Distance Learning Project
Transcription
Distance Learning Project
Distance Learning Project Cooperative activities and innovative forms of value net organisation in the automobile industry Paper: Topic 3 What are the characteristics of automotive distribution in 2020? Authors: Stefanie Goede Tim Schlüter Rafal Borowicki Özkan Hayta Bas van den Dungen Iwona Kloskowska Jakub Nawrocki (University of Flensburg) (University of Flensburg) (University of Flensburg) (University of Flensburg) (Radboud University Nijmegen) (University of Lodz) (University of Lodz) Table of content Table of content ....................................................................................................II Table of figures .................................................................................................... IV 1. Introduction ................................................................................................... 1 2. Problem Statement ......................................................................................... 1 3. The Car Distribution in Europe .......................................................................... 2 3.1 The Independent Model: ........................................................................... 3 3.2 Franchise Model: ...................................................................................... 4 3.3 Direct distribution .................................................................................... 5 4. Environmental triggers and their impacts ....................................................... 6 4.1 4.1.1 Political and legal issues ..................................................................... 6 4.1.2 Economic issues ................................................................................ 7 4.1.3 Socio-cultural issues .......................................................................... 8 4.1.4 Technological issues........................................................................... 9 4.2 5. PEST: Germany ....................................................................................... 6 PEST: Poland ........................................................................................... 9 4.2.1 Political and legal issues ....................................................................11 4.2.2 Economic issues ...............................................................................12 4.2.3 Socio-cultural issues .........................................................................12 4.2.4 Technological issues..........................................................................13 Comparing automobile distribution...................................................................13 5.1 Germany................................................................................................13 5.1.1 The threat of substitute products ........................................................13 5.1.2 The intensity of competitive rivalry .....................................................14 5.1.3 The bargaining power of customers ....................................................15 5.1.4 The bargaining power of supplier ........................................................16 5.1.5 The threat of entry of new competitors................................................16 5.1.6 Main distribution model in Germany ....................................................17 5.2 Poland ...................................................................................................17 5.2.1 The threat of substitute products ........................................................17 5.2.2 The intensity of competitive rivalry .....................................................18 5.2.3 The bargaining power of customers ....................................................18 5.2.4 The bargaining power of supplier ........................................................19 5.2.5 The threat of entry of new competitors................................................19 5.2.6 Main distribution model in Poland .......................................................19 II 6. Future outlook ...............................................................................................21 6.1 Poland ...................................................................................................21 6.2 Germany................................................................................................22 6.2.1 Direct distribution .............................................................................22 6.2.2 Independent Model – Americanisation .................................................23 6.2.3 Importance of Internet ......................................................................23 7. Conclusion ....................................................................................................26 8. References ....................................................................................................28 9. Appendix ......................................................................................................31 Case Study Inditex.........................................................................................31 Case Study Dell .............................................................................................32 Commission Regulation (EC) No 1400/2002 ......................................................33 III Table of figures Figure 1 A Spectrum of distribution models 3 Figure 2 GDP pro capita in purchasing power parity for the EU countries 7 Figure 3 Market Share of different car brands in Germany 9 Figure 4 Dynamic of GDP growth in Poland in years 2000 – 2006 10 Figure 5 Value of motor vehicles export from Poland in years 2004-2007 11 Figure 6 Use of Internet in car purchasing 14 Figure 7 Automotive industry structure in Germany 15 Figure 8 Customer Structure Germany 16 Figure 9 New and used cars and used car ratios 20 Figure 10 Sources of used cars bought in Poland in 2007 20 Figure 11 Automotive industry structure in Germany 23 Figure 12 Reasons for problems in car dealing from the dealer’s point of view 24 Figure 13 Use of Internet – new-car sales 25 Figure 14 Use of Internet – used-car sales 26 IV 1. Introduction The automotive industry is still one of the most important industries in Europe and will be important in the future. One of the main fields of the automotive market is the car distribution, which deals with the problem of how the cars reach the customer (Ahlert, 1991, p.10). It describes the relationship between the manufacturer and the retailer, i.e. contractual regulations, ownership or level of vertical integration (Chieux et al., 2007, p.1). Different strategies and approaches exist to manage and coordinate the relationship between the manufacturer and the retailer, ranging from a totally independent approach where the retailer has no contractual relationship with the manufacturer or a hierarchical approach where the manufacturer owns and controls the outlets. Selecting the right distribution strategy is important for succeeding in the car market. The manufacturer has to choose the best way to bring his car to the customer. Today the automotive industry, like any industry, has to deal with new challenges because of changing markets. Drivers for change include the continuing internationalisation, growing competition in the market, changing consumer demands and the growing importance of the Internet. To manage these new challenges car distribution channels will change. Both the manufacturer and the retailer groups have to select the proper strategy to be close to the market and to fulfil the new consumer demands, because in the end, the customer decides who will succeed. This paper analyses what models dominate the car distribution market and how these models will be affected by the before mentioned changes. For motives of convenience the car distribution markets in Germany and Poland, one developed and one developing country, have been selected as focus for this paper. 2. Problem Statement “What are the characteristics of automotive distribution in 2020?” In order to answer this question this paper will analyse what models dominate the car distribution market today, look for changes in trends and determine how these changes will affect the distribution models success in the future. To this end three sub questions have been formulated that together should answer the main research question: 1) What are the core characteristics of automobile distribution today and which different distribution models can be identified? 1 2) What political, economic, socio-cultural and technical trends can in identified in the investigated markets? 