vignudelli: altimetric observations in the caspian sea
Transcription
vignudelli: altimetric observations in the caspian sea
Satellite radar altimetry for monitoring Caspian sea level changes Lessons learned from the EU/INTAS ALTICORE project Presented by Stefano Vignudelli Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Italy Contributors: Lyard F., Roblou L., Cretaux F., Testut L., Calzas F. (LEGOS, France), Cipollini P., Snaith H., Venuti F. (National Oceanography Centre Southampton, UK) Kostianoy A., Sheremet N., Ginzburg A., Kuzmina E. (Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russia) Lebedev S., Sirota A., Medvedev D., Khlebnikova S. (Geophysical Institute, Russia) Mamedov R., Ismatova K., Alyev A., Nabiyev T. (Institute of Geography, Azerbaijan) Satellite ALTImetry for COastal REgions NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 1 Outline of my talk Satellite Altimetry in few words ALTICORE Project in a nutshell Who, what, where, how Lesson learned in the Caspian Sea Open ocean Coastal zone Challenges with sea level data Some examples Preliminary results from a pilot sea level station Beyond ALTICORE Initiatives Summary – a personal view NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 2 How does satellite altimetry work ? What are we measuring? Satellite The Altimeter is nadir-poiting radar Not Images but points along a track! S Orbit R = ½ ct Radar Return Signal η SSH Reference Ellipsoid G Geoid Open Ocean Individual return signals are averaged on board (e.g. by 100 in Envisat) then trasmitted on ground at a rate, e.g. for Envisat of 18 hz (1/18 second of flight) which means measurements every 350 m along track but usually available (in open ocean) as averages over 1 second of flight, i.e. 7 km along track The Altimeter has low revisit (10 days and more) Satellite altimetry is success story in open ocean and next step is … NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 3 Meeting challenges in other areas Coastal Zone, Inland Seas, Rivers, Sea Ice Areas 17 yrs multi-mission archive Not fully exploited Normally flagged as bad in the official products Coastal Zone Common technical issues There is much interest in bring altimetry to the coastline Contamination of radar footprints Inadequacy of even failure of some auxiliary corrections Re-thinking the quality control strategy A hope at horizon: progresses in technology promise better resolution capability Source: COASTALT Envisat data Not only for using in synergy with modelling tools and other data sources, but also to understand the error budget in global sea level rise when altimeters are tied to coastal tide gauges for calibration. New techniques (Delay-Doppler, Interferometry, Reflectometry) New concepts (Constellations) A good thing is that future sensors (AltiKa, WSOA, SIRAL on Cryosat, Sentinel-3 altimeter…) are being designed with an eye to coastal zone NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 4 Coastal Altimetry – a bit of story Some seminal papers Crout 1998 - could recover data when coastal topography is flat Anzenhofer et al. 1999 – retracking waveforms Vignudelli et al. 2000 - Signal recovered consistent with in situ data Started first program in 2001 ALBICOCCA - ALtimeter-Based Investigations in COrsica, Capraia and Contiguous Area Precursor of other projects ALTICORE (2007-2008) to replicate in Caspian, Black, White, Barents, India and Africa Focus on Envisat mission at 18 Hz (350 m) NW Med, Iberian and West Britain are the pilot sites PISTACH (2007-2008) More here today COASTALT (2008 – now) Focus on Jason mission Global coasts & inland waters NASA OST ST call (2008-now) NW Mediterranean proposed as the “operational lab” for coastal altimetry Backward reanalysis of standard products (1HZ i.e. 7 km) A revised post-processing strategy 3 projects on “Coastal Ocean” and other three ones coastal-related … & at centre of the community Regular workshops Silver Spring 2007, Pisa 2008, Frascati 2009, suggested Porto 2009) – see at www.coastalt.eu Springer Book 20 chapters, 70 people involved – see at www.alticore.eu/book One of the chapters is about Caspian Sea NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 5 ALTICORE - Cooperation Funded by EU under INTAS Program Coordinating partner: providing altimeter data – more, better, closer coasts enhancing the capacity of Eastern partners to exploit data This is done in a number of regional seas P. P. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology (Russia) Geophysical Center (Russia) Institute of Geography (Azerbaijan) Aiming at National Oceanography Centre Southampton (UK) Laboratoire d'Etudes en Géophysique et Océanographie Spatiales (France) Three Eastern partners took part: Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (Italy) EU partners involved: Started on December 2006 for for a period of two years Mediterranean, Black, Caspian, White, Barents Three priority topics for action in the Caspian Sea: Getting the local information (e.g., in situ data, knowledge of metocean conditions, etc.) Improving the processing (editing, corrections, etc.) Making access to altimeter data easier NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 6 ALTICORE - running Teams met in two occasions Progress Meeting 10-12 Sept 2007 hosted at Institute of Geography (Baku, Azerbaijan) Final Meeting 24-26 Sept 2008 held at Castiglioncello (Livorno, Italy) Project supported exchange visits of team members to cooperate on specific topics, e.g.: White and Barents seas (NOCS & GC) – Development of a new local tidal correction Caspian Sea (CNR & LEGOS & IG) – Validation of the altimetric products NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 7 Caspian Sea – in situ sea level infrastructure Concerns: Source: Caspian Env Programme 1999 Where are data located? In what quantity? Of what quality? Who owns data? How to access? What we have seen: Different sampling Manual recording Often gappy or collection stopped Just tables (no metadata) Language differences Not surprised !!! Jiloy, Zhiloy, Chilov – same station!!! We liaised with scientists, who play with numbers. They are not data producers! BUT ….the quality and usability of the altimeter-derived observations is dependent upon good calibration/validation of the satellite sensors with in situ observations. NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 8 Caspian Sea – Water level variability from in situ data Baku Longest record at Baku (since 1837) Shows a rising of more than 2 metres between 1977 and 1995 Now stabilized near the −27 m level Understanding variability at all scales – a complicated puzzle Combination of factors: climatic (atmospheric variations), anthropogenic (e.g. river drainage and water use, especially Volga), geologic (e.g. subsidence) The question - Will the Caspian sea level rise again ? NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 9 Caspian Sea – Comparison at different stations Makhachkala - Krasnovodsk difference (m) Kulaly Island 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 -0.2 Makhachkala 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 Date (year) Assumed Makhachkala as reference Good agreement with observations at Krasnvodsk and Ogurchinsky Some discrepances at Kulaly island To be noted: The Northern Caspian presents peculiar metocean dynamics with strong storm surges over shallow waters (averaging just 4 meters) difference (m) 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 -0.2 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 date (year) Makhachkala-Kulaly difference (m) Krasnovodsk Ogurchinsky Island Makhachkala - Ogurchinsky 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 -0.2 1976 1978 1980 NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 Date (year) 10 Caspian Sea – Multi-Mission Altimetry Ground Track Coverage Fixed issues: Varying features (Northern Caspian): Radar Altimeter – land contamination of footprint (0-10 km) Wet Tropo correction (radiometer) – land contamination of footprint (0-50 km) Dry and Wet Tropo corrections (from ECMWF/NCEP fields) – erroneous altitude in the algorithm (e.g. T/P) Mean Sea Surface (CLS01) not usable to compute SLAs Aliasing of high-frequency variability (weather) - mis-modeled or un-modeled Uncertainties in the retrieval (surge or spike) Sea waters frozen for around 4-5 months (from November to March) Unknown features: Land/sea transition (high res DEM and Bathymetry) NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 11 Caspian Sea – Ice in altimeter and radiometer footprints Wet Troposphere from satellite radiometer 47° 46° North latitude Chistaya Banka Is. Chistaya Banka Island 45° Tyuleniy Is. 2 p9 44° 43° 42° 46° 48° 50° 52° 54° Jason-1 pass 92 Backscatter Coefficient East longitude 56° White band - Island effects ? Black dots – Ice Edges from AMSR-E/Aqua data (available since 2004) NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 12 Caspian Sea – Mean Sea Surface (MSS) Sea Level Anomaly computed from standard MSS is good for deep