GE Consumer Finance

Transcription

GE Consumer Finance
GE Consumer Finance
Dave Nissen
President and CEO, GE Consumer Finance
Mark Begor
President and CEO, GE Consumer Finance – Americas
October 29, 2003
This presentation includes certain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning
of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are
based on management's current expectations and are subject to uncertainty and
changes in circumstances. Actual results may differ materially from these
expectations due to changes in global economic, business, competitive, market
and regulatory factors. More detailed information about those factors is contained
in GE's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This presentation
includes certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined under SEC rules. As
required by SEC rules, at the end of this slide presentation we have provided a
reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure
and a copy of the relevant slides is available on our investor relations website.
Strong Asset Growth Record
Served Assets
($B)
~$100
~18%
AAGR
$48
$27
$30
’95
’96
$54
$80
$65
$58
$36
’97
’98
’99
’00
’01
’02
’03E
Consistent Growth Through Cycles
Nissen Analyst Final 2
1
Earnings History
Net Income
($B)
$2.1-2.2
Double-Digit Growth
At 30+% ROE
20+%
AAGR
War / SARS/
War
Slow Growth
Uncertainty/
Stagnant
Economy
9/11
Recession
European
Slowdown
Asia
Currency
Crisis
U.S. Growth
Economy
Japan
Recession
$0.4
’95
’96
’97
’98
’99
’00
’01
’02
’03E
Consistent Growth Through Cycles
Nissen Analyst Final 3
Charter
Net Income
($B)
’95
1
Double-Digit Asset and Profit Growth
2
Develop Consumer Marketing Zealots
3
Risk Management Vigilance
4
Execute in a Huge Marketplace ($14T)
’96
’97
’98
’99
’00
’01
’02
’03E
A Strong, Growing Consumer Finance Business
Nissen Analyst Final 4
2
Industry Landscape
ƒ Consumer Market =
ƒ Industry Returns Continues To Be
Strong
$14Trillion
ROA %
Personal Loan
735
2.8
2.6
Secured Debt
1,350
2.4
2.0
Auto via Dealers
1,300
2.2
2.4
2.0
Cards
925
Mortgages
10,000
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Huge Industry With Strong Returns
Nissen Analyst Final 5
What We Do
Broad Product Line
Credit
Cards
Multiple Distribution
Channels
Retailers
Personal
Loans
Mail
Sales
Finance
Telemarketing
Mortgages
Auto
Insurance
Target Customers
Branches / Partner Points
ATM / Kiosks
Internet
Nissen Analyst Final 6
3
Products and Reach
Product Lines – Served Assets
Sales Finance
Personal Loans
18%
Customers
16%
21%
3%
103MM
Served Assets
$95B
ATMs
185M
Retail Outlets
140M
Cards
23%
Auto
Reach
19%
Commercial
Mortgages
Large and Diverse Customer Base
Nissen Analyst Final 7
Business Overview
Net Income
Served Assets
Japan
Australia Japan
7%
Americas
26%
Asia
Australia
10%
5%
6%
34%
52%
Americas
Asia
20%
3%
37%
Europe
Europe
A Global GE Business
Nissen Analyst Final 8
4
2003 Acquisitions
FNB
-
$8.2B
Conseco
-
$2.7B
Allbank
-
$2.3B
GC Card
-
$1.1B
AMAG
-
$1.0B
Auxifina
-
$0.3B
~$16B Assets YTD
Nissen Analyst Final 9
Acquisition Window
„ Good Geographic Spread of Opportunities - 16 Deals In Pipeline;
4 Deals In Due Diligence
Solid Pipeline Heading Into ’04