3) How do these trends influence the car distribution models’ success? The paper is structured according to these questions. Chapter 3 describes the three main models of car distribution in Europe and how the relationship between the manufacturer and the retailer is managed. Chapter 4 gives a PEST analysis for Poland and Germany, showing the differences between these two countries and the trends that can be recognized there. The fifth chapter is a comparison of the Polish and the German automotive market by applying Porter’s Five Forces. It shows the distribution models that are currently dominating in the investigated markets. The sixth chapter will than conclude with answering our main research question and explain which distribution model will, based on their characteristics and the appropriate changes, be dominant in the future. The last chapter builds a short conclusion of the paper. 3. The Car Distribution in Europe There are different approaches and models for car distribution in Europe. These models describe the organization of car retailing and the relation between the vehicle manufacturer (VM) and its dealers. One definition given for distribution models is “The manner in which goods move from the manufacturer to the outlet where the consumer purchases them; in some marketplaces, it's a very complex channel, including distributors, wholesaler, jobbers and brokers” (www.entrepreneur.com) This paper will concentrate on the three main models in car distribution, being “The Independent Model”, “The Franchise Model” and “The Direct Distribution Model”. Other models exist, but are adaptations or mixtures of these main models. Including all of these models would exceed the scope of this paper. 2 Figure 1 A Spectrum of distribution models (S. Royer et al., 2008, p. 2) 3.1 The Independent Model: One of the three main car distribution models is the “Independent Model”. This approach is characterized by a very low level of integration. For the complete independent approach you can even say that there is at all no integration. That means the retail organization is fully independent of the manufacturer. The retail organization does not have to fulfil any standards or regulations that are written down in any kind of contract, providing the retailer with a freedom of choice regarding the source and sale of its vehicles (T.Chieux et al., 2007, p.10). The “Independent Model” therefore has a wholesale orientation and is mostly used for providing used cars. This model can be compared to a “supermarket” that sells a range of nearly new cars (T.Chieux et al., 2007, p.10). Therefore in the new-car market the “Independent Model” includes a higher level of integration of the manufacturer. In this context you can talk about an “efficient delegation”. This way of car distribution shows a bit more of vertical integration. That means that the retailer is still very independent of the manufacturer but there are at least some restrictions or standards given by the manufacturer like following the right use of its brand or salesmen’s training when there are new car models. But at all the relationship still focus on the division of labour that the manufacturer produces and the retail organization distributes (T.Chieux et al., 2007, p.5). On the one hand that lowers the costs for the manufacturer because the retailer is in charge of selling the cars and communicates with its customers. On the other hand it gives more independence to the retailer because he isn’t bound to a lot of standards and requirements of the manufacturer. The contract between both parties mainly consists of results. That could mean that both parties negotiate in advance which amount of cars the retailer will order 3 and that he would guarantee a minimum of sold cars to the manufacturer (T.Chieux et al., 2007, p. 6). In other words: it is coordinated by the market. This approach is more useful and used in the new car-car market. 3.2 Franchise Model: The Franchise Model is a form of vertical cooperation (D.Ahlert, 1991, p. 216). “The franchiser gives a right to the franchisee against payment, e.g. a right to use a total business concept/system, including use of trade marks [brands], against some agreed royalty.” (S.Hollensen, 2007, p. 335) The franchise system offered by the franchiser combines advantages of economies of scale, achieved through a large number of outlets following the same concept and the local knowledge of the franchisee (S.Hollensen, 2007, p.337). This is especially of advantage when it is a company’s aim to expand across national borders. A strong cooperative relationship based on mutual loyalty and trust between the vehicle manufacturer and the franchisee is essential for the success of this model. The franchiser provides the business concept containing, among other things, trade marks, support services, design of the outlet, business know-how and marketing resources, whereas the franchisee brings in capital and “the motivation to operate a successful independent business” (S.Hollensen, 2007, p.338). Ownership in this sense, i.e. the franchisee’s status of being economically independent, serves as an incentive for the entrepreneur and as a guarantee for the business’ effectiveness and efficiency but at the same time requires a certain ability to invest from the potential franchisee (T.Chieux et al., 2007, p.7). The vehicle manufacturer provides a certain business framework to its franchisee in order to assure the high quality standards required, leaving room for minor adjustments that enable the franchisee to respond to the local customer needs in a flexible manner and inform the franchiser about changes in e.g. customer demands (T.Chieux et al., 2007, p.7). A disadvantage for the franchiser is the lack of direct control over the operation. The VM is dependent on the franchisee as interface between the franchiser and the end-user. Problems concerning the cooperative relationship, quality control and the protection of the company’s as well as the product’s image might result. If his performance lacks efficiency or consistency with the corporate headquarters, this will probably affect the franchise system as a whole. Here it becomes obvious that recruiting a competent franchisee can be time consuming and also expensive (S.Hollensen, 2007, p. 349). Apart from the risks the franchiser has to bear there is also a certain risk for the franchisee involved. The franchiser cannot be sure ex ante that the provided concept is successful or that the product will be accepted. If the franchiser does not provide the level of guidance needed due to wide-ranging obligations he has to meet, 4 the franchisee might ex post end up in a locked-in situation, being held-up by its franchiser. The Franchise Model can be categorized between the independent and integrated models. The chosen level of integration, ranging from hard to soft, and the selection of franchise standards determine the intensity of the relationship (S.Royer, U. Stratmann, 2007, p.53). With regards to automotive distribution the franchise system can either be the traditional franchise, regional groups – specialized on one brand family or large multi-franchised groups (S.Royer, U.Stratmann, 2008, p.7). According to the “Mehrmarkenvertrieb und –service Study 2003” Multi-Branding Strategies will increase in popularity. While in 2001 the majority of the dealer groups sold mainly the brand of one manufacturer, today most of the groups (73%) have franchise contracts with more than one manufacturer. This multi-brand strategy is preferred by dealers that concentrate on volume brands, whereas premium brand dealers “fear it would jeopardize existing relationships with their manufacturers” (P. Soliman et al., 2003). For further information see Case Study “Inditex” in the appendix. 