Renault 2015 Financial Results presentation
Transcription
Renault 2015 Financial Results presentation
RENAULT GROUP 2015 FINANCIAL RESULTS CONFERENCE DISCLAIMER Information contained within this document may contain forward looking statements. Although the Company considers that such information and statements are based on reasonable assumptions taken on the date of this report, due to their nature, they can be risky and uncertain (as described in the Renault documentation registered within the French financial markets regulation authorities) and can lead to a difference between the exact figures and those given or deduced from said information and statements. Renault does not undertake to provide updates or revisions, should any new statements and information be available, should any new specific events occur or for any other reason. Renault makes no representation, declaration or warranty as regards the accuracy, sufficiency, adequacy, effectiveness and genuineness of any statements and information contained in this report. Further information on Renault can be found on Renault’s web site (www.group.renault.com), in the section Finance / Regulated Information. INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 2 AGENDA 01 FY 2015 FINANCIAL RESULTS 02 2015 REVIEW AND 2016 OUTLOOK 03 INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION DOMINIQUE THORMANN EVP, Chief Financial Officer CARLOS GHOSN Chairman & Chief Executive Officer QUESTIONS & ANSWERS FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 3 01 FY 2015 FINANCIAL RESULTS DOMINIQUE THORMANN EVP, Chief Financial Officer INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 4 RENAULT GROUP UNIT REGISTRATIONS 2015 VS 2014 K units (PC+LCV) 2 712 2 802 1 465 1613 INTERNATIONAL -4.8% 390 356 308 360 417 355 133 GLOBAL +3.3% GROUP TIV +1.6% 117 EUROPE +10.2% EURASIA -8.6% AFRICA-ME-INDIA +16.9% AMERICAS -14.8% ASIA-PACIFIC -12.3% +9.4% -21.1% -1.6% -12.8% +2.3% INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 5 FY 2015 GROUP REVENUES Global unit sales (units) Group revenues of which: Automotive Sales financing 2015 2014 2,801,592 2,712,432 +3.3% 45,327 41,055 +10.4% 43,108 38,874 +10.9% 2,219 2,181 +1.7% CHANGE (million euros) INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 6 AUTOMOTIVE REVENUES VARIANCE ANALYSIS CHANGE 2015 vs 2014: +€4,234m Sales to partners +1,874 Volume +1,260 38,874 +3.2 pts Geographic mix Product mix Currency Others -51 -115 Price +809 43,108 +491 -34 -0.1 pts +1.3 pts +2.1 pts +4.8 pts -0.1 pts -0.3 pts +10.9% FY 2015 FY 2014 (million euros) INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 7 OPERATING PROFIT BY ACTIVITY 2015 AUTOMOTIVE 2014 CHANGE 1,496 858 +638 3.5% 2.2% +1.3pts 824 751 +73 GROUP OPERATING PROFIT 2,320 1,609 +711 % Group revenues 5.1% 3.9% +1.2pts % Automotive revenues SALES FINANCING (million euros) H1 3.1% INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION H2 3.8% FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 8 GROUP OPERATING PROFIT VARIANCE ANALYSIS CHANGE 2015 vs 2014: +€711m Raw materials Monozukuri G&A -69 +596 +61 Mix / Net Enrichment -379 Volume & partners +441 Currency +39 +22 RCI Banque & other activities 2,320 1,609 COST REDUCTION €527m GROWTH €480m FY 2014 FY 2015 (million euros) INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 9 COST REDUCTION ANALYSIS CHANGE 2015 vs 2014: +€527m Monozukuri +197 -155 Warranty R&D +62 -69 Manufacturing & Logistics G&A +492 Purchasing (million euros) INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 10 GROUP OPERATING PROFIT VARIANCE ANALYSIS CHANGE 2015 vs 2014: +€711m Raw materials Monozukuri G&A -69 +596 +61 Mix / Net Enrichment -379 Currency Volume & partners +39 +441 RCI Banque & other activities +22 2,320 1,609 COST REDUCTION €527m GROWTH €480m FY 2014 FY 2015 (million euros) INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 11 OTHER OPERATING INCOME & EXPENSES Net restructuring costs (incl. competitiveness agreement in France) Impairment of assets / reversal RCI Banque (mainly change in regulation) Profit / loss on asset sales Others Total other operating income & expenses 2015 2014 -157 -305 -53 -153 0 -50 +10 +7 +1 -3 -199 -504 (million euros) INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 12 FY 2015 FINANCIAL RESULTS 2015 Revenues Operating profit in % of revenues Other operating income & expenses EBIT Net financial income & expenses Associated companies Current & deferred taxes Net income 2014 CHANGE 45,327 41,055 +10.4% 2,320 1,609 +711 5.1% 3.9% +1.2pts -199 -504 +305 2,121 1,105 +1,016 -221 -333 +112 1,371 1,362 +9 -311 -136 -175 2,960 1,998 +962 (million euros) INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 13 ASSOCIATED COMPANIES NISSAN AVTOVAZ (1) Others Total associated companies 2015 2014 CHANGE 1,976 1,559 +417 -620 -182 -438 15 -15 +30 1,371 1,362 +9 (million euros) (1) In 2015 the 3-month time lag has been removed, therefore AVTOVAZ contribution is based on net income between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2015 In 2014, AVTOVAZ contribution was based on net income between October 1, 2013 and September 30, 2014 INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 14 FY 2015 