Latest IR Presentation
Transcription
Latest IR Presentation
Investor Presentation July 2016 Update Forward-Looking Statements This communication contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including, but not limited to statements regarding Nanometrics’ (“us” “our” or “the Company”) future financial results, including, but not limited to our market share, industry demand and growth. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict, and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed herein. In any forward-looking statement in which Nanometrics expresses an expectation or belief as to future results, such expectation or belief is expressed in good faith and believed to have a reasonable basis, but there can be no assurance that the result will be achieved. The risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: our ability to achieve desired product mix and pricing; our ability to achieve desired market position; growth in target industries; levels and timing of capital expenditures in our target industries; customer adoption of certain technologies; market acceptance and timing of acceptance of our new products; interruptions or changes to supply chain; our ability to identify, complete and integrate acquisitions; and other economic, business, competitive and/or SEC, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for its most recent fiscal year, its most recent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and its Current Reports on Form 8-K. All forward-looking statements included in this communication are based on information available to Nanometrics on the date hereof. We disclaim any intent or obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether in response to new information, future events, or otherwise. NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] regulatory factors affecting Nanometrics’ businesses generally, including those set forth in Nanometrics’ filings with the 2 Nanometrics Process Control Accelerating Yield and Profit Yield In-line information accelerates yield ramp Hundreds of process steps / Weeks of manufacturing bare wafers patterned wafers semiconductor devices/chips product/devices NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] Time 3 NANO: Leading Solutions for In-Line Process Control Utilizing High-Speed, Non-Destructive In-Line Technologies Atlas® IMPULSE Ellipsometry Scatterometry FinFET Technology Inflection Points Expanding Our Market, Footprint and Share NanoCD Interferometry 3D NAND UniFire Photoluminescence Inspection Advanced 3D Packaging NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] Comprehensive Suite of HighlyDifferentiated Systems and Solutions 4 Qualified for All Advanced Device Process Control 100% of Devices at 16/14 nm & below Logic l DRAM l Foundry l NAND/3D-NAND UniFire: Advanced Packaging 80% of Devices at 16/14 nm & below 100% DRAM TSV Logic l DRAM l Foundry Integrated Metrology: OCD & Films > 80% of All NAND Flash IMPULSE, T3 1X-1Y-1Z l G1-G3 3D NAND NanoDiffract: Modeling/Analytics S/W 100% of Devices 22nm & below 50% of Image Sensors Logic l DRAM l Foundry l NAND/3D-NAND NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] Atlas: OCD & Films 5 FY 2015 Q1 2016 Record Foundry Sales Record 3D NAND Sales & Bookings Record 3D NAND Sales Successful Atlas III Launch Record Integrated Metrology Sales Improved Profitability 2015 Revenues +13% YoY Q1 2016 Revenues +11% QoQ 6 Straight Quarters of Gross Margin Improvement Flow-Through* : 2015 YoY Q1 