3.3 Direct distribution This model describes the hierarchical strategy where the VM completely owns and controls its outlets. The VM can either build up an outlet or acquire a partner by means of vertical integration (S.Hollensen, 2007, p.364). The VM remains in full control of the ongoing operations, thus he can make sure that the image of the brand as well as that of the company itself stays consistent with the whole business concept (S.Royer, U.Stratmann, 2008, p.1). Compared to franchising, this strategy requires immense financial resources and is less flexible (S.Hollensen, 2007, p.364). By means of standardized processes and systems economies of scale can be generated (T.Chieux et al., 2007, p.8). In Germany this strategy is mainly used by premium brand manufacturers, although an increase in volume brand manufacturers setting up own outlets can be observed (L.Bozon, 2005, p. 23). Between 1999 and 2004 the amount of manufacturer owned outlets increased from 197 to 340 (L.Bozon, 2005, p. 23). Another model that is applied in automotive distribution is the agency model. The main objective of this model is to cope with the lack of dealers’ incentive concerning his effort. A possible solution to this problem is a co-ownership where e.g. the manufacturer owns 60% of the company and the partner 40% (T.Chieux et al., 2007, p.11). A combination of manufacturer owned outlets and franchise outlets are another possible solution to this problem. For further information see Case Study “Dell” in the appendix 5 4. Environmental triggers and their impacts In the following paragraph political/legal, economic, socio-cultural and technological triggers in the macro-environment of the investigated markets shall be identified in order to be able to assess their impacts on future car distribution strategies in the next step. 4.1 PEST: Germany In general, Germany is the leading car manufacturing country in the EU and concerns like Daimler Chrysler, Volkswagen and BMW have their domicile here and accounted for 36 plants in 2004. The car industry employed about 945,100 people in 2004 (Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft, 2005, ”Deutschland in Zahlen 2005”, p. 34) and in the same time it accounted for a turnover of EUR 280 billions, 12.33% of GDP. The car manufacturing industry is most important for export and in 2004 accounted for EUR 155 billions or 20.5% of exports (Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft, 2005, ”Deutschland in Zahlen 2005”, p. 40). The import of vehicles accounted for EUR 72,175 billion so Germany is clearly net exporting country in this sector (Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft, 2005, ”Deutschland in Zahlen 2005”, p. 40). 4.1.1 Political and legal issues Germany is one of the six founding states of the EC, the predecessor of the EU. The EC was set up to avoid conflicts through the empowerment of trade and through even closer integration of the countries. Germany is a well-developed country with many institutions that guard the democracy. The country has a federal structure, consisting of 16 states that experience some degree of autonomy, but law considering environmental issues and competition is made on a federal level. In general the political system is very stable with very low corruption and low legal entry barriers exist, in general as well as for the automotive distribution market. The EU legislation affects the German market as well. The block exemption for the car industry is set out in a June 1995 regulation, “distribution of motor vehicles” (no: 1475/95), which expired at the end of September 2002 but the clause came into effect in October 2005 (www.berr.gov.uk). The effect of this regulation is to prevent dealership franchises from selling more then one make of car. It also stops dealers based in different EU countries from trading with each other. 6 After the block exemption regulation, dealers can exhibit cars of different brands in the same showroom but in separate sales areas. Furthermore, dealers now have to choose between two distribution methods: • Selective, where they may sell actively to consumers in any location and in any EU country, but not to independent resellers. • Exclusive, where they are still allocated exclusive distribution areas, though they will also be free to sell to independent resellers and customers from outside the area who contact them directly. 4.1.2 Economic issues Economic factors are very important for car distribution, because they affect it directly. Germany belongs to the highly developed and industrialized countries with a GDP on the upper scale in international comparison – in fact with a nominal GDP of over 3.322 billion USD Germany occupies the 3rd position among the richest countries in the world. The GDP growth is stable. Since Germany is a developed country, no rapid growth rates can be expected – for 2008 the prognosticated GDP growth amounts to 2.7%. The aggregated GDP does not indicate much about the individual purchasing possibilities. Taking into account Germany has 82 millions inhabitants in the country, the nominal GDP per capita, according to the WORLD BANK, amounts to USD 40,000 or measured in purchasing power parity 35,000 according to the IMF, which corresponds respectively to EUR 28.000 and EUR 24.500 per capita. This positions Germany on rank 19 and 17 respectively, but still on the upper scale in international comparison. Figure 2 shows the GDP per capita in purchasing power parity for the EU countries. Figure 2 GDP per capita in purchasing power parity for the EU countries (http://europa.eu) 7 There are about 45.350.000 cars in Germany (www.kfz-auskunft.de) and 95,9% of 4 person households in West and 96,9% in the East had a car in 2004. Disposable income is defined as current money reserves, savings, borrowing opportunities, money transfers from state, deprived of taxes, rents and current obligations (Blanchard, O., 2003, p. 48 f). German households in 2004 used on average 9.3% of their overall spending on the purchase of cars, repairs and the costs of upholding including fuel (Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft, 2005, ”Deutschland in Zahlen 2005”, p. 62). This means that the average household spent about EUR 2.940 on cars in 2004. The current trend of increasing fuel prices will probably affect the spending, since a larger portion will be allocated to fuel so less money is available for spending on the purchase of new cars. This is one of the reasons cars in Germany are older now than ever, averaging at 8.1 years old. (http://213.77.105.135/winfoniemcy/5_baza/9_raporty_i_analizy/Wywiad_Meinig.asp?na vid=342, 21.05.2008, 18:32). The ratio of used to new cars is about 2.0 meaning that twice as much used car are changing owner as new car are being sold(Workshop 22.05.2008, Presentation by Dr. Głodek about Used Cars Soraya Document 080422 _DLP_Used Cars.pdf). The decrease in sales of new cars has many reasons. Not only the increase of VAT, which the German government decided to increase with three percentage points (or 18,75%) from 16 to 19% caused the decrease of demand for new cars. Other causes include the increasing costs of upholding a car due to e.g. increasing oil prices and increasing prices of spare parts and service. Furthermore, many potential buyers consider whether buying an almost new car, e.g. one year old car (German: “Jahreswagen”) or two year old car in good condition for a good price is better than buying a new one. Discounts and extra frills like air condition offered by car dealers on new cars will not solve this situation on its own. (http://213.77.105.135/winfoniemcy/5_baza/9_raporty_i_analizy/Wywiad_Meinig.asp?na vid=342). Therefore stagnation in German automotive distribution of new cars can be expected but on the other hand the amount of cases where the used car shifts its owner will increase. 4.1.3 Socio-cultural issues For many Germans, the car is very important. It symbolizes mobility, independence, freedom and individualism. Therefore, for many Germans the car is one of the most important status symbol as said in the sentence “The car is the Germans favourite child”. Another significant issue is that in Germany most sold cars are German Brands. This results in an extra entry barrier for international brands when trying to establish themselves in the German Market. Figure 3 shows the market share for car brands in Germany. 