Berg Insight Report Catalogue
Transcription
Berg Insight Report Catalogue
Berg Insight Report Catalogue OFFICE Viktoriagatan 3 S-411 25 Gothenburg Sweden CUSTOMER SERVICE Phone: (46) 31 711 30 91 E-mail: [email protected] Web: www.berginsight.com © Copyright 2012 Berg Insight, All rights reserved STRATEGIC RESEARCH SERIES REPORT CATALOGUE SERIES Table of Contents Wireless M2M Research Series Fleet Management in Europe – 7th Edition 3 Fleet Management in the Americas – 2nd Edition 6 Retail Applications and Wireless M2M – 2nd Edition 9 The Global Wireless M2M Market – 4th Edition 12 Consumer Electronics and Wireless M2M – 2nd Edition 15 Container Tracking and Security 18 mHealth and Home Monitoring – 4th Edition 21 ITS in Public Transport 24 Smart Metering in North America and Asia-Pacific – 2nd Edition 27 Smart Metering in Europe – 8th Edition 30 Security Applications and Wireless M2M – 4th Edition 33 Smart Homes and Home Automation 36 Car Telematics and Wireless M2M – 5th Edition 39 LBS Research Series Location-Based Advertising and Marketing 42 Mobile Navigation Services and Devices – 5th Edition 45 Mobile Location-Based Services – 6th Edition 48 LBS Platforms and Technologies – 3rd Edition 51 Mobile VAS Research Series Mobile Advertising and Marketing – 5th Edition 54 The Mobile Application Market 57 Mobile Money in Emerging Markets 60 Next Generation Technology Research Series Small Cells and Wi-Fi Offloading 63 Handset Connectivity Technologies – 3rd Edition 66 The Mobile Broadband Connectivity Market – 6th Edition 69 Smartphone Markets and Technologies – 2nd Edition 72 STRATEGIC RESEARCH SERIES REPORT CATALOGUE SERIES M2M Research Series Fleet Management in Europe Fleet management in Europe is the seventh consecutive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments on the fleet management market in this region. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 150 pages of unique business intelligence, including 5-year industry forecasts, expert commentary and real-life case studies on which to base your business decisions. Highlights from the seventh edition of this report: Insights from 40 new executive interviews with market leading companies. New data on vehicle populations and commercial fleets in Europe. Comprehensive overview of the fleet management value chain and key applications. In-depth analysis of market trends and key developments. Updated profiles of 67 aftermarket fleet management solution providers. Summary of OEM propositions from truck, trailer and construction equipment brands. Revised market forecasts lasting until 2016. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series A second wave of market consolidation anticipated for 2013 Fleet management is an ambiguous term used in reference to a wide range of solutions for different vehicle-related applications. Berg Insight’s definition of a fleet management solution is a vehicle-based system that incorporates data logging, satellite positioning and data communication to a backoffice application. The history of fleet management solutions goes back several decades. On-board vehicle computers first emerged in the 1980s and were soon connected to various satellite and terrestrial wireless networks. Today mobile networks can provide ubiquitous online connectivity at a reasonable cost and mobile computing technology delivers very high performance, as well as excellent usability. All of these components combined enable the delivery of vehicle management, transport management, driver management and mobile workforce management applications linking vehicles and enterprise IT systems. Commercial vehicle fleets play an essential role in the European economy. According to official statistics there were 35.5 million commercial vehicles in use in EU23+2 in 2008. The 6.2 million medium and heavy trucks accounted for more than 75 percent of all inland transports, forming a € 250 billion industry. Approximately 0.7 million buses and coaches stood for 9.3 percent of all passenger kilometres. Last but not least, the greater part of the 28.6 million light commercial vehicles (LCV) in Europe was used by mobile workers and for activities such as distribution of goods and parcels. Berg Insight is of the opinion that the European fleet management market has entered a growth period that will last for several years to come. Individual markets may however suffer temporary setbacks, depending on the local economic developments. The number of fleet management systems in active use is forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 17.9 percent from 2.5 million units at the end of 2011 to 5.7 million by 2016. The penetration rate in the total population of non-privately owned commercial vehicles is estimated to increase from 8.8 percent in 2011 to 20.1 percent in 2016. A group of international aftermarket solution providers have emerged as the leaders on the European fleet management market. Masternaut is ranked as the largest player overall in terms of installed base with close to 250,000 units deployed, mainly in France and the UK. TomTom Business Solutions was the fastest growing vendor also in 2011 and has now surpassed 200,000 subscribers. Transics is number one in the heavy trucks segment with an estimated 75,000 active units installed. Other significant players include European companies such as Vehco, Navman Wireless, TRACKER and Trafficmaster and international players like Trimble and Qualcomm from the US and the South African telematics providers DigiCore and MiX Telematics. All major truck manufacturers on the European market offer OEM telematics solutions as a part of their product portfolio. Mercedes-Benz, Volvo and Scania launched their first products in the 1990s and followed by MAN in 2000, Renault Trucks in 2004, DAF Trucks in 2006 and Iveco in 2008. The products are all supporting the FMS standard and can generally be deployed in mixed fleets even if some functionality can be brandspecific. A major trend in the past year has been the announcements of standard line fitment of fleet management solutions. Since the end of 2011, Scania is rolling out the Scania Communicator as standard on all European markets and includes a four year basic service subscription. The new generation of the Actros trucks from Mercedes-Benz contains the FleetBoard vehicle computer as standard in all EU27 countries since October 2011. Volvo is going in the same direction offering Dynafleet as standard in some markets. MAN TeleMatics is since July 2012 standard on the new truck model TGX EfficientLine including a 4-month trial for the service. Nine major merger and acquisition activities took place in Europe during 2010 and the first half of 2011. In the past twelve months there has been a considerable slowdown of activities and no major events occurred. Berg Insight anticipates that a second wave of consolidation is likely to start in 2013. The latest transaction was done in June 2011 when Transics acquired the European activities of CarrierWeb. Francisco Partners acquired Masternaut in April 2011 forming the leading player in Europe from the Masternaut and Cybit operations. Another acquisition was done by Vehco in Sweden that acquired Elomobile in France in March 2011. Trimble acquired Punch Telematix in July 2010 and DigiCore acquired in the same month Minorplanet in the UK along with the associated businesses in the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany. This report answers the following questions: Is the European fleet management market back on a growth track after the economic crisis? Will the FM industry consolidate further during 2012 and 2013? Million units 6 What is the geographical and ownership structure of commercial vehicle fleets in Europe? 5 Who are the leading international and regional providers of aftermarket fleet management solutions in Europe? 4 3 What offerings are available from truck, trailer and construction equipment OEMs? 2 What impact will the launch of standard factory installed FM systems from the OEMs have on the market? 1 0 Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Installed base of active fleet management units (EU27+2 2010–2016) How will the commercial vehicle telematics industry evolve in the future? Table of Contents Executive summary 1 Commercial vehicle fleets in Europe 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6.1 1.6.2 1.6.3 2 Fleet management solutions 2.1 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.1.3 2.1.4 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.3 2.4 2.4.1 2.4.2 2.4.3 2.5 2.5.1 2.5.2 2.5.3 2.6 Light commercial vehicles Medium and heavy trucks Buses and coaches Trailers and semi-trailers Off-road construction and agriculture equipment Ownership structure Statistical estimates by industry and company size Light commercial vehicle fleets Medium and heavy commercial vehicle fleets Fleet management infrastructure Vehicle segment GNSS segment Network segment Backoffice segment Vehicle management Vehicle diagnostics and maintenance planning Security tracking Driver management Driving data registration and analysis Eco-driving schemes Insurance risk management Operations management Routing and navigation Transport management Mobile workforce management Regulatory compliance and reporting Digital tachograph data download Electronic toll collection Other applications Business models 3 Market forecasts and trends 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 3.2 3.2.1 3.2.2 3.2.3 3.2.4 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3 3.3.4 3.4 Market analysis Installed base and unit shipments Regional markets Vendor market shares Market drivers and barriers Macroeconomic environment Regulatory environment Competitive environment Technology environment Value chain analysis Telematics industry players Automotive industry players Telecom industry players IT industry players Future industry trends 4 OEM products and strategies 4.1 Truck manufacturers 4.1.1 Daimler Group 4.1.2 Volvo Group 4.1.3Scania 4.1.4 MAN Truck & Bus 4.1.5 DAF Trucks 4.1.6Iveco 4.2 Construction equipment manufacturers 4.2.1 Bobcat and JCB 4.2.2Caterpillar 4.2.3 Hyundai Construction Equipment 4.2.4 John Deere 4.2.5Komatsu 4.2.6 Volvo CE 4.3 Trailer manufacturers 4.3.1 Schmitz Cargobull 4.3.2Krone 4.3.3Kögel 4.4 OE suppliers 4.4.1Actia 4.4.2Continental 4.4.3Haldex 4.4.4 Stoneridge Electronics 4.4.5WABCO 4.5 Hardware and software providers 4.5.1Advantech-DLoG 4.5.2Aplicom 4.5.3Calamp 4.5.4 Mobile Devices 4.5.5 Phoenix International 4.5.6 Pointer Telocation 4.5.7 Quake Global 4.5.8Squarell 5 International aftermarket solution providers 5.1DigiCore 5.2 Garmin and partners 5.3Masternaut 5.4 MiX Telematics 5.5 Navman Wireless 5.6 Qualcomm Enterprise Services 5.7 TomTom Business Solutions 5.8Trafficmaster 5.9Transics 5.10Trimble 5.11Vehco 6 Regional aftermarket solution providers 6.1 Benelux and France 6.1.1Eliot 6.1.2Fleetlogic 6.1.3Geodynamics 6.1.4GreenCat 6.1.5 IT Mobile 6.1.6Micpoint 6.1.7 Novacom Europe 6.1.8OCEAN 6.1.9 Orange Business Services 6.1.10 RAM Mobile Data 6.1.11Traqueur 6.2 Germany and Central Europe 6.2.1AutoGuard 6.2.2 CVS Mobile 6.2.3 ETA Automatizari Industriale 6.2.4 Euro Telematik 6.2.5Falcom 6.2.6Finder 6.2.7Framelogic 6.2.8IAV 6.2.9Idem 6.2.10Mireo 6.2.11 Mobile Objects 6.2.12 Sherlog Trace 6.2.13Telargo 6.2.14Yellowfox 6.3 The Mediterranean 6.3.1 Cefin Systems 6.3.2 Cobra Automotive Technologies 6.3.3Coordina 6.3.4 Datatronics Mobility 6.3.5Detector 6.3.6 Frotcom International 6.3.7 G4S Telematix 6.3.8Inosat 6.3.9Loqus 6.3.10MobiVision 6.3.11Tecmic 6.4 Nordic countries 6.4.1 Consafe Logistics 6.4.2 Fleet 101 6.4.3Fleetech 6.4.4GateHouse 6.4.5Locus 6.4.6PocketMobile 6.5 UK and Ireland 6.5.1Aeromark 6.5.2 Blue Tree Systems 6.5.3Celtrak 6.5.4FleetMatics 6.5.5GreenRoad 6.5.6Isotrak 6.5.7Lysanda 6.5.8 Matrix Telematics 6.5.9Microlise 6.5.10Quartix 6.5.11 TRACKER Network 6.5.12Trakm8 6.5.13Transpoco 6.5.14 Webtech Wireless Glossary M2M Research Series Fleet Management in the Americas Fleet Management in the Americas is the second consecutive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments on the fleet management market in the Americas. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 190 pages of unique business intelligence, including 5-year industry forecasts, expert commentary and real-life case studies on which to base your business decisions. Highlights from this report: Insights from 30 new executive interviews with market leading companies. Data on vehicle populations and commercial fleets in Americas. Comprehensive overview of the fleet management value chain and key applications. In-depth analysis of market trends and key developments. Updated profiles of 60 aftermarket fleet management solution providers. Summary of OEM propositions from truck and construction equipment brands. Revised market forecasts lasting until 2016. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series Automotive OEM activities and new regulatory developments favour the fleet management market in the Americas Fleet management (FM) is an ambiguous term used in reference to a wide range of solutions for different vehicle-related applications. Berg Insight’s definition of an FM solution is a vehicle-based system that incorporates data logging, satellite positioning and data communication to a back office application. The history of FM solutions goes back several decades. On-board vehicle computers first emerged in the 1980s and were soon connected to various satellite and terrestrial wireless networks. Today mobile networks can provide ubiquitous online connectivity in many regions at a reasonable cost and mobile computing technology delivers very high performance, as well as excellent usability. All of these components combined enable the delivery of vehicle management, transport management, driver management and mobile workforce management applications linking vehicles and enterprise IT systems. Commercial vehicle fleets play an essential role in the economy both in North and Latin America. In North America, there are approximately 12.7 million GVW 3–8 commercial vehicles in use. An estimated 25.5 million GVW 1–2 vehicles are also owned by enterprises or public entities. In Latin America, the number of commercial vehicles in oper ation is estimated to 21.9 million, out of which 5.9 million are heavy trucks and 16.0 million are light commercial vehicles. Berg Insight is of the opinion that the market for fleet management in the Americas is in a growth period which was temporarily slowed down by the financial downturn but will continue in the years to come. The advanced North American market will remain on a growth track, not the least driven by regulatory developments such as CSA and the forthcoming EOBR mandate. Latin America is coming from a lower degree of maturity in the utilisation of fleet management solutions and will also experience an increase in adoption. In many cases, an educational process may however be needed in order to increase the awareness among prospective users about the potential that FM solutions have beyond mere security related features. Berg Insight expects the market for fleet management to continue to show healthy growth in 2012. In North America, the number of fleet management systems in active use is forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.9 percent from 2.8 million units in 2011 to 5.9 million units by 2016. The penetration rate in the total population of non-privately owned commercial vehicles is estimated to increase from 7.9 percent in 2011 to 16.4 percent in 2016. In Latin America, the number of fleet management systems in use is projected to increase from 1.3 million units in 2011, growing at a CAGR of 16.6 percent to reach 2.8 million units in 2016. The penetration rate among non-privately owned commercial vehicles in the region is estimated to increase from 5.9 percent in 2011 to 12.8 percent in 2016. The market leaders on the fleet management market in the Americas include a range of different actors. Qualcomm Enterprise Services is ranked as the largest player, with an estimated total installed base of approximately 450,000 units in North and Latin America. The company’s solutions are targeted at heavy trucks, where the main competitors in North America include Xata and PeopleNet. Trimble which previously mainly focused on service fleets now has a total installed base of 360,000 units following the acquisition of PeopleNet. Other actors focusing on service fleets include FleetMatics, Networkfleet, NexTraq and Wireless Matrix. Several actors also have a broader market scope, covering both light and heavy vehicles. Examples include Telogis, T eletrac, Zonar Systems and Webtech Wireless. Major Brazilian p roviders include Autotrac, Zatix and OnixSat, each having estimated installed bases in the range of 50,000–85,000 units. Other notable actors in Latin America include Copiloto Satelital and Grupo UDA in Mexico, Satrack in C olombia, and Tastets System and Wisetrack in Chile, each holding important positions in their respective countries. Most commercial vehicle manufacturers active in the Americas offer OEM telematics solutions – either independently or in partnership with established FM providers – with examples such as Volvo Link and Ford Crew Chief on the US market. Hino Insight was announced in 2011, as was Virtual Technician for Daimler’s Freightliner and Western Star trucks. Paccar’s TruckerLink service was also introduced during the year. Daimler’s FleetBoard and Volvo’s Dynafleet have moreover been launched in Brazil, while Scania Fleet Management is rolled out in Latin America. MAN Latin America offers the Volksnet solution and Iveco has further developed the system Frota Fácil. FM solutions from OEMs have not yet been particularly successful in the Americas, but are expected to increase in importance in the coming years. This report answers the following questions: Will the FM industry consolidate further during 2012? 6 How has the economic crisis affected the market for fleet management solutions in the Americas? 5 What is the geographical structure of commercial vehicle fleets in the Americas? Million units Who are the leading international and regional providers of aftermarket fleet management solutions in the Americas? 4 3 What offerings are available from truck and construction equipment OEMs? 2 How will the regulatory developments in the Americas affect the fleet management industry? 1 0 Year 2011 2012 North America 2013 2014 2015 2016 Latin America Installed base of active fleet management units (Americas 2011–2016) What differences are there between the North and Latin American markets? How will the commercial vehicle telematics industry evolve in the future? Table of Contents 1 Commercial vehicle fleets in the Americas 1.1 The North American commercial vehicle market 1.1.1 Registrations of commercial vehicles GVW 3–8 1.1.2 Manufacturer market shares 1.1.3 Ownership structure 1.1.4Trailers 1.2 The Latin American commercial vehicle market 1.2.1 Registrations of commercial vehicles 1.2.2 Manufacturer market shares 2 Fleet management solutions 2.1 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.1.3 2.1.4 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.3 2.4 2.4.1 2.4.2 2.4.3 2.5 2.5.1 2.5.2 2.5.3 2.5.4 2.5.5 2.5.6 2.6 Fleet management infrastructure Vehicle segment GNSS segment Network segment Backoffice segment Vehicle management Vehicle diagnostics and maintenance planning Security tracking Driver management Driving data registration and analysis Eco-driving schemes Insurance risk management Operations management Routing and navigation Transport management Mobile workforce management Regulatory compliance and reporting CSA – Compliance, Safety, Accountability Hours-of-Service and electronic onboard recorders Fuel tax reporting Distracted driving Mandatory anti-theft systems in Brazil Other applications Business models 3 Market forecasts and trends 3.1 Market analysis 3.1.1 Installed base and unit shipments – North and Latin America 3.1.2 Vendor market shares 3.2 Market drivers and barriers 3.2.1 Macroeconomic enviroment 3.2.2 3.2.3 3.2.4 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3 3.3.4 3.4 Regulatory environment Competitive environment Technology environment Value chain analysis Telematics industry players Automotive industry players Telecom industry players IT industry players Future industry trends 4 OEM products and strategies 4.1 Truck manufacturers 4.1.1 Daimler Group 4.1.2Ford 4.1.3 Hino Trucks 4.1.4Iveco 4.1.5 MAN Latin America 4.1.6Navistar 4.1.7Paccar 4.1.8Scania 4.1.9 Volvo Group 4.2 Construction equipment manufacturers 4.2.1 Bobcat and JCB 4.2.2Caterpillar 4.2.3 Hyundai Construction Equipment Americas 4.2.4 John Deere and Hitachi Construction Machinery 4.2.5Komatsu 4.2.6 Volvo CE 5 International aftermarket solution providers 5.1Digicore 5.2 Garmin and partners 5.3 MiX Telematics 5.4 Navman Wireless 5.5 Qualcomm Enterprise Services 5.6Telogis 5.7 TomTom Business Solutions 5.8Trafficmaster 5.9Trimble 5.10 Webtech Wireless 6 Regional aftermarket solution providers 6.1 North America 6.1.1 Blue Tree Systems 6.1.2 BSM Wireless 6.1.3Cadec 6.1.4CarrierWeb 6.1.5Celtrak 6.1.6FieldLogix 6.1.7 Fleet Management Solutions 6.1.8Fleetilla 6.1.9FleetMatics 6.1.10Fleetronix 6.1.11Geotab 6.1.12 GPS North America 6.1.13GreenRoad 6.1.14 ID Systems – Asset Intelligence 6.1.15 International Telematics 6.1.16Inthinc 6.1.17 JJ Keller 6.1.18 Matrix Telematics 6.1.19Microlise 6.1.20Navtrak 6.1.21Networkfleet 6.1.22NexTraq 6.1.23PeopleNet 6.1.24 Rand McNally and DriverTech 6.1.25Safefreight 6.1.26SkyBitz 6.1.27Synovia 6.1.28Telenav 6.1.29TransCore 6.1.30 Wireless Matrix 6.1.31Xata 6.1.32 Zonar Systems 6.2 Latin America 6.2.1Autotrac 6.2.2Coordina 6.2.3 Copiloto Satelital 6.2.4 Global Track 6.2.5 GPS Chile 6.2.6 Grupo UDA 6.2.7 High Performance Solutions 6.2.8OnixSat 6.2.9 Pointer Telocation 6.2.10Sascar 6.2.11Satrack 6.2.12SECAR 6.2.13 Tastets System 6.2.14Tecnolider 6.2.15Ubicamóvil 6.2.16Ultra 6.2.17Wisetrack 6.2.18Zatix Glossary M2M Research Series Retail Applications and Wireless M2M Retail Applications and Wireless M2M is the second consecutive report from Berg Insight that gives first-hand insights into the adoption of wireless connectivity in the vending, parking, ticketing, ATM and POS terminal markets. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 150 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. Highlights from the second edition of the report: Insights from 40 new executive interviews with market leading companies. Overview of the payment, vending, parking, transport ticketing and ATM industries. Summary of industry trends and developments in each vertical market segment. Updated in-depth profiles of 77 key players in the retail industry. Reviews of vendor market shares and competitive dynamics. Perspectives on the impact of emerging mobile payment services. Extensive global and regional market forecasts lasting until 2017. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series Cellular M2M connections in the retail industry surpassed 10 million in 2011 The retail industry is an important vertical for cellular M2M connectivity with 10.3 million cellular connections today and a potential market size of nearly 80 million POS terminals, ATMs, vending machines, parking meters and fare collection devices worldwide. Berg Insight forecasts that the number of cellular M2M connections in the retail industry will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.6 percent to reach 33.2 million connections worldwide in 2017. Shipments of cellular M2M devices will at the same time increase at a CAGR of 10.7 percent from 5.2 million units in 2011 to 9.6 million units in 2017. Cellular M2M technology enables devices such as POS terminals and ATMs to be used at new locations where fixed line connectivity is unavailable or impractical. The technology has a more transformational effect on markets such as vending and parking, where machine operators need to reorganize their operations in order to benefit from the availability of real-time information. Wireless connectivity has become a very popular option for POS terminals and was incorporated in nearly one third of the devices shipped in 2011. Berg Insight forecasts that the installed base of cellular POS terminals will grow at a CAGR of 21.4 percent between 2011 and 2017 to reach 29.4 million units worldwide in 2017. In 2011, approximately one third of the installed cellular POS terminals globally were in use in Europe or North America. Berg Insight anticipates that this share will decline to less than one fifth by 2017, as emerging markets continue to account for the vast majority of market growth and retain higher attach rates for cellular connectivity. Berg Insight estimates that 24 percent of the ATMs in North America and 5–10 percent of the ATMs in Europe were connected to cellular networks in 2011. Wireless M2M is especially relevant for ATMs installed at off-site locations as it offers greater flexibility, shorter deployment times and competitive connectivity fees compared to fixed line alternatives. Berg Insight forecasts that the number of wirelessly connected ATMs in the US and Canada will grow at a CAGR of 12.4 percent to reach 0.22 million units by 2017. The number of wirelessly connected ATMs in Europe are similarly projected to grow at a CAGR of 14.9 percent to reach 0.10 million units in 2017. The installed base of vending telemetry devices in North America reached an estimated 0.25 million units at the end of 2011, whereas the corresponding figure for Europe was 75,000 units. The vending telemetry market is however still in its infancy in both Europe and North America, as penetration rates are at 2.0 percent and 3.6 percent respectively. Berg Insight expects the adoption rates to accelerate in both North America and Europe during the next few years, resulting in compound annual growth rates in the range of 25–30 percent for both regions. Consequently, the installed base of vending telemetry devices in North America is projected to reach 1.0 million units by 2017, whereas the installed base in Europe is forecasted to reach 0.32 million units in the same year. The parking industry has been one of the earliest adopters of M2M communication technology and today approximately 39 percent of the world’s 0.42 million multi-space meters are connected, primarily to cellular networks. Connectivity has in contrast to this only recently become an optional feature in single-space meters, and today only 3 percent of the world’s 3.2 million single-space meters are connected. Berg Insight anticipates that connectivity will eventually be incorporated in all parking meters. Berg Insight forecasts that 69 percent of the world’s 0.54 million multi-space meters will have be connected in 2017, whereas 18 percent of the world’s 2.75 million single-space meters will be connected in the same year. Cellular connectivity is incorporated in an estimated 0.1 million fare collection devices worldwide today, such as on-board ticket vending machines, stationary vending machines and handheld ticket sales terminals. Berg Insight anticipates that the market potential for cellular connectivity in public transport will expand as account-based fare collection systems gain ground and increase the need for real-time communication. However, the number of fare collection devices that incorporate cellular connectivity is likely to remain relatively modest, as many fare collection devices can share a communication line with other equipment. This report answers the following questions: What is the potential market size for wireless M2M communication in the retail industry? Which are the key applications that offer sizable business opportunities? Which trends and developments are shaping each vertical market segment? Million connections 35 Which are the leading providers of vending telemetry solutions? 30 When will demand for vending telemetry solutions accelerate in Europe and North America? 25 20 How is the market for wireless ATM connectivity solutions developing? 15 Which are the leading providers of connected parking meters? 10 What is the attach rate for cellular connectivity in POS terminals by region? 5 0 Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Cellular M2M network connections in the retail industry (World 2011–2017) How is the market for public transport fare collection systems evolving? Table of Contents 1 POS terminals and ATMs Payment infrastructure POS terminals Automated teller machines Evolution of electronic payments EMV migration Adoption of mobile data communication solutions 1.2.3 Rollout of NFC-ready terminals 1.3 POS terminal vendors 1.3.1 Atos Worldline 1.3.2CCV 1.3.3CyberNet 1.3.4 Equinox Payments 1.3.5Ingenico 1.3.6 Key Innovations 1.3.7Margento 1.3.8 PAX Technology 1.3.9 REA Card 1.3.10 Spire Payments 1.3.11 Thyron Systems 1.3.12VeriFone 1.3.13ViVOtech 1.4 ATM manufacturers and connectivity solution providers 1.4.1 Contour Networks 1.4.2Diebold 1.4.3 Digi International 1.4.4 DPL Group 1.4.5NCR 1.4.6OptConnect 1.4.7Triton 1.4.8 Wincor Nixdorf 1.1 1.1.1 1.1.2 1.2 1.2.1 1.2.2 2 Vending machines 2.4.6 cStar Technologies 2.4.7Mecsel 2.4.8MEI 2.4.9Microtronic 2.4.10Nayax 2.4.11Smarcom 2.4.12 USA Technologies 2.4.13Vendon 2.4.14VendScreen 2.4.15Vianet 2.5 Vending machine manufacturers 2.5.1 Automated Merchandising Systems 2.5.2 Azkoyen Group 2.5.3 Bianchi Vending Group 2.5.4Crane 2.5.5 Deutsche Wurlitzer 2.5.6 FAS International 2.5.7Fastcorp 2.5.8Jofemar 2.5.9 N&W Global Vending 2.5.10 Rheavendors Group 2.5.11 Royal Vendors 2.5.12SandenVendo 2.5.13Seaga 2.5.14Sielaff 2.5.15Westomatic 2.5.16 Wittern Group 2.6 Vending operators 2.6.1Aramark 2.6.2 Autobar Group 2.6.3 Canteen Vending Services 2.6.4Selecta 2.6.5Sodexo 3 Parking meters 3.1 The parking industry 2.1 Vending industry players 3.1.1 Parking industry players 2.1.1 Vending technology providers 3.1.2 Single-space and multi-space meters 2.1.2 Vending machine manufacturers in Europe and North America 2.1.3 Product suppliers 3.1.3 Pay-by-phone parking 2.1.4 Vending operators 3.2 Connected parking meters 2.2 Payment systems 3.2.1 Mobile data communication solutions 2.2.1 Coin mechanisms and bill validators for parking meters 2.2.2 Cashless payments 3.2.2 Connected multi-space parking meters 2.2.3 Mobile phone payments and NFC 3.2.3 Connected single-space parking 2.3 Vending telemetry meters 2.3.1 Remote monitoring of vending 3.3 Parking solution vendor machines profiles 2.3.2 Vending telemetry in Europe 3.3.1 Cale Access 2.3.3 Vending telemetry in North America 3.3.2 Digital Payment Technologies 2.4 Vending telemetry solution providers 3.3.3 Duncan Solutions 2.4.1Allomachines 3.3.4Hectronic 2.4.2Apriva 3.3.5 IPS Group 2.4.3BiTX 3.3.6 MacKay Meters 2.4.4 Cantaloupe Systems 3.3.7Metric 2.4.5Coinco 3.3.8 Parkare Group 3.3.9Parkeon 3.3.10POM 3.3.11Siemens 3.4 Private parking operators 4 Public transport ticketing 4.1 Modal split of passenger transport 4.2 Bus and rail fleets 4.3 Fare collection systems 4.3.1 Fare payment 4.3.2 Fare collection devices 4.3.3 Installed base 4.3.4 Mobile data communication solutions 4.4 Fare collection system vendors 4.4.1 Cubic Transportation Systems 4.4.2 Scheidt & Bachmann 4.4.3Thales 4.4.4Vix 4.4.5 Xerox Transportation Solutions 4.4.6Almex 4.4.7FARA 4.4.8Indra 4.4.9INIT 4.4.10IVU 5 Forecasts and conclusions 5.1 Wireless M2M in the retail industry 5.1.1 Cellular M2M device shipments 5.1.2 Cellular M2M network connections 5.2 POS terminals 5.2.1 Market developments and trends 5.2.2 Cellular POS terminal market forecast 5.2.3 NFC POS terminal market forecast 5.3ATMs 5.3.1 Market developments and trends 5.3.2 ATM connectivity market forecast 5.4 Vending machines 5.4.1 Market developments and trends 5.4.2 North American vending telemetry market forecast 5.4.3 European vending telemetry market forecast 5.5 Parking meters 5.5.1 Market developments and trends 5.5.2 Connected multi-space parking meter market forecast 5.5.3 Connected single-space parking meter market forecast 5.6 Public transport ticketing 5.6.1 Market developments and trends 5.6.2 Market forecast Glossary M2M Research Series The Global Wireless M2M Market The Global Wireless M2M Market is the fourth consecutive report analysing the latest market developments in all regions of the world. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 220 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. Highlights from the fourth edition of the report: 360-degree overview of the M2M ecosystem. Updated profiles of the main suppliers of wireless M2M modules and software platforms. Reviews of the M2M strategies of leading mobile operators. Summary of industry trends in key vertical market segments. Statistical data on M2M adoption in major regions and industries. Extensive global and regional market forecasts lasting until 2016. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series What’s next for the wireless M2M market after reaching 100 million subscribers? The global wireless M2M market was strong in 2011, displaying growth in all major world regions and vertical segments. Berg Insight estimates that shipments of cellular M2M devices increased by 35.3 percent to a new record level of 50.8 million units. Adjusted for churn, this resulted in net additions of 29.3 million M2M connections in 2011, taking the worldwide number of cellular M2M subscribers to an estimated 108.0 million. Until 2016, Berg Insight forecasts that shipments of cellular M2M devices are forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24.6 percent to reach 152.2 million units. Due to the wide adoption of wireless M2M technology across many industries, a substantial share of M2M device shipments is now generated from replacement sales. As a result the net increase of M2M subscribers will be substantially lower than M2M device shipments. Berg Insight forecasts that the number of cellular M2M connections will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 27.2 percent between 2011 and 2016 to reach 359.3 million at the end of the period. The most significant market development in 2011 was a major breakthrough for cellular M2M communication in Asia-Pacific. The number of M2M subscribers in the region increased by 64 percent to reach approximately 34.5 million at the year-end, fuelled by massive growth in China that almost doubled its cellular M2M subscriber base to approximately 21 million. North America and Europe recorded annual growth rates of around 26 percent each. At the end of 2011, the number of M2M subscribers in the EU and the US was around 30 million and 27 million respectively. Other world regions accounted for around 20 percent of the global cellular M2M subscriber base in 2011. Latin America had an estimated 6.6 million M2M subscribers, with Brazil being the most advanced country. South Asia and Southeast Asia were in a very early phase of adoption with few M2M subscribers in major countries such as India and Indonesia. The Middle East & Africa market was dominated by South Africa and Turkey, which had in excess of 1 million M2M subscribers each. A sweeping change has transformed the wireless modules industry in the past years. The familiar brand names Siemens, Wavecom, Motorola and Enfora have disappeared and new players such as Sierra Wireless and Gemalto are now in charge of developments. Chinese vendors Million connections Mobile operators all over the world have announced initiatives for driving growth in the wireless M2M market over the past years. The first results are now visible through rapidly increasing numbers of M2M subscribers and higher revenues. Berg Insight estimates that the world’s ten largest telecom operators by revenues had 68.2 million M2M subscribers at the end of 2011, an increase of around 38 percent year-on-year. Around 3.4 percent of their aggregated base of 2.0 billion mobile subscribers was M2M devices. China Mobile is believed to have emerged as the world’s largest provider of M2M connectivity during 2011, with an estimated 14 million subscribers at the year-end. AT&T established a clear leadership in the US with 13.1 million M2M subscribers, up 40 percent yearon-year. Meanwhile Verizon Wireless’ M2M subscriber base increased modestly to around 8.6 million. Vodafone held the number three spot with approximately 9 million M2M connections, ahead of T-Mobile and Telefónica, which ended the year with around 6–8 million M2M connections each. China Telecom entered the top ten with around 4.5 million M2M subscribers, racing ahead of Telenor, Sprint and Orange at 2.5–3.5 million connections each. This report answers the following questions: How will the global wireless M2M market evolve over the next five years? What are the main drivers behind growth in Europe and North America? What is the status of M2M in emerging markets? 400 Which vertical market segments will be most important for driving future growth? 350 300 What are the leading global mobile operators’ strategies for the M2M market? 250 200 How are SIM technology vendors positioning themselves in M2M? 150 How will the emergence of wirelessly enabled consumer electronics change the market? 100 50 0 have taken over the domestic market and some of them are starting on international expansion. Despite a consolidation among Western vendors, average selling prices for wireless modules continue to decline and as a result industry revenues have been declining in the past years. Well executed transformational strategies will be the key to success for wireless module vendors in the years to come. Extended value propositions, product innovation and more mergers and acquisitions are some of the things to expect. Meanwhile software and system solutions has emerged as the fastest growing segment in the M2M industry. Increasingly advanced large-scale M2M applications require advanced service enablement platforms that integrate remote devices, mobile networks and enterprise applications. A wide range of players are attracted by the market opportunities in the space, most of them having backgrounds in embedded solutions, telecom OSS/BSS systems or enterprise application platforms. Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Cellular M2M network connections (World 2010 -2016) Which are the leading providers of M2M service delivery and application platforms? Table of Contents 1 Introduction to wireless M2M 1.1Introduction 1.2Devices 1.2.1 Chipsets, modules and terminals 1.2.2 Device design and machine integration 1.2.3 Value chain 1.3Networks 1.3.1 GSM/HSPA networks 1.3.2 CDMA networks 1.3.3 LTE networks 1.3.4 Other wireless networks 1.3.5 Wireless M2M connectivity solutions 1.4Applications 1.4.1 Car telematics 1.4.2 Fleet management 1.4.3 Smart grids and intelligent metering 1.4.4 Fixed wireless communication 1.4.5 Remote control and monitoring 1.4.6 Consumer electronics 1.5 Solution providers and integrators 1.5.1 Device manufacturers 1.5.2 System integrators 1.5.3 Vertical ASPs 1.5.4 B2B/B2C service providers 1.5.5OEMs 2 M2M technology providers 2.1 Wireless M2M module vendors 2.1.1 Sierra Wireless 2.1.2Cinterion 2.1.3Telit 2.1.4 Novatel Wireless 2.1.5u-blox 2.1.6Sagemcom 2.1.7AnyDATA 2.1.8Option 2.1.9SIMCom 2.1.10Huawei 2.1.11ZTE 2.1.12 Second tier Asian embedded module vendors 2.2 Mobile security and SIM solution vendors 2.2.1Gemalto 2.2.2 Giesecke & Devrient 2.2.3 Oberthur Technologies 2.2.4 Safran Morpho 2.3 M2M platform and software providers 2.3.1Amdocs 2.3.2Axeda 2.3.3Comarch 2.3.4Ericsson 2.3.5 ILS Technology 2.3.6 Jasper Wireless 2.3.7Logica 2.3.8Macheen 2.3.9 Red Bend 2.3.10Wipro 2.4 Industry analysis 2.4.1 A changing landscape for wireless module vendors 2.4.2 Big opportunities in M2M software and OSS/BSS systems 3 M2M communication providers 3.1 Europe and International 3.1.1Vodafone 3.1.2 Deutsche Telekom 3.1.3Telefónica 3.1.4Orange 3.1.5Telenor 3.1.6 Everything Everywhere 3.1.7KPN 3.1.8SFR 3.1.9Swisscom 3.1.10 Telecom Italia 3.1.11 Telekom Austria 3.1.12TeliaSonera 3.1.13Turkcell 3.1.14 M2M communication aggregators 3.1.15 CDMA450 and alternative wireless network operators 3.2 The Americas 3.2.1AT&T 3.2.2 Verizon Communications 3.2.3Sprint 3.2.4 T-Mobile USA 3.2.5 América Móvil 3.2.6 M2M communication aggregators 3.2.7 Satellite network operators 3.3Asia-Pacific 3.3.1 China Mobile 3.3.2 China Telecom 3.3.3 China Unicom 3.3.4 NTT DoCoMo 3.3.5KDDI 3.3.6Softbank 3.3.7SingTel 3.4 Industry analysis 3.4.1 Global M2M trend in the mobile operator community 3.4.2 Creating value-added M2M propositions 3.4.3 Providing international coverage 3.4.4 Enabling consumer M2M applications 3.4.5 Migrating to 3G/4G networks 3.4.6 Strategic options for mobile operators in M2M 4 Key vertical markets 4.1 4.1.1 4.1.2 4.1.3 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.2 OEM automotive Automotive industry trends OEM telematics offerings Regional market trends Aftermarket automotive Key industry players Enterprise solutions – fleet management 4.2.3 Consumer solutions – SVT and financial services 4.2.4 Government solutions – vehicle tax collection 4.3 Smart grids and intelligent metering 4.3.1 Energy meters 4.3.2 Smart metering initiatives 4.3.3 C&I and grid meters 4.3.4 Mobile communication technologies and smart grid and metering networks 4.4 Fixed wireless communication 4.4.1POS-terminals 4.4.2 Security alarms 4.5 Consumer electronics 4.5.1Media 4.5.2Automotive 4.5.3Healthcare 5 Market analysis and forecasts 5.1 Global market 5.1.1Devices 5.1.2 Network connectivity 5.1.3 Vertical markets 5.1.4 Technology standards 5.2Europe 5.3 North America 5.4 Latin America 5.5Asia-Pacific 5.6 Middle East & Africa Glossary M2M Research Series Consumer Electronics and Wireless M2M Consumer Electronics and Wireless M2M is the second consecutive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest trends on the worldwide market for embedded cellular connectivity in consumer devices. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 130 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Understand the key enablers for growth in the connected consumer device market. Identify key players in the connected consumer device ecosystem. Benefit from detailed forecasts for eight different device categories until 2016. Learn about the dynamics of the consumer electronics market in Europe, North America and ROW. Evaluate the business opportunities in the emerging connected consumer device segment. Predict future market and technology developments. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series Consumer M2M market ready for takeoff – 65 million connections in 2016 The consumer electronics market has experienced an incredible growth during the digitalisation era in the last decade. Today, dedicated devices such as PNDs, digital cameras, handheld gaming consoles and PMPs are facing fierce competition from converged multipurpose devices such as smartphones and tablets. Mobility, connectivity and personalisation are three of the most important current trends within consumer electronics. Instant access to information, using social networks and consuming and sharing media are becoming important parts of people’s digital lifestyles. Due to maturing markets and stunted ARPU growth, mobile operators all over the world are showing increasing interest in the consumer electronics market. The growing desire for people to stay connected makes wireless consumer devices an opportunity for the telecom industry to expand their market beyond mobile handsets. Consumer electronics has emerged as a new major application category for cellular M2M in the past years. Consumer M2M devices are neither classified as handsets, PCs, tablets nor traditional M2M devices. The product category includes e-readers, portable media players, gaming consoles, digital cameras, digital photo frames, PNDs, traffic information devices, personal tracking devices, wellness & fitness devices and user programmable sensor devices. The reasons for cellular connectivity vary and are often a way to meet the needs for connected features introduced in multipurpose devices. Media and entertainment devices can offer instant distribution of digital content. Imaging devices enable instant media sharing on social networks and seamless usage of cloud storage services. Personal navigation devices and speed camera warning devices can provide users with real time traffic information and other dynamic online content. Personal tracking devices and wellness products enable remote monitoring of sensor statuses such as location, blood pressure and glucose levels. Fitness applications allow for mobility that often is a necessity in these types of products. The market for consumer M2M devices is still in its early stage. Until now, the most connected device categories are e-readers, PNDs, digital photo frames and handheld gaming consoles such as the recently introduced Sony PlayStation Vita. Berg Insight estimates that total shipments of consumer M2M devices reached 7.1 million devices in 2011. Growing at a compound annual growth rate of 39.8 percent, the shipments are expected to reach 37.9 million devices in 2016. Berg Insight estimates that the number of connected M2M consumer devices reached Million units North America is currently the most important market for consumer M2M devices and accounted for about 5 million of the total device shipments in 2011. The second largest market is Europe with 1.7 million device shipments followed by the rest of world with 0.5 million device shipments. Berg Insight anticipates that North America will remain the largest region with a market share of 40 percent in 2016. Europe and the rest of world will account for 30 percent each of the connected device shipments in the same year. Continuously decreasing prices of cellular modules and chipsets are key developments for growth in the connectivity market. The deployments of high-speed cellular networks such as HSPA+ and LTE on most markets are another important driver enabling bandwidth-hungry applications. The exploding sales of connected mobile broadband products such as tablets further illustrates the benefits of cellular connectivity and will increase the demand for other consumer M2M devices as well. The telecom industry is depending on multiple connections per user for growth but to make it attractive for consumers to have multiple devices with cellular connections, a great deal of business model innovation is required. In order for the consumer M2M market to take off, price on mobile data has to decrease and subscription fees for every single connection need to be lowered. Instead, more consumers would be willing to have multiple connections, which will allow for an increased total ARPU. Device vendors and network operators are also advised to focus on bundling compelling services and products that include the price of mobile data instead of marketing actual mobile data subscriptions. This report answers the following questions: Which consumer devices offer the best potential for embedded cellular connectivity? What are the main drivers behind growth in Europe, North America and ROW? When will cellular connectivity be a common option in consumer devices? 40 35 What are the experiences from adding cellular connectivity to consumer devices so far? 30 How will the global consumer device market evolve over the next five years? 25 20 In what ways will LTE impact the consumer M2M device market? 15 How can the mobile industry contribute to the adoption of wireless technology in consumer electronics? 10 5 0 12.7 million at the end of 2011. Growing at a compound annual growth rate of 38.6 percent, the number of network connections from consumer M2M devices are expected to reach 65.0 million in 2016. E-readers, PNDs, digital cameras and handheld gaming consoles will then be the most common consumer M2M devices accounting for 45 percent, 32 percent, 8 percent and 6 percent respectively of the total number of connections. Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Annual shipments of consumer M2M devices with embedded cellular connectivity, million units (World 2010–2016) Which are the leading manufacturers of consumer electronics products? Table of Contents 1 Introduction to consumer electronics and wireless M2M 1.1 1.1.1 1.1.2 1.2 1.2.1 1.2.2 1.2.3 1.2.4 1.2.5 1.2.6 1.3 1.3.1 1.3.2 The consumer electronics market Consumer electronics market trends Regional markets Introduction to wireless M2M Value chain Device connectivity Wireless networks Wireless M2M applications The wireless M2M communication provider market The wireless module and chipset market Wireless M2M and consumer electronics Mobile data device categories Consumer M2M devices 2 Media and entertainment 2.1E-readers 2.1.1 The e-book market 2.1.2 The e-reader market 2.1.3 E-readers and cellular connectivity 2.1.4 Business models for connected e-readers 2.2 Portable media players 2.2.1 The portable media player market 2.2.2 PMPs and cellular connectivity 2.3 Gaming Consoles 2.3.1 The gaming console market 2.3.2 Mobile gaming 2.3.3 Gaming consoles and cellular connectivity 3Imaging 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 Digital cameras The digital still camera market The digital video camera market Digital cameras and cellular connectivity 3.2 Digital photo frames 3.2.1 The digital photo frame market 3.2.2 Digital photo frames and cellular connectivity 4 Navigation, tracking and monitoring 4.1 Personal navigation and traffic information devices 4.1.1 The personal navigation device market 4.1.2 Connected personal navigation devices 4.1.3 Speed camera warning devices 4.2 Personal tracking and monitoring devices 4.2.1 Consumer oriented personal tracking devices 4.2.2 Wellness and fitness devices 4.2.3 Sensor devices 5 Market forecasts and trends 5.1 Global market outlook 5.2 Market trends and drivers 5.2.1Devices 5.2.2 Cellular networks, modules and chipsets 5.2.3 Providing international coverage 5.2.4 Business model innovation 5.3 Market forecasts – Media and entertainment 5.3.1E-readers 5.3.2 Portable media players 5.3.3 Gaming consoles 5.4 Market forecasts – Imaging 5.4.1 Digital cameras 5.4.2 Digital photo frames 5.5 Market forecasts – Navigation, tracking and monitoring 5.5.1 Personal navigation and traffic information devices 5.5.2 Personal tracking and monitoring devices 5.6 Regional market developments 6 Consumer device vendors 6.1 Key consumer electronics vendors 6.1.1 Samsung Electronics 6.1.2Sony 6.1.3Apple 6.1.4 LG Electronics 6.2 Media and entertainment device vendors 6.2.1Amazon 6.2.2 Barnes & Noble 6.2.3 Hanvon Technology 6.2.4Nintendo 6.2.5Microsoft 6.2.6Archos 6.3 Imaging device vendors 6.3.1Canon 6.3.2Nikon 6.3.3Olympus 6.3.4Panasonic 6.3.5Fujifilm 6.3.6Pandigital 6.3.7 Isabella Products 6.4 Personal navigation and traffic information device vendors 6.4.1Garmin 6.4.2Navigon 6.4.3TomTom 6.4.4MiTAC 6.4.5 Coyote Systems 7 Telecom industry players 7.1 Mobile network operators 7.1.1 China Mobile 7.1.2AT&T 7.1.3Vodafone 7.1.4 Verizon Communications 7.1.5 Deutsche Telekom 7.1.6Telefónica 7.1.7 NTT DoCoMo 7.1.8KDDI 7.1.9Softbank 7.1.10Telenor 7.1.11KPN 7.2 Wireless M2M module vendors 7.2.1 Sierra Wireless 7.2.2 Novatel Wireless 7.2.3AnyDATA 7.2.4Huawei 7.2.5Cinterion 7.2.6Telit 7.2.7SIMCom 7.3 Chipset and M2M platform vendors 7.3.1Qualcomm 7.3.2Intel 7.3.3MediaTek 7.3.4ST-Ericsson 7.3.5Ericsson 7.3.6 Jasper Wireless Glossary M2M Research Series Container Tracking and Security Container Tracking and Security is a comprehensive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments on the container tracking and security market worldwide. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 100 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary to base your business decisions. This report answers the following questions: Insights from 35 new executive interviews with market leading companies. Comprehensive overview of the container tracking value chain and key applications. In-depth analysis of market trends and key developments. Summary of major container tracking initiatives from the EU and the US. Updated profiles of 42 container tracking solution providers. Market forecasts lasting until 2016. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series Adoption of container tracking will accelerate in the coming years Shipping container tracking is a subset of asset tracking and aims at securing assets and increase operational efficiency. Berg Insight’s definition of a real-time container tracking solution is a system that incorporates data logging, satellite positioning and data communication to a back-office application. Tracking and monitoring of shipping containers came in focus after 9/11. Many companies saw an opportunity and started ambitious container tracking projects. However, neither the technology nor the market was ready at the time. Today, mobile and satellite networks can provide ubiquitous online connectivity at a reasonable cost and mobile computing and sensor technology delivers high performance, as well as excellent usability. All of these components combined enable the delivery of supply chain management, security management and operations management applications linking containers and enterprise IT systems. Intermodal shipping containers are standardised, reusable containers used in intermodal transport systems worldwide. Container trade is the fastest growing segment in seaborne trade, having grown nearly 10 percent annually since the 1980s. Maritime transportation and the increased containerisation of goods are key enablers to make the global supply chain work efficiently. Today, more than 80 percent of international trade goods are carried by sea. At the end of 2011, there were approximately 20 million cargo containers worldwide, the equivalent of 30 million TEUs. Berg Insight is of the opinion that the market for shipping container tracking solutions has entered a growth period that will last for several years to come. The number of tracking systems with GPRS or satellite communication for intermodal containers in active use is forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 66.9 percent from 77,000 units at the end of 2011 to 1.0 million by 2016. The penetration rate of remote tracking systems in the total population of intermodal containers is estimated to increase from 0.4 percent in 2011 to 3.6 percent in 2016. Aftermarket solutions mounted on high value cargo and refrigerated containers will be the first use cases to adopt container tracking. The US satellite communication provider Orbcomm has after the recent acquisitions of StarTrak and PAR LMS emerged as the largest vendor of intermodal container tracking solutions with GPRS or satellite communication. The company had achieved an installed base of 15,000 units at the end of 2011. PearTrack Systems and Qualcomm Enterprise Services are the second and third largest providers having 10,000 and 7,000 systems installed on intermodal containers respectively. Honeywell Global Tracking is the fourth largest system provider after the acquisition of EMS Global Tracking. Other significant players include ID Systems, Telular and Cubic GTS from the US, Pointer Telocation from Israel and EPSa and Global Tracking Technology from Europe. Most players have generally a broader market scope than maritime shipping containers, covering all types of asset tracking. CSB Technology, Kirsen Global Security and Starcom Systems are examples of vendors with products specifically developed for intermodal shipping containers. There has been a consolidation trend in the container tracking market in the past two years with several major M&A activities. Francisco Partners acquired Cybit in January 2010 in a deal worth about € 28 million. This deal was later followed by the acquisition of Masternaut in April 2011. ID Systems further acquired GE’s Asset Intelligence division, a leading international provider of trailer tracking solutions. In May 2010, Cubic acquired Impeva Labs and formed Cubic Global Tracking Solutions. Orbcomm acquired StarTrak in May 2011, followed by the acquisition of PAR LMS in December 2011 in a deal worth about US$ 10 million. EMS Global Tracking was acquired by Honeywell in August 2011, which formed the new business unit Honeywell Global Tracking. The latest transaction was done in December 2011 when Telular acquired asset tracking specialist SkyBitz for US$ 42 million. Berg insight anticipates that there will be a continued strong focus on container transport security and increased supply chain visibility in the coming years which will favour the container tracking market. Tracking solutions can help transportation chain stakeholders to comply with regulations and security programs as well as increase the transportation efficiency. Proving the commercial value, finding efficient solutions for reverse logistics and bringing down hardware prices are key components to increase the adoption rate for container tracking solutions. This report answers the following questions: Which are the leading providers of container tracking solutions? What offerings are available from device vendors and service providers? Units 1 000 000 800 000 What impact will international regulations and security initiatives have on the market? 600 000 What are the key drivers behind the adoption of container tracking devices? How is the global economy affecting the market for container tracking? 400 000 What impact will technology advancements have on the market? 200 000 0 Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Installed base of active container tracking units (World 2010–2016) How will the container telematics industry evolve in the future? Table of Contents 1 The container shipping industry 1.1 1.1.1 1.1.2 1.2 1.2.1 1.2.2 1.2.3 1.2.4 1.3 1.3.1 1.3.2 1.4 1.4.1 1.4.2 1.4.3 1.4.4 International container trade Containerisation Ports, terminals and trade lanes Intermodal shipping containers Container fleet Trailers, semi-trailers and swap bodies Container manufacturers Container ships Container ownership structure Container shipping companies Container leasing companies Other container transport actors Consigner/Consignee Freight forwarders Customs and regulatory authorities Terminal operators 2 Container tracking solutions 2.1 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.1.3 2.1.4 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.4 2.4.1 2.4.2 2.5 2.5.1 2.5.2 2.6 2.6.1 2.6.2 2.6.3 2.6.4 2.6.5 2.7 Container tracking infrastructure Container segment GNSS segment Network segment Backoffice segment Supply chain management Cargo and inventory management Insurance risk management Security management Theft, accident and damage security Terrorism, illegal and dangerous goods security Container operations management Container management Container transport management Regulatory compliance and reporting Supply chain security programs Tax collection International container tracking technology initiatives Integrity project Smart CM project Cassandra project US Department of Homeland Security Cargo Security Programs DASH7 Container Security and Sensing Initiative Business models 3 Market forecasts and trends 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 3.2 3.2.1 3.2.2 3.2.3 3.2.4 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 Market analysis Installed base and unit shipments Regional markets Vendor market shares Market drivers and barriers Macroeconomic factors Regulatory environment Competitive environment Technology environment Value chain analysis Telematics industry players Container transportation industry players 3.3.3 Telecom industry players 3.3.4 IT industry players 3.4 Future industry trends 4 Maritime container tracking vendors 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.10 4.11 4.12 4.13 Astrium CSB Technologies EPSa European Datacomm Global Tracking Technology Globe Tracker Honeywell Global Tracking (EMS Global Tracking) Kirsen Global Security Logica OnAsset Intelligence PearTrack Systems Starcom Systems System Planning Corporation (GlobalTrak) 5 Inland container tracking vendors 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.10 5.11 Agheera Cubic Global Tracking Solutions FreightWatch GlobalTrack Hi-G-Tek ID Systems – Asset Intelligence Idem Masternaut Orbcomm (StarTrak, PAR LMS) Pointer Telocation Qualcomm Enterprise Services 5.12 5.13 5.14 5.15 SkyWave Sycada Telular (SkyBitz) Trimble 6 Other tracking solution providers 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.9 6.10 6.11 6.12 6.13 6.14 Agorabee APS Technology AT&T Avante International Technology CargoTrax Intelleflex ITC Infotech Johnson Controls Mark-It Services Navis Numerex Powers International Savi Technology Telenor Traxion Glossary M2M Research Series mHealth and Home Monitoring mHealth and Home Monitoring is the fourth consecutive report from Berg Insight that gives first-hand insights into the adoption of wireless solutions for health monitoring. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 200 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Profit from 30 new executive interviews with market leading companies. Identify key players in the healthcare monitoring ecosystem. Learn about key home health monitoring devices and services. Understand the dynamics of the health monitoring market in Europe and North America. Comprehend how wireless technology can become seamlessly integrated with medical devices. Evaluate the business opportunities in the emerging mHealth segment. Predict future market and technology developments. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging European wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series 2.2 million patients worldwide are remotely monitored today eHealth is a term for healthcare practice supported by electronic processes and communication. More recently, mHealth has begun to appear as a term for eHealth using mobile phones or cellular networks. mHealth is a very broad term that principally involves every kind of mobile health related communication, application or data service. This report covers home health monitoring involving patient self-testing using medical devices and remote transmission of the medical data to healthcare providers for disease management. Some of the most common conditions being monitored today are chronic diseases including cardiac arrhythmia, hypertension, ischemic diseases, sleep apnea, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). These conditions cause substantial costs and reduce both life expectancy and quality of life. Berg Insight estimates that more than 200 million people in the EU and the US suffer from one or several diseases where home monitoring can become a treatment option. Applying information and communication technologies in the healthcare industry can lead to decreased costs, more efficient care delivery and improved sustainability of the healthcare system. However, the rate of adoption is still slow and wireless technologies have only just begun to penetrate the market. At the end of 2011, around 2.2 million patients worldwide were using a home monitoring service based on equipment with integrated connectivity. The figure does not include patients that use monitoring devices connected to a PC or mobile phone. It only includes systems that rely on monitors with integrated connectivity or systems that use monitoring hubs with integrated cellular or fixed-line modems. Berg Insight forecasts that the number of home monitoring systems with integrated communication capabilities will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.0 percent between 2010 and 2016 to reach 4.9 million connections globally by the end of the forecast period. The number of these devices that have integrated cellular connectivity increased from 0.42 million in 2010 to about 0.57 million in 2011, and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 34.6 percent to 2.47 million in 2016. Several companies have developed integrated solutions for monitoring multiple chronic diseases and other conditions. The six leading providers of integrated telehealth systems include the major technology and electronics companies Bosch, Honeywell, Philips and Bayer, as well as the small specialist telehealth companies Cardiocom and Numera. Combined, these six companies account for 73.0 percent of the installed base of telehealth hubs. The main market segments for medical devices with integrated connectivity are cardiac rhythm management, sleep therapy and cardiac event monitoring. In these segments leading providers such as Medtronic, Biotronik, St Jude Medical, CardioNet, LifeWatch, ResMed, Philips Respironics and Fisher & Paykel Healthcare today market wirelessly connected solutions. Implantable cardiac rhythm management devices is by far the largest segment, accounting for 74.3 percent of remotely monitored patients. The major mobile operator groups including AT&T, Orange, Telefónica and Vodafone are currently exploring the field and have set up business units dedicated to mHealth. The most commonly used mode of expansion has been to establish strategic partnerships with mHealth and eHealth solution vendors. Several operators are leveraging other vehicles for expansion such as corporate venture capital, acquisitions and in-house development. However, providing specialized solutions for the healthcare industry implies a significant diversification from the core business. The challenge for mobile operators is to identify market segments where they create most value, while at the same time limiting the potential downsides of over-diversification. The adoption of out-of-hospital wireless monitoring in healthcare is driven by a wide range of incentives, related to everything from demographics and technology development to new advancements in medical treatment. However, there are a number of barriers, including resistance to change among healthcare organizations and clinicians, misaligned incentive structures and the financing of wireless solutions by what is at large an underfunded healthcare sector. Several catalysts are nevertheless likely to speed up the rate of adoption, including increasing monitoring during clinical trials, insurance company requirements and new clinical evidence on cost effectiveness. Significant events that will drive uptake include the Medical Device Data Systems (MDDS) legislation in the US and the publication of the results from the Whole System Demonstrator project in the UK. This report answers the following questions: Which medical conditions offer the best potential for wireless health monitoring solutions? million units 5 Who are the leading providers of medical devices for home monitoring? What are the mHealth strategies of mobile operators? 