vehicle crashworthiness ratings
Transcription
vehicle crashworthiness ratings
VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS ESTIMATED FROM POLICE REPORTED CRASH DATA: 2011 UPDATE AUSTRALIAN AND NEW ZEALAND CRASHES DURING 1987-2009 by Stuart Newstead Linda Watson & Max Cameron Report No. 304 July 2011 Project Sponsored By ii MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Report No. Report Date ISBN ISSN Pages 304 July 2011 0 7326 2374 X 1835-4815 (On-Line) 60 + Appendices Title and sub-title: VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS ESTIMATED FROM POLICE REPORTED CRASH DATA: 2011 UPDATE AUSTRALIAN AND NEW ZEALAND CRASHES DURING 1987-2009 Author(s) Type of Report & Period Covered Newstead, S.V., Watson, L.M and Cameron, M.H. Summary Report, 1982-2009 Sponsoring Organisations - This project was funded as contract research by the following organisations: Road Traffic Authority of NSW, Royal Automobile Club of Victoria, NRMA Motoring and Services, VicRoads, Royal Automobile Club of Western Australia, Transport Accident Commission, New Zealand Transport Agency, the New Zealand Automobile Association, Queensland Department of Transport and Main Roads, Royal Automobile Club of Queensland, Royal Automobile Association of South Australia, South Australian Department of Transport Energy and Infrastructure, Accident Compensation Corporation New Zealand and by grants from the Australian Government Department of Infrastructure and Transport and the Road Safety Council of Western Australia Abstract: This study describes the calculation of updated ratings that measure the relative safety of vehicles in preventing severe injury to people involved in crashes. Three different aspects of secondary safety are examined: crashworthiness which focuses on drivers of the rated vehicle, aggressivity which focuses on drivers of other vehicles and unprotected road users such as pedestrians, cyclists and motorcyclists colliding with the rated vehicle and total secondary safety which examines the combined crashworthiness and aggressivity performance of the rated vehicle. Updated ratings for 1982-2009 model vehicles were estimated based on data on crashes in Victoria and New South Wales during 1987-2009, in Queensland, Western Australia and New Zealand during 1991-2009 and in South Australia during 1995-2009. Each rating is measured as a combination of injury severity (the risk of death or serious injury given an injury was sustained) and injury risk (the risk of injury given crash involvement). The ratings were adjusted for the sex and age of the person whose injury outcome was being measured, speed limit at the crash location, number of vehicles, crash configuration and type or road user involved where relevant, the jurisdiction in which the crash occurred and the year in which the crash occurred. These factors were strongly related to the risk of an injury being sustained in the crash and the likelihood of injuries sustained being severe. Each rating estimates the risk of being killed or admitted to hospital when involved in a crash, to a degree of accuracy represented by the confidence limits of the rating in each case. Crashworthiness estimates and their associated confidence limits were obtained for 471 vehicle models classified into 10 market groups. Aggressivity rating estimates and their associated confidence limits were obtained for 439 vehicle models. The total secondary safety index estimates and their associated confidence limits were obtained for 535 vehicle models classified into 10 market groups. A method for presenting the ratings for consumer information is also described. The rating presentation classifies vehicles according to where their rating lies in relation to a best performance benchmark. The relationship between vehicle crashworthiness and the year of manufacture of Australian passenger and light commercial vehicles manufactured from 1964 to 2009 was also investigated. Trends were examined by year of manufacture both for the fleet as a whole and by market group for vehicles manufactured from 1982 to 2009. The results of this report are based on a number of assumptions and warrant a number of qualifications that should be noted. Key Words: (IRRD except when marked*) Injury, Vehicle Occupant, Collision, Passenger Car Unit, Passive Safety System, Statistics Disclaimer: This Report is produced for the purposes of providing information concerning the safety of vehicles involved in crashes. It is based upon information provided to the Monash University Accident Research Centre by VicRoads, the Transport Accident Commission, the New South Wales Roads and Traffic Authority, NRMA Ltd, Queensland Transport, the Western Australian Department of Main Roads, South Australian Department of Transport, Energy and Infrastructure and the New Zealand Ministry of Transport. Any republication of the findings of the Report whether by way of summary or reproduction of the tables or otherwise is prohibited unless prior written consent is obtained from the Monash University Accident Research Centre and any conditions attached to that consent are satisfied. A brochure based on this report is available from the sponsoring organisations and may be freely quoted. Reproduction of this page is authorised Monash University Accident Research Centre Building 70, Monash University Victoria 3800, Australia. Telephone: +61 3 9905 4371, Fax: +61 3 9905 4363 VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE iii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report describes the development of further updated vehicle secondary safety ratings for 1982-2009 model vehicles. The ratings produced cover vehicle crashworthiness, aggressivity and total secondary safety. Crashworthiness ratings measure the relative safety of vehicles in preventing severe injury to their own drivers in crashes whilst aggressivity ratings measure the serious injury risk vehicles pose to other road users with which they collide. The aggressivity rating measure is based on collisions between the vehicle being rated and both other vehicles and unprotected road users including pedestrians, bicyclists and motorcyclists. The total secondary safety index measure integrates into one measure the combined crashworthiness and aggressivity performance of a vehicle in a way most representative of the crash population involving the vehicle fleet being rated. It considers relative injury outcomes in the full range of crashes involving light passenger vehicles including single and multi vehicle crashes, crashes with heavy vehicle and crashes involving unprotected road users. All three measures of vehicle secondary safety performance are estimated from data on real crashes reported to police. The update is based on crash data from Victoria and New South Wales during 1987-2009, from Queensland, Western Australia and New Zealand during 1991-2009 and from South Australia during 1995-2009. The assembled database covered 5,619,861 road users involved in tow-away crashes in New South Wales, South Australia, Queensland and Western Australia during 1987-2009 and 1,154,525 road users of 19822009 model vehicles who were injured in crashes in Victoria, New South Wales, Western Australia, Queensland or New Zealand during 1987-2009. The crashworthiness ratings estimate the risk of a driver of the focus vehicle being killed or admitted to hospital when involved in a tow-away crash, to a degree of accuracy represented by the confidence limits of the rating in each case. The crashworthiness ratings were adjusted for the driver sex and age, the speed limit at the crash location, the year in which the crash occurred, the jurisdiction in which the crash occurred and the number of vehicles involved in the crash. These factors were found to be strongly associated with risk of injury when involved in a crash and the severity of injuries received. Adjustments were made with the aim of measuring the effects of vehicle factors alone, uncontaminated by other nonvehicle related factors available in the data that affected crash severity and injury susceptibility. Crashworthiness ratings and their associated confidence limits were calculated for 471 individual vehicle models manufactured between the years 1982-2009. Vehicles were classified into one of 10 market groups for presentation of the ratings with average crashworthiness of vehicles in each market group estimated. The measure of aggressivity was calculated for 439 models of Australian and New Zealand passenger vehicles manufactured between the years 1982-2009. The aggressivity ratings estimate the risk of a vehicle driver or unprotected road user impacting with the focus vehicle model being killed or admitted to hospital when involved in a crash. Average aggressivity for vehicles in each of the 10 defined market groups was also estimated. Estimated vehicle aggressivity towards drivers of other vehicles or unprotected road users was found to have little or no relationship with ratings of vehicle crashworthiness, demonstrating the independence of the two complementary measures. The total secondary safety index measures the average risk of death or serious injury to all light passenger vehicle drivers and unprotected road users (pedestrians, cyclists and iv MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE motorcyclists) when involved in a crash with the rated light passenger vehicle to a degree of accuracy represented by the confidence limits of the index in each case. It is a measure of the combined crashworthiness and aggressivity performance of the rated vehicle. Total secondary safety index estimates and their associated confidence limits were obtained for 535 vehicle models classified into 10 market groups. Estimated total secondary safety was found to have a stronger relationship with ratings of vehicle crashworthiness than with vehicle aggressivity. This reflects that crashworthiness is relevant to the injury outcome of road users in a wider range of crash types than are covered by the aggressivity ratings. The index serves as a valuable summary of overall secondary safety of light passenger vehicles both for consumer information as well as for regulators and vehicle safety advocates in identifying and promoting vehicle safety characteristics that optimise overall secondary safety characteristics. Each of the 3 ratings sets were was measured by a combination of injury severity (the risk of death or serious injury given an injury was sustained) and injury risk (the risk of injury given crash involvement).A far as possible, each index reflects the secondary safety performance related to vehicle design alone by controlling for a range of non-vehicle related factors known to affect injury outcome. Non vehicle related factors considered were the sex and age of the person whose injury outcome was being measured, speed limit at the crash location, number of vehicles involved, the jurisdiction in which the crash occurred and the year in which the crash occurred. For each measure these factors were strongly related to injury risk and/or severity. In addition to the above factors the total secondary safety rating was also adjusted for the type of crash and road user combination. For each type of rating estimated, the expanded data set has been able to produce more upto-date and reliable estimates for individual car models than those published previously. A method of presenting the ratings for consumer information is described. The new rating presentation classifies vehicles according to where their rating lies in relation to a best performance benchmark. The crashworthiness of passenger vehicles in the Australian vehicle fleet (cars, station wagons, four wheel drives and vans), has been estimated by year of manufacture for the years 1964 to 2009. This study further updates the original one by Cameron et al (1994a) for years of manufacture 1964 to 1992. Updated trends in Australian crashworthiness by year of manufacture show similar patterns as previously obtained with the greatest gains over the years 1970 to 1979 in which a number of new Australian Design Rules aimed at occupant protection took effect. Further significant gains in crashworthiness have also been observed over the years 1988 to 2009, with notable steady gains from 1988 to 1996 and since 2001. Trends in crashworthiness by year of vehicle manufacture from 1982 to 2009 for each of the 10 vehicle market groups were also estimated showing differential improvement in crashworthiness by market group by year of manufacture. The results and conclusions are based on a number of assumptions and warrant a number of qualifications that should be noted. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE v ACKNOWLEDGMENTS A project as large and complex as this could not have been carried out without the help and support of a number of people. The authors particularly wish to acknowledge: vi • Mr David Attwood of the Transport Accident Commission (TAC) for the provision of TAC claims data and Ms Samantha Cockfield of the TAC for her support of the project. • VicRoads Information Services Division for the provision of data from Victorian Police crash reports. • Mr Geoff Murray, Mr Wesley Soet and Ms Shuk Jin of the Department of Main Roads Western Australia for the provision of data from Western Australia Police crash reports. • Mr Ken Brandis of the Western Australian Department for Planning and Infrastructure for the provision of Western Australia registration data. • Mr Steve Lippett of the Department for Transport, Energy and Infrastructure of South Australia for the provision of data from South Australia Police crash reports and Mr Harry McDonald of the Department for Transport, Energy and Infrastructure of South Australia for the matching of registration data to South Australia crash data. • Officers of the Data Analysis Unit of Queensland Transport and Main Roads for the provision of data from Queensland Police crash reports and the Queensland vehicle registration system. • Mr Dan Leavy and Mr Keith Simmons of the New South Wales Roads and Traffic Authority (RTA) for their support of the project and the release of data from NSW Police crash reports and the NSW vehicle register. • Mr Jack Haley of NRMA Motoring and Services for his support of the project and for providing procedures to determine the models of vehicles crashing in NSW, Victoria and Queensland. • Ms Maria Pappas of NRMA who developed and applied the procedures to determine the models of vehicles recorded in the police crash reports through decoding of Vehicle Identification Numbers. • Mr John Goldsworthy of the Australian Commonwealth Government Department of Infrastructure and Transport for his support of the project. • Mr Alex Forrest of the RACWA for his support for the project. • Mr Ross McArthur and Chris Jones of VicRoads for their support of the project. • Mr Michael Case and Nick Platt of the RACV for their support of the project and for advice on substantive changes in designs of specific models over the years. • Mr Jon Gibson and Mr Iain Cameron of the Western Australian Office of Road Safety for their support of the project. • Professor Caroline Finch, Mr Tri Minh Le, Mr Michael Skalova and Ms Chau My Le, all formerly of MUARC, for the development of the analysis methods in earlier years that formed the basis of the methods used in this report. MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE • Mr David Taranto and Ms Sujanie Pereris of MUARC for their assistance in collecting VIN information and information on vehicle make and model changes for the decoding and clustering of vehicle model information. • Dr Alan Miller, formerly of the CSIRO Division of Mathematics and Statistics for suggesting analysis methods used in this report to improve the sensitivity of the results and to determine the confidence limits of the estimates. • Officers of the Victorian, NSW, Western Australian, Queensland, South Australia and New Zealand Police Forces and of the Transport Accident Commission who diligently recorded the information on crashes and injuries which formed the basis of this report. • Mr Stuart Worden and Mr John White of the NZ Transport Agency for their enthusiastic support of the project. • Mr Stuart Badger of the NZ Ministry of Transport for supply of the New Zealand crash data and advice on its use in the project. • Mrs Carol Hewitt and Kheang Chrun of Land Transport NZ for supply of the New Zealand vehicle registration data and advice on its use in the project. • Mr Tijs Robinson, a former contractor to the former LTSA, for his advice on specifications and sources of information on New Zealand vehicle models. • Mr Eugene Girardin of Land Transport NZ for advice on the New Zealand used import vehicle market and the handling of these vehicles by Land Transport NZ. • Ms Stella Stocks of AA New Zealand for her support of the project. • Mr Steve Spalding of the Royal Automobile Club of Queensland for his support of the project. • Mr Mark Borlace of RAA South Australia for his support of the project. • Mr Anant Bellary of Queensland Transport and Main Roads for his support of the project. • Mr John Cartwright from the South Australian Department of Transport Energy and Infrastructure for his support of the project. • Mr Paul Gimblett from the New Zealand Accident Compensation Corporation for his support of the project. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE vii CONTENTS Page No. 1. 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 2. 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 3. 3.1 3.2 3.3 4. 4.1 4.2 4.3 5. INTRODUCTION....................................................................................................... 2 CRASHWORTHINESS RATINGS..................................................................................... 2 AGGRESSIVITY RATINGS ............................................................................................ 3 TOTAL SECONDARY SAFETY INDEX............................................................................ 4 TRENDS IN VEHICLE SAFETY BY YEAR OF MANUFACTURE AND MARKET GROUP ...... 6 PROJECT AIMS ............................................................................................................ 7 CRASH DATA ............................................................................................................ 8 VICTORIAN CRASHES.................................................................................................. 8 NEW SOUTH WALES CRASHES ................................................................................. 10 QUEENSLAND CRASHES ............................................................................................ 11 WESTERN AUSTRALIA CRASHES .............................................................................. 12 SOUTH AUSTRALIA CRASHES ................................................................................... 13 CRASH AND REGISTRATION DATA FROM NEW ZEALAND ......................................... 14 COMBINED DATA FROM THE SIX JURISDICTIONS ...................................................... 14 MODELS AND MARKET GROUPS OF VEHICLES......................................... 16 VEHICLE MODEL IDENTIFICATION ............................................................................ 16 POOLED CAR MODELS .............................................................................................. 17 VEHICLE MARKET GROUPS ...................................................................................... 17 ANALYSIS ................................................................................................................ 19 OVERVIEW OF ANALYSIS METHODS: CRASHWORTHINESS........................................ 19 OVERVIEW OF THE ANALYSIS METHODS: AGGRESSIVITY ........................................ 20 OVERVIEW OF ANALYSIS METHODS: TOTAL SAFETY ............................................... 21 RESULTS .................................................................................................................. 25 5.1 VEHICLE CRASHWORTHINESS RATINGS .................................................................... 25 5.1.1 Injury Risk ......................................................................................................... 25 5.1.2 Injury Severity ................................................................................................... 26 5.1.3 Crashworthiness Ratings .................................................................................. 26 5.1.4 Comparisons with the Benchmark Rating......................................................... 27 5.2 AGGRESSIVITY.......................................................................................................... 35 5.2.1 Aggressivity towards Other Car Drivers and Unprotected Road Users .......... 35 5.2.2 Comparisons with the Benchmark Rating......................................................... 37 5.2.3 Relationship between Aggressivity and Crashworthiness ................................ 38 5.3 VEHICLE TOTAL SECONDARY SAFETY RATING ........................................................ 39 5.3.1 Injury Risk ......................................................................................................... 39 5.3.2 Injury Severity ................................................................................................... 40 5.3.3 Total secondary safety index............................................................................. 41 5.3.4 Comparisons with the Benchmark Rating......................................................... 42 5.3.5 Comparison of Crashworthiness, Aggressivity and the Total Secondary Safety index 42 5.4 PRESENTATION OF TOTAL SECONDARY SAFETY INDEX, CRASHWORTHINESS AND AGGRESSIVITY RATINGS FOR CONSUMER INFORMATION ................................................... 43 5.5 CRASHWORTHINESS BY YEAR OF MANUFACTURE OF THE AUSTRALIAN VEHICLE FLEET47 5.5.1 Injury Risk ......................................................................................................... 47 viii MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE 5.5.2 Injury Severity ................................................................................................... 47 5.5.3 Crashworthiness by Year of Manufacture ......................................................... 48 5.6 CRASHWORTHINESS BY YEAR OF MANUFACTURE AND MARKET GROUP FOR THE AUSTRALIAN VEHICLE FLEET ............................................................................................. 50 5.6.1 Injury Risk ......................................................................................................... 50 5.6.2 Injury Severity ................................................................................................... 52 5.6.3 Crashworthiness by Year of Manufacture and Market Group .......................... 53 7. CONCLUSIONS ........................................................................................................ 56 8. ASSUMPTIONS AND QUALIFICATIONS .......................................................... 58 8.1 8.2 ASSUMPTIONS ........................................................................................................... 58 QUALIFICATIONS ....................................................................................................... 58 REFERENCES .................................................................................................................... 59 APPENDICES APPENDIX 1. Makes and models of cars involved in Victorian and New South Wales crashes during 1987-2009, South Australia crashes during 1995-2009 and Western Australia, Queensland and New Zealand crashes during 19912009 APPENDIX 2. Logistic regression estimates of crashworthiness injury risk by model and market group APPENDIX 3. Logistic regression estimates of crashworthiness injury severity by model and market group APPENDIX 4. Crashworthiness ratings of 1982-2009 models of cars involved in crashes during 1987-2009 APPENDIX 5. Aggressivity injury risk aggressivity injury severity and ratings of vehicle aggressivity (with 95% and 90% confidence limits), towards other vehicle drivers APPENDIX 6. Total safety injury risk, total safety injury severity and ratings of vehicle total safety (with 90% confidence limits) of 1982-2009 models of cars involved in crashes during 1987-2009 APPENDIX 7. Presentation of crashworthiness, aggressivity and total secondary safety ratings for consumer information APPENDIX 8. Crashworthiness, injury risk and injury severity estimates by year of vehicle manufacture for the Australian vehicle fleet APPENDIX 9. Crashworthiness, injury risk and injury severity estimates by year of vehicle manufacture by market group for the Australian vehicle fleet VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE ix VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS ESTIMATED FROM POLICE REPORTED CRASH DATA: 2011 UPDATE AUSTRALIAN AND NEW ZEALAND CRASHES DURING 1987-2009 VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 1 1. INTRODUCTION For over 2 decades the Monash University Accident Research Centre (MUARC) has been involved in a program of research examining issues relating to vehicle safety in both Australia and New Zealand through the analysis of mass data records on crashes reported to police. Data on which the research to date is based has come from reports compiled by police in various States across Australia and in New Zealand. In Victoria, some of the police reported crash data has been augmented by data on injury compensation claims resulting from transportation crashes compiled by the Victorian Transport Accident Commission (TAC). A principal focus of the research program has been to produce vehicle secondary safety ratings for specific makes and models of vehicles and by market group of vehicle. For many years the ratings have focused on two aspects of vehicle safety performance: crashworthiness, being the ability of a vehicle to protect its own occupants in the event of a crash, and aggressivity, the ability of a vehicle to protect other road users with which it collides. More recently, an overall secondary safety ratings measure has been developed called the total secondary safety rating. It measures the combined relative crashworthiness and aggressivity performance of various makes and models of vehicles based on exposure to the mix of major crash types on Australasian roads where vehicle crashworthiness and/or aggressivity are important in determining injury outcomes. The ratings have been updated at regular intervals (Newstead et al 1996, Newstead et al 1997, Newstead et al 1998, Newstead et al 1999, Newstead et al 2000, Newstead et al 2003a, Newstead et al 2004b, Newstead et al 2005b, Newstead et al 2006, Newstead et al 2007a, 2007b, Newstead et al 2008a, 2008b, Newstead et al 2009a, 2009b, Newstead et al 2010a, 2010b). The most recent prior update covered vehicles manufactured over the period 1982-2008 and crashing during 1987-2008. Progressive enhancement of the methods of statistical analysis has been incorporated through the ratings updates. From 1999 the ratings incorporated police-reported crash data from Queensland whereas previously only crash data from New South Wales and Victoria had been used. From 2003 the ratings also added police-reported crash data from Western Australia. From 2004 the ratings included police-reported crash data from New Zealand after a rigorous program of research establishing the comparability of vehicles between the Australian and New Zealand vehicle fleets in terms of their specification and secondary safety performance (Voyce, 2000; Robinson, 2000a,b, Newstead, 2000b, Newstead, 2002, Newstead et al 2003b). From 2007 the ratings also added police-reported crash data from South Australia. The crashworthiness ratings covered individual models of sedans, station wagons, four wheel drives, passenger vans and light commercial vehicles and are given as estimates of risk of severe injury for each model along with 90% and 95% confidence limits on each estimate. The ratings have been published annually by the agencies supporting the research as a source of consumer information to aid the purchase of safe vehicles. They are marketed as the Used Car Safety Ratings reflecting the fact that ratings can only be produced some time after a vehicle is released for sale once sufficient real world crash experience has been accumulated. It also differentiates these ratings from those derived under the Australasian New Car Assessment Program based on crash barrier testing results which are targeted largely at new vehicle buyers. 1.1 Crashworthiness Ratings Crashworthiness ratings rate the relative safety of vehicles in protecting their own occupants by examining injury outcomes to drivers in real world crashes reported to police. The crashworthiness rating of a vehicle in the ratings system used in this report is a measure of the 2 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE risk of death or serious injury to a driver of that vehicle when it is involved in a crash. This risk is estimated from large numbers of records of injury to drivers of that vehicle type involved in real crashes on the road. It is measured in two components: 1. 2. Rate of injury for drivers involved in crashes where a vehicle is towed away or someone is injured (injury risk) Rate of serious injury (death or hospital admission) for injured drivers (injury severity). Multiplying these two rates together forms the crashworthiness rating. This is a measure of the risk of serious injury for drivers involved in crashes where a vehicle is towed away or someone is injured. Measuring crashworthiness as a product of two components, reflecting risk and severity of injury respectively, was first developed by Folksam Insurance, which publishes the well-known Swedish ratings (Gustafsson et al 1989) and were first published in Australia in Cameron et al (1994a,b) These ratings use an analysis method that was developed to maximise the reliability and sensitivity of the results from the available data whilst adjusting for the effects on injury outcome of non-vehicle factors that differ between vehicles. In addition to the speed zone and driver sex, the method of analysis adjusts for the effects of driver age and the number of vehicles involved, producing results with all those factors taken into account. 1.2 Aggressivity Ratings The aggressivity measure used in the Australian vehicle safety rating system estimates the risk of the driver of another car or an unprotected road user (pedestrian, bicyclist or motorcyclist) being killed or seriously injured when involved in a collision with the subject model vehicle. It is representative of the total aggressivity performance of the vehicles being rated across all potential collision partners that are susceptible to injury. Like the crashworthiness measure, it is calculated as the product of two component measures, one measuring injury risk the other measuring injury severity. Because an estimate of the risk of injury cannot be calculated for unprotected road users since crashes are generally not reported to the police when the unprotected road user is uninjured, the measure of aggressivity injury risk is based only on the injury risk to the drivers of other vehicles (ROU). It is defined as: Aggressivity Injury Risk = ROU = proportion of other vehicle drivers involved in crashes who were injured In contrast, complete records of both other drivers and unprotected road users injured in crashes are available in police reported crash data and can be used to examine injury severity outcomes in the aggressivity measure. The aggressivity injury severity measure (SOU) is defined as: Aggressivity Injury Severity = SOU = proportion of other vehicle drivers or unprotected road users who were killed or admitted to hospital. The aggressivity measure for each subject car model is then calculated as: Aggressivity to other driver or unprotected road user = AOU = ROU x SOU. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 3 Like the crashworthiness ratings, the aggressivity measure was adjusted for the effects of nonvehicle factors differing between the subject car models which may have affected injury outcome to the driver of the other vehicle. Non-vehicle factors available in the data included: • speed limit at the crash location • subject vehicle driver age (younger drivers may be driving at relatively fast speeds not fully represented by the speed limit) • subject vehicle driver sex (male drivers may be driving at relatively fast speeds or more aggressively) • other car occupant age (older occupants are more susceptible to injury) • other car occupant sex (female occupants are more susceptible to injury, but males appear to be associated with relatively high injury severities) • collision partner type (vehicle, pedestrian, bicyclist or motorcyclist) (injury severity analysis only) 1.3 Total Secondary Safety Index Past presentations of the crashworthiness and aggressivity ratings for consumer information simply present the two ratings side by side. This leaves the consumer to decide the relative importance of each rating in making a decision on vehicle safety priority in their purchasing decision. From a consumer information perspective, this might seem a good strategy as it allows the consumer to balance the relative priority they give to their own safety versus the safety of other road users on an individual basis. However, it may not be ideal from the perspective of trying to steer the vehicle fleet as a whole in the direction of optimum safety which should be the overarching priority for safety advocates, regulators and, indeed, the community as a whole. If consumers generally based their vehicle choices only on crashworthiness performance and largely ignored aggressivity, sub optimal choices on a community wide safety basis may result. Similar sub-optimal choices may result if only aggressivity were considered. A desire to optimise vehicle secondary safety on a whole of community basis highlights the need for an index which combines the crashworthiness and aggressivity performance of a vehicle into a single index. The total safety index captures the overall secondary safety of the vehicle in the most meaningful way for the environment in which it is driven and hence crash circumstances to which it is exposed. The international vehicle safety literature shows a paucity of effort in developing such an index. The only group to have given the concept serious consideration are the University of Oulu transport research group in Finland (Huttula et al, 1997). The Finnish group have measures of vehicle aggressivity and crashworthiness similar in concept to those developed by MUARC. From these they have developed a total passive safety index which is essentially the sum of the crashworthiness and aggressivity measures for each vehicle. Deriving the total passive safety index in this way implicitly assumes that crashworthiness and aggressivity have equal weighting in the overall passive safety performance of a vehicle. Whether this is the most appropriate approach is questionable since the relative balance of importance between crashworthiness and aggressivity will depend on the mix of crash circumstances the vehicle is exposed to. A more detailed approach to the issue of estimating total vehicle passive or secondary safety has been explored in Newstead et al (2004a) and Newstead et al (2004b). This work, based on analysis of Australian crash data, commenced by identifying the four primary crash types in which light passenger vehicles were involved and identifying the principal injury outcomes of interest in the crash. The crash types identified were: 4 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE 1. Crashes between two light passenger vehicles: 2. Single light passenger vehicle crashes. 3. Crashes between a light passenger vehicle and a heavy vehicle (bus, rigid truck or articulated truck). 4. Crashes between a light passenger vehicle and unprotected road user (pedestrian, bicyclist or motorcyclist). The total secondary safety index defined by Newstead et al (2004b) was calculated by broad market group of vehicle and was a weighted average of four individual crashworthiness or aggressivity based measures. They are: 1. The crashworthiness of the light passenger vehicle in crashes between two light vehicles as a function of its impact partner market group (embodying both the crashworthiness of the focus vehicle market group as well as the aggressivity of the impact partner vehicle market group) – Crash type 1. 2. The crashworthiness of the light passenger vehicle in single vehicle crashes – Crash type 2. 3. The crashworthiness of the light passenger vehicle in crashes with heavy vehicles as a function of the heavy vehicle type – Crash type 3 4. The aggressivity of the light passenger vehicle towards unprotected road users – Crash type 4. The total secondary safety index was defined as the weighted average of each of the four safety measures with the weighting factors used being the proportionate representation of each of the four crash types. As such, it represented the overall secondary safety performance of a vehicle, classified by market group in this case, in protecting all road users involved in the full range of crashes reflecting the relative incidence of each major crash type. It is evident from examining the form of the total secondary safety index that the traditional measure of overall vehicle crashworthiness performance is embodied in the safety measures relating to crash types 1, 2, and 3. The traditional aggressivity measure is embodied in the safety measures relating to crash types 1 and 4. Constructing the total secondary safety index in this way is similar in basic principle to the approach used by the Oulu researchers. However it differs in the fact that it gives appropriate weighting to each aspect of a vehicle’s secondary safety performance by weighting each component according to its relevance in Australian real world circumstances. The work of Newstead et al (2004a) and Newstead et al (2004b) was useful in, for the first time, defining an overall secondary safety index for light passenger vehicles relevant to Australian circumstances. It was then able to use the index effectively to quantify the broad overall secondary safety effects of changing the mix of vehicles in the fleet. The index did, however, have some limitations related to the manual construction of the index from its components. First, there had to be sufficient data to estimate each of the component safety measures comprising the index. In the demonstration of the methodology this meant results could only be obtained by broad market group of vehicle and not for individual makes and models of vehicle. Second, estimates of statistical confidence on the index could not be estimated due to its complex nature. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 5 Both these difficulties highlighted the need for development of an integrated total secondary safety index that could be estimated by vehicle make and model with associated estimates of statistical confidence. Building on the approach to modelling vehicle total secondary safety demonstrated in Newstead et al (2004a) and Newstead et al (2004b), the study of Newstead et al (2007c) developed and applied an integrated single index of total secondary safety for light passenger vehicles in the Australian and New Zealand vehicle fleets. The index measures the average risk of death or serious injury to light passenger vehicle drivers and unprotected road users (pedestrians, cyclists and motorcyclists) when involved in a crash with a light passenger vehicle to a degree of accuracy represented by the confidence limits of the index in each case. It provides an overall summary of the combined crashworthiness and aggressivity performance of a vehicle. The index was measured by a combination of injury severity (the risk of death or serious injury given an injury was sustained) and injury risk (the risk of injury given crash involvement).As far as possible, the index reflects the total secondary safety performance related to vehicle design alone by controlling for a range of non-vehicle related factors known to affect injury outcome. The index was adjusted for the sex and age of the person whose injury outcome was being measured, speed limit at the crash location, number of vehicles involved, the jurisdiction in which the crash occurred and the year in which the crash occurred. These factors were strongly related to injury risk and/or severity. In addition to the above factors this rating was also adjusted for the type of crash and road user combination as this factor was strongly related to injury risk and/or severity. The index serves as a valuable summary of overall secondary safety of light passenger vehicles both for consumer information as well as for regulators and vehicle safety advocates in identifying and promoting vehicle safety characteristics that optimise overall secondary safety characteristics. 1.4 Trends in Vehicle Safety by Year of Manufacture and Market Group Another focus of the vehicle crashworthiness ratings study has been to track historical improvements in the average crashworthiness of the Australian vehicle fleet since 1964. In 1994, the Royal Automobile Club of Victoria (RACV) commissioned a study to investigate the effects of the year of manufacture of vehicles (vehicle year) on their road safety (Cameron et al 1994c). This project focused on investigating the relationship between crashworthiness and vehicle year of manufacture for the years 1964 to 1992. The aim of the original study of Cameron et al (1994c) was, to the extent possible, to measure the crashworthiness of vehicles of different years of manufacture. The method employed was designed to eliminate the influence of other key factors affecting the risk of injury that might also be associated with vehicle year (e.g. driver age and sex, use on high speed roads, etc.). The original study of Cameron et al (1994c) showed that the crashworthiness of passenger vehicles in Australia has improved over the years of manufacture 1964 to 1992 with rapid improvement over the years from about 1970 to 1979. Drivers of vehicles manufactured during 1970 to 1979 could be expected to have benefited from the implementation of a number of Australian Design Rules (ADRs) for motor vehicle safety which previous research has shown to be effective in providing occupant protection. The study has been updated with each vehicle crashworthiness ratings update. The most recent analysis included vehicles with years of manufacture from 1964 to 2008 (Newstead et al 2010a, 2010b). Similar analyses have been undertaken for the New Zealand vehicle fleet by Newstead and Watson (2005a) showing quite different trends in crashworthiness by year of manufacture to that observed in the Australian 6 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE fleet reflecting the different regulatory frameworks across the two countries and the significant used vehicle import program in operation in New Zealand. Extending the basic analysis, Newstead and Cameron (2001) examined trends in vehicle crashworthiness by year of manufacture from 1982 to 1998 within specific vehicle market groups. Vehicles were grouped into 4 market categories: small cars (<1100kg), medium cars (1100-1400kg), large cars (>1400kg) and sports utility vehicles (four wheel drive vehicles). Results of analysis found statistically significant differences in the trends in crashworthiness by year of manufacture between different market groups in both the injury risk and injury severity components of the crashworthiness measure. This analysis was most recently updated in Newstead et al (2010a, 2010b) for vehicles manufactured over the years 1982-2008 and grouped into 10 market classifications. Using similar methods to those used for investigating trends in crashworthiness by year of manufacture, Newstead et al (2004a) has investigated trends in aggressivity by year of vehicle manufacture for the Australian fleet as a whole as well as by 8 broad market group classifications. Although differential trends in aggressivity were found between the various market groups of vehicle analysed, for the Australian vehicle fleet as a whole there has been no significant trend to improving or worsening aggressivity over the years of manufacture studied from 1964 to 2000. 1.5 Project Aims The aim of this project was to update the previously published crashworthiness, aggressivity and total safety ratings of Newstead et al (2010a, 2010b) including additional crash data from the year 2009 for Victoria, New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia, Western Australia and New Zealand. The updated ratings aimed to cover the drivers of light passenger vehicles including cars, station wagons, four wheel drive vehicles, passenger vans, and light commercial vehicles manufactured during 1982-2009 and crashing in Victoria or NSW during 1987-2009 or South Australia during 1995-2009 or Queensland, Western Australia and New Zealand during 1991-2009. This project also aimed to update the estimates of crashworthiness by vehicle year of manufacture for the Australian vehicle fleet to include vehicles manufactured over the years 1964 to 2009. For vehicle models from 1982 to 2009 that could be classified into a market grouping, the project also aimed to further investigate trends in crashworthiness of the Australian vehicle fleet by year of vehicle manufacture within each specific market group. The study also aimed to further asses the relationships between vehicle crashworthiness and both the year of manufacture for all vehicles and the year of first registration for used vehicle imports in New Zealand. The study focused on light passenger vehicles manufactured from 1964 to 2009 and crashing in New Zealand during 1991 to 2009. The results are published separately in a supplement to this report. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 7 2. CRASH DATA Data from Victoria, New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia, Western Australia and New Zealand used to produce the vehicle safety ratings of Newstead et al (2010a) covering vehicles manufactured over the period 1982-2008 and crashing during the years 1987-2008 was again used here. In addition, data for 2009 from each of the five previously included Australian states and New Zealand was obtained and integrated bringing the total period of crash data covered to 1987-2009. Subsets of these data were taken in order to estimate the total secondary safety, crashworthiness and aggressivity measures. Similarly, data from Victoria, New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia used to produce the crashworthiness by year of manufacture estimates of Newstead et al (2010a) covering vehicles manufactured over the period 1964-2008 and crashing during the years 1987-2008 was again used here. The methods of selecting appropriate cases from each data source will be detailed here. 2.1 Victorian Crashes Transport Accident Commission (TAC) injury claims from all types of road users who were involved in crashes in the period 1987 to 1998 had been merged with Police crash reports for the previous crashworthiness ratings. The Police reports were for all persons involved in crashes regardless of the Police officer recording the person as injured or uninjured. This procedure was followed because it was possible for an injury claim to be made in circumstances where injury was not apparent at the time of the crash. Crashes are reported to the Police in Victoria if a person is killed or injured, if property is damaged but names and addresses are not exchanged, or if a possible breach of the Road Traffic Regulations has occurred (Green 1990). The levels of matching of TAC claims with persons recorded on Police reports for each year during 19871998 achieved by Newstead et al (2003a) are shown in Table 1. The methods of matching for the data are detailed in Cameron et al (1994b). Due to a breakdown in the matching process from 1999 subsequent updates of the ratings have used police crash data unmatched with TAC claims, although matched data prior to 1999 was still used. Any inconsistencies in injury severity coding introduced by changing from matched to unmatched data were controlled for in the analysis methodology through compensating for year of crash differences. 8 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE Table 1: TAC claims for injury compensation from crashes during 1987-1998 Year 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 TAC claims (all types of injured road users) 30,892 28,427 25,399 19,633 19,538 19,251 18,590 19,341 20,189 19,954 18,754 18,561 TAC claims matched with Police reports Match rate (%) 17,509 16,672 17,494 13,886 12,774 13,118 12,618 11,927 12,452 14,034 13,036 12,395 56.7 58.6 66.3 70.7 65.4 68.1 67.8 61.6 61.7 70.3 69.5 66.8 Changes to the police data collection system in Victoria during 2005 meant that only data to about September 2005 was available for the update of Newstead et al (2007a). In the update of Newstead et al (2008a) complete 2005 crash data and 2006 crash data to about the end of September was available. In the update of Newstead et al (2009a) complete 2006 crash data and 2007 crash data to about the end of September was available. In the most recent of Newstead et al (2010a) complete 2007 and 2008 crash data was available. In this update complete 2009 crash data was available. Unmatched Victorian crash data for 2009 represented 8,752 injured drivers of 1982-2009 model vehicles involved in a crash in Victoria. These records were combined with the merged files of TAC claims with Police reports for 1987-1998 and police reported data only from 1999-2008, which represented 140,254 injured drivers of 1982-2008 model vehicles crashing during 1987-2008. The resulting file covered 149,006 injured drivers of 1982-2009 model cars. The information on these drivers was combined with data on drivers injured in the other four jurisdictions (see Section 2.6) to produce the updated crashworthiness ratings. For the study of crashworthiness by year of vehicle manufacture the merged TAC claims for injury during 1987-98 and police crash records during 1999-2009 covered 194,338 injured drivers of cars, station wagons or taxis manufactured over the years 1964-2009. Calculation of aggressivity ratings required selecting vehicles involved in two car crashes followed by matching of the vehicle and occupant injury details for the two cars involved in the crash. For those vehicles manufactured over the period 1982 to 2009 injury details for the driver of the other vehicle in the crash were matched by returning to the full Victorian Police reported crash data files for 1987-2009. The data matching process identified 84,257 vehicles manufactured between 1982 and 2009 that had been involved in a crash with one other vehicle where the other vehicle had no restriction on its year of manufacture. Of the drivers of these other vehicles, 46,107 were injured and 38,150 were uninjured. It was not possible to use the uninjured records from the Victorian data, as they are incomplete due to the fact that only crashes involving injury are reliably reported in Victoria. Hence only the 46,107 records of other driver injury were used for calculation of the injury severity component of the vehicle aggressivity ratings. Of the 46,107 injured drivers, 10,549 were severely injured. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 9 Collisions between a single vehicle and an unprotected road user where the vehicles were restricted to those manufactured between 1982 and 2009 were also identified for calculation of the aggressivity ratings using a variable identifying accident type from records for the years 1987 to 2009. Vehicles were matched with the unprotected road user casualty records to obtain the unprotected road user injury level. For the period 1987 to 2009, 20,824 unprotected road users were matched with vehicle records with an identified make and model and manufactured between 1982 and 2009. Of these 20,824 unprotected road users, 20,627 were injured, 8,619 seriously. 2.2 New South Wales Crashes The Roads and Traffic Authority (RTA) in New South Wales supplied files covering 1,407,372 light passenger vehicles manufactured from 1982 to 2009 involved in Police reported crashes during 1987-2009 that resulted in death or injury or a vehicle being towed away. Model and year of manufacture have been added to each vehicle after matching with the NSW vehicle register via registration number and vehicle make. This was achieved using a procedure developed by the NRMA. The total crash files covered four wheel drive vehicles, passenger vans, and light commercial vehicles as well as cars and station wagons of all years of manufacture crashing in 1987 to 2009. The method of assembly of this data is given in Cameron et al (1994b). NSW crash data files from 1987 to 1998 had injury severity of people involved in crashes coded using a four level scale. Levels used were: fatality, hospital admission, other injury and not injured. From 1998 onwards, the RTA identified inaccuracies by the Police in reporting injury severity that could not be rectified. In response, the RTA changed the injury severity coding in the NSW crash data to give only three levels: fatality; injury; and not injured. For the purpose of computing crashworthiness ratings, this meant the NSW data for 1999-2009 could not be used to estimate the injury severity measure in the same manner as previous rating updates. Preparation of the NSW data for final analysis involved merging the files with vehicle information, including driver age and gender, with files supplied by NSW RTA covering details of the person casualties (killed and injured persons) and the reported crashes for the same years. Each vehicle/driver matched uniquely with the corresponding crash information, but only injured drivers could match with persons in the casualty files. A driver who did not match was considered to be uninjured. Of the 1,407,372 drivers involved in tow-away crashes, 240,834 were injured. Of the injured drivers, 72,678 were injured in crashes from 1987 to 1998 and had a valid injury severity level coded (serious or other injury). Of the 1,407,372 1982-2009 model year vehicles involved in crashes in NSW, 880,034 were coded as being involved in crashes with one other traffic unit (i.e. the crash involved a total of two traffic units). In order to compare occupant injury levels in crashes involving two vehicles, it was necessary to match the crash and occupant injury information for each of the two vehicles involved in the crash. The data used for calculation of the crashworthiness ratings covered only vehicles manufactured from 1982 to 2009. Consequently, initial matching of only the crashworthiness data to determine pairs of vehicles involved in a crash identified both the vehicles in the crash when both vehicles were manufactured from 1982 to 2009. A second matching stage was then required to identify the details of drivers of vehicles manufactured before 1982 that had collided with the unmatched 1982-2009 model year vehicles in the crashworthiness file. This required retrieval of the remaining crash records in the 1987-2009 NSW crash files not used for crashworthiness ratings 10 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE in order to match vehicles manufactured prior to 1982. The two-stage data matching process identified 402,969 matched records of vehicles manufactured between 1982 and 2009 that had been involved in a crash with one other vehicle where the other vehicle had no restriction on its year of manufacture. Of the drivers of these other vehicles, 59,780 were injured. Of the injured drivers, 19,922 were injured in crashes from 1987 to 1998 and had a valid injury severity level coded (serious or other injury). Calculation of the aggressivity rating also required the identification of crashes between a single light vehicle and an unprotected road user where the vehicles were restricted to those manufactured between 1982 and 2009. The required crashes were identified using a variable identifying accident type. Casualty records for the crash years 1987 to 2009 were used to identify unprotected road users injured in a collision with one vehicle. The vehicles were then matched with the unprotected road user casualty records to obtain the pedestrian, bicyclist or motorcyclist injury level. For the period 1987 to 2009, 58,232 unprotected road users were matched with vehicle records. Of these 58,232 unprotected road users, 26,869 were injured in crashes from 1987 to 1998 and had a valid injury severity level coded. Of these, 8,486 were seriously injured. For the study of crashworthiness by vehicle year of manufacture, the NSW data represented 1,673,843 drivers of cars, station wagons or taxis manufactured from 1964 to 2009 who were involved in tow-away crashes. Of these drivers, 282,098 were injured, 119,503 of these during 1987-1998 and with a valid injury severity code. The presence of uninjured drivers in the merged data file meant that it was suitable for measuring the risk of driver injury (in cars sufficiently damaged to require towing). This contrasted with the Victorian and New Zealand data files, which could not be used to measure injury risk directly because not all uninjured drivers were included. 2.3 Queensland Crashes Queensland Transport supplied files covering 446,225 light passenger vehicles involved in Police reported crashes during January 1991-March 2009 that resulted in death or injury or a vehicle being towed away. The files supplied covered years of vehicle manufacture from January 1982-March 2009 including models of four wheel drive vehicles, passenger vans, and light commercial vehicles as well as cars and station wagons for which a model could be identified. The vehicle files, which also contained links to separate files with driver age and sex, were merged with files supplied by Queensland Transport covering details of the person casualties (killed and injured persons) and the reported crashes for the same years. Each vehicle/driver matched uniquely with the corresponding crash information, but only injured drivers could match with persons in the casualty files. As for NSW, a driver who did not match was considered to be uninjured. Out of the 446,225 drivers involved in tow-away crashes, 122,098 were injured. Of the 446,225 vehicles reported as crashed in Queensland and used in estimation of crashworthiness ratings, 321,612 were coded as being involved in crashes with one other traffic unit (i.e. the crash involved a total of two traffic units). In order to compare occupant injury levels between two vehicles involved in a crash, it was necessary to match the crash and occupant injury information for each of the two vehicles involved in the crash in the same manner as for NSW. Using the same two stage data matching process as used for NSW and VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 11 described above, the process identified 158,121 vehicles manufactured between 1982 and March 2009 that had been involved in a crash with one other vehicle where the other vehicle had no restriction on its year of manufacture. Of the drivers of these other vehicles, 44,542 were injured, 10,187 seriously. These records were used for calculation of vehicle aggressivity ratings toward drivers of other vehicles. Records on unprotected road users involved in a crash with one light vehicle unit were retrieved and identified using variables classifying unit type and number of units in the crash. Single vehicle collisions were identified using a variable identifying unit type and number of vehicles in the crash. These vehicles were then matched with the unprotected road user casualty records to obtain the injury level. A total of 24,054 unprotected road users were matched with records on January 1982-March 2009 year passenger vehicles with model details identified. Of these 24,054 unprotected road users, 23,513 were injured, 10,325 seriously. For the study of crashworthiness by vehicle year of manufacture, the Queensland data represented 397,757 drivers of cars, station wagons or taxis manufactured from 1964 to 2009 who were involved in tow-away crashes. Of these drivers, 110,415 were injured. The number of vehicles crashing in Queensland and available for the year of manufacture analysis was less than expected. This is because a large proportion of the vehicles in the Queensland data from 1997 and 1998 had year of manufacture missing due to difficulties in accessing the vehicle register to determine vehicle details at the time of assembling the data from these two years. Some of the vehicles with missing year of manufacture could, however, be assigned an accurate model code though the VIN decoding process described below despite the missing field. As with the data from NSW, the presence of uninjured drivers in the data file meant that it was also suitable for measuring the risk of driver injury (in cars sufficiently damaged to require towing). 