THE DISTRICT OF SQUAMISH RETAIL STRATEGY
Transcription
THE DISTRICT OF SQUAMISH RETAIL STRATEGY
THE DISTRICT OF SQUAMISH RETAIL STRATEGY Prepared for: Lee A. Malleau Economic Development Officer District of Squamish Prepared by: TREC International Inc. January 2005 Table of Contents PREFACE ___________________________________________________________________ I EXECUTIVE SUMMARY________________________________________________________ II 1.0 PROJECT UNDERSTANDING, REPORT OBJECTIVE AND APPROACH ________ 1-1 1.1 1.2 1.3 PROJECT UNDERSTANDING ________________________________________________________________ 1-1 REPORT OBJECTIVE _____________________________________________________________________ 1-1 APPROACH ____________________________________________________________________________ 1-1 2.0 REVIEW OF RETAILING TRENDS _______________________________________ 2-1 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 INTRODUCTION _________________________________________________________________________ 2-1 REVIEW OF CONSUMER TRENDS ____________________________________________________________ 2-1 PLACE MAKING AND THE REVITALIZATION OF THE DOWNTOWN DISTRICT ____________________________ 2-7 PRODUCTS OR RETAIL STORES TRENDS ______________________________________________________ 2-9 SHOPPING IS BECOMING MORE ALIGNED WITH ENTERTAINMENT __________________________________ 2-10 TRENDS FACING THE RETAIL LANDSCAPE ____________________________________________________ 2-19 FUTURE TRENDS OF THE 21ST CENTURY _____________________________________________________ 2-21 RETAIL IMPLICATIONS __________________________________________________________________ 2-23 SUMMARY ___________________________________________________________________________ 2-24 3.0 SQUAMISH RETAIL ASSESSMENT______________________________________ 3-1 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 INTRODUCTION _________________________________________________________________________ 3-1 OVERALL DISTRICT OF SQUAMISH ASSESSMENT _______________________________________________ 3-1 ASSESSMENT BY PRECINCT WITHIN SQUAMISH _________________________________________________ 3-4 RETAIL/COMMERCIAL IMPLICATIONS ________________________________________________________ 3-5 SUMMARY ____________________________________________________________________________ 3-6 4.0 ASSESSMENT OF COMPETITIVE INFRASTRUCTURE ______________________ 4-1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 INTRODUCTION _________________________________________________________________________ 4-1 EXISTING CENTRES _____________________________________________________________________ 4-1 FUTURE DEVELOPMENT __________________________________________________________________ 4-4 OVERVIEW OF MAJOR CULTURAL, ARTS, RECREATION, EDUCATION, & ENTERTAINMENT (CARES) FACILITIES ____________________________________________________________________ 4-9 SUMMARY ___________________________________________________________________________ 4-10 5.0 CONSUMER RESEARCH FINDINGS _____________________________________ 5-1 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 INTRODUCTION _________________________________________________________________________ 5-1 SURVEY RESULTS: ORIGIN AND SHOPPING CHARACTERISTICS _____________________________________ 5-2 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE OF SURVEY RESPONDENTS _____________________________________________ 5-9 SUMMARY ___________________________________________________________________________ 5-10 6.0 TRADE AREA DELINEATION & MARKET ANALYSIS _______________________ 6-1 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 INTRODUCTION _________________________________________________________________________ 6-1 TRADE AREA DELINEATION _______________________________________________________________ 6-1 TRADE AREA CHARACTERISTICS ___________________________________________________________ 6-3 TOURISTS PROFILE _____________________________________________________________________ 6-11 SUMMARY ___________________________________________________________________________ 6-19 District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Table of Contents 7.0 RETAIL EXPENDITURE POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT ________________________ 7-1 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 INTRODUCTION _________________________________________________________________________ 7-1 RETAIL CUSTOMER GROUPS _______________________________________________________________ 7-1 EXPENDITURE PATTERNS _________________________________________________________________ 7-4 SUMMARY ___________________________________________________________________________ 7-10 8.0 WARRANTED FLOOR SPACE ASSESSMENT _____________________________ 8-1 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 INTRODUCTION _________________________________________________________________________ 8-1 FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO ADDITIONAL FLOOR SPACE _________________________________________ 8-1 CATEGORY TURNOVER, MARKET SHARE AND WARRANTED FLOOR SPACE ___________________________ 8-2 SUMMARY ____________________________________________________________________________ 8-3 9.0 IMPACT ASSESSMENT _______________________________________________ 9-5 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.5 INTRODUCTION _________________________________________________________________________ 9-5 OPPORTUNITY COSTS OF OUT OF SQUAMISH SHOPPING __________________________________________ 9-5 COSTS/BENEFITS OF ADDITIONAL RETAIL/SERVICE FACILITIES WITHIN SQUAMISH _____________________ 9-6 HOW LOCAL MERCHANTS CAN COMPETE & THRIVE IN A BIG BOX ENVIRONMENT _____________________ 9-7 SUMMARY ____________________________________________________________________________ 9-8 10.0 MERCHANDISING & TENANT MIX PLAN ________________________________ 10-1 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.4 INTRODUCTION ________________________________________________________________________ 10-1 MERCHANDISING OBJECTIVES ____________________________________________________________ 10-1 MERCHANDISING STRATEGY AND TENANT MIX PLAN __________________________________________ 10-2 SUMMARY __________________________________________________________________________ 10-10 Appendices: Appendix I: Review of Retailing Trends Appendix II: Overview of Factory Outlet Retailing Appendix III: Squamish Consumer Retail Survey Appendix IV: Projected Expenditure Potential for Squamish Appendix V: Tourism Retail Expenditure Potential Appendix VI: How Local Merchants Can Compete & Thrive in a Big Box Environment District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Table of Contents PREFACE This report was commissioned by Ms. Lee A. Malleau, the Economic Development Officer with the District of Squamish in August, 2004 and was performed during the months of September to December 2004. This examination of the market and corresponding merchandising and tenant mix plan builds upon the information provided in the Downtown Squamish Concept Plan as well as several other plans and reports that the District had commissioned in the past several years. The figures for the report are based upon an evaluation of the present general level of the economy of Squamish and the Sea to Sky region as well as historical numbers received from a variety of sources as noted in the report. It neither takes into account nor makes provisions for the effect of any sharp rise or decline in local or general economic conditions. We do not warrant that the supportable floorspace and market share estimates will be achieved. However, they have been prepared conscientiously on the basis of information obtained during the course of this study and our experience in the planning and redevelopment of many commercial real estate projects as well as economic development or revitalizations. A regional examination was carried out in conjunction with detailed discussions with local, regional, and provincial officials. The reference material for this report was derived predominately from private and public sectors, government publications and professional organizations that TREC International holds memberships or reviews material on a regular basis to keep abreast with most recent trends affecting the retail and tourism industries. Site investigations were conducted to compile an extensive inventory of commercial space in the District. In addition, a review of the most recent available population data and other studies that have been prepared by the District and Province were examined to prepare the subject report. This report is based upon our understanding of the status of the market, consumer preferences, and respective retailers at the time of study. The merchandising and tenant mix recommendations have been prepared conscientiously on the basis of the information gathered. TREC International Inc., however, does not warrant that retailers and other potential tenants that are referenced will materialize or that any opinions or perceptions that we may have as to their level of interest, or suitability, as expressed in this report, will lead to further intent from these parties. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. i EXECUTIVE SUMMARY REVIEW OF RETAILING TRENDS Overall the success of the District of Squamish will be highly dependent on the way it presents itself to visitors and customers. Theming the retail, albeit carefully and blended in the surrounding natural and cultural environment is essential in order to offer visitors an added experience, as well as generating higher sales and profits. Provincial tourism statistics have indicated that there is a strong demand among tourists for shopping attraction (second most popular activity) in the region. Therefore, it is vital in designing the downtown and nearby waterfront as a kind of ‘stage’ and allowing tenants to display their items in a playful way in order to capture the customers’ attention, and more significantly their imagination. The overall theme of these areas that reflects the Sea to Sky region will provide a lot of flexibility and fun for individual retailers within the District of Squamish. Moreover, animating the waterfront with exciting tenants holds significant potential to reinforce the Sea to Sky outdoor experience for visitors. Apart from the theme, retailers in North America have begun to experiment with innovative ways of retailing to enhance the experience of their visitors, such as appealing to consumer’s five senses in their retail offerings. To summarize some of the products and retail store types that are increasingly demanded by the new millennium consumer, Table 2.2 highlights the key consumer products and trends that are affecting retail in the next decade. Table 2.2 - Key Retail Practices and Trends What’s Hot What’s Not Consumers Optimistic Consumers Discerning Shoppers Personalized, idiosyncrasy items Traditional, bulk goods other than day to day items Recreation, Leisure and Personal Health Watch TV Impulse & experiential retailing Shop till you drop Small Indulgences, Self-gratifying gifts Monolithic, banal goods Products and Services Highly targeted specialty stores Unfocused Ma and Pa operators Book stores with coffee bars Conspicuous consumption (i.e. furs, expensive clothing, ‘showing off’, etc Home fashions and functional art / furnishings Men’s suits Self service access & interactive retailing or try before one buys Locked up display cases District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. ii What’s Hot What’s Not Value driven & entertainment merchandising Offering everything to everybody Career casual apparel / Outdoor look Furs Everyday low prices Designer chic Customer service Sales hype Knowing your market Untrained sales staff Impulse & experiential retailing Shop till you drop Shopping and Entertainment Retail facilities designed with a theme Monolithic designed retail stores Restaurants that comes with an experience Traditional restaurants with no added features Outside into the Inside Sterile interiors Relaxation Retail Busy, crowded, uncomfortable retail stores Integrating Retail and Entertainment Department Stores Environmental Themed Stores and Partnerships Non-‘green’ stores Store within a store (see examples in body of report) Discrete retail stores & eateries Hi-Tech Retail Antiquated Retail Source: TREC International Inc, Urban Land Institute, International Council of Shopping Centres, Retail Council of Canada, Tourism BC, Resort Forum, International Spa Association, and other sources as identified in the report. * Cultural, Arts, Recreation, Education, Entertainment & Sports SQUAMISH RETAIL ASSESSMENT The Squamish retail market has grown and changed dramatically in recent years. As recent as five years ago much of the retail in Squamish was locally owned and operated and situated downtown. However, retailing trends impacting on the rest of North America have hit Squamish with regional, national and international retailers securing new locations along Hwy.99 and expanding Squamish’s retail base further into the Garibaldi Highlands and Business Park. In the process Squamish has grown from a localized retail centre into the largest retail centre in the Sea to Sky Corridor servicing local Squamish residents, other Corridor residents (Whistler, Furry Creek and Pemberton) and tourists to the Sea to Sky Corridor. Therefore, a blueprint for the future is more critical than ever. Recent growth has been largely from regional to international retailers from outside of Squamish and they have located in high-profile locations along Hwy. 99 away from the previous retail centre – the Downtown. The Business Park has clearly become the “big-box district” and Garibaldi Village has definite appeal to tourists, regional residents and residents from north parts of Squamish. Over the recent past, the Vision and ‘role and function’ of Downtown has not been as clear. Once the focal point for retail in Squamish, it has seen no retail growth (actually a decline) in many categories outside of business and personal services or health care. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. iii All of the retail categories are represented in the Squamish market making it the only full-service centre in the Sea to Sky Corridor. Squamish also holds potential to strengthen its “full service” role and to become a true multi-faceted regional town centre for regional residents and tourists alike. To achieve this, Squamish will need to continue to offer a wide mix of retail and service choices from local operators to international retailers. A revitalized Downtown and other areas of Squamish not situated on the highway will play key roles in offering local retailers future growth opportunities as the more visible highway opportunities are being secured by larger regional to international retailers. Overall, the market position for the majority of the retail/commercial mix can generally be described as currently catering to a lower-middle income market with a mix of traditional and somewhat contemporary and few avante garde stores. Interestingly, the emergence of the larger format retailers has put new competitive pressures on existing retailers and each new larger retailer can have a dramatic effect on a particular retail category. As Squamish continues to grow and appeal to broader range of residents (higher income) and it grows its reputation as a tourist destination unto itself, an opportunity for a select group of higher-end retailers and local specialty shops will also be available. Updating the appearance of the Downtown adapting the existing spaces to enable larger retailers would make Squamish more appealing to these high-end retailers/specialty shops as well make the Downtown more appealing to larger regional to international retailers and factory outlets. ASSESSMENT OF COMPETITIVE INFRASTRUCTURE As mentioned much of the new growth has been from retailers from outside of Squamish which has considerably broadened the merchandise mix to include more brand name products (Intrawest Outlet) and big box merchandise (Walmart, Home Depot). This is expected to help decrease the amount of outflow of retail dollars that local residents currently spend outside the community which has been identified as a major issue for Squamish retailers in the past. To further reduce the outflow impact Squamish needs to offer unique shopping experiences afforded by the Villages at Park Royal (cutting edge retailers) or Whistler Village (resort experience). Looking ahead the Squamish retail market faces several challenges and opportunities. On the opportunities side, the upcoming oceanfront development on the former Nexen Lands and Interfor properties offers Squamish a once in a lifetime opportunity to create a retail/entertainment experience that is truly unique to Western Canada – an experience that could make Squamish a world-class tourist destination in its own right as well as make it an even more desirable place to live. Fortunately, many market factors are also at play that suggest the Downtown is the logical choice for the next wave of retail development and that it is well-positioned for this wave. Future retailing trends anticipated over the next 10 years suggests that consumers will be seeking more of a specialty, experience based shopping experience and the Downtown is the best place in Squamish for this type of retail. An additional 5,000 residents are also expected to move into the Downtown core over the next 20 years, which will dramatically increase the population base in the Downtown. The recent growth of retail in the Garibaldi Highlands and Business Park may have or could soon reach capacity leaving the Downtown as the only location for the future wave District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. iv of retail in Squamish. The recent growth in international and mass-merchandise retailers may also mean that these categories will soon reach capacity (if not already) in Squamish. Finally, if recent proposed CARES initiatives are approved by Squamish residents additional cultural and arts centres will be located in the Downtown core. Therefore, the Downtown could be redeveloped to provide an even more attractive environment to that found in the Villages at Park Royal, Fort Langley or Steveston. Offering a unique environment for cutting edge retailers and factory outlets offering brand named goods may be an effective way to attract both residents and tourists who are currently spending their retail dollars outside of Squamish. On the challenges side, if the future growth in retail in Squamish is specialty and heavily experience oriented, Squamish already faces a tough competitor in Whistler and Park Royal. It also faces future potential competition from an approximately 100,000 sq.ft. retail/entertainment oriented redevelopment of the Britannia Mining Museum. Squamish should seek out ways to provide complimentary retail, rather than compete directly with this project. Also, in order to be successful in the future tourist market Squamish will need to create a retail/entertainment experience that is authentic and unique - an experience that differentiates Squamish from other parts of the Corridor and capitalizes on the rich heritage (logging, marine, First Nations) of Squamish and its truly spectacular natural setting. Finally, as the “Outdoor Recreation Capital of Canada”, Squamish has an outdoor recreation infrastructure that is unparalleled in North America. Consequently, Squamish can offer unique tourist experiences that combine cultural, arts, recreational, education, entertainment and sports unlike any other in North America. Therefore, Squamish needs to work ensure that this infrastructure will remain in place for the foreseeable future and that amenities are created to enhance the experience of tourists and further its competitive position as a tourist destination in the Sea to Sky Corridor. CONSUMER RESEARCH FINDINGS Consumer research was conducted using the Point-of-View electronic survey system over a sixweek period between October to early December. Both existing and potential customers were surveyed and just over 900 completed questionnaires were recorded. The overall response to new retail development was positive. The survey respondents fell into two categories, which were regional residents/tourists, and local residents. Both visitor segments were highly aware of downtown Squamish, but only a small portion of those respondents were planning to visit the area. Over half of those surveyed said they would patronize businesses in downtown Squamish if certain activities and new businesses were developed there. When asked what food service retail would attract both regional and local respondents, the highest responses, at around 47% were a "Natural Foods Market/co-op" and a permanent "Farmer's Market." When asked about Comparison Retail, “Clothing and Accessories” were desired by 83% of Greater Squamish respondents and by 59.3% of regional residents (those largely Whistler & Pemberton). In terms of Other Services, “Attractions and Live Theatre” were selected most frequently (42% and 38% of Squamish respondents respectively) and (27.1% and 36.6% for regional residents, respectively). District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. v Over 74% of the total respondents surveyed lived in the Greater Squamish area. Many of the respondents visited downtown Squamish for Convenience goods, but preferred to shop for products such as clothing, home furnishings/appliances, and services such as restaurants/entertainment outside of Squamish, with selection and pricing being the most important reasons. Almost 22% of the local Squamish residents spend less than 10% of their annual household spending on Retail, Dining and Entertainment purchases outside the District of Squamish while 30.4% spend between 11-25% on these categories and almost 24% spend between 26 – 40% of their annual household spending on the above three categories outside the District of Squamish. These same respondents asked for a wider selection of retailers, more competitive pricing, and improved quality of goods within Squamish. Similar to the visitors, over half of local residents would spend more time downtown if there were more interesting activities and businesses. The local residents also felt a permanent Farmer's Market was needed to improve shopping. Furthermore, if more shops were open in Downtown Squamish on Thursday and Friday evenings and/or if there were some interesting factory outlet stores, 67% of Squamish Resident respondents said they would patronize the area more often. Many similar results were posted by both categories of respondents where only a few them visited downtown, but both groups of respondents vied for more activities and businesses, which would attract them to visit more often and stay longer. For example, approximately 56% to almost 68% of the regional residents/tourists and local residents, respectively, indicated they would visit downtown Squamish if it had some interesting factory outlet stores. TRADE AREA DELINEATION & MARKET ANALYSIS The District of Squamish serves as a regional hub for retailing and services for the SquamishLillooet Regional District. This role will be enhanced further with the repositioned Downtown Squamish core. Based on a number of factors, the Primary Trade Area (PTA) is delineated as the southern portion of the Squamish-Lillooet Regional District comprising communities such as Squamish, and Britannia Beach. The Secondary Trade Area (STA) includes Whistler, Pemberton, Lillooet and many of the smaller communities situated in the northern portion of the Squamish-Lillooet Regional District. A profile of young and single residents inhabits the STA while a young family oriented population with large households characterizes the PTA. Both trade areas possess above average household income. This younger area population with higher than average income has the potential to translate into higher spending in the community. Such a consumer profile would be well served by a variety of value-oriented retailers and convenient ‘one-stop’ lifestyle shopping. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. vi According to the delineated trade areas, the forecast population base for the two trade areas identified for the District of Squamish is summarized in Table 6.1. Table 6.1: Historic & Projected Population for the Squamish Trade Areas PTA 1986 1996 2003 2004 2005 2010 2015 10,157 13,994 14,954 16,000 16,560 19,668 23,359 37.8% 6.9% 7.0% 3.5% 18.8% 18.8% 7,734 15,407 20,225 19,853 20,101 22,143 24,248 99.2% 31.3% -1.8% 1.2% 10.2% 9.5% 17,891 29,401 35,179 35,853 36,661 41,811 47,607 64.3% 19.7% 1.9% 2.3% 14.0% 13.9% % Change STA % Change TTA % Change Source: Statistics Canada, 2004; BC Stats, 2004; District of Squamish, 2004; TREC International Inc., 2004. The Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region drew about 38 million visitors in 1995 with approximately 2 million destined for Whistler. These visitors also poured $3.4 billion into the region. This poses as a large potential for Squamish to capture more of that market. As Squamish and the surrounding trade areas continue to grow, the demand for new retailing, particularly well known regional and national operators emphasizing a value niche, would increase over time. As well as incorporating and marketing a cultural component within the revitalized Downtown Squamish and waterfront area, this niche would serve to not only differentiate the District of Squamish, but more importantly cater to a more demanding resident population as well as a changing tourist customer base which values understanding culture that is set in an entertaining and educational environment. This has significant economic implications to Downtown Squamish as cultural tourists are typically higher spending and shop significantly more than tourists who travel for other reasons. RETAIL EXPENDITURE POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT The user groups and projected number of visitors that will contribute to both the overall District as well as specifically the viability of the revitalized downtown and planned waterfront area of Squamish are as follows: Primary Customer Groups Secondary Customer Groups i District of Squamish Residents i Squamish-Lillooet Regional District Residents (Lillooet, Pemberton, Whistler, etc.) i District of Squamish Winter & Summer Tourists i Whistler Destination Tourists (Winter & Summer) i Greater Vancouver Residents – Daytrippers i Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region Visitors (not incl. Whistler) District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. vii The expenditure patterns and shopping motivations of this diverse range of user groups are quite different. Thus, the ability for the District to capture a share of these markets will also be a challenge and will require distinct tenant mixes to tap into a share of the potential sales from these markets or customer groups. As the level of retail floorspace that can be supported by resident markets is limited by the existing and projected population levels within the two trade areas identified for the District, it is the visitor markets that have the greatest potential to further support additional commercial development within the District. The percentage of the total visitor markets are expected to increase over the 2005 to 2015 period due to the District embracing tourism to a significantly greater degree than at present, particularly with a stronger downtown tenant mix and associated waterfront development. This is considered to be achievable due to the fact that the Vancouver Coast & Mountain region presently does not have many ‘distinctive waterfront’ shopping/entertainment destinations or factory outlets, both of which typically increase tourist-shopping expenditures. Given the relative ‘perceived’ distance of Squamish from Vancouver, however, the ability of retail by itself to attract a considerable amount of non-destination visitors is a constraint. Although this distance will be decreased and perceptions addressed with the highway improvements, ancillary uses such as an array of unique restaurants/cafes/deli’s, the adventure centre, arts centre, museum/other visitor attractions, and other entertainment facilities and events, etc. will add significant energy to the downtown and waterfront. The importance of these traffic generators is re-enforced by the fact that potential consumers are attracted to resort towns or tourism destinations for reasons other than retail yet such trips generate impulse purchases. As other tourism based communities such as Vail, Freeport, Manchester, La Conner, and Canmore have demonstrated, it is typically a clustering and ‘bundling’ of a variety of both commercial and natural attractions, including creating an ‘experiential’ setting, that ultimately captures the visitor market. It is important to note that the percentage or market share of the total visitor markets that will visit the District of Squamish, particularly its downtown and waterfront area, is largely dependent upon the number and nature of traffic generators that exist and will be provided to attract these markets. Thus, it is assumed that there will be a sufficient critical mass of facilities, attractions, activities, and events to draw visitors, whether this is from those already visiting the Sea to Sky corridor, Vancouver Coast & Mountain tourists or daytrippers from the Vancouver region. WARRANTED FLOORSPACE ASSESSMENT Table 8.4 outlines the amount of floor space by type of retail/service category that is supportable for the 2005 to 2010 time period. As noted, there is presently an over supply of commercial retail floor space that is oriented mostly to local and regional residents. Although not as large as what currently exists, the Squamish commercial supply will likely remain oversupplied until after the 2010 period. The categories that are mostly in an oversupplied situation include: household operations; recreation/entertainment services; and restaurants & cafes. This assumes that WalMart will be open in 2005. Once Home Depot is developed and open, the category of home District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. viii building and supplies will be oversupplied; this may not be as large as the numbers reflect due to the increasing supply of seasonal residents in the Sea to Sky corridor. Furthermore, when the existing and potential tourism expenditures are considered, the latter two categories are closer to a balanced market. Table 8.4 Total Supportable Floorspace from Resident & Tourism Markets - District of Squamish Resident Trade Area Market Supportable Floorspace ¹ (sq.ft.) 2005 Convenience/Services Food Health & Personal Care Business & Personal Services Comparison Clothing & Accessories Household Operation Household Furnishings & Equipment Home Entertainment Equipment & Services Recreation Equipment & Associated Services Home Building & Supplies* Auto Sales Parts & Operation Food/Beverage/Entertainment Recreational/Entertainment Services Restaurants & Cafes Total Vacant Planned* Total Vacant Existing* 8,418 9,684 -4,606 3,341 87,394 -8,421 -13,307 586 332 -65 -79,348 187,617 -114,251 -24,970 -89,281 75,712 56,883 Supportable Retail Floorspace for Tourism ² (sq.ft.) Total Supportable Floorspace (sq.ft.) 7,178 15,597 38,385 125,779 114,560 309 Total Floorspace 2010 Convenience/Services Food Health & Personal Care Business & Personal Services Comparison Clothing & Accessories Household Operation Household Furnishings & Equipment Home Entertainment Equipment & Services Recreation Equipment & Associated Services Home Building & Supplies* Auto Sales Parts & Operation Food/Beverage/Entertainment Recreational/Entertainment Services Restaurants & Cafes Total Vacant Planned* Total Vacant Existing* -151,033 160,124 9,090 19,027 14,260 -2,269 7,036 169,335 16,220 -11,922 10,286 4,997 9,936 11,033 30,061 57,147 226,482 168,047 69,927 Total Floorspace 2015 Convenience/Services Food Health & Personal Care Business & Personal Services Comparison Clothing & Accessories Household Operation Household Furnishings & Equipment Home Entertainment Equipment & Services Recreation Equipment & Associated Services Home Building & Supplies* -42,352 236,227 193,875 43,279 24,778 4,075 14,426 240,167 22,960 -6,821 17,995 7,329 18,348 17,567 60,846 114,680 354,848 District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. -76,640 216,458 -98,120 -10,681 -87,439 75,712 56,883 -71,994 ix Auto Sales Parts & Operation Food/Beverage/Entertainment Recreational/Entertainment Services Restaurants & Cafes Total Vacant Planned* Total Vacant Existing* Resident Trade Area Market Supportable Floorspace ¹ (sq.ft.) 252,350 -89,576 -6,444 -83,132 75,712 56,883 Total Floorspace Supportable Retail Floorspace for Tourism ² (sq.ft.) 61,276 Total Supportable Floorspace (sq.ft.) 292,998 203,422 425,246 486,521 Source: TREC International, 2004 Notes: *Denotes figures are existing floorspace numbers while the rest reflect warranted floorspace ¹ See table 8.1 ² See table 7.2 By 2010, almost 194,000 sq. ft. of retail commercial floor space is warranted in the District which increases to approximately 485,000 sq.ft by 2015. As previously mentioned in Section 7, this assumes that the District develops a ‘distinctive’ tenant mix in downtown Squamish and as part of its waterfront development. The majority of this warranted floor space would be largely supported by day visitors, travelers to Whistler, and other tourism based markets. It is also important to note that the warranted floor space determined in this table is not necessarily the final floor space allocation that can be developed in the district. Nevertheless, it provides a guide to the overall space allocation subject to the gross build able area based on approvals from the District as well as actual leasing/confirmation from retailers and other major businesses that can be attracted to achieve the estimated capture rates. IMPACT ASSESSMENT The opportunity costs associated with out of Squamish shopping has been significantly decreased with the extensive addition of commercial infrastructure that has been added in the District during the last decade. However, there is a strong opportunity to decrease this even more in certain categories by embracing both existing and potential new markets such as day-trippers, tourist markets and seasonal residents that will inevitably increase not only in the Sea to Sky corridor but directly within the District itself. It is estimated that approximately 23% of the total District’s retail sales or at least $41.7 million of sales will continue to ‘outflow’ from Squamish in 2005. While retail commercial sales will likely continue to increase, ‘outflow’ or out of Squamish shopping will remain in several commercial categories given the more extensive commercial infrastructure (with greater selection and better pricing) in Greater Vancouver and elsewhere. However, by embracing the large visitor and tourism based markets, with the addition of certain merchandising categories (see Section 10), it is projected that this outflow can be decreased to approximately 17.5% of the potential retail sales (or $33.5 million) and 14.2% (or $28.6 million) by the years 2010 and 2015, respectively. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. x Some of the major costs and benefits of additional retail/service infrastructure for the community can be summarised as follows. The costs of providing too much retail/service in the community will cause a negative impact on existing retailers in the categories that are identified as being oversupplied. However, by embracing tourism and tapping into other markets such as daytrippers and seasonal residents, many of the perceived oversupplied categories can be embellished and provide spin-offs to existing merchants. Not tapping into the latent demand that presently exists would deter the District and many of its merchants from millions of dollars of potential revenue plus the associated tax and employment benefits. In the long term, if the commercial floor space in the District is constrained, the resulting increased in rents typically squeezes out many but the most lucrative businesses. Businesses that cater mostly to local residents such as personal and home services including a stand alone bakery, dry cleaners, shoemakers, plumbers, tailors and locksmiths typically find it difficult to generate sufficient revenue required to pay the rent. In addition, for many local residents, quality of life benefits are negated such as being a more self-sustainable community to avoid having to leave the community to acquire their needed products and services. With the completion of Wal-Mart, Canadian Tire and Home Depot, the previous section has documented that the District is already saturated in many retail categories. Nevertheless, there is an opportunity to replace or work with some of the existing lesser quality tenants to upgrade and meet the selection, pricing and quality of merchandise that is demanded by both local and regional residents. In addition, there is a significant market opportunity to supplement the existing commercial mix with tenants that cater more to the tourist and day-tripper markets. Previous research has also revealed that there are a number of tried and proven techniques available to local merchants where they can not only survive but thrive in mass merchandiser’s environment. These include: adopting a more positive attitude and preparing to benefit from the additional traffic that is generated by them; embracing better merchandising and marketing practices; providing superior service, improving customer service and continually striving to improve operating efficiencies. MERCHANDISING & TENANT MIX PLAN The main retail and service categories that were identified to be warranted for District of Squamish are recommended to be merchandised according to the following seven subthemes reinforcing the overall experiential/arts/lifestyle and nautical theme for the downtown and waterfront areas with some holding potential for the other commercial areas: 1. Convenience / services such as a natural foods market, private liquor store, permanent farmers’ market and personal services such as video rental, dry-cleaning, small convenience store(s), etc; 2. Fashion/sporting apparel, recreation equipment & accessories 3. Office, communications & tech-tainment such as office supplies, music/electronics, telephone, accessories, etc; 4. Home furnishings, accessories & gifts; 5. Wellness/health & personal care products and services; 6. Restaurants, take away; and 7. CARE (Cultural Arts Recreation and Arts) facilities District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. xi In total, an estimated 486,500 of total floor space can be incorporated into the District’s five commercial areas by 2015. While much of this space will not be warranted until significant improvements are made to attract more tourists into the community, if the right tenants and uses are selected, there is strong potential to draw the existing day-trippers and destination tourist markets into the downtown core earlier than 2015. Examples of retailers that hold potential in this regard are unique quality oriented one of a kind type shops in some of the above categories as well as factory outlets. This would then stimulate additional traffic to existing shops and services as well as for the restaurants/take-away and health/wellness categories. In addition, there is an opportunity to attract additional businesses catering to automotive sales, parts and operation in areas outside of the downtown. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. xii 1.0 PROJECT UNDERSTANDING, REPORT OBJECTIVE AND APPROACH 1.1 PROJECT UNDERSTANDING TREC International Inc. is engaged by the District of Squamish to objectively provide the District of Squamish with retail strategic direction so its leaders can effectively guide the revitalization of the downtown and facilitate appropriate investment in the retail and professional services sector throughout the community. 1.2 REPORT OBJECTIVE The District of Squamish required that a 'market driven' analysis (incorporating both local/regional consumer research as well as other research) be carried out. This strategic analysis determined the amount, types, scale, location, impacts, etc. of retail, restaurants, services, and other appropriate uses that would be warranted within the Community. As outlined in the District's RFP, "the purpose of the project is to: x Examine trends and influences on consumer spending including and especially products and services that are being purchased locally, and which are not, and why; x Conduct an economic impact analysis of the implications and opportunity costs of out-shopping on the local economy; x Examine consumer gaps and opportunities in the retail and service sectors; x Prescribe options, opportunities and solutions to address consumer out-shopping that will preserve the character of the community, adhere to modern planning values for retail/commercial expansion and location, balance the investment between downtown revitalization and highway commercial retail (big-box), and reduce the amount of spending outside the community." 1.3 APPROACH A two component process was completed as follows: 1. Economic/Market Study; and 2. Merchandising/Tenant Mix Strategy; The first component in the process is the preparation of an economic/market study. In brief, this report highlights the size of the existing and potential markets as well as the expenditure potential (by merchandise and service category) that the District of Squamish can capture given the right mix of tenants and commercial uses. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 1-1 To match and cater to the existing and potential markets identified in the market study, a merchandising and tenant mix strategy was completed as the second component. This strategy identifies the best mix of tenants for each of the five commercial areas within the District of Squamish to maximize sales and economic benefits to the overall community. A brief outline of the major steps and deliverables for each of the previously mentioned components is outlined in the following two subsections. PART I: ECONOMIC/MARKET STUDY Building on the work already completed as part of the District of Squamish Downtown Concept Plan, the following tasks are completed as part of this component. Our Economic/Market program is the initial part of the merchandise/tenant mix strategy and business recruitment process. This component of the program started off with an intensive field trip to District of Squamish firstly to inspect the downtown and specific sites such as the major commercial areas (both existing and planned sites such as the waterfront) and then completed the necessary field work for the inventory supply work and market assessment. A kick-off workshop with the Economic development department was also held in District of Squamish at this time. After this we proceeded to: x disseminated and verified field observations and data collected; x analysed market information; and x Formulated findings and recommendations. The key objective of this task was to ensure that the District of Squamish is ideally matched and balanced to the market potential for the respective retail and business categories so a realistic and positive assessment is presented as part of the retail strategy. This is also crucial to the merchandise mix and development strategy for each of the commercial areas within the District of Squamish and particularly for a major redevelopment project such as the waterfront. Thus, this crucial and essentially quantitative section of this component formulated the following results: x Inventory of existing commercial floor space for each of the five main commercial areas within the District x Major trends facing the retail, restaurant and entertainment industries x Competitive Infrastructure x Demographic Analysis for the respective trade areas that exist and hold further potential for District of Squamish x Customer Profile Analysis (including Point-of-View (POV) electronic survey findings) District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 1-2 x Examination of the existing and projected size by Market Segment (local and regional residents, non-resident BC and BC resident based visitors) x Retail Expenditure Assessment by Market Segment x Positioning of the five commercial areas within the District of Squamish x Merchandising Opportunities and Business Niches x Projected Market Share and Sales Volumes by Retail and Business category x Warranted Floor space Balance per Merchandising/Business Category x Appropriate Phasing of Warranted Floor space by Commercial Area PART II: Merchandising/Tenant Mix Strategy This component of the program synthesized all strategic research findings and input by the project team members into an action plan that will provide a series of detailed recommendations to guide the retention of existing businesses, as well as the expansion and subsequent retail development/investment process. In particular, this component will examine the following: x Socio-economic/demographic and lifestyle characteristics of trade area residents; x Needs, preferences and lifestyles of existing shoppers to District of Squamish integrating findings from various sources available both in the District of Squamish area as well as the completed POV survey findings; x Similar characteristics of visitors and tourists that presently visit District of Squamish and the Sea to Sky region including reasons why they visit the region and what they seek; x Inherent market opportunities and “voids” that are found to exist from the competitive assessment; x Market expenditure levels including those from visitors and tourists; x Current and future retail, tourism, recreation, cultural/arts, and leisure trends affecting the shopping and business environment; All of the above listed considerations were utilized to provide a list of merchandising plan/tenant mix recommendations. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 1-3 2.0 REVIEW OF RETAILING TRENDS 2.1 INTRODUCTION Today’s retail industry, regardless of whether it is located in urban downtowns or in resort villages, operates amidst and responds to a wide variety of seemingly conflicting trends. Despite the present soft economy and the recent terrorist upheaval associated with 9/11 of 2001, consumers are optimistic in spending money, albeit in certain environments. While consumers worry about job security and long-term prosperity, these concerns are not necessarily inhibiting them from adding to their credit card debt or spending during their vacation period. Household incomes are reportedly declining in real dollars, yet consumption expenditures are increasing. Shoppers simultaneously demand good service and value, pricing offering ‘one stop shopping’ and merchandising depth. Working adults, who say they have little time to shop, go to shopping villages or precincts to be entertained or to spend time with their family. What does all this mean for the downtown or commercial planned for District of Squamish's waterfront area. This translates to a sudden increase of opportunity to capitalize on these new trends. In order to thoroughly understand and provide retailing recommendations to District of Squamish that are applicable not only for the next several years but well into the next decade, it is important to briefly review the major trends affecting the retail industry. These can be subdivided into four overall topics: consumers, products or retail stores, entertainment shopping and future trends of the 21st Century. Appendix I provides a more detailed description of these trends while Appendix II highlights an overview of the factory outlet industry. 2.2 REVIEW OF CONSUMER TRENDS Consumers are Getting Increasingly Optimistic about the Future. x Retail sales trends obtained from Statistics Canada and the Retail Council of Canada confirm a continued recovery in consumer spending in British Columbia and Western Canada as a whole. North American Consumers are Getting Older & Have Discretionary Income to Spend x With age comes experience, maturity and ability to distinguish quality and value from inferior goods and gadgetry. x Tourism British Columbia reported that the population of the North American Baby Boomers (mid-30s to early-50s), translated to about 92 million people, represents approximately 30% of the population. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-1 x As people age, increasingly more purchasing decisions become discretionary. Those households headed by 45 to 54 year olds are most likely to have discretionary income (i.e. money to spend after meeting financial obligations). Figure 2.1 Average Median Age of the Canadian Population 1991-2001 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Statistics Canada, 2001. x The baby boomer generation is seeing a time of increased discretionary income, which is a major consideration for spending on such things as comfort, escape and indulgence. x Currently 30% of the Canadian population is 50+. This will increase to over 45% within 10 years. x “The 50+ market is huge. They own ¾’s of all financial assets and account for ½ of all discretionary spending. They are not brand loyal. Not over the hill. Certainly not sedentary. Instead, they are spenders, travelers, investors, diners, and decorators. They have the money for the good life and feel entitled to live it.” Source: Canadian Association of Retired Persons. x “The absence (or presence) of children in the home has a dramatic impact on the buying habits of the household. A household without children has more discretionary income. They can spend on cars, clothes, dining, travel, entertainment, or investing.” Source: International Demographics Inc. Texas. x Baby boomers are now “trading up.” This trend sees this generation buying a step higher than the previous one. Rather than buying a shirt at the department store this cohort will shop at designer boutiques. x It is projected that baby boomers will spend more than previous generation retirees on downtown related goods and services such as: x Eating and drinking District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-2 x Prepared and delivered meals x Leisure time entertainment and cultural activities, such as movies, museums, bowling, bridge, etc. A New Generation Is Evolving That Will Fuel the New Trends x In North America there is the emergence of generation Y. This new generation is the largest in North American history and is geared towards shopping as a lifestyle pursuit. Generation Y also has more money to spend than previous generations due to their parents’ higher rate of disposable income that is passed on to their children. x This group is also embracing values such as environmentalism and respect for family, and will be important in determining their out-of-home environment. Traditional Families Represent fewer Households x According to the Urban Land Institute, census figures show that less than 25 percent of Americans are living in a home made up of a mother, father and children. x The new consumer household consists of single-parents, two-incomes, and singles. Therefore, it is important to develop new retail concepts that will fulfill changing household characteristics. Increasingly Spending is more tied to Services & Morale x Although everyone has to purchase such staples goods as food and gasoline, other expenditures are more closely tied to morale in the retail setting. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-3 Services Dominating Consumer Expenditure Figure 2.2 Consumer Expenditure - 1997 C$ Non-Durable Goods 24% Services 54% Semi-Durable Goods 9% Durable Goods 13% Source: Retail Council of Canada, 1998 x Presently, customers are spending more on services, according to the Retail Council of Canada; services dominated consumer expenditure in 1997 in terms of dollars spent (See Figure 2.2). Consumers are Rewarding Themselves with “Small Indulgences” x To satisfy emotional fixes, and indulgence of the senses and allow ego expression, consumers are seeking selfgratification from smaller (“quality”) purchases. (e.g. Godiva chocolates, specialty blended coffee drinks or cappuccino, etc.) x This is particularly relevant for resort or tourist shopping where the overall experience is about rewarding themselves and their children or friends while they are on vacation. District of Squamish Retail Strategy Goodies Confectionery Store, Chateau Lake Louise, AB TREC International Inc. 2-4 The Beginning of the New Millennium is the Age of ‘Personalization’ i.e. Ergonomics x Simply stated, this trend is about consumers’ need for more ‘personalization’ in terms of product concept, design, customizability or personalized service. Consumers are increasingly accustomed to a rich and meaningful experiential quality in their daily lives. x Old fashioned-tailored made products and service: made to order coffee drinks, juice bars, candy counters, packaged guiding activities, etc are on the rise. x Resorts are prime vehicles to Stage Experiences - the new economic engine of the 21st Century x Because consumers are constrained with time, they have become increasingly sophisticated in their thinking of retail. They are now more prone to find something new and have a desire to experience retail in a different way. x As exemplified in Figure 2.3, each successive offering to consumers greatly increases in value because the buyer finds each more relevant to what he or she truly wants, given their need for convenience, and personalized service. Therefore, customers want more than just purchase a good, but rather they are willing to spend more to purchase a good and/or service that is set in an attractive yet unique setting - one that reflects a whole experience. Figure 2.3 T h e P ro g re s s io n o f E c o n o m ic V a lu e $100 R e le v a n t to D iffe re n tia te d S ta g e E x p e rie n c e s D e liv e r S e rv c ie s C o m p e titiv e $50 P o s itio n N eeds of C u s to m e rs M ake Goods E x tra c t C o m m o d itie s U n d iffe re n tia te d Irre le v a n t $0 1 2 3 P re m iu m M a rk e t P ric in g Source: B. Joseph Pine II, James H. Gilmore, The Experience Economy, Work is Theatre & every Business a Stage, Harvard Business School Press, 1999. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-5 Personalized Service is Essential According to the Retail Council of Canada, 69% of retailers are planning to offer more personalized service, and using that as their top customer service strategy (See Figure 2.4). Figure 2.4 Customer Care Full Service 26% SelfService 4% Personalize d Service 69% Other 1% Source: Retail Council of Canada, 2002 Increasing Emphasis on Activity, Spending Time Socializing, Personal Health, Well Being and Longevity. Figure 2.5 Favorite Pass-Time Activities Fitness/ Sports Activity Reading Walking / Hiking Social Time with Friends / Family Relaxing / By Myself Gardening Shopping Arts and Crafts Watch TV Camping/Fishing Entertainment 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Source: Retail Council of Canada, 2002 District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-6 Customers Demand for “Value” in their Retail & Restaurant Offerings x It is important to note that there is no single notion of value; it can be found in a wide variety of merchandise at all price points and diverse formats. x Briefly, value means: good quality (i.e. durable, functional) products, at fair prices (stores guaranteeing merchandise and sales that are realistic), selection (i.e. in stock and availability); and service (i.e. knowledgeable, helpful sales staff and willingness to take special orders or to handle alterations). The Internet Will Influence Consumerism x Many convenience purchases will take place online thus allowing more time to browse and shop or play. Impulsive Shopping x Many consumers are hard pressed for time and thus more adept to impulse shopping. Impact of Time Pressures on Consumers x Many more North Americans are spending more time at work than in previous years. x More women are spending more time at work, while more women are also entering the workforce. Women are also usually the primary shoppers in the household. x With decrease in leisure time and pressure to spend more time with children, regular household chores are becoming burdensome. Thus businesses, which tend to these problems such as cleaning services, dog-walking, and cooking are all growing. Many North Americans are finding themselves eating out and spending more on restaurants. Some of the fastest growing businesses are the ones offering take-out. x Convenience shopping is a growing trend, with shorter and more task-oriented trips. The downtown retail landscape enables not having to drive long distances to the mall, parking their cars, or time spent in between. x Shoppers are now sharing foci on saving time, convenience and customer service. 2.3 PLACE MAKING AND THE REVITALIZATION OF THE DOWNTOWN DISTRICT x People are moving back downtown. This shift in residential patterns is creating a demand for downtown residential space, thus this will cause a demand for commercial space to meet the growing market. This growth is not restricted to large cities. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-7 x Aiken, South Carolina, with a population of 30,000, has financial incentives to attract residential development downtown to help with their revitalization program. x In Eureka, California and Peekskill, New York with populations around 20,000 are using downtown artist’s housing for their revitalization program. x Asheville, North Carolina; Bangor, Maine; Burlington, Vermont; and Sheboygan Falls, Wisconsin have relatively small populations and are seeing an increase in downtown residential development. x Increased residential development in downtown areas are good for a number of reasons: x Increased residents create a demand for retailers and entertainment functions, especially good restaurants. x More residents create a safer and interesting environment. x As Jane Jacobs describes, residents take “possession” of their area, and help maintain the property and become involved. x In many mixed use projects, the residential component makes the project financially viable. x The higher storeys can be sources of social and physical problems if left empty. x In older buildings, rehabilitated apartments can facilitate property owners to go after better retail tenants at street level. x It is important for a downtown to be a 24-hour activity centre. x There is the emergence of downtown social districts which is actually an old concept. Downtowns are being revitalized not only as residential and commercial space, but by social means as well. These spaces will be ‘stages’ to meet family, friends, and to take out the children, and create a sense of social soul, which has more importance than the goods and services offered there. x To create Place Making, it is important to look at the function of the building for social interaction rather than focusing on the purely architectural and physical elements. The nature of successful Place Making provides safe, clean, interesting and fun environment. x Tools for public entertainment can pose as a centerpiece to attract people, albeit for people watching – the most mundane. A few examples of open public tools of entertainment include: ¾A carrousel ¾Ice-skating rink District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-8 ¾Model boat pond ¾Children’s pony ride ¾People playing chess or checkers ¾People tossing a Frisbee ¾Teens doing skateboard or inline skate tricks x Multi-functionality is important in creating a successful downtown and it gives them their fundamental economic advantage. It doesn’t necessarily have to be the primary retail or commercial centre, but rather develop an entertainment and cultural niche. This can provide a strong sense of place. x The National Main Street Center claims the average residential household in a downtown area adds $8,000 to $10,000 to its economy. x It can be assumed that quality and quantity of housing in and around downtowns will have a large impact on their ability to attract and retain firms in the knowledge industries. 2.4 PRODUCTS OR RETAIL STORES TRENDS Based on our discussions with storeowners and analyzing retailing trends, the following are among the products and retail stores that are reasonably successful in resort towns and downtowns that cater to tourism. Convenience and Food Markets x Stores that offer a selection of convenience items and basic food items that people typically need during their outdoor outing or while staying at a resort for several days to a week are popular. This is particularly true if they offer value and ‘close to street pricing.’ x Consumers like resort guests, are typically willing to pay often 10% to 15% more than larger grocery stores; they are willing to pay this added premium for the added convenience and not having to jump into their vehicles to drive outside of the resort environment. Distinctive, ‘Browseable’ Goods x Customers are more acute in discovering and exploring unique goods, which cannot be found in traditional shopping centers. x Many of these distinctive goods are generally ‘browseable’, allowing patrons to see and observe but more importantly, to discover these kinds of items. Exploring the items set within a distinctive environment, in effect, can become a social experience for visitors. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-9 Career Casual Wear x Well entrenched already in the corporate environment, career casual wear in men’s wear and which has recently spread amongst female employees is the largest trend affecting the fashion industry. x Often labeled as ‘corporate casual’, both leisure apparel and sports wear offered at many resorts can fulfill this urban necessity. The Outdoors Look in both Women’s and Women’s Casual Apparel Continues to be on the Rise. x The type of clothing sold at Mountain Equipment Co-Op, REI, Filson, Orvis and L.L. Bean is increasing in many specialty stores such as Coast Mountain Sports, Patagonia, Helly-Hanson and North Face. x At the same time, specialty retailers are expanding their domain to include new products categories. For example, Eddie Bauer has expanded from its’ emphasis on men’s outdoor clothing to include women’s wear, luggage, housewares, and so forth. Boom in Home Furnishings x As home and recreational real estate sales are on the rise in most western Canadian markets, new houses or chalets triggers decorating purchases of furniture, functional art and decorative items. x Many stores, featuring both trendy furniture and specialty arts and crafts or home accessory stores have added contemporary collections that appeal to both baby boomers and people making a statement within their homes. 2.5 SHOPPING IS BECOMING MORE ALIGNED WITH ENTERTAINMENT Retail villages and stores by themselves are becoming more entertainment-oriented as well as social venues. Entertainment itself has evolved, and its role is changing. Entertainment desires are shifting to escape, reward, camaraderie, family and comfort values. This has taken a different direction from bigger-than-life and “plan ahead” events like amusement parks. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-10 The Creation of Staged Experiences x In the face of a rapidly changing technological age, customers are becoming more nostalgic, and are longing for some kind of experience that will take them into the past, seeking a more sense of security and comfort. Hence the rise of comfort food and staged or replicated experiences such as a browsing through an old general store, or visiting a heritage building. x Increasingly entertainment retail villages and stores are immersed in sensory stimulation, where sight, sound and fragrances are evident. Authentic Themed Retail x Theming can enhance or embellish a village, through the use of a creative texture, color, style and building materials and partly through spatial differentiation. x The best themed environments, and most successful, have typically been done at tourist destinations where developers are willing to spend more while guests are willing to pay more. Less voluminous, high-quality theming will create or enhance a better brand and image than a lot of poorly done themed finishes. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-11 Integrating Retailing with Services x Significant synergy exists between the various types of stores, restaurants and entertainment concepts that can be combined into one building or complex. With the right design and the animation integrated, people will linger longer which typically translates into higher sales (See photos). Cafes are commonly integrated with ski rentals & ski service areas– Panorama Village (above left corner) or at Whistler Village (right corner) Internet services within the General Store (Gift) environment on Pender Island (central right) Wilderness themed children’s play area in the REI store, Seattle, WA District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-12 Environmental Interpretation & Theming within Stores L.L.Bean Kids Store, Freeport, MA Practice Areas to Try Out Merchandise Fly Tying Workshop at one of Gaylan’s Outdoor Stores Hiking boots demonstration area sponsored by outdoor manufacturers' District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-13 Relaxation Retailing x Coffee bars, tea rooms and other indoor resting areas (See Photo) feature live classical or jazz performances, listening stations, book stores with poetry readings (i.e. Indigo Books), children’s’ hour, literary gatherings in cafes are increasingly being demanded as demonstrated by these stores continuously increasing sales. x All of these retailers provide the important element of social interaction. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-14 Siting Room in the Books Section of the Vermont General Store, Weston, VT. Historical interpretation wall also situated near the back of this section Concept of Bringing the Outside into the Inside x Outside-Inside is defined as creating an artificial environment that resembles the outdoors that is incorporated into the indoors, as exemplified by the Bay of Spirits Gallery in Ontario. (See Photo) The outdoors of Northern Ontario is replicated in the cashier desk which is faced with birch bark Totems, paintings, masks, and other small items are all sensitively displayed using minimal floor space at the desk, which also acts to reinforce the store's theme. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-15 x Animating the waterfront promenade with adjacent tenants holds significant potential to reinforce the Sea to Sky outdoor experience at Squamish. x One particular store that has utilized this concept is Cabellas, which is a large sporting good store chain that has become the number one tourist attraction in many of the states in which they are located within the US. x One reason behind their success is that they have gone to great lengths in replicating the natural environment to strengthen their merchandise settings and creating a ‘wow’ experience for patrons, as illustrated in these photos. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-16 Creating an Experience in Restaurants x Consumers now, view dinning-out as the number-one way to unwind and relax. Therefore restaurants are offering an even higher level of leisure dining that is more entertainment-oriented. x Restaurants featuring diverse environments such as the old west or Australian outback or L’Shack at Mt. Tremblant that replicates an old Quebec sugar shack are being used to enhance the visitor's experience (See Photo). These examples could be combined with museum memorabilia items and be integrated at the some of the existing or potential food/entertainment venues within the District of Squamish. New Tastes for Restaurants x Foodservice and Hospitality Magazine also suggests that healthy food is emerging as a popular trend. For example, omega-3-rich burgers, orange juice with added calcium and ice cream packed with vitamins and minerals are becoming popular menu items for consumers. Ethnic cuisine continues to be a strong interest among customers x Plus, more ‘exotic’, bolder tastes and bohemian flavors are becoming the trend of today’s restaurant industry, which should be considered as other options when determining the food service outlets within the District. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-17 Placemaking and Placekeeping x Creating a place where patrons feel comfortable and want to linger or creating a community attraction, a place where you go to see and be seen is key, and will be essential to the downtown and waterfront experience in attracting consumers and setting the stage. x The overall design for the downtown and waterfront is in effect creating the stage where the actors are tenants displaying their wares or services in order to entertain the guests, which is already being practiced in Mt. Tremblant. Hi-tech in Retail x In recent years, retailers have incorporated new electronic and communications technology in their stores, such as computers, listening devices and video monitors. x This high-tech approach to retailing is particularly appealing to younger, computerliterate consumers who enjoy the stimulation and sense of involvement. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-18 2.6 TRENDS FACING THE RETAIL LANDSCAPE There are many retail trends facing the industry and this next section will outline the trends facing the retail landscape. x Commercial streets are advancing in attracting retailers due to the convenience they offer the customers and their detachment from mall proprietors. Their place in this type of environment enables them to adapt to the changing needs of the consumer in a more personalized and experiential setting. x Downtowns now offer a more favourable socio-economic environment to attract retailers, which in turn attract all walks of life. x Main Street retailing is an increasing trend that attracts both local residents and tourists. It offers a diverse and interesting mix of small and large tenants that caters to the local need of convenience shopping, unique environments and lifestyle experiences. x Regional malls have declined over the years due to the proximity to some communities and its operating costs. x Fewer people are going to the mall and spending less time there. Numbers have been declining since the 1980’s, and shoppers of all incomes (from high to low) have changed their attitudes towards a more value driven market . x Baby boomers are the main market that supports value retail. Retailers such as: Wal-Mart, Costco, Home Depot and Winners thrive in this market. st x 21 century shoppers still desire value, but also want convenience and ambience. Priorities include: ¾Quick-in, quick-out, close-by shops ¾Established relationships with sales staff to tend to the needs and services of the consumer ¾Shopping amongst quaint, walkable, entertaining environment x The warehouse concept is merging with the retail environment and an increasing number of purchases are made through distribution and warehouse centres as well online direct purchasing. x Online Purchasing has had a significant impact on the retail landscape and sales reached $15.7 billion in the U.S. during the second quarter of 2004. This is an increase of 23% over the same quarter of 2003. Source: ZDNet, 2004. x Despite strong growth it will be time before online shopping is dominant. Even if it grew 10% per year and the rest of retail remained stagnant it would take until the year 2013 before e-commerce gained more than 10% of total sales. Source: InfoWorld.com, 2002 District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-19 x Online retail could garner higher annual growth than 10% per year. Some factors could include: ¾Growing number of people using and learning to use the Internet for a variety of reasons ¾Female online shopping is fast catching up to male online shopping ¾It is easier to shop online with better-invested and constructed websites ¾Credit card companies have introduced zero liability to ease consumer concerns for credit card fraud.Increase in broadband connection ¾The desire to save time has spurred online shopping x Developers are taking interest in downtown ventures. Previously, it was difficult to get some retail establishments in the downtown area, but nowadays retailers, and even many big box stores, are vying for this location x Reasons for retailers to come downtown include: ¾Lack of stores and untapped markets ¾Desire to be close to the consumer ¾Cheaper rents ¾Weakening of power malls ¾Increasing number of affluent and childless households in the area ¾Growing popularity of downtown shopping environments x Retailers are willing to alter their designs to meet legal requirements and local needs. Some examples include: ¾Signage and store facades must comply with local design requirements in Whistler Village. ¾Wal-mart has designed a store in Long Beach, California where an Art Deco theme dominates and smaller tenants are located around its perimeter providing a streetscapes idea that eliminates blank walls and offers a more active frontage. Source: Shopping Centre World, 2002. ¾According to the store’s architects, the Abbarch Partnership, the new Wal-mart in Squamish will be the best designed in Canada x The emergence of Lifestyle Centres is now evident in many new mall developments. One example is the Village at Park Royal in West Vancouver. Lifestyle Centres are stages to attract people back to the mall and make it more of a social environment. These shopping areas possess: ¾A pedestrian friendly, urban environment for social and shopping activities. ¾A sense of community and space with increased interaction and a heightened sense of security. ¾A unique recreational atmosphere. ¾Multiple services and products to satisfy more needs at once. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-20 ¾A social aspect that draws crowds, which in turn will have an effect on the tenants. x A sub-centre is emerging to capture specific lifestyles. These consumers have a common background, which lures specific groups such as the Asian or Latino community, or the outdoor recreationists and youth. Many of these stores feature active participation and a “try before you buy” concept. x There is a surge of home and hearth stores in particular. Despite the lower profit margins and large storage space these stores have been growing in popularity since the 1990’s. These stores also thrive in a downtown environment and tend to be independent. This particular trend inherit these factors: ¾Increased immigration ¾Increase in the number of people forming new households. ¾The 1980’s well-to-do and baby-boomers looking to invest into their homes. 2.7 FUTURE TRENDS OF THE 21ST CENTURY Based on our analysis of existing literature and conference findings on retailing, the following are among the trends that are predicted for the near future: Consumers worldwide will grow increasingly accustomed to a rich and meaningful experiential quality in their daily lives. Since 1950, US consumer expenditures on all forms of entertainment have risen by 45%, while spending on items such as food, alcoholic beverages, apparel and services have decreased 32% during the same period. Therefore, these figures indicate that consumers are gaining a stronger interest and taste in entertainment experiences. ‘Show architecture’ with experiential environments, will be paramount in appealing to the interests of future consumers. Store-within-a-store concepts will be increasingly utilized, as firms with well-defined product lines will team up with other retailers with similar characteristics. For example, Starbucks, Second Cup and Seattle’s Best Coffee, have all formed strategic alliances with retailers in various fields, including, Intrawest, Indigo, Barnes & Noble, Crate & Barrel, and Nordstrom, whose patrons fit the same lifestyle profile as those of the different gourmet coffeebar chains. Grocery Stores with ready made meals and gas stations with ATM’s are examples of the kind of product that will be enticing to the busy and multitasking consumer. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-21 Environmental Themed Stores and Partnerships will become an important trend in retail villages and shopping centers, which is something that has already been experimented by large sporting goods and recreational equipment stores. Live Performances from musical to concerts and busking to theatre will be important draw factors for the consumer. It is a vital activity that will engage the masses. Catering to Hip Communities will be a trend that deals with people such as seniors or retirees and the baby boomers. The changing notion of consumerism for these groups will be important to capture the more relaxed experience and an inclination for escape and indulgence. “Show” Architecture will be a large pull to capture and entertain the consumer right from the start or even from a distance. This can be a first step to keeping the customer. Person to Person Service will be one of the leading factors in attracting the customer. As shopping and consumerism evolves into a more experiential experience the need for more personal service will be paramount. Thus having experienced and knowledgeable staff to sell and engage the customer will offer an opportunity for the business to flourish. Self-Indulgence is an ever-growing market. Businesses such as day-spas, beauty treatments, masseurs, cosmetic companies, dry cleaning, florists, and other personal services will thrive due to the demand for pleasure-seeking services. Destination Resorts will be a form of the new trend. Short leisure trips and urban resorts will become popular catering to the masses that call for short and close-by mini vacations. Flex Platforms are fast becoming areas of prosperity rather than cost centres. Flex platforms are termed as common areas within the retail landscape and can take the form of libraries, town centres, or community parks. 3 M’s of entertainment will be a major aspect of the new trends. Moments, Memories and Mementos are ideals that consumers will be looking for when walking away from an experience. Increasing Female Market Incursion will give the female more discretionary income. The labour force participation rate of women is expected to rise to 70% by 2020. By providing out of home experiences that satisfy women many businesses can thrive. Nostalgia is an aspect that is also part of this new trend. What is old is new and services such as produce and milk are being delivered to our doorstep, thanks to the Internet. Selling an Experience will become a new trend that will combine many others to offer more than just the good or service. Lavish decorations, role playing, themed spaces are all part of the experience. Revitilization of Social Centres will be a key in attracting and selling experiences. Refurbishing old theatres, museums, and arts centres will lure consumers. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-22 2.8 RETAIL IMPLICATIONS A brief summary of retail trends that would influence the tenant mix and merchandising within the District of Squamish is outlined in the following matrix: TRENDS IMPLICATIONS CONSUMERS Consumers are rewarding themselves with ‘small indulgences’ x The aging baby boomers, are reaching a time in their lives, when escape is a important factor and consideration in their lives x Customers today demand ‘value’ when shopping x Fine accessories such as, quality sunglasses, super in-feet insoles for ski boots, hats, scarves, belts, hiking/walking shoes, premium quality toiletries or soaps, etc. would collectively all suit the interests of the Squamish markets There will be a need to provide nostalgic experiences for a population that is increasingly aging such as: opening up a General store, where customers are given an opportunity to step back in time. Tenants should offer its customers value which means: good quality (i.e. durable, functional) products, at fair prices (stores guaranteeing merchandise and sales that are realistic), selection (i.e. availability); and service (i.e. knowledgeable, helpful sales staff and willingness to take special orders or to handle alterations). PRODUCTS AND RETAIL STORES Customers are more acute in discovering and exploring unique goods x Consumers like resort guests, are typically willing to pay often 10% to 15% more on convenience goods x The Outdoors Look in both Women’s and Women’s Casual Apparel Continues to be on the Rise x Home Furnishing sales are on the rise in most western Canadian urban markets x Increasing emphasizes on activity, spending time socializing, personal health, well being and longevity x District of Squamish Retail Strategy Unique goods that reflect the surrounding environment such as: hand crafted art work, paintings, home furnishings and accessories and other souvenirs. There will be a need to provide additional convenience goods or basic food items that visitors will typically need, during their outdoor outing, preventing them from leaving the District and purchasing those items at Whistler or elsewhere. In order to tap into this lucrative market it should be expected that items such as: gortex jackets, fleece wear, sweaters and other outdoor accessories should be provided at the plaza As the number of condos increase at Squamish, this will trigger an opportunity to offer trendy furniture, or housewares that reflects the natural environment for customers who want to make a statement in their homes. Resort guests want to have fun in a healthy and entertaining environment TREC International Inc. 2-23 SHOPPING AND ENTERTAINMENT Practice areas to try out merchandise are becoming increasingly integrated in retail stores in the US and Canada Theming can embellish a village, as well as increase sales, and offer visitors an enhanced retailing experience x There are new ways of operating Restaurants to counter seasonal changes of demand. x Bringing the ‘Outside into the Inside’ has become a popular trend among retail stores in North America. x x Allow customers to test equipment or accessories before they buy - some of this may be practical at Squamish. Authentic themes revolving around the overall theme of the 'Outdoor Recreation Capital of Canada' will provide a lot of flexibility and fun for individual retailers at District of Squamish. Offer restaurants in the plaza that can transform themselves throughout the day from a coffee shop, to a luncheon bistro, to a white-tablecloth restaurant. Animating the downtown and future waterfront area with appropraite tenants, place making, etc. holds significant potential to reinforce the outdoor recreation experience. TRENDS OF THE FUTURE Health enhancement services has and will continue to be a mainstream trend, especially among the Baby-Boomers x ‘Going Green’ Retail Stores will become more appealing, more particularly to the ‘Generation Y’ audience x Store-within-a store is becoming a popular concept among retailers x There will be a strong market to offer day spas, masseurs, beauty treatment centers and other personal services. Opening up an environmental themed store or partnership with conservation groups may hold potential. Some larger interlinked stores and venues should be considered to act as anchors for the village 2.9 SUMMARY Overall the success of the District of Squamish will be highly dependent on the way it presents itself to visitors and customers. Theming the retail, albeit carefully and suddenly (not contrived) is essential in order to offer visitors an added experience, as well as generating higher sales and profits. Provincial tourism statistics have indicated that there is a strong demand among tourists for shopping attraction (second most popular activity) in the region. Therefore, it is vital in designing the downtown and nearby waterfront as a kind of ‘stage’ and allowing tenants to display their items in a playful way in order to capture the customers’ attention, and more significantly their imagination. The overall theme of these areas that reflects the Sea to Sky region will provide a lot of flexibility and fun for individual retailers within the District of Squamish. Moreover, animating the waterfront with exciting tenants holds significant potential to reinforce the Sea to Sky outdoor experience for visitors. Apart from the theme, retailers in North America have begun to experiment with innovative ways of retailing to enhance the experience of their visitors, such as appealing to consumer’s five senses in their retail offerings. To summarise some of the products and retail store types that are increasingly demanded by the new millennium consumer, Table 2.2 highlights the key consumer products and trends that are affecting retail in the next decade. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-24 Table 2.2 - Key Retail Practices and Trends What’s Hot What’s Not Consumers Optimistic Consumers Cautious Shoppers Personalized, idiosyncrasy items Traditional, bulk goods Recreation, Leisure and Personal Health Watch TV Impulse & experiential retailing Shop till you drop Small Indulgences, Self-gratifying gifts Monolithic, banal goods Products and Services Highly targeted specialty stores Unfocused Ma and Pa operators Book stores with coffee bars Conspicuous consumption Home fashions and functional art / furnishings Men’s suits Self service access & interactive retailing or try before one buys Locked up display cases Value driven & entertainment merchandising Offering everything to everybody Career casual apparel / Outdoor look Furs Everyday low prices Designer chic Customer service Sales hype Knowing your market Untrained sales staff Impulse & experiential retailing Shop till you drop Shopping and Entertainment Retail facilities designed with a theme Monolithic designed retail stores Restaurants that comes with an experience Traditional restaurants with no added features Outside into the Inside Sterile interiors Relaxation Retail Busy, crowded, uncomfortable retail stores Integrating Retail and Entertainment Department Stores Environmental Themed Stores and Partnerships Non-‘green’ stores Store within a store Discrete retail stores & eateries Hi-Tech Retail Antiquated Retail Source: TREC International Inc, Urban Land Institute, International Council of Shopping Centres, Retail Council of Canada, Tourism BC, Resort Forum, International Spa Association, and other sources as identified in the report. