September 2016 ASA Equity Magazine
Transcription
September 2016 ASA Equity Magazine
EQUITY STANDING UP FOR SHAREHOLDERS SEPTEMBER 2016 VOL 30 #08 SHAREHOLDER ACTIVISM IN AUSTRALIA 06 08 13 Who’s the dux of the education sector? Gold is the strongest form of money The Dick Smith lessons RRP $10 www.australianshareholders.com.au EQUITY SEPTEMBER 2016 1 EQUITY STANDING UP FOR SHAREHOLDERS FEATURES THIS MONTH SEPTEMBER 2016 VOL 30 #08 04 Shareholder activism in Australia Shareholder activism is well established as an investment strategy in North America and Europe, yet remains in an embryonic form in Australia. Activism is best applied when shareholder value is being destroyed as a result of persistent failures by a company’s board and management in one or a combination of three areas: strategy; governance; and capital management. 06 Who’s the dux of the education sector? Australia earns more than $20bn in export revenue from education, making it the country’s third-largest export industry behind coal and iron ore. What’s good for students might be even better for investors in ASX-listed companies. So what opportunities exist in Australia’s higher education sector? 08 Gold is the strongest form of money There are some fundamental reasons why the gold price has more upside. Peter Hall, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Hunter Hall, outlines why he believes there are some golden opportunities to consider. 10 11 12 13 Invest like the Future Fund Letter to the Editor I’m not dead yet – the Advanced Health Directive The Dick Smith lessons 14 15 16 17 AGM reports Brickbats and Bouquets Make your vote count Short selling 18 19 20 21 Robo-advice News desk Portfolio Construction Masterclass NSW Report 2 SEPTEMBER 2016 EQUITY CHAIR REPORT By Diana D’Ambra BOARD OF DIRECTORS Diana D’Ambra BCom MCom FCA MAICD, Chairman Geoffrey Bowd BCom MCom Betty Clarke-Wood ACIP Allan Goldin BA BLaw Don Hyatt BAppSc DipEd M Ed MACE Stephen Mayne BCom, GAICD NATIONAL OFFICE Silvana Eccles National Operations Manager Samantha Clark Events & Member Services Officer Veronika Ilnycky Communications Officer Louise Sinclair Administration Assistant EQUITY EDITORS Silvana Eccles and Veronika IInycky So how do we enhance our returns and still manage the risk of our portfolio? Each year, the ASX together with Russell Investments produce a research study on long term returns. The latest report issued in May shows the performance of each asset classes over the past 10 years. The general benchmark return is CPI plus 4%, so for the last 10 years (to 31 December 2015) this amounted to 6.6% pa. According to the study the various asset classes earned on average each year the following returns over the past 10 years on a gross basis (ignoring tax but including costs): 1.Not surprisingly residential property hit the number one spot with an average annual return over 10 years of 8% (and we have seen some spectacular rises over the past two years); Anna Lau Head of Research STATE BRANCHES ACT Edward Patching NSW Richard McDonald QLD Alison Harrington SA Kevin Parken VIC Don Hyatt WA Barry Nunn We are all aware of the challenge to achieve reasonable returns on our portfolios in a low interest environment. With the August RBA cash rate drop to 1.5% returns on bank term deposits in a low inflation and low interest rate environment are inadequate. [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] CONTACT DETAILS TELEPHONE 1300 368 448 02 9252 4244 FAX 02 9252 4966 ADDRESS Suite 1A, Level 2 20 Loftus Street Sydney NSW 2000 GPO Box 359 Sydney NSW 2001 ABN 40 000 625 669 EMAIL [email protected] WEBSITE www.asa.asn.au www.australianshareholders.com.au DISCLAIMER This material in EQUITY is provided for information only. No responsibility or any form of contractual, tortious or other liability is accepted for decisions made on the basis of the information contained herein. Nothing in EQUITY is intended or should be interpreted as being investment advice. Investment advice can only be obtained from persons who are licensed in accordance with the Corporations Act. Views expressed in articles in EQUITY do not necessarily reflect ASA policy. The ASA does not endorse or favour any specific commercial product or company. The ASA is often able to negotiate discounts or benefits for ASA members however the inclusion of discounts or advertisements in EQUITY, on the ASA website or within other ASA communications does not constitute an endorsement for the products, services or companies mentioned. COPYRIGHT All material published in EQUITY is copyright, as are ASA Policy Statements whether published in Equity or not. Reproduction in whole or in part is not permitted without written authority from the Editor. All graphs for the Company Reports derive from www. netquote.com.au. Any correspondence regarding matters covered in this magazine should be addressed to the Editor. 2. Next came global bonds (unhedged) at 7.3%; 3. Followed by global shares (hedged) and Aussie bonds, both returning 6.2% pa; 4.Aussie shares were not far behind at 5.5% p.a. (although the GFC and the end of the mining boom have dragged the 10 year average down!) and lastly; 5. Cash at 3.1%. The study also looks at the impact of taxes (marginal and taxes on super) and also measures returns over 20 years. Interestingly Australian property and shares are the top two asset classes for returns over the last 20 years. The full Long-term Investing Report is available on the Russell Investments website: https://russellinvestments.com/au/insights/russell-asx-long-term-investing-report To mitigate the cash return drag on overall portfolio performance bonds can play a part. In late July I was fortunate to attend the Kanga News/NAB summit on Fixed Interest (bonds). At that summit Robert Mead, Head of Portfolio Management, Australia, for PIMCO noted that over the last eight financial years, bond returns have exceeded equity returns on average by 2.5% p.a. and they achieved this return at almost one-fifth of the volatility of equities. Yet, Australian investors continue to have one of the lowest allocations to bonds in the world. It is likely that more corporate debt bonds will be listed on ASX and regulators are looking at ways to allow retail investors to have easier and better access to corporate bond markets. Typically bonds are issued in minimum lots of $500k, making it difficult for the retail investor to have a diversified bond portfolio. One way to invest in bonds is via a bond fund. According to Morningstar there are over 600 managed funds investing in bonds with approximately 350 investing in Australian bonds alone, 120 funds investing in global bonds and another 160 in a mixture of Australian and international bonds. For those wanting exposure to emerging markets or inflation linked bonds there are funds available in this space too. Fees on Aussie bond funds vary widely from under 0.5% (for around 100 funds) to over 1.5% (for around 100 funds) with the remainder somewhere in between. Some funds have entry or exit fees. When selecting a fund you must also understand their objective, underlying credit risk and liquidity. On performance I note the top nine Aussie bond funds in terms of size had an average return over the past five years of 6.2% and over the past 10 years of 6.71%. The top global funds have performed even better. Clearly the past is not a guide to future performance, but bond funds have shown considerable stability over the past 10 years. Can this continue? I wish to inform you that regrettably Barry Nunn resigned from the Board in mid-August due to personal commitments. Barry joined the Board in early 2012. I have been a coDirector with Barry for two of those four years and will miss Barry’s guidance, energy and significant contribution as a Director and leader. Barry will continue as WA State Chairman. On behalf of the Board, staff and members I wish Barry and his family all the best. E EQUITY SEPTEMBER 2016 3 Shareholder activism in Australia By Gabriel Radzyminski Managing Director and Portfolio Manager at Sandon Capital Shareholder activism is well established as an investment strategy in North America and Europe, yet remains in an embryonic form in Australia. An activist investor is one who buys shares in a company with the express intention of using one or more of the tools at their disposal to effect positive change at the company for the benefit of all shareholders. These tools can range from targeting underperforming boards and management to suggesting capital management or corporate transaction initiatives. I believe shareholder activism is best applied when shareholder value is being destroyed as a result of persistent failures by a company’s board and management in one, or a combination of three areas: (i) strategy; (ii) governance; and (iii) capital management. As part-owners of a company, shareholders have rights and I believe all shareholders should actively use those rights, where appropriate, to bring about the changes necessary to maximise shareholder value. The influence that shareholder activists are having in offshore equity markets has never been greater. Globally, company boards are increasingly aware of and are being subject to shareholder activism on many fronts. The value created and investment returns derived from activist investing are seeing increasing amounts of capital allocated to the strategy. According to Activist Insight, funds managed by investors with a primary focus on activism totalled US$180bn at 30 June 2016. Since 2010, this number has more than tripled, highlighting the strong interest in activist investing, particularly in the Northern Hemisphere. Funds Managed by Investors with a Primary Focus on Activism 3.An institutional shareholder base that has historically been very passive Each of these attributes is discussed in more detail below. 1. A large and rapidly growing pool of savings Australia has the fourth largest pension savings pool in the world, at approximately A$2 trillion, with a forecast to be circa A$6 trillion by 20351. Government, industry and corporate funds account for two-thirds of the market, with self-managed superannuation funds (SMSFs) making up the balance. Historically, Australia’s institutional investors have largely avoided allocating funds to Australian activist investors. With the growing awareness of the value created and attractive investment returns available2, I expect Australia’s institutions to increasingly support activist campaigns and allocate funds to this investment strategy. 2. A shareholder-friendly regulatory framework Australia’s Corporations Act (2001) is possibly the most shareholder-friendly legislation in the world3. Important aspects of this legislation are those that provide shareholders with rights to affect the composition of the board and the agenda of general meetings. In broad terms, a shareholder (or group of shareholders) owning more than five per cent of the issued capital of a company can: • Call for a general meeting • Put forward shareholders’ resolutions • Require the company to distribute a shareholder statement • Seek the removal of directors • Nominate directors Using the shareholder rights granted by the Corporations Act is the public face of investor activism. The reality is that most activism takes place behind closed doors and it is a tactical decision if and when activists move the engagement to the public arena. 