Jan 2007 - Defence Review Asia
Transcription
Jan 2007 - Defence Review Asia
D E F E N C E R E V I E W A S I A ASIAN AIRPOWER DIRECTORY INDIAN DEFENCE SCENE FEBRUARY 2007 Raytheon AESA Active Electronically Scanned Array Radar Raytheon’s proven multi-mode, multi-platform AESA technology can simultaneously guide multiple missiles to multiple targets widely spaced in azimuth, elevation and range, with unprecedented precision. Leveraging our vast Mission Systems Integration capabilities, AESA technology enables various platforms to gather, process and share information, air-to-air and air-to-ground, with a speed and reliability far greater than any other radar. In short, it provides today’s aircraft with a revolutionary level of situational awareness, and the vast operational advantages that go with it. www.raytheon.com © 2007 Raytheon Company. All rights reserved. “Customer Success Is Our Mission” is a registered trademark of Raytheon Company. D E F E N C E R E V I E W Contents VOLUME 1. NUMBER 1. 3 COMMENTS & QUESTIONS FEATURES 4 The Indian Air Force – Transition For A New Century 9 A New Factor – Airborne Radar Options For India 11 Indian Defence Programmes – Succeeding Despite The System 16 36 Building Hope In A Harsh, Neglected Land – Dutch Counter-Insurgency Methodology In Afghanistan 43 New Japanese Prime Minister In European Talks Defence Review Asia Directory – ‘Asian Airpower’ 29 Air Force Procurement Programmes In Asia – Continuing Capability Growth CHINA DEFENCE WATCH 46 China Goes Public With J-10 Fighter 50 PLA Navy Growth Receives Political Support WORLD VIEW 52 Industry A S I A ASIAN OUTLOOK 33 Leopard 2A4 Selected For SAF 35 RSAF Joins Singapore’s Editorial Director David Saw Email: [email protected] Contributing Editors Jean-Michel Guhl ([email protected]) Miroslav Gyürösi James C. O’Halloran S.K. Park Simon Watson Leo M. van Westerhoven Publisher David Saw CEO Ross Butler Advertising Offices & Representation Australia & Rest Of The World Ross Butler Ventura Media Asia-Pacific Pty Ltd ‘3G SAF’ Transformation 53 World View - Systems BMP-2 Upgrades – Algeria Opts For Berezhok Solution 55 New Interest In Counter-Insurgency Aircraft 56 The Editor’s Bookshelf PO Box 88, Miranda, NSW 1490 Australia Phone: + 61 2 9526 7188 Fax: + 61 2 9526 1779 Email: [email protected] Europe (except Italy) Diana Scogna 31 rue de Tlemcen 75020 Paris, France Phone: + 33 1 4315 9829 Fax: + 33 1 4033 9930 Email: [email protected] Israel Asa Talbar Talbar Media PO Box 57136 Tel Aviv, Israel 61570 Phone: + 972 3 562 9565 Fax: + 972 3 562 9567 Email: [email protected] Italy GAME Srl Via Caffaro 13/10 16125 Genoa, Italy Phone: + 39 010 589752 Fax: + 39 010 562193 Email: [email protected] Russia & CIS Olga Korobkova VK Co. Giliarovskogo str., 1, app.8 Moscow 129090, Russia Email: [email protected] Advertising Materials Raymond Boey Asian Press Group Block 729 #04-4280 Ang Mo Kio Avenue 6 Singapore 560729 Phone: + 65 6457 2340 Fax: + 65 6456 2700 Email: [email protected] Printer Sunrise Printing & Supplies Pte Ltd Defence Review Asia An Asian Press Group Publication Printed & Published in Singapore Asian Press Group Pte Ltd Head Office: 15 Scotts Road, #05-08 Thong Teck Building Singapore Registration: 200611219N DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 1 EDITORIAL By David Saw “COMMENTS & QUESTIONS” Welcome to Defence Review Asia! This is the first issue of a new defence magazine published by the Asian Press Group in Singapore. With Defence Review Asia our aim is to provide Asian defence professionals with a new type of defence magazine, one that truly covers the rapidly changing nature of the regional security scene. Our mission is to offer the highest standards of information, analysis and comment in a unique and attractive package. We hope that you will find Defence Review Asia to be a useful addition to your professional reading. s this first ‘Comments & Questions’ piece is being written, 2007 already promises to be extremely complicated in terms of security issues. Almost inevitably the situation in the Middle East continues to prove extremely troubling. In an already unstable region the potential for further instability is apparent, and at the centre of this is Iran. Iran’s security and foreign policy goals are such that they not only risk totally destabilising the region, they could even trigger a fratricidal religious war across the region pitting Sunni against Shi’ite. The consequences of misjudgement by any of the regional actors, be they either Arab or Iranian, could be extremely severe. In Lebanon, Hizbullah, an Iranian proxy, has taken to the streets to oust an elected government and the situation remains tense. At present the level of violence is manageable, but in certain circumstances it is not hard to imagine matters spiralling out of control and a conflict between Shi’ite Hizbullah and the Sunni population of Lebanon developing. To be fair to Iran it would seem that chaos in Lebanon is not in their best interests, but it is in the best interests of Iran’s ally, Syria. Damascus seems to believe that if chaos results in Lebanon the international community will allow it to waltz back in and ‘restore order’, whilst forgetting about ‘little matters’ such as the assassination of Rafik Hariri allegedly at the behest of the Syrian leadership. So while the protests continue in Beirut, weapons continue to flow from Syria and Iran to Hizbullah, rebuilding their strength after last year’s conflict with Israel. If the situation does spiral out of control Hizbullah is strong enough and well equipped enough to win the opening rounds in a conflict, but it is not big enough to take the whole of Lebanon. Nor will Saudi Arabia stand by and let Hizbullah prevail. A Iran and Hizbullah are also expanding their reach into the Palestinian territories, sponsoring Hamas and even some factions in Fatah with money and weapons. One result of this is the virtual ‘civil war’ between Hamas and Fatah in the Gaza Strip. From the Iranian perspective this ‘civil war’ is a mere inconvenience, their next aim is to expand their reach into the West Bank and sponsor various armed factions there. Religious affiliation is not important here, as Iran wants to be able to direct military power through its surrogates against Israel. This will allow Iran to show that only it can strike Israel and win itself plaudits from the so-called ‘Arab Street’. While all of this is going on, with the Americans distracted by Iraq and the Europeans proving easily malleable, Iran can proceed with its ‘peaceful nuclear programme’ until it suddenly discovers it has a nuclear weapon capability. At this point Iran has abundant leverage to achieve its strategic goals in the Middle East and beyond. Of course, the other actors in the Middle East are not going to just let this happen, hence the sudden interest of Saudi Arabia and other Arab states in ‘peaceful nuclear energy’. A nuclear-armed and strategically dominant Iran is not in the interest of the Arab states. If Iran miscalculates or if the Arabs do, the situation could rapidly become uncontrollable. Initially Lebanon might be a trigger, or should the US withdraw from Iraq that could become a trigger. The point is that we are not dealing with rational actors here and that is tremendously destabilising. Once again the situation in the Middle East hangs in the balance and once again the rest of the world will watch from the sidelines. We do not need more nuclear weapon states, especially in this region, but will anyone take the trouble to stop this? DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 3 THE INDIAN AIR FORCE – TRANSITION FOR A NEW CENTURY An Indian Air Force (IAF) MiG-27M deploys its chute on landing. India will upgrade 40 of its MiG-27M aircraft in a programme due to be completed by HAL in 2008. The rest of the fleet will be retired in 2010. (Photo Simon Watson) By David Saw The Indian Air Force (IAF) was established on 8th October 1932 and this year it will celebrate 75 years of existence – its platinum jubilee. There can be no doubt that the world has changed massively in that time, at its birth the IAF was an airpower adjunct to a foreign imperial army, less than 15 years later it became the air force of a new independent state. Today, India itself is changing, arguably at a pace far greater than at any time in its recent history. For so long a sleeping giant, India has burst on to the world stage as a significant and growing economic 4 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA force. As such India’s economic and security interests are far broader in scope than they have ever been before, but with that comes a set of new and complex challenges. These complex challenges also apply to the IAF, for many years the fundamental task for the service was to be the dominant air power in South Asia. Now with India’s areas of economic and strategic interest expanding, the IAF must seek to play a role in defending the national interest in these new areas. This will require the IAF to evolve to address the new strategic realities that India will be facing; in many respects this is the main complex challenge that the IAF will have to contend with. INDIA Asian Outlook The new strategic realities will, of course, also impact on the other Indian services and there has been some recognition of the fact that the tradition of inter-service rivalry will not work and that there is a need for cooperation and the ability to conduct joint operations. Although the services have signed up for this joint doctrine in public, behind the scenes it is a different story. Single service interest outweighs the pull of joint service, especially since the aim appears to be protecting one’s own territory whilst attempting to expand into areas that had previously been the prerogative of another service. To be fair this situation in not unique to the Indian military scene, the development of a joint operations culture takes time to become a reality. Beyond the development of a joint operations culture and the need to operate in a vastly expanded strategic sphere of interest, the IAF still has to discharge its fundamental mission of being the dominant air power in South Asia. Meeting the requirements of this fundamental mission in the current era is another challenge that the IAF must surmount. This is equally as complex a challenge as the others listed above, principally due to the immense size of the IAF and its aircraft holdings. It is reaching a point where it must make some hard choices on the type of force it wants to be in the future, what size it ought to be and what equipment it ought to have. To an extent these decisions need to be addressed in parallel with the requirement to move towards a joint operations culture and a full analysis of what is necessary to meet Indian strategic policy goals through the next thirty years and beyond. The problem is that this has not taken place. FINDING THE PATH In this environment the IAF is going to have to base its future plans on somewhat unstable foundations. It is also going to have to come to terms with modern economics in terms of purchasing aircraft, crewing them and supporting them. In the recent past, unlike most air forces, the IAF has not really had to confront the issue of quality versus quantity. What was important was to have a large number of combat aircraft and operational squadrons; it was numbers that were important. This policy actually made a lot of sense for many years, as the most likely adversary did not, in any real sense, have any qualitative advantage over the IAF and so in this situation numbers were critical. Things are very different for the IAF today. There can be no doubt that in the form of the Sukhoi Su-30MKI-3, the IAF fields the most sophisticated combat aircraft in South Asia and the surrounding regions. The Soviet Union was the main equipment supplier to India, after the collapse of the Soviet Union and the emergence of a ‘new’ Russia a different relationship emerged between India and Russia. Initially things were difficult for the IAF, traditional channels of support for its aircraft had disappeared and it took time to build new channels of supply. After this has been resolved and the Russian government and defence industry had got their house in order, new opportunities emerged. During the Soviet era, India was only able to acquire what the Soviet Union was prepared to offer and this was a major limitation to the development of IAF capabilities. With the Russian government and defence industry the situation was different, the customer actually mattered and if the money was on the table there were very few limitations on what you could acquire. This opened the door to India’s acquisition of the Sukhoi Su-30, not only could they get top-of-the line equipment they could also specify that non-Russian avionics and other systems would be integrated with the aircraft. This saw Israeli, French, Indian and other international systems being integrated into the Su-30. On top of this India could insist on license production of the aircraft in India on most satisfactory terms. Initially the IAF acquired the Su-30K from Russia and then Irkut was responsible for the manufacture of the full specification Su-30MKI. This was not a trouble free programme, but in the end it delivered a very high quality combat aircraft. Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) is now producing the aircraft at the Nasik The Sukhoi Su30MKI is the most advanced combat aircraft in the IAF. HAL are building 140 under license and India is due to place an order for another 40 with Russia, which will bring the fleet number to over 220. (Photo Simon Watson) DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 5 INDIA A Mirage 2000TH heads for the sky. The Mirage 2000H/TH fleet numbers some 52 aircraft and these will be upgraded, in addition the IAF hopes to acquire more aircraft, most probably from French Air Force surplus. (Photo Simon Watson) facility, with 10 of the 140 Su-30MKI aircraft on order built. The license production programme has come in for some criticism over delays, HAL have denied this and have also stated that they are responding to the request of the IAF and speeding up the pace of the programme, with last deliveries now due in 2015 instead of 2018. The initial batch of 18 Sukhoi Su-30K aircraft received by the IAF is being traded in for 12 new current specification Su-30MKI-3 aircraft from Irkut and on top of this, India apparently intends to order 40 more Su-30MKI-3 aircraft from Irkut as well. Thus by 2015, the IAF Su-30MKI fleet could reach a highpoint of a total of 224 aircraft. By any standards this would be a powerful force in both offensive and defensive missions. MIG MATTERS India has been one of the largest export customers for the products of RAC MiG over the years, acquiring vast numbers of MiG-21s, MiG-23s, MiG-25s, MiG-27s and MiG-29 aircraft and also manufacturing the MiG-21 and MiG-27M under license. The various MiG fleets have come to a point where they must either be discarded or upgraded. Thus far the MiG-25 has been retired and now the IAF has put together a plan that decides the fate of the other aircraft. Some years ago it was decided to embark on the upgrade of the MiG-21 bis in IAF service, RAC MiG upgraded the first two aircraft with HAL responsible for the rest. The programme did suffer from delays, but in the end it has left the IAF with a force of some 120 (out of 125 originally upgraded) MiG-21 Bison aircraft. The remaining MiG-21M/UM/FL/U and unmodified MiG-21 bis aircraft, more than 128 aircraft, will be retired by 2010. HAL is also responsible for the upgrade of part 6 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA of the IAF MiG-27M force and although this programme running behind schedule by at least a year, the IAF is due to receive upgraded aircraft by the end of 2008. Some MiG-23UM trainers will be retained to support this fleet, but the remaining 130 or so MiG-27 and MiG-23BN/MF/UM aircraft currently in service will also be retired in 2010. The entire MiG-29 B/S/UM fleet, now consisting of some 64 aircraft, is also to be upgraded in a programme led by RAC MiG and valued at over $800 million, with a completion date of 2010/2011. The point of these upgrade programmes is to add at least ten to fifteen years of operational life to the MiG-21 bis, MiG-27M and MiG-29 fleets. Certainly the performance of these upgraded aircraft will be far above that of their original configuration. This is a positive point, yet in 2010 the IAF, according to its current plans, will lose some 250 combat aircraft and this is undoubtedly a major concern. THE BROADER FORCE The IAF has a large fleet of Jaguar aircraft in service, some 95, with an additional 40 on order from HAL at Bangalore. All of which indicates that the Jaguar, with various upgrades, will be in IAF service for at least another 20 years. One type that will not is the old Canberra, some 11 of these remain in service, and are incredibly useful for reconnaissance missions, but their time is coming to an end. Eventually the reconnaissance mission will be devolved to UAVs. The Dassault Mirage 2000H/TH fleet is extremely popular with the IAF and an additional 10 aircraft were acquired from French Air Force stocks, bringing the current fleet to 52 aircraft. What the IAF would like to do is acquire more Mirage 2000 aircraft, hence the failed attempts to acquire the Qatari Mirage 2000-5 IN PARTNERSHIP WITH INDIAN INDUSTRY MILAN ASTER MICA RF/IR MARTE EXOCET Europe’s leading missile systems company www.mbda.net INDIA The MiG-29B/S/UM fleet of 64 aircraft will be upgraded in an $800 million programme led by RAC MiG and due for completion in 2010/2011. This programme will give the IAF MiG-29 fleet ten to fifteen years more operational life. (Photo Simon Watson) fleet. The current plan is to try and acquire at least 20 aircraft and if possible more (figures of 40 aircraft have been mentioned) from French Air Force surplus stocks. The aim is to embark on an upgrade programme for the existing Mirage 2000H/TH fleet to extend service life and improve operational capabilities and then as further aircraft are acquired include them in the upgrade programme. One new system that the IAF is due to be receiving is the HAL Tejas, the fabled Light Combat Aircraft, of which 20 are on order and 20 on option. This is one of those Indian indigenous programmes that contain all of the ingredients necessary to turn into a farce. The programme is late and it is doubtful if the IAF even needs or wants the aircraft, unfortunately whatever the IAF thinks it will receive the aircraft at some as yet unknown point in the future. On the positive side for both HAL and the IAF, the HJT-36 Sitara training aircraft is progressing well and this will replace the existing Kiran fleet. Add to this 66 BAE Systems Hawk Mk 132 advanced jet trainers on order and at last real progress is being made in addressing the training deficiencies that have plagued to IAF. FUTURE SYSTEMS The capabilities of the IAF will be enhanced by the end of this year with the arrival of the first of three AEW&C systems, comprising of the Elta Phalcon system mated with the Ilyushin Il-76MD airframe. However, there is recognition of the fact that more AEW&C platforms will be needed and a more affordable 8 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA solution is being defined as an indigenous programme. The headline programme for the next few years will be the MRCA fighter programme for 126 aircraft, which, for the first time, will see the IAF evaluate US, European and Russian aircraft in the form of the Boeing F/A-18E/F Super Hornet, Dassault Rafale, Eurofighter Typhoon, the Lockheed Martin F-16C/D Block 60+, the RAC MiG-35 and the Saab Gripen. In terms of selection criteria politics will outweigh performance, with another factor being the ability to cope with India’s new and complicated offset rules. Despite this, it is a very attractive programme and is important enough to the politicians and the IAF to overcome the elephantine pace of the Indian bureaucracy. As to when a procurement decision can be expected is a different story though and here we are back into the unknown in the form of the mysterious world of Indian defence procurement behaviour. In terms of future projects there are two key programmes on the horizon, the first of these is the Multi-Role Transport Aircraft (MTA), which will be a collaborative programme between Irkut and HAL to develop a new transport aircraft and the programme is to receive official government support by both Moscow and New Delhi. The most interesting programme is Indian participation in a Russian programme to develop a new ‘5th Generation’ fighter, with Sukhoi leading on the design and working towards a first flight in 2009. Talks on Indian involvement in the programme are taking place and the aircraft could be the answer to India’s need for and advanced combat aircraft in the next decade. ■ AIR FORCES By David Saw A NEW FACTOR – AIRBORNE RADAR OPTIONS FOR INDIA If there is one thing to be said about the Indian Air Force (IAF) MRCA fighter programme, it is that it has attracted a list of very credible contenders from the US, Europe and Russia. All of these aircraft vying for the programme appear more than capable of filling the operational requirements that the IAF has set, so finding a winner is not going to be an easy process. In these circumstances other factors will come into play and these could provide the decisive edge for the winning candidate. One of these factors could be airborne radar. Through 2006 it became increasingly apparent that many people in the IAF and in the broader Indian defence community were becoming fascinated by the potential offered by active electronically scanned array (AESA) radars. In the context of the MRCA programme only two contenders currently have AESA radars, these are the Boeing F/A-18E/F Block II Super Hornet with the Raytheon AN/APG-79 and the Lockheed Martin F-16C/D which could be fitted with the Northrop Grumman AN/APG-80 as sold to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) for their Block 60 F-16C/D aircraft. The other contenders for the MRCA programme are also making tremendous efforts to acquire AESA radars. In France Thales is working to replace the passive electronically scanned array in the Rafale with a new AESA system, in Russia Phazotron is working on providing the MiG-35 with an AESA capability. For Eurofighter, Selex and EADS are developing a new AESA radar, and work is also underway in Sweden to develop an AESA radar for the Saab Gripen. It would seem that the AESA radar is suddenly the capability to have. Back in 2000, the US Air Force