8 Position Brand Market share Units millions 1 2 4 5 21,30% 14,90% 9,20% 9,00% 9,66 6,76 2,81 4,08 Volkswagen Opel Ford Mercedes BMW, 6 MINI 7 Audi 8 Renault 9 Fiat 10 Toyota 11 Peugeot 10 Nissan 11 Mazda 3 other Figure 3 Market Share in 6,40% 2,9 6,20% 2,81 5,30% 2,4 2,80% 1,27 2,70% 1,23 2,60% 1,18 2,50% 1,13 2,40% 1,09 14,70% 6,67 of different car brands in Germany (www.kfz-auskunft.de) 4.1.4 Technological issues Especially the development of communication technologies has to been mentioned here. Those technological developments have provided advantages to distributors in order to provide information for consumers and their rival actors in the sector. There are Internet platforms providing information about cars so the information is to be seen as invitatio ad offerendum (Keenan, D., Riches, S., 2005, P. 244) an invitation to treat. One example for this kind of Internet use is mobile.de where buyers can find information about used cars and prices and contact information, but the site is not trading in cars directly like motors.ebay.de. Technological changes combined with the impact of globalization on the industry undermined car distribution sector for a link between sales and service of cars. 4.2 PEST: Poland Poland has an old and rich motoring tradition (the first cars were produced by FIAT already in the 30s) and today its domestic car market is the largest and one of the most promising among the new EU Member States: the presence of almost all the major carmakers, along with its leading role in the manufacturing of components make Poland one of the most attractive countries in Europe for the global automotive sector. The automotive industry, one of the first to be privatised in the early 1990s, plays a more and more important role in the national economy: its share in the GDP creation was around 4% in 2006, whereas its share in the total production of the Polish industry was 10.2%. The snowball effect following investments in the automotive sector brings along 9 benefits for companies in several sectors and creation of new jobs in the whole national economy. Poland as one of the former communistic countries has a market condition different from west European countries. Poland is one of the biggest potential markets in Europe where the demand for luxurious goods, especially for new cars, could be very large in the nearest future. Currently approximately 38 125 000 people live in Poland (Polish Main Statistical Office 2006). Their average salary amounts to 2786.29 zł and has been continuously growing for the last few years. The Polish economy, where GDP (figure 4) in the last few years has been dynamically increasing, is doing very well. Along with the growing economy, employment and general consumption are increasing. 30,0 25,1 25,0 20,0 19,3 15,8 15,0 10,5 10,0 6,7 5,0 4,2 4,2 5,3 1,1 1,4 2001 2002 5,8 5,3 3,8 3,5 0,0 2000 increase year to year 2003 2004 2005 2006 GDP Growth(1999 = 0%) Figure 4 Dynamic of GDP growth in Poland in years 2000 – 2006 (Departament Rachunków Narodowych i Finansów GUS) These positive macro economical factors have a direct leverage on the condition of automotive market. According to SAMAR in the first quarter of 2007, 198.6 thousand passenger cars and delivery vans were manufactured in the 5 main car factories in Poland, approximately 11% more than a year before. Export demand is one of the most significant factors that drive the output numbers up; almost 96% of Polish car production is assigned for export (Cezary Pytlos “Rynek aut: świetny rok, ale tylko dzięki eksporterom”; Gazeta Prawna 14.XI 2006). In the overall Polish export, the car export value is very high and has the largest contribution to the country’s total export. The value of the Polish motor vehicle export in the years 2004-2007 is shown in chart 2. 10 65 61,6 60 56 55 50 45 42 40 40 35 30 2004 2005 2006* 2007* Figure 5 Value of motor vehicles export from Poland in years 2004-2007 4.2.1 Political and legal issues Poland is a democratic republic. Its current constitution dates from 1997. The former constitution was based on a communist version from 1952. Thus indicating Poland’s transition from a socialist people’s republic to a parliamentary republic with a social market economy (www.wirtschaft-polen.de). Since Poland’s political transformation from socialism to capitalism in 1989/1990, together with a liberalization of international trade and Poland’s entry into the European Union in May 2004, it is one of Germany’s most important trading partners located in East- and Central Europe. The bilateral trade between these countries amounted to EUR 60,2 billion in the last year (exports to Poland: EUR 36.1 billion; exports from Poland: EUR 24.1 billion) (www.auswaertigesamt.de). The EU legislation affects the German market as well as the Polish market. “The new EC Cars Block Exemption should help reduce prices by increasing competition and providing greater freedom to import cars from other member states” (www.berr.gov.uk). This affects the car distribution in a significant manner, considering that personal import is the main distribution channel of used car purchases in Poland (P. Glodek, 2008, p.3). Only one out of ten cars sold in Poland is a new car (P. Glodek, 2008, p.3). Moreover, the Block Exemption Regulation 1400/2002 shall loosen the restrictions imposed on dealers enabling them to sell more than one brand at the same outlet (www.berr.gov.uk). The cross-border trade between Germany and Poland will visibly increase with Poland’s entry into the Schengen Group in 2007 enabling Polish citizens to travel freely within the Schengen area without border checks (www.poland.gov.pl). 11 4.2.2 Economic issues Poland is considered to have one of the healthiest economies of the post-communist countries, with GDP growing by 6.5% in 2007 (www.auswaertiges-amt.de). Since the fall of communism, Poland has steadfastly pursued a policy of liberalizing the economy and today stands out as a successful example of the transition from a state-directed economy to a primarily privately owned market economy. Restructuring and privatisation of "sensitive sectors" such as coal, steel, railways, and energy has continued since 1990. Between 2007 and 2010, the government plans to float twenty public companies on the Polish stock market, including parts of the coal industry. Although the Polish economy is currently undergoing economic development, there are many challenges ahead. The most notable task on the horizon is the preparation of the economy (through continuing deep structural reforms) to allow Poland to meet the strict economic criteria for entry into the European Single Currency (Euro). Average salaries in the enterprise sector in January 2008 were around 3000PLN (which equals to 840 euro or 1300 US dollars) and growing sharply. Salaries vary between the regions: median wage in the capital city Warsaw was 4600 PLN (1200 euro or 2000 US dollars) while in Bialystok it was only 2400 (670 euro or 1000 US dollars) (www.auswaertiges-amt.de). Since joining the European Union, many workers have left to work in other EU countries (particularly Ireland and the UK) because of the high unemployment in Poland, the second highest in the EU (14.2% in May 2006). However, with the rapid growth of the salaries, booming economy, strong value of Polish currency, and quickly decreasing unemployment (8% in March 2008) the exodus of Polish workers seems to be over. In 2008, people returning to Poland outnumbered those that were leaving the country. 4.2.3 Socio-cultural issues Poland is a country where you will not find mass immigrant movement compared to western countries. However, more and more companies are trying to get employees from abroad, especially from Ukraine, Belarus and from the Far East like China and North Korea. This situation is caused by the lack of employees on the current Polish market because of the unattractive salaries. According to EU forecasts there will be more immigrants from Eastern Europe in the nearest future. In the purchasing behaviour of Polish citizens, price is the critical criterion, including car purchases. The Internet as a source of information enables potential buyers to compare car prices online or as a means of marketplace supporting the P2P-sales of used cars (Bednarek, 2008). 12 4.2.4 Technological issues Technology in Poland is improving very fast. The development of Internet connections has a huge impact on selling cars. An increasing number of households have access to the Internet. The Internet has become one of the main information sources concerning price and product information. Moreover, online communities and recessions give the potential purchaser additional information. It can also be used as means of direct marketing. VM therefore push their dealers to make use of it. Conservative thinking of dealers’ sometimes limits the usage of Internet with all its advantages (G. Wójcik, presentation Lodz). 5. Comparing automobile distribution Having analysed the macro-environment in Germany and Poland, Porter’s Five Forces shall be applied to assess the prevailing competitive situation of automotive distribution in the investigated countries. According to Porter’s model “the state of competition and profit potential in an industry depends on five basic competitive forces: new entrants, suppliers, buyers, substitutes and market competitors” (S.Hollensen, 2007, p.102). In this chapter the competitive situation of the existing distribution channels within the car industry shall be assessed. The aim of this analysis is to find a right position or the right distribution strategy in the automotive industry that enables a company to defend itself against the competitive forces or to find position where the forces are weakest (M.E.,Porter, 2008, p.89). 