take on new employees. Certainly, as public budgets decrease, new contracts also diminish. This results in the ageing of the workforce. On the other hand, concerning workers’ qualification, and according to our informants, employees in the Spanish LAS sector are highly-qualified workers with a large experience and broad specialised technological knowledge. The defence sector, including LAS, is a technological strategic sector, and a large generator of innovation and R&D. In fact, the high-tech and innovative products manufactured in the LAS require expert staff to carry out precise and sophisticated tasks. Products are extremely specialised and complex, specifically adapted to the client’s needs, and production processes are particularly meticulous. As a result, training is very important, and workers’ high capacities are kept thanks to continuous training programmes. Actually, LAS employees are strictly trained and their knowledge is formally recognized when developing particularly complex or technologically advanced projects. Generally speaking, the high qualification and specialization of the LAS workforce make it an appealing working area for potential workers. In particular, our informants explained that ‘GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas’ is seen as a very prestigious place to work, which boasts large experience and long-standing tradition in the defence market. With regard to youngsters’ education, the interviewed trade union representative explained that vocational training centres and companies should collaborate more, so that students spend more time in production sites and knowledge is more practical. In this sense, our CCOO Trade Union contact stated that some kind of ‘apprentice school’ within the company would help new workers to better gain the required specialised knowledge. On the other hand, regarding training activities, it is estimated that there is a good training supply, adapted to the needs of the sector. In particular, the ‘Fundación del Metal para la Formación, Cualificación y Empleo’152 (‘The Foundation of Metal for Training, Qualification and Employment’ in English), specifically aimed at the Metal sector, is run by social partners (employers and workers’ representatives) and its main objective is to manage training activities specifically aimed at their representative sectors, such as the defence and security sector. Finally, concerning Social Dialogue, trade unions play an important role in the LAS and they have a strong influence concerning social conflicts. Generally speaking, and in comparison to other economic sectors, the defence sector is characterised by long-standing and well-developed social dialogue practices. Thus, for instance, trade unions’ influence was essential during the privatisation process of ‘Santa Bárbara Sistemas’, where the selection of GDELS depended on its promise to keep employment levels and working conditions. Interestingly also, the interviewed trade union representative explained an issue which is currently being discussed by ‘GDELS-Santa Bárbara Sistemas’ social partners. This hot topic for Social Dialogue, directly linked to the economic crisis, refers to the possibility of unifying the factories of Trubia and Oviedo, which are located at a distance of 10kms from each other. The production site in Trubia is larger and more diver152 For more information see www.fmfce.org 183 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies sified, and moving all production and employment to the facilities in Trubia would help the company to reduce costs (e.g. maintenance costs). B.5.3. Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the National LAS The Spanish LAS is relatively strong and it boasts excellent capacities concerning infrastructure and facilities, experienced and well-trained workforce, etc., which have led to numerous successes and international prominence in some areas of excellence. Nevertheless, the historical limitations of the Spanish industrial policy in defence and the lack of a comprehensive vision of national business interests have fuelled structural weaknesses emerging from the financial crisis and the implementation of the new procurement directives in security and defence, leading to more open European markets (TEDAE, 2010). According to our informants, a very important concern for the LAS refers to budget cuts, which have brought to an end the era of grand programmes. As well as this, the financing problems derived from the high debts of the MoD (linked to the zero interest loans provided by the Ministry of Industry) are preventing the placing of new orders. Altogether, the progressively decreasing public defence budget and the need for paying back previously agreed large contracts are causing a dangerous fall in domestic demand. MoD programmes are being delayed, or there is not even a precise date for tenders’ announcements, which results in an extremely uncertain future for the defence industry, including LAS. It is worth mentioning here that, according to industry representatives, one of the weaknesses of the defence sector in general and the LAS in particular is its poor public image. Thus, in times of economic recession, when all public budgets must be reduced, the general public opinion is more likely to accept cuts in the defence policy than in other public areas. Moreover, some industry experts claim that the LAS sector has even a worse public image than other defence sectors, especially in comparison to aerospace. In addition to the above, the small size of the defence industry is also seen as a limitation for the sector. Thus, one of the main hurdles of the Spanish LAS to face new market challenges refers to scale problems and weaker industrial capabilities, derived from its smaller dimension and stronger dependence on National Public Authorities, in comparison to leading European countries. Linked to the above, the decline in funds and the limited size of Spanish defence companies have serious implications for the technological development of the industry, mainly due to the large capital investments that defence R&D requires for maintaining a competitive position in the market (TEDAE, 2010). If budget cuts and domestic demand reductions remain for a long period of time, the negative consequences for the sector could be irreparable (Martí Sempere, 2011). Moreover, the level of technological development of national defence industries determines their capacity to collaborate with other defence companies from leading countries, and it also influences the operability of the Spanish Armed Forces and their ability to cooperate with allied countries (GEES 2012). The previously-mentioned problems notwithstanding, looking to the future, there exist market trends that are bringing business opportunities into the future industrial and employment development of the national LAS. To start with, nowadays, with large procurement programmes temporarily frozen, the priorities of the Ministry of Defence are focused on the sustainability of the equipment purchased, so it becomes clear that the immediate future for the LAS is to develop effective methods for sustaining and modernizing the weapons systems and vehicles in use. Therefore, sustainability, as well as being an operational necessity, represents a business opportunity (TEDAE, 2010). In this sense, it is interesting to mention that it is more and more common for the European Armed Forces to have maintenance services providers available in the same place where they are carrying out their mission. Certainly, this is a new business area from which LAS companies should take advantage. However, and bearing in mind budget cuts, it must be highlighted that if the whole demand of the Spanish MoD refers exclusively to sustainability and modernization services, it might not be enough to cover the fixed costs of the Spanish LAS industry (Martí Sempere, 2011). 184 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Likewise, another emergent business opportunity includes the security market, with appealing growing prospects. Whereas the demand of exclusively military products is decreasing, the security market is growing, as both public and private demand augment (Real Instituto Elcano, 2011). In this sense, although the security market has its own specific peculiarities, it also shares features with the traditional defence market (for instance, in terms of technologies and procurement procedures) (TEDAE, 2010). In fact, the MoD estimates that there is a growing blurring line between the security and the defence sectors. Thus, the rendering of services to both civil and military customers could improve efficiency, by taking advantage of synergies. Notwithstanding this, it should be also taken into account that in some cases defence products are too sophisticated and might not be easily adaptable to civil markets (Martí Sempere, 2011). Linked to the previous point, it must be mentioned that the concept of defence and security is changing. In general terms, at the present time main socio-political threats do not exclusively refer to armed conflicts, but also to terrorism, organised crime, economic and financial insecurity, energetic vulnerability, proliferation of mass destruction arms, cyber-attacks, emergencies and catastrophes, etc. (Martí Sempere, 2011). All these new threats require new products and services for facing them. This, in turn, means that companies will have to develop new technologies and abilities for designing and providing the required new products and services, whereas the demand of traditional products and services might stagnate or even disappear. On the other hand, exports and internationalisation are a growing trend among defence companies, and this undoubtedly constitutes a growing business opportunity for the sector. More precisely, emerging countries, which are increasing their defence capabilities for geostrategic reasons, have turned into new appealing markets for the defence industry, including LAS (TEDAE, 2010). As explained by our interviewees, the argument here is that the competition in new international markets is currently more severe and competitors apply very aggressive strategies, due to the fall in demand in traditional markets and the emergence of new global competitors (Real Instituto Elcano, 2011). Against this context of increasing internationalisation, it must be mentioned that traditionally Spanish LAS companies have been more dependent on the national MoD (that is, on domestic demand), whereas leading European countries opened their defence industry to international markets much earlier. That said, it is also necessary to take into account that the LAS is a very sensitive sector, in the sense that there are many political and strategic interests behind it. At the same time, the opening of new markets is a very slow process, which requires intricate and troublesome administrative processes, and where the support from the Government is essential. As an example, and according to what our informants explained, it is possible to mention the difficulties arisen as a consequence of the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR) imposed by the US (frequent obstacle between European Land Systems and US General Dynamics, both part of the same group). As well as this, the problem of ‘Industrial Offsets’ and the interest for protecting strategic knowledge may also generate problems in international markets. In this line, the transfer of technological knowledge to new markets is very risky for the Spanish companies which have not their own R&D capabilities, as they may lose their strategic competitive advantage. (Real Instituto Elcano, 2011). For this reason, Spanish industry representatives demand a stronger political representation on the road to foreign markets. It is worth mentioning here that, even if the Spanish Government is making great efforts to support the Spanish defence industry in general and the LAS in particular, it seems that it is not enough in comparison to the most powerful European countries (e.g. the UK or France). For this reason, LAS industries request further support from Public Authorities, as well as a better coordination between different Government departments. In line with the above, and as a response to this request from the industry, the Spanish Government has recently approved a new mechanism to support defence exports, according to the ‘Royal Decree on the Liberalization of Commerce and Particular Services’, of May 2012. More precisely, the legislation has been adapted so that the MoD can work as an intermediary in procurement programmes between foreign 185 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies countries (buyers) and Spanish companies (providers). The reason for this change is to help overcoming the current challenges faced by the defence industry, derived from the lack of domestic demand, the increase of demand in some emerging countries, the growing international competition in global defence markets and the interest shown by some particular countries to deal directly with the Spanish Government (instead of with Spanish companies). One of the countries which has motivated this legislation change is Saudi Arabia, with its proposal to buy 200 to 300 Leopard vehicles by negotiating only with the Public Authorities, through a ‘Government to Government’ contract.153 In any case, and whereas the importance of accessing foreign markets is emphasized, it must be also highlighted that defence products must find their place in the national market with a minimum level of domestic demand. Certainly, the exporting capacity of LAS companies is conditioned by their domestic success, and the lack of national demand may have serious implications for the quality or variety of products and solutions to be offered in international markets (Martí Sempere, 2011). That said, it is clear that defence industries are highly dependent of the Spanish Government. However, the defence sector lacks a coherent and systematised interaction with Public Authorities, as there is not an established structure which facilitates permanent cooperation. The support provided by the different governmental areas is not normally coordinated, and this hinders synergy generation. Therefore, it is suggested that the Public Administration should develop a more cooperative support framework, which allows maximizing technological, industrial and financial opportunities, simplifying the existing procedures (Real Instituto Elcano, 2011). On the other hand, both our informants and the sources of information reviewed recommend that the Spanish Government should reform the current public acquisitions processes, by including new criteria such as innovation, exportability and sustainability, in order to combine operational needs with employment levels maintenance, exports and high value-added industries. As well as this, industry experts suggest that a new relationship model between the Government (demand) and the companies (manufacturers) should be established, based on ‘Public-Private Partnerships’ (‘Colaboraciones Pública Privadas’ in Spanish, CPP), where the leadership would be shared between the public and the private sector, and the private sector would even participate in the definition of public needs (proactive approach)154 (Real Instituto Elcano, 2011). Thanks to ‘Public-Private Partnerships’, the Ministry of Defence would acquire military equipment through contracts where private companies would directly assume the responsibility and costs for manufacturing, financing and maintenance. The payment by the Public Administration to the industry would progressively take place during the period of use of the equipments provided. This system has been successfully used in countries such as the UK and Germany, and some of its estimated benefits include savings and improvements in the manufacturing and maintenance of new defence products (Eurodefense, 2008). As a whole, concerning the expected future evolution of the sector in Europe, our informants estimate that national markets will be probably defeated by business integration processes. Thus, it is expected that a number of existing companies will disappear. This will be especially the case of the smallest companies, with the fewest resources, and the case of those companies offering medium/low quality or too high costs. In contrast, leading surviving companies will be those with the ability to adapt to new market challenges and the capacity to take part in international collaboration projects. For this reason, some industry representatives estimate that it is necessary that the Spanish defence industry undergoes a business consolidation process leading to larger and stronger companies with enough critical mass to redirect the international development of the Spanish defence industry, including LAS (TEDAE, See El Pais 25 May 2012: http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2012/05/25/actualidad/1337962529_671696.html ‘Public-Private Partnerships’ (‘Colaboraciones Pública Privadas’ in Spanish, CPP) are a type of contract by which the public sector cooperates with the private sector in order to guarantee the financing, construction, renovation, sustainability, etc. of infrastructures and services. In Spain, this type of contract is relatively common, for instance, in transports infrastructure (Eurodefense, 2008) 153 154 186 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies 2010). In this line, it is estimated that many SMEs will be acquired by largest companies, and it is possible that in these cases small companies will tend to specialise in determinate products, having the support (i.e. access to resources) of a larger company. As well as this, mergers are also likely to occur. Certainly, collaboration agreements, largely promoted by current European legislation, could act as a first step for subsequent mergers and acquisitions. Therefore, in the long term, the restructuring of the sector will probably lead to a few large and generalist companies, and a relatively large number of small and specialised manufacturers (but lower than today), with extremely sophisticate products. In this context, the defence strategy most favourable to Spain should take into account the industry’s main areas of excellence to strengthen and improve its national position. Thus, the definition of critical industrial capabilities in the defence sector, including LAS, is crucial for the strategic interests of the sector, so the industry should clearly select the particular market niches where it wants to specialize or position itself (TEDAE, 2010). Finally, the main national official programmes and strategies recently approved by Spanish Public Authorities (e.g. PIN 2020, e2i, ETID 2010, Visión 2025), which partly guide the near future evolution of the defence sector, including LAS, are briefly summarised in Annex 3. B.5.4. a) Annexes Bibliography Centre d’Estudis per a la Pau J. M. Delàs, “El Complejo Militar-Industrial. Un parásito en la economía española”, Barcelona, April 2012. Available in Internet at: http://www.centredelas.org/attachments/905_informe12_cas.pdf Cortes Generales, Diario de Sesiones del Senado, “Comparecencia del Presidente de TEDAE para informar de la actividad de dicha asociación”, Madrid, 5 November 2009. Available in Internet at: http://www.senado.es/legis9/publicaciones/pdf/senado/ds/CS0233.PDF Eurodefense España. ‘Oportunidades que ofrece la Colaboración Público Privada (CPP) en el ámbito de Defensa’, Madrid, 2008. Available in Internet at: http://eurodefense.es/eurodef/contenidos.downloadatt.action?id=6116761 GEES (Grupo de Estudios Estratégicos), ‘El Sector Industrial de Defensa ante los desafíos del Nuevo Gobierno del Partido Ppopular’, February 2012. Available in Internet at: http://www.gees.org/files/article/13032012141949_GEES_industDefensa_012012.pdf Jefe de Estado Mayor del Ejército (JEME), “Visión 2025”, Madrid, November 2009. Available in Internet at: http://www.ejercito.mde.es/Galerias/Descarga_pdf/EjercitoTierra/Noticias/2010/vision_jeme2 025.pdf Martí Sempere, Carlos, “Los retos de la Industria de Defensa en la nueva década”, Instituto Español de Estudios Estratégicos, Madrid, agosto 2011. Available in Internet at: http://www.analisisinternacional.eu/archivo/viejos/dossiers/doss37.pdf Ministry of Defence, “La cooperación industrial. Lecciones aprendidas y propuestas de futuro”, Industrial Policy Books, Madrid, June 2010. Available in Internet at: http://www.infodefensa.com/wp-content/uploads/SERIENARANJACUADERNO03ISDEFE.pdf Ministry of Defence, “Criterios Básicos para el establecimiento de la Política Industrial de Defensa”, Industrial Policy Books, Madrid, June 2010. Available in Internet at: http://www.portalcultura.mde.es/Galerias/publicaciones/fichero/Cuaderno_ISDEFE_01.pdf 187 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Ministry of Defence, “Análisis y conclusiones de las Tablas Input –Output para Defensa“, Industrial Policy Books, Madrid, June 2010. Available in Internet at: http://www.catedramercados.isdefe.es/documentacion/cpid5.pdf Ministry of Defence, “Defence Technology and Innovation Strategy ETID – 2010”, Madrid, September 2011. Available in Internet at: http://www.portalcultura.mde.es/Galerias/publicaciones/fichero/Defence_technology_2010 .pdf Real Instituto Elcano, “Propuesta para la reestructuración del Sector Industrial de la Seguridad y la Defensa (SISD) en España”, Madrid, November 2011. Available in Internet at: http://www.realinstitutoelcano.org/wps/wcm/connect/63b17d80493d596bab39bb9437ec6e 7e/DT182011_Arteaga_reestructuracion_Sector_Industrial_Seguridad_Defensa_Espana.pdf?MOD=AJP ERES&CACHEID=63b17d80493d596bab39bb9437ec6e7e Spanish Government, ‘Spanish Security Strategy’, Madrid, 2011. Available in Internet at: http://www.lamoncloa.gob.es/NR/rdonlyres/EF784340-AB29-4DFC-8A4B206339A29BED/0/SpanishSecurityStrategy.pdf