- TripleTree
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- TripleTree
Viewpoint THE HOSPITAL OF THE FUTURE MAY NOT BE A HOSPITAL AT ALL: AN ASSESSMENT OF HOW CHANGES IN REIMBURSEMENT, ALTERNATE CARE SITES AND AMPLIF IED CONSUMER EXPECTATIONS ARE BLUR RING THE LINES OF WHERE CARE IS BEING DELIVERED 2014 Executive Insights UNCOMMON CL ARIT Y VIEWPOINT / 2014 1 VIEWP OINT T R I PL E T R E E TripleTree is an independent merchant bank focused on mergers and acquisitions, financial restructuring, and principal investing services. Since 1997, the firm has advised and invested in some of the most innovative, high-growth businesses in healthcare. Our team is continuously engaged with decision makers across the sector including best-in-class companies balancing competitive realities with shareholder objectives, global companies seeking growth platforms, and financial sponsors assessing innovation investments or under-performing assets. H E A LT H E X E CU T I VE ROU NDTA B LE Our Health Executive Roundtable consists of senior executives from diverse industries who bring forth unique and sometimes disruptive ideas about the complex issues facing the healthcare industry. The Health Executive Roundtable has independent opinions which are not necessarily reflective of the views of TripleTree, but our firm’s perspectives are included at the conclusion of each forum. Health Executive Roundtable members include: SUSAN ALPERT, MD, PHD MARK DIXON STEVE PARENTE, PHD RALPH BERNSTEIN ARCHELLE GEORGIOU, MD ALBERT PRAST BRIGID BONNER DON JONES MICHAEL QUILTY DAVID COCHRAN, MD CAROLYN PARE SIMEON SCHINDELMAN Principal SFA Consulting Former EVP, Emerging Strategies US Bank Principal Bonner Consulting Principal Lightship Health President The Mark Dixon Group Chair, Health Executive Roundtable Senior Advisor, TripleTree Chief Digital Officer Scripps Translational Science Institute President & CEO Minnesota Health Action Group Professor of Finance University of Minnesota SVP, Cloud Technology United Health Group Founder Matrix Medical Network Chairman & CEO Bloom Health Table of Contents INSIDE THIS ISSUE: 02 / EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 03 / POST-ACUTE CARE: LOOKING BACK TO SEE AHEAD 06 / HOSPITALITY MEETS HEALTHCARE 09 / HOSPITALS LOSE THEIR MONOPOLY ON ACUTE CARE 11 / HEALTH REFORM TO CARE REFORM: HOTEL SERVICES FOR ACUTE CARE 13 / HOSPITALS WITHOUT BEDS: THE NEXT GENERATION OF HOSPITAL REAL ESTATE 16 / LOOKING AHEAD EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Over the last forty years, and architectural innovation; in fact, our research there has been a significant shows that it may not be a hospital at all. shift in where healthcare is delivered. Primarily High-quality healthcare is frequently described as driven by regulatory delivering the right care to the right person at the change and reimbursement right time in the right place. This report focuses on opportunity, alternatives to the right place. It describes the ongoing evolution hospital-based acute care of healthcare real estate and offers realistic insight services have emerged to the characteristics of the hospital of the future. with a consistent flattening We hope it provokes dialogue and stimulates new of inpatient admissions and a continued increase in considerations as hospitals, integrated health outpatient visits. systems, and other providers consider where and how to make long-term healthcare real estate investments. With the nation’s 5,723 registered hospitals1 being at the center of this painful, messy, yet necessary disruption of the healthcare industry, our Health Executive Roundtable addressed the question, “What does the hospital of the future look like?” Our take is that the hospital of the future is more than ubiquitous technology, expanded robotic systems, 2 TRIPLE-TREE.COM Between 1991 and 2011, there was a 9% decrease in inpatient admissions and a concomitant 6.2% increase in outpatient surgeries.2 POST-ACUTE CARE: LOOKING BACK TO SEE AHEAD Acute care hospitalization rates have gone through dramatic changes As shown in Figure 1, Medicare benefits first became since the mid-1980s because of regulatory and reimbursement changes. available in July 1966, and the number of hospital discharges Over the last decade, that momentum has been maintained by the demands progressively increased until they peaked at 169.3 per of consumerism and the expectations of a better customer experience. thousand in 1981. The Medicare Prospective Payment System Taking a