Nissen Analyst Final 10
5
Post Acquisition Growth
($B)
Post Acquisition Income Growth
Acquisition Year Income
$2.1-2.2
$1.6
$1.8
$1.3
$0.8
$0.5
$0.6
1.1
1.3
1.51.6
0.9
0.5
$0.4
$0.4
0.3
0.1
0.3
0.1
0.4
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.2
'95
'96
'97
'98
'99
'00
'01
'02
'03 E
0.4
23%
AAGR
We Don’t Buy Growth … We Grow What We Buy
Nissen Analyst Final 11
Core Growth Focus
+
Broad Distribution
+
Cross-Sell / Up-Sell
+
Consumer Marketing
+
NPI
Double-Digit Core Growth 4 Years Running
Nissen Analyst Final 12
6
Global Product Offerings: NPI
UK
Sweden Norway Denmark France
Austria
Ger
Switz
Czech
Rep
Poland Hungary Spain Indonesia Portugal
Ireland
Japan
India
Australia
Brazil
Mexico
Hong
Kong
Thailand
US
Product Lines
PLCC / Cards
Bank Cards
Sales Finance
Personal Loans
Mortgages
Auto Loan / Lease
Cash Access
Insurance / PPI
Savings / Deposits
Life
General
PURCHASED
ADDED
OPPORTUNITY
Huge Opportunity to Expand Global Product Offerings
Nissen Analyst Final 13
Risk Management
• World Class Risk Management
– Apps, Collections and Behavior Scoring
– Rigorous Credit Line Management
– High Tech Collection Centers
– Risk Dashboards for Continuous Portfolio Monitoring
– ~7,000+ Risk and Collection Professionals
• Strong Reserving Policies
– 3Q’03 Reserves up 40% to $3.7B from 3Q’02
– Revolving – 180 Day = Full Reserve / W/O
– Closed End – 120 Day = Full Reserve / W/O
– Strict Re-Aging Policies
• Great Long-Term Performance
World Class Risk Management Critical To Success
Nissen Analyst Final 14
7
30+ Delinquencies
U.S.
GE Consumer Finance
7%
10%
6%
5.48%
5.37%
4.89%
4.74%
5.56%
5.58%
4.89%
4.94%
9%
5.84%
5.81%
5.62%
5.08%
4.91%
8%
6.71%
7%
5%
5.11%
6.84%
6.25%
6.85%
6.61%
6.46%
6%
4%
5.96%
5%
4%
3%
30+%
30+% excl igroup
3%
2%
2003
13.98%
15%
4.21%
4.22%
4.25%
4.56%
4.42%
Jul
Sep
May
Jan
Mar
Nov
Jul
May
Sep
2003
igroup
20%
6%
5%
2002
* Excludes THD
International
7%
Mar
Jan
Sep
Jul
May
Jan
Mar
Sep
Nov
Jul
Mar
May
Jan
2%
2002
14.04%
14.04%
12.90%
13.06%
13.46%
12.83%
4.88%
4.51%
10%
4%
5%
3%
2002
2003
2002
Sep
Jul
May
Mar
Jan
Nov
Sep
Jul
May
Jan
Mar
Sep
Jul
May
Mar
Jan
Sep
Nov
Jul
May
Jan
0%
Mar
2%
* Excludes igroup
2003
Asset Quality Stable
Nissen Analyst Final 15
Loss Trends
Loss Rate %
U.S.
6.1
5.2
5.2
6.5
6.3
International
2.2
2.3
2.2
2.4
2.6
'99
'00
'01
'02
'03E
A Broad Range of Product Risk Profiles
… Higher Spreads Compensate for Higher Losses
Mortgage
Sales
Finance
Auto
Personal
Loans Cards
Loss Rate %
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Losses Have Been Stable
Nissen Analyst Final 16
8
Productivity
OP & Admin /
ANI %
7.0%
$2.1
’99
6.9%
$2.3
6.1%
$2.6
‘00
’01
5.7%
5.3%
$3.1 Assets /
$2.9
’02
Head
($MM)
’03 YTD
Consistent Productivity Gains Every Year
Nissen Analyst Final 17
Compliance
• Compliance Leadership in Every Country
• Compliance Culture
– Spirit & Letter
– Ombuds System
– Key Priority of Acquisition
Integration
• Telephone Follow Ups
• Secret Shoppers / Secret Audits
More Than 200 Legal, Compliance and Audit Personnel
…Ongoing Corporate Audit Staff Involvement
Nissen Analyst Final 18
9
GE Consumer Finance
Americas
“Becoming a Broad
Consumer Finance Company”
