スライド タイトルなし
Transcription
スライド タイトルなし
Honda Update June 2008 2008 ACCORD TOURER (for European Market) CR-Z (a lightweight sports hybrid concept ) Outline Highlights of Honda’s Business Growth Strategy • US Operations (Automobile) • Brazil Operations (Automobile & Motorcycle) • Asia Operations (Automobile & Motorcycle) • Europe Operations (Automobile) • Production Capacity (Automobile) • Growth Potential of Motorcycle Business • Hybrid Vehicle Business Strategy P 2- 8 P 9- 11 P 12- 18 P 19- 20 P 21 P 22 P 23 Financial Highlights • FY 08 Results • Outline • Segment Information • Profit Analysis • FY 09 Forecasts • Dividend per Share P 24- 25 P 26- 32 P 33- 36 P 37- 40 P 41- 42 Honda’s Business Growth Strategy Major Key Drivers z US Operations : Automobile z Brazil Operations : Automobile and Motorcycle z Asia Operations : Automobile and Motorcycle z Europe Operations : Automobile z Growth Potential of Motorcycle Business z Hybrid Vehicle Business Strategy 1 Operation in North America Operating income in North America compressed by higher yen and weak model mix Yen (billions) 12% 150 9.5% 7.8% 100 8% 7.5% 7.3% 7.2% 6.7% 6.5% 5.8% 7.7% 10% 6.1% 5.4% 6% 4.3% 4% 50 2% 72.7 68.5 106.7 105.8 114.4 95.7 118.2 128.4 97.0 116.0 156.3 63.1 FY06 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 0% 0 2 Update on Honda’s U.S. Automobile Business Honda’s steady growth despite weak SAAR Honda’s Retail Unit Sales Industry Demand Unit (thousands) Unit (thousands) 20,000 Passenger Cars Light Trucks 16,965 16,884 (aggregate numbers of Honda brand and Acura brand) Passenger Cars Light Trucks 16,556 1,500 16,149 1,462 1,509 1,552 1,570 1,394 15,300 15,000 1,000 10,000 500 5,000 0 0 CY 04 '05 '06 '07 08(E) CY 04 '05 '06 '07 08(P) Source: Honda 3 U.S. Light Vehicle Retail Sales YoY Changes by manufacturers January – April, 2008 vs 2007 Ho n da Sm ar t USA Mazda Me r c e de s- Be n z Vo lkswage n Su zu ki Kia BMW Nissan Mit su bish i Hyu n dai T o yo t a Fo r d C h r ysle r Ge n e r al M o t o r s T OTAL Unit (thousands) -250 -400 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 4 U.S. Passenger Car Retail Sales YoY Changes by manufacturers January – April, 2008 vs 2007 Honda Nissan Smart USA Kia Chrysler Volkswagen Hyundai Mercedes-Benz Mitsubishi BMW Mazda Toyota Suzuki TOTAL General Motors Ford Unit -25 (thousands) -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 5 U.S. Light Truck Retail Sales YoY Changes by manufacturers January – April, 2008 vs 2007 Suzuki Mazda Mercedes-Benz BMW Volkswagen Mitsubishi Kia Hyundai Honda Nissan Toyota Ford General Motors Chrysler TOTAL Unit (thousands) -200 -350 -150 -100 -50 0 50 6 Update on Honda’s U.S. Automobile Business Unit (thousands) Honda’s fuel efficient vehicles are well received in the U.S. demonstrates solid passenger car sales Fit 1800 Ridgeline 1600 Fit MDX 1400 CR-V 1200 1000 Element CR-V Odyssey 800 Pilot 600 TSX Civic 400 RDX TL 200 Accord 2008(P) 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 CY 1998 0 Legend/RL Civic Accord 7 Product pipeline and production flexibility in North America Total Annual Production Capacity: 1,420,000 (current) ⇒ 1,620,000 (fall of 2008) Passenger cars Annual Capacity location Line Line 11 Canada Canada Ontario Ontario 195 195 Small Middle Civic Light Trucks Luxury Crossover Pickup Van CSX Alliston Alliston Line Line 22 195 195 Civic MD-X Pilot Ridgeline Odyssey Accord Marysville Marysville 440 440 East East Liberty Liberty 240 240 Civic Greensburg Greensburg 200 200 Civic TL RDX Ohio Ohio U.S. U.S. Indiana Indiana CR-V Line Line 11 Alabama Alabama Lincoln Lincoln Ridgeline Odyssey 150 150 Line Line 22 Pilot 150 150 Mexico Mexico Import Import from from Japan Japan El El Salto Salto 50 50 Element Accord Accord Odyssey CR-V CR-V New model in 2008 8 Operation in South America Operating income in Other region centered in Brazil to grow Yen (billions) 50 13% 40 11.7% 11.4% 11.3% 11.2% 10.9% 10.3% 10.4% 30 11% 9.6% 8.6% 9% 8.3% 8.4% 20 7.2% 7% 10 13.6 15.1 16.6 11.6 15.2 21.4 16.0 19.5 21.7 30.1 31.7 32.7 0 5% FY06 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 9 Honda’s Automobile Business Growth in South America Honda’s Unit Sales Industry Demand Unit (thousands) (including commercial vehicles) Unit (thousands) 5,000 4,500 Brazil Argentina Venezuela Colombia Ecuador Peru Good sales of FFV models continue to contribute to growth in 2008. 