HCL Technologies Ltd.
Transcription
HCL Technologies Ltd.
HCL Technologies Ltd. Result Update: Q3 FY 12 C.M.P: Target Price: Date: Rs. 509.20 Rs. 565.00 April. 25th 2012 BUY SYNOPSIS Stock Data: Sector: Face Value Rs. 52 wk. High/Low (Rs.) Volume (2 wk. Avg.) BSE Code Market Cap (Rs in mn) IT 2.00 528.40/360.10 38000 532281 346416.10 HCL is a $6.2 billion leading global technology & IT enterprise comprising two companies listed in India – HCL Technologies and HCL Infosystems. During the quarter, 52 new clients were added by HCL Technologies Ltd. During the quarter ended, the robust growth of Net Sales is increased by 27.51% to Rs. 214647.20 million. Share Holding Pattern HCL and UPM have signed a five year outsourcing frame agreement of IT infrastructure services. HCL signed an agreement with State Street Bank & Trust Company (State Street) to provide BPO services. 1 Year Comparative Graph HCL has entered into a relationship with GAIG to provide integrated IT services, BPO & Infrastructure Mgt. Services. HCL wins ICD 10 transformation deal with Blue Shield of California. HCL Technologies BSE SENSEX Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 27% & 26% over 2010 to 2013E respectively. Years Net sales EBITDA Net Profit EPS P/E FY 11 67944.80 16826.40 11982.80 17.40 28.91 FY 12E 89687.14 26001.17 17803.42 25.85 19.46 FY 13E 104037.08 30252.99 21005.01 30.50 16.49 1 Peer Group Comparison CMP(Rs.) Market Cap. (Rs.mn.) EPS(Rs.) P/E(x) P/Bv(x) Dividend (%) 509.20 346416.10 17.40 28.91 5.91 375.00 1096.80 214668.00 53.99 20.31 11.02 1400.00 Wipro 427.00 104991.90 19.00 22.47 4.92 200.00 Infosys 2373.05 136267.65 147.50 16.09 4.13 1200.00 Name of the company HCL Tech. Ltd TCS Investment Highlights Q3 FY12 Results Update HCL Technologies Ltd reported a rise in standalone net profit for the quarter ended March 2012. During the quarter, the profit of the company rose 20.60% to Rs. 4001.50 million from Rs. 3318.10 million in the same quarter previous year. Net sales for the quarter rose 27.51% to Rs. 21647.20 million, while total income for the quarter rose 26.54% to Rs. 21962.70 million, when compared with the prior year period. Company posted earnings of Rs.5.78 a share during the quarter, registering 19.45% growth over prior year period. Quarterly Results - Standalone (Rs. in mn) As At Net sales PAT Basic EPS 2 Mar-12 Mar-11 %change 21647.20 16977.30 27.51% 4001.50 3318.10 20.60% 5.78 4.84 19.45% Net Sales & PAT Growth During the quarter, Net sales rose by 27.51% to Rs. 21647.20 million from Rs.16977.30 million in the same quarter last year and the Total Profit for the quarter ended March 2012 was Rs. 4001.50 million grew by 20.60% from Rs.3318.10 million compared to same quarter last year. EPS Growth The basic EPS of the company stood at Rs. 5.78 for the quarter ended March 2012 from Rs. 4.84 for the quarter ended March 2011. 3 Break up of Expenditure Segment Revenue Declared Interim Dividend HCL Technologies Ltd has declared an interim dividend of Rs.2/- per equity share of face value of Rs. 2/- each of the Company. 4 HCL and Cisco launch South Africa Global Center of Excellence HCL Technologies Ltd. (HCL) has strategically aligned with Cisco to announce the opening of a South Africa Global Centre of Excellence (GCoE) in Johannesburg as part of its commitment to build a socially responsible business. The Johannesburg GCoE will serve as a local support center for HCL and Cisco’s South African clients. It will also train local engineers on advanced Cisco technologies to support clients across Africa and specifically South Africa. It will also service clients by developing ICT skill sets thus ultimately creating trained local personnel to deploy and manage advanced solutions. HCL, Cisco announce Alignment around Vertical Solutions HCL Technologies (HCL) and Cisco Systems, Inc. announced that they are jointly creating vertical solutions. First of these solutions is targeted at the financial services industry to improve the end-customer experience. It will also integrates components from Cisco’s Borderless Networks, Collaboration & Data Center/ Virtualization portfolios & leverages HCL’s exception capabilities around industry specific applications & sys integration capabilities around Cisco architectures. UPM to outsource part of its IT services to HCL UPM and HCL Technologies Limited (HCL) have signed a five year outsourcing frame agreement of IT infrastructure services. As part of this agreement, HCL will provide data center, end user support, network services and professional IT services to UPM. HCL will also set up a data center in Finland and strengthen its existing Espoo Delivery Center to provide the services. HCL Technologies enters into strategic relationship with State Street HCL Technologies Ltd. signed an agreement with State Street Bank and Trust Company (State Street) to provide business process outsourcing services in support of a variety of a variety of State Street’s investment services businesses. The vision is to provide domain specific transaction processing BPO services to leading clients in the Financial Services Vertical. 