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 2-25 3.0 SQUAMISH RETAIL ASSESSMENT 3.1 INTRODUCTION Overall, Squamish has the largest concentration of retail space in the Sea to Sky Corridor and has become the retail/service centre for the region serving Furry Creek to Lilloett offering a broad range of retail categories. Until recently, most of the retail space was situated in the Downtown Core with pockets of retail in the Garibaldi Highlands and neighborhood commercial sprinkled throughout the various neighbourhoods with much of this retail space locally owned and operated. More recently, Squamish is experiencing rapid growth in the retail sector as a result of increased residential construction and increased tourist traffic through the Corridor. As a result of this growth and future anticipated growth, mass merchandisers and big box retailers such as Walmart and Home Depot have recently secured locations in Squamish with many others also considering a location in Squamish. Therefore, the retail trends impacting many communities across North America are now impacting on the Squamish retail sector. In the face of this dramatic change, it is essential to develop a profile of the overall retail inventory in Squamish to determine how this change has re-shaped the local retail sector and how it will impact the future of retailing in Squamish. Accordingly, this section examines the retail/commercial infrastructure throughout Squamish. This assessment will culminate in a matrix that will be valuable to ascertain the merchandising “voids/oversupplies”, functions, and other opportunities that future retail development in Squamish could fulfil. 3.2 OVERALL DISTRICT OF SQUAMISH ASSESSMENT In order to completely understand the existing merchandising mix, an assessment of the existing retail businesses in Squamish was conducted during the months of August through to November 2004. The area examined is illustrated in Figure 3.1 that also outlines the 5 precincts (Downtown, Garibaldi Highlands, Business Park, Brackendale and Valleycliffe) that make up the District of Squamish. The retail and commercial mix that was examined primarily included street level uses. The majority of the numerous offices in multi-storey buildings were for the most part not included in our assessment unless they were occupied by uses that were of a retail nature or by uses that would fall under the category of business and personal services. The following summarises the most salient findings from this overall retail/commercial and land use assessment: In total, there is an estimated 880,000 sq. ft of retail/commercial floorspace currently exists within Squamish with an additional 210,000 sq.ft. planned for the Walmart, Home Depot and the next phase of Garibaldi Village. Overall, there are approximately 325 merchants in Squamish. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 3-1 Figure 3.1 Commercial Precincts in Squamish BRACKENDALE GARIBALDI HIGHLANDS BUSINESS PARK VALLEYCLIFFE DOWNTOWN District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 3-2 There are an estimated 28 vacant properties (existing or planned) properties within Squamish totalling 132,000 sq.ft. Of this vacant space, approximately 57,000 sq.ft.(5% vacancy rate) is existing inventory with the bulk of this space (41,000 sq.ft.) situated in the Downtown core. Approximately 75,000 sq.ft. (7% vacancy rate) of the vacant space is in the late planning/early construction phase with the bulk of this space (62,000 sq.ft.) situated in the Garibaldi Highlands. Currently, the largest existing space available for sale or lease is 6,000 sq.ft. (Former True Valu space) The potential for larger available space exists at the second phase of Garibaldi Village, however, it will not be available for occupancy until the fall of 2006. Therefore, there currently is not any space available for immediate occupancy for uses requiring over 7,000 sq.ft. . It is also important to note that the average size of the international retailers in Squamish is almost 10,000 sq.ft. As summarised in Table 3.1, the largest retail/commercial category will soon be homebuilding supplies (149,000 sq.ft.) once the Home Depot is complete in 2005. At that time, this category will occupy 14% of the total retail/commercial floorspace. This will be closely followed by restaurants and cafes which represent approximately 139,000 sq. ft. of floorspace or an estimated 13% of the overall retail/commercial floorspace in Squamish. Automotive sales, parts and repairs and food are the next largest retail/commercial categories representing 12% and 11%, respectively, of the total Squamish floorspace. Household furnishings and equipment and home entertainment and equipment and services only account for 5% of the total floorspace. Of the total occupied (inc. Walmart/Home Depot) retail space in Squamish, locally owned and operated operations were the largest segment and accounted for approximately 463,500 sq.ft. (48%) followed by international retailers at 225,600 sq.ft. (24%), regional chains at 136,900 sq.ft. (14%) and national chains at 132,500 sq.ft. (14%). The international retailers, however, occupied the largest retail units on average at 9,800 sq.ft. followed by national and retail chains at approximately 5,500 sq.ft./unit with locally owned operations occupying the smallest space at approximately 2,600 sq.ft./unit. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 3-3 Table 3.1 District of Squamish, Commercial Retail Floorspace Inventory By Major Commercial Precinct (sq. ft.) RETAIL TYPE Downtown Squamish Brackendale Garibaldi Highlands Valleycliff Business Park Total % of Total Food 64,601 5,243 32,480 4,698 8,625 115,647 11% Clothing 33,257 0 3,912 0 28,000 65,169 6% Household Operation 28,731 0 5,650 1,980 22,784 59,145 5% Household Furnishings & Equipment 26,808 0 5,500 0 13,867 46,175 4% 3,262 0 0 0 10,000 13,262 1% 19,668 0 8,885 0 14,600 43,153 4% Home Entertainment Equipment & Services Recreation Equipment & Associated Services Health & Personal Care 54,284 527 7,306 1,485 2,945 66,546 6% Business & Personal Services 57,391 400 8,312 1,485 0 67,588 6% Recreational/Entertainment Services 36,666 7,079 12,850 0 8,456 65,051 6% Restaurants & Cafes 77,303 2,484 37,206 4,500 16,982 138,474 13% 9,279 0 17,340 0 122,814 149,433 14% Home Building & Supplies Auto Sales Parts & Operation 40,082 3,618 31,240 0 54,058 128,998 12% Total Vacant Planned 6,545 0 62,467 0 6,700 75,712 7% Total Vacant Existing 41,742 0 5,229 0 9,912 56,883 5% 499,617 19,350 238,376 14,148 319,742 1,091,233 100% 46% 2% 22% 1% 29% Total % of Total Source: TREC International Inc., November 2004 3.3 ASSESSMENT BY PRECINCT WITHIN SQUAMISH As previously mentioned, Figure 3.1 illustrates the 5 major precincts within Squamish – Downtown, Garibaldi Highlands, Business Park, Brackendale and Valleycliffe. Table 3.1 also outlines the amount of floorspace by category for each of the 5 precincts as well as the approximate number of establishments. For each category, it also outlines the proportion of floorspace it occupies in relation to the overall amount of retail/commercial floorspace identified for the overall BIA. A few salient findings are outlined as follows: Downtown Squamish represents the largest precinct in terms of total floorspace with an estimated 500,000 sq. ft. of retail/commercial floorspace followed by the Business Park with 319,000 sq.ft. (includes Walmart/Home Depot) and Garibaldi Highlands (includes Phase 2 of Garibaldi Village) accounting for 238,000 sq. ft. In total, these three main precincts collectively account for an estimated 1,057,735 sq. ft. or 97% of the total retail/commercial floorspace within Squamish. The largest retail/commercial categories for each of the 5 precincts are outlined in Table 3.1. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 3-4 Presently, the only big box retailers in Squamish are found in the Business Park (Walmart/Home Depot) or the Garibaldi Highlands (Canadian Tire). No retail operation over 10,000sq.ft. exists in the Downtown core other than grocery stores SaveOn Foods and IGA. The largest other retailer Lordo Autoparts at approximately 10,000 sq.ft. The Downtown core houses most (85%) of the Business and Personal Services in Squamish and most of the Health and personal services (82%). Home building supplies are found predominately (82%) in the Business Park. Virtually all of the expansion into Squamish by regional, national or international chains has occurred in the Garibaldi Highlands and the Business Park. 3.4 RETAIL/COMMERCIAL IMPLICATIONS Characteristics x x x x x x x Implications Squamish is comprised of almost 1.1 million sq. ft. of retail and commercial service floorspace; the largest single concentration of this type of floorspace in Sea to Sky Corridor and the only “full service” retail area in the Corridor Squamish currently has 56,000 sq.ft. of vacant existing space. None of the existing available space is over 7,000 sq.ft. Approximately 76,000 sq.ft. of vacant space is in the planning/construction phase, most of which is situated in the Garibaldi Highlands. The majority of the available existing space is older, lower profile space situated in the Downtown core. Presently, this space has limited appeal to retailers from outside of Squamish as a result of its appearance, the size of available space and the lack of quality anchor tenant to draw people into the Downtown. x Squamish holds potential to strengthen its role as the only “full service” retail area in the Sea to Sky corridor and to become a true multi-faceted regional town centre for regional residents and tourists alike. x Home building and supplies will be the largest category upon the completion of the Walmart and Home Depot. Business and personal services, restaurants and cafes, auto parts and service and food categories are also dominant categories. x The Downtown, Garibaldi Highlands and the Business Park account for 97% of the retail floorspace in Squamish. All recent growth has been a result of regional, national and international retailers moving into the market in high profile locations along Hwy.99. The Downtown is the largest precinct but has not seen any growth in years. Limited future opportunities in other precincts plus Waterfront, Block R and Interfor developments Downtown show promise for the future. x Squamish currently has no space available ready to move into that is large enough to accommodate most international chains. Squamish currently has a limited supply of existing space that is available and ready to move into that has the type of exposure and appeal that larger mass merchandisers seek. The upcoming waterfront and Adventure Centre developments should provide the Downtown with the opportunity to draw residents and tourists into the Downtown core. The Downtown core needs to be updated (appearance) and adapted (size of space) to attract larger regional to international retailers and factory outlets. Squamish is the only area in the Corridor where all categories are represented. The retail/merchandising mix also has potential to change even further as Squamish’s residential population grows (more home furnishings) and the income of its residents increases (more higher-end specialty stores) The three main precincts have different roles and functions to different types of consumers and have segmented themselves along these lines – Downtown (Business and personal services), Garibaldi Highlands (General retail area), Business Park (Big Box and home supplies). The Downtown needs to re-position itself because it is not attracting any range of retail growth under its current orientation other than local operations. Fortunately, Squamish has a rare opportunity to recreate a retail/entertainment experience in Downtown Squamish that would be truly unique for Western Canada and District of Squamish Retail Strategy x x x x x x TREC International Inc. 3-5 Characteristics x x x Implications Generally, there is currently a limited diversity of Cultural, Arts, Recreation, Entertainment, Education, and Sports (CARES) uses within the District. Many of the CARES facilities predominantly cater to District residents. Proposed referendum on construction of major CARES projects is expected. x x x x x The market position for Squamish’s current merchandising mix is predominantly low-medium income featuring traditional, somewhat contemporary, and few avante garde stores. Squamish, however, is expected to attract a significant amount if new residents, likely higher earning residents and become more of an outright tourist destination in upcoming years. x establish Squamish as a true tourist destination unto itself. As identified in Section 2, this represents a dominant trend facing the shopping centre industry, downtowns and destination resort towns. There is an opportunity to incorporate additional and/or different CARES facilities into Squamish. The recreation category appears to be well-supplied, albeit under organized and lacking in long-term certainty and amenities. The education (experience) potential for the area is immense with its spectacular natural setting and rich logging/marine/First Nations heritage. These hold potential to draw both regional residents, daytrippers from the Lower Mainland as well as tourists. The new CARES facilities proposed in the upcoming referendum should be located Downtown and on the waterfront, if possible, to provide anchors to attract both residents and tourists into the Downtown. There appears to be an opportunity to supplement this market position with more moderate-moderately high income and contemporary, avarde garde/eclectic mix of stores. 3.5 SUMMARY The Squamish retail market has grown and changed dramatically in recent years. As recent as five years ago much of the retail in Squamish was locally owned and operated and situated downtown. However, retailing trends impacting on the rest of North America have hit Squamish with regional, national and international retailers securing new locations along Hwy.99 and expanding Squamish’s retail base further into the Garibaldi Highlands and Business Park. In the process Squamish has grown from a localized retail centre into the largest retail centre in the Sea to Sky Corridor servicing local Squamish residents, other Corridor residents (Whistler, Furry Creek and Pemberton) and tourists to the Sea to Sky Corridor. Therefore, a blueprint for the future is more critical than ever. Recent growth has been largely from regional to international retailers from outside of Squamish and they have located in high-profile locations along Hwy. 99 away from the previous retail centre – the Downtown. The Business Park has clearly become the “big-box district” and Garibaldi Village has definite appeal to tourists, regional residents and residents from north parts of Squamish. Over the recent past, the Vision and ‘role and function’ of Downtown has not been as clear. Once the focal point for retail in Squamish, it has seen no retail growth (actually a decline) in many categories outside of business and personal services or health care. All of the retail categories are represented in the Squamish market making it the only full-service centre in the Sea to Sky Corridor. Squamish also holds potential to strengthen its “full service” role and to become a true multi-faceted regional town centre for regional residents and tourists alike. To achieve this, Squamish will need to continue to offer a wide mix of retail and service District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 3-6 choices from local operators to international retailers. A revitalized Downtown and other areas of Squamish not situated on the highway will play key roles in offering local retailers future growth opportunities as the more visible highway opportunities are being secured by larger regional to international retailers. Overall, the market position for the majority of the retail/commercial mix can generally be described as currently catering to a lower-middle income market with a mix of traditional and somewhat contemporary and few avante garde stores. Interestingly, the emergence of the larger format retailers has put new competitive pressures on existing retailers and each new larger retailer can have a dramatic effect on a particular retail category. As Squamish continues to grow and appeal to broader range of residents (higher income) and it grows its reputation as a tourist destination unto itself, an opportunity for a select group of higher-end retailers and local specialty shops will also be available. Updating the appearance of the Downtown adapting the existing spaces to enable larger retailers would make Squamish more appealing to these high-end retailers/specialty shops as well make the Downtown more appealing to larger regional to international retailers and factory outlets. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 3-7 4.0 ASSESSMENT OF COMPETITIVE INFRASTRUCTURE 4.1 INTRODUCTION Squamish experiences a considerable amount of outshopping to surrounding communities such as West Vancouver, North Vancouver, the Greater Vancouver region and Whistler, which provides a considerable threat to Squamish retailers. Therefore, to identify an appropriate retail strategy for Squamish, it is essential to identify and assess the competitive strength of the retail space in competing locations and to identify the merchandizing mix prevailing in those locations. An integral component of this section also includes an assessment of other non retail/service commercial uses (e.g. cultural, arts, recreation, educational, entertainment, sports (CARES), tourism, office facilities) that may hold potential to round out the appeal of Squamish to both residents and tourist markets. Similar to the previous section, this assessment will culminate in a matrix that will be valuable to ascertain the merchandising voids, functions, and other opportunities that Squamish could fulfil. 4.2 EXISTING CENTRES The shopping centres and districts that compete with the Squamish and regional market are those situated in Whistler, Pemberton, West Vancouver, North Vancouver and the Greater Vancouver region. Of these competing centres, only Whistler and Pemberton are situated in the immediate trade area. Given the significant amount of outshopping experienced in the Squamish market, however, the existing retail infrastructure in areas like West Vancouver and North Vancouver also need to be examined. In addition, local and regional residents (i.e Sea to Sky residents) also patronise the many big box stores, warehouse clubs, auto dealerships, entertainment/retail areas such as Yaletown, and Granville Island, as well as other regional shopping centers, to a lessor extent, that are located in the Greater Vancouver region. THE TRADE AREA Whistler Whistler’s retail infrastructure consists of three distinct villages - Main Village, Whistler Marketplace, Blackcomb and Creekside Villages – each offering a unique retail experience unlike any other found in most communities in North America. Of these, the Main Village is expected to provide a significant impact on the merchandizing mix in Squamish. The Main Village offers numerous brand name retail (GAP, Eddie Bauer, Roots, Helly Hanson, etc.) and entertainment options (fine dining, night life) not available elsewhere in the Sea to Sky Corridor. Consequently it is the main draw for brand conscious tourists to Whistler as well as brand conscious or higher-income residents from the entire trade area, including Squamish. In District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 4-1 addition, strong medium sized mass merchandisers such as London Drugs are also looking at entering the Whistler area, which holds potential to increase Whistler’s draw from Squamish. Whistler Marketplace offers a supermarket and restaurants that provide mainly convenience items to tourists and local residents of Whistler plus some specialty stores. To a certain extent, it draws residents from communities north and immediately south of Whistler (Pinecrest/Black Tusk) but is not expected to have much drawing power for Squamish residents. Blackcomb and Creekside Villages offer an even smaller array of choices than the other Whistler areas. The restaurants, cafes and specialty stores have their most appeal to tourists staying within their respective villages and to those residents from the immediate surrounding areas. Their appeal to residents outside of Whistler is limited. Pemberton Pemberton’s retail infrastructure generally provides for the day-to day needs of its local residents. Thus the tenant mix is predominantly comprised of supermarkets, convenience goods (i.e. drugs and sundries) and personal services. A small amount of highway commercial (fast food, gas) exists on Hwy. 99 to cater to the needs of the travelling public. Although tourist oriented retail is virtually non-existent, an examination of how communities in the Vail Valley have evolved reveals that both Pemberton and Mt Curry holds significant potential to also embrace tourist based retailing. Overall, these developments are not expected to exert a strong immediate influence on Squamish’s retail mix. OUTSIDE THE TRADE AREA West Vancouver Although outside of Squamish’s immediate trade area, Park Royal Mall in West Vancouver provides significant direct competition to the Squamish marketplace. Anchored by national department store chains (Bay), supermarkets (Super Valu & Whole Foods), and large retailers (London Drugs, Future Shop, Winners, The Brick), Park Royal offers a tremendously wider selection of brand-name apparel (Gap, Roots, Eddie Bauer), home electronics, home furnishings and other department store merchandise than that found in Squamish. Consequently, Park Royal has been a prime recipient of Squamish’s outshopping especially for mid to higher-end retail offerings. Park Royal also offers the closest indoor shopping experience to Squamish. The new Villages at Park Royal offer a “shopping experience” with its unique, pedestrian nautical themed design, cutting edge retailers (Whole Foods, Lululemon), brand name clothing (Old Navy, Lululemon), specialty stores and home “renovation” offerings (Home Depot, Home Outfitters, Urban Barn and Michaels Crafts). Therefore the Villages offer a unique experience not available in Squamish, and retail selections that appeal to Squamish’s growing mid-upper income earners and health conscious residents. Capilano Mall is a regional centre in North Vancouver that also is a recipient of Squamish outshopping. Anchored by Walmart and Sears, this mall appeals to Squamish residents seeking a wider selection and lower prices for department store merchandise currently unavailable in Squamish or Park Royal. The new Walmart store in Squamish will serve to significantly reduce District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 4-2 the competitive impact of Capilano Mall. Squamish residents have the option of the local Sears Catalogue store and the remaining stores at Capilano mall appeal more to the local residents of North Vancouver. The key findings from this assessment include: To reduce outshopping to neighbouring communities such as the Greater Vancouver region and Whistler, Squamish needs to continue to increase the amount of selection and more competitive pricing offered in these areas. Also, to increase the appeal to tourists visiting the Sea to Sky Corridor Squamish will need to provide a unique shopping experience. Shopping venues such as Park Royal, Capilano, warehouse stores and other big boxes situated in the Greater Vancouver region offer a much wider variety of shopping experience than Squamish could likely ever offer given its size, therefore, some outshopping is likely to continue. However, upcoming developments in Squamish for Walmart, Home Depot and the proposed Factory Outlets will significantly reduce the amount of outshopping because they will reduce the amount of retail spending at these same retailers in the Greater Vancouver region. The Villages at Park Royal provides cutting edge retailers (Whole Foods) and a unique retail experience (open air pedestrian experience with a nautical themed design), which should continue to prove attractive to mid to higher income residents until a similar opportunity is available in Squamish. Whistler’s Main Village provides a competitive threat for Squamish retailers as a result of the numerous brand name retailers, first class restaurants and clubs and unique resort experience. While Whistler has a significant advantage in competing for tourists, it is possible to attract some of the tourists by also offering brand-name goods at lower prices possibly through factory outlets, either in the proposed Business Park location, or in the Downtown core. An eclectic array of unique, ‘one-of-kind’ shops also holds potential to draw tourists off the highway into the downtown core and waterfront area. Squamish’s future oceanfront development and redevelopment potential in Downtown offers Squamish the opportunity to compete more directly with Whistler and the Villages at Park Royal for both tourists and residents from the trade area. The oceanfront development offers Squamish the potential to create a truly unique retail experience that could both attract tourists to the Sea to Sky Corridor and enable Squamish to capture a greater share of the tourists along the Sea to Sky Corridor. The Downtown core could also be redeveloped to provide an even more attractive environment to that found in destinations such as the Villages at Park Royal, Fort Langley, Steveston and other shopping/entertainment destinations. In both cases, offering brand name goods through factory outlets sprinkled throughout the waterfront and Downtown may be a way to effectively attract both tourists and local residents who otherwise are inclined to purchase these products outside Squamish. The new Walmart will effectively eliminate the competitive impact of Capilano Mall in North Vancouver. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 4-3 4.3 FUTURE DEVELOPMENT COMPETING RETAIL OUTSIDE OF SQUAMISH The Britannia Project at Britannia Beach just south of Squamish will provide a significant competitive threat to Squamish’s retail market, especially tourist oriented retail. This project will result in the transformation of the existing Britannia Mining Museum into a major international tourist destination. and current preliminary plans reveal an estimated 100,000 sq.ft. of retail space may be incorporated as part of a planned village. This retail space will be focused towards serving the needs of the tourists visiting the Mining Museum, tourists visiting the Sea to Sky Corridor and to residents of the burgeoning Britannia community. It is also important to note that the Britannia Project has an advantageous location over Squamish in the sense that it is located further south on Hwy. 99 and will intercept inbound tourist traffic before it reaches Squamish. Therefore, to diminish the competitive threat of this project, it is important for Squamish to seek out ways to partner with this development to ensure that it is complimentary to Squamish’s waterfront development rather than competing directly for the same tourists. Squamish also needs to move forward as soon as possible on its waterfront development to position itself for such discussions. A preliminary review of the remainder of the Sea to Sky Corridor from Whistler to Horseshoe Bay does not uncover any other planned major retail developments. The bulk of the land outside of Squamish is unsurveyed Crown Land with the main exception of Furry Creek, Lion’s Bay and Porteau Cove. At this point no plans have been announced that would include significant concentrations of commercial space in either these lands nor the First Nation lands in the corridor. Furry Creek has no plans for any commercial development other than possibly a neighbourhood commercial node. Lion’s Bay is not seeking any new commercial development within its boundaries. The upcoming development at Porteau Cove is too early in the planning process to determine if any competitive commercial space will be developed. All of these situations, however, must be monitored as many developers are eying the Sea to Sky Corridor and could pursue commercial development in the future. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 4-4 Table 4.1: Sea to Sky Corridor - Competitive Shopping Centres & Districts LOCATION TRADE AREA Whistler Village (Main) (Existing) Britannia Project (Planned) APPEAL SQUAMISH RESIDENTS/TOURISTS TO SEA TO SKY CORRIDOR Wide selection of brand-name retailers (Gap, Eddie Bauer, Guess, Levi Store, Helly Hansen) Wide selection of first-class restaurants and clubs Unique shopping experience (resort location, international flavour) First Major Commercial Development on Sea to Sky Corridor from south Unique shopping experience Major tourist attraction on site $$ Mid to High tbd OUTSIDE TRADE AREA Park Royal – North/South Villages at Park Royal Capilano Mall Wide selection of shopping: Brand name retailers (Gap, Roots, Eddie Bauer) Department store merchandise (Bay) Big Box Retailers (Future Shop, Winners,Brick, Sport Chek) Indoor shopping Cutting edge retailers (Whole Foods, Whole Home Experience, Lululemon) Home building and supplies and furnishings node (Home Depot, Home Outfitters, Urban Barn, Specialty stores) Unique Shopping Experience (Themed Design) Wide selection of Department store merchandise (Walmart, Sears) Mid to High Mid to High Low to Mid Source:.TREC International, 2004 Draft Retail Strategy For Squamish - TREC International Inc. 4-5 PLANNED RETAIL/ENTERTAINMENT DEVELOPMENTS IN SQUAMISH As shown above, Squamish has undergone a significant retail transformation in recent years beginning with regional, national and international mass merchandisers descending on Squamish for the first time to take a major role in the retail landscape. Squamish is expected to undergo a further transformation in upcoming years as much of its future retail/entertainment growth is expected to centre around the Downtown Waterfront (Nexen Lands, Interfor Properties, Logger’s Lane). Also several large projects are planned for the District (and nearby Britannia Beach) that will have a significant impact on the fabric of Squamish and ultimately its retail landscape including the new Sea to Sky Adventure Centre, Sea to Sky University, proposed Garibaldi at Squamish Ski and Golf Resort, expansion of Capilano College, the Britannia Project and the planned redevelopment of the Logger’s Sports Grounds into an entertainment complex. The list is also expected to grow as many other projects on the drawing board reach the public domain. Although further mass merchandise developments are expected in the Business Park and Garibaldi Village area and additional neighborhood commercial nodes are planned in upcoming residential developments in Squamish, the Downtown will be the major focus of future retail/entertainment growth. DIRECT DEVELOPMENT Squamish Oceanfront The District of Squamish recently acquired 90 acres of waterfront land giving the District its first direct access on Squamish’s waterfront for residential/commercial development. This property offers the District the opportunity to create a truly unique residential/commercial development for Western Canada – one that is both a neighborhood unto itself, yet will attract regional daytrippers as well as destination tourists. A destination/convention hotel, marina, restaurants, entertainment venues, retail space, parks and a large residential development are envisioned. The property is in the early planning stages but a CEO for the corporation is expected to be announced in the early 2005 with an aggressive path towards developing the property as quickly as possible will be pursued thereafter. When the development begins, this property will provide an unparalleled catalyst for transformation of Downtown Squamish. Interfor Site An approximate 50 acre waterfront site previously operated by Interfor will soon be purchased by a development group for redevelopment from the property’s current uses as a mill. Although it is too early to determine the development plan for the property, it is anticipated that the property has the potential to become a mixed-use residential/commercial/entertainment development. This development is expected to exert a major influence on the market given its size and the ability to develop on both Hwy. 99 and the Blind Channel waterfront. As a result, retail District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 4-6 that can appeal to both tourists and local residents is expected. Business Park Big Box Three major developments are currently planned for the Business Park that will have a major impact on the retail market. The Walmart (86,000 sq.ft.) and Home Depot (75,000 sq.ft.) are currently well into the planning process and have already been added into the retail inventory calculations used in this report. A third project – the Factory Outlet – is also in the planning stages and is anticipated to be 106,000 sq.ft. when completed. Should the Factory Outlet also move forward, it will (like Home Depot and Walmart), effectively re-shape the dynamic of a retail category on its own – in this case the fashion and potentially the home furnishings category – with over 108,000 sq.ft. of brand name outlets including possibly Mexx, Guess, Aldo, Bowrings, Tommy Hilfiger, Nike). Garibaldi Village Phase 2 It is also worth noting that the second phase of Garibaldi Village (approx. 44,000 sq.ft) has also been added into the existing retail inventory under the “Vacant Planned” category. This next phase is expected to build on the first phase and attract more regional, national and international retailers to the north end of Squamish. This is also expected to appeal to brand-oriented local and regional residents as well as tourists. Britannia Project The Britannia Project is not located within the District of Squamish, but this development will have an impact on the Squamish retail market. This multi-million dollar redevelopment of the Britannia Mines site is expected to become a world-class tourist destination with preliminary plans including a major mining interpretive centre and up to 100,000 sq.ft. of retail/restaurant space. This development needs to be considered in the future development of retail in Squamish, both in terms of its ability to draw more tourists to the area and the competition it could provide for other tourist-oriented retail development in Squamish. INDIRECT DEVELOPMENT Neighborhood Commercial throughout Squamish and Residential Wave District of Squamish Retail Strategy A tremendous wave of residential development planned for Squamish will impact the retail market in two ways. First, the retail developments will have their own small retail areas to serve the convenience needs of the residents of the respective developments. Perhaps, more importantly, they offer the potential to increase the population in a dramatic fashion. Over 3,600 residential units are currently in the planning process (OCP amendments/rezoning/subdivision applications) and more proposed developments are expected in the next two years. TREC International Inc. 4-7 Mega Projects and other projects Four new projects underway or on the drawing board are expected to impact on the types of people moving to Squamish or visiting Squamish and ultimately the merchandizing mix in the area. Others are also on the drawing board that will provide even further impact if pursued. These projects include: Sea to Sky Adventure Centre This District led initiative will provide a focal point for the outdoor recreation community in Squamish and create an opportunity to truly capitlize on this growing segment of the Squamish economy. Squamish currently offers one of the widest array of outdoor recreational opportunities in North America. This state of the art facility will provide a greater opportunity for this sector of the economy to organize itself and present itself to the numerous tourists visiting the Sea to Sky Corridor. Sea to Sky University The opening of the University will put Squamish in exclusive company as a “university town” and it is will on its way to opening its doors to students from around the world including the faculty and administrative staff that will be required to support it. The first phase of residential development is also expected later next year. All of these factors will combine to help create the potential for higher-income retail uses not presently found in Squamish. Capilano College Expansion Capilano College is also looking to expand its campus in Squamish. Although no residential development is attached to this development, it will also impact the Squamish economy in similar ways as the Sea to Sky University. Garibaldi at Squamish The proposed Garibaldi at Squamish has been on the drawing board for many years but appears to be moving closer to becoming a reality. The proponents for the development are actively negotiating with First Nations groups and if they are successful, will move forward towards developing this four seasons ski and golf resort. This development when complete will likely include a major ski hill, golf course (s), hotel accommodations, retail and a significant residential community. Much like the Sea to Sky District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 4-8 University, this development could significantly change the socio economic make up of Squamish and ultimately its retail sector. 4.4 OVERVIEW OF MAJOR CULTURAL, ARTS, RECREATION, EDUCATION & ENTERTAINMENT (CARES) FACILITIES An inventory of the major Cultural, Arts, Recreation, Entertainment, Education & Sports (CARES) facilities within the Squamish area suggests that Squamish has unparalleled recreation infrastructure and the potential exists to significantly enhance its infrastructure in the cultural, arts, education, entertainment and sports areas. Squamish also is uniquely positioned to successfully blend several categories to create opportunities for tourists and residents typically not available in most jurisdictions. The major CARES facilities that have or expected to have a regional draw can be summarized as follows: Cultural Royal Canadian Legion Tantalus Seniors Centre Totem Hall Numerous community events (Logger’s Sports Days, Test of Metal & Gearjammer Mountain Bike Races, sports tournaments, bed races, Wild @ Art, Farmer’s Market) Arts Between Shifts Theatre Group Newport Art Gallery Brackendale Art Gallery Recreational Top rated Rock Climbing and hiking on Stawamus Chief Top rated Windsurfing at Squamish Spit Top rated Mountain Biking Network Top rated Whitewater Kayaking High-alpine hiking, snowshoeing, camping in Garibaldi Provincial Park Squamish Estuary (Wildlife area) Alice Lake, Garibaldi, Stawamus Chief and Murrin Lake Provincial Parks (and camping) Dryden Creek, Klahanie and Paradise Valley Campgrounds Squamish Valley Golf & Country Club Garibaldi Springs Golf Resort Horse Riding Snowmobiling Fishing Eagle & Wildlife Viweing Brennan Park Leisure Centre (ice rink, swimming pool, soccer fields, baseball diamonds, skateboard park) District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 4-9 Educational Entertainment Squamish Library Capilano College Easter Seals Camp Evans Lake Outdoor School North Vancouver Outdoor School Sea to Sky University (Planned) Camp Summit Children’s Camp Britannia Mining Museum Canadian Outback Adventure Co. (whitewater rafting) Garibaldi 5 Cinemas Glacier Air Tours/Black Tusk Helicopters Logger’s Sports Grounds West Coast Railway Museum Squamish’s population will continue to grow as the Sea to Sky Highway expansion will bring a broader range of new residents to Squamish including higher-income earners, young families, outdoor recreationalists and retirees from the Lower Mainland. This growth will create the need to expand the CARES infrastructure on all fronts. A recent announcement by the District of Squamish that it is considering borrowing approximately $20 million to complete a variety of CARES type projects including an ARTS Centre, Public Market facility, expansion of the existing leisure centre will significantly upgrade the CARES resources of this community both for residents and tourists. Squamish’s tourist traffic will increase with highway expansion and the anticipation of the Winter 2010 Olympics creating an interesting opportunity for Squamish. The spectacular outdoor setting and abundance of outdoor recreation infrastructure creates the opportunity to merge CARES categories in Squamish perhaps more than anywhere else. For example a guided and informative cycling tour can combine recreation, education and entertainment all in one activity. The new Sea to Sky Adventure Centre will help facilitate this type of “packaging” and can be used to significantly enhance the use of the existing outdoor recreation infrastructure. Consequently, it is important to Squamish that the long-term viability of its outdoor recreation infrastructure be pursued as much of these activities take place on unsecured Crown Lands or private lands facing development. There is also considerable potential to upgrade the amenities available to outdoor recreationalists when participating in these activities. 