QoQ Gross Margin 63% 76% Operating Margin 70% 71% *Flow-through on incremental revenues to non-GAAP gross profit and non-GAAP operating profit; non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of the presentation. NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] Recent Highlights and Achievements 6 Successful Execution of Strategic Initiatives Share Gains: Foundry Market Share Gains: Integrated Metrology Market NANO Foundry Sales Growth ($M) $60 $50 $50 $40 $30 $20 0.25% 30% 0.20% 25% 0.10% $19 $2013 2014 NANO Foundry Sales ($M) 33% 20% 20% 15% 15% 10% 0.05% 5% 0.00% 0% 2015 2013 2014 NANO Foundry Sales as % of Foundry Capex Revenue Outperformance Achieve Balanced Revenue Profile Comparative YoY Growth 2015 NANO 10% Customers 80% 12% 13% 10% 8% 6% 6% 4% 2% 0% 0% -1% WFE KLAC Sales % Contribution to NANO Total Revenues 14% -2% 2015 70% 10% 60% 50% 10% 18% 40% 30% 19% 12% 13% 30% 16% 20% 10% 11% 27% 14% 13% 0% NVMI (Net of Revera) NANO Sales FY'13 Samsung Intel FY'14 SK Hynix Micron FY'15 TSMC Toshiba NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] $10 35% 0.15% $28 NANO Integrated Metrology $ Market Share 0.30% 7 2016: Performance Inflection Point $Millions $60 60% $120 60% $50 50% $100 50% $40 40% $80 40% $30 30% $60 30% 20% $40 20% 10% $20 10% 0% $- $20 $10 $Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Revenues Gross Margin * 0% 1H'15 Q2'16 Midpt.* 1H'16 Midpt.* Operating Margin * Q2’16 Guidance: 1H’16 vs 1H’15 (at Midpt.): $52 - $57M Revenue ~3% Revenue Growth 51.5 - 53% GM* >400bp GM Improvement $20.6 - $21.2M Opex >550bp OM Improvement $0.21 - $0.30 EPS* *Non-GAAP gross profit, operating profit and EPS exclude amortization of acquired intangibles and restructuring charges; non-GAAP reconciliation at the end of the presentation. Q2’16 Midpoint as of April 26, 2016 Conference Call. NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] Profitability Inflection Point 6 Straight Quarters of GM Improvement from Q3’14 – Q1’16 8 3D Device Roadmap Trends Driving Increased Demand for Complex Metrology High aspect ratios PLANAR G1 3D-NAND Gx 3D-NAND Increasing layers FinFET Logic Complex structures (speed & power) More patterning steps PLANAR 3D FinFET NANOWIRES (future) DRAM (data density) New Architectures DRAM SCALING ReRAM NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] NAND (data density) 9 OCD: Disruptive Force in 3D Metrology OCD CD-SEM OCD: INCREASING SHARE OF A GROWING MARKET Height Width Height Coating/ Thickness Critical Dimension Market Undercut Market Size $475M $586M ~ $700M 100% TEM AFM 33% 80% 60% 64% 86% 40% 67% 20% 0% 36% 14% 2005 2015 Optical CD Parameters Measured CD-SEM = CD-Scanning Electron Microscope AFM = Atomic Force Microscope Future CD-SEM Total CD CAGR 3−4% OCD CAGR of 10−20% OCD = Optical Critical Dimension Metrology TEM = Transmission Electron Microscope Source: Gartner & Company estimates NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] Throughput Sidewall angle Height 10 Technology Roadmaps Driving Increased OCD Demand DRAM Etch CMP DRAM DRAM Etch CMP Etch CMP Films Litho Materials Etch CMP Films Litho Materials NAND NAND/3D-NAND Films Litho NAND NAND Films CMP 1X nm DRAM Films Etch 2X nm Etch CMP Films Litho Etch Films CMP Litho LOGIC (FF) Etch Films CMP EPI FOUNDRY Etch Litho Etch CMP Films Litho Materials OCD EXPANDING APPLICATIONS INCREASING DEPENDENCE DRIVEN BY: NON-DESTRUCTIVE LOGIC (FF) IN-LINE, HIGH SPEED Etch CMP Films Litho Materials METROLOGY FOR 3D DEVICES FOUNDRY (FF) Etch CMP