WILL ACCELERATE - Merchants Fleet Management
Transcription
WILL ACCELERATE - Merchants Fleet Management
SPECIAL REPORT introduction PRODUCTIVITY MAINTENANCE VEHICLE SELECTION & PURCHASING TAXATION LICENSE & TITLE Pace of Change will Accelerate In the next 10 years, the fleet industry is forecast to change more than it has in the past 15 years. These changes will mirror the broader transformation percolating throughout the global economy, impacting many industry segments. By Mike Antich H ow will fleet management change in the next 10-plus years? In the following five articles, we have assembled a stellar ensemble of leading subject-matter experts who present wideranging forecasts about an array of fleet issues from both a service and product perspective. They include forecasts on: ● Faster, better, and more sophisticated productivity tools. ● An explosion of driver apps and the entrenchment of mobile technology as the primary medium for driver interaction. ● Increasingly sophisticated vehicle connectivity tools enabling predictive analytics. ● The fleet maintenance transition from reactive to proactive practices using remote diagnostics tools. ● The fleet impact of the larger societal migration to the “Internet of Everything” and the use of Big Data to drive fleet data analytics. ● The impact of CAFE regulations on new-vehicle selection and purchasing. 14 automotive fleet I january 2015 ● Fleet taxation trends and the desire of some legislators to tax Web-based services. ● Technological changes to license & title services. In most cases, these fleet trends will be manifestations of a broader macro transformation that is percolating throughout the global economy. These changes will impact many different industry segments, with fleet representing only one offshoot of this multipronged, multi-faceted change. Historically, fleet has proven to be an early adopter of new technologies and business practices; therefore, it is important to watch how technology and business practices are evolving outside of fleet. How will these innovations be incorporated into fleet management? The greatest catalyst for fleet management change in the next 10-15 years will be technology-driven, and it will be driven by technology developed outside of fleet management that will be customized to our business practices. This will result in myriad of fleet functions redefined by technology. Generational Upheaval The other major change that will transform fleet management will be driven by demographics. The majority of people in fleet today occupy a narrow demographic band, primarily baby boomers. In the next 10-15 years, there will be a dramatic generational change as baby boomers retire. A new generation of thought leaders will emerge, who will have never known life without the Internet, social media, and on-demand connectivity. They will be comfortable working in a fleet environment increasingly governed by technology and will be receptive to adopting new technologies. I predict this new techsavvy workforce (and management) will demand and even accelerate the adoption of technological solutions in fleet operations. In the next 14 pages, this special report will offer a detailed exploration of how the fleet industry will change in the next decade. Let us know if we missed anything. [email protected] SPECIAL REPORT Future Trends in Fleet Productivity Tools Mobile apps will be fully integrated into fleet and become the medium for driver interaction, while cloud computing will accelerate the transmission of data. Vehicle connectivity will add a new dimension to fleet management. By Mike Antich D ramatic changes are on the horizon for fleet productivity tools. Companies will continue to embrace the use of technology in fleet vehicles to reduce fleet costs, as well as drive employee productivity. Advancements in automotive technology will see future vehicles with integrated technology to directly manage fuel purchases and capture telematics data to manage driver behavior and proactive maintenance scheduling. One forecast is that the data coming from the vehicle itself, combined with maintenance data and general data on that model, will allow fleets to target replacement on at a glance Various factors will impact future fleet productivity tools including: Increased usage of mobile applications for daily fleet operations. Enhanced used of “Big Data” for analytics and fleet information. Use of cloud computing to accelerate fleet decision making, resulting in faster interaction with drivers. Use of online tools to analyze “what-if” scenarios. Increased use of digital wallets, which will supplant fuel cards. ● ● ● ● ● 16 automotive fleet I january 2015 a vehicle-by-vehicle basis rather than by a generalized replacement date. The trend toward cloud computing will enable fleet solution providers to offer higher degrees of data and system integration. These new technology capabilities will result in highly customizable solutions for fleet managers. Here are the top trends that will impact fleet productivity over the next 10 to 15 years: ■ Mobile Applications will be More Integrated into Daily Fleet Operations “Mobile devices will have tighter integration into vehicles. Beyond connecting hands-free phone and music, mobile devices will be able to wirelessly sync key vehicle data, ROZMIAREK Wheels Inc. including mileage, health checks, and performance, wirelessly with the mobile device, which, in turn, can use that information for applications,” said Jerry Rozmiarek, assistant vice president – information technology at Wheels Inc. “Mobile devices, already ubiquitous in 2014, will be the sole way drivers handle their fleet tasks. Mileage reporting, trip logs, and finding vendors will all happen through mobile devices and will make use of the capabilities (such as location awareness) of those devices to automate tasks. All key fleet documents will be digital and available in a mobile device,” added Rozmiarek. ■ Integrated Technology to Free Vehicles from Fleet Policy Constraints “Vehicles will be produced with integrated technology to directly manage fuel purchases and capture telematics data to manage driver behavior and proactive COFFEY maintenance scheduling. Merchants Fleet Management This improved data will allow vehicles to be cycled based on their individual merit as opposed to a standard fleet policy,” said Tom Coffey, vice president, sales and marketing at Merchants Fleet Management. ■ ‘Big Data’ to Have a Big Impact “ ‘Big Data’ will drive decisions for all aspects of fleet management, including vehicle selection, maintenance management, and driver safety planning. With the continued use of fleet analytics and A New Generation of Telematics will Emerge Subject-matter experts see telematics becoming increasingly crucial to fleet management: accessibility to greater amounts of data, fleets will become more efficient, operate with fewer resources, and show an increase in productivity,” said Becky LangLANGMANDEL mandel, director, strate- LeasePlan USA gic modeling & analytics at LeasePlan USA. Likewise, other subject-matter experts see Big Data as having a tremendous impact on fleet management. “In the near-term, Big Data will help us understand relationships we never would have looked at in the past, metrics such as connecting sales or delivery performance to the vehicle, and identifying patterns for accidents or connections that we have yet to think of. The point is that we will be evaluating data in ways that we never would have imagined in the recent past,” said Steve Jastrow, strategic consulting manager at JASTROW GE Capital Fleet Services. GE Capital Fleet Services ■ Cloud Computing will Accelerate Fleet Decision-Making “The trend toward cloud computing will enable fleet solution providers to offer higher degrees of data and system integration. These new technology capabilities will CANDELORO ARI result in highly customizable solutions for fleet managers. Additionally, increased data download speeds and better mobile devices and tablets will provide for