introduced the world’s first fighter AESA radar, when a total of 18 F-15C aircraft entered service equipped with the Raytheon AN/APG-63(V)2. This radar is actually an upgraded APG-63(V)1 back-end mated with an AESA front-end. More recently Raytheon received a contract to provide six full specification AN/APG-63(V)3 AESA radars to upgrade US Air National Guard F-15C aircraft, with another 42 radars being required. Also included in the contract was a single AESA radar for the US Air Force which is working on plans to upgrade its F-15C force and beyond that is looking at upgrading the F-15E force with an AESA radar, the aircraft currently has the Raytheon-manufactured AN/APG-70 with a mechanically scanned array. Initially the problem with AESA radars was that they were expensive, as with any new technology. This is the reason that the Republic of Korea Air Force (ROKAF) chose to stay with the conventional APG-63(V)1 for its F-15K aircraft, yet in 2005 when the Republic of Singapore Air Force (RSAF) ordered its F-15SG aircraft it could opt for the AESA APG63(V)3 as the capability had become so much more affordable and the increase in performance was such that any price advantages offered by a conventional radar were totally eroded. Should ROKAF decide that it needs an AESA capability, the back-end of its APG-63 radars can support integration with an AESA front-end. TECHNOLOGY PROVIDES ADVANTAGES Today with an AESA fighter radar being roughly cost competitive with a mechanically scanned array, many more air forces will at last have the opportunity to make an analysis of the pros and cons of each category of system. What they will discover, as the IAF is discovering, is that an AESA radar confers tremendous advantages compared to a mechani- The AN/APG-79 AESA radar is installed in the F/A-18E/F Batch II Super Hornet, providing greater performance and far higher reliability than a conventional mechanically steered array radar. (Photo Raytheon) DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 9 AIR FORCES A Batch II Boeing F/A-18E/F comes into land. Some 32 AESA-equipped F/A-18E/F have already been delivered and 135 earlier F/A-18E aircraft are due to be equipped with the AESA radar. (Photo: Boeing) cally scanned array, real operational advantages and significant advantages in availability and reduced maintenance. The advantage of the AESA radar is that it has more power and a wide bandwidth capability and this allows it to generate a wider variety of waveforms than a conventional radar, allowing simultaneous airto-air and air-to-ground coverage. More practically this means that an aircraft with an AESA radar has a greater range than its conventional equivalent and can detect and track more targets virtually instantaneously, all of which means the pilot has the complete air battle picture sooner, can react faster and be the first to engage with all of the advantages that brings in being able to use the full performance envelope of air weapons. AESA also gains other advantages from its power and the wide variety of waveforms that it can generate. It has an electronic attack capability in that it can jam hostile radars or communications systems, it could also be linked with radar warning receivers and other equipment to provide an integrated electronic warfare capability so that the aircraft could undertake air defence suppression missions if so desired. Another opportunity offered by AESA radar is in the field of 10 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA An aircraft with an AESA radar has a greater range than its conventional equivalent and can detect and track more targets virtually instantaneously, all of which means the pilot has the complete air battle picture sooner. communications, current data links, such as Link 16, have tremendous bandwidth limitations. AESA is free of these limitations and its high data rate means that you can move vast amounts of information between platforms, something that is essential in networked operations. All of these possibilities offered by AESA radar would be meaningless of the system was not reliable. The system is. Raytheon state that the AN/APG-79 has a Meant Time Between Critical Failure (MTBCF) for the array of 15,000 hours and an MTBCF for the system of 1,250 hours. The figure that matters is the MTBCF for the system, the AESA radar is at least three to five times more reliable than a conventional radar. In fact older mechanically steered array radars were often experiencing MTBCF of around 15-18 hours. The AESA radar is also upgradeable through its service life through software improvements and as these systems are modular in structure, new elements can be installed as required. In the US the Batch II F-/A-18E/F Super Hornet is equipped with the AN/APG-79 radar from the start, some 32 of these aircraft have already been delivered, and 135 earlier build aircraft are to be retrofitted with the radar at a later date. For other applications there is no reason why an AESA radar cannot be installed in numerous existing combat aircraft, the size of the antenna can be adjusted to fit the space available. The key though is power and cooling, the cooling issue in a smaller aircraft would probably require liquid cooling. All things considered though, it would seem with AESA technology that we are on the verge of a fighter aircraft revolution. INDIA By David Saw INDIAN DEFENCE PROGRAMMES – SUCCEEDING DESPITE THE SYSTEM Thee procurement of defence equipment is never an easy process and that is true of anywhere in the world, in India, however, the degree of difficulty in efficient defence procurement has risen, at various times, to an unprecedented level. In this article our aim is to look at the defence procurement scene in India and define some of the key upcoming programmes, whilst looking at the importance of external suppliers and the role of the indigenous defence industry. Today India is growing at a tremendous rate economically, it is estimated that in 2006 the Indian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at some 8.3% and that in 2007, GDP growth will reach at least 7.4%. Foreign direct investment into India in 2006 is believed to grown over 44% above the amount invested in 2005. There is still much to be done to unleash the economic potential of India, government and bureaucratic interference in the economy is still far too high and there needs to be major investment in infrastructure. Despite this, now that it has returned to the economic mainstream of the world, the momentum of development in India will contain to gain traction and bring growth in its wake. Economic growth translates into more government revenue and this revenue finds its way to increasing financial support for India’s large armed forces. A growing defence budget is a welcome development for the military, but the side effects of national economic growth eat away at the gains made in the budget. These side effects include increased pension liabilities and the need to increase pay and conditions in the military, as the retention/recruitment of officers and technically trained personnel is starting to fall short. For example continued growth in the Indian airline industry will create even more demand for pilots and technical personnel and, inevitably, the INS Vikrant is currently the only carrier in Indian Navy service; it will be joined by INS Vikramaditya (ex-Gorshkov) in 2008, and then by the indigenous Air Defence Ship being built at Cochin. (Photo: Simon Watson) Indian Air Force will suffer from increased retention problems. As such this means that the military will inevitably see its personnel costs rise. This economic growth also brings other problems in its wake, freed from the insularity of the past India now has global interests and, as we mentioned in our earlier article on the Indian Air Force in this issue, this has created a new strategic environment for the Indian military. Previously Indian strategic interests were centred on South Asia, now they are much broader. In this new environment, the Indian Navy, for example, will have a greatly expanded area of interest. This will cover the Indian Ocean to the east coast of Africa, up to the Straits of Hormuz, rising Indian energy demand requires that Indian access to the oil producing states of the Middle East be protected, and through to the South China Sea. To put this into context the Indian Navy intends to have four of the most important maritime trade route ‘choke points’ in its operational area: the Suez Canal, Bab el Mandeb, the Strait of Hormuz and the Strait of Malacca. MEETING REQUIREMENTS These expanding strategic areas of interest for India will inevitably create a demand for new and more sophisticated equipment. The situation in South Asia itself also drives increased demand for advanced equipment, Pakistan’s nuclear forces and improvements in conventional weapons must be countered and, in addition, India continues to keep a wary eye on China’s growing strength. On top of this comes the need to deal with terrorism and domestic insurgencies, all of which creates a diverse range of strategic threats to contend with and a need for a broad spectrum of equipment. For years the Indian military found itself locked into a situation where the bulk of its equipment DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 11 INDIA Indigenous programmes play a key role in India. The Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) Dhruv Advanced Light Helicopter (ALH) is in service with the three services and the Coast Guard. (Photo: Simon Watson) needs came from one main external source – the Soviet Union. To this could be added the acquisition, on a selected project basis, of equipment from France, Germany, Sweden and the UK. The other critical element in meeting equipment needs was the government-run national defence industry. Local programmes were either based on the license production of foreign designs, subsequent modification of those designs to meet Indian requirements or totally indigenous developments. It was government policy to support self-reliance, apart from making some strategic sense; it also provided employment and fitted in with the overall dogma of the government controlling major sectors of the economy. In the 1990s with collapse of the Soviet Union, the comfortable certainties that had shaped Indian defence procurement were gone. There were also changes in the political landscape in India, it was 12 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA finally understood that India could no longer hide behind tariff barriers and that protectionism and government interference in the economy were harmful rather than helpful. The Indian economy was finally unshackled and since 1996 has grown at a fast pace. In parallel with economic liberalisation came an understanding that the international situation had changed dramatically and that India had to find new ways to engage with the rest of the world. The removal from the scene of the Soviet Union did cause the Indian military problems, but as the Russian defence industry emerged from the wreckage normal service was resumed. More importantly for India, with Russia and the new Russian defence industry they had access to a far more sophisticated selection of equipment than they would have had in the Soviet era. In addition equipment could also be sourced from the Ukraine and other former parts of the Soviet Union if required. NEW MARKET FORCES New players also entered the Indian defence scene, the most significant being Israel. This relationship gave both sides tremendous advantages, for India it provided access to a highly sophisticated source of equipment both in terms of direct supply of systems and equally as important expertise. Working with Israel would also allow India to upgrade existing equipment to make it viable for modern conditions. For Israel their ability to do business with India gave them access to a vast new market and one with seemingly limitless potential. Across the course of this decade Israeli defence business with India has grown by leaps and bounds. In 2004 the highlight was the signature of a INDIA Indian Army T-72M1 Ajeya tanks during a UN peacekeeping mission in Africa. India is to place a second order for the T-90S tank and produce up 1,000 of them under license at Avadi. (Photo: S.K. Park) $1.2 billion contract to supply the IAI Elta Phalcon AEW&C system on three Ilyushin Il-76 aircraft for the IAF. By 2006, India had become the largest export customer for the Israeli defence industry with sales amounting to $1.6 billion, according to SIBAT the defence export agency of the Israeli Ministry of Defence (IMOD). Significantly the largest contributor to the $1.6 billion sales total was a $400 million contract between Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) and the Indian Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) covering the joint development of the Barak 8 naval air defence system. A whole list of Israeli companies is working on major programmes in India. IAI is a major supplier of UAV systems, Tadiran Communications has become a key supplier of combat net radios, Elbit is working on numerous programmes, Soltam has upgraded M-46 130 mm guns and transferred the technology for the upgrade, Rafael and its Spyder system have won a major contract for a low-level air defence system, IMI are supplying ammunition and IWI are supplying Tavor assault rifles. There are many other Israeli companies that we have not mentioned, but they are also working on Indian programmes. India 14 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA India is also moving on joining another collaborative programme with Russia. This covers the development of a ‘5th Generation Fighter’. has become that important a market for the Israeli defence industry. For Russia and its defence industry India is tremendously important, but they have had to learn to adapt to the fact that India is now a tremendously competitive defence marketplace. In 2006, Russia secured an order, valued at some $1.6 billion for the construction of a second batch of three Talwar class frigates at the Yantar Shipyard. There was a license production arrangement for the Klimov RD-33 jet engine, as used in the MiG-29, for $250 million and an upgrade and overhaul contract for Indian Navy Il-38 MPA aircraft at $205 million. Thus major contracts brought in over $2 billion in business for Russia in 2006, this was a better year than 2005, but was not in the same league as in previous years. RUSSIAN RESPONSES Russia still remains the primary supplier of defence equipment to India and Russian industry has learned to adapt to keep itself at the summit of the Indian market. Initially this saw new flexibility in meeting Indian needs, for example the integration of French, Israeli and Indian equipment on the Sukhoi Su-30MKI combat aircraft. The next stage was the establishment of collaborative ventures, the most significant being BrahMos Aerospace to develop the BrahMos ASCM and deliver it to the three Indian services and then move on to exploit the third-country export market. New collaborative ventures were a fundamental part of talks held in January under the auspices of the India-Russia Inter-Governmental Commission on Military Technical Cooperation (IRIGC-MTC), INDIA India and Russia are to jointly develop the Multi-Role Transport Aircraft (MRTA) to meet the needs of their air forces. The prototype is due to fly in 2010 and the aircraft should be in service by 2015. (Photo: Irkut) where Indian Defence Minister Shri A.K. Antony and Russian Deputy Prime Minister and Defence Minister Sergey Ivanov presided. Both India and Russia have committed to pursuing the development of the MultiRole Transport Aircraft (MRTA), with Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) joining with Irkut of Russia to jointly develop and produce the aircraft. The MRTA is due to make its first flight in 2010, with testing being completed by 2012 and the projected in-service date being 2015. Both the IAF and the Russian Air Force will be acquiring the MRTA. Although not covered by the protocols resulting from the IRIGC-MTC meeting, India is also moving on joining another collaborative programme with Russia. This covers the development and production of a ‘5th Generation Fighter’, which is being developed by Sukhoi and is due to make its first flight in 2009. India will contribute funding to the programme and once again HAL will be involved. For the IAF this new fighter will be an extremely welcome addition to its combat aircraft strength and Indian participation ought to secure the programme for the Russian Air Force as well. More traditional defence deals are also proceed- ing between Russia and India. In 2001 India signed a contract to acquire 310 T-90S tanks from Uralvagonzavod, valued at some $800 million, covering the direct supply of 124 tanks and local assembly of the remainder in India. Now a second contract is to be signed covering the delivery of 347 T-90S tanks and the local production of up to 1,000 more at Avadi in India. A new batch of 40 Sukhoi Su-30MKI-3 aircraft is to be acquired from Irkut and a long awaited contract for 80 Mi-17 helicopters is finally to be signed. It would seem that 2007 is going to be a good year for the Russian defence industry in India. While Russia seeks to secure its position as the premier supplier of defence equipment to India, it is watching with some concern the arrival of a new player in the marketplace – the US. Thus far the US has not made a major penetration into the Indian defence market, the first success was a contract to Raytheon to supply AN-TPQ-36/37 weapon locating radars. Now the US Navy has transferred the USS Trenton, an LPD, to the Indian Navy as well as six HH-3 helicopters. More recently India has requested information on the acquisition of six C-130J aircraft with options on a further six. After the settlement of the nuclear issues between the US and India, the US defence industry can now look forward to attempting to broaden its franchise in India. The first test of these new possibilities will be how Bell fares in its contest with Eurocopter for the Indian Army requirement for 197 Light Observation Helicopters. The programme that will define the new shape of the Indian defence market is the IAF MRCA fighter competition, where, for the first time, US, Russian and European aircraft will all be considered for a major defence programme. With 126 aircraft required the size of this programme is enormous and it will be a difficult competition to win. The programme will have to comply with India’s offset regulations, which will be difficult enough, and then there will have to be local content. Those aspects will be part of the selection process, and then you will have the involvement of the IAF in selecting to aircraft that most closely meets their needs. Finally, and most critically, you have the input of the politicians and the bureaucrats in the selection process. How the MRCA programme plays out will tell us if defence procurement in India is changing or although dressed differently is still as it was. DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 15 16 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA DIRECTORY ASIAN AIRPOWER By David Saw This is the first of what will become a series of annual ‘Defence Review Asia Directory’ features. Our first Directory covers ‘Asian Airpower’, the second (to be published in the March/April issue) is the ‘Asian Air Defence Directory’ and the third (to be published in the May issue) is the ‘Asian Naval Forces Directory’. The aim of these features is to present a credible set of baseline data that can be used for the analysis of airpower, air defence and naval assets in the region. DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 17 DIRECTORY A S I A N The airpower scene in Asia promises to be extremely interesting over the next year. The decision of China to publicise the J-10 (see ‘China Defence Watch’ in this issue) puts the spotlight on the People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) and its development plans. Rumours are now surfacing that the even more advanced J-14 fighter could fly in 2008. The PLA Navy Air Arm is also worthy of note with its carrier programme developing Our ‘Asian Airpower Directory’ covers a total of 24 countries from Afghanistan to Vietnam. With each country we have attempted to define the number of aircraft and helicopters actually in service with each air arm. To achieve this we have utilised a number of ‘open’ sources to generate an overall picture of aircraft strengths across each country and then subtracted aircraft that have been retired and recent attrition. We have then noted new orders as they have been placed, or in certain cases are about to be placed. Sadly it is impossible to claim total accuracy in covering the airpower strengths of regional nations, as many are extremely reluctant to go public with the numbers of aircraft or helicopter assets that they have. What this ‘Directory’ intends to achieve is a basis upon which we can build a real picture of the regional airpower scene and then develop it to become a standard reference source in the discussion of regional security issues. The second edition of this ‘Directory’ will be published in February 2008, between now and then we will be upgrading the data in the ‘Directory’, but readers have a role to play as well. What we would like is for you to respond to this ‘Directory’ and correct any inaccuracies that appear, so that we can improve the information for the next edition. We would be delighted to credit you with assisting us, but we understand that there are those who whilst willing to help are unwilling to be recognized for their assistance. If you have a contribution to make please contact us by e-mail at [email protected] and interest in the acquisition of the Sukhoi Su-33 as a carrier fighter. The Republic of Korea Air Force will move forward on a plan to by 20 more combat aircraft, but are being coy on whether they will opt for more Boeing F-15K or do something unexpected. The F-X programme in Japan is also worthy of note, as delays in the schedule could open up the competition to both the F-22 and the F-35. 