Result Briefing for the Three Months Ended December 2009
Transcription
Result Briefing for the Three Months Ended December 2009
FY2010 Result Briefing for the Three Months Ended December 2009 Dwango Co., Ltd. DWANGO Co., Ltd. February 4, 2010 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Cautionary Statement • The forward-looking statements, including earnings forecasts included in this document are determined by the DWANGO Group based on information available at the time of writing. • Future figures involve a number of uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially. Please refrain from relying wholly on these forecasts in making investment decisions . DWANGO Co., Ltd. Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 2 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Overview of Consolidated Results for the Three Months Ended December 2009 (Unit: Million Yen) Net Sales (Growth Rate) Gross Profit (Growth Rate) (Gross Profit on Sales) Operating Income (Growth Rate) (Operating Income Margin) Ordinary Income (Growth Rate) (Ordinary Income Margin) Net Income (Growth Rate) (Net Income Margin) DWANGO Co., Ltd. Previous Term Term under Review FY2010 Forecast 2008/10-2008/12 2009/10-2009/12 2009/10-2010/9 6,960 7,626 31,200 16.4% 9.6% 17.4% 3,239 3,254 12,100 29.5% 46.5% 0.5% 42.7% 15.7% 38.8% 496 443 600 -% 7.1% (10.6%) 5.8% 51.1% 1.9% 484 438 600 -% 7.0% (9.5%) 5.8% 75.3% 1.9% 286 303 450 -% 4.1% 5.9% 4.0% -% 1.4% Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 3 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Cost of Goods Sold (Unit: Million Yen) Previous Term 2008/10-2008/12 (% of total sales) 53.5% Personnel Costs 3,721 947 Commission and Fees Paid Cost of Goods Sold Manufacturing Costs Royalties Outsourcing Costs Communication Costs Other Expenses (Account Transfers) DWANGO Co., Ltd. Term under Review 2009/10-2009/12 (% of total sales) 57.3% 13.6% 4,372 1,023 386 5.6% 341 4.5% 1,164 903 369 380 (430) 16.7% 1,301 948 445 916 (605) 17.1% 13.0% 5.3% 5.5% (6.2%) 13.4% 12.4% 5.8% 12.0% (7.9%) Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 4 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net SG&A (Unit: Million Yen) Previous Term 2008/10-2008/12 (% of total sales) Selling, General and Administrative Expenses Term under Review 2009/10-2009/12 (% of total sales) 2,742 39.4% 2,810 36.9% Advertisement Expenses 962 13.8% 1,043 13.7% Personnel Costs 443 6.4% 485 6.4% Commission and Fees Paid 678 9.7% 761 10.0% Research and Development Expenses 436 6.3% 244 3.2% Others 222 3.2% 276 3.6% DWANGO Co., Ltd. Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 5 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Segment Overview (Unit: Million Yen) Mobile Business Net Sales Game Business Portal Business Others Eliminations/ Corporate Total 4,574 1,599 1,299 420 (267) 7,626 (Growth Rate) 6.8% (7.1%) 104.2% 15.1% -% 9.6% Cost of Goods Sold 2,113 969 1,167 388 (267) 4,372 (Growth Rate) 8.9% 53.5% 32.6% 23.8% -% 17.5% (% of total sales) 46.2% 60.6% 89.8% 92.3% -% 57.3% 2,460 629 132 32 (0) 3,254 (Growth Rate) 5.0% (42.2%) -% (37.5%) -% 0.5% (% of total sales) 53.8% 39.4% 10.2% 7.7% -% 42.7% 1,438 319 270 82 700 2,810 (Growth Rate) 21.1% (43.9%) 17.0% 20.4% 2.1% 2.5% (% of total sales) 31.5% 19.9% 20.8% 19.5% -% 36.9% 1,021 310 (138) (49) (700) 443 (Growth Rate) (11.5%) (40.2%) -% -% -% (10.6%) (% of total sales) 22.3% 19.4% (10.7%) (11.8%) -% 5.8% Gross Profit Selling, General and Administrative Expenses Operating Income DWANGO Co., Ltd. Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 6 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Mobile Business Comparison to Forecast 1Q Result Net Sales 4.57 billion ▼60 million Cost of Goods Sold 2.11 billion ▼0. 