more mobile-enriched opportunities that can be used by fleet managers and drivers to do more remote processing of fleet-related transactions and data-driven decision making,” said Tony Candeloro, vice president of product development at ARI. ■ Faster Interaction with Drivers “Cloud-based systems will allow FMCs, fleet managers, and drivers to communicate instantaneously, with live face-to-face ❱ Telematics is Part of a Larger Trend to the Connected Vehicle “There will be three big changes to fleet management. Those changes are all about data, data, and more data. This goes beyond just telematics data and is all about the connected vehicle. We envision a point where vehicles are talking to one another to give real-time updates on traffic patterns allowing for new and real-time routing change that impact productivity, or road conditions alerting drivers of slick or icy roads to slow down, resulting in fewer incidents. We also envision the vehicle auto scheduling repairs with local facilities as diagnostic codes are triggered or navigate drivers to the lowest cost for fuel,” said Steve Jastrow, strategic consulting manager at GE Capital Fleet Services. ❱ Fleet Productivity will Revolve Around Telematics “Fleet productivity tools are evolving at a rapid pace due to the adoption of telematics across many commercial fleets. Through telematics, customers are able to track their vehicles’ locations and ensure they are being properly utilized on the road. With a few clicks of the mouse, fleet managers can determine if their vehicles are taking the most efficient service calls, if their drivers are taking the most efficient routes, and if there is any overlap or duplication of efforts amongst drivers. Landmarking customer locations can provide real-time insight into the behavior patterns SLOAN of drivers, allowing companies to determine if under-visiting client sites impacts the Donlen revenue generated by the fleet. In addition, loading jobs into the telematics systems allows managers to determine if scheduled driver stops are being made and if they take the appropriate length of time. By utilizing telematics, customers not only ensure their drivers are safe on the road, but that they are maximizing their productivity and efficiency as well into the future,” said Tom Sloan, manager, telematics products at Donlen. ❱ Trends that will Make Fleet Telematics More Mainstream “There are two distinct trends that will lead to telematics becoming more accepted and used by the mainstream. First, there will be an improvement in the standardization of data collected between telematics providers and their devices, as well as between and among vehicle types. Second, manufacturers will begin to offer telematics solutions that better serve full-fleet compatibility. As these two trends occur, fleet managers will become more comfortable implementing telematics solutions and turning this technology into a true productivity tool,” said Tony Candeloro, vice president of product development at ARI. ❱ OEM-Based Telematics “We will have fully connected vehicles — telematics data will come directly from the OEM and aftermarket hardware will become extinct,” said Diana Holland, executive director of fleet management & sales support for Merchants Fleet Management. Similarly, other subject-matter experts foresee OEMs implementing telematics as factory-installed equipment. “Today, we have a lot of third-party players out there for telematics, collision avoidance, and driver behavior monitoring, and the OEMs are working these into standard offerings. In the short term, you will see the vehicle become much more of a fully rounded out option, meaning all of these options will become standardized within the vehicle and allow for more consistent data. This data will be used to do a more robust driver scorecard and allow for better gamification,” said Jastrow of GE Capital Fleet Services. ❱ All Fleet Vehicles to Have Onboard Telematics by 2025 “By 2020-2025, telematics will be installed in all fleet vehicles, producing significant data for analytics to improve driver routes, driver downtime, and any inefficiencies in the operation of the fleet,” said Becky Langmandel, director, strategic modeling & analytics for LeasePlan USA. ❱ Autonomous Vehicles will Make Telematics Standard Equipment “With driverless vehicles, telematics will be essential. Software will eventually be able to analyze each vehicle’s location throughout the day, and recommend fueling stations with the best prices. We may even see a shift in the appearance of gas stations, including having compressed natural gas (CNG) and charging stations for electric vehicles readily available,” said Ryan Gilbert, software developer at Element Fleet Management. january 2015 I automotive fleet 17 SPECIAL REPORT: productivity online interactions becoming the norm,” said James Semsey, vice president of information technology at LeasePlan USA. ■ Touchless Fleet Management will Proliferate SEMSEY LeasePlan USA “Cloud and mobile solutions will mostly impact fleet managers by making their experience as touchless as possible. The selfserve tools will be much GILBERT more powerful, meaning Element Fleet Management fleet managers will be able to do most of their work through Web tools. Mobile solutions will allow them to manage their fleet on the go, from a smartphone or tablet, with the same capabilities as when they are at their desk. The cloud is also relevant to vehicle interaction by being able to track the location and status of vehicles in real-time, communicate with drivers directly in the vehicle, and track fleet-wide metrics relative to the performance and productivity of the fleet as a whole,” said Ryan Gilbert, software developer at Element Fleet Management. ■ Explosion of Driver Apps “There will be increased usage of smartphones and tablets for fleet managers to complete work on the road. Also, with driver productivity/accountability becoming PURSELL Donlen more important, driver mobile apps will be one significant way to accomplish this goal. Simple, easy-touse mobile apps will be a critical need for all fleets,” said Jeff Pursell, vice president, FleetWeb products at Donlen. ■ Technology to Create an Uptick in Violations for Revenue Generation “As municipalities and local governments continue to see shrinking revenues, we will see more widespread use of technology to generate revenue from vi18 automotive fleet I january 2015 olations (‘smart’ parking meters, camera violations, more electronic toll authorities, etc.). What we see in major metro areas will be adopted in smaller cities and towns,” said HOLLAND Fleet Diana Holland, executive Merchants Management director of fleet management & sales support at Merchants Fleet Management. ■ Technology will Interact More with us, versus us Interacting with It “We are moving from a world where we interact with technology to a world where the technology (environment) interacts with us. For example, the Nest thermostat learns GE PETERS Capital Fleet Services our behaviors and reacts accordingly, as opposed to having us program our thermostats. It will be the same with our vehicles — vehicles will learn our patterns/schedules and support our activities related to our day-to-day transportation needs,” said Doug Peters, analytics leader at GE Capital Fleet Services. ■ Proactive Vehicle Communication to Become the New Fleet Norm “Companies will continue to embrace the use of technology in their fleet vehicles to reduce fleet costs as well as drive employee productivity. Increasingly, vehicles are able to proactively communicate information, letting the driver know when a vehicle requires servicing or when a maintenance issue exists,” said Amy Blaine, vice president, consulting, analytics, and sustainability at Donlen. ■ Digital Wallets will Supplant Fuel Cards “Digital wallets, enabled through mobile technologies (phones or wearables), will supplant fuel cards as the payment mechanism,” said Rozmiarek of Wheels. ■ Gamification will be a Key Tool in Driver Behavior