Films Litho Materials PHYSICS COMPATIBLE WITH FUTURE NODES AND SHRINKS NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] 45 nm 32 nm 11 Advanced Process Control (APC) Driving Increased Demand Adoption of In-line, In-Situ and Integrated ATLAS Profile Control IM Deposition & CMP – Wet-Etch feed-back – Integrated CMP feed-back – Fill feed-forward 2Y 1X 1X 1Y 7/5 1X 1G 2G 3G 2X 2Y 1X 1G 2G 3G HVM R&D HVM R&D R&D HVM HVM HVM R&D HVM HVM HVM HVM HVM R&D DRAM LOGIC/FOUNDRY NAND/3D-NAND DRAM NAND/3D-NAND NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] – CVD Integrated feed-forward to CMP 12 3D Wafer Starts on Rapid Growth Trajectory WSPM by Year End for 3D Devices (Wafer Starts Per Month, In Thousands) 1200 1000 800 Majority of Incremental Capital Investments Taking Place for 3D Structures 600 400 0 2013 2014 DRAM 3D Pkgs 2015 3D NAND 2016E 2017E FinFET Source: Analyst and Company estimates NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] 200 13 Continued Consolidation of SEMI Capital Spending 100% 90% 26% 24% All Others 32% 80% 43% Toshiba/Sandisk 6% 70% 6% 71% 60% 10% 6% 8% SK Hynix 5% 9% 50% 6% 10% 11% Micron Alliance 10% 12% 40% 14% 16% TSMC 20% 10% 18% 3% 3% 2% 4% 6% 9% 13% 16% Intel 11% 20% 22% 18% 14% 0% Samsung 4% 2000 2007 2011 2015 2016 Est Source: Capex by company obtained from press releases, SEC filings and conference call transcripts. Total Capex for each period is an average from at least 10 industry analysts as of May 2016. NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] 30% 11% 14 Expansion of Nanometrics’ Metrology Footprint Memory Logic Foundry Broadening our Customer Exposure Across All Device Types 1 4 2 2 3 3 2007 2010-11 2015-2016 2D – Planar 2D – Planar / 3D Transistor 3D-NAND / FinFET NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] 5 15 Leverage ToR Positions Expand Applications and Customer Footprint Fab Position Customer Etch Transistor Deposition Lithography Interconnect Device Position FinFET/Logic 3D-NAND DRAM A B C D F G Tool of Record Position Opportunity NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] E 16 Market & Product Growth Strategy 5 Leading 10% Customers Products Existing New Every Key Market: Logic IDM Foundry Logic 4 of 4 3D NAND Multiple DRAM 2015 $187M New Product Introductions Atlas III IMPULSE+ NanoDiffract UniFire Market New Share Gains 5th 3D NAND Mfr 3rd DRAM Mfr Foundry Films China Fabs SAM Expansion SW & Data Analytics Films Litho Topography NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] Existing 17 Organic Growth Roadmap to $300M in Revenue $15-$20 $14-$20 $10-$14 $300+ Materials Characterization $35B WFE $25-$30 $20-$30 $30-$40 2015 Market Share SAM Expansion Growth (CDSEM Use Case) (OCD & Thin Films) Software & Analytics Advanced Packaging ($ Millions) Service & Support NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] $187 18 Incremental Margin Model: Operating Financial Model (Annual Revenue) $187M $200M Model $250M Model $300M Model 47% 49% 50% - 51% 52% - 54% 54% - 56% Operating Expenses* 51% 44% ~40% 34% - 36% <30% Operating Profit/(Loss)* (4%) 5% 10% - 12% 18% - 20% 25%+ Free Cash Flow (4%) Breakeven 10% 15% 20% (8%) 29% 28% - 30% 30% - 32% 32% 2014 Actual 2015 Actual $166M Gross Margin* (Cash From Operations – Capex) Tax Rate** * Reflects the company’s non-GAAP financial model, which excludes the impact of amortization of acquired intangible assets and certain other charges. A reconciliation between GAAP operating results and non-GAAP operating results is provided at the end of this presentation. ** Assumes reversal of certain tax asset valuation allowance and U.S. R&D tax credit. Prior to reversal of tax asset valuation allowance, tax expense to range from 17% to 20% per quarter. 