Repères pour la nouvelle région - Région Nord

Transcription

© Cyrille Struy - Région Picardie
NORD PAS DE CALAIS-PICARDIE
ARRAS
LILLE
AMIENS
LAON
BEAUVAIS
© Emmanuel Watteau - Région Nord Pas de Calais
© Guillaume Crochez - Région Picardie
© Claude Waeghemacker - Région Nord Pas de Calais
Repères pour
la nouvelle région
Le marché de l’emploi au sein de la nouvelle
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Repère n°5 – Septembre 2015
Direction Générale «Appui au pilotage des Politiques Publiques»
Région Nord-Pas de Calais
Direction Générale «Développement Territorial»
Région Picardie
RÉDACTION :
Direction du Développement Durable, de la Prospective et de l’Evaluation
Direction de la Prospective, de la Programmation, de l’Aménagement Durable et de l’Evaluation,
Région Picardie
Mission d’appui aux programmes régionaux de formation
Direction de l’action économique
Directeurs de publication
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Septembre 2015
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SOMMAIRE
LE MARCHÉ DE L’EMPLOI AU SEIN DE LA NOUVELLE RÉGION
ENTRE MUTATIONS STRUCTURELLES ET OPPORTUNITÉS
I. UN SYSTÈME PRODUCTIF EN MUTATION
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1. LE TISSU ÉCONOMIQUE DE LA NOUVELLE RÉGION
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2. L’ENJEU DES SPÉCIALISATIONS INDUSTRIELLES ET DU DÉVELOPPEMENT
DES ACTIVITÉS PRÉSENTIELLES
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II. UN MARCHÉ DE L’EMPLOI FRAGMENTÉ MAIS DONT CERTAINS ATTRACTEURS
SE RENFORCENT
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2. UN DÉVELOPPEMENT DE L’EMPLOI AUTOUR DES GRANDS PÔLES URBAINS,
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III. LES ENJEUX DE LA FORMATION ET DE L’ADAPTATION DES COMPÉTENCES
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1. UN RECUL DE LA PART DE LA POPULATION NON DIPLÔMÉE ET UNE HAUSSE
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3. LES SECTEURS EN DYNAMIQUE D’EMPLOIS
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PERSPECTIVES
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1.LE TISSU ÉCONOMIQUE DE LA NOUVELLE RÉGION
1. Une moindre densité économique par habitant…
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Répartition des établissements par tranche d’effectifs
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nouvelle région
Sans salarié
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TOTAL
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nouvelle région
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Source : INSEE-SIRENE, dénombrement d’établissements en 2013
Champ total : secteur marchand, secteur agricole, collectivités territoriales, administrations…
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3. Une dynamique favorable pour la création d’entreprises
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2. L’ENJEU DES SPÉCIALISATIONS INDUSTRIELLES ET DU DÉVELOPPEMENT
DES ACTIVITÉS PRÉSENTIELLES
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II. Un marché de l’emploi régional