TEDAE, “Informe Anual de Defensa y Seguridad”, Annual Report, Madrid, 2010. UGT (Unión General de Trabajadores), “PGE 2012. Primera Aproximación”, gabinete Técnico Confederal, Madrid, Abril 2012. Different articles and publications in newspapers and specialised magazines: http://www.cincodias.com/articulo/empresas/empresas-defensa-urgen-gobierno-impulsar-polonacional/20120403cdscdiemp_13 http://www.tecnobit.es/es/c/document_library/get_file?uuid=deffff47-b46d-4580-882316022dd6e68c&groupId=10156 http://www.revistatenea.es/Revistaatenea/RevIsta/PDF/Documentos/Documento_1055.pdf http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2012/05/25/actualidad/1337962529_671696.html • • • • b) Interviewed experts 1. Mr. Miguel Ardaiz Martínez GDELS General Dynamics - European Land Systems, Headquarters P.E. Cristalia Edificio 7/8 C/Vía de los Poblados, 3 28033 Madrid, Spain Main phone number: +34 91 585 01 52 Email: [email protected] General Email: [email protected] Website: http://www.gdels.com 2. Ms. Clara Tebar International Coordinator TEDAE (Spanish Association for Defense, Aeronautics and Space Technologies) C/ Monte Esquinza, 30 - 6º izq 28010 Madrid Main phone number: +34 91 700 17 24 Email: [email protected] General Email: [email protected] Website: http://www.tedae.org 3. Mr. Raúl Alvarez CC.OO. (Comisiones Obreras Trade Union) 188 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Defence section of the Industry Federation C/ Fernández de la Hoz nº 12, 2ª planta 28010 Madrid Main phone number: +34 91 310 41 11 Email: [email protected] Website: http://www.industria.ccoo.es/industria 4. c) Mr Juan Manuel García Montaño General Directorate of Armament and Material Spanish Ministry of Defence c/Paseo de la Castellana Nº 109 28071 Madrid Phone number: +34 91 395 55 01 e-mail: [email protected] Other relevant information that partners may want to include Table 8.1 Main National Official Programmes and Strategies Name of the Programme Brief summary Integral Industrial Policy Plan 2020 (PIN2020) The Ministry of Industry's Integral Industrial Policy Plan 2020 and the associated 2011-2015 Action Plan include all the actions provided by the Government concerning the Spanish industrial policy, and it is organised around five priorities: • Improving the competitiveness of Industry • Encouraging innovation and R&D • Encouraging growth and dynamism of SMEs • Supporting the companies' orientation to international markets • Strengthening the strategic sectors The PIN 2020 identifies the State's critical industries, where security or defence is not mentioned as a priority. In any case, the PIN2020 mentions the development of a Technology and Innovation Strategy for Defence, a contractor's code of conduct designed to protect the industrial fabric of SMEs and the creation of a state instrument, the International Defence and Security Consultancy Firm (CIDyS), to support the exports from the technological and industrial defence sector. The State Innovation Strategy (e2i) The State Innovation Strategy is the action framework to help change the production model in Spain, through the promotion and creation of structures that facilitate the best use of scientific knowledge and the technological development in Spain. The core idea 2 of this strategy, ‘Encouraging innovation from public demand’, points to the defence sector as a priority innovative market for the plans of action from public demand. Under the conditions provided in the e2i, the defence sector could access specific funding mechanisms and other benefits of innovative public procurement policies. The Strategy of Defence Technologies and Innovation (ETID 2010) The ETID is a Ministry of Defence tool to facilitate the centralisation of R&D activity management, the strategic prioritisation of technological capabilities, and the planning required for obtaining critical technologies for the national defence capability procurement plans. The ETID identifies six technology areas: • Armaments • ISTAR • Platforms • Personal protection • Protection of platforms and facilities • ICT As well as this, the ETID identifies the following challenges that must be tackled in terms of identifying, promoting and co-ordinating technological innovation: • Encouraging the participation of SMEs, universities and research centres in Defence R&T. • Optimising the coordination of the Defence R&T activity conducted within different departments of the Ministry of Defence. • Improving coordination and maximising alliances with civil R&T, promoting technological 189 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies progress through the effective pooling of efforts. Promoting open innovation and collaboration between different defence sector players. Promoting International cooperation, as an essential means to gaining access to certain latest-generation defence technologies. • Encouraging industry’s own investment in R&T. • Accelerating the transfer of R&T results to Defence systems and equipment. • Maintaining R&T&i capabilities in adverse budgetary times. To achieve this objective, aspects such as technology prioritisation, international cooperation and alliances with civil R&T are crucial. The core objectives of this first Spanish Security Strategy are: • • Spanish Security Strategy 2011 • • • to analyse the threats and risks to national security, to identify courses of action, to define coordination mechanisms. It has a scope of one decade, but it will be reviewed every five years (or when required by circumstances). The document briefly refers to the industrial and technological base associated with security and defence. In particular, it is stated that it constitutes a key element in Spain’s response capability to face threats and risks. The Armed Forces, the State Security Forces and other agents responsible for security need a reliable, competitive and autonomous supplier whose activity responds to the strategic guidelines established by the National Government. The effective application of security guidelines requires the adequate organisation of industrial and technological capabilities, as well as the mobilisation of the necessary financial and material resources. A comprehensive and crosscutting concept of security requires the inclusion in its strategic definition of the institutional authorities responsible for industrial policy, key industry players and university scientific and technological research centres. Moreover, much of the resulting technological development and innovation will find other applications that will benefit society at large. Visión 2025 by the Chief of the Armed Forces (Jefe de Estado Mayor del Ejército, ‘JEME’) (2009) This document includes key future aspects and recommendations for the Armed Forces. The document was elaborated taking into account the new context, which requires versatile Armed Forces to face new emerging threats in a globalized world (terrorism, organized crime, weapons of mass destruction, etc.), where actions are more likely to be related to peacekeeping and stabilization. Both at present and in the medium term, the soldier is considered to be the most valuable asset within the Army, and all the equipment at their disposal must meet the following principles: interoperability, security and safety, power and mobility. In addition, it will also be necessary to have more means for the detection and disposal of new threats (i.e. nuclear, bacteriological, chemical, radiological, etc.), as well as to improve telecommunication systems to increase security. On the other hand, the logistics network of the future Armed Forces should be integrated and joint. Finally, non-critical capabilities should be outsourced, so that the Armed Forces are exclusively focused on their own essential processes. 190 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Graph 8.1 Spanish military industry network with the State and Financial Groups. Source: Dèlas, 2012 B.6. SWEDEN B.6.1. a) Mapping of the Land Armament Sector (LAS) in Sweden Turnover and recent evolution in time Given the numbers published by the Swedish Security and Defence Industry (SOFF), which is the main interest group in the Swedish defence sector, the turnover of the whole Swedish defence industry sector was some SEK 49 billion (current prices). Broken down into sub-sectors the estimated turnover of the LAS is some SEK 19.6 billion. However, the information gathered during interviews with a representative from the SOFF and a trade union representative is somewhat contradicting this sum. The numbers they were giving was SEK 9.7 billion and € 750 million in 2010. However, the discrepancy can presumably be explained by the fact that the interviewees gave numbers for the major enterprises in the LAS and that the SOFF numbers are including all companies (that are members of the SOFF) in the LAS. The development of the turnover of the sector is somewhat hard to give exact numbers for. This is because that the only data compiled for the sector is done by the SOFF. That makes the data weak in two senses; one is that even if the SOFF members cover some 96 % of the turnover of the LAS the figure given is not for the whole sector, secondly SOFF have increased the number of members during the years which also makes the data hard to compare. However, and despite this, the data from the SOFF indicates that the Swedish defence industry as a whole has grown since 2004, but has been stabilised since 2008. The economic crises 2009 and the aftermaths did not affect the Swedish LAS to any great extent. The reason for this is that the product cycles in the sector are long, i.e. the companies had full order books when the crises occurred that lasted during the crises. In some cases, however, some projects might have been postponed, but that has not been assigned any significance. 191 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies b) The importance of export The Swedish LAS was to a great extent developed during the cold war due to Sweden’s neutrality that required a strong defence and a well-developed defence industry that could provide the Swedish Armed Forces with military equipment. The Swedish LAS has since the end of the cold war gone through some major changes due to shift in the Swedish military strategy away from being invasion based to be mission based. Because the current Swedish army does not require as much arms and equipment as before, the Swedish Government has in order to keep the competence that is tied to the LAS in Sweden, actively worked to enhance the Swedish LAS reputation abroad in order to stimulate the export, which has been successful. Export of Military Products and Services is important for the Swedish security and defence industry as well as for the Swedish LAS. Of the total sale of Military Products and Services export constituted some SEK 20 billion in 2010155. Of this share export for some SEK 7 billion stayed in Sweden and some SEK 13.7 billion was exported abroad. If broken down into countries and regions, it can be shown that the single biggest region for export of Military Products and Services is other European countries, counting a total of SEK 5.8 billion in 2010. Among European countries the two major importers of Swedish Military Products and Services are the UK (SEK 1.4 billion in 2010) and the Netherlands (SEK 2.1 billion in 2010). Denmark and Finland are the third and fourth biggest European importers (SEK 0.5 billion and SEK 0.43 billion respectively in 2010). The second biggest region for export is South Asia, importing Swedish Military Products and Services for some SEK 2 billion in 2010. The region has two major players, and Pakistan imported for some SEK 1.3 billion and India for some SEK 0.7 billion in 2010. The third biggest destination for export of Military Products and Services is North America. In 2010 USA imported Swedish Military Products and Services for some SEK 1.25 billion and Canada imported for some SEK 0.47 billion. South East Asian countries imported Swedish Military Products and Services for some 1.3 billion in 2010 and countries in the Middle East, Africa South of Sahara and South Africa imported for some SEK 1.1 billion in 2010 respectively. Graph B.11. Export by region 2010, SEK billion 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 5,8 2 Europe c) South Asia 1,3 South East Asia 1,72 North America 1,1 1,1 Africa South of Sahara South Africa Main companies, SMEs and ownership The main reason for change in the Swedish LAS is due to political decisions. Companies that were state owned before has been privatised and not uncommonly bought by international companies and listed on the stock exchange. However, the majority of the companies in the Swedish LAS are Swedish owned. One major company in the Swedish LAS is the SAAB Group. SAAB acquired Celsius in 2000 and Ericsson Microwave Systems in 2006, which further strengthened Saabs’ position as one of the major companies in the Swedish LAS. Today SAAB is solely traded on the stock exchange. The British based group BAE Systems is another major player in the Swedish LAS. BAE systems own the former Swedish companies Hägglunds&Söner that is specialised in military vehicles and AB Bofors that is specialised in weapon systems, 155The export numbers are not broken down into land, sea and air. However, given that the LAS constitutes some 40 % of the total sale of military products and services, the export of the LAS can be assumed to be in the magnitude of around 40 % of the total export. 192 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies now called BAE Systems Hägglunds AB and BAE Systems Bofors AB. Today both these affiliated companies are owned by the US part of BAE Systems, one of the interviewees says. A third major player is NAMMO, which is specialised in ammunition and has a joint Finnish and Norwegian ownership. However, as one of the interviewees’ states, it is hard to single out players in the LAS because many companies are involved in land, air and sea, and produce equipment that is used in all three sub-sectors. Apart from these major groups, there are a number of other companies present in the Swedish LAS. Almost all companies in the Swedish LAS are members of the trade association Swedish Security and Defence industry (SOFF). The SOFF has 61 members of which 13 are large scale companies and 48 are small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and they constitute some 96 % of the total turnover in the Swedish security and defence industry. Main companies in the Swedish LAS • • • • SAAB AB BAE Systems Hägglunds AB BAE Systems Bofors AB NAMMO AB The Swedish LAS is completely privatised and the government is only supporting it by supportive export activities. When it comes to purchases has the Swedish government the policy that it should be done in open competition, thus the sector has been opened up for competition. As described above the SOFF has some 48 SME member companies. The role that these companies have in the value chain is somewhat hard to describe, they are both suppliers (subcontractors) and are selling directly to end users. The companies that sell directly to end users are usually developing niched products. But the main parts of the SMEs are subcontractors. Furthermore, one of the interviewees estimated the number of subcontractors, apart from the SOFF members, to a number of around 1 000. Of these the majority are SME and are solely subcontractors. d) Product specialisation and R&D activities The product base in the Swedish LAS is very broad, says one of the interviewees. This is the legacy of the Swedish defence politics during the Cold war, when Sweden should be self-sustained with regard to military equipment and knowledge. Therefore it is hard to single out any product specialisation. However, of the major companies mentioned above, BAE Systems Hägglunds AB is specialised in armoured vehicles, BAE Systems Bofors AB is specialised in artillery systems and smart ammunition, SAAB AB is specialised in command systems and support weapons (e.g. anti-tank weapons and defensive weapons) and Nammo is specialised in ammunition and pyrotechnical products. Many of the companies are also involved in the production of dual use products. One of the interviewees estimates that dual use products constitute some € 150 million in 2010. One example of such dual use product is a net that easy and quickly can be used to fence off areas. Product specialisation • • • • Armoured vehicles and tanks Artillery systems and smart ammunition Ammunition and pyrotechnical products Command systems and support weapons The LAS differs from other industries in the sense that it relies on one or few major customers, usually a national government and that the product cycle is rather long, 10 to 20 years. Therefore the companies that are engaged in research and development need security of supply, i.e. long term contracts, and security of information, i.e. that no information about the products are leaked. Thus companies in the defence industry need a stable long term customer in order to develop new products. In Sweden it is the Swedish 193 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Defence Materials Administration that handles the acquisition of materials for the Swedish Armed Forces. The Swedish Defence Materials Administration does both develop materials in their own regime, as well as contracting private companies, i.e. the Swedish LAS, for the development of new techniques and products. The Swedish Defence and Materials Administration does also engage the LAS in the process of identifying what techniques and products will be needed in the future. As such the LAS is involved in the planning of governmental R&D policies regarding the defence industry. There are no official statistics published regarding the sums that the LAS is spending on R&D due to secrecy. However, even though self-financed R&D is combined with a high risk due to the long product cycle, private companies do finance R&D themselves. In contrast, the sums that the Swedish Defence Materials Administration pays companies within the LAS in order to develop certain products or techniques are published. In 2007 SEK 350 million were allocated for R&D in areas where the Swedish Defence Materials Administration does not carry out own research, and of this sum some 80 % was spent on private companies. This sum was expected to decrease to SEK 300 million in 2008. Furthermore, some SEK 100 million was spent in 2007 by the Swedish Defence Materials Administration on outsourcing the testing of the applicability of new techniques. Among the companies that acquired the largest allowances are also major actors within the Swedish LAS. Allotments of the magnitude of SEK 15-30 million was made for the development of weapon- and protection techniques, where Saab AB, BAE Systems Hägglunds and BEA Systems Bofors were main receivers. According to the information gathered during the interviews it is clear that the companies within the Swedish LAS are involved in R&D activities. All companies have their own R&D programmes. However, when it comes to major R&D programmes, i.e. the development of new system platforms, no company have the possibility to take on the financial risk themself and must be supported by governmental means. Usually the cost of R&D is jointly borne by the developer and the customer. SAAB AB is probably the company that spend most money on R&D, some 20-25 % of the total turnover. But one of the interviewees actually estimates that this number is representative for the whole LAS. The Swedish government do order specific R&D programmes, but this is altering due to a recent policy change that means that the Swedish armed forces should buy from the shelf and thereby avoiding R&D expenses. The Swedish Government has changed its policies regarding how the acquisition of defence materials should be carried out. Traditionally has the policy of self dependency regarding the supply of military materials been prominent in Sweden, and it has formed the strong Swedish LAS. Today that path is partly abandoned in favour of more market based solutions. Due to the characteristics of the military materials market, as explained earlier, this policy change can have negative consequences on the Swedish LAS, which might lose an important major customer but also funds for R&D, as already experienced. The majority of the success of the Swedish LAS today is based on products developed 10-20 years ago, and the trade association Swedish Security and Defence Industry commented the new policy as being possibly fatal for the Swedish LAS in the longer run. The Swedish Defence Materials Administration argues that R&D will still be the main driver for the future development of the Swedish LAS. They argue, however, that the LAS can benefit of being forced to seek funding from other sources than governmental. The LAS will be less vulnerable if product development projects can proceed regardless from whom the funding comes from, they argue. Furthermore, looser ties to the Swedish government will be beneficial in terms of more national and international inter-sector and cross-sector collaborations. However, as is discussed further on in the report, this positive effect is dependent on whether other European countries start to acquire military equipment in open competition or not. e) Restructuring and clusters of activity With regard to restructuring processes experienced in the sector the two interviewees give a slightly different picture of it. It is acknowledged by both of them that the Swedish defence industry has gone through a major restructuring process since the end of the 1980´s, and is still doing so. This is due to the shift in the political and economic reality that occurred with the fall of the Soviet Union. For the Swedish LAS that meant a shift in being domestically orientated to be completely export orientated. Furthermore, it led