Coastal hazard mapping as an adaptation planning
Transcription
Coastal hazard mapping as an adaptation planning
A4 | Urban vulnerability and risk assessments and planning: Local governments in focus Coastal hazard mapping as an adaptation planning tool: Almada’s Local Strategy for Climate Change Nuno Lopes (Catarina Freitas, Patrícia Silva, Sara Dionísio, Rui Taborda; Tanya M. Silveira; César Andrade; Maria C. Freitas; Ana N. Silva; Cristina Lira) Head of the Sustainable Environmental Management and Planning Department City Council of Almada, Portugal 5th GlobalCities Forum2014 on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Resilient Bonn || 29 29and and 31 31May May 2014 2014 Bonn Topics… ... A glimpse of Almada ... Almada’s Strategy for Climate Change ... Adaptation planning ... Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan ... Adaptation measures to improve resilience in Fonte da Telha ... Final notes 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Almada Coastal southern European city Lisboa Tagus River 1 of 18 municipalities in Lisbon Metropolitan Area Almada Area ~ 70 km2 175 000 inhabitants Atlantic Ocean 35 km Waterfront 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Almada’s Strategy for Climate Change Almada’s Strategy for Climate Change Mitigation Agenda energy consumption and GHGs emissions Energy efficiency, renewables, smart mobility... low carbon city Adaptation Agenda Building the resilience of our natural, social and economic systems, providing our communities an healthy and safe environment to live and work. 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Almada’s Strategy for Climate Change Adaptation at Almada Multi-dimension, integrated and multi-level approach: Municipal scale: define a global territorial adaptation strategy and establish solutions + regulations for Almada’s Master Plan, Almada’s Drainage Infrastructures Strategic Plan, Almada’s Municipal Emergency Plan Detail scale: integration of specific adaptive solutions (smart urban design) in the development of Local and Urban Plans (1:1.000) 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Land use plans are the most strategic compulsory plans that can be develop at a local level ! 3 levels of land use planning: Master Plan (1:10.000) Urban Plans (1:1.000) + Local (1:1.000) 5 GlobalPlans Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation th Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 F2 - New approaches to resilient urban planning and design Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Almada’s vulnerability to Natural Hazards Mass Wasting (rock falls, rock topple, landslides) Sea Level Rise (coastal erosion) Storm Surges/overwash Mass Wasting Droughts Flooding Salinization of Coastal Aquifers Forest Fires Biodiversity loss Heat waves 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Coast Erosion Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Fonte da Telha “Trap” between the Fossil Cliff and the Atlantic Ocean Illegal housing Maritime Domain Occupation Very popular beach area Fragile coastal dune system Protected Landscape around the intervention area 5 Global Regional Coastal Management Plan Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation th Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Fonte da Telha: Present Occupation 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Fonte da Telha: Present Occupation 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Fonte da Telha: Present Occupation Economic Activities Beach: 8.000 to 10.000 people/ day Bars, restaurants, local services Fishing Accessibilities EN 377 + Local road 3 BUS lines 1 Train Line along beach front 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Fonte da Telha: Starting Point Occupation evolution: In the mid of XX : Fishermen community In the 60s to 80s: Illegal housing boom 1988: Demolition of illegal houses (2nd house) 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Fonte da Telha: Requalification and Safety Area : 85 ha Present urban front: 2 km Local Plan Objectives: Coastal dune restoration renaturalization of cliffs deposits and dunes Urban requalification Re-housing the fishermen community Installation of 10 beach support facilities Installation of a seasonal parking space for 840 vehicles 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Developing Fonte da Telha Local Plan The area of Fonte da Telha is expose to natural hazards, consequence of its geographic position: Flooding and coastal erosion of beach and dune areas Cliff instability and mass wasting, due to its geologic and geotechnical Globalcharacteristics Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation 5th Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Developing Fonte da Telha Local Plan Baseline data : The regional Coastal Management Plan defines protection buffer areas that are