Modification “Gamification will become a key to controlling driver behavior, allowing for competition among drivers and rewards for good driver behavior in regards to safety, productivity, and vehicle maintenance,” said Semsey of LeasePlan USA. ■ Data Analytics to Have a Huge Impact in Developing Actionable Fleet Events “Of all the new innovations that will hit the fleet market in the next five to 10 years, data analytics will have the biggest impact. The ability to create and use tools that will turn raw data into actionable events will significantly impact fleet managers. These next-generation productivity tools will aggregate and correlate massive amounts of data and turn these data points into a series of recommendations, best practices, and predictable outcomes,” said Candeloro of ARI. ■ The Rise of Online Tools to Analyze Real-Time ‘What-If’ Scenarios “The rise of integrated, advanced data analytics will change the way fleets are managed. The data coming from the vehicle itself, combined with maintenance data and general data on that model, will allow fleets to target replacement on a vehicleby-vehicle basis rather than a generalized replacement date. Fleets will have online tools to do real-time ‘what-if ’ scenarios in selecting vehicles that forecast how a given model will perform over multiple years across a range of variables from fuel economy to maintenance to safety,” said Rozmiarek of Wheels. ■ Vehicles Become True Mobile Offices “Vehicles are already becoming more of a mobile office with WiFi-enabled capabilities, and we envision this trend to continue and become a standard offering,” said Jastrow of GE Capital Fleet Services. ■ More Prevalent Driver Behavior Management Tools “The use of driver behavior management tools will become more prevalent. Driver scorecards that measure, track, and drive better decision making around SPECIAL REPORT: productivity driver behavior and how these behaviors impact safety, productivity, and cost containment will become more commonplace,” said Candeloro of ARI. ■ Visual Analytics to Compete with Traditional Analytical Tools “The tools will become more analytical and visual as well. Traditional analysis tools, such as Microsoft Excel and Access, will be used; however, these other visual tools will start becoming more standard in our analysis,” said Jastrow of GE Capital Fleet Services. ■ New Fleet Management Capabilities Resulting from Connected Vehicles “The majority of OEMs will include cellular connectivity for many all-new models in the next 10 years. This will drive a number of services, such as the ability of vehicles to alert a driver and maintenance advisor with specific information if it is having a problem. In addition, there will be the ability to send information to the vehicle. This could include targeted traffic alerts, or something like a change in itinerary for the driver,” said Rozmiarek of Wheels. ■ Enhanced Smartphone Apps to Manage Fleet Vehicles “Some additional technology improvements will include instructing vehicles to find a parking spot and pick you up at the entrance of the building when you are leaving, and smarter in-vehicle climate control and entertainment systems. It’s likely that we’ll see people building smartphone apps designed exclusively for use with vehicles,” said Gilbert of Element Fleet Management. ■ Maintenance Becomes Outbound “Maintenance reminders will guide the driver through scheduling maintenance and the integration of vehicle and mobile devices will provide that data (with the driver’s permission) to the maintenance shop,” said Rozmiarek of Wheels. 20 automotive fleet I january 2015 The Future of Autonomous Fleet Vehicles M ost subject-matter experts believe autonomous vehicles will be introduced by OEMs and corporations will incorporate them in their fleet operations. Below are several perspectives on the impact of autonomous vehicles in fleet operations: ❱ Connected Cars are a Stepping Stone to Autonomous Vehicles “The connected car is just a stepping stone to the autonomous vehicle. What we learn and build in the next five to 10 years will set the stage for autonomous infrastructure. My prediction is we will start seeing a significant increase in autonomous vehicles by 2025 with most vehicles fully autonomous by 2030,” said Doug Peters, analytics leader at GE Capital Fleet Services. ❱ Incremental Advancement to Autonomous Vehicles “Manufacturers are already working on developing the autonomous car. While the ultimate vision is years away, the technology will be released incrementally over time. Today, we already see this technology being used in adaptive cruise control, which enables a vehicle to adjust the speed to allow a safe following distance. Connected cars will be able to communicate with one another, sharing information that can improve safety by alerting the driver to take action or taking control of certain situations automatically. Information that is available to the vehicle can also be made available to the fleet manager. The amount of information being captured is increasing exponentially; however, fleet managers will need tools that can help them derive meaning and take action based on that data,” said Amy Blaine, vice president, consulting, analytics, and sustainability at Donlen. ❱ Autonomous Vehicles will be Safer than Conventional Vehicles “Autonomous driving may become a reality for the most safety-forward fleets,” said Diana Holland, executive director of fleet management & sales support at Merchants Fleet Management. ❱ Autonomous Vehicles Will be Viewed by Management as Productivity Tools “We already have the makings of autonomous vehicles in production vehicles today (lane assist, parking assist, adaptive cruise control, etc.) and are basing our prediction on the chatter around autonomous cars becoming available sometime between 2018 and 2025. While we do not expect to see an immediate adoption of these vehicles in fleet due to the initial high purchase price, we believe that, eventually, the ramifications of autonomous vehicles could be significant. As autonomous vehicles gain traction, drivers will become more productive. Once focused on keeping their eyes on the road, now drivers will be able to conduct business from their vehicle on their way to an appointment. The adoption of autonomous vehicles will also improve fuel efficiency and reduce accident rates,” said Ryan Gilbert, software developer at Element Fleet Management. ❱ New Vehicles to Include Autonomous Features to Improve Safety “While there will be some fully autonomous vehicles on the road in the next five to 10 years, nearly all new vehicles will have some form of automation to improve driver safety. This will include more sophisticated collision avoidance systems that automatically brake or slow the vehicle and keep safe distances from vehicles ahead and behind under cruise control. These features will be supported by an increase in vehicle-to-vehicle communication where one vehicle can ‘warn’ another about potential safety problems. Telematics-driven or usage-based insurance validated by data directly from the vehicle will be the norm,” said Jerry Rozmiarek, assistant vice president – information technology at Wheels Inc. ❱ Autonomous Vehicles will be Easier to Maintain and Service “Software will also be able to direct vehicles to maintenance shops, and automatically send a driverless vehicle to be serviced,” said Gilbert of Element Fleet Management. SPECIAL REPORT 18 Factors that will Transform Fleet Vehicle Maintenance Most agree that many of the trends we are experiencing today will continue for the next decade; however, technology, in particular vehicle connectivity, will have a dramatic impact on how vehicles will be maintained in the future. By Mike Antich I n the next 10 to 15 years, fleet maintenance will be increasingly influenced by vehicle complexity, the growing suite of vehicle connectivity tools, and a sophisticated array of safety options that, in many cases, are the stepping stones to ultimately introducing autonomous