3. A passive institutional shareholder base Source: Activist Insight Compared to many countries, Australia has a conducive environment for shareholder activism due to: 1.A large and rapidly growing pool of superannuation savings 2.One of the most shareholder-friendly regulatory frameworks in the world 4 SEPTEMBER 2016 EQUITY The opportunity for activist investors to generate superior returns in the Australian market is assisted by the passive indexation and benchmark-aware investment styles adopted by many institutional investors. As a general rule, institutional shareholders will typically hold an underweight position, or no position at all, in a company where persistent failure by the board and management results in shareholder value being destroyed. Even when the board of an underperforming company is confronted, most investors have little appetite for pursuing real change. These situations often provide fertile hunting grounds for activist investors. Pioneering activist investing in Australia Provocatively, if company boards were performing their role there would be no opportunity for activist investors4. When companies persistently fail, they generally do so because of a failure of one, or a combination, of the following areas of broad responsibility of the board – strategy, governance and capital management. The majority of company boards perform their role with distinction and activist investors typically only come into contact with companies that are failing in these areas. In the context of the overall market, they are relatively few in number. Our aim in any activist campaign is to have influence over the company that is proportionately greater than our economic investment. After formulating a strategy, we will usually engage with fellow shareholders to gauge their likely support for the changes we believe are necessary. The Australian Shareholders Association (ASA) can be an important constituent in this process. When the ASA represents a large number of shareholders and holds a significant amount of proxies, the holding can be influential on voting outcomes at Annual and Extraordinary General Meetings. As such, we always look to engage with the appropriate ASA company monitor as part of our activist campaigns. If we are able to convince fellow shareholders of the merits of our thesis and boards see there is broad support for the changes that we are proposing, a negotiated agreement usually prevails. The canvassing of our proposition will typically assist us in refining the proposal, thereby lessening the implementation and execution risks. Preserving and/or realising value for all shareholders become a well-established investment strategy like it is in the Northern Hemisphere. Footnotes 1 Superannuation assets totalled A$2.03 trillion at the end of March 2016, according the ASFA, the peak industry body (www. superannuation.asn.au/resources/superannuation-statistics). Superannuation assets are forecast to grow over the next 20 years to more than $6 trillion (http://www.supersystemreview. gov.au/content/downloads/final_report/part_one/Part_1_ Overview_Recommendations.pdf). 2 There are many academic studies that cite the investment benefits of activist investing. One example is “Long-Term Effect of Hedge Fund Activism”, December 2014, Columbia Law Review www.columbia.edu/~wj2006/HF_LTEffects.pdf 3 Corporations Act 2001. www5.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/cth/ consol_act/ca2001172/ 4 We’ve taken the liberty of paraphrasing a quote “If boards were doing their job, there’d be no need for activists” by Professor David Beatty in an interview for McKinsey & Co’s Insights series entitled: Are You Getting All You Can from Your Board of Directors? www.mckinsey.com/insights/corporate_finance/ are_you_getting_all_you_can_from_your_board_of_directors SUCCESSFUL CAMPAIGNS BlueScope Steel Ltd (BSL): Sandon Capital publicly released its analysis in mid-2015 and then engaged with the company and other shareholders. Despite difficult conditions, management at BSL have done a laudable job of improving value through restructuring operations and sensibly deploying capital, and this has led to the share price increasing by >150% since we initially released its presentation. Activist investing today is significantly different from the ‘corporate raider’ days of the 70’s and 80’s when the protagonists employed techniques such as greenmail to enrich themselves at the expense of other shareholders. The activist techniques devised and implemented seek to benefit all shareholders equally. Onthehouse Holdings Ltd (OTH): We campaigned in late 2014 for substantial board change, including appointment of Sandon Capital and other nominees to the board. In mid-2016, OTH entered into a scheme implementation deed with a Macquarie-led consortium to be acquired at a substantial premium. I believe that momentum for shareholder activism in Australia will continue to build rapidly from its current low base. The large and rapidly growing superannuation pool, the shareholder friendly regulatory environment, the largely passive institutional shareholder base and the attractive investment returns on offer will combine to ensure that activist investing in Australia will Alchemia Ltd (ACL): We campaigned for substantial board change in mid-2015. The new board negotiated the sale of the company’s main undertaking and cash proceeds were returned to shareholders via a capital return, which was significantly above the prevailing share price when we first acquired its stake. E ASA BOARD SEEKING NEW DIRECTORS The ASA board is seeking to broaden its board capability and experience by appointing one or more additional directors. Interested members are invited to apply. An external advertisement has also been placed. Full details on how to apply are available at https://www.australianshareholders.com.au/seeking-newdirectors. EQUITY SEPTEMBER 2016 5 Who’s the dux of the education sector? By James Greenhalgh, Senior Analyst at Intelligent Investor The verdict is in – international students already think Australia is the clever country. Australia earns more than $20bn in export revenue from education, making it the country’s third-largest export industry behind coal and iron ore. Demand is booming, with 13% growth in the number of international students over the past year. The weakening of the dollar since 2013 means Australia is now much better value for studying, but that’s not all. Our high-quality universities, laidback lifestyle and reputation for safety make for an attractive destination. What’s good for students might be even better for investors in ASX-listed companies. So what opportunities exist in Australia’s higher education sector? service, which sources students from Asia and the Middle East to study at universities in Australia and other countries. Almost 70% of revenue, however, comes from IDP Education’s co-ownership and distribution of the IELTS ‘high stakes’ English language test. This is no ordinary English test but one of only a few that is globally accepted for university entry, work or immigration purposes. Not app-y For such an important sector there are fewer quality investment candidates than you might think. Indeed, there are only two higher education-focused companies in the S&P/ASX 200 index – and one of them listed last year. IDP administers around one-third of the 2.5m tests undertaken annually at a cost of about $260 each. It’s a diversified revenue stream although competition is rising. There’s even an argument that official tests like IELTS and its main competitor, TOEFL, might eventually be displaced by apps such as Duolingo. The main reason is that higher education is still largely the preserve of government. Our 43 universities provide degrees, while state-based technical and further education colleges (TAFEs) provide much of Australia’s vocational education and training (VET). That’s unlikely over the next few years but the importance of the IELTS test to IDP’s earnings means the competition will need to be watched carefully. Like Navitas, IDP Education is a highquality business but not quite cheap enough to buy. HOLD. The two elephants of the education sector, Navitas and IDP Education, mainly provide services to international students before they attend university in Australia or other countries. Navitas partners with universities in Australia and overseas, preparing international students for their degrees. The universities obtain access to a steady flow of international students, while the students are eased into university life at their chosen destination. It’s been a successful and lucrative model, with Navitas’s main business – University Partnerships – growing its operating earnings (before depreciation and amortisation) from $48m to $137m over the past 10 years. The company’s main risk is that its university partners decide to operate student preparation programs themselves. Running programs in-house means the universities retain tighter control over education standards, as well as gaining access to a lucrative fee stream. Macquarie University took its program back in-house this year and, while Navitas’s diversification ensured earnings fell by only 2%, it’s a risk that might surface again. Nevertheless, this is a very good business and one to put on your watch list. Whilst currently not cheap enough to buy, the recommendation remains HOLD. IDP Education has only been listed on the ASX since December 2015 but it has an excellent pedigree and impressive long-term performance. Still 50% owned by 38 Australian universities, IDP runs two main businesses. The first is a student placement 6 SEPTEMBER 2016 EQUITY So what of the other companies in the higher education sector? Well, there’s daylight between the two elephants and the rats and mice. From here on the risks rise exponentially, so be warned. Company ASX code Market cap. ($m) Comment Navitas NVT 2,192 Reco: Hold IDP Education IEL 1,067 Reco: Hold Intueri Education IQE 28 Not interested Academies Australasia AKG 19 Worth further research Redhill Education RDH 26 Worth further research Ashley Services ASH 30 Not interested Site Group SIT 110 Not interested iCollege ICT 8 Not interested UCW 15 Not interested UCW The remaining companies are mainly private providers of vocational education, a sector still in its infancy. Unfortunately, government de-regulation of the VET sector a few years back unleashed many opportunistic and untested education providers that flocked to the sector to take advantage of public funding. By 2014 initial public offerings of VET businesses were float-bombing the ASX. Unscrupulous student recruitment practices, aggressive business models and insufficient attention to long-term reputations was the result. Former market darlings Vocation Limited and Australian Career Network – both of which floated on the ASX during the 2014 boom – have already gone into administration. Others like Intueri Education Group, remain on life support. The government has since cracked down on the VET sector but the fallout continues. Few private education providers have emerged unscathed – and the risks remain very high – but a couple of the smaller college operators could be interesting opportunities. Whilst very small, Academies Australasia Group runs 18 colleges in Australia and Singapore. Debt levels are too high, and the company will report a loss in 2016 but directors are showing confidence by buying shares on market. Also interesting is Redhill Education, which has positioned itself at the premium end of the private vocational education market and, interestingly, Academies Australasia owns a 10% stake. Redhill’s earnings will fall in 2016 but the absence of debt suggests it’s one of the better quality companies. Elsewhere, there’s been some director buying in labour hire and training group Ashley Services – another 2014 listing, although management changes and multiple profit downgrades are a worry. Site Group, which provides training to clients in the energy, mining and construction sectors, is still bedding down acquisitions and its international operations add risk. iCollege is apparently ‘positioned to become one of Australia’s leading educators’ but is a very long way from it and UCW’s acquisitiondriven strategy isn’t reassuring. So what can we conclude from this roundup of the ASX-listed higher education sector? Navitas and IDP Education are the standout candidates for your watch list while the listing of other providers like Study Group – a company similar to Navitas – should deepen the sector. But there are slim pickings from the slew of floats of a few years ago. The larger companies might end up the big winners. Navitas’s management hinted earlier this year that it might be interested in acquiring vocational training businesses down the track and sector consolidation looks inevitable. Whilst small now, the private education sector almost certainly has a big future. So keep an eye on the large companies and a few of the promising smaller players. E Disclosure: Staff members may own securities mentioned in this article. James Greenhalgh is a senior analyst with Intelligent Investor. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 282288). Authorised by Alastair Davidson. To unlock Intelligent Investor stock research and buy recommendations, take out a 15-day free membership at http://landing.intelligentinvestor.com.au/asa The CEO Sessions An opportunity for investors to hear from ASX-listed company senior executives. ASX and FNN are proud to present a program of forums for investors. Hear CEOs and senior representatives of listed companies present their investment story. Join them afterwards for an informal meet and greet session, with lunch provided. Find out more at www.asx.com.au/ceosessions Brought to you by Information and material to be presented at the seminar is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial product or taxation advice. Investors should obtain independent advice before making investment decisions. No responsibility is accepted by ASX Limited ABN 98 008 624 691 and its related bodies corporate (“ASX”) for any loss arising in any way (including due to negligence) from anyone acting or refraining from acting as a result of information or material presented at the seminar. © Copyright 2016 ASX Operations Pty Limited ABN 42 004 523 782. All rights reserved 2016. Gold is the strongest form of money By Peter Hall AM, Founder & Chief Investment Officer at Hunter Hall Investment Management Limited There are some fundamental reasons why the gold price has more upside. Here are some golden opportunities to consider. We started our journey investing in gold in 2014, observing that a stock we sold out of the funds in 2012 – at average prices of over $2 per share – had fallen to below 10c. That stock was St Barbara Limited. As we researched St Barbara, we discovered that the gold sector was profoundly out of favour. There were a number of stocks selling at low valuations compared to their likely cash flows at the current gold prices. We did not invest with the expectation that the gold price would rise. Rather, it was on the premise that it would stay flat, or go down. We purchased two stocks – St Barbara and Doray Minerals – which shared the characteristics of the highest production grades and margins so they would still be profitable even if the gold price fell. Why gold should rise However, at the same time, we recognised the potential for the gold price to rise at some, unknowable, time in the future. For two reasons. First the amount of gold in the world is growing at a very slow rate, particularly when compared to the rate of growth of paper money, given fiscal deficits, quantitative easing and the growth of derivatives. Put simply, if the volume of paper money is growing quickly and the volume of gold (a form of money) is rising slowly, the price of gold, expressed in paper money, will inevitably rise. The interest rate game Interest rates have declined to very low levels and many government bonds now have negative real interest rates. This threatens the balance of interest rates and currencies between the Big Four. Whenever the Americans put interest rates up the Chinese devalue their currency and that means their goods become cheaper which greatly impacts the industrial activity of Japan, Europe and the United States. China – the workshop of the world Over the last 40 years, China has become the workshop of the world through innovation, human enterprise and central government assistance. The graph shows the share of world trade of China and Japan. In the late 80’s, Japan had a 10% share of world exports. This has fallen to about 2.5%. China, on the other hand, has risen to 12.5%, winning share from Japan, Europe and the United States. Wealth is being transferred to China from the other three and is destabilising their relationships at many levels. Japan and China’s Share of World Exports (%) The second reason for gold to rise is that people want to hold more gold in an increasingly risky and incomprehensible world. The world is divided into four large economic and political blocs - China, Japan, Europe and the United States. Of course there are many other players but the balance of the world lies in the relationships between these four. For the last few decades they have lived in an uneasy and fragile truce where the relativities of interest rates, currencies, trade and capital flows have been acceptable to all. However, I used the word “fragile” to indicate that balance is not guaranteed and is vulnerable to shocks. One such shock has just occurred in the form of Brexit which is likely to lead to significant changes to the European Union and the Euro. One possible scenario is a collapse of the Euro and/or the European banking system. This could be followed by a crisis of national finances as sovereign debt increases rapidly, possibly exacerbated by a recession which would reduce tax revenues and increase government spending. The only way out would be further creation of paper money and further degradation of its quality. 8 SEPTEMBER 2016 EQUITY Source: Grants Interest Rate Observer Conference, April 2016. Scott Bessent, Keysquare The bar bell portfolio structure Hunter Hall is a value manager with a flexible investment mandate that can invest anywhere in the world. That generally leads us to investing in small to mid-cap stocks. The stocks that have driven most of the performance have been stocks where the ratio between risk and reward is tilted towards reward. These are stocks that have a payoff profile by having operating or financial leverage, they may have debt or if sales go up or down there is a big impact on profit or loss. Our Value Growth Trust and Global Value Limited portfolios have a bar bell structure. Part of the portfolio is in the game of making returns, whilst another part is risk adverse. Almost a quarter of the portfolio is in cash (20-25%), 20% in gold companies and the remaining 55%-60% is invested in other equities. The gold rationale We think gold has a wonderful future because the ratio of paper money to physical gold is in gold’s favour. As mentioned previously, more and more paper money is being generated as governments overspend and keep interest rates low. You would think that as the price of something goes up production would increase but this has not been the case with gold. Mines are going deeper, which is costing miners more money; gold is so rare that it is economic to mine ore with one part of gold per one million parts of rock! (1 gram a tonne); there is only a finite supply of gold; and there haven’t been any significant technological innovations in gold production since the 1980s when heap leaching was developed. The bottom line is that the rate of gold discoveries has fallen and production is growing very slowly even while the gold price has moved up considerably. This chart shows how gold discoveries have fallen over time, production remains weak, and the price of gold has been rising. Gold Discoveries—Fallen Since 1980s Source: Grants Interest Rate Observer Conference, April 2016, Pierre Lassonde, Franco Nevada Corp. DISCLAIMER: The information contained in this report is based on research by Hunter Hall Investment Management Limited (Hunter Hall) (AFSL: 219462) and represents the best information available at the time of writing. Hunter Hall is the issuer of financial products. This report does not take into account a reader’s investment objectives, particular needs or financial situation. It is general information only and should not be considered as investment advice and should not be relied on as an investment recommendation. The relevant PDS should be considered (available at www.hunterhall. com.au) when making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. The demand for gold Gold demand is rising. In 1980, demand for physical gold was about 1,800 tonnes a year. It is now over 4,000 tonnes a year, rising around 3% per year since 1980. Part of the reason for the recent spike in the gold price is to do with interest rates, because when you have negative interest rates which we have in a large part of the world’s bond markets - why not put your money into gold rather than a currency that gives you a negative return? Gold demand up about 3% a year since 1980 Source: Grants Interest Rate Observer Conference, April 2016, Pierre Lassonde, FrancoNevada Corp. To our initial portfolio of two gold stocks (with high margin gold production which make up 75 - 80% of our gold portfolios) we have added some more speculative plays which make up 20% - 25% of our gold portfolios. Beadell Resources owns the third largest mineral mine in Brazil and has substantial exploration potential. Two other names we hold are Blackham Resources and Aphrodite Gold. Australian domiciled St Barbara has been a strong performer for Hunter Hall; we have turned $8m into $221m at the time of writing. St Barbara is one of the lowest cost gold miners in Australia; it has large reserves; it was financially and operationally leveraged when we acquired our stake; but it has very impressive management that has done a brilliant job in turning it around. The long term development of that company will be to further pay down debt and then deploy the free cash. Looking at the valuation numbers, our calculus of the current price is about 4x their cash flow in 2018, so there is definitely room for the stock price to move up. E While this document is based on information from sources which are considered reliable, Hunter Hall has not verified independently the information contained in the document and Hunter Hall and its directors, employees and related entities do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate. Except insofar as liability under any statute cannot be excluded, Hunter Hall and its directors, employees and related parties do not accept any liability for any error or omission in this document or for any resulting loss or damage (whether direct, indirect, consequential or otherwise) suffered by the recipient of this document or any other person. Further information can be found at www.hunterhall.com.au or by emailing [email protected]. EQUITY SEPTEMBER 2016 9 Invest like the Future Fund By Freya Poynton, CFP Financial Adviser and Coach at Sornem Private Wealth The Future Fund hasn’t been voted the worlds’ best sovereign investor for no reason. The fund started in 2006 with $60.5bn and has since ballooned to $117bn. Investors might be able learn a thing or two from David Neal and his team. The Future Fund was established with the combination of budget surpluses, when we occasionally had one, and the proceeds from the sale of the government’s holding of Telstra. The Fund was launched with the sole purpose to support the unfunded superannuation liability, the amount owed to public servants who hold defined super accounts that the government has not set aside funds to pay. The debt is forecast to hit $195 billion by 2020. The fund only allows withdrawals after 2020, unless an agreed Target Asset Level is met. But this is not the purpose for the fund or even really an objective, but rather a process if performance is uncharacteristically high. This is important because the time and return requirements set the entire strategy for the fund. Focus on your long-term objectives The Future Fund has performed 7.4% pa since inception. Pretty impressive when compared to the market’s performance over the last 10 years. The ASX-200 has returned 4.25% pa since April 2006. Clearly value can be found moving beyond