historical look at three key dynamics that fueled the shift of acute was introduced in October 1983 as a financial incentive to inpatient care to outpatient settings sets the stage for understanding and encourage more cost-efficient care, and by 1986 discharge predicting how hospitals are likely to shift in the next decade. rates declined to 143.1 per thousand. While the Prospective Payment System only applied to admissions for Medicare • The Emergence of Post-Acute Care Facilities. Following beneficiaries, there was an indirect effect on hospital the introduction of Medicare in 1966, hospitalization rates reached admission rates for the commercial population, and the all-time highs only to have utilization plummet when the Health Care Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) estimated Financing Administration (HCFA) switched reimbursement from fee- that it fueled an overall 30% decrease in hospital utilization for-service to a prospective payment system in 1983. rates between 1965 and 1986.3 Figure 1 175 170 165 155 150 145 140 135 130 125 Hospitalization Rate per 1000 Population Medicare Coverage Begins Start of Medicare Prospective Payment System 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 Source: HHS, Vital and Health Statistics Trends in Hospital Utilization:1965-1986 VIEWPOINT / 2014 3 At the same time, Medicare’s continued fee-for-service and minimally invasive surgery along with technological and payer reimbursement for post-hospital extended care created opportunities trends has supported the growth of ASCs. By 2000, there were and incentives for delivering care in less acute and less costly approximately 3,000 ASCs in the country, and today there are settings. In addition, the Omnibus Reconciliation Act of 1980 and 5,300 facilities performing 23 million surgeries annually (26% of all a series of additional regulatory changes over the next decade surgeries).5 expanded Medicare’s coverage for home health services. As a result, between 1990 and 1996 the number of home health agencies • Convenience is Added to the Value Proposition. Long emergency increased by 68%, inpatient rehabilitation facilities went up by 29%, room waiting times and inconvenient hours for primary care visits and hospital-based skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) spawned the introduction of urgent care centers in the 1970s. rose by 82%. Studies show that urgent care visits are 33%-50% of the cost of 4 comparable services delivered in an emergency room; however, Hospitals compensated (and overcompensated) for the decrease economics are not the only factor driving their growth.6 Patient in utilization by increasing their capacity for complex patients and demand for more convenient access to care has increased, prompting procedures that generated higher reimbursements. significant interest and investment in urgent care centers. With hours of operation expanded significantly beyond typical office hours and • Ambulatory Surgery Centers Threaten the Status Quo. The more the scope of services broader than that provided in many primary significant pain point for hospitals came with the explosion of care offices (70-80% of urgent care centers offer fracture care, ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs). While only a few ASCs existed minor suturing, and intravenous fluids), the nation’s 9000+ urgent in the mid-1970s, the turning point came in 1981 when Medicare care centers have siphoned low- to mid-acuity patients away from began reimbursing facilities for selected procedures. Commercial hospital emergency departments.7,8 payers not only followed Medicare’s lead, but for certain procedures, their utilization review policies completely denied inpatient payment In contrast to urgent care centers, retail clinics do not directly erode for certain surgical procedures that could be safely performed the bottom line of hospital emergency rooms since they primarily divert in an outpatient setting. Widespread advancements in anesthesia patients away from primary care physician offices and urgent care 4 TRIPLE-TREE.COM centers. However, we believe retail clinics spawned the greatest threat to hospitals since they fundamentally changed the long-held definition of the right place. Retail clinics take care to patients, conveniently offering healthcare services in locations where people shop, live, and work at costs that are 30%-40% less than similar care at physician offices and approximately 80% less than emergency departments.9 