Here
Transcription
Here
Featured In Fully informing your critical business and research decisions Those seeking global business and investment opportunities in the NewSpace industry have been significantly disadvantaged by the lack of a complete source for industry-specific expert information and analysis. Some Companies We Track Today, their source is NewSpace Global. Products Observer Observer is a company-by-company database of information and analysis. Available for every company on the NSG 100 and NSG OTB, Observer integrates with Thruster, NewSpace Watch, and the NSG Indices to offer a one-stop shop for information on NewSpace companies. Some Investors We Follow Thruster Thruster, NSG’s monthly market tracking report, details the important events and other business activity in the NewSpace industry, including: • Leading Investors in NewSpace • Exclusive Interviews with NewSpace Leaders • Publicly Traded Companies in NewSpace • Large / SmallCap Review • Real Estate • Technologies “Scaled” to Space • Space-Derived Technologies Used on Earth • Public Policy • Point-to-Point: Western Europe, Asia, Canada, Russia and Eastern Europe, Brazil LETTER FROM THE EDITOR From Knieval to Canaveral: Why NewSpace Must Leverage Media Markets Years before Felix Baumgartner amazed millions with Red Bull Stratos, and Nik Wallenda tightrope walked across the Grand Canyon, there Richard M. David was Mr. Evel Knieval. When I was a child, Knieval was the man. Knieval, who desired to be the first to jump a motorcycle over the Grand Canyon, once said: “I don’t care if they say, ‘Look, kid, you’re going to drive that thing off the edge of the Canyon and die,’ I’m going to do it. I want to be the first. If they’d let me go to the moon, I’d crawl all the way to [Cape Canaveral] just to do it. I’d like to go to the moon, but I don’t want to be the second man to go there.” His daredevil stunts, Elvis-like wardrobe and poetic name were a metaphor of courage for kids of my generation. As an adult today, I realize Knieval’s marketing prowess and ability to leverage mass media were perhaps as impressive as the motorcycle jumps and the dozens of bones he broke performing them. dia. Unfortunately, there is much skepticism by serious “engineurs” who tolerate marketing experts only slightly more than corporate lawyers. (Please see “Exit Strategy / Escape Velocity” in the April 2012 issue of Thruster.) But therein lies the rub: you might build a cutting edge smallsat or engineer a hyper-efficient micro-thruster but if you don’t communicate it properly, will your story – like the fateful tree that falls in solitude – even be heard? Knieval’s marketing prowess and ability to leverage mass media were perhaps as impressive as the motorcycle jumps and the dozens of bones he broke performing them. While many hard-nosed NewSpace executives may question the value produced by Baumgartner, Wallenda, or Knieval, one thing is for certain: all three generated (and continue to generate) vast sums of money for many of those in the me4 Thruster • September 2013 The Wright brothers faced a similar dilemma. Following the success of the Wright Flyer, the mas- ter of all things marketing, P.T. Barnum, allegedly approached the Akron duo with an offer of $100,000 (inflation-adjusted would be several million dollars today) to perform aerial tricks in Barnum’s famous traveling circus. The Wrights refused to sign the contract because, as they explained, “we are not circus performers.” For the NewSpace industry to grow properly, NSG 100, NSG OTB, and NSG PTC leaders Richard Phillips speaking at NewSpace 2013 must understand that the media Photo credit: Franklin Moore should not be feared. (Please see “LargeCap Review” in this issue sors, et cetera. Now is the time to rethink corporate of Thruster.) The good news is that, for the intro- goals and create and deliver messages designed to verted NewSpace executive who fears marketing resonate with the right audiences.” more than an acrophobe fears base jumping, all is not lost. Or as Caroline Venza, founder of Mission Richard Phillips, President of Phillips & Company Control Communications, advises: “Unfortunately, an Austin-based communications strategy firm, the majority of NewSpace companies are in the adds that “NewSpace companies do not underweeds when it comes to branding. For the most stand that a good communication strategy