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DWWUDFWHXUVVHUHQIRUFHQW
1. LA NOUVELLE RÉGION AU 4ÈME RANG NATIONAL PAR LE NOMBRE
D’ACTIFS OCCUPÉS
1. Un faible taux d’activité des femmes
/DQRXYHOOHU«JLRQFRPSWHSUªVGHPLOOLRQVGÝDFWLIVDFWLIVRFFXS«VHWFK¶PHXUVSDUPLOHV
DQV/HWDX[GÝDFWLYLW«VÝ«WDEOLW¢VRLWSRLQWVGHPRLQVTXÝHQPR\HQQHQDWLRQDOH
/Ý«FDUWVÝH[SOLTXHHQPDMHXUHSDUWLHSDUXQHPRLQGUHDFWLYLW«GHVIHPPHVDYHFXQ«FDUWGHSRLQWV
¢ODPR\HQQHIUDQ©DLVH
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Source : INSEE – RP 2011, exploitations principales
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QHGLVSRVHQWGÝDXFXQGLSO¶PHFRQWUHHQPR\HQQHHQ)UDQFHDLQVLTXHODVXUUHSU«VHQWDWLRQ
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Source : INSEE – RP 2011
2. La nouvelle région compte 2,1 millions d’actifs occupés
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La nouvelle région se classe auªPHUDQJGHVU«JLRQVIUDQ©DLVHVSDUODWDLOOHGHVDSRSXODWLRQDFWLYH
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DYHFOÝ,OHGH)UDQFHbbU«VLGHQWVYRQWFKDTXHMRXU\WUDYDLOOHUWDQGLVTXHSUªVGHbIUDQFL
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Actifs en emploi, lieu de résidence et lieu de travail
Nb d'actifs en
emploi au lieu de
résidence
Rang
Nb d'actifs en
emploi au lieu de
travail
Rang
Rapport AELT/
AELR*
Ile de France
5 402 457
1
5 659 717
1
1,05
Auvergne
Rhône Alpes
3 236 294
2
3 150 819
2
0,97
Aquitaine
Limousin
Poitou Charentes
2 329 191
3
2 307 758
3
0,99
Picardie
Nord Pas de Calais
2 288 714
5
2 151 856
4
0,94
Languedoc Roussillon
Midi Pyrénées
2 174 743
6
2 142 218
5
0,99
Alsace
Champagne Ardenne
Lorraine
2 297 616
4
2 139 916
6
0,93
PACA
1 903 654
7
1 881 392
7
0,99
Pays de la Loire
1 510 577
8
1 493 741
8
0,99
Basse Normandie
Haute Normandie
1 338 654
9
1 298 882
9
0,97
Bretagne
1 313 015
10
1 297 496
10
0,99
Bourgogne
Franche Comté
1 148 543
11
1 106 906
11
0,96
Centre
1 051 438
12
997 274
12
0,95
DOM
566 123
13
565 845
13
1,00
Corse
124 653
14
123 576
14
0,99
France
26 685 672
26 317 395
0,99
Classement prenant en compte le redécoupage des régions qui entrera en vigueur en 2016.
* Rapport entre les actifs au lieu de travail et les actifs au lieu de résidence. Supérieur à 1, il indique que le nombre d’actifs qui viennent
travailler dans un territoire donné est supérieur au nombre d’actifs qui y résident.
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de l’emploi
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EHVRLQVGHPDLQGÝÆXYUHLPSRUWDQWVGDQVSOXVLHXUVDUURQGLVVHPHQWVāDPDQGVIURQWDOLHUV
Les mobilités domicile / travail en 2010
Entrants (issus des régions françaises)
Sortants
Nb actifs concernés
% d'actifs concernés
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2. UN DÉVELOPPEMENT DE L’EMPLOI AUTOUR DES GRANDS PÔLES
URBAINS, UNE CROISSANCE PLUS LENTE AILLEURS
1. Une progression de l’emploi corrélée au dynamisme démographique dans les
communes appartenant à la couronne des grands pôles urbains
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'DQVOHG«WDLO¢OÝH[FHSWLRQGHODP«WURSROHOLOORLVHHWGHTXHOTXHVJUDQGHVYLOOHV9LOOHQHXYHGÝ$VFT
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DFWLYLW«VGHVHUYLFHV.