4 Which are the general technology trends for home health monitoring equipment? 3 What initiatives have been taken by the leading players in the telecom and IT industries? 2 What are the market shares of the top 10 integrated telehealth solution vendors? Why are smartphone applications so significant for the mHealth market? 1 0 Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Home health monitoring connections, million units (World 2010–2016) How will standardisation facilitate the integration of medical devices and mobile handsets? How can the mobile industry contribute to the adoption of wireless technology in healthcare? Table of Contents 1 The challenge from welfare diseases 1.1 Introduction 1.1.1 The ageing world population 1.1.2 Metabolic syndrome and lifestyle related diseases 1.2 Common chronic diseases 1.2.1 Cardiac arrhythmia 1.2.2 Hypertension 1.2.3 Ischemic diseases 1.2.4 Sleep apnea 1.2.5 Chronic respiratory diseases 1.2.6 Diabetes 1.2.7 Hyperlipidemia 1.3 Healthcare providers and reimbursement systems 1.3.1 Healthcare in Asia-Pacific 1.3.2 Healthcare in Europe 1.3.3 Healthcare in North America 2 mHealth strategies of mobile operators 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4.1 2.4.2 2.4.3 2.4.4 2.4.5 2.4.6 2.4.7 2.5 2.5.1 2.5.2 2.5.3 2.5.4 2.5.5 2.5.6 2.6 2.6.1 2.6.2 2.6.3 3 Enabling technologies and initiatives 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 3.1.4 3.1.5 3.1.6 3.2 3.2.1 3.2.2 Telecommunications in mHealth services mHealth market segments Business models mHealth strategies of mobile operators in North America Verizon Communications AT&T Sprint KORE Telematics GreatCall TELUS SaskTel mHealth strategies of mobile operators in Europe Vodafone Deutsche Telecom Orange Group Telefónica KPN Telecom Italia mHealth strategies of mobile operators in Asia-Pacific NTT DoCoMo SK Telecom Telstra 3.2.3 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3 3.3.4 3.4 3.4.1 3.4.2 3.4.3 3.4.4 3.4.5 3.4.6 3.4.7 Wireless M2M technology Chipsets, modules and terminals Device design and machine integration M2M device value chain eDevice focuses on end-to-end M2M solutions for telehealth Qualcomm launches the 2net Platform and Hub Wireless M2M module vendors in the mHealth market Mobile handsets Smartphone vendors and operating systems Application stores provide a new channel to the market for developers Medical applications Personal health record initiatives Google shuts down Google Health Microsoft HealthVault Dossia personal health platform PatientsLikeMe Industry associations Continua Health Alliance The Bluetooth SIG Medical Working Group American Telemedicine Association CTIA GSMA mHealth Alliance West Wireless Health Institute 3.4.8 Wireless-Life Sciences Alliance 4 Home healthcare monitoring 4.1 Trends in health monitoring 4.1.1 Going digital, going wireless 4.1.2 Distance disease management 4.1.3 Outsourcing of health monitoring 4.2 Medical monitoring devices Cardiac monitoring Blood pressure monitoring Blood coagulation monitoring Blood oxygen level monitoring Glucose monitoring Lipid monitoring Sleep monitoring Breath monitoring Regulatory environment Regulatory environment in Europe Regulatory environment in the US Regulatory environment on other major markets 4.3.4 International standardisation 4.2.1 4.2.2 4.2.3 4.2.4 4.2.5 4.2.6 4.2.7 4.2.8 4.3 4.3.1 4.3.2 4.3.3 5 Physiological monitoring solution providers 5.1 5.1.1 5.1.2 5.1.3 5.1.4 5.1.5 5.1.6 5.1.7 5.1.8 5.1.9 5.1.10 5.1.11 5.1.12 5.1.13 5.2 5.2.1 5.2.2 5.2.3 5.2.4 5.2.5 5.2.6 5.3 5.3.1 5.3.2 5.3.3 5.4 5.4.1 5.4.2 5.4.3 5.4.4 5.4.5 5.4.6 5.4.7 5.4.8 5.4.9 5.5 5.5.1 5.5.2 5.5.3 5.5.4 5.6 5.6.1 5.6.2 5.6.3 5.6.4 5.6.5 5.6.6 5.6.7 5.6.8 5.6.9 5.6.10 5.6.11 5.7 5.7.1 Cardiac monitoring Biotronik Boston Scientific Medtronic Sorin Group St Jude Medical CardioNet LifeWatch Corventis Curvus Q&S SHL Telemedicine Vitaphone Zenicor Blood pressure monitoring Omron Healthcare A&D Medical Microlife Rossmax IEM Medisana Coagulation monitoring Alere CoaguSense International Technidyne Corporation Sleep monitoring Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Philips Respironics ResMed Cadwell Laboratories CareFusion Compumedics Natus Medical Novasom Watermark Medical Blood oxygen monitoring Covidien Masimo Nonin Medical Opto Circuits Air flow monitoring Smiths Medical Clement Clarke International Medical Electronic Construction Medical International Research Midmark Ndd Medizintechnik nSpire Health SDI Diagnostics Sibelmed Vitalograph Welch Allyn Glucose level monitoring Abbott Laboratories 5.7.2 5.7.3 5.7.4 5.7.5 5.7.6 5.7.7 5.8 5.8.1 5.8.2 5.8.3 6 Medication and integrated monitoring solution providers 6.1 6.1.1 6.1.2 6.1.3 6.1.4 6.1.5 6.1.6 6.1.7 6.1.8 6.1.9 6.1.10 6.1.11 6.1.12 6.1.13 6.1.14 6.1.15 6.1.16 6.1.17 6.1.18 6.1.19 6.1.20 6.2 6.2.1 6.2.2 6.2.3 6.2.4 6.2.5 6.2.6 6.2.7 6.2.8 6.2.9 6.2.10 Bayer Healthcare Johnson & Johnson Roche DexCom Telcare Welldoc Lipid monitoring CardioChek Apex Biotechnology Biomedix USA Integrated telehealth solution providers Bosch Healthcare Honeywell HomMed Cardiocom Philips Healthcare Numera Viterion TeleHealthcare Aerotel Medical Systems American TeleCare Authentidate BlueLibris BodyTel Grandcare Systems H2AD Ideal Life Intel-GE Care Innovations MedApps Medic4All OBS Medical Tunstall Group Telehealth Solutions Medication compliance monitoring Aardex Group Bang & Olufsen Medicom Cypak Information Mediary Corporation Medicpen Medsignals Proteus Biomedical SIMpill Vitality Vocel 7 Market analysis and forecasts 7.1 Market analysis 7.1.1 Cardiac implants comprise the bulk of RPM connections 7.1.2 Compliance requirements drive connectivity in the sleep therapy market 7.1.3 Lower reimbursement slows down uptake of mobile cardiac telemetry 7.1.4 New entrants challenge leading providers of integrated telehealth solutions 7.1.5 Wireless connectivity gains momentum in several market segments 7.1.6 Remote data transmission in other market segments 7.2 Market forecasts 7.3 Market drivers and barriers 7.3.1 An ageing population 7.3.2 Increasing welfare disease prevalence 7.3.3 Focus on disease prevention 7.3.4 Substitutes to medical monitoring 7.3.5 Resistance to change 7.4 Potential market catalysts 7.4.1 Increased monitoring during clinical trials 7.4.2 Insurance companies demanding monitoring 7.4.3 New clinical evidence on cost effectiveness 7.4.4 Non-prescribed monitoring and healthcare consumerism 7.5 Recommendations for mobile industry players Glossary M2M Research Series ITS in Public Transport ITS in Public Transport is a comprehensive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments on the intelligent transportation systems market for public transport in Europe. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 150 pages of unique business intelligence, including 5-year industry forecasts, expert commentary and real-life case studies on which to base your business decisions. Highlights from the report: Insights from 30 new executive interviews with market leading companies. Data on vehicle fleets and public transport utilisation in Europe. Comprehensive overview of the public transport ITS value chain and key applications. In-depth analysis of market trends and key developments. Profiles of 39 aftermarket ITS solution providers. Summary of OEM propositions from public transport vehicle brands. Market forecasts lasting until 2015. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging European wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series Public transport ITS in Europe boosted by market deregulation The term Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) refers to information and communication technology applied to transport infrastructure and vehicles. Berg Insight’s definition of ITS for public transport includes systems which are installed in public transport vehicles as well as at terminals, stops and similar. Included are also backoffice IT systems which ensure that public transport services can be planned, scheduled and managed to achieve efficient operations. An important part of ITS for public transport is further solutions providing travellers with updated information about routes, departure times, possible disturbances and connecting services. The history of these different types of solutions dates back several decades and current state-of-the-art solutions include for example real-time intermodal journey planners, automated fare collection systems using smartcards, and on-board infotainment solutions with information about nearby points of interest. Public transport plays an essential role in the European society. Approximately 60 billion public transport passenger journeys per year are carried out in the EU27. Available modes include for example local and regional buses and trolleybuses, regional and suburban rail transport, metros and trams, and local waterborne passenger transport services. A total of 737,000 buses and coaches account for 9.5 percent of the yearly passenger kilometres on land in Europe. The economic value of public transport services in Europe amounts to € 130–150 billion per year, which represents approximately 1–1.2 percent of the GDP. The public transport sector furthermore creates about 1.2 million direct employments in Europe, and an average of 2–2.5 indirect employments per direct job. Berg Insight is of the opinion that the European market for ITS solutions for public transport is in a growth phase which will last for several years to come. Individual markets may however experience temporary fluctuations, depending on the political climate and local developments. The total market value for public transport ITS for buses and trams is forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 15 percent from € 0.65 billion at the end of 2010 to € 1.3 billion by 2015. The penetration of on-board computer units with GPS location functionality and wireless communication in buses and trams is estimated to increase from 30 percent in 2010 to 48.3 percent in 2015. € million A group of international aftermarket solution providers have emerged as the leaders on the European market for public transport ITS. The dominant providers are INIT, Trapeze ITS and IVU, all based in the German speaking region and having substantial installed bases across a multitude of countries. Examples of companies with major market shares on national markets in Europe include INEO Systrans, which holds a leading position in France, and Vix Technology’s recently acquired subsidiary ACIS which is a major vendor on the UK market. Other significant players include the Spanish company groups GMV and Grupo Etra, Swarco’s subsidiary Mizar in Italy, the Norweigan company FARA and the German provider PSI Transcom. All the major bus manufacturers on the European market have initiatives related to OEM bus telematics, however using very different strategies. Scania offers the same telematics features for buses as for the trucks, and MAN is planning to introduce a similar offering. Daimler has introduced a modified version of its fleet management system for trucks, adapted to better suit bus customers, while Iveco with the Irisbus brand collaborates with third party suppliers when fulfilling customer requirements for ITS. Volvo Group, in turn, offers functionality not only for conventional telematics and fleet management applications, but also real-time passenger information and traffic management. The outlook for the European public transport ITS market is positive, as several major developments foster increased adoption of such technologies. The continent-wide deregulation of the public transport market creates a need for technologies which can handle the increasingly burdensome task of providing synchronised passenger information. International public transport related initiatives such as the EU project EBSF are also likely to increase the ITS adoption. Other contributing developments include UITP’s sought-after doubling of the public transport ridership by 2025, the increasing environmental awareness and decreasing costs for ITS. This report answers the following questions: How is public transport organised and managed in the European countries? What is the geographical structure of public transport fleets in Europe? Which are the leading international and regional providers of aftermarket public transport ITS in Europe? 1500 What offerings are available from vehicle OEMs? 1200 What impact will the launch of standard factory installed on-board computers from the OEMs have on the market? 900 600 How has the economic crisis affected the market for public transport ITS in Europe? 300 How are the regulatory developments in Europe affecting the public transport ITS industry? 0 Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Market value of public transport ITS (EU27+2 2010 – 2015) How will the public transport ITS industry evolve in the future? Table of Contents 1 Public transport in Europe 1.1 Modal split of passenger transport 1.2 Bus fleets and public transport utilisation 1.3 Market shares for bus and coach OEMs 1.4 Rail-borne public transport modes 1.4.1 Trams and light rail 1.4.2 Metro 1.5 Organisation and contracting in public transport 1.5.1 Legal framework 1.5.2 Organisational forms and regional differences 1.6 Major public transport operators 2 ITS technologies and solutions 2.1 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.1.3 2.1.4 2.1.5 2.1.6 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.3 2.4 2.4.1 2.4.2 2.4.3 2.5 2.5.1 Public transport ITS infrastructure Vehicle segment Roadside segment Backoffice segment Traveller segment GNSS segment Network segment Public transport management Planning and scheduling tools Computer aided dispatch systems Traffic signal priority Traveller management Passenger information Entertainment Fare payment Driver management Driving data registration and analysis Eco-driving schemes Insurance risk management Vehicle management Vehicle diagnostics and maintenance planning 2.5.2 On-board security solutions 2.6 Business models and strategies 3 Market forecasts and trends 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 Market analysis Market value forecast Regional markets Major vendors 3.2 3.2.1 3.2.2 3.2.3 3.2.4 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3 3.3.4 3.4 Market drivers and barriers Macroeconomic environment Regulatory environment Competitive environment Technology environment Value chain analysis ITS and telematics industry players Automotive industry players Telecom industry players IT industry players Future industry trends 4 OEM products and strategies 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.6.1 4.6.2 4.6.3 Daimler Iveco MAN Scania Volvo Group Other bus manufacturers Alexander Dennis VDL Van Hool 5 Aftermarket solution providers 5.1 5.1.1 5.1.2 5.1.3 5.1.4 5.1.5 5.1.6 5.2 5.2.1 5.2.2 5.2.3 5.2.4 5.2.5 5.2.6 5.3 5.3.1 5.3.2 5.3.3 5.3.4 5.3.5 5.3.6 5.3.7 5.3.8 5.3.9 5.3.10 International GIRO INIT IVU Swarco Thales Trapeze ITS Germany and Eastern Europe Atron PSI Transcom R&G Radcom Siemens UTI France and the UK 21st Century ACIS Comatis GreenRoad INEO Systrans Lumiplan MiX Telematics Navocap Omnibus SPIE 5.4 5.4.1 5.4.2 5.4.3 5.4.4 5.4.5 5.4.6 5.4.7 5.4.8 5.4.9 5.5 5.5.1 5.5.2 5.5.3 5.5.4 5.5.5 5.5.6 5.5.7 The Mediterranean AP Systems Digigroup GMV Grupo Etra Indra Link Technologies Prointec Selex Elsag T&T The Nordics DRI/Mobitec FARA Hogia Pilotfish Thoreb Trivector Vehco Glossary M2M Research Series Smart Metering in North America and Asia-Pacific Smart Metering in North America and Asia-Pacific is the second consecutive market report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments for smart metering in two dynamic regions. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with over 160 pages of unique business intelligence, including 5-year industry forecasts, expert commentary and real-life case studies on which to base your business decisions. Highlights from the report: Case studies of smart metering projects by the leading energy industry players in North America and Asia-Pacific. In-depth market profiles of the US, Canada, China, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand. Status updates on the development of smart grid and communication technology. Profiles of the key players in the smart metering industry in North America and Asia-Pacific. Forecasts for smart meter shipments and penetration rates until 2016. Analysis of the latest market and industry developments in each region. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging European wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series Smart meters spread through North America and Asia-Pacific Smart grid is one of the latest buzzwords in the energy sector and has become a catch-phrase for politicians, academics and industry leaders alike. The vision is to exploit the latest technology to address the immense challenge of securing the energy supply in the 21st century. The concept of smart grids is at times put forward as a revolutionary solution to a wide array of problems, ranging from the West’s dependency on Middle Eastern oil to global warming. A more realistic expectation is however that smart grid technology will contribute to improved efficiency and reliability in energy distribution and better optimisation in allocation of resources and utilisation of assets. Smart metering is widely regarded as the cornerstone for future smart grids. In the history of metering technology, smart metering represents the third stage in a chain of developments spanning more than 100 years. Manually read meters have been around since the advent of the utility industry in the late 19th century. Over the last three decades, automated meter reading (AMR) based on one-way or two-way communication has evolved. Smart metering broadens the scope of AMR beyond just meter readings with additional features enabled by two-way data communication. A smart metering solution generally delivers a range of applications using an infrastructure comprising networked meters, communication networks and data collection and management systems. Smart electricity meters are being introduced all over the developed world. North America and Asia-Pacific are two of the most dynamic market regions that will see massive projects realised over the next five to ten years. Berg Insight forecasts that the installed base of smart electricity meters in North America will grow at a compound annual growth rate of 22.5 percent between 2010 and 2016 to reach 87.4 million units at the end of the period. Asia-Pacific is projected to see the installed base of smart meters soar from a low level to 378.1 million units by 2016. North America has the world’s highest penetration of automatic meter reading, exceeding 50 percent. Over the past years, many of the largest utilities in the US have embarked on ambitious smart grid schemes where one of the main objectives is to deploy second generation advanced metering infrastructure. AEP, PG&E, Southern California Edison, Southern Company, Florida Power & Light and Oncor are some of the largest utility groups having committed to full-scale rollouts to all customers. Furthermore there are numerous projects % 100 2011 80 2016 East Asia is in the earliest phase of the adoption of smart metering technology. Large-scale rollouts to residential customers have only recently begun in Japan and South Korea, while China remains in the piloting stage. National and industry leaders do however have clear visions for the adoption of the technology over the course of this decade. South Korea has adopted a national plan for the construction of a smart grid by 2020. Japan already has the world’s most advanced power grid monitoring systems in place and several of the leading utilities have announced plans for smart meter deployments over the next ten years. China is investing massively in the expansion of the nation’s energy infrastructure to keep up with the rapidly increasing power demand. The country has begun deploying a new generation of more advanced electricity meters, which are prepared for two-way communication. China has however not yet decided on any final standards for smart grid networking. Although the country is on track to reach near 100 percent penetration for smart meters that support communication by 2015, there is not yet any infrastructure in place to network them into a nationwide smart grid. Australia and New Zealand began massive installations of smart meters at the end of the last decade. Adoption is driven by regulations in the case of Australia and by the main industry players in New Zealand. This report answers the following questions: How are national energy policies driving the adoption of smart metering? What new smart metering projects have been enabled by the US federal stimuli funds? What are the plans for smart meters deployments in British Columbia and Québec? When will China start the construction of a nationwide smart metering data network? What is the role for smart metering in South Korea’s national smart grid plan? What is the current status for smart metering in Japan? 60 What is driving adoption of smart meters in Australia and New Zealand? 40 Who are leading the race for market leadership in North America? 20 0 among medium sized and small utilities throughout the country. National and state policies play a major role in shaping developments. The US market received a major boost through the Obama Administration’s American Recovery and Reinvestment Act that includes US$ 43 billion ear-marked for the energy sector plus tax incentives. A number of states, including California, Texas, Florida and Pennsylvania have approved utility plans for massive smart meter deployments, while others such as Virginia have turned down major project proposals. In Canada, the provinces of Ontario and British Columbia have introduced mandatory requirements for smart electricity meters for all customers. Hydro-Québec announced Canada’s largest project to date in 2011, involving 4.0 million metering points. China South Korea USA & Canada Australia & New Zealand Japan Projected penetration rates for smart electricity meters in North America and Asia-Pacific Which are the main providers of PLC and wireless communication technology for smart meters? Which are the emerging top players in the Chinese smart metering industry? Table of Contents 1 Smart grids and intelligent meters 1.1 1.2 1.2.1 1.2.2 1.2.3 1.3 1.3.1 1.3.2 1.3.3 1.3.4 1.4 1.4.1 Introduction to smart grids Smart metering Smart metering applications Smart metering infrastructure Benefits of smart metering Project strategies System design and sourcing Rollout and integration Implementation and operation Communicating with customers Regulatory issues Models for the introduction of smart meters 1.4.2 Standardisation 1.4.3 Individual rights issues 2 PLC and wireless communication technologies 2.1 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.1.3 2.1.4 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 2.2.4 2.2.5 2.2.6 2.2.7 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.3 2.3.4 2.3.5 2.3.6 2.3.7 2.3.8 PLC versus wireless communication PLC point-to-multipoint Wireless Mesh point-to-multipoint Cellular networks point-to-point Home area networking PLC technology and vendors Industry associations and standards Tier one semiconductor companies Advanced Digital Design CURRENT Leaguer Microelectronics Topscomm Yitran Communications Wireless technology and vendors Industry initiatives and standards Cinterion Coronis Ember Sierra Wireless Sigma Designs Simcom Telit 3 Smart metering industry players 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 3.1.4 3.1.5 3.1.6 3.1.7 3.1.8 3.1.9 3.1.10 Meter vendors Landis+Gyr Itron Elster Aichi Tokei Denki EDMI GE Energy Holley Metering Linyang Electronics LSIS Osaki Electric 3.1.11 3.1.12 3.1.13 3.1.14 3.1.15 3.1.16 3.2 3.2.1 3.2.2 3.2.3 3.2.4 3.2.5 3.2.6 3.2.7 3.2.8 3.2.9 3.2.10 3.2.11 3.2.12 3.2.13 3.2.14 3.2.15 3.2.16 3.2.17 3.2.18 3.2.19 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3 3.3.4 3.3.5 3.3.6 3.3.7 3.4 3.4.1 3.4.2 Sanxing Electric Schneider Electric Secure Meters Sensus Wasion Second tier Chinese meter vendors Smart grid solution providers Aclara Ambient Arcadian Networks Arc Innovations Cooper Power Systems Comverge Echelon Eastsoft FXXC KDN Nighthawk NURI Telecom Omni System Ruggedcom Silver Spring Networks SmartSynch Tantalus Trilliant Tropos Networks MDMS and middleware vendors Ecologic Analytics eMete EnergyICT NorthStar Utilities Solutions Oracle OSIsoft SAP System integrators and managed service providers IT industry players Telecom industry players 4 Market analysis 4.1 4.1.1 4.1.2 4.1.3 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.2 4.2.3 4.3 4.3.1 4.3.2 4.3.3 North America Market forecast Technology trends Industry analysis East Asia Market forecast Technology trends Industry analysis Australia and New Zealand Market forecast Technology trends Industry analysis 5 North America 5.1 Regional summary 5.2 United States 5.2.1 Electricity and gas utilities 5.2.2 Federal smart grid and metering initiatives 5.2.3 Regional overview: Northeast 5.2.4 Regional overview: Midwest 5.2.5 Regional overview: South 5.2.6 Regional overview: West 5.3 Canada 5.3.1 Electricity and gas utilities 5.3.2 Ontario’s smart meter rollout 5.3.3 Smart metering initiatives in other provinces 6 Asia-Pacific 6.1 6.2 6.2.1 6.2.2 6.3 6.3.1 6.3.2 6.4 6.4.1 6.4.2 6.5 6.5.1 6.5.2 6.6 6.6.1 6.6.2 Regional summary China Electricity industry structure Smart grid and metering initiatives Japan Electricity and gas utility industry structure Smart grid and metering initiatives South Korea Electricity and gas utility industry structure National smart grid plan for 2020 Australia Electricity and gas utility industry structure Regulation driven deployments of smart meters New Zealand Electricity industry structure Industry driven deployments of smart meters 7 Case studies 7.1 7.1.1 7.1.2 7.1.3 7.1.4 7.1.5 7.2 7.2.1 7.2.2 7.2.3 7.3 7.3.1 7.3.2 7.3.3 7.3.4 North America Pacific Gas & Electric Sempra Energy Florida Power & Light Hydro-Québec BC Hydro East Asia State Grid Corporation of China Kansai Electric Power KEPCO Australia and New Zealand Ausgrid Jemena and UED SP AusNet Vector Glossary M2M Research Series Smart Metering in Europe Smart Metering in Europe is the eighth consecutive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments for smart metering in Europe. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with over 220 pages of unique business intelligence, including 5-year industry forecasts, expert commentary and real-life case studies on which to base your business decisions. Highlights from the eighth edition of the report: Case studies of smart metering projects by the leading energy groups in Europe. In-depth market profiles of nineteen countries in Europe. Status updates on the development of smart grid and communication technology. Updated profiles of the key players in the metering industry. Revised market forecasts lasting until 2016. Summary of the latest developments in the European energy industry. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging European wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series Half of Europe’s households will get smart meters by 2016 Smart grid is one of the latest buzzwords in the energy sector and has become a catch-phrase for politicians, academics and industry leaders alike. The vision is to exploit the latest technology to address the immense challenge of securing the energy supply in the 21st century. The concept of smart grids is at times put forward as a revolutionary solution to a wide array of problems, ranging from the West’s dependency on Middle Eastern oil to global warming. A more realistic expectation is however that smart grid technology will contribute to improved efficiency and reliability in energy distribution and better optimisation in allocation of resources and utilisation of assets. Smart metering is widely regarded as the cornerstone for future smart grids. In the history of metering technology, smart metering represents the third stage in a chain of developments spanning more than 100 years. Manually read meters have been around since the advent of the utility industry in the late 19th century. Over the last three decades, automated meter reading (AMR) based on one-way or two-way communication has evolved. Smart metering broadens the scope of AMR beyond just meter readings with additional features enabled by two-way data communication. A smart metering solution generally delivers a range of applications using an infrastructure comprising networked meters, communication networks and data collection and management systems. Smart electricity meters are being introduced all over the developed world. Europe had an early start in the 2000s when Enel completed the first nationwide rollout of smart meters to more than 30 million customers in Italy. Later deployments followed in the Nordic countries and at the beginning of the 2010s, Spain, France and the UK are assuming the positions as the most active markets. Berg Insight forecasts that the installed base of smart electricity meters in EU23+2 will grow at a compound annual growth rate of 19.4 percent between 2010 and 2016 to reach 130.5 million units at the end of the period. Annual shipments of smart electricity meters are anticipated to exceed 20 million units in the mid-2010s. A majority of the countries in Western Europe have adopted a policy of regulation-driven introduction of smart meters. Italy and Sweden were first to complete their rollouts that began in 2001 and 2003 respectively. Finland and Norway will require smart meters for all electricity customers by 2013 and 2016 respectively, while France, Spain, the UK and Ireland have set targets to achieve full penetration in the final years of this decade. That will also be the case in the Netherlands, where the plans to introduce smart meters met strong opposition on the grounds of being invasive to privacy and were delayed for several years before they were finally approved by the parliament in late 2010. Germany on the other hand has only implemented some weaker regulatory drivers and the federal government has declared that it has no intention to push for a quick nationwide rollout. Iberia is the new focal point for smart metering in Europe. Following a build-up phase in 2010, massive installations will take off in Spain during 2011, as Endesa goes ahead with a full-scale rollout. Iberdrola is performing major pilots involving hundreds of thousands of customers and activity is also picking up at Gas Natural Fenosa. Furthermore EDP considers a nationwide rollout in Portugal that can be coordinated with the mandatory deployment by its distribution network subsidiary in Spain. Berg Insight forecasts that annual shipments of smart electricity meters in Iberia will peak at around 5 million units per year during 2016–2017 before the market gradually slows down in the final years before the installation deadline in 2018. France and the UK became active markets in 2010 as ERDF and British Gas entered the initial phases of their smart meter installation programmes. ERDF plans to start with a massive nationwide rollout from 2012 and will need to deploy around 6 million units per year between 2014 and 2017 in order to fulfil the regulatory obligations that will take effect in 2018. The UK is currently in a build-up phase, preparing for a mass rollout to nearly 30 million customers during 2014–2019. British Gas and E.ON have committed to the installation of at least one million smart electricity meters each before the mass rollout begins. Berg Insight expects that all major energy suppliers in the UK will switch to smart meters for new connections and planned replacements prior to the mass rollout. Ireland plans a nationwide rollout of smart meters starting in 2014. This report answers the following questions: How are EU and national energy policies driving the adoption of smart metering? What are the UK government’s plans for a nationwide rollout of smart meters? How are smart meter deployments proceeding in France and Spain? 150 What are the latest regulatory developments in the Netherlands and Norway? 