benchmarks. Running a benchmark unaware portfolio that is focused on just buying high quality assets and employing solid investment strategies can pay off in the long-term, although may lag in the short-term. So how exactly does the Future Fund manage to significantly outperform markets? By matching its long-term objectives with its investments. The fundamental difference between the Future Fund and everyone else is that most investors have a tendency to focus on short-term returns, yet its objectives are generally longterm. Advisers and Super Funds contact members annually to discuss the portfolio returns over the 12 month period. If returns have not been positive clients can easily go elsewhere. So the Advisers and Super Funds tend to focus on investing in assets that will provide returns over the short-term. The Future Fund on the other hand has one main objective, to cover the deficit by 2020. Although it reports annually it doesn’t have the risk of losing clients or members, so it can remain focused on aligning investments with objectives. There is often a tendency for investors to be blindsided by short-term noise in the media that can trigger decisions without careful consideration and in turn can destroy value. The Future Fund has developed smart incentive systems that include tracking long-term performance compared with objectives, setting longer-term benchmarks and 10 SEPTEMBER 2016 EQUITY aligning rewards paid to managers for longer-term performance. These systems can be implemented by most investors by asking advisers to focus on reporting on long-term performance, and tailoring remuneration on the basis of meeting long-term objectives. Invest in more illiquid and cash assets By altering its investment horizon to the long-term, the Future Fund was able to access structural risk premia, reduce behavioural errors (buying high, selling low), take advantage of macro themes and ride out market fluctuations. The Future Fund cites both Ang and Kjaer (2011) and WEF (2011) in their strategy papers. Both discuss the inclusion of illiquidity premia which is an additional return that is paid to reward investors who hold long-term illiquid assets. A premium we tend to avoid. The Future Fund has 30% allocated to illiquid assets such as: Private Equity, Alternatives, Infrastructure and Timberland. SMSF’s have around a 4% combined allocation in these asset classes. Illiquid assets pay an illiquidity and investment risk premia, rather than volatility and price risk premia (where the price does not equal the intrinsic value) found in listed shares. However the Future Fund does not discount the importance of liquidity to take advantage of future opportunities holding what looks like an over allocation of 15% cash. Cash may seem like a passive investment but the fund actually holds the cash in foreign exchange. It identifies Yen and the US dollar as the most countercyclical currencies and is a solid source of returns. In aggregate, a mix of cash and illiquid private assets can be equivalent to a portfolio of equities with a reduced level of volatility. Move from Australian to global equities Australian investors tend to have a domestic equity bias with around 45% invested in Australian Equities and just 1% in global equities. Compare this to the Future Fund which hold 8% and 30%, respectively. It’s a huge opportunity that investors seem to be missing. The Australian share market represents a mere 2% of the global equity market and is heavily weighted towards the big banks and miners. Whilst dividend imputation and transaction costs provides some rationale, there are diversification and risk-mitigation benefits by allocating beyond the Australian equity market. But, of course, the challenge of selecting quality companies is more difficult when looking outside Australia - as there are some 45,000 listed companies. So how do you pick the right companies? Employ fund managers The common belief is that we can outperform by active stock picking. And why pay someone when you can do it yourself? But the reality is that there are fund managers who are far more experienced, and have greater access to more information than your common Joe. Despite the higher cost, a fund provides a greater opportunity for smoother and higher returns. Whilst most industry funds and financial advisers are internalising investment management through direct holdings, the Future Fund is doing the opposite. The fund employs 113 managers and paid $268million in management fees last year. The Future Fund understands that reducing management fees is important, but it is only part of the equation. The most important component is the net impact of employing managers. In an interview with the AFR, David Neal stated that “we believe our focus on building the best total portfolio trumps any potential cost saving from internal management”. Make no mistake choosing the right managers is no easy task. The managed fund universe is massive and vastly larger than the amount of listed companies. There are even funds of funds (managed funds with managed funds inside of them). When choosing a manager it is important to refer back to your objectives and find managers who align with these. Do the assets produce income or growth? Are the managers active or passive? Does it have a small or a large number of holdings? Value or growth investors? Short or long only? What are the assets? Fees? Experience? And last but not least, the funds historical performance? Utilising investment managers not only allows access to the most qualified investors but also enables access to markets that would otherwise be inaccessible and costly. What can investors learn? The Future Fund can be used as a model portfolio. Although there are some assets that will be inaccessible due to the size of the Future Fund. Assets like alternatives, non-listed infrastructure and timberland will be difficult to purchase but these investments have a clear message - add more investments that aren’t affected in a share market crash. Assets like farmland, social impact bonds, peer-to-peer lending and specialist strategy managers, like targeted return funds, can be a great way to diversify. The Future Fund’s success has been its ability to be clear about its long-term objectives, match these with long-term diversified investments, and invest in strategies and markets that meet its goals. And it does this better than anyone else. E Dear Editor Thank you for publishing my report on the tours that we do to companies in South Australia, and I know that it keeps the members informed on various industries, but I have found a number of members joining the tours have taken a new interest in the ASA as they don’t usually come along to regular meetings. The tours to Silver Fleece captured everybody’s interest as they make not only high quality school and sports jumpers but scarves, baby, granny, and sports blankets, and the tour is now available to every member with email, just go to [email protected] and click on factory, and you can do a 4.5 minute tour a regular tour takes one and a half hours. Ron Andrews SA Site Tour Coordinator EQUITY SEPTEMBER 2016 11 ESTATE PLANNING SERIES I’m not dead yet – the Advanced Health Directive By Christina Wolfsbauer, Senior Associate and Peter Bobbin, Managing Principal at Argyle Lawyers What does quality of life mean to you? It means different things to different people. How can you be sure that your wishes regarding your quality of life will be honoured if you can no longer communicate? Putting your wishes into writing will help to provide this security. Often referred to as an “Advanced Health Directive”, a “Declaration of Life” or “Living Will”, such a document allows you to influence the decisions regarding your future medical treatment at a time when you cannot otherwise communicate your needs. For example, it may dictate the point at which you would like artificial life support systems to be removed. Such documents can be particularly important in “blended family” circumstances where differing views may arise. Dying is an emotionally difficult topic and hence many do not address it. However, it is a subject which cannot and should not be avoided. An informed decision about the medical treatment you wish to allow, or refuse, should be made now if you want to ensure, insofar as possible, your quality of life. Often people will have strong views as to medical treatment they would like to receive, and which they would not. They may wish to direct certain medical procedures to occur or not to occur. However, at a given point of time, due to their physical and mental condition, they may be unable to communicate those directions. The legal position of these documents in Australia is not settled and differs between each State and Territory. Clearly, the directions that you give in such document can only be followed if they are legally capable of being followed under the laws prevailing at that time and must be considered in light of the various rules and regulations that medical practitioners must adhere to. As an example, we will consider the position in Queensland, Victoria and New South Wales. Queensland has specific legislative guidance within the Powers of Attorney Act 1998 (QLD) which states that an Advance Health Directive must meet certain requirements and be in the approved form. One of these requirements is a certificate signed by a doctor attesting to your capacity at the time of making the document. The Queensland legislation also specifically provides that a direction in a valid Advanced Health Directive will have priority over a general or specific power for health matters given in an Enduring Power of Attorney. In Victoria, statutory recognition of Advance Care Directives is currently under consultation. There is currently no specific legislation or standard form in Victoria dealing with Advance Care Directives. Victoria does however have specific legislation which 12 SEPTEMBER 2016 EQUITY allows a person to complete a “Refusal of Medical Treatment Certificate”. Similar to Victoria, New South Wales does not have specific legislation dealing with Advance Health Directives. Rather, the Guardianship Act 1987 (NSW) uses the concept of ‘responsible person’ being the person health practitioners must consult with if you cannot give consent to medical treatment yourself. The Act specifies a hierarchy of ‘responsible persons’, being: 1. the Enduring Guardian (provided the appointing document provides for the guardian to exercise the function of giving consent to carrying out medical treatment); otherwise 2. the spouse (provided the relationship is close and continuing); otherwise 3. the person who has the care of the person; otherwise 4. a close friend or relative of the person. The approach in NSW does not necessarily bind the ‘responsible person’ to follow your directions if you have previously communicated these via a written document such as a Declaration of Life or Living Will (as they are often referred to in NSW). Rather, the responsible person concept simply refers to who medical practitioners must seek consent from in the event you cannot provide it. Given the differing positions in each State and Territory, it is important to cover yourself as best as possible if you wish to have the opportunity of communicating your wishes. Why is a lawyer telling you the importance of documents outlining your medical wishes? Because failing to understand the legal requirements may result in such documents failing at the opportune time. The best approach will be to do the most that the relevant State/ Territory legislation allows. In Queensland, this will be complying with the legislative requirements for a valid Advanced Health Directive. In Victoria and New South Wales, this will be ensuring that you have a valid appointment of Enduring Guardian and making the instrument appointing the guardian tie to a further document setting our your wishes (i.e. a Declaration of Life, Advanced Health Directive or Living