160 Chile Flexible Fuel Vehicles (currently marketed in Brazil) 140 4,000 Petrol Engine Vehicles 120 3,500 South America 3,000 100 2,500 80 108 Brazil only 84 2,000 60 1,500 40 1,000 500 20 0 0 CY 04 05 06 07 08(E) 86 68 67 57 57 50 CY 04 05 06 07 Source: Global Insight Honda’s Progress in South America 1. Features of Honda FFV models in Brazil (Civic &Fit) - Adapt to ethanol-to-gasoline ratios of between 20% and 100% Source: Honda Flexible Fuel Vehicles introduced in Brazil Civic FFV Fit FFV 2. Further acceleration of production capacity in Brazil 100,000→ 120,000 within 2008 3. New plant in Argentina Capacity:30,000 units, to start operation in 2009 Introduced in Nov. 2006 Introduced in Dec. 2006 10 Honda’s Motorcycle Business in Brazil Solid operation as the market leader in the growing Brazil market Industry: Unit (thousands) Further expansion of capacity is planned in 2009 (1,500 Æ 2,000 thousand units) Other brands Honda 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 Expansion of production capacity Dec.2007 (1,350 → 1,500 thousand units per year) 400 200 0 CY 04 05 06 07 Source: Honda Principal models CG 150 Titan 08(E) CG 125 FAN Biz 125 11 Operation in Asia Operating income in Asia exceed 100 billion in FY08 with higher auto and motorcycle growth Yen (billions) 14% 50 12% 40 9.4% 30 8.3% 10% 9.3% 8.0% 6.8% 8% 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 5.8% 6% 20 5.2% 5.3% 4.5% 4% 10 2% 19.1 15.8 17.2 12.7 19.4 18.2 20.2 19.2 36.9 33.4 38.3 21.9 1Q 2Q 3Q FY06 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q FY07 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q FY08 4Q 0% 0 12 Update on Honda’s Automobile Business in India Industry Demand Unit (thousands) 1,400 Honda’s Unit Sales Unit (thousands) (excluding commercial vehicles, SUV and MUV) 80 Category 70 1,200 Premium 1,000 60 "A" 800cc 55 50 60 CR-V Civic 800 40 40 35 600 30 400 City 20 10 200 Accord 0 0 CY 04 05 06 07 08(E) CY 04 05 06 07 Source: Honda Source: Global Insight Honda’s Progress in India Honda model line up in India 1. Enhancing dealer network - Number of Dealer outlets: 34 (Mar. 2003) → 80 (Mar. 2008) 2. Further Accelerating production capacity expansion Existing Plant Second Plant 50,000 →100,000 units (2008 Jan. completed) 60,000 units (Operation starts toward the end of 2009 to 2010) City (Oct 2003-) CR-V (Nov 2006-) Civic (July 2006-) Accord (May 2008-) 13 Honda’s Motorcycle Business in India Solid business foundation with 2 companies in rapidly growing market Industry: Unit (thousands) 10,000 Expansion of annual production capacity HHML 500 thou. Increase from April 2008 (India total 4,900 → 5,400 thousand units) Other brands Hero Honda Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 CY 04 05 06 Principal models of Hero Honda Motors Limited Splendor+ CD Deluxe Passion+ 07 08(E) Principal models of Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India Source : Honda Activa Shine 14 Growth of HMSI in India Steady Growth of Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India, subsidiary of Honda Expansion of production capacity by the end of 2010 Industry: Unit (thousands) 1,000 (1,000 → 1,200 thousand units per year) 800 600 400 200 0 CY 04 05 06 Principal models of Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India Activa Shine Unicorn (Sep 2004-) Source : Honda 07 Aviator (Mar 2008-) HMSI Dealer 15 Honda’s Motorcycle Business in Vietnam Honda to enhance product pipeline for growing market, Further expansion of production capacity Industry: Unit (thousands) 3,000 Expansion of production capacity in Aug 2008 (1,000 → 1,500 thousand units per year) Other brands Honda 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 CY 04 05 06 07 08(E) Source: Honda Principal models Wave S Future Neo FI (May 2007-) (Apr 2007-) Click* (Oct 2006-) Air Blade* (Apr 2007-) * AT model: Motorcycles equipped with automatic transmission 16 Honda’s Motorcycle Business in Indonesia Honda to enhance product pipeline to go with the momentum of the market Industry: Unit (thousands) Other brands Honda 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 Added annual production capacity in Sep. 2005 (2,000 → 3,000 thousand units) 0 CY 04 05 06 08(E) Source: Honda Coming in 2008 Principal models Revo 07 Vario* Supra X 125 * AT model: Motorcycles equipped with automatic transmission 17 Update on Honda’s Automobile Business in China Industry Demand Unit (thousands) 7,000 (excluding commercial vehicles) Honda’s Unit Sales Unit (thousands) 500 Over 490 450 6,000 424 WDHAC models 400 Civic 5,000 350 323 CR-V 300 4,000 257 250 Fit 214 3,000 200 City 150 2,000 GHAC models Odyssey 100 1,000 50 0 Accord 0 CY 04 05 06 07 CY 04 Source: CAAM 05 06 07 08(P) Source: Honda GHAC model line up Honda’s Progress in China 1 Enhancing model lineup and dealer network - New Accord introduced in Jan. 2008, New Fit to be introduced within 2008 - Number of Dealer outlets: GHAC 361, WDHAC 189, Acura 8(Mar.2008) Total 700 outlets within a year - Introduction of Acura (RL/TL/MDX) Fit City 2 Progress in Manufacturing Operation GHAC*1 : Capacity 360 thou. units WDHAC*2 : Capacity 120 thou. units--> 240 thou. units within 2yrs CHAC*3 : Added 2nd shift from Apr. 2007, capacity 50 thou. units Accord Odyssey WDHAC model line up *1 GHAC: Guangzhou Honda Automobile Co., Ltd. *2 WDHAC: Dongfeng Honda Automobile Co., Ltd. *3 CHAC: Honda Automobile (China) Co., Ltd. 3 GHAC begin selling products under its own brand in 2010 Civic CR-V 18 Operation in Europe Operating income in Europe (including Russia) to grow, expecting higher sales in Russia Yen (billions) 5% 30 4.3% 4.3% 4.2% 4% 20 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 3% 2.6% 2% 2.0% 10 1.6% 1.4% 1% 1.1% 12.7 0.80.3% 2.8 9.8 6.4 9.0 3.7 12.6 10.3 16.7 5.8 18.6 2Q 3Q 4Q FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 0% 0 FY06 1Q 19 Update on Honda’s Automobile Business in Russia Industry Demand Unit (thousands) (excluding commercial vehicles) 3,000 60 Unit (thousands) Honda’s Unit Sales Foreign brands 2,500 Domestic brands 40 2,000 38.6 Jazz CR-V 1,500 20 1,000 Civic 15.7 500 8.9 6.0 Accord 0 0 CY 04 05 06 07 CY 04 05 06 Honda’s Progress in Russia 07 Source: Honda Source: AEB (The Association of European Businesses) Honda model line up in Russia 1 Starting business - Established subsidiary company (HMR) in Feb. 2004 2 Enhancing dealer network - Number of Dealer outlets: 15 (2004 end) → 43 (Mar. 2008) expand mainly in large cities, total 70 outlets in a few years Jazz CR-V Civic 5D Accord Civic 4D Pilot (coming in 2008) 20 Expansion of Production Capacity (Automobiles) High value added model at Yorii Auto Plant Next generation high efficiency engine at Ogawa Engine Plant Indiana +200 4,055 Current Brazil +20 India +60 Argentina +30 Yorii Japan +200 Unit (thousands) Thailand +120 WDHAC China +120 2008 within 2yrs 2009 2010 21 Growth Potential of Motorcycle Business in Emerging Markets Penetration Rate (% of population) of Motorcycles GDP per capita (U.S.$) 10% (JETRO 2006) $15,482 Taiwan $5,718 Malaysia $3,136 Thailand $723 Vietnam $1,640 Indonesia* $5,714 Brazil $796 India* 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 59.5% Population (millions) Units in operation (millions) *Indonesia data as of 2004 *India data as 2004 provisional 28.3% 23.8% 20.5% 10.8% 5.1% 4.6% 100 mil 200 mil 1,100 mil Motorcycle penetration is still low in Honda’s principal markets Industry: ( thousands ) 20,000 Vietnam Thailand Brazil Indonesia India ● 12,000 Honda wholesales: Honda wholesales unit (thousands) ( thousands ) 10,000 8,000 6,000 10,000 4,000 2,000 Source: Honda 0 0 CY 04 05 06 07 08(E) Honda has strong position in such markets 22 Hybrid Vehicle Business Strategy Unit (thousands) Hybrid Car in the U.S. market 350 Other Brand 300 Honda Hybrid technology is about to hit the “growth” stage, Honda aims wider market penetration with new dedicated hybrid model 250 200 150 100 Introduction of Honda Insight 50 Insight, first hybrid vehicle in the U.S. 0 CY99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 Cost down on Next Hybrid System 2006 Civic Hybrid, won the “World Car of the Year Award” for Greenest Car -Compact Control Unit / Battery -Thin Hybrid Motor -Efficient manufacturing processes Hybrid models with affordable price: 500,000 annual global sales beyond 2010 New Hybrid Model Hybrid Sports Honda annual global sales beyond 2010 Compact, 5 door/5 passenger, to be marketed in early 2009 CR-Z, Concept model New Civic Hybrid Fit Hybrid 23 Financial Highlights •FY 08 Results •Outline •Segment Information •Profit Analysis •FY 09 Forecasts •Dividend per Share Outline of 4th Quarter Financial Results (Consolidated) 4Q Results Unit Sales Unit (thousands) FY07 FY08 Change Motorcycles 2,408 2,368 - 1.7% Automobiles 957 1,051 + 9.8% 2,128 2,092 -1.7% Power Products Business environment US economy slow down, ongoing subprime loan impact Declining personal consumption in European economy Continued growth of Asian economy Signs of weakness in Japan economy Continued high prices for crude oil and raw materials Yen appreciation against U.S. dollar, depreciation against other currencies Motorcycle Market Growth in Vietnam and Brazil continued Declining market in North America Automobile Market 4Q Results Financial results Yen (billions) FY07 FY08 Change Net sales & other operating revenue 3,087.8 3,055.5 - 1.0% Operating income 250.2 168.8 - 32.5% Income before income taxes 239.0 146.8 - 38.6% Equity in income of affiliates 24.3 * + 22.1% Net income 176.1 25.4 - 85.6% EPS (Yen) 96.70 14.01 - 82.69 approx. 