Tomball Independent School District

Tomball
Independent
School
District
Learn from Yesterday…
Understand Today…
Plan for the Future
Fall 2013
Single Family
Yield Analysis
New Housing Activity
Tomball ISD Housing Activity
700
Starts
Closings
Inventory
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
Starts
3Q09
1Q10
3Q10
1Q11
3Q11
1Q12
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Closings
81
186
166
273
324
1Q
2Q
306
117
230
239
416
274
2Q
201
3Q
220
180
184
339
337
272
3Q
4Q
132
174
178
252
298
Total
658
552
778
996
1324
870
1Q
•
•
•
2008
3Q12
1Q13
3Q13
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
186
128
112
289
311
110
178
203
281
331
303
158
205
340
347
279
4Q
209
167
235
265
350
Total
713
621
746
920
1267
Starts and closings have both dipped slightly during 3Q13.
Starts may end the year slightly under the 2012 total.
Closing will likely be just under 1,300 homes in 2013
921
2
Annual Closing Distribution 3Q13
Top 10 Subdivisions - 3Q13 (Ranked by Annual Closings)
Annual
Annual
Rank
Subdivision
Starts
Closings
1 The Woodlands - Timber Creek
483
528
2 Villages of Northpointe
226
195
3 The Woodlands - Creekside
77
135
4 Decker Oaks
71
90
5 Cypress/Trails
59
56
6 Lakewood Place TH's
26
45
7 Treeline
19
41
8 Saddlebrook Village
55
38
9 Waterstone Estates
32
36
10 Northpointe - Willow Creek
27
33
TOTALS
1,075
1,197
3
Vacant Developed Lots 3Q13
Top 10 Subdivisions - 3Q13 (Ranked by remaining Vacant
Developed Lots)
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Subdivision
The Woodlands - Timber Creek
Villages fo Northpointe
Lakes of Woodtrace
Woodlands - Creekside
Twelve Oaks Parkside
Pine Meadows/Tomball
Cypress/Trails
Oakcrest North
Autumnwood/Reserve
Sonoma Ridge
TOTALS
VDL
836
255
218
209
184
73
44
41
34
34
1,928
4
Future
531
434
0
12
0
0
61
172
0
0
1,210
Future Lots 3Q13
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Top 10 Subdivisions - 3Q13 (Future Inventory)
Subdivision
VDL
Future
The Woodlands - Timber Creek
836
531
Villages fo Northpointe
255
434
Northpointe - Willow Creek
21
326
Oakcrest North
41
172
Willowcreek Ranch
15
145
Fairway Farms
0
96
Cypress/Trails
44
61
Rosehurst
0
54
Treeline
0
51
McCall Sound
0
32
TOTALS
1,212
1,902
5
Single Family Housing Yields
6
Single Family Housing Yields
Canyon Pointe, Willow Creek and Lakewood Elementary Zones
7
Attendance Zone Activity
Lakewood Elementary
• This attendance zone is approaching build out.
• 3 Apartment Complexes
• 772 Units
• 175 Students (85 Elementary)
• .23 student yield
• Future residential growth possible in detached north
section. Current residential has very high yield. (.69)
8
Attendance Zone Activity
Rosehill Elementary
5
4
3
1
• Active Communities
• 1.Rigas Meadows – 31 Future
• 2.Willow Creek Ranch – 160-200
Future
• 3.Pine Country – 28 Vacant
• 4.Rose Hurst – 54 Future
• 5.Timberlake Village – 21 Future
• Wildwood (Friendswood Development)
• 1,457 lots
• 454 complete
• 1,003 VDL remain
• Projected starts as per developer
• 2013 – 169
• 2014 – 238
• 2015 – 238
• 2016 – 170
• 2017 – 188
• A large Part of this development is
in Canyon Point Attendance Zone.
2
9
Grand Parkway Construction
Projected Path and Completion Schedule
• Tomball ISD Boundary
• Grand Parkway F-1 Path
• Estimated Completion
Date: 4Q15 for F-1, F-2
and G
Source: Grand Parkway Association
10
Attendance Zone Activity
Timber Creek Elementary
• Approaching Build-out
• 4,784 Homes planned in the Woodlands
section of this attendance zone.
• 515 Homes complete last 12
months
• 157 Under Construction (Sept.
‘13)
• Future Multi-Family
• Student Yield in Village Of
Creekside Park- West, based on
1,194 Occupied Homes
• Elem - .24
• Int - .08
• JH - .03
• HS – .02
• Total - .37
• Yields will continue to increase
this area may eventually contain
over 2,600 students (1,600
elementary)
• Also Includes:
• Stonebridge Ranch Estates
• Waterstone Estates
• Saddlebrook Village – approx.
300 lots when all complete, last
phase active now. Yields will
increase.
11
District Totals
Total Single Family Parcels*:
Total Multi-Family Units:
Developed Res. Acres:
Total Developed Acres:
Percent Residential Dev.:
Residential Units per Acre:
19,739
3,419
20,327
28,953
70%
1.14
Existing Students:
Elem: 5,097
MS:
1,820
12,101
Current Student Yield:
Elem: 0.22
MS:
0.08
INT:
HS:
INT:
HS:
1,992
3,273
0.08
0.14
0.52
* Source for improved parcels, Harris County Appraisal District
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