vehicles. Interviewed subject-matter experts foresee fleet maintenance increasingly being governed by predictive analytics, which will trans- at a glance Changes in vehicle maintenance trends in the future will be mainly impacted by: Sophisticated vehicle connectivity. Increased vehicle complexity, which will result in increased vehicle downtime. Longer PM intervals due to use of synthetic oils. Improved vehicle maintenance analytics. Continued parts shortages. Ongoing technician shortages and resulting higher labor rates. ● ● ● ● ● ● 22 automotive fleet I january 2015 form maintenance practices to be more proactive instead of reactive. Here are the top trends identified by industry subject-matter experts that will impact fleet maintenance in the next 10 to 15 years: 1 More Sophisticated Vehicle Connectivity “As vehicles get ‘smarter,’ maintenance and repair diagnostics will be sent directly from the vehicle and, based on the diagnostic results, the vehiBLEZIEN cle’s interface screen will LeasePlan USA route the driver to the appropriate shop,” said Tony Blezien, vice president, operations at LeasePlan USA. 2 More Dealer-Based Repairs “In five to 10 years, we’ll be seeing more dealer-based repairs of fleet vehicles. Many non-dealer shops will only provide preventive maintenance services, due to more sophisticated technology. We anticipate the service process to become more complex and specialized, resulting in more reliance on dealerships,” said Joy Schnetzka, manager, strategic alliances at Element Fleet Management. 3 SCHNETZKA Element Fleet Management Vehicle Complexity to Increase Downtime “Manufacturers have improved the quality of vehicles in many ways, but we have definitely seen an increase in downtime related to complex, lengthy repair diagnosis on some WHITESIDE vehicles. As manufacturWheels Inc. ers race to implement new technology that improves safety and fuel economy, isolated delays due to complex failure diagnosis will increase,” said Jeff Whiteside, director, maintenance assistance program (MAP) and collision at Wheels Inc. SPECIAL REPORT: maintenance 4 7 Maintenance Data Management Use of Big Data to Support Predictive Analysis “Similar to many other areas, when it comes to maintenance, managing technology, information, and data will be our biggest challenge in the future. Each and every day our customers ask for more, expect more, and deserve more. We continue to see incredible growth in the amount of vehicle data and information, and the challenge going forward will be how we manage all the information and turn it into useful analytics that result in best-in-class recommendations,” said Charlie Guthro, vice president of North American fleet GUTHRO ARI management at ARI. “At ARI, we are working with increasingly complex fleets that need to manage Big Data to support predictive analysis, downtime management, driver safety, productivity, and total cost of ownership. New technology means better communication, including equipment that ‘talks back to us,’ providing mechanical self diagnosis, increased driver behavior data, and driver support systems, among other things,” said Guthro of ARI. “In a nutshell, the ability to access and manage the Big Data that fleets now return will allow fleets to ‘build right, buy right, and maintain right’ — better than ever before — leading to the best alternatives with regard to total cost of ownership.” 5 8 Predictive Maintenance & Analysis Changing Preventive Maintenance Parameters “Our ability to sort mechanical condition data in real time affords us opportunities to provide predictive analysis like we have never seen before. Our ability to manage large amounts of data creates the opportunity to predict component failure, provide real-time transactional repair cost intervention, provide bestin-class maintenance policies and procedures, and identify and provide economic equipment specifications and procurement,” said Guthro of ARI. “We are already seeing advancements in maintenance where we now schedule preventive maintenance based on fuel burn and appropriate utilization supported by telematics, rather than just time and miles. This trend will continue,” said Guthro of ARI. 6 Expansion of Preventive Maintenance Reminders “There will be an increase in onboard reminders for preventive maintenance beyond traditional oil changes and tire pressure. Sensors in filters and fluids and other maintenance items will trigger dashboard reminders to alert the driver of due or overdue maintenance. This growing technology should help reduce related component failures and roadside breakdowns,” said Eric Strom, maintenance & safety product manSTROM GE Capital Fleet ager at GE Capital Fleet Services Services. 24 automotive fleet I january 2015 9 Longer PM Intervals “Over the past few years, we’ve seen maintenance intervals lengthen, largely through the use of synthetic oils. The extended intervals make it critically important for drivers to monitor oil levels as all engines consume some amount of oil, and, over time, an engine failure can occur from low oil levels. Over the past few years, we have seen an increase in these failures and I expect this trend to continue until oil level sensors warning drivers of low oil levels are standard equipment,” said Whiteside of Wheels. 10 Greater Tool Standardization “The continuing move by OEMs to develop global vehicle platforms will help reduce the need for unique tools required by automotive technicians. A single tool will be able to function across multiple vehicle models. This will help control repair providers’ tool costs and simplify the A Tire Revolution T he following are the two key trends that will influence the types of tires fleet vehicles will use in the coming decade: ❱ Run-Flat Tires will Become More Prevalent in Fleet “We expect there will be more original equipment run-flat tires as the OEMs continue to seek vehicle weight reductions by eliminating spare tires. There will be greater consumer and fleet acceptance of runflat tires as manufacturing improvements will enable less road noise, a less rigid ride, and longer tread wear life. An extra bonus is that the trunk will have more capacity,” said Eric Strom, maintenance & safety product manager at GE Capital Fleet Services. Others also see a proliferation in the use of run-flat tires by fleet operations. “Recent technology advancements to maintain vehicle mobility when a tire is punctured show promise to be standard in vehicles. Today, there are three technologies to help maintain vehicle operation when a tire is punctured. They are self-sealing tires, self-supporting tires, and tires supported by an auxiliary system. I think it is entirely possible one or all of these technologies become a standard offering on new cars in the future,” said Jeff Whiteside, director, maintenance assistance program (MAP) and collision at Wheels Inc. ❱ Tires will Become ‘Smarter’ “Goodyear has recently developed new technology for truck tires that monitors tire pressure and will automatically inflate the tires to maintain ideal performance. One of the single biggest causes for premature tire wear is under inflation. This technology has the ability to significantly extend tire life and reduce replacement cost for fleets. We’ll see this predominately in the trucking industry, due to the cost of tires, but may see this in some automobiles also,” said Whiteside. SPECIAL REPORT: maintenance tool selection process,” said Strom of GE Capital Fleet Services. 11 Improved Communication with Drivers “More automation and interactions with vendors will provide improved communications for drivers (such as text messaging repair status updates and apps to schedule service appointments, and communicate local pricing promotions) as well as improved data for FMCs to monitor and rate a shop’s performance,” said Whiteside. 12 Lightweighting of Parts “We will see more parts being made from carbon fiber and composite plastics. This will reduce the weight, which improves fuel economy, but will also be more expen- sive to replace,” said Whiteside of Wheels. 