to a shift in ownership from being state owned to be completely privatised. The privatisation has also led to purchases and mergers. It is here where the picture differs. One view is that the restructuring has not led to 194 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies any major cuts in personnel, that the focus of the LAS has shifted but stayed the same size. The other view is that some major cuts in personnel have occurred. The city of Karlskoga has experienced both outsourcing and downsizing, and since 1990 the workforce have gone from 10 000 to not even 5 000. SAAB is another example where major cuts in personnel have occurred during the last decade. The companies of the Swedish LAS are spread over the country. BAE Systems Hägglund AB is based in the city of Örnsköldsvik and Nammo AB have production in various places, e.g. Karlsborg and Örebro. However, regarding the Swedish LAS the main cluster is probably around the city of Karlskoga. All of the major enterprises of the LAS are represented there as well as a large number of subcontractors says one of the interviewees. However, a few other clusters have been identified. One is around Stockholm. Another cluster has grown up around the city of Linköping and a third cluster can be identified around the city of Gothenburg. B.6.2. a) Employment issues Employment and recent evolution in time According to data from the SOFF, the total number of employees in the Swedish security defence industry has shown a growing trend since 2004. In 2004 the sector employed some 22.500, a number that kept steady until 2008 when the number drastically increased to some 30.000 employees. After a dip down to 27.000 employees in 2009, the number increased to over 30.000 in 2010. With regards to the Swedish LAS one of the interviewees estimated the number of employed to be some 3 700 persons. The other interviewee estimate the number to be between 5 000 to 6 000. But both stress that these numbers are crude estimations. Furthermore, it is estimated that twice as many are working in the subcontracting field, which gives a number of around 10 000 to 12 000 employees. How the number of employees has developed the past 10 years differ between the two interviewees. One view, held by the SOFF representative, is that the number have been fairly stable and neither moved up nor down. The other interviewee, however, had the view that the number decreased in the mid-2000s and then increased. Overall he estimated the number to have decreased during the last decade. Graph B.12. Employment in the Swedish LAS and subcontractors 5.000 10.000 Swedish LAS Subcontractors 195 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies b) Characterisation of the work force The Swedish LAS has an ageing problem. A large portion of the employees are born in the 1940s and are soon about to retire. The sector is also characterised by a need of highly skilled workers. However, the opinion held regarding if the sector has problems in attracting young and skilled workers differs. One interviewee hold the opinion that there is a general lack of young engineers and that is a problem for the Swedish LAS as well as it is for the rest of the Swedish industry. On the other hand, the other interviewee expressed the opinion that the Swedish LAS on the whole has no major problems in finding skilled workers. The reason, he thinks, is that young people are attracted by the high technical level in the sector. However, he states that it is easier for companies in bigger cities to find competent workers than companies in less attractive areas. The view held regarding training activities differs as well. One view is that training is carried out continuously in the bigger companies, but that SMEs do not have this capacity and instead hire competent workers when needed. The other view is that training does generally occur when major technical changes occur, more sporadically. However, he states that on-going training does also occur when a new technique is introduced in an old product. In conclusion, training does occur and is both ongoing and sporadic. c) Relevant issues in the social dialogue and other employment related issues In the social dialogue regarding the Swedish LAS the main questions or issues are working time, pay and gender issues. Issues regarding the working environment are rarely an issue. The Swedish defence industry is characterised by a generally good working environment. Often is the workplace clean and have a low noise level one of the interviewee states. Another employment-related issue pointed out by one of the interviewees, is that it is generally easier to fire employees in Sweden than in many other European countries. Especially in countries with a strong defence industry, such as Spain, France and Italy, can it be very expensive to fire employees. In Sweden the cost is usually just six months of term of notice. Because of this, and because of the fact that the Swedish LAS is to a great extent privately and internationally owned, there is a fear that downsizing might be preferred in Sweden. This is something that is worrying with regard to employment issues. The general consensus here is not that the politics regarding the Swedish LAS should be more protective, but that other European countries should open up their LAS and make them more market based as is the case of the Swedish LAS. B.6.3. a) Qualitative characterisation and perspectives of the sector Strengths and weaknesses The Swedish LAS has a number of strengths according to the respondents. One is that the technical level is extremely high and that the Swedish LAS has a deep knowledge in building system platforms. Within that area is the Swedish LAS one of the best in the world. Furthermore, the Swedish LAS has the capability in building cost effective products, much cheaper than similar products in other countries. Also, the Swedish LAS is good at finding practical solutions on problems; it does not always need to be high tech. For instance, innovative solutions that makes the products easy to maintain. This is the legacy of Sweden being self-sustained with regard to military products, which developed a tradition in cost effectiveness and in finding the shortest way in the development process.Another strength worth mentioning is the broad product base, which implies that the sector does not depend on one or a few products. The weaknesses of the Swedish LAS are the market and the politics. Within the EU an agreement has been made that suggested that all producers of military equipment should open up their sectors and purchases of military equipment for open competition. Sweden did implement this directly and thoroughly, whereas other European countries did not do this to the same extent. In practice, this means that the Swedish LAS sell their products in open competition and have no shortcut to the domestic market. This is, however, not 196 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies the case in other European states. The problem of not having the close tie to the domestic market (i.e. the Swedish government) is that it can have negative consequences regarding R&D, which often need a strong external co-financer (i.e. the government). Strengths • • • • b) High technical level Cost effective Focus on practical solutions Broad product base Weaknesses • • The Politics The market Opportunities and threats for the Swedish LAS As mentioned before, the solution is not to be more protective in Sweden. The Swedish LAS is dependent on exporting its goods and would not survive with just the Swedish government as the only or main customer. Therefore, the major opportunity for the Swedish LAS is to take market shares in both Europe and in emerging economies such as Brazil and India. Continuing export successes is the opportunity for the Swedish LAS to flourish. However, the Swedish LAS need more state support, however not completely, but more than today. In the selling process it is important to have an influential reference customer (i.e. a government), without that is it hard to sell products. Opportunities • • • Take market shares Continuing export successes Governmental support The main threats for a continuing success of the Swedish LAS are the lack of a Swedish defence industry strategy, the politics on EU level and the technological transfer to customers. The lack of a Swedish defence industry strategy, i.e. that the Swedish government does not articulate what R&D they will support; effectively mean that the companies do not have the guarantee that the development of the product base will be supported. When today’s products are outdated, this might be a major problem for the Swedish LAS. Other European countries with strong LAS have a domestic defence industry strategy. This is something that EU looks at when dealing with such issues, and as long as Sweden does not have one the Swedish interests will be neglected on EU level. Furthermore, because the Swedish LAS depend on a strong export, they will be disadvantaged as long as other European countries do not open up their markets for competition but protect their own industries. The third threat is that when selling goods to customers, mainly emerging major economies, they usually want to be able to learn some about the production and maintenance. This technical transfer builds up the knowledge base and in the long run the country will be able to produce the products in their own regime. If the Swedish LAS does not develop better products continuously, this will ultimately lead to the loss of customers. The main driver of the Swedish LAS is, because it is driven by market forces, the access to open markets. An opportunity for the Swedish LAS would therefore be that other European countries do the same as Sweden and open up their markets and purchases of military goods to open competition. Threats • • • Lack of a defence industry strategy Weak access to the European market Technical transfers to customers 197 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies c) Expected future development of the Swedish and European LAS The future of the Swedish LAS depends to a large extent on how the rest of the European countries act. The Swedish LAS have a couple of strengths, as described before, and is dependent on the access to export markets. One of the interviewees stated that the European LAS is characterised by over establishment and that the near future will, probably, result in mergers and knock outs, and in fewer employees in total. Whether this process will affect the Swedish LAS negatively depends on if the sector is able to gain ground in this restructuring process or not. Because the Swedish LAS have many strengths it has all possibilities to do so, but this depends on whether other European countries open up their markets for open competition or not, he states. If not it is quite possible that the Swedish LAS will be negatively affected. The other interviewee holds the same opinion. As briefly mentioned in the section before the European LAS is characterised by over establishment. For instance there are 16 producers of armoured vehicles in Europe. The interviewees both hold the opinion that the European LAS on a whole, and in the longer run, will go through major restructuring processes or will need to do so. One of the interviewees believes that the ownership pattern might change as well, towards being more privatised than today. The problem one of the interviewees sees that could prevent a further Europeanization of the sector is that companies in other countries are mainly state owned. And because the development of privatising and the opening up of the Swedish LAS and purchase policies, as happened in Sweden, have not occurred yet in the rest of Europe, this might well take long time and be complicated. d) Future demands of the sector The future demands of the Swedish LAS will, as mentioned before, be the access to export markets, not least the European market. At the same time does the Swedish LAS need the Swedish government as a reference customer, which makes it complicated. The Swedish LAS will need a Swedish defence industry strategy. It is on EU level that the rules must be set. It is important that other European countries open up their markets for competition and that Sweden does this at the same pace as the others. On the EU level it is also very important that decisions are made regarding to what content Europe should be self-sufficient in terms of military products and knowledge. This involves a consensus on how to develop new products and techniques and how R&D funding should be spent. Europe need clear rules on what will be required from the industry and how the states should support the industries. Without a strategy like this, and if the market is opened up totally, the result will be that companies will move to where production is cheapest and where competent workers can be found. This means that if Europe is not pro-active, the scenario might be that Europe loose key knowledge and realises this when it is too late. A consensus over these issues has not yet been made but it is necessary to do so. Future demands of the sector • • • • B.6.4. a) Access to export markets The opening up of the European market A defence industry strategy An EU consensus on what role the defence industry should play References Bibliography Swedish Security and Defence Industry (SOFF).Facts 2011-2012 Revised Edition. Stockholm, 2011. The SOFF is the main trade organisation for the Swedish security and defence industry. 198 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies They collect and publish data over the Swedish security and defence industry annually. More information can be found on www.soff.se. b) Skr. 2010/11:114. Strategisk Exportkontroll 2010 – krigsmateriel och produkter med dubbla användningsområden (Strategic Export Control 2010 – dual-usewar materials and equipment). Stockholm, 10 March 2011 Halabi, Annli and Stolt, Eleonora. Försvarsindustrin i Sverige (The Swedish Defence Industry). Stockholm, 10 September 2008 Interviews Jan Pie, Secretary General at the Swedish Security and Defence Industry (SOFF). Interviewed 24 May 2012. Contact info: +46 (0)8 782 08 69 Conny Holm, President of the local workers union IF Metallat Electronic Defence Systems, Saab AB, Jonkoping. Interviewed 24 May 2012. Contact info: +46 0()709 21 00 20 199 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies B.7. UNITED KINGDOM B.7.1. a) Mapping of the National LAS Macroeconomic Vision The UK is a major player in the defence and security industry not only in Europe but also globally. According to the UK Trade and Investment Defence and Security Organisation (UKTI DSO) in 2011 the UK retained its place as the world's second largest exporter of defence and security equipment. Its share of the global 156 defence market was 15% (worth £5.4bn) and put the UK behind only the US with 35%. In view of this outstanding record of export success including major platforms, weapons systems, sub-systems, and training and support packages, successive UK governments have actively supported the outward orientation of the defence industry, not least by setting up entities tasked with promoting exports all over the world. To 157 Likewise, this end, the UKTI DSO is helping UK exporters in the defence industry to win business overseas. ADS is the trade organisation advancing the UK Aerospace, Defence, Security and Space industries, both 158 domestically and globally. According to ADS, the UK defence industry represents 10% of its high technology manufacturing, employs 159 According to UNITE, the over 300,000 people and generates over £35bn per year to the UK economy. 160 aerospace and defence industry supports over 220,000 indirectly. The most recent data available show that, in 2010, the UK defence industry directly employed 109,675 people, including 25,400 graduates and 161 engineers, and 2,700 apprentices and trainees. Overall, the sector directly and indirectly supports 162 314,000 jobs. The national LAS should be seen within this context, although according to our informants, its manufacturing base has not been as important as that of the air, including aerospace, and navy/shipping. For example, as will be shown later, overall it employs fewer than 14,000 people. In line with a wider decline in British manufacturing following a period of short-term, boom and bust investment strategy between the 1970s and the 1990s, the LAS, especially the armoured vehicles sector, has been in a state of decline for some time. According to UNITE, 15 years ago this sector employed 10,00015,000, while it now employs 2,000-3,000 with bleak prospects for the future (see below). On the other hand, the weapons and munitions sectors are in a relatively stable and healthy state employing about 10,000, i.e. the majority of the LAS-related workforce. It is worth mentioning here that both industry and trade unions have consistently raised serious concerns about the employment and skills implications of this long-standing manufacturing decline, not least by highlighting the grave risk of losing cutting edge capabilities, e.g. in design, systems engineering both in terms of advanced manufacturing industrial base and related skills, etc. It has been argued that once such high level skills are lost, it will be very difficult for the UK to remain at the forefront of defence-related innovation. Responding to such concerns, following the 1998 Strategic Defence Review and the 2002 Defence Industrial Policy the then Labour government launched its Defence Industrial Strategy (DIS) in December 156 UKTI Defence & Security Organisation, (2012). UK Defence and Security Exports for 2011, 26.4.2012, http://www.ukti.gov.uk/defencesecurity/item/300340.html 157 http://www.ukti.gov.uk/defencesecurity.html?guid=none 158 It is formed from the merger of the Association of Police and Public Security Suppliers (APPSS), the Defence Manufacturers Association (DMA) and the Society of British Aerospace Companies (SBAC). It represents some 900 companies, including about 700 SMEs, in the defence industry, http://www.adsgroup.org.uk/ 159 http://www.adsgroup.org.uk/pages/48690432.asp 160 UNITE, (2011). Unite Response to Ministry of Defence Consultation Equipment, Support and Technology for UK Defence and Security, 10.2.2011, http://www.epolitix.com/fileadmin/epolitix/stakeholders/Unite_response_to_MoD_consultation_final.pdf 161 ADS, (2011a). UK Defence Survey 2011, 12.9.2011, http://www.adsgroup.org.uk/articles/25279 162 Ibid. 200 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies 163 164 2005. , As a result, during the 2000s the UK defence industry experienced a period of strategic investment and stability, not least thanks to the DIS which encouraged inward investment into the UK economy at a level which was unprecedented. The 2005 DIS was the last Defence Industrial Strategy published in the UK, while the current government has refused to produce one as such despite repeated calls from the industry. Indeed, in early May 2012, the President of the defence industry’s trade body ADS called for a new long-term Defence Industrial Strategy. This is deemed crucial in order to stop the UK becoming too dependent on imported equipment and to allow companies to plan ahead and develop new products. The argument here is that, contrary to the current UK policy thinking, defence is not a ‘truly’ global market. Instead, there are a series of national markets, all protected by their national governments to a greater or 165 lesser extent and with controls on cross-border technology transfer. In the absence of a new DIS, the latest relevant policy development is the government’s White Paper National Security Through Technology, which the UK’s Ministry of Defence (MoD) launched on 1st February 166 167 2012 following its 2011 Green Paper on the same subject. , This long-awaited White Paper sets out the government’s plans to prioritise investment in science and technology to support the UK’s defence and security industry, including the LAS, through state-of-the-art technology, equipment and support. Until the next strategic defence and security review (SDSR) in 2015, it will serve as the public procurement guide for the government, including the MoD, on how best to invest its £150bn defence equipment budget over the next 10 years. Crucially, it is just one of the raft of reforms aimed at controlling spiralling defence costs and, as such, has clear implications about the domestic defence industry, including the LAS. For example, as a result of the fact that the Paper adopts the open procurement principle as the chosen method for maximising value for money (VFM), British companies will no longer have priority for MoD/government contracts. This continues the policy shift which started much earlier and which represented a major departure from the UK government's traditional policy which has been to maintain a British defence/arms industry onshore to give itself 'military freedom’. One of the reasons behind this change is the recognition by the UK government that with a globalised defence/arms industry, the argument for maintaining manufacturing factories in Britain was weakening (see below). In addition, the 2012 White Paper stipulates that the UK will, where appropriate, buy off-the-shelf (COTS) in both the domestic and international market, again continuing an existing trend. Although as will be shown later, some aspects of the White Paper, e.g. the shift away from bespoke towards off-the shelf equipment and open procurement, have been strongly criticised by both unions and UK companies, it has also been argued that its direction is consistent with the Defence Procurement Directive (implemented in the UK by the Defence and Security Public Contracts Regulations 2011). In both cases, the message (whether imposed on the MoD or chosen by it) is that, in these economically