In addition, retail clinics’ parent companies (e.g. Target, Walgreens, CVS, Wal-Mart) bring deep customer relationship competencies to the service model where patients are treated as valued guests. Although the American Academy of Pediatrics10 and American Academy of Family Physicians11 have taken a strong stand against the use of retail clinics, a PricewaterhouseCoopers survey showed that 23% of consumers have received care at a retail clinic and 73% of them would use the service again.12 A survey conducted by researchers at the Washington University School of Medicine found that among parents who take their children to a retail clinic, 47% of visits are when the pediatrician’s office is open, thus suggesting that convenience and the power of consumerism made a difference in their decision regarding where to seek care. VIEWPOINT / 2014 5 HOSPITALITY MEETS HEALTHCARE In 2008, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) “guestology” to help administrators, physicians, nurses and other launched the public reporting of performance on the Hospital Consumer manager-level healthcare personnel consistently exceed the Assessment of Healthcare Providers (HCAHPS) and in 2010, passage of expectations of patients. Disney’s website includes testimonials from the Affordable Care Act linked financial incentives (and disincentives) Massachusetts General Medical Group, Arkansas Children’s Hospital, to HCAHPS results. These regulatory dynamics along with consumers’ Florida Hospital for Children, Barton Memorial Hospital as well as expectations for better service sent a clear message to hospital Humana and Siemens Healthcare. executives; improving patients’ experience was a necessity to maintain their profit margin and remain viable. Forward-thinking executives While these hospitality immersion programs help improve the service realized that delivering an outstanding experience could be leveraged as experience and hotel functions of a hospital to drive a more memorable a competitive strategy to capture market share. experience (and ultimately, better HCAHPS scores), the Cornell School of Hotel Management points out that the intersection between hospitality The hospitality market saw a business opportunity to share their and healthcare extends beyond the notion that family members of expertise with the healthcare industry. patients should be viewed as guests with overnight accommodations near the patient. The larger opportunity is leveraging hotels as • In 2011, the Ritz-Carlton Leadership Center introduced their Gold Standard13 customer service program to hospitals. The Ritz has transitional care facilities that deliver healthcare-related services to patients themselves.16 shared their best practices with Stanford University Medical Center, New York Presbyterian Hospital, Loyola University Medical School, Self-Pay Consumers Demand a Better Experience at Lower Cost. and Bon Secours Health System of Virginia, among others.14 Plastic surgeons were some of the earliest physicians to routinely • That same year, the Disney Institute created a professional integrate hotel services into their post-operative care plans. This was development program specifically for hospitals and healthcare primarily a response to self-pay patients who shopped and compared organizations. The program, Building a Culture of Healthcare costs for cosmetic surgery while also demanding privacy, comfort and Excellence, uses Disney’s customer care philosophy, called service. Instead of admitting patients for surgery with a one to two night 6 TRIPLE-TREE.COM hospital stay to manage dressing changes and drains, many surgeons moved their procedures to outpatient settings and admitted patients to a nearby hotel, often with private duty nursing. Hotel care is not limited to cosmetic surgery. Wellness tourists, generally wealthy, middle-aged and highly educated, are looking to extend the value of their high insurance deductibles and out-of-pocket costs by receiving non-emergent preventive medical services and procedures in five-star vacation settings.17 Canyon Ranch, one of the early trailblazers, expanded to a medi-spa and offers health consultations and diagnostic medical services such as cardiac stress testing, bone densitometry, and genomic testing. The Greenbrier in West Virginia touts a full-time staff of 11 board-certified physicians (cardiologists, gastroenterologists, endocrinologists, and radiologists) in the Greenbrier Clinic who schedule no less than an hour for the history and physical