18 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA Of course, China, Japan and the Republic of Korea are not the only countries of interest. Our coverage of India in this issue has shown the depth of their aircraft and helicopter requirements, and then there is Pakistan, which is building up the striking power of its air force. The only certainty in all of this is that Asia has become one of the most important markets for combat aircraft in the world and looks set to remain so. Some assets of the old Afghan Air Force, such as this Sukhoi Su-22, survive to serve the new Afghan National Army Air Corps. Russian assistance has been pivotal in the acquisition of aircraft and helicopters. (Photo: Leo M. van Westerhoven) AFGHANISTAN Afghan National Army Air Corps 2 2+ 4+ 10+ 10 2+ 2+ Aero Vodochody L39 (supplied by Russia) Antonov An-12 Antonov An-26/An-32 Mil Mi-8/Mi-17 Mil Mi-24/-35 Sukhoi Su-22 RAC MiG-21 Note: The dumps at airfields in Afghanistan contain most of the former Afghan Air Force. A number of old aircraft have been returned to flight status and Russia has supplied helicopters and transport aircraft, as well as spare parts. However, the insurgency that this force is facing will demand the acquisition of more helicopters to support Afghan and coalition troops. AUSTRALIA Royal Australian Air Force 55 16 17 4 24 We would like to thank Leo M. van Westerhoven for delivering some extraordinary Afghan National Army Air Corps photos, S.K. Park for his photo assistance, Simon Watson for a selection from his encyclopaedic Indian military photo collection and Nick Merrett of our sister magazine AsiaPacific Defence Reporter (APDR) for his help on the Australia and New Zealand sections. A I R P O W E R 33 17 2 3 6 5 1 3 Boeing F/A-18A(upgraded under Air 5376) Boeing F/A-18B (upgraded under Air 5376) General Dynamics F-111C (to be retired) General Dynamics RF-111C (to be retired. An RF-111C crashed on landing at Amberly last year but will be repaired) Boeing F/A-18F Super Hornet (interim aircraft until JSF arrives, for 2010 delivery. Order currently being negotiated) BAE Systems Hawk Mk 127 Lockheed Martin AP 3C Orion (being upgraded) Lockheed Martin EP- 3C Orion (ELINT mission) Lockheed Martin TAP-3 (P-3B) Orion Boeing 737 Wedgetail AEW&C (1st delivery now due August 2008) Airbus A330-200 Multi-Role Tanker Transport (MRTT) (on order – 2008 service entry) Boeing C-17 Boeing C-17 (one to arrive mid- 2007 the other two in 2008) 4 61 12 11 1 5 14 3 3 7 Pilatus PC-9 (FAC mission) Pilatus PC-9 Lockheed Martin C-130J-30 Lockheed Martin C-130H (due for upgrade) Lockheed Martin EC-130 Boeing 707-320/338C (tanker/transport – to be retired when A330 arrives) DHC-4 Caribou (limited life extension programme in effect) Canadair Challenge CL604 (leased from Qantas) Boeing 737-700 BBJ (leased from Qantas) Beech Super King Air 350 Note: The F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) has been selected as the eventual replacement for the F/A-18 and F-111 fleets; the latter aircraft is due to be retired from RAAF service in 2010. The sudden arrival of the F/A-18F as an interim fighter was a surprise, but is actually logical as a replacement for the F-111 in the strike role. There appears to be no turning back as regards the F-35 decision, but Defence must make its mind up on numbers and what it can afford by the end of 2008. Originally it was the be 100 JSF, but now the JSF force will probably number around 72 aircraft and will be procured in three phases, with the first phase amounting to some 40 aircraft. Original JSF in-service date was to be 2012, being realistic events are out of the control of Australia and a definitive in-service date has yet to be set. Royal Australian Navy 6 11 16 7 12 1 NH Industries/ Australian Aerospace MRH-90 (on order, part of large purchase for both RAN and Army) Kaman SH-2G(A) Super Seasprite (The fate of the SH-2G(A) remains uncertain, this has been a very complex programme) Sikorsky S-70B-2 Seahawk AgustaWestland Sea King Mk 50/50A (to be replaced by MRH90) Eurocopter AS.350B Ecureuil Bombardier Learjet (leased, for training mission) Australian Army 32 Sikorsky S-70A Black Hawk DIRECTORY The first Boeing C-17 for the Royal Australian Air Force (RAAF) flies over Canberra in December. The RAAF is to receive one more C-17 by the middle of this year and the remaining two in 2008. (Photo: Defence, Australia) 6 2 20 40 25 42 2 3 Boeing CH-47D Eurocopter Tiger ARH (operational test & evaluation) Australian Aerospace/Eurocopter Tiger ARH (on order, operational 2008) Australian Aerospace/NH Industries MRH-90 (on order) Bell UH-1H (to be retired this year) Bell 206B-1 Kiowa DHC-6-300 Twin Otter (leased) Beech King Air 350 (leased) BANGLADESH Bangladesh Air Force 12 4 8 12 8 9 6 8 31 10 39 10 4 2 3 3 4 15 5 11 3 Chengdu F-7BG (delivered 2006) Chengdu FT-7BG (delivered 2006) RAC MiG MiG-29A/UB Chengdu F-7MG Chengdu FT-7 Hongdu A-5C (to be retired) Shenyang FT-6 (to be retired) Aero L-39ZA Cessna T-37B (ex-US and Pakistan Air Force) CM.170 Magister Nanchang CJ-6 PAC Mushshak Cessna 152 Cessna 337 Antonov An-26 Antonov An-32 Lockheed Martin C-130B Mil Mi-17/Mi-171 Mil Mi-17 (to be ordered) Bell 212 Bell 206L Note: The Bangladesh order for a new batch of F-7BG and FT-7BG was unexpected. There seems to be more money for defence, but that might not last in the current political climate. Bangladesh Navy 2 Beechcraft King Air 200 (MPA mission) Note: This fixed wing capability is a recent acquisition for the Bangladesh Navy, through a company in Singapore. There is still a plan to acquire a naval helicopter capability. BRUNEI Royal Brunei Air Force 4 1 5 1 Pilatus PC-7 Mk 2 PTDI (IAe) CN-235-110M Eurocopter BO105 with HOT ATGW Eurocopter BO105 4 2 10 2 Sikorsky S-70A Sikorsky S-70L VIP Bell 212 Bell 206B CAMBODIA Royal Cambodian Air Force 1 1 8 3 5 3 2 6 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 5 1 1 2 2 RAC MiG-21bis (IAI Modernised) RAC MiG-21UM (IAI Modernised) RAC MiG-21bis (lack of funding halted upgrade) RAC MiG-21 UM (lack of funding halted upgrade) Aero L-39 (IAI Modernised) Mil Mi-24 Mil Mi-8MT (others exist but unserviceable) Mil Mi-17 Mil Mi-26 Eurocopter AS.350B Ecureuil (VIP - under Council of Ministry) Eurocopter AS.365 Dauphin (VIP - under Council of Ministry) Beech 200 (VIP - under Council of Ministry) Cessna 402 (VIP - under Council of Ministry) Cessna 421 (VIP - under Council of Ministry) Dassault Falcon 20E (VIP - under Council of Ministry) Tecnam P92 Echo Antonov An-24RV Antonov An-26 Harbin Y-12 Britten-Norman BN-2A Islander Note: The VIP aircraft fleet was formerly under air force control but is now under central government control through the Council of Ministry. Current status of the force is limited due to lack of funding. CHINA People’s Liberation Army Air Force 100+ Xian H-6A/C/F/H 20+ Xian H-6U (tanker – now in production) 100 Harbin H-5/HJ-5/HZ-5/HD-5 (few of the standard version, trainer, reconnaissance version and HJ-5 ELINT version) 550 Hongdu Q-5 10+ Hongdu JQ-5J (new trainer version for Q-5 replacing JJ-6) 160+ Sukhoi Su-27SK/Su-27UBK/J-11B (upgrade programme likely soon) 90+ Sukhoi Su-27SK/UBK (J-11B/JJ-11) (on order from local production, with these aircraft having Chinese engines and other modifications) 73 Sukhoi Su-30MKK 72+ Chengdu J-10A/B (prototypes, evaluation unit at CFTE, and at least two Air Regiments ith the 44th and 3rd Air Divisions. Production rate is two per month) 200+ Shenyang J-8/J-8II 547 Chengdu J-7C/D/E/EB/G/JJ-7 (early J-7C/D models being retired) 8 Chengdu FC-1 (JF-17) (on order for evaluation) 100+ Shenyang J-6 (fleet being run down) 3 Tupolev Tu-154MD ELINT 7 Tupolev Tu-154M (transport use, most stored) 40 Xian Y-7 12 Xian Y-14 14 Ilyushin Il-76MD (transport, 30 more aircraft on order) 34 Ilyushin Il-76MD (on order, delivery delays) 4 Ilyushin Il-78 (tanker, on order – delivery delays) 1 Beriev A-5OM (Il-76) (was in Israel - now at CFTE, provided basis for KJ-2000 indienous AEW programme) 3+ KJ-2000 (Il-76 AEW conversion) 35+ Shaanxi Y-8 (transport, special versions include airborne command post, UAV carrier, EW aircraft, ELINT and an AEW version, the prototype of which crashed, with an ESA radar) 20+ Harbin Y-11/Y-12 298 Harbin Y-5 1 Boeing 767-332ER (VIP) 1 Boeing 737-300 (Airborne Command Post/ELINT) 2 Boeing 737-700 7 Boeing 737-300 5 Canadair CRJ200BLR 2 Canadair Challenger 601 50+ Nanchang K-8 100+ Shenyang JJ-5 (to be retired) 100+ Shenyang JJ-6 (to be retired) 1,200 Nanchang CJ-6 20+ Harbin Z-5 Note: The PLAAF recently unveiled the J-10 marking its official arrival as an in-service system. Rumours of progress on the J-14, potentially even a first flight in 2008, have surfaced. This will be the most advanced Chinese aircraft yet. There will be a decision on a new advanced jet trainer this year, with the Guizhou FTC-2000 and the Hongdu L15 as the contenders. Training is a major issue for PLAAF; the arrival of the Sukhoi Su-27 exposed the limitations in its pilot training with significant losses since the mid-1990s. This issue is gradually being dealt with. It is interesting to note that China acquired a single Su-27 from the Ukraine in 2004. The Su-27/J-11B fleet is to be upgraded, with a programme being negotiated with Russia, although indigenous systems will be integrated. Older combat aircraft are being retired, with some converted into target drones. In summary the quality of the PLAAF continues to improve at a dramatic rate. People’s Liberation Army Navy Aviation 20+ 90 5 70+ 12 50+ 200+ 16 20+ 23 100 10+ 3+ 10+ 10 20+ 24 6 25 15 3 Xian H-6A/D/F Harbin H-5/HJ-5/HZ-5/HD-5 Harbin SH-5 Shenyang J-8/J-8II Beriev Be-6 Chengdu J-7/JJ-7 Shenyang J-6 (force being rundown) Xian JH-7 Xian JH-7A (entered full service 2004) Sukhoi Su-30MK2 Hongdu Q-5 Xian Y-7 Shaanxi Y-8J (AEW conversion, with Skymaster radar) Shaanxi Y-8 (transport, ELINT, EW aircraft. Possibility of AEW version with Chinese ESA radar being acquired) Eurocopter SA.321 Super Frelon Changhe Z-8 (Chinese Super Frelon version) Harbin Y-5 Harbin Z-5 Harbin Z-9 Kamov Ka-28 (more on order) Sukhoi Su-33 (evaluation order in negotiation, there are thought to be options on 12 more, with up to 50 required. The Su-33 would be deployed from the Chinese aircraft carrier (ex-Varyag) being refurbished at Dalian) DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 19 DIRECTORY 32 140 58 6 95 40+ 52 14 One of the five Harbin SH-5 amphibians in service with PLAN Navy Aviation experiencing some significant ‘technical difficulties’. PLAN interest in amphibians could lead to an order for 15 Beriev Be-200 for the MPA mission. (Photo: S.K. Park) 15 40 20+ Beriev Be-200 (order under negotiation for ASW mission) Kamov Ka-29 (order under negotiation, utility helicopter potentially for deployment with new Type 071 LPD) Kamov Ka-31 (order under negotiation, radar picket and over the horizon targeting system) People’s Liberation Army - Army Aviation Corps 8 100+ 100+ 20 10+ 20+ 22 6 Eurocopter SA.342L Gazelle Harbin Y-5 Harbin Z-9 (including attack helicopter version) Changhe Z-11 Harbin HC-120 (40+ more required) Changhe Z-8A (Super Frelon) Sikorsky S-70C-II Black Hawk Eurocopter AS.322L Super Puma 150+ Mil Mi-8/Mi-17/Mi-17V-5/Mi-171 3 Mil Mi-6 6 Changhe WZ-10 (new attack helicopter in state testing, 6 prototypes flying Substantial numbers required) Note: PLA Army Aviation Corps also has a number of fixed wing Y-8 and Y-7 aircraft in service. Order for 24 Mil Mi-171 placed with Ulan-Ude in 2006. 28 60 49 25 6 120 27 36 INDIA 65 Indian Air Force 20 12 40 Sukhoi Su-30MKI-3 (on order, in exchange for the original 18 Su-30K) Sukhoi Su-30MKI-3 (second new batch recently agreed, contract yet to be signed) 11 66 100 140 32 80 3 6 2 2 3 6 24 100 6 4 60 2 3 25 56 73 80 The Indian Air Force is upgrading a total of 40 MiG-27M aircraft, with all upgraded aircraft due to have been delivered by the end of 2008. All remaining unmodified MiG-27 aircraft will be retired by 2010. (Photo: Simon Watson) 20 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 11 25 10 20+ Sukhoi Su-30MKI (being upgraded to latest MKI-3 version) Sukhoi Su-30MKI (built in India, production commenced in 2004, first 10 already built at HAL Nasik) RAC MiG-29 (upgrade in progress) RAC MiG-29UB (upgrade in progress) Sepecat/HAL Jaguar IS/IT/IM/B (includes July HAL delivery of nine Jaguar B aircraft. Upgrade planned for 40 existing aircraft to bring them to the new-build standard) Sepecat Jaguar IB/IS (new production/on order) Dassault Mirage 2000H/TH (includes delivery of 10 more Mirage 2000 H/TH aircraft from France. Fleet upgrade to take place,also interest in purchase of a minimum of 20 ex-French Air Force Mirage 2000) RAC MiG-27M (prototypes and first upgrade batch from HAL) RAC MiG-27M (second batch for upgrade, all to be delivered by end-2008) RAC MiG-27M (to be retired by 2010, unless upgrade programme extended) RAC MiG-23BN/UM (to be retired by 2010) RAC MiG-23MF/UM (to be retired by 2010) RAC MiG-23UM (ex-Ukraine for MiG-27 trainers) RAC MiG-21bis (MiG-21-93 upgrade, at least 3 lost) RAC MiG-21UM (acquired from Kyrgyzstan and the Ukraine) RAC MiG-21bis/U (potentially could get MiG-21-93 ‘Bison’ upgrade) RAC MiG-21M/UM/FL/U (to be retired by 2010) HAL Tejas (20 on order and 20 on option, actual delivery date and eventual entry into operational service is still uncertain) BAE Canberra B(I).58/T.54/PR.57/PR.67/TT.418 BAE Systems Hawk Mk132 (on order, first deliveries in September) HAL HPT-32 HAL Kiran 1/2 HAL HJT-36 Sitara (first batch of 16, including prototypes, second batch of 16 ordered in March 2006) Zenair STOL CH701 (air experience trainer) Gulfstream III Astra SPX Learjet 29 Boeing 707-320C Ilyushin Il-76MD (on order – for AEW conversion with Elta Phalcon system, deliveries start December 2007) Ilyushin Il-78MKI Ilyushin Il-76MD (being upgraded) Antonov An-32 (to be upgraded) Lockheed Martin C-130J (India has sent an RFI to the US on this and would also have options on 6 more. Aircraft will support Special Operations Forces) Embraer Legacy EMB-135BJ BAE 748 Boeing 737-200 (to be replaced by BBJ) Boeing 737-7H1 BBJ (on order, in delivery) Dornier 228 (HAL manufactured) Mil Mi-8P/T Mil Mi-17 Mil Mi-17 (on order from Kazan as Mi-8 replacement) Mil Mi-24 Mil Mi-35 (IAI Tamam upgrade) Mil Mi-26 HAL Dhruv ALH (more on order) DIRECTORY Note: The key issue for the IAF is its 126 aircraft MRCA requirement and upgrading existing assets such as the MiG-29 and MiG-27, to be followed by the Dassault Mirage 2000H/TH fleet. There is still interest in acquiring surplus Mirage 2000 aircraft from France. The An-32 transport fleet will eventually be replaced by the Irkut Multi-Role Transport Aircraft (MRTA) that is due to be built in association with HAL, in service date is set for 2015. India will also collaborate on the design of a 5th generation fighter with Russia. Indian Navy 12 4 16 4 2 11 8 16 24 3 8 5 27 6 32 RAC MiG-29K (on order, with 16 more on option, some sources suggest 30 aircraft on option) RAC MiG-29KUB (on order) BAE Sea Harrier FRS.51 BAE Harrier T.60 BAE Harrier T.4 HAL Kiran 1/2 HAL HPT-32 HAL HJT-36 Sitara (on order) CFM Shadow (microlight trainer) Britten-Norman BN-2T Defender Tupolev Tu-142M Ilyushin Il-38SD HAL Dornier 228 Sikorsky UH-3A Sea King (ex-USN, being refurbished for use with former USS Trenton) AgustaWestland Sea King Mk42B/42C (AgustaWestland contracted to bring seven back to operational service) 10 9 6 22 10+ Kamov Ka-28 Kamov Ka-31 (on order, most delivered) Kamov Ka-28/-31 (on order – Gorshkov/Vikramaditya package) HAL Chetak HAL Dhruv (more on order) Note: The Indian Navy has a requirement for 16 ASW helicopters to replace the Sea King Mk42 fleet in that role. There is also a programme for 8 MPA aircraft, likely to attract bids from Boeing, Lockheed Martin, IAI, Airbus and Ilyushin. Indian Army Aviation Corps 12 60 115 20 20+ HAL Lancer HAL Chetak HAL Cheetah HAL Dhruv Light Combat Helicopter (on order, attack helicopter with Nexter THL 20 turret with 20 mm cannon and MBDA Mistral ATAM air-to-air missile system) HAL Dhruv (more on order) Note: Army Aviation is receiving new priority in India. The Light Utility Helicopter requirement for 197 helicopters is on the verge of being settled, with the Bell 407ARH seemingly favoured over Eurocopter. Requirement for fixed wing transport aircraft and a new utility helicopter. INDONESIA Indonesian Air Force (TNI-AU) 2 2 3 3 27 11 5 7 3 9 2 1 6 3 20 3 30 4 3 6 1 31 5 7 Sukhoi Su-27SKM Sukhoi Su-30MK Sukhoi Su-27SMK (order to be finalised) Sukhoi Su-30MK (order to be finalised) BAE Hawk Mk209 BAE Hawk Mk1O9 BAE Hawk Mk 53 Lockheed Martin F-16A Block 15 OCU (only 4 of F-16A/B flyable) Lockheed Martin F-16B Block 15 OCU Northrop Grumman F-5E Northrop Grumman F-5F Northrop Grumman F-5E (in reserve, received in 2006 from US after being embargoed) Rockwell OV-1OF Bronco (not all serviceable) Boeing 737-2X9 Surveiller Lockheed Martin C-130B/KC-130B/C-130H/C-130H-30 (ST Aero have contract for MRO for 6 TNI-AU C-130 to return them to service, currently only 6 flying) Lockheed Martin L-100(unlikely more than 1 serviceable) Boeing 737 (ex-Merpati 737-200 arrived in 2005) Transall C-160P Transall C-160NG BAE Systems 146 Series 100 (VIP aircraft) PTDI (IAe) CN-235M PTDI (IAe) NC-212M-200 Fokker F-27-400M DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 21 DIRECTORY 3 1 10 5 2 28 17 12 19 2 2 2 10 11 11 8 12 5 10 8 Fokker F-28-1000 Shorts Skyvan 3M PTDI (IAe) NC-212 Aviocar Cessna 401 Cessna 402 AS-202 Bravo Beech T-34C KAI KT-1 SIAI Marchetti SF.260W (transferred from Singapore) Cessna T-41D Cessna 172 Piper PA-34 PTDI (IAe) AS.330/L Puma (1 helicopter upgraded in France) PTDI (IAe) NAS.322 Super Puma PTDI (IAe) NBO-105 Sikorsky S-58T Hughes 500 Bell 204B Eurocopter EC-120B Colibri Bell 47G (to be replaced) Note: The key issue is getting the majority of the air force inventory back to flight status, which has proved difficult although money is now becoming available for this purpose. The orders for the Sukhoi aircraft ought to be resolved by the end of this year and further business could result, depending on the attitude of Russia to extending more soft loans. Indonesian Navy (TNI-AL) 12 23 10 8 11 4 3 7 14 GAF Nomad N.24 GAF Nomad N.22 PTDI (IAe) NAS.322L Super Puma PTDI (IAe) NAS.322 Super Puma (on order) PTDI (IAe) NBO-105 (1 more on order) PTDI (IAe) NB-412S (1 more on order) Eurocopter EC-120B Colibri (on order) Mil Mi-17 (some delivered/on order) Mil Mi-2 (2 delivered and not used, order in dispute) 3 6 11 8 2 6 4 2 4 7 3 5 PTDI (IAe) CN-235-220 MPA (on order, delivery this year) PTDI (IAe) CN-235 PTDI (IAe) NC-212 PTDI (IAe) NC-212MPA (1 more aircraft being built) DHC-5D Buffalo Piper PA-38 Tomahawk Rockwell Commander 100 Beech F-33A Bonanza PZL Mielec M-28.05 PZL Mielec M-28B-1RI (MPA aircraft on order) PZL Mielec M-28B-1TDI (on order – transport) EADS Socata Tobago GT Indonesian Army (TNI-AD) 2 5 9 5 28 14 17 6 3 1 2 2 18 Mil Mi-35P MilMi-35P (order to be finalised, in Sukhoi package) Mil Mi-17V-5 (order to finalised, in Sukhoi package) Bell 205A-1 PTDI (IAe) NB-412SP PTDI (IAe) NBO-105 (2 more on order) Hughes 300C PTDI (IAe) NC.212M-200 (1 more on order) DHC-5D Buffalo Britten-Norman BN-2A Islander Cessna 310 Rockwell Commander 680 PZL Wilga 32 JAPAN Japan Air Self Defense Force 60 Mitsubishi F-2A/B (60 in service out of 81 on order, with an additional 8 due to be ordered under the 2007 budget. The original requirement was for 130 F-2A/B and its seems unlikely that this will be met) 210 91 27 13 4 4 5 208 25 59 13 27 16 13 2 25 4 1 3 15 10 31 Mitsubishi F-l5J/DJ (80 to be upgraded, 2 upgrades in 2006 budget) Mitsubishi F-4EJ Mitsubishi RF-4EJ Northrop Grumman E-2C Hawkeye Boeing E-767 Boeing K-767 (tanker – 1 to be delivered February, rest on order) Gulfstream U-4 Kawasaki T-4 Fuji T-3 (to be upgraded) Fuji T-7 (first 23 received, 3 more ordered in 2006 budget) Raytheon T-400 Kawasaki C-1/EC-1 Lockheed Martin C-130H Hercules NAMC YS-11P/PC/NT/FC Boeing 747-47C Raytheon U-125/125A (1 more ordered in 2006 budget, 1 more ordered in 2007 budget) Mitsubishi Mu-2J/S Eurocopter EC225 (2 more on order to be delivered in 2008, for Royal Flight) Eurocopter AS.332L (to be retired) Kawasaki Boeing CH-47J Chinook (1 more on order in 2006 budget 1 more ordered in 2007 budget) Kawasaki KV-107 (being withdrawn) Mitsubishi UH-60J Black Hawk (2 more ordered in 2006 budget, 2 more ordered in 2007 budget) Note: The C-1 transport is to be replaced by the Kawasaki C-X, with the prototype to be delivered in 2008 and the anticipated in-service date for the new aircraft is 2011, with more than 30 aircraft required. The F-X requirement covers a replacement for the F-4EJ, with 40+ aircraft required. A selection was expected this year, but now a 2009 date is being discussed. Past and present in the Japan Air Self Defense Force (JASDF), an F-2A accompanied by two F-4EJ Phantoms. There are 60 F-2A/B in service with more on order. The F-4EJ is to be replaced by the eventual winner of the F-X programme. (Photo: JASDF) 22 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA DIRECTORY The Republic of Korea Air Force (ROKAF) now has 17 Boeing F-15K in service, with another aircraft lost in a crash. Across this year and next Boeing will deliver 22 more F-15K aircraft to ROKAF. (Photo: Boeing) Japan Maritime Self Defense Force 98 5 1 3 1 6 4 8 34 34 36 4 10 11 3 3 39 95 3+ 12 8 Kawasaki P-3C Orion Kawasaki EP-3C Orion Kawasaki OP-3C Kawasaki OP-3D Kawasaki UP-3C Shin Maywa US-1A Shin Maywa US-2 (in testing/on order) NAMC YS-11M/T/A Beechcraft King Air LC/TC-90 (2 more ordered in 2007 budget) Fuji T-5 (1 more in 2006 budget, 4 more in 2007 budget) Fuji KM-2D Kai Learjet U-36A Sikorsky MH-53E (to be replaced - see below) AgustaWestland MCH101 (1st aircraft built in UK, Kawasaki will build the rest. On order) AgustaWestland CH101 (Antarctic support helicopter – to be delivered) Sikorsky S-61A Sikorsky HSS-2B Sea King Mitsubishi SH/UH-60J Mitsubishi SH-60K (36 required, 8 more ordered in 2006/2007 budget) Kawasaki OH-6D Kawasaki OH-6DA Note: Kawasaki are due to deliver the P-X prototype in 2008, this will replace the P-3 in JMSDF service with 80 aircraft required from 2011 onwards. Japan Ground Self Defense Force 10 16 5 10 76 56 Boeing AH-64DJP Apache (on order to be built by Fuji. First 2 handed over by Boeing to Fuji and delivered. In total 55 required, but this number is becoming doubtful. 1 ordered in 2006 budget and 1 in 2007 budget) Mitsubishi LR-1 Beechcraft King Air LR-2 Kawasaki XOH/OH-1 (2 ordered in 2006 and 2 in 2007 budget) Bell AH-1F/S Cobra Kawasaki CH-47J Chinook (1 more ordered in 2006 and 1 more in 2007 budget) 20 3 142 150 Mitsubishi UH-60J Black Hawk (in delivery. 