5 HCL wins ICD 10 transformation deal with Blue Shield of California HCL Technologies announced that Blue Shield of California will leverage HCL’s iCRM web based tool to complete its ICD 10 remediation to meet the compliance deadline of October 2013. HCL’s Proprietary ICD 10 Transformation Framework will help Blue Shield of California to transition people, processes, and technology from ICD-9 to ICD-10. HCL’s ICD 10 Transition framework with built-in proprietary tools, takes a comprehensive approach to assessment & remediation, and automates a significant amount of the transition exercise to streamline compliance efforts. HCL Technologies enters into strategic relationship with GAIG HCL Technologies has entered into a strategic relationship with Great American Insurance Group (GAIG) to provide integrated IT services, Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) and Infrastructure Management Services to GAIG and its affiliates. The strategic alliance with GAIG significantly enhances capabilities and helps to create a differentiated value proposition in the insurance industry, especially in the commercial specialty sector, enabling them to target a wider audience. HCL Technologies awarded with Statoil HCL Technologies announced that Statoil has selected it for strategic infrastructure management services. This deal win reinforces HCL’s dominance in the Nordic region’s IT services market where it is already the global partner of choice for several leading global corporations like Nokia, Danfoss and Electrolux in the region. The company will also open a delivery centre in Stavanger, Norway to service Statoil, in line with its model of Global Centers of Excellence. HCL will deliver services across 36 countries handling the end to end monitoring and management of Statoil’s entire The engagement includes managing Compute, Storage, Database and Telecom (network & security) environments along with desktop support. 6 Geographic Mix Servicing Offering Mix (Q3 FY12) 7 Revenue by vertical (Q3 FY12) Client Contribution to Revenue 8 Offshore/Onsite Revenue 9 Head Count Company Profile HCL Technologies Limited was originally incorporated on 12th November 1991, as "HCL Overseas Limited". The Certificate of commencement of business was received on 10th February, 1992. On July 14, 1994, the name of the Company was changed to "HCL Consulting Limited". The Company changed its name to "HCL Technologies Limited" on 6th October 1999 to better reflect the line of activities of the Company. Today, HCL Technology is the fifth largest Indian company in IT services. HCL is a $5.9 billion leading global technology and IT enterprise comprising two companies listed in India – HCL Technologies and HCL Infosystems. HCL Tech. includes product engineering, custom & package applications, BPO, IT infrastructure services, IT hardware, systems integration, and distribution of information and communications technology (ICT) products across a wide range of focused industry verticals. The company’s BPO business is the third largest one in the country. The company operates with clients mainly on technologies focused Transformation Outsourcing, in areas that impact and re-define the core of client business. HCL Technologies has global network of offices in 31 countries. The company is having around 27 subsidiaries located in different parts of the world and the total number of the clients of the company exceeds to 70. Company offerings The different verticals that the company works are as follows: 10 • Aerospace & Defense • Life Sciences and Healthcare • Automotive • Media & Entertainment • Capital Markets • Medical Devices • Consumer Electronics • Pharmaceutical • Financial Services • Retail & Corporate Banking • Government • Retail and Consumer • Healthcare • Telecom • Hitech Semiconductor Storage • Transportation • Insurance • Travel Business Area HCL Technologies Ltd. IT Enable Services (ITES) IT Services Core Software IT Infrastructure BPO Services Custom Applications Contract Management & Front Office Support Engineering and R&D Services Back Office Process Support Enterprise Application Solutions Infrastructure and Support Services 11 Partnerships HCL has enhanced its relationships with partners and created