Will etc). Other States and Territories may have other requirements and you should seek advice to ensure you put yourself in the best position possible to have your directions adhered to. Don’t forget, it’s your life, these documents can ensure your wishes are met and provide welcome guidance to family members in difficult times. E This is the third article in the ESTATE PLANNING SERIES. Next month’s article addresses how to avoid the testamentary trust. The Dick Smith lessons By Anna Candler, Managing Director at Six Hats Investor Relations Warren Buffett likens retailing to building a castle. You need to build a castle that people want to visit and then surround it with the widest possible moat to protect your castle from marauders. The castle for a retailer is the mixture of brands and products it stocks, and the demand for those products. On the other hand, the moat will consist of things like company loyalty, pricing and distribution strategy, agility in response to market trends and business margins. I for one like the analogy. So how does this description give investors an insight into what happened at Dick Smith? Can it guide us when we look at other retailing stocks? The Dick Smith castle The moat never really existed Despite all the changes in the IT and electronics sector, the Dick Smith castle has not changed substantially since its foundation. The company remained firmly wedded to offering a broad mixture of lower end retail brands; thinking we would always remain loyal to lower prices. The reality for Dick Smith is that it thought that it was still a destination castle. And to justify the $520 million float price it opened more stores, broadened its products, and promised its investors a golden future. So the moat was neither deep nor broad. Everything had to go right to make this castle safe. While the choice of products stocked is being blamed for the company’s demise, perhaps it is far simpler - we stopped visiting the castle. But where is the fun in blaming the consumer? When you sit back and look you realise that there are many other electronic castles (Kogan, eBay, Harvey Norman et al); every one of them chasing the same visitors and all of them touting lower prices. Moreover, some of the more lucrative products (Samsung, Apple) are building their own retail castles wanting direct access to the same visitors. So there was no real need to shop at the Dick Smith castle anymore. Building a moat Every castle needs a moat or some proactive defence strategy. The only problem is that moats are not cheap. Whether it is better back-office and product management systems, better advertising, they all cost money, and that money can come from one source – the visitors to your castle. Additionally, if your castle is listed, the money has to feed your investors as well. Relisting – an opportunity to protect the castle Perhaps we will never know whether there was a genuine business case for the products, or were many of the decisions made because of the margins they could generate? The Dick Smith buying team is not the first, and won’t be the last, to get the product mix wrong - just look at what is on any sales counter. The challenge for any retailer is to get the supplier to pay for absolutely everything – the marketing, the floor space, and discounts to attract customers. While Dick Smith lacked the ability to drive as hard a bargain as Coles and Woolworths, it took how it used discounts to a new level. After having paid for the stock, management asked suppliers for a rebate claiming they would discount the price to customers. The only problem was that Dick Smith did not discount the stock, and banked the rebate as revenue thereby inflating their business margins and revenues. The problem is that we as consumers are fickle creatures – there is almost no brand loyalty (Apple aside) we are fixated on price and convenience and want what we want now with the minimum of effort and at the lowest price. So the Dick Smith listing should have been an opportunity to rebuild its castle and its moat. It did neither. While getting rebates is a standard practice, the reason the company analysts were upset was that there is no way of knowing if other companies are doing something similar. The irony is that if the products had sold and Dick Smith had prospered investors would have rewarded management because of their business margins. The fact is to succeed as an electronics castle your management team has to be the predictor of consumer trends, and that is a very difficult way to make consistent money. As a visitor, if you decide to buy Samsung, do you really care which castle you visit? Was Dick Smith on your top five list of castles at which to shop? The lesson is that no matter the castle (think Woolworths) you need to think constantly about the depth and breadth of the moat. After nipping at the heels of Coles and Woolworths for some years, Aldi Castle is now starting to take shape, their moat in the shape of smaller stores, smaller product ranges is deep and broad. E EQUITY SEPTEMBER 2016 13 AUSNET SERVICES AGM Settlement following serious board upheaval last year Following the restructure 15 months ago from a cumbersome triple corporate identity to a single identity, the resolution of the Advance Metering Infrastructure (‘Smart Meters’) roll out woes and an adverse tax judgement, all of which impacted on the 2015 performance, this year’s outcome has largely been devoid of negative factors. This plus a continuation of favourable energy regulatory price determinations and the abatement of board upheaval enabled the company to complete a satisfactory year. 1 year chart MONITORS: T om Rado, John Whittington & Mike Robey Date 21 July 2016 Venue Melbourne Convention & Exhibition Centre Attendees 37 shareholders plus 40 visitors ASA proxies 1.7m shares from 72 holders Value of proxies $3m Proxies voted Yes Market cap $6.1bn Pre-AGM meeting Yes, with Chairman and executives MACQUARIE AGM The two main shareholders, Singapore Power International and China’s State Grid, put last year’s dramatic disagreement with the board behind them. In addition, an independent Australian Chairman, Peter Mason (ex AMP), was appointed, who conducted a pleasant and friendly meeting. We commended the company, including all of its employees, for very satisfactory results and welcomed the new Chairman. As usual, the only questions put to the Board came from the ASA representative. On the bush-fire mitigation programme, the company confirmed that the new much touted Rapid Earth Fault Current Limiter (REFCL) will not work on high voltage (HV) Single Wire Earth Return (SWER) lines. However they are working on other fronts but within the budget approved by the regulator, which precludes the replacement of SWER lines with HV multiphase lines enabling REFCL to be used. On the impact of the Australian Energy Regulator’s (AER) recent price determination on future company profit, the Managing Director advised that the unfavourable Electrical Transmission draft decision will be thoroughly examined and further evidence justifying the expenditure necessary for network reliability and safety will be supplied to the AER for its final decision. All the resolutions were supported by the ASA and passed comfortably. The Remuneration Report was extensively and clearly set out. Short term incentives were based on a number of disclosed realistic measures. Long term incentives were based on three year performance measures of TSR, EPS, Return on Invested Capital and Interest Cover Ratio. The ASA voted in favour whilst highlighting some misgiving on a few issues, the principal being a 36% increase of non-executive directors’ base fees and sought assurance that although it was due to catch-up, that there will be no increase in the next few years. This assurance was given. New AGM format engaging and well received by shareholders Macquarie presented this year’s meeting in a new format which was warmly received by most shareholders including the ASA. The meeting was opened by the Chairman who provided the usual overview of performance and was followed by the CEO, who, assisted by some business unit heads from the floor, gave an in depth update on operations. Highlights included assurance on a continuation of the group’s conservative capital position (with over $3.5 billion surplus based on the Basel 3 framework) and profit guidance for 2017 which he said would be a similar result to 2016. 3 year chart MONITORS: P eter Metcalf & Allan McAskill Date 28 July 2016 Venue Sheraton on the Park, Sydney Attendees 173 shareholders plus 137 visitors ASA proxies 425,000 shares from 355 holders Value of proxies $31.6m Proxies voted Yes Market cap $24bn Pre-AGM meeting Yes, with Chairman and Director The directors standing for re-election addressed the meeting with their credentials and before adjourning the meeting for morning tea the Chairman displayed the proxy voting results for all items of business. The adjournment of the meeting gave shareholders an opportunity to look at the booths set up to explain some of the company’s lines of business and meet with executives and Board members Following the adjournment, the Chairman addressed the formal items of business and invited questions from the floor. A time limit on questions would be an improvement here. The ASA raised the quantum issue (the CEO gets circa $20 million) and we were advised by the board that the company benchmarks its quantum to international investment banks. There was a persistent line of questioning from an interest group on the risks associated with fossil fuel investments and the CEO spent quite some time explaining how the company measures and manages all types of business risks. There were also a number of questions on political donations which are not favoured by the ASA. The meeting was told that Macquarie’s cash donations, as distinct from contributions for attendance at political events did not exceed $20000 and are confined to Australia only, such that Macquarie’s cash political donations were immaterial when compared to the $305,000 spent on political events and functions. Along with most other shareholders, we supported all items of business. All resolutions were passed by over 99% of the voters except the Remuneration Report which received which was marginally lower at 98.7%. 