5.1 Germany 5.1.1 The threat of substitute products The main substitute product to the common car distribution models is the Internet. Consumers are increasingly using the Internet when considering a purchase. Besides price information the Internet also offers a great variety of technical information concerning a car’s features and its equipment even beyond national borders (W.Diez, 2001, p.351). The customer is not bound to certain opening hours but able to find the information he needs whenever he wants with marginal expenses and minimal time exposure. According to figure 6 German car purchasers are most likely to use the Internet when it comes to buying a new or used car (W.Diez, 2001, p.415). 13 In the future online sellers could be a substitute product and danger for the retailer and their common way of car distribution. Already pages like www.autoscout.de or www.mobile.de exist, where the consumer can look for cars as well for new ones as for used ones. These pages are especially used in the used car market. The next step could be an online retailer who has no store and is selling his car only and direct via the Internet. Consumers already have the possibility to choose or to assemble their personalized car (Gromer, 2006, p. 72). Do you use the internet to buy the next car? new-car used-car % answering "absolutely" or "probably" 30 25 25 22 22 20 20 17 15 13 15 14 9 10 5 5 0 Germany USA UK Holland Frankreich Figure 6 (Source: Cap Gemini, 2000, in W.Diez, 2001, p.415) 5.1.2 The intensity of competitive rivalry The competition in the area of car distribution and in the car market at all is getting more intense. The main reason for this development is the continuing stagnation of the car market in Germany and a fierce price competition (IfA, 2007, p.3). Car manufacturers, as well as car retailers, have to deal with this problem. Another main reason leading to an increase of rivalry is the Internet as main information tool for potential car buyers. Prices become more transparent reducing VM and dealers profit margins (W.Diez, 2001, p.415). On the one hand the threat of the Internet seller and on the other hand the use of the Internet to reach the costumer directly could lead to the conclusion that online competition already exists. Another reason enhancing the competitive rivalry in the car distribution market is the ongoing consolidation process, meaning that VMs are forced to extend their product 14 range and expand at the same time. Hence an increasing number of mergers, acquisitions and strategic alliances lead to the rise of few big sellers that define the car industry in Germany letting the competitive situation become more intense (IfA, 2007, p.3). At the same time a decrease in the number of single dealers can be observed, due to the fact that it becomes more difficult for smaller dealers to exist and survive in the market. According to the IfA Institute the number of car dealers in the German car market decreased from 18.000 in the year 2000 to 9.800 in 2006 (IfA, 2007, p.3). Automotive industry structure in Germany companies commercial units 45.000 40.000 35.000 25.800 30.000 23.500 25.000 20.000 15.000 18.000 10.000 9.800 5.000 0 2000 2006 Figure 7 Automotive industry structures in Germany (IfA, 2007) 5.1.3 The bargaining power of customers The power of a single customer in the car market is relatively small. With the rising importance of the Internet in car distribution the customer gains access to new information sources and can compare prices or find important information about the quality and reputation of brands. Because of that a single customer might be able to get a better price for a car minimizing the profit margin for the dealer and VM respectively. Profit margins generated from new-car sales become less important. Within the customer-based approach it is the value added services that maximize the profit (G. Wójcik, 2008). On the other hand a growing number of business customers can be 15 observed. Due to the fact the these customers purchase a high amount of cars, so called fleets, their bargaining power might be higher depending on the amount of cars they are purchasing. According to figure 8 54% of the new cars sold in the German market are business cars of which 59,8% are fleets ranging between 1 to 100 and more cars per fleet (S.Royer, U.Stratmann, 2008, p.4). Figure 8 Customer Structure Germany – profitable private customers in decline (Source: ICDP and national sources in S.Royer, U.Stratmann, 2008, p.4) 5.1.4 The bargaining power of supplier The manufacturer has a large bargaining power; it can choose his distribution model and its retailers. Therefore he has the stronger negotiation power. The contracts between the manufacturer and the appointed dealer often include clear restrictions and regulations like the use of the brand, the customer communication as well as the design of the stores. Another issue to be considered is that the manufacturer has the chance to distribute his cars on his own and use that as a threat to the appointed dealer. 5.1.5 The threat of entry of new competitors The entry barriers of the German car distribution industry are reputation, established customer relationship as well as the cooperation between the manufacturer and the retailer. These factors could make the entry more difficult for new entrants into the market. But there is still a threat of new entrants. Big dealer groups, especially foreign dealer groups, are entering the German market (IfA, 2007, p.2). These dealer groups are 16 a threat for smaller dealer because of their available capital and human resources. In 2006 the automotive trade group Kroyman from Netherlands was number one in terms of growth, increasing its new-car sales by 75% to 8.774 units. (IfA, 2007, p.2) Furthermore it has to be stated that there are differences to be identified regarding the threat of new entrants that are strongly depended on the local environment. In huge cities, price competition among the existing competitors might be so fierce, that it prevents new entrants from entering into the market whereas in rural areas the conditions might be more favourable for a new entrant. This also applies to prices of business premises that vary a lot across Germany depending on the exclusivity of the location. Another threat for new entrants could be seen with the emergence of the Internet as direct distribution channel following Dell’s former concept of success. It is possible that during the next years more manufacturer or retailer will make use of the Internet to provide their cars (Diez, 2001, p. 344). 5.1.6 Main distribution model in Germany In Germany the used car market is mainly regulated by “P2P” selling and by the independent approach (supermarket). The new car market in Germany is dominated by two approaches, the franchise model and the direct distribution model. The most common approach is the franchise model where the VM regulates the car distribution by appointed dealer (retailer). The main car manufacturers, like BMW, Ford or Opel, are using this distribution model. (Gromer, 2006, p. 65) Many of the retailers are, however, offering more then one brand in their stores. Today, almost 60 % of the car retailers offer more then two brands in their stores (Institut für Verkehr und Umwelt (IVU), Präsentation “Herausforderungen für Automobil-Handel”, 2006, Slide 8). The direct distribution model exists in Germany, it is used e.g. by Daimler Chrysler, but it plays a rather insignificant role. (Gromer, 2006, p. 61). 5.2 Poland 5.2.1 The threat of substitute products Nowadays the main threat to dealers in the Polish car distribution market is the import of cars, especially used cars and the closely connected P2P market for used cars in Poland. The used car market has become an ever-growing threat for the new car market and the distributor since Poland joined European Union in 2004. With this step most of the restrictions concerning the import of used cars from foreign countries were lifted. As the 17 government did not introduce any new regulations, the European market of used cars opened for Polish people in an instant, and was affordable for those who had not been able to afford a new car before. Around 870,000 used cars were imported into Poland in 2005. Most of them were older than 10 years. According to the latest TNS OBOP’s research 96% of those who bought a car in the last year chose a second-hand vehicle. This is hardly surprising considering the fact that individual importers did not have to pay a 22% VAT charged before. They paid only an excise tax depending on the car age (up to 65% of the imported car value). The government tried fruitlessly to limit the excessive car imports. The second substitution threat is the Internet. (Researches done by Capgemini “CAR ONLINE”). Poland is going through the same process as Germany, the Internet becomes increasingly more important and is affecting the Polish car market as well. Just as in Germany the Internet is used as a source of information and a potential buying place for cars. 5.2.2 The intensity of competitive rivalry The Polish market is characterized by a high amount of small dealers, often family businesses. However, most of them are starting to realize that having one small car showroom can be unprofitable. Another problem in the Polish market is intra-brand competition, describing rivalry between small dealers in one city selling the same brand. This problem exists especially in big cities like Warsaw. Another notable issue is the consolidation process, an increasing amount of big dealer groups with a high level of control replacing the smaller dealers. This process will intensify the competition in the market especially for small dealers. The last point is, as mentioned before, the increasing importation of used cars to Poland. The car distributors have to compete with the P2P market or independent used car dealers, but also more and more dealers will make use of the opportunity which lies in the selling of used cars (PriceWaterCoopers & Samar, 2007, p. 15). Already 88% of all car dealers are selling used cars today. 