straightened times, the new order is for open, leaner, better competitive procurement seeking less ‘tailored’ products with specifications set from the start and with less/no bias towards UK sourcing. Another key policy development with clear and important business and employment implications for the defence industry in general and the LAS in particular is the Government’s 2010 Strategic Defence Security Review (2010 SDSR) (see Box B.1 in B.1.4.b) for a detailed breakdown of cuts). The 2010 SDSR also established Future Force 2020 which is the planned future structure for the British Armed Forces (and related 163 Ministry of Defence, (2005). Defence Industrial Strategy, Defence White Paper, December, http://www.mod.uk/nr/rdonlyres/f530ed6c-f80c-4f24-8438-0b587cc4bf4d/0/def_industrial_strategy_wp_cm6697.pdf 164 Ministry of Defence, (2002). The Ministry of Defence Policy Paper No. 5 Defence Industrial Policy, http://www.mod.uk/NR/rdonlyres/25726BCE-8DD6-4273-BE8D-6960738BEE0A/0/polpaper5_defence_industrial.pdf 165 Marschall, D., (2012). ‘The UK needs a Defence Industrial Strategy for 2020 and beyond’, Defence Management.com, 2.5.2012, http://www.defencemanagement.com/feature_story.asp?id=19730 166 Ministry of Defence, (2012). National Security Through Technology - Technology, Equipment, and Support for UK Defence and Security, 1.2.2012, http://www.mod.uk/NR/rdonlyres/4EA96021-0B99-43C0-B65ECDF3A9EEF2E9/0/cm8278.pdf 167 Ministry of Defence, (2011). Equipment, Support and Technology for UK Defence and Security: A Consultation Paper, http://www.mod.uk/NR/rdonlyres/F4ACE80C-BFD7-463D-99A6-2B46098BB0C4/0/cm7989_Eqpt_supp_tech_ukdef.pdf 201 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies 168 equipment requirements). With particular reference to land forces and their equipment/capabilities needs, Future Force 2020 foresees the following: i) a new range of medium weight armoured vehicles, including Terrier engineer vehicles and the Scout reconnaissance vehicles and in due course the Future Rapid Effects System Utility Vehicle (FRES UV) which will be the core of the Army’s armoured manoeuvre fleet; ii) heavily armoured vehicles, including Warrior infantry fighting vehicle, AS90 artillery and Titan and Trojan engineer vehicles and Challenger tanks, in smaller numbers than now but sufficient to conduct operations in high-threat situations. Significantly, the plan is to reduce the holdings of Challenger 2 main battle tanks by around 40% as well as heavy artillery (AS90 armoured artillery vehicles) by around 35%. The reason is that precision ammunition allows one to strike targets with one round rather than using tens of unguided rounds iii) protected support vehicles, replacing unprotected versions that are no longer suitable, to move logistic supplies around the battlefield; iv) precision Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System (GMLRS) rockets which can strike targets up to 70 km away, and Loitering Munitions able to circle over a battlefield for many hours ready for fleeting or opportunity targets; v) a range of ISTAR capabilities including: Watchkeeper unmanned aerial vehicles; man-portable and vehicle-fitted electronic warfare equipment; deployable surveillance to protect forward operating bases; and a force protection system to protect against indirect fire such as artillery and mortars; vi) a range of capabilities to counter explosive ordnance and IEDs The shift in defence policy and equipment procurement focus presented above has clear implications for the defence industry, including the LAS. In addition, the 2005 DIS had set out the government’s vision for the defence industry and its sub-sectors. In particular, although it sought to maintain operational sovereignty it also shifted the emphasis on capabilities, i.e. the know-how for certain 'critical' military technologies, such as submarine manufacturing. Armoured Vehicles Building on the principles of the DIS, in June 2009 the former government launched its Armoured Fighting 169 This is one of five Sector Strategies which was put together for the Land Vehicles (AFV) Sector Strategy. Systems Sector and describes, inter alia, how the MoD will engage with an appropriately shaped industrial sector in order to support the delivery of current and future AFV capability. Crucially, in contrast to prevailing practice until then, it adopted as the default approach that the UK will operate as an ‘intelligent’ customer in the global AFV market, especially within the EU and NATO. In other words, it accepted that it was not necessary to retain industrial capabilities in the UK in order to achieve appropriate operational sovereignty. In meeting their operational sovereignty needs, the UK Armed Forces will first look to the open market, and only if that market is not appropriate, will they secure AFV-related capability within the UK and, if necessary, within government itself. The strategy does not entail the retention of an armoured vehicle production capability in the UK, but it states that domestic industry must be able to modify armoured vehicles to meet their needs. According to the strategy, competition should be exploited where it is the most appropriate mechanism, but where a viable competition cannot be established, and then the British Armed Forces will seek VFM through the establishment of long-term partnering arrangements. 168 HM Government, (2010). Securing Britain in an Age of Uncertainty – Strategic Defence Security Review, 19.10.2010, http://www.direct.gov.uk/prod_consum_dg/groups/dg_digitalassets/@dg/@en/documents/digitalasset/dg_191634.pdf 169 Ministry of Defence, (2009). Armoured Fighting Vehicles (AFV) Sector Strategy, 23.6.2009, http://www.mod.uk/NR/rdonlyres/993C6B2A-B028-4612-8B6E-451E0C2554AD/0/afvsectorstrategy.pdf 202 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies The AFV strategy recognises two key activities for the UK’s ability to maintain and operate its AFV fleet: (i) the ability to understand and manage the structural integrity of the vehicles; and (ii) the ability to repair and regenerate battle damaged or operationally time-expired vehicles onshore. Crucially, the DIS stated that there is no absolute requirement to manufacture all of the constituent parts of an AFV in the UK, although it recognised the need to retain an onshore (UK) capability to repair and overhaul AFVs (both for routine maintenance and in response to operational needs). This has clear implications for the remaining manufacturing base in the UK which has been on a declining path for some time. Weapons and Munitions The weapons and munitions sector is quite strong in the UK, employing about 10,000 half of whom, according to UNITE, work for BAE Systems. However, the picture is one of stability rather than impressive growth, at least as far as manufacturing is concerned. Moreover, as our informants underlined, the rather small size of the domestic market requires rather small quantities of arms which, in turn, means that relevant players will increasingly tend to be arms suppliers (as opposed to arms manufacturers). For example, the Future Force 2020 foresees the restructuring of the army around five multi-role brigades, while as a result of the 2010 SDSR the army will have to cut up to 12,000 from its current 101,300 personnel. As the 2005 DIS made clear, the retention of all aspects of bulk explosives manufacture was not considered to be necessary, with the exception of Polymer Bonded Explosives (PBX) manufacture and casting which should be retained. The strategy also sought to retain a substantive and flexible fill, assemble and pack capability onshore as well as a specialist steels and forging capability. It also exhorts industry to ensure strong supply chain management to support surge manufacturing and assure concurrent surge production across the required range of munitions, especially within the context of a reduced onshore production capability. It also sees as essential to retain onshore (i.e. in the UK) the design authority (DA) role and its underpinning capability for munitions manufactured in the country. The major influence on future general munitions programmes is the UK’s policy on Insensitive Munitions (IM) which are munitions incorporating a number of design techniques aimed at reducing munition vulnerability, and minimising the potential collateral damage. The strategy is clear that the UK should retain its IM and related energetic materials capability, not least because the country is a proven world leader in IM and such materials such as Polymer Bonded Explosives (PBX) and Low Vulnerability (LOVA) propellants. According to our informants, one key factor for the sector’s stability lies in the MoD’s long-term defence contracting practices in the areas of both basic/general munitions and complex weapons (e.g. missiles, torpedoes, etc.). For example, in August 2008 the MoD launched the Munitions Acquisition Supply Solution (MASS) programme, which is a 15-year programme of at least £2+bn with the explicit aim to secure national supply needs from British sources, namely BAE Systems Global Combat Munitions. To this end, MASS will supply about 80% of the general munitions consumed by British Armed Forces for both training and 170 The set of munitions is very wide, encompassing small arms (5.56 mm and 7.62 mm) front-line operations. and medium-calibre ammunition, mortar bombs (81 mm), tank ammunition (120 mm), artillery shells (105 171 mm and 155 mm), and naval gun shells. The implications for key players in the sector such as BAE Systems Global Combat Munitions are clear. For example, the MASS which is a long-term partnering agreement between MoD and BAE Systems, requires the MoD to pay a strategic capability charge of £100m per year to cover most of BAE’s overhead and retain munitions capabilities in the UK. In return, the MoD purchases ammunition at prices fixed for five years at a time, although the company must guarantee it will reduce cost annually. Under the MASS deal, the MoD signals its ammunition requirements three years ahead. Therefore, the company can plan in 170 http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/MASS-for-Effect-The-UKs-Long-Term-Ammo-Contract-05047/ 171 King, B. (ed.), (2010). Surveying Europe’s Production and Procurement of Small Arms and Light Weapons Ammunition, A Working Paper of the Small Arms Survey, July, http://www.smallarmssurvey.org/fileadmin/docs/F-Working-papers/SASWP10-European-Ammunition.pdf 203 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies advance how much spare capacity it has available for other customers. Thanks to this stability, according to BAE Systems some 1,700 jobs will be directly sustained by MASS, including 230 specialist munitions engineer posts. Indeed, during the last few years, the company has stepped up production of small arms munitions in particular. For example, with production growth of 300% BAE Systems’ Radway Green factory is producing 1,000,000 rounds of ammunition a day. BAE systems has committed to new investment of over £120m in order to improve its munitions factories, making them safer, more automated, and more energy-efficient. BAE Systems now has factories at Glascoed in Monmouthshire, South Wales; Radway Green in Cheshire, 172 Crewe; and Birtley in County Durham. Another reason for the relatively health of this market are the wars of Iraq (now ended) and Afghanistan, which generated extra demand for all types of ammunition. For example, according to BAE Systems, 173 However, with the end of volumes of 81mm mortars and small arms more than doubled in recent years. the Afghanistan operations in sight and the 2010 SDSR-initiated defence budget cuts, the market is not expected to grow at least domestically, which means an even stronger export orientation. Significantly, BAE can already see that the MoD’s projected take for 2013 and 2014 will be down from previous levels. In a same vein, other munitions such as the 120mm tank shell, have not fared well, not least because of the drastic cut of the number of Challenger 2 tanks. Similarly, large-calibre ammunition production will likely never recover as the UK begins reducing equipment levels for the Challenger, AS90 155mm howitzer and other programmes. As was underlined, this production decline is being driven more by capability and manning cutbacks as a result of the 2010 SDSR. Overall, it has now become clear that by 2020 the quantities of munitions purchased by MoD will have fallen further below 2013 levels. As a result, it is expected that by then the MASS deal could stop being just a production agreement. Indeed, the MoD is beginning to explore whether industry might have a role in providing a more cost-efficient service by maintaining, storing, transporting and disposing of ammunition. The overall assessment is that, contrary to that of the armoured vehicles manufacturing which has experienced a steady decline over the last 20 years, the manufacturing of munitions is expected to be stable and even experience a slight growth. In relation to arms manufacturing, the 2005 DIS also focused on complex weapons such as missiles and torpedoes deemed to have superior battle winning precision 174 The UK has over the past 15 years made a significant investment effects at a reduced level of asset use. in the upgrade and development of complex weapons. Indeed, according to our informants, the UK has a strong track record in complex weapons and growing exports to sophisticated defence markets such as Saudi Arabia and Brazil. The strategy reiterated the desire to maintain the UK’s ability to design, develop, assemble, support and upgrade complex weapons. To this end, it accepted the need to retain onshore the relevant knowledge and experience so that the UK could act independently. This, in turn, means that the UK needs a critical mass of expertise to develop complex weapons concepts through synthetic environments and the ability to design and integrate the weapon with platforms and sensors. Linked to this is the need for both expert knowledge of the conventional and novel warhead and the ability to design the safety and arming functions of such weapons to be retained in the UK industrial base. That said, the 2005 DIS also stated that unless the UK industry could restructure so that it delivered costeffective solutions, the onshore production capability would have to be reviewed, although it also stressed 172 Defence Equipment and Support/De&S (2011). ‘Ammunition Supplies – The Successes mount up’, desider, Issue 31, March, http://www.mod.uk/NR/rdonlyres/600F12CC-DC3A-4F2B-93E8EBAE2D885290/0/20110228desider34_March2011U.pdf 173 http://www.defensenews.com/article/20120325/DEFFEAT02/303250004/BAE-Expand-Exports-Products 174 Complex weapons are defined as strategic and tactical weapons reliant upon guidance systems to achieve precision effects. Tactical complex weapons fall largely into five categories: Air-to-Air; Air Defence; Air to Surface, AntiShip/Submarine (including Torpedoes); and Surface to Surface. 204 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies that the UK government would continue to pursue operational sovereignty for certain heavy weapons such as in-service torpedoes. As far as future torpedoes were concerned, the government did not require a sovereign capability onshore to completely systems engineer them, though it did require the capability to engineer and integrate the algorithms and homing heads. In addition to the above, there is also a long-standing and well-established manufacturing base around other types of weapons, including shotguns, airguns, rifles, sporting and hunting arms, etc. However, due to the UK's severely restrictive laws regarding gun ownership, including sporting arms, there is only a small 175 That said, its products are seen as of high quality worldcommercial market for such arms within the UK. wide and is quite active in promoting overseas sales. For example, the Birmingham Small Arms Company, which was founded in 1861 and bought in 1986 by Gamo, the Spanish airgun manufacturer, maintains now under the name Birmingham Small Arms Company Guns Ltd (BSA Guns Ltd), a steady flow of air rifles, 176 Similarly, James Purdey & Sons established in hunting rifles and sporting guns to most parts of the world. 1814 produce custom-made, largely by hand rifles, both double-barrelled and bolt-action and shot177 guns. Likewise Holland & Holland, founded in 1835, has been manufacturing rifles and shotguns for over 178 150 years. On the other hand, founded in 1790, Webley & Scott have manufactured firearms (shotguns 179 and airguns) for more than 220 years. Because of the ‘artisanal’, crafts-based nature of production work, many of these manufacturers tend to be SMEs, e.g. Holland & Holland employs about 60 staff. A list of UK firearms manufacturers can be found in Table B.23 in B.2.4.c). Impact of Crisis and effects of Current National Defence Budget Cuts Exports excluded, the domestic prospects of the LAS are uncertain, not least because of the 2010 SDSR which initiated significant cuts in the UK defence budget across the Armed Forces (Royal Navy, British Army and Royal Air Force). As a result of the 2010 SDSR the MoD will face a cut of around 8% in its budget. However, when the MoD’s current 38bn budget deficit is taken into account, the actual funding decrease will translate to a cut of around 10% over the next four years. These cuts have obvious implications for the LAS sector. For example, as mentioned earlier, the SDSR initiated significant MBT tank and heavy artillery reductions, i.e. the holdings of Challenger 2 main battle tanks will be reduced by around 40% and heavy artillery (AS90 armoured artillery vehicles) by around 35%. According to some of our informants, the Army agreed to such reductions in its heavy artillery and tanks because they are largely seen as weapons of the Cold War. In addition, the SDSR called for a reduction of both military and civilian manpower. For example, the numbers of serving personnel should be reduced by 22,000 by 2015 (currently the total number of UK’s regular forces stands at 176,810, of whom 108,800 are in 180 This drop in manpower levels will entail reductions in the required equipment and soldier kit, the army). including weapons and ammunition. The likely negative impact of the SDSR cuts on the volume of new orders in the LAS already started to manifest itself. For example, according to recent media reports, BAE Systems is considering moving more of its defence equipment business overseas as it attempts to offset 181 extensive cuts in defence spending in both the UK and the US, its two main markets. Moreover, the official defence industry view is gloomy. For example, according to Robin Southwell, the new ADS president, the defence industry is at best flat-lining, while the current cuts combined with the offthe-shelf purchasing approach of the British government does not augur well for either the domestic 175 For a list of gun manufacturers please see: UK Gun Trade Association, http://www.gtaltd.co.uk/ 176 http://www.bsaguns.co.uk/ 177 http://www.purdey.com/ 178 http://www.hollandandholland.com/ 179 http://webley.co.uk/ 180 http://www.armedforces.co.uk/mod/listings/l0003.html 181 Daily Telegraph, (2012). BAE Systems may shift Expertise overseas, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/defence/9077806/BAE-Systems-may-shift-expertise-overseas.html 12/2/2012, 205 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies 182 market prospects and/or exports. As he explained, UK defence manufacturers need British government contracts to develop products, while foreign states want to see that UK manufacturers, and their products, are trusted by their domestic government before they buy them. Added to this is the fact that, in the face of austerity drives and budget cuts in a number of other countries, export-related competition has intensified with expanding markets, particularly in the Middle East and Asia, being swamped by UK competitors also looking for an escape from their shrinking domestic markets. It is worth mentioning here bilateral arrangements such as the Anglo-French Defence Co-Operation Treaty, announced on 2 November 2010 which promotes collaboration in a range of activities from military operations to equipment acquisition as both the MoD and the French Ministère de la Défense work through the 183 184 rounds of budget cuts instigated two years ago. , Apart from the SDSR, another major determinant factor for the future of the LAS is the UK’s military involvement in Afghanistan which is coming to an end in 2015 and which will mean a drop in the cost of operations and required equipment. For example, it is estimated that as a result of the withdrawal from Afghani185 As has been reported, accelerated ‘transition’ in stan, the MoD will spend £2.4bn less than planned. Afghanistan will start to manifest itself in rationalising in-theatre equipment and logistic support and an increase in logistic movement as military materiel is redeployed. As a result, the next few years will see an enhanced tempo of equipment refurbishment/upgrading and capability enhancement (as opposed to production). For example, in October 2011 the MoD launched its Warrior Capability Sustainment Programme (WCSP) which will extend the tanks’ service life to beyond 2040. However, both the extent of such redeployment and its effect on industry has yet to be quantified, although the trend towards transforma186 tion programmes aimed at preserving capability at lower cost is set to continue. b) Groups and Enterprises As mentioned earlier the defence industry is an important industrial sector for the UK economy, representing 10% of UK high technology manufacturing and comprising about 9,000 defence companies, including a large number of SMEs. The industry as a whole employs over 300,000 people and generates over £35 billion per year to the UK economy. However, as will be shown later, the actual employment levels of the LAS-related manufacturing is quite modest (13,000-15,000) and in some sectors, notably the manufacturing of armoured vehicles, in decline. As mentioned in other sections (e.g. mergers and acquisitions) over the last 20 years the defence industry, including the LAS, has been subject to major consolidation (and privatisation which had however started earlier). With particular reference to the LAS, and in particular its UK-based manufacturing aspect, this consolidation is not uniform and shows some variation. For example, according to both our informants and 187 dominates the maravailable documentation, in the manufacturing of armoured vehicles BAE Systems ket. In 2010, it was the second largest global defence supplier, just after the US firm Lockheed Martin, while it is Europe's largest defence contractor. 