14 SEPTEMBER 2016 EQUITY Share price jumps after an unsurprising AGM On the day of the AGM, the share price jumped from around $1.75 to a high of $2.22 before settling at about $2.00. This was all on the basis of no surprises or bad news. PROGRAMMED MAINTENANCE AGM The Chairman described how this was a transitional year following the integration of the Skilled operations which were included in the accounts for only six months. Both he and the CEO were positive about the savings achieved so far and the larger scale of the combined business. The CEO went on to highlight the diverse sectors in which PRG operates and emphasised its small volumes in the resources sector. As a result of decline in the oil and gas sector, the marine division has been wound back and will now be incorporated into the operations and maintenance division. Finally the CEO confirmed the forecast that under current trading conditions he expected that the company would achieve EBITA of $100-$110 million in the 2017 year. We asked the board to examine ways of returning franking credits to shareholders and increasing the dividend as a percentage of earnings. The Chairman replied that both aspects were under regular review but at the present the board believed that reducing the company’s debt was a priority and once that was done dividend payout and franking credit return would be re-examined. We asked the auditor to comment on the methodology that was used to confirm the valuation of goodwill in the balance sheet, noting that it was by far the company’s largest asset at over $500 million. The auditor provided a suitable answer but predictably reminded the meeting that the preparation of the accounts was the responsibility of management and that he was satisfied with the assumptions made and methodology followed. We spoke against the Remuneration Report, specifically the LTI plan, as there are several items which do not accord with ASA guidelines. Other shareholders did not support our view and consequently the report was adopted with only a 2.8% against vote. There were four directors standing for election/re-election. All were elected convincingly with 99.5% or more in favour. The most eventful occurrence at the AGM was a vociferous room invasion by approximately 30 officials of the ETU. They were protesting about the outsourcing of maintenance work by CUB at their Abbotsford Brewery in Melbourne to PRG. The noisy protest was handled capably by the Chairman and was over in about 10 minutes. Brickbats Bouquets To Link Market Services for not transferring To former ANZ CEO John McFarlane for calling for a rethink of company culture and a shift from the focus on short term performance, which can lead to the wrong behaviour and decisions, to superior performance over the longer term. ASA agrees with this sentiment and that companies should ensure that their actions are sustainable and focussed on long term value creation. across ASA’s standing proxies from Computershare when Macquarie changed its share registry last year. Luckily, we brought this to the attention of Macquarie’s Company Secretary, who promptly raised the issue with Link. It was only then that Link looked into the matter and transferred the proxies across. We wonder whether any other standing proxies have been lost as a result of a change in share registry! We are pleased that Macquarie was prompt to rectify the situation so that proxies were counted at the AGM. To OceanaGold for paying its recent dividend in USD to all of its shareholders regardless of where they were based, meaning Australian-based shareholders were required to pay a substantial fee to cash in the USD cheques, or to open a USD bank account. We understand many shareholders have complained about this issue to the company, so we hope the Board will reconsider its position for any future dividend. To the Surfstitch Board for overseeing the company’s share price fall from highs of almost $2.00 in November 2015 to around 20 cents at the time of writing. The CEO left unexpectedly in March 2016 and soon after, joint CEOs and a Chief Operating Officer (COO) were appointed. Since then, the COO has been promoted to CEO and a new Chairman Sam Weiss has been appointed. Following a period of change and earnings downgrades, shareholders will have to wait and see whether the new CEO and Chairman can turn around the company. 1 year chart MONITORS: Geoff Read & Stephen Weston Date 27 July 2016 Venue Parmelia Hilton Hotel, Perth Attendees 12 shareholders/ proxyholders plus 28 visitors ASA proxies 435,000 shares from 68 holders Value of proxies $870,000 Proxies voted Yes Market cap $530m Pre-AGM meeting Yes, with Chairman BRICKBATS & BOUQUETS To Macquarie for holding an engaging AGM in a new format which was less formal and gave shareholders more information about what the company does.The tea break also allowed shareholders to learn more about the company’s lines of business and meet with executives and Board members. To Peter Warne, Outgoing Chair of OFX Group Ltd, for acknowledging he may be overloaded and voluntarily retiring from the Chairmanship of OFX (formerly OzForex Group) to concentrate on his Chairmanship of Macquarie Group and other commitments. He has done a sterling job for shareholders of steering OFX through the Western Union unsolicited takeover bid and the resignation of the CEO and some executives after Western Union’s departure. We wish him well for the future. Members are welcome to send in their suggestions to [email protected]. Comments included here do not necessarily reflect those of all members. EQUITY EQUITY SEPTEMBER 2016 15 Make your vote count Give the ASA your proxy Your vote is important this upcoming AGM season You may know that as part of the formal business of an AGM, a number of resolutions are discussed and voted on by shareholders. Some of the resolutions are mandatorily required on an annual basis, such as the re-election of directors and adoption of the Remuneration Report. Others are only required in situations where the law seeks to protect shareholders by giving them a specific right of approval (eg selective buy backs, institutional placements, transactions with related parties), so you will not always see these resolutions. In either case, these resolutions are put to shareholders for a vote because they relate to important matters affecting all shareholders. The ability to vote on these resolutions is a fundamental right of shareholders which should be exercised, regardless of the size of your shareholding. Every vote counts and there really is no reason why you should let your votes go wasted. If you don’t know how to vote, ASA can decide for you Reading through a Notice of Meeting and making an informed decision on how to vote can be daunting and time consuming, which is why ASA’s company monitors do that work for you. By appointing the ASA as your proxy, ASA will vote your shares in accordance with your directions (if a directed proxy) or the voting intentions for each AGM published on our website (if an open proxy). To appoint the ASA as your proxy, all you need to do is write Australian Shareholders Association in the box where you write your proxy’s name (if using a paper Proxy Form) or type in the name of your proxy (if using an online form). ASA generally monitors and attends meetings of ASX 200 companies – you can view our list of monitored companies on the ASA website https://www.australianshareholders.com.au/ companies Tired of filling out forms, appoint the ASA as a standing proxy If you don’t want to lodge a proxy form every time you receive a Notice of Meeting, you can appoint the ASA as your standing proxy. A standing proxy is an ongoing default instruction to the share registry which removes the hassle of filling in proxy forms for every meeting. Standing proxies are easy to fill in and send back to the registry. Both Computershare and Link Market Services have their own form, so you will need to look up the share registry for your company’s shares. For other registries such as Boardroom, there 16 SEPTEMBER 2016 EQUITY is a generic form. The forms are available on our website under “Company monitoring > ASA as your proxy > Standing proxies”. It is important that the name on your form is exactly the same as the name of the securityholder under the CHESS records. Once you’ve submitted the forms, you won’t need to worry about voting your shares again. Commonly asked questions I do not know whether to vote FOR or AGAINST a resolution. What do I do? You can leave your proxy “open” (an undirected proxy) by not marking any of the boxes. If you’ve appointed the ASA as your proxy, this means ASA will vote your shares in accordance with our published voting intentions. How do I know whether my standing proxy form has been received by the share registry? Registries do not issue confirmation letters and the ASA is not notified of who has appointed the ASA as a proxy, so you should contact the share registry to confirm that your standing proxies are in place. I have appointed the ASA as my standing proxy but am still receiving the AGM package of documents. Can I ignore them? You will still receive the AGM documents, whether you have a standing proxy or not. This will allow you to revoke your proxy for a particular meeting or give us a directed proxy. We encourage you to read the AGM materials but you can ignore the proxy form included in the package if you wish to retain your standing proxy. I recently bought more shares in the company. Do I need to fill in a new standing proxy form? No. If you acquire more shares under the same HIN or SRN (such as via a dividend reinvestment), your standing proxy will apply to these new shares. Please note however you will need to complete a separate standing proxy form if the holding is under a different HIN or SRN. How do I revoke my standing proxy? Simply write to the share registry and advise them of your change. Can I still attend the AGM if I have appointed the ASA as my standing proxy? Yes, you can still attend meetings and sign in as a “visitor”, although this does not come with rights to ask questions or vote because the voting rights remains assigned to the proxyholder. You can also attend as a “non-voting shareholder”, which allows you to ask questions or make comments, without voting. Or, if you like, suspend or revoke the proxy at the registration desk. This will allow you to also vote from the floor of the meeting. The standing proxy will continue for other meetings of the company. E Short selling By John Campbell, ASA Monitor Panel Member With a few exceptions, short selling is prohibited under the Corporations Act in Australia. The main exception relates to covered short selling, which is permitted provided the seller has ‘a presently exercisable and unconditional right to vest the product in the buyer’ at the time of sale. Covered short selling involves the short seller holding the relevant securities on loan from the registered owner and commercially this involves the short seller providing security and paying a fee to the owner for the period of the loan. Short sellers are required to report their short positions to ASIC on a daily basis, and ASIC publishes a daily report (released 4 days in arrears) which can be found on their webpage: http://www.asic.gov.au/regulatory-resources/ markets/short-selling/short-position-reports-table. The following table lists the top ten stocks short sold by value and percentage of issued capital on 11 July 2016 – the reader should note that this date was before the reporting season whereas this article will be published after results are released. Short sellers may well have liquidated their positions by the time you get to read this so this information is out of date as regards the companies named. I provide it only to give an indication of the level of short positions in Australia and the extent of short selling in individual stocks. Top ten short sold by value: Code #m shares % issued $m CBA 37.20 2.17% 2,756.87 WOW 97.30 7.61% 2,073.46 WBC 56.78 1.70% 1,657.44 ANZ 56.75 1.94% 1,357.39 BHP 57.90 1.80% 1,134.86 1,012.00 WES 24.68 2.19% OSH 138.90 9.12% 958.40 RIO 16.70 3.94% 827.18 FMG 140.58 4.51% 572.15 TLS 96.75 0.79% 548.55 Total top 10 12,898.30 Top ten short sold by percentage of issued shares: Code #m shares % issued #m shares % issued MYR 141.29 17.20% Code BAL 9.49 9.82% WOR 32.64 13.29% CVO 30.76 9.68% MTS 118.03 12.71% OSH 138.90 9.12% FLT 11.68 11.58% WSA 24.69 9.11% MND 10.24 10.93% IFL 27.34 9.11% There were 439 stocks listed in the ASIC short positions report for 11 July 2016 and the total value of the 439 short sold positions amounted to $30 billion, or 1.8% of the combined market capitalisation of those 439 companies on that date of $1.7 trillion. Some questions arise: • Why permit short selling at all? Short selling adds liquidity to the market. It is arguable that it also adds significant volatility to the market and I think most investors would regard this as undesirable. It is particularly undesirable if the level of short selling brings pressure to bear on company management to take action that they otherwise believe unwarranted – eg to sell off assets or to raise capital. It is possible that taking that action might bring about the drop in value that the short sellers are anticipating. • Who is doing the short-selling/who has access to the stock loan arrangements needed to cover short selling? There will be well-credentialed individual and corporate traders who are able to make the necessary arrangements to borrow stock but I believe most of the short selling activity is by hedge funds, reported as having assets under management of $95 