underestimated: in Fonte da Telha the inundation level is 7 m (MSL) The protection buffers don’t include shoreline retreat and overwash predictions (climate evolution) 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 16 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Developing Fonte da Telha Local Plan Opportunity Window : Almada’s Strategy for Climate Change (existing in-house capacity) + Almada’s “breakthrough project” EU Cities Adapt + Partnership involving the scientific community – Geology Center of the University of Lisbon (CeGUL) 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Developing Fonte da Telha Local Plan Vulnerability Analyses: Coastal hazard assessment: Areas threatened by the sea, with 50 and 100 years climate change predictions Geological and geotechnical hazard Mapping more conservative Protection Buffers 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Developing Local Plan of Fonte da Telha Coastal Harzard Mapping: Areas threatened by the sea Storm wave beach erosion Maximum wave runup Beach erosion related with sea level rise Sedimentary budget 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Developing Local Plan of Fonte da Telha Coastal Harzard Mapping: Areas threatened by the sea Storm wave beach erosion Maximum wave runup Beach erosion related with sea level rise Sedimentary budget 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Coastal Hazards Mapping Major results retreat STORM WAVE BEACH EROSION 24 m MAXIMUM WAVE RUNUP BEACH EROSION RELATED WITH SEA LEVEL RISE 10.9 m 50 m SEDIMENTARY BUDGET 0m 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 elevation Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Developing Fonte da Telha Local Plan Coastal Hazards Mapping: Areas threatened by the sea Retreat – (from the dune base) Elevation (from MSL) 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Developing Local Plan of Fonte da Telha Coastal Hazards Mapping: Areas threatened by the sea Resultes Years 2050 2100 Coastal line retreat (m) 29 74 Inundation levels (m) 9,3 10,9 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Developing Local Plan of Fonte da Telha Mass Wasting Mapping Slope > 15% 5% to 15% low stability moderate stability Erosion phenomena Landslide Sedimentary seepage V-shaped Gullies 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Costal hazard mapping in Fonte da Telha Local Plan Developing Fonte da Telha Local Plan Defining Buffer Protection Areas Geotecnical Protection Buffer Areas threatened by the sea Buffer 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Buffer Protection Areas (cliff cross section) 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Adaptation measures to improve resilience in Fonte da Telha Developing Fonte da Telha Local Plan Based on the hazard mapping: land occupation and development model The urban model was redesigned Specific adaptative measures were incorporated Local resilience improved 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Adaptation measures to improve resilience in Fonte da Telha REMOVE ACCOMMODATE 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 PROTECT Adaptation measures to improve resilience in Fonte da Telha Developing Local Plan of Fonte da Telha Adaptation Measures incorporated in the Plan REMOVE urban perimeter reconfiguration with retreat from the risk areas ACCOMMODATE define a new ground level: 11 m (landfill) building on stilts elevated pathways 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 PROTECT recover of the dune ecosystems dune reconstitution: minimum level 12 m sediment trapping erosion and slope deposits control with native plants REMOVE ACCOMMODATE PROTECT Building on stilts Present Terrain Surface Project Terrain Surface Protection Cliff area 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Integração de Medidas de Adaptação no PP • Delimitação das faixas de risco na Arriba Fóssil Final Project 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Integração de Medidas de Adaptação no PP • Delimitação das faixas de risco na Arriba Fóssil 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Final Notes Land use planning has to incorporate a Climate Change integrated approach: Resilience is a strategic issue Hazard mapping has to attend climate evolution: this means addressing the uncertainty of its impacts and take decisions Multi-partnerships between cities, research and stakeholders improve adaptation planning and create synergies to implement a Local Adaptation/Resilience Strategy to Climate Change Environmental services can provide relevant coastal protection 5 Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation th Bonn | 29 and 31 May 2014 Thank you for your attention! [email protected] Construir uma Cidades Resiliente 5th Global Forum on Urban Resilience and Adaptation Curso de Formação | 12 e 132014 Dezembro 2013 Bonn | 29 and 31 May