84% of the dealers buy used cars from their customers in exchange for a new car. 44% of the dealers operate as intermediaries, selling a used car on the behalf of the customer. 29% of the car dealers buy used cars at the polish car market and 14% are imported from abroad (PriceWaterCoopers, 2007, p. 19) 5.2.3 The bargaining power of customers The barging power of customers is rather high in the Polish market. Especially since the customers have a choice where they want to buy and which car they want to buy. The 18 market is open and if somebody wants to buy car in a different country, he can go even abroad to buy it or event import it by the Internet (not from car distributors but from manufacturers). So the car distributors have to care for their customers and have to develop motives for customers to buy a car at their dealership, rather than elsewhere. 5.2.4 The bargaining power of supplier The bargaining power of suppliers, in this case the manufacturer, is rather high, since the VMs are rather consolidated but the dealerships are numerous and scattered. The manufacturer has the possibility to choose between lots of dealer that would like to corporate with the manufacturer. This allows the VMs to develop strict contractual regulations. Within the franchise system the manufacturer gives strict regulations to the dealer that he must fulfil, including use of the brand, design of the outlet and training of the employees. 5.2.5 The threat of entry of new competitors Like in most markets the danger of new competitors exists, but in Poland, the entry barriers for new dealers in the car distribution market are quite high. The main reason being the high initial capital required to start a distributor. Another entry barrier is the benefit importers get from their already existing networks. In Poland, as well as in Germany, there are differences to be identified to terms of level of competition depending on the local environment that might have an impact on the price structure. In cities like Warsaw prices are lower than in Lodz so that the high level of rivalry impedes new companies from entering. 5.2.6 Main distribution model in Poland The Polish car distribution market is organized quite differently from west European car markets. According to the results of the PEST analysis (compare chapter 4.2.2) concerning economic issues in Poland the average person in Poland still lacks the economic purchasing possibilities compared to his western neighbours. The car market in Poland is not as big as in Germany. Of course the population is only half that of Germany, but there are further factors to concentrate on: Mainly, the distinctive characteristic of the market is that in Poland the amount of used cars being sold is much higher in relation to new cars being sold. This is called new to old ratio and is illustrated in figure 9. 19 Figure 9 New and used cars and used car ratios (Glodek, P., 2008) This figure shows that for every new car sold more than 9 used cars are being sold. This is the absolute highest ratio compared to the other listed countries. Therefore by analysing the car distribution in Poland it is important to take a look at the used car market as well as the new car market. Figure 10 Sources of used cars bought in Poland in 2007 (personal users) (Glodek, P., 2008) The Polish car distribution market for used cars is very widespread. The most important sources are the personal import with 26 %, the P2P with 19 %, the Internet advertisement with 15 % and the independent retailer with 14 %. For the personal import is important to know that there are two kinds of imports; import for personal use or import for reselling. The car distribution within the new car market in Poland is very different to the used car market. Here the market is more characterized by small dealers most often using the franchise model. The direct and independent model play an insignificant role in the Polish car distribution market. 20 6. Future outlook Having assessed the macro-environment of Poland and Germany as well as the competitive structure of its respective automotive distribution industries, in the following paragraph an attempt will be made to give an outlook on what car distribution will look like in 2020. 6.1 Poland Because of the continuing consolidation process the competition in the market will keep increasing and it will become very difficult for small dealers to survive in the car distribution market. Big dealer groups have better financial and human resources at their disposal. Therefore it is easier for them to get into the market or to negotiate with manufactures. Because of this many small dealers, but also dealer groups, will change to the multi-brand franchise model. By providing more brands the chance to reach the customer and to fulfil there demand will be bigger. Summarized it can be said that the Polish new car market will be dominated by big dealer groups which use the multi-brand franchise. The use of the Internet, as shown before in the paper, will also continue to increase. Today, the searching process concerning the selection of a new car based on Internet research has become the most used source of information for the Polish consumers. The use of the web has grown by 400% from 2000 to 2007 and is now the primary information source over information coming from friends, family or even car dealers: over 60% of respondents used Internet in 2005 for information research, compared to only 20% in 2002 (www.pl.capgemini.com). It is therefore essential that the dealers, the small dealers as well as the big dealers, are well presented on the Internet to provide information about their cars and offers to the customers. Selling new cars directly over the Internet will only be a niche market in the near future, the physical distribution is still too important for a purchase this large for many consumers to consider going through the whole process online. Another trend is that the used car market will decrease in importance over the next years. A new car is increasingly seen as an important status symbol in Poland and, with the increased GDP and wealth in Poland, becoming increasingly affordable, causing the demand for new cars to rise at the expense of used cars. But, since this process requires time, in the nearest future the used car market and especially the import of cars from the western countries will still have an impact on the new car dealers. 21 6.2 Germany Trying to give an outlook on what car distribution in Germany two models will compete for the market. On the one hand there is the direct distribution model and on the other hand there are Mega-Dealers following the American example. In 2020 the Internet will also be of importance in automotive distribution. An approach to describe of how the Internet can be applied in 2020 concerning car distribution will be explained below in detail. 