examination of each patient.18 Dr. Louis Bucky, a plastic surgeon in Philadelphia, has had a long-standing relationship with the Ritz-Carlton since 2000. This relationship was at the core of the company’s Medical Concierge Program which launched in 2010. Services include transportation to and from doctor’s offices or hospitals in greater Philadelphia, 24-hour room service with accommodation to special dietary requirements, prescription pickup and coordination of medical services and equipment as well as handicappedaccessible room accommodations.19 Taking it one step further, The Miami Institute for Age Management and Intervention, complete with operating rooms and treatment rooms, opened its doors as a tenant in the Four Seasons Hotel and Resort. According to Marketdata Enterprises, medi-spas emerged about ten years ago and approximately 2,100 are now operating in the United States. Revenues in 2012 were estimated at $1.94 billion and projected to increase to $3.6 billion by 2016.20 Some Hospital-Hotel Partnerships Create (or Protect) Revenue. Hospitals have frequently identified local hotels where they can direct visiting family members who need a place to stay. However, these relationships have evolved. Hospitals are establishing formal relationships with hotels to accommodate the patients themselves for non-acute post-discharge care. As a destination medical facility, Mayo Clinic attracts patients from across the United States and abroad. However, Mayo used to turn away approximately 70 out-of-town patients per month who needed surgery because they didn’t have accompanying family or friends that could help them with post-recovery needs.21 In 2013, a newly formed home healthcare agency, Kahler-Marr In-Room Home Care Services, partnered with the Mayo Clinic and the Kahler and Marriott Hotels to offer in-room, privateVIEWPOINT / 2014 7 Hospital-hotel partnerships for sleep studies are yet another example. With 50-70 million Americans having sleep disorders and up to 80% being undiagnosed, sleep studies provide a meaningful source of Kahler-Marr In-Room Home Care Services22 revenue.23 However, hospitals lose a significant number of diagnostic tests to independent sleep study centers whose charges, on average, can be 30-50% less than a hospital-based center. In 2003, Vanderbilt Wound Assessment/Dressing Change $48 Vital Signs & Sedation Checks $39 Blood Sugar Checks $15 Blood Draws $24 study patients. The strategy also allows them to capture their share of Re-Education of Discharge Orders $48 the $5.8 billion sleep study market. Since then, numerous hospitals have Range of Motion Exercises $58 Ambulation/Gait Training $68 Medical Center opened the first hotel-based sleep center in the Marriott at Vanderbilt University to offer a more comfortable night’s sleep for partnered with local hotels to establish accredited sleep centers: **All Services are Private Pay, must be billed to the Room 2. Sample list from Kahler-Marr website; Complete list at www.kahlerinroomcare.com/nursing-services/nursing-services.htm • Duke with the Millennium Hotel in Durham, North Carolina • Northwestern with the Radisson Hotel in Chicago • Truman Medical Center with the Hyatt Regency in Kansas City • Southern Maine Medical Center with the Comfort Suites; a demonstration of how this strategy works in smaller markets pay home care services for patients recovering from surgery. As shown The examples above are simple but impactful for hospital executives in Figure 2, a la carte prices are clearly listed on their web site and costs since they attract and / or retain patients and have a favorable financial for services are added to the guest’s (patient’s) hotel bill.22 impact, except when shifting to hotel care erodes their bottom line. St. Vincent Healthcare in Billings, Montana attracts patients from a wide geographic region, and the hospital has negotiated rates and special amenities with the Hilltop Hotel for those needing to recover in close proximity to the hospital. 