2015 tax rate is non-GAAP. NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] Gross Margin of 50% - 60% Operating Margin of 45% - 50% 19 Combining our Strengths with Opportunities to Deliver Revenue Growth and Operating Leverage Market Leadership Share Gains and Expanding Footprint Financial Performance Inflection Point NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] Serving Growth Markets, Expanding SAM 20 Thank You Strong Multi-Year Cycle Driven by Top Spenders Semiconductor CapEx by Top Industry Spenders $14.0 $13.0 $12.0 $11.0 $10.0 $8.0 $7.0 $6.0 $5.0 $4.0 $3.0 $2.0 $1.0 $- Samsung Intel TSMC 2011 2012 2013 Micron Alliance 2014 2015 2016 Est. SK Hynix Toshiba / SanDisk 2017 Est. Source: Capex by company obtained from press releases, SEC filings and conference call transcripts. Total Capex for each period is an average from at least 10 industry analysts as of May 2016. NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] CapEx in $Billions $9.0 22 Device Type Node Relative Intensity (current node) Planar NAND 1X/1Y 1.0 $4M - $6M 3D NAND Gen 1 1.1 $5M - $7M 3D NAND Gen 2 1.1 $5M - $7M 3D NAND Gen 3 1.2 $5M - $8M 3D NAND Gen 4 1.6 $6M - $10M DRAM 2Y/1X 1.2 $5M - $8M FOUNDRY/LOGIC 1X/1Y 2.4 $10M - $14M FOUNDRY/LOGIC <10nm 2.6 $10M - $17M Segment Opportunity/ 10K wspm Source: Company Estimates wspm: wafer starts per month capacity NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] Increasing OCD Opportunity by Device/Node 23 Revenue Segmentation Reflects Concentration of Spending Total Revenues by Geography 6% 15% 6% 17% 21% 4% 18% 60% 12% 52% 14% Japan South Korea N. America Singapore Taiwan ROW China Automated Integrated Mat. Char. Service DRAM Flash Logic/IDM FY 2015 Foundry 9% 17% 17% 22% 20% 19% 5% 15% 18% Product Revenues by End Market Total Revenues by Product/Svc Other Devices/Substrates 19% 7% 20% 16% 17% 32% 58% 31% 25% Japan N. America Taiwan 8% South Korea ROW Automated Integrated Mat. Char. Service DRAM Mat. Char. = Materials Characterization Metrology Systems Flash Logic/IDM Foundry Other Devices/Substrates NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] Q1 ’16 24 RECONCILIATION OF GAAP TO NON-GAAP RESULTS (In thousands, except per share amounts) (Unaudited) Fiscal 2013 Q1 Q2 Fiscal 2014 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Q2 Fiscal 2015 Q3 Q4 FY Fiscal 2016 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY Q1 Reconciliation of GAAP gross profit to non-GAAP gross profit GAAP gross profit $ 10,486 658 $ 14,480 647 $ 15,801 2,439 658 $ 21,909 670 $ 62,676 $ 2,439 (a) 2,633 24,149 674 $ 22,908 677 $ 11,416 688 $ 17,349 684 $ 75,822 2,723 $ 23,379 632 $ 23,265 457 $ 22,219 468 $ 20,804 469 $ 89,667 2,026 $ 24,491 435 Non-GAAP gross profit $ 11,144 $ 15,127 $ 18,898 $ 22,579 $ 67,748 $ 24,823 $ 23,585 $ 12,104 $ 18,033 $ 78,545 $ 24,011 23,722 $ 22,687 $ 21,273 $ 91,693 $ 24,926 $ 10,486 $ 14,480 $ 15,801 $ 21,909 $ 62,676 $ 24,149 $ 22,908 $ 11,416 $ 17,349 $ 75,822 $ 23,379 23,265 $ 22,219 $ 20,804 $ 89,667 $ 24,491 87,475 21,138 20,755 20,955 21,846 Inventory write-down Amortization of intangible assets Reconciliation of GAAP operating income (loss) to non-GAAP operating income (loss) GAAP gross profit Total operating expenses GAAP operating income (loss) $ Non-GAAP adjustments