2.4 Western Australia Crashes The Western Australian Department of Main Roads maintains a database of all crashes in Western Australia reported to the police. Crashes in Western Australia must be reported to police if anyone involved is killed or injured or the crash results in property damage greater than $3,000 (Road Safety Council of Western Australia, 2001). This means that, like New South Wales, South Australia and Queensland, both injury and non-injury crashes are reported making the data suitable for inclusion in estimating both the injury risk and injury severity components of the vehicle safety ratings. Although the Western Australia crash data is held as a relational database, Western Australia Department of Main Roads supplied the data in a single flat file with a record for each person involved in a reported crash. Data covered the period 1991 to 2009. The data was re-issued in 2005 for the period 1991 to 2003 due to a change in database structure and variable definitions in 1995 that may have caused some inconsistency in the data over the entire time period. In 2006 the data was re-issued for the period 1991 to 2005 to include registration plates of crashed vehicles. This registration plate detail was used for matching to Western Australian registration data to obtain VIN data for vehicle decoding as described in Section 3.1. In the most recent update (Newstead et al 2010a) 2008 crash data was supplied with registration plates of crashed vehicles. In addition matched registration data was provided. The 2009 crash data for this update was supplied with registration plates of crashed vehicles. This registration plate detail was used for matching to Western Australian registration data to obtain VIN data for vehicle decoding as described in Section 3.1. 12 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE The files supplied covered 1,063,777 light passenger vehicles manufactured between 1982 and 2009 involved in Police reported crashes during 1991-2009 that resulted in death or injury or a vehicle being towed away. The files supplied covered models of four wheel drive vehicles, passenger vans, and light commercial vehicles as well as cars and station wagons. Out of the 1,063,777 drivers involved in tow-away crashes, 151,446 were injured. Of the 1,063,777 vehicles reported as crashed in WA and used in estimation of crashworthiness ratings, 794,117 were involved in crashes with one other traffic unit. Of the drivers of the matched vehicles, 78,769 were injured. These records were used for calculation of vehicle aggressivity ratings toward drivers of other vehicles. Records on unprotected road users involved in a crash with one vehicle unit for the period 1991 to 2009 were retrieved and identified using variables classifying unit type and number of units in the crash. 36,457 unprotected road users in the Western Australia crash records were identified as colliding with a 1982-2009 year of manufacture passenger vehicle with model details identified. Of the 25,076 unprotected road users who were injured, 11,381 were severely injured. For the study of crashworthiness by vehicle year of manufacture, the Western Australia data represented 950,215 drivers of cars, station wagons or taxis manufactured from 1964 to 2009 who were involved in tow-away crashes. Of these drivers, 131,510 were injured. 2.5 South Australia Crashes The Road Crash Information Unit of the Department of Transport, Energy and Infrastructure maintains a database of all crashes in South Australia reported to the South Australian Police via vehicle crash reports. Crashes included involved at least one person being killed or injured, or a vehicle towed away, or total property damage of $3,000 or greater. Prior to 01 July 2003 the Department processed 'property damage only' crashes with an aggregated damage value of $1000 or greater. This change in property damage value occurred as data processing costs and budget reductions had reached an unsustainable level. The decision was made to process all casualty crashes, property damage only greater than $3000, and tow-away crashes regardless of value. Crash data was provided for the years 1995 to 2009 with three files provided for each year. The three files provided contain detail on the crash, traffic unit and casualties. In addition, data files have been provided with road and Local Government Area details. Like NSW, Queensland and Western Australia, both injury and non-injury crashes are reported making the data suitable for inclusion in estimating both the injury risk and injury severity components of the vehicle safety ratings. The files supplied covered 682,570 light passenger vehicles manufactured between 1982 and 2009 involved in Police reported crashes during 1995-2009 that resulted in death or injury or a vehicle being towed away. The files supplied covered models of four wheel drive vehicles, passenger vans, and light commercial vehicles as well as cars and station wagons. Out of the 682,570 drivers involved in tow-away crashes, 61,834 were recorded as injured. Of the 682,570 vehicles reported as crashed in South Australia and used in estimation of crashworthiness ratings, 515,041 were involved in crashes with one other traffic unit. Of the drivers of the matched vehicles, 30,638 were injured. These records were used for calculation of vehicle aggressivity ratings toward drivers of other vehicles. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 13 Records on unprotected road users involved in a crash with one vehicle unit for the period 1995 to 2009 were retrieved and identified using variables classifying unit type and number of units in the crash. 21,586 unprotected road users in the South Australia crash records were identified as colliding with a 1982-2009 year of manufacture passenger vehicle with model details identified. Of the 14,413 unprotected road users who were injured, 3,557 were severely injured. For the study of crashworthiness by vehicle year of manufacture, the SA data represented 770,360 drivers of cars, station wagons or taxis manufactured from 1964 to 2009 who were involved in tow-away crashes. Of these drivers, 71,337 were injured. 2.6 Crash and Registration Data from New Zealand Two sources of data from New Zealand were used in the calculation of vehicle crashworthiness and aggressivity ratings. The first data source provided was a crash file showing the registration, vehicle, driver and various crash characteristics for all police reported crashes in New Zealand for the years 1991 to 2009. The second data source was registration data giving details of all crash involved vehicles on the NZ register in each year from 1991 to 2009. Extracts from both data sources supplied for estimation of vehicle safety ratings are described below. The method of assembly of this data is given in Newstead et al (2007). After assembling the data, 238,037 light passenger vehicles manufactured between 1982 and 2009 were used in the crashworthiness analysis. Of the drivers of these vehicles 113,119 were not injured or had unknown injury status, whilst the remaining 124,918 were injured to some degree. The injury details of the 124,918 injured drivers were used for estimation of the crashworthiness injury severity measure in conjunction with the Australian data. Records on the uninjured drivers in the New Zealand injury crash data could not be used in the calculation of the injury risk component of the crashworthiness ratings. This was because non-injury crashes in New Zealand, and hence uninjured drivers involved in these crashes, were not suitable for use in the analysis and therefore records on all uninjured drivers in all crashes in New Zealand were incomplete. A subset of the New Zealand data described above and used for estimation of crashworthiness injury severity formed the basis of the data used in the calculation of the aggressivity ratings. For calculation of aggressivity ratings, vehicles involved in two vehicle crashes were identified. Of the drivers of vehicles colliding with the vehicles identified, 40,402 were injured whilst 32,656 were uninjured. Information on the injury level of the 40,402 injured drivers, 6,165 of whom were seriously injured, was used in conjunction with the Australian data to estimate the injury severity component of the aggressivity ratings. Records on unprotected road users involved in a crash with one light vehicle unit for the period 1991 to 2009 were retrieved and identified using variables classifying unit type and number of units in the crash. 26,148 unprotected road users were identified as impacting with a 1982-2009 year of manufacture passenger vehicle with model details identified. Of the 25,905 unprotected road users who were injured, 7,603 were severely injured. 2.7 Combined Data from the Six Jurisdictions When the data on the injured drivers was combined for analysis, it covered 850,136 drivers of 1982-2009 model vehicles who were injured in crashes in Victoria or New South Wales during 14 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE 1987-2009 or in South Australia during 1995-2009 or in Western Australia, Queensland or New Zealand during 1991-2009. Of these 681,980 had a valid injury severity code, with 168,156 drivers injured in crashes in NSW during 1999-2009 excluded because of missing injury severity. Information on the 681,980 injured drivers was used to assess the injury severity of the injured drivers of the different makes and models when computing crashworthiness ratings. The information on the 3,599,944 drivers involved in tow-away crashes in NSW during 1987-2009 or South Australia during 1995-2009 or Western Australia and Queensland during 1991-2009 was used to assess the injury rate of drivers of the different makes and models for computing crashworthiness ratings. The combined data on drivers injured in crashes between two light vehicles used for estimation of vehicle aggressivity ratings covered 300,226 drivers of vehicles colliding with 1964-2009 model vehicles. These drivers were injured in two car crashes in Victoria during 1987-2009 or NSW during 1987-2009 or in South Australia during 1995-2009 or in Western Australia, Queensland and New Zealand during 1991-2009. Excluding the 39,840 injured drivers from NSW during 1999-2009 without a valid injury severity code left 260,386 cases for analysis. This information was used to assess the injury severity of the injured drivers colliding with the different makes and models when computing aggressivity ratings. The aggressivity injury risk component was estimated from data including information on the 1,790,039 drivers involved in two-car tow-away crashes in NSW during 1987-2009, in South Australia during 1995-2009 or Western Australia and Queensland during 1991-2009. The combined data on unprotected road users used for estimation of aggressivity covered 187,301 unprotected road users, of whom 167,766 were injured. Of those injured, 47,921 with valid injury severity codes were seriously injured. These unprotected road users were involved in a collision with a 1982-2009 model vehicle in Victoria or NSW during 1987-2009, or in South Australia during 1995-2009 or in Western Australia or Queensland or New Zealand during 1991-2009. For the study of crashworthiness by year of vehicle manufacture, the combined data covered 627,103 drivers of vehicles manufactured between 1964 and 2009 who were injured in crashes, 143,285 severely, in Victoria during 1987-2009, NSW during 1987-1998, in South Australia during 1995-2009 and Western Australia and Queensland during 1991-2009. For the assessment of injury risk by year of vehicle manufacture, the combined data covered 3,792,175 drivers involved in tow-away crashes in NSW during 1987-2009 or in South Australia during 19952009 or Western Australia and Queensland during 1991-2009. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 15 3. MODELS AND MARKET GROUPS OF VEHICLES 3.1 Vehicle Model Identification A procedure initially developed by the NRMA based on decoding Vehicle Identification Numbers (VIN) or chassis numbers was extended and used as the primary means to determine the models of light passenger vehicles. The decoding identified some light truck and unusual commercial models that were not considered further. Of the light passenger vehicles manufactured during 1982-2005 around 95% had their model identified by the VIN decoder. Further details of the VIN decoding process are given by Pappas (1993). The VIN decoding procedure was used to identify all vehicle models in the New South Wales and Queensland data and 1989 year of manufacture vehicles onwards in the Victorian data from 1994. For the first time VINs were obtained from the Western Australian vehicle register, managed by the WA Department of Transport. This meant the VIN decoding system used on data from the other four states to identify vehicle model details was used for some of the Western Australia crash data. Because only a recent snapshot of the registration file was obtained registration details of expired registrations was not available. The VIN decoding system was also used to identify make and model details for vehicles sold new in New Zealand with a valid ISO VIN recorded. For those vehicles in Western Australia without a VIN available, the previous decoding method based on make, model and year of manufacture codes held in the vehicle register and described in Newstead et al (2006) was used. A similar system was used to classify new vehicles in the New Zealand crash data without a valid ISO VIN and for used imported vehicles from Japan. For Victorian vehicles in the pre 1994 data without a VIN, a system of decoding based on vehicle mass and power was used. This is also described in Newstead et al (2006). South Australia registration data was matched to crash data by the Driver and Vehicle Licensing section of the Department of Transport, Energy and Infrastructure using an extract comprising of the crash date and six character plate detail of the crashed vehicle from the crash data provided to MUARC by the Transport Services Division of the same Department. The vehicles were selected on the basis that the plate was registered as being on the vehicle as at the crash date and the vehicle was registered by the client as at the crash date and was described by the extracted vehicle details. Plate detail in the provided crash data was only six characters whilst the plate numbers on the South Australia register can be longer than six characters, so the numbers were used "as they are" to extract the data. Plates are identified on the South Australia register using plate type and plate number. This resulted in some plate/crash date combinations being extracted more than once. These were excluded from the analysis. Where no match has been possible, the original plate and crash date remain with no extract details populated. Other vehicle details including make, year of manufacture and model which is a free format field on the register and as such, doesn't contain codified or verified data were supplied. This meant the VIN decoding system used on data from the other four states to identify vehicle model details was able to be used for the South Australia crash data. RACV, RTA, NRMA, NZTA and VicRoads provided advice on the particular models that had experienced substantial changes in design (and hence potential crashworthiness) and in which years the design was relatively constant. This was validated and supplemented by information from Redbook on vehicle specification. This resulted in certain models being split into ranges of years of manufacture. Where the new model was introduced near the beginning or end of a year (up to two months either way), this process was relatively straightforward (accepting a small miss-classification in some circumstances). However, when the model changed near the middle 16 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE of the year, the model for that year was kept separate and potentially treated as a "mixed" model (e.g. the Daihatsu Charade 1987 models). Where exact model decoding was possible from the VIN, without using year of vehicle manufacture, this was used. They also provided advice on vehicle models that could be combined with each other (sometimes only for specific years) because they were essentially the same design or construction but registered as having different manufacturers. As in previous crashworthiness ratings, models were excluded with fewer than 20 injured drivers and/or fewer than 100 involved drivers appearing in the crash data. The same selection criteria were also used for aggressivity ratings except exclusion was based on the number of road users colliding with the focus vehicle model. These selection criteria were used to ensure stability in fitting the logistic regression models to estimate the ratings. 3.2 Pooled Car Models Vehicle model sharing amongst manufacturers retailing in the Australian market has been relatively common. Because shared models are generally identical, particularly with respect to safety performance, it is possible to pool such models for safety rating, allowing a more precise estimate of the safety of models for which data is pooled rather than considering each separately. Pooled models are identified in the report appendices by their combined vehicle make and model names. It should be noted that some of the vehicle models identified in the data have optional safety equipment, such as air bags, which could significantly alter the secondary safety performance of the vehicle model when fitted. It is, however, generally not possible to identify which particular vehicles of a model series do and do not have such optional safety equipment installed using the model decoding procedures described above. Consequently, for those vehicle models with optional safety equipment, the estimated ratings represent an average of the safety performance for vehicles with and without the optional safety equipment weighted by the number of each in the crash data. As the ratings only measure injury outcome in the event of a crash and not the risk of the crash occurring, the effect of fitment of active or crash avoidance safety features such as anti-lock braking or electronic stability control systems on crash avoidance was not measured by these ratings. As only driver injury outcomes were considered amongst vehicle occupants, optional or standard safety features for the front or rear seat passengers, such as passenger frontal airbag systems, would also not have affected the ratings. 3.3 Vehicle Market Groups Previous updates of the vehicle safety ratings have classified vehicle models, for the purpose of publication, into one of a number of market groups. The market groups defined are based heavily on those used by the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries (FCAI) for reporting Australian vehicle sales as part of their VFACTS publication (see www.fcai.com.au for further details). The 10 market groups defined for analysis are as follows with a broad description of the classification criteria used to define each (although the criteria are not strictly applied and some judgement on classification used according to where a vehicle is classified by VFACTS) . VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 17 Passenger Cars Light Small Medium Large People Movers Passenger car, hatch, sedan, coupe or convertible 3 or 4 cylinder engine, up to1, 500 cc, tare mass < 1150kg. Passenger car, hatch, sedan, wagon, coupe or convertible 4 cylinder engine, 1,501 cc - 2,000 cc, tare mass 1150-1350kg. Passenger car, hatch, sedan, wagon, coupe or convertible 4 cylinder engine, 2,001 cc upward, tare mass 1350-1550kg. Passenger car, hatch, sedan, wagon, coupe or convertible 6 or 8 cylinder engine, tare mass > 1550kg. Passenger usage seating capacity > 5 people. Sports Utility Vehicles (also called Four Wheel Drive Vehicles) (high ground clearance, wagon generally with off road potential) SUV Compact SUV Medium SUV Large Index rating < 550 (typically less than 1700kg tare mass) Index rating 550 - 700 (typically between 1700kg and 2000kg tare mass) Index rating > 700 (typically greater than 2000kg tare mass) Light Commercial Vehicles Van Utility Blind & window vans. Two and four wheel drive, normal control (bonnet), utility, cab chassis and crew-cabs. The classification of SUV vehicles is based on an index developed by VFACTS that considers gross vehicle mass, maximum engine torque and the availability of a dual range transmission. The index typically classifies the vehicles roughly by tare mass as indicated on the classifications above. Some departures from the VFACTS classification have been made in presenting the ratings in this study. VFACTS defines a luxury SUV category based on vehicle price as well as classifying sports cars priced above the luxury car tax threshold as luxury vehicles. Here, the luxury SUVs have been distributed amongst the 3 defined SUV categories based on tare mass, as the information for computing the classification index used by VFACTS was not available at the time of the study. There have also been some departures from the classification principles defined above for certain vehicle models that have a range of engine sizes and hence fall across two different defined categories. These are typically passenger vehicles and include, for example, cars like some models of the Toyota Camry that come fitted with a large 4 cylinder engine in some variants and a 6 cylinder engine in other variants. In these cases, a value judgement has been made for each vehicle model individually based on the other vehicle models with which each typically competes in the market place. 18 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE 4. ANALYSIS 4.1 Overview of Analysis Methods: Crashworthiness The crashworthiness rating (C) is a measure of the risk of serious injury (hospitalisation or death) to a driver of a car when it is involved in a crash. It is defined to be the product of two probabilities (Cameron et al, 1992): i) ii) the probability that a driver involved in a crash is injured (injury risk), denoted by R; and the probability that an injured driver is hospitalised or killed (injury severity), denoted by S. That is C = R × S. Folksam Insurance, who publishes the well-known Swedish ratings, first measured crashworthiness in this way (Gustafsson et al, 1989). In the present report, each of the two components of the crashworthiness rating was obtained by logistic regression modelling techniques (Hosmer & Lemeshow, 1989). Such techniques are able to simultaneously adjust for the effect of a number of factors (such as driver age and sex, number of vehicles involved, etc.) on probabilities such as the injury risk and injury severity whilst estimating the role of vehicle model, market group or year of manufacture in the injury outcome. This method, described fully in Newstead et al (2006), has previously been used to produce the Australian and New Zealand vehicle fleet crashworthiness ratings. For estimation of the crashworthiness ratings, factors in the logistic model included the available non-vehicle factors influencing injury outcome as well as the variable indicating vehicle model, market group or year of manufacture. Newstead et al (2006) details how confidence limits on the regression estimates of injury risk and severity are calculated with these techniques also being used here. A stepwise procedure was used to identify which non-vehicle factors and their interactions had an important influence on driver injury outcome. Logistic models were obtained separately for injury risk and injury severity because it was likely that the various factors would have different levels of influence on these two probabilities. The non-vehicle factors considered in the analysis for both injury risk and injury severity were • • • • • • sex: age: speedzone: nveh: state: year: driver sex (male, female) driver age (≤25 years; 26-59 years; ≥60 years) speed limit at the crash location (≤75 km/h; ≥80 km/h) the number of vehicles involved (one vehicle; >1 vehicle) jurisdiction of crash (Victoria, NSW, SA, QLD, WA, NZ) year of crash (1987, 1988, … , 2009) These variables were chosen for consideration because they were part of the Victorian, Queensland, New South Wales, South Australia, Western Australia and New Zealand databases. Other variables were only available from one source and their inclusion would have drastically reduced the number of cases that could have been included in the analysis. All data were analysed using the Logistic Regression procedure of the SAS statistical package (SAS, 1989). Some model exclusions were made from the analysis by make and model of vehicle for vehicle model classifications that had no practical interpretation or where there were too few cases for VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 19 inclusion. This included models in a particular year where there was a change from one series to the next and year of manufacture was necessary to determine the series break (such as Mitsubishi Pajero 1991). It also included some groups of highly aggregated models that would be of no intrinsic interest to consumers using the ratings (such as Jeep Others or Mazda Commercials). After exclusion, the regression analyses were performed on 471 individual car models (or pooled similar models). A list of all vehicle models considered, with those with sufficient data for analysis indicated, is given in Appendix 1. These techniques were applied to produce estimates of injury risk, injury severity and crashworthiness by vehicle make and model, market group or year of manufacture. 4.2 Overview of the Analysis Methods: Aggressivity The aggressivity rating estimates the risk of death or admission to hospital to both the drivers of the other cars and to unprotected road users when involved in a collision with the subject model car. Unprotected road users include pedestrians, bicyclists and motorcyclists. Because an estimate of the risk of injury cannot be calculated for unprotected road users as explained above the measure of aggressivity injury risk used was based only on the injury risk to the other driver (ROU). It is defined as: Aggressivity Injury Risk = ROU = proportion of other vehicle drivers involved in crashes who were injured In contrast, complete records of both other drivers and unprotected road users injured in crashes are available and can be used to examine injury severity outcomes in the aggressivity measure. The aggressivity injury severity measure (SOU) is defined as: Aggressivity Injury Severity = SOU = proportion of other vehicle drivers or unprotected road users who were killed or admitted to hospital. Based on the definition of ROU and SOU above, an aggressivity measure for each subject car model was then calculated as before: Aggressivity to other driver or unprotected road user = AOU = ROU x SOU. Consideration was given to taking into account likely differences between the crash circumstances of the subject car models, which may result in a distorted view of its aggressivity only partly related to the characteristics of the subject cars. Factors available in the data to consider such differences were as follows. • • • • • • • • 20 agefcd: age of driver of subject car (<=25 years, 26-59 years, >=60 years) sexfcd: sex of driver of subject car ageoo: other car driver age (<=25 years, 26-59 years, >=60 years) sexoo: other car driver sex (male, female) speedzone: speed limit at the crash location (≤75 km/h; ≥80 km/h) state: jurisdiction of crash (Victoria, NSW, SA, QLD, WA, NZ) year: year of crash (1987, 1988, … ,2009) crash type: collision partner type (vehicle, pedestrian, bicyclist or motorcyclist) (injury severity only) MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE Estimation of the aggressivity measure has utilised logistic regression techniques to adjust ROU and SOU separately for any major differences that emerge between models of the subject cars regarding these factors. The adjusted ROU and SOU have been multiplied together for each subject car model to provide the final measure of aggressivity, AOU. Full details of the analysis techniques are given in Newstead et al (2006). Analyses by make and model of vehicle were performed on 439 individual car models for calculation of the aggressivity rating. Estimates were also obtained by market group. 4.3 Overview of Analysis Methods: Total Safety The concept of the total secondary safety index developed in Newstead et al (2004b) forms the basis of the integrated single measure of total secondary safety developed in Newstead et al (2007c) and used here and has some inherent similarities to the crashworthiness and aggressivity metrics developed by MUARC as will become evident. Like the initial index of Newstead et al (2004b), the integrated total secondary safety index is formulated by considering the four major crash types involving light passenger vehicles and the most relevant injury outcomes in those crashes. Table 3 summarises the key elements necessary to calculate the total secondary safety index. The table is categorised by each of the four major crash types considered giving the focus crash participants whose injury outcomes are considered in the index and representations of the key injury counts by injury severity level. The final column of Table 2 gives the proportion of the total crash population represented by each crash type for the crash population being considered. Table 2: Crash Type Light passenger vehicle crash types, injury outcome counts and percentage representation components for formulating the total secondary safety index. Focus Crash Participant Number Involved Focus light vehicle Passenger E 1f driver Vehicle to Passenger Other light vehicle E 1o Vehicle driver 2. Single Passenger Light vehicle driver E2 Vehicle 3. Passenger Vehicle to Light vehicle driver E3 Heavy Vehicle 4. Passenger Vehicle to Unprotected road N/A Unprotected user Road User N/A – Not fully reported in police crash records 1. Number Injured Number Killed or Seriously Injured I 1f S 1f I 1o S 1o I2 S2 p2 I3 S3 p3 I4 S4 p4 Proportion of Total Crash Population p1 As noted in Newstead et al (2004a), heavy vehicle drivers are typically not injured in crashes with light passenger vehicles and are hence not considered in the total secondary safety index. Similarly, drivers of the light passenger vehicle are not injured in crashes with unprotected road users and have not been included in formulating the index. Vehicle occupants other than drivers have not been considered as they are often not recorded by police in their crash reports unless injured. Similarly, crashes involving uninjured unprotected road users are generally not reported to police and hence the total number of unprotected road users involved in crashes is unknown. The ‘focus’ light vehicle driver in Table 3 refers to the driver of the vehicle being rated whilst the ‘other’ vehicle is the collision partner. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 21 Like the crashworthiness and aggressivity measure, the total secondary safety index is defined as the product of an injury risk component and an injury severity component. The need to define a two component measure is necessary to be able to make best use of the police reported crash databases in New Zealand and Victoria that record only crashes involving injury. It is not possible to determine the total number of crash involved people in these jurisdictions since records on crashes where no one is injured is not available. Hence these two data sets are only useful for measuring relative injury severity and not injury risk. The measure of total secondary safety injury risk, R T , is defined as follows: R RT = p1 ( I1 f + I1o E1 f + E1o ) + p2 I I2 + p3 3 E2 E3 It measures the average risk of injury across all key participants in a crash involving a light passenger vehicle weighted by the relative exposure of each participant type across the entire crash population. Since unprotected road users are generally injured crashes reported to police, they are not included in the injury risk measure. The corresponding total secondary safety injury severity measure, S T , is defined as follows: S T = p1 ( S1 f + S1o I1 f + I1o ) + p2 S S2 S + p3 3 + p 4 4 I2 I3 I4 It measures the average risk of death or serious injury given some injury was sustained across all key participants in a crash weighted again by the relative exposure of each participant type across the entire crash population. The integrated total secondary safety index, T, is defined to be the product of the injury risk and injury severity components: T = RT × ST . It measures the average risk of death or serious injury in crash involving a light passenger vehicle across all key participants in a crash weighted again by the relative exposure of each participant type across the entire crash population. It can be estimated for individual vehicle models, by vehicle market groups or for the fleet as a whole as desired with a table of the form of Table 3 being derived for each entity at the level of disaggregation desired. The description of the total secondary safety index has defined 5 key focus crash participants whose injury outcome forms the basis of the index. Depending on the available data, it is possible to define a more detailed index that further breaks down the categories of key participants. Further breakdowns considered in developing the index were: Unprotected road user into Bicyclist Pedestrian Cyclist Heavy vehicle collision partner into Rigid Truck Articulated Truck Bus 22 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE This made a total of 9 key participant categories considered in the total secondary safety index. The final number of categories that were able to be sustained in practical application of the index depended on the amount of crash data available from each category and the level of vehicle aggregation at which the index was being calculated (e.g. make and model of vehicle vs market group). Like the crashworthiness and aggressivity indices developed by MUARC, the aim for the integrated total secondary safety index was that it reflect only the influence of the vehicle on injury outcome and not factors external to the vehicle such as key participant or crash characteristics. Consequently, there was a need to compensate for differences in these key non vehicle related factors that existed form vehicle model to vehicle model or by market group. Logistic regression analysis was utilised to produce total secondary safety ratings appropriately adjusted for the influence on non-vehicle related factors on injury outcome. For estimation of the total secondary safety ratings, factors in the logistic model included the available non-vehicle factors influencing injury outcome, such as driver or unprotected road user age and gender, year and jurisdiction of crash and crash configuration, as well as the variable indicating vehicle model or market group. Since the analysis potentially included 2 drivers from the same crash in a light vehicle to light vehicle crash, an assumption implicit in the logistic modelling process was that, given the level of impact severity of the crash represented by non-vehicle factors in the logistic model, it was assumed that the injury outcome of the two drivers was independent. This assumption was considered reasonable since the estimated crashworthiness and aggressivity of vehicles rated by Newstead et al (2007a and 2008a) appear to be essentially independent and each of these measure focuses heavily on the injury outcome of each driver in a two vehicle crash. In the present report, as with the crashworthiness and aggressivity ratings each of the two components of the total secondary safety index was obtained by logistic regression modelling techniques (Hosmer & Lemeshow, 1989). Such techniques are able to simultaneously adjust for the effect of a number of factors on probabilities such as the injury risk and injury severity whilst estimating the role of vehicle model, market group or year of manufacture in the injury outcome. Only the average total secondary safety across a standardised set of crash circumstances and occupant characteristics was of interest. This method is described fully in Newstead et al (2007c) along with details on how confidence limits on the regression estimates of injury risk and severity are calculated. The factors considered during this stage of the analysis for both injury risk and injury severity were • • • • • • sex: age: speedzone: nveh: state: year: driver or unprotected road user sex (male, female) driver or unprotected road user age (≤25 years; 26-59 years; ≥60 years) speed limit at the crash location (≤75 km/h; ≥80 km/h) the number of vehicles involved (one vehicle; >1 vehicle) jurisdiction of crash (Victoria, NSW, QLD, WA, NZ) year of crash (1987, 1988, … ,2009) For this update the factor specifying the number of vehicles (nveh) was removed as it was correlated with the following factor, crash combination type (crashtyp). A further critical factor that is likely to vary between vehicle models is the mix of collisions between light passenger vehicles and both other vehicles of various types and unprotected road VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 23 users. The injury severity (S T ) and injury risk (R T ) components of the new total secondary safety measure (T) is an average of injury severity or injury risk outcomes respectively across the mix of crash types involving the focus vehicle. Since injury outcomes will vary considerably across the mix of crash types it is necessary to adjust the new total secondary safety injury severity measure and injury risk measure to account for differences in the proportion of crash type combinations between vehicle models. To adjust for potential differences a further factor was included in the logistic regression models for both total secondary safety injury risk and injury severity. The factor used was: R • crashtyp crash combination type, For the injury risk analysis the crash combination types consisted of: • • • • two vehicle – focus vehicle driver two vehicle – other vehicle driver single vehicle heavy vehicle collisions (including collisions with articulated trucks, rigid trucks or buses) For the injury severity analysis an additional collision combination type was included being collisions between a light passenger vehicle and unprotected road users (pedestrians, bicyclists or motorcyclists). This additional collision combination type was excluded from the injury risk analysis because in general crashes involving pedestrians, bicyclists and motorcyclists are seldom reported to the Police unless someone is killed or injured which is usually the unprotected road user. This means that an estimate of the risk of injury cannot be calculated for the unprotected road user. Although heavy collisions could be further categorised into rigid truck, articulated truck or bus collisions and unprotected road users could be further categorised into pedestrians, bicyclists and motorcyclists it was important to ensure that the logistic model adequately described the data and did not yield coefficients that were imprecise or unstable. For this reason, for both heavy vehicle collisions and unprotected road user collisions, the sub type classifications were pooled to ensure sufficient data for precise and stable results. 24 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE 5. RESULTS 5.1 Vehicle Crashworthiness Ratings 5.1.1 Injury Risk Injury risk was estimated from the data on 3,599,944 drivers involved in tow-away crashes in New South Wales, South Australia, Queensland and Western Australia during 1987-2009. This data set is referred to as the "involved drivers". Because of missing values in one or more of the covariates driver sex and age, speed zone and number of vehicles involved in the crash amongst the 3,599,944 involved drivers and vehicle models of interest, the final file used for analysis consisted of the 2,067,158 drivers for which all the covariate data was complete. Of these drivers 360,021 were injured. The following non-vehicle related factors and their interactions were significantly associated with injury risk and were included in the logistic model: Base effect terms Sex Speedzone Age Nveh State Year First order interactions Speedzone*Nveh Sex*Nveh Sex*Age Age*Nveh Speedzone*Age State*Year Nveh*State Year*Nveh Age*State Age*Year Speedzone*Year Speedzone*State Sex*Speedzone Sex*State Sex*Year Second order interactions Age*Speedzone*Nveh Sex*Speedzone*Nveh Speedzone*Year*Nveh Sex*State*Nveh Speedzone*Nveh*State State*Year*Nveh Age*State*Nveh Age*Speedzone*State Speedzone*State*Year Sex*State*Year Sex*Speedzone*State Age*State*Year Age*Speedzone*Year Sex*Year*Nveh Age*Sex*Speedzone Third order interactions Speedzone*State*Year*Nveh Sex*Speedzone*State*Nveh Age*Speedzone*State*Nveh The overall (average) injury risk for involved drivers in tow-away crashes in NSW, South Australia, Western Australia and Queensland was 17.42 injuries per 100 involved drivers. Appendix 2 gives the estimates of injury risk derived by logistic regression for the 471 individual car models that were rated. Injury risk ranged from 8.92% for the 1999-2008 Jaguar S-Type to 44.29% for the 1982-1990 Daihatsu Hi Jet. An estimate of the variability in the injury risk estimates was calculated from the width of the corresponding 95% confidence intervals. Individual confidence interval widths ranged from 0.67% for the 1993-1997 Holden Commodore VN/VP, Toyota Lexcen to 17.02% for the 1982-1991 Porsche 944. The small variability for the Holden Commodore and Toyota Lexcen series sedan is not surprising due to the large number of cars of this model in the data set and precision is known to improve with increasing sample size. The estimated injury risk for each market group is also given in Appendix 2. The large sports utility vehicles had the lowest injury risk (12.96%) and the light car market group had the highest (23.26%). VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 25 5.1.2 Injury Severity The data on "injured drivers" covered 850,136 drivers of 1982-2009 model vehicles who were injured in crashes in Victoria, New South Wales, South Australia, Western Australia, Queensland or New Zealand during 1987-2009. Because of missing values in one or more of the covariates or invalid injury severity codes amongst the 850,136 injured drivers, the final file used for analysis consisted of the 389,603 drivers for which all the covariate data was complete. Of these drivers 79,768 were seriously injured. The following non-vehicle related factors and their interactions were significantly associated with injury severity and were included in the logistic model: Base effect terms Sex Speedzone Age Nveh State Year First order interactions Sex*State Speedzone*Nveh Age*Sex Nveh*State Speedzone*Age Age*State Age*Nveh State*Year Speedzone*Year Age*Year Year*Nveh Speedzone*State Speedzone*Sex Second order interactions Speedzone*Nveh*State Speedzone*State*Year Age*State*Nveh Age*State*Year State*Year*Nveh Speedzone*Year*Nveh Age*Speedzone*State Sex*State*Nveh Third order interactions Speedzone*State*Year*Nveh The average injury severity for injured drivers in the data analysed was 20.47 deaths or serious injuries per 100 injured drivers. Appendix 3 gives the estimates of injury severity derived by logistic regression for 471 individual car models, or sets of combined models. Of the cars analysed, injury severity ranged from 4.21% for the 2006-2009 Kia Carnival to 47.83% for the 1982-1984 Alfa Romeo GTV. An estimate of the variability in the estimates of injury severity was calculated from the width of the corresponding 95% confidence intervals. Individual confidence interval widths ranged from 1.81% for the 1982-88 Ford Laser and Mazda 323 / Familia to 42.75% for the 2001-2009 Toyota Avensis Verso. The estimated injury severity for each market group is also given in Appendix 3. Compact sports utility vehicles performed best with respect to injury severity, having the lowest average injury severity of 19.32%. The light car market group had the highest average injury severity of 21.85%. 5.1.3 Crashworthiness Ratings The crashworthiness ratings for each car model and market group were obtained by multiplying the individual injury risk and injury severity estimates. Because each of the two components had been adjusted for the confounding factors, the resultant crashworthiness rating was also adjusted for the influence of these factors. Crashworthiness ratings were obtained for each individual model and market group after adjusting for the confounding factors. Appendix 4 gives the crashworthiness ratings and the 26 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE associated 95% confidence intervals for each of the 471 car models included in the analyses. Appendix 4 also gives the crashworthiness ratings with 90% confidence limits for each of the 471 vehicle models. Each rating is expressed as a percentage, representing the number of drivers killed or admitted to hospital per 100 drivers involved in a tow-away crash. Overall ratings for the market groups are also given. Each crashworthiness rating is an estimate of the true risk of a driver being killed or admitted to hospital in a tow-away crash and, as such, each estimate has a level of uncertainty about it. This uncertainty is indicated by the confidence limits in Appendix 4. There is 95% probability that the confidence interval will cover the true risk of serious injury (death or hospital admission) to the driver of the particular model of vehicle. Unlike in previous updates no ratings have been excluded at this stage as it was considered useful for consumer information to present them. Table 3 gives a summary of the estimated ratings for each of the 10 defined vehicle market groups. It shows the estimated injury risk and severity components, and the resulting crashworthiness rating with upper and lower 95% confidence limits, and the width of the 95% confidence limit. The relative ranking of the crashworthiness rating on each market group is also given in Table 3 although this should be interpreted with care as there is not necessarily a statistically significant difference between the average crashworthiness of vehicle market groups with different rankings. Statistical significance in average crashworthiness between market groups at the 5% level is only achieved when the 95% confidence limits do not overlap. Similar comments apply to interpreting results in Appendix 4. Table 3: Estimated Vehicle Crashworthiness by Market Grouping Market Group Overall Average COMPACT SUV MEDIUM SUV LARGE SUV COMERCIAL - VAN COMERCIAL - UTE LARGE MEDIUM PEOPLE MOVER SMALL LIGHT Injury Injury Crashworthiness Overall Lower 95% Risk Severity Rating* rank Confidence (%) (%) order limit 17.42 17.90 14.05 12.96 18.23 15.93 16.66 18.00 18.58 20.37 23.26 20.47 19.32 19.51 20.68 20.62 20.87 20.23 20.12 21.22 20.42 21.85 3.57 3.46 2.74 2.68 3.76 3.32 3.37 3.62 3.94 4.16 5.08 5 2 1 7 3 4 6 8 9 10 3.29 2.57 2.56 3.57 3.23 3.31 3.55 3.74 4.08 4.95 Upper 95% Confidence limit Width of Confidence interval 3.63 2.92 2.81 3.96 3.42 3.43 3.70 4.16 4.24 5.21 0.34 0.35 0.24 0.39 0.19 0.12 0.15 0.42 0.15 0.26 * Serious injury rate per 100 drivers involved 5.1.4 Comparisons with the Benchmark Rating In previous updates, ratings for individual vehicles were compared to an un-weighted numerical average of the vehicles for which a crashworthiness rating was calculated. For this update, a new comparison was used which classifies vehicles according to where their rating lies in relation to a ‘best performance’ benchmark. The benchmark rating in this update was defined as the rating above which 8% of the rating point estimates were better (see Section 5.4). The point against which ratings for individual vehicles are compared is arbitrary, whether it is the average used in previous updates or the benchmark rating described above or some other point. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 27 Classification categories are defined by distances away from this benchmark. The five categories were defined as follows. • • • • • Equal to the benchmark. Worse than the benchmark. At least 30% worse than the benchmark. At least 60% worse than the benchmark. At least 90% worse than the benchmark. Again this choice is arbitrary but should aim to spread the vehicles across the performance categories. Vehicles are classified into each category according to the band in which the lower confidence limit on the rating lies. Using only the lower confidence limit defines a true onesided statistical test which is equal for each rating. Figures 1 to 10 display for each of the market groups the crashworthiness ratings of vehicles together with their 90% confidence limits. Also displayed on each graph is a line representing the benchmark crashworthiness safety rating of 1.92% and three lines at 2.49%, 3.07% and 3.64% representing 30% worse than the benchmark, 60% worse than the benchmark and 90% worse than the benchmark respectively. Figure 1: Crashworthiness Ratings for Compact Sports Utility vehicles (with 90% confidence limits) Compact SUV 9.00% Crashworthiness Benchmark 8.00% Crashworthiness Rating Worse than benchmark + 1 increment 7.00% Worse than benchmark + 2 increments Worse than benchmark + 3 increments 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 Make and Model 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 28 Daihatsu Feroza / Rocky 89-97 Daihatsu Rocky / Rugger 85-98 Daihatsu Terios 97-05 Holden Cruze 02-06 Hyundai Tucson 04-09 Mitsubishi Outlander 03-06 Mitsubishi / Peugeot Outlander / 4007 06-09 Kia Sportage 98-03 Kia Sorento 03-09 Ford / Mazda Escape / Tribute 01-06 Mazda CX-7 06-09 Nissan X-Trail 01-07 Lada Niva 84-99 Honda CR-V 97-01 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE Honda CR-V 02-06 Honda HR-V 99-02 Honda CR-V 07-09 Land Rover Freelander 98-06 Subaru Forester 97-02 Subaru Forester 02-08 Suzuki Vitara / Escudo 88-98 Suzuki Grand Vitara 99-05 Holden / Suzuki Drover / Sierra / Samurai / SJ410 / SJ413 82-99 Suzuki Jimny 98-09 Suzuki Grand Vitara 05-08 Toyota RAV4 94-00 Toyota RAV4 01-06 Toyota RAV4 06-09 Figure 2: Crashworthiness Ratings for Medium Sports Utility vehicles (with 90% confidence limits) Medium SUV 8.00% Crashworthiness Benchmark Worse than benchmark + 1 increment Worse than benchmark + 2 increments Worse than benchmark + 3 increments Crashworthiness Rating 7.00% 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Make and Model 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Figure 3: limits) Daewoo / Ssangong Musso 98-02 Ford Territory SX/SY 04-09 Holden / Isuzu Jackaroo / Bighorn 82-91 Holden / Isuzu Jackaroo / Bighorn 92-97 Holden / Isuzu Jackaroo / Bighorn 98-02 Holden Frontera / Mu 95-03 Holden Adventra 03-06 Holden Captiva CG 06-09 Hyundai Santa Fe 00-06 Hyundai Terracan 01-07 Mitsubishi Pajero 82-90 Mitsubishi Pajero 92-99 Mitsubishi Pajero NM / NP / NS 00-06 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Mitsubishi Challenger 98-06 Jeep Cherokee XJ 96-00 Jeep Wrangler 96-04 Jeep Cherokee KJ 01-07 Land Rover Defender 92-09 Nissan Pathfinder / Terrano 88-94 Nissan Pathfinder / Terrano / Regulus 95-05 Toyota Kluger 03-07 Toyota Landcruiser Prado 96-03 Toyota Landcruiser Prado 03-09 Lexus RX330 03-05 Toyota Kluger 07-09 Crashworthiness Ratings for Large Sports Utility vehicles (with 90% confidence Large SUV 12.00% Crashworthiness Benchmark Worse than benchmark + 1 increment Crashworthiness Rating 10.00% Worse than benchmark + 2 increments Worse than benchmark + 3 increments 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Make and Model 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 BMW X5 01-08 Ford Bronco 82-87 Ford Explorer 00-01 Ford Explorer 01-05 Jeep Grand Cherokee ZG 96-99 Jeep Grand Cherokee WJ/WG 99-05 Land Rover Discovery 91-02 Mercedes Benz M-Class W163 98-05 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Nissan Patrol / Safari 82-87 Nissan / Ford Patrol / Maverick / Safari 88-97 Nissan Patrol / Safari 98-09 Land Rover Range Rover 82-94 Land Rover Range Rover 95-02 Toyota Landcruiser 82-89 Toyota Landcruiser 90-97 Toyota Landcruiser 98-07 VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 29 Figure 4: Crashworthiness Ratings for Commercial Vans (with 90% confidence limits) Commercial - Vans 20.00% Crashworthiness 18.00% Benchmark Worse than benchmark + 1 increment Crashworthiness Rating 16.00% Worse than benchmark + 2 increments Worse than benchmark + 3 increments 14.00% 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Make and Model 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Daihatsu Handivan 82-90 Daihatsu Hi-Jet 82-90 Daihatsu Handivan / Cuore 99-03 Ford Falcon Panel Van 82-95 Ford Falcon Panel Van 96-99 Ford Transit 95-00 Ford Transit 01-07 Holden Shuttle / WFR Van 82-87 Kia Pregio 02-06 Mercedes Benz MB100 / MB140 99-04 Mercedes Benz Vito 99-04 Figure 5: 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Mercedes Benz Sprinter 98-06 Honda Acty 83-86 Holden / Suzuki Scurry / Carry 82-00 Suzuki Carry 99-05 Toyota Hiace/Liteace 82-86 Toyota Hiace/Liteace 87-89 Toyota Hiace/Liteace 90-95 Toyota Hiace/Liteace 96-04 Toyota Hiace 05-09 Volkswagen Caravelle / Transporter 88-94 Volkswagen Caravelle / Transporter 95-04 Crashworthiness Ratings for Commercial Utes (with 90% confidence limits) 14.00% Commercial - Utes Crashworthiness 12.00% Benchmark Worse than benchmark + 1 increment Worse than benchmark + 2 increments 10.00% Crashworthiness Rating Worse than benchmark + 3 increments 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Make and Model 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 30 Ford / Nissan Falcon Ute / XFN Ute 82-95 Ford Falcon Ute 96-99 Ford Falcon Ute AU 00-02 Ford Falcon Ute BA/BF 03-08 Ford Ford F-Series 82-92 Ford F-Series 01-06 Holden Commodore Ute VG/VP 90-93 Holden / Isuzu Rodeo / Pickup 82-85 Holden / Isuzu Rodeo / Pickup 86-88 Holden / Isuzu Rodeo / Pickup 89-95 Holden Rodeo 96-98 Holden Rodeo 99-02 Holden WB Series 82-85 Holden Commodore Ute VR/VS 94-00 Holden Commodore VU Ute 00-02 Holden Commodore VY/VZ Ute 02-07 Holden Rodeo 03-08 Holden Commodore VE Ute 07-09 Mitsubishi Triton MK 96-06 Mitsubishi Triton ML / MN 06-09 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE Kia Ceres 92-00 Kia K2700 02-08 Ford / Mazda Courier / B-Series / Bounty 98-02 Ford / Mazda Courier / Bravo / Bounty 03-06 Ford / Mazda Ranger / BT-50 06-09 Nissan 720 Ute 82-85 Nissan Navara 86-91 Nissan Navara 92-96 Nissan Navara 97-05 Nissan Navara 05-09 Proton Jumbuck 03-09 Subaru Brumby 82-92 Suzuki Mighty Boy 85-88 Toyota 4Runner/Hilux 82-85 Toyota 4Runner/Hilux 86-88 Toyota 4Runner/Hilux 89-97 Toyota Hilux 98-02 Toyota Hilux 03-04 Toyota Hilux 05-09 38 39 Figure 6: Crashworthiness Ratings for Large cars (with 90% confidence limits) Large 12.00% Crashworthiness Benchmark Crashworthiness Rating 10.00% Worse than benchmark + 1 increment Worse than benchmark + 2 increments Worse than benchmark + 3 increments 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 Make and Model 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 BMW 7 Series E23 82-86 BMW 7 Series E32 87-94 BMW 7 Series E38 95-01 Ford Falcon XE/XF 82-88 Ford Fairlane Z & LTD F 82-87 Ford Falcon EA / Falcon EB Series I 88-Mar 92 Ford Falcon EB Series II / Falcon ED Apr 92-94 Ford Fairlane N & LTD D 88-94 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 9 Ford Fairlane N & LTD D 95-98 32 Ford Fairlane & LTD AU 99-02 Ford Fairlane & LTD BA/BF 03-07 Ford Falcon FG 08-09 Ford Falcon EF/EL 94-98 Ford Falcon AU 98-02 Ford Taurus 96-98 Ford Falcon BA/BF 02-08 Holden / Toyota Commodore VN/VP / Lexcen 89-93 Holden Statesman/Caprice WB 82-85 Holden Stateman/Caprice VQ 90-93 Holden Stateman/Caprice VR/VS 94-98 Holden / Toyota Commodore VR/VS / Lexcen 93-97 Holden Commodore VT/VX 97-02 Holden Statesman/Caprice WH 99-03 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Holden Commodore VY/VZ 02-07 Holden Monaro 01-05 Holden Statesman/Caprice WK/WL 03-06 Holden Commodore VB-VL 82-88 Holden Commodore VE 06-09 Hyundai Sonata 89-97 Hyundai Grandeaur / XG 99-00 Mitsubishi Magna TM/TN/TP / Sigma / V3000 85-90 Mitsubishi Magna TE/TF/TH/TJ / Verada KE/KF/KH/KJ / Diamante 96-03 Mitsubishi Magna TR/TS / Verada KR/KS / V3000 / Diamante 91-96 Mitsubishi Magna TL/TW / Verada KL/KW 03-05 Mitsubishi 380 05-08 Jaguar XJ6 82-86 Jaguar XJ6 87-94 Jaguar S-Type 99-08 Mazda 929 / Luce 82-90 Mazda 929 / Sentia / Efini MS-9 92-96 Mercedes Benz E-Class W123 82-85 Mercedes Benz E-Class W124 86-94 Mercedes Benz E-Class W210 96-02 Mercedes Benz S-Class W126 82-92 Mercedes Benz E-Class W211 02-09 Nissan Skyline 83-88 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 Nissan 300ZX / Fairlady Z 90-95 Nissan Maxima 90-94 Nissan Maxima / Cefiro 95-99 Nissan Maxima 00-02 Nissan Maxima 06-09 Honda Legend 86-95 Rover 3500 82-87 Saab 9-5 98-05 55 Toyota Camry 98-02 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 Toyota Crown / Cressida / Mark II 82-85 Toyota Crown / Cressida / Mark II 86-88 Toyota Cressida / Mark II 89-93 Toyota Supra 82-90 Lexus ES300 / Windom 92-01 Lexus LS400 / Celsior 90-00 Toyota Avalon 00-05 Toyota Camry 02-06 Toyota Aurion 06-09 Toyota Camry 06-09 Volvo 850/S70/V70/C70 92-99 Volvo 700/900 Series 84-92 Volvo 960/S90/V90 90-98 VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 31 Figure 7: Crashworthiness Ratings for Medium cars (with 90% confidence limits) Medium 14.00% Crashworthiness Benchmark 12.00% Crashworthiness Rating Worse than benchmark + 1 increment Worse than benchmark + 2 increments 10.00% Worse than benchmark + 3 increments 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 Make and Model 1 2 Alfa Romeo 156 99-06 Alfa Romeo 147 / GT 01-09 25 26 Hyundai Sonata 98-01 Hyundai Sonata EF 02-05 48 49 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Audi A4 95-01 Audi A4 01-08 BMW Z3 E36 97-03 BMW 5 Series E60 / E61 03-09 BMW 3 Series E90 / E91 05-09 BMW 3 Series E30 82-91 BMW 3 Series E36 92-98 BMW 3 Series E46 99-06 BMW 5 Series E28 82-88 BMW 5 Series E34 89-95 BMW 5 Series E39 96-03 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Hyundai Tiburon 02-09 Mitsubishi Sigma / Galant / Sapporo / Lambda 82-84 Mitsubishi Starion 82-87 Mitsubishi Galant 95-96 Jaguar X-Type 02-09 Ford / Mazda Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella 83-86 Ford / Mazda Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella 88-91 Ford / Mazda Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella / Cronos 92-97 Mazda 626 98-02 Mazda RX7 82-85 Mazda RX7 86-91 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Chrysler PT Cruiser 00-09 Daewoo Espero 95-97 Daewoo Leganza 97-02 Daewoo Tacuma 00-04 Ford Mondeo 95-01 Ford Probe 94-98 Ford Cougar 99-03 Holden Calibra 94-97 Holden Camira 82-89 Holden Vectra 97-03 Holden Vectra ZC 03-05 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Mazda Eunos 500 93-99 Mazda Eunos 800 94-00 Mazda 6 02-07 Mazda RX8 03-09 Mazda 6 08-09 Mercedes Benz C-Class W201 87-93 Mercedes Benz C-Class W202 95-00 Mercedes Benz CLK C208 97-03 Mercedes Benz SLK R170 97-04 Mercedes Benz C-Class W203 00-07 32 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE 71 72 Renault Feugo 82-87 Saab 900 Series 82-92 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Mercedes Benz CLK C209 03-09 Nissan Pintara 86-88 Nissan / Ford Pintara / Corsair / Bluebird 89-92 Nissan Bluebird 82-86 Nissan 280ZX 82-84 Nissan Bluebird 93-97 Nissan 200SX / Silvia 94-02 Nissan 350Z 03-09 Honda Accord Euro 03-08 Honda Accord 03-07 Honda Accord 82-85 Honda Accord 86-90 Honda Accord 91-93 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 Honda Accord 94-98 Honda Accord 99-02 Honda Prelude 82-82 Honda Prelude 83-91 Honda Prelude 92-96 Honda Prelude 97-02 Peugeot 405 89-97 Peugeot 505 82-93 Peugeot 406 96-04 Porsche 944 82-91 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 Saab 900/9-3 94-02 Saab 9000 86-97 Saab 9-3 03-09 Subaru 1800 / Leone / Omega / 4WD Wagon 82-93 Subaru Liberty / Legacy 89-93 Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback 94-98 Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback 99-03 Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback 03-09 Toyota Corona 82-88 Toyota Camry 83-86 Holden / Toyota Apollo JK/JL / Camry / Vista 88-92 Holden / Toyota Apollo JM/JP / Camry / Sceptor 9397 Toyota Celica 81-85 Toyota Celica 86-89 Toyota Celica 90-93 Toyota Celica 94-99 Toyota Celica 00-05 Lexus IS200 / IS300 99-04 Volvo 200 Series 82-93 Volvo S60 01-09 Volkswagen Passat 98-06 Figure 8: Crashworthiness Ratings for Small cars (with 90% confidence limits) Small 14.00% Crashworthiness Crashworthiness Rating 12.00% Benchmark Worse than benchmark + 1 increment 10.00% Worse than benchmark + 2 increments Worse than benchmark + 3 increments 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 115 113 111 109 107 105 103 99 101 97 95 93 91 89 87 85 83 81 79 77 75 73 71 69 67 65 63 61 59 57 55 53 51 49 47 45 43 41 39 37 35 33 31 29 27 25 23 21 19 17 15 13 9 11 7 5 3 1 0.00% Make and Model 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Alfa Romeo 33 83-92 Alfa Romeo 75 86-92 Alfa Romeo GTV 82-84 Alfa Romeo Sprint 82-88 Alfa Romeo Alfasud 82-84 Audi A3/S3 97-04 Mini Mini Cooper 02-09 Chrysler Neon 96-99 Chrysler Neon 00-02 Citroen Xsara 00-05 Daihatsu Applause 89-99 Daewoo 1.5i 94-95 Daewoo Cielo 95-97 Daewoo Nubira 97-03 Daewoo Lanos 97-03 Daewoo Lacetti 03-04 Ford Laser 91-94 Ford Laser 95-97 Ford Capri 89-94 Ford Focus LR 02-05 Ford Focus LS / LT 05-09 Fiat Regata 84-88 Holden Gemini 82-84 Holden Gemini RB 86-87 Holden Astra TR 96-98 Holden Astra TS 98-06 Holden Astra AH 04-09 Holden Viva JF 05-09 Hyundai Excel 86-90 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 Hyundai Excel 90-94 Hyundai Excel / Accent 95-00 Hyundai Elantra 00-06 Hyundai Accent 06-09 Hyundai S Coupe 90-96 Hyundai Lantra 91-95 Hyundai Lantra 96-00 Hyundai Coupe 96-00 Hyundai Accent 00-06 Mitsubishi Lancer / Mirage CA 89-90 Mitsubishi Lancer / Mirage CB 91-92 Mitsubishi Lancer / Mirage CC 93-95 Mitsubishi Lancer / Mirage CE 96-03 Mitsubishi Cordia 83-87 Mitsubishi Lancer CH / CJ 03-09 Kia Rio 00-05 Kia Spectra 01-04 Kia Cerato LD 04-08 Kia Rio JB 05-09 Ford / Mazda Laser / 323 / Familia 82-88 Mazda 323 / Familia / Lantis 90-93 Mazda 323 / Familia / Lantis 95-98 Ford / Mazda Laser / 323 99-03 Mazda MX5 / Eunos Roadster 89-97 Mazda MX5 / Eunos Roadster 98-05 Mazda Eunos 30X / Presso / MX-3 / Autozam AZ-3 90-97 Mazda 3 / Axela 03-09 Mercedes Benz A-Class W168 98-04 Holden / Nissan Astra / Pulsar / Langley 84-86 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 Holden / Nissan Astra / Pulsar / Vector / Sentra 88-90 Nissan Pulsar / Vector / Sentra 92-95 Nissan Pulsar / Vector / Sentra 96-99 Nissan Stanza 82-83 Nissan Gazelle / Silvia 84-86 Nissan Exa 83-86 Nissan Exa 87-91 Nissan NX/NX-R 91-96 Nissan Pulsar 00-05 Nissan Tiida 06-09 Honda Civic 82-83 Honda Civic / Ballade / Shuttle 84-87 Honda Civic / Shuttle 88-91 Honda Civic 92-95 Honda Civic 96-00 Honda CRX 87-91 Honda CRX 92-98 Honda S2000 99-09 Honda Civic 01-05 Honda Civic 06-09 Honda Integra 86-88 Honda Integra 90-92 Honda Integra 93-01 Honda Integra 02-06 Honda Concerto 89-93 Peugeot 306 94-01 Peugeot 307 01-09 Proton Wira 95-96 Proton Gen 2 04-09 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 Renault 19 91-96 Renault Scenic 01-04 Rover Quintet 82-86 MG MGF / MG TF 99-05 Subaru Impreza 93-00 Subaru Impreza 01-07 Subaru Impreza 07-09 Suzuki Baleno / Cultus Crescent 95-02 Suzuki Liana 01-07 Toyota Corolla 82-84 Toyota Corolla 86-88 Toyota / Holden Corolla / Nova 89-93 Toyota / Holden Corolla / Nova 94-97 Toyota Corolla / Allex 98-01 Toyota Corolla 02-07 Toyota Corolla 07-09 Toyota Tercel 83-88 Toyota MR2 87-90 Toyota MR2 91-00 Toyota Paseo / Cynos 91-99 Toyota Corolla 4WD Wagon 92-96 Toyota Prius II 03-09 Volvo 300 Series 84-88 Volvo S40/V40 97-04 Volkswagen Golf 82-94 Volkswagen Golf 95-98 Volkswagen Golf / Bora 99-04 Volkswagen New Beetle 00-09 Volkswagen Golf / Jetta 04-09 VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 33 Figure 9: Crashworthiness Ratings for Light cars (with 90% confidence limits) Light 14.00% Crashworthiness Benchmark Crashworthiness Rating 12.00% Worse than benchmark + 1 increment Worse than benchmark + 2 increments 10.00% Worse than benchmark + 3 increments 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Make and Model 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 34 Daihatsu Charade 82-86 Daihatsu Charade 88-92 Daihatsu Charade 93-00 Daihatsu Pyzar 97-01 Daihatsu Sirion / Storia 98-04 Daihatsu Mira 90-96 Daewoo Matiz 99-04 Daewoo Kalos 03-04 Ford Festiva WD/WH/WF 94-01 Ford Ka 99-02 Holden Barina XC 01-06 Holden Barina SB 95-00 Holden Barina TK 05-09 Hyundai Getz / TB 02-09 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 Mitsubishi Mirage / Colt 82-88 Mitsubishi Colt 04-09 Ford / Mazda Festiva WA / 121 87-90 Mazda 121 / Autozam Review 94-96 Mazda 121 Metro / Demio 97-02 Mazda 2 02-07 Mazda 2 07-09 Nissan Micra 95-97 Honda Jazz / Fit 02-08 Honda City 83-86 Peugeot 205 87-94 Peugeot 206 99-07 Proton Satria 97-05 Renault Clio II 01-04 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 Subaru Sherpa / Fiori / 700 / Rex 89-92 Suzuki Swift 82-85 Holden / Suzuki Barina / Swift / Cultus 86-88 Holden / Suzuki Barina / Swift / Cultus 89-99 Suzuki Hatch / Alto 82-84 Suzuki Alto 85-00 Suzuki Ignis 00-02 Suzuki Swift 05-09 Toyota Starlet 96-99 Toyota Echo 99-05 Toyota Yaris 05-09 Volkswagen Polo 96-00 Volkswagen Polo 02-09 41 Figure 10: Crashworthiness Ratings for People Movers (with 90% confidence limits) People Mover 10.00% Crashworthiness Benchmark 9.00% Worse than benchmark + 1 increment Worse than benchmark + 2 increments 8.00% Crashworthiness Rating Worse than benchmark + 3 increments 7.00% 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Nissan Prairie 84-86 Nissan Serena 92-95 Honda Odyssey 95-00 Honda Odyssey 00-02 Honda Odyssey 04-09 Toyota Tarago 83-89 Toyota Tarago / Previa / Estima 91-99 Toyota Tarago / Previa / Estima 00-06 Toyota Spacia 93-00 Toyota Avensis Verso 01-09 Toyota Tarago 06-09 22 23 Make and Model 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Chrysler Voyager 97-01 Holden Zafira TT 01-05 Mitsubishi Nimbus / Chariot / Spacewagon 85-91 Mitsubishi Nimbus / Chariot 92-98 Mitsubishi Nimbus 99-03 Mitsubishi Starwagon / L300 83-86 Mitsubishi Starwagon / Delica Starwagon 87-93 Mitsubishi Starwagon / Delica Spacegear 95-98 Mitsubishi Starwagon / Delica Spacegear 98-03 Kia Carnival 99-06 Kia Carnival 06-09 Mazda MPV 94-99 5.2 Aggressivity 5.2.1 Aggressivity towards Other Car Drivers and Unprotected Road Users Using the methods described in Section 4.2, logistic regression models of the injury risk and injury severity of the focus road user were built separately as functions of both vehicle model and market group of the focus vehicle colliding with the other road user whose injury outcome is being modelled. Variations in the other factors listed in Section 4.2, including other road user type, were adjusted in the model by including them as predictors in the logistic regression models along with the focus vehicle model or market group. The aggressivity injury risk measure is based only on the injury outcome to drivers of other vehicles. The logistic regression models of aggressivity injury risk showed the following non-vehicle factors and their interactions to be statistically significant predictors of injury risk (factors age and sex refer to focus driver whose injury outcome is being modelled). The average aggressivity injury risk in the data was 15.77%. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 35 Base effect terms Sex Speedzone Age State Year First order interactions Sex*Year Age*Speedzone Age*Sex Age*Year Speedzone*Year Speedzone*State Age*State State*Year Sex*State Sex*Speedzone Second order interaction Sex*State*Year Speedzone*State*Year Age*State*Year Sex*Speedzone*State Age*Speedzone*State The logistic regression models of aggressivity injury severity users showed the following nonvehicle factors and their interactions to be statistically significant predictors of injury severity. These factors were included in the logistic model (factors age and sex refer to the age and sex of the other driver or unprotected road user). The average aggressivity injury severity in the data was 22.38%. Base effect terms Sex Speedzone Age State Year Crashtype First order interactions Sex*State Sex*Crashtype Age*Sex Age*Crashtype Year*Crashtype Speedzone*State Age*State State*Crashtype State*Year Speedzone*Year Speedzone*Crashtype Sex*Year Sex*Speedzone Second order interaction Speedzone*State*Crashtype Speedzone*State*Year Age*State*Crashtype Speedzone*Year*Crashtype State*Year*Crashtype Sex*State*Crashtype Sex*Year*Crashtype Final estimates of vehicle aggressivity towards other road users were obtained by multiplying the estimated injury risk and injury severity components for each vehicle. Confidence limits on each of the estimated aggressivity ratings were calculated. The average aggressivity rating in the data, used for comparisons against aggressivity of individual vehicle models was 3.67%. Aggressivity ratings were obtained for 439 different vehicle models that satisfied the inclusion criteria for analysis. The estimated aggressivity ratings and their injury risk and injury severity components for individual vehicle models are given in Appendix 5 along with (95% confidence limits on the estimated aggressivity ratings. Table 5 summarises the estimated injury risk, injury severity and aggressivity ratings by the 10 broad market groups along with the estimated 95% confidence limits on the aggressivity ratings. The estimated aggressivity rating is the expected number of road users killed or seriously injured per 100 involved in two-car tow-away collisions where their vehicle impacts with one of the designated models or market groups. Table 5 shows large sports utility vehicles to be the most aggressive towards drivers of other vehicles, with an average of 5.11 unprotected road users or drivers being killed or seriously injured for every 100 tow-away crashes with a large sports utility vehicle. Similarly, Table 4 shows light cars to be the least aggressive towards unprotected road users or drivers of other vehicles, with an average aggressivity rating of 2.30. 36 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE Table 4: Estimated Vehicle Aggressivity towards Other Drivers and Unprotected Road Users by Market Grouping Market Group Overall Average COMPACT SUV MEDIUM SUV LARGE SUV COMERCIAL - VAN COMERCIAL - UTE LARGE MEDIUM PEOPLE MOVER SMALL LIGHT Other Driver Injury Risk (%) Other Driver Injury Severity (%) 15.77 14.60 17.82 19.56 19.14 17.20 15.53 14.22 17.01 12.67 11.68 22.38 21.77 23.29 26.14 23.80 24.10 21.86 20.97 22.32 20.42 19.70 Aggressivity Overall Lower 95% Upper 95% Rating * rank Confidence Confidence order limit limit 3.67 3.18 4.15 5.11 4.55 4.15 3.39 2.98 3.80 2.59 2.30 4 8 10 9 7 5 3 6 2 1 3.00 3.91 4.91 4.33 4.02 3.33 2.91 3.58 2.53 2.22 3.37 4.41 5.32 4.79 4.27 3.46 3.06 4.02 2.65 2.39 Width of Confidence interval 0.37 0.50 0.41 0.45 0.25 0.13 0.15 0.44 0.12 0.17 * Serious injury rate per 100 drivers of other vehicles and unprotected road users involved in collisions with vehicles from the given market group Appendix 5 shows the estimated aggressivity ratings towards drivers of other vehicles and unprotected road users for the 439 individual vehicle models rated. Ratings ranged from a minimum of 1.05 serious injuries per 100 crashes for the 2006-2009 Mitsubishi Outlander and Peugeot 4007 to a maximum of 8.09 serious injuries per 100 crashes for the 1982-1985 Holden Statesman/Caprice WB. 5.2.2 Comparisons with the Benchmark Rating As for the crashworthiness rating, a rating presentation was used which classifies vehicles according to where their aggressivity rating lies in relation to a best performance benchmark. The benchmark rating in this update was defined as the rating above which 8% of the rating point estimates were better (see Section 5.4). The point against which ratings for individual vehicles are compared is arbitrary, whether it is the average used in previous updates or the benchmark rating described above or some other point. Classification categories are defined by distances away from this benchmark. The five categories were defined as follows. • • • • • Equal to the benchmark. Worse than the benchmark. At least 30% worse than the benchmark. At least 60% worse than the benchmark. At least 90% worse than the benchmark. Again this choice is arbitrary but should aim to spread the vehicles across the performance categories. Vehicles are classified into each category according to the band in which the lower confidence limit on the rating lies. Using only the lower confidence limit defines a true one-sided statistical test which is equal for each rating. Aggressivity ratings are shown by presentation category in Appendix 7. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 37 5.2.3 Relationship between Aggressivity and Crashworthiness In assessing the British vehicle safety indices, Broughton (1996) found a strong inverse relationship between the indices for crashworthiness and aggressivity. Figure 21 shows the aggressivity measure plotted against crashworthiness for those vehicle models with both ratings. As Figure 21 shows, the inverse relationship between the two measures is not particularly strong. The dotted lines in Figure 21 represent the average aggressivity and crashworthiness of the vehicles assessed. Points in the lower left quadrant defined by the dotted lines represent vehicles with relatively low aggressivity as well as good (low) estimated crashworthiness. This area is populated by a number of small and medium vehicle models as well as some compact SUVs. In contrast, vehicle models in the upper right quadrant of Figure 21 defined by the dotted lines show relatively poor crashworthiness and high aggressivity. There are a number of commercial vans and utilities in this quadrant along with some small vehicle models, people movers and compact SUVs. The remaining two quadrants are populated with vehicles that only perform well on either crashworthiness or aggressivity measures. Light cars tend to have low aggressivity but also poor crashworthiness whilst large and medium SUVs tend to exhibit converse traits. Absence of a strong relationship between the measures of aggressivity and crashworthiness confirms that the two quantities considered here are measuring two different aspects of a vehicle’s safety performance. Whilst one would expect some relationship between the two measures given their common but opposite relationships with mass (Broughton, 1996; Cameron et al 1998), the lack of a strong relationship suggests vehicle mass is only playing a small part in aggressivity rating relative to vehicle total safety design. The independence of these two measures does not seem to have been achieved to the same degree under other systems (Broughton, 1996). Figure 21: Estimated Vehicle Aggressivity towards Other Drivers and Unprotected Road Users vs. Crashworthiness Rating 9.00% 8.00% Aggressivity Rating 7.00% 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% 0.00% 38 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% Crashworthiness Rating 10.00% 12.00% SUV - Compact SUV - Medium SUV - Large Commercial - Van Commercial - Ute Large Medium People Mover Light Small MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE 5.3 Vehicle Total Secondary Safety Rating 5.3.1 Injury Risk Total secondary safety injury risk was estimated from the data on 5,619,861 road users involved in tow-away crashes in New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia during 1987-2009 (as described in Section 2). This data set is referred to as the "involved road users". Because of missing values in one or more of the covariates road user sex and age, speed zone and number of vehicles involved in the crash amongst the 5,619,861 involved road users and vehicle models of interest, the final file used for analysis consisted of the 3,090,770 road users for which all the covariate data was complete. Of these road users 521,549 were injured. The "covariate" model for injury risk was determined from the variables described in Section 4.3. The following terms were significantly associated with injury risk and were included in the logistic model: Base effect First order Second order Third order terms interactions interactions interactions Sex Speedzone Age State Year (of crash) Crashtyp Speedzone*Crashtyp Sex*Age State*Year Sex*Speedzone Age*State Age*Crashtyp Speedzone*State Sex*Crashtyp State*Crashtyp Age*Speedzone Sex*State Age*Year Sex*Year Speedzone*Year Year*Crashtyp Speedzone*State*Crashtyp Age*State*Crashtyp Sex*State*Year Sex*State*Crashtyp Speedzone*State*Year Age*Speedzone*State Age*Speedzone*Year Sex*Speedzone*Crashtyp Sex*Year*Crashtyp State*Year*Crashtyp Age*State*Year Age*Speedzone*Crashtyp Speedzone*Year*Crashtyp Age*Sex*Crashtyp Sex*State*Year*Crashtyp Speedzone*State*Year*Crashtyp Age*Speedzone*State*Crashtyp No other term significantly improved the fit of the logistic model. The overall (average) injury risk for light vehicle drivers or unprotected road users involved in towaway crashes in NSW, Western Australia and Queensland was 16.87 per 100 involved. In other words, the average probability that a light vehicle driver or unprotected road user was injured in a tow-away crash involving a light passenger vehicle in NSW, Western Australia or Queensland was 16.87%. Appendix 6 gives the estimates of total secondary safety injury risk derived by logistic regression for 535 individual car models. Injury risk ranged from 6.51% for the 1986-1994 Citroen BX to 34.51% for the 1982-1990 Daihatsu Hi Jet. An estimate of the variability in the injury risk estimates was calculated from the width of the corresponding 95% confidence intervals. Individual confidence interval widths ranged from 0.57% for the 1993-1997 Holden Commodore VR/VS and Toyota Lexcen to 17.23% for the 1983-1990 Ford Spectron. The small variability for the Commodore/Toyota VR/VS/Lexcen sedans is not surprising since there were more cars of these models than any others in the data set and precision is known to improve with increasing sample size. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 39 The estimated injury risk for each market group is also given in Appendix 6. The medium sports utility market group had the lowest injury risk (15.28%) and the light car market group had the highest (19.02%). 5.3.2 Injury Severity The data on "injured road users" covered 1,154,525 road users of 1982-2009 model vehicles who were injured in crashes in Victoria, New South Wales, Western Australia, Queensland, South Australia or New Zealand during 1987-2009 (as described in Section 2). Because of missing values in one or more of the covariates amongst the 1,154,525 injured road users, the final file used for analysis consisted of the 658,055 road users for which all the covariate data was complete. Of these road users 139,461 were seriously injured. The "covariate" model for injury severity was determined from the variables described in Section 4.3. The following terms were significantly associated with injury severity and were included in the logistic model: Base effect terms Sex Speedzone Age State Year Crashtype First order interactions Age*Sex Age*Crashtype Speedzone*State Age*State State*Year Speedzone*Year Speedzone*Crashtype Sex*State Age*Year Year*Crashtype State*Crashtype Sex*Crashtype Age*Speedzone Second order interaction Speedzone*State*Year State*Year*Crashtype Age*State*Year Speedzone*State*Crashtype Age*State*Crashtyp Sex*State*Crashtyp Age*Speedzone*State Speedzone*Year*Crashtyp Third order interaction Speedzone*State*Year*Crashtyp No other term significantly improved the fit of the logistic model. The overall (average) injury severity for injured light vehicle drivers or unprotected road users in the data analysed was 21.19 per 100 involved. In other words, the probability that a road user injured in a crash was severely injured was 21.19%. Appendix 6 gives the estimates of injury severity derived by logistic regression for 535 individual car models, or sets of combined models. Of the cars analysed, injury severity ranged from 4.40% for the 2004-2008 Ford Fiesta WP/WQ to 46.21% for the 1982-1984 Alfa Romeo GTV. An estimate of the variability in the estimates of injury severity was calculated from the width of the corresponding 95% confidence intervals. Individual confidence interval widths ranged from 1.43% for the 1982-1988 Ford Laser and Mazda 323 / Familia and the 1989-1993 Holden Commodore VN/VP and Toyota Lexcen to 43.80% for the 2005-2009 Citroen C4. The estimated injury severity for each market group is also given in Appendix 6. Compact sports utility vehicles performed best with respect to injury severity, having the lowest average injury severity of 20.15%. The large sports utility vehicle market group had the highest average injury severity of 23.39%. 40 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE 5.3.3 Total secondary safety index The total secondary safety index for each car model and market group was obtained by multiplying the individual injury risk and injury severity estimates. Because each of the two components had been adjusted for the confounding factors, the resultant total secondary safety index was also adjusted for the influence of these factors. Total secondary safety indices were obtained for each individual model and market group after adjusting for the confounding factors. Appendix 6 gives the total secondary safety secondary index and the associated 90% confidence intervals for each of the 535 car models included in the analyses. Each rating is expressed as a percentage, representing the number of road users killed or admitted to hospital per 100 light vehicle drivers or unprotected road users involved in a tow-away focus crash. Overall ratings for the market groups are also given. Each total secondary safety rating is an estimate of the true risk of a light vehicle driver or unprotected road user being killed or admitted to hospital in a tow-away crash and, as such, each estimate has a level of uncertainty about it. This uncertainty is indicated by the confidence limits in Appendix 6. There is 95% probability that the confidence interval will cover the true risk of serious injury (death or hospital admission) to the light vehicle driver or unprotected road user involved in a crash with the particular model of vehicle. Table 5 gives a summary of the estimated ratings for each of the 10 defined vehicle market groups. It shows the estimated injury risk and severity components, and the resulting total secondary safety index with upper and lower 95% confidence limits, and the width of the 95% confidence limit. The relative ranking of the total secondary safety index on each market group is also given in Table 6 although this should be interpreted with care as there is not necessarily a statistically significant difference between the average total secondary safety of vehicle market groups with different rankings. Statistical significance in average total secondary safety between market groups at the 5% level is only achieved when the 95% confidence limits do not overlap. Similar comments apply to interpreting results in Appendix 6. Table 5: Estimated Vehicle Total Secondary Safety by Market Grouping Market Group Overall Average COMPACT SUV MEDIUM SUV LARGE SUV COMMERCIAL - VAN COMMERCIAL - UTE LARGE MEDIUM PEOPLE MOVERS SMALL LIGHT • Injury risk (%) Injury severity (%) Total Secondary Safety Index* Overall rank order Lower 95% Confidence limit 16.87 16.65 15.28 15.52 18.12 16.19 16.34 16.67 17.72 17.54 19.02 21.19 20.15 21.09 23.39 21.65 22.17 20.81 20.40 21.16 20.26 20.99 3.58 3.35 3.22 3.63 3.92 3.59 3.40 3.40 3.75 3.56 3.99 2 1 7 9 6 3 4 8 5 10 3.25 3.11 3.54 3.81 3.53 3.36 3.36 3.63 3.51 3.92 Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence limit interval 3.46 3.34 3.72 4.04 3.65 3.44 3.45 3.88 3.60 4.06 0.21 0.23 0.18 0.24 0.13 0.07 0.09 0.25 0.08 0.14 Serious injury rate per 100 road users involved Table 6 shows medium four wheel drives to have the highest total secondary safety with an average of 3.22 light vehicle drivers or unprotected road users being killed or seriously injured for every 100 VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 41 tow-away crashes. Similarly, light cars have the lowest total secondary safety with an average total secondary safety index of 3.99. 5.3.4 Comparisons with the Benchmark Rating As for the crashworthiness and aggressivity ratings, a rating presentation was used for the total secondary safety index which classifies vehicles according to where their rating lies in relation to a best performance benchmark. The benchmark rating in this update was defined as the rating above which 8% of the rating point estimates were better (see Section 5.4). The point against which ratings for individual vehicles are compared is arbitrary, whether it is the average used in previous updates or the benchmark rating described above or some other point. Classification categories are defined by distances away from this benchmark. For the total secondary safety index the five categories were defined as follows. • • • • • Equal to the benchmark. Worse than the benchmark. At least 20% worse than the benchmark. At least 40% worse than the benchmark. At least 60% worse than the benchmark. Again this choice is arbitrary but should aim to spread the vehicles across the performance categories. Vehicles are classified into each category according to the band in which the lower confidence limit on the rating lies. Using only the lower confidence limit defines a true one-sided statistical test which is equal for each rating. Total Secondary Safety ratings by classification category are shown in Appendix 7. 5.3.5 Comparison of Crashworthiness, Aggressivity and the Total Secondary Safety index Figure 32 plots vehicle models crashworthiness ratings against their total secondary safety index. The solid lines on the chart are the average value for each index. Figure 32 shows a strong relationship exists between crashworthiness and total secondary safety reflecting that crashworthiness is relevant to injury outcome in all types of crashes involving light vehicles excluding those with unprotected road users. Figure 32: Crashworthiness vs. Total Secondary Safety 14.00% Crashworthiness Rating 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00% 10.00% 11.00% 12.00% 13.00% 14.00% Total Safety 42 SUV - Compact SUV - Medium SUV - Large Commercial - Van Commercial - Ute Large Medium People Mover Light Small MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE 15.00% In contrast, Figure 33 shows a much weaker relationship between aggressivity and total secondary safety reflecting that aggressivity is only relevant to injury outcome in crashes between 2 light vehicles and involving unprotected road users. Figure 33: Aggressivity vs. Total Secondary Safety 9.00% 8.00% Aggressivity Rating 7.00% 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00% 10.00% Total Safety SUV - Compact SUV - Medium SUV - Large Commercial - Van Commercial - Ute Large Medium People Mover Light Small Comparison by Market Groups Tables 4, 5 and 6 show that essentially the rank order of the market groups within the total secondary safety index are consistent with the rankings within the crashworthiness measure but with a moderation effect on the total secondary safety index dependent on the aggressivity of the vehicle. In other words vehicles with high aggressivity display a shift in ranking for total secondary safety towards higher or worse total secondary safety. For example, large sports utility vehicles have shifted notably in their ranking from a 1 in the crashworthiness market group rankings to a ranking of 7 across the market groups for total secondary safety. 5.4 Presentation of Total Secondary Safety Index, Crashworthiness and Aggressivity Ratings for Consumer Information Discussion in the previous work of Cameron et al (1998) noted the need for simplicity of presentation and interpretation in providing consumer safety advice through employing methods that summarised the complex statistical information contained in the ratings into an easily understood summary. From the ratings of Newstead et al (2000), a method of presentation of the estimated crashworthiness ratings for Australian vehicles was devised that is similar in philosophy to the presentation method devised by Folksam Insurance for presentation of Swedish ratings. The method took into account both the rating point estimate and confidence limits, but removed the emphasis from the point estimate. The same method of presentation was also used for the aggressivity and total secondary safety ratings. As a first step in providing clear consumer information, the ratings presented have been filtered to ensure a minimum level of statistical accuracy and hence a high degree of confidence in the information presented. In previous updates the total secondary safety, crashworthiness and aggressivity ratings presented for consumer information excluded those models where: VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 43 • the vehicle was manufactured prior to 1986 (related to the introduction of unleaded petrol and key regulatory changes in New Zealand), or • the width of the 90% two-sided confidence interval was greater than 3 and the comparison average crashworthiness rating was within the 90% confidence interval (see section 5.1.4 for the definition of the comparison average crashworthiness), or • the ratio of the confidence interval width to the rating score (coefficient of variation) exceeded 1.6 and the comparison average crashworthiness rating was within the 90% confidence interval. The criteria above were used in the update of Newstead et al (2007a, b) and Newstead et al (2007c). For the update of Newstead et al (2008a, b) the criteria were altered to avoid publishing ratings for vehicles based on relatively limited quantities of data. Vehicles were also included that had a rating significantly different to the average crashworthiness rating although the confidence interval width exceeded 3% or the coefficient of variation exceeded 1.6. These vehicles whose confidence limit did not overlap the average could be classified statistically as either better or worse than average which was considered useful for consumer information. The criteria then excluded only those vehicles that were not statistically significantly different from average due to excessive variation in the estimated rating or the vehicle was manufactured prior to 1986. For the update of Newstead et al (2009a,b) the total secondary safety, crashworthiness and aggressivity ratings presented for consumer information the presentation criteria were tightened further to ensure even greater accuracy. Ratings presented in the consumer information derived in this report excluded those models where: • the vehicle was manufactured prior to 1992, or • the width of the 90% two-sided confidence interval was greater than 2.00%, or • the ratio of the confidence interval width to the rating score (coefficient of variation) exceeded 1.6. For the most recent update of Newstead et al (2010a,b) the total secondary safety, crashworthiness and aggressivity ratings presented for consumer information the presentation criteria were tightened further to ensure even greater accuracy. Ratings presented in the consumer information derived in this report excluded those models where: • the vehicle was manufactured prior to 1996 (compliance with the frontal impact standard ADR69 was mandated for most cars sold from 1996), or • the width of the 90% two-sided confidence interval was greater than 2.00%, or • the ratio of the confidence interval width to the rating score (coefficient of variation) exceeded 1.6. The presentation criteria used for the 2010 update were used for the current update. In earlier updates, rated vehicles were classified into five categories based on the range in which the confidence limits on the estimated ratings lay relative to the average safety performance of the vehicle fleet. The five categories were defined as follows. 44 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE • • • • • At least 15% safer than average: if the upper confidence limit on the estimated rating is less than 0.85 times the average crashworthiness rating for the vehicle fleet. At least safer than average: if the upper confidence limit on the estimated rating is less than the average crashworthiness rating for the vehicle fleet. Average: if the confidence interval on the estimated rating overlaps the average crashworthiness rating for the vehicle fleet. At least less safe than average: if the lower confidence limit on the estimated rating is greater than the average crashworthiness rating for the vehicle fleet. At least 15% less safe than average: if the lower confidence limit on the estimated rating is greater than 1.15 times the average crashworthiness rating for the vehicle fleet. For the update of Newstead et al (2009a, b), a new rating presentation classified vehicles according to where their rating lay in relation to a ‘best current performance’ benchmark. The benchmark was set by choosing a percentile of the best (lowest) rating vehicles in the sample. The choice of percentile is arbitrary but should ideally be less than 15% - i.e. 15% of vehicles have a point estimate rating better than that value. The benchmark rating used in deriving the consumer presentation for this update was defined as the value below which 8% of the rated vehicles’ rating point estimates lay (noting that a numerical lower rating indicates better safety performance). Classification categories were then defined by distance bands in which the lower confidence limit on each individual vehicle rating lie away from this benchmark. For the update of Newstead et al (2009a, b) the five categories were defined as follows: • • • • • Equal to the benchmark. Worse than the benchmark but less than 50% worse than the benchmark. At least 50% worse than the benchmark. At least 100% worse than the benchmark. At least 150% worse than the benchmark. Again the separation gradients between categories are arbitrary but aimed to spread the vehicles relatively equally across the performance categories. Vehicles are classified into each category according to the band in which the lower confidence limit on the rating lies. Using only the lower confidence limit defines a true one-sided statistical test which is applied equally for each vehicle’s rating. The five categories used in the most recent update of Newstead et al (2010a, b) and in the current update, for the crashworthiness and aggressivity ratings, were defined as follows: • • • • • Equal to the benchmark. Worse than the benchmark. At least 30% worse than the benchmark. At least 60% worse than the benchmark. At least 90% worse than the benchmark. In this update the five categories used for the total secondary safety index were defined as follows: • • • • • Equal to the benchmark. Worse than the benchmark. At least 20% worse than the benchmark. At least 40% worse than the benchmark. At least 60% worse than the benchmark. Presentation of the estimated crashworthiness ratings in this way is shown in Appendix 7. The benchmark crashworthiness rating above which 8% of the crashworthiness rating estimates were better is 1.92%. Colour coding of the categories has been used with green depicting that the rating is VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 45 equivalent to the benchmark, blue depicting that the rating is worse than the benchmark through yellow and orange to red depicting at least 30%, 60% and 90% worse than the benchmark respectively. A single column at the right of the table in Appendix 7 summarises the aggressivity rating category for each vehicle. The benchmark aggressivity rating above which 8% of the aggressivity rating estimates were better is 2.28%. In a manner similar to the classification of crashworthiness ratings, the estimated aggressivity ratings have been classified into five categories with each represented by a symbol in the final column of the table. These are: • • • • • xx: x: o: +: ++: At least 90% worse than the benchmark. At least 60% worse than the benchmark. At least 30% worse than the benchmark. Worse than the benchmark. Equal to the benchmark. Presentation of the estimated total secondary safety index rating category in a similar way is also shown in Appendix 7 in a single column at the right of the table. The benchmark total secondary safety index above which 8% of the total secondary safety rating estimates were better is 2.23%. For the presentation of the estimated total secondary safety index the ratings have been classified into five categories with each represented by a symbol in the final column of the table. These are: • • • • • xx: x: o: +: ++: At least 60% worse than the benchmark. At least 40% worse than the benchmark. At least 20% worse than the benchmark. Worse than the benchmark. Equal to the benchmark. This presentation style has the advantage that it combines information about both the rating point estimate and confidence limit to classify the safety performance of the vehicle. Like the previous presentation format, this method of presentation takes the potential emphasis of the consumer off comparison of only the point estimate ratings, an emphasis that can be potentially misleading from the point of view of statistical confidence. Rather, the presentation method categorises vehicles according to the statistical significance of the difference of their estimated safety rating from defined points. Colour coding of the categories would typically be used with green depicting the safest category through blue, yellow and orange to red depicting the least safe category. 90% twosided confidence limits have been used to categorise the crashworthiness ratings in Appendix 7. These are equivalent to a 95% one-sided confidence limit for the directional hypothesis testing how much greater than a defined point the ratings is, as employed in the new rating presentation. In this update an additional column in the table in Appendix 7 provides suggested “best pick” vehicles by market group where the vehicle has a crashworthiness rating equal to the benchmark and a total safety index rating also equal to the benchmark. Some vehicle models in Appendix 7 have no symbol in the aggressivity rating or total secondary safety index rating column. These vehicles have been involved in an insufficient number of crashes to have an aggressivity or total secondary safety rating estimated for them. 46 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE 5.5 Crashworthiness by Year of Manufacture of the Australian Vehicle Fleet 5.5.1 Injury Risk Injury risk was estimated from the data on 3,792,175 drivers involved in tow-away crashes in New South Wales, South Australia, Western Australia and Queensland during 1987 to 2009. This data set is referred to as the "involved drivers". Because of missing values of some of the factors to be included in the logistic regression, and the exclusion of pre-1964 vehicles and unknown years, analysis was performed on data relating to 3,196,972 involved drivers, 557,316 of whom were injured. The following non-vehicle factors and their interactions were statistically significantly associated with injury risk and were included in the logistic regression model. Base effect terms Sex Nveh Speedzone Age State Year (of crash) First order interactions Sex*Speedzone Speedzone*Nveh Sex*Nveh Speedzone*Age Age*Sex Year*State Age*Nveh Nveh*State Nveh*Year Age*State Age*Year Speedzone*State Sex*Year Speedzone*Year Sex*State Second order interactions Sex*Speedzone*Nveh Sex*State*Year Age*Speedzone*Nveh Age*Sex*Speedzone Age*Nveh*State Nveh*State*Year Speedzone*Nveh*State Speedzone*State*Year Age*State*Year Speedzone*Nveh*Year Age*Sex*State Sex*Speedzone*State Age*Speedzone*State Age*Sex*Nveh Age*Nveh*Year Sex*Nveh*Year Sex*Nveh*State Age*Sex*Year Age*Speedzone*Year Third order interactions Age*Speedzone*Nveh*State Speedzone*Nveh*State*Year Age*Sex*Nveh*State Sex*Speedzone*Nveh*State Age*Sex*State*Year Age*Nveh*State*Year Age*Speedzone*Nveh*Year The overall (average) injury risk for involved drivers in tow-away crashes in NSW, Western Australia and Queensland was 17.43%. Appendix 7 gives the estimates of injury risk derived by logistic regression for the individual years of manufacture. The variability in the injury risk estimates relative to the year of manufacture can be seen from the width of the corresponding 95% confidence intervals. 5.5.2 Injury Severity The data on "injured drivers" covered 627,103 drivers who were injured in crashes in Victoria or New South Wales during 1987-2009 or South Australia during 1995-2009 or Queensland and Western Australia during 1991-2009. Because of missing values of some of the associated crash factors and the exclusion of pre-1964 vehicles and unknown years, logistic regression was performed on data relating to 596,090 injured drivers, 139,343 of whom were severely injured (killed or admitted to hospital). The analysis identified a number of statistically significant nonvehicle factor and their interactions associated with injury severity. These were: Base effect terms Sex First order interactions Sex*Speedzone Second order interactions Speedzone*Nveh*Year Third order interactions Speedzone*Nveh*State*Year VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 47 Nveh Speedzone Age State Year (of crash) Speedzone*Nveh Speedzone*State Speedzone*Age Age*Sex Year*State Age*Nveh Nveh*State Speedzone*Year Age*State Age*Year Sex*State Sex*Year Nveh*Year Sex*Nveh Age*Speedzone*Nveh Age*Sex*Year Age*State*Year Speedzone*Nveh*State Speedzone*State*Year Sex*State*Year Nveh*State*Year Sex*Nveh*State Age*Sex*Nveh Age*Speedzone*State Sex*Speedzone*Nveh Age*Nveh*Year Age*Nveh*State Age*Sex*State Age*Nveh*State*Year The overall (average) injury severity for injured drivers was 23.38%. Appendix 7 gives the estimates of injury severity derived by logistic regression for the individual years of manufacture. The variability in the estimates of injury severity relative to year of manufacture can be seen from the width of the corresponding 95% confidence intervals. 5.5.3 Crashworthiness by Year of Manufacture The crashworthiness estimates for each year of manufacture were obtained by multiplying the individual injury risk and injury severity estimates. Because each of the two components has been adjusted for the confounding factors, the resultant crashworthiness estimate is also adjusted for the influence of them. Appendix 8 gives the crashworthiness estimates and the associated 95% confidence intervals for each of the 45 years of manufacture included in the analysis. Each estimate is expressed as a percentage, representing the number of drivers killed or admitted to hospital per 100 drivers involved in a tow-away crash. 95% confidence limits on the estimates are also given. The crashworthiness estimates and their confidence limits are plotted for each year of manufacture in Figure 34. The relatively wide confidence intervals observed on the estimates of crashworthiness for years of manufacture 1964 to 1969 and 2009 are a reflection of the smaller numbers of crashes involving vehicles manufactured in these years appearing in the data. Introduction of key safety related Australian Design Rules as well as consumer information programs likely to have influenced levels of vehicle safety are also shown on Figure 34. Full details of these initiatives are given in Newstead et al (2006). 48 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE Figure 34: Crashworthiness by year of manufacture (with 95% confidence limits) 9.0% 8.0% 6.0% 5.0% Average = 4.1% 4.0% ADR 72 ADR 73 ADR 69 CRASHWORTHINESS RATINGS NCAP ADR 29 ADR 4A ADRs 10B, 21 ADRs 2, 3, 8, 10A 1.0% ADRs 11, 14, 22 ADRs 4, 5A 2.0% ADR 4C 3.0% ADRs 4B, 5B, 22A Crashworthiness Rating 7.0% 0.0% Year of Manufacture The injury risk component of the crashworthiness estimate, together with its 95% confidence limits, is plotted in Figure 35. In a similar way, the injury severity component is plotted in Figure 36. Figure 35: Injury risk by year of manufacture (with 95% confidence limits) 30.0% 25.0% Average = 17.4% Injury Risk 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Year of Manufacture Figure 36: Injury severity by year of manufacture (with 95% confidence limits) VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 49 35.0% 30.0% Average = 23.4% Injury Severity 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Year of Manufacture 5.6 Crashworthiness by Year of Manufacture and Market Group for the Australian Vehicle Fleet Using the methods of Newstead and Cameron (2001), trends in vehicle crashworthiness by year of manufacture have been estimated separately for each of the 10 defined vehicle market groups. Because vehicle model information was required to assign a market grouping, analysis of trends by year of manufacture within market group could only be carried out for vehicles manufactured from 1982 to 2009. In contrast to estimation of crashworthiness ratings by vehicle model, there was no minimum data requirement for a particular model to be included in the analysis. Hence all vehicle models for which a market group could be assigned were included. However, despite aggregation over vehicle models, it was not possible to estimate crashworthiness estimates for particular years of manufacture in certain market groups due to insufficient data quantities. 5.6.1 Injury Risk Injury risk was estimated from the data on 2,062,000 drivers of 1982 to 2009 vehicles with identified model, market group and covariate details involved in tow-away crashes in New South Wales, South Australia, Western Australia and Queensland during 1987 to 2009. The following non-vehicle factors and their interactions were statistically significantly associated with injury risk and were included in the logistic regression model. 50 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE Base effect terms Sex Nveh Speedzone Age State Year (of crash) First order interactions Sex*Speedzone Speedzone*Nveh Sex*Nveh Speedzone*Age Age*Sex Year*State Age*Nveh Nveh*State Nveh*Year Age*State Age*Year Speedzone*State Speedzone*Year Sex*Year Sex*State Second order interactions Sex*Speedzone*Nveh Age*Speedzone*Nveh Age*Nveh*State Nveh*State*Year Speedzone*Nveh*State Age*Speedzone*State Age*Speedzone*Year Speedzone*Nveh*Year Speedzone*State*Year Sex*Speedzone*State Age*State*Year Sex*State*Year Age*Sex*Speedzone Third order interactions Speedzone*Nveh*State*Year Age*Speedzone*Nveh*State Figure 37 shows the estimates of injury risk by year of vehicle manufacture for each of the 10 market groups considered. Estimates have been smoothed using a linear smoothing function over a window of three years (the central year and a year either side). Smoothing of the estimates was carried out to better identify the trends in the data. Smoothing in this way also compensates for known error in the recording of the year of vehicle manufacture, an error typically up to one year from the true date of manufacture. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 51 Figure 37: Estimated injury risk by year of vehicle manufacture and market group 35.00% 30.00% Injury Risk 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 Sports Utility Vehicle Compact Commercial-Van Small 1991 1993 1995 1997 Year of Manufacture Sports Utility Vehicle Large Large Light 1999 2001 Sports Utility Vehicle Medium Medium 2003 2005 2007 2009 Commercial-Ute People Mover 5.6.2 Injury Severity The data for computation of injury severity covered 326,561 drivers of 1982-2009 vehicles with identified model, market group and covariate details who were injured in crashes in Victoria or New South Wales during 1987-2009, South Australia during 1995-2009 or Queensland or Western Australia during 1991-2009. The following non-vehicle factors and their interactions were significantly associated with injury severity: Base effect terms Sex Nveh Speedzone Age State Year (of crash) First order interactions Speedzone*Nveh Sex*State Age*Sex Nveh*State Speedzone*State Year*State Age*Nveh Age*State Age*Year Speedzone*Year Nveh*Year Sex*Nveh Second order interactions Speedzone*Nveh*State Speedzone*State*Year Age*Nveh*State Age*State*Year Nveh*State*Year Speedzone*Nveh*Year Sex*Nveh*State Third order interactions Speedzone*Nveh*State*Year Figure 38 shows the estimates of injury severity by year of vehicle manufacture for each of the 10 market groups considered. Estimates have again been smoothed to better identify the trends in the data. 52 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE Figure 38: Estimated injury severity by year of vehicle manufacture and market group 40.00% 35.00% 30.00% Injury Severity 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 Sports Utility Vehicle Compact Commercial-Van Small 5.6.3 1991 1993 1995 1997 Year of Manufacture Sports Utility Vehicle Large Large Light 1999 2001 Sports Utility Vehicle Medium Medium 2003 2005 2007 2009 Commercial-Ute People Mover Crashworthiness by Year of Manufacture and Market Group The crashworthiness estimates for each year of manufacture were obtained by multiplying the individual injury risk and injury severity estimates. Appendix 9 gives the crashworthiness estimates and the associated 95% confidence intervals for each of the years of manufacture from 1982 to 2009 by each of the 10 vehicle market groups considered. Each estimate is expressed as a percentage, representing the number of drivers killed or admitted to hospital per 100 drivers involved in a towaway crash. The crashworthiness estimates are plotted for each year of manufacture and vehicle market group in Figure 39. Again, the values in Figure 39 have been smoothed for reasons given above. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 53 Figure 39: Estimated crashworthiness by year of vehicle manufacture and market group 9.00% 8.00% 7.00% Crashworthiness Rating 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 Year of Manufacture Sports Utility Vehicle Compact Commercial-Van Small Sports Utility Vehicle Large Large Light Sports Utility Vehicle Medium Medium Commercial-Ute People Mover Figure 39 clearly shows differential performance in crashworthiness between vehicle market groups, reflecting the same differences seen in average crashworthiness by market groups found in the make and model specific ratings presented above (see Appendix 4). It is, however, difficult from Figure 39 to gauge differential improvements in crashworthiness over time. This is due to the complexity of the figure with 10 market groups as well as the relatively high variance in some of the year to year estimates despite smoothing. To try and better measure differential time based safety improvements by market group, Figure 40 presents average crashworthiness by five year time blocks of manufacture for the periods 1982-1986, 1987-1991, 1992-1996, 1997-2001 and 2002-2006 and a three year time block for 2007-2009. In addition, estimates have been scaled to be relative to the first time block (1982-1986) for each market groups. Whilst Figure 40 no longer reflects average differences in crashworthiness between market groups, it more clearly demonstrates differential performance between market groups in improving crashworthiness over time. 54 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE Figure 40: Average crashworthiness by year of manufacture and market group by year range relative to the 1982-1986 average 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1982‐1986 1987‐1991 Sports Utility Vehicle Compact Sports Utility Vehicle Medium Commercial‐Van Medium Small 1992‐1996 1997‐2001 2002‐2009 Sports Utility Vehicle Large Commercial‐Ute Large People Mover Light Figure 40 shows that certain vehicle market groups have experienced greater relative improvements in crashworthiness over the study period than others. The medium sports utility vehicle and people mover market groups have shown the greatest improvement in crashworthiness over the study period of between 62 and 64 percent. The commercial van, compact and large sports utility vehicle market groups had the next greatest improvement in crashworthiness of between 55 and 59 percent. The commercial ute, medium and light car market groups have shown the next greatest improvement in crashworthiness over the study period of between 50 and 52 percent. Gains were consistent across time for the light market group. The small and larget market groups have shown the most modest gains over the study period of between 43 and 48 percent. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 55 7. CONCLUSIONS Crashworthiness ratings estimate the risk of a driver being killed or seriously injured when involved in a tow-away crash, to a degree of accuracy represented by the confidence limits of the rating in each case. Additional crash data has enabled the crashworthiness ratings to be obtained for a larger range of car models than in previous studies with the ratings now covering 471 different models of passenger cars, four wheel drive vehicles, passenger vans and light commercial vehicles manufactured from 1982-2009 classified into one of 10 market groups. The new data set has been able to produce more up-to-date and reliable estimates of the crashworthiness of individual car models than those published previously. Vehicle aggressivity ratings were also updated. The aggressivity measure considers the injury outcome to both drivers of other vehicles and unprotected road users including pedestrians, bicyclists and motorcyclists. The aggressivity rating measured the risk of death or serious injury a vehicle poses to drivers of other cars or unprotected road users with which it impacts in a crash. The mix of other drivers and unprotected road users on which the rating for each vehicle was based was standardised along with various other non-vehicle related factors using logistic regression techniques. The aggressivity measure was calculated for 439 models of Australian and New Zealand passenger vehicles (passenger cars, four wheel drive vehicles, passenger vans and light commercial vehicles) manufactured between the years 1982-2009. The degree of accuracy of the aggressivity ratings is represented by the confidence limits of the rating in each case. Estimated vehicle aggressivity towards drivers of other vehicles or unprotected road users was found to have little or no relationship with ratings of vehicle crashworthiness, demonstrating the independence of the two complementary measures. For this update, 434 or 92% of the vehicle models rated for crashworthiness were also able to be rated for aggressivity. The total secondary safety index summarises the combined crashworthiness and aggressivity of a vehicle in a way that best reflects the relative importance of each component in real world crash circumstances. Applied to the available police reported crash data it was possible to estimate statistically reliable ratings for 535 distinct makes and models of vehicles. Comparison of the total secondary safety index with the crashworthiness and aggressivity estimates shows the total vehicle secondary safety index is much more strongly associated with the crashworthiness measure than the aggressivity measure. This is as expected given that a vehicle’s crashworthiness performance is relevant in a wider range of crash types than is its aggressivity. For vehicle regulators and safety advocates, the total secondary safety index possibly represents the most relevant measure of vehicle secondary safety performance as it encapsulates the total performance of the vehicle in preventing serious injury outcome for all road users. However, the crashworthiness and aggressivity components are still important separately to identify those characteristics of a vehicle leading to good performance in each dimension. Consumers are likely to be most interested in the crashworthiness of a vehicle as it has the most direct relevance for them. However, introducing a new presentation style identifying best pick vehicles that have excellent crashworthiness as well as total safety will help to continue to focus consumers on the need for the vehicles they choose to protect other road users with which they collide. The crashworthiness of passenger vehicles in the Australian vehicle fleet (cars, station wagons, four wheel drives, vans and taxis), has been estimated by year of vehicle manufacture for the years 1964 to 2009. It shows patterns of improvements in crashworthiness with the greatest gains over the years 1970 to 1979 during which time a number of new Australian Design Rules aimed at occupant protection took effect. Further significant gains in crashworthiness have also been observed over the years 1986 to 2009, with notable steady gains from 1985 to 1995 and since 2000. Trends in crashworthiness by year of vehicle manufacture from 1982 to 2009 for each of the 10 vehicle 56 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE market groups were also estimated showing differential improvement in crashworthiness by market group by year of manufacture. VEHICLE SAFETY RATINGS: 2011 UPDATE 57 8. ASSUMPTIONS AND QUALIFICATIONS The results and conclusions presented in this report are based on a number of assumptions and warrant a number of qualifications that the reader should note. These are listed in the following sections. 8.1 Assumptions It has been assumed that: • TAC claims records and, Victorian, New South Wales, South Australian, Western Australian, Queensland and New Zealand Police crash report recorded driver injury, hospitalisation and death with the same degree of accuracy for each vehicle make and model. • There was no bias in the merging of TAC claims and Victorian Police crash reports related to the model of car and factors affecting the severity of the crash. • Crashed vehicle registration numbers were recorded accurately on Police crash reports and that they correctly identified the crashed vehicles in the Victorian, New South Wales, South Australian, Queensland, Western Australian and New Zealand vehicle registers. • The adjustments for driver sex, age, speed zone, the number of vehicles involved and the state and year in which the crash occurred removed the influences of the other main factors available in the data that affected crash severity and injury susceptibility. • The form of the logistic models used to relate injury risk and injury severity with the available factors influencing these outcomes (including the car model, market group or year of manufacture) was correct. • Information contained in the Police crash records allowed accurate matching of both vehicles involved in crashes between two passenger cars and vehicles impacting unprotected road users for the purpose of calculating aggressivity and total secondary safety ratings. 8.2 Qualifications The results and conclusions warrant at least the following qualifications: 58 • Only driver crash involvements and injuries have been considered. Passengers occupying the same model cars may have had different injury outcomes. In 95% of crashes, the driver of the vehicle is the most seriously injured occupant hence justifying the focus on driver protection. • Some models with the same name through the 1982-2009 years of manufacture may have varied substantially in their construction, specification and mass. Although there should be few such models in these updated results, the rating score calculated for these models represent an average across the variants aggregated. There may be significant variation in secondary safety performance across the aggregated models. • Other factors not collected in the data (e.g. crash impact severity) may differ between the models and may affect the results. However, earlier analysis has suggested that the different rating scores are predominantly due to vehicle factors alone (Cameron et al 1992). MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE REFERENCES Broughton, J. 