a variety of innovative partnership models, with various approaches to risk-reward sharing. Product Partnership Joint Venture Strategic Alliances Strategic Acquisitions • Axon group Plc. • Capital Stream, Inc. • Liberata Financial Services (LFS) • Control Point Solutions 12 Financial Results 12 Months Ended Profit & Loss Account (Standalone) Value (Rs.in.mn) FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E Description 12m 12m 12m 12m Net Sales 50787.60 67944.80 89687.14 104037.08 Other Income 1630.50 1662.70 1695.95 1746.83 Total Income 52418.10 69607.50 91383.09 105783.91 Expenditure -37136.00 -52781.10 -65381.92 -75530.92 Operating Profit 15282.10 16826.40 26001.17 30252.99 Interest -1013.60 -1013.90 -1044.32 -1075.65 Gross profit 14268.50 15812.50 24956.85 29177.35 Depreciation -2740.30 -2913.70 -3350.76 -3685.83 Profit Before Tax 11528.20 12898.80 21606.10 25491.51 Tax -962.40 -916.00 -3802.67 -4486.51 Profit After Tax 10565.80 11982.80 17803.42 21005.01 Equity capital 1357.60 1377.40 1377.40 1377.40 Reserves 47980.90 57204.10 75007.52 96012.53 Face value 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 EPS 15.57 17.40 25.85 30.50 13 Quarterly Ended Profit & Loss Account (Standalone) Value(Rs.in.mn) 30-Sep-11 31-Dec-11 31-Mar-12 30-June-12E Description 3m 3m 3m 3m Net Sales 19792.20 21911.80 21647.20 24028.39 Other income 495.50 253.50 315.50 347.05 Total Income 20287.70 22165.30 21962.70 24375.44 Expenditure -14481.70 -15075.90 -15849.30 -17564.75 Operating profit 5806.00 7089.40 6113.40 6810.69 Interest -222.90 -221.40 -289.20 -297.88 Gross profit 5583.10 6868.00 5824.20 6512.81 Depreciation -820.80 -862.60 -898.40 -970.27 Profit Before Tax 4762.30 6005.40 4925.80 5542.54 Tax -786.80 -1065.70 -924.30 -931.15 Profit After Tax 3975.50 4939.70 4001.50 4611.39 Equity capital 1379.60 1381.50 1384.70 1384.70 Face value 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 EPS 5.76 7.15 5.78 6.66 14 Key Ratios Particulars FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E No. of Shares (in mn) 678.80 688.70 688.70 688.70 EBITDA Margin (%) 30.09% 24.76% 28.99% 29.08% PBT Margin (%) 22.70% 18.98% 24.09% 24.50% PAT Margin (%) 20.80% 17.64% 19.85% 20.19% 32.32 28.91 19.46 16.49 ROE (%) 21.41% 20.45% 23.31% 21.57% ROCE (%) 28.47% 28.66% 33.66% 31.21% 0.28 0.18 0.14 0.12 EV/EBITDA (x) 22.34 20.59 13.32 11.45 Book Value (Rs.) 72.68 85.06 110.91 141.41 6.92 5.91 4.54 3.56 P/E Ratio (x) Debt Equity Ratio P/BV Charts: Net Sales & PAT: 15 P/E Ratio(x): Debt Equity Ratio: 16 EV/EBITDA(x): P/BV: 17 Outlook and Conclusion At the current market price of Rs. 509.20, the stock is trading at 19.46 x FY12E and 16.49 x FY13E respectively. Earning per share (EPS) of the company for the earnings for FY12E and FY13E is seen at Rs. 25.85 and Rs. 30.50 respectively. Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 27% and 26% over 2010 to 2013E respectively. On the basis of EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at 13.32 x for FY12E and 11.45 x for FY13E. Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 4.54 x and 3.56 x respectively for FY12E and FY13E. We expect that the company will keep its growth story in the coming quarters also. We recommend ‘BUY’ in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs.565.00 for Medium to Long term investment. Industry Overview India's Information technology (IT) and information technology enabled services (ITeS) segments are aligned in a way that the growth in one avenue has ripple effects on another. The IT & ITeS industry, as a whole, is the mainstay of Indian technology sector as it has driven growth of the economy in terms of employment, revenue generation, standards of living etc and has played a major part in placing the country on the global canvas. National Association of Software and Services Companies (Nasscom) president Som Mittal believes that software exports would be in tune with the estimates and are projected to grow 15-17 per cent to generate about US$ 70 billion in 2011-12 as against US$ 59 billion in 2010-11. Furthermore, Internet and Mobile Association of India (IAMAI) has stated that internet users in the country have crossed the 100-million mark (owing to increasing internet penetration and affordability for personal computers (PCs), of which 17 million are 18 online shoppers. It estimates that the number of Internet users in India will triple by 2015. Rural India Calling Rural business process outsourcing (BPO) units account for over US$ 10 million towards India's IT-BPO revenues. Many big IT-BPO companies in India are getting attracted towards hinterlands due to availability of immense untapped talent and lower costs. Attrition