120 What are the prospects for massive smart meter installations in Central Eastern Europe? Million units 90 Which lessons can be learnt from customer behaviour trials? 60 Who are the leading suppliers of smart metering solutions for the European market? Which are the main providers of PLC and wireless communication technology for smart meters? 30 0 Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Installed base of electricity smart meters (EU23+2 2010–2016) What will be the impact of pan-European standard initiatives related to smart metering? Table of Contents 1 Electricity, gas and district heating distribution in Europe 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Energy industry players Electricity market Gas market District heating market 2 Smart metering 2.1 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.3 2.3.4 2.4 2.4.1 Introduction to smart grids Smart metering Smart metering applications Smart metering infrastructure Benefits of smart metering Project strategies System design and sourcing Rollout and integration Implementation and operation Communicating with customers Regulatory issues Models for the introduction of smart meters 2.4.2 Standardisation initiatives 2.4.3 Individual rights issues 3 PLC and wireless communication technologies 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 3.1.4 3.2 3.2.1 3.2.2 3.2.3 3.2.4 3.2.5 3.2.6 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3 3.3.4 3.3.5 3.3.6 3.3.7 3.3.8 3.3.9 PLC versus wireless communication PLC point-to-multipoint Wireless Mesh point-to-multipoint Cellular networks point-to-point Home area networking PLC technology and vendors Industry associations and standards Tier one semiconductor companies Advanced Digital Design CURRENT Power Plus Communications Yitran Communications Wireless technology and vendors Industry initiatives and standards Cinterion Coronis Develco Ember Radiocrafts Sierra Wireless Sigma Designs Telit 4 Smart metering industry players 4.1 4.1.1 4.1.2 4.1.3 4.1.4 4.1.5 4.1.6 4.1.7 4.1.8 4.1.9 4.1.10 4.1.11 4.1.12 4.1.13 4.1.14 4.1.15 4.1.16 4.1.17 4.1.18 4.1.19 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.2 4.2.3 4.2.4 4.2.5 4.2.6 4.2.7 4.2.8 4.2.9 4.2.10 Meter vendors Landis+Gyr Itron Elster Aidon Apator Circutor Diehl Metering EDMI EMH Metering GE Energy Hager Iskraemeco Janz Kamstrup Sagemcom Secure Meters Sensus ZIV ZPA Smart Energy Smart grid solution providers ADD Grup Echelon Embriq Enel ISA Metrima NURI Telecom Remote Energy Monitoring Sentec Siemens 4.2.11 4.2.12 4.2.13 4.2.14 4.2.15 4.2.16 4.3 4.3.1 4.3.2 4.3.3 4.3.4 4.3.5 4.3.6 4.3.7 4.3.8 4.3.9 4.3.10 4.4 Silver Spring Networks Smart Grid Norway Trilliant Tropos Networks Tritech Technologies Xemex MDMS and middleware vendors Ecologic Analytics eMeter EnergyICT Görlitz Netinium Oracle OSIsoft Powel Process Vision SAP System integrators and managed service providers 4.4.1 IT industry players 4.4.2 Telecom industry players 5 Market analysis 5.1 5.1.1 5.1.2 5.1.3 5.1.4 5.2 5.2.1 5.2.2 5.3 5.4 Market drivers and restraints Macroeconomic factors Regulatory environment Competitive environment Industry standards Smart metering market forecast Geographical markets Capital expenditure forecast Technology trends Industry analysis 6 Market profiles: Northern Europe 6.1 6.1.1 6.1.2 6.1.3 6.1.4 6.2 6.2.1 6.2.2 6.2.3 6.3 6.3.1 6.3.2 6.3.3 6.4 6.4.1 6.4.2 6.4.3 Sweden Electricity distribution industry structure Metering regulatory environment Smart metering market developments The outcome of a regulation driven rollout Denmark Electricity distribution industry structure Metering regulatory environment Smart metering market developments Finland Electricity distribution industry structure Metering regulatory environment Smart metering market developments Norway Electricity distribution industry structure Metering regulatory environment Smart metering market developments 7 Market profiles: Western Europe 7.1 Austria 7.1.1 Electricity and gas distribution industry structure 7.1.2 Metering regulatory environment and smart metering market developments 7.2 Belgium 7.2.1 Electricity and gas distribution industry structure 7.2.2 Metering regulatory environment and smart metering market developments 7.3 France 7.3.1 Electricity and gas distribution industry structure 7.3.2 Metering regulatory environment and smart metering market developments 7.4 Germany 7.4.1 Electricity and gas distribution industry structure 7.4.2 Metering regulatory environment 7.4.3 Smart meter market developments 7.5 Ireland 7.5.1 Electricity and gas distribution industry structure 7.5.2 Nationwide program for deployment of smart meters 7.6 The Netherlands 7.6.1 Electricity and gas distribution industry structure 7.6.2 Metering regulatory environment and smart meter market developments 7.7 7.7.1 7.7.2 7.7.3 7.7.4 United Kingdom Electricity and gas distribution industry structure Metering regulatory environment Plans for a nationwide smart metering system Early smart meter deployments 8 Market profiles: Southern Europe 8.1 8.1.1 8.1.2 8.1.3 8.2 8.2.1 8.2.2 8.2.3 8.3 8.3.1 8.3.2 Italy Electricity and gas distribution industry structure Metering regulatory environment Smart metering market developments Spain Electricity and gas distribution industry structure Metering regulatory environment Smart metering market developments Portugal Electricity and gas distribution industry structure Metering regulatory environment and smart metering market developments 8.4 Malta 8.4.1 Utility industry structure 8.4.2 National smart grid project 9 Market profiles: Central Eastern Europe 9.1 Bulgaria 9.1.1 Electricity and gas distribution industry structure 9.1.2 Metering regulatory environment and smart metering market developments 9.2 Czech Republic 9.2.1 Electricity and gas distribution industry structure 9.2.2 Metering regulatory environment and smart metering pilots 9.3 Poland 9.3.1 Electricity and gas distribution industry structure 9.3.2 Metering regulatory environment and smart metering projects 9.4 Slovenia 9.4.1 Electricity industry structure and metering regulatory environment 9.4.2 Smart metering projects 10 Case studies: Smart metering projects in Europe 10.1 10.1.1 10.1.2 10.1.3 10.2 10.2.1 10.2.2 10.3 10.3.1 10.3.2 10.4 10.4.1 10.4.2 10.5 10.5.1 10.5.2 10.6 10.7 10.7.1 10.7.2 10.7.3 10.8 10.8.1 10.8.2 Enel The Telegestore project in Italy The Meters and More initiative Endesa’s smart metering project in Spain ERDF The Linky Programme System development and full-scale pilot Iberdrola The PRIME project Smart metering projects in Spain and the US RWE Regional DSO operations in Germany The Mülheim Zählt project Fortum Smart meter rollout in Sweden Smart meter rollout in Finland Energa ESB Communication technology trials Consumer behaviour trials Cost benefit analysis Smart metering projects in the UK Ofgem’s Energy Demand Research Project British Gas’ early rollout to residential customers 10.8.3 Candidate technologies for the DCC’s smart metering network Glossary M2M Research Series Security Applications and Wireless M2M Security Applications and Wireless M2M is the fourth consecutive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments among the key applications for wireless M2M communication in the security industry. This report in the M2M Research Series provides you with 110 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Identify key players on the European security market. Learn about the latest propositions from leading monitored alarm system vendors. Understand the opportunities and challenges for stolen vehicle tracking services. Anticipate future drivers for increasing penetration and replacement sales for alarm systems. Realize the commercial potential of emerging segments including leisure vehicle and boat tracking. Predict future trends in lone worker protection services. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging European wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series Strong growth ahead for connected security applications in Europe The private security sector is a global industry comprising services and solutions such as manned guarding, alarm system integration and monitoring, cash and valuables handling as well as various services like consulting and private investigations. The global market value of the security industry grew to an estimated € 110 billion in 2010. The more mature European and North American markets still dominate the industry with a combined market share of close to 70 percent. In 2010, the European market value was about flat at € 45.5 billion. The long-term annual growth rate is estimated to between 7 and 9 percent globally, and between 6 and 8 percent in Europe and the US. Historically, annual growth has exceeded GDP by a few percentage points each year. Berg Insight forecasts that shipments of wireless M2M modules for security applications in EU27+2 will grow from 2.4 million in 2010 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 55 percent to reach 21.4 million by 2015. At the same time, the number of wireless devices monitored from an alarm receiving centre and similar will grow from 7.0 million in 2010 at a CAGR of 41 percent to reach about 39.2 million by the end of 2015. The key application areas for wireless M2M communication in the European security industry are alarm systems and vehicle tracking systems for passenger cars and commercial vehicles. Alarm systems are off-the-shelf security systems for small businesses and private homes. These are divided into two main categories – local alarms and monitored alarms. The simplest type of local alarm only reacts to activation by ringing bells to alert the surroundings and scare off intruders. Monitored alarms are connected to an alarm receiving centre (ARC). Today, only 25 percent of the 30 million alarm systems in Europe are monitored by an ARC. Monitored alarm systems are dependent on reliable communication networks. There is a significant untapped potential in the residential market segment that can be fulfilled with the latest generation of monitored alarm systems with GSM/GPRS or dual signalling technology. Vehicle tracking and recovery is the second major application area for wireless M2M communication in the security industry. Devices combining GPS and GSM/GPRS technologies enable monitoring services for any mobile object. Passenger cars and commercial vehicles constitute the main target markets by virtue of numbers and individual value, but there are also many niche markets such Today, only a handful car OEMs offer telematics solutions in a few markets in the EU. Berg Insight anticipates that additional brands will launch OEM telematics solutions on the European market in response to the eCall intiative within the EU. The European Commission has a strong commitment to introducing eCall as a standard feature in all new cars and recently set 2014 as the new target date for realising this vision – through regulations if necessary. Vehicle tracking and recovery is likely to become a key component for many OEM telematics systems in the next few years, especially for premium cars. Features beyond basic E112 functionality are likely to be subscription services that have to be renewed some years after the purchase of a new vehicle. Significant churn can be expected for these services. There are also many emerging niche applications for wireless M2M in the security industry that have not yet reached significant volumes. Personal security for lone workers is an application area offering growth opportunities in the medium and long term. Wearable integrated tracking and wireless communication devices can be used for protecting individuals. This area is mainly driven by stringent employee health and safety regulations in the UK, but other countries may also introduce similar laws in the future. Moreover, various forms of electronic monitoring of offenders are gradually being rolled out across Europe to reduce costs of running prisons and assist in the rehabilitation process. This report answers the following questions: What is the potential market size for wireless M2M communication in the security industry? Which are the key applications that generate most benefits for the end customers? Who are the leading providers of monitored small business and home alarm systems? Million connections 40 Why are leading alarm system providers investing in wireless technology? 35 30 When will wireless connectivity become a standard feature in alarm systems? 25 20 Who are the leading providers of aftermarket vehicle tracking solutions? 15 10 5 0 as construction equipment and plant machinery as well as leisure vehicles and boats. Similar hardware designs also constitute the onboard platform for fleet management solutions and the tracking capabilities of these systems enable basic security applications. What distinguishes vehicle tracking and recovery system from fleet management systems is the monitoring and response service of the secure monitoring centre that is linked to GPS-aided security systems. Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Cellular M2M connections for security applications (EU27+2 2009–2015) What new applications for wireless M2M are emerging in the security industry? Are regular handsets suitable for lone worker protection services? Table of Contents 1 Overview of the European security industry 1.1 1.1.1 1.1.2 1.1.3 1.1.4 1.2 1.2.1 1.2.2 1.2.3 1.2.4 1.2.5 Market overview Security services Security systems Small alarm systems Cash handling Key industry players Group 4 Securicor Prosegur Securitas Tyco International United Technologies Corporation 2 Small business and home alarm systems 2.1 The European small alarm systems market 2.1.1 Monitored alarm systems 2.1.2 Alarm monitoring services 2.2 Alarm signal transmission 2.2.1 Small alarm system technology overview 2.2.2 Mobile network alarm communication solutions 2.2.3 Market penetration for mobile network alarm communication 2.3 Company profiles 2.3.1 ADT 2.3.2 Group 4 Securicor 2.3.3 Prosegur Activa 2.3.4 Securitas Direct 2.3.5 UTC Fire & Security 2.4 Visual security systems 2.4.1 Network cameras 2.4.2 Digital video technology 2.4.3 Wireless network requirements 2.4.4 Network camera vendors 3 Commercial vehicle and asset tracking 3.1 The European commercial vehicle market 3.2 Fleet management solutions 3.2.1 Vehicle management 3.2.2 Security tracking 3.2.3 Driver management 3.2.4 Transport management 3.2.5 Mobile workforce management and lone worker security 3.3 Container tracking solutions 3.3.1 Intermodal shipping containers 3.3.2 Overview of the container shipping industry 3.3.3 Container tracking solutions 3.4 Key fleet management solution providers 3.4.1 Digicore: A global vehicle tracking solution provider 3.4.2 ID-Systems – Asset Intelligence: The leading provider of trailer telematics 3.4.3 Masternaut: Europe’s leading fleet management provider merges with Cybit 3.4.4 Qualcomm Enterprise Services: Global provider of integrated M2M solutions 3.4.5 Transics: Pan-European heavy truck and transport telematics provider 3.4.6 Trimble: Strengthens European presence with acquisition of Punch Telematix 3.4.7 Volvo Group: Dynafleet available with security service from Securitas 3.5 Satellite communication network operators 3.5.1 Globalstar: Increases focus on consumer tracking and communication 3.5.2 Iridium: Experiences fast growth in M2M data services 3.5.3 Orbcomm: Dedicated M2M satellite data communications provider 4 Car tracking and consumer asset tracking 4.1 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.2 4.2.3 4.3 4.3.1 4.3.2 4.3.3 4.3.4 4.4 4.4.1 4.4.2 4.4.3 4.5 4.5.1 4.5.2 4.5.3 4.6 The European passenger car market Passenger car telematics Stolen vehicle recovery eCall and driver assistance Motor insurance telematics Insurance industry standards for vehicle tracking Belgium The Netherlands Norway United Kingdom Aftermarket vehicle tracking solutions Octo Telematics: European leader in motor insurance telematics Cobra Automotive Technologies: PanEuropean SVR provider LoJack distributors: TRACKER, Traqueur and Detector OEM car telematics solutions BMW ConnectedDrive PSA Peugeot Citroën RT3/RT4/ Navidrive Volvo On Call The European motorcycle and moped market 4.6.1 Motorcycle theft in Europe 4.6.2 Motorcycle tracking solutions 4.7 The European leisure vehicle and boat market 4.7.1 Market overview 4.7.2 Boat tracking solutions 5 People tracking 5.1 Corporate people tracking and lone worker protection 5.1.1 Lone worker legislation 5.1.2 Lone worker protection devices and services 5.1.3 Electronic monitoring of offenders 5.2 Consumer-oriented people tracking 5.2.1 Mobile operator services 5.2.2 Third party handset-based tracking services 5.2.3 Dedicated GPS tracking devices and services 5.3 Company profiles 5.3.1 Connexion2: Identicom and the SoloProtect managed lone worker service 5.3.2 Geonovo: Developer of the Romad RSP-100 lone worker device 5.3.3 SPOT: GPS tracking and satellite messenger devices from Globalstar 5.3.4 Tramigo: TLD landmarks facilitates location of assets without using maps 5.3.5 Twig Com: Acquired the TWIG tracking device business from GeoSentric 6 Market forecasts and trends 6.1 Market trends and drivers 6.1.1 Alarm systems: GSM/GPRS complementing and replacing PSTN 6.1.2 Fleet management: Market recovering from the economic downturn 6.1.3 Car telematics: The EC sets 2014 as new target for introduction of eCall 6.1.4 Lone worker protection: Market driven by UK legislation 6.1.5 Consumer asset tracking: Steady growth from diverse applications 6.2 Market forecasts 6.2.1 Alarm systems 6.2.2 Fleet management, commercial vehicle and asset tracking 6.2.3 Car telematics 6.2.4 Lone worker protection services 6.2.5 Consumer asset tracking applications Glossary M2M Research Series Smart Homes and Home Automation Smart Homes and Home Automation is a comprehensive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments on the global connected home market. This report in the M2M Research Series provides you with 130 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. Highlights from the first edition of the report: Insights from 30 executive interviews with market leading companies. 360-degree overview of the smart homes & home automation ecosystem. Summary of industry trends in key vertical market segments. Statistical data on HA adoption in major countries and regions. Market forecasts lasting until 2015. Reviews of the latest initiatives launched by industry players. Updated profiles of the key vendors on this market. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging European wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series Where is the global smart home market headed? Smart homes and home automation (HA) technologies have been around for two or three decades. These technologies have been a niche segment either for the very affluent, or extreme technophiles who wanted to do a few things like control their lights or window shades remotely, or stream audio-video content between rooms, or do some basic home monitoring. Initial HA systems focused on security and utility management, but newer all-in-one systems give users real-time control over almost all the systems in the house while at home or away, resulting in a smarter and more energy efficient home tailored to the homeowner’s lifestyle. Berg Insight sees a new day dawning for this industry due to a perfect confluence of key market, regulatory, strategic and technology trends. First is the pull from consumers who desire to use products such as iPhones and iPads to control and enhance their lifestyles with the touch of a button on user-friendly and intuitive interfaces. The regulatory drivers come from governmental directives, whereby countries and utilities are mandated to better control the generation, distribution and consumption of power in residences. The strategic push comes from new powerful entrants into this space such as broadband providers who are already inside consumers’ homes and are looking for the next growth opportunities to increase ARPU, reduce churn and become solutions providers rather than just “dumbpipes”. In the US, broadband companies such as AT&T, Comcast and Verizon have shown their hand as they have made recent strong advances into this space. Finally, the technology is coming together with increasing focus on standardization and interoperability, even as the cost of modules, chipsets and software is trending down. It is important to understand the different possible gateways and business models into the smart home from broadband and wireless providers, utility companies, consumer electronics manufacturers, retail outlets, to traditional security and home automation suppliers, distributors and dealers. It is also important to differentiate the different dynamics between the luxury homes segment versus the mainstream, as well as the complexities involved in retrofit of existing housing stock, versus new home construction. Companies also have to strategize whether they wish to offer standalone smart homes technologies, or move towards multifunction whole-home systems. For the last couple of years, many home automation companies have struggled. Part of the reason is that the convenience and Berg Insight forecasts that worldwide revenues from shipments of home automation systems will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33 percent from US$ 2.3 billion in 2010 to nearly US$ 9.5 billion in 2015. These numbers include all 3 categories of home automation: professionally installed, Do-It-Yourself (DIY) and the more recent category systems installed by broadband and utility service providers. Significant revenue contributions will come from retrofit of existing homes, both luxury and mainstream. The home automation industry is also opening up a new potential market for cellular M2M devices and services. Berg Insight forecasts that the number of cellular connections used by home automation systems worldwide will grow at a compound annual growth rate of 85.6 percent from 0.25 million in 2010 to 5.5 million connections in 2015. The vast majority of these are security and access control systems. Shipments of cellular M2M communication units for home automation systems are forecasted to grow from 0.2 million units in 2010 to 1.8 million units in 2015. This report answers the following questions: What is the mix of smart home technologies in new homes versus existing homes? How are regulatory initiatives shaping the market? What are the main drivers behind growth in the Americas, Europe and Asia-Pacific? Revenues (US$ Billion) 10 What are the main challenges and roadblocks towards widespread adoption? 8 Which are the main verticals within smart homes and home automation? 6 What are the business models and channels-to-market of smart home vendors? 4 2 0 comfort functions offered by HA systems are not critical or essential and thus suffer when the financial and economic picture is gloomy. A second reason is that the best time to install a HA system is during new home construction, but new construction has been at a virtual standstill in many regions. Usually the large homes segment is immune to economic fluctuations, but this time the malaise has been so widespread that even the high-end segments have been affected. There will continue to be short-term challenges for the HA industry. The economic and housing gloom could stretch out much longer than currently envisaged. Other challenges include lack of awareness of HA offerings and the fact that consumers in many segments do not see a strong reason for HA systems. The costs involved in terms of equipment, installation and ongoing maintenance and service, are all perceived as deterrents. However, there are signs of economic growth and increased residential construction in many parts of the world. In addition, new initiatives such as Google’s Android@ Home can bring increased consumer awareness of HA systems and facilitate interoperability between equipment from multiple vendors. Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total annual home automation installation revenues (World 2010–2015) What is the relevance of wireless technologies in home automation? How will the global smart home market evolve in the next decade? Table of Contents 1 Smart homes, connected homes and home automation 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Types of home automation 1.2.1 Energy management and climate control systems 1.2.2 Security and access control systems 1.2.3 Lighting, windows and appliance control systems 1.2.4 Audio-visual and entertainment systems 1.2.5 Healthcare systems and home monitoring 1.2.6 Pool, spa control, sprinkler, fountains and miscellaneous 1.2.7 Multifunction and whole-home home automation systems 1.3 Market drivers and barriers 1.3.1 Market drivers 1.3.2 Market barriers 2 Home automation market segments 2.1 The custom (luxury) segment 2.1.1 The luxury segment is not immune to recessions 2.1.2 Customer identification methods 2.2 Mainstream (production) segment 2.2.1 Single-family detached homes 2.2.2 Multi-family dwelling units (MDUs) 2.3 New homes versus existing homes 2.3.1 The new home HA segment is affected by the fall in new home construction 2.3.2 The existing home market is the growth segment 3 The housing industry 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 3.2 3.2.1 3.2.2 3.2.3 3.2.4 3.2.5 3.2.6 3.2.7 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3 3.3.4 3.3.5 3.3.6 3.3.7 3.3.8 3.3.9 The North American housing market Canada Mexico USA The European housing market France Germany Italy The Netherlands Spain Sweden UK The Asia-Pacific housing market Australia China Hong Kong India Japan Korea New Zealand Russia Singapore 4 Technology overview 4.1 4.1.1 4.1.2 4.1.3 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.2 4.2.3 4.2.4 4.2.5 Cellular network technologies GSM/HSPA networks CDMA networks LTE networks Connectivity and interoperability standards Ethernet HomePlug HomePNA CEBus LonWorks 4.2.6 X10 4.2.7 INSTEON 4.2.8 Universal Powerline Bus (UPB) 4.2.9 Zigbee 4.2.10 Z-Wave 4.2.11 Wi-Fi 4.2.12 Infrared 4.3 Industry associations 4.3.1 CABA 4.3.2 CEA 4.3.3 CEDIA 5 Channels to market and business models 5.1 5.1.1 5.1.2 5.2 5.2.1 5.2.2 5.3 5.3.1 5.3.2 5.4 5.4.1 5.4.2 Professional installation Dealer/installer/system integrators New home builders Retail Mainstream stores Online Service providers Broadband service providers Utility service providers Business models Selling prices Labour costs and margins 6 Market forecasts 6.1 Market analysis 6.2 Cellular M2M connections and module shipments 6.3 Smart homes and home automation forecasts – North America 6.3.1 Custom and luxury home segment 6.3.2 Mainstream single-family home segment 6.3.3 MDU segment 6.4 Smart homes and home automation forecasts – Europe 6.4.1 Custom and luxury home segment 6.4.2 Mainstream single-family home segment 6.4.3 MDU segment 6.5 Smart homes and home automation forecasts – Asia-Pacific 6.5.1 Luxury home segment 6.5.2 Mainstream home segment 6.5.3 MDU segment 7 Company profiles 7.1 Multifunction and whole-home automation system vendors 7.1.1 AMX 7.1.2 Automated Living 7.1.3 Colorado vNet 7.1.4 Control4 7.1.5 Cortexa 7.1.6 Crestron Electronics 7.1.7 Element Controls 7.1.8 ELK Products 7.1.9 Exceptional Innovation 7.1.10 Global Caché 7.1.11 4Home 7.1.12 Home Automation Inc 7.1.13 iControl Networks 7.1.14 iTouch 7.1.15 Lagotek 7.1.16 Mi Casa Verde 7.1.17 Perceptive Automation 7.1.18 RTI 7.1.19 Savant Systems 7.1.20 Simply Automated 7.1.21 7.1.22 7.1.23 7.1.24 7.1.25 7.2 7.2.1 7.2.2 7.2.3 7.2.4 7.2.5 7.2.6 7.2.7 7.2.8 7.2.9 7.3 7.3.1 7.3.2 7.3.3 7.3.4 7.3.5 7.3.6 7.3.7 7.3.8 7.3.9 7.4 7.4.1 7.4.2 7.4.3 7.4.4 7.4.5 7.4.6 7.4.7 7.4.8 7.4.9 7.4.10 7.4.11 7.4.12 7.4.13 7.4.14 7.4.15 7.4.16 7.4.17 7.4.18 7.4.19 7.4.20 7.4.21 7.4.22 7.4.23 7.4.24 7.4.25 7.4.26 7.5 7.5.1 7.5.2 7.5.3 7.5.4 7.5.5 7.5.6 7.5.7 7.5.8 7.5.9 7.5.10 7.5.11 7.5.12 7.5.13 2GIG Technologies Vantage Controls Vivint Xanboo X10 Security and access control system vendors ABB ADT Alarm.com ASSA ABLOY FortrezZ Ingersoll Rand Schneider Electric System Sensor Wayne-Dalton Lighting and window control system vendors Am-Source International BTX Window Automation CentraLite Electronic Solutions Leviton Lutron Powerline Control Systems Skyco Somfy Audio-visual and entertainment system vendors Actiontec Electronics Atlona Technologies AVC Group BDI Channel Vision Technology Classé Audio Cinemar Solutions ConnectGear Draper D-Link Envive Fluid Digital Gefen Groov Audio Harman Kaleidescape Krell Industries Linn Marantz Naim Runco Russound Sonos SpeakerCraft Universal Electronics Universal Remotes Energy management and climate control system vendors AlertMe Blue Line Innovations Cisco Grid Net Intermatic Intwine Energy Invensys Portus RCS Technology Simple Control Tendril Universal Devices Web Mountain Glossary M2M Research Series Car Telematics and Wireless M2M Car Telematics and Wireless M2M is the fifth consecutive report analysing the latest developments on the European market. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 150 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Understand the dynamics of the European car telematics industry. Learn about the telematics strategies of the technology leading car manufacturers. Evaluate the likelihood for eCall to become operational in 2014-2015. Identify the leading providers of aftermarket vehicle tracking solutions and connected PNDs. Realise the potential importance of motor insurance providers in the telematics value chain. Profit from valuable insights about the most successful business and technology propositions on the market. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series What are the key business opportunities in the emerging European wireless M2M market? Berg Insight’s M2M Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of a specific vertical application area such as smart metering, fleet management or vehicle telematics. Once per year we also publish summaries of our research with detailed forecasts for the Global and European wireless M2M markets, respectively. www.berginsight.com M2M Research Series Where is the European telematics market headed? Telematics is a broad term that may be applied to a wide range of automotive IT solutions. Berg Insight’s definition of a car telematics solution in this report is an automatic system designed for passenger cars which incorporate some form of wireless communication via a wide area network. The history of car telematics can be traced back to the first stolen vehicle tracking systems based on RF communication using unlicensed frequency bands, which appeared on the market in the 1980s. Subsequently mobile networks have enabled true online connectivity with two-way communication at the same time as GPS technology has been commoditised to the extent that high-accuracy satellite positioning can be integrated into virtually any device. Today a standard telematics unit features GPRS, GPS and frequently also some kind of interface to the electronics systems of the vehicle. This kind of device may be used as a platform for one or several types of applications. Several categories of car telematics applications are today offered on a commercial basis. These include eCall and driver assistance, SVR, connected navigation, motor insurance telematics, road charging, leasing and rental fleet management and vehicle diagnostics. eCall and driver assistance applications deliver value in the form of improved safety and better convenience when travelling. SVR facilitates recovery of the car in case of theft and frequently entitles the owner to insurance benefits. Connected navigation enables access to up-todate map data and other online services. Motor insurance telematics combines SVR with innovative business models such as PAYD (PayAs-You-Drive). Road charging is gaining momentum as a new method for financing privately operated motorways, raising tax revenues and tackling congestion. Leasing and rental fleet management gives owners better control over hired-out vehicles and enables new forms of contracts. Vehicle diagnostics allows car manufacturers, dealers and workshops to improve their service offering to car owners. Berg Insight estimates that total shipments of car telematics systems in EU27+2 reached 0.85 million units in 2009. Growing at a compound annual growth rate of 35.0 percent, the shipments are expected to reach 1.6 million units in 2011. During the same period the number of active telematics service subscribers is forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 23.1 percent from 3.5 million subscribers in 2009 to 5.4 million in 2011. From 2012, Berg Insight expects a sharp increase of OEM systems in preparation for the full scale introduction of eCall. By 2015 the pan-European safety system is anticipated to generate shipments of about 15 million OEM telematics units and push the total number of active subscribers to 28.7 million in 2015. Already in 2012 OEM systems are forecasted to catch up with aftermarket systems in terms of shipments and active subscribers. eCall and other OEM initiatives are also expected to curb the growth for aftermarket systems. Until now OEM telematics propositions have so far largely failed to make a significant impression on the European market. Availability is still restricted to a handful of brands and models on selected markets. PSA and BMW are still the most active players in the market, bundling telematics services with navigation, audio and Bluetooth handsfree products. Recently they have upgraded and extended their offerings to cover most of Western Europe. PSA was also the first car manufacturer to have introduced an eCall device as a standard feature on selected models from 2010. Fiat, Volvo Cars and premium brands such as Porsche, Jaguar and Land Rover have also been active on the market for some time. In late 2011, Berg Insight anticipates that additional brands will launch OEM telematics solutions on the European market in response to the eCall intiative within the EU. The European Commission has a strong commitment to introducing eCall as a standard feature in all new cars and recently set 2014 as the new target date for realising this vision – through regulations if nessecary. The aftermarket telematics market is now recovering from the economic crisis. Particularly SVR product sales are linked to the demand for exclusive cars and were affected by lower car sales in this segment during 2009. The adoption of motor insurance telematics has slowed down somewhat as the initial success in Italy proved difficult to transfer to additional markets. Insurance providers are however now established as an important distribution channel for aftermarket telematics providers in a number of countries and Octo Telematics, which first developed it, is firmly established as the leading supplier. This report answers the following questions: What are the dynamics behind developments in the European car telematics industry? What is the current status of the eCall initiative? What are the latest developments on innovative road charging schemes in Europe? Million units 20 Why is motor insurance telematics successful in Italy? 