8 TRIPLE-TREE.COM HOSPITALS LOSE THEIR MONOPOLY ON ACUTE CARE One of the more innovative alternative care models for acute care we The outcomes are significant. According to, Dr. Mark Swiontkowski, CEO uncovered was at Minnesota-based TRIA Orthopedics. Established in of TRIA, the cost for a total knee replacement procedure is $1,500-$2,000 2003 as a joint venture between a private practice, a multi-specialty less than the same surgery done in a traditional inpatient care setting healthcare provider (Park Nicollet Health Services) and an academic with similar or better outcomes. Out of approximately 1,000 cases, patient center (University of Minnesota Physicians), TRIA offers comprehensive satisfaction rates average 99.7%, and there’s only been one emergency orthopedic care in a 100,000 square foot facility with services ranging when a patient had a brief syncopal episode.24 from outpatient clinics, acute injury care and diagnostic radiology to same day surgery and rehabilitative care. The program has been a triple win. In addition to Swiontkowski surmising in Figure 3 that similar potential exists for other specialties, TRIA In its first five years of operation, TRIA did not perform total hip and has expanded the TRIA/Hilton Recovery Program to include total hip knee replacement surgeries since these procedures typically require a replacements, complex ligament reconstruction, fracture and soft tissue two-night inpatient stay. However in 2008, TRIA partnered with a newly- procedures.25 constructed Hilton Hotel located directly across the street and developed the TRIA/Hilton Recovery Program, which diverts patients away from local In addition: hospitals and allows TRIA surgeons to perform total knee replacement • Patients have an enhanced overall experience with lower out-of- surgeries in their outpatient surgery center with the overnight recovery pocket expenses paid toward their deductible or co-insurance. taking place in a private room at the Hilton. Complete with one-on- • For commercial payers, the clinical and economic outcomes are such one onsite nursing care, the TRIA/Hilton partnership is fully compliant a strong value proposition that they’ve willingly negotiated case rates with regulatory and licensing requirements since patients are formally with TRIA that include hotel care as an alternate place of service for discharged from the outpatient surgery center and merely check-in to the acute care recovery. hotel with the nursing services classified as home health care services. • For TRIA and its affiliated surgeons, the expanded scope of services gives them a share of the facility revenue that was previously billed and collected by hospitals. VIEWPOINT / 2014 9 Figure 3 The Eventuality of Expanding Into Other Specialties Likely Areas of Hotel Model Growth Oncology “The general hospital operating room will eventually go away. My vision of the future includes healthcare being delivered outside of ambulatory specialty centers with a hotel model in place for all elective cardiovascular, gynecologic, urologic, ENT, and even cancer surgeries.” — Mark Swiontkowski, CEO of TRIA Urology Gynecology 10 TRIPLE-TREE.COM Otolaryngology Gastroenterology HEALTH REFORM TO CARE REFORM: HOTEL SERVICES FOR ACUTE CARE The Affordable Care Act is a pay-for-performance program and other provisions are set to cut hospital payments by $260 billion over the next six years. In addition, private payers are rewarding value and quality by partnering with integrated healthcare systems and establishing Accountable Care Organizations that shift financial and clinical risk. “The fee-for-service reimbursement model as we know it today is dying quickly; we just don’t know the date of the funeral yet.” — Richard Umbdenstock, President and CEO of the American Hospital Association In order to survive this shift, hospitals are under the gun to make significant cultural and operational changes, and we believe that a critical success for hospitals is redefining the right place. Steve Brown, Executive Director of the Healthcare Advisory Team for Cushman & Wakefield | NorthMarq, describes an evolving array of healthcare projects where surgery centers are being built or re- Ambulatory Surgery Centers Establish Their Own Hotel Capabilities. designed to include onsite hotel accommodations for patient recovery. Partnerships between ambulatory surgery centers and hotels are getting Similar to the TRIA model, patients are discharged from the outpatient established across the country, a newer trend, being reported first by facility and then checked in to the facility's hotel beds. Co-location of real estate firms and real estate investment trusts (REIT), are ambulatory the facility and hotel accommodations eliminates the requirement of care centers establishing their own hotel-like facilities. geographic proximity between a surgery center and hotel. It also simplifies patient transport needs and eases access to clinical services and specialists, if needed. VIEWPOINT / 2014 11 Financially, this