4.5 SUMMARY As mentioned much of the new growth has been from retailers from outside of Squamish which has considerably broadened the merchandise mix to include more brand name products (Intrawest Outlet) and big box merchandise (Walmart, Home Depot). This is expected to help decrease the amount of outflow of retail dollars that local residents currently spend outside the community which has been identified as a major issue for Squamish retailers in the past. To further reduce the outflow impact Squamish needs to offer unique shopping experiences afforded by the Villages at Park Royal (cutting edge retailers) or Whistler Village (resort experience). District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 4-10 Looking ahead the Squamish retail market faces several challenges and opportunities. On the opportunities side, the upcoming oceanfront development on the former Nexen Lands and Interfor properties offers Squamish a once in a lifetime opportunity to create a retail/entertainment experience that is truly unique to Western Canada – an experience that could make Squamish a world-class tourist destination in its own right as well as make it an even more desirable place to live. Fortunately, many market factors are also at play that suggests the Downtown is the logical choice for the next wave of retail development and that it is well positioned for this wave. Future retailing trends anticipated over the next 10 years suggests that consumers will be seeking more of a specialty, experience based shopping experience and the Downtown is the best place in Squamish for this type of retail. An additional 5,000 residents are also expected to move into the Downtown core over the next 20 years, which will dramatically increase the population base in the Downtown. The recent growth of retail in the Garibaldi Highlands and Business Park may have or could soon reach capacity leaving the Downtown as the only location for the future wave of retail in Squamish. The recent growth in international and mass-merchandise retailers may also mean that these categories will soon reach capacity (if not already) in Squamish. Finally, if recent proposed CARES initiatives are approved by Squamish residents additional cultural and arts centres will be located in the Downtown core. Therefore, the Downtown could be redeveloped to provide an even more attractive environment to that found in the Villages at Park Royal, Fort Langley or Steveston. Offering a unique environment for cutting edge retailers and factory outlets offering brand named goods may be an effective way to attract both residents and tourists who are currently spending their retail dollars outside of Squamish. On the challenges side, if the future growth in retail in Squamish is specialty and heavily experience oriented, Squamish already faces a tough competitor in Whistler and Park Royal. It also faces future potential competition from an approximately 100,000 sq.ft. retail/ entertainment oriented redevelopment of the Britannia Mining Museum. Squamish should seek out ways to provide complimentary retail, rather than compete directly with this project. Also, in order to be successful in the future tourist market Squamish will need to create a retail/entertainment experience that is authentic and unique - an experience that differentiates Squamish from other parts of the Corridor and capitalizes on the rich heritage (logging, marine, First Nations) of Squamish and its truly spectacular natural setting. Finally, as the “Outdoor Recreation Capital of Canada”, Squamish has an outdoor recreation infrastructure that is unparalleled in North America. Consequently, Squamish can offer unique tourist experiences that combine cultural, arts, recreational, education, entertainment and sports unlike any other in North America. Therefore, Squamish needs to work ensure that this infrastructure will remain in place for the foreseeable future and that amenities are created to enhance the experience of tourists and further its competitive position as a tourist destination in the Sea to Sky Corridor. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 4-11 5.0 CONSUMER RESEARCH FINDINGS 5.1 INTRODUCTION Consumer research was conducted using the Point-of-View (POV) Survey System. The POV system consists of using hand-held survey units to collect market information. Respondents complete the survey themselves and the unit(s) store the data. The Squamish retail survey was designed to collect information from three distinct market segments: 1. Regional Residents of the Squamish area (incl. Whistler, Pemberton, Mt. Currie/Darcy, Lillooet, Britannia Beach) 2. Tourists to the Squamish area (incl. Visitors from Vancouver/Lower Mainland, other parts of B.C., Canada and internationally) 3. Local Squamish Residents The survey units were strategically placed in high traffic areas throughout Squamish over the period from early October through December 6, 2004. In order to make local residents aware of the survey program and its purpose, advertisements were placed in the Squamish Chief newspaper. The consultants solicited donations from local businesses to serve as a prize incentive to complete the entire survey. Respondents were asked to enter their telephone number into the survey if they wished to be eligible for one of the many prizes to be won. The main objective of the survey was to determine the shopping patterns, expenditure patterns and needs of local and regional residents and how the District of Squamish can plan to serve them. In order to increase the potential offered by the tourist/visitor market, a section of the survey was allocated to better understanding their needs and characteristics also. The following section outlines the major findings of the POV consumer survey results in terms of Visitor Markets (Regional Residents and Tourists) and Squamish Residents. The complete printout showing the frequency of response for all survey questions is shown in Appendix III at the back of the report. The applicable survey screen (or question) is referred to in brackets for reference throughout the text in this section. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 5-1 5.2 SURVEY RESULTS: ORIGIN AND SHOPPING CHARACTERISTICS A total of 920 completed questionnaires were collected using the POV Survey System. Based on the 3 market segments identified, the breakdown of respondents is as shown in the table below. Market Segment Frequency % Regional Residents 59 7% Tourists 177 19% Local Residents 684 74% Total 920 100% Origin of Survey Respondents A detailed breakdown of respondents’ area of residence is as shown in the table below. Market Origin Frequency % Regional Residents Whistler region 42 5.0% Pemberton 11 1.0% Mt. Curry/Darcy 5 0.5% Lillooet area 1 0.1% 146 16.0% Other B.C. 8 0.9% Other Canada 5 0.5% Other 18 2.0% 684 74% 920 100% Tourists Vancouver/Lower Mainland Local Residents Greater Squamish area TOTAL Regional Residents and Tourists to Squamish Although the survey was not conducted during the peak tourism and travel season, this market is clearly important as almost 20% of respondents represented “visitors” to Squamish. For the purpose of this study, Regional Residents included those from the Whistler region, Pemberton, Mt. Curry/Darcy and the Lillooet area. Tourists were defined as residing outside Squamish and the defined Regional area. A sample of 59 Regional Residents and 177 Tourists was collected. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 5-2 The results of the Regional Resident sample are more limited because of size. Most Regional Residents were from Whistler and Pemberton. The majority of Tourists (82%) were from the Vancouver/Lower Mainland area. Regional Residents and Tourists: Reason for Visiting Squamish For both Regional Residents and Tourists, the most popular reason for visiting Squamish was a stop on the way north or south. This was noted by 36% of both sets of respondents. (Screens 5 and 12) Regional Residents and Tourists: Shopping Patterns in Squamish Both Regional Residents and Tourists are most likely to shop in Squamish for Groceries – the proportion doing so is slightly higher for Regional Residents (45%) than Tourists (36%). Tourists are just as likely to stop for Dining. Clothing, gifts and accessories is the next most likely category of purchase for Regional Residents. (Screen 6 &13) Regional Residents and Tourists’ Shopping Patterns in Squamish Grocery (incl. Liquor) Clothing/ gifts/ accessories Services Dining Sports and recreation goods Hardware Reg. Resident Tourist Home furnishings/ appliances Entertainment 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Regional Residents and Tourists: Downtown Squamish Both visitor segments are aware of Downtown Squamish, with 72% of Tourists and 88% of Regional Residents saying they have visited the Downtown on a previous occasion. (Screens 7 & 14) At the time of the survey, however, only 42% of Regional Residents and 36% of Tourists were planning to visit Downtown Squamish. Their reasons for not visiting the area were most likely to be lack of time. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 5-3 Regional Residents and Tourists: How to increase visitation to Downtown Squamish Just over half of the Tourist respondents said they would be most likely to stay longer and patronize businesses in Downtown Squamish if there were special events, activities and entertainment going on. Interesting waterfront activities and quality restaurants/cafes could be of major appeal for 40% of Tourists. (Screen 10) Regional Residents indicated that improvements to the Downtown such as one-of-a-kind shopping experiences and interesting waterfront activities would encourage them to stay longer and patronize businesses in Downtown Squamish. Over half of Regional Resident respondents said that late night shopping on Thursday and Friday evenings and Factory Outlet stores in the Downtown would be a further reason for them to spend more time there. (Screens 18, 27 and 28). Regional Residents: Shopping Patterns in Squamish Despite a limited sample size (59 respondents) of the Regional Resident market in terms of its shopping patterns, the next few paragraphs provide useful market indicators. (Screen 12-28 for more information) When shopping in the Other Parts of Squamish (Garibaldi Village, Industrial/Business Park, Brackendale), Regional Residents are most likely to be shopping for Groceries (incl. Liquor). Most shop in the Distict of Squamish at least once per month. Regional Residents: The Need for New Shopping Experiences in Squamish Regional Resident respondents indicate interest in an improved shopping experience in Squamish but do not make a clear indication of what aspect they think is the priority. Regional Residents: New Retail and Service In order to encourage Regional Residents to shop in Squamish more often, suggestions of new retail and service products were presented in the survey. A “Natural Foods Market/co-op” and a (permanent) Farmers Market” were rated as the most popular in the Food Service category. When asked about Comparison Retail, “Clothing and Accessories” were most often requested. In terms of Other Services, the preferred choice was less obvious but Live Theatre and Attractions generated some interest. Squamish Residents Complete survey responses for Squamish residents are shown in Screens 29-46 of the survey printout. The majority of survey respondents came from Squamish (74%). Of those, 72% have lived in the Squamish region for 5 or more years. As many as 60% work in Downtown Squamish and 17% own a business somewhere within the region. These characteristics suggest that respondents are knowledgeable and experienced when it comes to shopping in Squamish. (Screen 2, 29 & 30) District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 5-4 Squamish Residents: Shopping Patterns in Squamish When asked what type of shopping they are most likely to be doing when shopping in DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH, the most frequent response of Residents was Grocery shopping (87%). The second most popular activity noted by 64% of Resident respondents was to utilise Services (banking, post office, etc.). (Screen 31). With regard to shopping patterns in all other parts of Squamish (incl. Garibaldi Village, Industrial/Business Park, Brackendale), Residents again responded that Grocery shopping is their most frequent type of shopping activity but with lower frequency (67%). Shopping for Clothing/gifts and accessories was much less likely to occur in the outlying areas, as only 23% indicated they do so (compared to 50% Downtown). (Screen 32) Squamish Residents’ Shopping Patterns IN Squamish Grocery Services Dining Clothing Hardware Entertainment Sports/Rec. goods Other Squamish Downtown Squamish Home Furnishings/appliances None/Other 0% District of Squamish Retail Strategy 20% 40% TREC International Inc. 60% 80% 100% 5-5 Squamish Residents’ Shopping Patterns OUTSIDE Squamish Clothing Home furnishing / appliances Restaurant and Entertainment Office, computer electronic supplies Sports and recreation goods Professional Services (health, personal) Automotive sales/parts/service Groceries 0 20 40 60 80 100 Squamish Residents: Shopping Patterns OUTSIDE Squamish When it comes to shopping outside the District of Squamish, only 33% indicated that they do so for groceries. The most popular categories were Clothing (85%), followed by Home furnishings/appliances and Restaurants/entertainment (66%). Selection (80%) and Pricing (71%) were the reasons most frequently identified by respondents. (Screen 33 &34) As many as 88% of local Resident respondents said they shop outside the District of Squamish once per month or more. Seventy six percent of Squamish resident respondents estimated that they spent 40% or less of their annual household expenditures on Retail, Dining and Entertainment purchases outside the District of Squamish (Screen 35 & 36). As outlined in Appendix III, almost 22% of the local Squamish residents spend less than 10% of their annual household spending on the above three categories while 30.4% spend between 11-25% on these categories and almost 24% spend between 26 – 40% of their annual household spending on Retail, Dining and Entertainment purchases outside the District of Squamish. Squamish Residents: The Need for New Shopping Experiences in Squamish When asked what priorities the District of Squamish should undertake to improve its retail, dining and entertainment mix, the three most popular responses from Squamish residents were: x Generate a wider selection of retailers (71%); x Encourage more competitive pricing (56%); and, x Improve the quality of goods available (55%). District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 5-6 (See Screen 37 for further details.) Squamish Residents: New Retail and Services Squamish residents are interested to see all types of new retail and service products in their area. In the Food Service category, a “Permanent Farmers Market” was the most popular choice (noted by 48% of respondents). When asked about Comparison Retail, “Clothing and Accessories” were desired by 83% of respondents. In terms of Other Services, “Attractions and Live Theatre” were selected most frequently (42% and 38% of respondents respectively). (See Screens 38-40) Squamish Residents' Retail and Service Preferences to reduce their need to shop OUTSIDE of Squamish Clothing and accessories Farmers market (permanent) Home furnishing / appliances Toys, games and hobbies Computers / electronics Attractions Gifts Live Theatre Office supplies Sports and recreation goods 0 20 40 60 80 100 Series1 Squamish Residents: Opinions and Priorities regarding Commercial Development in Squamish Squamish residents identified the revitalization of the Downtown as their most important development priority. (Screen 42) Development Priorities % Revitalize Downtown with original retail, restaurants and entertainment 62% Tastefully integrate some "big box" retail INTO Downtown 40% Segregate any "big box" development AWAY from Downtown 28% Stimulate Downtown with factory outlets 23% Do not permit any commercial development which negatively affects existing businesses 15% Do not allow any new commercial development anywhere in Squamish 3% District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 5-7 Squamish Residents: Priority Locations for Commercial Development The areas of Squamish indicated by Residents as Priority Locations for new Services and Facilities were as follows: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Downtown (65%); Waterfront from Bridge to Estuary (46%); Garibaldi Village area (39%); Industrial Business Park (33%); and, Future University Commercial area (18%). (See Screen 43). Squamish Residents: How to increase visitation to Downtown Squamish Half of Squamish resident respondents said they would visit Downtown Squamish more often if there were interesting waterfront activities (56%); special events, activities and entertainment (48%). One-of-a-kind shopping experiences (47%), or quality restaurants and cafes (47%). (Screen 44) All three respondent groups were asked the question about what would appeal to them and encourage them to spend more time in Downtown Squamish. The chart below compares the responses of Tourists, Regional Residents and Squamish residents. Waterfront improvements, special events, shopping and dining were consistently important. How to Increase Visitation to Downtown Squamish Interesting waterfront activities Special events, activities, entertainment One-of-a-kind shopping experiences Quality restaurants/cafes Aesthetic appeal Culture and arts Squamish Resident Reg. Resident Tourists Quality museum or visitor attraction Unique educational experiences 0% District of Squamish Retail Strategy 10% 20% TREC International Inc. 30% 40% 50% 60% 5-8 If more shops were open in Downtown Squamish on Thursday and Friday evenings and/or if there were some interesting factory outlet stores, 67% of Squamish Resident respondents said they would patronize the area more often. (Screens 44,45 &46) The chart below compares the survey question asked of all three respondent groups regarding their interest in factory outlet stores in Downtown Squamish. The overwhelming response is positive. Question: If DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH had some interesting FACTORY OUTLET stores, would this be a reason for you to spend more time there? Yes No Squamish Resident Reg. Resident Tourist Don’t Know 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 5.3 DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE OF SURVEY RESPONDENTS Slightly more females (60%) than males responded to the survey. The age breakdown of survey respondents is as shown in the table below. The survey represents a generally youthful yet mature market, with 78% of respondents aged between 20 and 50 years. AGE Category % 19 or under 7% 20 to 29 years 27% 30 to 39 years 27% 40 to 49 years 24% 50 to 64 years 12% 65 years and older 4% Total District of Squamish Retail Strategy 100% TREC International Inc. 5-9 Respondents are earning moderate income levels, with 66% indicating annual household incomes between $40,000 and $75,000. Just under 30% earn greater than $75,000. For 89%of respondents the income supports 4 or less people. Families were represented by approximately 30% of respondents. (Screens 47 through 52) 5.4 SUMMARY Consumer research was conducted using the Point-of-View electronic survey system over a sixweek period between October to early December. Both existing and potential customers were surveyed and just over 900 completed questionnaires were recorded. The overall response to new retail development was positive. The survey respondents fell into two categories, which were regional residents/tourists, and local residents. Both visitor segments were highly aware of downtown Squamish, but only a small portion of those respondents were planning to visit the area. Over half of those surveyed said they would patronize businesses in downtown Squamish if certain activities and new businesses were developed there. When asked what food service retail would attract both regional and local respondents, the highest responses, at around 47% were a "Natural Foods Market/co-op" and a permanent "Farmer's Market." When asked about Comparison Retail, “Clothing and Accessories” were desired by 83% of Greater Squamish respondents and by 59.3% of regional residents (those largely Whistler & Pemberton). In terms of Other Services, “Attractions and Live Theatre” were selected most frequently (42% and 38% of Squamish respondents respectively) and (27.1% and 36.6% for regional residents, respectively). Over 74% of the total respondents surveyed lived in the Greater Squamish area. Many of the respondents visited downtown Squamish for Convenience goods, but preferred to shop for products such as clothing, home furnishings/appliances, and services such as restaurants/entertainment outside of Squamish, with selection and pricing being the most important reasons. Almost 22% of the local Squamish residents spend less than 10% of their annual household spending on Retail, Dining and Entertainment purchases outside the District of Squamish while 30.4% spend between 11-25% on these categories and almost 24% spend between 26 – 40% of their annual household spending on the above three categories outside the District of Squamish. These same respondents asked for a wider selection of retailers, more competitive pricing, and improved quality of goods within Squamish. Similar to the visitors, over half of local residents would spend more time downtown if there were more interesting activities and businesses. The local residents also felt a permanent Farmer's Market was needed to improve shopping. Furthermore, if more shops were open in Downtown Squamish on Thursday and Friday evenings and/or if there were some interesting factory outlet stores, 67% of Squamish Resident respondents said they would patronize the area more often. Many similar results were posted by both categories of respondents where only a few them visited downtown, but both groups of respondents vied for more activities and businesses, which would attract them to visit more often and stay longer. For example, approximately 56% to almost 68% of the regional residents/tourists and local residents, respectively, indicated they would visit downtown Squamish if it had some interesting factory outlet stores. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 5-10 6.0 TRADE AREA DELINEATION & MARKET ANALYSIS 6.1 INTRODUCTION This section briefly highlights the market characteristics for the existing and potential patrons of the District of Squamish. Generally, there are two main sources of demand for the District of Squamish: (1) local and regional residents as defined by two trade areas; and (2) tourists, comprised of both day-trippers and overnight visitors to the Squamish/Lillooet region. The resident trade areas are based on an analysis of 2001 Statistics Canada Geographic Information System databases. Trade area characteristics of the District of Squamish are compared to the provincial average resident to highlight how these residents differ from one another. The tourist market profiles for the revitalized Downtown Squamish and waterfront area are derived from a number of regional, provincial and national databases. As cultural tourism is expected to form an integral market component for the revitalized downtown and waterfront area, profiles of the cultural visitor and shopper are also highlighted. 6.2 TRADE AREA DELINEATION The trade area for an area such as the District of Squamish, comprised of both primary and secondary trade areas, PTA and STA respectively, is generally considered to be that geographic region from which at least 70% to 85% of shoppers or service users originate. The remaining 15% to 30% of the sales within Downtown Squamish can be expected to come from beyond the defined boundaries and is considered to be business or tourist “inflow.” Basically, the definition of the trade area for the District of Squamish takes the following into consideration: x The size and major merchandising components of the Downtown Squamish and surrounding area, including new cultural, arts, recreation, education, entertainment, and sports (CARES) facilities; x Unique and specialized products and services that are lacking in other parts of the geographic area such as medical services that draw residents from a larger region on a regular basis throughout the year; x Road network which affects the site accessibility and travel time; x Major shopping nodes, competitive centres and facilities; x Size and strength of direct competitors; x Pattern of residential development, densities and socio-economic differentiation; x Major natural and man-made boundaries. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-1 While each of these factors has an important influence over the trade area for the subject site, it is the combined effect of all factors that dictate the trade area coverage. Accordingly, the following paragraphs define the trade area based on these identified factors. Prior to defining the trade areas, it is critical that the major merchandising components of the District of Squamish are defined in relation to the existing and planned shopping centres and precincts outlined in the previous section. For this purpose, it is assumed that the District of Squamish will be comprised of the following merchandising themes and components: x A good selection of strong regional and some national tenants including several factory outlet stores of a lifestyle nature to provide a significant point of differentiation to other competitive shopping centres and precincts; x Retailers operating in the District of Squamish are expected to have a real and perceived value orientation with respect to the quality, selection, price and merchandising practices consistent with what today’s consumers demand now and in the foreseeable future. x At least three areas within Downtown Squamish will offer the largest selection within their merchandising categories (e.g. home furniture/accessories; antiques, arts & crafts/accessories; restaurants/takeout services; natural/holistic/health products and services) in the Squamish-Lillooet region; x The largest public market in the Squamish-Lillooet region offering both fresh and prepared foods from the surrounding areas and elsewhere; x A unique mix of CARES facilities/services that are not available at any other community within the central region of the province; x As mentioned previously, the premise that this report is based on is the North American trend where retail and cultural/entertainment environments are merging to provide a more rewarding and fulfilling shopping experience. Based on these planned components, the District of Squamish’s commercial precints would occupy a unique niche in the Squamish-Lillooet regional marketplace, in particular, with little direct competition. Generally, the District of Squamish’s trade areas will draw from two geographic areas depending on the type of merchandise and services. The Primary Trade Area (PTA) residents will likely be largely drawn to the District of Squamish for the convenience items and some basic services oriented while the specialty lifestyle oriented merchandise (i.e. fashion & access; factory outlets, furnishings/access, etc.) is expected to also attract the Secondary Trade Area (STA) resident shopper. The public market/CARES component is anticipated to service both local and regional trade area residents. Tourists will also form an integral market to the District of Squamish. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-2 Primary Trade Area (PTA) Based on the factors identified above, the primary trade area of the District of Squamish is delineated as follows and illustrated in Figure 6.1. The primary trade area boundaries closely follow those for the communities and unincorporated areas within the southern portion of the Squamish-Lillooet Regional District: North: Garibaldi South: north of and including Britannia Beach Given the lack of significant shopping venues in the outlying communities of the PTA region, frequent shopping trips are destined to the District of Squamish via Highway #99. Secondary Trade Area (STA) The secondary trade area is expected to include the region from outside the PTA to the north covering the northern portion of the Squamish-Lillooet Regional District. Most development in this region is situated along Highway #99 and thus the trade areas are centred around this elongated section. The major communities in the secondary trade area include Whistler, Pemberton, and Lillooet. Other smaller communities encompass Gold Bridge, Birken & D'Arcy. In addition to the PTA, Figure 6.1 also illustrates the boundaries of the STA. 6.3 TRADE AREA CHARACTERISTICS Given the location of Squamish and the existing and planned road network, demand for the District of Squamish will be largely generated from local and regional residents. This is supplemented by strong tourist traffic from the Squamish-Lillooet region. This subsection provides a detailed description of the socio-economic and demographic characteristics of this population base (as summarized in Table 6.1) and its influence on the potential merchandise mix required at the downtown location. Related expenditure potential is detailed in Section 7. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-3 Figure 6.1: Trade Area Analysis Legend Primary Trade Area Hwy 97 Secondary Trade Area Comox-Strathcona Regional Comox-Strathcona Regional District District Total Trade Area Census Division Boundaries Gold Bridge Bridge Gold Cache Cache Creek Creek Cache Cache ( ( ( ( ( ( Highways ( ( Ashcroft ( ( (Ashcroft ( ( Lillooet ( ( (Lillooet 29 km Squamish-Lillooet Regional Squamish-Lillooet Regional District District Hwy 99 Powell Powell River River Regional Regional District District T-C 1 ( Birken Birken Hwy 97C ( ( ( ( ( ( Logan Logan Lake Lake Secondary Secondary Trade Trade Area Area ( Pemberton Pemberton Hwy 8 Thompson-Nicola Regional Thompson-Nicola Regional District District ( ( ( Whistler ( ( ( Whistler ( ( Merritt Merritt ( ( ( T-C 1 Trade Area Area Primary Primary Trade Powell Powell ( River River ( ( Courtenay Courtenay ( (Comox Comox ( ( ( Royston ( ( ( Royston ( ( ( ( ( ( ( Sunshine Coast Sunshine Coast District Regional Regional District Gillies Gillies Bay Bay ( Paradise Paradise Valley Valley Fraser Valley Valley Regional Regional District District Fraser Hwy 5 Squamish Squamish Britannia Britannia ( Beach Beach Cumberland Cumberland Hwy 101 ( ( Sechelt ( ( ( Sechelt Hwy 19 Gibsons ( ( ( ( ( ( Gibsons Port Port Alberni Alberni ( ( ( ( Parksville ( (Parksville Vancouver Vancouver Burnaby Burnaby - Surrey SSurrey Surrey - FIGURE 6.1 November 2004 Trade Area Analysis District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-4 Historic and Projected Population The Squamish-Lillooet Regional District has historically experienced moderate growth. Statistics Canada has reported moderate growth over the past ten years at 2.8%. The change from 2002 to 2003 is stated at 0.9%, and over the last five years it sits at a steady 0.6%. The Squamish area has seen some substantial growth over the past and this trend will continue. The District of Squamish conservatively predicts that it will grow by approximately 3% each year over the next ten years. The population is expected to grow from about 16,000 residents currently to just over 19,000 in 2010. This calculates to an increase in approximately 19.4%. The rest of the region is not far behind. The expected rate of population increase from 2004 to 2010 for the total trade area is predicted at 16.6%. Table 6.1 outlines the population details for the Squamish trade areas. Table 6.1: Historic & Projected Population for the Squamish Trade Areas PTA 1986 1996 2003 2004 2005 2010 2015 10,157 13,994 14,954 16,000 16,560 19,668 23,359 37.8% 6.9% 7.0% 3.5% 18.8% 18.8% 15,407 20,225 19,853 20,101 22,143 24,248 99.2% 31.3% -1.8% 1.2% 10.2% 9.5% 29,401 35,179 35,853 36,661 41,811 47,607 64.3% 19.7% 1.9% 2.3% 14.0% 13.9% % Change STA 7,734 % Change TTA % Change 17,891 Source: Statistics Canada, 2004; BC Stats, 2004; District of Squamish, 2004; TREC International Inc., 2004. Statistics Canada projects population growth in the region to grow by approximately 6000 residents over the next 5 years. The population in the total trade area in 2004 is estimated at 35,853, which is expected to grow to approximately 41,811 in 2010. This increase in growth is calculated at about 16.6%. The District of Squamish possesses most of the population in the Squamish-Lillooet Regional District. The Figure 6.2 below summarizes the population in the Regional District. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-5 Figure 6.2: Squamish Lillooet Regional District Population Proportions Rest of Region 17% Pemberton 6% Squamish 42% Lillooet 8% Whistler 27% Source: BC Stats, 2003 & TREC International, 2004 District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-6 Table 6.2: Squamish Trade Area Residents' Demographic & Home Ownership Characteristics Primary Trade Area % TOTAL POPULATION Total Population Secondary Trade Area % British Columbia % 14,764 100.0 17,869 100.0 3,907,738 100.0 2,175 3,055 3,325 3,670 2,485 14.7 20.7 22.5 24.8 16.8 1,985 3,525 5,625 3,700 1,980 11.1 19.7 31.5 20.7 11.1 446,715 773,700 838,890 935,595 912,845 11.4 19.8 21.5 23.9 23.4 11,360 3,530 5,915 525 1,400 100.0 31.1 52.1 5.6 12.3 13,820 6,695 5,305 345 1,510 100.0 48.4 38.4 2.5 10.9 3,201,665 1,011,280 1,626,230 193,920 370,240 100.0 31.6 50.8 6.1 11.6 1,085 1,680 925 1,375 200 20.5 31.7 17.5 25.9 3.8 1,895 2,325 1,155 1,295 150 27.6 33.8 16.8 18.8 2.2 418,940 515,005 227,070 319,545 53,770 27.3 33.6 14.8 20.8 3.5 14,764 100.0 17,869 100.0 3,868,875 100.0 4,165 930 7,750 2,230 425 28.2 6.3 52.5 15.1 2.9 5,105 2,840 7,700 735 430 28.6 15.9 43.1 4.1 2.4 939,460 175,080 24.3 4.5 12,420 30 950 84.1 0.2 6.4 15,250 135 130 85.3 0.8 0.7 3,027,910 6,120 339,230 78.3 0.2 8.8 EDUCATION Less than Grade 9 (Pop 15+) Grades 9-13 (Pop 15+) Trades Certificate or Diploma (Pop 15+) Other Non-university Only (Pop 15+) University (Pop 15+) 10,190 545 100.0 5.3 12,745 335 100.0 2.6 2,890,730 190,905 100.0 6.6 3,510 1,880 34.4 18.4 3,560 1,710 27.9 13.4 865,740 370,170 29.9 12.8 2,450 24.0 3,180 25.0 690,430 23.9 1,800 17.7 4,015 31.5 773,485 26.8 AVERAGE 2000 HOUSEHOLD INCOME $ 62,401 AGE DISTRIBUTION 0-9 10-24 25-39 40-54 55+ MARITAL STATUS Population: 15+ Single Married Widowed Divorced/Separated HOUSEHOLD SIZE 1 Person 2 Persons 3 Persons 4-5 Persons 6+ Persons ETHNIC ORIGIN / VISIBLE MINORITY Canadian North American Indian European Asian Other MOTHER TONGUE Mother Tongue: English Mother Tongue: French Mother Tongue: Non-Official EMPLOYMENT Population 15+ Population 15+ in Labour Force Employed Unemployed Not in Labour Force District of Squamish Retail Strategy 62,095 57,593 11,285 8,205 100.0 72.7 13,705 11,170 100.0 81.5 3,160,570 2,059,945 100.0 65.2 7,590 600 3,100 67.3 5.3 27.5 10,260 945 2,555 74.9 6.9 18.6 1,883,975 175,975 1,100,620 59.6 5.6 34.8 TREC International Inc. 6-7 Primary Trade Area % LABOUR FORCE Agricultural, forestry, fishing & hunting Mining and oil and gas extraction Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transportation and warehousing Information and cultural industries Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientific and technical services Management of companies and enterprises Admin. support, waste mgmt. and remediation serv. Educational services Health care & social assistance Arts, entertainment and recreation Accommodation and food services Other services (except public administration) Public administration Secondary Trade Area % British Columbia % 340 4.2 520 4.7 78,645 3.8 20 0.2 30 0.3 14,040 0.7 55 725 665 140 785 720 0.7 8.9 8.1 1.7 9.6 8.8 80 1,015 315 70 1,190 545 0.7 9.1 2.8 0.6 10.7 4.9 11,645 118,705 194,360 82,465 232,960 114,185 0.6 5.8 9.4 4.0 11.3 5.5 210 2.6 125 1.1 62,180 3.0 215 105 2.6 1.3 130 395 1.2 3.5 80,625 41,535 3.9 2.0 340 4.2 520 4.7 136,990 6.7 10 0.1 0 0.0 1,370 0.1 305 3.7 630 5.6 80,805 3.9 450 645 5.5 7.9 595 685 5.3 6.1 139,660 200,065 6.8 9.7 265 3.2 895 8.0 46,155 2.2 1,330 16.2 2,345 21.0 167,130 8.1 385 4.7 345 3.1 98,285 4.8 420 5.1 665 6.0 112,790 5.5 DWELLINGS Total Dwellings Owned Band Housing Rented Single Detached Semi-Detached House Row House Apt. Detached Duplex Apartments 5+ Storeys Apt. < 5 Stories Movable Other 5,295 3,815 10 1,485 3,250 255 640 245 20 625 260 40 100.0 72.0 0.2 28.0 61.4 4.8 12.1 4.6 0.4 11.8 4.9 0.8 6,865 4,120 165 2,535 3,290 385 1,100 840 40 770 425 60 100.0 60.0 2.4 36.9 47.9 5.6 16.0 12.2 0.6 11.2 6.2 0.9 1,534,335 1,017,485 4,485 512,360 841,540 46,320 97,265 97,340 101,570 302,780 43,915 3,605 100.0 66.3 0.3 33.4 54.8 3.0 6.3 6.3 6.6 19.7 2.9 0.2 DWELLING CONSTRUCTION Before 1946 1946-1960 1961-1970 1971-1980 1981-1990 1991-1995 1996-2001 190 330 860 1,765 855 825 510 3.6 6.2 16.2 33.2 16.1 15.5 9.6 200 265 675 1,580 1,750 1,050 1,360 2.9 3.9 9.9 23.1 25.6 15.4 19.9 135,990 179,310 222,170 355,125 302,975 195,605 143,155 8.9 11.7 14.5 23.1 19.7 12.7 9.3 Source: Statistics Canada, 2000, MapInfo and TREC International Inc. 2004 District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-8 Age Distribution x There are a large number of persons among the middle age cohort of 25-39 in the STA with approximately 31.5% compared to both the PTA and provincial average, which is around 22%. x The percentage of residents in both the PTA and STA cohort of 55+ is much lower than the provincial average. The province averages 23.4% while both the trade areas show 16.8% and 11.1% respectively. Marital Status & Household Size x It is notable that the STA has a very high percentage of single persons at 48.4%, which compares to the PTA and the provincial average of around 31%. Consequently, there is also a lower percentage of married persons in the STA at 38.4% compared to the provincial percentage of 50.8%. x The PTA inhibits larger household sizes than the STA and provincial percentages. Figure 6.3 below illustrates the proportion of household sizes. Figure 6.3: Squamish Trade Area Household Size Squamish Trade Area Household Size 100% 80% 6+ Persons 4-5 Persons 3 Person 2 Person 1 Person 60% 40% 20% 0% PTA STA BC Source: Statistics Canada, 2000; MapInfo & TREC International Inc., 2004 Ethnic Origin & Language x The trade areas are significantly less ethnically diverse than the province with figures hovering at approximately 28% and the province showing 24%. Specifically, 84.1% of the PTA residents and 85.3% of the STA residents have English as their mother tongue. This is higher than the provincial percentage of 78.3%. x The total trade area has a higher percentage of North American Indian ancestry with the STA having over 15% of its population compared the province's 4.5%. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-9 Education & Employment x The PTA and STA contrast each other in terms of education. The STA possesses an equal footing when comparing its percentages to the provincial average. This is with the exception of a low rate of Less than Grade 9 education and a higher rate of University Completion. Compared to the provincial average, the PTA has a higher percentage in both the Grades 9-13 and Trades Certificate & Diploma categories, with lower percentages in the University Completion. x There are significantly higher percentages of persons above the age of 15 in the labour force in both the trade areas than the provincial average. This cohort demonstrates a strong potential market with much disposable income. x Overall, the employment numbers are higher in the trade areas than compared to the provincial average, which consequently demonstrates lower percentages for the trade areas in the category Not in Labour Force. Figure 6.4 below demonstrates the difference in employment on the trade areas against the province. Figure 6.4: Squamish Trade Area Employment Structure BC Not in Labour Force Unemployed STA Employed Population 15+ in Labour Force PTA 0 20 40 60 80 100 Source: Statistics Canada, 2000; MapInfo and TREC International Inc., 2004 x The average income in both the trade areas are just over $62,000 each, which is higher than the provincial average of $57,593. x The labour force within the total trade area is somewhat comparable to the provincial average. One exception is the accommodation and food services category of which the PTA and STA’s percentages of 16.2% and 21.0% are significantly higher than the provincial average of 8.1%. x The construction category is also higher for the PTA and STA at 8.9% and 9.1% compared to the provincial average of 5.8%. Another notable category is arts, District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-10 entertainment and recreation, which the PTA and STA possess percentages of 3.2% and 8.0%, which compare to the provincial average of 2.2%. Dwelling Type & Ownership x With respect to the pattern of ownership, 72% of PTA residents own their homes. This is in comparison to the STA that possesses a percentage of 60% and the province, which averages 66.3%. This high degree of residential home ownership within the PTA indicates a high level of population stability and as such, should bode well for the District of Squamish. x Specifically within the Squamish PTA, 61.4% of homes are single detached upon comparison to 47.9% for the STA and 54.8% for the provincial benchmark. 6.4 TOURISTS PROFILE Tourist Visitation Overall, the tourist market to the Squamish-Lillooet Regional District can be classified into two types of visitors, day-trippers and overnight visitors. The day-trippers consist mostly of visitors close to the region and is defined by BC Tourism as visitors that drive more than 80 km one way to visit a destination. Overnight visitors are tourists that typically spend more than one night at the stated destination. Day-trippers are mostly made up of local BC residents, while overnight visitors are mostly non-resident visitors and few BC residents. Salient characteristics of each type of tourist follow: x Total visitors to British Columbia numbered over 30 million. Subsequently, the Vancouver Coast and Mountains region totaled over 15 million in 1995. In respect to the other tourist regions in BC, this number encompasses approximately 50% of all visitors. x Those 15 million visitors to the region in 1995 also spent an estimated $3.4 billion dollars. This translates to about $224 per visitor. The revenue for this region encompasses 39% of all revenue generated in by tourists in British Columbia. Figure 6.5 below demonstrates the proportion of revenue. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-11 Figure 6.5: BC Visitor’s Share of Expenditures BC Visitor's Share of Expenditures Vancouver Island 29% Vancouver Coast & Mountains 38% South ThompsonOkanagan 9% North ThompsonOkanagan 6% Northwest 5% Cariboo 2% Northeast 2% East BC Rockies 5% West BC Rockies 4% Source: BC Tourism, 1998 x The tourist information for Vancouver Coast & Mountains is further sub divided into non-residents and BC residents which make up about 8.8 and 6.4 million visitors respectively, with revenues of $2.5 billion and $898 million. x On average BC-resident visitors to the region spent, in 1998, approximately $54 per day or $140 per stay in expenditure, generating $898 million in tourism revenue. x Non-resident visitors encompass approximately 74%. On average non-BC-resident visitors to the region spent, in 1998, approximately $69 per day or $284 per stay in expenditure, generating $2.512 billion in tourism revenue. x Non-residents to the Greater Vancouver Region alone generated over 80% of the $2.5 billion amount. This translates to about $2.1 billion. Tourism in the Greater Vancouver region has been steadily increasing the past decade and Tourism Vancouver estimates that 8.5 million tourists will visit in 2004. The Greater Vancouver Region possesses many growing activities and interests such as cruises, float plane tours, and convention space, which attract many resident and nonresident, leisure and business visitors. x Whistler saw just over 2 million visitors in 1995 with total revenue estimated at over $520 million. Per capita spending is calculated to approximately $258. This is significantly higher than the average spending estimate for the Vancouver Coast & Mountains region, which sits at $224 per visitor. Visitors tend to spend more in Whistler than compared to the entire region. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-12 x The average number of visitors in the resort per day in winter 2002/2003 was about 15,000 and in the summer of 2003 it was approximately 11,000. x The permanent resident population of Whistler is just over 9,700. x Many of Squamish’s visitor’s are directly related to Whistler. Whistler has a very large pull for visitors, thus much of the tourists in Squamish are termed “destination visitors,” which usually spend a few hours or possibly a night or two. There is much potential to capture a larger market with the strong numbers that Whistler experiences. x Tourism Whistler divides visitors into summer and winter categories. During the winter of 2003 and 2003 Whistler experienced over 850,000 visitors while in the summer of 2003 it experienced over 1 million. Tourism Whistler predicts that during the winter of 2002 and 2003 there were on average 10,763 visitors per day. x According to Tourism Whistler the majority of the market origin is from Canada with the United States close behind. Whistler’s hotel market origin during the past four seasons is summarized in Table 6.3. Table 6.3: Whistler Hotel Market Area of Origin Summer 03 Winter 02-03 Summer 02 Winter 01-02 Canada 57.8% 35.5% 59.1% 38.8% United States 33.6% 39.9% 33.3% 40.6% Europe 4.4% 12.3% 4.7% 11.6% Asia Pacific 3.5% 10.3% 2.4% 7.3% Other 0.7% 1.9% 0.6% 1.7% Source: Tourism Whistler, 2004 The summer and winter traveling party is demonstrated in the figures below in Figures 6.6a and 6.6b. Figures 6.6a & 6.6b: 2003 Summer & 2002-03 Winter Activity Participation Winter Traveling Party 03-04 Summer Traveling Party 2003 Spouse Spouse & Children Family Friends Friends Children Spouse Alone Alone Business Group/Conference Club Friends & Spouse Tour Group Associates Other Spouse & BGC Friends & Children Source: Tourism Whistler, 2004 District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-13 x Many visitors enjoy a variety of activities in Whistler. Among them, dining out and shopping seems to be most popular. Figures 6.7a and 6.7b outlines the activities and their rank. Tables 6.7a & 6.7b: 2003 Summer & 2002-03 Winter Activity Participation Winter Activity Participation Summer Activity Participation Di n Go lf us eu m M Bi kin g Ar tG al le r ies ng htl if e Hi ki Ar ea Ni g Go nd ola Ou t Sh op pi n g Si gh tse ein La g ke & Be ac h Fe s ti va ls in g Di n in g Ou t Sh op pi ng Ni gh tlif Sp e a/ Me ss ag e Ci Ar n em ea a Si gh tse ein Sn g ow mo Fe bil ing s ti va lo rE ve Ot he nt rA Ga cti vit lle r ie ies s/M He us li- s eu m k ii s ng Cr / B os oa sC rd ing ou nt ry Sk iin g 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Source: Tourism Whistler, 2004 Whistler’s total commercial floorspace has expanded from 128,701 m² to 171,277 m². This translates to an increase in over 33%. Table 6.4 summarizes Whistler’s floorspace. Table 6.4: Commercial Floorspace in Whistler (sq. ft.) 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Retail 242,326 295,384 336,035 348,000 357,512 359,911 366,991 377,235 Service 69,004 71,016 72,695 73,620 75,363 107,977 128,109 120,899 Food/Restaurant/Bar 255,550 276,112 307,983 330,085 315,193 323,930 327,416 332,818 Total 566,880 642,512 716,713 751,704 748,067 791,818 822,516 830,952 Source: Tourism Whistler, 2004 x Non-resident visitors to the Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region stayed an average of 4.1 days as compared to the province’s average of 6.9 days. BC Resident visitors spent less time at 2.7 days on average and is similar to the provincial average of 3.1 days. x BC Tourism has classified North American visitors into Regional and Long Haul. Regional North Americans accounted for the most visitors to the Vancouver Coast & Mountains. Regional US encompassed 28% while Regional Canadians make up 22%. Visitors from Asia/Pacific and Europe account for approximately 10% and 6% respectively. x The primary trip purpose for non-resident overnight tourists to the Vancouver Coast & Mountains region was leisure at 84% compared to business, which District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-14 accounted for 16%. For BC Resident overnight visitors leisure accounted for 88% while business took the rest of the 12%. x North American visitors to the Vancouver Coast & Mountains region made up a large portion of the business category than overseas visitors, which generally visited for leisure. x Out of all the non-resident visitors to the Vancouver Coast & Mountains region, Europeans accounted for the greatest proportion to visit the Sea to Sky Country. x Non-residents spent over half of their expenses on food & beverage and accommodation. Many overseas and long haul visitors spent more on packaged tours at about 20% than on food & beverage at 19%. It can be concluded that many of the large expenses are included within the tour package. BC Residents on the other hand spent approximately 1/3 of their expenditure on food & beverage. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-15 Table 6.5 below outlines the Tourism Profile for the Vancouver Coast & Mountains region. Table 6.5: Tourism Profile – Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region VANCOUVER COAST & MOUNTAINS TOURISM PROFILE % Origin Canada US International Method of Travel to BC Automobile Recreational Vehicle Bus Plane Main Purpose of Trip to Region Business Conference Friends and Relatives Touring Trip City Trip Personal Wilderness/Adventure Special Event Party Size Activities Shopping Tour Sightseeing Outdoor Activities Sporting Activities Beach/Lakeshore Museum/Gallery Historic Site Gardens/Parks Friends/Relatives Average Expenditure per Stay Average Expenditure per Day Length of Stay 36 47 17 67 10 12 10 9 0 33 27 1 6 17 0 2.4 73 1 66 75 20 4 43 22 10 10 $113.00 $32.00 3.8 days Source: Tourism BC, 1998 x This relatively high spending pattern can be a great potential to capture more of the tourist dollar. Unique retail and cultural offerings can offer to capture this market. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-16 Cultural Tourism x An examination of cultural tourism based shopping elsewhere starts to reveal the potential that downtowns such as Squamish have to capture this growth market. Prior to examining this, it is important to define ‘cultural tourism’. x Cultural tourism is defined as visitors from outside of the Squamish region that travel here primarily motivated or in part interested in the historical, educational, artistic, or lifestyle/heritage offerings of the community, region, ethnic groups or institutions. There are three main categories of cultural tourism products as illustrated in Figure 6.8, namely (1) institution based; (2) lifestyle/heritage based; (3) event-based. The horizontal arrows between these three categories denote that all of them are frequently linked. In the future, it could be held at a new purpose built venue within the new waterfront plan area and integrated with an interactive heritage ‘discovery centre’. It could also spill out into and animate the street as a unifying this district of the City as well as become a tourist attraction. In addition to the characteristics defined for the non-resident and resident BC type visitors, an extensive review of reports published in both Canada and the U.S. has revealed the following profile of the cultural tourist: x has a higher income and spends more money while on vacation; x is more educated than the general public; x tends to be in older age categories; x spends more time in an area while on vacation; x is more likely to stay at hotels, motels, and bed & breakfast places; x is significantly more likely to shop and dine-out; and x more females than males, at least in making the decision of travelling for the purpose of culture and the arts. Females also represent a disproportionate share of shoppers and package tour passengers. A comparison of the most important attributes when planning trips between the 1980’s and 1990’s reveals additional important information about the cultural tourist. In the 1980’s, U.S. travelers spent their money very freely. Comparisons to the 1990’s, there is a shift from escapism to enrichment with a significantly greater importance attached to understanding culture as depicted in Figure 6.5. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-17 Figure 6.8: Typology of Cultural Tourism CULTURAL TOURISM INSTITUTION ¾MUSEUMS ¾GALLERIES ¾HISTORIC SITES ¾THEATRES ¾OTHER PERFORMING ARTS CENTRES ¾SCIENCE CENTRES LIFESTYLE HERITAGE ¾HERITAGE THEMED DISTRICTS ¾STREETSCAPES ¾MONUMENTS ¾CUSTOMS ¾LANGUAGE EVENTS ¾FESTIVALS ¾FAIRS ¾SPECIAL EVENTS ¾EXHIBITIONS ¾COMPETITIONS ¾ GASTRONOMY Source: LORD Cultural Resources Planning Management Inc. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-18 Characteristic Implications x Over the 1986 to 2003 period, the population of the PTA and STA was growing at an average of 5% - 6%, per annum and is forecast to continue to grow at approximately 2% to 4% per year to 2010. x The timing of the revitalization and potential expansion of shopping and entertainment within Downtown Squamish is appropriate and would be supported by a growing population base. x Overall, the population within the primary trade area can be characterized as a ‘youthful’ community with a higher percentage of residents in the 0-24 cohort. Especially in the STA, there are significantly more single residents than the provincial average. x The retail and service mix should reflect the aspiration of a growing, young plus mature family oriented market. x Entertainment venues such as family venues, themed ‘interactive’ play areas, musueums, theatres, and outdoor cafes/eating areas would be successful in the downtown core and planned waterfront of Squamish. x Approximately 50% of TTA residents are single. Conversely, the STA on average has a greater household size than the PTA. x The revitalized Downtown Squamish and waterfront area must emphasize value, service and a continued strengthening as a place for social gathering. x Average 2000 household income was estimated at $62,401 and $62,095 for the PTA and STA respectively. x This particular income profile is well suited to the target market of Downtown Squamish. Value lifestyle oriented retailers offering quality and ‘branded’ merchandise would be particularly successful. x Many Squamish residents are characterized as having or wanting to have active arts patronage. This type of resident is typically more educated with higher household incomes than the average BC resident. x Some type of cultural/arts facility and/or service or event(s) is recommended for the Downtown core and/or adjacent areas and has just been announced for the District. x Non-resident tourists who visit the Squamish region for cultural purposes are generally like their resident counterparts. In addition, they have a significantly higher propensity to shop and spend significantly more than non- cultural tourists. x The addition of a cultural facility as well as the marketing and packaging with other cultural facilities/heritage attractions in the community will benefit all parties in catering to this growing market. x Increasingly, travelers are placing more value on understanding culture as well as experiencing a completely different culture. x The revitalized Downtown Squamish and waterfront area has an excellent opportunity to tap into these changing travelers’ values and capitalize on the District’s potential cultural flavour. 6.5 SUMMARY The District of Squamish serves as a regional hub for retailing and services for the SquamishLillooet Regional District. This role will be enhanced further with the repositioned Downtown Squamish core. Based on a number of factors, the Primary Trade Area (PTA) is delineated as the southern portion of the Squamish-Lillooet Regional District comprising communities such as Squamish, and Britannia Beach. The Secondary Trade Area (STA) includes Whistler, Pemberton, Lillooet and many of the smaller communities situated in the northern portion of the Squamish-Lillooet Regional District. A profile of young and single residents inhabits the STA while a young family oriented population with large households characterizes the PTA. Both trade areas possess above average household income. This younger area population with higher than average income has the potential to translate into higher spending in the community. Such a consumer profile would be well served by a variety of value-oriented retailers and convenient ‘one-stop’ lifestyle shopping. According to the delineated trade areas, the forecast population base for the two trade areas identified for the District of Squamish is summarized in Table 6.1. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-19 Table 6.1: Historic & Projected Population for the Squamish Trade Areas PTA 1986 1996 2003 2004 2005 2010 2015 10,157 13,994 14,954 16,000 16,560 19,668 23,359 37.8% 6.9% 7.0% 3.5% 18.8% 18.8% 15,407 20,225 19,853 20,101 22,143 24,248 99.2% 31.3% -1.8% 1.2% 10.2% 9.5% 29,401 35,179 35,853 36,661 41,811 47,607 64.3% 19.7% 1.9% 2.3% 14.0% 13.9% % Change STA 7,734 % Change TTA % Change 17,891 Source: Statistics Canada, 2004; BC Stats, 2004; District of Squamish, 2004; TREC International Inc., 2004. The Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region drew about 38 million visitors in 1995 with approximately 2 million destined for Whistler. These visitors also poured $3.4 billion into the region. This poses as a large potential for Squamish to capture more of that market. As Squamish and the surrounding trade areas continue to grow, the demand for new retailing, particularly well known regional and national operators emphasizing a value niche, would increase over time. As well as incorporating and marketing a cultural component within the revitalized Downtown Squamish and waterfront area, this niche would serve to not only differentiate the District of Squamish, but more importantly cater to a more demanding resident population as well as a changing tourist customer base which values understanding culture that is set in an entertaining and educational environment. This has significant economic implications to Downtown Squamish as cultural tourists are typically higher spending and shop significantly more than tourists who travel for other reasons. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 6-20 7.0 RETAIL EXPENDITURE POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT 7.1 INTRODUCTION A major determinant relating to the retail opportunity and market viability for retail retention and recruitment for the District of Squamish is the size and expenditure characteristics of its resident trade areas and tourist markets. The estimates of the retail sales potential of the trade areas are derived from a combination of: i) an analysis of income and population characteristics of the two trade areas (i.e. PTA & STA) identified for the District of Squamish; ii) an analysis of 2000 Canadian family expenditure data compiled by MapInfo based on Statistics Canada data; and iii) Forecasts conducted by TREC International of this Statistics Canada generated data based on annual growth for the retail industry and Conference Board of Canada estimates. iv) Tourism expenditure data was obtained from various sources and based on our experience with similar destinations that have already targeted tourists into their communities. Each of these analyses provides the basis for estimating the potential retail expenditures in both the trade areas as well as the tourist markets. This section of the report will provide the retail sales potential estimates by retail/commercial category for the trade area and tourist markets that hold potential to be attracted to the District of Squamish between 2005 to the year 2015. 7.2 RETAIL CUSTOMER GROUPS The user groups and projected number of visitors that will contribute to both the overall District as well as specifically the viability of the revitalized downtown and planned waterfront of Squamish are as follows: Primary Customer Groups Secondary Customer Groups i District of Squamish Residents i Squamish-Lillooet Regional District Residents (Lillooet, Pemberton, Whistler, etc.) i District of Squamish Winter & Summer Tourists i Whistler Destination Tourists (Winter & Summer) i Greater Vancouver Residents – Daytrippers i Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region Visitors (not incl. Whistler) District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 7-1 The expenditure patterns and motivations of diverse range of individual groups are quite different. The composition of the groups and their potential contribution to the District of Squamish is as follows: District of Squamish Residents x The district encompasses the town of Squamish as well as other small towns close- by such as Brackendale. x The majority of the district residents reside within a 20 to 30 minute drive of Squamish and could potentially be enticed to visit Squamish more frequently given the right mix of development. x The population for the District of Squamish is estimated to be approximately 15,000 in 2003 according to the District of Squamish. District of Squamish Winter & Summer Tourists x According to Squamish Tourism over 9,000 tourists visited Squamish in 2003. Squamish is deemed as the “Outdoor recreation capital of Canada,” and many of the tourists visit during the summer to take advantage of the recreation opportunities. x Many of the visitors are passers-by, especially in winter, who are going to Whistler. The Destination tourist numbers for the District of Squamish can be greatly improved with the prospect of the waterfront and new retail development. Squamish-Lillooet Regional District Residents x The regional district encompasses the towns of Lillooet, Pemberton, Whistler, Mt Currie, and Birken, as well as the rural areas surrounding these townships. x The population for the Squamish-Lillooet Regional District is estimated by Statistics Canada at 18,000 for the year 2000. This region is anticipated to conservatively grow at an average annual rate of approximately 2.5% per year over the next few years. Whistler Destination Tourists (Winter & Summer) x According to Tourism Whistler, over 1 million tourists visited Whistler in the summer of 2003. For the winter season of 2003/2004 Whistler saw over 870,000 visitors. The expected change in growth is estimated to be an increase of 16% between the years 2005 to 2010. x The total amount of Commercial Floor space in Whistler has greatly increased from 566,880 sq. ft. in 1995 to 830,952 sq. ft. in 2002. This is due in large part to the high number of tourists that visit the area. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 7-2 x Another study by Simon Fraser University and Canada West Ski Areas Association indicates that approximately 20% of skiers had taken summer vacations at the ski area they were visiting. x According to Tourism Whistler the majority of the market origin in the hotel industry is from Canada with the United States close behind. Canada makes up almost 60% of the tourist origin in summer while the US inhabits approximately 33%. x Whistler also attracts many international visitors as well and these visitors are known to spend more than local tourists. Winter is the strongest season as approximately three times more tourists visit during that season than the summer (Tourism Whistler, 2003). BC Tourism estimates that non-BC tourists spend more than twice that of local tourists. Greater Vancouver Resident Daytrippers x An estimated 2.36 million daytrippers visited Squamish in 2002 and is expected to increase to over 2.4 million in 2003, a percentage growth of about 2%. x According to TREC International growth rates the number of daytrippers to Squamish in 2015 is estimated at almost 3 million. This is an increase of 25% from 2003. Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region Visitors x In 1996 visitors to the Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region encompassed about 39%of all tourism revenue to the province of British Columbia. x Tourism revenue for this region was approximately $3.41billion in that same year. x Non-resident visitors spent on average $69 per day and $284 per stay in the region, while local residents spent about $54 per day and $140 per stay in the region. x BC resident visitors to the region in 1996 generated $898 million in revenue. That is about 26% of the region's revenue. x Tourism in the Greater Vancouver region has been steadily increasing the past decade and Tourism Vancouver estimates that 8.5 million tourists will visit in 2004. x The Greater Vancouver Region possesses many growing activities and interests such as cruises, well established tourism attractions, and conventions, which attract many resident and non-resident, leisure and business visitors. x Squamish holds significant potential to become a major tourism destination and tap into this growing market. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 7-3 7.3 EXPENDITURE PATTERNS This section outlines the expenditure potential and warranted floor space based on an examination of key user groups. Generally, expenditures will be derived from two broad markets: 1. trade area residents (i.e. both PTA & STA); and 2. tourism user groups (including both daytrippers and destination tourists). Each of these distinct market groups has different retail requirements and spending patterns. Thus, different methodologies are utilized for the resident and tourism markets. The following subsections provide highlights of the expenditure potential of each of these markets. Residents’ Retail and Service Expenditure Potential The analysis documented in Appendix IV calculates the amount of retail sales expenditure growth in the identified resident based trade areas based on population and income growth projections for the resident markets. This will be supplemented with ‘inflow’ expenditures resulting from tourists that are planned to visit the District (see next subsection). The majority of the resident market that is expected to patronize the retail and entertainment facilities within the District of Squamish will largely come from within the District (i.e. PTA) and to a lesser extent the identified secondary trade area (see Figure 6.1). Although residents from outside this region will patronize the facilities, they will represent a separate proportion of retail sales and are considered as day-trippers and overnight tourists (see next subsection). As mentioned, the expenditure potential for the two trade areas by major retail and commercial categories are outlined in Appendix IV. It is important to note that only those merchandise and service categories that are likely to be represented in the District of Squamish are used in this expenditure potential assessment and warranted floor space analysis (see Section 8). For the purposes of projections, it is reasonable to assume that over the next decade, through both strong and weak economic times in B.C. that retail expenditures will continue to fluctuate, but will on average grow at the conservative rate of approximately 1.5 % per annum in real terms. All dollars quoted are 2005$ and not adjusted for inflation. Based on the foregoing assumption, expenditure potential estimates for each trade area have been forecast over the projection period as shown in Table 8.1 (see Section 8). The total expenditure potential by retail/service category is summarized in the next section under the warranted floor space projection for the District of Squamish between the years 2005 to 2010. As the level of retail floorspace that can be supported by resident markets is somewhat limited, it is the visitor or tourism based markets (including daytrippers) that have the greatest potential to allow commercial development to significantly develop within the District. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 7-4 Visitor Expenditure & Market Share As noted previously, in addition to the retail expenditure potential derived from trade area residents defined for District of Squamish, those expenditures from tourists need to be taken into account. This will include expenditures by both day-trippers (assumed to be those outside of the District) who come to Squamish for the day as well as overnight destination tourists that spend one or more nights in the Vancouver/Whistler region. Table 7.1 illustrates the annual projected visits to the Squamish trade area by tourism user groups. The visitor numbers are broken down over the next 10 years and calculated by an annual growth rate. From 2005, similar to the trade area population, the visitor numbers within the Squamish trade areas are expected to rise over the next 10 years. The visitor numbers in Table 7.1 are then multiplied by the average daily expenditures for the users groups defined in Section 7.2. It is important to note that a different methodology was utilized for trade area residents and tourists as noted below. The expenditures are calculated over a 10-year period with a one percent annual inflation adjustment for the year 2005 and a 1.5% annual inflation adjustment for the years 2010 and 2015. The tourist user groups’ expenditures have been divided into three separate categories, which include: convenience, comparison and food/beverage/entertainment expenditure. Convenience expenditures includes groceries, drugs, take out, beer and other alcohol purchases, while comparison includes items such as sports/recreation goods, clothing, home furnishings/accessories, arts and crafts and other similar merchandise. The tourist expenditure estimates were obtained from a number of sources including studies of B.C. skier daily expenditures, Tourism B.C. visitor expenditure and visitor numbers, Tourism Whistler visitor numbers, Vancouver Tourism visitor numbers, National Ski Areas Association destination skier expenditure, U.S. Department of Commerce shopping expenditures as well as our experience of tourist expenditure at other resorts and tourist destinations. Generally speaking, the average Whistler Destination visitor spends significantly more on convenience, comparison and food/beverage and entertainment purchases than Day tripper visitors. Average retail and service expenditures by visitors to the Vancouver Coast & Mountain region are based on two separate surveys and sources described as follows: 1) Tourism BC data as outlined in The British Columbia Visitor Study (1997) – The Vancouver Coast & Mountain Visitor Report. The per diem estimates for 2005 are based on data collected in both this study as well as the Canadian and International Travel Surveys as compiled by Statistics Canada; and 2) A special study of overseas travelers to the U.S. prepared by the U.S. Department of Commerce and the Taubman Company in 1999. This latest study, entitled Shopping and Cultural/Heritage Tourism, has more recent data than the previous study and is partially used in our analysis. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 7-5 Table 7.1: Projected Annual Visits by Tourism User Group Percentage Growth 2002-2003 Percentage Growth 2003-2005 Percentage Growth 2005-2010 Percentage Growth 2010-2015 User Groups Primary Customer Groups 2002 2003 Whistler Winter Destination Tourists 835,207 872,642 4.5% 925,786 6.1% 1,073,240 15.9% 1,244,179 15.9% Daytrippers 58,464 61,085 4.5% 64,805 6.1% 75,127 15.9% 87,093 15.9% Destination 776,743 811,557 4.5% 860,981 6.1% 998,113 15.9% 1,157,086 15.9% Whistler Summer Destination Tourists 2005 2010 2015 1,066,668 1,027,520 -3.7% 1,090,096 6.1% 1,263,720 15.9% 1,464,998 15.9% Daytrippers 192,000 184,954 -3.7% 196,217 6.1% 227,470 15.9% 263,700 15.9% Destination 874,668 842,566 -3.7% 893,879 6.1% 1,036,250 15.9% 1,201,298 15.9% Total Primary 1,901,875 1,900,162 -0.1% 2,015,882 6.1% 2,336,960 15.9% 2,709,177 15.9% 15,273,228 15,618,443 2.3% 16,210,475 3.8% 17,786,411 9.7% 19,508,651 9.7% 2,365,887 2,408,028 1.8% 2,493,810 3.6% 2,719,791 9.1% 2,966,249 9.1% Total Secondary 17,639,115 18,026,471 2.2% 18,704,285 3.8% 20,506,202 9.6% 22,474,899 9.6% Total Primary/Secondary 19,540,990 19,926,633 2.0% 20,720,167 4.0% 22,843,161 10.2% 25,184,076 10.2% Secondary Customer Groups Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region (outside Whistler) Greater Vancouver Resident Daytrippers Source: TREC International Inc.; 2004,Tourism BC, 1998; Tourism Whistler, 2004; BC Stats, 2004. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 7-7 TABLE 7.2 TOURIST RETAIL EXPENDITURE POTENTIAL FOR THE DISTRICT OF SQUAMISH 2005-2015 Dollars/Inflation: 0%. Market Segment Total Annual Expenditure 2005 Convenience Comparison Targeted Capture Rate (%) Food/Bev/Ent. Total Estimated Expenditure Convenience Comparison Food/Bev/Ent. Convenience Comparison Food/Bev/Ent. Total Primary Customer Groups Whistler Winter $ 11,983,988 $ 19,386,325 $ 30,972,013 $ 62,342,326 Daytrippers $ 867,941 $ 1,298,309 $ 1,130,327 $ 3,296,577 Destination $ 11,116,047 $ 18,088,016 $ 29,841,686 $ 59,045,749 Whistler Summer $ 9,600,711 $ 17,636,217 $ 28,283,943 $ 55,520,870 Daytrippers $ 1,755,703 $ 3,366,680 $ 3,688,245 $ 8,810,628 Destination 3% 5% 3% $ 359,520 $ 969,316 $ 929,160 2,257,996 3% 5% 3% $ 288,021 $ 881,811 $ 848,518 2,018,350 5,857,202 $ 7,845,008 $ 14,269,536 $ 24,595,697 $ 46,710,242 Vancouver Coast & Mts Visitors $ 175,812,183 $ 263,718,275 $ 468,191,689 $ 907,722,148 0.5% 1.0% 0.5% $ 879,061 $ 2,637,183 $ 2,340,958 GVRD Resident Daytrippers $ 28,685,058 $ 43,027,588 $ 76,388,938 $ 148,101,583 2.0% 5.0% 3.5% $ 573,701 $ 2,151,379 $ 2,673,613 5,398,693 Total Primary & Secondary $ 226,081,940 $ 343,768,405 $ 603,836,583 $ 1,173,686,928 $ 2,100,303 $ 6,639,689 $ 6,792,250 15,532,242 2010 Primary Customer Groups Convenience Comparison Food/Bev/Ent. Total Whistler Winter $ 14,775,042 $ 23,972,266 $ 38,367,200 $ 77,114,507 Daytrippers $ 1,035,260 $ 1,569,983 $ 1,361,269 $ 3,966,512 Destination $ 13,739,782 $ 22,402,283 $ 37,005,931 $ 73,147,995 Whistler Summer $ 11,837,951 $ 21,821,871 $ 35,051,410 $ 68,711,232 Daytrippers $ 2,165,092 $ 4,166,693 $ 4,566,229 $ 10,898,014 Destination Convenience Comparison Food/Bev/Ent. Convenience Comparison Food/Bev/Ent. Total 5% 8% 5% $ 664,877 $ 1,797,920 $ 1,726,524 4,189,321 5% 8% 5% $ 532,708 $ 1,636,640 $ 1,577,313 3,746,662 11,013,958 $ 9,672,859 $ 17,655,178 $ 30,485,181 $ 57,813,218 Vancouver Coast & Mts Visitors $ 220,399,648 $ 330,599,472 $ 586,929,082 $ 1,137,928,202 1% 2% 1% $ 1,652,997 $ 4,958,992 $ 4,401,968 GVRD Resident Daytrippers $ 33,702,183 $ 50,553,275 $ 89,749,652 $ 174,005,110 3% 8% 5% $ 1,011,066 $ 3,791,496 $ 4,711,857 9,514,418 Total Primary & Secondary $ 280,714,824 $ 426,946,884 $ 750,097,344 $ 1,457,759,051 $ 3,861,648 $ 12,185,048 $ 12,417,662 28,464,358 2015 Primary Customer Groups Convenience Comparison Food/Bev/Ent. Total Whistler Winter $ 18,151,169 $ 29,527,252 $ 47,332,404 $ 95,010,825 Daytrippers $ 1,233,861 $ 1,895,261 $ 1,637,102 $ 4,766,224 Destination $ 16,917,308 $ 27,631,991 $ 45,695,302 $ 90,244,600 Whistler Summer $ 14,544,306 $ 26,893,458 $ 63,276,076 $ 104,713,840 Daytrippers $ 2,660,353 $ 5,136,140 $ 25,649,276 $ 33,445,769 Destination Convenience Comparison Food/Bev/Ent. Convenience Comparison Food/Bev/Ent. Total 9% 15% 9% $ 1,633,605 $ 4,429,088 $ 4,259,916 10,322,609 9% 15% 9% $ 1,308,988 $ 4,034,019 $ 5,694,847 11,037,853 24,368,141 $ 11,883,954 $ 21,757,317 $ 37,626,799 $ 71,268,070 Vancouver Coast & Mts Visitors $ 243,814,707 $ 365,722,060 $ 649,283,896 $ 1,258,820,662 2% 3% 2% $ 3,657,221 $ 10,971,662 $ 9,739,258 GVRD Resident Daytrippers $ 2,966,249 $ 59,395,234 $ 105,447,205 $ 167,808,687 6% 15% 11% $ 177,975 $ 8,909,285 $ 11,071,957 20,159,217 Total Primary & Secondary $ 279,476,430 $ 481,538,003 $ 865,339,580 $ 1,626,354,014 $ 6,777,788 $ 28,344,053 $ 30,765,978 65,887,820 TREC International Inc, 2004. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 7-8 The total expenditure potential for convenience, comparison and food/beverage and entertainment calculated does not allow for outflow. Outflow takes into account the fact that not every dollar of a person's daily expenditure will be at Squamish. As a result, a capture rate is applied to expenditure potential for each user group and merchandise category spending figure. This provides a more accurate estimate of what a visitor or market share is likely to spend while in the District. Table 7.2 summarizes the total annual retail expenditure for the District from tourists and daytrippers between the 2005 to 2015 period. Appendix V provides more detail on tourism expenditures for each of the three broad merchandising categories. For 2005, the targeted capture rate of expenditures ranged from .05%, 2%, and 3%, respectively, (Vancouver Coast & Mountains visitors’ expenditure on convenience, comparison and food and beverage items) to about 15% and 19%, respectively by 2015 (Whistler visitors’ and GVRD day trippers’ expenditure on comparison and food and beverage items). These capture rates are assumed to increase over the 2005 to 2015 period due to the District embracing tourism to a significantly greater degree than at present, particularly with a stronger downtown tenant mix and associated waterfront development. These are considered to be achievable due to the fact that the Vancouver Coast & Mountain region presently does not have many ‘distinctive waterfront’ shopping/entertainment destinations or factory outlets both of which typically increase tourist shopping expenditures. Once the District of Squamish becomes a distinctive destination offering an array an adventure and ‘cultural’ tourism experiences and shopping, the capture rates that are assumed in this analysis from the tourism user groups have the potential to be increased. With the addition of the waterfront development and revitalized downtown core, planned arts/cultural facilities and a more unique tenant mix, Squamish has the potential to capture a significant share of the approximate $1.6 billion tourism expenditure for culturally based shopping and entertainment activities. Although regional estimates from Tourism Whistler were not available, previous studies in the Vail Valley indicated that tourists accounted for up to 70% of annual retail sales and that destination tourists spend close to 60% of all the retail dollars captured in Vail itself. It is important to note that these numbers likely changed since the late 1980’s (when these estimates were derived), and do not reflect the increasing amount of tourists, seasonal residents staying and living outside of the Town of Vail. Nevertheless, they provide an indicator of the potential that tourism can support in terms of shopping and entertainment expenditures. Given that the relative perceived distance of Squamish from Vancouver, however, the ability of retail by itself to attract a considerable amount of non-destination visitors is somewhat of a constraint. Thus, ancillary uses such as an array of unique restaurants/cafes/deli’s, the adventure centre, arts centre, museum/other visitor attractions, and other entertainment facilities and events, etc. are seen as significantly adding energy to the downtown and waterfront development. The importance of these traffic generators is re-enforced by the fact that potential consumers are attracted to resort towns or tourism destinations for reasons other than retail but on such trips are prime targets for impulse purchases. As other tourism based communities such as Vail, Freeport, Manchester, La Conner, and Canmore have demonstrated, it is typically a clustering and ‘bundling’ of a variety of both commercial and natural attractions, including creating an ‘experiential’ setting, that ultimately captures the visitor market. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 7-9 Although the percentage or market share of the total visitor markets that will visit the District of Squamish, particularly its downtown and waterfront area, is largely dependent upon the number and nature of traffic generators, it is assumed that there will be sufficient critical mass of facilities, attractions, activities, and events to draw visitors, whether from those already visiting the Sea to Sky corridor to daytrippers from the Vancouver region. 7.4 SUMMARY The user groups and projected number of visitors that will contribute to both the overall District as well as specifically the viability of the revitalized downtown and planned waterfront area of Squamish are as follows: Primary Customer Groups Secondary Customer Groups i District of Squamish Residents i Squamish-Lillooet Regional District Residents (Lillooet, Pemberton, Whistler, etc.) i District of Squamish Winter & Summer Tourists i Whistler Destination Tourists (Winter & Summer) i Greater Vancouver Residents – Daytrippers i Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region Visitors (not incl. Whistler) The expenditure patterns and shopping motivations of this diverse range of user groups are quite different. Thus, the ability for the District to capture a share of these markets will also be a challenge and will require distinct tenant mixes to tap into a share of the potential sales from these markets or customer groups. As the level of retail floorspace that can be supported by resident markets is limited by the existing and projected population levels within the two trade areas identified for the District, it is the visitor markets that have the greatest potential to further support additional commercial development within the District. The percentage of the total visitor markets are expected to increase over the 2005 to 2015 period due to the District embracing tourism to a significantly greater degree than at present, particularly with a stronger downtown tenant mix and associated waterfront development. This is considered to be achievable due to the fact that the Vancouver Coast & Mountain region presently does not have many ‘distinctive waterfront’ shopping/entertainment destinations or factory outlets, both of which typically increase tourist-shopping expenditures. Given the relative ‘perceived’ distance of Squamish from Vancouver, however, the ability of retail by itself to attract a considerable amount of non-destination visitors is a constraint. Although this distance will be decreased and perceptions addressed with the highway improvements, ancillary uses such as an array of unique restaurants/cafes/deli’s, the adventure centre, arts centre, museum/other visitor attractions, and other entertainment facilities and events, etc. will add significant energy to the downtown and waterfront. The importance of these traffic generators is re-enforced by the fact that potential consumers are attracted to resort towns or tourism destinations for reasons other than retail yet such trips District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 7-10 generate impulse purchases. As other tourism based communities such as Vail, Freeport, Manchester, La Conner, and Canmore have demonstrated, it is typically a clustering and ‘bundling’ of a variety of both commercial and natural attractions, including creating an ‘experiential’ setting, that ultimately captures the visitor market. It is important to note that the percentage or market share of the total visitor markets that will visit the District of Squamish, particularly its downtown and waterfront area, is largely dependent upon the number and nature of traffic generators that exist and will be provided to attract these markets. Thus, it is assumed that there will be a sufficient critical mass of facilities, attractions, activities, and events to draw visitors, whether this is from those already visiting the Sea to Sky corridor, Vancouver Coast & Mountain tourists or daytrippers from the Vancouver region. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 7-11 8.0 WARRANTED FLOOR SPACE ASSESSMENT 8.1 INTRODUCTION This section examines the amount of commercial floor space that holds potential between the 2005 to 2010 period based on opportunities inherent in the Squamish District. In order to derive total expenditure potential for each retail/service category, those made by both the residents within the trade areas as well as various tourist and day tripper markets as identified in Section 7 are calculated. The total expenditure potential by retail/service category is summarized in this section under the warranted floor space projection for the District of Squamish between the year periods. Next, a market share or estimated capture rate is estimated based on consumer research results, interviews with major retailers in Squamish and our experience in similar retail environments. By applying industry sales productivity parameters to the floor space allocation for the respective merchandise categories, and subtracting the total sales potential from the supply that presently exists or is planned in the District, an estimate of how much floor space that is warranted is determined between the 2005 to 2015 time period. 8.2 FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO ADDITIONAL FLOOR SPACE There are five key factors that contribute towards the viability of additional specialty or comparison retail and convenience floor space in the trade areas and target markets identified for the District of Squamish. These include: 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) Population growth in the trade areas; Expenditure growth (i.e. growth in retail spending per capita). In this case, an assumption that expenditures will continue to grow into the next decade by an estimated average of 1.0% per year, per capita; Additional inflow or incremental demand resulting from new visitors into Squamish and Sea to Sky region that will be attracted to the District of Squamish. These include: drive through visitors; cultural shoppers; destination tourists; visitors to existing attractions in Squamish; and other potential visitors (e.g. day trippers from Vancouver) as a result of the new retail and CARES (Cultural Arts Recreation Entertainment, Education & Sports) facilities, retail and services planned for the area; A decreased ‘outflow’ from the trade area. In other words, expenditures trade area residents were historically making outside of the trade area (e.g. Vancouver) but would expect to make within the District of Squamish; and Transference of sales from existing retailers. If there are not sufficient sales from the above mentioned sources to support new development within District of Squamish, it must transfer sales away from existing competition. Accordingly, new supply can, in itself, create new retail demand while also resulting in a redistribution of existing and future sales expenditures particularly if the same type of retail is added to an oversupplied marketplace. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 8-1 The retail categories that are particularly relevant for the District of Squamish are those included in Appendix IV and Table 7.1. 8.3 CATEGORY TURNOVER, MARKET SHARE AND WARRANTED FLOOR SPACE To determine the turnover achievable within District of Squamish, a realistic market share is applied to the expenditure potential of each retail category as identified in Appendix IV and Table 7.1. In this section, the trade area household and tourism expenditures (from the table in Appendix IV and Table 7.1) are multiplied by the percentage of the respective markets (i.e. market shares or targeted capture rates) that are estimated and projected for each trade area and tourist user groups to be captured to derive the total expenditures by retail and service category. Accordingly, by using the appropriate industry sales productivity (i.e. performance level) and subtracting the existing supply of commercial retail floor space (including existing, vacant & planned as per Table 3.1), the warranted floor space for each category is calculated. This performance measure is an estimate of what a typical store or restaurant is ideally required to sell per square foot to justify its operation, pay an optimum rent to the landlord and make a reasonable profit. The resulting figures indicate whether there are sufficient sales or not for existing and potential tenants/retailers situated within the communities of the district. Tables 8.1 and Table 8.2 outline the supportable commercial retail floor space by category for both the resident and tourism markets that exist and hold further potential for the District of Squamish. It is important to note that the warranted floor space determined in these tables are not necessarily the final floor space allocation; it provides a guide to the overall space allocation subject to the gross build able area based on approvals from the District as well as actual leasing confirmation from retailers and other major businesses that can be attracted to achieve the estimated capture rates assumed for the District’s expansion of commercial development. Some of the highlights of this analysis are reported as follows: Realistic Market Shares x In all the retail and service categories planned for District of Squamish, the market shares required from both the PTA and STA are considered realistic and already achieved by some of the retailers presently operating within the District. x The market shares that are illustrated to be derived from tourism and miscellaneous sources are also easily achieved given the merchandising mix recommended for the downtown and the effective design and development for the waterfront area. In fact, these are considered conservative and are expected to be increased particularly with a strong emphasis on catering and marketing to this market segment. Effective partnering and packaging with complementary tourist venues will enhance these projected market shares. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 8-2 Supportable Floor Space for Trade Area (Resident) Markets Convenience x Given the assumed approximately 9,700 sq. ft of floor space allocation, the majority of this amount is assumed to be utilised for fresh produce, meat, bakery shops and a small natural foods/co-op market or permanent ‘public or farmers market’. This latter use may not be viable until closer to the 2010 to 2015 period. Based on an estimated sales productivity of $450 per sq.ft., a category annual turnover of $53.4 million was estimated for 2005. This is expected to increase to approximately 14,250 sq.ft. and almost 25,000 sq.ft. for the 2010 to 2015 period. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 8-3 TABLE 8.1 WARRANTED FLOORSPACE PROJECTION FOR DISTRICT OF SQUAMISH (2005, 2010, 2015) - Resident Trade Areas Trade Area Potential ¹ RETAIL CATEGORY Year 2005** Food Clothing & Accessories Household Operation Household Furnishings & Equipment Home Entertainment Equipment & Services Recreation Equipment & Associated Services Health & Personal Care Business & Personal Services Recreational/Entertainment Services Restaurants & Cafes Home Building & Supplies* Auto Sales Parts & Operation Total Vacant Planned Total Vacant Existing Total Retail & Services Year 2010*** Food Clothing & Accessories Household Operation Household Furnishings & Equipment Home Entertainment Equipment & Services Recreation Equipment & Associated Services Health & Personal Care Business & Personal Services Recreational/Entertainment Services Restaurants & Cafes Home Building & Supplies* Auto Sales Parts & Operation Total Vacant Planned Total Vacant Existing Total Retail & Services District of Squamish Retail Strategy Estimated Productivity ² ($/sq. ft./yr) Warranted Comm. Floorspace (sq. ft.) Existing Supply ³ (Primary) (sq. ft.) Warranted Size (sq.ft.) % of Total GLA Primary Secondary Total Annual Turnover ($) $94,658,116 $39,063,729 $17,186,747 $24,249,530 $7,986,198 85% 75% 85% 60% 65% 40% 35% 60% 40% 35% 56,398,503 19,861,891 12,147,032 11,690,066 3,738,259 450 350 265 250 275 125,330 56,748 45,838 46,760 13,594 115,647 65,169 59,145 46,175 13,262 9,684 -8,421 -13,307 586 332 0.9% -0.8% -1.2% 0.1% 0.0% $13,750,475 $23,132,485 75% 35% 11,849,174 275 43,088 43,153 -65 0.0% $11,686,889 $15,859,826 $11,928,508 $16,628,035 $4,734,753 $6,355,264 $10,131,974 $13,556,138 $6,780,242 $9,480,897 $50,472,259 $62,810,667 n/a n/a n/a n/a $182,214,894 $244,487,365 $27,546,714 $28,556,543 $11,090,017 $23,688,112 $16,261,140 $113,282,927 n/a n/a $426,702,259 85% 85% 80% 80% 90% 60% n/a n/a 77.1% 35% 35% 35% 40% 65% 40% n/a n/a 41.3% 15,484,794 15,959,044 6,012,145 13,528,034 12,264,801 55,407,623 n/a n/a $234,341,366 250 225 150 275 175 175 n/a n/a 260 61,939 70,929 40,081 49,193 70,085 316,615 n/a n/a 940,200 66,546 67,588 65,051 138,474 149,433 128,998 75,712 56,883 1,091,233 -4,606 3,341 -24,970 -89,281 -79,348 187,617 n/a n/a 151,033 -0.4% 0.3% -2.3% -8.2% -7.3% 17.2% n/a n/a -14% Primary Secondary $41,189,458 $15,473,965 $7,339,934 $9,951,269 $3,143,632 $53,468,658 $23,589,764 $9,846,813 $14,298,261 $4,842,566 $9,382,010 Estimated Market Share Total $43,290,532 $16,263,292 $7,714,344 $10,458,883 $3,303,988 $56,196,094 $24,793,078 $10,349,099 $15,027,616 $5,089,585 $99,486,627 $41,056,370 $18,063,443 $25,486,499 $8,393,574 90% 85% 90% 70% 75% 40% 65% 60% 50% 55% 61,439,917 29,939,299 13,152,369 14,835,026 5,277,263 473 368 279 263 289 129,907 81,389 47,223 56,460 18,259 115,647 65,169 59,145 46,175 13,262 14,260 16,220 -11,922 10,286 4,997 1.3% 1.5% -1.1% 0.9% 0.5% $9,860,587 $14,451,887 $24,312,473 75% 55% 15,343,978 289 53,088 43,153 9,936 0.9% $12,283,037 $16,668,835 $12,536,982 $17,476,231 $4,976,272 $6,679,446 $10,648,806 $14,247,637 $7,126,102 $9,964,518 $53,046,849 $66,014,640 n/a n/a n/a n/a $191,509,675 $256,958,666 $28,951,872 $30,013,212 $11,655,719 $24,896,442 $17,090,621 $119,061,489 n/a n/a $448,468,341 90% 85% 85% 85% 90% 70% n/a n/a 82.5% 35% 40% 65% 40% 70% 40% n/a n/a 51.3% 16,888,826 17,646,927 8,571,472 14,750,539 13,388,655 63,538,650 n/a n/a $274,772,921 263 236 158 289 184 184 n/a n/a 273 64,277 74,624 54,370 51,035 72,793 345,456 n/a n/a 1,048,881 66,546 67,588 65,051 138,474 149,433 128,998 75,712 56,883 1,091,233 -2,269 7,036 -10,681 -87,439 -76,640 216,458 n/a n/a 42,352 -0.2% 0.6% -1.0% -8.0% -7.0% 19.8% n/a n/a -4% TREC International Inc. 8-4 TABLE 8.1 WARRANTED FLOORSPACE PROJECTION FOR DISTRICT OF SQUAMISH (2005, 2010, 2015) - Resident Trade Areas (cont’d) Estimated Market Share Trade Area Potential ¹ RETAIL CATEGORY Year 2015*** Food Clothing & Accessories Household Operation Household Furnishings & Equipment Home Entertainment Equipment & Services Recreation Equipment & Associated Services Health & Personal Care Business & Personal Services Recreational/Entertainment Services Restaurants & Cafes Home Building & Supplies* Auto Sales Parts & Operation Total Vacant Planned Total Vacant Existing Total Retail & Services Primary Secondary Total Primary Secondary Total Annual Turnover ($) Estimated Productivity ² ($/sq. ft./yr) Warranted Comm. Floorspace (sq. ft.) Existing Supply ³ (Primary) (sq. ft.) Warranted Size (sq.ft.) % of Total GLA $45,498,782 $17,092,882 $8,107,852 $10,992,391 $3,472,525 $59,062,656 $104,561,438 $26,057,773 $43,150,655 $10,877,007 $18,984,859 $15,794,174 $26,786,565 $5,349,205 $8,821,730 95% 85% 95% 75% 80% 45% 75% 70% 60% 65% 69,802,038 34,072,280 15,316,365 17,720,798 6,255,003 497 387 293 276 304 140,424 88,129 52,323 64,170 20,591 115,647 65,169 59,145 46,175 13,262 24,778 22,960 -6,821 17,995 7,329 2.3% 2.1% -0.6% 1.6% 0.7% $10,363,575 $15,189,077 85% 65% 18,681,939 304 61,500 43,153 18,348 1.7% 90% 85% 85% 90% 95% 70% n/a n/a 85.8% 45% 50% 75% 45% 75% 50% n/a n/a 60.0% 19,502,235 20,383,865 9,710,719 16,811,285 14,969,731 73,717,960 n/a n/a $316,944,216 276 249 166 304 193 193 n/a n/a 287 70,620 82,014 58,607 55,342 77,439 381,348 n/a n/a 1,152,509 66,546 67,588 65,051 138,474 149,433 128,998 75,712 56,883 1,091,233 4,075 14,426 -6,444 -83,132 -71,994 252,350 n/a n/a 61,276 0.4% 1.3% -0.6% -7.6% -6.6% 23.1% n/a n/a 6% $25,552,652 $12,909,594 $17,519,112 $30,428,707 $13,176,493 $18,367,693 $31,544,186 $5,230,112 $7,020,165 $12,250,277 $11,192,001 $14,974,408 $26,166,409 $7,489,605 $10,472,808 $17,962,413 $55,752,768 $69,382,045 $125,134,813 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a $201,278,580 $270,066,123 $471,344,703 Source: TREC International Inc., 2004 Notes: 1. See Appendix IV 2. TREC International based on Industry Standards, International Council of Shopping Centers, Urban Land Institute, 2004 3. See Table 3.1 *Certain Home Building & Supplies categories are inclusive of service and products and thus evaluated at 66.66% of total figures. **Assumes Real Rate of Growth @ 1.5% per annum ***Assumes Real Rate of Growth @ 1.0% per annum District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 8-5 Comparison x Many of the comparison categories are presently in an over supplied situation, assuming both the Wal-Mart and Home Depot stores are actually completed by next year. x This analysis also has factored in all of the existing vacant and planned developments (e.g. second phase of the Garbaldi Village) which assumes they will be occupied by operating businesses next year. x Thus, as some of this development is reported to not open until after 2005, the stated numbers are somewhat overestimated for this time period. x It is also important to note that this analysis does not factor in the existing and potential expenditures from the tourist markets (see next subsection). x Home building and supplies will be significantly oversupplied when the Home Depot opens in the next year or two. However, with the increasing supply of seasonal residents in the Sea to Sky corridor this may not be as significant as Table 8.1 and this analysis reflects. x Auto sales, parts and operation have an opportunity to be significantly expanded as much of the expenditure from this category flows out of the District. Restaurants & Cafes x With a market expenditure potential of $23.7 million, a category turnover of $14.0 million was derived for 2005 based on a productivity factor of $275 per sq. ft. This yielded approximately 70,000 sq. ft of floor space in 2005 which is significantly lower than what presently exists in the District. x However, as mentioned above, these figures do not account for tourist expenditures as many food establishments derive a good portion of their sales from tourists or highway travellers. Overall, there is an estimated 151,000 sq.ft of oversupplied commercial retail and service space (existing or planned) in the District in 2005. This is projected to decrease to an estimated oversupply of 42,000 sq.ft. by 2010 and result in an undersupplied situation of just over 61,000 sq.ft. by 2015. It is important to note that these figures do not account for the tourist expenditures that many businesses already tap into from this market nor the future potential associated with tourism. Hence, the next subsection will address this. Visitor Supportable Retail Floor space The total supportable floor space for the District of Squamish from tourism is initially calculated by multiplying the average daily expenditure that each tourism market segment is estimated to spend by the existing and projected number of visitors by user type (see Table 7.2). Appendix V summarizes the expenditures by type of retail. This is then divided by an average industry sales performance measure. The supportable floor space has been calculated separately for District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 8-1 convenience, comparison and food/beverage/entertainment because of the differing nature and sales performance in these stores. As detailed in Table 8.2, the amount of additional supportable retail floor space by retail category and productivity levels for the District of Squamish is outlined for the 2005 to 2015 period. This is summarised in the following table. Table 8.2 SUPPORTABLE RETAIL FLOORSPACE FROM TOURISM FOR THE DISTRICT OF SQUAMISH Retail Category (A) 2005 Convenience Expenditure Potential Residual Demand (surplus) @ $ 300 sq.ft. @ $ 350 sq.ft. @ $ 400 sq.ft. (B) Comparison Expenditure Potential (sq.ft.) Residual Demand (surplus) @ $ 250 sq.ft. @ $ 300 sq.ft. @ $ 350 sq.ft. (C) Food/Beverage/Entertainment Exp. Pot.(sq.ft.) Residual Demand (surplus) @ $ 300 sq.ft. @ $ 350 sq.ft. @ $ 400 sq.ft. (D) Total Expenditure Potential Residual Demand (surplus) @ $ 288 sq.ft. @ $ 338 sq.ft. @ $ 388 sq.ft. Annual real growth adjustment 2010 2015 $ 2,153,547 $ 3,861,648 $ 7,026,919 2,153,547 7,178 6,153 5,384 3,861,648 12,872 11,033 9,654 7,026,919 23,423 20,077 17,567 $ 9,596,338 $ 17,144,040 $ 40,138,162 9,596,338 38,385 31,988 27,418 17,144,040 68,576 57,147 48,983 40,138,162 160,553 133,794 114,680 $ 34,367,978 $ 58,816,392 $ 117,199,223 34,367,978 114,560 98,194 85,920 58,816,392 196,055 168,047 147,041 117,199,223 390,664 334,855 292,998 $ 46,117,863 $ 79,822,080 $ 164,364,303 46,117,863 160,124 136,335 118,722 79,822,080 277,503 236,227 205,678 164,364,303 574,640 488,726 425,246 1% Source: TREC International Inc, 2004. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 8-2 Table 8.3 Visitor Supportable Retail Floorspace by Retail Category Floorspace (sq.ft.) Retail Category 2005 2010 2015 Convenience 7,178 11,033 17,567 Comparison 38,385 57,147 114,680 Food/Beverage/Entertainment 114,560 168,047 292,998 TOTAL 160,124 236,227 425,246 Source: TREC International Inc., 2004 8.4 SUMMARY Table 8.4 outlines the amount of floor space by type of retail/service category that is supportable for the 2005 to 2010 time period. As noted, there is presently an over supply of commercial retail floor space that is oriented mostly to local and regional residents. Although not as large as what currently exists, the Squamish commercial supply will likely remain oversupplied until after the 2010 period. The categories that are mostly in an oversupplied situation include: household operations; recreation/entertainment services; and restaurants & cafes. This assumes that WalMart will be open in 2005. Once Home Depot is developed and open, the category of home building and supplies will be oversupplied; this may not be as large as the numbers reflect due to the increasing supply of seasonal residents in the Sea to Sky corridor. Furthermore, when the existing and potential tourism expenditures are considered, the latter two categories are closer to a balanced market. By 2010, almost 194,000 sq. ft. of retail commercial floor space is warranted in the District which increases to approximately 485,000 sq.ft by 2015. As previously mentioned in Section 7, this assumes that the District develops a ‘distinctive’ tenant mix in downtown Squamish and as part of its waterfront development. The majority of this warranted floor space would be largely supported by day visitors, travelers to Whistler, and other tourism based markets. It is also important to note that the warranted floor space determined in this table is not necessarily the final floor space allocation that can be developed in the district. Nevertheless, it provides a guide to the overall space allocation subject to the gross build able area based on approvals from the District as well as actual leasing/confirmation from retailers and other major businesses that can be attracted to achieve the estimated capture rates. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 8-3 Table 8.4 Total Supportable Floorspace from Resident & Tourism Markets - District of Squamish Resident Trade Area Market Supportable Floorspace ¹ (sq.ft.) Supportable Retail Floorspace for Tourism ² (sq.ft.) Total Supportable Floorspace (sq.ft.) 2005 Convenience/Services Food Health & Personal Care Business & Personal Services Comparison Clothing & Accessories Household Operation Household Furnishings & Equipment Home Entertainment Equipment & Services Recreation Equipment & Associated Services Home Building & Supplies* Auto Sales Parts & Operation Food/Beverage/Entertainment Recreational/Entertainment Services Restaurants & Cafes Total Vacant Planned* Total Vacant Existing* 8,418 9,684 -4,606 3,341 87,394 -8,421 -13,307 586 332 -65 -79,348 187,617 -114,251 -24,970 -89,281 75,712 56,883 7,178 15,597 38,385 125,779 114,560 309 Total Floorspace 2010 -151,033 160,124 9,090 Convenience/Services Food Health & Personal Care Business & Personal Services Comparison Clothing & Accessories Household Operation Household Furnishings & Equipment Home Entertainment Equipment & Services Recreation Equipment & Associated Services Home Building & Supplies* Auto Sales Parts & Operation Food/Beverage/Entertainment Recreational/Entertainment Services Restaurants & Cafes Total Vacant Planned* Total Vacant Existing* 19,027 14,260 -2,269 7,036 169,335 16,220 -11,922 10,286 4,997 9,936 -76,640 216,458 -98,120 -10,681 -87,439 75,712 56,883 11,033 30,061 57,147 226,482 168,047 69,927 Total Floorspace 2015 -42,352 236,227 193,875 Convenience/Services Food Health & Personal Care Business & Personal Services Comparison Clothing & Accessories Household Operation Household Furnishings & Equipment Home Entertainment Equipment & Services Recreation Equipment & Associated Services Home Building & Supplies* Auto Sales Parts & Operation Food/Beverage/Entertainment Recreational/Entertainment Services Restaurants & Cafes Total Vacant Planned* Total Vacant Existing* 43,279 24,778 4,075 14,426 240,167 22,960 -6,821 17,995 7,329 18,348 -71,994 252,350 -89,576 -6,444 -83,132 75,712 56,883 17,567 60,846 114,680 354,848 292,998 203,422 425,246 486,521 ¹ See table 8.1 ² See table 7.2 Total Floorspace 61,276 Source: TREC International, 2004 * Denotes figures are existing floorspace numbers while the rest reflect warranted floorspace District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 8-4 9.0 IMPACT ASSESSMENT 9.1 INTRODUCTION Based on the relative size and strength of the current retail infrastructure, this section outlines an impact assessment for the District to highlight the opportunity costs of significant out-shopping on the local economy. This task uses data obtained through our inventory assessment, consumer research, warranted development floor space analysis and includes assessments of the costs and benefits of additional retail/service infrastructure for the community. This section also identifies the proven ways of how existing merchants can not only survive but strive in mass merchandisers' and 'big box' environment. This summarizes practical actions, merchandising, marketing, service, and customer relations tips that have been demonstrated to work in a Wal-Mart and 'big-box' environment. 9.2 OPPORTUNITY COSTS OF OUT OF SQUAMISH SHOPPING Based on a series of market research findings and warranted floor space assessment (see Section 8), Table 8.4 outlined the amount of floor space by type of retail/service category that is supportable for the 2005 to 2015 time period. As noted, there is presently an over supply of commercial retail floor space that is oriented mostly to local and regional residents; although not as large, the Squamish commercial inventory will likely remain oversupplied until after the 2010 period. The categories that are mostly in an oversupplied situation include: household operations; recreation/entertainment services; and restaurants & cafes. This assumes that Wal-Mart will be open in 2005. Once Home Depot is developed and open, the category of home building and supplies will be oversupplied; this may not be as large as the numbers reflect due to the increasing number of seasonal residents in the Sea to Sky corridor which was difficult to estimate along with their spending patterns. Furthermore, when the existing and potential tourism expenditures are considered, the latter two categories are closer to a balanced market. Given the above results, the large amount of shopping that historically occurred appears to have been significantly decreased since the 1990’s with the addition of existing and planned commercial infrastructure. Although this statement covers most retail and service categories, there will continue to be ‘outflow’ or out of Squamish shopping in several commercial categories given the more extensive commercial infrastructure in Greater Vancouver and elsewhere. This is particularly evident in the auto sales, parts and operation category. The outflow in many categories (i.e. auto, clothing, home furnishings & entertainment, business and personal services, education, entertainment, restaurants) will never be totally eliminated as both selection and pricing (as revealed in the consumer research findings) exert a strong influence in drawing shoppers outside of the District. Nevertheless as revealed in Section 9.4 and Appendix VI, if existing merchants embrace many of the tried and proven techniques of how to compete but District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 9-5 thrive in a mass merchandisers and big box environment as well as embrace many of the key trends listed in Section 2 of this report, this ‘outflow’ can continue to be eroded. It is also important to note that in certain categories (i.e. household furnishings & equipment, home entertainment equipment & services, clothing & accessories as well as business and personal services) the amount of ‘outflow’ can likely be decreased by embracing these merchandising categories for new warranted floor space much of which is projected to be supported by tourist and day tripper based market. If these new merchants are well selected (with effective merchandising and pricing) and located, they hold significant opportunities to increase the sales of existing merchants. In brief, the opportunity costs associated with out of Squamish shopping has significantly been decreased with the extensive addition of commercial infrastructure that has been added in the District during the last decade. However, there is a strong opportunity to decrease this even more in certain categories by embracing both existing and potential new markets such as day-trippers, tourist markets and seasonal residents that will inevitably increase not only in the Sea to Sky corridor but directly within the District itself. It is estimated that approximately 23% of the total District’s retail sales potential or at least $41.7 million of sales will continue to ‘outflow’ out of Squamish in 2005. While retail commercial sales will likely continue to increase, ‘outflow’ or out of Squamish shopping will remain in several commercial categories given the more extensive commercial infrastructure (with greater selection and better pricing) in Greater Vancouver and elsewhere. However, by embracing the large visitor and tourism based markets, with the addition of certain merchandising categories (see Section 10), it is projected that this outflow can be decreased to approximately 17.5% (or $33.5 million) and 14.2% (or $28.6 million) by the years 2010 and 2015, respectively. 9.3 COSTS/BENEFITS OF ADDITIONAL RETAIL/SERVICE FACILITIES WITHIN SQUAMISH The following list highlights the costs and benefits of additional retail and service facilities within Squamish: Costs: x As reported above, millions of dollars of sales continue to be spent by local residents out of the District; these could be captured by both existing and new retailers. x Associated with this ‘outflow’ of dollars is the lost of a number of other direct, indirect and induced economic impacts in terms of additional dollars that can be spent in the community as well as employment benefits and taxes; x As commercial space gets increasingly scarce, it will drive up rents, which in turn squeezes out many but the lucrative businesses; x Businesses that cater mostly to local residents such as personal and home services including stand alone bakery, dry cleaners, shoemakers, plumbers, tailors and District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 9-6 locksmiths typically find it difficult to generate sufficient revenue required to pay the rent; x By not capturing retail opportunities, there will continue to be few reasons why day-trippers, tourists and highway travellers will stop within the District and the associated loss of revenue and employment benefits; x As reported in the previous section (Section 8.2), transference of sales from existing retailers can result if there is a large oversupply of retail/services within the District. If there are not sufficient sales from the above mentioned sources to support new development within District of Squamish, it must transfer sales away from existing competition and hence negatively impact their businesses. Benefits: x Millions of dollars hold potential to be captured not only from local and regional residents but also highway visitors and other tourism based markets; x By catering to the tourism based markets and day-trippers, spin-offs in terms of additional business hold significant potential to be accrued to local merchants; x Additional impacts from land and business development; x Additional impacts associated with municipal taxes and DCC’s; x Increased quality of life assuming the additional commercial and services are in line with local residents’ values; x Less traffic and commuting to the Vancouver region; x Local merchants can afford to stay and pay the rents to continue to offer the needed facilities and services that local residents demand. The above highlight the costs and benefits associated with additional retail/services within the District of Squamish. Specific quantitative values associated with many of these can be derived; however, this is more the subject matter and budget associated with a fiscal and full economic impact study that is beyond the scope of this current study. 9.4 HOW LOCAL MERCHANTS CAN COMPETE & THRIVE IN A BIG BOX ENVIRONMENT Based on extensive practical experience in other small to medium sized communities that has embraced mass merchandisers and some ‘big boxes’, there are tried and proven effective ways in competing with these retail giants like Wal-Mart and Canadian Tire. Appendix VI outlines these that have been found to be effective in both the U.S. as well as throughout Canada based on experience with other downtowns and shopping centres. Many of these strategies were derived by Dr. Kenneth Stone, an Economics Professor with the University of Iowa, who worked with us in adapting his extensive researched based strategies and applying them to the retail environment here in BC. Although the list that follows has not been specifically tailored to the tenant or business mix located in Downtown Squamish, most of them are directly applicable to its District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 9-7 merchants. In fact, some of them are already practiced by some of the successful destination and specialty retailers that currently exist in the District of Squamish. The following list summarises how local merchants can compete and thrive in a big box environment if they: x Adopt positive attitudes toward the opening of these operations and prepare to benefit from the increase traffic generated by them; x Embrace merchandise tips; x Improve marketing practices; x Provide superior service can become an important competitive advantage; x Improve customer relations. Research has demonstrated that poor customer relations are the primary reason that customers quit doing business with a store; and x Continually strive to improve operating efficiencies. A detailed description of each of the above techniques is found in Appendix VI 9.5 SUMMARY The opportunity costs associated with out of Squamish shopping has been significantly decreased with the extensive addition of commercial infrastructure that has been added in the District during the last decade. However, there is a strong opportunity to decrease this even more in certain categories by embracing both existing and potential new markets such as day-trippers, tourist markets and seasonal residents that will inevitably increase not only in the Sea to Sky corridor but directly within the District itself. It is estimated that approximately 23% of the total District’s retail sales or at least $41.7 million of sales will continue to ‘outflow’ from Squamish in 2005. While retail commercial sales will likely continue to increase, ‘outflow’ or out of Squamish shopping will remain in several commercial categories given the more extensive commercial infrastructure (with greater selection and better pricing) in Greater Vancouver and elsewhere. However, by embracing the large visitor and tourism based markets, with the addition of certain merchandising categories (see Section 10), it is projected that this outflow can be decreased to approximately 17.5% of the potential retail sales (or $33.5 million) and 14.2% (or $28.6 million) by the years 2010 and 2015, respectively. Some of the major costs and benefits of additional retail/service infrastructure for the community can be summarised as follows. The costs of providing too much retail/service in the community will cause a negative impact on existing retailers in the categories that are identified as being oversupplied. However, by embracing tourism and tapping into other markets such as daytrippers and seasonal residents, many of the perceived oversupplied categories can be embellished and provide spin-offs to existing merchants. Not tapping into the latent demand that presently exists would deter the District and many of its merchants from millions of dollars of potential revenue plus the associated tax and employment benefits. In the long term, if the District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 9-8 commercial floor space in the District is constrained, the resulting increased in rents typically squeezes out many but the most lucrative businesses. Businesses that cater mostly to local residents such as personal and home services including a stand alone bakery, dry cleaners, shoemakers, plumbers, tailors and locksmiths typically find it difficult to generate sufficient revenue required to pay the rent. In addition, for many local residents, quality of life benefits are negated such as being a more self-sustainable community to avoid having to leave the community to acquire their needed products and services. With the completion of Wal-Mart, Canadian Tire and Home Depot, the previous section has documented that the District is already saturated in many retail categories. Nevertheless, there is an opportunity to replace or work with some of the existing lesser quality tenants to upgrade and meet the selection, pricing and quality of merchandise that is demanded by both local and regional residents. In addition, there is a significant market opportunity to supplement the existing commercial mix with tenants that cater more to the tourist and day-tripper markets. Previous research has also revealed that there are a number of tried and proven techniques available to local merchants where they can not only survive but thrive in mass merchandiser’s environment. These include: adopting a more positive attitude and preparing to benefit from the additional traffic that is generated by them; embracing better merchandising and marketing practices; providing superior service, improving customer service and continually striving to improve operating efficiencies. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 9-9 10.0 MERCHANDISING & TENANT MIX PLAN 10.1 INTRODUCTION This section outlines the retail and non-retail/service commercial uses as well as other community uses that are considered appropriate within the District of Squamish and the downtown core. The uses are identified based on several merchandising objectives that form the underlying foundation of the tenant mix plan prepared for District of Squamish. The amount of floorspace by retail/service category for each of the major commercial areas within the District and approximate time period to avoid saturating the market is also provided in this section. 10.2 MERCHANDISING OBJECTIVES The key merchandising objectives and strategies underlying the proposed tenant mix plan for the District of Squamish and downtown core are based on examining the following: x Inherent market opportunities and “voids” that are found to exist from the competitive assessment (see Sections 3 & 4); x Needs, preferences and lifestyles of existing shoppers to District of Squamish integrating findings from the Point-of-View survey (see Section 5); x Socio-economic/demographic and lifestyle characteristics of other trade area residents (see Section 6); x Similar characteristics of visitors and tourists that presently visit the Whistler and Sea to Sky region including reasons why they visit the region and the recognition of many visitors being cultural tourists identifying what they seek in terms of CARE facilities, events, and attractions (see Section 6); x Market expenditure levels including those from trade area residents, day visitors and tourists (see Section 7); x Warranted retail/service floorspace assessment (see Section 8); x Current and future retail, tourism, recreation, cultural/arts, and leisure trends affecting the shopping environments based on an extensive review of shopping, and tourism literature (see Section 2); x Specific retailer demand for new locations, particularly as they relate to their expansion plans for District of Squamish. The key merchandising objectives are summarized as follows: x To maximize activity downtown and corresponding sales to existing and potential merchants as well as leasing revenue to building owners; x Provide an ‘one stop’ shopping destination for many convenience, ‘lifestyle’, retail and CARE goods and services; District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 10-1 x Provide retail facilities and services at one location that, in terms of product mix, selection, value, and atmosphere, are unique in the Sea to Sky corridor and in one or two merchandising formats, potentially throughout the southwest region portion of the province or Province as a whole; x Become a regular shopping destination for value driven patrons for trade area residents as well as a special entertainment location or ‘event’ destination like Whistler, and Granville Island; x To extend the length of shopping visits and extension of the downtown’s activity cycle, thereby providing the opportunity for enhanced expenditures per visit; x Create a retail and non-retail offering sufficiently large and dominant such that they complement and are differentiated from the existing and planned competition identified in Section 4; x To position and integrate the tenant mix in such a layout for optimum circulation as well as enhance the retail potential of individual tenants through synergistic interaction; x Attract both strong regional and national retailers, entertainment, and restaurant operators or concepts that are unique to the Squamish market as well as add to the destination appeal of the revitalized downtown core and waterfront area; x Establish a new shopping and ‘social’ destination by adapting emerging trends in retail, hospitality, and tourism where patrons are seeking value lifestyle merchandise with superior service set in an entertaining and educational/interactive environment. 10.3 MERCHANDISING STRATEGY AND TENANT MIX PLAN Based on a series of market research findings, a total of approximately 9,000 sq. ft. of commercial retail floor space is viable for the District of Squamish in 2005 assuming Home Depot, and Wal-Mart is developed and opened. As identified in Section 8, almost 194,000 sq. ft. would be warranted by 2010 and an estimated 486,000 sq. ft. by 2015. The commercial areas of District of Squamish are recommended to be merchandised according to the following seven merchandising subthemes reinforcing the overall experiential/arts/lifestyle and nautical theme for the District of Squamish: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Convenience/services; Fashion/sporting apparel, recreation equipment & accessories; Office, communications & electronics; Home furnishings, accessories & gifts; Wellness/health & personal care products and services; Restaurants, take away; and CARES facilities. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 10-2 It is further recommended that these seven merchandise categories are positioned within the District of Squamish’s established and planned waterfront commercial areas with a focus on the downtown and incorporate the following key principles: x Present a clear and strong image on the exterior of the stores reinforcing the ‘brands’ and value being offered within the overall downtown; x Anchors to draw customers laterally throughout the downtown; x Attract anchor tenants that have strong street formats x Encourage parking patrons to enter the district that provides them with the most convenient location and draw them to other districts (see Petaluma & Tiburon Photos); x Diversity and authentic ‘main street’ or downtown shopping experiences are increasingly being sought by consumers as many are growing tired of the ‘sameness’ of the mall experience; x Cluster tenants that carry similar merchandise together to entrench clear perceptions in patrons’ minds and reinforce the convenience aspects of ‘one-stop’ shopping for these categories; x Ensure that the commercial in the waterfront area incorporates unique design features and animation to ensure it truly becomes an attraction and popular ‘social’ destination in its own right. This should also include way finding and place making features helping to create an ‘experiential’ ambiance. Recommendations for each of the seven subthemes selected for each of the major commercial districts identified for District of Squamish are detailed as follows: Banff, AB District of Squamish Retail Strategy Petaluma, CA TREC International Inc. 10-3 Banff, AB Canmore, AB 1. Convenience/services Convenience retail and related services are recommended to comprise between 7,200 to 17,500 sq. ft. of the District’s new warranted floorspace and include tenants such as the following: x A natural foods market or co-op with roll away doors to allow tenants to spill into the outdoors (see photo 7); x speciality wine/beer/liqour store; x candy, fudge, goodies, bakery type stores; x old general store or diner featuring take-out food, ice cream, coffee, etc. all in a replicated, nostalgic atmosphere (see photo 8) ; Photo 7: Public Market near Troy, MI x personal services such dressmaking/tailoring, laundry/dry-cleaning, video rental, etc. The majority of this category floorspace is recommended to be positioned within the downtown core. Given that the downtown already has a liquor store, a specialty store catering more to tourist and highway travellers holds potential to be located either in the Business Park or the Garbaldi Village areas. The co-op market or permanent ‘farmers market’ in particular holds significant potential to become a strong social gathering place (see photo 6) and help anchor the downtown. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Photo 8: Nostalgic diner/ice cream parlour situated on the main street of St. Helena, CA 10-4 2. Fashion/sporting apparel, recreation equipment & accessories The overall category is recommended to comprise approximately 70,000 of the additional total floorspace identified to be viable for the District of Squamish between 2010 and 2015. Depending on the uses and tenants, this category holds potential to be possibly expanded and brought into the market earlier than 2010. This category holds the most appeal for the downtown and factory outlets either in the business park and/or the downtown/waterfront area. It is further recommended to be comprised of the following types of tenants: x A value anchor offering ‘brand name’ apparel with strong regional recognition; or national and international x This ‘brand name’ has the potential to be either a medium sized box store such as Winners or factory outlet retailers such as Far West, North Face, Helley Hanson, etc; x A large outdoor recreation equipment manufacturer would also be very instrumental in tapping into this expenditure category while helping to anchor the downtown or waterfront development; x A series of mini-anchors of a lifestyle nature offering ‘brand names’ and/or unique quality crafted merchandise such as jewellery (see photo 9) at factory outlet prices; x A dominant retailer(s) focusing on casual/leisure apparel, body care and accessories; x A series of smaller speciality tenants that complement and add to the mix offered by the above tenants; x A cluster of moderate/moderately high priced boutiques or larger value chain can be positioned downtown that can provide variety, quality and selection to both trade area residents and visitors alike; x These types of stores and services will strengthen and expand the existing tenants in this category. The medium sized ‘big box’ should be positioned with exposure onto the Highway and capitalize on the available space that is already approved. Alternatively, some of the larger spaces downtown could accommodate this use and help anchor it or incorporate factory outlet tenants into its fabric. Accordingly, the value orientation or brand name recognition will engender immediate recognition and has the potential of patrons to choose the core for its visits. Furthermore, the price benefits will bring a significant increase in the number of trade area residents to visit District of Squamish for their shopping needs. With proper signage, these shoppers can be drawn into the other precincts. This same principle applies to some of the other merchandising themes that lend themselves to megastores and/or name brand factory outlets such District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 10-5 as communications (e.g. Telus/BC Tel), electronics/tech-tainment (e.g. Future Shop, London Drugs), books/music, etc. 3. Office, communications & electronics This category is recommended to be comprised of approximately 5,000 to 7,300 sq.ft between 2010 and 2015. The following guidelines are further recommended: x An office supply and/or music/CD’s (e.g. Future Shop) megastore anchor that has excellent street presence (i.e. signage and storefront display). It is recommended to have transparency to allow passing traffic to see into the store with a well lit exterior. x Ideally, this office supply/music store should be at a prominent location to draw patrons to one of the districts while acting as another anchor for the majority of tenants in this category that are recommended to be positioned nearby to draw customers to adjacent districts x A photo store that can be combined with other complementary merchandise and have a ‘popout’ display or sign to capture interest (see photo 10); Photo 10 – Chatham, ON x Some of these tenants may also have a factory outlet store with a coffee bar to reinforce the value and ‘one-stop’ shopping appeal of this communications and tech-tainment precinct (e.g. Bose outlet, Radio Shack – see Photo 11); x Stores such as the Telus and/or BC Mobility premises have the potential be generating significantly merchandising. more excitement in terms of storefronts and x A central communications desk in a store with a series of internet stations and café modelled in a rec.