Our Priorities
1. Drive Retail Finance
9 More Retailers
9 Penetration/New Accounts
9 Manage Losses
9 Drive Productivity
2. Transformation Into
Consumer Finance
9 Leverage Large Base of
Touchpoints
9 Adding New Products… Dual
Card, Personal Loan, Home
Finance
Drive Core at Retail… Build on Touchpoints With New Products
Nissen Analyst Final 20
10
Expanding Distribution Through Retailers
100+ Partners
Recent Extensions / New Deals
9 Wal-Mart U.S.
9 Wal-Mart Canada
9 Sam’s Club Canada
9 Lowe’s – Commercial & Consumer
9 Bebe
9 Brooks Brothers
+ 90,000 Dealers
9 Meijer
9 Carrefour
9 Yamaha
9 Grupo Gigante
9 Grupo Mercado
Building Retail Relationship And Source Of Customers
Nissen Analyst Final 21
Grow Retail Card Offerings
Served Assets
$25B
$18B
Key Growth Objectives
• Win More Deals
• Extend Current Retailer
Relationships
• Expand Functionality
10-15%
– Cash Access
– Debt Cancellation
Today
2006F
– Improved Statements
– Youth & Hispanic
• Grow Canada & Mexico
Double-Digit Growth From Core Business
Nissen Analyst Final 22
11
Drive Sales Finance
Key Growth Objectives
Served Assets
• Expand Relationships
$12B
• Integrate and Grow Conseco
$6B
25-30%
• Drive New Market Growth…
Healthcare, Power Sports
Today
• X-Sell Opportunity And New
2006F
Products
Great Growth Business… Huge X-Sell Opportunity
Nissen Analyst Final 23
Drive Healthcare Sales Finance
$83B Industry
• Dentists
• Orthodontists
Insured
$30B
• Veterinaries
Self Pay
$53B
• Optometrists
• Weight Loss
Clinics
Served
Assets
• Patient Financing Of Self Pay
Treatments
• ’02 CareCredit & ’03 Citi Acquisitions
• Strong Relationships In Dental
• 40 Medical Associations Endorsements
• Exploring New Industries
Growth ’04F
Dealers
$0.8B
44%
40,000
Dental
$0.5
35%
27,000
Vision
Vet / Other
$0.1
$0.2
82%
6,000
59%
7,000
Today
Expanding In High Growth Healthcare Industry
Nissen Analyst Final 24
12
Risk Management
Key Risk Levers
Loss Rate %
• Increase Approval Rates With
Consistent Credit Standards
6.5%
6.1%
Excess Fraud
6.3%
• Continuous Re-Scoring Of Portfolio
Drives Stable Credit Quality
• Manage Credit Lines In All
Economies
'01
'02
• Driving Collection Effectiveness
Through Capacity & Strategic
Models
'03E
Holding Losses In A Tough Environment
Nissen Analyst Final 25
Credit Quality Mix
% Of Assets
80%
Low Risk
60%
40%
Medium Risk
20%
Higher Risk
3
l-0
Ju
-0
3
M
ay
-0
3
M
ar
2
03
nJa
v0
No
02
2
l-0
pSe
Ju
-0
2
M
ay
-0
2
M
ar
Ja
n-
02
0%
Advanced Risk Tools Resulting In Stable Credit Quality
Nissen Analyst Final 26
13
Productivity
Cost / Active Account
Core Business
$31.32
Driving Core Productivity…
(7%)
$29.19
'04F
’03E
1.
Activity-Based Costing
2.
Low-Cost Countries
3.
Technology & Op Excellence
'05F
7% Reduction In Cost/Active Account
… Fueling New Product Growth
Nissen Analyst Final 27
U.S. Consumer Finance Landscape
Assets ($B)
$966
$5,431
Loans
Our
Focus
Mortgage/
Home Equity
H
Bank
Card
Bankcard
Mortgages
M
$610
GE Focus
PLCC
L
Products
$7,100
$93
Product Attractiveness
Real Estate
Non-Revolving
Revolving
Growth Areas
Auto
Vacation
Education
L
Dual Card
Private Label
Home
Equity
Sales
Finance
Personal
Loans
Boats / RVs
Manuf.