strategy gives providers more control over the cost of care for patients and, theoretically, could be yet another profitable revenue stream for surgery centers if they can provide overnight stays less expensively than the negotiated rate with a hotel.26 Duke Realty Corporation, (NYSE: DRE), a publicly traded REIT that owns and operates approximately 80 healthcare properties, has an interesting view of medical office buildings (MOBs) and states,, “MOBs offering higher-acuity care and/or non-acute care are an attractive solution because they cost less to build, operate and maintain than hospitals and inpatient facilities, for both physical and regulatory reasons.”26 While commercial payers have come on board, the ambulatory surgery-hotel care model is hardly a routine approach to care. The biggest barriers are CMS’s payment rules that only reimburse knee or hip replacements performed in inpatient settings.27 As shown in Figure 4, we estimate that CMS would save almost $220 million annually if they change their reimbursement rules for these two procedures alone.28 Figure 4 HCUPnet estimates Annual Savings for Knee & Hip Joint Replacements with Hotel-Recovery (2011) 666,604 Hip & Knee Replacements Total Cost: $10.97 Billion Assume 10% Conversion 66,660 Hip & Knee Replacements Hospital Recovery Total Cost: $1.10 Billion Hotel Recovery Total Cost: $.88 Billion Annual Savings: $219 Million Source: HCUPnet28 In Scandinavian countries, privately run patient hotels are situated on hospital grounds and staffed by nurses with quick access to specialist consultants. The Innovation Unit think tank reports that patient hotels in Norway and Denmark save up to 60% on the cost of accommodating a patient in the hospital.29 12 TRIPLE-TREE.COM HOSPITALS WITHOUT BEDS: THE NEXT GENERATION OF HOSPITAL REAL ESTATE A new mindset is evident among hospital executives engaged in building respondents indicating they have an ambulatory care construction project new or expanded facilities. Construction projects are skewed toward under way or planned in the next three years, up from 15% the prior year. facilities for outpatient services and ambulatory surgery, as these are However, rather than expanding their on-campus footprint, hospitals are more likely to generate a stronger return on investment than inpatient building their new ambulatory facilities in satellite locations, sometimes care facilities in future years. in their competitor’s backyard. This hub and spoke model is designed to drive complex cases back to the hospital hub and reflects the fierce On average, 47% of hospitals’ inpatient revenue comes from caring for Medicare beneficiaries.30 Unless CMS (and other public payers) reforms reimbursement rules, hospitals will not be able to afford adopting these alternative care approaches. However, hospital administrators are feeling the competitive pressure and slowly shedding the idea of using the number of beds to size their hospitals and inpatient census as their path to profitability. competition for market share.31 This strategy is evident in urban and suburban settings. Montefiore Medical Center, the University Hospital for Albert Einstein College of Medicine in the Bronx, is building a $142 million, 11-story facility at the Hutchinson Metro Center, a 42-acre office campus (Montefiore’s fourth campus) complete with diagnostic services and dedicated surgical services including operating and procedure rooms. Remaining floors will be dedicated to primary care; gastrointestinal, urology, cardiology, otolaryngology, cosmetic surgery, and dermatology. There is also a pain center floor with anesthesiology, physical rehabilitation, neurology and a headache clinic.31 Montefiore’s President and CEO Dr. Steven Safyer said, According to the 2014 Health Facilities Management/American Society “We are reshaping outpatient care and establishing leading practices that for Healthcare Engineering (HFM/ASHE) Construction Survey, there provide Montefiore’s world-class treatments through multidisciplinary is a bigger focus on developing ambulatory care settings with 22% of teams at a hospital without beds.”33 VIEWPOINT / 2014 13 Ridgeview Medical Center is an independent 109-bed hospital in including an influx from one adjacent community whose inpatient volume suburban Minneapolis. In 2011, Ridgeview completed the first phase of grew from 1%-15% in two years.34 construction for Two Twelve Medical Center located 11 miles east of their main hospital. The 180,000 square foot facility has