182 The Observer, (2012). UK Defence Firms fear Austerity Drive will shoot down Export Revival, 15/4/2012, http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2012/apr/15/uk-defence-firms-export-fears 183 HM Government, (2010). Op.Cit. 184 http://www.mod.uk/DefenceInternet/DefenceNews/DefencePolicyAndBusiness/UkfranceDefenceCooperationTreatyAn nounced.htm 185 http://www.trust.org/alertnet/news/uk-afghan-pullout-to-save-24-bln-pounds-by-2015/ 186 PriceWaterhouseCoopers, (2012). Aerospace & Defence - 2011 Year in Review and 2012 Forecast, http://www.pwc.com/en_GX/gx/aerospace-defence/assets/aerospace-and-defence.pdf 187 http://www.baesystems.com/ 206 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies In general, at present, the UK manufactures a broad range of defence equipment, with the sector being dominated by BAE Systems, which manufactures civil and defence aerospace, land (e.g. Challenger tanks) and marine equipment. BAE, which is a typical example of a prime contractor, produces weapons systems in nearly every major military category, including aircraft, defense electronics, military vehicles, naval vessels, artillery, missiles, and small arms/ammunition. For example, according to the 2005 DIS, BAE Systems had supplied 95% of the UK’s current AFV and was the only onshore (UK) engineer of systems. This reflects, in turn, not only the dominant position of BAE Systems which some argued plays the role of the national champion, but also the high concentration of knowledge relating to the existing AFV. Similarly, in the general munitions sector, BAE Systems has the vast majority of the existing business, although there remain some niche capabilities both in the UK and abroad (see below). World-wide, it employs about 90,000 staff, of whom approximately 40,000 are based in the UK. Indeed, BAE Systems is the UK’s largest manufacturing employer and employer of professional engineers, employing 18,000 engineers. 188 In addition, it further supports 125,000 jobs either directly or through supply chains. As a company, BAE Systems operates globally, with particular strong presence in the UK, the US, Sweden and South Africa. For example, the Viking BVS10 All Terrain Vehicle (Protected) ATV(P) which is the third generation of articulated vehicles currently used by the British army, is produced by BAE Systems Hagglunds of Sweden, which specialises in the production of amphibious vehicles. BAE Systems makes 20% of its turnover producing a range of weapons from tanks to submarines in the UK, with the remaining coming from its global operations, notably the US. The company has a major U.S. subsidiary, BAE Systems, Inc., which by itself would be the seventh largest weapons manufacturer in the world. According to our informants, although there is a web of inter-connections and holding companies within the global BAE Systems group, the ownership is British, including its CEO and most of the Board. However, the reporting lines are quite complicated. Specifically, according to UNITE both the UK operations and the Systems Land Systems Hagglunds in Sweden report to the South African arm of BAE Systems which in turn reports to the US arm. BAE Systems global operations exemplify the fact that UK-based firms have, tradi189 tionally, had growing operations outside the UK industrial base. The particular division of BAE Systems which deals with the LAS is BAE Systems Land and Armament, whose headquarters are in Arlington, Virginia but which has significant operations in the UK, South Africa, Sweden and North America (see Geographical Spread below for a detailed breakdown of UK sites). Overall, according to BAE Systems Land and Armament data, it employs about 15,000, 3,000 of whom in the UK. Its Global Combat Systems sites in the UK combine the capabilities of four business units: GCS Munitions, GCS Vehicles Programmes, GCS Vehicles Support Services and GCS Weapons. Interestingly, according to SIPRI, as of 2008 Britain has become the world’s leading developer of arms mainly thanks to increased sales by BAE Systems’ subsidiaries in the US, which account for more than half of its business. Specifically, in 2008 sales of BAE's Land and Armaments group in the US almost doubled, from $7bn to $12bn, mainly because the Pentagon bought its mine-resistant, ambush-protected (MRAP) vehicles for the wars in Afghanistan 190 and Iraq. The above discussion notwithstanding, it is worth noting a relatively recent development which was a severe blow to BAE Systems. Specifically, after a contentious and acrimonious bidding process, the MoD has awarded the first phase of a £4bn contract to build the British Army’s next generation of tanks (Future Rapid Effect System/FRES) to the UK subsidiary of the US company General Dynamics.191,192 As a result, BAE 188 Heidenkamp, H., Louth, J., and Taylor, T., (2011). The Defence Industrial Ecosystem - Delivering Security in an Uncertain World, RUSI, Whitehall Report 2-2011, http://www.rusi.org/downloads/assets/WHR_2-11.pdf 189 Ministry of Defence, (2002). Op.Cit. 190 The Guardian, (2010). BAE tops global List of largest Arms Manufacturers, 12/4/2010, http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/apr/12/bae-systems-weapons-arms-manufacturers 191 BBC, (2010). General Dynamics beats BAE to win UK Tank-making Deal, 22.3.2010, http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8580266.stm 192 http://www.generaldynamics.uk.com/ 207 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Systems announced the closure of its Leicester and Leeds sites, while it was also thought that this development threatened the future of the firm's factory in Newcastle, involving the possible further loss of 600 jobs. General Dynamics UK Limited won the contract for an initial order of 580 vehicles on the proviso that 80% of the manufacture will be completed in the UK, with 70 per cent of the supply chain made up of UKbased companies. This contract is expected to create 200 new jobs at the company's plant in Newbridge, South Wales, while a further 250 existing jobs will also be safeguarded there. According to our informants, General Dynamics UK Limited is another important player in the armoured vehicle manufacturing in the UK. It appears that the BAE Systems and General Dynamics are the two main companies in this sector. This highlights the fact that the UK domestic LAS is quite open to foreign companies which usually set up subsidiaries or wholly independent entities in the country. This opening up of the sector to non-UK companies signifies a major paradigm shift in the UK LAS strategy, which until the end of the Cold War, was characterised by a strong focus on national self-sufficiency. For example, the French company Thales is the 193 According to UK’s second largest defence electronics supplier, employing approximately 8,000 people. 194 195 our informants, Thales is along with MBDA (UK) Ltd , Roxel , QinetiQ196, and BAE Systems among the main players in the UK complex weapons industry which includes missiles, torpedoes and energy weapons. This is confirmed by the 2005 DIS according to which Thales is the prime contractor for high velocity missiles. This opening-up of UK borders to foreign companies is also seen as the result of the defence industry’s internationalisation which has blurred the definition of what comprises the UK defence industry. This, in turn, means that an increasing number of companies with foreign parentage now have British boards and 197 workforces. As mentioned above, BAE Systems also predominates in the general munitions market, being the recipient of 80% of MoD’s total spend. Indeed, since 1987 when BAE Systems bought Royal Ordnance, it acquired most of the factories which manufactured explosives and ammunition for the British Armed Forces. According to the latest (2005) available data, 92% of the remaining spend goes to 12 other contractors (for a detailed list see Table B.23 in B.2.4.c)). Apart from the private sector companies involved in the LAS, it is worth mentioning here the MoD’s De198 This is a wholly-owned UK Government Trading Fund established to support fence Support Group (DSG). the Armed Forces and deliver wider defence objectives in support of key industrial strategy requirements and to be integral in future defence air and land systems acquisition and support solutions. The DSG's mission is to provide expert in-house maintenance, repair, overhaul, upgrade and support services for the UK Armed Forces' air and land systems. It was launched on 1 April 2008 following the merger of the Army Base Repair Organisation (ABRO) and the Defence Aviation Repair Agency (DARA) and its four main DSG business streams cover Armoured Vehicles, Land and B (unarmoured or ‘soft’) Vehicles, Large Aircraft and Electronics and Components. Because of the extensive LAS-related skills and knowledge among the DSG personnel, private sector companies, eg BAE Systems, Lockheed Martin, General Dynamics, etc., subcontract a considerable amount of repair and/or upgrading work to DSG. For example, it is involved in the £1bn WCSP targeted at Warrior upgrading as part of a 13-firm consortium led by Lockheed Martin UK 199 The important role of DSG in LAS-related repair and which was awarded the contract in October 2011. upgrading work was also confirmed by our informants. Our informants also discussed briefly the role of PFI in the LAS, especially since it has been used by the MoD for ‘support’ equipment such earthmoving bulldozers and cranes. Specifically, the 15-year C Vehicle PFI refers to the C Vehicle fleet which comprises earthmoving plant, Engineer Construction Plant (ECP) and 193 http://www.thalesgroup.com/Countries/United_Kingdom/UK_Home/ 194 http://www.mbda-systems.com 195 http://www.roxelgroup.com/ 196 http://www.qinetiq.com/ 197 Ministry of Defence, (2002). Op.Cit. 198 http://www.dsg.mod.uk/ 199 http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/WCSP-Britains-Warriors-to-Undergo-Mid-Life-Upgrade-05967/ 208 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies 200 rough terrain Materials Handling Equipment (MHE) in use across defence. In line with the PFI principles, the MoD does not own but can make use of 2,500 pieces of equipment, of 163 types, capable of undertaking a wide range of combat support, logistic and construction tasks all over the world as part of the Support Solutions Envelope (SSE). When the equipment is no longer required it is handed back to ALC, the 201 Such arrangements aim to promote maximum use of onshore industry in cost-effective Service Provider. service support. Mergers and Acquisitions The main characteristic of the UK AFV Industry in the past 20 years has been its rapid consolidation - from five or more prime companies (GKN Defence, Alvis, Vickers Defence Systems, RO Defence, Marconi Defence Systems etc) to one, BAE Systems Land Systems. Drivers for this consolidation include: low profit margins; the significant number of UK national programmes that have not reached product maturity leading to gaps in work load; a lack of competitive export products; a decline in the global export market following the end of the Cold War; and changes in national defence requirements and priorities. To this one can add the fact that BAE Systems purchased Alvis so that General Dynamics, one of its main US competitors could not do so. There were three waves of activity in the evolution of BAE System’s defence activities. First, was the consolidation in 1977–87 of the British companies which made up British Aerospace. Second, there were the acquisitions of European defence interests and of Marconi’s defence business in the late 1990s. Finally, the focus moved to acquisitions of US companies. In this phase the change in name to BAE Systems reflected 202 the company’s aim of internationalization and its intention to enter the US market. Thales which, albeit French, is a strong player in the UK, has a slightly different trajectory as regards mergers and acquisitions. According to SIPRI, it embarked upon a short wave of acquisitions in the early 1990s and a major wave of acquisitions across the world in the late 1990s. Following the acquisition of the British company Racal, the company’s name was changed from Thomson CSF to Thales in 2000. Interestingly, with this acquisition, Thales became the second largest contractor to the MoD (after BAE Systems). In general, it is thought that the AVF industrial model (as well as the typical defence industry model) used to be based on a largely transactional relationship supported by traditional post-design service support between the Government and industry, i.e. the companies supplied the equipment to the government which was responsible for maintaining it. This, as a result of the 2005 DIS which adopted the concept of through life capability management (TLCM) according to which contractors are responsible both for the supply of the equipment and its maintenance throughout its operational life. In contrast, the general munitions marketplace is highly fragmented and cannot be termed a free market. The last 15 years have seen the pressure of globalisation, the collapse of the Far East market for munitions, etc. This has resulted in declining volume of requirements, falling R&D funding, considerable industrial consolidation and loss of domestic competition. As mentioned above, 80% of MoD’s spend goes to BAE Systems which under the Framework Partnering Agreement (FPA) supplies the majority of the MoD’s repeat buys of existing general munitions. The remaining 20% is subject to healthy competition and either covers niche capabilities and/or low volume products, or simply provides better VFM. According to our informants, apart from BAE Systems, few other companies are important players in the 203 general munitions market are MBDA (UK) Ltd, Thales, Chemring , etc. In the area of complex weapons 200 Ministry of Defence/MoD, (2008). British Army – Vehicles and http://www.army.mod.uk/documents/general/285986_ARMY_VEHICLESEQUIPMENT_V12.PDF_web.pdf 201 http://www.alcvehicles.com/index.php 202 http://www.sipri.org/research/armaments/production/researchissues/concentration_aprod 203 http://www.chemring.co.uk/ Ammunition, 209 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies 204 apart from BAE Systems other main companies include, Thales, MBDA UK, Rolex, Raytheon , Qinetiq, etc. For example, MBDA, which started as a joint venture owned by BAE Systems, EADS and Finmeccanica, is a key player in the missiles sector and MoD’s prime contractor for around half of its 2005 in-service inventory. Roxel, an Anglo-French Company, formed in February 2003 by the merging of CELERG of France and Royal Ordnance Rocket Motors UK and based in Kidderminster, Worcestershire, specialises in design, development and mass production of rocket motors, propulsion units, pyromechanisms and gas generators. It is the world’s third largest designers and manufactures of rocket motors for tactical missiles and the UK’s only designer and manufacturer of rocket motors. Other main companies which are active in the LAS sector include Lockheed Martin UK205, Rolls Royce206, Force Protection Europe207 (recently acquired by General Dynamics), Manroy plc208, etc. For example, Manroy plc the East Sussex machine gun and ammunition manufacturer is the UK’s largest maker of heavy machine guns, while Lockheed Martin UK is, inter alia, the prime contractor for MoD’s £1bn WCSP aimed at upgrading the British Army’s Warrior Armoured Fighting Vehicle. Rolls Royce, which is a major player in defence aerospace and a Tier 1 contractor, is also manufacturing a number of components for the land armament sector. For example, it makes the engines used in both the Warrior family of seven variants of armoured vehicles and the FV430 family of armoured vehicles. Geographical Spread Depending on the particular LAS sub-sector, the geographical spread of manufacturing capacity varies. According to our informants, the production of armoured vehicles is concentrated in the North/North East and the Midlands, while the ammunitions sub-sector is more widely dispersed. On the other hand, it seems that the BAE Systems Global Combat Systems Ltd in Barrow-In- Furness (Cumbria) is one of the key production outfits as regards the artillery sub-sector. For example, in October 2011 the US placed an order for lightweight M777 howitzers as part of its M777 programme where the manufacture and assembly of the complex titanium structures and associated recoil components will take place at Barrow-in-Furness. Indeed, BAE Systems, the dominant manufacturing player in the LAS, has sites across the UK, including Newcastle, Tyne and Wear (GCS Vehicles); Abbeywood, Bristol (GCS Vehicles); Birtley, County Durham (GSC Munitions); Bishopton, Strathclyde (GSC Munitions); Farnborough, Hampshire (Global Combat Systems); Filton, South Gloucestershire (GCS Vehicles); Glascoed, Usk (GSC Munitions); Radway Green, Cheshire (GSC Munitions); Ridsdale Range, Northumberland; (GSC Munitions); Shrivenham, Swindon (GSC Munitions); Telford, Shropshire (GCS Vehicles); Washington, Tyne and Wear (Land and Armaments); and Barrow-In-Furness, Cumbria (GSC Weapons). However, it should be noted that not all these sites are BAE Systems production sites. For example, the Telford site is the BAE Systems UK Centre of Excellence for supporting military vehicles; the Bishopton site is home to an Environmental Test Facility for GSC munitions; the Farnborough site is the Head Office for Global Combat Systems; and the Glascoed site is the head office for Global Combat Systems Munitions. In contrast, Newcastle is a manufacturing site for the GCS Vehicles business and the Barrow-In-Furness site is a design and manufacturing site for weapons. The Radway Green currently manufactures approximately a million rounds of small arms ammunition a day and is Global Combat Systems Munitions’ Centre of Excellence for the design, manufacture, proofing and supply of small arms ammunition. Indeed, the Rad209 This geographical spread has way Green is the UK’s only local source of military small arms ammunition. also significant employment implications. BAE Systems, which is also one of the UK’s largest employers, is responsible for 80% of all manufacturing related jobs in Barrow-in Furness, 40% in Portsmouth and 70% in the Ribble Valley. 204 http://www.raytheon.co.uk/ 205 http://www.lockheedmartin.co.uk/ 206 http://www.rolls-royce.com/ 207 http://www.gdls.com/ 208 http://www.manroy.com/ 209 King, B. (ed.), (2010). Op.Cit. 210 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies This geographical spread is also common in a number of other LAS companies. For example, in the UKbased MBDA, research and development is carried out at Stevenage, Hertfordshire, while software and systems engineering takes place in Filton, Bristol, and missile production in Lostock, Lancashire. Similarly, Thales operates in more than 35 locations across the country. The above discussion notwithstanding, it should be borne in mind that when it comes to LAS manufacturing locations, these are still clustered in certain places which are characterised by strong supply chains and networks, especially in relation to advanced manufacturing. For example, 57% of weapons and ammunition manufacturing jobs are located in three Local Authorities, e.g. Birtley, Glascoed, and Radway 210 According to UNITE, the North West of England is home to over 300 defence firms, employing Green. 17,000 people and accounting for 13% of the UK’s total defence industrial employment. The industry is vital to the regional economy and includes complex weapons manufacturing in Lostock and ammunition production in Crewe. c) Products and Value Chain Products The UK has sizable, open and broadly-based defence industry which delivers a large proportion of the MoD’s needs. That said, open procurement and the growing trend of off-the-shelf products, capabilities and solutions mean that some of these are also sourced on the global market. Indeed, the nature of modern arms production is such that British arms companies source many components from abroad to build weapons systems. For example, 40% of the value of Britain's arms exports has actually been imported 211 Indeed, UK (alongside Italy, the Netherlands and Sweden) has to produce the final exported product. 