Housing
M
H
GE’s Expertise
Huge Market With Big Growth Potential for GE
Nissen Analyst Final 28
14
Using Customer Touch Points To X-Sell New Products
X-Sell Channels
New GECF Products
• Dual Card
Direct
Mail
• Personal Loans
Customer Service/
Collections Offers
• Convenience
Checks
X-Sell
Out-Bound Calls
Statements
• Cash Access
• Debt
Consolidation
• Home Equity &
Secured Debt
IVR
Kiosk
In Store
Multi-Product Relationships… Core GECF Capability
Nissen Analyst Final 29
Expand Product Offerings … Dual Card
Roll-Out
Private Label
• Entry Card
1. Convert Inactives
• Lower Lines
• Promo’s
2. Upgrade Actives
3. POS Integration
Dual Card
• Expanded
Functionality
… Not Just Co-Brand
• Loyalty / Rewards
• Larger Lines
• Cash Access
4. Dual Application
5. Selective Direct Mail
Right Card for Right Customer . . .
Dual Card To $5B By ’06
Nissen Analyst Final 30
15
Expand Product Offerings … Personal Loans
Roll-Out
1. Retailer Branded
• Big Ticket Purchases . . .
Kitchens, Decks,
Electronics, Furniture
• POS Offers By Retailer
Actives
+
Inactives
44MM
12
24
36
Offer?
Offer?
Offer?
(Months)
2. GE FlexPlus X-Sell
• Sales Finance Offers In
Life Cycle
48MM
1. Direct Mail
2. POS / Dual Application
3. Customer Service Offers
• Direct Mail
• Customer Service Offer
4. Statement Messages
$3 - 4B Assets By ’06
Nissen Analyst Final 31
Expand Product Offerings… Secured Debt
Cross-Sell Models
• Highly Analytic
llRo
• PLCC and Sales
Finance Customer
Base
ow
Target
X-Sell
Sell
Closing
N
st
Te
t
Ou
Close
• Outside Network
Of Lawyers,
Appraisers, etc.
Telesales
• Large, Centralized
Locations
• Best Practice
Compliance
X-Sell Secured Credit To Our Customer Base
Nissen Analyst Final 32
16
Our Vision For Consumer Finance
Acquire
Customers
Finance
Retail Sales
Build on GE
Touchpoints
X-Sell New
Products
21MM
Cards Issued
• Dual Card
86MM Cust.
Service Calls
Retailer
+
Dealer
Partnerships
• Personal Loans
550MM
Statements
15MM Letters
49 MM Collection
Calls (In/Out)
• Home Equity
• Line Extensions
• Cash Access
• Credit Protection
10MM Hits
From 1 Product / Customer To Multi-Product Focus
Nissen Analyst Final 33
Financials – Americas
Served Assets ($B)
Net Income ($MM)
AAGR = 18-22%
Core Growth 12%
$28.1
THD
7.2
$20.9
'02
# Active A/Cs (MM) 45
$740 - 765
$26.1+
2.7+
$627
Conseco
$23.4
'03E
44
ROE
'02
'03E
46%
~50%
Continued Asset and Earnings Growth
Nissen Analyst Final 34
17
Transformation Into Broad Consumer Finance Player
Our Focus
$50B
Home Fin
Personal
Loan
Dual Card
$26B
Private
Label/
Sales
Finance
Today
• Consumer Life Cycle
• # Products/Customer
• X-Sell Rate
Private
Label/
Sales
Finance
• Customers & Partners
• Product / Retailer P&Ls
Future
Strong Growth Potential… Still Small in Huge Market
Nissen Analyst Final 35
European Growth
• Served Assets Ï 44%
• Core Growth
– Consumer . . . Launched Dualcard
– Mortgage . . . Launching Start-ups
• Acquisitions . . . Deals Completed
UK
Germany
Swiss
Poland
Belgium
Nissen Analyst Final 36
18
Growth - Eastern Europe
„ Strong Growth:
Population
(MM)
• Czech Republic
10
• Hungary
10
• Poland
40
Total
60
NEA’s ($B)
AAGR = 51%
NI ($MM)
40+%
4.2B
125
87
0.8
’99
’03E
’02
’03E
„ With Further Potential:
GDP per
Head
• Eastern Europe
• EU Average
$4.7 M
20.8 M
Consumer
Indebtedness
7%
50%
A Growth Engine in Europe
Nissen Analyst Final 37
Europe: Productivity
Ongoing Commitment. . .