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(2000) Crashworthiness study - data entry Land Transport Safety Authority, Wellington, New Zealand. 62 MONASH UNIVERSITY ACCIDENT RESEARCH CENTRE APPENDIX 1 MAKES AND MODELS OF CARS INVOLVED IN VICTORIAN AND NSW CRASHES DURING 1987-2009, SOUTH AUSTRALIA CRASHES DURING 1995-2009 AND WESTERN AUSTRALIA, QUEENSLAND AND NEW ZEALAND CRASHES DURING 1991-2009 FREQUENCY FOR EACH MODEL FOR ALL TYPES OF CRASHES (NSW/VIC/SA/QLD/WA/NZ) Note: Only those models with a Market Group displayed were used in the crashworthiness analysis MAKE/MODEL Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Audi Audi Audi Audi Audi Audi Audi 164 33 75 90 GTV Sprint Alfasud Alfetta Guilietta Quattro 156 166 GTV / Spider 147 / GT 159 / Brera Others A4 / S4 Cabriolet A3 Q7 TT A5 / S5 A4 / S4 B8 Q5 A6/S6/AllRoad 89-92 83-92 86-92 85-88 82-84 82-88 82-84 82-88 82-86 99-06 99-08 98-04 01-09 06-09 02-08 04-09 06-09 06-09 07-09 08-09 09-09 95-04 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) AL01Z AL02Z AL03Z AL04Z AL05Z AL06Z AL07Z AL08Z AL09Z AL10Z AL13Z AL14Z AL15Z AL16Z AL17Z AL99Z AU10Z AU11Z AU12Z AU13Z AU15Z AU16Z AU17Z AUD1A 118 697 218 83 164 131 114 57 65 1 445 35 137 217 23 517 28 68 8 7 4 9 1 52 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 13 113 30 11 18 24 22 12 8 0 83 4 19 36 4 65 10 11 3 1 2 1 1 7 131 810 248 94 182 155 136 69 73 1 528 39 156 253 27 582 38 79 11 8 6 10 2 59 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 12 119 27 9 13 30 18 4 8 1 49 3 7 24 5 153 10 9 2 1 2 3 1 16 6 30 4 5 10 6 6 6 2 0 8 1 1 3 0 40 1 2 2 1 0 1 0 1 18 149 31 14 23 36 24 10 10 1 57 4 8 27 5 193 11 11 4 2 2 4 1 17 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MARKET GROUP Small Small Small Small Small Medium Medium MAKE/MODEL Audi Audi Audi AUDI Audi Audi Audi Audi Audi BMW Mini BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW A6/S6/AllRoad/RS6 A8 A4 A8/S8/A6 A3/S3 TT A4 A8 Others Z3 E36 Mini Cooper Z4 5 Series E60 / E61 X5 6 Series E63 / E64 1 Series E81 / E82 / E87 / E88 3 Series E90 / E91 X6 E71 / E72 3 Series E30 3 Series E36 3 Series E46 3 Others 5 Series E28 5 Series E34 5 Series E39 5 Others 6 Series E24 7 Series E23 7 Series E32 05-09 95-03 95-01 97-04 99-06 01-08 03-09 97-03 02-09 03-09 03-09 01-08 04-09 04-09 05-09 08-09 82-91 92-98 99-06 82-88 89-95 96-03 86-89 82-86 87-94 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) AUD1B AUD2Z AUD3Z AUD4Z AUD5Z AUD6Z AUD7Z AUD9Z AUDIZ BM10Z BM11Z BM12Z BM13Z BM14Z BM15Z BM17Z BM18Z BM21Z BM3 A BM3 B BM3 C BM3 Z BM5 A BM5 B BM5 C BM5 Z BM6 Z BM7 A BM7 B 9 10 917 117 404 119 623 5 1498 215 202 51 173 504 6 150 342 3 3824 5306 2765 112 1010 881 873 27 6 195 333 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 0 4 139 8 81 18 99 1 259 33 44 9 31 60 1 31 80 0 625 973 601 48 127 136 112 11 0 16 51 9 14 1056 125 485 137 722 6 1757 248 246 60 204 564 7 181 422 3 4449 6279 3366 160 1137 1017 985 38 6 211 384 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 2 4 120 21 62 13 63 . 252 37 56 7 18 30 . 17 56 . 700 959 417 48 117 156 130 10 1 24 54 0 1 27 2 8 2 9 . 68 10 7 2 4 3 . 2 4 . 150 172 78 13 28 35 23 3 0 7 16 2 5 147 23 70 15 72 . 320 47 63 9 22 33 . 19 60 . 850 1131 495 61 145 191 153 13 1 31 70 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 MARKET GROUP Medium Small Medium Medium Small Medium SUV - Large Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Large Large MAKE/MODEL BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW Chrysler Chrysler Chrysler Chrysler Chrysler Chrysler Chrysler Chrysler Chrysler Citroen Citroen Citroen Citroen Citroen Citroen Citroen Citroen Citroen Citroen Citroen Citroen Citroen Citroen Citroen 7 Series E38 7 Series E65 7 Others 8 Series E31 Others Voyager Neon Neon PT Cruiser Crossfire 300C Sebring Grand Voyager RG Others BX C3 Pluriel C4 C2 Berlingo C5 Dispatch AX Xantia Berlingo Xsara XM C5 C3 Others 95-01 02-08 90-99 97-01 96-99 00-02 00-09 03-08 06-09 07-09 01-07 86-94 04-09 05-09 04-08 03-09 08-09 08-09 91-93 94-00 99-03 00-05 91-00 01-08 02-09 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) BM7 C BM7 D BM7 Z BM8 Z BM99Z CHR1Z CHR2Z CHR3Z CHR4Z CHR6Z CHR7Z CHR8Z CHR9Z CHRYZ CI1 Z CI10Z CI11Z CI12Z CI13Z CI15Z CI16Z CI3 Z CI4 Z CI5 Z CI6 Z CI7 Z CI8 Z CI9 Z CI99Z 201 52 13 22 1212 475 499 116 168 13 64 6 81 16 95 14 82 21 44 4 3 5 58 103 83 7 89 109 59 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 22 8 3 1 205 78 108 23 37 1 9 0 21 1 4 2 17 3 11 1 0 1 14 18 26 1 15 33 3 223 60 16 23 1417 553 607 139 205 14 73 6 102 17 99 16 99 24 55 5 3 6 72 121 109 8 104 142 62 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 28 5 2 1 255 58 84 21 34 1 8 . 8 9 31 1 8 2 2 . . 15 21 5 23 1 5 16 3 5 1 1 0 63 8 19 5 4 0 0 . 1 0 7 0 2 0 1 . . 4 4 2 2 1 1 3 1 33 6 3 1 318 66 103 26 38 1 8 . 9 9 38 1 10 2 3 . . 19 25 7 25 2 6 19 4 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 MARKET GROUP Large People Mover Small Small Medium Small MAKE/MODEL Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Charade Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Charade Charade Charade Charade Others Feroza / Rocky Handivan Hi-Jet Rocky / Rugger Pyzar Move Sirion / Storia Terios Handivan / Cuore Applause YRV Charade Copen Sirion / Storia Mira Delta F20/25/50/55/60/65 Others 1.5i Cielo Espero Nubira Lanos Leganza 82-86 87 88-92 93-00 89-97 82-90 82-90 85-98 97-01 97-99 98-04 97-05 99-03 89-99 01-04 03-05 03-06 05-05 90-96 94-95 95-97 95-97 97-03 97-03 97-02 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) D1 A D1 B D1 C D1 D D1 Z D11 Z D12 Z D13 Z D14 Z D15 Z D16 Z D17 Z D18 Z D19 Z D2 Z D20 Z D21 Z D22 Z D23 Z D3 Z D4 Z D5 Z D99 Z DA01Z DA03Z DA05Z DA06Z DA07Z DA08Z 1936 331 7254 7065 261 1103 710 136 544 369 72 1407 742 206 3325 6 59 11 32 727 1590 81 1146 200 3884 816 2985 4668 757 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 592 102 2073 1886 164 248 300 75 148 100 25 466 295 86 837 6 27 5 4 321 236 32 354 64 1219 256 772 1449 172 2528 433 9327 8951 425 1351 1010 211 692 469 97 1873 1037 292 4162 12 86 16 36 1048 1826 113 1500 264 5103 1072 3757 6117 929 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 674 153 1463 1136 118 188 237 68 97 68 25 357 219 53 575 7 19 4 15 295 123 18 365 56 897 187 585 1049 134 198 28 374 282 38 57 61 22 50 15 7 66 49 13 132 1 0 2 4 88 44 10 111 8 203 49 124 257 29 872 181 1837 1418 156 245 298 90 147 83 32 423 268 66 707 8 19 6 19 383 167 28 476 64 1100 236 709 1306 163 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 MARKET GROUP Light Light Light SUV - Compact Commercial - Van Commercial - Van SUV - Compact Light Light SUV - Compact Commercial - Van Small Light Small Small Medium Small Small Medium MAKE/MODEL Daewoo / Ssango Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ssangyong Ssangyong Ssangyong Ssangyong Ssangyong Ssangyong Musso Matiz Tacuma Lacetti Kalos Rexton Korando Chairman Stavic Kyron Actyon 98-02 99-04 00-04 03-04 03-04 03-09 04-06 05-08 05-09 06-09 07-09 Dodge Dodge Dodge Dodge Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Caliber Avenger Nitro Journey Laser/Met Laser Laser Laser/Met Others Cortina Telstar Others Escort Falcon XE/XF Fairlane Z & LTD F Falcon EA / Falcon EB Series I Falcon EB Series II / Falcon ED Falcon Others Fairlane N & LTD D 06-09 07-09 07-09 08-09 90 91-94 95-97 82-82 82-82 82-88 82-87 88-Mar 92 Apr 92-94 88-94 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) DA09Z DA10Z DA11Z DA12Z DA13Z DA14Z DA15Z DA16Z DA17Z DA18Z DA19Z DA99Z DO1 Z DO2 Z DO3 Z DO4 Z F01 B F01 C F01 D F01 Z F02 Z F04 Z F05 Z F06 Z F07 Z F08 C F08 D F08 Z F09 A 292 680 97 142 333 35 9 1 14 7 11 50 5 6 9 2 6874 15941 4790 857 29 268 30 59826 6267 48367 21455 650 5157 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 37 376 32 39 116 14 3 0 5 2 1 18 5 0 2 0 1654 3813 1190 469 11 123 3 10153 1031 8176 3584 174 782 329 1056 129 181 449 49 12 1 19 9 12 68 10 6 11 2 8528 19754 5980 1326 40 391 33 69979 7298 56543 25039 824 5939 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 35 295 16 23 80 9 3 1 3 1 1 16 5 . 1 . 1604 3454 975 359 310 94 3 9132 956 7035 2985 254 709 16 58 8 8 26 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 . 1 . 350 797 236 95 81 25 1 2857 284 2008 893 66 221 51 353 24 31 106 10 3 1 4 2 1 18 5 . 2 . 1954 4251 1211 454 391 119 4 11989 1240 9043 3878 320 930 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 MARKET GROUP SUV - Medium Light Medium Small Light Small Small Large Large Large Large Large MAKE/MODEL Ford Ford Ford Fairlane Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford / Nissan Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane & LTD AU Fairlane & LTD BA/BF N<D D Others Mondeo Falcon FG Mondeo Capri Festiva WD/WH/WF Falcon Panel Van Falcon Panel Van Falcon Panel VanOthers Falcon Ute / XFN Ute Falcon Ute Falcon Ute Falcon Ute AU Falcon Ute BA/BF Falcon Ute Others Ford F-Series Spectron Trader Commercials Sierra Bronco Probe Falcon EF/EL Transit Transit Explorer 95-98 99-02 03-07 95-01 08-09 07-09 89-94 94-01 82-95 96-99 82-95 96-99 99 00-02 03-08 82-92 86-90 82-87 94-98 94-98 95-00 01-07 00-01 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) F09 B F09 C F09 D F09 Z F10 Z F101Z F11 Z F43 Z F44 B F45 A F45 B F45 Z F46 A F46 B F46 C F46 D F46 E F46 Z F47 Z F52 Z F53 Z F54 Z F55 Z F56 Z F61 Z F62 Z F64 A F64 B F65 Z 1959 1158 624 16 2407 335 37 1729 14133 4379 583 5 11620 2601 791 2832 2491 15 1059 48 949 13287 3 198 272 47735 1226 733 405 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 337 200 95 2 429 41 9 470 4767 547 64 0 1750 438 138 449 382 1 133 15 87 2471 1 28 54 8670 164 85 104 2296 1358 719 18 2836 376 46 2199 18900 4926 647 5 13370 3039 929 3281 2873 16 1192 63 1036 15758 4 226 326 56405 1390 818 509 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 283 121 31 2 605 44 7 407 3400 454 68 3 1236 321 110 369 306 1 106 25 64 1818 1 15 63 6763 128 109 87 87 28 12 0 109 6 1 85 859 106 13 0 432 99 33 103 91 0 27 4 17 511 0 12 12 1828 33 15 34 370 149 43 2 714 50 8 492 4259 560 81 3 1668 420 143 472 397 1 133 29 81 2329 1 27 75 8591 161 124 121 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 MARKET GROUP Large Large Large Medium Large Small Light Commercial - Van Commercial - Van Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute SUV - Large Medium Large Commercial - Van Commercial - Van SUV - Large MAKE/MODEL Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ferrari Fiat Fiat Fiat Fiat Fiat Fiat Fiat Fiat Fiat Fiat FSM Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Falcon AU Taurus Ka Cougar Mustang Explorer Falcon BA/BF Focus LR F-Series Territory SX/SY Fiesta WP/WQ Focus LS / LT Focus LV Others 98-02 96-98 99-02 99-03 01-03 01-05 02-08 02-05 01-06 04-09 04-08 05-09 09-09 Argenta Croma Regata Superbrava X-1/9 Ducato Punto 500 Ritmo Others 83-85 88-89 84-88 82-85 82-85 02-07 06-09 08-09 08-09 Commodore VN/VP / Lexcen Calibra Statesman/Caprice WB 89-93 94-97 82-85 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) F66 Z F67 Z F68 Z F69 Z F71 Z F72 Z F73 Z F75 Z F76 Z F77 Z F78 Z F79 Z F83 Z F99 Z FERAZ FI01Z FI02Z FI03Z FI04Z FI11Z FI12Z FI13Z FI15Z FI16Z FI99Z FSM Z H1 Z H12 Z H14 A 23925 482 435 511 13 276 14696 1323 261 1117 83 1079 8 46975 11 13 22 244 48 12 58 30 7 1 152 13 63569 483 139 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 4798 106 144 131 2 56 2802 361 35 185 20 265 1 7394 0 4 5 34 15 4 5 6 1 1 18 2 12000 69 23 28723 588 579 642 15 332 17498 1684 296 1302 103 1344 9 54369 11 17 27 278 63 16 63 36 8 2 170 15 75569 552 162 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 3512 91 133 118 2 52 1970 326 20 135 22 197 1 11819 1 3 9 27 9 3 15 2 1 1 49 6 9738 101 32 874 28 28 23 1 12 469 54 10 35 0 42 0 3803 0 1 1 8 6 3 3 0 0 0 10 1 3234 18 18 4386 119 161 141 3 64 2439 380 30 170 22 239 1 15622 1 4 10 35 15 4 18 2 1 1 59 7 12972 119 50 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 MARKET GROUP Large Large Light Medium SUV - Large Large Small Commercial - Ute SUV - Medium Small Small Large Medium Large MAKE/MODEL Holden Holden Stateman/Caprice Holden Holden Holden Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Stateman/Caprice VQ Stateman/Caprice VR/VS Others Nova Others Commodore Ute VG/VP Camira Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo Others Kingswood Piazza Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo Rodeo Rodeo Others Shuttle / WFR Van WB Series Torana/Sunbird Gemini Gemini Gemini RB Gemini Others Commodore Others Commodore VR/VS / Lexcen Commodore Ute VR/VS Frontera / Mu 90-93 94-98 90-93 82-89 82-91 92-97 98-02 86-88 82-85 86-88 89-95 96-98 99-02 82-87 82-85 82-84 85 86-87 93-97 94-00 95-03 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) H14 B H14 C H14 Z H15 Z H18 Z H2 Z H21 A H21 B H21 C H21 Z H22 Z H23 Z H24 A H24 B H24 C H24 D H24 E H24 Z H26 Z H27 Z H28 Z H3 A H3 B H3 C H3 Z H31 Z H33 Z H34 Z H35 Z 714 4598 143 121 2055 15862 938 850 892 47 33 56 817 470 7473 3216 3410 195 528 1934 10 6247 1253 1059 1 36 59969 8616 447 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 106 766 22 33 363 3656 214 149 192 9 7 9 143 82 1359 642 682 48 105 297 0 1479 319 333 0 1 11034 1592 94 820 5364 165 154 2418 19518 1152 999 1084 56 40 65 960 552 8832 3858 4092 243 633 2231 10 7726 1572 1392 1 37 71003 10208 541 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 99 617 19 33 231 3754 242 170 126 49 5 17 120 69 902 435 411 43 76 182 1 1527 318 317 . 14 8409 1011 68 42 172 3 7 101 949 48 43 39 14 6 2 35 10 334 135 158 10 28 97 0 381 76 69 . 1 2395 421 19 141 789 22 40 332 4703 290 213 165 63 11 19 155 79 1236 570 569 53 104 279 1 1908 394 386 . 15 10804 1432 87 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 MARKET GROUP Large Large Commercial - Ute Medium SUV - Medium SUV - Medium SUV - Medium Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute Commercial - Van Commercial - Ute Small Small Large Commercial - Ute SUV - Medium MAKE/MODEL Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Vectra Commodore VT/VX Suburban Statesman/Caprice WH Astra Jap Astra TR Astra TS Astra Others Commodore VU Ute Commodore VY/VZ Commodore VY/VZ Ute Monaro Cruze Barina XC Zafira TT Statesman/Caprice WK/WL Adventra Barina SB Barina Others Rodeo Vectra ZC Astra AH Barina TK Viva JF Tigra Captiva CG Commodore VB-VL Commodore VE Statesman/Caprice WM 97-03 97-02 98-00 99-03 87 96-98 98-06 00-02 02-07 02-07 01-05 02-06 01-06 01-05 03-06 03-06 95-00 03-08 03-05 04-09 05-09 05-09 05-06 06-09 82-88 06-09 06-09 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) H36 Z H37 Z H38 Z H39 Z H4 B H4 D H4 E H4 Z H41 Z H42 Z H43 Z H44 Z H45 Z H46 Z H47 Z H48 Z H49 Z H5 D H5 Z H50 Z H51 Z H55 Z H56 Z H57 Z H58 Z H59 Z H6 Z H60 Z H61 Z 3623 45295 44 1408 958 1311 9609 63 2315 13655 4460 737 547 2517 283 620 216 7128 257 3633 365 1691 880 604 26 277 54337 3312 94 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 808 9299 9 254 191 277 2516 26 391 2852 833 144 221 756 69 115 41 2208 109 716 75 448 338 191 21 74 10052 683 12 4431 54594 53 1662 1149 1588 12125 89 2706 16507 5293 881 768 3273 352 735 257 9336 366 4349 440 2139 1218 795 47 351 64389 3995 106 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 708 6801 8 178 181 292 1799 33 288 2145 575 114 164 552 39 64 41 1508 141 420 83 268 218 137 16 49 9027 472 9 128 1618 0 38 53 52 320 9 103 450 188 39 52 107 9 18 4 300 26 129 13 48 58 25 3 7 2880 104 2 836 8419 8 216 234 344 2119 42 391 2595 763 153 216 659 48 82 45 1808 167 549 96 316 276 162 19 56 11907 576 11 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 MARKET GROUP Medium Large Large Small Small Commercial - Ute Large Commercial - Ute Large SUV - Compact Light People Mover Large SUV - Medium Light Commercial - Ute Medium Small Light Small SUV - Medium Large Large MAKE/MODEL Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hummer Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Commodore VE Ute Epica EP Colorado RC Cruze JG Others H3 Excel Excel Excel / Accent Excel Others Trajet Elantra Santa Fe Getz / TB Sonata Sonata EF Tiburon Terracan Elantra Lavita Tucson Sonata Sonata NF Grandeur TG Accent Santa Fe i30 iLoad S Coupe Lantra 07-09 07-09 08-09 09-09 07-09 86-90 90-94 95-00 00-07 00-06 00-06 02-09 98-01 02-05 02-09 01-07 01-03 04-09 89-97 05-09 06-09 06-09 06-09 07-09 08-09 90-96 91-95 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) H62 Z H63 Z H64 Z H65 Z H99 Z HU01Z HY1 A HY1 B HY1 C HY1 Z HY10Z HY11Z HY12Z HY13Z HY15A HY15B HY16Z HY17Z HY18Z HY19Z HY2 Z HY20Z HY21Z HY22Z HY23Z HY25Z HY27Z HY4 Z HY5 A 162 5 59 14 35129 6 2986 9727 26055 346 41 2432 432 2788 990 231 82 225 54 140 3785 122 20 141 1 51 17 1397 2421 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 29 4 15 1 4947 1 875 2800 7912 149 7 632 90 796 219 55 31 36 6 24 814 36 1 28 0 12 1 370 590 191 9 74 15 40076 7 3861 12527 33967 495 48 3064 522 3584 1209 286 113 261 60 164 4599 158 21 169 1 63 18 1767 3011 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 16 3 9 . 9837 1 950 2232 5453 131 8 378 66 498 137 30 18 22 27 26 706 21 2 27 2 11 1 293 407 5 1 2 . 3509 0 243 542 1153 35 3 69 15 116 32 4 3 3 1 7 135 0 0 2 0 2 0 63 102 21 4 11 . 13346 1 1193 2774 6606 166 11 447 81 614 169 34 21 25 28 33 841 21 2 29 2 13 1 356 509 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 MARKET GROUP 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 Commercial - Ute Small Small Small Small SUV - Medium Light Medium Medium Medium SUV - Medium SUV - Compact Large Small Small Small MAKE/MODEL Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Lantra Lantra Others Coupe Grandeaur / XG Accent Others Mirage / Colt Sigma / Galant / Sapporo / Lambda Magna TM/TN/TP / Sigma / V3000 Charger/Valiant Magna TE/TF/TH/TJ / Verada KE/KF/KH/KJ / Diamante Starion Lancer / Mirage CA Lancer / Mirage CB Lancer / Mirage CC Lancer / Mirage CE Lancer Others Nimbus / Chariot / Spacewagon Nimbus / Chariot Nimbus Cordia Magna TR/TS / Verada KR/KS / V3000 / Diamante Galant Galant Galant Others Canter Starwagon / L300 Starwagon / Delica Starwagon 96-00 96-00 99-00 00-06 82-88 82-84 85-90 96-03 82-87 89-90 91-92 93-95 96-03 85-91 92-98 99-03 83-87 91-96 89-93 95-96 83-86 87-93 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) MARKET GROUP HY5 B HY5 Z HY7 Z HY8 Z HY9 Z HY99Z I01 Z I02 Z I04 Z I05 Z I06 A 4671 50 963 350 4774 1369 12088 12739 30018 32 20815 1078 13 213 56 1332 351 3274 2248 5206 3 3634 5749 63 1176 406 6106 1720 15362 14987 35224 35 24449 845 20 153 33 857 738 3383 2820 4861 2 2741 172 3 41 3 184 277 797 697 1308 1 582 1017 23 194 36 1041 1015 4180 3517 6169 3 3323 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 Small I07 Z I09 A I09 B I09 C I09 D I09 Z I10 A I10 B I10 C I12 Z I15 Z 179 5697 917 8013 19882 3 499 893 336 1757 29525 34 1154 216 1746 5098 1 100 180 47 349 4823 213 6851 1133 9759 24980 4 599 1073 383 2106 34348 46 1321 382 1639 3649 488 221 251 39 566 4460 23 295 71 357 671 110 41 45 5 152 950 69 1616 453 1996 4320 598 262 296 44 718 5410 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 Medium Small Small Small Small I16 A I16 B I16 Z I21 Z I23 A I23 B 14 1702 9 1465 3194 6491 1 321 11 152 724 1151 15 2023 20 1617 3918 7642 593 496 424 163 605 970 119 99 96 47 204 277 712 595 520 210 809 1247 0 1 0 0 1 1 Small Large Small Light Medium Large Large People Mover People Mover People Mover Small Large Medium People Mover People Mover MAKE/MODEL Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi / Peugeot Mitsubishi Isuzu Isuzu Isuzu Jaguar Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Starwagon Others Commercials Pajero Pajero Pajero Pajero NM / NP / NS Pajero NM / NP / NS Pajero Others 3000GT Challenger Pajero iO Lancer CE / CG / Cedia Magna TL/TW / Verada KL/KW Outlander Lancer CH / CJ Grandis Colt 380 Triton MK Triton ML / MN Outlander / 4007 Others NKR Series NPR Series Others XJ6 No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) 92-97 98-06 99-03 02-03 03-05 03-06 03-09 04-09 04-09 05-08 96-06 06-09 06-09 I23 C I23 D I23 Z I24 Z I25 A I25 B I25 C I25 D I25 E I25 Z I26 Z I30 Z I34 Z I37 Z I38 Z I39 Z I40 Z I42 Z I43 Z I44 Z I45 Z I46 Z I47 Z 1931 1498 156 5390 2183 567 4308 1502 102 115 3 662 100 60 1675 422 2527 47 260 603 1733 363 191 304 250 67 952 414 65 609 185 16 43 2 108 20 37 328 100 614 4 65 106 227 60 27 2235 1748 223 6342 2597 632 4917 1687 118 158 5 770 120 97 2003 522 3141 51 325 709 1960 423 218 262 170 191 686 419 93 485 125 15 30 3 81 12 31 241 54 384 5 80 80 150 45 19 55 52 47 208 132 29 130 30 2 11 1 23 3 8 33 11 69 1 18 11 32 6 2 317 222 238 894 551 122 615 155 17 41 4 104 15 39 274 65 453 6 98 91 182 51 21 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 82-86 I99 Z IS01Z IS02Z IS99Z J01 A 34753 993 2323 3093 359 7508 126 181 240 55 42261 1119 2504 3333 414 8585 83 108 258 42 2737 17 31 103 13 11322 100 139 361 55 0 0 0 0 1 95-98 98-03 82-90 91 92-99 00-06 07-09 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 MODEL CODE MARKET GROUP People Mover People Mover SUV - Medium SUV - Medium SUV - Medium SUV - Medium Large SUV - Compact Small Light Large Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute SUV - Compact Large MAKE/MODEL Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jeep Jeep Jeep Jeep Jeep Jeep Jeep Jeep Jeep Jeep Jeep Kia Kia Kia XJ6 XJ6 XJ8 XJ6 Others V12 Saloon XJS XJR XK8 / XKR S-Type X-Type XJ XK XF Others 87-94 95-97 98-03 Cherokee XJ Grand Cherokee ZG Wrangler Grand Cherokee WJ/WG Cherokee KJ Grand Cherokee WH Commander Wrangler Patriot Compass Others Sportage Ceres Mentor 96-00 96-99 96-04 99-05 01-07 05-09 06-09 05-09 07-09 07-09 82-96 95-03 96-05 99-08 02-09 03-09 06-09 08-09 98-03 92-00 97-00 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) J01 B J01 C J01 D J01 Z J02 Z J04 Z J05 Z J07 Z J08 Z J09 Z J10 Z J11 Z J12 Z J99 Z JAG Z JE01Z JE02Z JE03Z JE04Z JE05Z JE06Z JE07Z JE08Z JE09Z JE10Z JEEPZ K01 Z K02 Z K03 Z 507 115 14 25 11 69 4 35 185 154 33 5 4 384 4 1332 305 323 269 244 49 17 73 5 1 150 750 1019 16 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 65 13 1 3 2 11 0 4 20 24 6 1 1 50 1 217 38 61 36 53 5 4 11 2 0 23 182 288 4 572 128 15 28 13 80 4 39 205 178 39 6 5 434 5 1549 343 384 305 297 54 21 84 7 1 173 932 1307 20 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 63 9 1 5 2 10 1 4 21 19 4 . . 66 2 225 50 65 55 55 4 4 15 2 1 31 149 232 3 11 5 1 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 2 . . 21 1 60 11 19 10 9 1 0 1 0 0 7 32 68 1 74 14 2 5 2 11 1 5 24 21 6 . . 87 3 285 61 84 65 64 5 4 16 2 1 38 181 300 4 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 MARKET GROUP Large Large Medium SUV - Medium SUV - Large SUV - Medium SUV - Large SUV - Medium SUV - Compact Commercial - Ute MAKE/MODEL Kia Kia Kia Kia Kia Kia Kia Kia Kia Kia Kia Kia Kia Kia Kia Kia Lada Lancia Leyland Land Rover Land Rover Land Rover Land Rover Land Rover Land Rover Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Credos Rio Carens Carnival Spectra Optima K2700 Pregio Sorento Cerato LD Rio JB Sportage KM Magentis Carnival K2900 Cerato TD 98-01 00-05 00-02 99-06 01-04 01-06 02-08 02-06 03-09 04-08 05-09 05-09 06-09 06-09 08-09 09-09 Defender Discovery Discovery Discovery 3 Discovery 4 Others Laser / 323 / Familia 323 323 / Familia / Lantis 323 92-09 91-02 02-04 05-09 09-09 82-88 89 90-93 94 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) K04 Z K05 Z K06 Z K07 Z K08 Z K09 Z K10 Z K11 Z K12 Z K13 Z K14 Z K15 Z K16 Z K17 Z K18 Z K20 Z LADAZ LANCZ LEY Z LRO1Z LRO2A LRO2B LRO3Z LRO4Z LROVZ M01 A M01 B M01 C M01 D 66 2037 55 983 265 68 128 592 209 386 511 78 22 161 2 1 223 33 103 331 1221 100 4 7 294 43394 527 4246 1320 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 27 721 22 190 87 26 18 113 43 128 164 23 9 31 0 0 89 3 11 67 209 18 1 0 41 11497 136 929 303 93 2758 77 1173 352 94 146 705 252 514 675 101 31 192 2 1 312 36 114 398 1430 118 5 7 335 54891 663 5175 1623 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 19 466 13 130 59 18 14 84 30 86 116 13 5 24 1 1 115 2 10 41 156 11 . . 53 13117 738 1699 221 4 125 3 33 15 3 7 23 10 18 31 5 2 1 0 0 32 2 5 25 40 3 . . 14 3175 159 347 51 23 591 16 163 74 21 21 107 40 104 147 18 7 25 1 1 147 4 15 66 196 14 . . 67 16292 897 2046 272 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 MARKET GROUP Small People Mover Small Commercial - Ute Commercial - Van SUV - Compact Small Small People Mover SUV - Medium SUV - Large Small Small MAKE/MODEL Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda / Ford Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda 323 / Familia / Lantis Laser / 323 323 Others 626/MX6 / Telstar Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella 626/MX6 / Telstar Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella / Cronos 626 626/MX6 / Telstar Others 929 / Luce 929 91 929 / Sentia / Efini MS-9 929 Others Festiva WA / 121 121 / Autozam Review 121 Metro / Demio 121 / Festiva WA Others RX7 RX7 RX7 RX7 Others MX5 / Eunos Roadster MX5 / Eunos Roadster MX5 Others Commercials MPV MPV MPV Others 95-98 99-03 82 83-86 87 88-91 92-97 98-02 82-90 92-96 87-90 94-96 97-02 82-85 86-91 92-98 89-97 98-05 94-99 00-06 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) M01 E M01 F M01 Z M02 A M02 B M02 C M02 D M02 E M02 F M02 Z M03 A M03 B M03 C M03 Z M09 A M09 B M09 C M09 Z M10 A M10 B M10 C M10 Z M11 A M11 B M11 Z M14 Z M15 A M15 B M15 Z 5185 6321 352 11910 9712 3290 6149 6570 1949 267 3346 215 251 86 6968 3636 2673 175 653 393 77 11 455 404 7 8585 358 207 5 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 1249 1650 178 2566 2014 509 1324 1108 434 111 639 36 46 41 2189 1163 762 99 129 60 13 1 102 107 9 1493 54 28 1 6434 7971 530 14476 11726 3799 7473 7678 2383 378 3985 251 297 127 9157 4799 3435 274 782 453 90 12 557 511 16 10078 412 235 6 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 1135 1210 272 2660 2693 395 1844 1382 425 73 675 40 45 31 1694 809 611 105 129 97 24 11 94 67 10 1160 28 15 1 223 229 66 759 664 99 431 336 89 35 181 11 11 11 443 189 130 33 38 28 8 6 19 13 2 368 5 3 0 1358 1439 338 3419 3357 494 2275 1718 514 108 856 51 56 42 2137 998 741 138 167 125 32 17 113 80 12 1528 33 18 1 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 MARKET GROUP Small Small Medium Medium Medium Medium Large Large Light Light Light Medium Medium Small Small People Mover MAKE/MODEL Mazda Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda / Ford Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Maserati Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Eunos 30X / Presso / MX-3 / Autozam AZ-3 Eunos 500 Eunos 800 Escape / Tribute Courier / B-Series / Bounty Courier / Bravo / Bounty Bravo/ Courier Others Premacy 2 6 RX8 3 / Axela MX5 CX-7 Ranger / BT-50 Escape / Tribute CX-9 2 6 3 / Axela Others 100 Series C180 C-Class W201 C-Class W202 CLK C208 E-Class W123 No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) 90-97 M16 Z 551 124 675 96 16 112 1 Small 93-99 94-00 01-06 98-02 03-06 M17 Z M18 Z M21 Z M22 A M22 B M22 Z M23 Z M24 Z M25 Z M26 Z M27 Z M28 Z M29 Z M30 Z M31 Z M32 Z M33 Z M34 Z M35 Z M99 Z MASRZ ME1 Z ME10Z ME11Z ME12Z ME13Z ME14Z 345 125 1554 2123 1295 189 2 835 1549 214 3850 63 165 447 50 53 246 85 16 11857 6 204 48 852 1482 212 448 87 16 319 382 317 24 0 236 401 34 1000 15 31 119 11 5 69 20 6 2027 0 29 11 148 232 34 72 432 141 1873 2505 1612 213 2 1071 1950 248 4850 78 196 566 61 58 315 105 22 13884 6 233 59 1000 1714 246 520 80 18 205 317 260 82 12 153 371 25 709 10 22 77 5 2 45 18 4 3240 1 33 11 139 187 22 47 12 3 53 100 71 22 2 49 54 3 118 5 1 19 0 0 8 3 1 919 0 8 2 29 35 6 11 92 21 258 417 331 104 14 202 425 28 827 15 23 96 5 2 53 21 5 4159 1 41 13 168 222 28 58 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 Medium Medium SUV - Compact Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute 01-03 02-07 02-07 03-09 03-09 05-09 06-09 06-09 06-09 / 06-08 07-09 07-09 08-09 09-09 87-93 95-00 97-03 82-85 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 MODEL CODE MARKET GROUP Light Medium Medium Small SUV - Compact Commercial - Ute Light Medium Medium Medium Medium Large MAKE/MODEL Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz E-Class W124 E-Class W210 S-CLASS W107 S-Class W126 S-Class R129 200 Series S-Class C140 SLK R170 A-Class W168 MB100 / MB140 S-Class W220 Vito M-Class W163 CL500/600 C215 C-Class W203 300 Series Sprinter G-Class CLK C209 E-Class W211 S-Class R230 SLK R171 M-Class W164 A-Class W169 CLS W219 B-Class W245 400 Series S-Class W221 R-Class W251 86-94 96-02 82-92 93-02 93-98 97-04 98-04 99-04 99-06 99-04 98-05 98-00 00-07 98-06 83-88 03-09 02-09 02-09 04-09 05-09 05-09 05-09 05-09 06-09 06-09 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) ME15Z ME16Z ME17Z ME18Z ME19Z ME2 Z ME20Z ME21Z ME22Z ME24Z ME25Z ME26Z ME27Z ME28Z ME29Z ME3 Z ME30Z ME31Z ME32Z ME33Z ME34Z ME35Z ME36Z ME37Z ME38Z ME39Z ME4 Z ME40Z ME41Z 1298 805 38 1024 85 349 229 191 354 379 150 597 530 10 938 452 513 3 211 288 24 38 93 40 18 39 195 17 9 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 208 114 7 132 8 27 16 38 82 39 14 55 60 1 149 38 80 1 33 46 4 7 5 8 3 3 38 3 0 1506 919 45 1156 93 376 245 229 436 418 164 652 590 11 1087 490 593 4 244 334 28 45 98 48 21 42 233 20 9 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 171 87 8 110 9 40 12 20 46 28 7 43 38 1 79 42 81 1 21 22 4 1 4 6 1 3 28 1 . 34 18 0 25 1 17 2 3 9 8 2 12 8 0 16 11 17 0 3 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 7 0 . 205 105 8 135 10 57 14 23 55 36 9 55 46 1 95 53 98 1 24 23 4 1 4 8 1 3 35 1 . ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MARKET GROUP Large Large Large Medium Small Commercial - Van Commercial - Van SUV - Large Medium Commercial - Van Medium Large MAKE/MODEL Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Holden / Nissan Nissan Holden / Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan C-Class W204 CL W216 Vito / Viano 500 Series Others Astra / Pulsar / Langley Pulsar /Vector Astra / Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Pulsar /Vector Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Pulsar Others Pintara Pintara / Corsair / Bluebird Pintara Others Bluebird Skyline 180B/200B 300ZX / Fairlady Z Stanza 280C / Laurel Gazelle / Silvia 280ZX Prairie Maxima Maxima / Cefiro Maxima Maxima Others Exa 07-09 07-09 04-09 84-86 87 88-90 91 92-95 96-99 86-88 89-92 82-86 83-88 90-95 82-83 82-84 84-86 82-84 84-86 90-94 95-99 00-02 83-86 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) ME42Z ME43Z ME46Z ME5 Z ME99Z N01 A N01 B N01 C N01 D N01 E N01 F N01 Z N02 A N02 B N02 Z N03 Z N04 Z N05 Z N09 Z N10 Z N11 Z N12 Z N13 Z N14 Z N15 A N15 B N15 C N15 Z N16 A 68 1 28 38 2089 9655 1551 14219 3754 7697 9572 424 5888 9589 1 12212 5497 56 599 511 59 427 113 381 944 1175 448 45 478 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 5 0 4 5 203 2438 344 3290 870 1601 2630 202 1128 2069 0 2537 1011 7 106 105 9 84 19 85 166 252 108 15 128 73 1 32 43 2292 12093 1895 17509 4624 9298 12202 626 7016 11658 1 14749 6508 63 705 616 68 511 132 466 1110 1427 556 60 606 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 4 . 3 4 331 2669 675 3054 652 1802 2046 143 945 2128 96 2575 1437 6 127 92 9 439 20 154 327 356 115 271 123 2 . 0 1 99 682 124 773 171 370 471 52 265 566 24 776 397 1 33 21 3 145 8 30 69 79 29 75 36 6 . 3 5 430 3351 799 3827 823 2172 2517 195 1210 2694 120 3351 1834 7 160 113 12 584 28 184 396 435 144 346 159 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 MARKET GROUP Small Small Small Small Medium Medium Medium Large Large Small Small Medium People Mover Large Large Large Small MAKE/MODEL Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Exa 87-91 Exa Others NX/NX-R 91-96 300C / Laurel 85-87 720 Ute 82-85 B120 H40 Navara 86-91 Navara 92-96 Navara 97-05 Navara Others Vans(Nomad/Urvan/C22/E24/Vanette) Patrol / Safari 82-87 Patrol / Maverick / Safari 88-97 Patrol / Safari 98-09 Patrol Pathfinder / Terrano 88-94 Sunny /120Y Serena 92-95 Infiniti 93-97 Bluebird 93-97 200SX / Silvia 94-02 Micra 95-97 Pathfinder / Terrano / Regulus 95-05 Terrano II 97-00 Pulsar 00-05 X-Trail 01-07 350Z 03-09 Maxima 06-09 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) N16 B N16 Z N17 Z N20 Z N21 Z N22 Z N23 Z N24 A N24 B N24 C N24 Z N25 Z N26 A N26 B N26 C N26 Z N27 Z N28 Z N30 Z N31 Z N32 Z N33 Z N34 Z N36 Z N38 Z N39 Z N40 Z N41 Z N42 Z 249 9 954 94 1675 127 16 4114 2021 2643 305 3670 1543 8549 4256 212 674 24 145 3 1798 1461 894 1142 35 6434 2029 157 320 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 49 2 206 20 323 31 3 678 331 394 81 856 217 1081 620 39 90 7 24 0 304 240 284 196 9 1946 544 44 69 298 11 1160 114 1998 158 19 4792 2352 3037 386 4526 1760 9630 4876 251 764 31 169 3 2102 1701 1178 1338 44 8380 2573 201 389 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 66 8 164 12 244 22 2 601 294 291 105 659 191 934 481 33 252 14 121 . 757 162 198 184 7 1216 355 28 66 17 2 56 5 83 9 1 205 96 110 23 207 63 286 158 17 65 2 20 . 143 57 59 36 0 308 91 11 16 83 10 220 17 327 31 3 806 390 401 128 866 254 1220 639 50 317 16 141 . 900 219 257 220 7 1524 446 39 82 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 MARKET GROUP Small Small Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute SUV - Large SUV - Large SUV - Large SUV - Medium People Mover Medium Medium Light SUV - Medium Small SUV - Compact Medium Large MAKE/MODEL Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan FSM Lada Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Murano Pathfinder Navara Tiida Dualis X-Trail 370Z Others 05-08 05-09 05-09 06-09 07-09 07-09 09-09 Niva Civic Civic / Ballade / Shuttle Civic / Shuttle Civic Civic Civic Others CRX CRX CRX Others Odyssey Odyssey CR-V CR-V HR-V Legend Legend Legend Legend Others S2000 84-99 82-83 84-87 88-91 92-95 96-00 87-91 92-98 95-00 00-02 97-01 02-06 99-02 86-95 96-98 99-04 99-09 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) N43 Z N44 Z N45 Z N46 Z N47 Z N49 Z N51 Z N99 Z NIKIZ NIVAZ O1 A O1 B O1 C O1 D O1 E O1 Z O10 A O10 B O10 Z O17 A O17 B O18 A O18 B O19 Z O2 B O2 C O2 D O2 Z O20 Z 126 190 470 202 2 15 3 22738 15 343 686 2652 4453 5314 5327 224 384 243 11 551 236 2703 1884 478 916 91 53 12 222 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 19 29 84 66 1 0 0 3573 12 73 159 620 1022 1127 1207 84 86 45 4 95 38 492 423 105 119 8 7 8 28 145 219 554 268 3 15 3 26311 27 416 845 3272 5475 6441 6534 308 470 288 15 646 274 3195 2307 583 1035 99 60 20 250 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 13 27 66 51 . . . 5891 12 78 452 1171 1520 1278 984 541 270 64 35 216 27 402 283 69 158 9 8 55 18 1 0 20 13 . . . 1843 6 20 111 302 345 245 177 121 86 18 11 28 6 68 44 21 38 0 1 12 2 14 27 86 64 . . . 7734 18 98 563 1473 1865 1523 1161 662 356 82 46 244 33 470 327 90 196 9 9 67 20 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 MARKET GROUP Commercial - Ute Small SUV - Compact Small Small Small Small Small Small Small People Mover People Mover SUV - Compact SUV - Compact SUV - Compact Large Small MAKE/MODEL Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Civic Jazz / Fit Insight MDX Accord Euro Accord Odyssey Civic Legend Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Others CR-V Accord Accord Euro Jazz GE Odyssey Prelude Prelude Prelude Prelude Prelude Others Integra Integra Integra Integra 01-05 02-08 01-04 03-06 03-08 03-07 04-09 06-09 06-09 82-85 86-90 91-93 94-98 99-02 07-09 08-09 08-09 08-09 09-09 82-82 83-91 92-96 97-02 86-88 89 90-92 93 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) O21 Z O22 Z O23 Z O24 Z O25 Z O26 Z O27 Z O28 Z O29 Z O3 A O3 B O3 C O3 D O3 E O3 Z O30 Z O31 Z O32 Z O33 Z O35 Z O4 A O4 B O4 C O4 D O4 Z O5 A O5 B O5 C O5 D 1494 1136 1 92 1275 622 319 540 1 2014 2339 1684 3474 661 130 276 84 42 46 1 215 3619 1708 734 59 661 448 771 233 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 326 341 0 13 267 131 69 130 0 449 404 239 571 128 48 50 14 7 15 2 38 618 268 137 25 131 90 147 43 1820 1477 1 105 1542 753 388 670 1 2463 2743 1923 4045 789 178 326 98 49 61 3 253 4237 1976 871 84 792 538 918 276 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 263 307 . 7 198 97 43 100 1 1018 957 388 673 159 322 38 5 6 5 . 32 1305 359 119 158 356 281 303 37 56 62 . 2 35 19 3 12 0 249 196 90 152 23 73 7 4 1 0 . 6 317 89 22 32 87 72 65 8 319 369 . 9 233 116 46 112 1 1267 1153 478 825 182 395 45 9 7 5 . 38 1622 448 141 190 443 353 368 45 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 MARKET GROUP Small Light Medium Medium People Mover Small Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium SUV - Compact Medium Medium Medium Medium Small Small MAKE/MODEL Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Porsche Porsche Porsche Porsche Porsche Porsche Porsche Integra Integra Integra Others Concerto NSX Acty City City VTi Others 205 607 407 207 308 405 505 306 605 406 206 307 Others 944 911 964 Series 911 996 Series 968 Boxter / Cayman 986 Series Boxter / Cayman 987 Series Cayenne 93-01 02-06 89-93 91-02 83-86 83-86 09-09 87-94 01-09 04-09 07-09 08-09 89-97 82-93 94-01 94-96 96-04 99-07 01-09 82-91 90-93 99-05 92-95 97-04 05-09 03-09 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) O5 E O5 F O5 Z O6 Z O7 Z O8 Z O9 Z O91 Z O99 Z PE1 Z PE10Z PE11Z PE12Z PE13Z PE2 Z PE3 Z PE4 Z PE5 Z PE7 Z PE8 Z PE9 Z PE99Z PO1 Z PO2 B PO2 D PO4 Z PO5 A PO5 B PO6 Z 1147 246 39 562 16 275 351 15 4619 301 13 56 54 18 603 708 1251 35 277 726 562 396 100 4 1 1 1 1 22 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 220 68 21 125 2 60 133 1 840 49 0 7 6 4 99 84 246 4 26 161 99 49 11 0 0 0 0 0 1 1367 314 60 687 18 335 484 16 5459 350 13 63 60 22 702 792 1497 39 303 887 661 445 111 4 1 1 1 1 23 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 332 38 95 223 4 44 635 1 1482 64 1 9 6 2 143 95 269 7 46 100 89 124 15 . 1 . 2 . 2 62 8 22 55 1 16 134 0 473 18 0 3 1 0 39 29 44 2 10 26 14 32 6 . 0 . 0 . 0 394 46 117 278 5 60 769 1 1955 82 1 12 7 2 182 124 313 9 56 126 103 156 21 . 1 . 2 . 2 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 MARKET GROUP Small Small Small Commercial - Van Light Light Medium Medium Small Medium Light Small Medium MAKE/MODEL Porsche Proton Proton Proton Proton Proton Proton Proton Proton Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Renault Others Wira Satria Waja Jumbuck Gen 2 Satria Savvy Persona 20 Megane Cabriolet Clio II Clio III Megane II Trafic Master Kangoo Megane II Cabriolet Scenic II Grand Scenic Feugo Koleos 21 25 19 Laguna Laguna II Scenic Others 95-96 97-05 01-05 03-09 04-09 07-09 06-09 08-09 82-83 01-03 01-04 04-09 03-09 04-09 04-09 04-09 04-09 05-09 07-09 82-87 08-09 87-91 85-91 91-96 95-96 02-08 01-04 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) PO99Z PRO1Z PRO2Z PRO3Z PRO4Z PRO5Z PRO6Z PRO7Z PRO8Z RE1 Z RE10Z RE11A RE11B RE12Z RE13Z RE14Z RE15Z RE16Z RE17Z RE18Z RE2 Z RE20Z RE3 Z RE4 Z RE5 Z RE7 Z RE8 Z RE9 Z RE99Z 845 1227 184 17 113 72 6 39 5 18 53 176 20 94 16 10 32 20 9 6 334 3 24 48 291 40 38 201 363 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 91 394 53 10 30 36 1 11 0 4 11 39 8 23 2 0 8 6 0 0 48 0 5 9 58 10 7 47 48 936 1621 237 27 143 108 7 50 5 22 64 215 28 117 18 10 40 26 9 6 382 3 29 57 349 50 45 248 411 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 81 244 24 5 15 22 1 7 . 7 15 27 5 17 1 1 6 3 1 . 64 . 7 17 54 11 9 35 64 36 73 4 2 6 8 1 1 . 4 1 4 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 . 15 . 2 4 8 4 0 3 11 117 317 28 7 21 30 2 8 . 11 16 31 6 19 1 1 6 3 1 . 79 . 9 21 62 15 9 38 75 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 MARKET GROUP Small Light Commercial - Ute Small Light Medium Small Small MAKE/MODEL Rover Rover Land Rover Rover Rover MG Land Rover MG Rover MG Rover Rolls Royce Land Rover Land Rover Land Rover Land Rover Range Rover Saab Saab Saab Saab Saab Saab Saab Saab Saab Lada Seat Seat 3500 416i/827 Freelander 2 Quintet 825 MGF / MG TF Freelander ZT 75 ZR Others 82-87 Range Rover Range Rover Range Rover Range Rover Others Others 900 Series 900/9-3 900 Others 9000 9-5 9-3 9-5 900/9000 Samara Ibiza Cordoba 82-94 95-02 02-05 05-09 07-09 82-86 87-88 99-05 98-06 02-05 01-05 05-05 82-92 94-02 86-97 98-05 03-09 06-09 88-90 95-99 95-99 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) RO Z RO1 Z RO10Z RO2 Z RO3 Z RO4 Z RO5 Z RO6 Z RO7 Z RO9 Z RO99Z ROLLZ RROV1 RROV2 RROV3 RROV4 RROVZ SA00Z SA1 A SA1 B SA1 Z SA2 Z SA3 Z SA4 Z SA5 Z SA99Z SAMAZ SE01Z SE02Z 179 373 5 243 35 239 244 20 86 1 662 38 954 193 43 30 12 1151 1079 1368 2 1051 242 162 31 122 51 5 4 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 29 76 2 64 5 36 41 3 17 1 94 6 133 26 2 6 8 142 176 225 3 169 51 32 6 19 10 2 3 208 449 7 307 40 275 285 23 103 2 756 44 1087 219 45 36 20 1293 1255 1593 5 1220 293 194 37 141 61 7 7 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 36 55 1 70 15 37 33 2 15 23 197 4 147 39 1 6 9 191 168 172 1 153 45 24 6 17 10 4 3 4 13 1 19 3 7 13 0 3 3 57 2 47 5 0 1 3 50 46 27 0 19 4 6 0 4 5 1 1 40 68 2 89 18 44 46 2 18 26 254 6 194 44 1 7 12 241 214 199 1 172 49 30 6 21 15 5 4 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 MARKET GROUP Large Small Small SUV - Compact SUV - Large SUV - Large Medium Medium Medium Large Medium MAKE/MODEL Seat Smart Smart Smart Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Others City-Coupe / ForTwo Roadster ForFour 1800 / Leone / Omega / 4WD Wagon Tribeca Forester Liberty / Legacy Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty Others Vortex Sherpa / Fiori / 700 / Rex SVX / Alcyone Brumby Impreza Impreza Impreza Forester Forester Others Swift Barina / Swift / Cultus Barina / Swift / Cultus Swift Others Vitara / Escudo Grand Vitara Vitara Others 03-09 03-06 04-06 82-93 06-09 08-09 89-93 94-98 99-03 03-09 85-89 89-92 92-95 82-92 93-00 01-07 07-09 97-02 02-08 82-85 86-88 89-99 88-98 99-05 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) SEATZ SM01Z SM02Z SM03Z SU1 Z SU10Z SU11Z SU2 A SU2 B SU2 C SU2 D SU2 Z SU3 Z SU4 Z SU5 Z SU6 Z SU7 A SU7 B SU7 C SU8 Z SU9 Z SU99Z SZ01A SZ01B SZ01C SZ01Z SZ02A SZ02B SZ02Z 440 19 7 1 6524 40 86 5623 2739 3202 1384 110 68 663 25 1635 4817 2595 94 1927 1744 3462 202 3729 18047 158 3901 821 59 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 83 6 0 1 1609 9 24 1088 536 582 234 36 17 327 4 487 1105 530 25 432 380 730 68 1268 5219 59 949 215 25 523 25 7 2 8133 49 110 6711 3275 3784 1618 146 85 990 29 2122 5922 3125 119 2359 2124 4192 270 4997 23266 217 4850 1036 84 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 39 7 . 1 1354 5 11 1444 834 450 166 358 42 306 2 291 1093 345 19 355 242 981 55 1262 3865 90 788 159 59 13 1 . 0 428 2 3 340 186 91 40 95 7 83 3 156 297 71 5 72 52 323 20 334 915 32 206 38 20 52 8 . 1 1782 7 14 1784 1020 541 206 453 49 389 5 447 1390 416 24 427 294 1304 75 1596 4780 122 994 197 79 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 MARKET GROUP Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Light Commercial - Ute Small Small Small SUV - Compact SUV - Compact Light Light Light SUV - Compact SUV - Compact MAKE/MODEL Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota / Holden Toyota / Holden Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Hatch / Alto Scurry / Carry Alto Mighty Boy Drover / Sierra / Samurai / SJ410 / SJ413 Baleno / Cultus Crescent Carry Ignis Jimny Liana Grand Vitara Swift APV SX4 Grand Vitara JT Others Corolla Corolla Corolla Corolla Corolla / Nova Corolla / Nova Corolla / Allex Corolla Corolla Corolla Others Corona Camry MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) 82-84 82-00 85-00 85-88 82-99 SZ03Z SZ04Z SZ05Z SZ06Z SZ07Z 800 419 225 435 4143 377 176 100 198 1275 1177 595 325 633 5418 270 148 195 141 932 88 49 51 43 262 95-02 99-05 00-02 98-09 01-07 05-08 05-09 05-09 07-09 08-09 SZ08Z SZ09Z SZ10Z SZ11Z SZ12Z SZ13Z SZ14Z SZ15Z SZ16Z SZ17Z SZ99Z T01 A T01 B T01 C T01 D T01 E T01 F T01 G T01 H T01 I T01 Z T03 Z T04 Z 1886 102 443 316 356 205 1029 29 86 11 2489 9649 2964 17104 2086 29476 19342 6613 9816 747 2 17724 3854 472 24 173 132 112 68 419 13 18 1 732 2417 728 4304 436 7169 4708 1722 2703 226 0 3759 743 2358 126 616 448 468 273 1448 42 104 12 3221 12066 3692 21408 2522 36645 24050 8335 12519 973 2 21483 4597 334 23 133 98 88 45 325 11 16 1 840 2826 1121 3772 395 5932 3565 1298 1765 139 18 3397 614 65 6 37 24 16 15 75 0 2 0 303 664 267 962 113 1473 828 240 411 39 8 890 165 82-84 85 86-88 89 89-93 94-97 98-01 02-07 07-09 82-88 83-86 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 MARKET GROUP 358 197 246 184 1194 1 1 1 1 1 Light Commercial - Van Light Commercial - Ute SUV - Compact 399 29 170 122 104 60 400 11 18 1 1143 3490 1388 4734 508 7405 4393 1538 2176 178 26 4287 779 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 Small Commercial - Van Light SUV - Compact Small SUV - Compact Light Small Small Small Small Small Small Small Medium Medium MAKE/MODEL Holden / Toyota Holden / Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Apollo JK/JL / Camry / Vista Apollo JM/JP / Camry / Sceptor Camry Celica Celica Celica Celica Celica Celica Others Crown / Cressida / Mark II Crown / Cressida / Mark II Cressida / Mark II Crown/Cres Others Tercel Lexcen Others Supra MR2 MR2 MR2 Others Paseo / Cynos Bundera Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace Hiace/Liteace Others 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux 88-92 93-97 98-02 81-85 86-89 90-93 94-99 00-05 82-85 86-88 89-93 83-88 82-90 87-90 91-00 91-99 82-86 87-89 90-95 96-04 05-09 82-85 86-88 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) T05 A T05 B T05 C T06 A T06 B T06 C T06 D T06 E T06 Z T07 A T07 B T07 C T07 Z T09 Z T10 Z T11 Z T12 A T12 B T12 Z T13 Z T14 Z T15 A T15 B T15 C T15 D T15 E T15 Z T16 A T16 B 35233 27808 16994 2539 2488 2667 1666 517 62 2103 1039 2503 42 504 1 569 266 205 27 1658 10 4552 2410 5833 5911 838 217 5570 4371 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 6901 5820 3570 485 421 497 364 110 26 403 150 392 7 116 0 106 64 39 10 378 4 851 423 855 840 145 55 1158 845 42134 33628 20564 3024 2909 3164 2030 627 88 2506 1189 2895 49 620 1 675 330 244 37 2036 14 5403 2833 6688 6751 983 272 6728 5216 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 5138 3954 2312 554 396 504 326 63 81 414 102 284 43 153 2 100 113 98 40 328 4 912 622 827 743 118 214 798 834 1350 1068 502 123 99 119 56 16 24 122 41 80 7 34 0 37 40 20 6 72 1 272 160 249 176 33 45 330 315 6488 5022 2814 677 495 623 382 79 105 536 143 364 50 187 2 137 153 118 46 400 5 1184 782 1076 919 151 259 1128 1149 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 MARKET GROUP Medium Medium Large Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Large Large Large Small Large Small Small Small Commercial - Van Commercial - Van Commercial - Van Commercial - Van Commercial - Van Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute MAKE/MODEL Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Lexus Toyota Lexus Toyota Toyota Lexus Toyota Toyota Toyota 4Runner/Hilux Hilux Hilux Hilux 4Runner/Hilux Others ES300 / Windom Tarago Tarago Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago Others Commercials Landcruiser Landcruiser Landcruiser Landcruiser Others RAV4 RAV4 Starlet LS400 / Celsior IS200 / IS300 Echo GS300 Avalon MR2 LS430 Corolla 4WD Wagon Spacia Spacia 89-97 98-02 03-04 05-09 92-01 83-89 90 91-99 00-06 82-89 90-97 98-07 94-00 01-06 96-99 90-00 99-04 99-05 97-04 00-05 00-05 00-04 92-96 93-00 01-02 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) T16 C T16 D T16 E T16 F T16 Z T17 Z T18 A T18 B T18 C T18 D T18 Z T19 Z T20 A T20 B T20 C T20 Z T21 A T21 B T22 Z T25 Z T26 Z T27 Z T28 Z T29 Z T30 Z T31 Z T32 Z T33 A T33 B 19634 6738 1916 2964 941 638 4899 189 3512 965 117 5615 8252 12797 6362 624 3160 2758 4427 213 674 5506 166 2724 105 47 551 185 17 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 3726 1268 374 559 307 111 1256 29 591 166 32 942 1400 1875 1171 196 699 648 1337 33 121 1733 18 575 31 3 115 47 5 23360 8006 2290 3523 1248 749 6155 218 4103 1131 149 6557 9652 14672 7533 820 3859 3406 5764 246 795 7239 184 3299 136 50 666 232 22 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 2995 860 266 358 416 138 817 195 417 115 23 583 998 1407 852 173 616 423 969 31 45 1184 11 393 10 3 63 28 4 1172 275 80 105 149 31 254 25 99 26 9 159 444 560 302 84 130 96 238 4 7 308 1 102 3 0 17 7 0 4167 1135 346 463 565 169 1071 220 516 141 32 742 1442 1967 1154 257 746 519 1207 35 52 1492 12 495 13 3 80 35 4 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 MARKET GROUP 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute Commercial - Ute Large People Mover People Mover People Mover SUV - Large SUV - Large SUV - Large SUV - Compact SUV - Compact Light Large Medium Light Large Small People Mover MAKE/MODEL Lexus Lexus Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Lexus Toyota Lexus Lexus Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Toyota Toyota Lexus Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo ES300 SC430 Camry Prius Avensis Verso Prius II Kluger Landcruiser Prado Landcruiser Prado RX330 GS300/450h/460 Yaris IS250 / IS F RX350/400h Aurion Camry RAV4 Tarago LS460 / 600hL Kluger Landcruiser 200 Series LX570 Landcruiser Prado Others 850/S70/V70/C70 200 Series 300 Series 700/900 Series 960/S90/V90 01-05 01-09 02-06 01-02 01-09 03-09 03-07 96-03 03-09 03-05 05-09 05-09 05-09 06-09 06-09 06-09 06-09 06-09 07-09 07-09 07-09 08-09 09-09 92-99 82-93 84-88 84-92 90-98 MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) T34 Z T35 Z T36 Z T37 Z T38 Z T39 Z T40 Z T41 Z T42 Z T43 Z T44 Z T45 Z T48 Z T49 Z T50 Z T51 Z T52 Z T54 Z T55 Z T57 Z T58 Z T60 Z T61 Z T99 Z V877Z VO02Z VO03Z VO07Z VO10Z 108 25 6001 29 156 194 732 1372 1966 227 43 1864 196 8 634 1105 721 170 2 196 67 2 2 29261 1892 3318 193 2232 122 No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 12 1 1428 3 33 42 144 257 333 32 3 575 23 0 123 258 165 40 0 31 9 0 0 4845 329 479 28 359 25 120 26 7429 32 189 236 876 1629 2299 259 46 2439 219 8 757 1363 886 210 2 227 76 2 2 34106 2221 3797 221 2591 147 No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) 3 2 966 2 14 37 89 153 217 15 5 361 9 . 72 168 101 20 . 18 6 . 1 8902 253 348 35 300 21 3 0 190 0 7 8 23 54 55 9 0 74 1 . 16 30 25 4 . 2 1 . 0 2990 52 94 12 49 5 6 2 1156 2 21 45 112 207 272 24 5 435 10 . 88 198 126 24 . 20 7 . 1 11892 305 442 47 349 26 ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 MARKET GROUP Large People Mover Small SUV - Medium SUV - Medium SUV - Medium SUV - Medium Light Large Large SUV - Compact People Mover SUV - Medium Large Medium Small Large Large MAKE/MODEL MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 83 153 134 68 3 58 3 1 2 6 2 771 3290 9 359 1015 241 1189 10 20 16 20 2 10 0 0 0 0 0 142 433 2 48 167 47 209 93 173 150 88 5 68 3 1 2 6 2 913 3723 11 407 1182 288 1398 12 17 9 15 1 10 . . . . 1 112 529 19 28 101 73 141 1 3 4 1 1 1 . . . . 0 17 147 5 7 13 16 23 13 20 13 16 2 11 . . . . 1 129 676 24 35 114 89 164 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen S80 S60 XC 90 S40/V50 S80 A-Series V70 / XC70 C30 V70 / XC70 BW Series C70 C70 M series XC60 S40/V40 Others 98-06 01-09 03-09 04-09 07-09 00-07 07-09 08-09 99-05 06-09 09-09 97-04 Caravelle / Transporter Caravelle / Transporter Golf Golf 88-94 95-04 82-94 95-98 VO11Z VO12Z VO13Z VO14Z VO15Z VO16Z VO17Z VO18Z VO19Z VO20Z VO21Z VO40Z VO99Z VOLKZ VS01A VS01B VS02A VS02B Volkswagen Golf / Bora 99-04 VS02C 1828 419 2247 338 39 377 1 Volkswagen Golf Others VS02Z 7 2 9 6 1 7 0 Volkswagen Kombi VS03Z 6 4 10 3 1 4 0 Volkswagen Passat 95-97 VS04A 48 6 54 7 1 8 0 Volkswagen Passat 98-06 VS04B 401 62 463 75 14 89 1 Volkswagen Passat Others VS04Z 5 1 6 3 0 3 0 Volkswagen 70E Pick Up VS07Z 24 1 25 5 1 6 0 Volkswagen Polo 96-00 VS08A 515 147 662 131 15 146 1 Volkswagen Polo 01-02 VS08B 62 19 81 15 6 21 0 Volkswagen Polo Others VS08Z 6 1 7 2 1 3 0 MARKET GROUP Medium Small Commercial - Van Commercial - Van Small Small Small Medium Light MAKE/MODEL MODEL CODE No. of uninjured drivers in NSW (87-2009) and QLD, WA (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) No. of No. of injured involved drivers in drivers in NSW (87-2009) NSW (87-2009) and and QLD, WA QLD, WA (91-2009) (91-2009) and and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) No. of No. of No. of injured severely injured (but not injured drivers in severely) drivers in NSW, drivers in NSW and Victoria NSW and Victoria (87-2009) Victoria (87-2009) and (87-2009) and QLD, WA, NZ and QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) QLD, WA, NZ (91-2009) and (91-2009) and SA (95-2009) and SA (95-2009) SA (95-2009) ANALYSIS INCLUSION CRITERIA INV=100 INJ=20 MARKET GROUP Volkswagen New Beetle 00-09 VS10Z 269 63 332 73 7 80 1 Small Volkswagen Polo 02-09 VS11Z 252 73 325 47 14 61 1 Light Volkswagen LT 03-06 VS12Z 27 3 30 6 1 7 0 Volkswagen Touareg 03-09 VS13Z 88 11 99 7 3 10 0 Volkswagen Transporter 04-09 VS14Z 74 13 87 6 3 9 0 Volkswagen Golf / Jetta 04-09 VS15Z 861 170 1031 136 16 152 1 Volkswagen Caddy 05-09 VS16Z 102 27 129 12 4 16 0 Volkswagen Multivan 04-09 VS17Z 20 5 25 5 1 6 0 Volkswagen Passat 06-09 VS18Z 84 12 96 13 3 16 0 Volkswagen Crafter 07-09 VS19Z 4 0 4 . . . 