1,821,994,000 shares Review of financial results Operating margin decreased due to factors including significant yen appreciation against U.S. dollar despite the increased automobile unit sales achieved in the toughening business environment such as in the U.S. Unit Sales Motorcycles: 19.9 Note : Shares which are based on calculation of EPS Growth of emerging markets such as BRICs Strong demand for fuel-efficient cars in the U.S. Japan automobile market remain stagnant approx. * Record high 1,814,587,000 shares for 4Q (weighted average number of shares outstanding ) Average Rates (Yen) U.S. Dollar 120 106 stronger by 14 yen Euro 157 158 weaker by 1 yen Strong sales in South America, etc. Decreased unit sales of component parts for Asia Automobiles: Unit sales increased in all regions Power Products:Increased unit sales in Europe, Asia, Other Regions Decreased unit sales in North America Net sales & other operating revenue Increased unit sales in automobile segments Net sales decreased due to currency translation effects Operating income <Increase Factors> Continuing cost reduction effects Increased profit from increased automobile unit sales <Decrease Factors> Currency effect of yen appreciation against U.S. dollar Increase in sales incentives in North America Increased raw material costs 24 Outline of 4th Quarter & Twelve Months Financial Results (Consolidated) Twelve Months Results 4Q Results Unit Sales Unit (thousands) FY07 FY08 Change FY07 FY08 Change Motorcycles 2,408 2,368 - 1.7% 10,369 9,320 - 10.1% Automobiles 957 1,051 + 9.8% 3,652 3,925 + 7.5% 2,128 2,092 -1.7% 6,421 6,057 - 5.7% Power Products Twelve Months Results 4Q Results Financial results Yen (billions) FY07 FY08 Change FY07 FY08 Change Net sales & other operating revenue 3,087.8 3,055.5 - 1.0% 11,087.1 12,002.8 * + 8.3% Operating income 250.2 168.8 - 32.5% 851.8 953.1 * + 11.9% Income before income taxes 239.0 146.8 - 38.6% 792.8 895.8 * + 13.0% Equity in income of affiliates 19.9 24.3* + 22.1% 103.4 118.9* + 15.0% Net income 176.1 25.4 - 85.6% 592.3 600.0 * + 1.3% EPS (Yen) 96.70 - 82.69 324.62 330.54* + 5.92 Note : Shares which are based on calculation of EPS approx. 1,821,994,000 shares 14.01 approx. * Record high for 4Q 1,814,587,000 shares (weighted average number of shares outstanding ) approx. 1,824,675,000 shares approx. * Record high for 1,815,356,000 shares twelve months (weighted average number of shares outstanding ) Average Rates (Yen) U.S. Dollar 120 106 stronger by 14 yen 117 114 stronger by 3 yen Euro 157 158 weaker by 1 yen 151 162 weaker by 11 yen 25 Motorcycle Unit Sales (Motorcycles + All-Terrain Vehicles, etc.) FY08 4Q Unit (thousands) Change from FY 07 4Q - 1,049 Major increase / decrease factors ( - 10.1% ) Approx.4,580 Approx.2,860 66 - 13 North America 150 -14 Europe 89 -8 1,617 - 89 13,000 13,000 Japan 12,000 12,000 11,000 11,000 10,000 10,000 9,000 9,000 8,000 8,000 Asia Other Regions Total 446 + 84 2,368 - 40 ・Decrease of Dio etc. ・Decrease of CBR600RR, VT750 Wave S (Vietnam) ・ Decrease of ATV such as Four Trax Foreman ・Decrease of CBR600RR in Italy ・Decrease of component parts for Indonesia ・Increase of Wave S and AT models such as Air Blade in Vietnam 10,369 1,305 ・Introduction of POP100 in Brazil ・Increase of CG125, NXR150 in Brazil CG125 FAN (Brazil) Unit sales of Honda-brand motorcycle products that are manufactured and sold by overseas affiliates accounted for under the equity method, but do not use any parts supplied by Honda and its subsidiaries 7,000 7,000 - 40 6,000 6,000 9,320 Other 1,610 Regions ( - 1.7% ) 7,895 6,633 Asia 5,000 5,000 4,000 4,000 Approx.560 3,000 3,000 Approx.500 2,380 2,000 2,000 1,000 1,000 00 Approx.640 2,816 2,765 341 314 Approx.1,160 Approx.1,280 Approx.1,150 Approx.1,100 Approx.1,020 2,408 362 288 2,217 2,163 1,809 105 89 89 1Q 第1四半期 第1四半期 71 143 98 1,706 56 107 71 2Q 3Q 第2四半期 第3四半期 第2四半期 第3四半期 FY07 2,253 2,333 371 392 1,623 1,645 97 164 79 95 80 84 4Q 第4四半期 第4四半期 1Q 第1四半期 第1四半期 2,366 2,368 401 446 1,748 68 121 107 1,617 61 102 54 89 150 66 4Q 2Q 3Q 第2四半期 第3四半期 第4四半期 第2四半期 第3四半期 第4四半期 FY08 329 503 337 313 453 311 Europe North America Japan Twelve Months Twelve Months ヶ月間通算 ヶ月間通算 1212 1212 ヶ月間通算 ヶ月間通算 FY07 FY08 Unit sales is the total of sales of completed products of Honda and its consolidated subsidiaries and sales of parts for Honda’s affiliates accounted for under the equity method. 