requires part, they’ve gotten to where they are with little to that you position yourself as a leader on the issues no branding, focusing instead on meeting highly that are driving the market. And most NewSpace complex technical milestones.” As the NewSpace companies are still focused on driving media mesindustry matures from a state of nascency into a sages on ‘fire and smoke’ announcements or keythriving innovation economy, corporate leaders note speaker placements.” Phillips, who intromust learn to think beyond innovation. Venza con- duced me to his “Leadership Momentum Model” tinues, “In this new phase, technologies are com- at the NewSpace conference last month, believes ing to market and these companies need to attract that NSG-tracked companies must build so-called outside stakeholders be it media, investors, spon- market momentum (as a byproduct of Speed times Direction). While Phillips is generally bullish on the commercialization of space, he advises like Venza who spent a decade marketing for clean tech companies in Silicon Valley, that understanding analogs to successful companies in other industries can prove useful for NewSpace market strategy. “When Cisco Systems entered the market with a competitive router, Lucent and 3Com were “In the next 10 years...a few NewSpace companies will rise to the challenge and those that communicate with vision and passion will win.” Evel Knievel preparing for his Snake River Canyon jump © 2013 NewSpace Global, LLC • (855) NSG-INDEX PRINT ONCE - DO NOT FORWARD - DO NOT COPY – Richard Phillips, President, Phillips & Company www.newspaceglobal.com • [email protected] September 2013 • Thruster 5 PRINT ONCE - DO NOT FORWARD - DO NOT COPY NewSpace Watch NewSpace Watch (www.newspacewatch.com) reports daily on the latest events, technical progress, company announcements, conferences, investment activity, and other developments in the NewSpace industry. NewSpace Watch is read regularly by industry leaders, academics, government agents, investors, students, and enthusiasts. Its legacy goes back over a decade and contains over 25,000 articles. The NSG Indices NSG Analysts track over 700 privately and publicly held companies across the following three live indices: • NSG 100: Top 100 privately held companies in NewSpace • NSG OTB: Privately held “On the Bubble” companies • NSG PTC: Top “Publicly Traded Companies” in NewSpace 14-Day Free Trial Click Here to Sign Up NewSpace Global, LLC | 855.NSG.INDEX / 855.674.4633 244 5th Avenue #1609, New York, NY 10001 www.newspaceglobal.com | www.newspacewatch.com New York • Cape Canaveral • Los Angeles • Salt Lake City • Washington, D.C. • San Francisco • Hong Kong • Boston • Beijing • Seattle • Toronto © Copyright 2014 NewSpace Global, LLC. All Rights Reserved. www.newspaceglobal.com • [email protected] July / August 2014 • Thruster PRINT ONCE - DO NOT FORWARD - DO NOT COPY 1 Contents I. NSG 100 REVIEW Avoiding the Heartbreak: NSG Companies Still Taking Their Time in the 3rd Vertical 4 Stewart Money II. NSG OTB REVIEW The Proof Is In the NSG OTB Pudding 7 Cory Harrigan III. INDEX REVIEW Benjamin Strevy IV. 10 OBSERVER SNAPSHOT Virgin Galactic XCOR Aerospace 14 15 NSG Analysts V. NEWSPACE TIMELINE The Past Months in Review from NewSpace Watch 16 Clark S. Lindsey VI. SMALLSAT REVIEW Entering to Exit 20 Jigar Patel VII. POINT-TO-POINT CANADA: Canadian Space Tourism Companies Working the Retail Angle Chuck Black 2 Thruster • July / August 2014 © 2014 NewSpace Global, LLC • (855) NSG-INDEX PRINT ONCE - DO NOT FORWARD - DO NOT COPY 23 RUSSIA AND EASTERN EUROPE: Russia’s Trampoline to Nowhere Opens the Door for NewSpace 25 Andrew Tytarenko WESTERN EUROPE: Europe Pursues Human Spaceflight and Establishes A Domestic 3rd Vertical Market 28 Viacheslav Pronskyi VIII. SPACELAND What Makes a Spaceport Business Take Off? 31 Geoff Buswell IX. SPECIAL FEATURE Watch This Space 35 Bob Clarebrough X. LEADERS OF NEWSPACE Planning a Suborbital Future with XCOR CEO Jeff Greason 40 David Bullock XI. FUTURE STARS An Interview with Bob Dylan, the World’s First Space Tortist 45 James Douglas XII. GLOSSARY NSG-SPECIFIC GLOSSARY 49 GENERAL GLOSSARY 49 www.newspaceglobal.com • [email protected] July / August 2014 • Thruster PRINT ONCE - DO NOT FORWARD - DO NOT COPY 3 SPACELAND What Makes a Spaceport Business Take Off? The United Kingdom turned rhetoric into a concrete