0 Volkswagen EOS 07-09 VS20Z 20 6 26 4 1 5 0 Skoda Octavia 07-09 VS31Z 2 1 3 1 0 1 0 Volkswagen Tiguan 08-09 VS33Z 2 0 2 1 0 1 0 Volkswagen Others VS99Z 375 56 431 79 28 107 0 Total 276707 2299186 88979 506063 365686 2805249 76061 466141 30460 134757 106521 600898 0 471 Unknown Small APPENDIX 2 LOGISTIC REGRESSION ESTIMATES OF CRASHWORTHINESS INJURY RISK BY MODEL AND MARKET GROUP CRASHWORTHINESS INJURY RISK RATINGS New South Wales Data (1987-2009), South Australia (1995-2009), Queensland and Western Australia Data (1991-2009) Make Model of Car Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval ALL VEHICLE AVERAGE 17.42 Compact Sports Utility Vehicles 17.90 17.56 18.25 0.69 Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi / Peugeot Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Nissan Lada Honda Honda Honda Honda Land Rover Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Feroza / Rocky Rocky / Rugger Terios Cruze Tucson Outlander Outlander / 4007 89-97 85-98 97-05 02-06 04-09 03-06 06-09 21.05 22.85 24.84 20.44 12.43 16.49 10.26 18.77 19.65 22.31 17.93 8.40 13.66 7.06 23.54 26.40 27.56 23.21 18.02 19.78 14.68 4.77 6.75 5.25 5.29 9.62 6.13 7.62 Sportage Sorento Escape / Tribute CX-7 X-Trail Niva CR-V CR-V HR-V CR-V Freelander Forester Forester Vitara / Escudo Grand Vitara Drover / Sierra / Samurai / SJ410 / SJ413 Jimny Grand Vitara RAV4 RAV4 RAV4 98-03 03-09 01-06 06-09 01-07 84-99 97-01 02-06 99-02 07-09 98-06 97-02 02-08 88-98 99-05 82-99 17.60 11.91 13.79 12.27 16.00 19.72 13.93 14.68 16.13 11.13 13.98 15.10 13.44 21.72 16.08 27.49 15.28 8.79 12.38 8.64 14.72 15.89 12.79 13.36 13.40 8.43 10.40 13.76 12.16 20.47 14.08 26.18 20.18 15.96 15.34 17.13 17.37 24.21 15.16 16.09 19.29 14.55 18.53 16.55 14.84 23.01 18.31 28.84 4.90 7.17 2.96 8.50 2.66 8.32 2.37 2.73 5.89 6.12 8.13 2.79 2.67 2.54 4.23 2.66 98-09 05-08 94-00 01-06 06-09 22.96 15.22 16.59 14.93 13.30 19.36 11.88 15.44 13.84 11.42 27.01 19.28 17.81 16.10 15.45 7.64 7.40 2.37 2.26 4.03 14.05 13.67 14.45 0.78 Medium Sports Utility Vehicles Daewoo / Ssangong Ford Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Musso 98-02 12.91 9.45 17.40 7.95 Territory SX/SY Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Frontera / Mu Adventra Captiva CG 04-09 82-91 92-97 98-02 95-03 03-06 06-09 11.25 21.72 15.64 15.45 16.22 13.80 16.59 9.76 19.20 13.39 13.43 13.31 10.22 13.27 12.94 24.48 18.19 17.71 19.61 18.36 20.55 3.19 5.28 4.80 4.27 6.30 8.14 7.28 Make Model of Car Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jeep Jeep Jeep Land Rover Nissan Nissan Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Toyota Santa Fe Terracan Pajero Pajero Pajero NM / NP / NS Challenger Cherokee XJ Wrangler Cherokee KJ Defender Pathfinder / Terrano Pathfinder / Terrano / Regulus Kluger Landcruiser Prado Landcruiser Prado RX330 Kluger Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 00-06 01-07 82-90 92-99 00-06 98-06 96-00 96-04 01-07 92-09 88-94 95-05 03-07 96-03 03-09 03-05 07-09 Large Sports Utility Vehicles BMW Ford Ford Ford Jeep Jeep Land Rover Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Land Rover Land Rover Toyota Toyota Toyota X5 Bronco Explorer Explorer Grand Cherokee ZG Grand Cherokee WJ/WG Discovery M-Class W163 Patrol / Safari Patrol / Maverick / Safari Patrol / Safari Range Rover Range Rover Landcruiser Landcruiser Landcruiser 01-08 82-87 00-01 01-05 96-99 99-05 91-02 98-05 82-87 88-97 98-09 82-94 95-02 82-89 90-97 98-07 Commercial - Vans Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Kia Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Honda Holden / Suzuki Handivan Hi-Jet Handivan / Cuore Falcon Panel Van Falcon Panel Van Transit Transit Shuttle / WFR Van Pregio MB100 / MB140 Vito Sprinter Acty Scurry / Carry 82-90 82-90 99-03 82-95 96-99 95-00 01-07 82-87 02-06 99-04 99-04 98-06 83-86 82-00 15.56 12.14 19.34 13.85 10.25 13.17 14.18 16.71 13.67 13.97 14.06 13.30 12.91 11.83 10.40 10.55 10.53 Lower 95% Confidence Limit 12.76 8.82 17.70 12.83 8.91 10.97 12.46 13.12 10.42 10.99 11.53 11.60 10.98 10.45 9.34 7.49 7.41 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 18.84 16.49 21.10 14.93 11.77 15.73 16.09 21.05 17.73 17.59 17.03 15.22 15.12 13.37 11.58 14.66 14.75 Width of Confidence Interval 6.08 7.68 3.40 2.10 2.86 4.77 3.64 7.93 7.31 6.60 5.51 3.62 4.14 2.91 2.24 7.17 7.34 12.96 12.69 13.24 0.55 9.16 17.24 18.15 12.54 12.09 10.12 12.63 9.79 15.53 12.37 10.58 14.97 12.50 16.44 13.09 12.54 7.13 12.17 15.04 9.60 8.85 7.31 11.06 7.65 13.70 11.67 9.78 12.73 8.57 15.63 12.52 11.84 11.69 23.85 21.74 16.22 16.30 13.86 14.40 12.44 17.55 13.11 11.43 17.52 17.88 17.27 13.69 13.28 4.55 11.68 6.70 6.62 7.45 6.55 3.34 4.80 3.85 1.44 1.66 4.79 9.31 1.64 1.17 1.44 18.23 17.82 18.65 0.83 35.82 44.29 29.02 17.92 14.50 15.11 10.83 23.88 17.22 12.16 10.72 15.16 17.49 35.57 32.62 37.10 23.93 16.62 11.55 13.08 8.81 20.15 14.48 9.02 8.33 12.32 13.71 31.41 39.15 51.72 34.69 19.31 18.05 17.39 13.25 28.05 20.37 16.21 13.70 18.52 22.04 39.96 6.53 14.62 10.77 2.69 6.50 4.30 4.44 7.90 5.89 7.19 5.37 6.20 8.32 8.54 Make Model of Car Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Carry Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace Caravelle / Transporter Caravelle / Transporter Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 99-05 82-86 87-89 90-95 96-04 05-09 88-94 95-04 Commercial - Utes Ford / Nissan Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Proton Subaru Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Large Cars Falcon Ute / XFN Ute Falcon Ute Falcon Ute AU Falcon Ute BA/BF Ford F-Series F-Series Commodore Ute VG/VP Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo Rodeo WB Series Commodore Ute VR/VS Commodore VU Ute Commodore VY/VZ Ute Rodeo Commodore VE Ute Triton MK Triton ML / MN Ceres K2700 Courier / B-Series / Bounty Courier / Bravo / Bounty Ranger / BT-50 720 Ute Navara Navara Navara Navara Jumbuck Brumby Mighty Boy 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux Hilux Hilux Hilux 82-95 96-99 00-02 03-08 82-92 01-06 90-93 82-85 86-88 89-95 96-98 99-02 82-85 94-00 00-02 02-07 03-08 07-09 96-06 06-09 92-00 02-08 98-02 03-06 06-09 82-85 86-91 92-96 97-05 05-09 03-09 82-92 85-88 82-85 86-88 89-97 98-02 03-04 05-09 19.38 23.64 22.14 18.74 15.25 15.38 14.65 16.38 Lower 95% Confidence Limit 13.16 22.28 20.35 17.64 14.31 13.17 11.20 14.21 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 27.61 25.06 24.04 19.91 16.24 17.88 18.94 18.82 Width of Confidence Interval 14.45 2.77 3.70 2.27 1.93 4.71 7.74 4.61 15.93 15.72 16.13 0.41 16.94 15.80 13.53 12.08 14.74 8.93 17.27 20.60 20.63 18.13 16.82 15.74 17.25 16.26 13.32 13.50 14.27 12.26 14.03 13.27 20.93 11.99 14.45 16.57 14.29 20.35 17.86 16.07 11.36 12.10 16.58 22.51 38.33 20.10 18.65 17.12 14.75 13.90 12.50 16.20 14.44 12.37 10.94 12.54 6.37 15.67 17.75 16.96 17.25 15.62 14.63 15.52 15.50 12.09 12.62 13.28 8.51 12.41 10.38 18.76 7.61 13.11 14.88 11.89 18.41 16.65 14.51 10.30 9.78 11.58 20.70 34.22 19.04 17.50 16.59 13.97 12.58 11.50 17.70 17.25 14.79 13.31 17.24 12.38 19.00 23.77 24.85 19.06 18.10 16.91 19.14 17.05 14.65 14.43 15.32 17.33 15.82 16.82 23.28 18.39 15.91 18.42 17.08 22.45 19.14 17.77 12.51 14.89 23.16 24.43 42.61 21.20 19.85 17.67 15.56 15.34 13.57 1.50 2.81 2.41 2.37 4.70 6.02 3.33 6.02 7.89 1.81 2.49 2.28 3.62 1.55 2.57 1.81 2.04 8.82 3.42 6.44 4.52 10.78 2.80 3.55 5.19 4.04 2.48 3.26 2.21 5.11 11.57 3.73 8.39 2.16 2.35 1.08 1.59 2.76 2.07 16.66 16.53 16.78 0.25 Make Model of Car BMW BMW BMW Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi 7 Series E23 7 Series E32 7 Series E38 Falcon XE/XF Fairlane Z & LTD F Falcon EA / Falcon EB Series I Falcon EB Series II / Falcon ED Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane & LTD AU Fairlane & LTD BA/BF Falcon FG Falcon EF/EL Falcon AU Taurus Falcon BA/BF Commodore VN/VP / Lexcen Statesman/Caprice WB Stateman/Caprice VQ Stateman/Caprice VR/VS Commodore VR/VS / Lexcen Commodore VT/VX Statesman/Caprice WH Commodore VY/VZ Monaro Statesman/Caprice WK/WL Commodore VB-VL Commodore VE Sonata Grandeaur / XG Magna TM/TN/TP / Sigma / V3000 Magna TE/TF/TH/TJ / Verada KE/KF/KH/KJ / Diamante Magna TR/TS / Verada KR/KS / V3000 / Diamante Magna TL/TW / Verada KL/KW 380 XJ6 XJ6 S-Type 929 / Luce 929 / Sentia / Efini MS-9 E-Class W123 E-Class W124 E-Class W210 S-Class W126 E-Class W211 Skyline 300ZX / Fairlady Z Maxima Maxima / Cefiro Maxima Maxima Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 82-86 87-94 95-01 82-88 82-87 88-Mar 92 Apr 92-94 88-94 95-98 99-02 03-07 08-09 94-98 98-02 96-98 02-08 89-93 82-85 90-93 94-98 93-97 97-02 99-03 02-07 01-05 03-06 82-88 06-09 89-97 99-00 85-90 10.80 16.33 10.92 18.60 18.14 17.81 16.30 14.86 15.36 15.25 13.03 10.18 16.29 15.70 17.80 13.89 18.37 17.55 16.22 16.01 17.11 16.37 14.90 15.09 14.62 15.04 19.92 13.95 19.18 14.64 19.73 Lower 95% Confidence Limit 6.72 12.59 7.25 18.22 17.14 17.42 15.79 13.89 13.86 13.36 10.74 7.54 15.94 15.25 14.81 13.38 18.03 11.98 13.56 14.96 16.77 16.02 13.24 14.55 12.45 12.61 19.52 12.95 17.99 11.41 19.22 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 16.90 20.91 16.12 18.98 19.19 18.20 16.84 15.88 16.98 17.36 15.73 13.60 16.65 16.15 21.25 14.41 18.72 24.98 19.27 17.11 17.45 16.72 16.74 15.65 17.08 17.85 20.32 15.01 20.43 18.60 20.25 Width of Confidence Interval 10.18 8.32 8.87 0.76 2.04 0.78 1.05 1.99 3.12 4.00 5.00 6.06 0.71 0.90 6.43 1.03 0.69 13.00 5.71 2.15 0.67 0.70 3.50 1.11 4.63 5.24 0.80 2.06 2.43 7.19 1.02 96-03 16.49 15.98 17.01 1.04 91-96 17.68 17.21 18.17 0.96 03-05 05-08 82-86 87-94 99-08 82-90 92-96 82-85 86-94 96-02 82-92 02-09 83-88 90-95 90-94 95-99 00-02 06-09 16.25 14.59 18.81 13.75 8.92 20.56 18.19 15.10 16.30 13.21 14.50 13.30 19.08 19.86 18.06 17.93 17.75 14.85 14.67 12.16 14.74 10.89 5.77 19.15 13.84 12.11 14.35 11.07 12.35 10.06 18.02 16.68 15.67 15.94 14.81 11.78 17.97 17.41 23.68 17.21 13.55 22.04 23.54 18.67 18.45 15.68 16.94 17.38 20.19 23.47 20.72 20.10 21.13 18.55 3.30 5.25 8.93 6.32 7.78 2.89 9.70 6.56 4.09 4.61 4.59 7.32 2.17 6.80 5.05 4.16 6.32 6.77 Make Model of Car Honda Rover Saab Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Lexus Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Volvo Legend 3500 9-5 Camry Crown / Cressida / Mark II Crown / Cressida / Mark II Cressida / Mark II Supra ES300 / Windom LS400 / Celsior Avalon Camry Aurion Camry 850/S70/V70/C70 700/900 Series 960/S90/V90 Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 13.96 20.26 16.85 16.37 20.00 15.39 15.26 20.51 16.39 13.63 14.93 15.86 12.88 14.94 15.53 16.42 17.02 Lower 95% Confidence Limit 11.76 14.46 12.96 15.85 18.30 13.23 13.88 17.25 13.76 9.78 13.79 15.07 10.81 13.25 14.01 14.90 11.62 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 16.49 27.64 21.63 16.91 21.83 17.83 16.74 24.22 19.42 18.67 16.15 16.68 15.28 16.80 17.18 18.06 24.23 Width of Confidence Interval 4.73 13.18 8.67 1.06 3.53 4.60 2.85 6.97 5.66 8.89 2.37 1.61 4.47 3.54 3.16 3.16 12.61 18.00 17.83 18.17 0.33 99-06 01-09 95-01 01-08 97-03 03-09 05-09 82-91 92-98 99-06 82-88 89-95 96-03 00-09 95-97 97-02 00-04 95-01 94-98 99-03 94-97 82-89 97-03 03-05 98-01 02-05 02-09 82-84 16.62 15.32 14.80 13.01 13.04 13.86 17.16 17.71 17.36 16.47 14.84 16.07 11.41 17.61 23.49 17.17 20.71 15.91 21.36 16.71 17.30 24.47 17.02 14.59 17.57 18.28 25.39 21.62 13.57 11.24 12.64 10.76 9.32 9.83 13.90 16.47 16.36 15.25 12.61 13.72 9.54 12.94 20.96 14.87 14.73 14.54 16.74 14.12 13.89 23.75 15.93 11.68 15.50 14.23 18.23 20.82 20.19 20.54 17.25 15.66 17.96 19.18 21.01 19.03 18.40 17.76 17.39 18.74 13.60 23.50 26.23 19.75 28.30 17.39 26.85 19.67 21.34 25.20 18.17 18.08 19.85 23.18 34.19 22.45 6.62 9.30 4.62 4.90 8.64 9.35 7.11 2.55 2.04 2.51 4.78 5.02 4.06 10.56 5.27 4.88 13.57 2.84 10.11 5.56 7.45 1.45 2.24 6.40 4.36 8.96 15.96 1.62 82-87 95-96 02-09 83-86 22.68 19.99 10.66 20.98 16.73 18.09 7.14 20.15 29.99 22.04 15.61 21.84 13.26 3.95 8.47 1.69 86-95 82-87 98-05 98-02 82-85 86-88 89-93 82-90 92-01 90-00 00-05 02-06 06-09 06-09 92-99 84-92 90-98 Medium Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Audi BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW Chrysler Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jaguar Ford / Mazda 156 147 / GT A4 A4 Z3 E36 5 Series E60 / E61 3 Series E90 / E91 3 Series E30 3 Series E36 3 Series E46 5 Series E28 5 Series E34 5 Series E39 PT Cruiser Espero Leganza Tacuma Mondeo Probe Cougar Calibra Camira Vectra Vectra ZC Sonata Sonata EF Tiburon Sigma / Galant / Sapporo / Lambda Starion Galant X-Type Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Make Model of Car Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella / Cronos 626 RX7 RX7 Eunos 500 Eunos 800 6 RX8 6 C-Class W201 C-Class W202 CLK C208 SLK R170 C-Class W203 CLK C209 Pintara Pintara / Corsair / Bluebird Bluebird 280ZX Bluebird 200SX / Silvia 350Z Accord Euro Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Prelude Prelude Prelude Prelude 405 505 406 944 Feugo 900 Series 900/9-3 9000 9-3 1800 / Leone / Omega / 4WD Wagon Liberty / Legacy Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty / Legacy / Outback Corona Camry Apollo JK/JL / Camry / Vista Apollo JM/JP / Camry / Sceptor Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Porsche Renault Saab Saab Saab Saab Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Toyota Toyota Holden / Toyota Holden / Toyota Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 88-91 92-97 18.74 16.25 Lower 95% Confidence Limit 17.81 15.36 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 19.71 17.17 Width of Confidence Interval 1.90 1.81 98-02 82-85 86-91 93-99 94-00 02-07 03-09 08-09 87-93 95-00 97-03 97-04 00-07 03-09 86-88 89-92 82-86 82-84 93-97 94-02 03-09 03-08 03-07 82-85 86-90 91-93 94-98 99-02 82-82 83-91 92-96 97-02 89-97 82-93 96-04 82-91 82-87 82-92 94-02 86-97 03-09 82-93 16.35 22.98 17.87 22.72 13.44 15.84 12.76 14.52 16.65 14.69 15.02 16.26 13.44 13.05 19.38 20.92 22.11 18.36 15.78 15.08 19.18 14.99 14.05 22.66 17.96 14.39 15.42 15.31 19.46 19.21 17.32 16.63 16.11 12.83 9.25 15.60 18.67 17.09 14.43 15.99 14.56 21.47 14.93 19.69 14.13 18.72 8.38 14.39 9.15 9.37 14.31 13.00 10.91 11.98 11.53 9.38 18.36 20.10 21.32 12.00 14.18 13.35 14.37 13.35 11.87 20.84 16.41 12.76 14.27 12.96 14.48 17.87 15.50 14.19 13.36 10.46 6.35 8.90 14.40 14.89 12.73 13.88 10.40 20.51 17.88 26.64 22.36 27.29 20.87 17.41 17.52 21.81 19.30 16.56 20.34 21.70 15.62 17.87 20.44 21.77 22.91 27.06 17.52 16.98 25.12 16.80 16.56 24.58 19.62 16.19 16.65 18.01 25.65 20.62 19.31 19.40 19.30 15.64 13.30 25.92 23.86 19.54 16.31 18.37 20.02 22.47 2.95 6.95 8.23 8.57 12.49 3.03 8.37 12.44 4.99 3.57 9.43 9.72 4.09 8.48 2.09 1.67 1.59 15.06 3.34 3.63 10.75 3.45 4.68 3.74 3.21 3.43 2.38 5.05 11.17 2.74 3.81 5.22 5.95 5.19 6.94 17.02 9.45 4.65 3.58 4.49 9.63 1.96 89-93 94-98 99-03 03-09 82-88 83-86 88-92 93-97 18.18 15.80 13.50 12.00 21.65 20.66 18.25 18.93 17.19 14.56 12.47 10.58 21.00 19.36 17.83 18.46 19.21 17.12 14.60 13.58 22.30 22.03 18.68 19.41 2.02 2.56 2.13 3.00 1.30 2.67 0.85 0.96 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Volvo Volvo Volkswagen Celica Celica Celica Celica Celica IS200 / IS300 200 Series S60 Passat Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 81-85 86-89 90-93 94-99 00-05 99-04 82-93 01-09 98-06 People Movers Chrysler Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Mazda Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Voyager Zafira TT Nimbus / Chariot / Spacewagon Nimbus / Chariot Nimbus Starwagon / L300 Starwagon / Delica Starwagon Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Carnival Carnival MPV Prairie Serena Odyssey Odyssey Odyssey Tarago Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago / Previa / Estima Spacia Avensis Verso Tarago 97-01 01-05 85-91 92-98 99-03 83-86 87-93 95-98 98-03 99-06 06-09 94-99 84-86 92-95 95-00 00-02 04-09 83-89 91-99 00-06 93-00 01-09 06-09 Small Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Mini Chrysler Chrysler Citroen Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo 33 75 GTV Sprint Alfasud A3/S3 Mini Cooper Neon Neon Xsara Applause 1.5i Cielo Nubira Lanos 83-92 86-92 82-84 82-88 82-84 97-04 02-09 96-99 00-02 00-05 89-99 94-95 95-97 97-03 97-03 21.59 18.61 18.98 19.67 16.12 14.40 14.88 9.48 12.89 Lower 95% Confidence Limit 19.93 17.05 17.50 17.88 13.46 12.13 13.67 6.11 10.13 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 23.35 20.29 20.55 21.60 19.18 17.01 16.17 14.43 16.27 Width of Confidence Interval 3.42 3.24 3.06 3.71 5.72 4.88 2.50 8.31 6.14 18.58 18.16 18.99 0.83 13.51 15.03 22.62 19.52 12.22 26.89 22.25 19.11 16.37 12.58 11.45 12.95 23.67 15.02 13.61 11.35 13.50 23.89 14.60 12.23 17.81 13.96 14.84 10.91 11.90 19.02 17.06 9.27 25.26 21.13 17.25 14.58 10.93 8.04 9.99 19.56 10.16 11.20 8.29 10.70 22.72 13.51 10.53 13.48 9.97 10.91 16.61 18.81 26.68 22.23 15.95 28.59 23.42 21.11 18.33 14.44 16.06 16.61 28.34 21.65 16.44 15.35 16.89 25.10 15.76 14.15 23.17 19.20 19.87 5.70 6.91 7.66 5.17 6.68 3.33 2.29 3.86 3.75 3.51 8.02 6.62 8.78 11.49 5.24 7.06 6.20 2.37 2.25 3.62 9.69 9.23 8.96 20.37 20.22 20.53 0.31 20.18 17.99 16.12 23.58 22.68 16.90 13.80 17.78 15.94 21.65 22.48 27.72 23.33 18.49 21.25 17.07 12.93 10.44 16.45 15.47 13.75 10.27 14.89 10.71 14.98 21.13 22.37 22.14 17.28 20.23 23.70 24.47 24.06 32.60 31.99 20.60 18.30 21.10 23.05 30.23 23.89 33.80 24.57 19.77 22.31 6.63 11.54 13.61 16.15 16.53 6.85 8.03 6.22 12.34 15.25 2.76 11.43 2.43 2.49 2.08 Make Model of Car Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Fiat Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Lacetti Laser Laser Capri Focus LR Focus LS / LT Regata Gemini Gemini RB Astra TR Astra TS Astra AH Viva JF Excel Excel Excel / Accent Elantra Accent S Coupe Lantra Lantra Coupe Accent Lancer / Mirage CA Lancer / Mirage CB Lancer / Mirage CC Lancer / Mirage CE Cordia Lancer CH / CJ Rio Spectra Cerato LD Rio JB Laser / 323 / Familia 323 / Familia / Lantis 323 / Familia / Lantis Laser / 323 MX5 / Eunos Roadster MX5 / Eunos Roadster Eunos 30X / Presso / MX-3 / Autozam AZ-3 3 / Axela A-Class W168 Astra / Pulsar / Langley Astra / Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Stanza Gazelle / Silvia Exa Exa NX/NX-R Pulsar Mazda Mercedes Benz Holden / Nissan Holden / Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 03-04 91-94 95-97 89-94 02-05 05-09 84-88 82-84 86-87 96-98 98-06 04-09 05-09 86-90 90-94 95-00 00-06 06-09 90-96 91-95 96-00 96-00 00-06 89-90 91-92 93-95 96-03 83-87 03-09 00-05 01-04 04-08 05-09 82-88 90-93 95-98 99-03 89-97 98-05 90-97 17.69 21.33 19.81 26.02 17.22 14.55 17.16 24.43 27.70 17.99 17.38 16.29 17.09 25.90 24.40 23.42 18.57 13.94 24.50 21.46 18.72 18.69 19.50 20.11 22.97 20.55 20.83 24.49 17.77 20.32 19.67 18.96 17.27 24.99 20.04 20.18 17.83 22.14 19.34 19.06 Lower 95% Confidence Limit 12.98 20.70 18.77 24.02 15.57 12.90 12.54 23.33 25.21 16.09 16.72 14.88 14.83 24.42 23.58 22.92 17.25 9.71 22.37 19.93 17.70 16.48 18.53 19.07 20.40 19.68 20.28 22.36 16.48 18.92 16.01 15.99 14.82 24.53 18.88 19.16 17.01 18.56 16.14 16.14 03-09 98-04 84-86 88-90 92-95 96-99 82-83 84-86 83-86 87-91 91-96 00-05 15.38 18.85 25.09 21.95 19.18 20.03 22.70 23.02 29.78 21.47 21.95 18.79 14.46 15.39 24.20 21.26 18.31 19.30 19.11 18.98 25.69 16.63 19.39 17.99 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 23.64 21.98 20.89 28.12 19.00 16.36 23.05 25.55 30.34 20.06 18.06 17.81 19.61 27.43 25.23 23.93 19.97 19.61 26.77 23.07 19.78 21.12 20.51 21.19 25.75 21.46 21.39 26.76 19.13 21.79 23.93 22.34 20.03 25.45 21.25 21.24 18.67 26.18 23.01 22.38 Width of Confidence Interval 10.66 1.28 2.12 4.10 3.43 3.46 10.52 2.22 5.13 3.96 1.33 2.93 4.78 3.02 1.66 1.01 2.72 9.91 4.40 3.14 2.09 4.65 1.98 2.12 5.35 1.79 1.11 4.40 2.65 2.87 7.93 6.35 5.20 0.91 2.37 2.08 1.67 7.62 6.88 6.23 16.35 22.87 25.99 22.66 20.07 20.77 26.73 27.62 34.23 27.25 24.74 19.62 1.89 7.48 1.79 1.40 1.76 1.47 7.62 8.65 8.53 10.62 5.35 1.63 Make Model of Car Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Proton Renault Renault Rover MG Subaru Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota / Holden Toyota / Holden Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Tiida Civic Civic / Ballade / Shuttle Civic / Shuttle Civic Civic CRX CRX S2000 Civic Civic Integra Integra Integra Integra Concerto 306 307 Wira Gen 2 19 Scenic Quintet MGF / MG TF Impreza Impreza Impreza Baleno / Cultus Crescent Liana Corolla Corolla Corolla / Nova Corolla / Nova Corolla / Allex Corolla Corolla Tercel MR2 MR2 Paseo / Cynos Corolla 4WD Wagon Prius II 300 Series S40/V40 Golf Golf Golf / Bora New Beetle Golf / Jetta Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 06-09 82-83 84-87 88-91 92-95 96-00 87-91 92-98 99-09 01-05 06-09 86-88 90-92 93-01 02-06 89-93 94-01 01-09 95-96 04-09 91-96 01-04 82-86 99-05 93-00 01-07 07-09 95-02 01-07 82-84 86-88 89-93 94-97 98-01 02-07 07-09 83-88 87-90 91-00 91-99 92-96 03-09 84-88 97-04 82-94 95-98 99-04 00-09 04-09 Light Cars Daihatsu Charade 82-86 18.09 23.50 24.28 21.59 20.18 18.92 25.16 18.99 10.92 15.51 14.72 21.76 19.78 18.29 19.21 19.39 17.93 12.60 20.16 21.97 21.27 18.25 23.64 13.04 19.35 14.72 16.58 19.75 17.94 24.29 22.57 20.89 19.75 17.59 17.16 16.42 22.64 24.40 21.94 20.49 17.06 13.47 16.79 15.05 20.99 16.31 17.16 15.22 13.39 Lower 95% Confidence Limit 14.25 20.44 22.65 20.42 19.12 17.95 20.86 14.46 7.58 13.96 12.42 18.64 17.05 16.17 15.26 16.44 15.95 10.40 18.33 15.68 16.81 13.92 18.85 9.48 18.31 13.54 11.25 18.15 14.93 23.42 21.94 20.42 19.21 16.80 16.52 14.42 19.19 19.55 16.51 18.66 14.30 9.95 11.85 12.86 16.12 14.36 15.66 11.95 11.56 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 22.69 26.87 25.99 22.82 21.28 19.94 30.02 24.54 15.48 17.19 17.36 25.24 22.83 20.61 23.90 22.73 20.09 15.20 22.13 29.89 26.55 23.56 29.21 17.67 20.45 15.98 23.75 21.46 21.41 25.17 23.22 21.37 20.31 18.41 17.81 18.64 26.50 30.00 28.54 22.44 20.23 17.97 23.24 17.55 26.87 18.47 18.76 19.19 15.46 Width of Confidence Interval 8.45 6.42 3.34 2.40 2.16 1.99 9.16 10.08 7.91 3.23 4.93 6.61 5.79 4.44 8.64 6.29 4.14 4.80 3.80 14.21 9.74 9.63 10.36 8.18 2.14 2.43 12.50 3.31 6.48 1.75 1.27 0.95 1.09 1.61 1.29 4.22 7.31 10.45 12.03 3.78 5.93 8.02 11.38 4.69 10.75 4.11 3.10 7.24 3.91 23.26 23.02 23.50 0.48 29.25 27.30 31.28 3.97 Make Model of Car Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Nissan Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Renault Subaru Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Charade Charade Pyzar Sirion / Storia Mira Matiz Kalos Festiva WD/WH/WF Ka Barina XC Barina SB Barina TK Getz / TB Mirage / Colt Colt Festiva WA / 121 121 / Autozam Review 121 Metro / Demio 2 2 Micra Jazz / Fit City 205 206 Satria Clio II Sherpa / Fiori / 700 / Rex Swift Barina / Swift / Cultus Barina / Swift / Cultus Hatch / Alto Alto Ignis Swift Starlet Echo Yaris Polo Polo Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 88-92 93-00 97-01 98-04 90-96 99-04 03-04 94-01 99-02 01-06 95-00 05-09 02-09 82-88 04-09 87-90 94-96 97-02 02-07 07-09 95-97 02-08 83-86 87-94 99-07 97-05 01-04 89-92 82-85 86-88 89-99 82-84 85-00 00-02 05-09 96-99 99-05 05-09 96-00 02-09 25.70 24.15 20.95 23.07 35.09 30.16 19.58 25.00 22.21 19.28 23.36 19.49 19.50 25.63 17.51 25.38 23.89 20.96 16.23 15.85 24.21 17.90 32.12 19.73 16.50 23.54 18.03 38.00 28.97 29.75 24.86 37.51 34.70 24.58 19.08 22.29 19.43 17.57 20.72 17.69 Lower 95% Confidence Limit 24.73 23.18 17.44 21.20 32.01 27.45 16.36 24.34 19.02 18.00 22.46 17.53 18.26 24.85 13.87 24.42 22.65 19.61 14.30 12.54 21.73 16.13 27.73 15.27 14.24 18.34 13.41 34.77 23.43 28.37 24.24 34.54 29.33 21.36 17.31 21.20 18.56 16.21 17.79 14.14 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 26.70 25.14 24.95 25.05 38.30 33.02 23.26 25.68 25.77 20.64 24.28 21.62 20.81 26.44 21.88 26.36 25.19 22.39 18.36 19.84 26.88 19.81 36.85 25.11 19.04 29.67 23.81 41.34 35.23 31.17 25.50 40.59 40.50 28.12 20.98 23.43 20.34 19.02 23.99 21.91 Width of Confidence Interval 1.98 1.96 7.51 3.85 6.30 5.57 6.90 1.35 6.75 2.64 1.82 4.09 2.55 1.59 8.01 1.94 2.54 2.78 4.06 7.30 5.15 3.68 9.12 9.84 4.80 11.33 10.41 6.58 11.80 2.80 1.27 6.05 11.17 6.76 3.66 2.23 1.78 2.81 6.19 7.77 APPENDIX 3 LOGISTIC REGRESSION ESTIMATES OF CRASHWORTHINESS INJURY SEVERITY BY MODEL AND MARKET GROUP CRASHWORTHINESS INJURY SEVERITY RATINGS New South Wales Data (1987-2009), South Australia Data (1995-2009), Queensland and Western Australia Data (1991-2009) Make Model of Car ALL VEHICLE AVERAGE Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Upper 95% Manufacture % Confidence Confidence Limit Limit 20.47 Compact Sports Utility Vehicles Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi / Peugeot Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Nissan Lada Honda Honda Honda Honda Land Rover Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota 19.32 18.48 20.19 1.72 Feroza / Rocky Rocky / Rugger Terios Cruze Tucson Outlander Outlander / 4007 89-97 85-98 97-05 02-06 04-09 03-06 06-09 24.84 28.68 20.08 24.07 27.74 18.24 14.53 19.47 21.96 15.36 18.58 13.80 10.10 3.66 31.13 36.50 25.82 30.57 47.92 30.70 43.24 11.67 14.53 10.46 11.98 34.11 20.60 39.58 Sportage Sorento Escape / Tribute CX-7 X-Trail Niva CR-V CR-V HR-V CR-V Freelander Forester Forester Vitara / Escudo Grand Vitara Drover / Sierra / Samurai / SJ410 / SJ413 Jimny Grand Vitara RAV4 RAV4 RAV4 98-03 03-09 01-06 06-09 01-07 84-99 97-01 02-06 99-02 07-09 98-06 97-02 02-08 88-98 99-05 82-99 17.79 19.91 20.63 5.77 18.88 20.95 17.60 14.20 25.80 17.08 38.88 16.69 16.41 23.28 18.21 21.84 12.64 10.45 15.91 0.81 15.44 13.66 14.05 10.64 17.18 8.22 24.49 13.33 12.55 20.49 13.33 19.45 24.45 34.60 26.31 31.58 22.89 30.73 21.82 18.69 36.82 32.12 55.50 20.69 21.17 26.32 24.37 24.44 11.81 24.15 10.40 30.77 7.45 17.06 7.77 8.05 19.64 23.90 31.01 7.36 8.62 5.82 11.04 4.98 98-09 05-08 94-00 01-06 06-09 17.99 23.52 20.42 18.88 20.03 12.08 14.32 17.37 15.56 13.71 25.94 36.15 23.86 22.71 28.31 13.85 21.83 6.49 7.15 14.60 19.51 18.43 20.65 2.22 Medium Sports Utility Vehicles Daewoo / Ssangong Ford Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Width of Confidence Interval Musso 98-02 31.74 19.76 46.74 26.98 Territory SX/SY Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Frontera / Mu Adventra Captiva CG Santa Fe 04-09 82-91 92-97 98-02 95-03 03-06 06-09 00-06 21.03 16.13 19.05 21.30 20.96 10.04 15.17 24.38 15.33 12.24 14.21 15.63 13.46 3.74 7.36 15.16 28.14 20.96 25.07 28.34 31.12 24.24 28.69 36.76 12.80 8.72 10.86 12.71 17.66 20.50 21.33 21.59 Make Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jeep Jeep Jeep Land Rover Nissan Nissan Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Toyota Model of Car Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit Terracan 01-07 11.63 3.59 Pajero 82-90 24.73 21.10 Pajero 92-99 21.95 18.64 Pajero NM / NP / NS 00-06 21.96 15.60 Challenger 98-06 24.19 16.37 Cherokee XJ 96-00 20.89 16.34 Wrangler 96-04 23.52 15.28 Cherokee KJ 01-07 13.77 7.16 Defender 92-09 30.41 20.54 Pathfinder / Terrano 88-94 20.85 16.58 Pathfinder / Terrano / Regulus 95-05 15.10 10.93 Kluger 03-07 21.09 14.22 Landcruiser Prado 96-03 19.18 14.62 Landcruiser Prado 03-09 16.08 12.33 RX330 03-05 39.29 20.89 Kluger 07-09 11.39 2.79 Large Sports Utility Vehicles BMW Ford Ford Ford Jeep Jeep Land Rover Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Land Rover Land Rover Toyota Toyota Toyota X5 Bronco Explorer Explorer Grand Cherokee ZG Grand Cherokee WJ/WG Discovery M-Class W163 Patrol / Safari Patrol / Maverick / Safari Patrol / Safari Range Rover Range Rover Landcruiser Landcruiser Landcruiser 01-08 82-87 00-01 01-05 96-99 99-05 91-02 98-05 82-87 88-97 98-09 82-94 95-02 82-89 90-97 98-07 Commercial - Vans Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Kia Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Honda Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Handivan Hi-Jet Handivan / Cuore Falcon Panel Van Falcon Panel Van Transit Transit Shuttle / WFR Van Pregio MB100 / MB140 Vito Sprinter Acty Scurry / Carry Carry 82-90 82-90 99-03 82-95 96-99 95-00 01-07 82-87 02-06 99-04 99-04 98-06 83-86 82-00 99-05 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 31.73 28.75 25.67 29.99 34.22 26.30 34.40 24.86 42.50 25.87 20.49 30.11 24.75 20.71 61.34 36.56 Width of Confidence Interval 28.14 7.65 7.03 14.40 17.85 9.96 19.11 17.70 21.97 9.29 9.56 15.89 10.12 8.38 40.45 33.77 20.68 19.86 21.53 1.67 9.35 37.52 23.86 15.05 19.41 16.63 19.59 20.27 23.24 21.28 20.65 20.11 9.57 25.91 23.22 19.50 2.96 21.45 17.11 8.40 10.87 9.04 14.49 10.23 18.35 19.01 17.70 15.14 3.88 23.66 21.37 17.39 25.89 56.90 32.25 25.49 32.23 28.59 25.95 36.20 28.96 23.75 23.94 26.21 21.70 28.30 25.18 21.79 22.93 35.44 15.14 17.09 21.35 19.56 11.47 25.97 10.62 4.74 6.25 11.07 17.82 4.64 3.82 4.41 20.62 19.67 21.59 1.92 24.81 28.48 21.23 19.98 17.17 21.28 11.48 27.22 21.20 20.43 21.18 16.55 23.07 27.52 26.26 19.75 19.46 12.37 16.68 10.06 15.31 6.94 19.22 14.22 10.10 11.98 10.33 14.23 21.30 12.36 30.67 39.63 33.99 23.75 27.75 28.77 18.40 37.02 30.38 36.97 34.67 25.47 35.14 34.76 47.36 10.92 20.16 21.62 7.07 17.69 13.46 11.45 17.81 16.16 26.87 22.69 15.14 20.91 13.47 35.00 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace Caravelle / Transporter Caravelle / Transporter Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 82-86 25.19 22.59 87-89 23.22 20.14 90-95 24.84 22.14 96-04 20.18 17.54 05-09 22.66 16.40 88-94 20.45 9.76 95-04 11.06 6.43 Commercial - Utes Ford / Nissan Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Proton Subaru Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Falcon Ute / XFN Ute Falcon Ute Falcon Ute AU Falcon Ute BA/BF Ford F-Series F-Series Commodore Ute VG/VP Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo Rodeo WB Series Commodore Ute VR/VS Commodore VU Ute Commodore VY/VZ Ute Rodeo Commodore VE Ute Triton MK Triton ML / MN Ceres K2700 Courier / B-Series / Bounty Courier / Bravo / Bounty Ranger / BT-50 720 Ute Navara Navara Navara Navara Jumbuck Brumby Mighty Boy 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux Hilux Hilux Hilux 82-95 96-99 00-02 03-08 82-92 01-06 90-93 82-85 86-88 89-95 96-98 99-02 82-85 94-00 00-02 02-07 03-08 07-09 96-06 06-09 92-00 02-08 98-02 03-06 06-09 82-85 86-91 92-96 97-05 05-09 03-09 82-92 85-88 82-85 86-88 89-97 98-02 03-04 05-09 Large Cars BMW 7 Series E23 82-86 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 27.99 26.62 27.74 23.11 30.44 37.90 18.36 Width of Confidence Interval 5.41 6.48 5.60 5.58 14.04 28.14 11.93 20.87 20.33 21.41 1.07 23.61 19.86 19.46 19.17 18.94 22.99 25.95 22.52 12.77 24.39 20.09 22.15 31.53 24.57 22.88 19.20 18.08 21.61 16.32 9.22 27.46 30.60 20.41 18.31 13.10 22.70 23.43 22.60 22.13 20.36 24.21 29.22 25.91 24.26 24.33 23.57 19.06 17.48 17.10 21.55 16.36 16.12 15.66 13.08 11.90 21.50 16.43 6.90 21.99 17.01 18.98 26.23 22.38 18.96 16.65 15.22 8.86 11.55 4.07 22.10 14.65 16.85 14.56 8.22 18.47 20.56 18.67 18.40 13.14 10.63 25.18 19.69 21.85 21.89 22.23 16.93 14.02 14.11 25.80 23.90 23.32 23.26 26.62 39.75 30.94 30.05 22.44 26.96 23.56 25.67 37.35 26.91 27.34 22.04 21.35 43.88 22.55 19.59 33.56 53.10 24.51 22.77 20.25 27.57 26.57 27.09 26.37 30.17 46.18 33.62 33.28 26.84 26.94 24.96 21.38 21.58 20.58 4.25 7.55 7.20 7.60 13.54 27.84 9.44 13.62 15.54 4.96 6.55 6.69 11.12 4.53 8.38 5.40 6.13 35.02 11.00 15.52 11.45 38.45 7.66 8.21 12.03 9.10 6.01 8.42 7.97 17.03 35.55 8.43 13.58 5.00 5.06 2.73 4.45 7.55 6.47 20.23 19.91 20.56 0.65 26.05 12.78 45.83 33.05 Make Model of Car Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit BMW 7 Series E32 87-94 26.45 16.66 BMW 7 Series E38 95-01 15.61 6.45 Ford Falcon XE/XF 82-88 23.94 22.99 Ford Fairlane Z & LTD F 82-87 23.52 21.07 Ford Falcon EA / Falcon EB Series 88-Mar 92 22.62 21.60 I Ford Falcon EB Series II / Falcon Apr 92-94 22.64 21.22 ED Ford Fairlane N & LTD D 88-94 22.02 19.40 Ford Fairlane N & LTD D 95-98 22.92 18.75 Ford Fairlane & LTD AU 99-02 19.09 13.34 Ford Fairlane & LTD BA/BF 03-07 24.61 14.12 Ford Falcon FG 08-09 12.01 5.42 Ford Falcon EF/EL 94-98 20.87 19.89 Ford Falcon AU 98-02 19.32 18.07 Ford Taurus 96-98 22.66 15.77 Ford Falcon BA/BF 02-08 17.79 16.26 Holden / Toyota Commodore VN/VP / Lexcen 89-93 24.02 23.12 Holden Statesman/Caprice WB 82-85 40.08 26.54 Holden Stateman/Caprice VQ 90-93 28.07 21.05 Holden Stateman/Caprice VR/VS 94-98 20.90 18.08 Holden / Toyota Commodore VR/VS / Lexcen 93-97 21.51 20.60 Holden Commodore VT/VX 97-02 19.35 18.38 Holden Statesman/Caprice WH 99-03 17.35 12.69 Holden Commodore VY/VZ 02-07 17.35 15.84 Holden Monaro 01-05 22.34 16.36 Holden Statesman/Caprice WK/WL 03-06 19.31 12.17 Holden Commodore VB-VL 82-88 24.97 24.00 Holden Commodore VE 06-09 18.03 14.98 Hyundai Sonata 89-97 19.40 16.55 Hyundai Grandeaur / XG 99-00 9.71 3.08 Mitsubishi Magna TM/TN/TP / Sigma / 85-90 23.90 22.65 V3000 Mitsubishi Magna TE/TF/TH/TJ / Verada 96-03 20.89 19.32 KE/KF/KH/KJ / Diamante Mitsubishi Magna TR/TS / Verada 91-96 20.95 19.68 KR/KS / V3000 / Diamante Mitsubishi Magna TL/TW / Verada 03-05 15.06 10.84 KL/KW Mitsubishi 380 05-08 15.62 8.80 Jaguar XJ6 82-86 27.25 16.34 Jaguar XJ6 87-94 15.05 8.37 Jaguar S-Type 99-08 14.21 4.65 Mazda 929 / Luce 82-90 23.15 20.22 Mazda 929 / Sentia / Efini MS-9 92-96 21.63 12.19 Mercedes Benz E-Class W123 82-85 21.51 12.16 Mercedes Benz E-Class W124 86-94 17.93 12.94 Mercedes Benz E-Class W210 96-02 18.41 11.71 Mercedes Benz S-Class W126 82-92 20.76 14.25 Mercedes Benz E-Class W211 02-09 4.60 0.63 Nissan Skyline 83-88 24.06 21.95 Nissan 300ZX / Fairlady Z 90-95 22.34 16.16 Nissan Maxima 90-94 20.26 16.25 Nissan Maxima / Cefiro 95-99 21.43 17.44 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 39.27 33.15 24.92 26.16 23.67 Width of Confidence Interval 22.61 26.70 1.93 5.08 2.06 24.13 2.91 24.89 27.70 26.56 39.32 24.51 21.89 20.63 31.43 19.44 24.95 55.32 36.34 24.03 22.45 20.35 23.27 18.97 29.72 29.24 25.98 21.53 22.59 26.68 25.20 5.49 8.95 13.22 25.20 19.08 2.00 2.56 15.66 3.18 1.83 28.78 15.28 5.95 1.85 1.96 10.58 3.14 13.36 17.08 1.98 6.55 6.04 23.60 2.55 22.55 3.23 22.27 2.59 20.56 9.73 26.23 41.81 25.56 36.00 26.36 35.43 35.19 24.31 27.73 29.24 26.84 26.31 30.02 24.95 26.05 17.44 25.47 17.19 31.35 6.14 23.24 23.03 11.37 16.02 15.00 26.21 4.36 13.86 8.70 8.61 Make Model of Car Nissan Nissan Honda Rover Saab Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Lexus Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Volvo Maxima Maxima Legend 3500 9-5 Camry Crown / Cressida / Mark II Crown / Cressida / Mark II Cressida / Mark II Supra ES300 / Windom LS400 / Celsior Avalon Camry Aurion Camry 850/S70/V70/C70 700/900 Series 960/S90/V90 Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 00-02 20.32 14.33 06-09 20.64 12.86 86-95 21.81 16.19 82-87 11.02 4.16 98-05 11.12 4.23 98-02 19.54 17.95 82-85 23.72 20.09 86-88 28.60 21.47 89-93 19.97 16.13 82-90 29.87 22.31 92-01 21.70 15.60 90-00 10.21 3.74 00-05 19.95 16.55 02-06 16.21 14.11 06-09 20.34 12.67 06-09 15.39 10.86 92-99 19.87 15.39 84-92 15.74 12.04 90-98 17.45 7.14 Medium Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Audi BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW Chrysler Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi 156 147 / GT A4 A4 Z3 E36 5 Series E60 / E61 3 Series E90 / E91 3 Series E30 3 Series E36 3 Series E46 5 Series E28 5 Series E34 5 Series E39 PT Cruiser Espero Leganza Tacuma Mondeo Probe Cougar Calibra Camira Vectra Vectra ZC Sonata Sonata EF Tiburon Sigma / Galant / Sapporo / Lambda Starion Galant Upper 95% Confidence Limit 27.99 31.42 28.71 26.12 26.19 21.22 27.78 36.97 24.46 38.70 29.36 24.95 23.86 18.55 30.99 21.37 25.27 20.32 36.76 Width of Confidence Interval 13.65 18.56 12.53 21.96 21.96 3.27 7.68 15.51 8.33 16.39 13.75 21.21 7.31 4.44 18.33 10.51 9.88 8.28 29.63 20.12 19.74 20.51 0.78 99-06 01-09 95-01 01-08 97-03 03-09 05-09 82-91 92-98 99-06 82-88 89-95 96-03 00-09 95-97 97-02 00-04 95-01 94-98 99-03 94-97 82-89 97-03 03-05 98-01 02-05 02-09 82-84 17.93 15.68 21.77 16.02 24.27 18.10 7.63 21.17 19.17 18.45 23.15 20.63 18.36 18.22 24.28 19.70 33.01 18.65 19.57 18.58 17.39 23.03 17.79 14.98 24.45 16.01 16.42 22.98 9.06 5.16 15.28 8.58 13.31 6.72 2.87 18.27 16.68 14.95 16.40 15.11 12.45 7.09 18.71 13.93 16.55 15.64 11.30 12.56 11.14 21.64 15.10 8.79 17.76 6.13 5.31 21.40 32.38 38.86 30.04 27.93 40.09 40.37 18.75 24.41 21.93 22.55 31.62 27.51 26.23 39.43 30.89 27.11 55.04 22.09 31.73 26.62 26.11 24.49 20.84 24.36 32.66 35.77 40.78 24.65 23.32 33.69 14.76 19.36 26.78 33.65 15.87 6.14 5.26 7.60 15.22 12.39 13.78 32.35 12.18 13.18 38.50 6.45 20.43 14.06 14.97 2.85 5.75 15.57 14.90 29.65 35.47 3.25 82-87 95-96 40.03 20.51 28.33 17.09 52.98 24.42 24.66 7.33 Make Jaguar Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Porsche Renault Saab Saab Saab Saab Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Toyota Toyota Model of Car Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit X-Type 02-09 10.09 2.48 Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella 83-86 21.95 20.40 Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella 88-91 21.69 19.85 Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella / 92-97 22.55 20.41 Cronos 626 98-02 20.18 16.60 RX7 82-85 23.42 17.31 RX7 86-91 24.59 17.42 Eunos 500 93-99 17.14 9.97 Eunos 800 94-00 17.66 5.72 6 02-07 13.51 10.42 RX8 03-09 10.38 3.24 6 08-09 14.01 4.33 C-Class W201 87-93 20.01 14.19 C-Class W202 95-00 18.70 13.64 CLK C208 97-03 18.90 8.20 SLK R170 97-04 15.57 5.00 C-Class W203 00-07 19.23 11.86 CLK C209 03-09 13.20 4.18 Pintara 86-88 23.41 20.91 Pintara / Corsair / Bluebird 89-92 23.67 21.90 Bluebird 82-86 25.32 23.68 280ZX 82-84 29.05 14.76 Bluebird 93-97 20.98 18.06 200SX / Silvia 94-02 22.42 17.38 350Z 03-09 25.44 13.95 Accord Euro 03-08 17.07 12.44 Accord 03-07 14.76 9.47 Accord 82-85 24.17 21.58 Accord 86-90 21.32 18.74 Accord 91-93 23.25 19.25 Accord 94-98 22.61 19.55 Accord 99-02 14.22 9.56 Prelude 82-82 18.51 8.54 Prelude 83-91 24.09 21.78 Prelude 92-96 24.21 20.02 Prelude 97-02 15.75 10.44 405 89-97 22.20 16.46 505 82-93 21.31 14.91 406 96-04 19.98 10.96 944 82-91 32.91 15.52 Feugo 82-87 21.35 13.21 900 Series 82-92 23.08 17.58 900/9-3 94-02 15.66 10.89 9000 86-97 12.20 7.85 9-3 03-09 24.70 11.36 1800 / Leone / Omega / 4WD 82-93 23.13 21.12 Wagon Liberty / Legacy 89-93 21.08 19.06 Liberty / Legacy / Outback 94-98 21.54 18.84 Liberty / Legacy / Outback 99-03 17.89 14.67 Liberty / Legacy / Outback 03-09 19.86 14.72 Corona 82-88 23.39 21.95 Camry 83-86 24.18 21.02 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 33.14 23.59 23.65 24.84 Width of Confidence Interval 30.66 3.18 3.80 4.43 24.32 30.87 33.52 27.87 43.14 17.35 28.63 36.99 27.46 25.11 37.82 39.24 29.63 34.66 26.11 25.54 27.03 49.19 24.24 28.42 41.79 22.98 22.27 26.96 24.14 27.80 26.00 20.63 35.58 26.56 28.95 23.06 29.24 29.51 33.62 56.71 32.63 29.69 22.01 18.47 45.66 25.27 7.72 13.56 16.09 17.90 37.42 6.93 25.39 32.66 13.28 11.47 29.62 34.24 17.77 30.49 5.21 3.64 3.35 34.43 6.17 11.04 27.83 10.54 12.80 5.38 5.40 8.55 6.45 11.07 27.03 4.77 8.93 12.62 12.78 14.60 22.66 41.19 19.43 12.11 11.12 10.62 34.30 4.15 23.25 24.51 21.63 26.24 24.89 27.65 4.19 5.68 6.95 11.51 2.94 6.63 Make Model of Car Holden / Toyota Apollo JK/JL / Camry / Vista Holden / Toyota Apollo JM/JP / Camry / Sceptor Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Lexus IS200 / IS300 Volvo 200 Series Volvo S60 Volkswagen Passat Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 88-92 22.39 21.22 93-97 22.43 21.14 81-85 86-89 90-93 94-99 00-05 99-04 82-93 01-09 98-06 Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Mazda Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Voyager Zafira TT Nimbus / Chariot / Spacewagon Nimbus / Chariot Nimbus Starwagon / L300 Starwagon / Delica Starwagon Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Carnival Carnival MPV Prairie Serena Odyssey Odyssey Odyssey Tarago Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago / Previa / Estima Spacia Avensis Verso Tarago 17.44 20.17 20.30 14.36 14.06 6.21 18.90 6.42 11.89 24.11 28.62 27.90 23.23 34.21 25.40 27.31 45.86 30.36 6.67 8.45 7.61 8.86 20.16 19.20 8.41 39.44 18.47 21.22 20.22 22.25 2.03 97-01 01-05 85-91 17.09 20.15 20.35 8.77 10.56 15.33 30.66 35.04 26.51 21.88 24.48 11.18 92-98 99-03 83-86 87-93 95-98 98-03 99-06 06-09 94-99 84-86 92-95 95-00 00-02 04-09 83-89 91-99 00-06 93-00 01-09 06-09 22.07 15.77 28.57 23.55 20.63 27.79 19.97 4.21 17.59 20.87 17.45 17.77 23.10 7.95 25.08 21.73 19.49 19.61 38.61 19.51 16.94 6.71 25.29 21.09 16.09 21.75 14.35 0.58 7.40 15.01 11.54 12.59 10.67 2.58 22.37 18.06 13.44 9.20 19.41 7.48 28.22 32.76 32.09 26.19 26.06 34.77 27.10 24.87 36.29 28.26 25.52 24.48 43.04 21.97 27.99 25.91 27.40 36.99 62.16 42.08 11.28 26.05 6.80 5.10 9.98 13.02 12.76 24.29 28.89 13.25 13.98 11.89 32.37 19.39 5.62 7.85 13.96 27.79 42.75 34.60 20.42 20.08 20.77 0.69 23.78 19.52 47.83 20.72 29.52 15.07 12.54 23.69 26.94 10.77 21.60 23.05 17.09 7.65 27.89 9.61 13.87 7.73 6.04 15.60 11.88 2.72 18.42 12.13 32.07 41.52 68.49 39.11 52.13 27.33 24.26 34.28 50.23 34.23 25.15 39.41 14.99 33.87 40.59 29.50 38.26 19.60 18.23 18.68 38.35 31.51 6.73 27.28 Small Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Mini Chrysler Chrysler Citroen Daihatsu Daewoo 33 75 GTV Sprint Alfasud A3/S3 Mini Cooper Neon Neon Xsara Applause 1.5i Width of Confidence Interval 2.38 2.65 20.57 24.14 23.89 18.38 22.58 13.05 22.83 19.43 19.52 People Movers Chrysler Holden Mitsubishi Upper 95% Confidence Limit 23.60 23.79 83-92 86-92 82-84 82-88 82-84 97-04 02-09 96-99 00-02 00-05 89-99 94-95 Make Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Fiat Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Model of Car Cielo Nubira Lanos Lacetti Laser Laser Capri Focus LR Focus LS / LT Regata Gemini Gemini RB Astra TR Astra TS Astra AH Viva JF Excel Excel Excel / Accent Elantra Accent S Coupe Lantra Lantra Coupe Accent Lancer / Mirage CA Lancer / Mirage CB Lancer / Mirage CC Lancer / Mirage CE Cordia Lancer CH / CJ Rio Spectra Cerato LD Rio JB Laser / 323 / Familia 323 / Familia / Lantis 323 / Familia / Lantis Laser / 323 MX5 / Eunos Roadster MX5 / Eunos Roadster Eunos 30X / Presso / MX-3 / Autozam AZ-3 Mazda 3 / Axela Mercedes Benz A-Class W168 Holden / Nissan Astra / Pulsar / Langley Holden / Nissan Astra / Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Stanza Nissan Gazelle / Silvia Nissan Exa Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 95-97 20.60 18.08 97-03 20.15 17.06 97-03 23.24 20.74 03-04 27.04 13.91 91-94 22.02 20.59 95-97 23.48 20.88 89-94 22.31 18.34 02-05 15.52 11.99 05-09 17.84 13.31 84-88 28.44 14.92 82-84 23.34 21.25 86-87 21.51 17.28 96-98 19.22 14.88 98-06 17.77 16.00 04-09 17.59 13.45 05-09 16.43 11.22 86-90 25.62 22.86 90-94 24.50 22.65 95-00 22.37 21.14 00-06 20.01 16.05 06-09 10.82 2.77 90-96 23.33 18.62 91-95 24.32 20.36 96-00 22.71 19.82 96-00 26.59 20.14 00-06 23.14 20.27 89-90 22.15 19.93 91-92 24.29 19.77 93-95 22.24 20.19 96-03 21.58 20.09 83-87 25.90 22.46 03-09 20.18 16.19 00-05 22.03 18.67 01-04 18.94 11.46 04-08 18.19 11.60 05-09 20.42 14.51 82-88 23.73 22.83 90-93 21.45 19.46 95-98 21.18 18.76 99-03 18.09 15.99 89-97 20.61 13.53 98-05 16.52 9.59 90-97 16.88 10.52 03-09 98-04 84-86 88-90 92-95 96-99 82-83 84-86 83-86 15.25 23.71 25.06 24.23 20.41 21.99 19.87 26.88 27.16 12.81 12.86 23.36 22.68 18.54 20.20 13.21 23.14 20.21 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 23.37 23.64 25.94 45.94 23.51 26.30 26.84 19.86 23.50 47.38 25.58 26.44 24.45 19.69 22.68 23.43 28.59 26.44 23.65 24.67 34.07 28.82 28.76 25.88 34.22 26.29 24.54 29.46 24.43 23.15 29.66 24.87 25.80 29.66 27.36 27.94 24.64 23.60 23.82 20.41 30.09 26.97 25.97 Width of Confidence Interval 5.28 6.58 5.19 32.04 2.91 5.42 8.50 7.86 10.18 32.46 4.33 9.16 9.57 3.69 9.23 12.21 5.73 3.79 2.51 8.62 31.29 10.20 8.40 6.06 14.09 6.02 4.62 9.69 4.24 3.06 7.20 8.68 7.14 18.20 15.76 13.43 1.81 4.14 5.06 4.42 16.57 17.38 15.45 18.06 39.54 26.84 25.86 22.41 23.90 28.78 30.98 35.44 5.25 26.68 3.48 3.19 3.87 3.71 15.56 7.84 15.24 Make Model of Car Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Proton Renault Renault Rover MG Subaru Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota / Holden Toyota / Holden Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Exa NX/NX-R Pulsar Tiida Civic Civic / Ballade / Shuttle Civic / Shuttle Civic Civic CRX CRX S2000 Civic Civic Integra Integra Integra Integra Concerto 306 307 Wira Gen 2 19 Scenic Quintet MGF / MG TF Impreza Impreza Impreza Baleno / Cultus Crescent Liana Corolla Corolla Corolla / Nova Corolla / Nova Corolla / Allex Corolla Corolla Tercel MR2 MR2 Paseo / Cynos Corolla 4WD Wagon Prius II 300 Series S40/V40 Golf Golf Golf / Bora New Beetle Golf / Jetta Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 87-91 28.03 18.22 91-96 30.60 24.26 00-05 20.39 18.30 06-09 23.02 13.71 82-83 24.58 20.81 84-87 26.44 23.91 88-91 22.47 20.38 92-95 20.08 17.87 96-00 18.63 16.22 87-91 28.81 23.91 92-98 23.47 15.14 99-09 8.23 2.00 01-05 19.92 15.56 06-09 12.81 7.35 86-88 24.41 20.19 90-92 22.07 17.66 93-01 20.18 16.04 02-06 18.30 9.11 89-93 22.95 17.95 94-01 15.56 11.68 01-09 16.90 10.20 95-96 24.39 19.70 04-09 26.54 13.60 91-96 16.50 8.48 01-04 13.41 4.46 82-86 22.69 14.78 99-05 19.27 9.38 93-00 24.63 22.17 01-07 17.73 14.16 07-09 25.80 11.26 95-02 19.90 15.85 01-07 15.26 9.41 82-84 23.36 21.75 86-88 23.50 22.11 89-93 22.33 21.21 94-97 21.95 20.56 98-01 17.82 15.79 02-07 19.62 17.87 07-09 21.81 16.15 83-88 22.03 16.11 87-90 28.94 21.91 91-00 18.84 12.41 91-99 20.93 16.87 92-96 23.48 14.78 03-09 23.62 12.19 84-88 31.14 18.58 97-04 14.69 9.23 82-94 27.27 17.60 95-98 16.90 11.43 99-04 12.60 9.29 00-09 11.69 5.67 04-09 10.15 6.24 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 40.49 37.77 22.64 36.01 28.79 29.14 24.70 22.49 21.31 34.26 34.51 28.32 25.13 21.39 29.19 27.22 25.07 33.36 28.85 20.43 26.72 29.77 45.33 29.66 33.92 33.19 35.52 27.26 21.97 48.78 24.69 23.79 25.07 24.95 23.49 23.42 20.05 21.50 28.78 29.37 37.15 27.56 25.67 35.19 40.79 47.26 22.59 39.70 24.29 16.86 22.59 16.10 Width of Confidence Interval 22.27 13.51 4.34 22.31 7.99 5.24 4.32 4.62 5.10 10.35 19.37 26.32 9.58 14.03 9.00 9.56 9.03 24.25 10.91 8.75 16.52 10.07 31.74 21.19 29.46 18.41 26.14 5.08 7.81 37.52 8.85 14.38 3.32 2.84 2.28 2.85 4.26 3.63 12.63 13.25 15.24 15.15 8.80 20.41 28.60 28.68 13.36 22.10 12.86 7.56 16.93 9.86 Make Model of Car Light Cars Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Nissan Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Renault Subaru Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Charade Charade Charade Pyzar Sirion / Storia Mira Matiz Kalos Festiva WD/WH/WF Ka Barina XC Barina SB Barina TK Getz / TB Mirage / Colt Colt Festiva WA / 121 121 / Autozam Review 121 Metro / Demio 2 2 Micra Jazz / Fit City 205 206 Satria Clio II Sherpa / Fiori / 700 / Rex Swift Barina / Swift / Cultus Barina / Swift / Cultus Hatch / Alto Alto Ignis Swift Starlet Echo Yaris Polo Polo Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 21.85 21.34 82-86 88-92 93-00 97-01 98-04 90-96 99-04 03-04 94-01 99-02 01-06 95-00 05-09 02-09 82-88 04-09 87-90 94-96 97-02 02-07 07-09 95-97 02-08 83-86 87-94 99-07 97-05 01-04 89-92 82-85 86-88 89-99 82-84 85-00 00-02 05-09 96-99 99-05 05-09 96-00 02-09 28.70 25.17 26.59 23.03 19.73 28.71 17.59 25.52 24.65 22.14 17.34 19.84 21.60 25.86 23.91 21.61 24.85 21.86 21.02 23.48 16.74 26.29 19.45 23.50 22.98 25.67 15.30 18.38 25.87 29.11 26.12 23.74 26.51 27.83 25.40 19.48 23.39 22.38 17.99 14.25 26.36 25.40 22.95 23.95 14.32 15.71 23.87 13.73 17.67 23.14 15.62 14.43 17.82 16.90 21.97 22.39 13.91 22.80 19.13 17.90 17.92 8.49 20.81 15.36 20.18 14.74 18.01 5.76 7.14 21.31 19.44 23.71 22.32 21.92 21.83 18.73 15.69 20.80 20.13 14.46 8.79 16.18 Upper 95% Confidence Limit 22.36 Width of Confidence Interval 1.02 32.24 27.54 29.41 34.87 24.48 34.10 22.26 35.35 26.23 30.40 20.68 22.02 27.16 30.17 25.50 31.99 27.02 24.85 24.52 30.12 30.36 32.62 24.31 27.19 33.98 35.20 34.83 39.75 31.03 41.14 28.68 25.22 31.67 34.76 33.45 23.92 26.20 24.79 22.15 22.28 39.89 6.83 4.59 5.46 20.54 8.76 10.23 8.52 17.68 3.09 14.78 6.25 4.20 10.26 8.20 3.12 18.07 4.22 5.72 6.62 12.19 21.87 11.81 8.95 7.01 19.23 17.19 29.07 32.61 9.72 21.70 4.97 2.90 9.75 12.93 14.72 8.23 5.40 4.66 7.68 13.49 23.71 APPENDIX 4 CRASHWORTHINESS RATINGS OF 1982-2009 MODELS OF CARS INVOLVED IN CRASHES DURING 1987-2009 with (1) 95 % CONFIDENCE LIMITS (2) 90 % CONFIDENCE LIMITS CRASHWORTHINESS RATINGS (WITH 95% CONFIDENCE LIMITS) New South Wales Data (1987-2009), South Australia Data (1995-2009), Queensland and Western Australia Data (1991-2009) Make Model of Car ALL VEHICLE AVERAGE Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 3.57 Compact Sports Utility Vehicles Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi / Peugeot Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Nissan Lada Honda Honda Honda Honda Land Rover Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Width of Confidence Interval 3.46 3.29 3.63 0.34 Feroza / Rocky Rocky / Rugger Terios Cruze Tucson Outlander Outlander / 4007 89-97 85-98 97-05 02-06 04-09 03-06 06-09 5.23 6.55 4.99 4.92 3.45 3.01 1.49 4.03 4.88 3.77 3.72 1.65 1.67 0.39 6.79 8.80 6.61 6.52 7.22 5.43 5.65 2.76 3.91 2.84 2.80 5.57 3.76 5.26 Sportage Sorento Escape / Tribute CX-7 X-Trail Niva CR-V CR-V HR-V CR-V Freelander Forester Forester Vitara / Escudo Grand Vitara Drover / Sierra / Samurai / SJ410 / SJ413 Jimny Grand Vitara RAV4 RAV4 RAV4 98-03 03-09 01-06 06-09 01-07 84-99 97-01 02-06 99-02 07-09 98-06 97-02 02-08 88-98 99-05 82-99 3.13 2.37 2.85 0.71 3.02 4.13 2.45 2.08 4.16 1.90 5.43 2.52 2.21 5.06 2.93 6.00 2.19 1.21 2.16 0.10 2.44 2.61 1.94 1.55 2.72 0.90 3.29 1.98 1.67 4.40 2.11 5.30 4.48 4.66 3.74 4.89 3.74 6.54 3.11 2.80 6.36 3.99 8.99 3.20 2.92 5.80 4.07 6.80 2.30 3.45 1.58 4.79 1.30 3.92 1.17 1.26 3.64 3.09 5.70 1.21 1.25 1.40 1.97 1.49 98-09 05-08 94-00 01-06 06-09 4.13 3.58 3.39 2.82 2.67 2.72 2.12 2.85 2.30 1.80 6.28 6.06 4.03 3.46 3.95 3.56 3.94 1.19 1.16 2.16 2.74 2.57 2.92 0.35 Medium Sports Utility Vehicles Daewoo / Ssangong Ford Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Lower 95% Upper 95% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Musso 98-02 4.10 2.41 6.97 4.56 Territory SX/SY Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn 04-09 82-91 92-97 2.37 3.50 2.98 1.69 2.61 2.16 3.31 4.71 4.12 1.62 2.10 1.96 Make Model of Car Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jeep Jeep Jeep Land Rover Nissan Nissan Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Toyota Jackaroo / Bighorn Frontera / Mu Adventra Captiva CG Santa Fe Terracan Pajero Pajero Pajero NM / NP / NS Challenger Cherokee XJ Wrangler Cherokee KJ Defender Pathfinder / Terrano Pathfinder / Terrano / Regulus Kluger Landcruiser Prado Landcruiser Prado RX330 Kluger Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 98-02 3.29 95-03 3.40 03-06 1.38 06-09 2.52 00-06 3.79 01-07 1.41 82-90 4.78 92-99 3.04 00-06 2.25 98-06 3.19 96-00 2.96 96-04 3.93 01-07 1.88 92-09 4.25 88-94 2.93 95-05 2.01 03-07 2.72 96-03 2.27 03-09 1.67 03-05 4.15 07-09 1.20 Large Sports Utility Vehicles BMW Ford Ford Ford Jeep Jeep Land Rover Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Land Rover Land Rover Toyota Toyota Toyota X5 Bronco Explorer Explorer Grand Cherokee ZG Grand Cherokee WJ/WG Discovery M-Class W163 Patrol / Safari Patrol / Maverick / Safari Patrol / Safari Range Rover Range Rover Landcruiser Landcruiser Landcruiser 01-08 82-87 00-01 01-05 96-99 99-05 91-02 98-05 82-87 88-97 98-09 82-94 95-02 82-89 90-97 98-07 Commercial - Vans Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Handivan Hi-Jet Handivan / Cuore Falcon Panel Van Falcon Panel Van Transit Transit Shuttle / WFR Van 82-90 82-90 99-03 82-95 96-99 95-00 01-07 82-87 Lower 95% Upper 95% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 2.37 2.14 0.51 1.22 2.33 0.44 4.00 2.55 1.58 2.11 2.26 2.45 0.95 2.75 2.18 1.43 1.81 1.70 1.26 2.19 0.30 4.57 5.40 3.73 5.18 6.17 4.50 5.71 3.63 3.21 4.81 3.88 6.30 3.72 6.56 3.94 2.83 4.10 3.04 2.22 7.86 4.74 2.20 3.27 3.22 3.96 3.84 4.05 1.71 1.08 1.64 2.70 1.62 3.85 2.77 3.81 1.76 1.41 2.29 1.34 0.95 5.67 4.43 2.68 2.56 2.81 0.24 0.86 6.47 4.33 1.89 2.35 1.68 2.48 1.98 3.61 2.63 2.18 3.01 1.20 4.26 3.04 2.44 0.28 3.56 3.00 1.02 1.25 0.87 1.80 1.00 2.78 2.32 1.84 2.19 0.46 3.84 2.77 2.15 2.66 11.75 6.26 3.50 4.40 3.27 3.41 3.93 4.68 2.99 2.59 4.14 3.08 4.72 3.34 2.78 2.38 8.19 3.26 2.48 3.14 2.40 1.62 2.93 1.90 0.66 0.75 1.95 2.62 0.88 0.57 0.62 3.76 3.57 3.96 0.39 8.89 12.61 6.16 3.58 2.49 3.22 1.24 6.50 7.00 8.51 3.58 2.95 1.43 2.27 0.73 4.50 11.28 18.71 10.60 4.34 4.35 4.55 2.11 9.40 4.28 10.20 7.02 1.38 2.92 2.28 1.38 4.90 Make Model of Car Kia Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Honda Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Pregio MB100 / MB140 Vito Sprinter Acty Scurry / Carry Carry Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace Caravelle / Transporter Caravelle / Transporter Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 02-06 3.65 99-04 2.48 99-04 2.27 98-06 2.51 83-86 4.03 82-00 9.79 99-05 5.09 82-86 5.96 87-89 5.14 90-95 4.66 96-04 3.08 05-09 3.49 88-94 3.00 95-04 1.81 Commercial - Utes Ford / Nissan Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Proton Subaru Suzuki Toyota Falcon Ute / XFN Ute Falcon Ute Falcon Ute AU Falcon Ute BA/BF Ford F-Series F-Series Commodore Ute VG/VP Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo Rodeo WB Series Commodore Ute VR/VS Commodore VU Ute Commodore VY/VZ Ute Rodeo Commodore VE Ute Triton MK Triton ML / MN Ceres K2700 Courier / B-Series / Bounty Courier / Bravo / Bounty Ranger / BT-50 720 Ute Navara Navara Navara Navara Jumbuck Brumby Mighty Boy 4Runner/Hilux 82-95 96-99 00-02 03-08 82-92 01-06 90-93 82-85 86-88 89-95 96-98 99-02 82-85 94-00 00-02 02-07 03-08 07-09 96-06 06-09 92-00 02-08 98-02 03-06 06-09 82-85 86-91 92-96 97-05 05-09 03-09 82-92 85-88 82-85 Lower 95% Upper 95% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 2.40 1.21 1.26 1.53 2.41 7.45 2.34 5.27 4.37 4.10 2.64 2.47 1.43 1.05 5.54 5.10 4.10 4.13 6.74 12.87 11.08 6.73 6.05 5.29 3.58 4.93 6.26 3.13 3.14 3.90 2.85 2.60 4.33 5.42 8.74 1.46 1.68 1.19 0.94 2.46 4.82 2.08 3.32 3.23 3.42 0.19 4.00 3.14 2.63 2.32 2.79 2.05 4.48 4.64 2.63 4.42 3.38 3.49 5.44 3.99 3.05 2.59 2.58 2.65 2.29 1.22 5.75 3.67 2.95 3.03 1.87 4.62 4.19 3.63 2.51 2.46 4.01 6.58 9.93 4.88 3.62 2.54 2.15 1.86 1.89 1.02 3.65 3.31 1.41 3.95 2.83 2.95 4.43 3.60 2.48 2.22 2.15 1.09 1.60 0.53 4.54 1.66 2.39 2.37 1.15 3.69 3.62 2.94 2.05 1.54 1.76 5.57 7.47 4.34 4.42 3.87 3.23 2.89 4.12 4.12 5.51 6.49 4.92 4.95 4.04 4.12 6.68 4.43 3.75 3.03 3.10 6.46 3.27 2.81 7.27 8.09 3.64 3.89 3.05 5.78 4.84 4.49 3.08 3.93 9.16 7.77 13.20 5.48 0.80 1.33 1.09 1.03 2.24 3.09 1.86 3.18 3.51 1.01 1.22 1.17 2.25 0.83 1.27 0.81 0.95 5.37 1.67 2.27 2.73 6.42 1.26 1.52 1.90 2.09 1.23 1.55 1.04 2.39 7.40 2.20 5.74 1.14 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux Hilux Hilux Hilux Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 86-88 4.54 89-97 4.04 98-02 2.81 03-04 2.43 05-09 2.14 Lower 95% Upper 95% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 4.02 3.78 2.47 1.92 1.74 5.12 4.31 3.20 3.08 2.63 1.11 0.53 0.72 1.17 0.89 3.37 3.31 3.43 0.12 82-86 87-94 95-01 82-88 82-87 88-Mar 92 Apr 92-94 88-94 95-98 99-02 03-07 08-09 94-98 98-02 96-98 02-08 89-93 82-85 90-93 94-98 93-97 97-02 99-03 02-07 01-05 03-06 82-88 06-09 89-97 99-00 85-90 2.81 4.32 1.70 4.45 4.27 4.03 3.69 3.27 3.52 2.91 3.21 1.22 3.40 3.03 4.03 2.47 4.41 7.03 4.55 3.34 3.68 3.17 2.59 2.62 3.27 2.90 4.97 2.51 3.72 1.42 4.72 1.27 2.62 0.68 4.26 3.78 3.83 3.44 2.84 2.82 2.01 1.85 0.54 3.23 2.82 2.73 2.24 4.23 4.17 3.29 2.86 3.51 3.00 1.87 2.38 2.33 1.81 4.76 2.07 3.14 0.46 4.44 6.24 7.13 4.29 4.66 4.82 4.24 3.97 3.77 4.39 4.21 5.57 2.77 3.58 3.26 5.96 2.72 4.61 11.85 6.30 3.91 3.86 3.35 3.58 2.89 4.58 4.67 5.20 3.06 4.40 4.39 5.00 4.97 4.51 3.62 0.40 1.04 0.41 0.53 0.93 1.56 2.20 3.72 2.23 0.36 0.44 3.23 0.48 0.38 7.68 3.01 1.06 0.35 0.35 1.72 0.51 2.25 2.86 0.44 0.99 1.26 3.93 0.56 96-03 3.44 3.17 3.74 0.58 91-96 3.70 3.46 3.96 0.50 03-05 05-08 82-86 87-94 99-08 82-90 92-96 2.45 2.28 5.13 2.07 1.27 4.76 3.93 1.75 1.28 3.02 1.13 0.41 4.10 2.16 3.43 4.07 8.71 3.80 3.94 5.53 7.18 1.68 2.79 5.69 2.67 3.53 1.43 5.02 Large Cars BMW BMW BMW Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Mazda Mazda 7 Series E23 7 Series E32 7 Series E38 Falcon XE/XF Fairlane Z & LTD F Falcon EA / Falcon EB Series I Falcon EB Series II / Falcon ED Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane & LTD AU Fairlane & LTD BA/BF Falcon FG Falcon EF/EL Falcon AU Taurus Falcon BA/BF Commodore VN/VP / Lexcen Statesman/Caprice WB Stateman/Caprice VQ Stateman/Caprice VR/VS Commodore VR/VS / Lexcen Commodore VT/VX Statesman/Caprice WH Commodore VY/VZ Monaro Statesman/Caprice WK/WL Commodore VB-VL Commodore VE Sonata Grandeaur / XG Magna TM/TN/TP / Sigma / V3000 Magna TE/TF/TH/TJ / Verada KE/KF/KH/KJ / Diamante Magna TR/TS / Verada KR/KS / V3000 / Diamante Magna TL/TW / Verada KL/KW 380 XJ6 XJ6 S-Type 929 / Luce 929 / Sentia / Efini MS-9 Make Model of Car Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Rover Saab Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Lexus Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Volvo E-Class W123 E-Class W124 E-Class W210 S-Class W126 E-Class W211 Skyline 300ZX / Fairlady Z Maxima Maxima / Cefiro Maxima Maxima Legend 3500 9-5 Camry Crown / Cressida / Mark II Crown / Cressida / Mark II Cressida / Mark II Supra ES300 / Windom LS400 / Celsior Avalon Camry Aurion Camry 850/S70/V70/C70 700/900 Series 960/S90/V90 Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 82-85 3.25 86-94 2.92 96-02 2.43 82-92 3.01 02-09 0.61 83-88 4.59 90-95 4.43 90-94 3.66 95-99 3.84 00-02 3.61 06-09 3.07 86-95 3.04 82-87 2.23 98-05 1.87 98-02 3.20 82-85 4.75 86-88 4.40 89-93 3.05 82-90 6.13 92-01 3.56 90-00 1.39 00-05 2.98 02-06 2.57 06-09 2.62 06-09 2.30 92-99 3.09 84-92 2.58 90-98 2.97 Medium Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Audi BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW Chrysler Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford 156 147 / GT A4 A4 Z3 E36 5 Series E60 / E61 3 Series E90 / E91 3 Series E30 3 Series E36 3 Series E46 5 Series E28 5 Series E34 5 Series E39 PT Cruiser Espero Leganza Tacuma Mondeo Probe Cougar 99-06 01-09 95-01 01-08 97-03 03-09 05-09 82-91 92-98 99-06 82-88 89-95 96-03 00-09 95-97 97-02 00-04 95-01 94-98 99-03 Lower 95% Upper 95% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 1.82 2.08 1.52 2.03 0.09 4.13 3.11 2.83 3.05 2.47 1.85 2.18 0.83 0.72 2.92 3.95 3.22 2.42 4.43 2.48 0.50 2.44 2.22 1.62 1.61 2.36 1.96 1.19 5.79 4.11 3.88 4.46 4.32 5.11 6.32 4.73 4.85 5.27 5.07 4.25 6.00 4.90 3.50 5.71 6.00 3.83 8.47 5.10 3.84 3.64 2.98 4.24 3.29 4.04 3.42 7.40 3.97 2.03 2.35 2.44 4.24 0.98 3.21 1.89 1.80 2.81 3.22 2.07 5.17 4.18 0.57 1.76 2.78 1.40 4.04 2.62 3.34 1.20 0.75 2.63 1.69 1.68 1.46 6.21 3.62 3.55 3.70 0.15 2.98 2.40 3.22 2.08 3.17 2.51 1.31 3.75 3.33 3.04 3.44 3.32 2.09 3.21 5.70 3.38 6.83 2.97 4.18 3.11 1.52 0.82 2.22 1.12 1.66 0.94 0.50 3.19 2.87 2.44 2.38 2.36 1.38 1.27 4.33 2.35 3.42 2.44 2.36 2.06 5.85 7.07 4.68 3.89 6.05 6.66 3.46 4.41 3.86 3.78 4.96 4.65 3.17 8.10 7.51 4.86 13.66 3.60 7.41 4.69 4.33 6.25 2.46 2.78 4.39 5.71 2.96 1.22 1.00 1.34 2.58 2.29 1.79 6.83 3.18 2.51 10.24 1.16 5.05 2.63 Make Model of Car Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Calibra Camira Vectra Vectra ZC Sonata Sonata EF Tiburon Sigma / Galant / Sapporo / Lambda Starion Galant X-Type Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella / Cronos 626 RX7 RX7 Eunos 500 Eunos 800 6 RX8 6 C-Class W201 C-Class W202 CLK C208 SLK R170 C-Class W203 CLK C209 Pintara Pintara / Corsair / Bluebird Bluebird 280ZX Bluebird 200SX / Silvia 350Z Accord Euro Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Prelude Prelude Prelude Prelude 405 505 406 Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jaguar Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 94-97 3.01 82-89 5.64 97-03 3.03 03-05 2.19 98-01 4.30 02-05 2.93 02-09 4.17 82-84 4.97 Lower 95% Upper 95% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 1.86 5.26 2.54 1.25 3.09 1.15 1.40 4.59 4.86 6.04 3.60 3.82 5.97 7.44 12.46 5.38 2.99 0.77 1.06 2.56 2.89 6.29 11.06 0.80 82-87 95-96 02-09 83-86 88-91 92-97 9.08 4.10 1.07 4.61 4.06 3.66 5.91 3.34 0.27 4.24 3.67 3.27 13.95 5.03 4.33 5.01 4.50 4.10 8.04 1.69 4.06 0.77 0.82 0.83 98-02 82-85 86-91 93-99 94-00 02-07 03-09 08-09 87-93 95-00 97-03 97-04 00-07 03-09 86-88 89-92 82-86 82-84 93-97 94-02 03-09 03-08 03-07 82-85 86-90 91-93 94-98 99-02 82-82 83-91 92-96 97-02 89-97 82-93 96-04 3.30 5.38 4.40 3.89 2.37 2.14 1.33 2.03 3.33 2.75 2.84 2.53 2.58 1.72 4.54 4.95 5.60 5.34 3.31 3.38 4.88 2.56 2.07 5.48 3.83 3.35 3.49 2.18 3.60 4.63 4.19 2.62 3.58 2.73 1.85 2.67 3.88 2.94 2.24 0.76 1.63 0.42 0.62 2.32 1.98 1.23 0.84 1.59 0.56 4.01 4.54 5.19 2.56 2.76 2.57 2.62 1.84 1.31 4.77 3.28 2.69 2.96 1.43 1.65 4.10 3.38 1.71 2.54 1.84 0.94 4.08 7.46 6.56 6.76 7.40 2.81 4.23 6.62 4.79 3.82 6.57 7.60 4.20 5.34 5.13 5.40 6.03 11.12 3.97 4.45 9.08 3.55 3.29 6.29 4.47 4.17 4.10 3.31 7.85 5.23 5.20 4.02 5.03 4.07 3.64 1.41 3.58 3.62 4.51 6.64 1.18 3.81 6.00 2.48 1.84 5.34 6.76 2.61 4.78 1.12 0.86 0.84 8.56 1.21 1.88 6.46 1.71 1.98 1.52 1.19 1.48 1.14 1.88 6.19 1.13 1.82 2.31 2.49 2.23 2.70 Make Model of Car Porsche Renault Saab Saab Saab Saab Subaru 944 Feugo 900 Series 900/9-3 9000 9-3 1800 / Leone / Omega / 4WD Wagon Liberty / Legacy Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty / Legacy / Outback Corona Camry Apollo JK/JL / Camry / Vista Apollo JM/JP / Camry / Sceptor Celica Celica Celica Celica Celica IS200 / IS300 200 Series S60 Passat Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Toyota Toyota Holden / Toyota Holden / Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Volvo Volvo Volkswagen Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 82-91 5.14 82-87 3.99 82-92 3.94 94-02 2.26 86-97 1.95 03-09 3.60 82-93 4.97 89-93 94-98 99-03 03-09 82-88 83-86 88-92 93-97 81-85 86-89 90-93 94-99 00-05 99-04 82-93 01-09 98-06 People Movers Chrysler Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Mazda Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Voyager Zafira TT Nimbus / Chariot / Spacewagon Nimbus / Chariot Nimbus Starwagon / L300 Starwagon / Delica Starwagon Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Carnival Carnival MPV Prairie Serena Odyssey Odyssey Odyssey Tarago Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago / Previa / Estima Spacia Avensis Verso Tarago 97-01 01-05 85-91 92-98 99-03 83-86 87-93 95-98 98-03 99-06 06-09 94-99 84-86 92-95 95-00 00-02 04-09 83-89 91-99 00-06 93-00 01-09 06-09 Lower 95% Upper 95% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 2.19 2.37 2.93 1.55 1.24 1.65 4.49 12.03 6.71 5.30 3.28 3.07 7.85 5.49 9.83 4.34 2.37 1.73 1.82 6.20 1.00 3.83 3.40 2.41 2.38 5.06 5.00 4.09 4.25 4.44 4.49 4.53 3.62 3.64 1.88 3.40 1.84 2.52 3.42 2.91 1.96 1.74 4.72 4.29 3.86 3.98 3.71 3.70 3.79 2.79 2.25 0.90 2.77 0.61 1.48 4.29 3.97 2.98 3.27 5.43 5.82 4.33 4.53 5.32 5.46 5.42 4.68 5.89 3.91 4.16 5.54 4.27 0.87 1.06 1.02 1.53 0.71 1.52 0.47 0.55 1.61 1.77 1.63 1.89 3.64 3.00 1.39 4.92 2.78 3.94 3.74 4.16 0.42 2.31 3.03 4.60 4.31 1.93 7.68 5.24 3.94 4.55 2.51 0.48 2.28 4.94 2.62 2.42 2.62 1.07 5.99 3.17 2.38 3.49 5.39 2.89 1.19 1.58 3.33 3.23 0.82 6.72 4.65 3.03 3.50 1.77 0.07 0.98 3.42 1.51 1.65 1.21 0.35 5.30 2.61 1.62 1.64 2.74 1.14 4.50 5.79 6.36 5.74 4.51 8.79 5.91 5.12 5.91 3.56 3.44 5.32 7.14 4.55 3.55 5.68 3.26 6.77 3.86 3.51 7.44 10.58 7.36 3.31 4.21 3.02 2.52 3.69 2.07 1.26 2.09 2.41 1.79 3.37 4.34 3.72 3.03 1.91 4.47 2.91 1.47 1.25 1.89 5.80 7.84 6.22 Make Model of Car Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % Small Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Mini Chrysler Chrysler Citroen Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Fiat Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia 33 75 GTV Sprint Alfasud A3/S3 Mini Cooper Neon Neon Xsara Applause 1.5i Cielo Nubira Lanos Lacetti Laser Laser Capri Focus LR Focus LS / LT Regata Gemini Gemini RB Astra TR Astra TS Astra AH Viva JF Excel Excel Excel / Accent Elantra Accent S Coupe Lantra Lantra Coupe Accent Lancer / Mirage CA Lancer / Mirage CB Lancer / Mirage CC Lancer / Mirage CE Cordia Lancer CH / CJ Rio 83-92 86-92 82-84 82-88 82-84 97-04 02-09 96-99 00-02 00-05 89-99 94-95 95-97 97-03 97-03 03-04 91-94 95-97 89-94 02-05 05-09 84-88 82-84 86-87 96-98 98-06 04-09 05-09 86-90 90-94 95-00 00-06 06-09 90-96 91-95 96-00 96-00 00-06 89-90 91-92 93-95 96-03 83-87 03-09 00-05 Lower 95% Upper 95% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 4.16 4.08 4.24 0.15 4.80 3.51 7.71 4.89 6.70 2.55 1.73 4.21 4.29 2.33 4.85 6.39 4.81 3.73 4.94 4.78 4.70 4.65 5.80 2.67 2.60 4.88 5.70 5.96 3.46 3.09 2.87 2.81 6.63 5.98 5.24 3.72 1.51 5.72 5.22 4.25 4.97 4.51 4.45 5.58 4.57 4.50 6.34 3.59 4.48 3.36 1.40 4.17 2.21 3.11 1.30 0.81 2.73 1.87 0.60 4.11 3.40 4.19 3.12 4.37 2.43 4.37 4.09 4.72 2.04 1.91 2.52 5.14 4.72 2.63 2.77 2.17 1.89 5.85 5.49 4.93 2.96 0.40 4.51 4.33 3.68 3.71 3.92 3.96 4.43 4.12 4.17 5.37 2.86 3.75 6.85 8.83 14.26 10.78 14.40 4.97 3.70 6.49 9.85 9.00 5.74 12.02 5.52 4.45 5.58 9.40 5.05 5.28 7.13 3.51 3.53 9.45 6.32 7.52 4.54 3.45 3.78 4.17 7.53 6.50 5.56 4.67 5.76 7.24 6.29 4.91 6.66 5.19 5.01 7.03 5.08 4.85 7.48 4.50 5.34 3.49 7.43 10.10 8.57 11.29 3.67 2.89 3.76 7.97 8.40 1.63 8.62 1.34 1.32 1.21 6.97 0.68 1.19 2.41 1.47 1.63 6.92 1.18 2.79 1.90 0.69 1.61 2.28 1.68 1.01 0.63 1.70 5.36 2.73 1.97 1.23 2.96 1.27 1.04 2.60 0.96 0.68 2.11 1.65 1.59 Make Model of Car Kia Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Spectra Cerato LD Rio JB Laser / 323 / Familia 323 / Familia / Lantis 323 / Familia / Lantis Laser / 323 MX5 / Eunos Roadster MX5 / Eunos Roadster Eunos 30X / Presso / MX-3 / Autozam AZ-3 3 / Axela A-Class W168 Astra / Pulsar / Langley Astra / Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Stanza Gazelle / Silvia Exa Exa NX/NX-R Pulsar Tiida Civic Civic / Ballade / Shuttle Civic / Shuttle Civic Civic CRX CRX S2000 Civic Civic Integra Integra Integra Integra Concerto 306 307 Wira Gen 2 19 Scenic Quintet MGF / MG TF Impreza Impreza Impreza Baleno / Cultus Crescent Mazda Mercedes Benz Holden / Nissan Holden / Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Proton Renault Renault Rover MG Subaru Subaru Subaru Suzuki Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 01-04 3.73 04-08 3.45 05-09 3.53 82-88 5.93 90-93 4.30 95-98 4.28 99-03 3.23 89-97 4.56 98-05 3.20 90-97 3.22 03-09 98-04 84-86 88-90 92-95 96-99 82-83 84-86 83-86 87-91 91-96 00-05 06-09 82-83 84-87 88-91 92-95 96-00 87-91 92-98 99-09 01-05 06-09 86-88 90-92 93-01 02-06 89-93 94-01 01-09 95-96 04-09 91-96 01-04 82-86 99-05 93-00 01-07 07-09 95-02 2.35 4.47 6.29 5.32 3.91 4.40 4.51 6.19 8.09 6.02 6.72 3.83 4.16 5.78 6.42 4.85 4.05 3.53 7.25 4.46 0.90 3.09 1.89 5.31 4.37 3.69 3.52 4.45 2.79 2.13 4.92 5.83 3.51 2.45 5.36 2.51 4.77 2.61 4.28 3.93 Lower 95% Upper 95% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 2.22 2.17 2.46 5.68 3.84 3.75 2.83 2.95 1.84 1.99 6.26 5.48 5.06 6.18 4.81 4.87 3.68 7.06 5.54 5.22 4.04 3.31 2.61 0.50 0.98 1.12 0.85 4.12 3.70 3.23 1.95 2.45 5.81 4.94 3.52 4.02 2.95 4.88 5.90 3.75 5.22 3.42 2.43 4.67 5.69 4.34 3.57 3.05 5.61 2.73 0.22 2.38 1.07 4.18 3.36 2.86 1.76 3.34 2.06 1.27 3.92 2.92 1.79 0.84 3.38 1.19 4.24 2.06 1.85 3.10 2.82 8.15 6.80 5.72 4.35 4.83 6.90 7.85 11.10 9.64 8.65 4.30 7.14 7.14 7.24 5.42 4.60 4.08 9.37 7.29 3.67 4.01 3.31 6.75 5.67 4.76 7.04 5.93 3.78 3.59 6.17 11.64 6.88 7.14 8.51 