13 Diesel Engines Become Mainstream “The growth of automobile diesel engines will help the OEMs achieve the government fuel economy goals. Customers will be more accepting of diesel engines and past complaints of smelly exhaust and noisy engines will be reduced with improved emissions and quieter engines. The automobile diesel engine evolution in the U.S. will require some repair facilities to recruit diesel engine technicians while the auto/truck industry is facing a shortage of trained technicians,” said Strom. 14 Ongoing Parts Shortages “We will continue to see isolated cas- es of part shortages due to manufacturer redesigns and manufacturing plant issues,” said Whiteside. 15 Ongoing Technician Shortage “Enrollments in auto and truck trade schools have also been slowly declining. I believe this trend will continue, which could cause a slight shortage of technicians in future years,” said Whiteside. 16 Higher Labor Rates “The complexity of new technology will cause higher demand for highly skilled technicians. The impact of this will be labor rates increasing at a rate higher than normal inflation as well as some increased repair downtime,” said Whiteside. Migration of the ‘Internet for Everything’ to Fleet Management By Mike Antich T he “Internet for Everything” promoted by Cisco and the “Industrial Internet,” as advocated by GE, refers to the integration of a variety of complex pieces of machinery, such as planes, locomotives, and vehicle fleets, with networked sensors and software. This involves creating network capabilities to provide “information flows” across enterprise domains using devices that communicate with other devices remotely. The Industrial Internet or Internet for Everything, as opposed to the consumer Internet, draws fields such as machine learning, Big Data, the Internet, and machine-to-machine communications, to collect data from machines, analyze it in real time, and use it to adjust operations. photo: ©istockphoto.com/PonyWang 28 automotive fleet I january 2015 It is believed this convergence of machine connectivity remotely generating actionable data will change the way we work, ushering in a new era of innovation and change. From a fleet perspective, GE contemplates what can be learned from data being generated by the millions of vehicles on the road today, such as data on the driver, the route, and the vehicle itself. There will be such a tremendous amount of data that can be digested, assimilated, and aggregated that it’s going to be able to help companies, not just fleet managers, run their fleets as a work tool much more efficiently and change the way they do business. The Industrial Internet is envisioned to encompass transportation fleets, which are critical links in the supply and distribution chain associated with manufacturing and energy production. The Industrial Internet will help optimize the timing and the flow of goods. There are further opportunities for optimizing operations and assets by eliminating waste, while improving driver productivity, service levels, and safety. Likewise, wireless technology company Qualcomm has various global initiatives for an “Internet for Everything” strategy employing wired and wireless technologies. Similarly, Phillips is offering datagathering connectivity in both its health care and lighting products. Anticipating these changes, the European Commission, the executive body of the European Union responsible for proposing legislation, is using its CORDIS interactive information portal to develop future governance based on the emerging “Internet for Everything” economy. By 2020, GE estimates the Industrial Internet, through better management of processes and industrial systems, will yield $1.279 trillion in value. If the Industrial Internet achieves just a 1-percent efficiency improvement, then the results could be substantial. SPECIAL REPORT Future Trends in New-Vehicle Selection & Purchasing Government-mandated CAFE standards are exerting pressure on OEMs to develop smaller, more lightweight models and add more alt-fuel vehicles and hybrids to their lineups. Lower fuel costs will shift TCO focus to depreciation. By Mike Antich T he No.1 factor impacting new-vehicle ordering in the next 10 to 15 years are the upcoming governmentmandated CAFE requirements. This mandate will drive OEMs to provide more efficient vehicles with smaller engines, built of lightweight materials. The second factor is the booming domestic oil industry, which is likely to continue to drive demand for large trucks across the country. In the longer-term, as companies continue to look for ways to cut fleet expenses, the forecast is a shift away from driver-dedicated fleet vehicles to car sharing or comparable type services. Below are predictions from industry subject-matter experts on key trends that will impact new-vehicle ordering and selection in the next 10 to 15 years: Forecast on Fuel Prices “The downward pressure on fuel costs is, of course, a relatively recent phenomenon — as measured in months, not years, so changing the TCO calculation at this time or anytime soon seems premature. While indeed, as shale/oil sands production 30 automotive fleet I january 2015 continues to increase, it seems unlikely that prices will significantly contract to a point where adjusting TCO would be justified. There are other major factors, too, such as GHOSH ARI the up-front acquisition costs, and other maintenance costs that probably would offset any decrease in fuel-cost component. At times, when fuel costs decrease, there is a less compelling reason to acquire fuel-efficient vehicles, so, at the end of the day, fuel economy is the key factor, not specifically the fuel cost itself. And, of course, fuel cost doesn’t just reflect the cost of oil; there are other factors that affect fuel costs, such as distribution costs (e.g., pipeline vs. rail), as well as taxes, which could gain momentum given concerns about the need to rebuild/fix infrastructure. It’s important to consider the sustaining likelihood of recent trends, whether ‘good’ or ‘bad’, and determine the appropriate time to modify important measures such as TCO,” said Partha Ghosh, director, vehicle supply chain – North America at ARI. Shift Away from Driver-Dedicated Vehicles “As companies continue to look for ways to cut fleet expenses, expect to see a shift away from driver-dedicated fleet vehicles and a shift toward car sharing. GenerationKELLY al changes in the work- LeasePlan USA force will also affect the type of vehicles selected, with a greater number of alternative-fuel and possibly even self-driving vehicles being chosen for fleets,” said Elizabeth Kelly, director of operations, vehicle acquisition at LeasePlan USA. Virtual Reality Tools Used to Make New-Vehicle Selections “There will be an uptick in the adoption of virtual reality for new-vehicle selection and purchasing. This will allow fleet managers to browse and test-drive new vehicles from the comfort of their office using their computer,” said Ryan Gilbert, software developer for Element Fleet Management. SPECIAL REPORT: selection & purchasing Out-of-Stock Purchases “If demand outpaces supply (by proxy, capacity), it is clear that buying out-of-stock will be harder. This year is a good indication, as the auto industry appears to be on pace for a record year for annual unit sales, or at least consistent with pre-recession levels. The strong retail market is challenging the availability of certain models and options on the fleet side, and there are no evident signs that the industry is rushing to build new plants or dramatically increase capacity, and probably won’t until there is clear evidence that the demand increase is sustainable. The market should react as it normally would, which means that, as confidence in the economy continues to build, the industry will increase capacity over time to better meet the growing demand if it remains strong. The auto industry is global, so manufacturers generally look at the issue across a broader