billion in 2014. • Who is lending stock to the short sellers? Given that $30 billion of stock had been lent to short sellers in July, it can only be institutional holders. Most institutions hold shares on behalf of unit-holders in managed funds. The shares are therefore held in a trustee capacity and fund managers will argue that the security provided by the hedge fund protects against the risk of default whilst lending fees benefit unitholders. My concern is that the security being lent has been selected as fitting the investment strategy of the fund, whilst the act of lending it to a hedge fund will probably lead to a reduction in price, at least in the short term. • How does HFT activity comply with short selling rules? Algorithms used by HFT operators are understood to scan news feeds and other data sources for indications that a stock may be over or under valued and to instigate sell or buy orders to take advantage of that situation. In the case of sell orders for stocks not held by the operator, it is obliged to hold cover for the sale. Perhaps the HFT operator enters into a facility with an index fund enabling the HFT operator to borrow a limited number of every ASX200 stock to facilitate its operations. Should short selling by HFT operators be permitted as they don’t add significant liquidity, just a lot of ‘noise’? • Conflict of interest within funds management activities? Investments fluctuate in value and anticipation of a price reduction in the short term may not invalidate holding the investment for the longer term if it fits the strategy for a particular fund. So it may be that, under one institutional roof, there are fund managers short-selling a particular stock because they anticipate a fall in price, whilst others are buying the same stock for long term value. But how effective are the information barriers in place to prevent misuse of information and to manage conflicts of interest (eg with an investment banking arm) in such circumstances? E EQUITY SEPTEMBER 2016 17 ASIC’s Robo-advice: the pros and cons of financial advice delivered online By Miles Larbey, Senior Executive Leader for Financial Literacy at ASIC Robo-advice, a term used to describe financial advice delivered online, can offer convenient, and potentially lower-cost financial advice by making use of algorithms and technology. There are also limitations and things to bear in mind when considering using a robo-advice service. You should make sure you understand the limitations, are aware of the costs involved and check it suits your needs before you sign up. What is robo advice? Robo-advice, also known as digital advice or automated advice, is still developing in Australia. Generally, it refers to financial advice that’s delivered by algorithms and technology instead of a human financial adviser. You enter personal details, such as age, gender, income, assets, financial goals and risk tolerance, into a computer program and it generates financial advice, based on the details you entered. Robo-advisers could be startup businesses, banks offering their customers investment advice or super funds offering their members advice on their super. It is usually limited to one particular area, for example investment options. If this is the case, the advice will not consider other factors, such as debt management, super contributions, tax planning or the effects of an investment on Centrelink benefits. afford full service financial advice, only have a small amount to invest, or have simple advice needs. Advice may be charged on a fee for service basis, and/or a percentage fee of assets under management, if you choose to implement the recommendations. You may also be charged a subscription fee for ongoing services, including regular newsletters or updates. Robo-advice limitations There are limitations on what digital advice software can do. For example, a computer will not clarify your goals and objectives. It cannot account for changes in your circumstances, if you have a break from work, increase your debt levels or lose income due to sickness or injury. Digital advice questionnaires may focus on your investment goals and risk profile but not ask about your mortgage, debts or other investments. Robo-advisers should explain upfront if they are only offering limited advice and should be clear about the risks associated with the advice. Updating your advice A robo-adviser needs to have an Australian Financial Services Licence or be a representative of a licensee. It is recommended you find out if and how your advice will be updated should your investment timeline change, your financial goals shift or there are other changes to your personal circumstances. Personal advice Portfolio rebalancing When you register with a digital advice website, you login to answer questions about your goals, objectives and risk tolerance. This gives the robo-adviser information about your financial situation and aspirations. The computer algorithm considers this information and produces an automated statement of advice (SOA) which explains the recommendations and other important information for you. If the advice you receive allows the robo-adviser to automatically adjust the asset allocation of your portfolio, you should understand when and why the rebalancing will occur. For example, will rebalancing occur quarterly or as soon as your portfolio strays more than 5 per cent from the original mix of assets? You should also be clear about any costs or tax liabilities associated with rebalancing your portfolio. As your circumstances can change over time, it is advisable you check the advice still fits your needs. Asking questions about the advice General advice A robo-adviser which only gives general advice will not take into account your personal circumstances and you will not receive an SOA. With general advice, you will need to decide whether the recommendation is appropriate for you, and take into account your goals, objectives and risk tolerance, before acting on the information. Paying for robo-advice Robo-advice may have lower advice fees than traditional financial advisers. Robo-advice may be an option for people who cannot 18 SEPTEMBER 2016 EQUITY Because there will not be a real person giving the advice you may not have a chance to ask questions. This may make it harder to understand the advice and decide whether it is right for you. Financial decisions are important, if there is anything you do not understand it is advisable to do your own research and seek further information to help you make an informed decision. Fees and other costs It is important you understand the upfront and ongoing costs of the advice and at what stage of the process you will be paying fees. You should also check if you can withdraw from the service or any recommended products, whether there are restrictions on withdrawals and if there are any costs for doing so. E 01 WA Investment Concepts Seminar Anecdotal evidence suggests that a substantial number of ASA members do not attend meetings and discussion groups because of their perception of their low level of understanding of share investing. A cohort of particular interest may be the partners of active members. The WA Committee is therefore piloting a half-day seminar to introduce new and hesitant members to the concepts of retail share investing. To be led by experienced ASA members as discussion leaders the seminar will include discussion on: trading vs investing; risk vs reward; how to buy and sell; explanation of CHESS; floats; dividends and imputation; understanding Annual Reports; information sources and more. asa NEWS DESK Strictly limited to 20, participants will be provided with a Pre-study Guide. At just $25pp (excludes refreshments) this will sell out quickly. To register please go to the ASA website https://www.australianshareholders.com.au/events/perth-investmentconcepts-seminar or call the office on 1300 368 448. 02 Cuffelinks Written by financial market professionals with experience in wealth management, superannuation, banking, academia and financial advice, Cuffelinks is an independent financial newsletter. The team is led by finance industry veteran, Chris Cuffe. Register and you will receive a free copy of their ebook, Cuffelinks Showcase 2015, where they selected the best articles from hundreds published in 2015. It includes articles by many of the biggest names in the Australian investment market. It’s free to subscribe – here is the link http://cuffelinks.com.au/newsletter-invite. 03 Presentations 01 WA Investment Concepts Seminar Have you visited our presentations page https://www.australianshareholders.com.au/ presentations lately? Not only can you listen to a nine minute podcast of an interview of Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, following his presentation at the Brisbane Investor Forum on 13 July, but you can also access Elio D’Amato’s presentation on ‘Stocks to watch this Annual Reporting Season’ and introductory notes to filtering fundamentals. 04 ASX CEO Sessions ASX, along with Finance News Network, is giving investors an excellent opportunity to hear from senior executives of ASX-listed companies. The ASX CEO Sessions are a program of forums designed especially so investors can hear CEOs and senior representatives of listed companies tell their investment story. Join them afterward for an informal meet and greet, with lunch provided. Sessions are free, but you must register. Next Sydney session is Tuesday 20 September. More information is available: http://www.asx.com.au/seminars/ceo-sessions/ 02 Cuffelinks 05 selfmanagedsuper Trustee Empowerment Day Scheduled in Sydney on Monday, 12 September; Brisbane on Wednesday; 14 September and Melbourne on Friday, 16 September, the selfmanagedsuper Trustee Empowerment Day will cover a number of relevant topics to equip you with current information to assist you in better managing your retirement savings. To bring a guest for free when you register, go to http://www.smsmagazine.com.au/event/smsf-trusteeempowerment-day and quote ASA2016. The RRP is $75pp. E Our new office 03 Presentations 05 SMSF Trustee Trustee Empowerment Day EQUITY SEPTEMBER 2016 19 PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION & MANAGEMENT ADELAIDE • PERTH • MELBOURNE • CANBERRA • BRISBANE • SYDNEY Join Lincoln Indicators Director of Research & Education, Elio D’Amato, for this exclusive masterclass. PART 1 – Principles of successful portfolio management Learn how to implement a successful investment strategy, including when to exit a stock, by understanding your investment goals. PART 2 – Building a portfolio relative to your objectives Learn how to construct a rock-solid portfolio by identifying quality stocks aligned to your investment objectives. Don’t miss out on this unique opportunity to spend time with a leading industry expert and learn how to make informed and disciplined decisions based on your investment objectives and risk profile. DATES ADELAIDE Friday 14 October 9am to 12.30pm Hackney Hotel, 95 Hackney Road, Hackney PERTH Saturday 15 October 9am to 12.30pm Metro Hotel, 61 Canning Highway, South Perth MELBOURNE Friday 21 October 9am to 12.30pm Batman’s Hill on Collins, 623 Collins Street, Melbourne CANBERRA Saturday 22 October 9am to 12.30pm Canberra Southern Cross Club Woden, 92-96 Corinna Street, Woden BRISBANE Friday 28 October 9am to 12.30pm Broncos Leagues Club, Fulcher Road, Red Hill SYDNEY SPEAKER ELIO D’AMATO, DIRECTOR OF RESEARCH & EDUCATION, LINCOLN INDICATORS Elio D’Amato heads up Lincoln’s Stock Doctor research team. He is also the company’s chief educator and key media spokesman. You may recognise him from regular segments on ABC and Sky Business television networks. Elio is a monthly contributor to Smart Investor magazine and regularly presents at a wide range of industry events and investment workshops. Saturday 29 October 9am to 12.30pm Harbourview Hotel, 17 Blue Street, North Sydney EARLY BIRD PRICES (ENDS TWO WEEKS PRIOR TO EACH EVENT) ASA Members & partners $49 per person Non-members$69 per person Includes morning tea and access to online papers. Early bird prices are available up to two weeks prior to the event, at which time registrations will increase by $20. To register, call 1300 368 448 or register online at www.australianshareholders.com.au/ portfolio-construction-masterclass Spaces are strictly limited. 