DAndrea_AGU_2013_poster_2.0
Transcription
DAndrea_AGU_2013_poster_2.0
A41H-0166 Understanding global secondary organic aerosol amount and size-resolved condensational behavior Stephen D'Andrea1,2, Silja Häkkinen3,4, Daniel Westervelt5, Chongai Kuang6, Ezra Levin2, Vijay Kanawade7 Richard Leaitch8, Dominick Spracklen9, Ilona Riipinen10, Jeff Pierce2,1 1Dalhousie University, 2Colorado State University, 3University of Helsinki, 4Columbia University, 5Carnegie Mellon University, 6Brookhaven National Laboratory, 7Indian Institute of Technology, 8Environment Canada, 9University of Leeds, 10Stockholm University Summary 1. Amount of SOA is very uncertain 2. SOA condensation to surface area or mass 3. Model Description Secondary organic aerosols (SOA) are major contributors to ultrafine particle growth to CCN sized particles. • Uncertainty #1: Recent studies show that an additional source of SOA of 100 Tg (SOA) yr-1 is required to match measurements (Spracklen et al., 2011). • Uncertainty #2: Many models treat SOA as semivolatile with condensation onto the aerosol mass distribution; however, recent closure studies show a significant fraction of SOA condensing to aerosol surface area (Riipinen et al., 2011). • We use GEOS-Chem-TOMAS to simulate these findings. • We added an extra 100 Tg (SOA) yr-1 spatially correlated with the emissions of anthropogenic carbon monoxide (CO). • We find that the additional source of SOA correlated with the anthropogenic CO yields a 30% increase in N80 (number of particles with Dp > 80 nm) and a 27% decrease in N10 (number of particles with Dp > 10 nm) globally over the base emissions when using the surface area condensation scheme. • We find that the surface area condensation scheme yields a 5% increase in N10 and a 9% increase in N80 over the mass distribution condensation scheme. • Comparing to global ground-based measurements confirmed a decrease in the model-measurement bias when using the surface area condensation scheme and the extra SOA was included. Top-down estimates suggest a global source ranging from 120-1820 Tg (SOA) yr-1, meanwhile atmospheric models using bottom-up estimates suggest SOA formation of 12-70 Tg (SOA) yr-1. Therefore the uncertainty in the global SOA source is very uncertain with ranges of 12-1820 Tg (SOA) yr-1 (Spracklen et al., 2011) (Figure 1). Freshly nucleated (~1 nm) particles must grow to CCN sizes in order to affect climate (Figure 2). To model the growth of these particles the condensation of SOA to the particles must be assessed. Many models treat SOA solely as semi-volatile (C* >≈ 10-1 µg m-3), which leads to condensation of SOA onto the aerosol mass distribution. However, recent closure studies with field measurements show that a significant fraction of SOA condenses to the aerosol surface area, which suggests a very low volatility (C* <≈ 10-3 µg m-3) (Figure 3). • 3D atmospheric model: GOES-Chem (www.geos-chem.org) • GEOS-3 meteorological fields • 4°x5° horizontal resolution, 30 vertical layers (from the surface to 0.01 hPa) • Aerosol microphysics: TwO-Moment Aerosol Sectional (TOMAS) (Adams and Seinfeld, 2002, Pierce and Adams, 2009b) • Condensation, coagulation, nucleation • 40 size bins (1 nm – 10 µm) • Nucleation rates predicted by ternary homogeneous nucleation of H2SO4, NH3, and H2O based on the parameterization of Napari et al. (2002) scaled down globally by a constant factor of 10-5 (Westervelt et al., 2013). • Simulations were run for the model year 2001 with one month spin-up. l Figure 2 (left). Schematic showing the connection between SOA, ultrafine particles and CCN (taken from Riipinen et al., 2011). Figure 3 (below). Measurements and model simulations showing the growth of freshly nucleated aerosols on 15 April 2007 in Hyytiälä, Finland (taken from Riipinen et al., 2011). The two simulations show condensation of organics proportional to 0% and 100% of the surface area of the aerosols (the remaining SOA in each case partitions to the mass distribution of aerosols). Figure 1. Comparison of global sources of SOA from various studies (taken from Spracklen et al., 2011). Sensitivity tests Simulation Name MASS-BASE By comparing GLOMAP model simulations to AMS measurements, Spracklen et al. (2011) were able to close the measurement-model gap by adding 100 Tg (SOA) yr-1 of SOA correlated with anthropogenic CO emissions to the model simulations. In this work, we will use this additional 100 Tg (SOA) yr-1 of additional SOA (correlated with anthropogenic CO) in the model simulations. 