1 more ordered in 2006 and 1 more in 2007 budget) Eurocopter AS322L Super Puma Fuji Bell UH-1H/J (4 more ordered in 2006 budget and 16 in 2007 budget) Kawasaki OH-6 (to be retired as OH- 1 becomes available) KOREA (DPRK) Korean People’s Air Force 25 5 10 45 110 30 40 100+ 18 34 2 80 10 35 160 250 2 6 2 4 4 3 70 24+ 20 10 130 48 RAC MiG-29A RAC MiG-29B RAC MiG-29 (built from Russian parts) RAC MiG-23ML/U RAC MiG-21PF/PFMA/Chengdu J-7 RAC MiG-21 (ex-Kazakhstan) Hongdu A-5 Shenyang F-6 Sukhoi Su-7BMK Sukhoi Su-25 Sukhoi Su-25 UBK Harbin H-5 RAC MiG-21U Shenyang FT-2 CJ-5/CJ-6/Yak-18 Y-5 (An-2) Ilyushin Il-18 Antonov An-24 Tupolev Tu-134 Tupolev Tu-154M Ilyushin Il-62M Ilyushin Il-76MD Hughes 500 Mil Mi-24 Mil Mi-8 Mil Mi-14 Mil Mi-2 Harbin Z-5 (Mi-4) Note: The KPAF does have real issues in obtaining spare parts for its fleet and fuel for training. However, the real status of the KPAF is shrouded by numerous ‘unknown unknowns’, we can only assume that they are capable of an operational surge if required and have fuel, spares and munitions for this purpose. KOREA (ROK) Republic of Korea Air Force (ROKAF) 17 28 9 93 45 109 18 117 47 15 25 24 4 23 20 50 30 17 2 85 20 10 10 23 4 4 12 8 10 2 1 3 3 2 6 3 7 5 Boeing F-l5K Slam Eagle (1 aircraft lost, remaining 22 to be delivered across this year and into next) Lockheed Martin F-16C Block 32 Lockheed Martin F-16D Block 32 Lockheed Martin/KAI KF-16C Block 52D Lockheed Martin/KAI KF-16D Block 52D McDonnell Douglas F-4D/E Phantom McDonnell Douglas RF-4C Phantom Northrop Grumman F-5E Northrop Grumman F-5F Northrop Grumman F-5A Northrop Grumman F-5B Cessna A-37B Boeing 737AEW (won EX competition, first deliveries 2011) Cessna T-37C KAI T-5O Golden Eagle (8 delivered, 12 in build) KAI T-50 Golden Eagle (on order, second batch) Northrop Grumman T-38 (leased from USAF) BAE Hawk Mk 67 Mudry CAP 10 KAI KT-1 (KTX-1) KAI KO-1 (on order) Cessna 0-2A Cessna 0-1 Ilyushin Il-103 (19 on option) Hawker 800RA (surveillance aircraft) Hawker 800SIG (SIGINT aircraft) EADS CASA CN.235M PTDI (IAe) CN.235-220M Lockheed Martin C-130H/H-30 BAE 748 Boeing 737-300 Rockwell Commander 520/560 Sikorsky S-92 (on order, VIP helicopter) Eurocopter AS.332L Super Puma Sikorsky UH-60P Bell 412 Bell 212 Bell UH-1H DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 23 DIRECTORY Mongolia has one of the forgotten air forces in Asia. Although most of its combat assets are stored, these MiG-21s and the Mil Mi-24 are still available if required. (Photo: S.K. Park) 7 Kamov Ka-32 (CSAR mission, upgraded with IAI Lahav avionics) Note: ROKAF has a requirement for a ‘next generation fighter jet’ to be decided by 2009, 20 aircraft are required and more F-15K is the logical choice although recently reference was made to inviting Eurofighter and Rafale to bid. For the future the main issue is the KF-X, an indigenous programme to replace the KF-16C/D. The planned KF-X in-service date is 2018, with 40 aircraft required. Republic of Korea Navy (ROKN) 8 8 24 12 15 25 9 2 5 Lockheed Martin P-3C Update III Lockheed Martin P-3B (to be upgraded by KAI & L3, in-service date is December 2007) AgustaWestland Super Lynx/Mk 99 Sikorsky UH-60P (transferred from ROKAF) Northrop Grumman S-2 Tracker McDonnell Douglas MDC 500 Eurocopter SA.316 Alouette III Bell 206 Reims Cessna F406 Caravan II Note: The ROKN is working on a programme to acquire up 24 helicopters in the NH90/S-70 class for use from the new Dokdo class LPD in a utility role and from the future KFX frigates in an ASW role. Republic of Korea Army (ROKA) 245 50+ 18 80 20 10 168 50+ 10 KAI KHP (in development. KAI and prime industrial partner Eurocopter will be working on the Korea Helicopter Programme) Bell AH-1 Boeing CH-47D Chinook Sikorsky UH-60P Bell UH-1S Eurocopter BO-105CBS-5 McDonnell Douglas 500MD McDonnell Douglas 500MD/TOW Cessna 0-1 LAOS Lao People’s Liberation Army Air Force 29 12 9 1 6 RAC MiG-21 bis/PFM/UM (most considered beyond economic repair, but HAL has won a maintenance contract and presumably the aim must be to get at least a flyable squadron. At least 17 aircraft are in open storage) Mil Mi-17 Mil Mi-8C Mil Mi-6 Kamov Ka-32T 24 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 10 5 2 1 Antonov An-2 Antonov An-24V/RV/Xian Y-7-100 (some in store) Antonov An-26 Yak-40 any C-130 upgrade activity for the moment. The acquisition of more PC-7 Mk II trainers and the MB-339CM shows that the pilot shortage is being tackled, but not soon enough as the future grounding of the MiG-29N/NUB fleet demonstrates. Royal Malaysian Navy MALAYSIA Royal Malaysian Air Force 18 8 14 2 11 3 2 13 5 8 8 40 10 4 5 2 2 2 5 3 1 1 2 6 10 4 1 1 9 3 2 26 2 Sukhoi Su-30MKM (on order, first deliveries this year) Boeing F/A-18D Hornet RAC MiG-29N (MiG-29N/NUB fleet to be grounded to provide crew for the new Sukhoi Su-30MKM fleet) RAC MiG-29UB Northrop Grumman F-5E (probably only 4 flyable) Northrop Grumman F-5F (single unit prototype upgrade) Northrop Grumman RF-5E BAE Hawk 208 BAE Hawk 108 Aermacchi MB339 Aermacchi MB-339CM (on order, delivery from November 2008) Pilatus PC-7/PC-7 MkII Pilatus PC-7 MkII (on order) Airbus Military A400M (on order, first two to be delivered in 2013, second two in 2014) Lockheed Martin C-130H (3 had minor upgrade by Airod) Lockheed Martin C-130H tankers Lockheed Martin C-130H (converted to tanker) Lockheed Martin C-130H (stretched to C-130H-30) Lockheed Martin C-130H-30 Lockheed Martin C-130H-MP Boeing 737-7H6 Boeing Business Jet (VIP) Airbus A319-115X (VIP) PTDI (IAe) CN-235 (VIP aircraft) PTDI (IAe) CN-235-220 DHC-4A Caribou (to be retired) Beech King Air 200 MPA (2 being upgrade by Airod with Thales mission equipment) Dassault Falcon 900 Bombardier CRJ700 Cessna 402B PTDI (IAe) NAS.322M Super Puma Sikorsky S-70A VIP Sikorsky S-61A-4 Nuri (6 to receive autohover system) Mil Mi-17 (military operated but used to support fire fighters) Note: The decision to order the A400M has effectively halted 6 6 AgustaWestland Super Lynx Series 300 Eurocopter AS.555N Fennec Note: The decision to acquire two more frigates opens the way to the procurement of more helicopters, either six more Super Lynx or a different larger type. Army Aviation 8 11 2 SA-316B Alouette III (being withdrawn) AugustaWestland A 109LOH Eurocopter EC-120 MONGOLIA Mongolian Air Force 36 2 4 3 10 4 12 3 11 12 RAC MiG-21 PFM (some operational, some stored and most scrapped) RAC MiG-21UM (stored) Antonov An-24 Antonov An-26 Antonov An-2 Harbin Y-12 Yak-18 PZL-104 Wilga Mil Mi-24 (some stored) Mil Mi-8 MYANMAR Myanmar Air Force 10 2 21 8 21 5 12 15 7 4 1 3 2 7 1 RAC MiG-29C RAC MiG-29UB Chengdu F-7 Guizhou FT-7 Hongdu A-5C Soko Super Galeb (now back in service, after repair and upgrade by Serbian technicians) Karakoram K-8 Pilatus PC-9 Pilatus PC-7 Shaanxi Y-8D Fokker F-27 Fairchild FH.227 CASA C.212 Aviocar Pilatus PC-6B Cessna Citation II DIRECTORY 6 2 11 12 12 15 8 Cessna 180 Britten-Norman BN-2B Defender (ex-Indian Navy, delivered August 2006) Mil Mi-17B/Mi-8 Bell 205A-1 PZL W-3 Sokol PZL Mi-2US/URN Eurocopter SA-316B Alouette III 2 5 8 14 5 Boeing 757-2K2 (ST Aerospace to provide cargo door in upgrade/modification programme) Beech King Air 200 (leased – lease expires 2008) NH Industries NH90 (on order, to be in service by 2010) Bell UH-1H (to be retired once NH90 arrives) Bell 47GB-2 (replacement to be selected this year) Note: Next major programme is selection of Bell 47GB-2 replacement to be available from 2008. Note: It is believed that another order will or has been placed for more MiG-29 aircraft. India is in discussions of the supply of HAL Dhruv helicopters. Royal New Zealand Navy NEPAL PAKISTAN Royal Nepalese Army Air Wing 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 BAE HS748-2A (grounded) Shorts Skyvan 3M-400 PZL Mielec M28 Skytruck Xian MA-60 (on order, VIP aircraft) Britten-Norman BN-2 Islander (British donation) Eurocopter SA330C/SA330G Puma Eurocopter AS350BS Ecureuil Bell 206L HAL Chetak Mil Mi-17H HAL Dhruv ALH 5 Pakistan Air Force 4 8 8 134 36 NEW ZEALAND 12 Royal New Zealand Air Force (RNZAF) 6 24 13 6 5 PAC CT-4E Airtrainer (leased) Lockheed Martin P-3K (being upgraded by L3 as prime) Lockheed Martin C-130H (to be upgraded by L-3 Spar) Kaman SH-2G(NZ) Super Seasprite 10 Chengdu JF-17 Thunder (to be delivered in March) Chengdu JF-17 Thunder (second batch from China on order) Chengdu/PAC JF-17 Thunder (first batch to be assembled by PAC at Kamra) Chengdu/PAC JF-17 Thunder (full requirement, will be built assembled at PAC Kamra, production rate to be 20 aircraft per year with prodctiontion starting in early 2008) Chengdu J-10A/B (order to be finalised will be designated FC-20A/B by the PAF) Lockheed Martin F-16C Block 52 (on order, 18 more F-16C/D on option) Lockheed Martin F-16D Block 52 (on order) Lockheed Martin F-16A Block 15/Block 15OCU (to be upgraded to MLU configuration) Lockheed Martin F-16B Block 15 (to be upgraded to MLU configuration) 34 6 78 106 75 55 9 47 25 15 20 63 20+ 12 6 3 5 4 6 1 2 4 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 4 Dassault Mirage 5F (Sagem modernised) Dassault Mirage IIIBE (Sagem modernised) Dassault Mirage IIIEP/O/RP/DP/EL/BL (some PAC modernised, some broken up for spares) Dassault Mirage 5PADPA/PA2/DPA2/DD/DE/DR (includes ex-Libyan aircraft, many broken up for spares) Chengdu F-7P/FT-7P (some being upgraded with Fiar Grifo-7 radar) Chengdu F-7PG Chengdu FT-7PG Hongdu A-5 Shenyang FT-5 Shenyang FT-6 Cessna T-37B PAC Mushshak PAC Super Mushshak (in delivery) Karakoram K-8 Saab 2000/Erieye AEW (009 delivery) Boeing 707-320 Lockheed Martin C-130B Lockheed Martin C-130E Lockheed Martin C-130E (U.S. surplus stocks. Contract also includes a C-130H airframe acquired for spares) Lockheed Martin L-100 Fokker F-27-200 PTDI (IAe) CN-235-220 (1 is a VIP aircraft) Gulfstream IV-P (VIP aircraft) Harbin Y-12 (2 more on order) Dassault Falcon 20 (ELINT/ECM fit) Rockwell Commander 680 Beech Super King Air Beech Bonanza Piper PA-34 Seneca Cessna 172 N We made some improvements. At Saab Avitronics, all that we do strives towards the same goal – that is improving performance, your performance. Our systems are designed to provide the freedom to act and to ensure mission success even under the most severe conditions.That is why they have been the choice for a number of combat and transport aircraft, helicopters, combat vehicles, surface vessels and submarines worldwide. Our Electronic Warfare product range includes jammers, ELINT/ESM systems and stand-alone or fully integrated self protection systems with radar, laser and missile approach warning functions and world renowned countermeasures dispensing systems. We are equally focused on developing avionics for military and commercial aircraft that will increase your efficiency. These products range from safetycritical utility and control systems to systems for reconnaissance, recording and health and usage monitoring (HUMS). SAAB AVITRONICS www.saabgroup.com DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 25 DIRECTORY 1 12 8 5+ 16 4 Eurocopter SA.330J Puma Eurocopter Alouette III Eurocopter SA.315B Lama Mil Mi-35 (up to 10 supposed to have been received in 2004, no firm data available) Mil Mi-17-V (report of 12 heicopters on order with Ulan-Ude) Mil Mi-171Sh (CSAR mission) Note: The long awaited F-16 order has now happened, with 18 F-16C/D on order and 18 more on option, the US package also includes an enormous selection of air weapons. A Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) was signed with Tusas of Turkey towards the MLU upgrade of the F-16A/B fleet, more F-16A/Bs are likely to be acquired from surplus stocks. Pakistan also signed an MoU in November 2006 with China on the development of a new Airborne Early Warning and Control System (AWACS) aircraft, possibly based on the Y-8 aircraft. The JF-17 programme is moving ahead, but China will be putting pressure on Russia to safeguard the supply of engines, something India has been trying to block. Recently there has been press comment out of India that Russia had agreed not to supply RD-93 engines for the JF-17 aircraft destined for Pakistan, this might force China to re-engine the aircraft with the indigenous WS-13 engine. There has also been interest in the acquisition of tanker aircraft, with up to four Il-78 aircraft being mentioned, though how these tankers would be acquired was not specified. Pakistan Navy 3 2 8 3 5 2 2 6 3 6 12 Lockheed Martin P-3C Orion AEW (DSCA offer valued at $855 million AEW system would be from Northrop Grumman Hawkeye 2000) Lockheed Martin P-3C Update II.5 Orion (aircraft returned to full flight status by OGMA of Portugal) Lockheed Martin P-3C (US surplus, first aircraft delivered) Dassault Atlantic 1 Fokker F-27-200/-400 Harbin Y-12 (2 more on order) Britten-Norman BN-2T Defender AgustaWestland Sea King 45 AgustaWestland Lynx HAS.3 (grounded) Harbin Z-9EC (on order with F22P frigates from China) Eurocopter Alouette III (8 additional examples recieved from French surplus stocks) Pakistan Army 40 96 2 1 2 20 20 27 10 10 25 40 10 32 20 13 10 12 10 Cessna O-1 PAC Mushshak Rockwell Aero Commander 840 Cessna 421 Harbin Y-12 (4 more on order) Bell AH-1S Cobra (to be upgraded) Bell AH-1S (US surplus – to be confirmed) Mil Mi-17 Mil Mi-8 Bell UH-1H Bell 412EP Bell 407 (US aid - to be confirmed) Bell 206 Eurocopter SA.330J Puma Eurocopter Alouette III Eurocopter SA.315 Lama Eurocopter AS.350B3 Fennec Bell 47G Schweitzer 300 PHILIPPINES Philippine Air Force 19 15 19 15 5 1 3 1 10 4 1 2 10 2 2 9 11 1 Rockwell OV-1OA Bronco (2 aircraft upgraded, 8 V-10C donated by Thailand, rest of fleet not flyable) SIAI Marchetti S211 (4 flying, ore being returned to service status) SIAI Marchetti SF.260M/W SIAI Marchetti SF.260TP Cessna T-41D Fokker RF-27 MPA Fokker F-27 (now returned to service after repair) Fokker F-28 Lockheed Martin C-130B/H/L100-20 (1 refurbished aircraft received, only 3 others operational, C-130B cannibalised) Lockheed Martin C-130K (ex-RAF) Lockheed Martin C-130 (ex-US) Lockheed Martin C-130 (on order – ex-US) GAF Nomad (most not flying) Cessna 172 Britten-Norman BN-2 Islander (donation from ROK) Sikorsky S-76 McDonnell Douglas Helicopters 520MG Eurocopter SA330 1 4 29 44 10 20 2 Sikorsky S-70A-5 Bell 412 Bell UH-1H/205A-1 (less than 17 airworthy) Bell UH-1H (US surplus) Bell UH-1H (to be ordered from US this year) Bell UH-1H (refurbished in Singapore and delivered, PAF wants 5 more) Bell UH-1H Huey II (First Huey II upgrade flew in February 2004) Note: The capabilities of the PAF are improving gradually, more money is available and US Excess Defense Articles (EDA) surplus has been delivered. There is now an Armed Forces Capability Upgrade programme, initially this will see the acquisition of 6 attack helicopters. The pre-bidding conference is due on February 8 and a decision will be made this year. The second phase of the upgrade programme calls for the acquisition of 6 more attack helicopters, 17 more UH-1H, 18 primary trainers and 8 basic trainers. Philippine Navy 5 1 1 7 Eurocopter BO105 (3 grounded) Cessna 177 Cessna 152 Britten-Norman BN-2A/B Islander Philippine Army 1 1 1 1 Beech Queen Air Cessna 170 Cessna 172N Cessna 150 SINGAPORE Republic of Singapore Air Force (RSAF) 12 20 40 36 7 6 18 Boeing F-15SG (on order, deliveries commence in 2008 and complete in 2009. There are 8 more F-15SG aircraft on option) Lockheed Martin F-16C Block 52 Lockheed Martin F-16D Block 52 ST Aero/Northrop Grumman F-5S ST Aero/Northrop Grumman F-5T ST Aero/Northrop Grumman RF-5S McDonnell Douglas A-4SU/TA-4SU (rest of fleet withdrawn, the 18 that remain are a training detachment The Republic of Singapore Air Force (RSAF) upgraded its F-5E/F fleet to the F-5S/T configuration. This RSAF F-5S of 149 Squadron was participating in the multinational Pitch Black air exercise in Australia in 2006. (Photo: Defence, Australia) 26 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA DIRECTORY An RSAF F-16C participating in an exercise in Australia in 2006. The RSAF will soon have to resolve its plans regarding the acquisition of the JSF. (Photo: Defence, Australia) 27 19 4 5 4 2 2 5 1 4 20 6 10 5 13 5 5 at Cazaux in Frances 150 Squadron, RSAF) SIAI Marchetti S211 (to be replaced) Pilatus PC-21 (on order. S-211 replacement, part of 20 year ‘Basic Wings’ pilot training contract won by Lockheed Martin) Northrop Grumman E-2C Block 0 (to remain in service until 2011) Fokker 50 MPA (1 is an ELINT platform) Fokker 50 Lockheed Martin C-130B Lockheed Martin KC-130B Lockheed Martin C-130H Lockheed Martin KC-130H Boeing KC-135R Boeing AH-64D Apache Boeing CH-47D (3 in U.S.) Boeing CH-47SD Eurocopter AS.332B Super Puma Eurocopter AS.332M Super Puma Bell UH-1H (rest of fleet withdrawn, the 5 that remain are based in Brunei to support SAF training) Eurocopter EC-120 Colibri (will be used as a training helicopter for the RSAF under a Private Finance Initiative (PFI) contract run by Singapore Technolo gies Aerospace, with the contract running for 20 years) Note: The RSAF is working on an advanced jet trainer programme, with progress on defining candidates expected this year. The decision on taking up the F-15SG on option has yet to be taken, though timing could be influenced by the fate of the potential F-15K second batch for Korea. Intentions towards the JSF programme and timings should become clearer this year as well. 1 4 3 1 2 5 5 3 1 1 1 3 2 6 4 2 7 3 11 4 Note: The decline of the security situation in Sri Lanka has seen the SLAF receive more funding, hence the 4 more MiG-27M and the overhaul of the existing MiG-27/MiG-23UM fleet. Pakistan is helping to bring certain systems back to operational status. TAIWAN Republic of China Air Force 47 10 129 Republic of Singapore Navy 6 Sikorsky S-70B (on order, delivery 2008-2010. Options on 2 more helicopters were allowed to lapse) 26 111 SRI LANKA 26 10 Sri Lanka Air Force 66 6 2 2 3 IAI Kfir C-2 IAI Kfir C-7 IAI Kfir TC.2 RAC MiG-27M (to be overhauled in Ukraine) RAC MiG-23UB (to be overhauled in Ukraine) RAC MiG-27M (delivered from Ukraine) Chengdu F-7BS Guizhou FT-7 Guizhou FT-5 (upgraded in Pakistan) SIAI Marchetti SF.260TP SIAI Marchetti SF.260W Hongdu K-8 Cessna 150 Cessna 421 Beech 200 King Air (ELINT) Lockheed Martin C-130K/C.1 (ex-RAF) Antonov An-32B Harbin Y-12 (3 for spares) Mil Mi-35P Mil Mi-24V Mil Mi-17 Bell 206 Bell 212 Bell 412 198 Dassault Mirage 2000-5Ei Dassault Mirage 2000-5Di AIDC Ching Guo F-CK-1A (AIDC has proposed an upgrade to the F-CK-1A/B force to the new F-CK-1C/D configurationtion – funding awaited) AIDC Ching Guo F-CK-1B Lockheed Martin F-16A Block 20 (14 F-16A/B in U.S. for pilot training at Luke AFB) Lockheed Martin F-16B Block 20 Lockheed Martin F-16A Block 20 (conversion to RF-16A configuration) Lockheed Martin F-16C/D (ROC MND has made a request to the US to acquire these aircraft, but has been rebuffed for the moment) Northrop Grumman F-5E (numbers being withdrawn & stored) 49 7 39 53 4 2 19 1 3 11 1 3 9 4 4 Northrop Grumman F-5F ST Aero/Northrop Grumman RF-5E (to be replaced) Beech T-34C AIDC AT-3 Northrop Grumman E-2T Group 2 Northrop Grumman E-2K Hawkeye 2000 Lockheed Martin C-130H Lockheed C-130HE (ELINT aircraft) Fokker 50 Beech 1900C (UC-25) Boeing 737-8AR (upgraded with winglets) Sikorsky S-92 (on order for SAR mission, delivery this year) Sikorsky S-70C-1A Sikorsky S-70C-1 Sikorsky S-70C-6 (SAR) Republic of China Navy 26 12 9 9 9 Grumman S-2T Tracker (difficult to maintain, availability rate not higher than 40%) Lockheed Martin P-3C Orion (order is on the verge of going ahead, assuming that there is not another change of heart in the legislature) Sikorsky S-70CM-2 Sikorsky S-70CM-1 MDC 500MD/ASW Republic of China Army 62 38 9 71 29 Bell AH-1W Super Cobra Bell OH-58D Kiowa Warrior Boeing CH-47SD Chinook Bell UH-1H Bell TH-67 THAILAND Royal Thai Air Force (RTAF) 28 14 15 Lockheed Martin F-16A Block 15OCU (structural upgrade to go ahead later this year for F-16A/B Block 15 OCU fleet) Lockheed Martin F-16B Block 15OCU Lockheed Martin F-16A Block 15ADF (Peace Naresuan IV) DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 27 DIRECTORY A C-130H Hercules of the Royal Thai Air Force (RTAF) at Darwin during the Pitch Black 2006 exercise. The RTAF is to upgrade six C-130H aircraft in a programme led by Rockwell Collins and Thai Aviation Industries. (Photo: Defence, Australia) 1 34 3 2 25 19 19 18 21 6 3 16 7 5 6 4 8 6 4 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 1 2 8 6 18 Lockheed Martin F-16B Block 15ADF (Peace Naresuan IV) Northrop Grumman F-5E (being upgraded) Northrop Grumman F-5F (being upgraded) Northrop Grumman F-5B (F-5A fleet retired) Aero L-39ZA (refurbished by Aero Vodochody, last aircraft delivered 29th September 2005. Non-refubished aircraft are in store Alpha Jet (ex-Luftwaffe, all said to be airworthy) Pilatus PC-9 NZAI CT-4A/B Airtrainer NZAI CT-4E Airtrainer Cessna T-41 D Cessna 150H Fairchild AU-23 Lockheed Martin C-130H (6 C-130H to be upgraded by Rockwell Collins and Thai Aviation Industries in Thailand, due for completion by 2009. To be followed by second batch of 6 C-130H) Lockheed Martin C-130H-30 Alenia G222 (3 non-flying) PTDI (IAe) CN-235 (on order) Basler Turbo 67 BAE 748-208 (due for retirement, 3 recently overhauled) GAF N-22B Nomad Airbus A310-300 Airbus A319-115X Airbus Corporate Jetliner Boeing 737-3Z6 Boeing 737-4Z6 Boeing 737-448 Boeing 737-800 IAI Arava (ELINT) Learjet 35A Bell 412HP Bell 412EP Bell 206B-3 Bell UH-1H Note: The September 19th 2006 military coup has put plans to buy a new fighter out of reach for the RTAF for the foreseeable future. Military expenditure and force development plans put forward by the Thaksin government have now been discarded. There can be no doubt that the aviation assets of all three Thai services are in need of major expenditure to bring them back to flying status. 