portfolio optimization and asset allocations using dea and dea/ahp
Transcription
portfolio optimization and asset allocations using dea and dea/ahp
ISSN : 0976-2876 (Print) ISSN : 2250-0138 (Online) Indian J.Sci.Res. 4(2) : 81-86, 2013 PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION AND ASSET ALLOCATIONS USING DEA AND DEA/AHP a1 SHOKOOFEH BANIHASHEMI AND MASOUD SANEI ab b Department of Applied Mathematics, Islamic Azad University, Central Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran ABSTRACT The present study is an attempt toward evaluating the performance of portfolios and asset allocations usingData Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and DEA/AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) ranking model. Among many evaluation methods, DEA is one of the best methods for assessing the relative efficiency a group of homogenous Decision Making Units (DMUs) that use multiple inputs to produce multiple outputs.The problem consists of choosing an optimal set of assets in order to minimize the risk and maximize return. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate portfolio in two steps: asset selection using (DEA) and asset allocations using DEA/AHP and ranking mutual funds in practical example. Thus, DEA/AHP ranking model is compared with Anderson and Petersen (AP) ranking model. This method is illustrated by application in mutual funds and extremely weights are obtained via DEA/AHP for making efficient portfolio. The finding could be used for constructing efficient portfolio in stock companies, in various finance organization and public and private sector companies. KEYWORDS : Portfolio, Data EnvelopmentAnalysis (DEA),Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) 1 Corresponding author BANIHASHEMI AND SANEI : PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION AND ASSET ALLOCATIONS USING DEA AND DEA/AHP - rp l s s i ri p ij 82 Indian J.Sci.Res. 4(2) : 81-86, 2013 BANIHASHEMI AND SANEI : PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION AND ASSET ALLOCATIONS USING DEA AND DEA/AHP Indian J.Sci.Res.4(2) : 81-86, 2013 83 BANIHASHEMI AND SANEI : PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION AND ASSET ALLOCATIONS USING DEA AND DEA/AHP Structure comparison matrix is as follows: B.The use of a two-level AHP method to find weights (Asset Allocation) 84 Indian J.Sci.Res. 4(2) : 81-86, 2013 BANIHASHEMI AND SANEI : PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION AND ASSET ALLOCATIONS USING DEA AND DEA/AHP Table 1 : Descriptive Statistics of The Mutual Funds Mutual fund ACEFX ACEGX ACEMX AELAX AELGX AGTHX ARCGX AVLFX BJBIX CUCAX FAGIX FAIAX FAICX FDEGX FEURX FIUIX FSUTX GEGTX HRCPX IDETX Expected return 2.671 2.734 2.668 1.241 1.287 1.902 2.017 1.615 1.506 1.990 0.533 1.404 1.420 2.445 1.696 1.398 1.697 1.727 2.376 2.356 Vari ance 64.173 64.254 64.098 22.976 22.970 23.445 30.697 19.817 33.203 24.858 5.471 39.099 39.095 53.059 30.655 13.813 18.829 19.483 34.856 35.331 Mutual fund IDEUX IGLBX IGLCX JAMRX JAOSX JAVLX JAWWX LMVTX MAFGX MBFGX MCFGX MCOBX MCOFX MDFGX MGCAX MSEQX NAWCX NAWGX POVBX POVSX Expected return 1.874 1.858 2.488 1.991 1.870 2.237 1.946 1.735 1.849 1.923 2.463 1.959 1.875 1.942 1.789 1.842 1.318 1.384 2.579 1.619 Variance 24.913 25.178 39.982 35.740 23.264 30.771 20.705 19.463 20.490 20.626 60.247 19.729 18.821 18.833 31.720 31.348 24.631 24.676 149.234 21.647 Mutual fund RYOSX SCGEX SRGFX SSGWX TALGX TRGEX TWIEX UMBIX USBOX VGHCX VPMCX WAGEX WBIGX FMAGX JANSX VFINX VWNDX Expected return 2.690 1.656 2.224 2.044 1.368 1.786 1.773 1.823 2.093 1.334 1.513 1.625 0.979 1.681 2.643 1.690 1.889 Variance 42.951 18.530 40.412 26.771 30.664 25.739 23.208 12.379 24.542 26.919 20.243 17.619 25.015 14.225 35.453 27.731 21.968 Table 2 : Efficiency Measure of 57 Mutual Funds Mutual funds ACEFX ACEGX ACEMX AELAX AELGX AGTHX ARCGX AVLFX BJBIX CUCAX FAGIX FAIAX FAICX FDEGX FEURX FIUIX FSUTX GEGTX HRCPX IDETX MV efficiency measure 0.62 1.000 0.62 0.37 0.38 0.62 0.58 0.55 0.31 0.69 0.66 0.24 0.25 0.56 0.38 0.69 0.61 0.60 0.86 0.77 Indian J.Sci.Res.4(2) : 81-86, 2013 Mutual funds IDEUX IGLBX IGLCX JAMRX JAOSX JAVLX JAWWX LMVTX MAFGX MBFGX MCFGX MDFGX MGDAX MSEQX MCOBX MCOFX NAWCX NAWGX POVBX POVSX MV efficiency measure 0.55 0.53 0.78 0.48 0.59 0.78 0.77 0.61 0.64 0.74 0.50 0.82 0.74 0.84 0.38 0.41 0.36 0.38 0.23 0.51 Mutual funds RYOSX SCGEX SRGFX SSGWX TALGX TRGEX TWIEX UMBIX USBOX VGHCX VPMCX WAGEX WBIGX FMAGX JANSX VFINX VWNDX MV efficiency measure 1.000 0.61 0.59 0.69 0.30 0.47 0.52 1.00 0.81 0.34 0.51 0.63 0.27 0.80 1.000 0.41 0.65 85 BANIHASHEMI AND SANEI : PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION AND ASSET ALLOCATIONS USING DEA AND DEA/AHP Table 3 : Mutual funds selections, DEA model is used to analyze given 57 mutual funds and four efficient mutual funds is obtained Mutual funds ACEGX RYOSX UMBLX JANSX 86 Expected return(Output) 2.739 2.690 1.823 2.643 Variance(Input) 64.254 42.951 12.379 35.453 Table 4 : Weights And Rankings Mutual Weights DEA/AHP AP ranks funds (eigenvector) ranks ACEGX 0.132 4 infeasible RYOSX 0.18 3 3 UMBLX 0.45 1 1 JANSX 0.23 2 2 Indian J.Sci.Res. 4(2) : 81-86, 2013