26 Motorcycle Business FY07 1Q Net Sales Yen (billions) 160 310.1 2Q 3Q 4Q 335.5 303.2 421.7 Net Sales/Operating Income/Operating Margin FY08 1Q 368.3 2Q 3Q 4Q 381.6 364.6 444.0 (+ 5.3%) Operating Income Operating Margin FY08 FY07 Twelve Months Twelve Months 1,370.6 1,558.6 Yen (billions) (+ 13.7%) 15% 140 11.9% 120 10.5% 9.7% 9.7% 9.6% 100 10% 8.5% 7.3% 8.3% 80 60 5% 4.2% 40 3.7% 20 13.1 32.0 11.1 44.2 31.1 37.0 30.3 52.7 100.6 151.2 0 0% FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY07 FY08 27 Automobile Unit Sales Unit (thousands) FY08 4Q 191 Japan 4,000 3,500 3,000 Change from FY 07 4Q +2 ・Increase of FIT and Inspire ・Decrease of That’s +9 ・Increase of Accord and CR-V ・ Decrease of Pilot North America 459 Europe 109 +7 Asia 203 + 54 Other Regions Total Major increase / decrease factors 89 + 22 1,051 + 94 + 273 ( + 7.5% ) FIT (Japan) 3,925 3,652 ・Increase of Civic and CR-V in Russia, Ukraine 314 Other Regions 248 ・Increase of component parts for China (CR-V and Fit etc ) ・Increase of CR-V in ASEAN countries such as Indonesia Civic (Russia) 755 Asia 620 ・Increase of Civic FFV in Brazil ・Increase of Accord in Middle East countries such as Saudi Arabia and UAE 324 2,500 391 Europe CR-V (Indonesia) 2,000 + 94 ( + 9.8% ) 1,500 1,000 1,788 991 1,850 North America 1,051 896 884 915 957 946 937 60 153 71 60 163 79 61 155 72 67 149 102 66 187 92 72 177 87 188 100 90 456 411 471 450 465 445 481 459 156 171 156 189 136 143 145 191 1Q 第1四半期 2Q 第2四半期 4Q 第4四半期 1Q 第1四半期 89 203 109 500 0 3Q 第3四半期 FY07 2Q 3Q 第2四半期 第3四半期 FY08 4Q 第4四半期 672 615 Japan Twelve累計 Months Twelve Months 累計 FY07 FY08 Unit sales is the total of sales of completed products of Honda and its consolidated subsidiaries and sales of parts for Honda’s affiliates accounted for under the equity method. 28 Automobile Business FY07 1Q Net Sales Yen (billions) 750 2,095.6 2Q 3Q 4Q 2,098.8 2,263.8 2,430.7 Net Sales/Operating Income/Operating Margin FY08 1Q 2,327.2 2Q 3Q 4Q 2,356.4 2,449.0 2,356.6 (- 3.0%) Operating Income Operating Margin FY08 FY07 Twelve Months Twelve Months 8,889.0 9,489.3 Yen (billions) (+ 6.8%) 700 12% 650 600 10% 550 9.0% 9.0% 500 450 8% 7.2% 400 7.1% 6.2% 6.5% 6.7% 6.4% 7.0% 350 6% 300 250 4% 200 3.4% 150 2% 100 50 150.0 130.8 160.7 157.7 148.3 213.0 220.7 79.5 599.5 661.6 0% 0 FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY07 FY08 29 Power Products Unit Sales FY08 4Q Unit (thousands) 6,500 6,000 Change from FY 07 4Q Major increase / decrease factors - 364 (- 5.7%) GX35T Japan 151 + 12 ・Increase of general purpose engines for OEM North America 888 -135 ・Decrease of general purpose engines for OEM, generators in the U.S. Europe 671 + 47 ・Increase of general purpose engines for OEM (general purpose engine) 5,500 Asia 251 + 21 5,000 Other Regions 131 + 19 ・Increase of lawn mowers in Australia ・Increase of generators in South Africa 2,092 - 36 Total 406 760 GCV160 (general purpose engine) Asia 1,625 HRU19D1 Buffalo Buck 1,693 Europe (lawn mower) 3,500 - 36 (- 1.7%) 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,724 1,500 72 162 382 1,000 0 484 Regions 915 4,000 500 6,057 Other ・Increase of general purpose engines for OEM, water pumps in Thailand, Indonesia ・Decrease of general purpose engines 4,500 6,421 971 1,187 105 207 254 1,382 2,128 2,092 112 230 131 251 624 117 161 365 1,529 97 220 390 615 137 127 124 1Q 第1四半期 2Q 第2四半期 3Q 第3四半期 FY07 116 242 280 1,023 494 1,258 687 139 135 4Q 第4四半期 1Q 第1四半期 1,178 3,103 2,415 North America 671 140 202 352 479 361 141 123 2Q 3Q 第2四半期 第3四半期 FY08 888 527 550 Japan 151 4Q 第4四半期 Twelve累計 Months Twelve Months 累計 FY07 FY08 Unit sales is the total of sales of completed products of Honda and its consolidated subsidiaries and sales of parts for Honda’s affiliates accounted for under the equity method. 30 Power Products & Other Businesses FY07 1Q Net Sales Yen (billions) 40 108.4 2Q 3Q 4Q 100.0 105.0 125.3 FY08 1Q 115.2 Net Sales/Operating Income/Operating Margin 2Q 3Q 4Q 105.0 100.2 122.3 (- 2.4%) Operating Income Operating Margin FY08 FY07 Twelve Months Twelve Months 438.9 442.7 (+ 0.9%) 14% 35 30 Yen (billions) 12% 10.2% 25 9.9% 10% 8.2% 7.5% 8% 6.9% 20 6.6% 5.0% 6% 5.8% 15 4.2% 4% 10 2% 2.3% 5 11.0 7.4 10.4 7.2 7.9 6.9 2.2 5.1 36.1 22.3 0% 0 FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY07 FY08 31 Financial Services Business FY07 1Q Net Sales Yen (billions) 120 110 90.8 2Q 3Q 98.9 105.0 FY08 1Q 4Q * 118.4 Net Sales/Operating Income/Operating Margin * 129.8 2Q * 137.8 3Q * 139.6 FY08 FY07 Twelve Months Twelve Months 4Q * 141.7 * (+ 19.6%) Operating Income Operating Margin * Including increased net sales due to start of operating lease transaction 413.3 549.0 Yen (billions) (+ 32.8%) 34.6% 32.2% 100 30% 28.0% 26.4% 90 80 21.3% 22.8% 70 21.5% 22.1% 21.7% 20% 60 16.4% 50 40 10% 30 20 10 29.2 22.6 22.7 40.9 34.2 29.3 22.9 31.3 115.5 117.7 0 0% FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY07 FY08 32 Change in Income Before Income Taxes < FY08 4th Quarter > Yen (billions) Income before Income taxes - 92.2 bn. yen ( - 38.6 % ) Operating Income - 81.3 bn. yen ( - 32.5 %) <Increase Factors> - Continuing cost reduction effects, etc. <Decrease Factors> - Increased raw material costs - Increase in depreciation expenses, etc. - 28.3 + 31.6 Revenue, model mix, etc. Cost Reduction, the effect of raw material cost fluctuations, etc. <Decrease Factors> - Increase in provision for the allowance for credit losses - Increase in quality related expenses Other Income & Expenses - 10.8 bn. yen - Increased logistics expenses due to the increase in unit sales, etc. - 46.2 Increase in SG&A + 4.4 Decrease in R&D - 42.8 Currency Effect <Decrease Factors> - Increase in sales incentives in North America - Change in model mix, etc. <Increase Factors> - Increased profit from increased automobile unit sales - Change in sales prices, etc. - 27.0 Fair value of derivative instruments ( Exhibit 2) + 16.1 Others - Currency effect due to difference between average rates and transaction rates: + 28.1 bn. yen - Gain and loss from valuation of the balance of receivable and debt: - 12.0 bn. yen 239.0 146.8 FY07 4Q FY08 4Q 【Currency Effect 】 <Impact on Operating income> <Impact on Other income & expenses> <Impact on Income before income taxes> - 42.8 bn. yen (due to difference of average rates & translation effects) + 28.1 bn. yen (due to difference between average rates and transaction rates) - 14.6 bn. yen (see also Exhibit 1) 33 FY08 4th Quarter & Twelve Months Change in Income Before Income Taxes - Currency effects (effects associated with sales transactions and translation effects) - (Exhibit 1) Yen (billions) FY08 4Q Effects in Yen (billions) FY07 4Q FY08 4Q JPY / USD - 44.5 120 106 JPY / Euro + 0.5 157 158 - 0.2 ― + 11.8 ― JPY / Others between other currencies Due to difference of average rates (Impact on Operating income) *1 Due to difference between average *2 rates and transaction rates (Impact on Other income & expenses) Currency effect associated with sales transactions Currency effect from translation *3 of foreign financial statements - 32.3 + 28.1 Change Twelve months Effects in Yen (billions) stronger by 14 yen weaker by 1 yen + 15.2 ― ― + 23.6 ― ― + 8.6 *1: Impact of YOY difference of FOREX to be used for booking revenue of foreign currency transactions *2: Impact of YOY difference between average FOREX and hedge rates during the period - 4.1 - 34.5 + 13.0 + 53.6 + 66.7 *3: Effect due to the difference of the rate used for - 10.4 (Impact on Operating income) Total FY08 Average Rates (Yen) - 14.6 translating Honda’s overseas subsidiaries’ financial statements denominated in foreign currencies into Japanese yen with the corresponding period of the fiscal year + 24.6 + 91.3 34 FY08 4th Quarter & Twelve Months Change in Income Before Income Taxes (Exhibit 2) - Gain and loss on derivative instruments - Yen (billions) 4Q Twelve Months FY07 FY08 + 14.2 + 21.8 + 7.6 - 0.8 + 14.5 + 15.4 Interest rate swap - 6.6 - 41.0 - 34.3 - 28.7 - 84.2 - 55.5 Others - 0.7 - 1.0 - 0.3 - 27.2 - 0.5 + 26.6 + 6.7 - 20.2 - 27.0 - 56.8 - 70.2 - 13.4 Gain and loss on fair value adjustments for foreign currency exchange contracts Total Reference: Change FY07 (4Q) (Twelve Months) <Swap interest rate> <Swap interest rate> At the end of Dec, 2006 5.16% At the end of Mar, 2007 5.04% (-0.12%) Difference At the end of Dec, 2007 3.92% At the end of Mar, 2008 2.53% Difference (-1.39%) FY08 At the end of Mar, 2006 5.23% At the end of Mar, 2007 5.04% (-0.19%) Difference Change At the end of Mar, 2007 5.04% At the end of Mar, 2008 2.53% Difference (-2.51%) 35 Asia Equity in income of affiliates Yen (billions) + 7.6 + 13.4 ( + 114.3% ) ( + 18.5% ) 86.1 80 72.6 70 60 50 40 30 22.6 26.8 23.2 22.2 20.1 20 22.6 14.3 6.6 10 0 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY07 FY08 FY07 Reference: Operating income & Net income of affiliates accounted for under the equity method in Asia Operating 58.0 55.7 49.9 30.1 61.2 56.3 55.7 38.0 income Net income 51.8 50.2 44.2 27.6 57.2 50.0 49.7 Twelve Months Twelve Months 31.0 FY08 193.8 211.4 174.0 188.0 Affiliates accounted for under the equity method Automobile Business: Motorcycle Business China India Indonesia Malaysia Pakistan Thailand Sundiro Honda Motorcycle Co., Ltd.* Wuyang-Honda Motors (Guangzhou) Co., Ltd.* Hero Honda Motors Ltd. P.T. Astra Honda Motor* Hicom-Honda MFG. Malaysia SDN. BHD. Atlas Honda Limited* A.P. Honda Co., Ltd. China Others 37, Guangzhou Honda Automobile Co., Ltd.* Dongfeng Honda Engine Co., Ltd.* Dongfeng Honda Automobile Co., Ltd.