FINANCIAL RESULTS 2015 Revenues Operating profit in % of revenues Other operating income & expenses EBIT Net financial income & expenses Associated companies Current & deferred taxes Net income 2014 CHANGE 45,327 41,055 +10.4% 2,320 1,609 +711 5.1% 3.9% +1.2pts -199 -504 +305 2,121 1,105 +1,016 -221 -333 +112 1,371 1,362 +9 -311 -136 -175 2,960 1,998 +962 (million euros) INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 15 AUTOMOTIVE NET CASH POSITION Change in WCR Cash flow Net tangible & intangible investments DEC 31, 2014 : €2,104m DEC 31, 2015 : €2,661m -3,081 +663 Net capex -1,853 Capitalized R&D 3,451 -876 Leased Vehicles -352 Operational free cash flow Dividends received from listed co. Dividends paid +581 -599 Financial investments & others -458 1,033 Net change In cash 557 (million euros) INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 16 NEW VEHICLE DISTRIBUTION STOCK (IN K UNITS) 488 527 388 495 493 337 515 353 264 253 240 63 76 324 INDEPENDENT DEALERS 260 243 251 JUN'14 SEP'14 DEC'14 62 74 57 INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION 333 TOTAL 141 GROUP 106 100 MAR'14 465 177 158 DEC'13 503 459 272 255 510 MAR'15 74 FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 JUN'15 64 SEP'15 DEC'15 75 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 53 Number of days of sales (previous period) 17 AUTOMOTIVE DIVISION LIQUIDITY DECEMBER 2014 DECEMBER 2015 LIQUIDITY RESERVES LIQUIDITY RESERVES Cash Available credit lines €11.6bn €3.2bn Cash Available credit lines €11.6bn €3.3bn TOTAL €14.8bn TOTAL €14.9bn INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 18 RCI BANQUE 2015 2014 New financings (€bn) 15.6 12.6 Average loans outstanding (€bn) 28.2 25.4 Net banking income* 4.82% 4.95%** Cost of risk (customer & dealer) -0.33% -0.43% Operating expenses* -1.51% -1.58% Pretax income* 2.99% 2.93%** 824 751 Operating profit (€m) (in percentage of average loans outstanding) INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION * Excluding non recurring items ** Restated FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 19 RCI BANQUE RETAIL DEPOSIT ACTIVITY DEPOSITS o/w GERMANY o/w FRANCE o/w UNITED KINGDOM o/w AUSTRIA End 2015 End 2014 10.2 6.5 7.0 1.3 1.3 0.6 4.4 1.8 0.4 (billion euros) INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 20 02 2015 REVIEW & 2016 OUTLOOK CARLOS GHOSN Chairman - Chief Executive Officer INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 21 2015: GUIDANCE FULLY REACHED REVENUES 2015 > 2014* GROUP & AUTOMOTIVE OP. MARGIN 2015 > 2014 AUTOMOTIVE OPERATIONAL FREE CASH FLOW > 0 * at constant exchange rates INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 22 SUCCESSFUL LAUNCHES IN EUROPE OUTSIDE EUROPE MARCH 2015 SEPTEMBER 2015 NEW ESPACE Registrations: 21 Ku x3 vs Espace IV MAY 2015 KWID Orders: 100 Ku at end January NOVEMBER 2015 DUSTER OROCH Registrations: 3,5 Ku KADJAR Registrations: 54 Ku DECEMBER 2015 TALISMAN Orders: 5 Ku at end January INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 23 A SIGNIFICANT STEP TOWARDS “DRIVE THE CHANGE” TARGETS GROUP OPERATING MARGIN GROUP REVENUES AHEAD OF TARGET ON TRACK 45.3 5.1% 3.9% 3.0% > in 2017* 1.9% 2012 restated 5% 2013 2014 2015 41.3 2012 40.9 2013 € 41.1 in 2017* 2014 * DRIVE THE CHANGE TARGET INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 50 Bn 24 2015 RENEWAL OF OUR RANGE 10 LAUNCHES IN 2016 EUROPE H1 2016 H1 2016 C Segment - Hatch D Segment - Estate NEW MEGANE TALISMAN H2 2016 H2 2016 C Segment - MPV C Segment - MPV H2 2016 C Segment SCENIC SHORT SCENIC LONG ESTATE H2 2016 H2 2016 H2 2016 INTERNATIONAL H1 2016 H2 2016 D Segment KADJAR China CROSSOVER INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION B Segment PICK-UP 1T FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 CROSSOVER PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT C Segment SEDAN 25 ALLIANCE SYNERGIES ALLIANCE SYNERGIES 4 KEY-FUNCTIONS CONVERGENCE > €4.3bn €3.8bn 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Renault 2014 €4.1bn* 2015 2016e PURCHASING UPSTREAM ENGINEERING MANUFACTURING & LOGISTICS HUMAN RESOURCES Nissan * estimated INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 26 2016 TIV OUTLOOK 2 FRANCE +2% EUROPE + % UNCERTAINTIES IN EMERGING MARKETS RUSSIA - 12% GLOBAL TIV * CHINA 4 5 + % to + % + INDIA 1% to + 2% 8 + % BRAZIL 6 - % * PC+LCV INCLUDING USA & CANADA INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 27 GLOBAL FOOTPRINT 13 STARTS OF PRODUCTION IN THE WORLD IN 2016! 5 SOP 2 SOP 4 SOP 2 SOP SOP : Start Of Production INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 28 GROWTH OPPORTUNITY Electric vehicle INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION Autonomous driving FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT Connected vehicle 29 OUTLOOK 2016 THE GROUP* IS AIMING TO: Increase group revenues (at constant exchange rates) Improve group operating margin Generate a positive Automotive operational free cash flow * at constant scope of consolidation INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 30 03 QUESTIONS & ANSWERS INVESTOR RELATIONS RENAULT FY 2015 PRESENTATION FEBRUARY 12TH 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT 31