28 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA Royal Thai Navy 14 14 7 2 2 1 3 2 7 2 7 2 10 4 2 7 5 4 6 2 6 6 LTV A-7E Corsair II (not flyable) LTV TA-7E Corsair II (not flyable) McDonnell Douglas AV-8(S) (most not flyable) McDonnell Douglas TAV-8A(S) (flying, but not often) Lockheed Martin P-3A Lockheed Martin UP-3T Fokker F27-200ME (MPA) Fokker F27-400M Dornier 228-212 Canadair CL-215-111 Grumman U/S-2C/F GAF N-24 Searchmaster L (3 others in store) Summit Sentry 02-337 Cessna U-17B AgustaWestland Super Lynx Series 300 Bell 212 Bell 214ST Bell UH-1H (stored at U-Tapao) Sikorsky S-70B-7 Seahawk Sikorsky UH-60L (DSCA advisory July 2005) Sikorsky S-76N Sikorsky MH-60S (DSCA advisory, April 2006) Note: The A-7 fleet is grounded and is out of service. The TAV-8S still flies, but spares shortages restrict AV-8(S) availability. The RTN needs to acquire more spares and refurbish existing aircraft and helicopter assets. Royal Thai Army 5 2 3 50 30 66 18 7 4 6 45 2 2 2 2 60 9 Sikorsky UH-60L Sikorsky S-70A-50 Bell AH-1F Bell 212 Bell UH-1H (refurbished from US) Bell UH-1H/D Bell 206B-3 Bell 206B-2 Bell206A Boeing CH-47D Schweitzer TH-300C BAE Jetstream 41 Beech 200 Beech 1900-C1 CASA C-212-300 Cessna O-1A/G Cessna T-41D 10 8 2 Cessna U-17 Cessna U-27A Shorts 330UTT (in store at RTAF Don Muang) Note: The coup has cut the RTA off from US assistance until the return of a civilian government. Once that happens the aim would be to acquire more helicopters under the US Excess Defense Articles (EDA) programme. Some 70% of the UH-1, Bell 212, CH-47D and Bell 206 fleets are currently not airworthy due to lack of spares and maintenance. Serviceability rates for fixed wing aircraft not much better. VIETNAM Vietnamese People’s Air Force 7 5 4 8 32 7 28 118 27 4 30 10 20 9 35 1 14 10 49 2 30 6 15 2+ 4 Sukhoi Su-27SK Sukhoi Su-27UBK Sukhoi Su-30MKV2 Sukhoi Su-30MKV2 (on option) Sukhoi Su-22M4 Sukhoi Su-22UM3K Sukhoi Su-22M3/M-3R RAC MiG-21 bis/UM Aero L-39C Aero L-29RS Yak-18 Yak-52 (from Aerostar in Romania) Antonov An-2 Antonov An-24 Antonov An-26 PZL Mielec M28 Skytruck Yak-40 Mil Mi-6 Mil Mi-8 Kazan Mil Mi-17 Mil Mi-24/Mi-24U Mil Mi-14 Kamov Ka-25Bsh/Ka-28 Kamov Ka-32 PZL Swidnik W-3 Sokol (on order) Note: Vietnam has been acquiring aircraft and spares in Eastern Europe in recent years, through such countries as the Czech Republic, Poland and the Ukraine. Links with Russia on defence equipment are still strong. AIR FORCES The Boeing F-15K won the Korean F-X programme with 40 aircraft ordered, of which 22 remain to be delivered by 2008. A second batch of 20 aircraft for Korea is highly likely, but not guaranteed at this point. (Photo: Boeing) AIR FORCE PROCUREMENT PROGRAMMES IN ASIA – CONTINUING CAPABILITY GROWTH By David Saw In this issue of DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA we have already looked at the Indian Air Force in some detail and with our ‘Asian Airpower’ Directory the current status of regional air forces has been described. The aim of this article is to look at some of the key air force acquisition programmes evolving across the region to add some more analysis to the detail already contained in this issue. Our starting point is the assertion that the majority of regional air forces are far better equipped than they were a decade ago and that this qualitative growth shows no signs of losing momentum. DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 29 AIR FORCES USAF F-22A aircraft from Langley AFB, Virginia are deploying to Kadena in Japan for exercises. Marking the arrival of the type in the region and potentially showing the aircraft as a contender for the Japanese FX programme. (Photo: USAF by Tech. Sgt Ben Blocker) The Republic of Korea Air Force (ROKAF) F-X fighter competition was in many respects the overture to a wave of major combat aircraft acquisition programmes in Asia. Originally F-X called for the acquisition of a total of 120 combat aircraft, with the requirement being built around an F-15 type of capability. Then came the late 1990s recession and work on the programme was suspended, but when economic conditions improved ROKAF was able to return to F-X although the number of aircraft to be acquired had declined to 40. The spectrum of contenders for the programme also evolved to include Boeing, Dassault, Eurofighter and Sukhoi. Eventually the F-X competition came down to the consideration of two candidates: the Boeing F-15K and the Dassault Rafale. This was a critical contest for both companies, Boeing needed another F-15 customer to keep their production line open and for Dassault it was imperative to find a launch export customer for Rafale. F-X had become a high stakes competition, not just in terms of Korea but also for upcoming requirements across the region, for example those in Singapore and potentially in Australia. In the end, and not with acrimony, ROKAF decided to select the F-15K for the F-X requirement. By the end of last year Boeing had delivered 18 F-15K aircraft to ROKAF, though one was lost in an accident on 7th June. The remaining 22 aircraft are due 30 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA to be delivered across the course of this year and into next. ROKAF is now working towards the acquisition of a second batch of 20 aircraft for delivery from 2009, although they are attempting to strengthen their negotiating position by suggesting that it is by no means certain that they will acquire 20 more F15K. In fact there have been mentions of both Rafale and even Eurofighter as possible contenders for this new requirement. It is difficult to see why there is any need to go through the F-X competition again, and little point in having two different aircraft for the same requirement. However, this is the ROK and anything is possible! Into the future ROKAF will need to replace its KF-16C/D fleet and at one stage this would have been a natural target for the Lockheed Martin F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF). There has been ROKAF interest in JSF, though not to any really serious degree. In fact the KF-16C/D replacement, which is known as the KF-X or ‘next generation fighter jet’ is to be an indigenous programme. This will be the culmination of ROK aerospace ambitions that started with the KT-1 trainer and then evolved further into the T-50/A-50 Golden Eagle advanced jet trainer/light attack aircraft. The Agency for Defense Development (ADD) has conducted a full feasibility study on the programme and the Ministry for National Defence (MND) has allocated development funding to cover the period from now until 2010. AIR FORCES The Pakistan Air Force (PAF) was looking to acquire some 150 JF-17 aircraft, but with Russia not supplying RD-93 engines there is a problem. The solution is the integration of the Chinese WS-13 engine, but this will take time. (Photo: S.K. Park) The aim is to have 40 KF-X aircraft in service from 2018 onwards, with the total programme being budgeted at some $12 billion. SOLUTION SETS As stated above the ROK F-X programme had linkage to other programmes in the region, this was certainly the case in Singapore where all the KF-X contenders gathered to do battle once again for the Republic of Singapore Air Force (RSAF) Next Fighter Replacement Programme (NFRP) to select a successor to the A-4SU Super Skyhawk. Once again matters came down to a contest between the F-15 and Rafale, and once again the F-15 won. In 2005 Singapore ordered 12 F-15SG aircraft for delivery between 2008 and 2009, and it placed an option on an additional 8 aircraft. The linkage between the ROK F-X programme and the RSAF NFRP programme still exists. If ROKAF orders 20 more F-15K these will fit on to the F-15 line on the completion of the first RSAF F-15SG batch, giving Singapore more time to turn its options into firm orders. Should the ROK do something unexpected, this might create a problem, as Singapore would have to decide on the status of its options at the end of 2008. At one stage a way out of this quandary could have been the Japan Air Self Defense Force (JASDF) F-X programme for some 40 aircraft to replace the F-4 Phantom. Unfortunately the timing on this has slipped to around 2009 for a decision, and has potentially widened the field of contenders to include the JSF and perhaps even the F-22. Thus what happens in the ROK remains important. Singapore has moved towards the future acquisition of the F-35A Lightning II, the JSF, as a replacement for its F-5S/T fleet and potentially elements of its F-16C/D fleet. The first flight of the Lightning II on 15th December 2006 gave this programme new visibility, as did the signature by Australia of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on F-35 Production, Sustainment and Follow-on Development (PSFD) on December 12th. It is expected that the intentions of Singapore regarding the JSF will become clearer this year as they move to negotiate their participation in the programme and potentially the number of aircraft they would be interested in. As for Australia, their decision to select the JSF for the Air 6000 New Air Combat Capability programme to replace the existing F-111 and F/A-18 fleets in the Royal Australian Air Force (RAAF) dashed the hopes of Dassault, Eurofighter and others who hoped that there would at least be an interim buy of aircraft to replace the F-111. As the JSF timetable stands at present, Low Rate Initial Production (LRIP) will commence this year followed by full production in 2013. In the meantime Australia will make its official acquisition decision on JSF, primarily numbers and programme timing in late 2008. A new factor entered the 32 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA RAAF equation last year, when Defence Minister Dr Brendan Nelson suddenly admitted that there would be a capability gap between the retirement of the F-111 and the JSF, and that this gap would be filled with the acquisition of 24 Boeing F/A-18F Super Hornet, although no details on whether this would be a lease of a purchase were released. NEW ARRIVALS This Australian surprise finally marks the arrival of the F/A-18E/F Super Hornet in the region and can do no harm to its chances in India where it is a contender for the MRCA competition. Across the border in Pakistan procurement matters are also becoming very interesting as well. An order for 18 Lockheed Martin F-16C/D Block 52 aircraft has been placed, with an option on 18 more and an enormous air weapons package containing 500 Raytheon AIM-120 AMRAAM is also being acquired. The existing F-16A/B fleet will be upgraded to the MLU configuration, most probably by Tusas of Turkey, and more F-16A/B will be acquired from surplus stocks around the world and they will be upgraded as well. The Pakistan Air Force (PAF) will also become the first export customer for the Chengdu J-10A/B with 36 aircraft to be acquired, at least initially. The programme that will have a key impact on the future of the PAF is the JF-17, which will be manufactured as a joint venture between Chengdu in China and PAC at Kamra in Pakistan. The PAF requires some 150 JF-17 aircraft to replace its existing A-5, J-7, Mirage III and Mirage V combat aircraft. This is a critical programme for the PAF and for the development of aerospace industries in Pakistan. All appeared to be going well until Indian pressure on Russia, who was supplying the RD-93 engine for the JF-17, appeared to succeed and all of a sudden the JF-17 programme was in jeopardy. Without the RD-93 the JF-17 programme is in trouble, unless China can integrate the WS-13 engine with the aircraft and this will take time. This is a matter of great concern for the PAF. As for China, the Russian refusal to supply the RD-93 to allow them to progress an export programme is an annoyance. However, they must have suspected that Russia might be swayed by Indian pressure and block re-export of the engines to power the JF-17. Could this explain the delays in the JF-17 programme, time that might have been needed for WS-13 engine integration? Bearing in mind the fact that Russian technology is used in the WS-13 and that Russian industry was allegedly involved in the development of the engine, might the refusal to supply the RD-93 actually be part of an understanding between China and Russia? Russia shows goodwill to India and then on the other hand helps China with the WS-13 to power the JF-17. As for Pakistan, they are effectively compensated for the delay in the JF-17 programme by the acquisition of the far more effective J-10A/B. Only speculation, but stranger things have happened. ASIAN OUTLOOK The Singapore Armed Forces (SAF) will be acquiring Leopard 2A4 tanks from German surplus stocks. In total 66 refurbished tanks will be acquired, along with 30 spare tanks and supporting equipment. SAF crews will be trained on the tanks in Germany. (Photo: Leo M. Van Westerhoven) LEOPARD 2A4 SELECTED FOR SAF On 11th December 2006, the Singapore Ministry of Defence (MINDEF) announced that Singapore and Germany intended to agree on the acquisition of Leopard 2A4 tanks from German Army surplus stocks. According to the MINDEF statement, “The acquisition package will consist of 66 refurbished Leopard 2A4 tanks, together with 30 spare tanks and supporting equipment. Training on the Leopard tanks will be provided by the German Army.” Some news sources in Asia have suggested that the price of the tanks and associated equipment could be in the region of $48 million. Whether this is true or not, for the Singapore Armed Forces (SAF) the Leopard 2A4 acquisition is a tremendously astute piece of business. DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 33 ASIAN OUTLOOK Currently the SAF armoured force consists of up the tank for our purposes.” The SAF will send a cadre BMS installation for integration with the networked to 100 modified Centurion tanks, the number of of tank specialists to Germany in the latter part of 3G SAF. However, there are other issues that need to viable vehicles could be as low as 60. Known as the this year for training, with the Leopard tanks likely to be addressed, a new AVLB system will be needed and here an option is the German Army Leopard 2 PanzerTempest in Singapore, these tanks have been signifi- be delivered to Singapore in 2008. schnellbrücke, which uses the KMW Leguan bridging cantly upgraded over the years to a standard equivasystem and this will be of obvious interest to the SAF lent to the Israeli Sho’t Centurion upgrade. A small UPGRADE STRATEGY number of Tempest (probably around 15) were based More than 3,000 Leopard 2 tanks have been as they are already a user of multiple varieties of the in Taiwan for training over a number of years, though delivered and some fourteen nations operate or will Leguan. Another area to be addressed is recovery more recently it has been alleged that these vehicles be operating the tank. This large installed user base and here the logical solution is the German Bergepanzer 3 Buffel ARV; engihave been withdrawn. neering vehicles will also be Although the Tempest has required with the Leopard never been shown publicly 2 Pionierpanzer Kodiak as in Singapore, other ‘heavier’ a potential solution. The armour systems have, there 30 spare Leopard 2 tanks are some 12 M60 AVLB would be an ideal source bridging systems and some for these specialist vehicles, 8 M728 Combat Engineer alternatively the SAF could Vehicles (CEV), both based define its own requirements on the US M60 tank chassis. and the vehicles could be The most numerous tank integrated by Singapore available to the SAF is the Technologies (ST) Kinetics upgraded AMX-13SM1 in Singapore. light tank, some 350 of The 120 mm smooththese vehicles are in the bore gun in the Leopard inventory, although not all 2A4 is the de facto NATO are in service. According to standard tank gun, also Defence Minister Teo Chee used in the US Abrams, Hean, the current AMXthe French Leclerc and in 13SM-1 tanks will not be time the British Challenger phased out “as they serve a 2. Israeli Merkava 3 and good purpose”. Merkava 4 tanks also use On the day of the a version of this ordnance. announcement Minister Currently the ‘heavy’ armour option available to the SAF is the Tempest a locally upgraded This will provide the SAF Teo toured the Armour version of the venerable Centurion tank. The Centurion first saw operational service in 1945, with a range of credible Training Institute at an ex-British Army version is shown here. (Photo: Leo M. van Westerhoven) sources of ammunition for Sungei Gedong Camp and its new tanks and create a discussed the Leopard competitive environment acquisition. “We looked at a for procurement, as well number of different alternatives and the German offer of refurbished Leopard virtually guarantees extended long-term support as providing numerous sources for the transfer of tanks is a very good cost-effective option for us to from the Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) technology to allow ST to manufacture ammunition start replacing some of the SM-1s.” On the Leopard Krauss-Maffei Wegmann (KMW). It also offers an locally if required. The Leopard 2A4 will mark a revolution in SAF 2A4 he said that it “has good mobility, protection already defined growth path. The German Army KWS and firepower, and it provides a good baseline for II upgrade saw the addition of increased armour armour capabilities, but more changes are in us to further upgrade the tanks should we want to protection, sighting system improvements and other prospect. The AMX-13SM1 can still provide good move into the next phase of 3G (3rd Generation) SAF new systems to bring the Leopard 2A4 to the Leopard service to the SAF, but the numbers of operational armour.” The local defence industry will play a signifi- 2A5 configuration. The next upgrade solution was the vehicles will be gradually rundown. There has long cant role in supporting the future SAF Leopard 2A4 KWS I, which saw the replacement of L44 calibre been interest in the acquisition of a new light tank tank fleet and upgrading it, according to Minister Teo. 120 mm smoothbore gun with the Rheinmetall L55 by the SAF as a replacement for the SM1, whether it “They have to maintain it for us. We will be bringing 120 mm gun and the availability of new ammunition is decided to purchase from overseas or develop an indigenous design to be built by ST Kinetics remains in some of the facilities that we have developed such natures. as the Battle Management System (BMS), and as we At this stage the full SAF Leopard 2A4 upgrade to be seen. The timing of the arrival of a new light go along, other types of systems as well to upgrade strategy has yet to defined, with the exception of the tank will also be of interest. 34 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA ASIAN OUTLOOK RSAF JOINS SINGAPORE’S ‘3G SAF’ TRANSFORMATION In early January, Defence Minister Teo Chee Hean presided over a parade to inaugurate the new Air Defence and Operations Command (ADOC) of the Republic of Singapore Air Force (RSAF) at Chong Pang Camp. This new RSAF Command is the start of a major reorganisation of the RSAF as a part of the military transformation agenda of the 3rd Generation (3G) Singapore Armed Forces (SAF). Minister Teo made a speech at the parade, which put the reorganisation of the RSAF and the establishment of ADOC into context. “The RSAF also has to make the transformation to the Third Generation Air Force. The RSAF has adopted a comprehensive framework along three key dimensions to achieve this transformation. First, hardware or exploiting advanced technology. Second, software, which includes innovative operational concepts and a new organisational structure. Third, ‘heartware’ or grooming quality people.” ”In hardware terms, the development of the 3G RSAF is proceeding steadily with the introduction of advanced platforms and capabilities able to undertake networked, integrated joint warfare with the RSAF and across the SAF. We brought our Apache helicopters home last year, and will be taking delivery of our F-15SGs in the coming years. We will continue to field rapidly evolving technologies like UAVs and network them with ground based and airborne surveillance platforms. In terms of software and systems, the transformation of the RSAF’s organisational structure will allow the 3G RSAF capabilities to be fully developed and exploited to decisively influence operational outcomes over the whole range of missions that the SAF will be expected to undertake in the air, on land and at sea.” The Minister also discussed the importance of RSAF people in making the transformation agenda possible. “However, our aircraft and systems are only as good as the people who operate and maintain them. Our ‘heartware’ – our servicemen and women – are the key factor in the success of the RSAF. The RSAF must therefore continue to bring out the best in every one of our servicemen and servicewomen and ensure that we maintain the highest professional standards. To achieve transformation in hardware and software, RSAF personnel need to have a flexible and adaptable mindset. Change management, leadership and people development therefore will be a key focus of the RSAF’s overall transformation.” Teo Chee Hean put the establishment of ADOC into context, describing it as “the first step in the most fundamental restructuring of the RSAF’s organisation since it was first established.” ADOC will have the primary responsibility for the planning, control and execution of all peacetime air operations, including air defence. The aim is to achieve more effective management of the full spectrum of air operations that the RSAF performs, whether it is the air defence of Singapore, participation in multinational operations or responding to what the Minister called “the increased intensity and demands of peacetime contingencies.” After ADOC, the transformation of the RSAF will see the establishment of four other commands over the next two years. Air Combat Command will have the lead in integrating air combat capabilities and will control all RSAF combat and transport aircraft. Participation Command will drive the integrated development and deployment of air power for the land and maritime theatres, whilst strengthening the integration of all assets in the networked and integrated 3G SAF. Air Power Generation Command is tasked with unifying and strengthening RSAF airfield operations to provide “robust and continuous launch and recovery operations for all air assets.” UAV Command will be responsible for developing UAV capabilities for the whole of the 3G SAF. The new operational structure of the Republic of Singapore Air Force (RSAF) will have five commands. Air Defence and Operations Command is the first to be established and will be followed by the other four over the next two years. (Photo by; MINDEF) DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 35 ASIAN OUTLOOK Waiting for the Chinook’s – a Quick Reaction Force mission from Kandahar for the Dutch ‘Kingscoy’. There are 1,900 Dutch troops in Afghanistan, but they see their mission as being much broader than a conventional counter-insurgency campaign. (Photo: Leo M. van Westerhoven) BUILDING HOPE IN A HARSH NEGLECTED LAND DUTCH COUNTER-INSURGENCY METHODOLOGY IN AFGANISTAN By Leo M. van Westerhoven Since NATO took over control from the Americans, Dutch troops are at the forefront of efforts to rebuild the strifetorn province of Uruzgan in southern Afghanistan. Amid a resurgent Taliban and decades of neglect and destruction the task is formidable. Afghan history shows that foreign interventionists, especially non-Muslims, only have a small window of time to show that they are there to do 36 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA good. But that time runs out fast, particularly in the Pashtun south, the traditional heartland of the radical Taliban. The Dutch, however, believe they have a plan for a lasting end to hostilities. And the plan does not rely on wiping out by force those attracted towards the extremist teachings and jihad offered by the Taliban, but in the support of the people. ASIAN OUTLOOK Afghanistan has known violence almost constantly over recent decades - no