24 billion SG&A 1.43 billion Operating Income 1.02 billion Comparison to Previous Term ▲ 0.29 billion Growth in purchase ratio of Chaku-Uta Full® titles with high unit prices ▲ 0.17 billion Increase in royalties due to growth in sales of Chaku-Uta Full® titles ▲ 10 million ▲ 0.25 billion Increased advertising expenses due to mobile advertising ▲ 0.18 billion ▼ 0.13 billion Mainly due to reduction in royalties accompanying shortfall in pay-perdownload service sales Change in Number of Members (Unit:Thousand) Trend on Net Sales and Operating Income Margin 1,200 (Unit: Million Yen) 50.0% 5,000 1,000 4,284 4,497 4,485 4,588 4,574 40.0% 4,000 800 27.0% 600 3,000 400 2,000 200 1,000 29.4% 30.0% 24.1% 22.0% 22.3% 20.0% 10.0% 0 0 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY2009 Ringtones DWANGO Co., Ltd. Chaku-Uta® 1Q 0.0% 1Q 2Q FY2010 Chaku-Uta Full® 3Q 4Q FY2009 Sales 1Q FY2010 Operating Income Margin Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 7 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Mobile Business: Changes in Number of Unique Users and ARPU * Excluding members of NICO NICO MOBILE Continued growth of purchase ratio of CHO!animelo and Chaku-Uta Full® sites (Unit: Thousand) (Unit: Yen) 5,000 420 Unique Users ARPU 399 4,500 393 377 4,000 381 383 378 394 398 400 380 380 3,500 360 3,691 3,800 3,843 3,850 3,834 3,851 3,859 3,821 3,900 3,000 340 2,500 320 2,000 300 Dec. 2007 Mar. Jun. Sep. 2008 Dec. Mar. Jun. Sep. Dec. 2009 Source: Dwango Internal Analysis DWANGO Co., Ltd. Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 8 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Game Business Comparison to Forecast 1Q Result Comparison to Previous Term Net Sales 1.59 billion ▼ 0.45 billion Mainly due to shortfall in package game sales and deferral to second quarter ▼ 0.12 billion Cost of Goods Sold 0.96 billion ▼ 0.30 billion Reduction in outsourcing costs accompanying shortfall in sales ▲ 0.33 billion SG&A 0.31 billion ▼ 10 million ▼ 0.25 billion Operating Income 0.31 billion ▼ 0.14 billion ▼ 0.20 billion Reduction in research and development expenses Trend on Net Sales and Operating Income Margin (Unit: Million Yen) 2,000 50.0% 1,721 1,599 40.0% 30.0% 30.2% 20.0% 19.4% 754 1,000 817 0.0% -10.0% 3.2% -5.8% 0 2Q 3Q FY2009 Sales DWANGO Co., Ltd. 380 -20.0% -30.0% -29.5% 1Q 10.0% -40.0% 4Q 1Q FY2010 Operating Income Margin Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 9 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Portal Business Comparison to Forecast 1Q Result Comparison to Previous Term Net Sales 1.29 billion ▲ 40 million ▲ 0.66 billion Mainly due to increase in income from Premium Members Cost of Goods Sold 1.16 billion ▼ 20 million ▲ 0.28 billion Increase in outsourcing costs from NICO NICO LIVE SG&A 0.27 billion ▲ 30 million ▲ 30 million Operating Income (0.13 billion) ▲ 30 million ▲ 0.33 billion Trend on Net Sales and Operating Income Margin (Unit: Million Yen) 1,500 50.0% 1,299 30.0% 1,045 1,000 10.0% -10.7% 876 -10.0% 722 636 -30.0% -46.9% 500 -51.6% -57.1% -50.0% -74.7% -70.0% 0 -90.0% 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY2009 Sales DWANGO Co., Ltd. 1Q FY2009 Operating Income Margin Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 10 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Other Businesses Comparison to Forecast 1Q Result Comparison to Previous Term Net Sales 0.42 billion ▲40 million ▲50 million Cost of Goods Sold 0.38 billion ▲60 million ▲70 million 82 million ▼10 million ▲10 million (49 million) ▼10 million ▼30 million SG&A Operating Income * Major breakdown of sales: Royalty income from music titles published by animation business, and income from school and artist management businesses Trend on Net Sales and Operating Income Margin (Unit: Million Yen) 1,400 50.0% 1,200 1,110 30.0% 1,000 800 600 400 -0.9% 10.0% 2.3% -4.5% 365 420 395 -14.3% -10.0% -11.8% 232 200 0 -30.0% 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY2009 Sales DWANGO Co., Ltd. 1Q FY2010 Operating Income Margin Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 11 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net DWANGO Co., Ltd. Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 12 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net DWANGO Co., Ltd. Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 13 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Changes in Number of Members for NICO NICO DOUGA (As of January 31, 2010) Registered Users Premium Members* Mobile Members Increasing at a monthly pace of 350 K Increasing at a monthly pace of 30 K Increasing at a monthly pace of 120 K 15.64 Million 650 Thousand 4.71 Million (Unit: 10 K) (Unit: 10 K) 1,800 15.28 Million 1,600 80 (Unit: 10 K) 620 K 70 1,400 600 4.59 Million 500 60 1,200 400 50 1,000 40 300 800 30 600 400 20 200 10 0 200 100 0 0 Sep. Dec. Mar. Sep. Dec. 9月 12 月 3 月 6Jun. 月 9 月 12 月 1Jan. 月 2008∼ 2009∼ 2010 Sep. Dec. Mar. Jun. Sep. Dec. Jan. 9 月 12 月 3 月 6 月 9月 12月 1 月 2008∼ 2009∼ 2010 Dec. Mar. Jun. Sep. Dec. Jan. 9Sep. 月 12月 3 月 6月 9 月 12月 1月 2008∼ 2009∼ 2010 * Premium Members = Paying members --- For 525 yen a month, or a 90-day ticket priced at 1,680 yen, members receive access to a dedicated line for a premium viewing experience, priority viewing of live broadcasts, and a host of other benefits. DWANGO Co., Ltd. Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 14 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Attributes of NICO NICO DOUGA Users (As of December 31, 2009) By Age Male 68% 40s 7.1% Others 2.2% 50s 2.3% 40s 8.3% 10s 20.5% 30s 21.5% 20s 45.3% Others 2.0% 50s 1.9% 10s 23.9% 30s 19.3% 20s 45.8% Female 32% 50s 1.1% 40s 4.6% 30s 14.5% Others 1.5% 10s 31.4% 20s 47.0% For about every 2 people in their 20s, one NICO NICO DOUGA user exists. This amounts to 6.99 million users for a population of about 14.05 million people in their 20s, as posted by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. DWANGO Co., Ltd. Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 15 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Revenues from NICO NICO DOUGA Trend on Sales (Unit: Million Yen) 1,600 Figures in parentheses indicate values for 4Q FY2009 Figures only indicate results of NICO NICO DOUGA related Portal businesses 1,300 Points, Others Advertisement ※ * Premium Membership 1,200 Results for 1Q FY2010 (Unit: Million Yen) Affiliate Advertisement 1,400 Breakdown of Sales 1,200 1,100 1,276 (1,023) 3.6% (3.8) 4.4% (5.3) 18.9% (19.5) Premium Membership: 933 (4,581) Advertisement : 241 ( 961) Affiliate Advertisement: 56 ( 180) 1,000 Costs 900 1,000 1Q (Full-year Results Projection) (Unit: Million Yen) 800 Points, Others : 46 ( 212) Total Sales : 1,276 (5,935) 700 800 600 500 600 73.1% (71.4) 400 400 ● No. of registered members : 15.28 million 300 (Full-year projection) 18.00 million 200 200 ● No. of premium members : 620 thousand 100 0 (Full-year projection) 850 thousand 0 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q FY2008 FY2008 FY2008 FY2008 FY2009 FY2009 FY2009 FY2009 FY2010 1Q1Q 14 期 FY2010 *Before impairment (FY2009) DWANGO Co., Ltd. Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 16 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net NICO NICO DOUGA Usage (1Q FY2010: Dwango Internal Analysis) Average visitors per day Average PVs per day Average PVs per day (Unit: 10 K) (Unit: 10 KPV) 300 7,000 63.39 Million PVs (62.86) 6,000 5,000 Average visitors per day 250 4,000 2.38 Million (2.36) 3,000 200 2,000 Average sojourn time per visit 1,000 150 0 37.6 minutes (37.3) *Above results indicate NICO NICO DOUGA total. Figures in parentheses indicate results for 4Q FY2009. 3Q FY2008 4Q FY2008 1Q FY2009 2Q FY2009 3Q FY2009 4Q FY2009 1Q FY2010 NICO NICO LIVE Usage Average PVs per day Average visitors per day Average sojourn time per visit 3.30 Million PVs (3.25) 0.20 Million (0.14) 79.5 minutes (87.1) DWANGO Co., Ltd. Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 17 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Trends in Number of Premium Members 1 “NICO NICO LIVE” The real shared experience generated by communication via live video proved popular and contributed to income NICO NICO LIVE Examples of Popular Shows and Trends in Viewer Numbers ■ Breaking past records! Dwango special "Winter! Xmas! Comment! 13-hour Live Broadcast!" ◆Total no. of viewers: 300 thousand/Total no. of comments: 2.50 million ◆Cast: Masatoshi Hamada, YOU, Hakuryu, Sho Aikawa, Aki Yashiro, Kazumi Morohoshi, Kunikazu Katsumata, GACKT, Takanori Nishikawa, and others 90 80 70 60 AVATAR アバター 12.23公開記念 タイタニックの監督 ニコ生独占 インタビュー! 12.21(月)15:15∼ DWANGO Co., Ltd. 160 No. of viewers (Unit: 10 K) 140 120 100 50 40 30 20 ■ The First NICO NICO LIVE broadcast from overseas 10 Live broadcast of Space Shuttle Atlantis launch 0 ◆NICO NICO LIVE's cameras headed directly to NASA. Broadcast live from overseas, the show featured interviews with NASA personnel. No. of official programs 80 60 40 20 0 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Time Shift 『AVATAR』 ■■映画 Live broadcast of the公開記念 deliberations of the third working group 『ジェームズ・キャメロン監督 独占インタビュー』 New Function Live broadcast of the Government Revitalization ◆『タイタニック』 などを手掛け、先日ゴールデングローブ Unit's budget screening 賞を受賞したジェームズ・キャメロン監督に、映画公開に The new Time Shift function lets users make advance bookings to view one live show that has already finished per month with the original comments. The function will be supported on official live broadcasts from October and on NICO NICO USER’S LIVE/NICO NICO CHANNEL LIVE from December. ◆先駆けニコニコが独占取材 During this live broadcast, the show took polls on user's verdicts and the actual verdicts given by the working group both before and after the actual verdicts were given. *Premium members can book after the broadcast has finished and are also allowed to book up to ten shows Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 18 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Trends in Number of Premium Members 2 “NICO NICO MOBILE” The ease with which payments can be made, the offering of NICO NICO LIVE to general members, and other factors helped the number of premium members from NICO NICO MOBILE to continue to increase steadily. Trends in Premium Members Registration Using Mobile Payment NICO NICO MOBILE (Unit: 10 K) 30 25 20 15 au Officially supported Monthly billing starts NICO NICO LIVE offered to general members using NTT DOCOMO and SOFTBANK (WiFi models) NTT DOCOMO Free trial menu starts NTT DOCOMO NICO NICO LIVE for premium members only starts NTT DOCOMO Monthly billing starts 10 DOCOMO au 5 SOFTBANK Total 0 Mar. DWANGO Co., Ltd. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 19 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Trend on Advertising Revenue While the sluggish economy continued to exert an influence, sales steadied and 1Q projections were achieved. Trend on Sales Ad Client's Attributes (Unit: Million Yen) 450 400 300 Total number of clients Total ads placed Advertising sales Game 250 350 300 200 250 150 200 150 100 100 50 50 0 0 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q FY2007 FY2007 FY2008 FY2008 FY2008 FY2008 FY2009 FY2009 FY2009 FY2009 FY2010 Client Base DWANGO Co., Ltd. 1Q FY2009 1Q FY2010 Segment 千 PCs/Peripheral Equipment/Software Video/Music/Publications Commodities/Toys Cosmetics/Beauty/Hair School/Education Fashion/Accessories Human Resources Information/Communication Finance/Security/Insurance WEB Services Travel/Leisure Food/Drink Car/Motorcycle Real Estate/Construction Others 39.0% 14.8% 3.1% 5.5% 3.3% 11.4% 6.0% 2.1% 2.9% 1.9% 1.0% 2.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 4.0% 45.2% 18.2% 4.