scale. As OEMs increasingly build global platforms, they may be able to supply the market in ways they had not been able to do so previously. In the short term (over the next few years or more), stock purchases will likely be challenged, as long as the economy builds on its recent momentum. The takeaway message is that clients should take these factors into consideration and plan for potentially longer 10-Year Forecast By Dan Hannan, executive director strategic consulting at Merchants Fleet Management By 2025, CAFE fuel economy standards will help drive fuel economy beyond 50 mpg for cars and light trucks, more than doubling 2014’s efficiency average. The sharp decrease in fuel costs will return the focus on managing vehicle depreciation. ● An improved natural gas retail infrastructure across the United States by 2020 will overcome today’s regional application, creating more demand for alternative-fuel vehicles. ● A typical fleet’s vehicle count will decrease by 20 percent, driven by general business technology efficiencies in its core business. HANNAN ● Continued new-vehicle production levels of 20 million units per year will Merchants Fleet create a large supply of used vehicles, softening the resale market and creating Management a larger focus on closed-end leases. ● Continued focus on synthetic tire and oil utilization along with new-vehicle component and technology improvements will double the time between maintenance intervals. ● Real-time vehicle data, along with customer enterprise resource planning (ERP) integration with their fleet management supplier, will be standard for all customers. ● As vehicles become more fuel efficient, revenue generated from fuel taxes will drop, causing states and municipalities to introduce higher registration fees, specifically commercial fleet usage fees and emissions taxes. ● lead times for both stock and factory orders and/or greater flexibility with specific models and/or features in order to minimize the impact on their business,” said Ghosh of ARI. Lightweighting May Cause an Increase in Accident Costs “The use of lighter materials in the construction of vehicles, as well as upfit bodies and components, will continue to improve fuel efficiency and manage overall vehicle capitalized cost, but the use of the lighter materials may increase the per incident accident repair cost,” said Tom Coffey, vice president sales and marketing at Merchants Fleet Management. Future Outlook for New-Vehicle Selection & Purchasing By Timothy Cengel, supervisor, pricing & communications, vehicle operations – acquisitions at Wheels Inc. T he short-term trend of declining fuel prices coupled with more fuel-efficient engines will make the expense of fuel less of a factor in vehicle lifecycle costs. According to industry experts, fuel prices will continue to decline or flatten out in the next few years; however, consumers should keep in mind that fuel prices are volatile. Just as fuel prices decline, CAFE requirements continue to drive the OEMs to provide more fuel-efficient vehicles. They have introduced technologies such as smaller displacement engines, more efficient transmissions and lightweight materials. These changes have several effects on vehicle selection and ordering. For example: ● Hybrid and diesel vehicles are attractive to consumers with green initiatives, but those same vehicles become less desirable as fuel economy on standard gasoline engines increases. ● Customers are being forced to move from cargo vans to all-new European style unibody vans. ● And, recently, there have been frequent changes on pick-up trucks, such as the introduction of smaller engines, additional gears and aluminum bodies. 32 automotive fleet I january 2015 Increased Driver Assistance and Safety Technologies Lower trim level models will have more options such as crash avoidance, lane departure warning, cross traffic alerts, and adaptive cruise control. As these technologies become less expensive to develop and manufacture, they will move down in trim levels and eventually become standard equipment. We are already seeing CENGEL Wheels Inc. backup cameras and sensors become available as standard equipment. These driver assistance technologies are just the beginning, and will eventually lead to fully autonomous vehicles. New-Vehicle Purchasing Outlook for 2025-MY It’s difficult to predict what 10-15 years will bring for the automotive industry. Much of the outlook depends on the effects of government regulations. We expect that current CAFE standards will lead to more electric, hydrogen, and natural gas vehicles. As infrastructure is developed, these technologies will become adopted in fleets. Eventually, autonomous vehicles will become more readily available and their success within the fleet industry will depend on the creation of regulations and insurance laws. SPECIAL REPORT Two Perspectives on the Future of Fleet Taxation Taxes are almost guaranteed to increase, but their impact will vary due to different tax regulations varying by state. An emerging concern is the taxation of online services, the cost of which would be passed on to end-users. By Mike Antich T he key concerns about the future of fleet taxation revolve around inconsistency of vehicle taxation due to varying state tax regulations. In addition, most tax regulations were codified prior to the development of the Internet. Many taxing authorities view the opportunity to tax online services as a new revenue channel to offset budgetary shortfalls. These services are currently untaxed, but there have been repeated efforts to tax consumer-based online services, which can easily be extrapolated to include fleet-related online services. at a glance Factors impacting the taxation of fleets include, but are not limited to: Stronger pressure to increase tax revenues, resulting in the potential taxation of services. Leasing company expansion into other countries, creating transfer pricing challenges for intercompany transactions. States need to update outdated tax laws to account for changing online product/service environment. ● ● ● 34 automotive fleet I january 2015 Two subject-matter experts on fleet taxation provide their perspective on future trends. Here are their forecasts: Strong Pressure to Increase Tax Revenues By Thomas Tallarito, director of tax and accounting operations at Donlen “In this world, nothing can be said to be certain except death and taxes,” so said Ben Franklin. That being said, taxes may be certain, but they certainly aren’t consistent. I see a continuation of the difference in taxing vehicles between states. Some will tax the lease stream and some will tax the purchase of the vehicle for lease up front, while others will continue the hybrid treatment of taxing multiple payments up front. There may be a move in more than one state, similar to what Georgia did in 2013 with the Title and Ad Valorem Tax (TAVT), to combine personal property tax with the sales tax or go to hybrid or up front, where states will get more tax on the front end. As for a retallarito Donlen duction of taxes on the in- dustry, I don’t see that happening since the states will continue to need more revenue from taxes to provide services. Speaking of services, this is the area where taxing authorities will be looking for an increase in revenue since most states don’t tax most services. Taxing of services can bring about an increased cost to the lessee for many services fleet leasing companies currently provide. Currently, services really aren’t taxed unless they are specifically stated as taxable services in the laws of each state. This differs from tax on tangible property (things you can physically touch) where all is taxable unless specifically exempted. With the increased flexibility afforded due to technology, we could see a move to a more fluid handling of tax on leases to allow for different handling based on specific client needs. For example, if a client plans on leasing a vehicle for a period of time that’s barely more than a year, it would prefer to