Afghan under the age of 27 has experienced real peace! Through a war with the Soviet Union in the 1980s, to the Taliban takeover in 1996 and then the arrival of US-led troops in 2001. The Americans rapidly ousted the Taliban forces from power, with them melting away into the villages and over the border into Pakistan. Regressive and savagely anti-Western, the Taliban had turned Afghanistan into a medieval fiefdom, with public executions and savage reprisals for women venturing out of their homes. NATO has enlarged its area of operations three times since taking command of the UN-sanctioned International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in the summer of 2003. First moving from Kabul into northern Afghanistan later that year, then expanding westward in June 2005. The move into southern Afghanistan in August 2006 and then into the east in October 2006, were the next logical steps in this process. Uruzgan is physically demanding country, with temperatures ranging from 65º Celsius in summer to freezing in winter. Sitting above Kandahar and Helmand in the south, it is one of Afghanistan’s most mountainous and least developed provinces, with government authority extending little beyond the provincial capital of Tarin Kowt. Those conditions have made it vulnerable to the Taliban. Yet, the Dutch have sent a task force trying to facilitate a permanent solution to the problems of the province, not just having a fight. With this effort the province is having a more permanent presence of international troops than it has ever had before. On the ground in Afghanistan since August 2006, ‘1 (NLD/AUS) Task Force Uruzgan’ include elements to perform command, reconstruction, communications, intelligence, reconnaissance, protection and logistic support. The nucleus of the task force is a Provincial Reconstruction Team (PRT); its mission is to increase security and stability, promote good governance and facilitate the reconstruction of the province. A Battle Group, strong and well equipped for force protection, and other units will support the PRT. In addition, the Dutch are supported by a fully integrated Australian detachment of 400 troops. Both countries have committed to stay in the region until August 2008. At first the Dutch Government envisaged a 1,400-strong deployment. But the increase in the threat posed by heavily armed Taliban militants - and because the Dutch took over the lead role for 6 months in southern Afghanistan on 1st November from the Canadians - has seen the force increase to about 1,900. BUILDING SECURITY AND STABILITY Two children from the village of Gang Kalacheh, near Kandahar, during a Village Medical Outreach mission by ISAF. The real measure of success in Afghanistan will be if these children have the opportunity for a better life. (Photo: Leo M. van Westerhoven) “No Afghan under the age of 27 has experienced real peace. Almost 90 percent of the Afghan population is illiterate and 60 percent struggle each day to survive. Only 13 percent of Afghans have access to sufficient water.” During December 2006, the first four-month rotation of Dutch task force units left Uruzgan after establishing the main base in Tarin Kowt (Kamp Holland), the provincial capital and birthplace of Taliban leader Mullah Omar, and another smaller base near the town of Deh Rawod (Camp Hadrian), while also starting their reconstruction efforts. During these months the people in both districts were going about their lives in a more secure way than they did before - all without a single Dutch soldier killed in action. However, since the start of the mission the Dutch have lost four men. One soldier committed suicide, a Royal Netherlands Air Force F-16 fighter pilot lost his life when his aircraft crashed en route to a close air support (CAS) mission for British troops in Helmand province, and a Dutch officer and a NCO lost their lives in a helicopter crash. One soldier was badly wounded and three more have suffered minor injuries at the hands of the Taliban. The so-called ‘Dutch philosophy’ to the problems in Afghanistan is a novel approach, which is attracting the attention of other coalition members in neighbouring provinces. Even though some bristle at the idea that it might be applicable to Kandahar or any other province in the south, some say the Dutch are doing what they would also like to do. Others say that the Dutch simply were lucky, or link it with the cautious pace of their arrival. Some critics discount the Dutch success in Uruzgan altogether, by accusing them of leaving most of the province to the Taliban without putting up a fight. Lieutenant-Colonel Piet van der Sar, the Battle Group commander, disagrees totally with that last assertion: “Dutch forces have been in the thick of fighting since the beginning. Rarely a day went by when there was not some sort of TIC (troops in contact with the enemy). Also the dangers of IEDs (Improvised Explosive Devices) or roadside bombs, which we encountered several times, and suicide attacks lurk every step of the way. In less than four months we conducted over 400 patrols and were involved in multiple combat incidents ranging from small skirmishes with small groups to pitched battles involving hundreds of fighters lasting hours. And if I deem it appropriate, I will take pre-emptive action. But we are not going in with guns blazing - we are going in after very careful preparation and in cooperation with the village elders. We have worked very hard over the last months to establish a dialogue with the local leaders, and now this effort is beginning to pay off.” Dutch soldiers went into Uruzgan prepared for combat, expecting the same kind of gory reception that DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 37 ASIAN OUTLOOK the Canadians and the British have found in Kandahar and Helmand. After all, Uruzgan was a sanctuary for adherents of Afghanistan’s former Taliban regime and it was not a surprise they reacted extremely aggressively to Dutch troops in their backyard. Given more than four years to stockpile weapons and pull in new recruits, the opposing militant forces comprised a hard core of Taliban leadership and their supporters, local militants and criminal groups engaged in Afghanistan’s prolific drug industry - so intertwined as to be virtually indistinguishable. Frustration over a failed government coupled with promises of a fistful of dollars by extremist Mullahs teaching jihad have driven many young unemployed Afghans into signing up with the Taliban. “Successful counterinsurgency is ultimately a political and socio-economic struggle to build confidence in public institutions”. RECONSTRUCTION AND NEW TACTICS A solid reconstruction effort is therefore vital to win some public support. Almost 90 percent of the Afghan population is illiterate and 60 percent struggle each day to survive. Only 13 percent of Afghans have access to sufficient water. Roads are often so bad that Uruzganis cannot take advantage of the Kandahar markets to sell their wheat, maize, watermelons, almonds and figs. The Taliban frequently ambush convoys on these roads and shoot or behead anyone they suspect of working for the central government or foreign forces. Retribution by the Taliban against Afghans who support the coalition is not uncommon. Near Deh Rawod a Dutch patrol found a 13-year old boy, hung from a tree branch. He had been severely tortured before being killed, not only an act of violence against perceived traitors, but also a brutal warning to other Afghans considering siding Dawn comes up over a British Royal Marine patrol from Camp Bastion in Helmand Province. The British have seen significant combat at Helmand, perhaps more than they expected, and there have been questions over whether they have enough men and the appropriate equipment. (Photo: Leo M. van Westerhoven) 38 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA ASIAN OUTLOOK with the coalition. Fear and insecurity fuels the power of the insurgents. Yet many Afghans still have the courage and the will to continue the push for peace and stability. The Dutch have developed a new type of counterinsurgency tactics to tackle the challenging task that they are facing in Afghanistan. It is along the lines of ‘Winning Hearts and Minds’, but more sophisticated and with a greater emphasis on respect and cooperation with the local people. Dutch soldiers display an understanding of Afghan society that is rare amongst their coalition partners. The Dutch have studied closely the complex tribal, political, family and financial ties that govern Afghan society. “It takes a lot more analysis before you jump into it, because if you do the wrong thing, it could have major implications,” LTCOL Van der Sar said. “You have to be sure you are applying the right solution to the right problem. Awareness of cultural differences and basic respect for host-nation culture are crucial to force security and/or mission success. We are not intruding into their personal affairs; we do not wish to mingle with their regular and lawful business; we do not want to change their customs; we respect their way of life; we are respectful of their family-structures and their laws and we support the provincial government.” Therefore, cultural training is a standard part of the curriculum for every unit and member of the Dutch Armed Forces assigned to a specific mission abroad. The key factors in this cultural training are to combine the warrior spirit with a basic level of cultural sensitivity, especially when troops in the field face hostile elements. Differences in style of communication between Dutch culture and local culture are mentioned in full detail, including how to avoid offensive body language, facial expressions and gestures. Instructors use many examples from everyday situations to explain the various do’s and don’ts found in the mission area. Soldiers learn that a strong adherence to the honour code of ‘Pashtunwali’ does not automatically mean that every conflict among Pashtuns ends in revenge killing on a massive scale; the code also offers opportunities for the negotiated settlement of disputes. CULTURAL KEYS In short, Dutch soldiers are told that culture is never one-dimensional, black or white, or unchangeable. Befriending local populations is on the other hand the best way to get intelligence on what is going. Getting this intelligence and cooperation is the best, often the only, way to find insurgents who live among local populations and cannot be distinguished from A Dutch foot patrol in the village of Shingolah, near the Dutch base at Camp Hadrian, in Deh Rawod. The Dutch believe that gaining the trust and support of the Afghan people is the only way to prevail. (Photo: Leo M. van Westerhoven) “Reconstruction will only be effective if political dialogue, development, humanitarian, economic and military aid are deployed together”. them without the help of the locals or, if they hide in remote areas, cannot be found without information supplied by the locals. Thanks to this kind of intelligence the Dutch have captured numerous weapons caches, explosives and electronic devices that could have been used to trigger roadside bombs. LTCOL Van der Sar: “Primarily shooting and blowing up stuff, that is not why we are here, but I will do it if I need to. The ‘Dutch philosophy’ is more about influence, and gaining the support of the local population. It is not centred on killing the enemy, but we are here to bring what protection we reasonably can to people in peril and to maintain some level of public safety while other reconstruction and diplomatic initiatives - through the Provincial Reconstruction Mission Teams, for example - pursue solutions to underlying problems. The point is not to abandon the effort to defeat the insurgency; the point is that to be successful it has to be done by other means.” “Our focus is on security patrols and protection functions rather than on pursuing and attacking insurgents, the effort needs to be on providing security and opportunity to people in their homes and communities and thereby denying insurgents the popular support they need. As Canadian and British forces have tragically learned, in the age of roadside bombs and suicide bombers security patrols are no DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 39 ASIAN OUTLOOK less dangerous than search and destroy missions against insurgents. Both courses of action come with risks - risks of failure, of course, and risks to those on the front lines. The question is: which serves the objectives of the mission more effectively? The effort to capture or kill insurgents at a faster rate than they can be recruited is generally not a winning strategy. Indeed, we are unable to provide security throughout the province at once. Rather, the focus lies on gradually expanding regions of relative stability and additionally moving further into the province stepby-step - the ‘so-called’ inkblot strategy, whereas the Canadians and British pushed deep into enemy territory”. “As the benefits of gradually expanding security, development and extended public services and safety are felt, support for the insurgency will eventually decline. This long-term strategy is measured in decades rather than years. Successful counter-insurgency is ultimately a political and social-economic struggle to build confidence in public institutions, to develop alternatives to the current dependence on opium production, and to marginalise the warlords and insurgents as spoilers that increasingly are rejected and estranged from the local population, then the Taliban have no power bases from which they can launch operations. Reconstruction will only be effective if political dialogue, development, humanitarian, economic and military aid are deployed together. Through building basic infrastructure, providing health care and establishing an education system, the taskforce aims to show the Afghan people a better future exists for them under a coalition-supported Afghan national government than under the Taliban.” SUPPORTING THE PEOPLE AND THE GOVERNMENT As a further measure to win local support and improve the credibility of the Afghan government, Dutch troops are helping the Afghans stand up and build their own capable, credible, respected security forces, the Afghan National Army and Afghan National Auxiliary Police. Which is vital to their exercise of sovereignty. Progress is however slow. Every instruction must go through an interpreter and many of the students are illiterate. “Once trained, we will incorporate them into our missions where appropriate, and where they can effectively contribute, and essentially provide that Afghan face, the legitimacy that the Afghan people really need to see,” says LTCOL Van der Sar. “At the same time they are our exit strategy, by making the region a better place, which then puts them in a position where all of these kinds of security 40 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA Dutch troops conduct live fire training with one of their 81 mm mortars. All Dutch platoons have organic 81 mm mortar support. Afghanistan presents ISAF troops with difficult conditions, extreme heat and dust or intense cold. (Photo: Leo M. van Westerhoven) force operations are being conducted by Afghans and we can expand our inkblot strategy.” On a daily basis, Dutch soldiers and their civilian advisors are in contact with the population. They are implementing many projects: small scale irrigation, repair of country roads, water pumps, repair of agricultural machinery, public transport, building of bridges and rehabilitation of Mosques. They also assist in the health and education sectors. All of these projects have been chosen in close cooperation with the local population and the Dutch let them participate fully in the decisions that will affect their future. “But of course they have to remain owners of their own problems,” LTCOL Van der Sar says. “We are the auxiliary troops of the local government. And if that government is no good, it must go.” At the same time the Dutch forces are also trying to protect villagers from the depredations of corrupt or undisciplined Afghan soldiers and police, by “Dutch troops have facilities, equipment and rules of engagement that are the envy of their coalition partners. No effort has been spared to provide the Dutch soldiers with the maximum and best available protection by purchasing modern equipment and upgrading existing systems.” ASIAN OUTLOOK watching them closely for bad behaviour. Further, to build trust with the local population the Dutch have established a permanent presence in both districts. Each platoon is given its own area of responsibility, measuring 12 to 30 square kilometres, where they visit every household and monitor their needs. Security patrols through the villages are mainly on foot, backed by their armoured vehicles. Whereas in comparison, US forces toured the same villages and the surrounding area in armoured vehicles, usually with a heavily armed soldier in the turret waving Afghans out of the way. The Dutch troops have also established two hilltop outposts on the fringes of Taliban territory. One is built on Kakrakah Hill near Deh Rawod, with the other built on Surkh Murghab, near Tarin Kowt. To establish a balance between accessibility and defen- sibility, these outposts are build like a traditional Pashtun home (quala), where thick and high mud walls surround the living and reception quarters. It is designed as a base for Dutch soldiers and as a place for local people to air grievances and talk about their needs. Even though the multifunctional qualas lack the conventional sandbags, razor wire and machine gun posts, they bear a striking resemblance to a ‘small fortress’. These outposts have recently been under attack several times. For LTCOL Van der Sar, this increased Taliban activity has not been unexpected: “The more successful we are (in establishing infrastructure and winning the support of the people), the more upset they (the Taliban) get.” RULES OF ENGAGEMENT AND EQUIPMENT Military personnel put up with a lot of discom- fort. They accept this in full realization that it is all part of their profession. One thing they do expect, however, is having the right tools to do the job. One of the greatest sources of dissatisfaction is the lack of proper equipment and a mandate. Something with which Dutch soldiers have been all too familiar over the years - not least because of their bitter memories of peacekeeping in Bosnia, where, in 1995, a Dutch force with poor equipment and a flimsy UN mandate was unable to prevent the massacre of thousands of Bosnian Muslims in Srebrenica. That legacy led to fierce debate in parliament before the Dutch joined the NATO mission in Afghanistan. As a result, Dutch troops have facilities, equipment and rules of engagement that are the envy of their coalition partners. No effort has been spared to provide the Dutch soldiers with the maximum and A Dutch PzH-2000NL 155 mm/52 calibre self-propelled artillery system during a fire mission in support of Dutch and Afghan troops fighting the Taliban in the Baluchi Pass. The Dutch have 3 PzH-2000NL systems for heavy fire support. (Photo: Leo M. van Westerhoven) DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 41 ASIAN OUTLOOK A Dutch Sperwer UAV is launched from the main Dutch base at ‘Kamp Holland’ in Uruzgan Province. The Dutch have 8 Sagem Sperwer UAVs in Afghanistan, with other ISAF members using their own Sperwer systems. (Photo: Leo M. van Westerhoven) best available protection, by purchasing modern equipment and upgrading existing systems. Both base camps are arguably some of the most modern and secure in the world. They eat, sleep and work there not in tents, but in blast-proof reinforced-steel containers. They have wi-fi internet access throughout both bases. They have their own air support comprising six heavily armed AH-64D Apache combat helicopters, just around the corner at the helipad at Kamp Holland, and further they have eight F-16AM fighter-bombers, typically armed with up to four GBU-12 laser-guided 500 lb (225 kg) bombs, a LANTIRN targeting pod and a 20 mm internal cannon, 25 minutes distance away at Kandahar air base. For intra-theatre air transport they can count on five Eurocopter AS532U2 Cougar Mk 2 tactical transport helicopters, also based at Kandahar. Three PzH-2000NL 155 mm/52 calibre selfpropelled (SP) artillery systems cover the ground between both bases. Two of them made their combatdebut upon arrival in September in aid of Operation Medusa to protect Canadian troops participating in 42 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA this mission. Dutch ISAF artillerymen demonstrated their ability to reach out and touch the Taliban with precise and devastating effect at ranges of more than thirty kilometres. The Dutch Bushmaster IMVs deployed in Afghanistan have received an add-on ballistic armour kit. This add-on protection package also includes a ballistic protection upgrade to the windows. The extra weight has already been compensated for by removing a 270-litre fresh water tank and by operating the vehicle with up to five personnel on board, rather than up to 10. The 18 YPR-765 armoured infantry fighting vehicles (AIFVs), deployed in Uruzgan, have received add-on armour kits. This involves YPR-765-conformal chemical energy (explosive reactive armour [ERA]) tiles installed by Rafael of Israel. The Dutch also received 12 Krauss-Maffei Wegmann ‘Fennek’ 4x4 light armoured reconnaissance vehicles to support their operations in Uruzgan province, as well as in Kandahar. Other vehicles in theatre are the Patria 6x6 XA-188 wheeled armoured personnel carriers and soft-top Mercedes-Benz 4x4 vehicles from which it is easier to make contact with the local Afghan population. For aerial reconnaissance the Dutch have two UAV systems at their disposal in the form of the Sperwer and Aladin. LTCOL Van der Sar: “There are security challenges here. No one can suggest otherwise. But we have shown we are well trained and equipped for this mission, and we have the capabilities to go out and undertake security and development missions whenever we want, and I am sure we are all willing to take whatever comes our way.” About the author: Leo M. van Westerhoven is a reporter for ‘Dutch Defence Press’ and a Contributing Editor to Defence Review Asia. This article is the result of a month spent with the Dutch Forces in Afghanistan at the end of 2006. ASIAN OUTLOOK Japan’s new Prime Minister Shinzo Abe talking to the press while in Paris on January 13, 2007. In Tokyo Abe’s prominent position on defence issues are conflicting with the fact that Shinzo Abe is the grandson of Nobusuke Kishi, a former Minister of Commerce and