-room setting would also encourage patron to linger longer at this part of the downtown. 4. Home furnishings, sporting goods accessories & gifts Another integral component reinforcing the lifestyle appeal of the merchandisings thrust for the District of Squamish is tenants in the home, garden, and kitchen categories. This category could also include arts/crafts galleries and workshops, bath shop, linens & beddings, country furnishings, interior design & functional art accessories, speciality hardware and speciality gifts. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Photo 12: Decorative street art supplied by local merchant. Old Scottsdale, AZ 10-6 Some of the artisan or gallery type tenants could be encouraged to display their products as part of the street furniture. (See photo 12). This category is estimated to have approximately 10,000 to 18,000 sq.ft. between 2010 and 2015 and be largely incorporated into the downtown with the following components: x A major tenant featuring home accessories, kitchen ware, linens, wall ornaments, functional artware, decorative items, gifts, etc. x A garden home shop featuring distinctive yet affordable garden furniture, plants, garden accessories, etc. (see photo 13 & 14); x A ‘one-stop’ decorating centre featuring custom draperies, wall hangings/accessories, wallpaper, and other wall/interior design fixtures and services (workshops, classes, etc); x Several major tenants may be complemented with a series of smaller stores or integrated in one store format. x Existing stores that have become a long time destination are recommended to be ‘reinvented’ by providing Photo 13 & 14, Berkeley, CA interpretative displays of some of their merchandise as part of their storefronts as well as having merchandise spilling out into the street environment (see photo). 5. Wellness/health & personal care products and services With approximately 20,000 sq. ft of floor space by 2015, this component is envisioned to be comprised of two main parts: Health/personal care products such as optical wear, additional products for the tourist market, and other specialized ‘lifestyle’ supplies including hand made soaps, lotions, etc; and x A series of specialized health and personal care services. x The major types of tenants are recommended as follows: x An Alternative Holistic Centre featuring traditional Chinese medicine, natural healing, acupuncture, herbology, etc. The Alternative Holistic Centre also has the potential to be strengthened with an educational facility such as an Institute of Alternative Medicine or Holistic Health; District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 10-7 x Both a destination spa and day spa featuring both products and spa services are also recommended as part of the downtown and waterfront area. 6. Restaurants, take away With the exception of the food element of the recommended natural foods market or co-op, this merchandising category is expected to be interspersed throughout the downtown and represent approximately 70,000 to 150,000 sq. ft. of the District’s overall new warranted floor space between 2010 and 2015. As outlined in the Squamish Waterfront Concept Plan, sidewalk cafes and having other venues spilling out into the channel or water environments should be encouraged. The major components of this category are as follows: Marche Lino Bakery/Deli, Toronto, ON x A major restaurant operation incorporating elements from Movenpick’s Marché Restaurant or their smaller operation named Marché Lino (see Photo 22); x A casual family style restaurant operation(s) like Cactus Club, Eastside Mario’s, Cheesecake Café, etc; x Coffee/deli or speciality bakery/cafés are recommended to be positioned along the waterfront; x Several fast food type operations that have the potential to be integrated into existing and planned operations in the form of a ‘take-out’ window. 7. CARE (Cultural, Arts, Recreation, Entertainment & Educational) facilities & services Comprised of approximately 50,000 to 80,000 sq. ft. of the total warranted new floor space between 2010 and 2105, this merchandise category is recommended to be positioned primarily in the downtown and waterfront areas. These types of venues will be best targeted to youth, families, and tourists who are middle aged and mature travellers. Potential tenants and concepts for both existing vacant space as well as future new floorspace include the following: Photo 23 x Attracting an avant garde live theatre group; x This venue could be used for various community functions and events while live theatre are not taking place District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 10-8 x Adjacent tenants that would provide cross selling opportunities include a dessert/bakery operation, bookstore, music/CD store, etc. (see photo 24); x A live dinner theatre operation may hold potential in the five to ten year period once Squamish matures as a visitor destination x The entertainment component of the downtown can be complemented with a family amusement operator like Space Port, Virtual World or similar operation to cater more to the teenage/young adult market; x Similarly, a skate park, Science & Discovery Centre near the Park or waterfront can be used as a ‘youth care’ while parents shop/dine/entertain downtown; x A newer style bowling alley or entertainment facility with features incorporated in places such as Red’s (operated by the Brunswick Co.) or the smaller facility located at the Chateau Lake Louisa see Photos. x An authentic ‘nautical/forestry discovery centre’ with interactive and participatory exhibits and showcases featuring local manufacturers products holds potential to become another CARE attraction within the community. A culinary institute and design school are other uses that could be part of this complex. x A major community facility such as the planned arts & performance centre would also add patronage to the downtown while providing a facility that would add to and complement those existing in the District. In addition to the above categories, there is a significant opportunity to further develop the automotive sales, parts and operation/service. This use is most appropriate in other outside commercial/light industrial areas and away from the downtown core. In fact, the existing dealership and automotive repair uses should be relocated and replaced with more high profile retail uses that would further entice tourists to enter the downtown area of Squamish. While the business park land may be too valuable, there may be alternative sites to house larger car dealerships if other higher and more valuable uses are not identified. Although up to an District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 10-9 estimated 250,000 sq.ft of commercial space is warranted, in all like hood a fraction of this could conceivably be developed. 10.4 SUMMARY The main retail and service categories that were identified to be warranted for District of Squamish are recommended to be merchandised according to the following seven subthemes reinforcing the overall experiential/arts/lifestyle and nautical theme for the downtown and waterfront areas with some holding potential for the other commercial areas: 1. Convenience / services such as a natural foods market, private liquor store, permanent farmers’ market and personal services such as video rental, dry-cleaning, small convenience store(s), etc; 2. Fashion/sporting apparel, recreation equipment & accessories 3. Office, communications & tech-tainment such as office supplies, music/electronics, telephone, accessories, etc; 4. Home furnishings, accessories & gifts; 5. Wellness/health & personal care products and services; 6. Restaurants, take away; and 7. CARE (Cultural Arts Recreation and Arts) facilities In total, an estimated 486,500 of total floor space can be incorporated into the District’s five commercial areas by 2015. While much of this space will not be warranted until significant improvements are made to attract more tourists into the community, if the right tenants and uses are selected, there is strong potential to draw the existing day-trippers and destination tourist markets into the downtown core earlier than 2015. Examples of retailers that hold potential in this regard are unique quality oriented one of a kind type shops in some of the above categories as well as factory outlets. This would then stimulate additional traffic to existing shops and services as well as for the restaurants/take-away and health/wellness categories. In addition, there is an opportunity to attract additional businesses catering to automotive sales, parts and operation in areas outside of the downtown. Independent factory outlet store in Canmore, AB District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 10-10 Appendix I: Review of Retail Trends & Tourism Characteristics District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix I Review of Consumer Trends Consumers are Getting Increasingly Optimistic about the Future. x According to the Urban Land magazine, retail sales growth has been extremely strong in recent years, rising by 8.2 percent in 2000 over 1999. x Restaurants began a major rebound in the last several quarters of 2001. Diversified Retail Demand Among Resort Visitors x Day skiers typically spend very little on entertainment, and their support for eating and drinking establishments and retail merchants are similarly minimal. On the other hand, the destination skiers’ consumption habits generate a high sales volume for entertainment. This finding re-emphasizes the importance of reintegrating retail spaces with entertainment and recreation in the District of Squamish. Consumers are Rewarding Themselves with “Small Indulgences”. x To satisfy emotional fixes, and indulgence of the senses and allow ego expression, consumers are seeking self-gratification from smaller (“quality”) purchases such as: x Fine accessories such as quality sunglasses, super insoles for ski boots, hats, scarves, belts, hiking/walking shoes, premium quality toiletries or soaps, etc. are also on target with this trend. The Beginning of the New Millennium is the Age of ‘Personalization’ i.e. Ergonomics. x The store or restaurant that enables each customer to feel unique are doing extremely well. Many arts and crafts stores located in well-established resorts such as Banff and Lake Louise along with Marché Lino (a market style bakery/café) or the Marchéc Restaurant both operated in Canada by Movenpick provides this to their consumer. Stores such as Sure Foot at Whistler Village is another example of this particular trend. x Not only must the product/ or service be of quality nature, consumers are being exposed and increasingly demand ‘experiences’ from retail, restaurant and entertainment. Personalized Service is Essential x For example, Levi Strauss and Co’s has now offered more personal attention to their customers by offering made-to-order personalized pair blue jeans, which are manufactured to the customer’s measurements taken at a retail boutique. x Accordingly, significant opportunities are also available with respect to items and services that make people feel and look better (health spa, day spas, fitness center) provide laughter (i.e. places to socialize, dinner theaters, etc.), provides fun or makes the consumer feel like a kid. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix I - 1 Diversified Retail Demand Among Resort Visitors x The profile of typical visitors at Whistler are quite diverse and with varying expenditure patterns. In addition to hotel guests and short-term visitors, District of Squamish will also attract a large number of destination visitors. x Resorts visitors, as opposed to residents show widely varied expenditure patterns. Typically, their spending habits for food and beverage expenditures are higher while other categories are slightly lower. Customers Demand for “Value” in their Retail & Restaurant Offerings x It is okay now to be a bargain hunter and shop at such stores, visit factory outlets, nevertheless, people still like to purchase designer labels and brands; however, they do not want to pay the full amount. x Consumers are increasingly shopping at these ‘bargain’ type stores so they can spend more dollars on educational, restaurant, travel, entertainment, new electronic items and generally more from fulfilling products, services and experiences. Products or Retail Stores Trends Career Casual Wear x The career casual look that is neater and more tailored have become a popular trend which include sweaters, pants and accessories. x In Banff, Lake Louise and Whistler international brand names, Canadian made styles and western fashion are popular. Shopping is Becoming More Aligned with Entertainment Integrating Retailing with Services x Retail within small towns such as Squamish today are more three-dimensional and interactive. If designed right with an interesting mix of tenants, customers will be more interested in exploring the shops and the items. x The future of stores will not only be about what they look like, but how stores act and what they do. x The Foodland Supermarket Chain, for example was designed to be a fun-filled family marketplace and not just a place to shop for your groceries. The market offers customers a form of ‘edu-tainment.’ In other words, the store provides menu choices rather than simply providing endless aisles of groceries. When a customer goes to the store to buy mangoes, they can find an in-store demonstration on how to make mango chutney. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix I - 2 Authentic Themed Retail x The layout must be simple for visitors to locate particular stores while, feeling oriented and comfortable. A good layout plan should also maximize sales space and provide maximum exposure to the tenants. x Theming can strongly influence the design and consequent appearance of parts of the retail environment. It largely involves architectural theming, with the theme applied to finishes and fittings; the theme can often be extended to include merchandise and tenant mix. x In the case of the Parisian Mall at West Edmonton, the theme is a street of the French capital, while the tenants within the street have facades that resemble a French architectural design. While in St Jacobs, Ontario, the retail village incorporate stores within heritage farm structures and actually designed a factory outlet as part of a replicated barn, as a way to enhance the experience of visitors. Concept of Bringing the Outside into the Inside x On a large scale, customers may detect a distinctive, rushing water or other natural sounds throughout the waterfront or downtown space, which resemble the natural environment surroundings of Squamish. x Another example to point out is the PGA Tour store, which realistically mimics a PGA golf course, where the store is interactive, educational and entertaining. The design of the store emulates an outdoor feel, featuring an enormous rotunda with an authentic putting green accompanied by bridges, rocks and a babbling brook. The color palette uses lighter wood and high-tech finishes including: brushed aluminum and an articulated tile flooring design that resembles a golf course cart path. New Ways of Operating Restaurants x In Kringlan Mall, located in Reykjvik, Iceland, the restaurants cannot be overspecialized due to Iceland’s small population. x Therefore, the restaurants in the mall transform themselves throughout the day from a coffee shop, to a luncheon bistro, to a white-tablecloth restaurant serving Icelandic delicacies such as reindeer, puffin and whale. New Tastes for Restaurants x Generation Y (1-20 years) is known by marketers to be attracted to healthier menus, or green products, thus some of the tenants are recommended to offer healthier menus as a potential option for future food service. Placemaking and Placekeeping x In order to continue to attract customers and to maintain tenant satisfaction, resort District of Squamishs are scheduling a more complete calendar of events. Thus, the common spaces in the District of Squamish should be designed as suitable venues to host programs and performances. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix I - 3 Hi-tech in Retail: x On a large scale, some resorts have integrated video walls. (e.g Canyons near Park City) whereas some stores incorporate these within the stores themselves. x The introduction of in-store web kiosks have been incorporated in some retail stores in the US, which will be able to show a wider line of merchandise than they could physically display. x Technology is now being used to create interactive entertainment networks within the shopping environment. These networks are able to bring live performances and events to the customers as they shop. The Impact of the Internet on Entertainment Retailing x What the internet cannot deliver to consumers that retail District of Squamish can, is provide experiences for their visitors. x Creating experiential places will be able to compete against the rise of e- commerce. Providing entertainment in retailing is what is going to retain customers. Future Trends of the 21st Century: x The emergence of ‘Generation Y,’ the largest generation ever in the history of the US, will dominate the consumer population. This new young adult population regards shopping as a lifestyle pursuit. x The aging baby boomers, are reaching a time in their lives, when comfort, quality and escape are important factors and considerations in their lives. x Live performances such as musical theaters and concerts will be vital in the future. x Person-to-person service will gain importance as a strategy to retain customers. x As the internet will provide more convenience items, this will allow consumers more time to focus more on leisure goods. x Consumers will seek experiences that will become part of the shared memories of their family, friends, and professional associates. x Daytime escapes in the form of short leisure trips at a nearby urban resort or small authentic downtown seeting of Squamish will become a trend. x Grocery stores, with ready-made meals, gas stations with ATMs: examples point to the continued packaging of products and services into combined formats that deliver better convenience for the consumer will continue to be a popular trend. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix I - 4 Appendix II: Factory Outlet Retail Industry Overview District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix II FACTORY OUTLET RETAIL INDUSTRY OVERVIEW The majority of the following material on the overview and background of the factory outlet industry was summarized from an in-depth market update report (dated June 2002) that was prepared by Merrill Lynch Global Securities Research & Economics Group. x As a background, factory outlets in the US have been a retail format since the 1970's when the Vanity Fair Corporation opened the first multi-tenant outlet in 1970. x In Canada, factory outlets did not arrive as a retail format until the late 1980’s. All of the factory outlets to date have located in the Eastern Provinces. x Outlet centres with a high critical mass, good tenant mix and location tend to have a higher degree of franchise value in their trade areas than shopping centres, except the best regional malls. Outlet stores that lack these characteristics are struggling. x Outlet stores are the only retail channel where manufacturers control the pricing, display and location of their merchandise. Outlet stores are very profitable for manufacturers. x Developers got carried away and built too many outlet retail centres in the US and have paid the price. x Weaker outlet centres with second-rate tenants and poor sales that account for almost 55% of the industry in the US are struggling for survival. x Outlet centre same-store sales have decreased in each of the years 1999 - 2001. Same store sales mean the sales that are monitored on an annual basis for the “same” store on a repeated basis. For example, sales for the Nike factory Outlet store chain would be monitored on an annual basis for this chain and compared for this same store on a repeated basis. x The number of outlet stores has decreased by 20% from its height in 1996. Figure II displays the number of outlet stores in the United States. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix II -1 Figure II: Number of Outlet Centres in the US, 1987-2002 Number of Outlet Centres, 1987-2002 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 90 19 89 19 19 88 0 Source: Value Retail News & Merrill Lynch, 2002 x Outlet centres built in recent years have tended to be bigger than the norm and many older outlets have expanded. x It is only the small outlets (less than 200,000 square feet of Gross Leasable Area (GLA)) that are being wedged out of the industry. They are often too small to reach critical mass, offer fewer brand name stores to generate shoppers and are located in a sparsely populated area. They are also vulnerable to the threat of value-retailing formats. Negatives among the outlet industry x Value retailing (such as discount department stores, super-centres, warehouse clubs, category killers, off price apparel chains) is a threat to the outlet industry, which has a reputation as the discount retail channel. This is due to the fact that they are increasingly offering discounted pricing for many categories of ‘brand name’ merchandise. x Certain outlet operators have brought in non-manufacturing stores such as Winners, Bank of Montreal, Battery Plus, Michael’s Arts & Crafts, etc, which has caused a distinction problem between retailing formats. x Instead of selling their excess inventory at regular stores at discount, factory manufacturers usually sell these goods at 30-70% off at their factory outlet stores. x Consumers find that markdowns are not as large as they used to be and usually shop at centres where markdowns are consistently lower and offer a broad range of items. x Centres where rock-bottom prices are in effect are hit-and-miss because they do not generally offer a wide rage of items. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix II -2 x Middle priced- brand name apparel and home goods are sold regularly at varying markdowns at discount department stores, supercentres, and family stores and so on. x Traffic and sales best identify gauging success of outlet centres, even though consumers may think or say differently. Positives among the outlet industry: x Even though outlet centres are declining there are some that are thriving: x Sales of the top 15 or 20 outlet chains exceed $400 a square foot, and therefore comparable to class A malls. x While the total number of outlet centres is dropping, the industry's total square footage has been steady and has about the same since 1997. x Many of the premier retailers such as Gucci, Fendi, and Chanel etc. have recently opened stores in outlet centres. x Many of the newer outlet centres garner sales over $420 a square foot, while average smaller centres average $365. x New designer names are appearing at a high rate amongst outlet centres. They prefer to inhabit the dominant centres first as a test for success. x Thus an outlet centres' largest competitive position is largely unaffected by the potential threat of new centres. x Few new outlet centres possess Return on Investments (ROIs) that are substantially higher than conventional shopping centres. This can be attributed to the lower cost of construction and land, as well as increased customer appeal by upgrading their presentation and design. x Outlet centres have lower occupancy costs (i.e. sum of tenant’s fixed rents, percentage rents, and add-ons which is also called total rent) than conventional malls because they are open air and have no anchor tenants requiring subsidization. Occupancy costs for outlets are usually 7-9% of sales while shopping centers possess 11-15%. x Sales volumes at the better performing outlet centres are less susceptible to economic downturns primarily due to having a strong quality based tenant mix. Their key to success lies with the fact that they have gained dominance in their trade areas through the size or mix of desirable and unique tenants. Below are facts that give evidence to their success: x Sales at the top 20 outlet centres exceed $240 a foot, and have continued to grow at 3 to 4% a year even through the rough times x US’s premier brands such as Dolce & Gabbana, Furla, etc. have recently opened their first outlet stores with sales at approximately $500 per square foot. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix II -3 x Several new outlets that have been built since 1999 are garnering sales over $400 a square foot. x Four keys to the top performing outlet centres: 1. Most have a tenant mix with upscale, name brand merchandise. 2. They are big enough to attain critical mass including a nice roster of clients that attract customers. 3. They are situated near densely populated trade areas or have a significant tourist base. 4. They are located on or near major interstate highways providing accessibility to a number of areas. x Of the four keys the one that seems to contribute most is the tenant mix and brand names. The most popular brands are renowned for higher quality products and styles and overall consumer satisfaction. x The North American loves a bargain, especially when it involves a brand name. x Value-retailing's huge growth is a threat to the outlet industry's image of the retail centre of unbeatable prices. Competition is very strong among the value-retailing formats which are quick to offer the lowest prices. x While there are many definition of value-retailing depending on different tenant mixes, it usually encompasses everyday-low-prices, large assortments of in-stock merchandise and branded merchandise with a reputation for high quality. x According to Merrill Lynch, 2002, value-retailing’s market share of total non-auto, non-food retail sales has jumped from 4% in 1981 to 40% today. x Many conventional stores and retailers such as department stores, etc. have accepted value-retailing practices to stay competitive. x Thus, with mostly all retail endeavors willing to remain competitive, the distinction between value-retailers and all other retailers is blurring. x Many other retailers began to produce their own "outlet" stores where they could also sell their out-of-season fashions, damaged goods, and closeouts. Retail divisions such as Saks Off-Fifth Avenue, Brooks Brothers' Outlet, and Ann Taylor Lofts today account for approximately 15 to 20% of the outlet industry's collective tenant base. x Recently, the proliferation of Value Mega Malls has penetrated the market offering a combination of factory outlets, retailer's outlets, off-price, and big box merchants. Such examples include: ¾Great Lakes Crossing, Auburn Hills, MI ¾Ontario Mills, Ontario, CA ¾Super Mall of the Great Northwest, Auburn, WA District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix II -4 ¾Sawgrass Mills, Sunrise, FL ¾Franklin Mills, Philadelphia, PA x Mills' style projects differ in three major aspects from outlet centres. 1. Traditional manufacturers' outlet stores make-up about one-third of the total GLA in the Mill's style Mega Malls. The other two thirds are made up of discount department stores, category killers, some full-price retailers and entertainment operations (i.e. restaurants, entertainment venues such as Dave & Buskers, Sega, etc). 2. Operating economics: Mill's style Mega Malls are more expensive to build and occupancy costs for in-line tenants tend to be higher than in outlet centres. 3. Mills Mega Malls are also entertainment driven. There are four trends that will be apparent among the outlet centre industry in the next few years 4. The number of outlet centres may shrink another 20-30% before stabilizing. 5. The top performing centres should out-perform every other kind of shopping centre. The onset of new brands will continue to bring success. 6. An increasing number of dominant centres will fall into the hands of fewer and fewer major players. 7. Upscale US style outlet centres have proved to be an exportable retailing innovation. One conclusion that is generated by all this states that there are too many poorly run outlet centres and not enough well run dominant ones. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix II -5 Appendix III: Squamish Consumer Retail Survey District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix III SQUAMISH RETAIL SURVEY ============================================================================= Screen #1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------THANK YOU for taking the time to answer this brief survey. Your input will help improve the RETAIL, DINING and ENTERTAINMENT opportunities available within the DISTRICT of SQUAMISH. All responses are CONFIDENTIAL. Completed surveys are eligible for an exciting PRIZE DRAW! ADULTS ONLY PLEASE. PRESS "0" to begin. =============================================================================== Screen #2 – ALL RESPONDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------WHERE do you LIVE? 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Greater Squamish area Whistler region Pemberton Mt. Curry/Darcy Lillooet area Vancouver/Lower Mainland Other B.C. Other Canada Other Total Mean 684 42 11 5 1 146 8 5 18 ----920 2.13 74.3% 4.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 15.9% 0.9% 0.5% 2.0% ==================================================================== Screen #4- TOURISTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------WHERE are you visiting from? 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) B.C. Interior Vancouver Island Other B.C. regions Alberta Ontario Other Canada Washington State Other U.S. Other International Total Mean District of Squamish Retail Strategy 2 5 5 1 4 0 9 2 3 ----31 5.06 TREC International Inc. 6.5% 16.1% 16.1% 3.2% 12.9% 0.0% 29.0% 6.5% 9.7% Appendix III - 1 =============================================================================== Screen #5 - TOURISTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------What is your MAIN REASON for VISITING the Squamish region on this trip? 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Visiting family/friends Work/Business Stop on way north or south Outdoor recreation/sports event Shopping Dining Sightseeing Entertainment Other (T) Total Mean 28 26 65 24 3 5 6 6 14 ----177 3.57 15.8% 14.7% 36.7% 13.6% 1.7% 2.8% 3.4% 3.4% 7.9% =============================================================================== Screen #6 - TOURISTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Are you planning to do any of the following SHOPPING or other activities while in Squamish today? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Grocery (incl. liquor) Clothing/gifts/accessories Home furnishings/appliance Sports and recreation goods Dining Services (banking, post office, etc.) Entertainment (pub, hotels, events) Hardware None PRESS "0" to continue. (T) Total 64 30 6 24 66 24 36 11 40 ----177 36.2% 16.9% 3.4% 13.6% 37.3% 13.6% 20.3% 6.2% 22.6% =============================================================================== Screen #7 - TOURISTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH is WEST of the Sea to Sky Hwy., past the McDonalds. The MAIN STREET is called Cleveland Ave. Have you EVER visited DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH? 1) Yes 2) No 3) Not sure (T) Total Mean District of Squamish Retail Strategy 127 42 8 ----177 1.33 TREC International Inc. 71.8% 23.7% 4.5% Appendix III - 2 =============================================================================== Screen #8 - TOURISTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Are you planning to visit DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH on this trip? 1) Yes 2) No 3) Don't know (T) 63 106 8 ----177 1.69 Total Mean 35.6% 59.9% 4.5% =============================================================================== Screen #9 - TOURISTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------WHY are you NOT visiting DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH on this trip? 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) No time Don't know where it is Don't have a reason to visit Not interested Shopping/dining elsewhere in Squamish Don't like Downtown Squamish Other reason (T) Total Mean 46 6 32 11 3 3 5 ----106 2.51 43.4% 5.7% 30.2% 10.4% 2.8% 2.8% 4.7% =============================================================================== Screen #10 - TOURISTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------What would encourage you to STAY LONGER and PATRONIZE businesses in DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Special events, activities, entertain One-of-a-kind shopping experiences Interesting waterfront activities Quality restaurants/cafes Unique educational experiences Quality museum or visitor attraction Aesthetic appeal Culture and arts Nothing PRESS "0" to continue. (T) Total District of Squamish Retail Strategy 91 62 73 72 31 37 44 51 22 ----177 TREC International Inc. 51.4% 35.0% 41.2% 40.7% 17.5% 20.9% 24.9% 28.8% 12.4% Appendix III - 3 =============================================================================== Screen #11 - TOURISTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------If DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH had some interesting FACTORY OUTLET stores, would this be a reason for you to spend more time there? 1) Yes 2) No 3) Don't know (T) 104 55 18 ----177 1.51 Total Mean 58.8% 31.1% 10.2% =============================================================================== Screen #12 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------What is your MAIN REASON for VISITING the District of Squamish on this trip? 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Visiting family/friends Work/Business Stop on way north or south Outdoor Recreation/sports event Shopping Dining Sightseeing Entertainment Other (R) Total Mean 2 5 21 6 19 0 0 0 6 ----59 4.20 3.4% 8.5% 35.6% 10.2% 32.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.2% =============================================================================== Screen #13 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Are you planning to do ANY of the following SHOPPING or other activities while in Squamish on this trip? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Grocery (incl. liquor) Clothing/gifts/accessories Home furnishings/appliance Sports and recreation goods Dining Services (bank, medical, lawyer etc.) Entertainment (pub, hotels, events) Hardware None PRESS "0" to continue. (R) Total District of Squamish Retail Strategy 27 19 8 12 13 16 3 9 4 ----59 TREC International Inc. 45.8% 32.2% 13.6% 20.3% 22.0% 27.1% 5.1% 15.3% 6.8% Appendix III - 4 =============================================================================== Screen #14 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH is WEST of the Sea to Sky Hwy., past the McDonalds. The MAIN STREET is called Cleveland Ave. Have you EVER visited DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH? 1) Yes 2) No 3) Not sure (R) 52 4 3 ----59 1.17 Total Mean 88.1% 6.8% 5.1% =============================================================================== Screen #15 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------What type of SHOPPING or other activities would you MOST LIKELY do when you are in DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Grocery (incl. liquor) Clothing/gifts/access. Home furnishing/appliances Sports and recreation goods Dining (incl. cafes) Services (bank, medical, lawyer etc.) Entertainment (pub, hotels, events) Hardware None PRESS "0" to continue. (R) Total 31 27 11 12 21 13 6 13 3 ----52 59.6% 51.9% 21.2% 23.1% 40.4% 25.0% 11.5% 25.0% 5.8% =============================================================================== Screen #16 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Are you planning to visit DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH on this trip? 1) Yes 2) No 3) Don't know (R) 25 32 2 ----59 1.61 Total Mean 42.4% 54.2% 3.4% =============================================================================== Screen #17 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------WHY are you NOT visiting DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH on this trip? 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) No time Don't know where it is Don't have a reason to visit Not interested Shopping/dining elsewhere in Squamish Don't like Downtown Squamish Other reason (R) Total Mean District of Squamish Retail Strategy 14 1 7 2 2 2 4 ----32 2.97 TREC International Inc. 43.8% 3.1% 21.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 12.5% Appendix III - 5 =============================================================================== Screen #18 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------What would encourage you to STAY LONGER and PATRONIZE businesses in DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Special events, activities, entertain One-of-a-kind shopping experiences Interesting waterfront activities Quality restaurants/cafes Unique educational experiences Quality museum or visitor attraction Aesthetic appeal Culture and arts Nothing PRESS "0" to continue. (R) Total 14 26 26 22 10 8 16 20 5 ----59 23.7% 44.1% 44.1% 37.3% 16.9% 13.6% 27.1% 33.9% 8.5% =============================================================================== Screen #19 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS -------------------------------------------------------------------------What, if any, SHOPPING or other activities are you MOST LIKELY to be doing when visiting the OTHER PARTS of SQUAMISH (Garibaldi Village, Industrial/Business Park, Brackendale), i.e. NOT the Downtown. ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Grocery (incl. liquor) Clothing and access. Home furnishings/appliances Sports and recreation goods Dining (incl. cafes) Services (bank, medical,lawyer, etc.) Entertainment (pub, theatre, etc.) Hardware/building supplies None PRESS "0" to continue. (R) Total 30 13 9 15 16 8 10 17 5 ----59 50.8% 22.0% 15.3% 25.4% 27.1% 13.6% 16.9% 28.8% 8.5% =============================================================================== Screen #20 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS ----------------------------------------------------------------------------APPROXIMATELY, how often do you patronize shops and services IN the District of Squamish? 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 3 or more times per week 1 or 2 times per week 3 or more times per month Once per month Less than once per month 2 or more times per year Less than once per year Never (R) Total Mean District of Squamish Retail Strategy 5 14 17 13 4 2 2 2 ----59 3.36 TREC International Inc. 8.5% 23.7% 28.8% 22.0% 6.8% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% Appendix III - 6 =============================================================================== Screen #21 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS --------------------------------------------------------------------------Please ESTIMATE what proportion of your overall ANNUAL SPENDING is spent on RETAIL, DINING and ENTERTAINMENT purchases IN the District of SQUAMISH. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) Less than 10% 11-25% 26-40% 41-65% 66-80% greater than 80% (R) 30 13 10 3 2 1 ----59 1.93 Total Mean 50.8% 22.0% 16.9% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% =============================================================================== Screen #22 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS --------------------------------------------------------------------------Based on your experience shopping in SQUAMISH, please review the following list and identify the PRIORITIES you think the District should undertake to IMPROVE its RETAIL, DINING and ENTERTAINMENT mix. ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Improve quality of goods available Generate wider selection of retailers Bring in name brand stores Encourage more competitive pricing Develop better service Introduce evening shopping hours Offer more dining/restaurant choices Make aesthetic improvements None PRESS "0" to continue. (R) Total 11 20 13 17 8 15 16 19 6 ----59 18.6% 33.9% 22.0% 28.8% 13.6% 25.4% 27.1% 32.2% 10.2% =============================================================================== Screen #23 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------------Which, if any, of the following FOOD SERVICE RETAIL would encourage you to SHOP in Squamish more often? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Natural foods market/co-op Produce store Farmers market (permanent) Specialty deli Bakery Family restaurants Fine dining Casual bistros and cafes Chocolate/ice cream/sweets PRESS "0" Total District of Squamish Retail Strategy 28 21 28 12 17 8 12 22 3 ----59 TREC International Inc. 47.5% 35.6% 47.5% 20.3% 28.8% 13.6% 20.3% 37.3% 5.1% Appendix III - 7 =============================================================================== Screen #24 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------------Which, if any, of the following COMPARISON RETAIL would encourage you to shop in Squamish more often? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Clothing and accessories Home furnishings and appliances Sports and recreation goods Office/school supplies Computers and electronics Toys, games and hobbies Books Gifts Garden Centre PRESS "0" to continue. Total 35 15 17 8 9 5 14 8 9 ----59 59.3% 25.4% 28.8% 13.6% 15.3% 8.5% 23.7% 13.6% 15.3% ============================================================================ Screen #25 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS ---------------------------------------------------------------------------Which, if any, of the following OTHER SERVICES would encourage you to travel to Squamish more often? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Pet supplies Wellness centre Sports clinic Full service spa Educational services Art gallery, museum Live theatre Attraction(s) Professional offices PRESS "0" to con Total 10 7 11 8 13 10 21 16 1 ----59 16.9% 11.9% 18.6% 13.6% 22.0% 16.9% 35.6% 27.1% 1.7% ============================================================================ Screen #27 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------IF more SHOPs and SERVICES were OPEN in DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH on THURSDAY and FRIDAY evenings, would this encourage you to patronize them more often? 1) Yes 2) No 3) Don't know (R) Total Mean District of Squamish Retail Strategy 30 18 11 ----59 1.68 TREC International Inc. 50.8% 30.5% 18.6% Appendix III - 8 ============================================================================ Screen #28 – REGIONAL RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------If DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH had some interesting FACTORY OUTLET stores, would this be a reason for you to spend more time there? 1) Yes 2) No 3) Don't know (R) 33 20 6 ----59 1.54 Total Mean 55.9% 33.9% 10.2% ============================================================================ Screen #29 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------How long have you LIVED in the Squamish region? 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 1 year or less 2 to 4 years 5 to 10 years 11 to 20 years More than 20 years (L) 68 126 158 152 180 ----684 3.37 Total Mean 9.9% 18.4% 23.1% 22.2% 26.3% ============================================================================= Screen #30 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Do you WORK or OWN a BUSINESS in Squamish? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) Work in Squamish Own a business in Downtown Squamish Own a business in other part(s) of Sq Work outside Squamish None of the above PRESS "0" to contin Total 407 35 80 165 82 ----684 59.5% 5.1% 11.7% 24.1% 12.0% ============================================================================= Screen #31 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH is WEST of the Sea to Sky Hwy., past the McDonalds and includes the Cleveland Ave. area. What type of SHOPPING are you MOST LIKELY to be doing when you are in DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Grocery (incl. liquor) Clothing/gifts/access. Home furnishing/appliances Sports and recreation goods Dining (incl. cafes) Services (banking, post office, etc.) Entertainment (pub, hotels, events) Hardware None PRESS "0" to continue. (L) Total District of Squamish Retail Strategy 596 343 149 182 402 438 265 337 20 ----684 TREC International Inc. 87.1% 50.1% 21.8% 26.6% 58.8% 64.0% 38.7% 49.3% 2.9% Appendix III - 9 ============================================================================= Screen #32 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Please tell us about your SHOPPING PATTERNS in ALL OTHER PARTS of SQUAMISH (Garibaldi Village, Industrial/Business Park, Brackendale) . What type of SHOPPING are you MOST LIKELY to be doing in the above areas of Squamish? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Grocery (incl. liquor) Clothing and access. Home furnishings/appliances Sports and recreation goods Dining (incl. cafes) Services (banking, post office, etc.) Entertainment (pub, theatre, etc.) Hardware/Building supplies Other PRESS "0" to continue. (L) Total 459 155 146 192 426 267 357 365 61 ----684 67.1% 22.7% 21.3% 28.1% 62.3% 39.0% 52.2% 53.4% 8.9% ============================================================================= Screen #33 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Which of the following types of STORES and SERVICES do you patronize OUTSIDE the District of Squamish? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Groceries Clothing Home furnishings/appliances Sports and recreation goods Restaurants and entertainment Office, computer electronic supplies Automotive sales/parts/service Professional services (health, person None PRESS "0" to continue. (L) 222 32.5% 579 84.6% 465 68.0% 347 50.7% 451 65.9% 417 61.0% 257 37.6% 282 41.2% 26 3.8% ----Total 684 ============================================================================= Screen #34 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------WHY do you patronize stores and services OUTSIDE the District of Squamish? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Convenience Selection Pricing Quality Service More fun and entertaining Part of a trip away Work outside Squamish I ONLY SHOP in Squamish PRESS "0" to Total District of Squamish Retail Strategy 140 545 486 304 182 166 229 79 20 ----684 TREC International Inc. 20.5% 79.7% 71.1% 44.4% 26.6% 24.3% 33.5% 11.5% 2.9% Appendix III - 10 ============================================================================= Screen #35 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------APPROXIMATELY, how often do you patronize shops and services OUTSIDE the Disrict of Squamish? 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 3 or more times per week 1 or 2 times per week 3 or more times per month Once per month Less than once per month 2 or more times per year Less than once per year Never (L) Total Mean 71 152 221 159 49 22 4 6 ----684 3.11 10.4% 22.2% 32.3% 23.2% 7.2% 3.2% 0.6% 0.9% =============================================================================== Screen #36 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Please ESTIMATE what proportion of your overall ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD SPENDING is spent on RETAIL, DINING and ENTERTAINMENT purchases OUTSIDE the District of Squamish. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) Less than 10% 11-25% 26-40% 41-65% 66-80% greater than 80% (L) 149 21.8% 208 30.4% 163 23.8% 112 16.4% 44 6.4% 8 1.2% ----Total 684 Mean 2.59 =============================================================================== Screen #37 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Please review the following list and identify which PRIORITIES Squamish should undertake to IMPROVE its RETAIL, DINING and ENTERTAINMENT mix. ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Improve quality of goods available 376 Generate wider selection of retailers 485 Bring in name brand stores 300 Encourage more competitive pricing 381 Develop better service 218 Introduce evening shopping hours 309 Offer more choices for restaurant dining278 Make aesthetic improvements 264 None PRESS "0" to continue. (L) 21 ----Total 684 District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. 55.0% 70.9% 43.9% 55.7% 31.9% 45.2% 40.6% 38.6% 3.1% Appendix III - 11 =============================================================================== Screen #38 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Which of the following OTHER FOOD SERVICE RETAIL would you like to see in Squamish to reduce your need to shop outside the community? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Natural foods market/co-op Produce store Farmers market (permanent) Specialty deli Bakery Family restaurants Fine dining Casual bistros and cafes Chocolate/ice cream/sweets PRESS "0" Total 226 244 328 149 231 197 233 214 75 ----684 33.0% 35.7% 48.0% 21.8% 33.8% 28.8% 34.1% 31.3% 11.0% =============================================================================== Screen #39 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Which of the following OTHER COMPARISON RETAIL would you like to see in Squamish to reduce your need to shop outside the community? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Clothing and accessories Home furnishings and appliances Sports and recreation goods Office supplies Computers and electronics Toys, games and hobbies Books Gifts Garden Centre PRESS "0" to continue. Total 565 327 249 250 314 326 221 265 75 ----684 82.6% 47.8% 36.4% 36.5% 45.9% 47.7% 32.3% 38.7% 11.0% =============================================================================== Screen #40 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Which of the following OTHER SERVICES would you like to see in Squamish to reduce your need to travel outside the community? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Pet supplies Wellness centre Sports clinic Full service spa Educational services Art gallery, museum Live theatre Attraction(s) Professional offices PRESS "0" to con Total 106 154 151 173 245 181 259 289 129 ----684 15.5% 22.5% 22.1% 25.3% 35.8% 26.5% 37.9% 42.3% 18.9% =============================================================================== Screen #42 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix III - 12 Please identify which of the following OPINIONS regarding COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT in SQUAMISH reflect your own PRIORITIES. ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) Revitalize Downtown with original retail422 Tastefully integrate some "big box" 272 Segregate any "big box" development 190 Stimulate Downtown with factory outlets 155 Do not permit any commercial develop. 104 Do not allow any new commercial develop. 21 Don't know PRESS "0" to continue. (L 40 ----Total 684 61.7% 39.8% 27.8% 22.7% 15.2% 3.1% 5.8% =============================================================================== Screen #43 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Which AREAs of SQUAMISH do you think should be PRIORITY LOCATIONS for NEW SERVICES and FACILITIES? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Downtown 443 Waterfront from Bridge to Estuary 313 Industrial/Business Park (near Tim Hort)228 Garibaldi Village area 269 Brackendale 75 Future University commercial area 123 Other 25 Not sure 32 Prefer no further development PRESS " 21 ----Total 684 64.8% 45.8% 33.3% 39.3% 11.0% 18.0% 3.7% 4.7% 3.1% =============================================================================== Screen #44 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------What would encourage you to PATRONIZE businesses in DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH more often? ENTER ALL that apply. 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) Special events, activities, entertain One-of-a-kind shopping experiences Interesting waterfront activities Quality restaurants/cafes Unique educational experiences Quality museum or visitor attraction Aesthetic appeal Culture and arts Nothing PRESS "0" to continue. (L) Total District of Squamish Retail Strategy 331 322 386 321 147 168 266 244 51 ----684 TREC International Inc. 48.4% 47.1% 56.4% 46.9% 21.5% 24.6% 38.9% 35.7% 7.5% Appendix III - 13 =============================================================================== Screen #45 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------IF more SHOPS and SERVICES were OPEN in DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH on THURSDAY and FRIDAY evenings, would this encourage you to patronize the area more often? 1) Yes 2) No 3) Don't know Total Mean 459 111 114 ----684 1.50 67.1% 16.2% 16.7% =============================================================================== Screen #46 – SQUAMISH RESIDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------If DOWNTOWN SQUAMISH had some interesting FACTORY OUTLET stores, would this encourage you to patronize the area more often? 1) Yes 2) No 3) Don't know (L) Total Mean 462 133 89 ----684 1.45 67.5% 19.4% 13.0% =============================================================================== Screen #47 – ALL RESPONDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Which AGE category are you? 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 19 20 30 40 50 65 or under to 29 years to 39 years to 49 years to 64 years years and older Total Mean 64 243 247 221 105 37 ----917 3.19 7.0% 26.5% 26.9% 24.1% 11.5% 4.0% =============================================================================== Screen #48 – ALL RESPONDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------What is your GENDER? 1) Male 2) Female Total District of Squamish Retail Strategy 369 548 ----917 TREC International Inc. 40.2% 59.8% Appendix III - 14 =============================================================================== Screen #49 – ALL RESPONDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Your ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME is: 0) 1) 2) 3) Don't know Less than $40,000 $40,000 to $74,999 Greater than $75,000 53 5.8% 227 24.8% 375 40.9% 261 28.5% ----Total 916 Mean 1.92 =============================================================================== Screen #50 – ALL RESPONDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------How many PEOPLE does your HOUSEHOLD INCOME SUPPORT? 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) One Two Three Four Five Six Seven Eight More than eight Total Mean 207 308 131 171 66 12 6 5 9 ----915 2.69 22.6% 33.7% 14.3% 18.7% 7.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% =============================================================================== Screen #51 – ALL RESPONDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Do you have any children under the age of 12 years? 1) Yes 2) No Total 293 620 ----913 32.1% 67.9% =============================================================================== Screen #52 – ALL RESPONDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Do you have any children aged 13-18 years? 1) Yes 2) No Total District of Squamish Retail Strategy 180 731 ----911 TREC International Inc. 19.8% 80.2% Appendix III - 15 =============================================================================== Screen #53 – ALL RESPONDENTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------Would you like to be eligible for our EXCITING PRIZE DRAW? 1) Yes 2) No Total 752 157 ----909 82.7% 17.3% ============================================================================== Screen #55 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------TREC International Inc. and the District of Squamish THANK YOU for participating in this important survey. PLEASE PRESS "0" to RESTART SURVEY. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix III - 16 Appendix IV Projected Expenditure Potential for Squamish District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix IV Appendix IV: Projected Expenditure Potential for Squamish (2004) - Primary & Secondary Trade Areas Primary Trade Area 2004 Agg $ Food 004 Food purchased from stores 007 Board paid to private households 551 Tobacco products and alcoholic beverages 560 Alcoholic Beverages Purchased from stores 564 Self-made alcoholic beverages Clothing 213 Womens wear (14 years and over) 250 Girls wear (4-13 years) 264 Mens wear (14 years and over) 293 Boys wear (4-13 years) 307 Infants wear (under 4 years) 313 Clothing material, notions and related services Household Operation (incl. Pet Exp.) 114 Household cleaning supplies 127 Paper, plastic and foil household supplies 140 Other household supplies Pet Expenses 111 Pet food 112 Purchase of pets and related goods 113 Veterinarian and other services Household Furnishings & Equipment 142 Household furnishings 169 Household equipment Home Entertainment Equipment & Services 488 Audio components 489 Audio combinations and radios 490 Pre-recorded audio tapes, CDs and records 491 Blank audio tapes 492 Television sets 493 VCRs, camcorders and other TV/video components 494 Pre-recorded videotapes and video discs 495 Blank videotapes 496 Oth home entertmt equip,attach, access & parts District of Squamish Retail Strategy 40,580,747 32,512,539 21,121 4,719,222 3,148,583 179,282 15,245,286 7,078,310 779,561 5,236,909 705,563 283,842 1,161,101 7,231,462 2,124,160 2,225,852 462,473 2,418,977 1,322,164 359,686 737,127 9,804,206 5,004,267 4,799,939 3,097,174 282,333 378,502 786,129 44,203 677,986 322,648 333,252 78,150 193,971 TREC International Inc. Index to B.C. 102 105 141 115 112 90 99 94 128 104 126 145 77 111 122 112 117 137 142 138 128 110 101 121 100 86 98 93 78 101 83 104 94 163 Secondary Trade Area 2004 Agg $ Index to B.C. 52,678,481 42,430,189 40,562 5,947,847 3,975,453 284,430 23,241,147 11,762,392 935,636 7,458,135 909,597 387,523 1,787,864 9,701,294 2,972,138 3,045,757 612,302 3,071,097 1,796,500 505,986 768,611 14,086,957 6,841,314 7,245,643 4,771,001 305,573 544,867 1,327,217 78,394 1,027,521 498,066 479,349 120,731 389,283 102 104 173 116 106 108 113 118 116 111 122 150 89 112 129 116 117 131 146 146 101 117 105 137 119 70 107 119 104 115 96 113 110 247 Total Trade Area 2004 Agg $ 93,259,228 74,942,728 61,683 10,667,069 7,124,036 463,712 38,486,433 18,840,702 1,715,197 12,695,044 1,615,160 671,365 2,948,965 16,932,756 5,096,298 5,271,609 1,074,775 5,490,074 3,118,664 865,672 1,505,738 23,891,163 11,845,581 12,045,582 7,868,175 587,906 923,369 2,113,346 122,597 1,705,507 820,714 812,601 198,881 583,254 Index to B.C. 102 105 173 115 109 100 107 108 121 108 124 148 84 111 126 114 117 134 144 143 113 114 103 130 111 77 103 108 93 109 91 110 103 211 British Columbia 2004 Agg $ 12,164,470,158 8,779,456,808 16,267,176 2,238,117,897 787,352,320 55,544,706 4,312,754,783 2,097,736,585 170,359,469 1,409,525,651 156,780,430 54,555,987 423,214,568 4,672,933,766 485,467,390 554,934,971 110,263,114 492,130,227 259,022,830 72,838,548 160,193,781 2,655,148,644 1,377,603,024 1,110,061,844 1,110,838,224 91,770,433 107,439,913 234,794,024 15,888,267 187,485,411 108,757,923 88,955,674 23,063,049 33,191,844 Appendix IV - 1 Recreation Equipment & Associated Services 429 Sporting and athletic equipment 437 Playground equipment incl above-ground pool 438 Toys, games and hobby equipment 451 Photographic goods and services 457 Musical instruments, accessories and parts 458 Collectors items (excl works of art, etc) 459 Camping and picnic equipment (excluding BBQs) 577 Bingos Reading Materials and Other Printed Matter Health & Personal Care Health Care 389 Health care supplies 390 Medicinal and pharmaceutical products 391 Prescription drugs 392 Other 393 Physicians care 394 Eye-care goods and services 398 Other health-care goods 399 Dental care 412 Personal care 413 Personal care supplies and equipment 424 Hair washing, cutting and styling services Business & Personal Services Video & Game Rental 462 Video game rental 497 Rental of videotapes and video discs 498 Rental of home entertainment equipment & other services Communications 092 Telephone 100 Cellular services 102 Postal & other communication services (excl parcels) Education 540 Supplies 543 Textbooks Financial Services 058 Home equity line of credit interest 571 Financial services: bank, tax advice, etc Legal Services 061 Legal fees related to the dwelling(s) 570 Legal services nes Personal Insurance Services 062 Mortgage insurance premiums 078 Insurance premiums on other accomodations District of Squamish Retail Strategy 9,243,360 1,366,712 151,848 3,749,577 972,926 223,978 97,534 190,644 743,214 1,746,927 11,514,176 5,205,258 103,425 2,181,143 1,267,236 914,419 67,098 946,927 115,936 1,790,729 6,308,918 4,171,408 2,137,510 11,752,225 900,158 86,891 797,855 15,412 6,587,615 5,565,829 611,580 410,206 684,916 280,488 404,428 1,473,936 413,127 1,060,809 1,326,301 526,870 799,431 779,299 636,440 142,859 TREC International Inc. 115 118 205 112 110 99 101 138 111 92 102 100 91 114 110 120 76 103 88 99 104 110 94 144 117 62 104 103 110 100 91 113 89 80 98 120 96 144 104 13,547,266 2,606,263 94,731 4,831,732 1,323,860 457,453 51,900 231,845 1,291,025 2,658,457 15,625,444 7,008,736 205,221 3,101,379 1,962,274 1,146,642 51,418 1,351,670 182,004 2,117,044 8,616,708 5,716,887 2,899,821 16,382,300 1,513,051 117,637 1,369,878 25,536 9,434,387 8,203,187 653,101 578,099 1,112,344 496,523 615,821 1,783,085 515,591 1,267,494 1,456,153 933,057 523,096 1,083,280 912,906 170,374 123 170 97 109 113 153 40 126 146 106 107 107 136 122 129 113 44 111 104 89 107 114 96 147 152 77 112 114 88 107 99 151 102 76 89 160 47 155 93 22,790,626 3,972,975 246,579 8,581,309 2,296,786 681,431 149,434 422,489 2,034,239 4,405,384 27,139,620 12,213,994 308,646 5,282,522 3,229,510 2,061,061 118,516 2,298,597 297,940 3,907,773 14,925,626 9,888,295 5,037,331 28,134,525 2,413,209 204,528 2,167,733 40,948 16,022,002 13,769,016 1,264,681 988,305 1,797,260 777,011 1,020,249 3,257,021 928,718 2,328,303 2,782,454 1,459,927 1,322,527 1,862,579 1,549,346 313,233 119 148 143 110 112 129 66 131 131 100 105 104 117 119 121 116 58 107 97 93 106 112 95 1,709,361,660 322,558,178 20,642,862 936,466,658 245,768,119 63,140,905 27,016,727 38,664,973 186,711,648 528,387,296 3,850,297,409 2,154,692,615 31,691,514 533,538,407 320,812,512 212,723,605 24,503,580 256,959,831 36,920,666 502,815,682 1,695,604,794 1,059,382,679 636,466,441 146 137 71 108 110 97 104 96 135 97 16,800,685 189,597,195 6,954,268 1,859,282,532 1,552,113,718 155,734,487 114,078,347 1,166,588,904 69,185,265 126,640,098 77 93 143,773,177 301,179,167 143 68 122,634,319 232,708,221 150 98 123,653,728 38,394,882 Appendix IV - 2 Recreational/Entertainment Services 502 Movie theatres 503 Live sports spectacles 508 Live staged performances (eg concerts) 512 Use of recreation facilities 528 Package travel tours Restaurants & Cafes 012 At work 014 Other meals out 015 Between-meal food 556 Alcohol served on licensed premises Home Building & Supplies 135 Flower and garden supplies 024 Tenants maintenance, repairs and alterations (Rented HH)* 027 Maintenance, repairs and replacements (Owned HH)* 195 Home and workshop tools and equipment 199 Lawn, garden and snow-removal tools and equip 204 Other household equipment and accessories 581 Tools and equipment purchased for work Auto Sales Parts and Operation 333 Purchase of automobiles and trucks 337 Purchase of automotive accessories 340 Rented and leased automobiles and trucks 351 Operation of owned & leased autos and trucks 385 Delivery services (Local & Inter-city) 386 Household moving/storage (Local & Inter-city) 4,664,781 357,982 218,639 325,345 2,044,603 1,718,212 9,982,240 2,359,155 5,080,334 1,383,701 1,159,050 6,680,042 1,738,045 48,319 2,641,073 788,108 855,530 434,584 174,383 49,726,364 18,536,452 189,214 1,866,014 28,714,389 54,226 366,069 91 80 83 67 95 87 93 84 90 113 79 92 71 103 72 97 86 95 81 87 107 108 111 112 6,261,344 423,198 359,943 459,444 2,762,954 2,255,805 13,355,801 3,004,337 6,536,443 1,734,736 2,080,285 9,340,786 2,219,874 34,701 91 75 94 70 96 87 94 82 89 109 96 2,105,752,035 125,551,766 73,556,656 134,454,316 602,148,202 549,367,755 3,368,746,160 784,293,833 1,573,672,480 342,676,625 406,616,191 107 61 10,926,125 781,180 578,582 784,789 4,807,557 3,974,017 23,338,041 5,363,492 11,616,777 3,118,437 3,239,335 16,020,827 3,957,919 83,020 109 83 437,209,095 12,069,072 110 137 174 102 90 94 130 117 81 119 100 139 3,447,881 1,251,368 1,251,776 872,327 262,859 61,882,431 24,956,834 151,274 2,540,474 33,882,057 96,073 255,719 109 165 192 154 102 115 133 71 83 106 133 73 6,088,953 2,039,476 2,107,306 1,306,911 437,242 111,608,795 43,493,286 340,488 4,406,488 62,596,446 150,299 621,788 110 153 184 132 97 96 132 91 83 112 119 102 667,117,176 160,139,737 137,243,701 118,907,846 54,029,830 11,380,634,461 3,965,108,325 45,008,870 640,753,633 6,729,643,477 15,155,468 73,418,442 Source: MapInfo, 2004; Statistics Canada, 2004; TREC International Inc., 2004 Notes: *These numbers represent 2/3 of the total expenditure figures to account for product figures only. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix IV - 3 Appendix V: Tourism Retail Expenditure Potential District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix V CONVENIENCE RETAIL EXPENDITURE POTENTIAL DISTRICT OF SQUAMISH Dollars/Inflation: 0%. User Groups 2002 2005 2010 2015 Primary Customer Groups Whistler Winter Daytrippers Destination $ $ $ 10,399,497 $ 769,444 $ 9,630,054 $ 11,983,988 $ 867,941 $ 11,116,047 $ 14,775,042 $ 1,035,260 $ 13,739,782 $ 18,151,169 1,233,861 16,917,308 Whistler Summer Daytrippers Destination $ $ $ 9,035,766 $ 1,652,258 $ 7,383,508 $ 9,600,711 $ 1,755,703 $ 7,845,008 $ 11,837,951 $ 2,165,092 $ 9,672,859 $ 14,544,306 2,660,353 11,883,954 Total Primary $ 19,435,263 $ 21,584,698 $ 26,612,993 $ 32,695,475 Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region $ 168,006,108 $ 186,461,039 $ 220,399,648 $ 260,423,405 (outside Whistler) Greater Vancouver Resident Daytrippers $ 26,024,855 $ 28,685,058 $ 33,702,183 $ 2,966,249 Total Secondary $ 194,030,962 $ 215,146,097 $ 254,101,831 $ 263,389,653 Total Primary/Secondary $ 213,466,226 $ 236,730,795 $ 280,714,824 $ 296,085,129 TREC International Inc, 2004. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix V COMPARISON RETAIL EXPENDITURE POTENTIAL DISTRICT OF SQUAMISH Dollars/Inflation: 0%. User Groups 2002 2005 2010 2015 Primary Customer Groups Whistler Winter Daytrippers Destination $ $ $ 10,771,039 1,140,986 9,630,054 $ $ $ 19,386,325 1,298,309 18,088,016 $ $ $ 23,972,266 1,569,983 22,402,283 $ $ $ 29,527,252 1,895,261 27,631,991 Whistler Summer Daytrippers Destination $ $ $ 16,559,986 3,160,732 13,399,254 $ $ $ 17,636,217 3,366,680 14,269,536 $ $ $ 21,821,871 4,166,693 17,655,178 $ $ $ 26,893,458 5,136,140 21,757,317 Total Primary $ 27,331,025 $ 37,022,542 $ 45,794,136 $ 56,420,709 Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region (outside Whistler) $ 252,009,162 $ 279,691,558 $ 330,599,472 $ 390,635,107 Greater Vancouver Resident Daytrippers $ 39,037,282 $ 43,027,588 $ 50,553,275 $ 59,395,234 Total Secondary $ 291,046,444 $ 322,719,145 $ 381,152,747 $ 450,030,341 Total Primary/Secondary $ 318,377,469 $ 359,741,688 $ 426,946,884 $ 506,451,051 TREC International Inc, 2004. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix V - 1 FOOD / BEVERAGE / ENTERTAINMENT EXPENDITURE POTENTIAL DISTRICT OF SQUAMISH Dollars/Inflation: 0%. User Groups Primary Customer Groups 2002 2005 2010 2015 Whistler Winter Daytrippers Destination $ $ $ 26,792,069 995,965 25,796,104 $ $ $ 30,972,013 $ 1,130,327 $ 29,841,686 $ 38,367,200 1,361,269 37,005,931 $ $ $ 47,332,404 1,637,102 45,695,302 Whistler Summer Daytrippers Destination $ $ $ 26,530,214 3,461,836 23,068,378 $ $ $ 28,283,943 $ 3,688,245 $ 24,595,697 $ 35,051,410 4,566,229 30,485,181 $ $ $ 63,276,076 25,649,276 37,626,799 Total Primary $ 53,322,283 $ 59,255,956 $ 73,418,610 $ 110,608,479 Vancouver Coast & Mountains Region (outside Whistler) $ 402,814,208 $ 496,549,824 $ 586,929,082 $ 693,513,222 Greater Vancouver Resident Daytrippers $ 69,304,757 $ 76,388,938 $ 89,749,652 $ 105,447,205 Total Secondary $ 472,118,964 $ 572,938,761 $ 676,678,734 $ 798,960,427 Total Primary/Secondary $ 525,441,248 $ 632,194,717 $ 750,097,344 $ 909,568,906 TREC International Inc, 2004. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix V - 2 Appendix VI How Local Merchants Can Compete Against The ‘Big Boxes’ District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix VI How Local Merchants Can Compete Against The ‘Big Boxes’ The following tips have proven effective in competing with the retail giants such as the ‘big boxes’ and mass merchandisers like Wal-Mart. These have been found to be effective in both the U.S. as well as throughout Canada based on experience with other downtowns and shopping centres. Many of these strategies were derived by Dr. Kenneth Stone, an Economics Professor with the University of Iowa, who worked with us in adapting his extensive researched based strategies and applying them to the retail environment here in BC. Although the list that follows has not been specifically tailored to the tenant or business mix located in Downtown Squamish, most of them are directly applicable to its merchants. In fact, some of them are already practiced by some of the successful destination and specialty retailers that currently exist in the District of Squamish. Attitudes and Actions In general, it is best to take a positive attitude toward the opening of a new mass Merchandise store in your area. The following fundamentals are offered as a background: x In a free enterprise economy, all firms are free to compete. However, local officials should be careful not to offer unduly generous incentives to large firms that could place smaller firms at a disadvantage; x Recognize that a discount mass merchandise store will probably enlarge your town’s retail trade area size. Try to figure out ways to capitalize on the increased volume of traffic in your town; x It is possible to co-exist and even thrive in this type of environment; x You may need to change your methods of operations as described below. Merchandise Tips The following suggestions are offered with regard to merchandise mix: x Try to handle different merchandise. If you sell the same brand, variety or style of merchandise as the mass merchandisers, you will be compared on price. If you can hold your price within 10 to 15 percent of theirs’, you are probably okay. However, if you allow your prices to rise, say 50 percent higher than they do’, then you are in trouble as consumers will perceive that everything else you sell is higher priced also. The solution is to handle different brands, varieties, styles, etc. Many merchants are finding that private label merchandise works well when available. x Try to handle complementary merchandise. In many areas, the mass merchandisers handle only fast moving items. For example some of the mass merchandise garden centers handle only two or three varieties of bulbs. Bulb fans soon learn they will not find selection at these stores. However, if you fill out your District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix VI - 1 lines with new and different bulbs, you can gain the reputation of being the bulb center. x Look for voids in the mass merchandiser’s inventory. Most mass merchandisers do not carry a very good selection of plumbing supplies. It would behoove local hardware owners to carry a complete line of plumbing supplies to fill these voids, if it fits their operation and the market. x Consider upscale merchandise. Not all customers desire or demand lower priced merchandise. For example, most mass merchandisers handle low-end apparel. Clothing dealers who serve middle-to-upper income households might want to handle more upscale apparel. x Get rid of the “dogs.” Nearly all businesses end up with some merchandise that does not sell and ends up cluttering the sales space. This is bad for at least two reasons, 1) merchandise must turn to generate a profit, and 2) old merchandise tarnishes the image of your store. Merchants should identify the “dogs” and clear them out by whatever means possible. x Buy well. From time to time, nearly all merchants have an opportunity to purchase merchandise at exceptional prices. If the merchandise is something you know you can sell, you should take advantage of the good buys. With good buys you can enhance your pricing image while making better profit margins. Storeowners should also be on the lookout for opportunities to purchase cooperatively with other local merchants or through a larger buying cooperative. x Sell Singles instead of Pre Packaged Groups. For example, a crafts store may gain and retain customers, particularly seniors and smaller households, and make profit by selling singles of various supplies such as templates, paint brushes, etc. x Find a niche that you can fill. Smaller merchants can often succeed by identifying and supplying a void (s) in the mass merchandisers’ inventory and filling them as described earlier. Marketing Tips There are always ways of improving marketing practices. The following tips are offered to merchants regardless of their competition: x Know your customers. It is important to know the demographics of your trade area in order to have the optimal merchandise mix. The breakdown of the population by income, age, occupation, etc. is available from census data, which can be found at most libraries. In addition, several marketing firms can quickly generate a detailed report, tailored to your specific trade area for a fee. You may also want to conduct customer focus groups where diverse groups of customers under the direction of a third party moderator, discuss what they like and dislike about your business. These can be done by community colleges, other colleges and universities and by private consultants. x Extended opening hours is a necessity! Lifestyles have changed dramatically in the last generation. Now it is quite common for a household to have multiple wage earners working outside the household. Most of these people simply cannot get to District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix VI - 2 local stores to shop if they stay open only from 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m., and by necessity, they shop at mass merchandisers and shopping malls where the opening hours are in tune with today’s societal needs. Downtown merchants and other independent merchants can not seriously compete in this environment unless they cooperate and offer similar convenient opening hours. x Adopt a “no hassle” returns policy. Most mass merchandisers have very liberal return policies and they have shaped consumer’s expectations. Unfortunately, some independent merchants have more restrictive policies, which frustrate and anger customers. Studies have shown that angry customers typically tell 10 to 20 other people about their bad experience and this can be disastrous for your store. It is essential that independent merchants adopt returns policies similar to those of the mass merchandisers. This policy should be stated on signs at the checkout station, as well as on receipts and shopping bags, so that there is no doubt in the customer’s mind about the policy. Signs such as “All sales final!” have little place in today’s retail stores. x Sharpen your pricing skills. Most customers judge the pricing structure of your store on the few things they know of price of. Consequently, if you are selling a popular brand of soft-white incandescent light bulbs for 200 percent more than the mass merchandisers, they declare your store to be high priced, when in fact, most of your other products may be competitively priced. The solution is variable markup, where you identify several “price sensitive” items and mark them down to be competitive with the mass merchandisers. Furthermore these price sensitive items should be prominently displayed on end caps and other conspicuous places. Conversely, on unique items or items where you are the sole source, you can take higher markups. x Focus your advertising. Stress your competitive advantage. Every business must have one or more competitive advantages, in the eyes of the customer, in order to succeed. For example Sears established a huge competitive advantage many years ago when it adopted “Satisfaction Guaranteed.” With Wal-Mart, “Everyday Low Prices,” is a strong competitive advantage. Smart firms incorporate these competitive advantage mottos into nearly every advertisement. Unfortunately, many smaller merchants do not get their full money’s worth from their ads because they often fail to promote their competitive advantages. For example, a nursery that offers free landscape planning or free delivery ought to incorporate these facts into every ad. After a period of repetition, customers will automatically know your competitive advantages and may patronize your store when the need arises. Service Tips x Superior service can become an important competitive advantage for many smaller businesses. Large chain stores usually don’t have the flexibility to offer many of the following services: District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix VI - 3 x Emphasize expert technical advice. It is difficult to find workers in discount mass merchandise stores who know the merchandise. Many smaller stores build a loyal clientele base because the owner and employees are able to help customers analyze their problems and help them to find the necessary tools, supplies and equipment. x Offer deliveries where appropriate. Many customers, because of schedules or health problems, have a need for deliveries. Others have a need for delivery of certain items that are heavy or bulky. Typically mass merchandisers cannot respond to these needs. Some smaller merchants can carve out a substantial market share by offering delivery service. x Offer on-site installation and service/repair of certain items. Many people have a need for services such as professional tree planting, sod installation, tree pruning, etc. Larger discount stores cannot readily provide this service. Independent merchants can draw a substantial volume of trade by providing these and other services. x Develop special order capability. It is not possible for merchants to carry every conceivable item in inventory. However, they should make arrangements with suppliers or cooperating partner stores to quickly ship out-of-stock merchandise. So rather than let a customer walk out the door when an item is not in stock, it is better to say, “I’m sorry I do not have it in stock, but I can get it for you in two days.” x Offer other services as appropriate. Independent merchants can develop many loyal customers by offering “how to do it” classes, rentals of certain items that will boost sales of collateral merchandise, a branch post office, etc. Customer Relations Tips In past years, small businesses had the reputation of excellent customer relations. However, nowadays many consumers perceive that they are treated no better in small firms than in larger ones. Research has shown that poor customer relations are the primary reason that customers quit doing business with a store. The following suggestions are offered for all businesses: x Make sure customers are “greeted.” According to surveys, the primary thing that offends customers is the failure to be greeted or acknowledged when entering a store. This is particularly acute when the customer is in a buying mood. All store personnel should be trained to “greet” customers when they enter a store, determine their needs and assist them in any way possible. x Offer customers a smile instead of a frown. It’s a fact that all customers prefer doing business where they are treated in a friendly manner. x Make employees “associates.” Firms like Wal-Mart and The Home Depot call their employees associates and treat them as part of the team. Independent merchants can emulate this. In particular, regular store meetings should be held where everyone is apprised of the latest happenings and plans and where all problems and suggestions can be aired. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix VI - 4 x Solicit complaints. Many times customers have had a bad experience in a store, but they are reluctant to complain to store personnel for various reasons. Instead, they go around complaining to other people. Good merchants would rather hear of the complaint first so they can find a remedy. They should provide an environment where customers feel comfortable complaining. This can be done by soliciting complaints through ads in the media, through signs at the checkout counter and on shopping bags. You must be prepared; however, to solve these problems when complaints are made. x Learn how to handle irate customers. Dealing with irate customers is something that few people enjoy, but it is crucial to the success of the business. The worst thing store representatives can do is to argue with or be rude to an irate customer. the following process with the acronym of LEAR is recommended: - L) Listen. It is easy to become defensive and turn off the customer while you are thinking of your response, but it pays to set everything aside and listen intently; (E) Empathize. Put yourself in the shoes of the customer and think how you would like the situation resolved. (A) Ask. questions to get all the facts on the table; (RResolve. Resolve the situation to the satisfaction of the customer. Most merchants have found that by merely asking, “What do you see as a reasonable solution?” they can achieve a win-win solution. x Train employees (often). In the eyes of the customer, the employee is the business. Training employees can have one of the highest payoffs of any investment in the business. New employees should be trained on store policies and in the use of any equipment or machines to be used. As they progress in the company, they should receive recurring training on new products or techniques and industry trends. There is an array of training available through educational institutions, parent companies, suppliers and others. In addition employees should be given access to trade journals, videotapes and other educational items. Continually Improve the Efficiency of Your Business Businesses may be doing all the right things as mentioned above, but unless they are efficiently operated, they are probably doomed to failure. Some of the top mass merchandisers such as WalMart and The Home Depot continually strive to improve their operating efficiency. The following are some of the things you can do to improve your efficiency: x Adopt modern technology. Mass merchandisers have improved their efficiency dramatically by adopting new technology. Much of that technology is now available and affordable to the smaller merchant. For example, powerful computers are available at ever decreasing costs. Software packages to handle nearly all store functions are also available. Computers reduce the need for people, improve accuracy and provide quick analyses of the business’ performance. In addition, point of sale (POS) scanner equipment is now available and affordable to all but the smallest businesses. In addition to scanning prices and speeding District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix VI - 5 customers through the checkout line, they can revolutionize inventory control when tied in with the store computer and ultimately with supplier’s computers. x Become familiar with your financial statements. Many merchants do not like to deal with the finances of the business. If they can “farm” this operation out to a bookkeeper or accountant, they feel “out-of-sight, out-of mind", Good merchants must become intimately familiar with the finances and operations of their businesses. They should constantly monitor gross profit margins, operating expenses, net profits and the various ratios important to the business. x Relentlessly find ways to reduce operating costs. One of the reasons that the mass merchandisers can lower prices and still make a profit is that they their operating costs. In addition to adopting technology, they find ways to save on utilities, insurance, transportation, etc. They are also always finding ways to reduce continually reduce “shrinkage” by reducing shoplifting, pilferage and damage to merchandise. Smaller merchants can do the same thing. District of Squamish Retail Strategy TREC International Inc. Appendix VI - 6