6.2.1 Direct distribution Since the regulation 1400/2002 manufacturers are no longer able to combine selective with exclusive distribution. As a result most manufacturers chose to concentrate on selective distribution (F. Verboven, 2007, p.9). Through selective distribution the VM can impose quantitative (set a limit to the total number of dealers in the country) as well as qualitative criteria (minimal staff, advertising, stock levels, showrooms etc.) on the dealer. The VM can require that the dealer sells at least 30% of its brands, but is no longer able to tell the multi-brand dealer to operate multi-brands as separate legal entities (F. Verboven, 2007, p.11). Furthermore, the dealer no longer has to provide sales and after-sales service to its customers, allowing authorized repairers to focus on repairing and no longer having to sell cars as well (F. Verboven, 2007, p.10). After the reforms in 2002 most dealers stuck to the strategy of combining sales and after-sales service (F. Verboven, 2007, p.13). This is in favour of the VM because it contributes to brand reputation and customers’ loyalty (F. Verboven, 2007, p.18). VMs want to achieve an optimal level of dealer service. Dealers do not take into account the VM’s benefits and therefore lack an incentive to provide a high level of service (F. Verboven, 2007, p.18). Selective distribution comes in as a solution to this incentive problem enabling the VM to impose qualitative service criteria on to its dealers securing a higher profit forcing the dealer to buy parts from him (F. Verboven, 2007, p.28). Thus creating extra gains for the VM. 50% of the manufacturer’s profits are made in the aftersales market. As a result, the VM will try to keep as much control on their outlets as possible. Another reason is the customer structure. Segments get smaller and smaller and thus it becomes harder to respond to the emerging customer demands on an individual basis. A higher level of control over his outlets enables the VM to learn about customer’s demands and respond directly. The increasing product and quality similarity in the car industry increases the importance of responsiveness to customer’s demands. An example e.g. is the cooperation of two companies using the same platform for different cars of different brands. With the cars becoming more similar, it is the image the brand projects that makes the difference (W.Diez, 2001, p.413). In order to have an 22 optimal level of control over its dealers it is of manufacturer’s interest to establish direct distribution outlets. 6.2.2 Independent Model – Americanisation The second approach to automotive distribution in 2020 is the independent model following the American model of huge Mega-Dealers (IfA, 2007,p.4). According to IfAInstitute a continuation of the consolidation process is to be expected, together with a power shift in favour of big dealerships, as already can be seen in the USA where the automotive distribution is dominated by few Mega-Dealers. Automotive industry structure in Germany companies commercial units 45.000 40.000 35.000 25.800 30.000 23.500 25.000 21.000 20.000 15.000 10.000 18.000 9.800 5.000 8.000 0 2000 2006 2010 Figure 11 Automotive industry structure in Germany (IfA, 2007) 6.2.3 Importance of Internet The Internet as a main threat to traditional distribution channels makes information cheap, enabling customers to compare prices of cars and thereby reducing the profit margin of dealer and hence of manufacturers. 23 Figure 12 Reasons for problems in car dealing from the dealer’s point of view The new electronic market spaces will change the structure of value chains increasing the number of intermediaries. There are two different kinds of “cybermediaries” to be identified when talking about the increasing use of online car market spaces. There are automotive service brokers and automotive information brokers. These brokers allow for easier and cheaper comparison of prices and products and reduce the market power of VM and car distributors. They are seen as serious competitors to the exclusive distribution channel, although not being able to substitute the dealers (D.Selz, S.Klein, 1998, p.592). The process will look as follows: 1. The customer recognizes he needs a new car, 2. The customer looks online for the available choices, 3. The customer compares the attributes and prices of the interesting cars, Here there are two different scenarios; the customer can decide to purchase the car based on the information on the web or the customer can decide to go to the dealer for a test-drive and purchase the car from the dealer. 24 Purchase online Purchase at the dealer 4. The customer purchases the car of his choice. 4. The customer selects a few and goes to the large, multi-brand centre to make a few testdrives. 5. The customer picks the car up at the nearby dealer. 5. The customer purchases the car of his choice from the dealer. The profit is for the website, the dealer receives a fee for physically distributing the car. The profit is for the website receives the advertising on the site. dealer, money the for In 2007 50% of new-car-purchasers got information via the Internet (Quelle, DAT), whereas 90% preferred to get the information by talking to a dealer. In the future these numbers will change in favour of the Internet, since more customers will be acquainted with the Internet and online purchases. Information sources of new-car buyers 2006 other advertisement 2007 1% 1% 21% 21% 50% internet 41% 44% 42% borchures conversations with colleagues/friends 50% 51% test report 51% 48% 67% 63% test drive 90% conversations with dealers 84% Figure 13 Use of Internet – new-car sales (source: DAT 2008) When analyzing the used car market, 79% of the customer collected information using the Internet whereas only 67% preferred to direct the dealer directly (DAT 2008). 25 Information sources of used-cars buyers 2006 other information from after-sales agent 2007 19% 20% 21% 20% test report/advertisement in print media 49% 46% conversation with colleagues/friends 68% 65% 79% internet 74% visiting new-car and used-car dealer sites 67% 70% Figure 14 Use of Internet – used-car sales (source: DAT 2008) The Internet is not exclusively a threat for the VM, but can also be a tool for the VM. Using the Internet, customers can be included into the development process (compare example Dell in chapter 3.3.1). Ducati, on their website www.ducati.com, integrates its customers in the product development process by making use of its fans affinity with maintaining and personalizing their motorcycles, showing a high level of technical knowledge (S.Hollensen, 2007, p.456). This helps Ducati to enhance their customer loyalty, “because its fans are more motivated to buy products they helped to create” (S.Hollensen, 2007, p.456). 7. Conclusion This paper shows that the automotive industry and as well the car distribution in Europe is changing. In the future the independent as well as the direct distribution model will be of importance in the German market. The Polish market is assimilating with the German market that is already applying the multi-brand franchise model (compare chapter 5.1.6). The dealers understood that it is useful to provide more than just one brand. Using this strategy, they can reach more customers and offer a bigger variety. Another trend is the consolidation process. There are more big dealer groups entering into the market. Therefore it will be harder for small dealers like family businesses in the future. Another really important issue is the increasing importance in the Internet as described in chapter 4 and 5. The Internet will be used as platform for proving information about 26 cars and prices. The manufacturer and dealer have participated in this trend. But selling cars directly via the Internet will still be a niche market in the nearest future, as described in chapter 6. The last aspect which has to be mentioned is the comparison of the Polish and German car market and car distribution market. Since Poland joined the European Union they are catching up the western countries of the European Union. The polish economy and the wealth of the population is increasing as described in part 4.2.2. But it takes times to overcome all the differences to the western countries. But the PEST analysis of Germany and Poland (see chapter 4) and the Five Forces analysis regarding to the car distribution market in Germany and Poland (see chapter 5) have shown that there are still big differences between these two countries. One example is the fact that in Poland the used car market is still so important. It’s importance will decrease a little bit but in these days and in the nearest future it will be still very important and a problem for the new car market and the car distribution in Poland. 