Industry (1941-1945) in the Tojo cabinet who was convicted as a Class A War Criminal by the Americans after Japan’s defeat. Imprisoned until 1948, Kishi was never tried by the International Military Tribunal for the Far East, but was prohibited from entering public affairs because of the Allied occupation’s purge of members of the old regime. When the purge was fully rescinded in 1952, Kishi decided to go into politics and joined the new Democratic Party. In 1957, Kishi was voted in as Prime Minister of Japan. In the first year of Kishi’s term, Japan joined the United Nations Security Council, paid reparations to Indonesia and, in January 1960, signed a new and unpopular Treaty of Mutual Cooperation with the US; subsequently he resigned amidst growing public opposition. He died in 1987. (Photo: Jean-Michel Guhl) NEW JAPANESE PRIME MINISTER IN EUPOPEAN TALKS By Jean-Michel Guhl In an unusual diplomatic move, Shinzo Abe, the new Japanese Prime Minister began his January 9th to 13th, 2007, world tour with ‘Old Europe’. There he met successively with the foremost Heads of State of the European Union (EU) in London, Berlin, Brussels and Paris and, as a sign of the times, with the Secretary General of NATO, Mr Jaap de Hoop Scheffer. A truly historical step, considering Japan’s staunch neutrality since World War 2, Mr Abe’s visit to the NATO Headquarters in Belgium is actually the first ever by a Japanese Head of Government. A bilateral meeting with the Secretary General highlighted the importance of this visit to NATO and this was followed with a meeting with the full North Atlantic Council. Prime Minister Abe expressed to the Council Japan’s interest in building a stronger partnership with NATO, both politically and in practical terms - an interest actually both echoed and welcomed by the Alliance, which is in need of strong new partners. All parties agreed that NATO and Japan share an interest in more profound cooperation to defend shared values in a world where security threats - such as the obvious menace posed by North Korea’s long range missile and nuclear programmes - are fully transnational in nature. NATO welcomed Prime Minister Abe’s announcement that Japan would enhance its already substantial role in Afghanistan by directly supporting NATO’s Provincial Reconstruction Teams, namely in the areas of humanitarian assistance where the Japanese have been very active so far, providing both manpower and money. While in Europe, Premier Abe’s longest stay was in Paris where President Jacques Chirac outlined the central role of Japan in the current stability of Asia. With regard to the United Nations, President Chirac restated France’s support of Japan becoming a permanent member of the enlarged Security Council. Defence issues were at the heart of the conversations Mr Abe had with the European leaders. All have expressed support, at Japan’s insistence, in seeing North Korea fully respect its international responsibilDEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 43 ASIAN OUTLOOK An F-15J of the Japan Air Self Defense Force (JASDF). The JASDF is hoping to replace its old F-4EJ Phantom fleet with the new FX fighter. In the meantime some of the F-15J fleet is being upgraded. (Photo: JASDF) ities in the nuclear domain and making sure that the UN’s latest Resolution 1718 is enforced. During their meeting, President Chirac and Premier Abe discussed in detail the situation in Burma, Afghanistan and the Middle East, as Japan’s role in that region is increasing. Mr Chirac and Mr Abe also insisted on their common view with regard to Iran’s nuclear programme asking for an immediate suspension of all nuclear activities by Tehran in full compliance with the NPT (Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty) of which Iran is a signatory state. There has been strong concern, mainly by the US, France, Great Britain, Germany and Japan, as well as Israel over the possibility of a nuclear armed Iranian state, with general fears regarding the goals of Iran’s clerical leaders and specific anxieties raised after numerous controversial remarks made by Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad about the state of Israel. Incidentally, it is a little known fact outside of the Muslim world that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the highest leader of the Islamic Republic, issued a religious fatwa forbidding the production, stockpiling and use of nuclear weapons on August 9, 2005. The full text of this legal pronouncement was released in an official statement at the meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in Vienna about a year ago. In nations where Islamic law (sharia) is the basis of civil law a fatwa by the national religious leadership is mandatory which means that if Iran goes forth with any military nuclear programme it will be not only in contradiction with the NPT regulations, but with Ayatollah Khamenei’s orders! Premier Abe’s visit to Europe was made just as Japan, on January 9th 2007, established a Ministry of State for Defence to replace the former National Defence Agency created in 1954 after the Korean War. This is the first time Japan has had a Defence Ministry since 1945. The new Defence Ministry was established as a result of a promise made earlier by the Japanese conservative party (LDP) and the consequence of the present turmoil in world’s security affairs, this move is seen as a means to foster Japan’s influence on the international scene. Mr Fukushiro Nukaga was officially named the first Minister of National Defence, thus severing the traditional subordination that the National Defence Agency had to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs for over half a century. Among the 44 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA tasks assigned to the new minister is the submission before 2012 to the National Diet of a new draft for the Japanese ‘Pacifist’ constitution of 1947 thus modifying the US-inspired Article 9 which reads “Aspiring sincerely to an international peace based on justice and order, the Japanese people forever renounce war as a sovereign right of the nation and the threat or use of force as means of settling international disputes. In order to accomplish the aim of the preceding paragraph, land, sea, and air forces, as well as other war potential, will never be maintained. The right of belligerency of the state will not be recognized”. Of course, the present need for the Japanese armed forces to deploy contingents in support of UN or US operations worldwide have rendered over the years this ‘renunciation of war’ chapter completely obsolete in a country which spends yearly almost $40 billion for its national defence. However, Japan will encounter firm resistance to its new assertive defence role from both China and the Republic of Korea, two countries wary of any resurgence of Japanese militarism. Whatever the views of LDP hardliners in Japan, who dream of giving their country a larger diplomatic and military role on the world stage, changing the constitution will not be an easy task for Mr Abe’s government. There will be opposition in Japan, for example, the logistic support of US troops in Iraq, until last July, was considered a true constitutional infringement by many in Tokyo. Meanwhile, Mr Abe who held a large press conference at the Concorde-La Fayette hotel in Paris on January 13 said he would return to Europe shortly to attend the Paris Conference for Global Ecological Governance in early February at the invitation of President Chirac and that he would only visit Washington in early May for a summit with US president George W. Bush. About the author: Jean-Michel Guhl is a Contributing Editor to Defence Review Asia and is based in Paris. A highly experienced defence and strategic affairs editor, he will be reporting extensively for Defence Review Asia from around the world. CHINA GOES PUBLIC WITH J-10 FIGHTER The end of December 2006 saw an avalanche of publicity for the Chinese J-10 fighter aircraft marking its official public debut. The Chengdu J-10A/B represents a new level of achievement by the Chinese aerospace industry. (Photo: AVIC1) 46 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA CHINA DEFENCE WATCH At the end of December China finally decided to officially reveal the J-10 fighter to the world, CCTV featured the aircraft, the Xinhua news agency released photos and then in early January China Aviation Industry Corporation 1 (AVIC 1) even held a press conference. Of course those seeking enlightenment from the press conference doubtless left disappointed, they got to see a model of the aircraft and were shown a film of the aircraft in action. Despite this, the arrival of the J-10 into the public spotlight is an extremely important event. Over the years photos of the J-10 have surfaced from various sources, but real knowledge of the performance of the aircraft has remained slight. The potential reasons for this sudden burst of publicity are varied, with Pakistan having evaluated the aircraft and being virtually committed to acquiring it, raising awareness of the J-10 and its capabilities does no harm. However, we should not ignore the fact that the J-10 is a major achievement for China and the Chinese aerospace industry. There are very few countries in the world that can design, develop and field a high performance combat aircraft of this level of sophistication – reason enough to publicise the J-10. Another consideration is export sales, with the J-10 China will have a contender for advanced combat aircraft requirements to work in tandem with the FC-1 (JF-17) which will be aimed at lower-end requirements. Work on the J-10 commenced in the mid-1980s at the 611 Aircraft Design Institute in Chengdu, after earlier attempts to built an indigenous high performance combat aircraft for the People’s Liberation At the end of December China finally decided to officially reveal the J-10 fighter to the world, CCTV featured the aircraft, the Xinhua news agency released photos and then in early January China Aviation Industry Corporation 1 (AVIC 1) even held a press conference. Of course those seeking enlightenment from the press conference doubtless left di appointed, they got to see a model of the aircraft and were shown a film of the aircraft in action. Despite this, the arrival of the J-10 into the public spotlight is an extremely important event. 01 was the J-10 prototype and is currently stored at Chengdu. Failures with an indigenous engine delayed the programme, as did problems with the flight controls and radar. (Photo: AVIC1) Army Air Force (PLAAF) had ended in abject failure. With this new project, Chinese aircraft designers would enjoy some advantages previously denied to them, principally the fact that they could benefit from access to aerospace technologies from the US, Europe and Israel amongst others. That being said, PLAAF were asking for a state-of-the-art aircraft from an industry that was barely comfortable with 1950s Soviet technology. In that environment, the fact that the project would suffer from delays is no surprise and matters were not helped by the embargo imposed on China after the 1989 Tiananmen Incident. PostTiananmen the US halted participation in and assistance to Chinese defence programmes, although commercial aerospace links continued. The loss of access to US military aerospace technology was a blow, though that has been more than compensated for by the ability to purchase US commercial aerospace technology, machine tools and acquire a host of US technologies through legitimate and illegitimate means. The Europeans proved more accommodating to Chinese needs, some with more enthusiasm than others, and this has been particularly useful in terms of avionics, including such areas as radars. It was Israel though that opened the eyes of China to the mysteries of modern fighter aircraft design. The Israeli Lavi fighter programme provided the basis for collaboration between Israel and China, but to characterise the J-10 as a Chinese version of the Lavi would be very wrong. Israel made a significant contribution to the Chinese programme, though it is not alone in that regard. The J-10B first flew on 23rd December 2003 and received state certification at the end of 2005. Each J-10A regiment will receive at least two J-10B aircraft. (Photo S.K. Park) DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 47 CHINA DEFENCE WATCH THE PACE OF DEVELOPMENT The collapse of the Soviet Union opened up a new source of aerospace technology to China as Russia and then the Ukraine rushed to meet Chinese demands. The most visible manifestation of this process was the sale and then the license production of the Sukhoi Su-27SK/UBK series of aircraft. Equally as significant though was the transfer of technology that took place as a part of this process. The modern Chinese aerospace industry was established on the Soviet model and therefore a renewal of access to similar working practices was welcome, as was the ability to acquire technologies far in advance of indigenous efforts. Thus China, or to be more precise those at the 611 Institute tasked with designing the J-10, found themselves with the possibility of drawing on aerospace technologies from both Western and Russian sources. Yet the J-10 is an authentic Chinese system, from the start the aim was to utilise foreign technology inputs in order to develop the ability of Chinese industry to produce indigenous solutions. This approach did have its drawbacks, the inability of China to develop a suitable powerplant, problems with the fly-by-wire control systems that led to the loss of one of the prototypes and difficulties with the radar are just some of the obstacles that had to be surmounted. The J-10 is manufactured by the Chengdu Aircraft Industrial Corporation (CAIC), part of AVIC 1. The timeline for the programme saw the first prototype fly on 23rd March 1998, it had been hoped that the prototype would actually fly in 1996. However, the indigenous WS-10 engine (allegedly based on the commercial CFM 56 engine core) failed to deliver what was required. Here links with Russia came to the rescue and it was decided to order 54 AL-31FN engines, which were test and evaluation purposes towards the granting of state certification for full production and entry into PLAAF service. It should be noted that the production J-10A featured the Lyulka-Saturn AL-31FN engine, whereas earlier aircraft with the WS-10 engine are credited with the J-10 designator. After a full evaluation the J-10A received state certification at the end of 2003 and first deliveries to the 44th Air Division of the PLAAF in Yunnan province commenced in 2004, the 3rd Air Division of the PLAAF is now also operating the J-10A. The next member of the J-10 family to arrive was the two-seater J-10B for the training and operational conversion mission. The prototype J-10B first flew on 23rd December 2003 and this received state certification at the end of 2005. It is believed that J-10A/B production at Chengdu is running at a rate of some two aircraft per month, this had led to speculation that a second production line will be opened in China to meet PLAAF needs and potentially those of the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) Aviation. With the former Soviet carrier Varyag being brought back to operational status at the Dalian Shipyard, there could be a requirement for a carrier version of the J-10 at some point, although PLAN is currently said to be more interested in the Sukhoi Su-33. However, even if a carrier-version of the J-10 were not developed, older PLAN land-based aviation assets, such as the J-7 and the J-8, would be an obvious target for replacement by the far more capable J-10. There are no accurate figures for the number of J-10A/Bs produced or in service, taking into account the number of engines acquired from Russia a minimum of 50 aircraft are in service. Taking into account production rates it is more likely that PLAAF actually has some 72 J-10A/B aircraft in service. It is believed that Chengdu produces two J-10 aircraft every month for the People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF). Pakistan will be the first export customer for the J-10A/B and is likely to purchase 36 aircraft. (Photo: AVIC 2) delivered between 2001 and 2003. The AL-31FN required a redesign of the aircraft, further delaying matters. It should be noted that the WS-10 engine was further developed into the current WS-10A Taihang and this now seems to be providing satisfactory results. Manufactured at Shenyang by a subsidiary of AVIC 1, WS10A development was completed at the end of 2005 and state certification was granted in December of that year. Indeed it is believed that the WS-10A is to be installed in J-11B (license produced Su-27SK) aircraft being built by Shenyang for PLAAF. More recently in July 2005, it is understood that China placed an order for a further 100 AL-31FN engines from Russia to be used in the J-10A/B. The first J-10A production aircraft flew on 28th June 2002 and then a batch of aircraft were delivered to the Central Flight Test Establishment (CFTE) for 48 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA TODAY AND TOMORROW At this stage the full performance of the J-10A/B generally still remains unknown, despite this the aircraft is often credited with being the equivalent of the F-16C/D in the Block 40 or, depending on who you are prepared to believe, the Block 50 variant. Compared to earlier indigenous Chinese combat aircraft efforts this is a tremendous advance. The truth of the matter will only be known in reality when the Pakistan Air Force has the opportunity to operate both aircraft, so the jury is still out on the real capabilities of the J-10A/B. Even so we do have some information that we can work from, the Salyut AL-31FN engine provides 79.43 kN dry thrust and 122.58 kN thrust with reheat. The maximum speed at sea level is Mach 1.18; at altitude the aircraft has a speed of Mach 2.0 with a load of 3 droptanks and CHINA DEFENCE WATCH 4 Air-to-Air Missiles (AAM) or a speed of Mach 2.34 clean. The J-10A is reported to have a combat radius of 1,100 km with 3 droptanks and 4 AAM or a combat radius of 900 km with a load of 4 PL-12 BVR missiles, 2 PL-8 missiles and a single droptank. The J-10A/B also has a probe for aerial refuelling. The J-10A has 11 hardpoints on the fuselage and wings, and an extensive array of weapon options is available for the aircraft. Initially it was believed that the aircraft would primarily have an air combat role, but increasingly the ground attack capabilities of the aircraft are being stressed. In the AVIC 1 press conference in early January the J-10A model was shown with both a targeting and a navigation pod, and images of the aircraft dropping conventional bombs were shown. Other weapon options include the Lei Ting (Thunder) or LT-2 500 kg laser guided bomb and the Lei Shi (Thunder Stone) 500 kg bomb-based standoff weapon with GPS/INS guidance. It is anticipated that other air-to-ground weapons will be integrated with the J-10A/B in due course. In terms of AAM systems the standard load of the J-10A/B is based on the PL-8 (a Chinese version of the Rafael Python 3) for within visual range engagements and the PL-12 (SD-10) for beyond visual range engagements. The PL-12 has a range in excess of 70 km and incorporates a Russian seeker, electronics, a control system and fins from the Ukraine, with a Chinese designed motor section. The radar in the J-10A/B has a mechanically scanned array (MSA) and is reputed to have a range of 100 km and can simultaneously track between 4 and 6 targets. The next stage of J-10A/B evolution is already in hand, with strong rumours of an indigenous actively electronically scanned array (AESA) radar being in development to replace the current MSA system. A development of the two-seat J-10B into the J-10S is also reportedly in hand to provide an aircraft with a similar strike role to the Israeli or Republic of Singapore Air Force (RSAF) F-16D. There is also talk of interest in a new engine for the J-10. A new version of the Lyulka-Saturn AL-31 FN with thrust vector control (TVC) has also been offered to China. There is certainly plenty of development potential in the J-10 family. The irony in the public unveiling of the J-10A/B is that rumours about the J-14 next generation fighter programme have now started to emerge, with some reports suggesting a first flight in 2008. The truth of that remains to be seen, as potentially the J-14 is China’s counter to the F-22 and the JSF and this would require an extraordinary effort by the Chinese aerospace industry to make this a reality. There is no doubt that the Chinese aerospace industry has made a great leap forward with the J-10, this begs the question of is it ready for an even greater leap to make the J-14 meet an even more sophisticated requirement? The handover ceremony for the second batch of J-10 aircraft delivered to the 131 Regiment, 44 Air Division, PLAAF, in Yunnan Province. The J-10 is also in service with the 3rd Air Division of PLAAF. Both of these units are still building up to full strength with the J-10A/B. (S.K. Park) DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 49 CHINA DEFENCE WATCH PLA NAVY GROWTH RECEIVES POLITICAL SUPPORT Chinese President and Chairman of the Central Military Commission Hu Jintao addressed the 10th National Congress of the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) Communist Party on 27th December in Beijing. The speech received major coverage in the People’s Daily and PLA Daily. Notably Hu Jintao wore a military style uniform for his speech, he has never served in the PLA, but this was more a symbol of the links between the Party and the PLA, and the supremacy of the Party over the PLA. Hu Jintao said that: “the navy force should be strengthened and modernised under the guidance of Deng Xiaoping Thought and the ‘Three Represents’ to serve the country and its people more effectively.” This is standard ideological stuff in China, but the mention of the ‘Three Represents’ is worthy of note as this is the contribution of former leader Jiang Zemin to the political discourse in China. Jiang Zemin is still thought to have influence in the PLA, so this mention of a political theory linked to him is perhaps recognition of that fact. Inevitably ideology was an important part of the speech, this was after all a Party Congress, albeit at PLAN level. President Hu continued: “we should strive to build a powerful navy that adapts to the needs of our military’s historic mission in this new century and at this new stage.” The “new stage” comment reflects China’s growing economic strength and its increasing global role. Indeed China’s