roadmap on July 15 when details of plans were announced at the Farnborough Airshow to realize an operational UK Spaceport by 2018. A short list of 8 locations across the UK (6 in Scotland, 1 in Wales and 1 in England) were presented with a final decision expected by next March, ahead of the general election 2 months later. The spaceport is part of an overall UK space strategy that aims to create 100,000 new jobs and capture a 10% market share of a projected $680Bln global space industry by 2030. Business Secretary Vince Cable stated that “exploring the opportunities that commercial spaceflight presents, and potentially making strategic investments in this area, will support the growth of this thriving industry and underpin the economy of tomorrow, making the UK the place for space.” ty experiments conducted in Geoff Buswell drop chambers, airplanes or (in the future) suborbital spacecraft; training facilities for UAV operations, astronauts, and pilots; STEM based courses at nearby colleges or universities; or tourists who are happy to keep their feet on the ground and pay to visit a spaceport. So how are the other 5th Vertical spaceport organizations around the world attracting such customers? Spaceport America is capable of serving a wide variety of them, but it has come at significant cost. Christine Anderson, Executive Director of Spaceport America, told NewSpace Global “We started with just sand in the desert and so far $218.4Mln of tax bond money from the state has been spent on creating our state of the art facility. We have been able to design it right from the start to have attractive, energy efficient buildings with the facilities located to accommodate efficient operational procedures. We can accommodate both horizontal take off with a 12,000 ft runway and vertical take-off from a location five miles away.” Virgin But are there enough customers out there to facilitate sustainable business models in an increasingly populated spaceport marketplace? (Please see “Spaceland” in the May 2012 issue of Thruster.) However, the point is not only about customers that are able to regularly fly wealthy space tourists, launch astronauts to the ISS, or satellites into orbit. Most spaceports have business models which utilise other revenue streams. (Please see “Spaceland” in the Premier issue of Thruster.) Examples of other revenue streams include: on-site tenants who build and test spacecraft or conduct R&D there; unmanned activities such as the launch of sounding rockets and stratoThe Llanbedr airfield, one location for the potential UK spaceport spheric balloons; micrograviwww.newspaceglobal.com • [email protected] July / August 2014 • Thruster 31 PRINT ONCE - DO NOT FORWARD - DO NOT COPY Galactic CEO George Whitesides confirms the at- the largest underground iron ore mine in the world, tractiveness of the approach: “The fact it was built which supports another high tech industry. There from scratch with our business in mind means it is is significant potential for cross-sector innovation.” extremely well-matched to our requirements.” Anderson goes on to explain “We have other customers too, with UP Aerospace already having performed 11 launches with us and SpaceX having agreed to operate their Falcon 9-R reusable vehicle from Spaceport America. They are scheduled to begin testing here in the next few months.” Spaceport Indiana is focusing on unmanned activThe town of Kiruna, within the Arctic Circle, hosts ities. Depending on customers’ needs, it offers exSpaceport Sweden, currently leading the way in pertise and facilities, such as rockets and vehicles, to terms of spaceport facilities in Europe. Their CEO allow the testing of new innovations in ground, air, Karin Nilsdotter said, “Kiruna has been a space city and near space environments. Spaceport Indiana’s since 1957 and offers a one-stop shop and centre of CEO Brian Tanner said “The best analogy might be excellence for suborbital space launches and related that we provide a ‘Ski Resort style system’ that ofactivities. In Kiruna, we offer launch infrastructure fers the ability to use our slopes, our skis, and our and services, satellite communications and control, warm clothing… or bring your own skis and clothpayload integration, and research, test and evalua- ing to our slope. We also offer a 4D airspace mantion facilities. This is in combination with access to agement