signage that reads Why is Stevens making investments and big bets in cost-efficiency HOSPITAL, and is equipped with three ambulance bays, a heli-pad and approaches such that revenues could go down? is a full-fledged but free-standing emergency room without any inpatient beds. In addition, the multi-tenant building houses a comprehensive Consider the following: array of primary care and subspecialty private practices along with • Ridgeview patients seeking emergency room services are evaluated advanced imaging, laboratory and pharmacy services. The second and, if appropriately stable, triaged to the adjacent, less costly urgent phase of the project is nearly finished and boasts a 45,000 square foot care area. This also translates into office visit/clinic-level benefits expansion and ambulatory surgery center complete with four care suites, versus emergency room/hospital outpatient benefits, thus resulting their terminology for hotel-beds. in lower overall costs for payers and less out-of-pocket costs for patients. Robert Stevens, Ridgeview’s President and CEO, envisioned the Two • The care suites offer an alternative care setting for patients having Twelve Medical Center expansion as a way to penetrate more of the procedures that have traditionally required an overnight stay. Besides outpatient care market, and steer potential inpatient care to its main a 20-30% decrease in cost, hotel care may result in fewer hospital- hospital and away from competitors. Early indications are that his plan acquired infections and readmissions. worked. Outpatient visits in the Ridgeview system have nearly tripled, 14 TRIPLE-TREE.COM • Ridgeview is partnering with Intergenerational Living and Health Care (ILHC) to co-develop a 125-unit senior living complex in a neighboring community. The new facility will offer assisted living, memory care and other healthcare services for residents and will integrate the use of telehealth services to connect residents with Ridgeview’s medical facilities.35 Care delivery strategies that decrease the total cost of care will strategically position Ridgeview to be successful in bundled payment programs, accountable care arrangements and other value-based reimbursement designs. Ridgeview’s willingness to break with traditional norms about how and where care is delivered is a bold example of a hospital betting on a future healthcare system that rewards well-care instead of sick-care. “Healthcare experience is still the priority when doing an executive search for a hospital. However, we’ve seen a shift among larger integrated health systems who are asking us to find candidates with a hybrid of healthcare and hospitality experience.” — Mark Madden, SVP Executive Search, B.E. Smith VIEWPOINT / 2014 15 LOOKING AHEAD We’re in the early innings of change in healthcare real estate. In 2012, be admitted for conditions such as heart failure, pneumonia, urinary and 44% of hospitals’ revenue came from outpatient services.36 Between now skin infections. and 2019, the demand for outpatient services will increase by nearly 22% while demand for inpatient services will remain flat or decrease.37 Over 60 randomized trials boast results showing that home-based versus hospital-based care decreases delirium by 75%, mortality by In our view, while the term hospital may still be used to describe the 25%, and costs by 20-40%.38 Companies like Clinically Home of America 5000+ care facilities in the U.S., hospitals will eventually be more akin to have begun commercializing the Hopkins’ Hospital at Home model as a ambulatory care businesses as greater than 50% of their revenue comes centralized approach to telemedicine-based care. from outpatient services. Over the long term, remote monitoring, virtual reality and robotics will Looking even further ahead, the hospital of the future will be your home. enable care at home for all except the most acutely ill patients. The One of the most innovative models we’ve identified was the Johns market leaders in healthcare are already demonstrating innovation, Hopkins Hospital at Home® model, where protocols for setting up leadership and the financial commitment to establish the strategies, and performing services in the home (intravenous antibiotics, oxygen, infrastructure and culture to redefine their role in the continuum of care. diagnostic tests) have been established for patients who would typically 16 TRIPLE-TREE.COM END NOTES 1 AHA.org: http://www.aha.org/research/rc/stat-studies/fast-facts.shtml#community 2 Avalere Health analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey Data, 2011, for community hospitals. U.S. Census Bureau: National and State Population Estimates, July 1, 2011. 