* Total 47 companies As of the end of March, 2008 * Indicates fiscal term of companies differs from that of Honda Motor Co., Ltd. 36 FY09 Financial Forecasts: Unit Sales by Business Segment Unit sales of Honda-brand motorcycle products that are manufactured and sold by overseas affiliates accounted for under the equity method, but do not use any parts supplied by Honda and its subsidiaries Motorcycles Approx.4,720 Unit (thousands) Automobiles Power Products + 215 + 98 + 1,300 Approx.4,580 3,925 12,000 6,000 755 920 5,000 391 470 4,000 314 10,620 9,000 360 4,000 9,320 1,845 6,057 6,155 484 525 Other Regions 915 990 Asia 1,693 1,725 Europe 2,415 2,365 North America 550 550 3,000 1,610 6,000 4,140 7,685 3,000 2,000 6,633 1,850 1,770 2,000 3,000 1,000 1,000 313 453 311 FY08 310 480 300 FY09 Forecast 615 FY08 620 FY09 Forecast FY08 Japan FY09 Forecast Unit sales is the total of sales of completed products of Honda and its consolidated subsidiaries and sales of parts for Honda’s affiliates accounted for under the equity method.37 FY09 Financial Forecasts (Consolidated) Yen (billions) FY08 FY09 Results Forecasts Change amount % Net sales & other operating revenue 12,002.8 12,140.0 + 137.1 + 1.1% Operating income 953.1 650.0 - 303.1 - 31.8% Income before income taxes 895.8 675.0 - 220.8 - 24.7% Equity in income of affiliates 118.9 106.0 - 12.9 - 10.9% Net income 600.0 490.0 - 110.0 - 18.3% 270.04 - 60.50 EPS (Yen) Note : Shares which are based on calculation of EPS 330.54 approx. 1,815,356,000 shares (weighted average number of shares outstanding ) approx. 1,814,538,000 shares (as of Mar. 31, 2008) Average Rates (Yen) U.S. Dollar Euro 114 (1H: 119 2H: 110) 162 (1H: 162 2H: 161) 100 stronger by 14 yen (1H: 100 2H: 100) (1H: stronger by 19 yen 2H: stronger by 10 yen) 155 (1H: 155 2H: 155) stronger by 7 yen (1H: stronger by 7 yen 2H: stronger by 6 yen) 38 FY09 Financial Forecasts: Change in Income Before Income Taxes Yen (billions) Income before income taxes - 220.8 bn. yen ( - 24.7 %) Operating Income - 303.1 bn. yen ( - 33.8 %) Other Income & Expenses + 82.2 bn. yen - 49.0 + 198.0 895.8 Revenue, model mix, etc. Cost Reduction, the effect of raw material cost fluctuations, etc. - 122.0 - 27.1 Increase in SG&A Increase in R&D - 303.0 - 11.7 + 94.0 Currency Effect FY08 Others 675.0 Fair value of derivative instruments FY09 Forecasts 39 FY09 Financial Forecasts (Consolidated) Yen (billions) FY08 FY09 Results Forecasts Capital expenditures * 654.0 710.0 + 55.9 Depreciation and amortization * 417.3 430.0 + 12.6 R&D expenses 587.9 615.0 + 27.1 Change * Capital expenditures in results and the forecast aforementioned exclude investment in operating leases. Depreciation and amortization in results and the forecast aforementioned exclude depreciation of investment in operating leases. Average Rates (Yen) U.S. Dollar Euro 114 (1H: 119 2H: 110) 162 (1H: 162 2H: 161) 100 (1H: 100 2H: 100) 155 (1H: 155 2H: 155) stronger by 14 yen (1H: stronger by 19 yen 2H: stronger by 10 yen) stronger by 7 yen (1H: stronger by 7 yen 2H: stronger by 6 yen) 40 Dividend per Share (Yen) Dividend per share 1st quarter End FY07 FY08 Results Results & Projection - 20 Increase from FY07 Results FY09 Projection Increase from FY08 results 22 * +2 * 22 * ±0 * + 12 2nd quarter End 30 22 3rd quarter End 17 22 + 5 22 * ±0 * 4th quarter End 20 22 * + 2* 22 * ±0 * Fiscal Year 67 86 * + 19 * 88* * + 2* Projection as of April 25th 41 Dividend per Share Dividend per share (JPY) Dividend Yield 3.02% 140 3.09% 3.0% *1,*2 Dividend Yield 120 *3 2.5% Dividend per share (JPY) 100 2.0% 80 1.63% 1.37% 60 1.5% 1.21% 0.81% 40 0.45% 0.88% 1.0% 0.52% 0.5% 20 11.5 14 16 21 32.5 50 67 86 88 0 0.0% FY 01 02 *1 FY01-FY08(projection) *2 FY09 (projection) *3 FY01-FY06 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 (projection) (projection) based on share price at each fiscal year-end based on stock price of Mar.31, 2008 restated based on the number of common shares after stock split 42 Caution Cautionwith withRespect Respectto toForward-Looking Forward-LookingStatements: Statements: This Thisslide slidecontains containsforward-looking forward-lookingstatements statementsabout aboutthe theperformance performanceofofHonda, Honda,which whichare arebased basedon onmanagement’s management’s assumptions and beliefs taking into account information currently available to it. Therefore, please be advised assumptions and beliefs taking into account information currently available to it. Therefore, please be advisedthat thatHonda’s Honda’s actual actualresults resultscould coulddiffer differmaterially materiallyfrom fromthose thosedescribed describedininthese theseforward-looking forward-lookingstatements statementsas asaaresult resultofofnumerous numerous factors, factors,including includinggeneral generaleconomic economicconditions conditionsininHonda’s Honda’sprincipal principalmarkets marketsand andforeign foreignexchange exchangerates ratesbetween betweenthe the Japanese Japaneseyen yenand andthe theU.S. U.S.dollar, dollar,the theEuro Euroand andother othermajor majorcurrencies, currencies, as aswell wellas asother otherfactors factorsdetailed detailedfrom fromtime timetototime. time. Accounting Accountingstandards: standards: Our Ourconsolidated consolidatedfinancial financialstandards standardsare areprepared preparedininconformity conformitywith withU.S. U.S.generally generallyaccepted