212 been classified as a net defence equipment exporter with substantial import. The above notwithstanding, according to our informants, the profile and make-up of LAS products presents a more varied and nuanced picture. Specifically, the armoured vehicles sub-sector is highly specialised in that it produces vehicles such as the Challenger 2, Warrior and Terrier which are bespoke vehicles for the MoD and the UK Armed Forces. In other words, the manufacture of armoured vehicles in the UK has not sufficiently diversified, which in turn, makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in domestic demand. Indeed, as was stressed by our informants, the current ‘drying out’ of MoD’s orders of such vehicles due to, inter alia, the defence cuts resulting from the 2010 SDSR has already had a negative impact on this particular sub-sector. Specifically, BAE Systems which manufactures such vehicles will in the next 18 months move all production capability to Sweden. This, in turn, will have serious and negative employment implications for the 2,000-3,000 workers of this sector, many of whom have valuable advanced manufacturing and engineering skills. On the other hand, the munitions sub-sector has a more varied, though quite standardised, product portfolio. For example, the specifications and calibre of bullets are quite standard. That said, it is worth noting that, contrary to the armoured vehicles sector, the UK munitions sector is quite healthy and doing well. Indeed, as mentioned earlier the UK is a proven world leader in the field of IM and related energetic materials such as PBX and LOVA propellants. 210 Sissons, A, (2011). More than Making Things - A new Future for Manufacturing in a Service Economy, A Knowledge Economy Programme Report ,. The Work Foundation, http://www.theworkfoundation.com/assets/docs/publications/284_More%20than%20making%20things.pdf 211 Gilby, N., (2009). A Farewell to Arms Exports, November, http://www.redpepper.org.uk/A-farewell-to-arms-exports/ 212 Eriksson, A. E. et al., (2007). Study on the Effects of Offsets on the Development of a European Defence Industry and Market, Final Report of 06-DIM-022, 12.7.2007, http://www.eda.europa.eu/libraries/documents/eda_06-dim022_study_on_the_effects_of_offsets_on_the_development_of_a_european_defence_industry_and_market.sflb.ashx 211 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Value Chains Supply chains are widespread in the defence industry, including the LAS (as with other manufacturing sectors). Recognising the importance of effective supply chains in 2006 ADS launched the SC21 (21st Century Supply Chains) which is a collaborative programme designed to improve the performance of suppliers and supply chains in the UK aerospace, defence and security industries. The SC21 programme is a key 213 industry venture and is overseen, governed and managed by ADS on behalf of UK industry. As of March 2011, over 580 companies had signed up to SC21, with about 100 companies joining the programme every 214 year. A key element of the SC21 programme is the need for participating companies to commit themselves to implement continuous improvement through a Continuous Sustainable Improvement Plan 215 (CSIP). Moreover, defence has a multiplier of 2.3, ranking it in the top five UK sectors, above banking and finance 216 This, in turn, reflects a strong UK-based supply chain and (2.2), telecoms (2.1) and pharmaceuticals (2.1). a relatively high wage level paid to workers. In addition, for every job created in the defence industry, 1.8 217 jobs are created elsewhere in the economy. Industry is operating at 73 per cent capacity, which means 218 that it has the capacity to meet fluctuations in both domestic and international market demand. The main suppliers for companies in the defence industry operate mainly in the weapons, metal forging, computer services and technical consulting industries. It has not been possible to identify recent added value data for the national LAS as such; however, there are some estimates about the added value of the defence industry, including the LAS, as a whole. As a 2009 report by Oxford Economics found, in terms of the UK economy defence is a mid-sized sector, being 219 This the 15th largest (out of the 27 sectors selected) in terms of value added contribution to GDP in 2006. has been confirmed by a more recent 2011 report, whereby in 2008, the defence industry maintained its status as a mid-sized sector in the UK economy, with the defence sector ranking 14th (out of 23 sectors) in 220 terms of turnover. This makes it comparable to the size of the rental and leasing services, the air transport and the printing and publishing services sectors. Defence ranks a little higher in terms of employment, coming 11th in the list of sectors and drawing a close comparison to the motor vehicles and manufacture of machinery and equipment sectors. The latest LAS-related value added data are based on 2006 Eurostat estimates according to which the arms and ammunition manufacturing sector generated more value added in the UK than in any other Member State, accounting for well over one third (37.3%) of EU-27 value added in 2006. SMEs SMEs are quite active actors in the defence industry either as prime contractors or subcontractors in the supply chain. For example, in the year to March 2011, an estimated 42% of MoD contracts were placed directly with SMEs, representing some £953m or 13.2% by contract value, while many more contribute to 213 http://www.adsgroup.org.uk/pages/91430300.asp 214 ADS, (2011b). SC21 Briefing Paper, March 215 There are two ways of implementing CSIP: (i) Self Starter: A signatory typically uses a Strategic Partner, in most cases, with support of a Regional Trade Association to gain 50% “match funding” to financially support them when completing their Manufacturing and Business Excellence diagnostics and CSIP; and (ii) Key Customer Led: Where a customer will support a signatory with their own resources from initial engagement through to Manufacturing Excellence and Business Excellence diagnostics to CSIP. 216 Oxford Economics, (2011). Op.Cit. 217 Ibid. 218 Eurostat, (2009). European Business – Facts and Figures, Eurostat Statistical Books, 2009 Edition, , http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_OFFPUB/KS-BW-09-001/EN/KS-BW-09-001-EN.PDF 219 Oxford Economics, (2009). The Economic Case for Investing in the UK Defence Industry, Report prepared for the Defence Industries Council (DIC), August, http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/samples/Defenceuk.pdf 220 Oxford Economics, (2011). Op.Cit. 212 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies 221 MoD’s Defence and Security programmes as subcontractors. Interestingly, the UK defence sector has 222 more SMEs than France, Germany, Italy, Spain and Norway combined. Typically, SMEs are niche suppliers of particular materials, products or services, which lie outside the span of the major prime contractors. A major source of SME involvement in innovation is in the form of ‘spin-off’ ventures, either from the University sector – where they provide a knowledge transfer mechanism from academia to industry – or from major companies – where individuals set up on their own to take forward an idea. In addition, in some equipment sectors SMEs are very much to the fore, particularly where there are immediate capability gaps and operational requirements which cannot be met by the major defence contractors, and where the scale of procurement is more limited, notably the CBRN and counter-terrorism 223 Indeed, here SMEs may even be the main suppliers. spheres of activity. Significantly, the 2012 White Paper seeks to improve SMEs’ access to and participation in MoD contacts by, inter alia, streamlining its procurement and payment processes, reforming the framework agreement for technical support (FATS) arrangements, reducing its reporting and administration burden, providing expert advice to help them export, etc. (see Box B.2 in B.2.4.c)). One key aspiration of the current government is to ensure that 25% of contracts be placed with SMEs through the coordination of departmental action plans. Notwithstanding this focus on SMEs, there are some concerns about how feasible is for the MoD to improve its engagement and collaboration with SMEs against a backcloth of cuts in both military and 224 civilian personnel. Moreover, according to UNITE, the fallout of these cuts on big Tier 1 companies which may decide to move away from the UK could have a devastating effect on SMEs which undertake much of the innovative work in the manufacturing sector, since they are in a position to respond quickly and creatively to 225 demands from such companies. d) Markets The UK defence and security industry, including the LAS, is particularly outward looking and export oriented 226 For example, it is estimated that 55,000 of UKand seen as a key lever for growth and employment. 227 based jobs are sustained solely on the strength of defence exports. Indeed, in the defence industry the UK is the number one exporter in Europe, second only to the US globally. The UK's most important markets, 228 outside the EU, are the Middle East, the Far East, the US and India. In particular, in 2010 apart from the UK the largest defence sales market was the rest of the world (including the Middle East and India) at £4.6bn, 229 Due to tight export regulations and followed by the EU and the US at £2.5bn and £2.3bn respectively. arms export controls, the UK defence industry cannot export to China, while there are severe export restric- 221 Ministry of Defence, (2012). Op.Cit. 222 ADS, (2010). Briefing on the UK Defence Industry ahead of the Strategic Defence and Security Review, 20.8.2010, http://www.theengineer.co.uk/Journals/1/Files/2010/9/15/ADS%20defence%20briefing%20August%202010%20%20FINAL.pdf 223 Ministry of Defence, (2006). Defence Technology Strategy, 17.10.2006, http://www.mod.uk/NR/rdonlyres/2778799042BD-4883-95C0-B48BB72BC982/0/dts_complete.pdf 224 Morrison, G., (2012). ‘National Security Through Technology – Worth the Wait?’, Intellect, 3.2.2012, http://www.intellectuk.org/blog/2012/02/03/national-security-through-technology-worth-the-wait/ 225 UNITE, (2010). The Strategic Defence and Security Review 2010 Position Paper, http://www.unitetheunion.org/pdf/UniteA4PositionPaper.pdf 226 Department for Business, Innovation and Skills/BIS, (2011). Trade and Investment for Growth, February 2011, http://www.official-documents.gov.uk/document/cm80/8015/8015.pdf 227 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/industry/defence/8244152/UK-defence-industry-in-numbers.html 228 UKTI Defence & Security Organisation, (2012). UK Defence and Security Exports for 2011, 26.4.2012, http://www.ukti.gov.uk/defencesecurity/item/300340.html 229 ADS, (2011a). Op.Cit. 213 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies tions in relation to Russia. With particular reference to land defence exports, the UK is third in the world 230 behind the US and Russia. According to the UKTI DSO, the top land export customers for the UK include the US, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, United Arab Emirates, Pakistan, Australia, Canada, Switzerland, France, Sweden, etc. In terms of export sectors, equipment related to air defence and security take the lion’s share (80%), while 231 Figure 1 in Annex 3 provides a detailed that of land and sea amount to 12% and 8% respectively. breakdown of exported products. For example, in 2011 weapons and ammunition exports amounted to £64.42m, while vehicle exports to £26.42m. Indeed, the UK has for a long time promoted defence industry, including LAS, exports, e.g. arms exports, through export subsidies and a dedicated government sales organisation (UKTI DSO). An outward looking and export orientation of the sector is deemed critical because it, inter alia, enables longer production runs, thus bringing cost savings to the MoD budget. Moreover, exports are increasingly seen as a way of offsetting the fall in domestic demand as a result of the 2010 SDSR and ensuing defence budget cuts. In general, the UK defence industry, including the LAS operates in a highly globalised market place, which is also seen as helping contain defence spending, especially in the face of reduced military budgets. As mentioned earlier, in an effort to keep costs down, the UK government (along with other governments) have opened up their procurement, so that overseas companies can compete for contracts, including arms contracts. This has, in turn, enabled a more globalised supplier base, as UK companies are no longer necessarily dependent on their own government for business. For example, for BAE the US Pentagon is a much bigger customer than the UK’s MoD. In 2008, it ranked fourth in the Pentagon's list of awarded contracts and was the only non-US company in its top 10 contractors. However, it was underlined by both the documentation and our interviewees that such a globalised production and supply chain is not devoid of challenges. Specifically, when the UK purchases LAS-related equipment and capabilities abroad, one key provision is that it should be able to modify and adapt it to its own requirements, which in turn, requires technology transfer. This can be an obstacle and examples where mentioned where the purchase was not completed because of IPR, patent and technology transfer issues, i.e. the foreign company not wishing to be involved in the technology transfer. In addition, in some cases the government when purchasing weapons systems from international major companies seeks access to the relevant technology, i.e. technology transfer and/or local production can be a condition of major arms deals. Dual Use Modern warfare involves high-tech weapons controlled by sophisticated communications and sensor systems, so increasingly the arms industry uses commercially-available systems, such as digital signal processors and microwave chip technology, in its hardware. Many mainstream technologies have become dual use and many traditionally civil companies have become suppliers to the arms industry. This is a long-standing trend in the UK, e.g. in 1999 the UK Defence Diversification Agency (DDA) was set up and was tasked with promoting technology transfer from defence to civil sectors. Indeed, the UK is one of seven EU countries which hold a National general export authorisation (NGA) for the export of controlled 232 It should be noted, however, that the dual-use items (asset out in Annex I to Regulation 428/2009). reverse, i.e. deploying civilian technology for military applications, has proved more challenging as was 233 exemplified by the development of a new tactical radio for the UK army. That said, a number of LAS companies are actively involved in dual use defence technology, equipment and solutions. For example, 230 UKTI Defence & Security Organisation, (2011). Global http://www.ukti.gov.uk/uktihome/search.html?search=artillery&sort=ByScorej Land Defence Exports, October, 231 UKTI Defence & Security Organisation, (2012). UK Defence and Security Exports for 2011, 26.4.2012, http://www.ukti.gov.uk/defencesecurity/item/300340.html 232 http://ec.europa.eu/trade/creating-opportunities/trade-topics/dual-use/ 233 http://www.eurofound.europa.eu/emcc/content/source/eu06019a.htm 214 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies BAE Systems produced vehicles for UN peacekeeping work which were classified as dual-use military and civilian products. Our informants also confirmed the trend of the defence industry, including the LAS, to develop multi-market capability of defence technology applications. e) Technology and Innovation The defence industry, including the LAS, has been among the most innovative sectors in the UK and at the forefront of developing new technologies. According to ADS, its total R&D investment in 2010 amounted to £1.66bn and its spend in research and technology to £90m. Indeed, with a ratio of 8% of annual R&D ex234 penditure over annual sales, the defence industry is one of the most R&D intensive sectors in the UK. Successive governments have actively supported R&D in this industry. For example, in 2006 MoD published 235 The DTS outits Defence Technology Strategy (DTS) which set out its R&D priorities for the next 20 years. lines three main approaches: (i) investment in specified technical work or development of expertise (e.g. software Systems Engineering Institute); (ii) joint MoD/industry planning to deliver approved strategies (e.g. radar); (iii) formation of communities of interest to better understand and plan for future (e.g. signal processing). It also outlined the main research areas for the different sectors. For example, the main arms/weapons-related research areas included (i) modularity/open architectures; (ii) directed energy weapons; (iii) network enabled capability integration; (iv) tuneable and precision effects; (v) insensitive munitions; (vi) countering difficult air targets; (vii) TCLM; etc. More recently, in February 2012 the MoD published its White Paper which once again recognised the importance of technology in maintaining and improving the sector’s competitiveness and leading edge worldwide. As a result, despite the current tight fiscal situation and the defence cuts announced in the 2010 SDSR, the White Paper ring-fences a minimum of 1.2% of the defence budget for investment in science and technology, at more than £400m a year. The MoD’s R&D activities include the development of technology, systems, and architectures as well as design, test and evaluation. Most R&D supports the Concept, Assessment and Demonstration phases of 236 the equipment acquisition cycle (CADMID ), and enables through-life technology insertion. According to existing data, in 2007 the breakdown of the MoD’s DIS-related spend in the LAS was as follows: complex 237 weapons (4.6%); armoured fighting vehicles (2%); and general munitions (0.5%). In contrast, the bulk of the MoD’s R&D spend was channelled to air/fixed wings (38.2%) and maritime (16.2%) projects. Within this context, the LAS, with some government support, has been quite active in R&D and has been part of the so-called technology trees which typically comprise large organisations, SMEs, research technology organisations (RTOs) and/or Universities. A successful example is the 2193 Mine Hunting Sonar Technology Tree which developed the 2193, a high-frequency active sonar, brought into service in 2005. This is manufactured by Thales and installed on Hunt class mine countermeasures vessel. It is a highly innovative design and can detect mines with small acoustic signatures at depth. A critical element of this technology tree is the involvement of four niche SME suppliers of specialised sonar technology elements, and two 238 According to the DTS, as of end of universities under a programme led by DERA (now QinetiQ) Winfrith. 2006 there were a total of 36 technology trees in the UK defence industry. Not surprisingly, universities and RTOs (alongside the private sector) are key drivers for innovation. Their involvement is two-fold: (i) equipment procurement-led involvement (see previous example); and (ii) in239 volvement in longer-term research through the MoD Research Programme , Defence Technology Cen234 ADS, (2011a). Op.Cit. 235 Ministry of Defence, (2006). Op.Cit. 236 Concept, Assessment, Demonstration, Manufacture, In Service, Disposal 237 Ministry of Defence, (2007). Maximising Defence Capability http://www.science.mod.uk/strategy/documents/max_def_cap_thru_randd.pdf 238 Ministry of Defence, (2006). Op.Cit. 239 http://www.science.mod.uk/ through R&D, October, 215 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies 240 tres , etc. In this case, the linkage to the equipment supply chain is more tenuous, as the universities are not undertaking research aimed at supporting a specific requirement but are exploring emerging technologies. Overall, there are a number of successful science to business collaborations aligned to the aerospace and defence sectors, e.g. Roll-Royce’s Research and University Technology Centres which include 241 This reflects the fact that big Tier 1 companies the Advanced Manufacturing Research Centres (AxRCs). within the sector are crucial to the R&D and technological innovations, although SMEs are also quite innovative. Our informants also pointed to some other LAS-related innovative products which have been designed and developed in the UK. For example, considerable innovation by UK armoured vehicles manufacturers has been directed towards light armoured protection/patrol vehicles. To this end, Ocelot, which was created by Warwickshire-based Force Protection Europe and Ricardo, a British automotive engineering company, is an armoured vehicle scheduled to replace the controversial Snatch Land Rover used by British 242 The latter had been criticised for not offering troops in Afghanistan enough protection Armed Forces. against improvised explosive devices (IEDs). According to our informants, it is indicative that this innovative vehicle was created by a company whose origins lie not in defence manufacturing, but in Formula 1 which is one of the most successful and forward looking sectors in the UK. Similarly, the Osprey body armour which is made of ceramic ballistic plates and manufactured by the Coventry-based company NP Aerospace is considered amongst the best personal protection equipment available to troops world243 This is at present used by the UK Armed Forces in Afghanistan. wide. Moreover, thanks to, inter alia, its strong focus on state-of-the-art technology and innovation, the defence industry’s productivity is 15% above the UK manufacturing average. According to the MoD 2005 estimates, the average defence industry labour productivity is £55,000 value added per employee, while this techno244 More recently, according to the Government’s logically intensive sector contributes nearly 0.5% to GDP. latest (2009) Value Added Scoreboard the aerospace and defence sector added £12bn in value to the economy and the average value-added per employee in the industry was £61,200, which compares well 245 with the automotive sector at £54,800, construction at £50,800 and the electronics sector at £41,900. According to Eurostat, in 2006 the UK recorded higher wage-adjusted labour productivity ratios for arms and ammunition manufacturing than for machinery and equipment manufacturing as a whole. It has not been possible to identify the added value for the LAS sector in particular. However, a 2010 study on the BAE Systems contribution to the UK found that in 2009 the company added £3.3bn to UK GDP, generated net exports of £4.9bn, imported 