15 What are the main trends on the connected navigation market? 10 How is RF tracking technology standing up against GSM/GPS? Who are the leading providers of aftermarket vehicle tracking solutions? 5 0 Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Shipments of car telematics units (Europe 2009–2015) How is the OEM telematics value chain evolving? What are the current car telematics propositions from Europe’s main car brands? Table of Contents 1 Passenger cars in Europe 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5.1 1.5.2 1.5.3 1.6 1.6.1 1.6.2 Introduction Car manufacturers Leasing and rental companies Motor insurance Emergency services and assistance providers PSAP and SOC organisations Assistance providers Automobile clubs Passenger cars and the environment Electric vehicles Hybrid electric vehicles 2 Car telematics solutions 2.1 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.1.3 2.1.4 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 2.2.4 2.2.5 2.2.6 Car telematics infrastructure Vehicle segment Tracking segment Network segment Service segment Car telematics applications eCall and roadside assistance Stolen vehicle recovery Motor insurance telematics Leasing and rental fleet management Vehicle diagnostics Electronic toll collection and congestion charging 2.2.7 Connected navigation 2.3 Electric vehicles versus conventional vehicles 2.4 Aftermarket solutions versus OEM solutions 3 Market forecasts and trends 3.1 Car telematics market forecast 3.2 Application trends 3.2.1 eCall: The EC sets 2014 as new target for pan-European introduction 3.2.2 SVR: Declining price advantage for RF tracking against GSM/GPS 3.2.3 Motor insurance telematics: Spreading across Europe 3.2.4 Connected navigation: Low-cost factory-fit OEM solutions 3.2.5 Road charging: Privacy concerns may block online satellite tracking systems 3.2.6 CRM: Telematics will be used to drive a connected CRM strategy for OEMs 3.3 Value chain analysis 3.3.1 Aftermarket solution providers 3.3.2 OEM solution providers 3.3.3 Car brands and dealers 3.3.4 Telecom industry players 3.3.5 Continued consolidation trends in the aftermath of the financial crisis 3.4 Future industry trends 4 Aftermarket vehicle tracking solutions 4.1 Value chain overview 4.2 Aftermarket vehicle tracking solution providers 4.2.1 AutoGuard 4.2.2 Autotxt 4.2.3 Cesar Satellite 4.2.4 Cobra Automotive Technologies 4.2.5 Detector 4.2.6 MetaSystem 4.2.7 Pointer Telocation 4.2.8 4.2.9 4.2.10 4.2.11 4.2.12 4.2.13 4.3 4.3.1 4.3.2 4.3.3 4.3.4 4.3.5 SECAR TRACKER Network Traqueur Trafficmaster Viasat Group Other vehicle tracking vendors Insurance industry telematics initiatives Italy: Motor insurance providers adopt telematics to combat theft and fraud Spain: MAPFRE offers YCar targeting 18–30 year olds United Kingdom: Coverbox PAYD has fitted 7,500 cars after one year United Kingdom: Insure the Box new entrant with PAYD scheme United Kingdom: Thatcham CAT 5 and TQA vehicle security standards 5 OEM telematics solutions 5.1 Value chain overview 5.2 Automotive suppliers 5.2.1 Actia 5.2.2 Continental Automotive Group 5.2.3 Delphi Automotive 5.2.4 Denso 5.2.5 Magneti Marelli 5.3 Telematics service providers 5.3.1 Airbiquity 5.3.2 Altea 5.3.3 ATX Group 5.3.4 Connexis 5.3.5 Eurowatch 5.3.6 Hughes Telematics 5.3.7 IMA 5.3.8 Octo Telematics 5.3.9 Tema.Mobility 5.3.10 WirelessCar 5.4 OEM telematics propositions 5.4.1 BMW 5.4.2 Fiat Group 5.4.3 Ford 5.4.4 Jaguar and Land Rover 5.4.5 Mercedes-Benz 5.4.6 Porsche 5.4.7 PSA Peugeot Citroën 5.4.8 Volvo Car 6 Connected navigation devices 6.1 Introduction 6.2 In-dash connected navigation solution providers 6.2.1 TomTom and Renault 6.2.2 TomTom and Fiat 6.2.3 TomTom collaborations with Sanyo and Sony 6.2.4 Aisin AW and Toyota 6.2.5 Masternaut 6.2.6 Trafficmaster 6.3 Connected PND solution providers 6.3.1 TomTom 6.3.2 Garmin 6.3.3 MiTAC International 6.3.4 6.3.5 6.3.6 6.3.7 6.3.8 6.4 Navigon Medion MyGuide Americas Coyote System Mobile Devices Mobile navigation services 7 The European eCall initiative 7.1 Regulatory process 7.1.1 Activities of DG eCall and other working groups 7.1.2 Actions by the EC and EU Member States 7.1.3 Stakeholder positions on eCall 7.2 eCall functional specifications and standardisation 7.2.1 IVS functional specifications 7.2.2 MSD transport mechanism 7.2.3 PSAP requirements 7.3 Case studies 7.3.1 Germany: ADAC performs international feasibility trial of eCall 7.3.2 United Kingdom: National PSAPs support private eCall services 7.3.3 United States: GM OnStar provides emergency call service to 6 million cars 8 Road charging for passenger cars 8.1 Overview of ETC technologies 8.1.1 Automatic Number Plate Recognition (ANPR) 8.1.2 Dedicated Short Range Communication (DSRC) 8.1.3 GPRS/GPS 8.2 ETC charging concepts 8.3 Interoperability of ETC systems 8.4 Future developments and trends 8.5 Case studies 8.5.1 The national truck tolling scheme in Slovakia launched in January 8.5.2 Toll Collect in Germany generated revenues of € 4.4 billion in 2009 8.5.3 Road pricing in Stockholm successful in cutting congestion 8.5.4 Planning for a nationwide road charging rollout in the Netherlands 8.5.5 The London congestion charge generates yearly revenues of € 367 million 8.6 Road charging solution providers 8.6.1 Autostrade 8.6.2 EFKON 8.6.3 GMV 8.6.4 Kapsch TrafficCom 8.6.5 Q-Free 8.6.6 Sanef Group 8.6.7 Satellic Traffic Management 8.6.8 Skymeter 8.6.9 Thales Glossary LBS Research Series Location-Based Advertising and Marketing Location-Based Advertising and Marketing is a comprehensive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments on the location-targeted advertising market worldwide. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 170 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Identify tomorrow’s most profitable LBA opportunities in the mobile space. Understand the fundamentals of the ad-based mobile media revenue models. Recognise the key enablers of growth in the LBA market. Comprehend the relative importance of digital channels compared to other advertising media. Learn about the experiences of LBA campaigns by top global brands. Profit from valuable insights about LBA business models. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s LBS Research Series What are the real business opportunities for LBS on the global market? Berg Insight’s LBS Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of the most interesting LBS topics such as handset-based satellite positioning technology, mobile personal navigation services and location-enabled content services. Once per year we also publish a summary of our research with detailed forecasts for the major regions. www.berginsight.com LBS Research Series Location-targeting releases the full potential of the mobile channel The mobile channel is getting established as an integral part of the marketing media mix, a process which is eased by the booming smartphone adoption and increasing mobile media consumption. One of the key developments in mobile advertising is the increasing integration of location-sensitivity, which releases the full potential of the mobile channel. A notable divide can be made between static and real-time location-based advertising (LBA). Targeting by static variables involves using information which is part of specific user profiles such as place of residence and work. Real-time location targeting instead uses location information which is gathered when an ad is delivered to a mobile user. Such location-based advertising programs and campaigns leverage the same type of technologies to determine user location as other locationbased services (LBS). Common methods include GPS, Cell-ID and WiFi positioning which are all based on real-time information. Targeting by location in combination with other contextual and behavioural segmentation greatly enhances the relevance of mobile advertising. It has been demonstrated that location-targeted ads generate considerably higher return than conventional mobile advertising, and the associated eCPM levels are several times higher. Berg Insight estimates that the total global value of the real-time mobile LBA market was € 192 million in 2011, representing 5.0 percent of the total mobile ad spend. Growing at a compound annual growth rate of 90.9 percent, the real-time LBA market is forecasted to be worth € 4.9 billion in 2016, corresponding to 28.3 percent of all mobile advertising and marketing. This means that location-based advertising and marketing will represent more than 4 percent of digital advertising, or 1 percent of the total global ad spend for all media. Asia-Pacific is estimated to be the largest LBA market in 2016, followed by Europe and North America. Key drivers for LBA include the growing attach rates of location technologies in handsets, as well as the increasing consumer acceptance of LBS in general. Local advertising is further a major market, and LBA opens up the mobile channel for new advertisers such as local merchants. The fact that location targeting has higher performance has moreover induced premium rates for publishers and developers. The main barriers to adoption are related to the inherently limited reach of LBA which acts as a mental hurdle for advertisers. Education of advertisers and new methods for campaign performance evaluation are thus called for. Privacy issues can further not be ignored, but can be beneficially handled by privacy control options beyond simple opt-in mechanisms. The demand for hyper-local targeting of ads is so far limited among advertisers, but is bound to increase given the considerable impact such campaigns generate. The LBA value chain is still forming and there are a large number of players involved in the ecosystem. The industry is fragmented and has not yet reached maturity. Many different companies are involved, ranging from LBA specialists such as Placecast, xAd and LEMON Mobile, to operators including SFR, AT&T and O2, and LBS players such as Telmap, TeleNav and Waze. There is furthermore an abundance of location-aware applications and media which serve geo-targeted ads, with examples such as WHERE, Loopt and Shopkick. Included in the marketplace are moreover coupons and deals providers including Yowza!!, GeoAd and COUPIES, search solutions such as Poynt and Qype, and proximity marketing providers like Qwikker, Proximus Mobility and Scanbuy. A number of traditional mobile advertising players are also active in the LBA space, for example Millennial Media, Madvertise and Nexage, as well as major digital and telecom players such as Google, Apple and Nokia. There are a number of key takeaways from the latest developments in LBA. It has been established that location-targeting improves the effectiveness of mobile marketing campaigns, and greater shares of ad budgets are devoted to LBA among marketers. It is however crucial to ensure sound opt-in procedures and individual privacy measures for consumers. Location is further only one of many components in successful targeting, and marketers must also strive to leverage other contextual and behavioural information. High-precision real-time geotargeting is today sparsely used, and rightly so as most campaigns do not require targeting with an accuracy of a few meters. Hyper-local campaigns are nevertheless becoming more common. Current important high-volume LBA formats include mobile search and SMS campaigns. Berg Insight however anticipates that geotargeting gradually will become ubiquitous and available across the entire mobile channel. This report answers the following questions: In what ways can location technology improve the relevancy of mobile advertising? What are the experiences from mobile LBA campaigns so far? How should mobile LBA be integrated in the marketing media mix? € million 5000 Which categories of companies can leverage mobile locationbased advertising? 4000 Which are the LBA specialists that stand out of the crowd? 3000 How are mobile operators such as AT&T, Telefónica and SFR approaching LBA? 2000 How are traditional mobile advertising players and major digital and telecom players positioning themselves in this market? 1000 How well suited for LBA are different existing and future mobile media channels? 0 Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 LBA revenue forecast, € million (Worldwide 2010–2016) Which are the main drivers and barriers affecting the mobile LBA market? Table of Contents 1 Advertising and the mobile channel Advertising and digital media The marketing and advertising industry The Internet media channel The mobile media channel Mobile advertising and marketing The mobile handset as an advertising platform 1.2.2 Advertising on the mobile handset 1.2.3 The mobile advertising ecosystem 1.3 Mobile media channels and formats 1.3.1Messaging 1.3.2 Mobile web advertisement 1.3.3 Mobile applications 1.4 Mobile marketing industry overview 1.4.1 Factors influencing the potential market value of mobile advertising 1.4.2 Current state and future trends 1.1 1.1.1 1.1.2 1.1.3 1.2 1.2.1 2 Mobile location technologies and services 2.1 Mobile network location architectures and platforms 2.1.1 Location architecture for GSM/UMTS networks 2.1.2 Location architecture for LTE networks 2.1.3 Control Plane and User Plane location platforms 2.1.4 Probe-based location platforms 2.2 Mobile location technologies and methods 2.2.1Cell-ID 2.2.2 Enhanced Cell-ID 2.2.3 RF Pattern Matching 2.2.4 E-OTD, OTDOA and U-TDOA 2.2.5 GNSS: GPS, GLONASS, Galileo and Compass 2.2.6 Bluetooth, NFC and Wi-Fi positioning 2.2.7 Hybrid, mixed mode and indoor location technologies 2.2.8 Theoretical limitations of positioning technologies 2.3 Overview of mobile location-based services 2.3.1 Mapping and navigation 2.3.2 Local search and information 2.3.3 Social networking and entertainment 2.3.4 Recreation and fitness 2.3.5 Tracking services 3 Mobile location-based advertising and marketing 3.1 Definitions and variants of LBA 3.1.1 Static versus real-time locationtargeting 3.1.2 Push and pull LBA 3.1.3 LBA formats 3.2 Market receptiveness 3.2.1 Advertiser adoption 3.2.2 Outcomes of different LBA strategies 3.2.3 Consumer attitudes 3.2.4 Privacy concerns 3.3 Case studies 3.3.1 The North Face drives foot traffic with LBA program delivered by Placecast 3.3.2 Operator Zain Kuwait enters the LBA space with AdZone platform 3.3.3 SPH a pioneer in location-based advertising in Singapore 3.3.4 LBA solution from NAVTEQ delivers impressive results for McDonald’s 3.3.5 VW engage in Wi-Fi-based marketing through JiWire 3.3.6 Boloco taps SCVNGR to encourage repeat visits 3.3.7 Expedia creates award winning location-based mobile website using HTML5 3.3.8 McDonald’s engages customers in billboard games 3.3.9 MINI’s location-based reality game attracts thousands of players 3.3.10 Rovio introduces a location-dimension to the Angry Birds game 3.3.11 QderoPateo and Kommunity Kiosk enable Bluetooth marketing at hotels 3.3.12 Movie theatre chain partners with ChaCha to promote Twilight premiere 4 Market forecasts and trends 4.1 4.1.1 4.1.2 4.1.3 4.1.4 4.1.5 4.1.6 4.1.7 4.1.8 4.1.9 4.1.10 4.1.11 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.2 4.2.3 4.3 4.3.1 4.3.2 4.4 4.4.1 4.4.2 4.4.3 4.4.4 4.4.5 4.4.6 LBA industry analysis Classification of LBA offerings LBA specialists Mobile operators LBS and navigation providers Location-aware applications and media Mobile coupons and deals providers Mobile search providers Proximity marketing providers Traditional mobile advertising players Major digital and telecom players Mergers and acquisitions LBA landscape trends Drivers for success Barriers to adoption Overcoming the barriers Market forecasts Total, digital and mobile advertising market value forecasts LBA market value forecast Final conclusions Location filtering improves the effectiveness of mobile marketing campaigns Greater shares of ad budgets devoted to LBA among marketers Location is but one of many valuable opt-in variables High-precision real-time geotargeting is sparsely used Mobile search and SMS campaigns are important high-volume LBA formats Location-targeting will eventually become ubiquitous 5 Company profiles and strategies 5.1 LBA specialists 5.1.1AdMoove 5.1.2Chalkboard 5.1.3 CityGrid Media 5.1.4 LEMON Mobile 5.1.5Placecast 5.1.6xAd 5.1.7Xtify 5.1.8YOOSE 5.2 Mobile operators 5.2.1 AT&T Mobility 5.2.2 Orange Group 5.2.3SFR 5.2.4 Telefónica Group 5.3 LBS and navigation providers 5.3.1 Appello Systems 5.3.2Intersec 5.3.3TeleNav 5.3.4Telmap 5.3.5TomTom 5.3.6 Waze Mobile 5.4 Location-aware applications and media 5.4.1Foursquare 5.4.2Loopt 5.4.3Shopkick 5.4.4WHERE 5.5 Mobile coupons and deals providers 5.5.1COUPIES 5.5.2GeoAd 5.5.3Groupon 5.5.4ThinkNear 5.5.5Yowza!! 5.6 Mobile search providers 5.6.1 Mobile Commerce 5.6.2Poynt 5.6.3Qype 5.6.4 Yell Group 5.7 Proximity marketing providers 5.7.1 BLIP Systems 5.7.2 Proximus Mobility 5.7.3Qwikker 5.7.4Scanbuy 5.8 Traditional mobile advertising players 5.8.1InMobi 5.8.2Jumptap 5.8.3Madvertise 5.8.4 Millennial Media 5.8.5Nexage 5.8.6Sofialys 5.9 Major digital and telecom players 5.9.1Apple 5.9.2Facebook 5.9.3Google 5.9.4Microsoft 5.9.5Nokia 5.9.6Yahoo! Glossary LBS Research Series Mobile Navigation Services and Devices Mobile Navigation Services and Devices is the fifth consecutive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments on the global PND and mobile turn-by-turn navigation market. This report in the LBS Research Series provides you with 160 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Profit from 30 new executive interviews with market leading companies. Understand the dynamics of the navigation markets in Europe, North America and ROW. Benefit from expert market analysis including detailed regional forecasts. Learn about the latest mobile navigation propositions from device vendors and service providers. Comprehend how navigation applications can integrate with other location-based services to improve the user experience. Evaluate the impact of free navigation applications and evolving new business models. Identify new business opportunities in connected services and real-time traffic information. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s LBS Research Series What are the real business opportunities for LBS on the global market? Berg Insight’s LBS Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of the most interesting LBS topics such as handset-based satellite positioning technology, mobile personal navigation services and location-enabled content services. Once per year we also publish a summary of our research with detailed forecasts for the major regions. www.berginsight.com LBS Research Series What are the latest developments on the personal navigation market? Navigation systems and services for car and pedestrian navigation can be divided into multiple categories. Car manufacturers offer factory installed in-dash navigation systems as standard or optional equipment on a majority of their models sold in developed markets. Drivers that want to add navigation to their existing vehicle can choose among a number of aftermarket solutions. Examples include in-dash navigation systems, Personal Navigation Devices (PNDs) and navigation apps for mobile phones. New device categories such as Internet tablets are also being equipped with GPS and navigation software. At the end of 2011, there were 340 million navigation systems in use worldwide, including an estimated 60 million factory installed and aftermarket indash navigation systems, about 150 million PNDs and an estimated 130 million navigation-enabled mobile phones. Even though the share of new cars fitted with factory installed in-dash navigation systems will grow fast as prices decline, the actual penetration of in-dash navigation systems will grow slowly. The average age of vehicles in North America and Europe has grown to about 9 years and is even higher in most other markets. Aftermarket navigation solutions will thus account for a majority of navigation systems sold in the foreseeable future. Since the different solutions are tailored for slightly different usecases, multiple navigation-capable device solutions can be expected to co-exist in the future. Many consumers are also likely to use more than one category of navigation capable device. In many developed markets such as Europe and North America where the PND penetration is already high, the PND device category is facing increasing competition from handset-based navigation services and low cost in-dash navigation systems. Worldwide shipments of PNDs fell to about 33 million units in 2011, down from nearly 38 million in 2010. Berg Insight believes that PND shipments in Europe and North America have peaked and will gradually decline to about 7 and 6 million units per annum respectively in 2016. New markets in other parts of the world will only partly compensate for the decline in the mature markets. Worldwide shipments of PNDs are forecasted to gradually decline to 23 million units in 2016. Increasing competition has already forced several vendors to exit the PND segment – either in the most competitive markets or altogether. There is also a consolidation trend among the remaining PND vendors. MiTAC has acquired the PND operations of Navman and the assets Million Active navigation app users Today, handset navigation solutions are primarily available as on-board apps with map data stored in the memory of the handset and off-board services that rely on maps stored on a server. Over time, many solutions will converge into hybrid services that store frequently used maps in the internal memory and leverage wireless connectivity to access dynamic content. The main distribution channels for handset navigation apps include mobile network operators, handset vendors and on-device application stores. Free turn-by-turn navigation services have been available for several years from niche players, but the launch of Google Maps Navigation for Android handsets in late 2009 and Nokia Maps with free navigation in early 2010 started a major transformation of the handset navigation market in both Europe and North America. Whitelabel navigation developers are now working with mobile operators to create unique localised offerings and service bundles. Increasingly, navigation service providers are focusing on the freemium business model where the core turn-by-turn navigation service is free and users have the option to purchase additional content and features. This report answers the following questions: How are business models for PNDs and mobile navigation services evolving? What impact has free navigation services had on the personal navigation market? Will turn-by-turn navigation services for mobile phones replace portable navigation devices? Installed base of PNDs 250 Which are the leading developers of turn-by-turn navigation applications for mobile phones? 200 150 Which mobile operators have introduced mobile turnby-turn navigation services? 100 50 0 The adoption of handset-based navigation apps and services is increasing along with the popularity of smartphones. The global active installed base of smartphones surpassed 700 million units at the 2011, which is approximately 15 percent of all mobile phones in use. Berg Insight forecasts that smartphone shipments will grow from an estimated 450 million units in 2011 to 1,300 million units in 2016. In the future, virtually all GPS-enabled handsets can be expected to have mapping and navigation software as part of the standard feature set. How are device manufacturers positioning themselves on the growing mobile navigation market? 350 300 of the consumer product division of Magellan Navigation. Garmin completed the acquisition of Navigon in July 2011. United Navigation, which began operations in early 2010, has licensed the rights to use the Falk and Becker brands for navigation solutions. The PND market is now dominated by the three vendors Garmin, TomTom and MiTAC that together maintain a 75 percent market share. These companies have highly integrated operations ranging from hardware and software development to distribution. Moreover, these companies are now increasingly focusing on in-dash navigation systems. Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Installed base of PNDs and active mobile turn-by-turn navigation users (World 2010–2016) What will be the winning formula for connected PNDs and associated services? How will mobile navigation services evolve in the future? Table of Contents 1 Personal navigation solutions 1.1 Vehicle fleets and navigation system penetration 1.1.1 The European passenger car market 1.1.2 The North American passenger car and light truck market 1.2 Overview of personal navigation systems and services 1.2.1 Factory installed in-dash navigation and telematics solutions 1.2.2 Aftermarket in-dash navigation systems 1.2.3 Personal Navigation Devices 1.2.4 Smartphones and mobile phones 1.2.5 Internet tablets and media players 1.3 PND categories and segments 1.3.1 Standalone car navigation PNDs 1.3.2 Embedded PNDs 1.3.3 Multimode and rugged PNDs 1.3.4 Truck PNDs 1.4 Handset-based navigation services 1.4.1 On-board navigation apps 1.4.2 Off-board navigation services 1.5 Navigation service distribution channels and business models 1.5.1 Mobile network operators 1.5.2 Handset vendors 1.5.3 On-device app stores 1.5.4 Active handset navigation users 2 Map data and content providers 2.1 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.1.3 2.1.4 2.1.5 2.1.6 2.1.7 2.1.8 2.1.9 2.1.10 2.1.11 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 2.2.4 2.2.5 2.2.6 2.2.7 2.2.8 2.2.9 2.2.10 2.2.11 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.3 2.3.4 2.3.5 2.3.6 2.4 2.4.1 2.4.2 2.4.3 2.4.4 2.4.5 2.4.6 2.4.7 Digital map data and image suppliers NAVTEQ TomTom Maps AND AutoNavi Blom CE Info Systems DigitalGloble GeoEye Intermap Technologies OpenStreetMap ZENRIN Traffic information services Traffic information systems RDS-TMC services The VICS traffic information system The TPEG standard AirSage Clear Channel Radio’s Total Traffic Network Decell INRIX Mediamobile TrafficCast Trafficmaster Speed camera warning devices and database providers Coyote Systems Cyclops FoxyTag Road Angel RoadPilot Wikango Travel guide, POI data and weather information providers CustomWeather Foreca Fodor’s Travel Langenscheidt Mairdumont NavX ViaMichelin 2.4.8 2.5 2.5.1 2.5.2 2.5.3 Wcities Directory publishers PagesJaunes and Mappy Truvo Yell Group 3 Navigation software developers 3.1 Technology overview 3.1.1 On-board, off-board and hybrid navigation software 3.1.2 Evolution of navigation software features 3.2 Vendor market shares 3.2.1 Handset navigation app market shares in Europe 3.2.2 Handset navigation app market shares in North America 3.3 Company profiles and strategies 3.3.1 ALK Technologies 3.3.2 Appello Systems 3.3.3 deCarta 3.3.4 Elektrobit 3.3.5 Fullpower Technologies 3.3.6 Google 3.3.7 GPS Tuner 3.3.8 Intrinsyc Software 3.3.9 Maction Technologies 3.3.10 Mireo 3.3.11 NavGuard 3.3.12 NaviExpert 3.3.13 Navitel 3.3.14 NAVITIME 3.3.15 Navmii 3.3.16 NDrive 3.3.17 NNG 3.3.18 PH Informatica 3.3.19 ROUTE 66 3.3.20 Skobbler 3.3.21 Sygic 3.3.22 TeleCommunication Systems 3.3.23 TeleNav 3.3.24 Telmap 3.3.25 UbiEst 3.3.26 Waze 3.3.27 Wikitude 3.3.28 Yapp Mobile 4 Mobile operator service offerings 4.1 Navigation services from mobile operators in North America 4.1.1 AT&T 4.1.2 Bell Mobility 4.1.3 MetroPCS 4.1.4 Rogers Wireless 4.1.5 Sprint Nextel 4.1.6 TELUS 4.1.7 Verizon Wireless 4.2 Navigation services from mobile operators in Europe 4.2.1 Deutsche Telekom Group 4.2.2 Orange Group 4.2.3 SFR 4.2.4 Telefónica Group 4.2.5 Telekom Austria Group 4.2.6 TeliaSonera Group 4.2.7 Vodafone Group 4.3 Navigation services from mobile operators in Asia Pacific 4.3.1 Country profile: Australia 4.3.2 Country profile: Japan 4.3.3 Country profile: South Korea 4.3.4 SingTel Group 4.3.5 Tata Indicom 4.3.6 4.4 4.4.1 4.4.2 4.4.3 4.4.4 4.4.5 4.4.6 Vodafone New Zealand Navigation services in other countries Country profile: Israel Country profile: South Africa América Móvil NII Holdings Telefónica Latin America Mobile TeleSystems 5 Device vendor profiles 5.1 PND market developments 5.1.1 PND feature evolution 5.1.2 Market consolidation 5.2 PND shipments and vendor market shares 5.2.1 Shipments by geographical region 5.2.2 PND hardware revenues 5.2.3 Vendor market shares 5.3 PND vendor profiles and strategies 5.3.1 Garmin 5.3.2 Navigon 5.3.3 TomTom 5.3.4 MiTAC 5.3.5 Airis 5.3.6 AvMap 5.3.7 Mappy / Logicom 5.3.8 MEDION 5.3.9 Panasonic 5.3.10 Shinco 5.3.11 Sony 5.3.12 Thinkware Systems 5.3.13 UniStrong 5.3.14 United Navigation 5.4 Handset market developments 5.4.1 Smartphone evolution 5.4.2 Handset vendor market shares 5.4.3 Handset vendor navigation service strategies 5.5 Handset vendor profiles and strategies 5.5.1 Apple 5.5.2 HTC 5.5.3 LG Electronics 5.5.4 Motorola 5.5.5 Nokia 5.5.6 RIM 5.5.7 Samsung Electronics 5.5.8 Sony Ericsson 6 Market analysis and forecasts 6.1 Navigation industry trends 6.1.1 The total navigation system penetration rate is still low globally 6.1.2 Low cost in-dash navigation systems drive take rates 6.1.3 Evolution of handset navigation distribution channels 6.1.4 Evolution of handset navigation business models 6.2 Regional markets 6.2.1 The European mobile navigation market 6.2.2 The European PND market 6.2.3 The North American mobile navigation market 6.2.4 The North American PND market 6.2.5 The Rest of World mobile navigation market 6.2.6 The Rest of World PND market Glossary LBS Research Series Mobile Location-Based Services Mobile Location-Based Services is the sixth consecutive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments on the European and North American LBS markets. This report in the LBS Research Series from Berg Insight provides you with 140 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Learn about the LBS strategies of major telecom operators in Europe and North America. Profit from 30 new executive interviews with market leading companies. Identify key players on the European and North American mobile LBS market. Understand the opportunities and challenges for locationbased advertising. Benefit from valuable insights about the most successful LBS propositions on the market. Comprehend how location technologies affect the user experience of LBS. Predict future business opportunities for mobile industry players in LBS. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s LBS Research Series What are the real business opportunities for LBS on the global market? Berg Insight’s LBS Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of the most interesting LBS topics such as handset-based satellite positioning technology, mobile personal navigation services and location-enabled content services. Once per year we also publish a summary of our research with detailed forecasts for the major regions. www.berginsight.com LBS Research Series Business models for LBS shift to freemium and advertising Mobile location-based services (LBS) are gradually achieving mainstream market acceptance. Popular service categories include mapping and navigation, search and information, social networking and entertainment, recreation and fitness as well as tracking. Mapping and navigation is the leading segment in terms of revenues and the second largest in terms of number of active users. Despite continued growth of active users driven by rising adoption of smartphones, revenues for mapping and navigation services are only growing slowly as competition from free and low cost services has intensified. Whitelabel navigation developers are now working with mobile operators to create unique localised offerings and attractive service bundles. Some navigation service providers are focusing on freemium apps where the core turn-by-turn navigation service is free and users have the option to purchase additional content and features. Usage of search and information services is growing fast as more subscribers adopt mobile Internet services and handsets with improved capabilities. Local search is now the leading LBS category in terms of unique users. The popular social networking services are also experiencing rapidly growing uptake from mobile users. Increasingly, these services add various forms of location support. Berg Insight estimates that the number of active users of locationbased services and apps more than doubled in 2011. At the end of the year, about 20 percent of mobile subscribers in Europe are frequent users of location-based services. In North America where adoption of smartphones and GPS-enabled handsets is higher, an estimated one third of all handset users now access location-based services regularly. However, the significant growth in usage and number of active LBS users have not yet resulted in substantial growth in revenues. Total LBS service revenues in the EU 27+2 reached € 205 million in 2010 and Berg Insight forecasts LBS revenues to grow to about € 435 million in 2016. In North America, revenues are forecasted to grow from US$ 620 million in 2010 to an estimated US$ 710 million in 2016. Ad-funding is already the main source of revenues in many consumer LBS categories. Notable exceptions include the mapping and navigation as well as tracking service categories where ad revenues now account for less than 10 percent of total revenues. Along with € million Historically, mobile operators have been key partners and the main distribution channel for app and service developers. Operators have had a unique position with a direct relationship with a large user base, allowing them to market services, pre-install applications on new handsets, present links to services from their portals and handle end-user billing. This central role is now being challenged by the rising smartphone ecosystems such as Android, iOS and Windows Phone that in many cases integrate key location-based services and give developers access to location data, distribution channels in the form of on-device app stores as well as billing and advertising solutions for monetisation. Developers can also access location data from numerous independent Wi-Fi and cellular base station location database providers. These location services are well suited for a range of consumer-oriented services primarily targeting smartphone users. Many operators are now opening their location platforms to third party developers and location aggregators that play an important role as intermediaries between mobile operators and developers. Networkbased location data is valuable for developers and third parties that need to locate any device, not only GPS-enabled smartphones, without the need to install a client app that collects location data on each device. Most operators’ location platforms have a limited capacity and operators therefore maintain relatively high prices for each location look-up. This is a justifiable cost for services where a successful location look-up adds significant value and the developer can charge their customers accordingly. This is the case for a range of enterprise and B2B services including asset tracking, workforce management, authentication and fraud prevention. This report answers the following questions: What is the current status of the European and North American mobile LBS market? 600 Europe How are free navigation offerings affecting the market dynamics? 27+2 America 500 increasing usage and a maturing advertising ecosystem, ad revenues will grow both in absolute terms and as a share of total revenues also in the mapping and navigation segment. Many actors in the mobile value chain show great interest in location targeted ads. Although location can be a very valuable targeting attribute for some brands and campaigns, many other attributes are available that can be more relevant. Moreover, several issues – such as user privacy and pricing of location data – need to be resolved before location-based ad campaigns can leave the trial stage and contribute significantly to overall revenues. What are the mobile strategies of search engines and directory publishers? 400 How is location technology used by mobile social networks and communities? 300 200 How is GPS-technology altering the conditions for tracking services? 100 Which operators have introduced branded location-based services? 0 Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Mobile LBS revenue forecast, € million (2010–2016) How is location being used to add value in mobile advertising? Table of Contents 1 Introduction to location-based services 1.1 Definition of mobile location-based services 1.2 Mobile communication services 1.2.1 Mobile voice and SMS service revenues 1.2.2 Mobile data and application revenues 1.2.3 Location apps and service revenues 1.3 Mobile LBS categories 1.3.1 Mapping and navigation 1.3.2 Local search and information 1.3.3 Social networking and entertainment 1.3.4 Recreation and fitness 1.3.5 Tracking services 1.3.6 Other services 1.4 Mobile app monetisation strategies and business models 1.4.1 Free apps 1.4.2 Paid apps 1.4.3 Freemium apps and in-app payments 1.4.4 Ad-funding 1.4.5 New channel to market 1.4.6 Bundled products and services 1.4.7 Mobile app business model trends 1.5 Mobile location technologies and platforms 1.5.1 Mobile network-based location technologies 1.5.2 GNSS: GPS, GLONASS, Galileo and Compass 1.5.3 Hybrid and mixed mode technologies 1.5.4 Accuracy requirements for LBS 1.6 The regulatory environment in Europe and North America 1.6.1 European emergency call and privacy regulations 1.6.2 LBS regulatory environment in the US 1.6.3 Emergency call regulations in Canada 2 Smartphone ecosystems 2.1 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.1.3 2.1.4 2.1.5 2.1.6 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 2.2.4 2.2.5 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.3.3 Smartphone OS platforms Android iOS Windows Phone 7 Symbian BlackBerry OS and BBX Samsung’s Bada platform App stores Android Market Apple App Store BlackBerry App World Nokia Ovi Store Windows Phone Marketplace Ad networks and in-app ad solutions Apple iAd RIM BlackBerry Advertising Service Microsoft Windows Phone 7 and Microsoft Advertising 2.3.4 Nokia in-app advertising and NAVTEQ Media Solutions 2.3.5 Google Admob 2.4 2.4.1 2.4.2 2.4.3 2.4.4 2.4.5 2.4.6 2.4.7 2.4.8 2.5 2.5.1 2.5.2 2.5.3 2.5.4 2.5.5 Leading smartphone vendors Apple HTC LG Electronics Motorola Mobility Nokia RIM Samsung Electronics Sony Ericsson Industry analysis New vertical silos Towards a complete LBS stack Operator strategies Handset vendor strategies The mobile web, HTML5 web apps and native apps 3 Operator LBS offerings and strategies 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 3.1.4 3.1.5 3.1.6 3.1.7 3.1.8 3.1.9 3.2 3.2.1 3.2.2 3.2.3 3.2.4 3.2.5 3.2.6 3.2.7 3.2.8 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3 3.3.4 3.3.5 3.3.6 3.4 3.4.1 3.4.2 3.4.3 The European operator LBS market 3 Group Deutsche Telekom Group KPN Group Orange Group Telecom Italia Mobile Telefónica Group Telenor Group TeliaSonera Group Vodafone Group The North American operator LBS market AT&T Mobility Bell Mobility MetroPCS Rogers Wireless Sprint Nextel TELUS T-Mobile USA Verizon Wireless Location aggregators and Locationas-a-Service providers Deveryware LOC-AID Location Labs Lociloci Mobile Commerce TechnoCom Industry analysis Organisational capabilities and goals limit operator’s ability to provide LBS Smartphone platforms challenge operators’ central role The rise of third party developers and apps 4 Key LBS categories 4.1 4.1.1 4.1.2 4.1.3 4.1.4 4.1.5 4.1.6 4.1.7 4.1.8 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.2 4.2.3 4.2.4 4.3 4.3.1 4.3.2 4.3.3 4.3.4 4.3.5 4.4 4.4.1 4.4.2 4.4.3 4.5 4.5.1 4.5.2 4.5.3 Mapping and navigation Mapping and routing services Traffic information services Turn-by-turn navigation services Mapping and navigation industry trends Mobile operator service offerings Handset vendor offerings App stores and service providers Key market players Local search and information Directory services Local discovery and review services Travel planning, guides and information services Shopping and coupon services Social networking and entertainment Social networking and community services Check-in services Friendfinder services Chat and instant messaging services Location-based games Recreation and fitness Geocaching apps Outdoor navigation Sports tracking apps Tracking services Family locator services Smartphone tracking apps Enterprise tracking services 5 Market analysis and forecasts 5.1 Summary of the LBS market 5.1.1 The European LBS market 5.1.2 The North American LBS market 5.2 Mobile advertising and location 5.2.1 Challenges and opportunities for mobile advertising 5.2.2 Location can improve ROI for advertisers 5.3 Vertical market trends 5.3.1 Mapping and navigation services become free for end-users 5.3.2 Search and information services growth driven by smartphone uptake 5.3.3 Social networking and entertainment services gradually add location 5.3.4 Smartphones are increasingly used as recreation and fitness devices 5.3.5 Corporate efficiency investments drive tracking service revenues Glossary LBS Research Series LBS Platforms and Technologies LBS Platforms and Technologies is the third consecutive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments on the global market for LBS platforms and middleware. This report in the LBS Research Series from Berg Insight provides you with 120 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Profit from 30 new executive interviews with market leading companies. Learn about the latest trends for location platforms and technologies worldwide. Identify new business opportunities enabled by new location platform architectures. Predict which location technologies will be deployed in the future. Anticipate future drivers for location platforms and middleware revenues. Understand the opportunities and challenges for mobile location-based services globally. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s LBS Research Series What are the real business opportunities for LBS on the global market? Berg Insight’s LBS Research Series is a unique series of market reports published on a quarterly basis. Each title offers detailed analysis of the most interesting LBS topics such as handset-based satellite positioning technology, mobile personal navigation services and location-enabled content services. Once per year we also publish a summary of our research with detailed forecasts for the global mobile LBS market. www.berginsight.com LBS Research Series The global market for LBS platforms and middleware to double in the next 5 years Mobile location platforms enable mobile network operators to offer location-based services (LBS). Location platforms typically comprise software extensions to network infrastructure components that together can calculate the position of a handset. Many mobile operators also deploy location middleware that functions as a mediator between the location platform, applications and support systems – and more importantly, provides centralised control of privacy settings for all applications. Mobile location platforms enable three categories of services: public safety services, national security and law enforcement applications, as well as commercial LBS. Nearly 70 percent of all emergency calls are today placed from mobile phones and it can often be difficult for the caller to convey their location accurately to first responders. Automatic location platforms can reduce the time to find the location of the caller. They also enable more efficient handling of simultaneous calls from people reporting the same incident to distinguish single accidents from multiple events. Another use area is public warning systems that can locate and send messages to all mobile users within a geo-fenced area. Government agencies can also use location platforms and data mining systems for border security, critical infrastructure protection and locationenhanced lawful intercept. LBS are services that in some way utilise the geographic location of a handset, either to enhance existing applications, or enable new types of applications. An example of the first case is search services that use the subscriber’s known location as a filter for presenting relevant content. In the second case, location is used as an enabler for new applications that are fully dependent on knowing the location of a user or an asset; examples include navigation and tracking services. Today, countless consumer and corporate services make use of automatic location of handsets or other assets. However, a majority of the services use location data obtained directly from GPS receivers in the handset or various third party location databases rather than directly from operators. Location technologies can be divided into handset-based technologies (such as GPS) with intelligence in the handset, network-based technologies (for instance Cell-ID, Enhanced Cell-ID and U-TDOA) with intelligence in the network and hybrid technologies (for instance A-GPS) with intelligence in both the handset and the network. Handset-based and The Federal Communications Commission’s (FCC) E911 mandates for location of mobile emergency calls released in 1996 was a major driver behind the development of location platforms for the North American market. In Europe, as well as in other developed countries such as Japan and South Korea, the early deployment of location platforms focused on supporting commercial services due to the lack of a clear mandate for emergency services. In the first deployment phase, lasting from 2000 to 2003, operators invested in platforms and ready-made location services. The results were in many cases limited uptake whereby many operators lost interest in LBS as a mass-market proposition. However, governments and telecom regulators in many regions worldwide are now introducing some form of emergency call and lawful intercept mandates that require at least basic location platforms and technologies. Although the regulators have typically not yet imposed any specific location accuracy requirements as part of the mandates, it is highly likely that more stringent location accuracy will be demanded in the future as technologies mature and costs decrease. An estimated 30 percent of the mobile network operators worldwide have now deployed at least some type of basic location platform. Additional deployments and updates of existing platforms can be expected in most markets in the coming years, primarily driven by government mandates since commercial LBS increasingly rely on alternative location sources including GNSS, Wi-Fi location and third party Cell-ID databases. Berg Insight forecasts that total global annual revenues for GMLC/MPC, SMLC/PDE and SUPL A-GNSS location systems and services will grow from € 150 million in 2010 to € 300 million in 2016. These revenues comprise integration fees and licenses for new platform deployments as well as capacity and technology upgrades, maintenance and associated services. This report answers the following questions: What is the current status of the global mobile LBS platform market? Which mobile operators have deployed LBS platforms and middleware? How is GPS-technology altering the conditions for providers of location-based services? € million 300 What is the current status of E112 in Europe and similar programs in other regions? 250 200 How is GPS-technology affecting network-based location technologies? 150 How will lawful intercept requirements affect technology choice for operators? 100 Which location platforms and technologies are best suited for location-based advertising? 50 0 hybrid technologies often require additional hardware and software in the handset, while network-based technologies require deployment of hardware and software in the mobile network. Each technology has different characteristics and ultimately, no single technology performs best in every aspect. Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Location platform and middleware revenue forecast, € million (World 2010–2016) Which vendors provide location platforms and middleware today? Table of Contents 1 Introduction to location platforms 1.1 Location platforms and locationbased services 1.1.1 Overview of mobile location platforms 1.1.2 A brief history of location platforms and services 1.2 Mobile communication services 1.2.1 Mobile voice and data subscribers 1.2.2 Mobile voice and SMS service revenues 1.2.3 Mobile data and application revenues 1.2.4 Location apps and service revenues 1.3 Mobile location platforms and technologies 1.3.1 Mobile location platforms 1.3.2 Mobile location technologies 1.3.3 Location middleware and GIS 1.4 The mobile LBS value chain 1.4.1 Location platform and network equipment vendors 1.4.2 Location technology developers 1.4.3 LBS middleware vendors 1.4.4 Mobile network operators 1.4.5 Location aggregators 1.4.6 Handset manufacturers 1.4.7 Mobile application developers and service providers 1.5 Location platform pricing models 1.5.1 Capacity-based model 1.5.2 Transaction-based model 1.5.3 Subscriber-based model 1.6 Telecoms regulations drive location platform deployments 1.6.1 European emergency call and privacy regulations 1.6.2 LBS regulatory environment in the US 1.6.3 Emergency call regulations in Australia 1.6.4 Emergency call regulations in Canada 1.6.5 Emergency call regulations in Japan 2 Technology overview 2.1 Mobile network location platforms 2.1.1 Location architecture for GSM/UMTS networks 2.1.2 Location architecture for LTE networks 2.1.3 Control Plane and User Plane location platforms 2.1.4 OMA SUPL 1.0 2.1.5 OMA SUPL 2.0 2.1.6 OMA SUPL 3.0 2.2 Network-based positioning technologies 2.2.1 Cell-ID 2.2.2 Enhanced Cell-ID and RF Pattern Matching methods 2.2.3 E-OTD and OTDOA 2.2.4 Uplink Time Difference of Arrival (U-TDOA) 2.2.5 Location platforms and technologies in 3GPP2 networks 2.2.6 Location in converged IP networks 2.3 GNSS and hybrid location technologies 2.3.1 GNSS: GPS, GLONASS, Galileo and Compass 2.3.2 Assisted GPS and A-GNSS 2.3.3 Hybrid, mixed mode and indoor location technologies 2.4 Theoretical limitations of positioning technologies 3 Commercial deployments 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 3.1.4 3.1.5 3.1.6 3.1.7 3.1.8 3.1.9 3.2 3.2.1 3.2.2 3.2.3 3.2.4 3.2.5 3.2.6 3.2.7 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3 3.3.4 3.3.5 3.4 Platform deployments in Europe 3 Group Deutsche Telekom Group KPN Group Orange Group Telecom Italia Mobile Telefónica Group Telenor Group TeliaSonera Group Vodafone Group Platform deployments in the Americas AT&T Mobility Bell Mobility Rogers Wireless Sprint Nextel TELUS Verizon Wireless Wind Mobile Platform deployments in Asia-Pacific BSNL China Mobile NTT DoCoMo Telstra Telkomsel Platform deployments in ROW 4 Market forecasts and trends 4.1 LBS market trends 4.1.1 Emergency call mandates remain the key driver for platform deployments 4.1.2 Location-enabled lawful intercept 4.1.3 LBS service revenue forecast 4.2 Handset market trends 4.2.1 Smartphones 4.2.2 GPS attach rates driven by higher smartphone sales 4.2.3 Proliferation of GPS-enabled GSM/ WCDMA handset models 4.2.4 GPS-enabled GSM/WCDMA handset shipment forecasts by segment 4.3 Location platform deployments 4.3.1 Vendor market shares 4.3.2 GMLC and SMLC platform deployment forecasts 4.3.3 SUPL A-GPS server deployment forecast 4.3.4 Location middleware deployment forecast 5 Location platform and technology vendor profiles 5.1 Location platform and infrastructure vendors 5.1.1 Alcatel-Lucent 5.1.2 CommScope 5.1.3 Creativity Software 5.1.4 Ericsson 5.1.5 Mobile Arts 5.1.6 Nokia Siemens Networks 5.1.7 Oksijen 5.1.8 Openwave 5.1.9 Redknee 5.1.10 Septier 5.1.11 TeleCommunication Systems 5.1.12 TruePosition 5.2 Location technology developers 5.2.1 Broadcom 5.2.2 CSR 5.2.3 GBSD Technologies 5.2.4 GloPos Technologies 5.2.5 Intersec 5.2.6 Location Labs 5.2.7 Navizon 5.2.8 Polaris Wireless 5.2.9 Pole Star 5.2.10 Qualcomm 5.2.11 Rx Networks 5.2.12 Skyhook Wireless 5.3 Middleware vendors 5.3.1 CellVision 5.3.2 Genasys 5.3.3 Mobilaris 5.3.4 Reach-U 5.3.5 Telenity Glossary VAS Research Series Mobile Advertising and Marketing Mobile Advertising and Marketing is the fifth consecutive report analysing the rise of mobile advertising on the global market. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 160 pages of unique business intelligence and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Identify tomorrow’s most profitable advertising opportunities in the mobile space. Understand the fundamentals of the ad-based mobile media revenue models. Recognise the key enablers of growth in the mobile advertising market. Comprehend the relative importance of digital channels compared to other advertising media. Learn about the experiences of mobile marketing campaigns by top global brands. Profit from valuable insights about ad-funded business models for mobile operators. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s VAS Research Series What are the key business opportunities for value added services in the mobile industry? Berg Insight’s VAS Research Series is a unique series of analytical industry reports. Each title offers detailed analysis of current hot topics such as mobile apps, mobile Internet, mobile TV, mobile broadband or mobile marketing. We put mobile VAS into a greater perspective, offering a realistic approach and accurate forecasts. www.berginsight.com VAS Research Series The mobile channel is joining mainstream media There are close to 6 billion active mobile subscriptions across the globe, which can be compared with about 2 billion Internet users. This underpins the vast potential of the mobile channel for advertising and marketing, being highly important for brands seeking to engage in communication with present and potential customers. Berg Insight estimates that the total value of the global mobile marketing and advertising market was € 2.61 billion in 2010, having experienced healthy growth throughout the financial crisis and the following recuperation. Growing at a compound annual growth rate of 36.9 percent, the market is forecasted to be worth € 17.2 billion in 2016 – corresponding to 15.2 percent of the total digital advertising market. Mobile advertising is at the same time predicted to account for 3.8 percent of the total global ad spend for all media. The mobile media has several especially interesting attributes from a marketing perspective. First of all most people have a mobile handset, making reach unmatched. Mobile handsets and networks are also getting increasingly advanced, making it possible to deliver highly compelling advertising experiences, incorporating rich media, video and interactive content. Even more importantly, handsets are extremely personal devices which people tend to always have within reach and most often switched on. This enables marketing possibilities which other channels lack. Consumers can be reached at all times and in all places, which makes the channel stand out of the crowd. The personal nature of the devices makes it possible to deliver messages which are highly relevant for the recipient, taking into consideration demographics, interests, habits and other preferences. Communication having undergone such screening is bound to be much more effective in portraying a brand positively. The ROI of such initiatives can be substantially better than for intrusive campaigns where all consumers are flooded with the same non-personalised message. The mobile channel can in this way avoid the pitfall of unsolicited communication and capture an important role in the future of marketing. For several years, mobile media has been claimed to be on the verge of entering the array of main media channels for marketing. During the last years, companies have started to leave the experimental stage and deliver full-scale campaigns, gradually including mobile in the marketing media mix. Advertisers include blue chip companies as well as SMEs. Exposure through multiple channels, digital as well as traditional, has proven to generate better outcomes than when channels are used in isolation. This is especially true for the mobile media, being relatively new and therefore bound to benefit from the viral effects created by campaigns spanning several media and generating attention across the population of potential customers. Numerous actors are engaging in activities related to mobile marketing, including large players from the digital industry. Google and Apple, with the AdMob and iAd advertising platforms, hold major market shares in mobile advertising. Microsoft has struggled in the mobile space and has joined forces with Nokia in an attempt to create a third mobile ecosystem to compete with Google’s Android and Apple’s iOS. A wide variety of other companies are also involved in the value chain, including specialised mobile actors such as Millennial Media, Amobee and Smaato. Facebook is furthermore on the verge of establishing its presence in the mobile advertising space, and may very well become an important player if leveraging user data for targeted mobile campaigns. There are a number of key takeaways from the latest developments in mobile marketing. The channel is getting established as an integral part of the media mix, a progress which is eased by the booming smartphone adoption and increasing mobile media consumption. Brands do however need to refine their marketing strategies to integrate the mobile channel, in order to spend wisely and capitalise on the potential the mobile channel brings. Operators need to pay attention to the possible changes in the mobile ecosystem, where advertising can be an important future source of revenue. Within the plethora of advertising formats, applications are currently extremely popular, though also the mobile web is seeing increased uptake spurred by HTML5. While advanced formats offer impressive user experiences, the potential in more simple alternatives such as SMS and coupons is however still substantial, not the least due to an unprecedented reach. Finally, the integration of location-sensitivity in advertising efforts is increasing, an area which releases the full potential of the mobile channel. This report answers the following questions: How should mobile handsets be integrated in the marketing media mix? What changes in the mobile industry and end-user behaviour are required for mobile advertising to keep growing as a multi-billion euro market? € million 20000 How are Apple, Google, Microsoft and Yahoo! positioning themselves to become leading mobile advertising players? 15000 Who are the rising stars that stand out from the crowd among the mobile advertising and marketing companies? How well suited for advertising are different existing and future mobile media channels? 10000 What are the experiences from mobile marketing campaigns so far? What implications does mobile advertising bring for operators? 5000 Which advertising formats will become most successful in the mobile environment? 0 Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Mobile advertising revenue forecast, € million (Worldwide 2010–2016) In what ways can location technology improve the relevancy of mobile advertising? Table of Contents 1 Advertising and digital media 1.1 1.1.1 1.1.2 1.1.3 1.1.4 1.2 1.2.1 1.2.2 1.2.3 1.3 1.3.1 1.3.2 1.3.3 1.3.4 The marketing and advertising industry Global advertising expenditure Advertisement expenditure by media Top 20 global advertisers Marketing industry players The Internet media channel Internet usage trends Internet advertising expenditure Internet advertising formats The mobile media channel Europe United States Japan Emerging markets 2 Mobile advertising 2.1 The mobile handset as an advertising platform 2.1.1 Physical characteristics of the mobile handset 2.1.2 Handset software 2.1.3 Location capabilities 2.1.4 Mobile networks and data transfer capabilities 2.1.5 Mobile Internet versus PC-based Internet 2.2 Advertising on the mobile handset 2.2.1 Deploying mobile advertising 2.2.2 Targeting mobile campaigns 2.2.3 Exploiting location technology 2.2.4 Privacy concerns 2.2.5 Pricing models and cost 2.3 The mobile advertising ecosystem 2.3.1 Advertisers 2.3.2 Ad agencies and creative designers 2.3.3 Digital ad networks 2.3.4 Technical solution providers 2.3.5 Mobile operators 2.3.6 Online media publishers and mobile application providers 2.3.7 Industry associations 3 Messaging and mobile marketing 3.1 SMS and MMS marketing 3.1.1 Push messaging 3.1.2 Pull messaging and Common Short Codes 3.1.3 Location-targeted SMS campaigns 3.2 Idle screen and cell broadcast 3.3 Mobile coupons 3.4 Proximity-based marketing 3.4.1 Bluetooth 3.4.2 NFC 3.4.3 Barcodes 3.5 Case studies 3.5.1 Placecast’s ShopAlerts platform generates major ROI for Fitness First 3.5.2 McDonald’s in Japan integrates mobile coupons and contactless wallet 3.5.3 Blockbuster achieves impressive redemption rates from mobile coupons 3.5.4 Bluetooth coupons available at major hotel chains 3.5.5 Coca-Cola seeks to save the polar bears through SMS donation campaign 4 Mobile web advertisement 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3.1 4.3.2 4.4 4.4.1 4.4.2 4.5 4.6 4.6.1 4.6.2 4.6.3 4.6.4 4.6.5 Portals News and information Mobile search Market players and strategies Directory services and local search Communities and social networking Market players and strategies Social media marketing Mobile music and video Case studies Expedia creates award winning location-based mobile website using HTML5 McDonald’s engages customers in billboard games via mobile web Dictionary.com’s tiered approach optimises user experience across platforms Intel campaign shows mobile web ads outperform in-app ads Fandango delivers app-like experience to moviegoers on the mobile web 5 Ad-funded applications 5.1 Mobile applications 5.1.1 Mobile games 5.1.2 Mobile map and navigation applications 5.1.3 Mobile search applications 5.1.4 Mobile music and video applications 5.1.5 Social networking applications 5.1.6 Pure advertising apps 5.2 In-app advertising 5.2.1 Apple – iAd 5.2.2 RIM – BlackBerry Advertising Service 5.2.3 Microsoft – Windows Phone 7/Microsoft Advertising 5.2.4 Nokia – Windows Phone 7 and legacy systems 5.2.5 Android – AdMob and third party ad networks 5.3 Case studies 5.3.1 Angry Birds Magic Places and Live generates substantial attention 5.3.2 MINI’s location-based reality game attracts thousands of players 5.3.3 McDonald’s promotes breakfast items with in-app game ad in Pandora 5.3.4 Poynt’s local business search application reaches 11 million users 5.3.5 Heineken’s StarPlayer application offers dual screen football experience 6 Forecasts and conclusions 6.1 Mobile marketing industry analysis 6.1.1 Buyer-side: Adoption of mobile ads moves beyond the experimental stage 6.1.2 Supplier-side: Continued consolidation and emergence of mobile players 6.1.3 Consumer-side: Mobile Internet will eventually overtake desktop access 6.1.4 Channels and formats: Which will succeed? 6.1.5 Convergence trends 6.2 Potential market value analysis 6.2.1 Target audience and exposure 6.2.2 CPM levels 6.2.3 CTRs for mobile campaigns 6.2.4 Revenue sensitivity analysis 6.3 Market forecasts 6.4 Final conclusions 7 Company profiles and strategies 7.1 Top advertising agencies 7.2 Telecom industry players 7.2.1 Turkcell at the forefront of mobile advertising with huge opt-in database 7.2.2 Blyk’s opt-in advertising solution for operators successful in India 7.2.3 O2 Germany relaunches ad-funded Netzclub price plan with new tariffs 7.2.4 Ericsson aims to remove complexity by launching AdMarket 7.3 Digital industry players 7.3.1 Google’s US$ 2.5 billion mobile business with Mobile First and SoLoMo 7.3.2 Microsoft and Nokia team up to build a new global mobile ecosystem 7.3.3 Yahoo! provides rich content for mobile and taps into ad revenues 7.4 Mobile advertising players 7.4.1 AdMob 7.4.2 Amobee 7.4.3 Jumptap 7.4.4 Millennial Media 7.4.5 Out There Media 7.4.6 Smaato 7.4.7 Velti Glossary VAS Research Series The Mobile Application Market The Mobile Application Market is a comprehensive market report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments on the global market for mobile applications and app stores. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 110 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Identify the key players in the mobile application value chain. Benefit from extensive forecasts and statistical material. Recognise the business opportunities in the mobile application market. Predict tomorrow’s most profitable monetisation strategies. Learn about the market opportunity for mobile network operators. Evaluate the existing mobile app platforms. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s VAS Research Series What are the key business opportunities for value added services in the mobile industry? Berg Insight’s VAS Research Series is a unique series of analytical industry reports. Each title offers detailed analysis of current hot topics such as mobile messaging, mobile Internet, mobile TV, mobile broadband or mobile marketing. We put mobile VAS into a greater perspective, offering a realistic approach and accurate forecasts. www.berginsight.com VAS Research Series The smartphone trend is accelerating the mobile application market Software especially developed for mobile phones has been around for well over a decade and before the term application (app) store was popularized, distribution of mobile content and applications was often realized through portals which were managed by network operators. Operator portals had some success in selling mobile content but the ecosystem was at first unclear and did not attract enough developers and users to really take off. The Apple App Store – an on device centralized store – with easy to find applications and with a simplified business model for developers, was later the disruptive force that kick-started the market for mobile applications. The success was immediate and within its first week of operation, the App Store accounted for 10 million app downloads. Today all leading operating system providers and handset vendors have followed and launched their own application stores. The ecosystem around devices consisting of services and applications has today become an important influencing factor for users when choosing handsets. Therefore, it is important for mobile platform vendors to achieve a prosperous mobile app ecosystem that creates revenues for publishers and value for end users in order to increase customer loyalty and sell more devices. Even though the directly generated revenues in mobile app stores still are comparably small, the importance of mobile apps is self evidential when observing the consumer interest in apps as well as the fact that apps attract and generate revenues for a growing mobile community of software developers, publishers, media owners and mobile ad companies. In 2010, there were approximately 10 billion app downloads made on all mobile platforms. Consumers are getting used to expanding the functionality of their devices through apps and Berg Insight anticipates the number of app downloads to almost threefold year-on-year in 2011. Even if featurephones are able to run apps, the increased sales of smartphones and the rising popularity of apps are closely tied together. In 2015, over 70 percent of all handset shipments will be smartphones, building a large user base that will spur the number of app downloads to reach almost 100 billion during 2015. The number of app downloads per platform will gradually mimic the market share for each mobile platform. However, some of the newer platforms, such as iOS and Android, are much more app centric than older platforms such as Symbian. Also, network effects in the symbiosis between users and developers, reinforces the most popular platforms and attracts both more developers and users. Berg Insight forecasts that iOS and Android combined will serve over 62 percent of the total app downloads in 2015. The Windows Phone operating system is projected to be the third most popular application platform in 2015. Berg Insight estimates that revenues from paid applications, in-app purchases and subscription services – so called direct revenues – reached € 1.6 billion in 2010. Berg Insight forecasts direct app store revenues to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 40.7 percent to reach € 8.8 billion in 2015. Apple’s iOS is the current leader in direct monetisation of mobile applications and will keep the number one position during the forecast period. In 2010, the Apple App Store generated revenues of € 1.33 billion. In 2015 the company’s app store is predicted to generate € 4.4 billion in direct revenues. The Android platform is the second largest platform in terms of direct revenues and generated € 80 million during 2010 which will grow to almost € 1.5 billion in 2015. The market for in-app advertising took off during 2010 as a means to capitalize on free apps. In-app advertising generated € 300 million representing 16 percent of the total app revenues during the year. In 2011, app advertising revenues will more than double to reach € 750 million. The in-app advertising revenues will increase throughout the forecast period and in 2015, in-app advertising is forecasted to generate € 3.5 billion corresponding to 29 percent of the total app revenues. In-app advertising is more of a volume game and Android will surpass iOS in 2012 as the platform that generates most in-app ad revenues. Berg Insight predicts Android to generate over € 1.2 billion in in-app ad revenues in 2015, up from € 39 million in 2010. The iOS platform generated € 230 million in 2010 and is forecasted to reach almost € 1.0 billion in 2015. This report answers the following questions: Which mobile platforms offer the best potential for monetising mobile apps? How can mobile operators benefit from the mobile application market? Billion Downloads 100 80 Which will be the most important business strategies for mobile applications? 60 What are the impacts of web technologies such as HTML5 on the mobile application market? 40 Why is it important with a multi platform development strategy? 20 How big is the revenue opportunity within the mobile application market? 0 Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Mobile application downloads, billion downloads (World 2009–2015) How can app developers minimize business risks? Which are the leading mobile application stores? Table of Contents 1 Introduction to mobile applications 1.1 Background 1.1.1 App stores simplify distribution for developers 1.1.2 Explosion in the number of apps and app stores 1.1.3 Mobile Internet and the rise of the mobile app market 1.2 Mobile application platforms 1.3 Mobile application categories 1.3.1 Gaming 1.3.2 Entertainment 1.3.3 Books 1.3.4 Communication 1.3.5 Utility and productivity 1.3.6 Mobile enterprise 1.3.7 Other categories 1.4 App usage 1.5 App discovery 1.5.1 Third party app directories 1.6 App store network effects 2 The mobile application ecosystem 2.1 Mobile handset market overview 2.2 The smartphone market 2.2.1 Focus shift from devices to mobile app ecosystems 2.2.2 Touch input and advanced sensor technologies drives app innovation 2.2.3 Apps and improved hardware enables smartphones to challenge PCs 2.3 Mobile application platforms 2.3.1 Android 2.3.2 BlackBerry OS 2.3.3 iOS 2.3.4 Symbian 2.3.5 WebOS 2.3.6 Windows Phone 7 2.3.7 Brew MP 2.3.8 Samsung’s Bada platform 2.3.9 Java for Mobile Devices 2.4 Mobile network operators and the app market 2.4.1 App markets reduce operators to broadband providers 2.4.2 Operators launch their own app stores to reclaim control 2.4.3 The Wholesale Application Community 2.4.4 Operator opportunities in the mobile app market 2.5 Mobile app developers and publishers 2.5.1 Gaming is the most popular app category for developers 2.5.2 iOS and Android are the most popular platforms for developers 2.6 In-app ad solution providers and ad networks 2.6.1 Digital ad networks and in-app ad solutions 2.6.2 Apple – iAd 2.6.3 RIM – BlackBerry Advertising Service 2.6.4 Microsoft – Windows Phone 7/Microsoft Advertising 2.6.5 Nokia – Ovi Store in-app advertising add-on 2.6.6 Google – Admob 3 Mobile application stores OS developer application stores Android Market Windows Phone Marketplace Device vendor application stores Apple App Store BlackBerry App World HP App Catalog Nokia Ovi Store Samsung Apps LG World Operator application stores AT&T AppCenter Bharti Airtel App Central China Mobile Mmarket Orange App Shop Verizon V CAST Apps Vodafone 360 Shop Third party application stores GetJar Amazon Appstore for Android Appitalism White label application stores Appia Huawei’s WAC enabled Digital Shopping Mall Solution 3.5.3 Ericsson eStore 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.2 3.2.1 3.2.2 3.2.3 3.2.4 3.2.5 3.2.6 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3 3.3.4 3.3.5 3.3.6 3.4 3.4.1 3.4.2 3.4.3 3.5 3.5.1 3.5.2 4 Mobile app store economics 4.1 Application store revenues 4.1.1 Revenue share models 4.1.2 Mobile app marketing 4.2 App store billing solutions 4.3 Mobile app pricing 4.4 Mobile application monetisation strategies and business models 4.4.1 Paid apps 4.4.2 Freemium – one free limited version combined with one premium version 4.4.3 In-app payments 4.4.4 Subscriptions 4.4.5 Ad-funded 4.4.6 Marketing and brand apps 4.4.7 New channel to market 4.4.8 Bundle component 4.4.9 Attract a large user base and building communities 4.4.10 Free apps 4.4.11 Mobile app business model trends 4.4.12 Choosing monetisation strategy 4.4.13 Cross platform development and multi monetisation strategies reduce risks 5 Market forecasts and conclusions 5.1 Market forecasts by mobile platform 5.1.1 Application download forecast by mobile operating system 5.1.2 Direct revenues forecast by mobile operating system 5.1.3 In-app advertising revenues forecast by mobile operating system 5.2 Market forecasts by region 5.2.1 Application download forecast by region 5.2.2 Direct revenues forecast by region 5.2.3 In-app advertising revenues forecast by region 5.3 Conclusions and strategic advice 5.3.1 App stores is about successful ecosystems 5.3.2 E-commerce, content and subscriptions – opportunities with impediments 5.3.3 Business models and monetisation 5.3.4 Mobile platforms and cross platform development 5.3.5 The mobile web, HTML5 web apps and native apps 6 Industry players 6.1 6.1.1 6.1.2 6.1.3 6.1.4 6.2 6.2.1 6.2.2 6.3 6.3.1 6.3.2 6.3.3 6.3.4 6.4 6.4.1 6.4.2 6.4.3 6.5 6.5.1 6.5.2 6.5.3 Device vendors Apple Nokia Research In Motion Samsung Electronics Mobile operating system vendors Google Microsoft Mobile operators AT&T Verizon Wireless Vodafone China Mobile Developers and publishers Electronic Arts - EA Mobile and Chillingo Gameloft Rovio Third party in-app advertising solution providers Smaato Amobee Tapjoy Glossary VAS Research Series Mobile Money in Emerging Markets Mobile Money in Emerging Markets is a comprehensive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest developments on the mobile money and remittances markets. This strategic research report from Berg Insight provides you with 130+ pages of unique business intelligence and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Profit from 30 new executive interviews with market leading companies. Learn from valuable insights about successful mobile money deployments. Identify the leading mobile money platform providers in emerging markets. Understand the ecosystem required for providing financial transaction services in the mobile environment. Realize how mobile phones are being used for subscriberto-subscriber financial transactions within and between countries. Predict the number of users and transaction volumes for mobile money services until 2015. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s VAS Research Series What are the key business opportunities for value added services in the mobile industry? Berg Insight’s VAS Research Series is a unique series of analytical industry reports. Each title offers detailed analysis of current hot topics such as mobile messaging, mobile Internet, mobile TV, mobile broadband or mobile marketing. We put mobile VAS into a greater perspective, offering a realistic approach and accurate forecasts. www.berginsight.com VAS Research Series Active users of mobile money services to double in the next 2 years to US$ 215 billion in 2015. Asia-Pacific is expected to become the most important regional market, accounting for more than half of the total user base. Mobile financial services are causing a significant transformation in the financial services, payments and international remittance industries. The mobile phone is changing how customers conduct their financial activities, leading to an extended reach and increased operational efficiency among financial service providers in emerging markets. In the longer term mobile money services are facilitating the increasing share of digital transactions in emerging markets, where cash transactions still dominate. A growing share of international remittances is being electronically disbursed into mobile money accounts. Mobile phones are also being increasingly used to send remittances. The global remittance market has grown rapidly over the past decade. In 2010 remittances through formal channels amounted to US$ 440 billion, of which, developing countries received an estimated US$ 325 billion. The vast majority of these transactions are still cashto-cash transactions, but the share of digital transactions is steadily increasing. Driven by the development of mobile money systems in emerging markets, Berg Insight estimates that US$16 billion worth of international money transfers will be received with mobile phones in 2015. Similarly, US$ 5.5 billion worth of international remittances will be sent using mobile phones in 2015. Berg Insight defines a mobile money subscriber as a person or business who has registered for a mobile money account. Mobile money accounts comprise accounts from which transactions such as person to person transfers or bill payments can be made using a mobile phone. Berg Insight’s definition of a mobile money account does not encompass services limited to information services and simple transactions such as airtime top-ups and transfers between own accounts. It does not include services that use mobile operator billing as a payment source. Mobile money services are increasing the availability and access to financial services for lower-income segments of the population, which previously has not been possible to serve profitably. The mobile phone will be the first digital banking channel for a majority of the unbanked populations in many emerging economies. The number of live mobile money deployments has grown at an explosive rate over the past two years. Berg Insight’s in-depth study of the industry indicates that there are currently around 300 mobile money deployments live in emerging markets. Over half of these have been launched by mobile operators and third party service providers. The remaining deployments have been launched by financial institutions. The number of mobile money subscribers in emerging markets is forecasted to grow from 133 million users in 2010 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 40 percent to reach 709 million users in 2015. The total value of mobile money transactions will simultaneously grow at a CAGR of 54 percent from US$ 25 billion in 2010 Many new companies have entered the mobile money industry as technology vendors in the past year, including the likes of Ericsson, SAP and Gemalto. The competitive landscape is intense with around 70 vendors competing in the industry, of which many need to reach a critical mass of deployments over the next two years in order to stay in business in the longer term. Yet, the level of consolidation among technology vendors serving MNOs and third party service providers is high, with around 75 percent of mobile money deployments running on the platforms of five leading vendors. In contrast, the landscape among vendors providing financial institutions is highly fragmented with no clear leaders. This report answers the following questions: How can mobile technology be applied to extend the reach of today’s online banks? What is the true potential for providing mobile financial services to the unbanked population? What are the key challenges, critical success factors and best practices for operating mobile money services? Million users 800 Who are the most important players to watch in the mobile banking and payments industry? 700 600 Who are the leading mobile money platform providers in emerging markets? 500 What are the business opportunities for mobile operators in international money transfer? 400 300 What are the strategies of the leading providers of international airtime transfers? 200 100 0 International airtime transfer is a rapidly growing niche within the overall international value transfer market. It is a low margin high volume business, with a small number of leading service providers in the field. There are a large number of smaller vendors who have joined the airtime transfer market more recently. Berg Insight estimates that the total value of international airtime transfer will grow from US$ 130 million in 2010 at a CAGR of 67 percent to reach US$ 1.67 billion in 2015. Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Active users of mobile money services (Emerging markets 2010–2015) How are financial institutions responding to the entry of mobile network operators in the financial services industry? Table of Contents 1 Mobile money in emerging markets 1.1 Introduction 1.1.1 The mobile as an enabler of branchless banking and electronic payments 1.1.2 Overview of mobile money service providers 1.1.3 Developments in the mobile money field 1.2 Overview of mobile money services 1.3 Evolving to a mature system 1.4 Mobile money fundamentals and success factors 1.4.1 Network effects in mobile money systems 1.4.2 Internal priority 1.4.3 Reaching the target customer groups 1.4.4 Building, incentivising and managing agent networks 1.5 Case studies 1.5.1 Mobile money in South Africa 1.5.2 The evolving mobile money ecosystem in Kenya 2 The mobile financial services industry 2.1 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 Technology vendors The changing competitive landscape General development trends Mobile money service providers Mobile network operators Financial institutions Third party service providers 3 International mobile remittances 3.1 Global money transfer flows 3.2 Cost of remitting money 3.3 Success factors for remittance services 3.4 The consumer-to-consumer remittance market 3.5 Remittance methods 3.5.1 Structure of a remittance operation 3.5.2 Agent networks 3.5.3 Informal value transfer systems 3.5.4 Regulations 3.5.5 Funds capture interfaces and payment instruments 3.5.6 Funds disbursement 3.6 Mobile remittance players 3.6.1 Money transfer offices 3.6.2 Mobile network operators 3.6.3 Platform providers and third parties 3.6.4 Financial institutions and payment processing networks 3.6.5 International airtime transfer companies 3.7 Case studies 3.7.1 Western Union is putting its bets on mobile money transfers 3.7.2 MoneyGram offers international mobile money transfers 3.7.3 MasterCard’s MoneySend service goes mobile 3.7.4 Remittances to M-PESA wallets in Kenya 4 Forecasts and conclusions 4.1 Mobile money in emerging markets 4.1.1 Deployments launched by service provider 4.1.2 Deployments launched by region 4.2 Mobile money forecasts and analysis by region 4.2.1 Africa 4.2.2 Asia 4.2.3 Latin America 4.2.4 Eastern Europe and Western Asia 4.3 Mobile money technology vendors 4.3.1 The changing competitive landscape 4.3.2 Technology platform development trends 4.4 Mobile money service providers 4.4.1 Current focus and execution of services 4.4.2 Service provider development trends 4.5 Mobile remittances 4.5.1 Sending and receiving remittances with a mobile phone 4.5.2 Forecasts and analysis 4.5.3 Mobile remittance development trends 4.6 International airtime transfer 4.6.1 Service provider market shares 4.6.2 Forecasts and analysis 5 Company profiles 5.1 5.1.1 5.1.2 5.1.3 5.1.4 5.1.5 5.1.6 5.1.7 5.1.8 5.1.9 5.1.10 5.1.11 5.1.12 5.1.13 5.1.14 5.2 5.2.1 5.2.2 5.2.3 5.2.4 5.2.5 5.2.6 5.2.7 5.2.8 Mobile money platform providers Comviva Fundamo Gemalto Halcom MasterCard M-Com (Fiserv) Monitise MoreMagic ProgressSoft S1 Sybase 365 (SAP) Utiba YellowPepper ZTE Mobile value transfer providers eServGlobal and BICS Ericsson Ezetop Luup MoneyGram TransferTo Visa Western Union Glossary NGT Research Series Small Cells and Wi-Fi Offloading Small Cells and Wi-Fi Offloading is a comprehensive report from Berg Insight analysing the emerging global market for small cell base stations and Wi-Fi offloading solutions. This strategic research report in the NGT Research Series from Berg Insight provides you with 140 pages of unique business intelligence, including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Understand the opportunities and challenges for small cell base stations. Comprehend how femtocell technologies affect mobile networks. Identify key players on the global small cell market. Predict future business models for femtocell services. Anticipate the timing of mass-deployments of small cell devices and services. Realize the importance of integrated Wi-Fi offloading solutions. Profit from valuable insights from the most successful offerings on the market. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s NGT Research Series How will the mobile market evolve in the future? Berg Insight’s Next Generation Technologies Research Series examines the latest advances in mobile technology and the new business opportunities they create. Each title analyses development roadmaps, potential applications and addressable market segments for a technology. Topics currently covered by the series include smartphones, small cells, mobile broadband and short-range handset connectivity. www.berginsight.com NGT Research Series Will small cell solutions solve operators’ future coverage and capacity challenges? Mobile operators are experiencing fast growth in mobile data and signalling traffic as customers increasingly use mobile computing devices. Adoption of smartphones is rising and more subscribers use multiple connected devices such as PCs and tablets. Total mobile data traffic in cellular networks have more than doubled every year since 2007 and is forecasted to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of more than 60 percent from 2011 until 2016. Subscribers are also becoming more reliant on mobile phones as their primary or only device for voice communication and therefore expect ubiquitous network coverage. In order to meet the rising demand, operators need to use a combination of approaches. These include improving the mobile macro layer by using more spectrum and increasingly advanced radio air interfaces with higher spectral efficiency, making the macro layer denser by installing more base stations in traffic hotspots, as well as introducing heterogeneous networks (HetNets). HetNets are composed of multiple radio access technologies, architectures, backhaul solutions and base stations of varying transmission power. Examples of low power nodes include Remote Radio Units (RRU) and Distributed Antenna Systems (DAS), as well as small autonomous base stations including microcells, picocells and femtocells. Making use of Wi-Fi access points in unlicensed spectrum is also an increasingly attractive solution as new standardisation and interoperability efforts aim to make the network selection and user identification process seamless. HetNets will become increasingly important in the future as spectrum is a scarce resource and densification of the macro network gets more costly as site acquisition in metropolitan areas becomes more difficult. Several operators have already deployed microcells, picocells, femtocells and integrated carrier Wi-Fi network solutions. The first commercial integrated HetNets will be deployed starting in 2013. A microcell is a small cellular base station that covers a limited area such as a shopping mall or a train station. Microcells are often deployed to add network coverage and capacity in areas with dense phone usage, or temporarily during various events when the need for capacity is known in advance. Output power is usually a few watts and the radius of the coverage area ranges between 100 metres and 300 metres. 10 Europe 6 Which companies are active in the small cell market? 6 Which operators have introduced Wi-Fi offloading solutions? 4 How will small cell base station and Wi-Fi technologies evolve in the future? 2 3 0 0 2010 This report answers the following questions: What are the femtocell strategies of the leading mobile operators? North America 8 9 Berg Insight estimates that mobile operators globally had deployed 2.2 million small cell cellular base stations at the end of 2011, including more than 2 million femtocells. Mobile operators in North America, Japan and South Korea are now stepping up deployments of small cell cellular base stations to increase mobile network data capacity. Operators in other countries will gradually follow as data demand increases in hotspot areas. Berg Insight forecasts that the installed base of small cell cellular base stations will increase to 14 million units in 2016, driven by femtocells that will reach 10 million units in the same year. How will femtocell services evolve in the future? 12 12 Femtocells are low power cellular access points with about 20–100 mW output power, intended to extend coverage and offload the macro network in home and small office environments, supporting four to eight simultaneous users. Femtocells have been developed to work with a range of different cellular standards including CDMA, GSM, HSPA and LTE. Femtocells are self-installing plug-and-play devices deployed by users, similar to Wi-Fi access points. Femtocells use IP broadband connections for backhaul of voice and data. However, in contrast to Wi-Fi access points, femtocells are mobile infrastructure components that operate in licensed spectrum. Mobile operators usually install femtocell gateways that act as concentrators for integrating a large number of femtocells with the core network. About 40 mobile operators in 24 countries now offer femtocells to consumer and enterprise customers. However, the deployments have mainly been driven by large operator groups while smaller operators have struggled to justify the high costs of building and integrating a femtocell core network. What is the current status of the femtocell market? € billion Million units 15 Similar to microcells, picocells add coverage and capacity to limited geographical areas such as offices or public venues. These cells are often found inside buildings where coverage is poor or where there is a dense population of users. There is no clear distinction between microcells and picocells, though picocells are usually smaller, have lower output power and may support fewer simultaneous users. Picocells and microcells are deployed by the operator and are part of the RAN. Year 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 Year 2016 Installed base of small cell base stations, million units (World 2010–2016) How will North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific compare in terms of small cell deployments? Table of Contents 1 Introduction to small cells and Wi-Fi offloading 1.1Introduction 1.1.1 Continued growth in mobile subscriptions and handset sales 1.1.2 Broadband services drive fixed-line connection growth 1.1.3 Fixed-mobile convergence and fixedmobile substitution market trends 1.1.4 Global mobile data traffic grows along with increasing smartphone adoption 1.2 Communication network technology evolution 1.2.1 Wireless technologies 1.2.2 Fixed-line broadband technologies 1.3 Mobile network capacity improvement strategies 1.3.1 Macro layer improvements 1.3.2 Macro layer densification 1.3.3 Heterogeneous networks (HetNets) 1.3.4 Femtocells 1.3.5 Wi-Fi network integration and mobile data offloading 2 Small cell and Wi-Fi technology 2.1 Mobile network standards and architectures 2.1.1 GSM/GPRS/EDGE networks 2.1.2 UMTS/HSPA networks 2.1.3 LTE networks 2.1.4 Heterogeneous networks 2.1.5 Microcells 2.1.6 Picocells 2.1.7 Femtocells 2.2 Femtocell architectures in 3GPP and 3GPP2 networks 2.2.1 3GPP UMTS femtocell specifications and interfaces 2.2.2 IMS based femtocell architecture 2.2.3 3GPP LTE femtocell architectures 2.3 Wi-Fi and cellular network integration 2.3.1 UMA/GAN 2.3.2 3GPP Wireless LAN Interworking (I-WLAN) 2.3.3 Hotspot 2.0 and Next Generation Hotspot 3 Small cell deployments 3.1 Small cells and femtocells from an operator perspective 3.1.1 The femtocell business case for mobile operators 3.1.2 Operator strategies 3.2 Small cell trials and commercial offerings 3.2.1 AT&T 3.2.2 China Unicom 3.2.3 Cosmote 3.2.4 Everything Everywhere 3.2.5 Hutchison 3G 3.2.6 KDDI au 3.2.7 MegaFon 3.2.8 3.2.9 3.2.10 3.2.11 3.2.12 3.2.13 3.2.14 3.2.15 3.2.16 3.2.17 3.2.18 3.2.19 3.2.20 3.2.21 3.2.22 Mobile TeleSystems Network Norway NTT DoCoMo Optimus Orange Group SFR SingTel Group SK Telecom SoftBank Sprint Nextel StarHub Telefónica Telenor Verizon Wireless Vodafone 4 Wi-Fi network deployments 4.1 Wi-Fi network operators, aggregators and brokers 4.1.1 Boingo Wireless 4.1.2 The Cloud 4.1.3 Comfone 4.1.4 Fon 4.1.5 iPass 4.1.6 Trustive 4.2 Carrier Wi-Fi network deployments and services 4.2.1 AT&T 4.2.2 China Mobile 4.2.3 Deutsche Telekom 4.2.4 Eircom 4.2.5 Free Mobile 4.2.6 KDDI au 4.2.7 KPN 4.2.8 KT Corporation 4.2.9 Swisscom 4.2.10 Telefónica O2 UK 4.2.11 TeliaSonera 5 Vendor profiles and strategies 5.1 The small cell value chain 5.2 End-to-end small cell system vendors and integrators 5.2.1 Alcatel-Lucent 5.2.2 Cisco Systems 5.2.3 Contela 5.2.4 Ericsson 5.2.5 Fujitsu 5.2.6 Hitachi 5.2.7 Huawei 5.2.8 NEC 5.2.9 Nokia Siemens Networks 5.2.10 Samsung Electronics 5.3 Small cell and residential gateway vendors 5.3.1 Airspan 5.3.2 Airvana 5.3.3 HSL 5.3.4 Ip.access 5.3.5 Minieum Networks 5.3.6 SpiderCloud Wireless 5.3.7 TEKTELIC Communications 5.3.8 UbeeAirWalk 5.3.9 Ubiquisys 5.3.10 ADB Group 5.3.11 Alpha Networks 5.3.12 Gemtek 5.3.13 Netgear 5.3.14 Sagemcom 5.3.15 SerComm 5.3.16 Tecom 5.4 Small cell chipset vendors 5.4.1 Broadcom 5.4.2 Freescale Semiconductor 5.4.3 Mindspeed Technologies 5.4.4 Qualcomm 5.4.5 Texas Instruments 5.5 Small cell software and network gateway vendors 5.5.1 Acme Packet 5.5.2 Aricent Group 5.5.3 mimoOn 5.5.4 Node-H 5.5.5 Genband 5.5.6 Radisys 5.5.7 Taqua 5.6 Wi-Fi data offloading solution vendors 5.6.1 Aptilo Networks 5.6.2 Birdstep 5.6.3 Greenpacket 5.6.4 Kineto Wireless 5.6.5 Notava 5.6.6 Smith Micro Software 5.6.7 Stoke 5.6.8 Syniverse 5.6.9 WeFi 5.7 Wi-Fi equipment vendors 5.7.1 Alvarion 5.7.2 Edgewater Wireless 5.7.3 GoNet Systems 5.7.4 Ruckus Wireless 5.7.5 Strix Systems 5.7.6 Ubiquiti Networks 5.7.7 Vivato Technologies 6 Market trends and forecasts 6.1 Small cell market trends 6.1.1 Moving from femtocell trials to small cell deployments 6.1.2 HetNet and small cell adoption may lead to industry transformation 6.1.3 Wi-Fi offloading is gaining acceptance among mobile operators 6.2 Small cell market forecasts 6.2.1 Small cell deployments in Asia Pacific 6.2.2 Small cell deployments in Europe 6.2.3 Small cell deployments in North America 6.2.4 Small cell shipments worldwide Glossary NGT Research Series Handset Connectivity Technologies Handset Connectivity Technologies is the third consecutive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest trends on the worldwide market for GNSS, Bluetooth, WLAN and NFC technologies in mobile handsets. This report in the NGT Research Series from Berg Insight provides you with 140 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Profit from numerous executive interviews with market leading companies. Learn about the strategies of the leading chipset and handset vendors. Identify the opportunities and challenges with integration of multiple connectivity technologies in mobile handsets. Realise the importance of Assisted-GNSS and hybrid location technologies. Comprehend how NFC technology in handsets can enable new services. Understand the drivers and barriers for industry-wide adoption of new technology. Predict future connectivity design trends and technology developments. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s NGT Research Series How will the mobile market evolve in the future? Berg Insight’s Next Generation Technologies Research Series examines the latest advances in mobile technology and the new business opportunities they create. Each title analyses development roadmaps, potential applications and addressable market segments for a technology. Topics currently covered by the series include smartphones, femtocells, mobile broadband and short-range handset connectivity. www.berginsight.com NGT Research Series Popularity of smartphones boosts connectivity technology attach rates Global handset shipments grew 15 percent in 2011 to about 1.5 billion units, although the growth rate slowed down in Q4-2011 in the wake of the deteriorating macroeconomic conditions, especially in Europe. Global sales of featurephones were nearly flat, while smartphone shipments grew almost 60 percent to 470 million units in 2011. Penetration of smartphones is growing worldwide as handset vendors adopt smartphone operating systems in order to reduce development time and cost for new advanced handset models. Mobile operators have put their hopes on smartphones as drivers of data revenues and are willing to subsidise smartphones that drive adoption of postpaid subscriptions and data plans. Mobile subscribers also put more emphasis on the user experience and support of native apps and web services. There were 4.7 billion mobile phones in use at the end of 2011, including 750 million smartphones. About 4.1 billion people, or nearly 60 percent of the world’s population, owned a mobile phone. The popularity of smartphones is driving attach rates of wireless connectivity technologies including Bluetooth, WLAN, NFC and GPS that enable new use cases for handsets. Bluetooth can be used to connect headsets, fitness and medical sensors or perform file transfers. WLAN can be used for Internet access, VoIP services or fast file and media transfer. Near Field Communication (NFC) is a standard for short-range wireless, point-to-point communication. NFC operates in the unlicensed 13.56 MHz band over distances of about 10 centimetres. When deployed in mobile phones, NFC can be used for countless applications, ranging from information exchange and device pairing, to electronic ticketing and secure contactless payments. The most important driver for GPS integration in handsets today is arguably the interest in locationbased services (LBS), although emergency call location regulations are being introduced in more countries. In contrast to emergency call services relying on occasional push to fix positioning, consumer-oriented LBS pose new challenges. These services range from advanced turn-by-turn navigation services to local search, people tracking, friendfinders and social networking. Handsets thus need to support services that require both infrequent, fast push to fix updates in addition to continuous position updates – all whilst conserving battery life. The revised emergency call mandates in the US may well require approaches such as using improved hybrid location technologies in all handsets. GPS technology for handsets has matured, offering much better performance in terms of sensitivity, power consumption, size and price than % 100 € billion 10 Europe 8 Bluetooth 40 4 GPS WLAN 2 0 When will NFC become a widespread handset connectivity technology? What is the roadmap for integration of WLAN in massmarket mobile phones? What is driving the adoption of GPS technology in GSM/ WCDMA handsets? Who are the leading developers of cellular and connectivity chipsets? 6 0 This report answers the following questions: Which features are supported in the latest Bluetooth standard? North America 60 20 Bluetooth is now a standard feature on most featurephone models and virtually all smartphones. In 2011, shipments of Bluetooth-enabled handsets reached 1.1 billion units and the Bluetooth attach rate grew to more than 73 percent across all handset segments. The attach rate for WLAN connectivity in the smartphone segment has grown from less than 6 percent in 2006 to about 95 percent in 2011. However, the attach rate for WLAN is still less than 5 percent in the featurephone segment. The attach rate for GPS in handsets across all air interface standards grew from 33 percent in 2010 to 38 percent in 2011. GPS connectivity has become a standard feature on most smartphone models except a few low cost GSM/WCDMA models. The GPS attach rate in the GSM/ WCDMA smartphone segment increased from 90 percent in 2010 to about 95 percent in 2011. NFC may finally have reached a breakthrough as more than 40 NFC-enabled handset models were released by the end of 2011. At the beginning of March 2012, more than 100 models had been announced by nearly all leading vendors. Berg Insight estimates that sales of NFC-handsets reached about 30 million units in 2011, up from roughly 3 million in 2010. What are the benefits with Assisted-GPS, A-GNSS and hybrid location technologies? 12 80 was possible a few years ago. Support for other satellite systems such as GLONASS, Galileo and Compass will also be added over time. The first handsets with GPS/GLONASS receivers are already available. Using multiple satellite systems concurrently ensures additional visible satellites and incrementally better performance in urban canyons. However, in order to improve indoor performance, hybrid positioning systems are needed. Hybrid positioning systems can fuse data from sensors to provide input to position calculations. Examples include inertial sensors such as accelerometers and gyroscopes, as well as compasses and pressure sensors. In the near future, the main barrier is the low data accuracy and high drift obtained from low cost sensors, making dead reckoning for extended periods of time unfeasible. Periodic calibrations using signal measurements from cellular and WLAN networks can improve the system performance. NFC 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 20132014 2015 2014 2016 2015 Year 2016 Projected attach rate for handset connectivity technologies (World 2010 - 2016) Year Which connectivity technologies are being adopted by leading handset manufacturers? What impact will new technologies have on the wireless chipset value chain? How is the greater diversity of radios affecting wireless chipset and handset design? Table of Contents 1 Mobile handsets and smartphones 1.1Introduction 1.2 Wireless communication technologies 1.2.1 Cellular communication technologies 1.2.2 Personal and local area networks 1.2.3 Spectrum and interference 1.3 Broadcast connectivity technologies 1.3.1 Radio 1.3.2 Mobile TV 1.3.3 Global navigation satellite systems 1.4 Connectivity technology integration in handsets 1.4.1 Handset hardware and software platforms 1.4.2 Horizontal and vertical integration of connectivity technologies 1.5 Overview of handset segments 1.5.1 The smartphone category is expanding across multiple price-tiers 1.5.2 Best selling smartphones in 2011 1.5.3 Handset form factors and input mechanisms 1.5.4 Evolution of smartphone user interfaces 1.6 Handset connectivity trends 1.6.1 Wireless connectivity attach rates driven by higher smartphone sales 1.6.2 Proliferation of GPS-enabled GSM/ WCDMA handset models 1.6.3 NFC is gradually gaining momentum 2 Handset platform vendors 2.1 The handset chipset industry 2.1.1 Industry consolidation will continue 2.1.2 Handset baseband vendors 2.1.3 Connectivity chipset vendors 2.1.4 Sensor IC vendors 2.2 Cellular platform vendor profiles 2.2.1 Broadcom 2.2.2 Intel 2.2.3 Marvell 2.2.4 MediaTek 2.2.5 MStar Semiconductor 2.2.6 NVIDIA 2.2.7 Qualcomm 2.2.8 Renesas Mobile Corporation 2.2.9 Spreadtrum Communications 2.2.10 ST-Ericsson 3 GNSS technologies 3.1 Overview of global navigation satellite systems 3.1.1 Global Positioning System (GPS) 3.1.2 Galileo 3.1.3 GLONASS 3.1.4 Compass/Beidou 2 3.2 Mobile location technologies and platforms 3.2.1 Mobile location platforms 3.2.2 Control plane and user plane location platforms 3.2.3 A-GPS and A-GNSS 3.2.4 Hybrid and mixed mode technologies 3.3 GPS and GNSS chipsets for handsets 3.3.1 Standalone receivers 3.3.2 Host-based receivers 3.3.3 Integrated receiver architectures 3.3.4 Software-based receivers 3.3.5 GNSS receivers for handsets 3.4 GNSS chipset and software vendors 3.4.1 GPS IC vendor market shares 3.4.2 CellGuide 3.4.3 SkyTraq 3.4.4 u-blox 4 Bluetooth, WLAN and NFC technologies Bluetooth technologies Bluetooth specifications Bluetooth applications and profiles Wireless LAN technologies IEEE 802.11 WLAN standards WLAN in mobile phones WLAN handset shipments trends WLAN chipset vendor market shares Near Field Communication technologies 4.3.1 NFC Forum specifications 4.3.2 NFC modes 4.3.3 NFC solution architectures and chipsets 4.3.4 NFC mobile payment trials and initiatives 4.3.5 Overview of NFC-enabled handsets 4.4 Connectivity chipset vendor profiles 4.4.1 CSR 4.4.2 Inside Secure 4.4.3 Nanoradio 4.4.4 NXP Semiconductors 4.4.5 Redpine Signals 4.4.6 Sony Corporation 4.4.7 STMicroelectronics 4.4.8 Texas Instruments 4.1 4.1.1 4.1.2 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.2 4.2.3 4.2.4 4.3 5 Handset vendor profiles 5.1 Handset market developments 5.1.1 Smartphone ecosystem developments 5.1.2 Handset vendor market shares 5.2Apple 5.2.1 Device portfolio 5.2.2 Handset shipments 5.3HTC 5.3.1 Device portfolio 5.3.2 Handset shipments 5.4Huawei 5.4.1 Device portfolio 5.4.2 Handset shipments 5.5 LG Electronics 5.5.1 Device portfolio 5.5.2 Handset shipments 5.6 Motorola Mobility 5.6.1 Device portfolio 5.6.2 Handset shipments 5.7Nokia 5.7.1 Device portfolio 5.7.2 Handset shipments 5.8RIM 5.8.1 Device portfolio 5.8.2 Handset shipments 5.9Samsung 5.9.1 Device portfolio 5.9.2 Handset shipments 5.10 Sony Mobile Communications 5.10.1 Device portfolio 5.10.2 Handset shipments 5.11ZTE 5.11.1 Device portfolio 5.11.2 Handset shipments 5.12 Second tier handset vendors 5.12.1 Acer 5.12.2 Dell 5.12.3 Fujitsu Toshiba Mobile Communications 5.12.4 Kyocera Sanyo Telecom 5.12.5 Lenovo Mobile Communications 5.12.6 Micromax Informatics 5.12.7 NEC Casio Mobile Communications 5.12.8 Panasonic Mobile Communications 5.12.9 Pantech 5.12.10 Sharp 5.12.11 TCL Communication 6 Market trends and forecasts 6.1 Market trends 6.1.1 Rising adoption of smartphones continues to reshape the mobile industry 6.1.2 Changing demands drives consolidation in the wireless chipset industry 6.1.3 Cost requirements favour development of integrated chipsets 6.1.4 Hybrid location technologies drive performance improvements in handsets 6.2 Handset shipment forecasts 6.2.1 Handset shipment forecasts by region and primary access technology 6.2.2 Handset shipment forecasts by category and price segment 6.2.3 GNSS-enabled GSM/WCDMA/LTE handset shipment forecasts by segment 6.2.4 GNSS handset shipment forecasts by geographical region 6.2.5 WLAN-enabled handset shipment forecasts 6.2.6 NFC-enabled handset shipment forecasts 6.3 Connectivity chipset shipments and revenue forecasts 6.3.1 GNSS receiver chipset revenue forecasts 6.3.2 Bluetooth, WLAN and NFC chipset revenue forecasts Glossary NGT Research Series The Mobile Broadband Connectivity Market The Mobile Broadband Connectivity Market is the sixth consecutive yearly report from Berg Insight analysing the rise of mobile broadband for connected PCs and tablets in Europe and North America. This 170 page strategic research report provides you with unique business intelligence and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Understand the dynamics of the European and North American mobile broadband connectivity market. Gain access to all the latest data and statistics about this market. Learn about the mobile broadband strategies of leading telecom operator groups. Identify the key success factors for launching HSPA/LTE broadband on the consumer market. Evaluate the impact of HSPA+ and LTE technology in the mobile broadband market. Anticipate the timing for mass-market availability of embedded HSPA/LTE modems in notebook PCs. Profit from valuable insights about the most successful business and technology propositions on the market. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s NGT Research Series How will the mobile market evolve in the future? Berg Insight’s Next Generation Technologies Research Series examines the latest advances in mobile technology and the new business opportunities they create. Each title analyses development roadmaps, potential applications and addressable market segments for a technology. Topics currently covered by the series include smartphones, femtocells, mobile broadband and short-range handset connectivity. www.berginsight.com NGT Research Series One in five broadband connections in Europe is now mobile and growth in North America is set to accelerate Mobile broadband based on HSPA/LTE and other mobile communication standards has taken off as an important technology for connecting mobile PCs and tablets to the Internet. The evolution is led by Europe where HSPA now accounts for 20.6 percent of the total number of broadband connections, compared to 13.2 percent in North America. The concept that was first launched as an exclusive business service is now a mass-market consumer product sold on an intensively competitive market. Consumers are utilizing their mobile broadband connections extensively, pushing the networks to their capacity limits. In Europe the majority of data traffic on mobile networks is generated by notebook PC users that surf the Internet. Fair use policies must be implemented to ensure network availability and pricing must be predictable. International roaming is still largely hindered by prohibitive pricing, making services utterly unattractive to use abroad. Mobile broadband terminals are available in different forms and shapes. Four main types have emerged to satisfy different needs – PC-cards, USB modems, embedded modules and gateways. Berg Insight estimates the total global number of shipped external mobile broadband devices in 2010 to 92.7 million, with Europe and North America accounting for 27.4 million units and 8.5 million units respectively. In addition, shipments of embedded modules reached an estimated 9.5 million units. Expectations on embedded solutions for mobile PCs have been high during the past years, but the attach rate is still relatively low at 4.7 percent in 2010. The European market for external mobile broadband modems grew by 13 percent in 2010. Growth is forecasted to continue with shipments reaching 60 million units in 2016, fuelled by strong demand for mobility in notebook PCs. Also the North American device market will experience a rapid growth to reach 25 million shipments in 2016. The device ASP in Europe has fallen steeply over the past years and reached € 31 in 2010. The North American device market is characterized by a larger mix of mid-range and high-end products, whereby the ASP remained as high as US$ 87 in 2010. Berg Insight predicts that the ASP decline rate will slow down significantly in Europe during the next few years, whereas in North America the ASP will even increase in 2011. This is primarily due to a growing share of HSPA+ and LTE modems and mobile hotspots in the product mix. The EU 23+2 external device market generated an estimated € 856 million in 2010 while the North American market generated estimated revenues of € 522 million. € billion Europe North America Huawei has established itself as the world’s largest supplier of mobile broadband terminals holding a market share of 49 percent and has a particularly strong foothold in Europe. ZTE is the second largest vendor with clear margins capturing a market share of 31 percent. In North America, the local vendors Sierra Wireless and Novatel Wireless still hold strong positions. A vast majority of the external modems shipped are USB modems, but mobile hotspots are gaining in popularity. Two of the largest telecom vendors – Ericsson and Qualcomm – entered the market for embedded solutions in 2008 and have managed to sign contracts with many of the major notebook vendors. The two companies captured a market share of 83 percent together on this market in 2010. This report answers the following questions: What are the key drivers behind the adoption of mobile broadband connectivity? Which markets have the highest penetration rates and which are lagging behind? Who are the leading global providers of mobile broadband terminal devices? When will embedded mobile broadband connectivity become a standard feature in mass-market notebook PCs? 8 What are the critical success factors needed to gain massmarket traction for mobile broadband connectivity? 6 4 How are the operators developing their segmentation and pricing strategies? 2 0 Berg Insight estimates that the number of mobile broadband subscribers in North America reached 14.6 million by the end of 2010. The subscriber base is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 25.8 percent to reach 58 million subscribers in 2016. The estimated service revenues were about US$ 8.3 billion in 2010 and are expected to grow at a CAGR rate of 12.4 percent to reach US$ 16.6 billion by 2016. The growth in North America is currently accelerating primarily due to the increasing uptake of tablet data plans and the introduction of LTE. What will be the future role of wireless chipset suppliers in the value chain? 12 10 The European mobile broadband market continues to grow rapidly, with demand fuelled by declining prices, improved user experience, massive marketing campaigns and new device categories. Berg Insight estimates that the total number of mobile broadband subscribers in EU 23+2 grew by 33 percent to reach 33.9 million in 2010, while the estimated operator revenues reached € 5.9 billion. The European mobile broadband market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.4 percent to reach € 11.9 billion in 2016. This revenue growth is driven by strong year-on-year net additions to the subscriber base, which is projected to reach 96 million by 2016. Today, a majority of the users subscribe to data bundles for 12 or 24 months, but as the market matures a majority of new subscribers will only be occasional users generating lower network ARPU. Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Mobile broadband connectivity revenues forecast (Europe/North America 2010–2016) How is fixed-mobile convergence and telecom service bundling going to affect the market? What impact will LTE have on the mobile broadband connectivity market? Table of Contents 1 Market environment 1.1 Internet usage 1.2 The European broadband communications market 1.2.1 Fixed broadband market 1.2.2 Wireless market 1.3 The North American broadband communications market 1.3.1 Fixed broadband market 1.3.2 Wireless market 2 Evolved 3G/LTE network technology 2.1 Wireless technology roadmap 2.1.1 GSM 2.1.2 3G networks UMTS/WCDMA – 3GPP Release 99 2.1.3 HSDPA – 3GPP Release 5 2.1.4 HSUPA – 3GPP Release 6 2.1.5 HSPA+ – 3GPP Release 7 2.1.6 HSPA+ – 3GPP Release 8 and further evolution 2.1.7 LTE – 3GPP Release 8, 9 and 10 2.1.8 The CDMA/EVDO track 2.1.9 Other wireless technologies 2.1.10 Comparison of technologies 2.1.11 HSPA+ and LTE network deployments 2.2 Evolution of network infrastructure 2.2.1 From traditional to evolved network architecture 2.2.2 Improving network backhaul capacity 2.2.3 Expansion to new frequency bands 2.3 Evolution of wireless chipsets 3 Mobile broadband device vendors 3.1 Mobile Broadband data terminals and form factors 3.1.1 The mobile broadband connectivity value chain 3.1.2 USB modems 3.1.3 Gateways 3.1.4 Embedded solutions 3.1.5 PC-cards 3.2 Mobile broadband terminal vendors 3.2.1 Huawei 3.2.2 ZTE 3.2.3 Option 3.2.4 3.2.5 3.2.6 3.2.7 3.2.8 3.2.9 3.2.10 3.2.11 3.2.12 3.2.13 3.2.14 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3 Novatel Wireless Sierra Wireless AnyDATA BandRich Onda Communication Teltonika Axesstel C-motech Samsung Franklin Wireless Others Embedded solution vendors Ericsson Qualcomm Others 4 Notebook PC and tablet integration 4.1 The global notebook PC and tablet market 4.1.1 Notebook PC market trends 4.1.2 Notebook PC vendor market shares 4.1.3 Tablet market trends 4.1.4 Tablet vendor market shares 4.2 Integration of mobile broadband in notebook PCs 4.3 Integration of mobile broadband in tablets 4.4 Notebook and tablet vendors 4.4.1 Hewlett-Packard 4.4.2 Acer 4.4.3 Dell 4.4.4 Lenovo 4.4.5 Toshiba 4.4.6 ASUS 4.4.7 Apple 4.4.8 Samsung Electronics 4.4.9 Sony 4.4.10 Motorola 4.4.11 Research In Motion 5 Operator strategies for mobile broadband 5.1 Mobile broadband usage 5.2 Business models 5.2.1 Postpaid subscriptions 5.2.2 Prepaid subscriptions 5.2.3 Bundling with other services 5.3 5.3.1 5.3.2 5.3.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.10 5.11 5.12 5.13 5.14 5.15 Pricing and conditions Pricing International roaming Terms of use 3 Group Deutsche Telecom France Telecom KPN Group Telecom Italia Telekom Austria TeliaSonera Telefónica Group Vodafone Group Verizon Wireless AT&T Sprint 6 Forecasts and conclusions 6.1 Market summary 6.2 Device market 6.2.1 Vendor market shares 6.2.2 Form factor trends 6.3 The European mobile broadband service market 6.3.1 Pricing trends 6.3.2 Network technology trends 6.3.3 Service convergence trends 6.4 The North American mobile broadband service market 6.4.1 Pricing trends 6.4.2 Network technology trends Glossary NGT Research Series Smartphone Markets and Technologies Smartphone Markets and Technologies is the second consecutive report from Berg Insight analysing the latest trends on the worldwide market for smartphone operating systems and handset technologies. This report in the NGT Research Series from Berg Insight provides you with 110 pages of unique business intelligence including 5-year industry forecasts and expert commentary on which to base your business decisions. This report will allow you to: Identify the key drivers and barriers for adoption of smartphones. Learn about the current strategies of the leading handset brands. Evaluate the existing OS platforms from key vendors. Understand the reshaping of the cellular chipset value chain and consolidation trends. Anticipate future smartphone design trends and technology developments. Realize the importance of on-device application stores. Benefit from updated forecasts and extensive statistical material. Order now! Please visit our web site to order this report and find more information about our other titles at www.berginsight.com See inside for further details Berg Insight’s NGT Research Series How will the mobile market evolve in the future? Berg Insight’s Next Generation Technologies Research Series examines the latest advances in mobile technology and the new business opportunities they create. Each title analyses development roadmaps, potential applications and addressable market segments for a technology. Topics currently covered by the series include smartphones, femtocells, mobile broadband and short-range handset connectivity. www.berginsight.com NGT Research Series Will Android, iOS or Windows Phone be the winner on the surging smart phone market? Mobile phones are by far the most pervasive consumer electronics devices globally. Total handset shipments grew 8 percent in 2010 to 1.3 billion units as the world economy started to recover. Mobile phones can be divided into segments based on price or device capabilities. For instance, a broad distinction can be made between smartphones that support native third party applications and featurephones that do not. Smartphones is the fastest growing segment with shipments increasing by almost 74 percent in 2010 to 295 million units. Smartphones are receiving more attention from handset manufacturers, network operators and application developers. Handset vendors adopt smartphone operating systems in order to reduce development time and cost for new advanced handset models. Operators promote smartphones that drive adoption of postpaid subscriptions and data plans. Both handset vendors and operators also strive to attract developers that can bring additional revenues and customer interest from their applications. Most importantly, an increasing number of users are now discovering how smartphones can act as personal computing devices enabling access to the mobile web and applications, besides voice and text services. Wider availability of mid-tier and low cost smartphones has already led to a decline in sales of mid- and high-end featurephones. Shipments of entry handsets with limited or no support for third party applications is also forecasted to gradually decline as the cost of featurephones and smartphones become progressively lower and therefore become a viable option for more users. Berg Insight forecasts that shipments of smartphones will grow from 295 million units in 2010 at a compound annual growth rate of 32 percent to 1.2 billion units in 2015. Along with a growing number of device manufacturers and software developers entering the mobile industry, the number of smartphone operating systems available has also increased. The early smartphone operating systems Symbian, Windows Mobile and BlackBerry OS have been joined by new proprietary operating systems such as Apple’s iOS and Samsung’s Bada OS. Several Linux-based operating systems including Android, LiMo, webOS and MeeGo have also been released. In addition to basic operating systems for featurephones, many handset vendors now use multiple smartphone operating systems across their device portfolios. While this creates a broad choice of devices for customers, it also creates increased development costs for handset Android became the leading smartphone OS in Q4-2011 with 32 million handsets shipped – about two million more than Symbian. The slow progress of its development of the improved Symbian platform and the MeeGo platform for high-end smartphones ultimately led to Nokia’s radical change of strategy to adopt Windows Phone as its main operating system for smartphones. Symbian remained the leading smartphone OS based on annual shipments with 107 million units, ahead of Android with 69 million handsets shipped in 2010. Apple’s continued success with its iPhone handsets enabled the iOS platform to outsell BlackBerry handsets in the second half of 2010 to become the third largest operating system. For the full year, both RIM and Apple each shipped about 48 million smartphones. Like Symbian, Microsoft’s Windows Mobile platform has lost market share consistently after the iPhone and Android appeared on the market. Microsoft introduced its completely redesigned Windows Phone 7 platform in October 2010. The new platform has been relatively well received even though the first handsets using the platform do not compare favourably with the licensees best handsets based on other platforms in terms of hardware design. Over the years, thousands of applications have been developed for Palm, BlackBerry, Windows Mobile and Symbian smartphones. At first, application developers had difficulties to reach a broad user base in absence of a suitable delivery channel. In 2008, the Apple App Store was launched with immediate success removing this hurdle. All leading operating system providers and handset vendors have now launched their own application stores. Berg Insight estimates that the total number of downloaded applications for smartphones grew from 3 billion globally in 2009 to about 9.5 billion in 2010. Revenues from applications have at the same time doubled year-on-year to € 4 billion in 2010. This report answers the following questions: What is driving the adoption of smartphones? What are the key differences between smartphone operating systems and traditional handset software? What are the OS strategies of the leading smartphone vendors? Million units 1200 Who are the leading developers of chipsets for smartphones? 1000 What are the secrets behind the tremendous success of application stores? 800 600 What is the technology development roadmap for smartphones in the coming years? 400 200 0 vendors and fragmentation for application developers. However, maturing web technologies for handsets will eventually facilitate service deployment on handsets in the same way the browser has become the primary delivery platform for PCs. Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Annual shipments of smartphones (Worldwide 2009–2015) Who will be the key smartphone vendors in the future and who are the main market challengers? How will the installed base of smartphones develop in the future? Table of Contents 1 Mobile handsets and smartphones 1.1 1.1.1 1.1.2 1.2 1.2.1 1.2.2 1.2.3 1.2.4 1.2.5 1.3 1.3.1 1.3.2 1.3.3 1.3.4 2 Smartphone operating systems 2.1 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.3 2.3.1 2.3.2 2.4 2.4.1 2.4.2 2.5 2.5.1 2.5.2 2.5.3 2.6 2.6.1 2.6.2 Overview of handset segments Main handset segments Popular handset categories and form factors Introduction to smartphones Smartphone operating system technologies Proliferation of smartphone operating systems Growing end-user demand for smartphones Mobile network operators show interest in smartphones and apps Application stores provide a new channel to the market for developers Smartphone trends Evolution of smartphone ecosystems Evolution of smartphone input mechanisms and user interfaces High-end smartphones challenge PCs Best selling smartphones in 2010 2.7 2.7.1 2.7.2 2.8 2.8.1 2.8.2 2.8.3 The Android platform Android OS versions and features Android development tools BlackBerry OS BlackBerry OS versions BlackBerry OS development tools iOS iOS versions and features iOS development tools MeeGo Linux distribution with support for multiple portable and connected devices Application development frameworks and tools Microsoft operating systems for handsets Windows Mobile to be consigned to niche markets Windows Phone 7 increases focus on consumer devices Development tools for Windows Phone 7 Symbian Current Symbian versions Symbian transitions to a continuous improvement model WebOS WebOS versions WebOS development tools Other handset operating systems Brew MP Samsung’s Bada platform LiMo Platform 3 Application stores 3.1 Overview of application stores 3.1.1 Vendor independent application stores target multiple platforms 3.1.2 Application store revenues 3.2 OS developer application stores 3.2.1 Android Market 3.2.2 Windows Marketplace for Mobile and Windows Phone Marketplace 3.3 Device vendor application stores 3.3.1 The Apple App Store 3.3.2 BlackBerry App World 3.3.3 3.3.4 3.3.5 3.3.6 3.3.7 3.3.8 3.4 3.4.1 3.4.2 3.4.3 3.4.4 3.4.5 3.4.6 HP App Catalog Motorola Shop4apps Nokia Ovi Store Samsung Apps LG Application Store Sony Ericsson PlayNow Arena Operator application stores The Wholesale Application Community AT&T AppCenter China Mobile Market Orange Application Shop Verizon V CAST Apps Vodafone 360 Shop 4 Handset hardware platforms 4.1 Overview of handset hardware platforms 4.1.1 Handset hardware components 4.1.2 Wireless connectivity technologies 4.2 Mobile application processor technologies 4.2.1 Smartphones are the new battleground between ARM and x86 processors 4.2.2 Discrete application processors power highend smartphones 4.2.3 Integrated communication processors enable cost efficient devices 4.3 The handset chipset industry 4.3.1 Industry consolidation continues 4.3.2 Handset baseband vendors 4.3.3 Connectivity chipset vendors 4.3.4 Sensor IC vendors 4.4 Cellular connectivity and handset platform vendors 4.4.1 Broadcom 4.4.2 Freescale Semiconductor 4.4.3 Intel 4.4.4 Marvell 4.4.5 MediaTek 4.4.6 Nvidia 4.4.7 Qualcomm 4.4.8 Renesas Electronics 4.4.9 ST-Ericsson 4.4.10 Texas Instruments 5 Handset manufacturers 5.1 The handset market in 2010 5.1.1 Device shipments reach new record 5.1.2 Smartphone sales drive handset revenues to an all-time high 5.2 Nokia 5.2.1 Device portfolio 5.2.2 Market analysis 5.3 Research In Motion 5.3.1 Device portfolio 5.3.2 Market analysis 5.4 Apple 5.4.1 Device portfolio 5.4.2 Market analysis 5.5 HTC 5.5.1 Device portfolio 5.5.2 Market analysis 5.6 Samsung Electronics 5.6.1 Device portfolio 5.6.2 Market analysis 5.7 Motorola 5.7.1 Device portfolio 5.7.2 Market analysis 5.8 Sony Ericsson 5.8.1 Device portfolio 5.8.2 Market analysis 5.9 LG Electronics 5.9.1 Device portfolio 5.9.2 Market analysis 5.10 Second tier smartphone vendors 5.10.1 Acer 5.10.2 Dell 5.10.3 Fujitsu Toshiba Mobile Communications 5.10.4 Hewlett Packard 5.10.5 Huawei 5.10.6 Kyocera Sanyo Telecom 5.10.7 Lenovo Mobile Communications 5.10.8 NEC Casio Mobile Communications 5.10.9 Panasonic Mobile Communications 5.10.10 Pantech 5.10.11 Sharp 5.10.12 TCL Communication 5.10.13 ZTE 6 Market trends and forecasts 6.1 Market trends 6.1.1 Changing demands reshapes the wireless chipset industry 6.1.2 Focus on smartphones among vendors and operators is accelerating 6.1.3 Web technologies will eventually overtake native applications 6.1.4 Smartphone operating systems are becoming ecosystems 6.2 Smartphone shipments and market shares 6.2.1 Handset shipments by segment 6.2.2 Smartphone shipments by geography 6.2.3 Smartphone shipments by OS 6.2.4 Smartphone shipments by vendor 6.3 Handset shipment forecasts 6.3.1 Handset shipment forecasts by primary access technology 6.3.2 Handset shipment forecasts by feature and price segment 6.3.3 Smartphone shipment forecasts by segment 6.3.4 Smartphone shipment forecasts by region 6.3.5 Smartphone shipment forecasts by operating system Glossary