5.28 5.36 3.30 9.87 4.98 0.86 5.70 0.98 0.78 0.83 0.81 3.96 2.97 5.20 5.89 3.44 0.88 4.72 2.47 1.55 1.08 1.03 1.04 3.76 4.56 3.45 1.64 2.24 2.56 2.31 1.90 5.28 2.60 1.72 2.32 2.25 8.71 5.09 6.30 5.14 4.09 1.12 1.24 8.02 1.88 Make Model of Car Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota / Holden Toyota / Holden Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Liana Corolla Corolla Corolla / Nova Corolla / Nova Corolla / Allex Corolla Corolla Tercel MR2 MR2 Paseo / Cynos Corolla 4WD Wagon Prius II 300 Series S40/V40 Golf Golf Golf / Bora New Beetle Golf / Jetta Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 01-07 2.74 82-84 5.67 86-88 5.30 89-93 4.66 94-97 4.34 98-01 3.13 02-07 3.37 07-09 3.58 83-88 4.99 87-90 7.06 91-00 4.13 91-99 4.29 92-96 4.01 03-09 3.18 84-88 5.23 97-04 2.21 82-94 5.73 95-98 2.76 99-04 2.16 00-09 1.78 04-09 1.36 Light Cars Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Nissan Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Charade Charade Charade Pyzar Sirion / Storia Mira Matiz Kalos Festiva WD/WH/WF Ka Barina XC Barina SB Barina TK Getz / TB Mirage / Colt Colt Festiva WA / 121 121 / Autozam Review 121 Metro / Demio 2 2 Micra Jazz / Fit City 205 206 Satria 82-86 88-92 93-00 97-01 98-04 90-96 99-04 03-04 94-01 99-02 01-06 95-00 05-09 02-09 82-88 04-09 87-90 94-96 97-02 02-07 07-09 95-97 02-08 83-86 87-94 99-07 97-05 Lower 95% Upper 95% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 1.66 5.24 4.96 4.41 4.04 2.76 3.05 2.61 3.54 5.02 2.54 3.41 2.50 1.61 2.93 1.37 3.53 1.85 1.58 0.85 0.83 4.51 6.14 5.67 4.93 4.65 3.56 3.72 4.92 7.02 9.93 6.72 5.39 6.41 6.28 9.33 3.56 9.28 4.11 2.95 3.72 2.24 2.85 0.91 0.71 0.52 0.61 0.80 0.67 2.31 3.47 4.91 4.18 1.99 3.91 4.66 6.40 2.19 5.75 2.26 1.37 2.87 1.41 5.08 4.95 5.21 0.26 8.39 6.47 6.42 4.82 4.55 10.08 5.31 5.00 6.16 4.92 3.34 4.63 4.21 5.04 6.13 3.78 6.31 5.22 4.41 3.81 2.65 6.36 3.48 7.55 4.53 4.24 3.60 7.32 5.86 5.75 2.98 3.59 8.25 4.10 3.38 5.76 3.41 2.76 4.14 3.25 4.25 5.70 2.35 5.74 4.53 3.71 2.86 1.34 4.96 2.71 6.14 2.78 2.94 1.39 9.63 7.14 7.17 7.81 5.77 12.31 6.87 7.38 6.60 7.10 4.05 5.19 5.46 5.99 6.59 6.10 6.92 6.01 5.23 5.08 5.26 8.17 4.48 9.28 7.39 6.11 9.31 2.31 1.28 1.42 4.84 2.18 4.05 2.78 4.00 0.84 3.69 1.30 1.05 2.21 1.74 0.89 3.75 1.18 1.48 1.51 2.23 3.92 3.20 1.77 3.13 4.61 3.18 7.92 Make Model of Car Renault Subaru Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Clio II Sherpa / Fiori / 700 / Rex Swift Barina / Swift / Cultus Barina / Swift / Cultus Hatch / Alto Alto Ignis Swift Starlet Echo Yaris Polo Polo Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 01-04 3.31 89-92 9.83 82-85 8.43 86-88 7.77 89-99 5.90 82-84 9.94 85-00 9.66 00-02 6.24 05-09 3.72 96-99 5.22 99-05 4.35 05-09 3.16 96-00 2.95 02-09 4.66 Lower 95% Upper 95% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 1.32 7.99 5.49 6.99 5.53 8.13 7.27 4.53 2.95 4.60 3.88 2.52 1.81 2.82 7.03 4.10 7.46 1.65 0.78 4.03 5.55 4.09 1.74 1.32 0.99 1.45 3.02 4.91 8.34 12.09 12.95 8.64 6.31 12.16 12.83 8.61 4.68 5.91 4.87 3.97 4.82 7.73 CRASHWORTHINESS RATINGS (WITH 90% CONFIDENCE LIMITS) New South Wales Data (1987-2009), South Australia Data (1995-2009), Queensland and Western Australia Data (1991-2009) Make Model of Car ALL VEHICLE AVERAGE Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 3.57 Compact Sports Utility Vehicles Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi / Peugeot Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Nissan Lada Honda Honda Honda Honda Land Rover Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Width of Confidence Interval 3.46 3.32 3.60 0.28 Feroza / Rocky Rocky / Rugger Terios Cruze Tucson Outlander Outlander / 4007 89-97 85-98 97-05 02-06 04-09 03-06 06-09 5.23 6.55 4.99 4.92 3.45 3.01 1.49 4.20 5.12 3.94 3.89 1.86 1.83 0.49 6.51 8.38 6.31 6.22 6.40 4.93 4.55 2.30 3.26 2.37 2.33 4.54 3.10 4.06 Sportage Sorento Escape / Tribute CX-7 X-Trail Niva CR-V CR-V HR-V CR-V Freelander Forester Forester Vitara / Escudo Grand Vitara Drover / Sierra / Samurai / SJ410 / SJ413 Jimny Grand Vitara RAV4 RAV4 RAV4 98-03 03-09 01-06 06-09 01-07 84-99 97-01 02-06 99-02 07-09 98-06 97-02 02-08 88-98 99-05 82-99 3.13 2.37 2.85 0.71 3.02 4.13 2.45 2.08 4.16 1.90 5.43 2.52 2.21 5.06 2.93 6.00 2.32 1.35 2.26 0.14 2.53 2.81 2.01 1.63 2.92 1.02 3.57 2.06 1.74 4.50 2.22 5.41 4.23 4.17 3.58 3.57 3.61 6.06 2.99 2.67 5.93 3.54 8.28 3.08 2.79 5.67 3.86 6.66 1.91 2.82 1.32 3.43 1.09 3.25 0.98 1.05 3.02 2.52 4.71 1.01 1.04 1.17 1.64 1.25 98-09 05-08 94-00 01-06 06-09 4.13 3.58 3.39 2.82 2.67 2.91 2.31 2.93 2.38 1.92 5.86 5.56 3.92 3.34 3.71 2.95 3.25 0.99 0.97 1.79 2.74 2.60 2.89 0.29 Medium Sports Utility Vehicles Daewoo / Ssangong Ford Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Lower 90% Upper 90% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Musso 98-02 4.10 2.63 6.39 3.76 Territory SX/SY Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Frontera / Mu 04-09 82-91 92-97 98-02 95-03 2.37 3.50 2.98 3.29 3.40 1.79 2.74 2.27 2.50 2.31 3.13 4.49 3.91 4.33 5.01 1.35 1.75 1.63 1.83 2.70 Make Model of Car Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jeep Jeep Jeep Land Rover Nissan Nissan Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Toyota Adventra Captiva CG Santa Fe Terracan Pajero Pajero Pajero NM / NP / NS Challenger Cherokee XJ Wrangler Cherokee KJ Defender Pathfinder / Terrano Pathfinder / Terrano / Regulus Kluger Landcruiser Prado Landcruiser Prado RX330 Kluger Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 03-06 1.38 06-09 2.52 00-06 3.79 01-07 1.41 82-90 4.78 92-99 3.04 00-06 2.25 98-06 3.19 96-00 2.96 96-04 3.93 01-07 1.88 92-09 4.25 88-94 2.93 95-05 2.01 03-07 2.72 96-03 2.27 03-09 1.67 03-05 4.15 07-09 1.20 Large Sports Utility Vehicles BMW Ford Ford Ford Jeep Jeep Land Rover Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Land Rover Land Rover Toyota Toyota Toyota X5 Bronco Explorer Explorer Grand Cherokee ZG Grand Cherokee WJ/WG Discovery M-Class W163 Patrol / Safari Patrol / Maverick / Safari Patrol / Safari Range Rover Range Rover Landcruiser Landcruiser Landcruiser 01-08 82-87 00-01 01-05 96-99 99-05 91-02 98-05 82-87 88-97 98-09 82-94 95-02 82-89 90-97 98-07 Commercial - Vans Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Kia Mercedes Benz Handivan Hi-Jet Handivan / Cuore Falcon Panel Van Falcon Panel Van Transit Transit Shuttle / WFR Van Pregio MB100 / MB140 82-90 82-90 99-03 82-95 96-99 95-00 01-07 82-87 02-06 99-04 Lower 90% Upper 90% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 0.60 1.38 2.52 0.54 4.12 2.62 1.67 2.26 2.36 2.65 1.06 2.95 2.29 1.51 1.93 1.78 1.32 2.43 0.38 3.18 4.61 5.70 3.72 5.55 3.52 3.03 4.50 3.71 5.83 3.33 6.11 3.76 2.68 3.83 2.90 2.12 7.08 3.79 2.57 3.23 3.18 3.19 1.43 0.90 1.36 2.24 1.35 3.18 2.27 3.16 1.47 1.17 1.90 1.12 0.79 4.65 3.41 2.68 2.58 2.78 0.20 0.86 6.47 4.33 1.89 2.35 1.68 2.48 1.98 3.61 2.63 2.18 3.01 1.20 4.26 3.04 2.44 0.33 3.93 3.18 1.13 1.39 0.97 1.89 1.12 2.90 2.37 1.89 2.31 0.54 3.91 2.81 2.20 2.21 10.66 5.89 3.16 3.97 2.93 3.24 3.52 4.49 2.92 2.52 3.93 2.64 4.64 3.29 2.72 1.88 6.73 2.71 2.04 2.58 1.97 1.34 2.40 1.58 0.55 0.62 1.62 2.10 0.73 0.48 0.52 3.76 3.60 3.92 0.33 8.89 12.61 6.16 3.58 2.49 3.22 1.24 6.50 3.65 2.48 7.28 9.07 3.91 3.05 1.56 2.41 0.80 4.77 2.57 1.36 10.85 17.54 9.70 4.21 3.97 4.30 1.94 8.85 5.18 4.54 3.57 8.47 5.79 1.16 2.41 1.89 1.14 4.07 2.61 3.18 Make Model of Car Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Honda Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Vito Sprinter Acty Scurry / Carry Carry Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace Caravelle / Transporter Caravelle / Transporter Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 99-04 2.27 98-06 2.51 83-86 4.03 82-00 9.79 99-05 5.09 82-86 5.96 87-89 5.14 90-95 4.66 96-04 3.08 05-09 3.49 88-94 3.00 95-04 1.81 Commercial - Utes Ford / Nissan Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Proton Subaru Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Falcon Ute / XFN Ute Falcon Ute Falcon Ute AU Falcon Ute BA/BF Ford F-Series F-Series Commodore Ute VG/VP Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo Rodeo WB Series Commodore Ute VR/VS Commodore VU Ute Commodore VY/VZ Ute Rodeo Commodore VE Ute Triton MK Triton ML / MN Ceres K2700 Courier / B-Series / Bounty Courier / Bravo / Bounty Ranger / BT-50 720 Ute Navara Navara Navara Navara Jumbuck Brumby Mighty Boy 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux 82-95 96-99 00-02 03-08 82-92 01-06 90-93 82-85 86-88 89-95 96-98 99-02 82-85 94-00 00-02 02-07 03-08 07-09 96-06 06-09 92-00 02-08 98-02 03-06 06-09 82-85 86-91 92-96 97-05 05-09 03-09 82-92 85-88 82-85 86-88 89-97 Lower 90% Upper 90% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 1.38 1.66 2.63 7.79 2.65 5.38 4.49 4.18 2.71 2.61 1.62 1.15 3.73 3.81 6.20 12.31 9.76 6.60 5.89 5.18 3.50 4.66 5.55 2.86 2.34 2.15 3.57 4.52 7.11 1.22 1.40 1.00 0.78 2.05 3.93 1.71 3.32 3.24 3.40 0.16 4.00 3.14 2.63 2.32 2.79 2.05 4.48 4.64 2.63 4.42 3.38 3.49 5.44 3.99 3.05 2.59 2.58 2.65 2.29 1.22 5.75 3.67 2.95 3.03 1.87 4.62 4.19 3.63 2.51 2.46 4.01 6.58 9.93 4.88 4.54 4.04 3.68 2.63 2.22 1.92 2.01 1.15 3.77 3.50 1.56 4.02 2.91 3.03 4.58 3.66 2.56 2.27 2.21 1.26 1.70 0.61 4.72 1.89 2.47 2.47 1.24 3.83 3.70 3.04 2.12 1.67 2.01 5.72 7.82 4.42 4.10 3.82 4.35 3.74 3.13 2.79 3.87 3.67 5.32 6.15 4.44 4.86 3.92 4.01 6.46 4.36 3.62 2.95 3.01 5.58 3.08 2.45 7.00 7.11 3.52 3.73 2.82 5.57 4.73 4.34 2.98 3.64 8.01 7.56 12.60 5.37 5.02 4.26 0.67 1.11 0.91 0.86 1.86 2.53 1.55 2.64 2.88 0.84 1.02 0.98 1.88 0.69 1.06 0.68 0.80 4.33 1.39 1.84 2.28 5.21 1.05 1.27 1.57 1.74 1.02 1.30 0.87 1.98 6.00 1.84 4.78 0.95 0.92 0.45 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Toyota Hilux Hilux Hilux Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 98-02 2.81 03-04 2.43 05-09 2.14 Lower 90% Upper 90% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 2.52 1.99 1.80 3.13 2.97 2.54 0.61 0.97 0.74 3.37 3.32 3.42 0.10 82-86 87-94 95-01 82-88 82-87 88-Mar 92 Apr 92-94 88-94 95-98 99-02 03-07 08-09 94-98 98-02 96-98 02-08 89-93 82-85 90-93 94-98 93-97 97-02 99-03 02-07 01-05 03-06 82-88 06-09 89-97 99-00 85-90 2.81 4.32 1.70 4.45 4.27 4.03 3.69 3.27 3.52 2.91 3.21 1.22 3.40 3.03 4.03 2.47 4.41 7.03 4.55 3.34 3.68 3.17 2.59 2.62 3.27 2.90 4.97 2.51 3.72 1.42 4.72 1.44 2.84 0.79 4.29 3.85 3.86 3.48 2.91 2.93 2.14 2.02 0.62 3.25 2.85 2.91 2.28 4.26 4.55 3.47 2.93 3.54 3.02 1.97 2.41 2.46 1.95 4.79 2.13 3.23 0.55 4.49 5.48 6.57 3.69 4.62 4.73 4.20 3.92 3.68 4.23 3.97 5.09 2.42 3.55 3.22 5.59 2.68 4.57 10.89 5.97 3.82 3.83 3.32 3.40 2.84 4.33 4.32 5.16 2.96 4.28 3.65 4.96 4.03 3.73 2.90 0.34 0.87 0.34 0.44 0.78 1.31 1.83 3.06 1.81 0.30 0.37 2.68 0.40 0.31 6.34 2.51 0.88 0.29 0.29 1.43 0.43 1.88 2.37 0.37 0.83 1.05 3.10 0.47 96-03 3.44 3.21 3.69 0.48 91-96 3.70 3.50 3.92 0.42 03-05 05-08 82-86 87-94 99-08 82-90 92-96 82-85 86-94 2.45 2.28 5.13 2.07 1.27 4.76 3.93 3.25 2.92 1.85 1.40 3.29 1.24 0.49 4.20 2.38 2.00 2.20 3.24 3.70 7.98 3.44 3.27 5.40 6.51 5.27 3.88 1.40 2.30 4.70 2.19 2.78 1.20 4.13 3.27 1.69 Large Cars BMW BMW BMW Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz 7 Series E23 7 Series E32 7 Series E38 Falcon XE/XF Fairlane Z & LTD F Falcon EA / Falcon EB Series I Falcon EB Series II / Falcon ED Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane & LTD AU Fairlane & LTD BA/BF Falcon FG Falcon EF/EL Falcon AU Taurus Falcon BA/BF Commodore VN/VP / Lexcen Statesman/Caprice WB Stateman/Caprice VQ Stateman/Caprice VR/VS Commodore VR/VS / Lexcen Commodore VT/VX Statesman/Caprice WH Commodore VY/VZ Monaro Statesman/Caprice WK/WL Commodore VB-VL Commodore VE Sonata Grandeaur / XG Magna TM/TN/TP / Sigma / V3000 Magna TE/TF/TH/TJ / Verada KE/KF/KH/KJ / Diamante Magna TR/TS / Verada KR/KS / V3000 / Diamante Magna TL/TW / Verada KL/KW 380 XJ6 XJ6 S-Type 929 / Luce 929 / Sentia / Efini MS-9 E-Class W123 E-Class W124 Make Model of Car Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Rover Saab Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Lexus Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Volvo E-Class W210 S-Class W126 E-Class W211 Skyline 300ZX / Fairlady Z Maxima Maxima / Cefiro Maxima Maxima Legend 3500 9-5 Camry Crown / Cressida / Mark II Crown / Cressida / Mark II Cressida / Mark II Supra ES300 / Windom LS400 / Celsior Avalon Camry Aurion Camry 850/S70/V70/C70 700/900 Series 960/S90/V90 Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 96-02 2.43 82-92 3.01 02-09 0.61 83-88 4.59 90-95 4.43 90-94 3.66 95-99 3.84 00-02 3.61 06-09 3.07 86-95 3.04 82-87 2.23 98-05 1.87 98-02 3.20 82-85 4.75 86-88 4.40 89-93 3.05 82-90 6.13 92-01 3.56 90-00 1.39 00-05 2.98 02-06 2.57 06-09 2.62 06-09 2.30 92-99 3.09 84-92 2.58 90-98 2.97 Medium Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Audi BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW Chrysler Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden 156 147 / GT A4 A4 Z3 E36 5 Series E60 / E61 3 Series E90 / E91 3 Series E30 3 Series E36 3 Series E46 5 Series E28 5 Series E34 5 Series E39 PT Cruiser Espero Leganza Tacuma Mondeo Probe Cougar Calibra Camira 99-06 01-09 95-01 01-08 97-03 03-09 05-09 82-91 92-98 99-06 82-88 89-95 96-03 00-09 95-97 97-02 00-04 95-01 94-98 99-03 94-97 82-89 Lower 90% Upper 90% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 1.64 2.16 0.12 4.20 3.30 2.95 3.17 2.62 2.01 2.30 0.98 0.84 2.97 4.07 3.39 2.52 4.67 2.63 0.59 2.52 2.27 1.75 1.70 2.46 2.05 1.38 3.59 4.19 3.14 5.02 5.97 4.53 4.67 4.96 4.67 4.02 5.10 4.19 3.45 5.54 5.71 3.69 8.04 4.81 3.26 3.52 2.91 3.92 3.11 3.86 3.26 6.37 1.95 2.02 3.02 0.82 2.67 1.58 1.50 2.33 2.66 1.72 4.13 3.35 0.48 1.47 2.31 1.17 3.37 2.18 2.66 1.00 0.63 2.17 1.40 1.40 1.22 4.99 3.62 3.56 3.69 0.13 2.98 2.40 3.22 2.08 3.17 2.51 1.31 3.75 3.33 3.04 3.44 3.32 2.09 3.21 5.70 3.38 6.83 2.97 4.18 3.11 3.01 5.64 1.69 0.97 2.36 1.24 1.84 1.11 0.58 3.28 2.94 2.53 2.53 2.50 1.48 1.48 4.53 2.50 3.83 2.52 2.59 2.20 2.01 5.32 5.24 5.93 4.40 3.51 5.44 5.68 2.95 4.30 3.77 3.65 4.67 4.40 2.96 6.96 7.18 4.58 12.20 3.49 6.75 4.38 4.49 5.97 3.54 4.95 2.05 2.28 3.60 4.57 2.37 1.02 0.83 1.12 2.14 1.90 1.48 5.49 2.65 2.09 8.37 0.97 4.15 2.18 2.48 0.65 Make Model of Car Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Vectra Vectra ZC Sonata Sonata EF Tiburon Sigma / Galant / Sapporo / Lambda Starion Galant X-Type Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella / Cronos 626 RX7 RX7 Eunos 500 Eunos 800 6 RX8 6 C-Class W201 C-Class W202 CLK C208 SLK R170 C-Class W203 CLK C209 Pintara Pintara / Corsair / Bluebird Bluebird 280ZX Bluebird 200SX / Silvia 350Z Accord Euro Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Prelude Prelude Prelude Prelude 405 505 406 944 Feugo Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jaguar Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Porsche Renault Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 97-03 3.03 03-05 2.19 98-01 4.30 02-05 2.93 02-09 4.17 82-84 4.97 Lower 90% Upper 90% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 2.62 1.37 3.26 1.34 1.67 4.65 3.50 3.48 5.66 6.39 10.42 5.31 0.89 2.11 2.40 5.05 8.75 0.67 82-87 95-96 02-09 83-86 88-91 92-97 9.08 4.10 1.07 4.61 4.06 3.66 6.34 3.46 0.34 4.30 3.73 3.33 13.00 4.87 3.45 4.94 4.42 4.03 6.67 1.41 3.11 0.64 0.69 0.69 98-02 82-85 86-91 93-99 94-00 02-07 03-09 08-09 87-93 95-00 97-03 97-04 00-07 03-09 86-88 89-92 82-86 82-84 93-97 94-02 03-09 03-08 03-07 82-85 86-90 91-93 94-98 99-02 82-82 83-91 92-96 97-02 89-97 82-93 96-04 82-91 82-87 3.30 5.38 4.40 3.89 2.37 2.14 1.33 2.03 3.33 2.75 2.84 2.53 2.58 1.72 4.54 4.95 5.60 5.34 3.31 3.38 4.88 2.56 2.07 5.48 3.83 3.35 3.49 2.18 3.60 4.63 4.19 2.62 3.58 2.73 1.85 5.14 3.99 2.77 4.09 3.14 2.46 0.92 1.70 0.50 0.76 2.46 2.09 1.41 1.01 1.72 0.67 4.09 4.61 5.26 2.89 2.84 2.69 2.90 1.94 1.41 4.88 3.36 2.79 3.04 1.53 1.88 4.18 3.50 1.83 2.69 1.96 1.05 2.52 2.58 3.94 7.08 6.15 6.18 6.14 2.69 3.50 5.46 4.52 3.62 5.73 6.35 3.88 4.44 5.03 5.33 5.96 9.86 3.85 4.25 8.20 3.37 3.05 6.15 4.36 4.02 3.99 3.09 6.91 5.13 5.02 3.75 4.76 3.81 3.26 10.47 6.16 1.17 2.98 3.00 3.72 5.23 0.98 2.99 4.71 2.06 1.53 4.32 5.34 2.16 3.77 0.94 0.72 0.71 6.98 1.01 1.56 5.30 1.42 1.64 1.27 1.00 1.23 0.95 1.56 5.03 0.95 1.52 1.91 2.08 1.85 2.21 7.95 3.59 Make Model of Car Saab Saab Saab Saab Subaru 900 Series 900/9-3 9000 9-3 1800 / Leone / Omega / 4WD Wagon Liberty / Legacy Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty / Legacy / Outback Corona Camry Apollo JK/JL / Camry / Vista Apollo JM/JP / Camry / Sceptor Celica Celica Celica Celica Celica IS200 / IS300 200 Series S60 Passat Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Toyota Toyota Holden / Toyota Holden / Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Volvo Volvo Volkswagen Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 82-92 3.94 94-02 2.26 86-97 1.95 03-09 3.60 82-93 4.97 89-93 94-98 99-03 03-09 82-88 83-86 88-92 93-97 81-85 86-89 90-93 94-99 00-05 99-04 82-93 01-09 98-06 People Movers Chrysler Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Mazda Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Small Cars Voyager Zafira TT Nimbus / Chariot / Spacewagon Nimbus / Chariot Nimbus Starwagon / L300 Starwagon / Delica Starwagon Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Carnival Carnival MPV Prairie Serena Odyssey Odyssey Odyssey Tarago Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago / Previa / Estima Spacia Avensis Verso Tarago 97-01 01-05 85-91 92-98 99-03 83-86 87-93 95-98 98-03 99-06 06-09 94-99 84-86 92-95 95-00 00-02 04-09 83-89 91-99 00-06 93-00 01-09 06-09 Lower 90% Upper 90% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 3.08 1.65 1.34 1.87 4.57 5.05 3.09 2.85 6.91 5.40 1.97 1.44 1.51 5.04 0.84 3.83 3.40 2.41 2.38 5.06 5.00 4.09 4.25 4.44 4.49 4.53 3.62 3.64 1.88 3.40 1.84 2.52 3.48 2.99 2.03 1.83 4.78 4.40 3.89 4.02 3.82 3.82 3.91 2.91 2.43 1.02 2.87 0.73 1.62 4.21 3.87 2.88 3.10 5.37 5.67 4.29 4.48 5.17 5.29 5.26 4.49 5.45 3.47 4.02 4.63 3.91 0.73 0.88 0.85 1.27 0.59 1.27 0.40 0.46 1.35 1.48 1.36 1.58 3.01 2.45 1.16 3.89 2.30 3.94 3.77 4.12 0.35 2.31 3.03 4.60 4.31 1.93 7.68 5.24 3.94 4.55 2.51 0.48 2.28 4.94 2.62 2.42 2.62 1.07 5.99 3.17 2.38 3.49 5.39 2.89 1.32 1.76 3.51 3.38 0.95 6.87 4.74 3.17 3.66 1.88 0.09 1.12 3.63 1.65 1.75 1.37 0.42 5.41 2.69 1.72 1.86 3.06 1.33 4.03 5.21 6.03 5.48 3.93 8.60 5.79 4.91 5.66 3.36 2.50 4.63 6.72 4.15 3.34 5.01 2.72 6.64 3.74 3.29 6.58 9.48 6.32 2.71 3.45 2.52 2.10 2.98 1.73 1.05 1.74 2.01 1.48 2.40 3.51 3.09 2.50 1.58 3.64 2.30 1.23 1.05 1.57 4.72 6.41 4.99 4.16 4.10 4.23 0.13 Make Model of Car Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Mini Chrysler Chrysler Citroen Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Fiat Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda 33 75 GTV Sprint Alfasud A3/S3 Mini Cooper Neon Neon Xsara Applause 1.5i Cielo Nubira Lanos Lacetti Laser Laser Capri Focus LR Focus LS / LT Regata Gemini Gemini RB Astra TR Astra TS Astra AH Viva JF Excel Excel Excel / Accent Elantra Accent S Coupe Lantra Lantra Coupe Accent Lancer / Mirage CA Lancer / Mirage CB Lancer / Mirage CC Lancer / Mirage CE Cordia Lancer CH / CJ Rio Spectra Cerato LD Rio JB Laser / 323 / Familia 323 / Familia / Lantis Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 83-92 86-92 82-84 82-88 82-84 97-04 02-09 96-99 00-02 00-05 89-99 94-95 95-97 97-03 97-03 03-04 91-94 95-97 89-94 02-05 05-09 84-88 82-84 86-87 96-98 98-06 04-09 05-09 86-90 90-94 95-00 00-06 06-09 90-96 91-95 96-00 96-00 00-06 89-90 91-92 93-95 96-03 83-87 03-09 00-05 01-04 04-08 05-09 82-88 90-93 4.80 3.51 7.71 4.89 6.70 2.55 1.73 4.21 4.29 2.33 4.85 6.39 4.81 3.73 4.94 4.78 4.70 4.65 5.80 2.67 2.60 4.88 5.70 5.96 3.46 3.09 2.87 2.81 6.63 5.98 5.24 3.72 1.51 5.72 5.22 4.25 4.97 4.51 4.45 5.58 4.57 4.50 6.34 3.59 4.48 3.73 3.45 3.53 5.93 4.30 Lower 90% Upper 90% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 3.56 1.62 4.61 2.52 3.53 1.45 0.92 2.93 2.14 0.75 4.22 3.77 4.28 3.21 4.46 2.72 4.42 4.18 4.88 2.13 2.01 2.81 5.23 4.91 2.75 2.82 2.27 2.02 5.97 5.57 4.98 3.07 0.49 4.69 4.46 3.77 3.89 4.02 4.04 4.60 4.19 4.22 5.52 2.96 3.86 2.41 2.34 2.61 5.72 3.91 2.90 5.97 8.29 6.95 9.18 3.00 2.35 3.12 6.45 6.47 1.37 7.07 1.12 1.10 1.01 5.70 0.57 0.99 2.01 1.22 1.35 5.67 0.99 2.33 1.59 0.57 1.34 1.89 1.40 0.85 0.53 1.42 4.13 2.28 1.65 1.03 2.47 1.06 0.87 2.17 0.80 0.57 1.76 1.37 1.33 3.34 2.74 2.17 0.42 0.82 6.46 7.59 12.90 9.47 12.71 4.46 3.27 6.05 8.60 7.22 5.58 10.84 5.40 4.32 5.47 8.42 4.99 5.17 6.90 3.35 3.36 8.48 6.22 7.24 4.34 3.39 3.61 3.91 7.37 6.41 5.51 4.50 4.63 6.97 6.10 4.80 6.35 5.07 4.91 6.77 4.99 4.79 7.28 4.34 5.19 5.75 5.08 4.77 6.14 4.73 Make Model of Car Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda 323 / Familia / Lantis Laser / 323 MX5 / Eunos Roadster MX5 / Eunos Roadster Eunos 30X / Presso / MX-3 / Autozam AZ-3 3 / Axela A-Class W168 Astra / Pulsar / Langley Astra / Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Stanza Gazelle / Silvia Exa Exa NX/NX-R Pulsar Tiida Civic Civic / Ballade / Shuttle Civic / Shuttle Civic Civic CRX CRX S2000 Civic Civic Integra Integra Integra Integra Concerto 306 307 Wira Gen 2 19 Scenic Quintet MGF / MG TF Impreza Impreza Impreza Baleno / Cultus Crescent Liana Corolla Corolla Corolla / Nova Corolla / Nova Mazda Mercedes Benz Holden / Nissan Holden / Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Proton Renault Renault Rover MG Subaru Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota / Holden Toyota / Holden Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 95-98 4.28 99-03 3.23 89-97 4.56 98-05 3.20 90-97 3.22 03-09 98-04 84-86 88-90 92-95 96-99 82-83 84-86 83-86 87-91 91-96 00-05 06-09 82-83 84-87 88-91 92-95 96-00 87-91 92-98 99-09 01-05 06-09 86-88 90-92 93-01 02-06 89-93 94-01 01-09 95-96 04-09 91-96 01-04 82-86 99-05 93-00 01-07 07-09 95-02 01-07 82-84 86-88 89-93 94-97 2.35 4.47 6.29 5.32 3.91 4.40 4.51 6.19 8.09 6.02 6.72 3.83 4.16 5.78 6.42 4.85 4.05 3.53 7.25 4.46 0.90 3.09 1.89 5.31 4.37 3.69 3.52 4.45 2.79 2.13 4.92 5.83 3.51 2.45 5.36 2.51 4.77 2.61 4.28 3.93 2.74 5.67 5.30 4.66 4.34 Lower 90% Upper 90% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 3.83 2.89 3.16 2.02 2.15 4.77 3.60 6.58 5.06 4.82 0.93 0.71 3.41 3.05 2.67 2.01 2.70 5.89 5.00 3.58 4.08 3.16 5.07 6.21 4.05 5.44 3.48 2.65 4.84 5.80 4.42 3.64 3.12 5.85 2.95 0.28 2.48 1.18 4.35 3.51 2.98 1.97 3.50 2.16 1.38 4.07 3.27 2.00 1.00 3.64 1.35 4.32 2.14 2.12 3.22 1.80 5.31 5.02 4.45 4.09 2.73 7.39 6.71 5.65 4.27 4.76 6.44 7.55 10.54 8.93 8.30 4.22 6.54 6.90 7.10 5.32 4.51 3.99 8.98 6.73 2.92 3.85 3.02 6.49 5.43 4.57 6.29 5.66 3.59 3.29 5.95 10.39 6.16 5.99 7.90 4.68 5.26 3.18 8.61 4.79 4.16 6.07 5.61 4.89 4.60 0.72 4.69 0.82 0.65 0.69 0.68 3.28 2.48 4.33 4.88 2.87 0.74 3.89 2.06 1.30 0.90 0.86 0.87 3.13 3.77 2.64 1.36 1.84 2.14 1.92 1.58 4.32 2.16 1.43 1.92 1.88 7.12 4.17 5.00 4.25 3.33 0.94 1.03 6.49 1.57 2.36 0.76 0.59 0.44 0.51 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Corolla / Allex Corolla Corolla Tercel MR2 MR2 Paseo / Cynos Corolla 4WD Wagon Prius II 300 Series S40/V40 Golf Golf Golf / Bora New Beetle Golf / Jetta Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 98-01 3.13 02-07 3.37 07-09 3.58 83-88 4.99 87-90 7.06 91-00 4.13 91-99 4.29 92-96 4.01 03-09 3.18 84-88 5.23 97-04 2.21 82-94 5.73 95-98 2.76 99-04 2.16 00-09 1.78 04-09 1.36 Light Cars Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Nissan Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Renault Subaru Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Charade Charade Charade Pyzar Sirion / Storia Mira Matiz Kalos Festiva WD/WH/WF Ka Barina XC Barina SB Barina TK Getz / TB Mirage / Colt Colt Festiva WA / 121 121 / Autozam Review 121 Metro / Demio 2 2 Micra Jazz / Fit City 205 206 Satria Clio II Sherpa / Fiori / 700 / Rex Swift Barina / Swift / Cultus Barina / Swift / Cultus 82-86 88-92 93-00 97-01 98-04 90-96 99-04 03-04 94-01 99-02 01-06 95-00 05-09 02-09 82-88 04-09 87-90 94-96 97-02 02-07 07-09 95-97 02-08 83-86 87-94 99-07 97-05 01-04 89-92 82-85 86-88 89-99 Lower 90% Upper 90% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 2.82 3.10 2.75 3.75 5.31 2.75 3.54 2.70 1.80 3.22 1.49 3.82 1.97 1.67 0.96 0.90 3.49 3.66 4.67 6.64 9.39 6.21 5.20 5.94 5.62 8.49 3.29 8.58 3.85 2.81 3.30 2.06 0.67 0.56 1.92 2.89 4.08 3.45 1.66 3.23 3.82 5.27 1.81 4.75 1.87 1.14 2.34 1.16 5.08 4.97 5.19 0.22 8.39 6.47 6.42 4.82 4.55 10.08 5.31 5.00 6.16 4.92 3.34 4.63 4.21 5.04 6.13 3.78 6.31 5.22 4.41 3.81 2.65 6.36 3.48 7.55 4.53 4.24 3.60 3.31 9.83 8.43 7.77 5.90 7.48 5.96 5.85 3.22 3.73 8.52 4.27 3.60 5.82 3.62 2.85 4.22 3.39 4.37 5.77 2.54 5.83 4.64 3.82 2.99 1.50 5.17 2.82 6.35 3.01 3.12 1.63 1.53 8.27 5.89 7.11 5.59 9.42 7.03 7.04 7.22 5.55 11.91 6.59 6.93 6.53 6.69 3.93 5.09 5.23 5.82 6.51 5.64 6.82 5.88 5.08 4.85 4.70 7.84 4.30 8.97 6.82 5.76 7.97 7.18 11.69 12.07 8.49 6.24 1.93 1.07 1.19 4.00 1.82 3.39 2.32 3.32 0.70 3.07 1.08 0.88 1.84 1.45 0.74 3.10 0.98 1.24 1.26 1.86 3.21 2.67 1.48 2.62 3.81 2.64 6.35 5.65 3.43 6.18 1.38 0.65 Make Model of Car Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Hatch / Alto Alto Ignis Swift Starlet Echo Yaris Polo Polo Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 82-84 9.94 85-00 9.66 00-02 6.24 05-09 3.72 96-99 5.22 99-05 4.35 05-09 3.16 96-00 2.95 02-09 4.66 Lower 90% Upper 90% Confidence Confidence Limit Limit Width of Confidence Interval 8.40 7.62 4.77 3.06 4.69 3.95 2.61 1.96 3.06 3.36 4.63 3.40 1.45 1.10 0.83 1.21 2.49 4.06 11.77 12.25 8.17 4.51 5.79 4.78 3.82 4.45 7.11 APPENDIX 5 AGGRESSIVITY INJURY RISK AGGRESSIVITY INJURY SEVERITY AND RATINGS OF VEHICLE AGGRESSIVITY (with 95% and 90% CONFIDENCE LIMITS), TOWARDS OTHER VEHICLE DRIVERS AND UNPROTECTED ROAD USERS AGGRESSIVITY INJURY RISK RATINGS New South Wales Data (1987-2009), South Australia Data (1995-2009), Queensland and Western Australia Data (1991-2009) Make Model of Car Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval ALL VEHICLE AVERAGE 15.77 Compact Sports Utility Vehicles 14.60 14.14 15.08 0.94 Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi / Peugeot Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Nissan Lada Honda Honda Honda Honda Land Rover Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Feroza / Rocky Rocky / Rugger Terios Cruze Tucson Outlander Outlander / 4007 89-97 85-98 97-05 02-06 04-09 03-06 06-09 19.65 17.26 17.18 14.14 9.53 15.80 17.26 16.54 12.95 13.67 10.86 5.31 11.44 11.30 23.19 22.64 21.38 18.20 16.52 21.40 25.47 6.64 9.69 7.71 7.34 11.20 9.96 14.17 Sportage Sorento Escape / Tribute X-Trail Niva CR-V CR-V HR-V CR-V Freelander Forester Forester Vitara / Escudo Grand Vitara Drover / Sierra / Samurai / SJ410 / SJ413 Jimny Grand Vitara RAV4 RAV4 RAV4 98-03 03-09 01-06 01-07 84-99 97-01 02-06 99-02 07-09 98-06 97-02 02-08 88-98 99-05 82-99 19.97 17.32 17.72 15.13 17.29 15.23 14.36 16.28 16.82 21.23 14.74 14.33 16.74 15.63 15.92 16.48 11.62 15.07 13.04 13.11 13.38 12.25 12.55 11.45 14.54 12.54 12.06 15.16 12.33 14.41 23.98 25.02 20.72 17.48 22.46 17.29 16.76 20.84 24.04 29.92 17.25 16.94 18.45 19.61 17.55 7.51 13.40 5.65 4.44 9.35 3.92 4.51 8.29 12.60 15.39 4.70 4.89 3.29 7.28 3.14 98-09 05-08 94-00 01-06 06-09 17.18 15.67 16.74 17.35 12.24 12.45 10.44 15.02 15.37 9.46 23.24 22.84 18.60 19.52 15.70 10.80 12.40 3.57 4.15 6.24 17.82 17.23 18.43 1.21 Medium Sports Utility Vehicles Daewoo / Ssangong Ford Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Musso 98-02 12.97 8.50 19.29 10.79 Territory SX/SY Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Frontera / Mu Adventra Captiva CG Santa Fe Pajero 04-09 82-91 92-97 98-02 95-03 03-06 06-09 00-06 82-90 15.06 21.37 19.78 22.45 18.30 15.80 18.69 21.41 20.42 12.68 18.10 16.57 18.95 14.00 10.58 13.46 16.32 18.14 17.80 25.05 23.44 26.38 23.56 22.94 25.35 27.56 22.91 5.12 6.96 6.86 7.42 9.55 12.36 11.90 11.24 4.77 Make Model of Car Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jeep Jeep Jeep Land Rover Nissan Nissan Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Pajero Pajero NM / NP / NS Challenger Cherokee XJ Wrangler Cherokee KJ Defender Pathfinder / Terrano Pathfinder / Terrano / Regulus Kluger Landcruiser Prado Landcruiser Prado Kluger Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 92-99 00-06 98-06 96-00 96-04 01-07 92-09 88-94 95-05 03-07 96-03 03-09 07-09 Large Sports Utility Vehicles BMW Ford Ford Ford Jeep Jeep Land Rover Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Land Rover Land Rover Toyota Toyota Toyota X5 Bronco Explorer Explorer Grand Cherokee ZG Grand Cherokee WJ/WG Discovery M-Class W163 Patrol / Safari Patrol / Maverick / Safari Patrol / Safari Range Rover Range Rover Landcruiser Landcruiser Landcruiser 01-08 82-87 00-01 01-05 96-99 99-05 91-02 98-05 82-87 88-97 98-09 82-94 95-02 82-89 90-97 98-07 Commercial - Vans Daihatsu Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Kia Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Honda Holden / Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Handivan Falcon Panel Van Falcon Panel Van Transit Transit Shuttle / WFR Van Pregio MB100 / MB140 Vito Sprinter Acty Scurry / Carry Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace Caravelle / Transporter 82-90 82-95 96-99 95-00 01-07 82-87 02-06 99-04 99-04 98-06 83-86 82-00 82-86 87-89 90-95 96-04 05-09 88-94 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 19.90 17.97 18.25 19.85 23.78 17.41 19.34 23.02 18.10 18.55 22.26 20.71 13.37 18.29 15.28 14.49 17.41 18.85 12.78 14.44 18.90 15.06 14.72 19.26 18.37 8.33 21.62 21.02 22.72 22.54 29.53 23.26 25.42 27.74 21.59 23.11 25.57 23.27 20.77 3.34 5.74 8.23 5.13 10.69 10.48 10.98 8.84 6.53 8.39 6.31 4.90 12.44 19.56 19.13 20.00 0.88 13.95 26.33 20.28 15.46 19.78 14.78 18.12 23.38 23.68 21.25 20.92 23.25 14.89 22.57 22.74 20.20 10.18 18.80 15.66 10.51 14.89 10.75 15.34 17.87 20.94 20.12 19.40 19.60 9.29 21.36 21.77 18.91 18.82 35.54 25.84 22.15 25.79 19.98 21.27 29.96 26.67 22.43 22.52 27.35 23.01 23.82 23.74 21.55 8.64 16.74 10.18 11.63 10.90 9.22 5.92 12.09 5.73 2.30 3.13 7.75 13.72 2.45 1.96 2.64 19.14 18.59 19.70 1.10 9.15 17.08 17.15 22.51 19.17 21.17 23.90 19.26 23.33 21.19 12.94 13.16 21.70 22.06 23.96 22.13 19.92 22.13 6.64 15.47 13.39 19.55 15.84 16.48 19.99 14.59 18.93 17.02 8.06 9.01 19.82 19.65 22.40 20.70 16.72 16.54 12.48 18.82 21.70 25.78 23.02 26.78 28.31 24.99 28.40 26.05 20.13 18.81 23.71 24.68 25.59 23.64 23.56 28.97 5.83 3.35 8.32 6.23 7.18 10.30 8.32 10.40 9.47 9.03 12.07 9.80 3.89 5.03 3.19 2.95 6.85 12.43 Make Model of Car Volkswagen Caravelle / Transporter Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 95-04 Commercial - Utes Ford / Nissan Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Subaru Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Falcon Ute / XFN Ute Falcon Ute Falcon Ute AU Falcon Ute BA/BF Ford F-Series F-Series Commodore Ute VG/VP Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo Rodeo WB Series Commodore Ute VR/VS Commodore VU Ute Commodore VY/VZ Ute Rodeo Triton MK Triton ML / MN Ceres Courier / B-Series / Bounty Courier / Bravo / Bounty Ranger / BT-50 720 Ute Navara Navara Navara Navara Brumby Mighty Boy 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux Hilux Hilux Hilux 82-95 96-99 00-02 03-08 82-92 01-06 90-93 82-85 86-88 89-95 96-98 99-02 82-85 94-00 00-02 02-07 03-08 96-06 06-09 92-00 98-02 03-06 06-09 82-85 86-91 92-96 97-05 05-09 82-92 85-88 82-85 86-88 89-97 98-02 03-04 05-09 Large Cars BMW BMW BMW Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford 7 Series E23 7 Series E32 7 Series E38 Falcon XE/XF Fairlane Z & LTD F Falcon EA / Falcon EB Series I Falcon EB Series II / Falcon ED Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane & LTD AU 82-86 87-94 95-01 82-88 82-87 88-Mar 92 Apr 92-94 88-94 95-98 99-02 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 25.15 21.56 29.11 7.55 17.20 16.92 17.49 0.57 19.45 20.06 20.93 18.67 22.80 22.42 16.42 17.24 19.02 19.52 19.19 20.03 19.13 18.06 17.36 17.14 21.06 18.65 15.31 14.32 17.86 17.30 16.99 18.69 19.18 20.64 18.88 17.18 15.56 10.30 20.02 19.59 19.39 19.27 18.53 17.34 18.38 18.05 19.03 16.75 19.77 16.89 14.13 13.58 14.73 18.33 17.49 18.30 16.78 16.95 15.30 15.71 19.46 16.34 11.22 11.95 15.88 14.99 13.37 16.08 17.55 18.43 17.13 13.56 13.02 6.70 18.42 17.91 18.62 18.07 16.51 15.73 20.56 22.23 22.97 20.74 26.14 29.13 18.99 21.64 24.22 20.76 21.01 21.87 21.73 19.23 19.64 18.68 22.75 21.20 20.54 17.07 20.01 19.88 21.35 21.62 20.92 23.04 20.77 21.52 18.48 15.51 21.72 21.40 20.19 20.53 20.74 19.09 2.18 4.18 3.94 3.99 6.37 12.23 4.86 8.06 9.50 2.44 3.53 3.57 4.95 2.28 4.33 2.96 3.29 4.85 9.32 5.12 4.13 4.89 7.98 5.54 3.37 4.61 3.64 7.96 5.46 8.82 3.30 3.49 1.57 2.46 4.23 3.36 15.53 15.36 15.69 0.33 17.71 18.96 24.52 17.91 17.28 17.59 17.99 16.13 18.32 15.93 11.70 12.96 17.45 17.39 15.96 17.07 17.26 14.72 16.12 13.37 25.91 26.88 33.29 18.45 18.70 18.13 18.75 17.64 20.74 18.88 14.21 13.92 15.84 1.07 2.74 1.06 1.49 2.91 4.62 5.52 Make Model of Car Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Fairlane & LTD BA/BF Falcon FG Falcon EF/EL Falcon AU Taurus Falcon BA/BF Commodore VN/VP / Lexcen Statesman/Caprice WB Stateman/Caprice VQ Stateman/Caprice VR/VS Commodore VR/VS / Lexcen Commodore VT/VX Statesman/Caprice WH Commodore VY/VZ Monaro Statesman/Caprice WK/WL Commodore VB-VL Commodore VE Sonata Grandeaur / XG Magna TM/TN/TP / Sigma / V3000 Magna TE/TF/TH/TJ / Verada KE/KF/KH/KJ / Diamante Magna TR/TS / Verada KR/KS / V3000 / Diamante Magna TL/TW / Verada KL/KW 380 XJ6 XJ6 929 / Luce 929 / Sentia / Efini MS-9 E-Class W123 E-Class W124 E-Class W210 S-Class W126 S-Class C140 E-Class W211 Skyline 300ZX / Fairlady Z Maxima Maxima / Cefiro Maxima Maxima Legend 9-5 Camry Crown / Cressida / Mark II Crown / Cressida / Mark II Cressida / Mark II Supra ES300 / Windom LS400 / Celsior Avalon Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jaguar Jaguar Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Saab Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Lexus Toyota Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 03-07 08-09 94-98 98-02 96-98 02-08 89-93 82-85 90-93 94-98 93-97 97-02 99-03 02-07 01-05 03-06 82-88 06-09 89-97 99-00 85-90 14.60 11.57 18.18 18.06 18.98 17.14 16.22 21.01 15.78 15.31 15.97 18.21 18.86 16.80 18.37 16.51 17.17 16.21 16.35 21.19 16.51 11.22 7.78 17.67 17.41 14.83 16.34 15.78 13.94 12.11 13.90 15.52 17.69 16.28 15.97 15.01 13.06 16.65 14.70 14.85 16.03 15.87 18.78 16.85 18.69 18.73 23.96 17.97 16.68 30.40 20.31 16.83 16.42 18.74 21.75 17.65 22.29 20.66 17.71 17.83 17.96 27.48 17.18 7.56 9.07 1.03 1.32 9.13 1.63 0.91 16.46 8.20 2.93 0.89 1.05 5.47 1.68 7.28 7.60 1.06 3.13 3.10 11.46 1.31 96-03 17.26 16.56 17.98 1.42 91-96 17.48 16.86 18.11 1.26 03-05 05-08 82-86 87-94 82-90 92-96 82-85 86-94 96-02 82-92 93-98 02-09 83-88 90-95 90-94 95-99 00-02 06-09 86-95 98-05 98-02 82-85 86-88 89-93 82-90 92-01 90-00 00-05 16.14 13.78 20.49 21.90 17.71 15.24 17.61 13.95 16.74 15.02 17.41 16.01 18.37 19.95 17.24 17.05 15.37 14.21 20.20 12.99 17.27 17.70 14.80 14.65 23.64 19.23 13.96 18.46 14.03 10.61 14.78 17.14 15.88 10.11 13.64 11.60 13.50 12.22 11.67 11.27 16.93 15.42 14.15 14.51 11.63 10.09 16.73 8.62 16.55 15.40 11.82 12.75 18.75 15.36 9.07 16.72 18.51 17.71 27.69 27.54 19.70 22.33 22.43 16.68 20.56 18.34 25.16 22.25 19.91 25.42 20.84 19.93 20.03 19.66 24.17 19.11 18.02 20.26 18.38 16.76 29.35 23.80 20.89 20.34 4.48 7.10 12.91 10.40 3.82 12.22 8.80 5.08 7.06 6.12 13.48 10.98 2.98 10.00 6.68 5.43 8.40 9.57 7.44 10.50 1.47 4.86 6.57 4.01 10.60 8.45 11.83 3.62 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Camry Aurion Camry 850/S70/V70/C70 700/900 Series Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 16.43 14.76 13.25 18.66 16.65 15.31 11.70 11.15 16.42 14.50 17.61 18.44 15.66 21.13 19.04 2.29 6.74 4.51 4.71 4.55 14.22 14.02 14.41 0.39 99-06 95-01 01-08 97-03 03-09 05-09 82-91 92-98 99-06 82-88 89-95 96-03 00-09 95-97 97-02 82-82 95-01 94-98 99-03 94-97 82-89 97-03 03-05 98-01 02-05 82-84 10.39 15.64 13.40 16.34 15.33 14.36 14.38 13.38 14.72 17.30 15.04 16.31 11.53 17.41 17.07 16.92 15.60 16.69 12.14 17.52 17.19 15.62 17.41 16.28 15.63 15.76 7.24 12.61 10.36 10.43 9.90 10.52 12.78 12.17 13.09 13.99 11.95 13.31 6.61 14.47 14.01 15.21 13.79 11.49 9.20 13.27 16.30 14.15 13.03 13.62 11.10 14.90 14.70 19.24 17.16 24.68 22.98 19.30 16.15 14.69 16.52 21.22 18.76 19.82 19.36 20.81 20.63 18.79 17.59 23.62 15.86 22.78 18.12 17.21 22.88 19.36 21.56 16.66 7.46 6.64 6.79 14.25 13.08 8.77 3.37 2.53 3.43 7.23 6.81 6.51 12.75 6.35 6.61 3.58 3.81 12.13 6.66 9.51 1.82 3.06 9.85 5.74 10.46 1.75 95-96 83-86 88-91 92-97 15.39 15.40 14.75 13.71 13.12 14.37 13.62 12.62 17.97 16.48 15.96 14.87 4.85 2.11 2.34 2.25 98-02 82-85 86-91 93-99 02-07 03-09 87-93 95-00 97-03 00-07 03-09 86-88 89-92 13.37 13.67 18.08 15.57 13.31 20.44 14.48 10.59 12.94 14.14 12.97 15.72 16.25 11.61 9.71 13.07 11.30 11.42 13.94 11.57 8.66 8.01 11.52 8.12 14.46 15.25 15.35 18.91 24.47 21.06 15.47 28.94 17.97 12.88 20.23 17.24 20.07 17.08 17.29 3.74 9.20 11.40 9.76 4.05 15.00 6.41 4.22 12.21 5.72 11.95 2.62 2.04 02-06 06-09 06-09 92-99 84-92 Medium Cars Alfa Romeo Audi Audi BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW Chrysler Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford 156 A4 A4 Z3 E36 5 Series E60 / E61 3 Series E90 / E91 3 Series E30 3 Series E36 3 Series E46 5 Series E28 5 Series E34 5 Series E39 PT Cruiser Espero Leganza Cortina Mondeo Probe Cougar Calibra Camira Vectra Vectra ZC Sonata Sonata EF Sigma / Galant / Sapporo / Lambda Galant Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella / Cronos 626 RX7 RX7 Eunos 500 6 RX8 C-Class W201 C-Class W202 CLK C208 C-Class W203 CLK C209 Pintara Pintara / Corsair / Bluebird Make Model of Car Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Renault Saab Saab Saab Saab Subaru Bluebird Bluebird 200SX / Silvia Accord Euro Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Prelude Prelude Prelude Prelude 405 505 406 Feugo 900 Series 900/9-3 9000 9-3 1800 / Leone / Omega / 4WD Wagon Subaru Liberty / Legacy Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback Toyota Corona Toyota Camry Holden / Toyota Apollo JK/JL / Camry / Vista Holden / Toyota Apollo JM/JP / Camry / Sceptor Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Lexus IS200 / IS300 Lexus IS250 / IS F Volvo 200 Series Volvo S60 Volkswagen Passat Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % Voyager Zafira TT Nimbus / Chariot / Spacewagon Nimbus / Chariot Nimbus Starwagon / L300 Starwagon / Delica Starwagon Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 82-86 93-97 94-02 03-08 03-07 82-85 86-90 91-93 94-98 99-02 82-82 83-91 92-96 97-02 89-97 82-93 96-04 82-87 82-92 94-02 86-97 03-09 82-93 15.02 15.07 15.64 12.83 15.04 14.02 14.52 16.76 17.05 17.39 11.49 14.56 14.31 14.38 12.90 14.03 6.48 13.50 13.31 14.99 14.44 14.77 14.88 14.05 13.03 12.90 10.72 12.10 11.87 12.65 14.52 15.47 14.05 6.09 12.95 12.08 11.28 9.54 10.42 3.39 8.26 10.57 12.63 11.80 9.45 13.64 16.05 17.37 18.84 15.29 18.54 16.48 16.61 19.28 18.76 21.31 20.62 16.33 16.88 18.15 17.21 18.65 12.05 21.30 16.63 17.70 17.55 22.33 16.22 2.00 4.34 5.94 4.57 6.45 4.61 3.95 4.76 3.29 7.26 14.53 3.39 4.79 6.87 7.66 8.23 8.66 13.04 6.05 5.08 5.75 12.88 2.58 89-93 94-98 99-03 03-09 82-88 83-86 88-92 93-97 81-85 86-89 90-93 94-99 00-05 99-04 05-09 82-93 01-09 98-06 16.24 15.16 15.05 12.87 15.42 17.08 17.33 16.61 19.06 17.97 17.84 16.19 15.18 14.88 16.18 15.05 18.14 14.61 14.96 13.45 13.39 10.64 14.72 15.40 16.76 16.02 17.01 15.88 15.90 13.93 11.71 11.70 10.50 13.30 12.07 10.82 17.61 17.04 16.87 15.49 16.16 18.91 17.91 17.21 21.29 20.25 19.97 18.75 19.45 18.75 24.11 16.98 26.34 19.43 2.65 3.59 3.48 4.85 1.44 3.51 1.15 1.19 4.28 4.37 4.07 4.82 7.74 7.04 13.62 3.67 14.27 8.60 17.01 16.47 17.56 1.10 22.68 12.58 13.34 14.09 10.53 22.36 19.74 23.02 18.21 8.69 9.05 11.32 6.90 20.03 18.34 20.55 27.87 17.88 19.24 17.40 15.74 24.88 21.22 25.69 9.66 9.19 10.19 6.08 8.84 4.84 2.88 5.15 People Movers Chrysler Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Lower 95% Confidence Limit 97-01 01-05 85-91 92-98 99-03 83-86 87-93 95-98 Make Model of Car Mitsubishi Kia Kia Mazda Mazda Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Carnival Carnival MPV MPV Prairie Serena Odyssey Odyssey Odyssey Tarago Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 98-03 99-06 06-09 94-99 00-06 84-86 92-95 95-00 00-02 04-09 83-89 91-99 00-06 06-09 Small Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Mini Chrysler Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Fiat Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi 33 75 A3/S3 Mini Cooper Neon Applause 1.5i Cielo Nubira Lanos Lacetti Laser Laser Escort Capri Focus LR Focus LS / LT Regata Gemini Gemini RB Astra TR Astra TS Astra AH Viva JF Excel Excel Excel / Accent Elantra S Coupe Lantra Lantra Coupe Accent Lancer / Mirage CA Lancer / Mirage CB Lancer / Mirage CC 83-92 86-92 97-04 02-09 96-99 89-99 94-95 95-97 97-03 97-03 03-04 91-94 95-97 82-82 89-94 02-05 05-09 84-88 82-84 86-87 96-98 98-06 04-09 05-09 86-90 90-94 95-00 00-06 90-96 91-95 96-00 96-00 00-06 89-90 91-92 93-95 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 18.79 21.87 19.02 22.20 14.69 14.06 13.78 18.71 17.81 12.94 17.80 18.07 16.01 17.06 16.37 18.77 13.09 17.19 9.49 9.47 8.23 14.85 12.47 8.97 16.26 16.40 13.33 11.35 21.47 25.32 26.81 28.18 22.04 20.37 22.16 23.30 24.80 18.32 19.45 19.87 19.11 24.83 5.10 6.56 13.72 10.99 12.55 10.90 13.92 8.45 12.33 9.35 3.20 3.47 5.78 13.48 12.67 12.52 12.82 0.31 7.72 21.26 15.21 11.65 15.26 14.24 19.30 13.79 14.75 16.31 19.15 14.10 12.79 16.43 16.61 15.16 13.15 12.55 13.69 13.25 13.73 13.47 15.27 11.41 16.49 14.46 14.02 15.13 13.18 15.59 15.60 16.68 16.01 13.33 15.90 12.82 4.98 14.34 10.92 7.48 11.75 12.71 13.50 12.53 13.27 15.06 12.69 13.37 11.64 14.35 14.41 13.05 10.97 7.05 12.45 10.81 11.51 12.65 13.27 8.92 14.81 13.59 13.47 13.50 10.99 13.77 14.32 13.76 14.78 12.14 13.35 11.85 11.78 30.34 20.80 17.69 19.58 15.92 26.83 15.15 16.36 17.65 27.85 14.85 14.03 18.75 19.07 17.55 15.69 21.35 15.04 16.13 16.31 14.34 17.52 14.49 18.32 15.39 14.59 16.93 15.72 17.60 16.98 20.08 17.33 14.62 18.84 13.85 6.80 16.00 9.88 10.20 7.83 3.21 13.33 2.62 3.09 2.59 15.16 1.49 2.39 4.40 4.66 4.50 4.72 14.30 2.59 5.32 4.80 1.69 4.25 5.57 3.51 1.80 1.12 3.44 4.73 3.83 2.66 6.32 2.55 2.47 5.49 2.00 Make Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Model of Car Lancer / Mirage CE Cordia Lancer CH / CJ Rio Spectra Cerato LD Rio JB Laser / 323 / Familia 323 / Familia / Lantis 323 / Familia / Lantis Laser / 323 MX5 / Eunos Roadster MX5 / Eunos Roadster Eunos 30X / Presso / MX-3 / Autozam AZ-3 Mazda 3 / Axela Mercedes Benz A-Class W168 Holden / Nissan Astra / Pulsar / Langley Holden / Nissan Astra / Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Stanza Nissan Gazelle / Silvia Nissan Exa Nissan Exa Nissan NX/NX-R Nissan Pulsar Nissan Tiida Honda Civic Honda Civic / Ballade / Shuttle Honda Civic / Shuttle Honda Civic Honda Civic Honda CRX Honda CRX Honda Civic Honda Civic Honda Integra Honda Integra Honda Integra Honda Integra Honda Concerto Peugeot 306 Peugeot 307 Proton Wira Renault 19 Renault Scenic Rover Quintet MG MGF / MG TF Subaru Impreza Subaru Impreza Suzuki Baleno / Cultus Crescent Suzuki Liana Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 96-03 83-87 03-09 00-05 01-04 04-08 05-09 82-88 90-93 95-98 99-03 89-97 98-05 90-97 13.80 17.45 13.84 13.62 15.75 12.51 11.21 14.45 13.64 12.87 13.07 16.08 9.87 12.71 13.19 14.84 12.25 12.03 11.24 9.35 8.57 13.95 12.28 11.75 12.10 11.85 6.76 9.49 14.43 20.41 15.60 15.38 21.62 16.55 14.52 14.96 15.13 14.08 14.10 21.44 14.21 16.83 1.24 5.57 3.35 3.35 10.37 7.20 5.95 1.01 2.86 2.33 2.00 9.59 7.46 7.35 03-09 98-04 84-86 88-90 92-95 96-99 82-83 84-86 83-86 87-91 91-96 00-05 06-09 82-83 84-87 88-91 92-95 96-00 87-91 92-98 01-05 06-09 86-88 90-92 93-01 02-06 89-93 94-01 01-09 95-96 91-96 01-04 82-86 99-05 93-00 01-07 95-02 01-07 13.70 12.52 13.98 14.89 14.52 14.17 17.42 13.48 21.28 18.80 20.56 12.40 9.35 10.90 15.37 14.21 14.31 15.67 15.27 16.91 13.77 10.55 14.05 18.63 15.50 14.72 12.44 13.04 11.57 13.60 14.84 13.92 13.05 9.22 14.67 14.29 11.63 13.03 12.46 8.79 12.99 14.09 13.48 13.32 12.85 9.12 16.15 12.67 17.21 11.50 5.85 7.75 13.43 12.86 13.09 14.46 10.26 11.20 11.73 7.99 10.62 14.97 12.80 10.22 9.19 10.62 8.45 11.58 10.09 8.75 7.66 5.37 13.36 12.62 9.94 9.42 15.03 17.53 15.03 15.72 15.63 15.07 23.19 19.49 27.50 26.99 24.36 13.36 14.61 15.12 17.53 15.67 15.62 16.95 22.11 24.74 16.10 13.81 18.37 22.93 18.65 20.75 16.63 15.90 15.63 15.92 21.30 21.42 21.35 15.38 16.09 16.14 13.56 17.76 2.57 8.74 2.04 1.62 2.15 1.75 10.34 10.38 11.34 14.32 7.15 1.87 8.76 7.37 4.10 2.81 2.53 2.49 11.85 13.54 4.37 5.82 7.74 7.96 5.85 10.53 7.44 5.28 7.18 4.34 11.21 12.67 13.69 10.01 2.73 3.52 3.63 8.34 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Toyota / Holden Toyota / Holden Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Corolla Corolla Corolla / Nova Corolla / Nova Corolla / Allex Corolla Corolla Tercel MR2 MR2 Paseo / Cynos Corolla 4WD Wagon Prius II S40/V40 Golf Golf Golf / Bora New Beetle Golf / Jetta Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 82-84 86-88 89-93 94-97 98-01 02-07 07-09 83-88 87-90 91-00 91-99 92-96 03-09 97-04 82-94 95-98 99-04 00-09 04-09 Light Cars Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Nissan Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Subaru Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Charade Charade Charade Pyzar Sirion / Storia Mira Matiz Kalos Festiva WD/WH/WF Ka Barina XC Barina SB Barina TK Getz / TB Mirage / Colt Colt Festiva WA / 121 121 / Autozam Review 121 Metro / Demio 2 2 Micra Jazz / Fit City 205 206 Sherpa / Fiori / 700 / Rex Swift Barina / Swift / Cultus Barina / Swift / Cultus Hatch / Alto 82-86 88-92 93-00 97-01 98-04 90-96 99-04 03-04 94-01 99-02 01-06 95-00 05-09 02-09 82-88 04-09 87-90 94-96 97-02 02-07 07-09 95-97 02-08 83-86 87-94 99-07 89-92 82-85 86-88 89-99 82-84 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 13.23 13.82 14.37 12.92 13.81 13.65 14.51 17.09 14.19 14.31 13.07 21.24 7.23 16.28 15.00 13.41 14.75 13.31 14.06 12.33 13.11 13.82 12.30 12.81 12.86 11.88 12.92 8.93 8.46 11.09 17.17 4.08 13.18 10.06 10.99 12.77 9.23 11.34 14.18 14.57 14.93 13.56 14.87 14.48 17.59 22.25 21.81 23.20 15.34 25.96 12.51 19.94 21.80 16.28 16.96 18.82 17.31 1.85 1.46 1.11 1.25 2.06 1.62 5.71 9.33 12.87 14.75 4.25 8.79 8.43 6.76 11.75 5.29 4.19 9.59 5.96 11.68 11.46 11.90 0.45 13.09 11.73 13.54 10.19 10.28 12.13 12.49 12.64 14.46 12.71 14.50 13.46 11.66 14.99 14.59 9.54 13.56 11.59 11.74 10.93 12.82 13.12 11.46 10.41 10.04 12.18 11.44 14.49 13.11 12.22 13.27 11.00 10.76 12.51 6.82 8.52 9.43 10.14 9.13 13.75 9.46 12.91 12.50 9.59 13.43 13.69 5.71 12.55 10.34 10.39 8.70 8.91 10.71 9.52 6.52 5.66 9.21 8.55 8.55 11.69 11.58 10.20 15.52 12.78 14.65 14.96 12.35 15.48 15.29 17.23 15.20 16.88 16.24 14.48 14.10 16.69 15.53 15.53 14.63 12.98 13.23 13.63 18.10 15.97 13.73 16.22 17.20 15.94 15.14 23.50 14.66 12.88 17.08 4.52 2.02 2.14 8.15 3.83 6.06 5.15 8.10 1.45 7.42 3.33 1.98 4.51 3.27 1.84 9.82 2.09 2.64 2.83 4.93 9.20 5.26 4.21 9.70 11.54 6.73 6.59 14.96 2.97 1.30 6.87 Make Model of Car Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Alto Ignis Swift Starlet Echo Yaris Polo Polo Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 85-00 00-02 05-09 96-99 99-05 05-09 96-00 02-09 15.31 13.68 14.24 12.11 11.62 11.74 11.35 15.69 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 10.16 10.41 12.09 10.97 10.65 10.14 8.42 11.29 22.42 17.77 16.69 13.34 12.66 13.57 15.13 21.39 12.26 7.36 4.60 2.37 2.01 3.43 6.71 10.10 AGGRESSIVITY INJURY SEVERITY RATINGS New South Wales and Victoria Data (1987-2009), South Australia Data (1995-2009), Queensland, Western Australia and New Zealand Data (1991-2009) Make Model of Car Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval ALL VEHICLE AVERAGE 22.38 Compact Sports Utility Vehicles 21.77 20.72 22.85 2.13 Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi / Peugeot Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Nissan Lada Honda Honda Honda Honda Land Rover Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Feroza / Rocky Rocky / Rugger Terios Cruze Tucson Outlander Outlander / 4007 89-97 85-98 97-05 02-06 04-09 03-06 06-09 21.37 28.82 20.39 23.79 22.18 23.69 6.10 15.48 19.87 13.69 15.32 9.12 13.72 1.43 28.75 39.81 29.26 35.01 44.74 37.75 22.49 13.27 19.93 15.57 19.69 35.62 24.03 21.06 Sportage Sorento Escape / Tribute X-Trail Niva CR-V CR-V HR-V CR-V Freelander Forester Forester Vitara / Escudo Grand Vitara Drover / Sierra / Samurai / SJ410 / SJ413 Jimny Grand Vitara RAV4 RAV4 RAV4 98-03 03-09 01-06 01-07 84-99 97-01 02-06 99-02 07-09 98-06 97-02 02-08 88-98 99-05 82-99 18.62 24.67 21.97 24.18 25.42 21.66 22.22 30.17 25.22 24.86 17.61 23.71 22.96 19.42 22.06 13.23 12.28 17.26 19.59 16.79 17.85 17.31 20.91 14.13 14.46 13.78 18.25 19.55 13.35 18.69 25.54 43.36 27.53 29.45 36.55 26.03 28.04 41.37 40.88 39.31 22.25 30.19 26.77 27.39 25.84 12.31 31.07 10.27 9.86 19.75 8.17 10.73 20.46 26.75 24.85 8.47 11.93 7.22 14.04 7.14 98-09 05-08 94-00 01-06 06-09 27.03 13.82 24.77 24.68 25.51 15.87 5.27 21.30 20.49 17.10 42.10 31.63 28.59 29.41 36.24 26.22 26.36 7.28 8.92 19.14 23.29 22.15 24.47 2.31 Medium Sports Utility Vehicles Daewoo / Ssangong Ford Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Musso 98-02 33.08 21.97 46.46 24.49 Territory SX/SY Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Frontera / Mu Adventra Captiva CG Santa Fe Pajero 04-09 82-91 92-97 98-02 95-03 03-06 06-09 00-06 82-90 26.27 26.21 24.30 26.30 29.15 24.70 20.94 27.92 24.86 20.49 20.90 18.74 19.80 20.13 14.80 11.69 19.45 21.25 33.01 32.32 30.89 34.04 40.19 38.25 34.65 38.31 28.86 12.52 11.42 12.15 14.24 20.06 23.45 22.97 18.86 7.61 Make Model of Car Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jeep Jeep Jeep Land Rover Nissan Nissan Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Pajero Pajero NM / NP / NS Challenger Cherokee XJ Wrangler Cherokee KJ Defender Pathfinder / Terrano Pathfinder / Terrano / Regulus Kluger Landcruiser Prado Landcruiser Prado Kluger Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 92-99 00-06 98-06 96-00 96-04 01-07 92-09 88-94 95-05 03-07 96-03 03-09 07-09 Large Sports Utility Vehicles BMW Ford Ford Ford Jeep Jeep Land Rover Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Land Rover Land Rover Toyota Toyota Toyota X5 Bronco Explorer Explorer Grand Cherokee ZG Grand Cherokee WJ/WG Discovery M-Class W163 Patrol / Safari Patrol / Maverick / Safari Patrol / Safari Range Rover Range Rover Landcruiser Landcruiser Landcruiser 01-08 82-87 00-01 01-05 96-99 99-05 91-02 98-05 82-87 88-97 98-09 82-94 95-02 82-89 90-97 98-07 Commercial - Vans Daihatsu Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Kia Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Honda Holden / Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Handivan Falcon Panel Van Falcon Panel Van Transit Transit Shuttle / WFR Van Pregio MB100 / MB140 Vito Sprinter Acty Scurry / Carry Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace Caravelle / Transporter 82-90 82-95 96-99 95-00 01-07 82-87 02-06 99-04 99-04 98-06 83-86 82-00 82-86 87-89 90-95 96-04 05-09 88-94 Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 23.79 21.87 14.41 23.41 22.16 21.09 20.69 21.68 26.97 17.00 28.16 26.07 19.37 20.67 16.30 9.00 18.79 15.06 12.29 12.73 17.83 21.63 11.00 22.35 21.44 8.63 27.23 28.68 22.28 28.77 31.35 33.77 31.81 26.09 33.09 25.33 34.82 31.31 37.91 6.56 12.38 13.29 9.99 16.29 21.47 19.09 8.26 11.46 14.32 12.47 9.87 29.28 26.14 25.29 27.02 1.73 21.73 26.49 21.60 20.97 21.86 30.04 20.12 14.82 28.02 25.37 27.02 27.32 27.63 29.48 28.01 28.90 13.55 16.07 14.13 12.55 14.48 21.94 15.89 8.95 23.40 23.25 24.24 20.93 16.91 27.16 26.17 26.32 32.96 40.42 31.56 32.91 31.61 39.61 25.13 23.53 33.15 27.62 30.00 34.80 41.73 31.91 29.92 31.63 19.41 24.34 17.42 20.36 17.13 17.66 9.24 14.57 9.75 4.36 5.76 13.87 24.82 4.76 3.75 5.31 23.80 22.85 24.77 1.93 29.69 23.05 27.43 17.88 21.79 18.85 21.57 25.10 22.56 26.97 13.25 21.23 27.24 26.90 24.74 24.92 22.66 21.95 21.18 19.71 18.95 13.40 16.64 12.15 15.22 16.48 15.51 19.30 6.25 13.67 24.61 23.84 22.48 22.45 16.81 11.17 39.90 26.77 37.94 23.45 28.01 28.06 29.64 36.27 31.62 36.33 25.95 31.45 30.04 30.20 27.16 27.58 29.81 38.60 18.72 7.07 18.98 10.05 11.37 15.91 14.42 19.79 16.11 17.03 19.70 17.79 5.44 6.35 4.68 5.13 13.00 27.43 Make Model of Car Volkswagen Caravelle / Transporter Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 95-04 Commercial - Utes Ford / Nissan Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Subaru Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Falcon Ute / XFN Ute Falcon Ute Falcon Ute AU Falcon Ute BA/BF Ford F-Series F-Series Commodore Ute VG/VP Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo Rodeo WB Series Commodore Ute VR/VS Commodore VU Ute Commodore VY/VZ Ute Rodeo Triton MK Triton ML / MN Ceres Courier / B-Series / Bounty Courier / Bravo / Bounty Ranger / BT-50 720 Ute Navara Navara Navara Navara Brumby Mighty Boy 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux Hilux Hilux Hilux 82-95 96-99 00-02 03-08 82-92 01-06 90-93 82-85 86-88 89-95 96-98 99-02 82-85 94-00 00-02 02-07 03-08 96-06 06-09 92-00 98-02 03-06 06-09 82-85 86-91 92-96 97-05 05-09 82-92 85-88 82-85 86-88 89-97 98-02 03-04 05-09 Large Cars BMW BMW BMW Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford 7 Series E23 7 Series E32 7 Series E38 Falcon XE/XF Fairlane Z & LTD F Falcon EA / Falcon EB Series I Falcon EB Series II / Falcon ED Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane & LTD AU 82-86 87-94 95-01 82-88 82-87 88-Mar 92 Apr 92-94 88-94 95-98 99-02 Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 26.94 20.06 35.15 15.09 24.10 23.50 24.71 1.21 23.00 22.32 24.69 20.57 27.74 25.51 19.55 28.20 24.84 27.74 24.30 26.33 25.56 25.77 24.80 28.19 23.78 23.49 13.94 24.66 23.97 19.70 24.06 19.78 25.48 23.82 24.59 33.57 26.67 21.24 27.46 26.82 24.97 27.15 25.57 25.53 20.94 18.35 21.27 16.86 22.10 15.87 15.22 21.30 15.95 25.18 20.78 22.81 20.86 23.18 19.91 24.62 20.45 17.57 6.17 18.05 19.89 15.30 16.26 15.56 22.58 20.13 21.12 24.46 21.06 11.65 24.50 23.97 23.52 24.49 20.85 21.60 25.20 26.87 28.46 24.85 34.19 38.35 24.75 36.29 36.54 30.45 28.21 30.19 30.90 28.54 30.43 32.05 27.45 30.66 28.53 32.73 28.57 25.01 34.07 24.81 28.61 27.95 28.43 44.10 33.15 35.55 30.64 29.86 26.48 29.99 30.93 29.91 4.27 8.51 7.20 7.99 12.10 22.48 9.53 14.99 20.59 5.27 7.42 7.38 10.04 5.35 10.52 7.43 7.00 13.09 22.36 14.69 8.68 9.71 17.80 9.25 6.03 7.82 7.32 19.64 12.09 23.90 6.14 5.89 2.97 5.49 10.08 8.31 21.86 21.50 22.22 0.72 13.16 24.57 21.10 23.31 23.38 23.43 23.06 22.20 24.06 19.29 5.48 14.50 10.86 22.32 20.65 22.36 21.57 19.34 19.81 14.06 28.34 38.49 37.01 24.34 26.34 24.53 24.63 25.35 28.89 25.87 22.86 23.99 26.15 2.02 5.69 2.17 3.06 6.00 9.08 11.81 Make Model of Car Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Fairlane & LTD BA/BF Falcon FG Falcon EF/EL Falcon AU Taurus Falcon BA/BF Commodore VN/VP / Lexcen Statesman/Caprice WB Stateman/Caprice VQ Stateman/Caprice VR/VS Commodore VR/VS / Lexcen Commodore VT/VX Statesman/Caprice WH Commodore VY/VZ Monaro Statesman/Caprice WK/WL Commodore VB-VL Commodore VE Sonata Grandeaur / XG Magna TM/TN/TP / Sigma / V3000 Magna TE/TF/TH/TJ / Verada KE/KF/KH/KJ / Diamante Magna TR/TS / Verada KR/KS / V3000 / Diamante Magna TL/TW / Verada KL/KW 380 XJ6 XJ6 929 / Luce 929 / Sentia / Efini MS-9 E-Class W123 E-Class W124 E-Class W210 S-Class W126 S-Class C140 E-Class W211 Skyline 300ZX / Fairlady Z Maxima Maxima / Cefiro Maxima Maxima Legend 9-5 Camry Crown / Cressida / Mark II Crown / Cressida / Mark II Cressida / Mark II Supra ES300 / Windom LS400 / Celsior Avalon Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jaguar Jaguar Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Saab Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Lexus Toyota Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 03-07 08-09 94-98 98-02 96-98 02-08 89-93 82-85 90-93 94-98 93-97 97-02 99-03 02-07 01-05 03-06 82-88 06-09 89-97 99-00 85-90 23.70 17.82 22.71 22.37 20.87 23.30 22.35 38.50 24.58 24.32 23.02 23.35 25.60 20.99 24.21 26.25 22.72 26.98 24.15 23.60 22.74 14.70 10.22 21.67 21.08 14.10 21.56 21.37 18.55 16.91 20.86 21.97 22.24 20.19 19.19 18.17 17.15 21.65 23.09 20.69 13.45 21.39 35.88 29.22 23.78 23.72 29.75 25.14 23.37 63.24 34.29 28.15 24.11 24.51 31.89 22.91 31.50 37.96 23.83 31.26 27.98 38.06 24.16 21.17 19.00 2.11 2.63 15.65 3.57 1.99 44.69 17.39 7.29 2.13 2.27 11.70 3.72 13.33 20.81 2.18 8.17 7.29 24.61 2.77 96-03 20.94 19.39 22.59 3.19 91-96 21.87 20.58 23.21 2.63 03-05 05-08 82-86 87-94 82-90 92-96 82-85 86-94 96-02 82-92 93-98 02-09 83-88 90-95 90-94 95-99 00-02 06-09 86-95 98-05 98-02 82-85 86-88 89-93 82-90 92-01 90-00 00-05 23.03 23.16 27.42 19.52 19.34 39.35 20.11 25.65 23.39 16.77 22.09 25.60 22.92 27.84 24.62 17.27 24.40 24.48 24.72 12.09 22.30 25.61 24.59 16.74 25.11 15.83 31.96 26.11 17.18 14.64 18.02 12.18 16.29 25.03 12.30 19.74 16.48 11.32 11.91 14.63 20.50 19.97 19.99 13.70 18.07 16.85 18.79 5.05 20.62 21.42 17.73 13.01 17.89 10.84 19.20 22.24 30.15 34.64 39.37 29.79 22.80 55.77 31.14 32.62 32.08 24.12 37.27 40.84 25.54 37.36 29.93 21.55 32.09 34.15 31.78 26.24 24.06 30.30 33.03 21.28 34.03 22.54 48.14 30.39 12.97 20.00 21.35 17.61 6.51 30.74 18.84 12.88 15.60 12.80 25.36 26.21 5.04 17.38 9.93 7.85 14.02 17.30 12.98 21.19 3.44 8.88 15.30 8.26 16.14 11.70 28.94 8.15 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Camry Aurion Camry 850/S70/V70/C70 700/900 Series Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 02-06 06-09 06-09 92-99 84-92 22.11 22.45 23.85 26.30 21.85 19.34 14.24 17.22 21.55 17.35 25.14 33.55 32.06 31.66 27.13 5.80 19.31 14.84 10.11 9.78 20.97 20.55 21.40 0.86 99-06 95-01 01-08 97-03 03-09 05-09 82-91 92-98 99-06 82-88 89-95 96-03 00-09 95-97 97-02 82-82 95-01 94-98 99-03 94-97 82-89 97-03 03-05 98-01 02-05 82-84 15.98 19.78 24.68 21.73 26.06 32.64 20.67 24.44 20.36 24.41 25.70 18.31 30.13 20.14 27.23 22.58 22.12 34.41 20.86 26.18 21.76 23.33 19.67 19.20 21.93 22.21 7.91 13.90 17.11 11.66 12.76 20.61 17.51 21.46 16.60 17.96 19.98 12.69 15.19 13.88 19.48 19.28 18.81 21.02 13.28 18.62 20.05 20.13 12.54 13.14 9.85 20.47 29.64 27.35 34.22 36.85 45.92 47.49 24.23 27.69 24.72 32.27 32.40 25.69 50.95 28.30 36.65 26.25 25.83 50.84 31.20 35.47 23.58 26.88 29.48 27.20 41.93 24.05 21.73 13.45 17.11 25.19 33.17 26.88 6.72 6.22 8.13 14.30 12.42 13.00 35.76 14.42 17.16 6.97 7.02 29.82 17.91 16.85 3.53 6.75 16.95 14.06 32.08 3.58 95-96 83-86 88-91 92-97 19.62 21.18 23.66 20.16 15.96 19.44 21.56 17.97 23.88 23.04 25.89 22.54 7.92 3.60 4.33 4.57 98-02 82-85 86-91 93-99 02-07 03-09 87-93 95-00 97-03 00-07 03-09 86-88 89-92 24.99 36.51 21.83 20.39 17.47 15.80 23.75 25.49 20.99 20.00 22.87 21.91 23.30 20.79 26.46 14.03 11.43 13.33 5.83 17.05 19.60 11.40 13.21 10.82 19.17 21.24 29.72 47.88 32.34 33.70 22.57 36.28 32.08 32.44 35.44 29.10 42.00 24.93 25.49 8.92 21.42 18.31 22.27 9.24 30.45 15.03 12.85 24.05 15.89 31.18 5.77 4.24 Medium Cars Alfa Romeo Audi Audi BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW Chrysler Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford 156 A4 A4 Z3 E36 5 Series E60 / E61 3 Series E90 / E91 3 Series E30 3 Series E36 3 Series E46 5 Series E28 5 Series E34 5 Series E39 PT Cruiser Espero Leganza Cortina Mondeo Probe Cougar Calibra Camira Vectra Vectra ZC Sonata Sonata EF Sigma / Galant / Sapporo / Lambda Galant Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella / Cronos 626 RX7 RX7 Eunos 500 6 RX8 C-Class W201 C-Class W202 CLK C208 C-Class W203 CLK C209 Pintara Pintara / Corsair / Bluebird Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval Make Model of Car Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Renault Saab Saab Saab Saab Subaru Bluebird Bluebird 200SX / Silvia Accord Euro Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Prelude Prelude Prelude Prelude 405 505 406 Feugo 900 Series 900/9-3 9000 9-3 1800 / Leone / Omega / 4WD Wagon Subaru Liberty / Legacy Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback Toyota Corona Toyota Camry Holden / Toyota Apollo JK/JL / Camry / Vista Holden / Toyota Apollo JM/JP / Camry / Sceptor Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Lexus IS200 / IS300 Lexus IS250 / IS F Volvo 200 Series Volvo S60 Volkswagen Passat Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 82-86 93-97 94-02 03-08 03-07 82-85 