4. Additional SOA increases CCN number 5. Surface area increases CCN number Figure 4. Simulations for model year 2001 of the percent change of N10 in the BL between the additional SOA correlated to the anthropogenic CO emissions and the base case emissions both using the surface area condensation scheme (SURF-XSOA – SURF-BASE). The additional SOA yields a 27% global BL decrease in N10. Figure 6. Simulations for model year 2001 of the percent change of N10 in the continental boundary layer (BL) between condensation of SOA proportional to the surface area compared to the mass distribution (SURF-BASE – MASS-BASE). The surface area condensation scheme yields a 5% global BL increase in N10 over the mass distribution scheme. SURF-BASE Base biogenic SOA emissions with SOA condensing proportional to the aerosol surface area MASS-XSOA 100 Tg yr-1 of anthropogenic SOA added correlating to the emissions of anthropogenic CO using the mass distribution condensation scheme SURF-XSOA 100 Tg yr-1 of anthropogenic SOA added correlating to the emissions of anthropogenic CO using the surface area condensation scheme 6. Surface area condensation with the additional SOA performs best Figure 8 (above left). Observed and simulated annual- and campaign-mean particle number size distributions for 20 global ground-based sites. Figure 9 (above right). 1:1 plots for measured and simulated annual-mean N10, N40, N80 and N150, calculated log-mean bias (LMB), slope of the linear regression (m) and correlation (R2). The dashed lines indicate 5:1 and 1:5 lines. Simulation LMB N10 Figure 5. Simulations for model year 2001 of the percent change of N80 in the BL between the additional SOA correlated with anthropogenic CO emissions and the base case emissions both using the surface area condensation scheme (SURF-XSOA – SURF-BASE). The additional SOA yields a 30% global BL increase in N80, however in some regions with high anthropogenic CO emissions the increase in N80 exceeds 100%. Figure 7. Simulations for model year 2001 of the percent change of N80 in the BL between condensation of SOA to the surface area compared to the mass distribution (SURF-BASE – MASS-BASE). The surface area condensation scheme yields a 9% global boundary-layer increase in N80 over the mass distribution scheme with some biogenically active regions exceeding 100%. Description Base biogenic SOA emissions with SOA condensing proportional to the aerosol mass distribution N40 N80 N150 N10 N40 N80 N150 N10 N40 N80 N150 MASS-BASE 0.203 -0.047 -0.099 -0.199 1.031 0.825 0.729 0.628 0.91 0.90 0.86 0.80 SURF-BASE 0.203 -0.035 -0.083 -0.181 1.025 0.827 0.732 0.633 0.91 0.90 0.86 0.80 MASS-XSOA 0.100 -0.067 -0.084 -0.107 1.003 0.857 0.783 0.722 0.92 0.91 0.86 0.80 SURF-XSOA -0.030 -0.052 0.005 0.82 0.071 0.888 0.876 0.859 0.852 0.89 0.91 0.87 1. Riipinen, I., et al., Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 3865-3878, 2011. 2. Spracklen, D. V., et al., Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 12109-12136, 2011. 3. Napari, I., et al., J. Chem. Phys., 116, 4221-4227, 2002. R2 m 7. References Table I. Summary of the log-mean bias (LMB), slope of the linear regression (m) and correlation (R2) for the different simulations. Red numbers represent the best statistical result between all simulations 4. Adams, P. J., and J. H. Seinfeld, J. Geophys. Res., 10.1029/2001JD001010, 2002. 5. Pierce, J. R. and Adams, P. J., Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L09820, 2009a. 6. Westervelt, D. M., et al., Atmos. Chem. Phys. Disc., 13, 8333-8386, 2013. 8. Acknowledgements The authors would like to acknowledge the Natural Science and Engineering Research Council (NSERC) of Canada for funding this project as well as the Atlantic Computational Excellence Network (ACE-Net) for computational resources.