Snowpack Radiative Heating: Influence on Tibetan Plateau
Transcription
Snowpack Radiative Heating: Influence on Tibetan Plateau
Snowpack Radiative Heating: Influence on Tibetan Plateau Climate Mark Flanner Charlie Zender University of California at Irvine Earth System Science Department Thanks to: Richard Armstrong Siri Jodha Singh Khalsa Steve Warren Zong-Liang Yang Keith Oleson Mariana Vertenstein Chao Luo Flanner and Zender, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L06501, 2005 This study demonstrates: • Powerful snow-albedo feedback in environments of intense insolation. • The importance of subsurface snowmelt in triggering this feedback. • 80% reduction in winter/spring snowmass on Tibetan Plateau, attributed entirely to realistic representation of vertically-resolved radiative absorption. – Significant improvements in model predictions of snow mass and air temperature. Koh and Jordan, “Sub-surface melting in a seasonal snow cover”, J. Glaciol, 41, 1995: Detected meltwater in low density snow at depths between 2 and 5 cm • Daytime subsurface temperature maximum because of: – Strong longwave cooling from surface – Subsurface absorption of solar radiation – Good insulating properties of low density snow, allowing sustained temperature gradients to persist SNow, ICe, and Aerosol Radiative Model (SNICAR) Two-stream, multi-layer radiative transfer model [Wiscombe and Warren, 1980; Toon et al, 1989] • Fraction of total solar absorption occuring more than 2cm beneath surface ranges from 5-60% of total absorption • Subsurface absorption depends on: – Snow grain size – Zenith Angle – Snow Density Climate Model Experiments Off-line Simulation Coupled Simulation Snow RT Model Median Radius Shortwave Absorption CLM-B CAM-B SNICAR 200 µm Top Layer CLM-C CAM-C SNICAR 200 µm All Layers (Identical Snow Albedo in all Experiments) CLM: NCAR Community Land Model 3 [Oleson et al., 2004]: - Represents snow with up to 5 layers, based on Jordan [1991]. - All solar radiative absorption is in top snow layer (2 cm) CAM: NCAR Community Atmosphere Model 3 [Collins et al., 2004] without snow-albedo feedback … and with Cause: Sub-surface melt, followed by meltwater seepage into soil, reducing snow column depth and areal snow coverage, triggering snow-albedo feedback. Climate Model Experiments Off-line Simulation Coupled Simulation Snow RT Model Median Radius Shortwave Absorption CLM-A CAM-A CLM n/a Top Layer CLM-B CAM-B SNICAR 200 µm Top Layer CLM-C CAM-C SNICAR 200 µm All Layers CLM-D CAM-D SNICAR 100-1000 µm All Layers - High spatial variability in TP snow depth (terrain) and large observational uncertainty (remoteness), but clear high winter bias predicted by vanilla CAM. - Microwave high-bias because of thin TP atmosphere. - High precipitation bias in model - Unique situation: Strong snow-albedo feedback in winter! Vanilla CAM severely over-predicts winter snow mass on Tibetan Plateau. Changes in 2-meter air temperature tracks changes in snow coverage Conclusions • Subsurface snow melt occurs regularly in low density, mid-latitude snowpack • Snow mass reduction from subsurface melt triggers strong snow-albedo feedback on the Tibetan Plateau. • How do these changes impact soil moisture? • How important is this mechanism in times of greater snow coverage and greater NH winter solar insolation? Soil Moisture: Preliminary Results • Offline model comparison, with realistic precipitation. • Vanilla CLM shows no winter soil moisture because ground is frozen. Snow Depth Changes: Offline Land Model