86-90 91-93 94-98 99-02 82-82 83-91 92-96 97-02 89-97 82-93 96-04 82-87 82-92 94-02 86-97 03-09 82-93 21.54 18.88 26.61 20.26 26.43 18.35 24.17 18.25 19.70 24.38 16.67 22.12 20.86 24.18 21.75 26.62 24.56 13.44 16.37 18.99 19.24 38.19 18.69 19.70 15.94 19.83 15.30 18.41 15.23 21.01 14.55 16.75 18.12 6.35 19.44 16.62 17.33 16.01 18.16 15.24 6.30 10.95 13.98 13.58 20.43 16.42 23.50 22.22 34.70 26.33 36.38 21.93 27.63 22.66 23.02 31.95 37.11 25.05 25.85 32.67 28.84 37.22 37.08 26.37 23.75 25.26 26.55 59.78 21.20 3.80 6.28 14.87 11.03 17.97 6.70 6.61 8.11 6.26 13.83 30.76 5.61 9.24 15.35 12.83 19.06 21.84 20.06 12.80 11.28 12.97 39.35 4.78 89-93 94-98 99-03 03-09 82-88 83-86 88-92 93-97 81-85 86-89 90-93 94-99 00-05 99-04 05-09 82-93 01-09 98-06 20.97 26.56 22.63 15.34 22.74 20.10 21.49 22.25 21.21 22.39 23.60 18.42 22.56 21.63 23.04 22.73 21.28 26.85 18.71 23.23 18.93 10.75 21.15 16.90 20.28 20.86 17.70 18.47 19.73 13.82 14.03 12.87 9.37 18.82 10.52 18.43 23.44 30.18 26.82 21.41 24.41 23.74 22.74 23.71 25.21 26.88 27.97 24.12 34.21 34.02 46.43 27.19 38.33 37.36 4.73 6.95 7.88 10.66 3.26 6.85 2.46 2.85 7.50 8.40 8.24 10.30 20.18 21.15 37.06 8.38 27.81 18.93 22.32 21.27 23.40 2.13 20.13 24.42 18.99 27.47 18.33 23.85 22.61 23.61 12.73 13.61 13.48 21.19 9.15 20.63 20.24 19.30 30.34 39.86 26.07 34.78 33.34 27.40 25.17 28.54 17.61 26.24 12.59 13.59 24.19 6.77 4.93 9.24 People Movers Chrysler Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Voyager Zafira TT Nimbus / Chariot / Spacewagon Nimbus / Chariot Nimbus Starwagon / L300 Starwagon / Delica Starwagon Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 97-01 01-05 85-91 92-98 99-03 83-86 87-93 95-98 Make Model of Car Mitsubishi Kia Kia Mazda Mazda Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Carnival Carnival MPV MPV Prairie Serena Odyssey Odyssey Odyssey Tarago Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 98-03 99-06 06-09 94-99 00-06 84-86 92-95 95-00 00-02 04-09 83-89 91-99 00-06 06-09 Small Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Mini Chrysler Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Fiat Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi 33 75 A3/S3 Mini Cooper Neon Applause 1.5i Cielo Nubira Lanos Lacetti Laser Laser Escort Capri Focus LR Focus LS / LT Regata Gemini Gemini RB Astra TR Astra TS Astra AH Viva JF Excel Excel Excel / Accent Elantra S Coupe Lantra Lantra Coupe Accent Lancer / Mirage CA Lancer / Mirage CB Lancer / Mirage CC 83-92 86-92 97-04 02-09 96-99 89-99 94-95 95-97 97-03 97-03 03-04 91-94 95-97 82-82 89-94 02-05 05-09 84-88 82-84 86-87 96-98 98-06 04-09 05-09 86-90 90-94 95-00 00-06 90-96 91-95 96-00 96-00 00-06 89-90 91-92 93-95 Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 19.66 24.91 24.01 24.15 25.17 23.28 17.31 23.79 32.23 16.85 25.50 22.98 28.39 12.07 14.88 18.58 9.88 14.25 12.08 16.47 11.66 18.58 19.44 8.79 22.35 19.52 21.19 4.79 25.51 32.52 47.68 37.89 45.17 31.83 24.93 29.92 48.38 29.86 28.93 26.85 36.90 27.24 10.63 13.94 37.81 23.64 33.09 15.36 13.27 11.33 28.94 21.07 6.58 7.34 15.71 22.45 20.42 20.04 20.80 0.76 23.84 23.97 27.29 21.16 14.78 18.72 12.37 19.91 19.97 20.52 16.14 20.81 22.71 17.63 17.48 23.20 25.58 29.32 20.94 19.24 22.43 21.15 22.31 26.04 20.52 21.25 21.78 23.74 19.22 20.32 22.09 16.95 20.21 20.62 25.24 20.03 15.77 11.08 17.19 10.59 8.57 15.02 3.16 16.57 16.29 17.68 6.08 19.10 19.56 12.90 13.30 18.18 18.79 16.54 18.12 13.56 17.07 18.96 17.01 17.39 17.10 18.89 20.24 18.79 13.62 15.59 18.97 11.06 17.03 18.11 19.92 17.59 34.36 44.38 40.44 37.83 24.28 23.08 37.90 23.75 24.23 23.68 36.38 22.63 26.20 23.63 22.62 29.11 33.81 46.48 24.07 26.58 28.89 23.51 28.70 37.05 24.42 23.82 23.40 29.53 26.41 26.06 25.56 25.08 23.81 23.38 31.43 22.71 18.58 33.30 23.25 27.24 15.71 8.05 34.74 7.18 7.94 6.00 30.30 3.53 6.64 10.73 9.32 10.94 15.03 29.94 5.96 13.02 11.82 4.55 11.68 19.66 7.33 4.93 3.16 10.75 12.79 10.47 6.58 14.02 6.78 5.27 11.52 5.12 Make Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Model of Car Lancer / Mirage CE Cordia Lancer CH / CJ Rio Spectra Cerato LD Rio JB Laser / 323 / Familia 323 / Familia / Lantis 323 / Familia / Lantis Laser / 323 MX5 / Eunos Roadster MX5 / Eunos Roadster Eunos 30X / Presso / MX-3 / Autozam AZ-3 Mazda 3 / Axela Mercedes Benz A-Class W168 Holden / Nissan Astra / Pulsar / Langley Holden / Nissan Astra / Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Stanza Nissan Gazelle / Silvia Nissan Exa Nissan Exa Nissan NX/NX-R Nissan Pulsar Nissan Tiida Honda Civic Honda Civic / Ballade / Shuttle Honda Civic / Shuttle Honda Civic Honda Civic Honda CRX Honda CRX Honda Civic Honda Civic Honda Integra Honda Integra Honda Integra Honda Integra Honda Concerto Peugeot 306 Peugeot 307 Proton Wira Renault 19 Renault Scenic Rover Quintet MG MGF / MG TF Subaru Impreza Subaru Impreza Suzuki Baleno / Cultus Crescent Suzuki Liana Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 96-03 83-87 03-09 00-05 01-04 04-08 05-09 82-88 90-93 95-98 99-03 89-97 98-05 90-97 21.03 25.82 23.38 26.44 16.48 22.75 15.79 20.90 18.39 19.06 19.45 17.34 11.07 23.07 19.29 21.97 17.96 21.37 7.69 12.97 8.74 19.91 16.19 16.33 16.85 10.19 4.59 13.42 22.88 30.08 29.84 32.22 31.85 36.77 26.86 21.93 20.82 22.13 22.34 27.95 24.33 36.72 3.59 8.11 11.88 10.84 24.16 23.80 18.11 2.02 4.63 5.80 5.49 17.76 19.74 23.30 03-09 98-04 84-86 88-90 92-95 96-99 82-83 84-86 83-86 87-91 91-96 00-05 06-09 82-83 84-87 88-91 92-95 96-00 87-91 92-98 01-05 06-09 86-88 90-92 93-01 02-06 89-93 94-01 01-09 95-96 91-96 01-04 82-86 99-05 93-00 01-07 95-02 01-07 20.13 20.69 24.51 22.75 22.81 20.78 31.10 22.58 25.22 33.33 24.02 19.74 19.99 22.02 21.70 20.00 23.12 17.24 21.10 27.03 21.01 20.34 16.18 23.67 17.86 27.81 26.33 21.55 17.34 27.44 19.32 21.76 10.35 20.91 25.09 19.79 14.57 18.16 16.66 11.27 22.22 20.91 20.53 18.62 20.82 16.93 17.03 21.15 17.87 17.01 9.53 16.53 18.41 17.41 20.37 14.69 15.52 15.57 16.16 12.02 11.52 18.18 13.55 14.89 19.56 16.38 10.50 20.89 10.58 11.05 3.74 9.66 22.14 15.46 10.20 9.77 24.10 34.89 26.95 24.70 25.26 23.11 43.65 29.44 35.66 48.24 31.46 22.78 37.22 28.72 25.39 22.86 26.11 20.14 28.02 42.67 26.85 32.32 22.25 30.19 23.17 45.90 34.44 27.80 27.26 35.13 32.65 38.36 25.56 39.51 28.30 24.96 20.39 31.26 7.43 23.62 4.73 3.79 4.73 4.49 22.83 12.51 18.62 27.09 13.59 5.76 27.69 12.19 6.97 5.44 5.74 5.45 12.50 27.10 10.69 20.30 10.72 12.01 9.61 31.01 14.87 11.42 16.76 14.24 22.08 27.31 21.82 29.84 6.16 9.49 10.19 21.49 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Toyota / Holden Toyota / Holden Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Corolla Corolla Corolla / Nova Corolla / Nova Corolla / Allex Corolla Corolla Tercel MR2 MR2 Paseo / Cynos Corolla 4WD Wagon Prius II S40/V40 Golf Golf Golf / Bora New Beetle Golf / Jetta Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 82-84 86-88 89-93 94-97 98-01 02-07 07-09 83-88 87-90 91-00 91-99 92-96 03-09 97-04 82-94 95-98 99-04 00-09 04-09 Light Cars Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Nissan Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Subaru Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Charade Charade Charade Pyzar Sirion / Storia Mira Matiz Kalos Festiva WD/WH/WF Ka Barina XC Barina SB Barina TK Getz / TB Mirage / Colt Colt Festiva WA / 121 121 / Autozam Review 121 Metro / Demio 2 2 Micra Jazz / Fit City 205 206 Sherpa / Fiori / 700 / Rex Swift Barina / Swift / Cultus Barina / Swift / Cultus Hatch / Alto 82-86 88-92 93-00 97-01 98-04 90-96 99-04 03-04 94-01 99-02 01-06 95-00 05-09 02-09 82-88 04-09 87-90 94-96 97-02 02-07 07-09 95-97 02-08 83-86 87-94 99-07 89-92 82-85 86-88 89-99 82-84 Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 20.05 22.19 21.71 21.31 21.86 21.12 28.75 16.31 21.74 27.03 25.30 27.46 28.10 16.96 28.60 23.79 17.50 26.44 24.89 18.20 20.53 20.40 19.64 19.08 18.94 21.19 9.73 13.86 17.50 19.40 17.88 15.35 10.33 18.83 17.17 13.44 16.58 17.69 22.04 23.94 23.08 23.08 24.92 23.48 37.73 26.07 32.43 39.27 32.27 39.70 45.72 26.59 40.88 31.97 22.47 39.38 33.82 3.84 3.42 2.69 3.44 5.84 4.54 16.54 16.35 18.58 21.77 12.87 21.83 30.37 16.25 22.05 14.81 9.02 22.80 16.13 19.70 19.07 20.34 1.27 21.77 20.12 20.73 28.82 18.49 21.06 23.35 20.27 18.79 17.71 20.28 21.81 16.62 31.25 20.79 24.73 19.02 17.64 19.30 23.53 31.63 21.90 20.93 23.03 16.42 20.37 20.43 22.02 19.34 19.99 25.69 17.47 17.32 17.60 17.72 13.04 15.26 15.99 10.30 16.98 10.46 16.32 19.00 10.68 26.24 18.84 14.38 16.46 13.99 15.41 16.06 16.88 14.75 15.37 17.51 7.43 12.44 14.42 10.51 16.28 18.15 18.35 26.78 23.24 24.25 43.22 25.56 28.34 32.79 36.04 20.73 28.41 24.91 24.90 24.96 36.74 22.88 39.12 21.87 22.00 23.90 33.11 51.31 31.24 27.84 29.67 32.47 31.54 28.11 40.42 22.81 21.96 34.71 9.30 5.92 6.65 25.50 12.52 13.08 16.80 25.74 3.75 17.95 8.59 5.89 14.28 10.50 4.03 24.73 5.41 8.01 8.48 17.05 34.43 16.49 12.47 12.16 25.03 19.11 13.69 29.91 6.52 3.81 16.36 Make Model of Car Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Alto Ignis Swift Starlet Echo Yaris Polo Polo Years of Pr(Severity) Lower 95% Manufacture % Confidence Limit 85-00 00-02 05-09 96-99 99-05 05-09 96-00 02-09 28.33 17.46 19.23 20.36 22.28 19.71 18.62 27.18 19.89 10.59 13.93 17.08 19.22 14.63 11.99 16.11 Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 38.63 27.41 25.93 24.08 25.67 26.02 27.76 42.05 18.74 16.82 12.00 7.00 6.45 11.39 15.77 25.94 AGGRESSIVITY RATINGS (WITH 95% CONFIDENCE LIMITS) New South Wales and Victoria Data (1987-2009), South Australia Data (1995-2009), Queensland, Western Australia and New Zealand Data (1991-2009) Make Model of Car ALL VEHICLE AVERAGE Years of Serious Lower 95% Manufacture injury rate Confidence per 100 Limit drivers involved % 3.53 Compact Sports Utility Vehicles Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi / Peugeot Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Nissan Lada Honda Honda Honda Honda Land Rover Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota 3.18 3.00 3.37 0.37 Feroza / Rocky Rocky / Rugger Terios Cruze Tucson Outlander Outlander / 4007 89-97 85-98 97-05 02-06 04-09 03-06 06-09 4.20 4.98 3.50 3.36 2.11 3.74 1.05 2.95 3.18 2.25 2.06 0.78 2.05 0.24 5.98 7.78 5.45 5.49 5.70 6.82 4.55 3.03 4.60 3.20 3.43 4.92 4.76 4.31 Sportage Sorento Escape / Tribute X-Trail Niva CR-V CR-V HR-V CR-V Freelander Forester Forester Vitara / Escudo Grand Vitara Drover / Sierra / Samurai / SJ410 / SJ413 Jimny Grand Vitara RAV4 RAV4 RAV4 98-03 03-09 01-06 01-07 84-99 97-01 02-06 99-02 07-09 98-06 97-02 02-08 88-98 99-05 82-99 3.72 4.27 3.89 3.66 4.40 3.30 3.19 4.91 4.24 5.28 2.60 3.40 3.84 3.04 3.51 2.54 2.02 2.93 2.85 2.73 2.63 2.39 3.21 2.21 2.84 1.95 2.51 3.19 1.98 2.90 5.43 9.02 5.17 4.70 7.07 4.15 4.26 7.52 8.16 9.83 3.46 4.60 4.63 4.66 4.24 2.89 6.99 2.23 1.86 4.34 1.52 1.86 4.32 5.95 6.99 1.52 2.10 1.43 2.69 1.34 98-09 05-08 94-00 01-06 06-09 4.64 2.17 4.14 4.28 3.12 2.59 0.80 3.46 3.45 1.98 8.32 5.85 4.97 5.32 4.92 5.73 5.05 1.52 1.87 2.94 4.15 3.91 4.41 0.50 Medium Sports Utility Vehicles Daewoo / Ssangong Ford Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval Musso 98-02 4.29 2.46 7.49 5.04 Territory SX/SY Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Frontera / Mu Adventra Captiva CG 04-09 82-91 92-97 98-02 95-03 03-06 06-09 3.96 5.60 4.81 5.90 5.34 3.90 3.91 2.95 4.27 3.55 4.30 3.46 2.11 2.08 5.30 7.35 6.52 8.11 8.24 7.23 7.38 2.35 3.09 2.97 3.82 4.78 5.12 5.30 Make Model of Car Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jeep Jeep Jeep Land Rover Nissan Nissan Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Santa Fe Pajero Pajero Pajero NM / NP / NS Challenger Cherokee XJ Wrangler Cherokee KJ Defender Pathfinder / Terrano Pathfinder / Terrano / Regulus Kluger Landcruiser Prado Landcruiser Prado Kluger Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 00-06 5.98 82-90 5.08 92-99 4.74 00-06 3.93 98-06 2.63 96-00 4.65 96-04 5.27 01-07 3.67 92-09 4.00 88-94 4.99 95-05 4.88 03-07 3.15 96-03 6.27 03-09 5.40 07-09 2.59 Large Sports Utility Vehicles BMW Ford Ford Ford Jeep Jeep Land Rover Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Land Rover Land Rover Toyota Toyota Toyota X5 Bronco Explorer Explorer Grand Cherokee ZG Grand Cherokee WJ/WG Discovery M-Class W163 Patrol / Safari Patrol / Maverick / Safari Patrol / Safari Range Rover Range Rover Landcruiser Landcruiser Landcruiser 01-08 82-87 00-01 01-05 96-99 99-05 91-02 98-05 82-87 88-97 98-09 82-94 95-02 82-89 90-97 98-07 Commercial - Vans Daihatsu Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Kia Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Honda Holden / Suzuki Toyota Toyota Handivan Falcon Panel Van Falcon Panel Van Transit Transit Shuttle / WFR Van Pregio MB100 / MB140 Vito Sprinter Acty Scurry / Carry Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace 82-90 82-95 96-99 95-00 01-07 82-87 02-06 99-04 99-04 98-06 83-86 82-00 82-86 87-89 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 3.89 4.19 4.03 2.84 1.58 3.62 3.42 2.03 2.33 3.81 3.69 1.96 4.82 4.32 1.07 9.19 6.16 5.57 5.44 4.37 5.97 8.11 6.63 6.88 6.54 6.45 5.08 8.16 6.75 6.25 5.30 1.97 1.54 2.60 2.79 2.34 4.69 4.60 4.55 2.73 2.76 3.12 3.34 2.43 5.18 5.11 4.91 5.32 0.41 3.03 6.97 4.38 3.24 4.32 4.44 3.64 3.46 6.64 5.39 5.65 6.35 4.11 6.65 6.37 5.84 1.76 3.97 2.72 1.76 2.68 2.89 2.75 2.00 5.37 4.87 4.96 4.68 2.16 6.04 5.88 5.21 5.22 12.26 7.04 5.98 6.98 6.82 4.83 6.01 8.20 5.97 6.44 8.61 7.83 7.33 6.90 6.54 3.46 8.29 4.32 4.23 4.30 3.93 2.08 4.01 2.84 1.10 1.48 3.93 5.67 1.30 1.01 1.32 4.55 4.33 4.79 0.45 2.72 3.94 4.70 4.02 4.18 3.99 5.16 4.83 5.26 5.71 1.71 2.79 5.91 5.93 1.74 3.28 3.08 2.94 3.03 2.45 3.54 2.99 3.49 3.90 0.73 1.60 5.17 5.04 4.25 4.72 7.19 5.50 5.76 6.49 7.52 7.81 7.94 8.38 4.03 4.88 6.76 6.99 2.52 1.44 4.11 2.56 2.73 4.03 3.98 4.82 4.45 4.48 3.30 3.28 1.59 1.96 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace Caravelle / Transporter Caravelle / Transporter Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 90-95 5.93 96-04 5.52 05-09 4.51 88-94 4.86 95-04 6.78 Commercial - Utes Ford / Nissan Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Subaru Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Falcon Ute / XFN Ute Falcon Ute Falcon Ute AU Falcon Ute BA/BF Ford F-Series F-Series Commodore Ute VG/VP Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo Rodeo WB Series Commodore Ute VR/VS Commodore VU Ute Commodore VY/VZ Ute Rodeo Triton MK Triton ML / MN Ceres Courier / B-Series / Bounty Courier / Bravo / Bounty Ranger / BT-50 720 Ute Navara Navara Navara Navara Brumby Mighty Boy 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux Hilux Hilux Hilux 82-95 96-99 00-02 03-08 82-92 01-06 90-93 82-85 86-88 89-95 96-98 99-02 82-85 94-00 00-02 02-07 03-08 96-06 06-09 92-00 98-02 03-06 06-09 82-85 86-91 92-96 97-05 05-09 82-92 85-88 82-85 86-88 89-97 98-02 03-04 05-09 Large Cars BMW BMW BMW Ford 7 Series E23 7 Series E32 7 Series E38 Falcon XE/XF 82-86 87-94 95-01 82-88 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 5.28 4.88 3.23 2.44 4.93 6.66 6.24 6.31 9.67 9.32 1.37 1.36 3.08 7.22 4.40 4.15 4.02 4.27 0.25 4.47 4.48 5.17 3.84 6.32 5.72 3.21 4.86 4.73 5.41 4.66 5.27 4.89 4.65 4.31 4.83 5.01 4.38 2.13 3.53 4.28 3.41 4.09 3.70 4.89 4.92 4.64 5.77 4.15 2.19 5.50 5.25 4.84 5.23 4.74 4.43 4.01 3.60 4.34 3.08 4.88 3.40 2.41 3.41 2.91 4.83 3.90 4.47 3.86 4.12 3.37 4.13 4.24 3.22 0.93 2.49 3.45 2.57 2.63 2.80 4.22 4.03 3.89 3.96 3.11 1.08 4.78 4.56 4.51 4.64 3.77 3.66 4.99 5.56 6.15 4.79 8.20 9.64 4.27 6.93 7.68 6.07 5.57 6.23 6.19 5.26 5.51 5.66 5.92 5.96 4.91 5.00 5.31 4.53 6.34 4.88 5.66 6.00 5.54 8.40 5.53 4.42 6.32 6.05 5.20 5.90 5.95 5.35 0.97 1.96 1.80 1.72 3.32 6.24 1.85 3.52 4.78 1.23 1.67 1.76 2.32 1.13 2.14 1.53 1.68 2.74 3.98 2.51 1.85 1.96 3.71 2.07 1.45 1.97 1.66 4.43 2.41 3.34 1.53 1.49 0.70 1.26 2.18 1.69 3.39 3.33 3.46 0.13 2.33 4.66 5.17 4.18 0.92 2.52 2.57 3.96 5.87 8.61 10.42 4.40 4.95 6.08 7.85 0.44 Make Model of Car Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % Ford Fairlane Z & LTD F 82-87 4.04 Ford Falcon EA / Falcon EB Series I 88-Mar 92 4.12 Ford Falcon EB Series II / Falcon ED Apr 92-94 4.15 Ford Fairlane N & LTD D 88-94 3.58 Ford Fairlane N & LTD D 95-98 4.41 Ford Fairlane & LTD AU 99-02 3.07 Ford Fairlane & LTD BA/BF 03-07 3.46 Ford Falcon FG 08-09 2.06 Ford Falcon EF/EL 94-98 4.13 Ford Falcon AU 98-02 4.04 Ford Taurus 96-98 3.96 Ford Falcon BA/BF 02-08 3.99 Holden / Toyota Commodore VN/VP / Lexcen 89-93 3.63 Holden Statesman/Caprice WB 82-85 8.09 Holden Stateman/Caprice VQ 90-93 3.88 Holden Stateman/Caprice VR/VS 94-98 3.72 Holden / Toyota Commodore VR/VS / Lexcen 93-97 3.68 Holden Commodore VT/VX 97-02 4.25 Holden Statesman/Caprice WH 99-03 4.83 Holden Commodore VY/VZ 02-07 3.53 Holden Monaro 01-05 4.45 Holden Statesman/Caprice WK/WL 03-06 4.33 Holden Commodore VB-VL 82-88 3.90 Holden Commodore VE 06-09 4.37 Hyundai Sonata 89-97 3.95 Hyundai Grandeaur / XG 99-00 5.00 Mitsubishi Magna TM/TN/TP / Sigma / 85-90 3.76 V3000 Mitsubishi Magna TE/TF/TH/TJ / Verada 96-03 3.61 KE/KF/KH/KJ / Diamante Mitsubishi Magna TR/TS / Verada KR/KS / 91-96 3.82 V3000 / Diamante Mitsubishi Magna TL/TW / Verada KL/KW 03-05 3.72 Mitsubishi 380 05-08 3.19 Jaguar XJ6 82-86 5.62 Jaguar XJ6 87-94 4.27 Mazda 929 / Luce 82-90 3.42 Mazda 929 / Sentia / Efini MS-9 92-96 6.00 Mercedes Benz E-Class W123 82-85 3.54 Mercedes Benz E-Class W124 86-94 3.58 Mercedes Benz E-Class W210 96-02 3.92 Mercedes Benz S-Class W126 82-92 2.52 Mercedes Benz S-Class C140 93-98 3.84 Mercedes Benz E-Class W211 02-09 4.10 Nissan Skyline 83-88 4.21 Nissan 300ZX / Fairlady Z 90-95 5.56 Nissan Maxima 90-94 4.25 Nissan Maxima / Cefiro 95-99 2.95 Nissan Maxima 00-02 3.75 Nissan Maxima 06-09 3.48 Honda Legend 86-95 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 3.49 3.90 3.84 3.04 3.51 2.16 2.06 1.07 3.91 3.77 2.54 3.65 3.44 3.88 2.50 3.12 3.48 4.02 3.68 3.18 3.17 2.73 3.69 3.65 3.30 2.77 3.49 4.67 4.36 4.49 4.21 5.53 4.37 5.81 3.97 4.36 4.33 6.18 4.37 3.82 16.87 6.02 4.45 3.88 4.50 6.33 3.90 6.25 6.87 4.13 5.23 4.72 9.03 4.04 1.18 0.45 0.65 1.17 2.02 2.20 3.75 2.90 0.45 0.56 3.65 0.72 0.38 12.99 3.52 1.33 0.40 0.48 2.65 0.72 3.08 4.14 0.45 1.58 1.42 6.26 0.55 3.32 3.94 0.63 3.56 4.10 0.54 2.72 1.93 3.40 2.57 2.80 3.41 2.08 2.62 2.64 1.64 1.92 2.20 3.67 3.72 3.21 2.23 2.52 2.14 4.99 5.09 5.28 9.30 7.11 4.18 10.57 6.02 4.88 5.81 3.88 7.69 7.62 4.83 8.30 5.62 3.88 5.57 5.67 3.62 2.37 3.35 5.90 4.54 1.38 7.16 3.93 2.26 3.18 2.24 5.77 5.42 1.15 4.59 2.41 1.65 3.05 3.53 6.88 Make Model of Car Saab Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Lexus Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo 9-5 Camry Crown / Cressida / Mark II Crown / Cressida / Mark II Cressida / Mark II Supra ES300 / Windom LS400 / Celsior Avalon Camry Aurion Camry 850/S70/V70/C70 700/900 Series Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 98-05 1.57 98-02 3.85 82-85 4.53 86-88 3.64 89-93 2.45 82-90 5.94 92-01 3.04 90-00 4.46 00-05 4.82 02-06 3.63 06-09 3.31 06-09 3.16 92-99 4.91 84-92 3.64 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 0.62 3.53 3.63 2.48 1.85 4.01 1.98 2.39 4.01 3.13 2.03 2.22 3.90 2.80 3.96 4.21 5.65 5.34 3.25 8.79 4.67 8.33 5.80 4.21 5.40 4.51 6.18 4.73 3.34 0.68 2.02 2.85 1.40 4.79 2.69 5.95 1.79 1.08 3.36 2.29 2.28 1.93 2.98 2.91 3.06 0.15 99-06 95-01 01-08 97-03 03-09 05-09 82-91 92-98 99-06 82-88 89-95 96-03 00-09 95-97 97-02 82-82 95-01 94-98 99-03 94-97 82-89 97-03 03-05 98-01 02-05 82-84 1.66 3.09 3.31 3.55 3.99 4.69 2.97 3.27 3.00 4.22 3.86 2.99 3.47 3.51 4.65 3.82 3.45 5.74 2.53 4.59 3.74 3.64 3.42 3.13 3.43 3.50 0.78 2.07 2.15 1.72 1.84 2.79 2.43 2.79 2.38 2.95 2.78 1.99 1.53 2.35 3.20 3.17 2.82 3.24 1.52 3.01 3.40 3.06 2.05 2.08 1.53 3.17 3.54 4.62 5.08 7.33 8.68 7.87 3.63 3.83 3.78 6.06 5.38 4.48 7.87 5.24 6.74 4.61 4.21 10.19 4.21 6.99 4.12 4.34 5.73 4.69 7.70 3.86 2.76 2.54 2.93 5.61 6.84 5.08 1.20 1.04 1.40 3.11 2.61 2.49 6.34 2.89 3.53 1.44 1.39 6.95 2.69 3.99 0.73 1.28 3.68 2.61 6.17 0.69 95-96 83-86 88-91 92-97 3.02 3.26 3.49 2.76 2.34 2.92 3.09 2.40 3.90 3.64 3.94 3.18 1.56 0.71 0.85 0.78 98-02 82-85 3.34 4.99 2.66 3.19 4.19 7.81 1.53 4.62 Medium Cars Alfa Romeo Audi Audi BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW Chrysler Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda 156 A4 A4 Z3 E36 5 Series E60 / E61 3 Series E90 / E91 3 Series E30 3 Series E36 3 Series E46 5 Series E28 5 Series E34 5 Series E39 PT Cruiser Espero Leganza Cortina Mondeo Probe Cougar Calibra Camira Vectra Vectra ZC Sonata Sonata EF Sigma / Galant / Sapporo / Lambda Galant Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella / Cronos 626 RX7 Make Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Renault Saab Saab Saab Saab Subaru Model of Car RX7 Eunos 500 6 RX8 C-Class W201 C-Class W202 CLK C208 C-Class W203 CLK C209 Pintara Pintara / Corsair / Bluebird Bluebird Bluebird 200SX / Silvia Accord Euro Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Prelude Prelude Prelude Prelude 405 505 406 Feugo 900 Series 900/9-3 9000 9-3 1800 / Leone / Omega / 4WD Wagon Subaru Liberty / Legacy Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback Toyota Corona Toyota Camry Holden / Toyota Apollo JK/JL / Camry / Vista Holden / Toyota Apollo JM/JP / Camry / Sceptor Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Lexus IS200 / IS300 Lexus IS250 / IS F Volvo 200 Series Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 86-91 3.95 93-99 3.17 02-07 2.33 03-09 3.23 87-93 3.44 95-00 2.70 97-03 2.72 00-07 2.83 03-09 2.96 86-88 3.45 89-92 3.78 82-86 3.24 93-97 2.85 94-02 4.16 03-08 2.60 03-07 3.97 82-85 2.57 86-90 3.51 91-93 3.06 94-98 3.36 99-02 4.24 82-82 1.92 83-91 3.22 92-96 2.99 97-02 3.48 89-97 2.81 82-93 3.74 96-04 1.59 82-87 1.81 82-92 2.18 94-02 2.85 86-97 2.78 03-09 5.64 82-93 2.78 89-93 94-98 99-03 03-09 82-88 83-86 88-92 93-97 81-85 86-89 90-93 94-99 00-05 99-04 05-09 82-93 3.41 4.03 3.41 1.97 3.51 3.43 3.72 3.70 4.04 4.02 4.21 2.98 3.42 3.22 3.73 3.42 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 2.33 1.69 1.72 1.18 2.34 1.96 1.30 1.81 1.30 2.95 3.39 2.90 2.28 2.97 1.88 2.66 2.01 2.89 2.35 2.79 2.98 0.64 2.71 2.26 2.34 1.85 2.35 0.73 0.76 1.39 2.02 1.88 2.82 2.38 6.67 5.95 3.15 8.81 5.06 3.72 5.68 4.41 6.77 4.03 4.23 3.61 3.55 5.84 3.60 5.95 3.29 4.26 3.98 4.05 6.03 5.70 3.83 3.94 5.17 4.26 5.94 3.47 4.31 3.42 4.00 4.11 11.28 3.25 4.33 4.26 1.44 7.63 2.72 1.77 4.38 2.60 5.47 1.08 0.84 0.72 1.26 2.87 1.72 3.29 1.27 1.36 1.63 1.26 3.05 5.06 1.11 1.68 2.84 2.41 3.59 2.74 3.55 2.03 1.98 2.23 8.46 0.86 2.96 3.37 2.76 1.33 3.22 2.82 3.48 3.43 3.28 3.22 3.42 2.17 2.04 1.87 1.49 2.74 3.92 4.80 4.20 2.92 3.82 4.19 3.98 3.98 4.98 5.03 5.19 4.09 5.73 5.54 9.34 4.27 0.95 1.43 1.43 1.59 0.60 1.37 0.49 0.54 1.71 1.81 1.77 1.92 3.69 3.68 7.85 1.52 Make Model of Car Volvo Volkswagen S60 Passat Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 01-09 3.86 98-06 3.92 People Movers Chrysler Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Mazda Mazda Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Voyager Zafira TT Nimbus / Chariot / Spacewagon Nimbus / Chariot Nimbus Starwagon / L300 Starwagon / Delica Starwagon Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Carnival Carnival MPV MPV Prairie Serena Odyssey Odyssey Odyssey Tarago Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago 97-01 01-05 85-91 92-98 99-03 83-86 87-93 95-98 98-03 99-06 06-09 94-99 00-06 84-86 92-95 95-00 00-02 04-09 83-89 91-99 00-06 06-09 Small Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Mini Chrysler Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Fiat Holden Holden Holden 33 75 A3/S3 Mini Cooper Neon Applause 1.5i Cielo Nubira Lanos Lacetti Laser Laser Escort Capri Focus LR Focus LS / LT Regata Gemini Gemini RB Astra TR 83-92 86-92 97-04 02-09 96-99 89-99 94-95 95-97 97-03 97-03 03-04 91-94 95-97 82-82 89-94 02-05 05-09 84-88 82-84 86-87 96-98 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 1.80 2.47 8.28 6.22 6.48 3.74 3.80 3.58 4.02 0.44 4.56 3.07 2.53 3.87 1.93 5.33 4.46 5.44 3.69 5.45 4.57 5.36 3.70 3.27 2.39 4.45 5.74 2.18 4.54 4.15 4.55 2.06 2.81 1.60 1.53 2.79 0.89 4.46 3.91 4.34 2.73 3.96 1.89 3.09 1.67 1.97 1.27 3.21 3.23 1.07 3.88 3.45 3.26 0.78 7.42 5.90 4.19 5.37 4.19 6.38 5.09 6.81 5.00 7.49 11.03 9.31 8.17 5.43 4.47 6.18 10.20 4.45 5.31 5.00 6.33 5.41 4.61 4.30 2.65 2.59 3.30 1.91 1.17 2.47 2.27 3.53 9.14 6.22 6.49 3.46 3.19 2.98 6.97 3.38 1.43 1.56 3.07 4.62 2.59 2.53 2.65 0.12 1.84 5.10 4.15 2.46 2.25 2.67 2.39 2.75 2.95 3.35 3.09 2.93 2.90 2.90 2.90 3.52 3.36 3.68 2.87 2.55 3.08 1.03 2.29 2.42 1.13 1.26 2.09 0.63 2.24 2.35 2.83 1.14 2.65 2.44 2.08 2.15 2.66 2.38 1.71 2.42 1.72 2.25 3.29 11.34 7.11 5.36 4.04 3.40 9.02 3.37 3.69 3.95 8.36 3.24 3.45 4.04 3.92 4.65 4.75 7.90 3.40 3.77 4.23 2.27 9.05 4.69 4.22 2.78 1.31 8.38 1.13 1.33 1.12 7.22 0.59 1.01 1.96 1.77 1.99 2.37 6.18 0.98 2.05 1.98 Make Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Model of Car Astra TS Astra AH Viva JF Excel Excel Excel / Accent Elantra S Coupe Lantra Lantra Coupe Accent Lancer / Mirage CA Lancer / Mirage CB Lancer / Mirage CC Lancer / Mirage CE Cordia Lancer CH / CJ Rio Spectra Cerato LD Rio JB Laser / 323 / Familia 323 / Familia / Lantis 323 / Familia / Lantis Laser / 323 MX5 / Eunos Roadster MX5 / Eunos Roadster Eunos 30X / Presso / MX-3 / Autozam AZ-3 Mazda 3 / Axela Mercedes Benz A-Class W168 Holden / Nissan Astra / Pulsar / Langley Holden / Nissan Astra / Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Stanza Nissan Gazelle / Silvia Nissan Exa Nissan Exa Nissan NX/NX-R Nissan Pulsar Nissan Tiida Honda Civic Honda Civic / Ballade / Shuttle Honda Civic / Shuttle Honda Civic Honda Civic Honda CRX Honda CRX Honda Civic Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 98-06 2.85 04-09 3.41 05-09 2.97 86-90 3.38 90-94 3.07 95-00 3.05 00-06 3.59 90-96 2.53 91-95 3.17 96-00 3.45 96-00 2.83 00-06 3.24 89-90 2.75 91-92 4.01 93-95 2.57 96-03 2.90 83-87 4.50 03-09 3.24 00-05 3.60 01-04 2.60 04-08 2.85 05-09 1.77 82-88 3.02 90-93 2.51 95-98 2.45 99-03 2.54 89-97 2.79 98-05 1.09 90-97 2.93 03-09 98-04 84-86 88-90 92-95 96-99 82-83 84-86 83-86 87-91 91-96 00-05 06-09 82-83 84-87 88-91 92-95 96-00 87-91 92-98 01-05 2.76 2.59 3.43 3.39 3.31 2.94 5.42 3.04 5.37 6.27 4.94 2.45 1.87 2.40 3.34 2.84 3.31 2.70 3.22 4.57 2.89 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 2.52 2.53 1.89 2.75 2.69 2.81 2.79 1.74 2.38 2.90 1.80 2.69 2.35 3.02 2.21 2.63 3.60 2.44 2.83 1.18 1.56 0.95 2.84 2.13 2.05 2.16 1.55 0.43 1.64 3.23 4.58 4.66 4.17 3.51 3.32 4.63 3.69 4.21 4.09 4.44 3.90 3.22 5.35 2.98 3.20 5.64 4.29 4.58 5.72 5.18 3.30 3.21 2.96 2.93 2.98 5.02 2.75 5.26 0.71 2.05 2.77 1.42 0.81 0.51 1.84 1.96 1.83 1.19 2.65 1.21 0.87 2.33 0.77 0.56 2.03 1.85 1.74 4.55 3.61 2.36 0.36 0.82 0.87 0.82 3.47 2.32 3.62 2.24 1.33 3.04 3.07 2.92 2.60 3.37 1.90 3.40 3.57 3.54 2.08 0.82 1.56 2.71 2.40 2.84 2.26 1.98 2.40 2.14 3.39 5.05 3.87 3.74 3.76 3.34 8.72 4.88 8.48 11.00 6.89 2.88 4.29 3.71 4.11 3.36 3.85 3.22 5.24 8.72 3.90 1.15 3.72 0.83 0.68 0.85 0.73 5.35 2.98 5.08 7.43 3.34 0.81 3.47 2.15 1.40 0.96 1.01 0.96 3.26 6.33 1.76 Make Model of Car Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Renault Renault Rover MG Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota / Holden Toyota / Holden Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Civic Integra Integra Integra Integra Concerto 306 307 Wira 19 Scenic Quintet MGF / MG TF Impreza Impreza Baleno / Cultus Crescent Liana Corolla Corolla Corolla / Nova Corolla / Nova Corolla / Allex Corolla Corolla Tercel MR2 MR2 Paseo / Cynos Corolla 4WD Wagon Prius II S40/V40 Golf Golf Golf / Bora New Beetle Golf / Jetta Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 06-09 2.15 86-88 2.27 90-92 4.41 93-01 2.77 02-06 4.09 89-93 3.28 94-01 2.81 01-09 2.01 95-96 3.73 91-96 2.87 01-04 3.03 82-86 1.35 99-05 1.93 93-00 3.68 01-07 2.83 95-02 1.69 01-07 2.37 82-84 2.65 86-88 3.07 89-93 3.12 94-97 2.75 98-01 3.02 02-07 2.88 07-09 4.17 83-88 2.79 87-90 3.09 91-00 3.87 91-99 3.31 92-96 5.83 03-09 2.03 97-04 2.76 82-94 4.29 95-98 3.19 99-04 2.58 00-09 3.52 04-09 3.50 Light Cars Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Holden Holden Charade Charade Charade Pyzar Sirion / Storia Mira Matiz Kalos Festiva WD/WH/WF Ka Barina XC Barina SB 82-86 88-92 93-00 97-01 98-04 90-96 99-04 03-04 94-01 99-02 01-06 95-00 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 1.22 1.48 3.16 1.99 2.09 2.17 2.01 1.13 2.75 1.45 1.40 0.45 0.79 3.16 2.16 1.16 1.21 2.36 2.79 2.90 2.51 2.59 2.55 2.94 1.58 1.66 2.02 2.44 3.71 0.92 1.64 2.47 2.21 1.92 2.00 2.38 3.79 3.49 6.14 3.84 8.01 4.94 3.92 3.55 5.07 5.67 6.57 4.08 4.69 4.30 3.70 2.48 4.61 2.99 3.37 3.36 3.03 3.52 3.26 5.92 4.91 5.73 7.41 4.47 9.16 4.47 4.64 7.44 4.61 3.46 6.18 5.16 2.58 2.01 2.98 1.85 5.92 2.77 1.91 2.41 2.32 4.22 5.17 3.63 3.90 1.14 1.54 1.32 3.40 0.63 0.57 0.46 0.52 0.93 0.71 2.98 3.33 4.07 5.40 2.03 5.45 3.55 2.99 4.96 2.41 1.54 4.18 2.78 2.30 2.22 2.39 0.17 2.85 2.36 2.81 2.94 1.90 2.56 2.92 2.56 2.72 2.25 2.94 2.93 2.17 1.99 2.35 1.62 1.29 1.72 1.93 1.26 2.43 1.26 2.31 2.52 3.75 2.80 3.36 5.34 2.79 3.80 4.42 5.21 3.04 4.03 3.74 3.42 1.58 0.81 1.01 3.72 1.50 2.09 2.49 3.95 0.61 2.77 1.43 0.91 Make Model of Car Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Nissan Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Subaru Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Barina TK Getz / TB Mirage / Colt Colt Festiva WA / 121 121 / Autozam Review 121 Metro / Demio 2 2 Micra Jazz / Fit City 205 206 Sherpa / Fiori / 700 / Rex Swift Barina / Swift / Cultus Barina / Swift / Cultus Hatch / Alto Alto Ignis Swift Starlet Echo Yaris Polo Polo Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 05-09 1.94 02-09 4.68 82-88 3.03 04-09 2.36 87-90 2.58 94-96 2.04 97-02 2.27 02-07 2.57 07-09 4.05 95-97 2.87 02-08 2.40 83-86 2.40 87-94 1.65 99-07 2.48 89-92 2.34 82-85 3.19 86-88 2.53 89-99 2.44 82-84 3.41 85-00 4.34 00-02 2.39 05-09 2.74 96-99 2.46 99-05 2.59 05-09 2.31 96-00 2.11 02-09 4.26 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 1.21 3.83 2.70 1.16 2.19 1.59 1.76 1.68 2.08 1.87 1.69 1.41 0.65 1.44 1.50 1.36 2.07 2.19 2.26 2.58 1.38 1.93 2.02 2.19 1.68 1.26 2.39 3.10 5.72 3.40 4.81 3.03 2.64 2.91 3.94 7.89 4.40 3.40 4.07 4.19 4.27 3.63 7.48 3.10 2.72 5.14 7.29 4.13 3.89 3.00 3.06 3.20 3.53 7.62 1.88 1.89 0.70 3.65 0.84 1.05 1.15 2.26 5.80 2.53 1.71 2.65 3.55 2.83 2.13 6.12 1.04 0.53 2.88 4.70 2.75 1.96 0.98 0.88 1.52 2.27 5.23 AGGRESSIVITY RATINGS (WITH 90% CONFIDENCE LIMITS) New South Wales and Victoria Data (1987-2009), South Australia Data (1995-2009), Queensland, Western Australia and New Zealand Data (1991-2009) Make Model of Car ALL VEHICLE AVERAGE Years of Serious Lower 90% Manufacture injury rate Confidence per 100 Limit drivers involved % 3.53 Compact Sports Utility Vehicles Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi / Peugeot Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Nissan Lada Honda Honda Honda Honda Land Rover Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota 3.18 3.03 3.34 0.31 Feroza / Rocky Rocky / Rugger Terios Cruze Tucson Outlander Outlander / 4007 89-97 85-98 97-05 02-06 04-09 03-06 06-09 4.20 4.98 3.50 3.36 2.11 3.74 1.05 3.12 3.42 2.42 2.23 0.92 2.27 0.31 5.65 7.24 5.07 5.07 4.85 6.18 3.58 2.52 3.81 2.65 2.83 3.93 3.91 3.27 Sportage Sorento Escape / Tribute X-Trail Niva CR-V CR-V HR-V CR-V Freelander Forester Forester Vitara / Escudo Grand Vitara Drover / Sierra / Samurai / SJ410 / SJ413 Jimny Grand Vitara RAV4 RAV4 RAV4 98-03 03-09 01-06 01-07 84-99 97-01 02-06 99-02 07-09 98-06 97-02 02-08 88-98 99-05 82-99 3.72 4.27 3.89 3.66 4.40 3.30 3.19 4.91 4.24 5.28 2.60 3.40 3.84 3.04 3.51 2.71 2.29 3.07 2.96 2.95 2.73 2.51 3.44 2.46 3.14 2.04 2.63 3.29 2.12 3.00 5.11 7.98 4.93 4.51 6.54 3.99 4.06 7.02 7.33 8.88 3.30 4.38 4.49 4.35 4.11 2.40 5.69 1.86 1.55 3.59 1.27 1.55 3.58 4.88 5.74 1.26 1.75 1.20 2.23 1.12 98-09 05-08 94-00 01-06 06-09 4.64 2.17 4.14 4.28 3.12 2.85 0.94 3.56 3.57 2.13 7.57 4.97 4.83 5.13 4.57 4.72 4.03 1.27 1.56 2.43 4.15 3.95 4.36 0.42 Medium Sports Utility Vehicles Daewoo / Ssangong Ford Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Upper 90% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval Musso 98-02 4.29 2.69 6.84 4.15 Territory SX/SY Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Frontera / Mu Adventra Captiva CG 04-09 82-91 92-97 98-02 95-03 03-06 06-09 3.96 5.60 4.81 5.90 5.34 3.90 3.91 3.10 4.46 3.73 4.52 3.71 2.33 2.30 5.06 7.03 6.20 7.70 7.67 6.54 6.65 1.96 2.57 2.48 3.18 3.96 4.21 4.35 Make Model of Car Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jeep Jeep Jeep Land Rover Nissan Nissan Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Santa Fe Pajero Pajero Pajero NM / NP / NS Challenger Cherokee XJ Wrangler Cherokee KJ Defender Pathfinder / Terrano Pathfinder / Terrano / Regulus Kluger Landcruiser Prado Landcruiser Prado Kluger Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 00-06 5.98 82-90 5.08 92-99 4.74 00-06 3.93 98-06 2.63 96-00 4.65 96-04 5.27 01-07 3.67 92-09 4.00 88-94 4.99 95-05 4.88 03-07 3.15 96-03 6.27 03-09 5.40 07-09 2.59 Large Sports Utility Vehicles BMW Ford Ford Ford Jeep Jeep Land Rover Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Land Rover Land Rover Toyota Toyota Toyota X5 Bronco Explorer Explorer Grand Cherokee ZG Grand Cherokee WJ/WG Discovery M-Class W163 Patrol / Safari Patrol / Maverick / Safari Patrol / Safari Range Rover Range Rover Landcruiser Landcruiser Landcruiser 01-08 82-87 00-01 01-05 96-99 99-05 91-02 98-05 82-87 88-97 98-09 82-94 95-02 82-89 90-97 98-07 Commercial – Vans Daihatsu Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Kia Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Honda Holden / Suzuki Toyota Toyota Handivan Falcon Panel Van Falcon Panel Van Transit Transit Shuttle / WFR Van Pregio MB100 / MB140 Vito Sprinter Acty Scurry / Carry Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace 82-90 82-95 96-99 95-00 01-07 82-87 02-06 99-04 99-04 98-06 83-86 82-00 82-86 87-89 Lower 90% Confidence Limit Upper 90% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 4.17 4.32 4.14 2.99 1.72 3.77 3.67 2.24 2.54 3.98 3.86 2.12 5.03 4.48 1.24 8.56 5.96 5.42 5.16 4.02 5.73 7.56 6.02 6.29 6.26 6.16 4.70 7.81 6.51 5.41 4.39 1.64 1.28 2.16 2.30 1.95 3.89 3.78 3.75 2.28 2.30 2.58 2.79 2.03 4.17 5.11 4.95 5.29 0.34 3.03 6.97 4.38 3.24 4.32 4.44 3.64 3.46 6.64 5.39 5.65 6.35 4.11 6.65 6.37 5.84 1.92 4.35 2.94 1.94 2.90 3.10 2.88 2.18 5.56 4.95 5.07 4.92 2.40 6.13 5.96 5.31 4.77 11.18 6.52 5.41 6.46 6.36 4.61 5.49 7.92 5.87 6.30 8.19 7.05 7.22 6.81 6.42 2.85 6.83 3.58 3.47 3.56 3.26 1.73 3.31 2.37 0.92 1.23 3.27 4.65 1.08 0.85 1.10 4.55 4.37 4.75 0.38 2.72 3.94 4.70 4.02 4.18 3.99 5.16 4.83 5.26 5.71 1.71 2.79 5.91 5.93 1.87 3.38 3.30 3.10 3.19 2.66 3.76 3.24 3.73 4.15 0.84 1.75 5.28 5.17 3.95 4.58 6.71 5.23 5.47 5.99 7.07 7.22 7.43 7.87 3.50 4.46 6.61 6.81 2.08 1.20 3.41 2.13 2.27 3.34 3.31 3.99 3.70 3.72 2.67 2.71 1.33 1.64 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace Caravelle / Transporter Caravelle / Transporter Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 90-95 5.93 96-04 5.52 05-09 4.51 88-94 4.86 95-04 6.78 Commercial - Utes Ford / Nissan Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Subaru Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Falcon Ute / XFN Ute Falcon Ute Falcon Ute AU Falcon Ute BA/BF Ford F-Series F-Series Commodore Ute VG/VP Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo Rodeo WB Series Commodore Ute VR/VS Commodore VU Ute Commodore VY/VZ Ute Rodeo Triton MK Triton ML / MN Ceres Courier / B-Series / Bounty Courier / Bravo / Bounty Ranger / BT-50 720 Ute Navara Navara Navara Navara Brumby Mighty Boy 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux Hilux Hilux Hilux 82-95 96-99 00-02 03-08 82-92 01-06 90-93 82-85 86-88 89-95 96-98 99-02 82-85 94-00 00-02 02-07 03-08 96-06 06-09 92-00 98-02 03-06 06-09 82-85 86-91 92-96 97-05 05-09 82-92 85-88 82-85 86-88 89-97 98-02 03-04 05-09 Large Cars BMW BMW BMW Ford 7 Series E23 7 Series E32 7 Series E38 Falcon XE/XF 82-86 87-94 95-01 82-88 Lower 90% Confidence Limit Upper 90% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 5.38 4.98 3.41 2.73 5.19 6.53 6.11 5.97 8.64 8.85 1.15 1.13 2.56 5.91 3.66 4.15 4.04 4.25 0.21 4.47 4.48 5.17 3.84 6.32 5.72 3.21 4.86 4.73 5.41 4.66 5.27 4.89 4.65 4.31 4.83 5.01 4.38 2.13 3.53 4.28 3.41 4.09 3.70 4.89 4.92 4.64 5.77 4.15 2.19 5.50 5.25 4.84 5.23 4.74 4.43 4.09 3.73 4.47 3.19 5.09 3.70 2.53 3.61 3.15 4.92 4.02 4.59 4.02 4.20 3.50 4.24 4.36 3.39 1.06 2.64 3.57 2.69 2.83 2.93 4.32 4.16 4.00 4.21 3.26 1.21 4.89 4.67 4.56 4.73 3.92 3.78 4.90 5.37 5.98 4.62 7.86 8.85 4.07 6.54 7.10 5.95 5.41 6.06 5.95 5.15 5.29 5.51 5.76 5.67 4.29 4.72 5.12 4.32 5.90 4.66 5.53 5.80 5.39 7.90 5.27 3.94 6.18 5.91 5.14 5.78 5.74 5.19 0.81 1.64 1.51 1.43 2.77 5.15 1.54 2.93 3.95 1.03 1.40 1.47 1.94 0.95 1.79 1.28 1.40 2.28 3.22 2.09 1.55 1.64 3.07 1.73 1.21 1.64 1.38 3.68 2.01 2.73 1.28 1.25 0.58 1.05 1.82 1.41 3.39 3.34 3.45 0.11 2.33 4.66 5.17 4.18 1.08 2.79 2.88 4.00 5.05 7.79 9.30 4.36 3.97 5.00 6.42 0.37 Make Model of Car Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % Ford Fairlane Z & LTD F 82-87 4.04 Ford Falcon EA / Falcon EB Series I 88-Mar 92 4.12 Ford Falcon EB Series II / Falcon ED Apr 92-94 4.15 Ford Fairlane N & LTD D 88-94 3.58 Ford Fairlane N & LTD D 95-98 4.41 Ford Fairlane & LTD AU 99-02 3.07 Ford Fairlane & LTD BA/BF 03-07 3.46 Ford Falcon FG 08-09 2.06 Ford Falcon EF/EL 94-98 4.13 Ford Falcon AU 98-02 4.04 Ford Taurus 96-98 3.96 Ford Falcon BA/BF 02-08 3.99 Holden / Toyota Commodore VN/VP / Lexcen 89-93 3.63 Holden Statesman/Caprice WB 82-85 8.09 Holden Stateman/Caprice VQ 90-93 3.88 Holden Stateman/Caprice VR/VS 94-98 3.72 Holden / Toyota Commodore VR/VS / Lexcen 93-97 3.68 Holden Commodore VT/VX 97-02 4.25 Holden Statesman/Caprice WH 99-03 4.83 Holden Commodore VY/VZ 02-07 3.53 Holden Monaro 01-05 4.45 Holden Statesman/Caprice WK/WL 03-06 4.33 Holden Commodore VB-VL 82-88 3.90 Holden Commodore VE 06-09 4.37 Hyundai Sonata 89-97 3.95 Hyundai Grandeaur / XG 99-00 5.00 Mitsubishi Magna TM/TN/TP / Sigma / 85-90 3.76 V3000 Mitsubishi Magna TE/TF/TH/TJ / Verada 96-03 3.61 KE/KF/KH/KJ / Diamante Mitsubishi Magna TR/TS / Verada KR/KS / 91-96 3.82 V3000 / Diamante Mitsubishi Magna TL/TW / Verada KL/KW 03-05 3.72 Mitsubishi 380 05-08 3.19 Jaguar XJ6 82-86 5.62 Jaguar XJ6 87-94 4.27 Mazda 929 / Luce 82-90 3.42 Mazda 929 / Sentia / Efini MS-9 92-96 6.00 Mercedes Benz E-Class W123 82-85 3.54 Mercedes Benz E-Class W124 86-94 3.58 Mercedes Benz E-Class W210 96-02 3.92 Mercedes Benz S-Class W126 82-92 2.52 Mercedes Benz S-Class C140 93-98 3.84 Mercedes Benz E-Class W211 02-09 4.10 Nissan Skyline 83-88 4.21 Nissan 300ZX / Fairlady Z 90-95 5.56 Nissan Maxima 90-94 4.25 Nissan Maxima / Cefiro 95-99 2.95 Nissan Maxima 00-02 3.75 Nissan Maxima 06-09 3.48 Honda Legend 86-95 4.99 Lower 90% Confidence Limit Upper 90% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 3.58 3.94 3.89 3.12 3.64 2.29 2.24 1.19 3.94 3.81 2.73 3.70 3.47 4.37 2.69 3.21 3.51 4.06 3.85 3.24 3.35 2.95 3.72 3.76 3.40 3.05 3.53 4.56 4.32 4.43 4.10 5.33 4.12 5.34 3.57 4.32 4.28 5.75 4.31 3.79 14.96 5.60 4.32 3.85 4.46 6.06 3.84 5.91 6.37 4.09 5.08 4.58 8.20 3.99 0.99 0.38 0.54 0.98 1.69 1.83 3.09 2.38 0.37 0.47 3.02 0.60 0.32 10.59 2.92 1.11 0.33 0.40 2.21 0.60 2.56 3.43 0.37 1.32 1.18 5.15 0.46 3.36 3.89 0.52 3.60 4.05 0.45 2.86 2.09 3.69 2.79 2.90 3.74 2.27 2.76 2.81 1.76 2.15 2.44 3.76 3.97 3.36 2.34 2.69 2.31 3.82 4.84 4.86 8.56 6.54 4.05 9.63 5.52 4.64 5.45 3.61 6.87 6.89 4.72 7.78 5.36 3.71 5.22 5.23 6.53 1.98 2.77 4.88 3.75 1.15 5.90 3.25 1.88 2.64 1.85 4.72 4.45 0.96 3.81 2.01 1.38 2.53 2.92 2.72 Make Model of Car Saab Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Lexus Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo 9-5 Camry Crown / Cressida / Mark II Crown / Cressida / Mark II Cressida / Mark II Supra ES300 / Windom LS400 / Celsior Avalon Camry Aurion Camry 850/S70/V70/C70 700/900 Series Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 98-05 1.57 98-02 3.85 82-85 4.53 86-88 3.64 89-93 2.45 82-90 5.94 92-01 3.04 90-00 4.46 00-05 4.82 02-06 3.63 06-09 3.31 06-09 3.16 92-99 4.91 84-92 3.64 Lower 90% Confidence Limit Upper 90% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 0.72 3.58 3.77 2.64 1.94 4.27 2.13 2.64 4.13 3.21 2.20 2.35 4.05 2.92 3.41 4.15 5.45 5.01 3.10 8.25 4.36 7.53 5.62 4.11 4.98 4.25 5.95 4.53 2.68 0.57 1.69 2.37 1.17 3.98 2.23 4.88 1.49 0.91 2.78 1.91 1.90 1.61 2.98 2.92 3.04 0.12 99-06 95-01 01-08 97-03 03-09 05-09 82-91 92-98 99-06 82-88 89-95 96-03 00-09 95-97 97-02 82-82 95-01 94-98 99-03 94-97 82-89 97-03 03-05 98-01 02-05 82-84 1.66 3.09 3.31 3.55 3.99 4.69 2.97 3.27 3.00 4.22 3.86 2.99 3.47 3.51 4.65 3.82 3.45 5.74 2.53 4.59 3.74 3.64 3.42 3.13 3.43 3.50 0.88 2.21 2.31 1.94 2.09 3.04 2.51 2.86 2.47 3.12 2.93 2.13 1.75 2.51 3.41 3.27 2.92 3.55 1.65 3.22 3.45 3.15 2.23 2.23 1.74 3.23 3.13 4.32 4.74 6.51 7.64 7.23 3.52 3.73 3.64 5.71 5.10 4.19 6.89 4.91 6.34 4.47 4.08 9.28 3.88 6.53 4.06 4.22 5.27 4.39 6.74 3.80 2.25 2.11 2.43 4.58 5.56 4.20 1.00 0.87 1.17 2.59 2.17 2.07 5.14 2.40 2.93 1.20 1.16 5.73 2.22 3.31 0.61 1.07 3.04 2.16 5.00 0.57 95-96 83-86 88-91 92-97 3.02 3.26 3.49 2.76 2.44 2.98 3.15 2.46 3.74 3.57 3.86 3.11 1.30 0.60 0.71 0.65 98-02 82-85 3.34 4.99 2.76 3.43 4.04 7.26 1.28 3.82 Medium Cars Alfa Romeo Audi Audi BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW Chrysler Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda 156 A4 A4 Z3 E36 5 Series E60 / E61 3 Series E90 / E91 3 Series E30 3 Series E36 3 Series E46 5 Series E28 5 Series E34 5 Series E39 PT Cruiser Espero Leganza Cortina Mondeo Probe Cougar Calibra Camira Vectra Vectra ZC Sonata Sonata EF Sigma / Galant / Sapporo / Lambda Galant Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella / Cronos 626 RX7 Make Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Renault Saab Saab Saab Saab Subaru Model of Car RX7 Eunos 500 6 RX8 C-Class W201 C-Class W202 CLK C208 C-Class W203 CLK C209 Pintara Pintara / Corsair / Bluebird Bluebird Bluebird 200SX / Silvia Accord Euro Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Prelude Prelude Prelude Prelude 405 505 406 Feugo 900 Series 900/9-3 9000 9-3 1800 / Leone / Omega / 4WD Wagon Subaru Liberty / Legacy Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback Subaru Liberty / Legacy / Outback Toyota Corona Toyota Camry Holden / Toyota Apollo JK/JL / Camry / Vista Holden / Toyota Apollo JM/JP / Camry / Sceptor Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Toyota Celica Lexus IS200 / IS300 Lexus IS250 / IS F Volvo 200 Series Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 86-91 3.95 93-99 3.17 02-07 2.33 03-09 3.23 87-93 3.44 95-00 2.70 97-03 2.72 00-07 2.83 03-09 2.96 86-88 3.45 89-92 3.78 82-86 3.24 93-97 2.85 94-02 4.16 03-08 2.60 03-07 3.97 82-85 2.57 86-90 3.51 91-93 3.06 94-98 3.36 99-02 4.24 82-82 1.92 83-91 3.22 92-96 2.99 97-02 3.48 89-97 2.81 82-93 3.74 96-04 1.59 82-87 1.81 82-92 2.18 94-02 2.85 86-97 2.78 03-09 5.64 82-93 2.78 89-93 94-98 99-03 03-09 82-88 83-86 88-92 93-97 81-85 86-89 90-93 94-99 00-05 99-04 05-09 82-93 3.41 4.03 3.41 1.97 3.51 3.43 3.72 3.70 4.04 4.02 4.21 2.98 3.42 3.22 3.73 3.42 Lower 90% Confidence Limit Upper 90% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 2.54 1.88 1.80 1.39 2.49 2.06 1.46 1.95 1.49 3.02 3.45 2.95 2.37 3.13 1.98 2.84 2.09 2.99 2.45 2.87 3.16 0.77 2.79 2.37 2.49 1.98 2.53 0.83 0.88 1.49 2.14 2.00 3.16 2.44 6.12 5.37 3.00 7.48 4.75 3.53 5.04 4.10 5.91 3.93 4.15 3.55 3.42 5.52 3.41 5.57 3.16 4.12 3.81 3.92 5.69 4.77 3.72 3.77 4.85 3.98 5.51 3.05 3.74 3.17 3.79 3.85 10.07 3.17 3.58 3.50 1.20 6.09 2.26 1.47 3.57 2.16 4.43 0.90 0.70 0.60 1.05 2.39 1.43 2.73 1.06 1.14 1.36 1.05 2.54 4.00 0.93 1.40 2.36 2.00 2.97 2.22 2.87 1.68 1.65 1.85 6.92 0.72 3.03 3.47 2.86 1.42 3.27 2.91 3.52 3.48 3.39 3.34 3.54 2.29 2.22 2.04 1.73 2.84 3.83 4.67 4.06 2.74 3.77 4.06 3.93 3.93 4.82 4.85 5.01 3.89 5.27 5.07 8.04 4.12 0.80 1.19 1.20 1.32 0.50 1.15 0.41 0.45 1.42 1.51 1.48 1.60 3.05 3.03 6.31 1.27 Make Model of Car Volvo Volkswagen S60 Passat Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 01-09 3.86 98-06 3.92 People Movers Chrysler Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Mazda Mazda Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Voyager Zafira TT Nimbus / Chariot / Spacewagon Nimbus / Chariot Nimbus Starwagon / L300 Starwagon / Delica Starwagon Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Carnival Carnival MPV MPV Prairie Serena Odyssey Odyssey Odyssey Tarago Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago 97-01 01-05 85-91 92-98 99-03 83-86 87-93 95-98 98-03 99-06 06-09 94-99 00-06 84-86 92-95 95-00 00-02 04-09 83-89 91-99 00-06 06-09 Small Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Mini Chrysler Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Fiat Holden Holden Holden 33 75 A3/S3 Mini Cooper Neon Applause 1.5i Cielo Nubira Lanos Lacetti Laser Laser Escort Capri Focus LR Focus LS / LT Regata Gemini Gemini RB Astra TR 83-92 86-92 97-04 02-09 96-99 89-99 94-95 95-97 97-03 97-03 03-04 91-94 95-97 82-82 89-94 02-05 05-09 84-88 82-84 86-87 96-98 Lower 90% Confidence Limit Upper 90% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 2.04 2.67 7.31 5.77 5.28 3.10 3.80 3.62 3.98 0.37 4.56 3.07 2.53 3.87 1.93 5.33 4.46 5.44 3.69 5.45 4.57 5.36 3.70 3.27 2.39 4.45 5.74 2.18 4.54 4.15 4.55 2.06 3.04 1.78 1.66 2.94 1.01 4.59 4.00 4.50 2.87 4.17 2.18 3.38 1.90 2.14 1.41 3.38 3.55 1.20 3.98 3.55 3.44 0.92 6.86 5.30 3.86 5.09 3.69 6.19 4.98 6.56 4.76 7.11 9.55 8.51 7.18 5.00 4.03 5.86 9.29 3.96 5.18 4.85 6.00 4.62 3.82 3.52 2.19 2.15 2.68 1.60 0.98 2.06 1.89 2.93 7.37 5.13 5.27 2.86 2.62 2.48 5.74 2.76 1.20 1.30 2.55 3.70 2.59 2.54 2.64 0.10 1.84 5.10 4.15 2.46 2.25 2.67 2.39 2.75 2.95 3.35 3.09 2.93 2.90 2.90 2.90 3.52 3.36 3.68 2.87 2.55 3.08 1.13 2.61 2.65 1.29 1.38 2.18 0.79 2.32 2.44 2.91 1.34 2.70 2.51 2.20 2.26 2.79 2.52 1.94 2.49 1.84 2.36 3.00 9.95 6.51 4.72 3.67 3.27 7.26 3.26 3.55 3.85 7.11 3.19 3.36 3.82 3.73 4.44 4.49 6.97 3.31 3.54 4.01 1.87 7.34 3.87 3.43 2.29 1.09 6.47 0.94 1.11 0.94 5.76 0.49 0.85 1.63 1.48 1.66 1.97 5.03 0.82 1.71 1.65 Make Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Model of Car Astra TS Astra AH Viva JF Excel Excel Excel / Accent Elantra S Coupe Lantra Lantra Coupe Accent Lancer / Mirage CA Lancer / Mirage CB Lancer / Mirage CC Lancer / Mirage CE Cordia Lancer CH / CJ Rio Spectra Cerato LD Rio JB Laser / 323 / Familia 323 / Familia / Lantis 323 / Familia / Lantis Laser / 323 MX5 / Eunos Roadster MX5 / Eunos Roadster Eunos 30X / Presso / MX-3 / Autozam AZ-3 Mazda 3 / Axela Mercedes Benz A-Class W168 Holden / Nissan Astra / Pulsar / Langley Holden / Nissan Astra / Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Nissan Stanza Nissan Gazelle / Silvia Nissan Exa Nissan Exa Nissan NX/NX-R Nissan Pulsar Nissan Tiida Honda Civic Honda Civic / Ballade / Shuttle Honda Civic / Shuttle Honda Civic Honda Civic Honda CRX Honda CRX Honda Civic Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 98-06 2.85 04-09 3.41 05-09 2.97 86-90 3.38 90-94 3.07 95-00 3.05 00-06 3.59 90-96 2.53 91-95 3.17 96-00 3.45 96-00 2.83 00-06 3.24 89-90 2.75 91-92 4.01 93-95 2.57 96-03 2.90 83-87 4.50 03-09 3.24 00-05 3.60 01-04 2.60 04-08 2.85 05-09 1.77 82-88 3.02 90-93 2.51 95-98 2.45 99-03 2.54 89-97 2.79 98-05 1.09 90-97 2.93 03-09 98-04 84-86 88-90 92-95 96-99 82-83 84-86 83-86 87-91 91-96 00-05 06-09 82-83 84-87 88-91 92-95 96-00 87-91 92-98 01-05 2.76 2.59 3.43 3.39 3.31 2.94 5.42 3.04 5.37 6.27 4.94 2.45 1.87 2.40 3.34 2.84 3.31 2.70 3.22 4.57 2.89 Lower 90% Confidence Limit Upper 90% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 2.57 2.66 2.04 2.84 2.75 2.85 2.91 1.85 2.50 2.99 1.94 2.77 2.41 3.16 2.27 2.68 3.74 2.56 2.95 1.34 1.72 1.05 2.87 2.19 2.12 2.22 1.70 0.50 1.80 3.16 4.37 4.33 4.03 3.43 3.27 4.44 3.47 4.02 3.98 4.13 3.78 3.14 5.10 2.91 3.15 5.43 4.10 4.40 5.03 4.70 2.98 3.17 2.88 2.84 2.91 4.56 2.37 4.78 0.59 1.71 2.30 1.18 0.68 0.42 1.54 1.63 1.53 0.99 2.19 1.01 0.73 1.94 0.64 0.47 1.70 1.54 1.45 3.69 2.97 1.93 0.30 0.69 0.73 0.68 2.86 1.86 2.98 2.32 1.48 3.10 3.12 2.98 2.65 3.64 2.05 3.66 3.91 3.74 2.13 0.93 1.67 2.80 2.47 2.91 2.33 2.15 2.66 2.25 3.28 4.53 3.79 3.68 3.68 3.27 8.06 4.52 7.87 10.03 6.52 2.81 3.74 3.45 3.97 3.27 3.76 3.13 4.84 7.85 3.72 0.96 3.05 0.70 0.56 0.71 0.61 4.43 2.46 4.21 6.12 2.78 0.67 2.81 1.78 1.17 0.80 0.85 0.80 2.69 5.19 1.47 Make Model of Car Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Renault Renault Rover MG Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota / Holden Toyota / Holden Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Civic Integra Integra Integra Integra Concerto 306 307 Wira 19 Scenic Quintet MGF / MG TF Impreza Impreza Baleno / Cultus Crescent Liana Corolla Corolla Corolla / Nova Corolla / Nova Corolla / Allex Corolla Corolla Tercel MR2 MR2 Paseo / Cynos Corolla 4WD Wagon Prius II S40/V40 Golf Golf Golf / Bora New Beetle Golf / Jetta Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 06-09 2.15 86-88 2.27 90-92 4.41 93-01 2.77 02-06 4.09 89-93 3.28 94-01 2.81 01-09 2.01 95-96 3.73 91-96 2.87 01-04 3.03 82-86 1.35 99-05 1.93 93-00 3.68 01-07 2.83 95-02 1.69 01-07 2.37 82-84 2.65 86-88 3.07 89-93 3.12 94-97 2.75 98-01 3.02 02-07 2.88 07-09 4.17 83-88 2.79 87-90 3.09 91-00 3.87 91-99 3.31 92-96 5.83 03-09 2.03 97-04 2.76 82-94 4.29 95-98 3.19 99-04 2.58 00-09 3.52 04-09 3.50 Light Cars Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Holden Holden Charade Charade Charade Pyzar Sirion / Storia Mira Matiz Kalos Festiva WD/WH/WF Ka Barina XC Barina SB 82-86 88-92 93-00 97-01 98-04 90-96 99-04 03-04 94-01 99-02 01-06 95-00 Lower 90% Confidence Limit Upper 90% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 1.33 1.59 3.34 2.10 2.33 2.32 2.13 1.24 2.89 1.62 1.58 0.54 0.92 3.24 2.26 1.23 1.35 2.40 2.84 2.93 2.54 2.66 2.60 3.11 1.74 1.84 2.24 2.57 4.00 1.05 1.79 2.71 2.34 2.02 2.20 2.53 3.45 3.26 5.82 3.64 7.18 4.62 3.71 3.23 4.82 5.07 5.79 3.40 4.06 4.19 3.54 2.33 4.14 2.93 3.32 3.32 2.98 3.43 3.20 5.59 4.48 5.18 6.67 4.26 8.51 3.93 4.26 6.80 4.34 3.30 5.64 4.84 2.12 1.67 2.48 1.54 4.85 2.30 1.59 1.99 1.93 3.45 4.20 2.87 3.14 0.95 1.29 1.10 2.78 0.53 0.48 0.38 0.43 0.77 0.59 2.48 2.74 3.35 4.42 1.69 4.51 2.88 2.47 4.09 2.00 1.28 3.44 2.31 2.30 2.23 2.37 0.14 2.85 2.36 2.81 2.94 1.90 2.56 2.92 2.56 2.72 2.25 2.94 2.93 2.27 2.05 2.42 1.78 1.38 1.83 2.06 1.42 2.47 1.39 2.40 2.58 3.59 2.72 3.26 4.84 2.62 3.56 4.13 4.64 2.98 3.66 3.60 3.34 1.32 0.68 0.84 3.06 1.25 1.73 2.07 3.22 0.51 2.28 1.19 0.76 Make Model of Car Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Nissan Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Subaru Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Barina TK Getz / TB Mirage / Colt Colt Festiva WA / 121 121 / Autozam Review 121 Metro / Demio 2 2 Micra Jazz / Fit City 205 206 Sherpa / Fiori / 700 / Rex Swift Barina / Swift / Cultus Barina / Swift / Cultus Hatch / Alto Alto Ignis Swift Starlet Echo Yaris Polo Polo Years of Serious Manufacture injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 05-09 1.94 02-09 4.68 82-88 3.03 04-09 2.36 87-90 2.58 94-96 2.04 97-02 2.27 02-07 2.57 07-09 4.05 95-97 2.87 02-08 2.40 83-86 2.40 87-94 1.65 99-07 2.48 89-92 2.34 82-85 3.19 86-88 2.53 89-99 2.44 82-84 3.41 85-00 4.34 00-02 2.39 05-09 2.74 96-99 2.46 99-05 2.59 05-09 2.31 96-00 2.11 02-09 4.26 Lower 90% Confidence Limit Upper 90% Width of Confidence Confidence Limit Interval 1.31 3.96 2.75 1.30 2.25 1.65 1.84 1.80 2.32 2.01 1.79 1.54 0.76 1.57 1.62 1.56 2.14 2.23 2.42 2.81 1.51 2.04 2.09 2.25 1.77 1.37 2.62 2.87 5.54 3.34 4.28 2.95 2.53 2.79 3.68 7.08 4.10 3.21 3.73 3.60 3.91 3.38 6.51 3.00 2.67 4.81 6.69 3.78 3.67 2.91 2.98 3.03 3.25 6.93 1.56 1.58 0.59 2.98 0.70 0.87 0.96 1.88 4.75 2.09 1.42 2.19 2.85 2.33 1.76 4.95 0.87 0.45 2.39 3.88 2.27 1.63 0.82 0.73 1.27 1.88 4.31 APPENDIX 6 TOTAL SECONDARY SAFETY INDEX OF 1982-2009 MODELS OF CARS INVOLVED IN CRASHES DURING 1987-2009 with 90 % CONFIDENCE LIMITS TOTAL SECONDARY SAFETY INDEX (WITH 90% CONFIDENCE LIMITS) Victoria and New South Wales Data (1987-2009), Queensland, Western Australia and New Zealand Data (1991-2009) Make Model of Car Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval ALL VEHICLE AVERAGE 16.87 21.19 3.58 Compact Sports Utility Vehicles 16.65 20.15 3.35 3.25 3.46 0.21 20.57 20.96 22.63 18.53 11.36 16.71 16.37 12.55 18.41 13.59 17.85 14.85 14.43 15.85 19.11 14.33 14.65 16.35 12.64 23.24 28.84 19.27 23.61 24.35 29.13 19.74 8.98 17.71 20.19 36.50 21.06 11.95 20.99 22.63 19.30 17.72 28.23 20.78 4.78 6.04 4.36 4.38 2.77 4.87 3.23 1.13 3.26 2.75 6.52 3.13 1.72 3.33 4.32 2.77 2.60 4.62 2.63 4.00 4.92 3.56 3.56 1.65 2.70 2.26 0.49 2.62 1.78 3.95 2.66 0.86 2.91 3.26 2.41 2.19 3.60 1.76 5.71 7.42 5.35 5.38 4.63 8.78 4.61 2.61 4.06 4.24 10.74 3.68 3.45 3.80 5.73 3.17 3.08 5.91 3.93 1.71 2.50 1.79 1.82 2.98 6.09 2.35 2.12 1.44 2.47 6.79 1.03 2.59 0.90 2.47 0.76 0.89 2.31 2.18 Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi / Peugeot Kia Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Nissan Lada Honda Honda Honda Honda Feroza / Rocky Rocky / Rugger Terios Cruze Tucson Pajero iO Outlander Outlander / 4007 Sportage Sorento Sportage KM Escape / Tribute CX-7 X-Trail Niva CR-V CR-V HR-V CR-V 89-97 85-98 97-05 02-06 04-09 99-03 03-06 06-09 98-03 03-09 05-09 01-06 06-09 01-07 84-99 97-01 02-06 99-02 07-09 Make Model of Car Land Rover Subaru Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Freelander Forester Forester Forester Vitara / Escudo Grand Vitara Drover / Sierra / Samurai / SJ410 / SJ413 Jimny Grand Vitara SX4 RAV4 RAV4 RAV4 Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 98-06 08-09 97-02 02-08 88-98 99-05 82-99 98-09 05-08 07-09 94-00 01-06 06-09 Medium Sports Utility Vehicles Daewoo / Ssangong Ford Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Musso Territory SX/SY Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Jackaroo / Bighorn Frontera / Mu Adventra Captiva CG Santa Fe Terracan Pajero Pajero Pajero NM / NP / NS Pajero NM / NP / NS 98-02 04-09 82-91 92-97 98-02 95-03 03-06 06-09 00-06 01-07 82-90 92-99 00-06 07-09 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 16.11 16.99 14.99 13.68 19.93 16.02 23.37 21.32 15.42 9.86 16.62 15.44 13.07 30.76 20.11 16.95 19.15 22.87 18.89 21.29 20.61 21.42 15.59 22.13 21.52 22.31 4.96 3.42 2.54 2.62 4.56 3.03 4.98 4.39 3.30 1.54 3.68 3.32 2.91 3.53 1.64 2.18 2.21 4.15 2.43 4.56 3.30 2.25 0.65 3.31 2.94 2.28 6.96 7.13 2.96 3.11 5.01 3.76 5.43 5.84 4.85 3.66 4.09 3.76 3.73 3.43 5.50 0.78 0.90 0.86 1.33 0.88 2.54 2.61 3.01 0.78 0.82 1.45 15.28 21.09 3.22 3.11 3.34 0.23 13.12 12.70 21.82 17.50 17.88 17.17 14.60 17.40 17.20 15.15 19.73 16.17 12.62 12.43 33.82 23.28 19.59 21.55 23.83 25.34 17.92 17.36 26.11 26.43 24.48 22.78 21.34 26.89 4.44 2.96 4.27 3.77 4.26 4.35 2.62 3.02 4.49 4.00 4.83 3.68 2.69 3.34 3.25 2.46 3.59 3.12 3.52 3.35 1.71 2.03 3.44 2.48 4.32 3.33 2.20 1.63 6.06 3.56 5.08 4.55 5.16 5.64 4.00 4.50 5.86 6.47 5.40 4.07 3.30 6.85 2.81 1.10 1.49 1.43 1.64 2.29 2.29 2.47 2.41 4.00 1.08 0.74 1.10 5.22 Make Model of Car Mitsubishi Jeep Jeep Jeep Jeep Land Rover Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Toyota Volvo Challenger Cherokee XJ Wrangler Cherokee KJ Wrangler Defender Pathfinder / Terrano Pathfinder / Terrano / Regulus Murano Pathfinder MDX Kluger Landcruiser Prado Landcruiser Prado RX330 Kluger XC 90 Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 98-06 96-00 96-04 01-07 05-09 92-09 88-94 95-05 05-08 05-09 03-06 03-07 96-03 03-09 03-05 07-09 03-09 Large Sports Utility Vehicles BMW Ford Ford Ford Jeep Jeep Land Rover Land Rover Mercedes Benz Nissan X5 Bronco Explorer Explorer Grand Cherokee ZG Grand Cherokee WJ/WG Discovery Discovery M-Class W163 Patrol / Safari 01-08 82-87 00-01 01-05 96-99 99-05 91-02 02-04 98-05 82-87 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 14.87 16.72 19.87 15.31 13.29 15.96 17.49 14.76 13.51 11.36 12.75 14.37 14.83 13.43 11.35 11.59 10.45 18.35 22.03 23.03 17.18 10.87 23.98 20.58 20.95 15.99 4.87 22.94 18.59 23.28 20.95 40.81 16.03 18.68 2.73 3.68 4.58 2.63 1.44 3.83 3.60 3.09 2.16 0.55 2.93 2.67 3.45 2.81 4.63 1.86 1.95 2.06 3.15 3.50 1.81 0.65 2.86 3.02 2.58 1.02 0.21 1.38 2.06 2.93 2.43 3.18 1.02 1.08 3.61 4.30 5.98 3.83 3.21 5.13 4.29 3.70 4.57 1.45 6.21 3.47 4.08 3.26 6.76 3.39 3.53 1.55 1.15 2.48 2.02 2.56 2.27 1.26 1.11 3.55 1.24 4.83 1.41 1.15 0.84 3.58 2.37 2.44 15.52 23.39 3.63 3.54 3.72 0.18 10.70 21.06 19.06 13.54 15.53 12.28 14.49 14.08 13.03 18.80 17.96 30.03 23.06 18.27 19.90 23.87 19.93 16.30 16.04 25.71 1.92 6.32 4.40 2.47 3.09 2.93 2.89 2.30 2.09 4.83 1.30 4.45 3.45 1.73 2.24 2.17 2.42 1.08 1.45 4.20 2.83 8.98 5.61 3.54 4.27 3.95 3.44 4.90 3.00 5.56 1.53 4.53 2.16 1.80 2.03 1.78 1.02 3.82 1.55 1.36 Make Model of Car Nissan / Ford Nissan Land Rover Land Rover Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Patrol / Maverick / Safari Patrol / Safari Range Rover Range Rover Landcruiser Landcruiser Landcruiser Landcruiser 200 Series Touareg Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 88-97 98-09 82-94 95-02 82-89 90-97 98-07 07-09 03-09 Commercial - Vans Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Kia Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Honda Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Handivan Hi-Jet Handivan / Cuore Falcon Panel Van Falcon Panel Van Transit Transit Shuttle / WFR Van Pregio MB100 / MB140 Vito Sprinter Acty Scurry / Carry Carry Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace Hiace/Liteace 82-90 82-90 99-03 82-95 96-99 95-00 01-07 82-87 02-06 99-04 99-04 98-06 83-86 82-00 99-05 82-86 87-89 90-95 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 16.03 14.32 18.13 13.66 18.85 16.86 15.13 12.21 14.71 23.43 24.15 22.44 19.12 27.56 25.67 23.90 14.70 32.13 3.76 3.46 4.07 2.61 5.20 4.33 3.62 1.80 4.73 3.51 3.17 3.36 1.70 4.89 4.11 3.37 0.75 2.70 4.02 3.77 4.92 4.01 5.52 4.56 3.89 4.28 8.29 0.51 0.61 1.56 2.31 0.63 0.45 0.52 3.52 5.59 18.12 21.65 3.92 3.81 4.04 0.24 26.96 34.51 21.82 17.79 16.05 17.75 13.89 22.35 20.04 15.02 15.26 17.44 15.87 28.21 18.14 22.07 21.38 20.24 25.37 25.04 19.45 21.58 23.00 19.37 17.40 21.90 21.57 23.12 21.05 21.72 18.88 25.28 20.49 25.74 24.30 24.06 6.84 8.64 4.24 3.84 3.69 3.44 2.42 4.90 4.32 3.47 3.21 3.79 3.00 7.13 3.72 5.68 5.20 4.87 5.74 6.34 2.73 3.44 2.79 2.82 1.92 3.79 3.42 2.49 2.40 2.93 2.07 5.81 2.05 5.26 4.71 4.52 8.15 11.79 6.60 4.29 4.89 4.19 3.05 6.32 5.46 4.84 4.30 4.90 4.34 8.76 6.72 6.13 5.74 5.25 2.40 5.45 3.87 0.85 2.10 1.38 1.13 2.52 2.04 2.35 1.89 1.97 2.28 2.95 4.67 0.87 1.03 0.73 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Hiace/Liteace Hiace Caravelle / Transporter Caravelle / Transporter Transporter Caddy Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 96-04 05-09 88-94 95-04 04-09 05-09 Commercial - Utes Ford / Nissan Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Falcon Ute / XFN Ute Falcon Ute Falcon Ute AU Falcon Ute BA/BF Ford F-Series F-Series Commodore Ute VG/VP Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo / Pickup Rodeo Rodeo WB Series Commodore Ute VR/VS Commodore VU Ute Commodore VY/VZ Ute Rodeo Commodore VE Ute Colorado RC Triton MK Triton ML / MN 82-95 96-99 00-02 03-08 82-92 01-06 90-93 82-85 86-88 89-95 96-98 99-02 82-85 94-00 00-02 02-07 03-08 07-09 08-09 96-06 06-09 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 17.44 17.03 17.03 18.99 13.63 19.26 21.78 21.95 21.42 19.57 33.19 22.53 3.80 3.74 3.65 3.72 4.52 4.34 3.49 3.04 2.39 2.94 2.58 2.32 4.13 4.60 5.57 4.69 7.92 8.12 0.64 1.57 3.18 1.75 5.34 5.80 16.19 22.17 3.59 3.53 3.65 0.13 17.93 17.62 16.46 14.65 18.34 13.79 17.03 19.02 20.03 18.62 17.55 16.91 17.91 17.03 14.69 14.89 16.51 14.43 18.66 15.76 14.03 23.14 20.77 22.08 19.91 24.29 23.89 23.25 24.90 18.50 25.96 21.75 24.08 28.38 24.96 23.80 22.90 20.52 22.45 24.45 19.60 11.16 4.15 3.66 3.64 2.92 4.45 3.29 3.96 4.74 3.71 4.83 3.82 4.07 5.08 4.25 3.50 3.41 3.39 3.24 4.56 3.09 1.57 3.90 3.22 3.25 2.56 3.71 2.31 3.44 3.87 2.69 4.52 3.43 3.69 4.46 3.97 3.06 3.10 3.05 1.94 2.16 2.54 0.96 4.42 4.16 4.06 3.33 5.34 4.70 4.56 5.80 5.10 5.17 4.25 4.50 5.79 4.54 3.99 3.74 3.76 5.41 9.63 3.76 2.56 0.52 0.94 0.81 0.77 1.63 2.39 1.12 1.93 2.41 0.66 0.82 0.81 1.33 0.57 0.93 0.64 0.71 3.47 7.47 1.23 1.61 Make Model of Car Kia Kia Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Proton Subaru Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Ceres K2700 Courier / B-Series / Bounty Courier / Bravo / Bounty Ranger / BT-50 720 Ute Navara Navara Navara Navara