1.7bn in goods and services, paid £653m in taxes and channelled 246 In addition, according to the company’s own estimates each of its close to £900m into R&D activities. employees contributes over £78,000 to the UK economy based on productivity levels compared to the national average of £42,200. This is 34% higher than the estimated average for the manufacturing sector at £58,300. B.7.2. Employment Issues within the National LAS The small size of the UK LAS makes it difficult to analyse it using official data sources. The UK’s Office for National Statistics (ONS) recommends a general rule of not using LFS estimates where cell sizes are below 10,000 due to high sampling variability and the high standard error associated with such figures (10,000 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 http://www.science.mod.uk/engagement/dtcs.aspx http://www.rolls-royce.com/technology_innovation/uni_research_centres/ http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-11388724 http://www.defencematters.co.uk/message-one/ Ministry of Defence, (2005). Op.Cit. http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20100908131539/innovation.gov.uk/value_added/ Oxford Economics, (2010). The BAE Systems Contribution to the UK in 2009 216 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies equates to an unweighted sample size of 25 and a relative standard error of roughly 20%). Given the size of the LAS (under 14,000 employees) any subdivision of the sector into multiple categories inevitably leads to a substantial number of unreliable estimates.247 As such, it is not possible to obtain reliable estimates for variables such as qualification levels, training levels or occupational structure. Nonetheless, we supply information for overall employment, changes in employment in the last three years, age, gender, working time pattern and pay. Employment The LAS employs a relatively modest number of workers, especially compared with other sectors of the defence and aerospace industry (see Introduction). Specifically, as Table B.8 shows the LAS represents a relatively small proportion of overall UK employment, with less than 14,000 employees in 2011, which is roughly 0.05% of all UK employment. Of the total LAS workforce, most are employed in the manufacture of weapons and armaments. It should be noted that the actual LAS-related employment figures are likely to be higher due to the extensive use of supply chains. In other words, the table below reflects those who work directly in the LAS, while there are others who work in companies whose product portfolio is more varied, but which are also suppliers to the LAS, e.g. by providing components. Table B.15. Employment in the LAS Number employed Weapons and armaments Military fighting vehicles Land Armament Sector All sectors 12,165 * 13,766 29,203,165 % of Employment 0.04 * 0.05 100 Source: LFS 2011 As Table B.16 shows, employment in the sector appears to have fluctuated slightly since 2009, with a fall in LFS figures in 2010 and an increase in 2011. The downward trend is in line with 2009 Eurostat estimates according to which the number of employees in the arms and ammunition manufacturing sector in 2006 amounted to 16,600. Although this was the largest in EU-27, it accounted for only 17% of the sector’s overall 248 employment levels in the EU, less than half its share in value added terms. Table B.16. LAS Employment 2009-2011 Year 2011 2010 2009 All sectors Number employed 13,766 10,378 14,756 29,203,165 % of Employment 0.05 0.04 0.05 100 Source: LFS 2011 As with other manufacturing sectors, the majority of workers in the LAS are male. Specifically, although in the economy as a whole there is a relatively even split between male and female workers, in the LAS almost 73% are male (see Table B.17). This may reflect the fact that a large proportion of LAS-related jobs are in engineering where the UK has the lowest proportion of female professionals in the EU (just 8.7% in 2011).249 Likewise, manufacturing, including the LAS, is a sector with a traditionally higher concentration of male workers. 247 Office for National Statistics/ONS, (2011). Labour Force Survey User Guide: Volume 1 – LFS Background and Methodology, August 248 Eurostat, (2009). European Business – Facts and Figures, Eurostat Statistical Books, 2009 Edition, , http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_OFFPUB/KS-BW-09-001/EN/KS-BW-09-001-EN.PDF 249 http://www.theengineer.co.uk/opinion/comment/why-arent-there-more-women-engineers/1009440.article 217 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Table B.17. Gender Breakdown in the LAS Male LAS All sectors Female 72.95 53.55 * 46.45 Source: LFS 2011 In relation to the age breakdown, Table B.18 suggests those employed in the sector tend to be slightly older compared to those employed in the economy as a whole. Specifically, the average age of those working in the LAS is 46 which is five years higher than that for the economy as a whole. This slightly older age profile was also confirmed by our informants, some of whom also raised concerns about the future, especially since, until recently, the take up of science, technology, engineering and. mathematics (STEM) subjects, has been rather modest. Although this is now changing with more young people opting for STEM subjects, there may still be issues around workforce development, talent management and succession planning in the sector in the future. As was underlined by our informants, at present there are considerable STEM-related skills gaps across the economy, including the defence industry, and a current lack of STEM graduates. This, in turn, means that a large number of engineers currently employed in the industry, including BAE Systems, have come from abroad. Table B.18. Average Age in the LAS Average Age LAS All sectors 46 41 Source: LFS 2011 Mean hourly pay in the sector is above the average for the economy as a whole. This may be indicative of above average skill and qualification requirements in the sector as well as with an occupational profile more oriented towards highly skilled work (see Table B.19). Indeed, the LAS is closely associated with advanced manufacturing and high level skills, including design and systems engineering skills. Table B.19. Hourly Pay in the LAS Hourly Pay LAS All sectors £15.04 £10.18 Source: LFS 2011 In contrast to the economy as a whole where over one fourth of workers are employed on a part-time basis, employment in the LAS sector is predominantly (92.13%) full-time (see Table B.20). Table B.20. Employment Status in the LAS Part-Time (%) LAS All sectors * 26.93 Full-Time (%) 92.13 72.98 Source: LFS 2011 Knowledge, Skills and Competences The defence industry, including the LAS, is one of the most important clusters of high-tech manufacturers of military vehicles, equipment and components. As such, it is firmly placed within advanced manufacturing and engineering for which high-level and, in many cases, very specialised, skills are required. These include high level knowledge and skills in advanced manufacturing and engineering (systems, quality, integrated logistics support, software development, database, testing and integration, mechanical, electrical, advanced materials/composites); design and development; systems integration; test architecture/simulation; 218 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies programme and proposal management; software development; contracts/subcontract and supply chain management; finance/pricing/cost engineering; ICTs; etc. It should be noted that systems engineering skills within the defence sector cover a quite wide range of skills, including design and development, ca250 pability integration, platform integration, systems integration and system-of-systems integration activities. In addition, the current focus on upgrading and modifying defence equipment also requires ‘whole sys251 tem’ knowledge and a wide range of skills. It is also worth noting that, as the 2005 DIS underlined, the systems engineering challenge in defence equipment is increasing, as platforms have longer planned in252 service lives, but technology, especially electronics, continues to evolve rapidly. According to our informants, in view of the fact that for some time now the UK has not invested in any new major AVF, (the last one, Warrior having been developed in late 1990s) combined with the prospect of no development of new platforms means that certain skills will be more important in the future. Since this will involve in-life technology and mid-life upgrades, technology insertion and refurbishment of existing (rather than new) equipment, relevant skills such as systems integration, ability to integrate onto the platform AFVs’ critical subsystems, including electronic architecture, sensors and integrated survivability solutions. Moreover, skills relating to the repair and overhaul of AFVs onshore are also vital. In general, skills to upgrade, maintain and manage military capability on a through life basis will become increasingly important. Although as mentioned in the previous section, due to the small numbers, it has not been possible to provide a detailed breakdown of the levels of skills and qualifications for the LAS workforce, according to UNITE the UK defence industry has a tradition of high level skills requirement with over 30% of employees 253 According to the educated to degree level and more than 11% involved in research and development. latest ADS defence industry survey, in 2010, 59% of employees held a university degree or equivalent, while 254 technicians accounted for 16% of the total workforce. It should also be noted that the UK policy has for some time placed strong emphasis on maintaining and enhancing both high-tech systems engineering 255 and system integration skills. . The defence industry, including the LAS, has a long-standing tradition of investing in training and skills development. That said, according to our informants, the LAS faces a challenge as regards technician skills. Indeed, responding to the UK’s perennial problem of rather weak and inadequate intermediate level technical and practical skills, companies seek to improve technician skills by offering apprenticeships (e.g. 256 For example, the BAE Systems Advanced Apprenticeship proHigher Apprenticeship in Engineering). gramme is one of the largest such schemes in the UK. At any one time, the company has up to 1,000 257 young people employed on its numerous training programmes. According to UNITE, the defence (as well the aerospace) industry has a strong commitment to the development of young people within the 258 sector and, in 2008, employed around 2,700 apprentices. More recent data show that in 2010 appren- 250 Taylor, T. and Campbell, J., (2011). Challenges in the Generation and Support of Front Line Forces, A Report for Prospect, January, http://www.prospect.org.uk/dl/22759_5940285441.pdf/as/2011-00021-Leaflet-booklet-Challengesin-the-generation-and-support-of-front-line-forces-Version-11-01-2011.pdf?_ts=232337&_ts=232337 251 Ibid. 252 Ministry of Defence, (2005). Op.Cit. 253 UNITE, (2011). Op.Cit. 254 ADS, (2011a). Op.Cit. 255 Cauzic, F., Colas, H., Leridon N., Lourimi, S., and Waelbroeck-Rocha, E., (2009). A Comprehensive Analysis of Emerging Competences and Skill Needs for Optimal Preparation and Management of Change in the EU Defence Industry, Eurostrategies Report for the European Commission, 20.5.2009 256 Advanced Manufacturing Sector Skills Councils/SSC, (2009). Skills and the Future of Advanced Manufacturing, A Summary Skills Assessment for the SSC Advanced Manufacturing Cluster, December, http://www.cogentssc.com/research/Publications/ADVMFG_FINAL_March2010publish.pdf 257 http://www1.baesystems.com/Apprentices/index.htm 258 UNITE, (2011). Op.Cit. 219 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies tices and trainees in the defence industry accounted for 2% or 2,690 of the workforce, of whom 1,447 were 259 employed in the land and naval sectors. Both the documentation reviewed and informants interviewed for this study expressed concerns about the future prospects of the LAS-related skills base, at least as regards certain sub-sectors. As mentioned above, the main challenge stems from the fact that for some time now, the government does not place major orders which require new designs, while the open (global) procurement and off-the-shelf purchasing approach can act as a disincentive to industry to invest in high level skills. For example, according to the MoD its forward programme and the sharp decline in design work in its programmes make it difficult to see how industry can retain the skill base required for the key AVF capabilities. Anticipating Skills Changes The defence industry, including the LAS does not have a dedicated Sector Skills Council and/or Observatory as such. Rather, defence industry skills-related issues are covered by the Sector Skills Council for the 260 Advanced Manufacturing and Engineering sectors (Semta). Significantly, recognising the negative employment impact that the 2010 SDSR entails for the defence industry, including the LAS, a number of initiatives have been launched with the explicit aim of retaining and redeploying highly skilled advanced manufacturing workers who may lose their jobs. To this end, on 21 October 2010 the Business Secretary Vince Cable announced the formation of the Skills and Jobs Retention Group (SJRG). Chaired by Allan Cook, Semta’s Chairman, the remit of this industry-led group is to ensure that, where there are industrial changes as a result of the 2010 SDSR, high value skills in the defence sector be effectively retained and redeployed in advanced manufacturing sector, e.g. civil aerospace, 261 In doing so, it seeks to provide a forum for companies across UK manuautomotive, energy and marine. facturing and engineering to work together to make the most of the skills that may become available for redeployment. More recently, on 13 July 2011 Minister for Business Mark Prisk announced the launch of a new national web based system, Talent Retention Solution (TRS), will help match skilled employees facing redundancy to 262 263 UK companies in growing sectors of advanced manufacturing and engineering which are recruiting. , TRS comes as a result of work undertaken by the SJRG and Semta to support defence engineers who may have lost their job as a result of the 2010 SDSR or more generally within the current difficult economic climate. TRS, which is also supported by trade unions such as UNITE and Prospect, puts skilled individuals looking for work and companies searching for new employees in direct contact with each other through the web-based programme ‘CWeb’. TRS, which is industry-led and, since January 2012, fully funded by business, seeks to actively support redeployment and recruitment across advanced manufacturing and engineering sectors. According to our informants, it is rather early to assess its effectiveness but one could surmise that, since in the UK demand for skilled engineers far exceeds supply in most sectors, TRS may prove an effective job matching tool. However, it was also pointed out that geographical mobility may be a barrier since usually 10-20% of job-seekers, including highly skilled ones, are willing to move in a different geographical location. As far as the LAS is concerned, with the planned move of the remaining BAE Systems armoured vehicle production base to Sweden in the next 18 months and the possible loss of employment for 2,000-3,000 259 ADS, (2011a). Op.Cit. 260 http://www.semta.org.uk/ 261 Department for Industry, Innovation and Skills/BIS, (2010). Industry-led Group to help redeploy High Skilled Defence Workers, BIS Press Release, 21.10.2010 262 Department for Industry, Innovation and Skills/BIS (2011). New System launched to retain Highly Skilled Employees across Advanced Manufacturing and Engineering Sectors, BIS Press Release , 13.7.2011 263 http://www.talentretention.biz/single.htm?ipg=12275 220 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies workers, one big challenge would be to use the TRS and other relevant tools in order to ensure the retention and redeployment of their advanced manufacturing skills. Social Dialogue According to our informants, contrary to other EU countries, there is no LAS-related social dialogue at sectoral level (although the trade unions would welcome it). However, the degree of information sharing and consultation at company level (workplace) is extensive and growing. UNITE, the biggest trade union in the UK which represents defence/LAS workers, is currently working towards creating a more formal social dia264 logue arrangements in the defence industry, including the LAS, alongside aerospace and shipbuilding. Apart from UNITE another union which is active in the sector is Prospect, the largest union in the UK representing professional engineers, whose members are engineers, scientists, managers and specialists in a 265 number of sectors including defence. It has not been possible to find LAS-related data in relation to union representation. However, according to the Trade Union Congress (TUC), 69% of those working in public administration and defence were covered 266 by collective agreements in 2009. B.7.3. Qualitative Characterisation and Perspectives of the National LAS The state of the UK defence industry, including the LAS is currently in a state of flux, not least because according to our informants, the MoD is still considering various options as to the direction of defence equipment. For example, to date the MoD has not decided the future balance between light, medium and light armoured vehicles. This reflects a long-standing trend in the UK which suffers from historic indecision in its 267 However, this trend to indecision and ensuing uncertainty combined with defence and security reviews. chronically long delays in MoD’s procurement and, more recently, budget cuts, means that it is difficult for the industry to plan for the future, invest in both R&D and industrial infrastructure/capacity, make mid to long-term decisions about employment and skills requirements, etc. (see below). This is particularly pertinent to the defence industry, where new technology can take around 15 years to develop from scientific theory to final product application. It has been argued that a defence strategy setting out the longterm direction of travel as regards military equipment is necessary, since it will allow companies to plan their R&D accordingly. Moreover, the forthcoming withdrawal from Afghanistan will mean that certain equipment deployed there will come back (‘come into call’) which will need to be maintained, repaired or upgraded onshore. This is likely to have implications for the LAS sector in that the volume of orders will definitely decrease. On the other hand, as a result of both the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, the industry was used to responding quickly to both normal procurement tenders and Urgent Operational Requirements (UOR) bids. According to some informants, the ability of the LAS to respond to short-term procurement needs as exemplified by UOR can also be regarded as one of its strengths. As far as the LAS manufacturing base is concerned there are concerns about its future prospects within an environment of severe fiscal tightening and budget cuts domestically and fierce competition and an uncertain economic climate internationally. As has been argued, the current UK policy focus on open pro264 http://www.unitetheunion.org/ 265 http://www.prospect.org.uk/ 266 Trade Union Congress/TUC, (2011). Unions, Collective Bargaining and Employment Relations Project, ESRC Research Bulletin Number 1, March, http://www.strongerunions.