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(QQHYHOLQ )UHWLQå GH 'XQNHUTXH %LHUQH GH %HDXYDLV GH &DODLV 2Q UHOªYH DXVVL XQH SURJUHVVLRQGDQVTXHOTXHVFRPPXQHVVRXVLQāXHQFHIUDQFLOLHQQHLPSXWDEOHDXG«YHORSSHPHQWU«VLGHQWLHO
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Catégorie de
communes au sein de la
nouvelle région
Population
en 2011
Evo. de la
pop 06/11,
en valeur
Evo. de la
pop 06/11,
en %
AELT* 2011
Evo. emploi
06/11, en
valeur
Evo. emploi
06/11, en %
111 : Communes appartenant à un grand pôle
(10 000 emplois ou plus)
3 683 247
-9991
-0,3%
1 569 795
-1588
-0,1%
112 : Communes appartenant à la couronne
d'un grand pôle
1 109 051
+34085
+3,2%
243 740
+6096
+2,6%
120 : Communes multipolarisées des grandes
aires urbaines
514 650
+16867
+3,4%
126 014
-604
-0,5%
211 : Communes appartenant à un moyen pôle
(5 000 à moins de
10 000 emplois)
108 935
-1997
-1,8%
46 477
-2516
-5,1%
d'un moyen pôle
5 746
+383
+7,1%
809
+154
+23,5%
221 : Communes appartenant à un petit pôle
(de 1 500 à moins de 5
000 emplois)
131 021
-2025
-1,5%
65 338
-1574
-2,4%
d'un petit pôle
4 909
+74
+1,5%
624
+6
+1,0%
300 : Autre commune
multipolarisée
286 327
+8397
+3,0%
61 952
-1557
-2,5%
400 : Commune isolée
KRUVLQāXHQFHGHVS¶OHV
116 284
+1367
+1,2%
37 107
-1632
-4,2%
5 960 170
+47161
+0,8%
2 151 856
-3216
-0,1%
Total
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* Actifs en emploi au lieu de travail
2. En dehors des grands pôles urbains, une transformation économique à
accompagner sur certains territoires démographiquement dynamiques
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«FRQRPLTXHVVXUXQPRGªOHTXLVHGLVWLQJXHGXG«FOLQLQGXVWULHOUXUDOHWGXS«ULXUEDLQU«VLGHQWLHO
&HFRQVWDWVÝREVHUYHVXUWRXWGDQVOH]RQDJHHQDLUHXUEDLQHGHVDXWUHVFRPPXQHVPXOWLSRODULV«HV
HVVHQWLHOOHPHQWSU«VHQWHVVXUODSDUWLHSLFDUGHGHODQRXYHOOHU«JLRQ&HVGHUQLªUHVHQUHJLVWUHQWXQH
FURLVVDQFHG«PRJUDSKLTXHGHOÝRUGUHGHVXUODS«ULRGHGÝREVHUYDWLRQ¢PDLVOHG\QDPLVPHREVHUY«VXUFHUWDLQHV]RQHVQHFRQGXLWSDVQ«FHVVDLUHPHQWDXG«YHORSSHPHQWGHFHVWHUULWRLUHV FHUWDLQHV FRPPXQHV GH OD FRPPXQDXW« GH FRPPXQHV GX 6XG2XHVW $PL«QRLV GX 3D\V
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3. Des spécialisations professionnelles qui varient selon les formes urbaines
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Actifs en emploi au lieu de travail
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1. Le risque de chômage se réduit avec l’élévation du niveau de diplôme
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2. Des décalages entre emploi et niveau de diplôme, en particulier dans