app that helps maximize the efficient use restricted airspace, low human density areas, dry of airspace and reduce conflicts. This enables the and stable weather conditions, and unique tour- commercial customers to use the national airspace ism experiences as part of our spaceport offering.” system cost effectively by turning it on and off like Nilsdotter went on and explained, “We also have a light bulb based on where you are”. Spaceport Indiana is also providing inspiration to young people. “We offer summer camps that provide hands on experience,” explained Tanner. “They are dealing with real hardware and performing launches to the edge of space at the end of their camp experience.” One important variable for success in a spaceport business model is the proximity of training facilities. After attracting XCOR and Orbital Outfitters, will Midland lure any further NewSpace companies? 32 Thruster • July / August 2014 According to Kevin Heath, the President and CEO of WayPoint 2 Space, one important variable for success in a spaceport business model is the proximity of training facilities. “Our company has put together the most comprehensive training program out there. 80% of training is broadly the same wherever you train, with 20% being vehicle and mission specific, so our vision is to franchise our offering around the world. We have already been contacted by spaceports in Europe and the Emirates, who recognise that hosting such a training program can be a draw to the vehicle operators.” © 2014 NewSpace Global, LLC • (855) NSG-INDEX PRINT ONCE - DO NOT FORWARD - DO NOT COPY And what do the potential customers think about an increasingly competitive spaceport marketplace? Some of them are taking advantage of the greater choice and incentives, with parts of their business being split across several spaceports. Andrew Nelson, COO of XCOR said, “We have agreed to move significant amounts of our R&D from Mojave to Midland, with the production of our Lynx vehicles taking place at Kennedy in Florida, and operations from Kennedy, Mojave, and Curacao. Florida and Texas were attractive because of the extremely favorable terms for business, as opposed to California, which is more challenging. Keeping R&D separate from operations makes sense to us as you don’t want free-thinking individuals on the R&D side saying to the guys from operations (who are committed to executing the same safe processes every day) ‘hey, did you think of trying this?’” tion. Quite simply, they are putting more on the table to create a successful spaceport than anyone else. They will go above and beyond in their support if you can help make their NewSpace vision a reality!” “It is very positive for the marketplace that the UK has concluded it wants a spaceport.” Jeff Feige heads up Orbital Outfitters, which makes space suits for next generation space travellers and creates full-scale spacecraft mock-ups. ORBO is the second NewSpace company to be lured by Midland Development Corp, with a deal announced in January worth $7Mln. Feige is keen to emphasise the drive of Midland to make their mark on the NewSpace Industry. “The 100 mile radius around Midland City accounts for 1/3 of US oil produc- – Christine Anderson, Executive Director, Spaceport America VG probably won’t be lured by the oil revenues of Midland anytime soon, though. “We are very focused on our two locations of Mojave and New Mexico,” said Whitesides. “But being able to have facilities for spaceflight in many parts of the world is positive for the industry. It will enable greater choice for space tourists and allow people to fly close to home or seek out a specific experience in another country. And we shouldn’t forget about satellite deployment as many countries will want to have the capability to launch payloads.” We may even be seeing the growing number of spaceports as the possible beginnings of a loose network to facilitate point to point travel in the future. Launch of CLYD’s UKube-1 was delayed repeatedly. www.newspaceglobal.com • [email protected] Will we see under-utilized spaceports given the current trend of many more infrastructure dollars invested than vehicle dollars? Anderson thinks not. “You are talking about large amounts of money, typically with private investors involved who will do their homework. This will control the growth of spaceports. However, having done their homework, it