rates in rural areas are just about 3-5 per cent as against a high of 50 per cent in urban BPOs. Employee costs in rural BPOs is almost half as against that of urban BPOs which bring overall operational costs down by almost 30-40 per cent for IT companies. Nasscom has further stated that employee base in these areas would expand by over 10 times by 2013-14 from 5000 in 2009-10. Wipro BPO, the BPO arm of Wipro Technologies had launched its first rural BPO centre at Manjakkudi Village in Tamil Nadu in August 2011. In October 2011, Infosys BPO had inked an agreement with the Government of Andhra Pradesh to open rural BPO centers in 22 districts. Rural Shores is another firm that had opened a BPO centre in Bagepalli district of Karnataka and serves over 20 clients including HDFC, Infosys, Wipro Technologies and Genpact. It aims to recruit more than 10, 000 youth by 2014. IT & ITeS - Key Developments and Investments Between April 2000 and November 2011, the computer software and hardware sector received cumulative foreign direct investment (FDI) of US$ 10.93 billion, according to the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP). • Network equipment maker Cisco Systems Inc.'s Indian unit is vying for a bigger share of the IT spending by small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in 14 nonmetro markets. The company is planning to increase the amount of investments on its distribution network in the smaller cities in 2012. It has also intensified its research activities in order to develop India-specific products that in some cases may cost just 20 per cent of the global product. 19 • California-based IT services company UST Global is expanding its footprints in India's IT capital Bengaluru. The company already operates in Thiruvananthapuram and Kochi in Kerala. In Thiruvananthapuram also, the company is building a 3 million sq ft campus which would be a major hub for offshore IT services offered by the company. Online Retailing on a High Emergence of internet retailing and e-commerce as a completely new space is driving the growth of number of online shoppers. As a result, the internet retailing companies are getting attracted towards Indian markets which are poised to grow leaps-andbounds in the years to come. There are about 17 million online shoppers in India and the number is projected to grow over three times in the years to come. • Seattle-based world's largest internet retailer Amazon.com has recently launched its website Junglee.com with a view to harness burgeoning online shopping market in India which is expected to triple in size by 2015. Junglee.com has partnered with several Indian online and offline retailers like HomeShop18, Hidesign, Dabur Uveda, the Bombay Store and others. It has also formed alliances with online players like Snapdeal, Univercell, Saholic (a Spice Group firm) and Fommy.co.in. • India's largest and most-funded e-commerce company Flipkart Online Services Pvt. Ltd has acquired Letsbuy.com, the country's second-largest online electronics retailer, for an undisclosed amount. The move reflects Flipkart's strategy of becoming a major player through acquisitions and eventually grabbing a substantial pie of ever- increasing Indian online retailing space. Cloud Computing – The Emerging Technology Cloud computing is a set of services that provide infrastructure resources using internet media and data storage on a third party server, that is, the subscriber (of cloud service) does not need to own the infrastructure, which saves him from entailing any capital expenditure and he pays to the service provider as per his usage. 20 The concept is on a high rage in India these days. The cloud solutions industry in India is around US$ 400 million currently and by 2015 it is poised to grow 10 times to US$ 4-4.5 billion. This further enhances the fact that Indian market is the most mature when it comes to adoption of cloud technologies and has the highest usage levels of converged systems. • The state of Gujarat has over 10 per cent of 3 million small and medium enterprises (SMEs) present in India. Hitachi Data Systems is ready to launch its cloud services for the SMEs in Gujarat as they are searching for data backup and email management services along with data and business analysis by cloud solutions providers. • Videocon and AEC Partners will jointly invest US$ 21 million in a cloudcomputing start-up called Nivio. The US$ 100 million-cloud computing company will use these funds to expand its engineering centre in Palo Alto, California and recruit fresh talent. AEC Partners is a US-based private equity (PE) firm that holds expertise in technology investments. Government Initiatives