27 8. References Ahlert, D. (1991) „Distributionspolitik: das Management des Absatzkanals“, Gustav Fischer Verlag, Stuttgart, 1991, Aufl. 2 Bednarek (2008), presentation Lodz Blanchard, O. (2003) “Macroeconomics - International Edition”, Prentice Hall, Aufl. 3 Bozon, L. (2005) „Dealer Groups in Europe – their growth and strategies”, ICDP Research Report 2/05 Cezary Pytlos “Rynek aut: świetny rok, ale tylko dzięki eksporterom”; Gazeta Prawna Chieux, T., Stratmann, U., Waller, B. and Whiteman, J. (2007) “Models for car distribution in 2015”, ICDP Management Briefing No.56 Departament Rachunków Narodowych i Finansów GUS DAT Report 2008, (http://www.autohaus.de/fm/3478/DAT%20Report%202008_AUTOHAUS.pdf Diez, W. (2001) „Grundlagen der Automobilwirtschaft”, Auto Business Verlag, Ottobrunn, 2001, Aufl. 3 Ernst & Young i Polska Izba Motoryzacji Consulting, Capgemini and Samar Ghemawat, P. and Nueno, J.L. (2003) “Zara: Fast Fashion”, Havard Business School Glodek, P. (2008) “Never buy used car!!! Why does it make a difference to sell used cars?”, (http://soraya.uniflensburg.de/bscw/bscw.cgi/d336798/080422%20_DLP_Used%20Cars.pdf) Gromer, S. (2006) „Die Automobilindustrie in Deutschland – eine Untersuchung auf Basis des Konzeptes zur Koordinationsmängeldiagnose“, Verlag Dr. Kovač, Hamburg, 2006 Hollensen, S. (2007) “Global Marketing:A Decision-Oriented Approach”, Financial Times Prent. Int., Aufl. 4 Keenan, D. and Riches, S. (2005) “Business Law”, Pearson, Longman Publishers, Aufl.7 Koperek, A. (2007) „Zarobki w Warszawie w 2007 roku” (http://gazetapraca.pl/gazetapraca/1,88932,4988030.html) o.V. (2004) “PKW-Fahrzeugbestand 2004 Deutschland“, Kraftfahrt-Bundesamt (http://www.kfz-auskunft.de/kfz/pkw_bestand_2004.html) o.V. (2005) „ Cars Online 2005-2006“ (www.pl.capgemini.com/resources/news/cars_online_20052006) o.V. (2005) PricewaterHouseCoopers & Samar: „Badanie rynku dilerów samochodów osobowych w Polsce, edycja pierwsza 2007” o.V. (2005) Inditex, Press Dossier, (http://www.inditex.com/en/downloads/ITX_Dossier05_en.pdf) 28 o.V. (2005) “Standort Polen”, Botschaft der Republik Polen in der BRD für Handel und Investitionen, (http://www.wirtschaft-polen.de/de/wirtschaft.info.php) o.V. (2007) „Automobilmarkt: Händlergruppen werden immer mächtiger“, Institut für Automobilwirtschaft (http://www.ifainfo.de/downloads/1205/Sammelmappe%20TOP%2050%20HG%2006.07.2007. pdf) o.V. (2008) „Poland joins Schengen Area“, (www.poland.gov.pl/Poland,in,Schengen,zone,1620.html) o.V. (2008) „Bilateral Relations – Poland“, Federal Foreign Office, (www.auswaertigesamt.de/diplo/en/Laenderinformationen/01-Laender/Polen.html) o.V. (2008) “Polen – Wirtschaft und Umweltpolitik”, Federal Foreign Office (www.auswaertiges-amt.de/diplo/de/Laenderinformationen/Polen/Wirtschaft.html) o.V. (2008) „Rynek samochodowy w Niemczech“, (http://213.77.105.135/winfoniemcy/5_baza/9_raporty_i_analizy/Wywiad_Meinig. asp?navid=342) o.V. (2008) “Block Exemption for Cars Quick Facts”, (http://www.berr.gov.uk/consumers/fact-sheets/page38070.html) o.V. (2008) “GDP pro capita in purchasing power parity for the EU countries”, (http://europa.eu/abc/keyfigures/images/graph/inhabitant_en.jpg) o.V. (2008) „Distribution Models“, (http://www.entrepreneur.com/encyclopedia/term/82250.html) o.V. (2008) “Direct Model”, (http://www.dell.com/content/topics/global.aspx/corp/background/en/directmodel ?c=us&l=en&s=corp) o.V. (2008) “Face value – take two”, (http://www.economist.com/people/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11290840) o.V. (2007) “Overseas sales boost Zara owner” (http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/6747333.stm) o.V. (2005) ”Deutschland in Zahlen 2005”, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft Polish Main Statistical Office 2006 Porter, M.E. (2008) „Five Competitive Forces that Shape Strategy”, in: Havard Business Review Royer, S. And Stratmann, U. (2008) “Distribution Systems in the European Car Industry Systems, frameworks and strategic implications for players”, (http://soraya.uniflensburg.de/bscw/bscw.cgi/d336705/080421_DLP_Small%20is%20beautiful.pdf) Royer, S., Glodek, P. and Stratmann, U. (2008) “Outlook for the Car Distribution Model – A battle of systems?”, (http://soraya.uniflensburg.de/bscw/bscw.cgi/d336713/080422_DLP_DistributionModels_2020.pdf) 29 Royer, S. And Stratman, U. (2007) “Independent entrepreneurs as an obsolete model? – considerations for the European automotive repair and service markets”, Int. J. Globalisation and Small Business, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd., Vol. 2, No. 1, 2007 Sabow, G. (2006) “Herausforderungen für Automobil-Handel”, Institut für Verkehr und Umwelt, (http://www.ivubw.de/Vortraege/2006/061110_Harms_Automobilhandel.PDF) Selz, D. and Klein, S. (1998) „The changing landscape of auto distribution“, Proceedings of the Thirty-First Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, 1998 Soliman, P., Schick, S., de Miroschedji, S. and Port, B. (2003), „Multi-Branding Strategies in the German Automotive Market“ (http://www.boozallen.com/capabilities/Industries/industries_article/658766?lpid =827466) Verboven, F. (2007) “Efficiency enhancing or anti-competitve vertical restraints? Selective and exclusive cars distribution in Europe” (http://soraya.uniflensburg.de/bscw/bscw.cgi/d336696/Verboven%202007.pdf) Wójcik G. (2008), presentation Lodz 30 9. Appendix Case Study Inditex Inditex, Industria de Diseño Textil, the owner of the Zara franchise and seven other brands, counts 3,245 outlets worldwide. Further expansion on a worldwide basis is planned (www.news.bbc.co.uk). “Its unique management model, based on innovation and flexibility, and its vision of fashion (creativity and quality design, together with a rapid response to market demands) has resulted in fast international expansion and an excellent response to its sales concepts.”(Inditex, 2005) The Inditex business model shows a high degree of vertical integration, thus creating flexibility that enables the company to respond to changing customer demands in a short period of time. This is of great importance especially concerning the continual changes in fashion. (Inditex, 2005) The time span from creation of a design to the selling of the good in the store is about 4-5 weeks. New articles reach each shop twice a week coming directly from each chains central distribution centre in Spain. (P.Ghemawat, J.L. Nueno, 2003, p.9) Inditex’ “stores act as market information gathering terminals, providing feedback to the design teams and reporting the trends demanded by customers.” (Inditex, 2005) Inditex main strategy is opening stores that are managed as well as owned by the company (sole or majority shareholder). Regarding Inditex’ international expansion the company extends its “store network” through franchise agreements with leading local retail companies. “At the end of the 2004 financial year, there were 263 franchised shops out of a total of 2.244 stores.” (Inditex, 2005) Inditex’ franchise model is based on “the total integration of franchised stores with company-managed stores in terms of window-dressing, product, human resources, training, logistical optimisation” etc., ensuring a uniform image around the world. (Inditex, 2005) Each of Inditex’ eight fashion distribution chains follows the mission, that is “to be leaders in their segment through a flexible business model and an international vision” and share central corporate services, e.g. “administration, the use of logistics technology, the general HR policy, legal issues, and financial capacity, among others”, while management team of each chain has the freedom to make commercial decision independently and as well in terms of resource allocation. (Inditex, 2005) The franchise fee Inditex charges the franchisee is between 5-10% of their sales. (P.Ghemawat, J.L. Nueno, 2003, p.17) In larger and more important markets Inditex uses the strategy of joint ventures in order to overcome barriers to direct entry and to obtain “prime retail space in city centres”. (P.Ghemawat, J.L. Nueno, 2003, p.17) Zara’s German joint-venture partner is Otto-Versand. Their relationship is based on a 50:50 ownership split. However Zara remains management control, operating the shops as “company-managed”. (P.Ghemawat, J.L. Nueno, 2003, p.17) 31 Case Study Dell Dell is the world’s second biggest maker of personal computers, after Hewlett-Packard but still remains number one in the American market. (www.economist.com) In the first quarter of 2008 Dell owned a global market share of 15,7%, an increase of 0,9% from 2007 (www.economist.com). Dell’s success is based on its direct selling model, which allows “clients to choose the features they wanted, but keep costs down by selling only online, using generic parts and maintaining an impossibly lean supply chain” (www.dell.com). For Dell the “most efficient path to the customer is through a direct relationship, with no intermediaries to add confusion and cost”. This enables Dell to individualize their computers and tailor them to the customers’ specific needs (S.Hollensen, 2007, p. 455). Dell’s business model rests upon five main principles: 1. Most Efficient Path to the Customer, 2. Single Point of Accountability, 3. Build-to-Order, 4. Low-Cost Leader, 5. Standards-Based Technology (Dell, 2008). 32 Commission Regulation (EC) No 1400/2002 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44