basins but not for shelves and slopes Time intervals used to construct different MSS -26 Where & Why ? -27 -27.5 -28.5 -28 Sea level (m) -26.5 MSS Model: CSR95 OSU95 GSFC00 CLS_SHOM98 CLS01 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 Time (year) 1996 1998 2000 Starting computing local MSS (GCRAS06) NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 13 Caspian Sea – Water level variability from multi-mission altimetry Based on 1 Hz data Referred to Baltic Sea level reference frame Shows seasonal variations probably due to climatological (evaporation & precipitation) and hydrological (river runoff, discharge to Kara Bogaz Gol) cycle Inter-annual tendencies might be interpreted in the light of decadal climate variability and amplification of irrigation in the Volga river basin NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 14 Sea level (m) Caspian Sea – Comparison of TOPEX/Poseidon altimetry (red) and in situ stations (black) ? -26,5 -26,6 -26,7 -26,8 -26,9 -27 -27,1 -27,2 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Time (year) Agree well with “ground truth” at basin scale, but still some local « mysteries » (e.g. 70 mm in 1995) Errors in altimetry ~15 mm/yr Possible uncertainty in the global lake level deduced from in situ stations Need of a permanent Cal/Val site for satellite altimetry NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 15 Sea level pilot station operating at Absheron Port (Baku) Satellite altimetry ground tracks Jason (red), Envisat (white), GFO (green), T/P 2002-2005 (yellow) NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 16 Some pictures about field work in June 2008 Started to collect data in June 2008 and still ongoing Processed the first 8 months Work in progress ….. NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 17 Sea level variability at Absheron Port During the observational period, the sea level at Port Absheron exhibits a large high frequency variability apparently more pronounced during summer time There are also other oscillations superimposed that need careful investigation The spectrum analysis shows the existence of a little tidal contribution to the sea level The large contribution is observed in the 3-30 day band, possibly linked to the meteorological forcing NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 18 Caspian Sea - Beyond ALTICORE New EU/FP7 Coordination Action CASPINFO - (started on Sep 2008) Fostering improved co-operation between research institutes, oil & gas industries, and international bodies in the Caspian Sea MARIS (Netherlands) is the coordinator Brings together partners from riparian countries (Russia, Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan) + EU ( Greece, Italy) + IOC-IODE, CEP and BSCS More at www.caspinfo.net Raising funding (jointly with LEGOS) to make the pilot station GLOSS-compliant, including near real time transmission, permanent GPS Station to control the vertical motion of the sea level sensor and regular offshore leveling along the altimetry ground tracks Recommendation to ESA for Sentinel-3 Caspian Sea is currently the best natural target for calibration over continental water bodies being a big lake with favorable location of satellite tracks and cross-over points Caspian Sea be used as testbed for developing a cal/val site for lakes. No similar optimality of any existing cal/val site in Europe would satisfy these requirements. NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 19 Summary Sea level in the Caspian Sea Satellite altimetry in the Caspian Sea Critical for the generation of accurate altimeter-derived estimates Not only “numbers” but also knowing how they were generated Additional in situ resources in the Caspian Sea Conceptually simple, but challenged by specific processing Measuring sea level changes beyond political barriers In situ sea level measurements in the Caspian Sea Topic of growing concern to all five surrounding countries (Azerbaijan, Republic of Iran, Kazakhstan, Russian Federation and Turkmenistan) Several low-lying and densed-populated coastal areas Key role to support analysis of the various met-ocean-hydro contributions Oil & Gas sector interested - it would be an important player Data are only one piece of the puzzle We know the sea level story We don’t know “What-if” Remote Sensing in the Caspian Sea would be an important factor of integration and a valuable opportunity for data sharing NATO ARW Ferrara December 2-4 20
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