Acquisition Integration
On Track
Opex to CV %
OpEx / CV %
63% Cetelem
2000A
2001A
2002A 03SI 2003 03SI 2004 03SI 2005 03SI 2006
59%
67.2%
59.4%
89.1%
94.8%
80.6%
72.9%
68.6%
40.6%
39.8%
36.0%
32.5%
57%51.6% 59.1% 49.6% 47.9% 45.6% 41.1%
93.1%
Austria
Belgium
Czech Republic
DOMs
France
Germany
Hungary
Ireland
Italy
Poland GECB
Poland HB
Portugal
Norway
Sweden
Auto Sweden
Denmark
Spain Auto
Spain Mortgage
Switzerland
UK Auto
UK Consumer
UK First National
UK igroup
Europe HQ
GECF Europe
40.7%
98.0%
103.9%
-1.3%
43.2%
61.5%
56.1%
88.1%
57.9%
28.4%
46.3%
67.2%
37.0%
67.7%
37.3%
90.8%
92.6%
81.2%
45.6%
66.2%
42.7%
63.6%
69.7%
32.1%
45.9%
72.0%
46.2%
72.2%
37.8%
33.7%
42.9%
56.3%
30.2%
44.6%
69.5%
47.9%
65.8%
53.9%
43.1%
44.7%
49.0%
46.7%
43.4%
45.6%
65.2%
41.5%
171.9%
56.9%
76.9%
1473.7%
57.0%
43.2%
-800.4%
50.9%
35.2%
35.2%
34.9%
39.6%
62.3%
30.8%
42.4%
36.7%
55.9%
30.3%
38.8%
34.4%
48.8%
29.5%
38.1%
48.8%
41.1%
47.1%
49.7%
31.9%
35.2%
40.8%
28.5%
32.2%
1225.3%
40.2%
68.7%
63.3%
57.0%
50.8%
54%64.8%
73.7%
74.5%
65.8%
54.9%
49.4%
MBNA
71.0%
63.2%
60.9%
53%64.8%
Citi 65.4%
Cons
48.4%
53.0%
50.3%
47.9% W-Eur
42.2%
47.7%
42.4%
42.3%
39.0%
38.3%
52%
GECF-E
31.8%
29.4%
28.3%
29.0%
28.1%
43.1%
61.1%
49%
30.2%
43.6%
64.3%
49.0%
70.8%
353.2%
38.6%
40.5%
47.6%
37.4%
40.9%
379.6%
49.3%
62.1%
54.9%
47%
48.4%
45.8%
60.4%
52.6%
119.3%
70.3%
38.2%
34.8%
38.8%
38.0%
46.1%
44.1%
35.2%
31.0%
37.5%
34.7%
-312.7% 1433.0%
47.1%
43.6%
43%
Double Digit
Productivity
Served Assets / Head
Ï 15%
40%
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06
Building Cross-Border
Capabilities
Increasing Focus… 40% OpEx To CV % By 2006
Nissen Analyst Final 38
19
Europe: Risk Management
Loss Rate
1.6
1.4%
1.4%
1.2%
1.2
0.8
0.4
0
'01
'02
'03 E
30+ Delinquency
5.6
4.2
4.3%
4.3%
4.4%
'01
'02
'03
2.8
1.4
0
* Excludes igroup
Stable Portfolio Performance
Nissen Analyst Final 39
Financials - Europe
Net Income ($MM)
Served Assets ($B)
Core Growth ~10%
AAGR = 31%
$48.0
11.7
$33.2
$860-890
Acq
$671
$36.3
$510
$25.9
# Active A/Cs
'01
'02
'03E
15
16
20MM
ROE
'01
'02
31%
32%
'03E
~25 – 30%
Growth, Productivity & Risk Vigilance Driving Strong Results
Nissen Analyst Final 40
20
2003 Japan Performance
$9.2B
+1%
~$440MM
• Economy Continues to Struggle
(10%)
• Lenders Dealing with Higher
Bankruptcy / Loss Environment
… GE Loss Rate Up 164 bps to ~6.70%
• Taking Necessary Actions… Core
Assets/Earnings Down
Served Assets
’03E
• Tightened Credit Lines
• 35% More Collectors in ’03
• Implementing Global Best
Practices
Net Income
’03E
ROE
40+%
• Opportunistic Acquisition