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22,4%
29,6%
11,2%
Ingénieurs et cadres
Bâtiment, travaux publics
5,3%
10,8%
16,0%
19,0%
48,9%
29,1%
44,0%
14,5%
6,9%
5,4%
Ouvriers non qualiĮés
43,4%
42,0%
11,2%
2,5%
0,9%
27,2%
52,2%
15,2%
3,7%
1,7%
18,0%
34,4%
20,5%
20,6%
6,5%
5,5%
10,5%
9,4%
18,6%
55,9%
Industrie
23,3%
38,3%
19,9%
12,2%
6,3%
39,5%
40,0%
16,2%
3,3%
1,0%
23,8%
47,8%
20,6%
6,2%
1,6%
10,7%
29,5%
24,9%
27,7%
7,2%
Tourisme et transports
4,2%
9,7%
10,9%
23,3%
51,9%
32,7%
37,2%
18,2%
8,0%
3,9%
43,2%
33,6%
17,5%
4,1%
1,8%
34,3%
43,5%
16,1%
4,7%
1,4%
Employés
15,4%
22,2%
31,6%
22,3%
8,4%
17,4%
25,6%
25,2%
23,0%
8,9%
8,5%
13,2%
17,1%
23,2%
38,0%
Artisanat
54,9%
26,7%
12,1%
4,1%
2,1%
65,0%
22,5%
8,4%
3,0%
1,0%
29,4%
37,4%
21,6%
6,7%
4,9%
10,8%
18,1%
25,3%
25,1%
20,7%
indéterminé
15,5%
19,9%
20,0%
18,6%
26,0%
Employés
14,3%
23,3%
31,7%
23,2%
7,5%
8,2%
16,2%
24,9%
32,7%
18,0%
Gestion, administration
Informatique
Employés
5,1%
8,4%
13,2%
22,4%
50,8%
6,6%
9,0%
15,2%
29,3%
40,0%
17,3%
25,8%
29,0%
20,7%
7,2%
8,3%
13,0%
22,7%
40,4%
15,5%
3,2%
2,8%
6,8%
22,6%
64,6%
3,1%
15,2%
6,0%
20,0%
7,5%
29,6%
17,2%
15,9%
66,2%
19,3%
Employés
19,3%
26,5%
34,6%
13,9%
5,6%
13,3%
16,4%
31,8%
21,4%
17,2%
Etudes et recherche
Fonction publique et professions juridiques
Banques et assurances
Employés
5,6%
5,3%
12,7%
15,3%
61,1%
9,0%
12,9%
24,1%
31,4%
22,7%
10,9%
15,4%
26,1%
34,0%
13,6%
9,1%
13,8%
25,8%
34,0%
17,2%
6,1%
7,8%
18,6%
23,8%
43,7%
17,2%
23,0%
27,0%
20,4%
12,4%
Employés
21,7%
28,8%
31,7%
13,3%
4,5%
15,5%
20,7%
25,3%
26,4%
12,1%
Commerce
Hôtellerie, restauration, alimentation
6,6%
9,2%
15,5%
26,4%
42,3%
28,1%
42,0%
20,4%
6,5%
3,0%
indéterminé
32,8%
32,7%
20,9%
9,2%
4,3%
42,7%
35,4%
15,8%
4,0%
2,1%
22,9%
56,5%
15,8%
3,4%
1,3%
Employés
31,0%
30,9%
26,7%
7,7%
3,7%
12,8%
44,2%
27,0%
12,1%
3,8%
15,0%
26,9%
26,6%
19,1%
12,4%
41,7%
9,4%
36,2%
11,0%
15,1%
22,8%
4,7%
23,6%
2,3%
33,1%
9,3%
13,7%
22,5%
26,8%
27,7%
9,6%
7,9%
23,1%
20,0%
39,4%
6,5%
11,7%
15,6%
43,4%
22,8%
indéterminé
44,4%
22,2%
13,2%
14,0%
6,2%
Employés
12,7%
31,9%
24,2%
29,6%
1,7%
5,1%
6,8%
15,5%
58,4%
14,2%
Services aux particuliers (emplois familiaux, sécurité,...)
Communication, information, spectacle
Santé, action sociale, culturelle et sportive
2,1%
1,4%
2,8%
2,9%
90,8%
2,5%
3,2%
9,5%
19,9%
64,8%
3,0%
4,1%
14,6%
26,7%
51,7%
2,2%
2,5%
5,3%
14,3%
75,8%
20,1%
21,2%
12,7%
27,2%
14,1%
19,9%
14,7%
17,0%
38,4%
14,7%
Enseignement, formation
Politiques, religion
TOTAL
6RXUFHb,16((53
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