pay tax on the stream. However, if the plan is to lease the vehicle for five to 10 years or more, then an upfront payment of tax would most likely be more beneficial. Some of the fleet leasing companies may need to adjust their systems and tax software slightly to handle the flexibility; however, it would certainly be worth the effort to some customers. Of course, for any of this to happen, states would have to allow this alternative handling, which may not be in their best interests. Currently, there are few states that allow this flexibility in handling, once a method was chosen. The state of Illinois recently moved to change its handling of tax on certain types of leases on certain types of vehicles from up front on the purchase price to up front on the lease payments, which will certainly reduce the amount of tax paid on many leases. The individual consumer will see this change effective Jan. 1, 2015, when the due at signing amount is considerably less than they are used to paying. The thought process is that consumers will turn over leases more often because they are not paying as much up front. It remains to be seen whether that will actually happen. If it does, what will the effect be on newvehicle production and prices, as well as used-vehicle prices? Fleet Taxation Trends By Ron Ditzel, tax manager at Element Fleet Management Transfer Pricing: Leasing companies continue to expand their reach into other countries and many have more than one entity within their organization structure, both of which can create transfer pricing challenges if there are intercompany transactions. Both the U.S. and Canada have been increasing their focus on transfer pricing and will continue to do so. Their focus has ditzel been not only on crossElement Fleet Management border transactions, but also transactions within each country’s borders. Transfer pricing documentation is the main line of defense in an audit and must demonstrate compliance with regulatory requirements for appropriate methodologies. It is important for companies to be familiar with each country’s requirements and stay abreast of changes as transfer pricing continues to evolve. Services and the Cloud: Leasing companies continue to offer more online services/products to their customers and more states are beginning to apply current tax laws to these types of online services/products. One issue is that states are continually relying on outdated tax laws to include these online services/products as taxable without consideration of the nuances of what is actually being provided. Looking ahead, states will need to update their tax laws to account for the changing environment of how services/products are provided online. january 2015 I automotive fleet 35 SPECIAL REPORT 15 Trends that will Impact Fleet License & Title Services The industry consensus is that fleet license & title services will become more expensive in future years as vehicle registrations are blocked for unpaid tolls & violations. Transaction fees will increase to offset DMV budget shortages. By Mike Antich I n the next 10 to 15 years, vehicle registrations will increasingly be used by states to leverage the collection of unpaid tolls, traffic violations, and personal property taxes. As more DMV services migrate online, there will be increased challenges to obtain licensing information while safeguarding individual privacy and authorization verification to comply with security protections at a glance The increase in license & title services in future years will be in part due to: Increase in required DMV documentation and securities and authorization verification. Additional privacy safeguards. Enhanced enforcement of toll and traffic violations with more states blocking vehicle registration due to unpaid fees. Increased DMV turnaround time and fees. ● ● ● ● 36 automotive fleet I january 2015 as specified by the Patriot Act. Here are the top trends identified by subject-matter experts that will impact fleet license & title services in the next 10 to 15 years: 1 Increase in Required DMV Documentation “In response to growing concerns around fraudulent transactions, DMVs are requesting additional documentation from fleet companies and drivers. Depending on the MUSIC state, DMVs request var- GE Capital Fleet Services ious forms of address and identity verification, including driver licenses, business cards, utility bills, and leasing licenses. In an era of increased security threats, government offices are taking extensive precautions to protect against falsified information. The past few years have brought an influx of requests from across the country, with additional jurisdictions likely to follow suit,” said April Music, senior operations leader at GE Capital Americas. 2 Increased Security “There will be increased focus on security and authorization verification,” said Brad Kacsh, director of licensing services at Donlen. 3 Increased Privacy Safeguards “There will be more stringent regulations around release of vehicle licensing information. The Patriot Act presents new challenges in obtaining licensing informaHESS ARI tion, which means FMCs could become more reliant on customers to gather vehicle information,” said Melissa Hess, director, licensing & compliance at ARI. SPECIAL REPORT: license & title 4 More States Blocking Registration “It is becoming more and more common for states to block registrations for unpaid tolls and violations, as well as unpaid personal property taxes. With continued enhancements in data sharing and the importance of additional revenues, states and jurisdictions will continue to gain more leverage in the collection of fines, fees, and taxes,” said Hess of ARI. Other subject-matter experts similarly see increased use of registration renewal blocks. “There will be increased registration renewal blocks or registration suspension due to unpaid violations, particularly tolls,” said KACSH Kacsh of Donlen. Donlen 5 Enhanced Enforcement of Tolls and Traffic Violations “We expect that recent trends in toll and violation enforcement will continue. We are seeing stiffer fines that escalate much more quickly. We are also seeing increases in registration renewal blocks, booting, and more extreme enforcement, such as the impounding and banning of vehicles on toll roads until outstanding fines are resolved. We would also expect to see states share toll and violation data more efficiently along with legislation that will allow enforcement of unpaid tolls across state lines,” said Hess of ARI. 6 Enhanced Red-Light Cameras “In addition to the current use for red light and toll violations, cameras, and monitoring systems will track speeding, cell-phone use, and other on-the-road violaCROOKS tions,” said Eric Crooks, LeasePlan USA director of operations, license and title at LeasePlan USA. 7Toll Road Interoperability “Toll road interoperability will continue to progress as more and more states 38 automotive fleet I january 2015 figure out ways to share data that allows drivers to travel through several states using only one transponder or tolling account,” said Hess of ARI. 8 Increased DMV Turnaround Times and Fees “Transaction fees will continue to rise as DMVs work to offset budget deficiencies. State shortfalls have decreased DMV funding, a trend expected to continue in the years ahead. Cutbacks result in compressed business hours, staffing shortages, office closures, longer lines and wait time. While simpler processes, including registration renewals, have remained generally unaffected, complex transactions require additional processing time. Holidays and government furloughs add to these delays, as DMV personnel work through backlogs. Fleet management companies are proactively adjusting internal processes to accommodate new turnaround times with minimal impact to the customer,” said Music of GE Capital Americas. 