position as the ‘workshop of the world’ and its massive demand for imported energy are a classic reason for demanding a strong and capable ‘blue water’ navy. Hu Jintao that went on to say that: “we should make sound preparations for military struggles and ensure that the forces can effectively carry out missions at any time.” All of this amounts to a continued political commitment to the further expansion of PLAN. It was not all positive comments though, reference was made to fighting corruption, this is not really a surprise after a PLAN Vice Admiral was recently been tried and convicted on charges of corruption. The December speech also came at an important time for PLAN as two impressive new units had been launched at the Hudong Zhonghua Shipyard in Shanghai a few days earlier. The first Type 071 LPD for People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) was launched on 20th December 2006 at the Hudong Zhonghua Shipyard in Shanghai. This unit is a dramatic enhancement to the amphibious warfare capabilities of PLAN. (Photo: S.K. Park) 50 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA CHINA DEFENCE WATCH NEW LPD FOR PLAN The first Type 071 (not the official Chinese designation) Landing Platform Dock (LPD) for PLAN was launched at the Hudong Zhonghua Shipyard on 20th December 2006. This provides visible proof of PLAN efforts to increase their amphibious warfare capabilities, a process that has become increasingly apparent in recent years. The Type 071 LPD will give PLAN a new dimension in amphibious warfare operations. Estimated displacement of the Type 071 ranges from around 15,000 tons at the low end to 20,000 tons at the high end. The LPD has two deck spots for helicopters, indicating the ability to use the large Z-8 (Super Frelon) helicopter, it is thought that two would be carried, alternatively four helicopters could be carried if a smaller type were used. Apart from conventional landing craft, the Type 071 will operate Landing Craft Air Cushion (LCAC) with up to four being carried. These will be of an indigenous design, although none have been seen yet. The Jiangnan Shipyard in Shanghai has been suggested as the place where this new LCAC class will be built, but others have pointed to Wuhan as a possible build location. It has been reported in Russia that PLAN is to acquire six Zubr class LCAC from Almaz in 2007, whilst these are apparently not destined for use with the Type 071, they will provide a major boost to the indigenous LCAC production programme. The Chinese LCAC will have the capacity to carry a single main battle tank, indicating a minimum 50-ton payload. In total the Type 071 is being credited with the capability to carry between 25 and 50 vehicles of various types, and over 500 troops. FRIGATE FORCE ENHANCED PLAN needs to upgrade the capabilities of its frigate force, many of which are old Jianghu and Jiangwei class units, and this led to the Type 054 Jiangkai frigate class. Two Type 054 frigates were commissioned by PLAN in 2005, but the Type 054 is being superseded by the more advanced Type 054A variant. The most visible difference is that the Type 054A has a 32-cell vertical launch system for the HHQ-16 air defence system (a mixed of Chinese and Russian technology) in place of the HQ-7 air defence system mounted in a conventional launcher (8-cell) on the Type 054. Other changes include the installation of a new 76 mm gun presumably derived from the Russian AK-176 system. The Type 054A also has two indigenous Type 730 CIWS mounts in place of the Russian AK-630 CIWS mounts used on the Type 054. With a displacement of around 3,400 tons, the inspiration for the Type 054/054A was obviously the French La Fayette frigate class. There are also suggestions that Russian technical assistance was received with the design. The first Type 054A frigate was launched at the Huangpu Shipyard in Guangzhou on 30th September 2006, with the second unit being launched at the Hudong Zhonghua Shipyard in Shanghai in December. Huangpu currently has another Type 054A in an advanced stage of construction, while a fourth unit is under construction at Hudong Zhonghua. The Type 054A is the most capable frigate yet delivered to PLAN. It will be interesting to see if PLAN intends to have more than four Type 054A units, or will look to a further advance on the basic design. Huangpu Shipyard in Guangzhou launched the first Type 054A frigate on 30th September 2006, with a second unit being launched at Hudong Zhonghua in December and two further units under construction. The Type 054A frigate is the most impressive Chinese frigate design yet seen. (S.K. Park) DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 51 INDUSTRY WORLD VIEW The Rheinmetall Kodiak Armoured Engineer Vehicle (AEV) has been ordered by the Swiss Army as the ‘Geniepanzer’, with 12 systems to be delivered from 2009. This system will be of great interest to Leopard 2 tank operators. NEW LEOPARD ENGINEERING VEHICLE The Swiss Army have ordered a new Armoured Engineer Vehicle (AEV) based on the Leopard 2 tank chassis from Rheinmetall Landsysteme. The Kodiak AEV will be supplied by Rheinmetall in association with their Swiss partner RUAG Land Systems and first deliveries will commence RAFALE GENERATES LIBYAN INTEREST There is much speculation in the French media that Libya could become the first export customer for the Dassault Rafale. Defence links between France and Colonel Ghadafi’s Libya had been halted, but the French government has now authorised the resumption of defence exports to Libya and this move has already brought results. Last December, during the ‘Lavex 2006’ exhibition in Tripoli (December 4th-6th), the Libyan government announced it had just concluded a contract with France, valued at around $130 million for the refurbishment of 12 Dassault Mirage F1 fighters, out of an inventory of some 40 aircraft delivered back in the 1970s. Currently all of these aircraft are grounded, despite having very low airframe hours. Prime contractor for this deal will be Sofema, France’s military hardware export agency, but the companies directly involved in doing the work will be Dassault Aviation (airframe), Snecma (engines) and Thales (avionics). As only a small number of the old Mirage F1s are to be retrofitted, some experts in Paris think that this could open the way to a Rafale contract, a move which would mark the very first export sale Dassault aircraft. However, Dassault has most 52 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA in 2009. In Swiss Army service the Kodiak will be known as the ‘Geniepanzer’ and in total 12 vehicles are being acquired. Kodiak will be of obvious interest to the Singapore Armed Forces (SAF), who have just acquired the Leopard 2A4, and to other Leopard 2 users. The AEV has an excavator system and a dozer system. The excavator bucket can be replaced with a range of different tools, whilst the dozer can be replaced with a full-width mine plough. In addition the vehicle has two nine-ton capstan winches which, when combined, have pulling power equivalent to 63 tons. By Jean-Michel Guhl Exhibited during ‘Lavex 2006’, one of the Libyan Sukhoi Su-22M3 aircraft acquired from the former Soviet Union. Today, the Su-22M3 is the mainstay of Colonel Ghadafi’s air force; these potent strike fighters are in fairly good condition and are being maintained by Russian industry. definitely not confirmed this possibility. Despite this, the uncontested star of the ‘Lavex 2006’ exhibition held at the Okba Bin Nafi airbase was the Rafale. It attracted many visitors, including Mr Shukri Ghanem, the Libyan Prime Minister who spent some time seated in the French fighter. An official visit to France by Libyan President Muhammar Ghadafi is being scheduled for this coming Spring, where he will meet French President Jacques Chirac. Many believe that this visit could see significant defence contracts signed with France. However, being a totally undermanned and very large air arm relying mostly on foreign contracted technicians, the present Libyan Air Force has a very limited capacity to accept fourth or fifth generation fighters without providing its personnel with adequate high profile training abroad or without hiring more expatriates. The only fighters currently flying today with the Libyan Air Force are ex-Soviet types such as the MiG-21, MiG-23 or Su-22M3, which were also on display during ‘Lavex 2006’. Purchased in very high numbers in the 1970s and 1980s, these aircraft are regularly maintained by Russian contractors. WORLD VIEW SYSTEMS BMP-2 UPGRADES ALGERIA OPTS FOR BEREZHOK SOLUTION By Miroslav Gyürösi Some 300 Algerian BMP-2 IFVs are to be upgraded by KBP with the Berezhok armament upgraded package in a $700 million contract that came into effect in the third quarter of 2006. The upgrade dramatically enhances BMP-2 combat capabilities. (Photo: Miroslav Gyürösi) The Russian company KBP Instrument Design Bureau, based in Tula, signed a major contract with Algeria in the second half of 2005 to upgrade over 300 BMP-2 Infantry Fighting Vehicles (IFV) with installation of the new Berezhok armament upgrade package. That contract, with an approximate value of $700 million, came into force at the end of the third quarter of 2006. This upgrade provides a significant addition to the combat capabilities of the BMP-2 IFV, which will make it of interest to the large number of BMP-2 operators in this region and around the world. The upgrade package includes the replacement of the original Konkurs (AT-5) ATGM system by the new Kornet-E (AT-13) ATGM system which has a different guidance system, longer range and much higher effectiveness. The Kornet system offers two separate missile options - the 9M133-1 missile has a tandem shaped-charge warhead, while the 9M133-1F missile is equipped with a thermobaric warhead. The upgraded IFV has a newly installed 30 mm calibre AG-30 type automatic grenade launcher (AGL) and the Berezhok day/night fire control system with automatic target tracking capability. The upgrade retains the 30 mm 2A42 cannon and co-axial 7.62 mm PKT/PKTM machine, but also improves their performance as well. The new weapon systems, allied to the new fire control system, allows the BMP-2 to accurately engage targets out 5,500 metres. The key features of this new upgrade is that it gives the BMP-2 a full day/night combat capability, a fire on the move capability, automatic target tracking and the capability to engage aerial targets. The central element of this is the Berezhok automated fire control system. This comprises of a combined sight for the gunner; panoramic sight for the commander; VSU12 type monitors for the gunner and commander; automatic target tracking system; weapon stabilisation system; digital ballistic computer with sensors; electronic control unit; control panels for the gunner and the commander DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 53 SYSTEMS WORLD VIEW SYSTEM ELEMENTS - GUNNER’S COMBINED SIGHT The gunner’s sight has a field of view stabilised in both planes, monitoring channel with zoom, integrated laser rangefinder, 3rd generation thermal night channel and ATGM guidance channel. Gunner’s sight main characteristics Day channel magnification 12 x / 2.5 x Day channel field of view 4.5° / 20° LOS stabilisation accuracy in both planes 0.05 - 0.1 mrad LOS angles: INCREASED COMBAT POWER - vertical -15° ÷ +30° - horizontal ±10° Night channel IIR Firing range (depends on conditions) up to 5,500 m Range measuring capability 200 - 10,000 m Range measuring error Maximum 5 m Pulse repetition frequency 5 Hz COMMANDER’S PANORAMIC SIGHT The commander’s sight, which is located inside the armoured casing on the right side at the rear of the turret, provides the commander with a full 360° view, the ability to carry out effective AA fire and back-up the gunner. The commander’s panoramic sight has a stabilised field of view in both planes, a TV channel and pulse laser rangefinder. The Commander also has at his disposal the standard 1P3-13 periscope sight. Commander’s panoramic sight main characteristics Field of view LOS stabilisation accuracy in both planes 0.8° x 1.1° / 4.1° x 5.4° 0.05 - 0.1 mrad LOS angles: - vertical - horizontal Range measuring capability Pulse repetition frequency 54 DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA A look at the turret of the BMP-2 upgraded with the Berezhok package. Berezhok gives the BMP-2 full day/night fire on the move capabilities, plus the Kornet-E ATGM is installed, a new 30 mm AGL system and improved accuracy and ammunition is provided for the 2A42 30 mm cannon. (Photo: Miroslav Gyürösi) -15° ÷ +60° 360° 200 - 10,000 m 5 Hz The new fire control system allows the full performance envelope of the 30 mm 2A42 cannon to be exploited, AP rounds have a range of 2,200 metres and HE rounds have a range of 1,600 metres, both in day conditions. The ammunition natures available for the 2A42 include the BT with a muzzle velocity of 970 m/sec, the new BP (Broneboyniy Podkaliberniy) subcalibre round with a 1120 m/sec muzzle velocity and the OFZ HEI round with a 960 m/sec muzzle velocity. The BT round can penetrate up to 18 mm of armour at 1 km and 10 mm at 2 km, while the new BP round can penetrate 28 mm of armour at 2 km and 22 mm at 2km. The newly installed automatic grenade launcher (AGL) is located, along with its ammunition magazine, on the upper part of the turret rear of the upgraded BMP-2 IFV. This 30 mm AGL has a range of 1,700 metres with VOG-17M and VOG-30 grenades and 2,100 metres with the new GPD-30 grenades; ammunition capacity is 300 rounds The new Kornet-E ATGM is a major advance over the Konkurs system originally installed on the BMP-2, offering both more penetration and range. Most recently, combat operations in Lebanon have demonstrated that the Kornet-E can successfully penetrate modern tanks. The upgraded BMP-2 has launchers on either side of the turret, each with two missiles, for a total of four ready to fire missiles. Additionally four reloads are carried inside the BMP-2 vehicle. The upgraded BMP-2 can fire a salvo of two Kornet missiles, which is seen as a way of defeating armoured targets that are equipped with active protection systems. Kornet also has a guidance system with a much higher immunity to jamming than earlier generation ATGM systems. The availability of 9M1131F missile with its thermobaric warhead provides an ideal means to defeat bunkers and other protected firing positions, light armoured vehicles and even troops in the open. Another important advantage of the upgraded BMP-2 is that the Berezhok system provides a full fire on the move capability for Kornet and the other weapon systems, something that was not available on the standard BMP-2. Equally important is that Berezhok gives the BMP-2 a full night combat capability. All of this is a significant boost to the offensive capabilities of the BMP-2. About the author: Miroslav Gyürösi is a Contributing Editor to Defence Review Asia. Based in Bratislava, Slovakia, he covers defence developments in Eastern Europe. WORLD VIEW SYSTEMS selection of the Super Tucano finally came to end of their operational lives with the Apiay-based The fortunes of dedicated light attack/counterfruition in 2005. Grupo de Combate 21. insurgency (COIN) aircraft have declined in The avionics suite of the Colombian aircraft The deal with Brazil also includes a comprehenrecent years, but the changing military environincludes a head-up display, liquid-crystal activesive logistics and systems training package, with ment has now led to a reawakening of interest matrixes, coloured multifunction displays, a modern flight simulator. Elbit Systems is said in this aircraft category. Some nations are already automatic pilot with embedded mission planning to have a 5% share in this deal, with the Israeli ahead of the game though. In 2005, while everycapability and forward-looking infrared one’s eyes were focused on the Paris system. Cockpit armouring has been Air Show, it became apparent that introduced to ensure full crew safety the Brazilian company Embraer had during operational COIN missions at presented the only valid bid for a $235 low level. The Super Tucano armament million contract to sell light attack/ system can accommodate 3,300 pounds COIN aircraft to Colombia, whose of external load, distributed among five legal government has been waging a underwing and fuselage hard points long and endless war for years against without jeopardizing its sound perforelusive revolutionary forces (the FARC) mance. entrenched in the country’s Andes The Brazilian-made aircraft is capable and other immense tropical forest of receiving and transmitting data hideouts. through its state-of-the-art tactical data This purchase which went ahead link system. Sensor images, including quite smoothly for Embraer, contrary target data, are received and/or relayed to to what has been written elsewhere, command and control stations both on was finalised around a $235 million the ground or airborne, via data link, and contract with the Government of to other combat aircraft in the operationColombia for the sale of 25 A-29 Super al theatre. The Colombian Super Tucanos Tucano light attack/COIN aircraft. will also be the first of their kind to be The first five aircraft of this order were equipped with a FLIR System (the USofficially delivered on 12 December designed BRITE Star multi-sensor laser 2006 to the Fuerza Aérea Colombidesignator/ rangefinder system mounted ana (FAC) during a formal hand over in a turret under the nose of the aircraft) ceremony at Embraer’s new Gavião thus permitting night attack missions. A Peixoto factory in the state of São different self-protection system (able to Paulo, Brazil. Although the AT-27 EMB cope with FARC MANPADS) and other 312 Tucano is in service today with changes have been added; the aircraft some 16 air forces around the world also has the capability of launching a pair (a seventeenth, Iraq, is no more), this of Rafael Python III air-to-air missiles. marks the first sale of the upgraded The aircraft will also be able to deliver Super Tucano/ALX variant beyond the IAI 125 kg Griffin laser-guided bombs Brazil’s Força Aérea Brasileira’s 99recently purchased from Israel. plane order now in full production. The first five A-29 Super Tucanos for the Colombian Air Force pictured before delivery in December 2006, complete with menacing The prospects for more Super Tucano The Colombian Air Force (FAC) shark mouth markings. The Colombian version of the A-29 is a potent sales for Brazil are good. A new market currently operates fourteen Tucano COIN platform capable of performing all-weather and night attack for COIN aircraft is emerging today, basic training aircraft with Escuádron missions. (Photo Embraer) as older US-supplied aircraft like the 212 at BAM No.3, which were OV-10 Bronco and A-37 Dragonfly are purchased in the early 1990s. The new becoming hard to maintain. So far, Super Tucanos will be operated by the Venezuela and the Dominican Republic are in the firm providing radios, avionics and a support FAC from Base Aérea Militar No.3 in Villavicenprocess of finalising Super Tucano contracts with package for the aircraft. To secure this valuable cio-Apiay in Central Colombia, mainly for internal Embraer. Bolivia and Sri Lanka for their part have sale to the FAC, it must be recalled that in 2004 security and border patrol missions. They are both expressed interest in the new aircraft while Embraer despatched two brand new production scheduled to replace at a later date the US Air Angola could also add the A-29 to its existing fleet A-29s complete with a technical support team Force-supplied North American OV-10A Broncos of T-27 Tucanos in the near future. to Colombia, where after a sound evaluation the (retrofitted by Marsh Aviation) now nearing the NEW INTEREST IN COUNTERINSURGENCY AIRCRAFT By Jean-Michel Guhl DEFENCE REVIEW ASIA 55 THE EDITOR’S BOOKSHELF The ‘Editor’s Bookshelf ’ will be a regular feature in Defence Review Asia, and is designed to provide brief reviews of books that we have found both interesting and useful. The books that we are discussing will generally, but not always, cover military subjects, history and politics. Our aim is to cover books that are hopefully fascinating, but occasionally there will be those books that are so bad that our aim will be to deliver a necessary ‘health warning’! SHOPPING FOR BOMBS – NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION, GLOBAL INSECURITY AND THE RISE AND FALL OF THE A.Q. KHAN NETWORK. Gordon Corera (Hurst, London, 2006). Gordon Corera is a Security Correspondent for BBC News. Do not let the BBC link put you off, this a very important book that exposes the role of A.Q. Khan in the spread of nuclear weapons technology beyond Pakistan to Libya and Iran and his links with North Korea. Essential for understanding how nuclear weapons proliferation happened while the international community failed to act. THE WHITE MAN’S BURDEN – WHY THE WEST’S EFFORTS TO AID THE REST HAVE DONE SO MUCH ILL AND SO LITTLE GOOD. William Easterly (The Penguin Press, New York, 2006). Easterly is the professor of economics at New York University and a senior fellow at the Center for Global Development. Previously he was a senior research economist at the World Bank for over sixteen years. In an era where ‘Failed States’ are constantly in the news and when calls for international aid are never ending, this book is an essential passport to reality. Well worth reading, it catalogues the many failures of international aid and develops alternative strategies that actually could work, lift people out of poverty and contribute to nation building. ISONZO – THE FORGOTTEN SACRIFICE OF THE GREAT WAR. John R. Schindler (Praeger, Westport, 2001). This book is an absolutely fascinating guide to one of the most neglected campaigns of the First World War where, between 1915 and 1918, Italian and Allied, as well as Austro-Hungarian casualties were in excess of 1.75 million. Reading this book again after a couple of years confirms how important it is as a guide to military incompetence of an unbelievable degree and at the same time the courage and sacrifice of ordinary soldiers of many different nationalities. 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It is the perfect forum in which to compare and evaluate competing technologies. Trade day admissions are restricted to those with a professional or operational interest in aviation, aerospace or defence. AVALON AIRPORT VICTORIA, AUSTRALIA Telephone: +61 3 52820500 20-25 MARCH 2007 Email: [email protected] www.airshow.net.au The Australian International Aerospace and Defence Exposition is a presentation of Aerospace Australia Limited.