Industry experts believe that increase in Government spends over e-governance projects would be a major driver of growth for Indian IT/ITeS space. Nasscom has stated that infrastructure for spends is ready and now is time when National eGovernance Plan (NeGP) should be executed in full force. NeGP aims to create the right governance and institutional mechanisms, set up the core infrastructure and policies and implement various Mission Mode Projects across the Centre, state and integrated service levels to create a citizen-oriented and business-centric environment for governance. Meanwhile, the Government has recently announced that it would buy some 100,000 low-cost Aakash tablets from Datawind (the Canadian company that has developed this device) and would distribute them to students in schools and colleges for free. The move comes as an effort to facilitate e-learning. 21 In another similar effort, IT major Intel India had joined hands with the Karnataka Government's Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan in 2011 and had launched ‘Computers on Wheels'. It was a pilot e-learning program that entailed digital instruction materials from reputed education solutions provider 'Educomp'. The program focussed to equip teachers with learning techniques and tools and deliver diverse learning styles and abilities to students, making education more participative rather than passive. The Government of India has also undertaken a project that aims to provide high quality broadband access to village Panchayats through National Optical fibre network by 2014. The process is in progress and is projected to be very beneficial, especially for the SMEs. Software giant Infosys is planning to expand its footprint in India with focus on Tier-II cities. The company has recently inked an agreement with Government of Madhya Pradesh for setting up a development centre in Indore and is awaiting response from Goverenment of West Bengal for setting up a centre in Kolkata as well. All such developments and initiatives on part of the Government of India reflect the fact that the supreme administration is making all the possible efforts to boost the country's IT and ITeS industries. IT & ITeS in India - Road Ahead There are many predictions and forecasts pertaining to IT & ITeS in India across various segments. For instance, a study by management advisory firm Zinnov states that IT adoption in Indian SME segment is growing at a rate of 15 per cent and would touch US$ 15 billion by 2015. The study noted that as of now, only 20 per cent of the total 50 million SMEs in India are technology-ready today which poses an immense scope for further growth. Another study by consulting and advisory services firm CyberMedia Research suggests that the PC market in India would have witnessed sales of 11.15 million units in the 22 2011 calendar year which would further accelerate by 14 per cent to 12.71 million units in 2012. Internet retailing is also emerging as an entirely new avenue to be explored. According to estimates made by an industrial body, India's online retail industry is anticipated to surge to Rs 70 billion (US$ 1.43 billion) by 2015 from Rs 20 billion (US$ 405.93 million) as broadband is becoming increasingly accessible and internet penetration is increasing. Another report by Avendus Capital Pvt. Ltd states that e-tailing would become a Rs 53,000 crore (US$ 10.76 billion) market by 2015 from the current Rs 3,600 crore (US$ 731 million). ________________ ____ _________________________ Disclaimer: This document prepared by our research analysts does not constitute an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. The information contained herein is from publicly available data or other sources believed to be reliable but do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such. Firstcall India Equity Advisors Pvt. Ltd. or any of it’s affiliates shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. This document is provide for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. 23 Firstcall India Equity Research: Email – [email protected] C.V.S.L.Kameswari Pharma U. Janaki Rao Capital Goods A. Rajesh Babu FMCG H.Lavanya Oil & Gas Ashish Kushwaha Diversified Firstcall India also provides Firstcall India Equity Advisors Pvt.Ltd focuses on, IPO’s, QIP’s, F.P.O’s, Takeover Offers, Offer for Sale and Buy Back Offerings. Corporate Finance Offerings include Foreign Currency Loan Syndications, Placement of Equity / Debt with multilateral organizations, Short Term Funds Management Debt & Equity, Working Capital Limits, Equity & Debt Syndications and Structured Deals. 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