20 SEPTEMBER 2016 EQUITY NSW Report By Richard McDonald, NSW State Chairman NSW has had good attendances at our newest discussion group – Inner West – held at Concord. I visited last month and with 42 attendees we had a lively and interesting meeting with an excellent presentation on Stop Losses. The group started in September 2015 and has gone from strength to strength. The group has engaged attendees who like to continue post meeting by gathering for lunch. Our other meeting groups are well attended. Last month there were 45 at the North Shore Group at Killara, and good attendances at both Bondi Junction and Newcastle. Earlier this year I visited our Taree and Port Macquarie groups. I was joined by John Cowling who gave presentations. Our groups in these areas are always pleased for the visits and very welcoming. With our Wollongong Convenor stepping down, Silvana Eccles and I met with members of this group in August and can happily report that from October this discussion group will continue to meet on a weekday morning at the same venue. Once confirmed details will be advised to members.. Our regional areas are important to us, and in July John Cowling, Doug Gannon and I braved the cold and travelled to Orange and Dubbo to meet with local ASA members with a view to setting up investor meeting groups in both places. We initially emailed 61 members in these local areas and were very pleased to meet with a very engaged group of members. Following the success of Victoria’s investor coffee mornings, we are hoping to set up a group in Bathurst, along with discussion groups in Dubbo and Orange. The Orange Group had their inaugural meeting, a coffee meeting, on Tuesday 9 August at the Orange Ex-Servicemen’s Club. Other areas we hope to expand to include the Blue Mountains, the Sutherland Shire and the Northern Beaches. If you are interested in helping set up a group in your local area, please contact me at [email protected]. Coffee mornings are a great and easy way for groups to get started, as it can be a smaller number of members who meet informally in a local café to discuss investing and matters financial. Investors learning from each other and sharing information – the bedrock of the ASA. We were pleased with the success of our excellent conference this year. Feedback was very positive and we attracted some new members. In fact, due to an EOFY offer to subscribers, June membership lists for NSW show a pleasing increase. Please tell your friends and spread the word that ASA is a worthwhile membership. The Sydney Christmas Lunch will be held on Friday 2 December at the Kirribilli Hotel, so please hold this date. Guest speaker will be Stephen Mayne – “A year in business – Heroes and villains.” Following the success of the Intergenerational Wealth Planning seminars and with possible recent changes to the superannuation laws, we will be planning an educational day on these important subjects. Watch this space. E Looking for global growth opportunities to diversify your investment portfolio – but feeling cautious about global markets? Hunter Hall Global Value Limited (ASX: HHV) Delivered double digit returns 1 year – 20.0% 3 years – 22.9% 5 years – 14.8% Total shareholder returns to 30/06/2016. Regular dividends since December 2012. For 12 years HHV has provided easy access to a diversified ethically screened portfolio of global equities via the ASX. To find out more, please contact 1800 651 674 or visit www.hunterhallglobalvalue.com.au Ethical Managed Funds Hunter Hall Global Value Limited does not guarantee the repayment of capital or any particular rate of return on investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This document does not take into account a reader’s investment objectives, particular needs or financial situation. It is general information only, should not be considered investment advice and should not be relied on as an investment recommendation. LOCATION DATE TIME VENUE SPEAKER TOPIC Weston 06-Sep-16 12.30pm Weston Club, 1 Liardet St, Weston Southside Discussion Group General investment topics Macquarie 08-Sep-16 12.30pm Canberra Southern Cross Club Jamison, Cnr Catchpole & Bowman St, Macquarie Northside Discussion Group General investment topics Weston 04-Oct-16 12.30pm Weston Club, 1 Liardet St, Weston Southside Discussion Group General investment topics Canberra 22-Oct-16 9am12.30pm Canberra Southern Cross Club Woden, 92-96 Corinna St, Woden Elio D'Amato, Lincoln Indicators Portfolio construction & management Bondi Junction 06-Sep-16 10.30am Mill Hill Community Centre, 31-33 Spring St, Bondi Junction Discussion Group Investment topics Inner West 13-Sep-16 10.00am Concord Library, Function Room, 60 Flavelle St, Concord Discussion Group General investment topics Wollongong 13-Sep-16 6.00pm The Builders, 'Sonata Lounge', 61 Church St, Wollongong John Cowling, ASA Top stocks Sydney Investor Forum 15-Sep-16 12.00 noon Sydney Mechanics' School of Arts, Mitchell Theatre, 280 Pitt St, Sydney Paul Bloxham, HSBC Australia Brexit and beyond for Australian investors Sydney - North Shore 16-Sep-16 10.00am Killara Uniting Church Hall, 9 Karranga Ave, Killara Discussion Group General investment related topics Taree 22-Sep-16 10.00am Greater Taree City Library, 242 Victoria St, Taree Discussion Group General investment topics Newcastle 26-Sep-16 11.00am Club Macquarie, 458 Lake Rd, Argenton Russell Markham,VectorVest Minimising risk & maximising returns in the share market Bondi Junction 04-Oct-16 10.30am Mill Hill Community Centre, 31-33 Spring St, Bondi Junction Discussion Group Investment topics Port Macquarie 07-Oct-16 10.00am Senior Citizens Centre, Munster St, Port Macquarie Discussion Group General investment topics Inner West 11-Oct-16 10.00am Concord Library, Function Room, 60 Flavelle St, Concord Discussion Group General investment topics Sydney 29-Oct-16 9am12.30pm Harbourview Hotel, 17 Blue St, North Sydney Elio D'Amato, Lincoln Indicators Portfolio construction & management Brisbane 02-Sep-16 9am4.30pm Wesley House, 140 Ann St, Brisbane One Day Seminar Investors Big Day Out Brisbane 03-Sep-16 9am4.30pm Broncos Leagues Club, Fulcher Rd, Red Hill Bill Dodd, ASA Outperforming the Index Gold Coast 13-Sep-16 9.30am Robina Community Centre, cnr San Antonio Court, Robina Rob Markham, VectorVest Minimising risk & maximising returns in the share market Brisbane Investor Forum 14-Sep-16 11.00am Wesley House, 140 Ann St, Brisbane Rob Markham, VectorVest Minimising risk & maximising returns in the share market Toowoomba 19-Sep-16 1.30pm University Open Learning Centre, 27 Jellico Street, Toowoomba Guest speaker Investment topics Gold Coast 11-Oct-16 9.30am Robina Community Centre, cnr San Antonio Court, Robina Guest speaker Investment topics Brisbane 28-Oct-16 9am12.30pm Broncos Leagues Club, Fulcher Rd, Red Hill Elio D'Amato, Lincoln Indicators Portfolio construction & management Adelaide 07-Sep-16 10.30am University of Adelaide Club, L 4, Union House, WP Rodgers Room, Adelaide Led by Keith Potts, ASA Resource related topics Adelaide 14-Sep-16 10.30am University of Adelaide Club, L 4, Union House, WP Rodgers Room, Adelaide Led by Genevieve Ward, ASA Industrial shares Adelaide 21-Sep-16 11.30am Scots Church Hall, Cnr Pulteney St & North Tce, Adelaide General meeting General investment topics Adelaide Investor Forum 21-Sep-16 12.00 noon Scots Church Hall, Cnr Pulteney St & North Tce, Adelaide Russell Markham, VectorVest Minimising risk & maximising returns in the share market Adelaide 05-Oct-16 10.30am University of Adelaide Club, L 4, Union House, WP Rodgers Room, Adelaide Led by Keith Potts, ASA Resource related topics Adelaide 14-Oct-16 9am12.30pm Hackney Hotel, 95 Hackney Rd, Hackney Elio D'Amato, Lincoln Indicators Portfolio construction & management ACT NSW QLD SA LOCATION DATE TIME VENUE SPEAKER TOPIC Campaspe 07-Sep-16 10.00am Caledonian Hotel, 110 Hare Street, Echuca Discussion Group Investment related topics Melbourne Investor Forum 07-Sep-16 12.00 noon Telstra Conference Centre, 1/242 Exhibition St, Melbourne Duncan Fairweather, SMSF Owners Alliance SMSFs in the firing line Kingston 08-Sep-16 10.30am Longbeach Place, 15 Chelsea Road, Chelsea Discussion Group Investing in gold Manningham 13-Sep-16 10.00am Koonarra Hall, 7 Balwyn Rd (cnr Furneaux Grove), Bulleen Bill Grint, ASA IT companies Geelong 13-Sep-16 12.00 noon White Eagle House, 46 Felmongers Rd, Breakwater Day Discussion Group General investing and SMSF management matters Ballarat 14-Sep-16 7.30pm McCallum Conference Centre, Leopold St, Alfredton Discussion Group Investment related topics Mornington 15-Sep-16 9.45am Mornington Golf Club, Tallis Dr, Mornington Roundtable discussion led by Ian Thomson, ASA General investment topics Melbourne Evening Meeting 15-Sep-16 6.00pm Limerick Arms Hotel, 364 Clarendon St, Sth Melbourne Duncan Seddon, ASA Looking at lithium and graphene Monash 20-Sep-16 10.00am Wheelers Hill Public Library, 860 Ferntree Gully Rd, Wheelers Hill Sue Dudley, ASA Deciding "when to sell" may be more important than deciding "what and when to buy" Bendigo 21-Sep-16 10.00am Bendigo Club, 22 Park St, Bendigo Guest speaker Investment topics Albury-Wodonga 27-Sep-16 10.00am Commercial Club, 618 Dean St, Albury Guest speaker The company reporting season Gippsland 28-Sep-16 10.00am 32 Kassandra Dr, Traralgon Discussion Group Investment topics Campaspe 05-Oct-16 10.00am Caledonian Hotel, 110 Hare Street, Echuca Discussion Group Investment related topics Melbourne Investor Forum 05-Oct-16 12.00 noon Telstra Conference Centre, 1/242 Exhibition St, Melbourne Alan Oster, NAB Economic update Manningham 11-Oct-16 10.00am Koonarra Hall, 7 Balwyn Rd (cnr Furneaux Grove), Bulleen John Parrott, ASA AGMs and the reporting season Geelong 12-Oct-16 6.00pm Waurn Ponds Hotel, Princes Hwy, Waurn Ponds Remo Greco, Sanlam Private Wealth Financial markets give me a headache! Ballarat 12-Oct-16 7.30pm McCallum Conference Centre, Leopold St, Alfredton John Cowling, ASA TBA Melbourne 21-Oct-16 9am12.30pm Batmans Hill on Collins, 623 Collins St, Melbourne Elio D'Amato, Lincoln Indicators Portfolio construction & management Perth Members Monthly Meeting 06-Sep-16 10.15am State Library Bldg of WA, 25 Francis St, Perth Guest speaker Investment topics Perth Investor Forum 06-Sep-16 12.00 noon State Library Bldg of WA, 25 Francis St, Perth Colin Nicholson, investor, writer, commentator Strategic investing through the cycles Perth 13-Sep-16 9am12.30pm Central Park Conference Centre, Seminar Room, 152-158 St Georges Tce, Perth ASA members Investment concepts seminar Perth Investors' Corner 15-Sep-16 10.00am Citiplace Community Centre, City Station Complex, Wellington St, Perth Discussion group led by Lorraine Graham & Peter Scales, ASA Equity investments including yield stocks, LICs & selected shares Perth South of the River Group 23-Sep-16 10.00am Canning River Eco Education Centre, 'Melaleuca Room', Lot 8 Queens Park Rd, Wilson Discussion group Investment topics Busselton 28-Sep-16 9.30am Busselton Volunteer Marine Rescue Group HQ, Geographe Bay East, Busselton Discussion group led by members Investment related topics Perth Members Monthly Meeting 04-Oct-16 10.15am State Library Bldg of WA, 25 Francis St, Perth Guest speaker Investment topics Perth Investor Forum 04-Oct-16 12.00 noon State Library Bldg of WA, 25 Francis St, Perth Robin Bowerman, Vanguard TBA Perth 15-Oct-16 9am12.30pm Metro Hotel, 61 Canning Highway, South Perth Elio D'Amato, Lincoln Indicators Portfolio construction & management VIC WA EQUITY SEPTEMBER 2016 23 You can't monitor the market 24/7. 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