CEDREN Senter for miljødesign av fornybar energi

CEDREN
Senter for miljødesign av fornybar energi
Fornybar energi på lag med naturen
Vannkraftteknologi
for framtida
Miljødesign av
vannkraft
Miljøvirkninger av
vindkraft og
overføringslinjer
Hvordan forene
miljø- og
energipolitiske
hensyn?
Hydro storage –
a renewable battery
Norway


Hundreds of large reservoirs
20 reservoirs with more than 100
Mm3 both up- and downstream
Europeisk pumpekraftmagasin
German Minister of Economy, Philipp Roesler, visiting the Blue
battery of Norway – guided by Regional Statkraft Director and
CEDREN Chairman of the Board, Jan Alne.
50 000 MW
Norwegian hydro
capacity to make
Germany 100 per
cent renewable by
2050
1
184
367
550
733
916
1099
1282
1465
1648
1831
2014
2197
2380
2563
2746
2929
3112
3295
3478
3661
3844
4027
4210
4393
4576
4759
4942
5125
5308
5491
5674
5857
6040
6223
6406
6589
6772
6955
7138
7321
7504
7687
7870
8053
8236
8419
8602
Simulated wind production in the North Sea area in 2030
– 100 000 MW installed capacity
90000,00
80000,00
80 000 MW
70000,00
60000,00
50000,00
40000,00
30000,00
20000,00
10000,00
0,00
one year
30000
1
35
69
103
137
171
205
239
273
307
341
375
409
443
477
511
545
579
613
647
681
715
749
783
817
851
885
919
953
987
1021
1055
1089
1123
1157
1191
1225
1259
1293
1327
1361
1395
1429
1463
1497
1531
1565
1599
1633
1667
1701
1735
1769
1803
1837
1871
1905
1939
1973
2007
2041
2075
2109
2143
2177
Januar - mars
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
7 x 24 h
20000
10000
0
30000
1
35
69
103
137
171
205
239
273
307
341
375
409
443
477
511
545
579
613
647
681
715
749
783
817
851
885
919
953
987
1021
1055
1089
1123
1157
1191
1225
1259
1293
1327
1361
1395
1429
1463
1497
1531
1565
1599
1633
1667
1701
1735
1769
1803
1837
1871
1905
1939
1973
2007
2041
2075
2109
2143
2177
Juli - september
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
7 x 24 h
20000
10000
0
CEDREN Case
study 2030
Tyin
Aurland
Hol
Sima
Nore
Mauranger/Oksla/Tysso
Tinnsjø
Kvilldal
Shetland
Jøsenf jorden
Holen
Orknøyene
Lysebotn
Tonstad
The technical potential
The technical potential
20 000 MW in southern Norway possible
Business development
opportunities
Energy companies
 Constructing industry
 Equipment
 Engineering
 Consultants
 Trade
 Support services

11,2 GW  30 000 M NOK
= 2,68 M NOK/MW
= 0,36 M €/MW
(without grid or cables)
The European Multi-area Power Market Simulator(EMPS)
Preliminary results:
 Increased exchange capacity
crucial to use available storage
 Surplus energy is used
 Reduced curtailment
 Increased prices in Norway
 More secure energy supply
 Reduced CO2 emissions
Current model:
• 55 areas in Europe
• 96 connections
• 15 offshore wind
areas
• 75 years of wind,
solar and hydro
resources simulated
• Start/stop nuclear
and pumping
handled
www.susplan.eu
www.sintef.no/links
16
Impacts on fish ?
Erosion
Unsafe ice conditions ?
Threatening
biodiversity ?
More overhead
power lines
Collision risk for birds and
other wildlife impacts
Drawdown zone exposed
– changed pattern?
53
Stage - lower reservoir
Simulated
Current
52
meters
51
50
49
48
47
Jan05
Mar05
May05
Jul05
Sep05
Nov05
Social acceptance
Interviews of major stakeholders
- rules of the Norwegian Social Science Data Services





All stakeholders: Norway could help
reducing climate change by offering
balancing services from hydropower
Not realistic by 2020 political and
regulatory clarification
Limitations by environmental, commercial
and financial constraints or uncertainty
Existing grid policy major barrier
+ share benefits and costs from new cables
Better involvement of local communities
+ benefit sharing and change in current
legislation
Natural gas
Intergovernmental
agreements
 Long-term contracts
 Security of supply
(Germany)
 Security of income and
investment return
(Norway)


Why not the same for
exchange of renewable
energy ?????
Hydro and gas for balancing power
Timesteps
 Days and weeks
(relate to wind
power)
 Day-night
regulation
(~12 hours)
 Spot marked
(1 hour)
 Balancing
marked
(msec - 15 min)
Flexible
reservoir
DC cable
Hydropower
plant
Line pack
Gas power plant
Why collaboration gas-hydro?
Demand for balancing and energy storage
 Market integration
 Regulatory and political issues
 Possibilities for Norway
 Learn from each other
Bring pieces to the table
- Put them together?
 Develop common scenarios
 Develop common case studies






Uncertain future – many scenarios
Rapid changes may come (…Fukoshima)
Hydro reservoirs = always an excellent energy storage
We probably need governmental agreements and new markets
Combined with other energy markets?
31
www.cedren.no
Contact: [email protected]