Environment (GC Card)
Very Profitable Business… Managing A Tough Environment
Nissen Analyst Final 41
Japan: Strategy Summary
1. Become the Low Cost
Player in the Market
2. Proactive Risk
Management
• Branch Consolidation
• Risk Based Pricing
• Back-office Centralization
• Build Line Management Skills
•Dalian Outsourcing
• Upgrade Scores for Anti-BKO
3. Expand
Breadth & Depth
• Visa / MC Acquisition
(GC Card)
• Cross-Sell Debt
Consolidation
Creating A Sustainable Growth Company
Nissen Analyst Final 42
21
Japan: Productivity
Results
’01
OP & Admin
/ ANI %
’02
6.7%
’03E
6.0%
(70bps)
5.7%
(30bps)
Comparison (Est.)
NEA ($B)
Citi
Kiosks
Manned
Branches
EFT
Opex/
ANI
$13
370
850
6,300
9.4%
Acom
14
1,240
520
4,360
8.0%
Promise
12
1,050
460
3,979
7.9%
Aiful
11
1,050
530
3,600
7.7%
GECF-Japan
9.6
1,032
304
3,093
6.0%
Takefuji
15
1,320
530
3,750
4.9%
Source: ’02 Yr. End internal estimates
Nissen Analyst Final 43
Japan: Risk Management
30+ Delinquency
4.30%
4.10%
3.90%
3.70%
3.50%
3.30%
3.10%
2.90%
2.70%
2.50%
4.00%
3.93%
Dec
Mar
4.03%
4.06%
June
Sept
3.68%
3.56%
3.33%
Mar
June
Sept
2002
2003
Annualized BKO % of Outstandings
5.0%
4.5%
4.0%
3.5%
3.0%
2.5%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
Jan
Mar
May
2001
Jul
Sep
Nov
2002
Jan
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
2003
Delinquency And Bankruptcies Stabilizing
Nissen Analyst Final 44
22
Financials – Australia/New Zealand
Served Assets ($B)
Net Income ($MM)
Core Growth ~20%
AAGR = 37%
$7.1
$140-160
$6.0
$93
$80
$2.4
'01
# Active A/Cs
2.0
'02
3.3
'01
'02
'03E
Loss Rate % 2.0%
1.9%
2.0%
22%
24%
~25 – 28%
'03E
2.9MM
ROE
Dual Card and Cross-Sell Re-energizing Core Growth and Margin
Nissen Analyst Final 45
GECF Asia
• In 8 Countries
• Good Economic
Recovery
• 3 Billion Population
New Player in Dynamic Growing Market
Nissen Analyst Final 46
23
Financials - Asia
Served Assets ($B)
Net Income ($MM)
Core Growth 26%
AAGR = 50%
$5.3
$46
$4.2
$2.8
# Active A/Cs
$60-70
$29
'01
'02
'03E
1.9
2.4
2.7MM
'01
'02
'03E
Loss Rate %
2.4%
3.5%
4.2%
ROE
19%
21%
~21 – 23%
Strengthening Resources Across Asia
Nissen Analyst Final 47
GE Consumer Finance ’03 Financials
• Net Income
• Assets
• Risk Management
• Productivity
• Acquisitions
Loss
Rate %
Reduce Expenses
As % Investment
ROE
30+%
~$2.1-2.2B
~20%
~$100B
25%
U.S. 6.3%
Int’l 2.6%
State of the Art
Risk Management
Ð 40
bps
$16B
Assets
6σ Process
Discipline
Core Acquisitions
A Strong, Growing Consumer Finance Business
Nissen Analyst Final 48
24

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