9 International Fuel Tax Agreement (IFTA) & International Registration Plan (IRP) “There will be an increase in electronic mileage and driver reporting platforms. Paper driver logs are quickly becoming a thing of the past. We expect to continue to see clients convert to telematics solutions to manage both vehicle trip reporting and driver hours-of-service,” said Hess of ARI. 10 Increased Electronic Transmittal of All DMV Information “As we look into the future of fleet, we’ll see the electronic transmittal of all information. This dramatic shift will eliminate registration cards and stickers, speeding violations, and perhaps even the physical tollbooth. This move to electronic transmittal will most likely increase road taxes, and enable scanning of license plate for red-light violations or road infractions. It also means the ability for agencies in various states to easily communicate with one another. “The electronic transmittal of information may happen through vehicle identification number (VIN), which allows license plate information to be stored in a vehicle device, which communicates to the DMV. This device will also have a database of pertinent information such as vehicle owner address, taxes paid, last inspection, oil change, registration information, etc. This will eliminate the need for drivers to have to carry registration cards or stickers. The driver will need to keep his or her information updated via the input device in the vehicle. The DMV will know when the registration expires and can either notify the driver via a smartphone, allowing the driver to pay via credit card or corporate account. This technology will also allow law enforcement to scan a license plate and know if a vehicle’s registration has expired. Electronic authorization of prerequisites will eliminate the need for paper. “This functionality will also automate state-to-state transfers. By keeping information updated within the vehicle, the driver will be prompted if a state-tostate transfer should occur. If the driver indicates that a transfer should take place, all of the transferring of information and prerequisites would happen without driver involvement or long waits at a DMV. If a VIN inspection or some other physical check is needed, the system within the vehicle would notify the driver, similar to the oil change notification within cars today. “Another area of evolution includes traffic violations. The data within a vehicle’s telematics device will recognize the posted speed limit on the road and if necessary, issue the violation. “Lastly, physical tollbooths will be a relic of the past. Through license plate information alone, toll agencies will be able to bill a personal credit card or corporate credit card without needing a transponder or IWANOWSKI Element Fleet needing a driver to pay Management SPECIAL REPORT: license & title cash,” said Kim Iwanowski, director – licensing and regulatory compliance at Element Fleet Management. 11 Expansion of Online Services, DMV Kiosks & Mobile Locations “In an effort to combat overcrowding at DMV offices, states are turning to technological solutions.Web-based programs provide an online option for registration and license renewals. Selfservice kiosks are another tool for reducing DMV wait time and congestion. State-of-the-art kiosks examine driver license photos using biometric technology for facial recognition, thereby reducing fraud and identity theft. Mobile DMVs bridge the gap for communities impacted by office closures. Mobile offices provide relief to main DMV branches, cost savings, and convenience for customers who otherwise would travel for services,” said Kathy Damson, state redamson lations specialist for GE GE Capital Americas Capital Americas. 12 All Vehicle Titling will be Done Online “With the growth of electric processing, all titles will be done online. Lien releases, title amendments, and state changes will be handled through an automated system in all 50 states. This will help reduce fraud as well as the paper trail that needs to be traced when a duplicate title is needed or the purchase of a company has taken place. This will reduce DMV expenses in the long run and allow fleets to stay up-to-date on their state changes in a quicker and more efficient fashion. The purchase and remarketing of vehicles will happen much faster as well, which will help reduce violaHORN tion fees. As the tolling Merchants Fleet Management authorities merge and 40 automotive fleet I january 2015 have interstate toll record keeping up to date, this will assist in fighting disputed tolls,” said Cheryl Horn, director of fleet resources at Merchants Fleet Management. 13 Goodbye License Plate Decals “We may see an elimination of the annual decal sticker on license plates and an automation of on-the-road systems to track validity of vehicle registrations,” said Crooks of LeasePlan USA. 14 More States will Transition to Electronic Titles “In lieu of the traditional paper title, state DMVs are transitioning to electronic titles for convenience and cost savings. Nineteen states participate in an Electronic Lien & Title system (ELT), and 10 have ELT initiatives underway. Nine states have made ELT mandatory for lenders, with others soon to follow. The American Association of Motor Vehicle Administrators (AAMVA) discussed ELT benefits, including fraud reduction, ease of processing, and potential cost savings. The AAMVA is working towards an electronic lifecycle, a change that would eradicate paper titles altogether. Budget constraints and variances in DMV systems pose challenges and will delay the realization of this concept for years,” said Damson of GE Capital Americas. This forecast was also made by Kacsh of Donlen, who cited the “increasing number of states offering or requiring electronic lien and title.” 15 New Registration Rules for Autonomous Vehicles “California is already looking at new registration rules and regulations for autonomous vehicles. We are already starting to see vehicles equipped with this technology hit the road. Taxes on these vehicles will change as will the registration laws but these regulations are still under review,” said Horn of Merchants Fleet Management. Car Sharing to Become new fleet management tool By Mike Antich C urrently, there are 24 or so ridesharing and car-sharing programs in the U.S. that are operating under a variety of different business models. A few car-sharing companies already have relationships with corporate customers, where they “park” vehicles on a corporate campus. Car-sharing companies have made initial inroads by promoting the financial benefits of switching from an owned fleet to a shared fleet. Examples of early adopters among corporate fleets are Verizon, Google Shopping Express, and iPhone repair service provider iCracked. Several fleet management companies are looking to partner with car-sharing companies in response to inquiries by fleet customers, so long as the business model is cost effective. There are concerns that car sharing butts heads with “cultural perceptions” by employees who are used to “ownership” of the vehicle. Initial results show that car sharing tends to work best on a corporate campus, at a university, or by a municipality when employed as a pool car substitute. However, the wild card in future penetration of car sharing as a corporate fleet management tool is based on driver demand. Car sharing seems to have greater appeal to a younger demographics of drivers. But, in terms of fleet management, car sharing allows for greater utilization of the vehicle, in contrast to pool cars, which are historically underutilized. One interesting trend that promises to grow in the future is the tactic to tie car sharing with achieving corporate sustainability initiatives. In the future, car sharing will appeal to industries that require quick spikes in employee headcount triggered by new product introductions. In the next 10 years, car sharing will become one of the different options available in fleet management. Companies will have the option to either offer company-provided vehicles, a reimbursement program, or car sharing services, or, most likely, all three, to meet the needs of its different driver populations.