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/TUC-ESRC-Research-Bulletin-No1-March-2011.pdf 267 Chatham House, (2010). The Economics of UK Security and Defence Policy, Meeting No. 3: The Strategic Defence and Security Review: Does it all add up?, Chatham House in collaboration with McKinsey and Company, 15.11.2010 http://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/public/Research/International%20Security/1110sduk_mtg3.pdf 221 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies curement, international competition and off-the-shelf equipment has left key industrial sectors without 268 future development pipelines. This has been confirmed by our informants who also expressed concerns about the further erosion of the defence, including LAS, industrial base and loss or depletion of design, systems engineering and other advanced manufacturing skills which will be very difficult to recover in the future. This should also be seen within a context of a long-term decline in defence spending where according to ADS, the industry’s trade body, 20 years ago was around 10% of government spending and 4.5% of the GDP, while in 2011 it was 5% 269 of government spending and around 2.3% of the GDP. Moreover, hopes that the current government’s hope that export orders will sustain the UK's defence industrial base are likely to be misplaced since, as has been argued, exports do not typically exercise the most high-value design engineering skills in an enduring way. Linked to this is the fact that, since in many cases, the driver for growth has been overseas markets, notably the US Pentagon, the current US-led defence cuts and reorientation of its entire defence policy are likely to have a negative impact on the UK’s LAS. This trend of defence contractors facing a market which on the macro level is contracting and/or changing rapidly is wider. For example, in contrast to the past where export markets such as the Middle East would import LAS products manufactured in the UK, at present they increasingly require for these to be produced locally by their nationals, especially young workers, albeit using the design and technology developed in the UK. That said, it is worth mentioning that, according to our informants, the UK defence industry has embraced the idea that they have to share some of their technology with the export countries, eg Turkey. According to our informants, the MoD’s historical trend to over-specify its defence equipment requirements and to opt for bespoke solutions targeted at the rather small domestic market and British Armed Forces may also limit the scope for exports, at least as far as certain types of equipment is concerned. In other words, less bespoke equipment would be much easier to export. Linked to this is the quality requirements required by the MoD, which combined with the small size of the domestic market and Armed Forces (as well as the off-the-shelf purchasing), tend to weaken the business case for maintaining a manufacturing base onshore. For example, as was explained, the MoD has historically sought the development and purchasing of the best equipment for the British Armed Forces. This quest for superior quality, however, has had clear cost implications, ie the cost per unit tends to be quite high, especially in view of the rather low production volumes due to the small size of the market. As a result, weapons manufactured in the UK may, in some cases, be too expensive and technologically advanced to mass export to overseas markets, which may want a more basic and simple weapon. The trend towards off-the-shelf purchasing of military equipment combined with that of enhancing/upgrading existing capabilities at lower cost (as opposed to designing and producing new products onshore) means that the scope for LAS related manufacturing expansion is rather limited, albeit to varying degrees. For example, the future production of certain AFV looks uncertain, especially with the planned move of BAE Systems’ production capacity to Sweden. On the other hand, there may be some scope for light vehicles. Moreover, the Future Force 2020 also foresees the need for a new range of medium weight armoured vehicles including the Terrier engineer vehicle and FRES reconnaissance and utility vehicles. It also plans the replacement of unprotected vehicles by protected support vehicles to move logistic sup270 Even so, it should also be noted that the scope for ‘new’ production is plies around the battlefield. 268 Gibert, J. (2012). ‘Management not Money is key to achieving Future Force 2020’, Defence Management.com, 28.3.2012, http://www.defencemanagement.com/feature_story.asp?id=18846 269 Daily Telegraph, (2011). Defence Job Cuts could hit 33,000, warns Trade Body ADS, 27/9/2011, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/industry/defence/8790686/Defence-job-cuts-could-hit-33000-warnstrade-body-ADS.html 270 Cabinet Office, (2011). Fact Sheet 7: Future Force 2020 – British Army, https://update.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/sites/default/files/resources/Factsheet7-British-Army.pdf 222 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies moderated by the fact that the future fleet of such vehicles is likely to include some of the Mastiffs, Wolf271 hounds and Buffalos currently in theatre (Afghanistan). In any case, until the MoD decides what type and quantity of vehicles it will need in the future, any forecasts for this sub-sector are risky. According to our informants, the other LAS sub-sectors, e.g. munitions are more stable and expected to remain so, without however registering any major growth. For example, the MoD has allocated about £7bn to support precision-guided weapons programmes for the three armed services, including precision Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System (GMLRS) rockets and Loitering Munitions. The above developments may signify a paradigm shift, or rather the acceleration of an existing trend whereby the LAS moves from a production focus towards the provision of support services, upgrading/capability enhancement, etc. While the traditional, platform, and equipment-based defence market in the UK will remain under intense pressure due to, inter alia, deep defence budget cuts, the scope of delivering service-based capabilities is growing. For example, according to an assessment by PriceWaterhouseCoopers, in the UK, the whole of the defence support services market is projected to be worth an 272 estimated £16bn per year by 2020, or approximately 75% of total MoD spend. Moreover, the current focus on systems integration will continue as will the drive to sustain what has already been produced (as opposed to designing and developing new platforms). The UK LAS has also shown to be capable of innovation, e.g. light vehicles, composites, advanced materials such as ceramic materials, protection systems, soldier equipment, insensitive munitions and energetic materials such as Polymer Bonded Explosives (PBX) and Low Vulnerability (LOVA) propellants; etc. In the pursuit of both economies of scale and synergies as well as new markets, the LAS is expected (alongside the rest of the defence industry) to be increasingly seeking to form partnerships, both in the EU and beyond. However, the expectation is that this will be realised more through bilateral, business-tobusiness collaboration as opposed to a more EU-wide approach. This is seen as a different approach to that adopted by France which relies heavily on EU research programmes, or Germany which tends to rely to funding provided by regional government. In any case, the trend for sector consolidation will continue apace and will also result to fewer production facilities onshore. The industry will continue to focus on advanced, specialised and high end manufacturing. As was stated, ‘any metal bashing required for the production of equipment will not be done in the UK’. Moreover, the focus will be more on systems integration and upgrading. The employment prospects for the LAS sector are not particularly promising, especially as regards the AFV manufacturing sector which has been in decline for some time. For example, the UK has not designed and produced a heavy armoured vehicle for a long time, which in turn means that the relevant design and engineering skills are at risk of withering away. The risk of the existing skills base erosion was stressed by all informants, especially against the UK’s focus on off-the-shelf purchasing and open procurement as well as a considerable drop in R&D spend. Indeed, only yesterday (31/5/2012) BAE Systems announced the closure of its site at Newcastle-upon-Tyne at the end of 2013, which is currently making Terrier vehicles for the 273 Significantly, according to BAE Systems the proposal to close the Newcasarmy, with the loss of 330 jobs. tle site, which has been a defence manufacturing site since 1847, followed a business review which concluded that there was no prospect of new UK armoured vehicle manufacturing work once production of the Terrier ends next year. On the other hand, the skills base concerning light armoured vehicles is more secure, not least because of the marked increase in sustainment and modification work resulting from 271 Ashbourne-Walmsley, A. (2010). The SDSR: Why the Coalition Government Cut Where It Did, RUSI, http://www.rusi.org/downloads/assets/Ashbourne-Walmsley.pdf 272 PriceWaterhouseCoopers, (2012). Op.Cit. 273 The Guardian, (2012). BAE Systems to axe 600 Jobs, 31/5/2012, http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2012/may/31/baesystems-job-cuts 223 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies both their extensive use in Afghanistan and the shift towards that type of vehicle within the context of 274 Future Force 2020. Similarly, the arms and munitions sub-sector which has been stable, is likely to remain so. That said, the BAE Systems also announced yesterday (31/5/2012) proposals for shedding up to 280 jobs at three BAE sites in Radway Green, near Crewe, Washington in the North East and Glascoed in South Wales as a result of 275 major efficiency improvements and reductions in the amount of ammunitions required by the MoD. This rather pessimistic forecast is also based on the fact that, as a result of both current defence cuts and long delays in the MoD’s equipment procurement processes, according to our informants, the industry has lost confidence in the domestic market, which is now rather small to warrant any major investment. For example, the MoD started to consider the specifications and operational requirements for its next generation of AFV (FRES) in mid-1990s, but started commissioning in late 2000s. This has, in turn, meant that the industry could not maintain the research, design and engineering capacity while waiting for the FRES programme to go ahead. In general, the MoD’s defence acquisition has not enjoyed a good reputation over 276 the years. All informants stressed the fact, that although the LAS may not be employing large numbers of staff, the skills and qualifications profile of its workers are high and associated with advanced manufacturing and engineering which, if they are lost, would be a major blow for the UK economy. This is all the more important in view of the current government’s expressed aim to recalibrate and rebalance the UK economy away from the dominant financial services sector to other sectors, including advanced manufacturing. Finally, our informants underlined the need for the UK to develop a new defence industrial strategy with clear long-term objectives for all sectors of the defence industry, including the LAS. B.7.4. a) References Bibliography Advanced Manufacturing Sector Skills Councils/SSC, (2009). 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Aerospace & Defence - 2011 Year in Review and 2012 Forecast, http://www.pwc.com/en_GX/gx/aerospace-defence/assets/aerospace-anddefence.pdf Sissons, A, (2011). More than Making Things - A new Future for Manufacturing in a Service Economy, A Knowledge Economy Programme Report, The Work Foundation, http://www.theworkfoundation.com/assets/docs/publications/284_More%20than%20ma king%20things.pdf Taylor, T. and Campbell, J., (2011). Challenges in the Generation and Support of Front Line Forces, A Report for Prospect, January, http://www.prospect.org.uk/dl/22759_5940285441.pdf/as/2011-00021-Leaflet-bookletChallenges-in-the-generation-and-support-of-front-line-forces-Version-11-012011.pdf?_ts=232337&_ts=232337 Trade Union Congress/TUC, (2011). Unions, Collective Bargaining and Employment Relations Project, ESRC Research Bulletin Number 1, March, http://www.strongerunions.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/TUC-ESRC-ResearchBulletin-No-1-March-2011.pdf Tyler, A. (2009). Defence Acquisition: Risky Business (A View from the Thick of Things), RUSI, February, http://www.rusi.org/downloads/assets/RDS_Tyler_Feb09.pdf UKTI Defence & Security Organisation, (2011). Global Land Defence Exports, October, http://www.ukti.gov.uk/uktihome/search.html?search=artillery&sort=ByScore UKTI Defence & Security Organisation, (2012). UK Defence and Security Exports for 2011, 26.4.2012, http://www.ukti.gov.uk/defencesecurity/item/300340.html UNITE, (2011). Unite the Union Response to Ministry of Defence Consultation Equipment, Support and Technology for UK Defence and Security, 10.2.2011, http://www.epolitix.com/fileadmin/epolitix/stakeholders/Unite_response_to_MoD_consult ation_final.pdf UNITE, (2010). The Strategic Defence and Security Review 2010 - Position Paper, http://www.unitetheunion.org/pdf/UniteA4PositionPaper.pdf UNITE, (2007). Maintaining a World Class UK Defence Industry, http://www.unitetheunion.org/pdf/Maintaining%20World%20Class%20UK%20Defence%20I ndustry%20(JN504)%20Final.pdf 227 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies b) List of Interviews The Table below shows the key UK informants interviewed as part of this study. Table B.21. Key UK Informants interviewed Name Prof Trevor Taylor, [email protected] Tel: +44 (0)20 7747 2600 Ian Waddell, [email protected] Tel: +44 (0)7768 931 269 Dr Colin Roberson, [email protected] Tel: +44 (0)1926 817 712 Position Organisation Department of Management Emeritus Professor (Cranfield) and Security (Cranfield Uni) & & Professorial Fellow (RUSI) Defence Management (RUSI) National Officer for Aerospace & Shipbuilding, UNITE incl Defence Industry Time/Date of Interview 3pm, 10/5/2012 2pm, 11/5/2012 Company Director Advanced Defence Materials Ltd. 10am, 4/5/2012 Mark Phillips, [email protected] Tel: +44 (0)20 7747 2607 Research Fellow, Military & Intelligence, Land Operations and Capabilities Programme Royal United Services Institute/RUSI 4pm, 14/5/2012 Gordon Lane, [email protected] Tel: +44 (0)20 7091 1141 ADS (Trade organisation for Managing Director, Defence Aerospace, Defence, Security & Director Land ADS & Space industries) c) 2pm, 21/5/2012 Other Relevant Information Box B.1 Defence Budget Cuts as a result of the 2010 SDSR AIR FORCE • Some air force bases will close and 5,000 RAF personnel will lose their jobs over the next five years • The Harrier jump jet and Nimrod reconnaissance planes will be scrapped • Some squadrons of Tornado jets will be saved, but the Joint Strike Fighter and a modernised Eurofighter will form the basis of the RAF fire power and there will be extra money for unmanned planes • The air transport fleet will be upgraded with A400M and A330 aircraft, replacing the Tristar and VC10 from 2013 • Extra 12 Chinook helicopters to increase flexibility ARMY • The Army will have to cut up to 12,000 personnel, an increase on the 7,000 originally announced in October • 40% of tanks and 35% of heavy artillery will be scrapped. One deployable brigade out of six will be lost 228 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies NAVY • The navy will lose 5,000 personnel, taking numbers down to 30,000 • It will get a new fleet of Astute-class nuclear-powered submarines • Its surface fleet will be cut from 23 to 19 • The Ark Royal, launched in 1985, has been decommissioned • The construction of two new aircraft carriers, HMS Queen Elizabeth and HMS Prince of Wales, will go ahead. But one of them will be mothballed rather than entering service TRIDENT • The government says £750m ($1.2bn) will be saved over four years on the Trident nuclear deterrent missile system by cutting the number of warheads on each submarine from 48 to 40 and reducing the number of missile tubes from 12 to eight • Nuclear warhead stockpiles will be cut from 160 to less than 120 • The final "main gate" spending decision on Trident will also be delayed until 2016 - after the next general election MINISTRY OF DEFENCE • The Ministry of Defence will lose 25,000 civilian staff by 2015 • It will also have to renegotiate contracts with industry and sell-off "unnecessary" buildings and assets Source: BBC, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-15123711 Box B.2 MoD’s Measures to support SMEs in the Defence Industry • To enable firms to meet potential bidders, the MoD’s Next Generation Estate Contracts Team is running special networking sessions and has created an online 'Potential Bidders Directory' which provides contact details for organisations with a registered interest in each contract, so that SMEs may approach them. • It reduced by 75% (to £10,000) its threshold for advertising opportunities and now advertises lower value contracts, which may be more attractive to SMEs, on the Contracts Finder website. • It has revised internal guidance to ensure that SMEs are not rejected on the basis of rigid turnoverto-contract value ratios without proper assessment of their actual capacity and potential. • A dedicated SME group in the new Defence Suppliers Forum has been created, chaired by a MoD Minister, to provide a better 'voice' for small suppliers. • The Centre for Defence Enterprise has successfully provided access to the Defence for Innovation SMEs, and the 2012 White Paper builds on this to broaden its remit to cover security and seek ways to provide even more support to SMEs, particularly in bringing potential products to market. Source: MoD, http://www.mod.uk/NR/rdonlyres/4EA96021-0B99-43C0-B65ECDF3A9EEF2E9/0/cm8278.pdf 229 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Table B.22. Main Contractors by Domain-Specific Capability at Platform System Level (DIS, 2005) Type of Equipment Armoured fighting vehicles Non-embedded C4ISTAR Complex weapons Fast-Jet combat aircraft and maritime patrol fixed wing Helicopter Strategic airlift (C-130) Submarines Complex surface warships and Royal Fleet Auxiliary CBRN Name of Company BAE Systems BAE Systems, Thales, EADS, General Dynamics, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, Selex Communications, VT Communications, Ultra Electronics, BT, EDS, Fujitsu, LogicaCMG, QinetiQ MBDA(UK), RSL, Thales, BAE Systems UWS BAE Systems AgustaWestland UK Eurocopter (Puma and Gazelle) Marshall of Cambridge Babcock Naval Services Ltd, BAE Systems, KBR (including DML) Babcock Engineering Services Ltd, BAE Systems, KBR (including DML), Thales, VT Smiths Detection, General Dynamics UK, SERCO Assurance, EDS Source: Ministry of Defence, (2005). Defence Industrial Strategy, Defence White Paper, December, http://www.mod.uk/nr/rdonlyres/f530ed6c-f80c-4f24-8438-0b587cc4bf4d/0/def_industrial_strategy_wp_cm6697.pdf Table B.23. Main Contractors by Type of Munition (DIS, 2005) Type of Munitions Large Calibre Training Ammunition, Extended Range Bomblet System, Naval 4.5” Gun Prod HE and SUP, 120 Tank CHARM 3 Training Round, 81mm Mortar, 30mm Aden TP, 30mm DSRR Training Round, KCB/KAA Naval Rounds, Small Arms Ammunition, BLADE, DU Demil, Munitions Global Post Design Services, Naval Proof Yard, SX2 Explosive Aircraft counter-measures Mines & explosives Phalanx ammunition 105mm Illuminating Smokes and Marine Marker pyrotechnics General pyrotechnics, including smokes 66mm Anti-tank rocket Aircraft counter-measures General pyrotechnics including Smokes, Illuminating, EOD stores Packaging Technical support services Name of Organisation BAE Systems Chemring Countermeasures Troon Investments Ltd General Dynamics Bofors Defence Ltd Denis Ferranti Meters Ltd Rheinmetall Waffe Munition NAMMO Wallop Defence PW Defence Austin Hayes Ltd QinetiQ Nobel Enterprises Source: Ministry of Defence, (2005). Defence Industrial Strategy, Defence White Paper, December, http://www.mod.uk/nr/rdonlyres/f530ed6c-f80c-4f24-8438-0b587cc4bf4d/0/def_industrial_strategy_wp_cm6697.pdf 230 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Table B.24. The Main UK Army Equipment Type of Equipment Model Main Battle Tanks (MBT) Reconnaissance (Recce) 345 x Challenger 2 320 x Scimitar (tracked) 11 x Fuchs NBC Recce (wheeled) 200 x Panther (wheeled - 200 more on order) Armoured Infantry Fighting Vehicle (AIFV) 550 x MCV 80 Warrior (tracked - 200 more in store) Armoured Personnel Carrier (APC) 380 x Bulldog (tracked - AFV 432 type) 700 x AFV 432 (tracked) 495 x Spartan (tracked) 147 x Saxon Patrol (wheeled) 250 x Mastiff (wheeled) 130 x Jackal (wheeled) 166 x Vector (wheeled) Towed Artillery 135 x 105 mm Light Gun Self Propelled Artillery (SP Arty) 134 x 155 mm AS 90 (40 more in store) Multiple Rocket Launcher (MRL) 42 x 227 mm (G)MLRS Mortars (Mor) 600 x 60 mm Light Mortar (possibly 1,500 in store) 470 x 81 mm Mortar (including 112 SP) Anti-Tank (Atk) 300 x Javelin ATGW 60 x Swingfire ATGW (SP on Striker) 1,000 x MBT LAW (estimate) Low Level Air Defence (LLAD) 84 x Stormer with HVM (tracked) 24 x SP Rapier Fire Units 145 x Starstreak LML Army Aviation 66 x Apache AH Mk 1 (attack) 100 x Lynx (utility) 42 x Gazelle (utility) Unmanned Air Vehicles (UAV) 54 x Watchkeeper (deliveries commenced) 100 plus x Hermes 450 (our estimate) Desert Hawk Source: UK Armed Forces, http://www.armedforces.co.uk/Europeandefence/edcountries/countryuk.htm#Summary 231 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Table B.25. List of UK Firearms Manufacturers Name of Manufacturer AA Brown & Sons Accuracy International Anderson Wheeler Atkin Grant & Lang Birmingham Small Arms Company Guns Ltd (BSA Guns Ltd) Boss & Co Charles Hellis & Sons Cogswell & Harrison Dickson & MacNaughton E.J. Churchill Gunmakers Frederick Beesley Graham Mackinlay & Co Gunmakers Holland & Holland Holloway and Naughton, Ltd. James Purdey & Sons Ltd John Rigby & Co (HQ in US but manufacturing in the UK) London Gun and Rifle Maker Longthorne (Gunmakers) Ltd. P V Nelson Gunmakers Ltd Rangemaster Precision Arms Ltd Ronald Wharton Watson Bros Westley Richards William Evans William Powell William & Son William Evans Gun & Rifle Makers W.J. Jeffery & Co. W. Richards (L’Pool) Ltd. W W Greener Viking Arms Ltd Website http://www.doubleguns.co.uk/ http://www.accuracyinternational.com/ http://www.andersonwheeler.co.uk/ http://www.atkingrantandlang.com/ http://www.bsaguns.co.uk/ http://www.bossguns.co.uk/ http://www.hellis.com/ http://www.cogswellandharrison.com/ http://www.dicksonandmacnaughton.com/ http://www.ejchurchill.com/ http://www.frederickbeesley.org/ http://www.glasgowgunmakers.co.uk/ http://www.hollandandholland.com/ http://www.hollowaynaughton.co.uk/ http://www.purdey.com/ http://johnrigbyandco.com/about http://www.londongunandriflemaker.co.uk/ http://www.longthorneguns.com/ http://www.rangemasterprecisionarms.com/ http://www.bunduki.co.uk/ http://www.watsonbrosgunmakers.com/ http://www.westleyrichards.com/ http://www.williamevans.com/ http://www.william-powell.co.uk/ http://www.williamandson.com/ http://www.williamevans.com/ http://www.wjjeffery.co.uk/ http://www.wrichardsguns.co.uk/ http://www.wwgreener.com/ http://www.vikingarms.com/ Source: http://waoline.com/detente/sport/hunt-/ArcheryLinks/ArmsLinks.htm; http://www.guntrader.co.uk/WebLinks/ 232 Study on the Perspectives of the European Land Armament Sector - Final Report Annex B. Country Case Studies Graph B.13 UK Security Exports by Product Type 2011 Source: UKTI Defence & Security Organisation, (2012). UK Defence and Security Exports for 2011, 26.4.2012, http://www.ukti.gov.uk/defencesecurity/item/300340.html. 233