to operating income (loss): Inventory write-down Amortization of intangible assets included in cost of revenues Amortization of intangible assets included in operating expenses Restructuring Total non-GAAP adjustments to operating income (loss) 20,089 20,636 23,043 (9,603) $ (6,156) $ (7,242) $ 658 198 - 647 195 - 2,439 658 195 1,740 1,292 84,385 $ 670 113 - (21,709) 22,133 $ 2,439 (a) 2,633 701 1,740 (b) 783 2,016 22,162 $ 674 108 - 7,513 746 22,025 $ 677 107 - 856 842 $ (8,747) $ (5,314) $ (2,210) $ 2,075 $ (14,196) $ 2,798 $ $ (9,603) $ (161) (6,156) $ (822) (7,242) $ (445) 1,292 $ (428) (21,709) (1,856) $ 2,016 166 $ Other income (expense) GAAP income (Loss) before income taxes Provision (benefit) for income taxes (9,764) (4,182) (6,978) (2,412) (7,687) (3,133) 864 308 (5,582) $ (4,566) $ (4,554) $ 556 856 842 5,032 (1,785) Non-GAAP operating income (loss) 5,032 20,617 782 688 103 1,715 784 1,530 (10,609) $ 2,506 21,155 (3,806) $ 684 102 551 1,337 (11,653) $ 2,723 420 2,266 (c) 2,241 $ 632 38 58 5,409 2,510 $ 457 25 - 728 1,264 $ 468 26 - 482 84,694 (1,042) $ 469 25 1,322 494 4,973 20,761 $ 2,026 114 1,380 (c) 1,816 3,730 435 24 - 3,520 459 $ (8,103) $ (2,469) $ (6,244) $ 2,969 $ 2,992 $ 1,758 $ 774 $ 8,493 $ 4,189 746 $ (170) (10,609) $ (134) (3,806) $ 170 (11,653) 33 $ 2,241 632 $ 2,510 $ (348) 1,264 267 $ (1,042) $ 44 4,973 595 $ 3,730 117 (10,743) 17,919 (3,636) 1,003 (11,621) 19,497 2,162 817 1,531 713 (998) 816 5,568 2,663 (28,662) $ (4,639) $ (31,118) (1,814) $ 2,905 Reconciliation of GAAP net income (loss) to non-GAAP net income (loss) GAAP operating income (loss) GAAP net income (loss) $ (23,565) (9,419) $ (14,146) 2,182 587 $ 1,595 576 (12) $ 588 $ 2,873 317 $ 2,556 $ 1,345 $ 818 $ 3,847 380 $ 3,467 Non-GAAP adjustments to net income (loss): Total non-GAAP adjustments to non-GAAP operating income (loss) Valuation allowance on deferred tax assets and other non-cash adjustments related to tax assets Tax effect of non-GAAP adjustments to operating income (loss) 783 7,513 (317) 782 (2,706) 784 (282) 2,506 (306) (299) Non-GAAP net income (loss) $ (5,032) $ (4,023) $ (1,307) $ 1,022 $ (9,339) $ 2,095 $ 1,091 (281) $ 21,141 (877) (5,892) $ GAAP net income (loss) per diluted share $ (0.24) $ (0.20) $ (0.20) $ 0.02 $ (0.61) $ 0.07 $ 0.02 $ (1.19) $ Non-GAAP net income (loss) per diluted share $ (0.22) $ (0.17) $ (0.06) $ 0.04 $ (0.40) $ 0.09 $ 0.05 $ (0.24) $ 1,337 303 (2,999) 5,409 728 21,444 (d) (1,440) 482 - 494 - 1,816 - 3,520 - 459 - - (5,705) $ 3,284 $ 1,827 $ 1,312 $ 2 $ 6,425 $ 3,926 (0.19) $ (1.30) $ 0.11 $ 0.06 $ 0.03 $ (0.07) $ 0.12 $ 0.14 (0.12) $ (0.24) $ 0.14 $ 0.08 $ 0.05 $ 0.26 $ 0.16 Per share data: 23,341 23,138 23,261 23,913 23,290 Notes: (c) Consists ofcharges the favorable impact the release of $18.2related million income taxproduct valuation (a) Represents associated w ith of w riting dow n inventory to in a discontinued line.allowances. (b) Includes severance and RSU modification charges accrued in connection w ith the notification of future closure of our Nanometrics Germany Inc office (Nanda). (c) Includes severance, facility lease termination and other costs associated w ith consolidating operations into the U.S. and management changes. (d) Reflects a non-cash valuation allow ance related to certain deferred US tax assets and other non-cash adjustments. 24,159 24,220 24,132 24,048 23,958 24,257 24,285 24,352 24,446 $ 24,375 24,597 NANO IR Pres [July 2016 CEO Summit] Shares used in non-GAAP diluted income per share calculation 0.00 25