acceptedaccounting accountingprinciples. principles. Notice Noticeon onthe theFactors Factorsfor forIncreases Increasesand andDecreases Decreasesin inIncome: Income: With totothe above ofofthe income, management has the factors set Withrespect respect thediscussion discussion above thechange changein inoperating operating income, management hasidentified identified the factors setforth forth below and used what it believes to be a reasonable method to analyze the respective changes in such factors. Each of below and used what it believes to be a reasonable method to analyze the respective changes in such factors. Each of its these factors isisexplained below. Management has analyzed changes ininthese factors atatthe levels ofofthe Company and these factors the levels these factors explained below. Management has analyzed changes the Company and its material materialconsolidated consolidatedsubsidiaries. subsidiaries. (1) ofoftranslation adjustments, which from ofofthe currency ofofforeign (1)“Foreign “Foreigncurrency currencyeffects” effects”consist consist translation adjustments, whichcome come fromthe thetranslation translation the currency foreign subsidiaries’ financial statements into Japanese Yen, and foreign currency adjustments, which result from foreign-currencysubsidiaries’ financial statements into Japanese Yen, and foreign currency adjustments, which result from foreign-currencydenominated sales, which, atatthe levels and consolidated subsidiaries which been denominated sales, which, the levelsofofthe theCompany Company andthose those consolidated subsidiaries whichhave have beenanalyzed, analyzed, primarily relate to the following currencies: U.S. dollar, Canada dollar, Euro, GBP, BRL and Japanese Yen. primarily relate to the following currencies: U.S. dollar, Canada dollar, Euro, GBP, BRL and Japanese Yen. (2) toto“cost and ofofraw material cost fluctuations”, management has analyzed reduction (2)With Withrespect respect “costreduction reduction andeffects effects raw material cost fluctuations”, management has analyzedcost cost reduction and effects of raw material cost fluctuations at the levels of the Company and its material foreign manufacturing subsidiaries and effects of raw material cost fluctuations at the levels of the Company and its material foreign manufacturing subsidiaries ininNorth NorthAmerica, America,Europe Europeand andother otherregions. regions. (3) respect toto“changes ininnet model mix”, management has ininsales volume and (3)With With respect “changes netsales salesand and model mix”, management hasanalyzed analyzedchanges changes sales volume andin inthe the mix of product models sold in major markets which have resulted in increases/decreases in profit, as well as certain other mix of product models sold in major markets which have resulted in increases/decreases in profit, as well as certain other reasons reasonsfor forincreases/decreases increases/decreasesininnet netsales salesand andcost costofofsales. sales. (4) “selling, general and administrative expenses”, management has reasons for (4)With Withrespect respecttotoin “selling, general and administrative expenses”, management hasanalyzed analyzed reasons foran an translation increase/decrease selling, general and administrative expenses from the previous fiscal year net of currency increase/decrease in selling, general and administrative expenses from the previous fiscal year net of currency translation effects. effects. (Reference) Foreign Currency Exchange rates (U.S. dollar & Euro to JPY) Yen per U.S. dollar / Euro 170 160 150 Euro 140 130 120 U.S. dollar 110 100 90 1Q 2Q 3Q FY07 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 The exchange rate prevailing on the Tokyo Foreign Exchange Market (Reference) Transition of commodity markets (Base metal prices) 3500 Aluminum (US$/tonne) 9000 Copper (US$/tonne) 8000 3000 7000 Average 2,802 2500 Average 2,729 2000 Average 7,759 6000 Average 5,921 5000 4000 1500 3000 1000 2000 500 1000 0 0 1Q 2Q 3Q FY07 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q FY08 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q FY07 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 *Source: LME (Reference) Transition of commodity markets (Precious metal prices) (US$ per troy oz) (US$ per troy oz) Platinum 2200 Rhodium 10000 9000 2000 8000 1800 7000 1600 Average 8,268 6000 Average 1,881 1400 Average 5,915 5000 4000 1200 3000 Average 1,193 1000 2000 1000 800 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q FY07 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 (US$ per troy oz) 600 Palladium 500 400 Average 446 Average 345 300 200 100 1Q 2Q 3Q FY07 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q FY08 4Q *Source: Platinum Today