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.2% 6.7% 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 5.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.3% Ajinomoto, Otsuka Pharmaceutical, Mazda, Volkswagen, NTT, KDDI, Dell, VISA, JCB, and others Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 20 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net NICO NICO POINTS While NICO NICO points currently only have a small impact on revenue, growth is steady. NICO NICO points can be purchased with credit cards, WebMoney, and NTT DOCOMO’s mobile phone payment system and can be used with the services below. Services for which points can be used Trends in income from points (Unit: Million Yen) NICO NICO LIVE NICO NICO USER'S LIVE 60 50 Viewing of fee-based live broadcasts Reservation/extension of broadcasting slots 40 Points set as necessary 500 pts. 30 USER ADS FOR NICOVIDEO NICO NICO CHANNEL Advertisements on posted videos Fee-based videos (payper-view) From 100 pts. From 100 pts. DWANGO Co., Ltd. 20 10 0 3Q FY2009 4Q FY2009 1Q FY2010 Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 21 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net NICO NICO CHANNEL (As of December 31, 2009) A range of official company video channels featuring everything from fee-based to free promotional content Many channels also feature live broadcasts Politics ●The Liberal Democratic Party of Japan ●The Democratic Party of Japan ●Social Democratic Party ●Japanese Communist Party ●New Party Nippon ●The People's New Party Institutions/ Corporations ●Ajinomoto ●SOFTBANK ●Adidas ●Ferrari ●Advertising Council Japan ●U.S. Army Education/ Regional ●Komazawa University ●Teikyo University ●Kaetsu University ●Kyoto Seika University ●Tokushima Shimbun ●Saga Shimbun Media ●NHK (Japan Broadcasting Corporation) ●TBS (Tokyo Broadcasting System) ●TV Tokyo ●Tokai Television Broadcasting ●Mainichi Broadcasting System ●Discovery Japan Music/Movies Animation/Games Comedy/Sports Example Live Broadcasts DWANGO Co., Ltd. ●Warner Music Japan ●Pony Canyon ●Columbia Music Entertainment ●Toho-Towa ●Tezuka Productions ●Tsuburaya Productions ●Sega ●Sony Computer Entertainment ●Shochiku Geino ●Yoshimoto Fandango ●MASEKI GEINOSHA ●Rakuten Eagles ●All Japan Pro-Wrestling For a total of 211 channels Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 22 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net Subsidiaries Anime Game ■Dwango Planning and Development Co., Ltd. Holding: 100% □School management ■GAMES ARENA Co., Ltd. Holding: 67.2% □Planning and supervision ■AG-ONE Co., Ltd. Holding: 36.7% □Content planning, production, and management ■CHUNSOFT Co., Ltd. Holding: 100% (GAMES ARENA Co., Ltd.) □Planning, development, and sales Advertisement & Others ■Dwango Music entertainment, Inc.* Holding: 100% □Production of master recordings, management of music copyrights, sale of CDs and DVDs ■niwango, inc. Holding: 75.1% □Information distribution and movie distribution ■Spike Co., Ltd. Holding: 100% (GAMES ARENA Co., Ltd.) □Planning, development, and sales ■skyscraper,inc. Holding: 70.7% □Mobile advertisement sales ■T&E SOFT Inc. Holding: 100% (GAMES ARENA Co., Ltd.) □Planning and development ■MOBILE CONTENTS Co., Ltd. Holding: 70.1% □Content production and supply * On December 10, 2009, Dwango Music Publishing, Inc., (advertising and others) and dwango AG Entertainment CO., Ltd., (anime) merged and commenced operations under the name Dwango Music Entertainment, Inc. DWANGO Co., Ltd. Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 23 FY2010 Born in the net, Connected by the net For more information: Public & Investor Relations Dwango Co., Ltd. E-mail : [email protected] ◆Website ⇒ http://info.dwango.co.jp/ DWANGO Co., Ltd. ◆Mobile site⇒ http://info.dwango.co.jp/ Copying in part or whole is prohibited. 24