3 HHS, Vital and Health Statistics Trends in Hospital Utilization:1965-1986 4 Guterman, S, Putting Medicare In Context: How Does The Balanced Budget Act Affect Hospitals? Health Policy Center, The Urban Institute July 2000 5 ASC Association: http://www.ascassociation.org/AboutUs/WhatisanASC/History 6 BMC Health Service: Weinick, et al. Urgent care centers in the U.S.: Findings from a national survey; BMC Health Serv Res. 2009; 9: 79. 7 Ibid. 8 Urgent Care Association of America, Urgent Care Industry Information Kit, 2013 9 Anals of Internal Medicine: Mehrotra, Ateev, et al, “Comparing Costs and Quality of Care at Retail Clinics with that of Other Medical Settings for 3 Common Illnesses.” Annals of Internal Medicine.151 no. 5 (2009):321‐328 10 AAP Principles Concerning Retail-Based Clinics; originally published online February 24, 2014; Accessed 2/25/14 11 http://www.aafp.org/about/policies/all/retail-clinics.html; Accessed 2/25/2014 12 Price Waterhouse Coopers Health Research Institute Consumer Survey, 2013 13 Ritz Carlton: http://corporate.ritzcarlton.com/en/About/GoldStandards.htm 14 FierceHealthcare: http://www.fiercehealthcare.com/story/hospital-or-hospitality-ritz-carlton-provides-hospitals-customer-service-le/2011-08-26 15 Disney: http://disneyinstitute.com 16 Cornell Hospitality Proceedings Vol. 4 No. 2, March 2012 17 2013 Global Wellness Tourism Economy Report, Global Wellness Institute and SRI International 18 Greenbriar: http://legacy.greenbrier.com/greenbrier-health.aspx VIEWPOINT / 2014 17 19 Dr. Bucky: http://www.drbucky.com/media/dr-buckys-ritz-carlton-concierge-program/ 20 PR Web: http://www.prweb.com/releases/2013/1/prweb10363396.htm 21 KAAL TV: http://www.kaaltv.com/article/stories/s3154282.shtml 22 Kahler Hotels: http://www.kahlerinroomcare.com/nursing-services/nursing-services.html 23 National Research Council: Sleep Disorders and Sleep Deprivation: An Unmet Public Health Problem. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2006. 24 TripleTree interview with Dr. Mark Swiontkowski on 11/13/2013 25 TripleTree interview with Dr. David Fischer on 2/26/2014 26 Press Release: “Six Healthcare Real Estate Trends to Watch in 2013.” Duke Realty Corporation, January 24, 2013 27 Ambulatory Surgery Center Association: Analysis of Medicare’s 2013 Payment Rule, Ambulatory Surgery Center Association, November 2, 2012. 28 29 30 31 HCUPNet data. Accessed March 15, 2014 TripleTree interview with Steve Brown, Cushman & Wakefield | Northmarq, January 24, 2014. HCUPNet data. Accessed March 17, 2014 HFM Magazine: http://www.hfmmagazine.com/display/HFM-news-article.dhtml?dcrPath=/templatedata/HF_Common/NewsArticle /data/HFM/Magazine/2014/Feb/0214HFM_FEA_CoverStory 32 Modern Healthcare: http://www.modernhealthcare.com/article/20130126/MAGAZINE/301269979 33 Montefiore Medical Center: “Montefiore Medical Center Announces Plans to Build the Hospital of the Future”, News Release dated October 22, 2012. 34 TripleTree interview with Robert Stevens, President and CEO, Ridgeview Medical Center, January 31, 2014 35 Twin Cities Business Journal: http://www.bizjournals.com/twincities/blog/real_estate/2013/03/ridgeview-medical-chaska-senior-housing.html?page=all 36 American Hospital Association Hospital Statistics, 2014 edition 37 News-Medical.Net: http://www.news-medical.net/news/20100106/Sg2-Demand-for-outpatient-services-to-increase-by-nearly-2225-over-the-next-decade.aspx 38 TripleTree interview with Dr. Bruce Leff, February 4, 2014. 18 TRIPLE-TREE.COM triple-tree.com VIEWPOINT / 2014 19 MINNEAPOLIS | NEW YORK TRIPLE-TREE.COM N O PART O F T H IS P U BLICAT ION MAY B E PRODUCED OR TR A NSMIT TED IN A NY FOR M OR BY A NY MEA NS, ELECTRONIC OR M EC H ANIC A L , W IT H O U T PERMISS ION IN WRIT IN G FROM TRIPLE TR EE. THE INFOR MATION CONTA INED HER EIN HA S BEEN OBTA INED F RO M S O U RC ES BE L IE V ED TO B E REL IAB L E, BUT TH E ACCU R ACY A ND COMPLE TENESS OF THE INFOR MATION, A ND THAT OF T H E OP INIO N S BA S E D T H EREIN , ARE N OT G UARAN T EED. A S A N INDEPENDENT F IR M, TR IPLE TR EE MAY PER FOR M OR SEEK TO PE R F O R M INV EST M E NT BAN KIN G S ERVICES FOR TH E COMPA NIES R EFER ENCED IN THIS DOCU MENT. COPY R IG H T © 20 1 4 T R IP LE T REE, LLC. ALL RIG H TS RES ERVED. triple-tree.com/blog 20 TRIPLE-TREE.COM /tripletreellc /tripletreellc /TTPrincipalsForums