Jumbuck Brumby Mighty Boy 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux 4Runner/Hilux Hilux Hilux Hilux Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 92-00 02-08 98-02 03-06 06-09 82-85 86-91 92-96 97-05 05-09 03-09 82-92 85-88 82-85 86-88 89-97 98-02 03-04 05-09 Large Cars BMW BMW BMW Chrysler Ford Ford Ford Ford 7 Series E23 7 Series E32 7 Series E38 300C Falcon XE/XF Fairlane Z & LTD F Falcon EA / Falcon EB Series I Falcon EB Series II / Falcon ED 82-86 87-94 95-01 06-09 82-88 82-87 88-Mar 92 Apr 92-94 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 18.46 14.36 15.66 16.84 15.28 18.67 17.76 17.59 14.17 14.01 14.68 19.69 28.84 19.09 18.35 17.55 16.08 15.47 14.13 26.69 28.89 22.28 18.90 17.99 20.63 23.61 23.07 23.57 26.88 18.41 27.63 23.97 25.17 25.32 23.96 22.30 21.18 20.98 4.93 4.15 3.49 3.18 2.75 3.85 4.19 4.06 3.34 3.76 2.70 5.44 6.91 4.81 4.65 4.20 3.59 3.28 2.96 4.18 2.64 3.07 2.72 2.09 3.32 3.83 3.59 2.98 2.94 1.44 4.81 5.53 4.46 4.29 4.03 3.33 2.85 2.64 5.80 6.51 3.97 3.73 3.61 4.47 4.58 4.59 3.74 4.83 5.08 6.15 8.65 5.18 5.03 4.38 3.87 3.76 3.34 1.62 3.87 0.89 1.01 1.52 1.15 0.75 1.00 0.76 1.89 3.64 1.33 3.12 0.73 0.73 0.36 0.54 0.91 0.70 16.34 20.81 3.40 3.36 3.44 0.07 15.06 17.31 16.33 13.68 18.42 17.98 17.89 17.09 19.19 25.57 17.97 16.17 23.41 23.31 22.72 22.66 2.89 4.42 2.94 2.21 4.31 4.19 4.06 3.87 1.75 3.20 1.80 0.96 4.18 3.87 3.93 3.70 4.78 6.12 4.78 5.10 4.45 4.53 4.20 4.05 3.03 2.93 2.98 4.14 0.26 0.66 0.27 0.35 Make Model of Car Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane & LTD AU Fairlane & LTD BA/BF Falcon FG Falcon EF/EL Falcon AU Taurus Falcon BA/BF Commodore VN/VP / Lexcen Statesman/Caprice WB Stateman/Caprice VQ Stateman/Caprice VR/VS Commodore VR/VS / Lexcen Commodore VT/VX Statesman/Caprice WH Commodore VY/VZ Monaro Statesman/Caprice WK/WL Commodore VB-VL Commodore VE Statesman/Caprice WM Sonata Grandeaur / XG Magna TM/TN/TP / Sigma / V3000 Magna TE/TF/TH/TJ / Verada KE/KF/KH/KJ / Diamante Magna TR/TS / Verada KR/KS / V3000 / Diamante Magna TL/TW / Verada KL/KW 380 Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 88-94 95-98 99-02 03-07 08-09 94-98 98-02 96-98 02-08 89-93 82-85 90-93 94-98 93-97 97-02 99-03 02-07 01-05 03-06 82-88 06-09 06-09 89-97 99-00 85-90 96-03 15.42 16.60 15.92 13.93 10.87 17.16 16.77 18.42 15.23 17.72 19.37 16.10 15.96 16.85 17.15 16.53 15.86 16.24 15.91 18.99 14.94 13.35 18.32 17.10 18.65 16.95 21.95 23.30 19.09 22.54 14.93 21.44 20.59 22.14 20.20 23.15 40.92 26.31 22.37 21.97 21.00 21.56 18.90 24.28 21.81 24.02 21.81 13.80 21.25 18.00 23.22 20.63 3.38 3.87 3.04 3.14 1.62 3.68 3.45 4.08 3.08 4.10 7.93 4.23 3.57 3.70 3.60 3.56 3.00 3.94 3.47 4.56 3.26 1.84 3.89 3.08 4.33 3.50 3.09 3.39 2.45 2.26 1.07 3.56 3.31 3.18 2.91 3.98 5.63 3.40 3.23 3.59 3.48 3.00 2.82 3.21 2.63 4.42 2.91 0.71 3.51 2.00 4.16 3.32 3.70 4.42 3.76 4.36 2.46 3.80 3.60 5.22 3.25 4.22 11.16 5.28 3.94 3.82 3.73 4.24 3.18 4.84 4.58 4.70 3.65 4.77 4.31 4.74 4.51 3.68 0.61 1.03 1.31 2.10 1.39 0.24 0.30 2.04 0.34 0.24 5.53 1.88 0.71 0.23 0.25 1.24 0.36 1.63 1.96 0.28 0.73 4.05 0.80 2.75 0.34 0.36 91-96 17.77 21.41 3.80 3.65 3.97 0.32 03-05 05-08 16.41 14.47 18.63 18.86 3.06 2.73 2.52 1.99 3.70 3.75 1.18 1.76 Make Model of Car Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Jaguar Kia Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Rover Saab Toyota Toyota Toyota XJ6 XJ6 XJ6 XJS S-Type Optima 929 / Luce 929 / Sentia / Efini MS-9 E-Class W123 E-Class W124 E-Class W210 S-Class W126 S-Class R129 S-Class C140 S-Class W220 E-Class W211 Skyline 300ZX / Fairlady Z Maxima Maxima / Cefiro Maxima 300C / Laurel Maxima Legend Legend 3500 9-5 Camry Crown / Cressida / Mark II Crown / Cressida / Mark II Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 82-86 87-94 95-97 82-96 99-08 01-06 82-90 92-96 82-85 86-94 96-02 82-92 93-02 93-98 99-06 02-09 83-88 90-95 90-94 95-99 00-02 85-87 06-09 86-95 96-98 82-87 98-05 98-02 82-85 86-88 19.67 16.78 13.50 19.39 12.64 20.70 19.64 17.37 16.23 15.62 14.67 14.96 13.31 12.07 14.34 14.55 18.90 20.02 17.98 17.84 17.14 19.93 14.84 16.31 9.58 20.34 15.80 16.88 19.23 15.19 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 28.72 17.53 34.41 14.94 13.82 20.53 21.72 29.89 20.23 22.18 20.39 18.58 9.61 21.57 23.78 19.46 23.06 24.02 21.32 19.72 22.67 25.61 20.70 22.79 13.13 17.37 12.11 20.68 24.45 26.26 7.61 4.08 7.96 7.66 3.14 8.00 4.72 7.24 4.58 4.18 3.85 3.56 4.25 4.31 6.24 4.52 4.69 6.02 4.52 4.10 4.88 9.27 4.16 4.53 3.47 5.89 3.33 3.68 5.30 4.90 3.42 1.96 5.25 6.56 2.17 5.74 0.87 3.52 2.23 1.31 1.52 1.39 3.86 2.74 4.37 2.75 0.64 2.18 1.27 1.08 1.78 6.46 1.89 1.47 3.01 3.76 2.23 0.37 1.12 1.65 5.65 2.94 4.64 2.90 1.75 4.25 4.27 5.19 3.28 3.46 2.99 2.78 1.28 2.60 3.41 2.83 4.36 4.81 3.83 3.52 3.89 5.10 3.07 3.72 1.26 3.53 1.91 3.49 4.70 3.99 4.19 2.12 2.71 1.10 0.97 2.26 3.85 3.72 2.35 2.87 2.33 2.17 0.39 1.57 1.86 1.77 4.05 3.84 3.25 3.02 3.10 2.81 2.27 3.05 0.46 2.12 1.10 3.31 4.17 3.25 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Lexus Lexus Lexus Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Volvo Cressida / Mark II Supra ES300 / Windom LS400 / Celsior GS300 Avalon Camry Aurion Camry 850/S70/V70/C70 700/900 Series 960/S90/V90 S80 V70 / XC70 Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 89-93 82-90 92-01 90-00 97-04 00-05 02-06 06-09 06-09 92-99 84-92 90-98 98-06 00-07 Medium Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Audi Audi BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW BMW 164 156 GTV / Spider 147 / GT A4 TT A4 Z3 E36 5 Series E60 / E61 3 Series E90 / E91 3 Series E30 3 Series E36 3 Series E46 89-92 99-06 98-04 01-09 95-01 99-06 01-08 97-03 03-09 05-09 82-91 92-98 99-06 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 15.18 21.54 17.51 13.97 11.39 16.35 16.25 13.65 14.49 16.71 16.50 17.63 14.06 14.28 18.50 26.54 19.04 20.83 18.78 22.57 18.52 21.00 18.72 22.66 18.78 26.48 9.63 6.21 2.81 5.72 3.33 2.91 2.14 3.69 3.01 2.87 2.71 3.79 3.10 4.67 1.35 0.89 2.42 4.60 2.63 1.90 1.06 3.29 2.76 2.15 2.19 3.27 2.64 2.86 0.50 0.18 3.26 7.10 4.23 4.45 4.30 4.14 3.29 3.82 3.35 4.39 3.63 7.62 3.64 4.49 0.84 2.50 1.60 2.55 3.24 0.85 0.53 1.68 1.16 1.12 0.99 4.76 3.13 4.31 16.67 20.40 3.40 3.36 3.45 0.09 18.01 14.68 13.11 13.35 15.27 13.85 13.32 14.12 14.79 16.45 16.64 16.11 16.07 31.69 17.28 15.82 18.00 20.41 18.22 21.00 23.76 24.12 18.01 21.21 21.44 19.29 5.71 2.54 2.07 2.40 3.12 2.52 2.80 3.36 3.57 2.96 3.53 3.45 3.10 3.42 1.67 0.81 1.29 2.46 1.28 2.10 2.25 2.18 2.02 3.18 3.15 2.71 9.51 3.85 5.30 4.48 3.94 4.97 3.74 5.01 5.83 4.34 3.92 3.78 3.54 6.08 2.18 4.49 3.19 1.48 3.69 1.64 2.77 3.64 2.32 0.75 0.63 0.83 Make Model of Car BMW BMW BMW Chrysler Citroen Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Jaguar Kia Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda 5 Series E28 5 Series E34 5 Series E39 PT Cruiser Xantia Espero Leganza Tacuma Cortina Mondeo Probe Cougar Calibra Camira Vectra Vectra ZC Sonata Sonata EF Tiburon Sonata NF Sigma / Galant / Sapporo / Lambda Starion Galant X-Type Credos Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella / Cronos 626 RX7 Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 82-88 89-95 96-03 00-09 94-00 95-97 97-02 00-04 82-82 95-01 94-98 99-03 94-97 82-89 97-03 03-05 98-01 02-05 02-09 05-09 82-84 82-87 95-96 02-09 98-01 83-86 88-91 92-97 98-02 82-85 15.76 15.91 13.37 15.71 14.89 21.33 17.23 18.91 19.48 15.85 19.68 15.06 17.56 22.02 16.60 15.62 17.26 17.50 24.01 18.40 19.44 19.50 18.45 12.22 24.00 19.06 17.40 15.43 15.45 20.22 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 23.02 23.42 18.84 25.42 24.33 22.45 22.58 30.92 23.35 19.92 25.04 19.07 21.40 22.40 20.05 17.64 22.09 18.32 19.75 7.96 22.50 34.32 19.54 12.92 24.54 21.09 22.25 21.75 22.10 27.23 4.52 4.52 3.22 6.40 6.65 5.80 4.84 9.30 5.21 3.56 6.89 3.76 4.91 5.17 3.69 3.77 4.72 5.35 9.59 3.90 4.61 9.26 4.14 3.33 10.07 4.25 4.14 3.62 3.89 6.82 1.61 1.45 1.25 3.91 4.67 1.85 1.72 5.62 1.25 0.76 3.37 1.57 2.03 0.47 0.69 1.75 1.65 3.43 7.25 3.35 0.47 4.43 1.00 2.58 6.62 0.46 0.52 0.50 0.89 2.38 3.63 3.73 2.52 3.99 3.62 4.79 3.89 5.85 4.55 3.16 4.93 2.87 3.76 4.93 3.33 2.76 3.81 3.21 4.74 1.47 4.37 6.69 3.61 1.58 5.89 4.02 3.87 3.36 3.41 5.51 2.91 3.07 1.97 2.49 1.97 3.95 3.12 3.68 3.97 2.80 3.52 2.19 2.88 4.70 3.00 2.02 3.08 1.92 2.34 0.55 4.15 4.83 3.14 0.75 3.45 3.80 3.62 3.11 3.00 4.45 Make Model of Car Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Mercedes Benz Nissan Nissan / Ford Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda RX7 RX7 Eunos 500 Eunos 800 6 RX8 6 C-Class W201 C-Class W202 CLK C208 SLK R170 C-Class W203 CLK C209 Pintara Pintara / Corsair / Bluebird Bluebird 280ZX Bluebird 200SX / Silvia 350Z Accord Euro Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Accord Prelude Prelude Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 86-91 92-98 93-99 94-00 02-07 03-09 08-09 87-93 95-00 97-03 97-04 00-07 03-09 86-88 89-92 82-86 82-84 93-97 94-02 03-09 03-08 03-07 82-85 86-90 91-93 94-98 99-02 08-09 82-82 83-91 17.98 16.75 20.30 16.89 15.16 15.47 14.27 15.96 13.37 14.72 16.50 13.83 13.22 18.15 19.34 19.77 17.54 15.61 15.22 19.26 14.44 14.55 19.82 16.83 15.36 16.15 16.28 12.70 16.79 17.63 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 20.78 25.03 19.22 27.19 15.46 12.99 20.55 21.40 21.74 19.92 16.76 19.78 19.03 22.47 23.37 23.53 28.37 20.38 23.85 25.56 19.17 19.71 22.35 22.80 21.30 21.25 18.00 32.08 17.58 23.35 4.97 7.69 5.49 7.70 2.78 3.80 5.60 4.26 3.50 4.58 5.21 3.60 4.30 4.43 4.79 4.91 8.24 3.59 4.34 7.55 3.35 3.71 4.90 4.25 3.78 3.81 3.71 7.09 4.99 4.48 2.16 5.41 2.72 4.97 0.80 2.73 4.07 1.53 1.09 2.70 3.75 1.52 2.83 0.67 0.53 0.50 5.23 0.77 1.31 4.34 1.06 1.49 0.91 0.78 0.94 0.72 1.40 4.75 3.25 0.69 3.74 4.19 3.90 4.59 2.34 2.01 2.93 3.41 2.91 2.93 2.77 2.74 2.52 4.08 4.52 4.65 4.98 3.18 3.63 4.92 2.77 2.87 4.43 3.84 3.27 3.43 2.93 4.07 2.95 4.12 2.81 2.28 2.77 2.74 1.98 1.06 1.54 2.74 2.41 1.88 1.47 2.08 1.47 3.76 4.26 4.41 3.01 2.82 3.03 3.21 2.29 2.22 4.00 3.47 2.83 3.09 2.31 2.34 1.75 3.78 Make Model of Car Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Peugeot Porsche Renault Rover Saab Saab Saab Saab Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Toyota Toyota Holden / Toyota Holden / Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Lexus Lexus Volvo Volvo Prelude Prelude 405 505 406 944 Feugo 75 900 Series 900/9-3 9000 9-3 1800 / Leone / Omega / 4WD Wagon Liberty / Legacy Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty / Legacy / Outback Corona Camry Apollo JK/JL / Camry / Vista Apollo JM/JP / Camry / Sceptor Celica Celica Celica Celica Celica IS200 / IS300 IS250 / IS F 200 Series S60 Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 92-96 97-02 89-97 82-93 96-04 82-91 82-87 01-05 82-92 94-02 86-97 03-09 82-93 89-93 94-98 99-03 03-09 82-88 83-86 88-92 93-97 81-85 86-89 90-93 94-99 00-05 99-04 05-09 82-93 01-09 16.30 15.87 15.04 13.15 8.40 15.07 17.09 16.23 15.82 14.75 15.66 14.75 19.34 17.57 15.67 14.05 12.44 19.41 19.43 18.02 18.22 20.68 18.42 18.67 18.53 15.90 14.62 11.48 14.86 12.83 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 22.58 19.56 22.40 21.88 22.08 30.17 18.53 18.81 20.28 17.03 15.40 30.61 20.95 20.75 23.41 19.89 17.86 22.83 22.26 21.73 22.17 20.61 22.64 23.80 18.57 22.71 18.11 19.43 22.57 20.78 4.26 3.95 4.20 3.73 2.81 8.24 4.60 6.06 3.95 3.10 3.08 6.98 4.36 3.93 4.05 3.17 2.73 4.64 4.79 4.07 4.21 4.79 4.73 4.98 4.08 4.84 3.79 4.37 3.80 4.50 1.07 1.51 1.50 1.51 1.59 5.73 2.42 4.53 1.35 1.07 1.19 4.06 0.58 0.55 0.73 0.70 0.93 0.41 0.88 0.30 0.34 0.99 1.06 1.02 1.17 2.15 1.93 3.23 0.84 2.92 3.68 3.10 3.37 2.88 1.85 4.55 3.17 3.05 3.21 2.51 2.41 4.51 4.05 3.65 3.67 2.80 2.22 4.43 4.33 3.92 4.04 4.26 4.17 4.44 3.44 3.61 2.65 2.23 3.35 2.67 3.18 2.44 2.70 2.22 1.22 2.51 2.18 1.54 2.60 2.03 1.89 2.92 3.77 3.38 3.32 2.47 1.81 4.23 3.91 3.77 3.87 3.80 3.68 3.96 2.91 2.69 1.85 1.14 2.96 1.58 Make Model of Car Volkswagen Volkswagen Passat Passat Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 98-06 06-09 People Movers Chrysler Ford Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Kia Mazda Mazda Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Voyager Spectron Zafira TT Nimbus / Chariot / Spacewagon Nimbus / Chariot Nimbus Starwagon / L300 Starwagon / Delica Starwagon Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Carens Carnival Carnival MPV MPV Prairie Serena Odyssey Odyssey Odyssey Tarago Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago / Previa / Estima Spacia Avensis Verso 97-01 86-90 01-05 85-91 92-98 99-03 83-86 87-93 95-98 98-03 00-02 99-06 06-09 94-99 00-06 84-86 92-95 95-00 00-02 04-09 83-89 91-99 00-06 93-00 01-09 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 13.69 13.92 23.44 24.41 3.21 3.40 2.40 1.86 4.29 6.19 1.90 4.33 17.72 21.16 3.75 3.63 3.88 0.25 16.85 22.94 14.37 19.73 17.69 11.77 24.49 20.88 20.54 17.20 24.30 15.58 14.28 16.32 11.53 20.69 14.63 15.44 13.50 13.43 21.60 15.79 13.61 17.47 13.85 18.60 17.35 23.11 19.63 23.89 13.06 25.98 22.19 20.67 22.33 22.87 22.20 13.59 21.84 21.44 22.07 17.59 19.04 27.84 13.21 24.90 21.81 23.48 21.10 34.86 3.13 3.98 3.32 3.87 4.23 1.54 6.36 4.63 4.25 3.84 5.56 3.46 1.94 3.56 2.47 4.57 2.57 2.94 3.76 1.77 5.38 3.44 3.20 3.69 4.83 2.24 1.97 2.28 3.08 3.51 0.87 5.81 4.30 3.66 3.23 2.66 2.84 0.99 2.42 1.41 3.57 1.80 2.34 2.55 1.10 4.96 3.07 2.58 2.23 2.99 4.38 8.03 4.83 4.86 5.08 2.71 6.97 5.00 4.93 4.57 11.61 4.22 3.81 5.24 4.33 5.83 3.67 3.70 5.53 2.86 5.83 3.86 3.96 6.09 7.80 2.13 6.06 2.55 1.78 1.57 1.83 1.16 0.70 1.27 1.34 8.94 1.38 2.82 2.82 2.92 2.26 1.87 1.35 2.98 1.75 0.87 0.79 1.38 3.86 4.82 Make Model of Car Toyota Tarago Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 06-09 Small Cars Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Alfa Romeo Audi Mini BMW Chrysler Chrysler Citroen Citroen Citroen Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford 33 75 90 GTV Sprint Alfasud A3/S3 Mini Cooper 1 Series E81 / E82 / E87 / E88 Neon Neon BX C4 Xsara Applause 1.5i Cielo Nubira Lanos Lacetti Laser Laser Escort Capri Focus LR Focus LS / LT 83-92 86-92 85-88 82-84 82-88 82-84 97-04 02-09 04-09 96-99 00-02 86-94 05-09 00-05 89-99 94-95 95-97 97-03 97-03 03-04 91-94 95-97 82-82 89-94 02-05 05-09 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 15.65 14.30 2.24 1.26 3.97 2.70 17.54 20.26 3.56 3.51 3.60 0.08 16.29 19.33 12.84 17.04 19.96 22.69 16.48 13.01 15.18 16.87 15.90 6.51 17.61 23.54 19.62 24.54 19.83 17.25 19.42 18.28 18.76 17.34 18.52 22.66 16.56 14.10 23.27 22.05 41.32 46.21 19.12 30.67 20.55 15.20 14.09 18.68 23.45 16.24 27.44 15.89 20.25 19.48 20.18 19.99 21.71 22.21 21.18 22.81 17.51 20.04 18.43 21.01 3.79 4.26 5.31 7.87 3.82 6.96 3.39 1.98 2.14 3.15 3.73 1.06 4.83 3.74 3.97 4.78 4.00 3.45 4.22 4.06 3.97 3.95 3.24 4.54 3.05 2.96 2.95 2.58 2.80 5.24 2.12 4.22 2.39 1.25 1.07 2.33 2.07 0.52 2.27 1.83 3.54 2.94 3.63 3.07 3.88 2.52 3.78 3.62 2.46 3.93 2.59 2.44 4.87 7.06 10.05 11.82 6.85 11.47 4.79 3.14 4.28 4.26 6.70 2.13 10.28 7.65 4.47 7.77 4.41 3.88 4.58 6.53 4.18 4.31 4.28 5.25 3.60 3.59 1.92 4.48 7.25 6.58 4.73 7.25 2.40 1.89 3.21 1.92 4.63 1.61 8.01 5.82 0.93 4.82 0.77 0.81 0.71 4.00 0.40 0.69 1.82 1.31 1.01 1.15 Make Model of Car Fiat Holden / Isuzu Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Kia Kia Regata Piazza Gemini Gemini RB Astra TR Astra TS Astra AH Viva JF Excel Excel Excel / Accent Elantra Elantra Lavita Accent i30 S Coupe Lantra Lantra Coupe Accent Lancer / Mirage CA Lancer / Mirage CB Lancer / Mirage CC Lancer / Mirage CE Cordia Lancer CE / CG / Cedia Lancer CH / CJ Rio Spectra Cerato LD Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 84-88 86-88 82-84 86-87 96-98 98-06 04-09 05-09 86-90 90-94 95-00 00-06 01-03 06-09 07-09 90-96 91-95 96-00 96-00 00-06 89-90 91-92 93-95 96-03 83-87 02-03 03-09 00-05 01-04 04-08 15.69 16.81 20.71 22.47 16.42 16.07 15.98 15.17 22.49 20.75 20.11 17.45 13.26 13.24 12.08 20.43 19.39 17.70 17.98 18.23 17.69 20.07 17.77 18.27 22.09 26.80 16.46 18.02 18.37 16.70 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 29.24 20.36 22.29 20.81 20.06 18.70 19.75 19.53 23.76 23.09 21.83 21.12 6.40 12.33 23.68 22.26 22.58 22.18 22.45 21.80 20.93 23.82 21.13 21.09 25.46 24.01 21.52 23.28 18.05 20.01 6.83 7.13 4.97 5.53 3.92 3.22 3.73 3.80 5.86 5.09 4.58 4.25 2.33 3.71 6.71 5.37 5.00 4.31 4.98 4.37 4.01 5.60 4.04 4.05 6.30 10.86 4.11 4.73 4.78 4.53 3.75 5.49 0.69 1.57 1.15 0.42 1.06 1.48 0.98 0.58 0.37 1.05 2.03 2.99 5.50 1.52 1.17 0.74 1.71 0.75 0.60 1.52 0.55 0.39 1.28 7.04 1.05 1.00 2.48 2.07 4.59 3.42 4.62 4.68 3.29 3.01 3.16 2.96 5.34 4.79 4.39 3.69 0.85 1.63 2.86 4.55 4.38 3.92 4.04 3.97 3.70 4.78 3.76 3.85 5.62 6.43 3.54 4.19 3.32 3.34 3.08 1.64 4.28 3.96 2.77 2.80 2.67 2.31 4.87 4.51 4.21 3.20 0.31 0.72 1.22 3.85 3.83 3.57 3.27 3.62 3.41 4.08 3.49 3.66 5.02 3.81 3.06 3.72 2.30 2.46 Make Model of Car Kia Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Rio JB Laser / 323 / Familia 323 / Familia / Lantis 323 / Familia / Lantis Laser / 323 MX5 / Eunos Roadster MX5 / Eunos Roadster Eunos 30X / Presso / MX-3 / Autozam AZ-3 3 / Axela MX5 A-Class W168 Astra / Pulsar / Langley Astra / Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Pulsar / Vector / Sentra Stanza Gazelle / Silvia Exa Exa NX/NX-R Pulsar Tiida Civic Civic / Ballade / Shuttle Civic / Shuttle Civic Civic CRX CRX S2000 Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Holden / Nissan Holden / Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 05-09 82-88 90-93 95-98 99-03 89-97 98-05 90-97 15.08 21.36 17.82 17.62 16.23 20.15 16.28 16.96 18.90 22.34 19.76 20.01 18.57 20.13 14.48 19.33 2.85 4.77 3.52 3.53 3.01 4.06 2.36 3.28 2.19 4.63 3.25 3.22 2.77 3.03 1.58 2.41 3.71 4.92 3.82 3.86 3.28 5.43 3.50 4.47 1.52 0.29 0.57 0.64 0.51 2.40 1.92 2.06 03-09 05-09 98-04 84-86 88-90 92-95 96-99 82-83 84-86 83-86 87-91 91-96 00-05 06-09 82-83 84-87 88-91 92-95 96-00 87-91 92-98 99-09 14.83 12.85 16.75 21.20 19.40 17.52 18.00 20.82 19.89 27.03 20.59 21.48 16.59 15.08 19.51 21.26 18.97 18.08 17.78 21.98 18.32 11.71 16.96 35.80 21.25 24.35 23.36 21.09 21.60 23.69 25.69 26.55 27.96 27.59 20.15 22.95 23.86 24.66 21.44 20.60 17.89 25.50 24.35 9.04 2.52 4.60 3.56 5.16 4.53 3.70 3.89 4.93 5.11 7.18 5.76 5.93 3.34 3.46 4.65 5.24 4.07 3.72 3.18 5.61 4.46 1.06 2.24 2.48 2.45 4.88 4.31 3.45 3.65 3.80 4.26 5.77 4.20 5.00 3.09 2.37 3.96 4.79 3.76 3.43 2.89 4.61 3.20 0.41 2.82 8.55 5.18 5.46 4.77 3.96 4.14 6.41 6.12 8.93 7.90 7.03 3.62 5.04 5.47 5.73 4.40 4.05 3.50 6.82 6.22 2.75 0.58 6.07 2.73 0.58 0.46 0.52 0.49 2.61 1.86 3.16 3.70 2.04 0.53 2.67 1.51 0.94 0.64 0.62 0.61 2.22 3.02 2.35 Make Model of Car Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Proton Renault Renault Renault Rover MG Subaru Subaru Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota / Holden Toyota / Holden Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Civic Civic Integra Integra Integra Integra Concerto 306 307 Wira Gen 2 Megane II 19 Scenic Quintet MGF / MG TF Vortex Impreza Impreza Impreza Baleno / Cultus Crescent Liana Corolla Corolla Corolla / Nova Corolla / Nova Corolla / Allex Corolla Corolla Tercel Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 01-05 06-09 86-88 90-92 93-01 02-06 89-93 94-01 01-09 95-96 04-09 03-09 91-96 01-04 82-86 99-05 85-89 93-00 01-07 07-09 95-02 01-07 82-84 86-88 89-93 94-97 98-01 02-07 07-09 83-88 14.99 13.32 19.19 19.33 17.47 17.85 17.05 16.39 12.35 17.81 16.61 16.91 19.01 16.94 20.25 11.78 24.10 17.92 14.70 15.14 16.90 16.36 20.26 19.55 18.58 17.40 16.32 16.01 15.92 20.77 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 20.56 16.56 22.24 22.41 19.77 22.04 25.21 17.75 15.94 24.96 24.26 21.97 17.70 15.14 19.15 21.26 21.45 24.51 18.51 27.47 17.57 17.26 21.33 22.69 21.89 21.32 19.46 20.21 24.57 20.46 3.64 3.06 5.09 5.16 4.09 5.87 5.22 3.51 2.73 5.18 6.96 8.03 5.03 4.39 5.57 4.00 8.77 4.76 3.16 6.92 3.53 3.91 4.58 4.65 4.23 3.89 3.45 3.45 4.76 5.46 1.03 1.47 1.51 1.52 1.17 3.23 1.68 1.10 1.31 1.37 4.63 6.31 2.77 2.90 2.86 2.43 5.72 0.70 0.81 4.42 1.03 1.88 0.50 0.41 0.31 0.36 0.53 0.43 1.55 2.15 3.08 2.20 4.27 4.33 3.45 3.93 4.30 2.91 1.97 4.45 4.03 3.71 3.36 2.56 3.88 2.50 5.17 4.39 2.72 4.16 2.97 2.82 4.32 4.44 4.07 3.71 3.18 3.23 3.91 4.25 2.61 1.59 3.58 3.64 2.92 2.64 3.54 2.41 1.42 3.81 2.33 1.72 2.25 1.50 2.70 1.57 3.05 4.06 2.34 2.50 2.50 2.04 4.08 4.23 3.91 3.53 2.92 3.03 3.21 3.31 Make Model of Car Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Volvo Volvo Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen MR2 MR2 Paseo / Cynos MR2 Corolla 4WD Wagon Prius II 300 Series S40/V50 S40/V40 Golf Golf Golf / Bora New Beetle Golf / Jetta Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 87-90 91-00 91-99 00-05 92-96 03-09 84-88 04-09 97-04 82-94 95-98 99-04 00-09 04-09 Light Cars Citroen Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford C3 Charade Charade Charade Pyzar Move Sirion / Storia Charade Mira Matiz Kalos Festiva WD/WH/WF Ka 02-09 82-86 88-92 93-00 97-01 97-99 98-04 03-05 90-96 99-04 03-04 94-01 99-02 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 21.20 19.76 17.71 15.44 18.69 11.45 14.83 15.70 15.56 18.85 15.38 16.48 14.54 13.71 24.77 23.43 22.16 16.55 25.68 25.78 27.53 12.74 15.73 24.37 20.63 15.51 18.51 16.53 5.25 4.63 3.93 2.56 4.80 2.95 4.08 2.00 2.45 4.59 3.17 2.56 2.69 2.27 4.04 3.37 3.37 1.07 3.65 1.95 2.71 0.85 1.82 3.28 2.54 2.15 1.86 1.76 6.82 6.36 4.57 6.10 6.31 4.48 6.16 4.71 3.30 6.44 3.96 3.05 3.89 2.92 2.77 2.98 1.20 5.03 2.65 2.53 3.45 3.86 1.48 3.17 1.43 0.90 2.03 1.15 19.02 20.99 3.99 3.92 4.06 0.14 16.80 24.04 20.85 20.34 17.46 20.50 18.68 21.99 27.35 23.84 17.31 21.20 18.84 13.00 26.43 23.11 24.29 26.24 16.56 18.96 5.22 25.66 19.06 23.91 22.42 20.62 2.18 6.35 4.82 4.94 4.58 3.39 3.54 1.15 7.02 4.54 4.14 4.75 3.88 0.91 5.72 4.48 4.56 3.39 1.76 2.98 0.23 6.02 3.78 3.10 4.52 2.99 5.24 7.05 5.18 5.35 6.19 6.53 4.21 5.81 8.18 5.46 5.52 5.00 5.04 4.33 1.33 0.70 0.79 2.81 4.76 1.23 5.58 2.16 1.68 2.41 0.47 2.05 Make Model of Car Ford Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Mazda Nissan Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Renault Lada Subaru Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Fiesta WP/WQ Barina XC Barina SB Barina TK Getz / TB Mirage / Colt Colt Festiva WA / 121 121 / Autozam Review 121 Metro / Demio 2 2 Micra Jazz / Fit City 205 206 Satria Clio II Samara Sherpa / Fiori / 700 / Rex Swift Barina / Swift / Cultus Barina / Swift / Cultus Hatch / Alto Alto Ignis Swift Starlet Echo Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 04-08 01-06 95-00 05-09 02-09 82-88 04-09 87-90 94-96 97-02 02-07 07-09 95-97 02-08 83-86 87-94 99-07 97-05 01-04 88-90 89-92 82-85 86-88 89-99 82-84 85-00 00-02 05-09 96-99 99-05 15.22 17.54 19.79 16.68 17.93 21.76 15.18 21.16 19.63 17.56 14.41 14.71 20.07 15.66 25.66 16.62 15.16 20.34 18.33 18.33 29.66 24.51 24.07 20.41 30.07 27.95 20.84 17.35 18.70 16.78 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 4.40 18.22 20.25 20.20 27.10 22.61 21.73 22.82 20.15 20.30 23.32 21.45 24.56 20.38 22.51 19.75 22.83 23.80 20.49 43.44 23.70 26.73 23.62 22.11 25.76 25.98 21.96 19.34 22.06 22.22 3.45 3.63 4.33 4.08 5.43 5.18 4.62 5.17 4.39 4.02 4.11 4.75 5.91 3.79 6.81 4.77 4.50 8.13 7.50 13.80 8.26 9.06 6.17 4.74 9.01 9.05 5.80 3.95 4.52 4.04 3.32 0.81 0.62 1.30 1.08 0.52 2.27 0.66 0.83 0.85 1.36 2.65 1.80 1.10 1.90 2.52 1.83 5.24 5.62 9.21 2.28 4.31 0.92 0.44 2.36 3.22 2.19 1.10 0.75 0.60 0.67 3.19 4.01 3.37 4.86 4.92 3.30 4.83 3.95 3.56 3.36 3.15 4.93 3.19 5.78 3.28 3.46 4.84 3.76 7.96 7.03 6.55 5.69 4.51 7.75 7.26 4.58 3.36 4.13 3.73 0.13 2.81 3.71 2.78 4.35 4.67 2.36 4.51 3.56 3.16 2.75 2.10 4.11 2.69 4.90 2.25 2.66 2.88 1.88 4.59 5.98 4.74 5.24 4.30 6.66 5.83 3.61 2.85 3.77 3.44 Make Model of Car Toyota Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Yaris Polo Polo Polo Years of Pr(Risk) Manufacture % 05-09 96-00 01-02 02-09 15.60 17.31 17.15 16.84 Pr(Severity) Serious injury Lower 90% % rate per 100 Confidence road users Limit involved % Lower 90% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 18.70 15.72 30.61 26.38 3.41 3.66 8.98 6.13 0.91 1.64 5.92 2.91 2.92 2.72 5.25 4.44 2.50 2.02 3.06 3.22 APPENDIX 7 PRESENTATION OF CRASHWORTHINESS, AGGRESSIVITY AND TOTAL SECONDARY SAFETY RATINGS FOR CONSUMER INFORMATION CRASHWORTHINESS, AGGRESSIVITY AND TOTAL SECONDARY SAFETY Victoria and New South Wales Data (1987-2009), South Australia Data (1995-2009), Queensland, Western Australia and New Zealand Data (1991-2009) Criteria Latest Year of Manufacture Confidence Limit Width Coefficient of Variation TSS 2.23% 8.00% 20.00% CWR Lower 90% CL Upper 90% CL 90% CL Width CoV 5.23 6.55 4.99 4.92 4.20 5.12 3.94 3.89 6.51 8.38 6.31 6.22 2.30 3.26 2.37 2.33 0.44 0.50 0.47 0.47 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Best pick At least 90% worse than benchmark CRASHWORTHINESS RATING At least 60% worse than benchmark 89-97 85-98 97-05 02-06 AGG 2.28% 8.00% 30.00% At least 30% worse than benchmark Compact Sports Utility Vehicles Daihatsu Feroza / Rocky Daihatsu Rocky / Rugger Daihatsu Terios Holden Cruze Years of Manufacture Worse than benchmark Model CWR 1.92% 8.00% 30.00% Benchmark Percentile Increment Equivalent to benchmark Make 1996 0.02 1.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 Best Pick 0 0 0 0 Aggressivity Rating Total Secondary Safety Rating ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 30% worse than benchmark x =At least 60% worse than benchmark xx =At least 90% worse than benchmark ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 20% worse than benchmark x =At least 40% worse than benchmark xx =At least 60% worse than benchmark xx xx x x Best pick Best Pick Aggressivity Rating Total Secondary Safety Rating ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 30% worse than benchmark x =At least 60% worse than benchmark xx =At least 90% worse than benchmark ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 20% worse than benchmark x =At least 40% worse than benchmark xx =At least 60% worse than benchmark Lower 90% CL Upper 90% CL 90% CL Width CoV 98-03 01-06 01-07 97-01 02-06 97-02 02-08 88-98 99-05 82-99 3.13 2.85 3.02 2.45 2.08 2.52 2.21 5.06 2.93 6.00 2.32 2.26 2.53 2.01 1.63 2.06 1.74 4.50 2.22 5.41 4.23 3.58 3.61 2.99 2.67 3.08 2.79 5.67 3.86 6.66 1.91 1.32 1.09 0.98 1.05 1.01 1.04 1.17 1.64 1.25 0.61 0.46 0.36 0.40 0.50 0.40 0.47 0.23 0.56 0.21 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 94-00 01-06 06-09 3.39 2.82 2.67 2.93 2.38 1.92 3.92 3.34 3.71 0.99 0.97 1.79 0.29 0.34 0.67 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 o o x o + 04-09 92-97 98-02 92-99 00-06 96-00 2.37 2.98 3.29 3.04 2.25 2.96 1.79 2.27 2.50 2.62 1.67 2.36 3.13 3.91 4.33 3.52 3.03 3.71 1.35 1.63 1.83 0.90 1.36 1.35 0.57 0.55 0.56 0.30 0.61 0.46 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 o + x x x ++ x Worse than benchmark CWR At least 90% worse than benchmark CRASHWORTHINESS RATING At least 60% worse than benchmark Sportage Escape / Tribute X-Trail CR-V CR-V Forester Forester Vitara / Escudo Grand Vitara Drover / Sierra / Samurai / SJ410 / SJ413 Toyota RAV4 Toyota RAV4 Toyota RAV4 Medium Sports Utility Vehicles Ford Territory SX/SY Holden / Isuzu Jackaroo / Bighorn Holden / Isuzu Jackaroo / Bighorn Mitsubishi Pajero Mitsubishi Pajero NM / NP / NS Jeep Cherokee XJ Years of Manufacture At least 30% worse than benchmark Kia Ford / Mazda Nissan Honda Honda Subaru Subaru Suzuki Suzuki Holden / Suzuki Model Equivalent to benchmark Make o o + + ++ + o o xx x x + + o + ++ ++ ++ xx + xx Best pick Total Secondary Safety Rating ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 30% worse than benchmark x =At least 60% worse than benchmark xx =At least 90% worse than benchmark ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 20% worse than benchmark x =At least 40% worse than benchmark xx =At least 60% worse than benchmark CWR Lower 90% CL Upper 90% CL 90% CL Width CoV At least 90% worse than benchmark Best Pick Aggressivity Rating At least 60% worse than benchmark CRASHWORTHINESS RATING At least 30% worse than benchmark Nissan Pathfinder / Terrano / Regulus Toyota Kluger Toyota Landcruiser Prado Toyota Landcruiser Prado Large Sports Utility Vehicles Jeep Grand Cherokee WJ/WG Land Rover Discovery Nissan / Ford Patrol / Maverick / Safari Nissan Patrol / Safari Toyota Landcruiser Toyota Landcruiser Commercial - Vans Daihatsu Handivan / Cuore Ford Transit Ford Transit Holden / Suzuki Scurry / Carry Toyota Hiace/Liteace Volkswagen Caravelle / Transporter Commercial - Utes Ford Falcon Ute Ford Falcon Ute AU Years of Manufacture 95-05 03-07 96-03 03-09 2.01 2.72 2.27 1.67 1.51 1.93 1.78 1.32 2.68 3.83 2.90 2.12 1.17 1.90 1.12 0.79 0.58 0.70 0.49 0.47 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 xx xx + ++ o + 99-05 91-02 88-97 98-09 90-97 98-07 1.68 2.48 2.63 2.18 3.04 2.44 0.97 1.89 2.37 1.89 2.81 2.20 2.93 3.24 2.92 2.52 3.29 2.72 1.97 1.34 0.55 0.62 0.48 0.52 1.17 0.54 0.21 0.29 0.16 0.21 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 + xx xx xx xx ++ + x x xx x 99-03 95-00 01-07 82-00 96-04 95-04 6.16 3.22 1.24 9.79 3.08 1.81 3.91 2.41 0.80 7.79 2.71 1.15 9.70 4.30 1.94 12.31 3.50 2.86 5.79 1.89 1.14 4.52 0.78 1.71 0.94 0.59 0.92 0.46 0.25 0.94 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 xx xx o ++ xx x o 96-99 00-02 3.14 2.63 2.63 2.22 3.74 3.13 1.11 0.91 0.35 0.35 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 x xx x x Worse than benchmark Model Equivalent to benchmark Make Years of Manufacture CRASHWORTHINESS RATING Lower 90% CL Upper 90% CL 90% CL Width CoV Best Pick Falcon Ute BA/BF Rodeo Rodeo Commodore Ute VR/VS Commodore VU Ute Commodore VY/VZ Ute Rodeo Triton MK Triton ML / MN Ceres Courier / B-Series / Bounty Courier / Bravo / Bounty 03-08 96-98 99-02 94-00 00-02 02-07 03-08 96-06 06-09 92-00 98-02 03-06 2.32 3.38 3.49 3.99 3.05 2.59 2.58 2.29 1.22 5.75 2.95 3.03 1.92 2.91 3.03 3.66 2.56 2.27 2.21 1.70 0.61 4.72 2.47 2.47 2.79 3.92 4.01 4.36 3.62 2.95 3.01 3.08 2.45 7.00 3.52 3.73 0.86 1.02 0.98 0.69 1.06 0.68 0.80 1.39 1.84 2.28 1.05 1.27 0.37 0.30 0.28 0.17 0.35 0.26 0.31 0.61 1.50 0.40 0.36 0.42 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Ford / Mazda Nissan Nissan Nissan Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Ranger / BT-50 Navara Navara Navara 4Runner/Hilux Hilux Hilux Hilux 06-09 92-96 97-05 05-09 89-97 98-02 03-04 05-09 1.87 3.63 2.51 2.46 4.04 2.81 2.43 2.14 1.24 3.04 2.12 1.67 3.82 2.52 1.99 1.80 2.82 4.34 2.98 3.64 4.26 3.13 2.97 2.54 1.57 1.30 0.87 1.98 0.45 0.61 0.97 0.74 0.84 0.36 0.34 0.80 0.11 0.22 0.40 0.35 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Worse than benchmark Ford Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Ford / Mazda Ford / Mazda Equivalent to benchmark At least 90% worse than benchmark CWR Best pick At least 60% worse than benchmark Model At least 30% worse than benchmark Make Aggressivity Rating Total Secondary Safety Rating ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 30% worse than benchmark x =At least 60% worse than benchmark xx =At least 90% worse than benchmark ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 20% worse than benchmark x =At least 40% worse than benchmark xx =At least 60% worse than benchmark o x xx x o x xx o + x x xx xx x x + x xx xx o o o + ++ xx o o ++ xx o o xx x o + Mercedes Benz Best pick Best Pick Aggressivity Rating Total Secondary Safety Rating ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 30% worse than benchmark x =At least 60% worse than benchmark xx =At least 90% worse than benchmark ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 20% worse than benchmark x =At least 40% worse than benchmark xx =At least 60% worse than benchmark Lower 90% CL Upper 90% CL 90% CL Width CoV 95-98 99-02 08-09 94-98 98-02 02-08 94-98 93-97 97-02 99-03 02-07 01-05 06-09 89-97 96-03 3.52 2.91 1.22 3.40 3.03 2.47 3.34 3.68 3.17 2.59 2.62 3.27 2.51 3.72 3.44 2.93 2.14 0.62 3.25 2.85 2.28 2.93 3.54 3.02 1.97 2.41 2.46 2.13 3.23 3.21 4.23 3.97 2.42 3.55 3.22 2.68 3.82 3.83 3.32 3.40 2.84 4.33 2.96 4.28 3.69 1.31 1.83 1.81 0.30 0.37 0.40 0.88 0.29 0.29 1.43 0.43 1.88 0.83 1.05 0.48 0.37 0.63 1.48 0.09 0.12 0.16 0.26 0.08 0.09 0.55 0.16 0.57 0.33 0.28 0.14 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 x + x o o x + ++ x x o x xx x o o x o x x 91-96 3.70 3.50 3.92 0.42 0.11 0 0 0 1 0 0 o xx 03-05 2.45 1.85 3.24 1.40 0.57 1 0 0 0 0 0 + + 96-02 2.43 1.64 3.59 1.95 0.80 1 0 0 0 0 0 Worse than benchmark CWR At least 90% worse than benchmark Mitsubishi CRASHWORTHINESS RATING At least 60% worse than benchmark Mitsubishi Fairlane N & LTD D Fairlane & LTD AU Falcon FG Falcon EF/EL Falcon AU Falcon BA/BF Stateman/Caprice VR/VS Commodore VR/VS / Lexcen Commodore VT/VX Statesman/Caprice WH Commodore VY/VZ Monaro Commodore VE Sonata Magna TE/TF/TH/TJ / Verada KE/KF/KH/KJ / Diamante Magna TR/TS / Verada KR/KS / V3000 / Diamante Magna TL/TW / Verada KL/KW E-Class W210 Years of Manufacture At least 30% worse than benchmark Large Cars Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden / Toyota Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Mitsubishi Model Equivalent to benchmark Make x x x o o x o + CRASHWORTHINESS RATING Lower 90% CL Upper 90% CL 90% CL Width CoV Best Pick Aggressivity Rating Total Secondary Safety Rating ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 30% worse than benchmark x =At least 60% worse than benchmark xx =At least 90% worse than benchmark ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 20% worse than benchmark x =At least 40% worse than benchmark xx =At least 60% worse than benchmark Maxima / Cefiro Camry Avalon Camry Camry 850/S70/V70/C70 95-99 98-02 00-05 02-06 06-09 92-99 3.84 3.20 2.98 2.57 2.30 3.09 3.17 2.97 2.52 2.27 1.70 2.46 4.67 3.45 3.52 2.91 3.11 3.86 1.50 0.48 1.00 0.63 1.40 1.40 0.39 0.15 0.34 0.25 0.61 0.45 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 + o x o + x o x x o ++ x 3 Series E36 3 Series E46 5 Series E39 Espero Tacuma Mondeo Vectra Galant Telstar / 626 / MX6 / Capella / Cronos 626 6 C-Class W202 Bluebird 92-98 99-06 96-03 95-97 00-04 95-01 97-03 95-96 92-97 3.33 3.04 2.09 5.70 6.83 2.97 3.03 4.10 3.66 2.94 2.53 1.48 4.53 3.83 2.52 2.62 3.46 3.33 3.77 3.65 2.96 7.18 12.20 3.49 3.50 4.87 4.03 0.83 1.12 1.48 2.65 8.37 0.97 0.89 1.41 0.69 0.25 0.37 0.71 0.46 1.22 0.33 0.29 0.34 0.19 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 + + + o + + x o ++ xx xx o o x o 98-02 02-07 95-00 93-97 3.30 2.14 2.75 3.31 2.77 1.70 2.09 2.84 3.94 2.69 3.62 3.85 1.17 0.98 1.53 1.01 0.36 0.46 0.56 0.30 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 + ++ ++ + o ++ + o Worse than benchmark At least 90% worse than benchmark CWR Best pick At least 60% worse than benchmark Mazda Mazda Mercedes Benz Nissan Years of Manufacture At least 30% worse than benchmark Nissan Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Volvo Medium Cars BMW BMW BMW Daewoo Daewoo Ford Holden Mitsubishi Ford / Mazda Model Equivalent to benchmark Make Years of Manufacture CRASHWORTHINESS RATING Upper 90% CL 90% CL Width CoV Best Pick 200SX / Silvia Accord Euro Accord Accord Accord Prelude Prelude 900/9-3 9000 Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty / Legacy / Outback Liberty / Legacy / Outback Apollo JM/JP / Camry / Sceptor Celica 94-02 03-08 03-07 94-98 99-02 92-96 97-02 94-02 86-97 94-98 99-03 03-09 93-97 94-99 3.38 2.56 2.07 3.49 2.18 4.19 2.62 2.26 1.95 3.40 2.41 2.38 4.25 3.62 2.69 1.94 1.41 3.04 1.53 3.50 1.83 1.65 1.34 2.99 2.03 1.83 4.02 2.91 4.25 3.37 3.05 3.99 3.09 5.02 3.75 3.09 2.85 3.87 2.88 3.10 4.48 4.49 1.56 1.42 1.64 0.95 1.56 1.52 1.91 1.44 1.51 0.88 0.85 1.27 0.46 1.58 0.46 0.56 0.79 0.27 0.72 0.36 0.73 0.64 0.77 0.26 0.35 0.53 0.11 0.44 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Starwagon / Delica Spacegear Carnival Odyssey Tarago / Previa / Estima Tarago / Previa / Estima 95-98 98-03 99-06 95-00 91-99 00-06 3.94 4.55 2.51 2.42 3.17 2.38 3.17 3.66 1.88 1.75 2.69 1.72 4.91 5.66 3.36 3.34 3.74 3.29 1.74 2.01 1.48 1.58 1.05 1.57 0.44 0.44 0.59 0.66 0.33 0.66 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Worse than benchmark At least 90% worse than benchmark Lower 90% CL At least 60% worse than benchmark CWR Best pick At least 30% worse than benchmark Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Honda Saab Saab Subaru Subaru Subaru Holden / Toyota Toyota People Movers Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Honda Toyota Toyota Model Equivalent to benchmark Make Aggressivity Rating Total Secondary Safety Rating ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 30% worse than benchmark x =At least 60% worse than benchmark xx =At least 90% worse than benchmark ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 20% worse than benchmark x =At least 40% worse than benchmark xx =At least 60% worse than benchmark ++ + + ++ ++ o + ++ o + xx + o o + ++ o + x + ++ ++ x + ++ xx o xx x o + o + Lower 90% CL Upper 90% CL 90% CL Width CoV 4.85 4.81 3.73 4.94 4.65 2.67 2.60 3.46 3.09 2.87 2.81 5.24 3.72 5.72 4.25 4.97 4.51 4.50 3.59 4.48 4.22 4.28 3.21 4.46 4.18 2.13 2.01 2.75 2.82 2.27 2.02 4.98 3.07 4.69 3.77 3.89 4.02 4.22 2.96 3.86 5.58 5.40 4.32 5.47 5.17 3.35 3.36 4.34 3.39 3.61 3.91 5.51 4.50 6.97 4.80 6.35 5.07 4.79 4.34 5.19 1.37 1.12 1.10 1.01 0.99 1.22 1.35 1.59 0.57 1.34 1.89 0.53 1.42 2.28 1.03 2.47 1.06 0.57 1.37 1.33 0.28 0.23 0.30 0.20 0.21 0.46 0.52 0.46 0.19 0.47 0.67 0.10 0.38 0.40 0.24 0.50 0.23 0.13 0.38 0.30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Worse than benchmark CWR 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Best pick At least 90% worse than benchmark 89-99 95-97 97-03 97-03 95-97 02-05 05-09 96-98 98-06 04-09 05-09 95-00 00-06 90-96 96-00 96-00 00-06 96-03 03-09 00-05 CRASHWORTHINESS RATING At least 60% worse than benchmark Applause Cielo Nubira Lanos Laser Focus LR Focus LS / LT Astra TR Astra TS Astra AH Viva JF Excel / Accent Elantra S Coupe Lantra Coupe Accent Lancer / Mirage CE Lancer CH / CJ Rio Years of Manufacture At least 30% worse than benchmark Small Cars Daihatsu Daewoo Daewoo Daewoo Ford Ford Ford Holden Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Hyundai Mitsubishi Mitsubishi Kia Model Equivalent to benchmark Make 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 Best Pick 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Aggressivity Rating Total Secondary Safety Rating ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 30% worse than benchmark x =At least 60% worse than benchmark xx =At least 90% worse than benchmark ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 20% worse than benchmark x =At least 40% worse than benchmark xx =At least 60% worse than benchmark ++ + + + + + + + + + + + ++ o + + + + x xx o xx xx + + o o + + xx x xx xx x xx xx o xx Lower 90% CL Upper 90% CL 90% CL Width CoV 4.28 3.23 2.35 4.40 6.72 3.83 3.53 3.09 1.89 3.69 2.79 2.13 4.92 4.77 2.61 3.93 4.34 3.13 3.37 3.58 4.29 3.83 2.89 2.01 4.08 5.44 3.48 3.12 2.48 1.18 2.98 2.16 1.38 4.07 4.32 2.14 3.22 4.09 2.82 3.10 2.75 3.54 4.77 3.60 2.73 4.76 8.30 4.22 3.99 3.85 3.02 4.57 3.59 3.29 5.95 5.26 3.18 4.79 4.60 3.49 3.66 4.67 5.20 0.93 0.71 0.72 0.68 2.87 0.74 0.87 1.36 1.84 1.58 1.43 1.92 1.88 0.94 1.03 1.57 0.51 0.67 0.56 1.92 1.66 0.22 0.22 0.31 0.15 0.43 0.19 0.25 0.44 0.98 0.43 0.51 0.90 0.38 0.20 0.40 0.40 0.12 0.21 0.17 0.54 0.39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Worse than benchmark CWR 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Best pick At least 90% worse than benchmark 95-98 99-03 03-09 96-99 91-96 00-05 96-00 01-05 06-09 93-01 94-01 01-09 95-96 93-00 01-07 95-02 94-97 98-01 02-07 07-09 91-99 CRASHWORTHINESS RATING At least 60% worse than benchmark 323 / Familia / Lantis Laser / 323 3 / Axela Pulsar / Vector / Sentra NX/NX-R Pulsar Civic Civic Civic Integra 306 307 Wira Impreza Impreza Baleno / Cultus Crescent Corolla / Nova Corolla / Allex Corolla Corolla Paseo / Cynos Years of Manufacture At least 30% worse than benchmark Mazda Ford / Mazda Mazda Nissan Nissan Nissan Honda Honda Honda Honda Peugeot Peugeot Proton Subaru Subaru Suzuki Toyota / Holden Toyota Toyota Toyota Toyota Model Equivalent to benchmark Make 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 Best Pick 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Aggressivity Rating Total Secondary Safety Rating ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 30% worse than benchmark x =At least 60% worse than benchmark xx =At least 90% worse than benchmark ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 20% worse than benchmark x =At least 40% worse than benchmark xx =At least 60% worse than benchmark ++ ++ + + ++ + ++ ++ ++ ++ + o ++ ++ + + + + x o + xx xx o o + ++ o + ++ xx xx + + x o o x x Years of Manufacture CRASHWORTHINESS RATING Lower 90% CL Upper 90% CL 90% CL Width CoV Best Pick 97-04 95-98 99-04 04-09 2.21 2.76 2.16 1.36 1.49 1.97 1.67 0.90 3.29 3.85 2.81 2.06 1.81 1.87 1.14 1.16 0.82 0.68 0.53 0.86 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 Charade Sirion / Storia Mira Matiz Festiva WD/WH/WF Barina XC Barina SB Barina TK Getz / TB 121 / Autozam Review 121 Metro / Demio 2 Micra Jazz / Fit Barina / Swift / Cultus Alto 93-00 98-04 90-96 99-04 94-01 01-06 95-00 05-09 02-09 94-96 97-02 02-07 95-97 02-08 89-99 85-00 6.42 4.55 10.08 5.31 6.16 3.34 4.63 4.21 5.04 5.22 4.41 3.81 6.36 3.48 5.90 9.66 5.85 3.73 8.52 4.27 5.82 2.85 4.22 3.39 4.37 4.64 3.82 2.99 5.17 2.82 5.59 7.62 7.04 5.55 11.91 6.59 6.53 3.93 5.09 5.23 5.82 5.88 5.08 4.85 7.84 4.30 6.24 12.25 1.19 1.82 3.39 2.32 0.70 1.08 0.88 1.84 1.45 1.24 1.26 1.86 2.67 1.48 0.65 4.63 0.19 0.40 0.34 0.44 0.11 0.32 0.19 0.44 0.29 0.24 0.29 0.49 0.42 0.42 0.11 0.48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Worse than benchmark S40/V40 Golf Golf / Bora Golf / Jetta Equivalent to benchmark At least 90% worse than benchmark CWR Best pick At least 60% worse than benchmark Volvo Volkswagen Volkswagen Volkswagen Light Cars Daihatsu Daihatsu Daihatsu Daewoo Ford Holden Holden Holden Hyundai Mazda Mazda Mazda Nissan Honda Holden / Suzuki Suzuki Model At least 30% worse than benchmark Make Aggressivity Rating Total Secondary Safety Rating ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 30% worse than benchmark x =At least 60% worse than benchmark xx =At least 90% worse than benchmark ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 20% worse than benchmark x =At least 40% worse than benchmark xx =At least 60% worse than benchmark ++ + ++ ++ + + + ++ x ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ + ++ ++ xx o xx xx xx o xx o xx x x o xx o xx xx Lower 90% CL Upper 90% CL 90% CL Width CoV 6.24 3.72 5.22 4.35 3.16 4.77 3.06 4.69 3.95 2.61 8.17 4.51 5.79 4.78 3.82 3.40 1.45 1.10 0.83 1.21 0.54 0.39 0.21 0.19 0.38 0 0 0 0 0 38 Worse than benchmark CWR 0 0 0 0 0 40 Best pick At least 90% worse than benchmark 00-02 05-09 96-99 99-05 05-09 Number of vehicles rated CRASHWORTHINESS RATING At least 60% worse than benchmark Ignis Swift Starlet Echo Yaris Years of Manufacture At least 30% worse than benchmark Suzuki Suzuki Toyota Toyota Toyota Model Equivalent to benchmark Make 0 1 0 0 1 41 0 0 0 0 0 18 1 0 1 1 0 47 Best Pick 0 0 0 0 0 20 Aggressivity Rating Total Secondary Safety Rating ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 30% worse than benchmark x =At least 60% worse than benchmark xx =At least 90% worse than benchmark ++ =Equivalent to benchmark + =Worse than benchmark o =At least 20% worse than benchmark x =At least 40% worse than benchmark xx =At least 60% worse than benchmark ++ ++ ++ ++ xx o xx x + APPENDIX 8 CRASHWORTHINESS, INJURY RISK AND INJURY SEVERITY ESTIMATES BY YEAR OF VEHICLE MANUFACTURE FOR THE AUSTRALIAN VEHICLE FLEET INJURY RISK BY YEAR OF VEHICLE MANUFACTURE Year of Manufacture Coefficient of Car Year AVERAGE -1.5553 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 0.4122 0.4862 0.3294 0.4094 0.3649 0.3580 0.3542 0.3045 0.3267 0.3512 0.3052 0.2116 0.2038 0.1611 0.1402 0.0724 0.1161 0.0987 0.0927 0.0994 0.0424 0.0525 -0.00736 -0.0300 -0.0507 -0.0872 -0.0738 -0.0897 -0.1129 -0.1621 -0.1512 -0.1748 -0.1528 -0.1706 -0.1811 -0.2061 -0.2563 -0.3161 -0.3078 -0.3373 -0.3694 -0.3553 -0.4087 -0.4353 -0.4679 -0.3883 Standard Error of Coefficient Pr(Risk) % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 22.39 23.60 21.08 22.78 22.14 22.14 22.33 21.55 21.96 22.44 21.77 20.23 20.14 19.46 19.18 18.18 18.85 18.60 18.53 18.63 17.81 17.97 17.08 16.75 16.49 16.00 16.19 15.96 15.65 15.01 15.16 14.85 15.13 14.90 14.77 14.45 13.82 13.11 13.19 12.85 12.47 12.61 11.99 11.65 11.18 11.47 26.05 27.62 24.39 25.53 24.55 24.29 23.95 22.98 23.34 23.72 22.77 21.16 20.99 20.30 19.91 18.83 19.49 19.20 19.09 19.20 18.30 18.43 17.58 17.26 16.95 16.43 16.61 16.41 16.09 15.43 15.57 15.26 15.56 15.32 15.18 14.88 14.27 13.57 13.68 13.34 13.00 13.18 12.63 12.40 12.20 13.66 3.66 4.03 3.31 2.75 2.41 2.15 1.62 1.42 1.37 1.27 1.00 0.94 0.85 0.84 0.73 0.65 0.64 0.59 0.56 0.57 0.49 0.47 0.50 0.51 0.46 0.42 0.42 0.45 0.44 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.44 0.44 0.47 0.49 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.64 0.74 1.02 2.18 17.43 0.0509 0.0540 0.0482 0.0383 0.0344 0.0308 0.0232 0.0210 0.0200 0.0183 0.0147 0.0146 0.0132 0.0134 0.0118 0.0100 0.0105 0.0099 0.00928 0.00947 0.00853 0.00797 0.00884 0.00922 0.0084 0.00793 0.00787 0.00846 0.00836 0.00838 0.00807 0.00814 0.00847 0.00833 0.00821 0.00887 0.00937 0.0103 0.0107 0.0111 0.0121 0.0129 0.0151 0.0179 0.0252 0.0508 24.18 25.56 22.69 24.12 23.32 23.20 23.13 22.26 22.64 23.08 22.27 20.69 20.56 19.87 19.54 18.50 19.17 18.90 18.81 18.91 18.05 18.20 17.33 17.01 16.71 16.21 16.40 16.18 15.87 15.22 15.36 15.06 15.34 15.11 14.98 14.66 14.04 13.34 13.43 13.10 12.73 12.89 12.30 12.02 11.68 12.53 INJURY SEVERITY BY YEAR OF VEHICLE MANUFACTURE Year of Manufacture Coefficient of Car Year AVERAGE -1.1872 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 0.2937 0.0494 0.1642 0.1735 0.1407 0.3676 0.2549 0.2240 0.2364 0.2520 0.1438 0.1999 0.1116 0.1290 0.0873 0.1087 0.0671 0.0765 0.0971 0.0454 0.0488 0.0481 0.0426 0.0535 0.0443 0.0180 -0.00535 -0.00023 -0.0423 -0.0192 -0.0588 -0.0898 -0.1181 -0.1041 -0.1717 -0.1660 -0.1722 -0.1793 -0.2267 -0.3014 -0.2869 -0.2770 -0.3828 -0.2923 -0.2724 -0.3114 Standard Error of Coefficient Pr(Severity) % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 25.70 20.92 23.45 24.19 23.81 28.52 26.71 26.22 26.54 26.97 25.06 26.16 24.55 24.85 24.18 24.63 23.87 24.08 24.50 23.54 23.66 23.68 23.52 23.69 23.57 23.12 22.71 22.74 22.01 22.40 21.74 21.20 20.71 20.94 19.83 19.88 19.74 19.59 18.81 17.66 17.80 17.90 16.22 17.31 17.06 14.16 32.62 27.97 29.67 29.21 28.30 32.73 29.83 29.07 29.25 29.44 27.06 28.16 26.34 26.70 25.79 26.15 25.34 25.48 25.83 24.87 24.88 24.83 24.79 25.02 24.80 24.29 23.86 24.02 23.26 23.68 22.95 22.42 21.96 22.20 21.07 21.20 21.14 21.06 20.34 19.19 19.49 19.70 18.27 19.85 20.79 23.24 6.91 7.04 6.22 5.02 4.48 4.21 3.12 2.84 2.71 2.47 2.00 2.00 1.79 1.85 1.62 1.52 1.47 1.40 1.33 1.33 1.22 1.15 1.26 1.34 1.23 1.17 1.16 1.28 1.26 1.28 1.22 1.22 1.26 1.25 1.24 1.32 1.40 1.47 1.53 1.54 1.69 1.80 2.05 2.54 3.74 9.08 23.38 0.0857 0.0978 0.0816 0.0656 0.0595 0.0506 0.0393 0.0363 0.0344 0.0311 0.0265 0.0258 0.0241 0.0247 0.0220 0.0205 0.0202 0.0191 0.0180 0.0185 0.0169 0.0160 0.0176 0.0185 0.0171 0.0165 0.0165 0.0182 0.0183 0.0184 0.0179 0.0182 0.0191 0.0189 0.0194 0.0207 0.0219 0.0232 0.0248 0.0261 0.0284 0.0301 0.0366 0.0429 0.0623 0.1550 29.04 24.27 26.44 26.63 25.99 30.59 28.25 27.62 27.87 28.19 26.05 27.14 25.43 25.77 24.98 25.38 24.60 24.77 25.16 24.20 24.26 24.25 24.15 24.35 24.18 23.70 23.28 23.37 22.63 23.03 22.34 21.81 21.33 21.56 20.44 20.53 20.43 20.32 19.56 18.41 18.63 18.78 17.22 18.55 18.85 18.26 CRASHWORTHINESS BY YEAR OF VEHICLE MANUFACTURE Year of Manufacture Pr(Risk) % Pr(Severity) % Serious injury Overall rate per 100 rank drivers order involved AVERAGE 17.43 23.38 4.08 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 24.18 25.56 22.69 24.12 23.32 23.20 23.13 22.26 22.64 23.08 22.27 20.69 20.56 19.87 19.54 18.50 19.17 18.90 18.81 18.91 18.05 18.20 17.33 17.01 16.71 16.21 16.40 16.18 15.87 15.22 15.36 15.06 15.34 15.11 14.98 14.66 14.04 13.34 13.43 13.10 12.73 12.89 12.30 12.02 11.68 12.53 29.04 24.27 26.44 26.63 25.99 30.59 28.25 27.62 27.87 28.19 26.05 27.14 25.43 25.77 24.98 25.38 24.60 24.77 25.16 24.20 24.26 24.25 24.15 24.35 24.18 23.70 23.28 23.37 22.63 23.03 22.34 21.81 21.33 21.56 20.44 20.53 20.43 20.32 19.56 18.41 18.63 18.78 17.22 18.55 18.85 18.26 7.02 6.20 6.00 6.42 6.06 7.09 6.53 6.15 6.31 6.50 5.80 5.62 5.23 5.12 4.88 4.69 4.72 4.68 4.73 4.58 4.38 4.41 4.18 4.14 4.04 3.84 3.82 3.78 3.59 3.51 3.43 3.28 3.27 3.26 3.06 3.01 2.87 2.71 2.63 2.41 2.37 2.42 2.12 2.23 2.20 2.29 45 40 37 42 38 46 44 39 41 43 36 35 34 33 32 29 30 28 31 27 25 26 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 6 5 7 1 3 2 4 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 6.10 5.26 5.22 5.75 5.48 6.53 6.12 5.79 5.96 6.18 5.55 5.38 5.02 4.91 4.70 4.53 4.56 4.53 4.59 4.43 4.26 4.30 4.06 4.01 3.93 3.74 3.71 3.67 3.48 3.40 3.33 3.18 3.17 3.16 2.96 2.91 2.76 2.60 2.52 2.30 2.26 2.30 1.99 2.07 1.98 1.76 8.08 7.32 6.89 7.17 6.70 7.71 6.97 6.53 6.68 6.85 6.06 5.86 5.45 5.34 5.07 4.86 4.88 4.84 4.88 4.72 4.51 4.53 4.31 4.27 4.16 3.95 3.93 3.90 3.70 3.62 3.54 3.39 3.38 3.37 3.17 3.12 2.98 2.82 2.74 2.52 2.49 2.55 2.26 2.40 2.45 2.98 1.99 2.06 1.67 1.42 1.22 1.18 0.86 0.75 0.72 0.67 0.52 0.49 0.43 0.43 0.36 0.33 0.32 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.34 0.48 1.22 APPENDIX 9 CRASHWORTHINESS, INJURY RISK AND INJURY SEVERITY ESTIMATES BY YEAR OF VEHICLE MANUFACTURE BY MARKET GROUP FOR THE AUSTRALIAN VEHICLE FLEET CRASHWORTHINESS BY YEAR OF VEHICLE MANUFACTURE BY MARKET GROUP Year of Manufacture Pr(Risk) % Pr(Severity) % Serious injury rate per 100 drivers involved % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 13.01 28.19 25.63 20.44 18.41 27.55 18.21 22.87 21.75 22.55 22.75 25.59 21.81 15.39 18.04 18.99 22.04 19.59 19.37 20.30 14.18 19.38 21.16 18.04 18.99 19.60 13.47 4.04 8.12 7.35 6.42 5.30 7.75 4.54 5.67 4.96 5.47 5.24 5.46 4.34 3.07 3.44 3.32 3.60 2.92 3.01 2.83 2.26 2.83 3.32 2.77 2.66 2.41 1.80 3.23 7.25 6.83 6.12 4.58 6.99 4.12 5.46 4.80 5.26 5.02 5.22 4.15 2.84 3.25 3.21 3.52 2.85 2.93 2.76 2.21 2.77 3.25 2.69 2.56 2.28 1.47 5.04 9.10 7.90 6.73 6.12 8.58 5.00 5.89 5.14 5.69 5.47 5.71 4.53 3.31 3.63 3.43 3.68 2.99 3.09 2.90 2.32 2.88 3.38 2.85 2.76 2.55 2.20 1.80 1.85 1.08 0.61 1.54 1.58 0.88 0.43 0.34 0.43 0.45 0.49 0.38 0.47 0.38 0.22 0.15 0.14 0.16 0.14 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.20 0.27 0.73 31.63 30.74 15.57 27.76 10.57 28.51 38.05 16.54 19.60 19.87 18.41 21.91 22.40 10.13 6.44 3.29 6.05 1.88 5.35 6.14 3.01 3.38 3.91 2.61 3.15 2.77 7.77 5.20 2.64 5.65 1.32 4.48 5.58 2.78 3.10 3.21 2.44 2.98 2.58 13.20 7.97 4.11 6.48 2.66 6.40 6.76 3.27 3.68 4.77 2.78 3.33 2.97 5.43 2.76 1.47 0.83 1.33 1.92 1.18 0.49 0.57 1.56 0.34 0.35 0.39 Compact Sports Utility Vehicles 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 31.01 28.82 28.65 31.41 28.77 28.11 24.95 24.79 22.82 24.26 23.05 21.32 19.89 19.94 19.06 17.47 16.33 14.91 15.55 13.94 15.96 14.59 15.67 15.35 14.01 12.31 13.37 Medium Sports Utility Vehicles 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 32.02 20.94 21.14 21.80 17.74 18.77 16.14 18.21 17.22 19.70 14.17 14.39 12.36 Year of Manufacture 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Pr(Risk) % Pr(Severity) % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 23.86 19.12 23.18 18.21 20.55 17.69 24.04 22.26 14.08 20.92 20.98 11.59 15.27 15.71 Serious injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 3.04 2.62 3.31 2.86 2.83 2.33 2.68 2.61 1.53 2.22 2.36 1.37 2.09 1.71 12.75 13.68 14.27 15.69 13.78 13.15 11.13 11.74 10.90 10.63 11.26 11.78 13.70 10.86 2.87 2.45 3.19 2.70 2.68 2.17 2.56 2.49 1.42 2.15 2.25 1.26 1.92 1.38 3.22 2.79 3.43 3.03 3.00 2.49 2.80 2.73 1.65 2.30 2.48 1.47 2.28 2.12 0.35 0.34 0.24 0.33 0.32 0.33 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.15 0.23 0.21 0.36 0.74 17.63 16.39 14.52 17.18 13.77 16.07 14.35 13.91 13.10 12.34 12.69 12.52 12.71 12.60 12.87 11.65 12.66 12.40 10.82 11.02 11.08 10.61 9.92 10.55 10.00 10.09 8.36 22.85 25.05 23.11 27.48 22.67 22.74 27.07 23.35 18.54 21.55 23.04 22.69 22.17 22.37 24.77 20.87 18.84 21.18 22.55 17.87 13.72 17.88 15.16 18.90 17.37 22.58 12.37 4.03 4.11 3.36 4.72 3.12 3.65 3.88 3.25 2.43 2.66 2.92 2.84 2.82 2.82 3.19 2.43 2.39 2.63 2.44 1.97 1.52 1.90 1.50 1.99 1.74 2.28 1.03 3.86 3.93 3.25 4.63 2.97 3.46 3.79 3.19 2.37 2.59 2.86 2.78 2.75 2.75 3.12 2.37 2.34 2.57 2.37 1.85 1.42 1.79 1.39 1.83 1.57 1.91 0.65 4.20 4.29 3.47 4.81 3.28 3.86 3.98 3.31 2.49 2.73 2.99 2.90 2.88 2.89 3.26 2.49 2.44 2.68 2.51 2.10 1.63 2.01 1.63 2.17 1.92 2.72 1.65 0.34 0.35 0.22 0.18 0.30 0.39 0.19 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.11 0.14 0.25 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.34 0.34 0.81 1.00 25.71 26.58 25.11 27.61 6.46 7.34 6.24 7.12 6.68 7.56 0.44 0.44 Large Sports Utility Vehicles 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Commercial - Vans 1982 1983 Year of Manufacture 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Pr(Risk) % Pr(Severity) % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 24.67 23.29 21.26 18.17 29.41 24.46 19.80 28.35 20.34 24.92 23.77 23.36 16.75 27.84 15.73 19.80 21.17 18.87 16.43 15.69 13.37 23.75 17.54 21.96 23.48 Serious injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 6.10 5.28 4.80 4.05 6.53 5.24 4.01 4.90 3.77 4.18 4.16 4.25 2.65 4.59 2.69 3.07 3.19 2.58 2.36 1.89 1.96 3.42 2.56 3.00 3.89 24.73 22.66 22.55 22.30 22.22 21.44 20.25 17.29 18.54 16.77 17.49 18.20 15.81 16.49 17.11 15.52 15.05 13.66 14.33 12.02 14.68 14.42 14.61 13.66 16.55 5.95 5.13 4.65 3.86 6.37 5.03 3.81 4.65 3.55 3.93 3.95 4.08 2.46 4.38 2.52 2.89 3.01 2.37 2.17 1.71 1.72 3.09 2.17 2.20 2.84 6.26 5.43 4.95 4.25 6.70 5.47 4.22 5.17 4.00 4.44 4.37 4.43 2.85 4.81 2.88 3.26 3.38 2.80 2.55 2.08 2.24 3.79 3.03 4.08 5.32 0.31 0.30 0.29 0.39 0.33 0.43 0.41 0.52 0.45 0.52 0.42 0.35 0.40 0.43 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.43 0.38 0.38 0.51 0.70 0.86 1.88 2.48 19.67 17.62 18.75 21.09 19.02 18.97 18.20 17.83 17.84 16.65 17.65 16.34 16.06 15.99 16.36 16.48 15.09 15.20 14.93 13.68 12.60 25.10 26.34 24.06 25.36 22.80 21.03 25.49 22.08 22.40 23.71 22.44 25.44 23.39 21.81 21.57 21.80 19.42 21.98 19.77 20.82 18.67 4.94 4.64 4.51 5.35 4.34 3.99 4.64 3.94 4.00 3.95 3.96 4.16 3.76 3.49 3.53 3.59 2.93 3.34 2.95 2.85 2.35 4.85 4.54 4.46 5.30 4.28 3.91 4.59 3.90 3.96 3.91 3.93 4.12 3.73 3.46 3.50 3.56 2.90 3.31 2.92 2.81 2.32 5.02 4.74 4.56 5.40 4.39 4.06 4.69 3.97 4.03 3.99 4.00 4.19 3.79 3.52 3.56 3.62 2.96 3.37 2.99 2.88 2.38 0.17 0.19 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.15 0.10 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 Commercial - Utes 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Year of Manufacture 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Pr(Risk) % Pr(Severity) % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 17.97 19.53 18.80 17.69 14.21 17.36 Serious injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 2.30 2.69 2.52 2.11 1.74 2.11 12.77 13.77 13.43 11.90 12.23 12.18 2.27 2.66 2.48 2.06 1.68 1.95 2.32 2.72 2.57 2.15 1.80 2.29 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.09 0.13 0.34 19.30 19.86 19.41 19.07 18.86 18.53 17.90 17.55 18.11 17.75 17.33 16.21 16.55 16.21 16.67 15.89 16.00 16.06 15.55 15.54 15.32 14.60 14.15 14.07 13.85 12.84 11.93 11.61 25.00 24.58 23.39 23.01 22.98 23.51 23.55 23.36 22.69 22.30 21.13 21.55 21.30 20.73 19.64 19.76 18.55 18.73 18.97 19.94 19.37 16.79 16.47 16.84 16.95 15.27 17.20 24.49 4.83 4.88 4.54 4.39 4.33 4.36 4.22 4.10 4.11 3.96 3.66 3.49 3.53 3.36 3.27 3.14 2.97 3.01 2.95 3.10 2.97 2.45 2.33 2.37 2.35 1.96 2.05 2.84 4.81 4.87 4.53 4.38 4.32 4.35 4.21 4.09 4.10 3.95 3.65 3.49 3.52 3.35 3.27 3.13 2.96 3.00 2.94 3.09 2.96 2.44 2.31 2.35 2.31 1.90 1.90 2.03 4.84 4.90 4.55 4.40 4.34 4.37 4.22 4.11 4.11 3.97 3.67 3.50 3.53 3.37 3.28 3.15 2.98 3.02 2.96 3.11 2.98 2.46 2.35 2.39 2.39 2.03 2.21 3.97 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.08 0.13 0.31 1.94 22.01 21.35 21.22 21.32 20.25 20.23 19.51 19.51 18.66 23.36 21.75 22.87 22.13 23.85 22.01 22.95 22.94 22.20 5.14 4.64 4.85 4.72 4.83 4.45 4.48 4.47 4.14 5.13 4.63 4.84 4.71 4.81 4.43 4.46 4.46 4.13 5.16 4.66 4.87 4.73 4.85 4.48 4.49 4.49 4.15 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.02 Large Cars 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Medium Cars 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 Year of Manufacture 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Pr(Risk) % Pr(Severity) % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 22.00 20.84 21.56 20.41 19.99 20.28 20.38 17.48 19.55 18.52 19.29 18.87 16.57 17.02 11.02 12.91 19.57 22.25 Serious injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 4.22 3.65 3.59 3.40 3.25 3.37 3.36 2.83 3.04 2.82 2.92 2.63 2.46 2.58 1.63 1.56 2.69 3.07 19.17 17.54 16.67 16.65 16.24 16.60 16.46 16.22 15.53 15.20 15.15 13.95 14.86 15.17 14.77 12.09 13.74 13.80 4.20 3.64 3.58 3.38 3.23 3.34 3.33 2.80 3.00 2.77 2.88 2.57 2.40 2.50 1.55 1.47 2.51 2.74 4.23 3.67 3.61 3.42 3.27 3.39 3.38 2.87 3.08 2.86 2.97 2.70 2.53 2.66 1.71 1.66 2.88 3.44 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.17 0.20 0.37 0.71 27.53 25.35 25.32 25.58 25.16 22.25 21.03 22.16 19.06 19.34 18.83 17.30 16.92 15.70 15.35 15.77 14.75 14.82 12.86 14.95 13.16 12.10 12.15 14.06 13.91 12.79 33.68 24.40 27.99 24.10 23.08 19.82 19.43 28.86 24.87 21.45 16.69 24.90 21.04 21.97 15.70 21.06 16.13 17.90 23.78 16.14 22.12 23.92 19.01 16.14 14.89 26.50 9.27 6.18 7.09 6.17 5.81 4.41 4.09 6.40 4.74 4.15 3.14 4.31 3.56 3.45 2.41 3.32 2.38 2.65 3.06 2.41 2.91 2.89 2.31 2.27 2.07 3.39 8.95 6.06 6.98 6.04 5.58 4.03 3.89 6.26 4.57 3.97 2.98 4.14 3.37 3.21 2.15 3.07 2.14 2.42 2.82 2.17 2.62 2.59 2.05 1.98 1.44 2.69 9.60 6.31 7.20 6.29 6.05 4.83 4.29 6.53 4.92 4.33 3.31 4.48 3.76 3.70 2.70 3.59 2.65 2.91 3.32 2.69 3.24 3.23 2.60 2.60 2.97 4.27 0.65 0.24 0.22 0.25 0.47 0.80 0.40 0.27 0.35 0.36 0.33 0.34 0.39 0.49 0.55 0.53 0.51 0.49 0.51 0.52 0.62 0.64 0.54 0.62 1.53 1.57 People Movers 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Small Cars Year of Manufacture 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Pr(Risk) % Pr(Severity) % Serious injury rate per 100 drivers involved % Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 24.51 25.22 23.76 24.53 23.33 23.15 22.70 21.58 21.14 21.00 20.79 20.54 20.80 19.90 20.58 20.23 20.05 19.50 18.47 17.33 18.20 17.75 16.99 17.16 15.58 15.38 14.60 15.02 24.54 23.14 22.89 23.40 22.49 23.96 23.47 23.32 22.80 22.27 21.81 21.69 20.62 22.26 20.63 22.21 21.01 20.63 20.62 19.42 19.54 18.55 17.53 19.05 15.17 19.80 19.81 24.55 6.02 5.83 5.44 5.74 5.25 5.55 5.33 5.03 4.82 4.68 4.54 4.45 4.29 4.43 4.25 4.49 4.21 4.02 3.81 3.36 3.56 3.29 2.98 3.27 2.36 3.05 2.89 3.69 6.00 5.82 5.42 5.73 5.23 5.53 5.32 5.02 4.81 4.67 4.52 4.44 4.28 4.42 4.23 4.48 4.20 4.01 3.80 3.35 3.54 3.28 2.96 3.25 2.33 3.00 2.79 2.98 6.03 5.85 5.45 5.76 5.26 5.57 5.34 5.04 4.83 4.69 4.55 4.47 4.30 4.44 4.26 4.50 4.22 4.03 3.82 3.38 3.57 3.31 3.00 3.29 2.39 3.10 2.99 4.56 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.10 0.20 1.58 28.92 30.20 27.01 28.22 27.15 27.16 27.25 24.78 26.03 24.88 24.92 24.59 23.87 23.63 23.48 22.46 22.61 27.17 21.72 21.42 27.61 26.66 28.79 20.59 23.43 25.48 24.54 25.75 24.96 22.59 22.52 21.72 23.19 22.45 7.86 6.56 5.78 7.79 7.24 7.82 5.61 5.80 6.63 6.11 6.42 6.14 5.39 5.32 5.10 5.21 5.08 7.74 6.47 5.72 7.74 7.16 7.73 5.53 5.76 6.59 6.07 6.39 6.11 5.36 5.30 5.07 5.18 5.05 7.98 6.65 5.85 7.84 7.31 7.91 5.69 5.85 6.68 6.14 6.45 6.17 5.42 5.35 5.13 5.24 5.10 0.25 0.17 0.12 0.09 0.15 0.17 0.16 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 Light Cars 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Year of Manufacture 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Pr(Risk) % Pr(Severity) % 22.92 21.76 19.70 19.09 19.92 18.50 18.32 17.46 17.57 16.29 16.49 21.18 19.92 21.63 20.80 21.15 18.73 20.69 20.16 21.34 21.65 12.23 Serious injury rate per 100 drivers involved % 4.85 4.34 4.26 3.97 4.21 3.46 3.79 3.52 3.75 3.53 2.02 Lower 95% Confidence Limit Upper 95% Confidence Limit Width of Confidence Interval 4.81 4.29 4.19 3.90 4.16 3.41 3.74 3.46 3.66 3.34 0.81 4.90 4.39 4.34 4.04 4.27 3.52 3.84 3.58 3.84 3.73 5.00 0.08 0.10 0.15 0.15 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.12 0.18 0.39 4.19