is very positive for the marketplace that the UK has concluded it wants a spaceport.” Nilsdotter was equally positive and didn’t see an immediate problem with the UK competing for customers. “Spaceport July / August 2014 • Thruster 33 PRINT ONCE - DO NOT FORWARD - DO NOT COPY Sweden has long-term collaborations with spaceports in Mojave, New Mexico, and Florida, and we are keen to do the same with the UK. We are building a new industry here and face similar challenges, so it is important that we join forces across borders to create jobs and inspire our young people to take up STEM subjects.” So how can the UK ensure there is a sustainable business model and significant economic growth stimulation from their spaceport? Certainly the UK doesn’t have the almost guaranteed cloud-free skies of New Mexico, or the draw of the Northern Lights like Kiruna. But there are lot of positives too: world experts in small satellites from 1st Vertical companies like Surrey Satellite Technology Ltd and Clyde Space (exemplified by the recent launch on July 8 of the TechDemoSat-1 and UKube-1 spacecrafts); potentially game-changing technology from 2nd Vertical company Reaction Engines, which could form the basis of the Skylon spaceplane, a published national space strategy which has widespread support across industry, academia, and the public sector. This could be very important in attracting private investment to the spaceport and enabling the commercialisation of cutting edge R&D; a geography allowing relatively localised supply chains; and a very large number of multi-millionaires and billionaires – London contains the most of any city in the world according to the recent “Times Rich List.” Companies Mentioned NSG 100 NSG PTC NSG OTB Who knows what the UK Spaceport could enable in decades to come? Perhaps a point-to-point global network may enable super-fast travel with tourists able to taste clotted cream in Cornwall, and then sample a Caribbean beach in Curacao a couple of hours later? Geoff Busswell heads up CGI’s Space Applications business and is a first-time contributor to Thruster. 34 Thruster • July / August 2014 © 2014 NewSpace Global, LLC • (855) NSG-INDEX PRINT ONCE - DO NOT FORWARD - DO NOT COPY © Copyright 2014 NewSpace Global, LLC (“NSG”). This Publication is protected by US and International Copyright laws. All rights reserved. No license is granted to the user except for the user’s personal use and only one printed version is allowed. No part of this Publication or its contents, may be copied, downloaded, stored in a retrieval system, further transmitted, or otherwise reproduced, stored, disseminated, transferred, or used, in any form or by any means, except as permitted under the NSG User Agreement or with prior written permission. This publication is proprietary and limited to the sole use of NSG subscribers. Each reproduction of any part of this Publication or its contents must contain notice of NSG or any of the NSG indices’ copyright. Pursuant to US Copyright law, damages for liability of infringing a copyright may amount to $30,000 per infringement and, in the case of wilful infringement; the amount may be up to $150,000 per infringement, in addition to the recovery of costs and attorneys’ fees. Our reports are based upon information gathered from various sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. The information in this report is not intended to be, and shall not constitute, an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security or investment product or service. The information in this report is subject to change without notice, and NSG assumes no responsibility to update the information contained in this report. The publisher and/or its individual officers, employees, or members of their families might, from time to time, have a position in the securities mentioned and may purchase or sell these securities in the future. The publisher and/or its individual officers, employees, or members of their families might, from time to time, have financial interests with affiliates of companies whose securities have been discussed in this publication. Subscription information: NSG Subscriptions, 244 5th Avenue, Suite #1609, NY, NY, 10001. WWW.NEWSPACEGLOBAL.COM [email protected] 54 Thruster • July / August 2014 © 2014 NewSpace Global, LLC • (855) NSG-INDEX PRINT ONCE - DO NOT FORWARD - DO NOT COPY